DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.7 - - 88.6 - - 85.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - 13 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3435 - - 4194 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2313 - - 1670 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4030 - - 4789 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2011 - - 1186 - - 4534 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 232 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 190 - - 180 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1514 - - 1714 - - -1353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2516 - - 3075 - - 1930 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 112 - - 324 - - -2606 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3918 - - 4465 - - 3183 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 87 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 4410 - - 4000 - - 4350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.7 - - 88.6 - - 85.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 77.8 - - 76.4 - - 77.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.3 - - 88.7 - - 86.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 76.5 - - 74.9 - - 76.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - 13 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3435 - - 4194 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 52 - - 49 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 19 - - 18 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99093 31 086 21 097 23 061 99093 91579 24 066 22 079 22 067 91579 85806 19 065 22 074 22 080 85806 81039 17 095 19 083 18 073 81039 76950 21 098 19 088 16 081 76950 73341 17 083 19 082 16 085 73341 70062 9 098 11 076 12 070 70062 67039 7 111 7 073 5 063 67039 64247 7 082 2 133 3 044 64247 61552 4 078 5 210 4 333 61552 58767 14 235 17 251 11 252 58767 55920 19 230 18 244 12 227 55920 53227 18 265 15 271 21 268 53227 50818 34 270 28 268 39 267 50818 48664 40 261 40 259 46 255 48664 46705 44 264 44 257 46 251 46705 44907 44 267 42 260 42 256 44907 43236 39 268 34 267 38 259 43236 41672 32 268 25 267 29 254 41672 40198 26 271 15 268 18 237 40198 38805 27 294 8 276 14 226 38805 37454 26 306 14 299 10 211 37454 36074 25 317 17 299 7 196 36074 34634 25 319 17 305 6 213 34634 33140 22 310 17 307 6 254 33140 31576 22 314 17 298 8 268 31576 29929 23 314 18 283 11 249 29929 28198 23 313 20 280 15 265 28198 26382 22 286 23 290 17 288 26382 24484 25 282 25 293 19 293 24484 22505 20 285 24 283 20 279 22505 20444 20 278 20 284 19 270 20444 18308 20 280 22 277 24 270 18308 16137 19 281 27 279 24 276 16137 14036 19 285 21 275 19 266 14036 12116 19 291 16 272 16 248 12116 10403 19 292 14 281 11 233 10403 8877 21 295 13 275 9 228 8877 7520 13 275 14 254 11 235 7520 6316 12 240 16 229 13 220 6316 5255 12 214 14*202 15 199 5255 4322 12*209 14*191 16 193 4322 3498 11*203 13 184 16 191 3498 2759 10 194 12 180 17 190 2759 2105 9 187 11 178 16 188 2105 1559 9 186 11 176 16 186 1559 1140 8 184 10 175 15 184 1140 851 8 183 10 174 13 181 851 676 7 182 9 174 10*180 676 576 6 181 8 173 7*178 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography