DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.8 - - 44.9 - - 54.4 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 227 - - 117 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 219 - - 955 - - 1029 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 913 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 814 - - 1550 - - 1624 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 170 - - 286 - - 499 - - 147 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 243 - - 200 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 095 - - 233 - - 210 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2174 - - -3740 - - -3918 - - -3067 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2988 - - 5290 - - 5542 - - 3640 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16857 - - -14865 - - -12432 - - -13918 ODpotential blCL - - - 17671 - - 16415 - - 14056 - - 14491 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 65 - - 51 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.8 - - 44.9 - - 54.4 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.3 - - 24.4 - - 32.7 - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 43.8 - - 53.7 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 24.0 - - 32.3 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 227 - - 117 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 219 - - 955 - - 1029 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96566 17 298 11 300 14 352 20 301 96566 89508 17 004 12 036 19 015 25 024 89508 84015 17 031 17 047 11 017 23 025 84015 79420 19 027 18 037 7 026 14 009 79420 75430 16 001 17 022 15 021 11 016 75430 71887 15 352 10 352 18 355 14 005 71887 68681 17 336 9 319 15 329 15 346 68681 65730 23 324 16 306 18 308 18 336 65730 62987 29 301 24 297 26 295 25 311 62987 60328 32 299 30 290 32 288 32 311 60328 57558 41 293 36 294 40 290 44 294 57558 54689 43 295 41 293 46 288 46 291 54689 51936 45 299 47 291 52 287 56 283 51936 49446 58 291 45 287 54 279 64 280 49446 47205 57 280 47 296 54 281 69 279 47205 45168 49 300 58 302 64 292 55 287 45168 43312 60 308 82 299 80 301 65 299 43312 41629 77 298 83 287 87 294 79 297 41629 40087 64 283 69 283 79 288 83 288 40087 38647 48 273 52 303 62 298 77 282 38647 37293 34 302 63 323 64 309 64 299 37293 35988 67 342 72 324 72 310 70 307 35988 34663 79 338 68 323 71 307 72 304 34663 33285 73 336 57 323 66 306 69 303 33285 31856 62 339 48 322 64 307 64 305 31856 30359 53 343 47 317 63 307 57 301 30359 28778 44 346 46 312 59 304 55 298 28778 27114 37 345 44 305 59 300 62 298 27114 25368 34 338 44 303 59 302 70 298 25368 23541 34 331 44 307 54 303 60 302 23541 21639 33 318 43 305 45 302 46 301 21639 19654 29 311 37 302 40 306 41 298 19654 17584 26 310 32 307 36 298 38 299 17584 15468 25 311 30 313 32 295 37 293 15468 13425 20 305 27 325 29 298 35 289 13425 11560 19 295 19 307 24 291 32 286 11560 9903 21 299 18 295 24 287 32 285 9903 8440 23 310 20 296 22 289 28 283 8440 7146 24 317 20 302 22 291 28 276 7146 6000 23 319 21 310 23 283 27 267 6000 4984 23 317 22 314 22 278 22 259 4984 4090 22 312 21 314 19 278 21 254 4090 3301 16 312 15 305 16 278 19 248 3301 2600 6 316 8 279 13 276 16 238 2600 1984 4 322 4*229 8*220 13 211 1984 1477 5 267 3*229 7*209 14 178 1477 1090 5*215 3 232 7 210 15 168 1090 825 3*101 3 235 6 210 14 164 825 664 3 093 3 237 6 211 11*159 664 572 3 093 3 238 5 210 6*155 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography