DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.6 - - 42.6 - - 50.7 - - 47.3 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - -1 - - 27 - - -3 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 302 - - 837 - - 397 - - 98 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 32 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 134 - - 080 - - 111 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4137 - - -3773 - - -4994 - - -4356 - - -2761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7087 - - 6725 - - 7945 - - 7307 - - 5712 sfcLCL ODpotential -17783 - - -14541 - - -13339 - - -13357 - - -12635 ODpotential blCL 20733 - - 17492 - - 16290 - - 16308 - - 15586 blCL maxRH 79 - - 95 - - 93 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.6 - - 42.6 - - 50.7 - - 47.3 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.1 - - 24.3 - - 26.9 - - 26.4 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.6 - - 42.9 - - 50.2 - - 49.4 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.5 - - 23.2 - - 26.2 - - 25.4 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - -1 - - 27 - - -3 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 78 - - 71 - - 102 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96401 35 034 28 017 26 042 22 011 30 350 96401 89520 25 008 22 012 20 021 17 024 21 336 89520 84166 21 026 20 022 14 017 20 354 13 334 84166 79641 12 031 13 020 11 346 18 339 17 326 79641 75676 8 000 11 353 10 331 13 343 13 330 75676 72132 3 313 12 342 10 329 11 305 12 293 72132 68912 13 306 9 314 13 309 13 335 16 297 68912 65969 11 314 13 311 19 301 25 301 22 309 65969 63253 10 325 15 300 22 281 22 293 23 302 63253 60616 20 316 15 311 23 280 28 271 35 286 60616 57888 24 300 26 299 30 277 40 273 48 282 57888 55062 30 306 33 296 42 281 47 278 51 281 55062 52337 40 300 42 285 46 279 48 285 57 288 52337 49863 40 299 43 283 46 278 63 292 68 287 49863 47627 39 304 43 289 57 289 72 285 69 284 47627 45580 45 308 50 293 64 284 70 281 70 284 45580 43691 51 305 61 291 64 284 69 287 74 287 43691 41942 48 292 58 287 65 285 76 290 79 289 41942 40319 40 283 58 289 67 282 80 286 84 289 40319 38812 60 310 67 290 69 281 75 278 86 286 38812 37417 60 307 69 288 73 281 70 274 87 283 37417 36097 52 303 68 285 71 276 67 274 87 283 36097 34780 45 305 66 284 64 270 63 275 84 284 34780 33435 43 302 62 284 61 266 59 273 81 286 33435 32058 43 300 54 284 61 269 57 268 80 285 32058 30626 44 296 44 280 59 272 59 264 84 285 30626 29126 44 292 43 279 54 271 63 266 84 285 29126 27562 41 286 42 280 46 265 63 274 71 285 27562 25933 38 278 40 281 39 266 56 277 63 285 25933 24241 34 274 37 283 36 270 44 275 57 284 24241 22486 33 273 36 282 35 275 38 274 49 279 22486 20666 34 273 35 278 38 285 37 280 43 274 20666 18773 31 271 35 272 40 291 36 289 40 273 18773 16847 31 266 35 267 39 292 35 294 39 276 16847 14994 32 264 34 267 38 289 35 294 38 281 14994 13306 32 265 32 269 38 284 35 289 36 287 13306 11800 30 266 29 268 36 279 33 284 37 291 11800 10458 27 266 26 264 31 272 31 284 38 293 10458 9258 22 263 22 265 26 270 29 281 35 291 9258 8185 17 263 19 267 23 275 25 276 31 288 8185 7230 15 265 18 268 20 280 22 271 27 283 7230 6382 13 265 17 267 18 278 20 264 26 276 6382 5628 13 262 17 261 14 271 18 254 24 266 5628 4951 12 252 15 252 10 262 16 242 22 255 4951 4351 11 232 13 232 6 236 13 223 19 239 4351 3849 11 201 12 201 4 187 11 194 16 218 3849 3464 13 178 11 178 3 150 10 171 13 195 3464 3201 11 174 9 164 2 098 6 153 9 184 3201 3041 7*174 7*151 2*088 4*140 5*179 3041 2950 2*182 4*134 2*080 2*111 2*174 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography