DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 58.5 - - 56.8 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 99 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 132 - - 729 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2453 - - 3050 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 497 - - 939 - - 1562 - - 312 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 61 - - 175 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 25 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 152 - - 188 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2888 - - -2202 - - -2216 - - -419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5342 - - 5252 - - 4554 - - 2756 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10286 - - -8011 - - -8137 - - -9516 ODpotential blCL - - - 12739 - - 11061 - - 10475 - - 11853 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 65 - - 59 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 58.5 - - 56.8 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 43.7 - - 44.9 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 57.8 - - 57.2 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 42.8 - - 44.1 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 99 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 132 - - 729 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96677 25 080 14 075 24 087 14 113 96677 89475 24 100 17 081 28 083 24 094 89475 83883 16 097 15 076 23 079 24 093 83883 79245 14 094 10 096 13 064 23 082 79245 75248 12 082 9 116 9 007 18 063 75248 71704 11 047 7 088 15 004 16 056 71704 68493 10 360 5 029 13 354 13 041 68493 65534 9 346 4 325 11 332 13 008 65534 62791 12 334 12 328 14 315 14 324 62791 60138 17 322 15 312 12 288 14 300 60138 57372 24 307 21 296 17 291 19 304 57372 54500 29 288 32 287 29 293 28 300 54500 51754 29 276 34 279 34 288 33 289 51754 49280 27 278 30 279 33 277 32 286 49280 47067 28 278 28 280 28 273 30 286 47067 45065 31 279 28 280 21 283 24 300 45065 43239 39 268 28 277 18 306 19 315 43239 41569 36 256 26 273 20 310 16 340 41569 40032 30 253 25 278 22 308 21 021 40032 38603 31 265 28 280 24 304 37 040 38603 37263 37 266 32 278 22 306 45 043 37263 35971 34 265 31 276 21 314 38 036 35971 34662 28 267 28 277 21 317 24 021 34662 33310 24 268 24 275 19 312 19 020 33310 31919 23 266 18 277 17 305 19 024 31919 30472 21 259 18 291 16 304 19 014 30472 28956 21 262 22 292 17 306 14 353 28956 27374 24 273 24 294 20 302 12 332 27374 25722 24 280 24 287 21 300 13 320 25722 24005 22 293 24 279 21 296 15 305 24005 22223 21 294 22 285 20 298 17 301 22223 20371 20 287 18 292 20 305 17 309 20371 18439 20 286 19 282 17 296 16 310 18439 16468 21 281 21 274 17 284 15 304 16468 14567 19 277 20 270 17 287 13 304 14567 12834 14 276 16 273 15 295 12 306 12834 11290 10 279 12 280 12 298 10 303 11290 9915 9 286 9 284 9 296 9 296 9915 8688 8 294 7 289 7 289 8 289 8688 7597 8 296 7 295 6 286 7 284 7597 6628 6 291 6 301 5 290 5 282 6628 5772 5 282 4 303 4 294 4 290 5772 5015 3 268 2 288 3 286 4 306 5015 4338 2 250 2 250 2 260 5 318 4338 3738 2 259 2 239 3 251 5 327 3738 3238 3 250 2*224 3 240 5 336 3238 2854 3 214 1*165 3 228 4 003 2854 2589 3*201 1 151 2 200 4 037 2589 2429 2*189 1 147 2*193 5 050 2429 2337 1 184 1 144 1*188 4*056 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography