DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 71.6 - - - - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 469 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1505 - - 2512 - - - - - 294 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3178 - - 3996 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3827 - - 4835 - - - - - 2615 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 803 - - 1381 - - - - - 429 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 334 - - 434 - - - - - 48 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 322 - - - - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2398 - - -4037 - - - - - -2538 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6225 - - 8872 - - - - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9223 - - -9592 - - - - - -11882 ODpotential blCL - - - 13050 - - 14427 - - - - - 14497 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 44 - - - - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 71.6 - - - - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 40.9 - - - - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 68.9 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 40.2 - - - - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 469 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1505 - - 2512 - - - - - 294 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98157 8 240 3 284 10 330 98157 90754 6 220 7 245 5 266 90754 85054 4 176 4 270 8 257 85054 80326 3 128 2 255 5 332 80326 76255 4 057 4 161 12 004 76255 72672 5 048 2 182 11 001 72672 69445 6 040 3 346 9 012 69445 66478 6 348 5 014 7 339 66478 63722 9 300 7 341 7 304 63722 61052 10 287 11 296 9 306 61052 58263 11 263 15 274 11 294 58263 55369 10 268 16 261 11 319 55369 52612 11 286 12 256 13 330 52612 50138 10 297 4 297 13 004 50138 47916 9 309 9 344 18 023 47916 45899 12 306 11 342 21 021 45899 44059 14 299 10 349 15 000 44059 42376 13 299 13 007 10 010 42376 40823 12 307 12 001 13 024 40823 39378 10 329 13 352 13 028 39378 38018 13 355 13 359 12 027 38018 36704 16 006 12 007 12 012 36704 35369 16 006 13 005 11 355 35369 33984 14 000 13 357 10 349 33984 32554 12 357 14 348 16 343 32554 31065 12 357 15 349 20 345 31065 29507 13 347 12 353 21 348 29507 27882 15 331 12 359 18 351 27882 26187 16 317 15 012 14 355 26187 24426 15 316 15 016 11 358 24426 22596 14 313 14 007 7 005 22596 20693 12 311 12 346 7 357 20693 18711 12 315 10 323 12 351 18711 16693 12 317 11 307 14 004 16693 14751 12 314 12 304 11 018 14751 12985 12 285 13 297 8 018 12985 11415 21 273 13 291 6 002 11415 10018 21 279 12 290 5 342 10018 8775 14 287 10 291 6 322 8775 7669 7 299 7 294 6 304 7669 6688 5 331 4 306 5 290 6688 5822 8 355 4 329 4 285 5822 5054 11 359 5*329 3 318 5054 4366 11*352 7*325 5 348 4366 3757 10*337 8 323 10 346 3757 3248 10 330 9 322 15 328 3248 2860 10 327 9 321 15*320 2860 2593 10 326 9 319 13*318 2593 2431 9 325 9 319 12 317 2431 2338 8 324 8 319 7 316 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography