DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 51.0 - - 51.0 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 497 - - 225 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3865 - - 5151 - - 4102 - - 1337 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11692 - - 12813 - - 11696 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12875 - - 14161 - - 13112 - - 10347 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1179 - - 1282 - - 1663 - - 2201 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 480 - - 586 - - 418 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 271 - - 276 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 15 - - 12 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1655 - - 1141 - - 463 - - -37 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11221 - - 13021 - - 12650 - - 10385 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5185 - - -4081 - - -5674 - - -6624 ODpotential blCL - - - 18060 - - 18242 - - 18786 - - 16971 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 57 - - 71 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 51.0 - - 51.0 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.6 - - 18.9 - - 20.5 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 52.0 - - 53.2 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.5 - - 17.8 - - 19.5 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 497 - - 225 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3865 - - 5151 - - 4102 - - 1337 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98473 18 108 10 138 11 102 11 068 98473 91024 20 120 12 118 15 088 15 067 91024 85274 15 139 13 110 14 101 16 066 85274 80480 16 116 14 116 11 090 16 060 80480 76351 16 096 11 112 11 087 12 065 76351 72707 18 102 14 133 8 100 14 080 72707 69399 9 133 10 134 7 140 5 121 69399 66356 11 179 5 130 6 128 8 139 66356 63536 10 184 9 247 5 283 2 356 63536 60802 6 209 13 189 10 213 9 248 60802 57956 17 254 15 278 13 268 16 275 57956 55002 23 265 25 273 19 286 22 278 55002 52177 22 273 26 273 32 279 32 271 52177 49635 27 291 35 280 34 280 35 280 49635 47358 39 288 36 288 48 283 40 282 47358 45296 43 289 47 299 46 284 53 288 45296 43420 51 296 56 289 58 294 65 284 43420 41708 59 292 59 287 79 290 73 282 41708 40139 63 297 75 298 79 290 81 282 40139 38692 82 305 96 301 84 294 79 282 38692 37352 98 300 106 300 87 288 75 280 37352 36074 102 297 102 298 85 287 75 274 36074 34798 97 296 95 296 83 287 73 273 34798 33499 83 295 92 295 81 287 70 276 33499 32181 75 295 87 298 79 288 67 280 32181 30834 74 298 78 297 74 290 62 282 30834 29451 72 300 68 296 68 291 54 281 29451 28035 70 299 63 299 58 296 50 279 28035 26587 67 296 61 300 51 293 49 277 26587 25110 63 302 59 299 45 289 48 277 25110 23607 61 305 56 298 43 287 44 277 23607 22077 61 301 53 293 42 287 40 277 22077 20514 60 297 49 292 41 289 36 277 20514 18944 55 301 44 296 38 290 32 277 18944 17445 47 305 38 301 34 291 30 278 17445 16082 38 304 32 299 30 291 29 278 16082 14863 32 299 26*293 27 289 27 278 14863 13767 27*295 21*284 23*285 26 277 13767 12776 21*292 15 274 19*280 23 274 12776 11876 15 289 11 265 15 274 21 272 11876 11061 11 285 10 261 11 269 17*270 11061 10326 10 283 10 262 10 267 13*267 10326 9660 9 281 10 265 9 269 9 264 9660 9050 8 281 9 268 8 275 6 262 9050 8499 8 282 9 271 8 282 4 274 8499 8030 8 283 9 275 8 288 3 304 8030 7664 7 285 9 278 8 292 4 332 7664 7408 7 285 8 279 8 294 5 348 7408 7252 6 286 8 280 7 295 4 358 7252 7162 5 286 7 280 6 296 3 358 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography