DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Panoche 2485ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0957z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 64.2 - - 71.6 - - 68.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 97 - - 418 - - 524 - - 332 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 2950 - - 4782 - - 2310 - - 399 BL Depth Hcrit 2484 - - 4464 - - 5972 - - 3913 - - 2485 Hcrit BL Top 2883 - - 5435 - - 7268 - - 4795 - - 2884 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 555 - - 1190 - - 1575 - - 2237 - - 461 Hgt.Variab. W* 139 - - 441 - - 559 - - 376 - - 93 W* B/S 4 - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 016 - - 001 - - 333 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 9 - - 19 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -872 - - -1909 - - -1972 - - -2682 - - -986 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3755 - - 7344 - - 9241 - - 7477 - - 3870 sfcLCL ODpotential -6517 - - -5916 - - -4336 - - -4720 - - -5791 ODpotential blCL 9400 - - 11351 - - 11604 - - 9515 - - 8675 blCL maxRH 80 - - 75 - - 80 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 64.2 - - 71.6 - - 68.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 40.6 - - 39.5 - - 44.5 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 62.8 - - 69.3 - - 66.7 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 40.4 - - 39.5 - - 44.5 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 97 - - 418 - - 524 - - 332 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 2950 - - 4782 - - 2310 - - 399 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 0 - - 19 - - 7 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98361 13 301 14 329 10 275 12 285 15 309 98361 91371 12 284 13 310 12 283 14 302 12 302 91371 85898 7 261 10 286 11 280 13 309 7 290 85898 81302 4 246 8 270 8 274 10 319 3 270 81302 77318 2 229 7 254 6 274 8 333 1 194 77318 73784 2 156 7 236 4 287 6 352 2 085 73784 70577 1 137 6 218 3 293 5 357 3 051 70577 67626 1 010 5 201 3 270 4 351 3 018 67626 64884 3 348 3 193 4 254 4 334 2 004 64884 62222 5 332 1 254 3 243 3 305 1 328 62222 59435 8 326 4 325 2 294 4 302 3 316 59435 56535 9 328 7 322 5 320 7 317 6 334 56535 53765 11 335 9 330 8 318 12 324 11 341 53765 51276 15 337 13 340 12 327 17 325 16 342 51276 49056 21 337 19 341 18 334 20 328 22 341 49056 47050 26 337 24 341 23 337 24 340 27 344 47050 45221 29 339 28 342 28 345 30 351 33 354 45221 43540 32 342 33 345 35 354 37 353 39 358 43540 41979 33 346 36 349 41 358 40 352 43 358 41979 40518 34 347 39 351 45 357 41 355 44 357 40518 39143 35 347 41 351 45 355 42 358 44 357 39143 37815 35 348 41 350 42 353 42 002 44 358 37815 36469 31 349 41 351 39 353 40 003 42 358 36469 35078 27 350 39 352 35 353 38 002 39 359 35078 33643 23 349 33 351 27 357 34 003 35 001 33643 32149 17 340 21 350 21 016 30 007 29 004 32149 30580 9 345 12 002 20 023 26 015 24 010 30580 28933 5 007 8 022 17 025 25 021 22 017 28933 27205 8 013 10 035 17 038 25 027 22 020 27205 25394 14 010 12 044 16 040 25 031 23 021 25394 23504 18 009 13 042 14 030 25 035 26 026 23504 21528 20 010 13 037 14 029 23 038 28 031 21528 19463 19 013 14 033 14 031 22 038 27 035 19463 17355 15 027 13 033 15 024 22 033 22 035 17355 15324 13 036 12 032 15 022 21 026 17 036 15324 13477 12 051 11 035 15 026 20 020 14 035 13477 11837 10 064 10 038 14 030 19 019 13 036 11837 10381 9 068 9 036 12 035 16 021 13 036 10381 9088 10 065 9 039 11 038 13 022 12 036 9088 7941 11 065 10 048 9*039 11 023 12 036 7941 6927 11 063 11 054 7*034 10 024 11 032 6927 6034 9 059 11*052 7 023 9 019 12 025 6034 5248 6 051 8*039 7 008 10*006 12 014 5248 4546 6 031 7 024 8 356 10*356 13 002 4546 3928 8 015 7 014 9 351 13 333 15 344 3928 3415 9 359 7 009 9 347 14 330 16 328 3415 3024 8*347 6 005 9 346 14 328 15*321 3024 2756 6*341 6 003 9 345 13 327 14*319 2756 2594 6 338 6 002 9 344 13 327 13 318 2594 2501 5 338 6 000 8 343 12 326 10 318 2501 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography