DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.1 - - 69.8 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6359 - - 6577 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5368 - - 4387 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7559 - - 7777 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2520 - - 2280 - - 7191 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 419 - - 287 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 17 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 275 - - 278 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1390 - - 1284 - - -3006 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6169 - - 6493 - - 4240 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 13 - - -699 - - -4415 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7546 - - 8476 - - 5649 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 75 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 80 - - 60 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.1 - - 69.8 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.5 - - 45.8 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.7 - - 70.0 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.3 - - 44.6 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6359 - - 6577 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99751 34 083 28 075 28 066 99751 92212 32 083 23 065 26 069 92212 86406 28 085 19 079 20 066 86406 81584 24 084 22 094 15 064 81584 77428 17 075 19 085 15 086 77428 73749 11 070 18 073 14 086 73749 70413 5 112 8 068 11 094 70413 67332 9 142 7 134 3 113 67332 64467 9 136 4 140 4 214 64467 61689 5 213 8 246 6 230 61689 58786 15 241 15 241 16 272 58786 55774 20 226 17 231 23 251 55774 52897 23 232 19 243 21 237 52897 50306 30 241 28 252 27 247 50306 47991 37 239 37 245 32 245 47991 45901 41 232 41 239 33 246 45901 43992 43 228 40 237 36 249 43992 42233 45 227 39 236 37 246 42233 40603 45 227 38 234 36 242 40603 39085 44 228 35 235 34 237 39085 37671 40 232 34 238 28 237 37671 36321 34 246 32 241 23 247 36321 34966 32 260 27 236 24 254 34966 33574 29 272 19 235 22 250 33574 32139 24 283 17 240 22 240 32139 30642 23 294 17 245 22 241 30642 29068 23 295 18 242 24 260 29068 27414 24 295 21 242 25 261 27414 25681 20 286 23 248 27 256 25681 23871 17 262 24 246 29 259 23871 21988 22 254 26 242 28 264 21988 20028 25 255 25 248 27 267 20028 17985 27 264 24 263 25 267 17985 15901 30 274 26 276 23 268 15901 13895 31 273 25 275 21 275 13895 12076 27 272 22 278 19 280 12076 10469 22 274 20 281 19 281 10469 9049 22 279 20*281 19 277 9049 7788 22*280 20*280 19 275 7788 6666 22*279 20 279 17 276 6666 5668 20 276 19 278 16 278 5668 4787 19 274 18 278 15 279 4787 4007 18 274 18 277 15 280 4007 3306 17 274 17 276 14 281 3306 2686 17 273 16 276 13 281 2686 2168 16 273 15 276 12 281 2168 1770 15 273 14 276 10 281 1770 1495 14 273 13 276 8 278 1495 1329 12 273 11 275 6*274 1329 1234 9 273 8 275 3*262 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography