DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 0959z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 50.2 - - 48.9 - - 48.1 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 13 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 32 - - 1503 - - 662 - - 417 - - 218 BL Depth Hcrit 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top 1232 - - 2703 - - 1862 - - 1617 - - 1418 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1394 - - 1073 - - 1752 - - 1222 - - 1024 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 129 - - 56 - - 35 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 21 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 143 - - 145 - - 142 - - 133 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1845 - - -498 - - 455 - - 384 - - 185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3201 - - 1407 - - 1233 - - 1233 sfcLCL ODpotential -5684 - - -5328 - - -181 - - -107 - - -1002 ODpotential blCL 6916 - - 8031 - - 2043 - - 1724 - - 2420 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 10 - - 110 - - 310 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 50.2 - - 48.9 - - 48.1 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.3 - - 40.3 - - 46.7 - - 46.7 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 50.4 - - 49.2 - - 48.3 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 39.4 - - 46.4 - - 46.5 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 13 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 32 - - 1503 - - 662 - - 417 - - 218 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98239 20 078 16 080 12 121 7 101 9 056 98239 90720 15 094 19 082 13 125 10 135 4 095 90720 84924 16 097 17 090 14 118 14 126 10 162 84924 80102 16 124 12 108 14 121 11 110 9 135 80102 75943 13 118 9 103 12 129 7 132 9 129 75943 72265 6 134 7 126 8 131 6 160 3 124 72265 68945 6 168 6 150 5 143 6 182 4 210 68945 65897 5 219 6 174 9 197 5 231 7 191 65897 63074 11 224 8 228 12 192 10 247 9 252 63074 60353 12 201 15 223 14 228 12 242 11 231 60353 57501 9 240 17 239 20 245 13 267 10 235 57501 54520 25 263 21 253 25 231 33 247 29 249 54520 51689 31 252 28 260 28 241 32 239 32 247 51689 49161 39 256 38 262 31 256 30 258 32 256 49161 46899 40 254 44 257 46 256 39 256 29 261 46899 44840 44 254 47 250 50 239 38 259 41 272 44840 42957 52 252 47 246 43 248 51 268 50 269 42957 41225 63 249 45 255 58 257 61 259 48 271 41225 39617 74 249 65 257 68 247 58 251 49 275 39617 38120 82 245 90 247 65 247 53 251 53 280 38120 36721 83 241 93 244 68 251 51 253 56 286 36721 35379 78 237 85 245 73 249 53 255 62 295 35379 34026 77 236 80 236 74 246 57 254 68 299 34026 32636 76 235 79 232 71 241 58 253 70 304 32636 31212 73 237 78 235 68 239 58 251 68 305 31212 29741 68 242 78 236 61 243 56 248 61 306 29741 28207 64 248 77 236 51 251 52 245 61 311 28207 26608 59 252 72 238 43 255 47 244 61 309 26608 24938 56 252 63 238 39 251 43 243 54 304 24938 23198 54 250 58 234 42 246 40 238 48 301 23198 21388 50 251 55 234 46 243 40 237 43 299 21388 19501 45 249 50 236 46 241 41 242 39 296 19501 17532 44 244 43 237 43 241 41 248 36 291 17532 15519 43 247 38 233 40 238 39 253 34 287 15519 13576 32 251 33 237 38 233 35 254 30 287 13576 11808 26 243 26 240 38 229 31 257 26 289 11808 10239 27 240 21 240 39 226 30 262 24 289 10239 8846 17 222 20 230 37 219 31 261 25 284 8846 7608 12 184 17 211 34 207 30 256 24 281 7608 6507 13 158 16 189 33 199 30 248 20 282 6507 5532 14 150 19 177 32 191 28 236 17 285 5532 4672 16 153 23 171 30 175 25 225 15 286 4672 3913 20 159 27 159 29 162 20 217 14 283 3913 3233 25 166 28*149 25 156 15 204 13 276 3233 2632 26 168 26*146 22 151 11 183 10 266 2632 2132 22 165 24 145 18*148 9 163 4 250 2132 1748 16 155 21 144 14*143 7*147 1 167 1748 1484 12 148 18 143 12 142 6*138 2*094 1484 1324 9 146 14 143 9 140 5 132 2*085 1324 1233 5*143 9 142 5 138 3 128 1 076 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography