DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 84.4 - - - - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 416 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4708 - - 7315 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5564 - - 7752 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7031 - - 9638 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2158 - - 1593 - - - - - 799 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 598 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 84 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 020 - - - - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 32 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5428 - - -3909 - - - - - -5780 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12460 - - 13548 - - - - - 8119 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11174 - - -8233 - - - - - -11239 ODpotential blCL - - - 18205 - - 17871 - - - - - 13578 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 56 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 84.4 - - - - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 32.5 - - - - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 81.8 - - - - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 31.5 - - - - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 416 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4708 - - 7315 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98145 7 068 4 098 1 045 98145 90718 6 152 6 254 8 024 90718 84994 7 141 9 225 3 357 84994 80238 6 130 8 181 1 267 80238 76140 5 149 2 063 1 212 76140 72519 4 178 6 334 2 039 72519 69248 4 205 3 316 4 039 69248 66241 3 277 4 294 12 350 66241 63461 7 356 1 192 14 312 63461 60768 20 356 12 005 11 300 60768 57959 17 327 13 334 15 328 57959 55061 14 347 15 330 17 342 55061 52312 19 344 21 330 22 353 52312 49857 16 357 18 341 25 350 49857 47682 23 027 19 024 16 340 47682 45737 27 038 29 038 14 349 45737 43967 38 041 34 037 16 355 43967 42324 39 045 33 035 24 359 42324 40782 38 050 33 032 28 358 40782 39330 37 050 31 032 29 358 39330 37958 38 046 30 032 29 359 37958 36633 36 043 29 032 27 001 36633 35289 33 042 27 029 24 000 35289 33898 31 040 25 028 21 357 33898 32464 31 037 25 030 20 356 32464 30973 30 035 25 033 20 358 30973 29413 30 034 23 028 20 359 29413 27784 30 032 22 023 18 356 27784 26088 27 031 23 020 19 353 26088 24331 25 030 23 017 21 360 24331 22514 25 026 21 015 22 005 22514 20630 24 026 20 017 21 005 20630 18671 19 040 13 022 17 005 18671 16676 11 043 8 010 12 354 16676 14756 6 025 4 356 8 352 14756 13012 0 137 1 254 6 013 13012 11460 5 172 5 179 5 018 11460 10076 5 181 3*167 3 007 10076 8840 2 193 2*150 2 138 8840 7737 1*024 1 141 2 145 7737 6753 2*015 1 102 1 076 6753 5881 3 016 1 040 3 018 5881 5106 3 016 2 009 5 006 5106 4408 3 018 3 003 7 359 4408 3789 3 017 3 001 10 345 3789 3271 3 018 3 360 14 331 3271 2874 3 017 3 359 14 326 2874 2600 3 017 4 358 12 325 2600 2434 3 017 4 357 10*325 2434 2339 3 016 3 358 6*324 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography