DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 93.2 - - - - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 268 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 4388 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2526 - - 5247 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3349 - - 6712 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1816 - - 3725 - - - - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 434 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 165 - - - - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 12 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10107 - - -8171 - - - - - -6546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13457 - - 14883 - - - - - 8886 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16102 - - -12906 - - - - - -14801 ODpotential blCL - - - 19451 - - 19618 - - - - - 17140 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 84 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 93.2 - - - - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 35.6 - - - - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 91.2 - - - - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 35.1 - - - - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 268 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 4388 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 34 - - - - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97754 13 314 7 239 13 326 97754 90523 3 323 5 340 7 003 90523 84948 5 316 6 338 6 037 84948 80316 3 265 5 280 7 044 80316 76340 4 133 3 329 10 046 76340 72844 9 073 6 090 9 053 72844 69680 7 072 8 108 9 041 69680 66764 5 154 2 157 7 011 66764 64060 6 174 5 188 9 304 64060 61449 3 267 6 227 12 260 61449 58735 9 275 8 260 13 253 58735 55931 19 275 16 265 20 259 55931 53267 28 267 25 263 25 259 53267 50870 32 258 31 265 27 269 50870 48717 34 257 33 271 27 277 48717 46748 35 258 33 271 34 285 46748 44920 35 262 32 274 42 285 44920 43211 34 266 34 273 46 283 43211 41602 36 268 35 268 44 283 41602 40085 42 263 31 270 41 281 40085 38654 42 260 33 266 39 275 38654 37282 38 254 40 240 37 267 37282 35911 38 245 34 242 32 240 35911 34507 38 241 33 248 32 234 34507 33057 37 243 34 251 26 232 33057 31544 34 250 32 257 26 236 31544 29960 28 257 29 252 25 239 29960 28309 24 264 24 246 22 258 28309 26587 21 278 15 261 18 286 26587 24798 9 267 8 243 16 270 24798 22945 9 210 9 236 14 245 22945 21024 13 212 13 229 8 226 21024 19025 12 199 9 208 7 172 19025 16987 9 183 9 189 10 146 16987 15025 10 181 9 185 13 141 15025 13242 10 183 9 180 15 138 13242 11656 11 182 9 175 12 136 11656 10243 12 179 9 175 8 130 10243 8980 12 179 9 175 4 123 8980 7852 11 174 9 172 1 126 7852 6846 11 168 8*169 0 236 6846 5955 13 164 8*169 1 265 5955 5163 14 162 8 169 2 243 5163 4452 13 161 7 167 2 231 4452 3820 12*162 7 164 0 020 3820 3292 9*163 6 161 4 032 3292 2885 6 166 6 160 7 017 2885 2605 6 166 6 160 9 007 2605 2436 5 165 6 159 8 006 2436 2339 4 167 5 159 4*010 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography