DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.3 - - 56.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 143 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3571 - - 3540 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2817 - - 2546 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4166 - - 4135 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 681 - - 814 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 380 - - 322 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 32 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 024 - - 036 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -154 - - -1791 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4320 - - 5927 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11503 - - -13150 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15669 - - 17285 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 65 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.3 - - 56.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 37.8 - - 33.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.0 - - 56.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.7 - - 32.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 143 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3571 - - 3540 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97597 20 269 15 253 97597 90318 17 257 25 263 90318 84735 12 243 24 253 84735 80076 7 273 13 251 80076 76045 7 279 13 262 76045 72481 9 305 12 252 72481 69250 16 296 11 302 69250 66288 18 276 19 297 66288 63567 15 269 21 281 63567 60942 14 292 23 274 60942 58194 21 326 21 287 58194 55340 36 322 26 308 55340 52628 39 308 37 311 52628 50192 36 306 39 305 50192 47994 41 319 38 316 47994 45986 50 324 47 324 45986 44143 53 323 53 325 44143 42445 51 323 51 324 42445 40871 49 325 47 322 40871 39400 49 325 46 320 39400 38016 48 325 46 318 38016 36676 48 326 45 317 36676 35311 46 325 40 316 35311 33890 44 325 35 318 33890 32414 42 323 31 324 32414 30867 42 322 30 327 30867 29236 41 320 33 326 29236 27524 39 318 33 325 27524 25727 37 319 30 329 25727 23849 36 324 27 335 23849 21890 34 334 27 339 21890 19844 30 337 28 339 19844 17706 28 338 26 336 17706 15526 25 341 22 336 15526 13434 21 349 19 341 13434 11541 19 358 17 354 11541 9863 18 006 16 014 9863 8380 16 012 15 027 8380 7072 15 024 11 043 7072 5924 16 038 11 070 5924 4921 13*035 5*059 4921 4048 7*025 2*034 4048 3280 7 025 2 035 3280 2593 6 023 2 033 2593 1987 6 023 2 036 1987 1482 6 023 2 038 1482 1094 6 023 2 040 1094 827 5 022 2 038 827 665 5 023 2 041 665 573 5 022 2 042 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography