DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/16 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.6 - - 55.6 - - 59.2 - - 58.7 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 184 - - 311 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 280 - - 1626 - - 2124 - - 1793 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1446 - - 1987 - - 1532 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 992 - - 2338 - - 2836 - - 2506 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1081 - - 626 - - 661 - - 772 - - 1697 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 274 - - 359 - - 276 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 262 - - 271 - - 272 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -261 - - 437 - - -259 - - -1039 - - -906 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1253 - - 1901 - - 3095 - - 3546 - - 1634 sfcLCL ODpotential -8825 - - 398 - - -7255 - - -8179 - - -9121 ODpotential blCL 9817 - - 1940 - - 10091 - - 10685 - - 9849 blCL maxRH 93 - - 100 - - 85 - - 75 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 90 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.6 - - 55.6 - - 59.2 - - 58.7 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.8 - - 49.8 - - 48.1 - - 45.6 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 54.5 - - 57.4 - - 57.6 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.5 - - 49.1 - - 47.0 - - 44.6 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 184 - - 311 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 280 - - 1626 - - 2124 - - 1793 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 99 - - 39 - - 0 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97193 6 004 1 349 10 222 10 319 2 097 97193 89866 6 117 6 222 1 259 6 178 3 108 89866 84239 6 067 6 219 2 102 8 188 3 341 84239 79556 4 042 3 131 5 075 6 197 5 303 79556 75527 1 037 5 100 1 351 1 352 2 283 75527 71963 5 212 2 007 4 230 4 284 3 275 71963 68734 8 255 3 274 4 241 8 240 5 267 68734 65755 12 268 8 253 10 267 9 257 6 295 65755 62976 15 262 13 258 14 252 16 273 13 293 62976 60278 16 261 15 248 15 239 20 260 16 281 60278 57459 14 259 15 246 13 252 14 253 14 266 57459 54528 18 267 13 247 12 258 12 266 10 265 54528 51727 20 258 11 256 10 274 9 276 8 290 51727 49209 17 234 12 266 9 276 7 312 10 330 49209 46961 13 223 9 248 7 252 9 312 14 331 46961 44933 6 244 3 239 2 224 6 300 11 328 44933 43084 4 263 3 025 8 041 5 035 8 011 43084 41385 3 188 5 061 8 034 10 057 15 032 41385 39815 5 119 11 055 8 067 17 052 23 045 39815 38354 9 105 8 033 12 061 24 052 30 046 38354 36989 15 092 4 072 16 055 31 054 37 051 36989 35679 22 079 13 097 19 063 34 052 48 049 35679 34353 25 075 28 076 27 069 35 049 63 047 34353 32979 25 075 29 072 32 066 32 055 61 044 32979 31562 19 075 26 072 34 063 32 061 45 040 31562 30085 15 079 23 069 30 065 32 059 35 043 30085 28531 13 083 18 072 23 073 32 057 29 047 28531 26898 12 092 14 077 18 080 27 056 28 062 26898 25184 11 112 9 108 14 079 20 057 28 055 25184 23392 10 132 9 137 10 091 12 067 24 053 23392 21525 10 141 9 121 10 097 10 092 17 057 21525 19580 11 142 7 100 10 097 10 078 8 036 19580 17554 11 146 8 132 8 097 7 047 2 090 17554 15482 11 140 10 142 6 107 5 050 2 286 15482 13476 9 114 6 101 7 091 9 056 7 334 13476 11643 10 079 11 080 11 089 11 067 15 349 11643 10006 13 072 14 076 13 078 10 079 15 011 10006 8548 12 078 11 073 11 050 10 051 17 028 8548 7249 9 071 12 057 12 046 12 044 19 024 7249 6099 5 037 10 055 9 037 6 006 10 024 6099 5088 3 348 5 013 3 310 9 290 7 281 5088 4204 6 297 7 289 11 251 16 269 15 259 4204 3428 10 273 15 260 14*253 17 262 18 250 3428 2739 15 265 15*258 14*262 16*265 18 252 2739 2134 18 268 14*261 14 270 15*269 17 263 2134 1631 16 272 14 262 14 273 15 272 16 274 1631 1246 13*272 13 263 14 274 15 272 14 278 1246 981 9*266 12 263 13 275 14 273 12 279 981 820 7 262 11 263 12 275 13 273 10 280 820 728 5 261 9 263 10 275 10 273 6*279 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography