DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 82.8 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 205 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7076 - - 6478 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10142 - - 9247 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11904 - - 11306 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6237 - - 4328 - - - - - 8180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 627 - - 459 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 21 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 190 - - - - - 214 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 42 - - 43 - - - - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6053 - - -5558 - - - - - -12222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17957 - - 16865 - - - - - 16598 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7175 - - -7181 - - - - - -18067 ODpotential blCL - - - 19079 - - 18487 - - - - - 22442 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 310 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 82.8 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.4 - - 23.4 - - - - - 16.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.4 - - 82.4 - - - - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.3 - - 23.4 - - - - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 205 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7076 - - 6478 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 100 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98067 9 184 3 241 9 312 98067 90661 6 158 2 176 4 300 90661 84946 5 305 2 326 2 278 84946 80216 4 280 7 293 7 032 80216 76153 6 108 6 256 9 016 76153 72571 8 020 3 262 8 045 72571 69343 9 320 4 288 9 346 69343 66399 5 300 8 340 14 316 66399 63681 9 301 15 311 17 318 63681 61045 12 300 16 295 19 300 61045 58301 23 276 18 263 20 287 58301 55449 27 277 16 277 24 292 55449 52697 29 267 25 275 27 275 52697 50200 33 259 33 255 29 264 50200 47966 34 263 36 247 32 258 47966 45957 38 261 34 250 35 257 45957 44130 42 249 33 256 36 256 44130 42450 44 239 35 252 37 253 42450 40892 41 233 35 242 34 249 40892 39440 36 229 32 239 29 242 39440 38084 33 231 31 240 25 239 38084 36784 31 233 31 239 25 243 36784 35475 29 234 30 237 26 247 35475 34127 30 233 30 234 26 247 34127 32742 32 232 33 234 28 248 32742 31309 37 233 35 235 27 247 31309 29821 41 237 30 240 25 235 29821 28278 40 240 24 234 21 227 28278 26680 33 237 22 230 18 225 26680 25032 28 237 22 235 15 219 25032 23331 26 237 23 233 11 233 23331 21572 28 228 25 228 12 229 21572 19751 36 214 28 216 18 231 19751 17905 47 207 35 204 25 227 17905 16134 48 203 40 198 29 218 16134 14525 42 199 40 197 30 213 14525 13090 37*195 38 197 28 211 13090 11805 34*194 34*196 22 214 11805 10651 29 193 28*193 18 220 10651 9612 25 190 23 190 16 226 9612 8680 21 187 21 190 17 229 8680 7846 21 187 21 190 18 229 7846 7100 20 186 20 190 18 230 7100 6424 20 187 20 190 18 230 6424 5818 20 187 20 189 18 229 5818 5307 19 186 19 189 17 228 5307 4911 18 187 19 189 15 226 4911 4637 17 187 18 189 13 221 4637 4470 17 187 17 189 10*216 4470 4374 14 187 14 189 5*214 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography