DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.5 - - 64.0 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 33 - - 6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 115 - - 603 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 710 - - 1198 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 361 - - 1816 - - 1031 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 65 - - 76 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 098 - - 180 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 106 - - 134 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 604 - - 1064 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5736 - - -756 - - -1817 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6446 - - 1954 - - 2391 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 110 - - 390 - - 630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.5 - - 64.0 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.8 - - 61.2 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.3 - - 64.2 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.4 - - 60.6 - - 60.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 33 - - 6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 115 - - 603 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 84 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96299 23 254 25 267 25 267 96299 89126 19 263 30 251 30 271 89126 83605 20 255 24 256 31 268 83605 79052 26 266 22 277 33 287 79052 75152 27 252 30 282 36 271 75152 71689 30 267 28 264 39 289 71689 68552 34 277 37 284 47 290 68552 65685 43 286 52 289 45 289 65685 63018 53 289 52 286 50 291 63018 60415 54 286 49 282 51 289 60415 57674 50 278 53 281 57 282 57674 54808 50 275 62 276 65 277 54808 52057 58 275 66 272 72 276 52057 49568 64 266 68 270 75 275 49568 47325 64 265 69 268 76 273 47325 45283 66 271 68 268 76 270 45283 43420 72 272 65 268 71 266 43420 41719 74 271 65 268 66 263 41719 40164 75 271 70 262 67 261 40164 38728 79 262 71 256 70 252 38728 37389 78 251 73 249 74 243 37389 36098 73 244 69 236 75 236 36098 34781 63 238 61 231 69 232 34781 33405 60 237 61 234 69 231 33405 31972 60 237 59 234 68 232 31972 30469 59 238 57 236 67 235 30469 28883 55 239 54 236 62 237 28883 27217 50 240 51 238 57 237 27217 25468 45 241 52 242 55 238 25468 23637 42 241 56 250 55 241 23637 21731 39 241 58 258 53 244 21731 19747 40 242 53 262 53 251 19747 17678 42 249 44 269 54 262 17678 15565 34 263 21 277 47 263 15565 13524 24 278 12 252 41 264 13524 11660 20 282 12 214 33 270 11660 10003 19 268 19 213 23 258 10003 8532 19 237 26 217 29 240 8532 7228 21 214 27 223 33 229 7228 6072 24 207 30 227 34 223 6072 5051 26 209 33 229 33 215 5051 4152 26 212 30 226 30 211 4152 3359 25 215 26 214 28 209 3359 2650 21 218 23 203 25 202 2650 2025 15 224 19 196 23 196 2025 1505 9 222 14*189 18 186 1505 1107 5 168 9*181 13 177 1107 834 6*104 8 180 10 168 834 668 5*098 7 178 7*162 668 573 4 097 6 177 4*151 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography