DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 47.5 - - 42.2 - - 36.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 119 - - -11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1129 - - 2473 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 6223 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6190 - - 7534 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1359 - - 3204 - - 2566 - - 174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 281 - - 8 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 069 - - 059 - - 027 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 725 - - 689 - - -553 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5466 - - 6846 - - 5816 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1027 - - -393 - - -3155 - - -3688 ODpotential blCL - - - 7217 - - 7927 - - 8417 - - 8949 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 86 - - 81 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 130 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 47.5 - - 42.2 - - 36.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 35.7 - - 35.0 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 46.3 - - 44.0 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 35.5 - - 34.8 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 119 - - -11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1129 - - 2473 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 45 - - 24 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96686 32 047 27 052 26 083 25 074 96686 89666 23 059 21 049 22 061 19 068 89666 84164 20 069 14 073 21 044 16 066 84164 79548 12 068 15 091 13 056 14 051 79548 75552 9 096 12 079 9 073 10 062 75552 72011 5 093 11 088 5 079 6 098 72011 68796 4 123 9 085 2 078 7 124 68796 65833 8 108 6 129 3 135 7 124 65833 63082 7 342 4 131 3 156 9 119 63082 60417 7 280 8 279 5 210 4 131 60417 57634 7 224 11 273 6 198 5 154 57634 54737 11 277 15 236 20 233 10 251 54737 51974 21 265 17 239 20 222 22 222 51974 49497 21 260 18 267 14 260 20 208 49497 47276 15 265 11 251 14 247 16 208 47276 45256 10 238 10 190 13 227 15 193 45256 43398 4 328 10 130 16 192 16 168 43398 41669 10 334 4 132 15 163 16 152 41669 40045 10 312 5 231 9 188 12 147 40045 38522 11 275 7 262 8 204 13 119 38522 37095 9 170 6 265 4 039 18 097 37095 35732 24 125 13 139 9 062 19 088 35732 34368 30 116 26 123 9 098 17 082 34368 32981 32 117 33 114 17 115 18 100 32981 31587 36 114 40 107 29 110 31 098 31587 30176 42 111 50 106 34 108 22 091 30176 28734 53 106 49 108 34 112 22 105 28734 27263 54 111 37 115 25 116 23 100 27263 25765 37 121 20 151 15 127 12 092 25765 24238 22 145 23 179 12 143 6 095 24238 22673 24 174 23 174 15 139 4 092 22673 21060 25 175 23 172 15 149 3 193 21060 19397 21 177 22 181 14 171 5 183 19397 17714 17 184 17 181 12 185 8 177 17714 16098 15 198 11 172 9 192 7 164 16098 14627 13 217 8 178 7 188 5 132 14627 13315 11 226 7 207 5 179 3 165 13315 12140 9 226 6 219 4 177 3 212 12140 11081 7 219 4 217 4 172 2 176 11081 10126 6 196 3 211 3 153 3 130 10126 9267 5 165 3 147 2 091 3 120 9267 8496 7 147 5 104 4 058 3 102 8496 7805 10 140 7*081 5 055 3 084 7805 7176 10 127 8*069 6 048 3 070 7176 6612 9*102 8 059 8 040 4 056 6612 6134 9*077 8 057 9 036 5 048 6134 5764 9 068 8 057 9 034 6 051 5764 5508 9 067 8 055 9 033 6 044 5508 5351 8 067 8 056 7*030 4 027 5351 5261 7 065 7 055 5*027 3*356 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography