DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.7 - - 33.8 - - 32.0 - - 28.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - -1 - - -15 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1095 - - 772 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2295 - - 1972 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2265 - - 3296 - - 4353 - - 2944 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 41 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 290 - - 285 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 712 - - 333 - - -333 - - -113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1584 - - 1639 - - 1564 - - 1344 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 202 - - -211 - - -1030 - - -1291 ODpotential blCL - - - 2093 - - 2183 - - 2261 - - 2522 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.7 - - 33.8 - - 32.0 - - 28.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 30.9 - - 29.6 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 34.1 - - 33.1 - - 30.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 30.6 - - 29.3 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - -1 - - -15 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1095 - - 772 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 99 - - 93 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95624 39 245 44 238 62 235 46 250 95624 88599 33 274 34 257 45 250 41 257 88599 83109 32 253 37 258 36 264 38 268 83109 78565 34 239 34 241 36 260 33 268 78565 74646 23 257 25 255 29 259 28 267 74646 71146 27 277 33 280 26 281 26 277 71146 67946 29 277 37 279 31 289 30 280 67946 64984 32 274 37 276 37 291 34 284 64984 62220 35 274 37 276 45 283 42 290 62220 59523 38 275 40 278 45 279 45 287 59523 56686 41 280 45 280 44 278 45 285 56686 53719 45 280 48 280 43 279 43 282 53719 50872 47 278 48 278 42 283 39 284 50872 48306 45 276 45 274 43 282 38 287 48306 46004 42 277 42 273 41 280 40 287 46004 43913 43 276 42 271 42 278 43 287 43913 41996 43 274 43 269 44 279 42 293 41996 40229 40 270 43 268 42 281 40 293 40229 38593 38 269 40 266 39 280 39 290 38593 37071 39 268 38 265 37 281 38 289 37071 35650 38 266 36 264 35 282 35 289 35650 34293 33 265 31 262 32 280 32 289 34293 32936 26 257 26 262 28 278 26 292 32936 31554 19 238 21 265 22 280 19 305 31554 30144 13 212 17 262 14 286 14 301 30144 28694 12 186 12 238 10 284 9 304 28694 27188 14 178 11 203 8 263 5 013 27188 25622 16 176 11 190 6 246 5 054 25622 23991 16 179 11 193 4 250 3 065 23991 22297 13 219 12 191 4 250 3 071 22297 20538 17 235 12 205 5 242 3 330 20538 18706 18 237 14 236 10 273 13 310 18706 16804 16 244 17 250 15 283 16 299 16804 14875 17 269 18 271 19 296 17 300 14875 13019 22 280 21 283 20 292 21 302 13019 11329 26 284 20 282 21 290 24 304 11329 9825 26 288 21 288 21 295 23 306 9825 8490 21 288 21 290 21 300 21 306 8490 7307 15 286 18 290 23 304 21 300 7307 6260 12 292 18 288 25 304 24 292 6260 5333 14 295 19 288 27 302 27 291 5333 4516 19 293 20 291 26 299 29 294 4516 3794 21 289 20 292 26 297 29 296 3794 3147 21 286 20 292 24 295 28 296 3147 2573 20*282 18 292 22 292 26 294 2573 2094 17*278 16*291 19 290 22 291 2094 1727 15 276 13*291 15 288 18 288 1727 1473 12 274 11 290 12 287 13 284 1473 1319 10 273 9 290 9 286 9*281 1319 1231 6 272 5 288 5*285 4*274 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography