DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 72.1 - - 69.1 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 431 - - 125 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5621 - - 7381 - - 6339 - - 1352 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8870 - - 10345 - - 8820 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10449 - - 12209 - - 11167 - - 6180 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1050 - - 1352 - - 1789 - - 4497 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 534 - - 615 - - 388 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 18 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 242 - - 250 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 42 - - 61 - - 32 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -994 - - -1058 - - -989 - - -4334 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11443 - - 13267 - - 12156 - - 10515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6869 - - -5248 - - -5158 - - -9749 ODpotential blCL - - - 17318 - - 17457 - - 16325 - - 15929 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 62 - - 71 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 72.1 - - 69.1 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.8 - - 28.5 - - 30.7 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 70.7 - - 69.3 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 28.0 - - 30.3 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 431 - - 125 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5621 - - 7381 - - 6339 - - 1352 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96706 29 269 34 270 27 273 40 287 96706 89485 19 262 24 275 27 272 30 291 89485 83955 14 255 20 277 18 292 17 307 83955 79360 13 251 17 274 13 303 15 307 79360 75401 5 232 9 255 8 277 11 310 75401 71896 7 251 6 246 11 234 16 299 71896 68721 5 259 7 260 10 236 16 283 68721 65811 11 258 10 296 8 310 16 289 65811 63107 26 258 21 272 12 281 15 286 63107 60476 26 279 21 278 17 299 24 307 60476 57726 36 284 41 293 38 287 37 295 57726 54878 48 276 54 273 50 278 39 288 54878 52147 52 278 52 270 49 282 44 289 52147 49670 54 281 49 281 56 285 54 286 49670 47437 58 283 55 286 65 281 63 284 47437 45412 63 281 63 285 70 276 69 280 45412 43571 66 276 70 278 70 274 71 276 43571 41887 67 272 76 270 69 273 72 274 41887 40333 64 275 81 265 69 273 73 272 40333 38885 71 285 77 264 68 267 67 270 38885 37530 65 283 66 261 64 259 63 270 37530 36235 62 275 61 261 61 257 63 271 36235 34932 62 271 63 266 62 260 65 271 34932 33592 65 275 64 265 60 262 63 271 33592 32218 63 278 64 263 59 265 56 271 32218 30797 57 276 61 261 58 268 53 271 30797 29318 51 271 57 259 59 269 51 267 29318 27783 49 268 53 258 60 268 50 267 27783 26199 49 267 52 259 59 267 48 274 26199 24567 51 266 52 265 54 272 47 280 24567 22893 53 266 53 271 50 279 46 281 22893 21168 54 267 53 274 49 277 43 281 21168 19386 52 270 50 275 45 271 38 278 19386 17581 48 273 45 273 39 267 33 274 17581 15847 43 271 40 270 34 266 30 269 15847 14269 39 265 35 266 30 265 27 265 14269 12865 37 259 28*259 24 261 23 260 12865 11611 34 253 22*248 19*248 19 250 11611 10485 25*246 20 244 18*244 17 244 10485 9474 20*237 20 244 18 246 16 243 9474 8566 18 233 20 242 18 247 15 250 8566 7755 17 229 20 241 18 250 16 257 7755 7029 16 226 20 241 18 251 17 262 7029 6371 15 222 19 240 18 252 17*265 6371 5781 15 219 19 240 18 253 17*266 5781 5283 14 215 19 239 18 253 17 267 5283 4898 13 213 18 239 17 254 15 268 4898 4630 13 211 17 239 17 254 11 270 4630 4467 12 211 16 238 16 254 8 268 4467 4373 11 211 14 238 13 253 4 265 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography