DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.5 - - 57.1 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 374 - - 278 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3902 - - 4699 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3261 - - 3753 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4497 - - 5294 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1021 - - 1129 - - 5005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 461 - - 443 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 313 - - 309 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1835 - - -985 - - -5009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6332 - - 6280 - - 5583 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7653 - - -6040 - - -9699 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12150 - - 11334 - - 10273 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 73 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.5 - - 57.1 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.9 - - 31.7 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.7 - - 30.8 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 374 - - 278 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3902 - - 4699 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96678 30 266 31 268 36 265 96678 89410 25 264 25 260 35 279 89410 83900 14 288 16 267 23 275 83900 79335 11 303 8 272 13 254 79335 75374 7 253 7 283 8 276 75374 71853 9 218 12 254 7 299 71853 68654 14 198 17 232 11 290 68654 65704 9 208 17 220 14 257 65704 62959 11 262 15 258 13 271 62959 60303 20 260 24 268 28 274 60303 57533 26 267 34 266 34 269 57533 54643 32 269 39 261 39 276 54643 51865 40 269 44 268 47 274 51865 49346 47 272 50 273 53 274 49346 47073 55 272 55 271 59 274 47073 45007 62 267 61 268 68 272 45007 43124 64 262 64 269 75 269 43124 41398 65 265 71 274 81 268 41398 39807 73 269 82 274 86 271 39807 38339 83 266 90 268 92 272 38339 36975 87 261 86 268 91 270 36975 35664 83 261 86 273 87 270 35664 34332 85 270 86 274 85 272 34332 32950 98 273 83 275 84 273 32950 31516 103 270 82 279 83 273 31516 30016 98 266 83 282 80 275 30016 28437 89 265 85 283 77 279 28437 26778 82 269 86 283 75 281 26778 25038 78 271 84 284 71 285 25038 23222 76 273 79 285 65 291 23222 21333 72 275 73 290 59 298 21333 19364 67 278 64 296 53 301 19364 17308 59 280 57 307 50 305 17308 15206 52 283 50 312 44 309 15206 13181 45 290 42 309 40 310 13181 11347 39 298 35 308 34 310 11347 9725 32 308 30 312 30 312 9725 8290 29 318 26 314 26 318 8290 7019 29 326 22 313 24 325 7019 5896 28 328 18*309 20 320 5896 4909 22*323 18*309 18 316 4909 4042 18*315 18 309 17 315 4042 3276 18 314 18 309 17 314 3276 2591 18 313 18 309 17 313 2591 1985 17 313 18 309 16 313 1985 1480 17 312 18 309 16 312 1480 1093 16 312 17 309 15 311 1093 827 15 312 16 308 13 310 827 665 14 312 15 309 11*310 665 573 12 312 13 308 8*309 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography