DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 57.8 - - 54.1 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 91 - - 8 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 298 - - 677 - - 368 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1010 - - 1389 - - 1080 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 333 - - 496 - - 478 - - 231 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 167 - - 68 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 060 - - 055 - - 057 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1424 - - -1740 - - -1366 - - -839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2434 - - 3129 - - 2446 - - 1567 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11469 - - -10762 - - -10775 - - -12780 ODpotential blCL - - - 12479 - - 12151 - - 11855 - - 13508 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 68 - - 72 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 57.8 - - 54.1 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 46.9 - - 46.2 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 57.1 - - 54.0 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 45.6 - - 45.3 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 91 - - 8 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 298 - - 677 - - 368 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96486 29 062 28 062 37 070 31 082 96486 89430 37 065 32 074 31 074 25 076 89430 83970 41 067 36 072 27 072 26 063 83970 79405 39 075 31 066 20 066 25 053 79405 75446 29 077 25 060 23 056 27 056 75446 71935 24 074 20 050 29 046 30 056 71935 68758 24 064 16 043 30 046 28 052 68758 65848 21 052 17 046 29 043 25 044 65848 63167 20 036 20 034 25 037 23 034 63167 60577 19 022 23 027 21 029 20 027 60577 57863 21 018 23 024 19 017 17 022 57863 55024 22 010 20 017 17 354 17 358 55024 52297 23 360 17 352 21 332 23 342 52297 49831 24 350 20 331 25 321 31 333 49831 47613 28 339 23 331 23 330 29 322 47613 45589 23 329 24 317 27 328 32 322 45589 43724 22 320 26 309 29 320 36 317 43724 42008 23 324 25 317 29 317 36 314 42008 40424 26 326 27 329 28 315 31 309 40424 38955 29 317 28 321 28 308 25 307 38955 37591 28 311 27 307 21 304 23 291 37591 36281 25 323 24 310 16 306 16 279 36281 34952 25 331 21 326 18 299 14 277 34952 33567 24 317 21 320 20 283 15 268 33567 32129 24 309 22 304 20 281 19 265 32129 30622 23 310 23 295 24 272 20 277 30622 29037 23 313 21 307 19 293 17 282 29037 27375 22 317 20 318 16 321 12 297 27375 25631 21 328 19 318 18 316 12 310 25631 23805 20 334 17 329 15 321 13 308 23805 21902 21 321 18 324 15 326 11 319 21902 19917 21 310 18 310 16 322 11 313 19917 17844 20 313 19 308 17 316 12 306 17844 15722 19 326 18 315 17 316 14 303 15722 13670 16 328 15 319 13 318 15 304 13670 11800 13 325 11 323 10 320 12 313 11800 10138 11 322 10 323 9 323 8 330 10138 8662 9 322 10 322 10 329 7 350 8662 7351 8 332 9 323 10 335 6 006 7351 6190 7 343 8 333 10 339 6 012 6190 5164 8 348 7 343 10 343 7 008 5164 4263 9 347 9 349 10 352 8 009 4263 3472 10 341 9 356 9 006 7 014 3472 2767 9 350 10 020 10 030 8 034 2767 2149 10 017 11 038 11 042 12 041 2149 1637 11 044 10*049 11 051 15 046 1637 1247 12*059 10*053 10*054 15 053 1247 980 10*060 9 055 9*056 14 056 980 820 9 059 8 055 8 057 11*057 820 728 6 060 7 056 5 059 5*059 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography