DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 62.6 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 70 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1149 - - 2202 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1433 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1861 - - 2914 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 946 - - 997 - - - - - 1249 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 180 - - 242 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 028 - - - - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2835 - - -2750 - - - - - -2717 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4696 - - 5664 - - - - - 3446 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10747 - - -9537 - - - - - -9289 ODpotential blCL - - - 12608 - - 12451 - - - - - 10018 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 44 - - - - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 62.6 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.9 - - 40.6 - - - - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 62.1 - - - - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 39.4 - - - - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 70 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1149 - - 2202 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96317 22 311 22 301 16 315 96317 89224 14 340 8 328 12 323 89224 83761 9 346 4 359 7 334 83761 79214 4 018 3 300 4 352 79214 75271 7 011 3 287 10 354 75271 71777 10 355 3 002 8 324 71777 68614 17 330 7 321 7 306 68614 65695 18 319 9 317 10 339 65695 62964 18 324 14 337 7 346 62964 60285 17 319 13 335 5 360 60285 57484 17 322 12 333 9 354 57484 54582 16 330 12 321 15 026 54582 51819 21 002 16 351 28 029 51819 49334 33 001 38 014 30 038 49334 47116 35 002 50 013 64 028 47116 45150 45 010 53 011 74 022 45150 43383 52 015 65 020 79 029 43383 41763 65 025 80 024 93 035 41763 40255 78 027 81 024 97 037 40255 38835 77 028 81 031 97 040 38835 37489 78 036 90 039 97 043 37489 36183 86 040 96 041 94 044 36183 34852 88 037 97 039 88 042 34852 33465 87 034 98 038 83 039 33465 32025 87 033 93 037 81 037 32025 30514 84 031 83 033 80 037 30514 28923 77 025 73 029 77 038 28923 27251 71 022 65 026 72 037 27251 25498 63 017 63 025 65 034 25498 23665 60 017 63 026 61 029 23665 21754 49 020 61 027 59 027 21754 19763 39 006 57 023 57 029 19763 17689 37 349 51 019 55 034 17689 15576 34 344 49 019 51 039 15576 13539 30 004 45 017 45 042 13539 11687 30 013 39 012 36 042 11687 10043 32 028 31 017 29 040 10043 8587 32 040 27 031 23 037 8587 7297 28 043 27 040 20 026 7297 6155 18 039 25 039 19 020 6155 5148 14 017 22 028 18 028 5148 4262 15 014 22 023 21 035 4262 3481 19 026 21*024 26 032 3481 2783 23 024 18*026 29 026 2783 2166 20*022 16 027 27 021 2166 1652 14*018 15 028 21 017 1652 1258 12 017 14 029 17 012 1258 987 11 017 13 029 12 007 987 822 9 016 11 029 8*005 822 729 7 015 8 030 5*003 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography