DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/19 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 71.2 - - 70.8 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 463 - - 315 - - 41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 967 - - 1179 - - 1037 - - 495 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1089 - - 1379 - - 1195 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1680 - - 1892 - - 1750 - - 1208 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 291 - - 392 - - 302 - - 342 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 331 - - 279 - - 111 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 274 - - 275 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -242 - - -1850 - - -2253 - - -484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1922 - - 3742 - - 4004 - - 1692 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10909 - - -10745 - - -11457 - - -12263 ODpotential blCL - - - 12589 - - 12637 - - 13207 - - 13471 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 79 - - 70 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 71.2 - - 70.8 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 57.4 - - 55.9 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.9 - - 68.7 - - 68.9 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 57.0 - - 55.6 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 463 - - 315 - - 41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 967 - - 1179 - - 1037 - - 495 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 17 - - 0 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99205 41 101 43 114 35 113 32 094 99205 91735 32 104 33 106 33 112 29 101 91735 85968 27 113 27 107 28 106 25 101 85968 81181 24 119 25 113 23 101 25 110 81181 77053 20 118 18 103 22 103 19 108 77053 73411 17 108 14 107 18 095 18 112 73411 70114 13 104 15 107 15 099 19 096 70114 67094 9 093 13 104 14 102 15 084 67094 64312 8 103 10 102 9 100 12 073 64312 61636 9 111 6 099 6 089 10 056 61636 58863 8 091 4 089 2 095 6 056 58863 55997 6 146 3 200 2 290 3 006 55997 53280 6 108 9 187 6 246 4 303 53280 50847 4 039 3 183 7 220 7 267 50847 48671 4 349 1 243 5 235 8 281 48671 46697 9 301 6 296 6 273 11 280 46697 44884 13 299 14 293 12 294 11 285 44884 43197 20 313 18 306 17 306 13 307 43197 41615 26 315 25 317 22 315 16 314 41615 40124 29 316 29 320 24 319 18 312 40124 38713 30 316 30 318 25 320 18 311 38713 37343 30 314 30 314 26 320 19 316 37343 35948 29 312 30 312 27 317 22 319 35948 34500 28 314 29 312 28 316 25 318 34500 33003 28 317 28 314 28 315 27 318 33003 31440 27 320 27 314 27 314 27 319 31440 29797 24 321 24 316 24 315 26 318 29797 28076 22 321 22 319 21 316 23 312 28076 26276 19 319 18 317 18 311 21 307 26276 24395 15 316 15 309 18 306 20 306 24395 22436 13 308 12 300 16 302 17 303 22436 20390 13 298 12 293 12 300 13 304 20390 18256 11 292 10 293 9 298 9 295 18256 16081 10 272 10 291 8 296 6 277 16081 13985 8 280 10 288 9 293 6 272 13985 12075 9 298 10 285 10 290 9 279 12075 10373 11 308 10 294 11 289 10 286 10373 8860 8 308 10 307 9 296 6 286 8860 7514 4 247 7 295 7 290 6 272 7514 6319 6 199 6 256 7 270 8 275 6319 5266 5 206 7 244 8 256 9 277 5266 4342 6 232 8 251 10 258 10 277 4342 3530 8 247 9 252 11 260 12 276 3530 2808 10 259 10 255 11 257 13 268 2808 2175 12*267 11*265 12*266 14 269 2175 1654 11*268 11*272 12*273 14 273 1654 1258 11 268 11 274 12 275 13*274 1258 987 10 268 11 274 12 275 12*274 987 823 9 268 10 274 11 275 11 274 823 729 8 267 9 273 9 275 8 274 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography