DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 92.4 - - 93.7 - - 89.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 182 - - 65 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1370 - - 4129 - - 4657 - - 26 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 451 - - 2646 - - 2413 - - 74 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1435 - - 4194 - - 4722 - - 91 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2348 - - 1610 - - 2683 - - 2223 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 235 - - 383 - - 296 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 245 - - 247 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 5 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4069 - - -1132 - - -363 - - -3059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5505 - - 5326 - - 5085 - - 3150 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9568 - - -4708 - - -1806 - - -5213 ODpotential blCL - - - 11003 - - 8902 - - 6528 - - 5304 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 85 - - 79 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 750 - - 1470 - - 2500 - - 3720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 92.4 - - 93.7 - - 89.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.3 - - 69.2 - - 71.5 - - 75.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.0 - - 91.2 - - 93.3 - - 90.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 68.0 - - 70.5 - - 74.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 182 - - 65 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1370 - - 4129 - - 4657 - - 26 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 41 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 14 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99599 46 088 41 086 34 089 28 084 99599 92037 34 082 32 083 32 083 29 078 92037 86209 25 083 26 083 29 078 29 067 86209 81376 24 084 24 090 24 080 20 067 81376 77223 22 080 19 092 18 088 17 072 77223 73559 15 072 14 090 16 100 12 062 73559 70237 8 103 7 104 9 095 8 062 70237 67184 8 049 4 075 4 126 2 127 67184 64360 7 004 7 335 5 346 4 243 64360 61647 12 322 11 282 10 338 2 257 61647 58846 10 294 13 286 16 298 10 279 58846 55955 18 316 15 281 22 283 21 293 55955 53221 27 285 22 277 29 285 31 303 53221 50789 28 277 30 286 32 295 39 302 50789 48626 33 298 35 292 36 293 41 290 48626 46667 34 305 36 298 37 293 40 278 46667 44865 37 306 39 304 37 294 41 279 44865 43190 38 302 41 302 39 291 46 290 43190 41622 40 299 41 298 43 292 50 295 41622 40142 42 299 43 295 46 294 56 295 40142 38741 48 301 42 294 48 295 59 296 38741 37377 51 300 41 292 48 294 57 293 37377 35985 50 297 40 289 45 291 55 289 35985 34534 48 295 39 286 39 285 53 287 34534 33025 45 295 38 285 37 281 52 286 33025 31445 43 296 38 286 37 282 50 287 31445 29779 41 296 39 287 38 286 48 290 29779 28031 39 289 39 283 42 286 45 293 28031 26200 44 279 40 271 42 282 41 290 26200 24284 43 275 41 267 44 280 39 285 24284 22289 40 267 39 270 44 283 41 283 22289 20208 36 260 38 273 36 276 40 280 20208 18040 34 268 34 271 33 275 35 277 18040 15829 30 268 31 268 31 276 34 282 15829 13697 29 267 29 268 30 278 35 285 13697 11758 29 276 30 277 31 280 34 294 11758 10032 30 276 28 283 31 285 29 294 10032 8500 30 276 24 288 29 288 27 286 8500 7135 28 283 21 295 25 287 26 287 7135 5919 22 289 18 295 22 282 24 286 5919 4841 17 300 12*284 16*269 22 284 4841 3889 11 306 7*250 15*263 20 278 3889 3049 7 313 7 249 13 252 19 268 3049 2298 5 334 7 247 12 246 18 256 2298 1635 2*015 7 245 12 244 19 241 1635 1083 3*144 7 243 11 242 18 231 1083 659 3 146 6 241 11 241 17 227 659 368 3 149 6 240 10 240 14 224 368 191 3 150 6 240 10 239 11*222 191 91 3 150 5 240 8 239 5*218 91 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography