DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 63.6 - - 60.2 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 75 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 727 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 3049 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 373 - - 996 - - 1493 - - 320 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 160 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 52 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 203 - - 005 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6440 - - -4664 - - -3781 - - -936 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8778 - - 7713 - - 6119 - - 3273 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14498 - - -11121 - - -10335 - - -10967 ODpotential blCL - - - 16836 - - 14170 - - 12673 - - 13304 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 40 - - 45 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 63.6 - - 60.2 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 38.3 - - 41.9 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 62.9 - - 61.1 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 37.3 - - 41.0 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 75 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 727 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96509 21 027 21 026 27 077 19 056 96509 89602 35 070 31 074 37 086 40 085 89602 84135 27 075 25 074 26 095 38 091 84135 79572 20 087 19 070 19 088 30 084 79572 75651 19 085 17 082 18 081 26 084 75651 72183 21 081 19 098 15 087 21 080 72183 69033 18 073 19 092 16 094 12 070 69033 66140 9 067 12 080 17 087 10 078 66140 63460 3 058 5 025 11 065 9 058 63460 60866 3 014 8 332 10 026 11 027 60866 58167 10 000 11 332 9 004 9 354 58167 55354 16 350 12 336 11 342 13 335 55354 52643 14 335 15 324 17 330 20 329 52643 50176 10 322 17 310 20 321 18 324 50176 47943 8 319 17 304 20 310 16 313 47943 45902 10 327 16 306 19 304 19 309 45902 44027 12 330 15 313 18 303 25 313 44027 42299 14 324 16 315 20 317 27 314 42299 40699 17 311 18 311 19 335 27 331 40699 39219 18 303 21 317 32 333 30 358 39219 37849 17 306 22 317 36 335 53 013 37849 36537 16 315 20 328 38 339 75 004 36537 35204 19 329 25 351 37 345 76 004 35204 33821 28 346 43 358 40 345 70 012 33821 32393 32 348 49 349 38 338 51 009 32393 30912 34 347 46 356 31 341 36 342 30912 29365 32 347 38 005 25 343 32 329 29365 27750 31 349 27 003 21 345 23 320 27750 26062 28 352 21 349 26 336 19 319 26062 24304 22 351 19 339 31 343 27 319 24304 22482 16 349 18 334 25 345 25 333 22482 20594 11 327 14 330 16 341 20 339 20594 18634 9 293 11 322 12 330 18 328 18634 16636 8 275 8 316 12 326 17 329 16636 14708 6 245 4 291 10 324 13 338 14708 12952 5 212 3 261 8 323 9 355 12952 11389 5 199 4 244 7 334 8 014 11389 9998 5 200 4 230 6 343 6 024 9998 8759 6 197 5 210 4 343 3 042 8759 7655 7 193 6 192 1 330 3 104 7655 6676 8 190 7 182 2 174 5 133 6676 5811 10 187 8 179 4 163 6 138 5811 5045 10 185 8 175 5 160 7 137 5045 4359 10 180 7 172 5 161 6 136 4359 3753 9 178 5 173 0 151 4 122 3753 3247 7 181 2*197 2 334 5 033 3247 2858 6 191 1*217 2 332 8 010 2858 2592 5 202 1 203 2 347 7 007 2592 2430 2*218 0 196 1 001 6 013 2430 2337 1*322 0 183 1*005 3*014 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography