DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 57.6 - - 56.0 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 144 - - 10 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1184 - - 2932 - - 2766 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 2768 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2384 - - 4132 - - 3966 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 808 - - 1460 - - 1473 - - 1028 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 312 - - 141 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 156 - - 157 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -7 - - -7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1602 - - -466 - - 21 - - -770 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3986 - - 4599 - - 3945 - - 2003 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11201 - - -7207 - - -3407 - - -4656 ODpotential blCL - - - 13585 - - 11339 - - 7373 - - 5889 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 72 - - 81 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 57.6 - - 56.0 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 42.0 - - 43.2 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 57.0 - - 56.3 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 41.0 - - 42.6 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 144 - - 10 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1184 - - 2932 - - 2766 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98040 29 221 27 251 19 245 23 222 98040 90680 27 224 25 225 28 244 24 248 90680 84990 20 220 15 233 23 247 19 257 84990 80250 14 225 17 224 23 249 20 274 80250 76172 12 240 15 218 23 248 19 273 76172 72578 15 263 10 244 15 237 14 252 72578 69312 21 243 16 254 18 232 17 245 69312 66304 21 240 23 244 24 242 27 250 66304 63523 21 241 27 238 27 241 29 237 63523 60819 27 256 29 246 29 238 27 227 60819 57969 39 251 36 251 36 250 37 256 57969 55018 47 248 57 249 60 246 57 245 55018 52230 57 249 61 237 62 240 62 242 52230 49729 63 245 60 246 69 243 65 243 49729 47476 75 243 70 247 69 243 69 244 47476 45423 82 246 78 242 71 247 73 243 45423 43542 86 244 83 239 81 247 75 241 43542 41812 83 242 87 237 91 240 76 239 41812 40215 81 242 90 233 89 233 77 240 40215 38731 83 242 92 229 80 229 79 240 38731 37343 82 237 94 228 72 232 79 242 37343 36011 77 230 93 228 69 235 77 242 36011 34670 75 231 87 226 71 239 70 240 34670 33288 68 232 82 224 75 237 66 239 33288 31859 62 230 78 222 79 232 65 241 31859 30364 61 231 73 221 79 232 66 243 30364 28793 56 229 70 221 70 234 67 242 28793 27146 51 227 63 223 66 233 66 242 27146 25426 48 226 56 223 65 231 61 243 25426 23629 46 226 52 226 59 229 55 242 23629 21758 44 229 48 225 51 222 51 241 21758 19807 40 231 43 217 47 226 50 242 19807 17777 33 232 39 209 43 234 48 239 17777 15712 27 228 36 207 40 240 44 237 15712 13725 25 221 32 210 39 236 39 238 13725 11923 23 210 29 213 36 235 34 241 11923 10325 21 197 27 214 31 234 25 251 10325 8911 20 185 25 210 26 234 22 262 8911 7655 19 181 21 201 23 230 25 258 7655 6541 17 186 19 190 23 216 24 243 6541 5556 19 190 19 177 21 196 24 223 5556 4690 22 190 18*165 20*174 25 203 4690 3927 23 183 17*159 20*164 26 185 3927 3244 24 172 17 157 20 160 28 172 3244 2642 23*166 17 156 20 157 27 167 2642 2138 17*158 17 155 19 155 24 165 2138 1752 16 157 16 154 17 154 20 162 1752 1486 15 157 15 154 15 153 14 160 1486 1325 13 157 13 154 13 152 10*159 1325 1233 8 157 9 153 8 151 4*154 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography