DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.7 - - 53.8 - - 60.8 - - 57.1 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 14 - - 57 - - -8 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 569 - - 150 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 728 - - 1282 - - 863 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 377 - - 521 - - 536 - - 208 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 28 - - 138 - - 38 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 059 - - 056 - - 062 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -3 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2207 - - -2045 - - -2308 - - -1654 - - -2309 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2935 - - 2773 - - 3590 - - 2517 - - 3038 sfcLCL ODpotential -15541 - - -12483 - - -11736 - - -11206 - - -14557 ODpotential blCL 16269 - - 13211 - - 13018 - - 12069 - - 15286 blCL maxRH 44 - - 64 - - 60 - - 68 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.7 - - 53.8 - - 60.8 - - 57.1 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.0 - - 44.5 - - 47.8 - - 48.8 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 53.8 - - 60.2 - - 57.4 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 43.4 - - 46.6 - - 47.8 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 14 - - 57 - - -8 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 569 - - 150 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96774 47 091 30 103 27 077 47 091 49 098 96774 89696 46 086 36 101 28 094 43 089 50 101 89696 84213 36 084 33 099 23 106 34 090 44 090 84213 79627 25 074 30 089 21 113 21 104 32 082 79627 75651 22 064 23 069 24 092 24 092 25 088 75651 72103 14 075 14 059 23 058 26 059 29 074 72103 68867 14 065 12 052 18 043 19 048 25 056 68867 65898 18 032 19 046 16 049 15 062 19 048 65898 63168 16 019 24 030 22 047 17 042 21 046 63168 60545 13 003 22 006 25 026 21 023 20 025 60545 57822 16 345 20 008 21 013 19 005 19 359 57822 55004 22 334 25 355 24 001 24 354 24 354 55004 52324 28 329 28 339 28 335 33 337 36 351 52324 49915 31 328 31 331 33 333 36 328 38 340 49915 47750 33 331 34 330 37 336 39 331 39 333 47750 45772 34 331 34 333 37 335 41 335 40 332 45772 43940 31 332 34 334 34 327 41 335 40 332 43940 42233 26 334 31 336 30 319 38 328 38 331 42233 40643 24 343 28 343 24 321 32 326 32 325 40643 39160 20 347 27 352 20 331 25 329 24 323 39160 37775 15 344 23 355 17 358 16 333 15 318 37775 36447 13 359 23 013 18 015 13 346 11 305 36447 35105 21 025 21 025 19 024 8 332 6 304 35105 33715 25 030 17 039 14 025 5 340 8 104 33715 32276 23 038 16 044 8 027 7 040 16 108 32276 30771 20 046 14 042 8 044 8 090 21 111 30771 29188 17 053 11 042 11 050 19 112 24 111 29188 27526 17 064 7 060 14 061 22 103 22 119 27526 25781 17 070 10 086 16 078 22 098 20 111 25781 23953 17 079 13 091 16 091 23 099 24 097 23953 22043 16 082 14 086 18 094 22 100 24 093 22043 20045 14 083 13 080 20 096 19 098 20 089 20045 17954 15 078 13 073 20 097 19 095 18 080 17954 15814 16 079 12 072 17 093 19 096 15 069 15814 13745 15 090 9 091 11 092 15 103 10 083 13745 11863 4 125 6 114 6 094 6 105 5 084 11863 10194 6 223 2 145 1 309 2 292 3 344 10194 8713 9 234 2 234 7 262 8 269 6 319 8713 7397 5 228 2 210 8 252 8 265 7 320 7397 6229 4 336 2 198 7 239 8 256 5 320 6229 5198 12 331 2 273 7 254 9 265 4 326 5198 4292 15 332 2 297 8 266 9 273 4 339 4292 3496 13 335 3 317 7 264 6 285 5 343 3496 2788 9 345 2 296 5 252 3 307 6 022 2788 2166 8 023 0 265 2 225 3 045 10 042 2166 1649 12 043 2 094 3*069 8 056 13 041 1649 1255 14 047 9 075 5*056 10 059 12 042 1255 985 13 046 9 062 5 055 9*061 9 050 985 821 9*048 8 060 5 056 8*061 6*052 821 729 5*056 5*059 4 056 6 063 2*067 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography