DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 55.0 - - - - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 272 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2904 - - 3608 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4096 - - 4667 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5225 - - 5929 - - - - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2880 - - 2862 - - - - - 3049 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 369 - - 412 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 324 - - 338 - - - - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 910 - - 725 - - - - - -160 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4315 - - 5205 - - - - - 2497 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -369 - - -30 - - - - - -1010 ODpotential blCL - - - 5594 - - 5959 - - - - - 3347 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 82 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 180 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 55.0 - - - - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 40.3 - - - - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 53.3 - - - - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 39.3 - - - - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 272 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2904 - - 3608 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 26 - - - - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97328 44 277 60 272 54 280 97328 89989 52 281 55 275 49 280 89989 84301 52 276 43 274 45 279 84301 79558 45 272 35 269 43 281 79558 75480 34 266 33 273 40 275 75480 71888 27 257 35 260 35 268 71888 68635 24 261 36 252 30 274 68635 65638 23 265 33 252 28 276 65638 62856 24 261 28 262 30 264 62856 60155 24 263 23 266 26 260 60155 57329 25 267 22 279 21 272 57329 54397 29 281 27 284 23 296 54397 51601 28 280 28 288 29 300 51601 49087 25 283 30 291 33 304 49087 46833 28 285 31 291 35 308 46833 44788 26 287 31 292 33 308 44788 42912 25 290 32 297 33 309 42912 41182 25 289 34 301 34 323 41182 39578 23 294 33 303 40 328 39578 38086 25 303 28 310 44 329 38086 36692 25 305 28 327 42 330 36692 35359 23 317 32 337 40 335 35359 34023 24 305 37 341 38 339 34023 32661 23 328 36 350 39 348 32661 31275 21 337 44 349 41 357 31275 29844 22 342 41 359 45 006 29844 28357 19 344 43 009 45 007 28357 26812 14 326 40 009 41 006 26812 25203 12 297 31 008 36 013 25203 23528 10 299 24 015 35 011 23528 21786 9 313 21 020 35 008 21786 19971 7 335 18 016 35 010 19971 18080 7 005 15 010 32 011 18080 16150 8 038 11 011 27 009 16150 14290 9 051 8 026 21 008 14290 12598 11 046 7 030 15 009 12598 11092 12 036 6 038 8 008 11092 9754 12 020 6 043 5 351 9754 8563 11 003 5 028 6 329 8563 7503 11 357 6 013 8 339 7503 6559 10 353 9*352 12 346 6559 5725 10*346 11*343 15 346 5725 4984 10*335 11 340 16 340 4984 4318 10 326 12 338 17 334 4318 3727 10 323 12 337 17 326 3727 3233 10 322 12 336 16 319 3233 2852 10 321 12 336 15 316 2852 2589 9 320 11 335 12 314 2589 2429 9 320 10 335 10 313 2429 2337 7 319 9 335 5*310 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography