DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 95.5 - - 96.0 - - 88.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 115 - - 36 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5822 - - 7485 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4218 - - 4584 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6417 - - 8080 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3364 - - 2429 - - 4033 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 380 - - 311 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 220 - - 201 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -778 - - 805 - - -3569 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7196 - - 7275 - - 4145 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2248 - - -607 - - -5746 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8665 - - 8687 - - 6322 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 82 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1080 - - 1140 - - 2290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 95.5 - - 96.0 - - 88.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.9 - - 66.0 - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 94.8 - - 95.9 - - 90.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.5 - - 64.7 - - 71.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 115 - - 36 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5822 - - 7485 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 29 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98999 6 109 13 169 3 353 98999 91552 13 108 8 150 5 127 91552 85794 12 077 4 117 7 105 85794 81034 11 079 6 100 11 098 81034 76944 9 060 10 079 9 092 76944 73334 4 058 12 043 8 049 73334 70070 5 094 3 012 7 011 70070 67078 2 310 2 184 4 338 67078 64323 2 285 2 221 4 277 64323 61668 6 353 5 347 6 322 61668 58923 10 301 17 292 20 313 58923 56115 14 279 19 270 22 295 56115 53459 19 305 16 304 19 295 53459 51067 31 305 24 298 24 294 51067 48910 29 292 26 284 28 295 48910 46940 28 310 32 297 30 302 46940 45121 37 310 36 300 30 308 45121 43426 42 316 35 305 33 313 43426 41836 45 321 39 314 35 314 41836 40341 34 315 40 319 34 313 40341 38929 28 307 35 320 31 312 38929 37560 25 297 26 315 27 312 37560 36166 19 286 23 306 23 311 36166 34714 17 287 23 302 20 308 34714 33207 17 270 18 282 15 297 33207 31630 19 258 19 280 17 273 31630 29971 18 258 21 280 19 278 29971 28231 20 253 19 276 17 287 28231 26410 20 250 19 261 17 277 26410 24509 21 248 20 253 18 263 24509 22534 22 246 20 254 19 261 22534 20479 20 250 19 265 17 269 20479 18334 19 248 17 261 16 271 18334 16144 23 238 16 253 12 256 16144 14029 26 222 19 235 13 249 14029 12109 25 217 23 221 16 262 12109 10409 16 212 18 226 17 259 10409 8898 10 200 14*227 15 250 8898 7551 11*200 13*223 13 245 7551 6351 11*207 12 217 12 236 6351 5286 12 221 12 207 12 220 5286 4345 12 222 12 200 13 203 4345 3514 11 222 12 195 16 189 3514 2770 11 222 12 191 18 181 2770 2112 11 222 12 189 19 178 2112 1564 10 221 12 187 19 175 1564 1142 10 221 12 186 18 173 1142 852 9 221 11 185 15 169 852 676 9 221 10 184 12*168 676 575 8 220 9 184 7*165 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography