DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.9 - - 38.0 - - 37.5 - - 27.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 39 - - -12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 791 - - 3478 - - 3491 - - 270 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 10086 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9801 - - 12488 - - 12501 - - 9280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1369 - - 1913 - - 2252 - - 1230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 239 - - 102 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 18 - - 19 - - 31 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 196 - - 216 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 24 - - 23 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 28 - - 33 - - -50 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2640 - - 5120 - - 5340 - - 2120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7369 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1535 - - 1754 - - 1795 - - -1819 ODpotential blCL - - - 11336 - - 10734 - - 10706 - - 11099 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 88 - - 96 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 200 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.9 - - 38.0 - - 37.5 - - 27.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 30.5 - - 31.1 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 41.5 - - 42.3 - - 32.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 29.3 - - 30.0 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 39 - - -12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 791 - - 3478 - - 3491 - - 270 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 53 - - 84 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96070 10 291 17 293 19 299 17 334 96070 88999 10 314 15 296 15 306 15 325 88999 83593 12 359 7 299 15 335 12 342 83593 79084 18 337 16 318 16 327 16 333 79084 75172 20 328 12 319 23 332 19 317 75172 71707 25 310 34 307 33 316 28 298 71707 68553 38 291 43 288 41 297 37 293 68553 65623 41 283 41 284 45 296 42 282 65623 62868 40 282 39 286 48 286 42 282 62868 60163 42 283 39 286 40 279 42 283 60163 57314 46 279 45 281 39 284 43 281 57314 54348 52 276 53 276 55 277 48 278 54348 51511 57 274 62 271 59 273 55 275 51511 48955 58 273 61 267 58 271 57 268 48955 46664 59 272 58 268 56 270 54 264 46664 44589 57 272 57 269 54 270 49 265 44589 42687 58 269 59 263 56 264 46 264 42687 40928 58 260 60 254 60 255 44 260 40928 39296 57 254 56 249 57 244 41 253 39296 37782 62 247 57 248 48 237 39 246 37782 36381 66 237 67 238 46 239 37 241 36381 35059 65 235 75 229 56 244 35 237 35059 33750 63 231 78 224 70 239 47 236 33750 32433 59 228 75 222 80 227 60 228 32433 31121 58 229 71 222 81 220 64 224 31121 29802 60 232 70 224 78 223 60 224 29802 28470 60 233 70 224 79 225 52 226 28470 27123 58 232 68 223 75 224 43 220 27123 25748 54 229 62 223 68 223 41 216 25748 24342 52 227 53 227 64 220 38 218 24342 22912 51 229 47 234 60 220 34 220 22912 21455 51 232 45 239 53 221 30 224 21455 19965 49 232 46 235 49 222 27 227 19965 18467 46 232 48 228 47 223 25 230 18467 17035 44 232 46 224 44 223 24 231 17035 15733 41 232 43 225 39 222 21 232 15733 14566 37 232 39 226 36 222 18 233 14566 13515 34 231 36 226 33 221 13 235 13515 12562 32 227 33*223 30*220 6 270 12562 11698 30 222 29*217 27*219 11 333 11698 10913 28 216 25 209 24 218 20 336 10913 10205 25*209 22 201 22 216 30 330 10205 9564 22*201 19 193 20 215 38*324 9564 8977 18 192 17 185 18 215 39*322 8977 8447 14 178 15 180 17 215 38 321 8447 7996 12 166 14 178 15 215 34 321 7996 7644 11 162 13 177 13 214 29 321 7644 7398 10 160 12 177 10 212 24 321 7398 7247 9 159 10 176 8 211 20 321 7247 7161 7 158 8 176 5 209 11 322 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography