DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.3 - - 87.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 114 - - 64 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3270 - - 3741 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2376 - - 2381 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3865 - - 4336 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1728 - - 2309 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 318 - - 284 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 265 - - 262 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 850 - - 809 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3015 - - 3527 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -686 - - -576 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4551 - - 4912 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 88 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1960 - - 2340 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.3 - - 87.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.7 - - 73.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.7 - - 87.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 72.3 - - 72.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 114 - - 64 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3270 - - 3741 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 69 - - 54 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99474 43 087 35 096 99474 91974 34 087 35 090 91974 86178 30 088 24 077 86178 81372 27 089 20 081 81372 77234 18 088 19 073 77234 73592 14 096 14 069 73592 70307 15 086 11 091 70307 67288 15 065 15 099 67288 64491 17 043 18 084 64491 61796 14 019 16 063 61796 59017 8 010 14 035 59017 56176 11 020 16 013 56176 53492 16 013 19 001 53492 51081 13 354 20 357 51081 48912 2 338 14 342 48912 46932 5 104 7 308 46932 45110 8 079 2 318 45110 43418 1 297 6 279 43418 41833 4 205 10 241 41833 40339 2 197 10 235 40339 38924 4 255 10 235 38924 37551 5 247 10 234 37551 36151 6 237 9 231 36151 34693 7 229 8 227 34693 33183 6 234 7 225 33183 31604 5 240 8 223 31604 29943 5 201 10 240 29943 28200 7 206 11 267 28200 26374 7 243 12 276 26374 24467 10 258 12 278 24467 22484 11 236 11 264 22484 20417 11 232 13 257 20417 18262 11 256 13 269 18262 16065 8 248 12 280 16065 13951 5 214 11 267 13951 12032 7 233 10 264 12032 10335 10 247 12 272 10335 8829 10 261 21 273 8829 7488 11 265 23 277 7488 6295 11 273 19 278 6295 5240 9 278 15*275 5240 4309 9*270 12*270 4309 3487 9*268 10 264 3487 2750 10 266 10 262 2750 2099 10 265 9 261 2099 1555 9 264 9 259 1555 1137 9 264 8 259 1137 850 8 264 8 258 850 675 8 264 7 258 675 576 7 263 6 256 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography