DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.0 - - 74.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 15 - - -4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 386 - - 458 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 558 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 981 - - 1053 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1316 - - 2226 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 77 - - 56 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 180 - - 211 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 407 - - 267 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 574 - - 786 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 174 - - -405 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 807 - - 1458 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 670 - - 940 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.0 - - 74.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.1 - - 72.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.2 - - 75.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.9 - - 72.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 15 - - -4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 386 - - 458 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97589 23 256 31 261 97589 90310 21 265 17 239 90310 84725 15 246 13 258 84725 80078 6 226 11 245 80078 76066 5 217 9 238 76066 72539 7 196 10 239 72539 69368 10 204 10 238 69368 66458 10 239 15 248 66458 63771 23 248 20 251 63771 61180 23 245 26 251 61180 58484 30 250 32 252 58484 55715 44 244 44 252 55715 53095 53 237 53 240 53095 50736 54 234 55 233 50736 48610 53 239 58 238 48610 46661 61 245 67 239 46661 44853 70 241 74 235 44853 43165 74 237 75 234 43165 41581 74 237 75 236 41581 40085 72 237 74 238 40085 38668 71 236 74 238 38668 37293 68 235 75 236 37293 35893 65 232 72 233 35893 34439 64 233 67 231 34439 32931 63 235 65 232 32931 31352 60 238 61 232 31352 29692 54 238 54 230 29692 27952 54 234 44 234 27952 26132 53 230 51 239 26132 24237 51 226 54 239 24237 22268 48 226 52 233 22268 20216 46 227 54 232 20216 18076 47 237 55 239 18076 15900 47 241 55 243 15900 13807 41 237 50 243 13807 11905 36 231 41 247 11905 10215 35 226 36 246 10215 8715 33 221 34 247 8715 7382 30 216 35 251 7382 6201 27 212 34 256 6201 5156 26 206 33 255 5156 4236 26 198 33 248 4236 3427 26 193 33 238 3427 2704 25 193 32 234 2704 2065 24 197 29 227 2065 1533 21 189 24 220 1533 1124 18*184 20*214 1124 843 15*180 17*212 843 672 13 180 15 210 672 574 10 178 11 210 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography