DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.2 - - 43.5 - - 39.2 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 82 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2516 - - 3802 - - 980 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10153 - - 11002 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11526 - - 12812 - - 9990 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1812 - - 1649 - - 2254 - - 3449 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 306 - - 122 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 29 - - 23 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 267 - - 291 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 29 - - 36 - - 27 - - 26 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 27 - - -23 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2634 - - 3805 - - 2829 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8892 - - 9008 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2789 - - -453 - - -1129 - - -3331 ODpotential blCL - - - 14315 - - 13265 - - 11119 - - 10493 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 84 - - 92 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.2 - - 43.5 - - 39.2 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 28.9 - - 33.3 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 46.9 - - 43.3 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.0 - - 27.7 - - 32.4 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 82 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2516 - - 3802 - - 980 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 38 - - 69 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96391 11 303 16 264 9 257 18 269 96391 89173 10 309 13 285 10 257 16 320 89173 83642 9 311 10 305 10 288 18 304 83642 79079 13 304 17 328 11 302 16 285 79079 75146 12 306 12 322 15 338 12 301 75146 71641 16 323 15 320 35 305 21 306 71641 68437 26 300 28 299 33 294 27 292 68437 65471 30 303 30 294 28 299 24 296 65471 62698 32 293 31 286 34 292 31 305 62698 59990 33 280 36 280 42 278 42 293 59990 57159 36 276 41 276 44 269 46 281 57159 54218 40 278 43 275 46 271 45 273 54218 51402 46 277 47 277 48 272 43 271 51402 48867 49 271 51 276 48 279 45 278 48867 46612 49 269 54 274 59 281 52 281 46612 44586 51 273 58 275 64 274 59 282 44586 42750 58 278 66 274 68 276 66 277 42750 41075 71 274 71 274 74 278 71 276 41075 39534 83 269 79 273 88 276 83 277 39534 38113 86 266 86 268 92 273 98 275 38113 36798 85 267 89 263 88 269 107 272 36798 35548 89 269 92 261 80 262 110 268 35548 34294 93 269 91 265 81 255 110 266 34294 33012 94 268 86 267 82 251 103 269 33012 31713 93 267 80 266 82 255 94 275 31713 30388 92 267 78 269 78 257 72 268 30388 29031 86 268 76 274 71 254 67 261 29031 27640 80 270 69 275 63 254 64 257 27640 26217 76 269 65 268 57 261 61 261 26217 24769 69 266 65 261 56 268 58 267 24769 23299 66 263 67 260 55 269 52 267 23299 21802 64 261 66 262 55 268 50 266 21802 20273 62 262 63 264 53 269 50 266 20273 18738 59 264 59 265 51 270 49 263 18738 17270 56 265 56 265 52 268 48 261 17270 15936 53 265 54 264 52 264 46 260 15936 14742 50 265 52 263 50 261 44 262 14742 13666 48 265 49*263 48 260 42 264 13666 12692 46 266 45*263 46 260 40 266 12692 11808 43*267 40 264 44 263 39 269 11808 11005 39*268 35 265 41 268 38 272 11005 10280 34 270 30 267 38*273 37 276 10280 9624 29 271 26 268 34*280 35 279 9624 9022 25 272 23 269 30 287 32 282 9022 8478 22 272 21 270 25 293 26 286 8478 8016 20 272 20 270 22 297 19 291 8016 7655 18 271 18 271 18 299 12 301 7655 7404 16 271 16 271 15 301 8 316 7404 7250 14 271 14 271 13 302 4*338 7250 7161 9 270 10 271 8 304 2*007 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography