DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 54.9 - - 60.7 - - 60.6 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 24 - - 76 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 599 - - 1779 - - 2288 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1311 - - 2492 - - 3000 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 150 - - 973 - - 2193 - - 2280 - - 2145 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 113 - - 223 - - 136 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 185 - - 200 - - 225 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1015 - - -1489 - - -490 - - 498 - - -246 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1743 - - 2800 - - 2982 - - 2503 - - 974 sfcLCL ODpotential -7609 - - -4868 - - -2300 - - -309 - - -1515 ODpotential blCL 8337 - - 6179 - - 4792 - - 3309 - - 2243 blCL maxRH 77 - - 73 - - 73 - - 90 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 54.9 - - 60.7 - - 60.6 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.8 - - 45.5 - - 50.4 - - 52.4 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 54.8 - - 60.0 - - 60.5 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.8 - - 44.2 - - 49.1 - - 51.1 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 24 - - 76 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 599 - - 1779 - - 2288 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 62 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96821 23 101 23 109 14 102 15 076 17 111 96821 89649 21 096 24 109 13 120 15 107 13 089 89649 84113 18 097 17 109 14 110 14 108 8 098 84113 79502 8 117 6 133 2 219 5 113 6 042 79502 75502 9 125 10 168 4 188 4 114 1 120 75502 71957 9 264 12 250 9 262 10 307 4 305 71957 68750 12 199 16 229 17 250 18 280 11 264 68750 65799 9 245 15 259 17 248 20 265 18 274 65799 63054 28 257 25 263 27 261 30 269 24 278 63054 60392 40 250 36 262 34 264 35 266 30 274 60392 57621 42 251 43 262 40 259 42 264 37 273 57621 54750 51 249 49 261 48 250 46 258 44 263 54750 52008 49 249 51 255 51 252 49 261 50 268 52008 49541 56 266 55 254 60 261 65 273 69 275 49541 47347 71 266 68 258 76 262 83 267 81 269 47347 45380 80 256 76 256 79 257 82 263 79 267 45380 43598 84 249 78 255 76 260 76 269 72 272 43598 41958 80 249 76 249 73 267 77 278 71 287 41958 40436 74 252 69 250 68 268 81 281 96 299 40436 39011 75 255 65 254 68 262 80 282 101 296 39011 37658 77 256 65 256 72 254 76 283 97 295 37658 36340 78 256 66 256 71 255 70 281 91 298 36340 34992 76 257 66 257 68 256 65 271 78 292 34992 33583 75 259 67 257 66 256 66 265 72 278 33583 32117 74 259 66 258 64 256 67 259 70 269 32117 30581 71 259 63 256 63 254 65 256 65 263 30581 28969 65 260 60 253 61 251 62 255 60 261 28969 27283 62 262 58 251 59 250 58 252 55 260 27283 25520 61 259 58 251 58 251 55 251 50 256 25520 23678 59 252 60 250 57 251 54 252 47 252 23678 21762 58 247 60 249 54 248 53 252 47 252 21762 19763 56 245 56 249 52 246 50 249 46 251 19763 17676 50 243 49 249 49 247 46 247 43 251 17676 15550 43 244 42 245 43 247 43 249 38 252 15550 13505 37 240 38 239 38 243 39 250 34 251 13505 11650 32 232 31 229 31 234 33 244 29 251 11650 10005 25 231 21 221 21 223 27 234 24 241 10005 8549 20 226 14 223 14 216 17 213 20 222 8549 7259 17 224 13 224 11 214 12 205 19 200 7259 6120 15 229 14 221 11 219 12 217 17 201 6120 5117 14 230 15 218 13 224 14 223 14 209 5117 4236 13 224 16 215 16 221 13 217 11 206 4236 3459 14 218 18 215 15 214 10*214 9 197 3459 2765 16 213 21 211 14*206 8*219 8 201 2765 2154 18 207 22 203 11*199 8 223 7 218 2154 1644 18 194 20*192 11 199 8 226 7 235 1644 1254 18 182 17*186 10 200 7 228 7 247 1254 985 14 174 14 185 9 201 7 230 7 257 985 822 10*169 12 185 9 202 6 231 5 264 822 728 4*151 8 186 7 202 5 232 3*268 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography