DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 68.3 - - 75.7 - - 74.4 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 142 - - 234 - - 34 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 1896 - - 9442 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 5927 - - 11908 - - 5247 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top 5263 - - 6957 - - 14503 - - 5264 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 362 - - 3687 - - 4272 - - 14798 - - 207 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 276 - - 549 - - 81 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 15 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 053 - - 115 - - 170 - - 182 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -474 - - -2666 - - 794 - - -10042 - - -5329 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5737 - - 9623 - - 13710 - - 15307 - - 10593 sfcLCL ODpotential -6032 - - -5040 - - -412 - - -11121 - - -8444 ODpotential blCL 11295 - - 11997 - - 14915 - - 16385 - - 13707 blCL maxRH 72 - - 73 - - 85 - - 86 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 700 - - 380 - - 100 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 68.3 - - 75.7 - - 74.4 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.4 - - 44.0 - - 33.3 - - 25.0 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 66.7 - - 73.6 - - 73.7 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.4 - - 43.1 - - 32.9 - - 24.7 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 142 - - 234 - - 34 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 1896 - - 9442 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 43 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98623 11 120 0 088 15 085 4 133 4 085 98623 91308 14 106 10 082 6 088 9 060 9 027 91308 85653 3 057 8 100 2 072 6 059 3 057 85653 80933 4 105 11 111 2 199 1 347 7 112 80933 76845 8 101 8 164 4 210 6 295 4 110 76845 73231 7 096 5 157 9 164 5 239 1 236 73231 69952 5 155 1 163 6 193 4 226 4 160 69952 66920 5 198 2 231 5 205 6 214 6 176 66920 64096 6 235 7 232 8 215 7 269 4 252 64096 61347 10 206 12 206 17 220 18 244 12 257 61347 58476 7 227 14 227 19 218 22 230 17 245 58476 55502 19 245 22 247 14 247 21 234 24 241 55502 52655 34 217 34 224 25 248 25 235 30 239 52655 50079 30 215 32 205 31 229 27 237 33 230 50079 47770 30 227 24 211 27 220 29 235 32 217 47770 45687 41 217 31 226 24 227 28 228 30 208 45687 43784 37 206 36 210 27 229 29 225 31 203 43784 42031 31 209 30 208 36 221 33 227 32 203 42031 40406 41 211 36 203 44 210 35 222 31 207 40406 38892 46 192 40 189 46 197 38 213 33 212 38892 37486 44 175 41 174 43 179 38 201 46 214 37486 36156 37 177 39 168 38 169 38 188 62 214 36156 34837 34 187 36 175 38 169 36 172 71 212 34837 33498 33 188 34 180 37 166 38 158 75 207 33498 32141 31 183 31 182 35 164 40 150 70 203 32141 30755 28 182 28 186 37 176 36 152 60 194 30755 29330 27 185 27 186 38 185 31 161 54 183 29330 27862 27 188 27 184 34 183 31 170 50 179 27862 26345 27 190 25 181 31 181 31 174 47 179 26345 24781 27 192 23 181 31 180 32 178 43 178 24781 23175 28 193 23 185 30 181 34 179 40 177 23175 21524 30 192 24 190 30 184 36 174 37 175 21524 19825 32 188 25 191 27 185 35 168 32 170 19825 18109 30 184 26 187 25 180 31 165 26 165 18109 16464 25 176 28 181 24 169 26 164 21 162 16464 14968 23 171 27 180 23*167 23 163 20 169 14968 13627 23 168 26 182 22*167 21 164 21 175 13627 12420 25 167 25 185 21 167 19 167 21 178 12420 11328 25 165 24 189 18 170 19 169 20 181 11328 10340 22 168 23 193 16 171 18 173 19 183 10340 9448 21 175 21 193 15 172 18 176 18 183 9448 8647 23 181 18 190 14 172 17 178 16 182 8647 7927 23 178 14 180 13 173 17 179 15 181 7927 7270 19 165 10*162 13 173 17 180 13 178 7270 6679 14 133 8*134 12 173 17 181 12 173 6679 6180 16 095 7 115 11 173 16 181 11 167 6180 5791 18 067 7 111 11 173 16 182 9 159 5791 5522 16 056 7 109 11 173 15 182 7 149 5522 5357 12*053 7 108 10 173 14*182 5 141 5357 5263 6*053 6 107 9 173 12*182 3*139 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography