DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.9 - - 77.4 - - 74.9 - - - - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 230 - - 88 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2364 - - 6896 - - 6776 - - - - - 5511 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 13878 - - 13144 - - - - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 11374 - - 15906 - - 15786 - - - - - 14521 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4287 - - 2153 - - 1819 - - - - - 1445 Hgt.Variab. W* 199 - - 504 - - 368 - - - - - 34 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 15 - - 13 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 190 - - 244 - - - - - 216 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 22 - - 18 - - - - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg 23 - - 16 - - -10 - - - - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1428 - - 2246 - - 2935 - - - - - 3103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12802 - - 13660 - - 12852 - - - - - 11418 sfcLCL ODpotential -5295 - - -1381 - - -52 - - - - - -511 ODpotential blCL 16669 - - 17287 - - 15838 - - - - - 15032 blCL maxRH 98 - - 86 - - 98 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 71.9 - - 77.4 - - 74.9 - - - - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.7 - - 42.2 - - 43.2 - - - - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.2 - - 79.5 - - 77.9 - - - - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.7 - - 41.3 - - 42.6 - - - - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 230 - - 88 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2364 - - 6896 - - 6776 - - - - - 5511 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 45 - - 91 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99844 46 107 39 110 31 106 34 094 99844 92271 36 107 34 107 32 107 27 092 92271 86446 33 109 27 106 30 108 29 093 86446 81614 31 110 24 124 21 112 25 093 81614 77447 26 099 23 121 15 108 20 113 77447 73779 16 097 22 118 16 131 20 097 73779 70465 15 116 20 121 22 143 17 119 70465 67439 13 107 13 094 16 127 18 133 67439 64659 9 163 4 130 5 181 9 161 64659 61967 13 158 24 161 25 178 12 214 61967 59166 12 187 15 190 19 175 20 208 59166 56281 21 223 26 213 22 216 26 189 56281 53542 35 214 38 219 36 220 28 201 53542 51087 51 215 50 216 51 216 42 218 51087 48900 54 211 54 214 58 212 52 221 48900 46917 44 208 55 209 58 212 61 218 46917 45092 41 226 48 206 53 210 60 211 45092 43394 52 226 45 222 49 207 54 209 43394 41806 62 226 56 225 51 221 47 211 41806 40315 62 224 59 223 57 221 46 212 40315 38916 57 223 55 219 55 211 48 210 38916 37582 52 223 54 212 54 212 50 213 37582 36248 48 219 51 205 55 216 53 213 36248 34885 47 210 49 209 52 213 53 214 34885 33500 46 203 47 208 49 213 46 217 33500 32085 43 203 46 212 48 217 37 210 32085 30632 42 211 45 217 46 219 34 209 30632 29141 36 221 44 215 42 217 33 211 29141 27613 31 220 39 207 37 211 34 211 27613 26054 32 218 35 203 35 200 34 209 26054 24473 33 214 33 207 32 188 31 214 24473 22863 32 209 31 209 28 184 25 220 22863 21219 31 203 32 213 24 183 21 227 21219 19567 29 196 34 217 28 183 17 237 19567 17987 27 189 32 217 28 180 15 242 17987 16553 25 188 31*215 23*183 13 237 16553 15272 22 190 29*209 17*190 12*226 15272 14123 20 185 24 195 13 204 11*216 14123 13082 18 175 19 181 11 223 8 214 13082 12138 16*170 15 175 11 239 7 216 12138 11281 16*175 12 179 12 249 7 218 11281 10506 15 181 11 186 14 256 7 218 10506 9803 15 184 11 188 16 262 7 219 9803 9159 14 187 11 190 17 264 7 220 9159 8576 14 188 11 191 17 265 6 218 8576 8081 12 189 11 192 17 265 6 215 8081 7694 9 190 10 193 17 266 5 208 7694 7424 7 190 10 193 16 266 4 201 7424 7259 6 190 9 193 14 265 3 193 7259 7164 5 190 8 193 10 265 2 186 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography