DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.4 - - 75.0 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 38 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1058 - - 1059 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1653 - - 1654 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2193 - - 2665 - - 2563 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 148 - - 149 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 167 - - 205 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 670 - - 673 - - -285 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 983 - - 981 - - 861 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 174 - - 135 - - -1272 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1479 - - 1519 - - 1848 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1760 - - 1430 - - 1890 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.4 - - 75.0 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 72.3 - - 71.9 - - 72.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.3 - - 74.9 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 71.9 - - 71.4 - - 72.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 38 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1058 - - 1059 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 96 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99036 35 105 28 122 21 091 99036 91466 21 095 23 100 20 089 91466 85644 14 076 22 084 22 093 85644 80841 18 090 19 082 22 082 80841 76726 17 092 16 095 16 082 76726 73111 11 101 14 088 12 081 73111 69843 12 129 9 083 6 063 69843 66839 9 080 7 096 4 071 66839 64057 5 020 2 058 4 017 64057 61370 4 270 6 263 6 298 61370 58587 7 287 10 259 15 289 58587 55716 21 320 14 289 14 274 55716 52988 42 294 35 289 30 281 52988 50550 39 267 38 264 41 263 50550 48368 25 254 27 261 38 252 48368 46378 30 301 42 283 37 272 46378 44538 59 303 57 281 53 277 44538 42832 63 284 58 275 57 269 42832 41244 52 272 56 266 58 256 41244 39764 46 257 53 255 62 241 39764 38373 46 251 38 256 55 235 38373 37022 46 252 31 264 42 240 37022 35644 44 250 33 267 35 252 35644 34209 42 252 35 265 33 258 34209 32717 41 252 36 261 32 262 32717 31154 42 251 37 257 34 264 31154 29506 44 248 38 254 36 262 29506 27777 46 245 38 254 37 257 27777 25966 48 244 38 253 41 260 25966 24083 46 242 38 249 45 269 24083 22130 41 240 36 248 42 272 22130 20097 36 239 35 252 37 270 20097 17979 36 242 38 262 36 270 17979 15829 41 231 46 273 39 268 15829 13766 41 221 57 275 39 267 13766 11884 39 217 56 278 39 271 11884 10204 36 211 47 283 42 272 10204 8709 35 205 39 280 42 265 8709 7381 34 202 36 267 41 254 7381 6202 32 200 36 237 40 242 6202 5161 30 195 34 219 39 233 5161 4243 29 189 30 210 37 226 4243 3433 27 183 28 208 35 221 3433 2709 24 176 25 208 33 217 2709 2069 23*174 23*208 30 216 2069 1535 21*171 19*207 26 207 1535 1125 18 167 16 205 23 203 1125 843 16 166 14 204 20 200 843 672 14 165 12 203 17*199 672 575 11 164 10 203 11*198 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography