DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 84.5 - - 86.4 - - 82.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 92 - - 54 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1026 - - 2999 - - 3735 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 2088 - - 2260 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1621 - - 3594 - - 4330 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2811 - - 2262 - - 1363 - - 4775 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 180 - - 293 - - 272 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 178 - - 171 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2387 - - -1435 - - -1310 - - -3102 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4009 - - 5029 - - 5640 - - 3678 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7744 - - -6627 - - -6046 - - -5040 ODpotential blCL - - - 9365 - - 10221 - - 10376 - - 5616 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 86 - - 89 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 190 - - 760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 84.5 - - 86.4 - - 82.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.0 - - 64.4 - - 63.6 - - 68.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 84.0 - - 86.1 - - 83.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 63.0 - - 62.3 - - 66.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 92 - - 54 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1026 - - 2999 - - 3735 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 42 - - 55 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99474 31 098 33 102 26 089 33 079 99474 91981 31 082 33 095 28 099 28 070 91981 86204 31 081 31 091 29 100 21 079 86204 81407 27 086 28 085 29 092 22 083 81407 77274 28 098 23 089 26 087 22 082 77274 73624 22 088 20 101 22 089 18 080 73624 70321 16 090 16 096 15 087 17 095 70321 67290 14 110 10 099 12 097 13 097 67290 64489 14 129 6 121 7 119 5 112 64489 61784 10 155 12 181 6 204 4 238 61784 58968 5 221 10 191 11 207 10 250 58968 56068 10 245 13 204 15 221 15 237 56068 53330 15 244 15 215 20 229 20 238 53330 50890 17 239 20 220 26 233 23 241 50890 48714 18 246 23 220 28 229 23 245 48714 46731 22 246 23 233 29 231 25 243 46731 44899 25 252 25 243 30 232 25 240 44899 43193 27 257 27 258 29 245 23 243 43193 41598 27 260 30 266 30 263 26 247 41598 40104 26 258 27 266 32 264 30 250 40104 38698 24 252 24 278 34 261 34 249 38698 37339 23 249 27 280 34 261 35 251 37339 35957 22 251 27 282 29 254 32 256 35957 34518 24 255 25 282 28 259 30 257 34518 33023 27 256 24 284 29 268 30 253 33023 31456 29 256 25 279 21 262 27 250 31456 29800 27 264 25 272 21 263 27 265 29800 28066 21 274 23 266 25 277 30 276 28066 26247 17 267 17 250 25 277 33 282 26247 24343 16 274 18 249 27 260 34 283 24343 22366 14 278 17 257 24 255 27 264 22366 20317 16 298 16 284 19 255 25 248 20317 18185 21 301 20 303 15 266 27 260 18185 16010 20 307 15 296 12 266 26 261 16010 13911 16 333 9 290 11 253 22 256 13911 11997 19 338 8 297 11 262 21 266 11997 10294 11 338 7 311 10 265 22 283 10294 8781 5 039 3 270 12 275 23 296 8781 7437 3 095 6 211 15 287 19 292 7437 6247 2 190 6 208 13 278 15 287 6247 5196 5 212 8 200 8*235 10 268 5196 4272 9 201 11*189 10*184 7 229 4272 3456 13 205 12*182 11 175 7 205 3456 2727 16 203 12 180 11 171 7 192 2727 2082 16*198 12 178 11 169 7 180 2082 1544 14*194 12 177 11 167 7 172 1544 1130 11 187 11 175 11 166 7 164 1130 846 10 186 10 175 10 165 6 157 846 674 9 186 10 174 10 164 5*150 674 575 8 186 8 174 8 164 3*140 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography