DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 82.5 - - 82.2 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 391 - - 203 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1514 - - 3300 - - 2073 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3127 - - 4556 - - 3429 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3837 - - 5623 - - 4397 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1096 - - 1418 - - 2551 - - 732 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 450 - - 311 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 61 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 339 - - 345 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 16 - - 12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5407 - - -5144 - - -5808 - - -4979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9245 - - 10768 - - 10206 - - 7318 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12413 - - -10450 - - -10479 - - -12000 ODpotential blCL - - - 16250 - - 16073 - - 14876 - - 14339 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 70 - - 73 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 82.5 - - 82.2 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 43.4 - - 45.6 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.4 - - 80.0 - - 80.7 - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 42.5 - - 44.9 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 391 - - 203 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1514 - - 3300 - - 2073 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97745 13 248 13 275 10 282 10 237 97745 90283 11 268 7 267 15 277 7 232 90283 84584 5 208 8 238 15 289 3 329 84584 79896 2 134 6 232 9 297 7 015 79896 75872 6 041 3 266 8 304 9 006 75872 72323 9 011 5 350 6 338 8 346 72323 69119 8 347 4 352 7 347 10 338 69119 66179 8 331 2 319 8 312 10 341 66179 63447 9 312 2 310 7 286 4 293 63447 60794 8 282 8 288 7 294 6 241 60794 58034 6 242 13 253 10 277 9 257 58034 55188 7 239 15 238 16 265 15 280 55188 52489 10 257 15 241 18 250 19 266 52489 50066 12 270 13 244 16 241 19 249 50066 47900 22 269 23 263 19 260 25 250 47900 45950 31 263 33 262 31 263 34 252 45950 44181 35 267 39 263 40 260 42 252 44181 42551 37 272 41 267 43 260 45 251 42551 41023 39 273 42 267 42 260 42 249 41023 39581 35 269 38 263 39 259 40 250 39581 38218 32 266 35 259 37 261 38 252 38218 36899 31 264 33 258 36 260 35 253 36899 35562 30 265 31 259 34 258 34 253 35562 34175 27 266 30 260 32 255 33 252 34175 32744 26 266 28 261 30 254 32 252 32744 31252 26 264 27 259 28 254 31 254 31252 29687 26 257 26 255 27 250 28 255 29687 28051 25 251 24 248 25 248 26 254 28051 26346 23 247 23 239 21 244 22 251 26346 24577 20 243 20 233 18 233 19 245 24577 22747 15 237 17 225 17 225 20 234 22747 20849 12 223 15 215 15 224 17 228 20849 18878 10 210 13 210 11 219 11 224 18878 16870 6 215 9 210 7 201 8 206 16870 14930 3 241 4 200 6 157 7 165 14930 13159 5 208 4 187 5 166 7 147 13159 11577 12 189 10 193 11 200 7 198 11577 10166 17 182 15 192 18 201 13 215 10166 8907 16 177 18 187 22 197 17 215 8907 7786 12 176 17 182 20 189 18 210 7786 6789 8 180 8 169 9 170 17 201 6789 5907 5 186 4*145 6 152 10 184 5907 5125 4 197 2*132 3 125 5 149 5125 4422 3*213 1 109 2*068 3 108 4422 3799 2*256 2 338 4*355 3 061 3799 3277 3 293 3 330 5 346 5 005 3277 2877 4 298 3 327 5 343 8 348 2877 2602 4 299 3 326 6 342 8 342 2602 2435 4 298 3 326 5 341 7*341 2435 2339 4 299 3 326 5 340 5*340 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography