DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.4 - - 65.4 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -22 - - -19 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 34 - - 34 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1234 - - 1234 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3689 - - 2580 - - 1697 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 23 - - 17 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 205 - - 198 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1677 - - -1006 - - -338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2911 - - 2240 - - 1572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2717 - - -2821 - - -2474 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3951 - - 4055 - - 3708 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.4 - - 65.4 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.7 - - 59.6 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.5 - - 66.5 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.2 - - 59.2 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -22 - - -19 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 34 - - 34 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97880 24 233 16 245 25 220 97880 90618 20 226 18 244 15 227 90618 84990 10 208 14 263 11 268 84990 80329 2 230 8 259 9 297 80329 76317 4 307 4 274 6 314 76317 72761 7 283 8 289 11 312 72761 69548 7 254 12 263 10 288 69548 66605 10 271 12 265 13 291 66605 63873 16 276 19 268 19 286 63873 61227 16 270 19 269 21 283 61227 58476 19 292 24 269 23 273 58476 55612 26 286 23 260 30 287 55612 52905 35 293 47 284 55 281 52905 50518 54 287 52 275 50 266 50518 48380 49 275 34 272 46 269 48380 46416 29 298 43 298 48 274 46416 44602 46 318 64 294 57 288 44602 42919 62 305 71 295 72 295 42919 41353 58 300 78 297 79 294 41353 39882 39 294 66 290 67 287 39882 38490 40 278 57 280 49 272 38490 37137 44 276 56 274 45 259 37137 35756 45 279 52 268 48 254 35756 34316 46 277 48 265 47 251 34316 32823 47 275 44 263 45 250 32823 31261 48 274 41 263 46 253 31261 29621 48 274 39 265 50 259 29621 27905 47 274 39 267 53 263 27905 26112 40 269 41 266 51 263 26112 24245 37 261 41 263 49 266 24245 22309 33 246 40 260 46 266 22309 20298 28 242 40 258 41 263 20298 18211 31 259 41 258 39 262 18211 16092 36 263 43 257 39 263 16092 14057 35 261 42 256 42 264 14057 12210 35 257 40 258 47 265 12210 10573 31 253 36 259 50 267 10573 9121 27 250 32 256 47 269 9121 7834 26 249 30 251 43 269 7834 6693 25 246 29 247 40 266 6693 5683 24 238 29 246 39 260 5683 4793 22 228 28 245 37 253 4793 4007 20 219 27 241 35 243 4007 3304 19 215 25 232 34 231 3304 2684 18 212 22 222 32 219 2684 2166 17 211 18 216 27 214 2166 1768 15 210 15 212 21 208 1768 1495 13 208 12 206 15 201 1495 1329 10*207 9*202 12*197 1329 1234 6*205 5*198 6*192 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography