DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.6 - - 76.3 - - 82.6 - - 83.2 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 285 - - 318 - - 55 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3304 - - 7117 - - 7507 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 6971 - - 9994 - - 8892 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 8132 - - 11945 - - 12335 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 974 - - 2545 - - 1446 - - 1418 - - 1135 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 410 - - 551 - - 316 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 15 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 061 - - 042 - - 012 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -22 - - -12 - - 24 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6743 - - -5926 - - -4916 - - -6002 - - -11245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11118 - - 14058 - - 16862 - - 18338 - - 15621 sfcLCL ODpotential -16769 - - -13098 - - -11172 - - -11927 - - -19601 ODpotential blCL 21143 - - 21230 - - 23117 - - 24262 - - 23976 blCL maxRH 48 - - 58 - - 55 - - 54 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.6 - - 76.3 - - 82.6 - - 83.2 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.9 - - 29.8 - - 23.3 - - 17.3 - - 17.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.9 - - 75.4 - - 81.4 - - 83.5 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.5 - - 29.2 - - 22.8 - - 16.8 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 285 - - 318 - - 55 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3304 - - 7117 - - 7507 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96805 23 286 33 264 32 283 26 281 25 276 96805 89584 10 231 11 277 13 253 11 247 20 287 89584 84037 5 101 10 198 11 220 15 281 15 334 84037 79454 9 060 11 098 13 137 9 215 11 290 79454 75504 5 356 8 067 13 095 11 110 8 163 75504 72011 1 327 10 061 9 119 5 075 12 087 72011 68863 3 218 9 021 4 119 5 318 9 062 68863 65968 8 054 5 359 6 356 7 343 11 022 65968 63282 16 341 10 334 18 331 22 339 24 346 63282 60711 11 331 15 329 20 318 19 342 28 346 60711 58066 25 347 18 347 25 355 19 009 21 350 58066 55330 41 352 32 351 33 353 28 358 23 000 55330 52698 48 352 37 356 30 348 32 346 30 350 52698 50314 42 358 35 359 35 351 38 345 32 341 50314 48184 36 007 39 360 41 346 42 347 38 344 48184 46256 37 012 45 357 41 339 42 341 43 340 46256 44490 43 006 48 355 42 343 39 338 39 340 44490 42857 48 358 45 352 48 343 43 340 41 341 42857 41330 45 355 45 346 50 342 48 342 45 343 41330 39889 43 358 47 343 50 343 51 348 48 345 39889 38527 47 003 46 345 50 346 51 351 51 351 38527 37213 50 005 45 348 49 349 44 348 46 355 37213 35885 49 006 46 355 46 350 40 345 38 353 35885 34518 46 009 47 000 43 354 38 349 37 352 34518 33114 44 010 44 003 42 359 37 355 37 355 33114 31660 44 009 38 002 39 002 35 358 36 357 31660 30146 46 007 34 357 35 001 32 356 34 356 30146 28575 47 007 35 352 32 355 30 352 34 352 28575 26948 46 008 38 350 33 350 31 351 34 350 26948 25269 43 010 40 352 35 351 33 354 34 351 25269 23541 42 013 40 359 36 357 36 000 36 358 23541 21759 41 015 40 006 37 006 39 009 38 007 21759 19914 35 014 36 010 36 014 40 017 41 014 19914 18042 28 007 28 010 31 017 36 022 40 019 18042 16241 24 000 22 005 24 013 28 023 34 023 16241 14603 22 002 18 002 20 006 22 010 25 021 14603 13143 20 003 16 007 16*002 16*352 18 010 13143 11841 19 007 14 012 12*005 12*344 12 339 11841 10677 18 012 12 019 10 009 10 344 10 306 10677 9631 18 021 11 031 8 018 7 349 8 299 9631 8692 19 032 12*046 8 041 5 359 6 300 8692 7853 21 042 14*055 8 053 3 027 5 318 7853 7103 24 049 15 060 9 060 3 060 5 350 7103 6424 24 054 16 061 9 064 4 080 8 014 6424 5816 22 055 16 062 9 068 4 089 11 035 5816 5305 17 049 15 063 9 070 4 097 15 052 5305 4910 11 030 14 064 8 073 4 100 15 059 4910 4636 7 355 13 065 8 075 4 101 12 057 4636 4470 7*332 12 065 8 075 4 103 9*052 4470 4374 5*314 10 066 7 076 4 105 5*046 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography