DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.0 - - 78.1 - - 85.4 - - 82.5 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 341 - - 359 - - 47 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4040 - - 7526 - - 5876 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 7595 - - 10372 - - 7464 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 4375 - - 8868 - - 12354 - - 10704 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2068 - - 1604 - - 2143 - - 2846 - - 4029 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 464 - - 581 - - 273 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 17 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 078 - - 186 - - 205 - - 205 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 22 - - 37 - - 39 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6810 - - -5397 - - -6509 - - -7456 - - -10785 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11185 - - 14266 - - 18864 - - 18161 - - 15161 sfcLCL ODpotential -14224 - - -11815 - - -10848 - - -11886 - - -16646 ODpotential blCL 18599 - - 20683 - - 23202 - - 22590 - - 21021 blCL maxRH 34 - - 37 - - 37 - - 29 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.0 - - 78.1 - - 85.4 - - 82.5 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 30.6 - - 16.6 - - 17.2 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.8 - - 76.9 - - 84.1 - - 83.2 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.4 - - 30.3 - - 16.3 - - 17.1 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 341 - - 359 - - 47 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4040 - - 7526 - - 5876 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98032 14 253 23 251 20 251 25 266 21 262 98032 90688 9 252 13 238 18 245 16 254 15 261 90688 85026 7 268 6 232 13 221 12 223 9 256 85026 80340 7 231 5 259 7 213 8 210 9 210 80340 76307 6 173 7 208 6 235 5 216 5 176 76307 72731 4 129 10 174 8 228 8 240 3 175 72731 69477 1 202 6 203 8 209 6 212 4 141 69477 66480 5 254 8 261 8 247 3 225 6 224 66480 63707 7 250 10 245 12 256 9 265 7 250 63707 61027 9 253 14 229 19 229 22 248 17 270 61027 58245 15 269 18 255 19 239 25 238 28 247 58245 55370 22 269 23 264 25 254 25 246 28 245 55370 52631 26 266 26 260 29 253 29 253 26 248 52631 50171 28 264 26 259 31 257 32 255 28 249 50171 47973 29 264 27 258 32 258 35 254 31 249 47973 45983 27 262 28 255 31 254 36 252 36 245 45983 44168 24 254 26 245 29 257 32 254 32 239 44168 42502 17 239 22 236 28 243 29 260 26 237 42502 40955 10 217 16 229 25 228 25 248 24 242 40955 39501 6 257 12 226 20 231 23 236 25 243 39501 38132 7 260 11 221 19 229 21 230 26 243 38132 36815 5 245 13 221 20 218 20 230 25 242 36815 35487 6 217 15 226 22 211 20 225 24 241 35487 34122 9 207 19 218 21 205 20 218 24 235 34122 32722 12 233 19 217 20 202 20 214 23 227 32722 31274 16 244 18 222 20 202 19 214 23 221 31274 29770 16 243 19 225 20 206 20 214 25 220 29770 28213 16 239 19 225 21 212 21 211 27 223 28213 26609 17 240 19 222 22 214 22 202 27 223 26609 24964 18 244 19 224 22 215 22 195 26 219 24964 23276 19 246 20 235 22 220 22 201 27 219 23276 21534 21 248 24 244 24 227 22 214 30 223 21534 19730 23 249 27 245 25 232 24 222 31 224 19730 17896 21 244 26 240 25 233 25 226 30 223 17896 16131 18 237 23 234 24 232 24 228 28 223 16131 14522 18 235 21 227 23 231 21 229 26 225 14522 13085 17 234 20 224 21*225 18 227 24 223 13085 11799 17 229 19 225 18*215 17*220 22 218 11799 10643 18 221 19 222 17 209 16*213 21 212 10643 9604 19 211 19*211 17 207 17 209 20 205 9604 8672 20 200 17*196 17 206 17 206 20 200 8672 7839 19 189 16 191 17 204 17 205 19 198 7839 7094 18 181 15 188 17 202 17 204 18 197 7094 6418 15 174 14 184 17 202 18 203 17 198 6418 5814 11 163 13 182 16 201 18 202 16 201 5814 5305 7 143 12 180 16 200 17 202 15 203 5305 4910 7 110 11 179 16 200 17 202 12 201 4910 4636 7 091 10 179 15 200 16 201 9 195 4636 4470 6*081 10 179 14 199 15 201 6*180 4470 4374 4*074 9 179 13 199 12 200 3*152 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography