DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 81.7 - - 84.2 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 113 - - 149 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8313 - - 9526 - - 10869 - - 8332 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15156 - - 15443 - - 16718 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17323 - - 18536 - - 19879 - - 17342 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2205 - - 1615 - - 1609 - - 2631 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 589 - - 448 - - 511 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 9 - - 14 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 218 - - 239 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 15 - - 12 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 17 - - 11 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1467 - - 3235 - - 4166 - - 3233 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15856 - - 15302 - - 15714 - - 14110 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1057 - - 814 - - 2049 - - -681 ODpotential blCL - - - 18380 - - 17722 - - 17830 - - 18023 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 98 - - 91 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 80 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 81.7 - - 84.2 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 39.2 - - 39.8 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.4 - - 84.4 - - 86.6 - - 84.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 38.2 - - 38.7 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 113 - - 149 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8313 - - 9526 - - 10869 - - 8332 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 92 - - 63 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99537 29 107 30 109 23 105 31 080 99537 92039 29 106 26 102 26 094 31 101 92039 86267 24 111 24 086 22 101 25 096 86267 81467 27 100 24 104 22 093 18 105 81467 77338 24 093 25 122 17 098 20 086 77338 73698 17 089 19 107 19 108 17 084 73698 70409 13 091 20 097 22 097 18 103 70409 67386 15 125 16 092 21 107 14 095 67386 64591 14 094 14 108 13 095 13 090 64591 61903 9 085 10 101 1 131 8 085 61903 59128 7 296 4 322 3 056 5 138 59128 56283 24 252 22 286 10 312 4 278 56283 53596 30 237 34 254 28 262 21 260 53596 51194 36 246 40 252 34 256 25 249 51194 49042 41 243 44 253 36 258 24 266 49042 47071 38 249 40 245 39 247 29 263 47071 45245 40 257 34 243 37 239 32 245 45245 43548 41 261 30 252 30 240 31 237 43548 41965 39 262 33 255 28 243 27 231 41965 40478 41 264 36 253 30 253 26 244 40478 39080 44 259 38 253 34 255 26 254 39080 37741 45 249 41 250 34 246 27 247 37741 36399 43 247 42 240 34 240 29 243 36399 35027 42 250 39 235 32 233 28 241 35027 33633 40 254 37 246 31 234 28 237 33633 32207 38 257 35 251 28 239 27 237 32207 30741 37 266 32 254 23 249 23 241 30741 29240 34 267 29 256 20 253 19 247 29240 27705 31 268 27 255 19 250 19 246 27705 26140 29 266 26 252 18 237 20 238 26140 24554 28 263 23 250 19 232 21 234 24554 22945 31 262 21 247 20 235 22 232 22945 21305 32 259 20 261 18*245 21 230 21305 19659 28 248 21*266 13*265 16 229 19659 18084 25*237 17*260 10 271 13*232 18084 16652 20*232 12 249 6 255 10*237 16652 15369 13 232 8 225 6 253 6 234 15369 14211 6 226 8 212 6 241 3 223 14211 13160 2 217 8 208 6 234 2 219 13160 12205 1 173 8 206 6 227 2 214 12205 11337 1 133 9 205 6 220 3 210 11337 10553 1 088 9 202 6 215 3 207 10553 9841 1 074 10 201 7 211 4 205 9841 9188 1 070 10 201 7 208 4 205 9188 8598 1 073 10 200 7 206 5 205 8598 8095 1 070 10 199 7 204 5 204 8095 7703 1 071 10 198 7 203 5 204 7703 7429 1 072 10 198 7 202 5 202 7429 7261 1 071 9 198 6 202 4 198 7261 7164 1 076 7 197 5 201 3 194 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography