DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.2 - - 44.9 - - 48.1 - - 46.1 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 34 - - 16 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 143 - - 734 - - 1639 - - 710 - - 187 Hgt.Variab. W* 1 - - 81 - - 67 - - 22 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 121 - - 067 - - 055 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -2266 - - -291 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 7529 - - 5553 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -7020 - - -7237 - - -2674 - - -2598 - - -3591 ODpotential blCL 12282 - - 12499 - - 7936 - - 7860 - - 8853 blCL maxRH 96 - - 99 - - 101 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 10 - - 70 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 37.2 - - 44.9 - - 48.1 - - 46.1 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 30.2 - - 41.7 - - 42.7 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 44.2 - - 47.6 - - 47.1 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 30.0 - - 40.9 - - 42.2 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 34 - - 16 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 98 - - 103 - - 102 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96551 28 056 24 030 22 038 21 030 15 356 96551 89572 26 063 16 056 15 034 14 035 14 356 89572 84106 26 064 18 067 11 044 10 064 14 025 84106 79493 17 048 15 058 8 049 11 059 17 034 79493 75479 10 054 12 072 9 047 9 041 13 033 75479 71920 9 024 8 059 7 089 4 322 10 046 71920 68701 7 328 6 339 2 076 8 321 9 045 68701 65741 9 302 9 291 5 307 12 288 9 341 65741 62993 13 312 14 276 12 298 12 288 12 280 62993 60322 18 279 19 271 16 263 17 273 13 263 60322 57519 18 265 20 254 18 262 21 254 19 261 57519 54596 19 253 21 245 22 269 17 263 18 262 54596 51778 19 238 22 225 23 239 20 267 17 264 51778 49223 10 239 14 206 21 224 19 247 18 219 49223 46949 21 242 10 228 17 223 17 223 18 204 46949 44908 33 226 18 235 19 231 15 219 15 206 44908 43049 38 221 26 231 26 221 23 213 16 223 43049 41335 41 222 38 230 33 205 28 201 27 213 41335 39747 38 224 43 224 36 207 27 185 30 171 39747 38277 35 223 39 218 34 211 23 184 24 146 38277 36914 31 223 34 213 35 213 23 197 10 159 36914 35625 25 222 31 212 35 213 28 200 8 236 35625 34338 19 218 27 210 33 212 31 200 18 228 34338 33023 17 207 22 205 30 213 31 198 53 187 33023 31688 18 205 19 192 28 215 30 194 51 178 31688 30323 22 206 18 178 28 216 30 191 28 172 30323 28907 29 219 16 175 30 213 30 192 17 174 28907 27440 34 225 16 185 31 211 33 195 17 177 27440 25926 34 227 22 199 31 204 37 195 21 175 25926 24372 33 228 30 206 32 201 37 195 24 177 24372 22779 27 220 36 206 34 203 36 196 26 178 22779 21145 21 206 36 206 36 203 35 198 24 184 21145 19465 25 198 33 206 35 203 33 202 17 196 19465 17771 28 202 28 203 33 203 30 209 15 218 17771 16147 28 207 24 194 30 201 25 216 17 225 16147 14668 25 205 26 185 29 201 20 213 18 207 14668 13350 22 195 28 183 29 206 18 217 18 196 13350 12172 22 187 29 184 30 212 16 212 15 207 12172 11113 22 184 28 192 30 215 17 204 15 235 11113 10158 22 187 27 200 28 211 18 197 13 240 10158 9297 21 193 28 207 25 198 20 191 10 233 9297 8523 18 197 29 209 23 190 21 187 10 218 8523 7826 17 199 27 207 21 187 21 183 10 207 7826 7192 18 188 23 204 17 183 20 177 10 195 7192 6623 14 165 15 193 11 176 16 168 8 171 6623 6141 11 089 9 178 6 157 11 148 7 123 6141 5768 14 062 5 141 3 101 8 115 8 079 5768 5510 14 052 4 126 4 074 7 082 9 065 5510 5352 9*047 4*122 3*071 6*065 6*054 5352 5262 4*048 4*121 3*067 4*055 3*043 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography