DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.3 - - 48.9 - - 54.9 - - 52.6 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 12 - - 113 - - 6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1369 - - 264 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2566 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2337 - - 3690 - - 2585 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 141 - - 498 - - 1665 - - 3305 - - 417 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 26 - - 226 - - 55 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 200 - - 217 - - 213 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2814 - - -3391 - - -1998 - - -2068 - - -419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5151 - - 5728 - - 5688 - - 4653 - - 2756 sfcLCL ODpotential -11469 - - -9941 - - -6076 - - -4618 - - -5387 ODpotential blCL 13806 - - 12278 - - 9766 - - 7203 - - 7724 blCL maxRH 60 - - 79 - - 83 - - 80 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.3 - - 48.9 - - 54.9 - - 52.6 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 32.4 - - 38.3 - - 40.5 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.9 - - 48.8 - - 54.1 - - 52.7 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 31.4 - - 37.2 - - 39.7 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 12 - - 113 - - 6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1369 - - 264 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 14 - - 31 - - 21 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95385 80 273 63 287 64 279 58 288 75 271 95385 88539 47 277 38 288 50 281 46 299 47 286 88539 83234 30 295 30 280 39 285 37 300 36 298 83234 78773 26 311 21 285 32 295 30 301 34 303 78773 74881 29 307 18 287 27 300 27 297 31 307 74881 71409 26 299 15 284 26 293 27 296 29 309 71409 68246 22 316 15 286 24 285 31 289 31 302 68246 65329 29 308 14 290 21 286 31 277 31 302 65329 62611 28 296 18 303 20 298 29 280 32 307 62611 59963 28 310 25 301 24 301 28 291 35 294 59963 57190 35 302 30 300 28 300 29 294 33 291 57190 54293 38 293 32 292 35 292 35 294 36 296 54293 51511 39 293 33 298 35 289 39 295 40 295 51511 49009 42 300 41 302 40 300 44 295 42 294 49009 46774 48 299 44 291 47 292 47 294 45 293 46774 44759 46 301 50 292 50 292 52 293 48 291 44759 42927 62 304 65 284 60 287 57 290 54 289 42927 41254 71 300 65 283 63 281 62 280 57 282 41254 39713 67 302 62 288 58 279 58 278 54 280 39713 38280 67 311 63 290 51 283 60 283 53 283 38280 36942 66 310 62 291 51 288 60 283 56 285 36942 35661 62 305 54 292 52 288 57 282 58 283 35661 34368 61 301 50 290 51 286 54 284 56 281 34368 33031 60 298 52 287 49 284 54 286 52 281 33031 31651 48 306 47 289 47 283 54 287 50 282 31651 30212 45 310 39 289 46 284 49 283 49 280 30212 28703 45 311 38 295 44 288 42 281 46 278 28703 27128 42 314 40 296 40 291 39 283 42 274 27128 25486 41 314 40 296 41 290 38 283 40 268 25486 23775 39 314 35 299 44 292 36 284 36 276 23775 22000 36 315 27 303 36 293 31 285 30 281 22000 20154 35 320 24 315 21 287 22 278 28 293 20154 18239 34 328 23 324 15 295 13 271 15 285 18239 16290 27 336 17 332 12 299 13 267 8 241 16290 14411 18 346 12 342 7 300 10 257 13 239 14411 12700 12 348 8 350 3 305 4 237 13 235 12700 11178 9 343 5 341 1 319 2 181 12 226 11178 9825 6 348 2 334 2 223 2 156 11 223 9825 8620 4 004 1 101 5 213 3 238 9 224 8620 7547 2 010 3 144 8 226 9 271 6 234 7547 6593 2 261 5 155 11 242 11 273 5 260 6593 5749 5 239 5 172 12 253 10 271 5 289 5749 5001 9 233 5 194 12 255 8 263 4 301 5001 4329 11 227 7 208 11 248 8 250 2 314 4329 3733 13 219 9 212 10*229 8 233 1 133 3733 3235 14 213 10 211 9*220 8 220 3 175 3235 2853 13 209 10 208 8 217 7 215 5 179 2853 2589 11 207 8 206 8 216 7*213 5 173 2589 2429 8 206 5 205 7 215 6*213 4 163 2429 2337 4*204 3*200 6 216 4 213 3*155 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography