DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.1 - - 43.2 - - 42.4 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -42 - - 81 - - 19 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1997 - - 2272 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 1044 - - 556 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 573 - - 2592 - - 2867 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 849 - - 542 - - 1317 - - 3451 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 229 - - 156 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 28 - - 26 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 346 - - 335 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 17 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -833 - - 1039 - - 1149 - - -641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1406 - - 1553 - - 1718 - - 1214 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9810 - - 574 - - 530 - - -1312 ODpotential blCL - - - 10383 - - 2018 - - 2337 - - 1885 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.1 - - 43.2 - - 42.4 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 38.5 - - 37.1 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 42.9 - - 42.5 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 37.5 - - 36.3 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -42 - - 81 - - 19 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1997 - - 2272 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96271 21 252 30 258 27 251 29 275 96271 89093 15 292 15 270 19 278 17 287 89093 83594 11 299 13 258 16 287 18 302 83594 79026 15 334 5 239 15 247 19 295 79026 75054 20 323 11 342 12 261 16 302 75054 71539 24 294 19 311 20 297 20 302 71539 68364 20 306 22 303 24 303 21 297 68364 65435 25 312 28 312 32 311 26 308 65435 62709 30 315 33 308 42 301 39 304 62709 60069 35 313 41 307 51 283 43 301 60069 57313 55 307 48 300 50 288 48 305 57313 54442 60 313 51 306 55 303 60 301 54442 51704 70 321 67 307 67 303 71 299 51704 49240 82 311 76 304 69 304 72 307 49240 47014 85 305 76 302 73 311 75 317 47014 44969 87 310 78 306 83 315 84 308 44969 43084 88 317 82 314 93 311 91 303 43084 41352 93 323 87 319 100 306 102 304 41352 39758 100 322 94 318 103 305 110 308 39758 38288 106 319 105 318 107 310 116 311 38288 36920 109 319 115 319 116 316 122 312 36920 35601 111 320 119 321 121 317 123 313 35601 34258 113 324 122 324 120 316 120 314 34258 32861 116 326 122 324 117 317 117 313 32861 31413 116 324 119 322 116 318 113 313 31413 29899 116 321 117 320 116 319 109 314 29899 28304 119 321 117 320 116 319 109 315 28304 26630 117 322 115 321 114 317 111 314 26630 24877 106 322 112 323 111 316 112 314 24877 23046 90 318 103 324 110 318 107 316 23046 21143 79 314 96 324 102 322 100 320 21143 19164 74 313 90 321 92 323 88 323 19164 17108 74 312 85 319 86 321 81 325 17108 15017 77 313 82 322 82 323 77 327 15017 13007 78 315 76 326 73 330 67 329 13007 11185 73 315 67 328 62 332 57 329 11185 9571 66 313 59 330 53 331 52 327 9571 8144 63 312 52 334 47 333 50 332 8144 6885 59 315 48 340 45 338 45 338 6885 5773 55 318 45 343 43 341 43 340 5773 4794 52 322 42 344 37 340 40 339 4794 3942 51 325 39 351 33 340 36 340 3942 3198 53 331 37*353 32*339 35 341 3198 2532 49 331 33*350 31*338 34 341 2532 1944 47 326 30 347 30 337 32 340 1944 1453 41 318 29 346 27 334 29 338 1453 1077 36 315 26 344 25 333 25 337 1077 818 27 309 24 344 22 332 20 335 818 662 24*308 21 343 19 331 17*334 662 572 15*306 17 342 15 330 11*333 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography