DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.1 - - 94.1 - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 90 - - 18 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1930 - - 5716 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1268 - - 2982 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2525 - - 6311 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5244 - - 1485 - - 5731 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 246 - - 263 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 250 - - 222 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2079 - - 437 - - -2750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4605 - - 5874 - - 3327 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3563 - - -3526 - - -4704 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6088 - - 9837 - - 5281 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 76 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3340 - - 2810 - - 4320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.1 - - 94.1 - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 72.7 - - 70.1 - - 75.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.7 - - 94.1 - - 90.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 71.4 - - 68.7 - - 74.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 90 - - 18 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1930 - - 5716 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 40 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 14 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99343 24 102 20 080 21 075 99343 91862 26 106 15 096 18 066 91862 86074 21 092 16 097 16 068 86074 81276 16 069 15 097 10 077 81276 77147 8 073 13 094 8 080 77147 73481 9 110 8 064 8 076 73481 70151 6 062 2 060 6 006 70151 67104 9 051 3 078 6 341 67104 64297 6 001 7 354 9 343 64297 61595 4 323 8 276 13 277 61595 58807 14 329 10 319 11 275 58807 55940 18 300 19 314 18 327 55940 53223 25 304 25 299 26 306 53223 50790 36 303 27 291 28 284 50790 48604 43 303 39 298 30 299 48604 46620 47 299 45 295 38 303 46620 44805 46 294 48 291 44 298 44805 43127 41 289 43 287 45 291 43127 41560 41 288 40 291 44 284 41560 40089 39 277 40 293 42 284 40089 38701 35 270 41 295 42 288 38701 37355 32 272 42 297 43 293 37355 35979 34 277 41 296 44 295 35979 34543 37 285 39 294 43 293 34543 33051 43 293 38 289 39 288 33051 31487 37 295 40 284 39 287 31487 29842 27 308 40 292 42 289 29842 28114 30 321 36 299 44 285 28114 26301 38 307 29 304 43 288 26301 24410 36 291 25 303 27 312 24410 22450 27 277 20 309 16 293 22450 20409 25 264 21 297 18 277 20409 18288 27 262 21 289 20 277 18288 16127 23 256 22 273 17 266 16127 14037 20 258 19 260 16 272 14037 12126 19 259 18 258 16 298 12126 10422 20 254 16 263 17 314 10422 8903 19 246 14 259 14 301 8903 7551 18 244 14 241 14 262 7551 6352 19 254 15*231 17 239 6352 5289 20 264 15*227 18 230 5289 4350 20 266 14 225 18 228 4350 3520 19 264 14 223 19 228 3520 2775 16*257 14 221 19 228 2775 2116 14*252 14 220 18 227 2116 1566 11 249 13 219 18 226 1566 1144 10 249 13 218 16 225 1144 853 9 248 12 218 13 221 853 677 8 248 11 218 11*218 677 576 7 248 9 217 6*213 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography