DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.0 - - 28.0 - - 24.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1184 - - 931 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2384 - - 2131 - - 1392 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 856 - - 1194 - - 1229 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 183 - - 73 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 163 - - 152 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -331 - - -139 - - -10 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2715 - - 2270 - - 1402 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8838 - - -8740 - - -631 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11222 - - 10871 - - 2023 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 95 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.0 - - 28.0 - - 24.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.6 - - 22.5 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 27.7 - - 28.3 - - 25.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 19.5 - - 21.8 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1184 - - 931 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 57 - - 81 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95724 41 307 48 318 46 316 95724 88880 40 308 39 305 39 308 88880 83496 34 316 35 308 33 308 83496 78947 27 322 36 308 35 310 78947 74987 25 315 39 305 37 304 74987 71459 25 315 38 301 39 299 71459 68226 29 310 33 293 36 294 68226 65219 32 302 31 292 34 295 65219 62409 38 298 32 297 35 296 62409 59676 41 301 35 293 38 295 59676 56822 48 297 38 288 46 295 56822 53862 52 293 46 295 50 294 53862 51036 56 292 55 298 55 295 51036 48484 59 290 62 295 63 294 48484 46190 60 289 69 290 66 291 46190 44106 59 290 69 284 65 288 44106 42205 59 293 63 278 66 286 42205 40457 59 297 57 279 69 288 40457 38838 64 296 57 288 77 283 38838 37342 72 297 75 288 80 267 37342 35967 91 297 90 287 81 270 35967 34667 107 294 109 285 100 274 34667 33362 125 292 118 283 111 269 33362 32019 133 291 120 284 105 268 32019 30635 128 289 119 282 104 274 30635 29192 115 288 117 279 109 272 29192 27674 88 288 113 277 108 269 27674 26084 63 287 99 273 105 269 26084 24425 61 284 91 271 90 265 24425 22704 55 288 92 273 76 256 22704 20915 48 292 82 275 72 253 20915 19049 49 288 62 271 57 250 19049 17104 50 286 56 267 45 246 17104 15120 46 284 47 267 40 249 15120 13206 36 284 35 263 36 250 13206 11467 24 284 35 256 36 250 11467 9925 16 267 33 243 37 249 9925 8560 14 246 28 224 37 242 8560 7351 13 235 22 208 38 233 7351 6279 12 221 19 202 38 226 6279 5332 13 206 19 199 36 215 5332 4501 16 199 21 197 33 200 4501 3771 17 196 22 191 31 183 3771 3123 15 189 21 183 32 170 3123 2554 12*176 19*167 31 162 2554 2081 10*164 16*155 27 156 2081 1718 9 163 15 152 22 153 1718 1469 8 163 13 150 17*151 1469 1317 7 162 10 149 14*150 1317 1231 5 162 7 147 7 148 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography