DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 65.7 - - 64.6 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 271 - - 32 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2566 - - 4851 - - 4735 - - 107 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10477 - - 12350 - - 10266 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11576 - - 13861 - - 13745 - - 9117 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1418 - - 1224 - - 1504 - - 2826 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 336 - - 470 - - 233 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 257 - - 259 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 12 - - 17 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 238 - - 423 - - 120 - - -1570 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11338 - - 13438 - - 13626 - - 10688 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6216 - - -4349 - - -5058 - - -8677 ODpotential blCL - - - 17792 - - 18210 - - 18803 - - 17794 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 87 - - 75 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 65.7 - - 64.6 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 31.6 - - 29.8 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 67.7 - - 68.0 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 31.0 - - 29.4 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 271 - - 32 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2566 - - 4851 - - 4735 - - 107 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 47 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97820 13 301 9 295 4 290 9 280 97820 90580 5 338 8 284 12 334 7 359 90580 84938 2 339 5 285 12 318 12 358 84938 80274 10 347 5 329 11 316 13 351 80274 76274 10 316 6 315 9 294 10 333 76274 72741 7 284 12 330 8 312 9 280 72741 69533 13 277 20 300 18 316 9 303 69533 66564 14 266 21 277 23 284 19 292 66564 63804 11 288 19 266 23 279 25 282 63804 61132 22 287 22 267 31 276 27 285 61132 58355 24 285 28 274 33 277 32 286 58355 55485 37 297 39 285 37 285 34 286 55485 52752 53 294 46 293 46 294 44 294 52752 50306 64 297 57 290 58 298 55 299 50306 48131 67 293 61 293 67 297 67 295 48131 46169 65 289 63 299 66 294 67 288 46169 44371 63 296 64 302 62 296 61 291 44371 42707 59 304 63 297 60 297 59 299 42707 41153 56 308 61 296 56 295 55 297 41153 39691 57 308 56 296 54 290 52 290 39691 38318 57 308 55 294 58 284 52 285 38318 37003 56 303 58 289 58 282 55 280 37003 35686 57 301 58 289 53 282 54 277 35686 34343 56 298 55 293 49 285 49 275 34343 32983 55 297 53 296 47 290 46 279 32983 31596 54 298 51 298 46 294 42 283 31596 30169 51 299 47 297 44 294 39 283 30169 28708 47 298 46 294 43 292 38 284 28708 27212 43 295 46 290 43 291 37 285 27212 25686 41 291 43 287 42 290 37 287 25686 24135 40 288 41 287 41 288 37 289 24135 22556 38 288 38 287 38 287 36 290 22556 20941 35 288 37 287 35 288 33 290 20941 19318 31 287 35 286 32 288 30 288 19318 17767 29 286 33 285 29 288 26 285 17767 16359 26 287 29 285 25 290 24 283 16359 15102 23 290 23 287 21 293 22 281 15102 13972 20 291 17*288 15*296 20 280 13972 12950 16 290 10*284 10*295 17 276 12950 12023 14*289 9 280 9 291 13 270 12023 11182 11*287 9 275 9 279 10 265 11182 10423 9 278 8 267 9 265 7 264 10423 9737 7 260 8 255 9 252 7*269 9737 9108 6 247 8 241 10 243 8*273 9108 8539 6 239 8 235 10 238 9 274 8539 8056 6 233 8 229 9 235 9 269 8056 7678 5 228 8 225 9 233 7 262 7678 7416 5 224 8 223 9 231 4 246 7416 7255 5 223 8 221 8 229 3 226 7255 7163 4 220 7 219 6 227 1 119 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography