DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 87.3 - - 83.9 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 230 - - 79 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 638 - - 1885 - - 985 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1712 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1351 - - 2599 - - 1699 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 702 - - 1011 - - 964 - - 287 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 309 - - 176 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 17 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 276 - - 301 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5985 - - -7876 - - -7178 - - -3681 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7336 - - 10475 - - 8878 - - 4411 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15381 - - -15528 - - -15032 - - -14978 ODpotential blCL - - - 16732 - - 18127 - - 16731 - - 15708 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 25 - - 30 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 87.3 - - 83.9 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 44.2 - - 47.9 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.3 - - 85.6 - - 83.1 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 43.4 - - 47.3 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 230 - - 79 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 638 - - 1885 - - 985 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98083 9 341 9 022 2 252 9 002 98083 90788 6 033 3 082 2 346 6 023 90788 85143 5 007 3 056 5 004 5 054 85143 80459 6 318 4 349 5 031 7 055 80459 76442 3 245 7 305 6 006 10 048 76442 72901 8 167 6 288 8 349 11 016 72901 69695 8 164 6 242 8 295 12 333 69695 66750 5 148 6 208 11 247 12 298 66750 64019 3 319 3 219 9 228 13 270 64019 61376 8 285 8 273 8 260 12 264 61376 58629 14 276 15 272 17 279 17 287 58629 55802 19 291 21 284 25 283 24 287 55802 53118 24 299 25 292 30 282 30 285 53118 50703 27 302 30 294 35 285 37 288 50703 48528 28 300 31 295 37 287 43 289 48528 46541 27 297 30 292 36 290 44 289 46541 44705 25 290 29 289 35 292 42 289 44705 42999 22 290 29 289 35 292 39 289 42999 41407 21 299 27 289 32 290 38 287 41407 39916 22 309 23 291 28 291 32 286 39916 38516 20 305 19 295 24 291 23 293 38516 37166 16 289 18 285 18 288 21 297 37166 35794 14 286 18 269 16 286 19 297 35794 34369 12 292 17 267 16 284 17 298 34369 32890 11 298 14 278 15 296 14 310 32890 31343 12 315 13 311 14 327 13 328 31343 29717 14 346 13 347 13 346 12 332 29717 28012 15 012 13 006 10 357 8 330 28012 26224 15 026 12 014 9 000 6 322 26224 24354 15 026 12 014 10 358 7 331 24354 22403 14 019 14 011 13 355 9 345 22403 20366 12 006 12 008 13 001 10 005 20366 18239 12 350 11 358 12 008 8 020 18239 16068 13 343 11 355 10 009 7 019 16068 13976 13 343 12 355 10 012 7 015 13976 12073 10 340 10 351 10 017 8 022 12073 10381 8 000 6 348 9 015 8 034 10381 8878 7 027 3 027 7 015 6 036 8878 7544 6 032 3 056 6 026 5 017 7544 6360 7 024 4 064 6 037 5 008 6360 5313 8 017 4 045 4 036 7 009 5313 4392 8 012 3 019 3 021 7 008 4392 3578 6 002 2 353 4 015 7 011 3578 2852 3 330 2*310 4 360 5 011 2852 2211 2 270 2*292 5*333 4 350 2211 1677 2*258 3 281 8*306 5 308 1677 1270 2*270 4 273 8 302 8 292 1270 993 2 264 4 271 8 299 8 289 993 825 2 262 4 268 8 299 7*287 825 730 2 260 4 268 6 296 3*279 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography