DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 77.1 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 454 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8512 - - 11191 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11198 - - 13482 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13340 - - 16019 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1928 - - 2166 - - - - - 9731 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 618 - - 719 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 209 - - - - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 40 - - - - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -39 - - 1424 - - - - - -7502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13379 - - 14595 - - - - - 11878 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2937 - - -308 - - - - - -10145 ODpotential blCL - - - 16277 - - 16327 - - - - - 14520 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 86 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 77.1 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 27.6 - - - - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 75.6 - - - - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.1 - - 27.3 - - - - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 454 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8512 - - 11191 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 43 - - - - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97376 44 260 48 263 55 277 97376 90002 35 270 39 269 44 273 90002 84385 26 270 29 268 31 285 84385 79713 16 274 22 271 22 289 79713 75683 16 299 19 268 18 279 75683 72131 18 295 16 279 13 283 72131 68916 14 284 13 291 11 273 68916 65959 9 252 14 262 9 243 65959 63207 9 267 15 263 11 272 63207 60529 19 251 27 247 27 248 60529 57731 27 243 28 246 30 246 57731 54816 30 245 26 253 33 250 54816 52031 39 248 40 256 37 248 52031 49529 45 246 46 245 42 246 49529 47288 48 245 49 240 48 246 47288 45259 54 242 50 238 55 242 45259 43409 53 236 51 235 59 235 43409 41716 51 234 53 233 60 230 41716 40163 56 235 57 232 55 231 40163 38732 58 230 60 229 52 235 38732 37399 55 221 61 224 54 232 37399 36123 54 219 61 221 56 225 36123 34836 54 218 60 222 57 223 34836 33509 52 217 56 225 56 224 33509 32145 50 214 51 228 55 227 32145 30733 47 212 44 227 52 228 30733 29267 45 215 38 222 48 227 29267 27749 42 223 35 224 44 221 27749 26183 40 228 36 225 41 211 26183 24570 39 220 36 225 37 207 24570 22911 34 213 35 227 33 211 22911 21198 29 213 35 220 31 217 21198 19428 28 218 32 215 30 218 19428 17638 27 218 24*215 26 212 17638 15919 25 218 18*213 23 208 15919 14350 23*220 17 211 22 206 14350 12946 20*216 17 211 21 204 12946 11685 18 207 17 210 19 204 11685 10552 17 203 17 210 18 205 10552 9531 16 199 17 209 18 208 9531 8614 16 197 17 208 17 212 8614 7794 15 194 18 207 17 217 7794 7059 14 192 18 207 17 222 7059 6393 14 190 18 207 17 226 6393 5797 13 188 18 206 17 229 5797 5293 13 187 18 206 16 231 5293 4904 12 186 17 206 14 231 4904 4633 12 185 17 206 11 230 4633 4469 11 185 16 206 8*227 4469 4374 10 185 14 205 4*223 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography