DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.3 - - 60.0 - - 66.5 - - 65.9 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 126 - - 187 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1308 - - 5219 - - 6033 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 5137 - - 8237 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 6136 - - 10047 - - 10861 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 337 - - 1903 - - 2428 - - 3253 - - 4884 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 230 - - 416 - - 87 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 37 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 167 - - 288 - - 308 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -7 - - -5 - - -11 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4853 - - -5789 - - -3509 - - -3004 - - -6974 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9227 - - 11925 - - 13557 - - 13866 - - 11349 sfcLCL ODpotential -11993 - - -10541 - - -7041 - - -6837 - - -11747 ODpotential blCL 16366 - - 16677 - - 17088 - - 17698 - - 16121 blCL maxRH 73 - - 86 - - 73 - - 78 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.3 - - 60.0 - - 66.5 - - 65.9 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.1 - - 23.2 - - 22.1 - - 20.2 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 59.9 - - 66.2 - - 67.2 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 22.4 - - 21.2 - - 19.2 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 126 - - 187 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1308 - - 5219 - - 6033 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 44 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96144 35 268 44 276 49 265 39 278 38 275 96144 89036 26 290 36 277 37 283 27 288 28 292 89036 83578 25 294 25 277 28 291 19 295 22 297 83578 79037 22 281 18 269 21 283 18 294 23 295 79037 75131 15 266 12 269 16 291 18 291 22 293 75131 71682 13 289 11 297 12 277 14 283 17 296 71682 68537 24 288 16 304 13 285 16 291 16 305 68537 65636 27 281 21 294 18 276 24 293 20 290 65636 62968 28 288 24 282 24 282 30 290 24 289 62968 60399 34 284 32 274 31 282 32 284 31 284 60399 57707 38 271 36 269 38 276 36 276 37 278 57707 54890 45 271 42 270 45 264 48 269 48 278 54890 52172 54 270 48 272 51 262 54 268 53 278 52172 49704 62 269 57 271 59 267 57 271 56 272 49704 47475 62 269 58 269 61 267 55 270 57 268 47475 45443 63 274 52 271 54 264 57 267 59 269 45443 43577 64 275 53 275 54 263 60 264 62 272 43577 41852 61 277 57 276 58 268 64 267 63 273 41852 40255 55 282 57 275 60 272 65 268 60 274 40255 38775 53 286 51 275 54 271 63 265 61 274 38775 37404 56 288 50 279 54 271 61 263 64 270 37404 36107 53 280 56 280 57 273 65 270 62 268 36107 34813 49 280 66 277 63 275 73 272 59 269 34813 33485 46 281 60 272 69 277 69 274 56 272 33485 32124 44 280 54 270 68 276 63 278 52 276 32124 30716 45 286 48 269 58 273 57 279 45 281 30716 29251 40 290 42 276 47 273 47 282 34 291 29251 27737 32 274 34 282 36 275 35 283 28 306 27737 26174 34 263 32 282 27 280 29 288 28 307 26174 24563 29 266 29 278 23 281 25 289 22 307 24563 22904 20 265 22 276 22 275 20 285 13 307 22904 21191 16 261 17 274 19 277 17 292 10 320 21191 19421 12 268 16 266 16 280 15 307 13 348 19421 17622 8 285 14 271 13 292 12 325 18 004 17622 15891 7 289 11 287 10 318 9 346 18 012 15891 14315 8 279 9 294 9 339 8 354 15 017 14315 12909 10 274 9 294 7 340 8 356 11 018 12909 11650 11 275 9 292 8 322 8*346 9 016 11650 10518 12 278 10 287 10*302 8*334 8 015 10518 9498 13 280 10 281 11*294 8 325 7 015 9498 8584 13 282 10 276 10 293 8 317 6 013 8584 7766 11 284 8 275 8 294 8 308 4 009 7766 7035 8 287 5 276 7 292 7 303 3 358 7035 6373 4 292 2*281 5 283 7 297 3 339 6373 5781 2 315 1*106 4 278 6 291 3 323 5781 5282 2 004 1 136 4 271 6 286 2 321 5282 4897 5 030 1 172 3 265 6 283 2 003 4897 4629 8 030 2 188 3 260 5 282 3 040 4629 4466 7*028 2 192 3 259 5 279 4*044 4466 4373 6*023 2 195 3 254 4 277 4*042 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography