DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.4 - - 81.6 - - 85.0 - - 83.3 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 294 - - 324 - - 128 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 551 - - 4098 - - 13492 - - 10945 - - 1128 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 11810 - - 19415 - - 16667 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 9561 - - 13108 - - 22502 - - 19955 - - 10138 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1928 - - 9566 - - 2038 - - 3022 - - 4280 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 461 - - 709 - - 491 - - 44 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 17 - - 27 - - 22 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 204 - - 217 - - 226 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 25 - - 26 - - 25 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 28 - - 32 - - 22 - - 20 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7324 - - -5140 - - 3461 - - 1581 - - -3967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16886 - - 18249 - - 19042 - - 18375 - - 14105 sfcLCL ODpotential -12688 - - -8468 - - -69 - - -2280 - - -9466 ODpotential blCL 22249 - - 21576 - - 22571 - - 22235 - - 19604 blCL maxRH 79 - - 76 - - 77 - - 78 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.4 - - 81.6 - - 85.0 - - 83.3 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.7 - - 26.2 - - 25.8 - - 27.3 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.1 - - 83.4 - - 86.7 - - 86.1 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.5 - - 25.1 - - 24.7 - - 26.1 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 294 - - 324 - - 128 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 551 - - 4098 - - 13492 - - 10945 - - 1128 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 5 - - 7 - - 14 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99799 33 114 29 111 33 099 31 105 26 115 99799 92183 32 091 28 110 26 106 21 105 31 093 92183 86342 26 096 25 109 21 103 20 097 24 085 86342 81524 24 119 17 105 16 100 22 107 19 079 81524 77372 20 106 12 110 14 117 15 105 15 094 77372 73711 13 113 16 109 10 122 9 111 15 114 73711 70415 10 134 9 110 9 135 5 122 13 104 70415 67391 11 190 4 139 6 144 7 123 9 120 67391 64596 11 217 8 214 5 223 2 157 7 155 64596 61897 9 238 11 183 9 193 9 128 13 171 61897 59096 12 226 14 190 27 218 20 226 15 216 59096 56232 22 216 33 212 38 213 38 218 26 216 56232 53519 33 223 39 220 43 215 42 213 37 216 53519 51081 45 226 51 228 48 223 45 222 50 221 51081 48895 52 229 64 230 59 229 56 228 57 226 48895 46904 58 232 70 225 68 228 67 228 60 231 46904 45072 63 232 69 221 69 224 73 224 67 228 45072 43373 66 233 64 225 65 223 70 219 70 220 43373 41785 68 234 64 234 61 230 62 222 65 217 41785 40293 66 232 68 235 69 237 59 233 63 228 40293 38896 68 231 71 232 75 236 64 238 65 233 38896 37563 68 233 65 231 74 233 66 236 65 233 37563 36230 66 236 60 232 68 232 64 230 61 230 36230 34868 61 236 56 228 57 227 63 225 56 222 34868 33486 55 237 51 225 51 225 58 226 53 220 33486 32070 49 236 46 224 51 223 49 226 50 221 32070 30616 43 236 42 227 49 221 45 222 47 224 30616 29130 39 236 40 228 44 217 44 220 45 226 29130 27614 37 223 37 222 40 213 43 218 43 228 27614 26069 38 210 39 210 40 215 40 217 41 232 26069 24502 39 203 41 206 39 216 37 218 40 235 24502 22906 39 201 39 211 37*214 35 220 40 232 22906 21273 37 203 37 216 37*212 34*222 39 218 21273 19630 34 203 37 216 36 213 33*222 39 206 19630 18057 32 201 37 212 35 217 32 221 36 203 18057 16623 31 204 36 209 34 220 30 220 31 203 16623 15337 31 209 34 209 32 220 28 221 26 204 15337 14178 30 211 32 211 28 220 26 222 21 205 14178 13127 28 212 32*214 25 220 22 226 16 210 13127 12173 29 212 32*217 23 220 19 231 12 219 12173 11307 29 213 27 218 19 218 16 236 9 234 11307 10525 25 214 18 212 18 218 15 237 8*259 10525 9817 19*211 15 200 18 217 15 237 8*287 9817 9169 14*196 14 191 18 217 14 238 11 313 9169 8583 14 176 13 188 17 216 14 237 16 324 8583 8085 15 157 13 187 17 216 13 237 18 327 8085 7696 12 141 13 185 16 216 13 237 17 326 7696 7426 9 132 12 184 15 215 12 237 14 325 7426 7260 7 128 11 184 14 215 11 237 11 324 7260 7164 4 127 9 184 11 214 9 235 5 324 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography