DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 101.0 - - 104.4 - - 102.9 - - 93.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 438 - - 134 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11212 - - 15031 - - 14849 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13371 - - 16634 - - 15469 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16040 - - 19859 - - 19677 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3674 - - 1528 - - 1636 - - 13047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 669 - - 783 - - 528 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 29 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 277 - - 315 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 9 - - 14 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -34 - - -16 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1728 - - 1587 - - 1837 - - -10504 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17769 - - 18273 - - 17840 - - 14881 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2293 - - 783 - - 656 - - -13015 ODpotential blCL - - - 18333 - - 19076 - - 19021 - - 17391 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 72 - - 97 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 40 - - 40 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 101.0 - - 104.4 - - 102.9 - - 93.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.4 - - 38.2 - - 38.9 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.5 - - 102.6 - - 102.7 - - 97.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 37.7 - - 38.5 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 438 - - 134 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11212 - - 15031 - - 14849 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 0 - - 86 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99237 44 103 40 099 35 101 35 100 99237 91747 38 100 40 096 39 095 37 086 91747 85996 39 098 35 104 34 089 38 082 85996 81237 44 100 34 106 33 095 34 090 81237 77127 37 097 35 108 31 099 32 098 77127 73494 26 087 29 102 25 107 28 090 73494 70223 20 089 25 092 24 104 16 091 70223 67237 16 105 16 099 21 086 17 098 67237 64484 21 120 14 094 18 081 20 088 64484 61836 19 082 18 087 11 101 17 093 61836 59102 14 092 10 070 11 076 13 063 59102 56314 20 071 9 082 6 061 11 011 56314 53694 15 017 16 030 13 045 10 029 53694 51337 13 330 16 353 12 022 12 037 51337 49204 19 330 19 342 18 003 16 021 49204 47246 23 325 23 337 25 351 24 000 47246 45433 26 320 27 335 34 343 30 346 45433 43741 28 322 29 326 37 334 29 348 43741 42150 28 330 26 330 35 331 27 354 42150 40648 22 328 22 339 29 335 30 353 40648 39233 20 318 21 334 22 341 28 350 39233 37875 20 326 23 336 20 349 25 351 37875 36507 18 350 19 356 16 354 19 001 36507 35103 14 004 15 356 13 345 14 353 35103 33665 11 037 10 018 8 356 9 356 33665 32180 14 044 15 047 9 042 10 044 32180 30635 17 043 20 053 12 062 11 065 30635 29036 18 043 21 054 14 071 12 074 29036 27381 18 047 18 053 13 074 10 079 27381 25673 15 046 18 056 12 078 10 086 25673 23912 11 040 17 057 12 078 10 100 23912 22101 6 039 10 045 14 065 14 092 22101 20248 4 337 6*009 14*060 18 078 20248 18373 4 260 6*352 8*044 12 063 18373 16562 2*181 4 328 5 357 10 014 16562 14909 0*022 4 304 5 340 9 351 14909 13427 3 309 5 292 6 333 9 332 13427 12097 5 311 5 282 6 326 9 318 12097 10899 5 308 6 272 7 313 10 308 10899 9820 5 303 6 266 8 304 12 299 9820 8851 5 295 7 261 8 298 14 293 8851 7985 4 285 7 258 9 295 15 287 7985 7210 4 268 7 256 10 293 17 282 7210 6506 5 251 7 253 10 291 18 279 6506 5876 5 243 7 250 10 290 19 276 5876 5346 5 237 7 248 10 289 18 275 5346 4934 6 231 7 247 10 289 17 274 4934 4649 5 230 7 247 10 289 13 275 4649 4476 5 228 6 247 9 289 10*275 4476 4375 5 228 6 246 9 289 5*282 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography