DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 86.6 - - 86.8 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 359 - - 79 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2672 - - 7214 - - 8994 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6508 - - 10125 - - 10399 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7500 - - 12042 - - 13822 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2643 - - 2494 - - 1628 - - 7609 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 387 - - 574 - - 377 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 229 - - 219 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 12 - - 47 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9738 - - -6814 - - -5417 - - -10892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17239 - - 18857 - - 19240 - - 15268 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15398 - - -11325 - - -9838 - - -17511 ODpotential blCL - - - 22898 - - 23367 - - 23660 - - 21886 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 36 - - 34 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 86.6 - - 86.8 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.2 - - 18.0 - - 16.4 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 85.3 - - 87.1 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.5 - - 17.5 - - 16.1 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 359 - - 79 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2672 - - 7214 - - 8994 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96379 37 263 52 278 40 277 38 274 96379 89204 23 265 29 276 29 277 31 277 89204 83719 13 275 20 291 21 285 21 294 83719 79193 12 261 18 273 24 278 28 317 79193 75312 4 325 10 259 19 264 25 301 75312 71876 10 341 4 329 7 253 9 259 71876 68766 11 320 3 208 9 252 9 247 68766 65930 10 269 4 274 6 272 5 234 65930 63326 10 274 8 308 6 304 4 270 63326 60814 12 259 12 288 8 310 1 006 60814 58189 13 233 18 261 18 263 15 272 58189 55455 11 249 21 235 24 247 21 253 55455 52815 20 231 22 237 26 247 24 257 52815 50399 20 229 22 237 27 244 28 250 50399 48205 22 233 22 235 26 241 29 241 48205 46201 26 227 24 235 29 237 33 234 46201 44364 22 222 26 221 30 221 37 223 44364 42677 30 227 26 236 27 225 30 223 42677 41119 39 228 35 236 33 238 28 233 41119 39668 50 229 47 231 52 234 38 239 39668 38306 52 220 54 228 56 230 53 237 38306 36997 49 220 53 229 53 231 59 234 36997 35673 46 229 47 232 48 233 55 235 35673 34312 40 233 39 237 44 237 44 235 34312 32917 31 226 37 238 39 237 38 235 32917 31475 28 220 35 232 35 231 37 230 31475 29974 26 219 30 223 34 222 36 221 29974 28417 21 224 30 219 33 220 35 220 28417 26806 19 228 29 219 30 222 32 222 26806 25142 21 228 27 223 27 223 29 224 25142 23429 22 219 27 224 27 226 29 229 23429 21661 20 215 25 223 28 229 29 234 21661 19831 17 221 22 226 27 230 27 232 19831 17974 15 227 19 228 21 227 23 228 17974 16190 12 232 17 227 15 214 20 223 16190 14568 9 234 13 225 9*217 18 210 14568 13124 6 225 10*232 8*241 10 193 13124 11834 7 200 9*240 8 243 7 198 11834 10674 9 175 9 241 8 240 8 219 10674 9631 9 163 9 241 8 230 9 245 9631 8694 7 166 8 238 8 219 13 259 8694 7857 5*186 7 232 9 211 16 266 7857 7109 3*223 6 223 9 206 18 268 7109 6430 4 236 5 215 9 203 18 269 6430 5822 4 236 5 207 9 200 18 270 5822 5310 4 234 5 201 9 198 16 272 5310 4913 4 229 5 195 9 197 12 275 4913 4638 4 226 5 192 9 196 8 279 4638 4471 4 224 5 191 9 195 5*282 4471 4374 4 223 5 191 8 195 3*292 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography