DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 72.2 - - 71.9 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 409 - - 180 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4778 - - 8084 - - 8536 - - 4343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12413 - - 15112 - - 15011 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13788 - - 17094 - - 17546 - - 13353 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1813 - - 1354 - - 1356 - - 2673 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 518 - - 641 - - 498 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 16 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 302 - - 264 - - 269 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 14 - - 11 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 27 - - 45 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4263 - - -2173 - - -1409 - - -2083 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18051 - - 19268 - - 18956 - - 15437 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12441 - - -8343 - - -7182 - - -9654 ODpotential blCL - - - 26229 - - 25437 - - 24728 - - 23007 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 36 - - 36 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 72.2 - - 71.9 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.7 - - 11.8 - - 13.1 - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 73.5 - - 74.3 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.6 - - 10.8 - - 12.1 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 409 - - 180 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4778 - - 8084 - - 8536 - - 4343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99622 35 107 28 110 26 087 31 088 99622 92124 28 094 26 101 25 100 27 090 92124 86341 23 102 21 104 26 111 19 095 86341 81526 19 109 22 110 14 112 21 089 81526 77360 14 090 16 118 11 097 11 077 77360 73687 10 113 12 103 14 092 8 100 73687 70367 12 124 5 051 13 065 12 097 70367 67306 16 090 11 149 6 020 15 065 67306 64470 13 018 15 094 6 054 9 028 64470 61729 15 298 11 020 11 001 10 030 61729 58883 15 285 22 280 25 290 24 300 58883 55958 28 263 29 270 28 291 26 296 55958 53177 46 279 44 277 44 292 41 301 53177 50676 61 281 58 283 57 289 55 291 50676 48438 66 284 65 287 64 288 67 287 48438 46414 74 289 75 291 75 292 76 293 46414 44559 85 289 85 291 87 293 86 297 44559 42841 90 289 88 290 92 290 90 293 42841 41237 91 287 87 290 92 288 90 290 41237 39738 88 286 85 289 90 287 86 289 39738 38340 85 284 83 289 86 287 82 287 38340 37012 83 283 80 288 83 286 80 287 37012 35689 78 283 75 289 80 287 77 289 35689 34345 72 284 69 289 72 288 71 293 34345 32985 68 285 65 289 65 289 63 293 32985 31597 66 284 63 288 60 290 56 292 31597 30171 64 284 61 285 58 291 52 292 30171 28708 61 284 59 284 57 290 50 293 28708 27211 60 286 56 283 55 288 48 293 27211 25685 57 286 53 284 53 287 46 292 25685 24136 55 284 51 284 50 288 45 291 24136 22556 50 285 47 285 46 288 42 288 22556 20941 40 288 38 290 41 292 38 288 20941 19321 30 292 29 293 32 298 32 288 19321 17777 25 296 22*295 22*302 25 290 17777 16377 24 297 15*294 11*303 18 293 16377 15126 23 297 9 282 7 297 10 301 15126 13999 22*299 8 279 7 294 4*325 13999 12978 17*302 8 274 7 282 2*349 12978 12051 12 304 7 264 7 272 3 349 12051 11208 8 303 7 257 7 262 4 341 11208 10447 7 302 7 251 8 255 7 334 10447 9757 6 301 7 246 8 251 9 330 9757 9124 6 301 7 239 8 246 10 326 9124 8552 5 302 7 234 8 243 11 322 8552 8065 5 299 7 231 8 241 11 318 8065 7684 4 299 7 228 8 239 10 313 7684 7419 4 297 6 226 8 238 7 305 7419 7257 4 297 6 226 7 237 5 296 7257 7163 3 296 5 224 6 236 3 291 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography