DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 73.8 - - 74.6 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 270 - - 80 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1326 - - 5202 - - 6003 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2747 - - 5894 - - 5729 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3647 - - 7524 - - 8326 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1692 - - 1568 - - 1729 - - 1096 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 467 - - 333 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 161 - - 159 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 11 - - 25 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6788 - - -4695 - - -5275 - - -6501 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10436 - - 12220 - - 13601 - - 8839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13330 - - -10923 - - -11328 - - -13505 ODpotential blCL - - - 16977 - - 18447 - - 19654 - - 15843 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 77 - - 76 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 73.8 - - 74.6 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 28.2 - - 22.8 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 72.0 - - 73.8 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 27.0 - - 21.6 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 270 - - 80 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1326 - - 5202 - - 6003 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97073 36 277 33 262 39 275 41 286 97073 89792 24 286 21 267 24 273 27 279 89792 84234 20 282 17 280 15 287 16 286 84234 79649 14 264 17 269 14 289 12 306 79649 75694 8 272 17 255 15 294 11 304 75694 72200 8 297 17 269 15 297 10 315 72200 69043 13 294 13 276 14 300 10 331 69043 66140 19 281 18 294 18 301 14 322 66140 63438 21 274 19 285 21 291 16 305 63438 60802 23 274 22 277 27 272 21 284 60802 58026 28 268 27 266 29 260 23 272 58026 55118 30 263 27 259 28 254 33 259 55118 52319 29 260 30 257 28 246 36 252 52319 49788 30 261 33 258 28 251 33 253 49788 47517 31 260 34 257 33 258 32 260 47517 45465 31 257 32 253 35 255 32 264 45465 43600 29 264 26 256 32 254 31 268 43600 41900 31 268 27 261 27 261 32 270 41900 40335 26 262 26 259 25 272 29 268 40335 38880 21 256 18 250 21 268 25 270 38880 37521 14 223 13 226 15 249 23 272 37521 36221 10 196 18 194 16 212 18 261 36221 34910 11 204 16 186 17 192 14 230 34910 33559 13 207 15 194 13 205 14 206 33559 32164 11 214 13 199 11 226 13 210 32164 30708 9 217 12 198 11 237 11 226 30708 29181 8 214 9 194 9 226 10 230 29181 27585 5 204 8 193 8 202 8 203 27585 25921 5 172 8 180 8 187 9 181 25921 24190 9 136 8 162 9 174 11 177 24190 22390 11 112 9 144 11 148 13 159 22390 20517 13 104 9 131 10 137 11 154 20517 18566 13 105 8 122 9 125 9 148 18566 16580 10 103 8 115 9 113 7 141 16580 14666 9 088 8 113 9 114 7 135 14666 12923 10 086 9 125 8 128 8 137 12923 11372 9 099 12 126 11 135 10 143 11372 9992 8 122 13 129 11 137 13 142 9992 8763 10 145 12 147 7*149 12 144 8763 7670 11 166 11*158 6*154 6 146 7670 6698 11 172 10*160 6 158 5 149 6698 5837 13 171 9 161 5 161 3 133 5837 5072 14 171 8 161 5 161 3 086 5072 4384 13 170 8 161 5 160 4 043 4384 3773 9*164 7 161 4 161 7 018 3773 3261 6*147 7 161 4 160 9 001 3261 2868 6 143 6 161 4 160 11 353 2868 2597 5 140 6 160 4 160 10 351 2597 2433 5 139 6 161 4 160 9 350 2433 2338 4 139 5 160 3 159 5*348 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography