DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 48.7 - - 55.3 - - 55.6 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 31 - - 107 - - 4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1479 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 3326 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 4472 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 234 - - 1212 - - 1318 - - 2569 - - 852 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 35 - - 229 - - 19 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 108 - - 124 - - 114 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4918 - - -3217 - - -3706 - - -5560 - - -2410 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7869 - - 6169 - - 8178 - - 8512 - - 5361 sfcLCL ODpotential -15781 - - -9841 - - -9486 - - -9535 - - -6986 ODpotential blCL 18732 - - 12792 - - 13958 - - 12487 - - 9937 blCL maxRH 81 - - 82 - - 90 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 48.7 - - 55.3 - - 55.6 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.4 - - 32.3 - - 29.9 - - 28.8 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 - - 48.2 - - 54.2 - - 55.4 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.3 - - 31.1 - - 28.7 - - 27.8 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 31 - - 107 - - 4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1479 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 26 - - 60 - - 87 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96587 12 100 9 091 5 174 6 058 8 132 96587 89379 6 080 2 158 4 281 6 333 3 032 89379 83777 3 011 3 301 4 295 13 308 13 330 83777 79116 11 326 10 314 14 309 19 318 17 335 79116 75123 22 333 30 323 28 328 27 328 28 326 75123 71642 34 316 33 320 31 316 32 328 32 318 71642 68498 40 317 31 325 33 313 35 325 35 310 68498 65586 46 310 36 322 38 307 38 314 37 305 65586 62865 48 307 43 309 43 305 43 305 43 302 62865 60216 49 297 46 300 50 301 51 305 45 306 60216 57429 51 299 52 301 54 298 57 296 52 298 57429 54520 61 294 58 293 56 292 55 296 52 292 54520 51738 64 295 62 286 57 288 63 288 57 293 51738 49235 74 288 65 291 63 285 62 284 62 291 49235 46998 76 284 77 279 66 280 66 283 67 290 46998 44974 82 280 74 278 66 281 69 285 74 289 44974 43128 82 281 73 281 71 280 76 281 77 285 43128 41434 79 282 77 272 74 274 77 278 79 283 41434 39870 77 280 73 266 72 269 80 275 81 282 39870 38418 75 277 66 264 65 264 81 273 82 282 38418 37062 65 272 61 263 49 260 83 274 82 282 37062 35765 56 269 49 265 35 257 87 275 80 283 35765 34459 54 269 43 264 35 251 91 275 78 283 34459 33111 54 273 43 261 38 245 85 275 77 282 33111 31722 51 278 44 258 40 253 69 273 73 282 31722 30280 48 280 45 257 41 255 55 264 62 276 30280 28778 44 276 44 256 43 256 47 249 50 273 28778 27221 41 272 43 255 41 259 43 247 46 270 27221 25607 39 272 39 257 40 264 40 252 43 260 25607 23934 35 274 28 265 41 267 37 258 40 251 23934 22200 29 286 17 281 40 261 40 266 39 260 22200 20404 27 294 16 265 38 250 39 271 32 266 20404 18536 24 297 18 263 28 240 34 278 29 269 18536 16632 22 295 21 272 14 241 33 275 25 277 16632 14798 21 295 20 280 12 270 28 263 24 280 14798 13129 20 299 17 280 12 269 14 240 22 273 13129 11645 18 302 15 274 14 264 7 228 19 263 11645 10324 15 304 13 267 16 259 8 247 13 250 10324 9148 13 309 13 260 17 254 12 256 9 242 9148 8099 11 316 13 253 16 249 15 255 7 247 8099 7165 10 317 12 247 13 240 15 249 8 255 7165 6336 8 311 10 243 9 224 12 236 8 259 6336 5598 6 297 6 236 6 192 7 210 7 258 5598 4933 4 298 4 211 6*151 5 180 6 246 4933 4342 3 315 4 177 6*133 5 151 4 221 4342 3847 2 302 5 159 7 125 5 132 4 198 3847 3465 2 263 4 146 6 122 4 123 3 188 3465 3202 2 214 4 125 6 120 4 118 2 189 3202 3042 2*215 4*112 6 118 4*114 1*206 3042 2950 2*219 3*108 5 117 3*114 1*225 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography