DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.7 - - 40.6 - - 46.6 - - 41.9 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - -9 - - 18 - - -26 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 101 - - 494 - - 4198 - - 3082 - - 443 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 10 - - 29 - - 9 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 277 - - 293 - - 307 - - 326 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -9 - - -7 - - 1 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -831 - - -681 - - -1222 - - -800 - - -328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3783 - - 3632 - - 4174 - - 3751 - - 3278 sfcLCL ODpotential -5606 - - -3350 - - -2105 - - -2437 - - -3461 ODpotential blCL 8557 - - 6301 - - 5056 - - 5388 - - 6411 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 97 - - 84 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.7 - - 40.6 - - 46.6 - - 41.9 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 35.2 - - 38.8 - - 36.0 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.4 - - 41.5 - - 46.3 - - 43.2 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.8 - - 34.4 - - 38.1 - - 35.7 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - -9 - - 18 - - -26 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 101 - - 89 - - 36 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96618 37 092 33 089 34 091 40 100 42 085 96618 89516 26 079 33 079 33 087 35 097 39 085 89516 83952 19 078 29 071 26 090 29 090 33 081 83952 79298 18 063 19 071 20 085 21 072 29 076 79298 75270 18 059 9 066 16 063 17 066 22 061 75270 71687 16 033 9 045 11 037 14 031 18 043 71687 68445 13 026 8 034 8 014 9 002 15 351 68445 65462 16 354 16 353 18 341 13 336 14 324 65462 62667 11 321 21 315 26 319 20 323 18 309 62667 59936 9 338 18 296 27 303 23 316 18 311 59936 57075 15 288 17 306 27 300 26 308 25 323 57075 54113 30 299 26 308 31 296 36 302 36 313 54113 51313 34 295 31 289 30 304 40 311 38 321 51313 48819 35 306 31 304 42 312 49 316 51 316 48819 46608 51 319 48 315 47 302 50 308 49 309 46608 44620 63 311 59 306 42 308 48 316 48 318 44620 42816 60 301 50 298 47 323 59 325 61 318 42816 41177 53 305 36 320 72 328 75 324 68 312 41177 39676 61 322 61 340 93 325 85 318 75 313 39676 38274 75 326 94 333 103 321 90 318 80 310 38274 36953 80 325 110 326 103 320 92 318 81 310 36953 35676 77 320 113 324 100 319 93 318 80 311 35676 34379 70 317 108 326 97 320 91 318 79 312 34379 33035 61 316 100 329 92 324 87 318 77 313 33035 31649 59 314 90 332 87 332 82 322 75 314 31649 30209 60 311 78 333 82 339 73 331 71 313 30209 28703 58 307 68 327 81 345 73 341 67 316 28703 27131 53 305 65 325 81 346 76 344 65 318 27131 25494 50 303 65 329 82 346 74 347 62 321 25494 23797 49 302 57 328 78 351 72 350 59 328 23797 22041 47 302 47 318 70 355 69 352 57 337 22041 20225 46 303 46 312 60 348 63 352 54 351 20225 18351 46 304 40 315 49 334 55 351 50 360 18351 16454 43 304 29 318 39 327 46 350 45 005 16454 14635 35 301 24 316 31 325 39 346 40 010 14635 12982 30 297 26 307 30 326 37 342 36 012 12982 11511 28 294 25 310 29 329 35 342 32 010 11511 10202 24 301 22 322 27 331 33 344 28 008 10202 9035 20 311 23 324 26 333 29 344 25 005 9035 7998 19 320 23 325 26 335 25 342 21 003 7998 7077 21 325 22 327 26 335 23 340 15 358 7077 6263 24 324 21 329 26 332 22 340 13 355 6263 5540 27 319 19 332 24 325 22 340 14 002 5540 4890 29 312 18 328 22 319 22 339 15 009 4890 4311 29 303 19 319 19 313 21 338 15 008 4311 3827 27 295 17 308 17 308 20 338 15 354 3827 3453 23 289 15 295 14 306 18 337 14 334 3453 3195 17 284 12 290 12 306 15 334 13 315 3195 3039 12*283 8*290 11*306 13*331 11*303 3039 2949 6*277 4*293 8*307 7*326 7*290 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography