DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 63.2 - - 63.4 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 123 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 660 - - 2746 - - 2270 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3734 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2981 - - 5068 - - 4592 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 821 - - 1213 - - 2046 - - 1257 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 301 - - 170 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 16 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 017 - - 007 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 12 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3519 - - -2252 - - -2795 - - -2129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6501 - - 7321 - - 7387 - - 4467 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9560 - - -8294 - - -9291 - - -9582 ODpotential blCL - - - 12541 - - 13362 - - 13883 - - 11920 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 48 - - 57 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 63.2 - - 63.4 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.1 - - 39.4 - - 39.3 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 62.3 - - 63.4 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 38.1 - - 38.1 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 123 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 660 - - 2746 - - 2270 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96156 19 306 20 311 15 325 9 317 96156 89131 11 321 13 294 15 319 7 018 89131 83696 5 346 8 300 10 317 8 013 83696 79153 2 103 5 298 8 308 10 358 79153 75235 3 009 5 271 7 281 11 333 75235 71772 3 021 10 261 9 284 9 325 71772 68634 4 085 6 222 6 269 6 284 68634 65732 5 036 3 081 4 147 1 287 65732 63026 7 068 5 039 4 147 4 028 63026 60387 3 003 9 019 7 098 2 050 60387 57622 14 048 18 069 15 090 11 071 57622 54733 28 012 25 022 18 043 10 104 54733 51979 29 046 37 059 30 061 29 062 51979 49554 53 061 53 067 45 064 41 067 49554 47398 70 053 65 055 62 053 46 062 47398 45439 69 044 63 044 57 036 45 045 45439 43649 60 053 58 052 53 045 48 058 43649 41998 61 059 65 059 62 057 59 063 41998 40468 70 059 74 057 76 061 70 060 40468 39039 84 054 78 051 81 058 74 058 39039 37694 92 051 76 047 77 058 73 058 37694 36391 91 049 73 047 68 058 72 058 36391 35066 86 052 71 050 63 056 73 058 35066 33693 79 057 72 052 67 055 74 057 33693 32275 71 058 72 053 67 055 74 056 32275 30799 66 056 70 054 63 053 74 054 30799 29253 63 050 66 055 59 051 74 052 29253 27639 62 045 62 055 56 052 72 050 27639 25958 62 044 59 053 55 053 68 049 25958 24211 62 046 58 050 53 053 63 049 24211 22399 61 049 57 049 53 053 59 051 22399 20515 58 052 57 049 53 052 55 054 20515 18553 53 053 54 052 52 052 54 060 18553 16555 47 053 47 057 49 055 53 067 16555 14632 40 047 39 060 45 060 48 075 14632 12884 34 047 32 064 40 067 38 081 12884 11330 27 054 26 070 34 077 29 081 11330 9946 24 062 23 077 28 087 24 074 9946 8714 22 068 18 072 21 092 19 075 8714 7619 21 071 12 056 16 088 15 070 7619 6649 21 072 12 034 12 067 13 046 6649 5793 20 067 11*018 10 024 13 027 5793 5035 20 063 5*008 9*007 14 016 5035 4355 17 067 4 013 9*005 14 009 4355 3753 10 086 3 018 9 006 13 007 3753 3249 5*111 3 021 9 007 10 011 3249 2861 2*113 3 024 8 008 7 019 2861 2594 1 111 2 027 8 008 6 027 2594 2431 1 110 2 026 7 009 5*030 2431 2338 1 115 2 028 6 009 3*029 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography