DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.9 - - 48.1 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 65 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2503 - - 1892 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2441 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3703 - - 3092 - - 1355 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2106 - - 1647 - - 1663 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 292 - - 209 - - 21 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 153 - - 143 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -10 - - -8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1115 - - 958 - - 82 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2589 - - 2134 - - 1273 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 601 - - 329 - - -576 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3102 - - 2763 - - 1931 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.9 - - 48.1 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.8 - - 43.0 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 49.4 - - 48.0 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.8 - - 42.3 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 65 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2503 - - 1892 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97734 8 134 3 169 6 273 97734 90358 4 112 4 141 4 297 90358 84697 5 155 7 078 6 133 84697 79979 9 163 0 084 3 183 79979 75881 8 191 7 230 5 213 75881 72237 8 230 8 225 8 232 72237 68913 15 208 14 228 12 233 68913 65831 18 198 23 221 21 236 65831 62970 13 199 22 216 22 236 62970 60205 17 256 17 241 23 251 60205 57315 33 244 29 245 27 245 57315 54297 36 241 33 245 27 259 54297 51410 39 249 40 251 41 258 51410 48827 42 246 42 250 44 246 48827 46525 43 242 44 249 43 246 46525 44447 44 242 45 249 49 254 44447 42552 47 243 48 250 55 247 42552 40808 50 244 51 246 48 242 40808 39190 54 243 51 242 46 251 39190 37683 55 241 52 243 51 252 37683 36276 55 244 55 247 51 247 36276 34935 70 249 57 246 51 245 34935 33601 92 242 61 240 51 240 33601 32247 88 237 67 233 53 234 32247 30870 83 235 64 229 56 224 30870 29445 80 233 62 227 53 227 29445 27947 75 231 60 224 40 235 27947 26378 68 229 58 219 31 249 26378 24735 62 227 54 215 32 251 24735 23017 58 226 48 218 29 248 23017 21227 54 228 44 229 30 246 21227 19360 51 232 39 232 33 244 19360 17411 46 236 36 227 34 240 17411 15421 38 232 35 234 34 238 15421 13500 34 224 31 238 32 236 13500 11750 33 224 26 227 30 233 11750 10191 28 222 22 222 27 224 10191 8806 21 217 20 220 24 210 8806 7574 17 209 19 214 24 204 7574 6479 15 192 20 206 25 200 6479 5507 16 175 20 197 25 194 5507 4650 18 163 18 185 23 183 4650 3894 19*158 17 167 22 166 3894 3219 19*155 18*152 23 148 3219 2623 19 154 17*146 24 134 2623 2127 18 153 17 144 22 130 2127 1745 17 152 16 142 18 128 1745 1483 16 152 14 141 14*125 1483 1324 13 151 12 140 11*125 1324 1232 9 151 8 139 6 123 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography