DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.2 - - 43.5 - - 46.1 - - 40.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 34 - - 43 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 449 - - 1212 - - 404 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 9459 - - 10222 - - 9414 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2290 - - 1156 - - 1195 - - 1083 - - 2792 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 115 - - 172 - - 20 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 175 - - 209 - - 224 - - 210 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 15 - - 18 - - 14 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 14 - - 18 - - 14 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2170 - - -615 - - 591 - - 2253 - - -539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9334 - - 10075 - - 9631 - - 7162 - - 7702 sfcLCL ODpotential -11348 - - -7849 - - -6108 - - -4421 - - -7496 ODpotential blCL 18511 - - 17308 - - 16330 - - 13835 - - 14659 blCL maxRH 71 - - 76 - - 69 - - 82 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.2 - - 43.5 - - 46.1 - - 40.3 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 24.7 - - 29.0 - - 34.4 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 47.0 - - 49.5 - - 46.5 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.8 - - 23.6 - - 27.8 - - 33.2 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 34 - - 43 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 449 - - 1212 - - 404 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 27 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95948 32 293 39 283 42 290 37 295 37 292 95948 89053 20 298 23 294 24 286 31 289 29 301 89053 83682 12 312 20 290 18 295 22 302 21 309 83682 79184 16 317 18 296 16 296 21 294 17 323 79184 75258 21 299 18 306 17 305 20 280 21 320 75258 71758 16 289 18 276 20 303 18 300 19 304 71758 68577 17 304 19 280 23 289 21 293 16 321 68577 65627 25 293 23 288 23 281 25 277 23 309 65627 62883 23 280 20 287 19 276 21 264 26 287 62883 60233 25 291 18 297 11 305 17 286 22 295 60233 57458 36 286 30 278 31 283 29 286 27 295 57458 54568 45 272 41 265 46 268 40 275 37 280 54568 51823 48 275 49 264 51 264 45 269 44 278 51823 49367 56 277 54 265 50 266 44 270 46 274 49367 47173 61 267 57 265 53 267 46 271 44 268 47173 45189 63 261 62 263 59 263 54 264 46 264 45189 43379 67 262 69 261 70 258 66 257 53 261 43379 41723 73 264 76 261 80 255 79 255 66 258 41723 40199 75 262 80 260 81 254 85 254 80 255 40199 38781 74 260 78 258 76 254 81 250 88 252 38781 37453 71 260 75 260 75 255 77 249 84 248 37453 36181 71 261 75 263 75 256 75 249 82 247 36181 34909 72 263 75 263 74 255 75 249 80 246 34909 33611 75 264 75 262 73 255 75 249 78 245 33611 32293 75 264 72 260 73 255 74 249 76 245 32293 30945 73 265 69 259 71 255 72 250 75 246 30945 29558 68 265 66 258 68 254 71 253 74 247 29558 28137 63 264 63 256 66 253 69 255 72 247 28137 26682 59 263 61 255 63 253 67 256 70 248 26682 25198 57 263 60 255 60 254 65 255 65 251 25198 23690 55 263 58 258 58 255 60 254 59 253 23690 22152 54 264 56 261 55 258 55 254 53 253 22152 20579 52 265 54 262 52 259 51 255 48 252 20579 18999 49 265 50 262 49 258 47 256 45 251 18999 17487 45 263 47 260 46 258 44 258 42 250 17487 16112 42 261 45 258 44 257 40 259 40 251 16112 14883 39 259 43 258 42 258 37 260 36 251 14883 13778 37 258 41 258 40 258 35 261 34 254 13778 12780 35 258 38 258 38 259 33 263 32 257 12780 11875 33 259 35 257 34 258 32 264 30 259 11875 11056 31 259 31 256 30 257 29 264 28 260 11056 10318 28 258 27 253 25*253 25 262 26 260 10318 9652 24 255 22*250 20*249 20*257 23 258 9652 9041 19 248 16*243 14 237 14*245 20 256 9041 8491 12 235 9 223 10 218 9 222 14 249 8491 8024 7 206 6 188 9 206 8 202 8 230 8024 7659 5 175 6 176 8 201 7 187 4 209 7659 7406 3 148 5 171 8 198 6 177 2 182 7406 7251 2*097 5 168 7 195 5 164 0*134 7251 7162 1*065 4 166 5 192 3 159 0*037 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography