DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.1 - - 82.8 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 266 - - 114 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2141 - - 2719 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1816 - - 1830 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2736 - - 3314 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 539 - - 2091 - - 1085 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 335 - - 275 - - 2 W* B/S - - - - - - 18 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 266 - - 255 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3352 - - -3642 - - -3834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6088 - - 6956 - - 4410 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7154 - - -6961 - - -8976 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9890 - - 10275 - - 9552 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 57 - - 53 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.1 - - 82.8 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.6 - - 54.4 - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.5 - - 82.0 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.4 - - 54.2 - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 266 - - 114 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2141 - - 2719 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97735 29 281 29 288 24 281 97735 90491 15 281 21 272 27 289 90491 84872 7 274 18 262 27 295 84872 80195 7 290 15 267 17 301 80195 76174 15 306 14 288 12 296 76174 72640 19 296 15 289 14 290 72640 69462 8 280 9 304 11 282 69462 66554 15 305 12 298 11 294 66554 63865 16 283 17 286 19 304 63865 61272 15 280 26 280 21 294 61272 58586 23 282 24 277 26 291 58586 55807 24 284 23 281 26 275 55807 53149 29 295 22 281 27 287 53149 50743 35 299 29 296 31 281 50743 48574 34 305 35 296 31 295 48574 46584 34 319 43 297 38 296 46584 44745 39 323 45 293 46 298 44745 43037 47 317 42 293 55 312 43037 41443 48 313 36 301 68 315 41443 39943 43 309 37 314 72 315 39943 38528 44 306 52 321 68 316 38528 37159 46 312 68 316 62 314 37159 35767 46 320 72 313 58 308 35767 34316 44 317 69 312 60 303 34316 32812 39 314 58 319 49 320 32812 31245 36 318 47 329 41 318 31245 29600 36 319 46 334 38 320 29600 27875 35 320 49 336 34 322 27875 26066 31 326 41 336 26 324 26066 24174 30 322 28 326 23 320 24174 22206 26 316 23 321 28 313 22206 20157 22 318 21 300 26 311 20157 18025 20 311 17 291 20 311 18025 15860 20 309 16 296 18 306 15860 13777 21 306 20 293 20 300 13777 11886 17 310 23 285 27 282 11886 10209 17 315 21 278 25 268 10209 8719 17 315 17 281 21 263 8719 7394 17 315 15 290 19 264 7394 6216 18 320 12 300 18 263 6216 5172 19 317 12 299 17 259 5172 4252 16 324 11 289 15 256 4252 3440 12*321 10*281 13 251 3440 2713 4*284 7*259 9 238 2713 2072 3 268 7 256 7 215 2072 1537 3 264 7 255 7 200 1537 1126 3 260 6 253 6 194 1126 844 3 257 6 253 6 189 844 672 3 257 6 252 5*182 672 575 3 255 5 252 5*178 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography