DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 51.0 - - 51.6 - - 50.1 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 131 - - 322 - - 404 - - 260 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3439 - - 6126 - - 6178 - - 6355 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4861 - - 7357 - - 7498 - - 7429 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 6432 - - 9119 - - 9171 - - 9348 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3447 - - 3147 - - 3213 - - 3364 - - 7730 Hgt.Variab. W* 317 - - 518 - - 560 - - 488 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 23 - - 24 - - 25 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 328 - - 333 - - 345 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 20 - - 19 - - 15 - - 39 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -216 - - 121 - - -5 - - 1230 - - -4141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6649 - - 8998 - - 9177 - - 8118 - - 7093 sfcLCL ODpotential -941 - - -716 - - -601 - - 380 - - -5101 ODpotential blCL 7373 - - 9835 - - 9772 - - 8968 - - 8052 blCL maxRH 94 - - 98 - - 99 - - 92 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 10 - - 120 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 51.0 - - 51.6 - - 50.1 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 21.7 - - 21.4 - - 24.7 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 49.3 - - 49.5 - - 48.5 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.8 - - 21.0 - - 20.9 - - 24.2 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 131 - - 322 - - 404 - - 260 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3439 - - 6126 - - 6178 - - 6355 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 92 - - 97 - - 67 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97967 18 085 18 115 11 113 10 064 16 126 97967 90450 8 069 16 091 13 086 14 088 14 077 90450 84713 12 069 13 071 16 061 13 095 17 086 84713 79979 15 076 10 083 11 053 11 043 15 069 79979 75896 11 058 10 074 5 095 4 348 15 044 75896 72274 11 030 6 030 7 074 5 026 9 015 72274 68997 10 000 9 319 5 003 9 011 6 036 68997 65972 2 163 6 293 10 307 11 009 10 026 65972 63149 15 336 12 016 12 300 14 347 10 350 63149 60407 31 306 18 332 5 023 5 311 13 351 60407 57538 37 284 22 319 14 342 12 314 17 334 57538 54554 32 287 31 308 17 299 16 319 20 302 54554 51702 40 306 37 292 13 313 14 264 26 304 51702 49136 53 308 43 304 33 318 29 304 42 315 49136 46843 59 307 61 306 54 311 52 308 54 303 46843 44772 76 311 71 305 67 304 61 301 54 299 44772 42881 108 300 95 306 83 306 70 308 59 306 42881 41140 121 288 130 293 113 303 93 310 71 307 41140 39526 115 290 133 285 134 289 116 302 81 305 39526 38019 117 301 121 288 129 283 123 294 87 302 38019 36607 123 304 118 299 121 287 115 292 90 299 36607 35255 121 298 135 304 119 296 108 295 92 296 35255 33893 120 294 140 301 130 301 113 297 91 293 33893 32493 120 292 136 295 136 300 123 297 90 292 32493 31060 119 290 136 296 136 299 131 296 89 294 31060 29582 117 288 136 299 132 298 136 294 87 297 29582 28052 121 286 135 299 129 293 136 292 86 299 28052 26472 124 285 131 293 131 289 135 290 83 300 26472 24846 122 284 132 289 134 288 135 290 79 302 24846 23180 118 286 134 288 136 290 133 295 65 307 23180 21481 113 289 132 291 132 295 104 304 37 316 21481 19745 101 293 121 297 110 303 68 306 23 320 19745 17962 83 294 91 299 72 306 46 294 8 036 17962 16155 66 291 63 286 48 293 36 282 16 029 16155 14413 56 283 53 273 37 277 32 296 15 008 14413 12823 50 280 40 278 35 281 31 310 16 345 12823 11404 42 285 28 287 31 287 31 320 19 339 11404 10134 35 292 27*290 28*299 29*325 22 346 10134 8998 30 296 24*303 25*309 28*328 24 350 8998 7981 26 300 23 315 24 320 27 333 24 350 7981 7072 21*307 24 323 24 331 26 339 24 351 7072 6265 19*318 24 329 25 336 26 346 23 352 6265 5545 18 328 24 333 25 338 26 351 22 354 5545 4896 18 336 24 335 25 340 26 353 22 356 4896 4318 18 338 24 337 25 341 25 354 21 357 4318 3832 18 339 24 338 24 342 25 355 20 358 3832 3457 17 340 23 339 24 342 25 355 19 358 3457 3198 17 341 23 339 23 343 24 355 16 358 3198 3040 16 342 21 340 21 343 22 356 14*358 3040 2950 12 342 17 340 17 343 17 356 10*358 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography