DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.2 - - 30.9 - - 32.9 - - 27.9 - - 23.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 22 - - 12 - - -38 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 115 - - 851 - - 1506 - - 1285 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9125 - - 9861 - - 10516 - - 10295 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1878 - - 1622 - - 1709 - - 1171 - - 2667 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 121 - - 126 - - 53 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 17 - - 24 - - 31 - - 26 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 324 - - 322 - - 350 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear 22 - - 20 - - 23 - - 29 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -17 - - -25 - - -55 - - -40 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1454 - - 2701 - - 3229 - - 3135 - - -747 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7672 - - 7161 - - 7287 - - 7161 - - 7909 sfcLCL ODpotential -2659 - - -715 - - -37 - - -503 - - -9262 ODpotential blCL 11784 - - 10576 - - 10553 - - 10798 - - 16424 blCL maxRH 78 - - 84 - - 84 - - 76 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.2 - - 30.9 - - 32.9 - - 27.9 - - 23.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 25.2 - - 26.0 - - 22.5 - - 14.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.9 - - 34.6 - - 36.6 - - 33.2 - - 28.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.1 - - 24.2 - - 24.9 - - 21.8 - - 13.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 22 - - 12 - - -38 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 115 - - 851 - - 1506 - - 1285 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 36 - - 36 - - 5 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96581 34 090 36 087 41 092 39 097 43 078 96581 89493 27 081 31 077 39 086 35 095 43 081 89493 83940 21 073 25 071 26 087 33 091 32 080 83940 79275 19 068 22 072 16 084 28 070 30 078 79275 75231 18 055 15 054 16 072 15 055 27 062 75231 71648 17 052 5 050 14 033 14 044 20 030 71648 68406 20 020 6 027 14 001 10 022 6 016 68406 65409 18 017 9 005 15 334 10 331 8 333 65409 62599 16 338 10 337 19 334 15 320 14 323 62599 59869 30 308 30 307 32 313 26 318 21 317 59869 57020 33 308 36 309 33 301 29 310 25 303 57020 54046 34 302 34 304 38 303 32 304 30 309 54046 51207 37 304 33 300 39 291 37 303 46 321 51207 48685 41 304 32 298 30 288 44 316 52 319 48685 46456 43 305 31 316 25 315 55 308 50 318 46456 44454 51 304 52 322 49 314 48 308 61 317 44454 42656 55 300 64 306 57 304 48 321 70 316 42656 41035 53 298 50 304 49 302 77 327 74 322 41035 39537 52 301 50 320 58 332 91 323 81 320 39537 38134 55 302 69 327 88 336 98 321 85 316 38134 36820 57 300 79 324 106 330 102 319 86 315 36820 35564 54 297 77 318 113 326 103 316 87 316 35564 34307 52 292 70 313 108 325 102 314 87 318 34307 33023 50 286 62 311 91 325 96 315 84 320 33023 31718 49 286 59 308 79 326 89 326 79 321 31718 30380 49 285 56 303 70 327 86 334 76 323 30380 29004 49 283 46 298 60 326 85 339 75 326 29004 27593 49 285 38 299 51 329 86 344 74 330 27593 26152 46 288 34 305 47 329 84 346 73 332 26152 24685 42 290 34 307 41 322 80 346 73 333 24685 23195 40 288 35 307 35 315 76 347 73 335 23195 21677 39 285 34 308 32 314 71 347 71 340 21677 20129 38 282 31 309 32 314 63 345 69 345 20129 18579 37 279 26 307 32 314 54 341 67 351 18579 17106 38 278 24 302 32 313 48 337 65 354 17106 15774 38 278 23 300 32 312 44 334 61 356 15774 14587 37 278 23 302 30 312 42 333 58 355 14587 13521 37 278 22 307 29 314 41 334 55 355 13521 12559 35 280 23 313 29 316 40 336 53 355 12559 11689 32 283 24 318 30 319 39 340 51 355 11689 10901 29 287 26 322 31*321 38*347 48 356 10901 10191 26 294 26*323 31*322 37*351 46 357 10191 9551 23*301 26*323 29 323 36 351 43 358 9551 8966 22*307 23 324 27 323 36 350 40 359 8966 8438 19 310 19 325 24 322 34 350 36 000 8438 7990 16 312 15 325 21 321 30 349 31 360 7990 7640 11 315 12 323 18 321 26 349 26 359 7640 7396 7 324 9 321 16 320 20 347 19 356 7396 7247 3 350 8 321 13 319 16 346 15*355 7247 7161 2 051 6 319 8 318 8 344 8*354 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography