DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 54.2 - - 50.6 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 101 - - -22 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1151 - - 2261 - - 1574 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 2096 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2351 - - 3461 - - 2774 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 891 - - 763 - - 1246 - - 1403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 257 - - 75 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 345 - - 343 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1157 - - -1471 - - -1358 - - -754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3508 - - 4932 - - 4132 - - 1986 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10747 - - -10940 - - -11830 - - -12969 ODpotential blCL - - - 13098 - - 14401 - - 14604 - - 14201 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 60 - - 61 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 54.2 - - 50.6 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 37.3 - - 37.3 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 53.9 - - 51.8 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 36.1 - - 36.3 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 101 - - -22 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1151 - - 2261 - - 1574 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97386 5 206 10 342 4 299 9 280 97386 90152 0 210 4 336 5 297 6 304 90152 84582 2 278 4 237 14 298 5 350 84582 79928 2 340 5 190 17 280 9 329 79928 75896 7 229 3 315 9 269 10 293 75896 72338 13 272 13 299 7 311 9 287 72338 69117 15 269 17 280 14 301 15 304 69117 66157 20 261 19 275 16 284 15 290 66157 63418 21 264 20 264 19 272 17 282 63418 60766 23 272 24 269 25 270 22 279 60766 57997 29 259 31 263 29 271 31 287 57997 55123 33 252 38 261 42 264 41 283 55123 52380 40 252 40 252 41 256 43 276 52380 49907 42 248 38 249 39 258 41 271 49907 47687 44 250 38 248 40 259 41 274 47687 45668 47 250 40 250 40 259 41 276 45668 43815 47 243 42 248 38 257 37 276 43815 42104 48 237 44 247 36 254 33 274 42104 40515 48 234 44 242 35 248 31 273 40515 39034 51 235 44 238 35 246 32 269 39034 37647 51 234 43 238 36 247 31 263 37647 36317 47 231 44 237 38 244 29 258 36317 34973 38 234 40 235 39 240 26 257 34973 33581 38 240 39 243 38 243 22 265 33581 32141 39 245 40 251 35 248 21 280 32141 30638 38 251 37 252 32 255 21 289 30638 29057 37 255 33 249 29 262 20 292 29057 27398 36 259 31 253 26 264 20 287 27398 25665 34 268 27 260 23 268 18 286 25665 23858 33 276 22 266 19 274 17 291 23858 21980 30 282 19 277 13 281 16 290 21980 20021 26 289 15 289 9 287 15 291 20021 17975 21 295 11 299 8 300 15 289 17975 15880 14 298 9 309 9 309 15 289 15880 13855 11 304 11 312 12 312 15 298 13855 12012 12 317 12 315 14 313 14 312 12012 10378 13 332 12 324 13 320 12 324 10378 8933 15 347 13 344 12 339 10 343 8933 7655 18 357 17 000 15 357 12 002 7655 6526 20 359 20 006 18 003 15 011 6526 5531 21 357 22 004 22 002 17 013 5531 4661 20 354 22 357 22 358 19 013 4661 3897 19 358 18*352 19 352 20 013 3897 3219 17 007 14*345 18*347 20 014 3219 2622 16*007 13 345 17*345 20 014 2622 2126 11*003 13 345 16 343 18 011 2126 1744 10 001 12 345 15 342 14 005 1744 1482 9 360 11 345 12 341 10 357 1482 1323 8 359 10 345 10 340 7 345 1323 1232 6 358 7 344 6 339 3*334 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography