DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 21.4 - - 20.8 - - 12.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1435 - - 1085 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2635 - - 2285 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 690 - - 896 - - 920 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 197 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 321 - - 331 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 569 - - 430 - - -463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2067 - - 1856 - - 1693 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11158 - - 144 - - -13439 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13793 - - 2141 - - 14669 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 21.4 - - 20.8 - - 12.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 17.1 - - 17.4 - - 9.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 21.0 - - 21.1 - - 15.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 16.0 - - 17.2 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1435 - - 1085 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 77 - - 100 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94925 93 247 88 253 83 259 94925 88204 57 251 64 247 62 258 88204 82930 44 262 45 259 43 258 82930 78504 40 273 39 276 31 274 78504 74650 36 281 33 288 27 290 74650 71186 37 276 32 287 29 289 71186 67999 35 263 37 276 35 285 67999 65038 32 282 34 271 41 278 65038 62280 41 287 33 281 39 280 62280 59595 46 286 43 288 48 295 59595 56776 48 286 45 292 59 294 56776 53831 48 288 53 291 58 287 53831 51009 52 293 59 288 55 286 51009 48472 58 291 61 288 58 293 48472 46212 63 286 61 291 64 299 46212 44171 64 284 62 295 72 302 44171 42291 63 288 67 294 78 299 42291 40548 66 293 73 293 84 293 40548 38937 73 294 78 292 87 291 38937 37450 78 293 85 292 95 295 37450 36069 79 293 92 292 104 297 36069 34746 76 294 93 293 105 298 34746 33410 68 296 87 297 107 301 33410 32033 67 302 73 300 112 304 32033 30619 69 304 68 305 101 308 30619 29163 63 303 66 308 98 307 29163 27648 56 301 64 307 91 304 27648 26068 53 302 59 306 67 304 26068 24424 48 306 54 305 60 313 24424 22714 45 308 50 308 62 316 22714 20932 44 314 49 312 59 317 20932 19071 45 320 50 316 53 318 19071 17124 47 324 49 319 51 316 17124 15133 45 329 46 318 51 316 15133 13210 38 333 46 322 50 320 13210 11459 26 335 40 327 45 324 11459 9905 18 330 29 330 39 328 9905 8528 14 318 22 330 33 332 8528 7310 8 311 17 328 25 333 7310 6236 4 340 13 328 19 334 6236 5291 6 004 11 334 17 338 5291 4464 8 359 11 341 15 342 4464 3739 9 349 11 343 15 343 3739 3095 8*334 10 341 14 344 3095 2532 6*322 9*339 13 348 2532 2065 6 321 8*334 12 346 2065 1709 6 321 7 331 10 332 1709 1463 5 321 7 330 8 322 1463 1315 5 322 6 328 6*317 1315 1230 4 322 4 326 3*311 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography