DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.2 - - 25.9 - - 25.6 - - 26.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 9 - - -23 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1423 - - 1275 - - 251 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 2475 - - 1451 - - 1402 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2061 - - 2379 - - 3840 - - 3314 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 101 - - 33 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 21 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 291 - - 285 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 17 - - 7 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 895 - - 702 - - -288 - - -219 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1729 - - 1773 - - 1739 - - 1621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 214 - - 195 - - -916 - - -822 ODpotential blCL - - - 2409 - - 2280 - - 2367 - - 2224 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.2 - - 25.9 - - 25.6 - - 26.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 22.4 - - 22.3 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.3 - - 26.0 - - 26.6 - - 27.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 21.9 - - 22.1 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 9 - - -23 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1423 - - 1275 - - 251 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95411 55 240 50 240 56 246 44 239 95411 88402 42 255 47 260 46 265 51 267 88402 83031 36 244 45 258 51 266 41 268 83031 78577 32 245 35 248 45 247 28 253 78577 74655 29 256 24 241 33 231 32 254 74655 71123 33 268 29 268 28 260 43 260 71123 67928 44 266 40 267 43 266 42 272 67928 64992 44 259 39 263 45 260 36 275 64992 62238 41 259 37 261 38 258 36 276 62238 59537 39 264 38 259 34 263 44 275 59537 56695 39 265 40 261 39 270 49 272 56695 53726 39 265 43 267 47 272 52 273 53726 50880 38 269 46 272 53 276 55 275 50880 48316 39 273 47 275 57 278 56 276 48316 46023 40 277 48 276 58 278 55 279 46023 43945 42 280 47 276 57 275 57 282 43945 42044 44 281 44 277 51 275 59 282 42044 40290 42 281 42 279 47 278 58 280 40290 38660 40 281 41 281 45 280 56 279 38660 37139 40 282 43 283 46 282 51 280 37139 35717 38 284 47 282 47 285 44 284 35717 34356 35 292 46 278 48 290 46 289 34356 32982 36 294 41 276 51 291 52 288 32982 31569 30 300 38 282 51 290 55 284 31569 30124 31 308 41 286 51 286 54 279 30124 28639 34 323 43 287 47 279 52 272 28639 27106 41 327 43 290 44 272 51 266 27106 25520 44 324 45 293 50 265 49 261 25520 23873 44 324 44 292 51 263 47 260 23873 22161 40 327 43 292 48 274 44 263 22161 20391 38 325 39 292 48 282 40 271 20391 18561 30 320 35 293 41 285 37 281 18561 16662 23 318 30 292 35 287 33 289 16662 14732 24 319 26 298 32 287 30 295 14732 12878 28 324 24 306 32 290 31 300 12878 11196 30 329 27 309 35 295 35 300 11196 9706 32 330 32 307 38 298 39 298 9706 8392 36 322 37 304 40 298 40 299 8392 7229 36 313 40 302 40 300 39 303 7229 6197 35 308 40 302 40 301 39 304 6197 5283 36 306 38 300 40 297 41 299 5283 4476 37 303 37 298 39 294 41 293 4476 3763 36 297 35 295 38 292 40 291 3763 3123 34*295 33 294 35 291 38 289 3123 2557 32*293 30*293 32 289 34 287 2557 2084 28 291 27*292 28 288 29 286 2084 1721 25 290 23 291 24 286 25 284 1721 1470 21 290 19 291 19*285 20*283 1470 1318 17 289 16 290 16*285 16*283 1318 1231 11 288 10 290 9 284 9 282 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography