DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 46.5 - - 54.3 - - 46.9 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 6 - - 12 - - -21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 104 - - 530 - - 3877 - - 607 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 21 - - 28 - - 9 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 164 - - 162 - - 183 - - 152 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -5 - - -8 - - -3 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -672 - - -1203 - - -2428 - - -643 - - -495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3623 - - 4154 - - 5381 - - 3595 - - 3446 sfcLCL ODpotential -6666 - - -4046 - - -4116 - - -4227 - - -5943 ODpotential blCL 9617 - - 6997 - - 7068 - - 7179 - - 8894 blCL maxRH 82 - - 79 - - 83 - - 88 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 46.5 - - 54.3 - - 46.9 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 38.9 - - 41.3 - - 41.6 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 46.2 - - 54.2 - - 49.4 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 38.0 - - 40.1 - - 40.9 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 6 - - 12 - - -21 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 16 - - 33 - - 52 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96420 26 067 20 068 17 056 23 058 21 053 96420 89356 20 048 20 044 23 063 22 064 21 055 89356 83831 15 052 15 059 15 042 17 037 15 020 83831 79209 21 058 15 041 20 017 26 013 22 014 79209 75219 24 044 17 028 14 002 25 015 26 022 75219 71671 23 015 21 047 13 359 26 014 26 038 71671 68434 25 346 26 359 24 347 34 345 30 006 68434 65463 15 306 22 333 13 339 25 313 23 341 65463 62707 17 051 5 231 8 020 20 333 19 327 62707 60038 38 333 35 329 42 347 33 353 29 343 60038 57263 59 313 51 323 47 330 41 332 36 343 57263 54390 51 314 45 326 43 318 45 312 40 325 54390 51666 49 316 46 324 41 307 51 311 45 314 51666 49238 46 311 47 324 46 307 49 303 48 319 49238 47101 43 312 52 320 48 313 43 311 53 325 47101 45193 46 319 56 316 48 326 53 329 59 320 45193 43453 55 323 51 319 59 341 69 333 61 318 43453 41844 54 325 62 337 81 341 81 334 68 324 41844 40341 50 334 75 341 93 337 81 332 78 325 40341 38926 65 348 76 339 91 334 79 327 82 323 38926 37587 75 347 73 335 80 333 79 325 77 320 37587 36292 74 345 70 334 68 334 78 325 74 318 36292 34977 72 343 63 333 58 333 71 322 73 318 34977 33614 72 342 58 331 56 330 65 319 71 319 33614 32206 67 339 56 329 62 327 63 318 67 317 32206 30741 44 343 57 328 65 323 64 318 62 314 30741 29208 32 337 56 325 62 321 64 318 59 314 29208 27611 42 327 56 320 60 324 61 318 62 316 27611 25951 53 320 58 314 59 325 55 317 64 318 25951 24229 56 312 59 311 57 317 51 314 64 315 24229 22450 55 309 59 310 54 312 50 309 63 311 22450 20608 55 309 57 309 54 313 53 307 61 309 20608 18699 54 310 55 305 58 307 53 307 56 309 18699 16762 48 310 49 300 56 298 48 310 51 305 16762 14905 42 309 44 293 48 293 42 311 42 301 14905 13220 38 306 41 287 41 288 36 306 33 298 13220 11723 35 304 36 285 36 287 32 302 28 299 11723 10392 31 303 29 287 31 286 29 300 26 302 10392 9205 26 304 23 289 27 285 27 293 25 304 9205 8144 22 306 18 291 24 282 27 283 24 303 8144 7198 18 307 15 296 21 274 25 272 25 296 7198 6358 16 310 14 298 20 264 22 262 26 285 6358 5613 16 309 14 295 17 254 19 252 28 275 5613 4942 16 300 15 284 14 242 16 242 28 266 4942 4347 15 287 14 271 11 230 12 226 24 258 4347 3848 12 276 12 257 8 212 10 200 18 247 3848 3465 9 266 8 239 6 202 10 172 12 227 3465 3201 6 250 6 221 5 195 10 157 9 203 3201 3041 4*230 5*216 5*190 9*153 6*174 3041 2950 4*164 3*162 4*183 6*152 6*118 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography