DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Panoche 2320ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.2 - - 38.4 - - - - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 88 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 1616 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2320 - - 2320 - - - - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3043 - - 3936 - - - - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2669 - - 3865 - - - - - 2376 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 220 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 27 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 294 - - - - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 19 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 707 - - 1288 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2337 - - 2649 - - - - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 230 - - 266 - - - - - -561 ODpotential blCL - - - 2813 - - 3670 - - - - - 2898 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 160 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.2 - - 38.4 - - - - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 34.9 - - - - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 37.9 - - - - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 34.0 - - - - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 88 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 1616 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 92 - - - - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96599 30 115 26 107 22 098 96599 89449 26 101 18 110 18 096 89449 83896 14 084 17 112 13 109 83896 79269 7 095 9 105 7 115 79269 75267 4 129 5 119 7 105 75267 71705 8 091 3 103 5 025 71705 68464 5 064 4 299 6 346 68464 65474 9 329 6 230 5 300 65474 62688 18 303 4 216 6 279 62688 59980 19 301 17 286 12 303 59980 57159 25 288 22 282 22 304 57159 54224 34 281 24 276 34 289 54224 51404 43 303 34 288 37 294 51404 48845 58 303 45 295 46 299 48845 46546 67 291 57 298 54 297 46546 44462 66 286 62 299 53 301 44462 42555 69 294 65 302 56 311 42555 40793 75 297 69 302 67 312 40793 39162 76 295 74 300 77 306 39162 37645 77 292 79 297 78 299 37645 36223 80 292 82 294 71 300 36223 34861 87 290 85 292 70 308 34861 33500 97 284 89 287 73 316 33500 32116 104 280 89 280 78 319 32116 30715 101 273 83 281 81 319 30715 29278 82 276 81 289 83 320 29278 27787 78 289 86 296 86 321 27787 26235 87 297 92 299 87 322 26235 24622 92 298 95 300 89 323 24622 22948 96 296 94 300 90 323 22948 21216 99 295 87 299 88 323 21216 19422 95 296 78 300 80 324 19422 17564 79 298 74 301 72 325 17564 15676 68 299 68 301 69 323 15676 13861 54 298 54 299 63 324 13861 12222 31 269 44 287 51 327 12222 10778 32 261 41 287 44 330 10778 9499 42 277 43 294 42 329 9499 8355 46 286 44 300 41 329 8355 7333 46 291 43 303 41 327 7333 6422 45 293 41 304 40 325 6422 5615 44 294 39 304 39 323 5615 4898 43 294 38 303 37 320 4898 4254 40 294 35*300 35 317 4254 3682 35 292 32*297 32 314 3682 3203 30*289 29 294 28 311 3203 2834 26*287 27 293 23 308 2834 2580 23 285 24 292 17 304 2580 2425 20 284 22 291 14*302 2425 2337 12 282 13 289 7*296 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography