DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.7 - - 76.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 84 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3743 - - 4831 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2917 - - 3070 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4338 - - 5426 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1558 - - 1644 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 378 - - 300 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 101 - - 045 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4115 - - -3096 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8453 - - 8522 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10016 - - -8241 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14354 - - 13667 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 78 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.7 - - 76.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.9 - - 40.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.4 - - 75.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.5 - - 40.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 84 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3743 - - 4831 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 27 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97331 10 214 10 238 97331 90068 2 212 3 201 90068 84501 5 143 6 209 84501 79890 8 135 5 170 79890 75922 4 112 2 110 75922 72422 3 035 1 291 72422 69262 4 010 2 141 69262 66354 10 347 4 054 66354 63660 14 322 11 334 63660 61059 11 297 14 305 61059 58346 12 293 13 294 58346 55524 21 305 17 313 55524 52827 31 300 27 317 52827 50399 33 293 35 306 50399 48214 33 292 33 299 48214 46215 29 306 27 317 46215 44370 32 323 36 328 44370 42654 43 338 44 328 42654 41054 56 336 50 337 41054 39562 61 331 55 338 39562 38160 58 331 52 340 38160 36805 55 334 51 346 36805 35429 54 339 52 350 35429 34000 53 340 53 349 34000 32519 48 341 52 344 32519 30971 47 342 47 337 30971 29341 53 340 45 336 29341 27627 46 345 47 339 27627 25831 31 343 37 346 25831 23959 22 341 25 340 23959 22015 15 345 15 334 22015 19991 11 023 6 000 19991 17876 10 040 4 012 17876 15714 7 351 9 329 15714 13636 14 339 15 340 13636 11750 11 005 13 352 11750 10072 11 030 9 010 10072 8580 9 004 8 009 8580 7262 9 356 9 011 7262 6103 8 018 6*030 6103 5080 4*052 4*033 5080 4179 5*098 4 037 4179 3383 5 100 4 042 3383 2672 5 100 3 046 2672 2042 4 100 3 051 2042 1518 4 101 3 055 1518 1115 4 102 3 057 1115 838 4 102 3 057 838 670 4 102 3 058 670 574 3 103 3 058 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography