DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.7 - - 47.0 - - 52.3 - - 48.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 396 - - 261 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2123 - - 3413 - - 3507 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1695 - - 2896 - - 2816 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2718 - - 4008 - - 4102 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 499 - - 388 - - 1019 - - 3596 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 446 - - 392 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 025 - - 008 - - 030 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -660 - - -1851 - - -3675 - - -6721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3378 - - 5859 - - 7777 - - 7294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14173 - - -13547 - - -13358 - - -16227 ODpotential blCL - - - 16891 - - 17555 - - 17460 - - 16800 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 81 - - 75 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.7 - - 47.0 - - 52.3 - - 48.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.3 - - 23.7 - - 20.4 - - 19.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 45.2 - - 50.9 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.8 - - 23.0 - - 19.5 - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 396 - - 261 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2123 - - 3413 - - 3507 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96539 21 260 22 259 26 282 25 274 96539 89327 13 262 12 265 23 259 26 276 89327 83785 6 289 7 255 19 253 24 260 83785 79206 12 280 11 269 18 274 18 278 79206 75248 18 250 20 275 20 279 18 267 75248 71713 18 254 26 277 25 272 23 278 71713 68498 22 248 27 263 28 269 31 273 68498 65549 26 264 29 267 31 258 31 281 65549 62821 32 269 29 273 29 281 32 291 62821 60177 35 279 39 284 37 283 39 292 60177 57412 43 276 46 274 44 274 49 277 57412 54529 48 269 48 266 60 273 53 279 54529 51763 52 276 57 271 65 266 57 279 51763 49270 64 273 68 271 63 274 55 280 49270 47038 70 271 71 271 69 283 57 281 47038 45019 78 273 75 275 73 282 61 280 45019 43184 80 270 73 274 71 275 64 282 43184 41508 75 273 78 270 66 271 70 284 41508 39967 75 276 75 270 65 275 74 282 39967 38534 81 280 70 280 70 282 75 278 38534 37189 87 282 75 288 75 282 77 274 37189 35884 91 283 76 284 77 282 77 276 35884 34553 83 281 72 278 77 283 75 281 34553 33165 76 277 76 281 76 282 71 283 33165 31725 77 283 78 281 74 281 68 282 31725 30217 77 288 78 277 73 279 66 282 30217 28628 75 285 78 277 70 277 62 282 28628 26956 71 280 77 280 66 277 62 288 26956 25201 66 278 74 284 67 279 61 297 25201 23367 67 283 67 288 67 289 58 297 23367 21457 66 288 63 288 60 299 52 290 21457 19469 65 295 61 292 48 300 45 286 19469 17396 63 300 60 297 45 295 36 294 17396 15279 57 301 58 298 45 299 36 305 15279 13233 52 306 49 312 47 309 40 303 13233 11370 48 316 42 326 41 323 32 322 11370 9720 42 327 30 329 30 327 23 325 9720 8265 33 339 21 339 18 324 17 309 8265 6983 27 351 20 358 11 339 12 306 6983 5857 25 008 22 012 14 010 8 350 5857 4868 28 017 20*015 13*020 11 031 4868 4002 27 022 12*006 12*026 12 046 4002 3243 23*024 12 007 12 027 13 051 3243 2566 19*024 11 008 12 029 13 053 2566 1967 19 024 11 008 12 031 14 054 1967 1469 18 025 11 010 12 032 13 055 1469 1086 18 025 10 010 12 032 13 056 1086 823 17 025 10 011 11 033 11 056 823 663 15 025 9 011 11 033 9*056 663 572 13 025 8 010 9 034 6*056 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography