DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/30 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.3 - - 54.1 - - 62.3 - - 58.5 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 13 - - 73 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 692 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 3014 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 112 - - 349 - - 938 - - 793 - - 160 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 28 - - 157 - - 8 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 084 - - 168 - - 115 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6762 - - -3930 - - -4790 - - -3042 - - -1975 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9100 - - 6269 - - 7805 - - 5380 - - 4313 sfcLCL ODpotential -16581 - - -10638 - - -10125 - - -8458 - - -9434 ODpotential blCL 18919 - - 12976 - - 13139 - - 10796 - - 11772 blCL maxRH 80 - - 75 - - 79 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.3 - - 54.1 - - 62.3 - - 58.5 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 35.4 - - 36.7 - - 43.3 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 54.0 - - 61.8 - - 59.3 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.7 - - 34.3 - - 35.5 - - 42.2 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 13 - - 73 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 692 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 2 - - 15 - - 99 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96879 27 302 25 280 33 281 25 280 27 277 96879 89717 7 312 4 278 13 304 7 309 8 258 89717 84157 6 111 1 127 4 348 4 230 1 292 84157 79521 6 071 1 072 3 007 3 209 8 349 79521 75532 8 025 4 055 3 014 4 010 6 313 75532 72024 17 351 10 356 7 351 9 347 6 317 72024 68863 17 333 15 322 15 323 13 329 11 342 68863 65961 18 323 17 311 19 322 15 309 16 326 65961 63270 22 316 18 309 22 319 18 293 20 306 63270 60660 27 308 23 308 25 302 27 292 27 290 60660 57944 33 299 33 299 36 294 37 298 32 289 57944 55121 38 295 42 292 47 291 47 301 40 291 55121 52414 43 296 49 289 54 293 57 293 49 289 52414 49969 47 296 51 291 59 290 61 287 57 284 49969 47765 50 294 49 297 61 284 61 287 60 279 47765 45744 50 287 52 291 50 278 62 285 60 279 45744 43870 39 272 50 284 43 287 59 280 62 278 43870 42124 35 271 39 270 43 287 48 275 58 277 42124 40495 32 263 35 266 40 268 39 278 47 270 40495 38978 26 259 28 254 31 263 36 268 35 266 38978 37564 29 256 20 247 20 253 26 255 31 262 37564 36216 19 251 15 237 13 245 23 249 27 251 36216 34866 9 215 12 189 15 226 22 221 22 230 34866 33489 10 146 13 150 18 203 22 187 24 199 33489 32088 10 143 10 184 21 217 25 201 29 196 32088 30636 11 182 15 228 24 221 32 205 30 194 30636 29113 10 191 21 239 22 224 31 208 25 201 29113 27519 5 238 21 237 19 228 18 208 23 210 27519 25856 7 250 15 223 14 234 14 191 15 196 25856 24123 7 249 14 225 15 231 14 200 14 174 24123 22323 4 221 13 231 14 239 15 211 14 175 22323 20452 5 162 11 216 11 236 12 206 14 177 20452 18509 7 246 9 215 11 214 10 202 16 182 18509 16536 17 262 11 236 13 217 14 213 19 186 16536 14637 18 271 12 244 13 233 17 230 18 201 14637 12907 17 282 12 256 13 254 19 235 18 218 12907 11363 16 294 12 265 12 269 16 241 16 227 11363 9983 12 298 10 277 7 276 10 254 7 226 9983 8750 6 318 7 299 4 296 6 266 1 343 8750 7649 6 356 5 301 1 313 4 242 2 058 7649 6671 5 009 3 252 3 186 4 199 3 122 6671 5809 2 022 4 197 6 182 5 180 4 133 5809 5046 3 154 7 182 7 190 5 182 5 133 5046 4362 8 161 10 177 9 193 6 186 5 142 4362 3755 11 164 12 174 9 188 6 185 5 157 3755 3249 11 165 12 170 7*182 6 178 5 174 3249 2860 10 167 8 162 4*171 4 159 6 174 2860 2592 9 167 5 131 4 168 3 131 5 157 2592 2430 5*162 4*090 3 165 3 121 4*134 2430 2338 2*151 3*084 3 165 2*115 2*119 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography