DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 62.1 - - 67.0 - - 65.9 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 53 - - 140 - - 53 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 784 - - 2580 - - 2926 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3678 - - 3146 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3105 - - 4902 - - 5248 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 92 - - 1068 - - 1414 - - 1874 - - 1247 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 155 - - 307 - - 235 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 20 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 154 - - 224 - - 275 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1829 - - -3345 - - -2048 - - -1279 - - -306 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4167 - - 6450 - - 6951 - - 6527 - - 2644 sfcLCL ODpotential -10532 - - -9481 - - -6628 - - -6217 - - -5586 ODpotential blCL 12870 - - 12586 - - 11530 - - 11465 - - 7924 blCL maxRH 48 - - 45 - - 51 - - 65 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 62.1 - - 67.0 - - 65.9 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 42.1 - - 44.5 - - 45.3 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 61.7 - - 65.9 - - 65.4 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 40.8 - - 43.3 - - 44.2 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 53 - - 140 - - 53 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 784 - - 2580 - - 2926 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96446 25 290 15 322 14 259 26 288 25 283 96446 89281 10 307 10 293 19 279 16 286 17 294 89281 83753 9 311 10 258 18 268 17 284 15 280 83753 79153 12 283 14 285 14 268 17 274 20 288 79153 75193 13 273 14 269 17 280 19 288 18 292 75193 71696 14 281 13 251 23 270 20 287 17 301 71696 68519 16 287 13 277 22 275 20 272 21 301 68519 65591 18 279 15 285 18 283 21 268 22 281 65591 62863 18 265 10 264 16 271 22 276 19 277 62863 60204 17 274 9 276 16 273 25 278 22 278 60204 57420 16 275 12 277 18 273 24 270 24 278 57420 54532 11 310 13 288 14 278 18 276 23 288 54532 51788 17 330 20 313 21 305 25 301 28 299 51788 49318 21 329 22 310 28 299 36 300 34 301 49318 47100 19 331 22 307 30 297 41 300 41 307 47100 45096 19 330 25 310 35 304 40 304 42 310 45096 43283 14 321 19 297 28 300 37 302 46 317 43283 41637 16 338 9 302 21 293 35 303 52 320 41637 40120 29 358 25 356 31 332 38 317 56 316 40120 38701 37 002 38 354 41 337 40 322 55 312 38701 37365 36 358 38 350 41 335 37 318 48 311 37365 36075 31 357 33 346 39 333 35 316 43 312 36075 34764 28 359 30 344 36 332 35 318 41 314 34764 33404 29 358 29 344 33 328 35 321 40 318 33404 32000 31 358 28 346 29 326 35 323 39 323 32000 30537 33 359 25 347 25 327 34 326 39 326 30537 29006 33 001 22 347 24 330 31 330 38 327 29006 27409 31 004 23 348 23 337 26 332 36 325 27409 25746 29 004 25 350 22 344 24 331 33 322 25746 24021 31 000 26 354 21 349 25 331 33 325 24021 22234 31 001 23 357 19 351 26 333 33 331 22234 20379 24 007 18 001 17 347 26 335 31 333 20379 18450 18 011 15 005 16 348 24 336 26 329 18450 16483 13 000 12 353 16 352 21 335 25 325 16483 14586 13 336 12 341 15 351 19 334 23 326 14586 12858 13 339 11 352 12 351 15 345 19 331 12858 11318 12 346 8 357 10 355 10 359 16 341 11318 9945 10 349 6 351 8 355 7 000 13 348 9945 8721 9 350 5 343 6 348 6 352 10 347 8721 7630 8 351 4 337 6 336 5 340 8 339 7630 6660 6 351 4 332 5 321 3 335 6 328 6660 5803 5 356 3 325 3 285 3*314 3 328 5803 5044 3 004 2 311 3*234 4*292 1 308 5044 4362 2 010 1 263 4*228 4 280 3 255 4362 3758 1 017 1 199 4 226 5 274 4 244 3758 3252 2 043 2*164 4 223 5 273 5 243 3252 2863 3 053 2*158 4 222 5 271 6 247 2863 2595 4 059 1 154 4 221 5 270 6 258 2595 2432 4*060 1 154 4 221 5 269 5*268 2432 2338 2*068 1 150 4 221 4 268 3*274 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography