DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 78.2 - - 76.2 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 495 - - 321 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2505 - - 3939 - - 2074 - - 581 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3958 - - 5119 - - 3568 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4827 - - 6261 - - 4397 - - 2903 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 684 - - 920 - - 2060 - - 554 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 416 - - 513 - - 359 - - 114 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 21 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 231 - - 311 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 11 - - 11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1652 - - -3795 - - -3652 - - -2509 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6480 - - 10056 - - 8049 - - 5412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9697 - - -10997 - - -10168 - - -11493 ODpotential blCL - - - 14524 - - 17258 - - 14565 - - 14396 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 44 - - 51 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 78.2 - - 76.2 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 42.2 - - 48.9 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 75.5 - - 74.1 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 41.7 - - 48.6 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 495 - - 321 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2505 - - 3939 - - 2074 - - 581 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98814 30 093 32 114 23 118 25 100 98814 91279 22 086 30 090 24 110 20 095 91279 85511 23 122 18 081 26 088 21 105 85511 80760 21 109 9 104 17 069 20 093 80760 76673 18 103 11 121 9 072 18 079 76673 73051 13 101 7 113 8 079 15 056 73051 69777 12 090 8 135 2 129 8 067 69777 66777 6 070 13 133 7 124 6 095 66777 64017 7 051 12 166 5 136 5 111 64017 61353 9 270 6 140 4 179 4 145 61353 58584 13 244 11 259 12 267 12 273 58584 55731 18 246 24 251 24 255 23 267 55731 53017 27 256 31 246 32 246 32 257 53017 50578 37 265 38 250 40 251 41 259 50578 48390 46 267 46 259 50 259 50 266 48390 46400 57 265 54 261 58 260 58 265 46400 44569 66 263 62 259 64 260 66 266 44569 42871 74 260 67 257 71 260 72 268 42871 41287 77 259 72 256 78 259 74 267 41287 39801 77 259 73 256 78 257 72 265 39801 38401 75 261 72 257 74 257 69 264 38401 37049 72 261 71 257 74 259 67 266 37049 35681 72 261 71 257 75 259 65 268 35681 34268 73 263 71 258 73 259 57 271 34268 32816 65 265 70 260 69 258 48 277 32816 31307 58 263 66 263 64 259 40 283 31307 29729 53 261 55 264 53 262 35 289 29729 28085 50 263 44 261 41 262 32 289 28085 26372 47 269 38 263 36 265 31 283 26372 24590 42 272 34 265 36 264 34 275 24590 22738 34 271 31 265 32 262 34 271 22738 20815 22 270 25 261 25 262 28 267 20815 18819 14 267 18 255 19 260 19 265 18819 16789 9 243 15 243 15 256 13 259 16789 14835 10 229 15 234 13 252 10 257 14835 13056 13 235 14 232 11 240 7 243 13056 11477 12 241 10 233 8 229 6 227 11477 10075 10 246 7 235 6 235 6 240 10075 8829 8 250 5 238 5 243 7 259 8829 7720 7 250 4 215 4 190 7 230 7720 6733 7 222 4*191 7 152 6 159 6733 5862 8 189 4*204 7 149 6 136 5862 5088 6*183 4 214 5 157 3 132 5088 4394 6*189 4 227 2*226 1 111 4394 3777 5 194 5 235 6*309 4 341 3777 3263 5 196 5 240 7 311 10*328 3263 2869 5 200 5 242 8 311 11*324 2869 2598 5 203 5 244 8 311 11 323 2598 2433 5 203 5 245 8 311 10 322 2433 2338 4 205 5 245 7 311 7 321 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography