DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.4 - - 52.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 275 - - 159 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1830 - - 2817 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1598 - - 2086 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2425 - - 3412 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 651 - - 1479 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 320 - - 309 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 331 - - 335 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3836 - - -4772 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6262 - - 8185 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12316 - - -12312 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14741 - - 15724 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 76 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.4 - - 52.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 21.4 - - 18.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 44.9 - - 51.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.1 - - 18.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 275 - - 159 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1830 - - 2817 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96177 13 001 21 023 96177 89252 15 052 13 031 89252 83813 14 067 9 009 83813 79238 9 048 10 347 79238 75259 7 008 10 349 75259 71710 12 314 14 349 71710 68480 12 299 20 301 68480 65511 16 323 23 286 65511 62767 29 321 30 292 62767 60113 38 292 39 298 60113 57326 50 279 48 281 57326 54420 54 277 54 280 54420 51644 64 288 63 284 51644 49135 71 286 73 287 49135 46879 74 284 85 286 46879 44832 84 284 93 285 44832 42966 95 282 103 284 42966 41265 107 284 116 288 41265 39714 117 287 132 292 39714 38280 122 288 143 294 38280 36933 125 287 150 294 36933 35625 124 285 151 294 35625 34290 120 287 145 295 34290 32898 115 288 132 294 32898 31452 110 292 122 293 31452 29938 97 293 109 294 29938 28346 87 285 99 293 28346 26673 89 282 90 286 26673 24921 89 282 86 285 24921 23097 80 281 85 288 23097 21202 72 282 76 285 21202 19228 69 287 69 287 19228 17173 67 292 61 294 17173 15082 53 298 51 295 15082 13073 43 307 42 304 13073 11251 35 313 35 313 11251 9640 28 314 29 322 9640 8219 27 323 24 328 8219 6962 27 334 20 331 6962 5851 25 341 19 336 5851 4868 22 344 18 341 4868 4005 20 345 16*342 4005 3245 17 347 12*337 3245 2567 11*344 12 336 2567 1969 8*334 12 335 1969 1470 8 332 11 334 1470 1087 7 330 11 334 1087 824 7 329 10 334 824 664 7 329 10 334 664 572 6 328 9 334 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography