DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.2 - - 43.0 - - 36.2 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 18 - - -22 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 325 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 9335 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2526 - - 1131 - - 1698 - - 909 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 88 - - 11 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 288 - - 318 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 17 - - 14 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 11 - - -18 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -779 - - 283 - - -1419 - - -2092 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7942 - - 9053 - - 8581 - - 9254 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9086 - - -8043 - - -11221 - - -12316 ODpotential blCL - - - 16248 - - 17378 - - 18383 - - 19478 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 66 - - 76 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.2 - - 43.0 - - 36.2 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 28.5 - - 24.0 - - 18.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 46.7 - - 43.4 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 27.3 - - 22.7 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 18 - - -22 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 325 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 0 - - 3 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95927 37 359 27 359 38 356 42 001 95927 89053 28 008 19 013 23 006 26 007 89053 83635 31 358 29 005 28 003 20 007 83635 79088 24 011 33 005 30 352 29 354 79088 75166 16 016 24 023 23 009 28 003 75166 71675 23 005 27 006 25 010 25 007 71675 68492 29 005 29 359 28 015 25 007 68492 65553 35 353 34 346 33 001 28 010 65553 62829 38 339 37 332 42 339 37 357 62829 60210 38 340 36 324 39 331 33 354 60210 57487 40 340 33 330 37 330 24 348 57487 54644 51 328 40 328 46 324 43 328 54644 51921 58 321 53 318 55 316 55 321 51921 49481 62 318 60 317 59 317 59 321 49481 47297 65 317 64 319 61 318 63 321 47297 45318 67 317 64 320 61 317 63 315 45318 43516 67 315 62 318 58 317 58 313 43516 41867 62 313 55 312 54 315 54 313 41867 40343 60 313 49 312 50 308 51 308 40343 38921 60 313 50 315 45 306 49 301 38921 37589 59 311 51 313 44 313 45 301 37589 36317 56 311 51 311 46 318 43 306 36317 35044 52 311 49 309 45 316 40 309 35044 33743 49 310 46 306 44 315 37 311 33743 32420 48 307 45 302 43 316 36 310 32420 31063 48 303 45 301 41 315 37 305 31063 29667 47 301 44 307 39 311 38 303 29667 28238 42 301 41 310 38 309 40 306 28238 26777 37 303 39 310 37 312 43 311 26777 25289 35 307 39 309 40 314 46 316 25289 23775 37 311 39 310 42 315 47 319 23775 22231 40 315 40 313 43 314 47 321 22231 20651 42 317 41 315 43 312 47 323 20651 19060 42 318 42 315 42 311 45 323 19060 17538 40 315 40 314 40 311 43 322 17538 16155 37 312 38 312 39 311 42 321 16155 14918 35 308 36 309 38 311 40 320 14918 13805 32 305 36 307 37 311 39 319 13805 12799 29 302 35 305 38 311 39 318 12799 11888 26 298 33 304 38 311 40 317 11888 11064 24 295 31 301 37 311 40 316 11064 10321 22 291 29 297 36 310 40 315 10321 9650 21 289 26*294 35 309 39 314 9650 9037 19 288 22*290 32 307 37 313 9037 8487 17 290 18 288 28 306 33 312 8487 8019 14 292 14 288 23 307 28 313 8019 7656 10 296 10 288 16 311 21 317 7656 7404 7 297 8 288 10 318 14 325 7404 7250 5*297 7 287 6*329 9*338 7250 7161 2*300 5 286 2*354 4*358 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography