DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.0 - - 23.9 - - 20.0 - - 15.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 205 - - 205 - - 56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3640 - - 4206 - - 4247 - - 3672 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3591 - - 3868 - - 3890 - - 2422 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4840 - - 5406 - - 5447 - - 4872 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1010 - - 2106 - - 1896 - - 1266 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 421 - - 393 - - 392 - - 243 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 32 - - 29 - - 29 - - 26 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 245 - - 259 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 19 - - 19 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 11 - - 2 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1427 - - 2405 - - 2398 - - 1738 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3414 - - 3001 - - 3049 - - 3134 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 337 - - 1408 - - 1394 - - 998 ODpotential blCL - - - 4503 - - 3998 - - 4053 - - 3874 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.0 - - 23.9 - - 20.0 - - 15.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.2 - - 15.0 - - 11.0 - - 6.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.2 - - 23.3 - - 19.6 - - 15.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.1 - - 13.9 - - 9.8 - - 5.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 205 - - 205 - - 56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3640 - - 4206 - - 4247 - - 3672 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 101 - - 101 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96544 13 230 2 022 0 039 7 272 96544 89449 7 142 4 337 3 195 11 289 89449 83918 5 071 8 172 3 258 11 306 83918 79272 3 097 8 189 7 240 11 261 79272 75237 2 192 5 189 4 237 1 226 75237 71641 8 237 11 223 10 261 4 269 71641 68360 4 249 7 183 10 211 11 237 68360 65341 13 229 11 240 8 206 11 215 65341 62528 17 201 19 220 7 221 9 261 62528 59772 16 182 20 182 17 209 22 243 59772 56885 14 203 16 182 24 209 24 226 56885 53882 28 224 22 211 25 226 29 226 53882 51004 53 213 52 212 44 220 41 216 51004 48407 66 196 64 205 50 211 43 208 48407 46072 63 200 68 206 60 213 51 216 46072 43951 74 207 78 205 72 211 67 218 43951 42017 91 207 86 203 79 209 80 212 42017 40242 107 205 98 206 88 209 87 205 40242 38600 123 198 113 207 97 208 88 203 38600 37071 138 194 123 202 102 208 89 206 37071 35641 154 194 142 194 112 207 96 209 35641 34271 162 195 150 192 124 202 105 208 34271 32897 163 195 156 194 135 197 116 206 32897 31489 164 195 169 196 138 195 128 202 31489 30050 164 194 176 194 138 198 133 199 30050 28565 163 194 176 194 143 200 138 197 28565 27018 161 195 172 196 147 201 142 197 27018 25406 157 197 167 198 148 202 144 198 25406 23725 151 199 158 199 146 202 145 200 23725 21975 145 199 151 199 146 202 145 201 21975 20163 139 198 147 199 149 202 135 202 20163 18296 133 199 138 199 139 204 110 205 18296 16383 121 203 123 200 104 212 75 212 16383 14462 101 208 98 208 75 224 53 223 14462 12628 79 214 79 218 62 232 44 234 12628 10969 66 217 68 225 54 239 39 248 10969 9503 59 221 58 234 51 250 38 262 9503 8207 55 229 43 240 45 252 36 269 8207 7063 50 239 31 241 33 251 34 269 7063 6055 39 242 32*242 32*252 32 267 6055 5167 34*240 32*243 32*254 31*268 5167 4385 34*240 32 244 32 256 30*269 4385 3692 34 239 32 245 32 258 30 270 3692 3071 34 239 31 245 31 260 29 271 3071 2521 33 239 30 245 30 261 27 271 2521 2061 32 239 29 245 28 262 26 271 2061 1707 30 239 27 245 27 262 23 272 1707 1463 26 239 24 245 24 263 20 272 1463 1315 22 239 20 245 20 263 17 272 1315 1230 14 238 13 245 13 263 11 271 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography