DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 53.5 - - 56.4 - - 56.6 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 19 - - 51 - - 11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 705 - - 1630 - - 1291 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3026 - - 3951 - - 3613 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2010 - - 1702 - - 2179 - - 2579 - - 1338 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 100 - - 184 - - 105 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 244 - - 216 - - 231 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 688 - - 978 - - 524 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 2338 - - 2973 - - 3089 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -519 - - 124 - - 268 - - -152 - - -1501 ODpotential blCL 2857 - - 2902 - - 3683 - - 3765 - - 3839 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 40 - - 140 - - 160 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 53.5 - - 56.4 - - 56.6 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.8 - - 51.2 - - 51.2 - - 50.9 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 53.3 - - 55.9 - - 56.5 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.4 - - 50.9 - - 50.7 - - 50.6 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 19 - - 51 - - 11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 705 - - 1630 - - 1291 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 102 - - 98 - - 101 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96850 45 273 56 281 48 276 54 267 52 281 96850 89679 38 276 46 270 46 277 44 275 39 286 89679 84160 39 280 32 269 38 269 31 282 34 278 84160 79560 34 273 27 278 27 266 23 275 29 270 79560 75573 27 258 26 262 26 264 22 257 25 270 75573 72021 21 247 26 242 26 253 22 249 22 267 72021 68778 23 245 25 231 27 250 20 252 18 256 68778 65771 25 251 24 233 28 241 24 251 16 256 65771 62967 30 254 26 239 30 235 30 249 24 260 62967 60249 32 246 27 238 28 232 34 243 32 254 60249 57415 30 248 28 244 27 243 31 246 32 250 57415 54480 33 257 34 253 34 250 36 257 35 256 54480 51691 43 260 43 257 40 251 44 254 42 256 51691 49194 51 258 48 253 44 253 50 252 46 251 49194 46966 51 256 48 249 50 253 53 250 48 252 46966 44954 46 255 48 247 53 254 53 249 53 253 44954 43118 41 256 46 247 53 251 52 249 54 254 43118 41429 40 262 44 246 48 245 50 250 56 254 41429 39866 42 265 40 247 41 243 48 248 57 254 39866 38416 40 269 36 246 42 238 44 244 57 253 38416 37070 37 271 34 243 44 231 41 244 55 250 37070 35779 34 274 34 241 43 227 41 245 53 247 35779 34469 33 275 35 239 42 225 42 240 53 246 34469 33109 33 277 35 237 41 225 42 234 52 245 33109 31704 31 279 33 237 39 227 40 234 50 244 31704 30244 29 283 32 240 36 234 40 235 47 243 30244 28719 28 284 32 246 35 242 40 236 45 242 28719 27129 26 288 33 250 35 245 38 237 44 240 27129 25473 21 282 33 252 34 245 36 240 43 237 25473 23751 20 260 33 254 33 246 36 242 42 235 23751 21970 21 245 29 257 31 248 34 241 39 236 21970 20125 23 239 24 247 27 246 31 238 34 237 20125 18210 25 228 24 229 25 235 26 236 30 237 18210 16265 21 225 26 231 25 230 22 233 26 235 16265 14395 19 238 24 231 22 232 20 231 21 233 14395 12698 15 242 22 229 20 228 20 221 17 228 12698 11187 11 238 20 226 20 225 19 217 15 225 11187 9841 10 230 19 218 20 219 18 220 14 227 9841 8638 11 216 18 206 19 213 16 221 13 221 8638 7565 13 205 18 198 19 213 15 217 14 207 7565 6611 14 207 17 199 17 217 13 213 14 197 6611 5767 14 216 15 204 14 219 11 212 13 191 5767 5018 12 228 12 213 12 220 9 212 11 192 5018 4344 9 243 8 225 10*217 6 214 11 195 4344 3746 7 252 5 235 8*215 5*221 10 196 3746 3244 6 253 4*241 7 215 4*229 6 200 3244 2858 5 241 3*243 7 216 4 230 2 264 2858 2592 5 229 3 245 6 216 4 233 4 308 2592 2430 3*225 3 243 6 216 3 232 4*318 2430 2338 1*213 2 244 5 217 3 232 3*322 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography