DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 49.0 - - 56.4 - - 53.7 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -34 - - 23 - - 84 - - 7 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 127 - - 1032 - - 708 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 839 - - 1744 - - 1420 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 125 - - 435 - - 1011 - - 1219 - - 292 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 61 - - 186 - - 81 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 088 - - 088 - - 091 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -3 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1262 - - -1828 - - -2292 - - -1091 - - -227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1990 - - 2667 - - 4036 - - 2511 - - 955 sfcLCL ODpotential -10749 - - -8770 - - -7392 - - -4907 - - -6442 ODpotential blCL 11477 - - 9609 - - 9136 - - 6327 - - 7170 blCL maxRH 61 - - 68 - - 82 - - 75 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 49.0 - - 56.4 - - 53.7 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 40.2 - - 41.5 - - 45.5 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.8 - - 48.9 - - 55.7 - - 53.7 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.4 - - 39.4 - - 40.3 - - 44.8 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -34 - - 23 - - 84 - - 7 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 127 - - 1032 - - 708 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 2 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95261 77 277 63 292 58 286 50 291 73 275 95261 88482 48 285 36 299 45 286 37 312 39 286 88482 83195 30 304 24 293 38 291 36 316 31 301 83195 78736 26 309 20 291 29 298 34 309 31 314 78736 74844 26 314 17 291 26 301 31 305 34 315 74844 71367 26 314 15 297 25 297 29 304 35 315 71367 68199 22 315 14 295 25 299 30 295 33 308 68199 65280 26 315 14 303 22 294 29 290 31 302 65280 62568 26 304 19 310 20 297 29 288 32 301 62568 59926 28 308 24 309 23 305 28 285 32 297 59926 57138 36 309 29 305 26 308 25 302 32 298 57138 54221 36 300 33 302 32 300 38 296 35 300 54221 51433 37 302 30 298 33 289 40 294 39 301 51433 48933 41 301 27 303 36 296 43 291 41 301 48933 46701 43 301 41 296 42 290 44 292 42 299 46701 44686 43 303 41 294 45 291 45 294 41 295 44686 42850 55 304 54 289 49 295 47 292 42 295 42850 41166 64 297 55 282 55 284 50 285 45 292 41166 39613 59 305 48 283 50 273 50 278 45 288 39613 38174 59 312 42 287 43 274 44 275 42 284 38174 36831 58 310 42 289 43 275 39 273 41 281 36831 35540 58 304 45 285 42 274 35 272 41 277 35540 34231 57 301 48 281 41 272 30 272 37 275 34231 32875 53 302 43 282 38 271 25 273 34 273 32875 31469 41 311 30 284 32 275 17 268 28 271 31469 29997 38 315 31 286 28 282 12 273 22 266 29997 28447 38 313 34 291 27 285 18 283 18 258 28447 26816 43 307 36 294 29 287 25 285 19 255 26816 25106 45 301 35 291 30 286 30 280 23 249 25106 23315 33 310 27 292 29 286 37 280 24 260 23315 21444 29 309 21 302 25 275 37 277 22 279 21444 19491 29 313 18 309 11 264 23 254 18 302 19491 17455 25 323 14 312 12 277 12 238 7 222 17455 15379 17 330 8 326 9 269 7 245 12 215 15379 13375 12 340 6 353 3 267 4 218 9 235 13375 11553 7 012 4 029 2 199 5 193 9 212 11553 9935 8 034 3 061 2 142 5 178 11 204 9935 8499 9 030 3 064 2 147 7 201 10 211 8499 7224 7 033 3 108 5 194 10 232 9 222 7224 6092 5 054 4 137 9 211 12 248 8 231 6092 5092 4 059 4 168 11 228 11 254 8 241 5092 4211 2 029 5 199 11 236 9 241 7 234 4211 3436 1 346 6 218 10 234 8 219 7 211 3436 2746 0 323 7 224 7 226 7 199 10 198 2746 2138 2 131 7 213 4*206 5 151 9 197 2138 1632 5 135 6 191 4*093 8*096 8 176 1632 1245 8 136 6 130 4 088 8*092 10 125 1245 980 9 118 7*093 5 086 8 091 10 096 980 819 8*101 6*089 4 085 7 090 8 082 819 728 5*087 5 088 4 085 6 091 4*073 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography