DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1007z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.1 - - 59.3 - - 59.4 - - 57.0 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 18 - - 44 - - -2 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3 - - 1805 - - 3031 - - 2956 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit 52 - - 51 - - 51 - - 51 - - 51 Hcrit BL Top 68 - - 1870 - - 3096 - - 3021 - - 67 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3016 - - 1931 - - 1774 - - 1615 - - 201 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 151 - - 222 - - 117 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 20 - - 19 - - 22 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 331 - - 335 - - 336 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -6 - - -3 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -871 - - -222 - - 350 - - 140 - - -1236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 939 - - 2092 - - 2746 - - 2881 - - 1303 sfcLCL ODpotential -1103 - - -1589 - - -689 - - -2963 - - -3144 ODpotential blCL 1171 - - 3459 - - 3785 - - 5984 - - 3211 blCL maxRH 87 - - 100 - - 100 - - 80 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.1 - - 59.3 - - 59.4 - - 57.0 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.2 - - 50.4 - - 47.7 - - 44.8 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 59.1 - - 59.1 - - 57.1 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.8 - - 49.4 - - 46.5 - - 43.8 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 18 - - 44 - - -2 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3 - - 1805 - - 3031 - - 2956 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 102 - - 101 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97601 14 283 14 244 18 268 15 252 17 266 97601 90213 10 264 10 244 10 262 9 258 11 274 90213 84490 8 263 5 244 8 239 11 265 13 279 84490 79742 4 270 5 248 2 218 5 281 7 272 79742 75646 2 317 7 203 8 222 12 286 12 285 75646 72043 11 284 3 200 9 215 12 238 12 275 72043 68800 16 239 9 246 9 254 10 207 10 282 68800 65806 20 223 21 245 17 250 19 236 18 265 65806 63034 22 219 28 236 26 233 27 228 26 235 63034 60363 27 230 32 227 30 222 30 227 29 218 60363 57578 35 232 39 230 40 230 40 230 39 235 57578 54699 45 228 49 229 48 234 53 229 53 230 54699 51965 56 222 58 225 57 233 59 228 60 228 51965 49515 66 220 65 220 62 226 64 233 70 228 49515 47325 71 217 68 217 65 224 72 230 77 223 47325 45329 72 214 71 217 74 223 75 221 79 219 45329 43483 71 211 74 215 77 217 74 215 78 221 43483 41765 67 216 73 216 75 219 72 220 80 228 41765 40165 68 223 71 221 78 224 78 229 86 232 40165 38671 73 228 74 230 80 225 86 233 93 232 38671 37271 73 228 79 233 82 223 90 231 97 228 37271 35923 69 225 79 231 81 219 88 226 98 223 35923 34551 69 223 75 226 82 217 87 222 99 219 34551 33121 69 224 73 222 82 218 88 220 99 218 33121 31633 67 226 73 222 82 220 88 219 99 220 31633 30075 64 226 73 224 80 222 88 218 99 222 30075 28434 60 224 73 227 77 222 88 217 96 225 28434 26711 57 222 70 228 76 219 86 217 92 227 26711 24907 58 224 69 226 77 219 86 219 88 227 24907 23026 62 229 67 228 71 219 84 222 82 226 23026 21072 62 233 67 224 65 218 79 225 75 227 21072 19045 59 234 58 215 63 215 74 227 69 230 19045 16941 53 230 48 208 62 216 67 232 63 231 16941 14804 38 219 46 216 58 232 57 235 56 232 14804 12756 36 222 49 240 47 245 47 236 47 239 12756 10906 36 235 45 248 34 245 38 244 36 253 10906 9272 38 246 38 239 27 242 28 256 29 278 9272 7830 33 242 39 232 24 258 21 302 26 306 7830 6558 30 243 32 245 20 276 26 329 27 326 6558 5434 32 252 22 276 19 308 32 336 29 330 5434 4441 25 283 17 313 21 334 32 338 30 337 4441 3566 17 326 15 356 21*337 31*339 29 344 3566 2793 20 341 18 356 21*337 27*338 27 348 2793 2102 23 337 22*341 21 336 25 337 25 351 2102 1491 24 333 22*333 20 336 23 336 22 354 1491 982 23 330 22 331 19 335 22 335 19 358 982 591 20 328 21 331 18 334 21 335 16 000 591 322 16 325 19 330 16 334 19 334 13 001 322 160 14*324 17 329 15 333 16 334 11 001 160 67 9*322 13 329 12 332 12 333 4*354 67 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography