DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 49.4 - - 51.0 - - 49.4 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 4 - - 36 - - 2 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 938 - - 2624 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1650 - - 3336 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2006 - - 2246 - - 2681 - - 3152 - - 2654 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 80 - - 202 - - 17 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 17 - - 16 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 211 - - 279 - - 280 - - 260 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 20 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 498 - - 1298 - - -211 - - -64 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1152 - - 2038 - - 939 - - 792 sfcLCL ODpotential -1005 - - 74 - - 440 - - -510 - - -321 ODpotential blCL 1733 - - 1576 - - 2896 - - 1238 - - 1049 blCL maxRH 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 90 - - 120 - - 150 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 49.4 - - 51.0 - - 49.4 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.1 - - 46.8 - - 44.5 - - 47.6 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 49.3 - - 50.7 - - 49.3 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.0 - - 46.3 - - 43.3 - - 47.3 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 4 - - 36 - - 2 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 938 - - 2624 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 101 - - 99 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96547 8 094 13 058 11 025 12 048 10 081 96547 89479 19 073 15 081 11 086 7 067 10 059 89479 83992 19 074 20 092 13 080 10 074 12 054 83992 79398 17 062 19 085 10 088 13 079 13 074 79398 75427 12 052 15 095 9 064 15 060 16 070 75427 71914 10 026 9 062 8 053 8 037 16 044 71914 68721 6 015 8 010 5 029 8 039 13 007 68721 65772 6 004 7 347 7 012 12 027 11 325 65772 63029 8 304 7 321 11 009 10 356 7 344 63029 60349 7 298 6 327 13 340 7 333 11 349 60349 57528 14 285 10 328 15 307 10 346 16 348 57528 54579 17 279 12 321 13 294 17 352 18 343 54579 51751 20 310 21 313 11 312 23 341 20 349 51751 49202 26 297 22 305 12 339 23 329 24 008 49202 46928 27 278 23 304 17 349 16 333 32 007 46928 44870 25 270 25 295 20 338 15 002 31 358 44870 42980 27 271 25 282 21 324 21 015 26 006 42980 41228 28 266 27 271 20 315 25 011 30 009 41228 39593 28 255 29 262 21 300 25 003 28 009 39593 38060 27 245 31 247 23 273 24 351 28 014 38060 36622 29 248 32 231 23 248 20 335 30 015 36622 35238 39 247 31 222 23 234 13 316 29 010 35238 33842 50 237 31 218 23 229 8 286 23 003 33842 32407 59 226 36 220 25 224 8 253 18 351 32407 30934 65 221 45 218 28 218 12 233 11 325 30934 29409 69 221 54 212 31 211 16 213 2 266 29409 27824 71 219 62 207 34 203 18 199 2 119 27824 26183 69 213 63 203 35 196 20 189 3 248 26183 24480 65 209 63 196 36 193 22 188 12 196 24480 22715 58 209 63 194 41 192 22 198 11 186 22715 20891 51 211 57 199 40 195 10 224 3 087 20891 19003 49 214 47 204 29 203 10 340 5 053 19003 17038 46 214 40 207 15 225 16 336 9 019 17038 15031 41 206 34 217 11 273 13 309 7 335 15031 13094 39 202 28 233 15 269 21 293 9 317 13094 11327 38 208 24 248 20 256 18 285 9 315 11327 9755 30 226 26 262 20 273 19 285 8 310 9755 8357 27 252 23 269 26 296 21 286 8 305 8357 7114 25 262 23 284 32 297 24 287 9 302 7114 6008 21 265 24 290 32 296 27 289 11 299 6008 5030 19 267 25 297 30 296 28 288 11 297 5030 4169 17 266 26 299 28 295 28 285 11 293 4169 3409 15 260 27 298 24*292 27 282 11 288 3409 2730 14 247 26 296 21*288 26 279 11 282 2730 2129 14 234 24*291 18 282 25 277 11 274 2129 1629 14 222 22*285 16 279 22 273 11 263 1629 1244 12 211 19 281 15 277 19 268 10 251 1244 980 9 208 17 277 14 275 17 265 9 246 980 820 7 209 14 274 12 275 14 262 8 243 820 728 4*211 9 270 9 272 10*260 6*239 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography