DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.6 - - 34.9 - - 34.4 - - 31.5 - - 22.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 132 - - 474 - - 508 - - 248 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1920 - - 4152 - - 7167 - - 4752 - - 1014 BL Depth Hcrit 9898 - - 12008 - - 14461 - - 12243 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 10930 - - 13162 - - 16177 - - 13762 - - 10024 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 880 - - 697 - - 946 - - 4724 - - 3436 Hgt.Variab. W* 278 - - 541 - - 663 - - 456 - - 28 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 32 - - 33 - - 35 - - 25 - - 25 BL Wind Direction 311 - - 303 - - 301 - - 308 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 37 - - 28 - - 29 - - 13 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - -36 - - -47 - - -40 - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 903 - - 2753 - - 6612 - - 5260 - - 2864 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10028 - - 10409 - - 9566 - - 8502 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential -12221 - - -5488 - - 3346 - - 2191 - - -1168 ODpotential blCL 23151 - - 18650 - - 12831 - - 11571 - - 11192 blCL maxRH 95 - - 60 - - 87 - - 82 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 32.6 - - 34.9 - - 34.4 - - 31.5 - - 22.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.8 - - 14.3 - - 17.5 - - 19.4 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.5 - - 36.5 - - 36.0 - - 34.0 - - 29.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.6 - - 13.4 - - 16.7 - - 18.8 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 132 - - 474 - - 508 - - 248 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1920 - - 4152 - - 7167 - - 4752 - - 1014 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 0 - - 46 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97972 20 113 16 106 11 111 13 059 15 127 97972 90457 15 095 18 125 13 105 12 122 15 083 90457 84700 15 090 13 100 14 090 13 110 14 065 84700 79963 12 076 9 086 8 054 5 089 14 072 79963 75890 20 056 6 082 5 358 14 022 17 057 75890 72274 8 020 13 057 6 077 12 341 16 032 72274 68986 6 015 13 329 10 062 1 268 3 015 68986 65962 9 000 12 262 8 295 4 347 4 317 65962 63147 13 290 8 280 9 289 5 358 5 321 63147 60387 11 360 10 010 12 339 12 018 12 004 60387 57502 23 333 7 063 13 006 14 346 22 337 57502 54521 44 289 33 306 13 359 9 341 20 329 54521 51668 47 285 46 291 35 313 39 307 24 294 51668 49098 51 295 40 292 39 290 44 297 30 290 49098 46795 56 296 49 296 46 294 43 296 35 298 46795 44706 67 298 66 298 59 294 50 297 46 300 44706 42796 92 296 83 300 72 298 59 299 53 297 42796 41040 119 287 107 297 94 302 70 300 58 296 41040 39409 115 286 131 285 119 298 85 299 64 295 39409 37890 118 294 129 277 133 288 102 293 71 293 37890 36478 125 295 118 279 130 282 107 287 77 291 36478 35143 124 290 125 285 120 284 105 283 81 288 35143 33820 124 288 140 288 118 288 107 283 84 285 33820 32481 123 286 145 289 128 290 114 284 83 284 32481 31132 120 281 143 289 136 291 120 284 80 285 31132 29764 125 279 139 288 136 289 124 284 75 287 29764 28372 127 279 133 283 134 284 129 283 71 289 28372 26961 125 279 128 276 134 279 132 282 66 294 26961 25537 121 279 131 275 139 280 134 285 54 295 25537 24106 117 281 134 278 144 284 122 291 37 293 24106 22672 113 283 133 283 141 291 88 295 26 306 22672 21228 108 286 123 288 119 297 56 293 24 290 21228 19762 100 287 104 292 81 295 31 303 18 259 19762 18293 89 285 83 289 64 286 23 348 10 283 18293 16891 79 280 69 279 49*283 23 344 12 306 16891 15615 72 275 66 271 42*289 23 339 15 313 15615 14472 69 272 64 271 40 293 23*331 17 328 14472 13442 65 274 55*277 38 297 24*324 21 342 13442 12507 60 279 41*288 37 301 25 317 25 352 12507 11657 54*287 37 297 36 304 26 311 29 358 11657 10885 48*296 35 303 35 306 27 307 31 002 10885 10186 42 304 34 306 34 307 27 306 32*005 10186 9552 36 311 33 307 34 308 27 305 32*007 9552 8969 31 316 32 308 33 308 26 304 31 008 8969 8443 29 318 31 308 32 309 25 303 29 008 8443 7993 27 318 30 309 31 309 24 303 25 007 7993 7642 25 319 28 309 28 309 23 303 20 005 7642 7397 23 319 25 309 26 309 20 303 15 000 7397 7247 19 319 22 308 23 309 18 303 10 356 7247 7160 12 319 15 308 15 309 12 303 5 347 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography