DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 66.3 - - 64.0 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 224 - - -6 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2352 - - 2818 - - 1555 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6009 - - 6523 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7180 - - 7646 - - 6383 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1303 - - 1764 - - 2025 - - 1136 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 360 - - 70 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 23 - - 21 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 085 - - 073 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - -24 - - -31 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7580 - - -8105 - - -9149 - - -8995 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14760 - - 15752 - - 15533 - - 13370 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16143 - - -16238 - - -17630 - - -18562 ODpotential blCL - - - 23323 - - 23884 - - 24013 - - 22936 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 30 - - 28 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 66.3 - - 64.0 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.3 - - 12.4 - - 11.4 - - 11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 65.9 - - 65.3 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.1 - - 11.3 - - 10.3 - - 10.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 224 - - -6 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2352 - - 2818 - - 1555 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96163 23 257 19 295 19 288 9 268 96163 89050 10 337 12 291 11 291 19 329 89050 83611 18 345 10 308 9 338 17 002 83611 79113 12 338 10 296 12 341 11 340 79113 75215 18 354 9 352 10 356 6 002 75215 71745 18 345 12 002 20 003 22 007 71745 68614 8 324 7 285 12 344 17 357 68614 65732 11 007 10 014 14 036 10 010 65732 63042 22 001 27 004 22 015 10 012 63042 60427 23 344 28 352 22 359 15 004 60427 57706 23 344 25 353 17 350 17 005 57706 54896 21 342 20 356 13 349 17 357 54896 52213 16 334 12 001 11 000 15 334 52213 49782 14 355 8 016 11 026 8 348 49782 47592 17 005 9 014 9 031 6 035 47592 45613 17 014 14 007 9 048 10 048 45613 43816 16 048 18 024 16 059 13 070 43816 42171 20 051 19 049 24 068 32 092 42171 40652 23 048 23 061 30 069 42 091 40652 39234 24 061 20 075 29 071 45 091 39234 37900 30 077 19 101 24 079 44 089 37900 36616 38 083 22 108 22 087 43 085 36616 35317 41 084 20 101 20 086 41 084 35317 33977 40 082 17 087 15 082 35 088 33977 32601 37 080 16 073 9 081 25 092 32601 31178 41 074 16 062 6 087 14 092 31178 29696 46 069 16 054 9 089 12 105 29696 28155 45 070 16 050 18 082 13 107 28155 26555 35 071 18 049 28 075 16 101 26555 24899 26 073 21 049 33 072 18 091 24899 23192 22 082 25 049 32 071 21 079 23192 21429 20 072 30 046 33 067 26 072 21429 19605 21 049 30 043 31 062 28 074 19605 17755 22 039 22 058 25 063 26 075 17755 15982 17 052 17 093 19 077 21 075 15982 14375 13 095 16 110 15 097 18 083 14375 12945 14 107 16 121 14 116 15 098 12945 11669 17 108 18 122 15 128 11 115 11669 10525 20 103 20 118 16 132 7 145 10525 9499 24 098 23 110 17 129 7 168 9499 8581 26 094 24 102 19 121 10 163 8581 7762 26*090 24*094 20 111 12 148 7762 7028 25*087 24*089 22*099 15 126 7028 6365 24 085 24 086 23*085 18 102 6365 5773 22 084 24 084 24 074 22 086 5773 5276 20 083 23 084 23 072 23 074 5276 4892 17 084 22 083 22 070 19 068 4892 4627 15 085 20 082 19 069 12 060 4627 4466 12 085 18 082 16 069 6*050 4466 4373 10 087 14 083 11 067 2*347 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography