DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 58.4 - - 62.2 - - 62.5 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 181 - - 184 - - 70 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4724 - - 7116 - - 7976 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 12092 - - 13940 - - 13789 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 13734 - - 16126 - - 16986 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3302 - - 1696 - - 2343 - - 1642 - - 3663 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 415 - - 478 - - 358 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 10 - - 15 - - 18 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 230 - - 228 - - 245 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 11 - - 18 - - 12 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 13 - - 29 - - 13 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1216 - - 4449 - - 5064 - - 4796 - - -918 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8380 - - 9285 - - 11063 - - 12190 - - 8081 sfcLCL ODpotential -6607 - - 1393 - - 2373 - - 2228 - - -5466 ODpotential blCL 13770 - - 12341 - - 13753 - - 14758 - - 12629 blCL maxRH 88 - - 82 - - 91 - - 75 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 350 - - 480 - - 330 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 58.4 - - 62.2 - - 62.5 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.3 - - 42.2 - - 38.3 - - 33.8 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.2 - - 60.9 - - 64.8 - - 65.8 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.1 - - 41.2 - - 37.5 - - 33.3 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 181 - - 184 - - 70 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4724 - - 7116 - - 7976 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 30 - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98230 16 067 14 082 13 118 8 065 8 048 98230 90921 12 070 10 087 8 089 8 072 10 045 90921 85261 10 076 8 094 8 097 8 098 7 050 85261 80547 10 089 4 099 11 097 6 123 4 010 80547 76497 9 093 6 120 8 075 8 088 1 343 76497 72934 6 073 10 102 3 114 8 043 7 069 72934 69706 3 083 10 098 8 139 5 031 11 062 69706 66729 2 113 7 085 9 130 2 085 7 058 66729 63961 1 172 1 164 7 129 2 193 3 052 63961 61274 2 189 6 226 4 192 4 228 1 256 61274 58465 6 252 8 257 5 243 6 240 5 255 58465 55546 12 254 11 249 11 269 5 294 2 228 55546 52754 17 251 17 257 22 262 14 290 5 244 52754 50237 19 254 18 258 23 253 28 266 16 267 50237 47978 27 269 27 268 25 263 30 269 22 276 47978 45921 32 265 31 276 35 264 39 258 31 265 45921 44030 33 273 34 268 37 260 37 250 32 251 44030 42278 36 270 35 260 35 260 34 254 26 246 42278 40639 35 262 36 253 35 260 34 260 27 261 40639 39105 35 254 33 244 33 257 35 264 36 269 39105 37678 36 246 33 240 29 254 35 264 40 261 37678 36333 32 230 36 232 28 247 32 262 37 256 36333 35011 32 233 31 213 29 237 30 258 36 258 35011 33684 31 237 31 202 30 230 29 257 36 259 33684 32352 33 235 33 209 30 226 33 259 38 258 32352 31001 32 233 34 223 30 224 39 256 39 254 31001 29615 25 234 34 231 31 226 41 253 42 248 29615 28197 20 239 31 230 33 231 41 251 43 244 28197 26748 21 238 30 229 34 235 40 248 40 242 26748 25270 21 241 31 229 34 239 39 250 37 244 25270 23770 21 246 31 233 33 241 37 252 34 246 23770 22240 20 252 30 240 31 243 36 251 32 248 22240 20674 20 260 27 243 31 243 37 253 33 250 20674 19098 18 265 23 243 30 243 37 251 34 249 19098 17590 14 267 22 241 28 246 30*248 35 245 17590 16219 11 268 18 239 25*250 22*243 36 240 16219 14990 10 272 14 242 23*250 20 242 36 237 14990 13883 11 278 13*247 20 245 19 243 35 237 13883 12879 13 279 13*250 17 236 18 243 33 239 12879 11965 14 276 14 247 15 224 18 245 31 242 11965 11136 15 270 13 242 14 221 18 246 29 248 11136 10387 14 260 12 233 14 219 18 247 26 256 10387 9707 14 251 10 225 14 217 18 247 23 267 9707 9085 14 244 9 211 14 215 17 248 19 279 9085 8523 12 241 9 207 13 214 17 248 17 297 8523 8045 7 244 8 204 13 213 17 248 16 313 8045 7673 2 258 8 201 12 212 16 248 14 328 7673 7413 3 039 7 200 11 211 15 248 11 338 7413 7254 3*043 7 199 10 211 13 247 9*345 7254 7162 2*028 6 198 8 210 9 247 5*356 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography