DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 45.2 - - - - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 502 - - 489 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5187 - - 10244 - - - - - 3795 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12845 - - 16961 - - - - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14197 - - 19254 - - - - - 12805 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2689 - - 880 - - - - - 3345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 589 - - 733 - - - - - 138 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 15 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 031 - - 018 - - - - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 6 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -30 - - -25 - - - - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1302 - - 4748 - - - - - 4240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12896 - - 14507 - - - - - 8566 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2769 - - 3030 - - - - - 240 ODpotential blCL - - - 16966 - - 16224 - - - - - 12565 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 91 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 45.2 - - - - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.5 - - 6.4 - - - - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 46.5 - - - - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.4 - - 5.4 - - - - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 502 - - 489 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5187 - - 10244 - - - - - 3795 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 63 - - - - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98103 6 150 7 097 3 037 98103 90705 4 174 3 218 5 047 90705 84993 4 173 4 225 6 058 84993 80242 8 142 4 192 5 048 80242 76160 7 142 6 148 3 065 76160 72548 3 108 5 148 4 149 72548 69254 1 040 7 221 3 209 69254 66200 5 260 9 188 8 254 66200 63356 13 233 9 224 10 227 63356 60589 13 221 13 238 5 262 60589 57692 10 228 10 227 12 239 57692 54685 16 246 18 276 8 250 54685 51827 13 261 22 256 11 305 51827 49269 20 301 19 253 22 303 49269 46982 22 306 17 266 26 287 46982 44911 28 306 19 286 29 274 44911 43020 34 287 27 292 31 267 43020 41280 36 278 33 285 29 267 41280 39671 38 286 33 284 25 272 39671 38185 45 298 34 294 22 283 38185 36825 47 308 42 298 26 307 36825 35553 49 312 45 304 31 313 35553 34296 51 319 41 314 28 317 34296 33020 49 331 38 330 27 322 33020 31722 51 343 42 347 29 324 31722 30392 53 347 47 353 29 329 30392 29021 54 354 48 355 28 333 29021 27617 55 003 48 358 28 339 27617 26181 46 001 48 358 29 344 26181 24719 33 353 46 358 30 348 24719 23235 27 351 39 356 30 354 23235 21726 25 354 27 350 25 355 21726 20193 27 360 18*349 15 351 20193 18667 29 005 13*001 8 320 18667 17213 31 011 13 007 4 297 17213 15890 32 016 14 011 3 319 15890 14706 31*022 15 016 3 000 14706 13638 30*028 15 018 5*018 13638 12670 28 033 16 020 7*024 12670 11791 25 033 16 021 8 028 11791 10993 25 033 16 023 8 030 10993 10271 25 032 16 024 9 032 10271 9618 24 032 16 024 9 031 9618 9018 24 031 16 025 9 030 9018 8476 23 031 16 025 9 025 8476 8015 22 030 15 026 9 018 8015 7655 20 029 14 026 7 006 7655 7404 18 029 14 026 6 357 7404 7250 16 029 13 027 6 353 7250 7161 12 028 10 027 4 349 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography