DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.3 - - 31.9 - - 37.2 - - 33.3 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 5 - - 54 - - -34 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 31 - - 401 - - 1402 - - 32 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit 1214 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top 1231 - - 1601 - - 2602 - - 1232 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 524 - - 1068 - - 812 - - 1519 - - 675 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 63 - - 179 - - 15 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 17 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 179 - - 179 - - 155 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -6 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -892 - - -2557 - - -1989 - - -1420 - - -1016 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2123 - - 4158 - - 4591 - - 2652 - - 2247 sfcLCL ODpotential -9090 - - -10751 - - -10429 - - -9326 - - -8496 ODpotential blCL 10321 - - 12352 - - 13031 - - 10558 - - 9727 blCL maxRH 74 - - 52 - - 69 - - 64 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.3 - - 31.9 - - 37.2 - - 33.3 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.7 - - 18.3 - - 21.7 - - 26.4 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.3 - - 32.3 - - 37.2 - - 35.3 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 17.3 - - 20.5 - - 25.6 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 5 - - 54 - - -34 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 31 - - 401 - - 1402 - - 32 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95166 45 224 53 224 53 229 60 234 60 237 95166 88174 51 237 40 231 40 229 46 229 45 231 88174 82761 48 232 38 237 32 233 34 237 35 236 82761 78221 37 223 37 228 31 235 31 239 31 240 78221 74263 37 235 36 232 32 238 32 235 34 246 74263 70757 40 238 39 241 37 241 35 243 36 249 70757 67587 41 248 41 242 41 238 38 246 34 245 67587 64655 44 253 39 243 38 238 36 245 30 246 64655 61910 43 251 34 245 33 240 35 248 34 256 61910 59240 38 248 30 247 31 245 39 247 40 254 59240 56455 35 256 36 253 35 254 41 248 36 247 56455 53550 44 265 46 253 45 259 46 260 33 252 53550 50760 52 261 49 248 55 257 54 265 41 260 50760 48254 51 256 47 245 60 253 61 261 54 262 48254 46035 48 260 43 253 57 252 62 256 63 257 46035 44051 51 269 47 267 50 258 53 251 58 252 44051 42248 57 274 56 274 52 269 50 259 54 257 42248 40586 67 277 63 273 63 274 60 267 62 263 40586 39049 73 274 65 270 72 271 65 263 65 262 39049 37624 70 269 63 267 71 268 58 259 66 262 37624 36298 66 267 60 265 67 267 54 261 70 264 36298 35027 66 268 60 265 65 269 58 264 73 266 35027 33740 68 268 62 264 65 270 64 264 75 268 33740 32404 69 267 63 261 70 267 68 264 74 267 32404 31019 70 269 61 256 66 265 67 261 68 263 31019 29572 72 270 60 252 60 265 55 245 62 258 29572 28052 74 271 63 250 56 268 56 240 57 250 28052 26459 74 271 66 249 49 264 55 247 57 247 26459 24790 74 272 67 248 48 253 52 251 55 240 24790 23045 73 272 64 248 50 243 51 253 50 236 23045 21228 72 270 61 251 53 238 50 251 50 237 21228 19335 67 268 58 254 54 236 47 245 52 238 19335 17364 60 265 55 257 49 236 44 237 45 235 17364 15356 53 262 50 256 45 238 40 236 38 223 15356 13422 48 257 48 254 44 241 38 237 36 218 13422 11665 46 251 47 252 44 244 37 237 36 221 11665 10106 44 247 44 249 41 244 36 237 33 223 10106 8721 41 246 38 246 37 242 35 237 30 224 8721 7492 38 247 34 240 34 238 35 235 29 224 7492 6401 35 245 33 233 35 233 35 232 28 222 6401 5436 32 237 34 225 35 227 36 227 28 220 5436 4587 31 224 34 218 35 218 37 221 29 216 4587 3840 30 214 33 211 33 208 35 212 30 209 3840 3174 28 205 32 205 28*199 31 201 33 202 3174 2590 27 195 29 200 22*188 25 186 30 194 2590 2103 25 187 24 194 18 179 21 172 23 179 2103 1730 20 177 18*185 17 176 18 166 21 168 1730 1475 14 164 15*181 15 174 14 161 16 162 1475 1320 10*160 12 179 13 173 10*159 12 160 1320 1231 5*154 7 177 8 171 5*155 5*154 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography