DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.6 - - 26.7 - - 32.7 - - 27.7 - - 23.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - -1 - - 11 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 62 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9072 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1196 - - 2105 - - 1175 - - 1982 - - 1417 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 11 - - 40 - - 18 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 340 - - 252 - - 213 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -11 - - 5 - - 2 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2245 - - -2061 - - 385 - - 2 - - -879 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9408 - - 9223 - - 8688 - - 7161 - - 8042 sfcLCL ODpotential -10582 - - -10183 - - -6850 - - -6095 - - -7812 ODpotential blCL 17744 - - 17345 - - 15922 - - 13257 - - 14974 blCL maxRH 72 - - 68 - - 76 - - 72 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.6 - - 26.7 - - 32.7 - - 27.7 - - 23.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.7 - - 12.3 - - 20.3 - - 23.0 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.1 - - 33.4 - - 36.7 - - 34.7 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.4 - - 11.4 - - 19.2 - - 23.2 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - -1 - - 11 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 62 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95751 41 318 35 327 33 338 28 340 26 337 95751 88942 32 333 14 336 21 321 30 345 27 345 88942 83571 25 346 17 329 23 325 29 340 21 349 83571 79062 19 326 22 321 24 328 25 341 18 357 79062 75157 12 334 16 317 21 324 21 328 19 330 75157 71675 15 355 13 331 18 326 13 334 12 315 71675 68469 18 354 20 345 17 338 20 356 18 348 68469 65499 17 001 22 348 24 324 31 326 27 336 65499 62760 22 346 15 007 20 331 25 319 26 314 62760 60116 21 003 9 039 13 014 6 315 24 299 60116 57352 48 346 45 347 26 351 18 334 25 302 57352 54471 61 334 46 336 40 332 33 317 28 301 54471 51719 55 335 42 341 49 318 43 299 36 291 51719 49243 48 348 47 333 35 315 37 293 36 284 49243 47024 46 359 40 331 28 330 35 301 34 297 47024 45019 46 001 33 338 36 328 38 310 42 303 45019 43214 48 357 34 339 46 314 50 301 49 294 43214 41592 48 351 31 342 41 305 48 292 51 287 41592 40105 44 350 28 350 38 305 43 299 45 280 40105 38711 38 353 30 350 37 311 56 306 41 277 38711 37399 35 356 35 343 32 313 52 307 43 280 37399 36140 38 357 39 336 30 310 42 303 54 289 36140 34877 41 356 39 329 28 310 35 290 58 293 34877 33585 38 352 33 328 25 310 33 286 48 291 33585 32267 32 348 24 326 23 306 33 286 51 288 32267 30916 26 344 20 327 23 309 33 289 52 283 30916 29524 27 335 21 328 25 318 32 295 48 288 29524 28097 30 329 22 332 29 318 29 305 40 294 28097 26636 32 326 32 329 35 316 29 313 32 295 26636 25146 33 328 41 322 36 316 30 314 30 293 25146 23631 29 336 37 323 33 315 31 314 30 296 23631 22091 24 342 28 333 25 314 29 311 29 298 22091 20520 26 353 22 336 20 310 26 308 25 293 20520 18941 30 360 21 338 17 307 23 300 23 286 18941 17429 32 002 22 343 16 313 19 290 21 281 17429 16055 33 004 22 349 14 323 15 290 19 275 16055 14825 32 005 20 354 12 330 12 293 17 271 14825 13721 31 005 17 000 10 329 8 296 15 267 13721 12722 28 006 13 006 8 319 6 295 13 265 12722 11818 23 006 9 011 6 298 6 286 11 264 11818 11001 18 005 6 013 6 278 7 275 10 266 11001 10266 13 003 3 009 7 267 8 268 9 268 10266 9605 9 358 1 342 7*263 8 266 7 269 9605 9002 7 354 1 238 7*264 7 269 6 266 9002 8460 5 350 1 225 6 267 6 277 4 256 8460 8002 4 346 1 229 4 258 3 276 3 230 8002 7646 5 342 1 305 2 218 2 233 3 200 7646 7399 5 343 2 354 2 189 2 175 3 178 7399 7248 5*332 3*353 2 175 2*157 2*179 7248 7161 4*337 3*358 2 175 2*165 1*182 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography