DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 59.1 - - 58.9 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 232 - - 132 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 827 - - 1282 - - 1223 - - 805 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1301 - - 954 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1540 - - 1994 - - 1936 - - 1517 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 810 - - 525 - - 597 - - 634 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 277 - - 227 - - 84 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 262 - - 282 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 504 - - 89 - - -120 - - 294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1036 - - 1905 - - 2056 - - 1223 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 414 - - -5976 - - -6072 - - -60 ODpotential blCL - - - 1126 - - 7970 - - 8008 - - 1577 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 90 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 59.1 - - 58.9 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 53.2 - - 52.3 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 57.5 - - 57.9 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 52.0 - - 51.3 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 232 - - 132 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 827 - - 1282 - - 1223 - - 805 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 74 - - 59 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97438 12 242 17 245 26 259 22 269 97438 89999 13 255 15 256 18 261 20 265 89999 84362 12 284 13 282 11 262 13 260 84362 79723 11 296 17 290 12 303 8 268 79723 75718 9 311 14 290 16 309 12 301 75718 72173 10 320 9 300 15 308 13 314 72173 68949 9 315 11 283 16 299 15 316 68949 65970 8 312 12 289 17 301 16 307 65970 63200 12 303 14 290 18 296 17 292 63200 60510 17 296 16 286 18 287 19 283 60510 57697 19 300 19 292 20 288 20 290 57697 54762 25 290 23 288 22 283 23 283 54762 51946 29 274 28 278 24 277 24 270 51946 49407 30 267 31 267 30 272 25 267 49407 47139 29 266 32 264 37 260 31 261 47139 45097 29 263 35 260 36 247 37 251 45097 43240 34 261 37 261 37 252 38 251 43240 41534 42 255 45 256 44 256 42 251 41534 39960 48 254 48 252 49 251 46 246 39960 38503 58 253 51 250 52 245 49 246 38503 37145 57 245 53 245 50 243 52 246 37145 35845 54 246 49 238 46 239 49 239 35845 34530 57 247 50 240 45 234 44 232 34530 33165 57 243 51 238 45 231 41 227 33165 31745 54 240 51 235 45 230 41 223 31745 30258 52 236 50 232 44 227 40 219 30258 28693 48 233 47 227 43 222 38 214 28693 27049 45 231 44 225 41 217 37 210 27049 25326 42 229 41 226 38 216 36 207 25326 23525 40 228 38 223 36 216 35 206 23525 21645 38 227 36 219 36 214 34 204 21645 19681 33 221 34 213 35 208 34 202 19681 17630 29 211 32 205 35 203 37 196 17630 15537 30 200 34 200 35 199 37 192 15537 13517 31 197 34 197 33 197 35 188 13517 11677 30 195 34 192 32 192 33 185 11677 10042 29 191 32 186 31 190 31 182 10042 8590 27 187 31 184 30 189 28 180 8590 7299 27 185 28 187 28 188 26 177 7299 6151 26 187 24 193 26 186 24 175 6151 5134 25 193 21 199 24 184 22 177 5134 4238 22 200 17 201 22 187 18 189 4238 3451 20 208 15 207 17 198 14 210 3451 2753 16 229 12 224 12 225 11 250 2753 2141 14 251 11*252 11*273 13 279 2141 1636 13*255 11*260 12*281 13*283 1636 1249 12*256 11 262 12 282 13*283 1249 983 11 257 10 264 11 282 11 283 983 821 10 257 9 263 11 282 10 282 821 729 8 257 8 264 8 282 7 282 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography