DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.4 - - 77.8 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 49 - - 26 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2526 - - 2244 - - 832 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1436 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3121 - - 2839 - - 1427 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1286 - - 2607 - - 1217 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 243 - - 188 - - 99 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 14 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 214 - - 226 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1117 - - 1355 - - 673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2004 - - 1484 - - 754 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -108 - - 559 - - 324 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3229 - - 2280 - - 1103 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3150 - - 2840 - - 840 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.4 - - 77.8 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.1 - - 72.8 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.2 - - 77.7 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 71.7 - - 71.8 - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 49 - - 26 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2526 - - 2244 - - 832 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 76 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98054 10 172 5 184 6 091 98054 90674 12 134 14 152 7 102 90674 85027 14 102 12 140 9 131 85027 80333 9 085 9 129 7 084 80333 76284 6 091 12 137 5 091 76284 72700 8 144 11 130 11 147 72700 69454 6 136 9 149 11 171 69454 66489 2 238 12 172 13 207 66489 63767 16 195 10 182 12 204 63767 61138 12 253 12 261 4 247 61138 58388 30 252 28 246 19 253 58388 55533 36 221 37 229 33 236 55533 52813 35 213 37 225 35 233 52813 50363 33 213 35 218 33 229 50363 48163 25 213 24 199 39 242 48163 46167 19 236 37 245 45 232 46167 44336 39 239 49 250 49 236 44336 42648 51 235 45 250 41 243 42648 41089 58 241 40 232 45 235 41089 39633 50 237 37 220 50 219 39633 38259 34 222 30 209 41 194 38259 36927 26 216 30 224 37 198 36927 35569 27 222 33 229 42 218 35569 34150 29 229 31 229 48 229 34150 32675 32 237 30 230 44 237 32675 31129 32 247 31 234 40 233 31129 29499 29 244 32 237 35 239 29499 27786 25 250 30 241 30 253 27786 25987 22 251 25 250 29 246 25987 24109 21 243 23 245 26 231 24109 22157 21 232 21 241 21 276 22157 20126 25 220 21 252 21 279 20126 18009 31 212 24 265 20 270 18009 15853 33 211 22 265 19 270 15853 13774 30 217 20 259 24 269 13774 11878 23 226 20 236 26 263 11878 10189 19 228 31 230 21 243 10189 8686 22 235 38 231 23 234 8686 7352 25 246 37 235 21 231 7352 6172 25 251 30 243 16 230 6172 5130 26 247 23 245 12 236 5130 4212 28 230 21 241 11 242 4212 3404 28*223 19*234 8 271 3404 2684 25*217 17*229 10 304 2684 2049 22 215 16 228 12 322 2049 1522 21 213 14 225 14*327 1522 1117 20 213 13 225 14*327 1117 840 18 212 12 225 13 327 840 671 17 212 11 224 12 327 671 574 13 211 9 224 9 327 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography