DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 69.7 - - 77.1 - - 73.5 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 160 - - 179 - - -1 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 884 - - 4062 - - 2294 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4357 - - 7344 - - 4358 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 5712 - - 8890 - - 7122 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 436 - - 2100 - - 2434 - - 4486 - - 314 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 219 - - 377 - - 20 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 42 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 244 - - 206 - - 264 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 8 - - -15 - - -8 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7713 - - -9187 - - -8786 - - -10381 - - -9400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12088 - - 14900 - - 17677 - - 17503 - - 13776 sfcLCL ODpotential -19135 - - -17732 - - -16648 - - -18750 - - -19247 ODpotential blCL 23509 - - 23444 - - 25538 - - 25872 - - 23622 blCL maxRH 58 - - 43 - - 45 - - 43 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 69.7 - - 77.1 - - 73.5 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.5 - - 20.0 - - 14.5 - - 12.1 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 69.5 - - 76.8 - - 77.3 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.5 - - 19.1 - - 13.4 - - 11.0 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 160 - - 179 - - -1 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 884 - - 4062 - - 2294 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97033 36 268 41 268 46 268 52 285 45 281 97033 89820 22 272 30 270 32 267 33 269 38 282 89820 84243 25 279 21 271 24 269 22 273 27 280 84243 79615 25 282 15 294 11 269 17 292 13 300 79615 75632 19 295 16 301 12 310 12 307 8 330 75632 72112 11 312 8 309 9 305 13 317 15 334 72112 68937 11 341 10 357 8 324 13 321 19 344 68937 66049 20 345 18 349 17 346 18 332 22 359 66049 63390 22 346 21 348 19 350 22 332 22 347 63390 60811 21 351 24 349 19 002 20 354 25 351 60811 58135 25 348 30 341 22 348 20 344 27 344 58135 55384 30 346 29 346 22 349 20 348 24 343 55384 52755 35 354 35 355 30 001 26 010 25 007 52755 50378 45 352 41 350 36 001 25 011 23 008 50378 48252 40 345 42 345 35 357 24 010 16 021 48252 46333 35 351 37 351 34 353 27 003 16 017 46333 44569 33 000 33 005 30 359 24 360 12 351 44569 42924 36 016 34 021 25 029 17 019 11 316 42924 41375 44 032 40 033 31 041 18 041 3 359 41375 39914 52 040 41 033 34 036 22 046 6 080 39914 38537 52 041 37 030 32 030 24 044 10 076 38537 37213 51 032 36 027 32 030 24 043 13 065 37213 35877 45 030 38 026 36 034 26 045 16 052 35877 34501 35 028 38 026 36 035 25 043 18 046 34501 33092 29 026 35 024 30 028 23 041 15 044 33092 31634 26 021 29 019 26 025 17 014 11 035 31634 30118 24 009 23 013 20 024 14 346 11 352 30118 28545 23 001 19 007 17 011 16 330 16 338 28545 26917 24 347 18 003 14 343 17 332 19 339 26917 25234 28 341 18 001 13 335 18 338 18 345 25234 23501 32 343 20 000 14 344 18 343 17 358 23501 21713 32 345 22 003 17 358 17 351 17 012 21713 19866 29 344 21 006 17 010 15 003 15 024 19866 17993 26 342 17 004 15 011 13 014 12 033 17993 16192 23 344 15 006 12 013 10 024 10 044 16192 14554 20 355 14 011 11 018 9 029 10 051 14554 13094 17 012 12 010 9 016 10 027 10 052 13094 11791 15 022 11 006 8 019 11 021 8 044 11791 10627 12 024 10 008 9 032 10 019 4 013 10627 9585 8 027 8 017 7*049 5 026 4 299 9585 8652 5 037 7 036 5*065 4 018 4 281 8652 7820 3 055 7 060 2 099 2*348 3 251 7820 7076 5 067 6 076 1 175 2*294 3 197 7076 6403 8 067 5 079 2 210 3 275 4 164 6403 5801 12 066 3*082 4 227 3 268 6 132 5801 5294 14 061 1*245 4 227 2 257 8 104 5294 4903 12 050 3 247 4 228 2 247 11 088 4903 4632 8 027 4 243 4 228 2 242 12 068 4632 4467 6*355 4 241 4 228 2 230 10*058 4467 4374 5*326 4 242 4 228 1 226 7*053 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography