DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 62.7 - - 62.5 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 404 - - 183 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6048 - - 8572 - - 8414 - - 5059 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13414 - - 15507 - - 14942 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15058 - - 17582 - - 17424 - - 14069 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2059 - - 1603 - - 1544 - - 2296 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 557 - - 653 - - 502 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 271 - - 281 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 10 - - 6 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2492 - - 2148 - - 2199 - - 1153 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12566 - - 15435 - - 15226 - - 12916 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2924 - - -1400 - - -1396 - - -5274 ODpotential blCL - - - 17982 - - 18982 - - 18820 - - 19343 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 68 - - 70 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 62.7 - - 62.5 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.3 - - 19.7 - - 20.5 - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 64.2 - - 64.9 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.1 - - 18.5 - - 19.3 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 404 - - 183 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6048 - - 8572 - - 8414 - - 5059 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98645 22 118 18 103 26 082 26 099 98645 91197 15 091 14 096 20 082 18 096 91197 85517 18 098 18 093 14 083 21 081 85517 80793 19 114 19 097 13 098 20 066 80793 76718 20 104 15 105 14 098 19 073 76718 73120 17 096 13 111 11 081 21 080 73120 69865 15 090 11 107 6 059 16 067 69865 66871 12 079 12 103 6 127 10 035 66871 64087 10 086 8 114 7 092 4 054 64087 61376 4 109 5 158 2 080 3 055 61376 58532 7 172 7 192 6 189 4 265 58532 55560 5 213 3 186 7 186 9 226 55560 52714 11 230 8 268 7 254 7 222 52714 50151 11 234 10 273 9 262 7 244 50151 47864 11 238 17 270 13 294 7 295 47864 45798 8 244 18 249 17 296 13 317 45798 43921 10 315 10 264 18 285 16 312 43921 42198 17 316 12 308 14 288 15 318 42198 40612 18 311 15 308 11 321 21 335 40612 39151 16 312 17 006 9 358 14 328 39151 37799 13 347 18 012 12 042 9 054 37799 36516 16 044 17 047 12 065 14 047 36516 35234 16 061 21 046 14 056 13 037 35234 33924 16 074 20 036 17 043 15 019 33924 32593 9 088 17 029 18 033 15 010 32593 31232 0 049 7 037 13 033 15 004 31232 29830 4 325 7 321 7 016 17 000 29830 28391 6 307 12 328 9 349 12 349 28391 26918 13 291 15 337 11 332 19 335 26918 25414 21 287 13 338 14 315 22 330 25414 23885 22 287 11 316 18 304 18 307 23885 22329 21 290 14 286 21 298 21 289 22329 20740 20 291 17 277 19 293 24 287 20740 19146 21 288 19 279 18 286 24 287 19146 17624 23 283 21*282 17*283 23 283 17624 16243 24*282 18*279 15*280 22 280 16243 15009 22*283 15 274 13 281 20*279 15009 13898 19 283 15 274 13 281 17*279 13898 12892 15 277 14 273 13 281 13 280 12892 11978 14 273 14 272 13 281 11 284 11978 11148 14 271 14 270 13 281 10 289 11148 10398 13 269 14 269 13 281 10 294 10398 9719 13 268 14 268 13 281 11 296 9719 9095 13 267 14 267 13 281 11 297 9095 8531 12 265 14 266 13 280 11 299 8531 8051 12 264 13 265 13 280 11 299 8051 7676 11 262 13 264 12 279 10 300 7676 7415 10 262 12 263 11 279 8 298 7415 7255 10 261 11 263 11 279 6 297 7255 7163 8 259 9 262 8 278 4 297 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography