DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 68.2 - - 66.4 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 315 - - 63 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5878 - - 7002 - - 5680 - - 1916 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13145 - - 14116 - - 12017 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14888 - - 16012 - - 14690 - - 10926 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1592 - - 1631 - - 1937 - - 3257 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 499 - - 560 - - 309 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 242 - - 246 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 23 - - 17 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 14 - - 9 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1800 - - 1140 - - -410 - - -2451 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13088 - - 14873 - - 15101 - - 13378 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1835 - - -2831 - - -5076 - - -8938 ODpotential blCL - - - 16723 - - 18843 - - 19766 - - 19864 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 93 - - 84 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 68.2 - - 66.4 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.9 - - 27.6 - - 25.0 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 70.0 - - 69.6 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 26.7 - - 24.2 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 315 - - 63 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5878 - - 7002 - - 5680 - - 1916 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 71 - - 35 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98655 17 250 20 275 25 267 27 278 98655 91224 14 256 13 265 19 275 23 277 91224 85474 16 284 16 277 9 276 15 282 85474 80714 15 278 14 265 12 290 7 277 80714 76625 5 283 9 263 14 300 6 288 76625 73023 9 302 9 297 9 295 7 322 73023 69773 8 310 9 319 8 269 11 299 69773 66778 12 317 11 340 6 298 7 318 66778 63983 20 307 17 315 14 328 8 348 63983 61271 22 277 21 283 18 312 15 307 61271 58444 16 274 20 269 26 288 21 296 58444 55527 25 283 30 277 37 276 36 282 55527 52766 43 282 46 281 46 279 43 282 52766 50290 64 283 66 281 64 276 59 277 50290 48080 77 274 74 272 72 268 70 264 48080 46089 81 281 80 279 76 272 76 261 46089 44271 97 287 93 284 87 276 87 265 44271 42590 106 285 100 281 95 275 101 267 42590 41020 104 282 100 276 96 272 103 265 41020 39547 99 280 98 275 95 270 97 264 39547 38167 96 280 93 273 92 269 92 263 38167 36851 92 281 88 273 88 267 88 261 36851 35536 90 280 86 272 84 265 86 259 35536 34195 90 277 84 270 82 264 84 257 34195 32835 89 276 82 268 81 263 82 255 32835 31446 86 276 80 266 79 261 80 253 31446 30020 79 277 80 266 77 260 78 253 30020 28561 71 277 79 267 75 259 75 254 28561 27071 64 277 74 268 71 258 70 255 27071 25555 59 275 65 269 64 258 63 255 25555 24019 54 271 57 265 57 259 56 253 24019 22456 50 268 51 260 51 259 50 251 22456 20859 47 265 47 257 46 257 44 250 20859 19255 44 262 44 256 42 256 41 248 19255 17722 40 260 41 257 39 255 38 246 17722 16329 35 258 37*259 35 257 36 244 16329 15083 31*255 31*259 29*258 32 241 15083 13962 28*252 21 252 23*259 29 237 13962 12947 23 248 17 244 16 254 26 234 12947 12024 19 242 17 242 12 247 24 232 12024 11187 17 237 16 240 12 245 21*231 11187 10429 15 233 16 238 12 243 17*230 10429 9743 13 224 16 236 12 241 14 227 9743 9114 12 221 16 235 11 240 10 221 9114 8544 12 219 15 233 11 239 8 213 8544 8060 11 216 15 232 11 237 6 210 8060 7681 11 214 14 231 10 236 5 207 7681 7417 10 213 13 230 10 236 4 194 7417 7256 9 212 12 230 9 235 3 167 7256 7163 8 211 10 229 7 234 2 146 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography