DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.9 - - 75.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 205 - - 84 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1380 - - 3041 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1222 - - 2009 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1975 - - 3636 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1086 - - 2237 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 275 - - 279 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 20 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 262 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 10 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -833 - - 583 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2809 - - 3053 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3029 - - -1096 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5004 - - 4732 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 86 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 250 - - 1160 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.9 - - 75.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.3 - - 63.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.8 - - 74.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.0 - - 62.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 205 - - 84 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1380 - - 3041 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 76 - - 46 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98689 29 105 28 094 98689 91185 25 100 23 095 91185 85412 22 083 21 090 85412 80638 16 086 16 080 80638 76538 14 061 15 073 76538 72906 11 023 8 079 72906 69610 3 123 6 137 69610 66581 1 344 7 332 66581 63780 4 319 13 282 63780 61066 14 298 13 281 61066 58235 24 287 21 286 58235 55303 26 276 25 273 55303 52492 32 285 27 282 52492 49952 50 282 42 287 49952 47684 57 276 48 279 47684 45627 59 270 50 277 45627 43742 57 266 56 275 43742 42010 58 268 60 275 42010 40412 64 272 63 275 40412 38930 73 274 66 271 38930 37546 81 275 65 270 37546 36214 85 273 64 271 36214 34862 84 272 66 271 34862 33460 82 274 67 270 33460 32004 84 279 63 273 32004 30480 80 279 60 279 30480 28876 74 278 61 283 28876 27192 71 273 61 282 27192 25427 74 265 59 280 25427 23585 69 262 58 278 23585 21670 60 263 59 275 21670 19679 54 266 60 274 19679 17608 49 269 60 273 17608 15503 46 274 55 274 15503 13480 48 285 51 280 13480 11647 45 293 41 284 11647 10020 33 299 34 284 10020 8569 28 291 30 277 8569 7273 33 272 30 272 7273 6118 36 257 32 269 6118 5095 38 248 31 267 5095 4193 36 247 27*264 4193 3396 33 249 23*263 3396 2682 26 250 22 262 2682 2052 17*245 21 262 2052 1524 11*230 20 262 1524 1119 10 225 19 262 1119 841 9 223 18 261 841 671 9 221 16 261 671 574 8 221 13 261 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography