DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 81.0 - - 78.5 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 402 - - 225 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2385 - - 3833 - - 1998 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3760 - - 4976 - - 3408 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4708 - - 6156 - - 4321 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 979 - - 1167 - - 2385 - - 724 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 477 - - 317 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 50 - - 23 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 025 - - 006 - - 350 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 20 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4751 - - -4059 - - -5104 - - -2827 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9460 - - 10215 - - 9425 - - 5166 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11718 - - -9735 - - -11203 - - -11107 ODpotential blCL - - - 16426 - - 15891 - - 15524 - - 13446 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 40 - - 39 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 81.0 - - 78.5 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 44.2 - - 45.3 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.5 - - 78.5 - - 76.8 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 43.3 - - 44.6 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 402 - - 225 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2385 - - 3833 - - 1998 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97747 14 262 6 308 13 249 13 272 97747 90270 10 283 9 276 11 288 11 290 90270 84515 10 279 12 272 12 316 11 328 84515 79793 1 256 12 250 11 304 16 335 79793 75770 5 335 12 289 10 333 13 340 75770 72240 9 313 17 304 16 341 12 351 72240 69054 7 319 12 307 17 328 13 351 69054 66117 8 309 9 310 16 315 11 344 66117 63378 11 308 8 312 14 311 11 330 63378 60722 16 312 9 322 12 319 11 319 60722 57959 17 303 14 305 14 314 10 324 57959 55113 16 308 15 292 16 294 14 305 55113 52426 18 325 14 304 17 299 16 299 52426 50025 26 318 22 313 22 318 18 317 50025 47883 36 313 32 319 33 324 25 328 47883 45946 45 313 41 320 40 322 34 324 45946 44175 52 316 47 323 44 322 42 320 44175 42537 51 320 46 324 44 324 42 319 42537 41004 48 319 42 324 39 324 36 320 41004 39559 44 316 38 320 34 324 29 320 39559 38194 40 319 35 316 32 322 24 320 38194 36874 38 322 31 318 31 315 24 321 36874 35534 37 324 28 324 28 315 26 316 35534 34147 37 325 28 328 25 319 25 311 34147 32714 36 324 29 326 24 320 24 305 32714 31223 33 324 28 324 24 321 23 300 31223 29661 31 326 27 327 23 324 20 305 29661 28029 30 326 26 332 22 331 18 316 28029 26327 29 328 24 336 21 335 17 325 26327 24557 25 331 20 335 18 333 15 327 24557 22722 20 329 16 328 16 325 14 322 22722 20817 15 319 14 320 14 322 12 323 20817 18837 15 317 14 317 13 321 11 324 18837 16821 14 320 13 330 11 335 10 330 16821 14874 12 308 9 333 9 352 7 355 14874 13099 9 297 6 303 5 000 6 032 13099 11518 6 302 3 290 2 022 5 060 11518 10111 5 327 2 327 1 088 4 086 10111 8859 4 345 2 003 1 083 1 078 8859 7743 3 355 2 009 2 051 3 303 7743 6753 2 009 2*054 4 055 5 310 6753 5878 1 057 2*058 5 054 5 337 5878 5102 2*082 3 040 6 040 6 004 5102 4405 2*069 3 019 7*021 9 007 4405 3787 1 048 5 357 9*356 11 359 3787 3269 1 016 5 355 10 351 14 344 3269 2872 1 005 5 351 10 349 14 332 2872 2599 1 357 5 350 10 348 12 328 2599 2434 1 352 5 349 10 347 11*327 2434 2339 1 349 5 348 8 347 6*327 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography