DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.3 - - 76.9 - - 81.6 - - 77.1 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 174 - - 274 - - 62 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1737 - - 6230 - - 1443 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3111 - - 6678 - - 2323 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4059 - - 8553 - - 3766 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 163 - - 3504 - - 2130 - - 5690 - - 276 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 275 - - 490 - - 185 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 18 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 228 - - 241 - - 333 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 3 - - 25 - - 8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5449 - - -7193 - - -4067 - - -6449 - - -4200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7789 - - 11252 - - 12621 - - 10215 - - 6539 sfcLCL ODpotential -13225 - - -11893 - - -8590 - - -9669 - - -10417 ODpotential blCL 15564 - - 15952 - - 17143 - - 13435 - - 12755 blCL maxRH 32 - - 28 - - 35 - - 40 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.3 - - 76.9 - - 81.6 - - 77.1 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 35.7 - - 34.0 - - 40.4 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.7 - - 75.6 - - 79.7 - - 76.5 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 35.4 - - 33.7 - - 40.3 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 174 - - 274 - - 62 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1737 - - 6230 - - 1443 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97785 10 313 18 275 24 275 31 291 27 298 97785 90515 18 289 21 279 21 286 20 281 21 276 90515 84893 18 286 16 278 19 275 19 285 18 285 84893 80206 10 284 9 293 12 263 13 290 12 301 80206 76167 7 323 6 286 10 263 12 290 9 311 76167 72601 7 004 5 271 9 238 14 274 14 294 72601 69375 10 327 6 313 4 217 10 258 14 273 69375 66422 15 299 7 309 4 269 8 241 13 258 66422 63705 15 278 7 287 9 265 11 244 15 249 63705 61087 15 262 12 277 14 264 13 262 15 244 61087 58362 19 254 20 265 20 260 19 266 19 248 58362 55540 23 263 26 260 26 261 25 266 23 248 55540 52845 32 272 30 265 30 265 29 265 27 250 52845 50414 35 272 33 268 33 264 31 266 30 253 50414 48223 37 271 35 268 35 263 35 264 34 256 48223 46218 42 270 38 265 38 263 39 263 37 258 46218 44366 49 268 43 262 44 260 42 262 41 258 44366 42644 52 267 47 264 46 260 44 259 44 257 42644 41033 50 267 48 265 47 260 46 258 46 257 41033 39523 46 268 45 265 45 262 46 258 46 258 39523 38105 40 269 39 265 41 263 43 258 43 257 38105 36747 33 273 34 267 36 261 41 257 40 256 36747 35384 28 282 26 270 28 262 36 256 37 255 35384 33985 25 286 21 277 20 265 28 254 33 253 33985 32547 20 284 19 279 17 266 22 257 27 252 32547 31056 15 286 16 282 14 264 19 260 22 250 31056 29496 13 305 13 298 11 272 16 261 19 247 29496 27868 15 323 12 315 9 279 12 264 17 247 27868 26169 14 331 11 318 8 287 10 266 13 255 26169 24404 12 348 11 318 7 300 8 278 10 272 24404 22574 14 008 10 331 7 309 6 282 7 276 22574 20674 15 014 9 000 5 321 5 286 5 271 20674 18698 10 011 6 358 4 333 3 313 3 274 18698 16689 2 017 3 241 5 263 3 276 4 263 16689 14763 1 306 4 236 6 244 5 231 5 224 14763 13016 1 327 3 232 6 235 6 222 6 199 13016 11461 1 109 3 210 7 231 7 237 6 219 11461 10075 3 278 5 236 8 239 8 232 9 237 10075 8838 6 286 7 253 7*239 6 212 9 236 8838 7734 6 293 7 255 6*238 5 201 9 222 7734 6750 5 297 6 248 6 238 4 197 9 209 6750 5877 4 294 5 235 5 240 2 203 7 198 5877 5102 3 280 5 222 5 242 1 268 5 173 5102 4405 3 267 5*217 5 243 3 327 4 146 4405 3787 2 260 4*222 4 244 6*334 3 127 3787 3269 3 271 4 228 4 244 7*334 1 003 3269 2872 4 275 3 230 4 245 8 333 6 323 2872 2599 4 270 3 231 4 244 8 333 9 323 2599 2433 3*259 3 232 4 246 7 333 8 327 2433 2338 1*217 3 232 3 245 6 333 4*328 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography