DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.0 - - 82.6 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 45 - - 25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1373 - - 2292 - - 190 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 559 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1968 - - 2887 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1078 - - 2084 - - 4652 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 176 - - 191 - - 45 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 219 - - 239 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 922 - - 1418 - - -470 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1046 - - 1469 - - 1255 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 491 - - 582 - - -1690 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1477 - - 2305 - - 2475 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2060 - - 3120 - - 4090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.0 - - 82.6 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 75.7 - - 77.4 - - 78.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.7 - - 82.6 - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 75.0 - - 76.4 - - 78.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 45 - - 25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1373 - - 2292 - - 190 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 98 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 19 - - 19 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98859 25 089 23 097 19 103 98859 91369 22 089 18 107 18 097 91369 85629 18 089 16 093 18 089 85629 80874 11 102 14 077 18 072 80874 76794 8 106 10 075 16 061 76794 73196 14 095 11 073 16 053 73196 69943 17 095 12 067 16 046 69943 66977 18 094 16 088 12 038 66977 64258 11 077 15 081 5 019 64258 61638 8 102 9 064 2 083 61638 58906 5 063 5 030 1 344 58906 56074 2 059 7 272 5 262 56074 53384 7 297 13 241 16 262 53384 50979 17 273 19 258 25 254 50979 48822 23 287 17 256 25 250 48822 46849 21 303 20 262 31 250 46849 45027 28 299 31 265 35 249 45027 43330 33 291 34 270 35 252 43330 41735 40 291 36 275 34 259 41735 40225 45 292 37 279 36 264 40225 38794 43 287 39 281 39 266 38794 37408 37 262 38 278 39 262 37408 36004 33 245 40 269 37 251 36004 34550 30 232 44 264 38 248 34550 33045 23 235 40 261 37 258 33045 31475 22 243 35 261 40 269 31475 29824 21 251 33 264 28 271 29824 28089 18 253 31 262 45 275 28089 26274 24 260 30 274 38 273 26274 24378 31 268 32 282 32 277 24378 22406 37 274 30 287 28 289 22406 20352 38 281 28 284 28 285 20352 18216 38 288 31 298 30 287 18216 16047 44 286 39 304 32 305 16047 13957 45 284 40 293 33 300 13957 12049 44 282 39 284 33 292 12049 10348 40 282 32 287 28 291 10348 8836 30 270 25 282 19 283 8836 7491 23 257 22 273 18 267 7491 6296 18 254 19 262 19 257 6296 5240 13 253 18 252 21 251 5240 4310 11 253 18 246 20 247 4310 3487 13 238 18*244 20 245 3487 2750 14 227 17*242 18 241 2750 2098 13*224 16 240 16 239 2098 1555 11*221 15 238 14 235 1555 1137 10 219 14 237 12 232 1137 849 10 218 13 237 11*230 849 675 9 218 12 236 9*230 675 575 7 218 9 235 7 228 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography