DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 60.1 - - 48.3 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 157 - - 22 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4082 - - 6810 - - 1359 - - 292 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7269 - - 9350 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8910 - - 11638 - - 6187 - - 5120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5976 - - 3093 - - 2256 - - 2385 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 431 - - 143 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 14 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 194 - - 325 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 57 - - -21 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -238 - - 2104 - - 1815 - - 748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9149 - - 9534 - - 4373 - - 4372 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1873 - - 1329 - - -35 - - -495 ODpotential blCL - - - 10783 - - 10309 - - 6222 - - 5615 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 170 - - 190 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 60.1 - - 48.3 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 33.3 - - 44.5 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 59.9 - - 49.1 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 32.7 - - 43.5 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 157 - - 22 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4082 - - 6810 - - 1359 - - 292 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 101 - - 98 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96371 22 083 24 085 11 101 8 099 96371 89318 22 095 18 086 20 090 16 086 89318 83847 19 113 15 096 20 096 16 079 83847 79271 18 105 13 091 17 098 10 085 79271 75313 13 104 10 096 12 117 4 091 75313 71804 7 108 2 186 6 067 4 021 71804 68633 5 016 10 221 8 276 6 289 68633 65723 4 268 7 233 15 248 12 264 65723 63011 13 269 12 261 16 254 18 262 63011 60367 27 257 19 261 18 258 20 256 60367 57598 33 252 26 269 23 276 26 280 57598 54729 35 250 35 268 33 281 35 282 54729 51994 36 252 38 273 36 280 36 279 51994 49518 37 252 36 278 37 279 36 278 49518 47274 39 252 32 277 36 279 40 284 47274 45223 44 249 27 273 40 282 48 292 45223 43333 48 245 31 264 44 284 49 295 43333 41579 51 240 37 261 45 284 45 297 41579 39945 53 237 41 257 42 280 44 295 39945 38424 55 236 43 245 36 268 40 282 38424 37009 59 234 42 244 32 261 31 275 37009 35671 68 229 41 241 30 260 19 277 35671 34343 80 225 45 234 30 253 16 327 34343 32989 90 223 54 223 36 244 21 338 32989 31610 95 221 71 208 40 234 22 331 31610 30196 90 220 86 197 35 229 21 326 30196 28741 69 220 84 195 29 232 19 312 28741 27247 46 218 82 198 28 232 15 291 27247 25711 48 221 73 206 25 239 12 265 25711 24128 53 223 60 216 18 259 12 270 24128 22499 52 225 34 241 13 273 7 301 22499 20818 42 231 22 257 15 284 5 298 20818 19079 31 237 16 255 12 269 4 276 19079 17312 27 235 15 249 13 236 7 282 17312 15612 25 221 12 223 11 236 8 291 15612 14064 22 209 13 201 12 231 9 311 14064 12684 19 206 16*192 12 228 11 330 12684 11449 19 206 16*191 12 225 15 341 11449 10342 17 210 16 191 12 224 18 353 10342 9348 14*209 15 192 10 227 18 359 9348 8458 11*199 15 192 8 237 17 360 8458 7664 8 185 14 194 6 260 14 359 7664 6955 6 181 13 195 7 289 11 354 6955 6313 5 187 12 196 9*313 7 341 6313 5738 4 203 12 197 10*320 5 321 5738 5254 5 212 11 197 12 325 5*302 5254 4880 5 218 11 198 12 327 5*289 4880 4621 5 222 10 199 12 327 5 283 4621 4463 5 223 10 199 11 327 4 281 4463 4372 4 223 8 200 9 327 3 280 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography