DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 76.8 - - 76.0 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 268 - - 92 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8087 - - 12494 - - 11404 - - 7629 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14752 - - 18460 - - 16675 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17097 - - 21504 - - 20414 - - 16639 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2863 - - 1105 - - 2312 - - 4410 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 647 - - 443 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 260 - - 267 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 22 - - 19 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 17 - - 17 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5281 - - 6362 - - 5163 - - 2234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11816 - - 15143 - - 15252 - - 14406 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1167 - - 3216 - - 2683 - - -1964 ODpotential blCL - - - 15930 - - 18288 - - 17731 - - 18603 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 82 - - 89 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 270 - - 190 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 76.8 - - 76.0 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.3 - - 35.0 - - 33.8 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 78.9 - - 79.0 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 34.0 - - 32.9 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 268 - - 92 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8087 - - 12494 - - 11404 - - 7629 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 28 - - 55 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99501 26 109 23 091 25 094 19 104 99501 92004 24 109 19 098 17 082 20 089 92004 86188 21 103 14 099 11 098 15 067 86188 81359 12 070 10 096 10 103 14 055 81359 77209 3 107 9 068 9 075 10 068 77209 73547 5 113 6 030 9 018 10 052 73547 70240 7 106 4 042 6 341 11 019 70240 67215 8 032 3 036 6 328 10 009 67215 64416 6 322 4 339 9 335 10 350 64416 61712 6 312 6 304 7 342 9 315 61712 58884 20 287 17 289 18 307 18 307 58884 55940 23 270 27 261 26 279 25 289 55940 53140 29 282 30 273 34 273 38 275 53140 50634 42 270 38 278 38 263 40 264 50634 48399 57 271 60 279 43 277 41 272 48399 46397 75 260 72 258 65 268 60 268 46397 44585 54 272 64 266 70 263 63 265 44585 42917 81 278 76 276 74 270 75 271 42917 41362 93 272 90 271 85 271 86 268 41362 39902 92 271 92 268 86 268 88 266 39902 38529 83 270 77 260 82 265 84 267 38529 37216 73 261 72 256 78 263 77 266 37216 35902 72 258 75 260 74 264 71 264 35902 34559 66 256 75 259 69 264 67 263 34559 33193 63 257 74 257 63 261 61 262 33193 31795 64 259 68 258 61 259 57 261 31795 30356 58 261 56 264 62 264 60 260 30356 28878 46 262 44 264 59 270 60 259 28878 27366 35 262 35 258 55 272 51 258 27366 25831 32 258 31 256 52 267 39 259 25831 24281 33 254 32 257 45 257 33 255 24281 22710 32 257 32*258 37 248 33 251 22710 21104 30 263 29*261 30*246 36 247 21104 19485 26 266 24 266 25*249 35 245 19485 17932 21*265 19 269 19 255 29*247 17932 16518 17*256 16 266 14 264 23*249 16518 15250 16 246 14 263 13 267 18 250 15250 14106 17 245 14 262 12 270 13 250 14106 13070 17 250 13 260 12 271 9 254 13070 12127 15 255 13 257 12 274 6 271 12127 11271 12 254 13 254 12 276 6 293 11271 10498 9 247 12 252 11 277 7 310 10498 9797 6 228 12 250 11 279 8 320 9797 9154 5 208 12 247 11 279 9 326 9154 8573 5 202 11 245 11 280 10 330 8573 8078 5 197 11 243 10 280 10 332 8078 7693 5 193 10 242 10 280 9 333 7693 7423 5 192 10 242 10 280 7 335 7423 7259 4 192 9 241 9 280 5 335 7259 7164 4 190 8 240 7 280 4 337 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography