DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 72.9 - - - - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 458 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5097 - - 7156 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8518 - - 10187 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9925 - - 11984 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1063 - - 1565 - - - - - 9212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 546 - - 620 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 122 - - - - - 035 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 4 - - - - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9020 - - -7039 - - - - - -13012 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18946 - - 19024 - - - - - 17388 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14602 - - -11322 - - - - - -18703 ODpotential blCL - - - 24527 - - 23306 - - - - - 23078 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 68 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 72.9 - - - - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.2 - - 3.3 - - - - - 4.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 71.3 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -3.0 - - 2.2 - - - - - 3.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 458 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5097 - - 7156 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97344 36 281 41 293 40 294 97344 90015 37 276 45 280 38 289 90015 84387 29 260 38 265 39 279 84387 79722 24 247 29 252 32 266 79722 75689 26 268 25 261 29 260 75689 72110 32 271 27 271 28 270 72110 68874 34 262 25 269 27 266 68874 65910 31 264 24 268 28 276 65910 63174 27 269 22 278 29 277 63174 60538 27 277 23 284 25 284 60538 57796 29 280 27 284 27 292 57796 54942 29 280 33 286 32 293 54942 52202 29 287 36 287 39 295 52202 49725 33 285 37 292 45 299 49725 47492 35 284 40 288 47 300 47492 45456 38 280 40 277 49 300 45456 43590 37 272 35 270 47 299 43590 41877 33 278 33 284 43 297 41877 40301 37 286 33 288 40 295 40301 38851 39 277 29 284 36 293 38851 37511 35 271 27 289 34 298 37511 36234 29 275 28 297 35 301 36234 34948 30 284 32 298 35 304 34948 33625 31 289 34 296 36 306 33625 32268 30 288 34 291 32 308 32268 30864 28 287 32 283 28 304 30864 29402 26 287 31 279 26 294 29402 27884 24 285 29 283 22 290 27884 26312 25 289 26 286 17 286 26312 24689 25 293 24 286 19 278 24689 23019 24 293 22 287 19 272 23019 21293 21 295 19 288 17 268 21293 19508 15 299 14 285 15 259 19508 17698 10 292 10 269 12 247 17698 15962 10 274 10 253 11 220 15962 14382 9 255 11 245 13 186 14382 12972 7 237 8*227 12 172 12972 11707 5 220 7*146 11 177 11707 10569 5*141 9 126 9 184 10569 9545 9*118 9 122 9 188 9545 8625 10 117 9 120 7 190 8625 7801 13 107 9 119 6 190 7801 7065 16 098 9 119 4 184 7065 6396 18 093 9 119 3 164 6396 5798 18 092 9 120 2 096 5798 5294 18 091 8 119 4 063 5294 4904 17 090 8 120 5 050 4904 4633 16 090 8 120 6 043 4633 4468 15 091 7 121 6*038 4468 4374 13 091 7 121 6*034 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography