DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.3 - - 27.9 - - 25.3 - - 22.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 54 - - 6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 65 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 9075 - - 7161 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2383 - - 883 - - 2121 - - 2388 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 66 - - 21 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 204 - - 177 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1319 - - 1254 - - -210 - - -1074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8481 - - 7822 - - 7371 - - 8235 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8555 - - -4383 - - -6698 - - -7296 ODpotential blCL - - - 15717 - - 13458 - - 13859 - - 14457 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 78 - - 88 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.3 - - 27.9 - - 25.3 - - 22.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.7 - - 19.1 - - 18.4 - - 11.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 31.3 - - 29.6 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.6 - - 18.0 - - 17.6 - - 11.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 54 - - 6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 65 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 11 - - 52 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97111 80 095 62 093 69 084 71 086 97111 89924 71 094 63 098 67 083 76 088 89924 84313 51 096 58 095 63 087 71 091 84313 79582 38 094 39 090 54 080 66 090 79582 75472 30 079 35 083 32 076 44 075 75472 71835 18 070 23 053 24 078 25 072 71835 68531 15 047 21 033 20 056 19 056 68531 65475 12 010 13 355 21 007 22 042 65475 62633 15 005 8 003 15 334 22 006 62633 59882 20 358 16 357 14 342 23 351 59882 57012 28 337 24 335 20 333 28 335 57012 54040 28 323 26 329 26 328 29 322 54040 51209 31 318 34 319 31 322 32 323 51209 48675 37 315 36 309 33 325 34 325 48675 46416 43 311 40 316 39 324 35 325 46416 44372 43 312 50 321 43 317 38 323 44372 42510 53 321 56 314 44 317 41 321 42510 40803 64 308 56 308 47 315 46 319 40803 39225 65 296 54 308 49 312 47 316 39225 37757 60 296 52 307 50 314 46 312 37757 36395 56 297 53 306 52 313 46 307 36395 35111 56 299 56 305 54 306 50 302 35111 33848 63 298 61 303 52 296 50 295 33848 32579 76 292 64 298 49 290 52 287 32579 31302 79 296 67 298 48 296 54 285 31302 29999 72 307 67 303 47 301 52 284 29999 28660 63 307 60 306 48 301 47 283 28660 27289 56 302 55 303 48 299 44 282 27289 25885 50 305 54 302 48 296 43 278 25885 24454 46 309 50 306 47 292 39 275 24454 23002 44 313 44 307 43 288 35 273 23002 21526 43 318 42 302 38 283 35 269 21526 20020 44 321 40 296 34 278 33 259 20020 18511 44 320 36 298 30 272 29 246 18511 17069 42 319 32 303 25 269 26 238 17069 15758 39 318 29 309 20 271 25 234 15758 14585 35 320 28 314 16 276 23 230 14585 13529 30 324 27 318 13 280 22 228 13529 12572 25 327 25 319 11 282 20 226 12572 11703 21 329 20 318 10 280 18 224 11703 10916 17 328 14 317 9 270 16 220 10916 10205 14 326 10 318 7 252 14 213 10205 9562 12 320 7*319 6 231 12 204 9562 8974 10 312 4*313 5 210 10 188 8974 8443 8 300 2 223 4 190 8 167 8443 7993 5 287 4 194 3 177 7 137 7993 7641 3 260 5 191 3 170 6 120 7641 7397 2 218 5 189 2 171 4 096 7397 7247 2*209 5 188 2*171 3*072 7247 7160 2*201 4 187 1*172 1*043 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography