DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/20 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 55.4 - - 55.2 - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 221 - - 14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2737 - - 3284 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4493 - - 5004 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5730 - - 6277 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1403 - - 1111 - - 3581 - - 1564 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 370 - - 25 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 340 - - 053 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1458 - - -2633 - - -5841 - - -3732 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7188 - - 8910 - - 8794 - - 6683 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11878 - - -11602 - - -14767 - - -14870 ODpotential blCL - - - 17608 - - 17879 - - 17719 - - 17821 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 57 - - 47 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 55.4 - - 55.2 - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.2 - - 27.0 - - 27.4 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 53.7 - - 54.9 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 26.6 - - 27.1 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 221 - - 14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2737 - - 3284 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97123 18 266 24 277 29 292 29 292 97123 89958 13 281 14 290 21 284 21 293 89958 84363 12 292 10 277 15 274 16 291 84363 79695 16 285 11 268 14 287 17 294 79695 75683 17 279 13 271 17 293 18 297 75683 72149 7 274 14 280 16 296 14 320 72149 68939 3 310 10 289 17 311 14 316 68939 65967 9 296 14 320 21 316 17 312 65967 63208 8 280 12 323 19 317 20 308 63208 60548 7 316 13 295 25 308 20 316 60548 57795 21 326 22 286 30 300 26 315 57795 54965 35 311 27 305 28 295 29 297 54965 52271 46 307 39 319 31 307 31 288 52271 49846 57 304 53 308 42 304 38 288 49846 47688 62 299 61 299 55 300 44 298 47688 45748 64 301 67 296 61 298 54 300 45748 43979 68 307 69 301 61 299 59 298 43979 42341 75 316 70 309 62 304 60 298 42341 40810 83 322 72 314 65 305 61 300 40810 39368 87 325 75 316 68 306 64 302 39368 38005 88 327 78 315 71 307 65 301 38005 36688 86 327 79 314 71 308 62 296 36688 35355 84 327 79 317 69 306 62 291 35355 33975 80 327 77 319 67 306 61 290 33975 32553 75 326 74 320 65 309 61 290 32553 31075 71 325 71 322 63 310 61 292 31075 29529 69 323 69 324 61 309 61 294 29529 27917 67 324 67 324 60 308 59 295 27917 26238 64 327 62 323 60 310 56 294 26238 24495 60 328 58 323 58 313 53 298 24495 22692 55 329 51 325 50 316 49 303 22692 20824 49 333 46 328 40 316 41 306 20824 18885 45 336 40 328 33 312 32 306 18885 16914 40 338 31 329 29 313 29 306 16914 15018 35 347 24 337 23 313 28 305 15018 13295 29 353 21 351 17 313 23 304 13295 11764 23 353 16 354 10 323 15 302 11764 10406 18 348 11 349 7 333 9 295 10406 9199 13 343 8 341 5 339 5 285 9199 8129 9 337 5 315 4 320 3 267 8129 7180 6 321 5 281 4 283 4 251 7180 6342 5*304 4*287 4 261 4 229 6342 5600 5*302 4*295 3 268 4 207 5600 4933 5 303 3 320 2 024 4 180 4933 4342 5 306 3 335 4 048 5 162 4342 3847 5 311 4 352 4 051 5 149 3847 3465 5 316 4 002 5 052 5 144 3465 3202 4 320 4 006 5 054 4 153 3202 3042 4 320 4 009 4*054 3*167 3042 2950 4 322 4 010 4*053 3*177 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography