DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 0.9 - - 2.3 - - -1.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 36 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1732 - - 1628 - - 29 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1795 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2932 - - 2828 - - 1229 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 503 - - 788 - - 1684 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 245 - - 158 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 292 - - 299 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 969 - - 712 - - -866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1963 - - 2116 - - 2096 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 702 - - 440 - - -12604 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2230 - - 2388 - - 13833 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 0.9 - - 2.3 - - -1.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -3.0 - - -2.3 - - -6.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 0.6 - - 2.2 - - -0.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -3.5 - - -2.7 - - -6.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 36 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1732 - - 1628 - - 29 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95904 80 198 78 213 81 211 95904 88397 80 207 82 223 87 217 88397 82626 80 220 79 223 87 224 82626 77872 75 230 75 233 89 225 77872 73765 79 235 71 239 76 236 73765 70139 74 241 70 239 69 248 70139 66870 73 252 68 242 67 249 66870 63859 76 255 66 251 65 247 63859 61049 77 252 67 255 65 249 61049 58314 76 249 70 256 68 252 58314 55461 72 249 71 258 65 253 55461 52510 67 251 71 256 63 256 52510 49703 64 253 68 254 64 256 49703 47182 62 254 66 255 64 255 47182 44924 58 256 63 256 62 253 44924 42876 52 259 59 257 58 252 42876 41005 48 262 54 256 53 253 41005 39284 47 263 49 257 49 254 39284 37695 46 264 44 260 44 255 37695 36221 43 265 41 264 39 256 36221 34850 39 266 38 265 34 262 34850 33542 37 269 35 268 31 268 33542 32233 33 275 30 274 27 264 32233 30897 32 282 25 291 15 291 30897 29536 25 295 19 306 12 309 29536 28129 16 323 14 321 9 334 28129 26659 19 003 12 343 11 345 26659 25127 23 012 11 346 11 340 25127 23529 25 012 10 341 10 334 23529 21869 24 006 12 343 10 321 21869 20146 20 003 17 337 11 319 20146 18355 20 003 18 327 12 326 18355 16486 21 357 15 326 13 325 16486 14577 18 349 15 338 15 318 14577 12734 20 335 19 334 15 314 12734 11056 19 322 19 325 15 314 11056 9563 16 318 19 317 17 314 9563 8238 16 316 19 313 17 317 8238 7062 16 319 20 320 17 321 7062 6023 19 328 24 325 17 328 6023 5111 25 321 29 321 18 333 5111 4317 30 309 31 312 21 327 4317 3626 29 300 28 304 25 312 3626 3015 24*293 23*299 27 301 3015 2478 22*292 21*298 25 294 2478 2032 21 292 20 299 21 292 2032 1690 20 292 18 299 17 291 1690 1454 17 292 16 299 12 290 1454 1311 14 293 13 299 10*290 1311 1229 9 293 8 299 5*291 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography