DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.5 - - 84.9 - - 89.7 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 320 - - 429 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 128 - - 2497 - - 4218 - - - - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3883 - - 5298 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2450 - - 4821 - - 6542 - - - - - 2663 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 248 - - 1242 - - 1380 - - - - - 558 Hgt.Variab. W* 68 - - 382 - - 502 - - - - - 66 W* B/S 4 - - 21 - - 15 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 159 - - 223 - - - - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6185 - - -6868 - - -6213 - - - - - -6605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8635 - - 11689 - - 12756 - - - - - 9269 sfcLCL ODpotential -14654 - - -12560 - - -11521 - - - - - -14136 ODpotential blCL 17104 - - 17381 - - 18063 - - - - - 16799 blCL maxRH 85 - - 86 - - 89 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.5 - - 84.9 - - 89.7 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.5 - - 42.0 - - 41.8 - - - - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.1 - - 82.7 - - 87.0 - - - - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 41.4 - - 41.1 - - - - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 320 - - 429 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 128 - - 2497 - - 4218 - - - - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 43 - - 58 - - - - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99390 39 100 45 105 37 122 30 101 99390 91839 42 102 38 106 34 104 28 096 91839 86023 38 097 28 105 28 091 30 105 86023 81217 32 091 21 109 23 091 32 099 81217 77092 24 094 26 116 18 107 25 095 77092 73458 22 094 27 108 18 120 21 097 73458 70181 20 096 19 097 21 111 19 100 70181 67190 13 112 16 091 19 105 20 098 67190 64436 11 118 12 110 10 108 16 093 64436 61780 8 113 11 140 9 126 14 083 61780 59014 15 145 15 177 12 146 4 071 59014 56163 14 147 24 179 20 172 16 193 56163 53479 16 212 29 188 31 191 27 184 53479 51090 32 210 35 199 38 196 31 190 51090 48951 40 210 38 200 39 201 32 196 48951 46994 44 210 37 198 37 201 32 199 46994 45183 45 212 37 206 38 204 33 202 45183 43492 45 212 39 212 41 207 36 209 43492 41904 44 213 41 214 43 205 38 209 41904 40407 46 213 43 212 42 199 40 210 40407 38991 48 212 44 210 43 195 40 204 38991 37621 48 213 43 209 44 195 42 195 37621 36228 48 225 41 211 43 198 43 193 36228 34784 49 231 40 212 43 207 44 203 34784 33293 44 228 40 211 45 215 42 208 33293 31743 43 222 45 215 42 212 37 209 31743 30124 39 217 45 217 37 213 36 208 30124 28438 30 217 38 215 33 214 34 198 28438 26683 29 210 32 207 29 213 30 191 26683 24865 27 203 30 198 30 198 26 181 24865 22987 25 194 29 191 29 191 26 179 22987 21047 24 179 26 183 27 182 25 178 21047 19038 26 170 26 177 25 176 24 174 19038 16995 26 171 26 175 23 174 22 169 16995 15026 23 167 24 178 21 175 21 163 15026 13231 15 162 19 177 17 174 21 163 13231 11633 8 187 14 175 14 174 20 170 11633 10210 8 221 10 178 11 175 18 183 10210 8942 8 232 6 187 9 176 17 193 8942 7814 7 228 5 194 7 179 15 188 7814 6812 8 211 5 188 6*185 13 175 6812 5925 9 195 7 173 6*196 11 175 5925 5140 10 186 6*162 6 207 10 183 5140 4434 10 176 5*158 6 221 10 188 4434 3807 9 172 4 158 7 227 8 193 3807 3283 7 181 3 160 7 232 4 242 3283 2880 4 224 3 159 7 235 6*307 2880 2604 4*285 2 161 7 236 6*310 2604 2436 4*296 2 160 7 238 6 312 2436 2339 3 297 2 160 6 238 5 313 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography