DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 56.5 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 21 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 87 - - 374 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 682 - - 969 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 991 - - 1239 - - 667 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 49 - - 33 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 272 - - 294 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 109 - - 241 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 573 - - 728 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 39 - - 18 - - -8934 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 643 - - 951 - - 9508 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 56.5 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.5 - - 55.3 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.7 - - 56.7 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.4 - - 55.2 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 21 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 87 - - 374 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95746 47 280 51 278 46 268 95746 88726 31 275 35 277 35 266 88726 83244 33 261 36 266 31 279 83244 78697 26 263 38 254 40 282 78697 74807 24 265 30 260 32 276 74807 71378 26 278 20 281 16 277 71378 68287 39 279 34 293 28 293 68287 65469 49 280 44 285 44 279 65469 62870 55 285 54 288 55 285 62870 60354 64 277 61 278 58 282 60354 57710 65 275 63 274 62 282 57710 54939 66 280 65 280 73 283 54939 52275 75 286 74 286 84 285 52275 49866 88 287 89 287 95 287 49866 47701 99 285 100 285 100 287 47701 45734 106 284 101 284 100 285 45734 43928 103 281 96 281 95 283 43928 42260 95 285 88 284 89 289 42260 40712 84 294 81 290 87 297 40712 39267 86 306 81 302 88 303 39267 37904 90 310 83 306 87 303 37904 36578 86 306 83 304 86 302 36578 35219 78 296 81 299 87 299 35219 33799 74 291 79 297 83 296 33799 32325 71 290 77 295 78 293 32325 30785 70 293 74 293 75 292 30785 29170 68 292 67 294 69 295 29170 27479 65 289 63 292 66 296 27479 25710 59 288 59 287 61 293 25710 23862 55 291 55 284 56 287 23862 21935 56 292 54 285 52 284 21935 19921 56 289 55 285 50 283 19921 17816 54 287 54 283 46 283 17816 15666 45 288 46 281 42 284 15666 13592 38 292 36 284 35 286 13592 11707 31 281 34 291 27 286 11707 10033 28 272 28 285 22 285 10033 8543 25 260 22 280 18 282 8543 7219 17 262 16 281 12 292 7219 6049 11 257 13 292 10 321 6049 5018 11 241 14 288 14 330 5018 4115 14 238 15 280 15 339 4115 3324 15 256 16 283 12 315 3324 2621 19 269 16 279 15 276 2621 2003 20 271 13 280 17 270 2003 1489 19 272 12 286 15 282 1489 1097 14 273 10*291 11 299 1097 828 10*273 8*293 7 309 828 666 9*272 7 295 5*308 666 573 7 272 6 295 3*291 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography