DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.6 - - 82.0 - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - -21 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3752 - - 3777 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2539 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4347 - - 4372 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1255 - - 1850 - - 4305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 303 - - 206 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 25 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 184 - - 181 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1635 - - 646 - - -1663 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2712 - - 3726 - - 2239 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 319 - - -4981 - - -3835 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4028 - - 9353 - - 4411 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 80 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2110 - - 2010 - - 2250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.6 - - 82.0 - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.2 - - 67.3 - - 69.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.3 - - 82.7 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.8 - - 65.9 - - 68.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - -21 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3752 - - 3777 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 58 - - 21 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97924 4 218 3 347 6 032 97924 90553 0 218 3 315 6 332 90553 84892 4 032 8 280 7 332 84892 80177 1 020 3 266 5 300 80177 76116 3 120 2 220 6 289 76116 72537 7 215 4 156 6 244 72537 69305 8 160 3 115 6 195 69305 66350 7 265 8 243 3 232 66350 63617 10 249 12 208 4 287 63617 60959 11 283 22 273 21 305 60959 58191 38 277 36 271 33 274 58191 55335 40 258 38 262 36 261 55335 52623 30 252 40 247 34 253 52623 50193 25 254 31 239 32 253 50193 48014 25 260 21 240 31 257 48014 46027 29 263 24 257 35 256 46027 44201 28 267 32 255 39 252 44201 42515 36 266 41 253 47 249 42515 40951 44 249 47 251 50 245 40951 39488 43 238 43 245 44 244 39488 38108 30 249 39 238 38 246 38108 36771 22 253 30 239 36 250 36771 35408 21 248 25 242 33 247 35408 33992 18 231 22 240 32 238 33992 32523 20 216 23 239 29 230 32523 30986 22 221 24 240 28 224 30986 29370 18 241 26 241 27 212 29370 27673 19 255 25 237 26 203 27673 25896 20 251 22 236 25 213 25896 24039 20 229 21 234 25 232 24039 22104 19 231 20 223 27 234 22104 20089 20 234 13 222 23 217 20089 17998 22 236 20 240 16 208 17998 15867 23 227 20 230 16 213 15867 13803 27 209 23 216 21 209 13803 11915 29 201 25 211 28 213 11915 10230 30 201 28 210 29 213 10230 8732 30 202 33 207 31 210 8732 7406 25 200 35 204 36 200 7406 6231 22 199 33 195 36 194 6231 5190 24*194 31*187 34 191 5190 4270 26*190 29*185 33 190 4270 3456 25 188 28 183 31 189 3456 2726 24 182 27 182 29 188 2726 2081 23 181 25 181 27 186 2081 1543 22 180 24 180 24 183 1543 1130 21 180 22 179 21 180 1130 846 20 180 20 178 16 177 846 673 18 179 18 178 13*175 673 575 15 179 14 177 7*172 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography