DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 1007z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.4 - - 79.4 - - 80.7 - - 84.3 - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 51 - - -21 - - 24 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4 - - 759 - - 5 - - 2449 - - 4 BL Depth Hcrit 52 - - 53 - - 53 - - 53 - - 53 Hcrit BL Top 69 - - 824 - - 70 - - 2514 - - 69 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 1476 - - 3700 - - 2414 - - 623 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 154 - - 13 - - 192 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 6 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 152 - - 154 - - 176 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -713 - - -1867 - - -1720 - - 406 - - -562 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 782 - - 2692 - - 1791 - - 2108 - - 631 sfcLCL ODpotential -5546 - - -5071 - - -2323 - - -902 - - -2912 ODpotential blCL 5615 - - 5895 - - 2393 - - 3416 - - 2981 blCL maxRH 72 - - 90 - - 76 - - 90 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 240 - - 320 - - 1560 - - 2490 - - 2150 CAPE Temp@2m 68.4 - - 79.4 - - 80.7 - - 84.3 - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.2 - - 67.9 - - 72.9 - - 74.9 - - 75.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.2 - - 78.8 - - 80.9 - - 84.0 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.0 - - 66.2 - - 72.1 - - 73.7 - - 75.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 51 - - -21 - - 24 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4 - - 759 - - 5 - - 2449 - - 4 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 61 - - 5 - - 61 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 13 - - 17 - - 17 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98794 24 068 30 073 26 078 28 086 21 086 98794 91280 20 060 25 075 22 078 26 089 19 081 91280 85495 23 074 22 079 21 079 18 091 20 073 85495 80721 23 076 18 083 17 083 15 092 16 052 80721 76629 22 085 14 082 14 097 11 079 11 064 76629 73008 18 077 9 077 13 098 9 065 10 079 73008 69723 9 072 6 080 8 091 6 040 9 061 69723 66713 4 109 2 117 2 061 4 356 9 011 66713 63950 2 011 4 163 7 228 6 285 7 292 63950 61294 10 299 5 257 8 219 10 240 12 270 61294 58531 20 285 14 274 14 272 14 253 16 249 58531 55672 29 275 23 272 24 274 15 261 13 250 55672 52949 38 269 31 277 32 271 28 274 29 276 52949 50526 39 258 37 276 40 264 45 278 47 285 50526 48375 39 259 39 270 44 260 54 275 53 281 48375 46426 42 261 40 262 44 265 43 271 54 264 46426 44636 45 256 40 256 38 281 36 279 52 253 44636 42964 44 252 40 255 44 310 38 290 52 252 42964 41391 44 254 40 257 56 320 42 298 56 258 41391 39905 45 259 42 255 49 313 46 300 58 262 39905 38501 46 258 45 246 45 295 51 299 56 263 38501 37139 42 247 46 240 47 278 53 298 49 270 37139 35749 37 234 45 240 48 267 51 295 44 274 35749 34297 32 222 44 242 48 270 47 293 41 278 34297 32787 31 223 39 248 44 277 46 296 38 285 32787 31202 32 235 33 255 40 281 47 299 37 291 31202 29532 33 248 31 255 36 279 45 292 38 296 29532 27777 33 250 30 253 35 273 42 284 39 298 27777 25938 32 248 29 252 35 271 39 280 35 296 25938 24019 31 247 28 253 33 273 41 278 26 288 24019 22023 27 246 28 254 30 275 39 275 23 284 22023 19944 24 249 28 258 28 276 33 274 21 284 19944 17781 21 261 25 264 26 276 25 271 18 276 17781 15580 17 284 19 265 21 273 18 264 15 270 15580 13465 16 293 16 259 17 271 16 273 17 283 13465 11547 19 289 16 279 18 277 18 285 19 288 11547 9848 21 294 19 293 13 263 16 280 19 280 9848 8339 19 301 14 296 13 247 14 264 18 268 8339 6994 16 294 13 279 11 244 14 256 18 257 6994 5797 14 289 17 266 13 244 15 253 19 248 5797 4734 10 279 16 251 15 235 14 243 18 233 4734 3799 5 284 12 233 15 202 13 226 18 223 3799 2974 1 236 9 215 16 169 14*188 17 218 2974 2236 3 164 9 194 15 165 14*182 18 213 2236 1585 4 160 9 170 14 163 13 178 19 206 1585 1043 4 136 9*153 13 160 13 175 19 198 1043 627 4 116 9*152 12 158 12 174 17 196 627 341 4 107 8 152 11 156 11 173 11 197 341 168 4*099 8 152 9*154 10 172 9 197 168 69 2*096 6 152 6*154 8 171 2*186 69 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography