DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 72.5 - - 72.6 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 432 - - 123 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3596 - - 6983 - - 6993 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7300 - - 10022 - - 9300 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8424 - - 11811 - - 11821 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3010 - - 826 - - 1423 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 468 - - 603 - - 399 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 103 - - 100 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 22 - - -9 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9328 - - -8160 - - -8760 - - -13414 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17752 - - 19972 - - 20582 - - 17789 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16475 - - -14201 - - -14363 - - -20491 ODpotential blCL - - - 24899 - - 26012 - - 26184 - - 24865 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 53 - - 68 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 72.5 - - 72.6 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.3 - - -1.4 - - -4.0 - - -1.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 71.0 - - 72.6 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.3 - - -2.3 - - -4.9 - - -2.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 432 - - 123 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3596 - - 6983 - - 6993 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97205 27 267 37 262 42 267 61 283 97205 89897 26 265 26 269 28 286 28 283 89897 84317 18 255 15 278 18 293 15 296 84317 79700 4 328 9 299 14 308 16 319 79700 75739 9 030 9 306 12 326 15 333 75739 72243 12 003 8 320 12 322 16 331 72243 69069 14 322 7 327 13 316 17 323 69069 66144 17 308 11 322 15 318 16 318 66144 63438 22 306 17 308 21 302 23 304 63438 60824 25 299 22 304 21 299 22 295 60824 58086 28 295 29 302 29 300 28 308 58086 55220 34 280 36 286 39 287 37 290 55220 52461 35 275 37 276 38 275 36 274 52461 49956 34 278 35 279 34 275 34 273 49956 47697 36 278 35 278 33 277 34 278 47697 45643 39 274 37 275 37 274 37 278 45643 43765 40 274 39 272 39 270 38 274 43765 42043 40 278 37 272 37 270 36 272 42043 40459 40 278 35 277 35 270 34 271 40459 38994 36 273 34 275 29 271 30 270 38994 37634 30 266 32 265 27 273 25 275 37634 36340 27 267 29 259 25 265 24 279 36340 35042 25 269 26 263 22 266 21 276 35042 33708 23 275 22 261 19 262 17 273 33708 32339 22 280 22 260 18 265 14 272 32339 30923 23 269 23 262 19 270 13 286 30923 29451 24 270 22 273 17 268 11 288 29451 27924 22 279 19 279 15 266 8 275 27924 26344 18 285 17 280 12 269 7 276 26344 24713 14 283 14 276 10 275 7 285 24713 23034 10 279 11 264 7 264 5 246 23034 21305 7 266 7 248 5 217 7 192 21305 19519 4 283 3 233 5 160 9 151 19519 17707 1 311 2 155 7 119 11 130 17707 15962 3 113 4 114 9 115 11 128 15962 14372 4 108 4 131 9 125 12 141 14372 12953 9 115 8*125 10*129 13 155 12953 11685 10 124 10*112 9*121 13 164 11685 10547 10 143 11 112 9 115 10 167 10547 9523 11 138 11 110 9 108 7 158 9523 8603 12*123 12 106 10 101 5 141 8603 7782 16*103 13 101 10 096 6 122 7782 7047 20 092 14 098 11 094 9 109 7047 6381 24 085 14 097 11 091 13 094 6381 5786 24 083 14 097 11 090 18 080 5786 5284 23 082 14 096 11 090 23 069 5284 4898 22 082 13 096 10 089 22 063 4898 4630 21 082 13 096 10 089 19 056 4630 4467 19 082 12 096 10 089 14*050 4467 4373 14 083 11 096 8 089 8*042 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography