DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1904z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.1 - - 89.1 - - 96.3 - - 98.3 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 98 - - 378 - - 426 - - 220 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 697 - - 2814 - - 5312 - - 6104 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2957 - - 4842 - - 6830 - - 7145 - - 2958 Hcrit BL Top 3690 - - 5807 - - 8305 - - 9097 - - 2976 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 671 - - 1929 - - 5001 - - 6078 - - 4701 Hgt.Variab. W* 169 - - 421 - - 542 - - 456 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 14 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 353 - - 353 - - 008 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 10 - - 11 - - -16 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8961 - - -7181 - - -7505 - - -8006 - - -7823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12652 - - 12989 - - 15811 - - 17104 - - 10799 sfcLCL ODpotential -13775 - - -10893 - - -9717 - - -9979 - - -12022 ODpotential blCL 17465 - - 16700 - - 18022 - - 19076 - - 14998 blCL maxRH 82 - - 66 - - 86 - - 82 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 80.1 - - 89.1 - - 96.3 - - 98.3 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 42.5 - - 36.7 - - 32.6 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.1 - - 87.1 - - 94.1 - - 96.6 - - 91.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 42.2 - - 36.3 - - 32.2 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 98 - - 378 - - 426 - - 220 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 697 - - 2814 - - 5312 - - 6104 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 0 - - 45 - - 29 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99321 36 098 38 110 33 113 28 102 32 093 99321 91825 32 091 30 099 29 111 25 109 28 100 91825 86055 23 099 22 096 26 101 22 118 24 099 86055 81268 21 100 17 098 22 099 22 112 21 100 81268 77151 20 106 13 096 17 101 19 102 20 099 77151 73513 17 096 13 109 11 106 14 101 17 094 73513 70220 13 097 14 118 7 126 11 089 12 082 70220 67197 8 090 13 109 10 143 4 090 8 085 67197 64398 5 031 7 089 10 116 3 122 6 094 64398 61690 3 190 2 062 3 051 4 070 3 010 61690 58885 2 244 3 267 3 261 3 312 6 297 58885 55999 9 268 12 268 9 268 9 310 7 290 55999 53251 17 264 21 249 22 255 22 285 19 293 53251 50782 20 262 22 255 31 248 31 250 30 265 50782 48574 25 261 28 261 30 252 30 250 37 249 48574 46569 40 259 39 256 41 258 34 257 39 253 46569 44732 45 255 43 251 43 254 45 265 46 261 44732 43036 50 262 46 255 54 260 67 264 58 261 43036 41455 61 264 54 256 64 255 73 257 67 255 41455 39973 62 263 58 256 64 253 70 252 69 250 39973 38577 53 264 53 256 58 253 62 252 64 247 38577 37233 42 261 47 256 50 251 54 253 56 247 37233 35875 38 254 43 255 43 247 49 252 48 248 35875 34476 38 251 42 256 37 248 44 250 43 251 34476 33039 35 257 39 257 30 254 39 250 41 252 33039 31551 29 261 34 259 27 256 33 253 37 250 31551 30000 27 258 29 260 25 255 27 251 30 249 30000 28387 24 257 26 257 26 252 26 248 27 250 28387 26709 22 260 25 253 27 251 27 247 26 249 26709 24967 23 268 26 250 28 253 27 249 25 245 24967 23167 24 270 27 247 25 254 28 253 25 240 23167 21306 19 262 26 252 26 257 29 256 25 242 21306 19376 16 270 24 266 23 261 28 256 22 252 19376 17412 20 281 25 277 19 269 25 253 18 261 17412 15515 19 277 24 279 17 275 21 252 16 263 15515 13781 17 282 21 277 15 276 17 256 14 263 13781 12229 14 277 17 287 13 288 12 267 11 271 12229 10840 10 271 14 299 10 304 9 289 9 300 10840 9596 7 276 11 298 8 311 8*307 7 329 9596 8482 5 306 9 292 7*319 7*313 6 354 8482 7486 7 345 7 296 6*333 7 325 7 007 7486 6602 8 002 5*319 6 343 6 357 7 012 6602 5814 8 011 5*338 7 351 7 019 8 013 5814 5103 9 001 6 347 7 356 7 026 7 013 5103 4471 11 343 7 351 7 358 7 027 6 008 4471 3940 13*331 7 354 7 359 8 030 5 000 3940 3529 13*322 8 358 8 000 8 030 4 346 3529 3246 12 320 8 000 7 000 8 030 3 316 3246 3074 11 320 7 002 7 001 7 031 3*278 3074 2975 9 320 7 003 7 002 7 031 3*265 2975 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography