DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.5 - - 94.1 - - 93.0 - - 87.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 454 - - 132 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8310 - - 13377 - - 12462 - - 4502 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11127 - - 15280 - - 13552 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13138 - - 18205 - - 17290 - - 9330 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3164 - - 1587 - - 3295 - - 9895 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 653 - - 760 - - 492 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 24 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 253 - - 250 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -17 - - -34 - - 43 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 355 - - 3069 - - 2326 - - -4241 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12784 - - 15137 - - 14965 - - 13572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1038 - - 1958 - - 1035 - - -6400 ODpotential blCL - - - 14176 - - 16247 - - 16255 - - 15730 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 96 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 310 - - 300 - - 270 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.5 - - 94.1 - - 93.0 - - 87.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 42.2 - - 42.1 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.8 - - 92.3 - - 92.8 - - 90.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 42.1 - - 42.0 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 454 - - 132 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8310 - - 13377 - - 12462 - - 4502 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 83 - - 96 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98956 37 104 34 103 33 107 26 108 98956 91506 33 104 32 103 27 099 30 095 91506 85773 31 100 30 113 26 100 30 090 85773 81022 25 100 30 107 24 107 28 090 81022 76917 23 106 26 102 25 104 24 096 76917 73287 21 102 21 109 23 093 23 098 73287 70018 19 107 16 102 20 097 19 096 70018 67026 17 114 11 106 15 090 17 100 67026 64269 19 123 10 119 11 085 12 092 64269 61608 12 116 9 124 7 109 10 081 61608 58838 11 119 8 120 9 119 9 113 58838 55990 11 114 10 136 8 135 6 118 55990 53301 6 161 10 149 11 167 4 169 53301 50899 9 201 10 188 12 195 8 193 50899 48751 22 192 19 198 20 214 15 219 48751 46796 31 183 28 181 30 187 26 210 46796 44993 28 190 31 177 30 178 31 194 44993 43314 32 198 31 190 27 191 33 190 43314 41736 38 204 34 204 33 202 32 195 41736 40246 41 204 40 206 37 204 35 203 40246 38842 37 202 40 203 37 205 38 203 38842 37490 37 211 35 207 38 207 36 203 37490 36128 37 216 34 211 33 211 33 205 36128 34727 35 212 34 210 30 212 31 206 34727 33292 31 202 34 201 33 201 30 203 33292 31810 32 193 35 193 38 199 33 204 31810 30270 35 190 39 191 42 204 37 214 30270 28676 39 190 38 195 40 211 35 215 28676 27033 39 194 36 198 35 214 30 215 27033 25346 34 203 34 200 33 210 27 215 25346 23618 20 208 26 207 31 210 26 216 23618 21843 12 214 14 200 20 208 21 212 21843 20017 14 219 11*197 7 209 5 166 20017 18169 16 216 8*233 5*217 6 082 18169 16388 12 210 8 259 4*237 5 083 16388 14760 8 191 7 264 4 247 1 052 14760 13300 4*228 7 267 4 248 2 282 13300 11989 5*277 7 266 5 251 5 273 11989 10808 5 281 6 264 5 253 6 269 10808 9745 4 275 6 260 6 254 7*266 9745 8790 3 250 5 254 6 253 8*263 8790 7936 3 230 5 244 7 253 9 261 7936 7171 4 217 4 238 7 252 10 259 7171 6477 4 211 4 230 7 251 10 257 6477 5856 4 206 4 221 7 251 11 255 5856 5332 5 204 4 216 7 250 11 253 5332 4926 5 203 4 212 7 249 10 249 4926 4645 5 202 4 210 7 250 8 244 4645 4474 5 202 4 210 7 249 5 237 4474 4375 5 201 4 208 6 249 4 232 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography