DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.6 - - 29.2 - - 32.5 - - 25.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 30 - - -13 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 568 - - 1001 - - 181 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1768 - - 2201 - - 1381 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1091 - - 1790 - - 4053 - - 947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 132 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 12 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 179 - - 192 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -186 - - 289 - - -588 - - -357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1954 - - 1912 - - 1969 - - 1588 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3441 - - -475 - - -1449 - - -2915 ODpotential blCL - - - 5209 - - 2676 - - 2830 - - 4146 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.6 - - 29.2 - - 32.5 - - 25.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.4 - - 25.0 - - 28.0 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 29.3 - - 33.5 - - 29.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.9 - - 24.4 - - 27.5 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 30 - - -13 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 568 - - 1001 - - 181 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 100 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96653 6 070 2 037 9 069 6 059 96653 89462 8 103 4 148 2 118 7 040 89462 83815 10 141 5 195 4 168 4 350 83815 79082 11 185 8 188 12 238 6 276 79082 74965 13 225 15 233 12 221 9 265 74965 71306 20 244 15 211 19 243 22 266 71306 67989 29 235 25 241 26 235 26 238 67989 64913 31 238 35 248 21 238 21 234 64913 62022 35 239 35 246 28 259 30 249 62022 59200 36 232 41 245 41 249 38 250 59200 56267 34 235 46 242 45 245 43 249 56267 53246 39 234 50 240 49 247 46 247 53246 50369 40 237 51 238 53 247 46 246 50369 47785 47 242 51 237 53 244 45 246 47785 45476 49 241 47 237 48 241 47 247 45476 43386 48 242 43 242 46 244 48 245 43386 41476 48 246 45 248 50 249 48 247 41476 39716 52 248 52 246 56 249 50 248 39716 38086 58 245 56 240 59 246 54 245 38086 36573 59 243 53 237 60 241 59 241 36573 35163 61 244 55 238 60 239 61 240 35163 33816 68 241 64 238 63 240 64 244 33816 32467 73 232 72 237 68 240 67 246 32467 31086 74 227 73 236 70 238 69 244 31086 29677 73 226 73 235 71 236 69 242 29677 28227 75 225 73 234 73 233 68 242 28227 26726 75 224 75 233 75 230 65 241 26726 25176 74 222 76 232 77 229 60 240 25176 23574 74 221 76 230 77 229 55 240 23574 21917 76 222 75 227 74 228 51 240 21917 20205 74 225 71 226 68 227 46 241 20205 18431 69 229 62 227 60 230 43 244 18431 16584 60 231 54 226 55 237 43 244 16584 14700 51 234 51 227 51 241 46 241 14700 12883 47 235 49 229 47 243 51 242 12883 11231 45 235 45 233 43 243 52 244 11231 9762 44 234 40 236 42 241 46 245 9762 8454 43 230 37 237 42 241 40 243 8454 7288 43 223 37 235 40 240 36 240 7288 6249 41 222 36 231 37 237 34 237 6249 5327 41 222 35 225 35 232 33 232 5327 4512 39 218 32 220 33 227 32 226 4512 3791 35 211 29 214 32 222 31 220 3791 3144 29 202 24 206 28 217 30 214 3144 2571 24 191 19*197 24 210 26 207 2571 2093 20*177 16*187 20 205 21 200 2093 1725 17*168 13 179 17 200 16 187 1725 1472 15 166 12 176 13*196 12 172 1472 1319 12 164 10 174 10*194 9*164 1319 1231 8 162 7 173 6 191 5*155 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography