DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 65.8 - - 65.8 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 382 - - 175 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4883 - - 6647 - - 6548 - - 2341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12493 - - 13929 - - 13468 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13893 - - 15657 - - 15558 - - 11351 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1078 - - 1388 - - 1679 - - 2739 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 520 - - 591 - - 457 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 15 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 300 - - 305 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 6 - - -8 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1639 - - 2104 - - 1921 - - 64 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12254 - - 13553 - - 13638 - - 11287 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3993 - - -2746 - - -3073 - - -6322 ODpotential blCL - - - 17886 - - 18403 - - 18631 - - 17673 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 54 - - 51 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 65.8 - - 65.8 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 31.0 - - 30.7 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 67.2 - - 68.2 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 29.9 - - 29.5 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 382 - - 175 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4883 - - 6647 - - 6548 - - 2341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98772 19 134 18 094 16 119 21 111 98772 91249 23 134 15 122 17 116 15 107 91249 85526 20 138 13 130 15 122 14 108 85526 80786 19 125 13 133 12 111 14 105 80786 76686 13 108 14 136 8 113 12 073 76686 73069 13 124 13 131 7 109 9 076 73069 69799 13 107 10 139 5 071 6 105 69799 66791 9 106 10 155 3 288 5 069 66791 63999 5 096 8 142 10 218 8 271 63999 61294 11 260 4 249 8 190 13 221 61294 58465 13 244 16 259 11 257 10 251 58465 55538 11 243 18 252 25 261 25 269 55538 52760 13 249 18 234 22 261 22 267 52760 50252 21 297 22 293 24 281 27 274 50252 47997 37 293 35 289 33 286 34 283 47997 45951 41 287 40 285 40 283 38 285 45951 44086 39 290 39 285 39 288 40 297 44086 42384 39 296 38 291 46 299 47 303 42384 40819 44 298 42 299 51 302 49 311 40819 39362 47 295 46 301 49 306 59 313 39362 38000 48 293 46 308 52 312 58 309 38000 36702 48 292 53 315 53 313 54 314 36702 35407 49 291 57 316 51 310 53 318 35407 34087 50 290 57 316 50 306 51 318 34087 32745 51 289 53 315 50 304 48 315 32745 31371 51 288 48 312 48 301 47 312 31371 29957 47 287 45 308 45 298 47 310 29957 28508 43 284 43 305 43 298 47 306 28508 27026 42 283 41 303 41 298 44 302 27026 25515 41 285 40 299 38 299 39 298 25515 23978 39 287 37 296 36 297 34 296 23978 22412 37 286 34 296 32 296 32 292 22412 20814 35 285 32 295 28 297 28 290 20814 19213 34 286 31 295 24 297 24 287 19213 17683 33 290 29 296 22 300 21 285 17683 16294 30 294 24*300 18*304 18 283 16294 15052 24*296 15*303 10*311 15 282 15052 13934 18*296 7 307 6 316 10 278 13934 12922 10 297 6 306 6 315 5 256 12922 12004 6 308 6 305 6 312 2*226 12004 11169 6 309 6 302 7 308 1*241 11169 10415 6 310 7 300 8 304 3 297 10415 9732 6 309 7 297 8 301 7 306 9732 9105 6 307 7 296 9 300 10 306 9105 8539 6 306 7 295 9 298 11 304 8539 8057 6 304 7 292 9 297 12 301 8057 7679 6 302 7 290 9 296 12 298 7679 7417 5 301 6 290 9 295 10 294 7417 7256 5 299 6 290 8 294 8 291 7256 7163 4 299 5 289 7 294 4 290 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography