DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 77.6 - - 79.3 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 160 - - 84 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 784 - - 4658 - - 5227 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 3529 - - 3576 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1379 - - 5253 - - 5822 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3970 - - 1075 - - 1114 - - 5644 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 388 - - 335 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 124 - - 146 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4070 - - -1954 - - -1663 - - -4895 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5449 - - 7207 - - 7485 - - 5471 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12569 - - -10882 - - -9970 - - -11448 ODpotential blCL - - - 13948 - - 16135 - - 15792 - - 12024 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 61 - - 58 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 77.6 - - 79.3 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 48.3 - - 48.7 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 76.7 - - 78.7 - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 47.0 - - 47.4 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 160 - - 84 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 784 - - 4658 - - 5227 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98566 21 094 17 092 14 116 14 077 98566 91099 14 135 18 123 18 087 20 094 91099 85402 19 123 19 139 14 069 18 091 85402 80682 23 109 23 120 9 128 11 078 80682 76605 24 093 21 099 14 108 7 093 76605 72989 23 075 19 080 18 103 6 106 72989 69708 16 067 15 061 15 084 12 086 69708 66698 13 070 12 061 8 067 14 057 66698 63925 16 053 12 061 5 053 11 034 63925 61258 15 033 12 041 8 019 11 009 61258 58479 19 356 14 359 12 014 11 357 58479 55600 21 331 17 335 16 351 14 358 55600 52855 20 323 20 310 21 331 24 342 52855 50385 17 325 19 300 23 297 27 317 50385 48185 17 335 14 323 15 287 24 285 48185 46221 27 315 32 334 26 331 23 321 46221 44451 26 313 41 313 36 323 24 332 44451 42823 30 326 34 311 36 314 25 353 42823 41295 29 340 31 333 31 315 31 337 41295 39847 35 347 36 337 30 325 28 341 39847 38471 40 347 39 336 30 330 30 323 38471 37130 35 353 38 338 30 336 28 321 37130 35759 29 340 31 337 31 343 27 326 35759 34328 24 321 25 329 25 349 25 327 34328 32843 11 311 14 308 16 336 18 322 32843 31288 6 335 13 267 17 292 16 302 31288 29649 10 011 6 267 14 281 16 302 29649 27927 5 049 2 219 5 258 13 269 27927 26121 7 185 8 206 8 229 15 250 26121 24233 12 216 11 213 12 227 15 247 24233 22266 14 212 12 221 16 227 12 243 22266 20216 12 219 10 229 15 230 10 225 20216 18077 6 176 7 231 8 229 9 221 18077 15888 10 146 8 179 8 192 10 211 15888 13776 10 155 8 176 8 182 9 215 13776 11858 8 147 4 155 6 152 6 181 11858 10159 8 137 4 143 6 145 7 161 10159 8657 6 112 6 147 5 148 5 157 8657 7329 6 081 8 122 9 136 10 169 7329 6158 3 065 10*118 9*142 12 147 6158 5126 7 201 10*121 9*144 11 143 5126 4217 5 197 10 122 8 146 10 146 4217 3413 3 096 10 123 8 146 9 148 3413 2694 8 087 10 124 8 146 8 150 2694 2058 10 091 10 124 7 147 8 150 2058 1528 10*090 10 125 7 147 7 150 1528 1121 8*089 9 125 7 147 6 150 1121 841 7 089 9 125 6 147 6 149 841 671 7 089 8 125 6 147 5*148 671 575 6 089 7 125 5 147 3*147 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography