DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 57.3 - - 62.8 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 196 - - 123 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7857 - - 1738 - - 5168 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10741 - - 5712 - - 7959 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12685 - - 6566 - - 9996 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4176 - - 3925 - - 4800 - - 3051 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 633 - - 298 - - 364 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 3 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 348 - - 221 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 11 - - 19 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - -61 - - 15 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 829 - - -78 - - 1178 - - -2507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11857 - - 6645 - - 8819 - - 6881 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -344 - - -2362 - - -451 - - -5297 ODpotential blCL - - - 13029 - - 8928 - - 10447 - - 9671 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 88 - - 91 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 640 - - 480 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 57.3 - - 62.8 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.6 - - 43.1 - - 39.2 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 57.3 - - 62.8 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.2 - - 42.1 - - 38.6 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 196 - - 123 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7857 - - 1738 - - 5168 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 51 - - 65 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98243 18 259 13 274 14 282 19 299 98243 90752 15 251 16 249 18 284 19 285 90752 84993 11 234 11 254 15 284 14 289 84993 80245 6 241 7 227 11 275 12 322 80245 76160 9 094 3 171 7 236 8 297 76160 72569 7 082 14 129 10 144 6 220 72569 69348 7 123 8 135 6 110 6 143 69348 66388 2 154 5 170 3 087 5 120 66388 63639 11 218 10 224 16 229 9 245 63639 60963 18 213 22 185 29 207 19 228 60963 58148 21 226 24 213 27 220 29 245 58148 55199 37 240 35 240 37 235 37 238 55199 52340 46 237 45 239 46 245 39 243 52340 49739 53 237 48 241 45 251 40 258 49739 47412 54 238 48 248 44 260 43 268 47412 45316 50 244 48 254 47 270 46 269 45316 43405 45 243 45 256 50 269 41 276 43405 41651 42 247 43 258 44 275 47 292 41651 40040 45 251 42 264 44 284 55 296 40040 38557 47 250 42 269 46 289 55 302 38557 37179 43 251 38 271 50 291 55 307 37179 35865 42 261 36 282 49 295 54 312 35865 34550 44 259 39 293 47 302 54 315 34550 33209 40 255 42 292 47 312 55 316 33209 31844 34 257 37 290 49 316 56 319 31844 30437 29 267 32 291 50 322 55 320 30437 28978 23 272 17 321 51 323 52 320 28978 27467 17 283 13 318 41 315 48 321 27467 25906 12 314 13 295 29 305 47 323 25906 24297 10 327 15 281 23 304 45 325 24297 22644 6 300 12 285 19 305 38 323 22644 20945 8 254 13 259 21 296 31 317 20945 19192 13 237 13 246 22 308 29 316 19192 17421 14 234 16 243 24 300 25 315 17421 15727 14 243 19 243 25 282 21 304 15727 14183 8 230 21 245 25 270 19 290 14183 12803 6*198 22 245 25 266 19 280 12803 11565 8*210 21 247 24 266 19 275 11565 10450 10 211 20 250 21*265 19 270 10450 9446 11 209 18 254 16*262 18 266 9446 8544 11 205 16 262 11 255 17 261 8544 7736 12 202 13 274 6 241 14 253 7736 7013 12 200 11*292 4 204 10 239 7013 6357 13 197 11*315 4 153 7 210 6357 5770 13 196 14 337 4 143 6 171 5770 5276 13 194 17 353 5 141 7 140 5276 4892 13 193 19 357 5 140 8 116 4892 4628 12 193 18 359 5 140 8 099 4628 4466 12 192 18 000 5 141 6*091 4466 4373 11 192 15 001 5 141 4*085 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography