DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 69.6 - - 72.0 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 275 - - 135 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 679 - - 3325 - - 3150 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 2707 - - 2251 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1274 - - 3920 - - 3745 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1397 - - 614 - - 691 - - 2097 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 394 - - 307 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 16 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 214 - - 204 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3972 - - -4722 - - -5319 - - -4484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5247 - - 8642 - - 9064 - - 5058 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18216 - - -17802 - - -17531 - - -17018 ODpotential blCL - - - 19490 - - 21722 - - 21276 - - 17592 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 78 - - 72 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 69.6 - - 72.0 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 34.2 - - 34.8 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 67.9 - - 71.1 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 33.2 - - 33.9 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 275 - - 135 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 679 - - 3325 - - 3150 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98109 24 261 22 248 34 233 29 255 98109 90715 19 251 21 238 24 240 24 257 90715 85012 16 231 19 241 19 253 17 247 85012 80268 8 213 17 220 13 244 12 243 80268 76194 7 265 7 211 10 216 14 232 76194 72605 9 275 7 324 3 315 4 211 72605 69371 4 273 3 272 7 310 6 312 69371 66416 4 327 1 277 5 318 8 293 66416 63682 6 320 6 263 6 274 11 285 63682 61042 11 334 7 288 11 240 16 272 61042 58305 14 312 15 294 12 271 16 268 58305 55483 13 303 16 276 23 265 20 271 55483 52818 23 325 16 320 22 250 21 262 52818 50436 25 320 18 322 10 268 20 244 50436 48295 22 317 14 299 6 304 22 225 48295 46342 19 326 16 274 14 286 20 209 46342 44551 14 325 18 263 22 252 15 206 44551 42897 10 347 11 259 22 234 19 210 42897 41354 15 003 6 306 20 224 26 209 41354 39897 20 357 8 329 16 225 25 212 39897 38514 22 341 18 322 12 270 25 219 38514 37170 28 337 18 319 14 277 21 228 37170 35798 27 340 14 321 20 286 14 251 35798 34368 19 335 17 312 22 281 14 260 34368 32879 16 327 17 295 22 279 15 262 32879 31320 16 319 19 278 23 277 16 285 31320 29676 18 312 21 275 23 275 16 298 29676 27949 21 309 22 276 23 279 15 288 27949 26136 21 301 21 285 20 283 18 275 26136 24241 22 298 21 294 19 277 21 272 24241 22264 19 300 19 284 20 272 21 270 22264 20200 18 297 19 285 19 277 18 267 20200 18047 19 306 17 292 18 276 18 275 18047 15851 17 316 16 291 19 279 19 285 15851 13733 18 311 17 294 19 284 19 287 13733 11808 21 309 18 297 16 288 16 288 11808 10101 20 312 15 303 14 290 13 286 10101 8590 16 315 11 310 11 292 12 277 8590 7253 9 316 7 303 8 292 10 267 7253 6077 6 301 7 286 7 293 8 260 6077 5043 4 312 5 278 5 286 7 252 5043 4139 4 360 4*230 3*235 6 217 4139 3349 3 035 4*223 3*215 6 196 3349 2644 2 086 4 218 3 208 7 188 2644 2023 5 154 4 216 3 205 10 181 2023 1505 6*176 4 212 4 202 13 176 1505 1107 4*180 4 210 4 199 14 173 1107 834 3 183 4 208 4 196 13 170 834 668 3 182 4 209 4 196 11*168 668 573 2 185 4 208 3 196 6*164 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography