DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 54.8 - - 54.1 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 107 - - -10 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1432 - - 2252 - - 2065 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 71 - - 998 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1497 - - 2317 - - 2130 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 761 - - 1147 - - 1224 - - 186 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 221 - - 262 - - 100 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 029 - - 035 - - 023 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1860 - - -2094 - - -1491 - - -1191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3358 - - 4412 - - 3621 - - 1278 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15666 - - -14291 - - -13718 - - -14106 ODpotential blCL - - - 17163 - - 16608 - - 15848 - - 14193 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 55 - - 60 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 54.8 - - 54.1 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 36.4 - - 39.2 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 54.1 - - 54.6 - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 35.2 - - 38.0 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 107 - - -10 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1432 - - 2252 - - 2065 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97676 9 206 15 254 22 241 12 267 97676 90400 13 234 15 236 14 252 12 238 90400 84798 17 241 15 228 12 257 11 237 84798 80124 10 214 11 232 14 246 13 249 80124 76081 10 265 11 199 17 239 12 269 76081 72520 6 261 10 195 17 245 16 271 72520 69313 6 259 8 215 15 213 11 247 69313 66365 10 315 9 264 9 221 12 243 66365 63637 19 288 13 257 17 234 15 258 63637 61004 15 249 9 250 13 232 16 253 61004 58262 22 279 16 267 15 252 13 236 58262 55409 30 266 25 267 21 279 15 282 55409 52673 26 239 29 246 27 269 30 279 52673 50208 18 239 27 229 30 250 24 274 50208 47995 19 269 17 242 20 240 12 261 47995 45982 23 280 15 291 9 290 5 303 45982 44136 20 276 14 309 10 329 11 328 44136 42440 18 245 14 314 18 001 22 006 42440 40871 11 245 17 355 25 018 31 015 40871 39405 12 354 27 009 31 023 35 026 39405 38025 23 011 34 005 37 020 42 033 38025 36692 30 005 38 002 39 016 48 035 36692 35332 32 005 38 000 40 011 48 031 35332 33915 32 009 37 359 41 007 44 021 33915 32439 33 015 34 360 40 006 46 018 32439 30886 32 017 32 001 36 006 46 020 30886 29244 32 016 32 003 32 004 40 027 29244 27515 33 014 31 005 29 006 32 027 27515 25698 33 014 28 005 26 006 28 023 25698 23794 31 013 26 005 24 005 27 020 23794 21805 28 013 24 007 23 005 25 022 21805 19721 26 014 19 009 18 002 22 018 19721 17536 26 015 17 011 15 003 22 020 17536 15302 27 011 17 007 17 017 19 026 15302 13153 28 006 19 008 22 029 21 034 13153 11210 28 011 23 019 24 036 24 039 11210 9496 28 021 25 028 24 040 23 040 9496 7988 28 027 25 027 24 037 21 039 7988 6660 25 034 24 024 24 031 22 036 6660 5495 22 038 22 026 24 026 22 034 5495 4474 21 036 20 030 21 027 18 032 4474 3586 21 036 18 036 16 030 12 038 3586 2808 20 042 15*040 12*028 11 056 2808 2115 19*043 12*037 11*026 11 054 2115 1504 16*039 11 036 10 024 10 040 1504 996 12 028 11 035 10 022 10 025 996 607 11 026 10 035 9 022 10 013 607 340 11 025 10 035 9 021 10 005 340 179 10 025 9 034 7 020 8 359 179 87 8 023 7 034 6 019 4*351 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography