DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.2 - - 80.6 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 260 - - 169 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3558 - - 2469 - - 2388 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2888 - - 1915 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4153 - - 3064 - - 2983 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1473 - - 2501 - - 2338 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 405 - - 312 - - 100 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 099 - - 104 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1669 - - -2459 - - -825 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5822 - - 5523 - - 3809 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4281 - - -4936 - - -2904 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8434 - - 8000 - - 5887 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 110 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.2 - - 80.6 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.6 - - 58.4 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.7 - - 79.6 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.4 - - 57.4 - - 63.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 260 - - 169 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3558 - - 2469 - - 2388 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 83 - - 79 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98374 11 160 1 211 10 060 98374 90953 17 105 9 121 6 050 90953 85241 16 095 13 111 4 089 85241 80485 17 091 15 086 9 105 80485 76384 16 075 12 091 12 064 76384 72776 15 069 11 092 12 045 72776 69521 16 045 11 063 10 029 69521 66535 14 022 11 029 11 008 66535 63777 12 011 12 006 12 350 63777 61118 17 348 13 339 14 338 61118 58354 22 325 16 337 15 333 58354 55499 24 309 20 328 17 315 55499 52790 24 306 23 317 21 323 52790 50349 26 298 27 300 23 303 50349 48163 26 280 27 283 27 273 48163 46191 31 270 34 268 31 273 46191 44392 31 254 33 266 38 275 44392 42728 28 249 34 258 45 267 42728 41180 24 250 32 259 48 254 41180 39728 20 248 33 264 46 250 39728 38353 20 250 39 273 43 251 38353 37015 22 246 45 274 40 254 37015 35645 21 247 47 282 35 258 35645 34214 22 242 39 285 29 269 34214 32727 21 243 31 275 25 280 32727 31166 17 244 26 258 25 271 31166 29523 13 256 19 260 19 263 29523 27798 13 272 18 262 13 277 27798 25994 15 265 19 266 13 299 25994 24109 13 261 16 273 13 299 24109 22148 5 259 11 274 11 291 22148 20107 1 223 8 241 9 279 20107 17985 1 201 6 225 8 275 17985 15825 1 241 2 261 5 292 15825 13745 1 325 3 024 7 147 13745 11853 1 296 5 056 9 141 11853 10174 3 183 3 087 6 117 10174 8683 8 141 6 142 4 117 8683 7359 8 126 9 128 4 119 7359 6185 9 114 10 116 7 122 6185 5146 11 106 12 110 10 119 5146 4232 12*104 13 109 12 117 4232 3426 13*102 13*109 12*114 3426 2704 13 100 13*107 11*113 2704 2066 13 099 13 106 11 114 2066 1534 13 098 13 104 11 114 1534 1125 13 097 12 103 10 115 1125 843 13 097 12 102 10 115 843 673 12 097 11 102 9 115 673 575 11 096 9 102 7 114 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography