DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 62.2 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 195 - - 37 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1661 - - 933 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1363 - - 556 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2256 - - 1528 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 749 - - 906 - - 2056 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 278 - - 134 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 21 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 137 - - 087 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3767 - - -5401 - - -4404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6023 - - 6929 - - 4978 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10248 - - -11571 - - -10864 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12504 - - 13099 - - 11438 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 62.2 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 37.5 - - 34.4 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.5 - - 62.2 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.1 - - 34.1 - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 195 - - 37 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1661 - - 933 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97169 50 258 57 265 51 264 97169 89903 37 259 47 261 44 264 89903 84326 38 248 37 252 38 269 84326 79706 30 240 32 249 39 266 79706 75705 25 252 25 259 29 259 75705 72153 20 262 22 268 20 256 72153 68926 19 261 24 270 15 269 68926 65955 18 261 24 271 19 286 65955 63207 19 263 26 278 28 283 63207 60551 23 266 27 275 30 274 60551 57778 25 274 28 270 28 268 57778 54900 28 274 30 267 32 273 54900 52155 32 271 35 261 37 269 52155 49685 39 270 37 265 37 263 49685 47476 44 260 45 260 41 255 47476 45498 48 230 40 239 35 237 45498 43721 31 257 24 280 16 256 43721 42089 46 302 34 296 28 258 42089 40565 60 286 51 255 45 240 40565 39133 57 269 53 247 45 228 39133 37774 51 264 47 246 38 228 37774 36452 52 254 43 249 32 238 36452 35100 51 249 42 251 32 242 35100 33688 48 251 42 251 31 242 33688 32219 43 250 44 250 28 242 32219 30679 43 244 44 251 27 238 30679 29054 45 236 36 256 26 238 29054 27346 38 239 35 256 24 241 27346 25553 31 243 35 251 20 235 25553 23680 25 250 30 244 12 215 23680 21731 25 246 29 239 6 213 21731 19700 26 239 23 246 3 209 19700 17588 22 235 17 256 3 194 17588 15442 15 241 9 225 6 195 15442 13382 11 239 9 202 8 204 13382 11514 9 217 17 237 12 227 11514 9863 19 223 25 236 14 234 9863 8408 25 217 27 227 13 204 8408 7123 23 213 26 222 10 187 7123 5985 20 200 22 218 10 173 5985 4977 18 183 16 219 11 163 4977 4088 15 171 9 208 14 155 4088 3306 16 158 8 137 17 147 3306 2610 17*146 16 100 18 133 2610 1998 13*139 23*091 17 125 1998 1489 12 137 24*089 15 125 1489 1098 11 136 23 087 13 128 1098 829 10 136 21 087 10 134 829 666 10 135 19 085 8*135 666 573 9 135 14 085 4*126 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography