DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.4 - - 45.9 - - 47.7 - - 41.3 - - 36.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 41 - - 68 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 828 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7163 - - 9838 - - 7163 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1559 - - 2966 - - 1122 - - 2413 - - 1848 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 39 - - 171 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 014 - - 257 - - 208 - - 155 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 13 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1164 - - -1966 - - 1277 - - 2 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8327 - - 9129 - - 8562 - - 7162 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential -10251 - - -9699 - - -4966 - - -6253 - - -8024 ODpotential blCL 17413 - - 16862 - - 14804 - - 13416 - - 15187 blCL maxRH 56 - - 54 - - 69 - - 82 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.4 - - 45.9 - - 47.7 - - 41.3 - - 36.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.4 - - 31.1 - - 35.3 - - 37.8 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 49.3 - - 50.9 - - 46.1 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 29.9 - - 34.0 - - 37.1 - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 41 - - 68 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 828 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95711 26 299 32 285 44 286 35 297 37 291 95711 88905 19 306 23 281 24 287 23 297 24 298 88905 83569 14 312 13 294 14 278 20 288 20 302 83569 79093 12 317 11 320 7 272 10 270 13 293 79093 75221 7 312 12 289 7 311 6 261 4 272 75221 71773 2 310 9 267 14 286 8 293 4 032 71773 68610 5 325 4 310 18 253 21 275 17 308 68610 65690 14 329 8 008 12 247 24 254 27 275 65690 62992 23 306 13 002 9 291 15 262 24 269 62992 60382 28 292 30 294 17 294 18 266 25 267 60382 57664 27 301 33 288 19 278 18 264 26 262 57664 54837 35 315 38 296 25 281 25 272 29 261 54837 52134 46 304 52 288 38 293 42 287 42 272 52134 49706 48 286 54 280 54 283 53 276 49 269 49706 47530 39 279 48 281 52 278 50 278 45 278 47530 45554 45 295 58 294 62 288 59 287 45 292 45554 43752 59 299 65 293 69 289 65 293 55 296 43752 42103 66 296 63 293 67 288 65 296 55 291 42103 40578 70 296 65 298 63 292 55 297 48 286 40578 39149 69 297 67 298 57 296 46 303 44 288 39149 37808 63 295 60 296 48 299 45 307 42 291 37808 36528 57 293 53 295 44 301 45 305 39 293 36528 35251 54 293 47 299 43 300 44 300 37 292 35251 33948 50 295 41 304 42 299 41 295 37 288 33948 32623 46 297 36 306 38 299 41 292 37 283 32623 31264 45 295 32 308 34 302 39 295 38 281 31264 29866 44 290 32 309 33 306 37 299 34 281 29866 28430 41 282 34 309 32 309 34 301 31 280 28430 26958 39 283 35 311 30 311 29 297 29 278 26958 25455 36 291 33 314 26 309 26 289 28 276 25455 23925 32 300 31 319 22 305 23 278 27 275 23925 22364 28 305 28 323 20 301 22 271 24 276 22364 20767 24 306 25 323 18 299 19 269 22 276 20767 19163 21 307 23 320 16 299 17 270 20 270 19163 17629 20 311 20 316 14 297 15 269 20 259 17629 16233 19 316 17 313 12 295 14 267 20 249 16233 14983 17 319 14 311 9 293 12 261 20 239 14983 13858 15 315 12 307 7 296 9 247 18 228 13858 12841 14 309 11 299 5 298 6 223 17 218 12841 11920 14 301 11 291 5 290 6 195 17 209 11920 11087 13 295 12 284 5 276 7 181 17 202 11087 10337 13 290 13 279 6*268 7 175 16 197 10337 9662 12 287 12 274 6*263 8 167 16 191 9662 9047 11 286 11 271 4 248 8 162 14 186 9047 8494 9 287 10 268 4 193 9 153 11 179 8494 8025 7 290 7 264 4 184 9 154 8 161 8025 7660 4 299 4 249 4 180 8 156 6 135 7660 7406 1 011 2 223 4 176 7 157 3 101 7406 7251 2*088 2*209 4 175 6*157 2*029 7251 7162 2*091 1*198 3 173 4*158 2*004 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography