DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.0 - - 44.5 - - 49.0 - - 47.8 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 121 - - 280 - - 106 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2133 - - 4112 - - 2472 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 3905 - - 5732 - - 4042 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 5126 - - 7105 - - 5465 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 286 - - 2277 - - 1406 - - 2415 - - 2793 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 266 - - 434 - - 265 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 14 - - 14 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 286 - - 344 - - 326 - - 009 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 15 - - 19 - - 19 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -746 - - -19 - - 13 - - -1921 - - -2766 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3697 - - 5145 - - 7092 - - 7387 - - 5718 sfcLCL ODpotential -4027 - - -1188 - - -863 - - -6881 - - -8708 ODpotential blCL 6978 - - 6314 - - 7968 - - 12346 - - 11659 blCL maxRH 78 - - 99 - - 83 - - 79 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.0 - - 44.5 - - 49.0 - - 47.8 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 32.2 - - 28.1 - - 25.7 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.3 - - 43.5 - - 47.1 - - 46.8 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 31.3 - - 27.5 - - 25.2 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 121 - - 280 - - 106 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2133 - - 4112 - - 2472 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 96 - - 33 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 2 002 6 102 7 131 4 135 3 090 96304 89176 7 051 8 091 10 165 2 219 13 036 89176 83648 5 070 6 121 5 204 6 307 7 002 83648 79035 6 332 8 141 7 184 8 252 8 319 79035 75039 6 311 1 051 7 248 9 250 10 282 75039 71469 5 142 5 191 15 228 17 255 19 286 71469 68229 14 279 11 262 16 270 27 281 27 279 68229 65267 16 282 16 259 32 271 24 277 22 283 65267 62511 25 277 31 298 36 277 26 293 28 294 62511 59821 32 269 40 284 40 276 34 293 36 288 59821 57005 35 276 37 279 40 277 43 283 45 279 57005 54075 44 286 38 284 43 277 50 272 51 271 54075 51273 56 278 51 276 51 274 50 271 50 271 51273 48754 62 269 60 266 57 272 52 278 52 278 48754 46500 62 269 61 262 61 270 60 278 59 280 46500 44461 59 275 58 267 63 268 64 275 62 277 44461 42602 62 287 65 278 65 271 65 277 64 280 42602 40903 75 288 74 280 70 278 70 281 74 286 40903 39338 83 287 78 281 80 281 89 285 86 288 39338 37887 89 286 85 286 87 282 94 279 94 284 37887 36536 88 283 91 288 87 280 89 280 95 280 36536 35249 85 289 91 288 83 281 90 287 93 282 35249 33962 87 296 89 290 83 284 94 291 94 286 33962 32638 87 298 90 291 84 286 90 287 97 285 32638 31272 85 298 89 290 84 288 89 284 98 282 31272 29849 84 297 87 290 82 287 91 284 99 283 29849 28363 82 297 84 289 79 282 88 284 97 284 28363 26818 78 296 80 286 77 275 84 282 94 285 26818 25216 75 292 77 282 77 272 82 280 89 285 25216 23557 72 288 76 280 76 272 80 278 85 284 23557 21843 69 284 75 280 74 274 79 276 80 282 21843 20068 67 280 72 281 72 278 77 276 77 280 20068 18224 65 280 68 282 69 282 73 278 73 278 18224 16349 64 282 63 282 64 282 68 278 69 275 16349 14547 60 282 58 280 58 279 63 277 65 272 14547 12910 55 282 53 279 54 278 58 275 58 269 12910 11458 50 281 49 278 49 279 52 272 51 265 11458 10164 45 281 44 278 42 279 44 270 43 262 10164 9009 38 285 38 280 32 279 33 267 36 265 9009 7978 27 293 28 282 21*288 22 270 28 270 7978 7061 18 308 19 290 17*300 14 281 19 272 7061 6250 18 324 17 299 16 312 10 307 9 279 6250 5531 19 327 15*316 15 326 9*338 3 339 5531 4885 21 320 15*333 15 332 10*360 6 038 4885 4310 23 309 15 343 15 335 10 006 7 045 4310 3827 24 298 15 346 15 338 11 010 8 044 3827 3454 22 291 14 347 14 339 11 012 8 040 3454 3196 18 288 14 348 14 341 11 013 6 034 3196 3040 12*288 13 349 13 342 10 014 4*022 3040 2950 7*286 11 350 11 343 9 014 3*013 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography