DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.1 - - 40.1 - - 40.9 - - 35.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 109 - - 30 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1093 - - 2374 - - 3464 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 1586 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1688 - - 2969 - - 4059 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 987 - - 1255 - - 1066 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 101 - - 263 - - 202 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 309 - - 304 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 622 - - 928 - - 594 - - -1788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1066 - - 2041 - - 3465 - - 2360 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 377 - - 627 - - -1795 - - -4791 ODpotential blCL - - - 1311 - - 2342 - - 5854 - - 5363 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 80 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.1 - - 40.1 - - 40.9 - - 35.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 33.4 - - 27.9 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 39.7 - - 40.9 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 32.3 - - 26.9 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 109 - - 30 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1093 - - 2374 - - 3464 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96030 69 254 70 256 78 263 82 266 96030 88910 45 254 51 261 51 268 57 269 88910 83476 33 269 34 263 36 265 33 270 83476 78964 27 264 28 249 29 265 28 274 78964 75054 23 268 22 245 24 255 27 273 75054 71574 23 279 19 249 20 250 24 259 71574 68408 28 280 19 253 20 267 24 256 68408 65483 31 270 28 272 29 266 31 254 65483 62743 41 245 35 258 31 245 39 250 62743 60059 52 224 33 250 40 251 46 249 60059 57226 50 230 49 248 52 247 54 246 57226 54266 53 238 60 245 59 244 59 242 54266 51440 66 242 67 244 64 245 65 244 51440 48904 81 241 75 239 74 246 75 247 48904 46637 91 239 82 235 82 243 80 249 46637 44578 98 236 90 235 86 241 85 248 44578 42688 106 234 101 236 95 242 88 248 42688 40939 119 233 112 234 109 240 96 247 40939 39317 131 232 124 232 120 237 105 244 39317 37805 144 231 136 232 128 234 114 240 37805 36388 155 231 147 231 134 232 121 238 36388 35024 160 230 154 231 140 232 125 238 35024 33640 159 229 157 231 146 231 129 237 33640 32209 156 227 157 231 149 230 132 236 32209 30734 152 226 156 231 151 230 131 235 30734 29203 146 225 153 229 150 230 127 234 29203 27610 139 225 152 228 144 231 116 234 27610 25968 135 226 149 228 126 232 96 235 25968 24272 130 227 143 229 101 233 86 239 24272 22509 123 227 130 233 78 241 84 243 22509 20674 114 228 100 234 69 245 79 249 20674 18762 98 230 73 235 63 248 73 253 18762 16763 78 229 66 243 61 253 72 259 16763 14722 62 228 56 244 55 259 72 268 14722 12770 49 222 47 246 48 269 64 280 12770 11013 46 221 46 248 43 277 48 282 11013 9463 43 229 43 260 40 287 42 276 9463 8086 36 244 38 282 40 299 42 278 8086 6859 36 271 37 302 37 305 46 282 6859 5769 37 276 32 312 33 308 48 283 5769 4804 24 273 30 318 31*307 43 281 4804 3955 19 275 29 317 27*304 37 278 3955 3207 20 306 26*313 25 304 30 271 3207 2539 24 329 23*310 24 304 27 264 2539 1948 24*330 23 309 23 304 25 264 1948 1456 23*330 22 309 22 303 22 261 1456 1078 21 329 21 309 21 304 19 259 1078 818 19 328 20 309 19 303 16 255 818 661 17 328 18 308 17 303 13*251 661 571 13 327 14 308 13 303 6*243 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography