DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.9 - - 43.2 - - 38.6 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 86 - - -27 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 873 - - 1126 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3866 - - 4119 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 830 - - 984 - - 1140 - - 302 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 191 - - 8 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 17 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 151 - - 143 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -9 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -214 - - -2384 - - -2546 - - -2263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4080 - - 6503 - - 5497 - - 5214 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7088 - - -8209 - - -8523 - - -8988 ODpotential blCL - - - 10954 - - 12328 - - 11474 - - 11938 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 82 - - 91 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.9 - - 43.2 - - 38.6 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 25.3 - - 25.2 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 42.3 - - 40.3 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.9 - - 24.5 - - 24.7 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 86 - - -27 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 873 - - 1126 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 26 - - 63 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97161 87 097 65 100 66 087 71 094 97161 89965 65 097 62 103 66 088 76 092 89965 84349 50 097 49 092 60 091 69 094 84349 79625 42 090 33 099 49 086 61 091 79625 75522 24 078 30 080 35 085 36 082 75522 71883 16 076 23 061 28 072 24 079 71883 68570 12 042 18 035 24 049 21 061 68570 65518 10 033 11 004 18 010 23 027 65518 62692 18 014 9 021 15 341 20 359 62692 59953 26 005 16 354 16 340 22 345 59953 57095 30 344 20 348 22 339 24 338 57095 54132 30 322 30 328 31 330 24 339 54132 51310 33 320 30 317 30 323 31 345 51310 48784 35 310 34 322 36 333 40 330 48784 46533 35 320 47 322 43 323 41 324 46533 44500 51 322 45 318 40 321 44 326 44500 42647 54 316 46 323 43 330 45 329 42647 40943 53 314 53 320 48 329 48 330 40943 39363 58 308 54 316 53 329 51 332 39363 37896 57 300 55 315 56 329 58 333 37896 36527 53 310 56 317 58 328 65 328 36527 35219 54 315 58 321 62 326 67 322 35219 33905 56 313 59 324 66 325 66 319 33905 32560 55 308 60 324 63 321 66 315 32560 31186 59 301 61 320 58 314 67 311 31186 29767 65 301 61 314 58 310 65 306 29767 28290 67 309 60 308 59 307 62 300 28290 26755 56 315 59 306 58 305 61 297 26755 25159 44 308 54 308 53 301 61 296 25159 23507 47 306 44 302 49 296 57 296 23507 21801 45 305 40 289 45 292 49 296 21801 20031 35 301 35 282 41 286 41 293 20031 18192 24 288 28 269 36 273 35 288 18192 16328 19 274 23 260 31 257 29 283 16328 14540 16 271 18 256 24 243 23 281 14540 12915 13 272 13 247 19 234 20 271 12915 11468 8 282 11 238 17 224 19 267 11468 10176 5 294 9 228 15 217 19 264 10176 9021 3 294 8 218 14 209 20 256 9021 7989 1 257 7 205 13 205 18 248 7989 7069 2 166 7 196 13 202 15 238 7069 6253 6 153 8 187 14 197 14 217 6253 5529 11 155 12 176 16 187 15 189 5529 4879 19 161 16 166 19 173 21 170 4879 4302 22*162 19*159 21 162 27 159 4302 3820 22*161 19*153 21 156 29 156 3820 3449 21 161 18 151 19 151 25 157 3449 3193 20 160 18 150 16 148 19 160 3193 3038 18 159 16 149 13*146 14*161 3038 2949 12 157 12 147 7*143 6*161 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography