DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 54.8 - - 58.6 - - 57.3 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 107 - - 205 - - 92 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 171 - - 1598 - - 2197 - - 2211 - - 134 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 1107 - - 1913 - - 1493 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 883 - - 2310 - - 2910 - - 2923 - - 846 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1293 - - 771 - - 740 - - 849 - - 1600 Hgt.Variab. W* 49 - - 231 - - 319 - - 247 - - 21 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 11 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 248 - - 277 - - 284 - - 291 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -272 - - -356 - - 42 - - 554 - - -431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1156 - - 2666 - - 2868 - - 2369 - - 1277 sfcLCL ODpotential -8282 - - -7088 - - -4987 - - 172 - - -979 ODpotential blCL 9165 - - 9398 - - 7897 - - 2751 - - 1825 blCL maxRH 91 - - 92 - - 91 - - 93 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 54.8 - - 58.6 - - 57.3 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.2 - - 45.8 - - 48.6 - - 49.5 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 54.0 - - 57.3 - - 56.6 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.9 - - 44.6 - - 47.4 - - 48.6 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 107 - - 205 - - 92 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 171 - - 1598 - - 2197 - - 2211 - - 134 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 69 - - 64 - - 72 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97259 58 278 59 272 68 281 54 285 42 282 97259 89808 58 278 60 271 66 272 64 281 58 282 89808 84069 52 273 54 272 52 266 58 273 57 273 84069 79314 42 268 44 270 44 262 48 266 49 270 79314 75251 36 267 36 269 37 263 43 264 39 276 75251 71690 33 272 29 276 26 274 31 270 28 276 71690 68469 32 277 24 282 21 287 21 270 20 286 68469 65505 28 286 23 286 23 293 17 274 20 292 65505 62754 27 298 25 286 24 286 21 293 21 296 62754 60081 24 296 25 282 25 281 24 298 24 303 60081 57286 23 302 24 286 24 288 27 302 27 300 57286 54382 28 300 26 293 27 295 29 297 26 295 54382 51608 31 293 28 296 30 293 31 301 29 302 51608 49120 30 290 30 292 34 290 35 303 33 303 49120 46896 29 293 33 288 39 286 37 299 35 301 46896 44885 28 296 32 286 37 284 36 289 37 295 44885 43065 26 298 30 286 35 287 34 285 37 289 43065 41412 24 287 32 290 39 292 37 293 37 287 41412 39892 24 279 37 291 42 287 42 291 36 290 39892 38473 26 281 38 292 40 281 44 285 36 288 38473 37137 28 279 37 294 39 283 42 282 38 285 37137 35841 28 278 37 295 40 285 40 284 38 283 35841 34519 29 282 37 295 40 285 42 288 38 285 34519 33141 30 284 37 294 38 287 40 290 36 286 33141 31712 29 282 36 291 37 288 36 291 32 287 31712 30216 31 273 34 285 35 288 34 291 28 293 30216 28640 32 267 33 283 32 289 31 290 26 301 28640 26986 32 265 34 283 32 291 28 292 27 307 26986 25251 31 272 37 281 31 289 25 294 27 307 25251 23438 31 278 37 281 33 279 24 290 24 304 23438 21553 29 285 32 287 31 281 25 287 23 300 21553 19590 28 287 30 287 25 289 24 290 24 298 19590 17542 24 286 28 281 26 287 21 293 25 297 17542 15451 18 283 19 272 22 287 21 295 25 298 15451 13435 16 283 16 277 21 277 21 291 24 295 13435 11599 14 281 12 286 18 279 21 294 24 292 11599 9969 12 281 11 291 15 293 19 301 22 301 9969 8524 9 289 11 302 12 306 17 306 17 314 8524 7241 7 303 10 313 11 321 13 314 14 319 7241 6104 5 303 9 320 10 330 11 317 14 321 6104 5098 4 298 9 318 9 329 10 310 16 325 5098 4214 5 301 10 310 9 317 13 306 18 326 4214 3437 10 306 13 309 11*302 14*302 19 323 3437 2746 13 312 13*303 11*289 14*297 18 315 2746 2138 14 308 11*282 12 286 15 293 16 299 2138 1634 13 292 10 277 12 284 15 291 14 288 1634 1248 10 275 10 276 11 282 15 289 13 282 1248 982 8*257 10 275 11 281 14 289 11*278 982 821 6*251 9 274 10 281 12 288 9*275 821 729 4 246 7 273 8 280 9 286 6 272 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography