DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 MtDiablo 831ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0957z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.1 - - 67.0 - - 69.1 - - 66.5 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 69 - - 390 - - 524 - - 333 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 299 - - 1730 - - 1909 - - 1321 - - 580 BL Depth Hcrit 831 - - 1865 - - 2062 - - 1531 - - 831 Hcrit BL Top 1130 - - 2562 - - 2741 - - 2153 - - 1411 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 440 - - 891 - - 729 - - 551 - - 449 Hgt.Variab. W* 111 - - 356 - - 405 - - 309 - - 103 W* B/S 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 301 - - 290 - - 275 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -957 - - -2220 - - -2315 - - -2064 - - -309 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2088 - - 4782 - - 5057 - - 4217 - - 1720 sfcLCL ODpotential -7297 - - -5748 - - -5898 - - -6454 - - -7485 ODpotential blCL 8427 - - 8310 - - 8639 - - 8607 - - 8896 blCL maxRH 84 - - 68 - - 72 - - 74 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.1 - - 67.0 - - 69.1 - - 66.5 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 48.9 - - 49.8 - - 50.8 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 64.8 - - 66.5 - - 64.5 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.8 - - 48.7 - - 49.5 - - 50.7 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 69 - - 390 - - 524 - - 333 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 299 - - 1730 - - 1909 - - 1321 - - 580 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98166 13 303 13 318 11 285 14 285 15 303 98166 90860 11 284 12 298 13 279 14 299 11 293 90860 85208 6 256 9 274 11 265 12 310 5 280 85208 80502 4 226 7 262 7 258 9 321 1 283 80502 76447 2 190 6 248 4 273 7 336 2 047 76447 72866 3 142 5 226 3 291 7 358 3 071 72866 69626 3 092 4 213 2 276 7 355 4 069 69626 66644 3 037 3 173 3 248 5 346 3 068 66644 63872 5 349 2 089 2 241 3 342 2 058 63872 61176 6 334 3 350 1 026 1 310 2 355 61176 58358 6 339 4 331 4 004 3 341 5 348 58358 55433 9 346 4 358 6 335 7 340 9 350 55433 52647 15 346 11 005 11 336 13 335 14 344 52647 50152 20 344 17 355 15 346 17 341 18 349 50152 47931 23 346 23 350 20 359 21 351 24 357 47931 45927 26 350 29 350 32 005 30 001 33 004 45927 44098 32 355 37 354 43 004 41 004 43 008 44098 42413 38 357 44 357 48 004 48 003 51 008 42413 40850 43 359 49 000 50 008 51 006 57 006 40850 39386 45 360 51 003 53 012 56 010 61 006 39386 38007 45 001 52 005 57 014 62 012 65 007 38007 36671 46 001 53 007 58 013 68 012 68 008 36671 35313 46 001 54 008 55 012 71 011 69 008 35313 33902 47 000 53 007 47 014 70 009 67 008 33902 32441 44 001 49 006 40 017 65 009 61 008 32441 30916 35 359 34 005 37 020 53 009 50 010 30916 29315 17 353 14 015 32 024 35 009 36 014 29315 27640 2 351 6 075 21 035 24 012 22 021 27640 25886 1 162 9 092 17 054 22 019 16 026 25886 24050 2 004 11 071 17 063 22 028 14 025 24050 22134 7 011 14 054 16 064 21 033 15 027 22134 20131 9 019 13 041 15 056 21 031 16 032 20131 18037 11 024 13 025 15 051 21 027 16 036 18037 15898 12 021 15 026 14 054 18 032 16 041 15898 13837 13 028 16 035 13 053 17 038 16 041 13837 11963 13 049 16 039 12 049 17 031 16 035 11963 10298 13 058 14 047 12 046 16 025 17 029 10298 8821 12 059 13 060 12 048 16 025 18 031 8821 7507 11 052 12 068 10 044 16 029 17 032 7507 6341 10 041 11 069 9 030 15 030 14 032 6341 5309 11 049 10 066 9 021 11 022 10 020 5309 4402 13 046 10 047 8 001 8 352 8 334 4402 3603 12 029 10 024 9 334 11 311 11 303 3603 2892 11 011 9*356 12*304 15 293 14 293 2892 2271 10 353 8*314 13*294 15*284 16 285 2271 1759 8 330 8 302 13 291 14*278 15*271 1759 1369 5*296 8 298 13 289 13 275 14*264 1369 1102 3*256 8 295 13 288 13 274 13 263 1102 940 3 252 8 294 12 288 12 274 11 261 940 848 3 250 7 293 10 287 10 273 8 260 848 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography