DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.6 - - 32.3 - - 33.4 - - 30.7 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 0 - - 9 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1889 - - 2051 - - 2262 - - 2099 - - 1714 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 8 - - 23 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 208 - - 264 - - 283 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 9 - - 3 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -858 - - -1104 - - 1 - - 1 - - -280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8020 - - 8266 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7443 sfcLCL ODpotential -10676 - - -9633 - - -8264 - - -7209 - - -8975 ODpotential blCL 17838 - - 16795 - - 15426 - - 14371 - - 16137 blCL maxRH 60 - - 61 - - 78 - - 75 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.6 - - 32.3 - - 33.4 - - 30.7 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.1 - - 21.6 - - 29.0 - - 27.0 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.0 - - 36.9 - - 37.5 - - 37.9 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.4 - - 20.6 - - 28.0 - - 27.2 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 0 - - 9 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96612 22 081 21 074 16 077 19 076 20 081 96612 89554 31 073 24 096 15 093 16 074 21 081 89554 84058 27 086 22 095 17 096 14 070 24 083 84058 79457 21 094 23 107 17 090 11 089 21 072 79457 75464 13 106 15 090 14 082 9 125 12 077 75464 71907 9 112 2 125 4 028 3 140 7 105 71907 68676 2 325 3 247 6 271 5 288 4 347 68676 65710 10 291 7 309 9 258 9 285 10 282 65710 62955 14 275 14 294 12 276 12 297 16 274 62955 60284 18 290 19 275 15 280 14 293 20 270 60284 57503 26 290 17 283 13 285 15 283 20 257 57503 54623 26 281 19 289 18 291 15 285 15 263 54623 51892 17 283 19 287 17 286 14 271 14 265 51892 49439 12 306 17 294 17 293 13 281 12 271 49439 47234 11 336 14 301 18 287 20 292 22 305 47234 45235 16 339 13 288 16 284 19 280 25 301 45235 43419 15 322 14 296 15 299 12 265 15 291 43419 41758 16 329 20 310 21 313 18 316 14 308 41758 40223 27 342 23 320 24 314 27 323 22 322 40223 38796 32 349 25 334 21 319 23 323 19 319 38796 37464 30 356 26 346 17 341 12 334 12 321 37464 36195 23 359 21 349 15 353 9 357 7 333 36195 34926 14 008 15 344 10 342 7 349 1 067 34926 33629 9 014 12 343 5 318 4 315 4 157 33629 32308 12 015 6 328 4 276 6 233 5 183 32308 30954 14 025 2 187 9 220 11 228 8 247 30954 29563 13 029 5 180 12 216 13 231 11 271 29563 28135 10 043 8 184 15 207 12 239 13 288 28135 26671 9 058 10 180 17 211 12 233 12 279 26671 25176 11 053 10 194 16 219 12 222 11 257 25176 23654 11 043 6 223 12 240 10 236 11 251 23654 22105 10 033 3 238 9 255 7 248 11 259 22105 20524 8 017 5 290 8 274 6 255 10 265 20524 18939 9 344 9 304 9 294 7 277 10 277 18939 17427 12 327 10 307 9 296 9 289 11 290 17427 16054 12 324 9 311 9 289 9 289 11 295 16054 14828 10 323 8 317 7 278 8 280 10 294 14828 13725 8 318 6 313 6 266 7 270 8 291 13725 12730 7 308 5 292 6 264 7 268 7 289 12730 11830 6 300 6 271 7 269 8 271 7 291 11830 11016 6 294 7 262 9 272 9 271 8 291 11016 10283 6 293 9 259 11 275 10 269 8 291 10283 9621 5 293 9 258 11 278 10 267 9 290 9621 9017 5 293 8 258 10 281 9 267 9 289 9017 8473 5 294 6 255 7 282 7 268 9 292 8473 8011 4 298 5 239 4 275 4 276 7 295 8011 7652 4 308 4 214 2 246 2 283 5 304 7652 7402 4 321 3 186 1 184 0 077 3 330 7402 7249 2*328 2*155 2*179 1*089 2*051 7249 7161 2*328 2*159 1*182 1*091 2*063 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography