DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 176 - - 74 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3841 - - 4791 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2951 - - 3156 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4436 - - 5386 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1350 - - 1587 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 371 - - 312 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 16 - - 10 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 129 - - 122 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -699 - - -119 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5136 - - 5505 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7651 - - -4836 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12087 - - 10222 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 86 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.4 - - 62.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.9 - - 84.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.0 - - 61.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 176 - - 74 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3841 - - 4791 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 23 - - 43 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99526 42 100 37 091 99526 92089 36 088 38 103 92089 86328 33 091 35 104 86328 81524 28 083 31 099 81524 77377 19 083 26 087 77377 73716 18 092 20 083 73716 70404 16 091 14 090 70404 67363 19 098 12 103 67363 64558 19 088 14 100 64558 61860 15 062 12 066 61860 59084 10 021 5 052 59084 56229 12 339 8 351 56229 53523 22 340 22 339 53523 51113 43 330 46 324 51113 48962 41 320 42 315 48962 46995 38 338 42 328 46995 45172 53 340 53 327 45172 43479 69 336 59 324 43479 41896 73 332 63 326 41896 40402 59 326 57 323 40402 38984 54 325 42 320 38984 37605 45 328 39 319 37605 36194 39 326 39 316 36194 34723 36 325 37 319 34723 33200 35 327 34 323 33200 31607 35 328 31 318 31607 29930 31 332 24 314 29930 28169 27 335 24 322 28169 26322 26 331 28 327 26322 24395 23 326 28 326 24395 22394 21 335 26 319 22394 20315 21 341 21 334 20315 18158 14 000 14 344 18158 15964 13 356 9 356 15964 13851 12 342 11 356 13851 11932 12 334 10 348 11932 10234 12 340 5 332 10234 8733 8 355 2 311 8733 7404 5 005 2 277 7404 6227 1 324 3*192 6227 5185 3*152 5*140 5185 4265 4*139 5 132 4265 3452 4 134 6 125 3452 2724 4 130 6 121 2724 2080 4 127 6 117 2080 1543 4 124 6 114 1543 1130 4 122 6 113 1130 846 4 121 6 112 846 674 4 121 6 110 674 575 3 122 5 110 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography