DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/04 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 69.8 - - 66.8 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 512 - - 335 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1198 - - 1572 - - 1252 - - 621 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1334 - - 1686 - - 1362 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1911 - - 2284 - - 1965 - - 1333 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 470 - - 435 - - 488 - - 513 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 377 - - 303 - - 110 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 264 - - 270 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2042 - - -3326 - - -2997 - - -1290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3953 - - 5611 - - 4962 - - 2623 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8577 - - -11695 - - -11212 - - -11072 ODpotential blCL - - - 10488 - - 13979 - - 13177 - - 12405 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 59 - - 62 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 69.8 - - 66.8 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 48.0 - - 47.9 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 67.2 - - 65.0 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 47.6 - - 47.7 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 512 - - 335 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1198 - - 1572 - - 1252 - - 621 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99060 30 105 28 111 32 104 28 093 99060 91566 27 110 28 112 28 107 30 091 91566 85792 26 121 27 105 27 104 23 096 85792 81009 24 120 20 110 23 099 23 098 81009 76895 20 110 17 114 18 101 19 094 76895 73264 17 110 16 124 13 106 13 107 73264 69989 8 094 16 116 10 114 9 111 69989 66987 11 131 13 140 8 123 5 122 66987 64212 13 096 14 129 9 137 7 159 64212 61521 8 226 5 249 1 005 3 038 61521 58715 19 184 20 209 17 236 15 262 58715 55809 10 200 16 202 21 220 22 242 55809 53026 27 251 26 246 26 244 26 245 53026 50514 40 248 40 254 35 255 34 251 50514 48260 45 248 48 256 44 257 39 253 48260 46222 45 251 48 256 46 256 40 255 46222 44365 42 257 43 254 45 254 40 256 44365 42665 40 261 41 255 41 256 38 256 42665 41094 40 265 39 257 38 262 31 260 41094 39629 41 266 40 259 36 265 27 268 39629 38251 42 267 42 261 34 265 25 275 38251 36916 43 269 44 262 35 266 26 279 36916 35555 45 270 45 264 38 267 28 277 35555 34138 46 273 44 265 39 266 31 273 34138 32667 45 276 41 269 38 269 32 271 32667 31127 41 280 39 276 37 276 31 271 31127 29504 39 283 38 282 36 279 31 273 29504 27798 36 284 37 279 35 278 30 273 27798 26007 33 281 36 275 35 278 30 275 26007 24132 32 279 35 272 32 279 27 279 24132 22177 31 278 32 275 28 275 25 271 22177 20140 30 282 29 277 27 270 24 268 20140 18014 28 277 27 268 28 266 23 269 18014 15847 27 273 28 267 25 268 19 269 15847 13764 23 270 24 272 19 274 14 266 13764 11873 17 264 17 270 13 271 10 258 11873 10195 14 259 12 265 10 259 8 252 10195 8708 12 259 10 257 10 249 9 253 8708 7389 11 263 10 255 11 249 12 256 7389 6222 12 271 11 263 12 259 13 261 6222 5191 13 281 12 271 14 270 14 269 5191 4287 14 285 14 273 16 280 17 283 4287 3492 14 288 15 273 19 284 21 293 3492 2783 13 283 16*269 19 283 22 298 2783 2161 12*263 16*265 18*277 19 293 2161 1647 12*251 16 264 17*272 15*272 1647 1255 12 249 16 264 17 270 14*260 1255 986 12 248 15 263 16 269 13 257 986 822 11 248 14 263 15 268 12 255 822 729 9 247 12 262 12 267 9 254 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography