DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2153z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.7 - - 70.8 - - 75.2 - - 76.8 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 349 - - 350 - - 174 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4411 - - 6595 - - 7282 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 6051 - - 7775 - - 7929 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 7404 - - 9588 - - 10275 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3001 - - 3119 - - 3564 - - 4044 - - 5821 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 479 - - 549 - - 452 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 20 - - 18 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 352 - - 007 - - 359 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3541 - - -698 - - -18 - - -252 - - -3007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6493 - - 8103 - - 9607 - - 10528 - - 5960 sfcLCL ODpotential -5906 - - -1877 - - -1135 - - -1501 - - -5410 ODpotential blCL 8858 - - 9281 - - 10723 - - 11776 - - 8363 blCL maxRH 80 - - 82 - - 93 - - 81 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 160 - - 270 - - 180 - - 940 CAPE Temp@2m 62.7 - - 70.8 - - 75.2 - - 76.8 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.5 - - 45.3 - - 43.0 - - 40.5 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.8 - - 68.4 - - 72.7 - - 75.2 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 44.6 - - 42.2 - - 39.7 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 349 - - 350 - - 174 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4411 - - 6595 - - 7282 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 29 - - 73 - - 22 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98443 22 099 16 116 11 070 9 094 9 086 98443 91039 11 083 17 097 11 105 13 101 7 116 91039 85307 11 121 12 101 13 117 11 095 15 094 85307 80559 17 110 11 122 12 131 9 093 14 083 80559 76490 14 103 13 120 13 115 6 106 12 078 76490 72901 7 119 10 114 15 093 11 116 10 095 72901 69652 5 102 8 120 6 098 10 103 7 113 69652 66661 3 067 8 143 3 189 5 070 6 123 66661 63877 0 029 8 160 5 204 2 349 6 120 63877 61170 4 208 7 184 6 212 4 301 3 115 61170 58339 6 208 3 238 7 190 4 234 3 186 58339 55387 2 193 2 305 4 174 3 192 4 200 55387 52554 2 025 1 183 4 182 1 341 1 196 52554 50002 3 013 3 165 3 184 3 341 1 014 50002 47721 3 349 1 119 1 118 2 305 3 016 47721 45656 2 001 3 328 5 023 1 083 7 012 45656 43768 4 357 6 331 8 007 6 057 9 020 43768 42029 6 341 6 328 7 006 11 040 16 026 42029 40416 7 353 2 331 5 358 14 017 19 025 40416 38917 10 001 3 033 3 032 9 357 18 012 38917 37520 12 334 7 010 6 045 3 006 17 351 37520 36184 14 292 12 317 7 324 4 005 9 337 36184 34849 17 268 18 269 13 294 8 030 6 022 34849 33484 22 271 24 265 19 274 7 021 6 019 33484 32089 26 274 29 269 22 271 7 312 7 300 32089 30646 25 279 24 275 21 274 11 286 15 269 30646 29142 24 287 15 289 14 284 9 293 15 266 29142 27575 22 293 8 307 9 285 4 332 13 274 27575 25946 17 294 6 316 7 274 3 357 10 280 25946 24254 13 292 6 299 8 278 5 337 7 280 24254 22503 9 303 6 283 9 290 8 327 5 293 22503 20686 8 309 6 282 8 297 9 322 6 318 20686 18800 8 314 6 292 6 307 9 332 7 322 18800 16885 6 317 5 300 4 317 5 314 7 334 16885 15044 4 322 4 305 4 274 10 279 11 328 15044 13368 3 000 1 301 5 255 11 294 13 329 13368 11872 5 025 2 062 3 290 9 305 12 334 11872 10535 5 025 3 054 3*344 6*335 10 345 10535 9338 5 019 3 041 4*000 6*346 8 001 9338 8264 4 012 2*001 5 003 6 350 7 015 8264 7306 4 005 3*341 5 005 6 353 6 023 7306 6454 5 358 4 341 5 006 6 358 6 027 6454 5695 5 347 4 343 6 009 6 001 6 026 5695 5009 5 332 4 349 6 009 6 004 6 023 5009 4398 5 330 5 353 7 010 6 005 6 020 4398 3885 4 328 5 358 7 010 6 007 6 017 3885 3489 4 336 5 002 7 011 6 008 6 014 3489 3214 3 346 5 004 7 011 6 009 5 011 3214 3048 3*352 5 005 6 011 6 010 4*005 3048 2952 3*353 5 006 6 012 6 010 3*001 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography