DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 64.9 - - 62.7 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 138 - - 8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1093 - - 2932 - - 2221 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 71 - - 1567 - - 72 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1158 - - 2997 - - 2286 - - 88 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1292 - - 956 - - 1030 - - 1011 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 194 - - 300 - - 114 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 076 - - 095 - - 093 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1184 - - -1033 - - -1328 - - -1050 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2343 - - 4030 - - 3614 - - 1138 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8982 - - -9129 - - -9712 - - -9231 ODpotential blCL - - - 10140 - - 12126 - - 11998 - - 9319 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 85 - - 87 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 64.9 - - 62.7 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 48.0 - - 47.7 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 63.9 - - 62.8 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 47.4 - - 47.2 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 138 - - 8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1093 - - 2932 - - 2221 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 40 - - 47 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96886 44 242 53 253 56 257 53 263 96886 89676 27 244 32 239 41 257 43 252 89676 84109 17 251 19 231 29 246 32 251 84109 79505 14 246 16 241 20 241 24 255 79505 75537 12 252 13 243 14 241 20 249 75537 72038 20 273 12 266 11 251 19 243 72038 68890 18 266 17 247 18 252 17 247 68890 66003 18 247 20 256 23 252 18 258 66003 63319 23 244 19 256 19 247 18 252 63319 60711 28 257 21 261 23 251 25 260 60711 57981 39 252 34 251 29 250 32 259 57981 55144 43 249 42 250 39 252 43 250 55144 52434 57 242 52 244 45 246 43 247 52434 49984 59 238 59 239 53 240 50 246 49984 47786 62 236 64 240 64 241 58 244 47786 45804 64 232 75 237 74 237 62 245 45804 44003 58 233 73 234 74 230 67 245 44003 42346 51 240 67 237 70 229 67 244 42346 40806 48 244 64 240 69 233 62 243 40806 39358 45 246 60 237 67 235 59 244 39358 37987 41 251 53 235 61 236 60 241 37987 36657 33 258 45 240 60 238 63 237 36657 35299 34 257 46 249 60 237 65 237 35299 33883 34 256 51 255 57 234 64 238 33883 32406 35 260 48 255 54 235 62 240 32406 30855 37 260 43 246 51 241 56 243 30855 29217 37 258 40 241 45 250 47 246 29217 27490 38 253 39 245 47 263 49 248 27490 25676 29 238 40 243 43 257 52 246 25676 23780 32 238 37 240 40 255 48 252 23780 21802 31 235 34 237 39 249 38 257 21802 19740 30 239 31 243 29 240 34 252 19740 17586 29 250 26 249 24 250 32 262 17586 15380 25 257 22 246 24 245 27 267 15380 13248 20 259 21 242 24 240 17 259 13248 11311 14 266 15 248 19 241 12 267 11311 9596 11 276 9 256 12 234 11 246 9596 8083 4 273 5 252 6 229 7 218 8083 6748 4 083 4 175 4 215 4 245 6748 5572 7 071 5 117 4 148 3 235 5572 4541 7 069 6 095 6 114 4 197 4541 3640 9 068 8*101 6 108 5 200 3640 2849 10 082 8*097 7*105 5 182 2849 2144 13 095 9 097 9*097 8 136 2144 1524 14*088 9 095 10 094 13 121 1524 1010 12*081 9 094 10 092 16 111 1010 615 10 075 8 093 10 091 16 104 615 345 10 074 8 093 9 090 13 100 345 181 9 074 8 092 8 089 11*098 181 88 7 074 7 091 7 089 4*090 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography