DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.3 - - 74.1 - - 79.4 - - 76.1 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 216 - - 339 - - 189 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 1440 - - 2274 - - 1375 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 1390 - - 2120 - - 1288 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 824 - - 2153 - - 2988 - - 2089 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 461 - - 758 - - 1473 - - 873 - - 1099 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 - - 281 - - 376 - - 263 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 295 - - 302 - - 299 - - 284 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2911 - - -4212 - - -4351 - - -4556 - - -4728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3735 - - 6365 - - 7339 - - 6645 - - 5457 sfcLCL ODpotential -13055 - - -12318 - - -11137 - - -11855 - - -14018 ODpotential blCL 13879 - - 14471 - - 14125 - - 13944 - - 14747 blCL maxRH 58 - - 46 - - 46 - - 45 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.3 - - 74.1 - - 79.4 - - 76.1 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 49.0 - - 49.9 - - 49.7 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.2 - - 72.7 - - 77.4 - - 74.8 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.8 - - 47.8 - - 48.7 - - 48.8 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 216 - - 339 - - 189 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 1440 - - 2274 - - 1375 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97871 6 077 14 135 5 105 7 098 0 008 97871 90401 8 090 10 121 3 131 5 082 9 085 90401 84673 9 083 8 058 4 051 8 065 13 075 84673 79940 13 059 8 052 5 123 5 359 14 030 79940 75884 10 043 8 008 8 040 4 022 10 046 75884 72305 3 072 7 326 5 024 9 019 11 024 72305 69066 7 305 12 315 6 339 10 356 4 002 69066 66088 14 300 18 304 18 318 19 327 11 327 66088 63316 21 314 19 297 26 308 28 311 27 315 63316 60639 27 315 22 307 27 307 30 309 31 317 60639 57853 34 317 29 312 28 312 31 309 33 317 57853 54975 41 307 35 311 32 309 34 307 34 309 54975 52253 41 305 39 308 39 305 39 300 39 309 52253 49830 41 311 42 308 45 310 44 308 47 310 49830 47690 40 305 43 305 49 312 50 314 53 312 47690 45788 32 304 41 306 46 318 49 318 52 314 45788 44062 30 317 40 315 50 328 49 323 51 317 44062 42454 34 329 40 320 46 322 46 316 48 317 42454 40938 34 324 41 319 44 311 42 313 45 315 40938 39501 29 313 39 312 45 309 40 315 46 313 39501 38134 26 307 37 301 43 305 41 313 44 306 38134 36802 26 305 37 302 41 305 42 311 43 302 36802 35441 27 302 37 307 40 305 42 309 42 306 35441 34023 29 304 37 306 40 305 42 306 37 310 34023 32551 31 306 37 301 41 304 43 305 34 314 32551 31009 31 303 35 296 40 299 43 304 33 318 31009 29382 32 306 34 295 38 294 43 303 34 319 29382 27674 30 304 33 294 36 295 43 303 35 316 27674 25884 28 294 32 298 36 301 42 304 40 310 25884 24018 26 289 35 309 37 305 43 304 46 309 24018 22078 27 295 38 311 40 307 45 306 48 311 22078 20060 31 310 40 313 42 310 46 310 48 311 20060 17957 33 319 38 320 42 315 45 314 47 314 17957 15811 32 324 36 326 40 320 42 317 45 318 15811 13743 31 327 34 326 38 322 40 322 45 321 13743 11863 29 326 29 325 34 325 37 327 39 331 11863 10198 25 323 25 325 29 330 35 330 31 344 10198 8725 20 331 22 328 25 334 33 336 21 342 8725 7419 19 347 22 336 23 336 26 341 16 338 7419 6259 21 359 20 346 19 345 18 348 16 000 6259 5232 20 005 15 353 15 000 15 355 18 011 5232 4326 19 011 10 356 12 000 14 349 19 010 4326 3526 22 017 11 000 11*351 15 334 21 001 3526 2813 25 017 12 350 10*326 14 325 24 347 2813 2186 22 011 11*332 10 306 12*306 22 333 2186 1665 17 356 9*308 10 296 11*290 18 320 1665 1265 11 342 9 303 10 290 11 284 13 300 1265 991 5*310 8 299 10 287 11 282 10 280 991 824 4*301 8 298 10 286 10 280 8 268 824 729 3 292 7 296 8 284 8 278 5*258 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography