DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.5 - - 34.6 - - 37.2 - - 33.4 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 49 - - 93 - - -5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 792 - - 3580 - - 1589 - - 708 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 10892 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9802 - - 12590 - - 10599 - - 9718 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2287 - - 2729 - - 2235 - - 2266 - - 1747 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 153 - - 307 - - 0 - - 35 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 17 - - 12 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 334 - - 319 - - 300 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 18 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -26 - - -32 - - -19 - - -6 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 2601 - - 4382 - - 3240 - - 2557 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7201 - - 8209 - - 7359 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -4244 - - -1385 - - 647 - - -1649 - - -2798 ODpotential blCL 11406 - - 11187 - - 11943 - - 12248 - - 12516 blCL maxRH 92 - - 90 - - 74 - - 65 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.5 - - 34.6 - - 37.2 - - 33.4 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.7 - - 27.8 - - 26.1 - - 26.2 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.4 - - 38.1 - - 40.2 - - 38.8 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 26.7 - - 25.0 - - 25.0 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 49 - - 93 - - -5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 792 - - 3580 - - 1589 - - 708 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 61 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96171 2 355 12 299 2 057 2 237 12 289 96171 89124 7 128 4 335 4 276 7 340 6 348 89124 83685 7 037 7 070 9 256 10 336 8 007 83685 79164 12 002 8 054 2 272 10 304 11 330 79164 75245 11 337 5 333 10 332 7 321 7 319 75245 71762 12 346 10 302 15 313 10 325 10 321 71762 68601 17 334 11 326 13 303 14 298 8 329 68601 65684 15 313 13 343 9 308 9 270 8 296 65684 62967 17 321 13 332 9 335 11 276 13 272 62967 60329 21 297 18 313 18 320 8 287 15 282 60329 57560 18 305 17 299 21 310 19 310 18 300 57560 54686 22 320 20 306 30 315 29 319 25 318 54686 51944 24 301 30 311 41 315 45 324 29 331 51944 49464 21 289 37 309 46 318 54 320 48 309 49464 47248 18 295 39 310 46 320 53 312 51 305 47248 45243 21 310 38 313 52 318 49 314 55 309 45243 43401 30 316 39 319 59 317 54 318 59 304 43401 41702 33 312 44 320 64 317 62 310 53 300 41702 40127 32 300 50 319 66 316 59 310 48 305 40127 38657 28 285 51 318 64 316 61 321 61 314 38657 37282 24 271 49 318 66 320 78 323 79 308 37282 35979 22 261 44 319 73 324 91 316 88 300 35979 34685 23 249 42 322 78 325 93 314 89 298 34685 33371 24 211 42 323 80 325 88 317 87 300 33371 32038 27 191 39 320 79 324 83 320 83 304 32038 30677 36 198 26 300 75 324 80 321 77 307 30677 29277 53 196 25 246 67 324 78 320 67 310 29277 27844 55 190 39 215 61 326 74 323 58 315 27844 26381 51 190 46 202 57 328 63 325 48 318 26381 24892 49 193 43 197 50 329 52 321 39 317 24892 23378 44 196 38 196 37 326 47 318 38 311 23378 21840 35 193 32 196 20 292 44 317 39 308 21840 20273 29 188 29 195 23 219 41 322 36 306 20273 18707 24 193 26 197 26 208 34 323 30 307 18707 17214 22 207 22 203 20 213 26 310 26 307 17214 15861 20 220 16 207 13 233 21 288 24 303 15861 14660 14 233 11 218 9 260 16 274 20 294 14660 13585 10 244 10 241 8 275 10 273 15 277 13585 12619 8 247 10 250 7*288 9 281 11 254 12619 11745 6 243 8 248 9*304 9 290 9 240 11745 10953 4 266 5 275 12 313 10*296 9 239 10953 10237 7 315 7*320 12 319 10*298 9*242 10237 9590 14 328 12*331 13 322 9 299 9*248 9590 8997 21 330 18 334 13 323 8 301 9 256 8997 8461 24 330 19 334 13 323 7 304 9 263 8461 8005 22 332 19 334 12 322 7 302 9 269 8005 7649 18 335 18 334 12 322 6 299 7 270 7649 7400 13 339 16 334 11 320 5 295 4 270 7400 7249 9*343 14 334 10 321 4 289 3 268 7249 7161 5*347 9 333 7 319 3 283 2 256 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography