DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 68.1 - - 69.2 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 230 - - 98 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 729 - - 996 - - 943 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1104 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1441 - - 1709 - - 1656 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 359 - - 312 - - 345 - - 653 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 256 - - 193 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 251 - - 259 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -254 - - -1193 - - -1652 - - -814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1695 - - 2902 - - 3308 - - 1543 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11235 - - -10655 - - -10841 - - -12106 ODpotential blCL - - - 12676 - - 12364 - - 12497 - - 12835 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 74 - - 68 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 68.1 - - 69.2 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 57.8 - - 57.2 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 66.6 - - 68.4 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 56.5 - - 55.9 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 230 - - 98 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 729 - - 996 - - 943 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97748 14 250 14 287 13 293 10 245 97748 90269 8 267 6 275 11 276 8 266 90269 84557 3 210 6 249 8 283 3 346 84557 79868 6 148 8 251 12 316 7 044 79868 75851 7 079 4 184 9 315 8 014 75851 72315 11 357 4 077 5 329 7 358 72315 69122 9 350 5 351 6 331 8 342 69122 66183 6 325 6 321 6 333 5 341 66183 63441 5 300 6 278 9 311 6 337 63441 60769 5 302 6 245 10 268 11 290 60769 57994 9 275 8 251 11 264 13 265 57994 55146 14 254 16 254 15 266 16 255 55146 52445 14 240 20 248 22 254 23 253 52445 50016 15 257 21 248 24 246 29 249 50016 47840 21 256 25 251 29 249 33 245 47840 45876 35 257 34 256 37 256 39 248 45876 44096 40 257 42 256 45 257 45 251 44096 42460 43 261 47 257 49 257 49 252 42460 40933 47 262 50 257 49 255 52 252 40933 39494 47 260 50 257 49 254 52 253 39494 38131 45 258 48 256 48 254 51 253 38131 36808 44 257 46 255 45 253 49 253 36808 35456 43 257 44 256 43 254 48 252 35456 34047 40 258 43 257 42 255 46 253 34047 32584 35 257 39 255 39 254 41 254 32584 31054 30 254 32 249 33 252 37 253 31054 29444 26 253 25 249 23 259 27 254 29444 27755 23 252 20 249 18 261 19 261 27755 25983 22 247 20 245 16 259 16 263 25983 24131 19 239 18 243 15 256 13 261 24131 22204 15 228 16 238 13 246 11 250 22204 20196 13 224 16 227 12 236 10 235 20196 18101 11 237 14 226 12 231 13 244 18101 15960 11 252 11 235 11 224 13 231 15960 13884 9 251 9 231 9 221 10 214 13884 11988 6 222 9 201 11 212 9 206 11988 10298 10 198 12 202 13 217 10 214 10298 8800 11 199 12 208 12 223 9 213 8800 7471 8 195 8 210 8 226 5 207 7471 6293 5 186 6 203 5 221 3 200 6293 5251 2 186 4 186 4 206 3 204 5251 4335 2 297 3 193 4 199 3 230 4335 3527 4 292 2 227 4 212 5 247 3527 2808 7 268 6 247 6 243 7 253 2808 2176 10 248 9*249 9 256 10 261 2176 1655 11*242 9*250 9*258 12 258 1655 1258 10*241 9 251 9*260 11 251 1258 987 10 242 9 252 9 260 10 248 987 823 9 242 8 251 9 259 8 247 823 729 8 242 7 252 7 259 5*246 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography