DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.2 - - 39.4 - - 41.4 - - 37.1 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 14 - - 30 - - -30 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 327 - - 624 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9337 - - 9634 - - 7163 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2019 - - 928 - - 791 - - 1865 - - 1289 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 75 - - 120 - - 10 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 19 - - 20 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 289 - - 290 - - 298 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 22 - - 29 - - 23 - - 26 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 13 - - -13 - - -14 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2176 - - 2473 - - 2 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -888 - - 1209 - - 311 - - -7680 - - -9377 ODpotential blCL 8050 - - 8128 - - 9323 - - 14843 - - 16539 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 71 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.2 - - 39.4 - - 41.4 - - 37.1 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.0 - - 37.3 - - 36.5 - - 33.3 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 43.2 - - 44.9 - - 43.4 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 36.8 - - 35.6 - - 32.6 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 14 - - 30 - - -30 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 327 - - 624 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 75 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96254 44 013 49 010 31 003 36 358 36 348 96254 89344 32 021 38 011 37 017 25 014 17 358 89344 83859 33 020 25 021 34 018 28 009 25 001 83859 79239 28 011 13 013 23 004 27 359 27 004 79239 75254 19 327 11 026 10 013 21 355 23 007 75254 71725 23 347 19 337 15 354 21 352 20 346 71725 68523 27 350 22 340 19 338 17 354 20 352 68523 65557 27 342 21 354 19 334 19 001 27 348 65557 62806 24 324 24 328 29 306 23 322 27 324 62806 60183 17 324 20 321 24 298 25 305 16 336 60183 57459 18 351 14 034 20 349 22 333 15 359 57459 54607 44 323 44 340 34 355 39 336 35 329 54607 51894 57 312 65 320 47 328 56 329 51 328 51894 49480 59 312 69 314 60 320 65 328 61 324 49480 47332 59 317 69 314 69 319 70 317 66 315 47332 45399 64 321 65 314 71 313 70 309 66 311 45399 43640 76 325 66 318 69 310 66 303 65 309 43640 42020 83 326 72 324 69 313 63 300 67 305 42020 40511 81 327 78 326 70 311 64 301 69 301 40511 39096 76 325 78 322 69 308 67 301 69 298 39096 37763 68 322 73 314 66 306 70 297 69 293 37763 36486 59 320 68 308 64 307 69 293 68 290 36486 35206 59 319 64 307 63 307 67 291 66 291 35206 33896 59 317 61 307 60 306 64 291 64 291 33896 32565 60 313 58 307 59 305 61 292 60 291 32565 31201 59 308 55 307 58 305 58 294 56 289 31201 29799 59 306 54 308 58 305 56 296 55 289 29799 28362 60 306 54 309 56 304 56 299 54 289 28362 26891 63 309 55 310 54 304 57 304 54 291 26891 25391 64 312 56 310 53 305 58 307 55 293 25391 23866 64 315 57 311 52 309 58 308 55 294 23866 22309 64 316 57 312 53 312 57 307 55 295 22309 20717 66 317 57 314 54 314 56 306 55 294 20717 19113 67 317 57 316 54 314 55 306 54 294 19113 17579 67 317 58 315 54 313 54 306 53 294 17579 16185 64 317 59 314 54 310 53 305 52 294 16185 14939 61 316 59 312 54 308 52 303 51 295 14939 13819 58 316 58 311 54 306 51 301 49 295 13819 12808 56 317 55 309 52 303 50 299 48 296 12808 11893 54 316 51 308 50 299 50 298 46 297 11893 11067 53 315 48 306 46 296 49 298 45 298 11067 10323 51 312 43 303 42 295 47 299 43 300 10323 9652 46 309 38*301 37*293 45 300 41 301 9652 9039 39 307 32*298 31*293 41 300 38 302 9039 8489 29 304 26 293 24 291 34 301 32 303 8489 8022 19 299 20 288 21 290 26 300 24 304 8022 7658 10 288 15 281 16 288 17 299 16 305 7658 7405 4 256 10 273 14 287 9 296 8 308 7405 7250 3*207 7 267 11 285 3*290 2*322 7250 7161 4*162 4 259 8 284 0*191 2*118 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography