DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.9 - - 43.4 - - 42.1 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 98 - - 28 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2434 - - 3731 - - 3076 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9946 - - 11036 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11444 - - 12741 - - 12086 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1622 - - 1428 - - 1990 - - 4906 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 317 - - 203 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 290 - - 292 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - -3 - - -8 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2445 - - 3240 - - 3023 - - -1380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9000 - - 9502 - - 9064 - - 8543 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3507 - - -2005 - - -1945 - - -6931 ODpotential blCL - - - 14951 - - 14746 - - 14031 - - 14093 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 68 - - 60 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.9 - - 43.4 - - 42.1 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.8 - - 27.1 - - 27.7 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 47.1 - - 47.7 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.6 - - 25.9 - - 26.5 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 98 - - 28 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2434 - - 3731 - - 3076 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96721 18 258 20 274 27 258 33 289 96721 89543 13 242 18 260 17 271 20 284 89543 84040 12 242 20 260 15 285 13 297 84040 79460 9 259 23 262 17 285 12 301 79460 75500 9 285 19 262 17 288 16 289 75500 71994 14 279 16 287 16 303 12 296 71994 68807 16 274 21 287 20 301 16 322 68807 65858 15 292 23 284 24 290 21 309 65858 63110 21 296 23 288 26 283 23 296 63110 60444 24 291 22 285 25 284 26 292 60444 57654 25 290 24 288 27 289 29 289 57654 54742 27 287 33 285 34 292 33 288 54742 51947 32 290 37 279 39 289 36 288 51947 49420 37 296 38 280 44 286 41 290 49420 47150 39 294 41 279 48 285 45 291 47150 45100 38 294 44 284 50 288 47 292 45100 43245 42 297 46 294 46 292 47 291 43245 41564 45 301 47 302 44 298 44 289 41564 40032 46 309 46 311 44 302 40 290 40032 38620 43 314 46 316 46 309 39 293 38620 37306 41 317 49 321 49 313 40 300 37306 36051 40 319 51 323 49 312 42 307 36051 34794 38 319 50 323 48 311 45 312 34794 33511 38 319 46 322 46 311 47 314 33511 32204 38 319 44 320 45 314 46 314 32204 30865 38 320 41 318 42 316 44 312 30865 29486 39 321 38 317 38 316 41 309 29486 28071 39 322 36 317 35 316 36 306 28071 26623 39 323 35 318 33 315 33 305 26623 25144 37 324 32 316 30 315 31 306 25144 23638 34 321 30 312 27 315 30 308 23638 22100 30 317 29 312 26 317 28 311 22100 20527 26 314 26 313 24 318 23 312 20527 18947 21 316 22 311 20 318 18 314 18947 17440 18 325 17 309 17 315 14 318 17440 16073 16 334 14 312 14 313 12 320 16073 14852 15 337 12 320 12 313 10 322 14852 13755 13 335 10*321 9 312 7 323 13755 12763 11 331 8*315 6*301 4 323 12763 11865 10*325 6 303 4*283 2 265 11865 11050 8*318 5 290 4 269 3 202 11050 10316 5 309 4 281 3 264 4 195 10316 9651 3 290 4 280 3 278 4 191 9651 9042 2 260 4 277 3 298 2 187 9042 8492 2 215 3 273 4 309 0 119 8492 8024 2 197 2 271 4 315 3 022 8024 7660 3 180 2 269 3 320 5 021 7660 7406 3 176 2 267 3 329 6 019 7406 7251 3 175 2 265 3 333 5*019 7251 7161 2 175 1 266 2 336 4*012 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography