DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 8.9 - - 15.5 - - 24.7 - - 21.5 - - 14.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - -3 - - 26 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2482 - - 2550 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7161 - - 11492 - - 11560 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 974 - - 2060 - - 1979 - - 1317 - - 3947 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 9 - - 178 - - 45 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 17 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 315 - - 283 - - 296 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 17 - - 20 - - 23 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -16 - - 13 - - -7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -570 - - 2 - - 3854 - - 4400 - - -203 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7732 - - 7160 - - 7639 - - 7160 - - 7364 sfcLCL ODpotential -4354 - - -4186 - - 1288 - - 1292 - - -2320 ODpotential blCL 11515 - - 11347 - - 10204 - - 10268 - - 9481 blCL maxRH 77 - - 76 - - 91 - - 93 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 8.9 - - 15.5 - - 24.7 - - 21.5 - - 14.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.9 - - 10.3 - - 16.5 - - 16.6 - - 8.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.7 - - 21.5 - - 28.3 - - 27.4 - - 24.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.7 - - 10.2 - - 15.4 - - 16.3 - - 15.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - -3 - - 26 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2482 - - 2550 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 3 - - 62 - - 71 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95689 30 318 38 306 47 309 48 315 46 298 95689 88686 26 340 35 319 36 321 29 325 38 321 88686 83219 25 355 24 336 33 335 22 337 31 329 83219 78647 25 357 15 352 27 339 24 336 21 328 78647 74652 27 341 18 342 18 334 21 315 20 324 74652 71078 23 333 19 332 12 341 21 303 22 328 71078 67832 32 314 30 306 28 310 27 305 29 318 67832 64847 34 289 34 289 34 302 30 302 34 308 64847 62069 34 286 33 288 37 288 36 294 34 301 62069 59371 33 288 34 294 36 283 40 292 37 296 59371 56550 32 292 36 290 38 282 44 289 42 287 56550 53610 37 290 39 284 42 280 45 287 44 279 53610 50795 46 284 43 283 46 276 48 286 46 278 50795 48261 52 278 48 281 49 276 49 282 47 280 48261 45993 55 276 53 276 52 273 50 278 50 282 45993 43940 59 274 56 269 54 269 53 273 50 280 43940 42067 62 273 57 268 54 268 53 265 50 273 42067 40346 65 268 61 265 54 269 48 260 50 267 40346 38757 65 265 63 264 52 268 43 265 44 268 38757 37291 66 265 63 265 49 267 45 269 39 273 37291 35936 67 266 62 264 48 266 44 268 31 272 35936 34660 68 266 60 263 47 265 34 265 19 269 34660 33400 69 265 58 263 44 264 25 267 9 328 33400 32133 71 264 57 264 40 265 15 288 17 042 32133 30860 74 265 59 265 34 267 9 357 23 052 30860 29564 80 266 65 266 28 272 16 047 24 051 29564 28233 84 266 69 265 25 277 24 061 22 053 28233 26872 85 265 68 264 27 277 26 062 20 057 26872 25483 79 266 59 263 32 271 18 053 19 051 25483 24073 67 267 50 262 34 264 9 341 19 042 24073 22646 52 272 43 262 34 262 21 280 18 038 22646 21203 41 274 38 268 33 266 24 274 8 340 21203 19738 35 270 34 272 32 268 26 274 13 294 19738 18270 33 270 31 275 30 270 27 276 17 291 18270 16865 31 273 30 278 29 276 27 279 20 288 16865 15588 30 276 30 280 28 282 26 282 21 288 15588 14443 29 276 30 280 28 286 25 286 22 290 14443 13411 27 275 30 279 28 287 26 289 23 290 13411 12475 26 273 29 278 29 286 26 292 25 292 12475 11626 24 274 28 278 28*285 26*293 26 296 11626 10856 23 277 27 278 25*284 24*296 27 301 10856 10162 21 281 26 278 22 285 23 297 27 304 10162 9532 20 286 24 279 19 285 22 297 25 306 9532 8954 18 291 23 282 17 284 20 297 22 306 8954 8431 16 297 20 287 15 283 18 296 19 306 8431 7985 14 306 16 297 13 281 15 294 14 305 7985 7637 11 318 11 312 11 278 11 291 9 303 7637 7394 8 336 8 331 9 276 8 286 5 299 7394 7245 6*357 5*350 8 275 5 281 2*304 7245 7160 4*014 2*030 5 271 2 272 1*025 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography