DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.4 - - 31.4 - - 35.7 - - 33.9 - - 29.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 68 - - 89 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 344 - - 1272 - - 2770 - - 1787 - - 518 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 10283 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9354 - - 10282 - - 11780 - - 10797 - - 9528 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1278 - - 1010 - - 726 - - 835 - - 1127 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 193 - - 277 - - 62 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 231 - - 234 - - 220 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 16 - - 20 - - 13 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - 12 - - 17 - - 16 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2194 - - 3122 - - 3858 - - 3636 - - 2367 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7922 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -3524 - - 1152 - - 1486 - - 819 - - -764 ODpotential blCL 12878 - - 9130 - - 10294 - - 9978 - - 10292 blCL maxRH 89 - - 94 - - 91 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.4 - - 31.4 - - 35.7 - - 33.9 - - 29.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.7 - - 26.3 - - 26.1 - - 27.7 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.7 - - 34.6 - - 38.9 - - 38.4 - - 36.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.4 - - 25.1 - - 25.0 - - 26.6 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 68 - - 89 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 344 - - 1272 - - 2770 - - 1787 - - 518 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 75 - - 64 - - 44 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96300 19 274 32 271 34 276 26 275 34 278 96300 89261 16 283 18 280 25 264 25 292 24 290 89261 83842 15 288 11 283 15 271 16 299 16 296 83842 79292 11 301 8 257 13 282 12 285 11 272 79292 75332 11 282 6 254 10 249 12 280 10 276 75332 71800 18 269 11 279 10 234 13 268 13 252 71800 68574 22 251 18 249 15 249 14 272 10 285 68574 65580 21 252 18 227 20 261 28 274 23 281 65580 62790 26 253 17 247 30 247 35 258 31 256 62790 60090 26 259 26 256 31 245 33 250 30 250 60090 57266 32 264 31 257 28 254 27 257 27 254 57266 54324 36 258 30 257 29 258 29 264 28 256 54324 51508 36 256 31 259 34 254 39 258 34 257 51508 48978 38 257 37 258 39 253 44 254 41 260 48978 46733 39 264 42 257 43 258 43 257 45 257 46733 44718 43 271 45 259 48 262 43 261 47 256 44718 42890 51 277 47 267 50 260 46 267 47 260 42890 41218 53 273 51 271 51 259 51 267 48 267 41218 39675 51 271 54 267 51 260 53 263 54 268 39675 38242 51 271 56 261 52 263 50 260 56 267 38242 36908 52 274 57 258 56 262 50 262 55 266 36908 35641 54 278 55 258 60 256 53 263 53 268 35641 34380 56 279 54 259 60 252 57 260 49 269 34380 33097 57 279 52 262 58 251 60 257 48 269 33097 31798 56 279 51 265 55 253 60 256 48 269 31798 30470 55 281 51 266 55 255 58 257 48 267 30470 29105 55 283 50 265 54 257 54 260 48 266 29105 27708 54 283 48 262 54 260 50 265 48 266 27708 26279 52 280 47 261 53 260 48 268 48 267 26279 24821 51 276 46 263 52 259 45 269 46 270 24821 23339 51 275 43 267 50 260 43 268 44 272 23339 21827 46 274 40 270 46 260 40 268 42 274 21827 20282 41 267 38 266 44 260 38 267 41 273 20282 18730 40 261 38 259 42 260 37 269 39 269 18730 17248 38 259 38 257 40 260 37 270 36 266 17248 15900 36 259 37 256 39 260 37 268 34 263 15900 14697 32 261 34 255 36 258 35 265 32 262 14697 13617 29 264 31 254 34 256 33 261 31 260 13617 12642 26 266 28 252 30*253 30 258 31 258 12642 11760 22 263 25 249 25*251 27 257 29 257 11760 10962 18 257 22*245 18 243 22*254 27 255 10962 10242 15 249 19*241 16 237 15*243 24 252 10242 9593 13*240 15 238 14 231 12 230 19*245 9593 8999 12*231 12 234 13 226 11 221 13*231 8999 8462 11 222 9 228 12 223 10 214 10 213 8462 8006 9 213 7 217 12 222 10 210 8 195 8006 7649 8 209 6 211 11 220 9 204 7 181 7649 7401 6 209 6 209 10 219 8 200 5 170 7401 7249 3 220 5 207 9 217 6 197 4 156 7249 7161 2 222 4 205 7 216 4 193 2 142 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography