DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 64.9 - - 63.7 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 265 - - 43 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2535 - - 5210 - - 5505 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10434 - - 12620 - - 11398 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11545 - - 14220 - - 14515 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1172 - - 1258 - - 1360 - - 4844 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 478 - - 268 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 291 - - 334 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 13 - - 1 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 17 - - -11 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1774 - - -873 - - 1194 - - -3239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13320 - - 15093 - - 13322 - - 10403 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9517 - - -6581 - - -3308 - - -9453 ODpotential blCL - - - 21062 - - 20801 - - 17823 - - 16617 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 59 - - 70 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 64.9 - - 63.7 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 23.4 - - 30.0 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 66.8 - - 67.0 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.1 - - 22.6 - - 29.5 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 265 - - 43 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2535 - - 5210 - - 5505 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97899 11 271 16 307 9 308 14 281 97899 90649 7 290 9 219 14 318 5 280 90649 85027 2 343 8 196 17 303 4 344 85027 80340 3 007 2 225 8 299 5 356 80340 76298 3 327 5 263 7 258 11 310 76298 72737 6 291 4 259 8 251 10 268 72737 69514 17 265 16 273 13 269 12 274 69514 66544 19 247 21 266 21 275 20 276 66544 63796 18 239 23 266 28 285 27 286 63796 61135 19 260 28 268 34 278 27 277 61135 58346 21 268 27 261 29 271 29 286 58346 55444 24 281 26 270 29 276 34 285 55444 52682 30 271 31 269 29 279 31 280 52682 50205 33 255 28 267 26 290 23 282 50205 47994 23 287 22 284 27 307 24 301 47994 46003 24 311 22 307 27 316 24 310 46003 44193 24 319 23 316 24 326 25 324 44193 42526 18 327 21 321 26 339 32 334 42526 40977 20 350 23 330 32 344 37 342 40977 39526 31 353 25 338 34 344 38 345 39526 38165 37 348 28 341 31 341 34 343 38165 36863 34 344 29 340 25 337 28 340 36863 35559 28 346 24 338 19 333 24 335 35559 34227 22 346 20 337 19 330 23 325 34227 32875 17 344 20 333 22 326 20 311 32875 31491 15 346 19 329 22 320 18 302 31491 30066 12 349 15 325 18 315 18 302 30066 28602 11 348 13 315 15 304 18 301 28602 27105 10 338 12 298 14 291 18 297 27105 25580 11 331 13 286 15 293 18 292 25580 24031 15 332 16 292 17 295 19 288 24031 22456 18 332 17 302 19 297 18 292 22456 20847 20 336 19 312 21 304 16 302 20847 19233 23 337 22 315 20 312 15 311 19233 17693 24 335 22 316 18 317 15 317 17693 16295 22 336 20 318 15 319 15 320 16295 15048 18 337 18*321 10*322 15 321 15048 13926 14 337 14*320 6*336 12 319 13926 12913 12 335 10 308 5 349 7 320 12913 11994 11*332 9 303 5 349 3 339 11994 11161 9*328 8 299 6 340 4 022 11161 10407 6 319 8 290 8 335 6 034 10407 9724 5 307 7 279 8 331 9 029 9724 9099 4 300 7 271 9 329 11 022 9099 8533 4 286 6 264 9 328 12 013 8533 8052 3 278 6 257 9 327 12 007 8052 7677 3 265 6 253 9 326 10 005 7677 7415 3 259 5 251 8 325 8 004 7415 7255 2 256 5 248 8 325 6*003 7255 7163 2 253 4 247 6 323 3*003 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography