DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 53.8 - - 53.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 283 - - 244 - - 532 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 878 - - 839 - - 1127 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 677 - - 864 - - 869 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 47 - - 34 - - 55 - - - W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 14 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 060 - - 060 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 255 - - 266 - - 434 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 623 - - 573 - - 693 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 15 - - 21 - - 108 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 863 - - 818 - - 1019 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 50 - - 80 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 53.8 - - 53.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 53.1 - - 52.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 54.0 - - 53.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 53.0 - - 52.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 283 - - 244 - - 532 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95979 22 321 21 320 17 325 95979 89028 14 354 18 344 22 334 89028 83646 14 349 12 007 17 317 83646 79155 19 340 16 351 18 320 79155 75257 16 334 17 327 22 327 75257 71799 11 319 16 304 21 326 71799 68671 15 335 19 291 23 314 68671 65796 24 321 23 288 23 294 65796 63123 25 307 20 296 26 291 63123 60527 33 302 27 316 28 295 60527 57822 41 288 35 303 36 285 57822 55024 44 283 38 290 42 280 55024 52350 46 282 47 287 47 285 52350 49927 45 286 58 282 53 279 49927 47741 51 290 60 278 59 265 47741 45742 66 287 58 280 58 265 45742 43891 73 281 63 278 59 271 43891 42166 74 275 75 275 65 271 42166 40560 70 269 81 272 71 268 40560 39061 67 267 76 266 71 264 39061 37653 68 265 71 263 69 260 37653 36292 69 262 76 263 68 258 36292 34906 68 263 82 261 71 257 34906 33470 68 263 83 259 82 256 33470 31987 66 260 80 260 91 254 31987 30443 64 256 74 260 88 254 30443 28825 63 255 66 257 82 256 28825 27133 61 257 58 251 72 254 27133 25366 57 258 53 251 62 251 25366 23525 52 256 53 253 57 251 23525 21612 48 250 54 250 55 250 21612 19614 38 245 51 243 52 252 19614 17528 30 241 47 238 50 246 17528 15405 37 230 42 237 46 238 15405 13371 42 220 35 236 42 241 13371 11529 38 212 32 230 36 240 11529 9891 30 194 27 246 35 245 9891 8432 18 182 24 252 34 244 8432 7134 8 149 19 228 30 249 7134 5982 8 109 17 187 23 256 5982 4966 14 095 18 137 10 226 4966 4075 18 089 21 104 11 154 4075 3294 19 086 22 094 19 109 3294 2600 15 087 20 096 21 095 2600 1989 15 102 17 101 19 086 1989 1482 17 104 14 097 18*064 1482 1094 16*100 12*075 17*061 1094 827 12*097 10*062 15 060 827 665 11 096 9 060 13 059 665 573 8 095 7 059 10 058 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography