DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.2 - - 36.6 - - 41.5 - - 37.6 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 72 - - 88 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 470 - - 1892 - - 834 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 9629 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9480 - - 10902 - - 9844 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2018 - - 944 - - 930 - - 970 - - 1906 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 143 - - 242 - - 17 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 354 - - 251 - - 322 - - 294 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1811 - - -983 - - 245 - - -53 - - -2048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8973 - - 10464 - - 10658 - - 9897 - - 9210 sfcLCL ODpotential -12190 - - -10703 - - -8083 - - -10132 - - -12348 ODpotential blCL 19352 - - 20183 - - 18985 - - 19976 - - 19510 blCL maxRH 62 - - 68 - - 77 - - 72 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.2 - - 36.6 - - 41.5 - - 37.6 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.7 - - 16.2 - - 20.2 - - 19.8 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.6 - - 39.7 - - 44.6 - - 43.9 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.7 - - 15.1 - - 19.1 - - 18.6 - - 16.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 72 - - 88 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 470 - - 1892 - - 834 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96716 12 080 5 336 8 020 12 027 13 024 96716 89587 12 043 14 055 13 061 16 032 18 040 89587 84055 17 034 14 061 10 067 18 031 22 053 84055 79433 16 023 14 060 9 044 19 025 22 046 79433 75417 15 015 14 028 12 051 14 004 19 022 75417 71867 10 006 13 003 21 349 22 343 21 004 71867 68656 32 343 17 026 21 350 22 344 22 005 68656 65685 31 339 20 336 25 334 28 334 31 351 65685 62935 32 335 22 329 25 319 34 322 42 328 62935 60290 34 326 26 329 24 321 33 314 40 322 60290 57534 39 317 33 332 30 328 35 328 36 325 57534 54663 52 312 48 317 45 317 44 326 42 324 54663 51918 55 307 53 310 50 319 49 322 47 329 51918 49462 62 316 57 318 62 323 57 324 59 330 49462 47286 72 315 69 317 64 321 63 333 62 343 47286 45357 78 315 71 317 73 336 93 330 89 332 45357 43631 83 319 78 330 92 334 95 326 86 327 43631 42037 88 321 85 330 85 331 76 323 63 320 42037 40541 90 320 77 326 71 337 61 336 64 324 40541 39132 89 321 68 338 56 340 61 343 60 329 39132 37804 87 321 70 351 58 354 62 346 59 333 37804 36531 82 321 70 353 62 358 61 345 59 335 36531 35252 77 324 66 350 63 355 64 344 59 337 35252 33943 76 327 64 343 64 343 67 344 62 339 33943 32611 74 329 63 337 66 334 64 342 62 342 32611 31244 71 331 63 334 64 331 60 337 58 345 31244 29835 69 329 63 335 60 330 61 335 53 348 29835 28389 67 327 62 339 56 334 58 337 45 346 28389 26909 65 327 58 338 54 340 53 347 39 342 26909 25399 63 329 54 336 50 345 46 347 35 340 25399 23863 58 330 51 334 43 341 41 336 29 337 23863 22297 50 329 48 333 41 331 39 332 26 329 22297 20695 45 328 45 332 42 326 37 334 25 324 20695 19087 42 327 42 331 40 325 36 337 26 325 19087 17552 38 327 40 330 38 327 36 339 26 330 17552 16158 34 326 36 328 35 328 34 340 25 334 16158 14913 30 324 32 323 32 329 32 341 24 337 14913 13794 26 322 28 318 29 329 28 342 22 339 13794 12784 22 321 24 316 25 329 24 342 20 339 12784 11870 20 320 20 315 20 330 20 339 18 338 11870 11046 17 321 16 315 16*330 16 334 16 337 11046 10305 16 323 12 314 11*330 11*327 15 336 10305 9638 14 326 9*310 7 326 8*316 13 336 9638 9029 12 330 5*303 5 320 6 299 10 335 9029 8481 10 335 2 278 5 317 5 283 8 334 8481 8016 8 342 2 217 4 315 5 281 6 331 8016 7655 6 352 2 201 4 314 4 284 4 332 7655 7403 5 357 2 195 3 313 3 291 3 346 7403 7250 2*356 2 190 3 310 2 292 3*356 7250 7161 2*345 2 191 3 311 2 296 2*359 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography