DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 45.6 - - 50.5 - - 48.9 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 55 - - 80 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 769 - - 1435 - - 2218 - - 1964 - - 997 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 40 - - 46 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 343 - - 013 - - 004 - - 353 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - -845 - - -58 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2950 - - 2950 - - 3796 - - 3009 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential -3368 - - -389 - - -2706 - - -2051 - - -3381 ODpotential blCL 6319 - - 3340 - - 5657 - - 5002 - - 6332 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 90 - - 90 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 45.6 - - 50.5 - - 48.9 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 43.3 - - 44.1 - - 45.7 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 44.8 - - 49.5 - - 49.9 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 42.9 - - 43.3 - - 45.3 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 55 - - 80 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 99 - - 59 - - 62 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96885 20 101 17 065 22 059 19 074 7 088 96885 89796 17 092 16 084 13 084 21 074 14 079 89796 84272 19 073 14 079 10 101 16 049 16 062 84272 79680 14 064 11 060 9 090 7 047 16 037 79680 75714 15 070 7 057 9 061 6 077 12 005 75714 72182 14 053 7 086 6 037 8 038 11 359 72182 68961 9 025 6 074 5 036 7 012 7 354 68961 65981 6 344 6 031 6 024 8 341 5 348 65981 63203 8 342 6 348 7 351 9 326 4 004 63203 60509 12 320 8 331 8 351 9 318 11 358 60509 57697 13 306 9 338 8 354 10 336 12 004 57697 54774 11 309 12 342 12 346 15 343 18 355 54774 51982 13 322 16 350 12 356 17 349 23 349 51982 49464 17 333 23 359 17 003 23 349 35 350 49464 47208 20 336 27 348 24 351 26 347 39 345 47208 45161 18 335 26 344 30 344 25 349 33 347 45161 43280 16 345 22 347 33 345 27 348 37 352 43280 41536 20 355 19 354 29 344 28 343 41 345 41536 39914 18 355 19 360 25 343 26 337 38 340 39914 38402 14 355 20 356 23 341 22 335 31 334 38402 36992 16 335 19 346 22 336 21 340 22 327 36992 35647 8 258 16 316 21 323 25 332 23 324 35647 34303 3 274 10 272 18 295 22 319 20 311 34303 32939 9 339 9 294 16 260 16 280 16 278 32939 31559 13 315 13 286 21 267 14 268 23 260 31559 30135 13 288 16 289 22 260 17 271 21 254 30135 28646 13 257 16 286 21 257 16 264 20 251 28646 27095 13 245 15 270 19 250 15 248 20 245 27095 25483 13 240 14 247 19 237 16 243 22 250 25483 23812 13 237 14 228 18 228 17 235 24 258 23812 22087 13 235 15 219 15 227 16 234 22 257 22087 20302 10 221 16 213 14 238 14 244 17 251 20302 18450 11 205 14 222 13 258 10 264 12 258 18450 16565 7 198 10 235 9 279 7 270 10 255 16565 14746 3 193 5 237 3 284 4 230 10 231 14746 13090 2 222 4 224 3 198 4 201 9 230 13090 11617 3 241 5 195 7 195 5 203 8 243 11617 10305 4 237 7 176 10 196 5 224 7 248 10305 9132 4 228 9 168 11 194 5 241 7 246 9132 8083 4 207 9 166 10 194 4 244 5 248 8083 7148 4 184 8 171 8 196 3 251 3 278 7148 6320 5 167 8 177 5 199 2 274 4 340 6320 5584 6 157 8 175 3 198 2 322 6 004 5584 4922 5 147 8 170 1 218 3 330 6 004 4922 4334 3 137 6 169 2 343 4 325 5 338 4334 3841 1 079 1 162 4 001 4 332 7 324 3841 3462 3 018 1 008 4 003 5 343 7 325 3462 3200 3 007 1 005 4 003 5 349 5 319 3200 3041 3*351 2*014 4*005 4*352 3*310 3041 2950 2*343 2*013 4*004 3*353 3*299 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography