DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 82.5 - - 84.0 - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 54 - - 6 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 895 - - 3858 - - 4658 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 2499 - - 1789 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1490 - - 4453 - - 5253 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3864 - - 1206 - - 1054 - - 5158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 173 - - 291 - - 232 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 039 - - 051 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1583 - - 178 - - 381 - - -1921 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3073 - - 4275 - - 4872 - - 2497 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3291 - - -4870 - - -5571 - - -3335 ODpotential blCL - - - 4781 - - 9323 - - 10824 - - 3911 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 68 - - 66 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 310 - - 260 - - 1540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 82.5 - - 84.0 - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.9 - - 65.8 - - 64.7 - - 71.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 82.2 - - 84.0 - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 64.4 - - 63.3 - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 54 - - 6 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 895 - - 3858 - - 4658 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 10 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99554 49 092 52 086 42 102 32 092 99554 92008 39 093 39 093 33 091 31 088 92008 86171 33 088 30 092 30 093 33 071 86171 81352 27 086 30 091 31 083 29 080 81352 77219 27 088 26 096 26 074 30 078 77219 73580 25 084 20 084 22 089 25 060 73580 70319 25 075 20 074 19 096 18 070 70319 67337 23 072 21 065 19 082 18 075 67337 64573 22 075 18 054 20 059 20 063 64573 61904 20 068 16 059 20 058 20 046 61904 59138 23 041 19 062 23 056 22 032 59138 56277 23 017 25 037 26 044 18 032 56277 53547 32 022 35 031 33 030 28 046 53547 51087 42 011 42 022 36 024 32 031 51087 48873 47 021 45 030 45 030 39 033 48873 46853 53 023 48 028 50 032 47 039 46853 44994 55 024 43 027 51 034 52 041 44994 43272 49 025 38 042 46 031 49 040 43272 41671 42 022 42 043 32 049 37 043 41671 40174 32 023 40 035 34 056 32 056 40174 38767 27 030 27 036 29 053 24 064 38767 37404 24 034 24 049 25 058 24 078 37404 36011 21 024 26 050 26 060 29 080 36011 34561 19 010 24 042 26 058 33 075 34561 33057 18 009 22 029 25 058 36 073 33057 31486 16 014 21 017 23 064 36 075 31486 29832 17 010 20 023 23 066 38 077 29832 28097 21 015 18 036 23 068 37 079 28097 26278 21 032 16 049 21 070 34 084 26278 24379 15 030 14 057 20 071 30 091 24379 22404 15 013 14 058 20 070 23 090 22404 20348 17 011 16 059 20 068 18 084 20348 18203 16 018 18 069 20 070 17 084 18203 16013 15 027 22 071 24 076 18 080 16013 13903 17 034 27 065 27 076 23 073 13903 11986 18 043 28 062 29 073 26 071 11986 10283 22 054 26 062 28 073 25 067 10283 8773 25 060 23 064 26 073 24 065 8773 7434 22 058 22 066 21 071 23 065 7434 6249 18 049 20 067 16*064 21 057 6249 5202 15 037 16*063 12*055 17 048 5202 4279 12 030 12*053 10 051 14 049 4279 3463 11 040 9 040 9 050 12 052 3463 2731 12 040 9 038 9 050 11 055 2731 2085 12 038 8 036 8 050 10 060 2085 1546 11*035 8 035 7 050 9 064 1546 1132 8*028 8 035 7 050 8 066 1132 847 8 027 7 034 7 049 7 068 847 674 7 027 7 034 6 050 6*068 674 575 6 027 6 034 5 050 3*068 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography