DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 55.6 - - 57.0 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 295 - - 131 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5169 - - 11398 - - 10289 - - 7122 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12746 - - 17625 - - 16149 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14179 - - 20408 - - 19299 - - 16132 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2101 - - 743 - - 790 - - 1952 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 543 - - 645 - - 480 - - 48 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 14 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 305 - - 293 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 20 - - 13 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 18 - - 11 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1845 - - 7043 - - 5825 - - 4538 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12335 - - 13365 - - 13475 - - 11595 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1376 - - 4102 - - 3173 - - 972 ODpotential blCL - - - 15555 - - 16306 - - 16126 - - 15160 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 100 - - 93 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 110 - - 70 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 55.6 - - 57.0 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 21.7 - - 22.7 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 57.4 - - 59.8 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.4 - - 20.7 - - 21.6 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 295 - - 131 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5169 - - 11398 - - 10289 - - 7122 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 100 - - 74 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98304 13 117 15 113 17 115 7 102 98304 90859 10 103 11 094 8 081 11 086 90859 85134 8 114 5 103 6 058 14 094 85134 80358 8 136 5 201 1 182 7 059 80358 76250 9 131 7 206 2 207 3 109 76250 72612 11 136 3 166 3 072 5 111 72612 69301 1 253 6 084 2 103 5 067 69301 66253 9 245 2 349 1 027 1 008 66253 63424 4 271 3 057 4 165 5 270 63424 60677 6 310 10 326 6 005 4 315 60677 57820 8 315 10 327 10 336 11 326 57820 54877 13 332 11 330 16 326 16 337 54877 52069 20 339 16 324 16 318 18 327 52069 49536 21 336 17 325 24 315 25 321 49536 47277 25 342 25 327 27 319 26 320 47277 45239 31 338 30 328 33 325 33 331 45239 43384 36 340 37 328 43 328 47 329 43384 41689 43 343 43 331 50 326 53 333 41689 40131 48 342 49 332 54 336 66 340 40131 38689 52 343 53 341 69 340 79 340 38689 37343 57 350 65 344 72 339 80 340 37343 36058 60 353 66 343 70 339 78 340 36058 34775 62 351 61 341 65 336 72 338 34775 33468 64 345 59 338 61 334 66 336 33468 32144 61 348 56 338 60 332 59 331 32144 30791 54 353 47 339 58 329 55 328 30791 29403 49 350 42 337 56 331 53 326 29403 27981 46 348 40 334 48 334 51 329 27981 26529 34 344 38 334 41 329 46 336 26529 25054 25 329 36 336 39 326 37 327 25054 23558 22 319 32 338 35 328 36 317 23558 22037 20 314 27*334 30 326 33 315 22037 20485 20 315 19*332 24*322 27 311 20485 18930 19 316 15 338 14*324 22 307 18930 17446 17 315 13 336 10 326 13*308 17446 16099 15 313 11 330 9 320 4*318 16099 14893 12*309 9 312 8 299 3 333 14893 13806 9*302 8 289 8 295 3 319 13806 12819 6 282 8 286 8 288 4 302 12819 11920 5 247 8 280 8 282 6 296 11920 11103 5 233 8 270 9 276 7 292 11103 10363 5 223 8 264 9 272 8 290 10363 9692 5 215 8 260 9 269 9 288 9692 9076 5 212 8 255 9 265 9 286 9076 8518 6 208 8 251 9 263 10 284 8518 8043 6 205 8 248 8 261 9 281 8043 7671 6 202 8 247 8 259 9 278 7671 7412 6 201 7 245 8 259 7 273 7412 7253 5 201 7 244 7 258 5 264 7253 7162 5 199 6 243 6 255 4 264 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography