DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 35.1 - - 30.7 - - 28.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 6 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1157 - - 1957 - - 1118 - - 897 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 22 - - 5 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 267 - - 202 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 2 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2646 - - -1434 - - -1094 - - -3257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9809 - - 8597 - - 8257 - - 10420 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12250 - - -9593 - - -9538 - - -12398 ODpotential blCL - - - 19412 - - 16755 - - 16700 - - 19560 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 54 - - 56 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 35.1 - - 30.7 - - 28.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.3 - - 23.0 - - 20.2 - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 39.4 - - 38.2 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.0 - - 21.9 - - 19.0 - - 10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 6 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97297 31 073 35 064 20 064 13 080 97297 90134 22 096 22 070 21 058 18 071 90134 84515 21 079 23 063 23 052 23 059 84515 79825 18 076 21 043 17 039 28 038 79825 75775 16 082 10 040 15 021 26 023 75775 72170 16 060 5 073 11 018 19 022 72170 68883 12 031 6 009 12 008 13 032 68883 65846 5 011 10 353 19 003 13 030 65846 63027 18 019 16 004 25 350 17 014 63027 60313 38 015 22 013 26 346 30 356 60313 57505 40 001 26 360 33 350 36 345 57505 54612 37 355 34 353 42 354 42 349 54612 51864 42 348 44 349 48 348 45 345 51864 49401 47 348 47 350 47 347 46 343 49401 47200 51 350 51 350 47 349 46 341 47200 45211 48 349 54 344 47 349 44 339 45211 43402 46 348 48 335 45 327 45 339 43402 41743 45 341 42 328 45 327 48 333 41743 40213 47 333 51 334 49 335 49 332 40213 38792 49 329 67 331 57 329 53 330 38792 37466 49 329 67 327 64 325 56 325 37466 36202 50 329 65 327 64 322 65 319 36202 34941 50 329 63 326 63 323 69 315 34941 33651 52 330 60 323 61 323 70 314 33651 32339 53 331 58 323 62 321 69 316 32339 30994 54 332 59 323 63 320 67 317 30994 29607 54 334 60 322 63 320 66 318 29607 28184 52 335 59 322 62 321 68 320 28184 26724 52 335 59 324 61 322 67 323 26724 25234 53 338 56 326 60 324 59 325 25234 23717 51 342 52 327 55 325 50 323 23717 22172 46 347 48 327 50 324 45 323 22172 20594 41 351 42 329 44 323 40 325 20594 19010 37 353 36 333 38 322 36 325 19010 17497 34 352 32 338 33 324 34 324 17497 16122 32 352 29 342 29 328 31 324 16122 14891 30 352 27 345 26 332 29 325 14891 13784 27 354 25 345 24 333 26 326 13784 12782 25 357 23 344 22 332 23 328 12782 11874 22 001 20 341 20 328 21 331 11874 11053 20 006 17 340 18 323 19 334 11053 10312 17 012 13 337 16 317 18 336 10312 9644 15 018 10 331 14 312 17 338 9644 9033 12 024 7 321 12 308 16 339 9033 8483 10 031 7 304 11 306 14 339 8483 8017 8 033 6 287 10 303 12 338 8017 7655 6 023 5 274 7 301 9 335 7655 7403 5 001 3 248 3 292 6 329 7403 7249 3*337 2*181 1*134 3*312 7249 7161 1*330 2*165 2*128 2*280 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography