DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 57.2 - - - - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 403 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6494 - - 11242 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9522 - - 13453 - - - - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11322 - - 16070 - - - - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2334 - - 2638 - - - - - 7897 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 543 - - 691 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 36 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 314 - - - - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 11 - - - - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1646 - - 1978 - - - - - -5406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12969 - - 14093 - - - - - 9780 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4238 - - 773 - - - - - -7605 ODpotential blCL - - - 15560 - - 15297 - - - - - 11978 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 67 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 57.2 - - - - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.8 - - 9.8 - - - - - 19.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 55.9 - - - - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.3 - - 9.0 - - - - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 340 - - 403 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6494 - - 11242 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96291 33 260 33 264 29 283 96291 89138 19 277 19 274 27 274 89138 83693 20 300 14 285 19 291 83693 79183 15 291 17 282 19 313 79183 75271 3 343 11 289 16 303 75271 71801 9 325 9 324 8 287 71801 68649 7 254 9 295 9 311 68649 65738 13 233 20 255 12 297 65738 63022 6 186 15 218 14 276 63022 60359 7 297 14 218 19 259 60359 57551 31 261 24 255 24 252 57551 54614 37 246 33 253 31 255 54614 51796 41 250 38 247 37 250 51796 49250 45 255 42 251 36 245 49250 46955 52 256 51 256 34 259 46955 44869 52 252 54 257 34 259 44869 42957 49 246 53 254 30 257 42957 41187 42 254 46 250 25 268 41187 39544 52 271 43 269 25 278 39544 38018 51 272 48 275 25 280 38018 36599 48 273 51 268 25 280 36599 35250 53 269 46 259 29 283 35250 33907 56 263 43 263 33 277 33907 32542 52 266 47 275 32 265 32542 31163 55 275 54 274 27 261 31163 29758 68 272 49 267 27 264 29758 28320 68 267 37 264 30 263 28320 26846 54 263 30 271 30 259 26846 25332 42 269 30 287 23 257 25332 23778 33 281 31 293 13 268 23778 22186 25 290 24 290 10 254 22186 20549 19 295 17 293 2 179 20549 18856 16 300 14 299 2 153 18856 17135 15 304 11*309 2 205 17135 15478 14 307 6*356 3 254 15478 13966 13 322 6 001 3 283 13966 12614 14 342 6 000 3 332 12614 11400 13*356 5 355 5 035 11400 10309 10*005 4 340 8 057 10309 9328 9 006 4 308 12 064 9328 8446 8 004 4 286 15 066 8446 7658 8 360 5 270 16 066 7658 6951 7 355 5 262 16 065 6951 6311 6 349 6 254 15 061 6311 5738 6 341 6 249 14 054 5738 5254 5 333 6 246 13 044 5254 4880 5 327 6 244 13 033 4880 4621 5 323 6 243 12 024 4621 4463 5 321 6 243 10*020 4463 4372 4 319 6 241 6*013 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography