DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/16 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.0 - - 71.8 - - 77.3 - - 75.0 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 84 - - 469 - - 514 - - 191 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2537 - - 5581 - - 8488 - - 8238 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5748 - - 8928 - - 11322 - - 10570 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 7365 - - 10409 - - 13316 - - 13066 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1647 - - 1559 - - 1974 - - 2278 - - 7908 Hgt.Variab. W* 249 - - 575 - - 682 - - 486 - - 4 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 14 - - 17 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 163 - - 199 - - 210 - - 215 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 5 - - 15 - - 11 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 16 - - 30 - - 37 - - 44 - - 21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1457 - - -4773 - - -5196 - - -5003 - - -10295 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8823 - - 15183 - - 18513 - - 18069 - - 14669 sfcLCL ODpotential -6968 - - -8830 - - -9477 - - -9555 - - -15107 ODpotential blCL 14333 - - 19239 - - 22793 - - 22621 - - 19481 blCL maxRH 60 - - 58 - - 59 - - 53 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.0 - - 71.8 - - 77.3 - - 75.0 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.4 - - 19.9 - - 9.8 - - 9.6 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.3 - - 70.3 - - 75.6 - - 74.8 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.3 - - 19.5 - - 9.4 - - 9.3 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 84 - - 469 - - 514 - - 191 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2537 - - 5581 - - 8488 - - 8238 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97260 4 078 9 258 9 280 8 283 1 260 97260 89887 4 231 4 243 2 186 9 177 7 256 89887 84225 3 277 7 193 1 205 3 154 6 318 84225 79521 7 318 2 174 10 191 8 271 10 280 79521 75490 10 293 3 329 10 188 7 240 6 242 75490 71939 3 230 5 236 10 241 9 284 6 280 71939 68742 7 318 4 244 7 224 11 245 9 262 68742 65818 20 272 9 319 6 313 2 227 4 256 65818 63095 29 244 19 258 18 278 8 273 11 247 63095 60458 29 240 33 235 37 241 26 257 25 273 60458 57695 33 242 37 239 42 235 38 244 38 256 57695 54811 42 243 40 241 42 241 43 243 46 246 54811 52053 48 237 48 248 48 247 52 245 55 244 52053 49564 50 241 61 250 57 249 61 248 61 244 49564 47330 63 242 71 246 69 250 69 249 65 247 47330 45303 73 238 78 242 77 248 77 249 74 249 45303 43453 75 241 78 243 78 250 83 248 84 248 43453 41763 81 246 85 250 86 256 86 251 90 247 41763 40210 90 243 98 246 93 250 92 252 92 248 40210 38768 88 240 96 243 93 245 95 248 95 248 38768 37420 83 240 89 245 91 246 92 245 95 247 37420 36130 81 242 89 246 89 247 89 244 93 246 36130 34831 80 244 87 245 86 246 86 244 90 245 34831 33496 78 242 85 245 83 247 82 244 87 243 33496 32128 76 240 82 244 82 246 78 244 84 241 32128 30714 74 239 79 244 80 244 76 242 81 240 30714 29246 72 236 77 242 77 243 75 240 79 239 29246 27725 70 234 74 240 75 242 74 239 76 240 27725 26152 68 235 72 238 73 241 71 240 70 241 26152 24530 63 238 69 237 69 240 67 241 64 241 24530 22864 56 240 60 238 63 240 61 240 59 240 22864 21149 48 241 49 236 55 237 55 238 55 236 21149 19379 42 240 42 231 48 230 49 233 53 232 19379 17585 35 235 40 226 45 223 45 229 50 228 17585 15861 30 228 39 223 42 222 42 230 45 226 15861 14292 30 225 36 221 36*224 34*231 38 225 14292 12893 30 226 31 222 24*226 23*229 30 220 12893 11640 27 225 24 225 18 222 18 221 23 211 11640 10513 23 208 18*221 17 216 18 219 20 205 10513 9500 23 181 15*206 16 213 18 218 19 203 9500 8589 24 170 14 202 16 209 18 215 18 204 8589 7775 21*170 14 200 16 205 19 213 18 206 7775 7046 18*172 14 199 16 203 19 211 18 206 7046 6383 15 172 14 197 16 201 19 209 18 207 6383 5790 12 168 14 195 16 198 19 208 18 207 5790 5289 10 157 13 195 16 197 19 207 17 206 5289 4901 9 148 13 194 16 196 19 206 14 204 4901 4632 8 142 12 194 15 196 18 205 12 198 4632 4468 7 143 12 193 15 196 17 205 9*192 4468 4373 6 142 11 194 13 196 14 205 5*183 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography