DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.2 - - 63.1 - - 70.6 - - 70.2 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 325 - - 425 - - 192 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2241 - - 3884 - - 2967 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3689 - - 5026 - - 4034 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 4563 - - 6207 - - 5289 - - 2516 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 260 - - 877 - - 1050 - - 2253 - - 632 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 368 - - 484 - - 340 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 22 - - 26 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 274 - - 266 - - 322 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 17 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1452 - - -1665 - - -2163 - - -1388 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 6015 - - 7872 - - 7453 - - 3904 sfcLCL ODpotential -10685 - - -9480 - - -7756 - - -8050 - - -9239 ODpotential blCL 13022 - - 14043 - - 13963 - - 13339 - - 11755 blCL maxRH 91 - - 71 - - 62 - - 61 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.2 - - 63.1 - - 70.6 - - 70.2 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.2 - - 44.9 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 61.1 - - 68.1 - - 68.8 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.2 - - 44.8 - - 44.0 - - 45.6 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 325 - - 425 - - 192 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2241 - - 3884 - - 2967 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98966 24 124 19 090 17 109 9 114 18 071 98966 91546 20 115 19 098 19 114 13 113 14 090 91546 85813 20 104 16 115 13 109 15 102 15 094 85813 81080 13 097 13 111 17 113 12 096 16 089 81080 77017 8 130 8 130 11 092 15 091 12 098 77017 73411 16 145 10 170 6 127 10 094 13 116 73411 70123 9 142 14 154 7 166 5 074 9 111 70123 67097 6 127 9 149 14 178 5 221 1 217 67097 64298 7 246 12 133 14 184 9 213 5 217 64298 61593 15 248 9 229 10 199 7 230 6 234 61593 58778 13 238 18 237 15 236 13 248 10 266 58778 55873 18 241 19 228 23 250 21 256 20 277 55873 53105 27 258 16 250 27 244 29 255 30 268 53105 50622 42 270 31 270 30 263 31 266 32 275 50622 48402 52 268 35 267 34 263 33 267 34 271 48402 46381 54 264 37 274 32 266 29 271 29 266 46381 44518 53 259 43 269 37 275 32 291 27 294 44518 42793 46 250 48 259 45 276 38 292 34 301 42793 41190 35 269 46 251 43 270 39 282 36 292 41190 39690 41 280 35 259 39 260 34 273 36 281 39690 38279 44 269 35 270 36 261 32 273 37 273 38279 36917 45 257 40 265 36 263 33 271 37 270 36917 35537 43 253 42 257 39 260 35 267 38 267 35537 34111 43 254 43 254 44 256 39 265 40 266 34111 32647 44 257 44 254 47 254 42 264 42 265 32647 31131 44 258 45 253 49 253 46 261 45 263 31131 29551 41 258 44 252 50 251 49 259 48 262 29551 27908 40 259 44 251 50 249 48 257 46 262 27908 26200 40 261 45 251 49 249 48 255 42 260 26200 24428 41 262 43 255 46 252 45 255 41 258 24428 22594 41 264 40 256 42 251 42 254 38 258 22594 20690 40 265 38 252 41 248 41 254 37 258 20690 18707 39 266 38 251 41 252 41 257 37 258 18707 16687 38 267 36 257 37 258 36 261 32 257 16687 14745 36 261 34 261 31 258 30 256 29 252 14745 12978 33 257 29 259 27 252 28 251 27 254 12978 11407 26 254 24 253 23 251 24 252 22 261 11407 10011 21 251 19 249 19 254 18 255 15 266 10011 8770 16 246 15 248 13 258 11 244 10 252 8770 7668 12 231 12 243 8 239 6 174 10 216 7668 6690 12 213 11 234 4*215 6 146 9 173 6690 5826 12 204 9 224 3*227 4*140 7 150 5826 5061 11 201 6*220 3 242 0*088 4 121 5061 4373 9 206 3*256 3 260 4 326 3 070 4373 3763 6 218 3 270 4 270 6 323 4 014 3763 3253 5 264 3 276 4 278 7 321 10 335 3253 2863 8 298 3 280 4 280 7 321 13 327 2863 2594 8 305 3 281 5 282 7 320 12*325 2594 2432 7 313 3 282 4 282 7 319 10*325 2432 2338 2*325 3 283 4 283 6 319 6 323 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography