DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 55.9 - - 52.0 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 218 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1531 - - 3748 - - 2621 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9592 - - 11413 - - 7146 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10541 - - 12758 - - 11631 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1972 - - 1733 - - 1879 - - 3835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 401 - - 49 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 194 - - 169 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 17 - - 17 - - 24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -639 - - -688 - - -745 - - -1828 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11180 - - 13447 - - 12376 - - 8991 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7175 - - -5896 - - -6949 - - -7555 ODpotential blCL - - - 17716 - - 18654 - - 18580 - - 14718 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 58 - - 54 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 55.9 - - 52.0 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.3 - - 21.9 - - 22.9 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 58.2 - - 56.3 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.3 - - 21.4 - - 22.5 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 218 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1531 - - 3748 - - 2621 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97557 7 260 12 292 5 321 9 304 97557 90334 8 275 13 280 14 322 6 343 90334 84743 4 318 5 240 12 321 7 292 84743 80093 10 308 8 298 9 305 6 308 80093 76077 9 312 7 300 4 293 6 309 76077 72518 12 281 12 281 12 275 12 298 72518 69288 12 268 13 263 12 266 9 275 69288 66313 11 285 10 272 15 259 13 256 66313 63550 22 265 17 263 22 241 19 257 63550 60878 26 251 26 261 23 240 24 243 60878 58092 30 252 28 251 27 249 27 248 58092 55200 37 252 36 247 38 250 35 240 55200 52444 48 251 46 249 47 246 43 237 52444 49971 55 245 55 247 54 242 51 236 49971 47757 56 243 60 243 58 241 55 235 47757 45742 55 245 60 241 58 242 57 236 45742 43886 55 247 58 240 58 243 60 239 43886 42164 53 247 54 239 57 241 63 238 42164 40560 49 248 50 239 53 239 62 237 40560 39060 47 247 49 241 53 240 59 236 39060 37667 45 246 49 243 55 241 56 237 37667 36356 42 247 49 243 52 241 52 238 36356 35061 37 247 44 242 47 240 49 237 35061 33750 32 248 36 240 42 237 46 235 33750 32424 30 248 31 242 37 235 44 233 32424 31065 31 243 30 240 34 231 41 232 31065 29665 31 239 30 235 35 226 38 228 29665 28229 30 239 31 232 36 225 37 227 28229 26761 28 238 30 231 35 223 36 223 26761 25266 25 233 28 230 32 220 30 218 25266 23748 22 223 27 227 28 219 25 214 23748 22203 21 217 27 224 26 218 21 212 22203 20624 20 216 26 220 25 217 19 210 20624 19040 21 217 25 216 23 215 17 209 19040 17527 21 218 23 215 21 214 16 209 17527 16154 20 221 21 218 19 215 14 209 16154 14926 19 226 19 224 16 218 12 212 14926 13822 18 230 18 230 15 220 12 217 13822 12824 18 231 17*234 14 222 13 219 12824 11918 18 226 16*230 13*217 14 215 11918 11097 18*218 13 219 12*209 14 206 11097 10355 17*210 11 201 11 190 14 191 10355 9683 15 204 10 188 11 166 16 175 9683 9067 12 197 10 178 12 161 17 161 9067 8510 7 172 11 176 12 159 18 149 8510 8036 7 161 10 174 12 158 17 139 8036 7667 6 160 10 173 11 157 15 128 7667 7410 6 160 10 172 10 157 11 117 7410 7252 6 159 9 173 9 157 7*103 7252 7162 5 158 7 172 5 157 3*045 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography