DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.8 - - 39.2 - - 40.8 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 80 - - 8 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3338 - - 3850 - - 3549 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 2451 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3933 - - 4445 - - 4144 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1250 - - 905 - - 2193 - - 2495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 120 - - 286 - - 155 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 34 - - 31 - - 28 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 295 - - 289 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 25 - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1597 - - 989 - - 47 - - -2145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2336 - - 3456 - - 4097 - - 2717 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 490 - - 6 - - -1196 - - -3678 ODpotential blCL - - - 3443 - - 4439 - - 5340 - - 4250 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 87 - - 77 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.8 - - 39.2 - - 40.8 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.9 - - 26.3 - - 25.1 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 39.1 - - 41.1 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 25.1 - - 24.0 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 80 - - 8 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3338 - - 3850 - - 3549 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 48 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95995 6 016 12 324 16 297 14 335 95995 88975 9 053 6 323 13 314 14 338 88975 83547 3 020 7 315 8 304 11 310 83547 79022 4 235 8 236 8 285 5 316 79022 75075 5 251 5 234 12 255 13 299 75075 71542 8 251 7 250 14 241 16 279 71542 68321 10 263 10 263 11 259 19 259 68321 65347 24 257 22 260 17 276 18 258 65347 62565 27 251 31 258 29 270 30 262 62565 59855 38 259 37 255 37 256 35 253 59855 57025 50 251 42 246 39 262 44 271 57025 54080 50 243 54 250 58 255 56 261 54080 51267 55 252 64 244 61 245 58 252 51267 48737 64 250 58 253 57 253 52 254 48737 46473 58 247 65 268 58 264 52 266 46473 44425 54 264 78 270 70 269 63 272 44425 42560 77 272 92 262 81 259 75 266 42560 40852 97 261 98 250 81 253 79 261 40852 39274 96 255 84 245 78 259 78 262 39274 37809 83 250 74 261 79 265 82 263 37809 36439 68 255 79 272 88 271 89 263 36439 35123 78 279 96 277 101 271 103 261 35123 33798 92 277 108 278 115 268 116 259 33798 32430 92 270 114 275 120 266 117 259 32430 31013 87 266 112 270 115 265 113 262 31013 29531 85 267 106 265 109 265 108 264 29531 27970 85 270 100 265 107 266 105 269 27970 26327 83 274 96 269 103 270 104 271 26327 24605 82 278 94 274 98 273 98 279 24605 22808 82 278 92 280 90 279 94 284 22808 20933 82 276 91 287 83 283 87 292 20933 18973 82 278 81 286 78 287 80 297 18973 16923 80 280 74 282 73 288 69 292 16923 14841 78 281 71 284 69 290 59 291 14841 12843 73 285 69 287 65 293 56 296 12843 11036 68 290 64 290 60 297 54 301 11036 9444 62 295 59 294 55 305 50 308 9444 8044 58 299 52 303 49 313 45 315 8044 6813 52 301 48 310 41 314 41 318 6813 5730 47 301 44 308 36 308 38 315 5730 4774 43*297 34*296 32*297 33 307 4774 3932 41*294 34*296 31*294 32 304 3932 3189 40 292 33 295 30 291 31 299 3189 2524 37 289 33 295 29 290 30 292 2524 1938 35 286 32 294 28 289 29 284 1938 1449 32 283 31 294 27 287 27 277 1449 1074 29 281 29 294 26 287 24 272 1074 816 26 280 27 293 24 286 19 268 816 661 22 279 24 293 20 285 16*266 661 571 17 278 19 293 16 284 10*264 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography