DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.0 - - 37.0 - - 41.9 - - 39.8 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 19 - - 52 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 272 - - 764 - - 1639 - - 1290 - - 420 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 29 - - 40 - - 9 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 121 - - 129 - - 131 - - 127 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1943 - - -2491 - - -2557 - - -1589 - - -943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4894 - - 5441 - - 5509 - - 4540 - - 3893 sfcLCL ODpotential -12503 - - -11063 - - -9436 - - -8889 - - -10852 ODpotential blCL 15453 - - 14013 - - 12387 - - 11840 - - 13802 blCL maxRH 76 - - 78 - - 76 - - 80 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.0 - - 37.0 - - 41.9 - - 39.8 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 24.3 - - 28.7 - - 30.9 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.4 - - 36.7 - - 41.1 - - 40.8 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.1 - - 23.3 - - 27.6 - - 29.7 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 19 - - 52 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 13 - - 4 - - 19 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95870 35 326 35 333 30 341 28 340 26 347 95870 89041 32 346 17 347 22 343 31 350 26 351 89041 83660 25 342 14 325 21 326 25 352 21 002 83660 79145 17 334 15 337 19 343 20 344 15 347 79145 75220 17 341 19 334 20 339 21 341 15 004 75220 71711 19 350 13 325 18 324 22 328 20 345 71711 68500 13 022 12 031 14 325 15 329 21 328 68500 65541 20 009 17 004 16 343 15 331 19 314 65541 62805 25 325 15 327 20 304 9 320 18 297 62805 60158 23 356 21 356 14 328 18 324 19 301 60158 57387 36 347 32 338 27 323 25 306 26 299 57387 54504 45 334 33 331 30 322 32 295 33 290 54504 51752 49 327 35 318 32 297 35 289 35 273 51752 49274 45 329 31 317 28 294 36 285 29 286 49274 47049 39 344 34 322 35 306 40 289 38 296 47049 45042 38 345 47 315 49 303 47 288 46 286 45042 43231 44 335 47 306 49 289 51 282 52 285 43231 41596 41 335 24 308 37 282 50 282 61 274 41596 40099 40 333 30 311 38 291 56 289 57 264 40099 38700 37 332 36 314 45 296 59 290 53 263 38700 37376 33 333 35 319 42 294 55 290 52 274 37376 36095 32 335 32 320 37 290 50 290 57 283 36095 34797 30 338 27 321 35 286 45 286 61 285 34797 33453 27 335 26 322 34 281 40 281 61 283 33453 32065 22 329 27 320 36 283 40 279 61 281 32065 30618 22 324 31 314 36 291 42 283 56 284 30618 29105 27 311 32 314 32 299 40 286 43 293 29105 27525 31 301 33 310 31 301 26 290 41 292 27525 25881 29 292 33 305 33 296 21 301 30 287 25881 24173 29 295 30 301 33 292 25 304 26 292 24173 22406 22 307 24 297 26 287 29 302 24 297 22406 20574 14 322 15 295 21 277 25 296 23 294 20574 18671 10 334 9 268 17 252 16 280 20 287 18671 16732 8 350 7 242 15 235 15 254 17 274 16732 14864 7 010 4 225 14 221 18 232 16 259 14864 13166 6 035 5 199 13 209 20 222 18 239 13166 11658 6 066 7 188 14 202 19 216 19 228 11658 10318 5 105 8 188 14 199 17 212 17 221 10318 9125 4 149 10 189 14 196 16 209 14 215 9125 8064 4 177 10 187 14 194 14 207 12 208 8064 7122 5 197 10 182 13 191 13 203 12 199 7122 6290 5 204 10 174 12 186 12 193 13 186 6290 5553 5 192 9 163 11 179 11 176 16 172 5553 4894 5 170 10 155 10 170 12 160 19 163 4894 4310 6 155 10 152 10 160 14 151 23 160 4310 3824 6 149 10 153 10 149 13 149 25 159 3824 3450 5 146 9 153 9 140 12 146 23 159 3450 3194 4 141 6 147 8 136 10 143 17 159 3194 3038 3*126 4*138 8*133 8*137 12*155 3038 2949 2*121 2*129 6*131 4*127 3*135 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography