DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 61.6 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 351 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2830 - - 5250 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3961 - - 6026 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 5151 - - 7572 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2507 - - 1527 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 342 - - 503 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 23 - - 9 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 020 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 311 - - 228 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4840 - - 7345 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -76 - - -346 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 5227 - - 7918 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 75 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 61.6 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 37.3 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 59.4 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 37.2 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 351 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2830 - - 5250 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 1 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97769 21 287 19 321 97769 90486 8 300 13 303 90486 84869 5 314 8 283 84869 80215 4 253 6 294 80215 76208 3 218 4 216 76208 72677 2 253 5 190 72677 69486 1 229 3 216 69486 66545 2 219 6 190 66545 63811 5 221 10 199 63811 61151 11 231 10 235 61151 58361 19 231 17 233 58361 55464 17 257 18 245 55464 52694 23 261 21 234 52694 50187 24 262 18 259 50187 47925 23 258 27 265 47925 45856 32 256 36 269 45856 43946 37 257 39 270 43946 42178 35 258 32 267 42178 40535 33 254 27 291 40535 39011 24 272 33 331 39011 37591 26 307 42 342 37591 36230 33 327 49 341 36230 34862 37 339 45 336 34862 33464 41 348 37 331 33464 32037 46 352 32 340 32037 30558 47 354 36 350 30558 29011 47 359 40 350 29011 27395 49 002 42 348 27395 25708 52 003 44 348 25708 23956 54 001 46 353 23956 22140 56 360 48 356 22140 20257 59 002 49 357 20257 18299 62 009 50 358 18299 16310 56 014 50 003 16310 14398 43 011 46 005 14398 12668 35 008 39 002 12668 11139 30 014 31 005 11139 9794 26 023 24 018 9794 8602 21 030 20*025 8602 7542 16 033 15*023 7542 6597 12 034 11 018 6597 5759 8*039 10 018 5759 5014 5*038 10 019 5014 4343 3 030 10 019 4343 3746 3 026 9 020 3746 3246 2 021 9 021 3246 2860 2 016 9 021 2860 2593 2 014 8 021 2593 2431 2 015 8 021 2431 2338 2 014 7 022 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography