DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 89.0 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 406 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1822 - - 3367 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3349 - - 4615 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4145 - - 5691 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1784 - - 3078 - - - - - 402 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 330 - - 456 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 292 - - - - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8620 - - -7938 - - - - - -5067 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12765 - - 13630 - - - - - 7407 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16500 - - -15068 - - - - - -15328 ODpotential blCL - - - 20645 - - 20759 - - - - - 17667 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 39 - - - - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 89.0 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 37.1 - - - - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 86.3 - - - - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 36.6 - - - - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 406 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1822 - - 3367 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98773 10 190 7 163 7 338 98773 91315 7 171 7 154 4 163 91315 85583 5 162 5 157 4 152 85583 80806 3 158 1 187 4 102 80806 76671 5 153 4 170 1 053 76671 73027 5 126 2 263 4 029 73027 69746 7 104 2 262 7 360 69746 66754 2 063 6 256 6 006 66754 64006 2 025 6 233 8 334 64006 61368 13 298 9 306 10 319 61368 58633 11 284 14 272 20 296 58633 55814 13 290 17 263 28 281 55814 53151 32 286 33 277 37 282 53151 50775 46 274 46 274 45 281 50775 48650 47 267 49 271 49 278 48650 46715 44 273 49 273 47 277 46715 44924 48 281 52 282 45 286 44924 43250 51 284 52 286 46 289 43250 41675 51 284 50 286 48 288 41675 40184 51 285 47 283 47 288 40184 38773 48 285 44 283 44 288 38773 37407 42 281 41 282 41 289 37407 36020 38 277 36 278 38 289 36020 34587 35 276 34 278 37 286 34587 33110 33 279 32 280 37 286 33110 31581 34 283 30 282 39 283 31581 29990 35 290 30 285 39 282 29990 28332 33 292 29 286 34 284 28332 26605 33 286 31 282 31 284 26605 24811 28 282 30 281 29 282 24811 22951 27 269 29 284 27 283 22951 21019 27 260 27 284 23 287 21019 19008 27 264 27 281 20 287 19008 16954 25 268 26 275 18 287 16954 14976 24 266 23 268 16 282 14976 13183 26 260 24 262 14 268 13183 11595 25 258 25 261 12 256 11595 10187 23 262 22 263 10 246 10187 8932 19 266 16 263 9 230 8932 7812 15 267 10 256 9 221 7812 6813 11 269 6 249 8 237 6813 5927 7 276 5*254 7 261 5927 5140 5 294 5*268 7 287 5140 4433 5*308 6 284 9 305 4433 3806 5*309 7 293 11 320 3806 3281 6 308 8 297 14 326 3281 2878 6 308 8 298 16 326 2878 2602 6 307 8 299 14 327 2602 2435 6 307 8 300 11*328 2435 2339 5 307 7 299 4*324 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography