DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.9 - - 81.6 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 158 - - 142 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2173 - - 3399 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1704 - - 2499 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2768 - - 3994 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2139 - - 3585 - - 2432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 299 - - 328 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 25 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 184 - - 190 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 128 - - 6 - - -571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2640 - - 3988 - - 1146 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1365 - - -1554 - - -2191 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4133 - - 5548 - - 2766 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2130 - - 2590 - - 2850 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.9 - - 81.6 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.9 - - 65.7 - - 69.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.2 - - 81.1 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.8 - - 65.1 - - 68.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 158 - - 142 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2173 - - 3399 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 43 - - 94 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96925 29 258 39 288 37 298 96925 89722 26 288 30 293 25 294 89722 84210 28 273 29 291 31 298 84210 79640 18 252 22 257 26 295 79640 75675 16 254 18 248 18 291 75675 72121 21 276 24 264 27 264 72121 68903 31 255 34 263 36 259 68903 65977 35 240 33 257 31 253 65977 63256 36 244 35 248 35 247 63256 60588 35 258 36 252 41 255 60588 57792 47 265 41 262 43 264 57792 54891 59 258 56 258 53 254 54891 52136 61 253 62 253 59 250 52136 49681 60 258 65 259 62 253 49681 47493 79 260 76 260 59 257 47493 45498 86 258 81 260 68 261 45498 43659 82 259 84 262 86 261 43659 41971 86 264 90 264 99 265 41971 40423 90 264 94 262 101 270 40423 38992 84 262 91 257 88 274 38992 37649 79 262 88 255 78 275 37649 36344 75 262 87 257 70 274 36344 35010 71 263 85 259 66 272 35010 33619 69 262 81 260 62 270 33619 32172 64 260 74 260 57 267 32172 30655 60 257 65 262 53 263 30655 29055 58 256 59 260 50 258 29055 27373 58 259 56 258 47 254 27373 25610 52 257 51 249 49 256 25610 23767 45 248 48 241 51 254 23767 21849 43 245 48 238 45 239 21849 19853 42 249 47 237 45 238 19853 17775 39 251 41 240 45 235 17775 15661 34 248 40 242 45 234 15661 13626 26 244 35 234 42 231 13626 11769 18 251 28 231 40 227 11769 10112 17 252 23 220 42 219 10112 8638 22 237 23 212 44 215 8638 7329 24 223 27 213 44 209 7329 6169 24 218 29 212 41 207 6169 5137 27 215 29 209 37 204 5137 4225 28 210 28*204 33 199 4225 3419 28*207 27*197 30 191 3419 2698 23*195 27 192 29 190 2698 2061 21 184 26 190 28 194 2061 1530 20 182 26 189 24 187 1530 1122 20 180 25 188 21 185 1122 842 19 180 24 187 16 184 842 672 17 179 22 187 13*183 672 574 14 178 17 187 7*183 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography