DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 70.9 - - 70.5 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 247 - - 36 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1181 - - 2880 - - 3985 - - 574 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 2352 - - 1441 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1776 - - 3475 - - 4580 - - 1169 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1168 - - 3919 - - 3363 - - 1814 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 368 - - 228 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 226 - - 245 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 11 - - 13 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2385 - - -1742 - - -359 - - 78 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4162 - - 5217 - - 4939 - - 1091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5226 - - -3537 - - -1669 - - -829 ODpotential blCL - - - 7002 - - 7012 - - 6249 - - 1998 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 96 - - 95 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 130 - - 180 - - 680 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 70.9 - - 70.5 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 49.9 - - 50.8 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 69.5 - - 70.6 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 48.8 - - 50.0 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 247 - - 36 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1181 - - 2880 - - 3985 - - 574 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 84 - - 81 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97596 5 029 4 232 7 318 9 316 97596 90240 6 282 2 216 3 258 9 292 90240 84564 5 322 2 216 5 275 6 280 84564 79841 6 317 4 252 7 280 7 281 79841 75760 9 256 9 255 10 244 11 295 75760 72151 13 257 15 251 15 266 22 279 72151 68885 17 266 19 255 18 262 22 255 68885 65878 22 278 23 269 26 266 26 272 65878 63088 33 271 35 266 35 266 30 275 63088 60383 41 266 38 264 39 261 33 274 60383 57552 42 268 39 269 38 262 32 267 57552 54593 55 270 46 271 44 272 43 280 54593 51773 64 266 51 268 57 271 59 273 51773 49250 66 262 58 267 68 265 65 268 49250 46997 66 263 68 258 77 256 74 261 46997 44959 68 267 72 255 79 255 71 256 44959 43092 78 271 80 258 83 257 69 265 43092 41371 94 268 90 259 91 257 81 262 41371 39786 98 261 95 260 98 255 88 258 39786 38313 97 261 97 262 100 255 88 254 38313 36932 97 265 96 259 102 255 82 256 36932 35603 94 262 95 254 103 252 79 262 35603 34268 91 260 92 252 99 249 71 259 34268 32900 89 259 90 256 93 251 57 257 32900 31492 83 262 85 260 79 254 49 257 31492 30018 71 267 74 260 66 255 45 260 30018 28463 64 268 64 261 56 259 43 267 28463 26827 54 271 56 270 57 265 43 270 26827 25108 49 278 56 275 57 266 45 270 25108 23307 47 276 53 277 56 269 46 269 23307 21430 50 275 50 278 57 272 47 267 21430 19470 51 279 50 278 58 275 44 263 19470 17424 51 282 47 282 56 275 42 258 17424 15337 45 285 48 277 51 270 41 254 15337 13323 36 286 45 270 45 268 43 253 13323 11493 30 281 43 263 43 260 41 245 11493 9870 28 267 41 258 41 249 38 238 9870 8434 22 265 37 256 39 245 32 233 8434 7156 22 271 33 254 34 242 26 233 7156 6019 23 257 31 253 28 237 21 241 6019 5010 24 238 30 249 24*233 19 262 5010 4121 27 234 27*243 22*235 21 280 4121 3336 29 236 22*235 21 240 24 288 3336 2635 29 231 18 227 19 244 24 292 2635 2016 25*227 17 225 17 248 20 294 2016 1501 19*220 16 224 16 251 15*296 1501 1106 17 219 16 223 15 253 12*298 1106 833 16 219 15 223 14 255 10 298 833 668 14 218 14 223 13 255 8 299 668 574 12 218 12 223 10 256 6 298 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography