DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 2.0 - - 2.3 - - -0.1 - - -3.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 185 - - 58 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1466 - - 1852 - - 1642 - - 499 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1511 - - 2093 - - 1213 - - 1212 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2666 - - 3052 - - 2842 - - 1699 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 541 - - 522 - - 717 - - 1481 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 286 - - 187 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 22 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 315 - - 313 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 12 - - 16 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 487 - - 967 - - 519 - - -475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2179 - - 2085 - - 2323 - - 2174 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7968 - - 431 - - -7107 - - -8685 ODpotential blCL - - - 10634 - - 2621 - - 9949 - - 10384 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 94 - - 88 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 2.0 - - 2.3 - - -0.1 - - -3.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -3.2 - - -2.4 - - -5.8 - - -8.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 1.5 - - 1.7 - - -0.1 - - -2.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -4.2 - - -3.4 - - -6.5 - - -8.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 185 - - 58 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1466 - - 1852 - - 1642 - - 499 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 74 - - 54 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96137 57 229 56 235 52 249 56 235 96137 89022 32 239 39 247 38 242 40 247 89022 83518 23 266 32 250 31 247 28 247 83518 78912 22 282 27 254 25 257 22 255 78912 74894 20 288 25 252 22 257 20 263 74894 71297 19 291 24 260 23 267 28 264 71297 68002 20 291 29 264 26 269 24 258 68002 64937 26 280 30 267 26 277 24 278 64937 62068 29 270 30 271 31 280 31 276 62068 59273 30 269 31 272 33 277 32 274 59273 56344 31 271 30 268 32 278 33 284 56344 53293 32 279 29 273 33 281 37 288 53293 50372 34 278 29 278 36 279 39 289 50372 47740 34 272 31 282 36 278 35 293 47740 45387 31 268 33 284 31 282 32 297 45387 43261 29 273 31 287 29 287 29 300 43261 41320 30 275 31 291 28 291 29 302 41320 39531 29 273 31 292 29 292 31 302 39531 37875 26 271 27 290 29 291 33 304 37875 36333 21 273 25 288 28 289 33 305 36333 34895 17 276 24 286 27 289 33 305 34895 33520 14 278 23 282 25 295 31 306 33520 32140 14 279 20 280 23 300 26 305 32140 30727 14 269 17 273 19 300 20 301 30727 29292 14 243 14 251 15 292 12 303 29292 27823 15 196 12 211 11 265 8 323 27823 26309 18 178 15 180 9 193 3 297 26309 24749 24 170 21 173 14 165 5 184 24749 23133 28 167 26 166 18 157 14 147 23133 21464 29 164 26 158 20 150 21 133 21464 19745 31 157 28 150 21 149 23 126 19745 17969 28 153 26 144 19 147 20 127 17969 16127 20 147 18 137 13 132 12 129 16127 14256 17 147 11 144 7 111 9 108 14256 12463 14 155 6 138 5 078 8 076 12463 10839 9 145 5 094 7 045 12 051 10839 9395 7 121 4 066 9 030 16 032 9395 8110 7 112 3 061 9 025 16 027 8110 6968 6 109 5 066 9 032 15 026 6968 5956 4 092 9 051 12 027 16 021 5956 5066 4 030 12 032 16 003 22 008 5066 4289 12 354 16 358 23 340 28 348 4289 3608 22 328 21*327 29 321 32 328 3608 3004 25*313 22*316 28*315 35 314 3004 2472 24*310 22 315 27*314 32 309 2472 2029 23 308 22 315 25 313 27*306 2029 1688 22 308 21 314 23 313 23*305 1688 1453 19 307 19 314 20 313 18 304 1453 1310 16 307 15 314 17 313 15 303 1310 1229 10 308 10 314 10 312 8 303 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography