DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 55.2 - - 56.2 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 1 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 709 - - 871 - - 408 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5537 - - 5699 - - 5236 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1662 - - 1996 - - 3574 - - 3159 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 48 - - 68 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 160 - - 166 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 17 - - 26 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1164 - - 1183 - - 629 - - -2682 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4373 - - 4516 - - 4607 - - 7056 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 117 - - -590 - - -1856 - - -5913 ODpotential blCL - - - 5420 - - 6289 - - 7092 - - 10287 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 55.2 - - 56.2 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 50.3 - - 51.0 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 56.2 - - 58.9 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 49.6 - - 50.0 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 1 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 709 - - 871 - - 408 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96172 27 299 32 281 35 299 27 303 96172 89126 26 303 14 295 23 295 21 317 89126 83667 22 298 19 317 20 286 29 296 83667 79152 28 279 25 322 14 324 24 307 79152 75260 25 278 25 297 18 308 20 309 75260 71808 21 285 20 297 15 313 19 306 71808 68669 27 261 26 271 22 281 24 310 68669 65780 33 246 33 262 32 268 32 269 65780 63145 36 250 32 257 33 262 25 246 63145 60603 46 251 37 253 35 257 22 247 60603 57922 56 234 50 236 47 234 40 240 57922 55123 63 224 63 222 63 221 58 227 55123 52439 72 229 67 228 69 224 66 224 52439 50008 78 231 78 233 79 230 70 226 50008 47816 79 233 87 232 88 231 77 232 47816 45826 88 234 93 232 93 230 92 232 45826 44012 92 231 94 228 95 226 99 226 44012 42345 87 229 88 225 90 221 93 222 42345 40793 84 235 83 230 85 226 88 227 40793 39340 86 237 83 233 81 227 87 227 39340 37978 82 232 84 229 78 224 85 220 37978 36669 77 229 82 226 77 224 83 218 36669 35347 75 233 78 228 76 227 81 220 35347 33985 76 236 76 232 75 229 80 223 33985 32586 74 235 74 232 72 229 77 224 32586 31137 69 231 71 230 69 226 74 223 31137 29630 65 226 70 225 68 221 71 218 29630 28065 63 220 69 220 69 219 70 214 28065 26445 62 215 68 218 69 219 70 215 26445 24775 63 215 66 219 69 222 71 219 24775 23061 60 217 61 220 64 224 69 225 23061 21299 56 217 56 218 57 224 66 231 21299 19483 54 218 53 217 51 224 60 231 19483 17648 50 225 46 222 48 224 53 229 17648 15892 43 230 39 227 46 221 48 228 15892 14301 37 225 39 229 43 220 44 223 14301 12888 38 221 46 226 43 221 43 214 12888 11628 43 221 51 222 43 224 41 205 11628 10498 46 221 50 218 41 223 38 197 10498 9483 46 219 43 214 34 215 37 190 9483 8570 41 214 35 209 28 198 38 185 8570 7756 33 206 27 203 26 184 37 182 7756 7027 26 197 22 192 25 174 34 178 7027 6366 21 185 19 181 24 170 30 174 6366 5776 18*171 16*170 22 170 25 172 5776 5279 16*161 13*164 17*170 19 171 5279 4895 15 156 11 161 14*169 13 171 4895 4629 12 152 8 157 10 167 8 169 4629 4466 10 151 7 155 8 163 5*166 4466 4373 6 149 5 155 4 158 1*038 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography