DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 60.8 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 146 - - 44 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 949 - - 1233 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 557 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1544 - - 1828 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 447 - - 1359 - - 122 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 210 - - 155 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 194 - - 174 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2960 - - -3796 - - -483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4504 - - 5625 - - 1056 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7196 - - -7621 - - -7457 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8740 - - 9449 - - 8030 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 58 - - 49 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 60.8 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 37.5 - - 38.4 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.2 - - 60.6 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.2 - - 38.1 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 146 - - 44 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 949 - - 1233 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96412 47 247 54 262 40 277 96412 89150 27 253 29 261 26 265 89150 83619 16 259 16 253 21 252 83619 79058 10 265 13 238 16 235 79058 75134 13 268 10 255 13 242 75134 71665 10 250 14 256 12 248 71665 68510 12 257 15 255 16 263 68510 65594 18 264 22 271 25 264 65594 62890 29 261 34 274 26 285 62890 60255 40 267 44 271 35 276 60255 57481 50 273 53 276 51 271 57481 54586 61 277 61 279 69 273 54586 51803 69 279 75 273 76 270 51803 49302 76 277 84 272 79 268 49302 47075 83 275 84 276 74 272 47075 45067 87 271 87 276 69 279 45067 43235 85 270 89 273 77 280 43235 41554 88 277 94 272 92 277 41554 40006 99 281 96 272 99 276 40006 38567 108 276 100 274 101 276 38567 37211 102 271 105 275 104 281 37211 35898 94 272 106 273 105 283 35898 34561 93 276 100 271 101 277 34561 33171 95 277 94 273 100 273 33171 31729 95 278 89 273 95 275 31729 30220 90 280 84 274 86 277 30220 28630 86 280 78 273 79 276 28630 26963 80 282 70 273 70 273 26963 25217 71 281 64 274 68 271 25217 23392 67 281 59 269 62 270 23392 21495 59 279 60 267 60 272 21495 19518 47 275 60 272 59 273 19518 17455 45 271 61 280 52 276 17455 15348 41 279 58 282 45 281 15348 13319 46 285 45 285 37 281 13319 11481 45 292 39 293 30 263 11481 9856 38 298 33 300 23 267 9856 8413 30 295 30 293 14 284 8413 7129 23 290 26 281 15 275 7129 5989 16 291 23 273 15 262 5989 4981 12 282 19 248 15 239 4981 4095 11 263 17 228 18 214 4095 3313 11 249 17 219 22 204 3313 2614 11 238 16 213 23 200 2614 1998 11*223 13*194 24 192 1998 1486 8*200 11*177 25 178 1486 1095 7 194 11 174 24 171 1095 827 7 192 10 173 19 166 827 665 6 191 9 172 16*163 665 572 6 191 8 171 7*154 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography