DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.5 - - 43.4 - - 46.7 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 124 - - 56 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1189 - - 2041 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 572 - - 1784 - - 2636 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 420 - - 807 - - 1089 - - 360 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 217 - - 200 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 252 - - 247 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1321 - - -1953 - - -2136 - - -1533 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1893 - - 3737 - - 4773 - - 2105 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7605 - - -5934 - - -5649 - - -5637 ODpotential blCL - - - 8177 - - 7718 - - 8285 - - 6209 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 76 - - 87 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.5 - - 43.4 - - 46.7 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.7 - - 29.4 - - 28.1 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 42.9 - - 46.4 - - 40.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 28.3 - - 27.2 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 124 - - 56 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1189 - - 2041 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 6 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96333 27 300 25 277 26 282 31 268 96333 89240 19 301 26 279 26 289 26 276 89240 83733 22 302 26 295 25 293 26 289 83733 79107 23 296 26 289 27 280 30 290 79107 75085 23 297 27 287 31 275 32 279 75085 71507 32 285 34 281 35 275 37 279 71507 68257 43 272 41 278 40 279 43 278 68257 65263 45 264 46 272 48 275 51 278 65263 62486 50 275 52 269 56 269 57 272 62486 59780 57 264 55 267 59 265 61 273 59780 56940 59 265 62 270 69 269 76 268 56940 53988 73 268 77 265 81 266 81 265 53988 51176 82 266 84 262 87 264 89 266 51176 48661 85 264 88 264 92 267 96 268 48661 46411 93 266 94 266 98 267 100 269 46411 44368 96 268 99 267 102 264 104 267 44368 42500 99 268 105 268 105 263 106 265 42500 40795 104 266 107 267 107 263 107 264 40795 39235 107 266 105 267 105 265 107 265 39235 37799 106 267 104 267 104 268 106 267 37799 36461 106 269 104 265 107 269 106 269 36461 35172 106 270 101 264 107 268 107 270 35172 33863 106 269 101 267 105 267 109 268 33863 32500 108 268 102 268 104 267 108 267 32500 31085 107 267 101 268 104 267 106 267 31085 29604 104 268 98 266 103 267 103 266 29604 28045 103 268 95 266 98 267 101 265 28045 26409 104 268 92 267 91 268 95 267 26409 24693 102 268 90 267 87 270 88 270 24693 22903 97 270 89 266 85 269 83 271 22903 21037 85 272 86 266 81 267 82 271 21037 19087 75 271 80 268 77 264 80 269 19087 17048 74 267 74 269 70 263 77 267 17048 14965 67 268 64 271 63 267 68 264 14965 12961 51 258 51 270 54 270 50 264 12961 11154 35 249 38 257 46 270 38 273 11154 9565 33 252 35 250 39 270 31 273 9565 8159 32 262 31 246 33 265 35 262 8159 6910 32 269 30 240 34 253 27 260 6910 5804 31 271 29 251 29 250 22 255 5804 4829 31 271 25 261 25 254 17 254 4829 3973 30 271 21 266 18 264 13 270 3973 3221 27 264 20 267 14*255 13 280 3221 2548 18 250 19 261 13*249 13 283 2548 1954 14 258 15*256 13 248 13 279 1954 1459 19 261 10*252 12 247 13 271 1459 1080 19 247 9 252 12 247 13 264 1080 820 12 229 9 251 11 246 13 260 820 662 11*228 8 252 11 245 11*258 662 571 6*223 7 252 9 245 5*253 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography