DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 53.6 - - 60.0 - - 53.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 23 - - 89 - - -3 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 115 - - 654 - - 129 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2436 - - 2976 - - 2450 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 288 - - 642 - - 601 - - 173 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 60 - - 163 - - 25 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 107 - - 092 - - 014 - - 051 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 1 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2643 - - -2046 - - -2957 - - -1878 - - -2195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4981 - - 4482 - - 5934 - - 4329 - - 4533 sfcLCL ODpotential -14457 - - -11068 - - -10560 - - -9808 - - -13334 ODpotential blCL 16795 - - 13504 - - 13536 - - 12258 - - 15672 blCL maxRH 45 - - 62 - - 54 - - 65 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 53.6 - - 60.0 - - 53.9 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 42.5 - - 42.5 - - 43.3 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 53.4 - - 59.3 - - 54.3 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 41.5 - - 41.6 - - 42.8 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 23 - - 89 - - -3 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 115 - - 654 - - 129 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96303 13 101 8 058 4 113 4 164 5 071 96303 89192 10 095 8 070 2 084 3 064 10 052 89192 83689 4 095 10 073 4 045 4 006 15 054 83689 79102 7 016 9 048 4 009 13 007 8 026 79102 75155 13 352 7 021 11 329 15 354 10 009 75155 71672 20 354 7 344 13 334 12 336 15 346 71672 68519 20 344 10 334 14 331 11 339 13 329 68519 65628 26 324 18 330 16 314 15 312 20 306 65628 62954 23 292 22 303 25 305 23 308 25 309 62954 60371 29 282 26 281 30 289 29 290 30 298 60371 57671 31 279 29 286 29 286 32 279 33 289 57671 54857 45 279 40 291 37 283 38 282 36 289 54857 52171 48 277 48 283 45 279 43 290 34 288 52171 49764 52 281 53 284 50 282 44 298 38 304 49764 47605 58 287 57 286 53 286 50 297 49 305 47605 45636 60 292 58 288 54 289 55 290 56 296 45636 43828 61 295 62 294 58 295 56 289 60 292 43828 42161 61 297 65 295 62 295 59 295 61 291 42161 40619 59 299 65 295 62 298 64 300 63 295 40619 39184 58 300 64 296 64 302 70 300 69 298 39184 37836 57 300 63 296 63 301 70 299 71 298 37836 36533 58 300 64 294 62 299 67 299 69 297 36533 35206 57 299 66 292 62 297 63 300 67 298 35206 33830 57 301 65 290 61 295 62 300 66 298 33830 32409 56 302 63 290 59 295 61 299 64 298 32409 30929 55 304 60 292 58 294 58 298 61 298 30929 29382 54 307 55 296 55 294 49 296 54 295 29382 27770 51 309 47 297 49 294 45 294 48 293 27770 26089 47 311 43 297 45 292 44 292 48 294 26089 24338 41 312 38 296 41 291 41 293 46 298 24338 22520 36 308 36 294 38 290 39 293 42 298 22520 20626 32 305 32 293 36 290 39 291 40 294 20626 18651 30 310 29 297 32 286 37 290 39 297 18651 16639 26 313 26 300 28 286 34 286 31 301 16639 14703 20 306 23 296 24 286 26 291 23 307 14703 12945 18 293 21 288 19 284 19 296 18 315 12945 11382 15 290 17 290 15 284 14 301 14 326 11382 9994 10 290 12 293 12 281 12 307 11 341 9994 8757 6 298 8 294 9 279 10 318 10 357 8757 7656 4 337 4 291 7 288 10 329 10 002 7656 6678 6 015 2 333 5 304 10 339 10 010 6678 5814 10 022 5 010 4 336 9 348 12 018 5814 5048 12 026 8 018 7 355 10 001 15 023 5048 4360 14 027 9 014 10 355 13 010 17 026 4360 3751 13 022 9 351 11 348 16 015 18 029 3751 3244 12 013 9 339 10*350 16 018 18 031 3244 2856 9 014 5 353 6*009 12 031 17 034 2856 2590 6 038 2*080 6 014 8*046 15 037 2590 2429 4*082 2*091 6 017 7*050 11*042 2429 2338 2*107 2 093 5 018 5 052 5*061 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography