DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 66.5 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 255 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1933 - - 3782 - - - - - 52 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10008 - - 11500 - - - - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10943 - - 12792 - - - - - 9062 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1374 - - 1849 - - - - - 2174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 423 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 211 - - - - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3100 - - -2597 - - - - - -4075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14043 - - 15390 - - - - - 13138 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9184 - - -7290 - - - - - -11164 ODpotential blCL - - - 20127 - - 20082 - - - - - 20226 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 38 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 66.5 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.8 - - 24.1 - - - - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 68.5 - - - - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.8 - - 23.2 - - - - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 255 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1933 - - 3782 - - - - - 52 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97765 9 251 14 275 15 292 97765 90538 2 233 4 306 14 292 90538 84942 3 355 7 264 9 306 84942 80310 15 347 4 339 5 356 80310 76334 15 340 16 354 11 008 76334 72822 8 335 18 332 15 003 72822 69631 8 331 13 319 17 339 69631 66687 13 340 11 317 17 326 66687 63952 17 315 18 306 21 324 63952 61296 17 294 22 296 23 313 61296 58533 20 309 24 296 24 298 58533 55685 30 311 29 303 25 286 55685 52978 35 301 35 300 24 289 52978 50541 38 301 38 298 26 302 50541 48352 45 302 41 299 27 304 48352 46360 50 301 43 305 25 302 46360 44523 50 301 43 307 26 310 44523 42820 46 297 40 304 27 317 42820 41238 40 294 36 301 23 319 41238 39757 32 300 32 303 19 327 39757 38373 30 305 29 305 16 331 38373 37054 28 299 27 304 18 311 37054 35743 24 289 26 303 22 306 35743 34410 23 291 25 300 21 301 34410 33059 22 291 22 294 19 297 33059 31676 20 298 21 287 17 292 31676 30253 19 305 20 289 16 292 30253 28793 17 302 19 290 16 288 28793 27298 15 296 18 282 16 288 27298 25772 13 286 17 280 17 289 25772 24222 16 282 17 285 18 288 24222 22641 20 283 18 288 17 285 22641 21024 21 285 19 289 16 278 21024 19398 20 287 17 289 17 271 19398 17842 18 287 16 289 17 267 17842 16426 16 286 15 286 16 267 16426 15159 15 283 14 281 14 270 15159 14018 13 278 14 276 13 276 14018 12985 12 271 13*271 10 282 12985 12050 10 260 10*258 8 287 12050 11202 9*244 7 225 6 291 11202 10438 9*218 7 213 4 306 10438 9747 9 194 8 207 3 312 9747 9115 9 186 8 203 3*281 9115 8544 8 184 8 201 3*238 8544 8059 8 184 8 197 4 218 8059 7680 7 183 8 196 4 209 7680 7417 7 183 8 194 2 204 7417 7256 6 183 7 194 0 080 7256 7163 5 183 6 193 1 356 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography