DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 86.6 - - 88.8 - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 166 - - 66 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1068 - - 2671 - - 3585 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 2075 - - 2262 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1663 - - 3266 - - 4180 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 699 - - 1359 - - 1694 - - 3336 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 324 - - 279 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 177 - - 192 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 8 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -46 - - -263 - - 176 - - -973 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1709 - - 3529 - - 4004 - - 1549 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3182 - - -3047 - - -2644 - - -2735 ODpotential blCL - - - 4845 - - 6313 - - 6824 - - 3311 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 89 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 2120 - - 2800 - - 3210 - - 4580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 86.6 - - 88.8 - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.1 - - 72.7 - - 72.9 - - 77.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.7 - - 85.7 - - 88.6 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 71.7 - - 71.9 - - 77.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 166 - - 66 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1068 - - 2671 - - 3585 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 56 - - 20 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - 16 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99413 32 097 28 095 23 092 24 079 99413 91933 28 083 28 105 20 085 25 076 91933 86149 25 077 25 101 20 091 24 079 86149 81324 22 086 17 093 19 094 16 088 81324 77172 21 091 13 099 18 099 15 085 77172 73510 15 084 13 101 17 100 15 083 73510 70191 12 094 11 103 11 095 11 080 70191 67144 10 073 7 055 9 113 4 084 67144 64341 6 065 4 119 3 099 2 163 64341 61642 7 339 2 107 2 248 2 229 61642 58844 8 245 3 233 5 239 5 263 58844 55966 14 269 11 260 16 276 14 294 55966 53241 19 276 19 257 24 266 22 282 53241 50798 26 273 22 270 27 273 31 284 50798 48608 28 271 25 279 28 270 36 279 48608 46618 29 280 29 281 30 268 36 269 46618 44791 33 276 30 270 32 267 34 262 44791 43098 35 263 25 264 31 263 32 266 43098 41517 33 255 29 270 30 250 33 267 41517 40035 30 254 35 262 26 246 34 244 40035 38640 25 256 26 258 22 248 30 237 38640 37290 21 241 20 242 22 239 28 228 37290 35915 21 235 20 235 20 235 23 209 35915 34481 17 255 18 252 18 247 19 212 34481 32993 16 285 16 260 21 270 15 230 32993 31433 17 293 15 261 25 281 17 260 31433 29791 21 295 16 260 23 283 21 275 29791 28063 23 302 16 250 18 269 24 274 28063 26252 23 303 17 268 17 281 26 279 26252 24364 18 291 20 284 15 292 24 287 24364 22405 14 267 23 273 16 307 22 291 22405 20373 13 257 23 261 25 317 23 311 20373 18255 14 247 18 259 30 329 27 331 18255 16088 13 231 12 263 31 334 29 328 16088 13990 11 217 13 284 20 330 32 311 13990 12076 12 215 16 299 11 313 28 296 12076 10372 10 231 17 300 9 311 13 287 10372 8859 9 260 14 290 8 298 8 283 8859 7513 9 284 9 270 6 268 9 256 7513 6315 11 263 7 260 11 227 14 240 6315 5254 14 232 7 252 15 215 17 227 5254 4319 16 219 8 221 17*206 19 218 4319 3493 17 212 10*192 17*200 21 208 3493 2754 18 210 12*179 17 195 22 198 2754 2101 18*206 13 178 17 192 21 188 2101 1556 15*194 12 177 16 190 20 184 1556 1138 14 192 12 175 16 189 18 182 1138 850 13 191 12 175 15 188 15 179 850 676 12 190 11 174 14 187 12*178 676 575 9 189 9 175 11 186 8*176 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography