DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 58.9 - - 56.3 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 74 - - -11 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 134 - - 351 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 846 - - 1064 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 273 - - 345 - - 440 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 126 - - 17 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 076 - - 080 - - 076 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -7 - - -5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2158 - - -2139 - - -1765 - - -1276 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3005 - - 3203 - - 2495 - - 2004 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14331 - - -11526 - - -11324 - - -13852 ODpotential blCL - - - 15177 - - 12590 - - 12053 - - 14580 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 64 - - 68 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 58.9 - - 56.3 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 47.7 - - 48.2 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 58.3 - - 56.8 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 46.5 - - 47.4 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 74 - - -11 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 134 - - 351 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97102 47 100 39 107 50 094 48 108 97102 89893 48 106 39 113 46 099 42 108 89893 84321 43 099 37 099 42 088 41 101 84321 79706 35 096 38 090 37 089 37 091 79706 75707 31 101 31 089 30 090 28 084 75707 72137 25 101 22 091 18 085 26 075 72137 68895 23 091 19 084 13 070 25 052 68895 65947 23 071 18 079 16 072 21 048 65947 63248 25 040 21 067 21 061 19 046 63248 60643 25 019 22 043 20 037 21 032 60643 57926 22 007 21 025 19 010 23 005 57926 55105 23 360 23 003 24 353 25 358 55105 52407 28 359 27 354 28 341 28 350 52407 49977 31 352 31 346 30 338 31 342 49977 47798 33 346 33 341 30 338 31 336 47798 45815 36 341 34 339 31 342 30 335 45815 43985 34 336 33 336 28 341 27 336 43985 42281 29 329 26 325 22 329 24 329 42281 40688 19 322 21 310 16 314 19 309 40688 39202 13 297 17 285 12 277 15 280 39202 37818 8 280 12 262 15 241 19 245 37818 36498 8 259 12 232 20 219 25 220 36498 35164 7 237 15 225 20 203 28 202 35164 33775 14 154 15 209 20 212 24 212 33775 32334 22 154 20 182 22 225 20 226 32334 30824 25 166 24 172 20 224 19 236 30824 29232 25 172 21 176 19 213 18 230 29232 27558 22 166 20 188 19 205 19 217 27558 25803 22 156 20 182 22 204 21 214 25803 23966 22 152 21 176 25 209 25 215 23966 22052 22 160 22 183 23 208 25 213 22052 20052 19 172 19 194 19 196 20 205 20052 17960 15 177 14 201 14 188 16 200 17960 15817 12 173 10 189 10 187 10 196 15817 13748 9 164 10 188 8 206 6 205 13748 11865 7 167 8 205 8 223 5 215 11865 10194 6 190 7 237 6 228 4 225 10194 8713 4 232 6 272 3 243 3 253 8713 7400 5 261 9 279 5 278 5 293 7400 6237 5 242 9 275 5 277 6 289 6237 5208 5 230 7 259 6 256 7 276 5208 4303 6 228 5 242 6 246 6 273 4303 3506 6 229 4 232 5 237 4 274 3506 2795 4 225 3 204 4 218 3 267 2795 2168 3 206 4 146 3 182 1 235 2168 1649 5 120 9 102 6 126 4 121 1649 1252 13 088 11*085 12 091 12 099 1252 982 13*079 10*081 11 079 14 083 982 820 11*076 9 079 9*077 12 077 820 728 8 075 7 079 6*076 7*074 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography