DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 58.2 - - 60.6 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 489 - - 222 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6381 - - 7372 - - 7145 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4714 - - 5582 - - 4992 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6446 - - 7437 - - 7210 - - 88 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 720 - - 861 - - 1302 - - 6919 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 558 - - 618 - - 472 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 21 - - 20 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 299 - - 293 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -5 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 381 - - -778 - - -1239 - - -6472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6066 - - 8215 - - 8450 - - 6560 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 264 - - -5205 - - -6384 - - -11788 ODpotential blCL - - - 6182 - - 12642 - - 13594 - - 11876 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 67 - - 64 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 58.2 - - 60.6 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.0 - - 21.9 - - 23.4 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 56.2 - - 59.5 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.5 - - 21.0 - - 22.5 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 489 - - 222 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6381 - - 7372 - - 7145 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97742 2 260 5 207 9 327 4 279 97742 90401 6 221 4 187 10 236 14 272 90401 84754 2 189 9 227 13 233 12 270 84754 80027 14 217 13 214 11 231 14 231 80027 75921 15 202 12 188 10 218 13 213 75921 72268 21 220 11 204 10 211 11 226 72268 68953 19 200 17 221 12 212 15 218 68953 65912 15 216 17 204 14 214 13 195 65912 63084 20 215 14 198 10 247 18 253 63084 60338 21 217 28 219 31 224 33 234 60338 57465 33 230 35 227 30 230 29 234 57465 54470 38 227 37 235 37 247 43 251 54470 51616 41 238 46 242 47 242 53 246 51616 49051 52 245 52 243 50 239 56 247 49051 46747 57 245 55 245 54 248 57 246 46747 44653 59 243 58 247 62 248 62 253 44653 42738 64 243 62 249 66 245 72 253 42738 40983 69 243 66 249 67 252 73 253 40983 39364 71 243 67 249 75 254 74 252 39364 37859 69 243 66 249 76 253 75 257 37859 36453 66 246 65 250 74 255 82 256 36453 35106 64 249 65 253 70 262 83 255 35106 33751 63 251 61 256 75 271 86 259 33751 32363 59 254 59 263 82 274 91 263 32363 30940 54 259 61 268 77 272 88 264 30940 29458 52 262 58 268 69 272 84 265 29458 27900 50 262 53 273 64 275 80 263 27900 26264 46 263 52 282 61 278 74 266 26264 24549 43 274 54 288 58 275 69 272 24549 22752 41 278 55 291 54 274 63 271 22752 20876 38 279 54 294 47 276 61 268 20876 18916 39 282 49 297 43 280 54 270 18916 16870 40 282 43 299 43 282 46 273 16870 14778 40 281 38 299 39 284 38 281 14778 12756 36 284 35 298 37 289 34 284 12756 10914 33 290 33 298 33 293 28 287 10914 9286 31 294 32 302 29 299 26 303 9286 7852 27*302 24*300 23*295 24 304 7852 6586 22*310 23*300 22*294 21 299 6586 5462 22 311 23 300 22 294 19 296 5462 4467 22 311 23 300 22 294 18 295 4467 3590 22 312 22 299 21 293 17 292 3590 2815 21 312 22 298 20 293 15 289 2815 2123 21 312 21 298 20 292 14 286 2123 1511 21 312 21 297 19 292 13 282 1511 1002 20 312 20 296 18 291 12 279 1002 612 19 311 19 296 18 291 11 274 612 343 18 311 18 296 17 291 9 269 343 180 17 312 17 296 15 290 7*261 180 88 14 310 14 295 13 291 4*249 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography