DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.6 - - 47.5 - - 53.3 - - 53.8 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 63 - - 129 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 634 - - 1931 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2933 - - 3825 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3627 - - 4924 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 230 - - 1704 - - 1561 - - 3205 - - 864 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 147 - - 267 - - 31 - - 2 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 329 - - 325 - - 027 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1937 - - -2194 - - -2566 - - -4347 - - -1924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4888 - - 5821 - - 7490 - - 7300 - - 4875 sfcLCL ODpotential -11142 - - -8773 - - -8664 - - -9281 - - -8929 ODpotential blCL 14093 - - 12400 - - 13588 - - 12233 - - 11880 blCL maxRH 67 - - 67 - - 62 - - 51 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.6 - - 47.5 - - 53.3 - - 53.8 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 32.6 - - 31.0 - - 32.4 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 46.7 - - 52.1 - - 53.5 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 31.3 - - 29.8 - - 31.3 - - 32.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 63 - - 129 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 634 - - 1931 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96725 17 118 14 075 9 139 12 079 8 096 96725 89522 10 093 7 101 10 101 3 074 6 060 89522 83892 6 035 13 070 3 074 4 329 11 348 83892 79201 8 341 10 336 15 349 11 319 11 312 79201 75164 12 319 16 296 20 309 24 316 23 306 75164 71654 21 327 12 305 23 291 27 328 21 325 71654 68479 42 324 26 331 26 316 33 333 30 324 68479 65539 54 310 49 311 50 305 50 307 52 311 65539 62825 50 308 45 305 44 303 52 295 52 308 62825 60199 50 307 45 303 43 313 48 301 49 305 60199 57449 55 301 50 303 52 311 51 312 50 307 57449 54583 61 292 61 304 64 302 64 307 61 309 54583 51833 66 296 70 299 73 299 80 299 73 299 51833 49360 73 306 77 298 77 295 86 294 82 294 49360 47161 93 297 88 296 80 297 84 293 88 298 47161 45172 88 291 89 292 89 299 83 299 89 299 45172 43352 87 295 92 295 98 300 92 303 84 300 43352 41671 98 290 102 292 110 292 100 296 90 298 41671 40109 98 284 109 284 110 285 104 286 97 292 40109 38661 89 285 103 284 99 280 99 280 101 287 38661 37314 85 292 93 287 84 284 88 280 102 284 37314 36021 89 297 83 294 80 286 76 285 96 282 36021 34715 95 298 89 305 77 299 70 296 83 283 34715 33368 99 298 90 301 79 304 72 306 72 285 33368 31981 97 297 89 293 79 301 74 305 66 294 31981 30538 94 295 89 293 79 296 74 300 66 298 30538 29027 93 295 89 294 82 295 75 300 67 304 29027 27450 90 293 88 300 83 299 77 299 68 306 27450 25805 87 293 83 304 79 300 78 299 68 307 25805 24095 74 298 72 296 72 294 75 305 68 314 24095 22329 60 300 67 292 68 293 61 306 60 314 22329 20505 56 296 62 295 61 302 51 306 49 310 20505 18617 54 297 58 301 54 310 46 308 41 310 18617 16699 48 302 50 303 45 311 40 310 33 313 16699 14854 39 303 42 302 36 309 35 309 28 314 14854 13175 34 302 36 301 31 306 31 308 26 312 13175 11681 31 300 31 301 28 304 25 309 23 311 11681 10350 26 297 26 300 25 303 20 308 19 311 10350 9164 22 294 22 302 21 302 16 306 16 308 9164 8108 20 291 19 305 17 302 14 300 13 306 8108 7168 18 292 16 306 14 301 13 287 12 305 7168 6335 17 295 14 303 11 295 12 275 11 299 6335 5595 16 297 13 298 10*291 10 274 10 288 5595 4929 15 298 12 295 8*298 6 291 8 275 4929 4338 14 296 11 294 7 316 4 339 5 254 4338 3844 12 291 8*299 6 328 5 016 2 196 3844 3463 11 284 5*321 6 336 5 022 3 147 3463 3201 8 278 5 328 6 342 5 025 2 144 3201 3042 6*276 4 333 6 344 5*027 2*160 3042 2950 2*218 4 336 5 345 5*027 2*177 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography