DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 65.5 - - 68.7 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 272 - - 85 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 916 - - 3660 - - 5444 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 2969 - - 3620 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1511 - - 4255 - - 6039 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1091 - - 1693 - - 1830 - - 5025 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 410 - - 325 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 227 - - 223 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4393 - - -4158 - - -2864 - - -5668 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5904 - - 8413 - - 8903 - - 6242 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11586 - - -10874 - - -8127 - - -9108 ODpotential blCL - - - 13097 - - 15129 - - 14166 - - 9682 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 45 - - 97 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 65.5 - - 68.7 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 30.6 - - 31.5 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 64.0 - - 68.2 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.6 - - 29.4 - - 30.3 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 272 - - 85 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 916 - - 3660 - - 5444 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 88 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97206 9 018 6 182 11 296 11 328 97206 89914 9 039 1 034 7 312 9 023 89914 84306 7 056 8 080 4 122 2 327 84306 79630 1 093 6 086 5 123 4 297 79630 75565 4 152 5 110 7 225 10 274 75565 71959 5 303 4 031 7 200 5 235 71959 68693 15 282 14 297 10 286 8 293 68693 65684 14 288 16 290 16 289 10 284 65684 62898 19 315 22 284 21 304 22 300 62898 60228 36 297 33 286 41 295 37 294 60228 57466 43 297 45 290 43 286 40 289 57466 54578 52 299 52 288 51 289 52 290 54578 51799 59 296 54 288 60 283 63 290 51799 49299 65 293 57 291 56 281 71 289 49299 47067 66 291 67 293 61 291 74 287 47067 45047 68 293 76 294 77 296 74 287 45047 43202 75 295 83 295 86 293 74 290 43202 41506 82 296 87 295 89 293 81 298 41506 39940 85 297 92 295 94 294 90 301 39940 38481 77 297 93 296 93 294 94 300 38481 37111 66 298 90 295 87 294 97 300 37111 35788 63 297 87 293 81 294 96 300 35788 34451 64 295 82 291 78 294 89 298 34451 33071 63 292 78 291 77 292 83 298 33071 31643 55 290 77 291 76 289 81 297 31643 30148 53 294 74 292 75 288 81 295 30148 28572 53 296 65 290 71 285 79 295 28572 26917 52 297 54 283 68 276 70 294 26917 25186 49 295 45 281 72 274 62 284 25186 23378 47 295 46 289 68 281 58 286 23378 21495 46 296 45 288 55 295 47 295 21495 19531 44 299 43 290 47 303 43 291 19531 17477 42 300 42 290 41 306 41 295 17477 15377 42 299 39 290 43 300 37 299 15377 13347 42 300 34 295 36 291 34 295 13347 11499 34 307 31 293 20 295 26 291 11499 9865 29 320 22 294 15 280 15 273 9865 8421 26 334 16 315 12 264 10 269 8421 7140 23 331 13 326 10*250 9 233 7140 6005 20 320 10 324 10*229 14 201 6005 5001 20 298 7*287 10 227 16 191 5001 4117 18 281 5*253 9 225 17 185 4117 3336 15 277 5 232 9 223 17 179 3336 2636 12 283 5 227 8 222 17 176 2636 2017 8*292 5 222 8 220 17 172 2017 1502 2*300 4 220 7 220 16 169 1502 1106 2 298 4 217 7 219 15 165 1106 833 2 297 4 216 7 219 13 160 833 668 1 298 4 215 6 219 10*157 668 573 1 296 4 215 6 218 5*153 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography