DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 56.4 - - 56.2 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 267 - - 83 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4566 - - 7388 - - 7635 - - 2884 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12052 - - 14367 - - 13783 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13576 - - 16398 - - 16645 - - 11894 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2839 - - 2618 - - 2805 - - 5357 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 434 - - 549 - - 383 - - 59 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 18 - - 16 - - 12 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 211 - - 216 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 9 - - 5 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1945 - - 2948 - - 2986 - - 1959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11631 - - 13450 - - 13660 - - 9936 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3186 - - -1830 - - -1803 - - -4996 ODpotential blCL - - - 16762 - - 18228 - - 18448 - - 16890 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 80 - - 80 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 56.4 - - 56.2 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.0 - - 22.3 - - 21.2 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 58.4 - - 59.3 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 21.2 - - 20.0 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 267 - - 83 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4566 - - 7388 - - 7635 - - 2884 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 18 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97390 18 194 24 239 14 263 10 238 97390 89989 11 194 10 244 10 236 11 242 89989 84300 3 191 4 193 9 231 8 239 84300 79607 2 254 2 259 8 270 3 287 79607 75572 5 305 2 330 9 290 8 336 75572 71995 9 306 5 291 12 313 10 320 71995 68747 8 313 9 278 14 317 10 307 68747 65753 7 337 9 290 14 305 9 313 65753 62970 8 329 11 313 13 299 10 319 62970 60267 10 316 13 304 14 299 12 303 60267 57445 12 324 10 300 14 301 14 309 57445 54508 16 301 13 307 14 305 16 315 54508 51706 18 288 18 304 15 316 16 310 51706 49197 19 293 21 296 19 319 18 304 49197 46962 17 297 21 291 22 311 20 302 46962 44944 20 295 23 287 27 293 22 297 44944 43113 22 288 21 279 24 281 22 287 43113 41440 23 278 25 280 29 274 18 274 41440 39911 24 267 33 266 35 270 37 268 39911 38509 26 275 40 263 46 256 42 260 38509 37208 31 274 37 264 40 255 41 260 37208 35963 35 266 37 264 34 265 39 262 35963 34715 34 267 38 258 33 269 34 265 34715 33439 33 274 37 254 31 269 31 270 33439 32141 27 274 32 250 31 270 30 278 32141 30811 18 266 27 246 31 274 30 286 30811 29441 12 270 23 247 31 275 31 292 29441 28033 15 278 23 259 32 278 32 296 28033 26591 17 271 24 264 32 280 32 293 26591 25120 18 272 21 261 30 279 30 290 25120 23625 18 275 17 265 23 270 28 291 23625 22102 16 272 15 280 19 259 24 288 22102 20548 14 262 14 286 13 256 19 280 20548 18988 12 252 12 274 9 260 16 278 18988 17497 10 247 11*259 8*255 12 273 17497 16141 7 247 9*253 7*247 10 264 16141 14925 6 249 7 240 5 221 7 252 14925 13829 5*243 6 215 5 201 6 235 13829 12836 6*226 6 201 5 198 5 218 12836 11932 8 207 5 196 5 198 5*207 11932 11111 8 194 6 195 4 203 4*201 11111 10368 8 187 6 195 4 209 3 194 10368 9695 8 184 6 196 4 218 2 182 9695 9077 8 182 5 196 4 224 1 153 9077 8518 8 181 5 197 3 231 2 005 8518 8042 8 180 5 198 3 235 5 357 8042 7671 7 180 5 199 3 239 7 358 7671 7412 7 180 5 199 3 240 8 358 7412 7253 6 180 5 198 3 240 6 359 7253 7162 5 180 4 199 3 241 5 354 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography