DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.7 - - 39.6 - - 45.2 - - 41.3 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 79 - - 119 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1636 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 3499 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 4629 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 288 - - 1862 - - 1282 - - 1877 - - 692 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 45 - - 239 - - 5 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 104 - - 118 - - 115 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1984 - - -4074 - - -3729 - - -4602 - - -3111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4934 - - 7025 - - 8358 - - 7554 - - 6062 sfcLCL ODpotential -11606 - - -12352 - - -11220 - - -13364 - - -14009 ODpotential blCL 14556 - - 15302 - - 15849 - - 16315 - - 16959 blCL maxRH 78 - - 83 - - 96 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.7 - - 39.6 - - 45.2 - - 41.3 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.1 - - 19.7 - - 19.3 - - 19.1 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.6 - - 38.9 - - 44.0 - - 43.2 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.1 - - 19.3 - - 18.9 - - 18.7 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 79 - - 119 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1636 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 31 - - 82 - - 82 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96578 42 093 42 089 40 081 43 089 32 090 96578 89465 29 084 23 086 22 084 25 081 28 081 89465 83918 16 066 11 081 13 087 6 090 15 052 83918 79288 10 047 5 109 5 073 3 112 5 356 79288 75286 5 359 4 075 1 204 2 267 7 002 75286 71732 1 278 6 346 4 347 4 306 7 006 71732 68489 3 263 7 306 8 320 10 319 10 006 68489 65481 8 318 8 321 12 297 18 304 16 331 65481 62679 14 321 13 319 16 303 14 296 18 295 62679 59973 19 312 21 300 22 307 21 314 18 299 59973 57153 23 316 24 306 31 305 24 312 18 306 57153 54233 35 313 32 311 30 299 33 316 32 313 54233 51477 40 316 36 315 38 312 50 301 37 304 51477 49021 46 313 44 318 50 302 48 290 37 305 49021 46832 48 312 57 306 49 306 38 302 41 315 46832 44853 67 305 61 307 55 314 53 317 67 318 44853 43063 51 305 63 311 65 311 75 306 80 304 43063 41434 45 339 59 314 65 308 77 296 81 301 41434 39930 90 344 67 330 65 314 77 301 92 303 39930 38530 90 338 78 334 72 321 79 302 91 300 38530 37211 89 331 83 333 77 322 80 299 86 296 37211 35934 91 330 84 331 77 319 80 299 89 295 35934 34633 90 329 80 324 75 314 79 304 88 295 34633 33285 86 329 79 316 72 311 83 307 85 299 33285 31891 82 328 80 315 74 312 82 308 79 302 31891 30442 76 318 82 316 78 310 78 307 73 301 30442 28925 74 310 79 313 77 307 76 306 67 300 28925 27345 70 306 72 308 74 305 69 308 61 303 27345 25703 66 302 66 307 72 306 59 307 57 307 25703 24001 58 301 60 310 63 306 53 308 56 305 24001 22237 53 303 49 308 52 303 52 311 55 301 22237 20408 50 311 41 306 45 301 46 305 47 298 20408 18508 46 321 37 310 38 300 38 297 38 299 18508 16576 40 317 36 318 33 306 34 301 34 299 16576 14722 37 309 34 317 31 306 33 306 34 295 14722 13045 35 309 28 310 29 305 32 306 31 288 13045 11564 29 313 21 307 26 304 32 299 28 286 11564 10248 22 312 15 306 22 304 27 289 25 282 10248 9074 17 305 12 299 16 300 18 275 20 269 9074 8028 12 293 10 282 12 287 12 258 16 253 8028 7098 8 278 8 258 10 264 11 240 14 239 7098 6275 6 262 8 238 10 241 10 223 11 219 6275 5546 5 255 6 230 6 219 8 201 10 189 5546 4891 4 255 4 221 4*157 8 170 11 167 4891 4311 2 258 3 201 5*131 8 148 13 155 4311 3826 1 233 2 160 5 121 8 137 12 148 3826 3452 1 181 3 126 5 116 8 131 10 145 3452 3195 2 180 3 112 5 113 7 126 6 136 3195 3039 1*195 3*105 5 111 5*122 3*108 3039 2949 1*202 3*104 5 110 4*115 2*057 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography