DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.9 - - 30.6 - - 30.3 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 12 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1524 - - 2527 - - 2358 - - 2060 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 25 - - 15 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 087 - - 153 - - 184 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 13 - - 10 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -141 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7303 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9661 - - -770 - - -692 - - -645 ODpotential blCL - - - 16823 - - 7932 - - 7854 - - 7807 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.9 - - 30.6 - - 30.3 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 29.5 - - 29.5 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 34.4 - - 34.1 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 29.2 - - 29.4 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 12 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95563 47 355 46 012 36 013 37 357 95563 88774 34 006 37 013 30 015 20 001 88774 83455 29 015 30 006 27 014 18 016 83455 78970 19 012 23 357 25 000 20 016 78970 75054 10 010 14 344 19 342 15 358 75054 71562 12 354 15 347 16 330 15 358 71562 68377 15 334 18 324 19 323 18 345 68377 65442 12 324 15 315 15 316 16 316 65442 62715 15 322 13 325 15 323 15 315 62715 60063 20 314 17 314 21 308 18 307 60063 57283 19 296 19 292 24 290 20 301 57283 54381 14 299 18 286 25 281 24 283 54381 51598 20 300 20 284 22 276 24 277 51598 49093 25 277 25 273 23 279 26 276 49093 46860 25 260 31 265 24 271 25 274 46860 44853 28 265 30 263 24 273 29 276 44853 43030 32 247 32 261 29 269 30 288 43030 41349 40 231 32 242 31 265 34 270 41349 39784 55 224 36 230 32 246 30 257 39784 38333 54 217 40 209 24 205 21 237 38333 36993 43 228 28 207 22 183 24 195 36993 35724 36 237 21 216 19 185 24 197 35724 34456 33 236 21 216 17 193 22 194 34456 33162 29 241 20 222 18 200 17 195 33162 31848 26 247 19 228 18 210 12 222 31848 30505 24 237 22 221 16 223 16 229 30505 29124 25 218 25 225 16 234 16 232 29124 27711 24 215 25 230 16 238 13 239 27711 26268 22 214 23 232 17 241 13 241 26268 24801 21 216 20 240 17 244 15 260 24801 23312 21 217 16 249 15 248 19 286 23312 21799 20 216 16 254 15 255 22 297 21799 20255 18 215 17 256 17 266 24 301 20255 18706 16 218 18 257 19 277 25 299 18706 17227 15 224 19 255 21 280 26 296 17227 15885 16 231 20 253 23 279 27 293 15885 14686 18 233 21 249 24 274 27 289 14686 13608 19 229 21 246 25 269 28 287 13608 12634 20 221 21 244 25 264 28 286 12634 11750 20 214 20 242 25 261 28 285 11750 10951 19 209 21 235 24 261 28 284 10951 10231 17 202 21 226 22 261 26 281 10231 9581 17 196 18 216 18 258 22 277 9581 8987 13 189 14 202 12 250 17 269 8987 8453 7 170 10 182 6 225 11 257 8453 7999 4 130 8 154 5 179 6 224 7999 7645 4 099 7 142 5 174 5 197 7645 7399 3 059 6 139 5 170 4 186 7399 7248 3*033 5*138 4*169 3*173 7248 7161 2*012 4*139 3*170 2*173 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography