DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.1 - - 90.6 - - 86.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 86 - - 6 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3798 - - 4004 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2658 - - 559 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4393 - - 4599 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1449 - - 1332 - - 4662 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 317 - - 225 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 211 - - 207 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 901 - - 155 - - -2049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3493 - - 4444 - - 2626 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3684 - - -4354 - - -3746 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8077 - - 8953 - - 4323 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 72 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3200 - - 2580 - - 3810 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.1 - - 90.6 - - 86.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 75.3 - - 72.9 - - 76.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.7 - - 90.8 - - 88.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 73.9 - - 71.4 - - 75.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 86 - - 6 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3798 - - 4004 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99251 29 111 28 081 37 080 99251 91760 30 102 27 098 25 076 91760 85991 28 094 26 110 20 080 85991 81179 28 084 20 106 19 094 81179 77048 26 086 15 072 22 109 77048 73422 19 095 12 069 17 097 73422 70146 14 100 12 113 13 057 70146 67131 13 079 14 138 5 019 67131 64348 9 075 12 117 8 172 64348 61670 6 126 6 073 9 132 61670 58877 7 179 4 178 4 085 58877 56008 8 184 9 188 3 171 56008 53328 5 148 9 160 7 193 53328 50952 4 104 10 128 9 178 50952 48815 3 003 9 129 10 162 48815 46859 5 265 4 176 8 170 46859 45051 8 226 8 240 7 220 45051 43372 8 192 8 229 9 235 43372 41804 8 185 12 211 9 238 41804 40326 7 211 9 213 5 238 40326 38924 12 245 6 245 3 257 38924 37559 13 242 11 241 5 256 37559 36165 12 238 15 224 9 252 36165 34713 11 227 16 216 15 227 34713 33207 12 218 18 226 18 222 33207 31632 15 235 22 236 21 232 31632 29975 22 244 25 238 25 224 29975 28236 25 234 30 228 27 224 28236 26412 25 232 31 227 29 227 26412 24507 27 231 28 227 27 230 24507 22531 27 225 25 231 25 236 22531 20476 27 228 23 240 22 242 20476 18336 27 225 25 232 20 237 18336 16156 28 210 27 221 24 224 16156 14052 28 209 30 213 28 216 14052 12130 25 213 26 209 25 214 12130 10416 22 210 22 210 21 211 10416 8892 22 210 22 211 20 210 8892 7539 22 222 22 219 18 216 7539 6338 18 230 19 228 17 214 6338 5274 14*224 15*220 16 206 5274 4338 12*215 13*211 17 202 4338 3509 11 212 13 209 16 198 3509 2767 11 211 12 208 16 193 2767 2110 11 210 12 207 15 190 2110 1562 10 210 11 206 15 186 1562 1141 10 208 10 205 13 183 1141 852 9 209 10 205 11 180 852 676 9 208 9 204 9*178 676 576 8 208 8 204 6*177 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography