DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.1 - - 27.7 - - 34.2 - - 31.5 - - 25.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 2 - - 8 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 834 - - 248 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9844 - - 9258 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 366 - - 2830 - - 1417 - - 1382 - - 1917 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 16 - - 91 - - 24 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 9 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 001 - - 291 - - 308 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 13 - - 18 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -10 - - -5 - - -12 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1154 - - -2102 - - 496 - - 952 - - -1500 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8316 - - 9264 - - 9348 - - 8307 - - 8663 sfcLCL ODpotential -9144 - - -9253 - - -6412 - - -5867 - - -8589 ODpotential blCL 16306 - - 16415 - - 16256 - - 15125 - - 15751 blCL maxRH 55 - - 84 - - 62 - - 74 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.1 - - 27.7 - - 34.2 - - 31.5 - - 25.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.7 - - 12.8 - - 18.7 - - 20.7 - - 13.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.6 - - 34.0 - - 38.2 - - 38.0 - - 35.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.9 - - 11.8 - - 17.5 - - 19.5 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 2 - - 8 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 834 - - 248 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95453 64 293 60 298 57 313 41 321 36 311 95453 88659 32 314 31 292 47 301 42 309 39 328 88659 83333 20 316 17 331 33 291 33 304 26 315 83333 78848 26 307 19 326 20 306 32 318 15 321 78848 74919 30 298 24 287 24 283 38 298 38 311 74919 71436 25 301 21 286 18 278 30 291 43 300 71436 68300 27 310 21 305 14 315 21 303 28 297 68300 65396 30 298 27 299 21 313 23 309 22 312 65396 62658 29 292 30 289 31 300 29 301 29 315 62658 59985 31 294 31 286 39 292 34 294 39 305 59985 57204 31 288 33 283 36 284 33 294 37 296 57204 54314 39 295 37 291 34 288 33 295 32 296 54314 51536 54 288 47 283 42 288 38 298 35 303 51536 49023 57 275 54 275 52 285 44 297 40 299 49023 46768 45 265 53 277 51 284 43 293 40 306 46768 44735 35 290 53 284 44 288 38 301 52 314 44735 42899 53 306 54 290 42 293 39 316 51 311 42899 41231 64 300 55 298 44 312 45 343 36 331 41231 39706 52 307 58 311 51 318 58 350 62 356 39706 38300 62 320 64 313 47 326 68 341 77 340 38300 36998 66 318 64 324 59 345 68 335 71 332 36998 35763 54 320 62 327 68 344 61 333 63 332 35763 34528 47 336 55 318 68 335 60 334 60 332 34528 33265 51 349 46 324 67 331 61 336 58 332 33265 31980 57 353 51 328 61 330 58 337 58 334 31980 30661 62 353 54 332 56 325 58 333 58 336 30661 29303 65 349 54 332 52 320 60 331 58 338 29303 27907 67 345 54 329 45 319 58 334 59 340 27907 26475 68 345 49 332 39 324 50 334 60 340 26475 25011 62 347 43 336 37 329 45 327 59 342 25011 23519 50 340 38 332 35 332 41 320 53 341 23519 21996 42 327 36 326 32 334 38 318 43 332 21996 20437 37 313 36 319 30 328 36 321 39 325 20437 18869 35 306 36 313 33 321 34 324 40 324 18869 17369 35 305 33 312 35 318 33 328 39 325 17369 16005 33 307 30 313 34 317 33 331 36 328 16005 14786 31 308 25 315 32 318 32 331 33 332 14786 13691 28 307 21 316 28 318 31 329 30 334 13691 12700 26 307 17 315 24 315 30 325 29 334 12700 11804 24 308 15 313 20 311 27 321 30 331 11804 10994 22 311 13 311 18 304 24 317 31 326 10994 10265 21 315 12 311 16*298 22 312 32 321 10265 9607 20 320 11 312 15*293 21*307 31 317 9607 9006 19 327 9 314 13 291 20*306 28 315 9006 8465 17 336 7 321 11 291 18 308 23 315 8465 8006 14 347 5 336 7 290 14 309 17 319 8006 7649 12 358 4 002 5 288 10 308 11 324 7649 7400 9 005 3 017 3 284 7 307 7 328 7400 7248 7*005 2*022 3 282 5 308 4*332 7248 7161 3*006 1*030 2 283 2 315 0*046 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography