DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2219z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.3 - - 83.0 - - 88.9 - - 88.9 - - 81.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 348 - - 414 - - 176 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2443 - - 4126 - - 2977 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2819 - - 4536 - - 5881 - - 4678 - - 2819 Hcrit BL Top 2836 - - 5436 - - 7119 - - 5970 - - 2837 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1344 - - 2059 - - 2357 - - 2979 - - 469 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 390 - - 492 - - 332 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 293 - - 330 - - 338 - - 346 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 5 - - 13 - - 10 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7817 - - -7277 - - -6651 - - -8686 - - -10010 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10654 - - 12713 - - 13771 - - 14656 - - 12848 sfcLCL ODpotential -14440 - - -12544 - - -10865 - - -13625 - - -15811 ODpotential blCL 17276 - - 17980 - - 17984 - - 19595 - - 18648 blCL maxRH 59 - - 61 - - 55 - - 47 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.3 - - 83.0 - - 88.9 - - 88.9 - - 81.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 37.2 - - 38.2 - - 34.4 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.7 - - 80.9 - - 86.6 - - 87.5 - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.9 - - 37.1 - - 38.1 - - 34.3 - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 348 - - 414 - - 176 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2443 - - 4126 - - 2977 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99304 20 103 14 101 12 115 11 094 9 086 99304 92339 14 101 12 112 9 117 10 102 10 112 92339 86871 13 089 15 114 8 101 10 099 14 100 86871 82268 10 088 14 112 6 106 9 100 11 089 82268 78265 6 078 9 099 7 122 4 084 8 081 78265 74708 4 097 4 075 7 123 1 013 5 089 74708 71474 3 073 2 011 4 107 2 343 3 114 71474 68495 2 008 2 291 1 084 2 312 2 188 68495 65734 3 316 3 274 2 295 4 289 3 254 65734 63067 6 307 6 273 6 295 6 287 4 273 63067 60292 8 302 8 271 9 291 7 292 5 281 60292 57424 10 300 8 281 11 284 8 294 7 291 57424 54699 10 299 8 294 9 281 8 291 6 293 54699 52259 9 313 7 308 5 286 5 305 3 297 52259 50080 10 346 5 355 2 071 3 022 2 062 50080 48111 14 005 10 027 9 074 6 093 7 071 48111 46316 17 020 15 036 15 060 11 098 10 066 46316 44663 21 029 19 042 21 053 15 079 14 060 44663 43126 24 037 23 048 25 051 17 068 16 061 43126 41685 27 039 26 053 26 051 19 058 17 058 41685 40325 29 040 28 056 26 050 20 051 16 058 40325 39008 29 041 28 057 24 051 20 049 16 060 39008 37663 28 040 29 058 22 053 19 048 14 065 37663 36262 27 040 28 058 19 054 18 050 14 074 36262 34807 24 038 27 058 17 054 16 053 12 087 34807 33282 22 037 26 057 15 056 13 056 11 100 33282 31675 20 034 24 056 14 061 11 057 9 108 31675 29985 17 029 22 055 13 071 8 066 8 113 29985 28213 15 024 19 053 12 083 7 086 8 121 28213 26360 12 023 16 054 12 093 7 103 8 131 26360 24425 8 023 12 063 11 101 7 122 7 135 24425 22404 7 353 7 074 9 115 7 152 6 139 22404 20294 9 311 2 009 3 135 3 182 3 119 20294 18140 12 291 6 302 2 273 3 250 1 264 18140 16062 12 284 9 289 7 283 7 274 5 291 16062 14170 10 286 9 282 9 280 9 282 8 297 14170 12486 7 291 8 282 10 279 10 286 8 309 12486 10990 6 308 7 290 10 280 9 288 8 319 10990 9660 7 329 6 304 9 280 7 295 8 324 9660 8479 8 338 7 316 9 283 7 300 8 327 8479 7432 10 341 8 320 8*287 6 306 8 327 7432 6511 10 339 9 318 8*299 6*314 8 328 6511 5697 11 338 10*314 7 317 6*324 7 332 5697 4971 11 338 10*317 7 336 6 337 5 339 4971 4329 13 333 10 324 7 345 6 346 4 345 4329 3795 15 324 10 330 8 353 7 351 3 351 3795 3385 15 313 10 336 8 357 7 355 3 347 3385 3104 13 298 9 339 8 359 7 356 2 339 3104 2933 11*295 9 340 8 360 7 357 2*329 2933 2836 9*293 8 342 8 001 6 359 2*262 2836 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography