DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.0 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 433 - - 159 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3588 - - 5359 - - 5174 - - 1696 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11486 - - 12930 - - 12328 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12598 - - 14369 - - 14184 - - 10706 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1162 - - 1007 - - 1142 - - 1771 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 473 - - 566 - - 401 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 288 - - 275 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -8 - - 6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2353 - - 1850 - - 1736 - - 716 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10246 - - 12519 - - 12449 - - 9991 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -538 - - -1796 - - -2135 - - -5276 ODpotential blCL - - - 13136 - - 16165 - - 16319 - - 15982 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 74 - - 67 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.0 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.2 - - 25.1 - - 25.4 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 56.4 - - 57.5 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 24.5 - - 25.0 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 433 - - 159 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3588 - - 5359 - - 5174 - - 1696 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98796 2 243 4 026 3 239 8 310 98796 91430 3 018 5 050 3 303 8 017 91430 85739 3 032 4 052 10 027 9 069 85739 81006 10 086 5 106 8 021 10 064 81006 76919 12 081 3 044 8 056 7 057 76919 73304 11 062 6 091 6 072 8 043 73304 70033 2 013 10 075 7 110 8 024 70033 67013 4 096 2 080 2 003 9 063 67013 64202 8 119 11 154 10 220 2 312 64202 61479 11 232 5 182 5 186 7 175 61479 58633 16 224 12 210 19 241 17 236 58633 55666 27 237 25 227 26 228 19 229 55666 52831 27 230 30 237 28 239 27 245 52831 50293 27 237 36 239 37 242 36 250 50293 48025 35 242 43 233 40 243 37 246 48025 45962 48 245 48 235 40 242 38 246 45962 44064 61 244 54 239 45 245 44 249 44064 42312 70 244 63 240 53 245 52 249 42312 40691 74 245 71 240 60 243 57 249 40691 39187 79 248 73 242 64 243 59 248 39187 37792 81 249 75 245 65 246 59 250 37792 36473 81 249 75 248 64 248 61 253 36473 35164 80 251 75 250 68 251 62 254 35164 33839 80 252 74 251 70 252 60 255 33839 32500 74 253 69 253 65 253 56 258 32500 31135 65 256 59 255 56 256 51 261 31135 29733 59 258 55 260 51 258 49 262 29733 28298 57 261 53 261 50 259 48 262 28298 26830 57 262 52 262 48 262 47 263 26830 25333 57 263 50 264 46 264 46 263 25333 23811 54 265 49 266 45 266 44 263 23811 22258 46 271 48 268 44 267 42 264 22258 20670 37 271 45 273 43 267 40 265 20670 19075 28 268 37 280 40 267 36 266 19075 17551 23 268 31 284 36 268 32 265 17551 16169 23 271 27 285 32 271 29 266 16169 14934 24 275 24*284 26*275 27 267 14934 13824 24 279 18*282 17*276 25 269 13824 12822 22*283 12 285 8 273 21 270 12822 11914 17*289 12 287 8 274 16 269 11914 11093 14 297 11 288 8 274 10*260 11093 10351 13 299 12 289 8 276 6*249 10351 9681 13 301 12 290 8 276 5 252 9681 9065 13 302 11 290 8 276 5 272 9065 8510 13 302 11 291 8 276 7 289 8510 8037 12 303 11 291 8 276 8 294 8037 7668 11 303 10 292 7 276 8 295 7668 7410 10 303 10 291 7 276 7 293 7410 7253 10 303 9 291 6 275 5 290 7253 7162 8 303 7 291 5 274 3 290 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography