DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 71.5 - - 69.7 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 264 - - 398 - - 209 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1172 - - 2147 - - 1648 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1245 - - 2059 - - 1504 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1885 - - 2860 - - 2361 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 509 - - 1044 - - 889 - - 1041 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 385 - - 285 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 272 - - 275 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -875 - - -2898 - - -3148 - - -1672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2760 - - 5758 - - 5510 - - 2401 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7227 - - -9462 - - -10660 - - -9841 ODpotential blCL - - - 9112 - - 12322 - - 13021 - - 10570 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 59 - - 56 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.4 - - 71.5 - - 69.7 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 48.9 - - 48.3 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 69.2 - - 68.2 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 48.3 - - 48.0 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 264 - - 398 - - 209 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1172 - - 2147 - - 1648 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98853 9 111 13 081 11 090 10 133 98853 91444 13 111 7 134 8 044 11 065 91444 85703 15 084 10 140 4 061 14 035 85703 80948 16 078 14 076 11 114 10 046 80948 76881 11 081 8 051 15 078 16 091 76881 73280 11 082 6 079 13 060 15 071 73280 70008 7 114 7 160 8 051 10 075 70008 66998 5 048 7 158 3 288 8 023 66998 64207 12 251 1 192 7 261 8 321 64207 61507 14 213 9 259 9 241 13 256 61507 58690 9 238 16 259 17 245 21 273 58690 55778 23 264 24 259 26 252 28 267 55778 53019 35 263 29 259 26 271 24 265 53019 50554 42 266 30 274 33 285 25 284 50554 48356 48 263 38 278 33 280 29 285 48356 46358 48 261 30 279 33 283 34 277 46358 44516 43 260 26 293 31 282 36 272 44516 42806 38 262 28 301 33 281 36 271 42806 41207 35 269 29 300 34 282 36 272 41207 39705 34 268 27 302 35 283 35 270 39705 38286 30 268 24 305 33 287 35 268 38286 36914 23 282 23 306 31 294 35 268 36914 35518 21 302 22 310 29 303 30 275 35518 34074 22 310 24 314 29 314 23 279 34074 32583 22 311 24 317 31 320 19 303 32583 31029 21 299 22 315 32 321 20 326 31029 29396 23 291 21 306 32 317 22 337 29396 27682 24 270 23 298 31 310 22 334 27682 25887 29 257 23 291 27 299 25 314 25887 24014 30 256 23 282 29 295 28 301 24014 22065 31 255 22 273 28 292 29 300 22065 20038 32 251 25 261 26 277 26 292 20038 17930 29 254 29 259 28 272 25 283 17930 15779 27 253 26 260 26 269 21 278 15779 13707 24 253 22 258 22 270 18 273 13707 11829 19 254 18 257 16 271 14 269 11829 10166 13 252 14 256 13 269 11 266 10166 8691 9 243 11 250 11 264 8 262 8691 7383 7 235 9 246 9 257 7 251 7383 6223 6 236 8 251 8 251 7 238 6223 5196 6 243 8 261 8 248 7 240 5196 4294 7 254 9 280 8 257 8 250 4294 3500 8 263 10*284 10 278 9 265 3500 2792 10 269 11*278 12*281 11 281 2792 2169 11*266 11 274 12*277 13 286 2169 1653 11*264 11 272 13 275 13 277 1653 1258 11 263 11 270 12 274 12 266 1258 987 10 261 11 269 12 273 10 260 987 823 9 261 10 268 11 273 8 256 823 729 8 261 9 268 9 272 5*252 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography