DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.5 - - 38.0 - - 39.0 - - 35.8 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 100 - - 100 - - 51 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 376 - - 3195 - - 3282 - - 1360 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 10678 - - 10723 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9386 - - 12205 - - 12292 - - 10370 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2225 - - 2712 - - 3432 - - 2854 - - 4423 Hgt.Variab. W* 67 - - 305 - - 305 - - 180 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 12 - - 17 - - 23 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 252 - - 227 - - 222 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear 17 - - 7 - - 10 - - 20 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 4 - - 37 - - 25 - - 27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2225 - - 4890 - - 5131 - - 3209 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7315 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential 809 - - 1924 - - 2836 - - 1734 - - -972 ODpotential blCL 8577 - - 10281 - - 9456 - - 8636 - - 8134 blCL maxRH 92 - - 98 - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 120 - - 310 - - 180 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.5 - - 38.0 - - 39.0 - - 35.8 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.2 - - 30.6 - - 33.7 - - 34.2 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.7 - - 40.9 - - 42.0 - - 39.2 - - 36.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.2 - - 29.4 - - 32.7 - - 33.6 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 100 - - 100 - - 51 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 376 - - 3195 - - 3282 - - 1360 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 90 - - 100 - - 91 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96319 9 243 12 253 11 245 13 252 17 295 96319 89171 3 282 5 229 3 215 7 250 12 288 89171 83673 16 319 6 195 9 295 9 288 11 297 83673 79097 12 340 5 261 14 295 10 298 18 308 79097 75136 8 261 11 291 19 273 21 283 20 290 75136 71603 23 278 18 281 26 247 21 279 20 280 71603 68388 30 286 19 275 23 252 28 292 26 297 68388 65415 32 282 22 285 27 268 37 272 30 282 65415 62638 34 280 28 282 31 271 32 261 29 270 62638 59931 34 271 28 280 33 278 25 284 26 286 59931 57084 33 271 35 279 36 280 33 289 33 289 57084 54115 38 272 39 270 41 272 41 276 39 278 54115 51282 39 270 35 267 36 265 44 271 43 277 51282 48735 35 267 33 273 28 267 44 272 45 275 48735 46461 34 269 35 277 34 275 44 275 46 275 46461 44406 36 269 39 273 43 270 45 275 44 275 44406 42527 39 265 39 269 43 266 43 275 48 278 42527 40794 43 256 38 269 44 268 45 281 55 275 40794 39192 45 244 38 268 47 270 55 282 57 276 39192 37706 41 242 39 264 47 269 61 276 63 279 37706 36327 37 250 37 259 45 262 61 273 72 276 36327 35027 36 254 35 266 44 256 60 270 74 274 35027 33744 34 256 32 271 46 254 56 262 74 276 33744 32451 32 256 31 276 46 253 51 253 71 276 32451 31156 29 253 32 276 46 248 50 249 59 267 31156 29848 26 252 28 275 44 246 49 249 49 252 29848 28517 24 255 27 267 43 245 47 252 45 242 28517 27160 22 260 30 263 42 243 45 255 44 244 27160 25776 22 262 30 259 41 242 43 253 42 247 25776 24365 22 260 28 254 39 244 42 252 40 248 24365 22932 23 259 27 250 37 246 42 253 39 247 22932 21474 26 260 27 249 35 246 39 252 39 247 21474 19983 26 263 26 250 33 248 33 248 39 247 19983 18486 23 265 24 255 30 243 32 246 38 247 18486 17055 19 263 21 261 27 231 30 238 37 249 17055 15755 15 257 18 263 26 230 28 230 36 247 15755 14592 13 252 16 260 23 231 29 223 34 244 14592 13544 12 253 14 252 21 230 30 219 33 241 13544 12595 12 259 13*246 20*230 31 218 33 236 12595 11731 12 264 13*244 19*228 31 217 34 231 11731 10946 14 267 13 247 18 228 30*218 34 228 10946 10235 15 271 13 252 18 227 28*219 33 227 10235 9591 16*275 12 254 17 228 27 221 32 226 9591 8999 15*279 12 256 17 227 25 222 30 227 8999 8463 13 286 12 256 17 228 23 223 26 227 8463 8006 10 292 11 256 16 227 21 224 21 225 8006 7650 7 295 10 255 15 227 19 224 16 221 7650 7401 3 301 9 255 14 227 16 223 12 215 7401 7249 1 317 9 255 12 226 14 223 9*212 7249 7161 2 094 7 254 9 225 8 221 5*204 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography