DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.3 - - 77.9 - - 79.4 - - 80.5 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 47 - - 346 - - 190 - - 109 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3837 - - 8705 - - 10747 - - 11026 - - 9767 BL Depth Hcrit 10384 - - 15537 - - 16807 - - 16576 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 12847 - - 17715 - - 19757 - - 20036 - - 18777 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3548 - - 1729 - - 1130 - - 1024 - - 1862 Hgt.Variab. W* 248 - - 623 - - 550 - - 466 - - 30 W* B/S 14 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 205 - - 202 - - 192 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 15 - - 12 - - 6 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg 11 - - 18 - - 18 - - 16 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -86 - - 4367 - - 5960 - - 5530 - - 5303 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12934 - - 13349 - - 13797 - - 14506 - - 13475 sfcLCL ODpotential -4236 - - 2337 - - 3173 - - 2874 - - 1219 ODpotential blCL 17083 - - 15378 - - 16584 - - 17162 - - 17558 blCL maxRH 79 - - 76 - - 100 - - 96 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 480 - - 620 - - 510 - - 330 CAPE Temp@2m 71.3 - - 77.9 - - 79.4 - - 80.5 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 43.9 - - 43.4 - - 41.4 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.5 - - 79.5 - - 81.9 - - 83.3 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.8 - - 43.0 - - 42.6 - - 40.5 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 47 - - 346 - - 190 - - 109 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3837 - - 8705 - - 10747 - - 11026 - - 9767 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 6 - - 101 - - 84 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99843 44 103 34 099 38 100 28 107 32 097 99843 92260 35 106 29 106 29 095 31 095 30 105 92260 86411 32 103 28 113 23 101 22 097 27 106 86411 81576 26 092 27 106 23 114 19 109 24 096 81576 77419 18 081 25 107 18 128 16 109 23 092 77419 73740 14 109 20 089 19 132 13 103 20 099 73740 70422 14 112 12 087 18 110 13 119 15 114 70422 67391 15 112 10 122 13 121 10 126 9 113 67391 64586 11 106 9 108 14 129 12 166 3 149 64586 61886 13 167 1 173 10 104 11 135 9 172 61886 59078 16 144 13 181 8 198 5 267 4 185 59078 56174 15 232 16 183 15 197 11 214 12 204 56174 53409 38 230 36 229 25 236 16 234 18 233 53409 50922 52 212 55 216 49 231 39 242 31 245 50922 48706 49 203 58 211 66 219 61 229 46 234 48706 46705 47 229 54 224 59 219 59 218 52 223 46705 44869 58 234 57 229 54 229 51 226 50 223 44869 43169 61 232 57 227 55 232 54 232 51 231 43169 41586 58 230 55 227 54 232 55 233 55 234 41586 40105 56 230 52 229 50 233 51 232 55 233 40105 38718 54 230 50 231 48 231 48 231 53 231 38718 37395 53 230 48 231 46 230 46 231 53 232 37395 36071 49 232 45 230 44 231 45 230 52 231 36071 34721 45 228 41 228 42 229 44 231 51 228 34721 33347 45 224 38 227 40 228 42 231 49 230 33347 31944 46 223 38 227 38 229 40 231 44 232 31944 30501 46 225 37 229 34 232 36 229 37 232 30501 29025 44 235 33 228 29 232 31 225 31 230 29025 27515 35 240 27 225 27 226 25 225 27 225 27515 25976 29 238 22 220 25 220 22 226 23 222 25976 24413 24 238 19 208 23 216 22 222 20 224 24413 22823 21 236 17 209 22 219 20 221 18 225 22823 21199 23 229 19 225 21*227 17*221 15 224 21199 19571 23 220 21 241 15*232 10*215 14*222 19571 18014 23 217 20*245 11 226 9 207 13*219 18014 16596 19 219 18*237 11 221 10 198 12 211 16596 15323 15 224 15 228 10 213 10 194 11 200 15323 14174 12 230 12 218 11 196 10 192 10 190 14174 13131 10*233 10 204 11 193 10 191 10 184 13131 12181 8*229 10 196 11 191 10 189 10 180 12181 11318 6 217 10 192 11 188 10 187 10 177 11318 10537 5 203 10 189 11 187 10 186 10 174 10537 9829 4 188 10 187 11 186 10 184 9 170 9829 9179 3 170 10 185 11 185 10 182 9 167 9179 8592 4 151 10 184 11 184 10 181 9 164 8592 8091 4 129 10 183 11 183 10 181 9 161 8091 7700 3 107 10 183 10 182 9 180 8 158 7700 7428 2 091 10 182 10 183 9 179 6 152 7428 7260 2 089 9 182 9 182 8 180 5 146 7260 7164 2 092 8 181 8 182 7 179 3 136 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography