DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.6 - - 41.3 - - 44.2 - - 42.1 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 71 - - 81 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 809 - - 1799 - - 1174 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 9471 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9819 - - 10809 - - 10184 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1996 - - 1426 - - 1042 - - 1144 - - 3094 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 170 - - 232 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 298 - - 292 - - 286 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 19 - - 15 - - 15 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -13 - - -8 - - 6 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2129 - - 2639 - - 2628 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7691 - - 8171 - - 7556 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential -4194 - - -3017 - - -1618 - - -4833 - - -6652 ODpotential blCL 11356 - - 12836 - - 12427 - - 15017 - - 13815 blCL maxRH 78 - - 77 - - 92 - - 77 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.6 - - 41.3 - - 44.2 - - 42.1 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 32.8 - - 33.6 - - 34.1 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.2 - - 44.4 - - 47.4 - - 47.9 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 31.7 - - 32.4 - - 32.9 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 71 - - 81 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 809 - - 1799 - - 1174 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 6 - - 69 - - 8 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95985 34 300 26 285 28 284 34 292 28 316 95985 89104 25 302 19 297 21 295 28 301 26 313 89104 83768 17 308 13 307 15 293 19 319 16 310 83768 79289 11 338 11 307 15 292 18 311 10 318 79289 75375 7 358 5 311 10 297 20 296 11 317 75375 71877 15 313 8 330 10 307 16 290 16 309 71877 68703 14 305 16 326 12 330 6 311 15 301 68703 65784 13 338 18 322 19 350 7 099 13 315 65784 63072 24 325 20 308 28 310 22 322 19 314 63072 60454 19 305 18 314 26 292 32 303 21 317 60454 57721 26 313 21 310 19 296 25 282 24 307 57721 54864 28 303 31 312 34 303 42 313 33 276 54864 52109 30 307 49 297 48 295 32 285 44 310 52109 49628 41 299 52 294 46 293 44 307 64 316 49628 47418 49 295 45 298 43 305 71 314 65 319 47418 45412 51 296 46 309 59 313 80 318 71 323 45412 43582 48 299 51 308 65 311 74 312 71 321 43582 41913 45 303 53 305 59 304 50 299 50 311 41913 40373 49 308 49 300 52 291 40 286 46 297 40373 38934 56 307 41 295 39 295 41 294 46 292 38934 37594 56 301 38 300 38 324 42 302 37 291 37594 36323 51 299 43 322 56 331 45 297 38 290 36323 35061 48 307 58 336 60 323 40 291 40 289 35061 33776 54 317 65 335 52 314 37 291 39 284 33776 32465 60 317 62 335 41 308 37 292 37 285 32465 31121 59 314 53 338 40 296 38 295 31 292 31121 29734 55 310 48 343 41 299 40 298 29 293 29734 28309 51 306 46 346 37 307 41 300 33 292 28309 26848 49 304 37 346 29 315 43 301 39 298 26848 25354 49 303 29 327 22 304 45 303 37 305 25354 23835 48 302 31 311 23 299 45 306 32 305 23835 22285 44 304 28 308 27 299 46 306 30 300 22285 20701 36 303 29 302 30 300 44 301 31 297 20701 19106 35 296 34 295 30 303 42 297 31 299 19106 17580 39 294 37 291 29 308 39 297 31 302 17580 16191 41 297 37 291 30 312 37 302 31 306 16191 14947 38 301 35 292 31 313 36 309 31 310 14947 13828 33 302 32 292 31 310 34 313 29 311 13828 12817 29 299 30 290 30 306 29 313 26 313 12817 11902 27 294 28 288 27 301 25 309 22 311 11902 11075 26 290 27 286 23*296 21 304 18 306 11075 10331 25 290 26*287 19*292 17*297 15 295 10331 9661 24 293 24*290 14 289 14*290 12 280 9661 9048 22 298 21 293 10 290 11 284 10 266 9048 8496 19 306 17 298 9 293 9 281 8 252 8496 8027 14 317 13 303 7 297 7 283 6 236 8027 7662 10 333 10 307 6 299 5 288 4 224 7662 7407 7 355 8 310 5 302 2 302 2 215 7407 7251 5*013 7 311 5 302 1 342 0*292 7251 7162 2*025 6 313 4 304 1 056 0*301 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography