DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.5 - - 87.9 - - 84.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 68 - - -22 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3792 - - 3842 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2553 - - 559 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4387 - - 4437 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 883 - - 1316 - - 4016 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 302 - - 202 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 191 - - 197 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1361 - - 1359 - - -1454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3026 - - 3078 - - 2030 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3523 - - -539 - - -2764 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7910 - - 4976 - - 3340 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 85 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3340 - - 3620 - - 3790 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.5 - - 87.9 - - 84.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 75.6 - - 75.8 - - 76.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.1 - - 88.8 - - 86.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 74.2 - - 74.5 - - 76.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 68 - - -22 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3792 - - 3842 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 44 - - 40 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99007 29 099 25 080 36 072 99007 91551 29 093 27 097 26 082 91551 85818 26 081 31 090 21 094 85818 81054 25 082 25 079 16 083 81054 76960 19 076 22 082 13 063 76960 73345 15 088 18 065 12 075 73345 70069 10 074 12 071 9 066 70069 67060 3 106 6 042 11 055 67060 64277 7 077 3 139 5 023 64277 61598 7 006 6 104 9 137 61598 58828 13 243 15 266 7 306 58828 55989 10 207 12 230 15 253 55989 53315 13 262 12 273 11 270 53315 50914 30 261 28 274 23 285 50914 48755 41 251 36 265 31 274 48755 46790 36 245 32 262 27 273 46790 44985 31 250 27 267 27 271 44985 43310 29 252 27 264 23 267 43310 41742 24 247 32 248 23 275 41742 40268 25 253 28 247 29 293 40268 38876 26 253 27 256 35 292 38876 37525 22 248 26 254 30 282 37525 36145 19 246 25 244 24 265 36145 34704 19 242 23 238 25 249 34704 33209 19 240 23 238 28 245 33209 31644 19 236 24 237 27 245 31644 29995 18 238 20 227 26 233 29995 28262 14 234 16 221 23 229 28262 26445 12 219 18 223 20 236 26445 24546 12 217 18 226 19 243 24546 22570 14 220 14 215 16 242 22570 20515 11 213 13 210 13 233 20515 18371 14 222 14 227 12 232 18371 16178 20 226 19 232 17 233 16178 14058 23 220 24 232 23 235 14058 12125 24 222 25 232 26 238 12125 10407 26 227 25 233 25 239 10407 8883 26 228 26 235 25 242 8883 7528 25 223 25 234 24 243 7528 6324 21 214 23 219 22 236 6324 5259 18*205 22*204 23 213 5259 4324 17*195 22*202 24 203 4324 3499 16 193 21 200 24 202 3499 2759 16 191 20 198 24 202 2759 2105 16 190 19 196 23 201 2105 1559 15 190 18 195 21 200 1559 1139 14 189 17 195 19 198 1139 851 14 188 16 194 16 197 851 676 12 188 14 193 13*196 676 575 10 187 11 193 9*195 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography