DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 20.2 - - 12.7 - - 3.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - -29 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3155 - - 30 - - 29 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4355 - - 1230 - - 1229 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1986 - - 3604 - - 1407 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 211 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 327 - - 319 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1808 - - -1479 - - -987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2547 - - 2709 - - 2216 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 1000 - - -2699 - - -3699 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3355 - - 3929 - - 4928 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 78 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 20.2 - - 12.7 - - 3.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 13.5 - - 5.4 - - -1.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 20.3 - - 14.7 - - 7.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 12.6 - - 4.9 - - 1.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - -29 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3155 - - 30 - - 29 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 11 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94145 125 244 124 238 120 239 94145 87395 96 240 95 248 92 251 87395 82172 78 242 84 248 74 257 82172 77817 69 252 68 255 64 257 77817 74021 60 259 60 262 58 258 74021 70619 53 264 58 262 53 257 70619 67490 51 267 51 261 51 257 67490 64568 50 268 47 264 49 260 64568 61824 51 267 47 268 47 262 61824 59135 52 263 50 266 44 263 59135 56304 52 258 53 261 43 264 56304 53343 55 252 56 252 44 262 53343 50496 60 246 57 247 46 259 50496 47924 61 234 57 244 49 258 47924 45619 59 231 57 239 50 254 45619 43534 59 234 58 234 53 246 43534 41628 62 235 58 230 55 239 41628 39874 66 230 58 227 55 232 39874 38246 71 227 59 226 55 226 38246 36724 76 225 61 225 52 222 36724 35296 83 223 63 224 49 221 35296 33924 89 221 65 221 48 222 33924 32540 94 219 66 217 49 223 32540 31116 99 217 67 215 50 222 31116 29658 103 216 69 213 48 219 29658 28157 107 214 70 213 44 217 28157 26604 109 213 68 213 43 218 26604 25001 110 211 66 214 39 220 25001 23349 109 211 65 216 33 227 23349 21652 106 211 60 217 29 236 21652 19911 97 212 52 219 28 235 19911 18118 81 212 42 223 24 233 18118 16268 56 217 32 230 17 241 16268 14394 36 222 22 235 12 255 14394 12591 28 222 18 234 12 258 12591 10948 22 222 16 235 11 256 10948 9488 15 214 14 232 11 262 9488 8194 11 207 12 229 12 282 8194 7050 7 241 12 258 16 298 7050 6041 9 306 15 292 21 303 6041 5150 14 326 20 310 26 306 5150 4367 15*328 23 321 28 309 4367 3674 15*328 24 325 28 311 3674 3055 15 328 23 325 30 309 3055 2507 15 328 21 324 30 309 2507 2051 15 327 19 323 27 309 2051 1701 14 327 17 321 22 309 1701 1459 13 326 14 320 16 306 1459 1313 10 326 11*319 11 304 1313 1229 7 326 6*319 5*302 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography