DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 71.4 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 14 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8902 - - 7973 - - - - - 107 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11037 - - 4357 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13730 - - 12801 - - - - - 4935 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1759 - - 2800 - - - - - 1272 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 487 - - 206 - - - - - 32 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 22 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 222 - - - - - 086 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 16 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 45 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2632 - - 1423 - - - - - 562 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11099 - - 11378 - - - - - 4373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 605 - - 240 - - - - - -3711 ODpotential blCL - - - 13125 - - 12561 - - - - - 8646 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 100 - - - - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 71.4 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 36.6 - - - - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 72.4 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 36.5 - - - - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 14 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8902 - - 7973 - - - - - 107 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96714 41 270 39 280 46 279 96714 89423 33 272 41 271 37 288 89423 83901 23 262 31 263 30 299 83901 79334 16 286 18 258 26 302 79334 75390 20 299 17 273 23 299 75390 71910 16 298 15 292 16 308 71910 68753 14 308 16 299 17 312 68753 65833 18 297 28 286 17 295 65833 63104 22 293 30 277 24 309 63104 60445 34 289 36 275 35 293 60445 57680 45 286 39 273 40 283 57680 54822 50 280 43 275 48 276 54822 52094 59 285 50 279 49 280 52094 49635 70 284 58 284 60 288 49635 47434 73 279 72 283 68 280 47434 45463 66 287 83 275 74 274 45463 43687 87 303 85 273 91 283 43687 42058 104 305 96 289 116 289 42058 40536 103 305 105 292 124 289 40536 39097 95 303 105 291 120 289 39097 37736 84 298 101 292 107 285 37736 36427 72 289 90 292 91 278 36427 35107 72 283 80 286 83 272 35107 33745 72 279 77 279 80 268 33745 32347 71 276 77 275 81 265 32347 30900 71 275 79 276 83 265 30900 29403 69 277 76 276 78 267 29403 27859 62 275 68 273 72 268 27859 26267 54 272 59 272 66 267 26267 24627 51 271 51 270 59 263 24627 22941 51 272 49 269 57 260 22941 21205 51 266 49 262 54 257 21205 19418 50 254 45 248 51 250 19418 17616 50 241 42 237 48 238 17616 15888 45 235 41 237 48 232 15888 14312 36*236 39 236 47 234 14312 12904 27*237 34*233 45 236 12904 11644 23 233 28*228 42 235 11644 10513 20 229 25 224 38 232 10513 9495 17 225 24 223 35 229 9495 8580 15 221 23 222 32 229 8580 7763 13 217 22 221 28 229 7763 7032 12 215 22 221 23 229 7032 6370 12 214 21 220 16 222 6370 5779 11 213 20 220 8 196 5779 5281 11 212 20 220 5*130 5281 4896 10 211 19 219 7*093 4896 4630 10 211 18 219 8 085 4630 4467 9 210 16 219 7 084 4467 4373 8 211 12 219 5 081 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography