DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Panoche 2486ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2217z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.6 - - 76.0 - - 84.5 - - 80.3 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 328 - - 474 - - 290 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2143 - - 4191 - - 1732 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2486 - - 3787 - - 5467 - - 3452 - - 2486 Hcrit BL Top 2502 - - 4629 - - 6678 - - 4219 - - 2503 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 380 - - 858 - - 1437 - - 1608 - - 595 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 365 - - 515 - - 326 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 22 - - 18 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 353 - - 007 - - 345 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 6 - - 30 - - 4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1306 - - -1545 - - -2471 - - -3652 - - -2252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3808 - - 6174 - - 9150 - - 7871 - - 4756 sfcLCL ODpotential -8531 - - -5790 - - -5118 - - -7346 - - -8026 ODpotential blCL 11033 - - 10419 - - 11796 - - 11565 - - 10529 blCL maxRH 73 - - 68 - - 59 - - 56 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 450 - - 410 - - 410 - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m 63.6 - - 76.0 - - 84.5 - - 80.3 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.5 - - 57.4 - - 52.9 - - 54.4 - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.5 - - 75.7 - - 82.6 - - 78.2 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.4 - - 57.4 - - 52.9 - - 54.4 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 328 - - 474 - - 290 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2143 - - 4191 - - 1732 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99032 33 098 35 104 31 117 19 109 23 107 99032 92016 28 106 29 109 27 114 23 117 20 106 92016 86527 27 106 25 110 24 111 26 113 20 105 86527 81931 23 105 22 116 20 107 24 105 19 105 81931 77947 20 102 22 117 17 103 19 098 19 104 77947 74414 18 102 22 116 15 111 14 098 17 097 74414 71208 15 104 17 113 15 119 11 112 14 094 71208 68256 12 102 11 104 13 118 9 130 10 097 68256 65515 8 104 7 104 10 114 9 137 7 109 65515 62858 4 121 6 131 6 128 7 151 6 135 62858 60089 3 187 6 165 6 173 7 188 6 169 60089 57225 7 206 8 192 8 198 10 204 9 190 57225 54496 10 214 12 208 12 213 13 218 11 208 54496 52038 12 220 14 211 16 213 17 218 15 217 52038 49833 12 221 14 215 18 209 19 212 18 217 49833 47829 12 219 14 216 16 208 17 212 18 210 47829 45992 10 212 13 210 13 206 14 214 16 203 45992 44296 6 206 11 198 11 197 12 211 15 198 44296 42720 4 159 7 163 9 167 11 194 11 185 42720 41247 4 100 7 128 10 145 10 182 10 180 41247 39862 7 074 8 104 12 132 10 172 10 178 39862 38526 9 073 9 092 12 125 10 161 10 178 38526 37167 11 078 10 084 11 121 11 149 10 173 37167 35756 14 081 9 082 12 116 10 139 10 170 35756 34294 17 082 9 088 13 115 11 132 11 171 34294 32766 19 083 11 092 16 114 11 130 11 175 32766 31159 21 082 14 093 19 109 12 128 12 175 31159 29473 22 082 17 093 21 105 15 122 13 171 29473 27708 22 083 20 094 21 104 19 116 16 160 27708 25865 22 088 22 096 22 105 20 115 18 145 25865 23949 23 097 24 100 24 107 20 116 19 135 23949 21950 23 105 24 104 26 110 21 119 19 132 21950 19862 23 111 23 108 28 112 24 120 20 136 19862 17727 21 115 22 111 29 113 26 121 22 138 17727 15666 17 116 18 110 26 115 26 123 23 134 15666 13788 15 111 16 102 21 114 22 124 22 132 13788 12114 15 095 16 096 18 108 19 128 20 132 12114 10624 13 079 15 090 17 105 17 132 17 134 10624 9297 10 062 12 081 17 110 16 138 13 136 9297 8118 7 046 9 069 15 114 13 137 7 129 8118 7073 6 038 7 057 9*106 9 124 4 102 7073 6153 5 037 6 049 5*070 7 100 3 077 6153 5342 4 031 5*048 5 042 6 054 2 013 5342 4617 3 020 3*044 5 008 7*026 4 333 4617 3978 2 016 3 008 6 355 11*354 7 327 3978 3448 2 327 3 347 7 351 12 346 11 329 3448 3043 3 285 4 337 7 349 13 343 13 329 3043 2766 4 254 4 331 7 346 12 341 12 330 2766 2598 3 231 4 329 7 346 12 341 10*328 2598 2503 2*224 4 328 7 345 11 340 8*328 2503 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography