DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 5.1 - - 5.8 - - 8.5 - - 6.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 310 - - 246 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1794 - - 2002 - - 2349 - - 1923 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1429 - - 1755 - - 1931 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2389 - - 2597 - - 2944 - - 2518 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 299 - - 445 - - 341 - - 578 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 342 - - 334 - - 175 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 19 - - 18 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 356 - - 009 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2909 - - -4408 - - -5450 - - -5604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5298 - - 7005 - - 8394 - - 8123 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -21435 - - -23854 - - -24740 - - -26963 ODpotential blCL - - - 23824 - - 26451 - - 27684 - - 29481 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 83 - - 73 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 5.1 - - 5.8 - - 8.5 - - 6.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -15.5 - - -22.2 - - -25.7 - - -26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 4.4 - - 4.6 - - 7.5 - - 6.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -15.9 - - -22.7 - - -26.2 - - -26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 310 - - 246 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1794 - - 2002 - - 2349 - - 1923 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 30 - - 0 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94961 80 246 85 251 92 253 91 254 94961 88104 56 263 65 257 69 257 68 254 88104 82783 47 262 54 262 60 261 60 265 82783 78332 45 265 52 267 57 267 53 267 78332 74479 46 278 46 264 51 272 48 263 74479 71049 53 286 44 269 50 274 48 267 71049 67917 56 280 49 274 52 273 49 276 67917 65020 53 276 51 274 52 274 52 282 65020 62328 53 279 52 276 53 280 56 281 62328 59716 58 281 58 280 59 284 60 278 59716 56973 70 281 68 282 67 283 68 273 56973 54104 83 277 80 281 78 277 75 271 54104 51346 93 273 89 276 88 273 83 272 51346 48851 99 270 99 270 96 271 95 272 48851 46613 102 268 105 269 103 269 105 270 46613 44581 107 268 111 269 109 270 111 269 44581 42713 112 266 118 268 114 269 114 266 42713 40988 112 265 120 266 119 265 114 264 40988 39389 114 269 118 266 122 264 117 262 39389 37905 120 272 120 268 127 268 119 264 37905 36527 129 273 128 271 138 271 130 269 36527 35214 130 274 139 273 144 271 144 271 35214 33884 126 274 137 274 146 271 142 270 33884 32498 123 271 129 272 139 272 135 270 32498 31058 120 269 126 266 128 269 132 268 31058 29547 113 270 116 265 118 267 130 267 29547 27955 105 270 109 270 106 267 123 270 27955 26283 101 268 102 269 102 268 110 272 26283 24533 97 268 97 267 98 268 97 271 24533 22706 91 268 93 266 93 268 89 269 22706 20805 89 266 89 264 88 268 85 268 20805 18818 85 264 82 266 80 267 80 268 18818 16741 75 265 69 268 73 267 74 268 16741 14623 65 267 59 262 60 266 62 270 14623 12599 54 268 52 262 48 261 48 268 12599 10786 47 267 45 274 42 280 35 281 10786 9197 43 281 40 284 37 291 33 291 9197 7797 38 287 36 282 35 289 31 290 7797 6558 30 273 36 289 34 295 28 297 6558 5472 33 300 31 302 24 314 19 323 5472 4530 35 328 25 324 20 350 18 006 4530 3717 30 348 22 353 20 012 18 027 3717 3012 24*355 21*357 19*010 19*024 3012 2390 22*355 20*356 19*009 18*021 2390 1843 22 355 20 356 19 009 18 020 1843 1387 22 354 20 356 19 009 18 019 1387 1038 21 355 20 356 18 009 17 018 1038 798 20 354 19 355 17 008 16 018 798 653 18 354 17 355 16 008 14 017 653 569 15 354 14 355 13 008 11 017 569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography