DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 45.0 - - 44.7 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 30 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1192 - - 1050 - - 572 - - 329 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1215 - - 1216 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2392 - - 2250 - - 1772 - - 1529 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 800 - - 821 - - 1185 - - 1225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 173 - - 135 - - 50 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 22 - - 16 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 135 - - 139 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 18 - - 13 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -7 - - -6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 137 - - 150 - - 86 - - -106 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2256 - - 2100 - - 1686 - - 1635 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10783 - - -11727 - - -441 - - -11155 ODpotential blCL - - - 13175 - - 13977 - - 2213 - - 12684 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 45.0 - - 44.7 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 40.6 - - 42.1 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 45.0 - - 45.0 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 40.0 - - 41.8 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 30 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1192 - - 1050 - - 572 - - 329 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98602 19 092 15 099 9 058 9 056 98602 91138 11 083 12 095 8 118 11 065 91138 85387 9 078 11 118 9 126 6 087 85387 80607 9 098 6 124 7 114 4 101 80607 76480 9 064 8 087 8 133 3 060 76480 72833 7 049 6 051 4 108 6 035 72833 69543 9 033 3 023 2 069 6 352 69543 66527 8 342 7 341 2 360 6 332 66527 63726 7 296 10 300 11 308 15 314 63726 61010 11 302 12 290 15 292 18 288 61010 58181 21 299 18 293 15 283 19 275 58181 55248 24 286 25 283 21 291 18 284 55248 52458 26 280 30 273 30 281 28 272 52458 49973 33 279 28 269 36 279 33 272 49973 47790 41 270 40 274 54 273 52 267 47790 45852 40 259 51 264 57 263 59 260 45852 44096 35 255 52 257 51 264 59 264 44096 42469 34 253 50 281 59 272 67 267 42469 40941 38 252 64 287 59 272 67 261 40941 39496 44 256 64 286 56 268 62 254 39496 38126 46 255 52 286 55 266 61 254 38126 36794 47 258 45 275 48 264 57 254 36794 35433 45 263 43 270 41 263 49 256 35433 34016 40 264 35 273 40 267 46 258 34016 32547 36 256 30 269 41 271 49 255 32547 31010 33 255 23 255 44 274 45 250 31010 29394 34 257 27 246 43 275 36 245 29394 27700 33 254 33 245 35 269 32 239 27700 25926 31 253 36 248 30 259 34 235 25926 24077 29 248 37 245 28 246 34 238 24077 22160 27 241 38 244 26 245 30 237 22160 20166 25 235 38 243 24 235 26 234 20166 18090 24 233 37 238 24 227 25 232 18090 15977 25 234 34 230 27 239 26 233 15977 13941 25 233 30 224 29 243 26 234 13941 12092 23 225 22 227 26 231 23 236 12092 10449 19 204 15 220 22 217 20 236 10449 8993 16 181 17 208 17 212 19 234 8993 7699 18 179 21 195 15 214 16 232 7699 6555 22 177 27 186 19 205 17 220 6555 5550 29 164 34 172 27 194 24 203 5550 4670 38 153 38 158 34 176 32 185 4670 3900 42 145 40 146 36 162 40 165 3900 3217 39 141 39 139 33 149 40 153 3217 2619 34*139 35*136 29 142 35 147 2619 2123 28*138 28*136 25*140 28 144 2123 1743 25 137 25 136 21*139 23*143 1743 1482 21 137 21 135 18 139 18*143 1482 1323 17 136 17 135 14 139 15 142 1323 1232 10 136 10 134 8 138 8 141 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography