DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 49.9 - - 48.5 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 12 - - -13 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 32 - - 512 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1232 - - 1712 - - 1232 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 498 - - 850 - - 817 - - 666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 79 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 159 - - 133 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 398 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1232 - - 1314 - - 1232 - - 1232 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4734 - - -1852 - - -2313 - - -2165 ODpotential blCL - - - 5966 - - 3564 - - 3545 - - 3397 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 40 - - 60 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 49.9 - - 48.5 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 48.1 - - 47.9 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 49.9 - - 49.4 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 47.7 - - 48.1 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 12 - - -13 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 32 - - 512 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95675 22 025 18 010 23 039 24 034 95675 88800 18 047 21 358 16 053 22 024 88800 83414 11 023 10 359 9 347 16 017 83414 78888 8 360 1 036 11 308 11 330 78888 74969 8 330 6 281 10 271 11 274 74969 71481 14 280 10 293 11 278 9 269 71481 68284 16 274 17 267 21 265 11 263 68284 65321 23 257 21 246 23 252 17 251 65321 62558 28 242 30 235 31 222 26 232 62558 59855 31 243 32 232 29 227 29 232 59855 57019 38 242 41 242 43 236 41 234 57019 54075 46 240 54 240 52 230 52 227 54075 51263 50 240 59 231 55 230 59 224 51263 48734 61 238 63 230 66 229 65 223 48734 46473 69 231 71 230 77 231 65 228 46473 44418 69 228 80 230 85 231 74 237 44418 42529 72 232 87 229 91 227 90 230 42529 40807 81 235 86 228 91 218 90 208 40807 39236 88 237 85 230 82 219 73 203 39236 37774 94 236 92 230 86 228 72 214 37774 36401 98 231 99 222 98 228 85 218 36401 35080 99 227 97 217 97 222 94 219 35080 33742 95 227 88 217 87 220 98 217 33742 32361 90 227 77 223 83 220 96 213 32361 30947 87 225 73 232 87 221 91 209 30947 29491 85 226 70 235 82 217 83 207 29491 27977 82 229 66 234 78 215 77 205 27977 26394 77 230 59 233 72 214 75 204 26394 24738 70 229 54 234 66 214 73 205 24738 23010 61 228 51 235 64 214 71 206 23010 21212 56 229 52 233 61 214 67 207 21212 19340 55 231 50 230 57 212 61 209 19340 17391 51 232 47 228 52 213 54 210 17391 15405 46 230 46 230 42 215 46 210 15405 13491 39 228 41 231 34 216 35 205 13491 11749 32 229 32 226 34 217 33 206 11749 10198 26 233 25 221 34 218 32 208 10198 8819 25 235 25 219 31 219 34 209 8819 7591 25 237 28 219 28 219 33 206 7591 6501 23 238 29 218 25 217 30 203 6501 5533 20 238 28 216 22 213 28 198 5533 4676 17 239 26 215 21 206 27 194 4676 3918 16 238 23 214 20 197 27 192 3918 3239 15 234 20 209 20 187 27 187 3239 2637 15 224 17 201 18 174 26 177 2637 2135 16 210 13 186 18 158 24 167 2135 1749 13 193 10*166 16 148 21 163 1749 1485 9 175 9*161 12 142 14 159 1485 1324 6*168 7 159 9 138 10 159 1324 1232 3*158 5 157 4*133 5*156 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography