DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.6 - - 38.2 - - 40.6 - - 43.8 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 2 - - 20 - - 24 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 72 - - 293 - - 616 - - 709 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 555 - - 555 - - 555 - - 556 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top 667 - - 888 - - 1211 - - 1304 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 483 - - 661 - - 522 - - 600 - - 776 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 41 - - 96 - - 106 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 172 - - 179 - - 161 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -709 - - -588 - - -256 - - 251 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1376 - - 1476 - - 1467 - - 1053 - - 572 sfcLCL ODpotential -12781 - - -12272 - - -11484 - - -32 - - -10975 ODpotential blCL 13448 - - 13160 - - 12695 - - 1336 - - 11548 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.6 - - 38.2 - - 40.6 - - 43.8 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 33.9 - - 36.3 - - 41.2 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.0 - - 38.4 - - 40.6 - - 43.9 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 33.6 - - 35.9 - - 41.0 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 2 - - 20 - - 24 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 72 - - 293 - - 616 - - 709 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 98 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95637 60 258 67 265 66 269 60 264 59 261 95637 88553 49 265 55 268 53 275 42 273 43 261 88553 83057 46 275 39 273 39 267 39 269 34 272 83057 78480 41 276 35 279 30 265 39 262 38 274 78480 74538 36 276 38 284 29 278 34 268 35 265 74538 71053 35 272 38 283 34 274 35 280 35 273 71053 67898 37 270 38 279 38 272 43 282 35 282 67898 64999 38 265 39 274 44 270 43 271 38 272 64999 62312 43 281 40 277 42 273 42 276 32 263 62312 59698 49 276 42 283 50 289 49 286 37 262 59698 56967 60 274 66 281 63 280 55 271 52 273 56967 54145 78 274 83 272 76 273 74 272 72 277 54145 51470 88 277 96 272 91 271 89 275 94 273 51470 49068 96 275 99 269 99 272 104 274 104 271 49068 46901 102 272 100 271 108 272 112 271 109 270 46901 44921 106 273 104 275 112 271 110 268 109 270 44921 43107 113 276 111 276 111 271 105 270 108 272 43107 41448 121 279 118 276 106 271 106 275 109 276 41448 39919 131 278 124 273 107 266 107 277 111 278 39919 38490 132 272 129 269 114 261 101 276 110 277 38490 37142 129 269 124 263 116 258 94 276 107 278 37142 35834 128 270 124 266 115 259 89 276 101 278 35834 34502 129 272 122 269 104 264 86 275 93 276 34502 33118 125 275 110 274 88 272 81 272 87 271 33118 31683 107 279 95 278 79 276 77 269 84 265 31683 30181 89 276 80 278 72 276 75 269 81 265 30181 28599 78 273 68 275 67 272 72 268 75 268 28599 26938 69 277 61 274 62 266 68 263 69 270 26938 25194 63 280 60 275 58 264 67 259 65 268 25194 23367 62 280 58 275 57 266 65 259 66 265 23367 21464 60 277 55 272 54 269 61 263 62 265 21464 19485 54 274 54 269 50 270 57 266 54 261 19485 17421 49 272 47 269 49 264 51 263 53 263 17421 15311 39 270 36 267 45 264 45 269 48 265 15311 13281 34 265 29 261 32 249 33 262 33 267 13281 11436 33 266 24 258 26 240 34 256 29 262 11436 9794 29 260 19 263 20 231 29 250 26 263 9794 8332 25 255 17 254 19 226 23 243 24 268 8332 7037 23 246 23 238 21 233 19 232 17 263 7037 5894 26 229 22 228 22 226 18 228 12 245 5894 4888 24 226 20 212 21 210 19 232 11 251 4888 4010 20 242 16 205 17 207 18 228 12 255 4010 3241 18 253 13 213 12 219 16 218 12 240 3241 2558 19 248 15 224 14 220 16 213 13 217 2558 1959 19 235 18 211 16 206 15 199 13 203 1959 1461 14 214 20 190 16*190 13*175 13 175 1461 1082 13 180 18*179 12*180 11*163 12 162 1082 820 11*157 14*174 11 179 10 161 11 151 820 662 9*154 12 172 10 178 9 160 9*143 662 572 6 151 9 171 8 178 7 159 4*131 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography