DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.5 - - 76.8 - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 40 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1931 - - 1216 - - 2149 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2526 - - 1811 - - 2744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1776 - - 1210 - - 2341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 182 - - 103 - - 95 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 139 - - 120 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2132 - - -1816 - - -1632 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4658 - - 3628 - - 4376 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5485 - - -6442 - - -5716 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8011 - - 8253 - - 8460 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 98 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 210 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.5 - - 76.8 - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.2 - - 62.8 - - 62.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.3 - - 77.3 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.4 - - 61.6 - - 61.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 40 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1931 - - 1216 - - 2149 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 97 - - 91 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98626 6 158 9 073 7 008 98626 91102 16 127 4 144 7 005 91102 85331 12 096 6 116 6 047 85331 80554 12 068 12 089 8 069 80554 76437 13 059 17 071 13 060 76437 72809 12 061 14 052 15 045 72809 69539 13 048 11 047 14 024 69539 66546 14 023 13 029 14 012 66546 63784 15 007 14 006 16 359 63784 61124 16 340 15 341 17 341 61124 58363 24 317 18 312 20 316 58363 55503 26 303 20 298 24 303 55503 52768 24 290 22 308 26 304 52768 50307 29 282 33 304 29 301 50307 48107 31 281 40 287 36 295 48107 46118 27 272 38 269 39 278 46118 44309 24 267 34 267 31 276 44309 42644 18 253 32 272 21 285 42644 41093 14 245 26 273 22 295 41093 39636 15 230 21 274 31 291 39636 38257 14 199 15 267 23 277 38257 36920 18 190 15 278 15 271 36920 35558 14 224 21 268 17 275 35558 34137 13 255 17 246 22 270 34137 32660 11 268 12 244 22 264 32660 31113 9 274 14 250 22 263 31113 29482 9 273 20 263 19 265 29482 27768 11 277 20 274 19 268 27768 25971 14 296 16 274 20 275 25971 24093 14 300 20 283 23 284 24093 22142 15 285 21 269 30 293 22142 20114 15 273 23 263 33 301 20114 17999 14 262 18 266 30 300 17999 15846 13 252 17 267 29 300 15846 13774 10 253 25 286 31 305 13774 11890 12 258 33 293 24 300 11890 10212 13 255 31 292 23 288 10212 8718 12 256 23 297 19 279 8718 7387 11 257 17 291 13 271 7387 6206 9 255 10 277 9 254 6206 5161 6 240 4 237 6 225 5161 4243 6 209 4 162 7 182 4243 3433 6 194 8 138 7*169 3433 2710 5*185 13 126 7*161 2710 2070 3*165 13*120 6 154 2070 1536 2 142 13*120 6 149 1536 1126 2 133 12 120 6 145 1126 844 2 125 11 120 5 143 844 673 2 122 10 121 5 142 673 575 2 123 7 121 4 141 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography