DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.7 - - 54.4 - - 50.7 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 58 - - -30 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 140 - - 303 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 852 - - 1015 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 260 - - 268 - - 322 - - 121 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 112 - - 16 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 080 - - 073 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -9 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1841 - - -2106 - - -1721 - - -1290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2693 - - 3121 - - 2449 - - 2018 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14844 - - -13407 - - -13517 - - -14954 ODpotential blCL - - - 15696 - - 14422 - - 14245 - - 15682 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 64 - - 65 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.7 - - 54.4 - - 50.7 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 43.6 - - 42.9 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 54.0 - - 52.0 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 42.4 - - 41.9 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 58 - - -30 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 140 - - 303 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 22 003 18 339 17 320 15 330 96175 89224 15 037 13 009 11 007 13 003 89224 83832 17 070 10 047 12 041 15 029 83832 79319 15 067 9 059 14 035 20 039 79319 75399 13 054 10 037 16 024 18 046 75399 71914 17 047 13 035 20 017 17 041 71914 68764 20 034 19 034 23 024 21 030 68764 65883 22 026 20 023 25 024 23 029 65883 63212 18 012 16 003 19 001 24 009 63212 60625 14 003 16 351 15 344 21 353 60625 57917 16 004 16 353 13 348 16 348 57917 55098 15 359 11 352 13 353 11 344 55098 52398 10 349 9 360 10 356 12 354 52398 49956 6 023 6 014 6 021 8 351 49956 47753 6 045 4 048 5 070 4 005 47753 45744 7 041 5 068 7 097 3 117 45744 43900 2 168 1 038 4 081 6 112 43900 42200 7 191 5 229 2 275 3 116 42200 40624 6 188 11 221 10 242 6 247 40624 39150 4 171 11 196 12 208 11 225 39150 37765 4 208 6 180 9 167 12 212 37765 36431 10 200 5 207 7 140 10 196 36431 35081 9 181 6 198 9 135 9 178 35081 33684 7 159 7 160 13 124 7 169 33684 32242 7 169 8 147 13 114 8 184 32242 30739 8 182 8 162 10 114 11 173 30739 29161 8 175 8 167 8 123 13 158 29161 27503 5 158 7 163 8 125 10 149 27503 25762 5 126 8 131 9 110 11 134 25762 23940 11 090 13 104 14 100 15 122 23940 22037 9 105 12 116 12 102 16 108 22037 20044 5 086 6 096 10 085 16 108 20044 17958 8 059 9 072 11 081 15 105 17958 15826 11 048 10 065 9 074 10 097 15826 13768 10 041 8 057 5 056 6 071 13768 11893 8 032 6 036 4 023 4 076 11893 10224 7 021 6 030 2 020 2 142 10224 8737 7 015 7 042 0 066 3 197 8737 7413 8 030 4 061 3 240 4 246 7413 6239 6 051 1 203 5 267 3 259 6239 5202 1 127 3 261 3 277 2 198 5202 4292 2 242 2 234 2 202 4 174 4292 3494 1 161 3 182 4 190 5 189 3494 2785 3 138 5 177 5 195 6 202 2785 2161 7 130 7 163 6 184 5 197 2161 1644 15 111 11 122 7 141 4 165 1644 1249 19 092 13*090 12 098 10 111 1249 980 17*083 12*082 13 078 14 089 980 819 15*082 11 080 10 073 12*080 819 728 10 081 8 080 7*073 7*074 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography