DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.1 - - 77.3 - - 81.5 - - 80.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 335 - - 377 - - 177 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1849 - - 6669 - - 10013 - - 10672 - - 5169 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 13883 - - 16650 - - 16702 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 10859 - - 15679 - - 19023 - - 19682 - - 14179 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2658 - - 2535 - - 1819 - - 1584 - - 5442 Hgt.Variab. W* 198 - - 564 - - 673 - - 538 - - 72 W* B/S 5 - - 15 - - 15 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 261 - - 276 - - 274 - - 294 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 11 - - 15 - - 23 - - 12 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3281 - - -348 - - 2360 - - 3200 - - 608 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14141 - - 16028 - - 16664 - - 16483 - - 13572 sfcLCL ODpotential -10457 - - -4982 - - -1601 - - -154 - - -4569 ODpotential blCL 21316 - - 20661 - - 20624 - - 19836 - - 18748 blCL maxRH 27 - - 41 - - 52 - - 57 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 140 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 69.1 - - 77.3 - - 81.5 - - 80.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 31.7 - - 32.8 - - 33.2 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.3 - - 78.7 - - 82.7 - - 83.3 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 30.6 - - 31.6 - - 32.0 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 335 - - 377 - - 177 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1849 - - 6669 - - 10013 - - 10672 - - 5169 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99379 35 105 32 115 27 106 34 105 35 098 99379 91894 34 102 26 112 26 115 21 090 27 097 91894 86124 24 090 29 107 23 109 19 105 20 097 86124 81322 20 087 30 099 19 105 21 102 18 100 81322 77179 19 090 22 085 22 102 16 106 17 081 77179 73520 17 085 14 067 20 095 15 109 13 078 73520 70213 16 088 7 055 13 085 13 100 9 073 70213 67180 11 076 4 032 9 060 14 078 6 086 67180 64375 6 067 2 357 9 332 17 022 12 064 64375 61665 9 008 5 011 10 322 20 351 19 012 61665 58865 13 352 12 346 11 322 20 329 22 338 58865 55985 21 328 18 335 16 326 20 322 22 333 55985 53246 25 323 23 321 23 320 26 319 28 327 53246 50788 29 318 30 321 33 319 34 318 36 319 50788 48591 31 310 35 323 38 318 41 314 42 313 48591 46601 25 301 37 321 38 318 43 313 44 309 46601 44773 19 285 36 318 36 317 41 313 46 308 44773 43078 16 252 31 307 34 311 38 314 45 307 43078 41497 18 220 23 283 30 307 36 313 40 308 41497 40016 19 208 20 260 28 301 32 308 35 309 40016 38632 18 205 20 235 22 276 28 304 30 306 38632 37313 15 207 17 237 20 260 26 298 26 300 37313 35995 13 217 19 241 23 249 23 279 23 297 35995 34652 14 227 20 242 25 242 23 263 22 288 34652 33295 15 227 20 240 22 246 25 250 21 265 33295 31909 15 229 20 237 19 254 21 250 22 261 31909 30482 16 234 20 236 18 262 18 258 20 261 30482 29017 15 242 21 240 17 262 16 266 19 271 29017 27514 15 249 21 244 16 262 16 272 19 280 27514 25978 14 254 19 246 17 259 16 274 19 282 25978 24415 11 261 16 244 18 252 17 269 16 282 24415 22824 11 269 14 247 16 250 17 262 13 281 22824 21200 11 274 13 257 14 258 12*261 10 278 21200 19570 11 283 13 260 11*270 6*277 7 276 19570 18008 11 294 11 265 9*281 4 294 3 278 18008 16585 11 301 10*284 8 286 5 295 0 001 16585 15308 10 302 11*299 9 287 5 295 1*076 15308 14156 10 300 8 299 9 285 6 294 1*058 14156 13111 9 293 7 290 9 283 7 295 2 022 13111 12161 9 279 7 287 9 278 9 296 4 357 12161 11299 10*264 6 281 9 272 9 296 7 345 11299 10520 12*255 6 268 9 267 10 296 11 336 10520 9815 12 251 7 261 9 263 11 296 14 332 9815 9168 12 252 7 255 9 259 11 296 15 328 9168 8583 8 259 7 250 8 255 11 296 16 325 8583 8085 3 288 7 246 8 253 11 295 16 323 8085 7696 3 354 7 243 8 251 11 296 15 320 7696 7425 3 358 6 242 8 249 10 296 12 318 7425 7260 3 001 6 240 7 249 9 295 9 316 7260 7164 2 007 5 239 6 247 8 294 5 314 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography