DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 56.2 - - 59.9 - - 56.3 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 49 - - 209 - - 328 - - 131 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 239 - - 1045 - - 1465 - - 1027 - - 416 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1076 - - 1517 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 951 - - 1757 - - 2177 - - 1739 - - 1128 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 868 - - 493 - - 356 - - 462 - - 793 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 246 - - 321 - - 210 - - 94 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 240 - - 251 - - 261 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 210 - - 263 - - 20 - - 66 - - 165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 741 - - 1494 - - 2157 - - 1673 - - 963 sfcLCL ODpotential 105 - - 371 - - -5771 - - 114 - - 21 ODpotential blCL 846 - - 1386 - - 7948 - - 1625 - - 1107 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 56.2 - - 59.9 - - 56.3 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.0 - - 52.1 - - 52.9 - - 51.4 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.4 - - 54.9 - - 58.1 - - 55.3 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.8 - - 51.5 - - 52.0 - - 51.0 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 49 - - 209 - - 328 - - 131 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 239 - - 1045 - - 1465 - - 1027 - - 416 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 98 - - 89 - - 96 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98346 18 095 22 129 9 122 16 101 12 093 98346 90904 7 089 11 112 10 106 12 154 5 133 90904 85159 4 133 10 088 10 106 8 163 7 143 85159 80398 10 106 10 100 10 114 6 110 13 093 80398 76312 14 131 9 116 13 114 9 111 9 086 76312 72726 15 125 10 136 15 107 14 108 7 116 72726 69501 12 107 12 136 11 128 13 092 12 112 69501 66539 12 098 12 140 8 151 6 080 12 112 66539 63783 10 087 12 136 12 166 4 239 8 101 63783 61105 7 075 9 125 10 164 8 210 1 261 61105 58295 1 002 4 122 8 208 7 214 8 234 58295 55356 8 273 6 281 7 264 6 256 10 222 55356 52541 13 269 12 292 9 277 9 262 9 234 52541 50010 15 283 16 299 13 286 11 284 10 282 50010 47744 13 281 15 288 14 271 13 278 13 291 47744 45685 14 294 13 284 11 267 11 277 11 279 45685 43796 18 303 15 292 11 298 8 300 8 265 43796 42050 25 287 20 284 17 304 9 304 6 264 42050 40427 24 276 23 268 22 287 12 287 5 262 40427 38910 26 282 25 258 22 272 14 269 5 246 38910 37488 44 271 34 258 26 266 18 258 6 242 37488 36119 56 260 44 257 37 255 27 248 11 229 36119 34736 55 257 49 254 43 249 36 242 23 228 34736 33313 52 258 47 250 48 245 44 238 32 229 33313 31851 46 258 47 244 50 238 48 232 37 223 31851 30334 40 261 46 240 48 234 48 229 38 219 30334 28746 34 266 37 237 45 230 45 225 34 213 28746 27086 31 268 32 237 42 229 42 220 32 210 27086 25350 30 258 31 240 39 230 38 217 30 210 25350 23537 32 259 30 244 35 235 33 217 24 206 23537 21649 26 266 26 248 29 238 26 216 21 201 21649 19683 25 263 19 238 23 231 21 219 20 201 19683 17635 27 260 22 240 20 232 16 226 16 200 17635 15545 22 253 20 233 14 243 10 217 12 181 15545 13527 15 236 14 208 8 250 7 209 9 171 13527 11693 8 228 7 216 12 252 7 214 8 154 11693 10064 2 254 5 213 11 227 9 193 7 162 10064 8614 2 343 5 208 10 183 10 174 7 191 8614 7323 3 312 4 228 8 145 8 156 9 206 7323 6174 6 308 3 277 7 118 5 159 9 207 6174 5154 10 311 4 297 5 121 4 184 7 201 5154 4255 11 312 4 292 2 164 4 211 6 211 4255 3462 10 310 6 269 5 238 8 221 8 222 3462 2759 8 293 10 253 10*249 12 247 12 255 2759 2144 10 255 13*242 11*250 14*257 14 269 2144 1637 12 231 12*240 11 251 13*260 14 270 1637 1249 12 227 12 240 11 251 13 261 12*270 1249 983 11*225 11 240 11 252 12 261 11*269 983 821 10*225 10 240 10 252 11 261 10 269 821 729 7 225 8 240 8 253 9 261 7 268 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography