DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1007z - - 1329z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.7 - - 60.9 - - 66.1 - - 65.5 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 82 - - 147 - - 143 - - 97 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1894 - - 2473 - - 3744 - - 2895 - - 223 BL Depth Hcrit 1092 - - 2447 - - 3370 - - 2523 - - 1093 Hcrit BL Top 3094 - - 3673 - - 4944 - - 4095 - - 1423 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2099 - - 3115 - - 3473 - - 4038 - - 4820 Hgt.Variab. W* 223 - - 296 - - 342 - - 276 - - 42 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 279 - - 279 - - 278 - - 275 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 339 - - 395 - - 251 - - 119 - - -1380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2755 - - 3278 - - 4694 - - 3976 - - 2803 sfcLCL ODpotential -316 - - -320 - - -857 - - -1372 - - -2844 ODpotential blCL 3410 - - 3993 - - 5801 - - 5467 - - 4267 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 92 - - 99 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 90 - - 170 - - 410 - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m 57.7 - - 60.9 - - 66.1 - - 65.5 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.4 - - 50.3 - - 49.3 - - 51.8 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.2 - - 60.1 - - 65.2 - - 64.8 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.8 - - 49.3 - - 47.8 - - 50.7 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 82 - - 147 - - 143 - - 97 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1894 - - 2473 - - 3744 - - 2895 - - 223 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 99 - - 67 - - 96 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99135 24 091 24 097 19 076 16 077 21 075 99135 91736 21 091 18 098 18 092 16 096 14 074 91736 86020 18 082 13 101 16 103 12 096 9 082 86020 81268 14 095 11 108 15 108 11 099 10 105 81268 77164 13 108 9 119 11 117 10 109 9 111 77164 73517 10 119 12 148 7 154 8 123 7 147 73517 70198 11 151 12 153 12 174 8 149 11 150 70198 67125 15 188 13 191 15 199 9 210 6 155 67125 64262 18 176 17 195 18 197 15 210 11 198 64262 61492 14 191 23 215 22 212 20 214 16 211 61492 58599 24 220 27 216 28 217 27 215 24 224 58599 55590 35 216 32 215 34 218 31 220 34 221 55590 52727 48 226 43 226 46 227 42 229 47 221 52727 50171 62 229 57 230 60 228 56 232 55 222 50171 47891 73 228 69 230 69 225 68 230 60 228 47891 45825 83 224 76 227 74 225 74 229 67 232 45825 43928 87 223 80 226 78 227 78 229 74 233 43928 42174 87 225 85 226 83 227 84 228 81 230 42174 40541 89 227 88 225 88 226 91 227 88 226 40541 39019 92 226 90 223 93 224 99 225 95 223 39019 37598 91 224 90 222 95 223 106 222 100 220 37598 36237 89 225 88 224 95 223 109 220 104 218 36237 34868 91 228 86 227 95 225 109 220 106 217 34868 33460 92 229 85 230 97 228 108 223 107 219 33460 32013 87 228 81 233 98 231 106 228 101 223 32013 30511 72 226 71 233 96 235 99 232 85 228 30511 28942 57 226 57 231 89 239 89 236 64 232 28942 27304 46 229 44 230 75 242 72 240 48 234 27304 25593 41 235 34 231 56 240 54 240 38 232 25593 23808 37 241 29 235 40 237 43 234 34 231 23808 21949 35 249 26 240 32 237 37 231 33 235 21949 20005 35 253 26 246 27 238 31 232 32 238 20005 17970 34 254 28 248 25 240 26 237 31 238 17970 15888 32 254 29 249 23 242 24 239 27 235 15888 13877 30 255 28 253 20 247 22 238 23 234 13877 12046 30 255 27 259 18 254 21 237 21 231 12046 10419 30 254 26 262 18 257 19 240 21 226 10419 8976 29 255 24 266 18 259 16 239 20 226 8976 7694 26 264 16 278 15 263 11 241 18 227 7694 6555 26 277 12 291 12 267 8 248 16 227 6555 5547 26 286 9 295 9*271 7 259 13 224 5547 4659 26 289 10 292 8*272 7*269 10 221 4659 3874 24 290 10*287 7 275 7*275 8 219 3874 3173 18*289 10*282 7 277 7 275 6 221 3173 2554 13*284 9 280 7 279 7 276 6 230 2554 2038 9 278 9 279 6 280 7 275 5 237 2038 1641 8 277 8 279 6 282 6 274 4*239 1641 1369 7 276 8 279 5 283 6 274 4*240 1369 1204 7 276 7 278 5 282 5 274 3 238 1204 1109 5 276 5 278 4 283 4 273 1 231 1109 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography