DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.1 - - 57.2 - - 62.0 - - 59.2 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 87 - - 237 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1029 - - 3336 - - 2762 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 4398 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3350 - - 5658 - - 5084 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 253 - - 1221 - - 1076 - - 1241 - - 2459 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 185 - - 380 - - 184 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 208 - - 190 - - 222 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 10 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1029 - - -2497 - - -234 - - 519 - - -520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3367 - - 5847 - - 5893 - - 4565 - - 2858 sfcLCL ODpotential -9532 - - -8010 - - -4117 - - -354 - - -4014 ODpotential blCL 11870 - - 11360 - - 9775 - - 5438 - - 6352 blCL maxRH 91 - - 92 - - 90 - - 94 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.1 - - 57.2 - - 62.0 - - 59.2 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.6 - - 39.8 - - 44.1 - - 47.1 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.4 - - 56.4 - - 60.3 - - 58.9 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 39.5 - - 44.0 - - 47.0 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 87 - - 237 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1029 - - 3336 - - 2762 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 70 - - 62 - - 76 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96826 37 260 43 266 49 271 48 271 53 273 96826 89599 24 250 31 269 33 275 34 265 37 274 89599 84073 23 258 28 274 25 265 25 270 26 280 84073 79467 21 255 30 268 26 262 25 275 23 278 79467 75473 15 262 25 257 24 254 22 268 24 262 75473 71930 13 282 22 238 24 245 23 259 23 255 71930 68709 15 276 21 223 24 243 23 261 24 259 68709 65728 24 265 18 235 27 238 23 258 27 253 65728 62943 31 256 20 251 28 242 26 255 29 244 62943 60227 32 253 21 255 31 244 31 261 29 253 60227 57393 31 254 25 251 31 247 37 260 33 262 57393 54466 33 253 27 254 31 253 39 254 38 266 54466 51685 33 257 30 257 30 262 40 251 42 263 51685 49189 31 265 31 253 31 267 39 251 43 258 49189 46956 30 268 31 250 36 261 38 256 43 256 46956 44935 28 267 31 251 38 255 40 258 43 257 44935 43092 24 268 32 252 39 252 42 262 42 259 43092 41401 27 269 33 250 38 250 42 258 41 258 41401 39839 31 264 31 252 38 255 39 253 41 256 39839 38388 29 244 33 260 41 252 40 249 40 254 38388 37034 23 246 36 258 40 246 39 241 39 250 37034 35739 24 248 33 253 39 238 38 238 38 245 35739 34436 25 237 30 252 39 229 39 237 37 240 34436 33090 23 230 29 247 37 232 41 234 37 234 33090 31704 23 234 29 235 32 231 38 230 39 231 31704 30263 23 236 27 233 30 224 35 232 40 228 30263 28756 24 234 28 241 30 226 34 234 41 227 28756 27179 23 229 30 238 30 232 32 227 39 230 27179 25532 21 227 28 232 31 238 28 218 39 233 25532 23818 23 235 28 233 32 239 28 223 38 234 23818 22040 27 238 28 237 31 237 32 226 36 232 22040 20195 28 237 27 237 29 234 36 231 36 231 20195 18277 27 234 24 229 28 230 34 233 35 234 18277 16326 23 235 19 217 29 228 29 232 32 238 16326 14448 20 243 15 214 26 224 26 227 29 239 14448 12738 16 244 16 226 22 223 25 225 29 236 12738 11215 12 230 19 229 21 224 22 226 30 233 11215 9858 9 213 20 218 21 219 19 235 27 232 9858 8648 9 197 19 200 21 209 16 249 21 235 8648 7572 8 189 17 186 20 198 14 252 15 239 7572 6614 7 189 13 178 16 189 11 245 11 230 6614 5766 6 196 10 175 11*187 10*236 9 215 5766 5016 6 207 8 180 9*189 9*228 7 214 5016 4343 6 208 8 196 9 190 9 224 8 219 4343 3745 5 207 9*206 9 190 9 222 10 220 3745 3245 4 204 8*206 8 189 9 221 10 219 3245 2859 4 201 7 208 8 190 8 221 9 217 2859 2592 3 197 7 209 8 189 8 220 7 216 2592 2431 2*177 6 210 7 189 7 220 4*220 2431 2338 1*144 5 211 6 189 6 219 2*230 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography