DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.1 - - 42.6 - - 49.5 - - 49.0 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 24 - - 90 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 897 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 3890 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 310 - - 911 - - 846 - - 1553 - - 659 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 31 - - 182 - - 8 - - 1 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 327 - - 067 - - 077 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1336 - - -2072 - - -1541 - - -2154 - - -832 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4288 - - 5023 - - 5431 - - 5105 - - 3783 sfcLCL ODpotential -11647 - - -10330 - - -8217 - - -9204 - - -10046 ODpotential blCL 14598 - - 13281 - - 12107 - - 12155 - - 12997 blCL maxRH 60 - - 58 - - 68 - - 75 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.1 - - 42.6 - - 49.5 - - 49.0 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.4 - - 31.5 - - 36.5 - - 37.4 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.3 - - 43.7 - - 48.5 - - 49.3 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 30.4 - - 35.4 - - 36.2 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 24 - - 90 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 897 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95937 44 313 34 302 44 311 37 334 22 321 95937 89092 27 338 16 325 27 315 27 337 15 338 89092 83723 18 003 11 343 19 315 27 324 19 345 83723 79202 14 336 13 343 18 330 23 318 22 351 79202 75289 21 320 18 311 20 327 18 331 18 010 75289 71808 23 326 16 313 24 322 20 326 23 357 71808 68634 19 339 18 314 20 318 21 327 26 338 68634 65710 27 330 19 325 21 340 24 342 28 338 65710 62995 31 319 27 329 27 342 27 341 32 335 62995 60367 37 317 30 328 26 338 29 336 33 337 60367 57631 40 312 30 327 27 341 29 346 31 343 57631 54789 37 315 35 338 34 347 37 358 36 351 54789 52075 41 339 44 338 44 349 48 353 42 348 52075 49634 47 341 48 338 50 351 49 349 36 354 49634 47442 46 340 46 343 53 351 51 351 45 356 47442 45469 46 353 49 356 57 344 49 343 51 346 45469 43703 65 358 56 005 45 359 44 336 47 350 43703 42094 71 005 68 018 48 025 44 356 49 006 42094 40597 75 012 81 011 60 019 57 358 56 008 40597 39185 73 020 84 009 62 006 61 356 55 006 39185 37847 73 019 79 009 62 358 59 359 47 002 37847 36551 73 013 68 009 60 005 57 003 43 359 36551 35232 68 010 59 011 56 013 50 005 41 357 35232 33864 61 009 55 020 50 005 42 004 38 355 33864 32451 49 003 43 017 46 358 35 359 32 001 32451 30981 35 346 39 359 41 351 32 349 32 001 30981 29441 31 341 40 352 36 348 28 344 32 354 29441 27834 30 339 38 346 36 347 30 335 32 346 27834 26160 29 329 36 332 35 340 27 331 37 333 26160 24424 28 322 35 327 35 324 26 323 37 330 24424 22629 30 318 31 329 33 314 29 316 31 332 22629 20770 33 317 26 326 25 318 28 313 25 334 20770 18842 32 316 23 326 19 318 22 311 20 326 18842 16884 28 315 19 322 17 318 18 311 16 312 16884 15003 26 315 16 322 14 322 15 323 13 311 15003 13292 21 314 14 322 10 317 11 330 9 316 13292 11770 18 307 13 316 8 308 8 324 8 310 11770 10417 17 299 11 306 9 301 6 312 7 303 10417 9213 16 291 9 291 8 289 5 298 6 291 9213 8139 12 284 6 265 8 271 4 271 5 274 8139 7184 9 272 5 232 8 251 4 233 4 255 7184 6341 7 261 5 207 7 237 4 202 3 206 6341 5594 6 259 4 187 5 225 4 169 4 155 5594 4924 4 275 4 176 3 201 5 142 6 134 4924 4332 3 306 2 176 1*124 4 137 5 126 4332 3839 4 335 1 182 3*074 3 135 2 111 3839 3460 4 352 1 205 3 068 2 120 2 020 3460 3199 3 004 0 293 3 065 2 106 2 357 3199 3041 2*015 1*325 4 062 2*093 2*328 3041 2950 1*030 1*327 3 062 1*077 1*324 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography