DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 50.2 - - 42.1 - - 33.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 60 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 379 - - 1194 - - 659 - - 335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 41 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 054 - - 010 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 6 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4038 - - -4649 - - -1824 - - -174 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6989 - - 7600 - - 4775 - - 3125 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15113 - - -13778 - - -11829 - - -12000 ODpotential blCL - - - 18064 - - 16729 - - 14780 - - 14950 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 52 - - 55 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 50.2 - - 42.1 - - 33.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 27.7 - - 31.9 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 49.4 - - 45.3 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.8 - - 27.1 - - 31.6 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 60 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96855 57 054 64 061 62 057 56 070 96855 89861 46 055 46 054 50 065 41 064 89861 84398 42 065 31 065 37 066 32 067 84398 79813 38 075 24 093 24 066 24 067 79813 75810 24 072 19 084 17 073 14 070 75810 72252 16 054 10 052 12 032 11 040 72252 69037 10 349 10 348 9 334 15 330 69037 66087 10 349 6 337 9 295 14 311 66087 63358 18 320 17 330 9 305 13 301 63358 60718 21 311 24 318 17 310 16 299 60718 57963 18 313 29 308 21 304 25 310 57963 55099 22 298 31 300 30 303 30 304 55099 52347 28 290 36 295 32 297 29 305 52347 49851 32 288 40 288 36 295 34 300 49851 47610 35 286 39 277 41 289 39 289 47610 45577 38 284 37 277 44 285 42 280 45577 43709 41 283 35 286 42 286 34 282 43709 41986 41 281 37 292 36 285 33 298 41986 40398 42 280 37 284 31 285 36 308 40398 38930 37 275 32 273 34 286 38 311 38930 37565 24 271 25 264 31 272 35 309 37565 36261 19 291 21 269 23 260 33 307 36261 34950 20 301 16 281 14 254 32 301 34950 33597 21 298 12 300 8 248 28 285 33597 32202 20 289 11 316 4 272 24 279 32202 30752 16 284 9 318 3 316 20 283 30752 29235 13 270 9 291 4 318 12 285 29235 27649 17 256 13 272 7 284 16 293 27649 25994 18 254 15 262 13 274 22 306 25994 24276 20 255 15 254 16 266 22 304 24276 22500 21 249 17 249 17 265 14 286 22500 20663 22 237 19 244 17 267 16 261 20663 18755 23 230 20 242 17 268 18 260 18755 16816 23 236 20 249 15 268 18 270 16816 14948 23 244 19 256 14 276 16 280 14948 13247 23 247 19 257 15 295 13 284 13247 11734 22 240 20 253 15 301 11 284 11734 10387 20 232 19 245 13 291 10 277 10387 9187 16 226 16 242 13 276 11 269 9187 8117 13 226 15 248 14 262 14 262 8117 7167 10 228 15 254 15 251 15 253 7167 6326 9 230 14 255 14 241 13 238 6326 5581 10 224 12 252 11 224 11 213 5581 4912 12 208 7 241 8 194 11 188 4912 4320 15 187 4 207 8 166 11 171 4320 3828 17 172 2 159 7 150 7 158 3828 3452 14 168 2 075 4 120 3 117 3452 3195 8 164 2 060 2 064 2 027 3195 3039 5*158 2*055 2*021 2*005 3039 2949 2*147 2*054 2*010 2*327 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography