DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.7 - - 80.9 - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 122 - - 70 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2531 - - 2907 - - 1648 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1844 - - 1724 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3126 - - 3502 - - 2243 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2025 - - 2148 - - 2993 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 291 - - 255 - - 89 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 250 - - 287 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 726 - - 967 - - -140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2400 - - 2535 - - 2383 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -169 - - -190 - - -1128 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3295 - - 3692 - - 3371 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2010 - - 2320 - - 2140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.7 - - 80.9 - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 71.3 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.0 - - 80.5 - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 70.5 - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 122 - - 70 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2531 - - 2907 - - 1648 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 59 - - 79 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99010 31 114 23 086 35 070 99010 91551 27 094 28 099 22 083 91551 85797 27 087 25 096 21 099 85797 80999 20 078 22 084 21 102 80999 76870 14 081 17 084 15 083 76870 73236 10 093 12 095 9 084 73236 69937 7 136 9 083 8 088 69937 66905 3 123 2 145 8 010 66905 64110 2 024 7 167 6 281 64110 61413 5 017 5 299 9 277 61413 58598 16 323 15 299 17 311 58598 55686 29 281 26 292 28 296 55686 52931 29 253 40 287 40 288 52931 50474 46 295 46 278 50 275 50474 48274 61 285 47 290 41 285 48274 46288 60 282 59 289 54 290 46288 44491 56 283 60 289 57 291 44491 42837 56 289 61 292 63 288 42837 41293 57 299 64 288 70 283 41293 39839 64 303 67 287 73 276 39839 38457 68 304 66 286 67 273 38457 37111 63 302 61 284 59 274 37111 35734 60 295 59 284 58 280 35734 34299 50 291 56 286 54 285 34299 32807 45 281 48 288 47 278 32807 31243 46 277 44 279 49 276 31243 29595 41 262 42 268 47 277 29595 27864 38 262 44 266 42 279 27864 26050 37 263 40 260 37 269 26050 24156 38 264 32 258 39 266 24156 22189 36 264 29 255 27 256 22189 20147 37 270 29 253 28 250 20147 18026 33 263 31 263 28 270 18026 15870 30 259 39 279 27 280 15870 13793 27 277 40 283 28 283 13793 11902 25 292 26 297 22 287 11902 10222 21 286 14 292 13 261 10222 8730 16 279 13 267 9 258 8730 7401 12 275 16 264 8 246 7401 6222 9 281 12 261 11 235 6222 5179 7 286 8 259 11 231 5179 4259 6 272 6*266 8 222 4259 3448 6*254 5*274 4 200 3448 2721 6*251 4 280 2*164 2721 2078 6 250 4 288 2*121 2078 1541 6 250 4 291 3 112 1541 1129 5 250 4 294 3 109 1129 845 5 251 3 297 3 107 845 674 5 250 3 297 3 105 674 575 4 251 3 301 2 104 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography