DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.2 - - 60.7 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 17 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 365 - - 443 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 960 - - 1038 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 912 - - 1372 - - 580 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 77 - - 33 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 109 - - 103 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 340 - - 255 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 620 - - 783 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 178 - - -239 - - -2226 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 782 - - 1277 - - 2800 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.2 - - 60.7 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.3 - - 59.1 - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.3 - - 61.1 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.1 - - 58.9 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 17 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 365 - - 443 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 99 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95449 63 262 62 274 63 271 95449 88488 42 278 47 279 47 280 88488 83086 38 281 44 277 38 280 83086 78607 35 290 37 286 33 288 78607 74752 32 296 31 295 35 294 74752 71354 29 309 26 300 30 297 71354 68277 32 297 32 294 31 305 68277 65446 35 278 33 282 35 289 65446 62837 36 294 38 295 33 288 62837 60318 47 304 54 294 41 289 60318 57679 66 295 61 293 46 294 57679 54922 72 294 67 292 63 290 54922 52278 77 293 78 287 76 289 52278 49890 79 291 86 283 87 286 49890 47738 77 292 85 285 89 284 47738 45778 72 295 78 289 83 285 45778 43979 73 299 73 293 74 287 43979 42323 75 300 68 296 66 287 42323 40786 74 299 65 295 59 288 40786 39345 71 297 62 293 54 286 39345 37981 67 298 59 293 50 282 37981 36656 63 301 57 294 48 281 36656 35300 59 302 55 293 45 275 35300 33888 57 302 52 292 45 271 33888 32423 56 300 50 290 48 270 32423 30888 55 296 48 289 49 272 30888 29270 55 288 43 286 47 275 29270 27568 52 286 46 282 46 275 27568 25785 50 286 47 288 45 277 25785 23922 46 290 48 292 40 282 23922 21981 41 296 42 294 34 283 21981 19954 35 300 31 290 31 275 19954 17842 25 292 25 281 31 274 17842 15692 21 279 25 278 30 278 15692 13623 23 283 24 274 30 279 13623 11741 22 290 21 279 30 278 11741 10069 22 283 22 275 29 275 10069 8583 19 277 24 272 29 271 8583 7261 12 275 22 266 28 271 7261 6088 7 241 20 254 27 267 6088 5052 11 216 19 244 25 250 5052 4149 12 223 16 229 19 220 4149 3358 11 223 13 222 18 205 3358 2650 10 220 10 210 17 199 2650 2024 8 193 7 179 16 189 2024 1504 6 151 6 137 14 168 1504 1106 5*123 7*109 13 139 1106 833 4*111 7*105 12 120 833 668 4 109 6 103 10*115 668 573 3 108 5 101 6*113 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography