DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 53.8 - - 52.8 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 54 - - 0 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1434 - - 2106 - - 180 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2146 - - 2818 - - 892 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1807 - - 2096 - - 3655 - - 2405 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 172 - - 207 - - 37 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 315 - - 295 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 459 - - 1017 - - -688 - - -356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1687 - - 1801 - - 1580 - - 1084 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1039 - - 459 - - -1107 - - -1241 ODpotential blCL - - - 3185 - - 2359 - - 1999 - - 1969 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 99 - - 99 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 60 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 53.8 - - 52.8 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 48.5 - - 48.5 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 53.5 - - 53.1 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 47.6 - - 47.9 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 54 - - 0 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1434 - - 2106 - - 180 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 96 - - 95 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96273 31 288 34 289 40 297 29 284 96273 89141 27 289 32 291 26 300 20 289 89141 83654 17 280 30 301 24 293 27 304 83654 79063 16 265 29 291 30 300 30 302 79063 75082 17 277 24 279 29 297 24 278 75082 71537 17 286 19 280 24 283 21 269 71537 68304 20 279 21 280 23 276 23 275 68304 65316 25 276 23 276 24 278 22 276 65316 62528 25 281 25 277 24 279 26 279 62528 59820 27 280 27 271 27 283 28 275 59820 56990 27 274 30 274 29 282 28 279 56990 54043 32 277 36 273 33 280 36 286 54043 51222 36 274 42 273 40 279 41 286 51222 48679 41 275 46 274 44 279 44 294 48679 46407 49 275 52 281 49 285 49 291 46407 44354 57 274 62 282 54 289 53 294 44354 42480 56 271 64 276 56 288 56 292 42480 40760 51 273 59 280 54 283 60 294 40760 39174 49 285 57 282 57 292 58 287 39174 37692 67 300 57 281 60 297 54 298 37692 36299 74 300 56 288 63 305 65 306 36299 34971 74 301 68 299 75 304 76 311 34971 33646 78 301 85 301 75 296 78 309 33646 32290 76 292 85 300 66 293 65 313 32290 30898 65 286 75 297 60 295 75 320 30898 29452 63 288 67 294 59 304 74 311 29452 27938 60 289 59 290 59 312 71 306 27938 26348 56 289 43 291 59 316 68 307 26348 24679 51 288 36 314 57 316 68 315 24679 22933 45 287 40 322 54 315 72 319 22933 21112 40 289 41 321 49 313 67 315 21112 19209 35 294 45 319 45 312 52 315 19209 17215 33 296 43 327 44 315 44 315 17215 15171 31 315 39 336 44 317 51 312 15171 13197 30 334 35 342 42 321 52 312 13197 11401 25 339 30 346 38 325 47 314 11401 9806 23 342 24 345 33 330 40 316 9806 8391 20 341 17 355 26 333 32 319 8391 7136 16 333 18 002 22 329 26 312 7136 6020 15 322 19 358 18 320 24 309 6020 5032 16 318 19 347 18 320 18 315 5032 4166 17 318 19 337 18 319 15 320 4166 3405 18 319 18*329 18 315 16 320 3405 2726 18*318 18*326 17 312 21 319 2726 2126 16*315 16 318 17 308 22 316 2126 1627 13 310 15 313 15 303 20 311 1627 1244 11 307 14 310 14 301 17 304 1244 980 10 305 13 309 12*298 13 295 980 820 9 304 11 309 10*296 10*289 820 728 7 303 8 306 7 295 5*279 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography