DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.4 - - 84.8 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 107 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4411 - - 4737 - - 1065 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3146 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5006 - - 5332 - - 1660 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2837 - - 2491 - - 1783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 341 - - 192 - - 88 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 154 - - 150 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 888 - - 797 - - -444 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4119 - - 4536 - - 2104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -18 - - -880 - - -2330 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5024 - - 6212 - - 3990 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 900 - - 820 - - 1670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.4 - - 84.8 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.1 - - 66.7 - - 71.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.7 - - 85.3 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.7 - - 65.4 - - 71.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 107 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4411 - - 4737 - - 1065 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 68 - - 102 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98679 21 093 18 091 14 093 98679 91205 14 089 16 093 14 083 91205 85453 14 070 17 100 19 075 85453 80695 15 068 13 095 22 076 80695 76615 13 088 12 086 19 070 76615 73029 14 095 11 077 16 060 73029 69807 12 095 5 074 13 046 69807 66869 15 077 5 108 6 050 66869 64154 12 066 7 074 6 047 64154 61519 13 062 7 045 7 002 61519 58763 10 002 6 027 8 336 58763 55902 11 318 6 348 11 313 55902 53173 11 294 7 286 14 287 53173 50724 22 276 20 287 19 292 50724 48526 34 259 30 267 29 272 48526 46528 34 245 33 248 32 246 46528 44701 26 228 27 234 31 238 44701 43018 24 231 30 224 32 236 43018 41449 36 226 33 220 32 236 41449 39977 38 219 39 219 28 225 39977 38586 29 217 37 222 30 212 38586 37233 27 220 30 226 32 216 37233 35850 24 219 29 228 32 219 35850 34407 22 219 27 234 29 225 34407 32908 22 220 18 239 29 234 32908 31337 19 225 13 263 30 240 31337 29682 18 221 18 252 30 237 29682 27945 18 212 19 230 27 232 27945 26126 18 211 17 220 23 230 26126 24229 16 223 15 215 19 238 24229 22257 14 228 16 223 19 229 22257 20206 19 223 18 217 18 204 20206 18072 18 212 18 208 15 190 18072 15903 16 195 18 198 11 199 15903 13818 18 187 16 196 13 193 13818 11919 18 180 13 175 17 174 11919 10229 19 177 14 153 19 172 10229 8733 19 167 15 148 18 170 8733 7405 17 159 16 145 17 155 7405 6227 17 157 16*145 17 142 6227 5184 16*156 15*147 16 144 5184 4263 13*157 14 148 17 152 4263 3448 13 156 14 149 18 161 3448 2719 12 155 13 150 19 171 2719 2075 12 154 13 151 19*179 2075 1539 11 154 12 151 18*185 1539 1128 11 153 12 151 17 188 1128 845 10 152 11 152 16 189 845 674 10 152 10 152 14 190 674 575 9 152 8 152 11 191 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography