DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.7 - - 72.8 - - 76.7 - - 74.9 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 103 - - 456 - - 503 - - 84 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1117 - - 11245 - - 13248 - - 14161 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 13526 - - 15243 - - 14374 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 5945 - - 16073 - - 18076 - - 18989 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2508 - - 1241 - - 1503 - - 2149 - - 14363 Hgt.Variab. W* 204 - - 720 - - 787 - - 446 - - 7 W* B/S 38 - - 23 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 305 - - 293 - - 299 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 15 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -25 - - -52 - - -44 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6420 - - 263 - - 1000 - - 2198 - - -10211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12366 - - 15810 - - 17077 - - 16791 - - 14587 sfcLCL ODpotential -9436 - - -1754 - - 92 - - 1377 - - -12390 ODpotential blCL 15381 - - 17827 - - 17984 - - 17612 - - 16765 blCL maxRH 75 - - 67 - - 59 - - 100 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 62.7 - - 72.8 - - 76.7 - - 74.9 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 17.7 - - 15.6 - - 15.5 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.8 - - 71.0 - - 75.0 - - 75.2 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 17.2 - - 15.2 - - 15.3 - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 103 - - 456 - - 503 - - 84 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1117 - - 11245 - - 13248 - - 14161 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97478 18 251 19 226 24 237 24 256 20 279 97478 89993 6 233 14 213 21 254 16 261 20 252 89993 84303 9 297 6 234 9 257 11 264 15 281 84303 79650 15 300 12 305 7 173 10 249 8 268 79650 75662 15 299 17 297 9 295 11 307 5 277 75662 72132 10 281 13 276 16 268 20 293 11 301 72132 68923 9 274 12 297 14 259 17 279 12 305 68923 65959 23 298 20 301 16 284 21 301 21 294 65959 63208 28 289 22 285 21 280 27 285 31 286 63208 60542 26 284 20 275 23 275 23 274 34 276 60542 57770 25 297 25 294 30 296 27 290 27 273 57770 54898 38 289 37 285 40 289 34 285 28 297 54898 52143 43 282 40 281 41 284 40 285 42 297 52143 49649 43 288 42 285 41 286 48 286 53 291 49649 47406 49 292 45 288 45 289 55 286 58 286 47406 45372 53 291 51 294 51 288 59 288 60 285 45372 43522 56 296 58 297 58 291 60 291 62 289 43522 41839 62 300 66 299 64 295 60 293 63 293 41839 40293 69 303 72 300 68 300 61 297 63 295 40293 38853 72 304 75 301 73 303 64 301 63 296 38853 37501 73 305 77 304 75 304 67 303 63 299 37501 36203 73 304 78 306 75 304 67 304 63 303 36203 34895 70 304 79 309 73 304 68 305 63 306 34895 33550 66 306 77 312 72 305 68 306 63 307 33550 32172 64 307 76 313 71 308 69 305 63 306 32172 30748 63 308 72 313 70 311 69 306 62 306 30748 29268 60 309 65 313 67 311 67 307 61 305 29268 27732 55 310 56 312 63 310 65 308 60 304 27732 26144 42 314 47 312 57 309 65 308 61 305 26144 24509 33 315 40 305 47 309 62 306 61 307 24509 22835 29 313 34 298 37 307 49 304 53 308 22835 21126 28 311 29 299 29 303 29 300 33 303 21126 19377 25 309 26 306 19*302 14*291 11 268 19377 17608 20 298 20*313 11*305 13*293 9 248 17608 15901 17 288 14*325 9 300 12 295 8 260 15901 14339 9 279 11 322 9 297 11 295 9 273 14339 12939 6 284 10 324 10 295 11 296 8 284 12939 11681 4 326 7 320 10 293 10 298 8 294 11681 10548 5 048 5 313 10 293 10 299 7 309 10548 9528 8 081 4 298 11 291 10 301 7 330 9528 8610 9 088 3 278 11 290 9 303 8 352 8610 7791 9 088 3 263 11 288 9 303 10 008 7791 7057 8 087 4 254 12 288 9 304 13 018 7057 6390 6*083 4 245 12 287 8 304 16 023 6390 5795 4*072 5 241 12 286 8 304 18 026 5795 5292 2 051 5 237 11 285 8 303 18 027 5292 4903 1 337 5 235 11 285 7 303 17 027 4903 4633 1 275 5 234 11 286 7 303 15 027 4633 4468 1 261 5 233 11 285 7 303 12*027 4468 4374 1 255 5 233 10 285 6 302 7*026 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography