DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 83.8 - - 86.5 - - 83.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 202 - - 125 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 3698 - - 4456 - - 328 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 2896 - - 3223 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1642 - - 4293 - - 5051 - - 923 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 672 - - 1725 - - 3252 - - 7038 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 380 - - 350 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 14 - - 13 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 114 - - 110 - - 091 - - 103 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1673 - - -548 - - -186 - - -3204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3316 - - 4841 - - 5237 - - 4127 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5120 - - -1904 - - -1439 - - -4301 ODpotential blCL - - - 6762 - - 6197 - - 6490 - - 5224 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 86 - - 80 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 940 - - 320 - - 800 - - 1170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 83.8 - - 86.5 - - 83.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.6 - - 64.6 - - 65.5 - - 67.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 82.5 - - 85.7 - - 84.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 63.4 - - 64.3 - - 66.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 202 - - 125 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 3698 - - 4456 - - 328 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 45 - - 21 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99237 40 091 37 090 26 087 35 070 99237 91810 33 084 32 090 24 077 30 082 91810 86054 29 079 27 089 24 083 27 085 86054 81266 24 079 24 087 19 085 23 078 81266 77153 20 078 20 086 18 074 21 073 77153 73542 16 069 17 086 17 070 18 072 73542 70286 13 068 16 070 15 084 12 075 70286 67284 12 066 7 060 14 070 10 089 67284 64483 8 034 5 048 9 063 10 048 64483 61774 4 353 6 360 7 024 13 008 61774 58971 3 340 8 351 7 348 13 351 58971 56081 9 342 11 342 11 327 14 331 56081 53329 14 342 13 328 14 305 16 321 53329 50848 16 335 16 318 18 299 19 318 50848 48618 21 316 18 310 19 301 21 326 48618 46592 25 290 19 305 16 298 16 297 46592 44741 26 261 22 280 17 284 12 278 44741 43038 32 248 29 258 26 267 13 303 43038 41452 38 242 31 258 25 257 20 279 41452 39967 34 237 28 250 22 256 24 259 39967 38575 22 243 24 238 22 247 21 241 38575 37232 21 245 17 236 21 244 14 215 37232 35860 19 236 17 224 24 251 13 226 35860 34428 3 122 11 204 22 253 4 207 34428 32944 25 068 11 101 8 221 10 059 32944 31388 30 060 19 054 13 080 14 055 31388 29747 28 056 22 049 17 060 12 060 29747 28022 24 058 17 062 17 050 15 058 28022 26211 13 064 11 060 16 049 21 055 26211 24316 7 053 9 038 12 044 21 055 24316 22341 7 038 11 030 14 027 16 057 22341 20283 7 027 11 027 16 029 9 057 20283 18137 7 006 11 024 11 036 8 048 18137 15952 8 003 9 023 10 054 8 061 15952 13850 9 357 7 028 7 071 8 071 13850 11945 8 328 3 346 3 082 7 050 11945 10261 8 314 7 297 8 285 11 357 10261 8767 9 331 7 314 11 293 10 340 8767 7438 9 342 6 343 8 313 7 355 7438 6257 8 351 5 350 5 342 5 054 6257 5209 4 348 3*350 3*058 7 094 5209 4285 1 009 2*092 4*080 8 097 4285 3467 3 084 5 110 5 086 8 097 3467 2735 8 114 5 110 5 090 8 099 2735 2087 12*121 6 112 5 093 8 100 2087 1547 10*117 6 111 5 095 8 101 1547 1133 8 113 6 112 5 096 8*102 1133 847 8 112 5 113 5 098 7*102 847 674 7 112 5 113 5 099 6 103 674 575 6 112 5 112 4 098 5 103 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography