DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 51.9 - - - - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 67 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1139 - - 1912 - - - - - 471 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 9440 - - - - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10149 - - 10922 - - - - - 9481 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2765 - - 3501 - - - - - 2126 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 229 - - - - - 59 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - - - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 165 - - - - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 18 - - - - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 31 - - - - - 29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2987 - - 3760 - - - - - 2320 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - - - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 637 - - 1488 - - - - - 1617 ODpotential blCL - - - 9512 - - 9434 - - - - - 7864 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 92 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 650 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 51.9 - - - - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 47.1 - - - - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 55.2 - - - - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 45.9 - - - - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 67 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1139 - - 1912 - - - - - 471 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 68 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97382 6 188 2 173 3 291 97382 90194 9 131 2 240 5 047 90194 84625 14 130 3 209 5 094 84625 79992 9 107 4 223 5 103 79992 76018 2 159 6 193 2 323 76018 72502 5 283 3 171 4 306 72502 69302 9 236 5 215 4 294 69302 66341 7 250 6 198 3 253 66341 63578 13 245 7 193 10 229 63578 60890 9 239 12 231 16 229 60890 58067 19 233 19 251 32 249 58067 55138 30 217 34 222 40 215 55138 52357 35 231 39 226 29 211 52357 49845 54 237 53 237 39 233 49845 47581 70 228 66 230 54 228 47581 45523 72 220 67 222 63 220 45523 43636 71 216 64 217 67 211 43636 41904 72 215 69 215 73 204 41904 40305 73 217 78 214 80 201 40305 38820 75 218 83 213 84 199 38820 37441 77 216 85 211 88 198 37441 36134 75 212 85 208 90 196 36134 34836 71 209 84 205 89 195 34836 33520 66 207 81 204 86 194 33520 32190 63 209 79 205 83 193 32190 30833 61 209 77 207 81 193 30833 29440 60 209 75 209 79 194 29440 28017 57 207 70 212 76 194 28017 26563 54 205 62 214 62 192 26563 25081 50 203 54 213 46 182 25081 23579 46 203 45 210 43 180 23579 22051 43 203 45 208 40 178 22051 20488 40 204 41 204 36 178 20488 18919 38 203 40 203 29 184 18919 17422 35 200 39 203 25 190 17422 16063 34 196 36 202 27 194 16063 14849 33 193 34 199 27 200 14849 13757 31 193 33 196 28 205 13757 12770 29 194 31 193 26 209 12770 11873 26 196 30 190 22 208 11873 11061 22 197 28*187 18 200 11061 10326 19*195 24*183 17 189 10326 9661 16*188 20 174 16*181 9661 9051 14 173 17 163 16*176 9051 8500 13 166 17 161 16 171 8500 8031 11 157 15 156 15 167 8031 7664 10 152 14 153 14 164 7664 7409 9 151 13 152 13 162 7409 7252 8 150 12 151 11 161 7252 7162 6 150 8 150 7 159 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography