DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 36.8 - - 30.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 254 - - 137 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2721 - - 2621 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2219 - - 1859 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3316 - - 3216 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 726 - - 800 - - 2125 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 356 - - 286 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 310 - - 306 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1008 - - -1048 - - -1992 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4325 - - 4265 - - 2565 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14338 - - -13442 - - -15648 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17654 - - 16658 - - 16220 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 77 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 36.8 - - 30.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 18.4 - - 20.6 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.9 - - 36.2 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 18.0 - - 20.5 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 254 - - 137 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2721 - - 2621 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 17 - - 9 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95306 83 263 84 266 82 262 95306 88417 54 266 54 272 56 277 88417 83131 39 263 42 273 50 281 83131 78706 28 263 34 267 39 275 78706 74839 24 271 29 273 35 273 74839 71373 24 273 30 274 34 282 71373 68209 28 271 32 269 33 279 68209 65275 33 274 35 266 31 282 65275 62534 36 285 35 275 34 287 62534 59870 44 283 36 272 36 279 59870 57081 43 278 37 278 40 279 57081 54188 47 276 47 287 45 284 54188 51441 52 269 52 280 48 285 51441 48976 51 270 51 267 50 280 48976 46759 48 281 46 268 51 276 46759 44737 52 294 49 279 54 275 44737 42892 73 289 59 284 64 279 42892 41220 88 281 74 284 73 280 41220 39695 86 281 81 278 79 284 39695 38283 78 288 79 280 85 284 38283 36955 74 294 79 287 85 281 36955 35667 71 298 80 289 80 279 35667 34348 74 302 79 289 77 279 34348 32971 77 305 79 291 74 282 32971 31538 78 304 76 291 73 284 31538 30035 79 302 74 287 68 284 30035 28450 78 303 69 288 62 284 28450 26786 76 305 62 295 53 284 26786 25043 79 304 61 304 44 293 25043 23220 81 304 64 311 41 301 23220 21319 75 310 59 314 38 295 21319 19332 71 317 53 317 33 282 19332 17251 74 332 53 331 26 310 17251 15122 72 342 53 339 25 312 15122 13071 63 349 47 347 28 307 13071 11210 49 350 39 348 27 311 11210 9566 38 348 33 339 25 314 9566 8123 33 348 30 335 24 312 8123 6858 31 348 27 337 22 311 6858 5748 28 344 25 338 17 310 5748 4773 24 337 22 332 13 307 4773 3918 21*329 17*311 15 292 3918 3169 16*312 16*306 13 275 3169 2506 16 311 16 306 11 270 2506 1925 16 310 16 306 10 278 1925 1441 15 310 16 306 10 286 1441 1070 15 309 16 306 9 292 1070 814 14 309 15 306 8 295 814 660 13 309 14 306 6*296 660 571 11 309 12 306 4*294 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography