DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1334z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 52.5 - - 51.2 - - 53.0 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 104 - - 74 - - 41 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 894 - - 3331 - - 1958 - - 1629 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7174 - - 10813 - - 9576 - - 7175 - - 7174 Hcrit BL Top 9904 - - 12341 - - 10968 - - 10639 - - 7192 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2437 - - 2298 - - 2678 - - 3243 - - 1124 Hgt.Variab. W* 129 - - 316 - - 236 - - 187 - - 9 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 188 - - 219 - - 345 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 12 - - 15 - - 10 - - -14 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2270 - - 4133 - - 3659 - - 2532 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7634 - - 8209 - - 7309 - - 8108 - - 7191 sfcLCL ODpotential -1326 - - 74 - - 83 - - -1441 - - -3860 ODpotential blCL 11230 - - 12267 - - 10885 - - 12080 - - 11052 blCL maxRH 84 - - 75 - - 79 - - 66 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 300 - - 600 - - 560 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 52.5 - - 51.2 - - 53.0 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.3 - - 41.2 - - 43.6 - - 42.1 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 55.6 - - 54.7 - - 56.7 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.3 - - 39.7 - - 43.0 - - 41.1 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 104 - - 74 - - 41 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 894 - - 3331 - - 1958 - - 1629 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 2 - - 17 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98878 8 093 4 166 6 082 9 083 1 111 98878 92672 6 095 6 166 1 052 5 070 3 076 92672 87682 7 106 8 140 3 165 4 011 5 082 87682 83434 8 116 8 129 4 145 3 019 7 090 83434 79704 6 123 6 131 4 153 2 029 6 093 79704 76358 5 124 6 132 5 166 1 027 6 088 76358 73291 5 116 5 134 6 165 1 016 5 074 73291 70442 5 110 4 133 6 155 0 003 4 045 70442 67778 4 112 3 123 5 149 0 087 4 017 67778 65179 3 134 3 107 3 154 1 074 3 360 65179 62452 3 163 1 102 2 195 0 043 2 330 62452 59612 3 181 1 196 3 229 2 255 2 247 59612 56896 3 212 3 206 3 237 3 253 3 209 56896 54451 3 244 3 216 4 244 4 263 3 186 54451 52260 5 264 4 230 5 257 4 288 1 129 52260 50275 6 268 5 239 6 262 5 304 3 036 50275 48458 7 267 5 243 7 262 5 310 6 009 48458 46784 8 265 5 253 6 260 4 316 9 359 46784 45234 9 257 5 256 6 254 3 323 10 352 45234 43791 10 233 6 235 6 237 1 282 9 344 43791 42445 10 207 8 214 8 216 3 215 6 327 42445 41158 11 192 10 205 11 202 7 211 4 291 41158 39865 10 191 9 201 12 195 8 219 3 240 39865 38535 10 200 9 204 13 195 11 231 5 230 38535 37168 13 204 10 216 15 202 15 235 9 238 37168 35747 15 197 13 218 16 204 18 233 14 238 35747 34255 17 187 15 213 16 200 17 228 16 237 34255 32688 17 182 15 203 14 197 14 218 13 230 32688 31041 16 182 14 198 13 199 11 198 9 213 31041 29313 15 186 13 204 12 205 10 179 8 186 29313 27508 13 195 12 224 10 216 9 176 8 173 27508 25622 14 203 10 244 7 225 7 176 6 170 25622 23647 15 206 8 253 6 227 6 178 4 169 23647 21625 14 206 7 250 5 234 5 180 3 163 21625 19671 13 202 7 238 6 235 5 185 3 175 19671 17889 12 199 9 226 6 234 5 197 3 202 17889 16303 12 200 11 216 8 229 5 216 4 226 16303 14891 11 203 12 208 10 223 7 222 5 238 14891 13636 11 206 13 203 11 217 7 224 5 245 13636 12521 11 209 13*200 11 211 7 228 4 249 12521 11534 10 208 11*198 10*205 7 230 3 254 11534 10664 10*202 9 192 9*203 4*230 2 248 10664 9896 9*196 8 187 7 205 3*233 1 140 9896 9209 8 193 7 186 6 210 1 277 2 077 9209 8603 6 192 7 185 5 223 2 347 6 059 8603 8097 5 192 6 184 5 235 3 001 12 047 8097 7709 2 179 6 183 5 245 4 003 16 037 7709 7443 1 110 5 182 5 249 5 002 16 030 7443 7283 1 064 5 183 4 253 5 359 14*027 7283 7191 1 027 4 183 3 256 4 356 8*023 7191 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography