DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.9 - - 52.4 - - 50.6 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 64 - - -5 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 249 - - 926 - - 586 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 960 - - 1638 - - 1297 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 546 - - 516 - - 839 - - 213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 168 - - 58 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 053 - - 055 - - 065 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -5 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3050 - - -2356 - - -1506 - - -1103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4010 - - 3994 - - 2804 - - 1831 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10685 - - -8954 - - -8408 - - -10020 ODpotential blCL - - - 11645 - - 10592 - - 9705 - - 10748 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 55 - - 65 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.9 - - 52.4 - - 50.6 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.6 - - 38.1 - - 41.4 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 52.0 - - 51.0 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 36.9 - - 40.2 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 64 - - -5 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 249 - - 926 - - 586 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96202 37 268 37 279 39 283 39 272 96202 89185 18 243 31 279 25 298 21 294 89185 83751 8 299 22 285 18 318 15 331 83751 79188 13 345 8 310 8 301 8 328 79188 75215 14 338 9 001 4 296 7 323 75215 71688 14 315 16 323 16 322 19 334 71688 68506 10 314 14 306 18 313 17 333 68506 65575 13 338 19 336 21 333 21 356 65575 62848 24 339 27 329 28 333 25 342 62848 60207 24 343 27 340 23 343 29 347 60207 57462 33 357 34 351 29 001 36 351 57462 54626 41 351 43 347 45 356 36 003 54626 51909 46 349 52 349 49 000 47 354 51909 49451 49 351 57 350 63 358 55 348 49451 47241 54 357 56 356 71 354 65 353 47241 45221 58 360 57 359 68 352 65 352 45221 43373 60 359 56 360 65 352 64 353 43373 41688 62 359 60 001 62 355 58 349 41688 40155 66 359 65 001 62 003 52 001 40155 38736 66 356 66 004 66 009 56 013 38736 37397 60 352 68 006 69 010 63 008 37397 36096 54 353 67 006 70 010 63 009 36096 34768 53 355 59 001 68 014 57 012 34768 33384 54 354 51 353 63 014 52 014 33384 31945 53 352 48 352 53 007 48 032 31945 30440 49 349 45 357 46 349 35 021 30440 28856 44 351 41 360 42 349 34 359 28856 27192 39 354 33 000 36 355 32 355 27192 25446 34 357 26 002 31 357 24 006 25446 23620 27 357 21 360 23 353 18 360 23620 21716 23 352 18 349 19 347 16 348 21716 19729 21 351 18 351 19 347 17 355 19729 17654 21 352 17 359 15 003 14 007 17654 15541 20 003 16 003 13 021 9 018 15541 13508 20 017 16 011 12 026 6 022 13508 11660 19 022 16 021 12 032 6 017 11660 10018 18 023 15 023 12 035 7 011 10018 8560 17 022 14 016 13 028 8 017 8560 7265 13 033 11 014 12 027 10 036 7265 6117 11 047 9 026 10 030 10 048 6117 5105 9 046 8 027 10 030 7 054 5105 4217 8 028 9 024 10 039 3 062 4217 3438 9 023 11 033 10 052 2 090 3438 2744 11 039 13 046 10 058 3 118 2744 2135 18 047 14*050 10 062 6 117 2135 1629 21 047 13*053 10*064 9 117 1629 1243 20 048 11 055 9*065 12 111 1243 978 16*051 10 056 8 066 12 101 978 819 13*052 9 057 7 065 9*090 819 728 8 054 7 057 5 066 5*080 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography