DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1855z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 74.1 - - 85.3 - - 76.5 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 221 - - 341 - - 181 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1044 - - 2632 - - 674 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 1091 - - 2375 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1756 - - 3345 - - 1386 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 711 - - 1997 - - 413 - - 414 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 249 - - 390 - - 201 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 17 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 330 - - 318 - - 298 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1955 - - -5962 - - -7140 - - -6183 - - -2009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2683 - - 7719 - - 10486 - - 7569 - - 2737 sfcLCL ODpotential -15533 - - -14608 - - -13424 - - -13701 - - -12727 ODpotential blCL 16261 - - 16364 - - 16769 - - 15087 - - 13455 blCL maxRH 47 - - 37 - - 26 - - 38 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 74.1 - - 85.3 - - 76.5 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 43.2 - - 41.9 - - 46.2 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 73.1 - - 83.4 - - 75.1 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 43.1 - - 41.7 - - 46.2 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 221 - - 341 - - 181 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1044 - - 2632 - - 674 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98299 8 275 9 335 3 232 10 231 9 315 98299 90881 4 017 4 024 3 269 4 224 4 334 90881 85151 6 067 3 083 1 274 2 257 2 005 85151 80413 7 057 4 123 4 265 5 335 1 012 80413 76353 7 355 2 041 5 271 6 341 3 337 76353 72779 10 322 6 324 9 286 10 326 6 326 72779 69552 12 319 8 314 11 281 14 311 9 325 69552 66592 16 316 11 317 11 276 16 294 14 321 66592 63856 18 309 15 311 12 278 17 282 18 313 63856 61211 20 301 19 302 16 282 19 278 19 302 61211 58450 22 293 21 295 18 281 20 280 20 295 58450 55583 24 286 22 284 19 278 21 275 20 290 55583 52846 27 280 23 276 21 277 22 269 20 286 52846 50380 30 270 24 273 21 273 20 276 18 286 50380 48172 30 263 23 273 19 272 19 281 16 293 48172 46173 25 259 20 274 15 276 16 289 13 313 46173 44346 18 265 16 274 11 286 12 302 13 326 44346 42662 12 279 10 265 8 298 8 333 13 347 42662 41096 11 290 5 268 7 340 11 018 12 348 41096 39629 12 290 2 330 7 033 11 028 7 344 39629 38245 11 285 4 324 13 054 10 039 6 345 38245 36905 9 280 7 289 13 043 14 027 8 351 36905 35541 5 277 6 280 8 040 12 008 13 340 35541 34125 2 318 1 303 7 059 7 355 16 323 34125 32657 3 001 2 067 7 061 4 352 14 313 32657 31120 3 019 2 066 6 055 5 348 14 316 31120 29501 5 045 2 088 3 021 9 357 12 329 29501 27802 6 040 1 058 5 351 10 008 11 337 27802 26022 5 008 3 344 8 347 8 358 10 344 26022 24159 5 308 6 328 10 337 11 345 10 356 24159 22219 5 291 8 324 10 330 12 347 9 011 22219 20196 4 309 8 341 8 334 10 343 7 020 20196 18086 3 004 9 003 6 355 7 346 6 028 18086 15933 5 025 8 014 4 031 5 029 6 055 15933 13856 7 005 6 025 4 054 5 069 6 081 13856 11967 5 335 3 013 2 066 6 077 7 092 11967 10291 3 305 1 334 1 288 5 076 7 105 10291 8802 2 265 1 346 1 274 4 075 8 114 8802 7478 3 239 2 028 1 251 3 086 7 119 7478 6302 2 210 2 042 0 192 1 116 4 113 6302 5263 3 144 1 078 1 161 1 105 2 054 5263 4349 5 112 1 143 1 101 1 045 3 029 4349 3543 6 090 1 190 2*023 3 011 4 016 3543 2822 7 072 2 015 3*004 4 346 3 346 2822 2186 6 059 4*003 3 341 6 326 6 309 2186 1659 4 022 4*350 5 315 10*309 10 303 1659 1259 4 345 4 332 5 306 12*301 13 300 1259 987 4 330 4 323 6 302 12 298 12 300 987 822 3*336 4 316 5 300 11 297 9 299 822 728 3*355 3 314 5 298 9 294 5*297 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography