DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 81.5 - - 82.1 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 454 - - 480 - - 173 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7516 - - 11491 - - 13056 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10474 - - 13758 - - 14295 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12344 - - 16319 - - 17884 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2036 - - 1904 - - 1609 - - 11902 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 628 - - 738 - - 549 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 21 - - 23 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 035 - - 359 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 14 - - 22 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -12 - - 37 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6045 - - -3819 - - -1814 - - -13433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18390 - - 20139 - - 19699 - - 17809 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9858 - - -7551 - - -4316 - - -17945 ODpotential blCL - - - 22202 - - 23870 - - 22200 - - 22320 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 41 - - 43 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 81.5 - - 82.1 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.0 - - 6.1 - - 8.9 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 79.6 - - 81.6 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.8 - - 5.8 - - 8.7 - - 8.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 454 - - 480 - - 173 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7516 - - 11491 - - 13056 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97984 10 292 20 271 30 298 20 308 97984 90572 21 269 24 279 22 290 15 292 90572 84840 19 272 18 277 14 273 14 264 84840 80066 17 265 18 270 19 280 20 285 80066 75972 15 261 17 256 20 274 23 287 75972 72382 15 270 16 266 18 273 17 278 72382 69135 17 268 22 274 24 283 19 291 69135 66148 21 266 24 267 26 273 24 287 66148 63378 24 272 25 267 26 265 28 276 63378 60692 26 273 27 273 27 267 28 270 60692 57893 30 271 26 269 26 270 28 268 57893 54994 31 264 27 272 26 279 26 277 54994 52234 26 266 26 275 27 288 25 290 52234 49768 13 269 17 274 21 287 23 290 49768 47572 11 311 9 305 11 280 19 275 47572 45577 15 321 14 320 8 311 11 297 45577 43751 13 327 17 321 16 326 16 340 43751 42079 10 342 14 329 16 003 21 027 42079 40540 6 013 13 032 27 033 36 039 40540 39105 12 059 31 055 35 037 43 042 39105 37757 29 051 42 055 39 041 45 041 37757 36461 43 049 47 053 41 041 44 037 36461 35155 44 046 45 053 38 040 42 035 35155 33812 41 042 40 050 37 040 40 036 33812 32435 36 040 39 045 38 039 39 037 32435 31011 33 037 38 043 37 042 38 039 31011 29531 33 035 37 044 34 046 35 043 29531 27998 32 038 35 042 32 045 32 046 27998 26412 30 045 31 044 31 041 28 040 26412 24779 28 050 28 049 28 044 27 033 24779 23104 27 052 27 055 25 053 23 033 23104 21379 24 052 26 056 25 057 19 038 21379 19597 21 050 24 051 23*048 18 033 19597 17792 19 053 21*045 17*026 13 020 17792 16056 16 057 14*036 13 020 4 342 16056 14473 13 058 10 027 10 020 2 337 14473 13053 10*056 10 027 7 016 2 352 13053 11778 8*054 9 028 5 008 2 032 11778 10629 8 055 7 031 3 346 3 063 10629 9595 7 056 6 035 2 308 4 073 9595 8666 7 057 5 040 3 273 6 077 8666 7835 7 059 4 045 4 257 8 078 7835 7092 7 058 3 051 4 251 10 076 7092 6417 7 060 3 058 5 246 12 077 6417 5813 6 061 2 071 5 243 13 077 5813 5304 6 061 2 083 6 241 13 077 5304 4909 5 062 2 093 6 239 11 077 4909 4636 5 062 2 102 6 239 9 075 4636 4470 5 063 2 103 6 238 7*071 4470 4374 4 063 1 112 5 237 5*066 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography