DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 25.3 - - 27.0 - - 18.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - 34 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 832 - - 1510 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1427 - - 2105 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1283 - - 1167 - - 1922 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 147 - - 155 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 039 - - 005 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1515 - - -1404 - - -1066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2942 - - 3509 - - 1637 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10931 - - -10489 - - -11246 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12358 - - 12594 - - 11817 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 97 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 25.3 - - 27.0 - - 18.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 14.8 - - 13.9 - - 13.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 25.1 - - 26.8 - - 20.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 13.6 - - 12.7 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - 34 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 832 - - 1510 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 70 - - 87 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95501 82 236 80 232 99 242 95501 88264 81 242 82 247 81 253 88264 82795 77 255 70 260 70 262 82795 78244 74 267 69 270 67 271 78244 74276 73 275 68 280 64 281 74276 70750 73 281 70 280 67 285 70750 67555 74 284 69 278 70 283 67555 64621 72 282 72 284 69 284 64621 61907 69 282 77 286 71 288 61907 59285 70 286 80 283 76 288 59285 56549 76 287 80 278 79 284 56549 53695 80 282 78 276 78 279 53695 50947 77 281 79 277 77 275 50947 48447 75 282 81 276 77 274 48447 46186 77 281 81 276 78 274 46186 44121 80 276 80 278 78 273 44121 42225 82 277 77 281 76 274 42225 40476 85 277 75 281 73 277 40476 38859 82 274 76 281 72 280 38859 37359 82 271 79 279 72 280 37359 35966 82 268 78 276 70 280 35966 34643 84 267 74 274 66 280 34643 33321 90 266 67 273 49 281 33321 31964 88 266 42 281 38 290 31964 30561 75 266 32 308 37 298 30561 29091 67 266 32 310 36 298 29091 27544 55 267 33 306 37 299 27544 25925 50 275 37 296 39 298 25925 24229 51 278 43 287 41 299 24229 22454 52 276 48 280 41 296 22454 20606 53 277 48 280 41 289 20606 18683 54 280 51 278 42 282 18683 16684 56 281 52 277 46 281 16684 14650 54 281 50 277 46 279 14650 12690 49 286 45 274 43 274 12690 10907 42 287 38 278 36 277 10907 9323 35 281 34 277 31 279 9323 7923 27 286 28 279 26 282 7923 6689 16 299 19 288 19 290 6689 5604 11 309 13 298 14 292 5604 4653 9 308 9 291 9 306 4653 3822 7 303 7 285 6 318 3822 3096 4 304 4 275 5 349 3096 2452 2 262 3*317 8 034 2452 1886 0*231 6*006 12 033 1886 1416 4*043 6 006 14 029 1416 1055 4 040 6 005 15 028 1055 807 4 037 6 005 13 025 807 656 4 037 6 005 11*024 656 570 4 037 5 004 6*021 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography