DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.1 - - 21.2 - - 25.7 - - 21.2 - - 15.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 3 - - -7 - - -18 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5243 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 106 - - 514 - - 914 - - 181 - - 61 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 35 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 248 - - 249 - - 241 - - 239 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5260 - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential -5599 - - -3583 - - -3190 - - -3856 - - -4713 ODpotential blCL 10859 - - 8843 - - 8451 - - 9117 - - 9973 blCL maxRH 94 - - 95 - - 78 - - 80 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.1 - - 21.2 - - 25.7 - - 21.2 - - 15.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.3 - - 19.9 - - 22.3 - - 17.8 - - 12.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.7 - - 21.5 - - 26.5 - - 25.4 - - 20.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.2 - - 20.4 - - 21.9 - - 21.8 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 3 - - -7 - - -18 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 80 - - 14 - - 21 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95661 38 324 38 302 47 300 46 311 52 297 95661 88677 23 345 33 324 40 316 33 325 34 317 88677 83206 22 351 25 334 31 331 25 337 26 333 83206 78608 25 353 21 336 26 334 22 334 27 328 78608 74609 25 339 16 339 21 325 22 308 27 315 74609 71053 27 325 12 010 11 314 15 284 25 309 71053 67823 35 307 26 316 18 333 20 306 29 308 67823 64844 40 302 44 292 38 299 34 305 33 304 64844 62067 35 290 41 288 43 283 40 294 34 293 62067 59366 34 278 37 288 41 279 40 287 38 290 59366 56545 33 269 37 283 43 280 43 282 45 287 56545 53615 40 277 42 280 49 278 47 284 48 279 53615 50813 49 280 48 278 52 274 51 284 49 275 50813 48281 56 280 51 275 55 273 53 280 49 277 48281 46005 62 278 57 270 58 269 57 276 54 280 46005 43946 67 275 58 272 58 268 61 268 59 279 43946 42072 70 270 62 270 60 270 61 264 64 270 42072 40356 71 267 66 268 61 268 60 261 58 261 40356 38776 72 268 72 268 61 266 58 260 52 265 38776 37311 74 269 75 266 61 266 56 261 50 271 37311 35948 76 268 74 265 60 266 54 263 46 271 35948 34655 79 266 73 264 60 266 52 265 37 268 34655 33370 82 264 73 265 60 266 47 266 26 267 33370 32069 84 265 75 266 62 266 40 266 9 303 32069 30756 87 264 78 266 64 265 31 270 17 049 30756 29413 89 264 83 266 65 265 23 282 22 046 29413 28026 89 264 87 264 65 264 17 292 20 062 28026 26598 87 265 85 263 63 262 19 290 22 062 26598 25127 83 266 76 263 58 261 26 275 20 052 25127 23622 72 266 64 262 50 259 30 264 10 353 23622 22095 55 268 52 261 44 259 28 267 25 279 22095 20539 44 266 40 264 36 262 26 273 30 274 20539 18938 38 263 35 268 29 264 23 267 29 275 18938 17318 33 268 32 274 28 270 23 266 25 279 17318 15758 31 275 31 280 26 282 22 276 23 285 15758 14337 28 280 29 282 24 284 22 282 22 290 14337 13066 25 284 27 282 24 283 23 286 22 292 13066 11926 23 286 25 283 24 281 24 288 22 292 11926 10899 22 288 23 284 24 280 25 290 22 292 10899 9974 21 289 21 284 24 279 25 293 21 294 9974 9142 20 289 20 283 24 278 24 296 20 296 9142 8395 18 288 19 280 24 276 23 296 18 298 8395 7725 16 288 20 276 24 275 23 291 17 297 7725 7114 15 289 19 271 24 272 23 282 17 291 7114 6566 14 287 20 265 23 266 22 269 17 279 6566 6104 13 278 19 259 21 259 21 260 18 268 6104 5745 15 264 18 255 18 253 19 256 18 260 5745 5497 14 254 14 251 14 247 16 252 16 253 5497 5347 12*249 12 250 12*244 12*247 10*242 5347 5260 7*248 9*249 8*241 7*239 7*239 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography