DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.8 - - 37.6 - - 34.4 - - 29.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 0 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7163 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1152 - - 2317 - - 2222 - - 1671 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 166 - - 183 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 8 - - 12 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2636 - - -2569 - - -2910 - - -3508 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9799 - - 9732 - - 10073 - - 10671 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12650 - - -12736 - - -13241 - - -14194 ODpotential blCL - - - 19812 - - 19899 - - 20403 - - 21356 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 83 - - 89 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.8 - - 37.6 - - 34.4 - - 29.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.8 - - 20.4 - - 15.9 - - 8.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 43.6 - - 43.5 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.8 - - 19.2 - - 14.8 - - 10.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 0 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 33 - - 58 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95620 70 019 71 012 71 006 62 006 95620 88812 60 027 59 014 55 011 48 006 88812 83482 56 023 51 018 45 020 37 004 83482 79012 45 017 39 015 33 019 29 007 79012 75111 39 010 31 010 26 019 23 009 75111 71621 35 003 29 003 23 004 20 005 71621 68440 29 352 32 004 23 358 25 003 68440 65506 24 342 28 351 28 353 27 354 65506 62785 20 339 23 352 26 346 24 341 62785 60157 23 325 25 339 26 341 20 330 60157 57415 25 313 24 318 24 330 22 322 57415 54562 26 309 25 304 26 305 23 303 54562 51832 26 297 26 288 26 293 24 291 51832 49381 28 300 28 280 31 278 27 288 49381 47224 34 281 37 268 47 272 41 272 47224 45314 44 280 54 273 60 270 50 273 45314 43569 71 281 80 277 73 278 63 273 43569 41940 99 276 97 280 97 264 86 260 41940 40415 96 276 96 273 102 260 93 254 40415 38981 84 277 88 272 93 261 87 255 38981 37635 74 279 82 273 75 266 69 261 37635 36351 70 282 75 274 62 267 57 265 36351 35069 68 282 69 276 57 269 55 266 35069 33760 58 282 64 279 54 273 51 270 33760 32428 44 279 60 282 51 278 43 274 32428 31062 33 262 60 283 48 283 40 277 31062 29655 31 259 56 288 45 286 37 277 29655 28213 34 265 41 288 40 290 33 286 28213 26739 30 273 31 273 33 286 26 278 26739 25237 25 272 30 263 31 275 28 267 25237 23711 23 259 26 264 26 268 29 266 23711 22159 22 246 23 262 22 260 25 268 22159 20577 19 240 22 253 19 253 21 261 20577 18989 17 231 21 241 19 249 21 251 18989 17472 18 223 21 232 22 250 21 247 17472 16093 19 222 21 230 22 251 21 247 16093 14861 18 225 20 231 21 254 19 247 14861 13754 17 227 19 232 19 253 18 247 13754 12754 16 229 18 232 18 248 16 246 12754 11849 15 231 16 230 16 241 15 243 11849 11031 14 232 15 227 16 234 14 238 11031 10294 13 232 14 225 15 228 13 233 10294 9630 12 230 13 221 14 222 12 228 9630 9023 10 227 10 215 12 215 10 220 9023 8477 7 221 7 200 8 203 6 206 8477 8014 3 204 5 161 6 176 4 151 8014 7654 1 173 5 153 5 172 4 123 7654 7403 2 005 3 153 3 175 2 081 7403 7249 4*005 2*144 2*191 3*027 7249 7161 3*353 1*141 1*224 3*014 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography