DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Panoche 2320ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.1 - - 49.7 - - 47.2 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 78 - - 0 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 319 - - 1452 - - 545 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2640 - - 3773 - - 2866 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 519 - - 765 - - 771 - - 331 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 101 - - 209 - - 46 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 139 - - 055 - - 104 - - 084 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -665 - - -685 - - -682 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3305 - - 4458 - - 3548 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8008 - - -7199 - - -6429 - - -7230 ODpotential blCL - - - 10648 - - 10972 - - 9295 - - 9567 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 70 - - 73 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.1 - - 49.7 - - 47.2 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 38.6 - - 40.1 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 49.0 - - 47.4 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 37.4 - - 39.0 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 78 - - 0 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 319 - - 1452 - - 545 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96366 13 070 13 018 27 046 21 064 96366 89318 18 063 10 053 14 041 11 055 89318 83871 9 058 10 052 3 001 10 015 83871 79306 0 225 6 027 5 270 11 326 79306 75330 10 333 11 345 7 319 5 288 75330 71790 14 316 13 318 16 338 7 002 71790 68572 13 286 13 276 19 323 15 354 68572 65616 13 309 12 279 15 308 16 332 65616 62889 17 306 15 298 11 308 12 325 62889 60249 14 302 14 302 11 318 7 337 60249 57474 14 318 14 314 13 326 11 337 57474 54576 17 330 15 326 18 327 14 328 54576 51812 18 322 14 323 15 318 14 349 51812 49332 12 298 14 322 10 340 15 353 49332 47113 8 341 18 309 12 333 17 338 47113 45112 23 011 21 324 10 003 17 019 45112 43285 36 342 21 349 29 018 27 043 43285 41598 27 336 35 001 48 011 42 024 41598 40032 17 324 42 006 48 013 52 030 40032 38565 14 325 47 022 49 027 44 044 38565 37184 18 000 51 026 61 036 45 057 37184 35860 34 024 46 024 65 038 59 064 35860 34525 48 022 47 023 64 037 65 057 34525 33151 43 016 50 016 64 037 62 046 33151 31740 30 000 46 001 66 035 62 040 31740 30276 24 341 44 345 62 033 61 040 30276 28747 25 332 41 339 53 030 55 042 28747 27153 24 346 32 338 42 024 49 040 27153 25496 37 007 20 343 36 015 45 040 25496 23778 44 015 21 332 34 013 39 038 23778 22003 35 015 27 339 35 017 35 031 22003 20161 28 348 29 356 33 018 32 028 20161 18245 28 341 22 359 26 018 25 029 18245 16294 25 350 20 356 18 007 17 020 16294 14415 21 008 19 001 16 001 14 012 14415 12705 19 020 16 007 11 010 10 023 12705 11181 17 023 12 010 8 016 8 036 11181 9821 14 025 8 010 7 009 7 030 9821 8608 11 035 4 012 5 001 4 025 8608 7529 10 048 2 020 3 003 1 077 7529 6572 9 055 2 037 3 018 3 159 6572 5727 7 058 2 043 3 027 4 163 5727 4980 4 060 3 037 3 036 4 151 4980 4310 2 069 4*037 2 037 3 125 4310 3717 1 112 5*046 1 115 2 088 3717 3222 3 129 6 054 3*127 5 089 3222 2844 5*136 6 056 3*112 8 093 2844 2584 5*137 6 057 3 103 9 091 2584 2427 5 140 6 057 3 101 8*088 2427 2337 4 141 5 057 3 097 4*084 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography