DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.1 - - 58.0 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 161 - - 125 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2713 - - 5296 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2090 - - 3848 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3308 - - 5891 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2642 - - 986 - - 6606 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 322 - - 372 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 335 - - 321 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 215 - - 854 - - -3336 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3093 - - 5037 - - 3910 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1767 - - -2404 - - -4052 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5075 - - 8295 - - 4626 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 73 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.1 - - 58.0 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.6 - - 37.9 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.2 - - 57.4 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.3 - - 36.7 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 161 - - 125 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2713 - - 5296 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97935 7 249 7 269 14 296 97935 90574 13 229 10 259 17 257 90574 84871 11 238 14 235 16 261 84871 80125 13 228 15 245 13 264 80125 76027 14 240 17 246 13 275 76027 72401 18 247 23 245 24 267 72401 69124 17 267 23 262 23 251 69124 66107 37 271 36 272 31 275 66107 63317 40 250 43 262 48 266 63317 60611 38 259 47 265 51 259 60611 57774 59 271 57 266 58 262 57774 54824 69 268 68 263 71 261 54824 52003 81 258 81 257 80 260 52003 49461 81 253 84 255 83 260 49461 47184 85 254 91 255 90 260 47184 45126 95 254 101 253 103 255 45126 43257 104 254 112 254 116 251 43257 41545 117 256 124 256 127 250 41545 39962 136 257 137 256 142 252 39962 38486 147 255 147 255 156 251 38486 37098 148 253 150 252 158 249 37098 35756 148 252 151 251 157 248 35756 34394 144 252 151 250 157 248 34394 32979 141 252 148 250 155 248 32979 31516 136 252 144 249 151 250 31516 29990 131 251 137 247 145 250 29990 28390 125 250 132 245 136 247 28390 26713 121 249 126 245 131 246 26713 24960 114 249 119 246 123 249 24960 23136 105 251 110 249 112 252 23136 21246 91 255 99 254 100 254 21246 19281 76 256 83 257 87 256 19281 17232 67 255 73 255 75 255 17232 15140 62 250 67 253 69 255 15140 13121 59 245 61 251 55 255 13121 11290 44 250 54 255 41 270 11290 9675 35 268 26 276 29 283 9675 8254 20 270 18 293 19 304 8254 7001 9 292 15*304 17 324 7001 5893 13 313 14*318 18 325 5893 4912 15 320 14 320 17 320 4912 4046 14*324 14 320 14 314 4046 3280 14*335 14 321 12 309 3280 2594 15 336 14 321 11 307 2594 1989 14 336 14 321 10 305 1989 1483 14 335 14 322 9 305 1483 1095 14 335 13 322 8 304 1095 828 13 335 13 321 7 303 828 665 12 334 12 321 6*304 665 573 10 334 10 322 4*304 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography