DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 MtDiablo 832ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2217z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 73.2 - - 78.1 - - 74.8 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 345 - - 494 - - 297 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 256 - - 1428 - - 1635 - - 1170 - - 314 BL Depth Hcrit 832 - - 1615 - - 1844 - - 1392 - - 832 Hcrit BL Top 1088 - - 2261 - - 2468 - - 2003 - - 1146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 450 - - 444 - - 449 - - 474 - - 531 Hgt.Variab. W* 80 - - 320 - - 376 - - 284 - - 48 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 285 - - 275 - - 281 - - 285 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - -6 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -231 - - -1770 - - -3328 - - -3131 - - -1076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1319 - - 4031 - - 5796 - - 5134 - - 2222 sfcLCL ODpotential -10164 - - -9034 - - -9651 - - -10005 - - -9591 ODpotential blCL 11252 - - 11295 - - 12119 - - 12008 - - 10737 blCL maxRH 94 - - 77 - - 61 - - 77 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 73.2 - - 78.1 - - 74.8 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.9 - - 58.4 - - 55.8 - - 55.4 - - 58.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.5 - - 71.3 - - 75.5 - - 72.8 - - 65.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.9 - - 58.4 - - 55.8 - - 55.4 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 345 - - 494 - - 297 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 256 - - 1428 - - 1635 - - 1170 - - 314 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 9 - - 0 - - 10 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98900 29 096 31 105 28 114 17 114 21 100 98900 91574 25 104 22 108 23 112 20 118 17 108 91574 85903 24 106 21 114 22 108 21 109 18 115 85903 81186 21 109 21 117 18 109 19 105 17 112 81186 77124 18 107 19 114 16 108 16 096 17 101 77124 73540 15 106 16 114 13 114 12 100 14 098 73540 70297 10 098 12 113 10 117 9 112 10 095 70297 67316 6 093 9 111 8 113 7 120 6 094 67316 64550 4 097 7 117 6 120 5 136 3 114 64550 61871 2 139 5 133 5 142 6 169 4 170 61871 59080 4 181 5 174 6 176 7 191 6 182 59080 56189 6 189 7 197 8 201 9 212 7 195 56189 53434 6 197 8 202 9 198 11 220 8 207 53434 50955 3 190 8 194 8 187 11 208 10 202 50955 48732 2 149 7 173 6 173 10 189 9 187 48732 46715 3 096 7 143 5 147 8 168 7 158 46715 44869 6 079 9 107 9 119 7 140 7 123 44869 43167 10 068 15 087 14 102 10 108 10 103 43167 41585 15 066 19 083 17 093 14 093 11 097 41585 40105 17 067 21 081 19 090 17 092 10 106 40105 38710 17 071 23 079 21 091 20 099 14 121 38710 37362 20 073 25 076 23 091 24 100 23 112 37362 35992 23 072 26 072 24 087 26 094 29 099 35992 34570 25 072 27 069 24 083 28 087 30 088 34570 33096 25 073 27 066 23 081 28 083 29 082 33096 31553 25 075 25 068 22 085 28 082 28 080 31553 29929 25 078 24 074 20 093 27 083 25 083 29929 28223 24 080 24 082 20 099 26 086 25 091 28223 26432 22 080 23 089 20 103 26 093 26 096 26432 24557 19 079 22 092 20 105 27 101 27 102 24557 22604 17 088 19 097 20 109 26 109 25 108 22604 20567 15 105 17 107 20 114 26 114 25 113 20567 18441 14 117 16 111 20 117 24 118 24 113 18441 16272 15 115 14 108 19 119 22 119 23 105 16272 14181 17 107 14 101 16 118 19 116 22 093 14181 12274 15 098 13 097 12 116 17 115 19 091 12274 10571 12 086 11 093 9 114 14 118 16 101 10571 9052 11 071 8 080 8 108 11 127 14 117 9052 7699 9 059 7 070 6 104 8 134 11 136 7699 6496 5 033 5 046 4 115 5 139 8 165 6496 5433 4 348 3 012 2 156 3 169 7 207 5433 4499 5 299 3 277 4 201 5 222 10 236 4499 3679 7 261 7 232 7 219 7 235 13 252 3679 2950 10 237 10 234 8*240 10 248 16 258 2950 2312 14 235 9*256 10*274 12*272 18 267 2312 1785 15 248 9*273 11 281 13*283 18 283 1785 1384 13 267 9 275 11 282 13 285 17*291 1384 1110 10*281 9 277 10 282 12 285 14*292 1110 944 8*284 8 276 10 282 11 286 12 291 944 849 5 285 7 276 9 282 9 285 8 291 849 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography