DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.0 - - 57.4 - - 62.2 - - 60.5 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 223 - - 233 - - 124 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 553 - - 1731 - - 2463 - - 1656 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1603 - - 2156 - - 1305 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1265 - - 2444 - - 3176 - - 2368 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 777 - - 1043 - - 2187 - - 1046 - - 1394 Hgt.Variab. W* 109 - - 301 - - 347 - - 248 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 263 - - 280 - - 283 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 3 - - -6 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 265 - - 208 - - -288 - - -619 - - -1062 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1000 - - 2236 - - 3464 - - 2987 - - 1791 sfcLCL ODpotential 70 - - -1509 - - -1621 - - -3158 - - -4282 ODpotential blCL 1195 - - 3953 - - 4797 - - 5526 - - 5011 blCL maxRH 99 - - 94 - - 76 - - 77 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.0 - - 57.4 - - 62.2 - - 60.5 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.3 - - 50.3 - - 49.7 - - 50.0 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 55.9 - - 60.8 - - 59.6 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.0 - - 49.0 - - 48.4 - - 48.7 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 223 - - 233 - - 124 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 553 - - 1731 - - 2463 - - 1656 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 75 - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97627 23 304 23 298 26 295 23 296 28 309 97627 90280 18 300 21 292 20 296 22 302 25 313 90280 84640 17 298 17 292 17 282 21 299 25 308 84640 79960 20 291 17 294 14 274 17 290 19 295 79960 75932 22 276 18 269 19 275 18 284 17 281 75932 72357 20 263 21 250 24 268 18 272 14 270 72357 69090 19 257 22 250 24 263 16 254 15 243 69090 66067 20 257 22 253 24 259 18 254 17 249 66067 63258 19 257 23 250 24 249 21 267 17 261 63258 60540 18 256 21 254 21 257 22 257 19 271 60540 57708 20 253 22 255 22 264 20 254 21 266 57708 54768 19 264 20 255 22 260 21 279 19 274 54768 51972 20 269 19 255 23 252 26 273 24 283 51972 49471 24 279 19 282 19 269 22 268 23 277 49471 47240 26 279 21 286 22 271 21 295 24 299 47240 45230 22 277 20 284 21 294 27 298 28 289 45230 43401 24 287 23 301 20 288 29 281 17 326 43401 41722 24 290 22 302 16 287 24 329 26 357 41722 40170 26 297 18 309 30 340 23 344 34 005 40170 38718 29 292 20 324 36 347 28 016 33 008 38718 37351 27 290 25 334 35 009 41 021 35 014 37351 36031 22 301 27 339 42 023 47 019 40 017 36031 34693 22 316 26 346 47 027 50 015 41 018 34693 33304 26 325 25 001 51 030 50 008 38 009 33304 31861 28 322 27 017 52 030 49 011 34 003 31861 30349 24 312 30 027 51 028 47 015 32 008 30349 28756 21 301 32 032 47 025 45 012 29 003 28756 27084 22 293 31 032 42 022 43 009 28 353 27084 25333 22 286 32 035 39 020 43 007 28 346 25333 23504 22 280 32 038 34 020 44 012 30 344 23504 21599 22 271 29 033 29 018 37 010 31 347 21599 19616 21 276 21 029 25 012 28 350 27 355 19616 17557 8 309 13 037 19 019 23 348 23 353 17557 15461 1 314 9 035 13 032 16 357 21 349 15461 13445 5 289 9 029 8 050 12 358 18 005 13445 11614 0 173 6 037 8 069 7 022 12 024 11614 9989 4 119 3 094 7 072 7 065 7 041 9989 8548 5 110 7 121 3 091 6 067 5 043 8548 7268 4 109 10 108 5 132 3 107 7 038 7268 6134 2 125 9 098 7 127 3 136 8 033 6134 5130 0 109 5 094 5 119 3 136 7 026 5130 4246 1 346 1 091 2 098 0 213 6 011 4246 3465 2 281 3 263 3*286 3 277 7 346 3465 2768 5 272 7*265 6*282 7*284 9 321 2768 2154 8 275 7*264 7 281 10*284 13 305 2154 1644 10*271 7 264 7 280 11 284 14 294 1644 1253 9*260 7 263 7 279 11 283 13 285 1253 985 7 249 7 263 7 278 11 283 11 280 985 822 6 248 7 262 7 277 10 282 8*275 822 729 4 247 6 262 6 277 8 282 5*271 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography