DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Panoche 2320ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.5 - - 46.5 - - 46.9 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 19 - - 14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 252 - - 478 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2337 - - 2573 - - 2799 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1503 - - 1887 - - 2546 - - 1941 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 71 - - 81 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 090 - - 014 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 236 - - 462 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2337 - - 2337 - - 2337 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -461 - - 9 - - 52 - - -502 ODpotential blCL - - - 2798 - - 2564 - - 2747 - - 2839 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 30 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.5 - - 46.5 - - 46.9 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.9 - - 45.7 - - 45.3 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 46.3 - - 46.6 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 45.4 - - 45.0 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 19 - - 14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 252 - - 478 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96611 3 041 5 028 14 061 16 097 96611 89516 11 098 7 068 13 090 19 073 89516 84016 9 073 7 107 15 102 11 069 84016 79434 9 095 9 108 10 101 13 102 79434 75461 10 113 8 125 8 120 8 108 75461 71931 10 110 9 127 5 150 4 121 71931 68734 6 094 7 108 7 171 4 126 68734 65786 3 293 3 161 5 135 4 174 65786 63031 10 265 3 218 4 164 9 206 63031 60344 15 235 11 268 8 266 6 188 60344 57528 18 232 19 250 16 275 8 273 57528 54588 17 238 19 238 20 254 13 254 54588 51768 19 249 19 232 15 248 8 268 51768 49217 26 251 19 243 18 268 9 308 49217 46922 31 246 22 247 18 268 11 309 46922 44837 35 247 16 249 13 255 12 301 44837 42928 35 258 15 288 9 279 14 306 42928 41164 38 260 21 283 11 311 12 316 41164 39521 38 253 27 283 16 321 11 335 39521 37986 37 246 28 278 22 324 13 350 37986 36552 34 245 28 271 25 323 15 360 36552 35183 29 247 22 275 26 321 16 004 35183 33811 25 253 20 290 24 318 19 354 33811 32409 26 269 20 297 21 311 21 349 32409 30984 32 270 22 289 18 309 20 345 30984 29522 36 263 22 275 16 308 16 325 29522 28013 36 259 18 266 13 287 8 296 28013 26464 35 258 13 270 10 256 12 197 26464 24871 34 261 13 275 8 242 18 185 24871 23219 29 261 13 271 7 247 15 193 23219 21507 21 260 10 264 7 260 11 207 21507 19729 17 269 9 290 7 275 9 220 19729 17876 12 277 7 305 11 304 7 232 17876 15983 11 239 11 254 16 311 7 275 15983 14155 21 224 16 239 15 315 9 300 14155 12489 24 230 17 238 8 320 5 326 12489 11005 21 243 16 246 8 316 4 348 11005 9682 20 267 16 257 8 325 6 345 9682 8501 19 283 13 270 8 339 9 347 8501 7449 17 287 9 286 7 356 11 352 7449 6514 14 285 6 309 7 011 12 358 6514 5687 10 279 4 322 7 011 13 360 5687 4955 6 277 2 346 7 009 14 004 4955 4296 4 274 2 096 7 008 14 007 4296 3711 2 271 5 106 6 008 14 008 3711 3222 2 231 6 099 6 011 12 005 3222 2845 5 192 6 095 6*014 9 002 2845 2586 5 184 6*093 5*014 6 357 2586 2427 4 176 5*092 5 014 5*352 2427 2337 3*170 4 089 4 014 2*341 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography