DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.1 - - 43.8 - - 42.6 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 49 - - 8 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 449 - - 2380 - - 1721 - - 252 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9459 - - 11390 - - 10731 - - 9262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2013 - - 1413 - - 2334 - - 2317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 112 - - 219 - - 112 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 17 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 198 - - 248 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 7 - - 16 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2298 - - 4228 - - 3570 - - 2101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1328 - - 2005 - - 2044 - - 847 ODpotential blCL - - - 8131 - - 9385 - - 8687 - - 8415 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.1 - - 43.8 - - 42.6 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 38.9 - - 39.3 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 47.0 - - 46.3 - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 37.9 - - 38.6 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 49 - - 8 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 449 - - 2380 - - 1721 - - 252 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97564 15 272 24 309 26 294 24 311 97564 90391 17 314 11 311 18 284 20 297 90391 84845 15 317 9 291 10 283 10 291 84845 80231 12 289 11 271 12 308 4 342 80231 76243 9 267 10 264 16 301 5 342 76243 72715 4 236 5 268 10 284 7 303 72715 69525 6 009 6 264 8 240 7 281 69525 66590 13 346 6 235 8 234 5 230 66590 63857 11 332 5 195 9 216 3 322 63857 61197 11 278 6 258 8 215 17 274 61197 58415 18 247 13 265 17 274 18 230 58415 55513 21 252 18 257 25 251 21 236 55513 52732 27 252 24 267 28 241 28 250 52732 50222 40 247 52 257 37 250 29 246 50222 47952 44 237 58 244 49 251 34 248 47952 45873 47 241 58 243 58 244 48 240 45873 43955 59 247 63 242 67 241 56 237 43955 42176 68 246 69 241 75 239 67 238 42176 40518 75 244 75 238 78 236 78 234 40518 38966 83 240 79 235 80 236 81 230 38966 37512 87 238 80 234 83 236 80 227 37512 36128 88 234 78 232 85 233 80 228 36128 34754 90 228 77 231 81 228 82 229 34754 33365 96 219 78 228 74 222 84 229 33365 31971 100 215 79 221 73 217 79 224 31971 30565 99 214 80 216 78 209 68 217 30565 29140 95 214 80 215 80 207 65 214 29140 27697 88 214 80 216 76 214 65 213 27697 26237 80 212 72 211 68 213 65 211 26237 24759 73 209 58 203 59 202 64 211 24759 23264 69 208 51 200 48 193 58 211 23264 21750 65 208 46 195 38 196 50 215 21750 20211 62 211 42 190 39 207 46 223 20211 18677 56 214 39 190 40 215 43 228 18677 17219 48 219 35 202 39 222 38 229 17219 15899 39 225 32 219 36 231 30 230 15899 14721 32 230 28 231 30 244 25 236 14721 13658 26 234 23 240 24 262 24 244 13658 12693 18 232 18 249 15 281 22 251 12693 11813 11 216 12*258 9 294 20 257 11813 11013 10 193 7*263 7*292 15 260 11013 10290 12 182 4 258 5*284 10 252 10290 9633 13*180 2 226 4 274 8*242 9633 9030 12*178 2 166 4 253 6*243 9030 8485 11 170 3 157 4 241 5 263 8485 8021 9 164 4 156 5 234 5 273 8021 7659 7 163 4 154 5 231 5 256 7659 7406 6 164 4 154 5 230 4 235 7406 7251 5 164 4 154 5 229 3 219 7251 7162 4 164 4 155 4 226 2 205 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography