DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 55.5 - - 54.5 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 41 - - -16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1303 - - 2688 - - 25 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6131 - - 7516 - - 4853 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1495 - - 2154 - - 5963 - - 3841 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 214 - - 14 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 173 - - 196 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 9 - - 24 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -407 - - 1163 - - -897 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6539 - - 6353 - - 5750 - - 4373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8620 - - -705 - - -2959 - - -2582 ODpotential blCL - - - 14751 - - 8221 - - 7812 - - 6956 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 97 - - 96 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 55.5 - - 54.5 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.6 - - 42.7 - - 44.4 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.7 - - 56.1 - - 57.4 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 41.5 - - 43.3 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 41 - - -16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1303 - - 2688 - - 25 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 88 - - 84 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96251 20 281 24 261 31 273 33 267 96251 89058 9 286 13 296 15 288 13 302 89058 83582 9 280 11 295 14 307 19 311 83582 79063 7 300 10 289 11 292 14 306 79063 75151 7 286 9 307 9 320 15 290 75151 71681 14 262 18 283 15 289 12 283 71681 68536 14 269 18 265 13 298 10 308 68536 65623 14 283 13 273 21 278 28 270 65623 62918 29 277 23 266 39 255 40 251 62918 60308 46 262 43 254 47 255 46 246 60308 57574 55 250 54 253 50 253 43 251 57574 54701 64 250 63 251 55 253 48 263 54701 51928 70 252 71 252 65 255 63 261 51928 49424 74 255 78 252 75 253 78 253 49424 47198 77 257 81 250 75 252 81 247 47198 45197 82 256 78 252 74 252 79 247 45197 43378 92 253 83 252 82 252 89 253 43378 41717 110 249 86 250 97 250 108 252 41717 40191 118 247 86 248 107 248 110 247 40191 38768 113 247 82 245 99 244 94 242 38768 37430 93 248 74 242 82 240 85 241 37430 36141 69 250 63 242 69 246 87 246 36141 34839 54 257 59 243 71 249 85 248 34839 33499 50 261 59 248 74 251 81 250 33499 32121 46 259 60 253 74 255 78 251 32121 30695 43 255 60 254 71 258 75 253 30695 29213 42 253 59 252 68 258 72 254 29213 27683 42 253 58 254 64 256 67 253 27683 26102 42 254 55 256 60 254 63 250 26102 24473 40 253 51 254 56 249 60 244 24473 22799 39 247 47 247 53 242 58 241 22799 21074 39 242 47 241 52 240 56 240 21074 19293 39 242 47 240 49 240 53 240 19293 17489 38 245 44 240 46 239 50 239 17489 15755 37 248 42 239 43 236 46 236 15755 14178 36 247 39 238 40 234 44 235 14178 12772 34 244 37 238 35 233 40 237 12772 11519 31 240 33 237 25 230 34 238 11519 10398 27 234 27 236 17 235 25 234 10398 9396 23 229 21 236 15 240 17 220 9396 8499 19 224 16 232 14 240 13 206 8499 7699 14 213 12*221 14 236 12 205 7699 6984 10 194 9*206 13 231 11 210 6984 6335 9*170 7 185 13 225 10 213 6335 5755 8*147 6 166 12 220 9 213 5755 5265 7 129 6 161 12 214 9 206 5265 4887 6 127 5 157 11*208 8 193 4887 4625 5 129 5 155 9*202 6 172 4625 4465 5 130 5 154 7 195 6*157 4465 4373 4 132 4 154 5 189 4*144 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography