DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.0 - - 64.8 - - 70.5 - - 67.8 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 106 - - 201 - - 13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 595 - - 1749 - - 585 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3181 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2917 - - 4071 - - 2907 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 80 - - 919 - - 1384 - - 1454 - - 125 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 164 - - 290 - - 84 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 16 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 085 - - 076 - - 075 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 5 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4605 - - -5540 - - -5482 - - -4879 - - -5459 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6944 - - 8458 - - 9553 - - 7786 - - 7798 sfcLCL ODpotential -16659 - - -14593 - - -12918 - - -12371 - - -15398 ODpotential blCL 18997 - - 17510 - - 16989 - - 15278 - - 17736 blCL maxRH 30 - - 39 - - 53 - - 41 - - 21 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.0 - - 64.8 - - 70.5 - - 67.8 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 36.4 - - 37.1 - - 42.1 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 64.0 - - 69.1 - - 67.5 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.7 - - 36.0 - - 36.7 - - 41.8 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 106 - - 201 - - 13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 595 - - 1749 - - 585 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96586 51 285 48 270 60 279 56 283 50 288 96586 89471 36 289 29 285 32 285 35 280 45 291 89471 83989 32 286 25 304 12 291 20 262 38 284 83989 79452 27 286 23 301 14 296 15 288 28 288 79452 75532 25 294 22 290 26 286 25 304 24 303 75532 72030 20 301 22 285 30 278 29 294 24 300 72030 68833 22 307 20 279 30 281 30 287 27 290 68833 65893 25 288 19 281 28 278 30 280 29 280 65893 63174 28 275 21 269 26 266 29 270 32 278 63174 60543 32 262 23 263 27 262 31 264 33 271 60543 57800 39 262 30 267 30 259 31 261 32 262 57800 54965 47 258 35 266 32 265 36 264 35 260 54965 52278 46 256 38 264 35 264 38 259 37 256 52278 49872 44 263 39 264 35 272 36 266 35 263 49872 47723 46 269 43 274 40 275 36 270 38 270 47723 45779 51 272 50 273 43 268 36 270 37 269 45779 44003 48 273 45 275 36 271 32 273 33 270 44003 42363 47 278 43 280 35 282 30 278 30 274 42363 40834 44 278 40 279 36 279 29 276 27 268 40834 39398 36 282 33 278 34 275 29 275 29 265 39398 38043 32 288 29 285 31 275 32 272 35 261 38043 36732 31 290 28 284 29 274 31 270 33 255 36732 35400 32 289 25 280 26 271 28 271 29 253 35400 34020 31 284 23 277 23 265 25 263 27 245 34020 32595 26 278 21 276 21 262 23 249 27 238 32595 31113 22 282 20 275 19 261 21 243 26 235 31113 29562 20 293 18 279 17 267 18 244 23 232 29562 27940 19 301 16 285 16 269 16 245 21 233 27940 26246 17 301 14 281 15 258 15 247 19 236 26246 24483 15 305 12 270 15 246 16 248 18 238 24483 22654 12 304 12 260 15 244 16 251 16 247 22654 20754 9 292 13 265 15 262 15 267 14 265 20754 18777 9 280 15 275 15 277 14 278 12 264 18777 16761 9 265 14 276 13 278 11 271 13 252 16761 14816 11 252 14 267 13 272 11 260 14 249 14816 13045 14 259 14 262 13 267 11 256 11 254 13045 11472 16 272 13 265 10 260 8 247 6 263 11472 10073 15 284 9 271 7 242 6 231 2 269 10073 8827 11 293 4 263 6 213 5 228 1 264 8827 7717 7 297 3 212 6 207 4 247 1 246 7717 6730 2 284 4 194 7 214 5 265 0 142 6730 5858 2 162 5 193 6 216 5 288 2 063 5858 5085 2 158 4 192 3 211 4 304 3 055 5085 4392 2 174 3 186 1*197 3 318 3 051 4392 3778 1 156 2 177 2*090 2 016 3 055 3778 3264 2 074 2*137 3 075 4*063 3 060 3264 2869 4 060 3*089 4 074 5*073 4 067 2869 2598 5 060 3 084 4 074 5 075 4 073 2598 2432 5*057 3 084 4 075 5 075 4 079 2432 2338 4*060 3 081 4 074 4 076 2*085 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography