DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 21.9 - - 26.4 - - 25.8 - - 18.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 280 - - 59 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4066 - - 6539 - - 1947 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3814 - - 5807 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5266 - - 7739 - - 3147 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1775 - - 2622 - - 5523 - - 2628 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 403 - - 501 - - 201 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 16 - - 19 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 266 - - 276 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 2 - - 29 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -504 - - 2241 - - 1347 - - -442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5770 - - 5498 - - 1800 - - 1672 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2481 - - 1134 - - 609 - - -1193 ODpotential blCL - - - 7747 - - 6605 - - 2538 - - 2423 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 99 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 160 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 21.9 - - 26.4 - - 25.8 - - 18.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.0 - - 6.7 - - 22.7 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 25.3 - - 25.7 - - 20.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.0 - - 5.6 - - 21.9 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 280 - - 59 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4066 - - 6539 - - 1947 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 96 - - 83 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96224 22 232 21 225 23 238 17 238 96224 88909 25 210 28 220 30 217 29 242 88909 83282 25 231 28 204 27 215 31 228 83282 78590 41 230 35 239 31 237 34 226 78590 74525 46 207 38 218 39 236 31 237 74525 70917 36 239 38 230 45 235 32 248 70917 67638 47 253 39 242 40 240 45 251 67638 64621 58 250 52 251 42 250 48 249 64621 61815 72 240 65 242 56 253 45 256 61815 59088 76 233 70 239 64 252 45 260 59088 56228 69 235 77 242 67 250 50 259 56228 53246 79 247 79 242 63 251 55 257 53246 50395 91 249 78 244 63 254 56 257 50395 47822 96 247 81 247 66 254 59 261 47822 45512 94 244 83 247 68 254 67 265 45512 43422 88 242 81 244 70 253 71 265 43422 41515 83 244 77 244 71 253 71 266 41515 39765 82 246 73 246 70 255 72 269 39765 38147 81 245 72 248 69 257 74 270 38147 36641 78 245 70 249 69 258 74 268 36641 35233 76 245 68 251 66 259 70 266 35233 33880 75 246 67 252 64 260 66 266 33880 32515 74 246 65 254 58 261 61 271 32515 31116 71 245 63 258 54 272 60 280 31116 29694 68 246 62 260 57 279 63 286 29694 28242 65 247 59 260 56 281 67 290 28242 26747 60 249 52 263 53 285 70 291 26747 25201 55 252 49 267 52 289 68 289 25201 23597 50 255 45 267 51 288 63 289 23597 21929 46 260 44 267 52 286 59 290 21929 20196 41 267 44 267 52 285 56 292 20196 18393 38 272 42 270 48 287 53 294 18393 16515 35 274 38 277 42 287 48 295 16515 14607 31 273 34 283 37 286 40 293 14607 12780 29 276 32 285 26 279 35 287 12780 11129 29 285 29 281 18 271 32 275 11129 9667 29 290 22 270 20 269 30 269 9667 8366 26 292 22*269 23 270 29 270 8366 7207 21 296 22*269 26 272 28 272 7207 6176 17*299 21 269 27 274 26 273 6176 5262 12*292 18 267 28 276 23 276 5262 4456 9 286 15 265 27 277 21 283 4456 3744 8 286 14 265 26*277 21 291 3744 3106 7 288 14 265 24*277 21 299 3106 2544 6 289 13 264 22 277 19 304 2544 2075 6 292 12 265 20 276 16 308 2075 1715 5 293 11 265 17 276 13 311 1715 1467 5 295 11 265 15 275 10 313 1467 1316 4 297 9 265 12 275 7 313 1316 1230 3 295 7 265 8 275 3*311 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography