DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1334z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.8 - - 90.8 - - 100.2 - - 98.9 - - 88.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 150 - - 454 - - 517 - - 245 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1736 - - 6451 - - 14426 - - 13431 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5565 - - 9610 - - 16230 - - 14887 - - 4269 Hcrit BL Top 6564 - - 11279 - - 19254 - - 18259 - - 4286 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1425 - - 5767 - - 1794 - - 1996 - - 8072 Hgt.Variab. W* 265 - - 595 - - 813 - - 620 - - 9 W* B/S 6 - - 16 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 281 - - 269 - - 270 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 18 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - -21 - - 10 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4794 - - -3058 - - 285 - - -949 - - -12401 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11359 - - 14337 - - 18970 - - 19209 - - 16687 sfcLCL ODpotential -8715 - - -6811 - - -754 - - -3362 - - -16976 ODpotential blCL 15279 - - 18090 - - 20008 - - 21621 - - 21262 blCL maxRH 38 - - 41 - - 63 - - 56 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 100 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 80.8 - - 90.8 - - 100.2 - - 98.9 - - 88.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.1 - - 42.7 - - 30.4 - - 28.2 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.4 - - 91.2 - - 98.4 - - 98.1 - - 89.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.1 - - 42.5 - - 30.3 - - 28.1 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 150 - - 454 - - 517 - - 245 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1736 - - 6451 - - 14426 - - 13431 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99137 29 093 33 112 24 110 25 113 24 092 99137 92373 21 094 26 110 22 092 24 111 23 103 92373 87003 16 098 19 102 18 095 20 098 23 101 87003 82481 14 099 17 092 13 109 17 085 22 092 82481 78560 16 098 18 089 16 116 15 087 21 085 78560 75093 18 095 17 084 19 109 16 098 19 083 75093 71953 20 090 17 086 19 100 18 101 17 078 71953 69063 18 088 16 094 17 091 18 101 12 069 69063 66392 17 081 16 100 15 084 15 095 10 064 66392 63815 16 084 16 099 12 086 11 084 11 067 63815 61135 10 086 12 100 10 083 7 073 8 051 61135 58372 7 064 6 098 6 100 5 068 3 035 58372 55764 6 009 3 064 2 062 3 343 3 232 55764 53437 14 331 11 330 8 320 8 311 4 263 53437 51352 20 317 22 318 20 310 18 305 14 293 51352 49454 24 311 28 310 28 303 27 303 24 299 49454 47705 28 310 32 307 34 300 33 303 30 299 47705 46075 32 309 36 304 37 300 36 304 33 301 46075 44545 34 307 37 304 37 301 38 304 35 302 44545 43101 35 307 37 306 37 302 38 306 36 304 43101 41733 35 308 35 309 36 303 37 307 35 306 41733 40406 34 309 34 311 35 304 36 308 34 307 40406 39051 34 310 33 312 34 304 35 308 34 307 39051 37642 33 311 34 313 33 305 34 308 34 307 37642 36181 33 312 33 312 31 306 33 308 33 307 36181 34653 33 314 32 311 29 307 30 307 31 307 34653 33045 34 314 31 310 28 307 27 305 28 305 33045 31360 34 313 30 309 27 306 26 301 24 302 31360 29597 33 312 28 307 24 304 25 299 21 299 29597 27756 29 311 24 305 20 299 22 298 19 298 27756 25836 25 313 20 307 16 292 18 296 17 294 25836 23828 17 319 14 310 12 291 14 290 17 285 23828 21729 10 334 9 303 10 275 9 267 15 264 21729 19588 7 348 5 279 12*253 9*236 13 238 19588 17525 8 337 4 268 13*257 10*236 12 223 17525 15646 10 321 6 291 13 261 10 248 12 224 15646 13971 11 313 9 299 13 264 13 266 12 243 13971 12478 11 308 14*302 12 267 14 271 14 264 12478 11149 10 301 17*299 12 270 14 273 17 273 11149 9966 9 287 16 297 12 271 14 275 19 276 9966 8917 7 252 12 292 12 273 15 276 20 276 8917 7992 9 209 6 279 12 275 15 277 21 276 7992 7173 14*189 4 240 12 276 15 278 21 276 7173 6441 14*183 3 224 11 276 15 278 22 276 6441 5794 11 181 3 214 11 278 15 279 22 277 5794 5255 6 178 3 208 11 278 15 279 21 277 5255 4841 4 177 3 204 11 278 15 279 20 278 4841 4556 4 176 3 199 11 277 15 279 16 280 4556 4384 4 177 3 200 10 278 14 279 13*282 4384 4285 4 178 3 198 10 278 12 279 6*286 4285 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography