DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 61.9 - - 64.2 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 93 - - 78 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6589 - - 5388 - - 6237 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13629 - - 12220 - - 12657 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15599 - - 14398 - - 15247 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2795 - - 2483 - - 2808 - - 7650 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 355 - - 346 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 192 - - 246 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 13 - - 17 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 13 - - 6 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 6172 - - 5358 - - 5606 - - -700 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9428 - - 9041 - - 9641 - - 7864 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1818 - - 1786 - - 1240 - - -4951 ODpotential blCL - - - 13781 - - 12612 - - 14007 - - 12115 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 100 - - 73 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 1140 - - 820 - - 910 - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 61.9 - - 64.2 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 46.8 - - 46.5 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 64.8 - - 67.3 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 45.8 - - 45.6 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 93 - - 78 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6589 - - 5388 - - 6237 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 99 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99621 31 109 21 103 16 088 25 088 99621 92138 17 120 13 096 12 107 17 078 92138 86346 15 125 8 099 11 123 12 084 86346 81526 13 110 7 150 12 105 9 094 81526 77381 10 120 11 140 6 129 6 092 77381 73717 2 122 10 118 10 139 2 118 73717 70393 3 170 7 127 6 148 4 050 70393 67332 1 174 6 138 5 197 5 018 67332 64501 5 210 7 213 7 249 8 288 64501 61773 12 250 9 218 8 231 13 226 61773 58942 21 244 21 247 16 259 18 238 58942 56004 20 225 25 220 22 243 23 231 56004 53184 21 233 16 238 21 232 21 224 53184 50628 32 241 30 255 26 252 21 250 50628 48334 38 237 46 245 39 256 32 255 48334 46262 41 230 52 234 47 247 42 249 46262 44384 43 233 47 236 46 242 48 246 44384 42676 42 235 45 245 42 246 43 247 42676 41108 38 244 47 251 43 254 39 254 41108 39650 38 249 48 253 45 259 39 258 39650 38287 40 252 49 256 46 260 39 260 38287 36986 39 252 50 259 46 260 39 260 36986 35683 33 247 50 259 45 259 38 260 35683 34353 30 245 47 257 43 259 37 259 34353 33002 30 244 39 255 40 258 37 257 33002 31618 30 244 31 249 37 256 35 257 31618 30193 31 243 26 239 33 254 34 258 30193 28734 31 242 27 233 31 251 31 261 28734 27242 22 237 25 229 29 246 29 262 27242 25721 20 228 21 229 29 244 28 260 25721 24176 14 224 21 237 29 248 30 258 24176 22601 11 239 23 248 27 253 30 257 22601 20992 13 241 23 244 23 255 28 257 20992 19379 13 225 19 235 22 257 27 256 19379 17837 10 213 15 225 21 260 27 251 17837 16434 7*201 16 222 19*261 24 248 16434 15176 4*180 16*220 17*259 20 245 15176 14042 3 175 15*216 17 258 16 242 14042 13013 3 196 14 213 15 254 14 239 13013 12079 5 209 12 202 13 248 13 234 12079 11230 6 209 10 188 10 242 12 230 11230 10462 6 203 8 177 8 236 10 226 10462 9767 5 196 8 172 6 225 7 221 9767 9130 5 189 7 169 5 216 3 207 9130 8555 5 185 7 168 4 210 1 082 8555 8066 5 180 6 166 3 200 6 063 8066 7684 5 176 6 166 3 194 10 058 7684 7419 5 175 5 165 2 191 11 052 7419 7256 5 175 5 165 2 186 9*045 7256 7163 4 174 4 165 2 186 5*038 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography