DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 50.9 - - 56.0 - - 53.9 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 56 - - 90 - - -4 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 589 - - 1010 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1301 - - 1722 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 186 - - 438 - - 615 - - 1216 - - 260 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 135 - - 188 - - 14 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 051 - - 018 - - 047 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 2 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -410 - - -220 - - -222 - - -962 - - -682 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1138 - - 1521 - - 1945 - - 1691 - - 1410 sfcLCL ODpotential -11106 - - -8920 - - -7687 - - -8970 - - -12014 ODpotential blCL 11834 - - 10221 - - 9409 - - 9699 - - 12742 blCL maxRH 80 - - 87 - - 87 - - 81 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 50.9 - - 56.0 - - 53.9 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.6 - - 46.9 - - 50.1 - - 49.1 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 50.5 - - 55.3 - - 54.1 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 46.1 - - 49.0 - - 48.4 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 56 - - 90 - - -4 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 589 - - 1010 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 48 - - 46 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96317 21 077 28 059 12 111 20 117 24 072 96317 89219 22 082 20 088 12 091 14 091 24 070 89219 83721 22 070 12 074 9 069 14 069 16 084 83721 79163 11 040 12 030 11 074 11 038 10 058 79163 75222 6 013 10 012 12 040 10 065 3 039 75222 71718 10 002 6 353 9 349 16 014 7 039 71718 68529 11 350 7 328 12 319 14 340 12 340 68529 65597 14 335 12 317 17 310 15 315 17 342 65597 62874 19 316 15 308 19 309 17 309 19 322 62874 60227 30 300 23 303 26 307 27 311 26 320 60227 57458 32 298 28 292 33 293 35 297 33 306 57458 54580 39 305 27 296 34 291 37 291 34 292 54580 51833 44 300 32 302 37 295 37 294 31 292 51833 49363 44 297 39 303 38 293 41 292 34 292 49363 47159 44 301 42 306 37 291 42 283 38 287 47159 45175 45 303 41 302 36 287 37 277 37 284 45175 43368 47 302 39 296 37 286 39 273 37 284 43368 41712 43 295 38 297 42 277 40 261 39 270 41712 40192 34 286 35 299 40 271 35 257 39 253 40192 38782 38 350 29 318 27 277 35 246 39 239 38782 37449 45 350 33 339 22 293 29 248 34 238 37449 36150 41 342 36 336 24 302 21 254 31 236 36150 34823 31 339 33 330 25 306 17 269 25 242 34823 33440 27 357 30 329 24 303 17 275 24 238 33440 32006 29 016 28 325 21 307 16 283 25 239 32006 30504 32 024 27 321 18 312 16 290 25 247 30504 28921 30 015 25 320 18 317 18 298 25 253 28921 27257 28 002 20 317 18 326 19 307 24 253 27257 25510 25 355 18 322 16 334 17 309 22 247 25510 23679 18 007 20 342 14 335 16 304 22 242 23679 21771 13 325 20 351 15 334 14 303 20 288 21771 19786 24 296 16 340 16 324 13 311 23 318 19786 17717 25 287 19 324 19 328 14 316 24 324 17717 15604 26 277 19 325 18 332 19 321 23 322 15604 13565 28 277 17 320 18 329 21 324 18 323 13565 11707 25 284 16 311 18 326 19 331 15 332 11707 10055 21 288 15 307 16 324 15 337 14 344 10055 8588 15 294 12 303 13 322 12 341 11 354 8588 7285 12 312 11 302 10 327 10 348 9 002 7285 6131 12 327 10 311 8 329 10 356 7 005 6131 5115 10 336 9 326 7 336 9 005 6 003 5115 4224 9 345 9 339 7 349 8 014 5 358 4224 3442 10 358 9 350 7 360 8 022 4 359 3442 2746 10 003 10 354 7 005 8 024 5 360 2746 2136 9 359 9 006 5*008 7 028 7 004 2136 1629 6 012 7*036 4*015 6 040 8 022 1629 1242 8 059 7*051 4 019 7 045 11 044 1242 978 9 060 6 051 4 018 6 046 11 052 978 819 8*055 6 051 3 019 5*047 9*052 819 728 4*051 5 051 3 020 4*047 4*055 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography