DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 65.7 - - 62.2 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 242 - - 54 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 968 - - 1509 - - 529 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1346 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1563 - - 2104 - - 1124 - - 710 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 358 - - 546 - - 538 - - 529 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 293 - - 129 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 045 - - 081 - - 091 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 212 - - -735 - - 250 - - 63 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1351 - - 2839 - - 874 - - 647 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 170 - - -4734 - - -3502 - - -5245 ODpotential blCL - - - 1393 - - 6838 - - 4626 - - 5955 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 89 - - 99 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 330 - - 120 - - 190 - - 720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 65.7 - - 62.2 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 55.2 - - 60.1 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 64.3 - - 61.9 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 54.5 - - 59.5 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 242 - - 54 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 968 - - 1509 - - 529 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 56 - - 97 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 34 248 40 265 27 248 35 263 96596 89316 25 258 29 252 34 249 41 257 89316 83726 23 270 26 257 29 246 28 261 83726 79126 22 258 25 272 23 260 17 262 79126 75174 13 247 17 265 20 278 16 287 75174 71689 11 274 18 263 21 281 19 291 71689 68540 16 272 20 257 16 259 15 290 68540 65620 18 282 25 277 18 275 19 295 65620 62891 26 280 27 269 28 265 26 283 62891 60243 24 266 24 263 27 249 25 282 60243 57470 23 263 23 273 29 275 31 277 57470 54589 33 276 28 273 38 274 35 274 54589 51848 43 266 39 274 41 271 37 276 51848 49392 42 259 45 277 40 263 40 265 49392 47204 42 266 44 268 37 265 33 261 47204 45254 48 271 36 265 47 283 41 296 45254 43517 52 268 48 281 57 289 74 295 43517 41924 53 259 50 286 68 284 69 289 41924 40429 47 271 62 295 67 282 64 281 40429 39016 45 281 67 298 58 281 58 275 39016 37674 48 282 61 300 55 281 51 273 37674 36367 55 274 49 297 51 276 50 270 36367 35030 57 270 42 285 44 272 48 266 35030 33634 43 270 44 276 44 265 46 264 33634 32183 36 264 42 264 46 256 45 257 32183 30660 37 253 42 255 44 246 42 251 30660 29056 41 247 42 254 42 243 41 246 29056 27371 39 259 40 252 41 242 41 242 27371 25605 39 263 40 252 38 240 36 236 25605 23758 37 259 41 252 35 238 33 236 23758 21835 37 256 42 250 30 242 33 242 21835 19830 39 249 42 246 27 252 31 246 19830 17741 45 239 43 237 24 263 27 249 17741 15617 47 237 46 232 24 265 23 263 15617 13572 42 236 40 232 23 266 21 279 13572 11713 27 247 28 225 22 268 19 260 11713 10062 30 256 23 219 24 263 25 237 10062 8595 31 262 23 224 27 256 27 227 8595 7289 33 262 24 233 28 249 29 214 7289 6127 29 253 25 247 28 237 31 204 6127 5097 25 246 26 254 29 225 32 201 5097 4187 20 223 22 243 28 217 30 201 4187 3382 10 198 18 227 24 208 27 198 3382 2662 5 102 8*192 19 196 21 180 2662 2029 14*057 6*093 16 188 17 153 2029 1504 13*047 6 083 9*163 15 123 1504 1105 13 045 6 079 6*099 15 095 1105 833 12 044 6 077 6 091 12*092 833 668 12 043 6 076 6 087 10*091 668 574 10 043 6 075 5 086 7 090 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography