DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 51.5 - - 61.7 - - 64.5 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 267 - - 297 - - 66 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1377 - - 1763 - - 1577 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 3685 - - 3996 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 4370 - - 4756 - - 4570 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 268 - - 675 - - 1012 - - 1386 - - 1066 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 295 - - 334 - - 198 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 17 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 132 - - 148 - - 144 - - 141 - - 106 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -7 - - -7 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6122 - - -6492 - - -8762 - - -10023 - - -9676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9073 - - 10862 - - 13519 - - 14594 - - 12629 sfcLCL ODpotential -17537 - - -14996 - - -15850 - - -17380 - - -18132 ODpotential blCL 20487 - - 19366 - - 20606 - - 21950 - - 21084 blCL maxRH 70 - - 76 - - 58 - - 73 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 51.5 - - 61.7 - - 64.5 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.9 - - 14.9 - - 13.0 - - 10.9 - - 10.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.6 - - 49.8 - - 59.7 - - 63.7 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.3 - - 14.0 - - 11.9 - - 9.9 - - 9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 267 - - 297 - - 66 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1377 - - 1763 - - 1577 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96158 25 274 22 284 27 283 22 311 18 315 96158 88952 21 281 19 275 23 290 23 301 24 314 88952 83462 34 300 21 289 26 285 29 301 30 313 83462 78950 35 293 32 296 29 288 28 288 30 298 78950 75065 32 287 36 293 36 299 27 300 27 308 75065 71612 33 289 34 293 39 293 34 300 31 312 71612 68466 35 289 33 287 37 285 35 293 34 306 68466 65564 35 295 32 284 37 280 37 294 35 298 65564 62875 42 288 39 284 39 282 40 290 37 292 62875 60266 45 280 44 279 43 280 39 287 39 288 60266 57526 52 281 50 278 51 276 51 280 50 280 57526 54676 66 278 60 274 63 272 62 273 60 271 54676 51953 72 275 70 272 73 273 72 275 67 274 51953 49492 82 276 76 273 81 273 79 275 73 274 49492 47278 85 273 80 271 84 267 84 272 75 271 47278 45269 83 270 84 268 87 266 87 267 76 268 45269 43442 80 270 81 266 84 265 82 267 71 267 43442 41773 78 272 76 266 75 266 70 264 63 267 41773 40240 78 273 70 272 62 268 57 260 54 264 40240 38820 78 271 72 272 60 271 53 265 52 261 38820 37488 73 268 73 269 64 270 54 267 51 261 37488 36202 69 267 70 266 65 269 51 269 45 262 36202 34898 65 268 66 267 63 269 46 272 38 260 34898 33550 60 270 64 268 60 271 43 273 38 270 33550 32158 57 275 62 271 55 271 39 277 37 270 32158 30709 56 277 59 274 51 277 41 284 36 263 30709 29191 54 278 56 275 49 283 41 283 36 261 29191 27609 52 275 52 271 49 279 38 283 35 257 27609 25963 47 275 47 268 51 280 35 277 35 258 25963 24257 43 277 40 269 47 281 39 272 36 265 24257 22495 43 277 36 273 40 279 39 272 37 269 22495 20673 41 277 35 271 34 276 35 270 37 271 20673 18781 33 277 30 268 27 268 29 268 35 272 18781 16856 24 270 22 261 22 254 24 259 28 268 16856 15002 18 267 18 248 19 243 19 249 22 262 15002 13313 14 263 14 242 17 235 17 243 21 263 13313 11807 10 251 11 229 15 225 15 238 20 258 11807 10464 8 215 10 213 13 212 14 227 19 243 10464 9264 10 185 9 197 12 200 13 217 17 227 9264 8193 13 169 10 184 11 192 12 215 14 215 8193 7238 16 156 13 173 11 188 9 201 11 198 7238 6391 19 147 17 164 12 175 10 171 11 174 6391 5639 18 142 21 158 13 160 12 153 14 161 5639 4964 17 144 21*156 15*151 14*147 17 157 4964 4363 16 148 18*153 16*147 14*144 18 156 4363 3860 15 153 18 150 16 144 14 142 16 158 3860 3474 14 154 17 147 16 143 13 141 13 161 3474 3206 11 150 16 146 15 142 12 140 9 163 3206 3044 9*145 15 144 14 141 11 139 6*161 3044 2951 2*132 12 143 12 140 9 138 0*106 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography