DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 1007z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.8 - - 77.7 - - 81.8 - - 81.8 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 152 - - 166 - - 54 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 7 - - 3667 - - 4834 - - 4692 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1093 - - 3335 - - 4266 - - 3369 - - 1094 Hcrit BL Top 1207 - - 4867 - - 6034 - - 5892 - - 1111 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 256 - - 2571 - - 1888 - - 1944 - - 391 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 344 - - 393 - - 278 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 12 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 246 - - 246 - - 235 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 11 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -996 - - 514 - - -66 - - 130 - - -1959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2204 - - 4353 - - 6100 - - 5763 - - 3070 sfcLCL ODpotential -4315 - - -802 - - -3922 - - -3465 - - -4526 ODpotential blCL 5522 - - 5669 - - 9956 - - 9357 - - 5637 blCL maxRH 81 - - 77 - - 64 - - 69 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 580 - - 300 - - 660 - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m 64.8 - - 77.7 - - 81.8 - - 81.8 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.0 - - 62.4 - - 58.9 - - 60.3 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.8 - - 76.8 - - 81.0 - - 81.5 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.8 - - 61.5 - - 57.6 - - 59.3 - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 152 - - 166 - - 54 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 7 - - 3667 - - 4834 - - 4692 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99118 17 096 17 079 14 082 22 084 14 087 99118 91826 16 063 15 083 13 078 16 087 15 095 91826 86154 15 045 14 083 10 084 10 078 11 079 86154 81417 14 052 10 086 10 096 4 058 8 048 81417 77321 13 059 7 090 8 090 2 098 7 014 77321 73688 7 039 3 067 2 099 0 219 7 357 73688 70389 1 322 2 334 5 161 5 241 7 321 70389 67354 8 275 8 288 6 255 7 250 10 278 67354 64548 13 258 15 251 12 260 10 266 14 271 64548 61842 14 262 14 245 16 261 19 272 18 268 61842 59022 21 264 17 255 24 254 24 255 24 251 59022 56091 34 268 30 264 28 250 29 256 30 253 56091 53296 43 265 40 259 41 267 41 260 35 258 53296 50788 48 258 45 253 56 263 47 262 39 275 50788 48560 49 256 48 252 59 255 55 270 63 280 48560 46564 50 258 48 253 56 252 67 269 72 269 46564 44750 54 261 49 251 53 250 59 262 59 260 44750 43082 57 262 50 249 51 250 43 263 43 267 43082 41533 59 262 51 248 50 250 38 279 43 280 41533 40081 59 260 50 249 52 250 42 288 48 285 40081 38712 58 259 50 251 54 251 44 292 50 285 38712 37386 53 259 49 254 54 253 45 296 48 283 37386 36033 47 258 48 257 53 256 46 300 47 283 36033 34625 45 256 47 257 50 259 48 302 47 286 34625 33161 43 252 45 256 48 262 48 301 47 289 33161 31624 40 249 42 255 46 263 48 297 46 289 31624 30002 36 245 39 256 45 263 47 293 47 288 30002 28295 32 243 37 258 43 264 45 288 45 283 28295 26501 31 245 35 260 38 265 44 283 42 278 26501 24626 29 250 34 262 33 267 39 278 40 277 24626 22678 28 254 32 264 31 268 31 273 35 275 22678 20655 26 258 27 268 29 272 27 271 27 273 20655 18547 25 263 25 277 27 282 28 274 22 271 18547 16395 24 270 26 284 27 294 27 280 22 273 16395 14319 24 276 27 288 26 303 21 289 17 271 14319 12427 23 277 27 290 25 305 18 302 12 255 12427 10742 23 274 26 286 23 301 16 306 13 259 10742 9244 23 271 25 278 21 287 18 290 18 273 9244 7914 21 276 22 273 21 275 20 270 22 275 7914 6737 19 285 20 272 21*268 20*260 22 271 6737 5696 18 292 17*271 19*263 20*254 20 267 5696 4779 17 296 15*267 15 253 18 244 20 261 4779 3968 17 296 13 257 13 244 16 235 20 256 3968 3243 16 293 11 241 12 240 15 229 20 250 3243 2603 14 288 10 236 12 239 14 228 20 242 2603 2068 11 278 9 234 11 238 13 226 18 231 2068 1659 10 257 8 233 10 238 13 226 16 220 1659 1378 7*227 8 232 10 237 12 225 12 207 1378 1207 5*205 7 232 9 237 10 224 10*200 1207 1110 2 179 5 232 7 237 7 224 4*185 1110 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography