DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 69.5 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 406 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1251 - - 1778 - - - - - 597 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1333 - - 1796 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1964 - - 2491 - - - - - 1310 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 442 - - 549 - - - - - 703 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 367 - - - - - 52 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 262 - - - - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2735 - - -3793 - - - - - -2245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4699 - - 6284 - - - - - 3555 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12004 - - -11285 - - - - - -11191 ODpotential blCL - - - 13968 - - 13776 - - - - - 12501 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 88 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 69.5 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 44.7 - - - - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 67.3 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 43.7 - - - - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 406 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1251 - - 1778 - - - - - 597 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 53 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98686 14 116 8 103 12 077 98686 91178 12 112 10 109 7 116 91178 85414 11 125 11 121 11 120 85414 80632 19 138 12 157 10 111 80632 76506 13 133 11 155 7 086 76506 72868 10 120 9 147 8 109 72868 69598 3 107 4 140 8 087 69598 66600 2 228 7 252 3 011 66600 63829 8 230 10 238 9 279 63829 61156 12 270 10 267 9 261 61156 58355 24 262 20 268 20 270 58355 55431 34 271 31 267 32 268 55431 52629 46 270 47 267 41 271 52629 50102 55 268 52 266 50 269 50102 47837 59 270 56 269 55 266 47837 45784 61 272 63 271 59 265 45784 43909 65 272 70 271 57 264 43909 42185 70 273 73 270 57 266 42185 40589 74 273 75 270 57 269 40589 39098 75 273 73 268 61 271 39098 37696 72 271 70 266 68 270 37696 36346 67 267 67 264 72 265 36346 34976 62 267 64 262 73 260 34976 33555 63 268 62 260 73 261 33555 32085 62 268 60 260 67 265 32085 30554 58 269 57 262 51 270 30554 28955 51 267 55 262 40 270 28955 27287 45 264 52 261 35 268 27287 25544 40 263 48 258 30 272 25544 23722 36 264 43 257 31 278 23722 21822 35 263 41 259 30 280 21822 19837 37 262 41 258 26 281 19837 17765 36 266 39 260 22 280 17765 15650 32 271 35 264 18 286 15650 13610 28 273 31 268 15 296 13610 11754 25 272 28 267 13 306 11754 10105 24 274 26 268 12 317 10105 8640 20 280 24 272 13 323 8640 7340 17 290 19 279 15 322 7340 6186 14 299 14 287 16 314 6186 5165 12 302 12 289 18 306 5165 4269 11 296 12 284 18 301 4269 3478 10 294 12 279 18 304 3478 2774 10 287 13*271 18 306 2774 2156 11*268 13*266 17 298 2156 1645 12*255 14 263 15*271 1645 1255 12 252 14 262 14*261 1255 986 11 251 13 260 13 256 986 822 10 251 12 260 11 254 822 729 9 251 10 259 8 252 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography