DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.1 - - 51.7 - - 56.4 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 121 - - 30 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 616 - - 1037 - - 1454 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 556 - - 557 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1211 - - 1632 - - 2049 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 449 - - 576 - - 593 - - 958 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 213 - - 167 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 220 - - 208 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -17 - - -546 - - -528 - - -254 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1228 - - 2178 - - 2577 - - 828 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7639 - - -7024 - - -8136 - - -4566 ODpotential blCL - - - 8850 - - 8656 - - 10185 - - 5140 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 79 - - 69 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.1 - - 51.7 - - 56.4 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 44.2 - - 47.2 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 50.9 - - 56.4 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 43.0 - - 45.9 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 121 - - 30 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 616 - - 1037 - - 1454 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 15 - - 0 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95966 31 301 20 295 21 289 21 285 95966 88875 30 282 25 293 27 295 23 303 88875 83439 31 292 29 284 24 290 21 308 83439 78911 37 291 28 280 27 282 26 292 78911 75008 40 281 32 277 29 280 26 270 75008 71563 40 273 37 277 36 281 31 281 71563 68446 39 265 39 274 40 278 38 279 68446 65584 35 255 38 268 39 270 38 268 65584 62918 37 275 38 264 39 267 37 272 62918 60317 51 276 46 270 46 269 47 278 60317 57591 61 261 56 267 55 270 51 273 57591 54734 62 257 60 265 60 266 52 271 54734 51982 67 258 66 265 60 263 52 270 51982 49489 71 257 71 263 58 263 49 267 49489 47246 69 260 63 264 56 270 50 274 47246 45212 69 264 62 270 60 270 54 270 45212 43345 70 265 62 272 59 265 50 284 43345 41625 69 262 63 273 57 277 55 291 41625 40046 71 258 61 265 59 274 56 288 40046 38583 66 255 56 257 50 279 49 289 38583 37211 56 258 48 267 51 298 47 300 37211 35887 53 266 52 274 54 308 49 310 35887 34545 55 267 54 283 50 314 49 313 34545 33154 56 263 53 284 47 319 47 315 33154 31717 49 261 46 278 50 316 44 316 31717 30216 40 272 34 279 49 302 36 316 30216 28638 40 281 28 292 40 293 36 309 28638 26981 41 280 25 303 31 297 38 303 26981 25244 40 280 25 307 26 312 38 301 25244 23428 36 284 28 311 25 320 31 292 23428 21533 34 285 30 310 22 310 25 292 21533 19553 35 284 27 295 24 306 26 302 19553 17485 32 289 27 296 25 311 28 305 17485 15374 26 286 21 301 15 309 17 301 15374 13337 31 283 14 306 13 301 13 257 13337 11482 33 277 11 316 10 284 15 236 11482 9835 29 281 13 308 7 250 18 232 9835 8379 27 290 19 293 12 275 14 249 8379 7095 22 293 20 289 22 289 19 283 7095 5960 14 284 19 287 23 278 22 275 5960 4957 10 268 16 274 21 271 22 265 4957 4075 9 262 13 248 19 257 22 248 4075 3297 11 267 13 232 18 235 23 238 3297 2604 13 268 15 234 18*226 23 227 2604 1994 13 249 14*231 15*212 21 213 1994 1486 12*230 11*221 14 208 19 206 1486 1096 11*224 10 220 13 207 17 199 1096 828 10 224 10 219 12 207 14 192 828 666 9 223 9 218 11 206 11*188 666 573 8 223 8 219 9 205 6*182 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography