DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 69.8 - - - - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 300 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2185 - - 5296 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3547 - - 6008 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4508 - - 7618 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2480 - - 3083 - - - - - 1049 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 484 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 214 - - - - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -461 - - 898 - - - - - -952 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4969 - - 6720 - - - - - 3290 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2205 - - -6 - - - - - -3762 ODpotential blCL - - - 6713 - - 7624 - - - - - 6100 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 79 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 350 - - - - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 69.8 - - - - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 48.3 - - - - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 67.8 - - - - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 47.4 - - - - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 300 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2185 - - 5296 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 16 - - - - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97126 40 284 38 275 42 272 97126 89748 27 266 30 275 36 284 89748 84097 22 273 21 266 27 304 84097 79477 20 295 18 260 24 289 79477 75549 20 302 15 285 16 278 75549 72075 17 295 19 290 13 286 72075 68888 12 295 20 280 13 293 68888 65921 12 307 21 269 18 293 65921 63147 16 301 19 259 18 280 63147 60450 20 289 15 272 14 271 60450 57620 23 270 18 269 17 266 57620 54670 18 255 22 259 23 252 54670 51854 17 253 25 258 24 247 51854 49324 21 257 29 258 20 253 49324 47061 27 251 31 251 20 262 47061 45008 28 250 29 241 26 254 45008 43130 32 253 28 242 28 240 43130 41408 39 247 32 246 30 238 41408 39825 40 241 34 245 37 236 39825 38366 40 236 37 242 43 230 38366 37012 38 230 40 237 44 226 37012 35720 38 231 39 228 47 224 35720 34420 41 235 38 227 50 220 34420 33078 42 232 40 229 51 218 33078 31693 40 231 41 230 50 219 31693 30249 38 232 40 230 48 221 30249 28736 37 234 36 230 43 224 28736 27158 36 234 35 231 37 224 27158 25516 37 235 36 230 34 226 25516 23811 37 235 36 229 33 229 23811 22043 36 236 36 231 33 227 22043 20208 35 238 36 234 34 223 20208 18298 33 239 33 235 31 219 18298 16354 27 238 29 230 27 212 16354 14480 21 227 25 217 25 207 14480 12775 19 217 22 206 24 205 12775 11257 19 214 20 203 22 202 11257 9904 18 214 18 201 20 197 9904 8696 18 213 16 200 20 194 8696 7616 16 212 13*199 18 196 7616 6654 14 215 11*201 17 201 6654 5800 12 220 10 205 16 209 5800 5043 11*226 9 210 15 216 5043 4362 9*232 8 215 13 222 4362 3757 7 242 8 220 11 239 3757 3250 7 247 8 224 10 275 3250 2862 7 250 7 227 9 297 2862 2594 6 252 7 228 9 301 2594 2432 6 252 7 228 8 301 2432 2338 5 254 6 230 5*301 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography