DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 56.4 - - 52.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 63 - - -7 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 130 - - 574 - - 128 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 842 - - 1286 - - 841 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 327 - - 423 - - 500 - - 107 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 61 - - 142 - - 36 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 070 - - 071 - - 068 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2029 - - -2202 - - -1722 - - -1659 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2871 - - 3488 - - 2563 - - 2388 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12156 - - -11591 - - -11563 - - -13686 ODpotential blCL - - - 12998 - - 12877 - - 12404 - - 14414 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 61 - - 67 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 56.4 - - 52.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 44.1 - - 44.7 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 55.9 - - 53.3 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 42.9 - - 43.7 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 63 - - -7 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 130 - - 574 - - 128 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96311 34 057 38 073 44 071 41 072 96311 89449 43 079 45 084 44 081 34 077 89449 84026 40 079 38 092 40 085 37 090 84026 79447 29 076 30 094 31 064 37 080 79447 75498 22 072 25 085 23 055 23 073 75498 72020 18 074 20 072 20 065 18 077 72020 68858 14 085 14 056 21 050 18 063 68858 65939 15 060 14 036 19 036 19 041 65939 63249 13 043 13 013 18 019 20 017 63249 60659 17 025 20 009 20 005 16 012 60659 57945 21 345 22 335 21 356 19 022 57945 55122 21 002 23 357 30 004 36 011 55122 52439 40 360 41 354 41 350 46 357 52439 50031 48 358 44 359 40 348 45 356 50031 47865 54 003 48 010 43 007 46 003 47865 45881 55 003 59 009 50 009 50 010 45881 44043 56 003 59 004 52 007 55 011 44043 42329 53 005 56 003 53 005 53 010 42329 40723 53 008 55 009 51 005 50 011 40723 39221 52 011 56 014 49 012 49 018 39221 37818 46 015 50 018 54 021 48 033 37818 36475 39 025 42 019 50 023 50 046 36475 35118 31 042 35 025 41 022 46 043 35118 33718 26 057 30 038 32 036 38 040 33718 32274 26 050 29 055 28 046 34 055 32274 30768 25 031 25 057 28 062 36 079 30768 29178 21 034 26 042 27 062 38 088 29178 27505 17 051 23 040 26 052 31 081 27505 25749 15 065 16 060 21 060 24 086 25749 23913 15 066 16 070 19 072 23 103 23913 22000 16 060 19 065 19 084 24 102 22000 20002 17 057 20 069 19 092 24 102 20002 17914 17 060 18 085 16 096 22 112 17914 15778 15 058 16 092 15 098 17 115 15778 13715 12 043 13 085 14 096 13 105 13715 11835 12 030 11 064 12 092 11 094 11835 10164 13 031 12 052 11 087 10 095 10164 8680 14 037 11 056 10 091 7 107 8680 7365 11 050 8 057 7 098 4 137 7365 6200 8 052 7 056 7 108 4 189 6200 5175 6 047 7 072 6 125 7 217 5175 4275 6 054 6 096 6 164 9 223 4275 3484 5 059 6 115 7 175 8 219 3484 2778 4 061 6 116 6 162 5 208 2778 2158 3 083 7 102 7 124 3 136 2158 1643 6 097 9*082 11 089 7 099 1643 1251 10 083 9*071 13 073 12 083 1251 982 9*073 9 071 11*069 14 072 982 820 8*070 8 070 9*068 12 067 820 728 5 070 6 069 6 068 6*066 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography