DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.5 - - 89.6 - - 94.5 - - - - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 304 - - 421 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4194 - - 8955 - - - - - 315 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 5154 - - 9082 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 6518 - - 11278 - - - - - 2639 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 747 - - 4041 - - 2357 - - - - - 603 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 447 - - 641 - - - - - 30 W* B/S 3 - - 33 - - 129 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 002 - - 348 - - - - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 13 - - 44 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5477 - - -4498 - - -593 - - - - - -5876 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7816 - - 11017 - - 11872 - - - - - 8516 sfcLCL ODpotential -9823 - - -6819 - - -1366 - - - - - -10323 ODpotential blCL 12162 - - 13337 - - 12644 - - - - - 12962 blCL maxRH 77 - - 76 - - 82 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE 200 - - 90 - - 130 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 77.5 - - 89.6 - - 94.5 - - - - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.7 - - 49.3 - - 50.1 - - - - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.6 - - 87.5 - - 91.7 - - - - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.2 - - 48.7 - - 49.5 - - - - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 304 - - 421 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4194 - - 8955 - - - - - 315 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 5 - - 30 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99319 47 111 37 105 46 106 38 106 99319 91825 50 105 39 124 37 113 41 105 91825 86053 44 102 38 122 29 118 35 105 86053 81257 29 098 28 109 25 119 30 102 81257 77131 22 111 24 099 27 116 27 100 77131 73497 20 106 20 109 27 113 24 106 73497 70220 16 104 22 108 26 122 20 114 70220 67211 10 121 22 113 18 127 20 126 67211 64437 16 134 12 128 14 139 13 134 64437 61770 18 146 13 157 11 172 15 135 61770 58982 27 169 24 186 20 184 10 150 58982 56092 28 173 33 183 27 194 17 206 56092 53351 26 181 35 182 38 199 31 208 53351 50893 29 196 39 187 46 197 40 202 50893 48687 41 197 44 196 50 206 49 219 48687 46690 52 204 59 207 62 210 70 220 46690 44873 64 201 69 203 73 200 80 208 44873 43186 67 195 64 193 60 197 73 206 43186 41603 65 191 54 190 47 205 54 210 41603 40113 58 198 49 204 50 219 48 215 40113 38711 55 203 49 206 51 214 49 219 38711 37358 53 201 48 204 51 205 50 220 37358 35986 53 199 49 201 53 201 51 218 35986 34567 52 199 49 198 56 199 50 217 34567 33102 49 198 49 199 55 199 49 217 33102 31583 46 207 46 204 53 202 47 219 31583 29997 43 212 43 204 49 208 42 225 29997 28343 42 211 40 208 44 214 40 229 28343 26617 38 212 38 215 40 215 38 229 26617 24822 30 209 35 218 35 215 35 231 24822 22963 26 206 31 214 27 217 28 237 22963 21037 21 207 24 214 23 215 21 213 21037 19044 20 205 20 210 17 213 17 202 19044 17019 16 210 20 203 15 213 12 204 17019 15067 10 217 18 202 15 220 9 213 15067 13289 7 223 15 203 14 218 6 215 13289 11702 6 218 9 204 7*207 5 207 11702 10285 4 229 3 220 2*176 5 186 10285 9016 3 266 2 281 1 168 6 177 9016 7882 2 298 2 343 1 157 4 180 7882 6871 2 323 2*017 0 026 3 198 6871 5974 3 343 2*021 1 353 1 288 5974 5178 3 347 3 020 2 349 3 348 5178 4461 4 348 3 012 3 345 6 353 4461 3826 4 346 3 359 3 346 10 346 3826 3295 4 341 3 351 3 346 14 334 3295 2887 5 329 3 344 3 347 14*327 2887 2608 5 316 2 340 3 345 12*326 2608 2437 4 313 2 340 3 346 11 326 2437 2340 2*308 2 341 3 344 7 324 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography