DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 61.3 - - 60.7 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 26 - - 43 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 950 - - 1468 - - 1487 - - 110 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3272 - - 3790 - - 3809 - - 2431 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1799 - - 2113 - - 2600 - - 638 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 170 - - 157 - - 177 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 219 - - 274 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -793 - - -604 - - 1 - - 93 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4065 - - 4394 - - 3809 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3367 - - -4097 - - -1708 - - -3228 ODpotential blCL - - - 6639 - - 7887 - - 5517 - - 5659 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 97 - - 79 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 61.3 - - 60.7 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.6 - - 50.0 - - 52.0 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 60.9 - - 60.3 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 48.7 - - 50.7 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 26 - - 43 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 950 - - 1468 - - 1487 - - 110 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 89 - - 18 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96364 10 083 3 038 7 007 7 088 96364 89261 11 035 5 109 2 232 9 351 89261 83800 8 027 6 036 4 040 10 019 83800 79266 9 002 8 344 12 351 15 359 79266 75378 10 006 10 348 10 360 7 004 75378 71971 15 338 13 326 17 313 18 335 71971 68900 17 326 15 333 13 316 14 339 68900 66050 17 310 20 306 23 307 15 331 66050 63378 27 297 33 280 35 291 30 301 63378 60775 36 287 39 276 41 281 39 289 60775 58043 38 287 45 281 46 281 45 280 58043 55191 45 283 50 278 48 277 50 273 55191 52444 50 277 54 276 52 276 55 272 52444 49952 57 274 56 273 61 273 59 271 49952 47709 61 267 57 267 65 268 60 265 47709 45667 54 262 56 260 60 264 56 261 45667 43782 50 265 57 257 59 264 58 266 43782 42031 58 267 62 257 65 263 69 266 42031 40402 64 263 66 256 71 258 74 262 40402 38882 67 259 70 255 74 258 71 259 38882 37462 68 250 75 252 77 257 73 259 37462 36105 65 244 78 242 83 251 81 261 36105 34748 58 234 77 237 90 247 89 260 34748 33361 57 236 76 238 94 246 95 255 33361 31941 59 244 76 241 94 246 96 250 31941 30469 61 245 77 244 86 246 87 248 30469 28930 61 245 78 245 81 247 85 253 28930 27325 61 245 78 245 79 248 84 257 27325 25655 58 241 75 246 75 249 75 258 25655 23925 58 241 72 246 70 251 64 257 23925 22135 58 245 68 246 64 253 58 259 22135 20276 56 247 64 246 59 251 54 261 20276 18343 52 250 62 249 56 250 48 260 18343 16374 48 254 57 251 52 252 43 255 16374 14480 45 255 50 251 46 251 41 253 14480 12759 46 251 43 247 41 247 37 252 12759 11231 45 247 40 243 38 245 32 252 11231 9872 41 244 35 242 34 244 28 252 9872 8661 32 242 30 241 27 240 22 249 8661 7583 24 240 23 240 19 230 15 238 7583 6625 17 234 18 236 13 210 11 215 6625 5776 13 224 13 227 10 193 10 198 5776 5022 12 212 10 217 8 191 9 198 5022 4345 10 205 8*211 5*201 7 212 4345 3743 7*196 5*212 4*246 6 229 3743 3240 3*196 5 218 5 274 8 289 3240 2855 1 224 4 221 5 279 12 308 2855 2590 1 237 4 223 5 279 11*311 2590 2430 1 239 4 224 5 281 9*311 2430 2338 1 245 4 226 4 281 5 311 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography