DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 72.9 - - 74.2 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 237 - - 94 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 284 - - 3680 - - 4482 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 2906 - - 2918 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 879 - - 4275 - - 5077 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 273 - - 1308 - - 899 - - 110 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 114 - - 386 - - 303 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 149 - - 131 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3014 - - -3195 - - -2855 - - -5154 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3893 - - 7471 - - 7933 - - 5729 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9985 - - -10861 - - -10432 - - -14585 ODpotential blCL - - - 10864 - - 15136 - - 15509 - - 15160 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 60 - - 59 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 72.9 - - 74.2 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.2 - - 42.5 - - 41.7 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 71.5 - - 73.4 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 42.1 - - 41.4 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 237 - - 94 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 284 - - 3680 - - 4482 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97447 17 244 16 249 14 281 14 287 97447 90173 1 117 6 265 6 219 8 301 90173 84608 7 081 2 321 4 200 1 126 84608 79974 12 080 5 114 5 242 3 061 79974 75968 11 069 8 107 3 238 4 022 75968 72446 7 058 9 097 4 099 5 089 72446 69276 8 012 8 085 5 075 7 061 69276 66372 10 346 6 066 2 061 6 020 66372 63681 13 330 5 016 2 034 6 336 63681 61070 13 327 8 337 4 014 3 308 61070 58344 18 306 16 320 9 343 6 322 58344 55514 20 295 19 318 10 323 8 289 55514 52811 20 303 25 319 21 324 16 312 52811 50381 23 312 31 306 30 314 25 318 50381 48209 23 316 28 302 27 305 28 320 48209 46237 19 310 23 302 22 301 26 312 46237 44423 18 319 19 309 20 311 26 308 44423 42747 26 340 24 333 26 331 31 321 42747 41193 41 332 37 321 40 312 35 316 41193 39737 43 325 44 313 41 310 29 327 39737 38360 39 343 37 331 39 322 30 345 38360 37021 42 360 41 344 42 327 31 341 37021 35650 49 359 45 344 45 329 34 338 35650 34219 48 356 44 343 40 332 37 330 34219 32731 47 349 41 342 35 328 36 323 32731 31172 46 337 39 334 33 322 32 324 31172 29529 40 333 37 328 33 320 33 318 29529 27800 33 334 35 328 33 325 33 318 27800 25986 34 334 30 334 33 331 29 326 25986 24090 33 351 24 348 26 341 23 346 24090 22115 20 354 15 326 20 335 19 337 22115 20057 18 331 17 320 19 321 19 331 20057 17915 20 354 16 349 16 345 14 340 17915 15736 16 356 17 353 14 006 9 341 15736 13641 14 337 15 353 14 006 12 359 13641 11746 10 310 10 337 9 344 10 337 11746 10069 7 319 8 339 5 330 7 309 10069 8578 1 259 3 044 2 247 5 275 8578 7256 1 137 2 108 3 247 4 257 7256 6090 3 070 2 109 3*135 4 175 6090 5065 4 062 5*129 5*131 9 140 5065 4166 6 102 8*146 5 131 11 134 4166 3373 8 139 8 149 5 130 11 132 3373 2663 9 168 9 150 6 131 11 131 2663 2036 11 168 9 150 6 130 11 129 2036 1513 12 167 9 150 6 131 11 129 1513 1112 10*164 9 150 5 131 10 128 1112 836 6*161 8 149 5 130 10 127 836 669 5 159 8 150 5 130 8*123 669 574 4 158 7 149 5 130 5*121 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography