DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.4 - - 66.0 - - 72.4 - - 72.2 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 170 - - 219 - - 109 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 124 - - 1038 - - 1585 - - 1162 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1012 - - 1509 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 837 - - 1750 - - 2298 - - 1875 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 357 - - 491 - - 703 - - 921 - - 828 Hgt.Variab. W* 61 - - 236 - - 295 - - 213 - - 13 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 276 - - 282 - - 279 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1347 - - -2167 - - -3066 - - -3792 - - -2276 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2184 - - 3917 - - 5364 - - 5668 - - 3005 sfcLCL ODpotential -10914 - - -9030 - - -8798 - - -9016 - - -9776 ODpotential blCL 11751 - - 10780 - - 11096 - - 10891 - - 10505 blCL maxRH 75 - - 62 - - 52 - - 47 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.4 - - 66.0 - - 72.4 - - 72.2 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.5 - - 51.5 - - 51.6 - - 50.1 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 64.8 - - 71.0 - - 71.4 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.7 - - 50.2 - - 50.3 - - 48.9 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 170 - - 219 - - 109 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 124 - - 1038 - - 1585 - - 1162 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98265 8 280 11 286 1 156 8 240 14 283 98265 90752 4 165 11 261 6 251 6 297 8 270 90752 84979 2 145 9 205 9 241 8 285 1 103 84979 80215 3 059 8 190 8 231 9 284 7 019 80215 76132 6 052 4 181 6 228 3 305 7 009 76132 72546 6 011 1 316 7 283 5 332 3 017 72546 69304 6 011 7 173 11 252 8 293 7 317 69304 66324 15 314 10 298 10 276 12 288 19 299 66324 63555 24 280 18 291 15 277 14 275 21 293 63555 60848 21 268 21 272 23 278 21 275 27 282 60848 58010 19 276 26 274 29 277 28 275 32 277 58010 55070 32 275 32 283 32 281 33 278 37 278 55070 52280 41 268 40 281 40 279 42 279 42 277 52280 49777 45 267 43 271 47 274 51 277 50 278 49777 47543 45 270 46 270 53 272 58 278 54 279 47543 45531 50 280 53 275 59 277 62 280 57 281 45531 43704 57 282 60 282 66 281 67 281 58 285 43704 42029 62 285 67 284 72 282 71 282 60 289 42029 40482 66 286 71 282 74 281 73 284 62 292 40482 39040 63 285 70 281 75 281 70 286 58 294 39040 37686 59 284 69 281 74 281 63 289 51 300 37686 36375 57 284 67 281 73 283 57 294 49 303 36375 35039 55 283 66 283 73 284 50 300 49 297 35039 33648 52 283 64 283 72 285 45 305 48 296 33648 32205 51 283 61 283 69 286 43 308 48 298 32205 30693 51 283 57 282 64 288 42 307 48 298 30693 29100 51 283 54 283 58 290 41 306 46 299 29100 27424 50 284 51 285 49 292 40 307 41 299 27424 25666 45 288 50 286 42 296 38 307 37 298 25666 23830 41 291 48 291 38 299 34 306 33 299 23830 21916 37 291 46 293 35 301 32 308 33 305 21916 19919 34 293 39 291 33 300 29 313 31 310 19919 17838 32 298 32 291 28 302 23 317 26 311 17838 15721 27 299 24 299 21 313 20 320 21 312 15721 13683 25 307 19 310 18 323 19 329 20 316 13683 11828 22 322 17 320 16 329 18 336 20 322 11828 10177 18 335 16 329 15 337 17 338 20 331 10177 8707 15 343 15 337 14 346 17 342 19 338 8707 7401 15 350 13 349 13 355 16 345 17 341 7401 6243 17 349 13 358 12 359 14 349 14 342 6243 5217 19 342 15 359 12 001 12 349 13 338 5217 4312 17 339 14 002 12 357 12 340 13 331 4312 3515 16 360 15 012 12 349 14 322 15 330 3515 2802 20 010 14 010 11*328 15 309 19 330 2802 2176 16 357 9*348 10*290 13*297 19 324 2176 1656 12 330 6*285 10 284 12*284 15 307 1656 1260 8 305 7 276 10 280 12 280 11 275 1260 988 6*256 7 273 10 278 11 278 10 262 988 823 4*237 6 272 9 277 11 276 8 256 823 729 3 233 6 270 8 275 8 274 5*251 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography