DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.7 - - 76.5 - - 80.8 - - 80.3 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 334 - - 358 - - 164 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1525 - - 4551 - - 7106 - - 6508 - - 4019 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 12205 - - 14266 - - 13397 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 10535 - - 13561 - - 16116 - - 15518 - - 13029 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3428 - - 1790 - - 3547 - - 3308 - - 3779 Hgt.Variab. W* 172 - - 496 - - 590 - - 446 - - 25 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 15 - - 18 - - 17 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 244 - - 242 - - 231 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 19 - - 19 - - 25 - - 24 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg 26 - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3479 - - -3142 - - -2214 - - -3166 - - -4301 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14014 - - 16704 - - 18331 - - 18684 - - 17331 sfcLCL ODpotential -9163 - - -8317 - - -6788 - - -8017 - - -9856 ODpotential blCL 19698 - - 21878 - - 22904 - - 23535 - - 22885 blCL maxRH 35 - - 43 - - 83 - - 71 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.7 - - 76.5 - - 80.8 - - 80.3 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.3 - - 28.1 - - 24.9 - - 23.0 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.1 - - 78.1 - - 82.3 - - 82.9 - - 81.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 26.9 - - 23.8 - - 21.9 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 334 - - 358 - - 164 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1525 - - 4551 - - 7106 - - 6508 - - 4019 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99646 33 105 29 111 25 105 24 105 25 099 99646 92094 27 098 21 117 20 101 21 097 23 087 92094 86260 24 109 19 111 17 105 23 093 23 097 86260 81426 19 101 17 105 19 109 18 099 15 109 81426 77285 15 106 18 108 14 122 16 100 12 116 77285 73629 17 115 17 114 13 146 7 115 9 083 73629 70315 13 135 7 100 13 144 9 169 5 065 70315 67278 8 134 5 217 9 163 11 178 6 203 67278 64478 9 164 14 194 11 191 13 180 14 191 64478 61780 7 205 14 182 18 196 12 191 14 218 61780 58992 21 203 28 213 22 227 22 232 22 233 58992 56127 26 217 37 221 40 232 34 236 28 234 56127 53407 40 242 42 232 46 230 46 236 45 241 53407 50977 50 245 48 238 50 236 54 234 59 242 50977 48803 57 247 53 242 57 240 60 238 66 239 48803 46813 63 249 58 246 63 243 64 240 67 236 46813 44970 70 251 65 250 65 244 66 240 65 237 44970 43253 76 252 71 251 67 245 68 241 63 240 43253 41646 78 254 76 252 72 246 73 245 65 243 41646 40141 73 255 75 254 74 250 78 248 70 249 40141 38734 63 254 65 254 67 253 75 253 75 254 38734 37396 55 248 54 252 56 251 63 256 74 257 37396 36064 53 242 51 248 51 248 56 258 61 258 36064 34712 50 240 49 245 47 246 53 259 45 255 34712 33345 44 243 46 244 44 249 49 257 37 250 33345 31951 38 249 42 248 44 255 46 255 35 241 31951 30523 34 254 42 256 45 257 42 252 37 240 30523 29061 33 257 43 261 46 258 40 250 41 245 29061 27568 34 260 44 264 45 256 41 247 43 246 27568 26043 34 262 43 264 43 251 41 242 41 239 26043 24489 35 263 42 262 41 246 40 237 41 233 24489 22900 35 263 40 258 39 243 39 234 42 230 22900 21270 36 262 39 252 38 244 38 233 42 230 21270 19626 36 262 37 248 38 245 38 235 40 229 19626 18051 36 262 35 247 37 246 37 239 37 227 18051 16616 35 262 35 250 36*248 35*242 34 223 16616 15331 35 262 34 255 33*251 31*243 32 221 15331 14172 32 261 31*260 27 254 27 242 29 218 14172 13123 27 257 26*261 19 250 19 237 26*217 13123 12170 22 247 19 256 16 242 15 229 22*216 12170 11306 20*236 15 245 15 238 14 225 19 214 11306 10524 19*230 14 241 15 235 14 223 14 210 10524 9818 17 232 14 239 15 232 13 221 11 202 9818 9170 14 244 14 237 14 231 13 220 9 191 9170 8584 12 255 14 235 14 229 13 219 7 182 8584 8086 8 257 13 233 14 227 13 218 6 178 8086 7697 4 251 13 232 13 225 12 217 6 174 7697 7426 1 233 12 231 13 225 11 216 5 168 7426 7260 1 196 11 230 12 224 11 216 4 156 7260 7164 1 157 9 229 10 223 8 215 3 150 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography