DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.6 - - 47.1 - - 44.9 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 134 - - 2 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 126 - - 3829 - - 2730 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 11282 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9136 - - 12839 - - 11740 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1522 - - 1769 - - 1801 - - 2812 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 77 - - 353 - - 100 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 9 - - 10 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 046 - - 027 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 3 - - 6 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -24 - - 31 - - 21 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 735 - - 3553 - - 3028 - - -27 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8402 - - 9287 - - 8713 - - 7189 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4158 - - -661 - - -1495 - - -5831 ODpotential blCL - - - 13294 - - 13500 - - 13235 - - 12993 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 80 - - 74 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.6 - - 47.1 - - 44.9 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 31.3 - - 31.6 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 49.8 - - 49.0 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 30.1 - - 30.8 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 134 - - 2 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 126 - - 3829 - - 2730 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97242 9 030 12 358 16 000 18 022 97242 90134 12 065 10 357 14 022 12 030 90134 84600 9 050 7 354 9 021 4 059 84600 80009 9 355 5 006 7 340 6 069 80009 76046 3 000 3 108 5 301 4 032 76046 72524 2 295 5 219 9 272 4 326 72524 69319 6 260 9 234 13 253 8 282 69319 66367 15 262 11 238 16 235 11 267 66367 63631 17 239 12 243 17 216 16 250 63631 60974 20 238 16 255 11 230 14 245 60974 58183 21 236 21 255 15 278 13 270 58183 55267 15 231 20 242 20 266 18 268 55267 52476 11 242 17 252 21 264 17 275 52476 49968 11 278 16 264 16 268 17 275 49968 47715 16 300 11 252 13 268 11 270 47715 45660 19 282 8 292 7 293 8 273 45660 43765 12 250 13 303 11 310 9 330 43765 42013 1 146 13 296 15 335 18 358 42013 40389 8 021 16 343 22 348 22 003 40389 38883 16 013 19 012 24 017 27 016 38883 37493 22 036 26 035 36 030 34 030 37493 36183 26 045 32 044 44 029 49 025 36183 34887 25 043 36 046 47 030 55 020 34887 33576 26 048 44 044 51 037 55 024 33576 32250 30 047 52 042 61 042 56 029 32250 30895 32 046 57 041 66 041 57 030 30895 29499 36 047 56 043 64 042 58 031 29499 28067 36 049 50 048 58 041 57 033 28067 26602 30 059 44 046 47 040 54 037 26602 25112 29 083 31 048 37 038 49 036 25112 23600 23 079 29 053 35 038 44 036 23600 22065 22 059 28 049 34 041 38 038 22065 20498 24 049 28 050 32 044 31 037 20498 18926 22 055 26 056 29 043 27 034 18926 17422 18 055 19 052 27 043 24 036 17422 16057 15 052 15 038 24 043 23 042 16057 14837 12 055 14 034 20 043 20 047 14837 13741 10 061 11*038 16 042 18 050 13741 12750 10 065 9*045 13 039 16 050 12750 11852 11 065 8 051 11*035 16 048 11852 11039 12 061 9 051 11*031 16 045 11039 10305 15 055 9 047 10 027 18 041 10305 9642 19*049 10 045 11 025 20 038 9642 9035 22*044 10 043 10 026 21 035 9035 8487 22 039 10 042 10 027 22 032 8487 8021 20 036 10 043 10 027 21 029 8021 7658 18 035 10 044 9 027 17 026 7658 7405 15 033 9 044 8 027 12 021 7405 7251 13 033 8 044 7 027 8*014 7251 7161 7 030 6 045 5 027 4*356 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography