DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.5 - - 91.9 - - 86.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 30 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3457 - - 1801 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2590 - - 559 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4052 - - 2396 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3925 - - 6913 - - 2693 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 340 - - 181 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 212 - - 179 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1153 - - -2324 - - -2532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5205 - - 4720 - - 3109 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2751 - - -3673 - - -5052 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6803 - - 6069 - - 5629 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 68 - - 84 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2250 - - 2870 - - 3000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.5 - - 91.9 - - 86.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.5 - - 73.0 - - 74.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 91.6 - - 91.8 - - 88.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.6 - - 72.0 - - 73.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 30 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3457 - - 1801 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 34 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98868 21 106 19 108 18 100 98868 91537 23 119 14 104 21 085 91537 85872 19 110 14 123 18 081 85872 81139 10 105 17 121 15 088 81139 77032 13 109 15 112 13 133 77032 73405 11 095 12 124 11 139 73405 70123 7 141 9 131 4 151 70123 67101 10 177 7 128 4 206 67101 64301 12 170 10 158 10 172 64301 61605 12 189 15 192 12 178 61605 58839 17 188 22 206 14 220 58839 56022 20 201 25 209 18 231 56022 53371 23 232 21 220 24 220 53371 51009 29 247 25 255 27 228 51009 48897 33 241 31 248 29 243 48897 46964 34 230 37 234 32 250 46964 45172 31 223 39 226 34 251 45172 43496 25 222 38 223 35 247 43496 41922 23 228 34 223 33 240 41922 40437 23 228 30 230 32 236 40437 39030 24 230 31 237 32 239 39030 37661 26 230 31 241 34 244 37661 36262 29 228 31 246 34 245 36262 34804 31 230 32 251 34 244 34804 33289 31 239 32 252 33 245 33289 31704 32 241 30 250 32 249 31704 30037 30 236 28 247 30 250 30037 28289 27 233 26 247 28 248 28289 26459 25 229 26 249 26 246 26459 24548 27 228 25 251 22 248 24548 22562 29 230 26 252 19 252 22562 20498 26 230 27 240 18 256 20498 18349 23 228 25 229 18 257 18349 16156 23 224 23 229 18 257 16156 14042 23 229 21 232 17 254 14042 12122 22 232 19 234 16 251 12122 10419 21 227 17 240 17 246 10419 8904 20 232 16 244 15 243 8904 7555 18 240 13 242 12 237 7555 6353 17 248 12 237 10 229 6353 5286 16 249 10 228 11 212 5286 4345 16*244 10 212 13 194 4345 3513 14*231 10 194 16 181 3513 2769 12 214 10*188 19 173 2769 2111 12 211 10*182 21 169 2111 1562 12 209 10 179 20 166 1562 1141 11 206 9 178 19 163 1141 852 11 205 9 177 16 159 852 676 10 205 9 177 13*157 676 576 9 204 7 176 7*154 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography