DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 48.3 - - 51.2 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 150 - - 40 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 282 - - 2157 - - 2439 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 1609 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 877 - - 2752 - - 3034 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 441 - - 688 - - 546 - - 217 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 109 - - 281 - - 190 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 296 - - 280 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -979 - - -559 - - -1719 - - -1661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1856 - - 3311 - - 4753 - - 2234 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13178 - - -10748 - - -11228 - - -12552 ODpotential blCL - - - 14055 - - 13500 - - 14262 - - 13125 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 86 - - 79 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 48.3 - - 51.2 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 36.1 - - 32.8 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 47.5 - - 51.0 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.4 - - 35.0 - - 32.0 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 150 - - 40 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 282 - - 2157 - - 2439 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 46 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96249 78 253 80 258 79 260 73 259 96249 89132 45 261 48 253 53 257 52 264 89132 83659 29 278 31 261 31 258 37 267 83659 79126 20 269 26 275 22 281 24 270 79126 75213 10 264 20 265 22 279 18 285 75213 71741 12 280 18 267 21 268 16 288 71741 68582 12 274 16 253 21 265 17 285 68582 65658 16 271 15 251 18 261 17 274 65658 62934 20 281 13 267 14 263 19 262 62934 60288 21 279 14 266 16 269 20 256 60288 57521 20 270 17 265 20 268 21 263 57521 54645 23 264 24 268 26 266 28 274 54645 51896 29 260 30 266 30 267 32 269 51896 49413 33 260 33 267 33 270 33 268 49413 47184 38 266 37 269 36 274 34 273 47184 45166 44 267 41 270 38 272 35 278 45166 43326 43 269 45 270 38 271 36 280 43326 41632 43 272 48 269 35 280 40 272 41632 40060 47 276 46 271 39 281 41 269 40060 38595 50 274 43 272 44 277 34 277 38595 37223 51 273 46 275 43 277 31 294 37223 35905 50 273 48 272 41 278 34 292 35905 34569 49 274 48 268 50 270 36 284 34569 33188 48 272 50 266 50 268 39 278 33188 31760 48 270 46 265 47 274 43 276 31760 30268 46 271 44 268 46 274 44 277 30268 28695 40 275 43 268 44 272 42 280 28695 27039 38 277 41 271 41 274 37 279 27039 25300 38 281 38 277 36 275 31 282 25300 23480 38 285 32 283 32 275 25 301 23480 21582 30 295 28 288 25 286 24 309 21582 19599 22 308 20 290 22 297 21 305 19599 17527 21 315 19 295 22 303 21 307 17527 15407 21 318 18 303 21 308 19 318 15407 13361 19 323 14 319 16 311 15 324 13361 11500 18 335 13 330 13 320 10 333 11500 9848 17 342 14 334 12 335 6 001 9848 8381 16 347 15 339 12 345 5 003 8381 7078 15 350 15 340 12 343 7 346 7078 5924 15 354 14 342 12 335 7 335 5924 4908 14 000 11 347 10 330 6 315 4908 4021 7 356 8 332 8 310 7 301 4021 3251 5 317 7*307 6*295 8 296 3251 2571 6 304 6*300 6*288 8 288 2571 1971 4 295 6 297 6 285 7 283 1971 1471 4 290 6 296 5 280 7 272 1471 1087 4*306 6 295 5 275 7 259 1087 823 3*307 6 293 5 273 7 246 823 663 3 304 5 294 5 272 6*235 663 572 3 303 5 293 4 271 5*234 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography