DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.9 - - 34.2 - - 38.2 - - 34.1 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - -4 - - 2 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 364 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9374 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 632 - - 2308 - - 1747 - - 2497 - - 1562 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 11 - - 48 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 340 - - 240 - - 250 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -11 - - 11 - - 4 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1398 - - -634 - - 1514 - - 1 - - -1003 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8560 - - 7796 - - 7861 - - 7161 - - 8165 sfcLCL ODpotential -8171 - - -6365 - - -4146 - - -5842 - - -7827 ODpotential blCL 15333 - - 13527 - - 13520 - - 13004 - - 14989 blCL maxRH 77 - - 86 - - 82 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.9 - - 34.2 - - 38.2 - - 34.1 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.2 - - 25.5 - - 29.1 - - 30.5 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.0 - - 40.4 - - 43.1 - - 41.2 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.1 - - 24.3 - - 28.0 - - 30.1 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - -4 - - 2 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 364 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 10 - - 45 - - 29 - - 40 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94567 53 293 95 293 83 305 80 301 80 295 94567 87994 60 303 69 300 64 309 57 309 56 303 87994 82811 58 307 55 305 53 305 53 305 44 308 82811 78437 48 316 40 308 51 294 53 297 40 304 78437 74631 49 323 27 319 41 296 45 312 32 311 74631 71232 52 314 30 325 39 308 45 319 27 322 71232 68109 50 307 35 306 43 301 45 306 33 324 68109 65207 38 309 31 313 35 308 36 299 37 308 65207 62506 35 325 35 326 35 332 30 316 38 306 62506 59891 41 328 41 326 50 328 46 323 41 316 59891 57171 50 315 54 320 64 315 67 307 59 304 57171 54354 58 309 65 307 63 308 62 295 62 291 54354 51658 55 297 60 302 60 311 49 308 49 295 51658 49214 46 306 57 313 67 315 54 318 50 310 49214 47015 54 323 69 315 70 312 61 315 61 305 47015 45027 71 311 74 303 71 303 71 303 67 299 45027 43229 66 303 66 301 67 303 75 300 62 297 43229 41597 63 321 66 307 74 302 73 299 62 300 41597 40104 76 324 74 310 81 300 67 300 65 303 40104 38712 78 316 75 313 79 301 65 301 68 299 38712 37402 84 312 74 314 77 304 67 300 70 299 37402 36146 89 309 75 310 75 308 68 301 68 300 36146 34886 91 305 76 308 73 308 70 303 65 301 34886 33598 90 303 73 311 67 306 72 304 61 302 33598 32287 86 302 70 314 63 304 74 305 56 304 32287 30943 79 302 72 314 60 308 74 305 56 306 30943 29556 72 307 69 312 62 315 74 304 60 307 29556 28130 66 309 66 310 69 319 74 305 64 305 28130 26669 63 309 66 308 73 316 73 305 67 301 26669 25179 65 311 65 308 71 314 70 301 65 296 25179 23669 70 313 62 309 66 314 65 300 60 293 23669 22133 70 315 55 311 59 313 58 300 52 293 22133 20562 62 315 46 312 52 311 54 301 44 293 20562 18983 48 313 35 309 46 309 47 299 37 297 18983 17473 36 304 28 306 40 310 37 294 32 301 17473 16100 29 293 25 304 35 314 29 289 27 300 16100 14874 27 289 23 303 31 315 25 285 23 297 14874 13770 25 290 21 304 26 311 23 283 19 295 13770 12772 25 293 19 305 21 305 21 281 17 292 12772 11868 25 297 17 305 17 296 18 281 16 287 11868 11049 24 302 16 305 15 287 16 278 16 281 11049 10310 23 307 14 306 12 278 14 272 15 274 10310 9644 22 314 13 308 10*268 12 264 14 268 9644 9034 21 322 11 310 9*259 11 258 13 264 9034 8485 19 331 10 314 8 251 8 255 11 267 8485 8019 17 341 9 320 6 242 6 253 8 279 8019 7656 14 350 7 330 5 224 3 244 5 317 7656 7404 11 358 6 341 4 205 2 233 5 016 7404 7250 8*001 3*350 3 193 1*126 5*041 7250 7161 3*356 1*031 3 187 0*080 4*037 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography