DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 89.0 - - 92.0 - - 89.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 55 - - 1 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1092 - - 2162 - - 3491 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 559 - - 1169 - - 559 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1687 - - 2757 - - 4086 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 925 - - 1232 - - 2145 - - 5966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 233 - - 191 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 222 - - 229 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -5 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1096 - - -965 - - -942 - - -2483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2783 - - 3722 - - 5029 - - 3060 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6135 - - -4323 - - -4305 - - -3995 ODpotential blCL - - - 7822 - - 7080 - - 8391 - - 4572 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 99 - - 98 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 3230 - - 3670 - - 3240 - - 5100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 89.0 - - 92.0 - - 89.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.9 - - 74.2 - - 71.8 - - 77.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 88.8 - - 92.3 - - 91.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 72.8 - - 70.4 - - 76.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 55 - - 1 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1092 - - 2162 - - 3491 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 95 - - 91 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 17 - - 15 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99476 33 094 32 105 22 094 22 075 99476 91972 30 093 29 096 20 117 17 077 91972 86171 24 085 26 093 21 103 17 086 86171 81346 17 080 22 082 19 091 18 097 81346 77192 14 106 12 092 15 082 14 095 77192 73519 15 100 9 125 13 075 10 081 73519 70190 9 081 8 111 8 086 6 087 70190 67137 5 062 5 064 1 101 5 021 67137 64327 3 081 3 276 8 253 7 319 64327 61625 1 187 10 261 14 273 14 280 61625 58824 9 278 13 262 15 255 14 251 58824 55934 23 274 19 279 15 270 14 279 55934 53207 33 274 29 281 25 275 28 287 53207 50777 38 262 40 271 36 273 34 281 50777 48596 42 266 43 264 39 278 40 278 48596 46613 48 269 46 266 45 278 41 273 46613 44800 44 260 48 271 44 270 37 274 44800 43131 33 256 39 270 41 264 41 281 43131 41577 22 270 31 264 37 267 47 278 41577 40115 25 302 29 257 37 276 43 270 40115 38732 29 305 27 265 39 281 37 263 38732 37389 33 309 29 282 35 283 35 261 37389 36013 37 311 34 291 31 275 35 259 36013 34577 37 311 35 294 34 264 36 261 34577 33085 33 316 35 281 34 265 36 264 33085 31523 25 315 31 264 29 271 33 264 31523 29878 21 292 25 256 27 284 28 269 29878 28152 24 277 22 253 26 279 25 273 28152 26343 19 275 21 259 23 282 24 270 26343 24450 15 262 19 285 19 293 22 266 24450 22483 16 254 22 312 17 290 20 277 22483 20436 15 257 22 299 19 293 23 303 20436 18311 15 264 32 290 29 292 30 302 18311 16148 18 276 38 283 26 287 26 290 16148 14055 21 300 27 262 23 272 23 290 14055 12142 22 312 21 271 22 253 18 281 12142 10436 19 305 17 273 16 248 16 262 10436 8915 16 288 13 271 10 254 15 261 8915 7562 15 286 11 267 9 249 16 244 7562 6361 16 300 12 260 12 242 17 233 6361 5296 17 300 15 259 17 236 17 229 5296 4355 19 288 17 258 18*231 17 227 4355 3522 23 269 18*251 18*229 17 225 3522 2777 25 250 16*234 18 229 17 224 2777 2117 23*239 14 223 17 229 17 221 2117 1567 18*226 13 220 17 229 16 219 1567 1144 16 221 13 219 16 229 14 216 1144 853 15 220 12 218 15 228 12 214 853 677 13 219 11 218 13 228 9*212 677 576 10 219 9 216 10 227 5*210 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography