DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.9 - - 32.1 - - 40.7 - - 37.4 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 0 - - 47 - - -1 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 207 - - 441 - - 1064 - - 990 - - 613 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 7 - - 38 - - 7 - - 22 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 138 - - 123 - - 351 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1237 - - -862 - - -1427 - - -311 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4187 - - 3812 - - 4379 - - 3263 - - 2949 sfcLCL ODpotential -17072 - - -15265 - - -13697 - - -13247 - - -43 ODpotential blCL 20022 - - 18215 - - 16648 - - 16198 - - 2993 blCL maxRH 67 - - 73 - - 71 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.9 - - 32.1 - - 40.7 - - 37.4 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.8 - - 26.5 - - 32.5 - - 34.0 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.4 - - 32.8 - - 40.9 - - 38.7 - - 31.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.2 - - 25.9 - - 31.6 - - 34.5 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 0 - - 47 - - -1 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 65 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96515 29 088 17 078 23 046 37 063 33 082 96515 89635 26 084 16 086 14 084 26 071 28 079 89635 84230 22 077 19 083 20 111 13 081 24 073 84230 79671 21 070 22 083 19 101 8 088 18 066 79671 75704 15 070 19 077 15 074 9 113 16 059 75704 72181 14 078 14 071 9 063 13 085 14 045 72181 68982 15 070 13 067 8 096 11 049 13 028 68982 66032 18 040 17 057 10 086 12 039 9 011 66032 63300 21 015 14 034 9 028 11 006 11 360 63300 60679 16 005 14 012 15 015 9 345 13 347 60679 57964 23 023 18 347 23 356 18 352 18 345 57964 55165 24 005 21 336 24 339 26 333 29 327 55165 52514 27 355 14 358 14 352 23 323 27 308 52514 50124 25 355 18 009 15 350 21 325 23 302 50124 47958 25 353 19 358 15 335 21 325 21 304 47958 45967 29 346 21 342 16 315 22 317 23 306 45967 44124 29 358 19 340 15 289 25 289 32 305 44124 42411 28 003 16 347 14 266 27 263 35 281 42411 40819 18 350 13 320 22 279 32 281 38 269 40819 39346 11 301 21 290 32 299 45 292 41 286 39346 37985 15 274 26 288 39 301 51 293 52 297 37985 36680 17 278 31 290 41 298 53 289 61 293 36680 35356 18 288 33 296 40 296 51 284 59 285 35356 33987 21 291 37 305 42 297 48 285 57 284 33987 32574 22 297 37 312 42 300 46 289 55 289 32574 31107 26 303 33 315 37 301 42 293 53 298 31107 29575 23 312 28 318 29 298 36 291 49 300 29575 27980 21 319 22 319 24 296 32 282 45 300 27980 26316 24 324 21 324 24 303 30 285 41 298 26316 24583 26 329 20 331 22 313 28 299 40 298 24583 22785 28 336 16 333 19 321 26 304 35 304 22785 20917 26 345 13 318 17 312 23 305 29 304 20917 18971 21 345 16 306 20 305 19 309 25 302 18971 16989 16 344 16 306 21 307 17 320 21 310 16989 15082 12 346 13 311 17 308 14 321 17 309 15082 13350 10 343 10 313 13 311 13 315 17 302 13350 11808 9 337 8 313 10 312 11 316 15 300 11808 10435 8 337 6 306 8 307 8 313 13 297 10435 9211 6 335 5 295 6 291 7 301 12 292 9211 8121 5 331 4 275 5 265 6 284 11 286 8121 7155 4 327 3 239 4 238 5 269 9 280 7155 6304 2 327 3 196 5 217 5 255 6 269 6304 5554 0 228 4 174 6 193 4 219 4 244 5554 4886 2 147 5 155 7 169 5 167 4 195 4886 4299 4 141 7 155 8 156 6 143 5 172 4299 3814 5 147 7 162 7 143 4 123 3 167 3814 3444 4 152 6 163 5 130 2 044 1 024 3444 3191 2 146 2 157 5 128 2 015 2 017 3191 3037 1*113 1*146 4*125 3*000 2*003 3037 2949 1*003 1*138 3*123 3*351 2*352 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography