DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.6 - - 48.0 - - 54.8 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 366 - - 254 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1457 - - 2510 - - 3452 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1110 - - 2187 - - 2766 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2052 - - 3105 - - 4047 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 920 - - 497 - - 695 - - 3665 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 393 - - 387 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 114 - - 159 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1430 - - -3087 - - -4680 - - -7204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3482 - - 6192 - - 8727 - - 7777 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14098 - - -13602 - - -16058 - - -18171 ODpotential blCL - - - 16150 - - 16707 - - 20105 - - 18744 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 48 - - 40 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.6 - - 48.0 - - 54.8 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.1 - - 23.4 - - 18.9 - - 19.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 46.2 - - 53.4 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 22.2 - - 17.7 - - 18.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 366 - - 254 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1457 - - 2510 - - 3452 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96345 35 257 24 270 26 253 37 264 96345 89089 34 258 36 261 36 273 36 275 89089 83520 37 260 35 267 40 286 37 280 83520 78907 34 265 39 268 42 286 45 280 78907 74945 32 280 37 275 41 280 48 278 74945 71449 39 287 41 288 39 279 45 288 71449 68295 44 283 47 289 46 282 49 289 68295 65413 46 285 50 286 51 285 51 289 65413 62748 52 289 51 287 52 288 51 289 62748 60164 59 285 53 284 54 289 51 289 60164 57454 66 286 60 287 62 288 59 287 57454 54631 78 291 75 292 74 291 68 289 54631 51928 91 291 90 292 87 294 75 296 51928 49482 99 288 97 290 95 294 86 298 49482 47279 101 284 98 287 97 292 93 295 47279 45278 99 281 97 285 96 290 93 293 45278 43449 97 283 94 286 95 288 90 292 43449 41773 94 285 93 289 93 291 85 292 41773 40236 88 286 91 290 89 294 83 291 40236 38810 84 287 88 291 85 295 80 288 38810 37464 80 294 85 297 81 296 77 290 37464 36153 85 304 84 302 78 298 72 291 36153 34813 92 308 85 302 78 298 69 288 34813 33418 93 306 86 298 77 296 64 286 33418 31968 92 303 84 297 75 297 57 288 31968 30449 87 302 78 300 73 303 54 292 30449 28848 81 302 74 303 71 306 54 293 28848 27161 77 304 71 304 70 304 54 294 27161 25389 75 306 68 305 69 302 53 298 25389 23534 68 305 66 304 66 301 49 302 23534 21603 64 303 61 305 60 301 45 301 21603 19594 61 299 56 308 54 301 42 295 19594 17498 56 296 47 305 47 303 41 294 17498 15359 48 299 43 295 42 295 37 292 15359 13296 39 308 38 300 34 295 34 297 13296 11428 31 316 27 305 23 300 24 293 11428 9777 20 332 17 289 18 279 18 270 9777 8320 14 007 5 266 17 250 18 252 8320 7032 14 030 5 137 14 212 22 232 7032 5896 13 038 8 128 14 183 26 211 5896 4898 12 042 8 123 13*169 21 192 4898 4028 10 053 8 120 10*161 18 175 4028 3264 11 083 7*115 10 160 16 169 3264 2581 11*084 7*115 10 160 16 168 2581 1978 10*081 7 114 10 159 15 166 1978 1475 7 065 7 114 10 158 14 164 1475 1090 6 063 6 113 9 158 13 163 1090 825 6 062 6 113 9 158 11 161 825 664 5 061 6 113 8 158 8*159 664 572 5 059 5 114 8 158 5*158 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography