DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 86.3 - - 86.0 - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 391 - - 413 - - 97 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3682 - - 10273 - - 11126 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7365 - - 12671 - - 12240 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8510 - - 15101 - - 15954 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3458 - - 1821 - - 1202 - - 8945 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 471 - - 675 - - 434 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 232 - - 229 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 15 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 19 - - 26 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -372 - - 3238 - - 3781 - - -3407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8883 - - 11864 - - 12174 - - 7784 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2619 - - 1609 - - 2073 - - -6290 ODpotential blCL - - - 11129 - - 13492 - - 13881 - - 10666 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 72 - - 85 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 210 - - 150 - - 690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 86.3 - - 86.0 - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 49.0 - - 47.5 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 84.8 - - 86.2 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 48.9 - - 47.1 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 391 - - 413 - - 97 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3682 - - 10273 - - 11126 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98944 17 087 17 107 9 088 15 090 98944 91514 23 097 21 099 19 088 22 093 91514 85758 15 090 24 093 22 097 24 095 85758 81000 12 098 18 084 20 097 20 084 81000 76920 14 115 11 088 15 089 15 070 76920 73312 12 104 7 120 10 075 12 065 73312 70052 7 127 8 143 7 071 11 078 70052 67060 11 145 6 162 3 166 5 107 67060 64290 5 181 3 148 11 160 10 202 64290 61614 14 209 15 223 7 226 15 179 61614 58837 17 219 20 209 23 241 22 233 58837 56008 20 224 31 231 35 238 31 240 56008 53357 33 247 36 248 37 253 39 256 53357 50975 45 249 44 254 47 255 51 258 50975 48827 47 249 46 251 53 254 57 253 48827 46860 47 254 50 254 57 254 58 251 46860 45041 53 261 55 256 59 252 59 250 45041 43347 59 266 58 256 58 250 58 249 43347 41757 62 269 60 256 56 251 56 247 41757 40257 60 269 61 258 56 253 55 250 40257 38844 58 269 61 262 57 259 56 256 38844 37484 56 271 61 265 58 264 56 261 37484 36118 52 270 58 265 56 265 54 264 36118 34716 47 267 53 259 51 260 50 262 34716 33281 45 263 48 252 48 254 48 256 33281 31801 44 259 47 249 47 251 47 250 31801 30262 40 254 46 250 46 252 47 249 30262 28666 38 250 43 251 44 253 46 250 28666 27017 35 249 39 251 42 252 43 250 27017 25318 32 248 35 251 37 250 39 248 25318 23572 27 246 30 249 33 248 34 245 23572 21774 22 243 25 245 29 245 29 242 21774 19923 21 242 22 238 25 243 24 242 19923 18058 22 241 21 238 21 245 21 243 18058 16275 23 242 19*248 14*242 17 234 16275 14656 24 244 18*251 12*239 13 215 14656 13211 23 248 17 251 12 236 12 205 13211 11912 20 251 13 246 12 234 13 207 11912 10744 16 250 12 243 11 233 14 215 10744 9691 12 239 10 229 11 231 15 221 9691 8745 9*223 9 219 12 228 15 227 8745 7899 7*203 9 213 12 225 16 233 7899 7141 6 191 9 208 12 223 16 239 7141 6455 6 185 9 205 12 221 15 244 6455 5840 6 183 9 202 11 220 14 249 5840 5321 6 183 8 199 11 218 12 256 5321 4919 6 185 8 198 11 217 10 267 4919 4642 6 186 8 197 11 217 7 279 4642 4472 6 187 8 197 10 217 5*304 4472 4375 5 186 7 196 9 216 3*337 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography