DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 70.4 - - - - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 139 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8578 - - 6910 - - - - - 7115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15028 - - 13618 - - - - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17588 - - 15920 - - - - - 16125 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2041 - - 3407 - - - - - 2793 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 495 - - 435 - - - - - 57 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 224 - - - - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 21 - - - - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 13 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3079 - - 3804 - - - - - 3880 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14510 - - 12116 - - - - - 12245 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 388 - - 756 - - - - - -327 ODpotential blCL - - - 17200 - - 15164 - - - - - 16452 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 87 - - - - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 430 - - - - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 70.4 - - - - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.9 - - 41.9 - - - - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 73.4 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 40.8 - - - - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 139 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8578 - - 6910 - - - - - 7115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 46 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99591 40 113 31 115 32 091 99591 92022 27 103 28 106 24 104 92022 86209 20 113 22 110 30 113 86209 81394 22 105 16 115 27 098 81394 77256 19 093 20 107 18 092 77256 73613 7 088 18 101 10 102 73613 70335 9 148 9 089 7 092 70335 67325 11 125 5 159 7 082 67325 64529 4 044 3 168 4 000 64529 61822 3 197 5 265 5 270 61822 59002 13 238 14 242 7 194 59002 56073 13 260 17 245 17 253 56073 53273 33 252 34 253 29 266 53273 50746 46 247 51 248 45 260 50746 48480 51 250 52 244 53 251 48480 46429 59 256 55 251 58 251 46429 44555 66 256 64 251 63 252 44555 42828 67 250 65 247 65 250 42828 41227 64 246 62 245 66 246 41227 39738 61 242 59 245 66 242 39738 38355 59 238 56 242 65 238 38355 37043 57 236 53 236 67 235 37043 35734 53 234 51 229 70 234 35734 34398 49 234 49 225 70 234 34398 33041 45 235 46 223 66 237 33041 31655 42 232 44 221 60 237 31655 30230 40 229 43 220 56 233 30230 28768 39 227 43 220 53 231 28768 27270 40 227 44 220 49 229 27270 25743 41 227 44 221 47 228 25743 24193 39 223 42 220 45 231 24193 22619 36 216 39 218 41 237 22619 21013 37 214 39 220 37 243 21013 19400 35 221 36 224 35 244 19400 17858 30*230 33 226 33 243 17858 16455 22*236 31*228 28*242 16455 15196 18 231 29*229 24*243 15196 14062 16 222 25 228 19 245 14062 13033 16 216 21 224 15 249 13033 12098 15 212 18 222 12 255 12098 11248 15 210 17 221 11 264 11248 10480 13 201 15 222 10 274 10480 9783 12 192 14 223 10 285 9783 9144 12 190 14 224 10 291 9144 8566 11 187 13 224 10 296 8566 8074 11 186 13 224 10 299 8074 7690 11 185 12 224 10 301 7690 7422 10 185 11 224 8 301 7422 7258 9 185 10 224 6 302 7258 7163 8 184 7 223 4 305 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography