DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 54.3 - - 51.0 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 17 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 333 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2655 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 853 - - 1442 - - 935 - - 791 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 81 - - 12 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 134 - - 117 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -245 - - -51 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2583 - - 2706 - - 2338 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5016 - - -2687 - - -3422 - - -3196 ODpotential blCL - - - 7354 - - 5342 - - 5760 - - 5533 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 54.3 - - 51.0 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 50.4 - - 49.2 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 54.0 - - 51.5 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 49.6 - - 48.9 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 17 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 333 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 102 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96140 42 026 30 026 31 042 21 038 96140 89120 26 034 22 030 24 040 23 054 89120 83662 14 041 19 034 17 049 18 045 83662 79127 14 046 18 035 18 060 16 072 79127 75222 12 051 18 042 16 047 17 068 75222 71758 10 081 15 048 9 040 14 045 71758 68594 8 064 9 053 6 084 7 009 68594 65662 5 024 3 006 2 103 5 325 65662 62939 3 010 2 306 4 264 6 279 62939 60301 4 159 5 228 7 261 4 256 60301 57541 6 181 9 212 13 247 8 260 57541 54664 7 204 13 194 17 213 16 257 54664 51927 13 230 15 213 16 216 24 238 51927 49477 28 236 22 218 22 238 23 241 49477 47286 49 198 35 217 32 227 28 239 47286 45303 72 200 51 211 40 220 32 226 45303 43492 96 200 73 201 56 201 43 210 43492 41826 96 199 83 201 56 194 53 202 41826 40284 88 197 86 197 61 186 53 193 40284 38849 83 195 77 193 66 178 51 184 38849 37498 80 194 66 189 68 172 51 182 37498 36191 67 194 60 183 68 170 52 183 36191 34863 50 189 58 181 62 172 51 184 34863 33487 41 183 57 184 49 175 50 186 33487 32068 38 178 51 184 39 178 52 187 32068 30593 34 178 45 182 39 179 55 183 30593 29051 36 185 42 180 38 182 51 180 29051 27443 38 189 36 180 38 186 50 179 27443 25765 41 187 31 184 37 190 51 181 25765 24022 40 179 28 193 33 190 45 185 24022 22218 38 168 24 201 27 188 27 193 22218 20344 38 158 22 197 22 184 21 180 20344 18396 38 155 23 187 20 179 20 189 18396 16415 38 159 23 185 21 177 20 198 16415 14509 36 166 26 197 21 176 19 203 14509 12777 35 172 30 193 21 187 19 196 12777 11237 34 171 33 185 23 192 20 191 11237 9869 32 167 38 181 27 188 21 197 9869 8652 29 161 40 178 31 183 23 209 8652 7569 28 155 41 174 34 180 31 210 7569 6607 28 151 41 170 36 179 40 199 6607 5758 29 150 41 165 38 177 42 188 5758 5007 29 156 39 158 36 174 39 180 5007 4334 27 167 35 153 32 168 37 174 4334 3737 27 177 30 150 29 160 36 168 3737 3238 27 179 23 145 25 150 31 163 3238 2854 24 177 18*139 19 139 24 160 2854 2590 17 178 15*135 14 127 15 156 2590 2430 12*179 13 134 12*124 10 151 2430 2337 6*181 9 132 7*117 4*134 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography