DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.8 - - 95.6 - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 203 - - 112 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1553 - - 7627 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1321 - - 5446 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2148 - - 8222 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5457 - - 2478 - - 8761 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 280 - - 395 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 277 - - 236 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4296 - - -48 - - -5731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6445 - - 8271 - - 6308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5750 - - -1145 - - -7628 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7898 - - 9367 - - 8204 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 79 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1300 - - 720 - - 830 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.8 - - 95.6 - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.5 - - 61.2 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.6 - - 94.9 - - 91.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.9 - - 60.5 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 203 - - 112 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1553 - - 7627 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 56 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98327 13 092 7 040 12 052 98327 90990 18 072 9 074 17 037 90990 85327 17 058 9 077 16 030 85327 80629 10 029 6 029 9 017 80629 76587 9 012 7 331 9 337 76587 73005 10 340 7 334 10 304 73005 69749 9 306 7 316 9 301 69749 66756 4 309 8 289 8 330 66756 63984 7 350 7 284 6 336 63984 61314 12 329 9 295 9 329 61314 58559 14 301 12 282 14 302 58559 55744 14 270 13 274 14 274 55744 53083 12 273 16 261 13 254 53083 50688 12 264 14 241 14 238 50688 48537 12 222 14 245 18 247 48537 46576 11 235 14 255 22 250 46576 44764 13 265 17 270 23 256 44764 43078 19 267 23 273 33 260 43078 41507 18 268 28 273 38 259 41507 40037 10 283 29 278 35 266 40037 38651 17 359 30 273 29 266 38651 37303 31 358 6 031 11 249 37303 35924 31 352 14 032 4 050 35924 34486 29 357 10 355 4 039 34486 32991 28 009 8 323 7 279 32991 31424 19 346 18 292 10 238 31424 29775 26 316 22 295 17 258 29775 28047 31 310 23 300 22 283 28047 26239 29 307 21 293 20 280 26239 24355 21 301 18 290 19 273 24355 22396 15 302 19 292 20 276 22396 20356 16 297 22 291 22 290 20356 18225 14 273 23 279 26 291 18225 16043 16 250 24 264 26 286 16043 13937 14 248 19 251 24 275 13937 12028 12 241 12 244 19 263 12028 10342 11 232 15 234 23 251 10342 8844 12 230 14*235 21 240 8844 7507 12 232 11*237 15 235 7507 6316 10 236 10 237 12 233 6316 5259 8 250 10 237 10 232 5259 4326 9 263 10 236 9 235 4326 3500 11 271 10 235 9 237 3500 2760 12*274 10 236 8 241 2760 2105 12*275 10 235 8 244 2105 1559 12 276 10 234 8 245 1559 1139 11 277 10 234 7 246 1139 851 10 278 10 235 6 244 851 675 9 278 9 235 5*240 675 575 8 278 8 234 3*231 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography