DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.1 - - 41.4 - - 44.2 - - 39.5 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 36 - - 63 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1690 - - 3040 - - 1596 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 10259 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 10700 - - 12050 - - 10606 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2484 - - 2365 - - 1799 - - 1755 - - 3077 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 183 - - 261 - - 45 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 23 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 081 - - 123 - - 212 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -6 - - 11 - - 8 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1654 - - 1757 - - 3163 - - 3445 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8816 - - 8943 - - 8887 - - 7162 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential -8201 - - -2712 - - -631 - - 1170 - - -3652 ODpotential blCL 15363 - - 13412 - - 12681 - - 9436 - - 10815 blCL maxRH 99 - - 93 - - 79 - - 94 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.1 - - 41.4 - - 44.2 - - 39.5 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 27.2 - - 30.2 - - 35.3 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.3 - - 44.9 - - 47.4 - - 44.2 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.7 - - 26.0 - - 29.0 - - 34.1 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 36 - - 63 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1690 - - 3040 - - 1596 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 73 - - 17 - - 74 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96048 28 300 29 289 29 295 30 305 37 293 96048 89244 16 318 19 301 19 315 20 310 27 303 89244 83920 10 008 16 297 17 311 16 317 18 325 83920 79423 9 323 9 304 13 294 12 317 14 331 79423 75488 11 284 6 338 9 268 10 308 12 327 75488 71978 13 289 8 331 7 260 11 306 11 328 71978 68784 18 287 10 302 10 268 12 305 12 309 68784 65840 20 287 14 295 10 292 12 300 14 292 65840 63100 16 291 16 294 17 301 16 312 13 299 63100 60425 12 312 14 293 19 296 19 305 13 318 60425 57620 15 322 13 302 20 297 21 299 19 321 57620 54703 17 314 14 309 24 294 25 299 26 316 54703 51915 17 312 19 325 23 298 24 305 29 312 51915 49405 19 312 26 327 22 324 25 309 31 314 49405 47159 26 308 26 324 26 336 24 319 30 321 47159 45130 22 304 25 330 31 335 28 337 31 332 45130 43282 15 317 23 325 29 334 33 340 35 336 43282 41584 13 336 19 335 29 337 35 333 36 333 41584 40010 15 008 18 357 25 350 30 331 34 336 40010 38548 22 018 20 028 29 352 24 336 35 337 38548 37191 14 073 25 019 25 350 21 341 30 334 37191 35906 31 116 19 002 19 349 20 344 24 335 35906 34632 37 103 12 113 16 341 17 338 20 336 34632 33342 35 092 17 105 11 345 13 345 17 331 33342 32034 34 084 18 067 11 351 14 356 15 329 32034 30695 32 077 22 043 11 002 17 340 16 333 30695 29315 30 073 23 033 12 015 21 332 17 335 29315 27901 27 082 23 030 15 008 22 333 19 338 27901 26452 23 094 21 033 17 002 21 340 19 340 26452 24976 20 098 18 045 13 014 20 346 18 345 24976 23475 18 100 13 049 9 014 15 353 15 341 23475 21949 16 105 11 053 9 009 11 343 15 334 21949 20390 11 108 9 090 6 011 11 346 14 342 20390 18827 11 107 10 110 3 006 11 020 10 346 18827 17337 11 102 11 108 2 103 8 065 4 323 17337 15987 7 104 13 109 5 116 7 115 2 182 15987 14782 10 121 13 117 7 116 9 129 8 153 14782 13699 12 109 14 124 8 112 9 128 12 148 13699 12718 12 095 14 124 7*113 8 120 13 146 12718 11827 11 085 13 121 7*111 8 107 12 146 11827 11019 10 079 11*115 5 097 7*098 12 145 11019 10289 9 076 8*106 3 080 6*091 11 139 10289 9629 8 078 5 097 1 115 2 068 9 131 9629 9025 8 080 3 086 1 178 1 284 5 127 9025 8480 8 080 3 069 2 185 3 246 2 135 8480 8017 8 072 4 058 2 186 4 231 1 211 8017 7656 9 058 4 056 2 187 4 222 2 246 7656 7404 8 045 3 054 2 185 4 213 2 255 7404 7250 6*029 3 054 2 183 3 208 1*308 7250 7162 4*011 2 056 2 181 2 206 1*328 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography