DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 70.9 - - 74.2 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 227 - - 91 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 212 - - 2387 - - 3744 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1936 - - 2373 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 807 - - 2982 - - 4339 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 236 - - 1580 - - 1169 - - 3959 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 104 - - 329 - - 283 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 39 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 247 - - 319 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2319 - - -3535 - - -3794 - - -5556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3126 - - 6517 - - 8134 - - 6132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9739 - - -8623 - - -8648 - - -12245 ODpotential blCL - - - 10546 - - 11605 - - 12987 - - 12820 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 85 - - 72 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 70.9 - - 74.2 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 44.7 - - 40.9 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 69.5 - - 73.6 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 44.4 - - 40.6 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 227 - - 91 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 212 - - 2387 - - 3744 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97321 2 256 6 262 11 280 5 281 97321 90055 2 308 6 220 6 280 1 204 90055 84501 3 342 2 285 4 222 3 168 84501 79909 5 286 2 355 3 205 3 076 79909 75958 3 234 1 075 3 320 8 037 75958 72467 3 057 2 140 9 280 11 339 72467 69312 11 011 4 005 6 270 12 316 69312 66421 14 332 10 347 3 329 7 293 66421 63741 13 307 12 312 7 329 7 304 63741 61142 15 289 17 288 13 315 12 314 61142 58440 15 289 19 293 15 305 16 303 58440 55641 22 303 20 296 19 295 21 296 55641 52963 27 301 24 301 24 298 25 301 52963 50537 27 295 30 299 28 302 31 308 50537 48348 26 297 30 296 33 299 33 308 48348 46350 26 311 27 298 34 296 34 306 46350 44508 26 319 27 304 35 298 36 303 44508 42796 26 325 29 309 37 304 38 302 42796 41193 25 332 30 311 37 308 38 303 41193 39684 25 336 30 314 36 310 38 305 39684 38258 27 340 30 320 35 311 37 306 38258 36875 30 342 29 326 34 315 37 309 36875 35468 30 339 31 331 34 319 38 312 35468 34008 30 330 31 331 34 323 39 314 34008 32498 29 324 31 329 33 326 38 316 32498 30927 26 321 28 322 33 324 34 324 30927 29284 22 317 25 319 29 321 33 334 29284 27568 17 307 19 313 27 324 30 338 27568 25775 18 317 19 306 23 312 28 350 25775 23914 19 329 19 303 19 308 23 329 23914 21981 17 326 18 314 18 323 20 324 21981 19961 16 323 16 324 16 329 15 345 19961 17847 15 323 15 317 17 318 16 343 17847 15688 11 323 12 316 12 311 14 314 15688 13614 11 328 10 314 10 306 10 302 13614 11730 15 332 14 315 13 317 10 301 11730 10055 18 326 15 304 15 305 9 314 10055 8569 14 330 13 307 14 306 8 320 8569 7252 9 322 11 315 13 311 9 324 7252 6088 8 321 10 329 11 324 8 330 6088 5064 7 319 7 335 7*327 7 333 5064 4166 6 304 5 332 4*321 6 334 4166 3373 6 292 3*304 3 318 4 328 3373 2663 5 279 2*267 3 319 3 318 2663 2036 4 261 2 254 2 318 1 297 2036 1513 4 252 2 245 2 319 1 212 1513 1112 2 252 1 238 2 317 1 173 1112 836 1*142 1 234 2 320 2 167 836 669 1*129 1 231 2 315 2*160 669 574 1 130 1 228 2 317 2*157 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography