DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.6 - - 72.8 - - 74.9 - - 73.6 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 376 - - 387 - - 160 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1788 - - 8409 - - 9825 - - 9560 - - 5308 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 15332 - - 16501 - - 15726 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 10798 - - 17419 - - 18835 - - 18570 - - 14318 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3392 - - 2776 - - 2531 - - 2429 - - 4217 Hgt.Variab. W* 197 - - 630 - - 671 - - 497 - - 28 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 18 - - 16 - - 16 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 245 - - 254 - - 263 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 20 - - 14 - - 18 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg 18 - - 21 - - 23 - - 9 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2759 - - 2101 - - 2595 - - 2644 - - -929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13558 - - 15319 - - 16241 - - 15927 - - 15247 sfcLCL ODpotential -7210 - - -1405 - - -1177 - - -2069 - - -6861 ODpotential blCL 18008 - - 18824 - - 20012 - - 20639 - - 21179 blCL maxRH 53 - - 43 - - 47 - - 38 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.6 - - 72.8 - - 74.9 - - 73.6 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.2 - - 30.2 - - 28.2 - - 28.4 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.9 - - 74.4 - - 76.3 - - 76.2 - - 72.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.5 - - 29.3 - - 27.2 - - 27.6 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 376 - - 387 - - 160 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1788 - - 8409 - - 9825 - - 9560 - - 5308 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99420 31 107 22 117 20 086 28 096 25 095 99420 91987 30 108 18 116 18 098 20 097 25 094 91987 86224 19 093 17 115 14 106 18 092 18 088 86224 81425 16 095 16 105 15 123 14 077 17 104 81425 77288 11 110 16 107 11 117 7 077 14 099 77288 73630 11 105 10 142 5 089 4 091 9 103 73630 70323 10 080 11 147 5 156 3 013 8 098 70323 67287 8 087 9 099 11 160 6 221 6 018 67287 64474 3 032 8 041 6 150 4 214 4 303 64474 61752 7 284 8 358 3 175 7 285 7 281 61752 58936 8 277 11 298 4 286 5 239 14 248 58936 56035 17 266 22 275 20 294 15 275 17 246 56035 53254 23 253 32 254 33 258 32 266 26 262 53254 50741 29 263 33 250 38 249 46 260 43 265 50741 48495 40 263 37 253 44 251 55 258 54 260 48495 46452 45 258 44 256 48 255 59 260 58 258 46452 44569 46 256 47 258 51 258 59 261 59 260 44569 42817 46 257 47 256 51 258 56 260 57 261 42817 41185 47 258 47 255 51 259 55 260 55 261 41185 39664 48 259 48 256 52 259 55 261 55 263 39664 38255 47 261 48 257 50 256 54 262 53 264 38255 36926 47 264 45 259 47 255 49 260 49 263 36926 35608 48 264 44 262 44 256 45 257 48 261 35608 34271 47 262 44 263 42 259 44 257 46 260 34271 32914 45 259 43 263 41 261 43 258 45 260 32914 31525 43 258 42 264 39 264 42 258 43 259 31525 30097 40 260 38 265 35 265 41 257 41 257 30097 28635 35 261 33 262 31 262 38 258 39 256 28635 27143 30 261 29 258 28 258 33 259 37 255 27143 25625 27 257 26 257 26 258 30 259 34 255 25625 24088 27 254 26 255 26 256 28 260 32 257 24088 22525 29 251 29 252 28 254 29 259 32 259 22525 20929 30 249 30 249 29 252 29 258 31 260 20929 19326 30 246 30 246 27*251 29*257 30 261 19326 17794 32 244 29*246 24*253 26*255 29 263 17794 16400 33 244 28*246 19 254 23 255 30 263 16400 15150 32 246 26 246 15 254 19 259 31*261 15150 14022 29 248 23 245 15 255 14 266 30*261 14022 12999 26 249 19 245 15 255 14 268 28 263 12999 12069 22 247 17 246 15 255 14 269 26 267 12069 11225 19*246 14 246 15 255 14 269 22 272 11225 10461 17*249 14 246 15 255 14 269 18 278 10461 9769 15 258 13 245 15 254 14 268 15 284 9769 9134 13 272 13 244 15 254 14 267 14 287 9134 8559 12 293 12 243 15 253 13 266 13 289 8559 8069 10 302 12 243 15 253 13 265 12 291 8069 7687 7 308 11 242 14 252 12 265 11 291 7687 7421 4 309 11 241 13 252 12 264 8 291 7421 7257 4 309 10 240 12 251 11 264 6 291 7257 7163 3 310 8 239 10 250 8 262 3 294 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography