DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1330z - - 1555z - - 1854z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.4 - - 41.3 - - 45.0 - - 45.1 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - -2 - - -9 - - -24 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 403 - - 404 - - 344 - - 200 - - 260 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 11 - - 14 - - 11 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 136 - - 121 - - 323 - - 358 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - -6 - - -6 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2 - - -199 - - -31 - - -398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2949 - - 2950 - - 3150 - - 2982 - - 3349 sfcLCL ODpotential -3819 - - -4076 - - -3876 - - -3688 - - -5589 ODpotential blCL 6769 - - 7027 - - 6827 - - 6639 - - 8540 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 37.4 - - 41.3 - - 45.0 - - 45.1 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 39.2 - - 41.4 - - 42.2 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 41.4 - - 45.5 - - 46.9 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 38.6 - - 40.4 - - 41.4 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - -2 - - -9 - - -24 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 102 - - 94 - - 97 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97586 35 060 37 040 32 038 36 049 32 055 97586 90395 30 071 27 056 19 050 29 043 25 048 90395 84772 24 062 21 070 24 067 22 057 19 059 84772 80045 19 047 19 056 24 063 19 067 14 072 80045 75924 18 045 15 059 13 058 13 026 13 050 75924 72262 17 056 16 062 8 072 4 354 11 008 72262 68931 17 037 18 036 14 026 9 016 9 030 68931 65863 18 020 15 022 16 359 14 018 15 021 65863 63022 21 359 12 009 12 346 17 349 15 017 63022 60255 18 359 19 342 18 335 22 355 11 327 60255 57372 25 336 25 315 23 306 18 314 14 327 57372 54386 30 327 29 328 26 318 30 305 16 340 54386 51540 43 325 42 316 34 313 47 304 23 292 51540 49001 50 326 45 313 43 308 50 301 41 306 49001 46748 63 323 49 319 49 310 58 316 47 314 46748 44723 71 314 65 312 67 307 73 313 63 313 44723 42894 69 306 72 304 75 301 78 302 72 305 42894 41240 56 317 70 308 75 302 82 295 71 299 41240 39717 73 338 75 315 83 302 83 291 67 299 39717 38292 93 335 81 314 89 301 84 291 76 311 38292 36961 95 329 85 310 90 301 83 295 83 311 36961 35686 91 327 86 309 88 303 77 296 67 309 35686 34398 83 322 83 309 76 301 73 291 57 306 34398 33065 80 318 74 307 63 295 70 288 66 309 33065 31692 78 317 62 306 71 291 75 288 64 314 31692 30267 77 319 69 304 68 291 71 292 61 318 30267 28777 78 320 70 304 64 292 62 296 59 320 28777 27223 78 319 71 303 64 293 60 303 58 320 27223 25607 75 314 70 304 62 295 62 309 55 321 25607 23929 72 307 68 305 57 294 61 314 51 321 23929 22193 68 304 65 305 52 295 56 318 47 319 22193 20393 61 305 62 304 49 299 48 318 42 316 20393 18530 54 306 56 304 49 306 43 317 37 315 18530 16637 47 303 49 303 48 309 40 324 33 314 16637 14817 48 304 46 303 47 311 37 338 31 314 14817 13160 51 307 47 305 50 311 38 338 33 315 13160 11682 48 307 48 305 55 310 44 332 35 318 11682 10361 46 306 50 303 59 307 46 327 37 321 10361 9180 46 304 51 300 59 303 47 319 40 321 9180 8123 47 302 52 296 57 298 49 309 43 317 8123 7180 44 299 50 291 54 292 50 297 46 308 7180 6344 38 295 45 285 51 285 49 287 48 298 6344 5602 31 291 40 280 47 279 47 281 48 287 5602 4935 25 286 34 275 41 274 43 276 47 278 4935 4343 19 277 26 268 36 271 39 272 43 270 4343 3847 12 261 18 260 27 270 31 271 36 264 3847 3465 7 227 10 243 17 270 22 273 27 260 3465 3202 5 191 6 217 9 274 13 278 17 259 3202 3042 5*154 4*180 6*279 7*286 11*262 3042 2950 5*136 5*121 1*323 1*358 5*269 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography