DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1010z - - 1336z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 58.1 - - 65.6 - - 66.2 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 160 - - 210 - - -3 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 967 - - 1927 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2817 - - 2817 - - 3995 - - 2818 - - 2818 Hcrit BL Top 2834 - - 3960 - - 4920 - - 2836 - - 2835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 48 - - 832 - - 969 - - 2594 - - 47 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 221 - - 304 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 121 - - 106 - - 091 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - 9 - - 13 - - 9 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4871 - - -7453 - - -8002 - - -10138 - - -6520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7706 - - 11413 - - 12923 - - 12975 - - 9356 sfcLCL ODpotential -17918 - - -16607 - - -15633 - - -17141 - - -16207 ODpotential blCL 20752 - - 20567 - - 20553 - - 19977 - - 19042 blCL maxRH 72 - - 65 - - 58 - - 61 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 58.1 - - 65.6 - - 66.2 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.6 - - 18.9 - - 19.4 - - 19.8 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.0 - - 57.7 - - 64.7 - - 66.0 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.4 - - 18.8 - - 19.2 - - 19.5 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 160 - - 210 - - -3 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 967 - - 1927 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97634 22 277 16 293 14 281 16 292 21 282 97634 90866 16 277 16 291 16 295 16 312 15 280 90866 85530 14 287 14 289 16 296 18 311 10 290 85530 81019 13 289 13 293 14 301 18 306 12 301 81019 77092 15 298 16 302 17 309 19 309 13 311 77092 73599 17 297 19 293 21 308 20 307 16 302 73599 70423 18 302 21 286 25 304 23 305 21 299 70423 67497 22 307 23 286 28 300 27 302 25 301 67497 64779 26 303 24 287 30 293 30 295 29 298 64779 62147 30 299 27 287 32 286 34 289 34 293 62147 59404 34 296 31 287 34 284 37 284 39 288 59404 56568 41 292 38 287 39 285 43 281 45 282 56568 53878 48 288 45 285 45 285 49 280 48 281 53878 51472 54 286 50 284 49 285 52 281 48 283 51472 49321 58 287 54 284 53 283 53 281 49 283 49321 47368 63 288 59 284 57 282 56 280 51 282 47368 45580 67 286 65 283 62 281 60 279 55 281 45580 43931 72 284 69 282 67 280 65 279 60 280 43931 42398 77 284 73 283 69 279 68 279 64 280 42398 40964 82 285 77 284 71 279 69 279 66 279 40964 39614 85 286 80 284 70 280 69 280 66 279 39614 38306 85 286 79 284 69 281 68 281 64 279 38306 36973 82 286 76 284 67 281 68 282 63 280 36973 35587 76 287 71 283 65 281 67 283 63 281 35587 34148 70 287 66 284 62 282 67 284 63 282 34148 32643 64 287 62 284 60 282 66 286 65 284 32643 31058 61 287 59 284 58 284 65 288 66 285 31058 29394 58 286 57 286 56 287 63 290 66 288 29394 27650 55 287 55 288 54 291 60 291 64 290 27650 25826 50 288 51 292 52 295 56 293 60 292 25826 23927 45 289 45 294 48 297 52 295 55 292 23927 21946 39 289 38 294 42 297 47 295 52 291 21946 19881 34 290 33 292 37 295 41 294 48 290 19881 17772 29 291 28 290 32 292 34 291 40 289 17772 15736 24 294 24 290 27 290 28 287 31 286 15736 13881 20 296 20 290 23 287 24 286 26 284 13881 12230 18 294 16 289 19 284 22 287 22 287 12230 10764 15 290 14 286 16 280 19 286 20 290 10764 9462 13 284 12 280 13 276 17 284 18 291 9462 8307 12 277 11 272 11 271 15 278 16 289 8307 7287 9 269 10 258 12 261 14 266 13 285 7287 6389 7 255 8 239 11 247 11 250 11 276 6389 5598 5 236 7 221 9*231 8 226 7 257 5598 4893 4 221 6 214 4*202 4 184 6 215 4893 4272 4 201 5*200 3 109 4 125 7 176 4272 3756 5 169 4*157 4 100 5 106 9 158 3756 3362 3 151 3 120 5 093 5 098 10 150 3362 3091 1 189 4 111 5 090 6 094 8 153 3091 2927 3*235 4 107 5 089 5*093 7*189 2927 2834 6*241 4 103 5 087 5*091 7*215 2834 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography