DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.6 - - 34.5 - - 31.4 - - 24.2 - - 13.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 28 - - 82 - - 25 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2885 - - 4082 - - 3962 - - 1902 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 11163 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 11895 - - 13092 - - 12972 - - 10912 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2049 - - 1026 - - 749 - - 967 - - 1250 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 195 - - 308 - - 211 - - 50 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 41 - - 44 - - 38 - - 31 BL Wind Direction 283 - - 296 - - 296 - - 322 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 28 - - 45 - - 43 - - 38 - - 33 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -21 - - -37 - - -45 - - -45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 4734 - - 5020 - - 4396 - - 3273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 8073 - - 8576 - - 7639 sfcLCL ODpotential -3486 - - 1939 - - 1672 - - 1188 - - -900 ODpotential blCL 10648 - - 9956 - - 11420 - - 11784 - - 11812 blCL maxRH 92 - - 93 - - 84 - - 82 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.6 - - 34.5 - - 31.4 - - 24.2 - - 13.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 28.9 - - 21.1 - - 12.0 - - 6.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.6 - - 38.2 - - 34.7 - - 28.2 - - 20.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.7 - - 28.2 - - 19.9 - - 10.8 - - 5.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 28 - - 82 - - 25 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2885 - - 4082 - - 3962 - - 1902 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 74 - - 37 - - 29 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96253 9 072 8 042 9 099 6 088 3 044 96253 89149 10 062 10 070 10 101 4 081 11 019 89149 83649 12 036 8 080 9 044 5 047 15 035 83649 79068 7 019 9 080 2 337 8 358 18 032 79068 75109 12 001 11 026 4 005 8 357 13 025 75109 71610 9 002 9 347 11 360 6 351 12 001 71610 68429 12 341 7 321 13 332 6 023 18 331 68429 65489 22 322 9 303 16 284 15 313 14 311 65489 62733 28 335 15 309 16 272 8 324 22 330 62733 60014 29 347 16 322 25 297 25 305 41 318 60014 57179 33 315 37 300 44 294 50 297 48 316 57179 54246 49 304 48 300 52 291 45 301 51 320 54246 51441 54 297 53 297 52 304 49 308 50 317 51441 48913 61 293 60 296 66 303 61 306 52 312 48913 46641 70 295 65 296 71 299 60 304 56 311 46641 44576 74 292 69 297 70 299 61 306 61 316 44576 42687 74 291 74 297 68 302 66 311 73 323 42687 40948 78 292 78 296 70 304 77 315 90 324 40948 39341 83 289 78 295 75 304 90 314 101 319 39341 37856 85 284 78 295 80 303 97 313 106 323 37856 36489 85 278 79 295 83 303 101 315 120 335 36489 35206 87 275 80 295 86 306 112 324 138 341 35206 33939 90 273 81 294 94 310 131 330 146 341 33939 32656 90 273 83 293 103 313 147 331 155 340 32656 31358 86 274 85 293 112 313 156 329 157 338 31358 30030 80 277 83 292 118 312 158 326 151 334 30030 28667 76 282 82 290 120 311 155 324 143 329 28667 27271 76 284 81 288 120 310 152 323 139 325 27271 25842 75 284 81 284 116 309 151 323 139 324 25842 24380 72 282 82 282 110 308 145 322 143 328 24380 22888 70 280 81 280 103 305 137 319 145 332 22888 21367 69 279 80 279 95 301 128 314 137 332 21367 19823 67 277 78 279 89 297 117 310 120 325 19823 18288 65 276 77 281 86 293 105 307 109 318 18288 16839 62 277 76 283 83 292 94 305 99 314 16839 15536 58 280 74 286 80 292 83 305 87 315 15536 14381 54 284 71 288 76 293 74 307 75 319 14381 13350 52 288 66 290 64*294 62*310 63 324 13350 12420 51 291 61*293 58*295 51*316 54 329 12420 11579 51 292 56*296 53 295 45 319 45*337 11579 10819 51 291 51 297 50 295 43 321 40*344 10819 10131 49 289 49 298 48 296 41 322 38 347 10131 9508 47 286 46 297 46 296 39 324 36 348 9508 8936 43 284 41 297 44 296 36 325 34 349 8936 8418 38 282 36 295 40 296 34 326 31 349 8418 7977 31 281 31 294 37 297 31 326 27 350 7977 7632 23 282 26 293 33 297 28 327 22 351 7632 7392 15 284 23 292 29 297 25 327 17 351 7392 7244 9*288 19 292 25 297 21 327 12 351 7244 7160 2*309 11 292 15 297 13 328 7 351 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography