DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.7 - - 52.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 602 - - 503 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1197 - - 1098 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 653 - - 611 - - 962 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 116 - - 74 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 155 - - 126 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 390 - - 306 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 807 - - 792 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 244 - - 81 - - -4816 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 953 - - 1017 - - 5390 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 30 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.7 - - 52.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.2 - - 51.5 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.4 - - 53.0 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.8 - - 51.2 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - 11 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 602 - - 503 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95937 25 304 31 296 30 290 95937 88987 20 322 21 304 23 311 88987 83613 18 316 20 323 16 326 83613 79121 18 313 25 324 14 337 79121 75222 14 308 24 314 17 332 75222 71756 11 295 19 288 19 310 71756 68600 14 312 15 289 17 299 68600 65687 21 305 22 299 21 295 65687 62979 32 291 25 289 26 294 62979 60352 36 279 34 277 38 283 60352 57614 39 270 39 265 40 271 57614 54768 44 262 44 269 46 276 54768 52047 44 265 55 266 55 266 52047 49602 59 274 62 268 52 266 49602 47410 77 273 70 269 61 272 47410 45417 91 272 76 273 80 274 45417 43595 109 268 102 268 102 274 43595 41919 120 263 113 263 111 270 41919 40373 120 257 118 258 122 261 40373 38939 114 251 114 254 116 253 38939 37588 109 248 109 254 104 248 37588 36275 106 247 105 251 100 245 36275 34932 105 245 99 248 94 248 34932 33531 104 245 92 248 86 249 33531 32076 102 248 87 250 77 248 32076 30552 97 254 79 249 68 245 30552 28946 90 258 71 245 64 248 28946 27258 78 260 67 250 67 263 27258 25491 65 261 67 260 60 276 25491 23648 56 270 58 272 47 283 23648 21732 47 276 45 274 31 273 21732 19732 44 271 40 265 32 251 19732 17645 40 263 39 269 37 263 17645 15516 35 265 35 268 30 277 15516 13468 34 267 32 271 25 285 13468 11608 30 267 28 278 20 283 11608 9957 22 265 21 289 17 269 9957 8490 19 261 15 260 14 263 8490 7187 19 250 14 241 16 245 7187 6031 20 240 14 223 12 239 6031 5010 20 260 13 218 7 256 5010 4113 19 263 12 229 7 220 4113 3322 15 232 13 221 10 206 3322 2616 16 201 15 204 10 209 2616 1997 11 188 11 194 6 212 1997 1485 7*158 7*135 2 156 1485 1095 6*156 6*128 4 099 1095 828 6 156 6 126 5 091 828 666 5 154 6 124 5*087 666 573 5 154 5 125 3*081 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography