DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 54.6 - - 58.8 - - 59.0 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 80 - - 88 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1611 - - 2728 - - 1575 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1888 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2323 - - 3441 - - 2287 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1662 - - 2356 - - 1969 - - 2652 - - 1132 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 215 - - 267 - - 108 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 307 - - 322 - - 283 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 367 - - 223 - - -1034 - - -442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1956 - - 3219 - - 3321 - - 1170 sfcLCL ODpotential -1584 - - -784 - - -1028 - - -3252 - - -3959 ODpotential blCL 2312 - - 3107 - - 4469 - - 5539 - - 4687 blCL maxRH 91 - - 87 - - 76 - - 74 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 54.6 - - 58.8 - - 59.0 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.4 - - 48.6 - - 47.2 - - 47.0 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.7 - - 53.9 - - 58.2 - - 59.1 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.0 - - 47.4 - - 45.9 - - 46.3 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 80 - - 88 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1611 - - 2728 - - 1575 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 49 - - 5 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96773 35 288 36 295 38 289 32 275 42 290 96773 89756 24 286 27 278 28 294 17 256 35 278 89756 84320 13 268 25 269 27 284 16 273 18 275 84320 79780 13 275 14 246 29 268 18 274 6 255 79780 75819 22 266 9 235 23 253 21 266 9 268 75819 72277 21 257 14 264 19 240 15 256 16 263 72277 69065 16 274 17 264 20 235 17 257 20 258 69065 66130 16 268 17 261 19 250 19 246 16 244 66130 63415 15 270 14 247 17 255 17 259 10 226 63415 60767 18 281 14 282 15 248 18 271 13 270 60767 58011 20 279 24 273 23 257 31 268 35 263 58011 55193 16 292 15 276 22 249 29 253 35 249 55193 52519 39 339 23 338 7 288 14 252 22 238 52519 50091 59 316 43 307 26 315 25 297 22 260 50091 47886 60 301 46 291 39 294 35 292 31 279 47886 45869 52 313 40 289 43 279 45 286 40 286 45869 44007 54 320 34 297 42 275 51 280 51 287 44007 42288 58 314 38 303 42 277 55 282 53 290 42288 40702 57 308 47 295 45 279 58 285 51 301 40702 39225 54 303 53 291 44 284 52 294 58 309 39225 37834 52 300 54 292 46 296 52 310 65 308 37834 36487 54 301 52 297 55 316 60 318 66 306 36487 35118 54 313 51 307 63 328 67 320 62 309 35118 33696 55 331 57 322 69 333 72 319 58 318 33696 32224 56 334 66 333 73 335 73 322 60 325 32224 30684 61 338 75 337 74 337 69 328 62 328 30684 29062 72 343 80 339 72 334 63 329 57 327 29062 27360 83 344 82 341 72 334 61 326 56 324 27360 25582 90 345 83 340 70 340 61 328 55 325 25582 23733 91 345 81 341 70 340 59 336 49 331 23733 21812 92 347 80 345 71 341 57 342 43 336 21812 19809 80 349 81 349 71 344 56 345 40 339 19809 17717 46 352 73 351 73 348 55 343 39 338 17717 15575 24 014 44 352 64 354 55 349 41 341 15575 13503 13 027 19 014 37 356 49 360 37 357 13503 11623 8 034 14 028 18 008 31 011 27 006 11623 9972 9 009 10 014 17 019 16 022 18 010 9972 8523 12 346 10 001 16 024 12 030 12 020 8523 7243 14 341 11 001 14 025 12 040 9 035 7243 6111 14 335 12 358 13 020 12 036 9 037 6111 5110 12 328 13 356 14 010 11 015 11 029 5110 4231 9 320 14 355 13 359 9 353 11 022 4231 3455 7 311 13 345 10*343 8 331 8 001 3455 2763 7 313 12*329 9*329 8*306 8 325 2763 2151 6 321 10*313 8 324 10*288 10 314 2151 1643 5 327 9 307 8 322 10 285 11 308 1643 1253 4 330 8 305 8 319 10 283 10 301 1253 984 3 312 8 304 7 317 9 281 7 290 984 821 3 292 7 303 7 316 8 280 5 273 821 728 2*284 6 302 6 315 6 279 3*257 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography