DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 73.9 - - - - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 465 - - - - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1015 - - 1260 - - - - - 602 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1198 - - 1440 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1728 - - 1973 - - - - - 1314 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 309 - - 450 - - - - - 413 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 340 - - - - - 126 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 273 - - - - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -784 - - -3316 - - - - - -581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2512 - - 5289 - - - - - 1895 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9687 - - -10738 - - - - - -11511 ODpotential blCL - - - 11415 - - 12711 - - - - - 12825 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 62 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 73.9 - - - - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 53.4 - - - - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.8 - - 71.2 - - - - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 52.9 - - - - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 465 - - - - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1015 - - 1260 - - - - - 602 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 0 - - - - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99234 39 105 38 099 34 110 99234 91732 28 110 24 110 36 093 91732 85962 31 116 22 111 31 083 85962 81177 28 103 23 112 24 094 81177 77071 21 101 24 108 20 103 77071 73457 18 104 21 109 19 102 73457 70195 15 098 16 111 15 078 70195 67199 14 105 10 114 11 077 67199 64427 10 101 7 125 8 097 64427 61751 8 087 3 114 6 154 61751 58967 12 236 7 213 7 169 58967 56071 22 232 20 208 14 236 56071 53302 31 236 33 225 37 248 53302 50824 42 224 43 233 56 242 50824 48605 43 237 50 235 57 236 48605 46584 57 247 59 243 65 248 46584 44720 67 242 69 243 79 247 44720 42989 64 237 66 241 75 244 42989 41377 62 237 59 240 66 242 41377 39866 64 239 59 240 65 243 39866 38442 65 240 58 240 67 244 38442 37070 63 239 56 238 65 244 37070 35685 59 238 54 236 63 243 35685 34254 54 238 50 235 59 241 34254 32773 52 235 50 232 52 238 32773 31222 48 229 49 227 50 238 31222 29584 45 221 49 224 48 242 29584 27863 43 225 46 229 43 241 27863 26061 22 226 28 238 38 236 26061 24184 15 202 18 219 30 242 24184 22238 10 202 16 219 20 242 22238 20217 3 171 14 224 15 240 20217 18106 4 188 14 225 11 244 18106 15943 6 233 11 217 9 247 15943 13856 10 236 10 210 6 219 13856 11959 13 221 10 207 5 216 11959 10276 11 213 10 207 7 219 10276 8783 8 209 10 214 8 208 8783 7458 8 198 11 215 10 200 7458 6283 8 198 11 210 11 205 6283 5243 8 207 11 206 12 210 5243 4326 8 220 11 205 13 211 4326 3517 10 219 12 209 13 213 3517 2797 12 218 13 221 14 223 2797 2167 12*234 11*251 14 249 2167 1650 10*260 12*271 13*270 1650 1256 9 265 12 273 13*276 1256 986 9 266 12 274 12 276 986 823 9 267 11 274 11 276 823 729 7 267 9 274 8 276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography