DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.6 - - 74.8 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 57 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2333 - - 3190 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1607 - - 1871 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2928 - - 3785 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2617 - - 4828 - - 4447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 268 - - 258 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 260 - - 230 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 381 - - 349 - - -1119 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2547 - - 3436 - - 1694 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1682 - - -1844 - - -2472 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4610 - - 5629 - - 3047 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 72 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1490 - - 1790 - - 2670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.6 - - 74.8 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.2 - - 61.5 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.1 - - 74.4 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.9 - - 60.1 - - 65.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 57 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2333 - - 3190 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96961 30 257 27 284 17 254 96961 89740 20 246 24 252 29 288 89740 84223 11 260 20 230 25 277 84223 79657 15 246 21 254 22 281 79657 75720 11 227 18 232 21 264 75720 72205 7 304 12 223 17 247 72205 68989 20 251 22 243 22 249 68989 66025 30 227 29 236 25 239 66025 63278 29 214 28 248 28 254 63278 60624 35 243 38 241 31 244 60624 57838 40 228 32 229 25 243 57838 54917 48 252 42 254 51 255 54917 52133 70 243 60 246 63 243 52133 49637 68 235 62 237 54 250 49637 47396 59 237 58 243 51 261 47396 45358 55 244 57 250 56 265 45358 43494 55 249 56 252 60 264 43494 41788 60 249 51 255 54 268 41788 40216 66 245 54 253 53 269 40216 38747 67 243 51 254 47 281 38747 37366 66 244 51 256 45 287 37366 36030 65 243 51 255 43 291 36030 34674 62 240 50 249 42 294 34674 33271 57 238 45 245 37 298 33271 31826 54 239 39 244 31 302 31826 30321 53 239 37 241 27 304 30321 28744 52 238 39 232 26 302 28744 27091 49 237 41 231 24 300 27091 25361 47 242 40 237 22 303 25361 23555 48 244 38 244 18 312 23555 21673 43 241 38 252 17 318 21673 19711 32 241 31 259 19 311 19711 17661 23 256 18 267 19 305 17661 15564 24 267 21 280 20 301 15564 13537 24 272 23 273 19 291 13537 11694 28 267 28 276 19 278 11694 10057 34 264 28 281 18 268 10057 8599 29 265 22 267 19 257 8599 7297 23 268 18 247 18 248 7297 6140 20 272 17 242 15 244 6140 5114 19 273 16 239 14 241 5114 4209 18 272 15*237 14 236 4209 3408 16*269 13*233 13 231 3408 2691 13*261 11 231 12 227 2691 2057 13 260 10 229 10 219 2057 1527 12 259 9 229 8 213 1527 1121 12 259 9 229 7 209 1121 841 11 259 8 229 6 203 841 672 10 259 8 229 5*197 672 574 9 259 7 229 3*190 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography