DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 65.8 - - 72.8 - - 69.7 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 78 - - 104 - - 34 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 349 - - 1129 - - 678 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1062 - - 1842 - - 1392 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 105 - - 460 - - 806 - - 651 - - 438 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 130 - - 214 - - 131 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 197 - - 271 - - 277 - - 288 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2678 - - -4296 - - -5491 - - -4514 - - -3081 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3407 - - 5358 - - 7334 - - 5906 - - 3810 sfcLCL ODpotential -15406 - - -13130 - - -13744 - - -13046 - - -14075 ODpotential blCL 16135 - - 14192 - - 15586 - - 14438 - - 14804 blCL maxRH 42 - - 46 - - 75 - - 66 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 65.8 - - 72.8 - - 69.7 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.7 - - 45.4 - - 43.6 - - 46.8 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 65.2 - - 72.0 - - 69.4 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.5 - - 44.2 - - 42.3 - - 45.5 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 78 - - 104 - - 34 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 349 - - 1129 - - 678 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96625 25 288 22 291 39 280 34 310 26 285 96625 89462 17 321 13 292 30 272 26 299 22 309 89462 83974 14 334 6 294 17 277 21 285 22 321 83974 79430 12 320 3 346 9 263 16 275 14 320 79430 75505 12 282 7 308 10 291 12 276 6 290 75505 72034 12 294 8 272 13 293 11 278 9 289 72034 68917 15 303 10 290 9 289 9 288 10 315 68917 66073 14 287 12 293 13 275 14 281 15 308 66073 63444 19 298 10 295 15 267 15 265 19 292 63444 60891 31 301 16 306 13 275 16 294 20 281 60891 58209 37 299 26 301 21 293 23 292 22 298 58209 55420 41 288 35 303 28 289 31 281 30 293 55420 52756 39 296 42 305 33 302 31 294 32 280 52756 50335 45 306 48 308 43 312 36 308 29 286 50335 48146 52 307 56 308 49 310 41 313 29 299 48146 46160 50 301 56 298 51 299 46 306 37 309 46160 44353 46 291 47 284 49 285 48 288 43 302 44353 42690 34 291 30 288 36 283 40 282 36 285 42690 41142 41 344 36 329 28 305 28 288 25 261 41142 39690 54 338 47 336 35 317 28 299 20 255 39690 38319 53 329 47 329 43 311 32 302 20 270 38319 36988 42 319 40 319 46 305 37 301 25 284 36988 35629 32 306 42 309 42 304 43 295 34 293 35629 34211 30 299 44 302 43 300 47 287 37 284 34211 32737 30 298 42 296 48 292 43 274 41 265 32737 31191 30 295 43 292 49 284 40 267 42 260 31191 29559 32 290 43 290 46 277 42 276 40 280 29559 27842 36 292 38 285 44 275 44 288 39 285 27842 26043 35 295 35 283 42 276 39 290 35 287 26043 24164 33 293 35 285 39 277 37 291 34 288 24164 22207 32 289 36 286 39 284 38 292 33 287 22207 20168 37 291 35 287 36 289 35 290 31 281 20168 18043 38 294 32 287 32 286 32 282 32 275 18043 15879 35 297 29 285 30 284 30 275 33 271 15879 13796 34 292 31 288 29 288 27 277 30 277 13796 11905 32 281 32 291 29 291 25 282 24 284 11905 10228 24 281 30 293 27 294 24 291 18 293 10228 8741 23 300 26 295 24 300 22 304 15 308 8741 7424 24 311 20 298 20 310 18 320 12 325 7424 6257 18 320 13 305 13 313 15 326 9 332 6257 5226 16 331 14 320 10 313 11 323 8 321 5226 4319 20 335 17 332 12 318 12 324 10 315 4319 3520 25 338 18 337 13 326 13 328 13 316 3520 2806 26 342 15 336 11 325 12 323 15 315 2806 2178 23 345 13 330 8*304 11 307 16 310 2178 1657 19 344 11 318 8*280 10*295 16 305 1657 1260 11 333 6*287 7 277 9*290 14 300 1260 988 4 257 5*273 7 276 9 288 11 292 988 823 6*199 5 271 7 274 8 287 8 284 823 729 4*197 4 268 6 273 6 285 4*276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography