DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.8 - - 28.5 - - 27.6 - - 26.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 31 - - -11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1566 - - 1412 - - 984 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2766 - - 2612 - - 2184 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1276 - - 1804 - - 2328 - - 3047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 169 - - 148 - - 42 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 14 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 279 - - 281 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 973 - - 891 - - 470 - - -295 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1793 - - 1721 - - 1714 - - 1526 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 451 - - 351 - - -148 - - -1026 ODpotential blCL - - - 2315 - - 2261 - - 2332 - - 2257 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.8 - - 28.5 - - 27.6 - - 26.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 25.5 - - 24.7 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 28.5 - - 28.3 - - 27.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.8 - - 24.8 - - 24.3 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 31 - - -11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1566 - - 1412 - - 984 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95406 48 245 51 257 47 255 49 263 95406 88411 33 265 44 263 54 273 60 270 88411 83038 41 267 37 260 48 269 47 264 83038 78600 40 266 32 260 35 266 24 261 78600 74712 27 264 29 271 31 273 19 300 74712 71193 22 280 39 276 41 276 38 294 71193 67984 35 287 47 275 49 272 50 282 67984 65046 48 275 50 274 46 271 50 276 65046 62320 50 267 48 268 44 276 47 274 62320 59654 47 265 45 260 46 277 48 272 59654 56851 43 270 42 266 48 273 50 273 56851 53933 44 278 47 276 51 271 55 278 53933 51144 49 279 54 275 57 274 63 275 51144 48629 53 280 59 271 66 275 66 273 48629 46375 57 282 61 272 70 273 67 277 46375 44334 61 282 63 277 69 274 70 281 44334 42466 66 282 66 278 69 276 72 281 42466 40745 67 280 69 276 71 279 75 280 40745 39148 67 279 69 276 75 280 78 278 39148 37658 67 281 71 278 78 278 78 277 37658 36267 70 285 74 280 77 278 79 280 36267 34939 76 287 78 283 77 281 84 281 34939 33608 81 285 87 285 81 284 89 281 33608 32239 81 283 94 284 86 285 93 283 32239 30830 79 282 96 283 88 285 96 284 30830 29362 75 283 89 281 85 284 94 284 29362 27822 64 284 78 279 75 285 90 284 27822 26213 49 284 72 279 67 286 86 285 26213 24535 42 288 54 281 63 285 82 290 24535 22792 43 291 40 287 55 284 74 290 22792 20987 45 291 36 289 47 286 61 289 20987 19113 46 291 35 288 43 289 46 292 19113 17159 44 293 33 287 38 289 36 295 17159 15163 42 298 32 285 34 288 33 297 15163 13238 40 300 31 283 31 287 32 295 13238 11486 39 300 31 284 30 289 29 292 11486 9929 37 297 30 287 29 292 26 291 9929 8549 35 296 29 287 28 289 24 291 8549 7330 33 300 27 287 27 284 24 292 7330 6257 31 304 25 290 26 284 24 292 6257 5316 28 304 24 291 25 284 24 290 5316 4496 27 297 24 286 24 281 22 284 4496 3776 27 287 22 283 22 279 20 278 3776 3132 25*279 21*281 20 279 19 278 3132 2563 23*276 19*280 19*280 17 279 2563 2088 21 275 16 279 17*281 15 280 2088 1723 19 274 14 278 14 281 13 279 1723 1471 16 273 12 278 11 281 9 277 1471 1319 13 273 10 278 9 281 6*275 1319 1231 8 273 7 277 5 281 2*260 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography