DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.4 - - 96.1 - - 82.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 15 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3897 - - 6777 - - 119 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2749 - - 3616 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4492 - - 7372 - - 714 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5253 - - 4103 - - 1058 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 323 - - 272 - - 41 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 261 - - 249 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 16 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1015 - - 1204 - - -698 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5507 - - 6169 - - 1412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2658 - - -323 - - -4244 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7150 - - 7695 - - 4958 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 89 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3030 - - 2970 - - 4020 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.4 - - 96.1 - - 82.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.8 - - 70.7 - - 77.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 93.7 - - 96.2 - - 83.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.4 - - 69.3 - - 77.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 15 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3897 - - 6777 - - 119 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 32 - - 56 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99296 24 095 23 086 29 091 99296 91809 23 105 19 088 25 074 91809 86033 21 089 16 085 18 074 86033 81228 15 103 13 082 14 092 81228 77080 13 083 12 095 9 103 77080 73417 12 093 8 069 12 071 73417 70105 17 088 6 096 9 016 70105 67074 10 020 10 080 5 101 67074 64265 10 330 9 028 9 033 64265 61560 12 326 10 333 13 330 61560 58794 9 304 12 288 13 299 58794 55948 12 322 8 249 14 258 55948 53232 25 302 17 289 23 289 53232 50799 34 289 29 294 29 297 50799 48641 32 292 39 299 30 303 48641 46699 40 309 38 296 28 312 46699 44911 45 306 44 313 31 320 44911 43244 38 302 48 318 37 324 43244 41680 34 306 51 325 36 319 41680 40204 36 317 52 324 32 315 40204 38806 37 323 51 323 31 311 38806 37446 37 323 46 324 33 308 37446 36057 36 315 41 326 31 308 36057 34609 35 302 40 324 25 304 34609 33103 31 302 35 314 22 292 33103 31523 29 308 30 311 22 291 31523 29858 30 301 32 316 25 302 29858 28112 29 302 31 319 27 301 28112 26284 30 303 27 317 25 299 26284 24381 34 294 28 306 23 305 24381 22406 37 288 32 308 22 322 22406 20358 29 278 35 317 29 328 20358 18231 20 255 33 306 36 330 18231 16069 17 253 27 280 37 319 16069 13981 17 249 22 259 34 311 13981 12076 17 255 19 264 29 298 12076 10380 16 258 18 259 28 284 10380 8872 16 251 17 257 27 277 8872 7529 15 262 16*253 23 270 7529 6331 17 269 14*251 21 267 6331 5267 17*271 13 250 19 269 5267 4327 15*268 12 249 18 272 4327 3496 11 262 12 249 16 275 3496 2753 11 261 11 249 13 280 2753 2098 10 260 11 249 11 286 2098 1553 10 259 10 248 4 316 1553 1136 9 259 10 248 4 047 1136 849 9 258 9 248 7*075 849 675 8 258 9 248 7*080 675 575 7 257 7 248 6 081 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography