DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.5 - - 79.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 62 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4649 - - 4574 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3470 - - 2902 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5244 - - 5169 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 898 - - 823 - - 4866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 376 - - 296 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 313 - - 320 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -468 - - -1368 - - -3368 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5712 - - 6537 - - 3943 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7219 - - -8795 - - -8310 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12463 - - 13964 - - 8885 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 61 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.5 - - 79.1 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.5 - - 52.6 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.7 - - 78.8 - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.2 - - 51.3 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 62 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4649 - - 4574 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99275 30 083 19 099 12 115 99275 91760 21 106 13 102 18 081 91760 85973 14 094 15 091 19 072 85973 81207 11 092 17 071 18 081 81207 77105 14 081 7 064 14 064 77105 73470 12 081 8 115 7 086 73470 70146 6 153 6 077 9 074 70146 67075 10 121 3 178 8 342 67075 64248 7 082 7 109 8 281 64248 61520 12 002 13 021 1 054 61520 58679 17 346 19 346 16 002 58679 55756 33 343 25 332 29 339 55756 53002 40 322 37 323 43 330 53002 50541 43 317 44 322 47 324 50541 48346 45 327 48 327 51 333 48346 46365 57 339 62 336 63 338 46365 44552 82 340 79 336 78 332 44552 42879 92 333 84 330 76 324 42879 41322 96 329 83 322 76 318 41322 39860 99 329 85 320 80 314 39860 38474 95 330 90 318 84 312 38474 37121 89 331 90 319 83 312 37121 35735 81 329 79 320 80 317 35735 34292 72 329 69 327 65 317 34292 32797 69 330 61 324 55 319 32797 31232 60 327 56 319 51 321 31232 29584 57 320 52 316 47 320 29584 27854 55 324 46 314 44 318 27854 26044 49 324 42 308 37 314 26044 24158 43 320 40 306 37 305 24158 22192 40 315 39 306 37 307 22192 20141 38 316 36 307 37 310 20141 18001 36 317 32 310 37 311 18001 15821 32 314 30 313 35 314 15821 13724 28 317 26 313 31 316 13724 11820 24 323 22 316 27 313 11820 10134 22 328 20 316 23 309 10134 8642 18 330 17 313 20 306 8642 7320 15 332 13 310 15 304 7320 6150 12*321 11*310 11 298 6150 5119 11*315 10*317 8 311 5119 4212 11 314 10 319 7 321 4212 3410 11 313 9 320 8 324 3410 2692 11 313 9 321 8 327 2692 2057 11 312 9 321 8 330 2057 1528 11 312 9 322 8 333 1528 1121 10 312 8 322 8 334 1121 841 10 311 8 322 7 335 841 671 9 311 8 323 6*336 671 574 8 311 7 322 4*338 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography