DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 51.1 - - 46.6 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 30 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 671 - - 1396 - - 827 - - 518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 33 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 052 - - 061 - - 025 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1852 - - -3367 - - -2980 - - -1828 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4803 - - 6318 - - 5931 - - 4779 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9335 - - -8645 - - -8909 - - -9631 ODpotential blCL - - - 12286 - - 11596 - - 11860 - - 12582 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 96 - - 71 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 51.1 - - 46.6 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.1 - - 34.0 - - 31.3 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 50.5 - - 50.0 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 33.4 - - 30.8 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 30 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 84 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96474 12 052 26 068 27 083 22 072 96474 89413 16 063 19 073 22 074 19 063 89413 83902 18 063 19 071 14 083 15 045 83902 79287 13 053 13 055 11 051 13 053 79287 75283 13 041 6 031 11 011 17 044 75283 71729 9 040 8 348 12 350 17 029 71729 68504 8 000 13 322 13 333 12 009 68504 65532 8 001 15 303 20 310 18 347 65532 62773 17 327 18 305 18 319 17 329 62773 60093 20 313 19 307 25 305 26 304 60093 57282 27 302 30 296 29 284 29 284 57282 54348 39 302 30 298 30 288 27 291 54348 51537 43 292 40 293 36 286 37 294 51537 49023 40 281 49 282 49 287 47 291 49023 46793 40 275 50 275 54 283 50 282 46793 44783 42 273 48 272 50 280 46 274 44783 42943 47 270 48 272 48 280 46 275 42943 41249 50 264 48 270 49 281 52 276 41249 39685 49 265 51 269 55 281 61 279 39685 38240 51 268 56 267 69 277 74 278 38240 36903 52 270 61 267 75 269 82 272 36903 35630 52 272 66 265 74 268 80 271 35630 34346 50 272 66 263 75 274 79 274 34346 33017 47 269 60 264 74 276 78 275 33017 31648 45 265 55 269 66 279 73 274 31648 30226 44 263 55 276 64 287 68 276 30226 28742 44 262 57 277 66 290 66 280 28742 27197 44 261 58 274 64 289 65 282 27197 25590 45 261 57 272 60 287 63 281 25590 23922 47 263 55 272 53 287 58 281 23922 22194 49 264 51 272 51 292 55 282 22194 20401 51 264 49 272 47 295 51 283 20401 18536 51 263 48 272 41 289 47 283 18536 16638 47 262 46 271 39 280 44 280 16638 14809 38 262 42 271 40 273 42 277 14809 13145 34 258 39 268 38 269 39 277 13145 11663 31 253 35 265 34 269 35 277 11663 10343 28 252 31 263 31 272 31 275 10343 9164 25 254 28 264 28 273 28 270 9164 8109 24 256 24 265 24 272 24 266 8109 7167 22 256 22 264 20 269 19 260 7167 6332 19 253 19 260 16 264 14 251 6332 5590 16 248 15 253 11 255 9 229 5590 4923 12 239 9 239 6 234 8 189 4923 4333 9 219 4 205 4 191 9 161 4333 3839 7 198 2 157 4 158 7 147 3839 3460 4 191 2 078 2 116 2 100 3460 3199 0 197 3 064 2 075 2 028 3199 3041 0*056 3*060 2*044 1*327 3041 2950 1*052 3*061 1*025 2*285 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography