DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.2 - - 53.3 - - 59.2 - - 55.6 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 17 - - 72 - - 1 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 118 - - 366 - - 274 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 830 - - 1078 - - 986 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 156 - - 276 - - 356 - - 271 - - 106 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 58 - - 127 - - 50 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 076 - - 075 - - 075 - - 072 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -7 - - -7 - - -8 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1810 - - -2244 - - -2022 - - -1551 - - -2002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2538 - - 3074 - - 3100 - - 2537 - - 2730 sfcLCL ODpotential -14240 - - -12047 - - -10028 - - -10327 - - -13603 ODpotential blCL 14968 - - 12877 - - 11106 - - 11313 - - 14331 blCL maxRH 59 - - 62 - - 66 - - 70 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.2 - - 53.3 - - 59.2 - - 55.6 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 42.9 - - 48.5 - - 47.3 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 53.3 - - 58.6 - - 55.6 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 41.8 - - 47.2 - - 46.4 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 17 - - 72 - - 1 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 118 - - 366 - - 274 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96713 42 084 19 047 34 042 40 057 28 070 96713 89635 37 092 31 075 27 064 30 062 33 075 89635 84114 38 081 35 075 27 070 22 075 34 069 84114 79498 33 070 27 078 21 067 24 070 28 066 79498 75521 27 067 22 064 19 068 28 056 28 064 75521 71993 19 065 20 053 16 054 27 041 28 055 71993 68798 22 063 16 054 14 035 22 028 29 047 68798 65877 24 042 17 055 15 036 16 022 28 029 65877 63181 22 016 22 046 16 038 14 024 24 017 63181 60579 18 359 25 028 18 031 18 024 25 016 60579 57873 18 349 26 006 25 012 25 015 25 008 57873 55056 21 347 27 355 26 352 28 357 25 350 55056 52364 23 342 25 345 25 342 29 343 24 342 52364 49936 22 336 20 338 21 323 26 323 22 333 49936 47745 23 324 21 327 21 313 23 308 20 331 47745 45747 21 325 21 320 20 300 23 291 21 314 45747 43906 19 320 20 311 20 293 21 287 19 300 43906 42194 19 296 19 306 19 292 19 289 17 299 42194 40594 17 287 17 305 15 298 15 282 20 292 40594 39107 17 291 19 311 16 308 15 306 20 296 39107 37731 22 307 22 310 20 314 22 320 20 316 37731 36419 29 307 26 298 24 310 28 325 24 347 36419 35086 30 309 25 302 27 303 32 313 27 331 35086 33700 30 311 26 308 24 305 30 307 28 322 33700 32259 30 313 26 305 22 306 26 303 27 320 32259 30746 30 312 25 302 22 302 23 302 25 318 30746 29153 29 307 24 302 22 295 23 304 23 312 29153 27479 29 296 24 302 22 292 24 302 24 307 27479 25724 29 291 23 300 22 294 25 300 25 309 25724 23889 27 291 22 295 22 294 21 297 22 311 23889 21978 20 282 22 293 20 297 17 299 20 316 21978 19986 16 256 18 298 20 296 17 307 18 324 19986 17903 16 254 18 267 18 294 18 311 17 318 17903 15772 14 266 18 279 18 301 19 307 19 313 15772 13714 11 290 14 295 14 317 16 311 19 313 13714 11840 8 273 10 299 12 316 11 318 13 318 11840 10174 7 268 5 278 9 302 11 320 8 332 10174 8698 6 276 4 261 6 284 8 319 7 341 8698 7389 3 304 4 293 4 286 6 307 9 341 7389 6230 4 355 4 323 3 321 4 327 10 347 6230 5203 4 001 4 327 3 344 4 351 9 356 5203 4300 3 349 3 312 3 347 4 002 8 006 4300 3503 2 340 2 290 3 341 4 010 7 012 3503 2793 1 017 2 253 2 338 3 018 5 014 2793 2168 3 087 1 182 2 082 4 069 5 033 2168 1649 8 096 6 112 7 089 10 080 6 052 1649 1253 16 090 12 087 10*076 12*073 11 066 1253 983 17 082 12*078 10*075 12*072 13 068 983 820 14*078 10*075 9 074 10 071 11 067 820 728 8*076 7 074 7 075 7 072 6*068 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography