DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 68.4 - - 67.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 350 - - 82 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6399 - - 8801 - - 8089 - - 4601 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13565 - - 15609 - - 14012 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15409 - - 17811 - - 17099 - - 13611 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3367 - - 2254 - - 2313 - - 3701 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 517 - - 623 - - 376 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 166 - - 170 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 15 - - 12 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 24 - - 22 - - 35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1021 - - 2272 - - 2192 - - 1459 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14389 - - 15540 - - 14907 - - 12152 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2828 - - -1304 - - -1263 - - -1634 ODpotential blCL - - - 18237 - - 19115 - - 18362 - - 15245 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 52 - - 68 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 68.4 - - 67.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.6 - - 25.0 - - 27.0 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 70.2 - - 70.6 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.2 - - 24.4 - - 26.6 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 350 - - 82 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6399 - - 8801 - - 8089 - - 4601 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99028 6 244 1 240 2 274 3 179 99028 91624 16 211 11 248 7 202 4 237 91624 85889 15 239 11 231 9 237 9 230 85889 81120 18 261 13 254 8 248 10 265 81120 77006 9 247 15 244 10 261 8 270 77006 73356 10 252 14 242 15 272 11 282 73356 70060 13 268 13 245 18 262 18 282 70060 67037 16 258 16 254 15 249 13 259 67037 64229 14 252 17 273 17 274 10 258 64229 61500 20 242 22 253 22 267 16 273 61500 58666 19 237 23 240 29 247 26 260 58666 55748 23 248 30 240 30 244 32 243 55748 52961 29 236 33 237 35 240 34 230 52961 50441 31 238 36 234 36 238 38 224 50441 48182 38 237 43 231 42 235 42 226 48182 46141 41 236 44 232 47 234 51 230 46141 44278 45 241 47 237 54 234 62 227 44278 42565 53 245 54 238 59 231 70 225 42565 40977 65 240 61 236 62 231 75 225 40977 39497 72 235 68 236 67 233 81 226 39497 38120 69 233 72 235 74 232 84 225 38120 36815 62 237 72 234 81 230 82 224 36815 35517 62 239 69 234 83 230 77 223 35517 34195 67 240 66 235 81 231 74 222 34195 32852 66 237 65 237 76 231 71 221 32852 31473 62 234 62 236 68 233 67 221 31473 30053 55 232 55 233 59 234 64 224 30053 28599 49 228 49 229 50 233 57 226 28599 27113 43 227 42 225 41 229 47 226 27113 25602 38 227 38 223 35 224 38 224 25602 24069 35 224 34 220 30 220 32 220 24069 22509 33 220 32 218 28 220 26 217 22509 20912 29 218 29 216 25 220 23 219 20912 19308 25 218 25*211 22 214 22 217 19308 17775 20 216 20*203 19*202 20 208 17775 16383 17*210 16 191 19*191 19 194 16383 15136 15*200 15 174 18 181 19 183 15136 14011 14 190 15 160 17 171 20*174 14011 12991 14 182 15 155 17 167 20*165 12991 12062 14 178 15 154 16 166 20 161 12062 11218 12 173 15 154 16 165 20 160 11218 10455 11 165 15 154 16 165 20 160 10455 9763 10 160 15 154 15 164 19 159 9763 9128 10 159 15 155 15 164 19 158 9128 8554 10 159 15 156 14 163 17 156 8554 8066 10 159 15 156 14 163 14 152 8066 7684 9 160 14 156 13 163 11 144 7684 7419 8 161 14 157 13 164 7 131 7419 7256 8 161 13 157 11 163 5 117 7256 7163 7 162 10 157 8 164 3 032 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography