DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.8 - - 55.2 - - 55.1 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 335 - - 66 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3029 - - 4386 - - 3471 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6741 - - 7857 - - 6190 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7857 - - 9214 - - 8299 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 809 - - 935 - - 1095 - - 699 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 474 - - 256 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 094 - - 117 - - 088 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 14 - - -8 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2993 - - -3768 - - -4393 - - -6007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10850 - - 12983 - - 12693 - - 10380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12344 - - -11851 - - -12099 - - -16399 ODpotential blCL - - - 20201 - - 21065 - - 20398 - - 20772 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 53 - - 42 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.8 - - 55.2 - - 55.1 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.7 - - 13.5 - - 15.0 - - 14.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 54.3 - - 55.6 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.2 - - 12.8 - - 14.4 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 335 - - 66 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3029 - - 4386 - - 3471 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96644 27 113 26 109 24 115 22 097 96644 89468 22 110 23 113 18 112 20 096 89468 83913 12 114 9 121 14 099 18 094 83913 79320 9 113 12 153 4 114 9 068 79320 75364 4 087 8 138 6 171 4 173 75364 71851 7 227 6 261 5 262 2 223 71851 68655 11 200 12 242 13 270 9 309 68655 65719 11 189 15 242 18 261 19 288 65719 63010 5 231 15 260 16 265 21 271 63010 60391 20 280 19 279 16 275 21 264 60391 57651 33 281 30 279 30 278 30 269 57651 54808 45 274 42 268 42 272 37 273 54808 52103 46 279 49 273 51 273 50 279 52103 49669 56 282 59 278 61 275 61 273 49669 47479 64 281 64 278 64 275 61 272 47479 45494 67 285 64 278 60 277 58 276 45494 43693 76 291 64 284 57 278 54 274 43693 42050 81 293 64 292 54 280 52 266 42050 40526 84 292 61 294 52 280 49 263 40526 39094 86 290 65 292 54 279 49 263 39094 37744 86 288 69 290 55 279 54 267 37744 36448 85 287 70 287 55 280 66 272 36448 35139 81 289 72 286 55 282 71 272 35139 33789 79 292 72 286 55 281 68 272 33789 32401 77 293 69 287 55 280 63 270 32401 30965 76 293 65 288 56 279 61 270 30965 29470 76 293 61 288 56 279 54 272 29470 27922 72 295 57 286 54 283 48 272 27922 26323 65 299 55 284 52 286 44 276 26323 24674 59 300 54 282 48 287 43 283 24674 22975 54 300 52 283 43 286 41 287 22975 21224 50 304 47 289 39 285 37 289 21224 19415 46 313 41 297 36 284 33 286 19415 17585 39 315 34 303 30 286 29 282 17585 15829 28 310 27 306 23 290 23 281 15829 14231 18 303 18 302 17 290 17 285 14231 12807 13 299 12 289 13 283 11 280 12807 11539 10 301 9 276 10 275 6 257 11539 10406 7 307 5 254 7 266 4 199 10406 9395 3 333 5*130 2 213 7 159 9395 8491 6*082 7*123 5*105 9 146 8491 7688 9*097 7 120 7*101 9 132 7688 6971 9 098 7 119 7 097 8 123 6971 6323 10 094 7 116 8 090 7 133 6323 5745 10 090 7 114 8 084 10 127 5745 5257 9 090 7 113 8 082 14 104 5257 4881 8 092 7 114 8 081 15 083 4881 4621 8 092 6 115 7 080 13 064 4621 4463 7 093 6 116 7 080 11*050 4463 4372 6 097 5 117 6 081 6*038 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography