DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 50.7 - - 56.1 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 108 - - 44 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 992 - - 1408 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1587 - - 2003 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 462 - - 525 - - 509 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 194 - - 162 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 169 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1330 - - -1329 - - -126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2917 - - 3332 - - 699 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10719 - - -9983 - - -9916 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12306 - - 11986 - - 10489 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 74 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 50.7 - - 56.1 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 40.0 - - 43.4 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 50.1 - - 55.9 - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.5 - - 43.3 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 108 - - 44 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 992 - - 1408 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 15 - - 0 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96307 47 250 50 265 53 274 96307 89088 30 269 28 275 31 261 89088 83529 25 286 23 266 24 272 83529 78952 27 285 24 273 22 285 78952 75036 24 269 23 282 20 292 75036 71562 15 281 21 285 20 298 71562 68399 18 296 21 283 29 287 68399 65489 22 312 28 284 26 286 65489 62776 31 301 30 297 35 291 62776 60126 35 282 41 281 47 281 60126 57370 43 290 48 285 39 277 57370 54500 67 296 61 289 50 292 54500 51734 68 285 64 281 68 280 51734 49256 65 283 72 276 74 275 49256 47058 76 281 78 275 82 276 47058 45083 85 277 89 277 88 274 45083 43293 83 276 94 282 96 276 43293 41654 84 284 99 287 108 279 41654 40134 95 289 107 288 115 278 40134 38704 97 288 107 286 113 276 38704 37348 88 285 102 284 111 276 37348 36027 83 282 97 283 108 277 36027 34678 79 277 91 282 103 279 34678 33275 75 269 81 281 92 278 33275 31824 71 269 73 277 83 275 31824 30309 70 269 75 271 78 271 30309 28717 69 268 76 268 75 267 28717 27046 68 267 72 267 73 268 27046 25300 64 267 64 271 67 272 25300 23480 59 276 53 276 56 273 23480 21588 51 282 45 275 46 266 21588 19613 46 282 42 266 43 254 19613 17546 40 277 40 257 43 251 17546 15433 38 272 38 256 42 251 15433 13396 32 269 32 259 38 245 13396 11542 18 261 28 254 33 237 11542 9895 16 254 24 233 26 234 9895 8433 17 257 21 227 25 242 8433 7133 15 251 23 245 30 241 7133 5982 17 250 30 244 34 230 5982 4966 25 249 32 230 33 221 4966 4073 27 237 27 222 31 215 4073 3289 19 226 21 217 29 211 3289 2593 16 240 16*205 27 202 2593 1983 14*240 12*181 27 186 1983 1478 9*226 11 169 27 175 1478 1091 9 225 11 167 25 166 1091 825 8 224 10 165 20 156 825 664 8 223 10 164 17*153 664 572 7 223 8 164 9*149 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography