DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 82.9 - - 86.0 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 245 - - 102 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 575 - - 2278 - - 3650 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 1894 - - 2428 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1170 - - 2873 - - 4245 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 350 - - 1181 - - 2282 - - 182 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 158 - - 335 - - 295 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 260 - - 271 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4759 - - -4301 - - -3262 - - -4114 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5930 - - 7174 - - 7507 - - 4689 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11413 - - -8282 - - -6551 - - -9161 ODpotential blCL - - - 12583 - - 11155 - - 10796 - - 9736 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 65 - - 60 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 300 - - 310 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 82.9 - - 86.0 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 53.5 - - 55.0 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 81.5 - - 85.3 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 53.1 - - 54.7 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 245 - - 102 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 575 - - 2278 - - 3650 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97685 35 250 33 254 34 244 37 248 97685 90375 27 248 35 253 32 258 31 258 90375 84726 19 243 32 251 33 266 23 264 84726 80024 18 265 19 260 22 251 19 270 80024 75978 18 276 16 285 13 239 16 281 75978 72408 12 284 13 276 12 271 11 284 72408 69169 10 287 12 273 15 296 12 303 69169 66186 15 295 14 279 17 283 15 300 66186 63430 17 279 17 281 20 279 20 283 63430 60765 21 280 20 282 25 275 22 278 60765 57992 25 278 23 285 28 274 30 275 57992 55133 27 281 28 276 34 270 39 267 55133 52421 26 288 30 280 36 272 41 269 52421 49987 27 296 33 280 38 273 45 276 49987 47803 32 296 36 283 40 276 51 275 47803 45810 32 286 38 281 45 283 50 279 45810 43973 32 285 40 286 46 285 51 283 43973 42279 35 284 41 285 41 291 44 283 42279 40722 35 290 39 292 43 297 39 290 40722 39280 31 293 39 295 45 292 39 291 39280 37926 30 290 29 282 40 286 37 287 37926 36611 23 277 24 285 35 289 37 285 36611 35269 18 288 23 293 33 296 39 288 35269 33870 18 296 24 293 35 297 41 290 33870 32416 18 298 28 296 36 293 45 292 32416 30894 22 309 31 297 36 293 46 291 30894 29292 29 318 30 298 37 297 47 289 29292 27608 31 316 29 299 39 298 47 286 27608 25840 32 312 30 306 40 296 46 291 25840 23993 32 314 34 311 38 297 45 296 23993 22070 30 314 35 313 35 303 43 300 22070 20065 30 317 29 311 33 302 41 301 20065 17970 31 318 26 306 31 300 40 303 17970 15828 27 318 28 308 30 304 38 304 15828 13761 25 317 29 310 34 309 37 300 13761 11879 23 318 27 305 33 304 37 298 11879 10204 21 316 24 300 30 294 34 298 10204 8712 25 308 25 305 25 295 32 297 8712 7387 26 290 25 307 21 300 25 302 7387 6213 13 276 24 288 20 294 18 297 6213 5174 12 293 20 267 20 284 16 296 5174 4257 18 294 18 268 17*275 16 300 4257 3446 21 288 18*269 16*274 16 301 3446 2719 25 280 16*263 16 273 16 302 2719 2076 25 270 16 261 16 271 16 301 2076 1540 22*266 15 260 15 271 16 300 1540 1128 16*261 15 259 15 270 15 296 1128 844 13 259 14 259 14 269 13 289 844 673 12 257 13 258 13 269 10*281 673 574 10 257 11 257 11 269 5*275 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography