DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.2 - - 69.2 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - 59 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1267 - - 2137 - - 978 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1862 - - 2732 - - 1573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 626 - - 904 - - 803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 159 - - 210 - - 80 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 064 - - 083 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 364 - - 634 - - 217 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1498 - - 2098 - - 1356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 57 - - 344 - - -2890 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1805 - - 2388 - - 4463 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 160 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.2 - - 69.2 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.5 - - 61.7 - - 61.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.9 - - 68.8 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.0 - - 61.1 - - 60.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - 59 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1267 - - 2137 - - 978 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98231 9 095 13 114 10 109 98231 90791 18 117 8 126 12 095 90791 85097 18 121 6 158 9 079 85097 80375 8 119 7 125 1 157 80375 76301 4 137 6 092 4 135 76301 72704 5 155 5 054 2 320 72704 69437 5 218 2 217 7 286 69437 66422 9 238 10 206 9 261 66422 63623 8 228 10 196 11 245 63623 60916 8 255 10 213 12 213 60916 58101 19 250 13 231 13 211 58101 55190 33 225 24 234 19 238 55190 52411 30 210 28 215 34 232 52411 49921 27 235 31 221 31 214 49921 47711 41 236 37 221 29 219 47711 45732 48 218 40 217 36 212 45732 43953 45 208 46 212 42 203 43953 42322 51 216 52 208 48 202 42322 40793 72 214 63 198 52 193 40793 39350 69 210 62 187 52 189 39350 37981 65 209 55 186 51 189 37981 36648 61 207 49 186 50 189 36648 35287 56 204 44 184 41 192 35287 33869 51 206 42 181 37 193 33869 32397 44 207 40 179 32 190 32397 30855 40 198 37 176 27 184 30855 29229 35 194 31 175 26 181 29229 27521 26 207 24 179 25 198 27521 25732 21 224 20 193 26 230 25732 23864 21 210 21 214 20 236 23864 21917 26 195 24 219 14 211 21917 19889 29 184 26 217 16 223 19889 17779 24 170 27 207 15 228 17779 15633 13 151 22 182 19 244 15633 13569 7 139 15 119 8 196 13569 11700 9 149 12 096 7 113 11700 10044 9 189 5 103 3 054 10044 8572 11 192 4 199 4 022 8572 7260 8 179 5 199 4 004 7260 6095 9 129 5 170 6 356 6095 5066 14 110 9 128 9 041 5066 4160 14 109 12 117 12 058 4160 3362 11 112 11*095 13 067 3362 2650 13 100 9*083 14 066 2650 2025 12*085 9 082 13*062 2025 1506 11*066 9 082 10*057 1506 1109 11 064 8 083 9 056 1109 835 10 063 8 084 8 056 835 669 9 062 7 084 7 055 669 574 8 062 6 083 6 055 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography