DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.5 - - 81.8 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 233 - - 143 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3680 - - 4821 - - 1128 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2936 - - 3547 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4275 - - 5416 - - 1723 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1688 - - 1852 - - 1440 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 395 - - 370 - - 53 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 094 - - 094 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -85 - - 381 - - -326 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4361 - - 5035 - - 2049 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2286 - - -1810 - - -2368 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6561 - - 7226 - - 4091 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 180 - - 320 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.5 - - 81.8 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.2 - - 61.6 - - 65.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.1 - - 80.9 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.1 - - 60.6 - - 65.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 233 - - 143 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3680 - - 4821 - - 1128 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 68 - - 69 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98568 6 062 9 032 20 050 98568 91127 12 103 13 094 11 073 91127 85429 10 092 12 119 7 035 85429 80679 13 114 10 095 9 072 80679 76565 13 107 11 100 10 074 76565 72933 9 080 12 106 9 060 72933 69654 9 059 9 086 8 062 69654 66653 5 092 4 080 5 012 66653 63880 7 133 1 141 2 220 63880 61194 2 160 4 202 5 186 61194 58396 12 203 11 218 10 220 58396 55496 15 208 19 214 17 230 55496 52733 26 214 24 212 23 230 52733 50256 32 216 31 210 28 229 50256 48046 38 207 35 205 32 221 48046 46046 42 205 38 203 36 213 46046 44218 50 202 41 198 42 207 44218 42534 56 199 45 198 45 206 42534 40973 56 194 44 196 43 207 40973 39512 52 190 40 192 38 208 39512 38135 48 187 37 189 30 212 38135 36801 47 182 35 187 29 213 36801 35440 46 173 34 188 28 212 35440 34022 46 164 33 189 27 214 34022 32549 40 169 31 185 25 216 32549 31006 35 177 30 168 22 213 31006 29380 33 183 31 156 23 208 29380 27670 32 191 28 173 23 210 27670 25878 29 198 21 194 17 207 25878 24008 25 208 20 206 12 181 24008 22062 26 213 16 208 11 196 22062 20028 13 146 11 219 11 204 20028 17906 19 076 10 193 18 190 17906 15747 14 084 13 073 20 179 15747 13670 14 073 20 062 15 137 13670 11783 17 067 21 074 17 086 11783 10113 17 069 21 087 25 079 10113 8632 16 073 18 089 26 086 8632 7315 14 085 14 091 21 087 7315 6147 15 093 10*093 16 079 6147 5114 15*094 9*093 14 069 5114 4204 14*094 9 094 14 067 4204 3400 13 094 9 094 13 075 3400 2683 13 094 9 094 13 093 2683 2051 13 094 9 095 13*105 2051 1524 13 095 9 095 12*109 1524 1119 12 095 9 095 11 110 1119 840 11 094 8 095 11 111 840 671 11 094 8 095 9 112 671 574 9 094 7 095 7 112 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography