DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 57.8 - - 65.9 - - 60.3 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - -6 - - 67 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 649 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2971 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 87 - - 311 - - 745 - - 1274 - - 168 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 17 - - 149 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 199 - - 204 - - 205 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 1 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -477 - - -2232 - - -3541 - - -2169 - - -245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2816 - - 4570 - - 6512 - - 4508 - - 2583 sfcLCL ODpotential -9725 - - -9325 - - -8952 - - -7904 - - -8334 ODpotential blCL 12063 - - 11663 - - 11923 - - 10242 - - 10672 blCL maxRH 73 - - 52 - - 48 - - 60 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 57.8 - - 65.9 - - 60.3 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.6 - - 46.1 - - 45.7 - - 48.7 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 58.3 - - 65.4 - - 61.1 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.1 - - 44.9 - - 44.8 - - 48.0 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - -6 - - 67 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 649 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 13 051 19 350 20 343 21 023 14 003 96301 89274 25 048 14 044 13 021 16 035 22 042 89274 83797 19 028 13 062 14 018 16 031 20 034 83797 79248 12 026 16 056 13 047 15 024 21 032 79248 75332 13 029 17 045 15 068 13 041 16 046 75332 71879 16 043 15 033 16 063 14 053 17 067 71879 68757 18 042 12 020 12 051 16 054 19 059 68757 65882 19 023 10 009 12 019 12 052 15 036 65882 63211 17 009 11 000 14 360 8 038 12 022 63211 60623 16 006 9 354 13 347 8 003 10 007 60623 57922 16 344 12 352 12 342 9 354 8 007 57922 55114 14 327 13 356 12 342 10 358 7 008 55114 52416 9 327 11 010 7 343 8 355 5 352 52416 49965 3 019 7 024 5 020 5 017 3 359 49965 47744 7 096 4 107 3 052 3 035 4 087 47744 45708 7 086 9 124 7 147 6 184 4 133 45708 43837 0 177 8 111 9 167 11 210 6 227 43837 42116 6 232 4 207 12 219 14 213 12 242 42116 40525 9 230 7 232 14 220 16 215 15 241 40525 39041 13 240 8 233 14 223 19 216 19 237 39041 37653 18 243 12 235 20 225 23 224 23 230 37653 36323 25 244 24 235 27 231 28 227 27 227 36323 34984 29 236 33 232 33 228 35 226 33 226 34984 33604 30 234 35 229 36 223 42 224 37 225 33604 32187 31 235 35 227 40 224 47 224 43 222 32187 30716 32 232 35 225 43 225 49 224 47 220 30716 29177 32 228 32 222 41 222 49 222 47 218 29177 27570 27 221 28 217 34 215 47 221 45 218 27570 25894 16 204 23 205 28 207 42 217 42 216 25894 24155 12 181 17 184 23 198 33 209 35 212 24155 22358 12 174 15 166 19 176 22 193 26 200 22358 20497 11 169 15 158 19 166 20 177 24 189 20497 18562 9 172 15 155 18 174 20 184 21 195 18562 16589 7 175 14 159 16 179 15 196 13 203 16589 14685 6 170 12 181 14 181 12 191 9 191 14685 12948 7 179 12 202 12 192 11 194 8 182 12948 11397 9 183 11 202 11 200 11 199 8 183 11397 10013 9 184 12 191 11 196 12 198 10 182 10013 8777 8 175 12 178 12 188 12 190 12 179 8777 7675 6 169 11 170 11 183 12 183 13 176 7675 6695 7 174 11 170 10 185 11 180 14 170 6695 5828 7 179 11 175 9 189 10 181 14 163 5828 5060 9 182 11 182 9 195 10 186 12 156 5060 4372 10 183 12 189 9 199 9 194 10 155 4372 3762 12 186 12 194 9 198 8 201 7 173 3762 3253 14 192 14 196 8*199 5 209 6 192 3253 2863 15 195 15 197 6*203 5 214 6 188 2863 2594 15 195 13 198 6 205 4 208 5 171 2594 2431 12*194 11 198 5 205 3 207 3*137 2431 2338 4*192 4*199 4 206 2*205 3*105 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography