DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.2 - - 64.5 - - 74.1 - - 74.5 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 207 - - 264 - - 21 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1880 - - 4947 - - 4795 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 5809 - - 8199 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 6708 - - 9775 - - 9623 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1331 - - 1109 - - 1294 - - 1960 - - 2725 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 305 - - 458 - - 203 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 029 - - 273 - - 297 - - 306 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 5 - - 5 - - -10 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5955 - - -6023 - - -5528 - - -4111 - - -7164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10330 - - 12732 - - 15303 - - 13734 - - 11540 sfcLCL ODpotential -16986 - - -14372 - - -12485 - - -9094 - - -15191 ODpotential blCL 21360 - - 21080 - - 22260 - - 18717 - - 19566 blCL maxRH 64 - - 83 - - 64 - - 66 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.2 - - 64.5 - - 74.1 - - 74.5 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.1 - - 24.3 - - 22.0 - - 29.4 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 64.2 - - 73.3 - - 75.3 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.8 - - 23.7 - - 21.2 - - 29.1 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 207 - - 264 - - 21 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1880 - - 4947 - - 4795 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96315 15 075 12 070 11 065 11 069 9 075 96315 89201 20 060 10 085 9 076 6 014 14 051 89201 83695 14 060 8 081 3 070 8 007 10 029 83695 79115 14 037 10 026 6 028 7 008 10 018 79115 75167 11 028 10 006 10 355 10 347 13 355 75167 71681 14 001 14 357 12 330 13 318 15 341 71681 68528 23 344 17 350 16 349 14 322 27 351 68528 65625 30 324 28 324 22 342 20 309 32 317 65625 62959 34 330 32 315 30 334 22 323 27 310 62959 60405 49 309 33 318 27 318 29 323 25 318 60405 57744 52 298 37 308 28 311 39 313 31 318 57744 54975 48 299 39 312 35 301 49 301 40 302 54975 52331 56 312 55 317 47 308 53 300 49 301 52331 49949 64 311 60 316 54 313 60 303 57 305 49949 47816 71 310 66 312 64 313 68 305 64 304 47816 45896 77 309 72 308 70 306 73 307 69 306 45896 44145 74 309 69 307 66 302 73 308 67 308 44145 42518 67 308 59 310 56 303 65 307 60 304 42518 40992 62 310 53 312 50 310 59 305 53 303 40992 39552 58 312 53 313 46 316 51 301 48 307 39552 38193 55 315 53 312 45 320 47 300 47 310 38193 36884 52 318 51 311 43 321 47 303 47 309 36884 35561 48 316 48 309 42 317 47 305 47 307 35561 34196 48 309 42 305 42 313 43 304 46 302 34196 32796 51 304 38 302 43 307 40 300 44 297 32796 31347 51 302 37 301 43 301 40 298 44 293 31347 29841 50 302 39 300 42 299 42 298 44 291 29841 28279 48 301 40 300 40 298 42 296 44 289 28279 26663 46 294 42 300 39 297 42 294 43 287 26663 24994 49 289 42 299 39 295 41 294 44 291 24994 23278 48 289 43 298 40 297 40 297 46 297 23278 21508 42 292 44 299 39 300 40 304 48 303 21508 19683 39 298 39 299 37 303 39 312 47 307 19683 17837 37 303 32 299 34 303 35 317 44 311 17837 16065 34 305 28 301 30 304 30 318 39 316 16065 14455 31 305 27 304 28 306 27 318 32 318 14455 13018 29 302 26 306 27 309 26 321 27 317 13018 11733 26 296 27 305 27 311 22 322 25 316 11733 10581 24 288 27 304 25*310 17*318 23 316 10581 9548 22 282 26 302 18*305 15*310 20 316 9548 8623 20 278 24 297 15 300 15 307 16 310 8623 7798 16 274 20 292 14 299 15 307 15 304 7798 7061 11 268 15*289 14 297 15 306 16 303 7061 6393 6 251 7*287 13 297 14 305 16 304 6393 5796 2 204 3 279 13 295 14 305 16 303 5796 5292 1 126 3 271 12 294 14 304 15 300 5292 4902 1 074 3 262 11 293 13 304 13 298 4902 4632 2 039 3 254 11 292 13 303 10 301 4632 4468 3*035 3 249 10 291 11 303 7*305 4468 4374 3*029 2 248 9 290 9 303 4*318 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography