DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 55.3 - - 53.8 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 166 - - 126 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1821 - - 2353 - - 2158 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1433 - - 1931 - - 1655 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2533 - - 3065 - - 2870 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 871 - - 788 - - 807 - - 1913 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 257 - - 303 - - 269 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 267 - - 282 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - -7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 830 - - 746 - - 556 - - -819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1703 - - 2320 - - 2314 - - 1547 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 668 - - 576 - - 269 - - -1384 ODpotential blCL - - - 1865 - - 2489 - - 2601 - - 2112 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 94 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 55.3 - - 53.8 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 47.9 - - 46.4 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 54.2 - - 52.9 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 46.8 - - 45.4 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 166 - - 126 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1821 - - 2353 - - 2158 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 91 - - 75 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97222 52 267 64 272 69 284 64 292 97222 89872 61 276 64 278 62 284 58 285 89872 84190 58 278 53 277 46 279 48 270 84190 79440 44 274 38 271 40 271 41 261 79440 75346 35 273 32 271 32 272 35 271 75346 71751 28 264 32 272 30 278 33 280 71751 68511 24 259 30 267 30 284 24 292 68511 65540 18 270 27 265 29 286 24 303 65540 62785 17 295 21 271 28 286 24 298 62785 60106 18 307 17 284 27 286 24 296 60106 57307 20 310 17 301 23 292 24 302 57307 54403 27 312 26 314 22 309 26 308 54403 51629 35 311 31 312 27 315 29 309 51629 49137 35 309 33 307 30 316 35 310 49137 46915 31 308 33 303 31 318 30 307 46915 44915 28 315 30 312 34 318 32 328 44915 43109 29 325 32 321 34 319 35 333 43109 41462 30 333 29 344 29 323 36 339 41462 39946 35 345 37 345 35 345 31 345 39946 38529 42 342 37 339 37 349 30 354 38529 37192 44 335 33 342 36 356 32 357 37192 35893 41 330 33 359 39 358 33 355 35893 34568 37 327 38 006 43 354 35 347 34568 33192 34 329 41 006 42 351 33 342 33192 31766 34 338 40 000 35 350 29 341 31766 30275 39 342 36 350 31 354 30 341 30275 28701 38 337 33 344 32 000 32 338 28701 27048 34 340 32 347 33 001 30 337 27048 25313 34 349 32 350 28 358 28 330 25313 23498 34 348 32 347 26 346 27 326 23498 21605 30 338 31 344 27 343 23 331 21605 19631 27 332 28 338 27 351 17 344 19631 17571 24 328 24 332 20 352 13 346 17571 15469 18 331 20 326 15 338 14 328 15469 13440 15 332 16 324 13 330 16 322 13440 11594 14 332 13 330 10 328 16 323 11594 9953 10 331 9 334 7 318 13 321 9953 8498 6 315 5 315 5 285 10 311 8498 7212 4 290 3 281 5 271 7 301 7212 6075 3 241 3 224 4 261 5 296 6075 5072 4 222 5 218 6 262 4 298 5072 4192 6 232 8 245 8 279 4 304 4192 3418 8 249 10*258 11*285 5 296 3418 2732 10*262 12*264 13*284 8 282 2732 2130 11*263 12 267 13 284 10 274 2130 1629 11 262 13 268 14 282 10 271 1629 1245 10 261 12 269 13 282 10 269 1245 981 10 261 12 269 13 281 9 267 981 820 9 260 11 269 12 280 7 264 820 728 7 259 9 268 9 280 4*262 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography