DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 81.1 - - 79.8 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 481 - - 278 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2295 - - 4807 - - 2658 - - 290 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3768 - - 5795 - - 3950 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4618 - - 7130 - - 4981 - - 2612 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1052 - - 1321 - - 3457 - - 603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 388 - - 542 - - 370 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 18 - - 15 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 186 - - 328 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 19 - - 38 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2371 - - -2099 - - -3622 - - -2950 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6989 - - 9229 - - 8603 - - 5562 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7854 - - -7043 - - -8081 - - -9810 ODpotential blCL - - - 12472 - - 14173 - - 13062 - - 12422 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 55 - - 64 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 81.1 - - 79.8 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 48.7 - - 50.2 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 78.3 - - 78.0 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 48.4 - - 50.1 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 481 - - 278 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2295 - - 4807 - - 2658 - - 290 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99177 36 110 29 110 28 094 40 103 99177 91786 35 112 27 125 25 102 32 097 91786 86088 27 119 30 124 26 117 24 100 86088 81333 22 115 26 109 28 124 17 108 81333 77222 18 116 19 105 25 111 18 110 77222 73576 16 116 16 109 18 105 18 097 73576 70275 16 102 11 126 9 114 12 105 70275 67244 15 101 15 138 8 140 9 110 67244 64438 9 137 16 141 12 147 9 131 64438 61730 18 155 14 184 7 183 9 146 61730 58901 12 185 21 188 15 197 12 167 58901 55958 26 222 21 205 18 219 13 206 55958 53143 36 215 28 214 26 224 21 222 53143 50616 33 217 34 227 34 228 32 236 50616 48365 32 218 40 223 42 227 41 238 48365 46345 31 229 38 226 44 230 42 238 46345 44511 32 237 37 234 41 233 42 238 44511 42827 29 244 35 238 45 240 43 243 42827 41270 28 251 31 243 47 242 45 246 41270 39813 27 251 30 253 44 243 45 245 39813 38437 26 250 29 259 39 246 42 245 38437 37106 25 249 27 262 36 249 40 245 37106 35753 24 247 24 260 34 252 36 243 35753 34349 23 244 23 254 31 252 34 244 34349 32898 21 240 21 247 27 247 33 244 32898 31389 20 238 20 242 25 245 32 241 31389 29811 18 235 19 242 23 243 29 239 29811 28163 18 232 19 243 22 241 25 239 28163 26446 17 225 17 244 20 240 21 234 26446 24661 16 218 17 235 18 233 19 224 24661 22811 17 213 17 224 17 222 19 219 22811 20892 18 212 16 217 17 215 18 219 20892 18898 18 212 15 210 14 208 14 206 18898 16870 16 211 15 205 13 206 12 180 16870 14918 15 211 15 205 13 208 11 174 14918 13140 13 205 14 203 13 209 9 181 13140 11556 12 193 14 197 13 205 10 196 11556 10144 11 181 15 192 15 189 13 200 10144 8885 11 170 15 185 13 164 17 194 8885 7764 12 166 10*172 11 149 20 181 7764 6770 14 166 7*171 9 147 15 160 6770 5891 14 166 6 174 6 147 10 142 5891 5113 10*168 6 180 3*145 6 129 5113 4412 7*180 5 188 1*010 4 111 4412 3791 5 200 5 193 4 331 3 069 3791 3272 5 207 5 198 5 328 5 354 3272 2874 5 213 5 200 6 326 8*331 2874 2600 4 215 5 203 6 326 8*327 2600 2434 4 216 5 202 6 325 7 326 2434 2339 4 216 4 202 5 324 5 325 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography