DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 66.6 - - 67.9 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 428 - - 199 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4509 - - 6987 - - 7725 - - 6279 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12245 - - 14245 - - 14448 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13519 - - 15997 - - 16735 - - 15289 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 807 - - 1083 - - 1074 - - 1163 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 530 - - 621 - - 500 - - 65 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 305 - - 310 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 23 - - 22 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 952 - - 1366 - - 1324 - - 1875 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12568 - - 14632 - - 15412 - - 13415 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4956 - - -3368 - - -3452 - - -5361 ODpotential blCL - - - 18475 - - 19365 - - 20187 - - 20650 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 58 - - 55 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 66.6 - - 67.9 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 27.0 - - 25.0 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 67.8 - - 70.3 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 25.9 - - 23.8 - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 428 - - 199 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4509 - - 6987 - - 7725 - - 6279 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99053 24 100 31 106 31 099 33 101 99053 91529 27 105 26 109 26 086 29 091 91529 85766 22 111 19 099 22 094 28 082 85766 81000 23 105 18 101 15 086 20 088 81000 76899 19 097 18 101 12 087 13 085 76899 73281 13 091 15 078 16 094 13 089 73281 69998 12 092 6 091 9 038 15 073 69998 66977 14 061 9 095 2 164 9 024 66977 64181 7 346 9 027 8 072 5 033 64181 61466 5 274 8 307 10 354 9 359 61466 58626 7 315 12 319 14 304 14 327 58626 55674 17 295 22 316 18 316 17 316 55674 52852 24 304 28 302 28 310 27 313 52852 50313 31 307 30 294 34 301 35 304 50313 48040 35 302 33 298 36 298 35 299 48040 45987 36 301 35 300 37 298 35 302 45987 44117 41 303 38 300 38 300 36 303 44117 42403 45 298 44 297 40 300 37 299 42403 40826 45 292 47 292 42 295 39 298 40826 39371 45 292 49 291 44 291 43 299 39371 38021 44 295 48 291 45 292 45 298 38021 36735 45 299 47 293 44 294 45 300 36735 35450 45 301 45 294 44 296 42 303 35450 34137 44 302 42 297 43 299 37 304 34137 32803 43 305 40 302 42 304 34 306 32803 31436 43 309 40 309 41 306 33 310 31436 30028 43 311 39 313 39 306 32 311 30028 28581 44 313 37 316 36 306 32 310 28581 27099 43 313 35 319 30 312 31 307 27099 25584 40 310 34 315 28 321 29 304 25584 24043 38 305 35 311 27 323 27 303 24043 22472 37 303 36 310 28 319 26 304 22472 20866 35 305 34 309 29 320 26 309 20866 19254 32 308 32 308 27 320 26 314 19254 17714 29 312 28 309 24*317 22 313 17714 16320 25 316 21*313 16*319 12*320 16320 15078 21 319 13*320 10 321 6*027 15078 13961 16*323 11 319 10 320 9 028 13961 12947 9*321 11 318 9 317 9 019 12947 12026 6 310 10 315 9 313 10 008 12026 11189 6 303 9 309 9 309 10 357 11189 10431 5 283 8 301 9 305 11 349 10431 9745 5 263 8 294 9 303 11 342 9745 9115 5 253 7 288 9 300 11 336 9115 8546 6 244 7 281 9 297 12 331 8546 8060 6 238 7 276 9 296 11 326 8060 7682 6 234 6 272 9 294 10 321 7682 7418 6 231 6 270 8 294 8 313 7418 7256 6 230 6 268 8 293 7 308 7256 7163 5 229 5 266 6 291 4 303 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography