DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 18.8 - - 18.1 - - 15.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - -14 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2593 - - 155 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3793 - - 1355 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1898 - - 3999 - - 1369 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 219 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 239 - - 213 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 20 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 258 - - -942 - - -563 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3535 - - 2297 - - 1793 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1462 - - -1888 - - -2350 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5255 - - 3243 - - 3580 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 85 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 18.8 - - 18.1 - - 15.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 7.4 - - 12.4 - - 11.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 18.7 - - 19.7 - - 18.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 6.5 - - 12.0 - - 12.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - -14 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2593 - - 155 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 33 - - 40 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94541 106 215 110 216 102 215 94541 87210 90 203 100 207 95 209 87210 81488 74 211 82 217 88 221 81488 76785 88 223 88 223 92 224 76785 72838 91 218 77 219 75 216 72838 69380 79 209 72 212 62 211 69380 66224 64 208 65 214 57 213 66224 63293 58 211 59 216 52 217 63293 60545 54 219 55 224 48 234 60545 57873 57 229 59 228 61 234 57873 55092 61 229 57 223 60 235 55092 52205 60 230 54 230 58 240 52205 49446 59 233 60 234 56 239 49446 46961 59 232 61 231 53 236 46961 44730 58 229 56 231 53 235 44730 42706 57 229 55 234 56 236 42706 40855 57 229 56 237 57 237 40855 39152 56 230 56 238 55 238 39152 37576 54 231 55 239 53 240 37576 36107 50 231 55 240 53 241 36107 34732 47 231 53 241 52 241 34732 33413 44 232 50 241 51 241 33413 32088 43 236 47 240 49 242 32088 30730 44 239 44 239 49 243 30730 29345 44 238 44 234 49 242 29345 27921 42 237 42 230 48 239 27921 26448 43 239 39 233 44 237 26448 24925 45 239 36 239 42 245 24925 23348 46 238 33 238 48 250 23348 21714 45 240 31 239 52 249 21714 20016 48 244 34 241 49 246 20016 18245 51 248 38 242 44 248 18245 16392 54 251 42 243 40 249 16392 14494 53 255 44 246 39 245 14494 12666 49 257 42 249 40 244 12666 11012 43 258 37 254 38 244 11012 9554 42 257 36 258 33 242 9554 8268 44 258 36 257 28 238 8268 7128 47 259 33 250 26 234 7128 6116 45 257 30 241 25 231 6116 5218 41 255 28 234 26 229 5218 4425 34*250 26 231 28 227 4425 3724 29*244 23 227 29 223 3724 3095 24 240 21 225 29 218 3095 2537 22 239 18 223 26 211 2537 2070 20 238 16 221 21 204 2070 1712 18 237 13 219 16 193 1712 1465 16 236 10*216 12 180 1465 1316 13 236 7*214 8 172 1316 1230 9 235 4 211 4*165 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography