DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/28 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2153z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 63.6 - - 68.1 - - 65.3 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 56 - - 353 - - 394 - - 100 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 5490 - - 7284 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 8995 - - 10472 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5263 - - 10551 - - 12345 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3124 - - 2769 - - 4106 - - 10269 - - 5259 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 528 - - 600 - - 117 - - 32 W* B/S 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 258 - - 251 - - 319 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1753 - - 826 - - 778 - - -4589 - - -1939 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7016 - - 9725 - - 11567 - - 9853 - - 7203 sfcLCL ODpotential -4249 - - -654 - - -576 - - -5702 - - -4383 ODpotential blCL 9512 - - 11205 - - 12921 - - 10965 - - 9646 blCL maxRH 82 - - 75 - - 80 - - 87 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 170 - - 190 - - 450 - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 63.6 - - 68.1 - - 65.3 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 39.0 - - 35.3 - - 40.2 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.0 - - 60.9 - - 65.4 - - 64.0 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.9 - - 38.1 - - 34.6 - - 39.5 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 56 - - 353 - - 394 - - 100 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 5490 - - 7284 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 29 - - 0 - - 19 - - 48 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98438 23 099 6 080 9 163 7 127 11 145 98438 91008 14 089 18 121 12 118 6 143 9 097 91008 85273 10 072 18 107 12 082 11 126 14 101 85273 80549 12 071 20 114 7 098 13 108 14 095 80549 76498 14 088 14 109 11 120 11 136 12 077 76498 72913 11 083 7 102 10 109 9 120 6 079 72913 69665 5 129 5 057 9 112 7 090 4 108 69665 66672 7 118 4 209 2 107 9 069 5 123 66672 63891 5 092 8 175 5 232 6 008 7 124 63891 61194 1 343 5 149 6 243 6 322 7 103 61194 58364 4 273 3 138 9 228 8 286 2 062 58364 55401 9 268 1 037 8 192 8 243 7 289 55401 52559 11 247 8 293 2 161 6 190 8 264 52559 50002 9 228 13 260 5 286 1 328 4 196 50002 47715 4 226 13 238 10 254 8 296 1 315 47715 45643 3 286 11 228 9 236 11 266 6 323 45643 43747 5 282 8 236 5 244 8 246 7 307 43747 42000 9 266 9 250 6 282 3 256 6 285 42000 40380 12 248 11 250 8 266 5 279 5 302 40380 38878 11 241 10 254 9 253 9 281 7 303 38878 37486 10 260 11 269 12 268 16 274 12 302 37486 36169 19 260 21 263 20 276 20 264 16 284 36169 34865 25 252 29 263 30 276 26 263 26 262 34865 33544 30 244 39 264 40 271 35 262 38 263 33544 32200 32 237 40 266 44 265 40 260 41 259 32200 30814 31 239 36 269 39 265 42 262 41 258 30814 29376 31 246 30 267 34 264 38 263 40 261 29376 27889 32 253 26 263 29 261 32 261 35 263 27889 26355 32 257 25 262 26 257 29 256 31 260 26355 24778 29 257 25 262 25 263 27 257 29 260 24778 23162 25 255 22 263 22 267 22 266 24 267 23162 21501 22 258 20 264 21 264 20 271 20 277 21501 19790 20 262 18 263 20 262 16 279 16 294 19790 18062 17 267 15 259 17 266 16 278 10 294 18062 16407 13 264 14 251 13 275 14 263 9 306 16407 14902 13 255 13 248 12 271 13 253 7 267 14902 13560 12 256 12 254 12 264 12 252 9 239 13560 12356 14 257 12 263 12*259 12 254 9 238 12356 11270 15 258 12*264 12*257 11 257 8 246 11270 10288 15 255 12*264 12 255 11 261 8 260 10288 9403 13 250 12 262 13 254 10 268 7 278 9403 8608 10 246 12 260 13 252 10 279 7 297 8608 7894 7 246 12 259 13 250 9 290 7 316 7894 7244 5 250 12 257 13 249 9 300 9 331 7244 6661 3 275 12 255 13 247 9 310 10 342 6661 6168 3 301 11 253 13 246 9 315 11 349 6168 5785 3 301 11 252 12 245 9 317 11 352 5785 5519 3 297 11 252 12 245 9 318 10 353 5519 5357 2*298 10 251 12 244 9*319 8*353 5357 5263 2*299 9 250 11 244 8*319 5*353 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography