DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 19.2 - - 25.0 - - 24.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 100 - - 40 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 602 - - 898 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1197 - - 1493 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 498 - - 565 - - 1726 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 160 - - 137 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 198 - - 192 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -842 - - -536 - - -520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2039 - - 2029 - - 1091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8562 - - -8008 - - -1563 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9759 - - 9501 - - 2134 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 95 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 19.2 - - 25.0 - - 24.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 12.8 - - 18.6 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 18.7 - - 24.9 - - 25.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 11.7 - - 17.6 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 100 - - 40 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 602 - - 898 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 65 - - 80 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95776 78 230 90 241 79 246 95776 88550 62 252 71 251 62 261 88550 83014 44 256 49 251 62 264 83014 78432 35 269 38 268 53 266 78432 74477 38 271 35 283 43 273 74477 70963 38 280 46 297 36 296 70963 67771 38 289 54 295 44 312 67771 64846 43 296 50 296 49 308 64846 62128 44 294 48 299 46 302 62128 59468 44 305 48 305 43 305 59468 56667 49 312 47 310 47 309 56667 53738 49 313 50 317 48 313 53738 50926 48 315 52 321 51 321 50926 48389 49 316 52 320 53 323 48389 46115 48 317 52 317 54 319 46115 44051 48 317 51 317 51 321 44051 42164 51 317 51 321 56 332 42164 40433 54 318 54 326 65 333 40433 38837 56 316 57 327 70 329 38837 37350 56 313 59 326 69 326 37350 35955 53 311 59 326 67 327 35955 34616 50 307 55 325 68 328 34616 33266 44 302 53 324 71 330 33266 31878 36 298 52 322 74 331 31878 30453 30 297 49 322 72 329 30453 28975 28 295 46 321 66 326 28975 27433 28 291 43 318 61 324 27433 25822 28 287 41 316 57 323 25822 24137 28 284 44 316 53 323 24137 22381 29 284 45 316 47 325 22381 20555 30 288 45 316 42 323 20555 18653 28 294 43 314 39 316 18653 16670 27 296 39 309 36 313 16670 14646 30 293 36 298 35 309 14646 12700 29 284 35 284 32 301 12700 10935 22 259 30 292 31 290 10935 9368 18 239 24 291 31 286 9368 7973 16 241 22 265 29 293 7973 6734 16 250 28 233 26 305 6734 5643 18 252 26 226 22 289 5643 4688 19 249 26 228 24 269 4688 3856 20 244 26 230 25 243 3856 3125 21 239 25 230 26 233 3125 2475 22 229 23 226 23 221 2475 1902 20 214 20*218 20 206 1902 1425 15*203 14*196 18 196 1425 1060 10*198 13 192 15 186 1060 809 10 198 12 191 11 177 809 657 9 198 11 190 9*175 657 570 9 198 9 189 6*171 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography