DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 0959z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.5 - - 93.0 - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 162 - - 97 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2715 - - 4184 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2078 - - 2839 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3310 - - 4779 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2295 - - 4478 - - 1686 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 319 - - 313 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 217 - - 218 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 17 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -949 - - -511 - - -801 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4259 - - 5291 - - 1377 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2683 - - -1564 - - -3335 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5993 - - 6343 - - 3911 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 78 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2190 - - 2440 - - 3920 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.5 - - 93.0 - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 72.7 - - 71.7 - - 78.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.5 - - 92.2 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 71.9 - - 71.0 - - 77.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 162 - - 97 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2715 - - 4184 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 5 - - 10 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99083 16 119 12 096 12 101 99083 91722 15 108 11 112 16 052 91722 86000 15 108 8 082 15 060 86000 81227 17 106 13 114 12 079 81227 77119 18 101 17 111 10 111 77119 73492 15 095 16 109 9 109 73492 70201 5 102 10 111 8 099 70201 67179 4 234 3 111 3 064 67179 64391 10 187 11 198 5 287 64391 61707 9 182 15 193 11 248 61707 58958 8 239 10 214 13 236 58958 56162 17 215 16 232 16 234 56162 53519 14 224 15 234 20 229 53519 51153 13 252 17 249 18 237 51153 49032 21 293 15 295 10 250 49032 47086 22 232 19 243 17 265 47086 45280 26 211 26 216 23 239 45280 43604 16 207 21 211 26 221 43604 42036 13 213 18 213 24 213 42036 40556 20 233 19 229 21 216 40556 39153 25 246 20 245 19 226 39153 37788 29 248 23 249 19 235 37788 36393 31 247 27 251 21 243 36393 34937 32 250 29 259 22 247 34937 33423 32 255 29 262 22 258 33423 31835 30 260 26 257 22 265 31835 30161 29 261 24 255 20 258 30161 28403 28 257 24 256 21 252 28403 26560 27 251 25 254 23 256 26560 24636 27 249 26 255 26 261 24636 22636 26 248 26 258 26 264 22636 20557 25 248 26 256 24 265 20557 18392 23 246 26 246 22 257 18392 16185 21 240 23 244 17 248 16185 14061 20 231 20 245 14 255 14061 12132 19 231 18 238 12 253 12132 10420 16 232 15 232 12 246 10420 8897 11 225 11 227 13 230 8897 7544 10 236 10 223 14 217 7544 6342 13 231 9 219 14 210 6342 5275 16 236 8*216 13 204 5275 4333 15 233 7*212 12 198 4333 3502 11*226 6 213 11 191 3502 2757 6*214 5 216 10 186 2757 2101 5 216 4 219 8 184 2101 1555 5 217 4 224 4 168 1555 1137 4 219 4 228 3 121 1137 850 4 222 4 229 3 099 850 675 4 223 4 230 3*095 675 575 3 222 3 231 2*092 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography