DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.9 - - 84.4 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 40 - - -28 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3505 - - 3885 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2720 - - 1219 - - 1219 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4705 - - 5085 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1850 - - 2590 - - 4619 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 268 - - 197 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 17 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 260 - - 262 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 822 - - 1321 - - -702 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3883 - - 3764 - - 1937 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2233 - - -1091 - - -2648 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6938 - - 6176 - - 3883 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 81 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1660 - - 2310 - - 3070 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.9 - - 84.4 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.6 - - 71.6 - - 74.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.9 - - 85.7 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.3 - - 70.2 - - 73.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 40 - - -28 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3505 - - 3885 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 25 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99629 27 081 30 073 32 068 99629 92110 27 083 23 082 23 066 92110 86315 23 081 20 077 14 071 86315 81487 18 085 13 077 14 076 81487 77323 13 089 12 087 12 075 77323 73641 8 099 11 070 12 077 73641 70305 6 118 5 038 8 061 70305 67245 7 126 0 210 4 359 67245 64420 2 029 3 163 1 133 64420 61702 2 250 5 250 1 267 61702 58899 3 204 4 258 6 237 58899 56038 6 235 13 291 8 273 56038 53331 22 243 18 269 15 279 53331 50891 30 226 24 261 34 266 50891 48711 28 224 37 251 45 260 48711 46739 34 245 43 253 50 263 46739 44921 43 260 48 259 56 262 44921 43226 50 268 50 259 55 259 43226 41641 50 268 46 262 49 253 41641 40157 44 266 40 262 38 246 40157 38759 39 262 37 256 36 252 38759 37404 35 260 36 258 41 262 37404 36020 33 259 36 266 43 267 36020 34581 31 259 37 269 43 268 34581 33088 31 260 38 269 43 270 33088 31528 30 260 38 265 45 272 31528 29889 30 261 40 259 44 271 29889 28171 30 263 41 255 42 270 28171 26375 30 261 41 256 41 272 26375 24507 32 255 40 259 39 277 24507 22569 36 254 41 270 38 284 22569 20556 36 264 41 275 38 284 20556 18466 35 273 42 278 39 280 18466 16345 34 275 42 282 36 276 16345 14308 34 275 38 288 33 274 14308 12455 33 276 35 290 32 272 12455 10807 32 278 32 290 30 272 10807 9340 31 282 30 288 29 273 9340 8033 29 284 28 284 29 272 8033 6870 26 282 26 275 28 270 6870 5837 24 277 23*267 27 267 5837 4924 21*272 20*262 25 266 4924 4115 16*264 19 262 24 267 4115 3389 14 260 18 262 24 268 3389 2745 13 259 17 261 22 270 2745 2207 12 259 16 262 20 272 2207 1793 11 259 14 261 17 274 1793 1508 10 258 12 261 12 275 1508 1334 9 258 10 261 8 275 1334 1235 7 257 7 260 3*270 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography