DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 80.1 - - - - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 458 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8011 - - 11047 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10809 - - 13368 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12839 - - 15875 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1554 - - 1905 - - - - - 8894 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 612 - - 718 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 213 - - - - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 43 - - - - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2656 - - -1035 - - - - - -9412 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15496 - - 16911 - - - - - 13787 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5630 - - -3280 - - - - - -13951 ODpotential blCL - - - 18469 - - 19155 - - - - - 18326 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 71 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 80.1 - - - - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.0 - - 20.0 - - - - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 78.6 - - - - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 19.6 - - - - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 458 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8011 - - 11047 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97133 44 261 51 255 62 264 97133 89842 47 256 40 264 40 274 89842 84285 34 262 33 272 28 293 84285 79657 22 274 27 278 22 282 79657 75666 20 283 23 274 16 287 75666 72135 12 286 17 248 16 300 72135 68928 7 287 15 252 14 294 68928 65972 7 276 11 259 15 282 65972 63224 16 278 11 247 14 267 63224 60554 25 287 18 271 14 260 60554 57756 32 269 25 270 22 262 57756 54853 33 263 30 271 31 264 54853 52084 34 264 31 274 41 266 52084 49598 34 269 32 274 48 266 49598 47376 41 273 39 270 51 265 47376 45369 47 274 43 265 49 260 45369 43547 47 274 42 261 47 261 43547 41885 46 276 42 267 52 266 41885 40360 47 279 48 273 55 268 40360 38948 45 280 48 275 53 266 38948 37621 44 281 47 275 45 263 37621 36340 43 282 46 274 45 261 36340 35044 39 281 45 273 45 260 35044 33708 37 278 42 273 44 261 33708 32336 38 276 39 271 41 259 32336 30918 38 275 36 271 39 252 30918 29444 35 273 34 271 35 249 29444 27918 32 271 31 270 33 247 27918 26341 27 269 29 267 31 242 26341 24715 25 267 29 265 27 238 24715 23041 24 263 26 261 24 237 23041 21312 21 256 22 256 22 243 21312 19526 18 250 18 250 20 241 19526 17716 15 247 14 239 20 229 17716 15978 13 242 13*227 19 222 15978 14395 19 237 14*222 17 219 14395 12983 24*232 14 221 15 218 12983 11717 22*224 14 219 14 217 11717 10579 21 220 16 215 14 218 10579 9554 18 213 17 213 15 219 9554 8633 16 208 17 211 15 220 8633 7809 14 202 18 209 16 220 7809 7071 12 198 18 208 16 220 7071 6402 11 194 19 207 16 220 6402 5803 10 192 19 207 16 219 5803 5297 10 191 19 206 15 217 5297 4906 9 190 18 205 13 213 4906 4634 9 190 18 205 11 205 4634 4469 9 189 17 205 8*195 4469 4374 8 190 15 206 5*187 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography