DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.5 - - 83.2 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 67 - - 32 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4174 - - 4170 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2682 - - 2088 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4769 - - 4765 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1761 - - 2306 - - 5232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 248 - - 22 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 16 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 218 - - 220 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 14 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 605 - - 1114 - - -2331 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4164 - - 3651 - - 2907 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -246 - - 197 - - -3391 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5015 - - 4568 - - 3967 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 410 - - 1780 - - 1980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.5 - - 83.2 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.1 - - 68.8 - - 69.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.3 - - 83.1 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.9 - - 67.6 - - 68.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 67 - - 32 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4174 - - 4170 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 88 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98642 11 073 16 088 14 091 98642 91181 11 136 9 074 18 054 91181 85441 14 118 9 081 18 050 85441 80688 13 099 11 075 12 058 80688 76616 9 111 9 063 9 076 76616 73030 12 104 7 085 8 067 73030 69789 12 068 10 104 6 054 69789 66805 12 046 11 109 7 010 66805 64028 13 023 9 085 5 341 64028 61341 12 343 9 001 7 329 61341 58551 8 306 12 320 9 306 58551 55656 11 292 15 297 14 302 55656 52894 23 283 28 275 24 275 52894 50418 25 270 25 254 29 274 50418 48209 19 273 28 271 37 273 48209 46222 34 272 38 267 49 266 46222 44421 35 255 45 261 54 264 44421 42769 38 245 55 271 69 278 42769 41230 38 241 72 276 73 275 41230 39780 33 235 74 276 65 271 39780 38402 28 244 61 277 62 266 38402 37058 25 252 46 263 63 268 37058 35684 26 248 43 253 64 272 35684 34253 24 243 38 248 49 260 34253 32767 23 243 34 248 49 248 32767 31208 25 248 30 246 47 247 31208 29565 25 249 31 238 45 247 29565 27843 24 250 34 237 45 253 27843 26042 22 253 35 241 37 256 26042 24164 23 249 33 249 30 256 24164 22214 25 245 29 256 31 260 22214 20185 28 251 25 255 28 263 20185 18069 27 252 23 257 23 263 18069 15911 27 253 21 262 18 263 15911 13829 27 251 22 269 15 288 13829 11935 24 248 23 266 16 310 11935 10253 23 244 23 257 18 292 10253 8755 22 238 21 245 17 270 8755 7421 22 237 21 235 17 246 7421 6237 22 237 20 231 19 231 6237 5192 21*233 19*227 21 224 5192 4271 20*223 18*223 22 214 4271 3457 20 221 18 221 23 210 3457 2727 19 218 17 220 23 208 2727 2083 19 217 16 219 22 206 2083 1544 18 216 16 219 21 204 1544 1131 18 215 15 218 20 202 1131 846 17 214 14 218 17 200 846 674 15 213 13 218 14*199 674 575 12 213 10 217 10*198 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography