DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.5 - - 34.8 - - 39.0 - - 31.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 190 - - 89 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 853 - - 1730 - - 2058 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 1404 - - 1082 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1448 - - 2325 - - 2653 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 471 - - 488 - - 517 - - 1978 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 133 - - 280 - - 230 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 049 - - 342 - - 349 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1012 - - -2426 - - -5250 - - -3871 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2460 - - 4751 - - 7903 - - 4443 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14977 - - -16114 - - -18066 - - -18046 ODpotential blCL - - - 16425 - - 18439 - - 20719 - - 18618 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 87 - - 79 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.5 - - 34.8 - - 39.0 - - 31.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.9 - - 16.2 - - 6.8 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 33.7 - - 38.6 - - 34.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.3 - - 15.2 - - 6.0 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 190 - - 89 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 853 - - 1730 - - 2058 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 46 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95800 38 265 42 253 51 256 45 261 95800 88686 21 310 23 274 19 282 23 260 88686 83236 14 303 15 274 14 305 18 286 83236 78709 13 307 10 281 17 289 26 304 78709 74808 17 313 12 308 18 283 25 305 74808 71340 27 297 20 310 22 287 30 296 71340 68185 31 291 24 302 26 285 30 290 68185 65278 28 293 27 292 33 288 31 293 65278 62569 28 296 34 289 38 285 29 294 62569 59936 33 296 37 287 37 289 40 297 59936 57180 43 299 42 286 44 290 41 291 57180 54302 47 296 47 286 43 291 48 289 54302 51545 46 294 46 284 52 293 55 289 51545 49063 47 294 47 289 57 290 62 284 49063 46835 47 296 54 292 58 289 58 277 46835 44800 47 298 56 294 57 293 50 287 44800 42930 48 302 57 295 58 293 63 309 42930 41218 50 303 59 294 50 292 82 311 41218 39640 52 301 57 293 64 313 90 307 39640 38179 51 295 53 304 83 311 81 303 38179 36821 44 292 57 309 82 307 74 301 36821 35520 41 298 56 303 65 298 73 309 35520 34199 40 295 45 305 45 299 78 314 34199 32825 38 291 49 312 53 335 79 317 32825 31401 36 291 54 306 66 338 75 318 31401 29910 34 298 55 299 69 334 67 319 29910 28340 33 308 51 299 64 331 65 318 28340 26692 33 310 47 302 59 326 66 319 26692 24963 34 312 46 306 57 321 68 318 24963 23155 33 312 46 311 51 314 68 318 23155 21269 31 304 42 316 50 315 60 315 21269 19299 27 298 37 326 49 319 55 312 19299 17239 25 310 32 323 45 317 53 307 17239 15130 30 310 28 312 39 317 47 309 15130 13093 29 302 26 298 36 316 37 314 13093 11243 27 308 23 288 30 310 29 324 11243 9608 24 307 18 303 28 307 25 320 9608 8167 12 281 14 301 23 308 21 318 8167 6893 9 272 9 304 14 313 18 320 6893 5769 8 277 9 329 11 324 15 317 5769 4783 5 324 8 335 12 333 13 317 4783 3923 3 011 8 336 12 340 13 330 3923 3174 3 070 10 341 10*346 11 341 3174 2512 4 085 10*342 9*349 11 347 2512 1930 6*073 10*342 9 349 12 347 1930 1444 6*056 10 342 8 349 12 346 1444 1072 5 049 10 342 8 349 12 345 1072 815 4 047 9 341 8 349 11 344 815 660 4 044 9 341 7 350 9*342 660 571 4 045 8 341 7 349 5*337 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography