DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 13.7 - - 17.0 - - 6.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 103 - - 41 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 871 - - 2012 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 553 - - 554 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1466 - - 2607 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 856 - - 1137 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 182 - - 178 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 350 - - 356 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -953 - - -428 - - -1300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2419 - - 3035 - - 1871 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10406 - - -6222 - - -5197 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11872 - - 8829 - - 5768 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 92 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 13.7 - - 17.0 - - 6.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 5.6 - - 6.1 - - 0.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 13.3 - - 16.9 - - 10.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 4.7 - - 5.1 - - 2.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 103 - - 41 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 871 - - 2012 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 23 - - 67 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95475 82 232 82 240 90 242 95475 88238 76 246 74 251 75 256 88238 82771 73 257 67 260 72 266 82771 78232 66 263 62 269 67 267 78232 74274 63 272 65 276 63 274 74274 70747 65 272 64 275 61 279 70747 67542 64 276 64 279 63 284 67542 64597 66 279 67 279 66 284 64597 61861 65 273 69 277 66 282 61861 59191 62 273 67 275 66 280 59191 56385 65 283 65 278 64 282 56385 53457 70 286 68 281 63 285 53457 50648 71 283 71 277 63 285 50648 48105 67 279 68 275 64 283 48105 45810 65 275 65 274 64 282 45810 43716 64 275 61 276 64 284 43716 41796 65 278 59 281 62 286 41796 40028 65 279 57 286 60 285 40028 38394 66 279 56 289 57 282 38394 36869 68 277 58 288 54 287 36869 35443 67 276 63 286 59 289 35443 34077 67 275 67 282 59 284 34077 32701 66 277 69 278 53 287 32701 31283 62 281 73 273 57 286 31283 29827 58 284 76 272 62 284 29827 28322 57 284 80 272 62 282 28322 26758 57 281 80 271 57 282 26758 25136 60 277 80 272 53 280 25136 23456 62 274 80 274 50 279 23456 21721 63 273 75 275 48 277 21721 19931 61 274 67 276 45 277 19931 18078 55 278 60 278 42 276 18078 16151 51 284 50 281 38 279 16151 14189 45 290 40 283 32 286 14189 12299 34 292 32 289 29 295 12299 10585 26 294 25 291 24 304 10585 9066 22 302 23 307 20 312 9066 7723 19 314 21 320 17 317 7723 6538 15 331 17 327 16 327 6538 5493 12 346 13 337 15 334 5493 4572 13 005 14 356 14 346 4572 3765 13 013 16 006 16 357 3765 3057 13 012 16*001 20 000 3057 2425 14 007 15*357 20 359 2425 1868 15*000 15 356 20 359 1868 1403 13*354 14 356 19 358 1403 1047 12 349 14 355 18 357 1047 802 12 349 13 355 16 353 802 654 11 348 12 355 13*350 654 570 10 347 10 355 7*345 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography