DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.5 - - 66.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 175 - - 69 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2575 - - 2267 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2002 - - 1131 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3170 - - 2862 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2291 - - 2142 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 319 - - 230 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 301 - - 339 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 178 - - 234 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2992 - - 2628 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -255 - - -402 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3425 - - 3264 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 730 - - 40 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.5 - - 66.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.4 - - 56.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.3 - - 65.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.5 - - 55.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 175 - - 69 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2575 - - 2267 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 95 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97155 63 251 62 251 97155 89753 55 260 51 255 89753 84103 41 257 44 262 84103 79447 31 250 42 262 79447 75440 27 270 39 266 75440 71897 32 281 36 272 71897 68699 33 279 32 275 68699 65756 38 268 34 276 65756 63014 38 265 40 273 63014 60353 37 269 41 265 60353 57574 39 270 40 264 57574 54677 42 269 43 268 54677 51908 44 271 47 271 51908 49417 45 268 47 271 49417 47190 41 264 45 268 47190 45178 38 267 45 263 45178 43351 42 271 47 268 43351 41693 48 271 51 269 41693 40179 52 271 49 262 40179 38763 50 270 44 265 38763 37424 50 276 47 276 37424 36130 56 278 55 281 36130 34813 58 273 63 284 34813 33439 58 270 61 283 33439 32010 57 273 55 281 32010 30511 52 272 51 278 30511 28929 45 265 46 278 28929 27266 40 264 40 276 27266 25519 41 278 39 280 25519 23688 39 285 38 282 23688 21774 36 285 36 279 21774 19775 30 270 32 282 19775 17690 26 261 28 293 17690 15561 33 255 21 296 15561 13509 32 247 16 304 13509 11642 26 257 11 301 11642 9984 20 263 12 284 9984 8513 17 258 15 260 8513 7208 17 248 15 246 7208 6052 17 245 15 243 6052 5033 15 249 11 249 5033 4138 13 262 8 263 4138 3349 12*282 6*304 3349 2644 13*295 8*337 2644 2023 13 297 9 339 2023 1505 14 302 9 340 1505 1108 14 304 9 339 1108 835 14 306 8 339 835 668 13 306 8 339 668 573 11 307 7 339 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography