DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 32.8 - - 32.2 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 29 - - -7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 31 - - 1057 - - 32 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1231 - - 2257 - - 1232 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1414 - - 561 - - 1238 - - 785 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 41 - - 131 - - 11 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 024 - - 100 - - 086 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -491 - - 271 - - -536 - - -427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1722 - - 1986 - - 1768 - - 1658 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -824 - - -7828 - - -7056 - - -10596 ODpotential blCL - - - 2055 - - 10085 - - 8288 - - 11827 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 92 - - 89 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 32.8 - - 32.2 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.6 - - 28.7 - - 29.1 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 32.7 - - 33.2 - - 32.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.0 - - 27.8 - - 28.6 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 29 - - -7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 31 - - 1057 - - 32 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 70 - - 55 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95304 68 249 74 247 82 255 84 245 95304 88358 51 249 51 245 63 252 59 244 88358 83028 35 248 45 243 53 253 49 248 83028 78587 31 249 36 241 43 249 43 251 78587 74751 24 235 26 255 31 240 35 256 74751 71325 21 246 24 260 27 240 32 251 71325 68179 29 250 26 253 34 240 37 252 68179 65264 34 237 37 248 40 238 40 245 65264 62543 39 239 43 241 41 240 42 243 62543 59884 39 236 40 239 44 244 48 249 59884 57098 35 244 46 248 50 250 54 243 57098 54197 55 258 56 249 60 245 53 241 54197 51398 70 248 61 245 62 241 73 252 51398 48871 67 244 72 251 78 244 80 246 48871 46624 76 253 91 248 79 240 80 247 46624 44609 94 253 94 245 88 253 107 250 44609 42800 102 250 94 250 132 254 143 246 42800 41157 92 257 111 255 153 251 163 242 41157 39631 132 261 143 258 154 250 164 242 39631 38193 155 257 152 256 149 249 159 242 38193 36833 155 253 146 253 150 247 152 239 36833 35519 152 252 136 250 152 246 150 238 35519 34183 145 249 128 245 150 245 149 237 34183 32797 141 245 129 241 139 245 147 239 32797 31365 140 244 133 239 118 243 141 240 31365 29874 141 244 134 237 112 239 129 239 29874 28314 144 242 134 235 117 237 116 233 28314 26678 143 244 134 235 118 235 113 229 26678 24965 122 258 130 242 117 233 116 234 24965 23182 88 261 114 259 119 237 109 238 23182 21334 73 250 82 262 120 244 97 237 21334 19414 77 241 60 246 97 252 89 241 19414 17422 77 241 62 234 57 248 71 246 17422 15398 65 243 58 236 48 234 49 234 15398 13448 53 245 47 233 48 233 47 218 13448 11673 45 247 41 227 37 237 44 218 11673 10099 38 254 36 226 26 221 29 215 10099 8707 31 265 29 230 27 199 20 189 8707 7477 28 275 23 233 30 194 22 165 7477 6389 24 289 17 237 28 188 27 164 6389 5425 20 310 10 241 25 174 33 160 5425 4577 17 335 3 256 22 156 38 153 4577 3832 15 356 4 043 21 139 39 150 3832 3168 13 351 6 037 19 127 36 142 3168 2585 12 338 6*031 15 116 33 132 2585 2100 11 336 5*027 12 109 27 126 2100 1729 8 336 5 024 10 106 19 119 1729 1474 6 335 4 023 8 104 13 112 1474 1320 5*334 4 022 6*101 8 104 1320 1231 2*330 3 021 3*100 4*086 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography