DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.7 - - 50.7 - - 49.0 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 92 - - 2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1074 - - 2419 - - 1208 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3306 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3395 - - 4740 - - 3529 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1223 - - 1444 - - 2855 - - 2808 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 260 - - 73 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 2 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 285 - - 303 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 507 - - 1172 - - 749 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2888 - - 3568 - - 2780 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1416 - - 318 - - -73 - - -351 ODpotential blCL - - - 4811 - - 4422 - - 3602 - - 2688 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 89 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.7 - - 50.7 - - 49.0 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 43.3 - - 45.0 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 49.9 - - 49.1 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 42.1 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 92 - - 2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1074 - - 2419 - - 1208 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 57 - - 99 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96782 7 249 2 242 2 189 3 059 96782 89656 4 168 4 257 8 115 8 089 89656 84120 13 129 7 237 9 092 8 087 84120 79505 11 117 7 137 4 092 5 078 79505 75531 9 121 3 046 7 129 4 126 75531 72015 7 115 5 195 4 014 7 103 72015 68816 6 105 5 191 6 282 2 277 68816 65867 2 001 7 256 7 246 7 249 65867 63132 5 307 8 251 6 244 9 242 63132 60488 8 279 8 265 12 271 15 263 60488 57749 9 340 6 245 15 258 19 255 57749 54914 20 348 9 312 15 255 21 270 54914 52212 34 344 26 334 20 312 28 292 52212 49787 38 323 34 312 30 305 34 294 49787 47598 20 316 26 295 25 302 33 291 47598 45590 11 023 15 278 21 319 34 285 45590 43732 11 024 17 323 31 317 35 283 43732 41998 41 001 43 344 35 312 39 286 41998 40378 64 351 49 340 37 315 49 292 40378 38881 68 348 52 342 46 326 43 304 38881 37498 64 353 53 347 61 329 55 313 37498 36172 60 002 55 350 72 328 74 308 36172 34829 61 004 58 349 72 329 78 307 34829 33441 64 005 60 350 67 331 60 313 33441 32013 66 011 60 350 64 332 47 316 32013 30530 71 015 59 353 57 336 41 319 30530 28981 75 017 59 358 47 343 32 319 28981 27365 75 019 58 001 38 351 23 325 27365 25682 73 013 56 005 36 358 20 330 25682 23931 70 017 54 013 35 356 23 328 23931 22114 68 025 55 014 33 358 29 330 22114 20228 63 023 55 006 33 004 31 331 20228 18272 48 020 51 007 35 005 31 335 18272 16290 29 009 35 004 32 001 33 341 16290 14389 18 001 22 357 25 000 33 346 14389 12666 13 007 16 358 17 353 27 346 12666 11138 8 008 10 012 12 340 20 339 11138 9781 5 340 5 030 9 326 16 327 9781 8573 5 309 2 048 7 304 14 323 8573 7498 5 301 2 218 8 279 10 320 7498 6547 5 294 4 226 7 282 7 301 6547 5710 5 283 4 257 5 288 4 269 5710 4972 6 280 5*282 5 290 2 230 4972 4310 5 284 5*284 5 294 2 197 4310 3721 5*291 5 285 5*299 2 174 3721 3229 5*290 5 285 6*302 2 162 3229 2849 5 289 5 285 6 302 2 155 2849 2588 4 288 4 284 6 303 1 157 2588 2428 4 287 4 285 5 302 1 166 2428 2337 4 288 4 284 4 304 0*200 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography