DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 80.5 - - 81.2 - - 73.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 497 - - 528 - - 221 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6269 - - 8672 - - 9589 - - 3929 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9502 - - 11485 - - 11732 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11097 - - 13500 - - 14417 - - 8757 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1332 - - 1331 - - 1548 - - 6561 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 609 - - 693 - - 536 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 37 - - 20 - - 16 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 272 - - 272 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -20 - - -19 - - -24 - - 60 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3608 - - -3139 - - -2893 - - -6071 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14706 - - 16640 - - 17311 - - 14829 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9010 - - -7542 - - -6874 - - -11179 ODpotential blCL - - - 20107 - - 21042 - - 21291 - - 19936 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 57 - - 44 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 80.5 - - 81.2 - - 73.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.9 - - 21.8 - - 19.4 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.8 - - 78.5 - - 80.6 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 21.4 - - 19.2 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 497 - - 528 - - 221 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6269 - - 8672 - - 9589 - - 3929 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98236 10 123 12 105 7 120 11 103 98236 90815 16 128 14 122 15 109 19 104 90815 85134 20 121 21 120 15 117 17 090 85134 80411 22 108 18 123 12 099 13 090 80411 76350 19 098 13 122 13 084 17 095 76350 72783 13 089 14 105 15 092 13 086 72783 69561 12 127 7 110 8 057 14 086 69561 66598 4 108 9 121 5 123 6 068 66598 63855 11 194 9 213 5 198 3 208 63855 61198 7 193 10 167 15 190 15 212 61198 58420 13 229 12 224 14 213 14 220 58420 55521 27 238 24 244 21 243 20 242 55521 52748 29 245 30 242 28 248 29 241 52748 50255 33 261 33 261 34 260 32 252 50255 48022 43 266 41 275 40 269 36 264 48022 45997 48 268 50 276 46 273 43 269 45997 44149 50 274 56 275 52 273 50 271 44149 42454 53 281 59 276 57 272 55 273 42454 40889 58 283 60 279 60 273 58 273 40889 39430 58 283 62 281 61 276 59 273 39430 38061 58 286 62 281 62 278 58 273 38061 36746 58 291 61 281 62 279 58 273 36746 35423 56 293 60 282 62 280 59 273 35423 34064 54 290 59 283 62 280 60 273 34064 32672 52 285 58 282 61 279 60 273 32672 31231 51 282 55 279 59 278 58 274 31231 29733 50 282 52 277 55 277 55 275 29733 28180 49 285 50 277 49 275 50 275 28180 26575 46 287 49 277 42 274 45 273 26575 24922 43 288 45 276 38 273 38 269 24922 23224 39 290 39 274 37 271 33 263 23224 21474 36 292 33 273 34 267 31 259 21474 19666 33 296 30 276 29 266 29 259 19666 17832 27 298 25 281 21 268 23 261 17832 16074 21 297 18 287 12 265 10 260 16074 14482 16 295 10*290 7*256 2 233 14482 13063 12 302 6*290 7*258 2 228 13063 11787 8*333 6 287 7 260 1 218 11787 10638 6*350 6 285 6 263 2 219 10638 9603 5 347 6 281 6 268 2*221 9603 8674 5 341 6 274 6 273 3*227 8674 7842 4 317 6 267 6 277 4 234 7842 7097 3 279 6 264 6 279 5 236 7097 6422 4 254 6 259 6 282 6 238 6422 5817 5 241 6 256 6 284 7 238 5817 5307 5 234 6 252 6 285 7 235 5307 4912 5 232 6 250 6 285 7 231 4912 4638 5 228 6 250 5 285 5 223 4638 4470 5 229 6 249 5 286 4 211 4470 4374 5 227 5 248 5 286 3 202 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography