DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/03 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 56.3 - - 62.6 - - 60.7 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 137 - - 202 - - 32 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 668 - - 1076 - - 591 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1087 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1380 - - 1788 - - 1303 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 349 - - 437 - - 508 - - 583 - - 537 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 184 - - 246 - - 110 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 266 - - 266 - - 267 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -635 - - -3152 - - -3322 - - -1454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 2015 - - 4941 - - 4625 - - 2183 sfcLCL ODpotential -10408 - - -8857 - - -10906 - - -11509 - - -11293 ODpotential blCL 11137 - - 10237 - - 12694 - - 12812 - - 12022 blCL maxRH 95 - - 87 - - 55 - - 65 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 56.3 - - 62.6 - - 60.7 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.8 - - 50.1 - - 43.8 - - 43.3 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 55.3 - - 61.3 - - 60.7 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 49.6 - - 43.2 - - 42.9 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 137 - - 202 - - 32 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 668 - - 1076 - - 591 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96973 26 290 13 307 20 287 20 277 34 292 96973 89830 17 303 13 278 19 285 14 311 19 303 89830 84317 7 282 13 281 13 261 15 312 12 307 84317 79722 10 280 14 299 10 272 16 295 14 293 79722 75747 12 282 11 306 10 292 14 285 14 284 75747 72224 9 282 9 291 11 280 11 277 11 274 72224 69027 10 289 12 254 19 260 16 275 14 288 69027 66083 14 285 14 251 20 257 19 267 22 283 66083 63352 21 275 18 266 24 264 25 266 28 281 63352 60714 28 266 27 257 34 263 36 268 41 273 60714 57980 29 266 31 262 37 259 43 261 44 265 57980 55150 34 281 34 273 39 259 47 263 50 267 55150 52453 45 279 43 276 45 267 53 267 58 266 52453 50026 47 267 51 271 52 271 57 264 59 264 50026 47847 42 258 51 267 53 269 57 260 61 262 47847 45861 36 260 48 259 50 260 59 258 64 260 45861 44031 36 265 45 251 50 255 60 256 64 262 44031 42335 37 266 44 252 51 250 60 258 65 263 42335 40755 35 262 44 250 48 252 61 259 64 262 40755 39277 33 260 42 248 44 249 59 258 62 263 39277 37888 31 264 36 247 40 246 50 253 57 264 37888 36551 27 272 32 249 36 249 41 245 51 265 36551 35195 21 283 27 257 33 247 38 250 47 264 35195 33789 19 303 26 260 31 242 38 258 48 263 33789 32331 20 307 27 261 36 237 40 259 47 262 32331 30802 25 283 30 264 42 245 42 257 46 263 30802 29191 26 259 36 266 46 251 45 256 44 265 29191 27498 27 256 37 266 45 252 47 258 46 265 27498 25726 24 251 36 265 43 252 48 260 44 263 25726 23877 24 234 36 264 43 256 46 260 41 263 23877 21955 25 232 34 266 40 256 42 261 38 266 21955 19953 24 239 30 258 37 254 37 261 35 264 19953 17863 24 239 30 247 33 257 33 261 32 260 17863 15729 22 235 27 240 30 259 28 261 30 259 15729 13671 18 230 24 233 28 246 25 257 26 260 13671 11798 16 236 22 231 24 240 23 251 22 257 11798 10138 15 236 19 232 21 240 21 249 20 244 10138 8666 14 234 17 236 18 239 18 244 17 235 8666 7358 15 248 15 247 15 238 15 240 15 222 7358 6198 14 260 12 245 13 238 13 244 15 216 6198 5172 13 258 11 242 12 238 13 255 13 222 5172 4271 13 252 11 251 11 238 13 265 11 241 4271 3481 13 249 12 263 11 244 12 266 11 271 3481 2778 13 242 13 264 10 258 11 266 13 293 2778 2159 13 242 13 264 10*262 9 268 14 299 2159 1645 12 253 11*265 9*264 8*267 12 295 1645 1253 11 258 10*266 9 266 7*267 10 286 1253 984 9 257 10 266 9 266 7 267 9 286 984 822 6*250 9 266 8 266 6 266 6*288 822 729 3*245 7 266 7 266 5 266 3*288 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography