DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 80.9 - - 76.5 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 261 - - 157 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 738 - - 1666 - - 866 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1610 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1452 - - 2380 - - 1579 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 846 - - 3381 - - 615 - - 458 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 314 - - 214 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 292 - - 294 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5230 - - -6759 - - -6200 - - -3746 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6682 - - 9140 - - 7780 - - 4475 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9218 - - -10877 - - -10487 - - -10113 ODpotential blCL - - - 10670 - - 13257 - - 12066 - - 10842 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 76 - - 35 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 80.9 - - 76.5 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 43.4 - - 45.2 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 79.2 - - 75.4 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 42.2 - - 43.9 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 261 - - 157 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 738 - - 1666 - - 866 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98156 4 323 9 057 6 114 4 046 98156 90718 11 133 3 165 2 245 9 034 90718 84984 10 137 5 128 6 265 9 018 84984 80232 5 135 5 118 4 171 2 106 80232 76146 2 071 1 139 3 071 3 098 76146 72542 3 020 3 200 3 343 4 004 72542 69273 2 344 1 291 5 349 2 312 69273 66251 2 084 5 275 8 335 6 333 66251 63445 7 001 4 291 6 341 7 352 63445 60731 11 329 8 323 10 345 9 352 60731 57913 10 340 9 322 14 327 17 340 57913 55000 9 350 11 328 14 328 18 335 55000 52230 17 352 19 343 20 341 23 348 52230 49758 21 350 21 347 22 345 20 339 49758 47542 26 005 28 003 23 350 13 003 47542 45527 31 010 32 003 34 006 40 010 45527 43706 35 012 38 007 42 356 45 003 43706 42044 36 008 36 011 26 025 27 018 42044 40499 32 360 31 019 44 057 35 063 40499 39051 31 358 27 022 43 051 60 060 39051 37687 27 353 26 031 37 042 71 053 37687 36369 25 343 22 026 36 034 66 049 36369 35026 26 340 20 016 37 033 54 052 35026 33631 27 340 18 012 31 035 47 058 33631 32184 25 339 15 010 29 039 50 061 32184 30672 23 341 15 009 29 046 53 064 30672 29081 21 348 15 010 30 049 45 062 29081 27412 20 356 15 015 30 050 36 059 27412 25662 21 359 16 016 28 048 32 059 25662 23831 19 356 18 016 26 047 32 060 23831 21920 17 350 20 014 24 050 27 058 21920 19928 14 354 17 013 20 051 21 059 19928 17852 9 356 10 015 12 051 14 060 17852 15737 6 359 7 009 8 045 8 066 15737 13698 5 032 4 028 5 044 7 085 13698 11843 6 043 6 058 5 072 6 089 11843 10194 4 075 7 072 6 093 4 093 10194 8731 5 107 6 090 6 099 3 097 8731 7430 6 105 5 104 4 089 3 071 7430 6273 5 103 3 109 3 067 2 043 6273 5246 3 106 2 076 2 028 3 354 5246 4339 2 081 2 001 3 344 4 330 4339 3539 2 062 3 331 6 315 6 312 3539 2822 1 058 4*314 7 305 8 303 2822 2190 1 276 6*298 11 296 10 298 2190 1664 3*281 7 294 11*296 11 296 1664 1264 4*281 7 292 11*295 9 293 1264 990 4 278 7 289 10 295 7 287 990 824 4 276 7 288 10 294 6 283 824 729 3 276 6 287 8 292 3*280 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography