DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 56.3 - - 53.0 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 20 - - -18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1534 - - 3166 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6362 - - 7994 - - 4374 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2293 - - 2203 - - 5099 - - 3283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 200 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 191 - - 173 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 29 - - 26 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1989 - - 2769 - - -183 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4373 - - 5225 - - 4558 - - 4373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 656 - - 623 - - -2361 - - -1529 ODpotential blCL - - - 5706 - - 7371 - - 6735 - - 5903 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 88 - - 87 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 130 - - 110 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 56.3 - - 53.0 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.3 - - 48.4 - - 47.9 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 57.3 - - 55.6 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 47.2 - - 46.7 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 20 - - -18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1534 - - 3166 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 51 - - 46 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96027 32 291 30 293 27 287 30 285 96027 88996 16 302 19 296 24 304 23 298 88996 83571 20 303 20 310 19 301 25 294 83571 79070 15 309 13 302 12 329 16 310 79070 75171 15 305 16 299 16 344 20 318 75171 71712 23 284 26 281 24 298 24 303 71712 68562 20 303 20 292 23 304 25 292 68562 65640 27 262 26 261 23 269 26 272 65640 62919 32 247 33 257 31 260 31 256 62919 60293 38 264 36 247 38 259 34 247 60293 57552 53 252 45 247 43 247 38 244 57552 54689 63 244 54 245 55 242 41 246 54689 51931 71 236 63 241 61 240 51 253 51931 49452 74 236 66 240 71 244 73 248 49452 47254 77 239 75 240 82 246 82 241 47254 45270 83 240 86 240 87 245 81 239 45270 43452 87 240 92 239 90 244 84 245 43452 41782 88 238 95 238 96 242 94 247 41782 40245 87 236 98 237 103 236 105 246 40245 38818 85 237 98 237 105 236 110 243 38818 37478 84 239 94 237 104 238 107 237 37478 36187 84 241 90 238 100 237 110 236 36187 34880 85 242 89 238 99 237 111 241 34880 33531 85 242 89 239 98 238 109 244 33531 32149 83 240 90 241 97 240 102 245 32149 30721 83 240 90 242 95 242 95 241 30721 29237 83 240 90 241 91 244 93 236 29237 27698 83 238 88 239 87 244 91 236 27698 26107 80 236 85 237 84 243 89 241 26107 24467 77 235 80 236 82 239 83 244 24467 22785 73 236 74 238 80 236 78 242 22785 21056 70 238 70 241 74 238 74 241 21056 19277 67 240 67 243 63 243 68 243 19277 17482 62 241 61 243 53 243 62 246 17482 15762 54 240 54 242 50 239 57 244 15762 14195 46 238 48 239 47 235 53 236 14195 12795 40 235 42 235 43 233 48 230 12795 11543 37 232 34 231 37 231 42 226 11543 10421 34 228 27 229 29 227 37 222 10421 9416 29 223 21 225 22 221 32 215 9416 8515 24 213 18*219 17 214 27 206 8515 7712 20 202 17*210 15 206 23 196 7712 6994 18*196 16 201 15 199 21 188 6994 6343 16*192 15 192 15 194 19 184 6343 5761 14 184 15 186 15 191 17 182 5761 5270 12 174 14 183 15 188 14 179 5270 4889 10 165 14 180 14 183 11 171 4889 4626 9 162 13 178 12 177 9 160 4626 4465 8 161 12 177 10*172 7*149 4465 4373 7 161 10 177 6*168 2*126 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography