DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/09 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.4 - - 39.2 - - 49.4 - - 44.4 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 136 - - 143 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 759 - - 1463 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5585 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5820 - - 6524 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 68 - - 467 - - 517 - - 1454 - - 203 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 196 - - 248 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 046 - - 087 - - 128 - - 100 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -329 - - -3729 - - -6009 - - -6465 - - -3526 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5590 - - 9549 - - 12533 - - 11728 - - 8789 sfcLCL ODpotential -14671 - - -14969 - - -15836 - - -17433 - - -16404 ODpotential blCL 19932 - - 20789 - - 22360 - - 22695 - - 21666 blCL maxRH 77 - - 73 - - 73 - - 69 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.4 - - 39.2 - - 49.4 - - 44.4 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.2 - - 16.7 - - 13.8 - - 12.6 - - 15.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.6 - - 37.8 - - 47.9 - - 47.8 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.9 - - 16.6 - - 13.7 - - 12.5 - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 136 - - 143 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 759 - - 1463 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96490 13 017 18 296 19 337 20 346 19 341 96490 89547 21 041 19 013 20 022 21 012 24 001 89547 84090 26 050 19 028 22 027 24 015 30 011 84090 79491 28 040 21 052 13 033 20 016 29 014 79491 75495 23 029 22 037 16 034 21 016 27 010 75495 71951 22 002 18 025 17 014 17 360 24 002 71951 68738 25 354 21 005 20 358 20 013 20 002 68738 65781 28 345 22 353 28 344 32 352 30 349 65781 63048 29 350 29 356 30 339 35 332 35 335 63048 60417 38 339 37 342 39 337 30 331 34 330 60417 57684 48 331 39 343 34 345 40 339 33 334 57684 54857 53 330 52 333 49 338 51 327 45 328 54857 52175 56 331 58 329 52 328 51 322 50 320 52175 49788 48 329 58 328 49 327 49 323 57 317 49788 47681 60 340 52 332 53 326 54 320 60 318 47681 45789 64 342 49 337 52 327 55 320 58 318 45789 44057 66 342 58 330 48 333 51 325 53 317 44057 42448 64 339 58 326 47 334 48 330 50 316 42448 40940 60 339 50 329 48 331 47 331 48 316 40940 39518 56 340 44 333 45 329 48 329 44 319 39518 38178 53 341 41 336 42 328 47 327 40 325 38178 36889 49 341 40 337 40 328 45 329 36 331 36889 35589 47 341 40 338 40 330 43 332 36 335 35589 34251 46 340 41 339 41 334 42 334 35 335 34251 32879 45 340 41 341 42 339 42 336 32 339 32879 31461 43 342 40 345 43 344 41 337 29 343 31461 29989 42 343 37 346 42 349 39 339 27 341 29989 28464 39 341 32 349 38 353 37 344 28 332 28464 26887 34 341 30 353 36 357 35 347 28 327 26887 25262 33 344 29 352 34 360 33 350 25 329 25262 23594 33 347 29 351 32 001 31 357 23 335 23594 21879 31 346 28 349 30 359 31 006 21 351 21879 20111 30 342 26 345 28 354 29 011 21 009 20111 18321 28 339 23 340 26 347 27 011 21 018 18321 16600 26 339 21 335 24 342 24 006 19 019 16600 15031 23 340 18 335 20 338 22 001 16 014 15031 13630 20 339 15 334 16 336 18 356 14 006 13630 12378 16 339 13 330 13 332 14 354 12 004 12378 11255 13 340 10 327 10 326 9 350 9 004 11255 10249 10 341 8 325 8 318 6 338 7 001 10249 9349 7 341 5 316 6 303 4 311 4 346 9349 8548 5 333 3 281 4 274 4 270 2 285 8548 7834 3 299 3 240 4 241 5 236 3 248 7834 7189 2 229 3 228 3 204 4 200 5 238 7189 6615 2 159 2 182 3*143 3 140 4 229 6615 6133 4 114 3*098 3*134 4 117 0 353 6133 5762 6 082 4*088 3 129 4 109 4 056 5762 5507 8 066 4 087 3 125 5 106 7 050 5507 5351 8*054 4 088 3 124 4*102 4*030 5351 5262 5*046 4 087 3 122 4*100 3*002 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography