DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 53.6 - - 60.2 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 270 - - 166 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 874 - - 2157 - - 2863 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 1837 - - 2159 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1469 - - 2752 - - 3458 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 329 - - 653 - - 934 - - 1287 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 339 - - 319 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 107 - - 120 - - 140 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2177 - - -3284 - - -3059 - - -3441 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3646 - - 6037 - - 6518 - - 4015 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12249 - - -11313 - - -9728 - - -10720 ODpotential blCL - - - 13718 - - 14065 - - 13186 - - 11294 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 97 - - 80 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 53.6 - - 60.2 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 29.4 - - 33.7 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 52.3 - - 59.4 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.8 - - 28.6 - - 32.9 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 270 - - 166 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 874 - - 2157 - - 2863 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 89 - - 22 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96414 21 248 14 260 25 257 28 266 96414 89224 10 257 13 246 23 240 25 273 89224 83684 13 287 11 259 13 255 16 251 83684 79060 14 278 12 267 11 287 10 274 79060 75053 11 275 16 249 13 293 11 280 75053 71510 10 281 15 248 16 278 14 288 71510 68298 13 284 14 265 15 266 14 276 68298 65347 18 282 15 272 17 261 17 292 65347 62617 22 299 17 252 19 249 19 255 62617 59966 26 288 27 283 23 291 30 292 59966 57190 35 275 41 286 40 291 40 291 57190 54300 45 279 52 277 57 286 52 288 54300 51543 56 281 53 275 56 280 58 280 51543 49068 58 284 56 282 55 282 59 279 49068 46862 67 288 64 286 65 285 63 287 46862 44873 75 282 72 280 71 281 74 285 44873 43061 80 276 73 270 73 275 72 278 43061 41403 84 274 73 263 71 268 67 275 41403 39871 87 271 72 257 68 265 61 273 39871 38441 88 266 70 258 66 265 59 271 38441 37096 89 266 71 258 64 267 58 270 37096 35793 89 267 70 259 61 268 57 269 35793 34464 84 267 65 262 59 269 55 268 34464 33079 77 268 60 264 57 270 53 269 33079 31640 72 269 57 266 55 271 53 273 31640 30132 68 268 54 268 52 271 52 276 30132 28547 60 268 50 272 47 269 50 276 28547 26887 54 270 49 272 42 266 44 273 26887 25153 52 271 47 271 39 268 38 267 25153 23345 54 270 45 269 37 275 34 263 23345 21463 55 268 44 273 35 277 32 264 21463 19499 51 268 44 273 35 273 31 263 19499 17450 42 273 40 264 34 268 30 258 17450 15361 37 276 39 250 38 249 28 261 15361 13346 36 259 35 244 37 247 26 272 13346 11505 42 250 32 245 31 246 26 261 11505 9864 44 240 33 243 29 242 24 254 9864 8408 36 240 32 236 30 237 27 244 8408 7119 33 241 31 228 28 232 29 241 7119 5979 25 226 29 217 27 218 29 217 5979 4973 16 187 24 190 26 201 32 202 4973 4088 18 145 27 163 21*171 32 184 4088 3309 18 122 25*147 19*143 30 172 3309 2614 18 115 19*122 19 141 26 161 2614 2000 22*110 19 121 19 140 23 146 2000 1490 20*108 19 120 18 139 20 139 1490 1098 18 107 18 120 18 139 18 133 1098 829 17 107 17 119 17 138 15 129 829 666 16 107 16 119 16 138 12*126 666 573 12 106 14 118 13 138 6*121 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography