DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 52.3 - - 57.3 - - 55.9 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 35 - - 113 - - 14 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 175 - - 1861 - - 931 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 1379 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 887 - - 2573 - - 1644 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 141 - - 745 - - 1174 - - 1963 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 77 - - 248 - - 107 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 079 - - 276 - - 098 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - -6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -966 - - -2324 - - -581 - - -1095 - - -357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1694 - - 3212 - - 3154 - - 2739 - - 1085 sfcLCL ODpotential -8714 - - -6845 - - -3717 - - -3549 - - -6343 ODpotential blCL 9442 - - 7732 - - 6290 - - 5193 - - 7071 blCL maxRH 67 - - 64 - - 78 - - 74 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 52.3 - - 57.3 - - 55.9 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 41.3 - - 46.3 - - 46.7 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.6 - - 52.0 - - 56.3 - - 55.7 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 40.2 - - 45.1 - - 45.8 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 35 - - 113 - - 14 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 175 - - 1861 - - 931 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95545 58 289 56 298 62 297 48 300 63 306 95545 88714 41 314 32 311 37 321 37 313 50 321 88714 83329 36 318 28 306 32 307 34 320 37 324 83329 78806 31 318 28 315 31 309 35 323 32 323 78806 74872 29 315 30 325 32 312 35 322 30 314 74872 71382 30 311 30 318 28 314 34 319 32 313 71382 68227 31 305 27 308 25 323 31 313 33 312 68227 65329 32 303 28 310 27 322 28 312 35 312 65329 62638 34 307 33 310 27 318 32 314 36 316 62638 60026 34 310 32 304 33 316 38 310 38 316 60026 57293 35 310 36 309 36 313 41 308 42 316 57293 54446 39 313 38 306 36 320 41 311 44 323 54446 51722 44 315 33 310 38 323 47 319 55 333 51722 49270 45 314 37 315 44 323 55 323 64 328 49270 47070 44 311 41 317 46 320 55 325 62 326 47070 45065 43 311 43 319 42 323 52 326 57 328 45065 43231 42 315 44 322 43 336 50 329 52 330 43231 41566 42 316 42 327 50 333 50 331 50 326 41566 40054 38 317 40 340 46 333 51 330 53 323 40054 38650 33 329 48 356 48 348 51 335 58 323 38650 37321 34 340 58 001 56 351 53 341 54 330 37321 36027 35 343 60 359 58 347 52 348 49 332 36027 34703 36 341 59 356 58 345 55 352 44 336 34703 33321 32 334 56 354 59 344 54 360 43 339 33321 31882 25 325 52 355 55 345 44 357 38 348 31882 30373 21 323 43 357 51 346 39 356 30 356 30373 28787 22 324 33 355 42 347 38 341 22 330 28787 27125 23 327 25 342 30 344 39 328 34 303 27125 25381 22 324 25 331 21 329 28 324 36 305 25381 23559 20 315 26 332 18 323 26 314 30 308 23559 21660 19 311 20 336 12 331 22 311 24 309 21660 19677 16 302 18 336 10 329 16 308 21 293 19677 17605 18 275 14 288 10 281 15 296 20 275 17605 15489 18 259 18 240 19 248 15 270 16 272 15489 13453 18 242 20 230 21 243 16 248 12 254 13453 11607 19 220 19 213 17 219 14 224 11 222 11607 9973 19 210 21 201 21 206 17 204 16 195 9973 8526 16 198 22 196 24 205 22 196 21 187 8526 7245 14 172 21 190 23 202 24 192 23 185 7245 6111 14 149 19 186 20 197 21 189 22 186 6111 5109 15 143 17 186 17 193 18 183 20 184 5109 4228 14 145 15 188 14 192 15 172 17 181 4228 3451 12 152 12 194 10 199 11 163 14 177 3451 2758 9 159 10 206 5*226 7 146 9 179 2758 2147 8 160 8 224 4*270 6*117 6 182 2147 1638 9 144 7 232 4 276 7*101 4 170 1638 1249 13 117 4 218 4 277 7 098 6 136 1249 982 14 096 1*115 4 277 6 097 8 105 982 820 11*087 1*076 4 275 6 097 6 086 820 728 6*082 1 080 4 275 5 097 4*070 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography