DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.4 - - 50.3 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 81 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2720 - - 2876 - - 2877 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2005 - - 1815 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3315 - - 3471 - - 3472 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 507 - - 904 - - 1549 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 303 - - 265 - - 110 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 26 - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 288 - - 287 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 11 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1226 - - 1473 - - 1439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2089 - - 1998 - - 2033 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 417 - - 667 - - 343 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2898 - - 2804 - - 3129 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.4 - - 50.3 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.3 - - 43.7 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.9 - - 50.0 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.0 - - 42.4 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 81 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2720 - - 2876 - - 2877 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 84 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96955 31 273 31 267 38 275 96955 89654 30 267 31 274 30 276 89654 84099 22 286 19 269 24 276 84099 79520 11 298 7 295 9 288 79520 75579 3 234 10 307 11 335 75579 72088 2 240 7 277 9 302 72088 68921 4 339 3 237 8 279 68921 65987 3 281 5 224 12 259 65987 63231 5 250 5 232 13 227 63231 60543 10 277 13 284 10 263 60543 57758 26 268 20 291 22 297 57758 54873 28 246 35 273 34 284 54873 52110 29 257 43 259 46 272 52110 49617 36 250 40 252 45 260 49617 47370 32 251 36 254 41 258 47370 45326 41 258 41 260 42 253 45326 43466 62 256 62 256 59 254 43466 41780 86 244 87 244 78 247 41780 40239 81 230 96 228 93 236 40239 38807 75 227 91 218 104 229 38807 37455 73 222 88 216 107 222 37455 36139 72 216 86 215 104 221 36139 34794 73 216 86 217 101 222 34794 33389 73 218 88 223 98 224 33389 31927 71 221 86 226 95 229 31927 30393 70 226 84 228 96 233 30393 28774 72 231 81 230 97 235 28774 27071 68 229 79 229 93 235 27071 25290 61 225 78 231 86 235 25290 23436 60 226 77 235 81 235 23436 21502 57 227 74 236 77 235 21502 19484 54 225 70 236 69 242 19484 17391 47 231 65 241 55 248 17391 15272 46 256 49 245 42 247 15272 13231 41 257 41 245 41 242 13231 11370 28 239 39 246 43 244 11370 9717 31 221 41 245 44 251 9717 8254 41 232 45 243 43 254 8254 6961 37 236 45 242 39 265 6961 5830 23 237 42 246 33 275 5830 4848 21 240 29 264 29 288 4848 3993 19*268 27*283 29*289 3993 3238 23*286 27*285 28*289 3238 2563 24 288 27 287 28 289 2563 1966 24 289 27 287 26 288 1966 1468 24 289 26 288 25 287 1468 1086 24 289 25 288 22 287 1086 823 23 289 24 288 19 286 823 663 21 289 21 288 16 285 663 572 16 289 16 288 12 284 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography