DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.3 - - 62.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 216 - - 101 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2406 - - 1933 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1964 - - 1238 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3001 - - 2528 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 896 - - 637 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 334 - - 243 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 071 - - 063 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 388 - - -66 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2613 - - 2594 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 187 - - -5869 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2814 - - 8397 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 100 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.3 - - 62.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.9 - - 53.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 65.2 - - 62.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.7 - - 52.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 216 - - 101 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2406 - - 1933 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 95 - - 99 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98140 18 108 11 109 98140 90688 10 101 6 095 90688 85001 8 116 4 066 85001 80291 5 060 6 132 80291 76206 3 056 6 150 76206 72595 4 122 3 235 72595 69334 5 198 7 246 69334 66336 3 177 13 224 66336 63568 10 264 15 214 63568 60891 22 245 14 233 60891 58095 30 239 24 249 58095 55186 38 230 33 234 55186 52405 34 237 33 237 52405 49905 42 247 46 243 49905 47681 63 234 67 227 47681 45704 63 217 66 213 45704 43916 56 237 55 230 43916 42271 93 258 86 253 42271 40748 93 254 88 252 40748 39314 87 255 68 252 39314 37955 72 254 58 250 37955 36633 68 250 54 246 36633 35281 62 243 50 235 35281 33867 55 231 50 228 33867 32393 50 229 50 226 32393 30848 47 234 46 223 30848 29218 47 233 41 222 29218 27508 46 226 40 228 27508 25718 42 226 40 232 25718 23853 36 249 32 228 23853 21917 29 258 25 231 21917 19906 24 240 25 238 19906 17811 22 221 22 240 17811 15671 13 205 15 236 15671 13600 4 232 8 236 13600 11708 7 280 7 241 11708 10026 10 274 6 238 10026 8537 8 273 6 217 8537 7217 4 157 7 191 7217 6046 5 125 6 132 6046 5015 8 134 7 113 5015 4115 7 109 9 078 4115 3326 9*071 12 065 3326 2625 10*070 13*062 2625 2009 10 070 13*062 2009 1496 10 071 13 063 1496 1103 10 071 13 063 1103 832 10 072 13 064 832 667 9 072 12 064 667 573 8 072 10 063 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography