DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 12.3 - - 18.8 - - 21.3 - - 21.5 - - 16.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 49 - - 72 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 40 - - 3105 - - 5490 - - 2308 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 9907 - - 12036 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 9050 - - 12115 - - 14500 - - 11318 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1051 - - 1822 - - 1435 - - 3678 - - 4265 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 236 - - 322 - - 141 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 24 - - 22 - - 24 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 295 - - 260 - - 231 - - 194 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear 24 - - 23 - - 24 - - 23 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 23 - - 18 - - 39 - - 29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1890 - - 4081 - - 6785 - - 4158 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7160 - - 8034 - - 7715 - - 7160 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential -1855 - - 1263 - - 2968 - - 1980 - - -1562 ODpotential blCL 10905 - - 10852 - - 11532 - - 9338 - - 8723 blCL maxRH 80 - - 82 - - 95 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 12.3 - - 18.8 - - 21.3 - - 21.5 - - 16.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.3 - - 8.8 - - 12.7 - - 19.3 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.4 - - 22.2 - - 24.7 - - 25.2 - - 21.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.3 - - 7.8 - - 11.6 - - 18.9 - - 15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 49 - - 72 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 40 - - 3105 - - 5490 - - 2308 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 26 - - 79 - - 83 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97013 21 100 18 094 21 099 24 108 24 093 97013 89839 16 112 13 128 14 098 17 128 20 067 89839 84221 14 100 19 137 11 126 13 134 13 081 84221 79524 8 093 15 126 10 147 7 109 17 084 79524 75451 5 149 11 118 10 145 4 051 9 079 75451 71839 4 112 4 117 10 137 5 172 2 030 71839 68569 8 236 4 213 6 186 8 210 6 172 68569 65551 13 233 17 208 14 214 16 229 6 214 65551 62723 29 229 23 212 30 218 27 239 19 229 62723 59942 35 240 24 227 34 225 31 233 27 223 59942 57008 41 245 28 241 35 233 30 234 21 232 57008 53941 42 239 35 243 37 240 29 242 20 239 53941 51006 40 238 40 245 38 243 30 244 22 243 51006 48362 38 246 42 245 37 246 29 237 27 244 48362 45996 39 249 43 239 37 246 25 229 30 235 45996 43852 39 244 41 230 37 243 20 240 24 232 43852 41893 38 242 35 222 35 237 23 257 25 242 41893 40092 38 246 29 224 33 233 33 255 32 247 40092 38428 41 250 30 237 32 237 36 245 34 241 38428 36888 43 248 36 246 33 246 31 247 30 243 36888 35468 43 242 45 247 38 255 35 264 30 261 35468 34132 44 239 49 241 43 253 48 260 38 271 34132 32817 51 239 46 235 44 249 52 246 49 262 32817 31504 58 236 40 235 43 249 44 238 54 252 31504 30211 56 229 38 237 42 246 31 241 52 248 30211 28929 52 221 37 240 39 246 35 260 54 254 28929 27636 51 217 38 243 36 256 65 254 69 259 27636 26324 51 218 42 245 55 270 78 247 84 256 26324 24993 54 219 43 246 76 268 77 245 85 250 24993 23640 54 220 41 252 74 264 74 241 78 246 23640 22269 49 222 41 262 65 258 69 235 75 245 22269 20874 42 231 45 270 57 253 61 235 72 246 20874 19451 43 243 44 272 50 249 55 240 68 247 19451 18023 49 250 40 269 46 243 55 241 62 248 18023 16658 52 251 37 262 44 238 50 236 54 243 16658 15418 53 251 36 258 39*235 41 228 49 234 15418 14308 53 253 36 258 32*234 36 222 47 228 14308 13307 51 257 36 259 28 232 34 218 45 227 13307 12398 47 260 36*260 26 232 33 214 42 227 12398 11569 43 263 32*261 25 232 32*210 39 226 11569 10815 38 266 29 262 23 231 31*206 36 224 10815 10130 34 271 27 261 22 231 29 201 32 220 10130 9509 28*279 24 260 20 230 27 196 29 215 9509 8937 25*290 23 259 18 229 26 193 26 210 8937 8419 22 295 21 258 17 227 24 189 22 200 8419 7978 20 297 19 257 16 226 22 187 18 184 7978 7633 16 298 18 256 15 225 19 184 15 166 7633 7392 11 298 16 255 14 224 16 182 12 155 7392 7245 6 297 14 254 12 224 14 181 9*151 7245 7160 1 303 9 252 8 222 8 180 4*140 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography