DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.4 - - 40.5 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 100 - - 56 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2447 - - 2212 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1525 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3042 - - 2807 - - 855 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 525 - - 551 - - 2370 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 253 - - 201 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 291 - - 282 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 597 - - 143 - - -1284 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2445 - - 2665 - - 2139 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 713 - - 45 - - -1557 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2329 - - 2762 - - 2412 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.4 - - 40.5 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 29.8 - - 31.0 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 38.0 - - 40.5 - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 29.6 - - 30.9 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 100 - - 56 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2447 - - 2212 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 94 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94418 54 262 68 259 76 256 94418 87335 50 251 58 259 59 269 87335 81882 42 273 49 278 55 282 81882 77373 45 288 44 280 57 295 77373 73533 48 300 41 292 53 304 73533 70167 55 309 50 305 53 305 70167 67119 63 307 60 309 57 301 67119 64310 67 300 68 309 61 301 64310 61695 64 299 72 306 64 304 61695 59147 62 304 73 304 64 306 59147 56464 64 308 73 304 64 305 56464 53650 65 310 71 303 66 304 53650 50942 67 311 69 305 67 307 50942 48500 67 310 71 310 70 313 48500 46324 71 315 75 311 79 315 46324 44369 81 314 79 311 90 316 44369 42592 85 310 92 316 100 317 42592 40959 87 313 103 317 111 315 40959 39444 95 317 110 317 115 312 39444 38031 98 320 112 315 117 312 38031 36701 101 325 107 317 116 312 36701 35410 102 325 105 321 112 311 35410 34091 98 323 106 323 106 311 34091 32717 91 319 104 322 102 312 32717 31292 85 316 96 320 98 312 31292 29800 83 313 87 318 95 314 29800 28232 80 310 77 313 91 315 28232 26586 77 306 73 311 86 315 26586 24861 75 304 72 309 78 313 24861 23057 75 306 69 308 74 310 23057 21175 73 309 69 305 72 307 21175 19210 68 311 68 305 67 307 19210 17160 60 312 64 305 62 310 17160 15070 51 311 55 303 55 307 15070 13063 44 308 46 303 52 298 13063 11243 39 312 42 302 46 295 11243 9631 36 318 37 302 41 293 9631 8202 33 318 33 308 38 293 8202 6935 31 314 31 312 35 294 6935 5812 31 308 32 314 34 296 5812 4820 29 308 31 314 32 298 4820 3949 24 301 28 303 31 294 3949 3193 20*293 20*286 28 286 3193 2528 19*292 19*283 25 280 2528 1941 18 291 19 283 23 277 1941 1452 17 290 18 282 20 276 1452 1076 17 290 17 282 18*275 1076 818 16 290 16 281 15*274 818 661 14 290 15 281 12 273 661 572 12 290 12 280 9 272 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography