DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.0 - - 47.5 - - 52.8 - - 51.0 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 48 - - 85 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 377 - - 993 - - 391 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 1088 - - 1705 - - 1103 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 207 - - 570 - - 525 - - 861 - - 560 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 111 - - 184 - - 43 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 041 - - 036 - - 038 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -368 - - -1014 - - -1062 - - -1017 - - -533 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1095 - - 2102 - - 2767 - - 2120 - - 1261 sfcLCL ODpotential -12383 - - -10801 - - -9945 - - -10995 - - -14376 ODpotential blCL 13110 - - 11889 - - 11650 - - 12098 - - 15104 blCL maxRH 81 - - 77 - - 74 - - 73 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.0 - - 47.5 - - 52.8 - - 51.0 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 41.1 - - 43.4 - - 44.4 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.9 - - 47.1 - - 52.1 - - 51.3 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 39.9 - - 42.2 - - 43.4 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 48 - - 85 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 377 - - 993 - - 391 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96817 54 095 49 091 33 095 39 093 40 095 96817 89685 53 100 51 101 42 093 42 100 49 091 89685 84146 42 095 49 096 49 095 49 103 54 095 84146 79506 33 086 42 090 46 100 46 097 50 093 79506 75474 27 086 32 079 36 095 35 094 35 089 75474 71889 22 080 21 080 26 089 26 084 28 078 71889 68634 20 060 18 063 19 090 20 072 24 078 68634 65632 13 040 13 042 9 061 21 038 30 067 65632 62851 17 035 10 018 8 346 17 009 26 047 62851 60177 21 004 9 014 6 360 14 013 22 034 60177 57396 18 340 17 006 16 353 16 358 17 009 57396 54519 25 334 15 347 13 338 13 350 13 003 54519 51791 29 312 22 009 20 012 17 017 26 016 51791 49370 24 331 30 004 27 018 27 015 25 360 49370 47221 31 352 34 008 34 028 26 032 28 032 47221 45277 43 000 42 009 44 028 45 047 54 037 45277 43504 53 353 42 002 54 023 74 029 68 038 43504 41873 35 337 39 002 57 017 74 023 81 042 41873 40356 30 017 41 009 53 015 72 034 91 041 40356 38932 45 026 42 012 42 013 80 039 95 039 38932 37584 42 020 41 012 59 042 85 040 94 040 37584 36271 39 015 40 011 79 046 86 039 89 040 36271 34931 38 013 41 007 72 043 79 038 85 040 34931 33534 37 008 44 005 66 041 70 037 79 039 33534 32086 39 004 43 001 61 036 65 032 70 037 32086 30574 44 003 42 356 63 032 60 027 61 032 30574 28985 43 356 43 356 63 029 48 027 52 025 28985 27315 37 346 44 356 57 029 41 016 46 020 27315 25563 35 344 42 355 46 017 43 358 44 019 25563 23729 35 348 40 352 48 009 40 002 41 021 23729 21817 36 348 38 346 47 012 36 010 35 016 21817 19816 38 344 36 344 40 007 36 016 33 009 19816 17723 38 339 33 345 35 357 34 012 33 007 17723 15581 35 335 32 338 33 352 31 006 30 008 15581 13516 30 329 31 332 30 344 29 358 27 007 13516 11640 27 323 28 330 29 334 30 351 23 005 11640 9983 26 323 25 330 28 332 29 347 20 005 9983 8523 25 330 22 334 26 333 25 347 17 005 8523 7234 24 339 19 340 21 338 21 346 13 003 7234 6095 23 346 17 348 16 344 16 345 12 356 6095 5088 20 351 15 358 13 350 12 344 12 360 5088 4203 17 351 15 005 12 000 10 356 14 012 4203 3426 13 348 15 002 13 006 12 014 17 017 3426 2734 10 346 13 357 13 009 14 020 19 015 2734 2127 7 345 10 356 9*014 11 023 18 011 2127 1624 4 002 7 014 5*034 8 033 14 014 1624 1240 6 061 7*040 5 036 7*037 9 030 1240 978 8 061 7*041 4 037 6*038 6 050 978 819 7 059 6 041 4 038 5 037 4*054 819 728 5*056 4 041 3 038 4 038 1*080 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography