DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.9 - - 43.3 - - 51.1 - - 49.7 - - 41.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 53 - - 89 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 207 - - 1040 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3200 - - 4033 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 347 - - 844 - - 978 - - 1709 - - 541 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 93 - - 189 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 359 - - 029 - - 002 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -836 - - -1523 - - -2092 - - -2577 - - -634 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3787 - - 4724 - - 6126 - - 5529 - - 3585 sfcLCL ODpotential -12021 - - -10100 - - -8664 - - -8011 - - -7530 ODpotential blCL 14972 - - 13300 - - 12697 - - 10962 - - 10481 blCL maxRH 67 - - 69 - - 90 - - 88 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.9 - - 43.3 - - 51.1 - - 49.7 - - 41.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 33.2 - - 34.7 - - 36.0 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.0 - - 42.7 - - 50.0 - - 49.7 - - 44.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 32.6 - - 33.9 - - 35.3 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 53 - - 89 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 207 - - 1040 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 59 - - 54 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96232 3 264 17 288 16 326 9 347 2 259 96232 89314 8 079 11 020 15 060 10 352 10 042 89314 83892 10 054 15 060 15 063 7 076 9 336 83892 79288 4 074 15 067 11 079 6 063 9 015 79288 75270 6 118 3 044 6 058 9 039 10 070 75270 71742 10 079 7 199 8 276 16 004 14 068 71742 68580 10 041 8 177 13 257 11 328 12 026 68580 65673 7 355 8 093 9 235 9 263 11 291 65673 62964 9 332 3 090 4 225 12 245 20 258 62964 60333 13 225 9 247 7 266 15 249 16 249 60333 57585 14 176 13 235 13 254 14 244 12 241 57585 54721 6 135 8 166 11 202 10 209 13 235 54721 51969 14 191 13 167 15 200 10 220 20 247 51969 49478 20 184 21 190 22 206 16 243 25 251 49478 47234 22 185 24 194 22 208 23 251 27 249 47234 45187 17 203 22 214 19 216 28 246 23 244 45187 43307 27 205 27 218 22 220 23 240 18 239 43307 41568 27 177 31 204 24 207 21 238 16 239 41568 39959 31 174 30 181 25 190 25 222 17 232 39959 38473 44 178 32 178 26 183 23 193 16 219 38473 37099 46 177 40 176 30 181 16 176 12 207 37099 35794 36 172 40 169 34 175 19 177 8 211 35794 34486 31 168 37 163 37 166 27 169 9 187 34486 33140 32 164 37 164 38 162 30 163 11 177 33140 31760 32 163 35 165 35 162 26 160 13 174 31760 30328 31 166 34 166 32 161 26 157 15 172 30328 28834 30 170 32 166 30 163 27 161 16 167 28834 27279 28 170 30 164 29 166 25 162 15 166 27279 25664 24 168 28 165 26 171 22 158 11 153 25664 23986 25 170 26 170 21 178 17 163 7 157 23986 22244 27 174 23 174 17 186 11 184 5 188 22244 20438 25 177 18 179 13 192 9 185 5 213 20438 18564 18 181 13 183 11 196 9 206 5 241 18564 16663 11 179 10 183 9 201 10 231 7 270 16663 14837 8 180 10 185 9 213 11 253 9 280 14837 13174 8 197 8 200 9 228 12 271 11 289 13174 11688 8 218 7 224 8 239 13 286 13 299 11688 10359 7 231 7 231 8 242 16 292 14 309 10359 9171 6 233 7 225 9 245 17 294 15 309 9171 8110 5 216 6 214 10 250 16 290 16 306 8110 7166 5 189 6 207 10 253 15 285 16 302 7166 6330 8 171 6 199 9 252 14 277 15 295 6330 5588 12 162 8 187 7 247 11 271 12 287 5588 4922 14 157 9 177 4 240 7 271 9 281 4922 4332 11 155 7 177 1*276 4 297 5 286 4332 3839 4 138 3 189 2*021 5 345 5 316 3839 3460 1 058 0*252 3 030 5 355 8 331 3460 3199 3 342 1*350 3 030 5 359 8 329 3199 3041 3*322 1 002 3 029 5*360 7*321 3041 2950 2*314 1 003 3 030 4*002 5*318 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography