DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1603z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.1 - - 81.7 - - 85.8 - - 78.3 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 241 - - 316 - - -16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 7280 - - 9789 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 9960 - - 12121 - - 4359 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 5020 - - 12108 - - 14617 - - 4376 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1871 - - 2460 - - 1706 - - 11321 - - 8833 Hgt.Variab. W* 53 - - 502 - - 607 - - 20 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 109 - - 225 - - 241 - - 237 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 18 - - 42 - - 10 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6632 - - -515 - - 2283 - - -2873 - - -3310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11653 - - 12624 - - 12334 - - 7249 - - 7687 sfcLCL ODpotential -11270 - - -1206 - - 1823 - - -6133 - - -6585 ODpotential blCL 16290 - - 13314 - - 12794 - - 10509 - - 10961 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 90 - - 40 - - 390 - - 1140 - - 930 CAPE Temp@2m 72.1 - - 81.7 - - 85.8 - - 78.3 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 41.2 - - 46.4 - - 61.0 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.3 - - 81.2 - - 84.9 - - 82.2 - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 41.2 - - 46.4 - - 52.8 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 241 - - 316 - - -16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 7280 - - 9789 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 97 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 12 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98240 7 106 11 102 11 144 4 113 8 133 98240 90844 2 120 8 106 12 160 4 205 4 124 90844 85126 3 023 5 148 5 191 7 195 1 057 85126 80380 5 349 4 149 2 220 3 228 2 319 80380 76301 4 300 5 347 1 336 2 353 3 354 76301 72712 3 240 7 313 6 359 2 309 4 304 72712 69484 2 311 7 303 8 359 3 040 1 158 69484 66538 3 356 9 291 11 298 10 345 3 330 66538 63825 4 029 5 229 9 256 10 307 6 344 63825 61205 8 320 6 286 12 265 15 286 14 308 61205 58480 5 288 9 237 16 234 18 263 19 275 58480 55654 18 291 11 260 19 255 20 255 23 260 55654 52956 32 275 26 265 28 253 30 258 33 265 52956 50526 40 271 37 264 37 253 41 259 44 263 50526 48345 48 271 46 268 47 256 50 257 54 263 48345 46361 58 270 59 268 59 257 60 259 62 263 46361 44537 69 267 70 265 69 258 70 259 68 262 44537 42845 74 266 74 264 73 257 75 258 69 262 42845 41266 74 266 75 264 71 258 72 259 69 264 41266 39787 71 266 74 263 70 260 67 261 70 265 39787 38398 66 266 71 261 68 262 65 263 68 265 38398 37066 59 268 64 260 64 263 64 262 65 265 37066 35726 53 270 55 262 56 265 60 262 59 263 35726 34355 47 273 49 263 51 263 57 267 52 263 34355 32954 43 274 45 264 48 263 54 271 49 267 32954 31508 40 275 43 265 44 264 49 273 49 270 31508 30004 37 275 40 266 40 264 43 272 46 271 30004 28443 34 276 35 268 36 264 39 268 39 272 28443 26828 34 276 32 270 32 265 34 264 35 269 26828 25161 35 273 33 271 31 267 32 261 33 265 25161 23445 37 270 36 271 33 267 33 263 32 264 23445 21676 38 273 35 272 33 269 33 267 30 268 21676 19849 30 275 28 272 29 274 22 272 26 278 19849 17997 21 272 17 269 22 271 18 271 20 286 17997 16220 21 258 20 257 19*262 11 258 11 271 16220 14608 24 246 21 239 14*260 10 256 6 240 14608 13170 22 233 17*225 10 249 10 253 5 249 13170 11878 19 226 14*238 9 245 12 250 4 250 11878 10715 15 230 12 245 10 241 13 248 6 255 10715 9667 13 234 11 242 10 239 13 247 8 254 9667 8726 10 233 10 230 11 238 12 245 9 254 8726 7884 8 224 9 214 12 238 12 244 11 254 7884 7130 7 207 9 209 12 237 11 244 11 253 7130 6446 7 188 8 206 13 237 11 244 10 249 6446 5834 7 175 8 205 13 237 10 242 7 239 5834 5318 7*158 8 204 13 236 10 241 5 215 5318 4918 6*132 8 204 13 236 9 239 3 171 4918 4641 6 107 8 204 13 236 8 239 3 132 4641 4472 5 097 8 203 12 235 7*236 3*101 4472 4375 4 095 7 204 11 235 5*237 2*085 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography