DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 72.9 - - 72.4 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 87 - - 18 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5047 - - 5696 - - 5724 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4158 - - 4645 - - 3423 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6247 - - 6896 - - 6924 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2059 - - 1501 - - 1831 - - 6022 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 363 - - 255 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 322 - - 338 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1301 - - 513 - - 1196 - - -1905 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4946 - - 6383 - - 5728 - - 3139 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2581 - - -3317 - - -633 - - -3508 ODpotential blCL - - - 8828 - - 10213 - - 7557 - - 4742 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 62 - - 75 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 0 - - 50 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 72.9 - - 72.4 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.4 - - 49.3 - - 51.6 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 72.7 - - 72.5 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 48.0 - - 50.3 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 87 - - 18 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5047 - - 5696 - - 5724 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99625 36 071 38 087 31 080 29 077 99625 92080 27 079 27 088 25 077 26 078 92080 86276 24 082 19 082 19 079 24 069 86276 81462 16 083 13 073 17 078 17 069 81462 77307 11 090 10 072 14 075 11 094 77307 73621 9 085 8 064 14 090 8 111 73621 70274 8 037 4 071 8 058 7 081 70274 67193 2 332 5 058 3 092 6 016 67193 64333 1 165 7 335 2 282 10 340 64333 61571 5 349 7 267 10 270 15 289 61571 58689 16 286 8 270 10 288 12 287 58689 55684 25 271 22 271 27 296 20 304 55684 52814 28 265 30 265 32 274 27 287 52814 50232 31 270 31 268 32 270 32 281 50232 47924 39 280 41 276 41 279 40 284 47924 45839 46 277 48 271 49 274 45 280 45839 43936 53 275 49 269 52 269 49 277 43936 42186 55 269 54 270 59 267 51 273 42186 40566 54 269 60 272 64 267 52 270 40566 39061 61 274 65 274 70 267 54 267 39061 37656 72 272 70 275 79 266 55 265 37656 36312 74 269 72 274 81 265 50 266 36312 34961 72 267 68 273 74 267 41 272 34961 33569 68 264 59 274 66 270 33 281 33569 32135 65 261 48 272 61 271 30 289 32135 30638 62 261 42 272 55 271 28 293 30638 29066 59 263 40 274 52 273 28 293 29066 27419 59 266 40 279 48 276 27 291 27419 25694 55 273 38 283 41 280 25 290 25694 23892 44 278 35 286 35 284 23 295 23892 22018 37 277 33 288 31 290 21 304 22018 20065 35 275 31 292 27 298 20 310 20065 18027 33 279 28 298 25 304 20 309 18027 15951 28 292 24 302 24 306 21 306 15951 13951 22 305 20 305 22 305 22 302 13951 12133 17 316 18 308 19 304 23 299 12133 10520 16 318 17 310 17 306 22 299 10520 9089 18 312 15 312 16 312 19 307 9089 7819 21 311 13*316 11*327 15 324 7819 6691 21*314 12*320 11*333 13 340 6691 5690 17*316 12 321 11 335 12 347 5690 4805 14 315 12 322 11 337 12 349 4805 4021 12 313 12 322 11 338 12 350 4021 3318 9 313 12 323 10 339 12 350 3318 2694 8 315 12 323 10 339 12 349 2694 2173 8 316 11 324 10 340 12 349 2173 1773 7 317 11 324 9 340 11 348 1773 1497 6 317 10 324 9 340 9 347 1497 1330 6 319 9 324 8 340 6*345 1330 1234 4 318 7 324 6 341 3*342 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography