DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 64.4 - - 65.8 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 499 - - 198 - - 323 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 72 - - 72 - - 72 - - 72 Hcrit BL Top - - - 564 - - 263 - - 388 - - 88 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1160 - - 999 - - 868 - - 1166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 48 - - 19 - - 29 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 075 - - 054 - - 034 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 132 - - 18 - - 179 - - -277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 432 - - 245 - - 209 - - 365 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 6 - - -235 - - 41 - - -477 ODpotential blCL - - - 558 - - 498 - - 347 - - 565 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 120 - - 180 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 64.4 - - 65.8 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.6 - - 63.4 - - 64.9 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 64.5 - - 66.0 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 63.3 - - 64.8 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 499 - - 198 - - 323 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98159 14 229 13 223 11 262 11 231 98159 90810 18 212 17 215 16 235 10 279 90810 85121 14 208 14 219 19 248 12 264 85121 80383 10 241 9 229 15 238 14 254 80383 76292 5 244 13 214 14 245 13 241 76292 72682 6 247 10 224 14 246 10 236 72682 69431 4 242 9 249 16 231 14 255 69431 66464 12 262 12 247 18 238 17 260 66464 63729 18 248 13 245 19 249 18 251 63729 61085 20 255 18 259 23 251 24 265 61085 58332 31 256 32 266 31 251 35 260 58332 55486 40 246 48 257 42 263 42 257 55486 52780 45 245 60 249 57 256 53 259 52780 50355 49 245 64 246 66 250 65 250 50355 48182 53 253 66 250 72 249 71 247 48182 46206 66 262 72 254 79 253 85 254 46206 44391 80 264 80 259 83 255 94 255 44391 42706 86 264 88 260 86 255 98 255 42706 41133 83 263 93 257 88 253 103 254 41133 39657 73 257 91 254 85 251 106 253 39657 38262 68 243 85 251 81 248 98 250 38262 36909 65 244 82 248 79 244 88 245 36909 35529 61 245 75 242 77 241 83 242 35529 34091 61 244 69 235 73 234 77 245 34091 32598 64 243 71 236 69 234 71 246 32598 31030 64 242 71 238 68 240 67 244 31030 29375 61 241 69 241 63 241 62 243 29375 27636 52 242 63 237 55 239 54 243 27636 25818 45 249 53 235 48 242 47 249 25818 23917 41 244 47 242 46 246 45 250 23917 21934 38 238 44 243 44 251 41 251 21934 19861 36 239 41 244 40 251 36 261 19861 17694 28 239 38 245 35 250 33 262 17694 15483 26 245 34 243 29 259 27 254 15483 13360 24 243 32 243 24 261 20 262 13360 11433 24 247 29 239 24 259 18 269 11433 9722 22 241 22 241 26 255 17 269 9722 8206 19 219 14 239 19 254 15 262 8206 6863 17 200 14 210 11 258 12 255 6863 5673 17 181 15 203 9 216 8 239 5673 4622 20 158 16 189 9 214 6 251 4622 3701 25 138 15 171 7 210 7 306 3701 2892 27 119 15 153 4 192 8 317 2892 2172 27 103 15 128 4 155 5 003 2172 1540 25 091 16 100 5 107 15 029 1540 1018 23 086 16 078 7 069 18 020 1018 621 19*078 14 062 8*044 16 015 621 348 17*076 12*056 7*037 13 011 348 183 14 075 10*054 6 034 11 010 183 88 10 074 7 053 5 031 7*007 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography