DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2219z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 70.6 - - 74.7 - - 74.6 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 258 - - 304 - - 110 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5321 - - 6933 - - 7061 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7175 - - 12708 - - 14053 - - 13543 - - 7176 Hcrit BL Top 7193 - - 14331 - - 15943 - - 16071 - - 7193 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4022 - - 2338 - - 1855 - - 1980 - - 5604 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 482 - - 555 - - 402 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 22 - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 285 - - 295 - - 313 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - 20 - - 10 - - 7 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2812 - - 1760 - - 2535 - - 1713 - - -4061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10006 - - 12572 - - 13408 - - 14359 - - 11254 sfcLCL ODpotential -8293 - - -3808 - - -797 - - -1787 - - -9774 ODpotential blCL 15486 - - 18139 - - 16740 - - 17858 - - 16967 blCL maxRH 61 - - 65 - - 68 - - 59 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 230 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 70.6 - - 74.7 - - 74.6 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 40.3 - - 40.6 - - 36.5 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.4 - - 72.8 - - 76.6 - - 77.3 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.4 - - 39.4 - - 39.6 - - 35.6 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 258 - - 304 - - 110 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5321 - - 6933 - - 7061 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99776 16 111 16 101 10 115 10 086 12 081 99776 93561 14 104 12 100 11 120 12 108 8 099 93561 88545 13 093 11 106 9 106 11 104 8 111 88545 84253 12 091 12 115 7 088 7 086 11 108 84253 80464 9 081 11 114 6 094 5 066 11 096 80464 77054 6 072 10 110 5 115 3 052 10 079 77054 73931 3 069 5 099 3 123 2 346 6 068 73931 71037 1 025 2 025 2 126 4 306 2 050 71037 68342 1 261 5 303 1 342 4 296 3 286 68342 65724 2 286 7 273 5 305 4 286 6 274 65724 62994 7 305 8 266 7 287 5 284 7 281 62994 60166 12 300 9 280 10 284 8 300 9 285 60166 57478 14 292 12 294 12 288 12 303 9 287 57478 55072 14 286 15 298 13 291 13 295 9 288 55072 52929 14 289 15 296 13 297 12 290 8 281 52929 50992 14 301 13 294 11 302 10 300 6 272 50992 49222 15 317 10 301 5 314 7 314 3 297 49222 47589 15 332 8 332 6 022 3 332 4 015 47589 46077 16 344 10 005 12 032 4 040 8 025 46077 44667 17 354 14 021 16 033 8 049 11 031 44667 43344 18 002 18 029 20 035 12 048 12 036 43344 42066 18 006 20 032 21 035 13 045 11 039 42066 40767 17 008 22 035 21 036 14 046 11 050 40767 39417 17 008 22 037 21 037 15 045 11 059 39417 38018 18 005 22 038 19 038 14 044 11 067 38018 36554 18 001 20 039 17 037 13 043 11 073 36554 35012 19 357 18 039 14 033 11 042 8 081 35012 33394 19 355 17 038 11 026 9 042 5 101 33394 31694 19 354 17 036 9 024 8 040 4 151 31694 29915 17 354 16 033 8 030 6 035 5 174 29915 28056 15 355 16 030 8 040 5 035 5 173 28056 26112 13 354 14 027 8 049 3 042 4 170 26112 24080 11 340 11 022 7 056 2 046 3 167 24080 22002 12 311 7 003 5 057 0 303 2 166 22002 19995 14 295 7 323 2 023 2 289 2 168 19995 18167 14 291 9 300 4 330 3 319 2 158 18167 16539 13 290 10 293 6*323 5*354 2 105 16539 15093 11 291 10*293 7*325 7*359 5 068 15093 13807 10 294 9*301 7 316 7 347 8 052 13807 12664 8 298 8 313 7 304 6 333 9 037 12664 11652 6 302 6 318 6 298 5 319 7 018 11652 10759 5 306 3 299 6 291 5 305 6 347 10759 9971 3 302 3 259 6 285 5 293 6 311 9971 9266 1 277 3 242 6 278 5 284 7 287 9266 8644 2 097 4 232 6 272 5 277 9 274 8644 8124 4 072 4 224 6 269 5 272 10 266 8124 7726 8 051 4 219 5 266 5 269 11 262 7726 7453 8 039 4 217 5 264 5 267 10 263 7453 7287 7*034 4 216 5 262 5 267 7*273 7287 7192 5*030 4 215 5 261 5 265 4*302 7192 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography