DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 6.3 - - 11.4 - - 13.8 - - 9.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 125 - - 13 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1485 - - 1527 - - 1304 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1630 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2685 - - 2727 - - 2504 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 642 - - 583 - - 585 - - 514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 208 - - 235 - - 107 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 14 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 275 - - 271 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 356 - - 526 - - 86 - - -1064 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2330 - - 2202 - - 2418 - - 2294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9716 - - -9427 - - -9518 - - -12817 ODpotential blCL - - - 12401 - - 12154 - - 12022 - - 14047 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 97 - - 83 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 6.3 - - 11.4 - - 13.8 - - 9.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.5 - - 6.2 - - 7.7 - - 3.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 6.0 - - 11.0 - - 14.1 - - 12.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.4 - - 5.3 - - 7.1 - - 6.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 125 - - 13 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1485 - - 1527 - - 1304 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 87 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95265 32 317 31 308 35 308 36 303 95265 88613 36 305 33 307 34 294 30 295 88613 83340 32 302 26 291 29 290 33 287 83340 78885 23 290 28 265 33 271 35 267 78885 75002 20 272 33 254 31 256 30 243 75002 71504 24 260 29 238 29 263 23 230 71504 68271 24 246 22 213 38 258 27 249 68271 65264 21 235 21 213 43 244 36 253 65264 62464 16 246 30 235 38 233 41 237 62464 59742 33 252 34 254 36 230 46 230 59742 56874 41 252 48 260 38 223 44 221 56874 53868 48 250 55 252 40 235 44 222 53868 50990 51 248 56 251 50 242 40 235 50990 48394 53 248 67 247 60 241 54 249 48394 46054 53 247 72 242 71 237 72 238 46054 43931 51 246 69 237 71 236 73 232 43931 41988 47 247 63 239 71 239 73 234 41988 40198 46 249 61 242 74 238 73 235 40198 38542 50 247 56 239 71 234 64 238 38542 37007 51 244 51 238 62 236 60 245 37007 35571 47 244 48 245 64 245 69 250 35571 34192 37 244 54 258 69 246 78 245 34192 32814 26 261 65 258 69 245 80 241 32814 31420 35 287 66 257 63 245 71 241 31420 30017 56 282 66 262 56 249 63 247 30017 28588 65 275 67 266 52 256 59 251 28588 27110 65 279 62 269 56 262 62 252 27110 25573 68 285 59 275 60 259 71 251 25573 23966 71 287 59 279 62 262 72 250 23966 22285 66 286 62 280 64 264 67 250 22285 20533 57 288 64 280 66 267 64 252 20533 18703 48 293 64 282 64 268 63 254 18703 16791 43 296 55 285 58 268 61 258 16791 14837 40 298 46 289 51 268 54 260 14837 12957 38 299 42 294 44 272 39 256 12957 11256 35 300 40 296 38 274 33 249 11256 9744 35 297 37 295 33 276 32 246 9744 8403 36 295 34 295 29 281 30 244 8403 7212 35 296 33 295 27 286 26 245 7212 6161 34 300 33 296 26 291 21 251 6161 5236 33 300 33 294 26 294 18 259 5236 4426 32 296 32 291 25 294 16 266 4426 3716 31 288 30 285 23 288 16 268 3716 3083 28*283 24*280 20 280 15 263 3083 2526 22*278 17*275 15*273 13 250 2526 2062 20 277 16 274 12*270 13 239 2062 1706 18 277 15 274 10 271 9 234 1706 1462 16 277 13 275 9 271 4 221 1462 1314 13 277 11 275 7 270 2*174 1314 1230 8 276 7 275 5 270 2*138 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography