DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 73.3 - - 70.7 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 384 - - 214 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1827 - - 4457 - - 2024 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3354 - - 5449 - - 3412 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4149 - - 6779 - - 4347 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1899 - - 1597 - - 3026 - - 682 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 495 - - 314 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 25 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 012 - - 342 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 16 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4684 - - -2879 - - -3426 - - -2081 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8834 - - 9658 - - 7774 - - 4419 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11418 - - -7929 - - -6517 - - -6607 ODpotential blCL - - - 15567 - - 14708 - - 10864 - - 8945 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 50 - - 56 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 73.3 - - 70.7 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 38.9 - - 44.7 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 71.1 - - 69.1 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 37.8 - - 43.9 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 384 - - 214 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1827 - - 4457 - - 2024 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97523 22 305 16 305 17 306 24 307 97523 90090 12 328 16 307 21 330 16 337 90090 84435 7 323 16 319 21 336 20 355 84435 79785 9 348 10 318 16 315 22 328 79785 75790 14 337 11 320 13 307 19 304 75790 72246 15 299 16 317 15 317 16 305 72246 69019 16 287 18 304 18 315 17 313 69019 66043 17 294 21 285 21 307 19 313 66043 63278 18 299 21 277 24 297 20 308 63278 60590 19 293 21 278 26 289 23 304 60590 57790 19 294 23 289 28 289 29 295 57790 54906 20 288 26 294 29 291 31 294 54906 52163 17 294 23 293 29 295 33 288 52163 49690 18 317 23 310 28 296 35 287 49690 47473 28 332 34 311 35 295 38 290 47473 45475 36 325 39 306 39 304 39 299 45475 43662 37 320 38 311 44 312 47 307 43662 41999 35 322 39 315 51 314 55 311 41999 40456 32 325 43 316 57 316 61 314 40456 39009 32 327 45 319 58 320 61 317 39009 37645 33 328 48 323 58 322 58 320 37645 36329 31 328 47 323 61 325 57 323 36329 34995 29 327 45 321 59 327 58 327 34995 33615 28 334 41 320 51 326 58 331 33615 32196 28 341 36 319 45 326 52 330 32196 30724 29 341 33 322 40 328 45 331 30724 29185 26 343 30 328 38 326 39 335 29185 27579 23 348 29 338 36 327 36 339 27579 25905 22 351 27 345 32 331 32 343 25905 24167 20 357 24 349 28 334 32 341 24167 22367 21 003 23 351 25 342 29 339 22367 20497 23 007 22 355 21 348 26 344 20497 18551 24 009 22 002 18 357 24 343 18551 16565 17 016 17 007 16 005 21 344 16565 14651 12 022 12 007 15 359 18 353 14651 12910 10 037 8 020 12 355 16 359 12910 11364 7 065 8 060 9 020 11 356 11364 9990 6 108 8 087 7 053 7 351 9990 8765 6 114 7 101 5 061 4 330 8765 7672 6 095 4*085 4 057 4 317 7672 6698 5 069 4*075 4 053 4 327 6698 5835 3 046 3 060 4 045 5 349 5835 5069 3 039 3 036 5 020 6 008 5069 4380 3*021 4 011 6*006 9 011 4380 3769 3*356 5 353 9*346 11 006 3769 3257 4 339 5 349 10 343 13 351 3257 2865 4 335 6 346 10 341 14 336 2865 2596 4 330 6 345 10 340 12 332 2596 2432 4 329 6 345 10 339 10*331 2432 2338 4 330 5 344 8 339 6*331 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography