DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 61.4 - - 69.9 - - 69.0 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 96 - - 143 - - 5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 637 - - 1558 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1278 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1349 - - 2271 - - 730 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 174 - - 635 - - 851 - - 2192 - - 381 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 162 - - 249 - - 20 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 17 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 012 - - 040 - - 001 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1723 - - -3342 - - -4389 - - -1972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 3072 - - 5613 - - 5120 - - 2701 sfcLCL ODpotential -11173 - - -10455 - - -11009 - - -10710 - - -11346 ODpotential blCL 11901 - - 11804 - - 13280 - - 11440 - - 12075 blCL maxRH 98 - - 70 - - 51 - - 47 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 61.4 - - 69.9 - - 69.0 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.2 - - 50.7 - - 48.2 - - 49.4 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.1 - - 60.6 - - 68.9 - - 69.4 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.6 - - 50.1 - - 47.5 - - 48.8 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 96 - - 143 - - 5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 637 - - 1558 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96447 51 289 44 272 53 281 53 284 51 291 96447 89381 28 293 26 280 27 282 30 278 42 289 89381 83934 27 286 25 302 11 298 19 267 33 280 83934 79407 31 284 27 301 17 305 13 279 21 284 79407 75476 23 285 24 290 28 288 28 300 22 303 75476 71962 21 299 20 281 33 272 35 289 28 298 71962 68756 26 299 18 281 31 269 36 277 34 287 68756 65815 30 284 20 276 28 270 35 269 37 277 65815 63104 31 272 23 270 29 270 32 258 34 267 63104 60479 37 266 28 272 32 272 31 264 32 265 60479 57735 45 264 35 271 36 266 37 264 34 264 57735 54887 49 256 37 264 38 256 42 260 37 265 54887 52183 42 253 39 270 38 263 43 267 40 265 52183 49771 46 266 44 274 41 268 42 266 42 261 49771 47625 50 265 43 273 42 266 44 265 44 262 47625 45687 50 274 42 274 43 272 45 272 45 262 45687 43920 56 277 48 280 44 280 44 277 41 265 43920 42289 52 274 49 279 42 279 41 274 40 268 42289 40766 42 275 47 273 38 273 37 270 39 265 40766 39331 41 278 45 271 39 271 37 266 39 259 39331 37972 44 279 43 269 40 269 39 263 41 255 37972 36651 44 278 42 268 40 269 39 259 41 253 36651 35304 42 277 42 266 43 262 43 254 41 252 35304 33901 40 276 42 264 45 254 43 248 41 250 33901 32446 39 277 39 263 41 255 40 245 39 245 32446 30923 35 278 36 269 36 259 36 248 38 239 30923 29320 32 281 34 274 34 261 35 253 36 237 29320 27634 31 283 34 271 34 260 36 253 35 241 27634 25865 28 278 31 262 34 256 35 252 35 244 25865 24014 25 269 29 251 33 253 34 252 34 249 24014 22084 24 262 29 252 32 257 31 257 31 253 22084 20070 25 260 29 262 29 266 27 260 27 252 20070 17968 25 263 27 270 25 268 24 255 26 251 17968 15821 24 262 25 271 23 262 22 253 23 253 15821 13751 20 259 20 266 19 254 18 257 18 261 13751 11871 16 259 15 256 15 255 15 267 14 271 11871 10203 13 266 11 250 12 260 12 274 10 269 10203 8725 11 282 7 256 8 263 9 275 7 258 8725 7412 9 292 5 266 5 264 5 265 5 234 7412 6247 6 289 3 251 3 264 3 247 5 217 6247 5217 4 264 2 241 2 266 2 238 4 221 5217 4312 4 253 2 324 1 284 2 209 1 261 4312 3515 5 302 4 003 2 072 2 170 1 349 3515 2804 8 325 6 010 3*064 2 034 3 013 2804 2179 11 331 5 016 3*044 4 006 4 017 2179 1659 12 325 4*020 3 039 5 004 6 008 1659 1261 9 310 2*016 3 039 5 002 7 354 1261 989 6 283 2 011 3 038 4 002 6 346 989 823 3 235 1 010 2 036 4*002 5 349 823 729 1*192 1 010 2 036 3*001 3*354 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography