DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.2 - - 57.6 - - 61.5 - - 60.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 211 - - 320 - - 188 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 999 - - 1170 - - 1144 - - 169 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1044 - - 1301 - - 1105 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1711 - - 1883 - - 1856 - - 881 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1019 - - 350 - - 440 - - 496 - - 1085 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 243 - - 295 - - 245 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 266 - - 274 - - 278 - - 280 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 160 - - -799 - - -734 - - -652 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 1551 - - 2682 - - 2590 - - 1533 sfcLCL ODpotential -17 - - 327 - - -6300 - - -7159 - - -8453 ODpotential blCL 746 - - 1384 - - 8183 - - 9015 - - 9334 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 85 - - 85 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.2 - - 57.6 - - 61.5 - - 60.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.9 - - 53.4 - - 52.3 - - 51.3 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.9 - - 56.2 - - 59.6 - - 58.9 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.8 - - 52.8 - - 51.3 - - 50.7 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 211 - - 320 - - 188 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 999 - - 1170 - - 1144 - - 169 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 97 - - 42 - - 41 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96750 27 309 30 291 36 285 41 293 50 310 96750 89546 27 315 23 303 30 293 32 309 34 302 89546 84067 24 306 17 316 21 306 28 319 22 315 84067 79538 18 300 13 329 18 313 26 321 22 331 79538 75626 17 312 13 339 14 324 22 328 22 326 75626 72159 19 324 14 329 14 327 17 330 19 322 72159 68995 15 318 11 311 12 306 17 312 19 298 68995 66059 13 299 11 301 13 268 17 288 20 294 66059 63311 16 278 15 277 16 254 19 263 21 286 63311 60626 24 279 23 274 19 264 22 266 26 283 60626 57803 36 259 33 267 29 274 31 271 33 272 57803 54859 38 257 36 264 38 275 36 273 33 273 54859 52055 41 261 40 265 43 271 38 280 33 286 52055 49548 37 265 39 262 43 270 45 282 42 291 49548 47315 36 270 40 261 45 269 49 278 47 283 47315 45299 35 273 36 261 46 265 46 276 44 277 45299 43463 33 277 33 268 40 265 42 281 40 284 43463 41786 33 282 33 279 35 276 43 293 44 298 41786 40248 35 284 37 288 38 288 56 297 56 307 40248 38821 36 280 36 292 40 294 62 298 67 310 38821 37477 34 278 35 292 42 294 59 298 67 309 37477 36173 31 276 33 292 41 293 54 297 62 307 36173 34843 24 283 30 291 39 294 51 298 52 304 34843 33461 21 287 27 287 38 296 44 301 45 304 33461 32026 23 290 25 286 37 298 35 297 39 307 32026 30524 24 289 26 288 34 298 33 297 31 303 30524 28941 22 287 25 289 30 299 32 299 28 301 28941 27279 21 292 23 287 27 297 29 297 28 299 27279 25535 20 295 19 291 22 289 26 296 28 295 25535 23709 19 288 17 292 20 283 25 293 26 296 23709 21805 14 271 16 278 18 276 21 293 22 295 21805 19815 11 249 13 263 13 262 18 284 18 290 19815 17739 9 232 7 246 9 245 16 271 16 289 17739 15628 7 236 6 245 9 245 11 255 13 280 15628 13594 9 226 8 246 10 258 10 264 11 260 13594 11740 8 211 8 238 9 258 10 281 9 252 11740 10090 8 227 7 223 7 245 10 284 8 268 10090 8625 8 219 6 202 6 213 8 273 9 284 8625 7323 6 198 5 181 7 192 8 239 8 287 7323 6167 6 179 5 171 7 186 9 223 9 279 6167 5146 5 168 5 179 7 195 10 226 11 267 5146 4248 4 166 4 213 6 220 10 240 13 259 4248 3460 4 194 5 250 8 252 11 254 14 272 3460 2760 6 231 9 274 11 273 13 273 17 289 2760 2146 10 273 11*276 12*277 14*279 19 289 2146 1638 12 277 11*275 12*279 14*280 17 284 1638 1250 10 272 11 274 12 278 14 279 14 279 1250 983 8 268 10 273 12 278 13 280 12*277 983 821 7*267 9 273 11 278 12 279 10*276 821 728 5*266 8 272 9 277 10 279 6 275 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography