DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 68.3 - - 75.0 - - 73.4 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 234 - - 281 - - 100 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2062 - - 3346 - - 1312 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 4136 - - 5150 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 5055 - - 6339 - - 4305 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 931 - - 1324 - - 1632 - - 3914 - - 1678 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 324 - - 405 - - 211 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 22 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 294 - - 335 - - 031 - - 352 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 4 - - 8 - - 20 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3386 - - -2663 - - -2767 - - -3254 - - -2003 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6338 - - 7718 - - 9106 - - 7559 - - 4956 sfcLCL ODpotential -8540 - - -6899 - - -4984 - - -5110 - - -5623 ODpotential blCL 11492 - - 11954 - - 11323 - - 9415 - - 8575 blCL maxRH 95 - - 86 - - 98 - - 81 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 730 - - 410 - - 380 - - 780 - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 68.3 - - 75.0 - - 73.4 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 44.4 - - 44.9 - - 50.1 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 66.5 - - 72.9 - - 72.3 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 44.3 - - 44.7 - - 50.0 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 234 - - 281 - - 100 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2062 - - 3346 - - 1312 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 44 - - 94 - - 23 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98626 6 114 4 143 5 026 4 120 6 273 98626 91327 12 111 5 143 7 108 4 178 9 082 91327 85649 11 089 7 060 10 128 0 353 9 048 85649 80915 4 087 0 009 4 130 2 033 4 017 80915 76839 7 121 6 153 6 226 2 177 4 000 76839 73216 6 139 7 124 9 221 4 171 6 223 73216 69923 3 179 4 176 12 217 5 248 7 197 69923 66884 8 241 6 212 11 206 11 239 5 209 66884 64050 11 236 10 227 11 225 16 228 8 218 64050 61297 11 223 14 222 12 241 17 244 12 234 61297 58415 11 225 16 223 16 244 21 238 18 234 58415 55414 14 244 14 224 17 223 18 222 20 219 55414 52548 17 223 10 226 10 215 14 227 15 213 52548 49970 20 197 15 216 15 225 16 238 12 228 49970 47658 20 182 21 195 18 205 18 217 18 215 47658 45562 14 187 16 173 17 193 15 209 17 190 45562 43647 12 213 9 192 13 188 16 202 14 183 43647 41885 18 213 18 205 13 194 11 190 12 187 41885 40250 26 181 24 174 17 197 12 174 11 181 40250 38727 28 161 29 158 24 177 18 149 12 145 38727 37319 29 148 34 141 31 143 25 124 16 109 37319 35996 32 155 36 133 34 127 34 108 34 086 35996 34679 41 153 36 136 38 123 38 098 47 077 34679 33327 37 156 35 143 41 125 38 096 45 078 33327 31939 32 156 33 149 38 129 34 099 39 073 31939 30502 29 156 28 149 33 131 28 097 31 065 30502 29001 26 157 22 141 28 126 26 091 28 071 29001 27439 25 160 20 130 24 123 25 089 26 073 27439 25813 27 164 20 135 24 130 24 092 24 081 25813 24127 26 164 25 152 26 136 20 106 21 095 24127 22386 24 163 28 156 28 130 19 127 18 101 22386 20584 25 166 27 150 27 122 19 138 16 108 20584 18715 25 167 25 146 24 123 19 134 18 124 18715 16814 19 156 24 142 24 125 22 131 26 134 16814 14982 15 131 23 140 23 128 28 132 25 127 14982 13315 16 111 22 142 20 134 22 136 23 112 13315 11826 17 119 22 148 18 142 15 136 17 098 11826 10494 22 124 23 151 16 145 12 126 9 073 10494 9299 21 122 26 142 15 137 9 106 5 023 9299 8229 17 114 27 130 15 126 7 074 9 354 8229 7273 13 109 16 129 10 122 8 048 15 005 7273 6424 8 104 7 137 4*103 10 033 20 005 6424 5668 5 079 3*161 3*048 11 020 21 359 5668 4986 5 046 2*319 3 033 13 004 21 350 4986 4380 5 355 4 330 3 031 14*355 22 340 4380 3873 10 331 5 333 3 028 15*353 22 333 3873 3481 14 316 5 337 4 027 14 352 19 326 3481 3211 12 303 5 342 4 027 14 352 16 320 3211 3046 10*299 5 344 4 027 13 352 14*318 3046 2951 6*294 5 345 3 028 10 352 8*315 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography