DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.5 - - 29.4 - - 20.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 22 - - 55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 833 - - 1528 - - 1808 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2033 - - 2728 - - 3008 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1156 - - 1192 - - 1810 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 131 - - 138 - - 193 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 19 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 236 - - 221 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 16 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -3 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 802 - - 1025 - - 919 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1231 - - 1703 - - 2089 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 374 - - 367 - - 75 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1659 - - 2361 - - 2933 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.5 - - 29.4 - - 20.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.1 - - 25.9 - - 15.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.5 - - 29.4 - - 20.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 31.6 - - 25.3 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 22 - - 55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 833 - - 1528 - - 1808 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 99 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95015 61 300 45 297 44 294 95015 88358 50 297 46 294 44 293 88358 83096 38 292 39 292 42 301 83096 78650 32 287 36 285 38 299 78650 74743 37 278 37 278 36 283 74743 71235 41 272 39 278 35 273 71235 68023 39 273 36 276 30 270 68023 65029 36 274 33 269 27 270 65029 62203 33 269 36 254 33 258 62203 59424 31 252 42 238 41 243 59424 56521 37 237 44 227 44 231 56521 53522 44 232 39 234 44 230 53522 50655 47 230 47 234 49 230 50655 48071 56 225 59 220 54 222 48071 45764 64 219 62 212 58 214 45764 43679 66 209 62 208 61 205 43679 41777 63 207 63 208 61 201 41777 40022 63 210 65 211 61 200 40022 38391 64 212 70 213 63 204 38391 36867 69 212 75 211 67 207 36867 35439 75 207 79 208 74 208 35439 34070 78 201 81 204 83 206 34070 32693 79 200 81 200 91 204 32693 31280 79 201 82 200 96 203 31280 29837 80 200 86 201 99 202 29837 28350 81 199 90 202 103 201 28350 26806 80 198 92 201 107 200 26806 25205 76 199 91 200 110 199 25205 23547 72 200 90 200 109 198 23547 21838 67 201 89 199 104 198 21838 20084 64 199 86 198 97 196 20084 18278 62 198 80 197 90 195 18278 16408 56 199 73 195 81 193 16408 14509 50 202 67 194 67 192 14509 12684 44 202 60 193 55 194 12684 11030 38 199 49 193 45 195 11030 9564 34 200 38 191 34 194 9564 8266 33 205 30 191 25 197 8266 7116 35 210 28 193 19 207 7116 6100 35 208 28 198 14 227 6100 5202 31 206 29 204 15 251 5202 4412 27 208 29 211 20 256 4412 3714 22 208 28 216 22 254 3714 3088 17 206 27*217 23*252 3088 2533 11 211 24*219 23*250 2533 2069 8*228 21 221 22 248 2069 1712 7*233 19 222 20 247 1712 1466 7 236 17 222 17 245 1466 1316 6 237 14 222 14 245 1316 1230 4 238 9 222 8 243 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography