DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.9 - - 70.6 - - 74.0 - - 68.8 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 339 - - 475 - - 326 - - 59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 141 - - 708 - - 1022 - - 920 - - 496 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 982 - - 1272 - - 1123 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 854 - - 1421 - - 1736 - - 1633 - - 1209 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 232 - - 328 - - 265 - - 275 - - 321 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 253 - - 319 - - 272 - - 125 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 14 - - 15 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 258 - - 263 - - 267 - - 268 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2946 - - -3711 - - -4521 - - -2189 - - -168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3801 - - 5133 - - 6257 - - 3823 - - 1377 sfcLCL ODpotential -13466 - - -11830 - - -11553 - - -9687 - - -9047 ODpotential blCL 14320 - - 13251 - - 13289 - - 11320 - - 10256 blCL maxRH 59 - - 57 - - 50 - - 72 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.9 - - 70.6 - - 74.0 - - 68.8 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.2 - - 51.2 - - 49.6 - - 54.6 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.7 - - 68.6 - - 71.5 - - 67.0 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 50.6 - - 49.0 - - 54.3 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 339 - - 475 - - 326 - - 59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 141 - - 708 - - 1022 - - 920 - - 496 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99157 40 111 33 117 30 093 35 097 40 093 99157 91764 38 104 34 112 29 101 33 108 30 104 91764 86039 33 098 29 097 32 108 32 102 26 113 86039 81266 26 100 24 093 28 103 25 100 23 101 81266 77154 24 105 19 106 18 100 24 099 20 094 77154 73524 20 103 17 113 15 108 15 087 18 085 73524 70233 14 087 15 105 12 116 6 102 16 079 70233 67210 3 060 11 079 9 128 5 154 5 032 67210 64433 3 116 4 041 5 111 2 129 1 082 64433 61766 2 341 2 356 2 156 3 260 1 266 61766 58998 1 254 6 265 6 285 5 354 2 233 58998 56137 6 131 8 204 13 240 18 279 12 277 56137 53411 11 293 7 272 14 223 21 241 15 256 53411 50954 23 273 21 271 21 251 23 254 23 259 50954 48752 29 266 29 263 29 255 33 249 35 247 48752 46744 33 267 32 262 30 254 36 249 36 242 46744 44882 38 269 33 266 33 260 39 256 44 256 44882 43137 41 269 37 267 41 260 46 251 51 253 43137 41495 43 263 42 255 47 255 52 245 53 251 41495 39952 51 253 51 247 51 254 55 251 53 253 39952 38504 59 246 56 245 54 250 49 251 51 252 38504 37112 63 245 57 245 55 246 47 248 51 252 37112 35704 65 246 57 245 54 245 52 249 51 255 35704 34246 64 249 56 244 51 245 53 251 49 257 34246 32739 55 250 52 243 47 241 50 252 47 256 32739 31168 46 245 48 242 45 239 47 248 45 257 31168 29517 45 242 47 238 47 239 47 246 41 258 29517 27788 46 241 48 235 51 237 49 246 41 255 27788 25978 46 238 50 234 53 235 49 243 42 252 25978 24091 44 236 50 232 52 235 49 238 40 252 24091 22131 39 232 45 228 48 235 49 235 40 247 22131 20097 31 224 39 219 44 226 50 234 42 242 20097 17984 27 215 35 210 40 214 49 226 44 238 17984 15836 25 211 33 206 38 205 48 215 42 231 15836 13771 23 206 29 203 36 198 43 206 36 227 13771 11898 21 202 27 198 34 190 37 196 29 226 11898 10235 18 201 26 197 33 188 35 191 24 232 10235 8758 15 201 22 194 29 188 33 198 22 242 8758 7442 12 206 17 191 24 190 27 210 21 250 7442 6271 10 215 13 197 19 198 23 224 22 254 6271 5232 8 235 10 205 17 213 21 237 22 256 5232 4317 7 258 8 217 16 229 19 247 21 258 4317 3512 7 274 8 234 15 246 18 256 20 262 3512 2794 9 277 10 250 16 259 19 264 21 266 2794 2165 10 273 13 257 16*264 18 266 21 267 2165 1647 10 264 13*261 15*267 17*268 20 263 1647 1254 10 258 12*262 15 268 16*269 18*260 1254 986 9*259 12 263 14 268 15 269 16*259 986 822 7*259 11 262 13 268 14 268 14 259 822 729 4 258 9 263 11 267 11 268 10 259 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography