DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 65.9 - - 65.7 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 111 - - -8 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1595 - - 2615 - - 1632 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 71 - - 1287 - - 72 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1660 - - 2680 - - 1697 - - 88 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1138 - - 794 - - 1313 - - 126 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 280 - - 97 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 203 - - 189 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1542 - - -1398 - - -2043 - - -1243 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3202 - - 4078 - - 3740 - - 1331 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12717 - - -9464 - - -10283 - - -10360 ODpotential blCL - - - 14377 - - 12144 - - 11980 - - 10448 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 63 - - 60 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 65.9 - - 65.7 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 48.5 - - 49.8 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 65.2 - - 66.2 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 47.2 - - 48.6 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 111 - - -8 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1595 - - 2615 - - 1632 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97871 24 238 27 238 28 255 18 256 97871 90564 23 264 26 253 28 240 25 255 90564 84870 23 244 22 245 28 255 25 255 84870 80114 21 244 18 226 25 251 22 246 80114 76029 15 260 18 235 20 232 21 243 76029 72434 12 243 17 237 19 245 18 247 72434 69180 13 230 17 234 23 257 16 257 69180 66188 14 243 18 255 23 243 20 266 66188 63430 17 258 20 258 23 230 25 260 63430 60772 19 253 20 249 23 230 27 240 60772 57990 26 260 26 254 27 248 29 243 57990 55107 35 254 36 258 37 253 40 254 55107 52379 40 248 43 252 46 250 49 250 52379 49928 43 249 48 246 51 249 50 248 49928 47723 48 249 52 243 53 248 51 252 47723 45717 52 246 52 241 55 246 56 253 45717 43879 52 242 50 244 55 242 62 250 43879 42185 50 243 50 247 47 238 63 245 42185 40611 51 245 50 244 42 245 58 243 40611 39141 51 245 47 240 45 250 54 243 39141 37761 49 244 45 239 43 251 49 242 37761 36430 46 242 42 240 40 256 41 246 36430 35073 42 245 37 245 40 260 39 262 35073 33660 39 249 34 256 40 259 40 272 33660 32193 36 252 32 261 38 257 41 271 32193 30654 33 255 30 267 37 258 42 267 30654 29032 30 258 29 270 37 265 40 266 29032 27326 29 258 29 274 36 272 36 265 27326 25531 29 259 26 269 36 272 35 271 25531 23648 29 258 28 262 36 267 33 272 23648 21682 28 263 27 260 34 267 34 266 21682 19636 25 273 24 267 34 267 36 270 19636 17504 25 266 24 263 33 267 36 272 17504 15327 23 262 25 262 30 266 35 268 15327 13224 20 264 25 267 26 271 30 263 13224 11313 16 264 23 267 23 275 23 262 11313 9617 10 251 21 263 22 268 20 270 9617 8115 8 251 18 255 22 261 20 276 8115 6785 7 269 14 236 20 253 20 275 6785 5609 6 294 13 225 19 236 19 265 5609 4573 4 303 13 227 19 230 21 252 4573 3666 4 149 14 227 20 227 24 236 3666 2870 10 142 12*209 18 214 23 220 2870 2161 11*152 11*204 15*193 21 209 2161 1536 10*162 11 203 14*191 21 195 1536 1017 9 162 10 203 14 190 21 185 1017 619 8 164 10 202 13 189 20 181 619 347 7 164 9 201 12 188 16 177 347 182 6 163 9 202 10 188 13*175 182 88 6 163 7 201 7 187 5*167 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography