DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.7 - - 47.4 - - 50.4 - - 45.5 - - 36.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 62 - - 79 - - -5 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1604 - - 3467 - - 1316 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 10758 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 10614 - - 12477 - - 10326 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1737 - - 1951 - - 1544 - - 1243 - - 2043 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 213 - - 296 - - 64 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 16 - - 23 - - 23 BL Wind Direction 331 - - 311 - - 287 - - 301 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 7 - - 18 - - 27 - - 29 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 11 - - 21 - - 17 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2403 - - 1365 - - 2312 - - 1480 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9565 - - 9249 - - 10166 - - 8846 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -11133 - - -4545 - - -2758 - - -5450 - - -6465 ODpotential blCL 18295 - - 15159 - - 15235 - - 15776 - - 13627 blCL maxRH 100 - - 63 - - 77 - - 63 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.7 - - 47.4 - - 50.4 - - 45.5 - - 36.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.2 - - 31.8 - - 30.7 - - 31.6 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 50.6 - - 53.6 - - 50.2 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.0 - - 30.6 - - 29.5 - - 30.6 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 62 - - 79 - - -5 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1604 - - 3467 - - 1316 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96647 25 289 28 293 21 288 26 301 24 291 96647 89638 11 300 14 290 18 291 20 309 17 288 89638 84162 11 305 9 279 15 277 17 297 18 296 84162 79572 11 298 9 288 11 282 15 284 18 298 79572 75597 14 299 10 282 13 279 14 288 15 282 75597 72072 15 284 12 262 18 266 12 295 11 274 72072 68861 17 269 16 268 18 271 12 280 9 283 68861 65888 17 263 20 257 17 264 15 274 12 290 65888 63117 16 274 18 258 16 274 23 271 21 297 63117 60448 19 268 21 272 24 272 28 277 27 288 60448 57680 16 271 18 258 23 271 26 287 12 273 57680 54804 16 322 22 307 26 297 32 315 38 319 54804 52070 24 333 26 305 26 306 48 309 59 308 52070 49635 23 346 30 323 36 311 51 305 61 306 49635 47460 40 346 39 328 39 311 52 308 62 305 47460 45475 45 337 41 328 42 314 57 310 60 310 45475 43642 37 339 43 329 48 315 60 309 65 319 43642 41945 43 352 47 329 53 315 63 313 76 321 41945 40370 56 349 53 330 60 318 67 317 83 323 40370 38906 65 346 63 331 68 320 74 320 86 322 38906 37541 69 345 73 329 73 322 81 321 84 318 37541 36242 71 345 76 329 79 326 85 320 82 316 36242 34947 74 345 74 333 82 327 85 316 82 318 34947 33629 75 345 73 334 81 327 82 313 83 323 33629 32294 71 344 71 332 81 327 79 316 86 328 32294 30929 63 344 66 330 80 327 81 321 89 332 30929 29528 50 345 61 328 76 325 83 326 91 332 29528 28094 40 342 57 327 72 320 85 330 90 331 28094 26630 42 337 54 327 68 315 86 332 88 328 26630 25138 47 339 52 329 63 312 83 332 88 327 25138 23622 48 340 49 331 58 311 75 331 91 330 23622 22079 46 338 43 330 52 312 64 324 87 333 22079 20505 41 333 39 327 46 315 58 315 72 333 20505 18928 35 328 36 323 41 316 55 310 58 326 18928 17426 25 321 32 314 37 313 49 308 51 318 17426 16063 21 316 27 303 34 309 44 307 49 314 16063 14845 19 315 23 297 32 304 40 306 47 313 14845 13749 17 318 18 296 30 298 37 306 45 312 13749 12758 16 321 15 297 28*294 36 305 43 311 12758 11858 15 325 12 299 25*291 35 304 42 310 11858 11043 15 327 11*304 21 288 34*303 41 309 11043 10308 15 329 11*312 18 287 33*301 41 309 10308 9643 15 331 10 318 15 286 30 301 41 310 9643 9035 15 332 9 318 14 286 26 301 41 312 9035 8486 14 333 8 312 14 285 22 301 39 313 8486 8021 11 334 7 302 13 284 20 301 34 314 8021 7658 8 334 6 296 12 284 17 300 28 315 7658 7406 5 333 5 293 11 282 14 300 20 318 7406 7251 2*324 5 290 10 282 11 299 14*321 7251 7161 1*246 4 288 7 280 6 296 6*334 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography