DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 63.7 - - 69.7 - - 70.8 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 257 - - 324 - - 101 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2856 - - 4293 - - 3665 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 4750 - - 5926 - - 4849 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 5849 - - 7286 - - 6658 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2433 - - 1603 - - 1699 - - 2260 - - 3309 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 373 - - 461 - - 297 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 286 - - 322 - - 336 - - 345 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -3 - - 6 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2433 - - -1691 - - -2195 - - -2979 - - -4277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5384 - - 7541 - - 9481 - - 9638 - - 7229 sfcLCL ODpotential -5994 - - -5244 - - -5356 - - -5738 - - -8386 ODpotential blCL 8945 - - 11093 - - 12642 - - 12396 - - 11338 blCL maxRH 64 - - 62 - - 57 - - 52 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 63.7 - - 69.7 - - 70.8 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.5 - - 41.0 - - 38.3 - - 38.8 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 61.8 - - 67.4 - - 69.7 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.9 - - 40.4 - - 37.9 - - 38.5 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 257 - - 324 - - 101 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2856 - - 4293 - - 3665 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98286 14 083 9 126 14 123 12 146 7 008 98286 90950 11 084 10 101 9 119 11 123 2 060 90950 85292 8 100 9 106 12 117 6 112 4 068 85292 80599 5 106 7 137 9 123 3 070 9 069 80599 76548 8 075 11 127 8 123 5 064 11 061 76548 72976 10 062 12 105 9 138 7 064 9 063 72976 69749 10 070 9 085 12 127 3 100 9 058 69749 66778 5 043 5 104 7 103 2 098 3 050 66778 64015 6 185 3 117 4 145 3 200 1 250 64015 61333 2 159 2 201 3 179 2 242 0 170 61333 58537 1 236 4 251 6 257 11 283 12 321 58537 55635 11 308 9 322 6 312 8 282 11 299 55635 52861 19 283 20 303 21 318 22 326 18 332 52861 50358 17 295 24 300 29 308 27 320 25 321 50358 48106 29 306 28 310 29 314 31 324 30 322 48106 46053 33 304 32 319 34 326 35 324 38 328 46053 44159 33 306 37 324 46 327 38 337 39 325 44159 42404 35 306 45 321 52 323 51 330 44 330 42404 40780 39 308 49 322 47 330 48 323 53 324 40780 39269 41 315 57 330 54 336 47 335 49 328 39269 37860 54 329 59 329 64 333 68 343 56 347 37860 36520 70 323 61 324 66 328 80 336 74 349 36520 35171 68 315 64 323 62 328 74 328 77 341 35171 33786 69 319 66 322 57 331 60 328 71 335 33786 32368 77 320 65 319 55 329 57 334 63 337 32368 30907 76 318 63 315 56 325 57 334 59 336 30907 29387 69 315 62 315 56 323 58 335 54 335 29387 27803 62 313 61 316 54 321 58 335 52 336 27803 26152 57 312 58 316 49 319 53 334 51 339 26152 24433 51 312 51 315 47 317 47 332 51 341 24433 22652 43 312 44 315 42 315 42 332 49 344 22652 20806 39 311 39 315 36 314 35 330 42 346 20806 18892 34 311 30 318 28 316 26 329 31 339 18892 16948 27 319 20 325 23 318 21 331 26 327 16948 15080 22 329 14 316 16 317 17 329 20 333 15080 13383 19 330 11 314 12 314 13 327 14 346 13383 11874 16 324 9 325 10 319 10 338 9 002 11874 10527 16 318 8 334 8 334 8 360 7 029 10527 9322 17 314 10 338 6 345 7 009 6 048 9322 8245 16 308 11 334 7*334 7 356 6 048 8245 7284 14 308 10 322 7*331 7*347 8 030 7284 6433 12 315 9*316 7 330 8*344 9 015 6433 5675 11 324 9*316 8 332 8 344 10 004 5675 4993 13 327 9 317 8 335 8 345 10 356 4993 4386 14 321 9 320 8 337 8 344 10 350 4386 3876 14 313 9 324 8 339 8 345 10 345 3876 3483 13 300 8 327 8 342 8 345 9 340 3483 3211 11 290 8 329 8 344 8 345 8 330 3211 3046 9*287 8 330 7 344 7 346 6*317 3046 2951 6*286 7 331 7 345 6 347 5*307 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography