DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.8 - - 76.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 204 - - 120 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5912 - - 7408 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4591 - - 5422 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6507 - - 8003 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1264 - - 1204 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 449 - - 414 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 314 - - 294 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1374 - - 554 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7881 - - 7449 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6534 - - -2972 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13041 - - 10975 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 73 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.8 - - 76.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.1 - - 45.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.5 - - 75.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.9 - - 44.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 204 - - 120 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5912 - - 7408 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98705 29 094 23 082 98705 91199 27 095 18 091 91199 85456 17 081 18 099 85456 80695 13 072 19 093 80695 76580 9 088 16 066 76580 72934 10 118 8 097 72934 69643 7 059 5 070 69643 66625 8 340 2 335 66625 63831 10 306 6 276 63831 61137 14 297 16 275 61137 58334 21 277 26 274 58334 55417 38 263 41 264 55417 52625 45 265 48 268 52625 50113 63 272 64 274 50113 47868 81 274 72 270 47868 45829 91 271 81 271 45829 43960 96 269 92 271 43960 42239 102 270 103 270 42239 40648 110 269 113 269 40648 39165 111 268 117 267 39165 37769 109 269 116 267 37769 36416 105 271 112 267 36416 35042 99 272 104 265 35042 33619 92 272 96 261 33619 32149 86 272 90 260 32149 30614 81 271 87 263 30614 29002 75 269 82 266 29002 27310 71 270 78 268 27310 25536 69 271 76 271 25536 23682 67 271 72 274 23682 21751 62 271 65 275 21751 19742 55 271 57 278 19742 17650 53 273 51 283 17650 15518 45 277 38 286 15518 13469 27 276 25 289 13469 11615 22 276 18 293 11615 9973 19 287 17 298 9973 8521 17 302 11*290 8521 7235 11*309 11*291 7235 6089 10*312 10 291 6089 5073 10 312 10 292 5073 4176 10 313 9 294 4176 3382 9 315 9 294 3382 2672 9 315 8 295 2672 2043 9 316 8 296 2043 1519 9 317 8 296 1519 1116 8 316 7 297 1116 839 8 317 7 297 839 671 8 317 7 297 671 574 7 317 6 298 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography