DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.6 - - 27.6 - - 31.7 - - 25.7 - - 21.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 1 - - 84 - - -10 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 701 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9711 - - 7161 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1214 - - 2348 - - 893 - - 2126 - - 1761 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 14 - - 168 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 17 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 306 - - 308 - - 316 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 17 - - 18 - - 23 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -12 - - -14 - - -15 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -374 - - -1004 - - 1808 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7536 - - 8166 - - 7904 - - 7160 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential -8284 - - -7442 - - -3164 - - -5805 - - -6712 ODpotential blCL 15446 - - 14604 - - 12875 - - 12966 - - 13873 blCL maxRH 79 - - 88 - - 92 - - 86 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.6 - - 27.6 - - 31.7 - - 25.7 - - 21.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.4 - - 17.4 - - 22.4 - - 21.9 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.6 - - 31.7 - - 34.9 - - 31.8 - - 29.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.2 - - 16.6 - - 21.7 - - 21.8 - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 1 - - 84 - - -10 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 701 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 51 - - 70 - - 44 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96624 42 085 23 078 32 087 31 083 30 093 96624 89507 33 076 21 063 25 071 28 068 28 081 89507 83997 30 063 18 069 19 062 23 036 29 056 83997 79415 24 054 25 067 22 077 14 038 23 045 79415 75462 23 032 29 034 27 050 14 045 19 024 75462 71982 18 023 21 032 24 041 15 039 11 014 71982 68825 13 038 18 030 19 029 17 018 13 008 68825 65896 20 025 19 022 14 015 17 358 10 002 65896 63165 22 016 24 016 16 004 23 349 19 352 63165 60525 24 017 28 007 22 355 27 342 24 330 60525 57785 27 020 29 004 24 359 25 350 23 340 57785 54925 33 358 33 360 33 351 29 343 25 336 54925 52165 35 350 36 350 41 355 39 344 40 344 52165 49662 35 358 42 359 54 353 52 348 51 351 49662 47406 44 004 59 356 61 350 58 350 63 344 47406 45349 64 001 68 351 69 351 72 345 72 333 45349 43455 70 353 74 349 71 346 76 339 71 334 43455 41699 66 351 74 349 68 345 71 342 68 341 41699 40060 67 357 72 352 68 351 70 349 71 345 40060 38525 81 004 77 357 76 355 77 352 77 344 38525 37098 95 005 86 357 87 353 85 347 78 340 37098 35753 101 358 91 350 87 344 85 339 76 336 35753 34431 101 355 86 347 79 337 75 335 77 336 34431 33104 102 357 83 349 70 337 60 328 78 339 33104 31777 100 357 86 350 69 343 54 329 72 338 31777 30433 93 357 85 349 71 347 55 328 66 333 30433 29063 89 355 81 349 70 346 55 329 65 331 29063 27665 86 355 77 349 69 344 55 334 65 331 27665 26238 82 355 74 348 67 343 56 340 64 330 26238 24783 76 356 71 347 63 343 58 345 61 328 24783 23304 65 358 67 346 59 343 56 347 57 330 23304 21797 54 355 60 346 53 343 52 346 55 333 21797 20256 47 349 50 344 47 341 49 344 52 336 20256 18707 41 342 41 337 41 337 46 342 48 338 18707 17225 36 337 37 329 37 331 43 339 45 338 17225 15879 33 333 35 326 34 328 41 336 44 336 15879 14676 30 332 32 325 32 326 39 333 44 334 14676 13596 27 331 28 324 30 325 37 330 44 331 13596 12621 25 331 25 323 28 324 35 327 44 329 12621 11738 23 331 23 320 27 323 34 325 44 327 11738 10940 22 330 22 317 26 321 32 323 43 324 10940 10221 22 329 21 313 25*317 31 322 42 322 10221 9573 22 327 21 309 24*313 29 321 40 319 9573 8980 23 325 21 307 21 311 27 319 36 316 8980 8447 23 324 19 305 19 308 24 317 29 315 8447 7995 21 325 16 306 15 304 19 317 21 315 7995 7642 17 328 11 306 14 302 13 315 13 316 7642 7397 13 332 7 305 12 301 9 312 7 315 7397 7247 8*338 5*305 10 301 5*306 2*302 7247 7160 4*351 2*309 7 299 1*285 2*155 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography