DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.3 - - 44.8 - - 48.2 - - 42.8 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 31 - - 49 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 239 - - 1383 - - 606 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 9249 - - 10393 - - 9616 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2362 - - 1241 - - 1524 - - 1651 - - 2711 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 90 - - 184 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 197 - - 218 - - 174 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 13 - - 18 - - 8 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 8 - - 12 - - 11 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1813 - - 6 - - 735 - - 1390 - - -1308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8976 - - 9244 - - 9658 - - 8226 - - 8472 sfcLCL ODpotential -9239 - - -5993 - - -4290 - - -4661 - - -7967 ODpotential blCL 16402 - - 15242 - - 14683 - - 14277 - - 15130 blCL maxRH 83 - - 82 - - 82 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.3 - - 44.8 - - 48.2 - - 42.8 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.5 - - 29.3 - - 30.9 - - 31.7 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 - - 48.3 - - 51.6 - - 49.8 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 28.2 - - 29.7 - - 30.6 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 31 - - 49 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 239 - - 1383 - - 606 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 27 - - 28 - - 49 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96004 16 355 8 300 20 328 27 345 5 318 96004 89129 10 350 10 011 12 342 22 005 13 022 89129 83778 11 025 15 006 8 009 14 355 16 004 83778 79292 18 017 17 010 5 063 12 345 15 356 79292 75395 19 008 11 014 3 012 14 339 14 357 75395 71920 19 356 8 023 2 219 14 324 14 358 71920 68740 14 326 11 348 4 304 12 305 13 323 68740 65807 16 324 15 325 7 329 10 298 13 289 65807 63087 23 305 21 309 16 309 17 296 14 291 63087 60446 22 282 25 273 26 291 23 294 17 284 60446 57684 21 295 23 263 29 287 27 293 23 284 57684 54812 30 294 27 274 32 268 35 279 31 284 54812 52076 53 271 37 272 45 265 45 275 43 275 52076 49620 60 264 57 263 60 264 53 273 52 268 49620 47413 65 270 62 263 64 259 60 271 59 263 47413 45407 73 269 65 262 68 258 66 270 63 263 45407 43571 76 269 70 259 72 258 71 268 69 265 43571 41878 81 270 76 259 83 261 80 263 74 264 41878 40305 89 270 88 261 96 260 89 258 78 264 40305 38839 96 268 100 261 98 258 95 256 82 264 38839 37474 95 268 100 261 93 257 95 255 83 264 37474 36180 87 267 90 260 85 256 87 256 78 264 36180 34895 80 264 81 258 77 254 77 257 64 265 34895 33594 78 261 73 256 72 251 70 255 54 263 33594 32277 78 262 68 259 68 250 61 257 52 262 32277 30930 74 265 62 264 56 252 51 258 48 261 30930 29544 69 273 54 267 48 261 46 255 42 264 29544 28123 64 280 48 269 44 262 39 256 39 267 28123 26669 52 277 44 266 41 259 37 257 35 269 26669 25187 45 264 42 264 38 260 35 257 32 272 25187 23679 42 256 39 263 36 261 31 259 30 276 23679 22142 38 261 35 263 35 261 30 258 28 278 22142 20571 39 269 33 262 34 257 29 255 24 276 20571 18994 38 271 31 257 33 254 27 249 21 264 18994 17487 34 269 29 253 32 251 28 245 23 254 17487 16118 30 267 27 251 31 249 28 244 25 252 16118 14893 27 267 26 250 30 249 28 245 25 250 14893 13792 25 266 25 249 29 249 27 246 23 247 13792 12795 23 263 23 248 27 250 25 247 22 243 12795 11892 21 257 22 245 25 252 24 248 20 239 11892 11072 19 249 20 242 22*252 21 248 18 236 11072 10332 18 240 18 239 18*250 18 244 16 232 10332 9663 16 232 16*235 13 244 14*239 14 227 9663 9050 14 224 12*229 7 215 8*213 11 218 9050 8498 11 216 8 215 6 185 7 181 7 199 8498 8029 6 200 4 170 6 179 7 167 6 158 8029 7662 3 162 3 148 6 175 7 161 5 135 7662 7408 2 096 3 141 5 172 6 154 3 111 7408 7251 3*042 3 135 5 169 5 145 2*062 7251 7162 3*028 3 131 4 167 3 139 2*033 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography