DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 48.2 - - 55.6 - - - - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 57 - - 58 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 315 - - 1029 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2320 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2636 - - 3350 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1578 - - 423 - - 2004 - - - - - 1168 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 112 - - 173 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 029 - - 144 - - 255 - - - - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -91 - - -847 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 2727 - - 4197 - - - - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -109 - - -3545 - - -3165 - - - - - -2285 ODpotential blCL 2446 - - 6181 - - 6515 - - - - - 4623 blCL maxRH 100 - - 85 - - 68 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 48.2 - - 55.6 - - - - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.9 - - 44.3 - - 45.3 - - - - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.2 - - 47.7 - - 55.1 - - - - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 43.3 - - 44.1 - - - - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 57 - - 58 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 315 - - 1029 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 39 - - 0 - - - - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96530 12 085 10 062 5 118 4 122 96530 89443 22 117 22 087 18 133 9 066 89443 83960 17 097 17 122 12 069 12 073 83960 79387 16 067 21 133 13 142 12 084 79387 75422 12 073 11 113 17 141 10 110 75422 71911 11 134 4 095 11 124 8 103 71911 68731 13 141 9 156 2 204 3 181 68731 65799 7 156 14 153 7 258 9 215 65799 63057 3 211 10 155 8 257 10 182 63057 60385 4 270 5 141 9 221 9 163 60385 57603 5 245 6 031 12 163 3 160 57603 54725 9 154 5 007 7 061 8 000 54725 51973 19 090 10 093 9 039 14 020 51973 49474 25 056 21 069 15 037 22 027 49474 47224 24 039 27 059 26 049 32 042 47224 45193 22 042 32 060 37 053 39 048 45193 43345 28 048 40 059 43 060 46 049 43345 41646 33 046 49 061 55 063 59 050 41646 40068 39 043 59 060 67 058 72 050 40068 38592 45 040 67 056 75 052 82 044 38592 37210 48 041 74 054 83 049 92 042 37210 35886 53 053 83 053 88 050 97 044 35886 34551 64 060 89 051 97 050 101 049 34551 33173 71 060 85 049 106 049 104 054 33173 31752 75 059 79 046 110 050 106 055 31752 30273 71 057 70 045 110 055 102 054 30273 28729 57 062 61 050 85 054 95 049 28729 27123 41 068 45 053 54 053 93 046 27123 25458 34 079 33 057 44 058 86 045 25458 23737 35 082 30 057 39 060 68 046 23737 21962 36 076 33 058 36 060 47 056 21962 20125 36 070 34 059 34 060 39 068 20125 18214 34 071 33 058 32 058 38 077 18214 16266 31 079 31 062 27 059 35 084 16266 14388 29 089 27 071 21 060 30 084 14388 12682 28 095 23 084 16 061 26 084 12682 11167 25 098 21 102 13 060 22 086 11167 9818 23 096 21 108 12 078 18 087 9818 8614 18 092 19 097 12 108 14 073 8614 7541 13 080 16 081 6 111 11 043 7541 6587 10 062 12 082 4 043 7 010 6587 5744 10 053 8 101 5 023 7 306 5744 4996 10 047 5 129 2 016 9 284 4996 4325 11 034 4 155 1 268 9 284 4325 3731 14 025 5 169 3*247 6 293 3731 3234 14 024 6 156 4*254 4 329 3234 2852 13 024 7*148 4 255 3 028 2852 2589 10 026 7*145 4 255 4 049 2589 2429 7*027 6 144 4 256 4*060 2429 2338 4*029 4 144 4 256 3*062 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography