DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 77.0 - - 73.6 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 421 - - 287 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1207 - - 2324 - - 1529 - - 618 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1309 - - 2210 - - 1525 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1920 - - 3038 - - 2242 - - 1331 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 565 - - 907 - - 552 - - 550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 404 - - 310 - - 103 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 12 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 254 - - 270 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3148 - - -3503 - - -3573 - - -1817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5068 - - 6542 - - 5815 - - 3148 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9730 - - -8276 - - -9247 - - -9885 ODpotential blCL - - - 11650 - - 11314 - - 11489 - - 11216 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 69 - - 55 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 77.0 - - 73.6 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 50.9 - - 50.7 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 74.6 - - 71.7 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 50.3 - - 50.2 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 421 - - 287 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1207 - - 2324 - - 1529 - - 618 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99166 30 101 31 120 25 124 25 102 99166 91656 27 113 20 118 23 117 19 090 91656 85873 27 118 26 114 20 115 24 089 85873 81064 24 108 23 115 24 114 22 103 81064 76929 14 112 20 110 23 108 21 109 76929 73284 14 132 12 100 20 101 20 104 73284 69983 16 128 13 128 14 101 17 111 69983 66945 12 145 11 136 8 104 12 119 66945 64121 8 133 6 145 5 129 9 114 64121 61383 5 149 7 190 5 226 2 084 61383 58529 6 228 7 202 8 260 2 257 58529 55581 7 269 11 244 14 262 14 280 55581 52776 20 290 15 258 18 251 21 272 52776 50247 29 286 23 280 23 273 25 277 50247 47973 37 279 34 279 30 275 28 278 47973 45915 39 276 37 279 34 283 36 292 45915 44051 44 282 40 280 41 283 41 285 44051 42344 43 282 40 278 40 283 33 293 42344 40766 41 288 41 279 40 292 37 305 40766 39296 44 288 43 282 43 295 41 306 39296 37918 45 284 44 283 44 293 41 304 37918 36586 42 281 44 280 45 290 41 304 36586 35229 40 280 45 275 43 289 40 306 35229 33815 40 282 45 273 43 287 40 310 33815 32347 36 285 39 274 40 286 39 309 32347 30814 33 282 32 276 36 284 34 307 30814 29205 31 280 32 274 32 286 29 302 29205 27522 28 280 30 275 30 289 25 299 27522 25760 25 281 25 281 24 288 23 300 25760 23918 21 286 24 287 22 288 23 299 23918 22000 17 298 20 293 19 290 21 291 22000 20000 13 311 16 303 15 287 17 280 20000 17912 12 317 12 299 12 288 15 269 17912 15782 9 303 9 298 10 292 12 269 15782 13728 7 301 5 314 7 300 6 293 13728 11859 6 326 2 030 3 290 4 295 11859 10198 5 348 5 046 1 031 1 272 10198 8724 4 010 4 041 4 030 2 046 8724 7414 5 081 3 089 4 018 6 029 7414 6249 6 103 7 102 4 040 5 018 6249 5218 6 117 8 104 3 079 4 010 5218 4309 7 134 5 123 4 111 2 329 4309 3510 9 152 3*169 3 158 4 241 3510 2797 10 180 4*231 4*212 10 227 2797 2172 10*208 6 251 8*265 13 238 2172 1655 9*226 6 256 10 271 12*251 1655 1260 9 231 7 258 10 271 11*257 1260 989 8 233 7 259 10 271 11 259 989 824 8 234 7 259 10 271 10 259 824 729 7 236 6 259 8 270 7 260 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography