DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.9 - - 42.6 - - 48.4 - - 46.3 - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 4 - - 114 - - -5 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 210 - - 1960 - - 1386 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 9860 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 9220 - - 10970 - - 10396 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1596 - - 1621 - - 1699 - - 1723 - - 2397 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 54 - - 268 - - 64 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 20 - - 21 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 028 - - 017 - - 012 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 15 - - 14 - - 19 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -14 - - -28 - - -28 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1374 - - 609 - - 1960 - - 1256 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8537 - - 8612 - - 9011 - - 9140 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential -8899 - - -4775 - - -2301 - - -4040 - - -5887 ODpotential blCL 16062 - - 13995 - - 13271 - - 14436 - - 13050 blCL maxRH 74 - - 100 - - 81 - - 73 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.9 - - 42.6 - - 48.4 - - 46.3 - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.9 - - 30.0 - - 33.9 - - 31.4 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 46.4 - - 51.4 - - 50.7 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 28.8 - - 32.7 - - 30.7 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 4 - - 114 - - -5 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 210 - - 1960 - - 1386 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 98 - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97370 14 050 3 039 7 316 11 025 10 021 97370 90224 15 076 5 074 7 064 11 039 9 076 90224 84682 5 100 6 105 7 090 6 069 11 096 84682 80055 1 310 9 112 3 232 7 343 8 036 80055 76055 9 275 5 032 5 216 9 269 10 300 76055 72518 11 244 5 278 8 276 7 244 10 267 72518 69322 11 278 6 254 10 255 10 250 16 257 69322 66387 15 267 7 267 14 256 13 269 14 269 66387 63654 17 253 13 275 20 272 23 278 20 286 63654 61005 19 270 14 271 17 246 24 262 23 287 61005 58238 19 280 14 280 12 275 23 269 21 280 58238 55349 16 278 24 285 23 284 24 274 21 283 55349 52568 18 289 23 286 27 288 25 283 22 291 52568 50049 23 297 20 292 27 297 36 294 30 304 50049 47790 21 309 19 304 28 306 40 289 39 299 47790 45738 21 326 23 315 29 314 31 294 35 292 45738 43852 27 330 27 321 29 317 27 309 26 296 43852 42108 30 329 26 325 30 319 33 313 24 303 42108 40496 27 332 24 329 29 325 36 316 25 318 40496 39004 26 345 25 335 27 329 33 321 24 340 39004 37622 30 356 26 338 29 332 27 327 17 354 37622 36314 33 352 26 342 32 341 26 335 17 359 36314 35016 29 357 27 347 36 345 32 342 27 356 35016 33705 32 003 23 352 36 345 40 339 35 354 33705 32381 31 352 25 357 34 347 38 337 36 352 32381 31031 33 357 28 355 31 352 33 340 35 354 31031 29643 33 007 31 354 32 354 33 340 35 002 29643 28220 35 009 34 356 33 356 30 343 34 008 28220 26763 37 011 35 359 34 358 27 351 33 011 26763 25276 34 014 34 003 35 003 26 357 31 012 25276 23764 31 011 30 005 32 009 27 000 27 014 23764 22222 30 009 26 009 27 011 25 003 24 018 22222 20645 29 013 26 012 25 010 23 006 23 026 20645 19057 26 017 26 012 25 009 21 009 23 035 19057 17538 23 018 25 011 24 007 21 011 24 043 17538 16156 21 016 22 011 22 007 22 012 24 047 16156 14919 18 016 20 012 21 009 23 012 24 048 14919 13807 16 018 17 015 20 012 24 013 24 048 13807 12802 15 021 16 020 20 016 25 013 24 045 12802 11891 14 026 15 025 21 019 25 013 25 042 11891 11068 14 030 16 030 22*020 26*012 27 037 11068 10326 15 034 17 033 22*019 25*012 28 033 10326 9657 16 036 19*034 22 018 25 012 29 029 9657 9046 16 037 19*033 21 017 24 012 29 025 9046 8494 16 037 17 031 20 017 22 013 27 023 8494 8026 14 035 14 027 19 017 19 014 24 023 8026 7661 11 028 11 024 18 017 17 013 18 019 7661 7407 7 016 8 021 16 017 14 012 13 010 7407 7251 4*356 6 020 14 016 11 011 9*360 7251 7162 2*302 4 018 9 015 6 008 5*346 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography