DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.4 - - 57.7 - - 63.4 - - 61.8 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 191 - - 277 - - 49 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1798 - - 3346 - - 2563 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3193 - - 4465 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 4120 - - 5668 - - 4885 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 245 - - 1002 - - 760 - - 1717 - - 699 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 287 - - 400 - - 206 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 24 - - 26 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 053 - - 347 - - 034 - - 050 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 4 - - 10 - - 14 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8 - - -1664 - - -1706 - - -2059 - - -2211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2345 - - 5785 - - 7375 - - 6944 - - 4549 sfcLCL ODpotential -9787 - - -8536 - - -7296 - - -7876 - - -10457 ODpotential blCL 12124 - - 12656 - - 12964 - - 12761 - - 12795 blCL maxRH 80 - - 69 - - 85 - - 75 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.4 - - 57.7 - - 63.4 - - 61.8 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 40.6 - - 39.2 - - 39.5 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 56.4 - - 61.5 - - 61.2 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 40.4 - - 38.9 - - 39.4 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 191 - - 277 - - 49 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1798 - - 3346 - - 2563 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 0 - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96914 29 262 36 289 26 268 38 264 49 272 96914 89693 11 286 23 256 21 273 17 286 24 271 89693 84172 14 303 19 255 20 270 15 279 19 267 84172 79565 16 289 16 259 22 261 18 274 21 267 79565 75567 14 271 10 254 19 248 21 271 22 266 75567 72012 12 296 6 233 16 232 19 256 21 267 72012 68778 18 276 10 252 18 242 21 257 20 272 68778 65798 24 260 18 256 24 249 26 263 21 271 65798 63028 24 264 19 253 25 246 28 258 22 270 63028 60329 27 274 20 265 23 246 28 252 25 265 60329 57499 31 274 23 259 25 251 28 261 26 257 57499 54567 33 267 26 259 28 254 31 266 27 254 54567 51782 37 259 30 260 29 254 32 260 30 260 51782 49294 34 258 32 262 34 259 35 257 31 258 49294 47085 38 268 37 263 39 256 36 254 31 260 47085 45101 39 269 38 264 35 257 36 255 35 255 45101 43320 35 269 42 271 39 271 46 261 46 250 43320 41707 38 284 50 267 56 263 54 254 53 248 41707 40207 46 281 47 268 54 255 49 248 48 243 40207 38794 43 282 45 268 45 252 45 245 41 234 38794 37460 45 284 40 266 41 261 38 249 37 232 37460 36168 47 289 38 272 40 264 30 257 32 231 36168 34855 47 293 37 276 38 265 28 262 28 235 34855 33493 42 299 36 276 36 267 27 268 27 239 33493 32084 39 308 32 273 33 271 29 263 26 243 32084 30616 40 318 31 275 30 276 30 259 25 247 30616 29079 31 301 32 282 29 272 29 254 23 243 29079 27475 34 278 33 285 32 260 29 243 25 228 27475 25804 34 278 31 286 33 260 27 245 24 226 25804 24068 29 278 28 280 31 267 27 251 22 235 24068 22268 27 272 27 274 30 272 30 255 20 252 22268 20401 26 269 25 273 28 271 27 264 18 273 20401 18460 23 273 23 274 25 270 24 270 15 274 18460 16483 24 277 22 275 21 272 20 270 10 261 16483 14577 24 279 20 276 16 275 13 271 5 245 14577 12843 23 284 18 279 12 282 7 287 2 227 12843 11299 20 293 16 284 11 292 6 328 1 153 11299 9922 15 297 12 285 9 290 7 346 2 127 9922 8695 11 300 8 278 7 277 6 328 2 128 8695 7602 7 308 5 268 5 261 4 290 2 133 7602 6635 4 329 2 238 2 254 3 273 2 105 6635 5781 2 015 2 220 1*327 2 283 2 064 5781 5025 1 066 3 242 1*004 1*353 2 003 5025 4348 1 173 2*272 2 023 3*040 3 347 4348 3747 2 192 2*325 3 034 5 049 2 031 3747 3245 3 189 2 347 3 038 5 051 4 067 3245 2858 2 167 2 350 4 040 5 052 6 064 2858 2592 2 072 2 354 4 042 5 053 7 058 2592 2430 3 047 2 354 3 041 5 053 6*056 2430 2338 3*053 2 356 3 042 5 053 4*059 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography