DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 45.4 - - 49.2 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 58 - - -20 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 893 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 555 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 572 - - 1488 - - 573 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 229 - - 704 - - 2165 - - 877 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 158 - - 17 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 14 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 204 - - 191 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1242 - - -1718 - - -2207 - - -1036 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1814 - - 3206 - - 2780 - - 1609 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17004 - - -15051 - - -13739 - - -13625 ODpotential blCL - - - 17576 - - 16539 - - 14312 - - 14198 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 66 - - 69 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 45.4 - - 49.2 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.6 - - 33.5 - - 39.1 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 45.3 - - 50.1 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 32.2 - - 38.3 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 58 - - -20 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 893 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95752 32 294 52 289 43 308 38 304 95752 88942 34 301 33 297 34 297 36 285 88942 83587 33 320 26 306 31 291 29 287 83587 79071 26 309 22 307 28 294 24 286 79071 75128 24 310 22 304 27 297 25 301 75128 71633 28 317 24 302 25 299 28 304 71633 68491 23 312 23 297 22 295 26 302 68491 65619 19 312 22 289 21 288 27 289 65619 62948 20 306 19 293 22 276 27 276 62948 60342 23 311 16 286 26 256 29 268 60342 57603 28 309 26 299 23 268 31 278 57603 54739 33 294 33 286 34 282 34 274 54739 51986 32 296 33 291 41 278 40 276 51986 49497 36 308 40 299 41 283 45 273 49497 47261 38 305 41 297 43 284 45 270 47261 45226 40 295 41 294 46 291 45 276 45226 43360 38 288 42 289 49 285 46 281 43360 41645 37 275 43 283 48 281 49 277 41645 40070 28 275 44 271 47 276 50 277 40070 38611 24 271 33 266 43 265 48 276 38611 37255 27 257 29 263 39 261 50 264 37255 35959 25 253 34 257 44 259 53 269 35959 34640 19 263 30 256 43 259 57 268 34640 33264 17 259 30 253 41 264 54 269 33264 31832 19 252 37 251 46 268 50 270 31832 30333 20 248 38 250 43 266 47 268 30333 28755 19 243 36 254 41 265 46 265 28755 27097 20 245 34 253 41 264 45 263 27097 25358 22 241 32 253 37 267 39 260 25358 23540 23 228 29 261 33 272 34 256 23540 21644 25 226 28 280 32 274 32 258 21644 19662 28 257 28 285 33 272 35 259 19662 17587 29 273 28 276 34 275 38 260 17587 15463 30 271 30 268 35 273 37 259 15463 13409 28 273 32 269 36 274 35 259 13409 11538 26 271 32 267 35 277 31 266 11538 9874 27 263 30 259 33 277 28 274 9874 8396 24 258 26 254 29 270 28 272 8396 7085 21 257 22 252 25 260 27 262 7085 5928 21 258 22 251 26 259 30 261 5928 4914 24 255 27 249 34 258 39 262 4914 4033 27 248 32 240 39 247 44 251 4033 3262 25 247 28 230 34 236 42 241 3262 2575 23 249 25 225 27 221 35 234 2575 1969 22 235 23*221 23 209 31 219 1969 1467 20 221 18*210 21 202 30 203 1467 1085 20 207 14 203 19 197 26 195 1085 822 17 196 13 202 16 195 21 191 822 663 14*193 12 202 14*193 18*190 663 572 6*188 9 201 10*191 11*188 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography