DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 76.4 - - 75.4 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 216 - - 103 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10413 - - 12132 - - 10510 - - 5076 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16623 - - 18007 - - 16108 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 19423 - - 21142 - - 19520 - - 14086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1333 - - 1271 - - 1197 - - 2879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 565 - - 596 - - 448 - - 50 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 275 - - 284 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 25 - - 24 - - 15 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 22 - - 17 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4688 - - 5202 - - 4045 - - 1374 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14735 - - 15941 - - 15476 - - 12712 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2350 - - 2691 - - 1822 - - -4070 ODpotential blCL - - - 17073 - - 18451 - - 17698 - - 18156 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 99 - - 78 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 110 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 76.4 - - 75.4 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 31.2 - - 32.2 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.1 - - 78.8 - - 78.4 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 30.2 - - 31.3 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 216 - - 103 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10413 - - 12132 - - 10510 - - 5076 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 95 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99451 21 108 13 097 21 090 20 096 99451 91948 16 094 14 096 14 091 16 073 91948 86168 9 084 14 101 11 081 12 091 86168 81369 8 113 8 096 5 066 14 077 81369 77228 12 101 8 083 5 077 11 062 77228 73574 13 066 6 086 4 037 7 046 73574 70265 6 033 8 051 6 021 9 042 70265 67221 4 353 8 331 11 005 13 007 67221 64414 10 345 7 298 10 342 12 351 64414 61704 12 302 12 295 18 321 16 333 61704 58890 20 281 22 297 23 299 28 306 58890 55981 24 308 26 299 26 296 27 301 55981 53207 37 293 30 293 31 291 31 291 53207 50722 39 280 34 293 33 298 31 297 50722 48507 47 275 42 300 46 294 46 293 48507 46514 59 277 59 286 58 287 56 289 46514 44703 73 279 71 283 67 288 66 287 44703 43030 78 280 81 287 73 293 68 285 43030 41470 89 281 94 288 78 293 69 289 41470 40003 97 278 97 285 82 293 72 289 40003 38626 96 276 94 285 83 291 74 290 38626 37309 94 278 91 287 80 291 73 291 37309 35993 87 279 88 286 75 291 70 292 35993 34648 78 274 87 288 72 290 68 291 34648 33280 81 272 79 289 70 290 65 291 33280 31876 81 274 69 284 66 290 58 291 31876 30431 70 279 66 280 59 288 53 288 30431 28949 61 274 65 280 52 288 47 286 28949 27434 59 269 62 278 50 285 41 284 27434 25890 57 271 57 279 50 285 40 285 25890 24322 51 274 49 283 46 289 38 290 24322 22725 45 275 39*284 39 291 34 290 22725 21095 37*276 31*282 30*284 30 283 21095 19462 29*279 22 279 23*275 28 277 19462 17904 22 281 20 277 15 274 25 275 17904 16490 19 279 16 274 14 276 20 275 16490 15224 16 277 15 274 13 278 13*273 15224 14085 14 279 15 274 14 280 10*275 14085 13051 12 282 15 273 14 284 9 285 13051 12111 11 286 14 273 14 287 10 298 12111 11258 10 287 14 273 14 289 11 308 11258 10487 9 288 14 273 14 291 12 314 10487 9788 8 288 13 273 14 292 14 318 9788 9148 8 287 13 272 14 293 14 321 9148 8569 7 285 12 272 14 294 15 323 8569 8075 7 285 12 272 13 294 14 324 8075 7690 6 283 11 271 13 295 13 326 7690 7422 6 282 11 271 12 295 10 327 7422 7258 5 281 10 271 11 295 8 327 7258 7163 4 281 8 269 9 295 4 331 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography