DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.2 - - 45.8 - - 48.9 - - 43.2 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 34 - - 47 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 660 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 7163 - - 9670 - - 7163 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1785 - - 2848 - - 1066 - - 2447 - - 1809 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 37 - - 143 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 180 - - 176 - - 148 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1755 - - -2350 - - 250 - - -316 - - -873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8918 - - 9514 - - 9421 - - 7480 - - 8037 sfcLCL ODpotential -10014 - - -9743 - - -5786 - - -8162 - - -8600 ODpotential blCL 17177 - - 16906 - - 15456 - - 15325 - - 15763 blCL maxRH 53 - - 58 - - 66 - - 72 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.2 - - 45.8 - - 48.9 - - 43.2 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 29.4 - - 32.7 - - 35.5 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 49.3 - - 52.2 - - 50.2 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 28.3 - - 31.5 - - 34.4 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 34 - - 47 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 660 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96225 19 301 26 287 34 286 24 307 28 295 96225 89263 11 321 12 275 21 296 18 305 17 301 89263 83875 16 296 10 319 12 302 13 313 11 312 83875 79373 8 314 13 338 5 329 8 316 12 314 79373 75458 8 315 12 322 5 348 8 288 11 322 75458 71969 10 294 12 303 7 004 7 260 13 298 71969 68797 8 293 13 292 12 295 7 307 4 306 68797 65869 2 311 7 274 20 277 18 297 10 310 65869 63157 20 322 10 298 22 261 25 267 23 276 63157 60537 26 305 15 291 12 259 21 255 27 264 60537 57821 37 307 35 300 30 290 27 279 28 267 57821 55036 46 289 42 291 34 280 31 281 29 267 55036 52371 42 289 39 295 32 288 42 285 38 268 52371 49949 47 303 46 301 45 293 46 283 41 275 49949 47770 57 312 57 301 54 293 48 286 41 287 47770 45787 69 307 66 298 63 290 55 288 56 293 45787 43970 69 301 66 295 67 287 62 283 69 287 43970 42295 57 299 54 296 59 288 62 279 65 279 42295 40739 46 314 44 304 44 290 54 280 54 276 40739 39285 55 328 46 318 40 302 48 288 46 281 39285 37926 61 329 54 322 47 309 49 297 46 289 37926 36635 58 329 56 323 50 310 49 299 47 295 36635 35349 36 326 51 324 45 311 42 300 44 298 35349 34037 29 315 40 327 34 313 35 299 35 299 34037 32704 31 307 25 331 24 321 24 296 28 294 32704 31338 30 307 20 309 19 316 12 289 22 283 31338 29929 25 313 21 296 18 302 11 281 14 267 29929 28485 21 318 18 284 18 297 12 281 14 250 28485 27008 18 313 18 274 16 283 15 273 16 250 27008 25503 20 305 18 272 18 268 20 268 23 250 25503 23972 23 304 18 276 21 265 23 265 28 250 23972 22412 27 306 22 282 22 266 22 265 26 251 22412 20817 28 306 25 283 21 269 18 264 21 249 20817 19213 26 302 25 284 18 270 14 258 18 242 19213 17677 24 297 23 285 16 269 13 253 17 236 17677 16279 21 295 21 285 15 269 13 252 17 233 16279 15028 19 293 19 283 15 268 13 252 15 232 15028 13901 17 288 17 278 14 264 13 254 13 230 13901 12881 16 275 15 270 14 260 12 253 10 226 12881 11957 14 259 14 258 12 254 12 250 9 221 11957 11121 13 244 14 248 12 244 11 245 7 215 11121 10367 12 232 13 238 11 232 10 236 7 209 10367 9687 11 222 12 228 10*218 9 225 7 201 9687 9066 10 214 11 217 8*204 7 213 6 190 9066 8507 7 207 8 206 6 175 4 190 5 169 8507 8034 4 187 4 186 6 170 3 152 5 147 8034 7665 2 144 1 112 5 168 3 141 4 133 7665 7409 2 034 1 073 5 166 3 133 2 096 7409 7252 4*021 1*069 5 164 3*114 2*030 7252 7162 4*004 1*066 4 164 2*109 2*009 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography