DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 90.3 - - 86.0 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 206 - - 60 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 424 - - 1326 - - 634 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1281 - - 714 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1138 - - 2040 - - 1348 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 409 - - 1278 - - 665 - - 193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 157 - - 266 - - 139 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 318 - - 301 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5645 - - -7750 - - -6997 - - -3517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6783 - - 9790 - - 8345 - - 4247 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10507 - - -11812 - - -11951 - - -11648 ODpotential blCL - - - 11645 - - 13852 - - 13299 - - 12378 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 40 - - 32 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 90.3 - - 86.0 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 50.1 - - 52.3 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 88.8 - - 85.5 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 49.5 - - 51.8 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 206 - - 60 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 424 - - 1326 - - 634 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97859 4 268 15 232 14 290 5 285 97859 90575 5 120 7 234 3 241 3 007 90575 84963 2 107 2 169 7 153 4 028 84963 80302 5 088 5 106 8 136 6 089 80302 76297 11 102 6 069 9 092 10 093 76297 72776 13 113 5 049 10 070 15 083 72776 69604 13 105 5 122 8 031 12 072 69604 66693 12 094 9 171 6 330 9 060 66693 63995 4 076 8 170 7 262 3 313 63995 61392 4 218 4 161 8 244 11 271 61392 58694 12 278 11 264 18 262 19 272 58694 55902 22 282 22 271 25 274 27 274 55902 53244 41 278 42 278 41 283 40 282 53244 50852 52 279 53 279 52 283 51 283 50852 48698 59 283 58 283 56 284 54 287 48698 46725 63 285 60 286 59 285 58 289 46725 44899 65 284 63 285 64 286 62 289 44899 43194 66 284 64 286 66 288 65 289 43194 41594 67 287 61 288 64 289 68 289 41594 40089 64 290 53 290 58 289 69 289 40089 38671 58 292 48 291 54 288 68 289 38671 37300 53 291 47 290 52 287 62 287 37300 35908 49 289 46 288 50 287 58 284 35908 34463 48 289 45 287 48 288 53 284 34463 32968 47 291 46 289 47 290 47 289 32968 31408 46 290 47 291 47 293 43 292 31408 29770 40 290 45 291 42 294 37 292 29770 28050 33 286 39 291 35 292 32 290 28050 26246 26 289 31 287 31 290 28 291 26246 24362 16 292 21 287 24 295 21 291 24362 22402 10 281 13 277 16 292 16 298 22402 20360 6 283 8 262 10 288 10 301 20360 18235 1 253 2 263 4 266 4 278 18235 16074 2 119 1 186 2 202 2 131 16074 13994 1 165 3 159 4 160 7 156 13994 12101 5 179 6 163 7 159 11 160 12101 10420 7 165 7 164 7 171 10 163 10420 8924 4 149 3 153 5 182 6 171 8924 7592 2 112 3 032 1 198 1 141 7592 6408 5 021 6 003 3 349 2 023 6408 5357 8 011 9 001 7 344 4 002 5357 4430 9 014 12 358 11 345 7 354 4430 3610 10 017 12 356 13 347 10 348 3610 2876 9 019 9 355 13 346 13 341 2876 2228 7 017 7*345 11 336 14 332 2228 1688 4 350 7*329 9*317 13 320 1688 1277 4*309 7 320 8*305 11 308 1277 996 4*295 6 314 8 301 9 297 996 827 4 290 6 312 8 299 6*288 827 730 3 289 5 309 6 297 4*274 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography