DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 59.9 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 16 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 909 - - 1007 - - 254 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2109 - - 2207 - - 1454 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2062 - - 2373 - - 2946 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 110 - - 73 - - 32 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 290 - - 290 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 657 - - 633 - - 30 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1452 - - 1575 - - 1424 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2 - - -68 - - -783 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2111 - - 2275 - - 2237 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 300 - - 450 - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 59.9 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.3 - - 56.8 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.1 - - 60.2 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.0 - - 56.4 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 16 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 909 - - 1007 - - 254 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99125 28 090 30 068 27 086 99125 91567 26 084 19 077 23 075 91567 85744 17 082 19 086 21 065 85744 80922 17 085 19 077 18 074 80922 76785 18 084 16 079 11 078 76785 73133 13 078 11 081 7 082 73133 69817 11 101 7 067 3 107 69817 66751 6 111 3 350 7 130 66751 63891 6 169 5 213 2 288 63891 61130 4 196 5 179 5 223 61130 58247 9 234 7 230 7 233 58247 55231 16 247 17 249 16 264 55231 52341 24 251 26 254 26 258 52341 49734 32 235 28 246 30 245 49734 47402 27 242 27 251 32 243 47402 45294 34 253 34 257 32 249 45294 43368 38 254 35 257 34 251 43368 41592 40 255 36 256 34 251 41592 39944 42 256 37 256 32 257 39944 38410 42 256 37 258 35 261 38410 36982 39 257 36 256 37 260 36982 35623 34 255 30 250 36 260 35623 34267 20 250 17 248 25 259 34267 32889 7 218 4 240 8 254 32889 31481 5 205 4 263 3 289 31481 30017 4 257 5 284 8 278 30017 28479 12 300 9 296 11 281 28479 26869 18 295 12 296 11 295 26869 25185 21 291 14 305 12 308 25185 23426 21 294 16 309 16 307 23426 21596 19 301 16 306 15 298 21596 19690 21 313 16 305 16 290 19690 17704 26 311 21 301 18 291 17704 15679 25 313 24 299 19 291 15679 13726 27 313 26 299 20 293 13726 11948 29 312 28 300 22 297 11948 10367 30 312 29 300 24 301 10367 8959 30 309 30 300 25 304 8959 7706 30 308 30 300 25 306 7706 6593 30 309 28 299 25 305 6593 5607 30 305 28 297 24 302 5607 4736 30 301 28 295 23 298 4736 3965 29 298 28 295 22 295 3965 3275 28 296 26 294 21 291 3275 2664 26 295 24*293 19 288 2664 2154 23*293 21*291 17 285 2154 1762 19*291 18 290 14 281 1762 1492 16 290 15 290 11*279 1492 1328 13 290 12 289 9*277 1328 1233 8 289 7 288 5 275 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography