DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 62.9 - - 65.3 - - 63.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 37 - - 80 - - -5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 643 - - 1219 - - 940 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2965 - - 3541 - - 3262 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 191 - - 1020 - - 1154 - - 962 - - 420 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 132 - - 207 - - 89 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 027 - - 038 - - 029 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -576 - - -1114 - - -1239 - - -644 - - -234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2914 - - 4079 - - 4781 - - 3906 - - 2572 sfcLCL ODpotential -7422 - - -6435 - - -6105 - - -6042 - - -7035 ODpotential blCL 9760 - - 9400 - - 9646 - - 9304 - - 9373 blCL maxRH 73 - - 66 - - 84 - - 85 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 62.9 - - 65.3 - - 63.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.7 - - 53.2 - - 52.5 - - 54.5 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 62.7 - - 64.6 - - 63.7 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 51.9 - - 51.1 - - 53.2 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 37 - - 80 - - -5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 643 - - 1219 - - 940 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 40 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96642 17 119 12 092 9 126 10 047 11 100 96642 89491 13 078 15 078 11 120 5 055 8 056 89491 83949 12 062 11 096 9 075 4 064 8 024 83949 79358 12 043 12 034 17 023 14 036 13 024 79358 75417 22 016 14 013 16 358 19 008 22 028 75417 71961 28 353 18 358 21 335 27 347 27 357 71961 68868 29 341 19 004 21 340 23 331 25 331 68868 66049 33 325 33 324 33 326 25 341 22 340 66049 63414 35 310 34 304 35 304 33 305 28 304 63414 60842 32 313 39 306 37 305 34 309 35 297 60842 58139 49 304 52 297 48 290 46 294 43 293 58139 55300 60 290 55 288 53 282 51 283 49 290 55300 52576 60 282 58 278 60 278 65 279 59 284 52576 50128 60 279 60 272 66 272 75 273 67 281 50128 47941 65 277 61 272 67 268 75 271 74 272 47941 45969 68 278 65 274 69 270 75 272 76 269 45969 44170 75 277 70 275 72 272 76 273 76 271 44170 42512 77 271 70 274 75 271 76 271 75 271 42512 40970 73 268 66 272 68 269 72 268 71 270 40970 39524 72 269 63 273 64 270 69 266 67 270 39524 38160 71 270 65 274 64 271 67 268 64 271 38160 36840 68 272 65 275 65 270 64 268 63 272 36840 35498 65 274 60 277 63 269 59 266 62 272 35498 34107 61 275 55 278 60 269 56 267 60 270 34107 32670 59 275 52 275 56 269 56 269 52 269 32670 31175 58 274 49 272 51 269 56 272 50 274 31175 29611 57 273 50 275 53 273 57 274 54 276 29611 27980 58 275 52 276 56 274 58 273 54 273 27980 26277 58 278 54 275 57 275 51 277 53 278 26277 24509 54 281 50 277 53 278 47 281 45 282 24509 22675 54 286 45 280 50 282 44 283 39 285 22675 20771 49 291 42 286 46 288 42 285 33 286 20771 18792 35 297 32 288 36 292 36 290 30 292 18792 16774 27 299 22 286 26 288 30 289 24 296 16774 14830 25 305 20 291 21 283 25 287 22 298 14830 13061 22 308 20 302 19 290 22 295 22 306 13061 11486 17 307 19 306 17 303 19 309 19 319 11486 10085 15 308 18 311 16 313 16 320 16 334 10085 8835 14 312 19 321 17 321 15 332 14 350 8835 7722 13 317 18 330 18 331 16 347 15 002 7722 6733 11 324 14 337 16 344 17 358 16 010 6733 5859 10 329 11 347 13 358 15 006 16 014 5859 5084 8 337 11 000 11 012 13 014 15 017 5084 4389 7 345 10 013 11 023 12 018 14 017 4389 3774 6 354 10 018 10*030 12*022 14 011 3774 3261 5 005 10*018 9*036 10*027 14 011 3261 2867 5 024 9*023 9 038 10 029 14 018 2867 2596 5 037 7 028 9 039 9 030 11 026 2596 2432 4*045 6 029 8 040 8 031 8*036 2432 2338 2*051 5 029 7 040 6 031 3*054 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography