DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 50.3 - - 56.6 - - 54.0 - - 45.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -44 - - 34 - - 68 - - -14 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 298 - - 478 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1010 - - 1191 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 164 - - 241 - - 280 - - 497 - - 169 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 93 - - 135 - - 14 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 061 - - 063 - - 060 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -8 - - -7 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -459 - - -865 - - -1294 - - -1168 - - -890 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1187 - - 1875 - - 2485 - - 1897 - - 1618 sfcLCL ODpotential -13995 - - -12542 - - -11472 - - -11655 - - -13823 ODpotential blCL 14723 - - 13552 - - 12663 - - 12384 - - 14551 blCL maxRH 77 - - 80 - - 73 - - 75 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 50.3 - - 56.6 - - 54.0 - - 45.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 44.9 - - 48.5 - - 48.5 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 50.1 - - 56.1 - - 54.7 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 44.0 - - 47.4 - - 47.7 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -44 - - 34 - - 68 - - -14 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 298 - - 478 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 10 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96607 29 103 17 062 19 045 31 063 24 079 96607 89533 28 073 24 079 21 091 19 072 19 079 89533 83968 20 058 23 078 19 079 8 071 14 052 83968 79352 12 068 15 074 14 055 10 028 16 031 79352 75403 15 074 10 066 13 038 13 028 15 020 75403 71924 12 060 12 079 9 046 8 026 11 014 71924 68756 7 030 11 054 11 024 11 037 8 034 68756 65827 6 027 6 033 11 352 15 013 14 020 65827 63120 11 034 7 360 10 330 15 350 17 359 63120 60521 22 009 15 354 10 334 13 341 12 334 60521 57821 19 344 22 343 16 346 13 347 6 308 57821 55013 17 321 18 333 17 341 16 348 5 351 55013 52327 16 323 13 325 11 321 14 339 10 000 52327 49914 17 337 10 330 9 291 10 309 10 346 49914 47759 15 345 10 343 8 297 10 277 8 339 47759 45805 17 004 11 008 6 336 6 256 6 305 45805 44017 16 013 16 021 13 023 4 095 5 222 44017 42371 9 053 6 041 8 030 9 096 10 148 42371 40845 8 042 5 105 5 155 13 138 13 154 40845 39413 6 279 4 219 7 221 9 190 9 147 39413 38057 17 234 18 222 18 228 17 199 12 193 38057 36742 17 224 20 217 18 225 18 203 15 205 36742 35399 18 231 17 224 18 221 18 217 14 211 35399 33999 17 247 18 230 19 221 22 217 15 218 33999 32547 15 257 19 231 19 222 26 214 19 222 32547 31025 14 262 19 235 19 221 26 215 24 224 31025 29422 15 269 17 237 19 233 22 216 26 228 29422 27735 18 268 16 245 19 242 19 221 19 233 27735 25964 19 266 18 251 19 251 19 236 15 237 25964 24111 21 270 20 263 20 262 18 252 14 260 24111 22179 20 289 15 274 17 263 19 256 15 267 22179 20159 19 306 11 281 15 264 19 266 16 281 20159 18046 17 311 5 282 9 267 14 276 11 292 18046 15897 14 311 2 315 2 261 6 267 2 336 15897 13829 12 311 4 348 2 348 2 252 5 030 13829 11943 12 321 6 351 3 331 2 306 4 014 11943 10264 11 340 6 004 4 342 3 349 4 003 10264 8771 10 354 7 027 5 001 5 004 6 006 8771 7445 10 357 9 036 7 014 8 016 8 019 7445 6269 11 003 10 032 9 020 10 017 10 023 6269 5228 14 009 10 033 10 019 13 019 12 025 5228 4312 16 014 10 032 12 019 16 022 14 025 4312 3506 18 022 12 033 14 025 19 029 16 024 3506 2788 23 029 13 034 16 034 21 034 19 024 2788 2160 24 036 12 041 15 044 18 039 20 027 2160 1642 20 048 13 055 13 056 14 048 19 035 1642 1248 18 067 14*060 12*061 13 056 16 050 1248 981 16 069 12*060 11*062 11 057 13 065 981 820 13*067 11 061 10 063 9*057 11 064 820 728 6*066 7 061 7 064 5*060 5*067 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography