DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 54.1 - - 55.6 - - 57.8 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 55 - - 92 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 965 - - 1490 - - 1241 - - 608 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 7146 - - 9378 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7164 - - 9975 - - 10500 - - 10251 - - 9618 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3976 - - 1225 - - 1970 - - 5956 - - 5451 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 170 - - 231 - - 136 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 134 - - 159 - - 141 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 16 - - 20 - - 12 - - 5 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -169 - - 2813 - - 3338 - - 3088 - - 2455 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7333 - - 7163 - - 7163 - - 7163 - - 7163 sfcLCL ODpotential -4848 - - 1326 - - 1677 - - -814 - - -893 ODpotential blCL 12012 - - 8649 - - 8823 - - 11065 - - 10511 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 99 - - 84 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 360 - - 670 - - 1050 - - 1190 - - 1220 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 54.1 - - 55.6 - - 57.8 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 51.7 - - 52.9 - - 51.6 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.2 - - 57.2 - - 58.5 - - 61.4 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 50.7 - - 51.7 - - 50.5 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 55 - - 92 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 965 - - 1490 - - 1241 - - 608 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 101 - - 97 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99031 11 131 11 188 7 354 9 065 2 259 99031 91649 10 160 7 207 1 257 6 358 2 008 91649 85930 8 254 4 216 8 194 11 285 9 348 85930 81178 5 270 8 289 8 238 12 269 8 325 81178 77065 10 281 7 265 10 262 14 269 17 303 77065 73415 16 276 14 264 12 260 15 275 16 287 73415 70113 13 277 17 270 14 254 15 261 12 254 70113 67088 11 255 14 254 16 251 14 259 10 258 67088 64278 6 284 11 237 9 226 11 268 9 301 64278 61561 15 255 11 257 14 247 14 266 14 256 61561 58743 13 246 17 238 16 233 17 246 11 239 58743 55797 17 262 17 234 19 240 18 252 15 268 55797 52959 33 234 30 224 34 231 33 246 36 238 52959 50397 40 210 38 216 41 224 47 235 42 233 50397 48116 36 198 46 221 43 223 50 222 48 223 48116 46076 43 217 56 225 42 232 51 216 51 207 46076 44216 64 221 72 223 57 233 54 222 47 212 44216 42498 82 213 82 212 73 221 61 223 53 222 42498 40906 89 204 79 200 72 207 63 217 61 223 40906 39424 91 199 73 201 64 205 64 209 62 221 39424 38042 84 199 72 204 61 210 61 205 64 217 38042 36728 78 202 72 204 62 212 59 205 64 215 36728 35418 78 205 70 203 63 210 58 208 63 214 35418 34086 78 204 69 202 63 209 59 212 60 215 34086 32736 75 202 68 201 62 209 60 215 58 216 32736 31356 70 202 67 200 62 210 60 217 56 216 31356 29941 62 205 67 200 62 210 60 219 54 216 29941 28493 52 207 66 201 61 210 59 218 53 215 28493 27013 45 207 60 204 59 210 57 217 53 216 27013 25506 42 208 49 205 57 211 55 217 53 217 25506 23974 42 207 54 205 55 210 53 216 51 219 23974 22417 42 204 50 204 53 209 50 217 49 222 22417 20828 40 202 48 206 48 209 45 217 48 222 20828 19232 37 200 44 207 42 210 41 217 47 214 19232 17705 34 193 42 206 38 211 40 217 44 207 17705 16317 31 178 39 207 32 210 37 217 38 204 16317 15075 31 171 32 204 29 209 32 218 29 206 15075 13956 30 173 25 202 26 205 26 217 19 217 13956 12944 27 179 19 201 24 203 22 216 14 230 12944 12023 23 188 16 199 20 205 19 214 12 234 12023 11186 20 201 12 180 16*203 16 211 10 232 11186 10429 17 215 13*147 12*193 12*205 9 228 10429 9743 14 223 14*130 10 170 9*193 7*221 9743 9113 12 218 14 129 9 154 6 157 6*207 9113 8543 10 194 12 139 9 150 6 129 4 192 8543 8059 9 166 11 137 8 147 6 121 3 171 8059 7680 8 150 10 135 8 146 5 117 1 163 7680 7417 4 145 10 135 7 145 5 117 1 322 7417 7256 1*329 9 136 7 146 4 116 3 337 7256 7163 3*346 6 136 5 146 3 116 2 335 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography