DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.2 - - 79.3 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 257 - - 126 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2940 - - 4018 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2398 - - 2840 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3535 - - 4613 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1160 - - 1446 - - 4187 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 371 - - 327 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 22 - - 38 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 069 - - 057 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4552 - - -4967 - - -6745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8088 - - 9580 - - 7320 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11300 - - -11262 - - -14391 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14835 - - 15875 - - 14966 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 81 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.2 - - 79.3 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.0 - - 39.5 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.7 - - 78.4 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.1 - - 38.5 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 257 - - 126 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2940 - - 4018 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 41 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98026 13 286 12 249 23 306 98026 90704 7 292 11 237 17 302 90704 85045 3 232 5 238 6 281 85045 80352 5 179 6 313 3 015 80352 76316 6 141 6 295 6 349 76316 72767 7 116 5 234 8 310 72767 69570 3 123 4 218 8 298 69570 66626 2 159 4 251 8 308 66626 63889 1 056 3 259 8 316 63889 61234 3 000 1 278 11 324 61234 58469 7 334 3 329 10 321 58469 55606 10 322 9 322 13 325 55606 52879 16 335 17 321 16 325 52879 50427 25 336 23 328 21 334 50427 48226 28 328 26 328 25 334 48226 46221 27 322 28 328 27 335 46221 44376 26 320 32 327 32 333 44376 42662 24 323 35 324 33 329 42662 41064 25 326 33 321 28 328 41064 39566 25 326 29 327 26 326 39566 38158 24 323 26 331 26 328 38158 36800 16 306 23 332 30 334 36800 35426 11 294 18 323 34 342 35426 34005 12 303 15 320 30 335 34005 32536 12 308 16 332 24 321 32536 31000 10 309 15 336 19 325 31000 29382 7 304 13 338 20 338 29382 27679 7 297 12 331 21 339 27679 25890 9 299 12 329 19 338 25890 24020 6 310 13 334 15 344 24020 22072 3 317 10 316 10 353 22072 20039 2 330 6 314 8 329 20039 17915 2 299 5 319 6 318 17915 15748 1 018 3 313 5 303 15748 13665 1 176 1 272 4 298 13665 11776 2 085 1 206 3 294 11776 10099 3 027 2 027 3 312 10099 8612 5 036 5 045 2 066 8612 7294 7 057 5 068 5 095 7294 6128 6 067 4 082 4 085 6128 5100 5 071 2*060 3 024 5100 4196 3*070 1*054 3 016 4196 3398 3*068 1 055 3 034 3398 2683 3 070 1 057 4 047 2683 2050 3 068 2 058 5 057 2050 1523 3 070 2 057 6 064 1523 1118 3 070 2 060 6 067 1118 840 3 071 2 061 6 070 840 671 3 070 2 058 6*074 671 574 3 070 2 063 5*076 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography