DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.0 - - 31.9 - - 29.3 - - 27.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 5 - - -15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 826 - - 859 - - 1176 - - 494 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2026 - - 2059 - - 2376 - - 1694 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1978 - - 3828 - - 3524 - - 3459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 101 - - 81 - - 67 - - 41 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - 24 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 279 - - 279 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 13 - - 20 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 795 - - 405 - - 459 - - 76 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1231 - - 1654 - - 1917 - - 1618 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 285 - - -331 - - -375 - - -620 ODpotential blCL - - - 1741 - - 2390 - - 2751 - - 2314 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.0 - - 31.9 - - 29.3 - - 27.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 28.4 - - 24.8 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.1 - - 32.0 - - 29.9 - - 28.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.9 - - 28.0 - - 24.2 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 5 - - -15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 826 - - 859 - - 1176 - - 494 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 95 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95049 52 235 51 237 62 244 57 242 95049 88215 47 262 48 247 53 249 48 252 88215 82887 43 262 41 254 45 255 35 257 82887 78408 40 257 33 264 37 262 35 266 78408 74514 38 257 32 264 37 261 40 258 74514 71040 34 257 34 259 36 258 40 253 71040 67867 32 263 34 263 33 256 36 258 67867 64924 32 275 33 268 29 261 31 262 64924 62165 37 278 33 271 28 269 30 268 62165 59459 41 269 35 274 33 273 34 274 59459 56606 40 255 40 267 41 269 40 275 56606 53625 37 252 44 254 46 261 42 270 53625 50766 34 259 41 245 43 254 40 265 50766 48186 34 271 35 250 39 257 38 266 48186 45872 39 273 36 261 40 264 40 271 45872 43772 43 267 40 263 42 266 44 270 43772 41850 43 261 42 258 41 263 45 268 41850 40076 40 261 41 250 39 258 44 265 40076 38427 37 264 38 244 38 251 40 261 38427 36889 36 265 36 241 36 245 35 258 36889 35450 36 264 35 240 33 242 29 259 35450 34076 36 260 35 241 28 240 27 265 34076 32698 37 255 36 241 25 243 25 265 32698 31288 38 249 37 241 23 251 17 276 31288 29852 38 244 38 238 20 256 15 285 29852 28373 39 239 38 230 17 253 12 288 28373 26841 38 234 34 224 12 247 9 301 26841 25257 36 230 28 222 6 245 8 315 25257 23618 34 227 24 228 3 270 7 311 23618 21921 34 224 24 234 5 296 8 312 21921 20171 33 222 24 239 10 297 9 328 20171 18373 34 227 22 247 9 278 7 021 18373 16512 33 233 18 254 7 276 3 344 16512 14613 28 241 15 278 14 284 10 263 14613 12778 22 251 19 286 25 282 20 276 12778 11109 23 266 26 283 37 285 33 293 11109 9636 27 276 33 285 43 287 39 299 9636 8340 30 278 36 286 42 289 38 300 8340 7192 31 279 38 285 40 290 38 300 7192 6172 32 283 39 286 40 289 41 301 6172 5267 35 285 38 285 41 286 43 297 5267 4467 35 284 37 285 41 285 43 291 4467 3758 32 284 35 284 40 283 42 288 3758 3122 28 283 32 282 38 282 40 286 3122 2557 25 283 29 281 35*281 36 283 2557 2085 21*283 25*280 31*280 32 282 2085 1721 17*283 22*280 27 279 27*280 1721 1471 14 283 18 279 22 279 22*279 1471 1318 12 283 15 279 18 278 18 279 1318 1231 7 282 9 278 11 278 11 278 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography