DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.7 - - 15.1 - - 11.1 - - 6.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 42 - - -35 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2479 - - 2825 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3679 - - 4025 - - 1230 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 692 - - 1460 - - 3545 - - 3001 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 204 - - 9 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 23 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 260 - - 252 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1159 - - 1466 - - -1179 - - -574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2520 - - 2559 - - 2409 - - 1804 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 629 - - 716 - - -2063 - - -1772 ODpotential blCL - - - 3050 - - 3309 - - 3293 - - 3002 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.7 - - 15.1 - - 11.1 - - 6.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.8 - - 8.0 - - 4.8 - - 3.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 15.7 - - 15.2 - - 13.0 - - 8.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.0 - - 7.3 - - 4.5 - - 4.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 42 - - -35 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2479 - - 2825 - - 30 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 99 - - 70 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94621 74 225 75 231 71 231 72 229 94621 87680 59 237 63 240 45 234 50 237 87680 82295 46 245 50 244 37 262 48 241 82295 77761 45 237 55 236 51 251 58 249 77761 73848 47 230 54 228 62 243 65 245 73848 70377 47 230 47 222 61 235 51 245 70377 67206 44 240 43 229 50 226 42 241 67206 64252 43 247 42 245 43 230 41 235 64252 61472 45 242 43 251 42 240 43 235 61472 58748 47 235 43 248 39 246 46 238 58748 55886 49 230 44 242 37 250 47 241 55886 52897 51 228 51 238 41 251 50 246 52897 50035 54 230 62 236 48 248 56 247 50035 47463 59 233 72 232 55 243 58 240 47463 45157 67 233 75 228 62 237 56 235 45157 43054 72 230 73 226 65 232 53 237 43054 41121 73 225 69 223 66 227 53 240 41121 39335 68 221 64 220 64 224 55 240 39335 37678 63 217 59 218 63 226 56 237 37678 36132 59 214 55 217 62 226 57 235 36132 34685 56 214 50 217 58 225 55 235 34685 33300 54 215 47 221 54 227 53 237 33300 31909 56 218 48 227 53 231 52 238 31909 30489 60 221 52 231 53 233 49 240 30489 29041 66 222 58 231 53 234 47 242 29041 27552 72 222 64 228 54 235 45 245 27552 26017 78 219 68 225 52 235 42 249 26017 24441 82 215 71 223 47 237 40 255 24441 22830 81 213 70 222 44 242 38 263 22830 21189 81 212 65 221 42 248 33 271 21189 19510 80 213 59 224 39 254 28 282 19510 17783 77 214 53 230 36 259 26 304 17783 15998 71 217 49 235 34 260 28 311 15998 14180 62 224 42 240 31 260 30 306 14180 12425 53 231 37 249 28 269 32 302 12425 10824 43 238 34 258 30 285 33 296 10824 9397 35 246 34 265 36 288 35 290 9397 8129 31 253 36 270 40 285 39 287 8129 7002 31 261 38 271 42 280 44 286 7002 6005 33 265 39 269 42 275 47 285 6005 5125 35 267 36 266 40 270 47 282 5125 4351 34 267 31*262 37 263 45 278 4351 3666 29*267 28*260 34 258 41 275 3666 3052 23*267 26 260 31 254 37 272 3052 2507 22 268 25 260 29 253 33 270 2507 2051 20 268 23 260 26 253 28 268 2051 1701 19 269 20 261 23 253 22 266 1701 1460 16 269 17 261 18 253 15 264 1460 1314 13 269 14 261 15*253 12*261 1314 1230 8 269 9 262 8*252 4*251 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography