DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 11.8 - - 11.0 - - 2.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - 15 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2427 - - 1587 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2081 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3627 - - 2787 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2197 - - 4030 - - 2752 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 249 - - 120 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 294 - - 306 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1342 - - 538 - - -848 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2286 - - 2249 - - 2078 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 927 - - -102 - - -1636 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2700 - - 2889 - - 2866 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 11.8 - - 11.0 - - 2.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 6.3 - - 5.8 - - -1.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 11.5 - - 11.2 - - 4.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 5.5 - - 5.4 - - -1.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - 15 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2427 - - 1587 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95905 82 206 70 207 81 201 95905 88388 83 211 87 221 90 219 88388 82597 93 203 95 210 83 219 82597 77753 75 209 70 212 78 227 77753 73570 74 229 65 233 76 237 73570 69912 74 232 67 241 74 246 69912 66637 71 236 68 242 70 247 66637 63642 66 245 63 247 67 249 63642 60873 64 250 62 253 66 251 60873 58195 62 251 61 262 65 252 58195 55390 63 255 70 268 60 255 55390 52466 67 258 76 265 61 267 52466 49668 66 261 73 263 66 270 49668 47142 62 265 68 264 66 267 47142 44869 60 268 64 266 64 264 44869 42800 59 266 62 267 62 262 42800 40905 56 264 60 267 59 261 40905 39158 51 264 57 267 55 262 39158 37542 48 263 55 267 53 265 37542 36039 46 264 53 266 51 267 36039 34636 44 265 52 266 48 268 34636 33294 43 267 50 266 45 267 33294 31946 40 270 46 267 41 267 31946 30565 36 273 43 268 38 269 30565 29156 33 277 39 268 35 271 29156 27707 32 279 33 270 30 269 27707 26208 29 280 24 277 23 262 26208 24664 23 274 20 280 12 266 24664 23073 8 232 14 276 4 306 23073 21435 7 173 6 237 4 076 21435 19745 5 152 5 187 10 110 19745 17988 5 207 5 180 6 118 17988 16158 7 271 2 199 2 157 16158 14290 11 273 9 250 6 267 14290 12491 12 273 11 254 10 286 12491 10855 14 285 13 281 14 290 10855 9405 19 291 21 281 17 288 9405 8121 23 287 29 275 20 287 8121 6986 24 286 28 273 23 284 6986 5985 23 290 25 276 26 281 5985 5103 19 293 23 281 27 279 5103 4328 17 294 21 289 28 280 4328 3644 17*295 19 297 28 283 3644 3034 16*295 18*302 28 287 3034 2494 15 295 18*304 27 288 2494 2043 15 295 16 305 24 289 2043 1696 14 294 15 306 21 289 1696 1458 12 294 13 307 16 289 1458 1313 10 294 11 307 12*289 1313 1230 7 294 7 307 5*287 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography