DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 72.6 - - 65.5 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 157 - - -13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1588 - - 4616 - - 572 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1484 - - 4081 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2788 - - 5816 - - 1772 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1153 - - 4983 - - 2537 - - 1977 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 382 - - 91 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 32 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 206 - - 216 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 27 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -9 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -880 - - 286 - - -1300 - - -237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3668 - - 5530 - - 3072 - - 1471 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3569 - - -1352 - - -3923 - - -2114 ODpotential blCL - - - 6357 - - 7168 - - 5695 - - 3348 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 85 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 330 - - 1050 - - 860 - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 72.6 - - 65.5 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.5 - - 52.3 - - 55.9 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 72.3 - - 66.2 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 51.3 - - 54.6 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 157 - - -13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1588 - - 4616 - - 572 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 40 - - 62 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97937 9 101 5 195 9 273 7 062 97937 90557 4 104 12 137 9 212 6 275 90557 84851 10 148 9 163 4 200 13 237 84851 80085 11 168 11 187 6 201 12 210 80085 75956 7 178 15 190 11 204 9 186 75956 72300 1 169 12 180 10 208 5 173 72300 68974 7 182 10 192 16 210 8 248 68974 65897 11 183 13 207 18 198 14 218 65897 63029 18 205 18 218 17 207 15 224 63029 60238 23 192 18 216 15 206 20 216 60238 57330 21 208 21 221 21 233 24 231 57330 54317 23 222 28 222 29 236 28 230 54317 51459 29 228 28 220 30 230 32 239 51459 48925 36 230 26 230 28 230 34 232 48925 46665 37 233 31 239 35 244 29 252 46665 44615 36 235 41 245 38 247 42 248 44615 42766 41 233 50 240 50 249 50 233 42766 41093 45 234 56 236 56 233 48 241 41093 39559 54 234 58 227 56 216 52 247 39559 38135 57 229 54 216 48 232 57 247 38135 36808 55 230 50 227 59 251 56 247 36808 35532 52 233 56 243 53 245 60 256 35532 34238 51 238 56 240 43 233 62 255 34238 32896 51 242 50 227 42 237 61 251 32896 31504 52 242 49 219 40 241 59 249 31504 30047 50 241 52 223 39 243 54 244 30047 28513 46 236 54 227 39 243 48 236 28513 26902 46 231 55 228 39 238 45 231 26902 25213 46 228 56 227 40 231 41 226 25213 23449 46 225 55 230 43 225 40 220 23449 21615 45 227 54 235 46 226 42 221 21615 19705 44 230 52 238 47 228 45 226 19705 17714 45 230 51 237 47 230 46 231 17714 15683 51 233 51 234 51 233 45 236 15683 13728 54 236 53 233 55 233 44 237 13728 11949 53 238 55 231 58 230 44 236 11949 10370 51 237 55 230 61 227 48 234 10370 8968 47 235 51 227 62 226 52 231 8968 7720 43 230 48 223 62 226 52 229 7720 6608 40 224 44*219 60 226 50 227 6608 5621 40 220 40*214 56 228 47 227 5621 4747 38 218 36 209 51 229 43 227 4747 3974 36 217 34 205 46 229 39 228 3974 3281 32*214 33 204 41 229 32 229 3281 2668 25*204 31 203 34 227 26 229 2668 2157 21 196 30 202 26*223 19 227 2157 1763 19 194 28 202 20*219 14 225 1763 1492 17 193 25 201 16 216 10 221 1492 1328 14 192 21 201 13 214 7*218 1328 1234 10 191 14 200 9 211 4*214 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography