DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.2 - - 36.9 - - 41.8 - - 38.1 - - 33.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 69 - - 99 - - -26 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1029 - - 1826 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 2933 - - 3521 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 4022 - - 4819 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 820 - - 1314 - - 1698 - - 2549 - - 425 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 174 - - 236 - - 8 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 312 - - 318 - - 306 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -7 - - -7 - - -5 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -95 - - -580 - - -1513 - - -614 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2949 - - 4117 - - 5400 - - 4465 - - 3564 sfcLCL ODpotential -2488 - - -2732 - - -3019 - - -4302 - - -4694 ODpotential blCL 5438 - - 6754 - - 7838 - - 7253 - - 7644 blCL maxRH 91 - - 80 - - 71 - - 66 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.2 - - 36.9 - - 41.8 - - 38.1 - - 33.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 29.5 - - 28.6 - - 29.2 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.0 - - 36.2 - - 40.8 - - 39.7 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.2 - - 28.5 - - 27.8 - - 28.8 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 69 - - 99 - - -26 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1029 - - 1826 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97451 66 089 63 087 68 090 68 090 54 088 97451 90279 73 087 68 089 71 088 70 095 60 088 90279 84672 77 089 67 093 62 088 63 087 64 088 84672 79953 71 090 65 093 54 092 55 084 60 079 79953 75842 59 090 58 092 51 093 51 090 51 082 75842 72157 43 084 45 092 42 086 44 091 46 085 72157 68784 31 077 33 083 31 076 34 085 40 076 68784 65694 23 055 22 060 23 049 26 055 31 059 65694 62856 24 030 14 032 20 042 23 032 20 043 62856 60117 26 013 20 014 16 028 15 002 17 033 60117 57260 32 357 26 009 20 019 26 012 23 018 57260 54302 31 347 32 006 30 004 32 002 35 004 54302 51501 31 344 35 358 30 359 42 358 39 355 51501 49008 30 338 35 359 38 359 42 359 43 011 49008 46795 35 349 41 002 42 003 46 013 58 013 46795 44803 45 356 50 000 46 013 61 014 73 013 44803 42990 52 358 55 003 56 012 72 013 81 022 42990 41328 57 000 57 010 65 011 85 018 104 015 41328 39795 61 001 64 017 74 012 100 020 112 011 39795 38364 63 001 76 017 81 017 105 019 107 016 38364 37016 64 002 84 014 92 023 103 022 104 021 37016 35715 66 003 87 016 102 024 106 027 110 027 35715 34399 63 004 93 022 102 024 115 029 115 029 34399 33036 62 009 103 025 100 025 119 027 114 027 33036 31631 63 012 107 025 103 025 119 026 113 025 31631 30173 66 012 105 025 104 021 110 024 113 026 30173 28651 56 015 98 027 104 022 97 019 109 025 28651 27067 52 015 93 026 99 024 90 016 102 024 27067 25421 42 009 86 021 90 024 72 017 95 025 25421 23717 35 012 63 020 84 023 63 014 84 019 23717 21957 36 018 47 019 78 023 62 013 78 015 21957 20138 33 020 32 013 59 022 61 016 63 015 20138 18264 30 019 24 022 38 021 50 020 48 014 18264 16373 27 017 25 031 28 023 33 019 34 010 16373 14564 27 022 27 032 25 035 23 016 25 006 14564 12924 22 023 24 035 22 036 18 016 21 006 12924 11466 15 036 21 041 20 025 16 017 19 010 11466 10166 14 052 17 044 16 019 16 015 19 012 10166 9007 17 052 14 042 13 014 16 010 18 011 9007 7976 17 047 12 038 12 007 16 000 16 005 7976 7059 15 034 11 028 13 357 16 352 16 359 7059 6247 13 014 11 009 14 345 17 343 16 352 6247 5527 12 353 11 349 15 332 18 335 15 348 5527 4880 13 335 12 331 15*320 19 325 16 345 4880 4304 14 324 13*322 15*318 18 318 16 339 4304 3822 15 316 13*313 14 317 17 315 16 328 3822 3451 16 307 12 312 14 318 16 314 14 315 3451 3195 14 298 12 312 13 318 13 312 13 302 3195 3038 11*294 11 312 12 319 11*310 11*292 3038 2949 7*288 9 313 10 319 6*306 7*281 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography