DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 84.7 - - 84.0 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 290 - - 85 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9289 - - 12557 - - 12921 - - 10796 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15808 - - 18566 - - 17776 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18299 - - 21567 - - 21931 - - 19806 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3744 - - 2813 - - 2435 - - 2513 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 567 - - 665 - - 453 - - 71 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 14 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 225 - - 208 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 13 - - 9 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 15 - - 12 - - 121 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2607 - - 4632 - - 5289 - - 5031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15693 - - 16936 - - 16642 - - 14776 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -922 - - 1081 - - 1799 - - 2043 ODpotential blCL - - - 19221 - - 20486 - - 20132 - - 17763 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 82 - - 83 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 290 - - 340 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 84.7 - - 84.0 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 35.0 - - 35.7 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 86.5 - - 87.0 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 33.9 - - 34.7 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 290 - - 85 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9289 - - 12557 - - 12921 - - 10796 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 30 - - 31 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99459 15 101 15 105 16 093 7 115 99459 91979 14 093 9 117 13 086 14 092 91979 86172 11 109 9 135 7 073 15 084 86172 81353 14 124 10 131 5 120 11 073 81353 77198 15 126 10 119 9 154 7 065 77198 73533 9 088 9 086 8 130 2 068 73533 70238 2 137 6 085 7 085 4 097 70238 67228 7 168 4 162 4 333 10 052 67228 64451 7 110 6 133 6 235 3 000 64451 61771 13 086 5 146 9 215 6 251 61771 58984 7 358 5 091 9 181 12 212 58984 56100 19 261 21 267 14 288 5 312 56100 53353 25 234 31 240 28 262 21 281 53353 50893 22 250 30 231 32 243 29 243 50893 48701 33 267 27 242 34 239 31 228 48701 46716 46 264 36 253 38 239 34 237 46716 44897 53 252 50 242 44 237 43 239 44897 43216 50 249 56 239 50 238 52 234 43216 41652 45 252 54 238 55 238 55 231 41652 40186 46 251 46 236 55 238 56 231 40186 38810 44 253 41 231 51 236 55 230 38810 37494 40 250 39 229 48 233 52 231 37494 36178 38 245 40 230 46 229 49 230 36178 34835 35 245 38 228 44 229 46 226 34835 33467 34 245 33 222 41 236 43 227 33467 32064 32 242 28 221 35 230 40 227 32064 30619 23 245 24 222 33 214 35 221 30619 29137 18 253 18 213 31 206 34 211 29137 27621 16 256 14 209 27 205 28 199 27621 26076 16 253 13 214 24 203 25 181 26076 24507 15 246 14 220 21 202 17 172 24507 22912 15 243 15*223 18*203 8 154 22912 21284 15 245 16*230 13*210 7*120 21284 19646 17*248 17 239 8 226 7*122 19646 18078 17*253 15 242 6 230 9 145 18078 16651 14 260 11 243 6 225 11 162 16651 15371 12 265 7 234 6 220 12 171 15371 14212 10 253 5 221 6 210 14 176 14212 13161 8 233 5 214 6 205 15 181 13161 12204 7 214 5 208 6 199 16 184 12204 11336 6 201 6 202 7 195 18 189 11336 10550 4 184 6 196 7 191 19 192 10550 9838 4 160 6 192 7 189 20 194 9838 9186 4 155 7 190 7 188 20 196 9186 8596 4 151 7 187 7 188 20 196 8596 8093 4 150 7 185 7 186 18 196 8093 7701 4 149 7 185 7 186 15 194 7701 7428 4 149 7 183 7 185 11 192 7428 7261 4 147 6 183 6 185 7 190 7261 7164 3 150 6 182 5 185 3 189 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography