DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.0 - - 70.7 - - 78.4 - - 77.5 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 197 - - 270 - - 35 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2513 - - 8296 - - 6474 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 6247 - - 10844 - - 7532 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 7341 - - 13124 - - 11302 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 374 - - 3138 - - 1562 - - 3189 - - 481 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 331 - - 549 - - 263 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 007 - - 353 - - 332 - - 355 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 3 - - 18 - - -24 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2608 - - -3711 - - 112 - - -3110 - - -6824 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6983 - - 11052 - - 13013 - - 14413 - - 11200 sfcLCL ODpotential -10116 - - -7099 - - -2942 - - -7523 - - -13674 ODpotential blCL 14490 - - 14440 - - 16066 - - 18825 - - 18049 blCL maxRH 69 - - 70 - - 64 - - 56 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.0 - - 70.7 - - 78.4 - - 77.5 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 37.5 - - 36.2 - - 29.2 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 70.4 - - 77.7 - - 78.2 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.8 - - 37.1 - - 35.6 - - 28.8 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 197 - - 270 - - 35 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2513 - - 8296 - - 6474 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96518 12 094 7 218 2 042 6 015 4 028 96518 89365 16 078 8 119 7 151 7 360 8 041 89365 83811 7 080 10 106 8 149 2 356 2 341 83811 79183 8 003 3 201 3 169 7 269 7 325 79183 75213 4 313 7 357 7 115 9 299 20 336 75213 71749 17 335 24 012 6 031 9 302 15 320 71749 68647 35 330 40 334 29 353 20 332 17 339 68647 65809 44 333 41 327 42 329 42 331 39 343 65809 63202 50 323 44 327 49 323 47 326 48 326 63202 60697 44 314 46 317 47 317 48 322 47 310 60697 58067 41 321 39 318 47 320 46 326 43 311 58067 55291 48 321 46 323 56 319 53 328 49 320 55291 52604 64 307 62 309 65 306 61 312 59 309 52604 50175 70 304 67 300 69 300 69 300 70 302 50175 48008 77 308 72 300 70 296 72 298 74 301 48008 46049 83 304 76 299 71 295 74 299 75 303 46049 44250 83 297 79 297 74 294 76 300 75 304 44250 42588 78 293 78 294 73 294 75 299 73 303 42588 41041 74 294 74 293 70 296 70 299 68 304 41041 39595 71 296 71 294 68 298 65 300 64 306 39595 38235 70 297 70 298 67 300 61 303 61 305 38235 36924 69 298 68 301 65 302 60 307 60 303 36924 35598 68 299 64 302 63 304 60 309 57 301 35598 34232 67 300 61 303 60 304 58 308 54 302 34232 32831 67 301 60 303 56 302 56 306 51 303 32831 31381 67 301 60 303 56 301 55 305 50 304 31381 29873 65 302 59 302 57 302 54 306 51 306 29873 28310 63 303 58 303 56 304 54 311 52 311 28310 26698 62 303 58 306 55 308 52 316 51 318 26698 25036 60 304 58 309 55 313 48 321 49 322 25036 23326 60 305 59 310 54 318 44 323 44 319 23326 21561 60 308 56 312 51 320 41 323 40 318 21561 19737 59 310 47 313 45 320 37 327 37 323 19737 17888 51 313 36 316 37 321 30 331 32 327 17888 16112 40 316 28 318 29 324 25 333 26 326 16112 14498 30 318 21 318 22*328 19 337 19 326 14498 13060 23 317 16 319 15*337 14 348 14 330 13060 11776 19 317 13 329 11 343 11*001 10 331 11776 10622 16 324 11 345 11 343 11*005 6 337 10622 9585 14 337 11 354 10 340 12 004 5 357 9585 8654 12 346 11 003 9 336 12 001 6 021 8654 7824 10 347 11*011 8 330 13 357 9 030 7824 7080 9 344 9*014 7 323 13 354 12 029 7080 6407 8 344 6 009 6 313 13 351 15 025 6407 5805 7 351 4 352 5 306 13 349 16 022 5805 5298 8 000 2 324 5 297 13 348 16 020 5298 4905 9 008 2 293 5 290 12 346 15 018 4905 4634 8 012 2 270 5 288 12 345 13 015 4634 4468 8*010 2 264 5 285 11 344 10*008 4468 4374 6*007 2 257 4 282 9 343 6*002 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography