DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 68.0 - - 67.0 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 189 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 931 - - 3144 - - 3185 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 6694 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5759 - - 7972 - - 8013 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2135 - - 2041 - - 2870 - - 4269 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 353 - - 54 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 17 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 127 - - 171 - - 181 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -15 - - -8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6889 - - -6797 - - -6742 - - -8158 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12648 - - 14769 - - 14756 - - 12533 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13433 - - -12097 - - -12091 - - -14558 ODpotential blCL - - - 19192 - - 20069 - - 20104 - - 18932 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 55 - - 52 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 68.0 - - 67.0 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.3 - - 18.5 - - 17.6 - - 18.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 67.7 - - 68.4 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 17.4 - - 16.6 - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 189 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 931 - - 3144 - - 3185 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95829 53 271 55 268 52 268 57 257 95829 88756 45 275 42 276 41 281 36 281 88756 83351 32 268 40 278 34 289 30 306 83351 78859 12 275 27 265 27 281 28 297 78859 74973 6 311 14 268 20 272 27 284 74973 71538 11 306 9 286 16 272 27 281 71538 68442 18 290 13 304 14 286 21 271 68442 65613 20 272 17 279 16 306 13 275 65613 62986 19 266 23 271 23 293 19 299 62986 60436 19 275 26 273 31 280 32 282 60436 57773 23 283 30 278 36 275 35 276 57773 54987 27 285 33 280 38 279 37 278 54987 52300 34 285 41 275 44 277 49 280 52300 49857 34 278 46 268 50 271 56 273 49857 47649 36 279 46 269 47 270 54 267 47649 45633 39 283 42 276 45 272 46 268 45633 43782 36 276 42 281 44 273 43 272 43782 42071 31 275 35 272 38 272 43 268 42071 40487 29 272 31 266 30 265 41 258 40487 39020 25 259 31 252 27 262 36 253 39020 37656 20 239 29 242 27 253 30 251 37656 36354 17 231 22 236 28 249 29 248 36354 35043 18 223 22 231 25 238 30 242 35043 33693 21 211 25 218 23 230 29 234 33693 32311 22 210 26 210 28 212 28 214 32311 30891 22 207 26 206 31 201 38 195 30891 29423 25 206 31 196 30 198 39 186 29423 27904 26 202 28 194 29 190 31 180 27904 26333 21 196 23 192 27 185 27 180 26333 24711 14 185 20 184 26 179 24 183 24711 23040 12 165 20 175 26 172 22 183 23040 21314 12 150 16 168 23 165 20 175 21314 19527 8 149 12 167 19 162 17 168 19527 17710 3 118 8 160 15 163 12 175 17710 15960 5 083 9 148 13 170 8 203 15960 14365 7 113 9 157 8 189 6 242 14365 12940 6 130 7 167 4 245 5 271 12940 11666 6 138 5 179 4 284 4 288 11666 10526 6 137 4 180 3 273 5 295 10526 9503 6 124 4 158 3 246 3 275 9503 8587 8 116 6*132 4*229 4 191 8587 7769 9 123 6*131 4*220 7 179 7769 7038 11 126 5 141 3 206 9 187 7038 6376 10 120 4 159 3 184 10 197 6376 5783 8*110 4 188 3 171 11 202 5783 5284 4*100 4 201 3 160 10 202 5284 4897 2 122 4 205 3 157 7 193 4897 4630 1 153 4 207 3 154 5 164 4630 4467 1 171 4 209 3 155 4*131 4467 4373 1 180 4 208 2 154 4*113 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography