DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 51.4 - - 47.2 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - 6 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1734 - - 5625 - - 4477 - - 635 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 26 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 233 - - 087 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -18 - - 5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1119 - - -2169 - - -703 - - -207 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4070 - - 5120 - - 3654 - - 3158 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3466 - - -3240 - - -2669 - - -3265 ODpotential blCL - - - 6417 - - 6191 - - 5620 - - 6216 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 85 - - 92 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 290 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 51.4 - - 47.2 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 39.0 - - 41.2 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 51.3 - - 49.3 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 37.7 - - 40.2 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - 6 - - -8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 41 - - 68 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95948 31 294 22 289 26 298 34 299 95948 88952 18 300 16 306 19 303 21 308 88952 83505 17 290 17 302 19 326 15 311 83505 78954 13 305 16 285 23 308 16 306 78954 75019 13 324 16 292 19 307 18 295 75019 71519 20 299 20 275 17 298 11 278 71519 68314 20 272 19 270 11 290 7 282 68314 65328 11 279 16 283 16 296 21 261 65328 62533 15 277 29 265 30 265 31 236 62533 59805 29 235 29 256 34 263 37 254 59805 56947 26 249 25 257 36 254 35 252 56947 53972 17 268 28 251 35 245 28 254 53972 51115 27 264 30 246 30 245 31 258 51115 48528 36 256 34 256 31 253 35 257 48528 46204 45 254 46 260 42 257 43 256 46204 44109 55 250 58 251 55 254 55 254 44109 42213 64 242 66 242 64 247 64 251 42213 40480 69 235 67 240 67 241 68 246 40480 38880 71 239 69 243 69 242 67 243 38880 37396 82 245 80 244 73 241 66 241 37396 36017 94 244 90 241 75 239 64 241 36017 34706 100 240 93 238 75 238 60 243 34706 33395 101 237 91 238 74 237 58 246 33395 32056 103 237 89 238 69 237 58 246 32056 30695 103 238 85 241 65 243 58 246 30695 29304 91 237 80 245 70 250 68 248 29304 27869 69 233 75 244 72 248 81 247 27869 26383 58 225 67 236 64 242 70 242 26383 24837 54 224 66 235 58 239 55 229 24837 23232 46 226 68 242 56 239 53 224 23232 21573 39 228 61 248 52 243 43 223 21573 19852 36 234 50 250 52 250 39 233 19852 18065 36 239 41 240 48 250 40 245 18065 16243 36 242 38 235 41 243 36 245 16243 14488 36 244 36 237 35 239 32 243 14488 12889 36 247 33 240 30 242 29 244 12889 11462 35 250 32 243 28 247 26 247 11462 10187 35 253 31 246 28 250 25 248 10187 9044 36 255 31 247 29 249 25 247 9044 8020 38 255 32 246 30 249 25 245 8020 7105 40 254 31 245 29 248 24 243 7105 6292 40 250 29 243 27 247 22 243 6292 5567 38 246 26 242 25 248 19 244 5567 4912 34 240 24 241 21 249 15 244 4912 4329 27 234 21 240 16 250 11 242 4329 3839 20 225 18 238 10 251 7 236 3839 3461 14 208 15 237 4 245 4 217 3461 3200 10 189 12 236 1 152 3 178 3200 3041 8*175 10*235 3*101 2*169 3041 2950 5*154 7*233 4*087 2*174 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography