DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.8 - - 69.7 - - 76.1 - - 74.2 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 282 - - 422 - - 230 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 124 - - 1253 - - 2208 - - 1614 - - 251 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2947 - - 3742 - - 3140 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2445 - - 3576 - - 4531 - - 3937 - - 2573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 270 - - 837 - - 1650 - - 1385 - - 376 Hgt.Variab. W* 60 - - 293 - - 403 - - 297 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 314 - - 319 - - 327 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 1 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1962 - - -4571 - - -5427 - - -5332 - - -2803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4408 - - 8147 - - 9959 - - 9269 - - 5377 sfcLCL ODpotential -11120 - - -11268 - - -11393 - - -11873 - - -11175 ODpotential blCL 13565 - - 14844 - - 15924 - - 15810 - - 13748 blCL maxRH 62 - - 60 - - 62 - - 70 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.8 - - 69.7 - - 76.1 - - 74.2 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.8 - - 42.5 - - 40.6 - - 41.9 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 68.0 - - 73.4 - - 72.5 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.0 - - 41.5 - - 39.7 - - 41.2 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 282 - - 422 - - 230 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 124 - - 1253 - - 2208 - - 1614 - - 251 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97814 5 262 15 261 21 277 16 308 12 301 97814 90382 13 264 16 271 13 279 17 281 16 284 90382 84642 11 299 11 270 13 278 19 277 16 290 84642 79896 14 323 7 293 13 281 16 281 18 312 79896 75851 16 301 10 310 10 303 11 290 15 309 75851 72306 13 286 15 301 16 313 10 332 10 325 72306 69096 10 322 11 297 17 312 14 331 14 314 69096 66136 19 333 8 312 16 301 16 317 18 315 66136 63391 22 324 9 316 16 301 14 311 15 320 63391 60730 23 316 14 321 15 305 14 314 9 337 60730 57953 20 313 17 324 16 312 17 318 14 348 57953 55097 18 314 18 328 14 321 21 328 19 338 55097 52411 19 326 19 346 15 342 19 326 17 331 52411 50019 22 350 23 356 16 348 15 338 22 328 50019 47881 29 002 26 002 23 349 25 333 23 321 47881 45941 37 008 32 359 24 340 31 336 39 327 45941 44168 42 005 38 359 32 342 37 330 39 323 44168 42526 45 001 46 352 36 342 35 330 36 323 42526 40987 42 359 46 350 39 341 36 331 35 322 40987 39536 38 002 41 348 38 340 34 329 35 322 39536 38164 35 004 37 345 35 342 33 331 35 321 38164 36839 32 000 31 344 33 340 31 335 34 321 36839 35493 26 357 25 343 31 337 29 336 32 321 35493 34100 24 353 25 341 27 335 28 332 30 322 34100 32660 21 344 23 341 24 324 28 329 30 323 32660 31161 15 308 20 335 25 318 27 325 30 321 31161 29592 14 294 19 329 20 311 23 318 28 317 29592 27953 16 306 18 325 15 307 21 303 27 315 27953 26246 16 318 17 323 16 318 20 286 24 308 26246 24478 13 321 16 320 19 323 20 296 23 305 24478 22649 12 318 15 312 18 321 23 312 22 304 22649 20752 11 307 13 296 17 311 20 318 19 306 20752 18778 10 301 11 292 14 297 15 318 16 313 18778 16764 9 297 8 280 10 285 12 306 12 314 16764 14823 8 287 9 258 9 260 11 291 11 314 14823 13054 8 274 11 252 10 251 10 284 10 319 13054 11480 7 263 12 256 10 257 9 287 9 326 11480 10079 6 258 11 267 10 268 9 297 9 330 10079 8831 7 265 10 277 8 277 8 305 8 332 8831 7719 7 275 8 284 6 283 7 307 8 333 7719 6732 7 285 7 290 3 287 4 301 7 329 6732 5859 7 291 5 292 2 303 2 297 5 317 5859 5085 6 291 4 293 2*318 1 324 4 313 5085 4391 5 296 3 293 4*321 3*336 4 333 4391 3775 3 314 4*310 6 321 7*331 6 346 3775 3261 8 332 5*315 7 319 8 328 11 337 3261 2867 13 329 5 314 8 319 9 327 13 329 2867 2596 13*329 5 314 8 317 9 326 12*326 2596 2432 10*328 5 313 8 317 8 325 10*325 2432 2338 5 325 5 312 7 317 7 325 6 323 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography