DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 80.6 - - 80.6 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 104 - - 45 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3114 - - 4028 - - 3585 - - 24 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1559 - - 2351 - - 1413 - - 73 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3179 - - 4093 - - 3650 - - 89 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2032 - - 1918 - - 1801 - - 3702 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 333 - - 252 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 114 - - 116 - - 119 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -778 - - -532 - - -896 - - -1797 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3957 - - 4625 - - 4546 - - 1886 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3492 - - -2695 - - -3423 - - -3758 ODpotential blCL - - - 6671 - - 6788 - - 7073 - - 3847 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 69 - - 74 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 80.6 - - 80.6 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.6 - - 60.8 - - 61.2 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 79.8 - - 80.2 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 59.5 - - 59.8 - - 65.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 104 - - 45 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3114 - - 4028 - - 3585 - - 24 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99502 45 087 40 086 44 080 37 084 99502 91967 40 083 37 091 36 088 33 078 91967 86164 33 080 31 085 29 085 30 075 86164 81349 28 079 25 087 22 078 25 070 81349 77210 26 075 24 084 20 084 19 074 77210 73561 22 068 23 082 18 083 17 070 73561 70264 16 075 17 073 14 076 17 064 70264 67235 13 078 11 071 13 063 15 062 67235 64428 11 042 12 054 15 031 14 036 64428 61721 10 030 10 038 13 004 17 006 61721 58915 14 010 13 012 12 004 16 360 58915 56007 17 346 17 359 18 001 15 002 56007 53225 12 342 15 331 25 341 22 346 53225 50730 10 332 11 284 23 320 24 336 50730 48511 15 309 11 281 20 295 23 324 48511 46514 25 290 20 296 19 282 21 308 46514 44698 29 280 28 290 22 287 25 300 44698 43028 29 279 27 285 29 287 31 291 43028 41473 29 278 23 288 31 279 34 280 41473 40009 24 269 23 290 33 285 37 273 40009 38620 19 268 25 290 36 277 39 271 38620 37267 17 278 29 286 37 275 37 274 37267 35879 15 291 29 279 38 272 34 279 35879 34429 15 295 25 277 33 275 31 280 34429 32920 14 298 23 279 27 283 32 283 32920 31338 15 296 22 283 28 286 29 279 31338 29668 16 290 20 284 26 282 25 280 29668 27912 18 283 21 283 21 286 24 290 27912 26068 15 275 19 279 17 290 22 297 26068 24140 11 269 18 272 16 288 16 290 24140 22133 7 263 14 270 16 290 14 294 22133 20040 4 278 9 281 14 299 11 306 20040 17854 3 359 7 329 9 307 10 324 17854 15619 3 028 6 339 4 311 9 330 15619 13467 2 320 7 312 9 300 13 349 13467 11521 9 345 8 323 12 304 15 004 11521 9806 14 005 10 003 10 327 15 358 9806 8288 16 008 11 020 9 007 10 359 8288 6941 12 029 9 048 8 028 7 017 6941 5745 13 058 9 077 6 069 5 051 5745 4690 17 079 8*108 6 115 1 071 4690 3765 15*097 8*115 7*122 3 213 3765 2952 12*111 8 116 7*121 5 194 2952 2225 11 114 8 116 7 120 6 164 2225 1583 11 114 8 117 7 119 7 146 1583 1049 10 114 8 117 7 117 8 134 1049 639 9 114 7 116 7 117 8 127 639 358 9 114 7 116 7 117 7 122 358 187 8 114 7 116 6 117 6 118 187 89 7 114 6 116 6 117 3*113 89 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography