DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/26 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.9 - - 37.6 - - 39.2 - - 36.8 - - 34.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 72 - - 61 - - 28 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1648 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5244 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6709 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1812 - - 2024 - - 3018 - - 2712 - - 1642 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 211 - - 99 - - 76 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 211 - - 214 - - 162 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1427 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5282 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -1917 - - 147 - - -563 - - -175 - - -391 ODpotential blCL 7178 - - 6562 - - 5824 - - 5436 - - 5652 blCL maxRH 90 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.9 - - 37.6 - - 39.2 - - 36.8 - - 34.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.0 - - 32.8 - - 36.1 - - 35.8 - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.9 - - 36.7 - - 38.3 - - 36.1 - - 34.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 32.0 - - 35.4 - - 35.4 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 72 - - 61 - - 28 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1648 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96781 27 286 22 297 24 285 22 298 26 286 96781 89611 15 305 18 280 21 275 24 299 21 300 89611 84060 14 310 11 277 15 273 19 281 20 295 84060 79451 17 285 15 290 16 270 13 294 15 280 79451 75463 15 277 17 285 17 279 17 290 15 280 75463 71924 11 298 15 260 7 272 14 271 12 275 71924 68707 12 312 10 305 16 295 13 318 9 013 68707 65748 26 275 29 278 29 258 28 275 29 312 65748 63013 24 232 19 298 24 278 35 282 16 271 63013 60357 12 223 31 306 40 293 36 294 40 298 60357 57581 34 295 46 275 42 280 51 276 50 280 57581 54688 45 280 41 262 39 273 46 268 40 266 54688 51877 44 298 35 287 47 285 42 279 40 288 51877 49322 68 297 62 297 61 288 57 292 73 290 49322 47049 78 285 77 284 76 283 77 284 88 276 47049 45002 74 269 78 271 81 275 79 273 72 268 45002 43128 71 261 72 268 76 271 69 275 61 282 43128 41392 70 265 70 274 72 276 76 287 71 292 41392 39775 72 270 77 280 81 282 92 290 84 289 39775 38267 76 274 87 280 93 282 98 287 93 282 38267 36863 81 274 94 278 98 279 98 284 93 280 36863 35528 86 273 96 278 98 277 98 283 96 282 35528 34198 87 273 95 278 97 277 99 283 104 285 34198 32845 83 273 90 278 94 278 100 283 111 286 32845 31472 77 270 83 273 87 277 97 283 113 285 31472 30065 77 264 79 267 80 271 89 282 109 284 30065 28620 82 262 78 266 75 260 77 278 104 283 28620 27140 81 263 76 267 74 255 71 271 94 282 27140 25631 79 263 72 265 70 255 72 265 71 280 25631 24100 78 263 67 262 68 261 69 264 53 273 24100 22541 78 262 66 257 63 269 60 267 55 272 22541 20937 78 260 68 253 62 272 49 270 57 269 20937 19282 69 255 62 245 60 263 45 269 51 263 19282 17607 59 252 52 238 54 239 44 261 40 261 17607 15999 60 267 42 260 47 223 44 248 32 267 15999 14535 62 275 43 281 39 217 44 233 28 276 14535 13228 54 271 38 282 24 237 39 215 24 274 13228 12056 45 261 31 267 19 278 33 195 22 265 12056 11001 37 253 29 248 16 285 21 187 22 257 11001 10051 32 254 26 234 14 261 5 218 21 238 10051 9199 30 263 21 222 16 240 2 336 17 204 9199 8439 28 271 14 211 17 229 2 030 11 173 8439 7758 24 275 13 210 15 222 2 107 7 140 7758 7139 21 268 13*210 13 217 2 147 7 133 7139 6585 21 255 12*210 9 213 3 160 8 146 6585 6117 22 244 12 211 7 213 4 161 7 158 6117 5755 20 238 11 211 7 213 4 165 6 160 5755 5503 17 234 11 211 6 213 3 163 5 159 5503 5350 15*232 10 211 6 214 3*163 4 157 5350 5261 10*230 9 211 5*214 3*162 3*151 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography