DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.3 - - 92.6 - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 95 - - 23 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3599 - - 5901 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2549 - - 3383 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4194 - - 6496 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3828 - - 3013 - - 7904 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 317 - - 282 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 203 - - 200 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 180 - - 1774 - - -2688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4014 - - 4723 - - 3266 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1324 - - 198 - - -4354 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5518 - - 6298 - - 4931 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 79 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3350 - - 3410 - - 4110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.3 - - 92.6 - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 74.4 - - 73.6 - - 75.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.8 - - 92.5 - - 90.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 73.0 - - 72.2 - - 74.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 95 - - 23 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3599 - - 5901 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 8 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99286 39 096 33 099 28 069 99286 91746 37 090 27 091 28 085 91746 85966 29 084 28 080 22 094 85966 81210 19 076 27 079 17 081 81210 77110 15 058 22 089 16 069 77110 73464 7 076 15 079 14 065 73464 70155 6 105 6 062 14 050 70155 67123 8 085 6 049 10 095 67123 64334 8 100 6 064 12 120 64334 61652 9 146 4 137 5 098 61652 58869 10 166 11 185 3 220 58869 56004 14 181 12 209 13 244 56004 53302 15 179 14 209 18 237 53302 50882 15 207 13 220 17 242 50882 48709 23 230 23 243 28 258 48709 46746 23 240 32 243 35 250 46746 44951 24 256 25 243 34 238 44951 43285 17 273 21 249 26 235 43285 41722 15 279 21 245 22 240 41722 40245 18 250 21 241 23 239 40245 38844 17 240 21 237 25 239 38844 37482 15 232 20 230 23 238 37482 36090 14 239 18 242 21 235 36090 34640 16 258 18 247 19 233 34640 33134 18 265 18 244 18 228 33134 31561 15 256 17 241 18 229 31561 29906 11 220 17 242 17 235 29906 28171 12 216 17 243 17 242 28171 26354 16 213 16 243 17 252 26354 24456 14 220 15 256 17 264 24456 22479 16 250 16 273 15 270 22479 20422 21 238 15 265 13 273 20422 18282 22 217 18 241 13 265 18282 16103 24 213 20 230 17 252 16103 13998 25 212 20 221 20 244 13998 12085 22 214 17 219 17 240 12085 10388 20 219 15 228 13 228 10388 8882 19 218 16 220 13 213 8882 7540 16 214 16*211 13 209 7540 6345 15 212 15*207 14 205 6345 5283 13 209 13 203 14 202 5283 4344 12*207 12 201 14 200 4344 3514 11*205 11 199 14 199 3514 2770 10 204 11 198 14 196 2770 2112 10 203 10 197 14 195 2112 1564 9 202 10 196 14 192 1564 1143 9 202 9 196 13 190 1143 853 8 201 9 195 11 187 853 676 8 201 8 195 8*185 676 576 7 200 7 194 5*183 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography