DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.6 - - 46.1 - - 46.7 - - 45.7 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 83 - - 77 - - 9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1696 - - 1972 - - 1009 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2320 - - 2321 - - 2739 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 4017 - - 4293 - - 3330 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1163 - - 1366 - - 962 - - 1140 - - 408 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 221 - - 228 - - 95 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 046 - - 072 - - 055 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -5 - - -10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1099 - - 1295 - - 539 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 2918 - - 2999 - - 2791 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential -1959 - - 335 - - 482 - - -366 - - -4395 ODpotential blCL 4296 - - 3682 - - 3811 - - 3696 - - 6732 blCL maxRH 89 - - 97 - - 96 - - 92 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.6 - - 46.1 - - 46.7 - - 45.7 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 41.5 - - 41.7 - - 41.6 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.3 - - 45.4 - - 46.0 - - 45.6 - - 43.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.1 - - 40.2 - - 40.5 - - 40.8 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 83 - - 77 - - 9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1696 - - 1972 - - 1009 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 89 - - 85 - - 67 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96770 9 126 7 132 3 101 7 153 4 256 96770 89632 11 125 10 078 5 098 7 120 7 103 89632 84116 11 100 9 088 9 105 6 091 11 082 84116 79539 12 082 9 119 6 104 8 066 8 058 79539 75598 9 074 9 101 6 116 6 065 5 057 75598 72102 7 069 7 068 4 035 7 084 5 080 72102 68919 7 039 6 092 6 314 10 021 7 023 68919 65982 8 355 8 049 4 310 14 347 7 354 65982 63243 11 340 10 017 4 004 10 339 11 330 63243 60576 16 345 15 354 11 359 9 350 14 332 60576 57793 19 341 19 000 16 007 12 357 27 354 57793 54914 21 353 27 009 27 010 25 000 37 355 54914 52171 25 354 35 010 38 011 33 003 41 001 52171 49689 30 007 41 010 44 012 40 009 45 003 49689 47446 38 013 44 013 48 013 46 014 50 012 47446 45396 42 015 47 015 52 015 53 019 54 015 45396 43508 44 022 50 017 56 016 60 020 58 016 43508 41755 54 024 50 022 57 016 64 019 64 018 41755 40123 53 021 53 026 58 019 67 019 72 020 40123 38597 51 015 55 028 60 023 70 020 84 020 38597 37165 44 012 60 026 63 026 73 022 89 018 37165 35786 30 025 55 028 66 026 76 022 86 017 35786 34396 34 046 52 033 67 025 78 023 83 016 34396 32974 39 050 52 033 65 027 79 021 78 018 32974 31529 40 046 48 044 61 032 75 024 74 019 31529 30055 28 047 50 052 57 043 68 027 67 024 30055 28538 18 077 47 054 59 050 58 036 59 029 28538 26968 21 096 40 064 52 052 58 040 54 031 26968 25337 28 105 40 086 49 076 50 057 47 034 25337 23641 34 111 47 101 53 090 50 076 44 038 23641 21881 30 111 51 107 52 090 49 070 43 041 21881 20053 23 100 51 110 52 086 47 064 39 048 20053 18151 17 080 51 115 52 087 42 065 36 058 18151 16210 12 059 44 116 47 092 40 088 34 069 16210 14338 10 048 37 110 40 095 42 099 30 081 14338 12635 8 070 33 108 32 094 37 097 26 084 12635 11119 11 093 26 115 27 091 30 082 24 074 11119 9770 14 097 16 117 26 091 23 068 20 058 9770 8569 13 095 10 090 22 094 16 087 13 043 8569 7502 8 098 9 066 18 090 12 105 8 058 7502 6555 5 119 8 059 14 080 8 075 7 073 6555 5717 7 135 8 047 10 069 9 047 7 049 5717 4975 9 126 8 035 7 066 8 029 8 023 4975 4309 9 114 8*036 6*069 6 023 9 000 4309 3719 7 106 8*043 6*070 4*039 9 345 3719 3226 5 103 8 046 6 071 4*052 8 333 3226 2847 4 121 7 047 6 072 4 054 5 324 2847 2586 4 141 7 048 6 073 4 056 2 326 2586 2428 4*133 6 048 6 073 4 056 1 355 2428 2337 2*114 5 049 5 073 3 057 1*357 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography