DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 46.5 - - 51.3 - - 51.2 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 21 - - 16 - - 0 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 685 - - 1393 - - 2898 - - 3574 - - 488 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 30 - - 29 - - 16 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 145 - - 297 - - 290 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -5 - - -8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - -205 - - -73 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2950 - - 2950 - - 3157 - - 3024 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential -3280 - - -1649 - - -1469 - - -1299 - - -2307 ODpotential blCL 6231 - - 4600 - - 4421 - - 4250 - - 5258 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 46.5 - - 51.3 - - 51.2 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.8 - - 44.1 - - 47.4 - - 47.9 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.2 - - 46.2 - - 50.9 - - 51.0 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 43.5 - - 46.5 - - 47.1 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 21 - - 16 - - 0 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 98 - - 97 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96720 26 076 13 089 18 067 25 072 18 079 96720 89519 18 077 13 089 10 064 19 055 14 069 89519 83918 17 048 6 092 6 010 14 023 8 047 83918 79253 18 011 5 041 10 300 17 346 12 013 79253 75229 16 341 15 001 13 300 19 315 21 338 75229 71674 18 320 14 340 9 307 11 274 16 296 71674 68448 15 318 18 328 18 317 15 306 24 302 68448 65486 23 314 27 294 32 294 31 298 30 287 65486 62748 33 297 25 284 31 281 35 281 26 304 62748 60067 39 296 32 305 43 311 37 294 38 311 60067 57261 52 290 57 296 58 295 54 293 58 286 57261 54368 62 287 64 296 61 292 69 294 65 288 54368 51620 72 288 79 291 84 289 94 292 77 293 51620 49160 80 285 91 282 101 280 111 282 97 289 49160 46964 85 286 89 279 96 270 111 270 110 281 46964 44977 92 289 89 283 83 274 101 270 114 270 44977 43162 107 294 116 297 94 292 100 279 111 270 43162 41502 141 296 144 294 115 294 120 286 123 281 41502 39980 143 293 131 291 122 290 140 287 133 282 39980 38556 127 289 123 288 126 288 134 285 126 278 38556 37207 116 285 126 290 128 287 127 283 126 277 37207 35900 116 286 124 290 119 286 127 280 130 278 35900 34572 112 286 113 286 108 282 127 279 133 281 34572 33199 104 283 106 280 107 277 129 279 135 285 33199 31786 95 278 100 277 114 275 121 279 121 284 31786 30322 88 275 98 274 109 271 109 276 104 276 30322 28793 89 275 97 273 102 268 109 272 107 271 28793 27201 94 274 90 273 100 268 106 271 108 272 27201 25552 94 273 85 272 96 269 93 268 99 274 25552 23849 87 272 85 271 90 270 85 270 90 277 23849 22096 79 274 85 270 85 270 78 274 80 279 22096 20290 72 279 82 269 82 271 75 277 70 280 20290 18426 70 280 77 269 78 272 69 278 63 284 18426 16537 69 278 67 270 72 272 60 278 61 288 16537 14723 62 278 57 273 63 274 54 278 57 288 14723 13072 55 281 52 279 55 276 47 280 50 286 13072 11602 53 282 50 283 50 279 41 282 42 285 11602 10293 53 281 49 284 48 281 36 283 37 287 10293 9124 50 278 44 280 45 280 34 283 33 288 9124 8081 44 274 37 275 40 279 32 281 30 288 8081 7151 35 267 30 268 33 278 30 279 30 284 7151 6325 29 260 25 262 28 276 28 278 30 278 6325 5591 25 252 20 257 24 276 25 278 30 273 5591 4929 19 242 14 248 19 276 23 278 27 269 4929 4339 12 219 9 224 15 276 18 279 23 264 4339 3845 9 180 8 187 10 279 14 281 16 258 3845 3464 10 150 7 166 6 284 10 284 10 247 3464 3201 9 140 7 150 4 289 8 286 6 225 3201 3042 8*137 6*147 4*291 7*288 3*191 3042 2950 5*133 5*145 3*297 5*290 4*109 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography