DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.9 - - 20.5 - - 29.7 - - 26.7 - - 20.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - -9 - - 7 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 244 - - 1387 - - 2721 - - 1674 - - 1123 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 9 - - 22 - - 3 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 005 - - 270 - - 301 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -27 - - -11 - - 3 - - -4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5058 - - -4937 - - -2913 - - -606 - - -2974 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12220 - - 12099 - - 10076 - - 7768 - - 10137 sfcLCL ODpotential -16124 - - -15577 - - -10378 - - -7877 - - -11047 ODpotential blCL 23285 - - 22739 - - 17540 - - 15039 - - 18209 blCL maxRH 58 - - 66 - - 75 - - 57 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.9 - - 20.5 - - 29.7 - - 26.7 - - 20.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -12.8 - - -6.1 - - 11.2 - - 18.1 - - 2.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.6 - - 29.4 - - 34.8 - - 33.3 - - 31.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -11.3 - - -6.8 - - 10.2 - - 16.9 - - 5.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - -9 - - 7 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95659 19 061 22 028 20 049 10 008 9 353 95659 88776 22 054 20 026 22 032 17 027 23 031 88776 83399 19 054 17 031 23 009 25 032 27 030 83399 78898 17 032 15 023 15 001 27 029 23 013 78898 74990 18 026 12 032 15 354 24 018 17 357 74990 71494 15 026 13 034 12 330 19 355 21 353 71494 68309 21 019 24 007 22 343 24 350 30 357 68309 65384 31 001 35 345 30 340 33 347 33 353 65384 62655 33 347 42 344 37 345 39 339 37 345 62655 59992 35 343 50 335 44 333 42 332 42 339 59992 57196 42 332 56 326 48 323 49 330 47 335 57196 54277 52 328 61 327 56 325 58 329 54 332 54277 51487 64 328 70 325 66 324 66 329 60 330 51487 48981 71 327 75 321 71 322 69 326 66 328 48981 46740 75 327 76 318 74 320 71 323 68 326 46740 44713 78 326 73 318 74 317 73 321 68 324 44713 42858 76 325 70 321 72 318 73 318 67 321 42858 41149 73 324 72 324 70 318 70 317 66 319 41149 39566 75 323 75 324 70 317 68 319 65 318 39566 38101 79 319 77 320 73 315 71 318 65 319 38101 36751 80 316 77 316 75 312 73 316 68 320 36751 35486 78 314 73 312 73 310 74 313 70 318 35486 34239 75 316 71 311 71 308 73 309 68 317 34239 32972 74 317 68 313 68 309 69 308 66 317 32972 31686 72 318 66 315 66 312 65 313 66 317 31686 30369 70 317 64 314 66 313 65 317 66 319 30369 29012 67 316 62 312 65 314 64 317 66 321 29012 27620 64 316 61 313 63 314 62 317 65 320 27620 26197 62 318 61 316 61 315 60 317 63 320 26197 24746 60 321 58 318 58 316 58 317 62 319 24746 23272 56 321 55 318 56 317 55 318 60 319 23272 21772 53 320 51 319 53 316 52 318 57 320 21772 20238 49 317 49 318 49 315 48 319 53 323 20238 18698 45 314 46 317 44 316 45 319 47 325 18698 17227 42 312 42 316 39 318 40 318 40 325 17227 15890 38 312 36 316 33 321 36 317 36 323 15890 14693 35 314 31 317 28 324 31 315 34 323 14693 13617 31 316 26 319 23 325 27 314 31 323 13617 12644 27 318 23 321 20 326 24 314 28 324 12644 11761 25 321 20 323 17 327 21 315 25 324 11761 10962 22 325 17 327 15 326 18 316 22 325 10962 10241 20 330 14 330 13 326 16 319 19 326 10241 9589 19 336 11 336 10 326 14 323 16 328 9589 8993 17 342 8 343 8 326 11 328 14 332 8993 8456 16 348 6 355 6 326 9 332 11 335 8456 8000 14 353 5 007 4 316 6 330 8 336 8000 7645 12 358 4 015 3 281 4 320 6 334 7645 7398 10 002 4 007 3 235 2 303 4 329 7398 7247 7*003 2*351 2*226 1*235 2*311 7247 7161 4*357 2*353 2*217 1*185 1*307 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography