DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 50.4 - - 50.3 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 536 - - 593 - - 289 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4608 - - 5801 - - 5173 - - 3137 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12403 - - 13398 - - 12629 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13618 - - 14811 - - 14183 - - 12147 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 733 - - 826 - - 1035 - - 1500 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 580 - - 647 - - 491 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 21 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 290 - - 304 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 26 - - 16 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -16 - - -19 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -453 - - -1408 - - -2283 - - -2503 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14071 - - 16220 - - 16467 - - 14651 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9234 - - -10184 - - -10119 - - -10925 ODpotential blCL - - - 22852 - - 24995 - - 24302 - - 23072 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 50 - - 78 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 50.4 - - 50.3 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.4 - - 3.8 - - 2.9 - - 6.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 51.3 - - 52.5 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.2 - - 2.7 - - 1.8 - - 5.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 536 - - 593 - - 289 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4608 - - 5801 - - 5173 - - 3137 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98817 20 106 22 093 20 107 25 102 98817 91323 15 088 15 093 16 106 20 107 91323 85574 8 063 9 125 10 076 18 105 85574 80818 10 133 7 115 5 123 19 091 80818 76723 14 160 8 182 11 110 12 103 76723 73095 13 149 8 151 9 133 15 112 73095 69794 7 156 12 173 8 163 9 132 69794 66750 4 184 13 170 9 183 6 177 66750 63923 7 212 13 198 8 208 10 209 63923 61184 10 178 15 199 12 227 14 217 61184 58319 15 203 20 212 24 241 22 241 58319 55321 27 222 30 225 36 234 30 238 55321 52447 33 228 39 232 37 235 36 231 52447 49862 40 237 42 238 38 245 35 234 49862 47552 43 233 42 233 43 245 38 241 47552 45463 38 231 37 233 40 239 39 241 45463 43550 35 248 36 248 38 250 39 249 43550 41787 49 253 51 256 45 254 44 251 41787 40158 54 244 59 247 48 247 50 249 40158 38658 46 241 53 242 47 251 57 240 38658 37285 53 266 51 258 53 254 56 244 37285 35999 58 262 61 264 67 258 71 258 35999 34726 59 257 61 261 69 257 77 256 34726 33431 61 257 58 268 67 255 66 252 33431 32114 61 255 62 272 64 252 62 249 32114 30762 58 252 61 270 62 250 61 248 30762 29370 55 252 56 269 61 249 59 248 29370 27942 55 252 55 264 60 249 59 251 27942 26480 58 251 56 261 56 249 57 254 26480 24991 61 252 57 259 51 250 55 254 24991 23480 62 253 58 258 49 254 52 252 23480 21943 60 253 58 257 48 258 49 250 21943 20378 57 247 57 255 48 259 45 250 20378 18816 57 243 56 255 45 261 41 257 18816 17330 59 244 53 258 40 264 36 262 17330 15983 56 248 46*267 35 272 30 266 15983 14779 49 255 36*277 30*282 25 275 14779 13697 38*262 26 285 25*291 22 287 13697 12718 26*270 20 290 18 301 20*300 12718 11831 18 277 19 291 16 305 17*311 11831 11027 17 280 19 292 16 306 12 323 11027 10301 16 282 19 293 16 306 11 330 10301 9642 16 284 19 294 16 307 11 332 9642 9038 16 284 19 294 16 307 11 332 9038 8491 16 285 19 294 16 307 11 331 8491 8025 15 285 18 295 15 307 11 330 8025 7661 14 285 17 295 15 307 10 329 7661 7407 13 285 16 295 14 307 9 329 7407 7251 12 285 15 294 12 307 8 329 7251 7162 10 284 11 294 9 307 5 329 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography