DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0700z - - 1331z - - 1600z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.7 - - 78.3 - - 82.7 - - 84.0 - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 158 - - 203 - - 96 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 654 - - 3957 - - 6410 - - 6801 - - 4 BL Depth Hcrit 1187 - - 3562 - - 5568 - - 5378 - - 1187 Hcrit BL Top 1854 - - 5157 - - 7610 - - 8001 - - 1204 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1767 - - 2430 - - 2229 - - 2372 - - 6320 Hgt.Variab. W* 126 - - 356 - - 458 - - 372 - - 9 W* B/S 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 316 - - 297 - - 300 - - 305 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -44 - - 1282 - - 2246 - - 1049 - - -3837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1899 - - 3875 - - 5364 - - 6953 - - 5041 sfcLCL ODpotential -1169 - - 897 - - 1237 - - -764 - - -5508 ODpotential blCL 3023 - - 4260 - - 6373 - - 8765 - - 6712 blCL maxRH 96 - - 96 - - 82 - - 74 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 870 - - 1570 - - 1400 - - 250 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 69.7 - - 78.3 - - 82.7 - - 84.0 - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.2 - - 65.2 - - 63.1 - - 57.6 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.6 - - 77.4 - - 81.5 - - 83.7 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.9 - - 64.5 - - 62.0 - - 56.3 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 158 - - 203 - - 96 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 654 - - 3957 - - 6410 - - 6801 - - 4 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 83 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 13 - - 11 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99449 34 084 26 085 26 089 30 085 31 076 99449 91927 28 082 24 086 24 089 24 088 22 077 91927 86139 27 081 23 088 22 087 18 087 19 085 86139 81323 23 071 24 091 19 084 16 082 18 080 81323 77165 20 076 22 086 17 084 14 085 16 068 77165 73495 16 068 22 083 16 085 11 081 13 064 73495 70173 12 073 16 069 17 083 10 087 9 058 70173 67122 11 089 10 078 13 065 9 070 6 076 67122 64295 5 049 7 064 11 064 3 109 2 328 64295 61563 3 156 3 311 7 356 5 045 2 043 61563 58718 3 332 2 002 7 317 7 297 8 318 58718 55772 15 303 15 309 11 323 8 319 8 281 55772 52968 18 276 20 280 20 301 19 307 16 312 52968 50456 18 276 19 278 28 294 25 297 23 314 50456 48220 31 281 29 284 30 295 30 302 34 312 48220 46207 40 274 36 282 33 298 36 304 40 310 46207 44369 42 273 38 278 38 303 43 313 47 319 44369 42671 45 277 38 282 48 303 57 318 59 316 42671 41095 53 280 42 283 50 299 61 315 60 312 41095 39624 59 275 45 286 50 299 60 314 59 315 39624 38243 59 268 52 289 50 303 57 314 60 321 38243 36907 58 269 59 288 51 308 52 313 62 323 36907 35547 60 274 63 284 53 309 47 311 62 324 35547 34133 65 275 63 286 53 308 43 307 57 325 34133 32666 68 273 60 287 53 307 42 305 51 322 32666 31133 68 275 61 286 54 305 42 304 48 318 31133 29519 65 281 60 288 56 305 42 305 45 319 29519 27829 54 282 53 291 56 306 42 308 38 319 27829 26065 45 275 47 293 51 309 40 312 33 315 26065 24227 47 275 42 293 44 313 39 315 30 313 24227 22320 44 286 37 293 38 313 37 315 27 314 22320 20337 32 292 36 298 34 310 33 315 25 316 20337 18270 24 287 28 301 31 307 31 317 24 319 18270 16160 21 287 22 285 26 305 28 318 21 322 16160 14129 19 296 18 289 20 292 23 305 18 310 14129 12287 18 292 16 299 20 288 22 285 19 297 12287 10654 16 293 19 305 19 299 21 286 21 291 10654 9207 16 295 21 307 15 300 19*288 19 284 9207 7918 16 296 20 307 13*296 18*290 17 284 7918 6768 16 296 17 305 13*296 17 293 16 287 6768 5747 15 300 15*302 12 297 13 303 13 296 5747 4844 13 303 12*298 12 299 13 307 10 313 4844 4045 10 306 9 296 12 300 12 310 10 330 4045 3327 8 317 7 295 11 301 12 313 11 340 3327 2692 9 328 7 297 11 302 11 315 12 346 2692 2161 8*327 6 298 10 303 11 317 12 350 2161 1753 6*323 5 300 9 303 10 318 12 352 1753 1472 3 312 5 301 9 304 10 319 10 355 1472 1301 2 310 4 302 8 304 8 319 8*357 1301 1204 2 307 4 304 6 305 6 319 4*360 1204 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography