DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 75.8 - - 77.1 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 170 - - 40 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 701 - - 2595 - - 3583 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 2135 - - 1665 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1414 - - 3308 - - 4297 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 888 - - 2448 - - 2926 - - 1667 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 320 - - 233 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 16 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 131 - - 231 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4762 - - -4856 - - -4598 - - -5204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6176 - - 8164 - - 8896 - - 5934 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11297 - - -9872 - - -9564 - - -10804 ODpotential blCL - - - 12711 - - 13180 - - 13861 - - 11534 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 76 - - 74 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 75.8 - - 77.1 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 42.8 - - 40.7 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 74.5 - - 76.8 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 41.5 - - 39.5 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 170 - - 40 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 701 - - 2595 - - 3583 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96997 37 277 34 260 39 278 42 286 96997 89737 24 292 23 267 27 271 30 278 89737 84194 20 289 17 278 16 285 16 272 84194 79616 19 262 17 265 17 303 13 303 79616 75667 13 239 20 260 15 293 16 315 75667 72179 7 282 16 275 13 294 10 305 72179 69020 14 298 16 281 18 295 10 311 69020 66112 20 286 18 283 22 289 17 304 66112 63405 22 278 22 282 24 285 18 294 63405 60759 23 275 23 277 25 280 22 278 60759 57969 26 267 27 269 29 266 27 269 57969 55050 28 262 31 257 31 253 32 256 55050 52248 28 261 33 253 31 250 31 248 52248 49716 29 259 36 255 30 257 28 254 49716 47445 31 257 34 252 34 253 31 263 47445 45393 30 258 30 249 34 248 33 262 45393 43532 29 263 28 258 31 248 33 261 43532 41836 29 260 29 257 27 256 32 262 41836 40276 20 257 24 248 26 263 27 263 40276 38826 19 245 17 242 19 246 23 266 38826 37472 15 217 21 216 21 220 17 248 37472 36172 12 226 17 187 24 210 15 226 36172 34853 9 234 17 191 19 205 18 205 34853 33482 10 218 13 197 15 204 16 200 33482 32055 12 211 8 211 12 204 13 199 32055 30559 12 198 14 206 11 215 11 204 30559 28985 10 195 14 187 13 200 13 197 28985 27332 9 196 14 177 16 184 17 186 27332 25597 9 170 14 173 16 181 16 180 25597 23780 11 146 14 166 15 173 16 174 23780 21883 13 121 11 154 13 155 16 164 21883 19898 15 114 11 137 12 137 14 158 19898 17822 12 124 11 133 11 132 11 155 17822 15705 9 120 10 136 11 128 10 145 15705 13666 10 110 12 128 11 130 10 146 13666 11813 12 109 12 127 10 141 8 151 11813 10166 10 131 11 143 9 156 9 161 10166 8702 11 175 11 170 11 176 11 174 8702 7401 15 191 14 183 14 182 13 182 7401 6247 17 195 16 184 12 189 12 182 6247 5227 16 195 15 182 9 199 8 185 5227 4327 13 192 11 180 7*208 2 190 4327 3533 9 183 7*178 4*218 3 002 3533 2823 8 165 5*172 3 229 5 354 2823 2195 9 133 4 133 2 234 7 340 2195 1671 10*095 4 122 1 237 9 331 1671 1269 9*082 4 116 1 242 9 322 1269 993 9 081 4 115 1 250 7 318 993 825 8 080 4 113 1 250 5*316 825 730 6 080 3 113 1 248 3*314 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography