DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 73.3 - - 78.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 59 - - 25 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1230 - - 1180 - - 2212 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1825 - - 1775 - - 2807 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1432 - - 1171 - - 946 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 167 - - 176 - - 182 - - - W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - 16 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 169 - - 163 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2060 - - 523 - - 851 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3885 - - 1252 - - 1956 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7598 - - 33 - - 105 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 9423 - - 1742 - - 2702 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 260 - - 360 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 73.3 - - 78.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.5 - - 69.3 - - 71.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 73.0 - - 78.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 68.8 - - 70.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 59 - - 25 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1230 - - 1180 - - 2212 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 101 - - 97 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 15 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99564 35 094 38 093 39 076 99564 92081 40 086 40 089 35 084 92081 86291 37 086 35 088 34 099 86291 81492 31 087 30 091 26 098 81492 77372 25 086 25 089 23 097 77372 73728 23 091 19 085 23 088 73728 70424 21 082 15 088 19 088 70424 67388 14 076 11 089 16 088 67388 64587 14 087 9 107 10 096 64587 61895 11 056 8 112 6 132 61895 59098 5 317 1 027 2 245 59098 56223 2 270 9 289 9 290 56223 53516 13 338 9 275 18 296 53516 51110 25 328 19 305 23 286 51110 48972 27 321 20 306 14 277 48972 47019 29 320 20 295 18 293 47019 45203 30 321 25 287 32 288 45203 43505 25 321 27 280 38 273 43505 41907 22 314 27 282 38 270 41907 40397 20 317 33 289 37 265 40397 38965 19 324 36 288 34 260 38965 37577 19 326 26 288 31 259 37577 36162 21 331 26 269 31 257 36162 34689 24 330 28 266 28 249 34689 33163 30 314 27 267 29 252 33163 31571 33 309 26 266 28 257 31571 29896 30 308 26 266 25 259 29896 28136 25 306 25 265 22 259 28136 26294 20 298 25 263 18 259 26294 24373 20 294 23 258 22 264 24373 22379 18 275 20 249 27 265 22379 20305 17 268 18 240 29 267 20305 18151 17 263 19 236 32 275 18151 15967 17 270 21 238 32 276 15967 13869 16 279 23 247 28 287 13869 11958 16 274 25 255 29 280 11958 10257 17 263 24 258 26 261 10257 8748 15 250 24 259 21 263 8748 7409 11 232 26 259 21 258 7409 6218 9 213 26 259 22 242 6218 5165 12 207 24 252 22 222 5165 4240 16 202 25 229 21 195 4240 3428 17 193 26 200 22*178 3428 2705 18 186 25 177 19*167 2705 2068 17*183 23*173 18 165 2068 1535 14*181 19*170 16 163 1535 1126 12 180 16 168 15 161 1126 844 11 180 15 168 14 160 844 673 10 180 13 168 12 159 673 575 8 180 10 168 10 158 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography