DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 48.3 - - 54.2 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 157 - - 150 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 442 - - 1121 - - 2639 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 847 - - 1937 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1037 - - 1716 - - 3234 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 297 - - 1190 - - 2242 - - 5242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 229 - - 298 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 114 - - 166 - - 228 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -722 - - -1101 - - -1304 - - -3149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1759 - - 2817 - - 4538 - - 3723 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4694 - - -3165 - - -2315 - - -5016 ODpotential blCL - - - 5731 - - 4881 - - 5549 - - 5590 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 99 - - 88 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 48.3 - - 54.2 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 38.0 - - 36.4 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 47.4 - - 53.3 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 37.3 - - 35.9 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 157 - - 150 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 442 - - 1121 - - 2639 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 96 - - 54 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96713 27 079 16 103 18 110 15 097 96713 89517 20 076 14 096 13 100 13 103 89517 83932 4 126 1 162 12 064 14 120 83932 79266 9 116 13 184 9 262 8 003 79266 75220 14 313 7 052 14 214 14 292 75220 71652 19 271 17 291 12 266 18 277 71652 68413 21 271 19 274 18 276 20 300 68413 65409 37 302 39 283 37 277 39 281 65409 62614 45 296 38 275 39 268 42 285 62614 59903 46 294 39 282 41 276 46 287 59903 57083 55 294 50 286 46 283 47 280 57083 54147 62 289 56 280 48 284 44 282 54147 51333 62 289 56 280 49 284 50 288 51333 48804 65 289 53 287 54 286 54 287 48804 46539 72 288 62 291 62 286 57 290 46539 44492 74 286 72 287 68 285 63 290 44492 42631 75 285 73 281 71 285 61 286 42631 40928 77 285 68 281 69 286 60 292 40928 39359 77 285 67 282 66 283 61 292 39359 37903 67 283 63 280 60 276 60 291 37903 36542 62 284 60 283 53 278 58 288 36542 35234 61 279 57 281 50 283 55 285 35234 33912 55 285 54 280 50 285 52 285 33912 32544 58 294 53 283 50 283 50 286 32544 31130 61 299 54 285 50 284 49 290 31130 29657 61 301 55 286 53 288 49 294 29657 28112 58 302 54 286 54 288 48 295 28112 26490 57 300 54 286 53 284 48 292 26490 24787 57 296 52 287 52 283 48 285 24787 23004 56 293 51 289 49 285 47 280 23004 21142 54 291 50 291 47 288 46 283 21142 19197 53 289 49 292 46 289 45 288 19197 17165 52 287 48 292 43 289 44 290 17165 15093 51 288 47 290 39 291 42 294 15093 13095 43 292 41 287 34 290 37 294 13095 11283 34 286 34 285 32 283 35 290 11283 9681 30 278 29 286 32 285 35 290 9681 8267 24 285 25 287 27 294 33 295 8267 7015 18 326 17 280 25 293 27 293 7015 5905 17 340 10 281 18 288 23 288 5905 4920 14 340 7 307 10 279 20 282 4920 4050 4 268 4 252 6 263 14 273 4050 3283 5 176 4 179 4*243 9 256 3283 2597 5 149 6 161 3*237 7 243 2597 1990 7 133 6*165 3 232 6 226 1990 1484 11 129 6*166 3 229 5 210 1484 1095 10*122 6 166 3 224 5 195 1095 828 7*115 5 166 3 221 4 185 828 666 7 114 5 167 3 220 4*176 666 573 6 114 5 166 2 220 4*171 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography