DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 72.5 - - 70.7 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 209 - - 119 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 711 - - 1342 - - 1097 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1323 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1424 - - 2055 - - 1810 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 563 - - 710 - - 607 - - 738 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 207 - - 275 - - 214 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 269 - - 263 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2136 - - -3359 - - -3364 - - -1515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3560 - - 5414 - - 5175 - - 2244 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10019 - - -9956 - - -10829 - - -10853 ODpotential blCL - - - 11443 - - 12011 - - 12639 - - 11582 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 51 - - 52 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 72.5 - - 70.7 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 51.5 - - 50.9 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 71.2 - - 69.8 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 50.3 - - 49.6 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 209 - - 119 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 711 - - 1342 - - 1097 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98167 4 139 1 176 6 199 6 311 98167 90679 6 179 4 225 1 072 2 175 90679 84938 4 141 8 220 5 345 4 083 84938 80207 9 092 11 204 5 300 7 015 80207 76146 5 054 4 166 1 340 5 014 76146 72560 5 333 2 042 3 347 6 360 72560 69325 6 291 3 347 5 318 6 340 69325 66363 10 276 8 303 6 319 5 327 66363 63608 10 255 12 275 15 293 13 298 63608 60923 7 264 16 260 20 277 17 291 60923 58117 7 268 17 246 21 266 22 282 58117 55228 9 292 14 258 21 250 26 255 55228 52497 16 304 20 285 21 273 22 259 52497 50057 14 267 23 267 27 274 29 267 50057 47872 8 247 18 273 25 264 29 265 47872 45876 18 320 22 295 27 286 29 280 45876 44051 20 315 26 295 30 292 32 289 44051 42383 19 314 22 298 29 292 29 293 42383 40843 20 310 23 312 26 299 29 300 40843 39403 14 311 25 309 27 306 28 308 39403 38042 11 321 26 307 28 313 29 313 38042 36721 11 323 28 306 28 319 31 311 36721 35371 14 315 29 306 27 319 29 306 35371 33964 16 308 28 306 27 312 28 302 33964 32505 18 304 27 305 28 309 28 306 32505 30977 20 299 26 300 29 308 28 311 30977 29367 20 293 24 302 28 308 28 308 29367 27676 21 297 23 310 26 308 27 305 27676 25902 19 305 22 315 25 311 25 304 25902 24048 16 311 21 315 24 315 26 307 24048 22114 14 305 18 311 21 317 25 304 22114 20097 14 311 18 310 17 319 25 300 20097 17994 15 319 16 316 16 316 20 298 17994 15848 12 318 11 316 14 319 18 296 15848 13777 10 304 9 309 13 311 16 302 13777 11893 9 311 9 313 13 319 15 314 11893 10222 8 339 9 322 12 329 14 325 10222 8740 9 005 9 331 12 333 13 333 8740 7424 10 020 8 339 11 331 13 335 7424 6257 11 016 8 341 11 327 12 333 6257 5224 11 001 7 334 10 320 13 324 5224 4316 10 351 8 317 9 311 14 317 4316 3515 9 343 9 303 10 301 15 312 3515 2801 8 324 9 288 11 291 15 306 2801 2174 7 291 9*276 11*277 14 297 2174 1653 7*267 9*271 10*267 13 277 1653 1258 7*263 9 269 10 264 12 256 1258 987 7 261 9 268 10 262 11 250 987 823 6 261 9 268 9 261 9 249 823 729 6 261 7 267 8 260 6*247 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography