DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.7 - - 27.6 - - 26.8 - - 23.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1269 - - 1169 - - 876 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10279 - - 10179 - - 9886 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2000 - - 2096 - - 2564 - - 3882 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 110 - - 35 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 21 - - 22 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 255 - - 257 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 27 - - 23 - - 28 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 14 - - 17 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3119 - - 3019 - - 2726 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1765 - - 1690 - - 1272 - - -1452 ODpotential blCL - - - 8514 - - 8489 - - 8614 - - 8613 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.7 - - 27.6 - - 26.8 - - 23.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.2 - - 25.2 - - 25.1 - - 22.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.6 - - 31.3 - - 31.1 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 24.7 - - 25.0 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1269 - - 1169 - - 876 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96186 24 270 34 273 29 299 30 279 96186 89146 19 285 19 298 25 308 17 286 89146 83650 18 280 17 294 18 306 16 286 83650 79067 19 260 23 282 22 299 22 283 79067 75135 21 261 25 275 19 296 16 277 75135 71628 23 274 26 273 22 293 19 269 71628 68404 27 280 26 277 25 282 22 278 68404 65409 25 276 28 277 25 274 21 286 65409 62618 26 280 27 277 32 272 29 285 62618 59916 30 272 26 276 33 272 34 277 59916 57097 28 273 31 288 29 286 33 273 57097 54163 35 284 35 283 31 287 31 278 54163 51361 35 283 33 270 36 287 36 286 51361 48847 33 283 34 284 43 284 40 284 48847 46594 36 296 40 290 43 285 40 286 46594 44557 40 296 42 296 48 295 48 287 44557 42716 41 298 49 293 57 289 53 279 42716 41040 45 291 49 285 54 281 51 287 41040 39498 35 295 43 302 48 291 59 298 39498 38076 40 328 53 317 54 300 60 295 38076 36757 56 332 56 323 54 303 54 284 36757 35503 54 328 53 322 56 310 47 276 35503 34249 42 331 47 318 59 312 46 274 34249 32966 46 325 40 312 54 305 46 275 32966 31660 48 320 34 311 45 293 47 277 31660 30321 39 317 40 308 49 284 51 279 30321 28944 27 309 46 306 56 282 56 280 28944 27532 34 304 48 302 56 283 58 281 27532 26088 38 298 46 294 54 283 58 286 26088 24617 33 293 46 285 53 281 60 293 24617 23128 33 288 48 280 56 279 63 296 23128 21617 39 280 51 276 58 278 63 295 21617 20080 44 278 53 273 60 279 60 292 20080 18541 44 277 54 272 61 279 56 288 18541 17077 44 273 55 272 61 277 54 285 17077 15752 46 269 55 273 60 274 54 282 15752 14571 48 268 55 272 57 273 52 281 14571 13512 48 268 53 271 51 273 49 280 13512 12557 46 269 47 269 45 273 46 279 12557 11694 42 270 41 267 41 272 43 278 11694 10911 37*270 36 266 38 271 40 277 10911 10205 34*269 33*265 35*268 39 276 10205 9565 31 267 29*263 32*266 37 274 9565 8978 27 264 26 260 29 262 34 273 8978 8447 24 260 22 256 25 258 30 270 8447 7996 20 257 19 252 21 253 24 267 7996 7643 17 253 16 248 17 248 18 262 7643 7397 14 250 14 246 13 243 13 255 7397 7247 11 247 12 243 11 240 8*246 7247 7160 7 244 8 240 6 234 3*217 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography