DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.0 - - 45.5 - - 48.8 - - 44.8 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 29 - - 64 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 655 - - 188 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 7163 - - 9665 - - 9198 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1982 - - 2457 - - 800 - - 803 - - 2170 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 37 - - 157 - - 24 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 202 - - 214 - - 216 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 9 - - 12 - - 18 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 16 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3955 - - -2992 - - -594 - - 448 - - -1758 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11119 - - 10155 - - 10259 - - 8750 - - 8922 sfcLCL ODpotential -14809 - - -13256 - - -9108 - - -8932 - - -11165 ODpotential blCL 21972 - - 20419 - - 18773 - - 18130 - - 18328 blCL maxRH 83 - - 79 - - 56 - - 48 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.0 - - 45.5 - - 48.8 - - 44.8 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.2 - - 26.3 - - 29.0 - - 31.5 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 49.1 - - 51.9 - - 51.1 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.1 - - 25.1 - - 27.8 - - 30.3 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 29 - - 64 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 655 - - 188 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96725 3 350 5 128 7 264 7 311 10 348 96725 89623 1 348 3 296 5 359 7 018 7 340 89623 84114 3 003 1 195 5 312 10 337 7 336 84114 79524 7 006 2 123 5 304 11 341 6 354 79524 75559 10 334 4 326 3 275 10 295 6 296 75559 72044 9 307 9 311 5 334 12 314 8 332 72044 68859 12 311 13 304 12 297 16 294 14 303 68859 65936 21 317 10 322 11 308 10 300 13 328 65936 63236 27 304 16 316 20 287 23 285 25 306 63236 60641 17 313 20 301 16 287 27 273 25 291 60641 57948 22 344 20 318 21 305 13 304 20 309 57948 55150 45 318 41 308 30 313 32 310 32 299 55150 52483 46 314 46 300 39 301 50 298 41 288 52483 50095 47 323 38 306 44 291 56 288 44 285 50095 47953 50 321 42 307 46 291 57 283 48 286 47953 45998 51 317 52 305 52 291 56 281 53 285 45998 44196 49 313 59 300 56 290 56 280 56 278 44196 42526 49 310 64 296 60 290 59 281 57 273 42526 40969 52 305 65 293 66 289 66 284 59 274 40969 39508 56 302 65 290 69 287 72 284 66 278 39508 38137 59 299 66 289 68 286 73 282 75 281 38137 36826 61 299 67 290 67 288 72 282 78 280 36826 35514 62 299 69 293 67 289 71 282 77 276 35514 34176 63 301 69 295 68 289 72 280 75 273 34176 32820 60 303 67 297 67 287 71 278 76 272 32820 31434 56 306 63 297 65 286 69 276 78 273 31434 30011 51 307 58 297 62 287 65 278 79 275 30011 28550 46 305 51 296 59 289 62 281 77 276 28550 27057 41 302 45 295 55 288 60 282 73 275 27057 25534 37 301 39 291 52 287 58 281 69 273 25534 23987 35 301 35 285 48 282 56 279 67 271 23987 22411 35 302 34 278 46 276 53 277 65 270 22411 20801 35 301 34 275 44 272 51 275 61 269 20801 19185 33 300 34 275 42 271 47 273 54 267 19185 17643 31 300 32 276 39 272 43 272 48 264 17643 16244 28 299 30 275 36 272 40 271 44 262 16244 14993 25 296 28 273 32 269 38 269 42 262 14993 13869 23 290 26 271 30 265 37 265 41 264 13869 12853 22 281 25 269 29 264 36 263 40 268 12853 11934 22 272 25 267 28 263 35 261 38 273 11934 11103 21 264 24 264 27 262 33 260 36 275 11103 10355 20 257 22 259 24 258 30 258 34 276 10355 9679 18 250 19 253 20*253 25*254 31 276 9679 9062 15 244 15 245 14*244 18*246 26 273 9062 8505 11 240 10 234 8 215 11 226 20 268 8505 8033 7 232 6 208 7 207 9 209 14 261 8033 7665 3 206 4 179 7 200 8 192 7 255 7665 7409 1 148 4 175 6 196 7 179 2 252 7409 7252 1*049 4*170 5 194 5 168 3*083 7252 7162 1*038 3*169 4 190 3 158 3*072 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography