DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.1 - - 40.4 - - 46.0 - - - - - 31.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 99 - - 138 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 1754 - - - - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5788 - - - - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 6815 - - - - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 115 - - 1260 - - 1634 - - - - - 281 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 114 - - 262 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 217 - - 238 - - - - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - -2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -116 - - -919 - - -309 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5378 - - 6182 - - 7124 - - - - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -5496 - - -4017 - - -2995 - - - - - -4746 ODpotential blCL 10757 - - 9279 - - 9810 - - - - - 10007 blCL maxRH 86 - - 80 - - 75 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.1 - - 40.4 - - 46.0 - - - - - 31.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 31.9 - - 33.2 - - - - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.9 - - 39.2 - - 44.5 - - - - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.8 - - 31.5 - - 32.9 - - - - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 99 - - 138 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 1754 - - - - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 20 - - 1 - - - - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96442 22 064 23 051 24 064 20 074 96442 89483 33 056 22 092 24 073 28 080 89483 84035 21 074 23 094 20 071 24 078 84035 79445 21 099 18 076 13 089 18 079 79445 75463 18 068 11 090 10 115 13 064 75463 71934 8 033 8 086 10 138 5 056 71934 68731 13 173 8 025 6 150 2 275 68731 65773 14 150 6 239 3 311 8 212 65773 63019 6 052 15 192 9 264 10 223 63019 60344 18 008 11 196 11 204 14 251 60344 57556 15 291 11 267 6 231 12 266 57556 54669 22 219 15 252 8 262 7 286 54669 51924 19 200 13 218 12 228 9 296 51924 49463 17 193 8 192 9 199 7 263 49463 47253 18 178 6 170 8 183 3 251 47253 45242 16 153 10 146 7 149 3 335 45242 43406 13 112 12 124 7 091 12 001 43406 41719 12 070 10 082 8 044 22 000 41719 40162 11 052 11 073 10 041 24 024 40162 38719 13 083 17 055 24 043 29 048 38719 37368 23 085 33 045 56 038 51 038 37368 36079 38 075 46 052 74 043 58 031 36079 34789 46 068 68 039 85 036 55 032 34789 33466 58 061 77 037 87 034 47 036 33466 32114 70 057 79 042 81 041 40 042 32114 30719 72 054 73 049 72 046 34 046 30719 29271 70 058 65 052 62 055 38 033 29271 27775 64 069 60 058 53 055 35 026 27775 26233 49 079 57 069 47 062 27 036 26233 24648 29 090 46 074 45 074 22 039 24648 23023 25 099 29 099 33 078 15 057 23023 21352 20 105 29 120 20 098 13 052 21352 19634 13 111 22 126 18 127 9 029 19634 17900 9 122 15 126 11 132 1 071 17900 16236 4 125 8 136 2 125 4 330 16236 14728 3 059 3 144 3 336 9 335 14728 13388 4 037 2 032 4 340 9 335 13388 12190 2 023 6 357 4 345 8 335 12190 11115 1 311 6 345 3 343 9 341 11115 10148 2 301 5 345 3 310 9 347 10148 9278 3 351 4 351 4 277 8 347 9278 8501 5 012 3 358 5 260 5 335 8501 7804 6 030 2 009 6 248 4 312 7804 7171 6 042 1 037 7*245 5 306 7171 6603 6 045 1 142 8*241 8 295 6603 6126 6 045 2 197 8 239 13 279 6126 5758 5 043 4 218 8 238 15 262 5758 5504 3 036 4 218 8 236 12 246 5504 5350 2*010 4*219 8 236 8 232 5350 5261 2*304 3*217 7 236 4*205 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography