DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.4 - - 92.2 - - 89.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 89 - - 89 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1914 - - 2905 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1210 - - 1930 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2509 - - 3500 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1564 - - 3485 - - 6610 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 241 - - 277 - - 21 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 293 - - 158 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1135 - - -1117 - - -2450 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3645 - - 4617 - - 3027 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3692 - - -3004 - - -4093 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6201 - - 6504 - - 4670 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 77 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2770 - - 3120 - - 4480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.4 - - 92.2 - - 89.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 73.5 - - 77.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.0 - - 91.6 - - 91.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 73.0 - - 72.6 - - 77.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 89 - - 89 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1914 - - 2905 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 7 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99374 27 099 31 097 31 089 99374 91859 23 099 25 092 28 083 91859 86058 21 109 17 100 23 101 86058 81265 25 111 10 112 19 091 81265 77149 23 097 13 138 11 071 77149 73506 18 088 16 117 8 105 73506 70196 11 073 12 103 8 129 70196 67166 10 054 11 097 7 115 67166 64368 8 048 11 098 6 125 64368 61669 7 035 11 085 6 119 61669 58875 2 287 3 091 4 085 58875 56008 15 246 12 252 12 288 56008 53321 18 256 22 251 22 264 53321 50937 24 255 24 269 23 260 50937 48810 30 243 31 277 22 267 48810 46882 26 242 27 258 23 237 46882 45104 18 253 23 245 17 245 45104 43439 17 264 23 241 13 245 43439 41870 18 274 21 245 17 222 41870 40385 17 289 15 242 17 220 40385 38974 17 297 15 227 23 241 38974 37603 16 306 19 224 29 247 37603 36206 14 301 22 230 28 245 36206 34752 15 270 19 238 27 241 34752 33245 18 271 16 254 24 236 33245 31666 19 281 18 272 20 235 31666 30004 21 283 23 290 17 249 30004 28257 23 284 25 291 18 262 28257 26429 21 263 26 285 21 270 26429 24524 22 254 26 273 26 285 24524 22547 24 255 30 263 26 285 22547 20492 22 249 28 264 25 284 20492 18351 19 263 23 265 20 281 18351 16165 19 278 17 278 16 285 16165 14054 20 270 16 277 14 298 14054 12132 19 249 21 246 20 281 12132 10423 20 252 23 235 24 262 10423 8908 22 246 19 230 21 244 8908 7561 19 252 18 228 19 227 7561 6362 18 271 15 229 19 221 6362 5298 21 283 10 234 19 210 5298 4357 19 289 5 232 19 200 4357 3524 15 291 3*195 19 189 3524 2778 10*289 4*170 19 182 2778 2119 9*289 3 163 18 179 2119 1568 9 292 3 156 17 176 1568 1145 8 295 3 151 16 175 1145 853 8 296 3 147 14 173 853 677 8 297 3 149 11*172 677 576 6 297 3 147 8*171 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography