DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.1 - - 32.8 - - 30.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 147 - - 36 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1450 - - 1416 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1093 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2045 - - 2011 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 455 - - 542 - - 947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 245 - - 156 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 284 - - 233 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1125 - - -1131 - - -959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3170 - - 3142 - - 1531 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -18261 - - -17451 - - -16731 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 20306 - - 19462 - - 17303 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 69 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.1 - - 32.8 - - 30.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 16.4 - - 21.3 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 27.3 - - 32.8 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 15.4 - - 20.2 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 147 - - 36 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1450 - - 1416 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96367 26 232 34 232 38 251 96367 89208 12 239 20 222 20 229 89208 83724 20 233 21 231 25 239 83724 79172 24 218 30 229 25 239 79172 75229 21 244 27 221 25 236 75229 71704 25 261 22 238 17 243 71704 68486 30 250 28 247 23 256 68486 65519 25 241 23 245 22 255 65519 62768 21 279 20 268 23 282 62768 60111 39 277 32 271 34 281 60111 57333 50 265 42 263 38 268 57333 54438 54 268 44 266 42 270 54438 51682 51 261 43 269 48 274 51682 49216 35 264 49 289 51 273 49216 47020 48 302 65 292 62 286 47020 45035 82 299 81 291 67 280 45035 43213 92 290 82 286 69 283 43213 41523 88 297 78 301 70 290 41523 39958 103 306 100 308 96 300 39958 38510 112 302 110 300 109 295 38510 37152 99 297 107 296 106 290 37152 35838 85 296 103 297 100 292 35838 34505 83 302 101 299 100 293 34505 33119 84 307 96 299 99 292 33119 31677 86 306 92 299 98 293 31677 30164 85 303 84 300 94 294 30164 28569 85 301 79 298 88 295 28569 26894 85 298 72 295 81 296 26894 25137 89 293 67 293 73 295 25137 23300 90 289 68 288 70 289 23300 21380 76 309 72 288 74 284 21380 19373 71 308 71 289 64 288 19373 17281 76 298 68 290 58 297 17281 15152 72 301 57 294 51 296 15152 13107 60 306 48 303 45 292 13107 11257 56 306 41 291 39 276 11257 9626 48 305 40 287 38 263 9626 8190 44 308 38 291 34 262 8190 6923 42 309 33 290 36 259 6923 5806 40 309 27 285 41 252 5806 4820 37 307 25 279 27 237 4820 3953 32 310 23 276 25 232 3953 3190 24 311 20 264 23 230 3190 2514 19*304 14*243 19 218 2514 1924 10*284 10*234 16 190 1924 1439 10 283 9 233 14 160 1439 1068 9 284 8 233 14 146 1068 814 9 284 8 233 12 138 814 659 9 284 7 232 10*134 659 571 7 284 6 231 6*131 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography