DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 MtDiablo 832ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.9 - - 68.5 - - 73.2 - - 70.7 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 74 - - 407 - - 557 - - 365 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 464 - - 1220 - - 1545 - - 1262 - - 686 BL Depth Hcrit 832 - - 1502 - - 1802 - - 1507 - - 832 Hcrit BL Top 1295 - - 2052 - - 2378 - - 2094 - - 1518 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 440 - - 440 - - 332 - - 442 - - 568 Hgt.Variab. W* 132 - - 321 - - 385 - - 312 - - 112 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 280 - - 283 - - 284 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -30 - - -1911 - - -3063 - - -2962 - - -1122 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1325 - - 3963 - - 5442 - - 5056 - - 2640 sfcLCL ODpotential -11117 - - -10225 - - -10812 - - -11496 - - -11096 ODpotential blCL 12412 - - 12277 - - 13190 - - 13590 - - 12614 blCL maxRH 97 - - 77 - - 65 - - 66 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.9 - - 68.5 - - 73.2 - - 70.7 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.9 - - 54.1 - - 52.5 - - 51.7 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 66.3 - - 70.4 - - 68.7 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.9 - - 54.0 - - 52.4 - - 51.7 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 74 - - 407 - - 557 - - 365 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 464 - - 1220 - - 1545 - - 1262 - - 686 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98798 18 102 18 093 23 114 14 112 18 083 98798 91392 17 099 13 098 17 100 16 105 15 102 91392 85677 20 097 15 107 15 085 19 099 18 113 85677 80931 19 098 16 114 12 080 17 092 18 112 80931 76856 19 092 19 113 13 098 16 083 19 103 76856 73269 17 093 18 113 13 119 13 086 17 100 73269 70033 15 095 16 112 14 129 11 092 13 101 70033 67071 10 110 14 114 12 130 7 120 11 104 67071 64334 9 142 12 125 9 143 9 157 5 118 64334 61695 10 167 10 157 9 172 13 173 5 202 61695 58959 10 179 12 197 10 205 10 197 8 245 58959 56138 11 218 18 224 19 237 17 245 17 258 56138 53454 19 233 21 225 25 234 25 245 25 260 53454 51035 28 252 27 253 33 256 37 261 36 265 51035 48862 42 253 43 258 47 261 50 264 46 264 48862 46882 49 249 49 255 53 259 56 263 52 266 46882 45060 50 247 52 254 57 259 60 265 60 270 45060 43371 51 249 55 256 60 260 63 267 67 272 43371 41793 55 254 58 258 63 261 66 267 71 273 41793 40309 59 257 61 261 64 262 67 267 72 273 40309 38905 62 259 63 263 63 264 64 268 69 273 38905 37545 63 259 64 265 62 266 62 269 65 273 37545 36161 61 258 64 265 61 268 61 270 62 270 36161 34722 57 257 61 266 59 268 59 272 61 268 34722 33230 52 256 56 265 56 267 56 271 59 270 33230 31667 47 254 51 262 52 267 52 269 56 274 31667 30020 43 253 47 257 48 264 48 267 51 274 30020 28286 42 252 45 251 47 260 46 266 48 271 28286 26466 41 250 45 250 46 258 46 267 45 271 26466 24567 39 247 43 251 44 259 42 268 40 274 24567 22593 36 244 39 251 39 261 36 268 35 273 22593 20540 33 240 34 250 34 261 31 267 30 271 20540 18399 31 234 29 246 27 257 27 263 26 268 18399 16215 28 232 27 241 23 251 22 259 23 266 16215 14109 23 229 24 237 22 247 20 258 19 265 14109 12192 19 223 21 230 20 241 17 254 17 265 12192 10487 18 219 19 224 19 234 16 248 14 261 10487 8973 18 220 19 222 19 230 17 243 13 255 8973 7628 16 223 18 223 18 229 17 243 13 250 7628 6435 12 223 15 222 16 228 17 242 14 250 6435 5382 10 217 13 213 15 218 16 232 14 245 5382 4458 10 212 13 206 14 210 16 221 14 239 4458 3647 10 218 13 211 14 213 16 217 14 238 3647 2928 11 235 12 230 12*236 13 239 14 265 2928 2299 12 272 10*270 13*278 13*278 16 288 2299 1778 13 287 10*279 13 283 14*284 16*291 1778 1382 12*290 10 280 13 284 14 284 15*288 1382 1109 9*289 10 280 13 284 13 284 13 287 1109 943 8 287 9 280 12 284 12 283 12 285 943 849 6 287 8 279 10 283 10 282 8 283 849 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography