DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.4 - - 34.1 - - 35.7 - - 32.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 14 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 669 - - 273 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1760 - - 1869 - - 1473 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 750 - - 992 - - 1527 - - 1184 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 85 - - 89 - - 20 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 170 - - 206 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 198 - - 307 - - -17 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1490 - - 1231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3296 - - -369 - - -870 - - -1614 ODpotential blCL - - - 5056 - - 2238 - - 2343 - - 2845 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.4 - - 34.1 - - 35.7 - - 32.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 31.7 - - 33.7 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 34.2 - - 36.5 - - 34.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.7 - - 31.3 - - 33.4 - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 14 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 560 - - 669 - - 273 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96987 24 065 22 074 21 075 19 054 96987 89844 17 062 18 074 16 082 13 056 89844 84252 11 077 12 072 9 078 8 066 84252 79548 8 089 8 069 2 096 9 017 79548 75458 8 096 4 058 1 218 7 336 75458 71816 7 100 3 103 4 287 8 332 71816 68502 8 346 1 135 7 258 14 298 68502 65449 19 290 6 347 5 266 11 280 65449 62605 21 264 21 289 16 301 19 294 62605 59838 20 265 24 268 25 281 29 277 59838 56944 18 268 23 270 23 276 28 273 56944 53936 23 294 28 284 28 290 26 286 53936 51063 38 283 35 282 39 291 34 292 51063 48477 39 268 39 276 47 283 42 287 48477 46175 34 274 42 277 48 279 48 286 46175 44103 37 285 44 278 51 279 52 284 44103 42218 41 287 46 280 53 281 55 286 42218 40490 46 291 49 283 55 285 59 290 40490 38893 52 290 52 286 62 288 72 292 38893 37408 55 290 59 290 68 285 79 289 37408 36024 61 295 67 290 67 286 84 290 36024 34703 71 298 73 290 75 292 96 292 34703 33382 75 295 75 291 85 294 99 293 33382 32028 67 293 70 291 80 295 97 294 32028 30636 63 299 66 292 71 297 99 301 30636 29193 62 301 60 290 65 301 101 303 29193 27687 59 301 57 289 63 301 98 301 27687 26119 55 299 58 291 57 297 87 301 26119 24482 50 296 57 294 53 293 77 298 24482 22773 47 296 54 295 52 291 68 292 22773 20995 44 296 52 296 51 291 62 287 20995 19138 40 294 50 298 48 291 60 284 19138 17196 38 293 45 293 44 289 56 282 17196 15209 32 289 40 286 41 284 51 280 15209 13291 27 281 34 283 39 279 49 278 13291 11545 21 267 25 283 36 277 46 278 11545 9997 18 255 17 275 32 273 43 281 9997 8629 13 239 14 266 26 268 39 284 8629 7418 9 215 17 260 20 267 33 283 7418 6345 8 216 17 251 18 275 25 279 6345 5398 10 226 14 242 19 280 19 276 5398 4566 13 221 13 241 20 280 17 278 4566 3831 17 214 15 236 18 278 18 278 3831 3172 19 210 16 224 15 275 19 276 3172 2590 17 203 14 210 12 264 19 272 2590 2104 13*189 11*191 9 246 17 261 2104 1732 9*165 9*174 6 229 13 249 1732 1476 8 160 8 170 5*220 8 238 1476 1320 7 157 6 169 3*210 5 227 1320 1231 5 155 4 166 2 202 2*211 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography