DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.0 - - 86.4 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 161 - - 42 - - -86 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3179 - - 3532 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2450 - - 2008 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3774 - - 4127 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1589 - - 2142 - - 4699 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 345 - - 258 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 32 - - 36 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 197 - - 211 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 15 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 37 - - 83 - - -2300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3737 - - 4044 - - 2876 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4471 - - -3265 - - -4253 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8245 - - 7392 - - 4829 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 89 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2110 - - 2380 - - 1970 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.0 - - 86.4 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 69.9 - - 70.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.5 - - 86.4 - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.9 - - 69.0 - - 69.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 161 - - 42 - - -86 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3179 - - 3532 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 50 - - 56 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98897 34 091 27 100 26 100 98897 91364 27 101 27 105 18 077 91364 85601 19 099 22 090 18 080 85601 80828 17 100 16 077 20 080 80828 76702 10 065 13 086 16 079 76702 73060 10 052 11 120 6 066 73060 69781 7 038 10 099 4 110 69781 66765 2 144 3 014 8 056 66765 63971 4 012 7 285 8 324 63971 61296 16 335 12 274 14 299 61296 58518 22 291 18 266 19 303 58518 55645 28 292 33 306 39 299 55645 52925 35 300 48 289 43 291 52925 50470 40 303 58 291 52 293 50470 48255 55 299 67 288 65 292 48255 46247 86 300 68 289 72 295 46247 44416 92 298 76 299 76 300 44416 42734 89 298 85 308 76 300 42734 41169 85 301 90 312 74 294 41169 39695 82 305 85 310 73 291 39695 38298 78 307 75 305 70 290 38298 36941 76 308 70 302 68 286 36941 35557 73 304 64 296 66 283 35557 34116 71 301 63 291 65 281 34116 32622 69 299 65 293 64 281 32622 31060 65 300 65 294 66 281 31060 29417 64 299 63 293 70 281 29417 27695 65 295 61 292 74 283 27695 25898 63 287 59 288 76 284 25898 24029 61 284 61 281 73 282 24029 22089 59 281 62 277 67 280 22089 20073 53 275 57 275 59 272 20073 17984 51 269 50 265 56 263 17984 15859 43 262 49 261 56 256 15859 13799 36 244 50 252 56 254 13799 11917 40 238 53 250 56 256 11917 10237 44 240 56 259 54 262 10237 8742 47 242 54 259 47 262 8742 7414 49 239 50 247 49 254 7414 6236 48 228 46 231 46 243 6236 5194 43 220 42 218 45 234 5194 4275 37*209 40*214 43 227 4275 3462 35*200 40*213 42 224 3462 2733 34 198 39 212 40 222 2733 2087 33 197 38 211 38 220 2087 1548 32 196 37 210 35 218 1548 1133 31 195 35 210 31 216 1133 847 29 194 32 210 26 214 847 674 26 193 28 209 22*213 674 575 20 193 21 209 15*212 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography