DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 8.4 - - 14.2 - - 13.2 - - 9.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 121 - - 12 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1453 - - 2837 - - 2501 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 2575 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2653 - - 4037 - - 3701 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1716 - - 1610 - - 2352 - - 3900 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 184 - - 287 - - 131 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 271 - - 281 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 400 - - 844 - - 1058 - - -648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2254 - - 3193 - - 2643 - - 1878 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -434 - - -267 - - 169 - - -1609 ODpotential blCL - - - 3087 - - 4304 - - 3532 - - 2839 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 81 - - 99 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 8.4 - - 14.2 - - 13.2 - - 9.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.1 - - 4.6 - - 6.2 - - 5.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 8.2 - - 13.7 - - 13.4 - - 11.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.2 - - 3.7 - - 5.3 - - 7.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 121 - - 12 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1453 - - 2837 - - 2501 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 23 - - 96 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95893 137 212 118 208 126 211 129 205 95893 88525 130 210 122 207 130 212 130 207 88525 82775 125 216 126 209 131 209 133 212 82775 77982 113 219 122 216 123 213 122 211 77982 73815 104 219 114 221 111 217 112 213 73815 70092 100 223 108 224 101 223 104 223 70092 66726 101 229 106 227 96 227 94 227 66726 63659 100 230 102 228 89 229 80 230 63659 60831 96 229 95 228 82 232 74 237 60831 58097 91 228 87 229 79 234 74 239 58097 55257 84 229 78 234 71 238 69 239 55257 52325 77 231 74 239 63 242 63 240 52325 49533 67 234 69 238 56 245 57 242 49533 47016 58 242 63 238 57 249 52 242 47016 44754 55 248 61 239 60 248 48 243 44754 42695 53 249 59 238 58 243 46 245 42695 40804 52 253 57 236 55 241 45 247 40804 39058 57 254 55 238 55 243 45 249 39058 37439 62 253 55 242 57 244 46 248 37439 35935 62 253 56 245 58 241 45 246 35935 34534 61 257 57 246 57 239 43 245 34534 33195 63 259 61 247 55 239 44 244 33195 31852 66 261 66 247 53 240 43 240 31852 30480 69 262 67 247 50 239 39 235 30480 29086 70 264 65 246 46 237 36 231 29086 27659 72 263 60 242 43 236 33 228 27659 26190 66 266 52 235 39 234 26 227 26190 24676 48 277 44 232 33 230 21 222 24676 23110 46 289 39 240 26 223 19 214 23110 21485 50 288 37 247 24 221 18 207 21485 19800 54 281 36 252 25 223 16 205 19800 18049 59 281 37 255 25 225 16 216 18049 16220 55 295 34 261 23 231 18 224 16220 14351 41 294 30 270 23 240 19 229 14351 12547 34 280 28 273 25 246 20 236 12547 10908 32 278 26 274 24 250 19 247 10908 9458 27 283 24 276 21 258 17 256 9458 8179 23 284 23 277 18 267 15 266 8179 7048 18 282 22 274 18 272 14 280 7048 6046 14 287 20 272 18 276 14 285 6046 5159 14 291 17 272 16 280 14 281 5159 4377 14 290 15*272 13*282 13 278 4377 3685 15 289 13*272 11*283 13 279 3685 3065 15*288 12 271 10 282 12 283 3065 2516 14*286 11 271 8 281 10 289 2516 2057 11 282 10 271 7 280 8 294 2057 1704 10 281 10 271 6 280 7 295 1704 1462 9 281 9 272 6 280 5 290 1462 1314 7 282 8 272 5 279 3*280 1314 1230 5 282 6 271 3 278 2*261 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography