DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.2 - - 66.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 179 - - 160 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2705 - - 3036 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2081 - - 2268 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3300 - - 3631 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 634 - - 841 - - 3184 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 321 - - 322 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 19 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 201 - - 187 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3447 - - -3792 - - -5355 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6747 - - 7424 - - 5931 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12324 - - -11109 - - -13220 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15624 - - 14740 - - 13795 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 82 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.2 - - 66.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 36.7 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.3 - - 66.1 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.0 - - 35.7 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 179 - - 160 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2705 - - 3036 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96502 27 253 35 258 37 263 96502 89244 23 267 23 253 27 259 89244 83694 25 274 23 277 24 265 83694 79089 23 270 30 276 24 274 79089 75118 22 285 28 283 28 272 75118 71617 27 289 25 281 26 277 71617 68457 27 294 22 284 23 282 68457 65561 32 300 27 283 29 290 65561 62894 40 298 34 281 36 289 62894 60313 46 290 35 284 39 284 60313 57606 48 285 46 281 43 285 57606 54774 56 281 57 282 55 285 54774 52054 65 279 65 278 63 278 52054 49588 70 278 68 276 68 274 49588 47362 73 278 71 276 73 274 47362 45336 75 279 73 275 75 274 45336 43485 75 279 72 276 71 274 43485 41792 76 276 71 275 64 273 41792 40239 78 270 72 274 58 275 40239 38801 80 268 77 271 60 278 38801 37452 79 268 73 269 65 275 37452 36147 71 270 65 268 66 269 36147 34818 64 273 61 268 60 266 34818 33433 60 277 57 267 52 268 33433 31997 57 276 54 269 46 270 31997 30492 48 275 50 275 39 277 30492 28908 40 281 44 277 40 276 28908 27246 36 276 40 274 43 273 27246 25501 37 273 37 276 39 274 25501 23676 37 270 34 277 33 275 23676 21777 33 268 34 276 28 261 21777 19798 29 271 32 269 27 266 19798 17728 26 275 28 262 28 268 17728 15606 21 279 23 253 28 266 15606 13550 23 278 21 252 29 262 13550 11672 29 257 30 246 31 253 11672 9999 33 241 36 237 37 243 9999 8516 33 234 36 238 37 239 8516 7201 31 231 34 240 33 246 7201 6039 27 229 32 241 31 240 6039 5018 24 228 29 231 28 225 5018 4125 25*223 22*202 28 204 4125 3340 22*209 20*190 28 197 3340 2638 20 201 20 189 27 193 2638 2019 20 199 20 187 26 189 2019 1502 19 199 19 186 24 185 1502 1105 19 199 19 186 22 181 1105 833 18 198 18 185 17 177 833 668 16 198 16 185 14*176 668 574 13 198 13 184 8*173 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography