DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.6 - - 45.3 - - 44.0 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 121 - - 19 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1749 - - 2455 - - 1795 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9562 - - 10243 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10759 - - 11465 - - 10805 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1766 - - 2008 - - 2361 - - 4749 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 295 - - 150 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 266 - - 262 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 24 - - 23 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - -8 - - 12 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2003 - - 2982 - - 2488 - - -1179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8757 - - 8484 - - 8317 - - 8343 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2485 - - -1506 - - -2480 - - -5648 ODpotential blCL - - - 13244 - - 12971 - - 13285 - - 12811 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 69 - - 73 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.6 - - 45.3 - - 44.0 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 33.0 - - 32.5 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 48.3 - - 48.7 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 31.9 - - 31.3 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 121 - - 19 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1749 - - 2455 - - 1795 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 12 290 8 287 11 228 13 280 96287 89097 7 297 16 286 12 291 11 316 89097 83585 7 293 10 290 10 317 12 303 83585 79023 15 301 19 309 15 329 14 305 79023 75095 14 307 22 309 22 314 19 312 75095 71621 18 320 19 306 19 303 19 313 71621 68464 23 313 19 320 18 307 20 305 68464 65537 29 290 24 296 22 301 19 304 65537 62783 29 281 26 283 24 293 26 293 62783 60083 23 279 27 285 29 290 33 284 60083 57253 28 273 35 272 39 288 33 284 57253 54304 39 270 44 267 51 278 43 282 54304 51491 48 261 54 268 56 271 51 275 51491 48978 50 260 55 262 55 266 52 271 48978 46753 53 265 56 262 55 263 54 272 46753 44760 59 270 60 267 60 261 59 271 44760 42966 65 274 63 268 64 263 65 267 42966 41336 67 273 61 271 65 266 67 259 41336 39835 67 268 62 276 68 268 69 258 39835 38434 66 268 66 275 69 266 72 258 38434 37122 65 271 66 272 67 265 69 258 37122 35868 63 272 63 271 64 266 65 260 35868 34614 62 271 62 271 63 267 62 261 34614 33333 61 270 61 269 62 267 60 261 33333 32030 59 269 60 266 62 266 59 263 32030 30696 57 267 58 263 62 265 57 267 30696 29322 54 264 55 261 61 263 54 271 29322 27913 53 261 52 259 60 263 52 273 27913 26470 52 259 51 258 59 263 51 272 26470 24999 50 259 51 259 58 262 49 270 24999 23506 47 257 51 260 56 262 49 268 23506 21986 43 254 50 260 55 261 49 267 21986 20435 40 251 49 260 53 261 50 269 20435 18878 39 252 47 261 51 262 50 272 18878 17391 38 257 45 261 49 265 50 273 17391 16041 38 261 43 262 48 267 49 269 16041 14835 37 264 41 263 46 268 47 265 14835 13750 36 265 39 264 43 266 45 261 13750 12767 34 265 37 265 38 264 43 259 12767 11873 32 264 34*266 34 261 40 259 11873 11062 30*262 31*266 31*259 37 259 11062 10328 27*260 26 265 27*259 34 260 10328 9662 24 259 23 265 24 260 30 259 9662 9052 21 258 21 266 21 262 26 259 9052 8500 18 257 17 267 18 263 21 258 8500 8030 15 255 15 268 15 264 16 258 8030 7663 12 254 13 268 12 265 11 257 7663 7408 10 254 11 269 9 266 5 254 7408 7252 9 253 10 269 7 267 2*250 7252 7162 7 252 7 269 5 268 4*077 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography