DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 49.7 - - 48.5 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 64 - - -23 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1215 - - 1803 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3536 - - 4124 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2700 - - 2615 - - 4259 - - 3317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 159 - - 213 - - 19 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 31 - - 13 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 207 - - 208 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -20 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 791 - - 1559 - - -317 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2745 - - 2565 - - 2655 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -432 - - 239 - - -1238 - - -773 ODpotential blCL - - - 3968 - - 3885 - - 3576 - - 3110 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 93 - - 86 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 180 - - 140 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 49.7 - - 48.5 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 46.4 - - 44.8 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 49.3 - - 49.2 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 45.4 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 64 - - -23 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1215 - - 1803 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 71 - - 43 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96170 18 333 22 307 23 337 17 320 96170 89125 14 294 21 314 17 334 17 316 89125 83700 15 310 18 314 17 326 22 314 83700 79179 18 293 18 328 17 297 19 316 79179 75224 22 257 20 271 26 253 21 276 75224 71716 13 251 13 235 13 262 21 263 71716 68540 3 213 9 219 3 007 4 223 68540 65571 21 248 25 248 16 249 3 090 65571 62752 51 242 51 241 49 235 25 244 62752 60011 60 232 60 230 57 237 48 236 60011 57184 49 234 56 238 54 240 51 238 57184 54275 51 242 59 248 54 249 51 247 54275 51506 62 242 67 248 63 254 57 255 51506 49018 68 242 72 247 72 253 65 253 49018 46789 71 247 75 248 80 253 73 249 46789 44765 80 250 83 249 88 252 79 247 44765 42916 91 249 95 247 96 249 84 248 42916 41219 101 247 102 245 101 248 92 249 41219 39657 106 247 105 248 108 250 102 249 39657 38210 111 249 111 252 121 252 111 250 38210 36855 117 250 119 254 133 253 118 249 36855 35552 118 251 122 255 137 252 124 247 35552 34233 116 251 122 254 137 251 127 246 34233 32867 111 250 119 252 135 251 126 245 32867 31456 105 247 116 251 130 251 121 244 31456 29989 100 244 114 252 118 250 117 246 29989 28455 94 244 111 252 106 247 116 248 28455 26855 87 242 106 251 99 245 115 248 26855 25187 81 236 99 249 97 246 114 245 25187 23456 79 231 90 247 93 247 113 244 23456 21671 76 228 79 241 86 246 103 243 21671 19834 72 227 73 235 79 243 87 241 19834 17939 71 226 71 230 74 239 74 237 17939 16022 73 224 70 225 67 236 66 237 16022 14182 75 222 69 223 60 234 64 238 14182 12510 72 222 65 223 55 233 63 237 12510 11024 67 224 59 223 53 231 63 233 11024 9701 62 229 55 223 52 229 63 229 9701 8522 57 232 52 224 50 226 61 226 8522 7471 51 233 48 223 48 221 59 223 7471 6536 46 232 44 221 46 217 56 218 6536 5709 42 227 41 217 44 214 54 213 5709 4974 38 219 40 212 42 211 53 208 4974 4312 36 212 38*210 41 210 52 205 4312 3724 34*206 37*208 39 209 50 203 3724 3230 32*203 35 207 36 208 46 200 3230 2851 30 201 32 206 33 207 40 199 2851 2588 27 200 29 206 28 207 34 198 2588 2429 24 200 26 206 24*208 29 198 2429 2337 14 200 15 206 13*208 15*198 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography