DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.6 - - 20.1 - - 19.3 - - 18.8 - - 15.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 55 - - 128 - - 68 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 30 - - 3513 - - 3407 - - 3316 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit 1214 - - 2369 - - 3027 - - 2447 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top 1230 - - 4713 - - 4607 - - 4516 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2744 - - 3672 - - 3021 - - 2798 - - 4877 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 243 - - 313 - - 252 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 26 - - 28 - - 29 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 249 - - 261 - - 272 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 22 - - 19 - - 22 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1355 - - 1736 - - 2117 - - 1962 - - -976 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2585 - - 2977 - - 2490 - - 2554 - - 2206 sfcLCL ODpotential -3030 - - 716 - - 1205 - - 1006 - - -1913 ODpotential blCL 4260 - - 3997 - - 3402 - - 3510 - - 3143 blCL maxRH 91 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.6 - - 20.1 - - 19.3 - - 18.8 - - 15.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.7 - - 11.4 - - 12.8 - - 12.0 - - 10.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.2 - - 20.0 - - 19.1 - - 18.7 - - 17.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.0 - - 10.3 - - 11.6 - - 11.1 - - 10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 55 - - 128 - - 68 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 30 - - 3513 - - 3407 - - 3316 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96601 6 012 11 032 16 039 3 094 8 334 96601 89468 11 061 13 067 10 076 4 025 11 042 89468 83911 6 082 6 053 4 127 3 328 6 015 83911 79264 6 128 4 151 7 179 3 200 4 155 79264 75222 2 275 4 208 10 218 7 217 2 117 75222 71625 5 213 2 188 7 165 15 202 5 223 71625 68362 3 135 20 218 18 224 14 207 11 192 68362 65373 23 219 23 204 29 219 24 228 19 222 65373 62601 35 199 16 244 31 223 30 229 29 236 62601 59882 44 238 53 250 45 237 41 234 40 234 59882 57017 65 243 68 246 61 242 56 241 51 240 57017 54023 76 237 72 241 72 239 69 240 67 243 54023 51155 79 232 75 235 79 238 78 239 81 241 51155 48561 77 231 75 233 82 238 84 238 86 239 48561 46218 75 233 74 233 82 238 87 239 86 240 46218 44081 77 238 73 236 83 236 90 238 87 241 44081 42118 81 239 76 239 83 235 91 237 88 241 42118 40306 83 238 80 239 82 237 89 237 86 241 40306 38624 83 239 80 239 85 239 88 238 86 242 38624 37060 85 241 80 242 87 238 89 238 88 240 37060 35600 90 242 83 246 87 236 88 235 89 238 35600 34201 95 241 87 247 85 237 83 234 87 237 34201 32793 99 238 91 245 89 242 81 238 84 239 32793 31352 101 235 94 245 92 243 82 242 83 244 31352 29891 100 234 94 245 90 244 83 243 84 245 29891 28401 98 235 93 245 88 244 83 244 79 245 28401 26868 97 236 93 244 86 245 85 243 72 248 26868 25286 99 236 93 243 85 247 81 243 65 253 25286 23649 99 236 92 243 84 247 73 244 61 258 23649 21951 94 237 90 242 82 247 66 245 59 263 21951 20194 84 238 84 242 77 250 61 247 59 268 20194 18372 75 239 73 245 70 256 54 253 58 274 18372 16480 70 240 64 246 65 261 50 262 57 279 16480 14562 65 242 59 247 61 266 48 269 57 281 14562 12723 56 241 56 248 56 269 48 274 57 285 12723 11054 45 240 51 249 51 270 48 280 55 289 11054 9574 38 245 43 252 47 269 47 284 52 291 9574 8265 36 250 35 255 35 262 40 280 50 291 8265 7112 36 254 34 255 30 259 33 272 47 285 7112 6098 38 256 34 255 31 259 33 272 44 279 6098 5204 41 254 33*254 31*259 33*272 41 276 5204 4414 43 250 33*253 31*260 33*272 39 276 4414 3715 42 246 31 251 31 261 33 272 37 275 3715 3087 37 242 29 250 31 261 32 272 33 274 3087 2532 30 236 27 248 30 261 30 273 29 272 2532 2067 24 231 25 248 28 262 28 273 25 271 2067 1710 19 226 23 247 26 262 26 273 20 271 1710 1465 14 219 20 246 23 262 22 272 15 270 1465 1316 10*215 17 246 19 262 18 272 12*269 1316 1230 6*210 11 245 12 262 12 272 5*265 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography