DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 65.2 - - 70.8 - - 64.0 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -35 - - 64 - - 142 - - 16 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 341 - - 1334 - - 686 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1099 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1054 - - 2048 - - 1399 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 53 - - 836 - - 978 - - 953 - - 481 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 116 - - 236 - - 95 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 142 - - 265 - - 288 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4190 - - -5806 - - -5555 - - -2707 - - -177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4919 - - 6860 - - 7603 - - 4106 - - 906 sfcLCL ODpotential -17921 - - -15673 - - -13983 - - -11922 - - -10339 ODpotential blCL 18650 - - 16727 - - 16031 - - 13321 - - 11068 blCL maxRH 30 - - 36 - - 35 - - 57 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 65.2 - - 70.8 - - 64.0 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.6 - - 38.5 - - 40.6 - - 48.8 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.0 - - 64.7 - - 69.9 - - 64.1 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.8 - - 37.6 - - 39.8 - - 48.4 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -35 - - 64 - - 142 - - 16 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 341 - - 1334 - - 686 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 51 293 40 285 44 285 45 275 50 287 96304 89274 30 296 21 274 29 270 31 287 27 302 89274 83860 22 295 19 287 20 275 17 284 25 293 83860 79334 9 273 22 287 18 283 13 276 23 276 79334 75422 6 239 19 283 21 283 13 282 19 281 75422 71950 6 280 14 273 22 264 20 283 26 298 71950 68783 9 299 9 264 21 252 23 271 29 290 68783 65862 12 284 10 258 19 248 25 257 29 267 65862 63163 17 272 15 269 21 254 26 251 31 250 63163 60557 21 270 23 274 25 263 30 258 31 248 60557 57845 27 267 27 273 28 257 35 259 37 256 57845 55035 29 274 34 277 33 259 42 260 42 253 55035 52356 34 279 39 268 44 264 48 260 44 259 52356 49945 34 282 41 265 49 265 53 259 50 261 49945 47780 40 286 47 271 53 266 55 258 57 263 47780 45815 46 282 52 273 54 266 56 267 63 266 45815 44025 47 277 51 274 55 269 57 270 64 268 44025 42384 47 277 52 277 52 270 56 271 58 270 42384 40856 45 280 50 280 48 270 56 270 57 274 40856 39415 40 282 46 278 48 274 55 272 56 276 39415 38051 37 285 43 274 49 277 47 275 48 273 38051 36728 37 290 41 272 49 276 40 274 41 272 36728 35379 36 290 38 274 46 274 35 282 36 275 35379 33976 36 289 34 283 41 274 31 289 32 276 33976 32522 34 295 30 295 29 276 30 291 31 280 32522 30999 26 300 25 293 21 276 28 282 30 279 30999 29394 19 303 19 279 22 258 23 260 29 264 29394 27705 14 309 15 275 20 246 26 253 27 257 27705 25931 12 324 13 279 16 246 23 241 22 268 25931 24076 12 338 12 291 12 254 18 240 21 283 24076 22139 9 354 9 293 11 251 15 242 23 290 22139 20115 6 001 5 278 11 240 18 251 21 288 20115 18005 5 350 6 279 11 250 19 255 19 282 18005 15849 4 348 8 290 11 268 18 264 17 266 15849 13770 3 341 7 287 10 270 16 275 17 255 13770 11878 4 322 8 291 11 276 11 275 13 252 11878 10200 3 328 7 289 8 278 8 261 10 240 10200 8712 3 033 4 272 6 253 8 243 9 231 8712 7394 4 026 3 288 5 244 9 249 9 244 7394 6227 6 037 3 301 6 251 9 257 10 253 6227 5196 5 056 4 277 7 250 8 256 8 251 5196 4292 2 084 3 257 8 242 7 250 7 244 4292 3497 2 081 2 221 9 232 7 253 6 245 3497 2790 4 092 3 185 8 237 6 277 5 257 2790 2168 5 106 3 180 6*257 7 296 4 274 2168 1652 6 111 4 181 7*265 9*293 5 285 1652 1257 7 108 3*159 6 265 9*290 8 289 1257 987 7 099 3*141 6 265 9 289 8 289 987 823 7*089 2 143 6 265 8 287 6*289 823 729 6*082 2 143 5 266 6 286 4*291 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography