DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.9 - - 35.1 - - 40.4 - - 37.0 - - 32.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - -23 - - -18 - - -16 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 7163 - - 7162 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 429 - - 994 - - 1987 - - 946 - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 14 - - 15 - - 9 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 359 - - 349 - - 352 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -27 - - -24 - - -17 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2955 - - -2198 - - -1831 - - -2095 - - -2470 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10118 - - 9360 - - 8994 - - 9258 - - 9634 sfcLCL ODpotential -12941 - - -11443 - - -10551 - - -10855 - - -12680 ODpotential blCL 20103 - - 18605 - - 17714 - - 18017 - - 19843 blCL maxRH 79 - - 83 - - 83 - - 83 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.9 - - 35.1 - - 40.4 - - 37.0 - - 32.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.8 - - 19.9 - - 26.5 - - 22.2 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 43.2 - - 47.8 - - 45.5 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.1 - - 18.9 - - 25.4 - - 21.1 - - 17.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - -23 - - -18 - - -16 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 33 - - 30 - - 33 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96356 43 050 39 058 27 058 27 032 31 053 96356 89523 38 047 26 053 29 052 26 060 26 056 89523 84175 35 032 18 050 22 034 25 036 24 057 84175 79665 24 024 16 036 18 051 18 020 22 050 79665 75725 21 039 18 024 19 037 10 037 15 047 75725 72201 20 037 18 031 18 033 13 049 15 039 72201 68995 19 027 13 042 14 041 16 028 13 051 68995 66030 19 003 11 040 14 355 13 006 18 059 66030 63276 12 017 12 025 13 317 17 349 28 039 63276 60631 27 344 22 352 12 019 21 346 34 009 60631 57892 25 319 33 346 23 012 16 348 33 344 57892 55063 21 355 25 360 17 001 11 025 25 347 55063 52352 39 358 18 037 27 014 29 028 22 033 52352 49902 49 347 42 011 50 004 50 007 43 020 49902 47710 56 359 53 001 51 002 61 008 54 016 47710 45733 79 004 62 010 66 015 71 009 62 018 45733 43928 81 353 76 008 79 008 73 006 65 015 43928 42275 54 345 72 358 73 002 68 006 64 012 42275 40752 46 014 62 352 57 357 62 006 57 007 40752 39335 51 023 52 351 44 351 56 005 53 002 39335 38003 55 016 44 345 39 346 51 003 54 357 38003 36726 54 006 42 345 37 347 49 001 53 354 36726 35445 46 001 41 353 35 352 50 360 52 354 35445 34136 44 357 43 001 41 358 52 357 49 356 34136 32804 46 355 46 005 49 359 53 355 46 359 32804 31439 48 350 52 002 56 359 52 355 46 002 31439 30031 48 341 57 355 58 356 51 358 47 004 30031 28582 48 333 55 351 56 353 51 359 48 006 28582 27095 47 330 51 349 54 350 53 359 50 007 27095 25576 46 332 48 346 54 348 54 358 51 007 25576 24031 45 337 47 342 53 348 53 356 50 005 24031 22457 45 343 46 339 51 348 49 353 46 358 22457 20847 45 346 45 336 46 346 43 350 42 350 20847 19226 43 347 41 334 39 342 39 346 42 343 19226 17674 40 347 36 332 32 337 36 345 41 342 17674 16266 35 347 31 329 26 332 31 346 37 343 16266 15008 31 344 27 327 23 327 27 346 31 344 15008 13880 29 340 24 328 21 324 24 345 26 344 13880 12861 28 337 22 332 21 324 21 345 23 346 12861 11938 27 334 21 337 21 326 20 346 22 348 11938 11105 27 333 20 343 20 330 19 347 21 352 11105 10354 26 332 20 350 20 333 19 348 21 357 10354 9676 25 332 20 356 20 336 20 349 21 003 9676 9058 24 331 20 360 19 340 20 350 21 008 9058 8501 23 329 19 003 18 345 20 349 21 011 8501 8028 21 329 18 003 17 348 18 349 20 012 8028 7661 18 331 16 001 15 349 15 349 17 010 7661 7406 14 336 13 000 11 348 11 352 14 010 7406 7250 9*344 9*358 8*349 6*351 10*006 7250 7162 4*358 4*002 4*351 1*354 5*005 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography