DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 73.5 - - 69.5 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 270 - - 387 - - 166 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1283 - - 2904 - - 1283 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2947 - - 4242 - - 2763 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3605 - - 5226 - - 3605 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 908 - - 1909 - - 1542 - - 476 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 288 - - 427 - - 245 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 248 - - 300 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 3 - - -9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4560 - - -4821 - - -5342 - - -1058 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8166 - - 10048 - - 8948 - - 3396 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9203 - - -9694 - - -9730 - - -7444 ODpotential blCL - - - 12808 - - 14920 - - 13335 - - 9782 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 85 - - 47 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 73.5 - - 69.5 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 37.4 - - 38.4 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 71.2 - - 68.2 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 37.2 - - 38.3 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 270 - - 387 - - 166 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1283 - - 2904 - - 1283 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 41 - - 0 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98430 4 113 14 139 9 228 6 264 98430 91023 6 126 8 171 8 152 3 131 91023 85326 3 154 3 064 8 153 1 156 85326 80607 5 182 4 041 7 084 7 130 80607 76552 4 109 2 123 9 065 7 059 76552 72984 2 023 0 113 7 034 7 015 72984 69763 9 137 5 205 3 016 7 038 69763 66799 8 149 4 226 2 219 6 256 66799 64050 6 238 10 263 10 263 11 258 64050 61386 15 242 18 242 15 257 15 265 61386 58607 17 253 20 247 21 250 21 261 58607 55732 27 256 27 249 28 253 29 255 55732 52991 35 264 35 260 34 260 32 250 52991 50507 45 262 44 262 40 267 37 260 50507 48270 52 258 50 260 47 263 46 261 48270 46230 55 256 56 257 49 258 48 258 46230 44347 60 252 61 254 53 257 54 265 44347 42597 64 249 67 252 60 258 62 264 42597 40963 68 247 74 250 66 254 65 258 40963 39426 72 245 78 247 66 249 62 251 39426 37973 77 245 78 246 63 250 59 249 37973 36567 80 244 76 246 66 255 60 254 36567 35149 82 240 77 244 73 255 70 255 35149 33700 83 236 80 239 78 250 78 251 33700 32227 83 235 80 237 79 244 82 246 32227 30712 77 235 75 236 78 241 78 243 30712 29145 68 235 69 236 73 238 72 241 29145 27521 61 234 65 236 65 239 65 240 27521 25839 57 232 61 236 58 241 59 239 25839 24098 54 232 55 236 56 242 54 241 24098 22295 48 232 49 236 52 244 48 243 22295 20425 42 232 45 236 46 242 43 237 20425 18484 38 232 39 237 40 239 41 230 18484 16512 33 233 31 239 34 235 35 227 16512 14614 28 233 24 238 26 229 26 227 14614 12886 23 231 20 230 20 221 19 233 12886 11346 19 224 19 219 18 219 15 246 11346 9972 17 214 19 211 16 221 11 257 9972 8746 17 208 19 207 13 216 8 261 8746 7653 19 206 18 205 11 208 6 249 7653 6681 19 204 15 204 10 209 5 230 6681 5819 20 202 11*206 9 218 5 236 5819 5054 19 199 9*216 8 237 5 265 5054 4367 17 200 8 231 9 259 8 299 4367 3757 13*205 8 253 11*291 12 317 3757 3248 8*230 8 258 12*299 17 321 3248 2859 8 236 9 262 13 299 20 317 2859 2592 7 238 9 264 12 300 16 316 2592 2430 7 240 8 265 12 300 14*315 2430 2338 6 240 7 265 9 300 6*314 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography