DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Panoche 2320ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.4 - - 44.7 - - 43.9 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 114 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1754 - - 2154 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2320 - - 3248 - - 2320 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4074 - - 4474 - - 2337 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1116 - - 1241 - - 2982 - - 752 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 267 - - 19 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 20 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 349 - - 359 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -6 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -150 - - -519 - - -2265 - - -606 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4224 - - 4993 - - 4602 - - 2943 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9004 - - -8304 - - -9120 - - -9927 ODpotential blCL - - - 13078 - - 12778 - - 11457 - - 12264 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 63 - - 58 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.4 - - 44.7 - - 43.9 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.3 - - 31.2 - - 32.2 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 43.9 - - 44.2 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 30.1 - - 31.0 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 114 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1754 - - 2154 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96235 39 252 38 260 38 271 33 270 96235 89142 16 287 24 258 28 271 30 270 89142 83702 28 297 24 269 27 271 22 265 83702 79127 29 281 25 270 23 274 12 263 79127 75117 18 282 19 275 17 279 11 281 75117 71540 18 283 21 280 20 288 23 305 71540 68312 19 275 21 277 20 283 28 294 68312 65359 16 278 17 282 18 281 23 283 65359 62612 22 295 23 298 18 293 21 292 62612 59932 29 301 30 303 26 304 20 298 59932 57116 35 298 34 300 31 305 20 308 57116 54172 36 292 37 297 37 310 32 321 54172 51354 36 299 43 299 44 312 42 323 51354 48834 40 310 50 301 51 309 47 321 48834 46605 44 313 52 305 49 312 44 320 46605 44597 47 313 49 310 46 320 42 327 44597 42762 45 318 47 320 49 329 51 333 42762 41080 50 327 54 328 59 332 58 334 41080 39540 61 328 59 329 64 332 67 343 39540 38126 68 325 65 336 66 338 77 349 38126 36809 71 324 68 340 69 348 80 351 36809 35541 66 323 68 343 75 355 78 357 35541 34256 59 336 66 347 79 355 82 004 34256 32928 69 354 66 349 78 353 84 004 32928 31554 78 355 66 349 74 352 84 003 31554 30121 78 351 64 346 70 353 81 005 30121 28616 78 347 61 343 69 352 79 006 28616 27041 79 345 59 341 68 350 73 003 27041 25398 80 342 59 340 66 347 65 358 25398 23689 80 340 58 342 63 346 60 354 23689 21920 80 339 58 344 59 346 54 347 21920 20086 78 339 57 345 55 349 50 345 20086 18180 73 341 55 348 52 355 46 352 18180 16236 67 344 54 349 50 360 43 001 16236 14358 64 346 53 351 47 003 41 007 14358 12644 62 347 52 353 46 006 38 012 12644 11116 59 350 51 359 47 011 37 016 11116 9755 55 356 47 006 47 016 38 021 9755 8545 50 003 41 011 42 019 38 026 8545 7472 44 008 35 013 36 020 34 031 7472 6522 39 009 30 013 29 020 29 033 6522 5685 36 006 27 009 26 015 24 031 5685 4946 34 001 26*003 26 010 21 025 4946 4284 32*358 22*352 24 005 23 018 4284 3700 27*354 21 350 22 001 28 013 3700 3213 24 352 20 348 21 360 30 010 3213 2839 23 352 19 348 19 359 26 007 2839 2582 21 351 18 347 17 359 19 006 2582 2426 19 351 17 347 15*359 14*006 2426 2337 11 351 11 346 9*359 5*005 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography