DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 59.1 - - 60.5 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 289 - - 90 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 966 - - 2294 - - 2621 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1956 - - 1592 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1561 - - 2889 - - 3216 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 383 - - 919 - - 1320 - - 1461 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 353 - - 253 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 071 - - 124 - - 208 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 11 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4947 - - -6427 - - -4327 - - -6185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6508 - - 9317 - - 7544 - - 6759 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12310 - - -11715 - - -8687 - - -11488 ODpotential blCL - - - 13871 - - 14604 - - 11903 - - 12062 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 64 - - 98 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 59.1 - - 60.5 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.4 - - 20.4 - - 29.5 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 57.5 - - 59.9 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 19.5 - - 28.8 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 289 - - 90 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 966 - - 2294 - - 2621 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 91 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96487 7 096 11 103 13 150 15 180 96487 89280 16 104 14 150 8 181 5 133 89280 83715 10 109 16 148 12 204 3 194 83715 79075 4 188 6 182 10 208 5 220 79075 75063 3 195 8 232 11 231 10 228 75063 71507 3 190 10 228 14 232 14 249 71507 68277 3 235 11 243 10 234 15 266 68277 65300 11 263 15 242 15 269 18 284 65300 62547 17 284 17 270 21 259 19 277 62547 59888 24 304 22 289 20 264 22 264 59888 57111 24 282 27 284 23 287 29 266 57111 54220 23 282 28 288 33 286 37 275 54220 51448 31 289 38 276 43 280 48 285 51448 48944 36 285 39 285 50 277 54 279 48944 46696 40 288 52 289 52 279 51 275 46696 44651 57 294 59 289 53 289 48 286 44651 42783 60 287 61 289 64 300 63 302 42783 41087 53 277 61 289 76 301 82 299 41087 39542 50 302 60 296 80 303 81 296 39542 38121 64 311 74 304 88 307 82 302 38121 36791 68 314 84 304 92 306 83 302 36791 35502 73 317 81 303 87 304 82 298 35502 34185 75 315 74 304 83 303 82 294 34185 32812 69 316 70 304 80 300 84 291 32812 31387 50 303 64 299 81 293 85 290 31387 29896 52 281 59 294 81 288 83 290 29896 28328 49 278 58 292 75 287 79 290 28328 26685 47 279 59 287 66 286 72 286 26685 24967 46 281 64 286 61 285 62 277 24967 23176 46 285 67 287 59 284 56 270 23176 21314 49 285 67 284 57 282 52 271 21314 19372 51 295 61 281 54 277 50 273 19372 17343 41 301 54 281 53 272 50 278 17343 15272 32 296 47 285 53 279 52 284 15272 13274 26 287 42 285 53 283 52 287 13274 11453 35 279 35 286 41 280 38 284 11453 9833 37 268 26 274 39 274 33 277 9833 8392 23 241 27 251 46 273 39 270 8392 7111 15 218 29 235 37 262 41 255 7111 5976 12 213 28 223 34 244 39 253 5976 4971 9 200 22 206 26 237 31 254 4971 4087 6 195 14 178 17 230 22 253 4087 3307 4 104 12*159 10*216 12 254 3307 2612 14 087 8*129 8*209 5 277 2612 1999 18*079 8 125 7 207 5 357 1999 1489 15*073 8 125 7 208 8 012 1489 1098 13 071 8 122 6 209 10 017 1098 829 13 070 7 121 6 209 11 018 829 666 11 070 7 122 6 210 9*017 666 573 9 069 6 121 5 210 6*017 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography