DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.0 - - 32.8 - - 33.5 - - 33.4 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 70 - - 51 - - 7 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1260 - - 2345 - - 2447 - - 1988 - - 1813 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 9764 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 10270 - - 11355 - - 11457 - - 10998 - - 10823 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1570 - - 1263 - - 1375 - - 1708 - - 2010 Hgt.Variab. W* 75 - - 241 - - 220 - - 109 - - 77 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 269 - - 242 - - 245 - - 247 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear 21 - - 15 - - 13 - - 16 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 3109 - - 4195 - - 4296 - - 3837 - - 3662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -109 - - 1833 - - 2122 - - 1454 - - 1278 ODpotential blCL 10379 - - 9522 - - 9335 - - 9544 - - 9545 blCL maxRH 87 - - 97 - - 99 - - 95 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.0 - - 32.8 - - 33.5 - - 33.4 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.3 - - 27.1 - - 29.4 - - 30.0 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.4 - - 35.9 - - 36.9 - - 37.2 - - 35.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 25.9 - - 28.4 - - 29.3 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 70 - - 51 - - 7 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1260 - - 2345 - - 2447 - - 1988 - - 1813 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 88 - - 95 - - 79 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96719 9 270 25 263 24 282 19 289 21 286 96719 89613 7 281 11 243 17 277 12 307 16 272 89613 84113 4 274 5 252 12 244 11 283 13 278 84113 79513 6 268 3 313 7 212 8 255 11 274 79513 75516 6 271 3 268 8 230 9 272 7 295 75516 71962 8 243 5 255 9 203 10 261 10 283 71962 68730 12 242 9 253 12 240 12 277 14 268 68730 65732 18 240 15 240 21 256 25 252 17 266 65732 62928 14 233 15 220 21 250 26 243 22 263 62928 60202 19 258 22 251 23 253 20 265 23 250 60202 57346 31 246 30 245 29 251 27 264 19 256 57346 54374 29 231 28 238 31 249 34 261 26 277 54374 51549 25 245 26 243 28 249 36 261 30 269 51549 49017 26 266 25 259 27 252 35 259 31 267 49017 46750 37 273 36 267 33 259 35 266 39 270 46750 44699 46 269 45 266 42 263 41 269 43 263 44699 42827 49 271 51 268 51 266 44 266 44 262 42827 41108 56 274 60 269 60 265 47 265 44 261 41108 39521 66 273 74 266 72 261 52 265 39 267 39521 38047 77 275 83 263 83 259 60 266 45 275 38047 36681 91 278 89 264 91 257 68 264 52 275 36681 35388 96 277 96 265 96 257 75 262 54 274 35388 34100 97 276 97 264 101 256 78 260 55 273 34100 32791 98 275 97 263 101 254 80 259 57 270 32791 31467 99 274 96 262 98 253 81 257 58 266 31467 30119 98 274 95 261 95 253 82 254 62 261 30119 28740 96 273 94 261 90 255 80 252 66 256 28740 27333 92 272 92 262 85 257 79 253 68 254 27333 25901 89 272 86 263 79 258 80 254 68 254 25901 24451 84 270 78 263 74 259 80 254 65 255 24451 22991 76 266 72 261 69 259 75 252 58 257 22991 21519 70 264 69 258 64 258 66 252 42 254 21519 20024 63 265 65 257 59 257 57 252 28 238 20024 18520 56 267 58 260 54 256 48 254 29 245 18520 17080 52 269 49 264 48 256 39 259 24 257 17080 15771 47 270 42 268 42 258 33 261 23 269 15771 14600 42 272 36 272 36 259 30 259 21 276 14600 13545 36 277 31 274 32 262 28 258 19 279 13545 12589 33 281 26 274 28 263 25 257 16 285 12589 11722 29 283 22*269 21*264 22*256 14 294 11722 10936 25*282 18*262 17*261 19*254 13*300 10936 10226 20*278 15 254 13 256 15 252 12*305 10226 9582 16 274 12 247 12 251 11 249 12 308 9582 8991 13 270 10 238 11 244 8 245 11 311 8991 8458 9 266 8 228 9 235 7 242 11 314 8458 8003 6 257 8 222 8 228 6 239 9 316 8003 7648 4 241 7 219 8 224 6 236 7 316 7648 7400 2 224 7 216 7 222 5 233 5 317 7400 7248 2 205 6 214 6 219 4 231 3 318 7248 7161 2 173 5 213 5 217 3 229 2 314 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography