DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.9 - - 39.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 187 - - 205 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2203 - - 3371 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1728 - - 2611 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2798 - - 3966 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 603 - - 598 - - 4539 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 301 - - 357 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 316 - - 310 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1503 - - -2401 - - -5413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4302 - - 6367 - - 5985 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9315 - - -8271 - - -10882 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12113 - - 12237 - - 11454 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 91 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.9 - - 39.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 17.3 - - 13.7 - - 11.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.0 - - 38.5 - - 37.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 16.7 - - 13.1 - - 11.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 187 - - 205 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2203 - - 3371 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 62 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96846 29 104 25 089 19 104 96846 89664 23 103 17 098 16 088 89664 84080 21 102 16 110 10 079 84080 79433 16 098 15 122 9 078 79433 75406 10 075 7 140 7 059 75406 71818 9 050 4 148 2 029 71818 68569 3 269 5 260 10 315 68569 65589 10 239 13 261 18 272 65589 62827 12 278 16 250 20 256 62827 60156 23 291 20 289 15 258 60156 57342 31 277 32 284 25 281 57342 54389 30 261 34 262 35 266 54389 51555 39 272 46 268 47 267 51555 48989 61 258 64 255 58 262 48989 46685 72 256 66 251 62 258 46685 44596 74 256 64 254 66 259 44596 42683 76 253 69 259 69 259 42683 40920 81 251 76 258 70 257 40920 39282 90 249 80 254 69 257 39282 37751 93 247 82 253 70 259 37751 36313 95 247 87 253 75 260 36313 34931 102 249 93 252 81 259 34931 33546 115 249 99 251 84 255 33546 32136 123 248 101 249 82 252 32136 30699 129 248 99 248 82 252 30699 29215 130 248 95 248 82 250 29215 27661 118 249 93 248 82 250 27661 26030 104 247 93 247 80 255 26030 24320 97 245 93 246 83 262 24320 22534 94 246 91 247 83 263 22534 20675 84 247 80 248 74 263 20675 18739 73 245 67 247 68 261 18739 16729 60 245 56 251 58 259 16729 14697 49 242 41 252 49 264 14697 12750 39 236 39 255 42 266 12750 10981 33 244 43 261 38 273 10981 9413 30 264 40 271 33 290 9413 8024 28 278 33 283 33 298 8024 6794 27 288 29 295 29 301 6794 5708 25 293 26 306 23 301 5708 4753 23 302 18*315 20 307 4753 3916 21 314 16*312 20 311 3916 3178 16*320 16 311 21 313 3178 2517 12*317 15 310 21 315 2517 1933 12 317 15 309 21 317 1933 1446 12 315 15 309 20 318 1446 1073 11 315 14 308 19 318 1073 816 10 314 13 307 16 318 816 661 10 314 13 307 13*317 661 571 9 313 11 306 8*317 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography