DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.9 - - 61.5 - - 63.0 - - 60.6 - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 224 - - 291 - - 32 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2507 - - 3529 - - 3201 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 10501 - - 11356 - - 7146 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 11517 - - 12539 - - 12211 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 984 - - 1353 - - 1345 - - 1402 - - 2708 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 354 - - 432 - - 204 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 23 - - 20 - - 17 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 292 - - 299 - - 310 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 26 - - 19 - - 17 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - 21 - - -18 - - -21 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6022 - - -3721 - - -2010 - - -2611 - - -5532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13185 - - 15239 - - 14550 - - 14823 - - 12696 sfcLCL ODpotential -16856 - - -10403 - - -8927 - - -10656 - - -14989 ODpotential blCL 24019 - - 21920 - - 21466 - - 22867 - - 22152 blCL maxRH 38 - - 48 - - 51 - - 65 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.9 - - 61.5 - - 63.0 - - 60.6 - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.4 - - 19.9 - - 24.2 - - 20.7 - - 16.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.3 - - 63.9 - - 65.0 - - 64.1 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.7 - - 19.3 - - 23.5 - - 20.2 - - 16.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 224 - - 291 - - 32 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2507 - - 3529 - - 3201 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97711 25 288 22 280 20 282 27 274 32 286 97711 90456 12 316 13 275 10 281 14 266 19 291 90456 84855 5 340 8 262 9 317 10 308 9 296 84855 80209 8 334 4 013 7 326 11 342 11 345 80209 76190 10 329 11 356 1 277 14 335 12 000 76190 72602 4 346 9 340 2 074 15 317 10 006 72602 69348 8 349 10 326 6 013 16 307 17 331 69348 66372 9 342 15 301 9 305 13 297 19 335 66372 63605 14 339 8 298 14 291 13 312 14 329 63605 60928 28 303 18 318 15 313 15 309 15 312 60928 58157 33 298 30 301 29 303 26 303 19 303 58157 55286 28 300 30 287 31 289 31 293 28 295 55286 52546 34 304 28 288 32 280 39 296 39 296 52546 50096 36 293 30 298 36 282 44 289 46 287 50096 47916 41 285 38 299 39 283 44 286 45 286 47916 45945 46 278 45 288 39 284 45 291 46 297 45945 44142 49 272 47 280 42 287 47 292 50 299 44142 42479 50 271 48 278 49 289 50 289 52 296 42479 40934 50 273 50 276 56 286 53 289 53 295 40934 39485 48 275 50 270 57 280 56 292 55 296 39485 38125 43 277 47 270 56 278 58 292 57 294 38125 36827 40 283 45 276 56 279 58 291 57 293 36827 35528 42 289 46 280 54 281 57 290 56 293 35528 34203 45 290 47 282 53 284 58 290 55 295 34203 32856 46 290 47 285 53 286 57 290 56 297 32856 31477 47 290 47 289 52 287 55 290 57 297 31477 30057 46 291 46 290 48 288 53 288 57 295 30057 28600 45 292 46 291 45 288 53 288 57 295 28600 27108 44 291 47 291 45 288 52 289 57 296 27108 25586 44 289 49 291 47 288 51 289 55 297 25586 24038 44 288 50 290 47 289 49 290 51 294 24038 22460 45 288 52 291 47 290 47 292 49 289 22460 20846 45 288 52 292 45 291 44 292 48 285 20846 19224 44 287 49 292 42 291 42 292 47 284 19224 17674 43 286 45 290 40 291 40 291 45 287 17674 16268 42 286 43 288 39 289 37 290 42 291 16268 15014 41 286 42 287 38 289 35 291 38 295 15014 13888 40 286 42 287 36 290 32 293 34 299 13888 12872 39 287 41 287 34*292 29*298 31 304 12872 11953 39 287 39*288 29*295 25*303 29 309 11953 11121 38 288 36*290 24 298 21 307 26 314 11121 10371 37 290 31 291 20 300 17 311 24 320 10371 9694 35 292 25 292 19 301 17 312 22 327 9694 9074 32 295 21 293 19 301 17 312 21 333 9074 8515 28 300 20 293 18 301 16 312 21 337 8515 8040 21 307 18 293 18 301 16 312 20 338 8040 7670 14 317 17 293 17 301 15 312 17 338 7670 7411 10 331 16 292 15 301 14 312 13 337 7411 7253 5*350 14 292 14 300 12 312 9*335 7253 7162 2*024 10 291 10 301 8 312 5*343 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography