DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.3 - - 34.4 - - 38.9 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 190 - - 118 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1745 - - 2426 - - 3202 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 1904 - - 2210 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2340 - - 3021 - - 3797 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 865 - - 567 - - 425 - - 2791 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 315 - - 296 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 104 - - 156 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 0 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -477 - - -957 - - -1229 - - -2852 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2817 - - 3978 - - 5026 - - 3424 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16452 - - -15130 - - -14451 - - -15440 ODpotential blCL - - - 18792 - - 18151 - - 18248 - - 16012 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 72 - - 63 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.3 - - 34.4 - - 38.9 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 19.4 - - 19.2 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 33.5 - - 38.2 - - 35.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 18.4 - - 18.3 - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 190 - - 118 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1745 - - 2426 - - 3202 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96555 28 235 23 257 22 240 18 279 96555 89358 4 305 16 251 12 259 18 292 89358 83790 9 308 12 251 13 290 22 290 83790 79173 14 327 5 292 8 263 14 270 79173 75173 21 327 9 334 12 302 9 292 75173 71626 19 323 14 312 23 310 16 324 71626 68434 23 330 18 303 24 304 21 318 68434 65516 26 321 22 308 26 305 26 309 65516 62816 35 317 33 308 35 304 32 302 62816 60199 47 304 43 307 42 308 37 301 60199 57456 49 309 47 307 46 299 44 303 57456 54587 62 309 51 301 49 296 52 297 54587 51842 63 297 59 294 62 291 61 292 51842 49372 63 295 66 290 69 292 71 291 49372 47151 72 293 74 294 80 292 79 289 47151 45123 82 296 80 296 84 292 84 286 45123 43259 89 297 85 294 91 289 86 288 43259 41532 88 297 87 291 94 286 90 289 41532 39924 83 298 87 291 91 285 90 286 39924 38436 78 297 90 290 88 287 92 285 38436 37062 75 296 89 289 88 288 98 286 37062 35751 74 297 87 291 88 290 95 283 35751 34427 76 299 84 297 92 293 91 286 34427 33051 80 300 79 298 89 295 90 289 33051 31620 80 301 78 295 82 297 87 290 31620 30117 76 304 80 293 81 295 83 290 30117 28531 76 306 80 295 80 292 76 293 28531 26861 74 305 73 299 76 294 71 302 26861 25105 73 304 70 299 67 298 69 305 25105 23264 69 305 66 300 60 299 66 303 23264 21345 67 309 62 305 57 300 58 303 21345 19350 67 310 60 307 53 299 55 304 19350 17273 66 312 58 306 52 303 52 304 17273 15160 63 317 54 310 53 306 50 302 15160 13127 54 321 49 318 50 310 45 297 13127 11280 48 328 44 323 46 316 36 300 11280 9642 42 330 38 324 40 320 31 301 9642 8189 39 331 34 323 32 318 27 296 8189 6902 34 336 28 327 26 319 22 295 6902 5768 26 340 19 329 17 316 15 295 5768 4776 20 346 10 331 6 302 9 279 4776 3919 16 003 2 035 6*154 4 182 3919 3176 11 034 4*109 6*153 7 137 3176 2515 10*074 4*107 6 154 10 139 2515 1931 11*071 3 107 5 155 12 140 1931 1445 11 066 3 104 5 157 13 140 1445 1072 10 065 3 103 5 157 13 139 1072 815 10 064 3 099 5 159 12 138 815 660 9 064 2 099 5 159 10*135 660 571 8 063 2 099 4 159 6*133 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography