DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.6 - - 73.2 - - 85.0 - - 81.7 - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 200 - - 301 - - 124 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 613 - - 1279 - - 728 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 1359 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1327 - - 1993 - - 1442 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 330 - - 292 - - 1015 - - 573 - - 451 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 203 - - 296 - - 184 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 266 - - 281 - - 295 - - 278 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -2761 - - -6016 - - -5754 - - -3609 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 4088 - - 8009 - - 7196 - - 4339 sfcLCL ODpotential -8252 - - -9449 - - -11080 - - -11156 - - -10317 ODpotential blCL 8981 - - 10776 - - 13073 - - 12598 - - 11047 blCL maxRH 98 - - 63 - - 72 - - 71 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 150 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 62.6 - - 73.2 - - 85.0 - - 81.7 - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.1 - - 58.0 - - 52.7 - - 53.1 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.7 - - 71.8 - - 83.0 - - 80.7 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.1 - - 57.4 - - 52.1 - - 52.7 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 200 - - 301 - - 124 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 613 - - 1279 - - 728 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98142 17 073 18 070 15 138 3 166 2 268 98142 90771 8 062 18 098 13 133 7 150 1 184 90771 85097 10 109 13 097 8 099 16 105 6 096 85097 80413 11 087 11 089 9 103 13 090 13 082 80413 76379 10 075 11 092 12 098 9 093 12 080 76379 72816 11 108 10 109 13 077 14 105 11 096 72816 69597 13 104 11 118 11 105 13 105 12 107 69597 66646 11 093 9 111 7 130 7 050 10 095 66646 63928 8 084 8 080 8 121 3 038 6 105 63928 61305 4 030 3 015 4 080 6 068 8 114 61305 58567 1 289 3 247 3 255 6 302 4 007 58567 55733 3 240 6 228 9 241 15 256 14 279 55733 53044 12 268 7 253 10 244 17 234 16 254 53044 50623 15 266 10 253 13 248 16 231 15 250 50623 48439 18 256 15 240 17 239 19 232 17 234 48439 46449 19 245 18 237 18 237 18 231 18 223 46449 44616 21 247 20 241 22 235 17 248 16 235 44616 42909 24 245 22 236 24 231 22 246 18 243 42909 41313 24 237 24 231 25 229 28 234 22 234 41313 39820 25 230 25 226 26 225 35 225 26 237 39820 38423 26 227 24 219 26 219 46 222 40 241 38423 37076 25 226 23 216 26 218 60 221 53 227 37076 35701 22 225 22 215 26 217 61 222 52 219 35701 34270 19 223 21 214 26 215 52 228 42 223 34270 32784 18 218 20 212 27 214 31 225 40 242 32784 31234 17 210 19 207 27 210 24 227 20 234 31234 29607 17 201 19 199 25 206 20 232 15 211 29607 27900 18 191 19 191 23 209 16 230 14 201 27900 26111 18 184 18 184 21 209 15 216 14 201 26111 24242 17 178 17 177 17 189 15 200 11 196 24242 22300 15 178 15 172 16 169 12 173 7 147 22300 20279 11 170 14 160 11 161 14 148 16 147 20279 18174 11 160 15 159 9 184 11 145 16 152 18174 16029 11 158 14 183 10 201 8 187 12 134 16029 13959 11 152 16 202 14 217 12 218 5 122 13959 12072 10 158 15 207 15 221 12 229 2 166 12072 10388 8 209 14 215 13 217 9 219 4 198 10388 8889 12 240 12 226 10 217 7 213 5 204 8889 7556 11 243 9 245 6 221 4 211 4 226 7556 6371 7 225 5 250 3 230 3 212 6 238 6371 5322 5 180 2 185 3 217 3 236 8 246 5322 4398 6 113 4 116 2 186 3 266 9 260 4398 3584 9 086 6 085 2 084 3 301 10 271 3584 2856 7 081 5 052 3 018 5 312 11 279 2856 2214 1 350 3 359 4*328 7 300 12 283 2214 1680 9 301 4*300 6*303 10*286 14 284 1680 1273 11 308 4*286 7 297 10*280 12 278 1273 995 8 308 5 282 7 292 10 278 9 265 995 826 4 298 4 279 7 290 9 276 6*254 826 730 1*266 4 277 6 289 8 275 3*239 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography