DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 14.5 - - 18.2 - - 15.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 335 - - 181 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2469 - - 2790 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2124 - - 2124 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3064 - - 3385 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 564 - - 771 - - 3246 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 377 - - 320 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 305 - - 297 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2394 - - -3377 - - -5329 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5459 - - 6762 - - 5900 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14825 - - -14646 - - -16015 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17889 - - 18031 - - 16586 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 42 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 14.5 - - 18.2 - - 15.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -7.3 - - -9.4 - - -7.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 13.2 - - 17.5 - - 16.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -7.8 - - -9.7 - - -8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 335 - - 181 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2469 - - 2790 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96053 19 288 9 311 17 267 96053 89006 17 260 18 279 20 272 89006 83492 17 239 25 268 24 274 83492 78869 16 263 20 264 21 259 78869 74861 23 268 23 273 24 257 74861 71289 31 261 36 264 27 266 71289 68010 36 254 39 259 34 271 68010 64966 37 261 45 264 43 277 64966 62141 45 259 52 261 52 269 62141 59407 49 254 54 259 53 259 59407 56537 52 259 57 264 56 266 56537 53546 66 263 71 266 73 269 53546 50705 75 261 79 262 85 266 50705 48164 77 262 86 262 90 264 48164 45894 81 263 90 262 92 263 45894 43834 82 263 90 262 92 263 43834 41944 87 265 90 263 92 265 41944 40199 90 265 92 265 96 267 40199 38580 94 267 97 266 101 268 38580 37074 102 269 103 267 106 269 37074 35670 114 267 110 268 111 270 35670 34325 123 266 117 268 113 269 34325 32969 129 268 123 268 114 271 32969 31574 136 269 126 267 118 272 31574 30143 140 268 126 267 118 270 30143 28660 141 267 127 268 111 270 28660 27112 134 267 123 268 108 273 27112 25503 122 266 117 266 103 274 25503 23829 115 266 109 266 91 276 23829 22088 112 267 100 269 84 280 22088 20277 103 271 94 272 83 285 20277 18390 89 274 87 274 80 287 18390 16418 78 277 80 278 74 287 16418 14409 70 280 72 284 68 289 14409 12478 61 282 60 288 60 292 12478 10728 53 287 51 288 53 291 10728 9176 47 293 45 290 47 291 9176 7803 42 300 39 294 42 292 7803 6591 39 305 35 299 35 290 6591 5526 37 309 31 302 29 293 5526 4592 33 313 27 302 25 288 4592 3780 29*311 19*295 20 284 3780 3068 22*305 19*296 17 287 3068 2434 22 305 18 296 15 292 2434 1874 22 305 18 297 14 297 1874 1408 21 305 18 297 13 301 1408 1050 21 305 17 298 11 304 1050 805 19 305 16 298 9 305 805 655 18 305 15 298 7*305 655 570 15 305 13 298 4*305 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography