DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.9 - - 62.6 - - - - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 107 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 306 - - 1141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 2322 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2627 - - 3463 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 602 - - 1271 - - - - - 637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 87 - - 208 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 14 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 348 - - - - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -307 - - 270 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2934 - - 3194 - - - - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4875 - - -1397 - - - - - -8773 ODpotential blCL - - - 7502 - - 4860 - - - - - 11111 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 90 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.9 - - 62.6 - - - - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 56.6 - - - - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 61.7 - - - - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 56.0 - - - - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 107 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 306 - - 1141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 61 - - - - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96381 16 048 12 046 5 350 96381 89379 9 035 11 027 9 071 89379 83930 8 005 9 315 9 030 83930 79369 6 008 5 000 10 000 79369 75413 8 045 7 332 12 015 75413 71902 14 016 4 352 12 329 71902 68748 10 320 10 306 3 013 68748 65836 23 309 27 297 18 026 65836 63134 35 316 32 288 35 312 63134 60564 40 295 34 285 43 296 60564 57904 41 282 37 291 43 294 57904 55128 41 282 47 298 46 301 55128 52451 60 283 61 298 61 308 52451 50018 77 281 82 291 77 305 50018 47829 78 282 90 285 83 293 47829 45845 78 290 86 284 83 288 45845 44039 87 292 85 289 77 292 44039 42388 95 294 86 297 66 300 42388 40862 98 296 84 301 60 304 40862 39428 96 296 81 302 55 307 39428 38073 92 296 77 301 50 308 38073 36763 86 298 71 301 50 311 36763 35432 83 305 66 301 51 314 35432 34050 79 310 57 310 52 316 34050 32623 73 312 55 307 53 315 32623 31138 73 317 52 308 53 314 31138 29582 68 317 51 319 50 317 29582 27955 58 309 50 322 48 312 27955 26253 62 298 50 316 47 307 26253 24480 64 299 54 309 48 303 24480 22638 63 303 57 306 51 302 22638 20726 59 306 57 306 53 306 20726 18739 54 307 56 310 53 313 18739 16718 48 311 55 313 51 320 16718 14773 43 316 52 316 50 324 14773 13003 37 316 46 318 47 325 13003 11430 31 314 39 318 42 325 11430 10030 27 312 35 317 38 324 10030 8782 22 311 31 320 37 325 8782 7672 18 314 27 327 36 326 7672 6685 16 321 25 336 34 327 6685 5816 16 331 25 341 28 327 5816 5048 18 336 25 340 20 329 5048 4361 20 337 23 341 14 338 4361 3755 20 337 20*345 11 353 3755 3250 19 336 16*348 10 004 3250 2861 16*334 15 348 8 009 2861 2593 12*333 14 348 5 017 2593 2431 10 332 13 348 3*026 2431 2338 6 332 9 348 2*018 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography