DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.5 - - 55.9 - - 59.9 - - 57.3 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 294 - - 429 - - 163 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1291 - - 3832 - - 4701 - - 3856 - - 1184 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11610 - - 12410 - - 11371 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 10301 - - 12842 - - 13711 - - 12866 - - 10194 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1919 - - 1589 - - 2106 - - 2337 - - 2468 Hgt.Variab. W* 152 - - 453 - - 544 - - 370 - - 47 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 14 - - 18 - - 21 - - 20 BL Wind Direction 333 - - 311 - - 308 - - 310 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 18 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 21 - - -21 - - -27 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 75 - - 1564 - - 1211 - - -39 - - -49 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10226 - - 11278 - - 12501 - - 12906 - - 10244 sfcLCL ODpotential -7735 - - -4838 - - -4056 - - -7601 - - -7115 ODpotential blCL 18036 - - 17680 - - 17767 - - 20467 - - 17309 blCL maxRH 61 - - 63 - - 66 - - 83 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.5 - - 55.9 - - 59.9 - - 57.3 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 31.3 - - 29.8 - - 25.6 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 57.9 - - 61.1 - - 60.0 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 30.1 - - 28.5 - - 24.6 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 294 - - 429 - - 163 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1291 - - 3832 - - 4701 - - 3856 - - 1184 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97741 5 145 9 242 10 275 3 311 5 301 97741 90333 6 080 6 186 7 250 3 291 3 359 90333 84608 3 052 5 133 3 165 3 222 6 028 84608 79864 5 080 4 196 1 239 4 015 8 015 79864 75799 4 033 2 100 4 014 4 104 6 355 75799 72211 8 335 5 329 10 341 6 356 8 034 72211 68954 7 321 4 346 5 307 6 341 7 004 68954 65953 14 330 13 344 7 349 10 341 9 358 65953 63168 11 321 14 334 14 338 17 342 12 358 63168 60474 5 306 10 318 12 321 14 331 12 350 60474 57671 20 324 17 323 11 322 22 325 21 337 57671 54787 26 328 24 325 23 317 29 319 30 326 54787 52058 29 326 27 329 24 326 31 324 31 330 52058 49608 31 328 35 330 35 330 40 326 37 328 49608 47405 39 331 43 330 45 321 46 317 43 311 47405 45395 47 328 48 321 45 308 47 305 46 301 45395 43546 52 328 44 318 45 302 50 298 49 297 43546 41838 52 329 43 317 48 294 55 290 53 293 41838 40255 49 328 42 314 48 285 58 278 57 288 40255 38789 44 326 41 308 47 282 56 266 56 279 38789 37435 42 328 40 303 46 280 57 266 57 267 37435 36156 42 326 38 301 46 280 57 266 57 263 36156 34885 41 322 37 302 45 283 53 266 51 264 34885 33590 39 321 36 303 43 284 50 267 48 263 33590 32275 41 320 35 303 41 283 47 268 51 262 32275 30928 41 316 36 300 41 283 45 268 52 262 30928 29542 41 315 38 300 40 284 42 270 51 264 29542 28121 42 316 39 304 38 286 40 273 49 266 28121 26668 41 318 38 308 35 287 39 277 46 269 26668 25186 38 318 35 310 33 288 39 280 42 270 25186 23681 35 318 32 308 31 290 38 280 40 273 23681 22148 34 318 31 305 30 294 35 278 38 278 22148 20583 33 316 32 305 30 299 32 278 37 282 20583 19011 32 313 32 308 30 303 30 281 36 285 19011 17507 30 310 32 310 29 306 30 286 34 286 17507 16140 27 309 29 312 28 309 30 291 31 288 16140 14917 24 309 26 312 27 312 30 295 29 293 14917 13816 22 312 23*313 25*314 29*299 26 300 13816 12820 21 315 20*313 22*314 28*304 25 309 12820 11915 20 318 18 313 20 311 25 307 23 315 11915 11095 19 322 16 313 18 309 22 311 23 320 11095 10354 18*325 14 312 18 309 21 312 23*322 10354 9684 17*328 14 311 18 308 20 313 24*322 9684 9069 15 330 13 310 18 307 20 313 24 321 9069 8512 13 332 13 309 18 306 20 312 23 320 8512 8039 10 337 13 308 17 305 19 312 21 319 8039 7669 7 342 12 307 16 304 18 312 17 318 7669 7411 4 342 11 306 15 304 17 311 13 317 7411 7253 4 342 10 305 14 304 15 311 10 316 7253 7162 3 343 8 305 11 303 10 310 4 314 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography