DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.1 - - 52.5 - - 54.6 - - 51.9 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 36 - - 53 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 790 - - 3566 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 2054 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1502 - - 4279 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 857 - - 4025 - - 3113 - - 5094 - - 2852 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 131 - - 252 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 12 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 230 - - 259 - - 259 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -84 - - -31 - - 1732 - - -786 - - -292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 812 - - 1533 - - 2548 - - 1514 - - 1020 sfcLCL ODpotential -1964 - - -691 - - 601 - - -1313 - - -1780 ODpotential blCL 2692 - - 2193 - - 3678 - - 2041 - - 2508 blCL maxRH 97 - - 90 - - 87 - - 89 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 270 - - 310 - - 300 - - 460 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m 45.1 - - 52.5 - - 54.6 - - 51.9 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.2 - - 48.5 - - 46.0 - - 47.9 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 52.3 - - 54.1 - - 52.5 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.7 - - 47.5 - - 44.8 - - 46.9 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 36 - - 53 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 790 - - 3566 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 60 - - 50 - - 56 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96263 38 298 41 291 42 298 38 289 38 291 96263 89076 28 312 23 313 20 309 19 296 24 292 89076 83521 25 306 21 319 17 312 14 321 18 310 83521 78901 13 309 14 309 16 305 18 310 18 309 78901 74920 17 312 11 321 16 286 21 299 14 328 74920 71397 20 288 16 333 10 291 19 285 16 327 71397 68202 12 297 18 307 13 344 12 288 14 282 68202 65257 13 308 23 273 25 297 19 313 10 315 65257 62505 14 285 21 268 30 273 29 301 21 321 62505 59834 21 282 13 273 24 271 32 291 29 303 59834 57051 25 279 19 299 21 279 29 282 28 294 57051 54151 42 281 34 283 29 284 29 279 30 284 54151 51369 48 277 44 276 40 282 35 281 34 284 51369 48858 50 275 49 273 48 275 43 276 39 289 48858 46595 59 268 53 268 50 268 44 274 40 285 46595 44528 65 264 55 268 50 267 48 276 45 273 44528 42628 67 265 61 270 56 269 56 274 52 267 42628 40872 73 267 71 269 63 269 62 271 57 268 40872 39242 85 264 80 264 70 267 66 268 60 269 39242 37725 92 260 84 259 76 264 71 264 62 268 37725 36307 90 256 80 256 80 260 72 261 63 267 36307 34948 85 257 75 263 80 258 73 264 64 267 34948 33587 85 257 84 265 78 261 76 268 68 266 33587 32193 89 256 87 263 82 265 80 268 73 263 32193 30765 90 255 82 262 84 263 81 265 74 260 30765 29285 85 255 79 262 81 259 82 261 74 260 29285 27742 79 257 80 261 79 261 78 260 75 260 27742 26133 78 258 79 260 76 262 73 262 74 261 26133 24456 79 259 71 262 67 264 65 264 70 265 24456 22711 78 259 59 266 59 268 55 269 56 268 22711 20901 69 262 42 273 52 268 49 271 44 270 20901 19014 50 268 37 281 49 267 43 270 37 270 19014 17041 39 277 36 278 43 265 40 268 32 266 17041 15026 34 280 31 269 37 263 33 265 29 266 15026 13085 32 277 29 270 32 265 26 261 23 271 13085 11321 24 265 26 272 23 272 21 266 16 271 11321 9753 23 262 23 269 21 280 18 273 12 270 9753 8358 22 267 21 268 19 277 17 282 8 272 8358 7118 22 272 18 268 19 271 15 288 5 272 7118 6015 21 272 18 272 18 271 14 288 6 261 6015 5038 19 267 18 271 15*267 11 275 7 255 5038 4176 18 265 17 265 13*263 8 261 8 251 4176 3416 18 266 17 263 13 261 8 258 7 247 3416 2735 18 267 16 261 12 259 8 257 7 247 2735 2133 17 264 15 255 11 258 7 258 7 243 2133 1632 14 255 12*246 11 257 7 259 6 237 1632 1246 11 240 10*233 11 257 7 260 6 230 1246 981 9 225 9 229 10 257 6 259 6 222 981 820 7 213 8 228 9 257 5 259 4 198 820 728 3*202 6 227 7 256 3*259 3*182 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography