DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 52.2 - - 51.7 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 31 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 1085 - - 1480 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1434 - - 1797 - - 2192 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2878 - - 2868 - - 1901 - - 3503 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 137 - - 101 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 255 - - 241 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 294 - - 759 - - 837 - - -129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1140 - - 1038 - - 1355 - - 857 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -194 - - 397 - - 200 - - -485 ODpotential blCL - - - 1628 - - 1400 - - 1992 - - 1213 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 150 - - 100 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 52.2 - - 51.7 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 50.1 - - 48.3 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 52.0 - - 51.8 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 49.5 - - 47.6 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 31 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 1085 - - 1480 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 100 - - 94 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96137 29 301 19 297 19 315 19 305 96137 89087 14 322 15 318 17 323 16 315 89087 83636 15 288 14 294 17 332 15 323 83636 79087 9 284 11 301 11 289 19 292 79087 75144 13 285 18 288 12 292 15 276 75144 71625 23 245 22 262 15 279 16 258 71625 68412 23 240 27 244 22 261 21 251 68412 65438 27 243 27 234 26 248 25 245 65438 62657 26 238 27 241 28 253 26 244 62657 59939 29 249 32 244 32 252 27 242 59939 57084 33 244 38 247 34 246 31 250 57084 54110 35 248 40 244 39 256 40 246 54110 51264 33 250 44 244 46 249 37 249 51264 48709 42 256 46 244 41 250 46 259 48709 46428 50 258 52 254 49 255 53 256 46428 44365 63 248 59 251 55 251 52 255 44365 42478 71 241 61 248 56 244 58 255 42478 40744 70 239 66 244 58 243 66 249 40744 39142 73 243 70 242 65 245 69 244 39142 37655 86 241 74 242 69 246 71 240 37655 36264 93 237 78 241 70 248 71 238 36264 34926 98 236 79 240 73 247 69 240 34926 33580 103 235 83 241 74 243 68 243 33580 32202 102 234 88 238 73 238 68 240 32202 30790 101 233 86 236 66 237 65 237 30790 29325 103 234 77 236 58 242 58 237 29325 27794 94 236 74 235 56 250 53 239 27794 26200 70 236 73 225 54 251 46 241 26200 24534 50 233 65 217 51 247 43 242 24534 22789 38 212 61 222 46 246 39 241 22789 20971 34 210 58 233 43 250 34 241 20971 19074 31 207 40 237 37 256 31 239 19074 17093 27 208 31 232 31 261 29 245 17093 15066 24 213 24 237 25 258 24 247 15066 13111 21 223 20 245 23 245 15 246 13111 11340 20 228 16 256 20 236 16 247 11340 9770 20 225 15 260 19 246 18 246 9770 8372 20 217 14 256 19 253 17 250 8372 7126 21 214 13 249 17 254 17 258 7126 6019 21 215 13 246 17 256 16 261 6019 5039 20 221 13 250 16 258 16 259 5039 4176 20 230 13 253 15 257 15 258 4176 3416 19 236 13 254 15 252 15 258 3416 2735 17 240 12 255 14*247 14 258 2735 2133 15 242 12*255 12*242 14 257 2133 1632 11*240 11*255 10 241 13 255 1632 1247 8*240 10 255 10 240 11 251 1247 981 7 240 9 255 9 241 9 247 981 820 6 240 8 255 8 241 8 246 820 728 5 240 6 255 6 242 5*246 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography