DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 67.0 - - 75.8 - - 77.6 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 220 - - 267 - - 25 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2521 - - 5234 - - 6674 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 6296 - - 8428 - - 6849 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 7349 - - 10062 - - 11502 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1612 - - 1052 - - 1458 - - 2283 - - 5397 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 344 - - 469 - - 238 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 041 - - 293 - - 293 - - 297 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -5 - - -7 - - 7 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3898 - - -3929 - - -3815 - - -2870 - - -7409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8273 - - 11279 - - 13877 - - 14373 - - 11785 sfcLCL ODpotential -13120 - - -10374 - - -8448 - - -6964 - - -13747 ODpotential blCL 17494 - - 17723 - - 18510 - - 18466 - - 18122 blCL maxRH 65 - - 53 - - 65 - - 56 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 67.0 - - 75.8 - - 77.6 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.2 - - 32.9 - - 30.0 - - 29.5 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 66.6 - - 75.1 - - 78.4 - - 72.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.0 - - 32.4 - - 29.3 - - 29.1 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 220 - - 267 - - 25 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2521 - - 5234 - - 6674 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96449 6 099 5 049 11 123 6 055 4 037 96449 89310 3 051 7 096 2 358 4 050 7 051 89310 83783 4 348 6 076 6 310 4 056 9 033 83783 79165 4 015 2 119 5 293 7 030 8 353 79165 75187 17 339 7 334 1 354 7 311 14 321 75187 71688 22 323 11 348 8 023 7 289 22 307 71688 68560 17 335 27 331 23 333 17 329 34 319 68560 65725 28 328 32 323 30 323 26 327 30 325 65725 63113 32 329 34 326 30 326 25 330 30 329 63113 60577 31 326 31 317 29 332 27 345 37 334 60577 57915 22 294 34 313 41 330 41 333 38 324 57915 55131 35 280 47 305 39 311 36 313 45 322 55131 52458 41 284 53 296 52 298 56 309 54 311 52458 50051 56 306 58 296 59 294 65 300 64 307 50051 47896 64 299 61 298 63 296 70 298 74 305 47896 45945 71 296 65 298 67 295 73 291 79 297 45945 44168 72 297 66 298 65 293 68 288 75 291 44168 42528 72 303 66 302 63 298 62 294 68 292 42528 40995 73 306 67 308 63 306 59 299 64 295 40995 39551 74 305 68 311 61 307 57 300 63 297 39551 38189 73 303 66 309 58 304 57 299 61 297 38189 36876 71 303 62 306 55 302 57 299 60 295 36876 35550 66 304 57 304 55 300 56 298 58 294 35550 34183 61 304 55 301 56 298 56 298 56 295 34183 32780 57 303 54 297 55 297 55 298 53 295 32780 31328 55 302 52 294 54 296 55 300 51 295 31328 29819 53 301 50 291 55 296 55 300 52 296 29819 28255 52 299 50 289 56 297 57 301 55 298 28255 26639 52 299 50 289 57 298 58 301 58 300 26639 24976 54 299 51 290 57 298 58 302 59 302 24976 23268 56 299 53 292 57 299 56 303 58 304 23268 21509 56 300 54 295 55 299 55 305 56 308 21509 19693 56 302 54 298 54 299 55 308 56 312 19693 17854 54 305 54 302 54 301 55 311 55 317 17854 16086 48 307 50 306 51 304 50 313 52 321 16086 14477 38 308 40 306 43 306 41 313 44 323 14477 13041 34 306 30 304 36 308 31 310 33 322 13041 11757 35 302 25 300 29 306 21*305 24 319 11757 10605 36 298 24 299 22*303 15*300 17 314 10605 9572 34 295 25 301 15*299 14 299 11 304 9572 8646 32 293 23 303 13 296 13 298 9 303 8646 7819 26 292 18*305 12 296 13 298 9 312 7819 7079 17 289 10*308 11 294 12 297 9 322 7079 6406 8 282 5 304 10 292 11 296 9 333 6406 5805 3 268 3 288 9 289 11 296 9 341 5805 5299 1 287 3 278 8 287 10 295 9 344 5299 4906 1 024 2 268 8 285 10 294 8 345 4906 4635 3 036 2 260 7 283 9 294 7 346 4635 4469 4*046 2 257 7 283 8 293 6*344 4469 4374 4*041 2 253 6 282 7 293 5*348 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography