DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.2 - - 37.7 - - 36.3 - - 37.3 - - 37.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 32 - - 5 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 222 - - 297 - - 16 - - 178 - - 242 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9232 - - 9307 - - 7162 - - 9188 - - 9252 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2238 - - 2181 - - 2944 - - 2309 - - 2385 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 93 - - 20 - - 0 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 139 - - 148 - - 189 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 4 - - 11 - - 10 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 16 - - 31 - - 18 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2071 - - 2146 - - 1 - - 2027 - - 2091 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential 1111 - - 1518 - - -654 - - 1360 - - 1334 ODpotential blCL 8121 - - 7789 - - 7816 - - 7828 - - 7918 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.2 - - 37.7 - - 36.3 - - 37.3 - - 37.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 36.9 - - 35.8 - - 37.2 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.8 - - 41.1 - - 40.1 - - 41.2 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.4 - - 36.5 - - 35.7 - - 37.4 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 32 - - 5 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 222 - - 297 - - 16 - - 178 - - 242 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96272 13 308 27 303 30 297 27 309 26 305 96272 89416 15 001 7 321 18 287 22 323 11 350 89416 84041 14 343 8 337 7 284 11 299 14 338 84041 79505 13 313 13 286 6 000 7 236 11 320 79505 75553 14 299 16 282 7 300 6 262 10 253 75553 72033 19 279 19 269 17 268 15 295 9 247 72033 68822 16 273 17 260 20 251 21 267 16 262 68822 65847 17 272 13 276 14 245 19 263 17 275 65847 63061 23 251 14 269 10 254 21 243 19 265 63061 60347 23 237 20 253 13 244 17 228 18 255 60347 57506 18 235 22 235 21 251 19 251 20 254 57506 54547 20 243 24 231 26 235 25 237 26 251 54547 51727 27 245 27 234 27 236 23 247 24 246 51727 49196 33 236 29 234 29 240 30 261 23 254 49196 46935 37 231 34 242 37 236 37 250 30 244 46935 44897 42 228 45 242 44 238 43 251 33 248 44897 43038 47 225 53 236 57 237 57 243 49 246 43038 41331 52 224 53 230 63 231 59 239 66 242 41331 39758 54 220 49 225 63 229 61 242 83 245 39758 38300 51 216 49 225 59 232 68 246 96 245 38300 36947 48 215 51 225 59 238 73 247 100 242 36947 35665 48 214 53 226 61 238 69 245 99 237 35665 34394 49 209 52 224 61 233 61 240 108 231 34394 33100 50 208 54 221 60 229 54 233 118 232 33100 31788 52 209 57 221 56 225 51 230 108 236 31788 30454 51 211 59 225 55 224 52 228 77 239 30454 29093 51 216 53 227 58 225 53 225 57 228 29093 27700 50 220 46 224 57 228 54 225 58 224 27700 26275 49 222 41 217 50 230 52 230 55 226 26275 24824 50 219 38 205 40 229 44 229 47 229 24824 23350 45 213 35 194 36 225 38 204 44 219 23350 21846 34 204 35 191 32 223 38 198 46 213 21846 20308 25 198 34 188 30 216 38 207 44 216 20308 18764 21 200 30 184 31 213 39 212 35 216 18764 17288 20 199 25 181 28 219 40 212 28 212 17288 15948 16 206 20 183 22 224 36 210 24 207 15948 14748 14 214 16 183 20 221 29 206 23 205 14748 13669 12 221 12 181 24 212 22 208 22 206 13669 12694 11 228 9 175 28 204 17 215 20 206 12694 11809 11 233 7 164 30 200 15 217 18 204 11809 11007 11 237 7 152 28 194 15 214 17 197 11007 10283 11 237 7 147 24 185 15 208 17 191 10283 9626 10*235 7*143 20 175 15*202 16*186 9626 9024 8*228 7*141 17 164 14*197 15*182 9024 8480 7 219 6 138 15 155 14 192 14 172 8480 8017 5 208 5 139 12 148 12 188 13 156 8017 7656 3 203 4 138 9 144 11 185 12 144 7656 7404 2 230 3 139 7 144 8 183 10 138 7404 7250 2 305 3 140 6*145 7 181 8 136 7250 7161 2 316 2 139 4*146 4 180 4 133 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography