DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.4 - - 101.3 - - 100.4 - - 90.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 423 - - 141 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 13380 - - 15712 - - 14754 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15138 - - 17174 - - 15438 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18208 - - 20540 - - 19582 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2827 - - 1913 - - 2858 - - 14769 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 706 - - 785 - - 534 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 27 - - 42 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 253 - - 303 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -25 - - -28 - - -12 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2261 - - 2493 - - 681 - - -11261 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15948 - - 18048 - - 18902 - - 15638 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 161 - - 1227 - - -324 - - -13761 ODpotential blCL - - - 18047 - - 19313 - - 19906 - - 18137 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 65 - - 70 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 200 - - 30 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.4 - - 101.3 - - 100.4 - - 90.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.1 - - 36.1 - - 31.5 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.0 - - 99.6 - - 100.2 - - 96.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 35.9 - - 31.3 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 423 - - 141 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 13380 - - 15712 - - 14754 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99101 25 102 28 104 23 098 24 079 99101 91651 28 113 24 118 23 095 24 090 91651 85885 26 097 22 113 19 101 26 098 85885 81095 22 097 24 107 20 100 27 081 81095 76991 18 096 17 090 21 088 25 080 76991 73375 19 111 16 093 15 082 19 081 73375 70107 17 103 11 102 13 075 11 082 70107 67113 12 113 12 110 11 082 9 075 67113 64349 12 100 12 115 6 104 9 076 64349 61691 5 105 10 111 2 212 8 052 61691 58950 4 219 4 150 9 226 7 305 58950 56138 6 276 4 222 11 216 12 265 56138 53476 13 283 15 270 10 251 15 262 53476 51089 18 273 27 269 25 276 22 277 51089 48942 18 275 25 261 30 268 24 273 48942 46980 22 284 23 272 26 272 23 275 46980 45164 27 280 26 278 27 278 28 279 45164 43468 29 277 29 275 30 274 33 276 43468 41876 28 280 31 273 31 274 33 275 41876 40376 27 281 31 273 32 280 32 281 40376 38963 24 284 25 271 31 280 32 286 38963 37608 19 267 18 258 27 271 31 277 37608 36249 23 252 22 252 25 256 30 265 36249 34857 23 256 26 259 24 262 35 256 34857 33431 23 255 20 263 21 271 31 255 33431 31956 24 250 18 258 18 271 25 264 31956 30424 24 243 20 243 20 253 21 274 30424 28841 24 244 22 247 19 251 14 273 28841 27209 21 245 18 252 14 255 12 231 27209 25528 12 243 13 240 6 248 13 230 25528 23802 10 227 12 215 6 222 12 217 23802 22025 12 211 12*202 8 199 10 190 22025 20185 12 207 12*207 8*195 10 173 20185 18317 13*216 10 223 6*197 9 177 18317 16517 13*229 8 236 3 201 7 184 16517 14871 13 243 6 251 1 214 6 198 14871 13396 13 263 5 263 1 266 5 229 13396 12070 11 275 5 271 1 325 6 255 12070 10877 7 280 5 280 2 330 8 270 10877 9803 3 268 5 284 3 329 9 277 9803 8837 2 205 4 288 4 327 9 281 8837 7974 2 198 5 289 5 326 9 284 7974 7201 2 206 4 289 5 323 9 288 7201 6499 2 222 5 290 6 323 8 292 6499 5872 3 230 4 290 6 322 8 297 5872 5343 3 235 4 289 6 321 7 302 5343 4933 3 234 4 290 6 320 6 307 4933 4648 3 233 4 289 6 320 5 317 4648 4475 4 234 4 288 6 321 5*331 4475 4375 3 236 4 287 6 319 4*342 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography