DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 47.8 - - 55.4 - - 51.3 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -50 - - 26 - - 64 - - -9 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 122 - - 412 - - 125 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 834 - - 1124 - - 837 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 114 - - 214 - - 552 - - 448 - - 152 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 64 - - 126 - - 27 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 073 - - 058 - - 064 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -6 - - -3 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1189 - - -1593 - - -1913 - - -1015 - - -184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1918 - - 2427 - - 3037 - - 1852 - - 912 sfcLCL ODpotential -16150 - - -13510 - - -11469 - - -10874 - - -11599 ODpotential blCL 16878 - - 14344 - - 12593 - - 11711 - - 12327 blCL maxRH 62 - - 70 - - 66 - - 76 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 47.8 - - 55.4 - - 51.3 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 40.1 - - 44.8 - - 45.9 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.3 - - 47.7 - - 54.8 - - 51.9 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 39.1 - - 43.6 - - 45.2 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -50 - - 26 - - 64 - - -9 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 122 - - 412 - - 125 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96305 19 065 16 015 24 359 24 035 20 018 96305 89291 25 054 22 049 17 040 19 033 24 062 89291 83813 20 044 17 044 11 043 18 039 21 058 83813 79278 16 039 14 059 12 028 18 026 20 043 79278 75375 15 031 14 064 12 061 15 038 17 030 75375 71917 15 043 13 047 14 067 14 049 14 055 71917 68784 19 037 13 036 13 057 13 050 19 070 68784 65907 19 022 13 021 11 039 11 038 16 047 65907 63244 18 016 12 001 10 008 9 023 15 020 63244 60661 16 008 12 002 11 354 5 360 13 350 60661 57950 16 349 13 352 14 346 4 337 10 333 57950 55123 19 335 13 342 14 340 10 357 4 343 55123 52419 14 331 11 356 9 339 12 347 5 006 52419 49970 7 356 10 006 6 004 5 004 4 325 49970 47753 3 054 7 020 1 019 1 058 1 337 47753 45719 6 119 2 057 1 207 3 152 1 147 45719 43842 6 096 5 148 4 202 9 184 6 210 43842 42111 2 130 6 142 8 199 9 211 7 228 42111 40509 5 169 4 162 10 215 14 217 10 245 40509 39015 7 182 4 170 13 212 16 196 14 234 39015 37615 8 215 3 174 14 203 18 207 16 233 37615 36269 13 225 8 205 15 195 18 213 18 228 36269 34905 16 223 14 209 15 198 22 213 20 219 34905 33495 20 221 18 211 21 206 28 213 23 214 33495 32039 21 218 19 211 24 207 30 211 25 210 32039 30522 21 214 19 209 23 200 29 209 25 206 30522 28933 19 198 19 200 19 188 25 202 23 203 28933 27274 18 162 19 180 18 182 20 183 20 198 27274 25542 23 139 19 156 19 170 17 159 16 185 25542 23735 21 133 20 152 19 161 18 158 15 174 23735 21851 17 133 19 153 18 161 19 164 16 178 21851 19881 15 143 17 153 16 162 15 175 13 194 19881 17820 12 158 13 159 13 166 11 183 7 203 17820 15710 7 165 10 172 11 177 10 194 5 200 15710 13669 4 144 7 174 8 178 10 199 6 208 13669 11806 2 178 7 175 9 181 10 199 9 211 11806 10150 5 194 9 189 11 191 10 205 9 205 10150 8678 10 210 13 195 13 199 10 216 7 204 8678 7369 12 210 15 199 14 207 12 228 7 210 7369 6206 11 203 16 199 15 210 12 222 9 197 6206 5178 11 186 16 193 15 204 13 207 12 184 5178 4275 10 172 16 184 15 194 14 193 13 181 4275 3482 9 165 14 180 13 187 13 187 13 191 3482 2777 6 171 10 185 9 195 8 198 11 199 2777 2158 3 200 5 206 3 216 3 218 7 191 2158 1643 2 217 3 214 0 036 1 161 5 173 1643 1250 7 112 6 098 6*058 6 072 7 127 1250 981 14 086 9*076 6*058 7*065 11 100 981 820 12*078 8*074 5 059 6*064 10 087 820 728 7*072 5 072 5 058 4 064 5*078 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography