DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.8 - - 37.3 - - 40.7 - - 37.1 - - 31.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 72 - - 113 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1802 - - 2295 - - 2365 - - 1937 - - 627 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 102 - - 119 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 141 - - 122 - - 126 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -90 - - -1011 - - -485 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5352 - - 6273 - - 5747 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -820 - - -1688 - - -7633 - - -8385 ODpotential blCL 5261 - - 6081 - - 6950 - - 12895 - - 13646 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 81 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.8 - - 37.3 - - 40.7 - - 37.1 - - 31.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 32.4 - - 31.8 - - 30.6 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.4 - - 36.3 - - 39.4 - - 39.2 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.7 - - 30.4 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 72 - - 113 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 89 - - 25 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96607 20 081 19 076 16 078 20 067 18 083 96607 89535 30 070 23 096 15 086 15 080 22 071 89535 84049 26 077 22 095 16 092 14 079 22 079 84049 79454 23 088 20 099 14 099 11 068 22 080 79454 75451 11 092 15 088 15 093 9 131 13 057 75451 71900 8 128 2 098 7 033 5 101 5 113 71900 68675 1 330 4 251 9 287 9 298 2 020 68675 65704 12 294 8 283 12 264 14 274 12 298 65704 62958 15 284 16 284 15 260 14 271 19 267 62958 60291 18 277 21 280 17 276 15 291 18 260 60291 57507 19 271 21 272 18 273 15 282 19 269 57507 54630 21 284 19 288 17 292 13 281 16 250 54630 51894 19 287 20 291 20 296 17 295 13 280 51894 49445 17 304 16 276 19 273 20 272 17 284 49445 47252 15 325 13 309 14 272 21 252 17 266 47252 45247 21 336 16 322 16 295 16 286 16 285 45247 43415 14 313 13 311 15 295 13 298 18 312 43415 41752 5 304 12 303 14 308 12 314 17 328 41752 40223 18 003 14 323 15 316 16 325 14 332 40223 38798 33 003 21 346 16 334 15 330 11 339 38798 37462 33 007 27 355 17 356 12 350 6 354 37462 36182 24 011 23 354 16 004 12 006 0 360 36182 34895 15 011 16 348 12 002 9 005 3 111 34895 33574 11 016 7 343 8 346 4 339 4 058 33574 32221 16 021 3 009 4 280 4 180 2 348 32221 30825 21 023 4 015 2 260 5 188 3 222 30825 29379 19 027 1 074 3 201 7 202 5 207 29379 27882 15 034 4 146 8 192 10 197 8 218 27882 26336 13 045 7 139 11 184 9 187 7 222 26336 24742 14 046 9 150 13 185 11 177 7 219 24742 23106 11 057 4 176 10 215 9 193 6 243 23106 21425 6 037 3 327 5 258 4 220 6 280 21425 19694 8 355 6 331 5 298 3 284 6 290 19694 17949 11 323 9 328 7 316 6 317 7 301 17949 16277 10 310 9 321 6 315 7 321 7 311 16277 14758 8 303 9 314 4 302 4 297 6 312 14758 13403 6 292 7 304 5 280 5 271 6 302 13403 12191 6 294 6 291 7 272 6 269 6 294 12191 11105 6 295 7 282 8 276 7 274 7 291 11105 10129 7 295 6 280 9 279 8 276 7 288 10129 9256 7 298 5 280 8 278 9 273 8 284 9256 8478 7 305 3 289 6 273 9 264 8 279 8478 7782 4 330 2 133 1 225 8 247 8 278 7782 7154 3 076 4 136 1 134 4 219 4 283 7154 6594 5 088 4 137 1 129 2 166 1 060 6594 6123 5 084 4 139 2 125 2 148 4 078 6123 5758 5 077 4 140 2 124 2 139 4 075 5758 5504 4 074 3 141 1 126 2 132 4 069 5504 5350 4*073 3 141 1*126 2*129 4*056 5350 5261 3*072 3*141 1*122 2*126 3*043 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography