DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 60.6 - - 62.1 - - 63.0 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 70 - - 57 - - 25 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 886 - - 1122 - - 1528 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3208 - - 3444 - - 3850 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 582 - - 1070 - - 2034 - - 2010 - - 2344 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 170 - - 172 - - 150 - - 8 W* B/S 11 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 254 - - 316 - - 012 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -221 - - 546 - - 892 - - 1038 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2559 - - 2662 - - 2552 - - 2812 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -6542 - - -1223 - - 204 - - 155 - - -483 ODpotential blCL 8880 - - 4431 - - 3240 - - 3695 - - 2821 blCL maxRH 97 - - 93 - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 60.6 - - 62.1 - - 63.0 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.4 - - 56.9 - - 58.8 - - 58.6 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 59.9 - - 61.6 - - 62.8 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.3 - - 56.0 - - 58.0 - - 57.8 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 70 - - 57 - - 25 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 886 - - 1122 - - 1528 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 72 - - 100 - - 94 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 18 098 17 097 10 133 17 079 11 103 96483 89353 12 085 15 106 9 108 12 105 11 062 89353 83836 6 051 6 097 6 042 8 086 11 022 83836 79250 9 014 8 065 7 017 5 020 13 026 79250 75291 12 339 12 359 12 001 12 002 22 358 75291 71826 15 320 12 336 16 309 18 315 20 342 71826 68721 20 327 21 350 11 337 13 323 15 355 68721 65857 32 327 29 330 25 320 25 322 21 330 65857 63203 43 306 36 308 38 311 41 309 33 310 63203 60628 40 289 41 297 45 307 47 305 36 302 60628 57922 42 287 46 295 49 298 48 298 47 299 57922 55095 47 285 49 290 48 287 53 291 59 296 55095 52394 51 275 49 282 49 277 58 283 63 279 52394 49974 51 271 54 279 55 275 60 280 62 275 49974 47811 64 282 66 277 66 272 69 271 72 278 47811 45857 81 273 72 270 70 265 79 267 82 274 45857 44072 81 271 67 267 67 264 84 267 84 272 44072 42420 78 273 64 274 73 267 83 269 82 271 42420 40878 82 274 70 272 79 265 81 272 79 271 40878 39432 86 271 75 268 80 265 80 272 77 271 39432 38066 84 270 75 267 79 266 77 272 77 272 38066 36743 79 271 76 270 79 270 73 271 75 274 36743 35399 78 274 75 272 75 272 70 270 71 273 35399 34004 79 275 71 272 72 273 70 270 67 270 34004 32563 77 273 69 271 71 272 70 267 69 269 32563 31062 75 273 70 270 72 269 69 263 71 270 31062 29490 76 272 70 267 70 269 68 263 69 272 29490 27849 77 270 70 264 71 267 69 263 68 272 27849 26139 75 267 71 262 72 265 71 264 64 272 26139 24364 70 268 72 264 71 267 71 265 63 271 24364 22533 66 268 70 266 68 270 66 267 61 269 22533 20639 64 266 66 270 66 271 61 271 58 270 20639 18670 63 267 64 270 63 271 59 274 53 274 18670 16664 60 272 54 274 59 271 55 275 51 281 16664 14730 45 276 38 280 49 275 48 278 48 283 14730 12971 29 277 29 280 38 277 39 281 40 287 12971 11407 20 281 26 274 30 277 33 284 32 293 11407 10015 17 282 22 274 25 278 29 285 26 299 10015 8775 13 283 17 275 18 284 23 290 22 303 8775 7671 10 291 12 275 11 291 16 298 17 303 7671 6692 9 297 9 278 8 294 10 302 11 293 6692 5828 10 296 9 283 6 297 2 301 4 252 5828 5063 11 291 10 282 5 297 0 032 2 203 5063 4377 12 286 11 278 5 299 1*035 1 186 4377 3768 12 283 10 273 4*303 2*018 2 015 3768 3259 12 284 8*263 4*310 3 014 5 004 3259 2867 11 289 6*256 4 316 3 011 6 359 2867 2597 9 295 6 254 4 318 3 010 6 357 2597 2433 6*297 5 254 4 319 3 011 5 357 2433 2338 0*299 5 253 3 320 3 009 3*356 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography