DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.4 - - 84.7 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 134 - - 62 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3352 - - 4047 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2478 - - 2517 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3947 - - 4642 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1486 - - 1406 - - 4688 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 329 - - 283 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 21 - - 12 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 268 - - 246 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1048 - - -616 - - -2510 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4995 - - 5259 - - 3086 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5484 - - -4370 - - -4446 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9431 - - 9012 - - 5022 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 65 - - 68 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 330 - - 850 - - 2040 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.4 - - 84.7 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.5 - - 63.6 - - 69.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.7 - - 84.3 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.1 - - 62.2 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 134 - - 62 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3352 - - 4047 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99219 22 078 20 084 16 085 99219 91799 20 087 16 083 14 075 91799 86050 20 097 12 084 18 091 86050 81243 18 091 13 085 19 083 81243 77098 10 075 17 084 12 080 77098 73446 4 075 8 060 9 094 73446 70140 6 129 2 172 4 064 70140 67099 4 114 5 162 5 311 67099 64284 4 297 5 216 10 291 64284 61563 14 321 6 246 8 302 61563 58724 23 291 16 298 17 312 58724 55803 23 264 31 304 32 299 55803 53045 15 290 37 279 28 286 53045 50554 27 298 31 263 24 298 50554 48316 37 293 23 275 41 299 48316 46304 47 293 39 299 44 289 46304 44475 56 290 55 297 45 297 44475 42789 59 284 62 292 52 298 42789 41219 56 280 61 290 54 298 41219 39744 52 282 60 293 55 300 39744 38351 50 286 61 296 56 304 38351 37001 51 294 61 299 57 307 37001 35627 57 304 61 299 58 308 35627 34198 59 307 62 299 59 307 34198 32717 52 305 62 297 61 305 32717 31169 43 300 62 295 63 303 31169 29539 38 292 63 295 62 306 29539 27828 39 290 60 296 59 311 27828 26035 42 293 52 295 50 314 26035 24162 37 296 49 292 42 312 24162 22217 33 298 45 299 37 308 22217 20196 32 306 36 308 34 309 20196 18086 29 316 28 311 34 311 18086 15931 27 321 27 314 36 313 15931 13852 26 322 24 315 33 316 13852 11960 21 321 22 308 26 319 11960 10275 15 328 21 304 23 310 10275 8772 14 332 15 302 25 303 8772 7433 13 324 12 300 25 296 7433 6245 11 307 9 283 19 287 6245 5197 7 292 6*253 12 257 5197 4275 4*272 5*246 10 240 4275 3460 3*270 5 246 8 233 3460 2730 3 267 4 245 6 228 2730 2084 3 268 4 247 4 224 2084 1545 3 268 4 246 4 218 1545 1131 3 267 4 248 3 212 1131 846 2 270 3 248 2 208 846 674 2 271 3 246 2*201 674 575 2 271 3 247 1*189 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography