DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.1 - - 45.9 - - 49.6 - - - - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 67 - - 97 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 589 - - 1738 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 3404 - - - - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3582 - - 4731 - - - - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 257 - - 1335 - - 1720 - - - - - 672 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 143 - - 230 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 016 - - 350 - - - - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 12 - - 6 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -201 - - -428 - - -290 - - - - - -1039 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3152 - - 4011 - - 5021 - - - - - 3990 sfcLCL ODpotential -5066 - - -3244 - - -1905 - - - - - -7211 ODpotential blCL 8017 - - 6826 - - 6636 - - - - - 10162 blCL maxRH 81 - - 80 - - 84 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.1 - - 45.9 - - 49.6 - - - - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.8 - - 38.9 - - 38.0 - - - - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 45.1 - - 48.6 - - - - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 38.1 - - 37.4 - - - - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 67 - - 97 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 589 - - 1738 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 21 - - 36 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96559 20 095 21 043 26 075 20 075 96559 89565 30 068 23 095 20 070 30 081 89565 84088 21 058 27 103 15 100 24 084 84088 79493 19 098 18 087 12 108 14 094 79493 75515 20 105 13 103 7 100 9 091 75515 71970 8 080 12 114 6 113 3 120 71970 68741 3 226 4 101 6 150 0 105 68741 65761 12 168 6 268 5 233 5 214 65761 62997 13 137 13 209 12 241 13 217 62997 60328 6 040 15 192 12 216 14 242 60328 57545 10 313 9 224 6 225 12 252 57545 54672 15 238 10 263 8 266 7 304 54672 51944 10 192 7 246 8 252 11 328 51944 49490 4 155 3 149 6 197 12 310 49490 47286 7 136 2 084 3 168 11 313 47286 45283 9 101 4 075 0 045 12 321 45283 43462 11 068 6 031 9 002 20 347 43462 41805 14 053 11 028 17 018 19 020 41805 40270 19 037 20 059 30 036 35 032 40270 38828 24 032 52 048 44 047 46 023 38828 37475 34 051 73 044 64 031 45 023 37475 36173 52 052 83 034 79 023 40 028 36173 34857 67 046 90 027 78 025 35 030 34857 33499 73 048 86 031 71 031 34 029 33499 32098 75 054 78 038 59 042 32 025 32098 30642 78 055 69 041 53 043 31 018 30642 29115 74 051 65 047 50 044 30 011 29115 27524 67 045 60 053 44 046 27 008 27524 25867 62 049 52 051 40 039 24 017 25867 24146 60 056 47 049 38 044 26 022 24146 22367 54 068 43 063 33 047 21 023 22367 20526 36 068 35 078 27 055 16 026 20526 18616 16 082 21 084 19 065 17 021 18616 16679 8 125 10 078 10 073 16 028 16679 14822 6 161 4 105 4 092 10 019 14822 13139 5 193 3 171 3 172 7 339 13139 11646 4 195 4 181 5 197 7 306 11646 10318 3 170 5 163 8 190 7 292 10318 9136 3 145 5 164 8 190 6 284 9136 8081 5 119 5 176 5 202 5 274 8081 7145 6 112 4 194 3 279 4 267 7145 6316 5 108 3 232 6 313 3 262 6316 5581 3 101 3 279 7 322 2 257 5581 4919 1 113 3 317 6*330 1 265 4919 4332 1 197 5 343 5*338 1 265 4332 3840 2 257 6*001 5 346 1 232 3840 3461 5 257 6*013 5 352 1 231 3461 3200 8 245 6 016 5 355 2 279 3200 3041 7*239 6 018 4 359 2*298 3041 2950 6*234 5 019 4 359 2*296 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography