DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.7 - - 35.7 - - 39.2 - - 37.5 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 37 - - 63 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 736 - - 2316 - - 3738 - - 47 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 9604 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9746 - - 11326 - - 12748 - - 9057 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2683 - - 1684 - - 1903 - - 1150 - - 2440 Hgt.Variab. W* 1 - - 134 - - 232 - - 56 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 267 - - 295 - - 303 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1885 - - 2906 - - 5516 - - 1896 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7861 - - 8421 - - 7232 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -5990 - - -3156 - - -816 - - 1841 - - -1797 ODpotential blCL 13152 - - 12902 - - 12142 - - 10907 - - 10854 blCL maxRH 83 - - 86 - - 85 - - 99 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.7 - - 35.7 - - 39.2 - - 37.5 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.8 - - 26.5 - - 27.5 - - 30.9 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.2 - - 39.2 - - 42.5 - - 42.3 - - 38.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.6 - - 25.4 - - 26.3 - - 29.7 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 37 - - 63 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 736 - - 2316 - - 3738 - - 47 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 44 - - 40 - - 97 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95889 27 303 37 292 34 298 39 316 28 322 95889 89126 20 315 21 303 22 318 23 336 24 338 89126 83814 14 318 10 324 18 326 15 008 17 335 83814 79332 12 322 10 355 14 331 9 349 15 342 79332 75407 10 312 12 347 9 336 7 309 14 345 75407 71888 9 314 14 340 7 329 11 307 15 350 71888 68679 15 324 16 335 5 312 12 304 13 330 68679 65731 15 302 18 302 12 304 18 299 14 327 65731 63006 13 306 15 299 13 287 15 276 17 311 63006 60365 20 314 19 307 15 303 20 310 19 299 60365 57599 25 296 27 282 29 281 27 299 19 296 57599 54714 25 289 28 273 27 285 28 307 23 299 54714 51946 25 298 30 281 32 294 33 295 29 286 51946 49455 31 296 33 285 30 283 29 283 29 287 49455 47225 34 293 31 288 26 278 25 285 27 289 47225 45202 34 290 27 282 28 291 30 292 22 298 45202 43353 35 287 26 284 33 286 30 289 19 319 43353 41649 36 278 30 281 34 280 27 294 22 333 41649 40065 30 271 29 276 32 273 26 300 27 325 40065 38587 27 270 27 269 28 267 26 299 31 323 38587 37211 28 259 27 264 26 264 26 289 32 323 37211 35909 26 253 28 261 24 260 22 277 31 326 35909 34622 24 245 27 254 24 254 19 278 29 333 34622 33315 24 239 31 239 25 248 19 276 28 340 33315 31993 28 237 32 223 26 241 19 275 30 341 31993 30644 33 236 31 218 27 234 19 277 33 337 30644 29264 34 236 33 222 27 229 18 277 33 336 29264 27856 29 235 34 226 27 229 17 274 32 341 27856 26418 29 239 33 222 27 233 16 269 33 348 26418 24951 29 238 31 221 27 235 16 266 33 351 24951 23458 25 228 25 228 24 233 17 262 32 354 23458 21937 19 215 22 227 21 236 19 255 32 357 21937 20380 17 210 21 219 18 235 19 252 34 359 20380 18815 18 214 19 218 18 236 16 255 33 000 18815 17317 17 226 17 222 18 240 14 261 26 357 17317 15958 16 243 14 225 18 246 11 263 17 345 15958 14747 16 256 11 231 17 252 10 264 13 317 14747 13660 14 265 9 240 15 258 9*275 12 294 13660 12681 13 269 8 252 13 264 8*286 12 286 12681 11794 10 272 8 260 11*272 8 293 11 286 11794 10992 8 272 7 262 8*283 8 302 8 293 10992 10268 6 270 7*264 6 296 8 308 6 306 10268 9614 5 266 7*265 5 300 8 314 4*328 9614 9014 4 262 6 268 4 299 7 314 3*353 9014 8472 3 255 5 268 3 297 7 310 4 003 8472 8012 2 228 3 267 3 298 6 307 3 356 8012 7652 1 182 3 266 3 295 5 301 3 344 7652 7402 1 079 2 264 2 291 4 297 2 340 7402 7249 2*022 1 263 2 291 3 291 2 342 7249 7161 2*016 1 255 2 288 2 291 2 344 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography