DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 83.7 - - 79.8 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 508 - - 323 - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2517 - - 2700 - - 1424 - - 349 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3945 - - 4161 - - 3096 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4840 - - 5024 - - 3747 - - 2671 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1554 - - 2856 - - 1234 - - 396 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 405 - - 456 - - 317 - - 82 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 299 - - 314 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 2 - - -10 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2507 - - -4396 - - -4560 - - -2625 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7348 - - 9420 - - 8307 - - 5296 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8738 - - -11175 - - -12261 - - -12139 ODpotential blCL - - - 13578 - - 16199 - - 16008 - - 14810 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 40 - - 45 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 83.7 - - 79.8 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 50.5 - - 51.6 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 80.8 - - 77.6 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 50.1 - - 51.4 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 508 - - 323 - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2517 - - 2700 - - 1424 - - 349 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99268 32 104 34 100 39 099 42 114 99268 91773 30 111 29 115 26 099 36 092 91773 86001 30 109 28 120 24 106 29 091 86001 81223 29 106 30 116 27 120 26 107 81223 77111 30 104 28 112 26 122 27 114 77111 73475 30 102 25 108 22 118 24 112 73475 70189 20 109 26 111 20 115 21 117 70189 67196 16 134 21 117 20 117 19 113 67196 64445 14 138 19 134 21 128 17 114 64445 61786 11 133 21 148 19 147 16 140 61786 59026 9 156 23 159 18 153 16 155 59026 56167 19 205 22 194 16 197 10 170 56167 53451 22 182 23 200 21 207 16 222 53451 51044 14 212 20 205 20 214 19 222 51044 48888 23 234 26 220 27 227 23 229 48888 46912 31 228 31 223 34 230 28 232 46912 45083 37 220 35 224 38 232 33 237 45083 43383 41 215 37 225 41 234 37 244 43383 41796 40 214 37 227 41 238 36 247 41796 40305 37 214 34 225 40 240 35 245 40305 38899 33 212 31 223 38 239 35 242 38899 37542 28 214 30 222 35 235 34 238 37542 36166 26 219 28 224 33 230 34 235 36166 34743 26 226 27 226 31 230 32 236 34743 33275 28 236 25 234 29 237 29 238 33275 31748 30 245 25 243 25 241 25 236 31748 30147 28 246 26 245 22 237 23 228 30147 28474 27 247 26 244 23 234 24 227 28474 26730 27 249 23 244 22 228 25 227 26730 24918 25 240 22 240 21 230 24 227 24918 23042 22 231 22 233 20 232 22 229 23042 21097 20 218 20 220 18 225 20 226 21097 19076 20 215 20 212 17 219 18 224 19076 17018 20 215 20 210 18 217 16 227 17018 15037 22 210 23 209 20 216 15 227 15037 13234 27 208 27 209 21 216 13 226 13234 11629 28 208 27 212 20 218 12 225 11629 10202 24 209 21 210 16 215 10 219 10202 8932 18 211 14 200 14 197 11 200 8932 7802 14 216 7 198 10 174 12 186 7802 6799 11 216 4 221 5 183 7 186 6799 5912 8 202 3 237 4 249 3 226 5912 5127 6*198 3*256 6 285 3 293 5127 4421 5*207 4*271 9 300 4 321 4421 3797 5 217 7 296 13*312 8 330 3797 3275 5 225 8 302 14*314 13 326 3275 2875 5 230 9 303 14 314 14*324 2875 2601 5 233 9 303 14 314 13*323 2601 2435 5 234 9 303 13 315 11 322 2435 2339 4 235 8 303 10 315 8 321 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography