DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 71.2 - - 71.4 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 123 - - 30 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 453 - - 1160 - - 1412 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 2530 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2775 - - 3482 - - 3734 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 476 - - 913 - - 1351 - - 693 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 226 - - 160 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 053 - - 051 - - 023 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3799 - - -5341 - - -5027 - - -2477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6574 - - 8823 - - 8761 - - 4817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11415 - - -11729 - - -11179 - - -10050 ODpotential blCL - - - 14190 - - 15211 - - 14913 - - 12389 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 75 - - 45 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 71.2 - - 71.4 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.5 - - 41.1 - - 41.6 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 70.2 - - 71.5 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 39.9 - - 40.4 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 123 - - 30 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 453 - - 1160 - - 1412 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96372 18 308 15 298 19 300 9 313 96372 89223 8 319 13 296 12 331 7 046 89223 83733 12 000 3 248 11 325 14 012 83733 79184 14 332 7 329 11 311 18 342 79184 75287 10 341 13 313 14 306 22 322 75287 71849 24 338 23 329 20 334 21 327 71849 68739 25 320 28 326 28 338 23 342 68739 65881 24 317 26 322 30 332 27 344 65881 63233 22 317 23 322 27 322 26 326 63233 60666 22 313 23 312 25 318 27 311 60666 57981 29 315 27 319 28 320 29 312 57981 55176 34 307 34 308 33 317 33 315 55176 52476 34 300 37 301 35 310 34 310 52476 50028 30 294 37 294 36 306 36 305 50028 47829 28 299 34 286 36 292 39 302 47829 45835 31 313 31 294 32 286 36 292 45835 44017 34 315 32 308 32 295 35 299 44017 42351 40 308 38 312 35 300 41 298 42351 40810 43 304 42 308 37 301 37 297 40810 39370 47 298 45 304 40 304 44 304 39370 38017 47 297 48 298 49 304 52 305 38017 36714 46 300 46 293 53 303 53 301 36714 35391 39 306 40 293 51 302 51 301 35391 34020 33 308 38 292 42 299 46 304 34020 32602 29 309 34 292 37 295 41 302 32602 31124 28 307 33 292 33 294 37 291 31124 29574 29 296 33 292 31 295 37 289 29574 27954 34 290 36 288 33 295 38 292 27954 26261 35 287 36 285 35 295 36 294 26261 24500 33 288 33 288 35 296 33 298 24500 22673 29 292 29 296 32 300 30 305 22673 20775 27 296 26 303 31 305 28 307 20775 18798 24 302 25 306 30 308 29 310 18798 16783 22 315 24 313 29 315 28 316 16783 14840 20 328 23 319 25 322 26 322 14840 13073 16 340 20 327 21 327 22 326 13073 11500 12 355 15 337 16 333 18 329 11500 10098 8 016 9 349 11 344 14 335 10098 8847 7 036 5 011 8 355 9 342 8847 7732 7 047 4 029 6 005 6 346 7732 6742 10 049 6 043 6 011 5 353 6742 5866 12 046 9 047 8 017 6 005 5866 5090 14 042 11 049 11 017 9 014 5090 4395 16 039 13 048 11 016 13 016 4395 3779 17 039 12*047 10*019 14 013 3779 3265 16 041 11*049 10*022 13 013 3265 2870 14*045 10 051 9 023 11 020 2870 2598 10*052 9 051 9 024 9 028 2598 2433 9 053 9 052 8 024 7*033 2433 2339 7 054 7 053 6 024 4*038 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography