DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0655z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 73.8 - - 76.8 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 198 - - 66 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 277 - - 1931 - - 3165 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1557 - - 1593 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 872 - - 2526 - - 3760 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 219 - - 1873 - - 1893 - - 93 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 293 - - 240 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 11 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 216 - - 185 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3030 - - -5039 - - -5263 - - -4387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3902 - - 7565 - - 9023 - - 4962 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12435 - - -12266 - - -12228 - - -12790 ODpotential blCL - - - 13307 - - 14792 - - 15988 - - 13365 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 72 - - 81 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 73.8 - - 76.8 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.4 - - 43.1 - - 39.7 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 72.6 - - 76.3 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 42.8 - - 39.4 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 198 - - 66 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 277 - - 1931 - - 3165 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97352 15 258 22 276 18 256 25 265 97352 90100 7 222 15 272 5 268 7 294 90100 84503 5 127 9 193 6 224 4 342 84503 79859 10 083 7 157 9 183 5 186 79859 75873 11 088 8 117 11 168 7 163 75873 72370 8 116 10 115 9 147 6 150 72370 69215 10 152 7 170 2 234 3 090 69215 66309 8 143 8 213 5 262 3 312 66309 63607 5 174 12 219 11 231 11 241 63607 60998 2 272 10 205 11 225 15 236 60998 58295 12 285 10 240 14 241 19 234 58295 55501 21 272 16 252 16 253 14 243 55501 52831 27 270 22 269 22 267 28 272 52831 50423 27 257 28 262 30 260 38 255 50423 48261 27 266 32 265 36 266 37 258 48261 46280 36 267 37 271 45 269 46 267 46280 44448 41 263 38 267 42 264 45 264 44448 42754 37 260 39 257 37 258 45 259 42754 41194 36 267 39 257 39 253 47 249 41194 39746 37 272 36 253 38 258 38 246 39746 38380 36 274 32 252 35 261 31 251 38380 37048 28 268 29 256 31 263 28 261 37048 35686 20 264 28 257 30 269 28 270 35686 34262 11 277 29 260 30 269 31 270 34262 32781 7 294 29 263 30 262 34 269 32781 31229 13 304 28 266 26 263 34 268 31229 29595 28 295 24 267 24 264 28 259 29595 27878 33 284 23 268 26 265 24 264 27878 26075 29 272 23 268 28 267 24 269 26075 24186 23 263 23 269 26 274 21 281 24186 22214 13 257 20 270 21 276 16 288 22214 20157 8 258 14 271 15 273 13 284 20157 18016 6 243 9 258 11 271 9 286 18016 15833 3 261 6 269 8 265 5 281 15833 13728 0 017 1 240 3 246 2 218 13728 11811 1 138 2 239 4 269 3 279 11811 10114 2 337 1 289 4 299 4 324 10114 8619 5 336 4 336 5 345 4 006 8619 7297 8 338 4 333 5 360 3 355 7297 6128 8 347 2 322 4 352 4 302 6128 5096 7 348 1 275 2 304 5 257 5096 4188 5 321 2 257 2*216 4 237 4188 3389 6 287 3 238 2*195 4 212 3389 2675 6 267 5*224 3 189 4 190 2675 2044 7 222 5*218 3 187 5 178 2044 1518 9 204 5 216 3 184 6 172 1518 1115 9*190 5 214 3 180 7 168 1115 838 6*180 5 214 3 180 7 166 838 669 5 174 4 214 3 179 7*160 669 574 4 174 4 214 3 180 5*157 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography