DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.7 - - 46.9 - - 48.9 - - 47.0 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 43 - - 72 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 941 - - 2957 - - 1040 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 3514 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3262 - - 5278 - - 3361 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1714 - - 2283 - - 2516 - - 3949 - - 1741 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 150 - - 259 - - 57 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 265 - - 300 - - 315 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -4 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -222 - - 74 - - 1669 - - 642 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2559 - - 3188 - - 3609 - - 2720 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential -3038 - - -1180 - - 372 - - -348 - - -1573 ODpotential blCL 5375 - - 4442 - - 4906 - - 3709 - - 3910 blCL maxRH 92 - - 94 - - 91 - - 90 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 60 - - 120 - - 170 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 39.7 - - 46.9 - - 48.9 - - 47.0 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 41.2 - - 41.2 - - 43.2 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.8 - - 46.4 - - 48.2 - - 47.1 - - 43.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 40.0 - - 39.9 - - 42.4 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 43 - - 72 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 941 - - 2957 - - 1040 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 77 - - 62 - - 60 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96326 41 298 45 294 44 293 43 288 45 286 96326 89126 35 305 26 305 26 303 27 293 31 295 89126 83554 28 292 24 307 20 307 20 306 25 300 83554 78921 18 295 17 308 19 289 20 310 22 306 78921 74938 16 310 11 320 12 295 19 287 19 323 74938 71416 18 291 13 305 17 319 21 294 21 307 71416 68233 16 290 15 288 18 294 18 303 15 292 68233 65298 13 296 13 291 18 275 15 292 17 325 65298 62553 23 280 27 280 26 288 28 292 24 308 62553 59882 26 267 36 272 36 281 34 282 29 296 59882 57099 30 271 31 275 34 272 31 277 31 282 57099 54213 44 280 36 281 36 271 33 278 32 275 54213 51451 57 276 46 270 44 268 42 279 38 280 51451 48952 65 271 53 264 56 269 50 276 44 279 48952 46701 70 267 63 267 63 267 56 270 49 270 46701 44651 78 264 74 267 65 266 57 265 52 262 44651 42768 86 263 83 266 71 266 59 263 55 264 42768 41029 94 262 93 265 80 265 66 266 66 266 41029 39416 101 260 105 262 93 264 83 264 75 262 39416 37914 106 257 108 259 104 260 92 258 80 260 37914 36507 105 254 103 257 105 256 90 256 78 261 36507 35164 101 254 95 257 100 254 91 260 80 264 35164 33822 105 257 92 258 95 257 94 261 82 264 33822 32452 111 256 96 259 97 258 96 260 82 262 32452 31055 112 256 101 258 97 259 93 260 80 262 31055 29613 106 256 102 258 99 262 95 261 81 260 29613 28113 97 255 97 259 103 262 99 260 82 259 28113 26554 91 256 86 259 93 260 90 260 76 260 26554 24934 88 258 78 259 73 261 72 258 68 261 24934 23256 83 257 71 260 68 262 65 259 64 265 23256 21519 76 258 69 261 64 265 57 265 56 268 21519 19723 67 259 65 261 51 267 46 278 45 275 19723 17860 55 260 56 261 39 271 42 285 37 277 17860 15964 47 261 41 265 30 274 34 282 32 277 15964 14138 37 263 27 278 22 279 26 272 27 274 14138 12476 26 267 20 281 16 278 20 268 21 273 12476 10997 17 275 16 276 12 272 14 267 16 275 10997 9679 12 281 10 270 9 272 12 275 13 275 9679 8502 10 286 5 268 8 281 10 286 10 273 8502 7453 9 287 4 280 9 297 8 291 8 273 7453 6519 10 287 6 288 10 304 6 285 6 277 6519 5693 12 288 10 289 11*304 5 281 6 279 5693 4959 13 292 13 289 11*303 5 286 5 279 4959 4299 15 296 14 288 10 301 6 298 6 283 4299 3714 16 297 13*285 10 300 7*310 7 291 3714 3224 15 296 11*277 9 299 7*314 8 300 3224 2846 13 293 9 263 9 298 7 315 8 306 2846 2586 9 288 8 259 8 298 7 316 8 309 2586 2428 6*285 7 258 7 299 6 315 6*307 2428 2337 3*276 6 258 6 298 4 315 3*305 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography