DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.8 - - 64.7 - - 72.6 - - 73.5 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 90 - - 469 - - 479 - - 181 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1937 - - 4725 - - 8452 - - 8166 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5342 - - 8243 - - 11260 - - 10477 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 6765 - - 9553 - - 13280 - - 12994 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2217 - - 1389 - - 1329 - - 2054 - - 7171 Hgt.Variab. W* 233 - - 543 - - 665 - - 476 - - 3 W* B/S 21 - - 20 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 238 - - 241 - - 251 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 7 - - 16 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 12 - - 15 - - 25 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5183 - - -4292 - - -3233 - - -5286 - - -10957 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11948 - - 13845 - - 16513 - - 18281 - - 15332 sfcLCL ODpotential -11861 - - -9585 - - -8330 - - -10713 - - -17101 ODpotential blCL 18626 - - 19138 - - 21610 - - 23707 - - 21476 blCL maxRH 66 - - 67 - - 77 - - 69 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.8 - - 64.7 - - 72.6 - - 73.5 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.9 - - 19.0 - - 14.4 - - 7.3 - - 10.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 63.2 - - 70.9 - - 73.1 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.7 - - 18.5 - - 13.9 - - 7.1 - - 10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 90 - - 469 - - 479 - - 181 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1937 - - 4725 - - 8452 - - 8166 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97638 20 268 21 271 25 270 25 284 25 306 97638 90234 15 305 16 288 15 296 23 313 24 322 90234 84550 19 331 16 313 12 317 11 312 18 313 84550 79873 19 349 14 348 10 337 9 318 17 333 79873 75871 12 320 12 347 8 348 7 333 8 336 75871 72335 2 195 4 050 7 354 4 019 6 297 72335 69131 3 237 3 316 5 355 2 360 9 265 69131 66173 8 274 9 256 5 310 1 263 3 202 66173 63412 26 259 25 246 19 263 15 250 14 267 63412 60735 28 244 30 248 27 253 28 265 26 242 60735 57944 28 245 36 256 39 254 41 269 31 269 57944 55037 46 253 52 255 51 257 60 261 52 273 55037 52262 66 260 65 257 65 261 69 257 69 259 52262 49778 78 264 76 259 83 260 77 263 79 255 49778 47569 88 262 85 259 91 255 89 259 82 255 47569 45582 96 260 89 257 86 255 95 251 80 256 45582 43768 99 261 90 259 86 262 83 256 82 263 43768 42094 102 264 95 266 95 265 90 265 100 268 42094 40540 107 264 101 267 102 263 103 264 125 266 40540 39085 106 262 101 264 102 262 114 261 140 264 39085 37717 100 264 98 262 100 260 111 259 125 261 37717 36400 97 268 96 263 95 261 104 258 121 256 36400 35072 94 268 93 265 88 262 99 257 122 255 35072 33705 90 268 89 266 84 263 93 258 110 257 33705 32309 87 268 87 265 82 262 87 259 94 259 32309 30875 84 267 86 264 80 261 82 259 86 260 30875 29390 79 267 82 264 77 261 79 260 80 261 29390 27854 75 265 75 264 74 260 75 261 74 259 27854 26267 71 263 69 263 70 259 70 258 67 256 26267 24630 65 263 65 261 66 257 66 255 64 254 24630 22947 55 266 60 264 63 258 62 256 61 254 22947 21215 45 267 48 265 58 261 54 258 53 254 21215 19431 39 268 38 262 49 264 44 257 43 253 19431 17626 35 269 34 262 41 263 37 252 37 251 17626 15891 32 269 33 264 35 260 32 251 33 254 15891 14311 27 269 30 265 26*256 25*250 27 261 14311 12902 21 268 26 265 18*251 15*243 18 263 12902 11643 18 265 20 265 16 249 12 240 9 237 11643 10513 17 262 16*262 14 248 12 242 9 221 10513 9496 12 255 9*257 12 246 12 245 10 230 9496 8583 4 227 6 250 9 242 12 250 10 245 8583 7768 2 093 5 243 8 236 12 255 12 258 7768 7038 4*070 4 237 6 230 12 258 14 264 7038 6377 2*082 4 232 6 222 12 260 15 267 6377 5785 3 105 4 227 5 214 12 263 16 269 5785 5285 3 092 4 222 5 206 12 264 15 270 5285 4899 2 084 4 219 4 201 12 265 14 272 4899 4631 1 105 4 218 4 198 12 265 11 275 4631 4467 1 126 4 218 4 196 11 266 8*277 4467 4374 0 150 4 216 4 195 10 265 5*282 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography