DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.3 - - 80.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 165 - - 82 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2802 - - 2961 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2139 - - 1851 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3397 - - 3556 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2101 - - 1788 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 322 - - 265 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 132 - - 135 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 648 - - 508 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2750 - - 3048 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 263 - - -603 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3134 - - 4159 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 94 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 690 - - 820 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.3 - - 80.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.8 - - 68.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.3 - - 79.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.1 - - 67.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 165 - - 82 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2802 - - 2961 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 62 - - 76 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98767 8 084 8 126 98767 91356 9 114 3 122 91356 85618 5 132 4 156 85618 80841 6 184 6 181 80841 76725 8 200 8 249 76725 73096 9 228 11 238 73096 69806 9 231 10 239 69806 66787 11 219 11 246 66787 64006 12 223 16 253 64006 61329 10 220 15 249 61329 58552 11 260 13 255 58552 55688 15 271 15 266 55688 52970 21 273 20 268 52970 50543 26 263 22 256 50543 48379 26 250 20 254 48379 46415 23 245 15 261 46415 44609 28 244 18 274 44609 42931 37 235 29 245 42931 41366 41 233 29 227 41366 39898 46 230 34 229 39898 38509 47 224 43 226 38509 37156 44 221 40 220 37156 35775 43 222 33 221 35775 34336 42 226 32 223 34336 32839 40 226 29 222 32839 31268 38 225 26 222 31268 29614 30 241 25 231 29614 27879 17 250 19 252 27879 26064 9 215 11 238 26064 24170 8 145 10 199 24170 22202 14 115 9 204 22202 20155 12 109 7 220 20155 18027 8 126 6 191 18027 15859 3 159 4 174 15859 13771 5 206 3 183 13771 11872 10 223 6 196 11872 10191 12 226 5 184 10191 8703 6 208 2 155 8703 7380 7 184 6 167 7380 6204 8 172 8 157 6204 5162 9 154 9 140 5162 4245 9 141 9*134 4245 3436 8*134 9*134 3436 2712 8*132 8 135 2712 2072 8 132 8 135 2072 1538 7 132 8 136 1538 1127 7 132 7 136 1127 845 6 132 7 137 845 673 6 132 7 137 673 575 5 132 6 136 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography