DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.4 - - 62.3 - - 69.9 - - 69.0 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 54 - - 138 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 567 - - 1820 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1448 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1280 - - 2533 - - 730 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 182 - - 554 - - 1294 - - 3243 - - 376 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 129 - - 259 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 312 - - 339 - - 353 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -49 - - -852 - - -1669 - - -3622 - - -765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 777 - - 2133 - - 4203 - - 4353 - - 1495 sfcLCL ODpotential -9332 - - -6436 - - -5925 - - -8198 - - -7300 ODpotential blCL 10060 - - 7716 - - 8458 - - 8928 - - 8029 blCL maxRH 95 - - 81 - - 68 - - 57 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.4 - - 62.3 - - 69.9 - - 69.0 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.6 - - 55.6 - - 54.2 - - 52.7 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 61.8 - - 68.9 - - 69.6 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.2 - - 55.1 - - 53.6 - - 52.2 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 54 - - 138 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 567 - - 1820 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96571 56 283 50 293 46 292 40 288 48 287 96571 89501 33 278 37 285 35 291 29 297 34 302 89501 84025 17 280 24 273 29 279 28 292 30 304 84025 79465 17 321 15 288 21 280 21 286 27 295 79465 75527 29 300 22 290 23 287 22 296 24 296 75527 72031 29 278 25 279 32 282 26 295 22 298 72031 68844 25 280 23 278 25 278 22 296 20 297 68844 65902 30 285 24 280 27 289 25 295 24 299 65902 63181 34 288 30 285 29 294 28 295 29 297 63181 60558 37 280 28 288 30 300 30 293 37 299 60558 57823 32 277 32 284 34 290 37 292 39 300 57823 54980 35 284 32 274 36 287 40 292 37 307 54980 52270 39 280 34 277 37 288 40 295 36 299 52270 49825 46 273 40 281 39 290 38 297 32 314 49825 47624 51 259 46 275 40 286 41 300 43 310 47624 45623 52 254 48 266 40 276 40 293 46 302 45623 43789 58 249 51 252 44 262 40 282 46 297 43789 42092 62 244 61 243 53 255 45 266 42 285 42092 40519 64 241 65 239 67 243 52 255 41 268 40519 39060 60 241 62 240 67 237 61 246 47 260 39060 37696 56 239 58 240 63 238 66 240 52 251 37696 36379 54 235 56 241 61 240 63 238 59 244 36379 35038 52 233 55 239 61 240 59 238 63 241 35038 33643 51 232 54 236 61 240 57 237 61 241 33643 32198 49 231 53 234 59 240 55 240 55 244 32198 30689 47 232 52 235 57 242 53 243 54 248 30689 29104 44 235 48 238 54 243 52 245 54 249 29104 27438 39 240 45 239 51 241 49 242 50 249 27438 25689 36 243 42 238 47 238 46 238 47 249 25689 23859 35 241 41 236 45 236 45 240 44 253 23859 21952 34 235 42 234 46 238 44 248 38 261 21952 19963 36 232 42 235 44 243 42 255 33 270 19963 17885 35 238 37 243 39 249 37 259 28 276 17885 15763 29 247 31 253 32 254 31 261 24 278 15763 13713 21 251 26 256 26 254 28 267 22 282 13713 11847 16 246 22 249 22 256 23 273 19 287 11847 10188 15 245 18 242 19 258 19 277 15 291 10188 8714 13 247 14 242 15 260 13 282 11 298 8714 7404 12 250 10 245 10 256 8 278 8 310 7404 6244 8 252 7 258 6 245 3 287 6 324 6244 5219 4 241 4 286 2 290 3 360 5 343 5219 4317 2 217 4 342 5 351 7 018 6 007 4317 3522 1 027 6 001 7 356 10 010 8 014 3522 2812 3 003 8 001 8*350 10 004 10 004 2812 2185 4 344 8 357 8*345 9 357 11 349 2185 1663 5 324 6*348 7 341 8 355 12 339 1663 1264 5 300 4*320 7 337 7 354 11 331 1264 990 5 279 3 311 7 335 7 354 10 321 990 824 2 267 3 306 6 334 6*354 6 313 824 729 1*202 3 306 5 333 4*353 4*308 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography