DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 68.4 - - 72.4 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 304 - - 175 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 888 - - 2084 - - 3269 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1824 - - 2486 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1483 - - 2679 - - 3864 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 320 - - 1655 - - 2713 - - 3931 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 219 - - 350 - - 341 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - 22 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 177 - - 178 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4098 - - -3756 - - -3247 - - -5290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5582 - - 6435 - - 7111 - - 5866 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9468 - - -6053 - - -5635 - - -8389 ODpotential blCL - - - 10951 - - 8732 - - 9499 - - 8964 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 69 - - 72 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 68.4 - - 72.4 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 42.4 - - 43.3 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 66.9 - - 71.6 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 41.5 - - 42.4 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 304 - - 175 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 888 - - 2084 - - 3269 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96978 56 236 59 246 58 242 66 249 96978 89591 44 249 48 248 47 248 52 244 89591 83957 31 245 38 242 41 252 38 256 83957 79309 23 242 36 233 35 248 35 269 79309 75313 24 259 26 244 31 244 33 272 75313 71785 25 272 22 260 29 261 32 254 71785 68578 30 277 32 267 32 264 25 261 68578 65613 37 274 34 268 37 264 35 270 65613 62862 42 271 40 271 33 270 35 261 62862 60183 46 268 41 272 30 277 31 267 60183 57369 44 267 40 275 28 278 30 274 57369 54435 40 271 43 272 34 283 32 279 54435 51629 40 272 41 269 41 278 36 279 51629 49107 39 269 40 266 42 265 39 274 49107 46854 39 268 37 266 43 258 41 271 46854 44819 38 266 37 269 41 260 41 273 44819 42971 38 270 37 268 40 263 40 279 42971 41289 42 269 33 265 37 267 33 280 41289 39748 40 260 34 260 39 266 31 282 39748 38325 36 255 37 253 41 259 31 274 38325 36993 35 256 33 246 35 250 28 277 36993 35708 37 252 31 250 29 249 26 282 35708 34400 38 250 32 254 31 246 25 279 34400 33038 37 253 32 255 31 244 25 276 33038 31624 33 255 29 257 29 248 26 266 31624 30146 29 259 28 259 27 249 28 254 30146 28591 27 260 26 256 26 248 28 252 28591 26954 25 244 25 255 26 251 26 256 26954 25235 22 236 24 249 24 258 24 263 25235 23436 22 234 24 243 26 260 24 262 23436 21559 21 222 26 221 28 254 23 263 21559 19599 17 213 25 209 30 249 21 265 19599 17552 16 205 28 206 30 246 24 259 17552 15461 20 202 33 202 33 235 25 252 15461 13443 21 213 31 199 36 221 28 246 13443 11604 27 234 28 215 32 212 32 232 11604 9968 32 233 31 220 31 215 33 216 9968 8514 28 229 32 215 33 214 36 211 8514 7220 26 227 30 212 36 206 36 208 7220 6071 26 223 28 210 35 198 35 206 6071 5054 27 219 28 208 33 194 32 198 5054 4158 28 214 28 201 29*189 30 193 4158 3367 28 207 27*193 24*180 29 190 3367 2659 27 191 23*183 23 179 29 187 2659 2033 25*170 20 177 23 178 27 184 2033 1511 20*161 19 176 22 178 25 181 1511 1111 15 154 18 176 22 178 22 177 1111 836 14 153 17 176 21 177 18 174 836 669 13 153 16 175 19 177 15*172 669 574 11 153 13 175 15 177 9*170 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography