DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 69.5 - - 67.0 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 222 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4043 - - 7011 - - 6230 - - 239 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11477 - - 13936 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13053 - - 16021 - - 15240 - - 9249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1860 - - 1518 - - 1501 - - 4816 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 368 - - 497 - - 91 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 290 - - 289 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 15 - - 17 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2438 - - -670 - - -581 - - -3681 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15492 - - 16692 - - 15822 - - 12930 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9344 - - -6097 - - -6710 - - -10831 ODpotential blCL - - - 22397 - - 22118 - - 21950 - - 20080 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 41 - - 49 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 69.5 - - 67.0 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 21.0 - - 22.6 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 71.7 - - 71.0 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.6 - - 20.1 - - 21.8 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 222 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4043 - - 7011 - - 6230 - - 239 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97723 16 024 16 004 15 032 11 357 97723 90583 12 045 11 027 12 033 11 034 90583 84972 7 054 14 017 11 025 11 037 84972 80258 10 055 7 030 11 354 10 025 80258 76189 14 031 1 023 13 337 18 007 76189 72616 19 357 12 339 13 338 22 007 72616 69397 20 341 20 332 21 318 26 340 69397 66450 22 336 24 333 23 325 26 321 66450 63715 26 326 27 317 26 325 26 324 63715 61057 29 321 31 310 33 317 34 315 61057 58285 31 313 34 303 36 306 35 305 58285 55420 29 305 34 301 39 304 40 303 55420 52703 31 307 38 300 44 299 43 295 52703 50262 36 311 41 305 46 303 46 300 50262 48068 46 314 49 306 51 302 53 300 48068 46075 52 310 55 304 54 300 59 299 46075 44245 51 309 52 305 52 300 57 297 44245 42552 47 311 46 307 46 303 49 299 42552 40981 43 312 41 309 41 306 39 303 40981 39523 27 310 30 310 37 301 29 298 39523 38169 20 331 19 324 23 302 21 303 38169 36881 16 352 14 328 17 315 18 320 36881 35593 12 357 13 330 15 316 17 319 35593 34277 10 006 13 339 12 311 14 313 34277 32936 11 013 14 346 8 297 11 306 32936 31561 13 022 12 352 6 295 8 303 31561 30144 15 027 9 001 5 312 5 305 30144 28689 17 027 7 012 3 318 3 297 28689 27200 16 025 8 032 1 293 3 276 27200 25680 14 020 7 039 1 295 3 264 25680 24132 13 010 3 019 2 292 3 260 24132 22552 11 001 5 341 4 295 3 254 22552 20936 8 347 7 316 7 299 5 253 20936 19314 7 305 8 299 10 300 8 266 19314 17767 9 281 10 293 12 302 11 278 17767 16365 11 282 11*293 12*302 12 283 16365 15113 12 289 10*295 10*297 12 282 15113 13987 12*294 9 295 7 289 10 278 13987 12966 12*297 9 294 6 284 8 275 12966 12039 12 300 9 293 7 286 8 278 12039 11197 11 302 9 292 7 287 8 286 11197 10437 11 304 9 289 7 289 8 297 10437 9748 9 304 8 287 8 289 9*306 9748 9117 8 301 8 286 8 290 10*314 9117 8546 7 298 8 283 7 289 11 320 8546 8060 6 294 7 282 7 289 11 322 8060 7681 5 290 7 281 7 288 10 325 7681 7417 4 286 7 279 7 288 8 330 7417 7256 4 285 6 279 6 289 6 334 7256 7163 3 283 5 277 5 288 4 338 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography