DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.6 - - 83.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 119 - - 41 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3319 - - 4678 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2408 - - 2639 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3914 - - 5273 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1895 - - 1582 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 319 - - 269 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 329 - - 355 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 940 - - 1503 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2974 - - 3770 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -125 - - 334 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4039 - - 4939 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 91 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1650 - - 1000 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.6 - - 83.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.1 - - 68.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.9 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.8 - - 66.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 119 - - 41 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3319 - - 4678 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 55 - - 64 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99138 30 093 32 092 99138 91634 41 101 28 090 91634 85859 39 093 27 101 85859 81065 25 080 26 095 81065 76953 16 082 22 088 76953 73336 13 090 17 086 73336 70066 12 077 14 080 70066 67059 11 090 14 075 67059 64268 13 095 15 063 64268 61562 13 066 10 041 61562 58756 12 050 3 049 58756 55875 13 028 6 100 55875 53146 14 317 7 019 53146 50694 17 285 11 311 50694 48493 19 248 17 245 48493 46500 36 213 21 221 46500 44679 38 201 20 225 44679 42994 35 212 25 241 42994 41417 41 225 32 256 41417 39930 48 221 30 245 39930 38522 42 212 31 229 38522 37157 34 199 30 223 37157 35765 30 195 30 222 35765 34315 30 210 32 231 34315 32810 33 225 31 234 32810 31234 32 234 28 219 31234 29575 30 242 31 227 29575 27840 31 245 29 237 27840 26035 32 249 21 235 26035 24152 24 245 18 239 24152 22188 21 242 16 246 22188 20148 21 249 11 271 20148 18030 13 276 6 321 18030 15877 14 296 10 319 15877 13800 10 277 14 334 13800 11908 9 270 12 336 11908 10222 9 297 10 339 10222 8724 9 320 10 348 8724 7396 10 322 9 349 7396 6219 10 325 9*348 6219 5179 7 339 8*349 5179 4261 5*335 8 352 4261 3449 5*332 7 353 3449 2722 4 330 7 355 2722 2079 4 330 6 356 2079 1542 4 328 6 358 1542 1130 4 328 6 359 1130 846 3 328 5 359 846 674 3 326 5 360 674 575 3 327 5 358 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography