DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 31.6 - - 30.2 - - 30.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 111 - - -4 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1583 - - 2617 - - 795 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1556 - - 2389 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2783 - - 3817 - - 1995 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 764 - - 1118 - - 1990 - - 2424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 229 - - 275 - - 46 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 101 - - 145 - - 136 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -282 - - 588 - - 155 - - -1348 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3065 - - 3229 - - 1840 - - 2579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11755 - - -11511 - - -389 - - -12444 ODpotential blCL - - - 14538 - - 15328 - - 2384 - - 13675 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 95 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 31.6 - - 30.2 - - 30.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.5 - - 22.3 - - 27.0 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.5 - - 31.1 - - 30.6 - - 31.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.4 - - 21.2 - - 26.5 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 111 - - -4 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1583 - - 2617 - - 795 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 80 - - 101 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96408 9 254 3 252 8 257 5 268 96408 89255 3 346 5 162 9 260 6 321 89255 83701 4 182 6 336 7 230 9 326 83701 79054 6 165 6 286 11 264 10 307 79054 75031 8 221 6 260 12 271 9 284 75031 71465 8 246 12 270 13 255 16 279 71465 68226 19 265 21 264 17 253 22 269 68226 65235 27 260 29 254 24 259 25 268 65235 62452 33 257 36 249 32 260 28 267 62452 59753 35 265 37 253 35 262 35 271 59753 56942 46 264 45 263 45 264 43 264 56942 54029 51 256 57 260 51 262 52 264 54029 51250 52 259 58 257 58 261 60 258 51250 48759 59 267 64 261 65 262 64 258 48759 46536 78 269 76 258 75 258 71 255 46536 44529 87 264 78 254 72 252 73 253 44529 42704 91 259 76 256 71 256 77 255 42704 41046 94 251 80 260 85 256 87 255 41046 39528 92 249 90 260 89 251 90 252 39528 38118 85 263 96 259 85 250 85 251 38118 36794 97 276 96 257 81 253 77 253 36794 35512 101 279 91 252 80 256 70 253 35512 34205 96 276 88 247 77 255 65 253 34205 32846 95 271 88 247 72 255 62 255 32846 31439 93 269 85 252 67 258 62 254 31439 29966 90 266 81 263 64 256 60 248 29966 28415 88 263 75 265 63 251 57 245 28415 26787 86 261 66 262 61 247 57 243 26787 25079 83 261 62 262 58 247 58 239 25079 23298 81 262 67 259 56 247 55 237 23298 21447 80 263 71 256 55 244 49 237 21447 19520 79 262 69 252 53 243 45 237 19520 17510 76 257 65 252 55 243 46 239 17510 15462 68 255 62 253 58 244 49 239 15462 13492 59 254 63 251 59 246 50 236 13492 11705 55 253 63 247 57 249 47 233 11705 10115 46 250 56 242 55 249 42 232 10115 8700 29 248 42 231 55 242 44 230 8700 7444 14 257 28 211 53 227 53 226 7444 6337 9 277 16 179 42 206 56 216 6337 5370 5 295 12 139 33 178 52 200 5370 4530 2 344 12*136 32 158 46 181 4530 3797 3 065 12*141 30 148 43 161 3797 3146 5*100 12 143 27 143 40 151 3146 2573 6*103 12 145 24 141 36 146 2573 2093 6 102 11 146 21*139 32 144 2093 1726 6 101 11 147 18*137 27 143 1726 1473 6 101 10 147 15 136 21 141 1473 1319 5 100 9 147 11 135 17 140 1319 1231 4 100 6 148 7 133 9*137 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography