DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.7 - - 36.0 - - 39.8 - - 31.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 242 - - 128 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 93 - - 2332 - - 3430 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 1915 - - 2392 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 688 - - 2927 - - 4025 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 947 - - 778 - - 964 - - 2660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 60 - - 332 - - 306 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 303 - - 295 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4285 - - -5148 - - -5058 - - -5762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4973 - - 8075 - - 9083 - - 6334 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15567 - - -13649 - - -13159 - - -15966 ODpotential blCL - - - 16255 - - 16576 - - 17184 - - 16538 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 83 - - 85 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.7 - - 36.0 - - 39.8 - - 31.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.4 - - 2.8 - - 1.9 - - 5.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.8 - - 34.9 - - 39.0 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.2 - - 2.7 - - 1.6 - - 5.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 242 - - 128 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 93 - - 2332 - - 3430 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 31 - - 39 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95322 51 244 54 252 65 255 70 252 95322 88396 33 253 41 253 51 261 52 256 88396 83034 29 265 31 248 38 258 44 261 83034 78528 36 279 30 256 38 252 46 261 78528 74594 42 271 39 270 43 263 51 273 74594 71091 42 268 44 268 44 263 46 272 71091 67886 44 282 40 273 39 265 45 278 67886 64907 49 276 46 271 45 268 56 280 64907 62137 49 270 52 264 58 269 61 273 62137 59454 56 275 57 263 63 262 64 271 59454 56654 69 276 65 267 64 269 73 270 56654 53734 81 269 80 272 81 275 82 268 53734 50938 87 265 90 270 91 274 86 269 50938 48432 90 264 95 265 97 269 91 272 48432 46201 89 265 96 261 99 265 98 271 46201 44188 90 268 95 261 97 264 100 267 44188 42347 93 271 94 264 97 267 101 266 42347 40649 96 271 96 268 100 271 101 267 40649 39073 97 272 101 270 104 273 105 270 39073 37611 102 273 103 269 107 274 116 274 37611 36250 110 272 104 269 111 276 124 274 36250 34948 112 269 106 270 116 277 126 272 34948 33628 112 269 110 271 119 276 124 272 33628 32259 112 270 112 270 119 274 122 272 32259 30840 112 269 109 269 119 273 121 273 30840 29353 107 267 106 268 121 274 119 274 29353 27789 99 264 101 267 120 275 116 273 27789 26149 93 264 97 265 106 273 113 272 26149 24432 89 264 91 265 95 269 110 271 24432 22641 85 263 83 265 94 269 104 271 22641 20780 81 264 77 265 86 269 95 267 20780 18843 77 264 73 266 75 267 87 270 18843 16825 70 267 67 266 70 266 76 270 16825 14768 68 272 59 264 61 265 67 271 14768 12793 63 282 51 268 50 265 58 270 12793 11010 59 286 47 272 50 268 54 258 11010 9434 59 293 44 267 50 262 49 270 9434 8037 53 301 44 273 43 265 42 278 8037 6802 41 302 42 297 38 283 31 281 6802 5711 33 300 35 299 34 287 29 296 5711 4750 28 296 30 291 20*293 24 285 4750 3908 24 292 25 292 11*293 16 270 3908 3168 23 293 17*299 10 294 11 269 3168 2509 22 295 12*302 10 294 8 283 2509 1927 15 300 11 303 10 294 8 297 1927 1442 10 296 10 304 9 296 8 306 1442 1070 9 278 10 303 9 296 8 314 1070 815 8*271 9 304 8 296 7 319 815 660 5*264 9 304 8 296 6*323 660 571 3 261 8 304 7 296 4*325 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography