DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/30 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.3 - - 50.7 - - 60.7 - - 55.1 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -67 - - 58 - - 130 - - 8 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 281 - - 594 - - 293 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 993 - - 1307 - - 1005 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 196 - - 265 - - 483 - - 452 - - 323 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 106 - - 175 - - 58 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 087 - - 085 - - 070 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -10 - - -5 - - -9 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1423 - - -2456 - - -4213 - - -2317 - - -1910 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2151 - - 3449 - - 5520 - - 3322 - - 2638 sfcLCL ODpotential -13122 - - -11684 - - -11414 - - -9959 - - -10867 ODpotential blCL 13850 - - 12677 - - 12721 - - 10964 - - 11595 blCL maxRH 64 - - 64 - - 64 - - 68 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.3 - - 50.7 - - 60.7 - - 55.1 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 38.7 - - 39.6 - - 43.4 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 50.3 - - 59.7 - - 55.1 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 37.8 - - 38.9 - - 43.1 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -67 - - 58 - - 130 - - 8 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 281 - - 594 - - 293 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96845 25 300 21 281 33 297 24 288 29 271 96845 89728 6 325 8 315 14 305 7 306 10 333 89728 84203 6 049 7 310 8 341 2 335 3 339 84203 79568 7 068 3 321 6 352 3 268 4 289 79568 75558 7 061 5 063 1 112 5 298 12 334 75558 72046 13 343 7 002 7 356 5 340 10 325 72046 68886 17 332 14 328 18 330 15 337 9 325 68886 65971 17 324 16 320 17 323 19 317 12 302 65971 63260 21 314 19 310 16 310 21 303 17 300 63260 60627 29 308 23 301 24 298 28 291 25 302 60627 57886 35 304 30 292 34 295 37 293 34 297 57886 55048 37 300 40 293 45 292 46 296 42 293 55048 52335 38 296 48 294 52 290 54 292 51 289 52335 49886 43 299 48 290 54 288 57 288 57 282 49886 47672 47 298 42 297 53 285 55 287 58 278 47672 45640 45 285 41 299 43 277 54 285 57 281 45640 43765 34 270 43 288 31 291 48 278 52 282 43765 42032 25 263 36 270 34 299 27 277 42 275 42032 40423 17 265 25 246 30 280 24 298 22 256 40423 38921 10 283 10 214 22 249 24 278 12 278 38921 37511 10 290 4 097 13 197 21 245 17 265 37511 36155 8 258 3 062 10 134 14 173 21 235 36155 34793 6 229 3 142 10 126 20 134 20 179 34793 33397 6 220 5 163 14 146 20 138 18 182 33397 31962 7 221 8 166 16 136 21 155 24 169 31962 30467 6 209 7 153 15 128 21 157 27 185 30467 28894 4 181 5 109 15 128 20 165 22 171 28894 27239 6 100 7 112 16 142 18 169 22 159 27239 25503 11 107 12 129 18 154 18 168 22 166 25503 23686 12 113 14 135 17 161 19 184 21 176 23686 21791 12 118 15 134 15 165 16 207 17 172 21791 19814 11 121 16 135 13 160 11 218 9 175 19814 17751 8 108 13 155 9 172 11 217 11 199 17751 15645 4 098 11 182 10 209 15 219 12 214 15645 13615 2 193 11 211 13 221 16 228 12 227 13615 11764 8 252 12 241 13 235 14 239 11 234 11764 10115 12 266 10 258 13 253 11 250 11 224 10115 8647 13 269 6 260 11 268 7 249 11 216 8647 7341 8 260 4 241 7 268 5 234 9 208 7341 6183 3 213 4 198 5 242 5 214 7 200 6183 5160 3 163 5 174 5 208 6 202 6 190 5160 4263 3 162 6 166 6 188 6 197 4 173 4263 3474 4 162 6 165 7 181 7 198 3 154 3474 2771 6 148 6 164 7 172 6 196 3 123 2771 2152 11 118 9 142 7 143 4 160 6 102 2152 1639 17 102 14 116 9*103 9 091 14 091 1639 1248 20 092 15*099 10*087 13*072 19 083 1248 981 19 081 13*089 10 084 12*071 17 078 981 820 16*076 12 087 9 084 11 070 14 075 820 728 8*073 8 086 7 084 8 070 8*074 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography