DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.7 - - 68.4 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - 49 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2056 - - 2831 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2651 - - 3426 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1256 - - 826 - - 3137 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 160 - - 220 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 068 - - 032 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 745 - - 588 - - -1437 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1906 - - 2838 - - 2012 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 414 - - -6041 - - -2660 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2237 - - 9467 - - 3235 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 94 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.7 - - 68.4 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.5 - - 58.1 - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 64.7 - - 68.1 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.9 - - 57.3 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - 49 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2056 - - 2831 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 77 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98566 12 197 4 123 8 261 98566 91159 13 125 7 166 2 092 91159 85437 12 091 6 129 14 093 85437 80703 6 082 4 169 9 089 80703 76619 3 147 4 181 2 336 76619 73004 2 122 4 161 7 281 73004 69745 4 086 4 110 4 230 69745 66763 5 034 2 071 2 098 66763 64010 7 290 7 281 7 030 64010 61360 4 253 11 263 10 341 61360 58623 3 259 6 242 11 302 58623 55804 8 297 12 302 16 296 55804 53114 14 310 11 287 22 292 53114 50685 31 288 29 297 34 297 50685 48504 37 275 35 278 31 282 48504 46525 33 271 34 276 34 291 46525 44721 27 271 36 280 49 284 44721 43062 28 297 32 281 49 284 43062 41510 32 318 29 305 40 293 41510 40045 41 331 32 311 37 306 40045 38655 35 321 34 308 39 305 38655 37302 32 312 30 308 45 303 37302 35917 35 296 27 308 44 293 35917 34471 35 290 28 312 42 288 34471 32966 30 285 26 312 35 297 32966 31389 23 287 26 291 33 311 31389 29725 23 297 32 284 30 306 29725 27974 19 301 30 291 33 301 27974 26141 19 298 24 293 33 300 26141 24231 22 291 20 302 30 303 24231 22244 20 312 19 311 26 310 22244 20173 19 315 17 304 23 314 20173 18014 17 293 17 294 23 317 18014 15820 15 290 15 301 21 313 15820 13714 13 319 15 311 18 306 13714 11803 15 336 17 315 14 313 11803 10107 12 316 18 339 11 314 10107 8603 11 306 15 350 11 334 8603 7270 1 338 8 003 9 003 7270 6093 4 100 5 053 3 038 6093 5059 5 083 6 057 7 079 5059 4156 7 070 7*035 11 067 4156 3364 8*070 7*034 10 060 3364 2658 8*070 6 033 9 057 2658 2033 7 069 6 032 9 053 2033 1512 7 068 6 030 9 050 1512 1111 7 068 5 030 8 046 1111 836 6 068 5 030 7 043 836 669 6 068 5 029 6*041 669 574 5 067 4 029 4*037 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography