DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 66.7 - - 63.6 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 30 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 335 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2657 - - 2339 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 190 - - 954 - - 895 - - 138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 101 - - 10 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 153 - - 110 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8588 - - -4893 - - -3156 - - -2800 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10927 - - 7550 - - 5495 - - 5139 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17876 - - -11589 - - -9229 - - -11926 ODpotential blCL - - - 20214 - - 14246 - - 11568 - - 14264 blCL maxRH - - - 15 - - 38 - - 47 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 66.7 - - 63.6 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.8 - - 42.2 - - 47.9 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 66.5 - - 64.4 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.6 - - 41.1 - - 46.8 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 30 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 335 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97031 45 097 35 099 50 094 48 106 97031 89858 46 106 40 105 49 093 46 103 89858 84298 41 105 35 106 40 090 44 096 84298 79672 36 091 35 093 34 092 38 091 79672 75650 30 095 30 087 27 092 28 089 75650 72073 26 101 22 089 21 083 26 069 72073 68847 21 082 16 086 15 069 25 058 68847 65911 22 065 19 074 16 067 22 058 65911 63213 23 036 22 056 18 058 20 045 63213 60610 25 011 25 042 20 041 20 032 60610 57897 23 004 25 021 21 008 22 006 57897 55082 22 358 24 002 23 353 25 350 55082 52394 28 355 27 353 25 342 30 345 52394 49972 34 351 30 340 29 335 33 345 49972 47797 37 346 34 336 32 335 33 342 47797 45818 38 340 36 335 33 338 31 341 45818 43993 35 333 32 328 30 331 28 336 43993 42294 29 327 27 318 25 321 25 316 42294 40706 24 307 22 302 19 307 22 299 40706 39226 18 304 18 286 16 283 19 275 39226 37852 12 300 16 266 18 254 23 246 37852 36546 10 280 9 243 18 233 23 231 36546 35229 8 279 8 235 18 217 21 213 35229 33864 3 140 10 229 15 219 22 218 33864 32452 13 135 13 202 17 229 22 228 32452 30981 19 148 17 177 17 219 22 228 30981 29439 17 163 17 166 17 203 20 222 29439 27828 20 175 18 181 17 198 19 213 27828 26147 20 169 19 192 18 204 19 214 26147 24398 19 156 17 191 23 208 21 216 24398 22583 20 155 16 183 23 205 23 216 22583 20696 18 158 17 183 20 197 20 212 20696 18730 14 170 15 195 16 190 16 203 18730 16721 10 180 10 189 12 182 13 201 16721 14781 9 175 10 190 10 188 7 204 14781 13015 9 172 10 203 9 201 3 212 13015 11444 7 178 10 210 8 207 2 241 11444 10046 5 196 7 215 6 211 2 245 10046 8801 4 214 5 217 5 204 2 203 8801 7694 4 213 4 207 5 192 3 180 7694 6712 4 204 4 200 5 190 3 176 6712 5844 5 197 5 201 6 197 4 201 5844 5075 7 195 9 200 9 202 7 205 5075 4385 10 194 12 195 12 194 10 196 4385 3773 12 192 13 185 15 185 10 188 3773 3261 13 189 12 179 13 180 9 186 3261 2868 12 190 8*170 8 173 8 185 2868 2597 10 190 5*156 5 158 6 181 2597 2432 7*192 4 153 3*139 3 156 2432 2338 2*192 3 149 2*110 2*072 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography