DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 7.8 - - 9.9 - - 8.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 88 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 887 - - 546 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1213 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2087 - - 1746 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 399 - - 702 - - 787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 175 - - 16 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 014 - - 064 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -599 - - -931 - - -1199 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2686 - - 2678 - - 2429 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -19020 - - -18987 - - -19320 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 21107 - - 20733 - - 20550 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 86 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 7.8 - - 9.9 - - 8.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 0.7 - - 2.9 - - 2.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 7.5 - - 10.9 - - 9.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -0.1 - - 2.3 - - 2.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 88 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 887 - - 546 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 29 - - 44 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94668 106 248 107 251 100 245 94668 87832 72 246 81 246 84 252 87832 82517 61 248 60 249 67 255 82517 78087 49 260 42 261 49 251 78087 74237 47 273 41 277 42 263 74237 70798 46 276 47 281 46 279 70798 67654 49 279 52 277 48 279 67654 64741 54 286 52 279 50 279 64741 62023 59 293 54 292 53 284 62023 59365 66 292 66 292 62 287 59365 56569 71 287 72 287 65 283 56569 53649 72 286 69 287 61 282 53649 50857 73 285 66 285 59 283 50857 48348 73 286 66 285 61 282 48348 46106 74 285 73 283 64 285 46106 44081 73 289 77 282 64 285 44081 42232 74 292 74 279 63 279 42232 40532 83 292 71 278 58 277 40532 38960 92 289 74 280 55 282 38960 37502 96 286 80 279 62 279 37502 36144 93 282 84 277 72 272 36144 34848 85 278 85 277 76 265 34848 33544 82 280 84 277 75 254 33544 32202 78 283 84 277 71 250 32202 30812 79 284 83 276 69 258 30812 29358 75 286 79 278 67 258 29358 27827 67 289 76 279 61 260 27827 26220 65 288 68 281 55 264 26220 24535 66 288 64 283 50 270 24535 22773 65 288 63 283 49 273 22773 20937 60 288 58 283 49 274 20937 19025 52 288 53 280 46 280 19025 17036 47 287 44 277 35 281 17036 15021 39 287 37 286 26 267 15021 13089 29 295 33 293 20 268 13089 11337 25 300 22 284 14 280 11337 9786 22 300 13 278 10 246 9786 8421 19 304 12 279 8 200 8421 7217 14 317 11 278 7 191 7217 6158 10 338 6 278 8 192 6158 5227 9 001 1 300 9 178 5227 4415 8 016 3 074 10 159 4415 3704 7 022 6 074 12 146 3704 3072 7 017 9 073 13 143 3072 2516 6*010 8 075 12 139 2516 2055 4*014 6*072 9 133 2055 1703 4 015 5*068 7 128 1703 1460 4 014 5 065 5 128 1460 1314 3 014 4 062 3*126 1314 1230 3 015 3 059 2*120 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography