DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/21 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.3 - - 61.4 - - 62.4 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 500 - - 208 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6525 - - 7661 - - 6898 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9906 - - 10878 - - 9829 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11586 - - 12722 - - 11959 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1561 - - 1708 - - 2027 - - 4660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 599 - - 658 - - 475 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 260 - - 260 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 691 - - -1471 - - -1883 - - -6610 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10896 - - 14193 - - 13843 - - 11874 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1241 - - -5131 - - -5126 - - -10969 ODpotential blCL - - - 12827 - - 17853 - - 17085 - - 16232 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 49 - - 73 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.3 - - 61.4 - - 62.4 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.8 - - 17.0 - - 19.8 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 58.2 - - 60.7 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 16.2 - - 19.3 - - 21.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 500 - - 208 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6525 - - 7661 - - 6898 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98448 19 100 7 105 12 078 10 070 98448 91009 19 108 9 099 16 085 17 066 91009 85257 13 130 14 100 13 105 16 063 85257 80464 13 120 10 110 8 092 12 069 80464 76339 16 095 10 119 11 100 11 052 76339 72702 14 103 11 128 9 088 11 091 72702 69402 9 118 11 134 6 143 9 081 69402 66359 8 177 5 140 6 123 4 158 66359 63538 12 188 6 234 6 291 5 132 63538 60803 10 212 16 236 18 223 12 259 60803 57956 8 214 8 225 14 253 13 277 57956 55006 23 270 24 278 19 278 25 275 55006 52191 30 270 31 274 32 284 33 278 52191 49658 28 279 37 284 35 277 34 279 49658 47384 35 294 40 284 39 289 41 280 47384 45325 42 293 36 300 49 283 46 287 45325 43449 46 297 51 295 50 293 62 287 43449 41739 54 292 60 287 74 297 72 287 41739 40170 59 296 62 295 83 293 80 287 40170 38719 76 305 85 304 85 298 79 288 38719 37369 97 303 105 303 92 296 78 285 37369 36079 106 299 105 302 91 292 76 279 36079 34784 100 297 100 299 88 289 75 276 34784 33457 88 295 96 297 87 288 73 279 33457 32102 78 294 90 298 84 289 69 285 32102 30710 74 299 83 296 77 292 64 288 30710 29272 74 300 74 294 68 297 57 285 29272 27791 74 299 71 296 59 294 54 281 27791 26262 72 305 68 299 53 289 50 282 26262 24690 69 305 64 298 49 289 47 284 24690 23080 68 298 59 293 48 290 44 282 23080 21427 68 296 55 291 47 290 38 281 21427 19726 63 302 50 297 44 292 34 280 19726 18004 52 309 43 302 38 295 32 282 18004 16352 40 307 32 299 31 296 29 283 16352 14847 31 303 24 291 24 295 25 283 14847 13504 22 303 16*279 18 288 21 285 13504 12299 13*288 14*270 14*271 16 286 12299 11215 11*274 13 267 14*269 12 281 11215 10240 10 270 13 265 14 266 11 277 10240 9362 11 254 13 262 14 264 11 272 9362 8575 11 250 13 260 14 261 12 268 8575 7868 11 247 12 258 14 259 12 263 7868 7225 11 245 12 256 14 257 13 259 7225 6647 11 242 12 254 14 255 13 256 6647 6159 11 241 12 252 14 254 13 254 6159 5779 11 239 12 251 14 253 12 251 5779 5515 11 239 11 250 13 253 11 247 5515 5355 11 239 11 250 13 253 9*243 5355 5263 10 238 10 250 11 253 5*238 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography