DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 45.3 - - 44.8 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 80 - - 52 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4910 - - 4444 - - 3571 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3388 - - 3494 - - 2388 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6110 - - 5644 - - 4771 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3342 - - 4101 - - 3289 - - 6192 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 302 - - 243 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 10 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 268 - - 272 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1625 - - 1357 - - 1434 - - -1546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4485 - - 4288 - - 3337 - - 2778 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 522 - - 125 - - 597 - - -2809 ODpotential blCL - - - 5588 - - 5519 - - 4174 - - 4041 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 120 - - 140 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 45.3 - - 44.8 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 30.8 - - 34.4 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 45.0 - - 44.7 - - 44.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.2 - - 29.6 - - 33.1 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 80 - - 52 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4910 - - 4444 - - 3571 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 91 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97532 4 051 10 044 8 004 1 342 97532 90210 7 067 7 066 6 339 7 329 90210 84565 2 148 5 046 4 042 2 137 84565 79841 10 158 2 222 4 344 4 278 79841 75750 3 190 8 233 3 247 9 241 75750 72120 4 169 8 223 4 247 1 103 72120 68801 13 227 21 217 20 244 17 253 68801 65732 13 227 21 211 25 219 24 227 65732 62868 14 249 10 228 13 209 19 238 62868 60084 32 256 31 252 29 257 27 258 60084 57172 41 232 35 235 37 244 33 250 57172 54141 33 239 25 251 31 241 34 243 54141 51246 37 250 38 260 37 249 39 245 51246 48650 40 247 43 249 40 247 36 243 48650 46326 40 245 39 250 35 253 33 261 46326 44225 39 247 42 247 44 262 44 266 44225 42315 38 248 39 242 49 256 50 260 42315 40557 39 253 39 253 47 255 51 255 40557 38924 43 258 45 252 48 260 52 255 38924 37403 47 260 44 252 51 260 52 257 37403 35988 50 261 45 264 51 261 53 261 35988 34644 52 262 53 269 53 270 55 262 34644 33305 54 261 57 270 62 277 57 265 33305 31942 55 261 56 271 72 279 64 269 31942 30551 54 260 53 272 78 279 67 270 30551 29109 47 257 46 283 80 280 66 271 29109 27597 38 253 46 293 78 280 64 273 27597 26013 31 249 43 292 68 280 62 275 26013 24359 29 248 33 292 56 282 56 275 24359 22637 28 247 22 293 46 284 50 273 22637 20851 27 249 17 295 40 279 44 272 20851 18997 28 252 21 287 37 274 41 269 18997 17068 28 255 24 276 34 272 38 264 17068 15102 25 260 25 267 35 271 34 259 15102 13207 22 265 29 264 33 268 29 256 13207 11490 21 259 28 263 29 256 25 256 11490 9976 21 246 26 263 26 256 22 257 9976 8636 21 248 24 261 25 260 22 257 8636 7443 20 253 22 260 22 264 22 257 7443 6380 18*261 20*260 20 266 20 260 6380 5436 17*267 18*261 18*268 17 264 5436 4601 16 269 15 264 15*268 15 267 4601 3862 15 271 13 268 12 270 13 269 3862 3198 15 272 12 270 10 272 10 271 3198 2610 14 273 12 271 9 273 8 272 2610 2119 14 273 11 272 8 274 6 274 2119 1741 13 274 11 272 8 274 4 276 1741 1481 12 274 10 272 7 274 2 276 1481 1323 10 274 9 272 6 276 1 273 1323 1232 7 274 7 273 5 276 1*126 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography