DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 62.3 - - 59.1 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 146 - - -17 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 497 - - 3095 - - 1718 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 6538 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5325 - - 7923 - - 6546 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1272 - - 1857 - - 3655 - - 770 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 323 - - 60 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 21 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 103 - - 071 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -9 - - -21 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5550 - - -5341 - - -7041 - - -7213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10875 - - 13264 - - 13588 - - 11587 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12967 - - -11105 - - -13697 - - -16000 ODpotential blCL - - - 18292 - - 19028 - - 20243 - - 20373 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 69 - - 33 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 62.3 - - 59.1 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 19.4 - - 14.9 - - 11.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 62.1 - - 61.0 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.0 - - 18.2 - - 14.0 - - 11.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 146 - - -17 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 497 - - 3095 - - 1718 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96167 5 347 13 013 11 049 12 025 96167 89145 8 048 8 024 4 049 9 334 89145 83707 10 053 8 053 10 051 8 009 83707 79162 5 078 6 016 12 030 14 024 79162 75223 6 097 5 016 11 008 17 004 75223 71732 10 038 12 020 13 359 14 337 71732 68559 8 039 5 003 11 009 13 351 68559 65630 16 002 14 350 23 007 22 353 65630 62918 31 350 29 349 30 347 28 349 62918 60300 29 343 30 334 32 331 32 341 60300 57575 30 329 33 326 35 323 34 333 57575 54749 35 319 40 313 40 321 37 332 54749 52046 40 316 44 306 46 313 45 326 52046 49604 47 312 47 304 49 305 48 308 49604 47413 53 303 51 301 51 299 50 303 47413 45417 51 298 52 294 51 297 49 301 45417 43575 51 299 52 293 49 295 47 299 43575 41869 51 296 52 290 51 292 46 296 41869 40285 50 292 50 287 48 288 46 295 40285 38814 48 290 46 292 43 290 45 297 38814 37445 51 296 48 300 46 301 44 297 37445 36142 56 292 53 294 51 301 42 296 36142 34840 51 283 53 286 50 295 37 298 34840 33506 47 284 52 287 48 291 33 307 33506 32141 48 286 54 287 46 289 35 314 32141 30729 51 285 55 285 44 290 34 315 30729 29261 52 288 54 287 44 293 35 313 29261 27740 51 291 52 290 43 298 35 313 27740 26168 47 293 49 291 39 303 34 314 26168 24545 44 292 45 291 34 306 33 315 24545 22873 43 293 40 294 31 306 32 316 22873 21148 40 294 34 299 29 306 31 318 21148 19364 38 297 30 304 27 308 27 319 19364 17555 35 300 28 308 26 312 23 318 17555 15817 32 304 26 312 23 317 21 318 15817 14234 27 309 22 315 19 321 19 324 14234 12823 22 313 19 317 15 323 16 336 12823 11562 17 316 15 317 11 326 12 354 11562 10434 13 320 11 321 6 336 9 009 10434 9424 9 328 6 340 4 356 6 006 9424 8520 6 343 5*057 3 020 3 359 8520 7713 5 000 7*082 4 058 4 048 7713 6991 4 015 6 086 8*069 9 068 6991 6337 4 028 4 094 12*071 16 073 6337 5753 3*032 2 111 15 071 23 072 5753 5263 2*005 1 178 15 071 28 067 5263 4884 2 317 2 196 15 071 25 061 4884 4623 2 290 2 208 13 072 19 057 4623 4464 2 277 2 209 11 071 12*051 4464 4372 2 273 2 208 7 071 5*029 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography