DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 27.4 - - 27.6 - - 25.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - 5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2362 - - 2011 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3562 - - 3211 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1858 - - 2282 - - 3845 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 208 - - 98 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 274 - - 271 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1404 - - 1067 - - -596 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2158 - - 2144 - - 1827 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 865 - - 445 - - -1306 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2697 - - 2766 - - 2537 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 27.4 - - 27.6 - - 25.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 22.5 - - 22.8 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 27.3 - - 27.9 - - 27.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.5 - - 22.2 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - 5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2362 - - 2011 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96607 45 039 34 060 34 037 96607 89547 34 061 32 056 28 038 89547 83954 26 069 20 046 24 044 83954 79241 12 040 14 017 17 030 79241 75157 8 008 10 342 14 005 75157 71542 7 337 9 318 12 328 71542 68252 8 324 14 338 9 311 68252 65204 14 309 20 320 14 301 65204 62357 12 305 20 303 12 294 62357 59569 13 300 19 292 21 296 59569 56640 20 295 32 286 26 293 56640 53613 29 292 34 284 32 306 53613 50745 30 298 33 290 39 307 50745 48175 34 302 37 296 46 298 48175 45873 40 298 43 299 46 292 45873 43783 43 298 47 297 50 292 43783 41873 44 298 49 293 52 290 41873 40119 46 299 50 288 52 293 40119 38496 50 301 50 293 53 294 38496 36988 55 302 58 302 56 294 36988 35585 61 299 67 301 61 297 35585 34249 65 298 74 301 70 296 34249 32910 73 298 82 301 76 296 32910 31542 81 298 88 301 82 298 31542 30145 84 297 94 303 91 301 30145 28702 82 297 99 304 98 303 28702 27200 78 298 101 304 96 300 27200 25636 75 298 97 304 93 297 25636 24004 72 300 86 305 90 299 24004 22301 69 301 79 306 86 303 22301 20531 64 301 76 307 79 304 20531 18694 55 301 69 306 73 300 18694 16785 46 300 55 304 69 299 16785 14841 40 297 45 302 62 299 14841 12974 35 294 38 298 52 296 12974 11280 32 294 35 294 44 291 11280 9777 30 295 33 292 40 288 9777 8443 26 297 32 292 38 288 8443 7259 23 299 29 290 36 289 7259 6212 20 293 26 285 33 289 6212 5289 19 283 24 278 29 286 5289 4480 17 278 22 275 27 285 4480 3766 17*277 21*274 26 286 3766 3127 16*276 19*273 25 286 3127 2560 14 274 17 271 23 287 2560 2086 13 274 15 271 20 286 2086 1721 12 273 13 270 17 286 1721 1471 11 273 11 270 13 285 1471 1318 9 273 9 270 10*284 1318 1231 6 273 6 269 4*282 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography