DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 21.8 - - 29.2 - - 24.1 - - 23.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 7 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7161 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1189 - - 1970 - - 1553 - - 1258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 23 - - 0 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 245 - - 225 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 3 - - 1 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3571 - - -2836 - - -1162 - - -3353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10733 - - 9999 - - 8325 - - 10515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16494 - - -14472 - - -14297 - - -15311 ODpotential blCL - - - 23655 - - 21634 - - 21459 - - 22473 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 59 - - 55 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 21.8 - - 29.2 - - 24.1 - - 23.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.1 - - 11.3 - - 13.5 - - 3.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 33.4 - - 31.8 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.3 - - 10.3 - - 12.4 - - 6.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 7 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96631 47 033 53 018 64 031 53 015 96631 89424 31 019 44 020 69 019 60 016 89424 83846 38 014 46 015 61 009 68 012 83846 79179 32 358 33 005 49 360 62 011 79179 75118 25 350 31 341 41 348 41 003 75118 71516 31 347 33 334 42 340 46 357 71516 68274 43 329 37 337 45 333 53 338 68274 65341 38 323 43 332 43 324 49 326 65341 62642 28 329 40 316 37 327 38 328 62642 60016 25 333 33 303 34 331 34 334 60016 57263 33 337 32 307 34 333 40 334 57263 54412 38 335 37 321 36 333 42 336 54412 51711 38 327 40 327 33 341 33 336 51711 49292 34 324 35 343 34 352 28 338 49292 47131 35 340 39 360 32 348 27 330 47131 45184 45 346 42 359 30 344 26 327 45184 43417 44 345 41 353 32 346 27 348 43417 41800 36 354 39 354 33 350 33 355 41800 40305 43 010 39 001 27 351 35 355 40305 38907 51 012 42 008 22 358 33 352 38907 37594 59 015 43 011 15 343 28 343 37594 36338 63 015 38 014 12 332 22 338 36338 35080 59 013 34 027 15 349 21 329 35080 33792 55 014 32 041 16 007 18 323 33792 32481 51 017 31 043 18 014 14 335 32481 31135 45 017 30 033 22 358 16 327 31135 29746 38 012 28 019 24 354 19 326 29746 28318 28 006 30 015 26 003 17 337 28318 26853 24 001 28 015 25 006 16 343 26853 25354 24 356 20 012 23 009 16 339 25354 23826 26 360 17 358 18 013 14 339 23826 22264 25 006 20 351 16 352 11 331 22264 20662 23 001 21 354 20 348 14 331 20662 19046 20 347 20 354 21 352 16 342 19046 17502 21 339 18 346 19 349 16 352 17502 16101 23 335 17 335 17 339 14 354 16101 14854 25 332 17 327 17 328 11 345 14854 13737 24 327 17 318 16 319 9 330 13737 12732 21 323 16 308 16 311 10 320 12732 11826 17 319 14 295 15 304 11 315 11826 11008 13 315 13 283 14 296 12 311 11008 10273 10 312 11 272 13 287 12 308 10273 9612 7 310 10 262 12 281 11 304 9612 9008 5 307 8 257 9 278 11 301 9008 8465 4 304 7 257 6 278 10 303 8465 8005 2 294 4 263 3 273 8 310 8005 7648 2 280 2 262 2 239 6 326 7648 7399 1 293 1 158 2 179 6 349 7399 7248 2*319 1*132 2*162 5*008 7248 7161 1*333 1*125 1*164 4*011 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography