DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.3 - - 30.0 - - 33.6 - - 29.4 - - 27.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 3 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2932 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 2950 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 383 - - 698 - - 1292 - - 1000 - - 606 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 16 - - 37 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 145 - - 098 - - 116 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2949 - - 2949 - - 2949 - - 2949 - - 2949 sfcLCL ODpotential -4078 - - -2895 - - -627 - - -3274 - - -3872 ODpotential blCL 7028 - - 5845 - - 3577 - - 6224 - - 6822 blCL maxRH 92 - - 89 - - 95 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.3 - - 30.0 - - 33.6 - - 29.4 - - 27.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.6 - - 28.1 - - 31.3 - - 28.7 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.9 - - 30.1 - - 33.0 - - 30.2 - - 28.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.2 - - 27.8 - - 30.9 - - 29.3 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 3 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 57 - - 79 - - 96 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95755 30 319 39 311 52 314 47 315 45 305 95755 88773 21 342 32 324 37 327 31 329 39 319 88773 83314 24 357 22 347 26 346 17 337 28 329 83314 78736 26 357 16 009 18 357 16 340 19 341 78736 74734 24 343 22 339 19 337 22 323 18 344 74734 71158 17 327 22 310 25 308 25 315 22 333 71158 67907 19 307 22 302 26 305 25 316 25 318 67907 64914 25 303 24 304 28 301 26 309 28 309 64914 62131 31 299 28 304 31 292 31 301 32 304 62131 59434 33 291 33 299 32 286 34 296 34 299 59434 56609 33 289 35 290 32 288 37 294 35 292 56609 53665 35 290 35 286 37 287 39 289 38 286 53665 50851 38 287 39 285 42 282 43 290 39 282 50851 48318 42 279 42 279 43 279 44 287 39 280 48318 46050 47 273 44 272 45 272 43 280 42 283 46050 43991 50 272 43 266 44 268 40 277 41 283 43991 42109 54 272 42 265 42 267 39 275 36 280 42109 40382 58 266 45 268 40 269 37 272 33 282 40382 38787 58 263 49 267 41 272 34 274 34 279 38787 37311 58 264 50 263 40 269 35 273 29 276 37311 35941 56 264 49 262 36 266 32 267 20 279 35941 34638 54 264 46 260 30 265 19 271 9 278 34638 33335 53 264 42 260 24 263 10 286 12 045 33335 32006 55 264 39 260 16 269 7 041 27 063 32006 30655 62 263 37 262 8 300 24 069 35 068 30655 29259 69 262 37 263 8 005 35 072 35 069 29259 27804 71 261 37 264 10 346 41 072 35 068 27804 26291 65 261 34 262 15 287 38 070 34 066 26291 24722 53 263 30 262 20 264 22 061 33 065 24722 23100 42 269 27 273 21 283 7 327 26 068 23100 21432 37 280 29 281 25 284 17 301 10 045 21432 19715 29 278 27 278 23 279 19 304 7 339 19715 17933 26 278 21 273 20 274 15 287 8 271 17933 16117 28 279 22 277 18 280 16 278 7 263 16117 14365 28 275 26 272 24 289 19 290 11 272 14365 12766 26 275 26 268 27 278 21 290 17 263 12766 11342 23 275 22 269 26 270 20 285 18 258 11342 10072 21 273 19 271 22 268 20 279 13 261 10072 8938 19 272 17 271 17 268 19 274 11 283 8938 7923 15 278 15 269 14 262 19 269 13 290 7923 7017 12 283 12 266 13 255 18 266 13 289 7017 6212 10 290 9 261 11 251 16 264 11 286 6212 5497 9 292 7 265 9 251 12 261 10 280 5497 4853 7 282 6 261 7 245 8 255 9 273 4853 4283 4 252 4 234 4 220 4 224 6 258 4283 3806 4 189 4 196 3 142 3 176 3 214 3806 3441 7 169 5 174 4 111 4 145 2 156 3441 3189 7 160 5 156 5 102 3 121 1 118 3189 3036 7*153 4*148 5*098 3*118 1*096 3036 2949 5*151 3*145 4*098 3*116 1*089 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography