DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 63.2 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - 9 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2080 - - 2188 - - 254 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2675 - - 2783 - - 849 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1301 - - 1482 - - 3450 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 205 - - 132 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 054 - - 038 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 880 - - 823 - - -775 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1795 - - 1960 - - 1624 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 557 - - 331 - - -1414 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2118 - - 2452 - - 2263 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 63.2 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.3 - - 56.8 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.8 - - 63.4 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.5 - - 56.0 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - 9 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2080 - - 2188 - - 254 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98374 2 225 5 175 4 243 98374 90962 7 153 8 214 4 100 90962 85254 5 185 5 217 7 014 85254 80530 1 034 4 207 5 333 80530 76467 3 128 6 282 7 327 76467 72888 5 118 3 237 6 314 72888 69655 5 301 6 349 3 340 69655 66682 5 267 10 309 10 311 66682 63946 1 075 2 258 10 277 63946 61305 6 313 3 241 7 245 61305 58540 12 275 13 284 10 292 58540 55665 14 245 17 271 16 288 55665 52913 15 270 20 281 23 292 52913 50438 21 282 24 285 30 289 50438 48226 29 285 28 280 29 287 48226 46212 32 276 28 281 31 290 46212 44359 33 273 33 291 37 290 44359 42643 40 279 44 288 40 292 42643 41043 48 278 48 287 42 296 41043 39542 50 278 48 290 46 296 39542 38131 50 279 51 294 49 295 38131 36769 50 281 57 296 51 296 36769 35388 49 284 59 295 53 297 35388 33957 47 285 58 294 55 296 33957 32479 39 277 53 295 53 295 32479 30939 33 280 45 288 52 294 30939 29318 31 283 36 278 47 293 29318 27615 31 281 35 279 40 287 27615 25831 28 277 37 281 33 283 25831 23964 26 267 34 288 30 283 23964 22014 24 264 30 282 26 286 22014 19978 21 261 27 276 27 287 19978 17854 18 248 21 273 25 290 17854 15691 17 243 19 269 18 291 15691 13610 13 236 12 274 13 295 13610 11720 9 287 7 263 4 284 11720 10040 12 314 3 303 3 210 10040 8546 12 312 7 323 1 209 8546 7224 9 334 5 032 6 030 7224 6055 8 015 8 034 10 032 6055 5022 9 019 10 036 12 034 5022 4124 11 053 13 038 16 051 4124 3340 13*056 12*038 16 053 3340 2639 13*055 12*038 15 054 2639 2019 12 054 12 038 14 054 2019 1503 12 054 12 037 13 053 1503 1106 11 053 11 038 11*051 1106 834 11 053 10 038 9*049 834 668 10 053 9 037 8 048 668 573 8 053 7 037 5 046 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography