DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.4 - - 31.6 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - 2 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3018 - - 2143 - - 2366 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4218 - - 3343 - - 3566 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2335 - - 2593 - - 1949 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 194 - - 90 - - 100 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 20 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 300 - - 288 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 18 - - 17 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1619 - - 1044 - - 1289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2599 - - 2299 - - 2277 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 727 - - 412 - - 571 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3491 - - 2931 - - 2995 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.4 - - 31.6 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.5 - - 26.1 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.5 - - 31.8 - - 31.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 25.4 - - 25.4 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - 2 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3018 - - 2143 - - 2366 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96433 14 019 14 331 12 005 96433 89256 11 016 6 279 14 319 89256 83690 8 012 7 305 8 298 83690 79018 17 249 19 271 19 273 79018 74971 14 234 9 239 16 286 74971 71396 17 243 12 186 10 248 71396 68129 26 266 21 292 21 307 68129 65101 47 254 46 266 37 277 65101 62290 43 244 46 246 37 266 62290 59551 30 235 31 237 43 268 59551 56684 28 269 29 258 51 274 56684 53720 49 282 51 279 62 276 53720 50912 67 279 68 279 67 275 50912 48401 73 276 74 278 71 278 48401 46164 74 277 76 280 75 280 46164 44147 74 282 79 283 81 282 44147 42311 80 284 85 284 87 284 42311 40636 83 283 91 285 92 285 40636 39099 80 281 96 286 96 284 39099 37671 74 282 98 291 98 285 37671 36332 71 288 105 297 102 287 36332 35041 74 293 114 301 106 288 35041 33729 77 297 121 304 107 288 33729 32364 79 299 127 305 105 289 32364 30947 81 300 128 306 105 292 30947 29469 82 301 125 307 106 295 29469 27917 82 303 111 308 106 297 27917 26292 80 304 91 304 101 297 26292 24595 76 305 78 298 94 296 24595 22827 71 304 72 296 88 299 22827 20991 65 301 69 296 84 303 20991 19081 61 299 66 296 75 301 19081 17095 58 300 64 297 65 294 17095 15084 55 301 59 299 58 288 15084 13158 49 302 51 302 51 287 13158 11415 43 302 42 302 45 287 11415 9874 38 304 36 301 39 286 9874 8515 37 305 33 300 34 286 8515 7314 33 304 31 298 31 288 7314 6255 29 302 28 293 27 287 6255 5325 29 302 27 291 24 285 5325 4509 28*301 26 290 23 284 4509 3789 27*301 26*290 22*283 3789 3143 26 300 25*289 21*282 3143 2571 24 300 23 289 20 281 2571 2093 22 299 21 288 19 281 2093 1726 20 299 19 288 16 280 1726 1473 17 299 16 287 13 279 1473 1319 14 298 13 287 11 279 1319 1231 9 298 8 287 7 279 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography