DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 52.0 - - 52.4 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 60 - - -12 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1535 - - 1916 - - 137 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2735 - - 3116 - - 1337 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1021 - - 931 - - 2703 - - 704 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 167 - - 209 - - 30 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 231 - - 200 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 885 - - 796 - - -814 - - -291 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1850 - - 2320 - - 2151 - - 1524 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 264 - - -4896 - - -3079 - - -3688 ODpotential blCL - - - 2471 - - 8012 - - 4416 - - 4921 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 84 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 52.0 - - 52.4 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 45.9 - - 47.1 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 51.9 - - 53.4 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 44.7 - - 46.0 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 60 - - -12 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1535 - - 1916 - - 137 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 64 - - 35 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96523 38 252 38 261 35 262 36 245 96523 89487 26 249 24 252 32 263 21 250 89487 84053 11 263 13 256 24 256 16 276 84053 79491 9 294 10 258 16 257 14 295 79491 75508 10 252 11 258 15 264 15 260 75508 71974 6 218 8 248 11 260 10 244 71974 68759 6 235 6 161 7 212 6 255 68759 65787 9 176 11 171 15 196 9 202 65787 63017 12 149 15 154 18 176 9 198 63017 60311 14 188 12 185 17 176 18 185 60311 57481 22 172 19 182 22 179 21 182 57481 54555 23 170 22 184 29 192 35 190 54555 51774 24 182 34 196 39 202 36 193 51774 49274 25 213 36 194 39 202 41 204 49274 47033 34 228 37 207 49 209 47 206 47033 44998 39 227 49 211 56 203 54 205 44998 43134 44 225 44 206 49 198 56 200 43134 41412 43 222 35 215 48 208 54 203 41412 39812 34 233 53 231 69 220 65 213 39812 38318 37 254 76 225 90 216 85 212 38318 36922 63 247 83 221 91 212 92 204 36922 35585 72 237 81 224 83 213 89 199 35585 34241 75 235 81 228 85 214 89 200 34241 32859 78 240 83 230 92 213 93 202 32859 31437 80 246 82 229 89 212 96 202 31437 29957 78 251 76 229 83 212 96 202 29957 28403 72 254 69 230 75 212 90 203 28403 26779 67 254 67 232 70 214 79 207 26779 25084 65 254 65 233 65 218 70 209 25084 23320 64 255 57 234 61 221 62 208 23320 21487 57 257 52 237 56 223 58 207 21487 19577 55 261 48 242 54 223 57 204 19577 17590 54 263 40 243 54 221 54 204 17590 15568 52 263 34 243 46 218 49 208 15568 13619 48 266 34 247 33 222 45 212 13619 11842 41 267 34 251 30 234 42 217 11842 10262 34 270 33 254 30 242 32 218 10262 8861 29 273 30 254 27 245 26 216 8861 7618 24 279 26 250 23 246 24 220 7618 6516 22 282 21 246 22 246 23 226 6516 5540 21 282 18 245 21 243 23 229 5540 4680 20 286 16 246 20 238 23 229 4680 3920 20 285 15 241 19 230 23 224 3920 3239 19*282 13*233 17 222 23 215 3239 2637 15*272 11*231 14 216 22 203 2637 2135 12 268 10 231 12 213 20 190 2135 1750 11 267 9 232 10 210 16 174 1750 1485 10 266 8 232 8*206 12 160 1485 1324 8 266 7 231 6*203 9*154 1324 1233 6 264 5 232 3 197 4*149 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography