DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 52.4 - - 52.2 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 89 - - 12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3672 - - 4007 - - 3524 - - 1490 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10763 - - 11199 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12682 - - 13017 - - 12534 - - 10500 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1932 - - 2455 - - 2396 - - 2788 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 319 - - 169 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 23 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 018 - - 003 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 14 - - 10 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 9 - - -7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5171 - - 5300 - - 5148 - - 3338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7511 - - 7717 - - 7386 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2132 - - 1705 - - 1937 - - 56 ODpotential blCL - - - 10550 - - 11312 - - 10597 - - 10444 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 99 - - 90 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 340 - - 240 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 52.4 - - 52.2 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 43.2 - - 44.4 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 55.3 - - 55.8 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 42.0 - - 43.3 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 89 - - 12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3672 - - 4007 - - 3524 - - 1490 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 95 - - 62 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98529 6 341 6 298 14 329 12 300 98529 91187 7 306 11 303 12 285 18 306 91187 85522 11 306 13 323 10 305 17 311 85522 80811 16 296 16 296 21 321 21 321 80811 76764 11 294 14 291 19 314 19 323 76764 73184 10 306 14 308 14 305 13 314 73184 69915 17 294 22 292 19 294 19 313 69915 66895 18 280 19 280 22 284 22 295 66895 64099 13 268 16 270 21 278 20 288 64099 61394 15 280 20 271 23 287 20 291 61394 58571 17 271 21 268 27 284 22 287 58571 55640 18 269 22 261 27 276 23 281 55640 52844 23 262 22 263 26 272 25 277 52844 50332 25 265 21 265 25 268 26 274 50332 48077 24 265 21 266 24 270 25 273 48077 46023 22 259 21 269 24 280 24 276 46023 44140 19 249 19 270 25 290 24 284 44140 42404 15 258 17 271 25 295 23 298 42404 40795 15 276 13 292 23 303 24 317 40795 39298 11 285 15 320 23 324 29 326 39298 37905 7 314 14 338 32 339 34 333 37905 36590 12 344 18 005 40 349 40 342 36590 35292 20 006 41 004 48 354 46 347 35292 33974 34 007 54 359 48 348 49 350 33974 32638 32 035 49 004 42 351 47 350 32638 31269 61 046 45 024 42 359 44 347 31269 29860 54 037 47 023 44 359 44 349 29860 28415 52 031 50 016 42 003 42 356 28415 26934 49 028 50 016 39 013 38 360 26934 25423 47 033 47 020 37 022 34 357 25423 23888 42 037 45 024 33 022 28 360 23888 22326 35 032 40 030 28 018 22 009 22326 20731 31 024 30 035 26 020 18 020 20731 19129 31 026 23 038 22 024 17 027 19129 17597 26 033 20 039 18 031 16 039 17597 16208 21 039 18 042 17 038 16 050 16208 14969 20 041 17 046 13 036 16 055 14969 13858 17 045 14*050 11 030 14 052 13858 12854 14*049 11*048 9*021 11 036 12854 11944 11*052 8 036 8*016 10 016 11944 11119 9 052 6 014 8 015 9*007 11119 10373 8 048 4 352 6 011 8*005 10373 9698 7 046 3 333 4 001 8 004 9698 9079 6 045 2 255 3 348 7 358 9079 8519 6 045 2 229 1 312 6 347 8519 8042 5 046 3 214 2 249 5 334 8042 7671 4 046 3 207 2 233 4 325 7671 7412 4 046 3 201 2 227 3 318 7412 7253 3 047 3 197 2 225 2 325 7253 7162 3 048 2 195 1 219 1 345 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography