DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 73.6 - - 71.5 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -16 - - 36 - - -21 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 24 - - 2204 - - 24 - - 24 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 72 - - 73 - - 73 - - 73 Hcrit BL Top - - - 89 - - 2269 - - 89 - - 89 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 800 - - 1729 - - 3282 - - 820 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 187 - - 15 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 22 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 197 - - 192 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -561 - - 760 - - -1017 - - -684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 650 - - 1509 - - 1106 - - 773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3281 - - 368 - - -1869 - - -3008 ODpotential blCL - - - 3370 - - 1901 - - 1958 - - 3097 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 99 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 1040 - - 890 - - 820 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 73.6 - - 71.5 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.4 - - 67.0 - - 66.6 - - 66.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 73.6 - - 72.4 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 66.5 - - 66.4 - - 66.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -16 - - 36 - - -21 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 24 - - 2204 - - 24 - - 24 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 96 - - 47 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96250 79 243 91 250 96 252 84 253 96250 89132 55 263 61 255 58 255 55 259 89132 83685 32 269 36 251 37 254 38 269 83685 79168 19 282 18 256 21 261 28 269 79168 75254 15 278 14 258 18 281 18 272 75254 71787 8 272 12 250 16 280 17 275 71787 68649 11 285 11 238 16 277 14 274 68649 65752 16 268 14 255 15 263 14 279 65752 63050 15 253 14 261 13 259 18 267 63050 60426 11 229 15 262 15 259 18 254 60426 57696 9 259 10 258 17 251 21 249 57696 54854 19 258 16 264 17 230 24 257 54854 52153 32 233 25 237 23 245 40 250 52153 49751 35 224 37 242 43 242 33 241 49751 47591 39 227 45 237 46 229 35 242 47591 45622 46 226 45 231 42 229 46 252 45622 43825 49 216 45 220 42 235 51 245 43825 42178 47 214 49 211 45 237 45 242 42178 40648 50 213 49 214 47 222 45 242 40648 39211 53 205 45 213 48 212 45 234 39211 37853 53 206 42 213 45 216 43 231 37853 36533 49 210 41 217 46 218 44 229 36533 35185 44 212 40 219 45 218 45 231 35185 33778 42 214 38 222 43 224 46 233 33778 32315 43 214 36 229 42 231 47 236 32315 30782 42 217 37 239 41 236 47 237 30782 29166 39 224 37 242 40 239 45 235 29166 27465 38 229 33 243 39 238 43 233 27465 25679 38 229 31 248 36 235 40 230 25679 23806 37 224 33 249 33 237 36 226 23806 21848 37 220 35 245 31 247 33 229 21848 19799 36 221 39 240 30 249 30 235 19799 17658 32 224 39 234 33 242 32 240 17658 15476 29 227 38 233 32 241 29 238 15476 13371 26 222 35 229 31 234 28 225 13371 11452 29 218 33 219 30 220 29 218 11452 9744 29 217 32 219 29 220 28 220 9744 8231 27 219 28 222 29 227 30 223 8231 6894 30 218 26 219 29 231 28 223 6894 5710 36 218 26 211 25 224 28 220 5710 4664 33 215 28 206 25 212 31 213 4664 3746 30 208 28 201 27 209 31 205 3746 2936 31 205 28*200 27 208 28 204 2936 2211 31 201 27*199 25 207 25 202 2211 1572 31 196 23 197 22 203 25 195 1572 1040 28 190 22 197 19 199 27 186 1040 633 23 183 21 197 17 196 23 182 633 354 16 175 19 196 14 195 16 179 354 185 14*173 17 196 12 193 14 179 185 89 9*170 13 197 8*192 7*179 89 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography