DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.2 - - 37.2 - - 40.8 - - 38.8 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - -10 - - -2 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7163 - - 7163 - - 7163 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 261 - - 1115 - - 1692 - - 1437 - - 921 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 348 - - 305 - - 330 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -12 - - -4 - - -10 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4287 - - -4893 - - -3646 - - -4063 - - -4839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11450 - - 12057 - - 10809 - - 11227 - - 12002 sfcLCL ODpotential -15659 - - -14717 - - -13361 - - -13442 - - -15025 ODpotential blCL 22821 - - 21880 - - 20524 - - 20605 - - 22187 blCL maxRH 72 - - 51 - - 44 - - 41 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.2 - - 37.2 - - 40.8 - - 38.8 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.7 - - 10.7 - - 19.4 - - 15.7 - - 7.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 46.3 - - 48.3 - - 48.5 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.6 - - 9.7 - - 18.3 - - 14.5 - - 8.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - -10 - - -2 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96455 31 087 10 052 25 045 32 051 32 073 96455 89594 24 085 16 091 16 062 22 061 25 072 89594 84201 15 082 23 092 13 116 13 081 24 065 84201 79658 10 069 22 093 13 109 10 087 20 058 79658 75701 15 061 20 075 14 099 12 093 14 054 75701 72168 19 067 15 060 14 077 14 067 13 062 72168 68951 23 076 11 057 12 066 12 052 12 034 68951 65988 20 048 9 057 7 044 7 009 9 018 65988 63247 11 018 14 018 10 041 9 352 13 359 63247 60620 7 349 16 002 15 012 17 334 14 338 60620 57905 20 013 18 014 13 007 14 321 18 340 57905 55107 35 003 26 000 26 356 25 345 37 336 55107 52453 33 002 30 350 33 336 32 341 34 318 52453 50059 34 005 29 357 31 347 27 343 28 312 50059 47892 39 359 32 358 25 347 22 341 26 317 47892 45905 42 358 30 354 24 333 23 330 27 317 45905 44067 43 359 29 357 21 322 28 309 29 312 44067 42365 39 360 33 357 20 321 31 292 32 289 42365 40782 30 360 32 351 23 306 35 294 37 286 40782 39309 22 345 26 334 33 305 50 306 44 302 39309 37949 22 314 31 306 41 311 61 304 60 307 37949 36663 27 314 38 305 45 311 61 302 67 303 36663 35375 33 324 43 313 49 312 60 301 67 300 35375 34060 33 325 48 323 52 315 58 302 67 301 34060 32726 32 321 49 327 49 315 58 302 65 304 32726 31361 33 321 46 327 44 316 55 304 62 307 31361 29960 36 325 43 326 41 316 47 303 58 308 29960 28524 38 335 40 326 40 320 42 299 54 306 28524 27053 42 342 39 331 38 327 42 309 51 303 27053 25549 42 346 35 340 34 334 40 319 49 305 25549 24015 40 350 31 348 28 338 38 324 45 309 24015 22448 35 352 26 349 25 334 34 324 39 312 22448 20843 31 348 23 338 25 326 30 324 36 310 20843 19226 30 345 23 330 27 322 28 326 34 311 19226 17678 27 349 23 334 27 322 27 330 31 315 17678 16271 24 355 22 340 25 326 26 333 28 318 16271 15015 21 357 20 344 22 330 23 333 24 319 15015 13887 19 357 17 345 19 333 20 331 21 318 13887 12868 18 356 15 344 16 334 17 330 19 317 12868 11946 17 355 14 343 14 334 15 330 18 316 11946 11112 17 355 12 342 13 333 13 330 17 316 11112 10360 16 356 10 342 11 330 12 332 16 317 10360 9681 16 357 9 345 10 327 10 333 16 319 9681 9062 15 359 8 347 9 325 9 334 16 321 9062 8503 14 002 7 351 8 324 9 337 15 324 8503 8030 13 004 7 355 6 321 8 337 14 326 8030 7662 12 005 6 357 5 317 7 336 11 329 7662 7407 10 004 5 354 4 306 5 333 8 332 7407 7251 7*002 3*345 2*288 3*328 5*329 7251 7161 4*003 2*342 1*269 2*328 2*326 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography