DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.3 - - 69.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 58 - - 58 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2349 - - 3642 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 2065 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2944 - - 4237 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1548 - - 754 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 222 - - 259 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 18 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 023 - - 029 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 856 - - 1188 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2088 - - 3049 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 478 - - 319 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2466 - - 3918 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 88 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.3 - - 69.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.1 - - 57.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.0 - - 68.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.2 - - 56.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 58 - - 58 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2349 - - 3642 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 50 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97813 21 249 14 245 97813 90505 18 236 19 249 90505 84912 8 230 16 234 84912 80272 3 257 9 208 80272 76253 2 274 3 235 76253 72703 4 205 6 248 72703 69504 2 295 4 246 69504 66563 13 296 11 314 66563 63841 16 264 18 269 63841 61215 14 253 20 232 61215 58478 25 276 27 267 58478 55663 41 263 42 260 55663 52993 49 249 44 252 52993 50582 48 252 46 262 50582 48416 58 260 58 263 48416 46455 69 258 65 259 46455 44654 80 254 67 255 44654 42979 83 249 72 250 42979 41409 83 244 74 247 41409 39928 88 240 74 246 39928 38526 87 240 68 246 38526 37163 77 243 59 248 37163 35772 71 245 50 253 35772 34323 69 243 41 252 34323 32822 70 238 38 246 32822 31250 68 239 47 237 31250 29592 61 242 51 238 29592 27848 54 245 52 244 27848 26020 50 249 51 252 26020 24108 49 255 48 260 24108 22120 51 260 40 270 22120 20054 48 264 32 278 20054 17906 37 272 28 287 17906 15724 27 282 20 299 15724 13628 18 294 12 323 13628 11730 10 281 9 326 11730 10045 9 291 8 305 10045 8553 7 337 6 324 8553 7234 10 011 8 010 7234 6070 14 024 11 039 6070 5046 16 032 17*034 5046 4151 16 034 19*029 4151 3362 15*029 19 029 3362 2656 15*026 18 029 2656 2032 14 023 18 029 2032 1511 14 022 17 029 1511 1111 13 022 17 030 1111 836 13 021 16 030 836 669 12 021 14 030 669 574 10 020 11 030 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography