DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 64.7 - - 63.5 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 224 - - 118 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 937 - - 1142 - - 1046 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1009 - - 1201 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1650 - - 1855 - - 1758 - - 1052 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 351 - - 545 - - 465 - - 549 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 266 - - 211 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 271 - - 278 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -469 - - -1168 - - -984 - - -85 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2119 - - 3023 - - 2742 - - 1137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6380 - - -6175 - - -6300 - - -7120 ODpotential blCL - - - 8030 - - 8030 - - 8058 - - 8172 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 74 - - 74 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 64.7 - - 63.5 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 53.9 - - 54.0 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 63.3 - - 62.7 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 52.6 - - 52.8 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 224 - - 118 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 937 - - 1142 - - 1046 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97517 19 300 23 311 14 316 19 314 97517 90091 18 326 15 298 19 329 18 338 90091 84429 11 327 11 318 25 330 21 340 84429 79782 8 333 13 320 19 320 19 322 79782 75783 12 326 13 318 13 301 20 299 75783 72228 18 298 18 315 16 315 19 306 72228 68999 19 286 20 304 19 311 18 325 68999 66021 19 294 23 289 23 304 19 329 66021 63250 21 299 23 280 26 297 20 316 63250 60564 20 300 22 279 25 292 25 299 60564 57769 20 295 21 280 23 287 26 294 57769 54878 18 293 21 287 24 292 30 292 54878 52124 16 296 24 298 26 292 32 286 52124 49642 22 324 30 303 31 296 34 288 49642 47420 33 315 36 296 38 298 37 296 47420 45418 33 304 41 301 42 303 43 302 45418 43604 34 311 42 308 49 307 51 309 43604 41943 38 316 48 313 56 311 58 313 41943 40403 39 318 52 315 59 316 62 316 40403 38960 38 319 55 317 61 321 61 319 38960 37597 38 319 57 317 64 325 60 322 37597 36276 37 317 55 319 64 329 59 326 36276 34931 33 318 48 319 57 327 59 328 34931 33535 30 321 42 316 47 325 54 330 33535 32092 28 329 40 316 40 329 48 329 32092 30584 29 337 35 319 37 335 42 332 30584 28996 28 339 33 319 35 340 39 337 28996 27328 25 344 30 325 33 346 36 341 27328 25581 24 346 28 329 31 341 33 343 25581 23755 23 345 24 333 28 337 30 349 23755 21851 21 348 22 340 24 345 27 347 21851 19866 21 356 19 348 20 347 24 343 19866 17795 22 009 17 359 16 352 21 346 17795 15677 17 012 15 005 16 004 19 354 15677 13632 9 036 9 358 16 004 17 005 13632 11773 9 033 7 035 12 009 13 020 11773 10126 5 041 7 058 8 045 10 028 10126 8665 7 081 8 094 9 067 7 038 8665 7366 8 079 7 089 10 071 6 057 7366 6210 7 066 5 073 7 057 6 039 6210 5186 6 039 4 038 7 019 8 017 5186 4284 8 010 5 018 8 356 8 357 4284 3489 9 357 4 352 8 330 9 328 3489 2780 7 332 4 300 10 297 11 305 2780 2157 7*266 9*274 12*283 13 292 2157 1643 9*252 10*272 12*279 13 280 1643 1252 9 252 10 272 12 278 12*271 1252 985 9 252 9 271 12 277 11*268 985 822 8 252 9 271 11 277 9 266 822 729 7 252 8 270 9 277 6 265 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography