DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 72.5 - - 74.6 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 136 - - 15 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1014 - - 2143 - - 2233 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1726 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1727 - - 2856 - - 2946 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 565 - - 1067 - - 1574 - - 428 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 282 - - 161 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 028 - - 021 - - 011 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3846 - - -4397 - - -4389 - - -3751 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5574 - - 7254 - - 7336 - - 4481 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12042 - - -10941 - - -10702 - - -12136 ODpotential blCL - - - 13769 - - 13797 - - 13648 - - 12866 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 52 - - 67 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 72.5 - - 74.6 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 43.5 - - 45.3 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 71.6 - - 74.7 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 42.3 - - 44.1 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 136 - - 15 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1014 - - 2143 - - 2233 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96254 36 284 27 280 33 257 39 279 96254 89143 26 281 31 280 27 277 30 287 89143 83693 18 265 27 265 26 293 23 298 83693 79167 15 278 21 259 22 283 24 290 79167 75264 13 284 19 266 19 283 18 276 75264 71820 15 258 21 272 18 281 15 260 71820 68696 15 267 20 262 17 261 15 268 68696 65807 16 265 18 253 18 247 16 260 65807 63127 18 265 19 261 21 256 18 260 63127 60542 27 261 25 265 25 261 22 260 60542 57852 36 247 30 262 31 271 27 263 57852 55057 38 242 39 253 41 265 36 264 55057 52376 39 248 44 247 50 252 47 255 52376 49948 43 253 46 246 52 251 51 251 49948 47754 46 256 49 250 52 252 53 252 47754 45741 49 259 51 254 52 252 54 254 45741 43884 57 252 54 254 55 250 54 248 43884 42177 60 241 62 241 60 239 56 242 42177 40615 61 238 65 241 60 236 57 238 40615 39171 62 236 69 242 64 238 61 235 39171 37812 63 236 68 241 64 237 63 235 37812 36492 63 238 65 242 61 237 64 236 36492 35143 60 240 61 244 58 240 59 238 35143 33738 56 243 57 243 54 244 53 240 33738 32282 55 245 51 244 50 241 50 240 32282 30761 56 245 50 241 49 239 49 238 30761 29165 55 246 50 241 46 241 46 238 29165 27493 53 249 47 242 41 242 38 241 27493 25738 50 254 43 246 38 244 34 242 25738 23905 46 260 42 250 36 247 32 249 23905 21999 40 267 39 261 31 258 27 254 21999 20012 37 268 33 270 25 261 23 242 20012 17937 28 265 26 267 23 261 22 238 17937 15813 24 272 21 267 19 263 18 247 15813 13760 20 281 16 276 15 275 13 266 13760 11887 14 289 12 286 11 286 9 281 11887 10220 12 302 10 297 8 299 5 297 10220 8739 11 315 7 313 5 304 2 305 8739 7423 10 327 4 340 2 315 1 334 7423 6256 10 344 2 039 1 042 1 043 6256 5225 10 002 4 048 6 038 6 063 5225 4320 12 013 10 031 12 021 13 044 4320 3525 15 024 14*022 12*015 16 032 3525 2815 20 027 14*020 11*014 17 025 2815 2188 21*027 13 021 10 013 14 023 2188 1665 16*027 13 021 9 010 10 013 1665 1265 13 028 12 021 9 009 8 354 1265 991 12 028 11 022 8 008 6 327 991 824 10 028 10 022 7 007 4*305 824 730 7 029 7 022 5 006 3*281 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography