DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 58.0 - - - - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 24 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 120 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 729 - - 833 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 826 - - 1042 - - - - - 681 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 59 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 277 - - - - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 104 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 729 - - 729 - - - - - 729 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3359 - - -67 - - - - - -10099 ODpotential blCL - - - 4088 - - 900 - - - - - 10828 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 58.0 - - - - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 57.5 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 57.8 - - - - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 57.3 - - - - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 24 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 120 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96392 16 052 16 043 2 011 96392 89381 14 026 10 040 9 061 89381 83942 12 357 15 335 13 019 83942 79388 11 017 7 294 13 009 79388 75416 6 340 9 314 17 324 75416 71919 6 020 7 055 11 345 71919 68746 22 325 14 309 9 090 68746 65812 26 299 28 290 22 334 65812 63115 18 298 25 298 33 304 63115 60522 23 294 30 289 39 303 60522 57827 37 296 38 288 51 290 57827 55029 47 294 44 292 56 289 55029 52342 61 289 53 297 74 307 52342 49915 81 283 81 295 85 297 49915 47734 88 280 98 287 85 294 47734 45751 90 286 94 283 86 293 45751 43943 100 290 92 287 85 294 43943 42286 102 292 90 292 77 298 42286 40754 98 293 83 294 68 300 40754 39319 93 295 79 294 58 299 39319 37963 88 302 76 294 54 308 37963 36649 86 308 66 297 52 315 36649 35307 87 305 67 302 53 318 35307 33906 83 303 69 307 53 316 33906 32449 81 311 64 305 52 312 32449 30920 74 310 71 310 54 311 30920 29307 69 306 72 315 53 310 29307 27609 64 305 63 314 51 306 27609 25830 65 298 59 308 55 302 25830 23968 69 299 64 304 60 300 23968 22027 71 301 68 303 60 305 22027 20004 70 302 69 304 56 310 20004 17900 64 303 67 308 54 314 17900 15756 59 303 63 311 55 319 15756 13685 53 302 53 315 51 317 13685 11801 43 297 43 314 44 314 11801 10129 41 294 39 309 37 310 10129 8646 34 295 38 311 34 316 8646 7331 27 301 32 313 30 321 7331 6166 24 307 23 311 22 319 6166 5140 21 308 18 306 11 306 5140 4243 21 305 15 308 7 277 4243 3458 21 302 13 317 8 274 3458 2762 15 301 12 324 11 286 2762 2149 9 282 10 318 13 297 2149 1640 10 249 9 296 13 301 1640 1250 11 231 8 283 10 303 1250 983 9 213 7*280 8 295 983 821 8*205 6*278 6*288 821 729 4*200 5 276 4*286 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography