DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 59.3 - - - - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 190 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 629 - - 2512 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 10442 - - - - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9639 - - 11522 - - - - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 937 - - 1027 - - - - - 2963 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 335 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 243 - - - - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 20 - - - - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 17 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3427 - - -3424 - - - - - -3695 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13067 - - 14947 - - - - - 10858 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11273 - - -9900 - - - - - -12714 ODpotential blCL - - - 20912 - - 21422 - - - - - 19877 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 64 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 59.3 - - - - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.7 - - 19.1 - - - - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 61.7 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.6 - - 18.2 - - - - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 190 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 629 - - 2512 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97558 10 269 10 258 15 298 97558 90309 4 233 10 268 5 325 90309 84667 4 009 7 210 10 305 84667 79974 9 279 9 273 12 308 79974 75945 9 264 14 260 20 292 75945 72397 13 290 16 272 18 293 72397 69184 17 275 21 296 26 299 69184 66246 18 261 30 282 34 289 66246 63531 22 288 30 273 28 276 63531 60881 29 288 29 281 29 291 60881 58101 37 274 40 277 40 292 58101 55225 42 258 46 267 44 283 55225 52494 46 252 46 259 44 277 52494 50046 48 254 48 254 46 272 50046 47849 50 255 51 256 48 269 47849 45851 51 254 52 256 49 260 45851 44028 49 250 51 255 47 250 44028 42360 43 239 46 245 45 252 42360 40819 37 235 40 241 42 253 40819 39378 32 236 39 244 40 252 39378 38027 31 235 38 243 39 252 38027 36735 28 239 34 245 38 244 36735 35443 23 249 30 249 36 243 35443 34124 20 257 29 255 36 248 34124 32782 19 258 28 258 35 254 32782 31408 20 254 26 253 35 258 31408 29996 22 248 27 246 36 259 29996 28548 21 245 28 243 34 256 28548 27067 23 248 30 241 32 252 27067 25556 25 250 30 241 30 251 25556 24018 26 252 29 243 29 249 24018 22449 27 251 29 244 28 249 22449 20843 27 247 28 244 27 251 20843 19227 27 243 27 245 26 251 19227 17681 27 240 26 249 26 250 17681 16275 27 239 27 253 26 251 16275 15018 28 240 28 256 27 254 15018 13889 28 243 29 258 27 257 13889 12871 29 246 30 257 27 260 12871 11949 28 248 28*258 26 263 11949 11117 27 250 25*259 24 265 11117 10367 25 252 18 255 22 265 10367 9689 22*251 15 247 18 261 9689 9070 16*247 13 241 13 252 9070 8512 9 231 12 232 9 232 8512 8038 6 208 11 228 6 204 8038 7668 6 203 11 224 5 181 7668 7410 5 198 10 221 3 159 7410 7253 5 195 9 220 2*109 7253 7162 4 192 8 217 2*074 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography