DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 57.6 - - 64.3 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 154 - - 44 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 586 - - 1721 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 557 - - 557 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 669 - - 1181 - - 2316 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 101 - - 518 - - 1129 - - 74 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 67 - - 182 - - 174 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 232 - - 215 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -509 - - -1175 - - -1321 - - -1402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1178 - - 2356 - - 3638 - - 1976 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12600 - - -9093 - - -8120 - - -10653 ODpotential blCL - - - 13269 - - 10274 - - 10436 - - 11227 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 83 - - 75 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 57.6 - - 64.3 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.8 - - 49.5 - - 50.5 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 56.8 - - 64.2 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 49.1 - - 50.2 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 154 - - 44 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 586 - - 1721 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96218 54 255 68 253 63 258 64 253 96218 89136 34 267 39 255 49 257 40 276 89136 83678 24 271 24 276 26 259 25 268 83678 79109 11 275 21 260 19 258 20 259 79109 75158 13 284 16 238 23 244 22 267 75158 71669 21 269 13 261 22 253 21 272 71669 68521 19 265 19 273 21 268 20 283 68521 65635 19 272 26 283 22 288 23 287 65635 62954 15 264 29 274 30 276 31 280 62954 60361 20 307 25 276 36 266 37 279 60361 57667 35 309 32 288 37 264 43 277 57667 54863 42 287 47 284 45 279 49 274 54863 52176 43 274 53 275 52 277 53 274 52176 49752 44 280 47 275 53 272 59 271 49752 47574 50 290 54 286 51 281 59 267 47574 45591 54 285 59 282 55 285 54 276 45591 43783 56 276 60 278 57 284 56 277 43783 42126 39 273 44 273 48 285 45 281 42126 40596 33 290 41 299 46 304 35 291 40596 39166 34 286 39 302 42 307 27 309 39166 37814 21 278 31 290 34 302 27 316 37814 36499 15 318 23 280 29 303 27 313 36499 35156 20 330 23 288 29 303 28 307 35156 33755 23 319 23 293 30 297 29 302 33755 32298 25 312 26 292 31 293 30 296 32298 30772 23 307 28 290 31 291 30 290 30772 29163 23 300 30 290 31 292 29 290 29163 27473 25 302 30 292 29 297 27 297 27473 25701 26 303 28 297 27 300 25 294 25701 23849 24 303 25 302 27 295 26 285 23849 21918 22 299 23 299 25 288 27 282 21918 19903 20 290 20 292 24 282 28 283 19903 17798 18 284 18 276 22 280 26 283 17798 15649 15 286 18 271 21 278 24 278 15649 13579 13 282 18 266 22 273 23 283 13579 11696 12 287 15 258 22 266 23 286 11696 10022 12 287 13 256 20 264 21 281 10022 8538 12 286 11 265 15 261 20 277 8538 7224 10 302 11 274 12 261 19 273 7224 6063 12 311 12 278 14 267 20 270 6063 5040 15 309 11 285 15 265 20 267 5040 4141 14 299 11 283 15 260 20 262 4141 3349 11 279 11 270 13 254 21 255 3349 2643 8 258 11 260 11*246 20 244 2643 2020 6 221 9 249 8*220 18 239 2020 1501 9 200 7*244 8 216 14 224 1501 1105 9 215 4*234 7 213 13 204 1105 832 6*240 4 232 7 213 12 195 832 667 3*251 3 230 6 213 9*190 667 573 3 252 3 230 6 211 5*186 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography