DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.6 - - 82.2 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 220 - - 130 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4679 - - 5721 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3648 - - 4138 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5274 - - 6316 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1293 - - 1811 - - 4918 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 415 - - 377 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 26 - - 26 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 220 - - 213 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -475 - - -7 - - -4429 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5749 - - 6324 - - 5004 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2134 - - -826 - - -8915 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7408 - - 7142 - - 9490 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 88 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 480 - - 980 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.6 - - 82.2 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.4 - - 56.4 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.7 - - 81.6 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 220 - - 130 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4679 - - 5721 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 65 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96606 42 252 42 253 54 261 96606 89272 33 243 41 253 41 263 89272 83670 25 249 34 247 35 259 83670 79043 23 259 30 247 29 263 79043 75090 22 256 20 260 26 266 75090 71606 22 251 22 260 23 268 71606 68436 22 258 23 259 28 271 68436 65530 23 265 25 258 27 265 65530 62844 26 263 26 271 26 271 62844 60229 30 261 33 268 31 271 60229 57490 35 256 40 266 33 269 57490 54632 46 271 47 270 44 275 54632 51886 57 271 55 268 56 273 51886 49408 63 267 58 266 63 264 49408 47195 61 266 56 261 61 258 47195 45211 57 264 53 257 54 260 45211 43421 54 265 48 268 53 266 43421 41795 55 270 50 277 56 267 41795 40294 54 270 58 279 57 266 40294 38883 50 267 59 279 55 267 38883 37545 47 269 55 280 56 270 37545 36243 46 271 49 276 54 272 36243 34914 49 268 46 268 51 270 34914 33529 50 263 46 265 45 269 33529 32090 50 262 47 263 42 275 32090 30584 53 264 47 261 42 281 30584 28996 52 264 48 264 42 284 28996 27329 47 261 47 273 38 289 27329 25583 41 264 42 276 32 294 25583 23760 32 269 34 267 30 291 23760 21863 26 272 26 263 25 281 21863 19887 25 273 24 272 20 265 19887 17823 27 277 24 276 18 276 17823 15711 29 277 26 276 17 278 15711 13667 26 268 26 275 16 274 13667 11800 24 269 24 280 15 281 11800 10135 30 260 30 272 17 284 10135 8651 30 225 33 254 23 264 8651 7331 29 230 27*235 27 246 7331 6163 30*237 27*219 33 226 6163 5131 27*226 27 217 34 218 5131 4221 27 221 27 214 35 213 4221 3418 27 220 27 212 34 210 3418 2698 26 219 27 211 34 206 2698 2061 26 218 26 210 33 203 2061 1530 25 218 26 209 31 200 1530 1122 24 217 25 208 27 197 1122 842 23 217 24 208 22 195 842 672 21 216 22 208 19*194 672 574 17 216 18 207 12*192 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography