DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 56.2 - - 63.1 - - 62.1 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 15 - - 73 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1035 - - 952 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 729 - - 1748 - - 1665 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 151 - - 814 - - 703 - - 900 - - 612 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 29 - - 182 - - 77 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 037 - - 026 - - 018 - - 015 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1976 - - -3708 - - -3307 - - -2305 - - -748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2705 - - 4438 - - 5056 - - 3971 - - 1477 sfcLCL ODpotential -11717 - - -12060 - - -10266 - - -8938 - - -9513 ODpotential blCL 12446 - - 12789 - - 12014 - - 10603 - - 10242 blCL maxRH 52 - - 50 - - 49 - - 55 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 56.2 - - 63.1 - - 62.1 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.5 - - 40.0 - - 43.9 - - 47.6 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.0 - - 56.1 - - 62.5 - - 62.3 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.9 - - 38.8 - - 42.7 - - 46.3 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 15 - - 73 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1035 - - 952 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95878 40 289 28 317 30 293 32 303 24 291 95878 88909 21 319 21 305 22 311 25 322 17 313 88909 83539 16 338 18 312 26 331 21 318 16 308 83539 79060 13 330 13 305 16 320 15 312 18 317 79060 75176 10 334 6 260 12 304 14 310 15 303 75176 71719 12 327 7 314 14 307 10 314 12 298 71719 68580 19 302 13 311 19 302 15 317 22 319 68580 65702 22 276 15 302 20 285 17 293 22 297 65702 63020 29 297 20 306 19 301 13 285 16 279 63020 60385 41 282 29 298 22 298 20 296 22 313 60385 57625 37 266 28 285 24 293 35 298 38 305 57625 54766 32 279 32 287 37 288 41 283 39 288 54766 52017 45 279 42 279 47 276 38 270 36 294 52017 49521 54 264 52 263 46 265 37 283 39 301 49521 47284 51 256 43 253 38 264 37 297 36 302 47284 45265 39 260 31 276 36 273 42 308 30 311 45265 43426 43 288 38 295 35 287 41 310 32 332 43426 41734 43 295 42 297 37 297 37 314 33 343 41734 40173 39 295 37 291 35 294 30 309 31 346 40173 38733 27 283 24 273 24 301 25 308 34 346 38733 37393 6 241 15 259 18 310 22 328 33 346 37393 36101 13 017 16 008 10 347 23 344 26 355 36101 34790 31 008 29 015 14 030 18 346 24 004 34790 33430 26 007 29 016 16 012 13 352 19 006 33430 32021 14 354 25 021 19 002 14 357 10 009 32021 30545 13 062 19 020 17 004 17 350 5 045 30545 28985 25 059 18 028 17 009 20 348 6 085 28985 27342 27 043 20 039 17 014 16 357 11 040 27342 25615 27 045 18 054 15 044 12 027 20 014 25615 23802 26 053 15 060 11 063 7 063 22 020 23802 21910 22 055 17 043 10 069 6 070 17 052 21910 19934 13 046 21 055 14 085 8 106 14 075 19934 17864 4 036 19 072 18 098 12 127 9 122 17864 15741 4 070 10 085 10 101 9 123 8 172 15741 13690 5 039 5 050 4 031 4 066 2 010 13690 11822 5 005 4 014 5 014 6 043 4 038 11822 10161 5 348 5 024 4 034 6 050 5 075 10161 8685 5 359 6 036 5 049 6 051 5 085 8685 7373 7 022 8 049 7 058 6 044 5 089 7373 6210 9 041 12 052 9 057 6 038 4 062 6210 5181 11 041 13 047 10 046 7 030 6 027 5181 4279 11 027 13 039 11 029 9 022 10 024 4279 3487 12 018 14 034 13 022 13 019 16 019 3487 2782 15 020 15 033 14 021 14 017 16 014 2782 2163 19 024 17 031 13*020 10*015 13 008 2163 1649 18 024 16 029 8*017 6*013 8 002 1649 1256 13 022 12 028 7 019 5 017 5 355 1256 986 7 022 7 028 6 019 5 016 3 346 986 822 4*026 5*027 5 018 4 015 2*339 822 729 1*037 4*026 4 017 3 016 2*336 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography