DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.1 - - 39.2 - - 49.4 - - 45.8 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - -3 - - 16 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 144 - - 236 - - 1778 - - 1425 - - 400 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 119 - - 124 - - 131 - - 073 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 2 - - -150 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2950 - - 2950 - - 3101 - - 2950 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential -5167 - - -3949 - - -1850 - - -2003 - - -4638 ODpotential blCL 8118 - - 6900 - - 4801 - - 4954 - - 7589 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 90 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.1 - - 39.2 - - 49.4 - - 45.8 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.0 - - 37.6 - - 45.9 - - 44.7 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 41.6 - - 49.0 - - 48.3 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 38.6 - - 45.1 - - 45.9 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - -3 - - 16 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 88 - - 58 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95777 29 338 18 342 26 321 34 344 23 319 95777 88886 20 359 16 002 14 342 23 325 24 335 88886 83486 16 003 15 005 11 008 15 312 20 323 83486 78955 11 353 12 349 14 352 11 326 14 316 78955 75023 9 358 9 357 12 332 11 340 10 325 75023 71523 7 324 6 358 10 322 10 307 8 296 71523 68334 9 281 7 288 12 295 12 299 10 290 68334 65388 9 284 10 284 11 274 13 296 13 282 65388 62645 12 270 11 282 11 289 13 282 14 271 62645 59986 11 270 18 271 18 284 15 297 10 270 59986 57209 20 278 17 258 19 268 22 285 19 279 57209 54321 26 284 25 267 24 265 27 267 24 267 54321 51564 35 282 29 270 28 262 30 267 33 267 51564 49077 36 280 33 268 33 258 42 260 36 266 49077 46845 36 278 32 260 40 260 47 259 45 259 46845 44820 35 272 34 260 43 260 49 263 50 254 44820 42975 33 265 38 258 46 263 54 264 48 253 42975 41281 34 264 33 262 54 268 63 263 61 259 41281 39734 41 268 50 278 61 270 70 259 78 252 39734 38316 43 274 64 273 66 270 68 257 72 249 38316 36990 47 280 63 272 70 271 67 265 69 252 36990 35711 47 284 58 276 70 273 67 265 73 253 35711 34414 49 289 57 282 67 274 62 261 69 251 34414 33072 54 292 61 285 63 276 62 257 62 250 33072 31689 55 290 60 286 58 277 59 258 57 248 31689 30255 47 285 55 285 53 276 53 259 52 246 30255 28757 40 274 49 284 50 275 49 260 49 247 28757 27198 34 263 44 282 48 276 47 261 46 249 27198 25576 33 261 39 282 43 274 45 261 45 252 25576 23893 32 262 35 280 40 268 43 262 43 252 23893 22153 31 264 32 278 36 266 41 263 39 251 22153 20350 30 267 29 276 31 265 38 265 34 252 20350 18480 27 265 27 279 29 263 34 266 29 254 18480 16581 25 257 23 284 29 265 29 262 26 251 16581 14753 24 261 19 274 24 265 25 256 24 245 14753 13091 19 266 15 258 17 253 22 247 22 240 13091 11612 15 265 14 246 15 245 19 234 21 238 11612 10294 15 270 15 247 16 243 17 227 21 232 10294 9118 14 274 15 255 14 236 15 217 19 221 9118 8070 15 283 14 271 10 238 13 201 17 206 8070 7137 17 292 14 289 7 244 11 183 16 187 7137 6309 19 292 14 292 5 232 11 170 18 170 6309 5574 18 287 14 287 5 216 11 161 18 158 5574 4913 16 277 12 278 6 199 12 154 19 151 4913 4326 12 264 10 264 7 172 13 149 19 150 4326 3835 9 248 7 243 9 155 12 147 15 150 3835 3457 6 221 6 209 8 147 10 144 8 145 3457 3197 5 178 5 174 7 137 7 139 4 139 3197 3040 5*143 4*147 6*132 3*125 1*071 3040 2950 4*119 3*124 5*131 1*073 3*329 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography