DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 53.7 - - 62.1 - - 56.5 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 23 - - 83 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 122 - - 596 - - 122 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2443 - - 2918 - - 2443 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 73 - - 264 - - 678 - - 515 - - 171 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 62 - - 155 - - 21 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 091 - - 053 - - 072 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2374 - - -1942 - - -3213 - - -2040 - - -2990 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4711 - - 4385 - - 6131 - - 4483 - - 5327 sfcLCL ODpotential -14240 - - -10736 - - -10641 - - -10033 - - -14904 ODpotential blCL 16577 - - 13179 - - 13559 - - 12476 - - 17241 blCL maxRH 44 - - 63 - - 57 - - 62 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 53.7 - - 62.1 - - 56.5 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.7 - - 43.0 - - 43.8 - - 45.3 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 53.4 - - 61.4 - - 57.0 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.3 - - 42.0 - - 42.9 - - 44.7 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 23 - - 83 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 122 - - 596 - - 122 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96337 11 059 14 052 15 103 12 060 2 092 96337 89232 12 062 15 087 14 078 15 074 20 081 89232 83727 16 083 19 081 14 067 18 090 21 078 83727 79136 13 076 22 073 16 058 17 092 19 079 79136 75182 13 021 16 044 20 049 18 077 23 060 75182 71698 19 012 10 356 16 019 15 045 18 055 71698 68537 25 358 13 331 17 342 19 005 18 032 68537 65633 19 341 16 331 17 331 22 346 17 341 65633 62953 19 334 17 328 18 322 24 335 18 334 62953 60361 23 312 19 331 17 316 22 318 19 318 60361 57650 25 315 23 333 18 326 22 309 21 319 57650 54831 34 311 32 322 25 317 27 313 25 318 54831 52144 40 303 38 313 33 313 33 308 30 316 52144 49731 45 302 40 307 37 303 33 306 36 318 49731 47584 47 301 41 306 35 311 34 313 34 304 47584 45651 48 304 42 313 35 324 26 327 20 325 45651 43895 44 312 45 312 36 342 32 020 23 020 43895 42286 40 315 39 306 36 351 53 023 25 031 42286 40782 37 319 34 318 32 347 46 004 24 028 40782 39362 35 325 37 329 20 354 22 356 26 036 39362 38016 35 330 33 332 25 053 13 073 32 051 38016 36710 32 328 26 352 43 061 25 066 36 053 36710 35384 27 332 26 010 45 057 30 050 34 050 35384 34007 24 344 32 013 43 066 31 040 29 053 34007 32585 24 355 32 007 29 047 25 043 25 060 32585 31103 23 358 28 001 32 011 19 045 20 060 31103 29552 20 358 22 355 30 004 21 037 15 047 29552 27932 17 359 20 353 26 001 23 026 11 041 27932 26242 17 359 18 354 22 001 22 358 13 014 26242 24486 18 359 17 004 17 358 20 346 17 351 24486 22662 18 356 12 358 12 343 15 338 16 347 22662 20764 19 349 15 320 16 321 16 325 18 339 20764 18785 22 347 17 323 20 328 17 335 20 336 18785 16766 22 348 17 341 19 341 18 352 18 347 16766 14818 20 351 15 352 16 351 16 357 14 003 14818 13045 16 356 12 357 12 353 12 357 10 011 13045 11463 13 004 10 002 8 351 10 355 7 007 11463 10055 13 010 10 010 6 352 9 355 7 000 10055 8803 14 008 11 012 5 360 9 357 8 003 8803 7691 14 002 13 008 7 008 9 003 9 008 7691 6705 14 000 14 007 8 014 10 010 10 013 6705 5834 15 359 14 006 10 017 11 014 11 019 5834 5063 15 001 14 008 10 020 13 019 14 024 5063 4371 15 005 14 010 10 023 13 020 15 025 4371 3759 14 003 14 007 8 013 11 018 16 023 3759 3250 13 359 12 005 6*010 10 016 15 020 3250 2859 9 011 8 029 3*044 6 039 14 022 2859 2591 6 048 5*080 3 054 5*067 11 036 2591 2430 5 100 4*089 3 058 5*071 8 050 2430 2337 3*108 3 092 3 058 4 073 4*068 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography