DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1004z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 52.3 - - 58.2 - - 55.8 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 180 - - 221 - - 65 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 96 - - 2440 - - 3513 - - 2309 - - 1 BL Depth Hcrit 1184 - - 2496 - - 3376 - - 1185 - - 1185 Hcrit BL Top 1296 - - 3640 - - 4713 - - 3509 - - 1201 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 559 - - 799 - - 897 - - 1366 - - 1393 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 310 - - 377 - - 220 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 134 - - 147 - - 141 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -817 - - 29 - - -106 - - -813 - - -1076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2113 - - 3611 - - 4820 - - 4322 - - 2277 sfcLCL ODpotential -8987 - - -3665 - - -8103 - - -9129 - - -11229 ODpotential blCL 10283 - - 7305 - - 12816 - - 12638 - - 12430 blCL maxRH 94 - - 95 - - 85 - - 75 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 52.3 - - 58.2 - - 55.8 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.3 - - 41.2 - - 41.7 - - 41.5 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 51.4 - - 57.0 - - 55.5 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.1 - - 40.7 - - 40.8 - - 40.9 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 180 - - 221 - - 65 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 96 - - 2440 - - 3513 - - 2309 - - 1 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 82 - - 39 - - 1 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98268 8 245 15 212 16 246 20 261 14 255 98268 90889 10 240 15 223 17 224 17 240 15 241 90889 85149 14 247 12 234 18 224 20 242 17 246 85149 80376 20 246 13 241 18 227 19 240 17 264 80376 76277 20 245 17 250 18 246 18 239 19 260 76277 72653 22 248 20 246 23 251 22 257 19 261 72653 69365 23 242 20 253 25 248 28 257 24 268 69365 66345 29 252 25 264 26 255 32 253 28 266 66345 63555 35 256 31 263 30 261 33 258 32 272 63555 60859 38 266 35 263 34 261 37 263 37 276 60859 58050 45 269 42 269 41 265 42 266 43 274 58050 55149 54 265 50 270 50 270 46 272 50 273 55149 52405 59 264 57 269 61 270 57 278 60 270 52405 49961 67 266 66 267 68 268 68 273 64 268 49961 47786 77 265 74 268 72 268 73 268 67 273 47786 45827 85 264 82 269 78 270 78 266 77 276 45827 44044 90 265 89 268 88 270 83 266 84 273 44044 42403 93 266 90 269 90 266 84 265 86 270 42403 40871 92 268 87 270 85 265 81 266 86 268 40871 39429 87 270 83 271 79 266 77 267 81 269 39429 38063 82 270 79 272 75 269 72 267 73 272 38063 36739 77 272 75 274 73 270 67 267 69 276 36739 35387 72 274 73 273 72 269 64 268 65 277 35387 33980 68 276 70 272 70 269 62 271 57 274 33980 32521 66 277 68 271 67 269 61 274 51 273 32521 30994 64 277 65 270 64 270 59 277 46 276 30994 29387 61 278 62 271 61 272 57 278 43 279 29387 27700 58 281 58 273 57 274 55 278 41 281 27700 25931 53 283 55 276 52 276 49 278 38 286 25931 24084 48 284 52 277 48 276 42 276 38 289 24084 22162 45 284 48 279 43 277 37 274 34 279 22162 20167 43 284 45 282 38 285 34 272 28 272 20167 18094 44 287 44 285 37 291 32 277 23 278 18094 15978 45 287 44 292 37 290 32 285 24 287 15978 13936 46 286 44 299 35 295 31 286 25 285 13936 12077 43 288 40 301 32 307 25 290 22 279 12077 10429 34 291 29 299 24 307 17 301 16 265 10429 8968 24 291 18 293 15 285 12 285 13 248 8968 7675 18 283 12 288 11 267 11 264 12 242 7675 6534 11 280 9 295 7 255 10 257 9 242 6534 5533 5 287 5 301 4*193 7 222 6 224 5533 4659 0 161 2 157 7*158 7 188 6 199 4659 3891 3 112 6*134 10 148 9*168 9 172 3891 3206 6 116 8*133 10 147 12*144 17 157 3206 2604 9 112 8 134 10 146 12 141 20 151 2604 2102 11 100 8 134 10 146 12 141 20 146 2102 1717 10 084 7 134 9 145 11 140 18 142 1717 1453 7*072 6 134 8 144 10 139 14 138 1453 1293 4*069 6 134 7 144 9 139 9 134 1293 1201 1 062 4 133 6 144 6 138 4*126 1201 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography