DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1859z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.2 - - 60.7 - - 66.9 - - 67.6 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 331 - - 376 - - 99 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3023 - - 4632 - - 4518 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2955 - - 4956 - - 6243 - - 5432 - - 2956 Hcrit BL Top 2973 - - 6016 - - 7625 - - 7511 - - 2974 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1636 - - 1619 - - 1451 - - 1974 - - 257 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 411 - - 495 - - 315 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 322 - - 335 - - 344 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -9 - - -11 - - -7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6336 - - -5139 - - -5041 - - -4926 - - -6901 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9309 - - 11156 - - 12667 - - 12438 - - 9876 sfcLCL ODpotential -17174 - - -13726 - - -12380 - - -11584 - - -15129 ODpotential blCL 20147 - - 19742 - - 20005 - - 19095 - - 18103 blCL maxRH 42 - - 36 - - 36 - - 43 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.2 - - 60.7 - - 66.9 - - 67.6 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.3 - - 22.2 - - 21.6 - - 23.3 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.0 - - 58.6 - - 64.7 - - 66.6 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.1 - - 22.1 - - 21.5 - - 23.2 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 331 - - 376 - - 99 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3023 - - 4632 - - 4518 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98131 19 287 14 307 12 271 8 268 20 278 98131 90750 15 285 13 284 19 274 18 278 20 281 90750 85035 19 300 22 280 23 281 22 282 21 290 85035 80292 15 303 19 256 25 273 26 290 23 290 80292 76223 20 308 19 276 21 265 24 283 20 293 76223 72629 26 301 21 286 20 280 24 290 19 303 72629 69372 25 297 17 282 20 282 25 290 21 308 69372 66380 24 297 19 293 21 285 25 292 24 311 66380 63616 26 304 24 304 23 291 24 288 25 311 63616 60950 29 305 25 310 21 302 19 295 26 305 60950 58154 31 298 31 310 29 313 25 306 25 313 58154 55244 35 297 38 304 42 306 40 313 39 321 55244 52490 40 301 42 302 48 297 49 300 44 306 52490 50017 42 306 41 304 42 283 40 289 39 296 50017 47785 46 313 37 310 30 279 29 319 41 323 47785 45757 52 314 41 324 39 331 60 336 57 328 45757 43913 56 315 54 329 68 332 72 328 64 324 43913 42225 62 317 68 326 76 325 67 320 61 321 42225 40667 67 318 75 321 72 318 58 317 55 320 40667 39214 71 317 75 315 66 313 54 318 51 325 39214 37849 73 314 73 311 61 312 53 325 51 336 37849 36536 74 314 72 312 57 315 53 333 57 344 36536 35211 75 318 71 315 56 320 54 339 59 347 35211 33843 74 322 69 319 55 326 54 342 56 345 33843 32431 71 328 66 324 56 331 51 341 51 342 32431 30962 68 335 64 331 55 333 48 335 46 337 30962 29424 67 342 64 338 54 335 44 330 43 332 29424 27819 66 346 64 342 53 339 42 329 42 330 27819 26149 63 348 61 344 51 343 41 333 41 331 26149 24416 57 346 59 343 47 341 40 336 39 334 24416 22625 53 342 57 343 45 335 37 336 38 334 22625 20772 50 340 55 343 45 331 38 336 35 332 20772 18851 41 340 52 340 44 331 39 337 33 336 18851 16899 28 337 51 342 43 337 37 344 32 347 16899 15023 23 334 38 343 39 347 32 354 28 001 15023 13323 22 331 26 336 29 347 25 358 18 008 13323 11816 22 328 22 331 24 341 19 355 12 003 11816 10477 22 325 20 331 22 345 16 000 10 005 10477 9284 19 324 19 334 18 349 16 003 11 016 9284 8220 17 325 17 335 17*347 16*003 14 011 8220 7271 15 326 15 330 17*344 16*356 16 005 7271 6427 15 328 15*325 16 337 16 348 18 000 6427 5676 15 332 15*322 16 334 16 345 19 356 5676 4999 17 332 15 320 16 333 15 342 19 352 4999 4396 19 327 15 321 15 333 15 340 19 349 4396 3890 21 314 15 322 15 333 14 338 18 345 3890 3499 20 301 14 323 14 333 14 338 15 337 3499 3230 17 293 13 324 13 333 13 337 12 324 3230 3066 15*291 12 325 13 333 12 337 9*308 3066 2973 11*290 11 326 11 334 11 337 7*292 2973 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography