DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.9 - - 45.7 - - 52.9 - - 45.7 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 3 - - 42 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 477 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 3470 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 145 - - 329 - - 690 - - 766 - - 348 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 18 - - 114 - - 2 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 133 - - 114 - - 039 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -1 - - 6 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5245 - - -4547 - - -4394 - - -2986 - - -764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8196 - - 7498 - - 7864 - - 5937 - - 3715 sfcLCL ODpotential -17043 - - -15037 - - -13262 - - -13015 - - -12352 ODpotential blCL 19994 - - 17988 - - 16732 - - 15966 - - 15303 blCL maxRH 83 - - 71 - - 76 - - 85 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.9 - - 45.7 - - 52.9 - - 45.7 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.3 - - 24.0 - - 29.3 - - 30.5 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 46.0 - - 52.2 - - 49.8 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 23.1 - - 28.2 - - 30.0 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 3 - - 42 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 477 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 0 - - 3 - - 41 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96004 46 035 45 011 49 017 56 021 51 035 96004 89144 38 044 40 034 37 032 37 021 37 026 89144 83781 35 043 34 042 28 037 31 038 38 036 83781 79279 31 033 25 040 22 014 30 025 36 031 79279 75381 28 026 27 044 17 039 24 021 27 026 75381 71917 19 031 29 031 18 054 18 040 16 031 71917 68759 28 015 34 006 25 008 28 024 21 024 68759 65841 29 357 28 354 24 352 24 001 19 004 65841 63124 23 354 25 344 25 353 21 348 17 341 63124 60492 24 003 27 342 30 345 25 342 18 340 60492 57752 35 347 27 337 28 333 29 323 26 328 57752 54914 40 330 33 333 30 333 24 317 22 320 54914 52204 48 323 43 328 37 328 32 325 29 326 52204 49755 46 320 44 325 36 317 35 313 33 311 49755 47551 44 322 41 327 33 315 34 309 28 301 47551 45546 41 321 37 326 30 314 33 307 25 307 45546 43693 35 317 34 317 29 309 34 303 30 304 43693 41976 26 306 33 304 31 303 32 301 33 293 41976 40381 20 293 29 296 30 297 29 293 29 287 40381 38897 16 288 28 281 28 280 31 281 30 281 38897 37520 14 279 21 260 25 262 33 268 28 276 37520 36205 12 272 19 242 25 252 33 255 25 263 36205 34878 13 269 18 239 25 239 33 248 27 253 34878 33515 15 266 17 241 25 233 32 240 31 251 33515 32122 17 266 18 244 27 235 31 241 31 249 32122 30685 19 270 20 246 28 234 34 241 29 249 30685 29190 20 273 22 248 27 242 37 239 28 248 29190 27631 20 288 21 264 27 253 36 247 28 250 27631 26006 24 302 23 279 29 267 34 258 28 255 26006 24315 29 308 27 286 32 277 31 270 28 260 24315 22561 33 312 28 293 28 280 26 274 26 265 22561 20736 34 314 27 303 25 287 20 272 25 269 20736 18837 33 316 25 308 24 295 18 279 23 268 18837 16899 31 321 23 312 21 293 16 278 21 265 16899 15029 29 326 20 313 17 288 15 270 18 263 15029 13323 26 330 17 310 16 283 13 263 17 254 13323 11801 22 329 14 308 13 278 12 258 17 240 11801 10445 17 323 12 304 11 270 11 247 17 225 10445 9235 14 316 10 295 8 256 11 232 17 218 9235 8157 12 305 8 283 8 240 11 221 16 214 8157 7199 11 290 8 263 10 232 11 214 15 211 7199 6352 9 278 8 244 10 223 11 207 14 204 6352 5601 7 279 6 237 8 204 10 194 13 192 5601 4928 4 275 3 219 7 176 9 174 13 177 4928 4333 3 238 3 180 7 160 10 157 13 163 4333 3837 3 193 3 159 6*149 9 147 11 152 3837 3458 4 182 3 152 5*130 7 135 6 136 3458 3198 5 182 2 147 5 111 4 117 3 106 3198 3040 4*171 2*137 4 108 2*096 1*121 3040 2950 3*179 1*133 4 104 1*039 2*303 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography