DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.5 - - 61.6 - - 59.1 - - 58.5 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 128 - - 57 - - 7 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1721 - - 671 - - 944 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1380 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2433 - - 1383 - - 1657 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1412 - - 1613 - - 1487 - - 1574 - - 3055 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 255 - - 143 - - 88 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 16 - - 13 - - 20 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 198 - - 207 - - 205 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 8 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1505 - - -1627 - - -868 - - 124 - - -271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2233 - - 4061 - - 2251 - - 1533 - - 1000 sfcLCL ODpotential -7118 - - -5127 - - -2679 - - -329 - - -534 ODpotential blCL 7846 - - 7560 - - 4062 - - 1986 - - 1263 blCL maxRH 72 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 100 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 52.5 - - 61.6 - - 59.1 - - 58.5 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.3 - - 46.4 - - 51.7 - - 54.2 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.7 - - 60.9 - - 58.7 - - 58.5 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.7 - - 45.2 - - 51.0 - - 53.9 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 128 - - 57 - - 7 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1721 - - 671 - - 944 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 90 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97335 41 275 49 275 59 273 57 296 40 295 97335 90005 34 286 34 282 42 269 42 279 42 287 90005 84345 32 282 28 287 28 273 34 269 39 283 84345 79651 27 268 29 268 27 277 24 274 24 272 79651 75621 15 267 23 256 22 275 19 273 14 272 75621 72066 14 266 13 256 14 279 15 271 9 280 72066 68840 21 265 15 253 19 250 18 267 12 278 68840 65870 18 265 17 234 20 230 22 244 18 261 65870 63114 13 267 11 235 18 230 23 239 21 243 63114 60435 23 260 16 249 21 235 23 239 23 232 60435 57623 34 245 30 253 27 237 23 237 25 224 57623 54686 40 240 39 246 31 233 31 238 32 230 54686 51874 39 238 38 240 34 228 39 229 40 234 51874 49343 38 242 37 245 35 232 40 229 46 230 49343 47087 42 242 43 243 41 241 42 232 45 226 47087 45056 45 244 48 234 53 240 46 232 47 232 45056 43213 50 248 51 231 56 226 51 232 57 231 43213 41533 55 242 56 229 59 214 59 225 64 225 41533 39987 53 239 58 227 64 209 58 213 70 222 39987 38551 54 240 59 227 68 205 58 213 76 223 38551 37199 58 240 61 226 67 204 61 214 78 222 37199 35887 61 240 63 223 65 206 62 210 77 219 35887 34549 62 240 63 223 63 209 63 206 76 220 34549 33155 64 242 61 226 60 212 63 206 76 221 33155 31707 66 245 60 230 60 214 63 207 77 220 31707 30191 67 247 60 230 62 215 64 208 78 218 30191 28594 65 241 60 226 63 217 66 213 80 216 28594 26918 67 232 64 224 65 220 68 219 80 215 26918 25164 71 227 70 226 69 221 68 220 74 214 25164 23337 70 227 70 225 70 217 68 216 69 210 23337 21439 64 227 64 223 67 213 71 212 70 206 21439 19464 58 222 56 220 60 212 70 210 71 205 19464 17412 53 215 51 212 54 210 61 210 66 206 17412 15332 50 207 49 203 52 206 55 213 59 209 15332 13336 45 200 48 200 50 207 53 217 53 206 13336 11517 39 197 45 199 45 210 50 216 49 194 11517 9899 35 194 40 198 42 206 43 212 47 187 9899 8466 33 192 35 197 39 198 39 204 43 196 8466 7198 31 193 30 198 35 191 37 197 43 210 7198 6076 28 198 26 204 30 190 37 195 41 215 6076 5084 27 202 25 212 27 192 37 199 36 219 5084 4212 27 204 25 214 26 196 37 206 31 220 4212 3443 28 204 24 210 24 200 36 208 27 219 3443 2756 28 204 23*205 24 202 34 208 25 219 2756 2148 27 202 19*199 23 203 30*206 22 220 2148 1641 25 199 17 198 21*204 25*205 19 221 1641 1252 21 197 16 197 17*206 22 205 16 220 1252 984 16 197 15 197 14 207 19 205 13 221 984 822 13 197 13 197 12 208 16 205 11*221 822 729 5*195 9 197 9 209 10 204 8*222 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography