DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 69.5 - - 67.0 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 94 - - 7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1229 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 3551 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 593 - - 4327 - - 4667 - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 209 - - 23 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 191 - - 137 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6314 - - -6173 - - -4538 - - -1210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8652 - - 9725 - - 6876 - - 3548 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11110 - - -9244 - - -6842 - - -5807 ODpotential blCL - - - 13448 - - 12795 - - 9180 - - 8145 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 31 - - 81 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 120 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 69.5 - - 67.0 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.3 - - 35.1 - - 45.1 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 68.7 - - 67.2 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 33.9 - - 44.2 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 94 - - 7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1229 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96124 8 311 14 336 3 001 4 215 96124 89084 19 067 3 064 9 016 13 050 89084 83649 14 060 3 113 2 055 7 023 83649 79119 7 043 6 097 6 080 4 090 79119 75207 6 084 7 096 8 070 11 082 75207 71764 8 114 6 153 6 073 9 090 71764 68651 7 145 1 162 7 086 5 145 68651 65770 9 126 5 204 6 115 7 171 65770 63079 12 101 7 152 9 157 7 176 63079 60456 12 097 8 146 14 175 8 197 60456 57710 10 098 10 140 16 176 12 179 57710 54856 9 106 14 121 16 172 14 173 54856 52116 10 123 12 114 15 157 15 191 52116 49624 12 128 8 130 12 146 18 188 49624 47374 11 144 11 168 9 162 16 174 47374 45326 12 158 12 154 13 198 10 174 45326 43447 24 145 20 162 18 181 13 181 43447 41718 35 143 29 160 22 161 21 180 41718 40117 44 148 44 158 30 160 31 169 40117 38625 60 150 65 151 46 164 34 162 38625 37242 71 147 76 146 67 156 49 159 37242 35934 74 138 77 143 76 149 69 153 35934 34628 72 133 75 142 72 145 72 150 34628 33280 68 136 72 141 67 145 70 150 33280 31886 60 142 70 141 62 146 66 148 31886 30432 59 146 70 141 59 146 57 147 30432 28909 60 146 69 140 56 147 54 145 28909 27319 58 143 66 142 50 148 51 145 27319 25662 56 142 59 143 43 150 44 150 25662 23943 51 146 49 145 39 153 38 160 23943 22163 41 153 40 149 38 154 33 166 22163 20317 36 157 36 152 37 149 33 157 20317 18398 33 157 34 152 35 147 36 151 18398 16444 30 158 33 153 33 152 31 153 16444 14563 26 161 29 155 28 157 23 160 14563 12851 22 163 24 159 21 163 17 161 12851 11324 19 163 20 166 16 171 14 170 11324 9961 17 158 17 171 12 180 13 174 9961 8742 16 154 13 170 11 189 13 174 8742 7655 14 159 10 172 10 192 12 179 7655 6686 13 173 10 181 8 194 10 187 6686 5827 14 187 10 191 7 195 10 198 5827 5064 15 197 12 197 7 190 10 204 5064 4378 15 202 12 198 8 178 12 204 4378 3769 14 204 12*196 8 165 12 200 3769 3259 13 199 11*192 7 152 11 192 3259 2867 13 193 10 191 6 145 10 179 2867 2596 11 190 9 191 6 142 8 161 2596 2432 8 191 8 191 5 139 5*140 2432 2338 4*187 7 190 4*137 2*104 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography