DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.6 - - 32.6 - - 34.8 - - 30.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 114 - - 61 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1335 - - 1918 - - 1921 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 1254 - - 555 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1930 - - 2513 - - 2516 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 838 - - 220 - - 317 - - 2092 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 147 - - 245 - - 200 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 053 - - 060 - - 056 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 597 - - 551 - - 361 - - -1223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1333 - - 1962 - - 2155 - - 1795 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 331 - - 580 - - 263 - - -13796 ODpotential blCL - - - 1599 - - 1933 - - 2253 - - 14368 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.6 - - 32.6 - - 34.8 - - 30.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.9 - - 26.2 - - 27.4 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 32.1 - - 34.3 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 25.6 - - 26.9 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 114 - - 61 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1335 - - 1918 - - 1921 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 95 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95206 43 275 51 266 54 268 63 269 95206 88287 32 301 37 286 35 283 37 282 88287 82922 34 328 35 318 29 307 27 305 82922 78458 39 335 35 330 31 321 26 319 78458 74607 40 334 30 328 29 316 29 312 74607 71177 38 331 30 325 26 315 30 297 71177 68044 35 321 31 316 29 308 31 302 68044 65144 36 320 34 309 32 302 34 303 65144 62438 43 311 36 308 33 302 36 299 62438 59805 47 305 40 304 38 302 39 296 59805 57050 52 301 46 298 45 296 44 293 57050 54179 59 292 49 289 48 289 48 287 54179 51434 57 287 53 284 54 284 51 288 51434 48964 58 287 57 281 56 278 56 284 48964 46753 65 288 58 280 57 276 58 283 46753 44754 70 285 58 281 54 280 56 280 44754 42929 74 277 59 280 56 283 51 279 42929 41251 68 266 58 275 55 277 51 283 41251 39697 49 267 49 263 53 270 55 283 39697 38251 49 269 42 273 39 264 51 274 38251 36903 57 268 45 274 40 268 44 258 36903 35606 55 272 46 271 41 265 48 255 35606 34281 53 276 48 271 41 266 53 253 34281 32896 51 279 49 271 46 267 52 254 32896 31456 50 278 50 271 48 268 43 264 31456 29947 48 279 48 272 45 270 33 265 29947 28359 45 273 43 273 35 275 26 263 28359 26690 44 281 38 272 31 277 26 273 26690 24940 45 295 34 281 29 275 28 271 24940 23110 40 290 30 290 26 274 28 265 23110 21209 38 282 30 291 23 279 28 266 21209 19234 35 278 29 290 21 288 28 271 19234 17181 33 278 24 288 19 283 25 272 17181 15092 29 280 22 287 18 283 20 275 15092 13081 25 284 18 287 16 283 17 282 13081 11254 23 290 14 281 13 276 18 290 11254 9627 23 296 12 277 12 273 16 292 9627 8183 22 300 9 271 10 270 11 290 8183 6903 18 302 7 267 6 258 7 283 6903 5771 13 304 6 276 4 235 3 283 5771 4774 9 323 4 301 2 191 2 115 4774 3905 8 360 3 034 4 101 5 104 3905 3154 8 034 8*079 8*069 10 079 3154 2496 8*069 7*063 8*057 12 064 2496 1919 8*057 7 061 8 056 12 066 1919 1437 8 053 7 060 8 056 12 067 1437 1067 8 051 7 060 8 056 12 067 1067 813 7 050 6 059 7 057 10 067 813 659 7 050 6 059 7 058 8*067 659 571 6 049 5 058 6 057 4*064 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography