DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 1.3 - - 8.5 - - 9.3 - - 5.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 119 - - 32 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 885 - - 1874 - - 1687 - - 208 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1871 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2085 - - 3074 - - 2887 - - 1408 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 616 - - 453 - - 597 - - 1684 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 248 - - 154 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 317 - - 308 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -163 - - 1058 - - 856 - - -504 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2248 - - 2016 - - 2031 - - 1912 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11704 - - 763 - - 555 - - -875 ODpotential blCL - - - 13789 - - 2311 - - 2332 - - 2283 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 101 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 1.3 - - 8.5 - - 9.3 - - 5.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -3.8 - - 4.4 - - 5.2 - - 1.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 1.2 - - 7.9 - - 9.2 - - 6.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -4.6 - - 3.4 - - 4.5 - - 1.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 119 - - 32 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 885 - - 1874 - - 1687 - - 208 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 99 - - 103 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96012 86 213 83 215 79 214 77 202 96012 88517 85 208 85 212 89 215 88 217 88517 82780 73 221 77 219 84 219 87 223 82780 78073 78 221 77 221 78 225 87 221 78073 73989 69 228 73 225 81 229 78 224 73989 70350 64 238 73 234 80 231 72 231 70350 67060 62 242 76 238 78 237 68 235 67060 64045 64 240 74 236 73 237 65 238 64045 61246 64 238 69 233 65 241 64 237 61246 58522 61 240 64 237 67 243 63 235 58522 55679 60 244 62 241 67 237 59 236 55679 52741 59 243 59 241 63 234 59 236 52741 49949 57 242 56 242 56 235 59 234 49949 47442 55 241 54 243 50 236 55 231 47442 45196 52 240 52 243 47 237 50 230 45196 43161 47 242 49 243 44 238 49 229 43161 41303 44 244 46 243 41 237 53 226 41303 39596 44 245 44 241 40 236 55 223 39596 38015 44 239 45 238 42 236 52 223 38015 36540 41 229 44 237 42 235 49 223 36540 35161 36 230 43 235 43 233 47 224 35161 33845 29 238 40 231 44 234 49 227 33845 32526 25 240 38 229 43 236 50 226 32526 31176 21 239 34 232 38 236 50 223 31176 29794 11 235 27 230 33 238 44 223 29794 28366 6 241 14 220 27 237 38 226 28366 26880 3 138 4 191 16 239 32 228 26880 25332 8 066 11 080 4 228 22 224 25332 23718 11 071 15 081 5 080 12 215 23718 22039 8 095 8 077 5 051 6 195 22039 20300 3 077 7 030 3 058 3 163 20300 18496 2 053 5 337 2 010 3 176 18496 16618 0 182 3 293 4 296 1 216 16618 14699 3 226 3 259 6 275 4 270 14699 12844 6 277 5 249 8 260 7 274 12844 11152 9 268 7 257 9 256 9 287 11152 9648 11 263 8 271 8 266 9 312 9648 8314 12 267 9 282 7 292 9 334 8314 7132 13 277 10 287 8 315 10 347 7132 6086 12 281 10 291 9 321 11 350 6086 5166 9 292 10 302 9 323 13 347 5166 4363 8 314 11 314 9 324 14 342 4363 3662 11 322 12*318 9 315 16 330 3662 3042 17 317 11*318 8*309 16 322 3042 2498 18*312 11 317 8*308 15 322 2498 2046 15*310 10 317 7 308 13 323 2046 1697 10 308 10 317 7 309 11 321 1697 1458 8 308 9 316 6 308 9*320 1458 1313 7 309 8 316 5 308 7*320 1313 1230 5 310 6 317 4 308 3 320 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography