DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 96.5 - - 93.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 118 - - 45 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4362 - - 2946 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3140 - - 1377 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4957 - - 3541 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 6337 - - 5875 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 345 - - 233 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 261 - - 280 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2171 - - -1717 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7128 - - 5258 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3431 - - -3457 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8388 - - 6998 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 83 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1110 - - 2640 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 96.5 - - 93.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.2 - - 72.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 95.8 - - 93.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.1 - - 71.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 118 - - 45 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4362 - - 2946 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 65 - - 31 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99002 11 090 12 037 99002 91575 11 088 9 107 91575 85809 10 092 7 118 85809 81029 7 093 3 051 81029 76932 5 123 3 028 76932 73314 5 127 2 161 73314 70035 2 089 4 168 70035 67030 2 214 7 199 67030 64264 6 184 11 200 64264 61604 5 240 10 220 61604 58860 17 251 16 248 58860 56060 22 237 24 244 56060 53422 15 251 20 243 53422 51060 14 274 17 248 51060 48930 15 266 18 262 48930 46976 26 223 27 238 46976 45172 34 212 36 217 45172 43495 32 222 38 210 43495 41920 32 230 35 229 41920 40432 36 236 41 247 40432 39022 35 245 44 246 39022 37649 34 253 44 246 37649 36243 37 247 44 247 36243 34779 36 246 43 247 34779 33262 33 251 44 249 33262 31676 34 251 45 252 31676 30003 39 249 43 253 30003 28247 40 244 42 253 28247 26412 36 240 42 259 26412 24503 27 258 33 260 24503 22522 24 273 25 252 22522 20463 22 265 25 254 20463 18317 22 261 26 260 18317 16130 21 256 27 261 16130 14025 25 259 26 258 14025 12113 22 255 27 253 12113 10414 18 250 25 254 10414 8902 17 252 22 261 8902 7554 18 260 21 270 7554 6353 19 269 20 276 6353 5288 20*271 18 281 5288 4348 18*269 16*286 4348 3517 16 264 12*290 3517 2773 14 260 11 288 2773 2115 14 259 9 281 2115 1565 13 258 7 271 1565 1143 12 257 6 265 1143 853 12 257 6 263 853 677 11 256 5 262 677 576 9 255 5 259 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography