DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 73.2 - - 70.6 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 501 - - 168 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5361 - - 8093 - - 8575 - - 4335 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8740 - - 10989 - - 10745 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10189 - - 12921 - - 13403 - - 9163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1858 - - 1700 - - 1687 - - 3198 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 561 - - 666 - - 473 - - 48 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 21 - - 20 - - 22 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 215 - - 217 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 16 - - 8 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 37 - - 48 - - 51 - - 46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1039 - - 7 - - -1477 - - -2892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11228 - - 12915 - - 14880 - - 12056 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4114 - - -3021 - - -4861 - - -6163 ODpotential blCL - - - 14303 - - 15942 - - 18264 - - 15326 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 90 - - 85 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 73.2 - - 70.6 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 31.2 - - 19.9 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 71.7 - - 70.6 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 31.1 - - 19.7 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 501 - - 168 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5361 - - 8093 - - 8575 - - 4335 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 61 - - 42 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98029 22 272 14 255 21 263 18 285 98029 90478 23 256 20 246 22 281 26 279 90478 84709 19 260 19 274 21 285 16 291 84709 79946 15 269 16 274 17 283 13 297 79946 75860 18 279 18 278 22 297 24 299 75860 72292 16 270 20 283 21 275 18 291 72292 69069 20 287 20 274 18 268 13 277 69069 66100 30 309 22 296 23 301 14 292 66100 63330 36 287 33 297 33 298 22 308 63330 60640 44 265 44 273 38 273 34 277 60640 57861 43 266 49 269 35 262 40 267 57861 54988 43 275 45 274 40 276 42 271 54988 52239 49 285 47 279 53 273 46 270 52239 49760 69 280 65 272 70 265 56 268 49760 47543 86 261 81 256 77 252 67 258 47543 45540 87 258 82 254 79 248 79 255 45540 43717 94 268 89 261 88 254 103 251 43717 42048 110 270 108 262 108 256 120 248 42048 40499 120 266 124 259 121 254 127 247 40499 39042 120 264 126 256 123 252 131 246 39042 37671 121 263 124 255 122 251 134 244 37671 36349 124 263 126 257 119 251 135 244 36349 35014 122 263 121 259 119 252 130 246 35014 33644 113 261 109 257 118 253 111 247 33644 32243 103 257 99 255 108 251 90 244 32243 30796 98 255 93 254 97 247 88 239 30796 29290 94 254 89 251 86 244 90 234 29290 27730 88 252 86 246 84 241 89 232 27730 26116 81 249 85 245 86 240 88 239 26116 24465 76 250 79 251 85 244 74 260 24465 22789 69 257 65 260 73 254 58 273 22789 21071 60 268 51 266 55 266 41 274 21071 19298 50 269 43 266 38 268 31 263 19298 17504 38 259 39 260 33 259 28 249 17504 15785 38 247 35 249 29 251 27 236 15785 14224 39 244 32*242 22*241 27 228 14224 12832 33 242 26*238 19*231 25 222 12832 11585 26 235 21 228 19 227 23 217 11585 10466 21*225 20 218 19 225 23 214 10466 9459 18*209 21 215 20 221 23*213 9459 8555 17 200 21 212 21 216 24*212 8555 7748 17 198 21 210 22 213 24 211 7748 7024 17 197 21 208 22 211 24 210 7024 6366 17 195 21 207 22 210 24 209 6366 5778 17 195 21 206 22 208 23 208 5778 5281 17 194 21 205 22 207 22 206 5281 4897 16 193 20 204 21 207 20 203 4897 4630 15 193 19 204 20 206 17 201 4630 4467 14 193 18 204 19 205 14 199 4467 4374 13 193 16 204 15 205 9 198 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography