DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.9 - - 31.2 - - 24.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - 1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1133 - - 1076 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2333 - - 2276 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 769 - - 904 - - 968 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 143 - - 66 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 160 - - 167 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -595 - - -306 - - -481 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2928 - - 2582 - - 1712 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5339 - - -4207 - - -7416 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7672 - - 6483 - - 8647 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.9 - - 31.2 - - 24.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 21.6 - - 24.5 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 29.9 - - 31.5 - - 27.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 20.6 - - 23.6 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - 1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1133 - - 1076 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 95 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96784 25 070 18 058 19 052 96784 89701 14 083 12 067 14 073 89701 84129 10 087 7 109 8 038 84129 79435 10 073 7 129 3 021 79435 75342 3 039 5 135 4 340 75342 71699 4 217 4 221 8 286 71699 68399 6 255 4 203 4 227 68399 65350 14 263 14 277 5 280 65350 62508 14 243 22 266 16 257 62508 59753 11 239 20 255 16 261 59753 56868 14 265 21 269 23 275 56868 53869 27 274 28 271 31 265 53869 51003 34 274 35 270 29 274 51003 48412 40 271 37 272 38 284 48412 46091 41 265 39 273 45 279 46091 43996 36 273 43 273 47 274 43996 42092 42 279 48 272 44 272 42092 40341 48 275 49 268 42 274 40341 38721 49 270 42 266 42 275 38721 37216 47 266 35 275 41 277 37216 35815 42 267 39 285 43 285 35815 34483 39 273 46 285 49 288 34483 33154 38 279 49 285 51 286 33154 31797 42 288 48 287 49 284 31797 30414 49 290 43 288 46 284 30414 28993 49 289 36 290 43 289 28993 27517 42 295 39 296 51 298 27517 25974 40 304 48 289 54 292 25974 24354 42 304 47 287 52 295 24354 22660 39 303 40 287 45 302 22660 20893 35 303 31 292 37 296 20893 19047 33 301 32 291 37 290 19047 17115 31 306 36 293 32 294 17115 15140 25 306 31 298 28 290 15140 13235 19 295 24 294 28 277 13235 11503 17 289 19 284 23 262 11503 9964 16 284 14 272 19 262 9964 8599 14 273 13 262 16 265 8599 7388 12 257 13 258 14 262 7388 6313 10 245 11 251 13 256 6313 5364 11 236 10 243 14 254 5364 4530 12 227 12 235 16 245 4530 3797 14 214 15 219 19 229 3797 3143 16 192 16 192 20 204 3143 2567 16*174 16*173 20 178 2567 2089 14*162 15*169 21 164 2089 1723 13 161 14 167 18 157 1723 1471 11 160 12 166 13 153 1471 1318 9 158 9 165 9*150 1318 1231 6 157 6 164 4*142 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography