DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 37.7 - - 39.3 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 66 - - 51 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 558 - - 1041 - - 1265 - - 637 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1153 - - 1636 - - 1860 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 845 - - 648 - - 635 - - 1079 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 72 - - 168 - - 166 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 076 - - 074 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 241 - - 561 - - 667 - - 316 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 912 - - 1075 - - 1193 - - 916 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 84 - - 434 - - 540 - - 70 ODpotential blCL - - - 1069 - - 1202 - - 1320 - - 1162 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 37.7 - - 39.3 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.3 - - 35.5 - - 36.5 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 37.5 - - 39.0 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 34.7 - - 35.7 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 66 - - 51 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 558 - - 1041 - - 1265 - - 637 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96227 8 218 12 221 17 218 10 222 96227 89041 7 169 18 194 17 234 8 299 89041 83508 9 204 7 190 21 216 20 266 83508 78904 5 227 9 255 9 201 26 230 78904 74935 17 281 17 272 14 269 17 279 74935 71450 21 271 21 282 19 277 18 273 71450 68283 27 279 30 283 31 294 26 302 68283 65361 31 288 36 277 44 294 39 299 65361 62657 37 299 37 276 47 290 45 292 62657 60044 46 295 41 280 47 284 45 289 60044 57310 51 291 44 283 46 284 48 292 57310 54471 58 293 51 293 55 289 54 290 54471 51766 65 299 66 295 65 292 57 291 51766 49321 72 301 74 295 69 289 61 291 49321 47120 77 300 74 294 67 287 62 292 47120 45121 80 295 73 290 67 287 69 291 45121 43297 76 291 73 287 71 288 70 285 43297 41621 77 292 76 287 73 287 67 285 41621 40075 82 293 81 282 74 282 74 288 40075 38650 87 292 82 274 73 280 82 286 38650 37316 90 291 79 279 72 283 81 284 37316 36017 89 291 79 287 71 283 77 285 36017 34689 83 292 79 293 72 284 69 285 34689 33302 81 294 72 289 75 288 64 283 33302 31857 79 291 67 286 67 286 62 281 31857 30341 74 289 64 286 58 280 63 281 30341 28740 68 292 62 284 61 277 63 282 28740 27055 60 286 60 284 62 275 61 282 27055 25288 49 283 58 285 59 279 58 282 25288 23445 46 284 55 290 55 283 56 283 23445 21530 42 279 48 290 50 286 56 280 21530 19533 34 275 35 282 41 287 46 272 19533 17452 26 269 28 277 33 279 39 276 17452 15330 22 267 21 262 31 271 35 274 15330 13282 21 287 18 267 25 269 36 277 13282 11418 16 286 19 283 20 271 31 272 11418 9765 4 278 17 296 15 280 16 257 9765 8300 0 265 10 284 10 256 14 239 8300 7000 5 207 7 233 11 249 14 241 7000 5853 3 134 8 106 7 209 12 227 5853 4851 7 089 9 087 9 112 10 156 4851 3976 13 136 7 119 8 112 10 115 3976 3208 22 123 15 130 8 135 7 113 3208 2531 26 108 16 110 10 109 11 107 2531 1940 24 104 15*095 11*079 13 090 1940 1451 19*097 13*078 11*076 13*088 1451 1076 15*091 12 076 10 075 11*086 1076 818 13 089 12 075 10 074 10 085 818 661 11 088 11 075 9 073 9 084 661 572 9 086 9 074 8 073 6 083 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography