DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.8 - - 52.9 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 60 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1450 - - 1856 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1180 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2045 - - 2451 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 308 - - 525 - - 87 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 259 - - 196 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 246 - - 235 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4150 - - -3969 - - -3365 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6196 - - 6420 - - 3938 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11755 - - -9895 - - -12058 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13800 - - 12346 - - 12631 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 85 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.8 - - 52.9 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 23.3 - - 27.3 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.8 - - 52.6 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 22.8 - - 26.9 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 60 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1450 - - 1856 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 13 - - 41 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94900 70 262 63 270 55 291 94900 88183 52 278 44 280 48 300 88183 82936 41 278 44 295 43 304 82936 78544 36 276 39 294 40 309 78544 74717 29 282 31 291 37 301 74717 71299 32 299 26 295 30 289 71299 68172 33 286 27 296 26 294 68172 65259 31 273 31 298 27 299 65259 62539 31 271 36 289 32 299 62539 59891 36 279 36 279 37 288 59891 57107 37 281 39 275 39 277 57107 54203 44 282 45 276 44 278 54203 51428 54 278 51 277 54 279 51428 48934 59 275 53 274 60 277 48934 46703 55 277 54 272 61 273 46703 44685 54 280 59 281 58 285 44685 42855 57 283 66 284 57 284 42855 41187 60 284 64 277 49 276 41187 39634 58 283 50 278 47 296 39634 38183 54 290 51 295 54 298 38183 36830 58 292 57 295 52 296 36830 35526 63 285 61 291 49 297 35526 34204 64 278 65 286 52 296 34204 32833 61 276 66 283 56 287 32833 31416 55 278 64 280 60 278 31416 29937 49 284 60 279 60 279 29937 28381 46 293 56 284 56 287 28381 26746 47 306 55 293 52 296 26746 25031 51 313 54 296 48 295 25031 23234 54 311 53 299 43 292 23234 21361 49 308 51 304 39 292 21361 19404 47 288 43 310 36 294 19404 17355 45 291 34 319 34 289 17355 15258 37 292 34 299 34 293 15258 13237 35 296 36 295 30 299 13237 11403 30 304 30 300 24 296 11403 9778 24 310 24 294 27 283 9778 8336 24 302 23 285 26 281 8336 7056 24 289 25 283 25 279 7056 5922 25 277 25 286 23 278 5922 4921 28 275 29 290 20 280 4921 4041 28 269 27 288 20 278 4041 3268 26 267 22 272 25 257 3268 2581 23*262 16*248 25 238 2581 1977 17*251 14*237 22 234 1977 1474 15 245 14 235 19 236 1474 1089 14 244 13 235 17 237 1089 824 14 244 12 234 14 235 824 663 13 243 12 234 11*232 663 572 11 243 10 234 5*224 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography