DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 2.0 - - 8.4 - - 17.5 - - 15.6 - - 5.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 16 - - 59 - - -2 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2674 - - 3131 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7143 - - 9763 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7160 - - 7160 - - 11684 - - 12141 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2392 - - 3275 - - 3394 - - 3331 - - 2385 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 28 - - 235 - - 61 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 339 - - 321 - - 307 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 13 - - 16 - - 20 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -18 - - -10 - - -10 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2248 - - -743 - - 2880 - - 4139 - - -774 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9408 - - 7903 - - 8805 - - 8003 - - 7935 sfcLCL ODpotential -6042 - - -5493 - - -743 - - 928 - - -3984 ODpotential blCL 13202 - - 12653 - - 12427 - - 11213 - - 11145 blCL maxRH 87 - - 76 - - 68 - - 77 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 2.0 - - 8.4 - - 17.5 - - 15.6 - - 5.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -13.0 - - -0.3 - - 4.6 - - 6.3 - - -3.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 12.6 - - 14.4 - - 20.8 - - 20.4 - - 14.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -4.6 - - -1.4 - - 3.6 - - 5.3 - - 2.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 16 - - 59 - - -2 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2674 - - 3131 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 3 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97402 34 037 40 037 61 048 72 046 62 057 97402 90339 27 034 34 037 45 047 47 039 38 049 90339 84783 22 028 32 041 39 043 41 047 30 059 84783 80098 15 054 26 052 24 041 32 046 28 059 80098 76004 17 029 21 059 17 073 23 036 24 053 76004 72360 16 001 16 021 14 033 18 020 18 030 72360 69065 7 308 10 346 10 357 15 009 13 359 69065 66032 9 336 16 325 11 008 11 003 12 326 66032 63201 23 276 27 297 25 321 16 335 11 294 63201 60443 21 273 28 265 29 278 26 304 15 314 60443 57546 29 279 26 268 31 272 31 295 33 310 57546 54526 41 282 35 281 40 279 40 287 35 292 54526 51633 54 280 46 284 46 280 47 280 41 288 51633 49024 65 277 54 281 51 281 53 283 52 287 49024 46695 72 273 63 276 57 279 59 281 59 283 46695 44591 76 270 66 272 58 276 58 278 60 279 44591 42667 75 270 65 270 58 277 58 280 60 280 42667 40888 74 272 65 273 60 278 61 281 63 284 40888 39235 76 273 68 275 63 277 63 280 63 288 39235 37697 78 272 70 273 65 275 62 283 65 290 37697 36272 79 270 71 271 63 275 62 282 70 291 36272 34929 79 268 70 271 62 276 62 280 74 291 34929 33603 77 267 69 269 62 276 59 279 73 290 33603 32264 75 267 69 268 63 274 56 280 69 289 32264 30918 72 267 68 267 62 275 56 284 65 294 30918 29559 69 268 67 267 60 277 55 286 64 300 29559 28179 67 269 65 266 57 278 53 286 63 302 28179 26781 64 270 62 266 56 276 49 288 61 304 26781 25368 60 269 57 266 54 273 46 291 58 304 25368 23946 55 269 51 268 49 274 41 291 55 303 23946 22521 52 269 46 271 42 277 34 293 49 300 22521 21088 47 269 42 273 34 283 29 294 43 297 21088 19634 43 270 37 278 28 293 27 292 38 293 19634 18176 40 272 32 282 26 299 29 291 34 290 18176 16781 37 275 28 286 25 302 30 290 31 290 16781 15511 34 279 24 290 24 305 31 291 29 293 15511 14373 29 283 22 294 23 309 31 294 28 297 14373 13346 26 288 21 298 23 314 30 297 27 301 13346 12417 23 294 20 303 22*319 28*302 26 303 12417 11573 21 300 19 308 21*322 24*306 26 304 11573 10808 20 306 18 312 19 323 21 310 26 304 10808 10118 19 310 18 317 16 324 18 311 26 304 10118 9494 19 314 17 322 13 323 16 310 26 304 9494 8922 18 316 17 327 11 321 15 307 25 304 8922 8407 16 319 16 332 11 319 14 305 23 306 8407 7969 13 322 14 337 9 317 12 302 19 308 7969 7626 9 327 11 341 8 315 11 299 15 311 7626 7389 7 334 8 347 8 313 9 295 10 315 7389 7243 4*339 6*352 7 312 7 292 6*322 7243 7160 2*338 3*002 5 310 5 288 2*346 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography