DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.6 - - 88.7 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 110 - - 7 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3912 - - 4725 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2837 - - 1440 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4507 - - 5320 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1654 - - 2386 - - 6557 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 337 - - 226 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 24 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 206 - - 211 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 652 - - 1207 - - -2272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3856 - - 4113 - - 2848 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2316 - - -596 - - -3674 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6823 - - 5916 - - 4250 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2360 - - 2810 - - 3350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.6 - - 88.7 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 72.2 - - 72.2 - - 74.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.2 - - 88.9 - - 87.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.9 - - 71.0 - - 73.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 110 - - 7 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3912 - - 4725 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 60 - - 93 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98710 26 091 17 080 14 088 98710 91217 25 080 22 086 15 083 91217 85488 16 079 21 082 16 082 85488 80750 5 067 18 076 21 062 80750 76680 6 086 13 081 22 052 76680 73103 11 104 11 109 15 055 73103 69878 13 092 16 090 13 076 69878 66914 14 089 15 078 17 085 66914 64166 12 098 6 065 14 069 64166 61527 13 111 1 165 3 062 61527 58789 7 116 2 232 4 218 58789 55953 9 183 11 227 12 228 55953 53254 15 233 17 254 23 266 53254 50809 29 233 29 242 31 257 50809 48598 36 251 34 246 41 251 48598 46573 43 257 42 250 45 250 46573 44716 47 257 42 255 44 258 44716 43007 41 254 38 252 43 260 43007 41423 31 245 34 238 37 257 41423 39943 32 229 31 226 39 252 39943 38547 32 218 29 228 34 250 38547 37194 27 225 25 237 24 251 37194 35814 27 233 21 245 20 253 35814 34375 30 240 17 250 24 259 34375 32881 36 251 17 255 29 259 32881 31319 38 261 24 255 32 263 31319 29676 40 262 36 254 34 264 29676 27953 43 262 40 254 40 263 27953 26148 46 258 42 254 41 260 26148 24264 47 255 41 257 38 257 24264 22306 38 240 39 254 33 248 22306 20270 35 234 37 245 31 251 20270 18151 32 241 38 243 34 258 18151 15990 32 238 37 243 35 264 15990 13906 35 227 35 238 35 261 13906 12007 33 224 35 231 32 250 12007 10320 30 225 33 225 31 229 10320 8818 27 226 29 221 35 218 8818 7483 23 228 27 218 34 215 7483 6297 21 232 26*216 34 215 6297 5245 21*225 26*214 33 213 5245 4315 20*209 25 212 29 207 4315 3492 20 207 25 211 28 206 3492 2754 19 206 25 211 27 205 2754 2102 19 206 24 210 26 203 2102 1557 18 205 23 210 24 202 1557 1138 18 205 22 210 21 200 1138 850 17 204 21 209 18 198 850 675 15 204 18 209 15*197 675 575 13 204 14 208 10*196 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography