DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 0959z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.7 - - 86.1 - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 158 - - 65 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3984 - - 3913 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3000 - - 2404 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4579 - - 4508 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1728 - - 1859 - - 3935 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 362 - - 278 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 260 - - 253 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 622 - - -194 - - -2013 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3958 - - 4703 - - 2589 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1866 - - -2212 - - -4190 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6445 - - 6720 - - 4766 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 91 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 940 - - 1230 - - 2080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.7 - - 86.1 - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 67.2 - - 71.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.8 - - 85.8 - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.8 - - 66.2 - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 158 - - 65 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3984 - - 3913 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 65 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98829 4 225 3 044 6 084 98829 91427 3 091 6 130 5 107 91427 85688 1 168 6 163 4 098 85688 80915 3 197 6 199 4 283 80915 76810 2 210 7 241 5 269 76810 73178 4 287 10 231 7 273 73178 69884 8 246 13 225 10 265 69884 66852 17 241 16 244 16 256 66852 64050 18 238 19 252 20 247 64050 61359 17 229 18 231 20 235 61359 58580 19 252 21 258 24 259 58580 55725 30 244 37 251 36 264 55725 53022 29 234 39 240 50 254 53022 50609 26 248 38 244 50 242 50609 48447 28 266 39 250 44 240 48447 46473 38 270 45 254 52 257 46473 44658 41 266 48 256 62 253 44658 42977 39 265 51 259 56 252 42977 41404 35 266 48 257 51 258 41404 39924 31 268 41 258 50 267 39924 38526 33 270 38 264 51 276 38526 37169 37 268 37 274 49 282 37169 35787 40 265 40 279 44 280 35787 34350 37 260 45 278 42 282 34350 32860 30 255 42 277 42 284 32860 31302 26 251 38 275 44 285 31302 29659 26 259 35 274 44 284 29659 27932 24 259 35 285 42 288 27932 26127 25 263 34 284 33 296 26127 24246 29 267 30 281 29 303 24246 22287 27 264 30 282 29 314 22287 20243 20 267 27 283 30 322 20243 18116 20 287 24 286 29 320 18116 15954 22 301 20 296 22 328 15954 13876 24 314 17 317 15 340 13876 11983 21 320 18 321 12 331 11983 10296 17 326 20 322 15 325 10296 8792 17 323 21 313 16 322 8792 7454 17 322 21 302 16 323 7454 6266 15 316 17 291 15 316 6266 5214 12*305 13*282 14 300 5214 4288 9*283 9*265 13 278 4288 3470 8 275 8 257 11 265 3470 2737 7 255 8 254 10 255 2737 2089 7 251 8 251 9 247 2089 1548 7 249 7 249 8 241 1548 1133 7 247 7 247 7 236 1133 847 7 246 7 246 6 231 847 674 6 246 6 246 4*226 674 575 6 246 6 246 2*216 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography