DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.9 - - 50.0 - - 48.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 69 - - -19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1088 - - 2669 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1642 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1800 - - 3381 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2824 - - 1827 - - 3492 - - 857 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 246 - - 20 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 005 - - 005 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1291 - - -666 - - -2314 - - -1287 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3091 - - 4047 - - 3042 - - 2015 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3098 - - -6980 - - -4311 - - -10082 ODpotential blCL - - - 4898 - - 10361 - - 5039 - - 10810 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 63 - - 61 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.9 - - 50.0 - - 48.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 35.2 - - 37.9 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 49.6 - - 49.0 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 34.0 - - 36.7 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 69 - - -19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1088 - - 2669 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96168 39 257 41 264 40 274 42 271 96168 89094 25 286 28 269 27 279 19 269 89094 83635 24 296 29 271 27 275 15 265 83635 79046 22 292 21 272 26 273 20 280 79046 75075 15 281 18 283 18 292 14 299 75075 71542 19 277 24 288 24 302 21 310 71542 68320 25 285 25 295 22 291 26 296 68320 65348 22 289 20 304 16 281 27 290 65348 62589 15 302 22 310 19 311 21 294 62589 59901 27 310 28 300 23 315 15 321 59901 57078 37 303 30 301 31 318 28 333 57078 54135 38 302 38 306 40 318 37 327 54135 51327 37 309 45 307 48 317 44 324 51327 48821 42 313 47 308 49 314 43 323 48821 46591 45 313 45 313 43 321 39 328 46591 44577 44 320 43 321 43 333 45 338 44577 42750 46 330 45 331 54 336 57 337 42750 41084 58 333 55 334 61 334 57 338 41084 39560 65 330 62 336 63 335 62 347 39560 38156 68 330 67 341 62 344 69 348 38156 36843 68 335 72 347 70 354 72 351 36843 35569 64 342 77 352 80 002 72 355 35569 34269 68 354 81 354 87 005 73 356 34269 32912 77 356 84 355 78 354 72 355 32912 31501 79 353 85 356 73 350 71 350 31501 30020 77 350 82 356 69 351 70 349 30020 28458 75 348 74 352 69 352 65 359 28458 26815 75 346 65 347 68 349 60 003 26815 25091 75 345 60 346 63 344 57 002 25091 23286 74 345 58 348 57 343 56 359 23286 21407 73 344 58 349 54 349 55 353 21407 19451 71 344 55 352 52 356 50 349 19451 17414 66 345 53 357 51 002 44 354 17414 15334 61 346 51 359 48 008 40 004 15334 13324 57 348 50 000 44 010 38 014 13324 11492 53 354 46 003 42 014 36 023 11492 9862 46 001 42 010 40 019 34 028 9862 8420 39 009 36 016 37 023 32 032 8420 7146 32 013 31 019 32 026 30 036 7146 6023 27 013 26 020 26 027 26 039 6023 5033 26 013 22 018 23 022 22 038 5033 4166 27 013 21 015 22 015 20 033 4166 3402 27 010 20*010 24 011 22 030 3402 2721 26 007 18*007 23 010 25 029 2721 2121 23*001 17 006 21 009 30 024 2121 1621 19*356 16 005 19 009 28 020 1621 1240 15 353 15 005 17 008 21 016 1240 977 13 351 14 004 14 007 14 013 977 819 12 350 12 004 12*006 9*010 819 728 8 350 9 003 7*005 4*003 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography