DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 37.7 - - 43.1 - - 38.9 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 31 - - 70 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1122 - - 550 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 10132 - - 9560 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1938 - - 2895 - - 1049 - - 1043 - - 1810 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 36 - - 191 - - 19 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 340 - - 250 - - 276 - - 258 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2592 - - -1862 - - 728 - - 1790 - - -301 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9754 - - 9024 - - 9405 - - 7771 - - 7465 sfcLCL ODpotential -13876 - - -12377 - - -7273 - - -6086 - - -8494 ODpotential blCL 21038 - - 19539 - - 17405 - - 15646 - - 15657 blCL maxRH 49 - - 65 - - 69 - - 78 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 37.7 - - 43.1 - - 38.9 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.7 - - 23.5 - - 27.1 - - 30.1 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 41.7 - - 46.3 - - 44.4 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.6 - - 22.4 - - 26.0 - - 28.9 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 31 - - 70 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1122 - - 550 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95681 27 305 29 294 36 301 28 295 33 294 95681 88909 16 325 15 326 16 308 22 308 17 318 88909 83618 8 017 14 330 11 309 19 319 13 340 83618 79169 10 017 6 352 5 300 11 312 14 326 79169 75293 9 322 10 010 5 315 8 305 13 314 75293 71840 16 323 9 358 9 324 10 292 13 295 71840 68691 15 324 12 335 4 360 9 312 11 304 68691 65783 15 327 21 318 18 327 19 316 18 313 65783 63088 18 307 21 302 20 297 20 317 19 310 63088 60477 24 328 12 276 18 312 21 312 17 321 60477 57741 30 324 17 327 19 320 25 326 28 322 57741 54896 29 321 32 338 30 331 36 312 31 311 54896 52188 28 336 35 341 30 336 34 314 36 321 52188 49769 33 334 36 353 40 336 45 324 47 320 49769 47608 34 341 49 349 54 324 46 314 37 310 47608 45638 42 354 58 335 39 325 32 321 34 335 45638 43814 65 342 55 347 43 356 46 342 51 344 43814 42125 66 338 65 354 61 349 65 339 76 331 42125 40565 56 342 73 347 73 340 74 331 79 325 40565 39121 55 351 68 344 72 336 68 329 69 325 39121 37776 53 353 58 344 63 335 59 333 58 328 37776 36495 51 357 49 344 52 335 52 332 49 332 36495 35213 50 001 43 338 43 336 47 330 42 333 35213 33907 49 004 41 334 39 337 42 327 36 332 33907 32579 52 007 37 337 36 337 35 328 32 329 32579 31218 56 005 32 342 33 337 28 325 29 322 31218 29814 55 000 28 347 28 334 24 323 24 308 29814 28374 52 001 29 353 23 332 23 316 21 302 28374 26897 52 355 33 349 25 333 22 314 23 306 26897 25391 45 349 34 342 27 330 22 321 27 308 25391 23856 35 001 36 331 28 326 23 325 28 306 23856 22290 23 032 29 329 28 324 25 321 26 302 22290 20687 17 024 20 319 27 317 23 318 23 303 20687 19079 20 001 19 315 24 310 19 320 19 307 19079 17546 23 350 20 322 19 312 19 322 18 309 17546 16156 23 344 20 332 16 319 19 322 17 314 16156 14915 21 341 19 339 14 325 18 322 16 318 14915 13799 17 340 17 345 12 328 16 321 15 320 13799 12792 14 339 14 347 11 329 14 319 14 321 12792 11880 12 336 11 344 10 325 12 316 13 320 11880 11056 10 331 9 335 10 320 11 313 12 318 11056 10314 9 324 7 322 9*313 10 307 11 315 10314 9645 7 316 6 309 8*303 9*299 10 311 9645 9034 6 309 5 295 6 286 7*284 9 307 9034 8485 5 306 4 276 5 269 7 266 7 301 8485 8019 5 309 3 254 5 264 6 253 5 293 8019 7656 5 324 3 238 4 261 5 245 3 284 7656 7404 5 342 3 238 4 257 4 236 1 272 7404 7250 4*351 2*236 3 254 3 230 1*094 7250 7162 3*349 2*231 3 250 2 220 1*097 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography