DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 34.5 - - 31.4 - - 24.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 120 - - 115 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2934 - - 4556 - - 4127 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 3212 - - 2836 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3529 - - 5151 - - 4722 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 799 - - 870 - - 1183 - - 3854 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 338 - - 317 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 34 - - 33 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 331 - - 338 - - 338 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 14 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1404 - - 1555 - - -152 - - -3403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2125 - - 3596 - - 4875 - - 3974 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 607 - - 658 - - -5334 - - -11106 ODpotential blCL - - - 2922 - - 4493 - - 10056 - - 11677 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 81 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 34.5 - - 31.4 - - 24.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 20.8 - - 12.0 - - 9.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 34.2 - - 31.1 - - 25.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 19.5 - - 11.4 - - 9.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 120 - - 115 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2934 - - 4556 - - 4127 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 75 - - 25 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95682 11 333 23 328 24 301 22 300 95682 88856 17 020 22 348 22 341 29 336 88856 83566 22 018 16 007 18 349 21 350 83566 79101 28 007 21 012 20 356 21 351 79101 75181 31 007 28 008 26 003 23 348 75181 71670 31 006 28 004 27 358 24 345 71670 68453 31 354 23 352 19 347 20 336 68453 65459 27 337 22 339 15 336 13 334 65459 62650 26 327 28 330 16 336 14 344 62650 59895 31 323 34 328 24 335 19 339 59895 56998 36 311 36 319 30 319 26 323 56998 53977 36 298 36 298 35 300 32 318 53977 51093 31 286 35 284 36 290 39 317 51093 48508 28 290 30 285 31 288 36 316 48508 46190 30 298 31 291 29 295 33 320 46190 44080 34 299 35 292 32 305 38 318 44080 42153 39 296 37 291 34 309 42 314 42153 40385 43 290 40 288 37 307 39 314 40385 38748 44 280 43 283 41 302 34 320 38748 37218 42 271 43 280 41 299 35 328 37218 35782 40 268 42 282 39 300 40 328 35782 34403 40 269 41 285 38 299 43 324 34403 33017 44 271 43 284 39 297 45 319 33017 31596 50 263 43 280 39 296 44 316 31596 30144 48 255 42 278 40 298 43 317 30144 28651 45 257 43 280 43 300 44 316 28651 27107 43 266 48 283 46 302 44 308 27107 25510 44 272 52 283 49 305 43 307 25510 23851 43 280 53 287 52 309 45 312 23851 22125 41 287 52 292 54 314 49 317 22125 20328 39 295 52 297 56 322 53 321 20328 18450 38 302 52 304 58 329 54 326 18450 16486 39 310 55 310 62 336 55 332 16486 14479 40 314 58 316 66 342 56 337 14479 12541 39 315 55 320 64 344 56 343 12541 10784 37 316 49 324 57 344 52 345 10784 9237 35 316 44 329 53 346 48 343 9237 7873 34 313 42 335 51 350 44 348 7873 6665 35 315 39 338 48 348 43 356 6665 5595 36 322 34*339 36*336 40 354 5595 4657 36 331 35*339 35*336 35 345 4657 3838 35*332 35 339 35 336 33 342 3838 3117 35*332 35 339 35 337 33 342 3117 2471 34 332 35 339 34 338 33 342 2471 1901 33 332 34 338 34 338 32 342 1901 1425 32 331 34 338 33 339 29 341 1425 1061 30 331 33 337 32 339 25 341 1061 810 26 330 31 337 30 339 21 340 810 658 23 330 27 337 27 339 18*339 658 570 17 329 21 336 21 339 12*339 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography