DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 83.9 - - 76.1 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 289 - - 415 - - 225 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1671 - - 3104 - - 1139 - - 119 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3244 - - 4417 - - 2791 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3994 - - 5427 - - 3462 - - 2441 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1176 - - 2317 - - 659 - - 370 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 447 - - 261 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 280 - - 306 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 9 - - -10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6653 - - -6360 - - -5990 - - -4047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10647 - - 11787 - - 9452 - - 6488 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15339 - - -14166 - - -14829 - - -15097 ODpotential blCL - - - 19333 - - 19593 - - 18291 - - 17538 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 48 - - 36 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 83.9 - - 76.1 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.5 - - 40.3 - - 43.0 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.9 - - 81.4 - - 74.5 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.2 - - 40.0 - - 42.9 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 289 - - 415 - - 225 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1671 - - 3104 - - 1139 - - 119 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98745 7 223 4 188 3 183 1 288 98745 91347 13 184 6 186 9 177 8 190 91347 85616 8 158 6 173 6 213 2 090 85616 80830 1 131 3 130 9 179 3 337 80830 76713 1 217 1 074 3 089 2 098 76713 73086 2 251 1 344 8 033 7 107 73086 69819 4 210 7 266 11 351 11 073 69819 66830 0 176 5 224 6 320 8 038 66830 64079 5 240 9 262 13 298 14 324 64079 61449 7 289 10 250 13 258 16 294 61449 58720 16 291 15 275 13 243 18 256 58720 55889 22 275 25 271 26 265 26 270 55889 53210 29 265 34 265 41 274 39 274 53210 50820 38 278 40 269 48 272 46 274 50820 48670 51 281 45 265 53 263 52 271 48670 46704 52 278 51 264 58 260 56 267 46704 44890 52 272 57 264 63 260 63 264 44890 43206 50 267 56 261 65 263 67 262 43206 41629 47 265 54 256 64 262 67 261 41629 40141 47 266 54 256 61 261 63 261 40141 38736 47 268 54 260 57 259 59 259 38736 37377 47 269 54 262 57 258 57 257 37377 35999 47 266 54 260 56 258 54 257 35999 34571 48 263 55 257 54 257 52 256 34571 33097 49 261 55 253 53 257 51 255 33097 31567 46 257 51 249 49 256 51 258 31567 29971 41 259 46 254 47 256 50 259 29971 28308 39 261 46 258 46 257 49 255 28308 26573 40 258 44 256 46 257 49 252 26573 24768 39 251 43 250 44 254 47 252 24768 22897 36 242 41 243 44 250 45 251 22897 20956 33 234 40 239 44 246 42 249 20956 18938 31 230 36 238 40 246 38 250 18938 16891 28 236 30 242 31 250 31 257 16891 14926 25 246 25 252 22 263 26 272 14926 13140 21 253 20 264 18 277 23 279 13140 11551 16 251 16 265 16 276 18 276 11551 10137 11 243 12 255 12 260 13 261 10137 8881 9 230 10 237 10 239 10 242 8881 7764 10 219 8 219 8 214 8 225 7764 6770 10 215 7 211 8 209 7 211 6770 5889 9 215 5*212 8 218 7 217 5889 5107 8 217 4*231 8 238 7 237 5107 4404 6*233 4 257 8 257 7 257 4404 3783 5*261 7 284 12*297 9 293 3783 3264 5 271 7 289 15*305 15 312 3264 2868 5 273 8 290 15 306 18 315 2868 2597 5 276 8 291 15 306 15*315 2597 2433 5 277 8 292 14 306 12*315 2433 2338 5 277 7 291 10 306 7 312 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography