DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 61.0 - - 56.5 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 27 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 421 - - 858 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5249 - - 5686 - - 4374 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2107 - - 1997 - - 2780 - - 2078 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 137 - - 6 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 117 - - 048 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - -7 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2542 - - -2664 - - -2711 - - -2384 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7792 - - 8350 - - 7085 - - 6758 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10342 - - -8833 - - -9342 - - -9435 ODpotential blCL - - - 15591 - - 14519 - - 13716 - - 13809 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 75 - - 93 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 61.0 - - 56.5 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 39.8 - - 40.8 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 61.7 - - 61.2 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 38.6 - - 39.5 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 27 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 421 - - 858 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 0 - - 72 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96112 21 323 12 017 4 158 10 271 96112 89082 7 295 5 347 9 013 3 329 89082 83635 4 237 4 290 16 351 8 036 83635 79083 2 123 3 271 14 318 11 030 79083 75144 4 001 3 315 10 291 13 352 75144 71666 10 331 8 349 8 281 14 330 71666 68525 19 317 16 333 13 306 20 319 68525 65640 21 304 21 323 17 314 23 319 65640 62962 24 300 25 311 23 313 25 307 62962 60372 25 300 29 298 27 310 26 298 60372 57672 30 308 35 296 33 302 34 300 57672 54868 37 306 42 298 41 295 41 295 54868 52180 45 303 54 298 56 293 54 295 52180 49756 50 298 58 293 68 280 73 286 49756 47576 50 289 57 287 66 276 75 275 47576 45579 49 285 56 278 63 274 68 270 45579 43743 48 286 54 274 61 273 64 269 43743 42049 44 281 50 272 55 269 59 269 42049 40476 44 271 45 268 54 264 57 270 40476 39010 42 261 36 264 49 263 53 270 39010 37641 35 247 30 253 40 259 47 267 37641 36339 29 248 30 243 32 249 38 263 36339 35037 31 253 27 231 23 226 26 260 35037 33706 32 255 23 243 24 233 21 251 33706 32343 29 255 20 260 23 245 24 247 32343 30933 25 248 20 255 22 244 27 255 30933 29463 26 231 22 240 22 242 27 253 29463 27937 28 224 22 226 20 237 24 248 27937 26361 31 224 20 227 13 239 13 238 26361 24738 28 222 21 232 14 249 10 242 24738 23067 26 222 23 230 18 247 12 242 23067 21340 24 233 21 235 16 246 11 242 21340 19550 21 248 16 251 12 247 11 237 19550 17730 14 266 9 260 10 237 13 232 17730 15975 7 278 8 232 13 230 15 240 15975 14375 5 250 12 224 16 235 17 253 14375 12945 6 229 15 227 16 245 15 265 12945 11666 6 219 14 228 13 253 11 269 11666 10520 6 204 12 227 9 254 7 259 10520 9492 6 179 10 221 6 251 6 230 9492 8573 9 147 7 201 3 241 6 196 8573 7756 11 136 8 168 2 203 7 180 7756 7026 11 141 10 157 3 162 8 170 7026 6365 10 137 9 157 4 154 8 165 6365 5775 10 125 6*158 3 148 7 160 5775 5278 8*106 2*142 3 115 5 139 5278 4894 6*085 1 091 3 069 5 106 4894 4628 4 080 0 085 3 054 6 079 4628 4466 3 079 0 074 3*047 6*064 4466 4373 2 078 0 090 3*042 5*056 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography