DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.2 - - 24.2 - - 23.0 - - 19.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 107 - - 10 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2836 - - 3604 - - 2990 - - 1078 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2355 - - 3061 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4036 - - 4804 - - 4190 - - 2278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 961 - - 856 - - 1383 - - 2538 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 260 - - 302 - - 137 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 15 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 261 - - 275 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 308 - - 1676 - - 1323 - - 272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3729 - - 3128 - - 2867 - - 2006 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9691 - - 874 - - 601 - - -438 ODpotential blCL - - - 13727 - - 3930 - - 3589 - - 2716 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.2 - - 24.2 - - 23.0 - - 19.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.2 - - 14.9 - - 14.8 - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.0 - - 23.9 - - 23.2 - - 20.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.1 - - 13.8 - - 13.9 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 107 - - 10 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2836 - - 3604 - - 2990 - - 1078 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 79 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96878 8 353 13 058 16 077 11 079 96878 89666 6 086 10 043 12 066 12 044 89666 84037 9 080 2 070 4 062 7 058 84037 79311 5 059 8 131 1 243 4 071 79311 75199 7 255 2 115 4 258 6 281 75199 71561 17 228 10 262 3 178 7 206 71561 68246 17 217 25 232 9 236 5 233 68246 65171 14 259 17 223 23 233 17 244 65171 62313 25 280 19 270 14 262 9 226 62313 59518 36 269 42 259 29 266 15 274 59518 56597 40 250 45 244 42 255 35 267 56597 53582 38 242 43 240 46 245 42 255 53582 50712 38 247 43 241 45 242 44 250 50712 48133 41 250 45 244 48 244 48 249 48133 45826 44 250 50 245 53 243 55 246 45826 43737 48 251 55 243 58 242 59 243 43737 41829 54 251 59 244 63 239 59 242 41829 40072 59 250 64 245 64 239 61 244 40072 38448 67 251 69 244 67 241 68 243 38448 36941 76 247 74 247 76 243 72 240 36941 35536 78 244 81 248 83 239 72 237 35536 34193 80 246 85 245 83 239 73 237 34193 32848 84 245 91 245 91 240 75 239 32848 31476 85 244 101 243 107 236 79 239 31476 30080 85 244 106 242 111 230 82 237 30080 28642 85 246 108 241 112 227 89 231 28642 27147 84 248 103 240 109 229 94 227 27147 25587 82 248 92 240 101 234 92 228 25587 23955 78 250 83 239 97 238 86 231 23955 22253 74 253 75 239 92 240 80 236 22253 20485 69 255 70 238 88 242 74 241 20485 18646 63 255 65 237 74 243 65 245 18646 16732 59 252 60 237 61 242 57 247 16732 14781 55 251 54 237 55 240 53 246 14781 12905 49 251 48 238 50 239 49 248 12905 11203 45 253 42 238 46 241 41 251 11203 9697 40 256 38 238 42 243 36 254 9697 8364 35 259 35 242 39 245 34 256 8364 7182 32 261 32 245 34 247 34 257 7182 6140 33 264 27 248 27 249 29 257 6140 5228 34 267 19*253 20 259 23 258 5228 4430 29*267 18*256 18*267 20 267 4430 3726 22*267 18 258 17*270 18 275 3726 3095 19 268 18 261 17 273 16 287 3095 2537 18 269 17 262 16 275 14*304 2537 2071 17 270 16 263 15 277 12*313 2071 1713 16 270 15 263 14 278 11 317 1713 1466 15 271 14 264 12 279 9 319 1466 1316 12 271 12 264 10 280 7 320 1316 1230 8 270 8 264 7 280 4 321 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography