DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 21.5 - - 20.2 - - 18.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 326 - - 146 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4992 - - 4175 - - 3001 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4043 - - 3010 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5587 - - 4770 - - 3596 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1092 - - 2868 - - 3212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 474 - - 341 - - 116 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 23 - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 272 - - 279 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 9 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 37 - - 544 - - 465 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5550 - - 4226 - - 3131 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 324 - - 334 - - 161 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5263 - - 4436 - - 3435 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 21.5 - - 20.2 - - 18.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -1.1 - - 3.7 - - 7.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 20.2 - - 19.7 - - 19.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -1.3 - - 3.8 - - 7.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 326 - - 146 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4992 - - 4175 - - 3001 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 98 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96346 57 033 57 044 47 042 96346 89381 37 035 35 037 39 035 89381 83909 24 050 20 028 29 023 83909 79319 11 060 11 347 15 007 79319 75331 4 024 9 307 10 357 75331 71768 6 299 15 311 14 321 71768 68519 8 274 14 262 13 298 68519 65506 15 297 14 293 17 292 65506 62687 23 287 18 289 19 274 62687 59931 24 268 19 277 23 279 59931 57048 23 267 30 277 36 270 57048 54045 34 267 42 267 39 262 54045 51149 44 265 48 262 43 262 51149 48526 57 258 54 255 46 256 48526 46172 59 243 57 247 51 249 46172 44041 55 232 58 245 55 246 44041 42097 49 230 59 243 58 247 42097 40309 47 238 60 242 60 249 40309 38650 52 246 57 243 61 247 38650 37104 57 250 57 245 58 245 37104 35656 61 250 56 246 53 246 35656 34266 65 249 55 249 51 247 34266 32867 69 246 56 251 51 250 32867 31429 73 246 60 250 51 251 31429 29957 76 246 68 248 52 250 29957 28437 81 246 72 246 52 249 28437 26862 87 245 73 246 50 249 26862 25233 94 245 71 245 42 252 25233 23549 95 245 67 244 37 260 23549 21807 89 244 61 244 38 261 21807 20001 71 244 46 248 38 260 20001 18122 58 246 33 263 37 260 18122 16163 54 246 33 265 35 259 16163 14166 45 243 34 258 33 261 14166 12246 38 248 34 256 32 267 12246 10520 39 249 34 259 31 273 10520 9014 36 250 32 261 31 274 9014 7695 32 251 24 261 31 260 7695 6530 28*244 23 268 29 266 6530 5499 24*257 24*270 29 279 5499 4587 24 261 24*275 28 284 4587 3783 23 268 24 278 28*285 3783 3074 23 276 24 279 28*286 3074 2439 22 278 24 280 27 286 2439 1878 22 279 23 281 25 287 1878 1411 22 280 23 281 24 287 1411 1052 21 280 22 282 22 287 1052 805 20 281 21 282 20 287 805 656 19 281 19 282 17 287 656 570 16 281 15 282 13 286 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography