DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 81.9 - - - - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 250 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2588 - - 6564 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6082 - - 9439 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7416 - - 11392 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2720 - - 1826 - - - - - 2646 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 497 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 37 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 034 - - 086 - - - - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 25 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1130 - - 187 - - - - - -5191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8547 - - 11205 - - - - - 9566 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6644 - - -4060 - - - - - -12519 ODpotential blCL - - - 14060 - - 15452 - - - - - 16894 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 56 - - - - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 81.9 - - - - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 47.7 - - - - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.6 - - 81.1 - - - - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 47.1 - - - - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 250 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2588 - - 6564 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97857 15 293 11 292 13 300 97857 90552 4 262 9 200 10 312 90552 84959 1 243 3 124 5 339 84959 80319 4 309 7 024 6 038 80319 76316 8 295 10 356 11 033 76316 72787 5 256 9 300 15 018 72787 69615 1 227 7 264 18 358 69615 66722 1 123 6 240 11 326 66722 64049 1 218 6 274 8 307 64049 61466 3 168 9 255 13 275 61466 58787 3 036 8 219 16 252 58787 56024 18 313 8 290 19 259 56024 53385 27 306 19 304 18 261 53385 50985 35 307 30 308 18 287 50985 48805 40 306 40 304 26 292 48805 46806 45 306 49 299 36 283 46806 44960 49 302 51 297 42 276 44960 43242 48 300 50 297 44 277 43242 41635 44 306 47 300 46 279 41635 40126 43 318 44 307 43 283 40126 38711 41 328 41 316 35 291 38711 37360 36 333 40 325 24 299 37360 36004 26 334 30 333 17 284 36004 34609 8 324 14 320 18 284 34609 33184 1 259 5 276 14 306 33184 31719 3 307 2 308 11 315 31719 30197 1 300 3 307 8 285 30197 28617 1 042 6 324 7 303 28617 26984 4 025 7 342 10 028 26984 25301 8 056 6 057 8 030 25301 23569 16 077 14 090 6 081 23569 21781 21 082 16 094 12 086 21781 19932 20 089 18 105 15 085 19932 18055 19 093 19 103 18 091 18055 16250 18 090 17 094 18 089 16250 14611 17 085 16 084 16 082 14611 13152 16 083 16 073 14 081 13152 11850 14 081 14*068 12 097 11850 10684 13 078 12*070 11 113 10684 9635 11 076 12 073 13 119 9635 8696 10 079 11 077 15 118 8696 7857 9*080 10 081 17 114 7857 7107 7*074 9 087 18 108 7107 6427 4 061 7 096 17 099 6427 5819 2 019 5 110 16 088 5819 5307 1 315 4 126 14 075 5307 4911 2 286 4 138 11 063 4911 4637 2 271 4 142 9 050 4637 4470 2 267 4 146 7*036 4470 4374 2 263 3 150 5*020 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography