DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.6 - - 34.6 - - 36.9 - - 34.9 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 2 - - 8 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 175 - - 671 - - 32 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9185 - - 9681 - - 9042 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2822 - - 1341 - - 1413 - - 1921 - - 3563 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 38 - - 84 - - 11 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 18 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 216 - - 233 - - 228 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 22 - - 28 - - 27 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg 15 - - 28 - - 31 - - 28 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1173 - - 2024 - - 2520 - - 1881 - - -374 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8335 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7536 sfcLCL ODpotential -6189 - - -2409 - - -1825 - - -2400 - - -4860 ODpotential blCL 13351 - - 11594 - - 11506 - - 11442 - - 12022 blCL maxRH 95 - - 95 - - 88 - - 87 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.6 - - 34.6 - - 36.9 - - 34.9 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.8 - - 28.5 - - 31.0 - - 30.7 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.5 - - 39.0 - - 41.0 - - 41.6 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.7 - - 27.6 - - 30.1 - - 30.0 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 2 - - 8 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 175 - - 671 - - 32 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 80 - - 51 - - 47 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96910 17 048 16 059 12 063 15 057 21 022 96910 89874 19 070 19 087 18 090 21 076 15 070 89874 84366 18 075 17 092 15 100 20 082 19 082 84366 79750 15 065 14 108 14 076 10 083 14 059 79750 75729 4 043 9 097 3 071 4 057 11 058 75729 72147 3 013 9 083 5 090 5 250 10 005 72147 68891 9 310 6 323 4 325 8 281 9 299 68891 65900 10 312 12 268 14 289 15 310 13 309 65900 63143 15 289 18 286 19 290 21 296 22 295 63143 60494 22 283 23 286 22 285 15 290 17 286 60494 57718 22 278 23 287 21 287 17 292 19 302 57718 54804 20 274 24 282 30 276 32 278 28 278 54804 52004 27 285 27 273 35 275 40 275 34 275 52004 49476 38 286 39 279 42 272 47 275 41 278 49476 47206 44 275 43 276 43 264 46 267 45 269 47206 45140 42 279 41 287 38 270 40 273 41 264 45140 43244 52 278 59 290 50 286 56 291 49 280 43244 41522 39 280 61 276 76 281 78 281 84 278 41522 39963 55 314 42 276 75 278 82 275 103 270 39963 38528 108 315 71 307 75 293 82 281 104 271 38528 37195 120 312 105 308 104 299 91 286 102 272 37195 35929 112 308 103 305 91 295 90 284 96 269 35929 34666 108 303 95 300 75 285 76 274 95 267 34666 33377 97 299 87 292 72 273 71 263 94 265 33377 32067 83 292 82 286 70 266 77 258 92 262 32067 30724 75 285 77 282 74 264 81 259 92 260 30724 29339 74 282 72 276 78 265 81 263 93 261 29339 27917 73 280 71 272 78 269 79 268 92 263 27917 26461 73 278 72 275 75 273 79 273 89 265 26461 24981 71 275 70 277 69 277 77 275 82 266 24981 23482 67 274 63 275 65 280 70 274 73 266 23482 21961 63 272 57 274 62 279 63 271 63 265 21961 20409 61 271 53 275 59 276 57 266 58 263 20409 18850 61 274 53 275 56 272 54 262 56 262 18850 17358 59 277 53 275 54 269 51 257 55 262 17358 16003 52 275 54 273 53 266 48 255 55 261 16003 14792 46 269 52 268 52 264 46 254 52 260 14792 13704 41 260 48 259 51 261 45 255 49 256 13704 12720 37 250 44 250 48 257 44 254 46 252 12720 11829 34 242 41 244 45 252 42 252 44 247 11829 11021 30 238 38 240 41 248 40 248 41 243 11021 10293 27 236 33 236 37*244 37 244 39 240 10293 9633 24 236 29*231 32*241 33*241 37 237 9633 9029 21 236 23*226 26 239 28*238 35 234 9029 8483 18 236 17 222 20 233 22 234 29 228 8483 8019 13 234 12 213 15 226 16 227 23 222 8019 7657 8 224 8 200 12 219 11 218 16 213 7657 7404 4 203 5 186 10 215 8 204 10 199 7404 7250 2*177 4 175 8 212 6 191 7*184 7250 7161 1*153 2 171 6 207 3 171 2*162 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography