DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 46.2 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -33 - - 6 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 1065 - - 2656 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 574 - - 1660 - - 3251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1688 - - 1685 - - 1323 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 12 - - 92 - - 98 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 12 - - 36 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 190 - - 282 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 6 - - 24 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1 - - 339 - - 2110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 573 - - 1321 - - 1141 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -724 - - -610 - - 789 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1298 - - 2270 - - 2462 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 89 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 110 - - 0 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 46.2 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 42.2 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.9 - - 46.4 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.7 - - 41.2 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -33 - - 6 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 1065 - - 2656 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 56 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96275 26 277 17 270 16 252 96275 89224 11 209 9 222 7 227 89224 83754 14 179 14 209 8 226 83754 79187 11 235 18 222 15 254 79187 75219 17 260 17 235 21 259 75219 71672 22 230 21 240 21 253 71672 68438 17 237 19 239 20 242 68438 65461 25 276 14 248 17 231 65461 62695 31 255 22 260 17 248 62695 60020 26 225 30 250 21 258 60020 57218 24 219 30 240 25 265 57218 54289 36 242 30 234 34 239 54289 51490 38 242 33 225 31 227 51490 48952 62 240 44 229 27 225 48952 46646 76 228 43 227 38 255 46646 44546 66 223 55 246 50 256 44546 42632 61 236 81 246 57 253 42632 40871 78 243 103 239 66 245 40871 39237 91 235 110 226 71 237 39237 37709 89 225 103 218 71 233 37709 36273 83 219 86 218 69 231 36273 34893 83 213 81 220 67 228 34893 33500 85 211 85 215 69 224 33500 32072 85 212 94 208 72 216 32072 30617 81 211 102 201 78 209 30617 29119 79 204 100 201 83 201 29119 27563 72 208 98 203 86 198 27563 25942 70 214 94 203 89 198 25942 24248 70 213 88 202 90 198 24248 22484 73 217 85 202 91 199 22484 20649 72 223 82 203 91 206 20649 18741 66 219 78 204 82 216 18741 16758 64 212 77 210 58 232 16758 14743 61 211 74 222 43 238 14743 12806 55 217 73 230 34 247 12806 11044 51 226 67 240 34 249 11044 9474 54 229 58 247 42 254 9474 8081 57 228 49 268 42 257 8081 6855 59 225 42 284 34 264 6855 5770 60 221 38 293 31 274 5770 4807 60 216 34 295 33 286 4807 3959 59 212 30 294 39*295 3959 3214 56 208 26 291 41*298 3214 2546 53 203 22 288 41 299 2546 1955 47 197 18*286 40 298 1955 1462 41 193 14*283 38 297 1462 1082 37 191 12 282 34 296 1082 822 31 190 11 281 29 294 822 663 27*190 10 281 26 293 663 572 20*190 8 280 17 292 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography