DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1900z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.4 - - 72.2 - - 77.1 - - 74.2 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 75 - - 400 - - 534 - - 358 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 1063 - - 1209 - - 952 - - 357 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1265 - - 1424 - - 1164 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1050 - - 1775 - - 1921 - - 1664 - - 1069 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 609 - - 427 - - 383 - - 328 - - 544 Hgt.Variab. W* 119 - - 304 - - 349 - - 283 - - 86 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 264 - - 274 - - 278 - - 280 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 8 - - -2788 - - -4672 - - -3868 - - -1300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1042 - - 4563 - - 6594 - - 5533 - - 2369 sfcLCL ODpotential -11565 - - -11877 - - -14560 - - -14282 - - -13623 ODpotential blCL 12615 - - 13652 - - 16481 - - 15946 - - 14692 blCL maxRH 97 - - 67 - - 50 - - 57 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.4 - - 72.2 - - 77.1 - - 74.2 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.2 - - 55.0 - - 51.3 - - 53.0 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 70.1 - - 74.5 - - 72.3 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.2 - - 54.9 - - 51.1 - - 52.9 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 75 - - 400 - - 534 - - 358 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 1063 - - 1209 - - 952 - - 357 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98988 39 097 37 104 37 105 35 112 35 104 98988 91521 32 099 31 101 29 105 31 106 29 108 91521 85782 28 098 27 100 27 108 26 101 27 104 85782 81032 24 094 23 099 24 108 22 101 27 097 81032 76936 23 090 20 099 23 110 19 092 23 094 76936 73313 19 080 18 103 22 108 18 098 21 093 73313 70039 15 096 19 106 19 110 17 103 18 090 70039 67044 15 104 18 108 15 115 14 112 15 086 67044 64282 11 087 14 118 13 118 12 112 12 083 64282 61616 11 096 13 112 11 116 11 114 9 098 61616 58850 11 090 10 080 10 118 11 128 9 121 58850 56005 6 200 3 274 2 048 6 125 5 110 56005 53313 14 199 17 220 15 239 11 248 6 249 53313 50907 11 225 20 231 18 238 16 247 13 246 50907 48750 23 236 29 233 32 245 30 264 23 262 48750 46788 31 228 31 237 39 238 42 249 34 260 46788 44987 37 242 37 245 43 244 47 245 45 250 44987 43316 45 247 41 246 48 245 52 246 49 244 43316 41749 47 244 43 248 48 243 54 245 49 243 41749 40269 47 243 44 247 47 243 52 245 50 247 40269 38867 48 247 45 248 47 245 52 248 50 252 38867 37506 49 246 47 248 47 248 52 251 50 255 37506 36117 51 248 48 248 49 252 53 252 50 260 36117 34672 53 258 49 250 51 255 53 258 49 268 34672 33173 56 262 49 256 51 260 55 264 52 276 33173 31603 55 267 50 264 51 267 56 271 54 278 31603 29950 43 259 47 262 46 265 51 273 52 279 29950 28216 38 246 43 254 40 255 41 264 43 273 28216 26405 36 248 39 251 36 251 34 259 36 267 26405 24520 30 251 31 254 29 255 28 259 30 263 24520 22558 23 252 26 260 25 263 25 264 26 261 22558 20507 18 259 23 265 24 272 23 273 23 268 20507 18361 14 240 17 257 18 273 17 271 18 261 18361 16165 15 214 14 226 11 255 10 256 15 251 16165 14050 15 205 14 209 9 235 8 229 11 233 14050 12133 14 197 12 197 8 220 7 218 7 208 12133 10432 9 193 9 186 8 207 6 209 6 178 10432 8919 6 218 6 190 6 196 6 203 5 176 8919 7569 7 243 5 202 5 185 6 193 4 203 7569 6369 6 247 4 202 5 178 7 195 5 228 6369 5306 5 246 4 208 6 188 8 205 7 248 5306 4371 4 250 4 221 7 208 9 227 9 271 4371 3550 5 252 7 232 10 227 11 248 11 279 3550 2821 8 242 9 247 11 241 13 258 13 278 2821 2184 12 263 10*261 12*257 14 269 15 278 2184 1660 14 272 12*272 14*276 16*279 15 278 1660 1262 13*272 12 274 15 279 16*281 15*275 1262 989 10*265 12 275 14 278 15 280 13*274 989 823 8 264 11 274 13 278 14 279 11 272 823 728 7 264 9 273 11 277 11 278 8 271 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography