DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.2 - - 52.9 - - 57.9 - - 53.0 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 39 - - 38 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 487 - - 1787 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 5315 - - 6615 - - 4374 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1432 - - 1063 - - 1854 - - 2980 - - 2339 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 120 - - 187 - - 11 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 25 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 087 - - 185 - - 080 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -8 - - 5 - - -6 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1300 - - -993 - - -760 - - -1455 - - -1333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5675 - - 6309 - - 7375 - - 5829 - - 5707 sfcLCL ODpotential -10074 - - -7964 - - -6439 - - -7347 - - -7280 ODpotential blCL 14448 - - 13279 - - 13054 - - 11721 - - 11654 blCL maxRH 84 - - 90 - - 88 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.2 - - 52.9 - - 57.9 - - 53.0 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 40.5 - - 40.8 - - 42.6 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 53.6 - - 58.6 - - 56.1 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.9 - - 39.3 - - 39.6 - - 41.2 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 39 - - 38 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 487 - - 1787 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 60 - - 52 - - 39 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95955 17 328 18 275 20 283 17 265 24 276 95955 88856 5 310 7 256 12 296 3 311 12 289 88856 83459 3 033 2 277 9 270 4 288 11 288 83459 78975 1 044 2 316 6 306 5 278 10 286 78975 75078 8 278 8 288 5 295 9 287 16 282 75078 71612 9 248 8 272 6 272 11 295 14 274 71612 68476 11 275 12 262 14 283 12 286 21 277 68476 65595 11 290 24 266 25 275 20 270 23 273 65595 62912 25 280 27 263 28 266 26 263 32 274 62912 60296 29 265 29 263 37 260 39 262 38 260 60296 57572 34 257 36 250 45 253 42 260 49 252 57572 54747 38 257 37 244 48 248 44 251 50 248 54747 52037 45 245 48 255 50 245 44 245 57 256 52037 49579 52 260 57 251 49 252 63 260 69 257 49579 47361 59 250 62 249 59 254 78 250 78 253 47361 45350 50 238 60 238 70 247 76 244 79 248 45350 43537 42 235 69 237 79 245 75 248 92 247 43537 41897 78 275 53 262 74 248 90 251 108 249 41897 40380 93 270 78 274 80 248 104 248 108 251 40380 38949 85 268 76 270 81 251 100 246 106 254 38949 37601 74 266 71 265 76 254 90 248 108 256 37601 36304 63 259 66 261 72 253 83 249 99 255 36304 34995 60 258 57 253 66 247 79 249 85 249 34995 33647 52 254 57 249 65 242 74 245 74 237 33647 32266 49 249 59 248 68 239 71 239 68 236 32266 30840 55 249 58 246 68 240 69 239 66 239 30840 29357 63 245 58 244 65 240 68 239 67 239 29357 27819 61 237 55 244 58 238 70 237 65 237 27819 26229 50 227 53 243 54 240 68 236 62 235 26229 24587 37 221 56 240 58 242 61 235 59 233 24587 22901 27 222 50 225 57 232 56 236 54 226 22901 21171 24 225 40 215 47 220 53 236 47 222 21171 19392 22 223 35 215 38 216 48 229 42 223 19392 17589 19 220 32 213 34 218 41 223 34 225 17589 15854 16 223 28 210 31 218 33 222 30 227 15854 14273 14 227 23 212 28 214 29 223 28 227 14273 12861 13 231 19 213 24 208 27 222 27 226 12861 11598 12 233 17 213 21 203 25 219 25 227 11598 10465 11 234 14 211 18 201 22 215 22 230 10465 9449 10 228 12 206 16 202 18 209 18 231 9449 8539 9 214 10 194 13 207 14 200 14 227 8539 7728 8 197 9 178 10 215 11 190 10 212 7728 7004 7 177 8 162 7*217 9 181 9 190 7004 6349 6 157 8 148 5*216 7 166 7 170 6349 5765 4 140 6*133 2 199 6 148 5 149 5765 5272 2 121 3*109 2 160 6 131 3 127 5272 4890 2 097 1 066 2 153 6 108 1 062 4890 4626 3 057 0 322 2 155 6 090 3 032 4626 4465 2*025 0 281 2 154 5*078 3*020 4465 4373 2*006 0 279 2 154 4*069 3*014 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography