DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.2 - - 44.1 - - 47.3 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 24 - - 16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 503 - - 328 - - 230 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 555 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1098 - - 923 - - 825 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 351 - - 663 - - 451 - - 459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 93 - - 82 - - 64 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 137 - - 134 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 323 - - 312 - - 89 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 775 - - 611 - - 736 - - 572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 143 - - 210 - - -9416 - - -8429 ODpotential blCL - - - 955 - - 713 - - 10241 - - 9002 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 480 - - 680 - - 810 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.2 - - 44.1 - - 47.3 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 43.6 - - 46.2 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 44.2 - - 47.3 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 43.3 - - 45.9 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 24 - - 16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 503 - - 328 - - 230 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96322 15 226 18 244 21 239 22 270 96322 89146 12 267 19 235 19 240 26 259 89146 83620 20 234 20 229 21 261 22 258 83620 79043 17 242 20 233 21 248 21 266 79043 75104 21 294 20 261 20 256 21 266 75104 71616 36 292 30 282 28 285 24 289 71616 68464 33 262 33 279 38 292 36 293 68464 65575 30 278 34 277 41 283 33 278 65575 62881 37 291 36 283 42 282 38 293 62881 60249 50 293 51 289 46 277 50 294 60249 57499 57 286 56 283 52 278 59 287 57499 54640 58 281 59 277 61 279 65 279 54640 51909 63 283 63 270 69 277 69 275 51909 49445 64 278 64 266 71 273 77 272 49445 47226 66 275 66 269 71 272 81 269 47226 45210 73 275 63 275 71 275 77 273 45210 43369 77 274 67 277 74 278 76 275 43369 41682 74 270 77 273 79 274 78 274 41682 40138 77 268 78 268 82 268 84 273 40138 38718 82 269 77 264 81 266 92 272 38718 37385 79 266 76 260 81 268 89 270 37385 36089 79 269 75 259 83 271 88 270 36089 34764 75 269 72 260 86 271 88 270 34764 33383 74 268 71 263 87 272 85 271 33383 31947 75 270 73 271 84 273 77 270 31947 30447 75 271 71 276 77 273 68 267 30447 28869 73 274 65 277 70 273 65 265 28869 27208 69 268 61 271 67 273 64 262 27208 25466 65 264 62 268 62 273 64 260 25466 23643 59 266 61 267 58 272 62 263 23643 21744 53 270 59 264 58 269 56 267 21744 19762 52 266 53 262 52 263 49 268 19762 17690 49 258 49 266 44 260 52 271 17690 15565 45 256 47 260 44 260 55 266 15565 13510 40 254 38 249 44 244 49 256 13510 11640 26 264 30 250 42 239 42 245 11640 9977 28 259 33 243 37 247 37 242 9977 8497 33 252 32 243 34 250 33 242 8497 7185 33 244 33 241 34 252 29 246 7185 6024 35 239 34 241 34 253 24 253 6024 5001 40 243 35 248 29 255 20 260 5001 4103 40 240 35 255 26 258 16 261 4103 3314 35 228 32 257 23 254 15 248 3314 2612 25 203 25 254 20 245 17 227 2612 1995 18 170 13 222 15 224 15 208 1995 1482 15*163 9 173 12 202 11 192 1482 1092 9*151 8*141 7*168 4 124 1092 825 7 148 7*138 5*140 7 062 825 664 7 148 7 137 4 131 6*051 664 572 5 147 6 137 3 130 4*046 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography