DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 52.5 - - 48.8 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 32 - - 13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1096 - - 2448 - - 583 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3417 - - 4769 - - 2904 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2290 - - 1929 - - 2391 - - 3255 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 161 - - 196 - - 88 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 24 - - 22 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 198 - - 193 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 16 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -9 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 991 - - 1932 - - 567 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2426 - - 2837 - - 2337 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -148 - - 599 - - -73 - - -647 ODpotential blCL - - - 3565 - - 4170 - - 2977 - - 2984 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 92 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 170 - - 130 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 52.5 - - 48.8 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 47.8 - - 47.2 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 52.2 - - 48.8 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 46.7 - - 46.8 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 32 - - 13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1096 - - 2448 - - 583 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 67 - - 99 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96269 25 295 24 318 16 309 17 302 96269 89199 17 285 22 299 13 284 16 297 89199 83736 9 332 16 290 15 325 9 311 83736 79159 17 288 17 289 24 274 15 280 79159 75195 21 261 22 262 27 258 23 250 75195 71717 14 222 17 255 16 264 18 236 71717 68553 16 230 24 249 11 276 12 230 68553 65602 39 234 43 241 31 253 16 238 65602 62818 49 229 52 230 51 237 27 248 62818 60075 52 219 55 224 56 229 42 246 60075 57200 52 218 70 229 66 226 70 230 57200 54246 67 232 84 225 82 219 83 220 54246 51440 73 233 82 221 86 216 80 221 51440 48911 88 235 79 228 80 224 81 229 48911 46654 114 231 95 234 94 231 91 230 46654 44628 135 222 121 229 113 226 105 224 44628 42787 131 212 133 218 120 219 111 218 42787 41088 129 206 134 212 117 213 104 212 41088 39506 127 205 132 212 112 212 96 210 39506 38025 130 206 131 213 111 211 90 210 38025 36637 134 207 126 214 110 211 89 212 36637 35305 137 208 122 213 103 213 89 212 35305 33967 136 209 123 210 94 216 89 213 33967 32593 133 208 124 206 93 219 87 213 32593 31190 125 206 123 203 99 218 83 215 31190 29744 109 203 116 201 102 215 83 216 29744 28242 100 198 106 197 97 213 88 217 28242 26681 96 191 99 193 93 214 95 215 26681 25056 89 187 100 191 91 214 92 212 25056 23365 84 190 104 192 91 213 81 213 23365 21612 85 196 106 195 85 213 75 217 21612 19789 86 197 105 202 71 211 72 220 19789 17894 88 199 97 212 63 211 64 217 17894 15978 88 208 78 221 58 209 57 211 15978 14146 80 219 58 228 54 209 54 209 14146 12486 65 227 45 232 52 212 54 209 12486 11008 49 230 34 227 50 213 55 210 11008 9692 39 226 27 218 46 211 57 211 9692 8517 36 221 26 213 40 209 56 210 8517 7469 37 216 28 214 38 207 54 208 7469 6536 37 214 29 213 38 201 52 204 6536 5709 35 213 29 208 37 196 50 200 5709 4973 33 212 28*201 37 194 49 197 4973 4311 31 210 27*200 36 193 48 195 4311 3723 29*209 27 199 34 193 45 193 3723 3231 26*208 25 198 31*192 41 192 3231 2851 23 209 23 198 28*192 36 190 2851 2589 20 209 21 198 24 193 30 189 2589 2429 18 209 19 198 21 193 26 188 2429 2337 11 209 11 198 12 193 14*187 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography