DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -4.8 - - 0.5 - - 0.6 - - -2.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 165 - - 57 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1282 - - 1572 - - 1363 - - 389 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1212 - - 1840 - - 1212 - - 1212 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2482 - - 2772 - - 2563 - - 1589 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 471 - - 490 - - 562 - - 1054 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 208 - - 260 - - 173 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 317 - - 315 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 47 - - 887 - - 618 - - -409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2435 - - 1885 - - 1945 - - 1999 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11759 - - 641 - - 377 - - -12403 ODpotential blCL - - - 14241 - - 2131 - - 2186 - - 13992 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -4.8 - - 0.5 - - 0.6 - - -2.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -10.8 - - -3.0 - - -3.2 - - -6.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -5.0 - - -0.0 - - 0.5 - - -1.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -11.9 - - -3.4 - - -3.5 - - -5.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 165 - - 57 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1282 - - 1572 - - 1363 - - 389 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 103 - - 103 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96236 50 220 51 236 54 238 54 240 96236 89127 31 240 37 243 35 244 38 249 89127 83595 26 235 30 239 26 240 34 250 83595 78963 22 228 26 225 26 239 27 256 78963 74944 21 252 24 225 26 240 23 260 74944 71355 21 258 27 247 22 248 16 268 71355 68067 19 276 21 253 23 266 25 285 68067 65027 22 282 26 270 28 275 28 282 65027 62192 26 283 27 269 30 279 27 283 62192 59426 28 287 26 278 32 288 29 293 59426 56525 33 290 31 287 36 290 34 294 56525 53503 33 291 34 290 39 286 37 292 53503 50607 33 295 36 295 39 287 37 296 50607 48001 35 298 38 299 39 292 39 299 48001 45670 38 297 39 299 40 296 41 300 45670 43559 37 297 38 299 42 298 41 302 43559 41630 35 303 36 303 42 296 42 303 41630 39858 36 307 37 307 38 300 41 303 39858 38222 36 307 37 308 37 307 39 305 38222 36701 36 307 37 311 39 314 36 311 36701 35285 34 304 36 317 40 316 35 317 35285 33931 27 304 36 322 37 320 36 321 33931 32577 21 316 38 324 36 329 34 327 32577 31197 22 331 32 330 35 336 34 331 31197 29794 22 338 30 340 30 346 32 335 29794 28355 22 344 32 351 33 356 29 343 28355 26864 20 355 28 359 38 359 30 347 26864 25314 16 019 29 015 39 002 33 348 25314 23699 19 033 34 016 40 005 32 348 23699 22019 22 034 34 013 40 005 32 348 22019 20274 21 035 32 013 36 002 31 349 20274 18456 21 030 27 017 30 003 29 349 18456 16561 21 029 23 017 25 001 26 348 16561 14633 18 032 21 015 22 357 23 343 14633 12780 15 041 18 020 18 002 20 338 12780 11097 15 040 18 027 17 007 18 338 11097 9603 17 032 20 025 19 003 19 334 9603 8277 19 024 20 016 21 360 21 340 8277 7100 22 025 21 012 24 359 24 348 7100 6057 28 017 26 007 27 359 27 349 6057 5137 35 002 32 357 29 354 28 350 5137 4333 37 349 35 346 31 346 29 350 4333 3633 34 338 32 336 29 334 30 340 3633 3016 29*328 25*325 26*321 32 324 3016 2478 23*321 20*318 22*316 30 317 2478 2031 18 316 19 317 21 315 24 315 2031 1689 17 315 18 317 20 315 18*314 1689 1454 15 315 16 316 17 315 14*313 1454 1311 12 315 13 316 14 315 11 313 1311 1229 8 314 9 316 9 315 6 313 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography