DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.6 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 230 - - 98 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2802 - - 3355 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2251 - - 2180 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3397 - - 3950 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1831 - - 1883 - - 129 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 351 - - 282 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 180 - - 182 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5251 - - -4715 - - -7347 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8649 - - 8666 - - 7922 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9029 - - -8683 - - -13503 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12426 - - 12633 - - 14078 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 69 - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.6 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.2 - - 48.8 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.5 - - 84.0 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.8 - - 48.4 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 230 - - 98 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2802 - - 3355 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97641 52 248 48 239 47 256 97641 90415 43 249 37 248 35 249 90415 84811 33 233 36 247 30 246 84811 80117 20 234 29 233 28 245 80117 76060 13 255 15 229 21 237 76060 72479 14 265 10 277 10 252 72479 69249 16 244 18 276 11 289 69249 66290 15 235 22 271 17 279 66290 63559 17 242 25 258 20 266 63559 60930 19 263 24 247 24 257 60930 58196 26 278 22 263 26 257 58196 55361 37 273 32 272 31 270 55361 52657 41 266 37 259 35 265 52657 50229 43 262 38 248 36 253 50229 48059 45 257 39 243 37 239 48059 46088 47 251 42 238 39 237 46088 44277 52 237 50 229 47 231 44277 42596 54 229 56 221 59 216 42596 41027 54 225 57 217 67 212 41027 39551 47 228 56 216 66 212 39551 38156 38 234 47 219 56 214 38156 36801 34 241 33 228 44 214 36801 35423 31 244 26 247 24 227 35423 33997 27 243 25 259 17 258 33997 32524 25 245 25 261 18 267 32524 30986 24 264 24 274 19 279 30986 29369 23 274 24 287 18 306 29369 27674 21 278 23 292 18 317 27674 25898 21 291 22 293 19 309 25898 24041 23 299 23 294 20 307 24041 22107 26 299 21 297 20 310 22107 20091 27 296 20 302 18 308 20091 17991 25 294 21 308 16 317 17991 15850 22 287 19 301 15 317 15850 13778 22 278 17 280 14 299 13778 11885 21 279 19 281 15 289 11885 10201 15 260 14 277 10 274 10201 8705 15 231 13 244 12 225 8705 7375 14 207 14 226 16 211 7375 6196 13 205 15 207 18 198 6196 5153 13 201 16 195 17 195 5153 4235 14 197 16*187 17 187 4235 3426 14*192 16*185 18 176 3426 2703 13*186 16 183 19 169 2703 2064 12 181 16 183 20 166 2064 1532 12 180 16 182 20 166 1532 1123 12 178 15 181 19 165 1123 842 11 177 15 181 18 163 842 671 10 177 14 180 15*160 671 574 9 176 11 181 7*154 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography