DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 50.1 - - 48.8 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 46 - - 2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 541 - - 1376 - - 1116 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2862 - - 3697 - - 3437 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2093 - - 1971 - - 1729 - - 1168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 115 - - 172 - - 75 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 217 - - 204 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 524 - - 1296 - - 924 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2338 - - 2402 - - 2513 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 133 - - 536 - - 50 - - -3090 ODpotential blCL - - - 2729 - - 3161 - - 3387 - - 5427 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 50.1 - - 48.8 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 47.5 - - 45.8 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 49.7 - - 48.9 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 46.7 - - 45.2 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 46 - - 2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 541 - - 1376 - - 1116 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 96 - - 80 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96000 33 004 31 009 30 003 25 007 96000 89020 26 033 25 023 24 026 21 014 89020 83592 18 047 15 013 20 021 15 011 83592 79064 13 050 7 010 12 001 8 356 79064 75131 4 087 5 325 7 348 2 321 75131 71633 4 161 6 311 4 007 1 315 71633 68455 5 177 7 262 7 282 5 310 68455 65534 2 116 4 215 11 240 14 249 65534 62836 7 283 4 273 9 217 11 224 62836 60208 10 285 12 273 10 249 13 247 60208 57449 13 273 16 255 19 251 18 245 57449 54580 17 256 16 252 19 245 25 243 54580 51837 26 255 18 259 24 249 32 249 51837 49368 31 252 29 258 34 249 34 249 49368 47147 29 249 37 255 38 245 32 248 47147 45120 29 247 38 252 33 249 35 260 45120 43257 35 242 40 253 41 254 44 264 43257 41540 40 236 48 251 49 255 57 267 41540 39958 37 234 52 247 57 258 63 267 39958 38500 34 243 52 245 61 262 64 271 38500 37142 43 249 50 253 70 265 67 279 37142 35836 50 243 53 263 74 264 74 280 35836 34514 49 236 59 265 73 263 80 279 34514 33146 45 242 63 266 69 265 84 277 33146 31736 47 246 70 267 68 267 84 277 31736 30268 46 244 76 267 66 266 81 279 30268 28731 43 244 79 267 62 264 77 279 28731 27130 39 241 76 268 58 263 69 276 27130 25470 33 232 73 267 55 261 57 272 25470 23751 28 216 68 268 53 261 51 268 23751 21973 26 203 60 268 51 265 45 266 21973 20128 27 201 52 268 50 270 42 267 20128 18206 28 203 41 266 46 270 40 269 18206 16247 30 209 33 259 37 267 35 270 16247 14360 34 214 30 257 31 266 29 269 14360 12645 37 217 28 254 23 261 23 268 12645 11124 37 221 27 246 19 255 14 258 11124 9775 34 225 28 239 18 251 9 242 9775 8576 31 227 29 236 18 248 8 251 8576 7509 29 226 28 233 19 245 10 264 7509 6561 29 225 27 230 20 238 11 266 6561 5721 29 225 26 225 20 226 13 255 5721 4978 28 225 26 222 21 213 14 239 4978 4310 27 224 25 220 23 207 18 221 4310 3720 26 222 25*219 23*205 21 210 3720 3227 25*221 23*218 22*205 23 202 3227 2849 23*221 22 217 20 204 21 199 2849 2587 20 220 19 217 17 204 17 197 2587 2428 18 220 17 217 15 204 12 196 2428 2337 11 221 11 216 9 204 5*195 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography