DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 19.7 - - 21.1 - - 19.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 215 - - 142 - - 66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2534 - - 2594 - - 2532 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2018 - - 1864 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3129 - - 3189 - - 3127 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 454 - - 581 - - 404 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 329 - - 289 - - 222 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 29 - - 24 - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 303 - - 305 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -15 - - 254 - - 414 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3145 - - 2935 - - 2713 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 84 - - 412 - - 459 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3045 - - 2777 - - 2668 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 19.7 - - 21.1 - - 19.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 8.2 - - 10.5 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 19.0 - - 20.5 - - 19.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 7.9 - - 10.3 - - 10.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 215 - - 142 - - 66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2534 - - 2594 - - 2532 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95764 22 289 33 287 37 274 95764 88661 29 282 32 277 38 271 88661 83143 25 294 27 270 35 274 83143 78582 18 292 25 273 28 263 78582 74666 16 290 19 257 21 241 74666 71179 11 281 23 263 25 276 71179 67993 25 287 36 271 37 276 67993 65041 40 266 48 259 40 271 65041 62288 52 253 44 257 44 272 62288 59609 50 255 46 262 54 268 59609 56805 47 263 54 258 60 268 56805 53889 53 272 59 260 64 269 53889 51102 71 271 65 267 70 271 51102 48591 83 268 71 269 73 272 48591 46338 84 265 79 270 76 272 46338 44291 83 264 82 270 74 274 44291 42417 82 266 82 271 80 275 42417 40693 83 269 86 272 82 273 40693 39094 85 270 88 271 79 275 39094 37602 86 273 89 270 80 277 37602 36205 87 274 91 270 80 278 36205 34862 83 273 87 270 75 280 34862 33510 77 283 77 277 71 283 33510 32130 82 286 74 285 65 283 32130 30725 81 282 64 285 57 286 30725 29272 73 282 51 292 52 292 29272 27746 67 290 48 303 53 297 27746 26138 60 285 47 311 56 298 26138 24446 52 286 48 315 57 299 24446 22672 50 292 49 315 55 300 22672 20818 50 298 48 310 51 303 20818 18878 55 300 49 307 49 306 18878 16844 50 305 47 303 49 308 16844 14764 44 310 49 304 49 306 14764 12763 40 314 51 308 49 307 12763 10950 39 320 48 309 45 309 10950 9345 39 327 45 309 42 313 9345 7928 40 329 43 311 40 318 7928 6679 40 326 39 315 37 325 6679 5583 42 328 34 321 35 330 5583 4624 40 330 31 320 33 328 4624 3795 36*320 28*308 30*315 3795 3078 30*303 25*305 26*309 3078 2442 30 303 25 305 26 309 2442 1880 30 303 25 305 25 309 1880 1412 29 302 24 305 24 310 1412 1053 28 302 23 305 23 309 1053 806 26 302 22 306 22 309 806 656 24 302 20 305 19 309 656 570 18 301 15 305 15 309 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography