DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 8.7 - - 14.3 - - 12.9 - - 8.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 63 - - -20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1076 - - 2282 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1213 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2276 - - 3482 - - 1230 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 871 - - 958 - - 2358 - - 285 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 156 - - 216 - - 7 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 20 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 283 - - 263 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 42 - - 1132 - - -924 - - -953 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2234 - - 2350 - - 2154 - - 2183 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2458 - - 708 - - -2738 - - -5761 ODpotential blCL - - - 4734 - - 2774 - - 3968 - - 6991 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 99 - - 87 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 8.7 - - 14.3 - - 12.9 - - 8.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.6 - - 8.7 - - 8.2 - - 3.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 8.6 - - 14.4 - - 15.1 - - 12.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.9 - - 8.0 - - 8.1 - - 6.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 63 - - -20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1076 - - 2282 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 97 - - 47 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 93870 88 261 100 269 71 271 84 267 93870 87234 80 273 92 269 88 267 88 263 87234 82136 66 276 78 274 89 265 79 260 82136 77816 60 282 67 273 78 264 73 263 77816 73998 60 290 61 269 73 265 74 268 73998 70569 61 294 61 270 75 270 77 270 70569 67428 64 295 63 276 80 271 78 270 67428 64501 67 292 64 279 78 268 77 272 64501 61764 67 287 64 277 69 269 75 274 61764 59102 63 284 60 273 66 270 72 276 59102 56308 60 283 54 271 63 270 71 273 56308 53384 59 282 50 272 62 269 69 267 53384 50563 60 284 50 272 63 268 65 265 50563 47997 61 287 54 270 65 271 66 270 47997 45680 60 287 59 270 68 274 69 273 45680 43573 58 287 65 272 69 276 70 275 43573 41645 58 287 69 273 71 276 71 278 41645 39874 60 287 70 276 70 274 70 280 39874 38244 64 288 69 280 66 275 70 283 38244 36736 67 288 68 283 63 281 68 282 36736 35333 70 288 68 286 63 283 65 282 35333 33996 68 286 71 289 61 283 64 283 33996 32654 63 289 73 290 60 287 65 282 32654 31281 70 296 76 290 63 289 64 282 31281 29893 81 297 76 288 67 288 61 284 29893 28474 82 297 76 290 69 286 61 286 28474 27000 75 298 79 294 69 286 61 285 27000 25457 72 298 84 294 67 286 60 286 25457 23841 71 296 84 294 68 288 59 289 23841 22152 66 293 77 294 68 291 59 291 22152 20392 57 288 66 294 67 294 56 293 20392 18555 46 289 62 294 63 295 53 293 18555 16638 40 296 59 292 58 290 49 291 16638 14683 40 300 54 290 54 288 47 288 14683 12812 42 303 47 292 50 291 43 288 12812 11130 42 305 43 296 45 294 39 288 11130 9650 42 310 42 300 43 294 36 288 9650 8342 42 311 42 302 42 294 35 289 8342 7183 41 313 39 302 41 294 34 288 7183 6154 38 318 36 301 38 294 32 285 6154 5243 36 320 34 300 37 293 31 281 5243 4440 37 316 32 297 34 289 32 280 4440 3730 36 312 27*290 31 284 31 279 3730 3094 32 308 24*285 26 277 29 279 3094 2533 25*303 22 284 22 272 24 279 2533 2066 20*299 21 283 18 270 18 275 2066 1708 17 298 19 282 15 269 13 264 1708 1463 14 298 16 282 11 268 8 247 1463 1314 12 298 13 282 8 267 5*215 1314 1230 8 298 9 282 4*263 4*171 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography