DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.4 - - 29.2 - - 26.0 - - 20.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 7 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7161 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1369 - - 2981 - - 2199 - - 922 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 23 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 339 - - 290 - - 316 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 3 - - -5 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3292 - - -2861 - - -1236 - - -3855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10453 - - 10023 - - 8398 - - 11017 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11432 - - -11179 - - -8915 - - -14137 ODpotential blCL - - - 18593 - - 18341 - - 16077 - - 21298 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 40 - - 50 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.4 - - 29.2 - - 26.0 - - 20.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.8 - - 11.1 - - 14.9 - - -1.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 34.5 - - 33.5 - - 31.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.1 - - 10.1 - - 13.8 - - -1.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 7 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96353 32 051 32 046 31 050 21 044 96353 89309 29 036 30 040 25 043 23 053 89309 83818 32 038 33 038 31 042 34 044 83818 79225 35 032 32 031 37 030 40 038 79225 75259 31 024 30 018 35 033 34 040 75259 71732 27 016 28 006 33 025 35 031 71732 68528 31 007 31 004 36 011 38 013 68528 65578 31 001 36 357 37 000 34 009 65578 62830 35 000 35 357 36 002 38 011 62830 60154 40 357 43 355 43 354 48 357 60154 57354 50 357 52 350 52 349 50 350 57354 54440 59 354 59 352 57 348 53 346 54440 51657 63 351 67 352 62 346 58 345 51657 49158 64 350 69 349 65 344 61 343 49158 46920 63 348 66 345 65 343 60 340 46920 44890 62 346 62 343 63 342 58 339 44890 43040 63 344 61 346 61 341 55 338 43040 41349 63 343 63 348 57 342 52 336 41349 39798 62 344 62 347 54 343 51 334 39798 38368 64 349 61 349 50 348 45 329 38368 37045 65 354 60 353 48 359 40 325 37045 35787 66 357 58 356 49 003 38 326 35787 34530 66 360 57 357 49 002 42 332 34530 33245 65 001 56 358 49 001 46 337 33245 31938 65 001 55 359 48 001 47 343 31938 30602 62 359 54 360 47 001 46 347 30602 29232 60 358 52 001 44 004 46 349 29232 27830 55 360 50 003 40 012 45 349 27830 26397 50 003 46 005 38 018 42 348 26397 24935 45 005 41 006 39 018 40 346 24935 23445 40 003 36 005 36 013 38 348 23445 21926 36 355 33 005 32 007 36 353 21926 20372 30 349 30 003 29 002 34 358 20372 18810 24 351 25 351 27 002 33 360 18810 17317 19 354 21 337 23 359 33 358 17317 15960 15 354 18 329 21 350 32 357 15960 14747 11 358 15 326 20 340 29 356 14747 13658 9 004 14 325 18 334 25 353 13658 12674 8 009 12 326 17 332 21 351 12674 11784 7 009 11 328 16 331 19 348 11784 10978 6 007 10 331 15 332 17 345 10978 10253 5 002 8 330 15 332 16 343 10253 9598 4 353 8 324 14 332 15 341 9598 8999 3 336 7 315 14 330 15 340 8999 8459 2 306 7 307 12 329 15 338 8459 8001 2 288 6 299 10 325 14 336 8001 7645 3 299 4 286 7 317 12 333 7645 7398 4 336 3 255 4 307 8 332 7398 7247 4*336 2*237 2*285 5*323 7247 7160 3*349 1*222 0*234 2*308 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography