DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 58.7 - - 63.2 - - 59.4 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 62 - - 47 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 32 - - 793 - - 1648 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit 1216 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top 1232 - - 1993 - - 2848 - - 1233 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 289 - - 689 - - 1104 - - 2128 - - 631 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 157 - - 191 - - 15 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 147 - - 130 - - 121 - - 154 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -188 - - -1077 - - -1311 - - -1289 - - -464 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1420 - - 3070 - - 4159 - - 2522 - - 1697 sfcLCL ODpotential -8665 - - -6680 - - -6575 - - -4926 - - -5682 ODpotential blCL 9897 - - 8673 - - 9423 - - 6159 - - 6915 blCL maxRH 93 - - 92 - - 91 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 58.7 - - 63.2 - - 59.4 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.2 - - 49.8 - - 49.5 - - 52.8 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 58.3 - - 63.0 - - 60.6 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.9 - - 48.6 - - 48.2 - - 51.5 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 62 - - 47 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 32 - - 793 - - 1648 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 69 - - 65 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97823 18 239 23 241 28 234 32 240 31 248 97823 90490 10 234 14 226 23 224 25 240 19 253 90490 84883 8 279 9 225 12 231 12 251 4 275 84883 80254 8 310 9 223 4 247 6 254 11 329 80254 76265 16 318 4 267 4 248 9 269 17 302 76265 72729 22 319 8 323 9 297 11 280 18 285 72729 69513 18 313 13 326 13 315 10 287 17 277 69513 66540 14 294 16 316 13 311 12 286 19 279 66540 63778 12 288 14 300 14 281 17 265 22 282 63778 61104 12 297 13 283 13 258 17 256 21 282 61104 58309 15 276 15 275 13 269 15 267 18 277 58309 55397 18 263 18 267 20 267 16 277 14 271 55397 52613 21 259 20 261 24 259 20 271 16 269 52613 50114 27 248 24 254 27 249 25 265 17 268 50114 47881 25 235 24 240 27 237 27 252 17 260 47881 45860 22 241 25 237 27 235 25 233 17 247 45860 44010 29 238 30 236 28 235 20 226 15 233 44010 42301 35 230 38 231 33 234 19 237 13 219 42301 40718 36 224 46 229 44 228 31 231 16 220 40718 39241 36 222 54 228 57 215 40 214 24 217 39241 37855 43 218 59 215 60 204 46 205 31 203 37855 36521 49 211 61 206 54 197 42 199 34 196 36521 35170 50 206 62 200 54 194 36 190 26 187 35170 33777 44 203 63 197 64 192 37 185 17 160 33777 32335 40 203 56 201 64 194 39 187 16 152 32335 30825 40 204 47 206 52 199 37 196 12 137 30825 29234 38 206 39 214 35 202 32 209 11 126 29234 27565 35 204 36 222 28 198 25 207 8 128 27565 25817 33 201 35 225 29 193 23 193 9 167 25817 23995 30 202 26 210 26 192 19 188 12 170 23995 22098 25 203 25 198 19 206 15 193 13 166 22098 20122 23 204 24 215 14 217 12 198 9 228 20122 18065 21 204 15 218 12 205 12 202 11 233 18065 15970 18 212 9 201 11 180 9 202 13 226 15970 13953 9 207 6 209 12 130 13 172 11 230 13953 12122 8 195 5 203 12 127 18 176 10 215 12122 10499 8 211 6 185 12 146 15 178 11 181 10499 9061 8 205 6 181 11 171 11 164 14 167 9061 7784 7 206 5 164 9 172 8 151 12 149 7784 6648 5 200 5 142 6 160 7 143 10 129 6648 5641 3 172 6 128 5 132 5 126 11 121 5641 4755 3 127 6 122 5 108 5 107 13 125 4755 3973 3 101 7 121 6 102 6 109 13 126 3973 3275 3 120 7 125 5*114 6 125 13 123 3275 2660 5 143 8 128 5*120 6 141 13 121 2660 2148 8 147 7*129 5 121 7 149 9 129 2148 1757 9 146 5*130 5 121 6 151 6 161 1757 1488 8 148 4 129 4 122 6 152 5 203 1488 1326 5 152 4 131 4 121 4 154 3 217 1326 1233 1*147 3 131 3 122 2*154 2*241 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography