DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 68.1 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 478 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4928 - - 7178 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8360 - - 10224 - - - - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9756 - - 12006 - - - - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1168 - - 1220 - - - - - 2139 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 528 - - 630 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 025 - - 051 - - - - - 055 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 14 - - - - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -24 - - -24 - - - - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3273 - - -4015 - - - - - -12676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13030 - - 16021 - - - - - 17051 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9054 - - -10441 - - - - - -21933 ODpotential blCL - - - 18810 - - 22447 - - - - - 26307 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 35 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 68.1 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.4 - - 12.4 - - - - - -3.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 66.6 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 11.5 - - - - - -4.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 478 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4928 - - 7178 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96899 26 268 37 252 46 275 96899 89647 18 244 17 254 30 284 89647 84105 16 244 16 288 13 304 84105 79494 4 217 17 279 12 356 79494 75524 7 359 9 284 14 318 75524 72041 14 308 9 314 12 299 72041 68887 13 293 11 313 13 306 68887 65972 14 300 19 304 18 306 65972 63265 19 282 21 292 23 299 63265 60647 21 294 21 293 22 291 60647 57908 26 303 27 296 26 302 57908 55052 36 290 40 289 35 299 55052 52312 45 283 48 285 43 296 52312 49832 52 277 54 284 52 289 49832 47596 55 275 55 283 54 287 47596 45560 54 276 56 283 55 287 45560 43696 52 283 58 282 59 286 43696 41989 58 288 60 282 61 286 41989 40425 62 284 60 283 63 284 40425 38979 58 280 59 284 64 282 38979 37630 51 281 57 284 62 279 37630 36340 49 279 54 281 60 278 36340 35042 47 276 49 278 58 277 35042 33706 46 276 46 279 56 276 33706 32333 45 279 43 281 55 276 32333 30910 45 282 41 285 54 279 30910 29429 46 285 41 290 50 284 29429 27892 49 287 43 293 46 287 27892 26301 53 287 47 291 40 290 26301 24657 55 289 49 288 38 294 24657 22966 50 291 48 287 35 296 22966 21225 43 293 42 291 25 304 21225 19430 38 296 36 298 19 320 19430 17610 35 295 33 304 18 345 17610 15861 33 293 33 304 18 357 15861 14271 32 291 29 303 14 008 14271 12856 31 292 18*305 11 027 12856 11593 28 299 7*335 7 030 11593 10464 20*314 6 358 1 050 10464 9450 12*335 6 015 3 116 9450 8541 10 350 7 040 9 094 8541 7728 10 010 10 057 18 082 7728 7002 11 028 12 065 29 076 7002 6347 12 039 13 067 38 071 6347 5762 12 044 14 069 39 068 5762 5270 12 047 14 070 35 066 5270 4890 12 049 14 071 30 063 4890 4626 12 051 13 072 22 061 4626 4465 11 051 13 072 16*059 4465 4373 10 051 11 073 7*050 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography