DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 60.9 - - 59.4 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 207 - - 18 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1990 - - 3821 - - 4526 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 946 - - 2420 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2055 - - 3886 - - 4591 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 992 - - 1161 - - 885 - - 252 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 374 - - 183 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 045 - - 048 - - 048 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1691 - - -606 - - 149 - - -2267 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3746 - - 4492 - - 4442 - - 2355 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11032 - - -8669 - - -8338 - - -12688 ODpotential blCL - - - 13087 - - 12555 - - 12929 - - 12775 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 80 - - 92 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 60.9 - - 59.4 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 41.8 - - 40.7 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 59.6 - - 59.4 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 41.1 - - 40.1 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 207 - - 18 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1990 - - 3821 - - 4526 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 19 - - 66 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97482 9 214 15 249 23 277 11 286 97482 90207 2 062 7 241 8 319 4 327 90207 84635 6 027 3 091 3 098 5 329 84635 80005 7 023 4 053 4 151 6 346 80005 75992 3 037 2 075 1 238 5 008 75992 72436 6 020 6 096 1 331 6 002 72436 69223 8 039 8 083 2 122 3 290 69223 66274 5 357 5 018 1 024 3 170 66274 63533 3 320 9 315 10 307 7 359 63533 60877 5 305 11 290 17 263 15 294 60877 58102 5 288 13 297 14 274 15 288 58102 55215 19 307 27 289 23 288 22 288 55215 52454 26 279 26 281 29 284 31 295 52454 49963 22 265 26 293 40 269 36 274 49963 47721 20 285 29 296 37 270 28 278 47721 45673 21 292 29 290 38 284 42 297 45673 43792 23 290 28 291 39 285 48 290 43792 42059 27 289 30 303 36 296 41 291 42059 40456 29 293 31 310 36 304 37 302 40456 38964 28 300 31 313 34 306 39 307 38964 37568 27 305 33 320 34 316 37 309 37568 36228 24 303 35 326 36 325 35 312 36228 34873 24 303 36 331 36 326 34 317 34873 33468 23 308 34 328 34 326 33 322 33468 32013 22 313 30 326 32 323 34 324 32013 30487 20 321 28 328 33 323 32 323 30487 28874 20 328 26 328 30 326 27 327 28874 27173 22 329 22 318 26 319 22 335 27173 25382 21 328 20 309 23 314 19 331 25382 23507 20 347 18 310 21 315 18 333 23507 21551 21 000 16 327 18 324 18 336 21551 19505 19 005 17 345 17 338 19 344 19505 17363 18 003 16 354 16 351 18 360 17363 15172 20 006 15 001 15 352 15 004 15172 13058 20 010 15 007 13 357 13 005 13058 11139 19 003 14 007 11 008 11 016 11139 9444 20 000 16 005 13 021 10 035 9444 7953 16 003 15 006 15 027 12 060 7953 6643 14 002 11 005 11 013 11 071 6643 5491 13 001 11 023 10*022 12 065 5491 4479 9 005 10*047 11*041 12 046 4479 3594 11 043 11*048 11 044 13 036 3594 2816 17 060 11 048 11 047 13 044 2816 2121 19*055 11 049 11 049 14 061 2121 1509 18*049 11 049 11 050 16 071 1509 1000 17 046 11 048 11 051 17 076 1000 609 16 045 11 048 11 052 16 079 609 342 15 044 10 048 10 052 14 082 342 180 14 043 10 047 9 052 11 083 180 87 11 042 8 047 7 052 4*081 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography