DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 55.0 - - 57.0 - - 55.2 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 16 - - 16 - - -19 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 957 - - 1751 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1669 - - 2464 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 845 - - 2350 - - 2583 - - 3531 - - 1115 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 118 - - 150 - - 15 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 15 - - 20 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 159 - - 187 - - 181 - - 149 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -661 - - -168 - - 380 - - -810 - - -391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1389 - - 1837 - - 2084 - - 1539 - - 1119 sfcLCL ODpotential -4192 - - -1083 - - -591 - - -1763 - - -2462 ODpotential blCL 4920 - - 2752 - - 3055 - - 2492 - - 3190 blCL maxRH 81 - - 90 - - 96 - - 89 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 55.0 - - 57.0 - - 55.2 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.7 - - 49.5 - - 50.4 - - 50.9 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 55.0 - - 57.0 - - 56.3 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.6 - - 48.5 - - 49.3 - - 50.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 16 - - 16 - - -19 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 957 - - 1751 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 62 - - 86 - - 57 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95974 16 002 16 007 13 005 24 360 13 347 95974 88963 13 017 19 029 8 024 10 022 11 356 88963 83530 14 052 11 034 11 037 4 063 8 059 83530 78994 11 036 6 025 8 337 4 051 4 325 78994 75066 7 024 1 018 7 313 5 331 4 316 75066 71569 3 004 7 237 8 267 12 291 7 276 71569 68383 1 171 9 209 7 248 6 278 11 203 68383 65443 10 246 11 254 13 253 13 277 7 226 65443 62707 20 226 16 241 23 234 18 252 22 250 62707 60052 16 194 19 226 23 224 27 229 31 230 60052 57287 22 243 23 224 27 232 30 221 36 223 57287 54418 33 237 28 235 36 229 36 229 38 236 54418 51668 34 241 38 242 41 234 40 229 46 230 51668 49180 42 247 47 242 43 236 47 233 50 224 49180 46937 46 249 47 243 44 235 57 233 54 231 46937 44891 53 254 53 244 50 237 62 233 65 236 44891 43021 63 251 62 245 61 238 67 234 70 232 43021 41318 66 243 73 241 77 239 83 237 80 235 41318 39762 57 241 71 233 90 235 97 234 99 235 39762 38316 59 255 65 231 84 229 101 229 101 230 38316 36954 69 257 63 235 84 226 100 226 100 227 36954 35639 69 251 70 242 87 228 102 228 104 226 35639 34306 65 248 68 238 86 231 102 228 107 228 34306 32924 62 246 67 235 83 230 97 226 106 231 32924 31497 57 245 65 233 79 224 91 224 89 230 31497 30011 55 246 64 229 80 224 87 225 79 227 30011 28452 56 247 61 227 81 226 83 223 77 222 28452 26816 57 248 61 227 76 225 78 219 75 218 26816 25102 57 246 63 229 72 223 76 219 72 217 25102 23311 56 245 64 232 72 220 75 223 65 219 23311 21444 54 246 61 231 69 222 73 223 60 222 21444 19493 49 246 53 225 63 222 68 219 59 223 19493 17453 42 241 45 218 55 218 61 215 58 222 17453 15374 34 235 40 214 48 211 55 210 55 221 15374 13376 28 221 37 210 44 205 50 206 50 223 13376 11559 26 206 36 204 43 201 47 206 44 223 11559 9940 25 191 34 194 41 195 44 206 39 219 9940 8502 27 175 34 182 39 189 42 204 35 214 8502 7227 29 170 34 176 38 188 43 197 33 209 7227 6096 28 172 34 179 38 190 43 191 33 203 6096 5098 27 177 34 186 37 191 41 187 37 196 5098 4222 26 185 34 193 36 189 38 184 43 190 4222 3450 26 192 33 196 33 187 34 181 46 185 3450 2761 26 195 30 196 29*185 30 177 45 183 2761 2151 25 194 25*192 25*182 26 174 40 180 2151 1643 23 189 21*188 22 181 21 172 35 178 1643 1252 20 184 17 187 19 180 17 168 27 175 1252 984 15 180 14 186 17 180 12 161 18 169 984 821 10 177 12 186 14 179 10*157 13 162 821 728 4*159 8 186 10 178 5*149 5*146 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography