DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.3 - - 94.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 54 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2223 - - 3810 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1552 - - 2282 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2818 - - 4405 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 989 - - 2238 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 267 - - 271 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 238 - - 236 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1160 - - -1211 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3978 - - 5617 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4119 - - -3482 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6937 - - 7887 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 91 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2940 - - 2370 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.3 - - 94.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 74.5 - - 71.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.7 - - 94.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 73.5 - - 70.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 54 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2223 - - 3810 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 64 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 18 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99375 37 099 32 089 99375 91978 31 102 26 094 91978 86245 30 091 22 100 86245 81434 22 089 15 090 81434 77267 15 104 13 080 77267 73581 15 129 14 110 73581 70255 14 106 17 123 70255 67216 9 101 12 117 67216 64412 13 111 8 159 64412 61719 14 086 11 135 61719 58945 3 285 5 190 58945 56113 15 271 3 252 56113 53451 20 257 11 317 53451 51071 22 239 15 282 51071 48934 14 222 15 253 48934 46987 6 226 16 209 46987 45189 4 235 18 179 45189 43513 4 231 16 170 43513 41940 5 222 10 157 41940 40456 5 209 9 165 40456 39048 6 174 7 190 39048 37677 1 187 8 205 37677 36277 3 022 13 205 36277 34817 4 238 18 210 34817 33302 12 213 22 221 33302 31718 22 218 25 249 31718 30053 23 227 22 268 30053 28309 15 245 16 274 28309 26482 14 260 16 264 26482 24571 13 254 18 247 24571 22582 13 242 17 248 22582 20517 11 236 14 262 20517 18372 10 240 12 264 18372 16187 11 244 14 265 16187 14076 10 251 13 257 14076 12152 14 235 11 262 12152 10442 13 244 6 281 10442 8918 12 262 7 280 8918 7561 12 271 9 256 7561 6355 11 282 11 250 6355 5288 11 285 10*245 5288 4348 14 288 9*238 4348 3517 13*277 8 236 3517 2773 11*255 8 236 2773 2115 12 238 8 236 2115 1565 12 236 8 235 1565 1143 11 235 7 235 1143 853 11 235 7 235 853 677 10 234 7 235 677 576 9 234 6 234 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography