DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 57.6 - - 55.8 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 879 - - 475 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2079 - - 1675 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1322 - - 1367 - - 1602 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 88 - - 26 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 027 - - 027 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 264 - - 442 - - -127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1815 - - 1233 - - 1360 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -399 - - -28 - - -1793 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2478 - - 1703 - - 3026 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 57.6 - - 55.8 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.7 - - 54.5 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.7 - - 56.2 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.3 - - 54.4 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 879 - - 475 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97778 18 268 15 273 20 266 97778 90575 15 246 16 289 13 295 90575 85003 6 230 9 277 9 307 85003 80375 1 058 2 235 7 307 80375 76378 3 015 0 216 5 350 76378 72835 2 299 1 030 4 010 72835 69620 3 156 2 192 4 340 69620 66651 5 124 5 167 5 315 66651 63882 5 127 6 171 8 265 63882 61190 3 149 5 203 8 237 61190 58378 8 220 10 232 8 233 58378 55465 15 215 15 230 12 247 55465 52691 17 207 20 225 18 236 52691 50195 13 212 22 204 20 215 50195 47954 14 216 14 198 20 211 47954 45916 15 188 14 211 18 208 45916 44045 11 203 10 198 13 212 44045 42315 15 199 7 227 10 214 42315 40706 15 172 6 215 7 190 40706 39203 16 141 5 212 3 198 39203 37789 19 119 11 151 8 113 37789 36427 22 124 13 135 10 082 36427 35049 29 126 15 133 10 085 35049 33631 27 123 18 130 12 087 33631 32174 21 127 20 112 14 090 32174 30657 20 135 23 107 14 081 30657 29068 17 132 15 108 13 073 29068 27401 16 129 9 129 14 065 27401 25656 16 140 10 130 14 079 25656 23836 14 131 9 085 11 097 23836 21948 13 123 10 082 10 109 21948 19989 14 115 11 121 12 124 19989 17951 14 104 14 153 12 130 17951 15873 15 112 12 169 8 144 15873 13873 16 129 10 135 4 131 13873 12055 17 139 11 114 4 105 12055 10440 17 140 10 111 7 114 10440 9008 18 134 9 116 9 126 9008 7735 18 130 10 119 7 134 7735 6603 16 132 13 116 4 118 6603 5602 16 125 14 107 4 081 5602 4723 17 107 13 090 6 072 4723 3948 15 089 12 071 8 074 3948 3258 12 070 13 057 9 072 3258 2650 9 053 14 047 11 063 2650 2144 7*044 13 041 11 052 2144 1756 5*031 10*036 9 045 1756 1488 4 027 8*030 6 032 1488 1326 3 024 6 026 4*007 1326 1233 2 022 3 022 2*337 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography