DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.3 - - 70.5 - - 72.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - 26 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1880 - - 2153 - - 1682 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2475 - - 2748 - - 2277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1503 - - 1831 - - 2641 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 170 - - 171 - - 81 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 254 - - 234 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 697 - - 796 - - -31 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1778 - - 1952 - - 2308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 290 - - 369 - - -1173 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2185 - - 2379 - - 3450 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 250 - - 290 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.3 - - 70.5 - - 72.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.3 - - 63.7 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.1 - - 70.3 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.5 - - 62.9 - - 63.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - 26 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1880 - - 2153 - - 1682 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98400 15 089 7 146 2 141 98400 90943 15 087 10 141 7 111 90943 85202 9 089 5 101 11 077 85202 80451 5 101 2 113 8 034 80451 76366 5 131 3 103 6 349 76366 72766 8 110 1 037 4 337 72766 69511 2 147 1 098 2 268 69511 66512 4 221 1 145 4 201 66512 63718 8 244 2 277 3 227 63718 61002 11 226 12 250 12 262 61002 58177 19 221 19 228 18 236 58177 55251 20 213 20 210 22 233 55251 52455 23 228 27 232 24 225 52455 49957 30 230 32 229 24 234 49957 47746 28 220 24 217 35 236 47746 45773 25 217 25 232 45 224 45773 43995 25 221 34 236 42 216 43995 42354 23 222 32 232 42 224 42354 40819 19 229 22 229 45 226 40819 39375 16 235 18 225 43 228 39375 38009 14 244 15 221 46 224 38009 36683 14 244 19 218 48 216 36683 35330 15 236 31 233 51 213 35330 33919 17 231 40 245 47 219 33919 32452 19 224 39 245 42 219 32452 30914 20 224 29 248 42 212 30914 29290 18 225 23 250 42 214 29290 27581 20 227 25 246 41 222 27581 25788 23 224 30 246 39 223 25788 23910 21 229 30 248 38 221 23910 21956 17 240 23 244 38 231 21956 19929 17 255 18 239 27 230 19929 17828 18 262 15 247 19 224 17828 15691 14 265 14 247 15 235 15691 13631 12 256 12 251 14 242 13631 11757 9 264 12 256 11 247 11757 10091 11 257 13 257 9 245 10091 8610 13 253 12 254 8 247 8610 7293 10 244 10 258 9 261 7293 6125 5 230 8 260 9 286 6125 5096 3 078 7 239 8 300 5096 4191 1 183 6 240 6 298 4191 3393 4 240 6*239 4 265 3393 2679 4*245 6*237 4*238 2679 2049 4*248 6 235 5*211 2049 1522 4 252 6 233 5 203 1522 1118 4 256 5 232 5 199 1118 840 4 258 5 231 5 199 840 671 3 259 5 231 4 195 671 574 3 259 4 230 4 196 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography