DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 53.6 - - 50.7 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 43 - - -7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 318 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 728 - - 1030 - - 728 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 246 - - 474 - - 772 - - 539 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 100 - - 13 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 11 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 084 - - 087 - - 083 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - -7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1539 - - -53 - - -269 - - -11 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2267 - - 1083 - - 997 - - 741 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10297 - - -5216 - - -6220 - - -5237 ODpotential blCL - - - 11025 - - 6246 - - 6948 - - 5966 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 53.6 - - 50.7 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.3 - - 51.4 - - 48.8 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 53.1 - - 50.9 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 50.8 - - 48.6 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 43 - - -7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 318 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 99 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96174 41 025 30 034 29 050 21 046 96174 89145 30 033 22 037 23 052 21 062 89145 83684 17 043 18 036 17 060 16 049 83684 79151 11 068 18 039 17 072 13 073 79151 75236 12 081 15 044 17 055 14 084 75236 71759 11 081 11 055 11 040 13 067 71759 68591 9 078 10 066 4 042 8 043 68591 65666 6 042 7 075 3 187 6 345 65666 62943 5 342 3 279 6 201 6 302 62943 60296 1 252 9 268 3 246 7 261 60296 57527 6 175 8 226 11 273 7 262 57527 54644 5 168 10 193 17 229 11 262 54644 51896 9 220 13 194 17 205 21 241 51896 49432 16 227 8 226 11 211 21 217 49432 47229 41 207 34 218 27 231 22 224 47229 45241 44 202 49 211 39 221 30 230 45241 43434 88 200 69 205 56 205 43 211 43434 41774 94 198 79 200 59 194 51 201 41774 40235 89 197 78 195 64 188 55 192 40235 38798 85 197 63 189 69 185 57 184 38798 37444 69 194 50 181 70 179 60 182 37444 36130 51 192 50 178 62 177 58 181 36130 34791 51 189 51 177 51 179 54 181 34791 33398 50 186 49 179 51 177 52 179 33398 31953 45 185 40 183 49 177 52 176 31953 30442 45 188 41 185 46 180 50 174 30442 28852 43 190 40 188 46 185 43 170 28852 27181 41 182 37 193 42 188 40 169 27181 25427 41 173 36 194 34 187 37 171 25427 23593 38 169 34 190 26 187 33 176 23593 21684 30 166 33 177 22 195 30 180 21684 19693 25 165 36 162 22 202 26 187 19693 17617 22 168 31 160 21 206 27 190 17617 15503 18 172 25 174 23 206 27 187 15503 13470 15 175 31 186 31 208 24 192 13470 11625 17 167 34 182 37 207 24 205 11625 9990 21 161 33 173 37 198 29 205 9990 8540 23 163 29 170 37 192 33 198 8540 7254 22 163 27 168 38 187 37 192 7254 6115 21 164 29 165 37 182 38 188 6115 5109 20 167 30 163 35 175 37 183 5109 4226 20 172 29 162 34 169 37 176 4226 3447 20 177 25 163 33 163 37 170 3447 2754 20 182 20 160 30 153 33 164 2754 2143 20 183 15 148 25 138 26 156 2143 1635 18 180 12 118 21 115 18 134 1635 1247 13 167 13*091 19 095 15 104 1247 981 9 129 13*088 16 086 13 085 981 820 6 102 11 088 14 084 11*081 820 729 3*084 8 086 9*083 7*078 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography