DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.4 - - 59.6 - - 63.4 - - 60.2 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 43 - - 18 - - -4 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 931 - - 1593 - - 231 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 5759 - - 6421 - - 5059 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 719 - - 2336 - - 2539 - - 3190 - - 1412 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 163 - - 169 - - 28 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 23 - - 44 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 184 - - 173 - - 066 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -8 - - -11 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1373 - - -844 - - -1738 - - -650 - - -2715 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5748 - - 6604 - - 8159 - - 5709 - - 7089 sfcLCL ODpotential -9404 - - -6631 - - -8455 - - -7182 - - -9323 ODpotential blCL 13778 - - 12390 - - 14876 - - 12241 - - 13697 blCL maxRH 53 - - 57 - - 62 - - 67 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 430 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.4 - - 59.6 - - 63.4 - - 60.2 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.7 - - 45.8 - - 42.8 - - 50.2 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 60.3 - - 64.3 - - 63.1 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.5 - - 44.6 - - 41.6 - - 48.8 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 43 - - 18 - - -4 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 931 - - 1593 - - 231 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97135 18 248 29 243 38 271 29 284 24 269 97135 89879 12 276 11 262 21 260 21 267 16 288 89879 84310 14 257 10 298 8 245 11 244 14 278 84310 79692 7 240 10 254 10 249 4 244 8 267 79692 75714 4 287 6 213 10 240 7 265 4 270 75714 72199 6 267 4 221 7 214 12 256 11 287 72199 69023 7 255 7 253 5 239 11 260 10 261 69023 66091 7 245 10 258 9 272 8 275 7 267 66091 63344 12 258 13 234 16 252 14 260 12 278 63344 60669 14 238 13 207 17 225 18 239 17 260 60669 57874 17 257 12 223 12 223 17 228 18 244 57874 54964 21 249 19 232 17 247 16 250 17 246 54964 52179 24 248 22 235 23 254 20 257 21 263 52179 49680 28 246 21 244 24 252 28 259 29 266 49680 47457 30 239 23 250 25 259 29 258 30 274 47457 45455 27 226 26 249 31 264 29 270 29 279 45455 43641 23 244 23 258 27 271 27 278 26 288 43641 41982 24 256 22 276 31 278 29 300 28 293 41982 40445 24 254 26 275 32 275 32 304 24 293 40445 39005 26 252 24 258 31 264 31 297 23 310 39005 37654 26 250 25 251 31 246 33 288 28 316 37654 36358 24 247 26 254 30 241 33 278 29 312 36358 35053 21 243 29 249 26 249 28 274 25 313 35053 33713 21 250 29 241 27 257 24 268 21 319 33713 32342 24 250 28 244 27 256 23 260 20 312 32342 30927 21 250 25 246 28 252 24 259 20 302 30927 29458 19 256 22 245 25 254 23 259 18 289 29458 27937 17 258 20 247 22 254 24 252 18 265 27937 26366 16 252 19 249 19 252 23 248 19 252 26366 24745 15 248 17 254 16 249 21 250 18 257 24745 23074 14 248 15 258 13 249 20 255 17 267 23074 21346 11 262 11 262 11 256 17 259 17 266 21346 19554 10 288 8 283 11 262 15 260 16 261 19554 17733 9 295 7 277 9 260 14 263 16 264 17733 15979 5 310 7 255 9 258 13 264 15 271 15979 14382 4 345 5 239 8 258 10 263 13 272 14382 12955 4 000 3 228 6 252 6 264 10 263 12955 11679 3 359 2 214 4 239 5 264 8 244 11679 10534 1 004 2 168 4 222 4 259 6 206 10534 9508 2 107 4 161 4 203 4 253 6 176 9508 8590 6 103 7 146 5 189 4 259 5 171 8590 7770 7 123 9 132 5 183 4 269 3 178 7770 7038 8 135 8 130 5*181 3 275 3 182 7038 6375 10 133 7 128 4*181 1 295 3 178 6375 5782 12 119 5*129 2 173 1 052 3 164 5782 5283 13 105 3*133 0 043 3*069 3 129 5283 4897 13 086 1 193 1 004 4*065 5 101 4897 4630 10 064 1 217 1 359 4 065 6 079 4630 4467 7*041 1 219 1 353 4 067 6*059 4467 4373 4*012 1 219 1 351 3 069 6*049 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography