DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 38.6 - - 35.8 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 17 - - -6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2950 - - 2951 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7301 - - 7283 - - 6466 - - 6019 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 30 - - 13 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 304 - - 342 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -9 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2188 - - -2439 - - -884 - - -1175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5138 - - 5390 - - 3835 - - 4126 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2933 - - -3047 - - -1796 - - -2411 ODpotential blCL - - - 5883 - - 5998 - - 4746 - - 5361 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 38.6 - - 35.8 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.5 - - 25.5 - - 29.6 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 38.2 - - 36.0 - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 24.4 - - 28.8 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 17 - - -6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 87 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96358 33 028 37 052 50 053 38 058 96358 89309 17 034 19 043 21 025 22 035 89309 83827 16 042 8 059 11 043 18 043 83827 79212 10 312 10 022 15 024 18 019 79212 75186 3 339 12 281 13 317 17 359 75186 71604 7 234 4 255 4 285 9 341 71604 68341 13 256 14 290 13 324 8 335 68341 65321 14 253 24 268 19 283 8 308 65321 62504 12 247 22 254 18 273 18 292 62504 59770 24 279 22 289 25 280 24 277 59770 56929 33 274 26 278 24 280 28 280 56929 53985 29 268 25 284 23 271 19 283 53985 51173 33 289 27 287 18 306 28 315 51173 48648 34 285 34 302 32 313 28 313 48648 46393 27 292 37 299 35 312 31 328 46393 44366 32 296 33 290 43 321 39 327 44366 42526 33 289 32 311 42 316 40 335 42526 40835 29 282 38 316 34 326 53 348 40835 39275 29 302 40 324 45 352 71 347 39275 37833 38 311 46 334 67 354 72 348 37833 36495 42 314 54 339 77 354 72 360 36495 35217 46 320 58 343 85 001 82 010 35217 33929 50 327 65 355 97 009 93 009 33929 32595 51 334 85 006 109 013 96 006 32595 31219 57 341 105 009 113 015 95 005 31219 29787 63 344 109 009 108 014 91 004 29787 28292 66 341 99 006 101 011 87 005 28292 26733 66 336 84 358 95 008 82 007 26733 25110 65 332 73 350 90 007 77 006 25110 23429 64 328 65 343 84 008 72 004 23429 21695 63 324 57 335 74 004 66 001 21695 19903 63 323 54 329 62 354 59 359 19903 18048 62 323 53 326 53 344 53 354 18048 16169 59 324 51 327 48 337 49 349 16169 14370 53 323 50 328 46 335 45 346 14370 12746 46 322 46 327 43 333 40 344 12746 11310 37 323 37 324 38 329 36 342 11310 10039 30 326 30 322 30 321 33 335 10039 8910 28 325 28 321 26 318 28 333 8910 7904 28 321 27 318 25 319 25 334 7904 7007 28 317 25 314 24 320 24 333 7007 6209 27 314 24 308 22 321 23 332 6209 5500 26 309 23 305 20 322 22 332 5500 4861 25 305 22 304 18 324 22 332 4861 4292 23 301 21 304 15 328 21 331 4292 3815 22 299 21 304 13 333 20 328 3815 3447 20 297 20 304 12 336 18 324 3447 3192 18 296 18 304 10 338 15 319 3192 3038 16*296 16*304 9*340 12*317 3038 2949 11*295 11*304 6*342 7*314 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography