DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.7 - - 50.8 - - 46.8 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - -6 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1434 - - 3863 - - 2227 - - 577 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6262 - - 8691 - - 7055 - - 5405 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2187 - - 2138 - - 1835 - - 2910 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 84 - - 61 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 225 - - 252 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 49 - - 49 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -216 - - 2171 - - 2683 - - 1033 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6478 - - 6520 - - 4372 - - 4372 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3472 - - 437 - - 492 - - -506 ODpotential blCL - - - 9734 - - 8254 - - 6563 - - 5911 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 110 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.7 - - 50.8 - - 46.8 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 37.3 - - 42.9 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 52.3 - - 48.4 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 36.4 - - 41.8 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - -6 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1434 - - 3863 - - 2227 - - 577 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 101 - - 102 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96311 36 252 46 270 31 288 26 295 96311 89148 25 269 27 277 22 290 22 304 89148 83648 17 288 16 285 18 278 22 293 83648 79083 18 289 14 299 15 275 17 284 79083 75142 22 286 14 293 8 294 11 281 75142 71639 14 273 16 264 15 287 15 271 71639 68454 14 283 16 257 23 265 22 266 68454 65524 25 263 19 242 23 243 29 252 65524 62795 32 246 27 246 28 247 31 242 62795 60121 39 247 40 247 36 251 38 249 60121 57309 54 246 49 244 44 245 43 246 57309 54376 61 240 52 243 38 246 41 251 54376 51576 56 238 51 247 47 259 38 258 51576 49060 52 240 58 253 55 259 44 266 49060 46804 53 240 63 248 54 254 58 268 46804 44765 53 239 56 239 51 253 62 267 44765 42904 53 244 49 239 50 252 57 267 42904 41196 63 246 50 243 48 247 52 272 41196 39614 77 232 62 239 42 245 53 277 39614 38144 82 229 74 228 46 245 53 276 38144 36774 86 228 73 226 51 234 41 268 36774 35471 90 227 75 227 41 228 28 276 35471 34173 92 227 81 226 26 232 28 291 34173 32845 92 229 85 223 18 258 32 296 32845 31489 90 230 83 222 27 265 33 299 31489 30092 88 231 78 223 38 244 32 302 30092 28643 82 229 74 221 44 232 30 303 28643 27144 68 225 73 219 46 231 31 282 27144 25600 66 220 71 219 42 235 37 260 25600 24009 67 216 65 219 42 236 38 252 24009 22371 40 212 59 220 43 233 44 251 22371 20686 43 221 47 210 38 227 48 250 20686 18947 49 238 31 185 29 207 48 248 18947 17184 39 256 28 207 21 221 37 257 17184 15496 25 251 37 251 24 267 21 267 15496 13967 23 228 31 264 10 240 18 257 13967 12607 23 214 15 240 12 226 17 242 12607 11390 24 211 15 234 12 243 17 244 11390 10297 24 213 14 237 12 248 16 254 10297 9314 23 215 13*238 12 255 13 267 9314 8432 21 217 12*235 12 258 13 281 8432 7645 18 218 10 231 11*260 13 290 7645 6941 15 217 9 228 11*259 13 292 6941 6303 11*213 9 224 10 257 13 290 6303 5733 7*204 8 222 10 254 11*286 5733 5251 3 182 7 219 9 250 8*287 5251 4879 2 167 7 216 8 245 5 296 4879 4620 2 166 6 212 6 238 2 316 4620 4463 1 167 5 209 4 231 1 358 4463 4372 1 165 4 207 3 221 1 061 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography