DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 68.5 - - 67.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 378 - - 179 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2121 - - 5353 - - 5414 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3567 - - 6147 - - 5837 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4442 - - 7675 - - 7736 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1636 - - 927 - - 1078 - - 1614 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 348 - - 523 - - 411 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 37 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 010 - - 013 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 22 - - 35 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7249 - - -5008 - - -3909 - - -4623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11692 - - 12683 - - 11646 - - 6962 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14610 - - -11993 - - -10669 - - -12437 ODpotential blCL - - - 19052 - - 19668 - - 18405 - - 14775 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 44 - - 58 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 68.5 - - 67.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.6 - - 20.7 - - 24.6 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 66.2 - - 66.4 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 19.6 - - 23.5 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 378 - - 179 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2121 - - 5353 - - 5414 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97346 52 268 62 269 60 278 60 283 97346 90028 54 272 58 270 54 275 47 275 90028 84369 52 273 48 269 45 273 42 270 84369 79620 44 271 33 268 36 274 35 269 79620 75531 29 272 28 272 24 274 22 274 75531 71958 21 273 22 280 20 273 16 276 71958 68742 16 275 21 274 21 284 16 291 68742 65787 17 283 20 270 23 296 21 310 65787 63051 21 303 19 275 22 296 22 312 63051 60400 25 309 20 286 23 291 23 313 60400 57629 25 307 24 304 25 301 24 316 57629 54751 29 309 29 318 25 310 25 316 54751 51999 30 311 30 316 27 314 28 320 51999 49510 29 310 30 306 30 311 32 319 49510 47267 29 315 28 306 27 305 30 311 47267 45229 32 322 27 314 25 308 30 296 45229 43375 34 323 30 318 27 315 27 291 43375 41686 35 323 32 322 31 319 22 310 41686 40137 35 325 32 328 34 321 35 332 40137 38709 33 327 31 325 35 319 40 320 38709 37378 32 328 27 322 32 318 38 313 37378 36096 31 329 23 329 30 320 39 313 36096 34791 30 328 25 338 32 324 38 315 34791 33438 29 331 27 341 33 325 35 316 33438 32038 27 333 28 340 31 326 31 313 32038 30580 27 333 28 342 29 324 28 310 30580 29052 27 335 27 344 25 322 24 303 29052 27456 26 339 25 342 24 325 22 299 27456 25791 27 339 23 343 23 328 19 306 25791 24059 26 336 22 344 22 332 16 320 24059 22259 25 329 22 340 19 340 14 325 22259 20388 24 324 21 332 17 337 12 319 20388 18440 22 321 20 325 16 327 14 315 18440 16457 18 322 18 318 16 325 14 325 16457 14548 16 331 15 318 15 324 14 337 14548 12811 14 339 12 328 12 326 13 343 12811 11268 11 342 12 339 9 338 10 348 11268 9896 10 341 12 338 7 349 6 357 9896 8675 11 348 7*348 1*117 4 345 8675 7589 11 008 2*354 2*099 1 312 7589 6626 9 021 2 353 2 063 2 098 6626 5776 5 023 2 359 4 027 6 065 5776 5024 3*013 2 006 5 012 9 049 5024 4347 3*011 3 013 6 005 9 031 4347 3747 3 017 3 018 6 001 11 006 3747 3245 3 021 3 022 7 001 12 350 3245 2859 3 025 3 024 7 359 12 342 2859 2593 3 028 3 024 7 359 11 340 2593 2431 3 028 3 026 6 358 9*340 2431 2338 3 029 3 025 5 359 5*338 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography