DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.3 - - 87.6 - - 81.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 163 - - 59 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2620 - - 5373 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2026 - - 3429 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3215 - - 5968 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2168 - - 2367 - - 5787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 319 - - 308 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 236 - - 278 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -136 - - 1551 - - -2374 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3351 - - 4417 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1746 - - -396 - - -4026 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4961 - - 6364 - - 4602 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 75 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2560 - - 2710 - - 2510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.3 - - 87.6 - - 81.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.2 - - 70.0 - - 70.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.3 - - 87.4 - - 83.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.2 - - 68.8 - - 69.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 163 - - 59 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2620 - - 5373 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99264 30 099 25 094 19 084 99264 91762 28 104 21 102 20 086 91762 85957 23 096 18 103 20 076 85957 81157 22 090 18 106 15 091 81157 77031 17 087 14 080 15 097 77031 73387 13 096 9 115 7 065 73387 70098 5 090 16 125 2 150 70098 67070 3 151 7 068 7 145 67070 64249 14 186 7 286 7 016 64249 61532 7 086 10 226 15 327 61532 58727 14 334 9 253 22 286 58727 55827 20 303 14 289 19 269 55827 53051 29 293 22 296 23 286 53051 50555 39 289 39 298 44 296 50555 48344 47 283 52 281 51 283 48344 46346 46 280 47 272 47 279 46346 44510 43 287 43 292 51 285 44510 42808 51 292 52 297 54 287 42808 41226 59 291 58 292 56 285 41226 39750 61 288 60 287 54 285 39750 38364 59 287 55 288 58 293 38364 37026 52 291 54 295 67 296 37026 35661 47 296 52 298 71 295 35661 34235 46 299 50 300 71 294 34235 32752 40 297 46 299 68 299 32752 31198 34 285 41 295 54 301 31198 29565 34 273 37 293 43 295 29565 27852 35 275 35 284 38 287 27852 26056 37 285 37 285 39 284 26056 24179 37 292 40 299 40 294 24179 22228 32 297 37 305 32 298 22228 20197 27 301 30 302 27 291 20197 18079 26 303 27 300 27 291 18079 15919 27 302 27 295 27 295 15919 13838 27 299 29 289 25 294 13838 11945 25 302 30 282 25 288 11945 10264 20 304 27 290 26 290 10264 8772 12 293 18 285 22 286 8772 7445 11 326 14 287 18 285 7445 6264 10 316 12*286 14 280 6264 5217 9 256 11*284 12 286 5217 4292 9 246 10 281 12 300 4292 3473 9*243 9 278 13 313 3473 2739 8*239 9 277 14 319 2739 2091 8 237 8 276 15 322 2091 1549 8 236 8 274 15 324 1549 1134 8 235 8 273 14 325 1134 848 7 235 7 273 13 325 848 674 7 235 7 273 10*325 674 575 6 235 6 272 6*324 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography