DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 57.6 - - - - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 151 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 541 - - 2005 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3297 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2863 - - 4326 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 355 - - 863 - - - - - 1076 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 144 - - 288 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 018 - - - - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3481 - - -2867 - - - - - -2359 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6344 - - 7193 - - - - - 4697 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11207 - - -9130 - - - - - -9366 ODpotential blCL - - - 14070 - - 13456 - - - - - 11704 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 58 - - - - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 57.6 - - - - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 34.5 - - - - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 56.6 - - - - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 33.3 - - - - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 151 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 541 - - 2005 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96326 26 302 25 291 28 307 96326 89229 17 310 14 298 14 288 89229 83754 8 336 6 312 9 302 83754 79209 7 339 4 290 9 341 79209 75280 6 323 6 325 6 003 75280 71794 2 278 6 247 11 320 71794 68633 12 351 4 300 9 315 68633 65705 17 327 10 318 7 297 65705 62969 16 302 9 295 7 315 62969 60298 23 315 11 324 10 339 60298 57488 23 308 17 316 15 338 57488 54570 15 291 19 320 16 343 54570 51795 19 347 22 332 15 337 51795 49302 33 348 25 355 24 027 49302 47066 33 332 38 011 46 042 47066 45053 31 353 50 006 75 023 45053 43243 46 019 52 011 78 017 43243 41595 67 019 69 025 81 026 41595 40081 75 019 83 026 93 036 40081 38670 71 025 85 025 102 039 38670 37337 77 039 85 029 104 041 37337 36045 92 045 88 033 105 044 36045 34733 89 039 91 036 104 045 34733 33375 86 029 90 035 98 044 33375 31975 87 026 86 032 95 042 31975 30517 82 023 81 029 91 040 30517 28988 74 020 76 028 86 041 28988 27389 69 019 71 027 81 043 27389 25719 66 020 67 026 73 038 25719 23981 58 017 65 025 65 030 23981 22178 54 005 65 024 62 025 22178 20309 55 359 62 020 57 026 20309 18369 47 002 57 014 53 029 18369 16396 41 009 52 009 49 033 16396 14497 42 007 49 003 41 035 14497 12770 40 010 40 004 31 037 12770 11235 38 022 34 017 24 039 11235 9868 33 032 28 030 20 039 9868 8653 24 040 20 034 17 035 8653 7571 15 048 13 025 15 031 7571 6610 8 053 12 008 15 031 6610 5762 4 049 13 008 17 028 5762 5010 4 027 14 008 20 021 5010 4337 6 018 11*012 22 015 4337 3740 9 019 9*016 22 011 3740 3240 10*021 9 017 19 011 3240 2856 9*023 9 018 14 012 2856 2591 6 028 8 019 10 015 2591 2430 5 029 7 019 7*016 2430 2338 4 030 6 020 4*016 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography