DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.3 - - 51.2 - - 53.9 - - 52.9 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 102 - - 164 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2076 - - 3463 - - 2185 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3127 - - 4346 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 4397 - - 5784 - - 4507 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2589 - - 3200 - - 1739 - - 1977 - - 2226 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 255 - - 346 - - 95 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 12 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 322 - - 337 - - 330 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -2 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 408 - - 812 - - 275 - - -588 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3989 - - 4972 - - 4232 - - 2926 sfcLCL ODpotential -860 - - -1077 - - -189 - - -1617 - - -12771 ODpotential blCL 3197 - - 5474 - - 5973 - - 6124 - - 15109 blCL maxRH 97 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 60 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.3 - - 51.2 - - 53.9 - - 52.9 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.2 - - 41.8 - - 40.2 - - 42.5 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 50.3 - - 52.8 - - 53.1 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.2 - - 40.5 - - 39.3 - - 41.3 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 102 - - 164 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2076 - - 3463 - - 2185 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 24 - - 22 - - 23 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96828 45 284 45 292 45 289 40 274 50 286 96828 89795 29 290 31 286 34 291 23 278 39 284 89795 84354 14 284 26 275 31 287 20 275 21 288 84354 79806 13 276 13 250 27 273 15 270 10 276 79806 75854 21 270 10 251 21 245 16 268 2 252 75854 72331 20 259 15 249 19 238 18 266 10 261 72331 69126 15 239 15 236 17 234 20 255 23 261 69126 66177 15 271 13 248 17 235 14 253 20 256 66177 63454 19 270 14 263 17 245 15 257 13 250 63454 60817 16 281 11 280 14 246 17 257 12 258 60817 58072 25 286 22 284 24 270 30 271 32 270 58072 55255 24 290 20 277 24 259 36 255 37 255 55255 52585 29 326 26 330 12 271 20 262 26 244 52585 50165 54 316 46 309 29 313 25 300 20 261 50165 47967 56 301 53 290 40 295 34 295 29 283 47967 45950 48 306 48 286 45 281 43 290 40 288 45950 44088 47 314 42 288 44 276 50 282 47 290 44088 42364 52 315 41 297 44 275 56 281 55 293 42364 40770 55 310 47 296 44 278 61 284 60 296 40770 39289 55 303 53 290 48 278 59 289 59 299 39289 37900 57 298 56 287 48 282 54 300 57 303 37900 36560 60 296 57 286 48 288 54 311 58 306 36560 35202 62 304 55 292 51 304 62 321 59 308 35202 33799 58 316 56 304 56 322 70 324 59 313 33799 32355 56 318 60 318 63 332 75 324 61 321 32355 30855 57 322 68 326 68 334 74 328 61 326 30855 29284 64 329 74 328 70 331 69 332 58 327 29284 27644 73 332 78 332 72 329 65 328 57 324 27644 25938 81 332 81 333 73 331 65 324 58 322 25938 24170 87 330 83 332 74 333 65 327 56 326 24170 22347 89 331 81 332 76 333 63 334 50 330 22347 20460 79 331 80 335 76 333 62 340 45 337 20460 18497 60 325 77 338 79 337 61 338 45 340 18497 16492 43 308 60 339 75 342 62 341 47 340 16492 14552 28 285 37 338 57 344 61 347 45 350 14552 12781 27 258 17 351 34 349 51 354 40 357 12781 11214 27 251 9 007 20 002 36 000 35 359 11214 9832 24 257 5 338 16 012 24 010 27 004 9832 8613 19 268 6 308 16 016 17 027 21 012 8613 7534 17 276 10 317 14 009 14 034 15 020 7534 6579 18 276 14 331 12*349 12 014 12 026 6579 5737 17 274 16 341 12*341 12 355 12 020 5737 4992 17 274 15*342 12 339 13*340 12 005 4992 4324 15 274 11*335 12 337 13*334 12 354 4324 3732 11 276 8 323 12 336 13 331 11 346 3732 3236 6 294 7 318 12 335 12 329 10 341 3236 2853 4 342 7 317 12 334 12 328 8 340 2853 2590 3 006 6 315 11 333 11 327 6 342 2590 2429 2 017 6 315 10 334 9 326 5*340 2429 2338 1*060 5 315 8 333 7 325 3*337 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography