DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 55.3 - - 54.3 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 148 - - 54 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1318 - - 2400 - - 2540 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2703 - - 3552 - - 2775 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3640 - - 4722 - - 4861 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 950 - - 1888 - - 1165 - - 1852 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 300 - - 226 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 346 - - 340 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 322 - - 1245 - - 550 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3318 - - 3477 - - 4311 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6103 - - 582 - - -4408 - - -1032 ODpotential blCL - - - 9743 - - 4140 - - 9269 - - 3370 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 95 - - 78 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 55.3 - - 54.3 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 48.3 - - 43.6 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 54.3 - - 53.8 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 47.0 - - 42.3 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 148 - - 54 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1318 - - 2400 - - 2540 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 81 - - 13 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96348 11 298 24 268 22 307 16 316 96348 89214 4 323 16 273 16 297 14 318 89214 83742 5 356 6 305 4 293 10 301 83742 79228 7 355 9 319 6 338 6 298 79228 75346 4 336 11 311 8 320 12 341 75346 71915 4 262 12 281 12 301 15 328 71915 68797 9 274 13 269 14 289 11 301 68797 65908 17 279 16 264 17 283 14 269 65908 63204 25 276 23 270 24 272 20 270 63204 60554 33 271 30 265 32 261 31 270 60554 57769 41 270 36 267 37 266 42 273 57769 54878 45 272 44 273 44 272 44 274 54878 52119 39 275 42 268 42 268 43 266 52119 49620 34 288 42 282 38 282 29 266 49620 47350 46 286 49 286 45 296 32 295 47350 45266 51 274 54 280 52 289 44 296 45266 43340 50 269 57 272 57 281 55 284 43340 41563 51 276 55 271 61 279 62 281 41563 39930 58 278 58 278 68 280 70 287 39930 38438 64 277 67 278 74 281 71 288 38438 37075 66 274 64 277 65 281 58 283 37075 35778 64 267 59 277 51 287 50 303 35778 34471 59 264 48 278 56 309 63 316 34471 33124 56 267 45 291 66 311 69 316 33124 31737 55 269 54 299 68 308 69 312 31737 30293 52 271 60 297 67 304 66 307 30293 28782 49 276 59 292 64 302 63 304 28782 27202 50 281 55 290 63 300 62 303 27202 25554 43 281 52 292 63 300 61 303 25554 23841 40 298 50 295 62 301 61 302 23841 22064 46 309 51 298 60 301 61 302 22064 20216 43 306 48 297 56 302 59 303 20216 18291 37 305 47 299 54 305 54 305 18291 16329 31 305 43 307 51 310 47 310 16329 14437 29 302 35 306 45 312 43 315 14437 12713 33 304 33 297 38 305 43 317 12713 11176 31 308 35 298 37 304 45 321 11176 9809 22 310 34 307 36 314 44 328 9809 8596 15 309 28 316 34 330 38 337 8596 7520 13 311 22 325 29 343 30 344 7520 6567 14 321 16 341 21 353 23 345 6567 5726 14 334 16 350 15 357 19 344 5726 4982 15 346 16*350 14*354 18 342 4982 4315 16 348 16*349 14*346 21 336 4315 3725 16*343 16 347 14 342 23 329 3725 3231 14*334 15 345 14 340 23 325 3231 2851 14 332 15 344 13 338 21 322 2851 2588 13 332 14 343 13 337 16 319 2588 2429 12 331 13 343 12 337 13*317 2429 2338 9 331 10 342 8 336 6*312 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography