DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.7 - - 36.3 - - 39.0 - - 35.4 - - 33.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 46 - - 89 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 483 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9493 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1586 - - 2053 - - 598 - - 2085 - - 2794 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 41 - - 156 - - 5 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 154 - - 149 - - 121 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - 12 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 18 - - 17 - - 12 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -440 - - 1969 - - -473 - - -1527 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7603 - - 7524 - - 7635 - - 8690 sfcLCL ODpotential -9459 - - -9509 - - -5569 - - -10174 - - -10499 ODpotential blCL 16621 - - 16671 - - 15062 - - 17336 - - 17661 blCL maxRH 86 - - 70 - - 78 - - 90 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.7 - - 36.3 - - 39.0 - - 35.4 - - 33.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.7 - - 28.2 - - 31.1 - - 27.1 - - 20.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.1 - - 39.8 - - 42.0 - - 41.0 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 27.1 - - 29.9 - - 25.9 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 46 - - 89 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 483 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 0 - - 11 - - 59 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96119 21 297 24 301 24 299 23 299 29 304 96119 89276 7 325 21 286 15 340 16 319 12 306 89276 83933 5 328 8 287 12 307 10 323 9 331 83933 79434 6 290 1 054 10 272 5 296 9 294 79434 75520 9 325 3 022 11 267 11 286 8 275 75520 72027 20 276 9 285 16 254 17 274 9 294 72027 68828 12 249 10 273 10 217 22 248 16 294 68828 65857 7 311 13 259 9 235 17 239 18 275 65857 63097 24 265 17 252 14 269 9 272 13 273 63097 60418 27 253 13 250 24 252 16 274 11 292 60418 57607 20 257 14 257 21 245 22 255 18 266 57607 54686 16 268 23 259 18 262 18 254 18 259 54686 51894 34 265 29 252 24 267 18 282 21 278 51894 49374 39 253 34 246 35 248 28 260 23 253 49374 47125 29 244 31 234 30 249 31 260 19 251 47125 45094 30 273 20 255 26 259 33 256 21 262 45094 43235 50 274 40 271 32 262 36 244 30 247 43235 41526 48 265 49 259 47 261 39 243 33 226 41526 39959 28 251 44 247 54 257 47 242 33 216 39959 38514 22 268 30 246 48 254 41 240 29 201 38514 37176 30 284 28 256 39 249 38 246 22 197 37176 35910 37 290 31 264 32 247 41 247 21 208 35910 34649 40 288 32 266 31 252 36 244 20 203 34649 33363 39 286 33 268 31 256 30 235 22 193 33363 32055 34 285 34 269 32 258 27 221 25 188 32055 30714 31 281 35 269 33 257 26 220 29 190 30714 29334 27 284 34 273 34 256 30 226 31 198 29334 27920 26 285 31 281 31 254 34 229 32 204 27920 26473 21 272 27 285 25 255 32 230 28 202 26473 24999 11 227 20 276 19 260 24 232 20 191 24999 23503 3 112 11 284 17 258 13 225 17 168 23503 21979 1 174 2 197 8 230 9 200 18 151 21979 20422 2 247 3 176 8 186 8 169 19 145 20422 18858 2 264 5 230 9 193 9 170 18 148 18858 17363 4 059 4 239 10 202 9 173 18 152 17363 16003 9 073 1 137 10 218 8 176 14 158 16003 14786 8 088 5 123 9 234 8 190 8 165 14786 13691 1 185 5 137 6 235 7 198 5 152 13691 12702 6 274 5 174 3 186 6 184 4 124 12702 11807 7 287 4 197 5 116 7 166 3 109 11807 10998 6 305 4 166 10 110 9 156 3 119 10998 10270 5 340 8 123 14 117 10 149 3 138 10270 9613 4 030 12 118 15*125 11 145 4 151 9613 9013 5 097 14 123 14*135 11 140 7 147 9013 8472 5 122 14 133 11 149 12 132 9 140 8472 8011 5 141 11 150 10 152 11 125 9 135 8011 7653 4 175 9 164 10 154 7 117 6 134 7653 7403 4 217 7 170 9 156 4 105 3 134 7403 7249 4*249 6*171 8 156 2*076 1*136 7249 7161 3*276 5*173 7 157 1*037 2*313 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography