DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 36.2 - - 38.8 - - 30.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 174 - - 63 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3308 - - 3383 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2499 - - 1739 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3903 - - 3978 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 444 - - 1045 - - 744 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 339 - - 244 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 311 - - 304 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -369 - - -1505 - - -2645 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4273 - - 5483 - - 3217 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4911 - - -5391 - - -6431 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8814 - - 9369 - - 7003 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 63 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 36.2 - - 38.8 - - 30.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 19.8 - - 17.1 - - 19.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 35.4 - - 38.6 - - 32.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 18.8 - - 16.2 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 174 - - 63 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3308 - - 3383 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95857 20 043 17 039 16 031 95857 88852 14 038 12 025 15 036 88852 83392 5 029 8 343 4 001 83392 78837 5 289 10 325 6 295 78837 74896 5 268 7 291 9 303 74896 71382 15 280 14 283 14 299 71382 68172 18 267 15 270 16 276 68172 65193 18 284 18 285 18 286 65193 62411 23 275 26 288 26 287 62411 59696 28 273 33 280 30 280 59696 56853 36 279 37 280 38 292 56853 53911 45 280 48 281 52 281 53911 51112 50 271 50 275 48 275 51112 48589 45 267 43 276 50 293 48589 46327 42 279 51 292 60 294 46327 44283 50 290 61 293 66 297 44283 42425 55 292 66 294 72 301 42425 40720 60 294 70 296 79 306 40720 39147 64 295 75 299 95 309 39147 37689 65 297 80 303 114 313 37689 36325 65 299 84 305 128 314 36325 35005 66 300 86 306 132 312 35005 33662 68 301 85 307 130 310 33662 32268 67 301 83 309 130 308 32268 30826 66 302 82 310 124 307 30826 29320 64 303 80 310 118 311 29320 27738 60 303 77 308 119 314 27738 26079 56 302 71 306 116 314 26079 24344 54 300 65 307 104 312 24344 22543 53 298 61 307 89 311 22543 20683 51 297 57 308 73 311 20683 18758 47 298 52 308 61 309 18758 16757 43 300 48 308 54 307 16757 14721 40 301 43 310 51 307 14721 12764 36 302 39 310 49 310 12764 10987 31 306 35 310 43 310 10987 9416 30 312 32 310 40 310 9416 8027 29 318 30 314 40 312 8027 6799 26 321 28 318 38 315 6799 5712 24 328 25 320 33 317 5712 4753 23*325 22*316 29 318 4753 3913 19*313 19*307 26 312 3913 3173 19 312 19 306 23 303 3173 2513 18 311 18 305 22 301 2513 1929 18 311 18 304 21 299 1929 1443 18 310 17 303 20 296 1443 1071 17 310 17 303 18 292 1071 815 16 309 16 302 15 287 815 660 15 309 14 302 12*285 660 571 12 309 12 301 5*280 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography