DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/03 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1329z - - 1553z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 54.9 - - 60.2 - - 57.4 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 20 - - 86 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 617 - - 2940 - - 117 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1941 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1329 - - 3653 - - 829 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 626 - - 1985 - - 1137 - - 3209 - - 1724 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 97 - - 263 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 262 - - 276 - - 289 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -32 - - 282 - - 872 - - -1044 - - -89 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 760 - - 1048 - - 2781 - - 1873 - - 818 sfcLCL ODpotential -1841 - - 102 - - 229 - - -1485 - - -1450 ODpotential blCL 2569 - - 1227 - - 3424 - - 2314 - - 2179 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 92 - - 89 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 20 - - 20 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 54.9 - - 60.2 - - 57.4 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.7 - - 53.1 - - 50.7 - - 52.0 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 54.7 - - 59.5 - - 57.6 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 52.8 - - 49.9 - - 51.6 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 20 - - 86 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 617 - - 2940 - - 117 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 68 - - 54 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97404 26 071 26 078 29 065 36 085 37 073 97404 90229 26 081 27 077 26 078 30 079 25 079 90229 84642 28 081 28 086 25 079 25 078 21 095 84642 79942 26 076 26 089 25 090 24 085 24 104 79942 75851 21 080 23 084 24 085 24 090 23 092 75851 72216 18 061 18 078 14 079 12 077 16 079 72216 68931 11 021 13 029 10 062 9 053 9 049 68931 65913 11 032 13 009 9 023 11 019 10 017 65913 63115 19 359 21 352 19 344 19 340 19 339 63115 60422 20 359 18 340 15 334 15 320 19 339 60422 57626 25 348 20 360 19 359 18 328 18 338 57626 54725 43 330 41 330 36 332 30 331 29 337 54725 51962 51 324 49 318 43 322 43 319 41 320 51962 49493 49 327 48 319 52 317 55 311 50 311 49493 47304 49 328 47 318 54 305 53 304 54 301 47304 45346 43 324 42 316 51 301 53 304 54 298 45346 43581 39 322 42 317 52 302 57 300 57 295 43581 41965 43 318 47 320 57 301 56 293 60 294 41965 40460 45 315 51 320 52 299 51 291 59 288 40460 39042 45 313 52 320 49 295 49 289 55 286 39042 37696 46 312 48 320 47 289 46 287 53 288 37696 36386 47 312 44 316 45 284 44 284 53 289 36386 35048 45 307 41 312 44 284 44 283 55 288 35048 33652 41 305 38 310 45 287 45 285 59 286 33652 32200 39 304 40 305 45 289 45 290 58 289 32200 30678 39 304 40 300 43 290 45 295 54 294 30678 29073 38 298 38 297 42 290 45 295 47 297 29073 27385 40 295 40 295 43 291 46 295 42 298 27385 25615 44 295 40 292 44 291 47 294 36 296 25615 23765 43 296 39 285 44 291 43 296 34 294 23765 21835 41 296 39 283 44 291 42 303 32 298 21835 19821 39 295 42 283 44 291 41 302 30 302 19821 17724 36 295 45 279 43 293 36 297 27 300 17724 15594 33 294 39 276 39 290 31 297 25 294 15594 13548 32 294 34 277 35 286 29 295 23 284 13548 11688 31 296 31 282 29 284 24 293 15 286 11688 10039 26 299 27 286 24 284 18 287 10 297 10039 8576 22 301 19 288 17 285 13 283 8 308 8576 7278 17 302 12 289 8 282 9 272 7 314 7278 6129 7 295 8 290 6 243 9 262 7 307 6129 5119 3 251 7 271 5 249 7 269 4 298 5119 4236 4 257 8 273 5*278 5 285 2 326 4236 3460 7 274 10 283 5*280 6 297 3 346 3460 2767 9 277 10 283 5 279 6 299 4 341 2767 2155 11 273 9 283 5 277 7 296 4 334 2155 1645 10 268 8*281 5 274 7 293 5 325 1645 1254 8 251 5*271 6 274 7 291 5 311 1254 985 6 216 4 260 5 272 6*290 5 302 985 822 5 189 3 256 5 272 6*289 4*298 822 729 3*166 3 255 4 271 4 289 3*294 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography