DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.5 - - 57.9 - - 66.4 - - 65.5 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 238 - - 300 - - 27 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2324 - - 5364 - - 4762 - - 190 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 6175 - - 8572 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 7152 - - 10192 - - 9590 - - 5018 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1742 - - 1241 - - 1303 - - 2167 - - 3678 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 342 - - 488 - - 211 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 179 - - 226 - - 264 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 13 - - 5 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 9 - - 18 - - 14 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -298 - - -1306 - - -1460 - - -3625 - - -5038 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4672 - - 8458 - - 11653 - - 13216 - - 10056 sfcLCL ODpotential -8156 - - -7537 - - -5606 - - -7900 - - -10940 ODpotential blCL 12530 - - 14689 - - 15798 - - 17490 - - 15958 blCL maxRH 78 - - 79 - - 78 - - 100 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.5 - - 57.9 - - 66.4 - - 65.5 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 36.1 - - 30.3 - - 22.7 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 57.5 - - 65.5 - - 66.3 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.7 - - 36.0 - - 30.1 - - 22.7 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 238 - - 300 - - 27 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2324 - - 5364 - - 4762 - - 190 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 15 - - 14 - - 102 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97046 19 299 22 308 21 313 9 347 15 291 97046 89938 5 320 6 338 8 329 13 039 8 040 89938 84376 7 032 5 015 1 326 11 035 14 055 84376 79727 3 069 9 035 9 081 10 067 12 057 79727 75708 6 013 8 349 12 047 14 061 10 039 75708 72160 4 027 2 242 5 299 12 005 12 022 72160 68974 5 341 5 312 2 358 8 343 9 334 68974 66080 12 027 9 293 11 316 11 339 10 310 66080 63408 12 346 9 315 16 308 17 300 22 282 63408 60828 32 300 20 283 21 281 30 281 30 296 60828 58132 40 284 34 278 37 272 38 274 41 286 58132 55311 49 267 47 267 47 267 44 269 45 270 55311 52589 52 257 55 263 54 261 49 264 50 262 52589 50116 56 258 61 262 60 261 57 262 59 265 50116 47889 65 259 69 261 69 258 66 260 69 264 47889 45869 72 256 73 255 73 255 74 256 73 259 45869 44014 76 254 73 254 73 259 75 254 71 257 44014 42288 81 253 76 257 77 261 78 257 70 263 42288 40673 88 253 85 256 86 258 87 261 82 269 40673 39162 95 254 94 253 95 256 100 258 98 266 39162 37752 100 254 100 253 102 254 106 253 103 260 37752 36413 103 252 102 250 105 250 108 251 108 256 36413 35080 103 250 103 249 103 250 110 254 111 255 35080 33718 102 252 102 251 98 252 105 260 108 259 33718 32326 101 255 97 255 96 257 98 263 102 266 32326 30890 93 258 87 257 89 261 91 268 93 268 30890 29397 85 262 80 257 81 259 81 264 81 259 29397 27852 80 261 77 259 77 257 80 260 78 256 27852 26259 78 261 76 261 75 258 80 259 78 260 26259 24618 76 262 74 263 71 258 73 260 77 263 24618 22932 70 263 72 263 67 259 66 262 74 263 22932 21198 62 263 66 260 63 260 64 263 64 260 21198 19414 54 263 58 258 59 259 60 262 54 261 19414 17607 50 265 53 261 54 260 55 262 48 267 17607 15869 48 269 49 266 50 264 49 266 45 274 15869 14284 46 271 45 271 46 266 42 269 42 278 14284 12870 43 271 40 271 39 265 33 268 37 279 12870 11605 38 269 34 268 31 262 23 265 29 278 11605 10472 31 265 29 263 20*253 14*253 20 275 10472 9457 25 260 23 257 16*246 12*247 9 258 9457 8549 20 254 18 250 13 241 11 250 6 241 8549 7738 15 248 12*242 11 234 11 259 6 263 7738 7013 10 238 7*224 9 224 12 266 8 284 7013 6357 6 215 4 187 8 216 12 269 12 288 6357 5769 3 160 4 168 7 208 12 272 13 285 5769 5275 4 113 4 165 7 201 12 273 14*281 5275 4892 5 092 4 161 7 196 12 274 11*281 4892 4627 6 072 4 162 6 194 12 274 7 284 4627 4466 6*055 4 163 6 193 11 274 5 286 4466 4373 6*049 4 162 6 192 9 274 2 300 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography