DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 53.4 - - 49.7 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - -12 - - -24 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 831 - - 5643 - - 677 - - 1939 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 18 - - 12 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 159 - - 129 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -4 - - 2 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -516 - - -1475 - - -1176 - - -1024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3467 - - 4427 - - 4128 - - 3975 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3183 - - -3031 - - -3751 - - -4594 ODpotential blCL - - - 6134 - - 5983 - - 6703 - - 7545 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 95 - - 90 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 570 - - 310 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 53.4 - - 49.7 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 44.0 - - 41.6 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 54.0 - - 52.5 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 42.7 - - 40.3 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - -12 - - -24 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 80 - - 59 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95844 30 329 38 335 28 345 31 345 95844 88863 25 331 25 328 30 338 23 338 88863 83424 18 325 22 318 30 324 22 328 83424 78903 19 306 21 297 27 307 22 312 78903 74994 20 303 16 288 15 313 17 310 74994 71490 22 294 24 300 21 302 22 312 71490 68292 26 272 26 263 26 268 29 281 68292 65342 26 260 30 246 28 289 22 272 65342 62561 39 250 41 231 26 217 19 253 62561 59813 40 231 45 202 37 212 40 242 59813 56926 40 229 39 210 34 201 37 237 56926 53933 42 237 42 239 35 240 28 246 53933 51073 49 253 47 251 46 263 49 262 51073 48500 61 245 54 252 59 259 68 250 48500 46211 71 232 70 246 78 247 82 239 46211 44157 79 231 91 238 86 238 82 236 44157 42293 90 233 100 231 89 234 79 238 42293 40585 95 231 94 227 88 233 78 233 40585 39010 86 225 83 226 85 233 70 232 39010 37544 73 219 73 227 81 232 78 246 37544 36175 65 219 63 227 75 231 98 249 36175 34878 64 226 56 229 68 230 109 246 34878 33582 67 231 55 230 64 230 116 246 33582 32252 70 232 59 228 61 230 118 246 32252 30888 69 229 63 221 60 230 114 245 30888 29482 68 225 61 214 59 229 101 243 29482 28028 67 222 56 208 58 228 85 238 28028 26525 64 220 57 208 56 227 75 232 26525 24966 61 219 61 211 54 227 71 230 24966 23351 58 219 64 213 54 228 63 229 23351 21681 54 217 67 215 55 228 56 228 21681 19953 49 216 66 218 56 227 52 225 19953 18159 46 217 63 221 59 226 53 224 18159 16333 46 222 58 224 60 226 54 224 16333 14569 48 228 51 224 57 227 50 223 14569 12956 50 231 46 224 54 226 47 225 12956 11515 50 231 44 225 51 226 44 225 11515 10227 48 229 45 225 48 225 42 224 10227 9074 44 226 45 225 44 224 42 222 9074 8042 39 223 42 224 40 224 43 220 8042 7120 35 221 38 222 37 224 43 221 7120 6301 30 217 33 220 34 224 42 223 6301 5572 25 208 29 218 29 222 40 225 5572 4915 20 194 24 215 24 219 37 228 4915 4331 18 174 19 209 18 211 33 229 4331 3840 18 160 15 199 13 190 28 230 3840 3462 18 153 12 188 12 162 22 230 3462 3201 14 149 10 177 12 144 16 230 3201 3041 13*148 8*169 11*136 10*229 3041 2950 7*142 5*159 6*129 5*216 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography