DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.3 - - 62.1 - - 67.0 - - 64.6 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 188 - - 205 - - 109 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 295 - - 786 - - 1110 - - 975 - - 391 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1153 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1008 - - 1498 - - 1823 - - 1688 - - 1103 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 290 - - 431 - - 544 - - 465 - - 544 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 220 - - 257 - - 201 - - 62 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 247 - - 266 - - 267 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -54 - - -442 - - -1257 - - -1101 - - 25 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1062 - - 1940 - - 3080 - - 2789 - - 1078 sfcLCL ODpotential -7651 - - -6028 - - -6153 - - -7049 - - -7987 ODpotential blCL 8659 - - 7526 - - 7976 - - 8737 - - 9090 blCL maxRH 95 - - 86 - - 73 - - 73 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.3 - - 62.1 - - 67.0 - - 64.6 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.1 - - 56.1 - - 55.9 - - 54.8 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 60.9 - - 65.6 - - 63.6 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.8 - - 54.9 - - 54.6 - - 53.6 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 188 - - 205 - - 109 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 295 - - 786 - - 1110 - - 975 - - 391 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97350 4 252 7 257 8 275 20 259 19 306 97350 89968 14 327 10 319 9 319 7 308 11 292 89968 84331 14 322 12 328 10 308 12 352 7 316 84331 79669 9 306 15 326 10 305 16 339 11 351 79669 75662 12 318 13 310 10 302 13 326 13 352 75662 72116 14 318 10 304 12 294 13 324 13 325 72116 68904 14 307 12 305 16 294 14 315 12 317 68904 65944 20 293 13 314 16 292 15 298 14 319 65944 63185 21 288 14 310 14 298 13 301 15 304 63185 60497 20 284 18 297 19 305 17 307 16 306 60497 57687 20 283 24 278 26 284 26 299 20 309 57687 54767 21 288 26 275 30 272 34 286 27 299 54767 51986 29 288 28 281 29 271 37 277 37 283 51986 49495 32 285 31 288 29 278 37 271 39 274 49495 47268 36 291 34 292 30 286 34 269 38 271 47268 45250 42 295 40 290 37 283 39 273 43 274 45250 43413 47 295 46 288 42 281 43 274 48 269 43413 41743 49 292 53 285 46 279 45 275 44 267 41743 40219 50 292 54 282 48 277 46 271 43 273 40219 38802 50 293 53 282 46 278 45 271 45 272 38802 37464 48 293 51 281 45 282 42 273 42 272 37464 36165 46 295 47 284 43 283 40 277 40 275 36165 34839 44 297 43 284 40 283 38 281 37 277 34839 33458 42 299 38 286 36 282 35 280 38 275 33458 32023 37 301 31 291 30 280 32 279 36 274 32023 30522 31 301 29 289 25 278 31 277 32 272 30522 28942 27 305 27 288 24 280 29 276 25 269 28942 27283 24 312 23 284 23 283 26 276 20 268 27283 25542 21 314 19 276 21 288 22 276 20 284 25542 23720 15 320 14 271 19 282 19 276 19 287 23720 21820 11 327 11 270 17 259 19 277 18 279 21820 19838 12 331 11 282 15 266 17 268 15 270 19838 17773 13 336 12 294 14 282 14 255 12 260 17773 15668 13 335 10 303 11 280 14 260 14 242 15668 13634 10 348 8 309 7 273 10 254 10 222 13634 11778 4 010 4 275 4 239 5 225 8 186 11778 10127 4 120 7 160 8 169 8 177 12 186 10127 8662 6 110 10 149 11 163 10 172 14 194 8662 7361 5 090 7 132 9 166 10 179 13 200 7361 6206 5 085 6 112 7 164 10 184 11 207 6206 5183 4 073 5 124 7 166 10 193 10 216 5183 4281 3 351 3 153 7 177 10 209 9 228 4281 3485 5 315 3 189 8 199 11 221 10 233 3485 2776 7 294 6 213 9 222 12 231 12 237 2776 2155 9 267 8 230 9*247 12*251 14 258 2155 1642 11 254 7*241 9*263 11*265 14 263 1642 1252 10*251 7*246 10 266 11 267 13*263 1252 984 7*250 7 248 9 267 11 268 12*262 984 822 6 250 6 248 9 267 10 268 10 262 822 729 5 251 5 248 7 267 8 269 7 261 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography