DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.4 - - 40.4 - - 43.3 - - 38.7 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 66 - - 90 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 122 - - 1057 - - 306 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9132 - - 10067 - - 9316 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1849 - - 809 - - 861 - - 794 - - 2472 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 90 - - 204 - - 34 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 158 - - 178 - - 151 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 6 - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1640 - - 1038 - - 2106 - - 2155 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8803 - - 8095 - - 7961 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -10489 - - -6604 - - -5174 - - -3491 - - -7343 ODpotential blCL 17651 - - 15736 - - 15241 - - 12807 - - 14505 blCL maxRH 70 - - 66 - - 78 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.4 - - 40.4 - - 43.3 - - 38.7 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 30.0 - - 33.4 - - 34.8 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.3 - - 43.5 - - 46.3 - - 43.2 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.1 - - 28.8 - - 32.2 - - 33.9 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 66 - - 90 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 122 - - 1057 - - 306 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 58 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97092 8 151 9 230 6 263 15 264 4 275 97092 89939 9 101 7 149 4 255 4 312 4 082 89939 84424 8 069 5 153 3 198 6 082 2 096 84424 79834 6 104 7 133 5 195 4 070 1 013 79834 75866 5 099 6 137 1 144 7 123 3 217 75866 72338 5 230 4 213 1 111 7 139 10 178 72338 69126 5 243 9 253 4 299 10 178 7 228 69126 66159 10 225 13 225 13 240 13 210 11 264 66159 63391 12 239 12 232 16 223 20 222 17 247 63391 60684 20 235 20 241 18 245 16 227 14 228 60684 57855 19 237 19 224 25 223 26 234 24 245 57855 54938 32 259 23 246 23 230 25 227 27 234 54938 52155 37 243 29 243 31 244 25 248 24 237 52155 49642 28 227 31 230 30 236 29 241 28 231 49642 47384 29 249 32 244 29 242 28 230 30 222 47384 45327 37 255 35 240 34 241 32 246 28 231 45327 43443 34 238 30 235 36 235 38 249 33 245 43443 41723 27 229 24 235 26 237 31 241 33 239 41723 40144 27 260 22 247 23 247 24 249 27 233 40144 38684 22 259 20 258 21 252 25 258 25 240 38684 37333 14 254 18 274 19 263 24 261 23 247 37333 36058 15 269 20 286 21 277 22 268 21 256 36058 34792 20 284 21 289 23 282 22 276 22 263 34792 33503 22 289 19 281 22 283 22 278 22 263 33503 32193 20 288 16 271 21 284 21 280 21 262 32193 30852 13 285 14 263 20 280 20 279 21 263 30852 29472 8 268 13 262 20 271 21 269 21 257 29472 28060 8 259 14 271 18 265 20 258 20 245 28060 26617 9 282 11 276 14 264 16 252 18 235 26617 25143 9 320 7 279 11 253 15 241 19 232 25143 23643 11 332 4 287 8 239 14 234 20 235 23643 22114 10 346 3 301 7 237 13 236 19 232 22114 20546 9 355 3 315 6 234 13 238 18 227 20546 18966 9 342 2 306 6 221 13 242 18 229 18966 17452 5 325 3 232 7 226 13 242 17 235 17452 16076 2 276 5 229 8 231 11 241 15 238 16076 14847 5 241 6 232 8 234 10 240 13 234 14847 13743 6 224 7 232 8 232 9 235 12 229 13743 12746 7 216 7 225 8 225 9 231 13 227 12746 11844 7 208 7 211 9 219 9 228 13 226 11844 11028 7 200 8 200 9 217 9 223 13 223 11028 10293 7 191 8 191 8*212 8 213 13 215 10293 9631 7 180 8*183 7*196 6*183 11 204 9631 9025 6 165 7*174 6 181 7*157 10 188 9025 8480 6 146 6 160 7 177 8 151 9 161 8480 8017 6 137 4 153 7 176 8 152 9 143 8017 7656 5 140 3 149 7 174 8 150 7 136 7656 7404 3 139 3 149 7 172 7 149 4 133 7404 7250 1*129 3 148 6 171 6 149 1*120 7250 7161 1*115 2 148 5 171 4 150 0*347 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography