DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.6 - - 35.0 - - 36.8 - - 37.5 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 137 - - 132 - - 63 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 432 - - 1235 - - 1553 - - 1234 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 9414 - - 9631 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9442 - - 10245 - - 10563 - - 10244 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1192 - - 1297 - - 2142 - - 2200 - - 4119 Hgt.Variab. W* 113 - - 242 - - 258 - - 188 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 21 - - 26 - - 29 - - 23 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 230 - - 242 - - 236 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 21 - - 22 - - 26 - - 28 - - 27 Wind Shear Max.Converg 20 - - 32 - - 33 - - 34 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2282 - - 3084 - - 3402 - - 3083 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential 1018 - - 1851 - - 2051 - - 1713 - - -1010 ODpotential blCL 8424 - - 8394 - - 8512 - - 8531 - - 8172 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 150 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 31.6 - - 35.0 - - 36.8 - - 37.5 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 33.3 - - 35.3 - - 36.2 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.2 - - 37.9 - - 39.8 - - 40.9 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 32.5 - - 34.5 - - 35.5 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 137 - - 132 - - 63 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 432 - - 1235 - - 1553 - - 1234 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 102 - - 96 - - 96 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96814 12 254 36 280 33 270 35 266 25 278 96814 89400 16 264 25 267 37 257 39 254 31 272 89400 83725 31 258 28 254 37 257 33 248 34 255 83725 79063 26 243 31 250 29 263 23 260 25 252 79063 75054 26 238 29 238 25 259 17 260 22 241 75054 71497 25 238 25 233 26 250 23 260 20 260 71497 68265 20 256 19 241 21 248 26 256 15 283 68265 65275 19 257 16 250 16 247 20 262 13 282 65275 62493 21 279 15 271 19 254 24 265 17 265 62493 59795 29 270 23 254 19 251 18 262 17 257 59795 56967 26 257 20 265 18 282 16 279 13 269 56967 54014 22 266 28 269 22 278 24 275 24 262 54014 51200 25 272 25 256 28 272 29 270 27 266 51200 48680 32 286 33 277 33 266 32 273 35 269 48680 46419 46 285 42 277 32 273 36 273 36 265 46419 44367 49 273 47 274 41 272 41 269 42 264 44367 42495 46 273 51 269 53 265 51 266 50 265 42495 40783 54 279 58 267 69 260 66 261 63 265 40783 39213 61 281 67 265 80 258 79 256 72 260 39213 37768 62 280 71 262 83 255 88 251 80 258 37768 36435 60 278 70 260 82 253 91 249 86 257 36435 35176 60 277 69 260 80 252 90 251 89 255 35176 33925 60 275 69 260 78 253 89 254 88 255 33925 32655 60 275 68 260 76 255 89 256 88 256 32655 31370 60 274 68 261 74 257 88 257 88 257 31370 30058 59 273 66 264 71 258 86 256 85 256 30058 28711 58 273 64 266 69 258 84 256 83 255 28711 27331 57 273 62 265 67 257 83 258 80 255 27331 25923 55 274 61 264 65 256 81 260 79 256 25923 24490 52 275 59 263 63 255 78 261 78 258 24490 23037 50 274 56 261 61 254 70 259 75 258 23037 21560 50 272 52 257 59 252 60 253 70 255 21560 20056 52 271 50 255 57 250 60 253 61 250 20056 18550 51 270 47 256 55 251 59 253 56 243 18550 17113 46 265 45 258 53 253 58 252 56 240 17113 15806 42 259 44 258 52 256 58 253 57 239 15806 14635 40 255 42 257 49 261 57 254 58 241 14635 13580 41 253 41 256 46 266 54 254 59 244 13580 12623 41 253 39 254 43 268 52 253 59 248 12623 11753 40 254 37 252 40 265 49 251 57 253 11753 10964 37 255 33*248 37*260 46 249 54 257 10964 10250 34 255 29*244 35*255 42*246 50 259 10250 9602 31*254 26 237 32 249 39*243 45 259 9602 9007 27*254 22 230 29 244 36 240 39 258 9007 8469 23 253 21 226 26 239 32 237 34 256 8469 8010 17 250 19 222 23 235 28 233 28 253 8010 7652 13 246 17 220 21 232 25 230 22 249 7652 7402 11 242 16 218 19 230 22 228 17 246 7402 7249 9 241 14 216 16 229 18 227 14*244 7249 7161 6 237 9 213 10 226 12 225 7*240 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography