DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 63.4 - - 63.8 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 232 - - 22 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2423 - - 6091 - - 7889 - - 451 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6159 - - 9021 - - 7268 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7251 - - 10919 - - 12717 - - 5279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2974 - - 2520 - - 2587 - - 7852 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 470 - - 239 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 202 - - 214 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -14 - - 11 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2601 - - -852 - - 726 - - -4933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9852 - - 11772 - - 11991 - - 10213 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5424 - - -3075 - - -563 - - -7481 ODpotential blCL - - - 12675 - - 13994 - - 13280 - - 12760 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 89 - - 90 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 63.4 - - 63.8 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 26.9 - - 26.4 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 63.0 - - 64.4 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.9 - - 26.3 - - 25.8 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 232 - - 22 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2423 - - 6091 - - 7889 - - 451 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 58 - - 58 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96321 16 045 21 063 24 066 15 080 96321 89342 24 090 23 085 18 092 18 062 89342 83882 26 102 20 071 20 085 15 079 83882 79325 26 096 19 099 14 088 16 067 79325 75375 21 083 17 097 15 111 10 075 75375 71865 9 086 11 079 6 092 8 038 71865 68697 6 061 6 156 2 190 7 318 68697 65788 9 294 8 264 8 239 9 288 65788 63084 22 273 13 299 5 262 13 265 63084 60460 33 240 29 257 18 282 20 265 60460 57704 39 247 40 244 43 240 36 255 57704 54809 54 238 46 241 52 240 47 243 54809 52022 58 237 66 241 68 244 58 248 52022 49508 67 244 78 242 77 244 68 246 49508 47265 84 248 87 247 85 247 74 245 47265 45234 98 241 99 240 101 244 79 248 45234 43368 98 238 95 236 99 234 93 240 43368 41648 99 242 86 240 92 235 96 238 41648 40069 105 243 101 245 101 240 105 240 40069 38609 111 242 119 240 116 238 108 239 38609 37249 117 241 126 236 126 236 114 237 37249 35947 123 240 123 237 125 236 117 235 35947 34638 119 239 115 237 114 236 115 234 34638 33298 111 240 104 238 105 236 110 235 33298 31929 108 240 99 240 100 238 103 236 31929 30518 100 242 95 242 96 238 96 235 30518 29054 93 245 87 244 89 238 91 235 29054 27537 87 246 80 242 83 239 87 238 27537 25970 81 244 77 242 78 242 79 242 25970 24359 76 244 73 245 71 246 66 245 24359 22708 66 246 62 249 63 248 55 244 22708 21011 51 244 47 248 53 246 46 239 21011 19260 41 237 40 237 42 239 39 236 19260 17488 38 232 40 231 36 234 33 235 17488 15782 35 233 37 233 31 237 28 235 15782 14226 29 234 30 237 23 240 21 231 14226 12834 23 234 21 234 15*237 12 216 12834 11587 17 237 14*224 11*235 7 189 11587 10466 13 240 11*216 10 231 6 181 10466 9457 9 239 9 210 8 226 6 191 9457 8551 6 227 8 207 7 217 5 213 8551 7742 4*209 7 203 6 209 5 241 7742 7017 4*189 6 197 5 201 6 262 7017 6361 4 175 6 194 5 191 7 272 6361 5773 4 163 5 190 4 184 8*277 5773 5278 4 162 5 188 4 180 7*276 5278 4894 4 163 5 185 4 177 5 274 4894 4628 4 166 5 185 4 175 3 272 4628 4466 4 166 4 186 4 175 1 284 4466 4373 3 167 4 185 4 174 1 311 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography