DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.6 - - 59.5 - - 66.0 - - 63.8 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 160 - - 238 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1102 - - 2502 - - 1675 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2593 - - 3785 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3423 - - 4824 - - 3998 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 255 - - 949 - - 1130 - - 1434 - - 297 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 231 - - 346 - - 131 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 15 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 025 - - 021 - - 007 - - 017 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -3015 - - -3926 - - -3397 - - -2349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 6438 - - 8750 - - 7396 - - 4687 sfcLCL ODpotential -9011 - - -9482 - - -9618 - - -9490 - - -11248 ODpotential blCL 11349 - - 12905 - - 14442 - - 13488 - - 13586 blCL maxRH 85 - - 53 - - 49 - - 66 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.6 - - 59.5 - - 66.0 - - 63.8 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.3 - - 39.6 - - 36.0 - - 39.8 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 58.3 - - 64.4 - - 63.7 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.4 - - 39.3 - - 35.5 - - 39.6 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 160 - - 238 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1102 - - 2502 - - 1675 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96528 46 287 52 281 46 301 39 289 39 292 96528 89528 26 297 27 281 30 292 28 297 38 308 89528 84080 23 299 20 308 16 275 26 286 31 311 84080 79513 24 286 20 299 11 281 22 277 21 302 79513 75566 21 292 20 292 13 278 16 275 15 293 75566 72087 21 303 20 306 15 287 12 282 13 299 72087 68932 19 309 17 298 20 290 16 300 16 323 68932 66012 20 309 14 306 16 297 19 307 21 313 66012 63292 20 308 15 318 14 307 16 296 21 303 63292 60651 20 316 15 316 14 299 14 296 19 295 60651 57891 23 303 17 298 18 290 16 284 18 304 57891 55022 27 289 22 287 24 285 22 308 17 311 55022 52281 34 279 31 278 31 296 28 317 18 328 52281 49819 37 269 38 274 33 298 36 313 19 339 49819 47615 44 275 42 274 37 295 33 302 28 350 47615 45613 49 278 37 280 36 288 30 317 36 339 45613 43775 44 282 40 282 32 298 38 316 35 327 43775 42068 42 287 42 287 40 308 38 306 34 327 42068 40473 41 287 41 289 47 302 27 308 33 325 40473 38984 41 286 40 291 43 293 33 326 31 352 38984 37601 42 289 41 291 35 294 42 343 53 020 37601 36287 45 290 38 289 32 302 50 357 83 022 36287 34962 47 285 32 293 34 309 48 001 88 021 34962 33589 52 278 34 306 30 315 42 001 81 023 33589 32173 54 275 40 308 31 347 41 003 72 026 32173 30702 53 276 46 300 39 357 41 356 54 022 30702 29169 43 280 45 295 38 348 38 350 43 006 29169 27574 37 281 43 297 37 341 37 342 36 349 27574 25912 35 285 42 300 33 344 38 337 37 342 25912 24183 32 293 41 305 29 350 38 336 39 338 24183 22389 32 300 41 313 28 357 35 339 39 334 22389 20522 34 307 38 322 29 358 33 341 38 332 20522 18577 36 315 37 333 32 357 32 345 33 333 18577 16593 35 329 36 345 31 359 29 356 28 333 16593 14678 33 343 33 358 26 000 28 007 24 334 14678 12934 31 354 28 007 24 003 28 011 22 345 12934 11379 27 008 24 011 23 018 28 012 22 001 11379 9995 25 028 20 016 20 028 27 017 22 013 9995 8761 23 042 15 016 17 022 25 024 22 023 8761 7662 19 043 13 013 17 012 23 027 22 028 7662 6684 16 031 14 011 18 011 22 023 21 029 6684 5819 15 018 17 012 18 009 22 012 20 026 5819 5053 16 013 19 015 17*006 20 004 21 023 5053 4366 17 013 20 018 16*006 17*005 22 022 4366 3758 17 014 18*019 16 007 14*012 21 020 3758 3250 17 016 14*020 15 007 13 016 19 019 3250 2861 15 018 12 021 14 008 13 018 16 021 2861 2593 12 020 11 022 13 009 12 019 12 025 2593 2431 8*020 10 022 12 008 11 020 8*031 2431 2338 4*025 8 023 10 009 7 021 2*082 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography