DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.2 - - 43.7 - - 43.4 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 66 - - 1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1518 - - 2301 - - 2191 - - 189 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1583 - - 2366 - - 2256 - - 254 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1335 - - 1232 - - 1643 - - 4244 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 220 - - 79 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 17 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 325 - - 322 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 524 - - 714 - - 461 - - -1892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1059 - - 1652 - - 1795 - - 2146 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 262 - - 573 - - 170 - - -2234 ODpotential blCL - - - 1321 - - 1793 - - 2086 - - 2488 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.2 - - 43.7 - - 43.4 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 36.7 - - 35.7 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 43.4 - - 43.5 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 36.1 - - 35.3 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 66 - - 1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1518 - - 2301 - - 2191 - - 189 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96324 65 237 70 248 76 251 72 259 96324 89078 42 249 45 247 44 250 43 253 89078 83559 34 244 32 251 33 253 27 247 83559 78965 22 239 28 249 31 248 23 253 78965 74987 11 249 22 235 26 259 23 262 74987 71460 16 279 15 229 22 249 28 256 71460 68257 25 270 16 232 20 232 27 243 68257 65290 29 260 18 262 15 246 21 239 65290 62513 29 257 29 270 24 239 27 244 62513 59806 34 257 32 260 26 238 33 244 59806 56971 40 255 35 258 33 244 35 238 56971 54009 44 248 47 246 40 242 38 236 54009 51164 48 247 54 238 48 242 45 235 51164 48599 58 244 58 236 55 237 48 234 48599 46297 68 238 65 235 60 233 51 233 46297 44208 73 231 71 233 66 233 55 234 44208 42295 73 229 73 231 72 233 60 232 42295 40532 72 231 75 228 74 230 63 227 40532 38896 74 233 75 226 73 225 64 223 38896 37369 75 233 73 226 70 223 62 222 37369 35936 77 231 74 228 67 224 59 225 35936 34562 74 226 79 229 68 225 61 227 34562 33178 64 230 85 226 73 225 62 225 33178 31761 68 236 83 223 76 223 64 222 31761 30315 73 234 76 225 72 223 65 219 30315 28827 70 231 71 229 66 225 61 220 28827 27282 61 233 68 233 63 225 54 223 27282 25669 50 236 65 234 57 228 52 223 25669 23981 36 237 59 234 55 233 50 226 23981 22215 26 236 50 238 51 234 46 232 22215 20375 28 241 39 239 46 233 39 234 20375 18454 20 247 32 236 39 234 35 231 18454 16447 11 239 26 236 30 242 29 231 16447 14404 11 268 16 251 21 262 17 221 14404 12438 15 281 18 266 17 276 10 238 12438 10646 15 266 22 267 23 298 14 273 10646 9053 16 266 18 287 19 320 16 311 9053 7646 11 295 14 321 13 321 14 330 7646 6398 9 314 16 326 13 316 11 330 6398 5294 10 314 17 324 14 325 14 324 5294 4324 8 334 17 337 15 331 19 325 4324 3474 13 353 19 340 19 328 21 328 3474 2725 18 340 20*329 19*326 23 329 2725 2056 20*327 20*327 19*325 24 329 2056 1465 19*322 20 325 18 323 24 329 1465 972 19 319 19 324 18 322 22 328 972 595 18 318 18 324 16 322 20 327 595 334 16 317 17 323 15 321 17*326 334 177 14 316 15 322 13 320 15*325 177 87 11 315 11 322 9 318 10 324 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography