DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 37.3 - - 34.0 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 30 - - 0 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 352 - - 2962 - - 2179 - - 578 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 11972 - - 11189 - - 9588 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2400 - - 2119 - - 2144 - - 2524 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 55 - - 201 - - 41 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 175 - - 141 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - 5 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 12 - - -6 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2201 - - 4811 - - 4028 - - 2427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1522 - - 2393 - - 1525 - - 530 ODpotential blCL - - - 7840 - - 9579 - - 9664 - - 9058 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 98 - - 96 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 150 - - 110 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 37.3 - - 34.0 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 32.9 - - 32.8 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 40.8 - - 39.6 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 32.0 - - 33.6 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 30 - - 0 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 352 - - 2962 - - 2179 - - 578 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 94 - - 83 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96705 35 065 27 050 24 066 22 079 96705 89678 23 065 20 045 23 063 22 071 89678 84183 17 066 15 074 20 063 18 056 84183 79575 11 071 17 095 13 079 14 064 79575 75576 8 057 16 098 11 079 11 090 75576 72030 3 047 13 077 8 096 9 108 72030 68810 9 115 5 109 4 078 6 112 68810 65839 8 073 7 132 2 143 6 131 65839 63079 1 352 0 256 4 231 9 124 63079 60410 4 242 3 295 6 210 8 153 60410 57626 8 230 9 254 5 263 6 132 57626 54728 12 246 18 222 22 228 9 263 54728 51958 15 248 16 228 20 208 20 224 51958 49472 18 245 17 245 11 218 20 206 49472 47246 11 247 11 226 12 204 20 191 47246 45222 5 263 7 178 9 182 20 179 45222 43361 3 218 13 178 10 173 25 162 43361 41632 5 271 12 156 15 165 25 151 41632 40016 15 260 10 184 16 172 14 137 40016 38505 14 244 9 200 12 173 14 116 38505 37095 14 192 5 225 6 135 20 099 37095 35751 23 142 14 160 11 114 22 087 35751 34413 30 125 27 128 18 106 23 080 34413 33058 33 116 29 120 25 109 25 079 33058 31701 36 112 36 113 37 109 31 091 31701 30331 42 111 46 110 41 107 37 090 30331 28938 45 108 53 109 36 113 29 090 28938 27525 55 108 51 112 28 125 25 099 27525 26095 54 112 33 122 21 139 19 103 26095 24650 41 120 20 142 21 157 14 128 24650 23186 26 131 19 168 24 169 14 156 23186 21698 17 155 23 180 22 175 16 164 21698 20177 13 179 23 182 20 180 16 168 20177 18649 14 200 19 182 19 186 15 176 18649 17190 15 199 14 187 16 187 13 179 17190 15865 12 192 12 193 12 184 11 172 15865 14681 10 185 13 199 10 185 9 172 14681 13614 10 179 13 204 9 191 8 190 13614 12649 10 174 12*206 9 193 8 208 12649 11772 9 169 11*204 7*188 8 217 11772 10977 8 165 10 195 5*176 6 215 10977 10258 7 161 10 184 4 154 5 204 10258 9607 7*158 10 173 4 137 4*178 9607 9010 7*153 10 161 5 128 5*153 9010 8470 8 148 9 157 5 129 5 144 8470 8011 8 145 9 156 4 135 3 142 8011 7652 7 143 8 155 3 141 2 111 7652 7402 6 142 7 155 2 145 3 049 7402 7249 5 139 6 154 0 149 4 020 7249 7161 3 138 5 154 0 319 3 014 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography