DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 58.6 - - 61.6 - - 61.8 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 18 - - 145 - - 35 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 304 - - 2118 - - 1523 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 3332 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2625 - - 4439 - - 3844 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 254 - - 621 - - 1469 - - 2475 - - 844 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 84 - - 284 - - 161 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 212 - - 248 - - 261 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1572 - - -3242 - - -2016 - - -2345 - - -1670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3910 - - 5867 - - 6455 - - 6189 - - 4008 sfcLCL ODpotential -6653 - - -6420 - - -4639 - - -5013 - - -6128 ODpotential blCL 8991 - - 9045 - - 9078 - - 8857 - - 8466 blCL maxRH 90 - - 79 - - 83 - - 55 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 58.6 - - 61.6 - - 61.8 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 41.4 - - 41.6 - - 42.9 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 58.5 - - 60.5 - - 61.4 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.2 - - 40.1 - - 40.6 - - 42.1 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 18 - - 145 - - 35 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 304 - - 2118 - - 1523 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 15 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96152 10 192 5 342 7 247 2 343 6 130 96152 89102 16 097 3 295 8 066 5 119 15 101 89102 83685 21 095 14 120 11 105 11 119 15 101 83685 79167 17 071 21 110 11 115 12 119 11 087 79167 75265 9 067 15 106 7 118 9 135 8 044 75265 71816 7 102 10 121 2 139 3 174 9 012 71816 68688 5 117 4 144 3 164 3 213 9 319 68688 65801 5 189 9 233 6 218 2 172 6 272 65801 63102 7 184 13 233 10 236 5 239 10 237 63102 60472 5 182 15 229 10 235 12 260 12 238 60472 57729 7 230 13 242 8 244 16 257 13 243 57729 54879 12 242 13 257 12 264 14 246 14 240 54879 52141 14 255 12 264 15 269 10 231 14 237 52141 49654 17 269 12 258 14 264 10 237 13 241 49654 47403 19 258 17 240 18 250 16 244 13 242 47403 45349 18 249 17 231 23 236 19 241 10 243 45349 43467 16 251 15 234 21 228 17 245 10 292 43467 41732 15 255 13 250 17 217 14 259 14 304 41732 40116 15 254 12 266 10 202 13 285 17 311 40116 38604 13 249 13 270 3 192 13 304 24 322 38604 37189 16 228 14 247 6 342 14 331 28 332 37189 35842 19 216 10 231 14 336 15 352 28 351 35842 34497 14 231 2 256 11 320 25 016 42 014 34497 33122 13 204 8 344 2 315 34 019 52 014 33122 31714 20 164 5 312 3 289 23 006 61 013 31714 30257 24 159 9 191 7 272 13 350 48 012 30257 28745 28 158 15 172 6 201 12 350 23 010 28745 27180 27 161 14 152 9 134 3 007 13 017 27180 25551 27 165 14 157 10 130 4 120 11 055 25551 23853 28 176 18 172 10 124 7 157 12 077 23853 22089 22 172 10 149 9 132 8 174 2 145 22089 20255 15 156 8 155 6 145 8 175 9 277 20255 18347 9 166 7 176 5 163 9 190 10 287 18347 16401 13 207 9 196 6 185 7 204 9 287 16401 14521 18 204 14 194 10 200 4 194 5 285 14521 12809 16 193 15 192 11 198 4 189 1 289 12809 11284 13 169 14 184 10 182 5 184 1 077 11284 9925 13 146 13 172 11 165 7 172 3 098 9925 8710 13 130 13 166 11 160 9 158 5 108 8710 7624 11 132 13 164 9 157 10 148 6 116 7624 6657 10 141 13 163 8 163 8 138 5 123 6657 5799 9 147 12 161 7 191 6 127 4 119 5799 5039 9 159 12 160 7*229 2 135 3 102 5039 4357 9 184 12 166 8*244 2*261 2 082 4357 3753 12 209 12 177 8 248 4*264 2 023 3753 3248 14 218 12 193 8 249 4 261 3 006 3248 2861 14 217 12*206 8 249 4 260 6 352 2861 2593 13 212 10*211 8 250 4 260 6 344 2593 2431 10*208 9 213 7 250 4 260 6*341 2431 2338 5*204 6 213 6 251 4 260 4*334 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography