DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.8 - - 51.8 - - 51.0 - - 46.4 - - 41.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 172 - - 596 - - 652 - - 313 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4301 - - 7090 - - 9644 - - 6364 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 7742 - - 10484 - - 12626 - - 9624 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 12151 - - 14705 - - 11425 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2127 - - 1093 - - 1160 - - 4196 - - 9589 Hgt.Variab. W* 381 - - 681 - - 777 - - 529 - - 20 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 23 - - 30 - - 37 - - 25 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 287 - - 288 - - 308 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 17 - - 19 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 13 - - -16 - - -15 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2415 - - -2364 - - 1320 - - -30 - - -5590 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11777 - - 14515 - - 13386 - - 11456 - - 10853 sfcLCL ODpotential -10076 - - -8938 - - 498 - - -1374 - - -7086 ODpotential blCL 19438 - - 21089 - - 14207 - - 12799 - - 12348 blCL maxRH 91 - - 51 - - 76 - - 70 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.8 - - 51.8 - - 51.0 - - 46.4 - - 41.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.3 - - 5.7 - - 10.0 - - 14.2 - - 11.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 48.7 - - 48.0 - - 44.3 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.8 - - 5.2 - - 9.7 - - 14.2 - - 11.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 172 - - 596 - - 652 - - 313 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4301 - - 7090 - - 9644 - - 6364 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97981 20 119 15 112 10 113 13 065 14 108 97981 90448 17 099 12 120 10 094 7 097 12 085 90448 84691 11 109 13 111 13 087 7 109 13 072 84691 79948 13 088 6 118 8 054 6 086 15 067 79948 75874 15 051 9 105 2 313 8 018 18 058 75874 72260 6 029 12 055 3 347 10 009 16 031 72260 68975 10 351 11 024 1 049 6 337 8 002 68975 65955 18 347 12 318 4 315 5 311 4 001 65955 63132 13 263 18 279 15 312 9 292 7 326 63132 60375 10 223 19 232 18 268 5 316 12 306 60375 57493 10 341 5 101 4 276 12 029 8 312 57493 54503 53 295 31 311 12 350 16 338 18 316 54503 51654 50 276 54 286 39 316 31 319 25 315 51654 49098 52 289 52 280 51 284 42 296 35 283 49098 46812 58 291 49 284 54 282 42 292 37 283 46812 44734 65 295 64 294 65 290 49 291 43 287 44734 42828 90 295 86 298 80 297 58 291 49 288 42828 41068 115 287 111 295 105 299 71 294 56 289 41068 39439 115 289 129 283 127 292 92 294 65 289 39439 37923 123 295 119 278 135 282 114 289 74 286 37923 36512 127 294 118 280 125 280 120 283 81 284 36512 35172 123 290 129 284 119 283 115 280 88 282 35172 33837 117 285 136 286 123 286 116 280 94 280 33837 32476 117 281 137 288 131 287 124 280 97 279 32476 31097 122 281 134 287 132 286 129 281 95 279 31097 29688 122 279 130 283 130 282 132 280 91 281 29688 28241 119 279 125 277 131 278 134 278 86 281 28241 26762 115 278 126 274 132 276 137 278 78 283 26762 25253 111 279 131 278 138 280 138 283 64 286 25253 23723 108 280 124 282 138 285 121 290 56 284 23723 22172 104 282 110 285 127 292 76 289 53 272 22172 20600 98 283 92 284 96 292 50 278 45 265 20600 18997 88 280 78 278 69 279 45 282 22 277 18997 17380 79 275 74 269 62 267 41 286 14 299 17380 15825 73 270 72 267 55*269 36 292 13 319 15825 14408 68 268 66 270 42*278 30 298 14 345 14408 13139 63 273 53*277 40 281 26 301 15 351 13139 11999 54 281 38*284 37 287 24*304 16 354 11999 10970 42 288 32 287 37 288 24*305 16 355 10970 10040 33*292 31 288 37 289 24 305 17 355 10040 9201 27*293 30 288 36 290 25 307 17 354 9201 8448 24 292 30 288 36 291 25 307 18 354 8448 7770 23 291 30 287 36 291 25 309 18 353 7770 7151 22 289 29 287 36 292 25 309 18 352 7151 6596 22 288 29 286 35 292 25 310 17 351 6596 6126 21 288 28 286 34 292 25 311 17 350 6126 5760 21 287 27 286 33 292 25 311 15 349 5760 5506 20 287 26 285 32 292 24 311 13 347 5506 5351 19 287 25 285 30 292 23 311 11*347 5351 5262 15 287 21 285 25 292 19 311 8*345 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography