DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 62.3 - - 60.8 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 204 - - -5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1628 - - 3401 - - 2381 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5433 - - 6910 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6456 - - 8229 - - 7209 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1306 - - 1637 - - 3146 - - 1292 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 370 - - 72 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 056 - - 055 - - 052 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -29 - - -18 - - -17 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7205 - - -6634 - - -7302 - - -7903 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13662 - - 14864 - - 14512 - - 12277 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15193 - - -12818 - - -15036 - - -17417 ODpotential blCL - - - 21649 - - 21047 - - 22245 - - 21791 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 44 - - 35 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 62.3 - - 60.8 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.3 - - 12.6 - - 12.7 - - 10.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 61.9 - - 62.1 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.3 - - 11.6 - - 11.7 - - 10.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 204 - - -5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1628 - - 3401 - - 2381 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95818 49 283 57 281 62 284 47 283 95818 88719 38 283 48 287 45 280 39 308 88719 83270 30 281 40 288 34 303 32 305 83270 78746 30 297 38 299 33 313 32 309 78746 74862 32 299 37 305 26 301 34 311 74862 71439 23 307 33 304 21 309 25 299 71439 68316 21 321 29 304 26 325 24 306 68316 65430 27 319 28 302 33 316 35 318 65430 62784 28 307 30 304 36 295 43 308 62784 60251 27 309 30 313 31 290 45 295 60251 57588 34 314 31 321 35 305 43 288 57588 54800 48 314 44 326 40 323 42 314 54800 52136 62 306 60 313 56 316 51 319 52136 49729 62 294 65 301 62 307 55 306 49729 47559 52 286 55 288 50 299 53 293 47559 45581 44 331 41 312 38 292 42 300 45581 43776 61 343 50 339 42 320 43 317 43776 42138 61 338 55 337 51 329 48 311 42138 40629 50 341 52 334 47 328 49 307 40629 39212 48 003 49 341 41 340 46 311 39212 37872 55 013 47 348 44 356 46 324 37872 36581 57 012 44 353 47 001 45 331 36581 35276 56 005 43 354 42 353 43 337 35276 33930 58 359 44 352 39 342 43 338 33930 32546 60 355 46 351 42 344 41 340 32546 31110 58 352 46 352 44 349 42 342 31110 29614 55 351 44 353 43 351 44 348 29614 28060 50 353 41 357 38 350 43 355 28060 26451 46 357 36 001 33 352 40 353 26451 24793 47 359 33 003 29 003 36 355 24793 23091 48 360 32 001 25 012 29 002 23091 21341 44 002 34 358 25 014 28 008 21341 19533 37 003 36 001 28 011 31 011 19533 17701 32 004 35 006 30 009 33 012 17701 15941 31 008 33 012 31 010 33 012 15941 14338 31 015 31 016 30 013 31 013 14338 12908 29 019 28 020 27 017 27 014 12908 11631 24 022 26 022 22 015 22 015 11631 10486 18 024 22 023 18 010 18 017 10486 9460 15 030 17 026 15 008 17 022 9460 8542 14 039 14*034 13 012 18 030 8542 7725 16 048 14*043 12*021 20 038 7725 6996 18*054 13 049 12*033 24 046 6996 6338 19*056 13 053 13 044 26 050 6338 5754 19 056 13 056 13 052 27 052 5754 5264 18 056 12 060 12 057 23 050 5264 4885 17 057 11 063 11 061 15 044 4885 4623 16 056 10 066 10 064 8 028 4623 4464 13 057 10 066 9 066 3*342 4464 4373 10 057 8 068 6 070 4*273 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography