DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 56.5 - - 61.4 - - 59.1 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 156 - - 258 - - 49 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1592 - - 3218 - - 2149 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2964 - - 4339 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3913 - - 5539 - - 4471 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 283 - - 1417 - - 1015 - - 1469 - - 908 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 259 - - 385 - - 193 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 17 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 017 - - 345 - - 028 - - 033 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 4 - - 6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -396 - - -174 - - -392 - - -125 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 4309 - - 5713 - - 4863 - - 2463 sfcLCL ODpotential -12456 - - -10329 - - -8846 - - -8438 - - -9698 ODpotential blCL 14793 - - 14242 - - 14385 - - 12909 - - 12036 blCL maxRH 83 - - 81 - - 81 - - 80 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 56.5 - - 61.4 - - 59.1 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 45.7 - - 44.5 - - 45.9 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 55.3 - - 59.8 - - 58.7 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 45.3 - - 44.3 - - 45.9 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 156 - - 258 - - 49 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1592 - - 3218 - - 2149 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 23 - - 26 - - 20 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96724 45 279 50 289 40 280 47 275 55 286 96724 89667 24 281 30 287 31 287 24 280 35 298 89667 84192 19 254 24 277 30 283 19 297 28 304 84192 79626 21 262 17 256 20 267 27 292 29 292 79626 75684 26 274 14 275 11 272 24 278 29 285 75684 72190 28 277 24 289 20 295 19 287 23 287 72190 69011 21 282 25 279 24 290 19 290 21 291 69011 66073 16 282 19 272 24 283 20 296 22 304 66073 63340 16 309 14 291 17 284 19 294 20 302 63340 60691 23 308 15 307 14 289 21 297 22 301 60691 57941 24 299 23 307 21 296 26 301 25 293 57941 55102 26 296 26 301 30 291 28 293 32 292 55102 52390 34 301 33 300 35 289 35 292 40 287 52390 49935 44 292 40 299 39 296 39 288 38 287 49935 47718 46 292 45 293 44 298 41 289 38 289 47718 45695 50 303 45 287 48 286 44 288 44 288 45695 43839 59 301 50 290 48 282 46 283 52 286 43839 42133 64 293 54 292 45 285 47 278 54 281 42133 40557 66 292 51 293 41 292 44 276 49 275 40557 39094 67 297 51 298 40 297 36 281 40 269 39094 37728 68 299 51 299 39 298 34 289 30 267 37728 36416 66 299 50 299 38 299 34 291 29 267 36416 35090 63 298 49 297 39 299 34 295 28 267 35090 33717 61 299 48 299 38 300 34 302 27 275 33717 32301 57 302 45 304 36 302 34 305 28 283 32301 30826 53 304 41 303 36 304 32 309 29 286 30826 29283 50 302 41 296 36 302 31 309 30 289 29283 27671 48 302 42 294 38 302 33 302 32 294 27671 25989 49 302 42 299 38 308 34 302 33 301 25989 24239 47 307 40 301 36 310 34 312 33 309 24239 22422 45 317 37 304 32 307 32 318 31 318 22422 20534 46 318 34 314 27 309 28 322 25 319 20534 18567 44 324 32 321 22 315 24 317 20 312 18567 16560 40 332 29 326 22 321 23 315 21 315 16560 14627 36 335 26 328 22 326 22 327 21 326 14627 12866 33 334 23 326 21 329 19 337 19 342 12866 11301 30 333 20 334 17 334 14 342 14 353 11301 9914 24 333 15 352 11 351 10 342 10 354 9914 8683 14 337 9 027 6 027 7 358 7 350 8683 7592 8 014 7 079 4 071 6 016 5 353 7592 6625 8 057 6 098 2 041 8 016 6 012 6625 5772 8 068 4 113 3*012 10 013 11 020 5772 5017 6 066 2 113 3*015 11*016 15 018 5017 4341 6 032 2*013 4 019 11*025 18 019 4341 3742 10 007 5*348 4 027 11 032 18 024 3742 3241 12 004 5 346 4 031 11 035 17 032 3241 2856 13 005 5 345 5 034 11 036 15 039 2856 2591 11 008 5 343 5 035 11 037 12 043 2591 2430 9 010 5 343 4 037 10 038 9*046 2430 2338 4*017 4 343 4 036 8 039 5*050 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography