DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.4 - - 48.5 - - 53.8 - - 52.9 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 62 - - 80 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 340 - - 655 - - 140 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1052 - - 1367 - - 852 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 191 - - 368 - - 486 - - 874 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 115 - - 156 - - 26 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 062 - - 067 - - 054 - - 049 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -8 - - -5 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -316 - - -435 - - -724 - - -843 - - -1108 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1044 - - 1487 - - 2091 - - 1695 - - 1836 sfcLCL ODpotential -14106 - - -11037 - - -8534 - - -8446 - - -12652 ODpotential blCL 14834 - - 12089 - - 9901 - - 9298 - - 13380 blCL maxRH 82 - - 88 - - 84 - - 81 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.4 - - 48.5 - - 53.8 - - 52.9 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.8 - - 44.9 - - 47.5 - - 48.3 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.8 - - 48.1 - - 53.2 - - 53.3 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.0 - - 44.2 - - 46.6 - - 47.7 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 62 - - 80 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 340 - - 655 - - 140 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 54 - - 34 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96330 19 096 13 068 10 060 5 114 9 083 96330 89217 18 089 13 088 9 086 6 081 17 071 89217 83721 8 090 15 079 6 080 10 048 17 073 83721 79133 9 030 14 067 7 051 10 032 13 044 79133 75173 18 006 12 038 8 355 12 007 15 004 75173 71688 17 346 12 020 8 329 15 012 13 018 71688 68531 16 341 9 330 15 338 15 341 18 352 68531 65621 23 328 12 320 18 318 17 320 21 314 65621 62934 26 302 18 313 18 298 21 307 24 300 62934 60337 31 278 27 295 25 295 24 298 25 289 60337 57622 35 281 33 291 31 296 30 295 27 294 57622 54802 44 279 40 288 35 291 37 287 31 290 54802 52109 48 276 45 287 38 287 36 290 35 305 52109 49683 51 284 49 288 42 293 51 301 50 307 49683 47515 57 286 53 287 52 293 59 300 61 300 47515 45550 62 291 55 288 56 288 61 292 67 298 45550 43744 69 295 61 291 57 291 63 292 68 297 43744 42074 71 294 68 292 66 295 69 292 70 294 42074 40530 69 294 71 293 73 296 76 294 70 291 40530 39091 67 297 73 295 75 295 82 294 73 293 39091 37738 66 298 72 295 73 294 81 293 78 293 37738 36425 66 297 71 294 71 296 78 294 80 292 36425 35082 65 297 70 292 68 294 74 295 78 293 35082 33683 63 299 67 291 66 291 69 294 76 294 33683 32231 61 301 63 291 63 290 64 293 70 293 32231 30713 58 301 56 291 56 291 57 293 63 292 30713 29119 56 300 51 291 51 289 52 292 55 292 29119 27447 54 301 49 292 51 288 51 289 52 293 27447 25692 50 302 45 292 49 290 51 291 49 295 25692 23856 44 300 42 289 45 288 48 295 45 296 23856 21938 40 297 41 286 46 284 44 291 41 300 21938 19932 35 298 37 286 44 282 44 290 35 310 19932 17838 32 297 33 288 39 280 38 295 32 322 17838 15698 28 295 30 291 32 285 30 297 27 327 15698 13637 24 289 24 293 23 291 23 301 23 325 13637 11768 21 287 20 295 17 294 19 311 18 328 11768 10111 15 293 14 303 13 302 16 320 15 336 10111 8642 11 308 10 308 11 307 14 325 12 335 8642 7338 8 322 7 320 10 315 12 327 11 331 7338 6182 8 339 6 346 8 329 11 334 12 335 6182 5158 9 353 7 004 8 345 10 347 11 348 5158 4260 10 003 8 010 9 353 10 359 11 004 4260 3469 10 009 9 004 11 357 11 006 11 019 3469 2765 11 009 10 358 13 001 13 007 12 022 2765 2147 11 014 8 016 12 012 12 011 13 018 2147 1636 9 037 11 064 9*044 9 031 12 020 1636 1246 12 070 12*067 8*052 8 047 10 037 1246 980 12 070 12*067 8 054 7*049 9 060 980 820 10*067 11 067 7 055 6*049 7*064 820 728 5*062 7 067 6 056 4 050 3*073 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography