DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 77.0 - - 74.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 348 - - 409 - - 192 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6171 - - 6812 - - 5405 - - 1080 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13501 - - 14085 - - 12625 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15181 - - 15822 - - 14415 - - 10090 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1633 - - 1830 - - 2010 - - 1879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 556 - - 607 - - 438 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 22 - - 20 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 259 - - 275 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 22 - - 21 - - 23 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 15 - - 16 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -567 - - -992 - - -3686 - - -5968 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15748 - - 16814 - - 18101 - - 16059 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5299 - - -7243 - - -10224 - - -15027 ODpotential blCL - - - 20480 - - 23065 - - 24639 - - 25117 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 29 - - 19 - - 15 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 77.0 - - 74.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 27.8 - - 19.6 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 78.6 - - 76.8 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 26.6 - - 18.6 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 348 - - 409 - - 192 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6171 - - 6812 - - 5405 - - 1080 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99621 36 115 29 101 34 100 23 092 99621 92111 26 105 26 107 26 095 26 094 92111 86318 20 095 25 103 22 108 25 085 86318 81491 17 106 16 104 17 107 20 093 81491 77325 16 111 12 111 15 098 14 109 77325 73656 16 097 15 134 9 073 13 093 73656 70336 10 060 19 126 5 146 9 063 70336 67281 1 061 5 078 3 069 8 046 67281 64442 1 085 2 330 5 310 10 000 64442 61714 5 255 3 310 7 319 7 337 61714 58900 17 249 16 259 13 313 9 298 58900 56003 24 261 31 264 40 272 41 269 56003 53268 38 267 42 254 47 258 48 261 53268 50804 50 275 48 267 46 268 49 272 50804 48592 65 274 65 274 61 277 62 282 48592 46587 72 269 76 270 75 274 71 280 46587 44746 75 268 79 269 79 270 79 276 44746 43037 78 270 82 271 81 269 84 274 43037 41440 80 270 84 271 84 270 86 274 41440 39943 80 268 84 269 84 269 86 274 39943 38541 78 267 80 267 80 268 82 273 38541 37206 74 266 74 266 74 267 75 271 37206 35876 68 264 69 266 70 266 72 270 35876 34522 64 261 66 265 66 265 69 268 34522 33149 61 260 64 265 63 264 66 266 33149 31748 59 261 63 265 59 265 60 264 31748 30311 56 261 60 265 55 266 55 262 30311 28839 53 260 56 264 51 266 51 261 28839 27336 51 260 52 264 49 265 49 260 27336 25803 49 258 48 263 47 264 48 259 25803 24243 47 256 46 262 46 262 48 259 24243 22654 45 255 45 261 46 260 48 260 22654 21030 42 253 43 259 45 259 47 260 21030 19399 39 251 41 258 43 257 44 259 19399 17841 38 251 39 256 40 257 42 259 17841 16427 37 252 37*254 38 258 40 260 16427 15162 35*252 33*254 36*259 39 261 15162 14022 32*251 28 255 32*263 37 265 14022 12992 26 250 23 258 28 267 35 270 12992 12056 22 250 22 259 21 272 33 276 12056 11209 20 252 21 260 18 277 31 281 11209 10445 18 254 21 261 18 279 29*288 10445 9754 18 255 21 261 18 280 25*293 9754 9121 17 256 21 261 18 281 21 300 9121 8550 16 256 20 262 18 282 18 307 8550 8063 16 257 20 261 17 282 16 310 8063 7684 15 257 19 261 16 282 14 311 7684 7419 14 257 18 261 15 283 11 311 7419 7257 13 256 16 261 14 283 8 312 7257 7163 10 256 12 260 10 283 3 318 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography