DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.1 - - 88.2 - - 97.5 - - 97.7 - - 87.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 370 - - 430 - - 167 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 294 - - 3553 - - 13266 - - 13880 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 7249 - - 15158 - - 14919 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 5122 - - 8381 - - 18094 - - 18708 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1319 - - 2013 - - 1414 - - 1595 - - 13766 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 458 - - 746 - - 554 - - 4 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 23 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 295 - - 274 - - 298 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 13 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -6 - - -21 - - 9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1298 - - -2313 - - 3261 - - 3652 - - -8184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6420 - - 10695 - - 14833 - - 15057 - - 12561 sfcLCL ODpotential -7279 - - -4846 - - 1665 - - 2170 - - -10800 ODpotential blCL 12401 - - 13227 - - 16429 - - 16538 - - 15176 blCL maxRH 80 - - 75 - - 78 - - 94 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 760 - - 850 - - 430 - - 470 - - 410 CAPE Temp@2m 75.1 - - 88.2 - - 97.5 - - 97.7 - - 87.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.6 - - 56.1 - - 47.0 - - 46.3 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.0 - - 86.8 - - 95.9 - - 97.4 - - 92.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.6 - - 55.8 - - 46.7 - - 46.2 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 370 - - 430 - - 167 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 294 - - 3553 - - 13266 - - 13880 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 1 - - 14 - - 77 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98880 52 100 45 115 28 108 35 079 50 078 98880 91504 45 094 44 100 36 104 37 092 39 100 91504 85817 37 100 37 091 39 104 42 102 36 113 85817 81092 33 104 30 099 33 095 38 100 36 105 81092 77029 26 099 26 105 27 095 31 101 31 099 77029 73433 21 100 25 111 25 098 22 099 25 100 73433 70173 21 110 22 103 21 105 17 104 16 098 70173 67189 18 099 13 106 16 112 15 112 13 084 67189 64436 13 098 10 127 9 123 14 124 9 096 64436 61772 9 092 9 127 8 133 7 159 6 083 61772 59010 8 126 8 131 4 136 4 174 1 354 59010 56173 6 116 5 148 4 165 4 148 4 204 56173 53486 2 020 3 278 4 260 3 325 2 331 53486 51087 6 023 4 296 7 270 7 264 10 284 51087 48939 11 356 6 352 6 289 6 260 13 253 48939 46974 18 334 16 349 12 330 10 322 7 283 46974 45157 25 320 23 323 18 317 17 312 10 310 45157 43463 30 311 25 317 20 305 21 301 20 302 43463 41873 34 306 26 314 21 298 20 294 24 291 41873 40377 33 304 27 309 23 293 23 291 24 287 40377 38969 31 307 29 308 26 291 28 290 26 289 38969 37617 36 313 31 309 29 292 30 290 30 290 37617 36254 37 314 33 310 31 297 30 294 32 289 36254 34853 33 312 34 311 33 304 30 300 33 292 34853 33419 30 307 32 314 31 309 27 307 33 299 33419 31938 28 308 30 318 26 317 22 309 29 303 31938 30400 23 319 26 320 22 325 19 308 22 302 30400 28809 17 329 17 328 18 334 18 310 19 303 28809 27164 17 334 14 342 14 336 15 319 16 302 27164 25471 15 332 17 357 12 349 11 332 11 300 25471 23730 8 326 17 360 13 005 9 348 7 296 23730 21939 5 322 9 337 8 011 10 327 11 303 21939 20094 6 316 7 313 6 313 6*010 7 298 20094 18232 6 326 7 309 6*327 6*013 4 057 18232 16445 4 098 3 276 6*334 5 342 2 072 16445 14811 6 102 4 153 4 320 5 324 3 323 14811 13346 5 062 4 153 4 282 6 317 8 310 13346 12030 7 024 2 114 4 274 8 303 11 306 12030 10845 9 005 3 036 6 271 9 298 12 300 10845 9777 12 347 5 010 7 270 11 293 13 293 9777 8817 14 325 8*344 7 268 12 289 14 288 8817 7958 15 309 9*320 8 266 14 287 15 284 7958 7189 13 304 8 311 8 264 14 286 16 281 7189 6491 9 312 8 302 8 262 15 285 17 280 6491 5866 6 329 8 289 8 261 15 285 17 279 5866 5339 4*357 8 283 8 259 15 284 16 279 5339 4931 4*019 7 278 8 257 15 284 14 279 4931 4647 3 020 7 274 8 256 15 283 11 281 4647 4475 2 001 7 272 8 256 14 283 8*282 4475 4375 2 355 6 271 7 255 12 283 4*289 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography