DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 49.8 - - - - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 98 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3010 - - 3346 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3857 - - 4015 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5331 - - 5667 - - - - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2754 - - 3052 - - - - - 5955 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 299 - - 297 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 258 - - - - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -14 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1562 - - 2003 - - - - - -787 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3769 - - 3664 - - - - - 3124 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 495 - - 701 - - - - - -1503 ODpotential blCL - - - 4836 - - 4966 - - - - - 3840 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 92 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 230 - - - - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 49.8 - - - - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 41.8 - - - - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 49.2 - - - - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 40.6 - - - - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 98 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3010 - - 3346 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 69 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97340 41 280 43 267 53 273 97340 89973 39 284 48 278 48 278 89973 84295 38 274 48 273 36 285 84295 79570 41 260 41 264 35 282 79570 75501 30 254 34 254 38 268 75501 71930 21 240 28 241 35 260 71930 68699 23 241 26 237 23 257 68699 65696 30 234 32 237 20 255 65696 62881 30 229 35 240 25 261 62881 60152 25 257 27 233 31 256 60152 57313 24 259 25 267 30 260 57313 54365 33 268 35 264 29 278 54365 51547 43 259 40 268 36 286 51547 49013 43 258 46 271 40 283 49013 46739 44 268 49 274 43 282 46739 44674 52 275 53 274 46 284 44674 42783 59 278 57 274 49 284 42783 41038 66 277 60 275 56 277 41038 39424 74 271 64 273 60 269 39424 37930 79 267 69 271 59 266 37930 36541 83 266 75 271 60 268 36541 35217 88 264 78 270 65 267 35217 33891 91 263 77 272 68 267 33891 32534 93 262 78 277 69 269 32534 31145 95 261 83 279 69 269 31145 29709 95 260 83 277 68 268 29709 28210 93 260 75 275 67 267 28210 26646 88 259 64 282 64 268 26646 25019 80 260 60 289 60 269 25019 23331 75 261 56 291 54 272 23331 21583 70 262 54 290 44 278 21583 19775 60 265 51 286 34 276 19775 17898 48 268 49 284 29 270 17898 15987 44 274 44 282 24 287 15987 14145 40 268 34 281 20 299 14145 12471 33 258 25 270 14 293 12471 10984 28 254 23 259 14 270 10984 9666 25 255 23 254 13 256 9666 8494 23 261 23 255 11 251 8494 7451 21 264 23 257 10 257 7451 6521 19 266 22 258 10 263 6521 5696 18*267 22*258 10 271 5696 4964 17*265 21*258 11 280 4964 4304 14 261 19 258 12 290 4304 3718 12 254 18 258 13 296 3718 3227 12 253 17 258 13 300 3227 2849 11 251 16 257 12 301 2849 2588 11 251 15 257 11 301 2588 2429 10 250 14 257 9 301 2429 2337 8 251 10 257 5*301 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography