DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 75.7 - - 71.5 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 425 - - 287 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1518 - - 1907 - - 1229 - - 578 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1532 - - 1899 - - 1308 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2231 - - 2621 - - 1942 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 547 - - 969 - - 589 - - 416 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 379 - - 287 - - 110 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 269 - - 278 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1748 - - -2951 - - -2542 - - -1222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3979 - - 5573 - - 4484 - - 2513 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9088 - - -8669 - - -9434 - - -10425 ODpotential blCL - - - 11319 - - 11290 - - 11376 - - 11716 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 83 - - 68 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 75.7 - - 71.5 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 53.9 - - 54.4 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 73.3 - - 69.6 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 54.0 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 425 - - 287 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1518 - - 1907 - - 1229 - - 578 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 31 - - 0 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99249 31 116 28 118 26 117 29 106 99249 91737 28 122 26 124 27 112 25 100 91737 85963 24 118 22 117 25 116 26 099 85963 81182 22 112 22 129 23 110 24 115 81182 77059 19 107 23 129 19 120 23 115 77059 73413 16 106 18 117 18 118 17 105 73413 70116 16 115 15 119 11 119 14 104 70116 67090 11 141 11 105 11 143 8 104 67090 64282 9 138 7 122 8 139 6 137 64282 61560 2 234 3 109 4 139 4 157 61560 58723 8 213 9 241 8 295 4 351 58723 55780 4 255 9 256 13 288 12 301 55780 52976 13 296 12 279 17 285 18 292 52976 50461 22 291 19 296 21 293 21 300 50461 48221 28 289 24 304 21 298 21 307 48221 46193 32 290 29 305 23 304 19 317 46193 44335 35 289 33 298 27 304 21 319 44335 42621 42 283 38 290 30 296 26 305 42621 41033 47 279 45 282 32 285 31 293 41033 39552 50 279 50 277 36 279 32 288 39552 38162 51 278 51 275 40 280 32 285 38162 36822 48 278 50 274 44 281 31 281 36822 35461 46 277 47 275 44 281 30 282 35461 34046 44 277 44 277 42 281 28 285 34046 32579 41 280 40 278 39 280 27 286 32579 31042 36 284 35 276 37 279 27 287 31042 29423 29 286 31 274 36 279 28 286 29423 27723 29 283 29 270 34 278 28 286 27723 25940 25 276 28 268 30 280 25 287 25940 24078 19 276 23 270 22 283 20 286 24078 22142 14 289 12 278 11 271 13 276 22142 20125 13 304 6 295 6 248 9 260 20125 18021 10 316 3 324 5 229 5 252 18021 15872 7 289 1 315 3 183 2 188 15872 13801 3 277 2 140 5 142 6 151 13801 11917 3 147 5 164 5 144 7 143 11917 10244 6 147 7 178 3 154 5 124 10244 8759 5 145 6 181 3 158 4 097 8759 7440 4 115 5 168 4 157 2 128 7440 6270 5 087 5 141 6 172 5 186 6270 5235 5 091 6 133 8 172 6 197 5235 4324 6 126 6 146 8 183 7 211 4324 3520 7 160 5 170 7 205 8 221 3520 2803 7*187 4*202 8 230 10 227 2803 2174 6*221 6*262 10*270 11 247 2174 1655 6 239 7 269 11*277 12*271 1655 1259 6 243 8 270 11 279 11*279 1259 988 6 246 8 270 11 279 11 281 988 823 6 246 8 270 10 279 10 281 823 729 5 247 7 270 9 279 7 281 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography