DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 85.3 - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 264 - - 134 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2986 - - 3769 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2453 - - 2739 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3581 - - 4364 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 813 - - 781 - - 4217 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 380 - - 334 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 055 - - 050 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -187 - - -930 - - -3077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3769 - - 5294 - - 3653 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5464 - - -5112 - - -8140 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9045 - - 9476 - - 8716 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 73 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 310 - - 200 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 85.3 - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.9 - - 64.0 - - 66.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.2 - - 84.5 - - 81.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.2 - - 63.1 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 264 - - 134 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2986 - - 3769 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 47 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98937 7 085 10 102 14 094 98937 91484 6 141 5 123 6 066 91484 85694 14 134 4 155 3 111 85694 80893 8 085 8 118 4 122 80893 76784 3 046 12 071 9 112 76784 73175 4 087 7 051 7 042 73175 69920 11 067 6 058 10 031 69920 66938 15 060 7 061 12 030 66938 64182 11 051 2 025 7 357 64182 61515 10 028 6 063 2 334 61515 58746 11 342 10 347 11 356 58746 55900 16 323 15 325 19 333 55900 53211 29 334 24 328 20 329 53211 50807 35 319 37 330 49 319 50807 48655 45 317 50 325 49 318 48655 46693 46 311 49 316 39 313 46693 44886 37 320 39 304 36 306 44886 43207 35 342 29 310 27 307 43207 41635 41 351 31 320 35 326 41635 40156 46 339 32 306 44 324 40156 38757 44 330 27 309 41 324 38757 37398 46 328 28 321 35 324 37398 36010 43 338 30 322 38 328 36010 34564 40 352 34 310 40 328 34564 33060 33 355 29 354 30 310 33060 31483 30 337 27 341 20 296 31483 29819 31 329 31 328 22 298 29819 28068 27 329 29 328 27 310 28068 26235 21 325 29 334 27 322 26235 24327 21 334 29 337 22 334 24327 22347 21 338 28 342 21 346 22347 20290 24 338 29 350 22 004 20290 18153 23 327 22 359 17 015 18153 15982 22 341 17 006 13 009 15982 13893 16 355 17 003 14 354 13893 11988 15 002 19 358 17 355 11988 10290 16 004 19 355 18 356 10290 8777 18 006 17 004 16 002 8777 7432 19 007 16 011 12 003 7432 6238 17 014 13 012 8 351 6238 5187 14 036 9*043 7 059 5187 4266 14*053 9*050 12 064 4266 3452 14*053 10 051 13 060 3452 2724 14 054 10 050 13 057 2724 2079 14 055 10 050 14 055 2079 1542 14 055 10 050 14 052 1542 1129 13 055 9 051 13 050 1129 846 12 055 9 050 12 049 846 674 12 055 9 050 9*048 674 575 10 055 8 050 6*046 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography