DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.3 - - 67.4 - - 70.7 - - 67.5 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 24 - - 39 - - 15 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 337 - - 1525 - - 862 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2322 - - 2323 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2659 - - 3847 - - 3184 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 126 - - 930 - - 2661 - - 1757 - - 896 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 98 - - 193 - - 118 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 105 - - 180 - - 252 - - 304 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 4 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1870 - - -2125 - - -1956 - - -843 - - -693 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4208 - - 4784 - - 5803 - - 4027 - - 3032 sfcLCL ODpotential -8797 - - -5930 - - -6284 - - -4366 - - -4797 ODpotential blCL 11135 - - 8589 - - 10131 - - 7550 - - 7136 blCL maxRH 70 - - 59 - - 76 - - 82 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 80 - - 220 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 55.3 - - 67.4 - - 70.7 - - 67.5 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 54.4 - - 53.3 - - 57.7 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 67.1 - - 70.4 - - 67.3 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 53.1 - - 51.9 - - 56.3 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 24 - - 39 - - 15 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 337 - - 1525 - - 862 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 28 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96575 12 107 8 057 3 146 4 130 4 340 96575 89415 12 098 7 070 3 106 4 017 4 354 89415 83887 10 031 7 044 7 353 3 339 8 029 83887 79304 7 311 7 332 12 338 13 354 18 006 79304 75402 12 017 8 000 12 349 15 350 15 325 75402 71987 26 339 18 345 15 358 16 335 8 326 71987 68894 28 327 29 329 24 337 21 344 15 345 68894 66035 33 308 32 318 30 318 30 319 25 324 66035 63365 33 289 38 293 39 291 38 298 33 305 63365 60755 36 289 41 275 44 280 38 281 44 289 60755 58021 44 289 47 288 48 287 47 291 54 291 58021 55179 64 283 63 287 60 285 61 285 62 287 55179 52456 68 277 67 274 63 275 63 276 60 277 52456 49998 68 277 62 266 59 271 56 276 52 275 49998 47787 72 274 62 277 58 276 58 280 57 278 47787 45771 77 268 68 279 60 274 62 274 63 275 45771 43918 79 263 67 275 58 270 60 265 59 269 43918 42206 75 258 61 274 55 276 53 269 52 266 42206 40624 70 258 64 274 64 279 61 278 56 275 40624 39167 71 264 74 272 73 271 66 279 58 274 39167 37813 74 263 77 265 69 265 61 284 52 277 37813 36512 77 263 68 258 60 264 57 287 50 277 36512 35189 77 260 57 254 58 267 54 286 47 274 35189 33815 74 253 57 257 63 268 59 280 48 274 33815 32393 62 249 63 258 64 269 66 277 50 273 32393 30909 54 261 67 259 64 270 67 277 51 274 30909 29354 59 267 69 262 64 270 70 274 52 273 29354 27729 65 262 67 265 65 269 71 271 58 272 27729 26034 61 251 61 268 64 269 67 270 60 271 26034 24273 62 243 55 272 57 269 59 269 57 269 24273 22450 60 247 48 279 45 269 51 264 53 262 22450 20556 51 253 43 266 40 261 45 256 51 254 20556 18586 39 254 41 255 42 257 50 258 50 257 18586 16587 31 248 36 251 37 258 42 258 44 262 16587 14671 27 234 28 250 31 256 31 255 38 262 14671 12939 22 223 21 245 26 250 26 253 34 261 12939 11400 16 229 19 233 21 245 26 256 29 260 11400 10027 11 238 17 227 16 242 24 258 23 259 10027 8798 10 237 15 235 13 249 20 258 18 257 8798 7700 10 237 13 247 12 260 15 258 14 254 7700 6722 10 241 11 255 10 270 11 258 11 251 6722 5855 8 242 9 256 9 275 8 259 9 250 5855 5086 5 243 5 263 9 275 6 264 8 248 5086 4394 0 272 2 257 9*270 5 274 7 250 4394 3780 3 073 2 211 9*262 6 291 7 256 3780 3266 7 078 4 183 8 251 7*301 7 269 3266 2871 8 082 5*179 8 250 7*304 8 283 2871 2599 8 089 5*179 8 249 7 304 8 289 2599 2433 6*095 4 180 7 249 7 305 6*292 2433 2339 3*105 3 181 6 248 5 305 3*297 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography