DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 55.5 - - 61.6 - - 56.3 - - 45.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 11 - - 58 - - -8 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 117 - - 342 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2439 - - 2664 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 121 - - 224 - - 408 - - 370 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 53 - - 118 - - 13 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 100 - - 085 - - 089 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2816 - - -1904 - - -1645 - - -1111 - - -843 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 4344 - - 4309 - - 3449 - - 3180 sfcLCL ODpotential -12913 - - -10012 - - -7897 - - -8518 - - -11054 ODpotential blCL 15251 - - 12451 - - 10561 - - 10856 - - 13391 blCL maxRH 44 - - 58 - - 65 - - 70 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 55.5 - - 61.6 - - 56.3 - - 45.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.8 - - 45.0 - - 51.0 - - 49.4 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 55.5 - - 61.0 - - 57.0 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 43.8 - - 49.7 - - 48.5 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 11 - - 58 - - -8 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 117 - - 342 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 10 065 11 033 0 270 7 262 9 278 96287 89246 10 070 7 046 5 060 3 101 9 092 89246 83788 8 084 2 305 6 011 1 334 10 058 83788 79224 8 080 6 228 7 329 4 308 10 025 79224 75277 10 009 5 273 10 329 8 024 6 003 75277 71786 8 356 11 296 15 314 12 358 8 012 71786 68620 5 329 13 302 17 306 15 327 13 356 68620 65708 10 332 15 313 19 304 19 315 15 347 65708 63005 17 326 18 318 19 304 20 306 17 338 63005 60388 19 316 20 315 18 320 22 303 18 322 60388 57664 24 312 24 316 20 319 23 296 21 304 57664 54838 31 307 28 316 22 313 22 294 24 294 54838 52135 32 298 34 313 29 304 28 298 32 292 52135 49694 32 293 35 306 34 299 33 293 32 291 49694 47506 26 285 26 301 32 291 33 288 34 290 47506 45525 15 283 23 289 20 288 30 286 30 286 45525 43716 11 328 12 252 16 260 26 266 25 281 43716 42056 8 327 5 183 16 202 19 238 28 258 42056 40526 9 200 8 145 14 178 16 245 23 239 40526 39101 21 187 9 175 13 224 22 254 19 242 39101 37767 27 171 19 197 20 227 31 244 25 256 37767 36480 30 163 25 189 23 222 31 242 29 257 36480 35171 26 154 28 175 23 218 28 242 29 258 35171 33811 24 140 28 162 22 219 28 246 27 255 33811 32402 21 148 26 172 22 215 28 249 25 248 32402 30932 24 168 28 181 24 207 24 246 25 242 30932 29389 28 181 31 187 25 204 23 230 22 241 29389 27776 27 189 30 194 28 204 25 224 23 226 27776 26093 23 202 26 201 29 202 24 229 23 225 26093 24342 20 211 22 205 29 203 22 228 21 227 24342 22528 19 219 19 206 26 199 20 224 17 227 22528 20650 12 225 17 214 20 201 14 230 7 214 20650 18700 4 243 13 215 12 230 7 280 4 074 18700 16709 11 329 10 314 13 332 11 349 5 030 16709 14784 17 336 18 341 18 351 13 000 12 007 14784 13028 19 344 19 349 18 000 13 004 16 011 13028 11461 19 350 18 355 16 006 13 010 17 017 11461 10062 17 354 17 001 14 011 13 017 18 021 10062 8813 15 001 15 009 13 016 12 021 17 022 8813 7700 13 009 13 018 11 022 11 024 15 022 7700 6712 11 021 10 029 9 029 10 026 14 023 6712 5840 11 024 8 035 7 033 9 026 12 024 5840 5069 11 026 7 040 7 038 10 030 12 027 5069 4377 12 031 7 041 6 043 10 035 12 030 4377 3763 12 034 6 042 6 044 10 035 11 027 3763 3251 11 035 6 066 4 065 8 037 10 030 3251 2859 11 049 7 097 4*084 7 063 9 053 2859 2591 10 065 8*104 4*084 7 083 9 080 2591 2430 8*076 7*102 4 085 6 087 8 094 2430 2337 5*089 4 098 4 085 4*089 4*104 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography