DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.9 - - 89.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - 65 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5270 - - 5736 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3794 - - 3808 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5865 - - 6331 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1993 - - 1970 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 365 - - 328 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 20 - - 15 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 078 - - 086 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1574 - - 1164 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4291 - - 5168 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -381 - - -464 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6246 - - 6795 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 77 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 910 - - 880 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.9 - - 89.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.9 - - 68.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.2 - - 88.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.5 - - 67.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - 65 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5270 - - 5736 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99463 40 107 33 085 99463 91914 38 093 32 081 91914 86121 33 075 29 089 86121 81323 25 073 26 094 81323 77180 24 076 24 085 77180 73527 18 073 19 079 73527 70237 15 091 15 102 70237 67227 15 076 15 094 67227 64453 11 078 11 088 64453 61782 17 058 16 055 61782 59025 12 046 16 023 59025 56196 10 057 11 009 56196 53508 19 029 15 023 53508 51087 17 029 19 017 51087 48907 16 048 21 012 48907 46918 21 052 16 024 46918 45091 23 066 14 066 45091 43400 26 074 13 090 43400 41817 26 073 14 101 41817 40325 25 073 16 098 40325 38916 23 078 21 092 38916 37552 22 089 23 097 37552 36164 24 099 24 107 36164 34719 28 102 29 107 34719 33218 31 096 31 101 33218 31644 32 087 31 102 31644 29985 30 089 29 103 29985 28242 27 097 28 102 28242 26414 27 097 29 102 26414 24502 28 104 29 104 24502 22509 29 111 28 106 22509 20431 29 118 26 120 20431 18267 23 122 16 126 18267 16062 16 117 14 118 16062 13940 14 111 12 101 13940 12016 14 112 11 097 12016 10314 14 108 10 105 10314 8807 9 099 9 084 8807 7471 6 082 7*076 7471 6285 5*078 6*076 6285 5234 4*078 5 080 5234 4305 4 076 4 083 4305 3484 3 077 4 087 3484 2748 3 077 4 091 2748 2097 3 079 3 094 2097 1553 3 080 3 096 1553 1136 3 080 3 099 1136 849 2 079 3 100 849 675 2 081 3 101 675 575 2 079 3 102 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography