DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 51.9 - - 55.3 - - 52.3 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 4 - - 57 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2189 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2952 - - 5182 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 816 - - 3191 - - 3045 - - 3577 - - 1517 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 18 - - 210 - - 8 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 283 - - 221 - - 037 - - 049 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -5 - - 11 - - 4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -274 - - -1121 - - 342 - - -234 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3226 - - 4073 - - 4840 - - 3185 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential -3022 - - -2705 - - -590 - - -1549 - - -2204 ODpotential blCL 5973 - - 5657 - - 5772 - - 4500 - - 5155 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 92 - - 94 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 120 - - 240 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 51.9 - - 55.3 - - 52.3 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.7 - - 44.1 - - 44.1 - - 48.3 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 51.7 - - 54.6 - - 53.4 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 43.5 - - 43.5 - - 47.4 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 4 - - 57 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2189 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 100 - - 68 - - 74 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96615 19 043 18 042 21 045 18 059 12 075 96615 89538 19 040 17 060 12 051 19 049 17 072 89538 84039 14 069 16 068 13 060 10 055 16 050 84039 79450 17 074 14 080 10 030 9 082 14 028 79450 75469 11 048 14 084 3 055 9 069 12 039 75469 71922 9 012 9 062 6 117 7 001 13 062 71922 68692 4 344 7 011 8 118 6 308 11 045 68692 65716 1 213 6 335 5 076 1 229 13 340 65716 62951 4 175 7 279 7 322 2 039 8 323 62951 60261 5 159 7 252 9 302 6 316 2 285 60261 57436 10 205 6 297 11 311 5 329 3 254 57436 54488 16 221 12 256 12 270 10 302 9 299 54488 51671 13 223 10 229 8 267 10 278 12 297 51671 49141 7 235 12 243 10 269 8 289 8 291 49141 46878 10 251 17 237 14 241 12 293 7 290 46878 44825 12 245 16 225 15 227 12 276 6 284 44825 42947 15 227 14 211 16 210 10 257 9 284 42947 41214 26 228 20 206 13 202 11 223 16 220 41214 39619 27 210 22 228 14 234 11 205 12 189 39619 38152 33 226 34 228 28 227 21 239 8 181 38152 36793 46 231 40 224 33 215 26 219 15 193 36793 35502 43 227 41 215 37 210 32 211 21 175 35502 34203 40 219 40 209 40 209 32 204 22 181 34203 32862 41 207 40 209 39 206 30 198 32 186 32862 31486 40 201 38 209 36 205 29 192 35 188 31486 30058 39 203 35 207 34 204 29 191 29 191 30058 28567 35 212 32 203 34 200 27 195 23 195 28567 27018 34 218 35 198 35 197 26 202 20 204 27018 25411 35 213 38 198 34 201 25 210 19 212 25411 23748 35 212 36 207 32 211 25 217 21 222 23748 22030 28 215 31 223 29 220 24 223 23 229 22030 20251 18 221 25 226 23 229 21 228 22 236 20251 18403 7 234 16 198 14 222 17 229 16 240 18403 16522 3 253 15 187 17 193 12 216 12 217 16522 14714 9 254 15 201 18 204 14 200 14 214 14714 13072 14 256 12 225 16 203 9 199 11 215 13072 11609 10 260 11 250 9 224 7 190 7 198 11609 10303 7 252 8 263 6 254 3 167 4 176 10303 9135 4 256 6 273 3 301 2 113 4 189 9135 8091 4 296 5 287 3 326 3 092 3 158 8091 7158 6 308 5 300 4 330 3 086 4 116 7158 6330 10 305 5 314 4 335 2 062 4 097 6330 5594 12 300 5 321 3*349 1 053 4 078 5594 4931 14 290 5 317 3*016 1 064 3 060 4931 4341 15 277 5 302 4 034 2 070 1 017 4341 3847 14 267 5 275 4 040 3 065 2 310 3847 3466 11 264 5 254 5 042 3 060 3 303 3466 3203 7 267 4 239 5 043 3 059 4 294 3203 3042 4*272 2*232 5 044 3*055 4*279 3042 2950 1*283 1*221 4 044 2*049 4*272 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography