DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.9 - - 30.8 - - 30.0 - - 22.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 18 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 274 - - 1586 - - 1059 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9284 - - 10596 - - 10069 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2482 - - 1324 - - 1275 - - 2501 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 61 - - 138 - - 28 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 289 - - 308 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 17 - - 12 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 6 - - 9 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1618 - - 3418 - - 2909 - - -297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7666 - - 7179 - - 7161 - - 7459 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1732 - - 1346 - - -1283 - - -5491 ODpotential blCL - - - 11016 - - 9250 - - 11352 - - 12653 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 97 - - 80 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.9 - - 30.8 - - 30.0 - - 22.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.9 - - 24.8 - - 24.5 - - 15.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 34.5 - - 35.5 - - 32.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.8 - - 23.8 - - 23.4 - - 20.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 18 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 274 - - 1586 - - 1059 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 87 - - 19 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95057 89 289 99 300 87 303 58 287 95057 88291 53 313 81 300 80 304 50 309 88291 82934 47 318 69 300 70 304 58 316 82934 78423 49 313 52 303 56 316 56 318 78423 74522 49 308 46 309 53 318 47 322 74522 71063 49 306 52 308 55 313 45 324 71063 67912 53 298 52 301 55 303 52 311 67912 65019 51 292 43 307 48 300 55 293 65019 62344 40 302 38 321 37 314 50 287 62344 59738 43 317 44 323 38 324 41 298 59738 56989 51 304 47 311 46 318 47 309 56989 54118 51 295 49 305 61 313 56 310 54118 51382 55 297 54 303 68 308 61 312 51382 48926 53 301 54 303 66 302 63 310 48926 46724 50 311 51 307 54 304 58 319 46724 44732 52 320 47 314 45 318 68 328 44732 42929 59 325 49 325 56 334 70 328 42929 41294 64 324 61 336 72 347 71 351 41294 39794 66 324 77 340 103 356 96 351 39794 38398 66 325 109 345 114 346 95 342 38398 37089 63 322 135 346 113 345 90 337 37089 35837 59 319 127 346 111 347 84 338 35837 34583 51 316 106 346 102 349 75 341 34583 33301 41 314 97 342 83 346 71 346 33301 31997 33 314 95 342 81 339 69 345 31997 30658 29 310 89 343 82 337 65 337 30658 29280 30 306 65 340 82 334 65 330 29280 27866 33 307 40 333 79 334 66 328 27866 26419 36 311 35 324 67 338 64 327 26419 24942 36 317 33 322 48 331 56 331 24942 23442 34 321 30 325 44 318 45 334 23442 21915 32 323 29 329 44 315 41 328 21915 20355 31 324 29 330 42 317 41 322 20355 18790 30 319 30 328 38 321 41 320 18790 17296 26 313 30 324 33 325 38 321 17296 15941 23 308 30 321 31 326 33 321 15941 14730 20 305 28 317 29 325 29 322 14730 13642 16 300 26 311 28 323 26 322 13642 12658 13 292 25 304 25 321 23 323 12658 11769 10 281 24 300 22 318 21 323 11769 10965 9 273 22*298 19 314 18 321 10965 10242 8 268 19*297 16*313 16 317 10242 9589 7*268 15 297 13*312 13 314 9589 8994 6*270 11 293 9 314 10 311 8994 8457 4 273 9 286 7 313 7 308 8457 8001 3 281 7 278 5 305 3 306 8001 7646 2 291 5 270 4 296 1 298 7646 7399 2 288 5 264 3 282 0 145 7399 7248 1 257 4 260 2 263 0*163 7248 7161 1 238 3 256 1 240 0*079 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography