DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1010z - - 1336z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.8 - - 50.8 - - 61.4 - - 58.2 - - 43.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 196 - - 232 - - -16 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 122 - - 1111 - - 2688 - - 124 - - 123 BL Depth Hcrit 5167 - - 5479 - - 6669 - - 5168 - - 5167 Hcrit BL Top 5183 - - 6172 - - 7749 - - 5185 - - 5184 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 50 - - 596 - - 1077 - - 2367 - - 64 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 252 - - 357 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 199 - - 223 - - 233 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 4 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2023 - - -6008 - - -6758 - - -8033 - - -3739 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7206 - - 12180 - - 14508 - - 13218 - - 8924 sfcLCL ODpotential -15060 - - -14267 - - -12799 - - -14539 - - -13304 ODpotential blCL 20243 - - 20439 - - 20548 - - 19724 - - 18488 blCL maxRH 79 - - 70 - - 58 - - 54 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.8 - - 50.8 - - 61.4 - - 58.2 - - 43.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.3 - - 16.4 - - 16.2 - - 19.0 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.9 - - 50.3 - - 59.6 - - 57.9 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.2 - - 16.4 - - 16.2 - - 18.9 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 196 - - 232 - - -16 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 122 - - 1111 - - 2688 - - 124 - - 123 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97855 22 277 24 279 19 280 23 266 24 281 97855 91488 21 279 19 282 16 278 19 275 21 286 91488 86402 19 273 16 288 15 284 14 296 14 285 86402 82069 17 278 17 286 19 298 15 316 9 291 82069 78255 14 287 17 279 21 293 18 310 11 303 78255 74837 14 302 13 286 18 292 19 305 16 310 74837 71721 20 302 15 298 18 298 21 300 20 306 71721 68847 25 298 21 292 23 297 25 298 23 299 68847 66171 27 305 25 292 28 298 27 303 22 302 66171 63564 29 309 28 296 31 298 32 302 27 303 63564 60835 31 305 31 294 35 293 38 295 36 297 60835 58008 36 299 35 292 39 290 45 291 45 294 58008 55331 42 296 42 292 44 291 49 289 51 292 55331 52944 50 295 49 291 49 291 52 289 54 289 52944 50821 57 293 55 290 55 290 55 289 54 287 50821 48903 63 292 60 290 60 290 57 290 53 286 48903 47146 67 292 65 290 65 291 60 291 54 288 47146 45521 71 292 70 291 70 291 64 291 56 289 45521 44008 75 292 75 291 75 292 68 291 60 290 44008 42591 79 293 79 292 79 292 71 290 63 290 42591 41258 83 294 83 293 82 292 72 289 65 290 41258 39968 86 295 87 294 83 291 72 288 66 289 39968 38657 88 295 88 294 82 291 71 287 67 288 38657 37296 87 295 88 294 79 291 70 288 67 288 37296 35885 84 295 83 293 76 290 70 290 66 287 35885 34411 79 295 78 292 71 290 68 292 65 288 34411 32860 73 294 72 291 68 291 65 294 65 289 32860 31232 68 293 67 291 65 291 62 296 63 291 31232 29525 64 292 63 292 62 292 58 298 59 293 29525 27741 60 291 58 292 57 293 54 299 54 294 27741 25883 55 291 53 292 51 293 50 299 48 294 25883 23943 49 292 48 291 45 291 45 297 42 292 23943 21916 42 292 42 290 41 288 41 294 37 291 21916 19845 35 292 36 290 36 287 37 290 34 291 19845 17845 29 291 30 290 31 289 33 289 31 292 17845 16024 25 288 25 290 26 291 28 289 27 294 16024 14405 22 286 21 290 22 293 24 290 23 295 14405 12967 20 284 19 291 18 295 20 291 18 295 12967 11690 17 283 16 292 15 297 16 292 14 292 11690 10558 14 282 14 289 13 294 14 293 11 289 10558 9557 13 280 13 281 12 285 12 290 10 285 9557 8675 12 278 13 272 11 271 12 283 10 281 8675 7898 11 275 12 265 10*249 12 271 12 277 7898 7205 11 270 11 258 10*229 14 257 15 273 7205 6595 10 261 9*246 10 226 15 243 18 269 6595 6088 7 247 5*221 10 223 15 239 20 263 6088 5701 4 221 4 195 9 221 14 237 20 258 5701 5435 0 098 4 191 9 220 13 235 18 257 5435 5275 3 005 4 188 9 219 12*234 15*258 5275 5184 4*319 4 186 8 219 9*233 6*260 5184 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography