DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 68.3 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 468 - - - - - 48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1111 - - 1487 - - - - - 713 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1218 - - 1607 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1824 - - 2200 - - - - - 1426 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 429 - - 321 - - - - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 360 - - - - - 132 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 264 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -171 - - -1359 - - - - - 12 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1995 - - 3559 - - - - - 1414 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10706 - - -10417 - - - - - -11327 ODpotential blCL - - - 12530 - - 12617 - - - - - 12753 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 82 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 68.3 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 55.2 - - - - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 65.8 - - - - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 54.8 - - - - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 468 - - - - - 48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1111 - - 1487 - - - - - 713 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 28 - - - - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99332 40 125 37 120 31 110 99332 91768 38 116 33 106 28 112 91768 85965 34 099 26 106 27 111 85965 81173 24 083 25 111 34 107 81173 77048 19 108 24 113 28 087 77048 73419 25 121 19 128 20 096 73419 70150 24 107 15 134 24 115 70150 67155 17 106 12 141 19 103 67155 64391 12 129 16 151 14 092 64391 61718 14 156 12 157 7 119 61718 58936 15 185 13 204 6 209 58936 56067 23 217 30 220 26 234 56067 53348 27 231 33 226 31 243 53348 50900 39 252 44 249 43 243 50900 48699 53 251 55 249 59 243 48699 46692 63 249 62 252 63 243 46692 44834 70 248 66 254 68 247 44834 43099 68 245 64 252 75 247 43099 41468 62 243 59 246 81 248 41468 39927 62 244 55 242 84 247 39927 38467 64 243 51 240 75 252 38467 37061 63 241 51 237 56 247 37061 35652 57 242 47 237 47 239 35652 34211 53 242 44 233 42 237 34211 32731 48 239 43 232 38 238 32731 31188 42 237 38 233 32 238 31188 29566 38 239 33 238 26 238 29566 27865 37 244 31 242 22 240 27865 26081 33 254 27 253 24 236 26081 24214 25 251 22 246 25 232 24214 22271 18 239 20 230 21 231 22271 20246 17 224 21 224 19 234 20246 18130 16 226 20 227 17 234 18130 15968 15 221 18 214 16 210 15968 13883 14 214 17 201 17 203 13883 11984 11 211 15 211 13 200 11984 10292 11 212 12 212 11 191 10292 8788 11 207 11 202 11 181 8788 7453 10 194 11 201 11 186 7453 6271 11 184 13 205 11 201 6271 5226 12 186 15 203 11 216 5226 4308 14 193 18 196 13 225 4308 3500 17 198 18 197 15 220 3500 2784 16 213 16*210 15 234 2784 2160 12*239 12*252 16 264 2160 1647 10*259 12 264 15*273 1647 1255 10 262 12 267 15*273 1255 986 9 264 12 268 14 274 986 823 9 264 11 268 12 273 823 729 7 265 9 269 9 272 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography