DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/24 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 77.3 - - - - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 405 - - - - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 750 - - 1088 - - - - - 291 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 954 - - 1290 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1463 - - 1802 - - - - - 1004 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 387 - - 344 - - - - - 378 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 309 - - - - - 73 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 271 - - - - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1781 - - -4377 - - - - - -1128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3244 - - 6179 - - - - - 2133 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9570 - - -10657 - - - - - -10756 ODpotential blCL - - - 11033 - - 12459 - - - - - 11760 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 64 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 140 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 77.3 - - - - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.0 - - 53.1 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 75.1 - - - - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 52.6 - - - - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 405 - - - - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 750 - - 1088 - - - - - 291 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - - - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99233 23 116 21 132 14 084 99233 91796 14 097 27 103 21 101 91796 86048 12 109 19 088 19 101 86048 81263 16 111 15 110 17 105 81263 77127 17 113 13 123 15 098 77127 73467 15 130 8 114 14 098 73467 70159 13 125 11 155 12 121 70159 67128 11 124 12 170 6 149 67128 64329 9 127 7 171 6 149 64329 61634 15 185 16 200 7 203 61634 58824 14 194 16 190 16 219 58824 55902 21 214 25 209 21 226 55902 53107 24 214 30 224 30 236 53107 50604 29 223 32 238 40 243 50604 48386 31 239 41 244 49 243 48386 46395 40 247 48 248 53 242 46395 44578 46 246 55 252 55 242 44578 42896 49 248 58 254 56 243 42896 41326 48 252 54 253 56 244 41326 39852 50 254 49 252 55 245 39852 38461 51 251 44 251 54 246 38461 37112 48 248 44 253 53 246 37112 35737 43 244 44 254 52 248 35737 34306 36 242 42 253 49 249 34306 32823 33 239 38 252 41 244 32823 31278 33 236 34 246 35 240 31278 29654 33 232 33 240 32 236 29654 27948 33 232 31 239 30 234 27948 26159 31 232 30 236 27 231 26159 24292 29 227 28 232 24 226 24292 22349 28 220 28 223 23 221 22349 20323 28 218 28 219 25 220 20323 18209 30 215 28 217 24 219 18209 16051 29 213 27 216 24 216 16051 13969 25 208 24 212 23 210 13969 12072 23 204 23 209 21 206 12072 10380 22 207 22 209 20 204 10380 8874 20 213 20 211 17 205 8874 7533 17 215 17 210 16 206 7533 6342 14 211 15 205 15 207 6342 5288 13 208 15 204 15 211 5288 4361 13 212 14 209 14 218 4361 3546 13 220 13 218 13 228 3546 2820 13 223 12 230 13 243 2820 2183 13 229 11*249 13 263 2183 1658 11*242 10*268 13 275 1658 1260 9*257 10 271 12*276 1260 988 9 260 10 272 11*275 988 824 8 260 10 271 10 274 824 729 7 260 8 271 7 273 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography