DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1010z - - 1336z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.8 - - 50.8 - - 55.0 - - 50.7 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 120 - - 160 - - -7 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 658 - - 2053 - - 773 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7173 - - 7174 - - 10058 - - 7175 - - 7174 Hcrit BL Top 7191 - - 9668 - - 11063 - - 9783 - - 7191 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 111 - - 1456 - - 1371 - - 1352 - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 186 - - 299 - - 48 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 275 - - 272 - - 262 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -36 - - 14 - - 16 - - 15 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2793 - - -3090 - - -1675 - - -1391 - - -2006 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9984 - - 12758 - - 12739 - - 11175 - - 9197 sfcLCL ODpotential -12573 - - -11027 - - -8169 - - -8781 - - -10137 ODpotential blCL 19764 - - 20695 - - 19232 - - 18564 - - 17328 blCL maxRH 76 - - 67 - - 59 - - 57 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.8 - - 50.8 - - 55.0 - - 50.7 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.1 - - 20.6 - - 24.6 - - 27.2 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.4 - - 54.0 - - 57.7 - - 54.5 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.6 - - 18.9 - - 23.0 - - 26.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 120 - - 160 - - -7 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 658 - - 2053 - - 773 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98095 21 281 20 281 16 284 20 272 23 284 98095 92070 21 279 17 291 14 286 16 282 20 284 92070 87179 18 272 18 287 16 291 14 305 15 282 87179 82983 13 275 16 282 17 298 17 316 10 293 82983 79267 13 290 12 284 18 298 20 312 11 307 79267 75924 17 296 14 292 20 296 21 304 17 310 75924 72872 16 301 15 294 20 298 18 303 16 309 72872 70037 19 305 16 295 21 301 19 306 17 305 70037 67381 26 304 23 293 26 301 27 304 24 302 67381 64799 29 301 29 290 31 297 34 300 30 299 64799 62106 28 302 30 290 32 292 37 295 34 296 62106 59316 30 302 31 291 34 289 39 289 39 293 59316 56658 37 299 35 292 39 288 43 286 44 289 56658 54277 45 295 43 291 45 288 47 285 49 286 54277 52157 53 291 49 290 50 288 51 285 51 285 52157 50243 60 290 55 289 55 289 54 286 53 285 50243 48494 65 289 60 288 61 288 57 287 54 286 48494 46881 69 289 65 288 65 288 61 288 56 288 46881 45381 72 289 70 288 70 288 64 288 59 288 45381 43979 76 290 74 288 74 288 69 288 63 288 43979 42661 79 291 78 289 78 287 72 287 66 288 42661 41389 83 292 82 291 81 288 74 286 69 287 41389 40098 86 292 86 291 82 288 75 286 70 286 40098 38759 89 293 89 291 82 288 74 286 69 286 38759 37375 88 292 88 291 79 288 73 287 68 285 37375 35927 84 292 84 290 75 288 72 287 67 285 35927 34405 79 292 78 289 71 288 70 288 67 286 34405 32807 73 291 72 289 66 288 67 290 66 288 32807 31131 68 291 68 289 63 290 64 292 64 290 31131 29379 63 290 64 290 60 292 59 294 62 291 29379 27553 59 290 59 291 57 294 54 296 58 293 27553 25647 55 290 53 292 52 295 49 297 52 293 25647 23657 49 290 47 291 45 294 44 296 45 292 23657 21624 42 290 41 291 40 291 39 294 39 290 21624 19660 35 291 35 291 35 289 36 292 34 288 19660 17870 30 293 30 291 31 288 33 291 31 288 17870 16277 25 294 26 292 27 289 30 290 30 289 16277 14861 22 294 22 293 24 290 27 291 28 290 14861 13602 20 293 19 293 21 292 25 291 26 291 13602 12486 18 292 17 292 18 294 22 292 23 291 12486 11499 16 290 15 291 15*294 19 291 21 291 11499 10631 15 288 13 289 12*292 15 289 19 289 10631 9867 13 285 12*286 10 284 13*281 16 286 9867 9185 12 283 11*282 9 271 11*271 14 283 9185 8585 12 282 10 278 8 263 11 264 12 279 8585 8085 11 283 8 272 8 260 10 260 11 278 8085 7702 10 295 7 270 8 256 9 258 10 284 7702 7440 9 318 5 267 7 254 7 257 8 302 7440 7281 8*340 5 265 7 253 6 257 7*329 7281 7190 7*352 4 262 6 251 4 258 6*348 7190 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography