DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.1 - - 37.3 - - 33.2 - - 27.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 1 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 419 - - 54 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 9429 - - 9064 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1859 - - 1312 - - 1493 - - 2639 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 55 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 145 - - 224 - - 263 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 16 - - 20 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 19 - - 9 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3728 - - -12 - - 1217 - - -1435 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10890 - - 9441 - - 7848 - - 8598 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12430 - - -7245 - - -5204 - - -7405 ODpotential blCL - - - 19592 - - 16674 - - 14268 - - 14567 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 66 - - 75 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.1 - - 37.3 - - 33.2 - - 27.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.3 - - 21.3 - - 24.1 - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 42.3 - - 40.1 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.2 - - 20.0 - - 22.9 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 1 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 419 - - 54 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94826 65 289 78 293 65 296 46 290 94826 88165 47 288 53 297 55 302 49 303 88165 82940 37 293 42 296 44 300 48 306 82940 78549 30 296 30 298 37 297 44 306 78549 74710 21 299 24 299 29 290 36 306 74710 71273 13 300 21 280 31 285 36 299 71273 68125 15 307 15 276 33 283 37 290 68125 65224 26 298 21 286 29 290 30 274 65224 62532 32 278 25 294 23 304 23 275 62532 59901 28 283 28 283 24 304 29 289 59901 57128 30 288 33 271 32 272 37 269 57128 54245 40 283 42 268 38 264 42 263 54245 51499 52 270 52 271 46 271 48 263 51499 49020 57 264 60 265 57 268 53 270 49020 46786 56 265 60 258 61 263 62 268 46786 44756 56 267 58 257 62 261 65 267 44756 42899 54 268 59 257 65 262 70 265 42899 41199 57 268 62 255 71 261 74 259 41199 39645 64 262 68 254 78 256 77 255 39645 38217 66 253 76 253 82 253 81 254 38217 36895 64 253 79 250 86 253 87 254 36895 35641 66 255 78 249 88 251 92 254 35641 34386 69 255 80 249 87 248 92 254 34386 33105 70 253 82 247 92 246 92 254 33105 31803 69 252 82 246 94 247 92 252 31803 30472 70 251 82 248 93 252 90 252 30472 29105 71 250 81 249 85 254 84 252 29105 27706 70 250 75 249 75 253 77 253 27706 26278 67 250 69 249 66 252 72 259 26278 24826 63 252 65 250 62 254 69 263 24826 23352 58 253 63 252 60 256 65 265 23352 21848 55 252 62 255 59 258 60 265 21848 20310 51 251 61 256 56 260 54 265 20310 18763 46 251 57 255 53 261 49 266 18763 17282 42 249 53 253 50 262 46 269 17282 15937 40 248 48 251 46 264 43 271 15937 14735 38 248 44 249 43 266 40 275 14735 13654 35 249 40 248 40 268 38 277 13654 12677 31 250 36 248 37 270 35 279 12677 11791 28 248 32 249 34 272 33 282 11791 10989 26 244 29 250 30 274 31 286 10989 10265 24 240 26 249 26 275 29 290 10265 9611 21 234 22*246 22*276 27 293 9611 9012 17 226 17*242 18*275 24 296 9012 8470 12 214 11 233 13 271 20 298 8470 8010 7 178 7 216 8 261 16 302 8010 7651 5 150 5 202 5 243 11 307 7651 7401 3 114 5 192 3 214 7 319 7401 7249 2*070 4 185 2 177 4*343 7249 7161 2*043 3 180 2 134 3*061 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography