DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 90.5 - - 87.2 - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 341 - - 214 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 648 - - 1398 - - 975 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1480 - - 1038 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1362 - - 2112 - - 1689 - - 826 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 491 - - 1004 - - 432 - - 402 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 208 - - 320 - - 243 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 266 - - 283 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7109 - - -8601 - - -7154 - - -3773 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8472 - - 10714 - - 8843 - - 4599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17224 - - -16591 - - -15351 - - -15214 ODpotential blCL - - - 18586 - - 18703 - - 17040 - - 16040 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 25 - - 32 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 90.5 - - 87.2 - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 46.5 - - 51.4 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 88.4 - - 85.5 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 45.6 - - 50.8 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 341 - - 214 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 648 - - 1398 - - 975 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99380 34 117 31 102 36 106 30 099 99380 91878 42 103 35 108 30 109 31 100 91878 86099 38 103 31 110 29 102 27 102 86099 81307 31 100 24 108 25 090 26 102 81307 77196 22 105 21 113 18 099 20 079 77196 73569 19 118 19 115 15 100 18 081 73569 70280 18 103 15 113 11 098 14 081 70280 67257 12 102 16 111 10 107 12 101 67257 64465 9 088 10 095 9 101 11 081 64465 61782 8 098 4 146 8 062 13 078 61782 59015 8 116 12 182 3 238 6 037 59015 56187 3 354 6 175 11 212 7 252 56187 53512 16 266 10 275 8 257 9 239 53512 51109 27 261 20 274 16 272 14 256 51109 48955 31 268 26 275 24 278 20 272 48955 46991 34 269 30 279 30 279 26 285 46991 45175 36 270 33 274 33 274 33 280 45175 43481 40 266 34 266 35 267 36 268 43481 41891 40 267 33 267 34 265 37 263 41891 40391 40 271 34 270 34 269 36 264 40391 38970 40 271 34 269 36 274 35 271 38970 37592 35 269 30 268 36 276 34 274 37592 36188 28 268 22 265 32 272 29 271 36188 34732 22 274 16 261 26 266 28 265 34732 33228 23 279 17 271 21 266 24 264 33228 31658 26 276 22 276 24 261 20 260 31658 30006 20 270 22 273 23 275 19 271 30006 28270 17 272 18 273 21 282 18 282 28270 26454 16 279 14 279 15 278 13 274 26454 24561 14 288 11 298 9 279 8 252 24561 22590 13 287 11 295 10 279 7 261 22590 20536 12 281 12 285 12 283 8 285 20536 18394 11 283 11 280 12 284 7 291 18394 16210 9 293 11 282 10 287 6 292 16210 14102 9 300 11 285 10 295 7 314 14102 12179 9 298 10 282 9 299 6 319 12179 10470 7 290 8 276 6 292 4 314 10470 8952 5 265 7 269 4 280 2 298 8952 7605 4 241 5 252 2 251 2 186 7605 6409 3 208 5 218 3 193 4 189 6409 5351 4 155 6 192 6 190 5 198 5351 4420 6 148 8 180 7 189 4 210 4420 3598 6 154 7 183 7 200 4 239 3598 2863 6 175 6 201 6 223 5 261 2863 2216 6 198 5*226 7 254 8 269 2216 1679 6*220 6*263 9*281 11 277 1679 1272 4*245 7 266 9*284 11 289 1272 994 4 251 7 266 9 283 10*294 994 826 4 251 7 267 9 283 8*294 826 730 4 253 6 267 8 282 6 293 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography