DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 64.8 - - - - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 254 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1464 - - 1962 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1408 - - 1817 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2177 - - 2674 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 331 - - 600 - - - - - 986 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 330 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 275 - - - - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 148 - - -903 - - - - - -1516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2029 - - 3577 - - - - - 2245 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8636 - - -7937 - - - - - -11020 ODpotential blCL - - - 10813 - - 10611 - - - - - 11749 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 76 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 64.8 - - - - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 51.8 - - - - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 63.4 - - - - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 50.5 - - - - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 254 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1464 - - 1962 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 3 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98171 5 251 4 249 8 337 98171 90758 11 195 8 244 4 246 90758 85049 5 200 3 240 3 255 85049 80310 3 105 2 246 5 353 80310 76248 5 080 3 143 10 018 76248 72674 7 082 4 062 10 359 72674 69451 10 033 3 290 7 351 69451 66488 10 344 6 322 9 005 66488 63724 10 291 6 317 7 326 63724 61037 9 273 9 309 11 324 61037 58243 11 285 14 296 11 310 58243 55352 10 294 14 278 12 344 55352 52604 12 329 10 296 11 344 52604 50132 15 334 8 316 14 031 50132 47909 12 295 12 354 29 009 47909 45902 18 317 21 339 31 354 45902 44078 23 340 15 003 21 340 44078 42393 16 324 17 024 13 327 42393 40825 14 005 18 004 14 307 40825 39364 23 350 20 349 19 302 39364 37996 28 341 21 342 22 304 37996 36673 25 333 21 340 23 307 36673 35323 19 324 20 329 24 309 35323 33916 17 320 20 313 25 312 33916 32456 19 320 20 309 24 318 32456 30928 20 322 20 312 24 325 30928 29319 19 326 19 320 23 330 29319 27630 19 334 18 328 22 328 27630 25859 21 343 19 330 19 324 25859 24008 24 348 18 329 14 321 24008 22077 22 349 12 331 11 318 22077 20059 21 332 13 323 12 315 20059 17948 19 317 19 310 16 330 17948 15794 18 305 18 310 17 344 15794 13722 19 278 13 305 14 357 13722 11841 20 273 10 322 12 010 11841 10172 19 282 9 348 11 013 10172 8693 17 298 9 357 10 013 8693 7381 15 314 8 358 8 007 7381 6219 12 324 7 347 7 007 6219 5192 12 330 8 329 10 014 5192 4289 12 330 8 323 10 004 4289 3494 13 320 9 311 10 337 3494 2785 14*304 10*288 12 319 2785 2162 14*279 11*280 12 307 2162 1648 14 273 12 276 10 274 1648 1255 14 271 12 274 11 248 1255 986 13 270 11 272 10 241 986 822 12 269 10 271 8*237 822 729 10 268 9 270 5*235 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography