DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.9 - - 80.5 - - 79.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 86 - - 53 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1911 - - 2623 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1186 - - 1406 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2506 - - 3218 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2564 - - 2870 - - 6447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 239 - - 239 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 38 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 261 - - 329 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 697 - - 687 - - -1616 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1809 - - 2531 - - 2192 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -120 - - -175 - - -2748 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2626 - - 3393 - - 3324 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 97 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2560 - - 2630 - - 2930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.9 - - 80.5 - - 79.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.5 - - 70.9 - - 71.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.3 - - 80.2 - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.4 - - 69.6 - - 70.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 86 - - 53 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1911 - - 2623 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 69 - - 88 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98479 14 095 5 077 12 042 98479 90998 10 065 7 087 14 055 90998 85256 15 062 11 079 12 052 85256 80503 16 056 18 069 17 063 80503 76415 14 071 21 061 15 056 76415 72818 16 082 18 068 11 062 72818 69566 21 052 16 073 7 046 69566 66576 23 022 16 043 9 048 66576 63804 19 356 19 009 23 015 63804 61134 17 343 15 330 28 335 61134 58374 19 343 17 332 21 309 58374 55516 31 322 32 324 26 322 55516 52773 36 314 35 318 33 319 52773 50292 42 293 44 301 40 320 50292 48066 42 276 51 288 49 302 48066 46062 37 272 53 281 51 288 46062 44241 34 279 50 279 49 284 44241 42565 38 290 46 283 52 289 42565 41009 43 294 48 287 54 289 41009 39548 43 295 48 288 53 288 39548 38166 43 296 46 287 53 287 38166 36825 43 292 43 288 52 286 36825 35459 43 288 43 290 47 288 35459 34040 45 284 41 292 45 293 34040 32570 45 283 43 293 46 298 32570 31033 42 285 41 293 46 301 31033 29416 41 296 41 296 45 302 29416 27717 41 299 42 303 42 302 27717 25935 41 302 41 304 43 304 25935 24069 39 307 40 307 42 303 24069 22124 36 301 36 315 35 318 22124 20095 33 300 34 311 31 320 20095 17982 33 301 30 305 32 310 17982 15831 29 300 26 304 31 312 15831 13761 25 306 21 308 25 321 13761 11879 21 312 18 309 20 326 11879 10208 22 309 19 310 19 328 10208 8722 23 306 19 316 23 339 8722 7400 25 307 16 317 22 346 7400 6226 18 306 13 318 18 357 6226 5184 10 294 11 320 16 002 5184 4265 7 279 8 325 15 003 4265 3452 5 268 6*328 13 003 3452 2724 4*263 5*328 12 003 2724 2080 2*260 5 329 11 004 2080 1542 1 260 4 330 10 004 1542 1130 1 264 4 329 8 005 1130 846 1 261 4 330 7 004 846 674 1 258 4 330 6*003 674 575 0 263 3 329 4*002 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography