DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 72.2 - - 74.3 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 98 - - 88 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 932 - - 2803 - - 3169 - - 968 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 1919 - - 2123 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1527 - - 3398 - - 3764 - - 1563 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1183 - - 1916 - - 2612 - - 4994 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 115 - - 282 - - 286 - - 65 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 14 - - 11 - - 7 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 000 - - 338 - - 027 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 602 - - 1101 - - 679 - - -1062 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 925 - - 2297 - - 3085 - - 2625 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 346 - - 91 - - -715 - - -2748 ODpotential blCL - - - 1181 - - 3307 - - 4479 - - 4311 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 85 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 420 - - 310 - - 490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 72.2 - - 74.3 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.9 - - 64.0 - - 62.7 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 71.7 - - 73.8 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 62.6 - - 61.3 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 98 - - 88 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 932 - - 2803 - - 3169 - - 968 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 96 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98453 15 095 13 074 19 108 11 080 98453 91001 13 098 10 116 6 056 11 043 91001 85261 9 090 7 119 5 068 6 050 85261 80506 5 086 8 078 8 077 8 075 80506 76424 8 090 6 028 8 080 9 042 76424 72821 10 049 5 051 5 063 11 024 72821 69559 8 024 8 095 3 060 9 007 69559 66559 2 038 5 083 4 142 3 335 66559 63772 5 117 3 279 4 262 4 313 63772 61062 2 060 7 185 12 217 9 259 61062 58237 11 263 8 204 13 240 17 230 58237 55322 23 248 18 257 21 256 17 235 55322 52551 36 237 33 239 30 253 23 257 52551 50070 38 223 37 229 37 240 34 248 50070 47872 43 232 40 238 41 234 39 235 47872 45902 54 238 50 243 43 232 38 242 45902 44108 65 231 56 238 46 242 39 242 44108 42456 71 226 57 232 49 245 39 237 42456 40918 74 222 56 231 50 246 41 234 40918 39473 76 221 57 227 49 239 41 228 39473 38103 76 220 58 229 45 233 41 230 38103 36772 74 222 57 226 40 239 41 232 36772 35408 65 221 54 221 40 249 40 234 35408 33982 56 217 47 227 46 255 38 240 33982 32499 43 240 41 238 47 254 38 254 32499 30946 43 258 38 246 43 247 40 257 30946 29317 36 255 34 250 39 238 36 251 29317 27609 34 238 32 235 35 232 34 244 27609 25818 35 231 38 230 40 235 34 241 25818 23945 34 234 38 238 34 252 31 251 23945 21994 30 242 33 248 32 273 27 270 21994 19965 28 237 30 245 26 277 26 289 19965 17851 25 237 26 239 20 262 24 302 17851 15701 19 223 23 244 23 253 14 302 15701 13632 20 230 17 245 20 255 11 264 13632 11752 17 232 7 268 17 273 12 282 11752 10085 12 238 7 311 11 310 12 309 10085 8609 11 262 11 311 8 340 12 008 8609 7301 13 282 12 320 8 348 19 026 7301 6142 12 295 12 336 10 356 17 025 6142 5116 9 299 10 340 10 359 14 022 5116 4211 3 310 8*337 10*002 11 020 4211 3410 4 355 6*334 8*007 8 019 3410 2692 6 001 5 334 6 016 5 020 2692 2058 5*357 3 337 4 033 2*047 2058 1528 2*358 3 342 4 038 2*094 1528 1121 2 359 2 346 4 042 2 109 1121 841 1 001 2 350 4 048 2 114 841 672 1 007 2 353 3 047 2 118 672 575 1 008 2 355 3 050 2 122 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography