DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 50.9 - - 48.6 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - -5 - - -3 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1067 - - 654 - - 635 - - 876 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2267 - - 1854 - - 1835 - - 2076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 865 - - 1880 - - 1611 - - 985 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 37 - - 37 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 339 - - 338 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 306 - - 356 - - 507 - - 552 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1961 - - 1498 - - 1328 - - 1524 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1368 - - -280 - - -80 - - 97 ODpotential blCL - - - 3635 - - 2134 - - 1915 - - 1979 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 50.9 - - 48.6 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 48.4 - - 46.8 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 51.4 - - 49.0 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 48.2 - - 46.6 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - -5 - - -3 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1067 - - 654 - - 635 - - 876 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95543 80 246 85 245 80 252 85 247 95543 88621 54 251 56 247 55 254 51 255 88621 83294 38 252 41 251 44 254 37 259 83294 78876 23 258 30 249 36 252 34 265 78876 75061 19 248 18 247 27 251 27 270 75061 71652 20 244 15 245 21 253 21 259 71652 68516 20 245 18 243 23 251 20 251 68516 65597 18 233 20 243 23 239 24 252 65597 62863 15 225 17 251 22 237 28 239 62863 60199 17 241 20 250 21 225 26 222 60199 57411 23 232 22 233 21 229 22 230 57411 54499 26 230 30 232 27 242 31 248 54499 51704 34 222 39 223 37 240 34 238 51704 49179 37 215 39 220 38 226 36 224 49179 46913 40 218 39 218 36 216 36 218 46913 44857 47 220 37 217 33 216 35 216 44857 42972 52 214 38 217 32 217 33 212 42972 41232 55 208 42 211 35 213 32 207 41232 39615 58 202 45 207 39 206 31 203 39615 38104 60 197 52 204 42 202 29 199 38104 36689 60 192 57 197 45 200 29 195 36689 35333 59 189 55 191 47 196 31 193 35333 33967 59 186 54 189 46 186 33 188 33967 32563 58 184 56 186 42 174 36 181 32563 31123 55 185 55 184 39 169 37 175 31123 29633 50 188 52 182 41 171 36 169 29633 28082 48 191 50 182 45 169 34 166 28082 26467 41 190 49 181 46 169 34 164 26467 24783 31 182 48 179 48 173 33 165 24783 23032 27 179 46 175 51 176 32 166 23032 21217 27 184 44 171 52 179 32 168 21217 19337 27 186 41 168 47 180 32 170 19337 17380 24 183 38 170 31 175 25 168 17380 15384 23 185 32 175 22 159 15 162 15384 13463 22 186 30 173 22 141 14 163 13463 11719 20 180 21 166 18 119 9 162 11719 10169 22 182 11 166 10 079 3 216 10169 8788 18 184 5 183 11 031 5 247 8788 7557 7 176 3 033 10 028 3 353 7557 6462 3 071 7 050 11 027 7 015 6462 5491 9 035 11 052 10 031 11 011 5491 4636 12 034 12 043 10 023 10 004 4636 3882 12 037 12 026 11 009 8 014 3882 3209 12 041 12 009 15 358 10 027 3209 2616 11*035 12 356 17 349 11 011 2616 2122 8*011 11*351 16*345 11*356 2122 1743 7 354 10*345 14*341 10*352 1743 1482 7 351 8 340 11 338 9 349 1482 1323 6 349 6 335 9 336 7 347 1323 1232 5 348 4 329 5 334 5 344 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography