DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 75.8 - - 73.4 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 50 - - 17 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1768 - - 1550 - - 389 - - 618 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2363 - - 2145 - - 984 - - 1213 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3249 - - 1525 - - 1460 - - 2253 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 208 - - 182 - - 78 - - 66 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - 9 - - 6 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 097 - - 139 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 86 - - 755 - - 381 - - 382 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2277 - - 1390 - - 603 - - 831 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -951 - - 314 - - 79 - - -71 ODpotential blCL - - - 3314 - - 1831 - - 905 - - 1284 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 1500 - - 840 - - 840 - - 1540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 75.8 - - 73.4 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.9 - - 71.3 - - 72.0 - - 73.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 75.4 - - 73.3 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.1 - - 70.7 - - 71.9 - - 72.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 50 - - 17 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1768 - - 1550 - - 389 - - 618 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 96 - - 101 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99160 51 094 38 103 33 083 37 086 99160 91661 38 082 39 095 34 092 29 089 91661 85874 28 078 32 083 33 092 27 092 85874 81082 21 095 22 072 28 082 26 080 81082 76968 20 103 15 083 24 090 21 077 76968 73338 18 107 15 093 21 098 21 088 73338 70063 18 100 16 106 16 103 16 093 70063 67063 18 099 17 113 11 106 10 090 67063 64286 18 104 11 100 10 116 6 083 64286 61603 14 104 7 073 7 103 7 123 61603 58817 7 102 4 040 2 096 5 142 58817 55949 8 239 4 225 5 293 3 221 55949 53226 16 230 16 233 13 260 11 277 53226 50778 21 221 28 219 26 234 24 271 50778 48587 23 232 29 219 37 220 35 255 48587 46604 31 238 32 230 36 226 44 237 46604 44792 37 239 37 240 38 236 47 231 44792 43115 38 236 40 242 41 244 51 232 43115 41547 40 239 41 237 43 243 54 232 41547 40068 42 241 41 236 45 238 54 236 40068 38667 38 233 41 236 46 232 55 238 38667 37309 33 222 39 230 44 228 55 235 37309 35925 30 218 34 227 42 232 50 236 35925 34481 28 218 33 226 38 231 45 240 34481 32978 30 221 32 227 30 228 41 243 32978 31403 29 223 31 230 27 232 38 240 31403 29744 27 225 30 232 29 235 39 237 29744 28000 29 232 27 235 25 235 32 237 28000 26175 35 236 27 241 24 237 23 234 26175 24269 36 235 23 240 25 245 24 241 24269 22292 34 229 23 227 25 251 19 274 22292 20238 34 224 23 226 25 256 19 300 20238 18097 30 227 26 220 27 260 20 288 18097 15909 25 224 26 218 26 250 21 273 15909 13805 22 215 24 220 24 240 13 274 13805 11902 14 220 22 224 21 235 12 263 11902 10216 9 226 22 222 16 229 10 263 10216 8717 8 220 21 220 14 221 9 268 8717 7385 7 227 18 221 12 212 8 263 7385 6204 5 231 15 219 11 203 10 244 6204 5161 3 156 11 209 10 199 12 233 5161 4242 5 130 8 186 9 196 11 229 4242 3432 6 138 6 148 8 197 10 226 3432 2707 6*151 5*132 7 199 9 222 2707 2067 6*163 3*128 6 202 7 224 2067 1533 5 165 3 096 4 192 5*226 1533 1124 5 166 3 090 2*169 3*237 1124 843 5 167 3 086 2*142 2 246 843 672 4 167 2 084 2 140 2 248 672 575 4 169 2 082 1 132 2 252 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography