DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 66.8 - - 67.9 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 342 - - 227 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1478 - - 2060 - - 2204 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1954 - - 1928 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2191 - - 2773 - - 2917 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1800 - - 1932 - - 1051 - - 1513 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 361 - - 322 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 272 - - 269 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -7 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 348 - - -81 - - -907 - - -1074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1843 - - 2854 - - 3824 - - 1803 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 262 - - -98 - - -4297 - - -7044 ODpotential blCL - - - 1929 - - 2871 - - 7214 - - 7773 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 93 - - 80 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 66.8 - - 67.9 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 56.8 - - 53.6 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 64.9 - - 66.5 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 56.5 - - 53.4 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 342 - - 227 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1478 - - 2060 - - 2204 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 73 - - 21 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99020 11 106 12 092 11 078 14 083 99020 91614 17 098 17 096 13 103 13 091 91614 85869 19 089 16 105 17 094 18 083 85869 81095 18 089 13 096 12 075 16 091 81095 76981 9 061 11 096 11 079 14 070 76981 73352 5 156 0 292 9 061 11 057 73352 70064 3 092 2 165 2 112 3 032 70064 67035 6 265 7 276 4 338 1 073 67035 64216 12 213 15 252 11 272 5 310 64216 61484 15 224 15 244 17 252 17 294 61484 58642 14 251 15 250 22 257 22 279 58642 55703 29 275 28 274 29 278 30 283 55703 52931 36 282 36 276 42 284 38 285 52931 50468 44 279 41 268 40 287 33 299 50468 48268 35 287 49 292 50 290 45 294 48268 46275 59 302 51 283 51 284 49 284 46275 44451 59 297 49 293 47 288 47 285 44451 42770 53 302 58 297 55 289 49 290 42770 41208 60 300 60 294 59 283 51 286 41208 39741 58 301 60 299 57 284 49 279 39741 38352 59 308 63 303 55 290 46 279 38352 36999 67 311 65 303 54 295 44 292 36999 35620 70 312 63 302 55 299 46 296 35620 34186 65 310 62 305 60 303 48 291 34186 32695 63 308 61 307 61 300 49 281 32695 31131 62 309 61 308 59 298 51 279 31131 29486 60 310 57 307 57 299 50 283 29486 27760 58 310 56 299 55 300 48 287 27760 25949 52 306 55 293 50 293 49 291 25949 24054 46 303 52 292 50 291 46 289 24054 22082 41 298 44 287 47 288 44 287 22082 20027 35 282 40 276 43 282 41 288 20027 17889 32 272 37 272 40 281 40 285 17889 15719 27 269 33 274 37 281 35 286 15719 13642 25 267 27 272 28 281 30 285 13642 11765 25 263 24 266 22 280 22 280 11765 10105 26 262 20 260 18 275 18 279 10105 8634 23 251 16 246 13 265 14 280 8634 7331 23 236 15 237 11 250 11 268 7331 6178 22 228 15 228 10 246 10 251 6178 5162 19 227 13 217 9 240 10 242 5162 4267 16 228 11 218 10 236 10 241 4267 3480 13 234 11 228 11*242 11 251 3480 2779 12*237 11*249 11*261 13 265 2779 2163 11*238 12*268 12 268 14 274 2163 1650 9 236 12 271 12 270 13 281 1650 1257 8 236 12 273 12 270 12 284 1257 987 8 237 12 273 12 271 11 284 987 823 7 237 12 273 11 271 9*283 823 729 6 237 10 274 9 271 6*283 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography