DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.3 - - 64.8 - - 70.4 - - 70.1 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 265 - - 340 - - 70 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4930 - - 8089 - - 7747 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 8185 - - 10800 - - 9329 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 9758 - - 12917 - - 12575 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 778 - - 2360 - - 2241 - - 2871 - - 7708 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 457 - - 586 - - 343 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 19 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 128 - - 156 - - 154 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -11 - - -28 - - -27 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8227 - - -5049 - - -3241 - - -3544 - - -10976 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12602 - - 14807 - - 16159 - - 16120 - - 15351 sfcLCL ODpotential -15792 - - -9108 - - -7291 - - -6886 - - -16393 ODpotential blCL 20166 - - 18866 - - 20208 - - 19461 - - 20767 blCL maxRH 42 - - 33 - - 31 - - 28 - - 34 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.3 - - 64.8 - - 70.4 - - 70.1 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.3 - - 14.8 - - 13.9 - - 13.9 - - 8.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.3 - - 64.0 - - 69.2 - - 70.4 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.7 - - 13.9 - - 12.8 - - 13.4 - - 8.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 265 - - 340 - - 70 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4930 - - 8089 - - 7747 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96328 21 265 26 276 28 262 23 267 34 267 96328 89141 10 289 15 270 20 268 15 274 18 285 89141 83643 10 308 11 261 16 261 16 291 16 300 83643 79078 8 275 15 269 13 276 16 286 15 289 79078 75145 11 265 18 279 14 279 16 265 17 279 75145 71690 15 282 21 264 17 288 15 257 15 274 71690 68576 18 287 20 246 18 273 18 260 15 277 68576 65704 19 268 20 241 21 265 22 260 20 265 65704 63022 20 255 21 241 23 247 26 255 20 250 63022 60411 19 248 21 243 23 232 28 249 22 250 60411 57668 20 237 20 233 25 225 31 236 29 244 57668 54792 21 227 20 222 28 219 32 225 33 228 54792 52027 22 227 22 219 26 224 25 226 26 221 52027 49528 20 224 22 214 25 226 20 228 19 214 49528 47290 15 204 17 185 20 206 17 223 20 208 47290 45272 11 164 19 147 17 179 18 212 22 204 45272 43439 17 100 23 102 20 148 17 192 20 197 43439 41761 30 090 28 089 28 118 15 158 12 186 41761 40212 48 078 38 088 37 095 18 118 19 114 40212 38770 54 075 49 081 50 083 32 097 29 098 38770 37419 57 085 54 086 49 082 43 088 39 094 37419 36125 68 096 62 094 49 089 38 091 41 093 36125 34820 74 096 67 097 49 096 34 094 36 092 34820 33483 75 094 65 095 52 097 35 098 31 097 33483 32116 74 093 56 096 50 093 39 098 30 104 32116 30706 64 089 52 090 44 093 40 095 29 108 30706 29241 51 078 50 078 45 091 40 095 28 108 29241 27724 52 073 51 077 48 088 42 100 26 111 27724 26153 47 082 49 091 48 095 34 113 17 125 26153 24535 32 098 44 110 31 114 19 143 12 172 24535 22873 14 109 18 117 14 140 16 160 15 190 22873 21162 7 184 2 148 5 149 12 153 15 169 21162 19395 12 176 7 196 5 182 8 154 10 158 19395 17602 14 163 10 178 8 179 8 170 7 178 17602 15878 11 156 8 161 7 176 7 172 8 193 15878 14308 6 151 7 146 8*161 8 149 9 175 14308 12906 4 155 5 131 8*149 9*140 11 154 12906 11651 4 158 5 099 7 145 8*141 13 140 11651 10522 6 148 6*097 7 145 7 142 12 142 10522 9505 8 148 8*116 7 146 6 145 9 147 9505 8592 9 151 9 123 6 149 5 150 7 152 8592 7775 9 149 8 123 5 153 4 157 5 156 7775 7044 9 140 7 122 5 163 3 169 4 158 7044 6381 11 121 6 125 4 173 2 180 2 147 6381 5788 13 101 4 136 4 184 2 185 1 101 5788 5287 16 084 4 148 4 191 2 191 2 055 5287 4899 16 069 4 160 4 198 2 199 3 041 4899 4631 12 056 4 167 4 200 2 204 4 037 4631 4467 8*042 4 170 4 202 2 202 5*034 4467 4373 4*359 3 172 3 203 2 206 5*027 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography