DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 79.9 - - 79.0 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 126 - - 40 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2486 - - 3727 - - 3006 - - 24 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1120 - - 2221 - - 911 - - 73 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2551 - - 3792 - - 3071 - - 89 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1968 - - 1743 - - 2009 - - 2025 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 341 - - 235 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 083 - - 095 - - 093 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -732 - - 422 - - -407 - - -1578 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3283 - - 3370 - - 3478 - - 1668 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3366 - - -1683 - - -3031 - - -4277 ODpotential blCL - - - 5917 - - 5475 - - 6102 - - 4366 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 77 - - 82 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 130 - - 80 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 79.9 - - 79.0 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.6 - - 65.5 - - 64.2 - - 66.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.1 - - 79.1 - - 78.8 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 64.1 - - 62.8 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 126 - - 40 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2486 - - 3727 - - 3006 - - 24 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 7 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99454 46 084 45 084 43 092 34 087 99454 91878 35 082 37 086 36 091 31 081 91878 86045 27 081 31 085 29 080 29 080 86045 81241 24 074 25 084 22 082 26 070 81241 77117 17 076 18 083 21 072 20 068 77117 73471 18 080 15 094 13 055 17 065 73471 70172 13 068 11 082 11 065 11 044 70172 67145 9 057 6 093 10 041 10 047 67145 64347 8 046 7 072 6 031 11 013 64347 61647 9 030 4 021 4 019 6 340 61647 58825 13 330 11 316 11 316 8 323 58825 55892 24 289 18 289 14 291 13 310 55892 53102 32 272 26 288 25 292 23 303 53102 50612 40 269 39 280 33 285 31 285 50612 48401 44 264 46 266 39 276 34 275 48401 46406 45 267 45 260 44 267 41 275 46406 44582 50 268 45 260 46 259 48 264 44582 42906 50 265 43 258 42 258 50 261 42906 41354 43 266 36 263 35 264 50 259 41354 39896 38 273 28 270 28 267 41 263 39896 38515 38 271 21 265 27 262 38 269 38515 37169 38 267 21 269 27 260 33 270 37169 35790 34 265 22 270 28 261 32 271 35790 34347 25 265 20 268 27 263 30 268 34347 32847 17 279 18 264 23 267 26 268 32847 31272 18 276 18 268 22 271 25 280 31272 29609 21 284 15 280 18 282 23 288 29609 27861 19 291 15 294 16 296 20 296 27861 26025 17 298 14 307 15 314 14 302 26025 24100 15 299 14 319 14 330 11 305 24100 22088 13 305 11 325 12 340 10 318 22088 19990 13 318 9 336 9 341 11 334 19990 17803 15 326 8 020 3 014 9 337 17803 15578 14 320 10 007 4 058 7 321 15578 13441 13 312 10 336 5 034 5 289 13441 11507 10 322 10 321 5 346 2 329 11507 9797 7 351 8 352 5 015 4 008 9797 8281 11 017 10 043 7 076 2 047 8281 6933 10 051 10 063 7 074 4 067 6933 5739 13 079 11 102 7 102 7 096 5739 4685 19 091 13*110 10 106 10 099 4685 3758 21 096 12*105 11*101 13 104 3758 2944 20*094 12 097 11*098 16 109 2944 2217 17*085 12 095 11 095 16 111 2217 1578 16 084 12 093 11 093 16 111 1578 1045 15 083 12 092 11 091 15 108 1045 637 14 082 12 091 11 091 13 106 637 357 14 081 11 091 10 090 11 104 357 187 12 081 11 091 9 090 9 103 187 89 10 081 9 091 8 089 5*100 89 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography