DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 78.6 - - 83.5 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 244 - - 27 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3096 - - 2563 - - 4950 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2137 - - 2113 - - 2295 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3691 - - 3158 - - 5545 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1572 - - 2994 - - 5241 - - 1775 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 352 - - 245 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 14 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 221 - - 216 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - 20 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 345 - - -965 - - -93 - - -859 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3346 - - 4124 - - 5638 - - 1434 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -287 - - -2151 - - -1519 - - -3352 ODpotential blCL - - - 3978 - - 5309 - - 7064 - - 3927 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 93 - - 95 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 740 - - 1040 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 78.6 - - 83.5 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.7 - - 62.3 - - 60.5 - - 63.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 77.3 - - 83.4 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 61.6 - - 59.3 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 244 - - 27 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3096 - - 2563 - - 4950 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 70 - - 82 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96851 18 265 23 273 17 281 23 273 96851 89609 21 245 16 259 24 257 22 281 89609 84104 12 217 16 243 18 255 20 281 84104 79563 4 240 16 221 15 238 17 270 79563 75645 4 233 8 208 12 230 14 249 75645 72163 13 234 11 266 12 249 12 244 72163 68990 27 221 21 255 27 255 23 275 68990 66054 28 221 33 232 42 240 32 257 66054 63325 20 230 32 220 35 228 38 239 63325 60690 30 252 23 237 30 238 41 232 60690 57937 42 264 30 266 31 245 37 240 57937 55057 49 259 55 255 50 250 56 249 55057 52302 67 247 61 242 56 237 59 241 52302 49826 68 239 59 242 57 243 57 242 49826 47611 73 246 77 248 87 249 70 250 47611 45605 83 249 88 243 89 239 84 243 45605 43774 94 252 96 249 84 245 85 240 43774 42102 97 245 106 250 96 247 98 249 42102 40567 95 238 103 240 102 244 106 250 40567 39138 94 236 94 231 96 238 93 243 39138 37793 92 238 90 232 91 234 72 236 37793 36486 86 241 85 234 90 233 70 235 36486 35148 77 240 76 234 84 229 68 235 35148 33749 67 235 65 233 79 226 62 233 33749 32294 64 233 61 231 76 225 57 230 32294 30765 62 232 58 229 73 226 52 228 30765 29150 62 232 55 230 67 225 51 227 29150 27451 62 231 52 232 64 222 53 228 27451 25668 62 231 52 233 60 224 56 229 25668 23805 60 233 53 232 53 228 56 229 23805 21866 55 232 54 229 50 231 54 230 21866 19848 51 228 52 228 51 234 53 232 19848 17746 59 222 48 232 53 234 53 233 17746 15609 57 222 47 248 56 229 55 231 15609 13552 50 239 42 255 56 227 54 226 13552 11686 34 242 36 253 49 232 48 219 11686 10034 20 250 35 242 41 235 44 216 10034 8568 19 262 37 232 31 231 41 219 8568 7263 27 265 38 231 26 225 38 225 7263 6103 33 260 35 235 23*221 35 231 6103 5077 34 252 32 239 20*216 33 236 5077 4174 32*245 28 237 19 215 31 239 4174 3378 31*243 24*234 17 215 30 240 3378 2666 28 239 19*227 15 216 30 240 2666 2038 25 236 15 221 14 217 29 239 2038 1514 24 234 14 220 13 217 27 236 1514 1113 22 233 14 219 12 218 22 234 1113 837 21 233 13 220 12 218 18 233 837 670 19 232 12 219 11 219 15*232 670 574 15 232 10 219 9 219 9*233 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography