DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 62.6 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 102 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7504 - - 6245 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5937 - - 4344 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8099 - - 6840 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1935 - - 3103 - - 7586 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 517 - - 359 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 258 - - 254 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1446 - - 195 - - -5113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6653 - - 6645 - - 5687 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 264 - - -669 - - -6192 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7835 - - 7509 - - 6766 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 86 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 62.6 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.8 - - 35.3 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.7 - - 62.1 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.6 - - 34.1 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 102 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7504 - - 6245 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 21 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97748 8 295 10 287 15 314 97748 90429 10 252 14 285 16 310 90429 84754 10 204 14 257 13 301 84754 80007 6 236 15 235 13 267 80007 75911 10 228 15 238 13 277 75911 72303 13 242 14 256 21 275 72303 69047 22 254 20 265 22 265 69047 66040 28 263 27 261 31 242 66040 63225 34 258 25 265 26 265 63225 60484 43 272 48 279 41 280 60484 57637 59 263 60 267 48 277 57637 54682 62 258 63 261 59 271 54682 51860 70 257 70 261 67 268 51860 49326 71 259 75 261 73 271 49326 47058 76 265 80 263 83 268 47058 45009 81 265 84 263 91 263 45009 43147 84 266 87 264 95 263 43147 41439 90 267 94 264 100 265 41439 39858 97 268 103 264 101 266 39858 38380 103 267 108 264 103 266 38380 36991 108 266 112 264 106 268 36991 35650 108 264 115 267 110 270 35650 34294 102 264 114 268 112 270 34294 32896 93 264 106 270 111 271 32896 31453 90 265 98 269 107 275 31453 29948 90 266 94 268 104 278 29948 28368 87 267 91 271 100 279 28368 26711 81 269 90 275 92 279 26711 24974 76 271 79 274 81 280 24974 23159 72 276 71 276 71 278 23159 21272 66 278 66 282 65 283 21272 19308 60 279 63 283 61 285 19308 17262 56 282 59 283 56 286 17262 15175 52 282 53 285 52 288 15175 13168 47 278 45 287 47 288 13168 11356 37 280 39 287 37 295 11356 9756 24 286 28 278 26 299 9756 8339 18*286 26 275 22 288 8339 7078 18*284 23*269 21 272 7078 5958 15 275 20*258 20 257 5958 4965 14 264 18 254 20 247 4965 4088 13 250 18 254 19 241 4088 3314 13 247 17 253 19 237 3314 2620 12 245 16 253 18 235 2620 2006 12 244 16 253 17 234 2006 1494 12 243 15 254 17 232 1494 1102 11 242 14 254 15 231 1102 831 11 242 14 254 13 230 831 667 10 242 13 253 11*229 667 573 9 242 10 253 8*228 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography