DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.6 - - 26.4 - - 21.5 - - 13.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 24 - - -10 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1355 - - 2936 - - 2942 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10365 - - 11946 - - 11952 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2730 - - 1334 - - 1716 - - 3335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 93 - - 188 - - 39 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 20 - - 23 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 292 - - 281 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 21 - - 29 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -15 - - -13 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3205 - - 3603 - - 4792 - - -196 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7160 - - 8344 - - 7160 - - 7357 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1088 - - 932 - - 1075 - - -2932 ODpotential blCL - - - 9277 - - 11014 - - 10877 - - 10093 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 86 - - 78 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.6 - - 26.4 - - 21.5 - - 13.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.4 - - 15.0 - - 16.3 - - 6.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 30.1 - - 27.3 - - 22.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 13.9 - - 15.6 - - 11.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 24 - - -10 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1355 - - 2936 - - 2942 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 45 - - 12 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95892 34 263 39 271 24 302 28 275 95892 88868 23 270 27 279 22 295 16 278 88868 83395 19 258 18 292 19 287 19 276 83395 78839 15 256 14 296 10 298 17 261 78839 74909 14 259 15 278 13 313 9 236 74909 71385 19 248 17 265 23 288 10 283 71385 68142 25 252 16 280 26 277 17 288 68142 65125 29 269 24 263 25 274 23 273 65125 62317 31 262 27 258 22 273 22 262 62317 59594 24 261 25 255 23 266 18 272 59594 56739 24 279 25 273 25 262 24 270 56739 53768 36 267 30 272 34 263 30 265 53768 50921 34 260 31 261 42 255 36 261 50921 48347 35 272 32 258 43 250 39 258 48347 46035 41 272 35 260 40 252 41 254 46035 43938 47 268 40 260 39 258 42 250 43938 42021 55 265 47 260 45 263 39 254 42021 40254 64 260 58 257 53 264 39 266 40254 38621 72 251 73 252 61 263 48 275 38621 37114 76 242 84 248 70 259 62 269 37114 35735 77 239 88 242 79 250 71 255 35735 34449 77 240 87 237 79 240 70 239 34449 33179 78 246 83 240 67 234 63 231 33179 31890 81 248 88 243 54 244 48 243 31890 30594 84 246 94 244 69 263 56 258 30594 29290 86 245 95 244 85 260 71 256 29290 27964 86 249 92 245 85 248 76 250 27964 26614 84 252 85 249 76 243 69 247 26614 25244 79 254 74 256 62 251 62 250 25244 23857 73 254 69 261 60 261 59 253 23857 22457 66 256 65 261 61 264 58 255 22457 21043 60 260 59 260 60 264 58 258 21043 19603 54 264 53 261 57 263 53 260 19603 18158 49 266 48 263 52 262 44 258 18158 16773 44 268 45 266 47 262 41 253 16773 15513 39 271 42 269 43 263 41 252 15513 14382 36 274 40 273 40 265 39 253 14382 13363 34 280 38 278 39 267 37 260 13363 12439 33 285 34*282 36*272 36 269 12439 11598 31 288 30*286 33*277 35 277 11598 10835 26*292 24 291 29 281 35 283 10835 10144 26*297 22 293 27 282 34 289 10144 9518 26 298 21 293 25 283 33 293 9518 8943 24 297 20 294 23 283 29 298 8943 8423 21 294 19 293 20 282 25 302 8423 7980 17 291 18 293 17 280 19 305 7980 7634 13 288 16 292 14 279 14 307 7634 7393 10 285 15 292 10 276 10 311 7393 7245 9 283 13 292 8 273 5*322 7245 7160 6 281 8 291 3 268 2*001 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography