DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 84.2 - - 86.0 - - 79.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 484 - - 233 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6163 - - 10463 - - 10661 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9611 - - 13156 - - 12874 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11224 - - 15524 - - 15722 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1661 - - 1801 - - 2771 - - 8639 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 586 - - 721 - - 570 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 20 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 032 - - 287 - - 282 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 9 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2103 - - 461 - - 63 - - -8840 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13328 - - 15064 - - 15660 - - 14105 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4654 - - -357 - - -715 - - -11065 ODpotential blCL - - - 15878 - - 15881 - - 16437 - - 16329 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 76 - - 86 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 84.2 - - 86.0 - - 79.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 35.8 - - 35.1 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.5 - - 80.9 - - 83.8 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 35.5 - - 34.8 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 484 - - 233 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6163 - - 10463 - - 10661 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 3 - - 44 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99278 32 107 30 104 30 105 26 099 99278 91745 28 102 25 114 22 099 25 097 91745 85953 28 093 25 118 21 103 19 093 85953 81167 19 089 21 107 21 108 19 089 81167 77048 14 118 17 091 17 098 18 079 77048 73405 16 099 10 115 15 097 13 077 73405 70105 11 083 8 087 10 070 9 074 70105 67071 4 047 9 091 6 070 4 067 67071 64272 2 226 3 324 9 011 5 034 64272 61573 3 352 7 246 10 302 6 329 61573 58764 12 316 9 298 14 312 12 314 58764 55850 18 298 21 298 20 318 16 321 55850 53071 22 295 27 302 28 319 24 325 53071 50575 30 304 31 306 33 312 31 317 50575 48350 37 307 35 308 35 313 34 309 48350 46345 41 308 38 309 40 317 36 315 46345 44525 44 309 37 310 36 320 34 320 44525 42861 41 307 38 325 38 336 36 345 42861 41321 40 319 43 335 39 340 36 348 41321 39877 46 323 45 334 36 344 33 344 39877 38517 44 323 36 332 34 352 30 341 38517 37209 39 324 33 352 32 355 29 342 37209 35891 37 323 40 004 31 351 28 347 35891 34536 37 323 46 006 30 342 29 353 34536 33149 36 327 44 003 30 338 29 356 33149 31717 35 333 39 357 31 340 28 354 31717 30232 32 335 35 351 31 340 28 352 30232 28694 27 325 33 347 30 340 27 350 28694 27107 28 312 30 347 28 342 25 347 27107 25475 29 313 24 342 25 348 23 342 25475 23801 26 318 21 326 19 349 21 339 23801 22082 22 320 21 320 15 334 18 333 22082 20310 19 315 19 321 16 316 17 325 20310 18523 17 311 16 318 15 332 15 336 18523 16817 14 309 13*312 13*338 14 002 16817 15266 12 303 11*310 9*331 12 004 15266 13874 12 299 10 306 8 329 10 001 13874 12623 12 311 9 303 6 301 8 350 12623 11493 9*330 7 288 6 286 7 327 11493 10473 7*350 7 281 7 275 7 297 10473 9555 6 005 6 276 7 268 10 277 9555 8731 6 028 6 271 8 263 12 267 8731 7991 7 037 5 265 8 262 14 264 7991 7318 7 042 5 261 9 260 14 262 7318 6713 7 046 5 258 9 258 15 260 6713 6202 7 049 4 254 9 258 15 259 6202 5805 7 051 4 252 9 256 15 257 5805 5530 7 052 4 249 9 256 13 255 5530 5361 7 053 4 251 9 257 10*254 5361 5264 6 053 4 249 8 256 6*252 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography