DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 10.6 - - 13.5 - - 9.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 225 - - 103 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1840 - - 1554 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1538 - - 553 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2435 - - 2149 - - 570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 270 - - 508 - - 1684 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 300 - - 219 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 351 - - 348 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -805 - - -1449 - - -1754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3240 - - 3598 - - 2324 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -21357 - - -22027 - - -22643 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 23792 - - 24176 - - 23213 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 69 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 10.6 - - 13.5 - - 9.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -1.0 - - 0.4 - - 2.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 9.5 - - 12.9 - - 10.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -2.0 - - -0.6 - - 1.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 225 - - 103 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1840 - - 1554 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95312 81 260 78 256 85 260 95312 88483 53 273 49 270 51 290 88483 83191 41 286 40 291 46 308 83191 78781 32 280 36 298 39 317 78781 74939 29 307 35 304 34 318 74939 71503 30 318 34 311 34 323 71503 68361 29 311 35 318 34 323 68361 65444 29 303 36 314 36 323 65444 62724 31 305 35 308 40 325 62724 60082 32 305 35 311 41 323 60082 57319 36 314 38 311 41 320 57319 54444 40 311 41 310 47 323 54444 51704 46 307 49 321 51 324 51704 49239 54 314 59 325 56 324 49239 47022 67 316 63 322 57 323 47022 45004 69 313 61 321 62 317 45004 43162 69 315 65 322 68 316 43162 41474 74 316 78 322 73 315 41474 39918 83 315 88 311 77 306 39918 38471 92 312 88 305 78 302 38471 37114 97 312 83 306 74 302 37114 35805 100 312 81 311 65 304 35805 34475 99 313 79 314 61 307 34475 33090 97 312 74 315 61 307 33090 31650 92 313 72 321 61 306 31650 30140 88 325 71 323 61 306 30140 28545 89 330 71 323 59 307 28545 26866 89 324 72 326 56 310 26866 25100 90 319 72 328 54 312 25100 23246 87 319 71 327 53 312 23246 21308 83 323 75 327 53 311 21308 19283 83 330 75 328 51 314 19283 17167 80 331 66 332 44 323 17167 15010 71 334 58 335 40 324 15010 12939 59 337 49 335 37 322 12939 11063 46 334 41 332 35 322 11063 9407 36 333 35 331 32 327 9407 7953 29 343 27 334 24 339 7953 6685 27 357 20 349 14 358 6685 5580 26 010 17 010 10 039 5580 4617 26 015 17 020 9 062 4617 3781 24 015 16 023 7 062 3781 3053 19*010 13 018 4 039 3053 2415 12*354 9*351 6 308 2415 1858 11 351 9*348 5 308 1858 1397 11 351 9 348 5 319 1397 1044 10 350 9 348 5 327 1044 801 10 350 8 348 5 330 801 654 9 350 8 348 5*328 654 569 8 350 7 348 3*326 569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography