DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1859z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.8 - - 52.0 - - 56.0 - - 51.8 - - 41.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 351 - - 403 - - 120 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4650 - - 6127 - - 4516 - - 1444 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 12290 - - 13517 - - 11668 - - 7148 Hcrit BL Top 7165 - - 13660 - - 15137 - - 13526 - - 10454 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3198 - - 1220 - - 1228 - - 856 - - 1771 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 503 - - 578 - - 349 - - 34 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 11 - - 18 - - 16 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 337 - - 343 - - 004 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 13 - - 22 - - 13 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - 18 - - -26 - - -24 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2933 - - -268 - - 215 - - -195 - - -515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10099 - - 13929 - - 14923 - - 13722 - - 10969 sfcLCL ODpotential -8787 - - -5307 - - -5543 - - -6255 - - -8051 ODpotential blCL 15952 - - 18967 - - 20680 - - 19781 - - 18505 blCL maxRH 71 - - 45 - - 48 - - 48 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.8 - - 52.0 - - 56.0 - - 51.8 - - 41.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.8 - - 15.9 - - 15.3 - - 16.7 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.4 - - 53.9 - - 57.4 - - 54.7 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.7 - - 15.5 - - 14.9 - - 16.4 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 351 - - 403 - - 120 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4650 - - 6127 - - 4516 - - 1444 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98140 17 294 10 295 12 264 10 269 17 274 98140 90740 15 276 22 285 22 276 12 283 22 275 90740 85025 18 294 20 271 21 270 27 282 24 289 85025 80296 21 303 17 265 21 266 28 282 21 286 80296 76213 20 292 21 275 24 285 27 287 21 291 76213 72604 21 295 20 270 24 272 22 285 23 291 72604 69349 25 299 20 290 21 273 20 283 20 289 69349 66353 26 293 22 285 25 288 23 295 20 310 66353 63570 25 293 22 287 27 286 31 295 30 310 63570 60889 28 300 26 301 26 284 32 285 32 296 60889 58091 34 302 32 305 26 295 26 289 23 291 58091 55169 40 297 38 305 31 309 29 318 38 325 55169 52390 43 293 45 300 51 308 57 307 53 306 52390 49907 45 295 50 295 63 292 62 289 54 286 49907 47666 51 301 52 292 59 283 55 275 41 308 47666 45621 53 303 50 301 52 308 50 329 57 326 45621 43752 54 307 58 315 63 327 75 329 71 324 43752 42040 57 312 68 320 76 325 84 319 76 318 42040 40463 64 315 76 319 85 316 83 312 76 313 40463 39000 71 315 81 315 87 309 79 310 70 315 39000 37637 75 313 82 313 85 307 72 314 67 323 37637 36342 75 312 81 311 81 311 69 324 70 331 36342 35053 72 312 79 312 79 319 72 333 71 336 35053 33744 68 311 77 313 81 325 75 339 71 338 33744 32418 61 310 74 315 81 328 78 340 69 337 32418 31059 52 313 73 319 80 328 78 337 66 333 31059 29659 49 318 72 322 77 329 74 334 62 329 29659 28222 50 319 69 324 75 330 69 332 59 326 28222 26751 53 320 66 324 75 332 64 331 55 326 26751 25251 50 322 65 320 71 332 60 331 51 326 25251 23727 43 319 65 317 66 327 56 331 49 328 23727 22178 39 310 64 317 64 319 54 331 47 330 22178 20595 37 308 56 318 66 315 52 328 46 331 20595 19004 32 308 45 316 66 318 54 325 47 333 19004 17481 28 307 38 311 56 325 56 328 47 339 17481 16098 24 304 33 306 41*330 53 335 44 346 16098 14865 21 304 28 305 30*328 43 341 37 351 14865 13761 18 306 22*308 24 329 30*344 26 350 13761 12767 16 311 18*315 18 337 21*348 16 342 12767 11868 15 316 15 325 17 344 17 356 11 337 11868 11054 15 321 12 335 16 349 16 002 10*351 11054 10320 13 326 11 342 16 351 16 005 12*009 10320 9656 12 332 10 346 16 352 16 008 14 021 9656 9048 10 344 10 347 15 354 15 009 16 028 9048 8498 10 007 10 349 15 355 15 010 18 035 8498 8030 12 024 9 350 15 356 15 011 17 038 8030 7665 14 029 9 350 14 356 14 012 15 039 7665 7410 13 026 8 350 13 357 13 012 11 038 7410 7254 10*024 8 350 12 357 12 012 9 036 7254 7165 6*021 7 350 11 357 9 012 5 029 7165 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography