DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 64.9 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 44 - - 9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1431 - - 1634 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2026 - - 2229 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1598 - - 1657 - - 3664 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 166 - - 111 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 045 - - 040 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 526 - - 479 - - -837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1501 - - 1750 - - 1411 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 197 - - 186 - - -1386 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1829 - - 2043 - - 1960 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 64.9 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.6 - - 59.3 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.9 - - 65.0 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.1 - - 58.8 - - 60.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 44 - - 9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1431 - - 1634 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98524 11 154 9 185 9 203 98524 91112 10 135 10 173 2 245 91112 85394 5 085 7 135 2 093 85394 80659 5 102 2 119 7 113 80659 76582 5 120 2 143 4 079 76582 72993 7 106 7 129 2 041 72993 69767 7 088 3 079 5 059 69767 66813 4 078 3 043 6 042 66813 64077 2 143 2 315 5 332 64077 61434 3 299 7 305 9 316 61434 58693 6 297 7 287 10 299 58693 55867 13 333 10 313 11 305 55867 53174 26 315 23 318 21 305 53174 50749 33 304 32 307 32 305 50749 48581 43 302 43 306 41 309 48581 46612 48 298 50 301 49 307 46612 44805 40 296 41 301 45 302 44805 43134 38 311 38 303 41 299 43134 41576 43 312 41 295 42 300 41576 40108 47 309 44 292 46 306 40108 38719 49 314 42 296 43 311 38719 37366 48 320 41 305 41 311 37366 35982 46 321 39 312 37 307 35982 34536 43 319 38 311 28 305 34536 33032 42 322 38 314 27 302 33032 31453 39 325 36 318 27 306 31453 29787 39 329 34 321 26 314 29787 28037 40 330 34 322 24 311 28037 26201 35 326 36 328 23 312 26201 24284 31 328 35 334 20 321 24284 22294 26 327 28 335 22 326 22294 20221 25 331 26 332 24 329 20221 18057 26 341 23 343 25 330 18057 15851 18 349 15 349 17 340 15851 13733 12 357 9 002 13 344 13733 11814 9 353 9 345 13 341 11814 10116 8 332 11 332 12 328 10116 8612 6 342 10 340 9 323 8612 7275 5 024 9 352 9 340 7275 6091 2 063 6 354 5 011 6091 5052 6 104 4 105 5 085 5052 4149 10 094 6 087 7 087 4149 3359 10 087 7 065 8 080 3359 2652 8*067 7*044 8 075 2652 2028 8*057 6*042 8 070 2028 1508 6 043 6 040 8 069 1508 1110 6 042 6 040 7 070 1110 835 6 040 6 040 6 070 835 669 5 040 5 040 5*069 669 573 5 040 4 039 3*069 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography