DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 85.8 - - - - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 251 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2259 - - 7772 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3407 - - 7842 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4582 - - 10095 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5850 - - 1756 - - - - - 386 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 513 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 50 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 2 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 144 - - - - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 19 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8924 - - -4492 - - - - - -6544 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13507 - - 14588 - - - - - 8884 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13648 - - -8420 - - - - - -13074 ODpotential blCL - - - 18230 - - 18515 - - - - - 15413 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 30 - - - - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 85.8 - - - - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 29.4 - - - - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.5 - - 83.9 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 28.9 - - - - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 251 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2259 - - 7772 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97727 22 273 19 280 23 272 97727 90437 16 282 18 267 16 276 90437 84830 10 271 15 265 10 288 84830 80171 6 280 10 263 9 294 80171 76152 3 229 6 242 9 287 76152 72606 3 242 3 297 6 300 72606 69415 6 207 6 277 4 299 69415 66481 2 234 6 271 8 349 66481 63766 10 272 11 275 17 301 63766 61154 5 307 13 216 16 281 61154 58432 19 296 19 284 23 287 58432 55611 28 267 30 270 29 277 55611 52927 28 260 32 261 36 272 52927 50506 34 267 35 263 43 270 50506 48321 37 274 38 266 46 268 48321 46324 36 284 34 275 45 269 46324 44482 35 297 34 288 46 275 44482 42771 33 309 34 298 46 282 42771 41173 27 317 30 306 44 288 41173 39677 20 330 25 313 37 294 39677 38277 19 356 20 328 29 299 38277 36930 17 006 17 349 24 304 36930 35567 18 034 18 007 18 316 35567 34158 26 038 22 020 14 331 34158 32705 29 031 27 032 13 359 32705 31193 27 050 27 035 17 017 31193 29611 25 063 24 047 20 017 29611 27960 23 063 18 072 18 038 27960 26244 21 065 15 111 12 035 26244 24469 12 081 11 130 1 295 24469 22638 8 110 5 153 4 230 22638 20744 7 112 3 122 3 213 20744 18777 6 116 4 075 2 020 18777 16773 7 116 5 079 5 030 16773 14840 5 115 4 062 9 050 14840 13081 5 098 5 051 11 056 13081 11518 7 088 5 065 10 065 11518 10127 7 086 3*078 6 066 10127 8884 5 092 2*089 1 206 8884 7773 5 102 2 104 3 231 7773 6783 5 115 1 131 2 229 6783 5905 5 136 2 154 0 119 5905 5125 7*152 2 159 3 062 5125 4423 8*155 2 163 5 045 4423 3801 9 156 2 160 7 020 3801 3280 9 158 3 161 9 360 3280 2879 8 160 3 159 10 348 2879 2602 7 160 3 158 10 348 2602 2435 7 160 2 159 8 352 2435 2339 6 160 2 158 5*354 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography