DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.6 - - 47.1 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 330 - - 180 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2071 - - 2376 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1826 - - 1831 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2666 - - 2971 - - 790 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 398 - - 726 - - 2400 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 354 - - 304 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 060 - - 059 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1672 - - -3180 - - -4451 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4338 - - 6152 - - 5241 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10564 - - -11502 - - -13365 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13230 - - 14473 - - 14155 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 85 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.6 - - 47.1 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.0 - - 22.6 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 38.9 - - 46.3 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 23.8 - - 22.2 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 330 - - 180 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2071 - - 2376 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 46 - - 41 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96435 16 156 11 201 8 235 96435 89229 11 154 8 216 2 226 89229 83662 8 217 10 192 7 235 83662 79033 9 249 7 239 9 235 79033 75021 14 229 17 245 16 269 75021 71466 15 257 15 245 19 269 71466 68251 16 273 17 290 19 283 68251 65304 21 283 28 287 32 284 65304 62569 25 275 30 277 30 281 62569 59907 26 301 32 289 39 298 59907 57126 38 298 44 296 46 298 57126 54243 48 291 51 294 51 296 54243 51488 50 286 52 291 55 291 51488 49003 50 289 51 291 56 288 49003 46775 55 289 58 288 55 290 46775 44756 61 291 61 284 57 295 44756 42909 71 288 62 287 63 297 42909 41212 74 280 68 286 68 297 41212 39654 76 281 74 286 73 297 39654 38214 77 284 79 284 83 296 38214 36875 79 287 77 280 96 289 36875 35595 82 288 77 281 98 286 35595 34295 83 288 78 282 88 278 34295 32939 80 288 76 282 86 277 32939 31526 78 289 75 281 84 279 31526 30041 74 287 75 281 81 279 30041 28473 69 287 76 282 77 276 28473 26819 69 287 75 282 71 269 26819 25080 66 283 73 279 66 265 25080 23258 66 284 70 278 61 270 23258 21359 69 286 62 278 47 275 21359 19381 62 288 49 278 40 264 19381 17321 54 289 43 284 44 250 17321 15226 43 291 44 280 42 248 15226 13205 34 288 41 280 40 245 13205 11360 27 289 30 256 34 242 11360 9718 24 281 23 250 26 246 9718 8266 24 286 15 265 19 221 8266 6980 23 310 10 324 12 201 6980 5845 21 329 12 356 11 047 5845 4846 12 015 7 038 18 050 4846 3976 14 046 12 076 17 082 3976 3217 16*060 15*065 20 086 3217 2545 15*060 16*061 23 073 2545 1952 15 060 16 060 23 068 1952 1459 15 060 16 059 22 067 1459 1081 14 060 16 059 20 065 1081 820 13 060 15 058 17*064 820 662 13 060 14 058 15*063 662 572 11 059 12 057 10 062 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography