DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.1 - - 55.7 - - 64.4 - - 57.7 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 35 - - 84 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 50 - - 1095 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2935 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3043 - - 4088 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 227 - - 661 - - 1486 - - 1389 - - 246 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 51 - - 187 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 143 - - 137 - - 111 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2376 - - -4307 - - -5564 - - -4929 - - -3619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5327 - - 7350 - - 9652 - - 7882 - - 6571 sfcLCL ODpotential -11344 - - -10060 - - -9263 - - -10369 - - -10621 ODpotential blCL 14295 - - 13103 - - 13351 - - 13321 - - 13573 blCL maxRH 85 - - 77 - - 84 - - 91 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.1 - - 55.7 - - 64.4 - - 57.7 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.5 - - 34.1 - - 32.6 - - 33.8 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 55.2 - - 63.4 - - 61.2 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 33.6 - - 32.2 - - 33.5 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 35 - - 84 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 50 - - 1095 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 9 - - 37 - - 66 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96044 20 345 5 334 16 332 27 353 7 028 96044 89179 11 016 10 360 17 011 22 007 16 032 89179 83835 13 031 17 021 13 024 17 013 16 017 83835 79337 18 017 16 028 6 014 14 004 14 013 79337 75421 19 004 14 028 1 171 11 341 14 008 75421 71931 11 358 9 001 3 352 10 335 11 357 71931 68755 14 339 11 312 6 311 11 309 12 313 68755 65832 19 303 15 314 9 312 12 295 11 292 65832 63104 18 286 20 284 18 296 17 289 11 285 63104 60449 17 283 23 274 26 283 25 283 20 280 60449 57675 19 288 25 264 24 265 27 274 22 271 57675 54801 35 279 24 266 28 269 35 275 29 268 54801 52066 52 266 38 272 40 270 42 273 37 269 52066 49600 59 255 56 258 51 265 46 267 53 262 49600 47384 61 259 60 254 60 262 53 262 60 257 47384 45373 68 262 65 254 67 258 61 260 63 258 45373 43530 75 262 72 251 70 255 67 259 67 259 43530 41828 83 262 77 251 79 254 71 259 73 259 41828 40249 94 260 87 252 91 253 77 254 77 259 40249 38778 103 258 96 252 93 252 82 251 79 258 38778 37403 103 257 94 251 86 251 85 250 76 258 37403 36089 95 257 84 250 77 248 77 251 72 257 36089 34771 84 255 77 247 70 244 62 252 62 257 34771 33417 79 252 70 246 68 244 58 250 49 256 33417 32029 76 254 62 250 63 245 53 250 47 250 32029 30588 71 261 55 254 54 246 44 252 44 245 30588 29084 64 270 48 252 45 250 42 248 39 244 29084 27516 58 275 43 250 40 251 40 243 36 243 27516 25884 47 272 39 250 38 251 38 241 33 242 25884 24190 40 258 38 252 37 253 35 244 30 242 24190 22438 39 253 38 253 36 254 33 249 28 242 22438 20623 38 251 38 249 36 253 31 251 26 240 20623 18740 35 253 38 245 34 248 28 244 24 236 18740 16826 32 254 36 243 32 241 26 234 23 236 16826 14982 29 250 32 243 30 240 24 233 24 238 14982 13303 26 247 28 239 26 240 23 237 22 236 13303 11807 24 246 24 235 22 241 22 242 19 232 11807 10471 21 243 20 235 19 242 21 243 18 226 10471 9276 17 237 17 236 18 242 20 238 18 222 9276 8206 13 233 13 238 16 240 18 227 18 219 8206 7250 9 231 11 239 14 236 16 215 17 212 7250 6402 7 229 10 238 11 228 13 201 16 201 6402 5647 5 227 9 231 8 210 12 180 17 186 5647 4968 5 218 8 214 7 176 13 162 18 172 4968 4366 7 197 10 190 8*152 14 152 21 162 4366 3861 10 178 12 172 8*143 13 148 21 158 3861 3473 11 166 11 165 8 138 11 148 16 156 3473 3206 7 162 8*152 8 135 8 146 10 153 3206 3044 3*159 7*146 7 133 5*135 5*145 3044 2951 0*161 5 140 6 131 2*111 1*036 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography