DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.5 - - 89.2 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 126 - - 49 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2971 - - 3757 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2178 - - 2138 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3566 - - 4352 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1461 - - 1562 - - 2466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 311 - - 261 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 193 - - 178 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2594 - - -2366 - - -3315 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6160 - - 6718 - - 3891 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8565 - - -8083 - - -9883 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12131 - - 12435 - - 10459 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 66 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.5 - - 89.2 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.5 - - 61.8 - - 66.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.9 - - 89.0 - - 84.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.1 - - 60.4 - - 66.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 126 - - 49 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2971 - - 3757 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99120 12 104 13 106 14 053 99120 91687 16 109 14 095 15 067 91687 85934 14 103 13 094 13 079 85934 81158 10 115 11 060 15 089 81158 77048 12 114 7 085 13 054 77048 73431 12 093 9 138 9 003 73431 70163 10 078 10 101 1 071 70163 67153 6 106 6 078 5 072 67153 64377 11 103 7 126 3 097 64377 61712 11 067 7 111 6 144 61712 58948 10 024 7 040 6 084 58948 56103 7 328 8 325 10 346 56103 53397 9 329 5 316 15 321 53397 50961 19 333 10 351 14 317 50961 48789 15 331 9 331 9 287 48789 46825 17 349 15 322 12 310 46825 45029 19 333 21 322 18 315 45029 43366 21 335 18 331 20 316 43366 41807 20 337 11 351 11 314 41807 40339 17 328 11 339 9 005 40339 38949 13 323 14 329 8 008 38949 37594 10 322 12 315 2 277 37594 36206 10 318 13 297 5 251 36206 34758 13 308 14 292 8 258 34758 33252 15 298 17 297 10 262 33252 31673 16 288 17 299 9 264 31673 30011 16 279 15 292 11 270 30011 28266 16 286 13 291 13 284 28266 26437 14 297 11 304 14 287 26437 24525 13 307 11 313 14 290 24525 22535 14 296 12 312 15 307 22535 20465 13 278 12 314 17 325 20465 18310 8 286 9 298 12 325 18310 16113 4 286 6 274 10 293 16113 13992 3 221 5 248 9 281 13992 12059 6 203 6 247 7 251 12059 10342 8 169 7 203 7 214 10342 8821 7 135 10 184 5 212 8821 7477 6 116 10 187 1 129 7477 6285 5 154 8 195 1 173 6285 5227 9 202 10*197 6 225 5227 4296 13*213 12*186 10 218 4296 3474 13*202 12 182 15 201 3474 2739 14 196 12 179 17 187 2739 2090 14 192 13 177 18 179 2090 1549 13 191 12 176 18 174 1549 1133 13 190 12 174 16 170 1133 848 12 189 11 174 14 165 848 674 11 188 11 173 11*162 674 575 9 188 9 173 6*157 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography