DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 57.1 - - 62.1 - - 56.6 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 60 - - 115 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2146 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 3859 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2952 - - 5139 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 202 - - 2530 - - 1410 - - 2740 - - 950 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 41 - - 259 - - 3 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 130 - - 100 - - 040 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2368 - - -5205 - - -4368 - - -5271 - - -2563 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5319 - - 8157 - - 9507 - - 8224 - - 5515 sfcLCL ODpotential -13438 - - -12986 - - -11755 - - -12249 - - -10920 ODpotential blCL 16389 - - 15938 - - 16894 - - 15201 - - 13872 blCL maxRH 49 - - 61 - - 67 - - 88 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 57.1 - - 62.1 - - 56.6 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 31.8 - - 30.8 - - 31.1 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 56.2 - - 60.9 - - 59.0 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 31.6 - - 30.5 - - 30.9 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 60 - - 115 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2146 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 52 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 56 067 52 058 46 066 40 060 33 057 96592 89640 44 065 42 065 39 068 35 063 30 062 89640 84160 34 060 36 067 28 071 31 057 26 073 84160 79550 26 066 22 059 20 075 23 050 26 078 79550 75539 18 052 13 080 13 051 11 044 20 054 75539 71979 7 028 9 073 8 042 6 029 11 013 71979 68770 6 020 6 036 4 352 3 300 6 352 68770 65829 15 330 12 311 13 321 7 303 5 313 65829 63111 22 307 19 287 19 294 16 311 12 315 63111 60474 24 281 22 270 24 271 23 280 20 302 60474 57714 26 259 23 282 23 259 27 259 28 263 57714 54851 28 244 27 268 27 259 28 265 28 251 54851 52111 23 246 32 248 32 255 33 261 28 244 52111 49632 20 275 22 237 25 229 30 237 22 232 49632 47404 24 277 12 254 16 250 21 232 26 230 47404 45379 29 274 12 285 27 235 34 213 33 215 45379 43533 47 232 40 215 34 210 30 199 26 194 43533 41843 54 206 41 206 31 217 27 210 13 208 41843 40283 38 212 32 214 36 228 30 220 28 218 40283 38834 31 239 32 221 42 228 39 221 35 214 38834 37477 39 253 34 226 51 225 48 223 37 216 37477 36174 52 249 39 232 51 224 57 222 36 220 36174 34859 60 246 44 238 46 225 56 224 40 223 34859 33502 61 244 48 241 36 228 45 226 40 224 33502 32104 56 248 44 243 30 228 33 226 35 222 32104 30651 41 252 35 259 30 236 28 215 31 216 30651 29132 25 246 30 271 23 233 29 203 25 203 29132 27548 15 257 21 263 14 240 21 194 21 191 27548 25901 18 266 6 202 13 237 20 197 18 190 25901 24193 26 266 8 187 14 232 17 205 14 180 24193 22433 28 273 11 255 12 288 11 222 7 151 22433 20612 28 282 16 295 14 294 12 230 6 172 20612 18721 23 284 15 284 10 273 13 230 6 191 18721 16797 21 280 16 251 13 259 11 237 7 200 16797 14946 24 276 16 272 12 265 12 228 12 204 14946 13260 27 278 16 289 10 256 13 220 15 207 13260 11759 27 279 17 287 9 253 12 219 14 208 11759 10419 25 281 16 283 7 252 10 217 12 199 10419 9223 20 285 13 279 7 254 7 210 11 181 9223 8154 16 292 9 276 6 255 6 196 11 166 8154 7203 14 296 6 266 6 242 6 177 12 154 7203 6360 11 293 5 251 5 219 7 164 12 151 6360 5613 9 286 4 232 4*197 8 153 12 150 5613 4943 5 274 4 211 3*145 7 134 9 144 4943 4349 2 215 4 196 3 108 5 107 5 120 4349 3851 3 131 5 181 3 097 5 080 4 060 3851 3468 5 125 4 170 4 091 5 062 4 028 3468 3204 5 139 3 149 4 087 5 049 3 352 3204 3043 4*157 2*135 4 084 5*043 3*300 3043 2951 3*167 2*130 4 084 4*040 3*282 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography