DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 20.8 - - 20.7 - - 16.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1059 - - 1002 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2259 - - 2202 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 915 - - 1077 - - 1571 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 139 - - 42 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 308 - - 311 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 647 - - 444 - - -458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1612 - - 1758 - - 1688 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 431 - - 176 - - -8889 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1828 - - 2026 - - 10119 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 20.8 - - 20.7 - - 16.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 18.5 - - 17.8 - - 13.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 20.8 - - 21.1 - - 19.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 18.1 - - 17.7 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1059 - - 1002 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 101 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94782 82 240 85 248 96 243 94782 87883 63 241 69 250 62 244 87883 82503 70 258 64 258 62 259 82503 77991 69 258 63 259 66 258 77991 74102 56 252 62 251 68 248 74102 70640 48 244 55 249 59 252 70640 67459 45 264 52 270 56 268 67459 64505 60 277 61 284 59 279 64505 61743 68 278 66 286 60 282 61743 59041 69 278 66 285 62 285 59041 56232 71 282 71 286 75 289 56232 53337 76 284 82 284 80 285 53337 50557 80 285 85 284 78 286 50557 48039 80 291 84 291 82 293 48039 45786 86 297 89 298 91 296 45786 43754 91 300 97 299 95 296 43754 41901 95 302 100 298 97 296 41901 40203 99 302 101 297 99 295 40203 38646 102 303 104 300 96 295 38646 37206 107 305 106 302 93 301 37206 35860 112 304 101 306 105 309 35860 34568 106 305 114 315 123 306 34568 33265 119 315 132 311 128 303 33265 31921 136 316 136 308 129 304 31921 30535 140 312 133 310 130 308 30535 29086 134 311 136 312 128 310 29086 27563 125 313 141 311 122 310 27563 25967 119 316 134 313 119 307 25967 24299 114 319 117 316 117 307 24299 22565 108 323 103 317 106 310 22565 20772 97 326 91 319 89 312 20772 18911 78 326 79 321 79 314 18911 16977 62 328 66 320 71 316 16977 15011 50 329 55 318 55 321 15011 13122 40 329 47 321 44 318 13122 11404 34 334 41 325 38 311 11404 9877 33 340 34 324 34 308 9877 8517 33 340 28 324 30 306 8517 7309 31 336 27 328 26 305 7309 6239 27 332 27 329 24 307 6239 5295 21 332 25 326 21 314 5295 4469 16 339 20 325 18 321 4469 3744 18 334 17 323 15 324 3744 3103 20 321 16 317 14 321 3103 2540 19*315 15*314 13 323 2540 2072 16*309 13*312 11 331 2072 1713 14 308 11 311 7 338 1713 1466 12 308 9 311 5 344 1466 1316 10 307 7 311 3 349 1316 1230 7 307 5 310 0*056 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography