DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 63.0 - - 63.5 - - 65.1 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 38 - - 14 - - 8 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 302 - - 772 - - 665 - - 710 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit 72 - - 72 - - 72 - - 72 - - 72 Hcrit BL Top 367 - - 837 - - 730 - - 775 - - 88 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 616 - - 599 - - 978 - - 1182 - - 1851 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 129 - - 91 - - 79 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 349 - - 339 - - 347 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 10 - - 236 - - 213 - - 190 - - -499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 357 - - 601 - - 517 - - 585 - - 587 sfcLCL ODpotential -190 - - 134 - - 51 - - -17 - - -837 ODpotential blCL 557 - - 703 - - 679 - - 792 - - 925 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 630 - - 530 - - 890 - - 470 - - 690 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 63.0 - - 63.5 - - 65.1 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.8 - - 60.6 - - 61.4 - - 62.7 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.2 - - 62.8 - - 63.4 - - 65.1 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.7 - - 60.2 - - 61.2 - - 62.5 - - 60.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 38 - - 14 - - 8 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 302 - - 772 - - 665 - - 710 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98062 22 255 21 227 22 229 29 235 27 256 98062 90700 18 251 20 224 28 230 23 243 28 251 90700 85036 21 256 14 252 22 244 25 245 22 249 85036 80344 17 257 14 269 14 258 22 258 15 266 80344 76322 7 281 9 307 7 276 14 262 16 304 76322 72775 8 305 8 329 6 259 10 276 17 306 72775 69564 10 299 7 299 3 254 5 255 11 303 69564 66616 11 268 8 281 6 274 9 235 12 309 66616 63885 8 250 7 282 5 251 12 231 13 291 63885 61234 10 279 14 274 9 265 12 261 13 276 61234 58460 18 262 20 257 19 266 17 270 18 263 58460 55582 26 256 22 248 26 255 19 259 18 249 55582 52836 27 255 22 250 28 257 25 264 24 261 52836 50360 31 247 24 253 33 253 35 255 30 251 50360 48131 34 234 28 247 35 247 34 249 28 251 48131 46092 35 225 37 238 35 247 38 250 31 255 46092 44214 43 235 40 232 43 245 45 244 35 258 44214 42476 55 224 43 230 50 230 48 238 39 253 42476 40858 55 214 53 226 51 222 48 236 38 249 40858 39340 55 220 59 219 55 224 50 237 40 252 39340 37910 64 220 56 216 60 224 52 235 45 252 37910 36530 68 216 54 218 62 225 51 232 49 249 36530 35132 63 215 55 216 59 224 51 232 50 244 35132 33682 61 216 57 212 59 220 54 227 49 239 33682 32183 62 215 58 210 61 214 56 220 47 238 32183 30629 58 215 51 210 56 212 54 219 43 243 30629 29009 48 213 41 204 42 224 40 229 41 253 29009 27317 35 205 38 194 33 227 32 239 40 255 27317 25542 27 198 36 195 27 227 31 241 38 251 25542 23681 24 200 33 201 25 230 32 240 36 248 23681 21736 28 200 27 206 24 229 28 240 33 249 21736 19703 27 207 23 203 22 225 21 240 25 250 19703 17576 20 203 21 200 18 219 15 234 19 244 17576 15404 13 197 18 207 14 219 13 220 14 240 15404 13310 10 211 11 223 9 232 9 221 7 256 13310 11404 4 208 7 224 9 250 8 267 6 304 11404 9705 1 342 4 189 7 250 8 277 6 317 9705 8195 5 040 2 009 3 358 5 282 6 312 8195 6850 6 076 9 335 6 352 8 317 10 309 6850 5658 4 123 10 338 6 047 5 357 10 315 5658 4608 3 146 8 358 11 051 4 037 6 330 4608 3688 2 222 9 010 10 037 7 037 10 353 3688 2881 2 204 9 002 9 032 9 026 12 005 2881 2166 3 136 9 002 14 020 13 007 17 014 2166 1539 6 078 14 011 16 358 16 355 20 006 1539 1020 13 025 14*356 15*343 15*353 18 003 1020 622 13*005 12*350 14*340 13*348 16 000 622 349 11*359 11 349 13 339 12 347 12 357 349 183 10 358 10 349 11 338 10 346 10 356 183 88 7 356 8 348 8 336 8 345 6*354 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography