DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 54.7 - - 53.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 29 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1105 - - 1987 - - 1541 - - 378 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1700 - - 2582 - - 2136 - - 973 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1767 - - 1589 - - 1965 - - 3081 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 94 - - 174 - - 88 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 267 - - 266 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -4 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 764 - - 1228 - - 841 - - 32 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 936 - - 1354 - - 1296 - - 941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 317 - - 649 - - 136 - - -469 ODpotential blCL - - - 1383 - - 1933 - - 2000 - - 1442 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 54.7 - - 53.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 50.6 - - 50.1 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 54.8 - - 54.1 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 49.6 - - 49.2 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 29 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1105 - - 1987 - - 1541 - - 378 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96253 66 253 75 261 81 268 64 261 96253 89195 44 263 43 278 38 259 52 269 89195 83743 27 284 28 271 29 267 37 287 83743 79237 13 297 18 264 22 272 24 285 79237 75365 8 325 8 256 13 266 16 277 75365 71915 7 312 3 298 10 250 12 256 71915 68756 8 278 3 327 6 242 9 265 68756 65829 9 248 8 285 8 273 14 268 65829 63116 12 245 13 257 11 263 9 251 63116 60480 8 238 12 228 12 266 12 268 60480 57718 5 238 15 230 19 244 19 236 57718 54849 12 245 15 219 20 217 22 224 54849 52103 19 234 16 212 21 214 23 226 52103 49627 24 216 21 219 25 238 36 243 49627 47414 29 221 36 232 36 241 43 251 47414 45411 37 221 45 226 40 243 48 251 45411 43582 42 223 46 228 51 242 49 244 43582 41891 43 224 51 226 51 226 45 240 41891 40315 41 223 45 217 43 225 46 242 40315 38837 46 223 40 226 43 246 51 250 38837 37445 51 222 46 235 48 242 57 250 37445 36102 59 214 54 233 48 237 53 244 36102 34740 65 202 55 235 51 239 47 241 34740 33327 66 196 55 238 54 240 46 244 33327 31865 64 196 53 235 56 238 50 242 31865 30337 60 203 53 230 56 234 55 240 30337 28731 59 211 53 226 57 229 57 242 28731 27050 59 218 53 226 58 233 57 245 27050 25296 58 222 53 228 56 240 56 246 25296 23467 57 221 55 228 51 241 52 241 23467 21561 59 222 60 229 50 245 50 246 21561 19569 55 231 62 237 50 248 53 255 19569 17483 45 233 52 234 48 247 54 255 17483 15354 37 229 45 235 45 246 52 254 15354 13308 36 223 40 239 43 247 47 257 13308 11455 36 223 35 240 40 254 42 262 11455 9811 34 222 32 241 35 257 38 264 9811 8353 29 221 30 250 29 255 32 265 8353 7065 26 228 24 265 25 256 28 268 7065 5930 22 233 21 267 24 258 22 267 5930 4926 15 237 21 262 23 269 20 266 4926 4049 17 248 19 264 23 274 19 261 4049 3281 19 263 19 264 22 274 17 258 3281 2594 19 272 19*265 21*272 16 256 2594 1988 19*275 18*266 19*268 15 252 1988 1482 18*277 17 266 17 266 13 247 1482 1094 16 277 17 267 16 265 12*243 1094 827 14 278 16 267 14 264 10*239 827 666 13 278 14 267 13 264 9 238 666 573 10 278 11 267 10 262 6 237 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography