DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 74.6 - - 72.6 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 462 - - 298 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1045 - - 1412 - - 1121 - - 370 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1202 - - 1550 - - 1244 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1759 - - 2126 - - 1835 - - 1083 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 324 - - 378 - - 413 - - 523 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 352 - - 282 - - 63 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 264 - - 268 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1636 - - -3485 - - -3490 - - -2076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3395 - - 5611 - - 5325 - - 3159 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11441 - - -12176 - - -12994 - - -14086 ODpotential blCL - - - 13200 - - 14302 - - 14829 - - 15169 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 59 - - 58 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 74.6 - - 72.6 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 52.9 - - 52.1 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 72.2 - - 70.7 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 52.4 - - 51.8 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 462 - - 298 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1045 - - 1412 - - 1121 - - 370 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99281 38 107 38 118 31 119 30 109 99281 91733 30 118 26 114 31 097 31 097 91733 85952 27 123 26 114 28 098 31 095 85952 81176 28 118 28 113 24 111 22 106 81176 77057 26 109 28 119 24 114 19 114 77057 73432 21 105 25 112 23 119 19 107 73432 70177 17 122 17 109 19 124 16 110 70177 67197 16 122 13 118 14 133 13 105 67197 64439 14 154 6 152 12 116 12 115 64439 61774 17 166 12 168 9 169 8 155 61774 59011 14 190 12 197 12 178 12 180 59011 56163 20 216 21 214 17 234 12 237 56163 53457 25 215 27 204 28 212 24 234 53457 51035 22 218 28 204 29 202 31 213 51035 48876 27 245 27 224 28 234 27 229 48876 46909 36 244 35 239 28 238 26 231 46909 45082 42 238 39 238 28 246 25 242 45082 43371 46 237 41 240 38 251 35 249 43371 41767 50 241 46 243 46 247 44 252 41767 40252 57 241 50 241 51 244 48 246 40252 38818 59 236 55 235 53 242 51 237 38818 37424 59 229 58 226 54 233 52 228 37424 36005 60 224 60 223 57 228 57 227 36005 34534 62 226 63 227 56 230 55 233 34534 33015 58 231 58 232 53 236 48 238 33015 31433 46 240 44 234 39 238 39 238 31433 29777 27 250 26 226 28 237 33 234 29777 28053 19 252 17 226 24 229 27 230 28053 26254 17 246 15 230 17 244 15 236 26254 24377 16 243 15 236 13 259 8 240 24377 22422 18 250 15 242 10 248 7 207 22422 20378 20 251 15 236 13 225 13 217 20378 18243 20 241 18 229 15 233 13 232 18243 16062 19 238 16 240 11 250 9 247 16062 13958 15 249 12 256 6 251 5 226 13958 12046 11 257 9 258 5 243 5 198 12046 10347 10 259 8 254 5 243 4 214 10347 8839 8 253 6 249 4 238 4 235 8839 7501 7 247 5 249 4 238 5 253 7501 6315 5 244 5 255 4 248 6 272 6315 5267 4 266 5 275 5 258 7 286 5267 4345 6 297 7 291 7 275 9 290 4345 3534 9 296 10 289 11 285 13 290 3534 2812 12 286 13 280 15 286 16 293 2812 2180 12*270 13*269 15*279 17 292 2180 1657 12*256 14*266 15*271 15 276 1657 1261 12 254 14 264 14 269 13*257 1261 989 11 253 13 263 14 267 12*254 989 824 11 252 12 263 13 267 11 253 824 729 9 252 10 261 10 266 8 252 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography