DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Panoche 2486ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.4 - - 80.9 - - 87.3 - - 84.8 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 346 - - 477 - - 305 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2436 - - 4673 - - 1747 - - 315 BL Depth Hcrit 2486 - - 4021 - - 5851 - - 3478 - - 2486 Hcrit BL Top 2502 - - 4923 - - 7160 - - 4234 - - 2801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 329 - - 1266 - - 1958 - - 2865 - - 455 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 388 - - 536 - - 333 - - 30 W* B/S 5 - - 23 - - 23 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 216 - - 252 - - 310 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 10 - - 25 - - 9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5106 - - -6932 - - -5615 - - -7833 - - -5236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7609 - - 11856 - - 12775 - - 12068 - - 8038 sfcLCL ODpotential -13918 - - -13347 - - -11972 - - -13851 - - -13175 ODpotential blCL 16420 - - 18270 - - 19132 - - 18085 - - 15976 blCL maxRH 38 - - 27 - - 26 - - 26 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.4 - - 80.9 - - 87.3 - - 84.8 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.4 - - 38.0 - - 39.9 - - 40.6 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.3 - - 80.5 - - 85.6 - - 82.9 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 37.9 - - 39.9 - - 40.5 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 346 - - 477 - - 305 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2436 - - 4673 - - 1747 - - 315 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98972 19 100 21 096 23 119 14 113 19 090 98972 91869 16 096 13 096 17 103 15 109 16 104 91869 86318 18 095 14 104 18 092 19 100 18 115 86318 81682 19 094 15 105 15 087 18 098 17 111 81682 77686 21 092 18 109 14 095 18 092 20 102 77686 74159 20 095 20 113 12 110 16 093 18 103 74159 70966 18 095 19 110 13 116 15 096 17 104 70966 68033 15 104 17 111 12 118 11 097 14 105 68033 65321 13 115 15 122 12 133 8 118 10 109 65321 62702 10 130 14 133 13 155 8 157 3 126 62702 59987 7 170 8 172 9 181 9 191 6 235 59987 57196 11 201 12 215 11 233 11 232 10 242 57196 54548 16 230 17 228 19 238 20 247 18 259 54548 52170 22 240 21 241 24 249 27 259 28 264 52170 50039 30 249 30 256 34 260 37 266 37 264 50039 48099 38 251 40 258 43 261 45 265 44 264 48099 46312 44 250 44 257 46 261 48 264 47 267 46312 44651 45 250 45 258 49 263 51 266 52 273 44651 43097 46 253 46 260 51 266 53 269 57 277 43097 41634 48 257 49 262 52 266 56 270 60 279 41634 40248 50 261 51 264 52 266 56 270 60 278 40248 38903 53 263 53 265 52 266 56 268 57 276 38903 37531 54 266 54 267 51 266 53 267 54 273 37531 36103 53 267 53 269 50 267 49 267 50 270 36103 34624 49 267 50 269 48 268 44 268 47 269 34624 33079 43 265 46 269 45 269 41 270 42 270 33079 31451 37 261 41 267 42 269 39 271 39 272 31451 29740 34 258 37 262 39 267 37 270 37 273 29740 27943 32 255 35 257 38 263 36 267 36 273 27943 26065 32 254 34 255 38 260 36 266 34 273 26065 24110 31 252 32 255 36 261 36 266 32 272 24110 22075 31 248 31 253 34 263 35 267 31 271 22075 19952 30 244 30 250 31 262 33 268 30 271 19952 17786 28 245 30 247 30 258 31 265 28 272 17786 15698 24 247 29 246 30 254 29 262 26 274 15698 13798 20 248 26 247 28 252 26 259 23 275 13798 12111 17 247 22 246 24 247 22 253 19 272 12111 10613 16 246 19 244 21 240 19 243 15 263 10613 9284 16 245 18 242 18 233 17 229 13 251 9284 8106 16 245 16 240 13*224 14 212 11 238 8106 7063 14 242 14 236 7*207 10 197 10 220 7063 6146 11 237 11 224 5 206 9 194 10 209 6146 5335 9 225 9*204 4 219 6 207 9 214 5335 4612 7 211 5*189 4 258 5*229 8 235 4612 3975 6 202 3 204 5 285 7*301 9 264 3975 3446 3 206 3 222 6 289 9 311 11 297 3446 3042 0 142 3 234 6 292 10 312 13*308 3042 2766 1 033 3 239 6 292 10 312 12*310 2766 2599 1 063 3 243 6 293 10 312 11 310 2599 2503 1*083 3 243 6 293 9 311 9 310 2503 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography