DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.4 - - 53.6 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 57 - - 1 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 296 - - 579 - - 272 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1008 - - 1292 - - 984 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 293 - - 316 - - 332 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 104 - - 136 - - 43 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 083 - - 080 - - 078 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -6 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -835 - - -1413 - - -1203 - - -850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1843 - - 2705 - - 2187 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11099 - - -10554 - - -10382 - - -12185 ODpotential blCL - - - 12107 - - 11846 - - 11366 - - 12913 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 71 - - 75 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.4 - - 53.6 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 46.3 - - 46.8 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 55.0 - - 53.7 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 45.3 - - 46.2 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 57 - - 1 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 296 - - 579 - - 272 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96112 27 045 14 078 13 074 21 053 96112 89100 27 052 22 062 22 055 19 056 89100 83687 21 075 18 057 24 051 21 056 83687 79180 21 085 8 069 18 043 21 049 79180 75284 22 065 14 061 17 059 19 052 75284 71830 21 047 24 046 23 056 20 060 71830 68697 18 037 25 035 21 038 23 053 68697 65817 17 027 19 020 19 023 24 034 65817 63155 15 023 15 002 23 005 21 013 63155 60583 18 010 18 352 25 348 23 003 60583 57886 19 356 20 355 24 340 25 343 57886 55059 22 347 22 345 21 335 22 330 55059 52339 21 342 21 332 24 322 24 319 52339 49878 28 327 28 319 31 315 30 314 49878 47664 33 321 33 311 35 309 35 307 47664 45641 34 318 34 305 35 304 32 305 45641 43769 36 314 35 299 37 297 33 307 43769 42024 37 304 33 296 32 291 34 291 42024 40399 38 296 33 300 34 287 33 284 40399 38903 41 292 43 287 41 279 39 277 38903 37532 43 284 39 285 48 273 46 267 37532 36233 38 284 43 288 47 268 54 266 36233 34907 37 280 47 280 46 266 51 264 34907 33522 36 276 43 276 44 267 44 265 33522 32082 34 276 37 279 41 268 39 264 32082 30574 33 278 32 281 38 265 33 254 30574 28989 30 273 31 272 32 262 24 257 28989 27326 26 276 29 268 27 261 20 278 27326 25584 26 287 25 280 17 268 22 274 25584 23764 25 291 25 287 15 285 23 262 23764 21870 24 294 23 283 22 271 22 257 21870 19893 23 291 23 278 22 269 23 263 19893 17829 21 285 20 276 17 265 21 270 17829 15714 17 285 16 279 12 269 12 268 15714 13664 13 292 11 278 9 271 6 236 13664 11797 12 285 10 270 10 269 6 228 11797 10135 10 295 9 279 9 285 4 236 10135 8656 4 308 4 269 5 289 4 215 8656 7344 2 246 5 239 4 254 5 193 7344 6183 5 213 6 235 4 232 6 186 6183 5161 6 210 7 234 5 222 5 188 5161 4264 8 212 7 233 6 217 5 198 4264 3476 9 211 8 233 7 217 5 217 3476 2773 8 202 7 225 7 211 4 241 2773 2154 8 174 5 201 6 202 3 264 2154 1640 11 121 6*110 5 140 1 145 1640 1248 14*089 9*082 9*086 10 094 1248 981 13*084 9 080 9*079 13 079 981 820 12 082 9 080 8 078 11*075 820 728 8 082 7 080 6 077 6*071 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography