DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 85.2 - - 86.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 47 - - -33 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1824 - - 2910 - - 177 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1219 - - 2307 - - 1219 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 3024 - - 4110 - - 1377 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1270 - - 1247 - - 5585 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 253 - - 65 - - - W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 21 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 245 - - 252 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 16 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1304 - - -400 - - -3324 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4328 - - 4510 - - 4701 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5563 - - -5234 - - -6327 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 8587 - - 9344 - - 7704 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 79 - - 61 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 620 - - 2070 - - 2230 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 85.2 - - 86.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.4 - - 69.1 - - 69.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 85.2 - - 87.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 67.9 - - 67.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 47 - - -33 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1824 - - 2910 - - 177 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99779 37 076 40 088 31 077 99779 92226 35 080 29 086 27 086 92226 86400 32 090 22 094 24 083 86400 81565 27 098 17 089 19 089 81565 77404 21 088 18 094 18 085 77404 73726 15 074 16 069 16 079 73726 70397 12 057 8 107 6 058 70397 67341 11 038 9 077 3 065 67341 64509 11 356 8 023 8 335 64509 61778 11 009 11 354 6 308 61778 58934 20 350 15 333 15 323 58934 56008 25 334 23 317 21 316 56008 53237 33 341 26 307 25 311 53237 50747 34 333 28 321 37 306 50747 48530 35 337 39 328 43 309 48530 46537 63 337 50 328 50 313 46537 44716 73 332 56 323 57 310 44716 43028 69 332 58 318 59 308 43028 41447 61 332 58 315 58 307 41447 39960 55 330 57 312 57 301 39960 38559 50 330 55 309 56 295 38559 37206 50 329 52 307 56 293 37206 35833 50 327 48 305 55 296 35833 34408 48 323 47 304 54 301 34408 32933 48 319 49 305 54 304 32933 31393 47 318 50 307 54 304 31393 29774 45 321 50 306 54 302 29774 28078 42 323 48 302 50 301 28078 26304 40 322 46 300 47 297 26304 24459 44 324 46 301 51 296 24459 22547 51 324 49 306 57 297 22547 20562 55 320 52 306 60 296 20562 18493 55 314 50 305 60 295 18493 16382 48 309 45 305 58 296 16382 14344 43 308 43 305 53 297 14344 12488 41 309 41 303 45 295 12488 10835 38 306 39 299 37 292 10835 9365 30 295 36 293 35 290 9365 8056 26 283 34 287 37 285 8056 6889 25 278 32 280 37 278 6889 5853 25 274 32 272 34 270 5853 4938 26 269 29*264 29 262 4938 4127 25 263 25*252 26 258 4127 3398 21*257 23 246 25 258 3398 2752 15*245 22 244 23 257 2752 2212 13 241 21 243 21 256 2212 1796 12 240 20 242 19 255 1796 1509 11 238 17 241 16*254 1509 1335 9 238 14 240 12*253 1335 1235 7 236 9 239 7 251 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography