DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 58.8 - - 61.2 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 203 - - 45 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 508 - - 1634 - - 2227 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1359 - - 557 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1103 - - 2229 - - 2822 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 347 - - 798 - - 1570 - - 899 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 280 - - 189 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 18 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 270 - - 318 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1779 - - -3605 - - -3631 - - -4472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2883 - - 5834 - - 6453 - - 5046 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7352 - - -6882 - - -5147 - - -7597 ODpotential blCL - - - 8455 - - 9111 - - 7969 - - 8171 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 90 - - 94 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 58.8 - - 61.2 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 35.3 - - 34.8 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 57.7 - - 61.0 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 35.1 - - 34.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 203 - - 45 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 508 - - 1634 - - 2227 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 59 - - 76 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96652 5 192 2 185 13 218 21 259 96652 89404 14 264 11 259 15 249 15 268 89404 83806 14 228 15 241 16 275 11 272 83806 79151 7 250 14 237 16 269 18 268 79151 75128 8 289 10 241 15 250 14 257 75128 71569 12 284 10 260 13 265 13 268 71569 68344 16 275 15 268 13 251 17 267 68344 65379 23 273 15 275 17 262 22 270 65379 62624 26 264 26 277 27 269 20 270 62624 59939 27 259 31 269 34 271 32 279 59939 57134 31 266 38 268 42 268 33 269 57134 54211 47 260 45 263 46 265 35 281 54211 51409 49 252 54 255 56 264 54 270 51409 48886 54 267 53 252 58 261 57 264 48886 46621 64 275 50 261 60 261 58 262 46621 44564 71 267 58 270 59 262 62 265 44564 42686 71 263 71 270 73 269 75 266 42686 40968 70 266 82 266 89 266 82 263 40968 39384 71 267 84 262 88 261 84 261 39384 37911 70 264 80 263 88 265 87 262 37911 36529 68 262 81 267 100 271 92 265 36529 35201 64 261 85 270 114 271 102 268 35201 33860 58 259 86 270 118 267 112 267 33860 32474 55 256 84 268 114 264 118 264 32474 31041 57 254 79 266 108 264 117 262 31041 29544 60 256 72 264 104 264 113 261 29544 27971 60 257 70 261 92 263 106 261 27971 26328 52 258 69 261 71 259 92 260 26328 24621 51 258 62 262 57 255 73 254 24621 22851 56 259 52 258 48 252 60 251 22851 21018 57 262 53 262 46 250 51 259 21018 19111 52 265 49 263 45 251 51 260 19111 17118 47 265 42 270 40 247 54 253 17118 15079 47 271 39 279 37 249 54 247 15079 13107 37 265 34 282 39 255 49 238 13107 11316 24 284 35 274 32 244 42 233 11316 9729 21 290 27 262 24 234 37 237 9729 8317 20 288 16 276 26 245 28 237 8317 7057 21 282 16 272 27 257 27 235 7057 5935 21 274 18 261 24 256 21 228 5935 4940 18 275 16 261 20 253 11 212 4940 4066 17 274 15 265 15 251 7 169 4066 3295 15 265 12 258 7*256 6 126 3295 2606 11 247 8*247 3*305 6 102 2606 1996 6 226 3*265 3 316 8 080 1996 1487 2*276 3 268 3 318 10 067 1487 1097 6*347 3 272 3 322 11 058 1097 828 5 347 3 272 3 323 11 053 828 666 5 347 3 273 3 323 10*051 666 573 5 346 2 275 3 326 6*050 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography