DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 92.2 - - - - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 317 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1697 - - 6927 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5720 - - 9837 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6525 - - 11755 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3559 - - 3063 - - - - - 1516 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 544 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 36 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 290 - - - - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -10 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14719 - - -10719 - - - - - -14770 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21245 - - 22476 - - - - - 19147 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -20331 - - -15171 - - - - - -20774 ODpotential blCL - - - 26856 - - 26926 - - - - - 25150 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 41 - - - - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 92.2 - - - - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.7 - - 6.8 - - - - - 10.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 91.1 - - - - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.7 - - 6.1 - - - - - 9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 317 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1697 - - 6927 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96632 31 276 28 287 21 265 96632 89477 4 259 15 261 13 302 89477 83980 7 095 5 260 7 348 83980 79417 9 072 1 043 9 031 79417 75488 8 057 3 358 11 351 75488 72027 8 037 4 334 9 322 72027 68899 13 014 11 015 7 355 68899 66030 14 011 11 030 13 015 66030 63391 18 022 10 018 16 015 63391 60850 20 011 13 002 15 015 60850 58205 18 354 16 360 15 015 58205 55459 17 345 17 001 17 009 55459 52830 13 347 14 351 17 352 52830 50442 8 002 10 333 14 335 50442 48276 14 001 8 348 13 318 48276 46299 19 341 14 339 15 295 46299 44489 16 312 14 295 19 291 44489 42817 13 280 17 277 20 285 42817 41267 20 274 22 278 18 286 41267 39823 23 271 26 277 17 290 39823 38469 22 279 25 280 24 285 38469 37167 22 284 25 284 26 281 37167 35853 24 286 26 286 25 283 35853 34497 26 286 27 288 26 285 34497 33104 27 290 26 291 25 286 33104 31660 26 297 25 297 23 289 31660 30156 24 301 21 300 19 293 30156 28597 22 305 20 305 16 292 28597 26982 21 305 20 308 15 296 26982 25315 20 300 18 310 14 308 25315 23599 19 294 15 310 14 316 23599 21830 16 297 13 311 13 309 21830 20001 12 329 11 317 11 297 20001 18143 9 001 6 336 8 251 18143 16351 5 017 3 331 8 245 16351 14717 1 333 5 285 4 274 14717 13258 4 274 8 300 4 350 13258 11950 6 278 9*309 6 345 11950 10772 7 279 8*305 6 339 10772 9712 6 281 8 302 4 326 9712 8760 4 286 8 298 4 304 8760 7910 1 292 8 293 5 287 7910 7148 2*116 8 287 7 282 7148 6459 2*120 8 284 11 280 6459 5842 1 148 8 281 14 279 5842 5322 2 233 7 278 16 275 5322 4920 2 232 7 275 15 275 4920 4642 3 230 7 275 11 279 4642 4472 3 229 7 274 7*289 4472 4375 3 228 6 273 5*310 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography