DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 44.0 - - 43.9 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 193 - - 41 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 505 - - 4205 - - 5228 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 3204 - - 2363 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1100 - - 4800 - - 5823 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 664 - - 1070 - - 2781 - - 8780 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 109 - - 378 - - 244 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 20 - - 24 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 274 - - 265 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -959 - - 612 - - 910 - - -3009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2059 - - 4188 - - 4914 - - 3581 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3587 - - -955 - - 649 - - -3662 ODpotential blCL - - - 4687 - - 5755 - - 5174 - - 4234 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 88 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 44.0 - - 43.9 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 27.5 - - 24.2 - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 43.2 - - 43.8 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 27.2 - - 24.0 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 193 - - 41 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 505 - - 4205 - - 5228 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 51 - - 101 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95994 21 009 20 322 31 356 6 025 95994 89159 19 028 15 010 17 355 10 007 89159 83763 7 056 13 019 7 008 9 324 83763 79207 3 037 6 049 5 266 16 313 79207 75243 11 318 4 034 10 230 18 299 75243 71706 10 281 7 261 10 248 17 290 71706 68463 12 251 16 228 17 265 17 272 68463 65453 13 279 11 230 14 259 16 264 65453 62632 23 272 15 274 20 261 14 262 62632 59875 31 265 29 272 26 277 25 269 59875 56983 37 267 38 260 36 263 32 265 56983 53970 38 266 36 254 44 255 50 259 53970 51088 42 275 43 262 45 255 52 247 51088 48489 56 266 56 264 57 261 47 244 48489 46154 62 256 72 255 69 254 51 251 46154 44032 67 254 78 246 73 248 61 256 44032 42088 70 253 78 242 74 246 69 259 42088 40301 70 257 74 245 77 250 79 254 40301 38651 71 263 75 255 82 252 81 247 38651 37116 84 269 86 261 86 250 74 244 37116 35674 100 264 97 258 86 247 70 247 35674 34285 93 258 101 251 80 249 79 246 34285 32888 87 260 91 252 81 254 81 243 32888 31460 96 259 99 261 88 255 80 242 31460 30003 99 256 108 260 95 252 81 243 30003 28501 97 256 109 255 101 248 83 246 28501 26946 94 260 111 252 103 244 85 245 26946 25339 94 263 111 250 103 240 84 242 25339 23677 95 262 108 246 103 235 82 240 23677 21958 91 260 101 244 104 230 76 240 21958 20181 86 258 94 244 103 230 61 242 20181 18340 86 258 94 242 101 236 46 245 18340 16425 83 254 88 243 82 249 38 252 16425 14468 77 249 73 255 45 253 37 257 14468 12575 68 240 58 260 39 248 35 264 12575 10854 54 239 49 257 36 259 32 273 10854 9335 39 244 41 268 33 266 29 276 9335 7988 42 264 37 268 30 268 29 274 7988 6786 45 278 37 264 29*268 30 272 6786 5716 36 286 33*270 29*268 31 270 5716 4768 31 284 22*275 27 267 31 270 4768 3931 29 282 21 274 25 266 30 270 3931 3191 26 276 20 274 24 265 28 270 3191 2528 24 281 20 274 23 264 27 271 2528 1942 25 285 19 273 23 264 24 270 1942 1452 23*282 19 273 22 264 21 270 1452 1077 19*277 18 273 21 263 18 270 1077 818 15 274 17 273 19 263 15 269 818 661 13 273 16 273 17 263 13*269 661 571 10 272 14 272 14 262 8*268 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography