DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.3 - - 79.9 - - 83.6 - - - - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 328 - - 388 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 438 - - 12791 - - 13956 - - - - - 9193 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 18829 - - 19901 - - - - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 9448 - - 21801 - - 22966 - - - - - 18203 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 7169 - - 2627 - - 846 - - - - - 2033 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 693 - - 755 - - - - - 26 W* B/S 4 - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction 126 - - 221 - - 227 - - - - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 18 - - 16 - - - - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 14 - - 16 - - - - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4891 - - 5985 - - 5976 - - - - - 2015 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14340 - - 15817 - - 16991 - - - - - 16189 sfcLCL ODpotential -8538 - - 1764 - - 2972 - - - - - -5468 ODpotential blCL 17986 - - 20037 - - 19994 - - - - - 23671 blCL maxRH 52 - - 42 - - 78 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE 330 - - 300 - - 190 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.3 - - 79.9 - - 83.6 - - - - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 35.2 - - 33.6 - - - - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.0 - - 81.5 - - 85.0 - - - - - 83.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.9 - - 34.3 - - 32.4 - - - - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 328 - - 388 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 438 - - 12791 - - 13956 - - - - - 9193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99913 39 100 30 104 33 112 28 077 99913 92355 30 100 27 102 24 105 23 087 92355 86520 23 107 18 103 22 101 21 109 86520 81707 21 104 14 122 15 081 20 117 81707 77561 18 103 18 116 9 116 21 104 77561 73888 17 105 17 100 15 124 14 077 73888 70563 11 115 11 106 11 105 10 085 70563 67515 9 132 6 092 9 124 7 070 67515 64717 6 111 1 004 7 115 2 120 64717 62028 4 352 4 183 2 197 4 204 62028 59235 5 317 10 222 8 236 7 272 59235 56347 15 303 17 224 18 263 14 300 56347 53615 31 300 18 252 31 262 28 287 53615 51184 53 284 38 289 36 281 32 274 51184 49006 57 276 52 287 47 288 31 287 49006 47019 58 282 59 286 57 290 45 302 47019 45193 63 288 64 290 64 290 55 297 45193 43495 70 293 70 294 67 294 57 292 43495 41903 74 294 74 296 69 298 53 296 41903 40407 74 297 74 297 70 301 52 303 40407 39006 66 298 69 300 69 303 56 306 39006 37669 54 298 58 303 67 305 57 307 37669 36331 48 296 41 307 56 307 56 308 36331 34966 52 290 34 311 41 306 53 309 34966 33580 56 285 38 305 32 302 50 308 33580 32160 39 280 42 296 31 305 48 309 32160 30700 16 295 41 291 32 305 44 310 30700 29200 17 267 38 287 33 299 41 307 29200 27669 14 227 23 279 36 294 35 301 27669 26111 9 237 9 253 36 292 29 287 26111 24532 9 261 9 222 26*284 27 279 24532 22926 13 265 16*228 18*262 27 278 22926 21286 18 262 20*229 20 237 25 269 21286 19641 20 259 20 231 19 235 24*252 19641 18069 17 257 16 228 18 234 22*242 18069 16639 13 249 14 227 14 233 20 239 16639 15357 14 226 16 232 13 231 16 238 15357 14200 15 214 15 229 11 226 13 235 14200 13150 14 207 11 223 11 222 10 229 13150 12195 13 204 9 215 11 216 9 224 12195 11328 10 202 7 208 11 211 9 221 11328 10544 8 192 6 189 11 208 8 217 10544 9833 6*170 6 184 11 206 8 213 9833 9182 6*149 6 181 11 203 7 208 9182 8593 7 141 7 179 11 201 7 201 8593 8091 6 130 7 177 10 199 6 195 8091 7700 4 112 7 176 10 197 5 188 7700 7427 3 067 6 175 10 197 4 181 7427 7260 3 041 6 175 9 197 3 167 7260 7164 2 038 5 174 8 196 2 161 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography