DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 58.7 - - 62.5 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -20 - - 0 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 363 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 574 - - 574 - - 958 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 953 - - 778 - - 1543 - - 1308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 9 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 197 - - 302 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 381 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 573 - - 573 - - 577 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5839 - - -3533 - - -19 - - -1592 ODpotential blCL - - - 6413 - - 4107 - - 977 - - 2166 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 2230 - - 1080 - - 590 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.8 - - 58.7 - - 62.5 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 57.9 - - 61.5 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 58.9 - - 62.8 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 57.9 - - 61.4 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -20 - - 0 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 363 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96240 37 285 36 282 41 277 49 271 96240 89240 24 307 28 289 28 286 33 293 89240 83817 19 319 21 299 22 302 25 316 83817 79271 18 323 18 313 19 293 20 320 79271 75325 15 316 12 293 16 303 22 315 75325 71825 16 299 12 274 21 313 20 309 71825 68656 17 278 16 285 22 294 23 317 68656 65742 14 292 16 281 25 275 27 301 65742 63032 17 301 16 280 23 265 24 288 63032 60402 22 292 21 285 22 281 22 280 60402 57652 35 274 29 284 26 278 25 277 57652 54787 41 265 35 282 29 274 30 282 54787 52043 43 257 40 276 36 269 41 273 52043 49574 44 261 34 266 42 264 52 274 49574 47362 49 275 44 270 54 279 62 283 47362 45350 55 266 56 269 66 281 71 286 45350 43514 63 268 68 271 76 280 82 286 43514 41827 73 271 77 275 87 279 92 285 41827 40259 80 270 86 274 93 277 96 281 40259 38789 87 268 95 270 93 274 95 281 38789 37409 94 267 98 267 92 274 95 286 37409 36084 102 266 103 268 94 275 98 288 36084 34743 103 262 109 265 97 274 99 287 34743 33350 98 257 108 261 98 272 98 285 33350 31904 93 251 102 259 99 270 93 285 31904 30391 92 250 98 259 98 269 81 287 30391 28802 88 251 95 259 93 270 70 289 28802 27136 84 252 88 259 88 273 60 291 27136 25391 79 251 79 258 87 274 56 295 25391 23566 71 249 73 255 85 269 55 299 23566 21659 62 245 69 251 78 270 51 302 21659 19665 56 240 67 249 66 274 49 297 19665 17582 52 237 64 248 59 270 46 299 17582 15458 50 236 58 249 46 261 40 301 15458 13414 47 236 50 248 47 261 40 291 13414 11565 44 239 48 243 46 258 39 270 11565 9930 40 240 47 241 42 259 40 270 9930 8477 37 244 40 241 36 261 28 277 8477 7183 35 252 32 247 28 261 21 274 7183 6032 38 255 29 254 25 262 13 273 6032 5017 41 250 28 260 21 269 12 297 5017 4126 40 241 28 264 20 273 15 301 4126 3340 31 228 28 263 18 283 16 303 3340 2636 24 222 28 248 17 290 15 309 2636 2016 23 223 24 231 17 293 13 327 2016 1500 19 201 20 220 16 296 12 343 1500 1104 17 181 16 209 14*300 13 351 1104 832 14 163 10 201 13*301 13 351 832 667 12*155 8*199 13 302 11*350 667 573 7*144 5*197 8 302 5*347 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography