DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.1 - - 71.0 - - 78.0 - - 71.7 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 289 - - 424 - - 296 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1050 - - 1694 - - 1215 - - 461 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1190 - - 1741 - - 1308 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 1016 - - 1763 - - 2407 - - 1929 - - 1174 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 351 - - 396 - - 694 - - 515 - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 275 - - 365 - - 289 - - 85 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 240 - - 255 - - 261 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1596 - - -3518 - - -4835 - - -3817 - - -2186 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2612 - - 5281 - - 7242 - - 5746 - - 3360 sfcLCL ODpotential -10121 - - -9776 - - -10980 - - -10889 - - -11229 ODpotential blCL 11137 - - 11539 - - 13387 - - 12818 - - 12403 blCL maxRH 71 - - 54 - - 44 - - 54 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.1 - - 71.0 - - 78.0 - - 71.7 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.2 - - 50.6 - - 49.0 - - 49.3 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.7 - - 69.3 - - 75.7 - - 70.0 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.5 - - 49.8 - - 48.3 - - 48.8 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 289 - - 424 - - 296 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 1050 - - 1694 - - 1215 - - 461 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98979 37 106 27 109 29 111 28 105 27 104 98979 91517 36 105 30 116 22 106 23 105 26 100 91517 85769 34 094 33 108 22 116 17 115 20 097 85769 81001 23 098 25 108 24 100 18 102 23 108 81001 76893 20 105 20 103 20 095 19 095 21 098 76893 73267 17 095 15 109 17 105 14 112 15 091 73267 69982 11 110 10 108 8 094 13 103 12 108 69982 66949 9 116 8 138 4 127 5 135 9 099 66949 64127 5 074 4 162 4 123 5 170 2 125 64127 61391 2 145 7 175 4 270 2 170 2 231 61391 58543 12 322 6 338 11 280 7 301 8 278 58543 55603 19 299 17 304 14 282 15 311 17 292 55603 52803 23 307 26 311 22 304 23 304 22 295 52803 50278 31 308 34 311 25 305 25 304 27 301 50278 48012 33 308 35 306 29 304 35 300 39 300 48012 45961 30 311 29 311 35 305 40 294 44 295 45961 44091 28 317 29 317 38 309 41 295 44 295 44091 42371 29 319 32 322 39 313 44 298 48 296 42371 40776 29 315 33 326 40 312 49 296 53 297 40776 39291 27 299 32 329 40 312 50 293 54 297 39291 37901 21 280 31 331 38 311 49 292 53 296 37901 36562 19 287 30 330 36 311 48 293 51 297 36562 35206 21 320 29 325 34 311 48 296 49 297 35206 33798 25 335 28 318 32 316 46 297 47 296 33798 32343 27 341 26 311 33 324 40 299 44 296 32343 30823 28 340 24 316 35 329 39 304 42 296 30823 29227 28 339 27 325 34 330 38 308 39 296 29227 27552 28 337 29 330 34 329 35 307 37 297 27552 25796 28 333 30 334 35 326 33 306 36 298 25796 23961 28 336 32 343 35 327 31 308 33 300 23961 22047 28 343 32 347 33 333 30 311 29 303 22047 20047 26 348 29 345 31 345 24 318 26 303 20047 17955 26 352 25 346 27 349 20 326 22 303 17955 15818 25 354 23 352 21 345 19 331 19 306 15818 13757 21 353 20 357 16 340 16 325 17 317 13757 11881 13 349 14 356 11 344 15 320 16 323 11881 10215 9 344 7 343 7 333 13 319 14 325 10215 8736 5 318 5 313 6 292 8 304 12 328 8736 7422 5 284 5 276 7 251 7 282 9 320 7422 6256 3 314 4 249 7 225 6 264 9 307 6256 5223 4 014 3 227 8 217 8 253 10 296 5223 4315 5 355 2 246 9 222 11 237 11 280 4315 3515 6 324 4 256 11 227 14 227 12 260 3515 2801 8 292 8 238 12*234 16 234 14 253 2801 2174 10 254 11*231 12*249 15*251 15 249 2174 1655 13 238 10*236 12 255 15*259 15 246 1655 1260 13*238 10 240 12 257 14 261 13*247 1260 989 9*240 9 241 12 257 14 261 12*248 989 823 7 242 9 242 11 258 13 262 11 248 823 729 6 243 7 243 9 258 10 262 8 249 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography