DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 67.5 - - 71.4 - - 64.8 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 292 - - 408 - - 189 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1278 - - 2329 - - 1506 - - 282 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2964 - - 3819 - - 2984 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3600 - - 4651 - - 3828 - - 2604 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 234 - - 709 - - 1387 - - 664 - - 645 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 295 - - 403 - - 270 - - 61 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 309 - - 311 - - 292 - - 295 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -4 - - -11 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1862 - - -3268 - - -1719 - - -572 - - 266 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4200 - - 6868 - - 6370 - - 4400 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -12454 - - -9375 - - -4226 - - -4753 - - -5230 ODpotential blCL 14792 - - 12975 - - 8877 - - 8581 - - 7834 blCL maxRH 58 - - 56 - - 69 - - 83 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 67.5 - - 71.4 - - 64.8 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.2 - - 45.5 - - 51.3 - - 53.3 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.5 - - 65.6 - - 69.0 - - 63.4 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.1 - - 45.4 - - 51.2 - - 53.2 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 292 - - 408 - - 189 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1278 - - 2329 - - 1506 - - 282 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98001 11 297 3 312 10 246 16 233 18 276 98001 90658 9 332 5 320 4 326 7 240 4 324 90658 84986 4 060 3 106 2 025 1 308 5 053 84986 80280 8 089 4 096 3 120 3 050 6 037 80280 76237 8 073 4 092 4 150 2 012 8 005 76237 72661 2 010 5 035 4 130 1 162 1 313 72661 69414 4 246 6 300 3 276 2 317 5 137 69414 66413 4 297 8 279 7 275 7 282 5 223 66413 63623 9 298 9 276 12 272 14 272 9 245 63623 60919 12 278 12 269 12 263 16 260 9 252 60919 58085 17 275 17 267 17 277 14 272 13 265 58085 55145 23 276 23 265 28 273 24 273 24 269 55145 52352 30 283 29 273 33 266 34 267 31 267 52352 49838 36 281 33 270 35 262 37 263 33 268 49838 47576 43 281 38 272 40 266 39 263 41 270 47576 45529 47 276 47 271 48 268 45 267 48 260 45529 43666 43 267 49 262 55 264 53 265 47 257 43666 41949 39 259 46 246 59 255 57 260 45 263 41949 40355 39 255 47 242 61 250 59 255 53 264 40355 38872 39 256 47 241 61 248 61 252 64 260 38872 37488 38 253 45 242 58 246 64 249 66 257 37488 36162 37 251 44 244 56 241 66 246 67 255 36162 34826 37 249 43 246 54 241 64 245 68 251 34826 33450 39 244 42 246 51 244 62 246 68 246 33450 32035 39 238 41 247 49 246 59 247 67 246 32035 30563 38 239 40 249 46 247 56 244 66 249 30563 29025 36 246 40 250 44 247 55 245 64 252 29025 27419 35 250 40 251 43 247 51 246 61 253 27419 25749 34 251 40 252 43 248 49 246 57 249 25749 24015 31 253 37 253 41 248 46 249 55 248 24015 22221 28 256 34 252 39 249 43 252 52 252 22221 20358 27 259 32 250 36 250 39 254 47 258 20358 18423 24 268 30 252 32 253 36 257 38 262 18423 16455 21 278 28 259 30 257 32 261 30 261 16455 14563 21 287 26 269 27 260 25 267 23 260 14563 12842 18 294 21 275 22 264 19 275 18 262 12842 11310 14 306 15 279 19 266 16 285 15 270 11310 9943 12 323 13 283 18 268 15 287 13 278 9943 8722 11 334 11 289 17 269 14 283 12 283 8722 7632 10 335 10 298 14 270 14 276 10 283 7632 6662 9 329 9 308 11 272 13 274 9 283 6662 5803 8 323 8 321 10 279 12 274 8 286 5803 5041 8 319 9 332 10*286 12 282 8 295 5041 4356 10 317 11 327 11*290 14*292 11 308 4356 3750 12 315 12*318 11 292 15*295 16 311 3750 3245 14 316 12*313 12 293 15 296 20 307 3245 2858 15 314 12 312 12 293 15 295 19*305 2858 2592 14 314 11 311 11 294 15 295 16*304 2592 2431 11*315 10 310 11 293 14 295 14 303 2431 2338 4*309 8 310 9 293 10 295 9 302 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography