DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.1 - - 30.5 - - 30.1 - - 21.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 76 - - 11 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 995 - - 2181 - - 2343 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1691 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2195 - - 3381 - - 3543 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 773 - - 1175 - - 1116 - - 1850 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 229 - - 131 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 122 - - 120 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 4 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 9 - - 688 - - 885 - - -581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2186 - - 2693 - - 2658 - - 1812 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2923 - - -358 - - 194 - - -3045 ODpotential blCL - - - 5118 - - 3739 - - 3349 - - 4276 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 90 - - 93 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.1 - - 30.5 - - 30.1 - - 21.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.2 - - 23.2 - - 23.0 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.8 - - 30.2 - - 30.2 - - 25.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.0 - - 22.1 - - 22.1 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 76 - - 11 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 995 - - 2181 - - 2343 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 59 - - 72 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97028 21 063 24 059 16 077 9 008 97028 89842 24 092 15 062 12 077 8 072 89842 84201 22 088 12 088 13 089 13 099 84201 79474 18 086 13 091 13 109 7 087 79474 75383 13 081 11 116 9 110 3 106 75383 71750 8 028 7 113 7 104 1 329 71750 68447 5 344 8 175 3 289 8 321 68447 65401 5 276 6 183 5 276 8 283 65401 62570 9 263 7 228 9 292 6 252 62570 59821 16 269 10 234 12 267 7 225 59821 56934 19 255 13 247 16 253 9 250 56934 53911 24 259 19 241 26 238 21 249 53911 51018 35 255 27 246 31 237 28 245 51018 48417 39 252 32 252 32 233 29 238 48417 46089 42 250 36 254 31 236 29 233 46089 43984 45 242 41 249 34 240 32 228 43984 42066 44 240 46 245 41 236 37 231 42066 40305 42 241 48 239 43 230 38 231 40305 38674 43 237 48 233 42 230 39 231 38674 37155 39 241 47 232 45 231 42 228 37155 35738 43 247 49 234 52 225 50 221 35738 34393 49 242 53 232 51 220 52 216 34393 33053 47 237 54 228 50 219 53 213 33053 31692 43 235 54 226 51 222 59 207 31692 30311 42 240 52 225 57 222 61 203 30311 28883 46 246 49 224 60 218 70 198 28883 27385 51 246 47 224 59 213 80 197 27385 25817 50 246 47 225 57 214 71 201 25817 24177 44 244 48 228 51 219 59 210 24177 22465 36 241 46 232 41 222 45 216 22465 20683 34 233 43 237 32 224 25 217 20683 18823 33 221 38 238 27 227 16 205 18823 16885 22 231 28 231 23 237 8 188 16885 14916 15 237 18 225 13 242 8 130 14916 13028 11 210 13 231 4 223 13 108 13028 11317 10 188 9 211 5 163 12 112 11317 9803 10 176 7 157 10 151 11 125 9803 8466 11 149 11 141 13 144 13 126 8466 7283 16 138 14 140 14 138 15 127 7283 6235 18 136 16 136 16 132 17 123 6235 5307 15 132 17 130 17 123 18 113 5307 4491 13 127 16 124 16 116 19 104 4491 3771 13 127 14*121 14*117 19 101 3771 3127 15 131 11*122 14*118 19 105 3127 2559 16*132 10 122 13 120 18 113 2559 2085 14*134 10 123 13 121 16 118 2085 1721 12 136 9 123 12 121 14 122 1721 1470 10 137 8 123 10 121 10 124 1470 1318 9 137 7 123 8 123 7*124 1318 1231 6 137 5 123 5 122 3*126 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography