DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.3 - - 45.4 - - 47.7 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 240 - - 91 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 274 - - 3067 - - 3488 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 2453 - - 2179 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 869 - - 3662 - - 4083 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 509 - - 927 - - 674 - - 3162 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 364 - - 275 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 340 - - 302 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2209 - - -1902 - - -2321 - - -4716 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3078 - - 5564 - - 6404 - - 5289 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12145 - - -10820 - - -10364 - - -14542 ODpotential blCL - - - 13014 - - 14482 - - 14447 - - 15115 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 65 - - 66 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.3 - - 45.4 - - 47.7 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 23.2 - - 21.9 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 44.0 - - 47.1 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 23.1 - - 21.8 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 240 - - 91 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 274 - - 3067 - - 3488 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96462 46 250 49 248 47 242 48 244 96462 89204 21 244 38 235 36 248 33 247 89204 83619 19 243 23 224 27 251 18 266 83619 79016 10 235 7 224 19 245 18 289 79016 75055 6 242 8 234 16 228 19 272 75055 71550 10 274 10 232 8 235 18 260 71550 68365 13 285 10 259 6 294 14 254 68365 65430 12 281 18 262 7 294 10 256 65430 62697 15 283 19 265 15 272 10 287 62697 60030 18 284 18 254 24 260 20 281 60030 57252 24 297 16 267 33 257 26 292 57252 54375 35 292 24 297 26 263 31 284 54375 51625 40 297 34 300 28 282 34 276 51625 49149 41 302 41 294 34 283 36 282 49149 46932 47 302 44 293 39 289 39 293 46932 44925 56 302 48 298 46 293 44 298 44925 43093 65 301 58 301 52 298 50 298 43093 41405 71 298 68 301 61 301 57 298 41405 39841 74 303 73 301 68 302 61 300 39841 38381 77 309 75 302 70 302 64 305 38381 37011 81 312 74 304 69 304 66 310 37011 35688 84 315 74 307 67 308 68 315 35688 34344 87 318 75 312 67 314 70 320 34344 32948 88 320 77 315 67 319 68 321 32948 31500 83 322 73 318 67 322 66 325 31500 29985 79 324 66 326 67 330 65 331 29985 28391 72 327 60 331 63 336 59 333 28391 26720 61 332 56 335 60 341 52 335 26720 24971 53 339 44 338 48 341 47 339 24971 23149 45 345 29 337 36 334 40 336 23149 21260 39 350 23 343 25 315 31 331 21260 19293 36 357 22 344 23 299 27 329 19293 17240 35 003 23 339 23 308 24 334 17240 15146 34 007 22 342 21 329 22 340 15146 13129 33 011 21 357 20 346 23 348 13129 11294 30 016 19 010 18 360 22 352 11294 9667 25 020 15 011 16 001 18 351 9667 8225 19 024 11 006 13 351 14 344 8225 6951 13 013 7 005 9 338 10 339 6951 5826 9 337 5 012 5 314 6 312 5826 4839 8 344 4 022 4*309 3 313 4839 3978 7 348 4*354 4*305 4 004 3978 3225 7 340 4*346 4 304 5 011 3225 2552 6 339 4 343 4 303 4 005 2552 1958 6 344 4 340 4 302 4 359 1958 1462 6 345 4 339 4 299 4 352 1462 1082 6*343 4 337 4 300 5 348 1082 821 5*335 4 337 4 298 4 345 821 662 4 333 4 338 4 298 4*344 662 572 4 333 3 337 4 299 3*345 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography