DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.3 - - 49.2 - - 55.0 - - 54.0 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 170 - - 260 - - 32 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2103 - - 4307 - - 4415 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 10127 - - 11919 - - 10004 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 11113 - - 13317 - - 13425 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3176 - - 1692 - - 1615 - - 1667 - - 6525 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 310 - - 448 - - 229 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 211 - - 217 - - 206 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 14 - - 18 - - 19 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 10 - - 15 - - 15 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3341 - - -498 - - 646 - - 1053 - - -3593 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10503 - - 11611 - - 12671 - - 12372 - - 10757 sfcLCL ODpotential -11727 - - -7404 - - -4837 - - -3684 - - -8634 ODpotential blCL 18889 - - 18517 - - 18154 - - 17109 - - 15797 blCL maxRH 65 - - 69 - - 60 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.3 - - 49.2 - - 55.0 - - 54.0 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.7 - - 23.2 - - 24.2 - - 24.6 - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.1 - - 51.8 - - 57.0 - - 57.6 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.6 - - 22.1 - - 23.2 - - 23.8 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 170 - - 260 - - 32 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2103 - - 4307 - - 4415 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 27 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97775 7 007 2 329 9 259 13 240 15 277 97775 90534 4 092 5 022 2 134 2 097 2 299 90534 84921 6 131 5 076 6 138 1 181 5 078 84921 80259 7 140 5 163 3 093 3 054 7 080 80259 76236 7 097 9 186 4 233 7 316 11 063 76236 72649 6 053 4 159 8 236 8 296 11 009 72649 69376 7 347 4 357 8 231 12 243 9 300 69376 66362 10 278 9 288 8 240 13 229 11 238 66362 63542 18 273 19 278 13 264 14 247 15 250 63542 60793 20 253 26 254 21 262 15 263 21 252 60793 57937 17 251 26 248 34 260 24 273 17 247 57937 54975 23 267 30 252 38 252 29 258 19 238 54975 52143 32 267 31 255 36 248 35 248 26 252 52143 49605 39 267 34 255 38 247 40 247 37 252 49605 47339 43 267 40 255 44 250 45 246 47 244 47339 45296 50 263 51 256 51 250 51 241 56 237 45296 43448 58 259 62 253 63 247 60 240 66 233 43448 41774 66 255 72 249 75 246 74 238 78 230 41774 40237 72 253 82 250 84 244 86 235 85 224 40237 38802 75 253 91 251 90 243 88 231 84 220 38802 37456 75 255 92 249 89 243 87 230 82 221 37456 36170 75 257 89 248 86 242 86 230 80 223 36170 34886 73 257 86 249 83 242 82 231 78 224 34886 33576 69 256 81 250 80 242 78 233 74 224 33576 32245 66 256 76 250 75 242 75 234 71 223 32245 30885 62 256 70 249 71 242 71 235 67 220 30885 29486 59 255 65 248 67 241 68 235 64 220 29486 28054 57 255 61 247 63 241 65 233 61 222 28054 26592 55 255 57 247 59 241 62 232 58 226 26592 25105 51 255 53 248 56 241 60 232 55 230 25105 23598 47 255 49 249 53 241 54 235 52 232 23598 22067 43 254 46 250 49 242 47 236 50 232 22067 20508 39 254 43 250 45 243 42 234 49 232 20508 18946 37 255 38 249 41 243 39 234 50 231 18946 17456 35 256 33 247 37 243 37 236 48 229 17456 16103 33 256 29 244 33 242 35 238 41 226 16103 14894 30 256 27 240 30 240 32 238 32 222 14894 13804 27 255 24 237 26*240 27*237 25 217 13804 12816 23 254 22 234 22*239 22*236 21 209 12816 11916 20 254 19*230 16 233 16 228 19 201 11916 11097 15 255 16*225 12 222 12 210 17 195 11097 10357 11 253 14 221 11 213 11 196 15 190 10357 9685 8 248 11 215 10 208 10 191 12 184 9685 9069 6 241 8 208 10 204 10 188 8 176 9069 8512 5 235 6 195 10 202 10 186 5 149 8512 8039 3 230 6 193 10 200 10 185 6 117 8039 7669 2 216 5 187 9 198 10 183 6 104 7669 7411 1 123 5 185 9 196 9 183 6 081 7411 7253 2*049 4 185 8 195 8 183 5*064 7253 7162 1*039 4 183 7 194 6 182 3*046 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography