DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.8 - - 23.0 - - 22.4 - - 14.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 118 - - 40 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8133 - - 9560 - - 5902 - - 712 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14450 - - 15519 - - 11674 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17143 - - 18570 - - 14912 - - 9722 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1105 - - 2326 - - 5619 - - 5045 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 457 - - 274 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 15 - - 15 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 333 - - 356 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 15 - - 14 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -25 - - -15 - - 26 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 8750 - - 10065 - - 6686 - - 2491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8393 - - 8505 - - 8226 - - 7231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 4026 - - 5110 - - 1433 - - -945 ODpotential blCL - - - 13117 - - 13460 - - 13479 - - 10667 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 73 - - 68 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 170 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.8 - - 23.0 - - 22.4 - - 14.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.5 - - 11.1 - - 11.8 - - 8.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.8 - - 25.9 - - 25.9 - - 22.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.4 - - 10.1 - - 10.6 - - 10.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 118 - - 40 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8133 - - 9560 - - 5902 - - 712 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96809 51 252 52 262 45 258 46 257 96809 89432 38 253 41 261 44 263 36 261 89432 83813 33 247 34 256 34 266 31 272 83813 79183 27 244 31 261 27 270 27 274 79183 75180 18 236 24 259 22 275 23 277 75180 71624 10 229 16 278 21 276 20 285 71624 68400 10 244 12 250 18 273 20 286 68400 65427 10 269 6 218 16 264 18 277 65427 62647 17 274 18 288 15 271 15 274 62647 59934 25 269 26 285 17 290 9 283 59934 57084 30 270 28 273 23 268 19 300 57084 54114 21 264 26 255 25 265 28 271 54114 51278 14 289 22 265 21 271 24 264 51278 48724 28 292 28 275 26 289 23 279 48724 46435 33 288 30 278 31 287 29 291 46435 44358 36 278 32 276 31 286 32 291 44358 42455 37 271 31 270 34 284 31 295 42455 40695 38 272 30 272 36 280 32 297 40695 39059 41 270 35 275 36 280 31 298 39059 37534 45 266 42 269 36 278 30 301 37534 36117 51 261 44 264 33 277 31 302 36117 34779 55 254 43 260 31 279 30 309 34779 33457 57 250 42 257 31 282 30 311 33457 32124 58 249 42 256 31 283 27 312 32124 30787 60 248 42 255 30 278 25 327 30787 29436 62 246 43 254 26 272 28 334 29436 28063 66 244 44 253 19 282 29 331 28063 26675 71 242 44 253 20 312 26 338 26675 25281 73 240 44 255 24 319 30 352 25281 23884 71 240 42 260 23 311 31 360 23884 22483 64 243 31 270 24 314 30 009 22483 21068 50 250 18 295 22 318 24 002 21068 19626 34 260 20*343 25 321 22 357 19626 18177 20*278 20*344 26 323 24 359 18177 16789 16*306 19 342 24 326 25 001 16789 15524 16 311 18 337 20*330 24 001 15524 14392 17 315 17 334 18*339 21 355 14392 13372 18 318 16 333 18 351 21 352 13372 12446 19 319 15 331 19 360 21 351 12446 11604 19 319 15 330 19 003 22 350 11604 10839 19 319 14 329 18 002 22 348 10839 10147 19 319 13 328 18 001 23*346 10147 9519 18 319 13 327 16 359 24*343 9519 8944 18 318 12 325 14 358 23 340 8944 8423 17 318 11 322 11 356 22 337 8423 7980 17 317 10 320 9 352 19 336 7980 7634 16 317 9 318 7 347 16 334 7634 7393 14 317 8 316 6 344 12 332 7393 7245 12 316 8 315 5 341 8 329 7245 7160 9 316 6 314 4 338 4 332 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography