DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.1 - - 56.3 - - 63.4 - - 59.2 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 20 - - 21 - - -17 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2935 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 292 - - 717 - - 7465 - - 7849 - - 5031 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 30 - - 31 - - 10 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 153 - - 223 - - 292 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -22 - - -8 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2650 - - -3693 - - -5924 - - -3974 - - -2436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5601 - - 6645 - - 8877 - - 6927 - - 5388 sfcLCL ODpotential -10271 - - -8075 - - -7347 - - -5455 - - -4260 ODpotential blCL 13222 - - 11027 - - 10299 - - 8407 - - 7211 blCL maxRH 93 - - 92 - - 97 - - 95 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 50.1 - - 56.3 - - 63.4 - - 59.2 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 37.6 - - 34.6 - - 39.1 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 55.9 - - 63.1 - - 60.3 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 36.9 - - 33.9 - - 38.9 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 20 - - 21 - - -17 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 70 - - 90 - - 81 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96744 11 106 9 130 8 058 16 077 14 080 96744 89582 6 044 6 089 3 198 3 078 11 006 89582 84052 4 358 1 220 5 299 3 304 11 349 84052 79450 14 334 9 298 8 280 10 300 10 348 79450 75463 14 299 9 277 10 265 10 296 10 306 75463 71927 18 280 17 287 11 285 23 296 14 329 71927 68716 27 280 27 286 25 286 25 278 21 297 68716 65756 26 270 28 267 26 279 17 254 20 275 65756 63023 24 271 29 256 23 288 23 273 25 256 63023 60382 33 261 31 250 45 260 29 263 20 229 60382 57567 42 255 35 260 57 255 31 242 22 223 57567 54560 48 254 50 258 50 261 44 264 44 272 54560 51678 57 254 59 253 61 265 66 270 65 273 51678 49124 70 246 67 248 73 259 78 260 72 268 49124 46870 72 238 72 241 80 252 75 253 73 264 46870 44837 75 243 80 241 80 249 74 253 71 262 44837 42982 88 246 95 240 82 245 78 252 72 261 42982 41275 92 235 103 232 83 238 80 246 74 261 41275 39693 84 225 97 221 85 230 79 240 75 261 39693 38218 79 222 84 214 84 224 74 239 74 260 38218 36841 79 222 79 213 78 222 73 245 73 258 36841 35526 78 223 79 212 74 225 77 251 73 256 35526 34205 77 223 81 212 75 229 82 252 73 255 34205 32851 75 224 84 213 77 233 85 252 71 254 32851 31465 74 224 87 215 79 234 83 252 68 251 31465 30036 73 224 89 219 81 235 78 253 60 244 30036 28551 72 225 86 224 84 235 72 252 54 238 28551 27006 69 225 78 226 85 234 68 249 57 242 27006 25398 67 224 71 223 83 232 67 246 60 247 25398 23730 63 224 71 218 79 228 65 242 58 247 23730 22010 60 223 72 215 77 225 59 243 54 245 22010 20232 56 223 70 215 76 224 55 245 50 243 20232 18391 53 223 67 216 74 229 55 245 47 242 18391 16520 52 223 63 219 66 235 57 246 42 241 16520 14715 50 223 61 222 55 239 57 247 39 244 14715 13071 48 224 58 224 50 240 54 249 39 250 13071 11606 46 227 54 225 47 241 48 251 39 256 11606 10300 45 230 49 227 43 239 42 252 39 260 10300 9132 44 233 43 231 38 236 38 252 40 263 9132 8089 42 235 38 235 34 234 34 253 40 263 8089 7159 40 235 32 236 32 233 31 255 38 263 7159 6334 36 232 27 232 30 233 29 256 36 261 6334 5599 31 223 22 223 28 233 26 259 35 259 5599 4936 26 207 18 206 26 233 24 263 33 255 4936 4347 25 184 18 184 23 233 21 267 31 251 4347 3851 28 169 19 170 20 231 17 273 28 248 3851 3469 27 164 19 164 17 229 15 279 24 244 3469 3204 21 163 17 160 14 227 12 284 17 237 3204 3043 17*161 14*156 12*225 10*288 12*228 3043 2950 8*152 10*153 9*223 6*292 6*210 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography