DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.4 - - 78.2 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - 65 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4244 - - 6435 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3198 - - 4317 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4839 - - 7030 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2081 - - 946 - - 6792 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 371 - - 341 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 088 - - 087 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -991 - - -2 - - -4116 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5830 - - 7032 - - 4692 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7361 - - -6304 - - -5315 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12200 - - 13334 - - 5890 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 65 - - 65 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.4 - - 78.2 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 49.6 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.6 - - 78.0 - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.7 - - 48.3 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - 65 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4244 - - 6435 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98460 14 094 12 114 16 071 98460 91019 15 104 18 104 11 087 91019 85319 21 109 15 099 16 076 85319 80600 21 104 15 111 8 079 80600 76515 25 081 18 096 12 101 76515 72893 18 062 21 069 23 084 72893 69627 18 082 15 069 20 063 69627 66641 16 057 15 063 16 052 66641 63886 15 030 13 032 12 026 63886 61226 16 355 13 350 13 353 61226 58441 19 348 18 345 19 337 58441 55548 30 325 28 333 27 323 55548 52803 35 304 30 328 29 325 52803 50343 35 300 36 313 35 336 50343 48131 40 290 43 298 46 319 48131 46139 35 283 42 280 47 288 46139 44346 35 303 33 287 32 280 44346 42697 38 315 32 320 31 344 42697 41158 51 313 48 330 52 344 41158 39715 59 303 49 318 57 334 39715 38349 61 303 45 307 54 326 38349 37020 60 310 42 313 49 320 37020 35658 52 315 41 322 42 314 35658 34236 47 312 40 323 39 319 34236 32755 42 322 41 317 38 334 32755 31198 39 328 40 318 41 340 31198 29556 42 345 37 330 37 351 29556 27834 41 358 36 345 23 001 27834 26035 31 342 29 346 16 028 26035 24157 31 327 26 359 16 048 24157 22199 29 338 19 023 15 058 22199 20153 25 355 18 035 10 058 20153 18010 22 011 17 059 12 061 18010 15818 20 015 13 062 13 091 15818 13708 17 022 13 030 10 074 13708 11799 14 032 13 034 11 047 11799 10112 14 021 13 064 11 070 10112 8621 15 029 15 066 14 068 8621 7307 15 047 16*075 16 067 7307 6146 15 061 15*078 15 075 6146 5117 15*081 14 082 14 079 5117 4210 14*086 14 085 15 082 4210 3408 14 087 13 087 15 084 3408 2689 14 088 13 089 15 086 2689 2055 14 088 12 092 14 088 2055 1526 13 089 12 093 14 089 1526 1120 13 090 11 094 12 091 1120 841 12 089 11 094 10 092 841 671 11 090 10 095 8*093 671 574 10 090 9 095 5*092 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography