DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.1 - - 40.2 - - 37.9 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 47 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 496 - - 991 - - 675 - - 369 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 38 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 326 - - 333 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -608 - - -2084 - - -1280 - - -1252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3558 - - 5036 - - 4231 - - 4203 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13352 - - -11968 - - -11014 - - -12552 ODpotential blCL - - - 16302 - - 14919 - - 13965 - - 15502 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 61 - - 63 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.1 - - 40.2 - - 37.9 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.5 - - 29.0 - - 30.3 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 40.8 - - 40.0 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.0 - - 28.0 - - 29.2 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 47 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96765 36 069 41 067 45 077 48 066 96765 89802 35 079 42 076 46 079 43 080 89802 84332 32 080 27 082 35 075 40 088 84332 79705 24 077 17 079 25 062 39 080 79705 75671 15 090 17 066 23 058 32 067 75671 72094 14 072 14 057 13 056 19 058 72094 68843 19 041 13 030 9 023 12 036 68843 65846 22 020 14 359 17 348 17 014 65846 63072 17 347 19 346 26 343 26 351 63072 60410 20 340 22 357 27 341 26 332 60410 57651 24 324 27 340 30 336 33 337 57651 54781 39 324 37 328 37 328 41 334 54781 52037 51 317 47 324 48 329 48 327 52037 49565 57 311 59 315 61 325 57 324 49565 47346 59 310 65 310 71 319 65 325 47346 45330 64 312 70 308 74 317 68 326 45330 43485 71 313 75 312 75 319 68 328 43485 41790 78 317 79 315 73 321 68 331 41790 40229 83 318 79 316 70 324 66 332 40229 38785 85 316 76 317 66 324 63 330 38785 37438 84 313 75 319 63 326 59 330 37438 36145 83 312 73 321 59 330 54 340 36145 34840 80 312 69 323 57 335 55 353 34840 33498 77 311 66 327 57 341 58 359 33498 32118 70 315 68 330 56 346 59 356 32118 30681 64 319 70 332 56 355 60 354 30681 29177 58 319 67 332 57 002 60 356 29177 27605 57 325 59 336 54 002 60 357 27605 25965 56 330 51 343 50 355 58 357 25965 24258 54 335 48 348 48 354 55 356 24258 22488 51 338 46 349 45 355 51 355 22488 20647 46 343 44 350 43 352 48 355 20647 18731 40 349 39 354 42 354 43 356 18731 16785 34 357 32 356 38 359 39 358 16785 14915 28 007 26 358 33 002 36 001 14915 13217 25 018 22 007 28 005 31 005 13217 11707 22 023 20 020 24 010 26 008 11707 10362 20 020 18 032 21 018 21 012 10362 9163 19 016 16 039 19 027 19 017 9163 8095 18 017 15 040 17 035 17 020 8095 7145 16 023 15 035 15 035 16 020 7145 6306 12 026 13 029 14 028 16 018 6306 5563 9 012 10 018 12 018 17 013 5563 4900 8 340 8 354 9 356 14 360 4900 4315 9 317 7 322 8 323 12 338 4315 3826 8 300 6 303 8 311 10 319 3826 3452 5 301 3 318 4 317 7 309 3452 3195 3 311 3 320 3 329 4 306 3195 3038 2*323 2*322 2*335 2*286 3038 2949 1*338 2*326 1*333 2*250 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography