DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.4 - - 28.4 - - 28.1 - - 25.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 193 - - 2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1553 - - 2355 - - 2044 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 69 - - 1312 - - 69 - - 69 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1618 - - 2420 - - 2109 - - 86 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1208 - - 1185 - - 1319 - - 1581 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 309 - - 76 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 14 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 282 - - 276 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1128 - - -749 - - -794 - - -1958 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2746 - - 3170 - - 2904 - - 2044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16018 - - -9340 - - -12555 - - -12901 ODpotential blCL - - - 17636 - - 11760 - - 14664 - - 12987 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 83 - - 80 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.4 - - 28.4 - - 28.1 - - 25.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.1 - - 15.1 - - 16.1 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.0 - - 27.3 - - 28.2 - - 25.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.7 - - 14.7 - - 15.9 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 193 - - 2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1553 - - 2355 - - 2044 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 31 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95006 113 242 108 251 91 252 73 262 95006 88283 61 260 59 265 59 264 67 270 88283 83041 42 269 39 274 55 272 52 274 83041 78660 37 282 38 284 52 273 47 271 78660 74830 38 298 39 296 40 282 52 269 74830 71390 28 305 36 307 35 298 49 269 71390 68236 23 309 33 298 32 298 42 269 68236 65304 31 306 33 292 34 285 38 271 65304 62555 38 300 41 289 44 285 41 283 62555 59875 47 297 51 283 54 281 48 283 59875 57069 50 293 53 273 52 276 53 276 57069 54140 49 290 52 265 51 276 55 273 54140 51328 46 292 48 264 56 275 63 277 51328 48792 50 290 54 272 67 272 71 276 48792 46516 56 280 59 270 69 269 69 274 46516 44449 56 272 57 272 65 273 66 278 44449 42561 52 277 58 280 64 281 72 284 42561 40832 58 287 69 284 73 288 77 285 40832 39240 70 286 77 280 83 284 73 285 39240 37760 73 285 80 276 85 277 73 288 37760 36375 69 289 80 276 80 275 76 290 36375 35043 69 295 80 280 77 278 81 291 35043 33695 77 299 86 283 77 280 89 293 33695 32301 82 298 90 281 77 284 96 295 32301 30857 84 293 90 280 82 289 102 299 30857 29348 81 287 90 281 89 291 105 300 29348 27759 78 284 90 283 91 290 101 295 27759 26086 76 283 88 286 85 286 96 292 26086 24328 72 281 77 285 77 281 93 289 24328 22494 66 279 69 281 73 281 85 287 22494 20594 63 280 68 281 66 283 73 284 20594 18619 64 282 61 284 58 285 63 282 18619 16556 59 284 56 283 52 290 65 284 16556 14445 52 289 45 283 47 290 61 285 14445 12412 46 294 37 287 45 284 54 286 12412 10575 39 300 35 286 49 280 51 285 10575 8955 33 304 34 286 39 282 46 278 8955 7534 27 305 32 287 33 283 39 275 7534 6288 20 311 29 286 33 280 30 271 6288 5194 18 324 23 288 29 277 24 267 5194 4233 21 334 21 304 24 281 21 268 4233 3393 26 336 20 305 19 287 18 252 3393 2658 26 333 18*299 16*284 16 236 2658 2003 23*324 15*284 13*276 14 232 2003 1426 18*310 14 282 12 276 12 229 1426 946 17 306 14 282 11 276 11 226 946 578 16 305 14 281 11 276 10 216 578 325 15 304 13 281 10 276 9 200 325 173 14 303 12 280 9 276 8*191 173 86 11 302 10 280 7 276 4*181 86 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography