DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.4 - - 26.0 - - 26.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 156 - - 45 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2360 - - 2369 - - 2553 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1770 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2955 - - 2964 - - 3148 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 792 - - 781 - - 357 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 293 - - 196 - - 160 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 016 - - 359 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 486 - - 1198 - - 1059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2470 - - 1766 - - 2089 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 135 - - 895 - - 530 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2820 - - 2069 - - 2618 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.4 - - 26.0 - - 26.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.0 - - 20.8 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 27.5 - - 25.8 - - 26.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 18.9 - - 19.6 - - 18.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 156 - - 45 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2360 - - 2369 - - 2553 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 70 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95918 34 252 35 255 32 262 95918 88753 26 263 26 257 28 263 88753 83292 26 296 20 259 19 264 83292 78762 20 285 25 280 22 280 78762 74851 14 282 22 272 25 289 74851 71383 18 304 14 277 21 287 71383 68202 26 294 20 290 25 299 68202 65240 27 277 27 295 34 304 65240 62480 28 276 35 288 35 300 62480 59800 30 280 36 276 31 293 59800 56990 31 285 30 272 28 286 56990 54046 33 290 24 276 26 289 54046 51213 35 288 25 291 30 307 51213 48658 36 282 32 299 32 310 48658 46374 35 273 33 295 30 308 46374 44306 27 268 27 290 26 310 44306 42411 22 281 24 296 24 317 42411 40667 23 295 24 305 23 330 40667 39052 26 294 25 307 25 342 39052 37552 26 289 25 308 28 352 37552 36151 23 290 27 309 34 001 36151 34808 21 291 27 308 40 007 34808 33453 19 285 24 309 44 012 33453 32059 19 297 20 322 48 017 32059 30626 19 310 22 340 51 020 30626 29141 20 306 23 340 50 021 29141 27590 24 290 21 330 43 019 27590 25978 26 284 20 323 36 012 25978 24303 23 288 22 332 30 358 24303 22558 19 296 26 345 26 346 22558 20736 17 293 31 349 25 347 20736 18825 14 296 28 348 28 349 18825 16820 14 318 23 350 29 356 16820 14768 18 351 19 345 24 358 14768 12790 20 357 17 345 18 353 12790 10993 17 354 16 349 16 346 10993 9400 14 353 14 355 16 344 9400 7992 14 358 13 002 14 343 7992 6748 15 358 13 001 13 345 6748 5650 16 353 13 356 14 347 5650 4685 16 357 13 358 17 345 4685 3846 14 005 12 358 12*342 3846 3117 12*011 12*359 10*351 3117 2472 11*017 12*360 10 351 2472 1901 11 017 11 360 9 353 1901 1426 11 017 11 360 9 353 1426 1061 11 016 10 359 9 354 1061 810 10 016 10 359 8 353 810 658 10 015 9 359 7 354 658 571 9 016 8 359 6 353 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography