DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 53.5 - - 52.9 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 104 - - 32 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1775 - - 3866 - - 2294 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 11128 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10785 - - 12876 - - 11304 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1367 - - 2793 - - 2512 - - 3701 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 320 - - 182 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 20 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 211 - - 213 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 27 - - 23 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 22 - - 18 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2788 - - 3712 - - 1935 - - -1904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7997 - - 9165 - - 9369 - - 9067 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 151 - - 1250 - - -824 - - -6573 ODpotential blCL - - - 10634 - - 11626 - - 12128 - - 13736 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 80 - - 60 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 53.5 - - 52.9 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 37.9 - - 36.5 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 56.5 - - 56.4 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 37.4 - - 36.1 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 104 - - 32 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1775 - - 3866 - - 2294 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 103 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98989 9 148 3 214 5 197 5 355 98989 91550 4 202 2 219 2 193 3 161 91550 85842 10 180 6 179 6 345 8 081 85842 81117 12 124 8 134 2 098 7 064 81117 77020 10 102 12 119 5 120 5 081 77020 73391 8 127 10 098 10 111 7 104 73391 70103 8 130 9 145 9 045 10 075 70103 67063 9 126 14 155 2 209 4 045 67063 64237 6 187 5 139 12 180 6 188 64237 61502 21 197 12 213 15 164 11 200 61502 58643 21 209 24 219 24 223 16 196 58643 55668 28 231 29 221 30 215 22 231 55668 52838 41 234 40 237 37 237 36 234 52838 50310 49 226 47 234 50 235 43 228 50310 48049 52 225 51 231 56 231 46 232 48049 45998 54 229 58 231 57 229 52 228 45998 44123 62 232 66 232 61 231 57 226 44123 42391 70 232 72 232 70 233 65 227 42391 40782 73 230 77 231 79 231 75 228 40782 39283 74 226 80 231 84 227 83 227 39283 37887 73 225 79 229 85 226 85 225 37887 36562 73 224 75 229 85 226 84 224 36562 35244 73 223 75 230 84 228 83 224 35244 33904 73 220 76 230 83 230 82 225 33904 32546 75 219 76 227 81 231 81 227 32546 31160 76 219 74 225 78 231 78 228 31160 29740 76 219 73 224 74 229 73 228 29740 28290 76 222 72 224 70 228 69 227 28290 26812 76 226 72 224 70 227 68 228 26812 25309 75 229 72 224 71 227 68 229 25309 23788 72 229 71 224 71 228 67 229 23788 22246 67 227 69 225 69 227 64 230 22246 20675 65 224 66 226 67 226 62 226 20675 19097 60 224 62 228 62 223 59 215 19097 17587 53 225 56 227 55 219 55 209 17587 16213 47 223 48 224 49 216 48 207 16213 14983 43 219 41 220 45 215 40 206 14983 13874 42 217 37*217 40 214 33 203 13874 12870 40 219 34*217 35 214 27 199 12870 11957 36 222 31 217 30*213 23 196 11957 11129 31*225 25 216 25*212 19 197 11129 10380 24*227 20 212 20 212 15 199 10380 9702 18 228 17 207 16 214 11 204 9702 9081 12 225 14 202 11 216 7 217 9081 8520 9 221 13 201 7 215 3 254 8520 8043 8 218 13 201 5 212 3 347 8043 7672 7 216 12 200 4 210 5 013 7672 7412 7 214 11 200 4 210 6 019 7412 7253 6 214 10 199 3 213 6*019 7253 7162 5 213 8 199 2 210 4*013 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography