DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.9 - - 45.8 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 6 - - -13 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 384 - - 78 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 556 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 979 - - 673 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 561 - - 861 - - 785 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 67 - - 24 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 167 - - 169 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3117 - - -2795 - - -2195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4096 - - 3468 - - 2768 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -15738 - - -15533 - - -15341 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16717 - - 16206 - - 15914 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.9 - - 45.8 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 30.5 - - 33.1 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.1 - - 46.5 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 29.4 - - 32.4 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 6 - - -13 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 384 - - 78 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95808 53 274 54 280 54 273 95808 88813 36 257 46 267 46 280 88813 83404 24 262 33 257 39 270 83404 78907 26 282 23 262 29 257 78907 75015 31 282 26 277 23 260 75015 71581 35 277 29 284 22 287 71581 68482 37 271 33 284 21 298 68482 65630 35 288 35 287 27 276 65630 62983 41 297 42 279 46 271 62983 60419 45 296 47 275 64 259 60419 57739 55 301 60 281 60 272 57739 54942 65 293 63 279 67 275 54942 52236 71 295 68 286 66 275 52236 49775 81 296 81 295 78 293 49775 47564 89 294 91 294 94 296 47564 45556 96 292 100 290 103 293 45556 43712 101 289 103 288 104 293 43712 42008 98 286 99 286 98 293 42008 40443 86 281 93 284 86 292 40443 39003 76 279 82 281 77 290 39003 37654 68 279 64 282 73 285 37654 36348 64 284 58 286 67 286 36348 35016 64 287 59 287 58 286 35016 33628 63 287 60 284 55 287 33628 32184 62 286 59 283 55 288 32184 30668 60 286 58 285 55 291 30668 29070 59 288 59 287 56 294 29070 27388 58 291 59 288 54 293 27388 25623 57 291 57 291 52 283 25623 23775 54 288 53 294 55 278 23775 21846 52 283 44 291 53 282 21846 19830 49 279 43 285 45 284 19830 17720 49 275 46 275 40 277 17720 15569 43 268 38 276 38 273 15569 13498 38 255 36 268 28 277 13498 11612 35 250 36 258 29 279 11612 9935 36 238 34 255 33 267 9935 8447 35 220 32 254 33 260 8447 7127 33 218 32 243 32 247 7127 5964 34 217 30 230 29 241 5964 4948 37 212 29 220 31 238 4948 4062 38 210 32 216 32 234 4062 3279 36 209 33 216 32 230 3279 2582 32 207 31 216 30 221 2582 1969 27 198 27 207 29 207 1969 1465 23 189 25 191 27 193 1465 1083 15*171 20 175 23 184 1083 821 14*168 16*170 17 178 821 663 12 167 14*169 15*176 663 572 9 165 9 168 9*175 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography