DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 0959z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.2 - - 69.8 - - 75.8 - - 79.6 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 195 - - 268 - - 103 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 150 - - 1754 - - 3352 - - 3795 - - 25 BL Depth Hcrit 72 - - 927 - - 2206 - - 2060 - - 73 Hcrit BL Top 215 - - 1819 - - 3417 - - 3860 - - 90 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1474 - - 908 - - 1867 - - 3773 - - 6328 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 290 - - 398 - - 307 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 12 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 278 - - 275 - - 263 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1193 - - -115 - - 171 - - -474 - - -2202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1408 - - 1934 - - 3246 - - 4334 - - 2292 sfcLCL ODpotential -4181 - - -2595 - - -501 - - -1243 - - -4084 ODpotential blCL 4396 - - 4414 - - 3918 - - 5103 - - 4174 blCL maxRH 83 - - 91 - - 86 - - 97 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 0 - - 310 - - 680 - - 1510 CAPE Temp@2m 65.2 - - 69.8 - - 75.8 - - 79.6 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.1 - - 61.2 - - 61.5 - - 60.7 - - 64.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.4 - - 68.7 - - 74.2 - - 78.8 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.4 - - 60.3 - - 60.5 - - 59.7 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 195 - - 268 - - 103 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 150 - - 1754 - - 3352 - - 3795 - - 25 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 64 - - 45 - - 88 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98095 18 102 18 109 13 145 9 118 12 084 98095 90582 16 078 18 093 15 139 8 146 4 102 90582 84785 10 057 14 090 16 137 10 177 2 231 84785 79994 7 124 4 145 8 096 11 144 9 198 79994 75895 4 190 3 207 4 086 7 131 10 183 75895 72279 9 154 8 188 7 203 6 266 2 031 72279 68997 3 322 7 177 11 184 13 229 7 325 68997 65982 11 258 5 262 5 263 12 272 10 308 65982 63196 11 257 11 244 18 237 18 269 20 284 63196 60515 8 273 7 256 19 230 24 256 27 243 60515 57714 29 290 17 302 18 252 20 260 17 245 57714 54801 32 278 29 291 25 277 30 279 30 279 54801 52038 36 262 43 262 46 266 44 268 46 278 52038 49568 37 254 47 242 52 252 52 258 50 269 49568 47368 40 257 44 244 49 249 51 255 51 266 47368 45394 52 259 48 257 46 256 51 255 56 265 45394 43601 61 257 62 264 46 257 45 260 50 271 43601 41953 68 249 66 263 48 265 53 297 75 297 41953 40421 72 238 63 261 57 276 79 305 103 297 40421 38982 77 225 62 259 63 277 74 302 90 295 38982 37625 77 227 64 256 64 273 64 294 63 288 37625 36313 74 240 65 255 61 275 61 285 55 280 36313 34974 74 247 62 256 58 280 59 280 55 276 34974 33577 74 248 57 260 57 280 55 278 57 276 33577 32122 68 253 53 263 55 277 51 274 57 275 32122 30595 59 258 49 263 53 276 53 272 55 275 30595 28985 53 258 44 260 51 276 54 273 55 276 28985 27292 48 258 39 261 50 271 54 272 53 280 27292 25512 44 259 37 264 48 266 53 271 52 284 25512 23647 41 264 38 263 47 264 51 270 49 282 23647 21701 38 266 40 263 46 264 47 265 46 277 21701 19666 34 266 40 264 44 259 46 261 43 275 19666 17539 33 263 41 265 46 256 49 263 42 277 17539 15368 35 265 41 263 47 262 52 269 41 280 15368 13273 39 266 38 265 46 272 50 274 41 287 13273 11372 40 261 35 273 45 278 43 276 39 287 11372 9693 36 257 33 280 39 277 40 275 30 290 9693 8208 29 248 32 279 31 278 35 274 25 289 8208 6889 19 254 30 269 27 276 31 273 24 279 6889 5718 20 268 28 267 23 266 28 272 22 278 5718 4678 27 264 22 283 19 268 22*269 21 282 4678 3761 32 260 23 298 18*269 17*265 20 285 3761 2950 31 256 23 296 14*271 13 263 18 288 2950 2225 26 244 21*288 13 274 11 261 17 290 2225 1584 22 230 15*280 13 275 10 262 15 290 1584 1050 18 223 14 278 12 276 10 263 12 286 1050 640 14 219 14 278 12 276 9 263 9 276 640 358 10*218 13 278 11 277 9 264 7 262 358 187 8*216 12 278 10 277 8 263 5*249 187 90 5 214 10 278 9 277 7 263 3*238 90 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography