DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 54.5 - - 56.3 - - 54.7 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 45 - - 52 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 361 - - 630 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2683 - - 2951 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 694 - - 824 - - 695 - - 2074 - - 938 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 108 - - 138 - - 19 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 058 - - 030 - - 096 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -7 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 2 - - 613 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 2681 - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -5721 - - -3007 - - -2391 - - -581 - - -1649 ODpotential blCL 8059 - - 5690 - - 5342 - - 2919 - - 3987 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 54.5 - - 56.3 - - 54.7 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 50.6 - - 53.7 - - 53.0 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 54.1 - - 55.8 - - 54.7 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.1 - - 49.9 - - 52.9 - - 52.7 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 45 - - 52 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 361 - - 630 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 98 - - 101 - - 86 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96460 9 062 5 353 8 016 8 015 6 196 96460 89425 20 060 20 107 9 047 16 072 14 089 89425 83977 12 077 16 105 6 074 10 075 11 074 83977 79426 10 095 12 094 7 127 5 020 12 067 79426 75488 11 084 8 075 9 146 4 288 13 035 75488 71995 4 048 9 050 8 137 5 230 4 011 71995 68817 2 141 2 027 6 135 5 201 3 102 68817 65894 6 182 3 350 3 155 7 183 4 142 65894 63179 16 168 7 200 5 240 11 237 3 249 63179 60538 16 138 14 174 16 186 18 204 17 220 60538 57763 13 168 16 187 19 200 19 200 21 221 57763 54851 28 202 27 200 32 192 33 191 32 198 54851 52041 40 185 34 173 32 170 34 177 32 187 52041 49501 31 178 29 162 24 157 24 173 25 187 49501 47224 29 194 23 176 21 180 23 188 20 191 47224 45154 41 185 39 181 36 180 31 178 21 192 45154 43257 45 162 51 164 40 159 32 166 24 185 43257 41511 31 156 45 154 34 152 32 161 26 179 41511 39893 42 195 36 143 28 150 31 148 25 166 39893 38391 72 187 29 168 29 161 27 137 22 138 38391 36999 95 178 53 185 45 164 33 134 24 110 36999 35679 107 173 69 174 56 145 47 121 34 086 35679 34360 104 170 57 166 53 144 44 104 53 069 34360 33002 102 172 50 155 51 142 40 102 56 065 33002 31605 91 170 47 154 48 138 43 108 50 063 31605 30155 81 168 47 151 47 134 44 113 46 068 30155 28637 74 166 45 148 44 131 41 111 46 066 28637 27051 67 164 44 143 41 128 40 108 42 066 27051 25399 62 164 42 141 39 127 39 110 37 070 25399 23683 57 163 42 139 39 124 39 112 34 081 23683 21910 58 161 43 135 39 122 38 114 35 093 21910 20071 57 154 44 122 39 122 36 115 35 096 20071 18160 38 133 39 107 37 123 33 114 33 098 18160 16215 25 112 31 100 35 124 22 108 29 104 16215 14345 19 115 25 103 34 126 14 135 24 112 14345 12646 13 140 22 114 34 128 23 151 19 120 12646 11136 12 166 22 122 36 129 27 159 15 137 11136 9792 12 169 25 125 39 130 27 162 14 160 9792 8595 14 167 28 130 41 129 30 164 17 161 8595 7529 19 175 29 135 40 124 33 159 19 158 7529 6580 21 176 25 136 36 119 34 151 19 157 6580 5741 18 177 17 136 30 116 33 143 16 158 5741 4995 13 182 10 130 25 113 31 137 10 163 4995 4325 9 183 7 110 17 104 27 131 6 184 4325 3731 6 170 5 085 12 076 23 122 7 218 3731 3234 5 087 8 059 12*041 20 112 9 224 3234 2852 10 046 8*055 12*031 16 102 9 217 2852 2589 11 043 8*057 12 030 14 099 8 213 2589 2429 9*043 7 058 11 029 13 098 6*213 2429 2338 5*045 5 059 8 028 8*096 3*214 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography