DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 57.6 - - 58.0 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 384 - - 173 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5805 - - 10515 - - 10932 - - 7014 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13189 - - 17065 - - 16881 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14815 - - 19525 - - 19942 - - 16024 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2680 - - 2695 - - 2449 - - 2887 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 536 - - 686 - - 536 - - 68 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 14 - - 16 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 282 - - 273 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 2 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 18 - - 32 - - 20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2936 - - 5833 - - 5950 - - 4221 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11880 - - 13693 - - 13993 - - 11804 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -450 - - 3067 - - 3557 - - 604 ODpotential blCL - - - 15265 - - 16458 - - 16385 - - 15420 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 62 - - 82 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 180 - - 150 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 57.6 - - 58.0 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.7 - - 22.3 - - 21.5 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 59.1 - - 60.4 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 21.2 - - 20.3 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 384 - - 173 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5805 - - 10515 - - 10932 - - 7014 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98667 23 122 12 141 12 095 16 099 98667 91193 20 116 14 111 12 093 20 106 91193 85457 20 122 17 097 14 090 16 089 85457 80714 20 118 16 097 15 086 17 085 80714 76645 16 109 11 113 10 092 20 085 76645 73048 14 144 11 134 12 095 18 084 73048 69785 14 130 16 149 7 121 11 092 69785 66775 12 114 13 141 10 159 13 107 66775 63970 9 165 15 155 9 173 6 127 63970 61227 11 158 14 149 13 167 12 193 61227 58361 13 196 9 145 12 164 18 183 58361 55378 24 205 13 211 12 199 16 193 55378 52507 21 196 20 202 16 200 17 211 52507 49914 19 201 23 202 18 211 18 218 49914 47593 18 198 23 211 16 216 18 222 47593 45492 17 196 18 217 13 221 17 221 45492 43572 18 212 17 227 12 220 17 219 43572 41803 20 220 17 230 12 230 14 207 41803 40168 19 220 14 229 14 237 13 222 40168 38653 17 211 13 228 15 234 16 238 38653 37252 15 200 13 230 15 229 18 249 37252 35933 13 182 11 222 14 234 17 248 35933 34634 12 144 9 214 14 237 16 245 34634 33332 15 120 8 214 13 248 17 257 33332 32029 17 117 9 228 15 261 26 269 32029 30705 18 110 9 246 22 276 31 271 30705 29345 16 095 11 271 29 281 31 276 29345 27949 11 089 14 277 32 282 30 279 27949 26519 8 085 15 282 29 283 28 283 26519 25061 4 037 18 296 23 286 25 286 25061 23579 9 317 20 297 19 291 21 280 23579 22068 17 310 18 300 17 288 18 272 22068 20522 21 317 18*300 14*282 17 266 20522 18968 22 318 16*294 8*279 15 261 18968 17481 20 315 13 288 4 261 9 246 17481 16128 18 312 10 283 4 261 3*181 16128 14916 16*310 9 279 4 263 3*135 14916 13822 13*312 8 279 4 267 2 127 13822 12830 10 316 8 279 6 272 1 310 12830 11927 9 320 8 278 7 275 3 317 11927 11107 8 321 8 277 7 277 5 318 11107 10365 8 323 8 277 8 278 7 319 10365 9693 8 324 8 276 8 278 9 317 9693 9076 8 324 8 276 9 278 10 316 9076 8518 7 324 7 276 9 277 10 314 8518 8042 7 324 7 275 9 277 10 311 8042 7671 6 324 7 274 8 277 10 307 7671 7412 6 324 7 273 8 276 8 302 7412 7254 5 322 6 272 8 276 7 297 7254 7162 5 323 5 271 6 275 4 294 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography