DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.2 - - 85.7 - - 93.6 - - 92.6 - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 301 - - 409 - - 224 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1723 - - 3482 - - 2906 - - 320 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3293 - - 4707 - - 4062 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4046 - - 5806 - - 5230 - - 2643 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 282 - - 865 - - 1199 - - 1917 - - 564 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 330 - - 463 - - 357 - - 55 W* B/S 2 - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 179 - - 196 - - 198 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 8 - - 13 - - 26 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2306 - - -7590 - - -7919 - - -7007 - - -3440 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4645 - - 11636 - - 13726 - - 12238 - - 6083 sfcLCL ODpotential -11798 - - -14050 - - -12992 - - -11442 - - -10445 ODpotential blCL 14137 - - 18096 - - 18798 - - 16672 - - 13088 blCL maxRH 62 - - 28 - - 38 - - 40 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.2 - - 85.7 - - 93.6 - - 92.6 - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.9 - - 43.3 - - 41.6 - - 47.1 - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.2 - - 83.7 - - 91.0 - - 90.8 - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.8 - - 42.9 - - 41.0 - - 46.8 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 301 - - 409 - - 224 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1723 - - 3482 - - 2906 - - 320 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99356 40 105 32 109 34 105 29 115 35 102 99356 91855 38 109 32 110 32 116 29 109 30 105 91855 86062 31 104 33 115 30 113 33 109 32 106 86062 81265 29 101 31 115 26 118 29 098 36 103 81265 77139 23 099 25 106 24 118 23 100 31 096 77139 73505 18 115 20 107 21 112 19 121 23 098 73505 70229 18 118 16 112 16 112 20 124 14 102 70229 67234 20 131 12 118 14 120 16 112 12 118 67234 64471 16 117 14 142 14 132 13 119 12 133 64471 61805 13 079 17 140 10 152 8 145 10 133 61805 59040 7 042 10 130 11 178 5 212 3 110 59040 56202 7 165 4 227 11 196 11 225 3 283 56202 53516 6 206 5 208 8 203 10 210 8 221 53516 51106 12 275 1 191 8 170 11 200 14 214 51106 48947 20 279 9 282 5 242 11 230 14 228 48947 46979 25 270 21 270 16 281 15 262 15 257 46979 45161 31 267 28 270 24 282 19 270 18 269 45161 43468 34 266 31 268 29 277 23 271 22 270 43468 41880 34 263 31 263 30 271 25 269 23 269 41880 40382 33 260 31 260 30 267 26 266 22 268 40382 38970 33 260 31 260 30 265 28 265 23 268 38970 37607 34 260 31 260 30 263 28 263 22 266 37607 36226 34 259 29 260 29 260 28 261 21 265 36226 34797 29 260 23 261 25 260 26 258 20 263 34797 33325 23 270 16 275 16 252 22 257 17 262 33325 31793 24 271 14 286 10 251 15 250 13 259 31793 30190 25 264 14 279 10 257 11 251 10 248 30190 28520 20 257 13 269 9 249 8 245 10 230 28520 26782 14 255 8 260 7 233 7 228 10 222 26782 24977 9 236 5 225 6 200 5 191 10 215 24977 23108 6 217 4 198 4 177 5 141 9 189 23108 21170 5 186 5 206 5 217 5 135 10 165 21170 19164 8 190 13 200 16 212 9 206 6 159 19164 17126 9 199 15 206 18 207 15 211 10 171 17126 15160 8 211 17 224 17 213 17 207 13 186 15160 13364 9 226 18 229 18 224 18 216 14 202 13364 11758 11 235 18 230 19 227 18 227 13 217 11758 10323 11 235 16 232 18 229 17 231 13 230 10323 9039 10 228 14 232 15 227 14 226 12 237 9039 7892 9 214 12 226 13 217 11 200 11 239 7892 6871 10 197 11 214 10 194 9 167 10 224 6871 5967 11 181 12 199 8*186 8*169 11 186 5967 5168 13 165 13 185 8*188 8*175 11 167 5168 4452 12 154 10*172 8 192 7 183 10 182 4452 3819 11 153 6*171 8 195 5 196 10 195 3819 3290 9 169 5 179 7 198 4 213 7 233 3290 2885 9 197 5 181 7 200 4 221 7*283 2885 2606 9 208 4 183 7 201 4 226 7*291 2606 2437 6*213 4 184 7 202 4 229 7 293 2437 2340 2*224 4 184 6 202 4 231 5 294 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography