DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 90.3 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 430 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 4920 - - - - - 308 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3397 - - 5852 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4157 - - 7244 - - - - - 2631 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1032 - - 1379 - - - - - 459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 529 - - - - - 49 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 91 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 356 - - - - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 27 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6087 - - -4795 - - - - - -4534 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10244 - - 12039 - - - - - 7166 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10971 - - -8502 - - - - - -10811 ODpotential blCL - - - 15128 - - 15746 - - - - - 13442 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 47 - - - - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 90.3 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 45.5 - - - - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 87.7 - - - - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 44.8 - - - - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 430 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 4920 - - - - - 308 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98762 22 105 23 107 17 093 98762 91275 19 108 16 094 18 103 91275 85522 19 103 13 085 26 095 85522 80773 20 094 13 102 26 081 80773 76710 24 084 16 101 19 073 76710 73136 20 087 21 103 14 084 73136 69900 19 086 19 087 19 087 69900 66928 17 079 18 083 17 077 66928 64189 17 075 17 089 14 056 64189 61559 15 077 16 092 10 067 61559 58818 11 068 11 075 10 083 58818 55961 5 041 6 058 9 033 55961 53226 8 333 6 008 8 332 53226 50756 12 314 10 314 14 305 50756 48532 14 298 14 292 14 303 48532 46508 15 286 15 287 9 310 46508 44650 17 279 15 294 6 314 44650 42935 19 280 16 295 3 276 42935 41346 19 280 17 281 1 190 41346 39866 17 284 16 271 1 163 39866 38481 17 285 15 270 1 248 38481 37150 15 285 13 271 3 259 37150 35801 11 283 11 266 2 238 35801 34403 8 294 6 247 1 177 34403 32961 6 305 2 190 3 126 32961 31460 5 315 3 131 5 131 31460 29888 5 338 5 110 8 122 29888 28246 3 360 6 114 11 117 28246 26535 5 072 10 106 15 113 26535 24758 6 076 10 110 14 117 24758 22917 9 101 10 121 13 125 22917 21005 12 086 13 110 15 129 21005 19019 10 095 17 109 21 118 19019 16996 13 127 20 112 26 110 16996 15042 21 132 20 119 24 105 15042 13257 22 135 20 132 20 100 13257 11662 19 130 18 136 17 102 11662 10237 13 114 15 131 11 110 10237 8966 10 081 11 118 4 114 8966 7833 8 056 5*109 2 093 7833 6827 5 033 3*106 2 116 6827 5937 4 020 2 103 2 159 5937 5148 3 033 1 075 1 239 5148 4439 1*034 1 335 1 304 4439 3810 2*269 2 325 4 338 3810 3285 3 265 3 325 9 334 3285 2881 3 266 3 325 10*329 2881 2604 4 266 3 325 9*327 2604 2436 3 266 3 324 8 327 2436 2339 3 267 3 322 6 325 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography