DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 60.0 - - 64.0 - - 63.9 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 46 - - 78 - - 19 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 672 - - 1908 - - 1682 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1384 - - 2621 - - 2395 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 243 - - 1836 - - 2084 - - 2986 - - 1107 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 131 - - 219 - - 131 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 41 - - 37 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 169 - - 153 - - 251 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1897 - - -4746 - - -3889 - - -2815 - - -2014 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2625 - - 6131 - - 6510 - - 5211 - - 2744 sfcLCL ODpotential -11101 - - -12024 - - -9386 - - -6508 - - -6171 ODpotential blCL 11829 - - 13408 - - 12007 - - 8903 - - 6900 blCL maxRH 54 - - 40 - - 92 - - 94 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 60.0 - - 64.0 - - 63.9 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 35.9 - - 38.1 - - 43.6 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 59.6 - - 63.3 - - 63.8 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.6 - - 35.2 - - 37.5 - - 43.2 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 46 - - 78 - - 19 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 672 - - 1908 - - 1682 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 69 - - 78 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96721 32 254 43 272 44 274 44 276 49 276 96721 89525 22 263 27 276 28 274 30 265 32 275 89525 84005 21 260 26 271 22 271 21 266 20 265 84005 79409 19 262 27 255 24 266 22 273 16 277 79409 75419 15 270 26 243 25 258 24 268 21 279 75419 71871 20 272 22 235 26 245 23 256 26 267 71871 68653 25 264 21 233 31 243 24 254 30 250 68653 65668 27 258 21 241 32 243 27 261 30 240 65668 62867 25 259 19 251 30 238 28 263 26 242 62867 60139 27 266 19 253 28 233 32 258 24 256 60139 57301 32 254 22 253 25 243 32 254 26 262 57301 54374 31 249 27 260 23 258 31 253 32 260 54374 51593 27 262 30 259 27 263 33 256 34 262 51593 49095 28 267 30 255 32 259 34 262 36 265 49095 46860 30 270 29 248 35 255 38 260 39 265 46860 44838 30 269 30 246 36 252 39 254 40 263 44838 42993 29 266 31 248 38 246 38 256 39 260 42993 41299 28 258 35 248 37 246 38 258 36 258 41299 39734 29 258 36 248 39 251 39 250 34 256 39734 38282 31 247 38 250 42 249 37 239 35 256 38282 36926 30 231 41 247 42 243 36 238 37 249 36926 35623 31 232 40 243 43 239 38 235 37 241 35623 34304 32 232 37 240 43 235 40 232 38 235 34304 32936 31 231 34 238 41 234 40 230 39 233 32936 31520 29 233 32 236 37 235 36 228 40 230 31520 30040 26 232 33 230 34 234 32 229 42 224 30040 28482 27 224 31 232 32 235 32 231 40 222 28482 26843 29 228 30 237 35 237 32 233 36 226 26843 25122 30 237 30 238 37 234 32 233 36 233 25122 23321 32 236 29 241 35 232 32 229 33 229 23321 21444 26 232 32 244 31 237 33 229 33 232 21444 19487 17 225 30 231 31 229 33 228 31 238 19487 17445 13 205 14 219 28 210 29 226 28 239 17445 15369 11 212 9 218 13 178 15 217 17 243 15369 13380 8 195 7 184 12 227 11 245 7 252 13380 11569 6 177 7 162 16 234 15 236 9 224 11569 9954 4 152 7 168 14 221 15 229 10 220 9954 8518 2 164 8 180 13 213 12 225 9 211 8518 7245 2 232 8 188 14 210 13 212 10 200 7245 6116 2 273 7 194 13 207 13 196 12 189 6116 5118 2 294 6 199 12 202 12 191 12 186 5118 4239 0 021 6 203 9 195 9 196 8 192 4239 3463 2 106 5 203 6 188 6 207 6 198 3463 2769 3 110 4 198 3*181 4*227 3 206 2769 2156 3 121 3 198 1*164 3*249 2 279 2156 1646 2 147 2*197 1 149 3 251 5 304 1646 1254 1 184 1*176 1 150 3 253 8 304 1254 986 0 182 1 166 1 150 3 252 7 301 986 822 1 093 1 163 1 151 3 252 5*298 822 729 2*070 0 173 1 158 3 252 3*293 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography