DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 72.7 - - 70.2 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 393 - - 147 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1675 - - 3315 - - 1980 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3232 - - 4561 - - 3206 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3997 - - 5637 - - 4303 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1366 - - 3386 - - 2022 - - 537 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 448 - - 272 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 355 - - 336 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5038 - - -4465 - - -4032 - - -2293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9036 - - 10103 - - 8335 - - 4632 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8022 - - -7319 - - -7992 - - -8820 ODpotential blCL - - - 12019 - - 12956 - - 12295 - - 11158 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 36 - - 43 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 72.7 - - 70.2 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 36.3 - - 41.7 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 70.3 - - 69.0 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 36.1 - - 41.6 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 393 - - 147 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1675 - - 3315 - - 1980 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98206 7 102 7 200 9 191 10 245 98206 90839 3 103 6 154 4 196 3 247 90839 85173 3 078 1 206 4 054 2 197 85173 80480 3 164 3 350 4 350 4 075 80480 76438 8 111 3 347 4 051 7 060 76438 72878 15 068 7 105 5 063 5 060 72878 69666 2 147 7 030 6 035 6 067 69666 66713 8 141 6 182 3 341 4 359 66713 63975 10 244 12 280 13 286 8 278 63975 61315 11 221 16 239 16 249 9 286 61315 58536 12 273 13 252 23 271 22 280 58536 55661 22 279 19 267 24 264 24 287 55661 52917 31 277 24 275 31 283 29 292 52917 50432 34 274 28 280 33 283 30 303 50432 48183 31 280 32 289 34 295 39 303 48183 46127 34 297 41 294 43 300 43 302 46127 44229 46 295 47 293 48 297 42 302 44229 42464 50 286 49 290 43 299 42 313 42464 40824 49 282 48 292 39 305 49 320 40824 39301 44 290 45 303 37 315 51 329 39301 37880 39 300 41 302 40 331 52 353 37880 36522 33 295 34 321 49 342 61 008 36522 35157 30 336 44 342 55 343 70 013 35157 33759 44 348 52 349 57 360 75 013 33759 32329 49 344 64 006 68 016 75 012 32329 30850 50 353 82 014 76 017 76 017 30850 29305 59 005 85 012 76 016 79 022 29305 27691 67 007 82 009 74 014 75 022 27691 26006 71 006 79 009 72 009 67 019 26006 24252 69 006 75 009 69 005 63 013 24252 22433 67 006 69 010 71 004 63 012 22433 20546 59 003 64 007 68 013 61 016 20546 18584 48 000 57 003 53 020 53 020 18584 16590 35 358 41 004 39 020 42 021 16590 14675 24 000 28 013 29 024 35 024 14675 12935 20 359 23 021 22 038 27 030 12935 11387 19 355 21 019 18 052 20 038 11387 10008 17 355 19 015 15 051 17 045 10008 8776 16 359 17 013 14 042 16 048 8776 7676 15 006 15 013 15 034 16 047 7676 6697 14 011 14 011 16 021 15 040 6697 5831 13 017 14*009 15 009 17 025 5831 5064 12 023 14*005 15 001 19 017 5064 4376 10*024 13 360 14*349 19 012 4376 3766 8*015 13 355 13*339 19 000 3766 3256 7 010 13 352 13 336 19 346 3256 2864 7 008 13 351 13 335 18 333 2864 2595 6 007 12 350 12 334 13 327 2595 2432 6 006 12 350 12 334 10*326 2432 2338 5 005 10 349 9 333 3*320 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography