DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1008z - - 1330z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.0 - - 76.6 - - 91.0 - - 91.0 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 22 - - 125 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 109 - - 3451 - - 3894 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 545 - - 2533 - - 1471 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 562 - - 704 - - 4046 - - 4489 - - 563 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 374 - - 381 - - 3340 - - 4437 - - 505 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 58 - - 329 - - 229 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 193 - - 227 - - 204 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -196 - - -867 - - 158 - - 693 - - -1142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 758 - - 1571 - - 3888 - - 3797 - - 1705 sfcLCL ODpotential -5133 - - -4851 - - -1898 - - -961 - - -3294 ODpotential blCL 5695 - - 5555 - - 5944 - - 5450 - - 3857 blCL maxRH 91 - - 83 - - 76 - - 78 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 1980 - - 1160 - - 3800 - - 4020 - - 2920 CAPE Temp@2m 74.0 - - 76.6 - - 91.0 - - 91.0 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.1 - - 71.3 - - 75.4 - - 75.8 - - 75.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.2 - - 76.4 - - 90.0 - - 90.8 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.1 - - 70.9 - - 74.1 - - 74.7 - - 75.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 22 - - 125 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 109 - - 3451 - - 3894 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 33 - - 2 - - 12 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98880 26 087 27 090 30 089 30 093 24 112 98880 91507 21 074 24 079 25 084 23 090 24 105 91507 85783 22 070 20 084 19 090 18 088 20 081 85783 81032 20 094 19 093 14 087 16 097 16 053 81032 76942 18 087 15 104 11 114 6 095 14 037 76942 73327 9 060 8 094 10 112 5 125 9 039 73327 70064 5 054 4 054 9 072 5 131 6 072 70064 67069 3 039 3 260 6 022 3 057 2 306 67069 64319 2 194 3 270 6 246 5 305 9 262 64319 61676 8 244 6 289 5 254 7 252 10 243 61676 58937 19 276 13 282 16 276 16 283 15 297 58937 56122 24 265 22 270 21 269 21 268 19 288 56122 53454 23 253 27 264 24 286 30 293 24 275 53454 51065 26 259 33 271 34 284 41 287 35 282 51065 48922 31 275 39 281 41 277 38 281 43 290 48922 46964 38 285 44 285 44 274 40 278 44 280 46964 45160 51 289 43 283 40 274 40 275 39 261 45160 43492 62 290 37 279 38 282 39 278 35 258 43492 41935 58 290 34 278 40 292 41 279 33 263 41935 40462 51 288 38 280 43 287 41 278 35 257 40462 39064 48 287 44 283 39 277 39 274 38 259 39064 37701 47 286 47 283 37 269 38 271 38 255 37701 36304 47 284 43 282 36 264 37 255 37 249 36304 34846 45 280 37 277 36 262 36 243 39 243 34846 33330 40 272 34 263 36 262 35 241 43 241 33330 31742 36 262 34 257 37 258 34 243 44 244 31742 30068 40 267 32 260 36 258 34 245 42 248 30068 28312 38 269 28 254 34 261 33 250 38 249 28312 26474 31 259 29 247 33 257 34 254 37 254 26474 24557 26 257 28 247 34 253 36 255 38 260 24557 22562 23 271 22 247 36 254 38 257 34 259 22562 20482 18 262 17 248 31 258 34 261 27 259 20482 18319 17 258 14 254 18 262 21 259 19 253 18319 16121 17 254 13 262 13 254 16 244 20 253 16121 14009 12 255 13 264 14 242 16 241 22 259 14009 12089 3 216 14 259 17 235 18 247 26 253 12089 10384 2 241 15 257 19 238 20 249 23 238 10384 8870 9 229 16 259 20 238 22 246 21 222 8870 7521 11 236 17 264 19 231 20 239 22 210 7521 6319 11 233 18 273 19 229 18 234 20 211 6319 5254 11 224 19 279 19 236 16*228 18 208 5254 4315 11 217 18 280 19*242 15*221 18 203 4315 3485 11 226 17 273 14*238 15 213 16 198 3485 2743 13 238 15 262 10 226 14 202 15 192 2743 2088 15 242 14 251 10 224 14 199 13 184 2088 1541 17 242 14 239 9 225 14 198 12 172 1541 1122 17 236 13 226 9 224 13 196 11 155 1122 835 14 220 10*201 8 224 12 195 10 138 835 661 12*217 8*194 8 224 11 195 8*131 661 562 5*215 6 191 7 224 9 193 4*124 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography