DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 89.9 - - 86.1 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 345 - - 212 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 625 - - 1318 - - 1030 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1426 - - 1078 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1338 - - 2033 - - 1744 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 324 - - 707 - - 392 - - 597 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 315 - - 247 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 268 - - 277 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6120 - - -8670 - - -7733 - - -5635 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7459 - - 10704 - - 9478 - - 6365 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16289 - - -16654 - - -16440 - - -16366 ODpotential blCL - - - 17627 - - 18687 - - 18184 - - 17096 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 24 - - 28 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 89.9 - - 86.1 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 46.1 - - 47.7 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 87.7 - - 84.5 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 45.1 - - 46.9 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 345 - - 212 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 625 - - 1318 - - 1030 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99374 41 108 36 112 32 115 27 107 99374 91861 37 097 33 112 34 106 34 100 91861 86090 28 100 32 103 34 105 32 094 86090 81314 23 098 27 108 24 101 24 092 81314 77195 17 109 24 104 17 093 18 080 77195 73550 20 117 17 097 14 099 16 080 73550 70258 19 108 16 094 18 093 14 100 70258 67246 17 100 14 104 15 088 17 096 67246 64471 14 105 12 115 9 102 15 079 64471 61798 10 104 6 117 3 062 8 057 61798 59041 3 112 6 169 6 224 3 310 59041 56222 8 257 10 229 12 240 12 256 56222 53556 16 287 14 265 15 249 16 251 53556 51161 24 272 22 269 22 267 20 270 51161 49011 28 262 27 264 29 263 29 270 49011 47051 33 260 33 260 36 263 37 270 47051 45241 37 261 39 260 41 262 45 268 45241 43551 38 260 41 259 43 263 47 266 43551 41961 37 260 40 260 43 263 45 265 41961 40460 36 259 39 263 42 262 44 265 40460 39039 35 260 39 264 41 263 43 264 39039 37660 35 264 35 263 40 264 42 261 37660 36255 36 265 33 265 36 263 41 262 36255 34794 35 261 35 265 34 265 36 262 34794 33280 31 261 33 263 33 267 33 265 33280 31697 27 264 28 266 30 266 30 270 31697 30035 24 266 25 267 25 266 24 268 30035 28292 22 271 23 269 23 270 20 265 28292 26470 18 278 17 268 18 267 18 260 26470 24569 15 268 16 261 18 263 19 258 24569 22593 15 263 17 265 18 272 18 268 22593 20534 16 260 17 268 15 278 14 281 20534 18388 12 262 15 265 13 277 11 286 18388 16198 10 266 12 265 11 274 8 281 16198 14089 10 270 10 268 9 277 6 278 14089 12169 10 272 8 272 7 278 4 282 12169 10462 9 271 6 269 6 277 4 298 10462 8947 7 263 6 260 5 275 4 306 8947 7601 6 243 5 251 3 268 2 299 7601 6406 5 213 5 236 3 244 2 265 6406 5350 4 184 5 210 4 222 2 253 5350 4419 3 164 5 192 5 214 3 266 4419 3599 2 174 4 196 6 225 5 277 3599 2867 3 221 4 224 6 245 7 281 2867 2221 5 231 5*257 9*271 10 284 2221 1686 6*239 7*268 10*278 11 280 1686 1277 6*248 7 268 10 278 9 269 1277 997 6 251 8 268 10 277 7 258 997 827 5 251 7 267 10 276 6 254 827 730 5 250 7 267 8 276 4*250 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography