DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.8 - - 76.0 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 270 - - 130 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2979 - - 3547 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2440 - - 2503 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3574 - - 4142 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1124 - - 667 - - 390 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 377 - - 314 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 183 - - 193 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4883 - - -4611 - - -5421 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8458 - - 8754 - - 5997 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12691 - - -11653 - - -14269 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16265 - - 15795 - - 14844 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 40 - - 39 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.8 - - 76.0 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.0 - - 39.9 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.1 - - 75.3 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.5 - - 39.4 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 270 - - 130 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2979 - - 3547 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97964 27 232 32 246 31 247 97964 90585 20 252 27 238 26 265 90585 84897 16 255 20 258 17 274 84897 80169 11 268 15 259 13 259 80169 76097 7 289 10 256 12 264 76097 72516 9 323 7 263 9 280 72516 69295 12 323 9 301 9 314 69295 66345 16 304 17 306 14 321 66345 63615 17 288 21 300 17 304 63615 60974 15 297 19 288 17 290 60974 58218 21 293 21 285 20 282 58218 55353 26 291 26 282 23 285 55353 52612 28 287 28 276 28 284 52612 50142 31 280 28 276 31 279 50142 47925 34 278 29 278 30 273 47925 45915 38 277 30 279 29 271 45915 44077 39 275 33 278 28 276 44077 42383 38 273 37 276 29 279 42383 40810 38 269 40 272 32 279 40810 39341 35 267 39 269 30 276 39341 37962 33 281 33 278 26 283 37962 36630 36 287 37 288 29 303 36630 35276 36 285 38 286 36 311 35276 33870 31 286 37 287 40 312 33870 32409 29 294 35 290 40 311 32409 30877 29 296 35 293 36 307 30877 29262 27 294 34 294 31 306 29262 27566 25 295 33 293 29 307 27566 25787 23 298 31 291 30 305 25787 23932 21 300 28 292 30 302 23932 22005 21 296 24 291 25 306 22005 19998 25 288 21 295 20 307 19998 17900 25 279 18 306 17 310 17900 15749 22 272 17 309 17 313 15749 13668 19 267 18 294 18 320 13668 11774 17 259 16 284 16 320 11774 10093 15 263 14 268 15 301 10093 8601 12 262 12 247 14 276 8601 7279 13 247 13 234 14 254 7279 6109 11 233 13 221 14 244 6109 5078 6 224 12 205 13 236 5078 4174 5*209 11*195 12 228 4174 3378 7*187 10*194 10 218 3378 2667 7 185 10 193 9 204 2667 2039 8 183 10 193 9 194 2039 1516 8 183 10 192 10 189 1516 1114 7 181 10 192 10 185 1114 837 7 180 10 192 10 182 837 669 7 180 9 192 9*177 669 574 6 180 8 191 6*172 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography