DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.0 - - 47.9 - - 46.3 - - 41.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 92 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 2175 - - 143 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3130 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3368 - - 4496 - - 2464 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2695 - - 1641 - - 3594 - - 1688 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 161 - - 251 - - 35 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 325 - - 355 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -15 - - 592 - - -1088 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3383 - - 3904 - - 3552 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1624 - - -1030 - - -1910 - - -542 ODpotential blCL - - - 4992 - - 5526 - - 4374 - - 2879 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 82 - - 93 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.0 - - 47.9 - - 46.3 - - 41.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.5 - - 39.1 - - 39.1 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 47.1 - - 46.5 - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 37.9 - - 37.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 92 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 2175 - - 143 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 26 - - 73 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96298 21 027 11 010 17 025 12 008 96298 89231 12 037 8 041 9 009 17 030 89231 83774 5 038 7 065 8 005 12 001 83774 79248 4 231 5 329 7 043 2 072 79248 75296 9 239 17 298 7 331 7 299 75296 71756 11 249 20 274 11 273 19 275 71756 68526 14 265 18 265 10 266 18 260 68526 65534 19 272 21 278 14 294 12 265 65534 62751 22 264 23 273 22 287 15 300 62751 60066 19 253 21 260 23 273 24 302 60066 57277 18 267 19 264 21 265 23 292 57277 54373 25 280 19 274 17 266 25 297 54373 51589 26 274 20 278 21 287 28 295 51589 49082 26 269 24 278 24 291 27 283 49082 46842 30 270 26 269 23 299 18 270 46842 44814 32 267 22 277 21 307 11 308 44814 42965 28 274 23 294 19 311 21 341 42965 41268 29 278 26 295 19 321 25 356 41268 39693 30 275 26 290 19 346 26 002 39693 38227 27 269 22 291 23 019 19 016 38227 36856 19 273 18 307 42 023 37 045 36856 35542 20 295 19 322 50 023 66 041 35542 34225 23 295 21 328 46 022 75 039 34225 32872 20 294 23 335 42 027 74 046 32872 31482 12 304 24 341 43 033 77 052 31482 30040 17 344 23 348 47 035 74 053 30040 28532 22 357 22 355 46 030 67 055 28532 26958 24 006 23 002 40 024 61 058 26958 25317 25 012 25 010 38 024 54 056 25317 23615 26 015 29 014 38 026 44 045 23615 21856 26 016 30 014 36 028 39 037 21856 20034 26 014 31 014 31 030 31 038 20034 18139 27 020 29 015 27 027 24 038 18139 16203 24 023 26 021 25 023 20 036 16203 14333 20 016 23 027 23 025 20 036 14333 12627 17 010 19 032 21 035 20 036 12627 11108 14 005 15 033 17 043 18 038 11108 9756 9 342 12 033 12 046 14 037 9756 8551 6 313 10 025 9 047 11 027 8551 7480 10 313 8 005 9 041 11 020 7480 6532 17 317 13 343 9 017 12 020 6532 5696 20 325 15 337 10 007 14 012 5696 4957 22 334 15*334 10 005 14 000 4957 4295 21 340 13*329 9 002 13 359 4295 3710 19*341 12 326 9 359 11 010 3710 3221 15*338 12 325 9 357 10 023 3221 2844 11 335 12 324 8 356 10 028 2844 2585 10 334 11 323 8*355 9 030 2585 2427 9 334 10 323 7*355 8 030 2427 2337 7 333 8 322 5 356 5*030 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography