DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/25 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1553z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 55.7 - - 55.8 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 390 - - 226 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2030 - - 2377 - - 2713 - - 631 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3487 - - 3848 - - 3924 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4351 - - 4699 - - 5034 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 645 - - 1008 - - 1058 - - 877 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 402 - - 351 - - 115 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 305 - - 319 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -6 - - -9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 839 - - 581 - - 612 - - 471 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3512 - - 4118 - - 4422 - - 2481 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 677 - - 545 - - -385 - - -110 ODpotential blCL - - - 3674 - - 4154 - - 5419 - - 3062 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 95 - - 88 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 55.7 - - 55.8 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 45.8 - - 44.5 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 53.5 - - 54.3 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 45.0 - - 43.8 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 390 - - 226 - - 34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2030 - - 2377 - - 2713 - - 631 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 81 - - 53 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98172 19 256 22 279 18 277 20 287 98172 90704 11 263 14 268 18 291 18 298 90704 84950 2 224 10 234 16 283 13 311 84950 80202 7 097 3 149 4 285 6 331 80202 76141 9 117 7 120 4 108 6 036 76141 72563 10 128 10 145 6 129 3 072 72563 69312 6 187 9 178 3 238 3 017 69312 66301 9 224 11 217 11 254 8 304 66301 63494 14 220 16 228 14 244 14 269 63494 60766 16 227 18 229 15 240 16 253 60766 57906 21 245 21 250 18 259 21 261 57906 54923 26 254 24 263 22 271 27 266 54923 52080 25 264 25 277 27 278 29 277 52080 49553 26 286 30 296 32 292 29 293 49553 47312 31 296 41 299 37 301 37 297 47312 45294 31 294 35 301 41 308 44 303 45294 43462 29 317 43 318 49 315 54 311 43462 41779 44 326 50 316 52 310 65 322 41779 40216 48 332 49 321 55 316 75 322 40216 38753 55 341 59 326 58 317 73 311 38753 37386 59 344 64 324 62 323 65 301 37386 36081 60 345 62 326 67 324 66 301 36081 34764 61 344 60 328 68 322 73 311 34764 33398 63 342 60 329 66 319 90 316 33398 31986 60 343 59 332 64 319 99 314 31986 30515 57 342 57 334 61 323 106 318 30515 28975 57 339 52 328 58 324 91 320 28975 27364 58 339 52 323 56 320 85 315 27364 25679 51 341 53 326 55 316 70 306 25679 23923 44 336 49 330 52 314 64 302 23923 22108 39 331 42 329 49 321 56 302 22108 20231 32 334 33 324 44 323 45 301 20231 18283 26 336 29 322 39 323 37 302 18283 16304 21 327 26 324 32 317 31 301 16304 14410 17 321 22 324 26 312 26 304 14410 12694 16 324 19 320 21 314 24 315 12694 11170 13 328 16 321 18 322 23 323 11170 9815 10 333 14 328 16 328 21 329 9815 8607 11 340 12 337 16 335 21 333 8607 7531 12 338 10 351 15 341 20 336 7531 6576 12 330 9 003 12 343 19 340 6576 5731 10 311 8 355 11*335 17 343 5731 4983 11*292 8*332 11*331 17 341 4983 4313 11*286 10*311 13 323 19 332 4313 3721 11 284 11 306 14 318 22 319 3721 3228 11 284 11 304 14 316 22*313 3228 2849 11 283 11 303 14 315 20*310 2849 2587 10 283 11 302 14 314 18 309 2587 2428 10 283 10 301 13 313 16 309 2428 2337 8 282 9 301 10 312 10 306 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography