DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 56.0 - - 54.6 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 234 - - 20 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3864 - - 6395 - - 4791 - - 1029 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11265 - - 13487 - - 7146 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12874 - - 15405 - - 13801 - - 10039 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2301 - - 2715 - - 4374 - - 2465 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 345 - - 492 - - 199 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 27 - - 23 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 236 - - 235 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 32 - - 36 - - 33 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 32 - - 25 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3924 - - 4239 - - 1471 - - -377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8951 - - 11166 - - 12331 - - 10417 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -265 - - 853 - - -1271 - - -4722 ODpotential blCL - - - 13139 - - 14552 - - 15072 - - 14761 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 89 - - 93 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 100 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 56.0 - - 54.6 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 31.5 - - 25.2 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 58.4 - - 58.1 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 31.0 - - 24.9 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 234 - - 20 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3864 - - 6395 - - 4791 - - 1029 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 55 - - 71 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97770 10 278 12 316 13 281 17 274 97770 90505 6 262 9 262 16 292 14 327 90505 84876 6 270 6 240 11 302 12 308 84876 80199 9 303 5 292 8 350 8 259 80199 76158 7 298 7 313 10 321 4 283 76158 72582 10 301 11 331 7 321 7 333 72582 69354 12 244 11 264 8 299 9 352 69354 66391 9 285 11 307 9 347 11 032 66391 63633 18 274 16 296 12 330 11 024 63633 60951 15 269 20 282 15 300 13 309 60951 58156 19 281 25 277 26 294 25 298 58156 55235 27 289 32 275 34 274 32 290 55235 52419 37 288 35 270 39 272 39 273 52419 49874 47 283 41 273 44 271 44 270 49874 47589 52 273 46 272 48 271 49 267 47589 45514 51 273 50 272 54 267 54 264 45514 43611 54 272 54 270 57 260 60 257 43611 41852 60 266 59 265 58 257 63 250 41852 40217 63 258 66 258 60 257 63 248 40217 38693 64 254 69 252 63 257 64 248 38693 37277 63 252 68 248 68 251 67 245 37277 35938 62 249 68 245 71 244 72 240 35938 34614 61 246 69 243 72 241 75 236 34614 33278 63 245 70 242 72 240 75 236 33278 31936 66 244 70 242 71 241 73 237 31936 30573 67 243 71 243 72 241 72 236 30573 29181 64 242 71 242 74 241 70 236 29181 27765 61 240 67 240 73 241 68 234 27765 26328 58 237 62 237 67 240 65 234 26328 24870 56 234 61 235 61 238 61 232 24870 23394 54 233 61 235 58 238 59 229 23394 21894 52 234 59 237 57 239 56 229 21894 20364 52 238 58 240 54 240 52 231 20364 18829 57 241 56 241 51 240 48 232 18829 17363 61 241 56 240 48 235 45 229 17363 16029 58 242 53*239 46 230 42 225 16029 14833 50 245 47*241 44*228 40 223 14833 13753 43*246 40 242 40*229 37 226 13753 12773 38*246 33 241 36 231 35 229 12773 11880 35 243 28 239 32 233 30 228 11880 11069 31 238 25 235 26 236 24 224 11069 10336 26 233 24 233 21 238 18*223 10336 9670 23 227 21 229 17 241 11*224 9670 9059 20 220 21 227 14 243 6 232 9059 8506 17 212 20 226 14 244 3 281 8506 8035 16 208 19 225 13 244 5 342 8035 7667 16 206 18 224 12 244 7 350 7667 7410 15 205 17 223 11 244 6 351 7410 7253 13 203 16 223 10 244 4 358 7253 7162 9 202 11 221 7 243 3 001 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography