DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 27.5 - - 27.6 - - 24.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1716 - - 1388 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2916 - - 2588 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 953 - - 1027 - - 2007 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 173 - - 46 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 299 - - 310 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1066 - - 861 - - -312 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1850 - - 1727 - - 1543 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 609 - - 215 - - -821 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2307 - - 2373 - - 2052 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 27.5 - - 27.6 - - 24.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.1 - - 24.8 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 27.4 - - 28.0 - - 26.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 23.2 - - 24.2 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1716 - - 1388 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 98 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95269 46 259 42 271 37 269 95269 88323 32 269 47 271 42 292 88323 82974 31 288 39 278 42 287 82974 78538 36 302 31 294 32 279 78538 74674 37 293 36 303 33 281 74674 71209 34 277 44 291 35 287 71209 68035 30 278 43 280 38 288 68035 65100 31 291 39 281 39 289 65100 62367 38 290 41 282 42 289 62367 59708 45 284 41 281 44 284 59708 56927 46 272 41 279 47 281 56927 54032 43 266 41 274 50 277 54032 51266 44 270 43 280 50 277 51266 48776 47 270 51 280 50 278 48776 46543 46 270 53 276 51 279 46543 44522 49 275 54 273 51 281 44522 42678 53 276 54 273 51 281 42678 40984 52 279 55 274 54 280 40984 39419 60 283 56 273 57 281 39419 37965 65 280 55 271 60 281 37965 36606 65 285 56 271 59 278 36606 35302 66 288 58 270 57 279 35302 33986 65 286 58 270 60 285 33986 32627 62 284 59 271 66 290 32627 31222 60 277 59 273 70 291 31222 29754 57 272 57 276 67 290 29754 28212 55 275 56 282 63 288 28212 26598 55 279 55 282 59 285 26598 24908 54 279 53 278 57 281 24908 23146 49 273 51 275 54 277 23146 21315 44 272 49 275 51 277 21315 19406 43 275 47 277 47 278 19406 17412 42 278 44 279 42 277 17412 15375 38 284 38 280 38 278 15375 13409 33 289 33 282 33 279 13409 11619 28 287 29 287 27 280 11619 10031 21 286 22 288 22 284 10031 8627 13 291 15 283 17 289 8627 7388 10 300 11 285 12 294 7388 6297 9 309 10 297 8 310 6297 5340 11 304 12 306 7 331 5340 4504 12 298 14 304 8 331 4504 3773 10 298 14 306 10 321 3773 3126 8*298 13*310 11 320 3126 2558 8*298 12*311 10 327 2558 2084 7 299 11 310 9 334 2084 1720 7 299 10 310 8 338 1720 1470 6 299 8 311 6 342 1470 1318 5 300 7 310 5*344 1318 1231 4 298 4 310 3*346 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography