DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 60.3 - - 59.6 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 115 - - 12 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 125 - - 634 - - 341 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2446 - - 2956 - - 2662 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 428 - - 628 - - 628 - - 79 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 53 - - 177 - - 73 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 068 - - 072 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3780 - - -3026 - - -2992 - - -1725 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6226 - - 5982 - - 5654 - - 4064 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11100 - - -9477 - - -8944 - - -10504 ODpotential blCL - - - 13546 - - 12433 - - 11606 - - 12842 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 52 - - 51 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 60.3 - - 59.6 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 42.7 - - 43.4 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 59.4 - - 59.7 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 41.5 - - 42.4 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 115 - - 12 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 125 - - 634 - - 341 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95717 47 302 40 304 58 299 44 286 95717 88740 24 305 31 300 40 302 30 294 88740 83352 15 326 27 310 27 304 25 296 83352 78842 16 332 24 321 23 314 23 315 78842 74965 10 317 16 316 19 302 22 313 74965 71555 8 314 13 297 18 298 19 307 71555 68463 15 311 17 302 19 312 15 300 68463 65610 21 302 24 300 21 302 14 298 65610 62951 21 297 26 285 25 289 17 296 62951 60368 20 304 26 284 27 290 20 300 60368 57665 26 304 28 286 30 295 24 310 57665 54852 28 302 29 295 37 304 38 304 54852 52162 35 309 35 301 32 305 36 289 52162 49725 40 312 33 307 28 329 23 324 49725 47534 42 314 41 324 48 334 43 329 47534 45559 47 311 54 321 63 319 51 313 45559 43767 50 304 60 310 60 306 43 303 43767 42113 36 312 43 311 33 341 19 349 42113 40572 59 006 46 015 34 001 35 016 40572 39133 81 010 63 012 46 015 54 359 39133 37784 93 005 73 003 60 003 61 353 37784 36485 92 003 73 002 71 358 57 354 36485 35163 82 004 68 360 65 356 52 358 35163 33790 75 005 63 355 47 356 46 359 33790 32372 73 010 57 358 41 354 34 003 32372 30898 69 016 51 003 43 349 29 008 30898 29353 64 019 48 357 40 005 28 004 29353 27734 53 019 41 357 38 009 32 345 27734 26044 37 004 29 007 20 358 32 322 26044 24295 31 346 21 354 15 329 28 304 24295 22486 26 342 22 341 21 325 30 302 22486 20605 22 336 22 334 23 330 27 304 20605 18646 19 339 21 330 21 327 20 299 18646 16650 16 345 17 329 17 319 13 291 16650 14726 12 342 13 328 13 310 12 294 14726 12975 9 334 10 324 10 309 12 315 12975 11415 8 336 9 329 9 318 12 330 11415 10026 7 345 9 338 9 332 11 342 10026 8787 7 358 7 352 9 342 9 354 8787 7682 7 007 6 007 7 352 7 008 7682 6701 8 014 6 025 6 007 6 021 6701 5833 10 017 9 038 6 025 5 031 5833 5064 12 018 13 044 9 038 6 042 5064 4374 12 021 14 048 11 046 7 053 4374 3763 11 026 12 049 11 050 9 061 3763 3253 10 037 9*057 9 054 10 067 3253 2862 9 047 8*066 8*065 9 079 2862 2593 7*055 8 068 7*070 8 099 2593 2430 5*059 7 069 6 072 7*114 2430 2338 3 062 6 070 5 073 3*123 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography