DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 76.8 - - 76.3 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 481 - - 177 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8635 - - 11624 - - 11824 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11395 - - 13871 - - 13346 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13463 - - 16452 - - 16652 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1881 - - 1314 - - 2029 - - 12344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 663 - - 742 - - 537 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 24 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 264 - - 309 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -24 - - -26 - - -52 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2961 - - -1346 - - -1269 - - -10615 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16424 - - 17799 - - 17921 - - 14991 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8942 - - -6208 - - -3901 - - -13141 ODpotential blCL - - - 22405 - - 22660 - - 20553 - - 17516 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 43 - - 48 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 76.8 - - 76.3 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.7 - - 12.3 - - 11.3 - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 75.1 - - 75.8 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.2 - - 12.0 - - 11.1 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 481 - - 177 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8635 - - 11624 - - 11824 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97456 17 279 16 242 23 260 24 300 97456 90041 17 272 9 281 13 286 12 293 90041 84395 6 273 9 321 13 344 5 312 84395 79728 3 017 8 319 12 335 9 342 79728 75720 8 004 8 332 9 308 12 324 75720 72183 6 348 7 316 10 290 14 300 72183 68981 10 344 7 291 12 280 17 289 68981 66030 15 312 13 300 15 294 20 297 66030 63285 19 282 18 279 22 290 24 292 63285 60617 25 281 22 279 27 282 27 282 60617 57824 30 273 28 277 28 279 27 282 57824 54917 33 275 31 273 32 281 31 290 54917 52142 40 271 33 273 37 280 37 289 52142 49646 45 262 44 267 40 276 40 283 49646 47410 53 260 50 257 43 272 37 281 47410 45385 62 262 54 250 45 257 35 281 45385 43537 77 251 58 246 42 248 30 275 43537 41836 73 247 66 236 39 244 22 280 41836 40258 72 250 61 233 36 241 17 299 40258 38789 80 252 60 238 29 243 17 329 38789 37419 88 249 62 240 20 254 25 342 37419 36114 85 247 62 241 13 271 26 345 36114 34805 80 246 63 242 8 308 21 349 34805 33463 73 244 61 243 9 008 22 350 33463 32090 67 244 55 247 12 021 24 346 32090 30673 60 246 41 255 13 017 25 346 30673 29201 50 254 25 259 10 014 26 352 29201 27676 40 256 20 246 4 344 26 358 27676 26099 26 262 21 245 8 249 19 349 26099 24478 21 269 20 252 15 239 16 290 24478 22821 22 271 16 257 15 239 14 263 22821 21118 22 270 14 271 10 247 12 236 21118 19364 21 277 16 291 6 273 5 221 19364 17591 18 287 12*304 2*293 3 178 17591 15886 13 287 6*290 3*295 4 192 15886 14328 10*285 6 277 4 298 3 216 14328 12932 9*293 6 273 4 309 3 263 12932 11677 8 297 6 269 5 311 4 292 11677 10547 7 297 6 266 5 311 6 307 10547 9529 6 297 6 261 6 312 7 318 9529 8614 4 286 6 257 6 310 9 325 8614 7794 3 270 6 254 6 311 11 330 7794 7061 3 254 5 251 7 311 12 332 7061 6394 4 240 5 248 7 311 13 334 6394 5798 4 228 5 245 7 311 13 335 5798 5294 4 221 5 243 7 310 13 335 5294 4904 4 218 4 241 7 310 13 336 4904 4634 4 217 4 240 6 311 11 337 4634 4468 4 217 4 239 6 311 9*338 4468 4374 4 217 4 238 6 312 6*343 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography