DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 49.4 - - 50.8 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 24 - - 4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 100 - - 182 - - 346 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 695 - - 777 - - 941 - - 709 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 907 - - 1206 - - 1615 - - 1420 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 49 - - 67 - - 47 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 153 - - 141 - - 140 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 123 - - 205 - - 306 - - 136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 572 - - 572 - - 635 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 85 - - 140 - - 113 - - -254 ODpotential blCL - - - 610 - - 637 - - 828 - - 963 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 49.4 - - 50.8 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.2 - - 49.1 - - 50.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 49.3 - - 51.1 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 48.9 - - 49.9 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 24 - - 4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 100 - - 182 - - 346 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96055 19 275 25 284 25 298 25 274 96055 89092 4 295 11 321 10 312 12 289 89092 83691 6 022 1 341 8 339 6 329 83691 79172 11 024 4 144 8 318 9 006 79172 75236 4 014 3 078 8 260 10 350 75236 71741 3 356 2 305 8 264 7 305 71741 68576 11 314 8 276 11 251 11 279 68576 65657 25 292 21 290 20 289 18 288 65657 62951 33 272 32 264 35 257 29 266 62951 60325 34 269 32 250 34 257 31 264 60325 57566 36 266 44 273 42 266 40 261 57566 54688 41 268 51 262 50 255 43 253 54688 51916 51 263 54 254 50 254 57 263 51916 49411 51 254 54 252 63 256 73 247 49411 47179 48 253 51 249 66 243 64 233 47179 45164 48 258 56 251 59 235 49 237 45164 43315 51 262 59 248 56 246 61 252 43315 41609 65 256 57 244 67 251 77 252 41609 40034 75 250 63 248 76 249 89 245 40034 38572 77 245 86 248 93 245 95 236 38572 37210 72 236 97 243 105 238 100 229 37210 35901 70 237 93 238 102 234 102 226 35901 34571 69 238 91 234 99 230 103 225 34571 33186 65 236 89 234 94 226 104 223 33186 31747 63 228 84 235 87 224 103 221 31747 30237 62 227 75 231 86 227 101 221 30237 28646 66 237 71 220 86 233 100 224 28646 26976 74 251 69 220 83 235 99 227 26976 25229 57 242 63 217 80 230 91 229 25229 23407 49 241 53 213 71 223 80 232 23407 21510 37 247 45 225 69 224 75 235 21510 19531 32 254 66 254 54 237 64 244 19531 17468 20 251 56 263 42 270 39 253 17468 15365 23 263 43 263 32 263 24 255 15365 13336 26 246 25 253 30 250 21 230 13336 11490 26 211 25 243 26 229 31 220 11490 9849 23 206 36 202 27 216 30 220 9849 8393 19 203 35 193 27 220 23 224 8393 7100 18 203 29 186 30 222 18 234 7100 5954 19 205 25 182 31 210 20 232 5954 4942 21 204 25 181 31 189 25 231 4942 4055 23 204 25 179 29 184 25 219 4055 3279 23 209 23 175 24 183 22 205 3279 2588 20 193 22 165 18 172 18 187 2588 1982 17 179 21 150 15 154 18 164 1982 1477 13 168 19 146 14 148 18 144 1477 1091 10 158 16 143 13*146 17 137 1091 826 9*155 14*142 10*142 14*132 826 665 8*154 12*141 9 140 12*131 665 573 6 153 10 140 7 139 8 130 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography