DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 69.6 - - 67.8 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 432 - - 218 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3584 - - 4982 - - 4348 - - 2425 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11497 - - 12640 - - 11882 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12594 - - 13992 - - 13358 - - 11435 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1069 - - 883 - - 928 - - 1192 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 480 - - 558 - - 426 - - 59 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 24 - - 21 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 325 - - 333 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 27 - - 16 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -22 - - -30 - - -32 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4657 - - -3243 - - -2801 - - -2160 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17252 - - 17235 - - 16160 - - 13596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13143 - - -10811 - - -10331 - - -11020 ODpotential blCL - - - 25737 - - 24803 - - 23689 - - 22455 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 27 - - 30 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 69.6 - - 67.8 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.7 - - 18.7 - - 21.7 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 70.9 - - 70.1 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.6 - - 17.5 - - 20.5 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 432 - - 218 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3584 - - 4982 - - 4348 - - 2425 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99073 27 102 25 104 27 094 24 102 99073 91513 24 107 17 114 20 103 23 091 91513 85722 25 117 13 118 16 090 18 081 85722 80949 18 096 19 104 16 111 17 081 80949 76847 12 117 20 096 16 111 16 084 76847 73221 14 113 15 094 10 095 12 084 73221 69931 12 067 13 101 9 077 9 071 69931 66920 11 067 5 109 8 042 10 068 66920 64122 14 089 4 150 3 300 9 029 64122 61411 7 026 2 114 3 334 4 324 61411 58601 4 332 3 036 5 004 4 347 58601 55707 11 328 17 323 14 323 10 331 55707 52975 12 298 19 287 23 302 22 329 52975 50525 15 296 23 291 30 291 31 307 50525 48323 26 306 29 294 30 287 33 289 48323 46315 30 306 36 289 33 294 34 288 46315 44472 38 299 41 289 41 297 42 296 44472 42776 47 291 47 285 46 295 46 298 42776 41205 50 294 48 291 49 300 49 302 41205 39739 50 298 51 293 54 300 53 304 39739 38365 48 299 53 294 56 300 56 304 38365 37050 48 302 54 302 57 304 57 305 37050 35733 49 307 57 308 58 308 59 307 35733 34389 52 311 60 311 60 310 60 308 34389 33023 53 312 61 311 61 312 58 309 33023 31625 54 311 61 312 60 314 56 309 31625 30188 55 311 61 313 58 315 54 309 30188 28716 55 310 60 313 58 314 54 311 28716 27214 55 309 57 313 57 314 55 315 27214 25686 54 307 53 315 54 316 55 318 25686 24133 52 306 51 316 51 317 51 319 24133 22551 50 306 50 316 49 316 46 318 22551 20934 51 308 50 316 48 315 44 316 20934 19308 51 311 52 317 50 318 45 316 19308 17752 51 314 54 319 52 323 46 320 17752 16339 50 315 53 322 52 329 47 327 16339 15077 47 316 48*324 47 333 44 332 15077 13945 43 318 39*326 38*336 37 337 13945 12925 38*319 28 326 27*337 28 340 12925 12002 31*321 23 325 21 335 22*344 12002 11167 23 322 23 325 21 334 20*347 11167 10413 19 322 23 325 21 334 20 346 10413 9731 18 322 23 324 21 333 20 344 9731 9105 18 321 23 324 21 332 20 342 9105 8539 18 321 22 323 21 331 19 340 8539 8057 17 320 22 323 21 330 18 338 8057 7680 16 320 20 323 20 330 16 335 7680 7417 14 319 19 322 18 330 13 333 7417 7256 13 318 17 322 16 329 10 330 7256 7163 10 318 12 321 11 329 5 326 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography