DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.6 - - 87.9 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 246 - - 102 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2962 - - 4739 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2412 - - 3284 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3557 - - 5334 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1695 - - 4933 - - 5265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 371 - - 333 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 23 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 233 - - 207 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - 29 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -962 - - -1768 - - -3841 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4519 - - 7102 - - 4417 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3104 - - -4115 - - -6368 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6661 - - 9449 - - 6944 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 92 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2420 - - 1230 - - 1870 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.6 - - 87.9 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.5 - - 58.7 - - 63.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.1 - - 87.5 - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.8 - - 57.8 - - 63.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 246 - - 102 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2962 - - 4739 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 96 - - 68 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96814 30 269 35 281 26 289 96814 89571 21 271 25 273 29 289 89571 84066 15 267 19 266 28 279 84066 79521 15 263 19 259 21 284 79521 75589 10 234 17 231 19 270 75589 72093 11 249 14 232 18 237 72093 68918 12 250 15 260 18 247 68918 65991 21 252 22 256 23 244 65991 63253 26 251 27 258 26 245 63253 60587 36 254 31 254 28 263 60587 57811 37 249 40 246 42 261 57811 54945 36 250 43 246 48 242 54945 52222 52 260 47 251 46 246 52222 49778 65 256 58 260 52 258 49778 47595 75 253 70 259 68 261 47595 45631 85 252 83 259 83 257 45631 43850 91 248 93 257 86 255 43850 42213 86 243 92 255 85 256 42213 40689 77 243 86 257 81 259 40689 39259 72 248 82 259 79 262 39259 37903 71 252 79 260 80 262 37903 36586 72 254 75 260 80 261 36586 35239 71 254 72 260 81 260 35239 33835 70 254 68 260 81 259 33835 32375 68 253 67 260 79 260 32375 30843 67 254 66 260 73 260 30843 29231 69 254 66 259 64 259 29231 27538 69 254 65 258 56 260 27538 25765 65 258 63 257 52 261 25765 23914 58 256 58 257 48 259 23914 21990 52 252 51 256 44 252 21990 19988 48 249 45 258 40 253 19988 17905 43 251 40 259 39 260 17905 15783 36 251 36 249 40 266 15783 13737 36 248 35 253 39 263 13737 11873 34 242 39 250 36 254 11873 10211 32 239 40 237 34 244 10211 8729 29 237 39 229 33 237 8729 7407 28 238 36 229 35 234 7407 6231 28 241 31*224 35 225 6231 5189 28 245 28*219 34 213 5189 4269 24*246 27 215 33 208 4269 3455 17*240 25 210 32 207 3455 2726 14 234 23 205 31 203 2726 2082 13 232 22 201 29 200 2082 1543 12 231 22 199 26 196 1543 1130 12 231 21 199 23 194 1130 846 11 230 20 198 19 191 846 673 11 229 18 197 15*190 673 575 9 230 15 197 10*188 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography