DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.7 - - 59.9 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 196 - - 137 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1103 - - 2220 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 974 - - 1591 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1698 - - 2815 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 531 - - 686 - - 2742 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 245 - - 273 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 301 - - 331 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1459 - - -3314 - - -4749 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3157 - - 6129 - - 5322 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7024 - - -9872 - - -13377 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8722 - - 12687 - - 13950 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 58 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.7 - - 59.9 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.9 - - 35.2 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.6 - - 59.1 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.3 - - 34.7 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 196 - - 137 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1103 - - 2220 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96299 11 014 32 025 19 045 96299 89337 18 070 20 040 25 034 89337 83883 24 064 11 047 25 031 83883 79318 22 058 8 047 18 017 79318 75372 16 041 11 056 8 032 75372 71843 15 018 10 017 7 027 71843 68622 17 349 13 308 14 317 68622 65669 15 310 13 256 18 270 65669 62926 28 290 16 292 18 272 62926 60268 34 281 31 294 29 285 60268 57515 46 270 42 278 44 280 57515 54659 46 268 46 271 49 275 54659 51921 55 280 55 280 61 283 51921 49448 64 276 69 277 70 277 49448 47226 69 268 80 268 75 275 47226 45206 73 267 81 266 84 276 45206 43348 82 272 84 269 92 272 43348 41635 92 272 91 269 95 265 41635 40058 95 270 98 267 102 263 40058 38597 96 269 104 264 104 263 38597 37234 91 270 98 264 101 263 37234 35920 82 271 95 268 98 261 35920 34582 77 272 106 269 89 262 34582 33190 67 275 111 269 87 264 33190 31744 64 276 96 270 86 264 31744 30227 67 275 77 270 71 266 30227 28630 70 273 72 272 63 271 28630 26954 68 271 65 272 62 277 26954 25198 69 267 62 271 63 277 25198 23368 67 262 67 269 66 270 23368 21462 58 263 66 269 65 273 21462 19478 49 270 53 272 57 275 19478 17411 56 268 48 272 48 269 17411 15305 57 260 49 270 42 268 15305 13279 48 253 49 267 39 265 13279 11438 36 242 46 256 39 268 11438 9801 29 239 37 248 35 265 9801 8347 30 253 36 260 29 262 8347 7055 33 261 34 257 26 261 7055 5913 30 262 30 260 20 267 5913 4909 28 269 22 263 12 326 4909 4033 27 276 15 287 19 356 4033 3266 25 277 15*333 24 353 3266 2583 23 282 16*333 26 350 2583 1980 17*298 17 331 26 349 1980 1477 15*301 17 331 26 348 1477 1091 15 301 16 330 24 347 1091 825 14 301 16 329 21 345 825 664 13 301 15 328 17*344 664 572 11 301 12 328 11*344 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography