DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 67.8 - - 73.4 - - 69.6 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 229 - - 327 - - 181 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1300 - - 4413 - - 1706 - - 134 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2923 - - 5358 - - 3124 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3622 - - 6735 - - 4028 - - 2455 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 178 - - 1986 - - 2326 - - 2757 - - 493 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 278 - - 469 - - 281 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 39 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 304 - - 236 - - 312 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 19 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2864 - - -4383 - - -2500 - - -3499 - - -1674 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5202 - - 8005 - - 9235 - - 7527 - - 4130 sfcLCL ODpotential -9757 - - -8501 - - -6463 - - -7273 - - -7836 ODpotential blCL 12095 - - 12123 - - 13198 - - 11301 - - 10291 blCL maxRH 50 - - 66 - - 64 - - 51 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 67.8 - - 73.4 - - 69.6 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 41.0 - - 40.9 - - 44.7 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.4 - - 66.2 - - 71.3 - - 68.2 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.4 - - 39.9 - - 39.8 - - 43.9 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 229 - - 327 - - 181 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1300 - - 4413 - - 1706 - - 134 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96830 29 305 27 290 41 281 47 300 52 304 96830 89586 26 312 26 307 27 291 33 301 35 307 89586 84090 22 307 18 310 21 315 21 313 24 321 84090 79563 17 312 11 326 17 312 24 328 21 339 79563 75641 13 320 13 334 14 319 21 330 21 339 75641 72162 11 323 11 335 11 332 16 341 19 328 72162 69002 13 323 8 338 10 310 11 319 15 312 69002 66075 13 296 7 300 9 286 12 282 16 281 66075 63341 14 292 12 261 15 273 19 283 18 272 63341 60670 25 266 23 265 27 262 27 270 24 278 60670 57860 31 257 31 269 29 264 32 265 30 271 57860 54927 42 260 43 274 37 273 38 265 34 270 54927 52122 45 258 49 265 43 270 40 277 34 284 52122 49606 40 260 45 260 46 272 49 282 47 291 49606 47372 33 267 39 262 52 271 56 277 54 283 47372 45361 38 279 40 263 51 269 51 274 52 275 45361 43529 43 280 36 269 42 267 45 278 44 279 43529 41848 43 282 34 279 36 276 44 291 44 295 41848 40302 43 282 37 286 39 288 54 300 54 308 40302 38870 41 276 35 289 42 296 60 301 64 315 38870 37528 35 270 33 292 43 300 58 301 66 315 37528 36232 32 269 33 298 41 301 54 299 62 313 36232 34917 30 273 30 304 40 303 54 301 55 308 34917 33557 28 277 27 311 39 305 49 307 50 306 33557 32153 26 273 26 315 37 307 40 304 45 311 32153 30689 24 276 24 315 33 305 36 302 36 315 30689 29157 23 284 23 313 30 303 33 305 30 314 29157 27557 20 293 20 316 27 302 30 306 29 308 27557 25889 20 303 17 323 22 300 27 303 29 303 25889 24152 18 307 17 316 18 302 24 299 27 300 24152 22351 12 302 14 308 15 303 22 294 23 298 22351 20477 11 278 11 308 12 302 21 289 22 296 20477 18528 10 268 8 296 9 301 18 287 19 297 18528 16549 6 243 5 261 7 283 12 289 13 295 16549 14645 4 214 6 239 8 263 10 297 10 292 14645 12910 2 181 6 218 9 257 10 305 9 296 12910 11363 4 239 5 211 8 250 9 302 9 302 11363 9985 8 220 7 218 7 229 9 283 9 300 9985 8756 10 204 9 208 8 195 8 231 9 278 8756 7661 8 200 10 201 8*176 7 188 8 247 7661 6685 4 197 8 194 7*170 7 176 7 235 6685 5822 3 142 6 184 4 173 5 186 7 245 5822 5056 3 114 5 183 2 202 3 246 6 266 5056 4368 4 066 3 203 2 243 5*290 7 296 4368 3758 7 039 3*260 3 286 9*311 11 319 3758 3249 9 023 6*303 4 290 10 312 16 321 3249 2860 9 002 6 305 5 294 11 312 18 319 2860 2593 10 338 6 305 5 295 11 312 15*319 2593 2431 9*333 6 305 5 294 10 312 12*318 2431 2338 4*321 5 304 4 294 8 312 7 317 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography