DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.2 - - 78.5 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 207 - - 119 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4585 - - 4652 - - 3950 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3576 - - 3344 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5180 - - 5247 - - 4545 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1039 - - 1101 - - 1683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 412 - - 351 - - 121 W* B/S - - - - - - 16 - - 22 - - 6 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 075 - - 069 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -614 - - -1364 - - -807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5794 - - 6611 - - 5353 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11176 - - -11444 - - -10662 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16356 - - 16691 - - 15207 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.2 - - 78.5 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 51.7 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.0 - - 77.7 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.6 - - 50.4 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 207 - - 119 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4585 - - 4652 - - 3950 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 43 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99440 37 096 35 083 40 077 99440 91939 35 085 36 096 33 077 91939 86165 30 089 30 086 26 086 86165 81380 26 094 21 090 24 087 81380 77254 24 087 20 081 25 086 77254 73605 22 082 20 090 21 070 73605 70320 17 081 18 080 13 087 70320 67307 16 066 12 054 12 053 67307 64532 7 059 9 032 13 012 64532 61876 14 053 3 062 9 337 61876 59121 19 005 5 037 5 324 59121 56264 25 339 15 344 8 343 56264 53541 38 321 29 327 21 334 53541 51104 45 306 41 316 34 321 51104 48935 45 296 54 304 46 303 48935 46974 43 297 45 295 41 293 46974 45171 43 306 51 311 39 308 45171 43498 52 322 57 309 43 317 43498 41929 64 328 54 302 48 315 41929 40445 62 327 56 307 52 305 40445 39035 55 324 53 310 45 299 39035 37661 53 321 47 318 42 294 37661 36255 51 319 48 319 42 291 36255 34786 42 307 44 314 41 288 34786 33259 40 301 36 301 41 284 33259 31658 42 293 38 296 41 282 31658 29972 43 293 39 301 38 285 29972 28203 42 296 39 302 32 289 28203 26351 41 297 39 303 31 287 26351 24420 38 294 37 303 32 293 24420 22413 35 293 34 300 30 301 22413 20323 35 298 30 303 24 302 20323 18147 36 307 31 312 23 308 18147 15931 32 312 28 311 24 307 15931 13802 24 316 21 307 24 295 13802 11870 21 313 20 307 23 290 11870 10158 19 313 18 310 20 296 10158 8644 21 320 16 321 17 310 8644 7309 16 320 10 326 11 324 7309 6138 7*333 2*034 2 344 6138 5111 4*070 3*064 2*079 5111 4205 4 076 3 066 3*088 4205 3405 4 077 3 068 3 092 3405 2688 5 077 3 068 4 095 2688 2055 5 076 3 071 4 097 2055 1526 5 076 3 071 4 098 1526 1120 5 074 3 071 4 098 1120 841 5 074 3 072 4 098 841 671 5 075 3 072 4 099 671 574 4 075 2 072 3 098 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography