DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 67.0 - - 74.5 - - 73.3 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 138 - - 223 - - 49 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 942 - - 2170 - - 1204 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1902 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1655 - - 2883 - - 1917 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 173 - - 831 - - 1238 - - 1541 - - 304 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 207 - - 320 - - 160 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 17 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 289 - - 302 - - 298 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2544 - - -4884 - - -6101 - - -6942 - - -2816 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3273 - - 6539 - - 8985 - - 8859 - - 3546 sfcLCL ODpotential -15195 - - -14128 - - -14075 - - -14809 - - -13054 ODpotential blCL 15924 - - 15783 - - 16958 - - 16726 - - 13783 blCL maxRH 48 - - 42 - - 56 - - 30 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 67.0 - - 74.5 - - 73.3 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 41.4 - - 38.1 - - 37.6 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 65.9 - - 73.0 - - 73.0 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 40.9 - - 37.4 - - 37.1 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 138 - - 223 - - 49 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 942 - - 2170 - - 1204 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97511 7 285 15 307 11 323 13 286 6 325 97511 90277 6 023 6 276 13 290 9 315 3 012 90277 84688 5 004 4 300 8 291 4 305 3 309 84688 80053 2 321 2 051 5 298 5 235 9 324 80053 76081 3 313 6 065 5 293 3 225 9 336 76081 72576 5 243 6 017 3 235 5 303 8 349 72576 69401 8 297 5 353 6 192 7 286 6 321 69401 66486 11 279 6 323 3 231 6 296 4 296 66486 63783 7 286 8 294 9 285 11 302 8 307 63783 61164 11 307 7 290 14 283 17 299 13 311 61164 58441 20 313 12 307 17 297 20 306 20 313 58441 55625 26 326 20 321 21 301 25 301 27 303 55625 52942 30 327 25 324 23 305 26 313 28 305 52942 50518 40 334 32 326 30 316 36 323 41 317 50518 48332 45 326 39 316 40 311 45 319 53 315 48332 46336 43 328 42 307 47 311 51 316 58 317 46336 44494 43 331 45 312 49 315 57 316 60 320 44494 42782 50 329 50 322 53 319 59 318 63 323 42782 41182 61 329 58 327 58 322 58 320 64 324 41182 39681 68 329 66 327 60 325 59 324 61 322 39681 38264 71 328 73 325 63 325 58 327 54 328 38264 36893 74 327 74 323 66 326 60 332 52 338 36893 35499 73 327 73 321 67 325 61 332 51 338 35499 34060 72 328 71 321 62 323 57 329 52 331 34060 32580 64 329 61 322 53 324 50 329 50 327 32580 31041 53 330 50 321 50 325 46 331 48 331 31041 29426 50 331 46 323 44 326 45 331 45 335 29426 27734 45 334 44 328 43 330 46 329 41 337 27734 25960 41 335 38 331 40 336 45 330 38 339 25960 24102 41 333 35 332 35 336 39 332 36 338 24102 22169 40 337 34 337 31 336 33 333 32 337 22169 20153 35 342 31 339 27 335 28 334 28 339 20153 18047 30 348 27 343 24 340 25 340 25 342 18047 15894 26 354 24 350 22 345 22 349 21 352 15894 13817 24 357 22 358 19 356 19 003 18 004 13817 11925 20 358 19 003 16 008 16 016 14 012 11925 10243 17 359 15 002 13 013 13 022 12 016 10243 8751 14 357 11 359 11 007 11 024 11 019 8751 7428 11 352 10 356 10 360 10 025 10 020 7428 6256 10 354 9 359 9 359 11 027 11 028 6256 5223 9 358 9 358 9 357 12 025 17 024 5223 4316 8 356 9 351 9 346 12 019 13 015 4316 3519 7 353 8 339 7*330 8 002 10 358 3519 2808 7 360 6 334 6*316 6 339 9 342 2808 2181 6 359 3 338 6 308 6*316 9 328 2181 1659 4 337 2*318 6 301 7*303 9 313 1659 1260 4 279 2*301 6 296 7 298 9 311 1260 988 4 261 2 289 6 293 7 296 8 310 988 823 3*245 2 284 6 292 7 295 6*310 823 729 1*202 2 282 5 291 6 294 3*308 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography