DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 57.6 - - 55.6 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 245 - - 41 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2596 - - 4126 - - 3327 - - 1229 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3602 - - 5011 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4917 - - 6448 - - 5648 - - 3550 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1713 - - 1834 - - 2409 - - 1724 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 414 - - 213 - - 108 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 21 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 309 - - 016 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 23 - - 23 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 79 - - 507 - - 311 - - -310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4839 - - 5941 - - 5337 - - 3860 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -618 - - 225 - - -289 - - -1760 ODpotential blCL - - - 5535 - - 6223 - - 5937 - - 5310 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 57.6 - - 55.6 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 39.6 - - 40.3 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 55.9 - - 55.2 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 39.1 - - 40.1 - - 41.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 245 - - 41 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2596 - - 4126 - - 3327 - - 1229 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 92 - - 102 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97830 18 236 24 253 28 258 23 274 97830 90342 20 257 25 261 26 273 24 275 90342 84615 19 266 22 273 19 281 16 281 84615 79889 17 266 16 260 18 278 14 282 79889 75823 15 276 14 267 19 278 14 291 75823 72231 16 288 15 287 18 282 17 305 72231 68979 16 284 16 274 20 286 21 298 68979 65994 18 277 20 266 19 282 21 294 65994 63224 21 280 25 269 21 276 18 288 63224 60524 24 278 29 269 24 275 22 287 60524 57687 26 273 29 269 28 273 25 273 57687 54736 28 273 29 272 27 267 26 267 54736 51920 30 270 29 262 26 262 28 263 51920 49385 35 259 32 251 29 259 26 265 49385 47109 36 253 34 241 32 250 25 262 47109 45040 40 255 31 243 29 237 24 249 45040 43143 50 253 36 249 27 238 23 239 43143 41389 62 248 44 250 33 242 22 236 41389 39759 64 242 54 243 36 240 20 232 39759 38240 59 241 56 235 36 239 16 229 38240 36823 55 244 50 234 36 240 13 231 36823 35469 59 248 46 238 37 241 9 236 35469 34114 65 247 47 241 35 240 5 229 34114 32730 65 247 47 242 28 235 2 153 32730 31323 59 247 40 243 18 226 9 087 31323 29878 50 251 27 245 7 189 20 083 29878 28378 43 254 17 250 7 109 36 080 28378 26819 34 256 9 259 15 084 52 079 26819 25194 18 255 6 254 17 076 46 084 25194 23507 12 238 8 240 12 074 36 092 23507 21760 11 225 9 240 7 078 23 097 21760 19947 5 206 5 250 7 086 17 097 19947 18062 9 092 4 127 7 110 12 090 18062 16142 12 094 11 113 8 128 7 076 16142 14289 10 110 13 103 9 123 8 066 14289 12600 12 111 12 094 11 100 11 061 12600 11094 10 123 11 105 11 101 10 053 11094 9752 6 119 9 118 4 159 7 035 9752 8559 4 147 7 161 4 202 2 356 8559 7499 7 183 6 186 2 251 2 249 7499 6557 7 190 4*203 2 335 1 273 6557 5722 5 202 3*251 4*354 3 336 5722 4982 4*225 3 290 5*007 4 341 4982 4316 4*265 4 306 6 013 8 326 4316 3726 5 273 4 316 7 016 12*319 3726 3232 5 279 4 320 7 018 12*318 3232 2852 5 282 4 322 7 019 12 318 2852 2589 5 284 4 324 7 019 12 318 2589 2429 5 285 4 326 6 019 11 318 2429 2338 4 286 4 326 5 019 7 317 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography