DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 73.9 - - 71.9 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 460 - - 146 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6233 - - 9438 - - 7754 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9394 - - 12049 - - 10009 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11061 - - 14266 - - 12582 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1524 - - 1866 - - 2944 - - 7308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 569 - - 682 - - 437 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 225 - - 232 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 52 - - 54 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3437 - - -2623 - - -3602 - - -9924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14499 - - 16890 - - 16184 - - 14299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7728 - - -5211 - - -6350 - - -14604 ODpotential blCL - - - 18789 - - 19477 - - 18932 - - 18979 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 75 - - 81 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 73.9 - - 71.9 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.2 - - 13.8 - - 15.3 - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 72.5 - - 72.0 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.5 - - 12.8 - - 14.6 - - 14.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 460 - - 146 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6233 - - 9438 - - 7754 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 1 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97558 35 291 35 302 29 309 27 295 97558 90155 30 281 33 288 39 284 35 295 90155 84469 24 263 33 271 35 280 34 285 84469 79770 28 247 33 246 34 259 34 267 79770 75703 31 259 35 249 32 249 36 249 75703 72099 38 260 42 256 36 260 33 255 72099 68845 39 253 40 250 40 258 32 261 68845 65857 39 247 36 248 38 247 35 263 65857 63074 36 251 32 250 34 240 40 260 63074 60367 35 259 29 255 31 246 40 255 60367 57544 38 259 34 257 37 255 40 252 57544 54636 45 257 44 255 46 258 42 256 54636 51881 52 250 50 254 51 255 45 262 51881 49406 52 245 51 251 49 255 49 260 49406 47182 55 247 52 253 50 257 49 253 47182 45168 58 243 56 246 52 253 51 254 45168 43329 51 246 51 244 52 252 54 254 43329 41640 53 247 51 247 53 253 55 250 41640 40084 61 235 51 241 56 253 53 248 40084 38641 58 231 49 233 57 250 47 252 38641 37294 56 234 48 221 54 247 46 256 37294 36004 56 236 46 225 51 245 47 257 36004 34707 56 237 45 228 49 245 46 256 34707 33374 54 236 44 229 47 244 44 256 33374 32012 45 232 44 231 46 242 43 255 32012 30607 40 231 43 232 45 242 43 254 30607 29148 41 230 41 234 41 244 43 253 29148 27635 41 230 38 236 36 244 42 255 27635 26070 35 231 34 241 32 244 38 257 26070 24457 29 238 33 246 30 247 34 258 24457 22799 27 242 35 243 33 256 34 259 22799 21092 27 245 32 241 37 259 36 256 21092 19331 26 248 32 253 38 259 36 251 19331 17546 26 250 31 255 35 254 30 247 17546 15827 27 251 29 247 28 245 26 244 15827 14261 27 250 24*239 23 239 25 239 14261 12863 27 247 20*233 20*235 23 233 12863 11613 24*241 19 232 18*234 21 232 11613 10490 19*230 19 230 18 234 19 234 10490 9480 17 222 19 228 18 234 19 236 9480 8572 16 218 19 226 18 233 20 237 8572 7761 16 215 18 223 18 233 20 237 7761 7034 15 212 18 222 18 232 20 237 7034 6374 15 210 18 220 18 231 20 235 6374 5783 14 208 18 218 17 231 19 234 5783 5285 14 206 18 217 17 231 17 231 5285 4898 13 204 17 216 17 230 14 226 4898 4631 13 203 17 215 16 230 11 218 4631 4467 12 203 16 215 15 229 8*211 4467 4374 11 202 14 215 12 229 5*203 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography