DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 87.2 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 206 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 437 - - 1612 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1485 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1151 - - 2327 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 523 - - 902 - - - - - 185 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 284 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 21 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 302 - - - - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4331 - - -6866 - - - - - -2446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5482 - - 9193 - - - - - 3176 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12673 - - -13337 - - - - - -11653 ODpotential blCL - - - 13824 - - 15664 - - - - - 12383 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 58 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 87.2 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 49.8 - - - - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 85.6 - - - - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 49.1 - - - - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 206 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 437 - - 1612 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97756 12 314 8 278 16 327 97756 90547 9 342 1 261 7 353 90547 84981 7 316 11 346 6 032 84981 80351 2 340 8 327 9 040 80351 76371 5 074 3 323 11 061 76371 72860 7 061 9 047 9 061 72860 69682 5 121 2 053 11 027 69682 66754 2 115 1 279 12 347 66754 64039 2 305 3 219 11 306 64039 61425 7 298 6 216 14 270 61425 58706 14 286 12 259 14 273 58706 55890 24 277 20 258 22 268 55890 53212 29 266 27 268 28 261 53212 50809 35 265 34 273 32 264 50809 48650 38 263 31 280 37 271 48650 46677 39 264 30 290 41 275 46677 44849 38 265 31 286 46 275 44849 43141 35 266 33 278 50 274 43141 41534 33 268 34 272 48 275 41534 40017 35 266 33 262 43 272 40017 38586 37 263 32 258 39 264 38586 37207 42 261 37 257 35 261 37207 35817 30 240 41 240 36 244 35817 34388 26 232 32 234 36 221 34388 32913 23 235 29 237 36 240 32913 31369 22 252 30 253 36 242 31369 29742 27 264 23 250 30 250 29742 28033 26 273 18 258 20 258 28033 26241 19 267 12 264 16 284 26241 24365 14 240 15 244 14 290 24365 22412 18 216 19 219 10 250 22412 20381 17 226 15 215 9 191 20381 18262 9 233 7 209 7 171 18262 16098 4 221 6 195 8 157 16098 14011 6 209 8 205 10 154 14011 12113 11 211 12 207 10 153 12113 10425 15 213 15 209 8 175 10425 8922 18 212 17 212 9 219 8922 7584 18 204 19 208 12 233 7584 6394 17 195 20 201 13 233 6394 5341 18 189 20 198 12 227 5341 4413 17 187 18 198 10 223 4413 3594 16 186 14 199 7 214 3594 2863 12 184 8*200 4 199 2863 2220 6 174 1*285 2 083 2220 1684 1 120 2 309 3 025 1684 1273 2*344 3 304 5 338 1273 994 3*307 3 300 7 324 994 825 2 298 3 299 6*319 825 730 2 296 3 296 3*317 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography