DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.4 - - 71.4 - - 77.4 - - 74.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 268 - - 362 - - 201 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2270 - - 5587 - - 2221 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3666 - - 6317 - - 3533 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 4592 - - 7910 - - 4544 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 249 - - 1831 - - 1632 - - 3899 - - 671 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 352 - - 524 - - 318 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 35 - - 43 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 246 - - 205 - - 332 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - 24 - - 22 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5256 - - -4561 - - -2611 - - -3917 - - -3271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7595 - - 9154 - - 10522 - - 8461 - - 5609 sfcLCL ODpotential -12174 - - -9065 - - -6212 - - -7318 - - -8990 ODpotential blCL 14512 - - 13657 - - 14122 - - 11862 - - 11328 blCL maxRH 31 - - 61 - - 69 - - 66 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.4 - - 71.4 - - 77.4 - - 74.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.8 - - 39.5 - - 39.2 - - 45.3 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 69.6 - - 75.2 - - 72.8 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 38.4 - - 38.0 - - 44.5 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 268 - - 362 - - 201 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2270 - - 5587 - - 2221 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97390 5 257 11 238 10 265 21 268 20 300 97390 89970 14 315 11 324 9 317 9 303 14 284 89970 84322 17 329 13 315 11 311 9 344 10 299 84322 79683 13 303 11 319 12 302 13 332 9 000 79683 75682 11 300 13 295 14 286 13 312 10 360 75682 72130 15 312 15 293 15 277 13 317 12 323 72130 68916 17 305 17 309 16 278 14 303 14 311 68916 65961 20 291 15 315 16 285 15 283 16 297 65961 63212 22 283 16 313 16 296 14 294 15 290 63212 60539 22 275 21 295 22 296 22 305 17 293 60539 57740 20 277 25 276 31 283 32 292 22 299 57740 54826 21 287 27 273 34 274 38 284 32 293 54826 52053 30 290 32 280 34 276 41 276 41 285 52053 49573 36 291 37 283 33 283 40 273 46 280 49573 47352 42 294 38 287 36 284 38 277 47 275 47352 45340 47 295 42 291 40 284 41 280 45 274 45340 43510 49 295 47 292 42 283 44 280 45 275 43510 41840 49 294 49 290 45 281 44 276 45 274 41840 40308 50 294 49 288 46 280 44 275 40 276 40308 38884 49 293 49 288 47 280 42 273 41 278 38884 37545 48 294 50 290 47 282 40 276 41 279 37545 36253 47 296 47 291 47 284 40 279 38 279 36253 34939 46 299 43 292 46 286 40 282 36 280 34939 33577 45 301 40 292 42 286 40 281 34 283 33577 32169 43 304 38 294 38 286 38 280 31 284 32169 30705 39 305 36 298 33 288 36 279 31 283 30705 29172 34 306 33 296 31 290 33 281 30 283 29172 27572 30 313 27 295 29 291 31 284 29 285 27572 25904 26 319 23 292 24 297 27 290 23 285 25904 24171 22 324 20 289 19 281 21 299 17 287 24171 22372 19 335 14 294 14 265 17 300 15 297 22372 20504 19 343 10 306 11 274 13 289 13 293 20504 18564 19 344 10 322 11 296 9 293 9 287 18564 16590 19 342 12 323 12 312 11 302 10 285 16590 14688 17 344 12 323 12 317 11 311 7 296 14688 12953 12 348 7 325 6 309 8 307 5 310 12953 11404 7 344 2 336 2 215 4 279 1 334 11404 10023 3 339 2 163 6 173 6 183 4 211 10023 8790 1 057 5 150 7*166 9 145 9 173 8790 7692 2 087 5 148 4*162 10 136 11 160 7692 6715 1 126 4 164 4 166 8 128 7 160 6715 5849 2 220 3 205 3 176 4 120 4 171 5849 5080 5 235 3*218 2 207 2*081 2 209 5080 4388 6 245 2*227 2 227 3*349 2 270 4388 3774 6 248 2 237 2 248 6 333 5 310 3774 3261 6 260 2 247 3 259 7 332 11 320 3261 2867 6 286 2 254 3 262 8 331 12 324 2867 2597 7 306 2 257 3 263 8 331 11 325 2597 2433 6*321 2 257 3 267 8 330 9 326 2433 2338 2*337 2 257 3 267 7 329 6*324 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography