DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.6 - - 73.9 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 258 - - 39 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2076 - - 3241 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1770 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2671 - - 3836 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1303 - - 1117 - - 1447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 332 - - 213 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 197 - - 201 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3854 - - -2416 - - -4001 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6525 - - 6252 - - 4576 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9275 - - -7117 - - -9443 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11946 - - 10953 - - 10018 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 87 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.6 - - 73.9 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.2 - - 48.6 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.2 - - 73.8 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.2 - - 48.0 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 258 - - 39 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2076 - - 3241 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 19 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96350 24 251 30 252 35 268 96350 89153 27 278 21 246 29 251 89153 83614 26 271 24 264 27 272 83614 79039 14 291 25 265 25 276 79039 75127 17 304 14 289 15 291 75127 71674 22 303 24 290 24 312 71674 68551 24 306 30 293 33 303 68551 65681 34 314 39 303 44 310 65681 63038 43 310 38 303 46 307 63038 60492 34 313 38 305 39 312 60492 57806 39 333 49 322 44 321 57806 54980 68 332 65 322 50 301 54980 52261 72 325 72 318 61 312 52261 49804 74 323 75 316 73 318 49804 47602 76 320 78 316 78 317 47602 45610 76 318 77 317 75 314 45610 43800 73 319 73 318 71 313 43800 42137 70 322 68 319 69 315 42137 40596 67 325 61 320 68 319 40596 39157 63 325 56 321 65 319 39157 37800 61 324 55 320 62 318 37800 36481 60 322 54 318 66 318 36481 35133 60 321 52 316 71 318 35133 33727 60 319 50 313 71 317 33727 32265 58 319 50 313 68 316 32265 30735 55 317 49 315 67 315 30735 29124 52 316 48 314 64 315 29124 27433 47 314 48 311 56 313 27433 25661 45 310 49 308 46 305 25661 23809 48 310 48 306 46 303 23809 21881 48 309 46 309 48 306 21881 19876 47 302 42 307 48 305 19876 17796 41 301 42 302 48 301 17796 15673 31 312 48 304 46 296 15673 13619 28 314 45 302 37 288 13619 11749 30 314 37 294 31 284 11749 10085 33 312 27 293 30 280 10085 8605 25 319 21 290 28 274 8605 7289 19 296 15 286 27 267 7289 6123 19 262 17 262 27 255 6123 5093 19 237 19 243 24 237 5093 4187 20 212 17*214 23 226 4187 3389 18*206 17*207 22 215 3389 2675 14*203 16 204 22 204 2675 2044 13 198 16 201 23 195 2044 1519 12 197 15 199 23 188 1519 1115 11 195 15 197 22 181 1115 838 11 194 14 196 19 175 838 670 10 194 13 196 15*172 670 574 9 194 11 194 9*169 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography