DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 55.9 - - 56.4 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 216 - - 97 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 495 - - 1495 - - 1480 - - 180 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1290 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1090 - - 2090 - - 2075 - - 775 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 206 - - 369 - - 391 - - 1929 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 117 - - 279 - - 212 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 24 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 181 - - 171 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 15 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -893 - - -669 - - -164 - - -393 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1983 - - 2759 - - 2239 - - 1168 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11566 - - -10354 - - -9550 - - -997 ODpotential blCL - - - 12656 - - 12444 - - 11625 - - 1772 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 85 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 55.9 - - 56.4 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 45.8 - - 48.5 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 54.8 - - 56.2 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 45.5 - - 48.4 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 216 - - 97 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 495 - - 1495 - - 1480 - - 180 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 41 - - 100 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96867 35 092 33 069 35 085 24 090 96867 89736 29 082 24 076 25 076 20 062 89736 84163 24 094 18 086 16 069 16 063 84163 79496 14 070 16 096 5 067 10 060 79496 75469 6 101 9 076 4 165 5 021 75469 71916 5 050 4 037 6 118 5 231 71916 68691 14 306 11 277 11 312 4 315 68691 65717 11 252 15 246 18 267 15 274 65717 62978 17 279 12 300 14 303 18 275 62978 60332 41 273 34 285 42 281 24 297 60332 57544 46 263 44 268 42 264 48 291 57544 54649 55 272 59 269 44 266 58 268 54649 51925 67 270 69 275 56 276 60 275 51925 49491 74 272 76 275 73 282 69 286 49491 47304 73 274 77 275 93 281 89 278 47304 45322 71 275 79 275 108 272 99 270 45322 43522 73 276 81 274 105 272 104 268 43522 41874 88 279 104 281 111 282 106 267 41874 40344 105 282 120 282 124 284 107 270 40344 38909 106 283 112 279 112 281 108 275 38909 37551 95 284 106 279 108 280 108 275 37551 36232 84 284 98 278 102 279 110 272 36232 34884 79 282 90 275 94 277 110 272 34884 33480 77 276 82 270 89 275 101 273 33480 32027 77 273 80 267 88 274 90 271 32027 30506 77 271 77 270 88 273 87 269 30506 28902 71 270 73 272 86 273 87 267 28902 27217 64 266 66 270 79 270 84 265 27217 25452 60 265 56 272 70 265 76 264 25452 23611 63 269 57 268 64 261 70 264 23611 21694 69 266 63 257 57 258 71 266 21694 19700 69 262 67 250 55 253 80 254 19700 17623 66 264 65 253 52 248 77 246 17623 15507 59 255 57 251 46 249 66 250 15507 13463 50 254 49 250 40 254 52 257 13463 11600 31 272 41 255 38 264 38 259 11600 9940 25 281 26 263 38 269 31 258 9940 8466 26 263 21 250 34 259 34 240 8466 7159 27 247 28 234 33 245 31 232 7159 6000 25 226 31 226 30 232 30 227 6000 4975 20 197 28 210 27 219 30 223 4975 4076 19 169 22 195 24 211 33 217 4076 3291 16 157 19 196 25 205 38 203 3291 2598 13 163 21*197 27*193 40 189 2598 1990 15 187 20*187 25*173 38 185 1990 1484 19*184 18 181 25 171 33 180 1484 1095 18*178 18 180 25 170 29 176 1095 828 14 170 17 180 23 169 25*175 828 665 13 169 16 180 21 169 21*174 665 573 10 168 13 179 16 168 15 173 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography