DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 67.1 - - 74.1 - - 72.2 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 196 - - 290 - - 61 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1570 - - 3401 - - 2810 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3043 - - 4522 - - 2918 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3891 - - 5723 - - 5132 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 103 - - 885 - - 1147 - - 1180 - - 1303 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 277 - - 408 - - 228 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 15 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 333 - - 352 - - 007 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7022 - - -8577 - - -8232 - - -7306 - - -6152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 12468 - - 13956 - - 12438 - - 8490 sfcLCL ODpotential -19638 - - -17872 - - -16069 - - -15062 - - -16045 ODpotential blCL 21976 - - 21763 - - 21792 - - 20194 - - 18383 blCL maxRH 45 - - 60 - - 51 - - 37 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 67.1 - - 74.1 - - 72.2 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 21.2 - - 21.2 - - 26.2 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 65.7 - - 72.1 - - 71.5 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.5 - - 20.8 - - 20.7 - - 25.9 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 196 - - 290 - - 61 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1570 - - 3401 - - 2810 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97514 8 257 17 294 13 309 20 300 6 275 97514 90288 4 357 12 287 14 300 11 284 6 333 90288 84705 4 356 4 299 11 292 5 205 8 314 84705 80061 1 353 2 083 6 265 3 221 7 320 80061 76072 3 071 4 072 3 245 6 301 9 344 76072 72569 7 275 4 066 3 221 6 300 5 333 72569 69406 3 268 4 083 5 201 5 275 2 327 69406 66491 11 303 3 012 5 203 6 265 4 357 66491 63784 9 277 6 333 4 244 8 284 10 327 63784 61172 9 321 8 317 7 286 11 286 15 298 61172 58461 16 322 11 311 17 302 17 312 16 302 58461 55656 24 328 17 315 20 306 26 315 23 305 55656 52984 33 327 21 330 22 307 29 313 24 308 52984 50570 35 338 31 337 25 315 33 318 31 322 50570 48389 44 336 37 329 33 311 41 319 43 323 48389 46392 47 334 39 321 41 311 46 317 52 320 46392 44548 47 340 43 323 45 316 50 317 57 320 44548 42831 51 337 49 328 47 320 54 320 59 322 42831 41226 62 334 57 332 51 325 56 323 61 323 41226 39720 69 334 66 331 59 327 59 327 61 324 39720 38303 74 334 71 329 65 328 60 329 60 325 38303 36938 76 333 73 327 70 327 62 331 55 329 36938 35559 76 333 74 326 72 325 62 331 53 334 35559 34141 77 332 73 326 69 324 62 330 53 333 34141 32688 71 333 70 327 64 326 59 330 51 329 32688 31189 60 335 59 326 55 326 51 332 47 331 31189 29628 53 337 52 325 48 326 47 334 44 335 29628 27999 47 339 46 329 45 331 44 334 44 335 27999 26297 44 339 40 330 41 336 42 337 44 334 26297 24528 44 338 40 332 36 336 37 339 41 335 24528 22693 42 341 39 338 32 337 32 340 36 336 22693 20786 37 345 34 340 30 339 28 338 31 335 20786 18801 33 348 30 342 28 341 26 341 28 337 18801 16780 29 351 26 349 25 343 24 348 25 345 16780 14832 26 352 24 356 22 349 21 358 21 358 14832 13058 23 356 21 359 19 356 19 005 17 009 13058 11478 21 003 16 359 15 001 17 008 15 010 11478 10070 18 008 13 360 13 359 15 008 14 008 10070 8817 16 010 12 002 12 353 14 007 13 007 8817 7701 15 014 12 009 11 353 12 006 12 005 7701 6711 15 015 12 015 9 355 11 004 12 006 6711 5839 14 012 12 014 6*348 7*359 12 005 5839 5068 12 009 11 007 6*349 7*002 10 360 5068 4378 9 011 9*357 6 350 7 005 7 001 4378 3768 5 026 4*340 6 351 7 008 6 015 3768 3259 4 042 4 333 6 353 7 008 7 028 3259 2867 3 039 3 331 6 354 7 009 8 030 2867 2596 3 027 3 330 6 354 7 009 7 029 2596 2432 2*005 3 331 5 355 7 009 5 028 2432 2338 0*022 3 331 5 355 6 009 4*028 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography