DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 65.3 - - 65.1 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 237 - - 33 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1860 - - 4563 - - 5444 - - 253 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9740 - - 12077 - - 11010 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10870 - - 13573 - - 14454 - - 9263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2080 - - 2445 - - 2130 - - 3819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 443 - - 250 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 190 - - 191 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 19 - - 17 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 846 - - 574 - - 870 - - -2423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10025 - - 12999 - - 13585 - - 11686 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4583 - - -4155 - - -4421 - - -9166 ODpotential blCL - - - 15453 - - 17728 - - 18875 - - 18429 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 51 - - 43 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 65.3 - - 65.1 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 33.2 - - 30.4 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 67.4 - - 68.5 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 32.3 - - 29.7 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 237 - - 33 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1860 - - 4563 - - 5444 - - 253 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98346 9 238 3 299 10 207 16 241 98346 90978 11 224 9 296 3 193 10 222 90978 85290 8 217 8 248 3 306 3 123 85290 80591 8 188 7 205 3 246 3 081 80591 76552 5 168 6 219 4 203 3 000 76552 72978 4 162 6 235 1 333 2 101 72978 69721 3 145 7 203 6 294 1 015 69721 66716 8 221 9 221 8 263 6 296 66716 63919 12 198 13 219 14 245 8 270 63919 61201 12 215 16 214 20 235 16 240 61201 58368 19 237 21 228 26 229 23 229 58368 55426 29 244 29 236 30 236 29 235 55426 52619 39 238 38 238 37 237 37 237 52619 50105 43 234 43 237 39 237 42 234 50105 47868 42 230 43 233 41 236 43 231 47868 45858 35 229 38 227 42 231 39 229 45858 44046 31 240 31 230 38 227 33 235 44046 42397 31 240 27 234 33 225 29 239 42397 40869 28 236 26 236 28 222 26 239 40869 39438 26 243 26 235 24 227 25 233 39438 38094 26 247 23 236 23 232 23 226 38094 36808 28 248 21 240 23 232 21 217 36808 35521 30 249 23 243 23 233 22 220 35521 34208 30 249 26 242 25 235 25 224 34208 32873 30 251 29 241 27 233 25 221 32873 31504 30 252 31 243 27 225 24 216 31504 30094 29 251 31 245 28 220 25 210 30094 28646 28 249 29 245 27 225 25 210 28646 27164 27 247 27 243 26 233 25 213 27164 25651 26 246 27 238 26 237 25 214 25651 24112 24 245 26 232 27 231 27 213 24112 22541 21 242 25 224 28 225 27 215 22541 20931 20 233 24 220 27 225 24 219 20931 19314 20 228 22 224 22 228 21 222 19314 17769 19 227 19 229 18 231 18 223 17769 16367 16 230 17 231 14 231 17 224 16367 15115 13 236 15 231 13*230 19 225 15115 13988 13 242 14*229 13*223 20 225 13988 12966 14 239 14*223 13 218 19 224 12966 12038 15 230 13 213 12 207 17 220 12038 11196 16*218 12 197 11 187 14 212 11196 10434 15*207 12 186 11 177 12 196 10434 9746 13 196 11 179 11 174 11*171 9746 9115 10 181 11 176 11 173 13*151 9115 8545 8 162 11 175 11 172 15 143 8545 8060 7 158 11 173 10 172 14 140 8060 7681 7 158 11 172 10 172 12 136 7681 7417 7 158 10 172 10 171 9 128 7417 7256 6 158 9 172 9 171 6 117 7256 7163 5 159 8 171 7 171 3 088 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography