DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 92.1 - - 91.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 425 - - 232 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1433 - - 3387 - - 3017 - - 292 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3110 - - 4643 - - 4155 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3756 - - 5710 - - 5341 - - 2616 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 766 - - 1904 - - 2233 - - 797 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 464 - - 365 - - 41 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 216 - - 218 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4545 - - -5872 - - -5121 - - -3019 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8301 - - 11582 - - 10463 - - 5636 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8572 - - -8717 - - -7799 - - -8400 ODpotential blCL - - - 12328 - - 14427 - - 13140 - - 11016 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 56 - - 75 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 70 - - 360 - - 820 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 92.1 - - 91.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 49.3 - - 53.2 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.1 - - 89.5 - - 89.2 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 49.0 - - 52.9 - - 59.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 425 - - 232 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1433 - - 3387 - - 3017 - - 292 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99237 26 127 25 109 27 094 26 092 99237 91780 35 106 29 109 21 113 20 088 91780 86017 28 088 29 108 21 102 21 102 86017 81231 20 092 22 097 24 097 20 101 81231 77107 21 097 18 098 21 095 20 091 77107 73464 16 098 15 092 17 104 16 088 73464 70177 9 104 11 089 11 097 14 093 70177 67163 9 139 9 103 9 069 9 085 67163 64377 9 117 5 160 4 039 11 053 64377 61685 9 077 5 202 4 262 8 003 61685 58896 2 359 3 246 5 251 7 309 58896 56024 3 243 8 222 7 221 7 248 56024 53290 9 215 15 208 12 225 15 231 53290 50837 14 197 21 200 21 208 23 209 50837 48648 13 198 21 201 22 207 23 199 48648 46659 18 220 22 217 25 219 27 213 46659 44826 26 218 28 216 32 215 29 215 44826 43118 31 210 34 211 33 212 27 222 43118 41517 35 204 39 204 35 218 32 226 41517 40017 37 202 40 200 39 215 35 229 40017 38619 37 200 39 201 35 218 42 234 38619 37279 34 197 33 202 32 223 43 239 37279 35920 30 198 25 208 30 228 36 240 35920 34510 26 203 21 215 28 237 30 241 34510 33052 23 208 19 211 25 242 25 235 33052 31534 20 214 18 209 18 248 20 233 31534 29946 17 220 17 211 15 235 12 225 29946 28291 15 214 18 208 14 210 12 220 28291 26570 14 210 17 208 14 200 14 210 26570 24788 13 207 15 205 11 193 11 203 24788 22943 10 188 11 197 7 192 9 202 22943 21030 12 180 11 190 8 187 11 197 21030 19043 12 187 8 190 11 182 11 188 19043 17018 11 188 8 221 9 190 9 182 17018 15065 9 171 7 217 8 205 7 186 15065 13284 5 181 7 202 8 216 6 207 13284 11695 6 224 7 216 9 223 7 224 11695 10275 9 234 8 231 9 224 7 226 10275 9004 9 235 9 231 9 220 8 225 9004 7868 9 230 10 224 8 214 8 226 7868 6857 9 220 10 218 7 206 7 211 6857 5960 11 206 9*213 8*204 7 189 5960 5165 12 196 10*213 8*206 8 188 5165 4450 13 192 10 214 9 210 11 200 4450 3818 12*193 10 215 8 215 14 204 3818 3291 11*195 10 216 8 224 12 209 3291 2885 11 198 10 217 8 228 8*228 2885 2606 10 200 10 218 7 230 7*243 2606 2437 10 200 9 219 7 231 6 248 2437 2340 8 201 8 218 6 232 4 257 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography