DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.7 - - 29.4 - - 32.5 - - 32.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - -1 - - -23 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 920 - - 445 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2120 - - 1645 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1026 - - 1428 - - 1624 - - 1645 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 44 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 16 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 150 - - 162 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -8 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 8 - - -186 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2112 - - 1831 - - 1231 - - 1231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3063 - - -1929 - - -866 - - -1447 ODpotential blCL - - - 5183 - - 3574 - - 2097 - - 2678 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.7 - - 29.4 - - 32.5 - - 32.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.2 - - 26.0 - - 31.7 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 29.8 - - 33.6 - - 34.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.5 - - 25.5 - - 31.7 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - -1 - - -23 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 920 - - 445 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 101 - - 99 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95656 46 011 50 014 47 356 53 001 95656 88681 40 021 32 007 27 359 33 359 88681 83176 18 356 26 358 18 356 22 346 83176 78547 15 310 22 307 17 335 8 342 78547 74522 17 285 24 262 32 283 18 302 74522 70962 19 269 26 249 35 263 29 276 70962 67740 22 272 28 255 28 255 31 266 67740 64763 32 260 29 251 28 264 31 256 64763 61986 36 253 33 249 41 245 37 256 61986 59285 38 250 43 240 44 239 47 252 59285 56452 51 249 46 232 41 245 52 243 56452 53497 58 240 47 241 51 247 54 243 53497 50670 55 237 61 244 68 245 61 241 50670 48130 58 243 74 237 76 237 64 238 48130 45862 66 235 76 229 71 231 69 238 45862 43815 66 232 74 227 71 231 80 235 43815 41961 71 235 78 232 77 230 88 230 41961 40271 82 233 88 234 84 227 91 228 40271 38716 93 236 105 233 94 226 97 228 38716 37275 105 240 118 233 107 228 107 226 37275 35935 114 242 122 234 120 230 118 224 35935 34654 114 240 123 232 126 229 123 222 34654 33359 109 238 125 231 127 227 126 222 33359 32017 106 236 128 231 127 226 126 221 32017 30628 105 234 125 230 128 224 126 221 30628 29179 102 233 120 229 128 223 127 221 29179 27655 96 230 113 228 125 222 126 221 27655 26058 90 228 105 227 119 222 124 221 26058 24388 85 226 100 223 113 223 121 223 24388 22649 81 221 97 220 107 222 116 224 22649 20847 76 214 93 218 101 219 107 225 20847 18978 70 213 88 218 96 217 96 224 18978 17036 65 216 83 219 91 217 88 221 17036 15063 62 216 76 220 84 217 79 220 15063 13169 54 218 69 221 74 215 70 220 13169 11456 46 221 64 219 64 213 59 222 11456 9941 45 217 55 218 56 216 49 228 9941 8598 45 208 49 216 50 221 46 230 8598 7403 45 201 50 208 47 220 44 228 7403 6338 45 196 54 196 49 216 44 226 6338 5392 46 189 53 188 50 209 45 226 5392 4558 46 182 50 182 49 200 45 223 4558 3823 44 173 47 175 44 192 44 217 3823 3166 40 163 41 167 38 185 39 210 3166 2586 35*157 35 160 33 178 33 203 2586 2103 29*153 29 154 28 171 26 196 2103 1731 25 152 25*152 22 167 20 186 1731 1475 21 151 21*151 17 164 15 177 1475 1320 17 150 17 150 14 163 12 173 1320 1231 10 150 10 149 8*162 6*167 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography