DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1330z - - 1555z - - 1854z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.8 - - 29.5 - - 31.4 - - 30.5 - - 32.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - -1 - - 4 - - -11 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 404 - - 694 - - 1192 - - 787 - - 628 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 19 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 252 - - 237 - - 243 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -3 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -4030 - - -3878 - - -329 - - -4925 - - -4517 ODpotential blCL 9291 - - 9139 - - 5590 - - 10186 - - 9778 blCL maxRH 98 - - 92 - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.8 - - 29.5 - - 31.4 - - 30.5 - - 32.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 27.6 - - 30.2 - - 29.9 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.2 - - 29.4 - - 30.9 - - 31.0 - - 34.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 27.5 - - 29.9 - - 30.1 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - -1 - - 4 - - -11 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 68 - - 99 - - 98 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97408 46 043 44 037 40 039 38 038 37 040 97408 90290 36 051 36 047 29 046 31 044 29 047 90290 84700 28 060 19 051 24 056 27 054 25 058 84700 79980 20 044 14 064 17 073 22 054 23 054 79980 75865 16 040 16 047 14 057 17 033 18 058 75865 72205 16 040 18 048 9 075 11 012 20 045 72205 68873 17 033 19 034 12 029 13 004 20 019 68873 65801 19 022 11 004 14 344 14 350 15 348 65801 62951 16 030 7 021 9 005 19 348 14 341 62951 60180 32 341 29 346 26 334 25 318 14 332 60180 57283 31 330 31 318 28 311 26 312 16 311 57283 54273 16 324 21 316 27 314 26 321 20 302 54273 51412 13 320 33 339 38 316 34 320 30 311 51412 48870 44 324 46 328 45 320 48 313 41 310 48870 46618 56 322 57 324 58 323 56 311 47 314 46618 44596 67 328 73 316 70 317 65 310 64 317 44596 42774 80 329 75 307 74 312 74 307 71 311 42774 41123 82 337 60 315 76 315 81 304 72 309 41123 39610 92 351 61 332 81 316 86 302 73 309 39610 38204 107 346 80 336 88 313 87 300 74 305 38204 36889 124 335 96 333 88 311 89 299 76 300 36889 35630 113 328 96 329 87 310 91 301 79 298 35630 34364 106 324 93 326 85 310 88 301 82 295 34364 33062 105 323 94 324 75 306 73 299 80 293 33062 31732 103 324 92 322 76 303 62 294 75 295 31732 30361 99 328 86 320 76 307 72 296 69 298 30361 28941 89 331 81 317 72 308 68 298 64 302 28941 27476 82 328 79 315 66 307 60 302 59 306 27476 25964 80 323 80 315 63 308 57 304 55 313 25964 24410 77 323 78 313 64 311 55 306 51 319 24410 22817 70 325 71 311 66 314 53 310 47 322 22817 21180 64 325 59 310 67 316 54 314 43 324 21180 19494 60 321 51 312 66 316 55 318 40 326 19494 17789 59 316 51 313 62 315 56 319 37 330 17789 16154 57 314 51 314 57 313 55 318 34 333 16154 14666 55 316 47 314 53 310 54 317 33 333 14666 13340 51 320 42 315 49 308 53 316 36 331 13340 12152 46 323 37 315 45 305 52 314 42 329 12152 11083 39 325 31 315 39 302 50 311 48 327 11083 10121 31 326 25 313 32 299 45 309 51 326 10121 9255 23 327 20 309 25 293 39 305 48 325 9255 8481 15 330 16 303 22 284 35 298 42 324 8481 7788 8 331 15 292 21 272 34 288 33 320 7788 7158 3 322 17 279 22 260 34 277 27 307 7158 6595 4 262 20 268 24 250 34 265 27 282 6595 6121 11 256 22 263 23 245 30 256 30 266 6121 5756 15 254 19 260 19 240 24 249 28 258 5756 5504 13 248 14 256 17 239 19 245 23 253 5504 5350 9*243 11*254 15*238 16*244 19 251 5350 5261 5*240 8*252 11*237 11*243 13*249 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography