DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.0 - - 23.6 - - 30.2 - - 27.2 - - 16.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 2 - - 20 - - -6 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1713 - - 1814 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7162 - - 10723 - - 10824 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3823 - - 2552 - - 2357 - - 1390 - - 1376 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 15 - - 148 - - 42 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 19 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 329 - - 335 - - 346 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 14 - - 16 - - 21 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -11 - - -23 - - -18 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4076 - - 2 - - 3100 - - 3164 - - -580 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11238 - - 7161 - - 7623 - - 7661 - - 7741 sfcLCL ODpotential -12144 - - -3687 - - -441 - - -1743 - - -6378 ODpotential blCL 19305 - - 10849 - - 11164 - - 12567 - - 13539 blCL maxRH 87 - - 100 - - 89 - - 67 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.0 - - 23.6 - - 30.2 - - 27.2 - - 16.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -3.1 - - 18.5 - - 22.3 - - 19.2 - - 8.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.9 - - 29.4 - - 33.9 - - 33.1 - - 25.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.0 - - 18.2 - - 21.1 - - 18.0 - - 12.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 2 - - 20 - - -6 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1713 - - 1814 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 98 - - 56 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94920 96 310 97 307 85 304 91 305 83 305 94920 88130 92 319 85 315 82 316 88 314 76 309 88130 82806 90 324 77 319 79 313 80 316 72 314 82806 78345 84 326 68 320 72 310 72 316 69 318 78345 74470 77 328 60 321 64 314 63 317 65 317 74470 71025 71 323 55 324 61 315 58 324 56 316 71025 67895 59 318 53 314 56 314 58 319 50 321 67895 65003 52 315 53 309 51 315 55 310 52 319 65003 62312 47 312 51 305 47 319 52 310 54 308 62312 59708 43 300 48 297 52 315 52 311 52 300 59708 56979 42 298 44 295 49 305 50 307 47 299 56979 54122 47 296 47 294 46 299 44 305 45 298 54122 51367 54 284 49 293 49 296 42 303 42 301 51367 48863 54 276 51 289 51 295 42 302 45 299 48863 46609 50 270 50 286 50 293 43 302 48 293 46609 44563 46 263 47 287 48 292 46 300 47 299 44563 42690 43 263 44 287 44 291 48 300 50 312 42690 40961 40 264 42 280 42 290 50 307 58 312 40961 39362 40 260 40 273 43 292 57 315 63 305 39362 37893 48 249 41 268 44 296 66 312 58 307 37893 36559 54 239 43 263 46 301 67 313 51 316 36559 35314 58 233 43 257 48 306 66 316 49 325 35314 34077 64 224 40 249 50 308 65 322 53 326 34077 32817 67 219 38 243 51 308 66 330 60 322 32817 31540 69 218 41 241 51 312 70 329 63 321 31540 30233 67 216 47 231 48 314 73 328 61 327 30233 28887 60 214 50 218 40 303 72 332 60 336 28887 27509 53 215 42 208 28 280 72 333 59 339 27509 26097 45 220 38 211 22 265 73 337 56 337 26097 24656 40 229 38 224 22 263 68 341 55 334 24656 23189 36 238 36 236 26 267 58 338 53 334 23189 21691 35 244 34 243 29 270 48 332 48 336 21691 20159 35 249 30 254 30 275 40 326 43 338 20159 18621 33 250 25 267 29 284 32 318 37 336 18621 17153 32 249 20 280 25 291 25 308 33 333 17153 15822 29 250 16 288 20 293 23 305 29 330 15822 14633 27 253 13 289 16 294 24 309 26 328 14633 13563 26 254 13 292 16 299 26 317 24 329 13563 12596 23 251 12 300 17 307 28 323 23 332 12596 11719 18 249 13 311 21 316 28 328 23 335 11719 10925 13 254 14 320 23*323 27*332 23 337 10925 10210 11 272 16 328 24*330 24*338 24 340 10210 9564 12 291 18 333 23 335 20 345 24 344 9564 8974 13 300 19 335 22 337 18 349 24 351 8974 8442 14 300 18 335 20 337 16 349 23 357 8442 7991 13 298 16 334 19 336 14 349 21 001 7991 7640 10 304 11 331 17 335 12 347 17 002 7640 7395 7 328 7 325 14 334 9 344 12 001 7395 7246 5*354 4*318 12 333 6 339 8*357 7246 7160 4*012 2*310 7 332 3 326 4*360 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography