DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.2 - - 77.7 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 11 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2736 - - 1230 - - 560 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2053 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3331 - - 1825 - - 1155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2049 - - 2801 - - 1035 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 311 - - 122 - - 77 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 199 - - 233 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 719 - - 581 - - 254 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2612 - - 1244 - - 901 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 93 - - -121 - - -2575 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3238 - - 1946 - - 3730 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2700 - - 2620 - - 2390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.2 - - 77.7 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 72.2 - - 73.6 - - 73.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.4 - - 77.9 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 71.2 - - 73.0 - - 73.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 11 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2736 - - 1230 - - 560 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 70 - - 100 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 18 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98786 28 095 25 087 20 081 98786 91300 24 095 20 108 15 072 91300 85553 17 109 16 104 11 077 85553 80801 14 104 16 095 11 091 80801 76707 16 095 11 098 15 078 76707 73078 13 099 7 086 12 062 73078 69791 11 128 2 084 6 057 69791 66781 11 134 3 159 2 051 66781 64004 1 130 1 111 1 325 64004 61324 10 284 6 353 3 305 61324 58539 17 267 14 295 14 306 58539 55662 21 271 23 267 21 267 55662 52933 32 283 39 276 48 273 52933 50498 52 258 48 254 47 263 50498 48317 44 238 38 262 40 270 48317 46334 24 273 52 288 59 279 46334 44525 59 299 69 285 72 279 44525 42859 80 291 72 282 76 277 42859 41302 87 285 69 277 74 274 41302 39834 86 275 66 267 70 268 39834 38442 75 268 64 259 64 261 38442 37091 65 265 61 254 60 257 37091 35712 60 262 58 251 57 257 35712 34276 57 259 56 248 54 258 34276 32786 55 254 49 249 51 262 32786 31226 54 251 40 251 43 266 31226 29582 51 250 38 250 36 265 29582 27855 47 252 41 251 33 267 27855 26045 35 248 41 252 33 269 26045 24153 28 248 39 256 33 273 24153 22184 31 241 41 258 33 274 22184 20136 27 249 45 258 33 278 20136 18008 21 245 46 257 32 289 18008 15848 19 246 42 257 37 302 15848 13775 18 253 36 259 35 305 13775 11892 19 250 30 257 30 293 11892 10217 22 243 26 250 27 275 10217 8726 23 242 22 244 25 261 8726 7397 23 244 19 249 23 252 7397 6217 20 241 18 245 20 247 6217 5173 19 234 20 236 17 242 5173 4252 18 229 20 229 14 235 4252 3441 17*218 19 228 13 221 3441 2714 16*204 18 230 13 206 2714 2072 16 201 17*232 14 196 2072 1537 15 199 15*233 14*189 1537 1126 15 198 14 233 14*179 1126 844 14 197 13 233 14 175 844 673 13 196 12 233 13 173 673 575 11 196 9 233 10 172 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography