DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 79.8 - - 82.1 - - 78.7 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 349 - - 470 - - 270 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 156 - - 2165 - - 3168 - - 1812 - - 276 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3662 - - 4504 - - 3330 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2479 - - 4488 - - 5491 - - 4135 - - 2598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 837 - - 1497 - - 1627 - - 1212 - - 490 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 376 - - 470 - - 325 - - 34 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 16 - - 13 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 000 - - 340 - - 326 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -6 - - -7 - - -8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5390 - - -6133 - - -4832 - - -5244 - - -4760 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7870 - - 10621 - - 10323 - - 9379 - - 7358 sfcLCL ODpotential -13531 - - -12162 - - -10203 - - -10646 - - -13354 ODpotential blCL 16010 - - 16650 - - 15694 - - 14781 - - 15952 blCL maxRH 35 - - 46 - - 45 - - 45 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 79.8 - - 82.1 - - 78.7 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.5 - - 41.5 - - 44.9 - - 45.7 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 77.6 - - 79.4 - - 76.9 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 40.8 - - 44.3 - - 45.3 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 349 - - 470 - - 270 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 156 - - 2165 - - 3168 - - 1812 - - 276 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97864 7 094 13 109 4 129 7 083 2 018 97864 90405 10 098 11 119 4 093 7 098 9 098 90405 84675 10 070 5 082 2 036 6 043 14 084 84675 79923 10 063 7 048 3 080 4 011 13 043 79923 75864 11 020 9 001 6 053 5 015 10 014 75864 72299 6 352 11 316 7 017 6 034 5 354 72299 69068 7 308 15 303 10 321 9 341 8 025 69068 66095 15 298 19 307 21 319 19 332 10 004 66095 63341 20 307 21 296 25 309 28 315 15 326 63341 60672 25 316 22 304 27 305 32 306 31 312 60672 57892 32 309 30 309 32 302 35 302 37 308 57892 55028 37 305 36 303 36 303 35 302 39 308 55028 52318 42 310 39 305 39 303 40 303 43 308 52318 49902 40 306 36 306 36 308 39 300 44 304 49902 47764 33 309 33 313 38 317 39 313 39 300 47764 45854 28 303 31 303 35 311 36 314 33 297 45854 44117 22 317 23 303 31 303 34 322 35 320 44117 42504 24 346 22 322 29 312 33 319 37 324 42504 40987 25 352 21 322 29 319 32 313 34 316 40987 39551 20 346 17 310 31 322 34 316 32 310 39551 38188 15 339 16 309 29 317 33 314 32 305 38188 36867 14 326 18 308 25 304 26 298 32 301 36867 35523 15 311 22 302 24 299 30 304 32 302 35523 34127 14 306 22 306 25 306 32 311 33 308 34127 32684 13 303 22 311 27 312 33 314 34 314 32684 31180 14 295 24 308 26 309 32 311 35 316 31180 29606 19 306 26 308 26 301 32 303 37 314 29606 27964 22 314 25 307 26 297 33 300 38 311 27964 26256 24 313 23 300 28 297 35 300 39 309 26256 24485 22 308 22 292 30 294 36 299 39 308 24485 22650 19 301 24 296 28 300 36 301 41 308 22650 20743 18 307 25 316 31 314 36 310 43 308 20743 18761 19 316 28 329 33 323 37 317 42 310 18761 16748 20 326 26 333 32 329 35 321 39 314 16748 14813 19 334 24 336 30 331 32 324 35 318 14813 13054 17 339 22 338 28 331 30 326 32 324 13054 11489 15 340 21 336 26 331 28 330 29 328 11489 10093 14 343 21 334 23 331 26 334 27 331 10093 8847 14 349 19 335 21 335 24 338 24 332 8847 7733 17 354 18 337 18 342 20 340 22 333 7733 6743 20 358 17 342 14 349 16 344 19 334 6743 5867 23 004 17 351 13*351 14 352 18 336 5867 5091 27 010 17*001 12*348 14 352 18 340 5091 4394 32 011 17*003 13 343 14*344 19 341 4394 3777 33 008 17 002 13 339 15*331 21 336 3777 3262 28 004 16 360 13 338 15 327 21 328 3262 2868 21 356 15 358 13 337 15 325 18*321 2868 2597 15*352 14 357 13 336 14 324 14*317 2597 2433 13*351 13 356 12 335 13 323 12 316 2433 2339 8 350 10 356 10 335 10 323 8 314 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography