DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 85.9 - - 86.4 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 397 - - 234 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2444 - - 4086 - - 2862 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3834 - - 5163 - - 4042 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4767 - - 6409 - - 5186 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1481 - - 1360 - - 2893 - - 601 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 376 - - 482 - - 359 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 28 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 216 - - 319 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 17 - - 24 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3659 - - -3786 - - -5710 - - -6422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8426 - - 10195 - - 10896 - - 8761 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8504 - - -7982 - - -10137 - - -13909 ODpotential blCL - - - 13271 - - 14391 - - 15323 - - 16248 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 95 - - 90 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 85.9 - - 86.4 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 49.3 - - 46.8 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 83.5 - - 84.6 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 49.0 - - 46.6 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 397 - - 234 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2444 - - 4086 - - 2862 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 81 - - 61 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99231 32 104 35 103 31 115 25 100 99231 91729 36 111 32 106 34 110 28 093 91729 85952 33 099 29 103 28 097 29 090 85952 81191 24 091 20 100 25 076 30 094 81191 77100 22 092 16 102 20 081 26 092 77100 73475 20 082 16 100 16 093 17 087 73475 70196 13 078 16 103 17 090 11 079 70196 67195 9 107 10 122 12 083 8 076 67195 64420 7 123 10 139 8 106 9 095 64420 61743 8 196 8 167 7 175 6 142 61743 58949 14 172 13 210 13 217 9 202 58949 56047 14 198 26 215 28 227 24 228 56047 53289 28 233 27 216 29 226 34 231 53289 50821 43 237 44 237 45 243 46 245 50821 48632 55 237 54 233 56 241 58 243 48632 46667 60 234 52 232 51 240 53 236 46667 44871 60 236 55 245 56 247 54 242 44871 43209 56 237 61 245 61 247 58 245 43209 41654 55 235 60 237 58 239 59 243 41654 40184 58 233 57 230 59 236 54 237 40184 38793 59 232 56 228 59 231 49 234 38793 37448 60 232 56 226 55 231 46 232 37448 36080 58 232 54 224 51 235 46 233 36080 34662 54 234 53 224 46 238 45 236 34662 33196 51 235 52 224 40 237 41 239 33196 31669 53 239 47 228 39 239 37 243 31669 30072 51 243 44 234 39 242 34 243 30072 28405 47 246 40 237 34 238 33 244 28405 26665 44 238 40 238 34 234 33 241 26665 24854 40 237 38 232 37 234 35 240 24854 22979 30 233 38 227 34 233 35 240 22979 21040 26 212 36 225 29 238 31 242 21040 19032 23 215 27 236 21 238 19 251 19032 16992 17 232 17 248 11 230 8 246 16992 15029 13 233 8 269 3 214 5 218 15029 13240 13 213 5 287 1 299 2 218 13240 11645 13 206 4 221 4 266 1 248 11645 10222 13 209 8 195 8 242 3 273 10222 8952 12 212 11 193 10 214 6 269 8952 7822 10 211 11 191 7 178 8 244 7822 6818 10 204 8*187 6 162 8 202 6818 5930 10 190 5*189 5*157 7 177 5930 5143 7*173 4 196 3*162 4 143 5143 4436 4*155 3 212 0 256 3 098 4436 3807 2 155 3 226 3 322 3 053 3807 3283 1 164 3 236 4 324 6 008 3283 2880 1 171 3 242 5 323 9 348 2880 2603 1 183 3 246 5 324 9 343 2603 2435 1 192 3 245 5 323 8 341 2435 2339 1 196 2 248 5 323 4*338 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography