DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 80.7 - - 80.0 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 38 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 691 - - 1716 - - 25 - - 24 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 73 - - 73 - - 74 - - 73 Hcrit BL Top - - - 756 - - 1781 - - 90 - - 89 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 776 - - 1105 - - 3787 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 125 - - 191 - - 22 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 264 - - 242 - - 107 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1730 - - -1508 - - -2410 - - -653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2486 - - 3289 - - 2500 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6736 - - -5078 - - -4268 - - -3987 ODpotential blCL - - - 7492 - - 6859 - - 4358 - - 4076 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 96 - - 65 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 70 - - 270 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 80.7 - - 80.0 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.2 - - 66.4 - - 69.1 - - 69.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 80.5 - - 80.8 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 65.1 - - 67.8 - - 69.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 38 - - -9 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 691 - - 1716 - - 25 - - 24 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 83 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97588 51 243 42 253 51 244 39 247 97588 90347 28 243 33 244 39 247 32 257 90347 84758 23 227 26 242 25 252 25 245 84758 80122 17 236 16 234 18 245 17 264 80122 76124 8 228 11 212 13 244 13 294 76124 72597 6 220 4 191 10 226 12 291 72597 69422 3 230 4 241 7 238 11 234 69422 66519 7 228 10 207 15 249 13 251 66519 63846 9 277 12 228 17 230 20 238 63846 61259 26 246 17 259 19 293 19 290 61259 58566 26 231 32 261 36 268 41 289 58566 55799 34 262 34 249 40 262 52 277 55799 53179 38 265 44 275 50 273 56 273 53179 50822 40 270 55 277 55 270 58 274 50822 48699 43 273 49 278 51 268 55 273 48699 46755 42 275 41 283 47 264 54 271 46755 44957 45 281 43 292 49 264 56 269 44957 43275 48 285 47 293 51 270 56 274 43275 41690 45 290 44 282 56 276 58 280 41690 40190 44 294 42 272 64 275 63 282 40190 38766 47 292 43 274 63 274 64 286 38766 37383 49 285 44 281 58 281 66 291 37383 35974 51 286 52 291 60 291 65 293 35974 34506 57 293 61 298 64 295 63 289 34506 32980 58 291 63 298 62 293 66 287 32980 31380 55 280 61 293 59 289 69 288 31380 29696 61 295 56 283 60 287 66 287 29696 27929 75 311 51 284 54 283 65 286 27929 26078 61 311 45 281 44 282 55 280 26078 24140 50 298 43 280 39 284 50 282 24140 22121 49 292 48 282 40 279 45 275 22121 20028 44 292 52 282 46 276 48 278 20028 17859 38 285 45 280 50 280 47 280 17859 15653 40 276 45 274 47 280 47 275 15653 13531 39 280 46 275 47 283 39 275 13531 11600 36 281 39 277 45 286 33 286 11600 9880 34 271 35 267 37 280 33 295 9880 8351 34 257 32 257 28 274 25 293 8351 6994 32 250 26 255 23 279 23 285 6994 5793 27 251 20 270 22 288 24 277 5793 4733 21 256 20 286 22 289 21 265 4733 3800 18 273 21 294 20 282 18 257 3800 2976 20 289 19 293 16 274 14 256 2976 2241 21 290 16*288 12 268 10 250 2241 1593 19 284 12*273 9 258 6 231 1593 1055 15*267 10 263 7 250 3 199 1055 642 11*250 10 261 6 246 3 140 642 359 9 246 9 260 6 244 4 113 359 187 8 244 8 259 5*242 5 109 187 89 7 243 7 259 3*242 4*107 89 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography