DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.8 - - 32.4 - - 29.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - 25 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 852 - - 894 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 554 - - 555 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1447 - - 1489 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 786 - - 717 - - 617 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 151 - - 118 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 188 - - 193 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -783 - - -113 - - -439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2230 - - 1602 - - 1011 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12881 - - -10631 - - -11545 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14328 - - 12120 - - 12117 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 86 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.8 - - 32.4 - - 29.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 22.3 - - 27.6 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 29.4 - - 32.4 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.1 - - 26.7 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - 25 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 852 - - 894 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 81 - - 43 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95957 42 252 40 257 42 261 95957 88848 25 274 28 263 30 289 88848 83410 24 286 27 271 22 295 83410 78862 10 298 25 271 22 296 78862 74912 18 330 23 272 22 291 74912 71418 20 313 21 280 24 293 71418 68248 19 304 18 279 25 311 68248 65314 26 308 22 303 28 312 65314 62578 28 315 28 310 34 316 62578 59923 35 314 32 315 35 311 59923 57140 32 312 35 317 35 319 57140 54236 38 328 41 324 44 327 54236 51455 45 330 44 328 48 333 51455 48940 48 338 48 336 52 339 48940 46669 56 341 52 342 60 338 46669 44604 63 335 65 334 67 328 44604 42724 64 329 66 316 67 328 42724 40999 62 331 65 322 72 337 40999 39409 68 339 76 335 80 339 39409 37934 78 342 83 337 80 339 37934 36559 89 343 84 338 86 341 36559 35240 100 346 88 338 101 342 35240 33904 105 345 92 334 108 340 33904 32519 101 342 95 329 102 334 32519 31092 98 338 97 329 98 330 31092 29608 94 342 94 331 99 332 29608 28049 90 346 79 328 86 335 28049 26414 82 345 65 327 74 332 26414 24699 77 340 65 330 75 326 24699 22907 73 337 67 331 74 321 22907 21041 61 335 72 332 69 327 21041 19097 54 330 78 335 65 332 19097 17069 48 325 74 342 63 333 17069 15000 43 318 51 326 56 328 15000 13007 42 315 51 315 53 326 13007 11198 37 314 45 325 50 330 11198 9593 32 309 38 318 34 322 9593 8168 29 300 37 298 32 317 8168 6900 29 300 33 285 31 320 6900 5780 31 301 31 281 33 310 5780 4800 27 298 33 278 37 285 4800 3945 23 268 33 269 38 270 3945 3190 21 249 28 257 32 269 3190 2517 17 225 22 234 24 261 2517 1927 17*207 20*209 16 223 1927 1438 15*195 17*195 18 187 1438 1067 13 187 16 193 19 164 1067 813 13 186 15 192 15 154 813 659 12 186 13 192 13*151 659 571 10 185 10 191 8*147 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography