DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 8.8 - - 17.6 - - 15.3 - - 8.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 62 - - -12 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 596 - - 1525 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1796 - - 2725 - - 1230 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 580 - - 785 - - 1890 - - 345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 188 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 191 - - 169 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1986 - - -2485 - - -2822 - - -1427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3782 - - 5210 - - 4052 - - 2657 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14156 - - -13630 - - -13179 - - -13486 ODpotential blCL - - - 15952 - - 16355 - - 14409 - - 14716 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 72 - - 80 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 8.8 - - 17.6 - - 15.3 - - 8.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -3.1 - - -0.7 - - 2.2 - - 1.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 8.7 - - 17.5 - - 17.8 - - 12.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -4.3 - - -1.8 - - 1.2 - - 1.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 62 - - -12 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 596 - - 1525 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 19 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96369 26 038 29 034 25 044 22 017 96369 89110 17 007 8 004 20 359 20 026 89110 83479 20 308 11 341 14 324 11 355 83479 78788 12 281 15 278 23 283 16 304 78788 74746 12 291 18 260 20 277 22 281 74746 71178 19 280 20 262 18 269 19 262 71178 67935 24 275 23 263 19 253 20 261 67935 64932 26 262 30 267 25 260 30 262 64932 62125 30 264 34 275 38 265 38 263 62125 59390 40 267 46 264 42 266 52 266 59390 56533 48 260 52 264 61 267 62 261 56533 53567 51 262 66 265 72 262 71 263 53567 50731 64 262 77 255 81 258 83 263 50731 48177 74 260 82 256 87 258 91 260 48177 45889 84 262 88 259 92 258 92 256 45889 43814 89 264 93 259 94 256 92 255 43814 41916 95 265 97 257 95 253 94 255 41916 40169 104 262 100 256 96 253 96 256 40169 38551 108 259 104 256 98 255 98 255 38551 37043 108 257 106 254 100 255 99 254 37043 35633 107 256 108 252 100 255 97 253 35633 34283 107 255 108 251 100 254 95 252 34283 32927 106 255 106 252 98 253 93 251 32927 31546 106 256 105 254 94 253 88 251 31546 30146 107 257 106 255 86 253 78 252 30146 28712 107 257 104 254 80 255 71 252 28712 27220 102 256 99 254 76 257 66 252 27220 25665 87 258 85 255 73 260 60 256 25665 24039 73 260 69 257 69 263 58 259 24039 22340 69 260 64 261 67 263 57 258 22340 20571 68 259 60 263 65 259 57 257 20571 18727 65 261 57 262 62 256 57 258 18727 16806 59 262 56 260 56 255 52 258 16806 14851 52 261 54 258 51 256 45 257 14851 12970 46 261 49 256 46 257 39 258 12970 11263 41 261 44 255 43 256 35 259 11263 9750 35 259 39 253 41 253 34 260 9750 8411 29 255 35 249 36 251 33 258 8411 7224 24 247 31 245 31 251 29 255 7224 6175 21 236 28 240 27 252 25 253 6175 5249 19 223 28 231 26 247 22 253 5249 4438 19 211 28 220 27 235 22 249 4438 3724 17 202 26 212 26 221 23 238 3724 3088 16 197 20*206 22 209 23 222 3088 2529 15 196 13*196 18 200 23 204 2529 2064 12*195 12 192 14 191 18 192 2064 1708 9*190 11 191 11 186 15 180 1708 1463 6 185 9 189 9 181 11 168 1463 1314 5 183 8 189 6 176 8*155 1314 1230 4 182 6 187 3*169 4*144 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography