DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.4 - - 52.8 - - 57.0 - - 52.9 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 26 - - 69 - - -6 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 133 - - 575 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2455 - - 2896 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 146 - - 320 - - 301 - - 451 - - 138 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 68 - - 149 - - 14 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 073 - - 060 - - 075 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1193 - - -1738 - - -1900 - - -1181 - - -278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3530 - - 4193 - - 4796 - - 3520 - - 2615 sfcLCL ODpotential -12048 - - -10447 - - -10058 - - -9286 - - -11206 ODpotential blCL 14385 - - 12902 - - 12954 - - 11624 - - 13543 blCL maxRH 54 - - 64 - - 60 - - 68 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.4 - - 52.8 - - 57.0 - - 52.9 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 42.9 - - 44.4 - - 45.8 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 52.5 - - 56.4 - - 53.6 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 41.7 - - 43.1 - - 44.7 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 26 - - 69 - - -6 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 133 - - 575 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96337 6 008 8 011 2 116 6 226 3 226 96337 89294 10 075 6 073 5 076 4 162 9 060 89294 83821 7 101 5 142 6 051 5 119 5 031 83821 79241 7 109 3 161 8 290 11 034 5 029 79241 75271 5 087 5 154 15 258 15 319 16 352 75271 71764 5 305 3 329 11 258 17 283 15 325 71764 68583 13 301 12 309 12 294 15 286 11 321 68583 65646 16 301 16 301 18 302 20 300 15 319 65646 62917 18 306 17 302 21 295 21 299 20 320 62917 60282 19 313 20 307 23 298 23 303 25 313 60282 57538 23 305 26 305 26 301 24 300 24 301 57538 54685 32 299 28 303 31 314 30 312 26 307 54685 51965 34 302 31 306 34 308 35 312 29 320 51965 49530 35 310 29 298 31 302 36 308 34 325 49530 47363 35 312 24 294 30 295 31 299 33 310 47363 45416 36 304 22 304 24 289 29 286 30 287 45416 43646 24 315 24 333 15 316 15 304 12 293 43646 42025 20 350 27 341 23 354 14 001 18 022 42025 40529 6 042 13 317 20 356 8 328 16 022 40529 39126 14 078 8 183 11 240 17 220 4 342 39126 37800 23 073 15 105 19 197 27 210 8 214 37800 36513 29 061 22 075 20 166 16 203 15 188 36513 35204 25 067 19 063 14 133 15 182 13 181 35204 33844 16 083 14 056 12 097 11 168 10 169 33844 32437 6 078 8 067 9 081 10 169 9 156 32437 30968 5 009 5 092 4 089 11 189 11 165 30968 29424 11 002 2 102 4 184 10 224 14 185 29424 27808 16 008 2 015 7 205 8 243 14 192 27808 26117 14 342 8 343 3 230 7 274 8 215 26117 24359 17 308 12 323 6 306 10 302 8 215 24359 22534 18 313 12 314 8 310 11 298 12 211 22534 20637 18 329 10 323 6 305 10 277 14 246 20637 18668 25 333 12 341 9 315 10 297 14 294 18668 16669 32 331 20 341 22 333 21 330 20 321 16669 14744 35 333 28 340 29 338 27 339 24 337 14744 12988 33 337 30 342 28 342 25 343 26 350 12988 11421 27 342 27 346 25 346 22 346 24 356 11421 10025 21 345 21 350 21 350 19 349 20 358 10025 8779 17 349 17 357 17 356 16 351 16 360 8779 7671 15 352 15 003 14 002 14 354 14 004 7671 6687 15 360 14 008 13 007 13 000 13 008 6687 5818 17 004 14 011 13 010 13 006 13 010 5818 5048 17 008 14 011 14 014 13 011 14 015 5048 4359 18 014 14 010 15 018 13 016 16 021 4359 3749 18 018 14 007 14 018 13 015 16 021 3749 3241 17 021 12 011 12*028 12 018 16 025 3241 2853 14 033 9 034 8*057 9 038 13 041 2853 2588 11 048 7*060 8 060 7 064 12 065 2588 2428 9 058 5*071 8 061 6*071 9*081 2428 2337 4*089 4 074 6 062 4*075 5*099 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography