DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.9 - - 47.9 - - 48.5 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 277 - - 376 - - 84 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4069 - - 6235 - - 6321 - - 91 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7544 - - 9363 - - 8475 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8897 - - 11063 - - 11149 - - 4919 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1892 - - 1116 - - 1407 - - 3685 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 555 - - 340 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 293 - - 298 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -3 - - -9 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -353 - - -1357 - - -1968 - - -3622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9250 - - 12421 - - 13117 - - 8542 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4157 - - -7883 - - -7832 - - -8298 ODpotential blCL - - - 13054 - - 18946 - - 18981 - - 13217 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 77 - - 68 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.9 - - 47.9 - - 48.5 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.5 - - 8.3 - - 5.9 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 46.9 - - 49.0 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.6 - - 7.6 - - 5.4 - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 277 - - 376 - - 84 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4069 - - 6235 - - 6321 - - 91 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96517 21 123 19 090 29 102 32 117 96517 89340 23 113 11 115 17 130 11 094 89340 83814 16 112 4 158 8 138 3 096 83814 79208 12 114 9 156 4 203 8 092 79208 75223 6 173 8 181 9 215 5 323 75223 71692 7 097 6 131 7 165 7 218 71692 68481 7 220 8 238 6 251 2 254 68481 65503 12 124 15 198 16 244 15 238 65503 62742 10 210 19 156 12 214 15 240 62742 60075 28 243 21 259 12 280 19 280 60075 57283 32 263 44 270 31 288 26 275 57283 54378 43 266 50 266 46 276 43 277 54378 51600 44 270 54 275 55 275 51 278 51600 49088 50 277 66 281 59 281 59 280 49088 46825 63 283 74 279 70 279 68 281 46825 44771 76 284 77 274 82 278 76 280 44771 42890 84 280 80 273 89 273 81 278 42890 41155 90 277 81 275 89 270 84 277 41155 39549 93 278 90 279 90 273 94 277 39549 38058 100 282 106 280 104 277 101 273 38058 36679 112 285 118 278 115 276 105 273 36679 35381 124 285 124 277 125 272 111 274 35381 34087 128 284 130 277 129 270 119 274 34087 32760 121 281 135 277 129 271 123 273 32760 31402 112 279 134 279 127 275 124 273 31402 30000 107 279 116 280 127 280 119 273 30000 28546 101 282 96 279 121 283 106 274 28546 27045 100 284 86 279 93 281 90 274 27045 25501 103 284 82 279 77 276 76 274 25501 23915 104 286 79 278 72 274 66 275 23915 22288 95 289 72 279 68 276 58 281 22288 20612 80 287 67 281 58 278 50 283 20612 18881 71 286 63 284 52 283 43 283 18881 17125 66 289 57 288 49 287 40 288 17125 15437 60 293 48 294 42 291 37 293 15437 13904 50 296 40 299 33 296 31 298 13904 12543 41 297 33 301 24 294 23 297 12543 11329 35 298 24*298 17*288 16 286 11329 10243 30 300 16*293 14*289 12 264 10243 9268 24*303 15 293 14 292 10 262 9268 8395 18*305 15 294 14 295 8 277 8395 7615 13 302 15 294 14 298 7 303 7615 6917 11 297 15 294 14 300 7 328 6917 6284 10 293 14 293 13 302 9 001 6284 5719 9 291 14 293 13 304 13 019 5719 5242 9 287 14 293 13 304 16*026 5242 4873 8 284 13 292 12 305 15*029 4873 4617 8 282 12 291 12 305 14 030 4617 4462 7 280 12 291 11 305 11 029 4462 4372 6 278 10 290 9 305 6 028 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography