DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.5 - - 33.4 - - 36.4 - - 30.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 206 - - 75 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 898 - - 2537 - - 2394 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 2009 - - 1103 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1493 - - 3132 - - 2989 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1395 - - 619 - - 780 - - 2244 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 326 - - 228 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 291 - - 286 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -995 - - -491 - - -2053 - - -2481 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2488 - - 3623 - - 5042 - - 3053 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13523 - - -11150 - - -12101 - - -13675 ODpotential blCL - - - 15016 - - 14282 - - 15090 - - 14247 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 74 - - 86 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.5 - - 33.4 - - 36.4 - - 30.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.2 - - 20.0 - - 16.7 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.2 - - 32.4 - - 36.0 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 18.9 - - 16.2 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 206 - - 75 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 898 - - 2537 - - 2394 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96032 14 020 20 043 15 037 15 041 96032 88977 13 036 14 061 11 019 12 011 88977 83477 12 030 4 042 7 344 11 358 83477 78876 5 332 3 281 7 297 10 322 78876 74906 10 308 6 251 9 267 11 308 74906 71375 14 271 13 272 15 273 14 299 71375 68152 18 259 21 266 20 272 23 274 68152 65173 19 268 23 265 28 279 29 274 65173 62396 25 283 28 267 33 275 31 274 62396 59701 31 282 34 276 36 275 37 276 59701 56894 36 291 37 277 41 274 42 271 56894 53985 46 296 43 282 49 278 46 277 53985 51204 58 290 55 288 59 277 54 275 51204 48704 66 286 66 286 61 279 60 279 48704 46478 67 285 69 279 65 279 68 276 46478 44475 69 288 70 279 69 278 67 273 44475 42652 72 290 72 280 71 279 67 274 42652 40979 80 291 76 280 77 279 74 277 40979 39444 86 287 83 278 83 275 82 277 39444 38028 88 287 87 277 86 273 85 274 38028 36702 90 290 89 278 90 274 86 273 36702 35411 90 292 90 280 93 274 84 275 35411 34091 86 294 88 282 91 277 79 276 34091 32716 85 293 83 282 85 281 75 273 32716 31287 83 293 79 285 80 281 74 273 31287 29792 81 295 75 289 76 281 71 277 29792 28219 76 300 74 292 72 285 66 280 28219 26568 74 303 78 292 69 287 64 283 26568 24835 70 305 79 291 63 289 56 285 24835 23024 69 307 75 292 59 293 48 280 23024 21135 72 307 72 290 57 299 46 284 21135 19165 71 306 65 293 56 301 46 286 19165 17109 64 307 62 297 54 296 48 291 17109 15013 57 310 55 306 48 300 45 293 15013 12996 51 312 57 310 46 306 42 288 12996 11165 46 312 52 309 44 302 32 289 11165 9544 44 312 40 309 35 305 27 299 9544 8112 39 314 33 313 26 303 22 295 8112 6849 33 317 29 316 21 303 19 278 6849 5737 27 319 23 316 18 303 13 277 5737 4760 20 315 17 311 15 298 9 281 4760 3907 15 315 12 303 9 291 5 262 3907 3163 9 323 8*293 4*287 4 167 3163 2504 9 333 7*292 4*287 7 149 2504 1924 10*337 7 291 3 286 8 147 1924 1440 9*335 6 291 3 287 9 149 1440 1069 8 333 6 290 3 285 9 148 1069 814 8 333 6 289 3 286 10 147 814 659 7 333 5 289 2 283 8*146 659 571 6 333 5 289 2 285 5*144 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography