DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.0 - - 93.0 - - 82.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 187 - - 107 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1740 - - 3820 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1434 - - 2624 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2335 - - 4415 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 861 - - 4013 - - 1842 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 286 - - 310 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 071 - - 147 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1831 - - -1507 - - -1130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4166 - - 5923 - - 1706 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4392 - - -2852 - - -3887 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6727 - - 7267 - - 4463 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 74 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1540 - - 1860 - - 3260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.0 - - 93.0 - - 82.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.6 - - 69.0 - - 76.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.9 - - 92.3 - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.8 - - 68.3 - - 75.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 187 - - 107 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1740 - - 3820 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 40 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98534 23 098 9 071 21 039 98534 91239 22 068 14 055 17 044 91239 85631 19 052 15 050 14 028 85631 80939 13 045 8 037 10 012 80939 76863 6 061 8 006 12 015 76863 73243 7 061 7 009 11 007 73243 69968 9 022 7 029 6 350 69968 66968 4 014 4 019 5 354 66968 64189 7 031 1 306 5 336 64189 61509 9 022 2 210 6 328 61509 58750 2 323 5 267 9 306 58750 55937 6 305 7 278 8 285 55937 53286 7 311 7 252 9 250 53286 50912 8 275 5 241 8 233 50912 48782 11 283 10 291 9 261 48782 46836 12 267 16 274 16 277 46836 45039 11 252 16 261 17 262 45039 43364 11 267 14 277 16 262 43364 41795 11 262 17 286 19 273 41795 40319 6 247 17 286 19 283 40319 38920 8 265 16 288 21 281 38920 37558 10 273 18 290 22 276 37558 36166 10 274 20 289 20 281 36166 34714 12 278 21 286 17 286 34714 33205 14 279 19 286 18 284 33205 31625 16 281 18 285 18 279 31625 29961 19 286 17 288 17 274 29961 28214 21 286 16 291 16 272 28214 26383 21 281 18 279 18 268 26383 24473 19 275 20 273 20 276 24473 22492 18 277 21 277 18 278 22492 20434 21 287 19 290 17 281 20434 18294 17 292 16 306 14 289 18294 16114 14 272 13 290 13 293 16114 14010 10 260 13 273 14 292 14010 12095 8 257 12 259 15 289 12095 10392 8 246 9 236 15 274 10392 8876 9 257 7 235 15 256 8876 7526 11 263 10 248 14 245 7526 6325 11 259 11 237 11 233 6325 5261 9 259 8*219 9 203 5261 4322 7 278 6*180 8 179 4322 3491 3 313 6 149 7 156 3491 2749 5*076 6 145 8 114 2749 2095 6*074 5 142 14 074 2095 1552 6 072 5 139 16 064 1552 1135 6 071 5 137 16 063 1135 849 5 069 5 136 14 062 849 675 5 068 5 136 12*061 675 575 5 069 4 134 8*060 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography