DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 84.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 266 - - 119 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4237 - - 5645 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3400 - - 4033 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4832 - - 6240 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1341 - - 2378 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 428 - - 367 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 28 - - 27 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 216 - - 227 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 11 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1159 - - -600 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5992 - - 6840 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4010 - - -2054 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8842 - - 8294 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 83 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 920 - - 1340 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 84.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.0 - - 56.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.2 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.3 - - 55.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 266 - - 119 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4237 - - 5645 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 51 - - 32 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96443 28 255 44 244 96443 89159 38 256 36 251 89159 83621 33 263 30 256 83621 79043 24 270 24 263 79043 75089 20 265 21 268 75089 71591 21 259 22 269 71591 68426 22 260 26 249 68426 65510 25 272 26 256 65510 62802 29 287 25 264 62802 60164 36 273 30 269 60164 57398 39 258 36 265 57398 54523 42 262 43 270 54523 51776 46 261 52 269 51776 49307 49 259 53 265 49307 47114 54 256 51 265 47114 45153 53 250 48 257 45153 43384 49 248 45 250 43384 41765 57 261 44 257 41765 40257 63 261 50 258 40257 38837 55 261 54 254 38837 37494 55 256 55 250 37494 36190 51 254 54 246 36190 34861 49 257 54 243 34861 33477 52 260 53 243 33477 32040 51 258 50 245 32040 30534 48 260 46 250 30534 28950 46 262 43 253 28950 27289 43 264 38 252 27289 25547 41 267 35 256 25547 23729 41 268 35 267 23729 21836 45 261 38 268 21836 19864 46 235 40 257 19864 17808 45 231 40 249 17808 15705 34 243 37 256 15705 13667 28 251 32 268 13667 11804 25 247 31 266 11804 10143 23 245 33 253 10143 8667 26 248 33 246 8667 7355 31 248 31*242 7355 6188 38 244 28*231 6188 5154 33*233 28 230 5154 4241 30*220 28 228 4241 3434 29 218 28 227 3434 2711 29 216 27 226 2711 2071 28 215 27 225 2071 1537 28 214 26 224 1537 1127 27 214 26 224 1127 845 26 213 24 223 845 673 23 213 22 223 673 575 19 213 17 223 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography