DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 1009z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 71.6 - - 76.3 - - 70.9 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 145 - - 217 - - 117 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3585 - - 6277 - - 2329 - - 3138 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 2644 - - 4902 - - 1653 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 4180 - - 6872 - - 2924 - - 3733 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 116 - - 1844 - - 2994 - - 2271 - - 4814 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 336 - - 466 - - 275 - - 136 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 14 - - 3 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 268 - - 283 - - 272 - - 004 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 6 - - -24 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1425 - - -868 - - 264 - - -2512 - - -1693 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1985 - - 5048 - - 6608 - - 5437 - - 5426 sfcLCL ODpotential -6066 - - -4047 - - -796 - - -4431 - - -3435 ODpotential blCL 6626 - - 8227 - - 7668 - - 7355 - - 7168 blCL maxRH 62 - - 62 - - 82 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 71.6 - - 76.3 - - 70.9 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.3 - - 51.6 - - 49.4 - - 49.3 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 70.8 - - 75.4 - - 70.3 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.0 - - 50.2 - - 47.7 - - 47.6 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 145 - - 217 - - 117 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3585 - - 6277 - - 2329 - - 3138 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 81 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98839 30 084 29 095 31 097 26 096 24 097 98839 91344 27 097 20 096 21 091 22 100 18 095 91344 85551 20 101 16 101 14 076 20 095 14 100 85551 80742 14 080 11 092 10 088 15 077 14 097 80742 76601 10 083 5 083 8 076 9 071 11 080 76601 72947 9 085 2 161 2 031 3 056 9 075 72947 69650 7 036 2 185 1 240 3 291 7 038 69650 66627 10 336 7 218 9 275 10 301 14 345 66627 63826 17 296 7 304 12 245 17 282 14 310 63826 61111 24 284 22 316 11 281 20 263 10 292 61111 58261 30 271 35 293 32 300 29 296 26 317 58261 55323 34 276 48 275 50 281 48 290 54 299 55323 52561 45 277 48 267 60 263 61 268 61 278 52561 50072 47 276 45 273 55 251 55 258 62 267 50072 47817 56 285 52 288 52 283 56 279 62 269 47817 45757 62 289 70 291 67 290 75 283 68 274 45757 43874 81 295 84 288 84 287 85 278 76 276 43874 42145 98 293 93 285 92 283 88 276 82 277 42145 40541 111 290 100 283 97 283 90 278 89 279 40541 39041 120 287 105 282 101 285 94 281 96 279 39041 37631 124 284 109 281 105 286 101 284 102 278 37631 36273 124 283 111 282 107 287 106 285 107 278 36273 34899 120 283 109 283 104 286 109 285 109 277 34899 33477 111 283 101 285 99 286 105 285 106 278 33477 32009 99 284 96 286 94 288 97 287 98 280 32009 30481 85 282 92 287 89 292 90 290 93 282 30481 28877 75 277 88 290 84 294 84 291 91 283 28877 27197 70 272 83 291 79 290 78 289 85 283 27197 25443 68 270 77 289 73 277 75 283 77 282 25443 23615 64 271 65 282 67 276 68 271 69 279 23615 21710 59 274 57 272 58 282 57 271 63 276 21710 19721 55 281 52 272 56 281 48 275 61 272 19721 17640 53 286 45 277 56 281 46 278 57 270 17640 15518 43 296 40 289 54 284 43 284 57 282 15518 13481 35 302 39 303 46 284 39 291 42 302 13481 11635 35 299 35 306 36 289 38 290 26 310 11635 9996 29 306 29 308 22 282 34 271 18 304 9996 8539 24 312 23 309 17 267 24 252 18 287 8539 7242 22 324 18 313 13*266 17 240 19 275 7242 6089 21 328 14 315 8*267 12 241 19 270 6089 5067 17 325 10*320 7 269 8 251 18 269 5067 4166 13 319 9*320 7 271 6 295 14*269 4166 3371 11 306 8 301 6 272 8*341 11*269 3371 2659 10 287 8 276 6 273 14*001 8 271 2659 2029 9 272 7 270 5 275 15 004 7 273 2029 1505 9 256 7 269 5 276 15 004 6 275 1505 1102 11 247 7 269 5 277 15 004 5 277 1102 825 11 249 6 269 5 277 14 005 5 278 825 657 9*252 6 268 4 277 13 005 4 278 657 561 2*268 5 269 4 278 11 005 4 279 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography