DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 78.4 - - 77.7 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 329 - - 116 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6268 - - 8407 - - 8388 - - 4308 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13458 - - 15271 - - 14586 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15278 - - 17417 - - 17398 - - 13318 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1570 - - 1483 - - 1618 - - 3403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 512 - - 606 - - 432 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 284 - - 281 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 15 - - 15 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 402 - - 142 - - 484 - - -1456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14877 - - 17276 - - 16914 - - 14775 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5477 - - -4495 - - -3739 - - -7247 ODpotential blCL - - - 20755 - - 21912 - - 21137 - - 20565 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 74 - - 72 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 78.4 - - 77.7 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 27.1 - - 28.2 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 80.0 - - 80.7 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 26.0 - - 27.2 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 329 - - 116 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6268 - - 8407 - - 8388 - - 4308 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99504 20 117 15 119 16 090 18 110 99504 91991 13 116 15 111 12 083 14 104 91991 86171 10 114 10 121 9 105 13 083 86171 81337 12 115 8 105 8 117 9 073 81337 77188 8 103 7 083 8 112 8 081 77188 73534 9 093 5 083 6 060 9 069 73534 70228 9 018 7 114 4 297 5 045 70228 67192 9 350 9 018 6 027 5 016 67192 64393 6 353 9 344 8 342 8 355 64393 61707 11 330 7 333 7 328 6 308 61707 58924 20 311 15 304 17 320 13 304 58924 56035 22 302 22 288 21 299 17 291 56035 53269 32 298 25 290 27 283 26 282 53269 50778 42 283 39 275 38 279 37 277 50778 48548 40 271 45 266 43 271 43 270 48548 46546 36 278 51 268 47 270 46 274 46546 44734 46 277 57 269 53 275 51 275 44734 43067 55 272 57 269 53 273 52 272 43067 41510 56 271 56 268 51 270 51 270 41510 40046 54 270 54 267 51 268 51 269 40046 38670 50 272 51 268 51 267 51 271 38670 37355 46 274 49 269 50 269 51 271 37355 36038 46 274 49 269 48 272 49 270 36038 34693 44 275 48 269 45 271 48 268 34693 33324 40 276 46 268 44 268 48 266 33324 31923 39 275 44 265 46 267 49 266 31923 30480 39 274 42 265 47 269 47 269 30480 29002 38 276 38 268 47 270 44 272 29002 27492 35 278 35 272 44 271 41 273 27492 25954 32 278 33 272 39 272 38 272 25954 24393 32 278 31 271 34 272 35 269 24393 22801 31 282 30 270 32 271 33 268 22801 21174 27 285 30 272 32 270 33 268 21174 19537 25 286 28 276 31 274 31 268 19537 17970 26 290 25*283 26*280 28 267 17970 16544 26*293 19*286 19*281 25 269 16544 15269 23*296 14 285 10 277 22 272 15269 14120 16 295 13 286 9 278 17*272 14120 13079 11 285 13 285 9 279 11*267 13079 12134 10 282 13 285 9 279 7 264 12134 11277 9 275 12 284 9 281 6 270 11277 10502 8 265 12 284 9 282 6 284 10502 9800 7 255 12 283 9 284 6 300 9800 9157 7 248 12 283 9 285 7 313 9157 8575 7 242 11 282 9 285 8 322 8575 8080 7 236 11 282 9 286 8 328 8080 7693 7 232 10 281 8 286 8 333 7693 7424 6 231 10 281 8 286 7 338 7424 7259 6 229 9 281 7 286 5 341 7259 7164 5 227 7 279 6 285 4 341 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography