DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 60.2 - - 59.3 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 200 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2373 - - 3267 - - 2821 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1242 - - 1992 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2438 - - 3332 - - 2886 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1252 - - 1060 - - 1344 - - 188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 350 - - 99 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 332 - - 315 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2011 - - -1689 - - -2067 - - -2644 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4449 - - 5021 - - 4953 - - 2731 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11724 - - -10210 - - -10542 - - -11618 ODpotential blCL - - - 14162 - - 13542 - - 13428 - - 11705 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 71 - - 85 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 60.2 - - 59.3 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 39.0 - - 38.5 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 59.0 - - 59.4 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 38.3 - - 37.9 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 200 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2373 - - 3267 - - 2821 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96683 90 245 92 242 106 251 87 248 96683 89543 63 244 64 246 68 248 65 250 89543 84024 46 250 51 240 44 252 50 252 84024 79427 35 253 35 244 35 255 37 260 79427 75469 27 251 26 264 24 255 29 262 75469 71973 20 265 21 270 21 272 27 274 71973 68804 20 279 20 261 24 262 29 277 68804 65878 21 277 20 268 25 251 32 269 65878 63149 30 277 28 281 28 268 35 270 63149 60503 37 267 37 273 34 270 37 274 60503 57743 44 267 42 270 40 274 43 283 57743 54885 54 271 49 272 52 276 52 279 54885 52178 58 267 63 272 60 278 52 278 52178 49753 58 274 67 267 64 272 58 279 49753 47585 64 274 64 263 68 266 64 271 47585 45643 66 275 61 270 71 266 71 270 45643 43888 71 283 68 279 72 269 78 269 43888 42272 84 284 79 281 75 272 78 267 42272 40758 85 280 82 281 80 272 78 269 40758 39326 85 275 82 280 80 273 76 272 39326 37963 83 275 82 279 77 276 72 273 37963 36632 79 276 80 278 74 279 69 276 36632 35269 76 282 79 276 73 277 65 276 35269 33843 72 283 80 274 72 274 60 275 33843 32356 72 282 79 274 72 272 58 275 32356 30792 71 280 74 271 67 268 60 272 30792 29139 70 278 65 273 62 270 58 272 29139 27402 68 278 57 276 56 273 56 276 27402 25579 61 284 53 279 50 270 49 281 25579 23674 54 286 47 281 45 277 41 276 23674 21693 49 286 43 283 43 278 34 277 21693 19626 41 288 39 285 38 289 31 293 19626 17468 30 289 33 291 31 294 26 294 17468 15265 26 300 28 290 28 298 26 286 15265 13145 27 310 24 298 28 302 27 296 13145 11223 27 320 26 315 25 308 28 313 11223 9521 26 325 29 323 30 323 29 323 9521 8017 26 329 28 329 31 329 29 331 8017 6689 25 333 24 333 26 331 24 334 6689 5522 21 336 19 336 20 332 21 335 5522 4501 15 341 12 334 15 328 20 329 4501 3611 11 358 7*332 11*319 17 321 3611 2829 10*017 7*332 10*316 14 326 2829 2132 10*013 7 332 10 315 12 330 2132 1517 10 010 7 332 9 315 10 333 1517 1005 10 009 7 331 9 314 9 334 1005 612 10 008 7 332 9 313 7 331 612 344 9 008 6 331 8 314 6 325 344 180 9 007 6 331 8 313 5 315 180 87 7 006 5 330 6 312 4*314 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography