DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.1 - - 59.4 - - 64.6 - - 64.1 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 202 - - 251 - - 117 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 297 - - 1061 - - 1377 - - 1123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1093 - - 1396 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1009 - - 1774 - - 2090 - - 1836 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 785 - - 403 - - 387 - - 547 - - 867 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 248 - - 292 - - 214 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 254 - - 257 - - 264 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 279 - - -62 - - -561 - - -832 - - -604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 731 - - 1836 - - 2652 - - 2668 - - 1333 sfcLCL ODpotential 189 - - -9288 - - -8732 - - -9387 - - -10429 ODpotential blCL 820 - - 11062 - - 10822 - - 11223 - - 11158 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 83 - - 80 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.1 - - 59.4 - - 64.6 - - 64.1 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.4 - - 53.9 - - 55.5 - - 54.9 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 58.1 - - 63.0 - - 63.3 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.2 - - 52.9 - - 54.2 - - 53.8 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 202 - - 251 - - 117 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 297 - - 1061 - - 1377 - - 1123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 75 - - 31 - - 18 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97771 4 212 16 248 21 273 16 303 13 291 97771 90322 13 258 16 270 11 281 16 269 17 281 90322 84586 8 289 11 269 11 262 19 264 15 300 84586 79871 12 323 6 273 12 275 16 271 12 320 79871 75845 15 304 4 310 8 303 9 307 8 314 75845 72297 10 294 10 305 14 309 14 332 10 324 72297 69086 14 331 12 307 14 305 11 335 12 319 69086 66131 19 333 13 319 13 305 10 338 11 326 66131 63382 19 324 15 316 15 313 13 334 11 341 63382 60710 17 320 14 319 15 311 17 329 15 341 60710 57935 19 322 12 316 14 317 19 327 16 337 57935 55083 20 319 16 334 12 327 18 313 17 328 55083 52397 25 335 19 348 12 339 16 311 20 310 52397 50001 25 350 28 351 21 333 21 308 20 300 50001 47851 30 356 29 338 23 324 22 308 29 311 47851 45905 38 348 27 335 32 330 39 316 46 309 45905 44128 41 347 36 333 41 321 44 313 47 308 44128 42480 43 345 43 329 40 319 42 313 49 308 42480 40938 39 344 45 327 41 318 42 314 49 307 40938 39486 35 341 42 326 41 316 43 313 49 307 39486 38111 31 340 38 324 42 316 43 311 48 303 38111 36777 25 340 35 319 41 318 42 310 46 301 36777 35415 24 340 32 317 40 319 41 310 45 302 35415 33997 25 337 30 314 37 315 40 311 45 303 33997 32526 26 334 27 304 35 310 39 311 44 305 32526 30987 25 329 28 299 33 306 37 306 41 305 30987 29367 25 323 25 295 28 297 34 301 39 303 29367 27667 24 317 21 297 25 291 32 298 38 306 27667 25887 22 313 24 304 26 289 26 296 34 307 25887 24032 20 306 25 303 27 289 24 296 25 296 24032 22102 18 299 21 300 25 295 22 295 24 290 22102 20088 16 292 20 295 21 296 21 295 24 297 20088 17984 15 281 17 290 18 296 19 293 19 295 17984 15835 16 276 14 280 14 290 17 298 17 294 15835 13764 14 276 12 276 13 283 13 298 12 303 13764 11879 11 277 11 275 12 281 12 300 10 315 11879 10205 9 283 9 274 11 278 11 303 9 322 10205 8721 8 291 8 275 10 279 9 306 8 330 8721 7405 7 298 8 283 7 285 7 316 6 343 7405 6239 8 306 7 298 5 305 5 326 6 349 6239 5208 7 316 6 308 4 322 5 325 6 346 5208 4302 7 324 7 311 5 320 5 314 7 339 4302 3504 8 311 8 308 6 299 7 296 8 327 3504 2792 13 298 10 293 9 275 10 280 9 309 2792 2166 15 293 11*271 10*261 11*269 11 290 2166 1649 13 279 11*257 11*258 11*265 12 268 1649 1256 11*262 11 254 11 257 11 264 11 253 1256 986 10*258 11 254 10 257 11 263 10 248 986 823 8 257 10 253 10 256 10 263 8*246 823 729 6 255 8 254 8 256 8 262 5*244 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography