DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.7 - - 93.6 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 442 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4008 - - 6968 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5036 - - 7500 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6332 - - 9292 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4343 - - 3250 - - - - - 1006 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 450 - - 600 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 296 - - - - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5392 - - -3501 - - - - - -7614 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11725 - - 12794 - - - - - 9953 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10007 - - -8766 - - - - - -14961 ODpotential blCL - - - 16339 - - 18058 - - - - - 17300 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 38 - - - - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.7 - - 93.6 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 45.3 - - - - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.4 - - 90.9 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 44.5 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 442 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4008 - - 6968 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99314 40 111 45 110 36 108 99314 91795 38 110 40 108 37 106 91795 86000 36 113 32 111 32 098 86000 81195 28 112 23 098 30 098 81195 77073 28 106 23 101 25 102 77073 73454 24 108 20 111 24 099 73454 70185 22 105 24 127 26 104 70185 67193 20 121 20 131 20 112 67193 64433 15 150 17 149 17 121 64433 61763 18 164 16 174 12 133 61763 58973 19 166 20 183 9 180 58973 56091 21 194 25 210 16 218 56091 53353 31 196 36 205 27 217 53353 50887 33 211 42 210 37 216 50887 48675 48 223 52 214 44 220 48675 46674 56 219 55 215 48 223 46674 44850 55 217 52 214 48 225 44850 43167 47 216 48 213 48 226 43167 41596 45 223 45 218 47 223 41596 40117 47 226 45 221 46 223 40117 38720 48 225 46 222 45 224 38720 37371 49 225 46 224 44 224 37371 36002 49 226 44 226 42 225 36002 34584 49 229 41 226 41 226 34584 33121 49 231 39 225 40 228 33121 31598 48 233 38 225 38 228 31598 30007 43 235 35 224 35 226 30007 28351 35 230 32 212 31 220 28351 26627 28 226 27 206 28 214 26627 24836 23 229 24 207 26 217 24836 22978 19 226 23 214 24 225 22978 21046 15 210 21 219 21 232 21046 19037 18 208 19 225 18 235 19037 16993 16 220 16 237 11 236 16993 15028 11 231 12 237 7 220 15028 13246 7 224 11 216 8 210 13246 11662 9 208 8 207 12 195 11662 10250 10 220 6*206 12 192 10250 8986 9 242 4*212 9 203 8986 7855 6 261 3 229 7 227 7855 6848 4*281 3 253 6 255 6848 5955 3*328 4 292 6 284 5955 5162 5 349 5 301 8 305 5162 4449 5 350 8 311 12 319 4449 3817 6 349 9 313 17 323 3817 3290 6 347 9 313 20 323 3290 2884 6 344 10 314 17 320 2884 2606 6 343 10 314 14 319 2606 2437 6 343 9 314 12 318 2437 2339 5 342 8 313 7*317 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography