DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Panoche 2312ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1855z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.3 - - 77.7 - - 84.2 - - 81.9 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 231 - - 345 - - 143 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2110 - - 5214 - - 2144 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2312 - - 3479 - - 5979 - - 3293 - - 2312 Hcrit BL Top 2328 - - 4423 - - 7527 - - 4457 - - 2329 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 64 - - 1766 - - 1216 - - 2903 - - 159 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 323 - - 498 - - 276 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 24 - - 29 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 227 - - 298 - - 344 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 5 - - 29 - - 6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6261 - - -8601 - - -7197 - - -8715 - - -5906 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8589 - - 13025 - - 14725 - - 13173 - - 8236 sfcLCL ODpotential -18173 - - -16212 - - -13264 - - -15060 - - -15238 ODpotential blCL 20501 - - 20635 - - 20791 - - 19517 - - 17567 blCL maxRH 32 - - 90 - - 78 - - 69 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.3 - - 77.7 - - 84.2 - - 81.9 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 28.8 - - 27.4 - - 32.1 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.3 - - 77.2 - - 82.9 - - 80.7 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 28.8 - - 27.3 - - 32.1 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 231 - - 345 - - 143 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2110 - - 5214 - - 2144 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 62 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98309 7 274 7 007 5 206 9 231 4 314 98309 90890 5 065 2 032 2 161 5 207 2 354 90890 85161 6 055 6 101 4 225 2 239 2 042 85161 80425 7 063 6 055 1 259 2 036 4 049 80425 76364 9 041 3 088 3 259 5 355 4 028 76364 72790 9 337 4 329 5 296 6 358 5 352 72790 69565 8 314 6 304 8 296 10 323 7 337 69565 66609 10 321 8 313 9 292 14 311 10 326 66609 63875 13 319 10 319 9 291 14 284 13 312 63875 61232 15 312 11 304 11 289 14 269 15 296 61232 58476 17 295 12 290 14 263 15 273 16 287 58476 55615 21 273 16 288 17 256 18 271 18 285 55615 52882 24 265 21 276 20 262 23 265 20 285 52882 50418 29 263 27 266 22 267 24 265 22 281 50418 48207 32 260 30 263 23 268 25 265 22 278 48207 46201 33 258 29 260 24 268 22 271 21 282 46201 44364 32 257 27 261 26 267 21 292 20 287 44364 42670 28 260 25 258 23 266 21 298 18 293 42670 41098 25 267 21 252 18 271 17 303 15 306 41098 39630 25 271 15 255 11 270 13 303 13 320 39630 38253 23 271 13 254 6 276 6 317 11 321 38253 36926 21 271 11 249 4 276 4 342 10 315 36926 35583 19 270 10 256 3 267 4 333 10 315 35583 34191 17 272 10 268 4 274 4 322 11 317 34191 32753 16 271 12 272 5 278 3 299 11 311 32753 31255 18 267 14 270 7 279 4 286 12 306 31255 29687 20 264 16 267 9 277 7 296 12 310 29687 28051 21 264 16 267 10 278 10 300 12 315 28051 26346 20 266 16 272 12 285 13 298 10 314 26346 24575 20 271 16 275 14 291 14 300 10 309 24575 22739 20 277 16 280 15 295 16 303 10 309 22739 20830 18 280 16 281 15 291 16 304 8 309 20830 18844 15 281 14 279 14 286 15 301 7 306 18844 16820 12 280 12 280 12 282 12 294 6 294 16820 14872 10 283 9 289 8 278 8 278 6 266 14872 13101 6 292 6 309 5 275 4 258 6 233 13101 11527 2 307 4 347 1 292 1 154 4 200 11527 10124 1 313 5 002 1 032 3 068 3 128 10124 8873 2 255 4 359 1 277 4 059 5 072 8873 7757 2 244 3 359 1*248 3 086 6 050 7757 6764 3 255 1 015 1*279 3 107 4 044 6764 5887 2 262 1 025 2 296 3 097 2 085 5887 5107 2 256 0*207 3 298 3*038 3 092 5107 4407 1 211 2*200 4 298 5*001 4 058 4407 3785 1 135 2 213 4 298 8 349 5 043 3785 3265 1 064 3 230 4 300 10 342 6 024 3265 2864 2 026 3 233 4 300 10 341 9 359 2864 2590 3 013 3 237 4 300 10 340 11 347 2590 2423 2 012 3 237 4 300 10 339 10*346 2423 2329 2*030 3 239 4 300 9 340 6*345 2329 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography