DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.0 - - 39.9 - - 45.3 - - 36.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 184 - - 126 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 714 - - 1466 - - 1955 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 1212 - - 1346 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1309 - - 2061 - - 2550 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 487 - - 389 - - 336 - - 1640 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 129 - - 264 - - 254 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 140 - - 147 - - 137 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -886 - - -2209 - - -1711 - - -1635 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2195 - - 4270 - - 4261 - - 2207 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14056 - - -13092 - - -10457 - - -12395 ODpotential blCL - - - 15365 - - 15153 - - 13007 - - 12967 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 73 - - 79 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.0 - - 39.9 - - 45.3 - - 36.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 23.6 - - 29.0 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 39.0 - - 44.7 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.2 - - 22.6 - - 28.5 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 184 - - 126 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 714 - - 1466 - - 1955 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 0 - - 15 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96524 19 241 21 244 22 267 24 258 96524 89390 6 335 8 249 11 292 12 310 89390 83872 10 332 5 292 10 325 14 348 83872 79268 14 344 5 317 10 312 12 346 79268 75276 13 316 9 347 7 299 13 339 75276 71737 13 309 15 332 10 315 16 336 71737 68537 17 327 15 304 17 326 20 322 68537 65601 22 307 18 299 22 312 24 318 65601 62883 24 300 27 308 31 300 30 306 62883 60245 33 303 33 300 36 293 39 291 60245 57478 39 291 41 296 40 289 43 285 57478 54595 47 286 51 300 49 292 51 288 54595 51839 59 282 61 287 61 289 59 287 51839 49349 63 282 64 279 66 283 63 286 49349 47098 67 280 64 278 66 279 66 286 47098 45043 70 279 64 278 63 275 68 285 45043 43153 64 285 61 280 61 275 69 283 43153 41408 67 287 61 283 62 277 69 279 41408 39791 77 280 70 280 65 277 65 277 39791 38287 79 275 79 280 67 277 61 277 38287 36885 81 284 95 279 68 274 57 279 36885 35549 112 285 102 273 74 273 50 285 35549 34203 130 279 102 271 78 273 45 289 34203 32817 119 279 95 272 79 271 37 288 32817 31396 95 282 85 272 72 268 31 289 31396 29919 85 280 90 270 63 270 29 293 29919 28366 84 280 91 268 61 274 33 290 28366 26734 76 283 83 276 59 278 32 285 26734 25019 68 281 74 280 46 283 28 285 25019 23223 60 283 50 286 33 288 21 304 23223 21346 56 282 37 283 32 296 17 301 21346 19382 51 285 35 286 29 297 20 297 19382 17330 39 290 31 290 28 291 23 300 17330 15234 37 295 30 289 29 283 26 299 15234 13213 34 302 30 284 33 276 28 298 13213 11373 36 296 31 283 35 270 29 300 11373 9735 35 284 32 285 31 274 29 295 9735 8280 28 268 30 285 28 279 29 291 8280 6989 16 274 25 277 24 272 25 287 6989 5848 19 289 20 245 23 262 23 278 5848 4843 23 283 13 250 18 249 21 269 4843 3966 23 260 16 261 11 246 15 245 3966 3200 25 232 17 234 9*209 12 214 3200 2525 27 201 17*184 13*146 14 163 2525 1936 25 167 16*148 14 137 18 128 1936 1448 21*147 16 147 14 135 20 114 1448 1074 19*141 16 147 14 134 19 110 1074 817 18 140 15 146 13 133 17 107 817 661 16 140 14 146 12 133 15*106 661 571 13 139 12 146 10 132 10*105 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography