DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 57.8 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 101 - - 9 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2449 - - 2997 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2284 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3649 - - 4197 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2020 - - 2949 - - 1308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 271 - - 156 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 29 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 236 - - 246 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 19 - - 24 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1171 - - -1072 - - -862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4821 - - 5269 - - 2095 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4348 - - -3168 - - -2638 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7997 - - 7365 - - 3871 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 96 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 57.8 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.2 - - 39.0 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.8 - - 58.0 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.0 - - 38.1 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 101 - - 9 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2449 - - 2997 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 29 - - 83 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96450 24 228 27 249 23 247 96450 89159 23 243 26 248 26 259 89159 83535 17 246 21 249 21 264 83535 78883 22 244 18 255 18 271 78883 74875 15 243 19 268 19 268 74875 71341 13 274 15 296 15 249 71341 68113 27 279 17 291 10 277 68113 65108 34 274 35 282 37 278 65108 62327 39 270 42 276 46 278 62327 59644 42 266 45 277 49 282 59644 56835 45 270 50 276 53 281 56835 53900 52 273 56 275 54 278 53900 51093 58 276 60 274 60 276 51093 48570 65 278 64 277 65 271 48570 46313 72 277 70 278 64 271 46313 44270 74 276 71 278 65 279 44270 42419 76 279 76 283 81 285 42419 40738 85 280 93 283 96 283 40738 39208 95 280 101 279 101 285 39208 37802 103 281 100 280 107 289 37802 36490 109 282 102 282 109 291 36490 35220 111 282 107 280 109 291 35220 33927 108 281 108 276 108 291 33927 32582 103 280 103 275 104 290 32582 31189 97 280 98 277 98 287 31189 29735 90 279 94 277 92 284 29735 28208 85 280 89 276 88 281 28208 26609 83 282 86 276 87 279 26609 24937 82 283 84 277 83 277 24937 23194 79 283 82 277 78 274 23194 21378 77 281 79 275 76 272 21378 19486 75 279 78 272 77 268 19486 17511 72 280 77 270 78 269 17511 15494 65 280 74 272 70 267 15494 13553 58 274 66 274 58 258 13553 11792 55 268 55 275 50 252 11792 10229 53 269 47 274 46 251 10229 8839 50 273 43 272 47 252 8839 7603 46 272 41 268 48 256 7603 6505 43 267 40 262 48 262 6505 5535 40 260 39 256 44 267 5535 4681 37 254 37*251 40 268 4681 3924 33*247 35*248 37 269 3924 3245 30*240 34 247 35 268 3245 2643 27 236 32 246 31 265 2643 2139 26 235 30 245 27 261 2139 1753 23 234 26 245 22 254 1753 1487 21 234 22 245 15 244 1487 1325 17 233 18 245 11*237 1325 1233 11 232 11 245 4*225 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography