DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 70.7 - - 71.6 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 267 - - 80 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2897 - - 3986 - - 4427 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2898 - - 3807 - - 3385 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4097 - - 5186 - - 5627 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1424 - - 970 - - 923 - - 737 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 417 - - 291 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 50 - - 28 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 333 - - 321 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -498 - - -1175 - - -1333 - - -2985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4595 - - 6361 - - 6960 - - 4219 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7824 - - -8664 - - -9016 - - -12818 ODpotential blCL - - - 11921 - - 13850 - - 14643 - - 14052 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 71 - - 70 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 70.7 - - 71.6 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 47.3 - - 45.7 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 69.2 - - 71.1 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 46.7 - - 45.1 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 267 - - 80 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2897 - - 3986 - - 4427 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98256 4 019 8 201 5 129 8 219 98256 90925 2 169 7 158 1 228 1 117 90925 85259 2 059 7 134 7 201 6 348 85259 80569 7 096 6 132 6 196 8 307 80569 76528 7 066 5 108 4 217 9 289 76528 72949 5 344 5 043 3 253 5 300 72949 69701 1 226 5 296 6 283 4 329 69701 66712 1 092 4 266 7 297 7 313 66712 63945 1 301 4 270 7 277 8 288 63945 61266 8 326 5 284 8 278 6 259 61266 58472 13 306 8 263 12 271 8 296 58472 55592 11 277 12 270 11 266 12 298 55592 52870 8 264 13 264 13 276 10 279 52870 50427 10 285 12 255 14 269 9 263 50427 48229 11 282 12 270 15 253 12 260 48229 46228 13 268 17 272 16 254 15 248 46228 44391 17 254 22 252 22 261 17 248 44391 42695 19 256 21 237 22 255 13 266 42695 41126 20 276 16 254 15 255 10 283 41126 39662 22 285 18 284 10 289 6 315 39662 38284 20 296 19 295 13 314 9 353 38284 36949 20 308 19 303 17 318 13 001 36949 35590 20 305 20 304 19 317 14 354 35590 34177 18 296 21 293 19 314 13 344 34177 32712 18 304 23 281 17 311 11 332 32712 31181 17 320 24 279 17 304 10 314 31181 29573 14 326 23 286 18 296 11 308 29573 27887 11 308 21 293 21 297 12 320 27887 26123 11 289 18 293 21 303 15 338 26123 24283 12 286 16 285 18 308 19 346 24283 22371 14 279 15 281 16 309 19 346 22371 20381 14 296 14 296 16 318 18 345 20381 18303 14 333 14 330 16 336 15 351 18303 16178 13 350 14 347 17 346 13 350 16178 14123 10 353 11 345 14 347 12 343 14123 12252 7 353 8 334 12 341 12 343 12252 10591 5 352 7 321 11 337 12 349 10591 9124 6 328 6 318 9 333 10 346 9124 7828 8 315 6 326 7 327 8 328 7828 6685 10 321 4 327 2 261 7 284 6685 5677 10 339 2*309 1*256 7 232 5677 4790 7*005 2*317 1*287 5 208 4790 4005 3*035 2 326 2 311 0 183 4005 3303 1 130 3 330 3 321 3 358 3303 2683 2 137 3 334 3 324 6 346 2683 2165 2 141 3 338 4 326 9 338 2165 1767 2 141 3 340 4 327 10 332 1767 1494 1 143 3 341 4 328 9 327 1494 1328 1 139 3 341 4 326 7*321 1328 1234 1 143 3 342 3 329 4*315 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography