DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 79.2 - - 75.9 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 406 - - 261 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2498 - - 5602 - - 2112 - - 216 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2198 - - 4747 - - 1918 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3211 - - 6316 - - 2826 - - 929 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1694 - - 1509 - - 2560 - - 1079 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 354 - - 536 - - 335 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 345 - - 293 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 10 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 15 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3418 - - -1949 - - -4999 - - -4255 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6629 - - 8266 - - 7825 - - 5184 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7900 - - -5297 - - -10277 - - -10380 ODpotential blCL - - - 11111 - - 11613 - - 13103 - - 11309 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 57 - - 45 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 79.2 - - 75.9 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 45.3 - - 44.2 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 76.9 - - 74.3 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 44.5 - - 43.5 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 406 - - 261 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2498 - - 5602 - - 2112 - - 216 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99101 35 104 24 105 24 106 22 087 99101 91596 36 113 24 118 24 097 26 087 91596 85821 30 108 18 120 23 097 28 091 85821 81039 19 095 18 103 19 091 26 092 81039 76914 12 100 15 104 15 091 19 097 76914 73262 13 084 16 117 14 082 13 102 73262 69954 9 083 11 087 13 103 7 110 69954 66913 12 088 4 074 8 105 7 093 66913 64087 5 076 5 086 2 192 7 019 64087 61356 8 267 3 313 5 053 1 007 61356 58515 13 328 13 270 18 302 17 344 58515 55574 29 322 18 301 25 284 28 304 55574 52776 36 294 29 313 29 304 29 303 52776 50266 46 296 44 300 42 306 40 306 50266 48024 57 304 51 297 51 302 50 301 48024 45995 70 305 62 304 57 304 56 301 45995 44141 77 304 73 306 66 307 63 303 44141 42433 82 301 81 304 73 307 67 303 42433 40847 83 298 84 302 76 306 70 302 40847 39362 80 301 83 302 77 306 72 304 39362 37966 79 307 82 303 78 308 73 305 37966 36616 79 309 82 306 79 310 71 306 36616 35245 80 309 80 309 76 311 68 307 35245 33822 77 309 77 310 74 312 66 307 33822 32349 72 311 73 312 71 313 62 309 32349 30815 68 313 67 315 67 313 59 313 30815 29205 67 316 65 318 63 315 56 314 29205 27515 67 318 65 320 60 316 54 315 27515 25745 68 320 65 322 57 319 53 316 25745 23892 67 321 66 324 57 320 54 318 23892 21960 65 319 64 324 58 324 56 322 21960 19949 68 319 63 326 56 327 51 328 19949 17852 66 326 60 333 53 337 46 334 17852 15715 53 332 44 340 37 342 36 340 15715 13661 39 341 29 350 20 356 20 344 13661 11801 28 353 23 358 12 005 10 355 11801 10152 21 007 19 003 9 014 7 002 10152 8690 17 012 17 012 9 026 8 010 8690 7391 14 004 12*015 11 031 10 014 7391 6237 10 011 10*012 11 031 11 013 6237 5216 9 023 10 010 10 027 10 007 5216 4316 10 025 9 003 8 001 9 353 4316 3521 10*021 9 350 8*329 9 326 3521 2810 10*017 8 337 12*302 13 307 2810 2184 9 013 9 324 15 295 13 301 2184 1663 8 009 9 315 15 292 11 288 1663 1265 7 005 9 311 15 290 10 270 1265 991 7 002 9 310 14 290 9*265 991 825 6 000 8 308 13 288 8*263 825 729 5 360 7 307 11 288 6 261 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography