DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1334z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 67.7 - - 71.6 - - 77.5 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 53 - - 272 - - 284 - - 223 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 646 - - 3276 - - 4381 - - 6690 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2818 - - 5099 - - 5952 - - 7610 - - 2819 Hcrit BL Top 3639 - - 6269 - - 7374 - - 9683 - - 2837 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1766 - - 2466 - - 2488 - - 2761 - - 6560 Hgt.Variab. W* 140 - - 403 - - 448 - - 473 - - 8 W* B/S 4 - - 15 - - 15 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 357 - - 347 - - 005 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -775 - - 220 - - 574 - - 266 - - -4465 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4414 - - 6049 - - 6800 - - 9418 - - 7302 sfcLCL ODpotential -3060 - - -1333 - - -946 - - -1232 - - -6110 ODpotential blCL 6699 - - 7602 - - 8320 - - 10915 - - 8947 blCL maxRH 90 - - 81 - - 81 - - 66 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 390 - - 830 - - 520 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 67.7 - - 71.6 - - 77.5 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.1 - - 50.7 - - 51.4 - - 45.7 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 66.5 - - 70.2 - - 75.7 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.3 - - 50.2 - - 50.8 - - 45.4 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 53 - - 272 - - 284 - - 223 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 646 - - 3276 - - 4381 - - 6690 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 60 - - 23 - - 23 - - 0 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98389 7 090 4 170 6 061 9 094 1 286 98389 91432 5 077 5 164 1 325 6 015 2 067 91432 85997 6 101 7 134 3 166 5 000 6 076 85997 81449 6 110 6 130 3 158 4 342 7 079 81449 77513 5 119 4 140 2 186 3 354 6 084 77513 74019 6 118 5 135 3 190 3 009 5 089 74019 70838 5 107 5 116 4 167 2 017 3 074 70838 67899 4 103 4 099 4 146 1 038 2 037 67899 65160 4 114 3 092 3 129 1 118 1 009 65160 62498 4 127 2 099 2 121 2 120 0 046 62498 59708 3 128 2 097 0 183 2 086 2 141 59708 56803 1 101 2 072 1 272 3 021 2 123 56803 54025 3 348 2 043 2 292 5 354 3 080 54025 51526 6 331 3 014 3 326 7 348 5 047 51526 49292 8 315 4 002 5 341 9 351 7 035 49292 47274 8 309 4 002 6 351 9 355 9 029 47274 45435 8 301 5 002 7 003 9 002 11 027 45435 43747 7 277 5 354 6 009 8 006 14 021 43747 42182 7 238 3 294 5 016 6 025 15 021 42182 40724 7 206 5 231 2 349 3 060 13 019 40724 39360 7 193 7 210 3 199 4 128 8 017 39360 38054 9 206 7 211 7 193 5 179 3 023 38054 36736 13 213 10 214 10 197 10 207 6 250 36736 35377 17 208 12 217 13 198 15 209 13 245 35377 33972 19 196 15 211 15 196 16 209 20 239 33972 32500 20 188 16 206 14 196 15 205 22 236 32500 30946 20 187 17 200 12 193 12 193 18 240 30946 29312 18 193 16 196 11 183 9 176 12 246 29312 27594 16 199 14 195 10 177 10 168 5 213 27594 25793 13 206 12 195 9 171 10 166 6 154 25793 23912 11 211 10 193 8 172 11 167 7 152 23912 21945 9 215 9 193 7 176 10 169 6 163 21945 19891 9 213 9 194 5 181 8 163 5 172 19891 17792 8 203 8 193 3 180 7 153 5 167 17792 15766 7 183 7 189 2 159 4 161 4 161 15766 13921 6 173 5 184 3 148 1 187 3 153 13921 12281 2 160 3 153 3 152 3 015 3 036 12281 10824 3 047 4 118 2 120 7*012 6 019 10824 9528 5 044 4 093 3 070 8*010 7 013 9528 8375 6 042 5 059 5*033 9 009 8 013 8375 7352 7 033 5 036 5*016 9 007 10 015 7352 6450 7 024 5*017 6 003 9 006 11 017 6450 5652 7 017 5*358 6 355 9 005 12 018 5652 4938 5 009 5 355 6 347 9 004 13 018 4938 4307 4 336 5 355 6 339 9 002 14 017 4307 3781 6*310 5 356 6 333 8 002 14 016 3781 3377 6*301 5 358 6 329 8 002 14 014 3377 3100 6 301 5 359 6 327 8 002 12 010 3100 2932 5 302 5 360 6 326 8 001 9*005 2932 2836 5 302 5 001 5 327 8 001 5*357 2836 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography