DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0650z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.4 - - 35.3 - - 42.6 - - 49.8 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 145 - - 308 - - 259 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2624 - - 2810 - - 3544 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 555 - - 1918 - - 2365 - - 2846 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top 572 - - 3219 - - 3405 - - 4139 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2997 - - 239 - - 653 - - 1245 - - 4863 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 296 - - 388 - - 394 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 319 - - 286 - - 291 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1095 - - 466 - - -239 - - -1498 - - -5063 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1667 - - 2754 - - 3644 - - 5637 - - 5636 sfcLCL ODpotential -1560 - - 213 - - -4196 - - -3669 - - -7877 ODpotential blCL 2132 - - 3006 - - 7601 - - 7808 - - 8450 blCL maxRH 92 - - 98 - - 87 - - 71 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.4 - - 35.3 - - 42.6 - - 49.8 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.4 - - 25.5 - - 28.9 - - 27.2 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.3 - - 34.6 - - 41.1 - - 48.4 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.8 - - 24.3 - - 27.7 - - 26.3 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 145 - - 308 - - 259 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2624 - - 2810 - - 3544 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 90 - - 49 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97013 23 275 16 279 22 287 23 286 26 287 97013 89812 19 285 9 283 20 267 20 274 23 295 89812 84309 20 288 6 294 16 271 20 271 23 293 84309 79714 24 271 12 284 15 269 23 273 23 289 79714 75702 20 267 14 271 13 251 19 255 21 272 75702 72105 19 251 17 264 13 223 17 222 23 244 72105 68819 16 233 18 243 17 215 23 221 22 235 68819 65782 19 217 23 221 23 220 25 229 23 235 65782 62955 21 204 24 233 30 233 33 235 30 233 62955 60215 41 239 37 236 33 232 34 234 30 232 60215 57349 56 221 43 228 42 232 43 230 39 237 57349 54354 51 215 44 225 49 228 51 224 41 235 54354 51471 49 226 49 230 56 229 52 229 45 235 51471 48865 54 232 55 232 59 232 55 233 48 234 48865 46527 61 232 60 230 62 232 56 233 48 236 46527 44412 66 231 63 228 64 227 56 232 49 238 44412 42485 70 228 63 228 63 223 57 229 54 238 42485 40717 68 225 63 228 60 224 57 229 57 235 40717 39085 64 228 62 229 62 228 60 229 57 234 39085 37575 67 233 62 230 65 229 61 229 55 235 37575 36175 69 231 64 230 66 229 59 230 55 235 36175 34846 67 229 65 231 63 229 54 236 52 233 34846 33517 60 234 63 230 55 229 49 237 44 237 33517 32153 52 240 53 228 45 235 35 240 40 239 32153 30757 48 240 46 232 42 240 28 245 30 236 30757 29307 47 237 49 234 32 254 21 251 31 238 29307 27784 49 235 49 233 25 272 22 259 32 239 27784 26183 49 233 47 239 22 289 26 270 30 239 26183 24502 29 236 43 246 23 292 29 276 28 243 24502 22742 29 233 37 242 27 284 32 275 29 253 22742 20907 29 231 31 242 31 275 35 274 30 261 20907 18989 29 230 33 242 35 266 36 273 31 267 18989 16983 30 235 36 241 39 260 39 273 35 276 16983 14938 33 248 37 244 38 259 43 276 45 283 14938 12969 36 255 37 255 35 265 46 281 46 283 12969 11180 34 262 32 271 38 286 43 283 44 279 11180 9592 33 274 30 291 41 296 37 286 38 275 9592 8186 30 288 35 307 37 301 34 295 31 278 8186 6937 26 300 34 312 32 302 30 301 27 291 6937 5831 25 304 30 312 27 305 24 302 20 300 5831 4856 25 299 25 314 21 299 16*295 11 290 4856 3998 23 290 17*316 12*292 9*288 9 285 3998 3242 19 293 12*319 10*289 9 289 8 291 3242 2565 18 303 12 319 10 288 9 290 9 296 2565 1967 17 307 12 319 9 286 9 291 9 300 1967 1469 17 309 12 319 9 285 8 293 9 303 1469 1086 15 309 12 319 8 284 8 294 9 306 1086 823 13 309 11 319 8 283 8 295 8 307 823 663 10*308 10 319 8 283 7 295 7*307 663 572 6*307 9 319 7 283 7 296 5*307 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography