DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 53.5 - - 50.0 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 4 - - -13 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 545 - - 821 - - 583 - - 281 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 15 - - 22 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 136 - - 183 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - -8 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -512 - - -743 - - -313 - - -908 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3463 - - 3695 - - 3266 - - 3860 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5985 - - -4535 - - -4801 - - -6537 ODpotential blCL - - - 8936 - - 7487 - - 7753 - - 9488 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 86 - - 83 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 53.5 - - 50.0 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.6 - - 47.2 - - 45.6 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 53.3 - - 53.3 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 46.0 - - 45.0 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 4 - - -13 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 44 - - 32 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95895 29 309 31 333 30 320 19 336 95895 88833 22 325 24 318 30 312 26 325 88833 83351 23 311 23 296 24 319 15 309 83351 78798 16 307 17 300 28 307 25 308 78798 74860 26 292 26 294 31 292 28 297 74860 71372 25 269 26 274 27 278 30 290 71372 68216 34 271 29 267 22 270 30 268 68216 65306 40 266 29 260 25 271 25 254 65306 62575 43 258 39 257 28 261 28 249 62575 59899 47 252 51 257 37 265 44 254 59899 57090 55 252 61 249 50 251 52 251 57090 54177 66 247 71 244 59 246 57 253 54177 51387 75 240 74 241 64 249 67 253 51387 48863 74 237 75 239 76 242 83 238 48863 46615 73 240 78 239 92 238 90 229 46615 44603 84 242 91 239 104 235 94 232 44603 42774 103 241 108 235 110 232 108 234 42774 41095 119 238 117 232 117 229 115 231 41095 39545 139 233 120 232 129 229 116 227 39545 38107 155 231 125 232 135 228 116 225 38107 36765 147 232 127 230 132 229 113 226 36765 35480 131 233 121 229 121 231 108 227 35480 34185 105 230 109 228 106 233 103 228 34185 32851 85 223 96 226 93 234 94 229 32851 31481 85 228 87 226 86 235 75 230 31481 30060 78 230 81 227 80 236 63 226 30060 28576 72 230 73 228 73 233 66 224 28576 27032 66 231 65 230 68 230 64 224 27032 25427 63 233 60 233 63 229 61 224 25427 23766 61 233 57 235 58 228 57 227 23766 22051 61 234 55 234 55 228 52 231 22051 20278 59 233 55 231 54 228 48 232 20278 18441 56 232 54 228 53 230 46 230 18441 16575 51 230 51 229 52 232 44 230 16575 14779 47 230 49 233 51 235 43 231 14779 13142 44 232 48 238 49 236 42 230 13142 11681 43 235 46 241 45 234 40 226 11681 10372 39 236 43 242 40 230 37 221 10372 9199 34 235 38 241 33 224 32 217 9199 8148 32 235 34 240 27 219 28 214 8148 7207 31 234 31 236 21 211 24 208 7207 6371 29 231 25 231 16 197 22 200 6371 5626 25 223 19 221 15 179 21 190 5626 4953 20 210 14 204 17 166 21 178 4953 4355 16 192 12 181 21 158 23 165 4355 3854 11 179 12 165 23 155 27 156 3854 3469 5 171 11 159 20 159 26 156 3469 3204 1 160 7 146 15 166 19 161 3204 3043 1*005 6*141 11*170 15*165 3043 2950 1*005 4*136 5*183 5*173 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography