DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/12 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 84.8 - - 83.9 - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 143 - - 140 - - 81 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2421 - - 3131 - - 2439 - - 728 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1296 - - 1810 - - 1002 - - 73 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2486 - - 3196 - - 2504 - - 793 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1188 - - 2193 - - 1959 - - 1397 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 326 - - 254 - - 57 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 096 - - 100 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 290 - - 458 - - 66 - - -484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2196 - - 2738 - - 2438 - - 1277 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1514 - - -402 - - -1095 - - -3130 ODpotential blCL - - - 4000 - - 3598 - - 3599 - - 3923 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 89 - - 84 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 1020 - - 1500 - - 1580 - - 670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 84.8 - - 83.9 - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.4 - - 72.8 - - 73.2 - - 72.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.0 - - 83.8 - - 83.3 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 71.5 - - 72.2 - - 72.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 143 - - 140 - - 81 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2421 - - 3131 - - 2439 - - 728 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 57 - - 37 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99093 41 087 35 068 47 086 37 080 99093 91614 34 080 36 078 38 077 33 079 91614 85847 29 072 33 089 27 068 31 078 85847 81075 27 066 26 095 19 058 29 073 81075 76977 25 068 22 092 17 066 21 073 76977 73369 22 080 21 085 13 065 19 070 73369 70112 22 084 21 085 14 092 15 058 70112 67116 19 080 19 084 13 090 13 057 67116 64333 13 082 16 079 11 081 13 052 64333 61644 11 082 11 073 10 074 11 045 61644 58862 15 059 8 078 8 058 12 077 58862 55998 14 039 8 057 6 059 14 092 55998 53286 11 354 3 349 5 359 8 080 53286 50861 13 305 7 338 6 325 7 342 50861 48695 22 273 15 323 14 318 15 318 48695 46740 25 262 12 280 14 298 14 298 46740 44957 8 245 6 105 6 148 6 241 44957 43298 18 045 17 083 10 099 6 181 43298 41736 27 034 13 073 5 128 10 203 41736 40259 26 031 12 065 3 114 12 204 40259 38855 18 026 8 086 5 183 18 230 38855 37487 12 019 6 163 8 225 21 249 37487 36089 12 008 6 304 7 270 16 256 36089 34627 10 339 12 291 14 268 11 256 34627 33105 9 321 13 275 16 251 10 246 33105 31508 10 334 10 266 10 238 10 228 31508 29821 4 289 9 244 8 253 8 237 29821 28046 9 228 9 277 5 264 4 236 28046 26185 10 287 6 298 6 276 1 215 26185 24243 8 278 9 289 8 294 2 218 24243 22225 11 284 11 311 7 326 2 133 22225 20126 10 299 10 317 8 314 2 304 20126 17943 9 310 10 319 10 312 9 281 17943 15718 10 312 9 332 6 324 12 271 15718 13575 7 324 1 049 2 230 8 244 13575 11631 6 010 2 112 3 166 1 210 11631 9908 3 024 1 195 2 272 4 009 9908 8377 3 077 3 238 9 292 10 332 8377 7015 3 037 5 265 9 297 13 330 7015 5805 4 357 4 289 7 305 11 337 5805 4737 6 318 2 303 4 317 5 342 4737 3800 5 329 2*091 1 046 2 007 3800 2976 4*078 5*099 4*101 2 079 2976 2242 7*089 7 097 8*102 5 104 2242 1594 7 089 7 096 10 101 9 111 1594 1056 7 088 7 095 10 100 10*108 1056 643 7 087 7 095 10 100 10*106 643 360 7 087 7 094 10 099 9 105 360 188 7 087 7 094 9 099 8 104 188 90 6 088 6 094 8 099 6 102 90 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography