DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 47.5 - - 54.0 - - 51.6 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 9 - - 58 - - -6 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 120 - - 601 - - 184 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 831 - - 1313 - - 895 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 92 - - 404 - - 662 - - 620 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 50 - - 140 - - 37 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 081 - - 084 - - 078 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -8 - - -4 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2535 - - -2637 - - -2702 - - -1377 - - -1137 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3262 - - 3468 - - 4015 - - 2272 - - 1865 sfcLCL ODpotential -15015 - - -12670 - - -11246 - - -8795 - - -11896 ODpotential blCL 15742 - - 13501 - - 12559 - - 9690 - - 12624 blCL maxRH 42 - - 58 - - 55 - - 72 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 47.5 - - 54.0 - - 51.6 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 35.6 - - 39.6 - - 44.8 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 47.5 - - 53.6 - - 52.1 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 34.4 - - 38.4 - - 43.8 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 9 - - 58 - - -6 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 120 - - 601 - - 184 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96170 33 293 33 299 35 283 25 302 24 306 96170 89241 16 319 11 345 13 327 12 335 11 010 89241 83842 10 330 10 026 10 023 10 341 12 039 83842 79304 10 035 10 020 16 050 6 032 11 043 79304 75349 13 054 5 017 15 029 13 046 14 053 75349 71830 12 057 7 083 12 014 14 022 14 035 71830 68649 14 032 8 069 9 010 13 355 13 009 68649 65740 15 355 9 007 13 341 16 329 16 340 65740 63052 23 007 19 357 15 329 16 310 19 310 63052 60441 21 342 21 345 14 328 13 304 14 300 60441 57705 30 324 31 320 26 312 23 306 25 298 57705 54858 35 305 29 308 30 294 31 289 20 288 54858 52117 28 305 24 303 24 287 29 295 28 305 52117 49629 32 324 26 313 35 298 39 296 36 304 49629 47399 41 316 40 306 43 293 42 293 40 297 47399 45400 42 312 48 299 43 294 42 292 37 291 45400 43605 34 320 42 299 39 295 38 291 32 292 43605 41973 27 340 26 311 33 297 37 298 35 307 41973 40467 32 349 27 322 32 306 39 296 41 300 40467 39057 38 345 31 321 31 310 42 293 42 292 39057 37722 36 344 29 321 29 307 42 291 41 287 37722 36422 33 341 25 320 27 307 37 288 40 285 36422 35092 27 344 24 320 22 296 35 288 36 288 35092 33702 18 349 23 322 18 288 30 290 26 279 33702 32257 18 337 19 323 17 280 24 290 20 274 32257 30740 24 318 14 319 18 282 24 286 21 281 30740 29140 19 323 16 308 21 290 25 286 23 280 29140 27456 19 309 13 302 19 282 24 285 23 283 27456 25690 6 296 12 267 16 265 21 280 23 291 25690 23843 9 259 14 255 14 256 17 266 21 296 23843 21918 11 237 13 247 13 254 15 255 19 273 21918 19912 17 223 15 246 14 261 13 259 19 265 19912 17819 16 235 12 257 13 273 8 274 17 270 17819 15680 13 253 8 262 9 273 6 263 11 260 15680 13617 8 268 5 250 6 263 6 256 8 249 13617 11744 3 245 3 238 3 249 4 254 4 247 11744 10085 4 149 1 181 2 165 3 230 2 339 10085 8614 6 122 3 140 4 143 3 223 2 018 8614 7309 5 119 3 151 4 157 2 227 2 086 7309 6153 5 142 5 170 3 177 2 219 3 112 6153 5134 6 172 5 180 4 189 2 207 4 110 5134 4241 7 195 5 179 4 190 3 198 4 109 4241 3457 8 201 5 173 5 190 4 194 4 120 3457 2760 8 196 5 164 5 184 4 192 4 132 2760 2146 7 189 6 140 5 160 3 177 6 129 2146 1636 6 172 12 111 7*110 5 114 9 114 1636 1246 7 131 15 094 8*085 9 085 13 101 1246 980 10 098 14*085 7 084 8*080 13 086 980 819 10 081 11*082 7 082 7*078 11*078 819 728 6*074 8 081 5 082 5 078 6*072 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography