DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.4 - - 53.9 - - 59.6 - - 60.6 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 88 - - 133 - - 30 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 954 - - 2084 - - 2519 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 3301 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3275 - - 4406 - - 4841 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 292 - - 746 - - 881 - - 1110 - - 1874 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 187 - - 281 - - 194 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 038 - - 082 - - 020 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -434 - - -317 - - 47 - - -172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3710 - - 4723 - - 4795 - - 2510 sfcLCL ODpotential -9510 - - -7245 - - -6778 - - -5384 - - -5521 ODpotential blCL 11847 - - 10520 - - 11184 - - 10225 - - 7859 blCL maxRH 85 - - 76 - - 70 - - 75 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.4 - - 53.9 - - 59.6 - - 60.6 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.1 - - 45.9 - - 47.0 - - 47.6 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.5 - - 53.2 - - 58.6 - - 60.2 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.5 - - 44.7 - - 45.7 - - 46.4 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 88 - - 133 - - 30 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 954 - - 2084 - - 2519 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96200 5 327 10 266 18 279 13 304 12 307 96200 89118 15 329 8 333 10 269 13 318 13 333 89118 83696 8 325 11 001 7 335 8 337 9 355 83696 79202 12 322 12 001 14 344 11 015 11 019 79202 75347 5 012 5 343 10 288 12 349 15 011 75347 71937 5 355 3 358 10 259 11 307 10 349 71937 68822 16 297 11 288 14 272 15 293 11 303 68822 65939 19 274 14 269 18 275 20 277 17 274 65939 63250 20 273 21 261 26 264 27 270 28 272 63250 60634 31 271 29 267 36 266 39 259 40 263 60634 57891 39 267 41 263 42 261 42 253 45 257 57891 55018 43 268 49 266 47 265 46 261 48 260 55018 52252 54 275 54 270 54 266 55 266 54 266 52252 49744 59 270 58 271 59 263 63 266 57 263 49744 47479 56 264 56 270 61 263 66 263 56 267 47479 45417 55 272 57 274 63 269 62 265 57 268 45417 43539 56 278 56 273 58 269 59 269 54 267 43539 41823 55 278 53 275 50 271 49 270 46 272 41823 40245 46 283 46 282 46 276 41 272 42 279 40245 38788 38 294 38 283 42 278 40 276 40 284 38788 37436 36 297 35 284 38 279 39 275 42 286 37436 36145 39 292 34 287 34 282 32 280 37 282 36145 34839 39 294 30 287 26 282 27 282 28 287 34839 33487 39 292 28 286 23 283 23 283 28 303 33487 32091 37 293 27 285 25 281 22 285 30 309 32091 30635 35 301 26 287 24 278 23 282 26 308 30635 29107 35 298 24 291 20 287 20 282 21 303 29107 27509 32 296 22 294 17 299 13 292 16 302 27509 25840 30 296 22 292 16 307 10 311 12 302 25840 24106 29 296 22 292 17 306 11 309 13 295 24106 22312 26 309 22 301 19 305 14 303 15 298 22312 20448 22 319 17 313 19 308 16 306 16 299 20448 18505 21 336 14 314 17 310 16 314 15 302 18505 16519 20 341 13 322 15 323 14 325 10 321 16519 14600 17 338 12 333 13 334 10 341 8 331 14600 12852 15 334 10 339 10 342 7 357 5 315 12852 11298 12 337 7 343 5 003 3 360 3 258 11298 9917 8 351 3 351 3 085 1 154 5 216 9917 8690 6 026 1 101 4 131 2 194 5 207 8690 7600 7 048 4 136 5 150 3 214 5 197 7600 6633 9 058 6 137 6 158 3 219 3 179 6633 5780 9 063 7 134 6 158 2 263 1 121 5780 5025 8 059 6 127 4*146 2*345 2 045 5025 4349 7 039 5 105 3*096 3*008 5 026 4349 3749 8 011 5*059 3 084 3 015 8 017 3749 3247 10 353 6*040 4 080 4 022 9 012 3247 2860 12 340 6 038 4 080 4 024 9 008 2860 2593 12 332 5 037 4 079 4 026 8 006 2593 2431 10 331 5 037 4 079 3 026 6 006 2431 2338 4*325 4 036 3 079 3 027 4*004 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography