DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 71.5 - - 68.3 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 224 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5441 - - 8035 - - 7027 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12480 - - 14747 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14451 - - 17045 - - 16037 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2949 - - 1936 - - 1640 - - 6021 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 397 - - 522 - - 101 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 271 - - 279 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 24 - - 33 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -678 - - 303 - - 222 - - -6001 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15130 - - 16742 - - 15816 - - 13166 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5508 - - -3727 - - -4604 - - -12497 ODpotential blCL - - - 19959 - - 20772 - - 20641 - - 19661 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 41 - - 42 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 71.5 - - 68.3 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.0 - - 22.8 - - 23.9 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 73.6 - - 72.3 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.0 - - 21.9 - - 23.2 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 224 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5441 - - 8035 - - 7027 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97834 7 049 7 067 12 029 10 023 97834 90582 17 063 9 075 10 049 18 041 90582 84937 15 066 5 124 9 043 12 022 84937 80251 12 009 7 038 8 027 8 033 80251 76213 8 331 11 356 10 023 7 350 76213 72657 11 007 14 320 19 354 10 007 72657 69458 10 353 16 310 20 332 16 346 69458 66527 20 334 22 322 28 326 25 342 66527 63808 24 308 28 310 32 315 28 328 63808 61165 26 303 29 299 35 309 29 320 61165 58402 27 310 26 289 36 296 35 310 58402 55536 31 312 26 298 36 291 38 301 55536 52805 34 301 32 300 32 295 33 300 52805 50352 32 287 33 295 32 304 28 307 50352 48154 28 278 30 289 32 302 27 310 48154 46166 26 288 24 284 28 290 26 304 46166 44354 28 292 23 294 23 286 24 293 44354 42678 27 294 26 302 24 303 22 293 42678 41114 29 300 27 313 27 312 23 302 41114 39651 27 312 26 319 26 323 18 320 39651 38288 19 329 19 317 22 328 19 328 38288 36995 19 009 10 331 14 315 17 313 36995 35702 21 020 14 025 7 345 9 298 35702 34381 19 032 20 028 10 010 5 320 34381 33037 19 041 20 028 11 014 6 341 33037 31662 20 046 18 029 10 017 8 349 31662 30246 19 051 16 034 8 021 9 355 30246 28793 17 052 14 040 7 034 4 006 28793 27303 16 042 13 047 8 048 2 056 27303 25781 13 035 12 054 8 076 2 201 25781 24231 10 032 10 055 7 118 3 261 24231 22651 8 012 6 029 3 124 3 313 22651 21034 8 335 6 011 2 358 3 355 21034 19407 8 303 8 354 4 354 1 348 19407 17852 9 275 9*326 8 343 2 298 17852 16438 11 263 11*301 10*326 5 301 16438 15173 13*263 11 287 8*316 7 300 15173 14035 15*265 11 282 8 306 7 295 14035 13004 16 268 11 279 8 297 7 289 13004 12069 16 272 11 276 9 288 6 284 12069 11221 16 278 11 272 9 279 6 284 11221 10454 14 286 11 265 9 271 6 291 10454 9761 13 296 11 260 9 265 6 301 9761 9125 11 304 10 254 9 260 7 311 9125 8551 10 310 10 251 9 256 8 319 8551 8063 9 311 10 248 9 254 8 325 8063 7683 8 313 10 246 8 251 6 331 7683 7418 8 314 9 245 8 250 4 352 7418 7256 7 314 9 243 7 247 3*012 7256 7163 5 314 7 242 5 245 2*023 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography