DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.3 - - 81.3 - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 116 - - 81 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3706 - - 4516 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2708 - - 3069 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4301 - - 5111 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1153 - - 780 - - 5401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 335 - - 320 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 312 - - 308 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1946 - - -2297 - - -5050 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6247 - - 7408 - - 5626 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10296 - - -9464 - - -11060 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14597 - - 14575 - - 11636 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 50 - - 52 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.3 - - 81.3 - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 51.0 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.6 - - 80.9 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.6 - - 49.7 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 116 - - 81 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3706 - - 4516 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98727 27 092 25 098 21 076 98727 91286 24 101 21 105 19 062 91286 85544 21 093 24 116 14 082 85544 80772 18 085 23 097 17 109 80772 76690 17 083 19 076 18 104 76690 73092 16 101 13 093 15 083 73092 69825 16 109 11 112 7 098 69825 66827 12 085 8 117 7 118 66827 64058 6 083 11 144 3 124 64058 61378 5 241 4 195 7 258 61378 58599 21 249 16 242 14 261 58599 55728 30 252 27 260 32 251 55728 52997 44 249 42 246 42 249 52997 50554 41 242 38 245 40 255 50554 48371 41 259 35 257 40 257 48371 46378 55 268 45 265 44 259 46378 44539 63 269 53 270 49 269 44539 42838 70 273 65 273 64 276 42838 41258 74 273 71 272 75 275 41258 39779 71 269 72 271 78 276 39779 38383 68 266 72 271 81 276 38383 37028 67 264 69 271 81 274 37028 35648 63 264 63 269 76 274 35648 34213 60 262 59 267 70 274 34213 32726 56 262 58 266 66 273 32726 31171 52 265 57 265 65 273 31171 29533 49 267 53 262 61 272 29533 27817 46 264 49 260 52 270 27817 26022 44 258 43 259 47 271 26022 24149 41 262 37 257 43 272 24149 22198 39 277 36 270 35 263 22198 20160 37 283 32 276 35 260 20160 18029 32 285 31 282 33 271 18029 15853 32 285 33 283 31 271 15853 13757 29 278 29 286 28 279 13757 11853 26 277 26 280 22 287 11853 10163 26 283 24 282 20 286 10163 8667 19 291 19 291 18 287 8667 7342 17 303 12 299 12 279 7342 6170 16 306 9 298 8 280 6170 5137 12*301 8*304 5 297 5137 4227 9*309 8*307 5 307 4227 3422 9 311 8 307 5 313 3422 2701 9 312 8 307 5 316 2701 2063 9 313 7 309 5 321 2063 1532 9 314 7 308 5 322 1532 1123 8 314 7 308 4 325 1123 843 8 314 7 308 4 326 843 672 7 314 6 308 4*328 672 575 7 314 6 308 3*328 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography