DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 75.9 - - 76.2 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 374 - - 167 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8135 - - 9144 - - 8971 - - 6291 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15016 - - 15936 - - 15321 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17145 - - 18154 - - 17981 - - 15301 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1255 - - 1200 - - 1603 - - 3006 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 586 - - 651 - - 499 - - 46 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 245 - - 252 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 11 - - 12 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 13 - - 8 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2212 - - 2258 - - 1352 - - 554 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14933 - - 15896 - - 16630 - - 14747 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2087 - - -2282 - - -4042 - - -6131 ODpotential blCL - - - 19232 - - 20436 - - 22023 - - 21432 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 64 - - 43 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 75.9 - - 76.2 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.2 - - 30.7 - - 27.8 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 77.4 - - 78.7 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 29.5 - - 26.7 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 374 - - 167 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8135 - - 9144 - - 8971 - - 6291 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99519 29 109 30 091 33 086 35 095 99519 91970 30 107 26 104 25 093 29 087 91970 86167 31 101 17 104 20 099 21 079 86167 81376 23 094 14 095 19 096 19 087 81376 77251 13 097 16 101 15 082 18 087 77251 73607 6 120 13 076 12 088 13 072 73607 70313 9 136 4 097 9 043 13 074 70313 67283 6 108 4 165 3 002 10 037 67283 64464 5 066 3 209 4 293 9 004 64464 61734 5 317 3 326 6 271 7 310 61734 58903 14 268 8 303 5 256 13 257 58903 55984 20 263 21 272 15 282 19 264 55984 53209 24 273 27 263 26 264 26 263 53209 50716 27 275 27 261 31 253 35 265 50716 48486 24 281 28 258 34 247 41 265 48486 46459 24 283 29 263 33 248 40 261 46459 44599 25 277 29 268 32 248 37 253 44599 42889 23 288 26 266 28 247 37 239 42889 41310 24 294 24 273 31 253 36 237 41310 39838 24 294 22 279 27 259 34 248 39838 38467 23 302 21 281 29 266 32 254 38467 37161 22 307 23 285 29 266 30 258 37161 35857 22 308 24 289 28 260 30 262 35857 34527 23 306 25 288 28 260 30 263 34527 33173 24 300 26 285 28 263 28 262 33173 31786 26 294 29 282 29 268 26 262 31786 30356 28 289 31 282 29 272 25 265 30356 28889 28 285 30 279 28 274 24 268 28889 27388 24 280 28 274 27 276 23 270 27388 25857 21 275 25 268 25 274 21 271 25857 24300 18 275 22 265 23 271 18 272 24300 22712 16 274 19 267 21 267 17 269 22712 21089 15 275 19 271 20 264 18 261 21089 19462 18 274 20*269 21*260 19 258 19462 17907 21*268 18*263 20*258 22 258 17907 16494 21*264 14 250 14 252 22*257 16494 15229 17 259 14 249 13 251 21*257 15229 14088 15 254 14 248 13 251 19 258 14088 13054 15 251 14 247 13 251 16 258 13054 12114 14 245 14 244 13 251 12 259 12114 11261 13 243 14 242 13 251 10 263 11261 10489 13 241 14 241 13 252 9 270 10489 9791 13 240 14 240 13 251 9 279 9791 9150 13 238 14 238 13 251 10 287 9150 8570 12 237 14 237 13 250 10 293 8570 8076 12 236 14 236 12 251 10 296 8076 7691 11 234 13 235 12 250 9 298 7691 7423 10 234 13 235 11 249 7 301 7423 7258 10 233 12 234 10 249 6 301 7258 7163 8 232 9 233 8 248 4 303 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography