DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.0 - - 72.0 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 340 - - 219 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2148 - - 2902 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1899 - - 2306 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2743 - - 3497 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 783 - - 1290 - - 3184 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 365 - - 350 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 130 - - 160 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2032 - - -1374 - - -2305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4775 - - 4871 - - 2880 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5510 - - -3081 - - -4537 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8253 - - 6578 - - 5112 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 89 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.0 - - 72.0 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.5 - - 52.9 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 64.3 - - 70.8 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.8 - - 52.4 - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 340 - - 219 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2148 - - 2902 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 56 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97004 48 263 45 259 48 279 97004 89683 38 261 42 267 43 276 89683 84060 33 262 36 270 39 267 84060 79434 29 268 32 274 32 271 79434 75477 30 278 30 282 35 280 75477 71986 30 271 36 279 34 275 71986 68811 33 274 32 272 30 278 68811 65876 34 273 38 272 39 276 65876 63161 35 270 40 275 35 276 63161 60523 40 282 46 274 36 285 60523 57743 45 276 47 272 45 284 57743 54851 42 279 48 278 57 276 54851 52107 52 286 55 279 57 274 52107 49647 60 283 65 277 54 283 49647 47442 64 277 63 279 59 286 47442 45453 58 280 58 283 68 281 45453 43659 56 275 53 282 67 279 43659 42020 51 274 50 285 55 291 42020 40502 51 295 57 288 62 303 40502 39083 57 305 60 286 69 300 39083 37745 62 304 58 284 64 293 37745 36444 57 298 54 284 58 287 36444 35113 50 290 52 284 56 286 35113 33722 48 290 51 283 55 293 33722 32273 43 288 51 282 45 288 32273 30754 43 281 48 278 42 279 30754 29149 42 276 38 276 42 274 29149 27458 40 279 37 271 41 270 27458 25684 35 284 38 262 42 266 25684 23830 29 291 37 259 37 268 23830 21899 23 296 30 262 37 270 21899 19886 19 292 19 260 33 274 19886 17789 21 278 17 271 26 266 17789 15650 17 260 15 261 19 250 15650 13590 11 246 16 219 16 242 13590 11719 11 207 17 224 17 236 11719 10060 13 201 19 238 21 236 10060 8588 13 212 22 238 21 233 8588 7278 13 225 20 229 19 222 7278 6114 11 234 17 212 18 214 6114 5083 8 215 17 200 18 211 5083 4176 9 183 16*186 19 204 4176 3378 11*162 15*164 19 193 3378 2666 9*133 15 161 17 175 2666 2039 9 130 15 160 16 170 2039 1515 9 129 15 159 16 170 1515 1114 9 128 14 158 14 168 1114 837 9 128 13 158 13 167 837 670 8 127 13 158 11*166 670 574 8 128 11 158 7*165 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography