DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 65.0 - - 70.1 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 294 - - 189 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1335 - - 4494 - - 4172 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 911 - - 3636 - - 3195 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1930 - - 5089 - - 4767 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2149 - - 987 - - 1382 - - 4205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 450 - - 381 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 21 - - 22 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 220 - - 215 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1284 - - -671 - - -2468 - - -4806 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3215 - - 5760 - - 7236 - - 5382 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3238 - - -4678 - - -5471 - - -6965 ODpotential blCL - - - 5168 - - 9767 - - 10238 - - 7540 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 88 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 65.0 - - 70.1 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 41.7 - - 40.3 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 63.7 - - 69.4 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 40.5 - - 39.1 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 294 - - 189 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1335 - - 4494 - - 4172 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 53 - - 44 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97788 15 269 19 274 17 292 20 283 97788 90350 13 249 23 266 19 270 16 285 90350 84638 10 261 18 236 15 260 16 270 84638 79896 8 274 15 222 15 240 18 249 79896 75797 10 289 13 223 16 243 17 258 75797 72156 15 255 14 257 17 237 21 266 72156 68850 19 245 18 248 19 242 22 258 68850 65805 24 253 23 256 26 246 24 258 65805 62975 28 255 27 264 28 262 26 273 62975 60226 30 253 32 264 38 265 28 273 60226 57354 28 261 31 265 35 265 33 282 57354 54375 35 273 33 266 33 269 40 279 54375 51535 44 273 36 270 38 270 39 276 51535 48982 45 279 42 268 44 270 42 276 48982 46699 51 284 46 270 48 273 46 277 46699 44635 55 279 46 273 47 273 50 283 44635 42764 53 275 53 283 47 275 57 285 42764 41067 56 283 59 285 52 283 60 280 41067 39522 63 287 62 285 61 288 60 285 39522 38102 63 284 64 287 69 291 71 295 38102 36777 58 286 64 290 70 291 83 299 36777 35498 57 292 63 291 67 288 86 298 35498 34193 59 295 61 290 67 285 83 296 34193 32833 62 295 60 288 67 285 79 296 32833 31422 63 295 59 289 63 288 71 294 31422 29947 63 293 58 290 58 289 65 293 29947 28395 62 291 56 289 51 284 60 290 28395 26765 61 291 50 286 45 279 55 286 26765 25057 57 295 43 287 40 279 51 285 25057 23272 49 304 44 299 35 287 49 289 23272 21414 44 316 50 311 37 295 51 293 21414 19479 41 320 48 306 43 301 55 296 19479 17457 43 324 52 295 47 296 58 297 17457 15386 41 321 45 285 53 287 57 291 15386 13388 36 313 39 281 55 286 57 285 13388 11563 28 298 36 280 47 281 54 286 11563 9935 23 298 31 278 43 277 43 278 9935 8490 21 290 24 273 40 273 39 268 8490 7203 18 274 22 264 36 263 37 264 7203 6058 14 242 23*245 31 249 35 258 6058 5043 15 241 22*227 25*231 33 247 5043 4150 19 233 23 222 23*219 29 235 4150 3361 22 228 22 220 23 217 27 226 3361 2655 22 219 22 219 23 215 25 221 2655 2032 20*215 22 218 23 215 24 218 2032 1511 17*209 21 217 22 214 22 215 1511 1111 16 209 20 217 21 213 20 212 1111 836 15 209 19 216 20 213 17 209 836 669 14 208 18 216 19 212 14*207 669 574 11 208 15 216 15 213 10*205 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography