DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 86.4 - - 88.1 - - 82.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 117 - - 9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1126 - - 2277 - - 1810 - - 25 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 73 - - 1112 - - 74 - - 74 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1191 - - 2342 - - 1875 - - 90 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 595 - - 1148 - - 1966 - - 1552 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 277 - - 146 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 247 - - 251 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -346 - - -589 - - -1347 - - -1024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1537 - - 2931 - - 3222 - - 1114 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3534 - - -3740 - - -3780 - - -3890 ODpotential blCL - - - 4725 - - 6082 - - 5655 - - 3980 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 78 - - 71 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 1470 - - 2160 - - 2670 - - 3570 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 86.4 - - 88.1 - - 82.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.2 - - 73.4 - - 73.9 - - 77.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.2 - - 85.6 - - 88.1 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 72.3 - - 72.9 - - 76.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 117 - - 9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1126 - - 2277 - - 1810 - - 25 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99102 10 122 18 118 11 126 10 073 99102 91642 6 112 14 115 12 124 8 121 91642 85865 4 128 10 119 6 105 6 100 85865 81064 7 120 6 133 5 014 7 068 81064 76937 6 073 3 114 3 064 4 033 76937 73304 7 052 5 090 7 070 2 140 73304 70028 4 047 6 082 5 023 3 032 70028 67024 6 041 7 006 3 007 2 292 67024 64249 10 014 8 335 7 335 8 329 64249 61579 10 335 7 314 7 275 9 292 61579 58814 14 328 11 355 15 315 16 321 58814 55979 23 310 27 299 26 275 31 294 55979 53289 33 306 20 256 18 286 29 271 53289 50858 36 312 41 315 39 311 32 297 50858 48680 58 310 54 307 56 306 57 305 48680 46711 64 307 54 303 63 304 63 305 46711 44899 68 314 62 306 65 301 66 303 44899 43210 66 310 64 305 66 300 61 297 43210 41628 60 303 59 302 66 303 56 296 41628 40141 57 301 53 299 61 301 49 295 40141 38737 53 299 52 302 56 284 51 284 38737 37378 48 294 52 305 53 276 52 278 37378 35991 42 286 49 300 50 280 50 279 35991 34544 44 287 46 289 49 287 49 285 34544 33037 48 292 46 292 47 291 51 290 33037 31454 45 294 46 299 46 295 49 292 31454 29784 39 290 43 303 44 299 41 291 29784 28027 36 286 33 303 38 297 35 293 28027 26189 36 286 25 298 32 280 33 286 26189 24268 35 292 24 287 35 279 33 281 24268 22264 32 295 30 290 37 288 33 286 22264 20174 32 294 33 295 34 297 30 288 20174 17994 30 287 37 295 34 295 28 289 17994 15776 33 282 37 291 36 296 30 296 15776 13647 35 278 30 290 32 303 28 298 13647 11712 33 281 27 289 27 307 22 297 11712 9991 24 306 28 290 24 305 22 295 9991 8458 24 320 27 291 24 305 25 296 8458 7094 23 312 25 292 24 304 26 295 7094 5882 18 296 22 294 23 300 26 293 5882 4808 14 282 17 298 23 294 23 287 4808 3862 13 276 14 294 22 283 21 277 3862 3028 14 269 13*286 18 270 18 276 3028 2281 14 260 10*259 13*261 14 282 2281 1623 11*228 9 247 9*252 9 288 1623 1074 9*207 9 245 8 251 4 285 1074 654 9 205 8 244 8 250 2 264 654 365 8 204 8 243 7 250 1 235 365 190 8 203 7 243 6 249 1 169 190 90 6 203 6 243 5 250 2*128 90 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography