DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 68.6 - - 67.8 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 439 - - 232 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8264 - - 8654 - - 8035 - - 4851 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15230 - - 15611 - - 14782 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17274 - - 17664 - - 17045 - - 13861 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1373 - - 1668 - - 2267 - - 3181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 633 - - 672 - - 532 - - 58 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 275 - - 276 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 10 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 8 - - 9 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4134 - - 3627 - - 2336 - - 637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13141 - - 14037 - - 14709 - - 13225 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1864 - - 1178 - - -1281 - - -5035 ODpotential blCL - - - 15410 - - 16486 - - 18326 - - 18896 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 63 - - 56 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 68.6 - - 67.8 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 31.5 - - 27.9 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 69.9 - - 69.9 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 30.4 - - 26.7 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 439 - - 232 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8264 - - 8654 - - 8035 - - 4851 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99141 31 120 22 108 25 102 28 084 99141 91599 24 111 21 105 23 095 27 097 91599 85803 20 106 22 107 22 096 21 095 85803 80995 17 113 16 109 19 104 15 092 80995 76857 14 108 15 115 13 097 14 107 76857 73203 11 083 14 105 12 098 11 105 73203 69895 7 129 8 087 11 105 10 096 69895 66850 10 151 4 195 5 066 9 088 66850 64025 2 210 5 193 4 018 6 034 64025 61296 2 153 6 228 2 283 3 335 61296 58451 4 282 7 213 9 244 11 257 58451 55503 15 273 19 257 23 262 21 271 55503 52693 21 273 20 276 24 273 23 276 52693 50164 29 269 32 281 34 281 30 279 50164 47899 34 266 40 275 38 276 34 281 47899 45849 36 273 42 269 42 274 42 280 45849 43983 38 282 43 269 46 275 48 276 43983 42272 41 288 47 270 51 273 51 278 42272 40697 43 287 49 271 52 271 53 277 40697 39236 41 282 50 274 51 269 52 276 39236 37875 39 280 50 274 51 269 50 276 37875 36579 37 280 48 272 53 269 50 278 36579 35286 35 283 43 271 52 269 50 276 35286 33970 33 285 38 272 50 267 49 275 33970 32638 32 286 37 272 47 265 48 273 32638 31275 29 285 37 270 44 266 47 272 31275 29873 25 283 38 268 43 269 46 274 29873 28435 23 281 38 267 41 272 43 274 28435 26963 24 278 38 270 39 275 40 274 26963 25462 26 276 36 272 36 277 37 274 25462 23939 27 278 33 273 35 278 34 274 23939 22388 26 280 31 275 33 278 31 273 22388 20804 24 283 29 277 30 278 28 273 20804 19213 22 286 25 279 26 276 25 272 19213 17690 20*287 21*278 23*272 24 270 17690 16306 17*285 16*275 18*270 23 267 16306 15067 15 282 15 274 13 271 22 265 15067 13950 14 280 15 274 12 274 20*266 13950 12938 13 279 14 275 12 276 17*269 12938 12018 13 278 15 275 12 277 13 274 12018 11182 13 278 15 276 12 278 10 284 11182 10426 13 277 15 276 12 279 9 295 10426 9742 13 277 15 276 13 279 10 300 9742 9113 13 276 15 276 13 279 10 302 9113 8545 12 276 15 276 13 280 11 302 8545 8060 12 275 14 275 12 279 11 302 8060 7682 11 275 14 275 12 279 10 303 7682 7418 11 275 13 275 11 279 8 302 7418 7256 10 274 12 274 10 279 7 302 7256 7163 8 274 9 274 8 278 4 303 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography