DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 69.7 - - 67.9 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 212 - - 112 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 709 - - 1083 - - 893 - - 126 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1146 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1422 - - 1796 - - 1606 - - 839 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 423 - - 436 - - 392 - - 589 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 258 - - 197 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 266 - - 266 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -952 - - -1635 - - -1664 - - -637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2374 - - 3431 - - 3270 - - 1476 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9434 - - -9089 - - -10351 - - -11807 ODpotential blCL - - - 10856 - - 10885 - - 11957 - - 12646 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 68 - - 68 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 69.7 - - 67.9 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 57.2 - - 56.1 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 68.3 - - 67.0 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 55.9 - - 54.9 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 212 - - 112 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 709 - - 1083 - - 893 - - 126 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97716 14 269 7 312 11 249 10 270 97716 90241 9 272 6 278 13 292 10 310 90241 84511 5 312 9 259 10 305 13 335 84511 79809 4 343 10 282 7 339 11 341 79809 75788 4 306 14 294 12 354 9 352 75788 72250 4 333 12 298 15 343 14 354 72250 69056 9 342 9 311 15 326 15 356 69056 66112 12 323 9 322 15 314 13 339 66112 63374 12 315 8 325 13 311 10 316 63374 60718 15 313 9 316 12 322 7 314 60718 57948 17 300 13 299 14 313 9 313 57948 55095 15 308 14 294 16 288 15 298 55095 52403 19 320 16 304 17 287 17 290 52403 49998 26 312 24 314 23 307 18 308 49998 47851 39 310 35 315 33 317 24 317 47851 45910 49 311 47 316 41 317 35 311 45910 44136 55 314 50 318 47 314 45 308 44136 42498 54 315 46 318 46 314 44 305 42498 40966 49 311 42 318 40 315 37 306 40966 39522 44 309 39 315 34 314 31 301 39522 38154 40 314 37 307 30 314 27 300 38154 36825 38 319 33 310 31 310 26 301 36825 35470 37 321 30 315 31 305 28 297 35470 34059 37 322 29 318 30 302 27 293 34059 32594 37 317 29 317 28 302 24 292 32594 31063 35 315 28 316 25 306 23 290 31063 29450 33 318 27 318 24 311 21 289 29450 27756 32 322 26 321 22 317 20 294 27756 25979 30 324 23 323 20 319 18 298 25979 24122 25 322 19 320 17 312 16 299 24122 22185 22 316 17 313 17 302 15 296 22185 20166 19 313 16 310 16 303 13 301 20166 18061 18 310 14 310 13 303 11 311 18061 15912 17 315 12 324 7 318 7 318 15912 13835 10 318 8 329 4 003 2 003 13835 11942 4 299 2 296 2 054 5 095 11942 10261 4 330 1 105 2 103 6 107 10261 8770 4 002 2 083 2 090 4 099 8770 7447 4 019 1 043 2 030 3 043 7447 6275 2 006 3 326 4 001 5 006 6275 5239 2 355 5 318 7 350 8 001 5239 4326 5 010 6 326 9 337 9 344 4326 3522 7 353 7 317 10 320 11 321 3522 2804 8 326 9 292 12 302 13 306 2804 2173 9 282 10*273 12 284 13 293 2173 1652 9*264 10*267 11*271 13 273 1652 1257 9*263 10 266 11*267 12 256 1257 987 9 262 10 265 11 266 11*252 987 823 8 262 9 265 10 266 9*250 823 729 7 262 8 265 8 265 6 249 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography