DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.7 - - 45.5 - - 48.8 - - 43.7 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 34 - - 53 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 383 - - 2219 - - 869 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7146 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9393 - - 11229 - - 9879 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1572 - - 1424 - - 1290 - - 1499 - - 2760 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 108 - - 220 - - 18 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 12 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 327 - - 287 - - 203 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -9 - - 5 - - 10 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -702 - - 1482 - - 3309 - - 2717 - - -98 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7865 - - 7912 - - 7920 - - 7162 - - 7261 sfcLCL ODpotential -10926 - - -3326 - - 51 - - -3351 - - -6596 ODpotential blCL 18088 - - 12719 - - 11178 - - 13230 - - 13759 blCL maxRH 71 - - 80 - - 86 - - 89 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.7 - - 45.5 - - 48.8 - - 43.7 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 35.7 - - 38.8 - - 37.1 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.9 - - 49.0 - - 52.1 - - 50.4 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 34.5 - - 37.6 - - 35.9 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 34 - - 53 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 383 - - 2219 - - 869 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 22 - - 44 - - 55 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96486 58 064 55 054 46 065 39 056 34 053 96486 89557 44 059 42 057 42 064 33 059 28 058 89557 84096 33 054 30 069 30 061 31 052 28 070 84096 79500 22 061 23 065 20 057 28 055 25 066 79500 75509 14 051 13 060 13 062 17 031 18 064 75509 71956 12 029 6 047 10 033 8 355 15 029 71956 68744 9 329 8 030 5 001 7 299 10 338 68744 65810 11 322 12 311 10 334 4 268 8 317 65810 63096 24 320 20 300 22 295 14 294 16 312 63096 60472 30 291 25 285 29 274 25 289 22 299 60472 57732 30 270 26 290 27 266 28 273 31 267 57732 54880 30 255 32 278 30 267 31 272 31 256 54880 52143 27 258 37 259 34 266 36 270 31 255 52143 49670 25 283 27 249 32 237 35 247 26 244 49670 47446 32 292 18 259 14 249 17 236 29 247 47446 45428 35 276 12 301 27 232 32 236 35 221 45428 43599 51 252 45 235 40 237 31 231 24 205 43599 41928 52 225 53 226 55 240 36 248 7 198 41928 40375 38 231 51 236 67 231 50 238 31 236 40375 38927 39 261 51 244 60 232 54 230 46 225 38927 37582 53 264 55 245 48 241 51 233 47 221 37582 36303 60 262 57 245 46 246 52 235 44 219 36303 35023 58 258 53 247 45 246 47 235 42 217 35023 33715 57 253 50 254 43 250 40 242 39 224 33715 32385 61 254 48 261 39 256 33 243 31 229 32385 31023 59 263 45 273 35 255 31 242 24 238 31023 29621 51 265 40 278 29 265 30 237 23 230 29621 28182 45 267 26 286 24 269 24 229 22 224 28182 26711 32 277 16 312 13 246 20 223 20 219 26711 25214 22 292 12 306 11 223 22 229 18 218 25214 23697 20 300 11 295 13 225 22 237 16 224 23697 22154 19 297 13 283 13 252 18 247 15 234 22154 20580 20 292 16 277 12 275 18 257 16 242 20580 18999 22 290 19 283 12 287 17 264 15 237 18999 17490 23 288 20 281 14 286 15 263 15 228 17490 16121 24 287 21 276 15 283 14 260 15 226 16121 14896 25 288 21 274 15 284 15 257 15 229 14896 13794 27 288 20 277 14 287 14 254 14 231 13794 12797 28 289 18 284 12 292 14 253 13 231 12797 11892 29 290 16 293 8*301 12 255 12 229 11892 11073 29 291 16 303 6*314 10 259 12 224 11073 10334 29 292 16 311 5 321 7*264 11 215 10334 9665 29 294 16*317 4 314 4*265 11 204 9665 9053 27 296 15*322 3 287 2 236 9 190 9053 8500 24 300 13 326 4 261 3 207 7 171 8500 8030 18 306 10 330 4 249 4 198 5 161 8030 7663 11 317 6 332 4 243 5 188 3 160 7663 7408 7 337 5 331 4 237 5 180 1 101 7408 7252 4*007 5 330 3 236 4 169 2*033 7252 7162 2*071 4 329 3 233 3 163 2*020 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography