DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.0 - - 49.5 - - 57.5 - - 54.5 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 30 - - 58 - - -9 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 282 - - 568 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 994 - - 1281 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 188 - - 285 - - 383 - - 661 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 88 - - 137 - - 12 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 052 - - 050 - - 061 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -4 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -404 - - -1209 - - -1537 - - -945 - - -798 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1131 - - 2203 - - 2818 - - 1674 - - 1526 sfcLCL ODpotential -15167 - - -13684 - - -12038 - - -11297 - - -14071 ODpotential blCL 15894 - - 14678 - - 13319 - - 12026 - - 14799 blCL maxRH 79 - - 74 - - 69 - - 79 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.0 - - 49.5 - - 57.5 - - 54.5 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 42.9 - - 48.1 - - 50.0 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 49.2 - - 57.0 - - 55.2 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 41.8 - - 46.8 - - 49.3 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 30 - - 58 - - -9 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 282 - - 568 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96540 21 109 22 093 22 111 27 093 16 129 96540 89460 26 095 23 106 16 102 21 082 25 083 89460 83965 21 098 22 093 17 106 8 082 26 045 83965 79404 23 088 18 078 17 068 5 035 15 042 79404 75432 21 077 16 081 16 060 16 030 14 044 75432 71891 17 066 20 060 17 063 16 020 20 029 71891 68699 11 056 15 029 12 036 10 003 14 023 68699 65775 14 040 17 359 21 001 17 014 11 043 65775 63065 16 345 21 354 24 347 25 003 14 001 63065 60447 18 333 21 337 23 335 26 353 19 338 60447 57722 23 327 19 327 21 323 25 341 21 333 57722 54901 28 316 21 327 20 325 24 334 19 333 54901 52222 29 313 28 321 24 325 23 323 17 331 52222 49827 25 315 26 316 23 321 19 312 12 318 49827 47689 26 343 22 340 18 339 12 294 10 290 47689 45754 29 347 23 344 20 357 4 334 8 260 45754 43998 30 328 24 303 24 340 14 028 6 060 43998 42389 11 250 20 240 17 276 17 357 10 019 42389 40884 10 229 16 261 16 264 11 299 8 345 40884 39460 12 209 12 252 19 238 12 267 7 342 39460 38107 12 203 12 247 20 224 20 228 11 335 38107 36788 11 198 14 237 22 220 27 220 14 301 36788 35440 10 199 15 233 19 232 29 220 20 248 35440 34034 6 202 16 226 17 235 27 219 29 234 34034 32575 3 192 19 218 19 239 25 216 31 242 32575 31048 3 197 16 223 21 252 22 217 30 237 31048 29442 4 233 14 238 21 249 23 223 25 241 29442 27751 5 296 16 235 20 240 23 250 20 254 27751 25975 10 300 18 241 24 245 22 257 20 260 25975 24115 14 296 20 268 23 261 22 264 23 277 24115 22175 17 300 21 287 23 283 24 282 28 294 22175 20148 18 298 18 290 20 284 23 297 26 303 20148 18036 16 297 17 296 18 302 18 313 19 315 18036 15887 13 310 15 315 17 320 14 327 14 321 15887 13814 14 330 15 328 15 323 14 328 12 327 13814 11923 17 343 14 340 15 331 14 336 11 335 11923 10238 19 350 16 354 15 345 15 354 10 346 10238 8742 18 356 17 002 15 358 15 007 10 359 8742 7414 18 004 18 006 16 006 16 013 11 006 7414 6238 17 010 17 011 16 012 16 016 12 012 6238 5199 17 011 16 016 15 016 16 020 14 017 5199 4288 16 010 15 019 15 019 16 023 16 018 4288 3487 16 010 14 018 14 022 15 028 19 018 3487 2775 18 010 14 014 15 021 16 027 24 019 2775 2151 19 013 15 014 15 023 17 025 26 021 2151 1637 17 027 13 027 12*034 14 032 24 027 1637 1246 15 050 11*049 9*048 10 051 20 041 1246 980 14 056 9*052 8 049 8 057 15 058 980 819 11 054 7 053 8 050 7*058 12 061 819 728 5*056 5 053 6 052 4*061 5*068 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography