DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.2 - - 34.7 - - 32.9 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 80 - - 5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2071 - - 2625 - - 2369 - - 1456 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1840 - - 2115 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3271 - - 3825 - - 3569 - - 2656 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 778 - - 659 - - 1040 - - 2095 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 246 - - 104 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 330 - - 327 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 452 - - 1107 - - 935 - - 335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2819 - - 2718 - - 2634 - - 2321 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4502 - - 622 - - 458 - - -362 ODpotential blCL - - - 7773 - - 3203 - - 3111 - - 3018 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.2 - - 34.7 - - 32.9 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.0 - - 27.0 - - 25.6 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 34.4 - - 33.0 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 26.4 - - 25.1 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 80 - - 5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2071 - - 2625 - - 2369 - - 1456 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 97 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95853 33 263 27 242 45 254 36 263 95853 88808 15 238 22 254 27 257 17 273 88808 83349 8 232 17 267 20 263 13 288 83349 78779 7 268 16 264 17 263 17 291 78779 74812 9 305 10 259 14 247 18 279 74812 71288 7 283 10 260 13 243 17 267 71288 68080 7 250 12 249 11 242 17 242 68080 65107 6 256 13 236 13 244 15 231 65107 62319 12 251 14 236 16 234 12 236 62319 59584 17 246 16 242 18 224 16 247 59584 56711 19 243 17 243 17 232 23 247 56711 53727 21 234 20 241 20 249 26 243 53727 50871 22 231 23 233 26 248 26 240 50871 48287 25 237 27 236 29 232 28 224 48287 45967 30 230 36 231 30 231 27 226 45967 43874 31 218 37 219 35 229 28 235 43874 41971 25 217 32 219 35 227 31 235 41971 40222 25 234 31 221 32 224 31 229 40222 38602 33 231 32 220 32 221 29 229 38602 37095 37 215 30 215 31 217 28 232 37095 35690 31 208 20 215 22 214 27 230 35690 34348 26 210 22 230 13 231 27 217 34348 33003 24 209 27 222 16 253 21 217 33003 31635 21 199 23 199 15 240 14 212 31635 30250 16 197 22 162 15 198 8 212 30250 28824 11 188 21 144 17 164 6 255 28824 27337 13 178 17 153 19 145 7 257 27337 25782 14 166 16 161 13 140 7 238 25782 24155 12 155 19 164 6 154 7 253 24155 22457 11 150 15 170 4 127 9 250 22457 20692 11 165 10 134 11 109 11 232 20692 18853 12 178 14 106 10 113 11 225 18853 16934 11 182 8 106 3 082 9 247 16934 14977 10 190 2 111 3 337 13 259 14977 13091 5 220 1 241 6 286 16 262 13091 11379 3 239 1 357 5 274 16 271 11379 9860 4 278 7 358 6 316 14 285 9860 8511 8 302 7 345 9 317 13 297 8511 7314 9 319 6 329 11 311 12 307 7314 6252 9 340 8 334 12 316 13 321 6252 5318 10 350 12 338 15 327 15 323 5318 4502 13 353 15*335 19 329 18 320 4502 3784 14*352 15*332 18*328 18 320 3784 3140 13*348 15 331 18*328 17*320 3140 2570 12 347 15 331 17 327 15*320 2570 2093 12 346 14 330 16 327 13 319 2093 1726 11 345 14 330 15 326 11 318 1726 1473 10 345 13 330 12 326 9 317 1473 1319 9 344 11 329 10 326 7 317 1319 1231 6 344 7 328 7 325 4 317 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography