DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.0 - - 81.7 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 73 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5648 - - 5590 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4212 - - 3759 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6243 - - 6185 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1207 - - 1901 - - 6143 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 400 - - 332 - - 21 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 206 - - 196 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1450 - - 1063 - - -3081 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4793 - - 5122 - - 3657 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 301 - - -394 - - -4637 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5942 - - 6579 - - 5213 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 78 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 60 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.0 - - 81.7 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.0 - - 61.3 - - 63.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.3 - - 81.5 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.7 - - 59.9 - - 62.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 73 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5648 - - 5590 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 37 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98755 10 108 9 109 12 128 98755 91221 19 114 17 079 11 085 91221 85450 15 120 11 091 14 058 85450 80690 13 123 9 102 16 061 80690 76612 14 120 10 092 12 073 76612 73004 17 102 13 097 7 067 73004 69730 15 089 11 096 9 055 69730 66732 13 075 8 086 11 067 66732 63964 9 043 5 077 7 048 63964 61291 9 351 5 042 6 353 61291 58505 8 330 7 316 14 313 58505 55613 10 315 13 298 13 298 55613 52851 11 279 12 277 13 285 52851 50369 16 256 14 256 17 272 50369 48177 15 223 17 236 20 256 48177 46223 14 218 18 210 24 237 46223 44443 20 220 23 211 28 234 44443 42798 23 207 30 206 29 232 42798 41260 28 204 33 201 30 234 41260 39809 29 203 34 197 34 234 39809 38432 30 205 33 200 33 228 38432 37092 29 210 31 207 31 219 37092 35721 28 216 29 213 31 214 35721 34289 27 222 27 220 31 212 34289 32799 27 227 27 226 30 214 32799 31240 26 231 30 229 29 223 31240 29598 28 230 33 230 32 225 29598 27874 29 225 32 228 32 220 27874 26068 26 217 30 226 29 216 26068 24182 25 215 28 225 30 218 24182 22221 25 220 27 227 29 222 22221 20179 27 228 27 234 28 221 20179 18050 26 231 27 235 28 224 18050 15874 24 226 25 233 24 227 15874 13775 21 221 21 232 19 224 13775 11868 18 213 17 225 17 214 11868 10178 17 206 17 208 17 225 10178 8684 13 200 15 212 16 249 8684 7363 12*217 15 215 16 239 7363 6194 13*221 15*211 15 216 6194 5158 13 220 15*203 16 196 5158 4244 13 208 15 200 18 188 4244 3436 13 204 15 197 18 185 3436 2711 13 200 15 196 18 183 2711 2071 12 198 15 194 18 182 2071 1536 12 196 14 193 18 181 1536 1126 12 195 14 192 16 179 1126 844 11 194 14 192 14 177 844 673 11 194 13 191 12*176 673 575 9 193 11 191 8*174 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography