DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 87.9 - - 90.0 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 273 - - 145 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 659 - - 5633 - - 5702 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 4476 - - 4176 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1254 - - 6228 - - 6297 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 578 - - 1071 - - 1044 - - 4986 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 471 - - 386 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 27 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 325 - - 349 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4629 - - -1613 - - -3461 - - -6604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5884 - - 7841 - - 9758 - - 7180 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10249 - - -5938 - - -7304 - - -10576 ODpotential blCL - - - 11503 - - 12166 - - 13601 - - 11152 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 51 - - 54 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 87.9 - - 90.0 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 55.5 - - 49.2 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.2 - - 86.2 - - 89.0 - - 84.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 54.8 - - 48.4 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 273 - - 145 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 659 - - 5633 - - 5702 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 9 072 2 160 1 060 5 189 98173 90827 10 042 10 143 5 232 2 263 90827 85155 6 019 9 145 2 159 1 020 85155 80451 6 101 7 131 5 133 4 360 80451 76415 13 106 6 085 5 131 9 003 76415 72853 10 089 9 080 2 160 10 352 72853 69618 7 060 8 081 2 182 6 307 69618 66625 4 058 5 040 5 131 7 237 66625 63840 3 041 6 325 6 119 6 213 63840 61160 3 333 6 294 3 040 2 180 61160 58386 4 318 3 259 6 297 3 299 58386 55512 5 294 2 240 6 259 7 277 55512 52772 7 270 5 260 8 273 7 285 52772 50316 4 221 11 254 13 274 11 293 50316 48115 4 033 11 247 11 251 10 263 48115 46115 13 324 5 248 9 231 8 236 46115 44288 20 314 5 299 5 231 11 237 44288 42605 12 294 7 254 5 287 6 193 42605 41048 7 286 8 203 9 281 3 011 41048 39593 5 348 5 077 4 294 4 006 39593 38217 10 023 13 059 3 051 7 013 38217 36881 11 044 16 052 7 051 9 022 36881 35519 7 076 18 048 10 056 9 032 35519 34101 4 105 15 053 8 065 8 046 34101 32632 4 111 8 070 4 081 5 089 32632 31096 4 128 4 173 1 217 4 128 31096 29478 9 122 5 183 4 237 3 144 29478 27779 9 101 2 168 4 248 2 158 27779 25998 7 081 1 025 1 331 1 214 25998 24136 9 097 1 121 1 062 2 270 24136 22196 11 100 1 137 2 131 4 296 22196 20172 9 099 1 252 3 166 5 304 20172 18059 2 036 5 267 4 232 6 299 18059 15899 5 347 3 285 4 227 5 276 15899 13819 8 008 4 050 1 237 4 298 13819 11931 9 003 9 033 6 015 5 353 11931 10251 12 357 12 017 12 009 7 008 10251 8755 13 354 12 010 14 359 9 012 8755 7421 13 001 8*359 9*341 9 357 7421 6237 13 359 4*338 5*335 7 334 6237 5190 12 005 3 318 4 339 5 329 5190 4270 9 013 3 318 4 343 4 345 4270 3455 7 012 3 320 5 348 4 001 3455 2725 7 005 3 324 5 353 5 015 2725 2081 7 003 3 325 5 356 5 026 2081 1543 4*037 3 329 5 358 6 033 1543 1130 4*059 3 333 5 359 6 037 1130 846 4 061 3 334 4 360 7 040 846 673 4 061 3 335 4 001 6*040 673 575 4 063 2 335 4 360 4*040 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography