DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 81.3 - - 80.0 - - 70.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 370 - - 135 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7785 - - 11109 - - 11036 - - 7494 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14704 - - 17530 - - 16758 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16795 - - 20119 - - 20046 - - 16504 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4006 - - 2054 - - 2584 - - 3819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 566 - - 690 - - 496 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 235 - - 230 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 28 - - 24 - - 24 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 18 - - 17 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1474 - - 1645 - - 2528 - - 1312 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18270 - - 18475 - - 17519 - - 15193 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4126 - - -136 - - 475 - - -2840 ODpotential blCL - - - 20921 - - 20255 - - 19571 - - 19344 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 87 - - 91 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 81.3 - - 80.0 - - 70.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 24.6 - - 27.7 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 82.8 - - 82.7 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.5 - - 23.5 - - 26.6 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 370 - - 135 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7785 - - 11109 - - 11036 - - 7494 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 47 - - 64 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99553 31 105 29 102 24 107 25 093 99553 92018 24 104 18 101 26 084 22 093 92018 86231 23 095 22 102 20 093 24 091 86231 81431 22 099 23 101 17 101 21 089 81431 77288 18 097 20 111 15 110 16 080 77288 73637 12 111 16 107 15 122 8 060 73637 70348 10 142 7 113 11 095 11 120 70348 67326 10 138 9 146 5 076 10 106 67326 64525 5 102 6 155 5 183 2 244 64525 61836 9 280 5 039 2 075 7 179 61836 59047 17 227 17 264 9 278 4 166 59047 56177 14 225 25 240 22 251 18 248 56177 53473 36 244 35 240 33 246 29 265 53473 51043 50 239 48 235 45 241 44 258 51043 48859 52 237 52 237 50 238 52 244 48859 46869 54 239 54 240 52 240 53 240 46869 45034 61 239 60 242 56 245 54 243 45034 43324 67 236 70 238 64 244 60 244 43324 41722 72 233 75 235 72 240 66 241 41722 40217 74 232 78 233 76 236 70 236 40217 38804 77 233 79 232 78 233 74 233 38804 37454 80 232 81 232 79 231 76 230 37454 36104 80 232 83 232 80 231 77 230 36104 34727 81 233 82 233 78 233 75 232 34727 33329 78 234 77 234 75 235 71 236 33329 31901 70 237 70 234 69 234 67 237 31901 30436 60 241 63 234 62 232 63 236 30436 28943 51 239 55 234 57 230 58 237 28943 27429 47 236 51 233 52 230 52 240 27429 25896 44 234 48 232 48 230 47 243 25896 24342 41 233 43 233 44 233 44 246 24342 22760 37 232 38 237 40 239 42 247 22760 21143 35 234 33*242 36*242 39 245 21143 19519 34 238 29*246 31*243 34 239 19519 17962 34*240 25 244 24 241 29 233 17962 16545 32*243 19 244 18 238 23*227 16545 15273 28 249 16 244 13 231 18*225 15273 14127 19 255 13 240 12 228 14 227 14127 13088 13 255 12 236 12 226 10 227 13088 12143 11 247 12 232 12 224 8 230 12143 11285 9 235 12 226 12 221 8 233 11285 10510 8 224 12 222 12 219 9 235 10510 9807 8 216 11 218 12 217 9 235 9807 9162 9 208 11 214 12 216 10 236 9162 8579 9 202 11 211 12 215 10 236 8579 8083 9 198 11 209 12 214 10 235 8083 7695 9 196 11 207 12 213 9 233 7695 7424 9 195 10 206 11 212 7 227 7424 7259 8 193 10 205 10 212 5 221 7259 7164 7 192 8 204 8 211 3 218 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography