DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 53.9 - - - - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 89 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1680 - - 1627 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2392 - - 2339 - - - - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2525 - - 2643 - - - - - 2713 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 220 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 20 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 186 - - - - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 518 - - 659 - - - - - -119 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1875 - - 1680 - - - - - 847 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -196 - - 19 - - - - - -808 ODpotential blCL - - - 2588 - - 2320 - - - - - 1536 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 96 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 240 - - - - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 53.9 - - - - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 49.1 - - - - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 53.4 - - - - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 48.3 - - - - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 89 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1680 - - 1627 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 83 - - - - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96636 25 072 28 103 24 094 96636 89540 29 097 19 082 27 089 89540 84022 30 103 17 093 27 093 84022 79392 28 099 18 095 24 096 79392 75391 18 103 17 098 18 098 75391 71868 14 118 14 111 11 097 71868 68684 7 111 12 097 6 123 68684 65742 4 350 7 044 3 076 65742 62994 11 217 8 189 3 336 62994 60306 18 187 18 171 6 194 60306 57476 17 203 22 197 10 159 57476 54508 24 233 24 223 15 213 54508 51658 32 225 29 223 25 223 51658 49087 28 212 27 219 20 222 49087 46781 22 216 23 224 13 248 46781 44694 23 233 25 233 13 267 44694 42790 28 228 29 227 16 256 42790 41036 27 219 26 219 16 242 41036 39408 28 223 22 229 12 235 39408 37890 35 228 27 238 7 240 37890 36470 37 226 31 234 6 270 36470 35110 35 224 34 225 9 279 35110 33742 36 225 32 224 8 264 33742 32337 42 229 29 232 5 256 32337 30899 49 227 34 229 7 247 30899 29417 49 224 37 222 3 240 29417 27882 50 223 34 221 3 300 27882 26288 49 222 23 229 1 185 26288 24624 40 223 15 223 6 080 24624 22882 27 221 8 215 6 084 22882 21063 19 212 8 231 1 098 21063 19161 17 208 11 224 4 217 19161 17175 16 206 12 212 7 208 17175 15144 16 201 14 208 9 204 15144 13184 17 191 18 205 12 208 13184 11398 19 192 20 204 14 209 11398 9811 20 192 18 205 16 212 9811 8401 21 197 18 208 17 216 8401 7147 23 205 20 211 17 218 7147 6034 24 207 22 210 18 219 6034 5050 26 204 23 206 18 219 5050 4184 27 200 24 202 17 216 4184 3420 27 196 25 199 17 213 3420 2737 27*193 24*193 16 208 2737 2135 25*190 24*190 16 205 2135 1632 22 187 22 186 14 200 1632 1247 21 186 21 184 13 195 1247 981 18 186 19 183 11 191 981 820 16 186 17 183 8 189 820 728 11 186 11 182 4*183 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography