DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 6.9 - - 19.6 - - 19.3 - - 8.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 108 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 151 - - 1429 - - 977 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1351 - - 2629 - - 2177 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 647 - - 603 - - 953 - - 639 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 72 - - 221 - - 51 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 13 - - 12 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 311 - - 307 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1228 - - -585 - - -1097 - - -1705 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2579 - - 3214 - - 3274 - - 2936 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12268 - - -8918 - - -9115 - - -11883 ODpotential blCL - - - 13619 - - 11547 - - 11292 - - 13113 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 68 - - 62 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 6.9 - - 19.6 - - 19.3 - - 8.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.2 - - 9.9 - - 9.5 - - 0.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 6.9 - - 19.2 - - 19.9 - - 14.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.5 - - 8.9 - - 8.5 - - 6.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 108 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 151 - - 1429 - - 977 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 61 212 65 206 61 213 67 217 96175 88825 59 223 67 211 63 217 68 217 88825 83149 57 218 64 219 62 228 59 226 83149 78459 42 215 55 221 49 227 44 227 78459 74412 37 218 44 216 44 235 33 232 74412 70811 33 224 36 228 39 233 32 250 70811 67530 31 231 35 237 39 236 35 256 67530 64504 28 234 32 234 33 245 37 263 64504 61691 24 238 28 236 31 248 36 266 61691 58952 21 250 30 253 29 258 32 261 58952 56081 23 260 33 251 28 267 28 267 56081 53098 26 255 30 255 31 272 31 280 53098 50257 28 251 29 257 35 270 38 282 50257 47705 26 252 26 254 32 270 38 279 47705 45423 25 264 26 258 28 271 35 282 45423 43361 29 260 22 263 28 277 34 285 43361 41484 29 249 23 281 27 285 33 286 41484 39761 23 244 26 283 27 293 32 284 39761 38168 18 247 22 282 28 299 27 284 38168 36690 12 253 20 293 29 304 24 303 36690 35324 10 288 19 301 30 313 33 312 35324 34032 14 306 18 320 31 322 39 310 34032 32738 17 324 21 345 33 329 38 316 32738 31408 18 338 27 353 36 338 37 324 31408 30042 17 341 31 353 40 343 37 331 30042 28622 18 338 32 352 41 346 35 337 28622 27135 18 334 31 352 40 346 33 341 27135 25579 15 344 30 352 38 346 31 343 25579 23953 20 359 28 352 35 348 29 341 23953 22259 26 358 27 352 28 348 25 340 22259 20500 28 352 27 353 21 342 19 330 20500 18676 26 347 27 351 18 338 14 320 18676 16778 23 345 25 348 16 340 12 318 16778 14842 19 342 20 345 15 337 13 321 14842 12975 16 334 16 335 15 332 15 321 12975 11275 15 333 13 318 16 322 16 319 11275 9765 17 343 12 306 16 314 17 318 9765 8427 21 347 12 316 17 316 17 323 8427 7239 25 345 16 335 19 323 18 333 7239 6188 28 342 21 338 23 326 20 339 6188 5260 28 340 24 337 25 326 22 340 5260 4446 28 339 26 333 26 323 22 337 4446 3729 27 337 26 328 26 317 22 328 3729 3092 25 331 23*322 24 312 23 317 3092 2531 23 323 17*315 21*309 22 310 2531 2065 20 319 14 311 16*307 18 312 2065 1708 13 316 13 310 14 306 13 318 1708 1463 8*315 12 310 12 307 9 317 1463 1315 6*314 10 309 9 306 5*313 1315 1230 3 310 7 309 6 307 1*307 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography