DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.4 - - 26.2 - - 19.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - -8 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 566 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1766 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 389 - - 611 - - 222 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 113 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 259 - - 101 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1257 - - -790 - - -1002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3023 - - 2021 - - 2233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13529 - - -12170 - - -15878 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15295 - - 13401 - - 17109 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 71 - - 69 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.4 - - 26.2 - - 19.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 17.7 - - 22.0 - - 14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 26.4 - - 29.4 - - 24.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 16.8 - - 21.4 - - 16.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - -8 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 566 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95028 63 250 57 258 57 268 95028 88275 41 254 45 264 46 268 88275 82980 30 264 35 267 34 266 82980 78535 30 273 30 263 28 261 78535 74663 28 270 33 264 28 268 74663 71206 26 274 32 261 31 276 71206 68050 23 283 32 266 35 275 68050 65119 30 292 35 267 37 273 65119 62377 38 288 34 267 40 270 62377 59710 35 286 32 275 36 269 59710 56911 47 287 35 286 32 286 56911 53988 59 284 52 280 49 287 53988 51205 57 272 59 276 58 280 51205 48717 51 274 60 278 59 277 48717 46499 59 292 62 278 63 279 46499 44494 68 287 62 281 65 278 44494 42658 71 290 64 286 66 282 42658 40976 83 294 76 294 81 283 40976 39434 105 292 100 290 95 289 39434 38010 123 288 111 286 106 288 38010 36682 123 288 111 285 104 280 36682 35399 117 288 111 283 99 273 35399 34090 111 289 113 282 99 272 34090 32726 107 290 112 281 95 275 32726 31313 105 288 107 285 86 274 31313 29837 105 288 96 288 78 274 29837 28285 104 290 90 288 75 276 28285 26658 84 297 85 293 69 283 26658 24955 65 288 68 293 60 281 24955 23182 58 280 66 285 52 279 23182 21341 45 274 55 281 48 284 21341 19425 35 268 38 275 43 273 19425 17434 37 269 31 264 34 263 17434 15412 41 270 32 260 27 260 15412 13471 34 273 30 264 28 253 13471 11710 26 276 28 262 27 246 11710 10146 23 279 26 256 23 241 10146 8758 22 280 25 250 21 235 8758 7521 20 277 24 246 21 228 7521 6421 16 269 23 243 22 222 6421 5446 14 254 21 238 22 217 5446 4588 12 236 19 232 22 212 4588 3834 12 224 17 224 22 207 3834 3165 11 221 15 216 21 201 3165 2578 8 221 12 206 21 194 2578 2092 5*224 8 193 18 183 2092 1722 2*238 5 167 17 169 1722 1469 1 264 4 128 14 163 1469 1317 1 272 4*110 9*160 1317 1231 1 288 3*101 2*123 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography