DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.8 - - 42.1 - - 47.1 - - 43.0 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - -7 - - 46 - - -15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1563 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 7162 - - 10573 - - 7163 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2026 - - 2920 - - 1667 - - 4214 - - 5634 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 15 - - 188 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 16 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 162 - - 215 - - 179 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 9 - - 23 - - 14 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg 16 - - 22 - - 19 - - 20 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2359 - - -1887 - - 1251 - - -1293 - - -1627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9522 - - 9049 - - 9322 - - 8456 - - 8790 sfcLCL ODpotential -8767 - - -7823 - - -2725 - - -6793 - - -6602 ODpotential blCL 15930 - - 14985 - - 13298 - - 13956 - - 13765 blCL maxRH 97 - - 100 - - 85 - - 82 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.8 - - 42.1 - - 47.1 - - 43.0 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 27.5 - - 31.1 - - 30.9 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.0 - - 47.1 - - 50.4 - - 49.8 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.8 - - 26.4 - - 30.0 - - 29.7 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - -7 - - 46 - - -15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1563 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 101 - - 40 - - 27 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95959 18 003 9 026 20 356 23 020 12 029 95959 89105 17 036 13 030 16 019 18 012 25 027 89105 83762 23 033 20 026 13 057 14 003 23 010 83762 79293 18 020 18 016 11 069 12 354 15 002 79293 75409 15 029 11 027 9 036 7 321 12 359 75409 71934 15 000 10 010 9 001 9 322 12 337 71934 68762 10 317 8 320 10 319 14 321 12 326 68762 65835 8 317 8 317 9 322 12 290 15 296 65835 63111 19 290 17 289 15 310 15 275 17 285 63111 60475 20 285 20 286 19 299 10 291 9 288 60475 57697 28 263 19 265 23 286 19 283 25 273 57697 54788 36 261 35 267 39 283 41 257 45 242 54788 52037 49 257 44 271 51 259 52 258 44 252 52037 49573 53 254 50 262 66 254 61 259 59 262 49573 47358 59 258 64 257 68 255 63 257 64 259 47358 45354 70 260 75 255 68 258 63 258 60 256 45354 43524 74 259 70 252 70 254 66 259 56 256 43524 41835 69 259 60 254 64 248 72 257 66 255 41835 40270 62 261 58 259 54 247 73 252 77 251 40270 38817 62 263 61 260 49 252 71 248 79 248 38817 37462 64 263 64 258 50 256 66 248 75 247 37462 36173 65 261 66 254 53 257 60 252 72 247 36173 34887 67 260 65 252 55 256 58 256 70 249 34887 33576 68 260 61 251 54 254 56 258 68 250 33576 32247 63 262 55 255 51 250 51 255 65 250 32247 30888 58 266 44 259 45 244 47 251 60 247 30888 29491 49 268 37 262 41 241 46 245 57 241 29491 28062 41 267 36 260 41 240 45 242 54 237 28062 26604 35 265 37 254 42 242 43 241 52 234 26604 25119 34 264 37 249 42 244 39 243 51 234 25119 23612 33 257 35 245 42 246 37 244 51 235 23612 22077 31 248 35 241 43 245 38 246 51 236 22077 20510 31 242 39 237 45 244 42 247 50 237 20510 18938 33 241 43 237 46 243 46 247 49 238 18938 17437 36 243 44 236 46 241 48 245 50 239 17437 16076 38 245 42 236 45 241 47 242 48 235 16076 14862 39 244 39 236 44 240 46 240 45 228 14862 13772 37 241 36 236 42 240 44 240 40 226 13772 12785 34 238 33 232 40 239 41 239 36 225 12785 11889 30 238 31 228 36 237 38 238 33 224 11889 11075 27 237 29 225 32*233 34 235 30 219 11075 10337 24 233 25 223 27*230 29 231 27 212 10337 9669 22 226 21 219 24 227 24 226 24 204 9669 9056 17 219 15 210 18 219 19 219 19 195 9056 8502 11 202 12 186 13 206 15 209 13 189 8502 8032 9 165 12 162 12 195 11 187 10 175 8032 7664 8 143 10 155 11 191 10 169 8 156 7664 7408 6 120 8 152 10 189 9 156 5 136 7408 7252 4*096 6*150 9 187 7*144 4*099 7252 7162 2*064 4*147 7 185 4*134 3*073 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography