DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 78.0 - - 76.5 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 499 - - 310 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1856 - - 3079 - - 1820 - - 382 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3456 - - 4449 - - 3373 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4178 - - 5402 - - 4143 - - 2704 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 912 - - 1380 - - 2458 - - 489 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 369 - - 474 - - 340 - - 88 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 256 - - 281 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4334 - - -4587 - - -5627 - - -3788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8512 - - 9990 - - 9770 - - 6492 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10600 - - -9684 - - -10989 - - -11383 ODpotential blCL - - - 14778 - - 15086 - - 15132 - - 14087 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 56 - - 61 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 78.0 - - 76.5 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.3 - - 42.2 - - 41.7 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 75.1 - - 74.4 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 41.7 - - 41.3 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 499 - - 310 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1856 - - 3079 - - 1820 - - 382 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99100 33 103 30 118 26 121 22 105 99100 91587 28 115 23 122 20 128 18 074 91587 85813 27 116 23 120 17 110 18 096 85813 81017 26 109 26 108 24 107 21 112 81017 76888 19 111 21 103 26 102 25 112 76888 73238 16 126 12 104 17 101 22 101 73238 69940 15 120 10 122 13 119 16 102 69940 66917 12 143 9 138 11 129 11 114 66917 64113 12 148 8 159 4 152 6 127 64113 61392 4 202 10 188 7 224 4 212 61392 58555 10 229 6 206 6 252 2 277 58555 55618 13 258 12 244 14 263 8 271 55618 52818 19 272 17 246 19 264 18 275 52818 50301 27 281 23 263 26 269 27 274 50301 48045 37 282 31 273 32 274 32 275 48045 45995 44 278 39 275 40 275 40 276 45995 44125 50 278 44 277 44 275 42 283 44125 42419 53 281 46 281 46 281 45 284 42419 40847 53 283 45 280 48 281 43 286 40847 39381 49 283 42 282 46 279 43 292 39381 38005 43 284 43 285 44 282 45 293 38005 36680 38 284 44 284 45 282 45 292 36680 35337 34 285 42 280 48 280 44 290 35337 33947 33 284 40 280 51 279 43 288 33947 32511 31 281 39 282 51 279 43 287 32511 31017 29 275 36 280 47 278 43 288 31017 29454 27 270 35 280 42 278 40 287 29454 27824 24 273 34 284 39 279 38 285 27824 26128 21 278 30 283 35 279 34 287 26128 24369 20 282 26 280 29 280 28 289 24369 22548 20 290 23 280 22 285 23 286 22548 20658 19 294 19 282 17 291 19 281 20658 18694 18 293 16 281 15 289 15 277 18694 16693 16 293 13 280 13 285 13 283 16693 14764 14 291 10 282 11 288 11 289 14764 13008 13 288 8 284 9 291 8 286 13008 11444 12 288 8 283 9 287 6 279 11444 10053 11 290 8 282 7 284 7 282 10053 8812 10 292 8 280 5 272 7 287 8812 7706 10 294 7 276 5 246 6 282 7706 6723 9 292 7 264 6 230 6 267 6723 5852 7 282 7*247 7 224 8 250 5852 5080 5 255 7*247 7 225 10 233 5080 4387 5*233 7 251 7*235 12 231 4387 3772 6*233 8 255 7*266 12 239 3772 3259 6 235 8 258 9 281 12 268 3259 2866 6 238 8 261 9 284 12*289 2866 2597 6 238 8 261 9 286 11*292 2597 2432 6 239 8 263 9 286 10 292 2432 2338 5 238 7 263 8 286 7 294 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography