DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.7 - - 81.0 - - 87.6 - - 87.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 243 - - 299 - - 47 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3386 - - 6951 - - 6919 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 6976 - - 9830 - - 8288 - - - Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 8214 - - 11779 - - 11747 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 659 - - 1764 - - 1137 - - 1324 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 393 - - 535 - - 294 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 16 - - 19 - - - B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - - BL Wind Direction 298 - - 079 - - 082 - - 070 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 10 - - 3 - - 8 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9862 - - -9267 - - -7616 - - -8307 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14237 - - 17482 - - 19396 - - 20055 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -19784 - - -15767 - - -13119 - - -13355 - - - ODpotential blCL 24158 - - 23981 - - 24898 - - 25102 - - - blCL maxRH 34 - - 32 - - 37 - - 42 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 61.7 - - 81.0 - - 87.6 - - 87.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.0 - - 19.4 - - 16.9 - - 14.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.5 - - 80.2 - - 86.6 - - 88.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.3 - - 18.3 - - 16.2 - - 13.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 243 - - 299 - - 47 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3386 - - 6951 - - 6919 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96784 27 263 29 287 27 274 32 272 96784 89548 13 256 14 276 10 264 15 257 89548 84021 7 258 11 273 7 283 5 270 84021 79455 9 072 15 175 9 258 8 333 79455 75533 7 094 15 122 11 178 5 199 75533 72061 6 047 10 115 9 144 6 158 72061 68917 5 191 2 112 1 285 3 281 68917 66031 4 332 6 287 10 307 8 333 66031 63372 14 350 11 327 12 331 16 334 63372 60825 23 344 13 002 8 354 16 340 60825 58180 22 331 21 356 17 347 21 342 58180 55437 21 346 21 338 17 334 16 328 55437 52812 22 354 19 345 15 341 13 318 52812 50435 20 338 21 347 17 338 17 327 50435 48300 22 333 21 341 22 331 26 319 48300 46370 25 348 23 339 23 322 24 335 46370 44603 33 003 28 349 23 358 27 356 44603 42962 34 001 37 358 32 008 33 354 42962 41425 32 002 39 356 35 355 28 348 41425 39980 36 356 37 353 30 351 24 353 39980 38618 40 355 35 354 31 000 22 002 38618 37306 41 357 36 003 33 011 25 360 37306 35981 42 359 37 007 34 014 27 358 35981 34614 43 001 38 007 32 011 25 356 34614 33210 41 002 37 009 27 005 23 356 33210 31756 35 004 33 011 27 012 21 007 31756 30243 31 003 28 005 26 019 21 020 30243 28674 29 360 27 359 23 017 21 028 28674 27049 29 004 28 003 23 016 19 030 27049 25372 30 011 26 016 21 022 17 025 25372 23647 31 017 24 027 17 032 14 018 23647 21868 32 025 21 033 15 036 9 015 21868 20026 30 030 19 033 14 027 8 014 20026 18152 26 027 18 021 14 015 10 015 18152 16345 23 020 21 013 17 013 14 023 16345 14697 22 019 22 019 20 021 17 030 14697 13229 19 022 19 030 18 032 16 032 13229 11920 14 023 14 037 12*042 13*025 11920 10747 10 025 12 049 8*058 8*030 10747 9692 7 038 12 064 7 065 5 040 9692 8745 7 058 11*073 7 074 3 062 8745 7899 10 070 11*076 6 082 3 077 7899 7141 13 075 9 075 6 087 2 090 7141 6454 16 076 8 076 6 092 2 105 6454 5840 16 073 7 079 5 098 2 117 5840 5322 14 065 6 082 5 102 2 130 5322 4920 10 044 4 088 5 107 2 137 4920 4642 7 004 4 093 5 109 2 138 4642 4473 6*322 3 098 4 111 2 139 4473 4375 5*298 3 103 4 113 2 142 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography