DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 68.4 - - 73.2 - - 70.1 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 115 - - 216 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4229 - - 9833 - - 8294 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 11467 - - 16151 - - 7147 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 7164 - - 13239 - - 18843 - - 17304 - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1230 - - 4769 - - 2735 - - 3331 - - 8715 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 343 - - 552 - - 107 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 16 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 018 - - 253 - - 261 - - 262 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 17 - - 16 - - 12 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - 13 - - 17 - - 10 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5914 - - -1913 - - 2098 - - 1245 - - -6981 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13079 - - 15152 - - 16746 - - 16060 - - 14146 sfcLCL ODpotential -12284 - - -6395 - - -1203 - - -2374 - - -12013 ODpotential blCL 19448 - - 19634 - - 20046 - - 19678 - - 19177 blCL maxRH 75 - - 85 - - 78 - - 75 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 68.4 - - 73.2 - - 70.1 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.4 - - 27.1 - - 24.5 - - 24.7 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.4 - - 71.3 - - 75.4 - - 74.3 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.4 - - 25.9 - - 23.5 - - 23.8 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 115 - - 216 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4229 - - 9833 - - 8294 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 42 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97834 2 078 3 064 4 234 5 039 2 166 97834 90553 7 050 1 029 4 357 8 049 9 061 90553 84921 12 048 6 129 2 264 7 011 14 044 84921 80254 9 023 5 081 3 077 10 352 12 018 80254 76256 7 019 5 032 3 036 8 328 12 004 76256 72728 9 354 10 014 6 342 8 319 10 000 72728 69526 10 339 12 340 13 333 12 327 13 316 69526 66600 15 340 13 318 17 330 15 338 15 314 66600 63897 18 330 15 319 19 324 19 321 19 324 63897 61259 23 318 20 319 22 300 26 301 24 313 61259 58488 30 307 25 322 24 291 30 294 28 303 58488 55607 35 295 28 313 23 297 31 296 29 298 55607 52866 33 286 30 301 24 309 27 297 26 301 52866 50405 29 289 30 295 28 311 23 299 21 308 50405 48196 29 293 27 296 29 303 20 306 19 320 48196 46183 28 289 24 300 26 295 20 311 18 329 46183 44332 28 286 24 302 21 294 18 305 14 342 44332 42617 33 278 26 292 18 287 12 309 12 358 42617 41021 33 276 29 274 18 280 11 317 11 009 41021 39532 31 272 27 267 23 261 15 293 9 020 39532 38149 28 246 29 247 22 251 18 269 5 006 38149 36843 23 227 26 212 22 240 17 247 4 319 36843 35548 26 226 26 212 21 231 14 234 3 262 35548 34233 27 236 25 230 23 245 10 247 3 179 34233 32900 28 251 24 239 24 250 12 251 3 153 32900 31535 29 260 23 248 24 252 15 244 2 180 31535 30130 29 263 24 255 23 252 17 245 4 232 30130 28688 30 261 25 258 23 253 18 246 8 240 28688 27214 32 257 28 258 24 255 17 247 12 247 27214 25709 32 255 28 257 24 257 19 245 14 254 25709 24176 28 253 26 255 22 257 20 246 16 256 24176 22612 24 248 25 250 21 253 20 250 18 260 22612 21010 22 250 25 245 22 247 18 252 19 261 21010 19398 22 258 25 247 23*249 18 250 20 258 19398 17853 22 266 24 254 24*256 18*251 20 253 17853 16447 23 273 24 261 23 263 17*256 19 249 16447 15187 23 278 22 266 21 267 16 260 18 246 15187 14051 20 279 21*270 19 269 14 263 17 247 14051 13021 16 274 18*271 16 268 13 264 16 250 13021 12084 13 263 16 266 14 265 12 264 14 256 12084 11235 11 252 14 258 14 263 12 265 13 265 11235 10467 10 247 12 252 13 257 12 264 12 275 10467 9771 9 246 10 246 13 254 12 263 11 285 9771 9133 9 249 8 241 12 250 12 262 10 296 9133 8558 7 256 6 232 12 247 12 262 9 310 8558 8068 6 275 5 223 11 245 11 261 9 321 8068 7685 4 316 4 218 11 243 11 260 8 328 7685 7420 5 004 4 214 10 242 10 259 7 335 7420 7256 6*024 4 212 10 241 8 258 6*339 7256 7163 5*019 3 208 8 239 6 258 4*347 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography