DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 49.2 - - 49.3 - - 49.1 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 35 - - 53 - - 3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 601 - - 4353 - - 4046 - - 3616 - - 1898 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 36 - - 41 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 310 - - 342 - - 326 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -3 - - 4 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -760 - - -251 - - -324 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2950 - - 3712 - - 3202 - - 3276 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential -2456 - - -1556 - - -842 - - -1146 - - -1931 ODpotential blCL 5407 - - 4507 - - 3793 - - 4097 - - 4882 blCL maxRH 97 - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 150 - - 280 - - 160 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 49.2 - - 49.3 - - 49.1 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 43.2 - - 45.4 - - 45.0 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.8 - - 48.7 - - 48.5 - - 48.9 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 42.2 - - 44.4 - - 44.2 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 35 - - 53 - - 3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 92 - - 99 - - 96 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96164 13 269 12 288 12 271 14 297 11 279 96164 89055 7 290 18 294 17 294 18 290 12 306 89055 83564 20 298 21 284 29 300 30 309 21 316 83564 79007 26 299 23 293 33 299 30 304 26 307 79007 75082 33 305 30 302 33 297 34 303 34 309 75082 71616 35 306 34 299 40 297 40 298 39 308 71616 68473 39 305 36 297 42 287 43 291 42 302 68473 65567 44 297 39 298 39 278 45 293 41 292 65567 62849 46 292 41 297 41 289 47 295 47 296 62849 60200 49 291 47 299 49 291 55 295 54 291 60200 57414 52 288 56 293 58 291 58 285 55 292 57414 54498 55 288 63 286 62 288 57 285 63 289 54498 51702 59 287 64 284 62 286 61 286 67 281 51702 49176 62 281 61 285 62 281 62 283 56 277 49176 46901 64 276 61 282 64 282 57 291 47 292 46901 44829 61 275 63 276 63 286 61 298 60 308 44829 42930 55 275 59 274 52 287 59 301 67 305 42930 41182 51 270 49 275 43 295 52 297 59 303 41182 39570 41 271 38 277 40 298 41 303 50 304 39570 38082 38 271 27 278 33 292 41 317 37 311 38082 36710 36 264 20 298 23 314 34 319 37 337 36710 35416 25 257 19 303 25 348 25 340 40 340 35416 34121 16 274 16 351 32 005 28 006 36 342 34121 32791 10 283 24 024 31 018 33 011 36 349 32791 31423 3 034 32 036 31 028 35 014 36 356 31423 30004 10 050 33 039 31 036 38 019 34 005 30004 28522 16 048 26 047 35 037 39 024 33 012 28522 26978 15 033 20 057 35 034 36 026 32 017 26978 25372 4 342 18 060 32 030 29 035 31 016 25372 23709 3 309 18 056 24 030 25 032 28 015 23709 21994 2 244 16 042 18 044 23 020 26 021 21994 20219 4 175 13 054 16 032 19 017 26 026 20219 18377 5 170 10 070 13 027 16 015 24 039 18377 16504 4 186 4 059 11 032 14 026 17 047 16504 14697 3 212 3 002 10 012 12 028 13 046 14697 13049 1 288 6 350 9 009 9 019 12 043 13049 11580 3 341 9 328 10 001 8 013 11 037 11580 10270 4 326 10 307 11 353 7 350 10 027 10270 9101 6 308 10 303 9 341 8 326 11 019 9101 8058 9 303 8 301 9 312 10 312 13 016 8058 7129 12 305 8 284 10 299 12 307 14 010 7129 6306 13 310 8 277 10 300 13 308 14 003 6306 5575 15 310 9 272 10 306 13 309 13 356 5575 4917 17 304 10 268 10 314 13 310 11 346 4917 4331 21 293 8 268 9 322 12 313 11 332 4331 3841 23 284 5 277 9 333 11 320 11 317 3841 3462 21 278 3 292 8 337 10 323 11 304 3462 3200 15 276 3 301 8 339 10 324 9 295 3200 3042 10*277 3*306 8*340 9*326 7*288 3042 2950 4*276 2*310 7*342 7*326 5*281 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography