DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 44.5 - - - - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 123 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2514 - - 2765 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1535 - - 2094 - - - - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3226 - - 3476 - - - - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3315 - - 3288 - - - - - 2299 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 242 - - 294 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 29 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 309 - - - - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 24 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 831 - - 963 - - - - - -399 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2395 - - 2513 - - - - - 1127 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 37 - - -174 - - - - - -1665 ODpotential blCL - - - 3189 - - 3650 - - - - - 2393 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 95 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 200 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 44.5 - - - - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 35.9 - - - - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 44.0 - - - - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 34.8 - - - - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 123 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2514 - - 2765 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 78 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96688 30 114 19 109 21 097 96688 89518 21 090 20 115 18 089 89518 83961 12 086 16 101 10 089 83961 79317 8 121 9 095 8 109 79317 75288 3 061 6 114 4 065 75288 71717 12 067 6 136 7 053 71717 68466 12 355 7 136 6 340 68466 65467 10 302 4 273 2 269 65467 62680 9 291 17 285 0 201 62680 59970 11 294 18 279 16 324 59970 57135 18 304 17 280 29 294 57135 54178 31 299 20 300 31 289 54178 51337 40 302 39 309 34 300 51337 48767 47 305 50 306 43 310 48767 46457 59 302 57 308 50 311 46457 44366 61 298 59 308 52 315 44366 42459 59 298 59 309 61 319 42459 40700 60 301 63 306 68 314 40700 39066 65 303 68 302 68 310 39066 37536 72 302 69 299 64 314 37536 36106 75 297 70 299 67 323 36106 34739 73 292 71 296 73 327 34739 33368 72 291 69 297 77 330 33368 31969 74 295 68 303 81 331 31969 30546 74 297 68 308 83 332 30546 29078 71 299 69 311 84 332 29078 27543 69 302 72 314 86 331 27543 25935 70 304 73 314 86 332 25935 24253 70 304 74 313 86 332 24253 22497 70 302 74 313 85 331 22497 20670 71 301 70 311 81 331 20670 18770 73 300 64 311 70 332 18770 16794 62 300 59 309 61 334 16794 14782 50 297 46 307 56 335 14782 12851 34 268 43 303 49 336 12851 11109 39 273 44 313 41 337 11109 9572 46 287 45 323 38 335 9572 8208 50 296 44 326 35 335 8208 6993 53 304 43 325 33 336 6993 5913 52 311 43 323 33 337 5913 4955 48 316 41 321 33 335 4955 4110 42 316 40*320 33 332 4110 3364 39*314 37*317 32 330 3364 2696 34*310 33 313 31 326 2696 2106 30 306 30 308 28 321 2106 1614 28 303 28 306 24 317 1614 1236 25 301 26 304 19 312 1236 976 23 299 24 303 13 306 976 818 20 297 21 302 10*301 818 728 14 295 14 300 4*288 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography