DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.2 - - 64.5 - - 70.0 - - 67.2 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 290 - - 370 - - 98 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4742 - - 9112 - - 8065 - - 281 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 8079 - - 11670 - - 9915 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 9570 - - 13940 - - 12893 - - 5109 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2262 - - 2793 - - 1551 - - 2285 - - 5051 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 465 - - 627 - - 389 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 086 - - 177 - - 186 - - 202 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 17 - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -12 - - 26 - - 27 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5304 - - -1479 - - 977 - - 937 - - -4762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9678 - - 11050 - - 12963 - - 11956 - - 9872 sfcLCL ODpotential -12202 - - -4634 - - -780 - - -971 - - -8462 ODpotential blCL 16576 - - 14204 - - 14720 - - 13864 - - 13571 blCL maxRH 75 - - 42 - - 63 - - 73 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.2 - - 64.5 - - 70.0 - - 67.2 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.4 - - 31.1 - - 27.8 - - 29.7 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.0 - - 63.7 - - 68.8 - - 67.4 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 30.7 - - 27.3 - - 29.4 - - 29.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 290 - - 370 - - 98 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4742 - - 9112 - - 8065 - - 281 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96510 34 272 29 280 26 263 26 253 30 266 96510 89263 16 272 17 273 21 250 27 272 28 302 89263 83730 10 311 15 222 23 271 23 284 20 305 83730 79171 12 268 16 260 25 270 24 284 17 288 79171 75248 14 250 20 275 21 265 22 276 21 278 75248 71776 18 271 20 264 20 262 23 274 24 280 71776 68624 21 283 20 247 25 266 27 263 29 282 68624 65710 26 278 22 238 27 254 31 250 32 261 65710 62997 28 263 22 253 25 244 30 229 33 253 62997 60351 30 250 28 248 27 254 27 225 36 237 60351 57569 33 239 33 239 32 237 24 243 34 230 57569 54668 33 229 34 232 35 233 35 230 28 241 54668 51881 30 224 31 226 31 226 31 227 26 247 51881 49368 27 224 25 209 18 232 28 238 21 222 49368 47130 26 222 31 208 39 214 31 230 13 237 47130 45100 36 213 35 198 47 203 32 215 21 230 45100 43238 36 205 30 199 45 191 37 192 23 200 43238 41532 26 208 33 192 40 180 45 176 22 168 41532 39964 20 230 29 190 34 172 48 162 22 159 39964 38504 25 226 32 196 34 176 43 158 21 148 38504 37139 29 221 37 195 41 181 38 159 17 126 37139 35836 31 221 35 193 45 180 36 159 14 111 35836 34532 30 224 32 191 44 176 35 161 13 105 34532 33200 28 226 30 191 42 174 35 160 14 115 33200 31844 27 226 28 189 42 174 35 153 19 121 31844 30449 26 224 28 188 41 174 36 150 24 123 30449 29002 26 223 28 187 38 169 37 149 26 126 29002 27506 25 221 29 185 35 163 37 147 25 128 27506 25958 24 217 30 180 35 157 37 150 23 137 25958 24362 23 208 30 176 36 158 35 159 23 149 24362 22719 24 198 30 176 36 165 33 167 27 159 22719 21025 27 193 30 178 34 171 31 173 32 167 21025 19272 29 193 29 180 32 175 30 176 35 174 19272 17496 30 193 28 181 31 178 29 174 37 169 17496 15786 29 191 28 182 29 182 22 160 36 163 15786 14228 26 186 28 182 24*183 15*143 30 159 14228 12834 24 176 26 181 17*183 9*148 23 155 12834 11583 22 169 24 179 15 184 7 165 17 146 11583 10460 20 166 22*178 14 185 6 172 11 142 10460 9451 18 168 20*178 14 186 7 193 4 148 9451 8547 16 174 18 179 13 186 8 208 1 168 8547 7739 16 175 14 180 13 187 10 214 2 227 7739 7016 16 169 11 179 13 187 11 217 4 232 7016 6360 15 165 8 175 12 187 12 218 5 236 6360 5773 13 165 5 167 12 187 12 219 5 236 5773 5278 10 163 4 166 12 187 12 219 5*231 5278 4894 7 148 4 165 11 187 12 219 4*224 4894 4629 6 117 4 168 11 187 12 219 3 209 4629 4467 6*094 4 169 11 187 11 220 2 173 4467 4373 5*082 3 170 9 187 10 219 1 151 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography