DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 18.2 - - 16.8 - - 16.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 75 - - 2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1742 - - 400 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2942 - - 1600 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1074 - - 1565 - - 579 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 209 - - 40 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 284 - - 241 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -114 - - -345 - - -402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3056 - - 1945 - - 1632 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4458 - - -2986 - - -4469 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7400 - - 4586 - - 5699 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 92 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 18.2 - - 16.8 - - 16.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 9.6 - - 13.2 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 18.0 - - 18.5 - - 17.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 8.5 - - 13.2 - - 14.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 75 - - 2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1742 - - 400 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 35 - - 68 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95195 62 238 67 243 69 238 95195 88355 46 236 47 242 48 237 88355 83002 45 234 38 237 42 243 83002 78500 42 235 41 248 41 253 78500 74584 37 236 44 247 37 253 74584 71071 35 228 35 243 39 260 71071 67856 26 218 39 258 43 265 67856 64888 30 253 45 258 44 271 64888 62127 45 255 44 266 50 268 62127 59430 43 256 48 266 49 270 59430 56588 45 269 49 267 54 278 56588 53620 43 273 52 271 59 279 53620 50782 50 281 60 285 64 282 50782 48229 60 283 75 288 69 287 48229 45945 68 283 82 282 75 286 45945 43882 75 281 78 276 79 281 43882 41998 74 278 71 278 73 279 41998 40260 68 281 69 286 70 288 40260 38645 69 288 73 295 77 297 38645 37141 74 294 83 300 89 300 37141 35735 81 297 93 302 101 299 35735 34391 87 297 101 302 109 297 34391 33044 92 297 106 301 117 299 33044 31670 97 298 111 301 125 299 31670 30266 102 300 118 301 127 299 30266 28809 106 300 122 300 125 299 28809 27285 106 300 122 300 124 299 27285 25693 101 300 123 301 120 298 25693 24034 93 301 124 301 112 299 24034 22312 84 302 109 301 105 302 22312 20530 79 300 85 298 95 304 20530 18688 76 296 78 292 80 301 18688 16782 70 296 75 287 71 295 16782 14848 66 295 68 288 68 290 14848 12989 65 293 62 291 64 287 12989 11297 61 291 57 292 57 291 11297 9790 52 292 50 292 48 298 9790 8452 44 294 43 286 42 298 8452 7267 41 294 38 283 38 291 7267 6217 40 293 37 281 36 286 6217 5289 37 294 35 278 36 283 5289 4472 33 294 29 274 35 279 4472 3752 28 291 22 271 28 270 3752 3110 20*287 16 268 21 256 3110 2543 14*284 11 263 17 239 2543 2072 13 284 7 255 13 225 2072 1712 12 284 5*251 8 200 1712 1465 11 284 4*250 6 161 1465 1316 9 285 3 241 5 149 1316 1230 6 285 2 226 3*143 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography