DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.6 - - 30.1 - - 30.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 10 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1661 - - 693 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2861 - - 1893 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1898 - - 2473 - - 2297 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 116 - - 45 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 172 - - 181 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 705 - - 151 - - -227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2156 - - 1742 - - 1458 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -65 - - -532 - - -1006 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2926 - - 2425 - - 2237 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.6 - - 30.1 - - 30.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.8 - - 27.1 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 29.8 - - 30.6 - - 31.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 23.9 - - 26.6 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 10 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1661 - - 693 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96559 9 148 4 272 5 302 96559 89438 7 092 5 183 9 278 89438 83938 2 231 2 168 5 271 83938 79336 2 286 6 295 4 054 79336 75315 7 224 13 264 6 295 75315 71731 4 205 10 237 9 298 71731 68473 10 245 15 240 15 274 68473 65473 12 237 10 241 13 278 65473 62680 16 267 16 265 20 272 62680 59956 19 257 18 254 21 260 59956 57084 21 258 20 264 21 261 57084 54073 26 263 26 268 26 257 54073 51183 39 251 34 254 27 260 51183 48577 44 234 35 255 35 266 48577 46250 40 230 43 254 40 257 46250 44151 39 233 44 245 38 248 44151 42232 39 234 39 240 35 250 42232 40465 39 237 38 245 36 255 40465 38827 43 241 42 248 38 254 38827 37301 48 241 46 244 39 253 37301 35876 51 239 46 239 42 255 35876 34513 52 238 44 240 46 253 34513 33150 52 238 46 244 47 249 33150 31756 52 239 50 242 47 246 31756 30331 53 240 53 239 46 248 30331 28860 53 241 56 239 47 251 28860 27329 53 241 58 239 49 252 27329 25743 51 241 57 241 50 252 25743 24100 51 244 55 244 49 253 24100 22400 51 247 54 249 49 254 22400 20643 51 251 54 252 48 255 20643 18816 48 253 52 254 48 254 18816 16912 45 252 48 253 46 254 16912 14965 43 250 45 252 44 256 14965 13084 41 249 43 252 42 258 13084 11372 38 244 40 251 41 258 11372 9858 36 243 36 249 39 258 9858 8522 34 247 33 250 37 258 8522 7338 31 242 31 250 32 257 7338 6285 30 227 30 244 28 253 6285 5351 29 213 29 231 26 247 5351 4527 26 201 27 217 25 239 4527 3800 23 188 25 204 26 229 3800 3149 21*179 22 197 25 218 3149 2574 20*176 20 192 21 208 2574 2094 18 173 17*186 17 201 2094 1726 17 171 15*183 14 193 1726 1473 14 169 12 180 10 186 1473 1319 11 168 10 179 8 182 1319 1231 7 167 6 177 4*179 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography