DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1705z - - 1707z - - 1714z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.4 - - 44.5 - - 44.7 - - 43.9 - - 37.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 134 - - 111 - - 39 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 102 - - 3431 - - 3228 - - 3224 - - 873 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11033 - - 10789 - - 10027 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 9112 - - 12441 - - 12238 - - 12234 - - 9883 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2572 - - 3440 - - 2974 - - 1597 - - 1290 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 350 - - 322 - - 240 - - 44 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 16 - - 22 - - 23 - - 22 BL Wind Direction 016 - - 017 - - 355 - - 350 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 18 - - 5 - - 10 - - 16 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg -33 - - -31 - - -37 - - -37 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1951 - - 4718 - - 4910 - - 4542 - - 2722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7723 - - 7328 - - 7692 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -1822 - - 608 - - 1358 - - 1290 - - -2298 ODpotential blCL 10934 - - 11833 - - 10880 - - 10944 - - 12181 blCL maxRH 75 - - 82 - - 92 - - 85 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 360 - - 370 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.4 - - 44.5 - - 44.7 - - 43.9 - - 37.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.0 - - 35.3 - - 37.2 - - 34.9 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.3 - - 47.4 - - 47.8 - - 47.5 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 34.1 - - 35.9 - - 33.7 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 134 - - 111 - - 39 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 102 - - 3431 - - 3228 - - 3224 - - 873 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 27 - - 67 - - 38 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97531 20 342 12 277 23 272 25 308 15 301 97531 90284 14 323 8 297 13 284 15 312 18 303 90284 84684 14 295 12 306 10 308 11 291 13 296 84684 79997 13 271 15 289 9 303 10 272 9 275 79997 75924 11 253 15 266 15 263 14 272 13 285 75924 72314 12 262 16 248 20 254 16 256 16 273 72314 69029 15 260 18 239 22 252 21 253 21 262 69029 65986 17 270 20 239 21 247 25 254 24 267 65986 63143 20 268 22 246 21 246 25 261 25 261 63143 60374 22 265 23 244 22 248 27 262 24 265 60374 57485 23 268 22 242 22 251 24 263 27 269 57485 54502 22 269 22 254 22 264 27 276 25 276 54502 51678 19 262 23 265 25 275 25 283 21 294 51678 49147 16 269 21 269 23 281 21 296 21 310 49147 46877 17 279 20 272 21 282 24 324 30 312 46877 44820 16 281 16 273 21 290 28 319 35 306 44820 42950 12 299 12 282 20 296 24 317 25 302 42950 41245 13 326 11 285 19 300 21 335 18 314 41245 39681 9 337 10 319 18 336 26 340 26 326 39681 38242 16 015 29 003 30 357 29 341 30 331 38242 36913 30 024 42 010 37 002 31 347 32 336 36913 35658 49 031 54 016 43 001 35 345 33 342 35658 34410 64 029 60 017 46 358 40 344 34 348 34410 33138 68 028 62 017 45 001 39 347 36 351 33138 31846 62 028 62 019 44 005 35 347 36 351 31846 30522 46 030 58 020 45 013 36 348 35 350 30522 29158 40 032 39 020 37 006 36 351 34 352 29158 27759 37 035 33 022 29 354 34 354 34 358 27759 26328 35 038 33 016 30 001 30 354 33 006 26328 24870 31 036 31 012 31 007 26 353 32 009 24870 23388 26 026 30 017 29 018 21 000 27 005 23388 21880 23 024 28 022 25 028 16 007 20 357 21880 20340 23 024 24 030 21 031 12 358 12 341 20340 18794 22 022 19 034 17 024 10 347 9 322 18794 17316 18 019 15 037 15 010 12 346 10 326 17316 15971 15 016 11 038 14 004 14 352 13 332 15971 14768 13 014 9 039 14 000 17 356 16 334 14768 13685 12 015 9 040 16 359 20 357 19 334 13685 12705 13 018 9*039 18*360 23*354 22 334 12705 11817 15 020 12*034 20*000 25*352 24 336 11817 11011 18 020 15 027 22 358 26 351 26 339 11011 10285 21 019 17 020 24 356 26 351 27*343 10285 9629 23*019 18 015 24 354 25 350 27*347 9629 9027 25*018 19 013 24 353 25 350 27 348 9027 8483 26 018 19 012 23 353 23 349 26 348 8483 8020 24 017 18 011 22 352 22 348 23 348 8020 7658 20 013 17 011 20 352 19 348 18 348 7658 7405 16 010 15 010 18 352 17 347 14 346 7405 7250 12 008 14 010 16 352 15 346 9 345 7250 7161 7 005 9 010 10 352 10 345 4 343 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography