DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.3 - - 63.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 332 - - 126 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8037 - - 9167 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6477 - - 6695 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8632 - - 9762 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1574 - - 1241 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 567 - - 433 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 24 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 279 - - 297 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 19 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - 3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 675 - - 1029 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7958 - - 8733 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3393 - - 287 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12025 - - 9475 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 56 - - 98 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.3 - - 63.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.3 - - 26.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.9 - - 62.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.1 - - 25.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 332 - - 126 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8037 - - 9167 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 92 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97121 21 258 25 259 97121 89785 44 261 46 267 89785 84214 41 254 49 256 84214 79610 26 242 39 251 79610 75612 15 238 26 237 75612 72033 19 267 23 243 72033 68763 32 264 31 255 68763 65748 37 242 37 249 65748 62941 30 249 39 255 62941 60220 40 264 41 265 60220 57394 47 267 48 267 57394 54463 46 266 48 268 54463 51651 52 275 50 275 51651 49106 61 273 57 275 49106 46818 65 267 64 275 46818 44739 65 265 69 275 44739 42836 67 267 73 275 42836 41082 69 272 75 278 41082 39464 73 276 77 280 39464 37968 78 278 81 281 37968 36576 84 279 82 280 36576 35248 89 280 82 281 35248 33916 92 279 82 283 33916 32547 90 280 85 285 32547 31140 86 284 87 286 31140 29672 83 286 86 286 29672 28127 80 286 84 286 28127 26501 77 287 80 287 26501 24795 75 287 76 289 24795 23009 72 289 73 291 23009 21147 71 295 69 293 21147 19205 71 299 66 298 19205 17178 69 301 65 301 17178 15109 65 301 62 302 15109 13119 60 304 55 303 13119 11319 48 305 45*300 11319 9731 32*300 32*297 9731 8321 27*291 31 297 8321 7064 25 286 26 297 7064 5945 24 282 24 297 5945 4953 23 280 23 297 4953 4078 20 274 22 297 4078 3305 19 272 21 297 3305 2613 19 271 20 298 2613 2001 18 271 20 298 2001 1491 18 270 19 298 1491 1099 17 270 18 298 1099 830 16 269 18 298 830 667 15 269 16 297 667 573 13 269 13 297 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography