DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.5 - - 84.9 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 486 - - 306 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1809 - - 3008 - - 1864 - - 367 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3401 - - 4388 - - 3402 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4132 - - 5332 - - 4188 - - 2690 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 943 - - 1141 - - 1312 - - 471 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 466 - - 341 - - 60 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 15 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 348 - - 341 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 11 - - 1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7622 - - -7298 - - -6597 - - -4661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11755 - - 12631 - - 10785 - - 7352 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16286 - - -14238 - - -13280 - - -13462 ODpotential blCL - - - 20418 - - 19570 - - 17468 - - 16152 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 28 - - 32 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.5 - - 84.9 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.7 - - 40.5 - - 46.1 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 84.6 - - 82.7 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 40.1 - - 45.7 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 486 - - 306 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1809 - - 3008 - - 1864 - - 367 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99385 43 100 41 110 39 107 36 105 99385 91895 27 104 34 110 30 095 38 093 91895 86145 32 122 32 112 29 106 32 090 86145 81375 37 117 33 122 30 116 25 103 81375 77246 31 108 31 118 25 125 25 106 77246 73585 22 100 23 097 25 116 24 110 73585 70285 17 112 21 102 24 112 23 111 70285 67280 22 128 16 117 20 112 16 120 67280 64510 20 133 21 150 11 123 18 119 64510 61833 14 149 20 155 13 162 13 125 61833 59053 17 165 15 174 13 178 9 158 59053 56192 12 183 19 194 20 197 14 200 56192 53487 16 207 21 201 25 200 24 207 53487 51072 24 221 26 210 28 210 30 211 51072 48918 33 224 33 219 35 219 34 214 48918 46957 38 219 40 217 41 221 37 219 46957 45148 40 229 43 223 44 220 41 222 45148 43462 42 229 46 225 46 225 43 222 43462 41880 41 226 46 217 47 223 44 220 41880 40389 40 223 42 220 46 218 45 217 40389 38981 37 225 40 226 43 218 43 218 38981 37621 36 226 41 226 41 222 41 221 37621 36238 36 228 42 223 41 222 41 224 36238 34806 37 222 40 227 39 224 40 228 34806 33330 37 228 36 236 34 230 35 230 33330 31797 33 236 30 233 29 229 29 230 31797 30194 28 225 29 215 27 218 26 222 30194 28521 28 223 30 211 26 212 24 214 28521 26778 27 229 28 216 25 206 22 206 26778 24971 25 231 24 225 22 210 20 206 24971 23102 22 233 20 229 19 216 20 206 23102 21165 19 238 17 227 17 224 17 212 21165 19151 17 238 16 222 16 226 15 215 19151 17099 16 225 17 218 15 223 14 215 17099 15120 15 213 17 217 15 221 12 215 15120 13314 12 207 15 219 12 224 10 214 13314 11704 9 202 11 218 8 221 6 203 11704 10266 6 193 8 207 6 208 4 201 10266 8983 4 187 6 188 5 202 2 209 8983 7841 2 198 5 177 6 210 3 244 7841 6828 1 225 2 156 2 193 4 258 6828 5934 1 213 2*069 2 078 4 271 5934 5143 1 172 2*040 3 052 3 303 5143 4433 1*088 4 005 5*013 4 352 4433 3804 2*004 6 347 9*346 7 358 3804 3281 4 350 7 344 10 342 11 338 3281 2879 4 349 7 342 11 340 12*331 2879 2603 4 347 7 341 11 339 11*330 2603 2436 4 346 7 341 10 339 10 329 2436 2339 4 346 7 340 9 338 7 328 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography