DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 63.9 - - 61.4 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 139 - - -11 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 622 - - 2131 - - 23 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 72 - - 1021 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 687 - - 2196 - - 88 - - 88 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 767 - - 2144 - - 4961 - - 2295 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 273 - - 14 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 221 - - 246 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -170 - - -847 - - -3005 - - -1363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 857 - - 3044 - - 3093 - - 1451 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2286 - - -2297 - - -3873 - - -3135 ODpotential blCL - - - 2973 - - 4493 - - 3961 - - 3223 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 84 - - 62 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 310 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 63.9 - - 61.4 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 50.4 - - 47.8 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 62.9 - - 62.0 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 49.8 - - 47.4 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 139 - - -11 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 622 - - 2131 - - 23 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96270 64 240 72 239 84 250 78 253 96270 89029 49 254 46 250 48 252 44 249 89029 83481 34 249 34 251 35 251 36 245 83481 78865 24 252 27 246 29 251 29 256 78865 74896 24 268 22 241 20 253 23 252 74896 71373 25 273 18 260 18 258 13 253 71373 68152 24 274 19 264 18 258 18 256 68152 65177 25 258 20 250 22 245 20 248 65177 62408 24 253 22 251 17 252 24 261 62408 59708 29 256 24 259 30 259 37 248 59708 56888 37 252 42 251 40 244 38 233 56888 53947 47 243 45 245 42 244 41 248 53947 51125 52 240 54 244 54 245 57 242 51125 48591 56 239 65 238 62 237 62 233 48591 46322 61 238 66 228 59 231 58 233 46322 44263 61 234 60 228 56 235 61 236 44263 42383 63 236 67 238 62 239 64 235 42383 40651 74 235 75 236 69 237 66 232 40651 39043 76 229 74 228 72 231 66 231 39043 37542 71 227 70 222 68 226 65 230 37542 36140 73 231 62 223 62 227 63 230 36140 34796 87 232 63 229 60 229 61 229 34796 33446 102 228 66 231 58 232 60 227 33446 32059 105 224 67 227 54 233 56 226 32059 30639 98 222 63 224 50 231 50 226 30639 29173 89 221 57 229 45 234 38 228 29173 27642 84 219 58 231 44 241 32 234 27642 26034 76 219 54 227 43 244 31 238 26034 24343 67 218 49 227 42 246 32 242 24343 22570 61 216 45 231 42 245 32 240 22570 20719 58 217 40 234 41 238 31 237 20719 18784 45 215 39 234 38 237 29 237 18784 16762 42 210 39 231 33 235 27 238 16762 14698 41 229 37 229 31 234 26 230 14698 12709 37 241 34 233 27 235 24 225 12709 10899 31 228 31 238 22 239 26 230 10899 9290 30 217 26 235 20 239 26 240 9290 7858 25 210 26 237 21 239 24 248 7858 6586 20 194 23 233 23 244 22 247 6586 5460 16 184 20 224 24 251 21 245 5460 4463 16 182 19 226 22 251 19 252 4463 3585 15 181 19 231 21 250 18 263 3585 2811 14 178 18*231 20 252 19 279 2811 2120 14 171 14*225 19 252 20 290 2120 1510 14 166 12 220 16 251 20 292 1510 1002 13*164 12 220 14 249 19 290 1002 612 11*162 11 220 13 248 18 289 612 343 9 162 11 220 11 248 15 288 343 181 8 162 10 220 9*247 13*288 181 88 7 162 9 219 7*246 5*284 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography