DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.9 - - 22.5 - - 22.7 - - 15.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 44 - - 7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1572 - - 3682 - - 3366 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1981 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2772 - - 4882 - - 4566 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2824 - - 1800 - - 1272 - - 2164 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 180 - - 228 - - 124 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 274 - - 269 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 456 - - 1906 - - 1465 - - -1069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2317 - - 2976 - - 3101 - - 2299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -227 - - 1149 - - 559 - - -14800 ODpotential blCL - - - 2999 - - 3733 - - 4007 - - 16030 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 97 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.9 - - 22.5 - - 22.7 - - 15.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.5 - - 14.1 - - 13.8 - - 9.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 22.4 - - 23.0 - - 19.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.6 - - 12.9 - - 12.7 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 44 - - 7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1572 - - 3682 - - 3366 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 100 - - 88 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95398 81 251 82 252 94 248 102 253 95398 88638 68 260 78 256 86 259 87 261 88638 83382 61 257 69 252 74 255 69 261 83382 78927 52 261 53 256 57 256 56 264 78927 74991 49 274 50 283 51 273 50 270 74991 71468 56 277 59 286 53 278 49 271 71468 68251 60 270 59 277 51 272 48 265 68251 65255 58 261 56 274 50 268 48 263 65255 62443 53 266 55 276 51 267 51 272 62443 59700 56 275 57 275 58 273 59 282 59700 56830 66 276 63 272 70 276 76 280 56830 53849 71 271 70 273 80 274 84 272 53849 51009 70 271 78 274 82 271 87 269 51009 48455 73 278 84 273 85 271 86 270 48455 46162 82 282 87 271 86 272 92 272 46162 44087 85 280 85 272 89 273 98 273 44087 42203 83 278 84 276 92 274 102 275 42203 40478 83 280 88 279 94 276 109 277 40478 38885 90 283 99 279 100 276 114 274 38885 37407 100 285 105 277 103 273 119 273 37407 36031 110 287 108 277 105 273 126 274 36031 34714 129 284 111 277 114 275 133 272 34714 33389 137 278 112 276 120 275 133 271 33389 32030 137 270 110 275 116 273 124 268 32030 30637 104 283 110 273 106 271 119 263 30637 29186 121 295 105 268 106 270 130 261 29186 27660 125 296 94 273 109 270 119 261 27660 26063 118 291 88 283 99 269 104 259 26063 24391 109 284 86 280 84 267 94 262 24391 22646 103 279 85 273 81 271 79 263 22646 20833 100 281 85 270 80 270 71 262 20833 18941 101 279 82 272 78 266 72 256 18941 16965 94 280 80 274 79 265 74 250 16965 14952 70 282 75 275 76 269 65 254 14952 13024 55 285 61 277 66 274 54 265 13024 11284 48 288 49 277 55 275 45 272 11284 9751 43 293 40 276 48 272 37 271 9751 8404 37 295 33 279 43 271 31 268 8404 7218 33 290 26 278 34 270 25 266 7218 6173 27 286 19 272 24 267 19 266 6173 5255 24 282 17*270 17*265 14 263 5255 4449 22 281 16*271 15*267 10 258 4449 3739 21 283 16 272 14 268 7 259 3739 3104 18*285 15 273 11 270 4 259 3104 2543 16*285 14 274 10 271 1 255 2543 2075 13 283 13 276 9 271 1 043 2075 1715 10 282 12 276 8 272 2 044 1715 1467 8 282 11 276 7 272 3 054 1467 1316 7 281 9 277 6 272 3 075 1316 1230 5 282 6 278 4 272 3*083 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography