DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.1 - - 34.6 - - 35.0 - - 26.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 159 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 776 - - 1222 - - 912 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 69 - - 389 - - 70 - - 69 Hcrit BL Top - - - 841 - - 1287 - - 977 - - 86 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 781 - - 955 - - 1068 - - 318 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 233 - - 31 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 304 - - 268 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2732 - - -3599 - - -3381 - - -1774 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3573 - - 4886 - - 4358 - - 1860 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17054 - - -17685 - - -17942 - - -19058 ODpotential blCL - - - 17895 - - 18972 - - 18919 - - 19144 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 51 - - 50 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.1 - - 34.6 - - 35.0 - - 26.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.2 - - 13.8 - - 16.6 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 33.6 - - 35.2 - - 31.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.6 - - 13.1 - - 16.1 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 159 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 776 - - 1222 - - 912 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95298 86 263 85 266 82 271 77 277 95298 88570 78 275 75 280 73 275 69 267 88570 83272 62 278 66 285 65 280 63 281 83272 78809 48 279 55 280 55 284 59 285 78809 74921 43 282 44 272 47 284 53 279 74921 71458 45 287 37 276 42 284 47 286 71458 68325 46 289 38 282 44 280 45 288 68325 65439 48 285 44 288 45 278 42 277 65439 62732 49 283 52 297 49 293 38 277 62732 60086 52 292 60 296 55 299 40 286 60086 57335 58 285 58 283 55 289 47 289 57335 54489 52 273 51 271 52 274 49 284 54489 51746 43 285 41 277 40 270 44 278 51746 49239 52 300 42 295 38 291 38 285 49239 46976 65 300 55 303 50 300 43 292 46976 44940 75 292 66 294 58 294 51 290 44940 43107 72 285 73 281 56 280 54 279 43107 41436 64 290 55 275 46 278 45 277 41436 39900 60 297 50 298 48 298 41 292 39900 38478 54 306 63 310 57 307 42 308 38478 37145 57 319 66 311 60 307 46 308 37145 35850 65 324 60 312 58 306 49 303 35850 34527 76 328 57 318 54 308 48 298 34527 33145 87 331 56 320 52 311 46 295 33145 31707 88 329 57 320 52 313 46 295 31707 30195 89 330 60 323 54 315 47 294 30195 28595 83 340 62 321 56 312 51 295 28595 26907 55 335 62 317 57 309 55 298 26907 25128 40 306 54 314 55 310 53 294 25128 23265 38 301 49 306 46 309 48 284 23265 21319 43 299 46 294 39 305 47 278 21319 19281 47 297 48 284 41 299 48 279 19281 17149 47 297 44 284 41 289 41 282 17149 14971 47 300 36 285 34 283 34 281 14971 12873 47 301 33 286 28 275 28 270 12873 10969 40 302 28 282 26 265 31 263 10969 9284 27 304 24 267 27 265 31 264 9284 7800 19 295 21 263 23 264 27 260 7800 6493 19 283 17 263 21 256 25 249 6493 5343 22 273 16 261 22 256 23 246 5343 4338 24 266 17 260 20 260 20 249 4338 3465 23 259 14 260 17 255 18 237 3465 2705 21 258 12 253 15 244 19 222 2705 2034 21 270 11 257 13 246 18 209 2034 1445 19 290 5*292 7*246 13 197 1445 958 15*305 4*303 5*257 10 192 958 585 12*307 4 304 5 267 8 192 585 329 11 308 4 304 4 272 4 184 329 174 10 308 4 306 4 273 2*162 174 86 8 308 4 305 3 274 2*154 86 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography