DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.6 - - 30.6 - - 23.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 20 - - 9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1322 - - 1590 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2522 - - 2790 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1670 - - 1974 - - 2308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 125 - - 104 - - 2 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 086 - - 023 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 807 - - 797 - - -559 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1715 - - 1993 - - 1791 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 451 - - 277 - - -2125 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2071 - - 2513 - - 3356 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.6 - - 30.6 - - 23.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.6 - - 26.4 - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 29.7 - - 30.7 - - 26.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.0 - - 25.8 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 20 - - 9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1322 - - 1590 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97056 24 085 15 064 26 064 97056 89901 24 090 18 083 20 069 89901 84315 23 079 20 092 20 076 84315 79615 18 076 20 088 15 082 79615 75516 14 062 14 083 9 072 75516 71883 4 060 5 127 7 354 71883 68595 3 247 2 295 6 301 68595 65568 9 296 10 277 12 268 65568 62747 14 312 12 285 11 268 62747 59997 25 291 19 285 16 291 59997 57114 28 266 27 264 28 279 57114 54104 26 270 28 254 32 263 54104 51212 35 272 27 258 30 264 51212 48605 38 269 34 267 39 269 48605 46274 43 271 43 271 45 268 46274 44162 53 271 52 270 49 266 44162 42234 55 265 57 269 51 266 42234 40471 55 261 61 265 55 269 40471 38846 54 264 63 261 64 268 38846 37339 56 268 63 258 68 261 37339 35934 59 266 61 258 61 260 35934 34591 60 261 58 262 56 264 34591 33242 48 264 53 264 56 264 33242 31862 45 274 42 262 48 264 31862 30458 45 269 27 271 32 265 30458 29012 39 270 27 278 21 281 29012 27504 32 277 25 282 21 287 27504 25928 26 284 24 284 18 289 25928 24280 23 283 23 287 17 291 24280 22560 21 283 21 287 18 290 22560 20768 21 288 23 288 21 290 20768 18901 22 293 27 287 24 292 18901 16954 25 292 30 288 25 289 16954 14973 31 292 31 287 27 284 14973 13068 34 296 28 288 25 286 13068 11345 29 300 23 294 22 291 11345 9825 18 303 16 294 17 301 9825 8482 11 297 11 300 11 330 8482 7293 7 295 8 310 9 020 7293 6242 3 353 5 308 9 035 6242 5313 5 023 4 360 7 031 5313 4496 3 011 5 027 6 038 4496 3775 2 055 8 028 7 061 3775 3131 5 084 9*026 8 065 3131 2561 6*089 9*025 9 053 2561 2086 6*087 8 023 10 032 2086 1721 6 086 8 022 10 021 1721 1470 5 085 7 021 8 014 1470 1318 5 084 6 020 6*006 1318 1231 3 083 4 020 3*355 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography