DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 63.6 - - 63.8 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 357 - - 131 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5921 - - 6848 - - 7660 - - 3125 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13273 - - 14048 - - 14097 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14931 - - 15858 - - 16670 - - 12135 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1618 - - 1851 - - 2001 - - 3778 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 536 - - 578 - - 431 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 20 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 204 - - 205 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 24 - - 31 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 22 - - 16 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3466 - - 4064 - - 4052 - - 1363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11465 - - 11795 - - 12618 - - 10773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1844 - - 1411 - - 1603 - - -3227 ODpotential blCL - - - 13087 - - 14447 - - 15067 - - 15362 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 75 - - 75 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 130 - - 70 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 63.6 - - 63.8 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 36.5 - - 33.2 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.8 - - 65.3 - - 66.5 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 36.0 - - 32.7 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 357 - - 131 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5921 - - 6848 - - 7660 - - 3125 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98961 4 311 6 229 3 352 4 353 98961 91522 4 165 4 037 2 053 4 308 91522 85805 7 092 2 071 6 335 5 048 85805 81065 7 113 6 117 3 287 8 039 81065 76980 11 109 7 100 5 129 9 074 76980 73364 8 106 10 113 6 093 10 103 73364 70084 9 134 5 122 8 067 7 108 70084 67052 15 125 12 152 1 154 7 092 67052 64227 8 121 17 142 11 170 8 202 64227 61506 1 241 5 079 1 075 5 151 61506 58667 19 207 14 202 12 227 14 209 58667 55707 35 221 34 219 32 223 29 233 55707 52880 32 226 38 223 39 226 38 235 52880 50338 38 226 42 222 42 226 44 227 50338 48062 43 222 44 222 45 226 47 223 48062 45996 47 222 49 223 51 227 52 225 45996 44103 53 225 56 224 58 228 57 230 44103 42359 63 225 63 227 66 229 65 233 42359 40748 75 226 72 228 74 228 75 233 40748 39256 86 226 78 227 79 226 81 231 39256 37877 89 225 80 225 81 223 83 228 37877 36574 89 225 81 225 81 222 81 226 36574 35280 87 226 80 225 78 221 77 226 35280 33965 82 226 79 225 74 222 73 228 33965 32631 77 224 77 224 71 224 69 229 32631 31265 72 223 74 224 68 224 66 230 31265 29858 67 223 71 223 65 223 62 229 29858 28415 62 223 68 222 62 223 58 227 28415 26938 58 222 64 221 59 223 54 225 26938 25432 55 220 59 219 54 223 50 223 25432 23907 53 219 55 216 51 223 48 221 23907 22360 52 216 51 215 49 222 47 221 22360 20783 51 215 49 215 47 220 46 220 20783 19198 48 215 46 215 44 218 46 216 19198 17681 44 216 43 216 41*214 45 211 17681 16299 38 218 38*217 37*210 42 207 16299 15060 30*218 32*217 33 209 38 207 15060 13943 24*216 26 216 29 208 33 209 13943 12931 19 212 21 213 23 206 28*211 12931 12011 15 204 18 208 19 205 22*212 12011 11175 12 193 16 197 15 202 16 211 11175 10420 12 185 15 195 13 198 11 206 10420 9736 12 183 15 193 12 197 8 197 9736 9109 12 181 15 192 11 196 6 187 9109 8541 12 180 14 191 11 195 5 183 8541 8057 12 180 14 190 10 194 4 185 8057 7680 11 179 14 190 10 194 3 187 7680 7417 11 179 13 189 9 194 2 177 7417 7255 10 178 12 189 9 193 1 115 7255 7163 8 177 10 188 7 193 1 064 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography