DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 62.4 - - 64.5 - - 62.6 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 174 - - 235 - - 122 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1149 - - 1604 - - 1136 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1108 - - 1541 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1862 - - 2317 - - 1849 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 471 - - 813 - - 857 - - 660 - - 907 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 245 - - 302 - - 218 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 256 - - 278 - - 284 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - -5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1319 - - -1129 - - -729 - - -908 - - -696 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2047 - - 2991 - - 3046 - - 2757 - - 1425 sfcLCL ODpotential -7092 - - -4764 - - -4504 - - -4576 - - -5832 ODpotential blCL 7820 - - 6626 - - 6821 - - 6425 - - 6561 blCL maxRH 73 - - 75 - - 76 - - 78 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 62.4 - - 64.5 - - 62.6 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 52.0 - - 53.7 - - 53.1 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 61.2 - - 63.1 - - 61.8 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.5 - - 50.7 - - 52.4 - - 51.9 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 174 - - 235 - - 122 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1149 - - 1604 - - 1136 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 11 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97578 16 312 19 304 19 299 30 300 26 322 97578 90223 24 313 22 326 19 318 23 315 19 329 90223 84590 18 303 22 315 20 315 24 324 20 339 84590 79930 16 304 13 298 17 292 20 311 17 326 79930 75920 19 299 12 294 14 280 15 290 17 294 75920 72364 21 278 16 292 16 291 12 297 17 276 72364 69125 21 268 20 282 19 295 12 296 18 276 69125 66127 20 263 21 267 21 285 16 285 20 288 66127 63337 19 269 20 270 19 276 18 276 23 286 63337 60630 21 272 22 265 20 272 19 287 20 284 60630 57806 21 272 21 270 22 273 25 287 20 291 57806 54891 18 276 21 263 22 274 25 285 19 302 54891 52135 18 302 14 284 19 272 25 279 22 294 52135 49674 22 295 17 290 19 276 21 283 16 293 49674 47477 20 300 16 319 15 302 18 318 17 332 47477 45500 32 313 27 327 21 318 20 316 20 328 45500 43705 36 298 25 307 19 311 15 309 17 326 43705 42051 21 293 16 322 18 337 13 341 17 340 42051 40507 26 015 27 358 24 002 20 007 22 354 40507 39056 46 014 39 002 32 009 29 013 26 360 39056 37687 53 008 43 358 36 007 35 014 30 003 37687 36361 54 007 41 357 36 003 38 014 35 004 36361 35008 53 004 41 358 32 360 38 012 38 009 35008 33599 51 005 40 360 31 359 36 004 38 012 33599 32137 51 011 37 004 30 000 31 353 34 007 32137 30609 49 017 33 007 27 358 28 349 31 358 30609 29003 41 012 31 008 28 355 29 350 30 348 29003 27323 33 355 30 002 30 353 33 355 32 346 27323 25564 34 343 33 357 30 353 33 002 32 351 25564 23727 38 348 38 002 32 357 31 002 30 358 23727 21814 34 355 33 011 31 017 25 022 29 008 21814 19818 27 352 23 008 21 018 17 017 21 014 19818 17734 25 354 20 354 16 357 15 354 16 004 17734 15608 19 006 15 003 15 357 16 356 19 358 15608 13561 10 022 5 024 8 349 13 012 17 008 13561 11704 4 343 2 329 5 333 10 004 12 024 11704 10062 4 302 4 350 7 022 9 025 11 029 10062 8608 1 336 5 037 8 057 8 061 9 044 8608 7318 2 060 8 084 9 103 6 091 8 052 7318 6175 3 041 8 092 8 120 3 099 7 044 6175 5162 3 018 7 078 6 124 1 098 6 023 5162 4270 4 013 6 061 2 139 2 287 5 346 4270 3482 6 004 5 056 2 237 4 286 6 316 3482 2779 9 000 2 038 6*267 9 286 10 303 2779 2160 10 357 4*259 10*278 11*286 12 305 2160 1646 7 342 5*256 11 279 11*285 12 298 1646 1254 4 260 6 256 11 279 11 284 10 284 1254 985 6 228 6 256 11 278 11 283 8 274 985 822 5 221 5 257 10 278 10 282 7*270 822 729 3*223 5 255 8 277 8 282 4*266 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography