DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 58.2 - - 57.2 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 66 - - -25 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 115 - - 307 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 827 - - 1020 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 271 - - 272 - - 418 - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 118 - - 18 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 077 - - 075 - - 068 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -12 - - -6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2045 - - -1883 - - -1931 - - -1703 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2872 - - 2904 - - 2660 - - 2432 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14731 - - -12490 - - -12390 - - -14317 ODpotential blCL - - - 15558 - - 13510 - - 13119 - - 15046 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 67 - - 63 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 58.2 - - 57.2 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.7 - - 48.3 - - 48.3 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 57.8 - - 58.3 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 47.1 - - 47.3 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 66 - - -25 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 115 - - 307 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96450 41 094 28 075 30 092 43 089 96450 89462 42 086 28 101 32 083 38 098 89462 84028 31 096 26 104 30 085 28 089 84028 79495 22 110 21 100 18 089 22 081 79495 75562 20 112 19 100 8 115 12 063 75562 72064 22 094 20 105 6 097 8 063 72064 68887 18 062 19 093 10 085 7 076 68887 65958 8 038 9 063 14 066 7 077 65958 63236 3 313 5 354 15 051 14 064 63236 60618 2 149 8 323 13 017 17 027 60618 57918 12 037 9 003 11 352 15 360 57918 55133 13 360 13 001 13 353 15 331 55133 52467 8 340 13 342 15 331 15 325 52467 50046 4 347 8 332 15 312 17 336 50046 47855 2 020 4 334 9 304 17 336 47855 45855 5 036 5 032 3 358 11 330 45855 44009 11 077 6 095 2 031 7 322 44009 42293 16 041 15 067 12 065 3 054 42293 40704 11 239 6 333 19 054 21 049 40704 39233 19 189 14 209 4 290 13 021 39233 37864 13 165 13 181 7 177 3 142 37864 36549 9 163 12 185 7 156 8 157 36549 35208 12 178 12 183 6 154 7 070 35208 33813 14 173 9 163 6 142 13 055 33813 32370 14 162 9 130 6 121 11 072 32370 30861 14 155 11 130 7 137 9 082 30861 29268 14 151 12 137 8 142 8 096 29268 27594 13 145 11 144 8 107 8 091 27594 25837 14 154 10 147 7 088 14 063 25837 23997 11 160 6 107 10 055 19 066 23997 22078 7 119 13 063 19 061 19 079 22078 20073 15 070 20 068 20 072 18 088 20073 17977 20 076 19 085 18 083 19 089 17977 15832 22 083 18 096 18 086 21 093 15832 13760 21 081 18 098 19 096 21 096 13760 11876 19 087 16 104 16 108 17 101 11876 10206 13 101 11 115 8 113 10 101 10206 8728 6 136 5 178 2 197 4 094 8728 7415 9 210 10 212 6 224 1 152 7415 6250 14 211 14 204 7 211 3 200 6250 5219 15 205 15 202 8 208 4 213 5219 4312 14 201 14 200 7 198 4 214 4312 3512 11 191 11 190 6 182 3 200 3512 2799 8 178 9 172 6 173 2 189 2799 2171 6 161 9 140 6 137 4 092 2171 1651 10 125 13 099 11 099 8 070 1651 1255 16 089 16*078 17 078 17 063 1255 984 15*080 16*075 14 069 18 060 984 821 13*077 14 075 11 068 15*059 821 729 9 077 10 076 7*068 8*059 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography