DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 49.7 - - 50.2 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 180 - - 37 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 933 - - 2103 - - 1485 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 1651 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1528 - - 2698 - - 2080 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 555 - - 903 - - 2307 - - 2941 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 133 - - 295 - - 156 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 339 - - 334 - - 294 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 5 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2064 - - -3537 - - -4053 - - -4122 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3592 - - 6236 - - 6133 - - 4695 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9727 - - -9382 - - -10210 - - -10536 ODpotential blCL - - - 11255 - - 12080 - - 12290 - - 11109 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 95 - - 100 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 49.7 - - 50.2 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.8 - - 24.4 - - 25.3 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 48.8 - - 50.2 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 23.5 - - 24.7 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 180 - - 37 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 933 - - 2103 - - 1485 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 78 - - 99 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 14 087 14 104 10 121 13 059 96422 89294 12 074 13 111 6 119 2 127 89294 83740 9 031 4 149 3 203 1 287 83740 79087 5 299 5 302 8 224 10 316 79087 75068 15 284 8 246 12 250 14 271 75068 71500 21 297 13 298 10 281 12 309 71500 68232 29 292 28 285 22 286 18 304 68232 65217 33 279 34 287 37 297 42 300 65217 62451 34 283 41 290 48 286 51 290 62451 59777 41 291 41 287 44 277 43 290 59777 56957 52 299 43 289 45 286 42 293 56957 54003 66 300 51 300 49 287 58 292 54003 51176 70 296 67 301 55 294 66 288 51176 48641 73 300 75 301 83 301 71 294 48641 46384 93 299 95 302 103 295 89 297 46384 44349 108 292 110 292 111 291 100 292 44349 42494 107 283 106 287 112 287 104 288 42494 40788 97 280 100 288 111 284 111 284 40788 39211 93 290 102 288 113 283 117 281 39211 37751 102 300 104 285 115 281 122 280 37751 36390 113 300 102 284 113 279 126 280 36390 35082 111 299 102 285 110 279 128 279 35082 33756 111 297 103 287 109 280 127 278 33756 32384 110 295 107 287 109 281 125 278 32384 30966 108 291 108 288 109 280 122 277 30966 29486 106 286 107 289 108 280 116 276 29486 27932 103 282 103 286 106 280 108 275 27932 26306 102 280 101 283 103 279 101 276 26306 24609 105 284 99 281 100 279 91 278 24609 22838 104 289 95 279 94 279 82 281 22838 20995 92 288 91 279 86 280 80 286 20995 19068 88 283 82 285 76 280 78 285 19068 17060 86 288 66 285 67 278 65 285 17060 15016 74 292 56 278 63 276 49 289 15016 13046 62 300 49 272 57 267 46 275 13046 11247 53 301 43 283 48 260 48 274 11247 9645 46 293 43 288 35 273 44 270 9645 8224 43 285 44 285 40 295 36 270 8224 6962 38 290 42 282 40 297 28 295 6962 5845 35 295 36 294 35 300 25 308 5845 4861 31 302 28 304 27 307 19 315 4861 3998 28 306 22 318 21 311 11 334 3998 3241 27 308 16*327 15 311 4 023 3241 2566 21 313 10*331 10*310 3 028 2566 1968 12*328 6 334 6*300 2 031 1968 1469 10*338 6 334 6 294 0 096 1469 1086 10 339 5 334 5 292 2 181 1086 823 9 339 5 336 5 290 3 188 823 664 8 340 5 335 5 289 4*191 664 572 6 339 4 335 4 290 4*189 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography