DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.6 - - 52.2 - - 57.1 - - 54.8 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 60 - - 74 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 648 - - 998 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1360 - - 1710 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 271 - - 538 - - 638 - - 1277 - - 537 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 143 - - 179 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 046 - - 036 - - 045 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -190 - - -523 - - -809 - - -1219 - - -294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 918 - - 1883 - - 2519 - - 1948 - - 1023 sfcLCL ODpotential -10291 - - -8646 - - -7796 - - -8310 - - -9259 ODpotential blCL 11019 - - 10006 - - 9506 - - 9039 - - 9988 blCL maxRH 85 - - 85 - - 75 - - 74 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.6 - - 52.2 - - 57.1 - - 54.8 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.5 - - 46.8 - - 48.9 - - 49.1 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.4 - - 51.7 - - 56.5 - - 55.3 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.9 - - 45.7 - - 47.6 - - 48.0 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 60 - - 74 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 648 - - 998 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96435 5 039 11 039 6 023 5 045 9 024 96435 89348 9 065 9 108 7 067 10 079 11 081 89348 83852 8 086 5 105 5 116 3 065 8 063 83852 79270 2 287 1 023 2 239 1 271 4 042 79270 75297 5 184 4 260 6 273 9 308 8 021 75297 71763 4 252 8 240 13 271 15 299 8 339 71763 68557 15 288 9 272 15 274 16 284 11 311 68557 65603 22 281 12 284 18 281 18 287 14 302 65603 62861 18 281 16 281 20 278 23 283 19 296 62861 60203 24 291 20 276 22 275 25 286 23 302 60203 57426 32 280 30 281 31 282 30 286 28 296 57426 54543 38 273 38 278 38 284 35 287 32 293 54543 51793 43 275 43 277 44 281 38 287 35 290 51793 49331 49 279 44 278 45 279 40 293 36 302 49331 47145 58 280 49 283 48 287 46 297 40 299 47145 45178 64 279 57 286 49 291 48 294 34 309 45178 43392 58 278 53 285 46 291 41 302 35 306 43392 41751 53 283 46 290 41 293 38 308 28 298 41751 40230 57 285 46 296 38 299 35 313 32 324 40230 38811 61 285 51 295 35 303 36 315 37 325 38811 37477 61 287 55 294 31 306 29 312 33 320 37477 36186 58 289 57 295 27 315 19 351 27 320 36186 34867 52 289 58 296 26 329 32 016 27 329 34867 33493 49 287 57 297 29 333 31 014 28 334 33493 32064 48 293 55 300 30 328 21 355 28 332 32064 30563 48 300 50 306 28 323 23 330 27 336 30563 28980 48 305 46 311 26 327 28 331 24 336 28980 27317 48 310 43 313 26 330 32 339 21 333 27317 25571 49 314 42 316 26 323 29 341 17 326 25571 23746 51 313 41 318 26 321 23 329 17 287 23746 21851 49 312 41 317 31 319 23 310 31 305 21851 19878 47 313 41 317 36 317 30 312 35 316 19878 17812 45 313 40 319 37 320 35 319 35 320 17812 15696 41 312 35 322 31 321 33 321 36 322 15696 13649 37 315 28 325 26 323 27 320 33 327 13649 11783 29 319 22 325 23 322 24 320 28 331 11783 10122 21 322 19 324 22 324 23 330 23 331 10122 8647 18 330 17 331 20 334 20 344 20 338 8647 7340 16 341 15 344 18 343 18 357 18 350 7340 6182 14 354 15 359 16 355 16 008 14 003 6182 5160 12 004 15 012 14 011 14 014 10 017 5160 4264 10 010 14 018 14 022 13 019 8 026 4264 3475 9 010 13 017 14 025 13 024 7 033 3475 2772 8 006 13 012 13 026 14 025 7 032 2772 2154 6 360 11 013 10*026 12 025 8 023 2154 1642 3 011 8*035 7*033 8 033 6 017 1642 1251 3 032 7*045 7 036 7 042 4 030 1251 984 2 058 6 046 6 037 6 044 2 047 984 821 3*074 6 047 6 037 5*044 1*027 821 729 3*074 4 048 5 037 3*045 1*021 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography