DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.5 - - 86.1 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 127 - - 79 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5070 - - 6154 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3699 - - 4209 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5665 - - 6749 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3113 - - 1393 - - 6899 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 370 - - 348 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 63 - - 28 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 083 - - 168 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 837 - - 1064 - - -3656 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4828 - - 5685 - - 4232 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -456 - - -179 - - -4866 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6121 - - 6928 - - 5442 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 73 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 150 - - 40 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.5 - - 86.1 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.2 - - 63.1 - - 65.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.7 - - 85.6 - - 83.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.9 - - 61.8 - - 64.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 127 - - 79 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5070 - - 6154 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 14 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99422 34 101 34 098 30 087 99422 91926 39 090 33 097 24 081 91926 86155 35 083 31 099 25 076 86155 81363 27 080 32 096 27 078 81363 77237 20 083 26 088 27 086 77237 73598 14 091 19 091 20 091 73598 70309 18 107 14 105 14 089 70309 67288 14 118 12 108 10 129 67288 64494 16 125 11 114 9 133 64494 61801 10 098 8 122 5 201 61801 59017 6 099 3 202 5 201 59017 56148 8 325 6 265 3 264 56148 53425 9 274 12 254 10 282 53425 50986 3 263 12 245 15 265 50986 48800 12 293 14 273 15 259 48800 46811 18 286 18 295 15 278 46811 44980 16 288 20 286 18 295 44980 43279 14 285 14 268 20 292 43279 41689 11 278 8 246 18 279 41689 40198 8 264 3 285 16 273 40198 38793 2 308 7 322 14 271 38793 37430 6 039 7 322 6 291 37430 36040 11 041 8 339 18 313 36040 34589 9 027 12 336 20 306 34589 33082 7 346 11 329 15 302 33082 31502 10 303 12 306 13 301 31502 29837 12 291 13 284 15 305 29837 28091 13 280 13 275 14 309 28091 26265 13 273 10 266 10 290 26265 24363 13 279 9 271 10 268 24363 22387 13 273 10 285 8 271 22387 20327 12 252 9 290 10 282 20327 18177 11 224 8 263 12 270 18177 15988 11 205 9 232 9 246 15988 13881 9 205 5 245 4 280 13881 11962 2 267 2 331 5 017 11962 10258 4 004 1 159 3 032 10258 8749 4 006 4 284 3 317 8749 7417 5 010 4*268 4 264 7417 6241 5*012 2*247 3 222 6241 5197 4*019 2 198 3 193 5197 4275 1 057 2 176 5 172 4275 3459 1 084 3 163 5 163 3459 2729 1 103 3 156 6 157 2729 2084 1 119 3 152 6 154 2084 1544 1 132 3 150 6 152 1544 1131 1 135 3 147 6 151 1131 847 1 140 3 146 6 149 847 674 1 142 3 147 5*147 674 575 1 136 3 145 4*145 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography