DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 68.5 - - - - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 255 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1873 - - 2558 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1645 - - 2257 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2585 - - 3271 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 818 - - 1276 - - - - - 1489 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 362 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 307 - - 307 - - - - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1592 - - -2164 - - - - - -2377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4177 - - 5435 - - - - - 3106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8904 - - -7497 - - - - - -9040 ODpotential blCL - - - 11489 - - 10768 - - - - - 9769 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 57 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 68.5 - - - - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 47.3 - - - - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.3 - - 67.1 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 46.0 - - - - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 255 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1873 - - 2558 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 6 236 14 285 5 269 98173 90714 2 287 11 280 8 297 90714 84979 3 315 2 285 10 319 84979 80247 2 303 10 298 7 347 80247 76174 5 285 11 274 10 017 76174 72567 2 296 7 229 22 327 72567 69312 14 343 5 185 21 300 69312 66312 31 303 13 292 14 279 66312 63499 29 289 23 283 14 283 63499 60750 24 283 28 283 26 303 60750 57886 26 279 32 282 30 303 57886 54922 32 282 35 289 30 306 54922 52113 41 290 39 291 40 310 52113 49607 44 292 42 291 43 302 49607 47379 42 299 43 301 41 310 47379 45383 53 306 55 311 47 310 45383 43577 47 300 55 299 44 309 43577 41918 41 327 45 316 42 329 41918 40379 66 342 63 337 55 344 40379 38942 86 328 86 338 78 334 38942 37592 92 318 90 330 76 328 37592 36281 86 312 80 327 71 327 36281 34942 77 312 69 331 72 329 34942 33546 71 316 67 334 72 332 33546 32097 68 322 64 332 70 332 32097 30579 67 326 62 330 61 325 30579 28984 68 331 60 330 49 326 28984 27308 59 336 59 330 47 332 27308 25549 49 341 58 328 48 331 25549 23706 47 347 54 325 51 331 23706 21786 50 352 45 326 51 333 21786 19789 43 352 35 330 43 331 19789 17712 35 343 32 339 36 314 17712 15601 32 340 30 346 29 308 15601 13570 32 346 27 351 25 318 13570 11722 30 352 24 354 23 329 11722 10081 28 356 23 354 22 339 10081 8624 27 359 21 354 20 345 8624 7332 22 355 18 358 16 350 7332 6186 19 345 17 004 14 360 6186 5171 18 354 17 004 14 001 5171 4276 20 001 16 348 13 350 4276 3486 18 352 15*330 15 342 3486 2782 15*330 16*316 21 337 2782 2164 14*311 16 310 21 329 2164 1651 13 308 16 306 18 318 1651 1257 13 306 15 304 15 308 1257 987 12 304 14 303 12 299 987 823 11 302 13 301 9 294 823 729 9 300 11 299 6*287 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography