DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.7 - - 83.0 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 158 - - 55 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4121 - - 4323 - - 947 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3122 - - 2605 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4716 - - 4918 - - 1542 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1498 - - 1818 - - 2499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 371 - - 279 - - 78 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 215 - - 216 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 153 - - 235 - - -436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4563 - - 4683 - - 1978 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2705 - - -1163 - - -2194 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7421 - - 6081 - - 3736 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 290 - - 810 - - 1770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.7 - - 83.0 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 64.3 - - 70.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.8 - - 82.7 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.2 - - 63.0 - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 158 - - 55 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4121 - - 4323 - - 947 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 56 - - 96 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99040 36 090 26 084 32 072 99040 91562 32 083 30 092 22 082 91562 85808 23 093 28 083 22 088 85808 81012 21 102 18 074 21 074 81012 76866 13 087 16 094 16 072 76866 73208 9 097 11 078 15 068 73208 69898 9 103 6 105 6 037 69898 66868 10 086 10 114 1 260 66868 64061 9 352 9 016 5 060 64061 61347 5 291 8 303 9 314 61347 58517 14 339 14 320 16 326 58517 55588 35 278 32 288 39 299 55588 52826 36 263 36 279 47 276 52826 50363 47 291 51 277 51 268 50363 48162 62 276 56 270 47 265 48162 46166 57 269 52 275 48 284 46166 44343 53 293 54 283 61 290 44343 42674 69 298 57 290 66 288 42674 41123 78 295 64 291 62 282 41123 39666 80 291 72 288 64 276 39666 38287 76 286 75 281 77 272 38287 36946 71 287 70 279 77 272 36946 35574 66 291 62 279 73 275 35574 34143 55 285 59 276 71 270 34143 32656 51 280 59 275 68 263 32656 31100 50 279 59 278 61 272 31100 29462 48 277 55 280 56 278 29462 27746 45 266 46 274 46 277 27746 25949 51 290 41 275 42 274 25949 24073 36 291 39 277 39 271 24073 22122 32 283 40 277 35 270 22122 20089 35 286 39 277 34 278 20089 17973 35 293 29 283 33 287 17973 15822 31 295 26 296 26 291 15822 13750 23 290 19 287 17 293 13750 11865 17 273 20 264 19 273 11865 10191 13 256 20 272 18 270 10191 8702 12 247 21 281 17 266 8702 7378 14 244 19 276 15 255 7378 6204 15 243 15 253 13 235 6204 5164 13*237 12*231 11 232 5164 4246 11*224 10*224 9 238 4246 3435 11 219 10 220 8 249 3435 2709 10 216 9 217 8 256 2709 2068 10 213 8 214 8*250 2068 1535 10 212 8 212 7*242 1535 1125 9 210 8 210 7 236 1125 844 9 209 7 210 6 234 844 673 8 209 7 210 6 231 673 575 7 209 6 210 4 231 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography