DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 67.0 - - 73.9 - - 74.5 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 11 - - 32 - - -18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 378 - - 1156 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 714 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1091 - - 1870 - - 730 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 648 - - 998 - - 2442 - - 524 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 92 - - 168 - - 25 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 029 - - 016 - - 342 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2632 - - -4704 - - -4907 - - -5160 - - -1833 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3361 - - 5795 - - 6777 - - 5890 - - 2563 sfcLCL ODpotential -14315 - - -13940 - - -13338 - - -12180 - - -11178 ODpotential blCL 15044 - - 15031 - - 15208 - - 12910 - - 11908 blCL maxRH 40 - - 39 - - 46 - - 37 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 67.0 - - 73.9 - - 74.5 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.2 - - 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 51.6 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 67.0 - - 73.7 - - 75.6 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.5 - - 43.5 - - 46.0 - - 50.4 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 11 - - 32 - - -18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 378 - - 1156 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 13 270 3 357 10 284 9 259 8 287 96488 89353 5 057 10 106 5 245 1 157 4 063 89353 83867 9 082 12 087 8 116 6 036 16 083 83867 79310 15 073 7 061 8 104 10 074 15 066 79310 75391 10 048 17 037 16 053 14 080 14 046 75391 71940 13 055 7 042 13 023 16 045 16 037 71940 68814 18 016 6 063 10 025 18 020 19 026 68814 65944 28 357 22 014 23 024 24 014 21 013 65944 63302 35 351 28 358 24 357 25 354 22 001 63302 60744 35 341 27 350 22 351 26 353 24 358 60744 58054 35 340 27 354 28 354 32 353 25 002 58054 55247 38 339 40 351 38 350 39 357 36 007 55247 52567 42 339 46 341 45 348 48 352 44 359 52567 50160 47 354 46 349 44 351 45 358 36 358 50160 48023 63 357 57 004 51 008 51 009 47 007 48023 46117 64 342 58 356 53 000 55 357 54 356 46117 44379 53 335 47 339 48 348 46 348 48 340 44379 42758 39 357 49 335 43 354 38 355 45 342 42758 41232 38 008 44 340 36 002 32 359 41 347 41232 39789 43 009 41 351 39 358 36 358 40 350 39789 38417 45 004 41 356 41 353 38 354 43 355 38417 37082 48 343 44 356 43 353 37 350 46 356 37082 35718 57 343 48 352 44 355 35 349 46 354 35718 34295 57 345 48 350 42 356 39 353 43 348 34295 32818 56 347 45 349 39 356 43 353 42 346 32818 31268 56 349 41 348 39 353 43 351 39 349 31268 29637 55 350 39 349 36 349 37 353 36 354 29637 27926 53 352 39 352 33 348 34 355 34 358 27926 26134 48 354 41 353 34 347 37 354 35 000 26134 24261 41 349 40 350 36 348 39 351 35 001 24261 22306 39 344 39 342 36 348 36 349 33 358 22306 20264 39 342 37 341 35 348 34 347 31 353 20264 18132 36 342 34 340 32 347 31 345 27 345 18132 15960 32 345 30 333 29 344 25 344 23 333 15960 13871 28 348 28 334 27 342 21 346 20 333 13871 11973 25 353 25 343 25 346 19 354 16 343 11973 10291 21 001 20 001 20 358 15 359 14 353 10291 8801 20 010 18 018 17 017 11 008 11 355 8801 7478 20 016 17 025 15 027 9 025 9 001 7478 6303 21 017 17 023 14 026 10 036 9 011 6303 5263 22 014 18 019 15 025 11 035 9 016 5263 4347 23 012 19 020 16 030 12 032 12 018 4347 3542 23 015 21 027 18 033 13 024 16 017 3542 2824 25 022 23 032 18 028 13 010 17 013 2824 2192 29 026 22 031 16*020 11 360 14 001 2192 1667 29 025 20 029 11*016 9 351 14 345 1667 1266 23 022 14*028 9 016 8 347 12 335 1266 991 15 023 10*029 9 016 6 345 9 323 991 825 8*028 8 029 8 015 5*342 6*311 825 730 2*085 6 029 6 015 4*342 3*294 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography