DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 54.3 - - 49.6 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 131 - - 57 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4996 - - 4183 - - 2834 - - 1835 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11763 - - 11553 - - 10051 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14006 - - 13193 - - 11844 - - 10845 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2009 - - 2488 - - 1987 - - 2784 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 366 - - 250 - - 61 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 13 - - 18 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 326 - - 336 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 12 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 26 - - -29 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5350 - - 4843 - - 4462 - - 3466 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8656 - - 8350 - - 7383 - - 7380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2201 - - 1988 - - 1371 - - -66 ODpotential blCL - - - 11805 - - 11205 - - 10473 - - 10911 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 99 - - 93 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 470 - - 180 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 54.3 - - 49.6 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 42.1 - - 41.7 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 57.1 - - 52.8 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 40.9 - - 40.5 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 131 - - 57 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4996 - - 4183 - - 2834 - - 1835 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 97 - - 74 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98481 15 114 14 105 14 101 19 091 98481 91031 20 114 15 099 17 098 16 085 91031 85329 21 121 14 104 15 083 19 095 85329 80608 22 113 15 119 15 084 17 098 80608 76540 15 110 15 111 12 119 15 101 76540 72944 15 133 13 114 13 132 11 101 72944 69678 14 125 14 131 12 128 11 136 69678 66676 7 139 11 145 11 135 9 151 66676 63882 12 158 17 184 13 198 8 161 63882 61148 14 164 20 183 19 190 12 183 61148 58268 17 198 16 186 16 197 14 180 58268 55265 23 210 21 202 22 204 19 210 55265 52405 23 205 24 200 21 204 28 212 52405 49841 23 205 24 200 21 198 28 201 49841 47549 25 204 25 201 23 197 24 194 47549 45477 26 200 27 203 25 203 21 192 45477 43584 26 191 28 198 25 208 21 186 43584 41843 28 177 32 184 26 203 21 179 41843 40234 31 158 37 167 33 186 23 174 40234 38749 30 159 43 150 41 157 28 163 38749 37381 34 163 37 146 48 142 37 142 37381 36090 32 161 34 140 50 130 41 135 36090 34809 32 148 37 129 41 126 40 131 34809 33510 29 142 39 119 31 127 43 124 33510 32198 28 142 41 119 29 127 31 113 32198 30857 32 137 36 126 23 128 22 119 30857 29475 37 131 33 128 16 129 21 136 29475 28055 38 123 33 121 14 121 21 145 28055 26602 30 120 27 118 12 110 22 144 26602 25120 19 125 13 116 9 094 22 143 25120 23615 12 194 16 109 7 068 18 138 23615 22081 8 247 6 143 5 019 10 119 22081 20517 0 176 3 262 6 316 7 233 20517 18949 0 104 1 218 9 298 10 260 18949 17452 0 091 4 316 11 301 7 267 17452 16092 1 050 4 282 12 301 8 272 16092 14877 1*347 6 283 14 309 10 266 14877 13783 2*334 8*299 15 318 8 272 13783 12793 2 327 10*313 18 326 7 300 12793 11893 2 322 12 321 19*332 10 326 11893 11077 2 323 13 325 20*335 16*336 11077 10339 2 325 14 327 20 335 19*340 10339 9671 2 327 14 328 20 336 20 343 9671 9059 2 329 14 329 19 336 21 345 9059 8506 2 325 13 329 19 336 20 346 8506 8035 2 322 13 330 18 337 19 346 8035 7667 2 322 12 330 17 337 17 346 7667 7410 1 318 11 331 15 337 14 345 7410 7253 1 317 10 332 13 337 11 344 7253 7162 1 316 7 333 8 338 6 342 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography