DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 73.9 - - 76.1 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 423 - - 184 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6272 - - 11361 - - 11750 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9485 - - 13580 - - 13311 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11100 - - 16189 - - 16578 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2374 - - 929 - - 1334 - - 11300 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 599 - - 705 - - 541 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 339 - - 353 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 19 - - 22 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1318 - - 1941 - - 1242 - - -9560 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12418 - - 14249 - - 15337 - - 13936 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3280 - - 1054 - - -128 - - -12782 ODpotential blCL - - - 14380 - - 15135 - - 16706 - - 17157 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 91 - - 78 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 73.9 - - 76.1 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.2 - - 25.9 - - 23.3 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 72.4 - - 75.7 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 25.5 - - 23.1 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 423 - - 184 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6272 - - 11361 - - 11750 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 65 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98091 16 253 18 282 14 300 16 295 98091 90637 15 226 22 270 20 283 17 289 90637 84895 7 252 13 252 15 257 14 261 84895 80130 8 296 5 245 8 234 10 245 80130 76033 10 262 13 270 11 290 10 309 76033 72426 12 248 17 244 15 278 13 294 72426 69175 14 271 14 253 17 258 17 276 69175 66186 22 257 21 269 22 263 22 267 66186 63408 28 261 28 266 30 268 28 276 63408 60716 35 260 33 257 34 263 33 267 60716 57900 36 264 33 256 35 259 32 266 57900 54977 40 265 38 261 39 265 35 270 54977 52198 38 260 39 260 37 262 33 260 52198 49708 35 264 37 261 35 268 29 264 49708 47490 34 270 34 257 33 263 29 264 47490 45487 33 276 28 272 24 268 22 276 45487 43654 35 275 31 274 21 277 21 273 43654 41969 35 270 26 273 10 307 7 323 41969 40412 29 262 16 315 20 000 20 045 40412 38963 21 292 18 344 22 005 34 050 38963 37608 23 318 19 013 21 041 38 048 37608 36310 16 328 28 036 37 058 38 048 36310 35004 12 015 36 038 47 058 37 050 35004 33663 24 040 40 040 49 059 36 052 33663 32290 32 039 42 042 45 060 34 056 32290 30871 35 037 41 041 41 061 31 061 30871 29396 35 036 36 038 37 058 29 063 29396 27868 34 034 31 036 34 052 28 059 27868 26288 32 034 28 036 30 048 28 052 26288 24660 29 034 26 035 25 047 27 047 24660 22986 24 026 23 034 23 043 24 045 22986 21262 22 014 22 033 22 036 21 043 21262 19482 20 006 23 023 21 032 21 045 19482 17681 18 351 21*009 18*029 20 046 17681 15957 19 347 17*003 13*020 15 053 15957 14387 18 344 15 360 12 015 13 058 14387 12979 15 343 14 357 11 011 13 053 12979 11715 14*343 13 351 10 002 12 047 11715 10577 12*337 12 342 10 354 12 037 10577 9551 11 330 11 334 10 347 12 026 9551 8631 10 324 10 326 10 341 12 016 8631 7807 9 312 10 319 10 337 13 008 7807 7070 8 302 10 313 9 333 13 000 7070 6400 8 295 9 307 9 329 14 354 6400 5802 7 287 9 302 9 327 14 349 5802 5296 7 281 9 298 9 324 13 345 5296 4905 7 277 9 296 9 322 12 340 4905 4634 6 273 9 295 8 320 11 337 4634 4469 6 273 8 293 8 320 9*335 4469 4374 6 271 8 291 7 318 6*336 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography