DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 47.6 - - 48.9 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 307 - - 115 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2558 - - 2588 - - 2429 - - 2116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10579 - - 10667 - - 10175 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11568 - - 11598 - - 11439 - - 11126 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1182 - - 1128 - - 1480 - - 1452 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 400 - - 285 - - 46 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 300 - - 302 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -11 - - 11 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3647 - - 3521 - - 3220 - - 3679 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7922 - - 8077 - - 8219 - - 7447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1479 - - 1570 - - 611 - - 632 ODpotential blCL - - - 10089 - - 10028 - - 10828 - - 10494 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 99 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 47.6 - - 48.9 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 36.9 - - 37.6 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 49.6 - - 51.7 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 36.1 - - 36.8 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 307 - - 115 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2558 - - 2588 - - 2429 - - 2116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 96 - - 85 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99370 28 102 34 101 29 106 25 096 99370 91792 27 099 27 097 23 102 24 104 91792 85983 26 099 17 081 24 098 28 103 85983 81185 19 105 11 098 22 085 24 101 81185 77070 13 122 13 123 17 096 21 099 77070 73425 15 125 15 144 11 101 10 092 73425 70107 9 130 14 142 1 087 10 093 70107 67038 9 136 8 117 4 221 3 074 67038 64181 6 112 7 093 5 179 3 191 64181 61407 3 145 4 037 5 148 2 128 61407 58519 4 124 3 276 3 182 3 020 58519 55523 4 081 5 201 5 202 4 247 55523 52657 2 234 5 206 4 239 8 228 52657 50071 8 226 9 242 7 281 10 249 50071 47756 4 236 7 242 11 291 11 267 47756 45672 3 340 5 225 14 263 14 273 45672 43779 11 333 8 340 5 261 16 248 43779 42045 15 319 21 339 10 357 8 001 42045 40450 13 317 23 344 23 021 16 008 40450 38972 12 356 22 360 32 023 22 021 38972 37591 20 013 21 020 36 009 26 019 37591 36286 25 019 24 023 23 352 33 011 36286 34993 27 018 22 014 23 340 41 008 34993 33679 22 008 17 009 27 342 31 360 33679 32348 22 003 14 355 26 342 21 350 32348 30988 23 358 12 336 23 336 20 347 30988 29590 25 356 14 321 20 331 19 343 29590 28158 25 001 15 322 17 327 16 334 28158 26694 24 007 15 331 14 317 15 319 26694 25203 25 354 15 338 13 306 15 306 25203 23690 24 349 19 340 14 301 14 302 23690 22151 22 348 20 337 18 306 13 299 22151 20580 20 345 19 335 18 316 12 306 20580 19001 17 343 17 335 17 326 12 320 19001 17490 15 338 15 336 14 323 12 321 17490 16118 13 334 12 333 12 321 12 313 16118 14891 13 335 10 322 11 318 12 308 14891 13789 15 333 9 318 10 316 11 309 13789 12793 17 324 10 323 9 313 8 309 12793 11891 19*314 12*322 8*306 6*301 11891 11074 20*307 13*315 8*302 5*295 11074 10337 21 304 13 310 8 300 4 294 10337 9670 20 302 14 300 8 300 4 295 9670 9059 20 300 15 297 8 301 5 300 9059 8506 19 299 15 295 8 302 5 306 8506 8035 18 297 14 294 8 303 5 309 8035 7667 16 296 14 293 7 304 5 310 7667 7410 15 295 12 292 7 304 5 310 7410 7253 13 295 11 291 6 305 4 309 7253 7162 9 294 9 290 5 304 3 311 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography