DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 58.4 - - 59.1 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 132 - - 66 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2064 - - 2572 - - 2255 - - 606 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1892 - - 1040 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2659 - - 3167 - - 2850 - - 1201 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 711 - - 373 - - 641 - - 2146 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 296 - - 227 - - 57 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 14 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 310 - - 039 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 5 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 915 - - 1127 - - 891 - - 77 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1745 - - 2040 - - 1960 - - 1124 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 423 - - 816 - - 477 - - -545 ODpotential blCL - - - 2236 - - 2351 - - 2373 - - 1746 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 58.4 - - 59.1 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 51.5 - - 52.5 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 57.5 - - 58.6 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 50.1 - - 51.2 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 132 - - 66 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2064 - - 2572 - - 2255 - - 606 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 101 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97581 28 235 36 261 26 271 27 263 97581 90117 19 246 25 247 24 262 25 264 90117 84446 9 290 7 229 18 248 19 273 84446 79811 9 312 2 328 13 248 10 297 79811 75836 6 293 3 335 9 249 8 340 75836 72317 2 092 3 106 8 246 5 305 72317 69130 8 352 3 012 4 269 8 289 69130 66197 11 300 5 341 1 034 3 232 66197 63457 21 282 8 257 8 277 7 253 63457 60774 26 246 26 216 27 240 26 271 60774 57960 25 243 21 238 27 255 24 258 57960 55012 25 261 43 266 37 257 32 240 55012 52171 48 249 48 250 51 257 45 260 52171 49628 63 249 52 253 62 264 60 271 49628 47367 73 254 64 258 71 264 79 268 47367 45321 76 257 72 257 84 261 93 264 45321 43465 76 254 77 255 89 256 99 258 43465 41770 70 252 80 255 87 255 102 255 41770 40210 69 264 79 257 91 260 107 255 40210 38760 79 269 83 262 102 263 111 256 38760 37404 87 266 91 263 109 262 112 256 37404 36098 84 262 98 261 112 260 112 256 36098 34768 80 261 99 260 115 257 112 253 34768 33381 72 258 94 261 116 255 110 252 33381 31940 65 255 85 261 115 255 106 252 31940 30429 63 254 76 260 112 256 99 253 30429 28837 60 254 68 258 109 259 88 256 28837 27166 57 254 64 256 99 260 81 260 27166 25416 57 255 67 255 87 258 82 261 25416 23586 58 256 72 254 76 255 76 262 23586 21677 58 260 69 255 72 256 63 263 21677 19680 58 267 60 259 64 261 54 256 19680 17595 57 273 49 266 51 260 42 248 17595 15472 50 277 41 276 40 253 27 255 15472 13431 46 278 32 265 32 252 19 249 13431 11576 44 278 28 266 32 246 19 236 11576 9926 39 280 28 264 28 245 24 232 9926 8455 34 282 28 261 21 249 31 237 8455 7148 29 278 28 261 18 251 29 225 7148 5992 23 272 27 264 17 237 26 204 5992 4973 21 270 20 267 13 227 20 193 4973 4083 16 272 12 273 6 208 9 184 4083 3304 10*294 8*307 2*073 3 109 3304 2611 10*298 8*308 3*046 5 066 2611 1999 10 298 8 309 3 041 5 052 1999 1489 10 298 8 309 3 040 6*034 1489 1098 10 298 8 310 3 037 7*025 1098 830 9 298 7 310 3 035 7 023 830 666 8 297 7 310 3 034 6 022 666 573 7 297 6 311 3 035 5 021 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography