DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1859z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.4 - - 56.7 - - 64.0 - - 61.6 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 331 - - 363 - - 98 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 211 - - 5233 - - 9931 - - 6593 - - 211 BL Depth Hcrit 5255 - - 8755 - - 12565 - - 9048 - - 5256 Hcrit BL Top 5272 - - 10294 - - 14992 - - 11654 - - 5272 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 486 - - 2181 - - 1296 - - 2592 - - 1211 Hgt.Variab. W* 68 - - 504 - - 644 - - 363 - - 18 W* B/S 4 - - 31 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 12 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 312 - - 321 - - 352 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 7 - - 53 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3146 - - -321 - - 1044 - - -2615 - - -5927 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8418 - - 10616 - - 13949 - - 14269 - - 11200 sfcLCL ODpotential -8494 - - -2388 - - 433 - - -6114 - - -12759 ODpotential blCL 13766 - - 12682 - - 14559 - - 17768 - - 18031 blCL maxRH 75 - - 64 - - 89 - - 45 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.4 - - 56.7 - - 64.0 - - 61.6 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 28.5 - - 20.8 - - 17.2 - - 19.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.9 - - 55.8 - - 61.8 - - 60.6 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.1 - - 28.5 - - 20.6 - - 17.1 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 331 - - 363 - - 98 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 211 - - 5233 - - 9931 - - 6593 - - 211 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 0 - - 54 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98158 11 292 12 283 15 273 10 279 18 268 98158 90756 22 292 17 285 13 256 16 271 19 281 90756 85040 14 272 18 273 22 273 23 287 22 283 85040 80303 16 297 17 259 27 274 27 285 21 288 80303 76223 21 301 18 270 21 275 22 280 19 286 76223 72608 22 290 21 277 19 281 23 284 24 293 72608 69349 23 287 21 280 23 277 25 282 25 287 69349 66365 26 291 22 287 22 280 23 289 18 281 66365 63581 27 293 24 284 27 278 27 297 22 307 63581 60876 28 297 23 284 30 281 34 290 36 303 60876 58069 33 299 30 302 32 286 34 284 35 292 58069 55155 40 298 39 299 33 295 27 295 30 320 55155 52372 48 291 44 295 43 309 42 318 54 311 52372 49890 48 283 52 297 59 302 64 298 60 286 49890 47660 46 290 58 295 65 286 67 276 45 279 47660 45612 53 300 56 293 55 286 51 282 45 310 45612 43727 58 302 54 301 54 305 58 319 59 322 43727 41993 59 304 62 309 68 316 81 324 73 320 41993 40391 62 308 71 310 78 314 92 317 81 315 40391 38907 66 310 75 307 84 308 94 311 82 312 38907 37525 68 310 76 304 85 303 89 309 78 314 37525 36209 67 308 75 303 83 302 81 313 75 320 36209 34895 63 305 73 302 81 306 79 322 74 328 34895 33557 57 302 70 301 80 310 81 329 74 333 33557 32199 50 300 65 301 80 312 84 331 75 336 32199 30802 48 303 60 303 79 313 84 329 75 334 30802 29356 45 306 54 305 78 315 81 326 72 329 29356 27861 40 303 51 304 75 315 78 327 67 325 27861 26321 39 295 52 304 71 312 75 331 63 323 26321 24737 40 292 55 305 72 308 72 329 60 324 24737 23115 40 293 53 306 75 308 70 322 59 327 23115 21447 38 295 47 306 74 312 70 318 57 329 21447 19727 35 297 40 301 62 317 67 324 58 330 19727 17986 32 299 36 296 46 315 55 330 56 336 17986 16322 29 301 32 298 32*316 35 329 43 343 16322 14819 24 303 26 302 21*331 20 312 19 335 14819 13481 19 305 21 308 19 335 16 308 10 300 13481 12282 14 300 17 313 17 335 15*309 6 298 12282 11203 9 286 15*320 14 329 13*328 3 355 11203 10231 5 281 12*328 12 321 14 345 6 025 10231 9354 2 306 9 331 11 313 15 349 9 028 9354 8570 2 005 5 326 10 307 15 353 12 026 8570 7865 4 026 2 295 9 303 16 355 15 025 7865 7224 5 022 1 246 9 298 16 356 17 025 7224 6649 7 010 2 212 9 293 16 357 19 025 6649 6163 9 001 2 196 8 291 16 358 19 025 6163 5785 9 352 2 190 8 288 16 358 16 027 5785 5523 7 334 3 186 8 288 15 358 12 029 5523 5364 4*304 3 184 8 287 14 359 8*028 5364 5272 3*287 2 185 7 286 12 358 5*023 5272 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography