DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 67.1 - - 73.5 - - 69.7 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 52 - - 163 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 446 - - 1985 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2322 - - 3270 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2768 - - 4307 - - 2339 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 97 - - 760 - - 1764 - - 2746 - - 385 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 120 - - 284 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 118 - - 185 - - 198 - - 184 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5015 - - -7474 - - -7590 - - -7097 - - -4319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7353 - - 10242 - - 11898 - - 9436 - - 6658 sfcLCL ODpotential -14607 - - -14522 - - -13618 - - -12368 - - -12112 ODpotential blCL 16945 - - 17290 - - 17925 - - 14707 - - 14450 blCL maxRH 25 - - 27 - - 25 - - 30 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 67.1 - - 73.5 - - 69.7 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.8 - - 31.1 - - 29.7 - - 36.9 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.7 - - 66.6 - - 72.3 - - 70.3 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.7 - - 30.0 - - 28.8 - - 36.4 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 52 - - 163 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 446 - - 1985 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96788 38 288 41 287 54 292 45 289 55 294 96788 89652 25 294 30 298 32 291 33 291 34 298 89652 84157 21 297 24 300 27 300 23 305 27 300 84157 79600 19 299 22 302 25 295 28 306 31 309 79600 75650 19 300 22 284 21 291 26 295 33 305 75650 72133 20 299 19 267 24 287 26 287 35 293 72133 68945 26 291 19 269 27 283 26 280 32 291 68945 66016 29 276 21 267 28 277 21 280 26 280 66016 63317 27 252 26 244 28 273 24 281 21 273 63317 60714 20 272 25 251 31 267 26 260 26 248 60714 58012 33 283 31 262 34 250 32 251 33 248 58012 55242 39 263 35 250 40 244 46 257 43 247 55242 52607 33 244 37 246 42 238 51 247 42 244 52607 50215 33 279 43 272 43 257 48 249 47 255 50215 48054 53 289 52 275 51 265 52 256 56 260 48054 46084 60 284 52 270 54 268 67 266 71 264 46084 44274 57 278 54 267 59 269 72 265 79 262 44274 42593 49 272 49 262 63 266 65 259 71 256 42593 41024 35 269 43 254 53 259 57 259 61 254 41024 39552 26 271 40 253 41 248 46 251 60 258 39552 38167 25 283 37 252 38 245 41 241 51 251 38167 36828 27 295 36 257 38 249 36 244 41 234 36828 35471 28 305 34 270 39 256 35 247 38 235 35471 34068 32 313 33 281 37 261 35 251 38 239 34068 32622 35 318 30 287 34 263 32 249 39 233 32622 31115 32 322 24 287 28 259 32 243 40 231 31115 29536 23 326 17 279 22 247 31 235 36 226 29536 27888 12 319 9 259 19 228 27 227 31 223 27888 26171 10 318 5 257 16 214 21 220 27 225 26171 24387 9 346 2 328 10 186 15 192 23 220 24387 22544 3 027 2 156 9 166 14 175 19 199 22544 20646 7 170 7 169 12 163 15 181 18 193 20646 18682 9 184 11 178 14 168 17 180 19 194 18682 16685 7 198 10 181 14 173 15 185 16 200 16685 14762 5 179 10 186 15 186 14 196 13 210 14762 13010 6 165 11 194 14 193 13 204 12 209 13010 11448 6 202 12 206 12 195 12 200 13 188 11448 10055 7 217 12 208 11 194 12 188 15 168 10055 8813 9 207 13 207 13 192 13 183 18 167 8813 7706 12 196 16 206 16 192 16 186 18 170 7706 6722 15 191 19 203 19 194 18 190 18 175 6722 5852 18 188 21 202 19 198 17 193 17 178 5852 5081 19 185 21 202 18 201 15 195 15 184 5081 4389 17 181 20 201 16*202 14 193 13 193 4389 3776 14 178 19 196 14*199 12 191 13 198 3776 3264 12 177 16 190 13 198 11 191 13 196 3264 2869 10 176 12*187 12 197 10 188 12 193 2869 2598 8 170 8*186 11 196 9 186 9 188 2598 2433 5 157 7 184 10 196 8*185 6 181 2433 2338 1*118 5 185 8 196 5*184 1*138 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography