DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 67.8 - - 73.4 - - 71.2 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 191 - - 331 - - 168 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1291 - - 5775 - - 2405 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2861 - - 6429 - - 3591 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3613 - - 8098 - - 4727 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 297 - - 3736 - - 2897 - - 5698 - - 746 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 263 - - 515 - - 308 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 346 - - 333 - - 317 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -2 - - -12 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -922 - - -1981 - - 300 - - -2086 - - -1630 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3260 - - 5595 - - 7798 - - 6814 - - 3968 sfcLCL ODpotential -5965 - - -3677 - - -1371 - - -3384 - - -5052 ODpotential blCL 8303 - - 7290 - - 9469 - - 8111 - - 7390 blCL maxRH 71 - - 64 - - 62 - - 55 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 140 - - 100 - - 280 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 67.8 - - 73.4 - - 71.2 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 51.4 - - 47.2 - - 49.4 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 66.5 - - 71.4 - - 70.0 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.2 - - 50.2 - - 46.1 - - 48.7 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 191 - - 331 - - 168 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1291 - - 5775 - - 2405 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96687 36 291 33 280 44 276 35 280 40 278 96687 89408 32 292 23 293 30 278 33 279 34 278 89408 83915 21 296 17 306 21 271 30 276 26 289 83915 79401 17 317 12 296 21 277 24 285 20 300 79401 75498 18 318 10 305 16 258 17 286 16 307 75498 72023 18 314 12 304 10 244 12 279 11 297 72023 68849 16 305 13 298 11 271 9 282 8 288 68849 65900 15 302 12 304 16 277 12 291 12 296 65900 63149 17 297 11 314 16 270 20 280 15 279 63149 60474 21 287 18 297 16 277 17 278 18 282 60474 57680 25 276 24 284 16 288 19 277 22 271 57680 54783 26 274 28 264 25 275 24 266 26 264 54783 52004 25 277 27 255 32 265 25 262 27 259 52004 49487 31 269 31 262 34 266 29 270 27 260 49487 47230 35 266 33 266 36 265 38 270 32 264 47230 45194 38 266 38 265 37 265 40 267 37 269 45194 43344 43 268 39 262 38 259 40 265 43 270 43344 41657 46 265 37 263 37 256 44 266 47 268 41657 40110 46 256 39 263 37 259 47 266 47 268 40110 38677 45 247 39 259 38 261 46 265 46 269 38677 37337 43 242 35 262 39 259 43 263 46 270 37337 36047 43 242 33 263 39 258 41 262 44 270 36047 34741 44 244 34 261 39 257 41 261 38 268 34741 33390 43 249 33 260 39 258 41 261 35 266 33390 31995 39 253 34 261 38 260 41 261 34 263 31995 30539 37 257 35 259 36 259 40 263 35 258 30539 29014 37 256 36 258 35 258 38 266 36 256 29014 27420 37 254 35 258 35 258 35 266 33 254 27420 25758 34 252 35 251 35 257 32 262 30 254 25758 24031 30 249 34 243 31 255 29 258 27 251 24031 22239 27 248 31 241 30 247 26 253 25 247 22239 20379 23 247 27 242 30 240 25 244 24 245 20379 18448 18 245 23 242 27 238 25 241 24 246 18448 16483 14 237 19 235 22 244 22 247 22 251 16483 14591 12 231 16 230 17 250 17 256 17 256 14591 12871 10 241 14 239 14 255 12 260 11 259 12871 11342 9 260 11 255 12 265 10 257 9 259 11342 9979 6 283 7 271 9 279 8 259 8 257 9979 8760 8 324 7 314 8*308 8 274 8 261 8760 7671 15 336 13 334 9*324 9 292 8 273 7671 6699 20 339 17 336 10 332 9 303 8 287 6699 5837 23 342 18 337 10 335 9 311 9 301 5837 5071 24 346 18 343 10 335 10*316 9 311 5071 4382 25 350 17 350 10 334 11*317 10 318 4382 3770 26 351 15*352 10 334 11 318 14 321 3770 3259 25 348 13*350 11 332 12 318 17 318 3259 2866 23 342 11 346 10 332 12 317 17 314 2866 2596 17 336 10 345 10 331 12 317 13 312 2596 2432 12*333 9 344 10 331 11 317 11 311 2432 2338 4*327 8 344 8 331 9 317 6*308 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography