DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/18 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 73.4 - - 76.2 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 111 - - 27 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1249 - - 2635 - - 2177 - - 24 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 73 - - 1290 - - 73 - - 73 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1314 - - 2700 - - 2242 - - 89 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1976 - - 1218 - - 1833 - - 583 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 279 - - 176 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 008 - - 292 - - 267 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -4 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 209 - - 500 - - -741 - - -547 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1105 - - 2200 - - 2983 - - 636 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -115 - - 198 - - -5083 - - -3952 ODpotential blCL - - - 1429 - - 2502 - - 7325 - - 4041 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 95 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 73.4 - - 76.2 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.8 - - 63.8 - - 63.3 - - 65.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 72.6 - - 75.9 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 62.9 - - 62.3 - - 65.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 111 - - 27 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1249 - - 2635 - - 2177 - - 24 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 80 - - 2 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98093 9 118 8 155 12 198 4 267 98093 90729 3 055 1 199 5 241 5 253 90729 85042 2 232 3 152 3 294 2 226 85042 80330 1 081 3 053 5 149 4 271 80330 76288 3 106 4 345 0 355 3 206 76288 72728 3 133 2 295 6 298 3 217 72728 69509 3 209 5 240 8 269 9 284 69509 66552 4 269 7 240 9 234 12 269 66552 63806 6 258 7 252 8 237 10 263 63806 61135 11 221 12 226 15 250 14 276 61135 58350 15 223 16 222 21 243 22 265 58350 55480 16 237 19 239 25 237 26 250 55480 52754 21 252 24 241 25 239 27 240 52754 50302 26 251 30 242 30 248 31 243 50302 48103 32 246 39 240 40 252 35 251 48103 46108 39 242 43 236 44 246 38 256 46108 44280 42 242 42 238 44 239 42 253 44280 42593 41 245 40 240 41 237 41 248 42593 41024 40 245 34 248 33 249 31 249 41024 39555 38 243 33 254 27 258 23 263 39555 38168 38 245 34 255 24 266 22 269 38168 36822 39 244 32 255 20 270 23 274 36822 35455 38 243 30 259 16 285 20 273 35455 34034 36 242 28 262 16 312 14 299 34034 32557 34 243 20 276 18 326 16 303 32557 31005 24 253 17 306 18 321 20 304 31005 29366 16 280 17 311 18 320 22 313 29366 27638 17 294 17 303 18 328 22 319 27638 25823 17 290 16 303 19 331 16 315 25823 23919 14 291 15 302 17 329 12 308 23919 21932 12 309 16 302 15 324 12 300 21932 19863 11 319 16 309 14 317 14 296 19863 17705 12 321 15 320 14 312 17 292 17705 15506 12 335 13 323 13 309 17 293 15506 13391 9 344 11 328 13 308 14 303 13391 11471 8 026 9 324 12 310 13 316 11471 9767 11 021 10 323 13 305 14 324 9767 8255 13 360 11 321 15 308 15 333 8255 6914 14 345 12 312 17 317 20 337 6914 5727 15 341 13 310 20 325 22 329 5727 4679 11 001 13 318 18 321 19 323 4679 3757 11 021 10 316 15 316 16 310 3757 2943 13 017 7*308 12*311 14 297 2943 2215 11 019 7*299 7*293 10 279 2215 1574 9*016 7 295 5 266 9 230 1574 1042 7*011 6 293 5 262 12 207 1042 635 6 008 6 290 4 258 14 201 635 355 5 007 6 287 4 256 13 199 355 186 5 006 6 287 4 255 11*197 186 89 4 007 5 286 4 255 5*191 89 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography