DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 66.2 - - 64.9 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 330 - - 372 - - 115 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6395 - - 10110 - - 10497 - - 1923 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13652 - - 16711 - - 16182 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15405 - - 19120 - - 19507 - - 10933 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2834 - - 1735 - - 1951 - - 2852 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 551 - - 668 - - 461 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 24 - - 26 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 204 - - 202 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 27 - - 33 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 27 - - 26 - - 24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2912 - - 5876 - - 5476 - - -149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12494 - - 13245 - - 14032 - - 11082 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -981 - - 2299 - - 2603 - - -5274 ODpotential blCL - - - 16386 - - 16821 - - 16904 - - 16207 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 63 - - 71 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 330 - - 150 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 66.2 - - 64.9 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 32.7 - - 28.1 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 67.9 - - 67.9 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 31.9 - - 27.4 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 330 - - 372 - - 115 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6395 - - 10110 - - 10497 - - 1923 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98853 1 229 10 256 18 325 3 315 98853 91440 2 259 6 009 2 164 12 338 91440 85726 5 098 7 034 3 003 5 352 85726 81000 4 013 6 044 6 014 9 054 81000 76926 7 050 6 074 6 050 9 066 76926 73316 10 050 8 136 4 002 11 069 73316 70043 9 053 11 117 2 125 5 023 70043 67022 3 316 3 125 2 153 3 114 67022 64217 8 170 2 072 4 185 3 221 64217 61492 9 165 4 295 14 103 13 111 61492 58658 27 225 30 227 19 247 12 213 58658 55710 38 227 39 225 37 227 30 233 55710 52858 35 237 46 238 45 232 42 242 52858 50275 42 242 48 237 51 238 48 244 50275 47966 54 237 55 232 55 235 55 243 47966 45886 63 235 60 231 59 230 55 234 45886 43988 71 235 68 233 63 232 53 238 43988 42238 84 233 80 234 73 233 64 243 42238 40620 99 231 94 232 86 232 76 238 40620 39116 109 231 109 230 97 228 84 231 39116 37718 115 229 118 227 99 225 89 226 37718 36393 115 228 119 226 95 224 91 223 36393 35079 111 227 112 225 89 226 89 221 35079 33748 103 227 103 226 85 228 86 222 33748 32406 95 226 94 226 83 231 82 226 32406 31040 87 225 87 225 81 232 80 230 31040 29639 78 223 80 224 76 233 77 232 29639 28207 72 220 74 223 71 233 74 231 28207 26749 67 219 69 223 66 231 69 229 26749 25269 62 220 64 222 63 229 64 227 25269 23769 58 220 60 221 59 226 59 223 23769 22244 54 219 55 220 55 223 57 217 22244 20686 49 216 50 218 49*217 57 210 20686 19117 45 211 43*213 43*206 54 202 19117 17611 42 208 38*211 39 201 51 197 17611 16239 38*209 34 210 37 200 49 197 16239 15008 31*209 29 208 32 200 45 198 15008 13898 25 208 26 207 28 200 40 202 13898 12892 21 206 23 204 24 200 34 207 12892 11978 17 209 22 203 21 202 28 213 11978 11149 13 207 20 200 19 204 24*220 11149 10399 12 203 19 199 18 205 20*230 10399 9719 12 197 19 198 17 206 16 240 9719 9096 11 194 18 197 17 207 14 252 9096 8532 11 192 18 196 16 208 12 268 8532 8052 11 191 17 196 16 208 11 279 8052 7677 11 189 17 196 15 209 10 283 7677 7415 10 189 16 195 14 209 7 286 7415 7255 10 189 15 195 13 208 5 289 7255 7163 8 187 11 194 10 208 1 304 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography