DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.6 - - 90.6 - - 93.6 - - 85.3 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 319 - - 470 - - 320 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2757 - - 4642 - - 1245 - - 279 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 4074 - - 5660 - - 2968 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 5080 - - 6966 - - 3568 - - 2602 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 205 - - 3407 - - 4045 - - 702 - - 437 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 394 - - 533 - - 303 - - 47 W* B/S 1 - - 21 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 15 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 333 - - 246 - - 221 - - 293 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 12 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 11 - - 16 - - -9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8650 - - -9687 - - -7601 - - -8729 - - -6446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10989 - - 14768 - - 14568 - - 12298 - - 9049 sfcLCL ODpotential -15215 - - -14048 - - -10007 - - -13067 - - -14334 ODpotential blCL 17554 - - 19128 - - 16973 - - 16635 - - 16936 blCL maxRH 33 - - 36 - - 32 - - 24 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 75.6 - - 90.6 - - 93.6 - - 85.3 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 33.6 - - 37.3 - - 39.7 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.9 - - 88.3 - - 90.7 - - 83.3 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 33.1 - - 36.7 - - 39.3 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 319 - - 470 - - 320 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2757 - - 4642 - - 1245 - - 279 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99075 43 110 34 121 30 092 38 099 43 087 99075 91696 41 106 37 106 35 113 36 101 33 108 91696 85994 36 099 35 105 35 098 34 111 28 108 85994 81229 28 101 26 095 29 103 29 093 28 113 81229 77124 25 103 23 104 24 104 22 098 24 086 77124 73494 25 109 19 107 16 110 16 095 18 081 73494 70208 17 091 15 110 12 115 10 120 13 062 70208 67206 8 059 12 093 10 113 8 109 4 081 67206 64443 0 324 6 070 4 076 3 084 5 100 64443 61777 3 002 5 045 5 152 4 196 2 021 61777 59009 4 177 7 275 4 244 3 247 4 291 59009 56156 7 123 9 202 15 222 11 254 5 294 56156 53438 10 311 6 288 13 237 16 251 10 252 53438 50992 14 280 10 266 15 239 18 243 17 239 50992 48805 15 271 12 256 15 235 23 251 28 249 48805 46812 19 268 17 255 16 251 25 251 33 251 46812 44961 29 269 24 274 21 268 30 256 40 256 44961 43229 43 267 36 268 31 263 38 252 49 250 43229 41600 51 255 49 255 44 255 45 248 52 250 41600 40071 56 252 57 249 56 248 55 259 57 259 40071 38641 63 251 62 248 61 255 60 258 60 259 38641 37270 66 251 66 251 69 255 62 252 61 254 37270 35888 68 249 68 250 70 249 66 248 67 252 35888 34461 67 250 69 249 69 247 70 247 73 251 34461 32990 64 251 67 251 71 249 72 249 73 252 32990 31462 61 252 63 253 71 253 75 253 72 257 31462 29862 55 251 55 251 59 254 70 257 64 260 29862 28196 48 247 51 246 52 245 57 253 54 258 28196 26465 44 243 49 242 54 240 52 246 51 250 26465 24668 44 238 48 239 57 241 56 241 55 245 24668 22808 42 238 46 236 54 240 56 243 53 247 22808 20886 34 236 39 231 46 234 48 245 45 252 20886 18899 23 224 30 222 38 227 40 248 39 254 18899 16881 18 216 26 217 33 222 34 242 35 247 16881 14937 16 219 24 217 31 219 31 230 33 237 14937 13165 16 220 23 216 28 215 30 222 32 231 13165 11584 18 220 22 214 25 207 28 216 30 230 11584 10173 18 221 20 212 22 200 25 209 28 229 10173 8913 14 217 17 205 19 196 22 202 25 228 8913 7789 9 204 15 197 16*195 19 200 23 228 7789 6788 6 177 13 195 14*196 17 202 21 231 6788 5903 5 156 10 193 13 200 16 208 20 238 5903 5119 3 139 7*193 11 207 15 218 20 250 5119 4415 2 114 4*207 10 220 14 231 20 267 4415 3791 1 093 3 237 9 239 14*268 22 286 3791 3272 3 357 3 251 9 250 16*291 22 298 3272 2873 6 340 4 261 9 254 16 293 20*302 2873 2600 8 329 4 265 9 257 16 294 16*303 2600 2434 7 332 4 266 9 257 15 294 14 303 2434 2339 2*333 3 268 8 257 11 294 9 302 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography