DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Panoche 2320ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 40.4 - - 40.2 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 69 - - 30 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 423 - - 3818 - - 1984 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2320 - - 4075 - - 2320 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2743 - - 6138 - - 4304 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2725 - - 2607 - - 2844 - - 3305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 277 - - 169 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 11 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 294 - - 277 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 264 - - 1692 - - 1244 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2479 - - 4446 - - 3060 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -522 - - 590 - - 430 - - -550 ODpotential blCL - - - 3265 - - 5548 - - 3874 - - 2887 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 96 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 40.4 - - 40.2 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 29.2 - - 35.1 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 39.9 - - 40.0 - - 38.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 28.0 - - 34.1 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 69 - - 30 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 423 - - 3818 - - 1984 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 83 - - 100 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96678 27 098 23 108 25 107 31 115 96678 89525 30 110 19 124 22 103 23 101 89525 83986 23 109 12 106 16 094 18 098 83986 79357 14 096 11 116 8 121 10 062 79357 75348 5 086 8 050 10 101 3 281 75348 71805 1 193 5 320 5 083 3 102 71805 68570 2 190 6 218 2 229 1 044 68570 65567 10 258 5 209 9 223 8 271 65567 62778 22 252 21 268 13 264 10 288 62778 60071 15 278 17 254 15 252 28 279 60071 57218 31 294 22 320 9 325 16 265 57218 54248 41 276 48 292 41 300 30 304 54248 51441 41 275 48 274 52 282 46 291 51441 48920 39 294 41 286 48 286 42 279 48920 46653 54 307 51 305 53 303 50 287 46653 44596 72 300 63 307 60 302 54 296 44596 42711 83 299 79 301 68 296 57 303 42711 40972 95 298 87 295 74 298 71 302 40972 39373 103 294 90 296 87 300 93 300 39373 37897 106 293 101 295 105 299 116 295 37897 36524 105 294 108 294 115 295 128 286 36524 35205 102 295 111 294 117 292 131 280 35205 33871 100 297 112 292 118 291 128 278 33871 32495 101 298 113 292 122 290 128 278 32495 31082 102 298 117 293 125 293 132 279 31082 29615 100 297 120 295 131 295 136 282 29615 28083 96 297 112 295 132 296 128 284 28083 26488 92 299 96 299 121 298 117 290 26488 24832 89 301 90 304 102 299 104 295 24832 23123 87 302 87 308 89 302 94 300 23123 21363 84 303 83 309 80 304 87 306 21363 19549 79 305 73 308 75 308 76 309 19549 17670 76 306 65 313 70 313 68 312 17670 15770 68 311 64 315 61 317 56 320 15770 13952 55 319 57 314 52 315 45 323 13952 12306 39 322 48 315 39 308 40 308 12306 10848 26 314 41 315 34 303 40 298 10848 9551 27 302 35 313 29 306 31 296 9551 8394 28 302 28 309 25 307 20 293 8394 7364 28 307 21 303 22 307 16 291 7364 6446 26 313 18*299 19 303 16 294 6446 5634 25 321 17*298 17 298 16 299 5634 4914 24 327 16 296 15*290 14 302 4914 4266 22 333 14 294 13*283 12 303 4266 3692 18 336 13 293 12 278 10 302 3692 3209 14 337 13 292 11 276 9 302 3209 2838 11*337 12 292 11 274 7 300 2838 2582 9*337 12 291 10 274 5 294 2582 2426 7 338 11 291 9 273 4*291 2426 2337 5 339 9 291 7 273 2*285 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography