DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/21 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.4 - - 83.1 - - 80.4 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 417 - - 234 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2471 - - 4890 - - 2655 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3853 - - 5816 - - 3898 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4794 - - 7212 - - 4978 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1320 - - 1364 - - 2240 - - 851 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 377 - - 523 - - 353 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 15 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 355 - - 333 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 12 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9265 - - -7828 - - -7794 - - -6260 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14059 - - 15041 - - 12772 - - 8599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15984 - - -13675 - - -12691 - - -13155 ODpotential blCL - - - 20778 - - 20887 - - 17669 - - 15494 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 54 - - 53 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.4 - - 83.1 - - 80.4 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.0 - - 24.8 - - 32.6 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 80.5 - - 78.7 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.0 - - 23.8 - - 31.6 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 417 - - 234 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2471 - - 4890 - - 2655 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98289 17 104 10 142 6 174 9 048 98289 90829 7 123 9 162 7 124 6 077 90829 85089 9 172 5 117 10 111 6 108 85089 80337 8 156 7 107 8 086 10 090 80337 76243 4 147 6 052 9 080 10 078 76243 72628 4 184 2 326 6 057 7 069 72628 69364 4 262 4 206 2 273 2 054 69364 66369 6 242 7 244 7 263 4 305 66369 63601 6 273 7 232 11 248 8 269 63601 60930 7 275 10 254 14 265 11 277 60930 58160 15 286 16 261 23 263 23 273 58160 55305 26 280 23 262 28 263 28 267 55305 52587 36 282 30 277 34 273 33 267 52587 50137 43 283 41 277 43 272 40 267 50137 47942 49 282 47 278 49 274 50 267 47942 45958 53 284 54 278 56 275 58 270 45958 44152 60 286 60 278 61 275 66 271 44152 42496 65 288 64 281 66 274 72 271 42496 40952 66 289 65 282 69 273 74 270 40952 39495 63 288 64 280 67 274 70 270 39495 38115 60 288 61 280 63 272 67 271 38115 36782 58 289 60 280 61 273 65 270 36782 35429 55 287 58 281 58 275 62 270 35429 34030 54 285 54 281 55 274 58 270 34030 32587 55 284 53 281 52 273 55 271 32587 31086 53 287 51 283 50 275 53 272 31086 29517 46 288 45 284 49 276 52 273 29517 27884 39 282 39 280 45 279 48 274 27884 26187 35 284 36 279 40 278 39 273 26187 24430 30 286 33 279 34 279 33 274 24430 22612 27 285 30 279 31 284 29 280 22612 20726 23 289 24 286 24 286 24 284 20726 18764 19 298 18 298 17 294 19 279 18764 16763 17 311 15 309 12 308 13 278 16763 14833 14 321 13 310 10 316 10 286 14833 13072 12 318 11 308 11 313 10 300 13072 11503 11 310 10 313 12 315 12 310 11503 10103 11 313 8 322 12 324 13 325 10103 8855 9 329 5 336 8 328 13 331 8855 7742 9 347 4*353 4 349 10 329 7742 6752 8 356 5*357 4 020 7 341 6752 5877 6 356 5 356 4 017 7 009 5877 5101 6*006 6 357 5*002 8 015 5101 4404 6*014 6 355 8*344 10 003 4404 3785 6 017 7 353 10 334 14 346 3785 3268 6 017 7 354 11 332 17 331 3268 2872 6 019 7 353 11 330 16 324 2872 2599 6 019 7 353 11 330 13 322 2599 2434 5 018 7 352 11 330 11*321 2434 2339 5 019 6 352 9 329 6*320 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography