DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 54.4 - - 57.6 - - 57.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 67 - - 206 - - 104 - - 49 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1125 - - 4190 - - 6133 - - 5526 - - 3277 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11737 - - 12878 - - 11808 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 10135 - - 13200 - - 15143 - - 14536 - - 12287 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2050 - - 2137 - - 2251 - - 2333 - - 3985 Hgt.Variab. W* 186 - - 413 - - 389 - - 297 - - 36 W* B/S 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 248 - - 240 - - 226 - - 241 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 14 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 12 - - 31 - - 15 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2329 - - 4162 - - 5184 - - 5394 - - 4507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7807 - - 9038 - - 9959 - - 9142 - - 7780 sfcLCL ODpotential -1196 - - 1582 - - 1927 - - 1984 - - -287 ODpotential blCL 11331 - - 11618 - - 13216 - - 12552 - - 12574 blCL maxRH 94 - - 99 - - 98 - - 89 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 160 - - 280 - - 400 - - 490 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 54.4 - - 57.6 - - 57.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.9 - - 39.3 - - 38.5 - - 41.6 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 56.7 - - 60.6 - - 60.4 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.1 - - 38.4 - - 37.4 - - 40.4 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 67 - - 206 - - 104 - - 49 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1125 - - 4190 - - 6133 - - 5526 - - 3277 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 94 - - 94 - - 56 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99279 33 109 37 102 31 108 29 097 31 095 99279 91741 28 106 25 101 27 112 27 086 27 107 91741 85972 30 103 21 105 24 102 18 100 21 096 85972 81185 23 095 22 121 16 092 19 100 15 097 81185 77053 15 090 23 106 15 127 15 080 16 100 77053 73394 10 117 17 089 14 126 8 126 15 081 73394 70067 7 142 9 075 10 125 7 135 11 103 70067 67004 8 140 2 105 9 107 8 160 3 154 67004 64167 6 146 8 167 4 207 4 169 8 184 64167 61407 4 175 12 167 12 207 4 230 8 170 61407 58510 5 204 9 175 10 206 4 243 4 157 58510 55497 9 206 9 213 8 222 6 265 4 217 55497 52618 10 209 13 214 12 228 11 253 9 261 52618 50036 13 216 14 229 15 232 14 246 14 258 50036 47735 11 231 16 231 14 239 12 256 14 254 47735 45656 15 245 14 243 16 249 21 260 18 266 45656 43768 10 228 14 250 15 250 19 252 20 255 43768 42050 6 268 12 279 14 273 17 264 21 247 42050 40474 12 332 10 332 12 283 18 260 24 242 40474 39018 20 004 16 011 9 329 18 263 24 236 39018 37665 31 024 18 020 15 338 20 272 24 233 37665 36377 37 023 20 018 18 327 18 271 25 233 36377 35091 38 019 22 010 16 327 15 272 23 232 35091 33779 35 023 23 015 12 349 10 272 19 238 33779 32447 29 024 22 019 11 354 9 290 16 243 32447 31084 28 027 22 027 14 350 10 319 12 249 31084 29683 30 032 25 038 15 358 8 331 9 252 29683 28246 24 023 23 039 11 011 7 326 8 247 28246 26778 18 018 20 031 6 039 4 297 10 247 26778 25283 14 025 15 034 2 144 6 249 11 247 25283 23766 7 036 7 043 4 231 7 235 11 241 23766 22224 1 152 2 281 8 254 6 237 11 230 22224 20652 5 211 7 248 10 250 11 235 14 230 20652 19077 7 236 6 264 11 240 13 234 18 237 19077 17572 10 260 9 259 10 241 14 231 22 246 17572 16205 10 272 9 267 10*234 15 224 26 250 16205 14981 7 279 7 276 11*226 16*223 26 250 14981 13877 6 284 7*282 12 224 15*224 24 249 13877 12876 6 281 7*279 12 223 14 226 21*249 12876 11966 6 280 7 269 12 223 13 229 17*246 11966 11140 7 280 7 256 12 224 11 237 14 246 11140 10392 7*281 6 246 11 226 10 243 10 252 10392 9715 6*279 6 235 11 228 9 250 7 267 9715 9093 4 274 6 224 10 229 9 257 4 297 9093 8530 3 257 6 217 9 231 8 264 3 326 8530 8051 2 180 6 211 8 233 7 272 3 349 8051 7676 2 174 6 207 8 233 6 279 3 010 7676 7415 2 178 5 204 7 234 5 283 2 028 7415 7255 2 177 5 202 6 234 5 286 2 039 7255 7163 2 179 4 201 5 234 4 287 2 048 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography