DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.3 - - 40.3 - - 42.7 - - 39.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 51 - - 57 - - -12 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1106 - - 2425 - - 1996 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 9632 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 10116 - - 11435 - - 11006 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2027 - - 2449 - - 2767 - - 3581 - - 4362 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 172 - - 232 - - 50 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 15 - - 17 - - 24 - - 20 BL Wind Direction 127 - - 172 - - 182 - - 168 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear 15 - - 19 - - 21 - - 27 - - 25 Wind Shear Max.Converg 22 - - 29 - - 25 - - 42 - - 46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -370 - - 1795 - - 2879 - - 3845 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7532 - - 8321 - - 8556 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -6063 - - -2578 - - -1227 - - 467 - - -2570 ODpotential blCL 13225 - - 12694 - - 12662 - - 10539 - - 9732 blCL maxRH 82 - - 84 - - 75 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 31.3 - - 40.3 - - 42.7 - - 39.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.4 - - 28.7 - - 29.9 - - 34.8 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.0 - - 43.7 - - 46.1 - - 44.7 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.6 - - 27.6 - - 28.7 - - 34.1 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 51 - - 57 - - -12 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1106 - - 2425 - - 1996 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 38 - - 1 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95962 6 315 11 314 7 346 8 060 10 275 95962 88969 6 315 3 038 5 322 7 354 5 006 88969 83554 10 348 7 029 6 272 11 325 12 357 83554 79037 11 354 8 008 5 268 11 318 12 005 79037 75093 5 344 9 326 7 309 12 297 13 341 75093 71574 5 284 9 315 5 308 6 318 9 320 71574 68379 8 276 10 303 10 319 10 307 12 326 68379 65427 11 312 5 318 12 292 9 292 12 304 65427 62675 18 280 9 261 14 273 16 294 12 318 62675 59996 8 234 14 234 15 262 20 253 14 278 59996 57186 12 282 17 244 18 232 18 238 17 231 57186 54261 35 256 25 251 23 250 22 240 15 244 54261 51462 47 240 32 235 35 237 33 227 21 244 51462 48947 49 232 36 222 43 220 32 213 25 233 48947 46694 43 211 44 217 42 212 35 219 31 229 46694 44650 42 205 41 204 38 216 41 210 38 220 44650 42784 54 209 46 200 39 218 37 204 37 191 42784 41071 69 205 66 193 46 211 38 207 33 175 41071 39490 76 198 73 191 58 192 44 192 38 186 39490 38023 78 193 75 192 62 190 47 185 45 188 38023 36661 75 187 74 190 63 191 51 192 47 189 36661 35378 74 188 72 189 60 197 58 192 47 187 35378 34108 70 192 70 189 62 205 60 187 53 183 34108 32823 67 196 66 191 65 208 57 183 63 181 32823 31524 65 195 60 194 61 205 56 185 68 182 31524 30198 56 193 54 198 59 203 54 187 63 185 30198 28837 45 193 48 201 57 204 47 189 59 187 28837 27444 38 197 44 203 54 204 40 190 57 187 27444 26023 34 202 42 202 51 203 37 191 53 189 26023 24579 32 204 39 202 48 201 39 192 47 193 24579 23115 32 205 38 204 47 199 44 190 43 197 23115 21628 31 209 38 207 46 197 48 187 40 198 21628 20113 33 212 39 210 46 198 48 187 38 199 20113 18596 38 207 42 208 44 199 46 190 36 198 18596 17151 40 200 42 204 42 199 42 193 34 196 17151 15840 37 196 39 199 41 197 38 197 31 193 15840 14667 33 193 35 195 39 198 36 200 29 191 14667 13612 31 195 32 195 36 200 33 199 29 189 13612 12654 29 200 29 199 32 203 31 194 29 188 12654 11781 28 207 26 203 29*206 30*190 30 189 11781 10988 26 210 26 206 26*204 30*186 31 189 10988 10269 24 209 25*204 23 199 29 180 34 190 10269 9617 22 203 23*197 20 191 28 173 36 190 9617 9019 19 190 20 184 17 175 27 166 35 186 9019 8478 17 174 17 170 16 164 25 159 29 179 8478 8016 16 153 14 156 15 161 23 154 25 167 8016 7656 15 137 13 153 14 160 19 149 21 156 7656 7404 12 127 12 151 13 158 14 146 17 149 7404 7250 7*117 10 151 12 158 10 143 12*146 7250 7161 2*062 7 150 8 157 4 137 5*145 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography