DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 53.0 - - 57.3 - - 54.2 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 125 - - 200 - - -6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4187 - - 6197 - - 4785 - - 121 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11479 - - 13244 - - 7146 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 13197 - - 15207 - - 13795 - - 9131 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2171 - - 1885 - - 1499 - - 1857 - - 4357 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 350 - - 461 - - 64 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 156 - - 158 - - 147 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 10 - - 17 - - 17 - - 21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -349 - - 4282 - - 4799 - - 3250 - - 1969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7512 - - 8915 - - 10408 - - 10546 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential -5348 - - -55 - - 1014 - - 112 - - -1421 ODpotential blCL 12511 - - 13252 - - 14193 - - 13683 - - 10552 blCL maxRH 84 - - 79 - - 72 - - 70 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 60 - - 120 - - 0 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 53.0 - - 57.3 - - 54.2 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 38.7 - - 36.5 - - 32.9 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.1 - - 55.8 - - 59.6 - - 58.3 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.9 - - 37.9 - - 36.1 - - 32.7 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 125 - - 200 - - -6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4187 - - 6197 - - 4785 - - 121 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97471 6 040 6 262 15 295 8 347 3 347 97471 90261 6 348 4 301 10 288 14 359 5 350 90261 84685 5 002 2 254 2 335 8 342 2 354 84685 80061 7 004 2 258 3 153 6 299 5 329 80061 76081 6 331 7 288 5 232 8 288 7 300 76081 72554 7 326 6 269 7 216 13 249 9 290 72554 69340 12 292 10 264 6 241 10 233 10 263 69340 66373 13 247 10 240 11 217 10 241 16 232 66373 63623 6 260 12 257 11 256 11 285 10 242 63623 60954 19 242 24 232 21 237 16 256 13 279 60954 58156 25 231 23 234 20 245 26 232 23 247 58156 55261 28 230 28 232 26 234 33 224 36 229 55261 52524 36 234 38 230 38 232 37 225 42 226 52524 50059 49 235 46 227 51 240 42 238 41 229 50059 47833 61 236 56 241 64 239 53 240 48 236 47833 45802 73 237 77 238 73 236 68 236 63 232 45802 43940 82 235 85 236 81 235 78 232 76 228 43940 42220 86 234 85 237 85 235 83 231 82 226 42220 40622 82 232 81 236 83 237 85 232 82 224 40622 39134 72 230 73 234 76 237 82 235 75 225 39134 37751 64 230 61 235 66 237 72 236 67 226 37751 36440 58 230 55 237 58 241 58 236 58 226 36440 35137 55 232 51 231 57 241 48 235 44 222 35137 33817 51 225 46 222 53 236 44 231 36 214 33817 32483 47 220 49 221 45 225 41 224 34 208 32483 31120 45 221 49 219 43 214 39 218 32 206 31120 29715 42 225 44 220 44 216 38 215 30 205 29715 28271 36 228 43 224 39 219 37 216 28 203 28271 26798 31 227 39 226 33 216 29 218 24 204 26798 25300 27 230 29 229 29 215 22 208 22 206 25300 23783 21 245 21 223 21 215 19 198 20 202 23783 22239 18 256 17 221 18 213 18 185 20 194 22239 20661 16 257 15 227 14 210 16 180 20 192 20661 19075 14 257 12 237 8 209 14 183 19 196 19075 17558 11 255 8 246 5 204 12 184 16 201 17558 16182 7 249 5 241 4*198 9 178 13 196 16182 14954 4 241 3 195 3*156 8 172 11 189 14954 13849 2 238 4*157 5 146 7*162 10 186 13849 12849 3 240 6*159 6 153 8*152 11 187 12849 11941 3 232 7 166 7 155 9 146 12 184 11941 11117 4 222 8 168 7 158 11 144 13 178 11117 10372 4 210 8 165 8 159 11 145 14 168 10372 9697 4 197 8 155 9 161 11 146 14*158 9697 9078 3 172 7 144 9 161 12 146 15*148 9078 8518 4 133 7 142 9 161 12 147 15 139 8518 8042 6 119 6 144 9 162 11 148 14 132 8042 7670 6 105 6 146 9 162 11 149 12 123 7670 7412 6 081 5 149 9 163 10 149 9 114 7412 7253 5*049 5 149 8 162 8 150 6 101 7253 7162 3*019 4 151 7 162 6 150 3 069 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography