DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.4 - - 96.7 - - 88.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 49 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3158 - - 7743 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2340 - - 4967 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3753 - - 8338 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 6047 - - 1665 - - 4607 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 323 - - 331 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 255 - - 197 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2593 - - 714 - - -3903 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6346 - - 7625 - - 4480 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4452 - - -4018 - - -5987 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8205 - - 12356 - - 6564 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 70 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1630 - - 1100 - - 2080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 94.4 - - 96.7 - - 88.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.5 - - 65.2 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 93.5 - - 96.4 - - 90.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.2 - - 63.8 - - 70.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 49 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3158 - - 7743 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98978 5 039 7 125 9 079 98978 91559 6 119 5 084 16 056 91559 85836 11 124 7 062 11 059 85836 81076 11 096 4 077 8 046 81076 76965 11 091 3 014 9 023 76965 73346 10 086 2 041 5 004 73346 70089 7 073 3 108 3 356 70089 67101 8 075 6 110 4 303 67101 64335 2 043 4 068 5 298 64335 61668 8 300 2 299 8 287 61668 58909 18 293 9 282 13 287 58909 56077 20 284 18 274 19 286 56077 53399 18 272 19 273 19 277 53399 50999 19 281 19 291 18 284 50999 48847 24 282 22 290 23 293 48847 46886 25 276 24 281 22 288 46886 45075 19 261 23 260 22 276 45075 43390 13 237 23 244 21 255 43390 41813 10 218 23 227 24 241 41813 40327 12 231 23 212 28 223 40327 38922 20 233 23 218 28 213 38922 37561 26 232 26 234 24 211 37561 36174 24 240 27 239 22 220 36174 34728 14 241 25 244 21 229 34728 33228 12 234 19 242 20 232 33228 31658 13 230 16 246 18 242 31658 30007 12 246 14 253 14 247 30007 28273 13 242 14 244 14 248 28273 26454 17 227 16 238 15 250 26454 24554 17 234 17 239 16 244 24554 22575 13 243 14 244 14 226 22575 20512 12 233 13 237 13 226 20512 18365 18 223 16 233 14 245 18365 16176 19 219 17 227 15 237 16176 14061 16 218 13 231 11 229 14061 12130 14 218 11 250 7 248 12130 10416 9 220 9 243 9 257 10416 8899 5 187 8*219 11 259 8899 7550 3 168 7*210 10 258 7550 6350 2 263 7 207 8 244 6350 5284 5 307 6 203 8 219 5284 4344 6*299 6 198 10 197 4344 3513 6*275 6 194 13 186 3513 2769 6 254 5 191 15 180 2769 2112 6 252 5 187 16 177 2112 1563 6 252 5 184 17 175 1563 1142 5 251 5 183 16 173 1142 852 5 251 4 182 14 170 852 676 5 251 4 181 11*168 676 576 4 251 4 180 6*164 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography