DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 59.9 - - 59.0 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 72 - - 29 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 972 - - 1638 - - 1113 - - 1091 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 557 - - 556 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1567 - - 2233 - - 1708 - - 1686 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1175 - - 1108 - - 1360 - - 1567 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 198 - - 129 - - 77 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 20 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 137 - - 134 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 362 - - 172 - - 233 - - 151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1205 - - 2061 - - 1475 - - 1535 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -128 - - 257 - - 245 - - -36 ODpotential blCL - - - 1695 - - 1976 - - 1463 - - 1722 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 59.9 - - 59.0 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 53.1 - - 54.7 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 59.5 - - 58.9 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 53.1 - - 54.6 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 72 - - 29 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 972 - - 1638 - - 1113 - - 1091 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96350 73 262 72 261 72 265 65 267 96350 89374 42 272 44 265 51 265 48 272 89374 83969 28 289 26 271 33 263 38 283 83969 79484 23 294 20 274 19 274 26 284 79484 75596 25 296 24 292 16 292 16 286 75596 72128 29 297 25 298 22 297 15 310 72128 68963 31 299 22 298 26 299 22 311 68963 66035 27 301 20 291 29 296 29 299 66035 63305 25 298 21 289 29 291 30 297 63305 60648 28 293 27 286 26 293 28 294 60648 57876 30 293 28 285 24 298 24 301 57876 55007 28 294 30 291 29 296 32 304 55007 52299 29 290 33 286 37 297 44 295 52299 49907 27 285 36 292 51 286 41 297 49907 47788 27 305 40 299 41 278 49 307 47788 45867 41 324 41 318 29 294 50 317 45867 44099 55 322 61 332 48 322 73 328 44099 42460 65 315 83 326 94 325 93 316 42460 40930 64 313 108 326 111 319 90 308 40930 39491 50 310 105 325 110 320 82 307 39491 38124 31 305 94 329 95 322 79 307 38124 36792 27 313 93 335 87 324 77 310 36792 35428 23 307 82 340 84 328 71 313 35428 34003 15 300 47 335 76 331 73 315 34003 32521 12 287 29 305 60 332 62 318 32521 30973 15 266 26 293 46 324 49 322 30973 29349 27 243 20 295 37 319 37 317 29349 27644 28 239 16 284 36 322 33 315 27644 25854 20 241 17 281 37 325 29 307 25854 23979 14 235 20 283 30 317 25 300 23979 22020 15 239 22 278 22 302 24 304 22020 19971 15 246 19 266 21 291 23 301 19971 17835 14 253 17 258 21 281 21 296 17835 15661 16 257 15 267 19 273 18 291 15661 13570 17 252 11 279 16 259 14 278 13570 11674 13 277 10 293 11 241 13 270 11674 9996 1 315 3 203 8 253 14 259 9996 8509 9 150 11 137 7 254 10 258 8509 7188 18 159 22 130 6 222 6 248 7188 6020 27 155 29 125 14 159 6 186 6020 4995 28 155 27 127 14 151 10 154 4995 4103 31 154 24 141 12 156 10 146 4103 3319 33 148 29 140 17 153 12 149 3319 2620 30 139 28*138 18 144 12 147 2620 2005 24*133 23*137 17*140 12*144 2005 1493 19*131 21 137 14*135 11*142 1493 1101 17 130 20 137 14 133 10 141 1101 831 15 130 18 137 13 133 10 140 831 667 12 129 16 137 11 133 8 140 667 573 9 128 13 137 9 132 7 141 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography