DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.8 - - 65.4 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 59 - - 37 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 113 - - 1421 - - 3738 - - 2315 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 708 - - 2016 - - 4333 - - 2910 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 264 - - 931 - - 1176 - - 1659 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 178 - - 216 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 19 - - 26 - - 29 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 243 - - 286 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 11 - - 11 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1691 - - 530 - - -1228 - - -1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2399 - - 1486 - - 5561 - - 2911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6258 - - 225 - - -4252 - - -437 ODpotential blCL - - - 6966 - - 1791 - - 8585 - - 3347 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 99 - - 72 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 380 - - 110 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.8 - - 65.4 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 56.1 - - 42.9 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 60.6 - - 65.4 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 55.9 - - 42.6 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 59 - - 37 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 113 - - 1421 - - 3738 - - 2315 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 97 - - 0 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96290 61 267 64 256 63 259 67 262 96290 89100 37 270 40 259 40 269 39 272 89100 83602 27 275 28 275 29 274 29 277 83602 79043 19 290 23 286 19 294 20 277 79043 75096 16 280 20 287 19 316 16 297 75096 71585 18 293 22 293 21 303 24 313 71585 68395 18 300 18 282 22 291 26 307 68395 65455 21 307 23 303 19 283 24 300 65455 62707 30 301 27 293 26 292 24 304 62707 60031 36 285 30 292 27 289 36 301 60031 57243 32 277 34 290 41 293 41 284 57243 54346 35 284 41 285 41 279 41 293 54346 51567 44 277 44 276 42 281 56 288 51567 49066 47 272 45 271 49 276 57 277 49066 46820 46 272 45 266 52 272 49 277 46820 44778 47 275 46 270 50 269 48 282 44778 42910 63 271 60 280 44 274 48 280 42910 41185 67 265 77 281 59 283 49 284 41185 39579 67 261 79 265 71 279 53 282 39579 38078 63 259 69 253 75 271 57 277 38078 36669 59 252 67 265 72 267 61 278 36669 35316 52 247 76 271 76 270 63 279 35316 33953 57 265 83 268 92 272 56 279 33953 32550 69 273 86 265 98 269 54 279 32550 31112 71 269 89 263 93 265 53 282 31112 29627 72 266 91 261 82 267 46 286 29627 28083 71 270 86 258 70 269 40 285 28083 26474 64 260 74 254 62 270 39 282 26474 24792 63 257 65 263 55 271 34 282 24792 23031 62 265 57 268 47 269 32 285 23031 21192 63 272 54 267 49 266 33 293 21192 19267 59 273 52 270 52 269 33 300 19267 17254 53 261 51 272 51 279 29 304 17254 15194 49 254 43 277 42 283 28 305 15194 13202 40 254 35 275 37 281 29 302 13202 11386 39 263 34 268 35 287 32 301 11386 9771 31 267 35 267 32 284 33 300 9771 8337 25 260 36 272 31 282 29 301 8337 7066 25 260 33 276 32 281 29 311 7066 5941 22 260 28 274 30 279 30 311 5941 4944 20 262 25 262 28*283 29 308 4944 4068 18 256 25 253 27*286 30 316 4068 3298 17 251 26 250 27 286 32*321 3298 2608 19 250 24*246 27 286 33*322 2608 1999 20 247 23*245 27 287 32 322 1999 1490 20 244 21 243 26 287 31 322 1490 1099 17 241 18 243 25 286 29 322 1099 830 13*235 17 242 23 286 26 322 830 667 8*230 15 242 21 286 22 321 667 573 7 229 12 242 16 286 16 320 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography