DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 43.9 - - 45.6 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 24 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 966 - - 928 - - 495 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5794 - - 5756 - - 5323 - - 4863 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1623 - - 1625 - - 1963 - - 2313 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 120 - - 121 - - 34 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 126 - - 115 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 3 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1422 - - 1384 - - 951 - - 491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4372 - - 4372 - - 4372 - - 4373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 591 - - 574 - - 81 - - -694 ODpotential blCL - - - 5203 - - 5182 - - 5242 - - 5557 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 43.9 - - 45.6 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.1 - - 42.4 - - 44.3 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 44.7 - - 46.6 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 41.7 - - 43.9 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 24 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 966 - - 928 - - 495 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96489 10 307 7 265 12 310 11 292 96489 89352 3 132 3 214 8 283 10 354 89352 83852 9 127 6 246 5 304 10 005 83852 79280 3 212 3 237 6 277 13 316 79280 75356 4 290 2 340 5 206 11 290 75356 71893 4 293 4 290 5 227 10 260 71893 68735 10 277 7 261 9 249 10 243 68735 65801 17 250 18 252 17 246 15 247 65801 63073 21 243 22 249 19 250 15 246 63073 60434 27 248 26 255 25 266 21 272 60434 57680 28 244 27 253 32 261 27 272 57680 54820 22 258 23 268 27 258 32 274 54820 52089 28 267 28 267 31 272 34 274 52089 49631 27 262 24 271 29 287 26 282 49631 47421 27 261 29 289 34 299 28 305 47421 45405 25 271 34 297 40 303 33 321 45405 43548 24 290 33 296 38 305 43 320 43548 41827 30 294 30 302 38 313 46 316 41827 40225 34 283 35 319 37 323 40 321 40225 38729 29 276 34 309 38 340 37 338 38729 37332 22 302 24 317 39 346 39 352 37332 36000 27 304 28 331 35 346 45 357 36000 34670 22 313 27 322 31 359 51 005 34670 33314 24 347 27 316 34 360 43 006 33314 31943 23 355 25 318 31 340 30 356 31943 30545 30 023 23 334 23 327 20 325 30545 29098 32 019 24 341 20 338 17 318 29098 27595 31 006 27 344 24 346 18 326 27595 26035 31 003 27 348 28 350 23 330 26035 24420 26 002 24 346 27 358 26 342 24420 22757 24 357 21 337 28 001 27 357 22757 21039 23 350 20 333 24 001 28 005 21039 19259 22 352 20 326 21 002 29 005 19259 17451 19 353 20 321 20 005 28 008 17451 15715 16 344 19 320 20 008 27 015 15715 14138 16 330 18 325 17 001 26 019 14138 12736 16 325 18 330 12 344 23 020 12736 11486 16 321 16 332 10 327 18 018 11486 10370 15 318 15 324 11 323 13 005 10370 9371 12 310 13 313 11 325 12 346 9371 8476 9 295 10 302 10 329 12 336 8476 7678 7 279 7 290 7 325 11 335 7678 6965 5 262 4 275 5 317 9 336 6965 6319 4*226 2*214 3 310 6 343 6319 5743 4*185 3*137 0*001 3 004 5743 5258 5 168 5 125 3*112 2 038 5258 4882 5 161 5 124 3 113 2*056 4882 4622 5 160 5 125 2 116 2*061 4622 4463 5 160 5 125 2 118 2 066 4463 4373 4 159 4 126 2 124 1 060 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography