DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 88.7 - - 87.2 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 297 - - 77 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1514 - - 3824 - - 3301 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3011 - - 4858 - - 3690 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3837 - - 6148 - - 5624 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1189 - - 1417 - - 1977 - - 366 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 429 - - 262 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 19 - - 57 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 221 - - 060 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 13 - - 25 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8330 - - -7936 - - -7284 - - -4857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12168 - - 14084 - - 12909 - - 7197 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15952 - - -14247 - - -13578 - - -13796 ODpotential blCL - - - 19789 - - 20395 - - 19202 - - 16135 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 38 - - 44 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 88.7 - - 87.2 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 35.0 - - 38.8 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 86.6 - - 86.4 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 34.6 - - 38.6 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 297 - - 77 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1514 - - 3824 - - 3301 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97884 7 333 7 246 14 282 10 311 97884 90629 5 120 2 120 4 223 2 350 90629 85050 4 137 1 297 6 115 5 101 85050 80406 4 072 5 165 5 083 7 071 80406 76395 3 069 5 136 5 073 8 065 76395 72853 5 095 4 083 6 073 10 080 72853 69650 5 089 3 129 4 073 4 086 69650 66706 4 185 5 219 4 276 5 309 66706 63984 2 216 6 259 4 250 10 277 63984 61374 8 311 12 272 10 286 11 276 61374 58667 16 299 16 263 17 268 17 273 58667 55878 24 292 19 275 24 265 24 264 55878 53228 35 291 28 291 28 275 25 265 53228 50831 42 286 35 285 33 275 30 276 50831 48666 44 282 39 280 41 278 40 280 48666 46689 46 283 43 280 46 279 49 276 46689 44865 48 287 46 282 50 280 53 276 44865 43166 52 290 50 287 55 281 59 279 43166 41571 55 292 53 290 60 282 65 278 41571 40070 55 292 53 291 59 282 64 278 40070 38656 52 294 52 292 55 284 60 280 38656 37295 45 298 52 293 52 287 56 283 37295 35918 33 297 38 289 48 289 50 287 35918 34499 20 291 19 281 39 287 39 289 34499 33042 12 288 15 290 23 277 34 287 33042 31530 6 298 15 295 20 276 28 277 31530 29948 7 315 12 284 19 292 25 277 29948 28298 10 319 10 272 14 297 14 283 28298 26580 10 325 8 282 9 287 7 272 26580 24797 6 322 5 284 6 285 5 283 24797 22951 6 335 2 173 3 273 4 285 22951 21031 3 005 5 116 3 140 2 237 21031 19031 3 078 6 142 5 151 5 186 19031 16989 5 112 6 161 7 164 7 178 16989 15021 3 117 4 169 6 157 9 169 15021 13233 2 172 2 187 5 148 9 153 13233 11644 3 192 3 210 4 159 6 139 11644 10225 4 178 5 207 6 196 5 184 10225 8958 5 173 7 202 11 203 10 216 8958 7827 4 179 8 204 11 195 13 214 7827 6823 3 189 6*209 7 182 14 203 6823 5935 3 191 5*216 4*181 11 188 5935 5148 3 176 4 220 2*175 8 181 5148 4442 4*161 4 221 1 143 6 155 4442 3814 4*155 4 222 1 054 5 117 3814 3289 4 155 4 224 2 034 7 077 3289 2884 3 154 4 224 2 030 7 057 2884 2605 3 155 4 224 2 025 6 038 2605 2436 3 155 4 225 2 026 5 020 2436 2339 3 153 3 224 2 024 3*007 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography