DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 72.4 - - - - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 448 - - - - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 944 - - 1174 - - - - - 491 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1139 - - 1371 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1657 - - 1887 - - - - - 1204 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 270 - - 409 - - - - - 315 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 328 - - - - - 105 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 268 - - - - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1310 - - -3164 - - - - - -755 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2967 - - 5051 - - - - - 1959 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12008 - - -12321 - - - - - -12612 ODpotential blCL - - - 13665 - - 14208 - - - - - 13816 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 62 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 72.4 - - - - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.4 - - 53.2 - - - - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 70.0 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 52.6 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 448 - - - - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 944 - - 1174 - - - - - 491 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 0 - - - - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99536 38 105 36 109 35 095 99536 92001 32 116 32 103 33 107 92001 86202 29 108 24 102 29 105 86202 81399 26 099 24 108 25 091 81399 77262 21 095 22 101 18 100 77262 73617 20 093 19 100 19 103 73617 70331 15 092 14 130 19 094 70331 67320 10 111 16 120 13 097 67320 64534 12 129 11 119 10 108 64534 61844 6 153 8 164 4 099 61844 59056 18 203 14 192 8 181 59056 56170 32 190 33 205 22 216 56170 53431 33 193 40 196 42 215 53431 50992 46 211 49 207 56 212 50992 48822 63 212 67 207 68 212 48822 46854 69 210 68 207 69 209 46854 45030 71 215 70 218 65 225 45030 43326 79 221 75 224 72 231 43326 41727 84 223 76 222 78 231 41727 40220 84 222 80 222 84 232 40220 38795 80 221 81 223 88 233 38795 37409 76 218 78 221 88 236 37409 35996 73 214 72 216 79 233 35996 34528 68 214 69 214 71 227 34528 33014 61 215 63 216 64 224 33014 31443 56 216 58 219 57 221 31443 29798 58 219 56 222 54 220 29798 28075 56 219 53 222 52 218 28075 26271 47 215 48 217 48 215 26271 24387 48 209 45 216 37 211 24387 22428 44 211 39 216 27 197 22428 20385 34 210 32 211 30 191 20385 18252 28 198 27 200 30 192 18252 16072 24 194 23 192 25 193 16072 13967 20 193 19 191 20 191 13967 12053 16 193 15 193 17 186 12053 10353 14 190 12 192 14 181 10353 8844 15 185 10 186 11 183 8844 7505 15 182 10 180 9 192 7505 6317 15 180 11 183 8 202 6317 5268 14 181 12 188 9 212 5268 4345 13 186 13 194 10 221 4345 3534 11 198 12 206 11 228 3534 2811 10 215 11 228 12 236 2811 2177 10*236 11*255 12 255 2177 1655 9*256 11*266 12 265 1655 1259 9 261 11 268 12*268 1259 988 9 262 11 268 11*269 988 824 8 263 10 268 10 268 824 729 7 263 9 268 7 268 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography