DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 74.2 - - 76.3 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 286 - - 138 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 603 - - 3649 - - 4518 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 2961 - - 3243 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1198 - - 4244 - - 5113 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1566 - - 853 - - 772 - - 4289 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 410 - - 347 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 11 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 051 - - 056 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4685 - - -4462 - - -4140 - - -6655 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5884 - - 8706 - - 9254 - - 7230 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14378 - - -12373 - - -11790 - - -15733 ODpotential blCL - - - 15576 - - 16617 - - 16903 - - 16308 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 43 - - 39 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 74.2 - - 76.3 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 38.3 - - 38.1 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 72.5 - - 75.5 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 37.7 - - 37.5 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 286 - - 138 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 603 - - 3649 - - 4518 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98092 9 260 14 234 25 231 26 244 98092 90721 16 260 23 250 21 243 20 249 90721 85009 14 253 18 238 22 251 15 272 85009 80270 10 237 13 246 15 257 14 271 80270 76196 6 246 10 262 9 258 14 277 76196 72607 6 318 11 274 8 291 12 308 72607 69379 18 312 12 286 11 298 15 326 69379 66425 16 284 15 284 17 293 19 314 66425 63699 17 291 18 289 20 291 21 298 63699 61063 27 297 23 289 25 287 22 291 61063 58314 30 280 28 284 29 280 26 283 58314 55471 37 280 34 278 34 277 32 276 55471 52774 41 279 38 275 39 277 40 272 52774 50351 44 282 41 278 43 274 45 265 50351 48174 49 278 45 281 43 274 47 264 48174 46192 52 271 47 279 41 276 46 267 46192 44370 48 273 50 272 42 276 45 271 44370 42684 47 277 46 270 43 275 40 276 42684 41116 45 277 42 275 37 276 39 275 41116 39643 37 292 39 273 35 283 35 274 39643 38251 37 298 33 280 35 282 32 281 38251 36901 33 299 30 287 32 281 32 281 36901 35527 29 308 27 291 30 289 28 276 35527 34099 27 321 25 295 28 294 24 276 34099 32616 26 331 22 303 23 298 20 272 32616 31064 24 338 19 315 19 301 17 265 31064 29430 23 339 16 314 16 291 17 259 29430 27717 25 335 14 307 15 280 17 268 27717 25925 24 336 14 309 15 281 16 280 25925 24055 21 323 13 300 17 279 18 289 24055 22102 19 313 16 280 21 283 16 290 22102 20060 22 310 21 286 22 291 17 290 20060 17933 23 305 21 290 21 291 22 285 17933 15766 18 310 17 290 18 287 20 285 15766 13674 12 301 13 292 18 286 16 293 13674 11769 12 296 12 300 15 290 16 297 11769 10076 10 297 12 300 13 296 15 294 10076 8578 11 322 10 300 11 304 11 285 8578 7254 13 328 10 308 8 321 5 296 7254 6089 13 336 10 327 5*343 1 345 6089 5067 13 005 7*013 3*054 3 072 5067 4169 13 025 6*047 3 056 5 063 4169 3375 13 040 7 050 3 056 5 061 3375 2665 12 050 7 051 3 058 6 061 2665 2038 11 064 7 051 3 057 7 060 2038 1514 11*063 7 052 3 056 7 059 1514 1113 9*059 7 052 3 056 7 058 1113 837 6 051 6 052 3 057 8 058 837 670 6 052 6 052 3 056 7*055 670 574 5 051 6 052 3 056 5*054 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography