DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.7 - - 76.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - -1 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1934 - - 1532 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 558 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2529 - - 2127 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2932 - - 2804 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 182 - - 129 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 22 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 186 - - 191 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 567 - - 350 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1963 - - 1777 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -767 - - -906 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3296 - - 3033 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2520 - - 1860 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.7 - - 76.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.6 - - 70.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.8 - - 76.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.5 - - 69.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - -1 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1934 - - 1532 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 95 - - 100 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98012 5 142 5 182 98012 90586 7 143 4 142 90586 84897 3 128 6 167 84897 80210 4 155 6 175 80210 76187 4 108 8 115 76187 72612 3 066 6 122 72612 69368 7 186 7 156 69368 66408 9 136 8 220 66408 63699 9 213 13 238 63699 61085 19 212 14 224 61085 58351 21 206 26 241 58351 55514 26 242 26 237 55514 52792 38 255 38 248 52792 50327 50 243 43 245 50327 48116 47 241 49 247 48116 46110 44 236 54 243 46110 44285 43 234 50 239 44285 42619 39 240 51 247 42619 41083 43 245 56 249 41083 39646 47 234 57 238 39646 38281 48 226 56 238 38281 36949 49 226 51 234 36949 35585 48 227 46 230 35585 34163 47 223 41 227 34163 32683 45 217 40 223 32683 31131 47 211 43 224 31131 29495 48 210 44 226 29495 27774 42 210 45 227 27774 25970 36 208 39 234 25970 24085 25 205 32 236 24085 22124 17 214 22 225 22124 20084 18 193 17 225 20084 17963 21 197 17 231 17963 15804 20 196 18 248 15804 13727 19 190 18 249 13727 11841 17 184 19 256 11841 10168 18 180 20 252 10168 8681 23 196 19 224 8681 7358 35 212 26 220 7358 6185 38 211 34 223 6185 5145 36 208 34 219 5145 4232 33 204 32 211 4232 3425 30 199 30 205 3425 2703 28*194 27*198 2703 2065 24*190 26*195 2065 1533 21 187 24 192 1533 1125 19 186 22 190 1125 843 17 184 20 188 843 673 15 184 18 187 673 575 12 183 13 186 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography