DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.7 - - 63.7 - - 67.2 - - 67.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 286 - - 272 - - 118 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1755 - - 6770 - - 10828 - - 10463 - - 5476 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 13900 - - 17132 - - 16230 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 10765 - - 15780 - - 19838 - - 19473 - - 14486 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3277 - - 3244 - - 904 - - 1254 - - 5543 Hgt.Variab. W* 169 - - 542 - - 624 - - 473 - - 57 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 10 - - 16 - - 19 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 259 - - 246 - - 248 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 22 - - 18 - - 30 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 8 - - 14 - - -13 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -907 - - 1280 - - 4620 - - 3532 - - 1406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11673 - - 14500 - - 15218 - - 15942 - - 13081 sfcLCL ODpotential -8523 - - -3026 - - 2200 - - 789 - - -3711 ODpotential blCL 19288 - - 18806 - - 17638 - - 18684 - - 18197 blCL maxRH 50 - - 79 - - 90 - - 95 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 54.7 - - 63.7 - - 67.2 - - 67.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 24.9 - - 25.2 - - 22.6 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.3 - - 65.5 - - 69.4 - - 70.7 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 23.7 - - 24.0 - - 21.4 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 286 - - 272 - - 118 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1755 - - 6770 - - 10828 - - 10463 - - 5476 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 16 - - 60 - - 79 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98729 38 108 22 124 23 102 21 095 22 103 98729 91237 22 116 20 107 18 086 23 087 20 102 91237 85523 21 121 17 095 11 089 16 067 20 094 85523 80801 24 107 16 105 11 119 11 045 19 076 80801 76726 19 083 16 107 9 109 11 080 16 069 76726 73124 12 075 14 088 14 095 12 088 10 081 73124 69866 10 087 9 077 11 076 11 081 11 092 69866 66870 7 094 6 090 5 095 6 073 10 065 66870 64087 7 075 5 089 4 127 0 016 4 027 64087 61384 5 329 1 077 1 112 2 316 4 335 61384 58555 6 256 5 272 8 308 8 335 5 331 58555 55608 9 261 8 278 14 281 17 304 10 330 55608 52796 10 277 9 288 12 286 20 296 19 317 52796 50269 17 303 16 304 14 306 22 300 23 309 50269 48006 19 298 22 305 20 315 28 306 31 311 48006 45969 20 308 29 298 28 305 35 311 41 313 45969 44123 26 313 31 293 39 301 46 312 47 319 44123 42428 28 312 34 297 45 298 59 321 51 324 42428 40853 26 306 37 302 51 303 71 322 53 320 40853 39377 22 298 36 301 57 307 74 317 54 309 39377 37997 20 304 29 297 59 306 76 313 52 303 37997 36686 23 312 27 280 51 302 78 310 52 301 36686 35379 25 314 28 268 39 293 77 310 55 300 35379 34047 19 307 28 267 32 278 73 309 56 302 34047 32694 14 294 27 267 32 268 64 308 55 302 32694 31310 14 285 25 269 34 270 50 301 53 299 31310 29889 16 274 23 274 34 275 42 290 52 299 29889 28433 15 269 22 268 29 274 41 285 50 298 28433 26947 16 262 21 257 28 265 39 282 49 293 26947 25436 15 270 21 255 31 265 34 268 49 289 25436 23908 18 285 21 254 32 272 34 257 41 281 23908 22361 22 283 21 254 32 275 37 258 34 262 22361 20787 23 283 22 263 28*268 39*261 34 254 20787 19206 25 288 27 272 24*259 36*257 33 244 19206 17692 26 289 30 278 23 258 30 252 31 239 17692 16313 24 291 29*284 21 257 26 250 29 238 16313 15076 21 294 25*282 17 252 22 249 27*239 15076 13959 17 299 17 272 15 243 19 248 25*242 13959 12946 15 305 12 262 14 241 18 246 22 245 12946 12025 15 308 9 254 14 239 16 245 20 250 12025 11188 14*311 9 251 13 236 15 243 17 256 11188 10431 14*313 8 248 13 234 14 241 15 265 10431 9745 13 315 8 246 13 232 13 240 14 275 9745 9116 13 317 7 244 13 230 12 238 14 284 9116 8546 11 321 7 241 12 229 11 237 15 289 8546 8061 10 325 7 238 12 228 11 236 15 290 8061 7682 7 330 6 236 11 227 10 236 13 290 7682 7418 5 332 6 234 11 226 10 235 10 290 7418 7256 4 332 6 233 10 226 9 235 8 291 7256 7163 3 335 5 232 8 224 7 234 4 294 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography