DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.7 - - 64.2 - - 68.3 - - 67.6 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 346 - - 385 - - 248 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 338 - - 1559 - - 1796 - - 1300 - - 312 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3213 - - 3412 - - 2939 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2659 - - 3881 - - 4118 - - 3622 - - 2634 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 361 - - 784 - - 1636 - - 960 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 336 - - 365 - - 283 - - 73 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 275 - - 297 - - 303 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - -5 - - -10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -559 - - -1544 - - -2664 - - -4406 - - -3076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3218 - - 5425 - - 6783 - - 8028 - - 5710 sfcLCL ODpotential -7027 - - -6137 - - -6115 - - -8443 - - -8240 ODpotential blCL 9686 - - 10018 - - 10233 - - 12065 - - 10874 blCL maxRH 85 - - 81 - - 95 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 53.7 - - 64.2 - - 68.3 - - 67.6 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.6 - - 48.4 - - 46.6 - - 40.5 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 62.1 - - 66.0 - - 65.8 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.1 - - 47.7 - - 45.9 - - 39.9 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 346 - - 385 - - 248 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 338 - - 1559 - - 1796 - - 1300 - - 312 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 22 - - 80 - - 75 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98330 16 101 18 123 7 116 13 100 10 113 98330 90879 7 097 7 134 9 133 8 147 5 106 90879 85140 1 127 5 113 8 122 9 149 7 107 85140 80393 1 195 10 110 7 147 8 132 12 104 80393 76306 7 114 12 126 14 123 11 120 13 095 76306 72704 15 107 12 133 17 111 16 109 10 091 72704 69468 17 112 11 149 8 117 17 085 13 106 69468 66513 17 101 12 148 9 176 6 063 15 107 66513 63771 9 092 10 125 10 175 5 221 8 081 63771 61105 6 099 8 126 12 174 13 219 4 271 61105 58310 2 335 3 171 9 173 10 216 11 240 58310 55388 9 260 9 267 10 273 8 261 12 238 55388 52583 16 262 13 276 16 275 14 281 15 257 52583 50052 19 282 14 285 19 269 21 275 19 269 50052 47780 25 284 18 283 20 268 23 270 20 270 47780 45715 25 279 24 279 22 276 25 273 21 269 45715 43827 28 282 30 278 25 276 22 271 23 264 43827 42089 35 278 36 278 28 275 23 268 24 262 42089 40477 41 274 43 272 34 277 26 267 27 259 40477 38972 45 269 51 265 48 273 29 270 27 255 38972 37567 49 265 51 261 59 267 39 265 27 256 37567 36225 50 261 50 260 63 262 48 256 33 256 36225 34880 46 258 45 256 59 258 56 252 49 253 34880 33503 43 257 42 254 56 255 59 248 60 247 33503 32088 41 257 44 250 53 252 55 246 52 239 32088 30617 41 258 45 249 49 249 52 247 48 238 30617 29079 42 260 44 248 43 247 45 247 44 235 29079 27473 41 261 41 246 41 242 39 245 41 232 27473 25799 38 261 39 245 41 239 37 239 36 229 25799 24061 34 260 37 245 39 241 34 236 31 228 24061 22261 33 259 34 247 35 244 33 238 28 229 22261 20394 33 260 30 251 30 244 31 240 26 234 20394 18453 27 261 24 252 25 238 28 232 23 241 18453 16481 20 262 18 247 20 228 25 220 26 236 16481 14586 15 265 14 242 17 222 21 212 28 222 14586 12866 12 265 13 235 14 220 17 211 23 213 12866 11333 10 267 11 228 12 218 13 212 16 206 11333 9966 8 276 8 222 9 216 9 210 11 198 9966 8746 6 286 6 222 7 215 6 197 11 188 8746 7655 6 289 5 225 5 217 6 185 8 178 7655 6683 6 291 5 231 4 214 4 195 5 159 6683 5821 6 293 4 251 3 237 4 225 4 162 5821 5056 7 296 5 268 4 260 5 252 3 194 5056 4369 7 295 6*273 5*278 7 278 3 229 4369 3759 8 290 7*274 6*291 11*298 4 271 3759 3251 11 291 7 274 7 296 12*302 8 304 3251 2861 12*291 7 275 8 298 12 303 10*307 2861 2594 9*289 7 276 8 299 12 303 9*306 2594 2431 8 288 7 276 8 299 11 303 8 306 2431 2338 6 288 6 275 7 299 9 303 5 304 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography