DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 40.7 - - 45.9 - - 39.5 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - -8 - - 3 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7163 - - 7163 - - 7163 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 590 - - 1723 - - 3153 - - 2460 - - 1706 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 14 - - 22 - - 5 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 323 - - 304 - - 232 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -8 - - -5 - - 8 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2891 - - -4861 - - -3008 - - -2168 - - -3909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10054 - - 12024 - - 10171 - - 9331 - - 11072 sfcLCL ODpotential -13376 - - -14217 - - -12161 - - -11339 - - -12310 ODpotential blCL 20538 - - 21380 - - 19324 - - 18502 - - 19473 blCL maxRH 92 - - 71 - - 71 - - 66 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 40.7 - - 45.9 - - 39.5 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.8 - - 13.8 - - 26.6 - - 24.1 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.9 - - 46.3 - - 49.9 - - 48.2 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.7 - - 12.9 - - 25.4 - - 22.8 - - 14.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - -8 - - 3 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95836 49 027 45 009 52 010 58 018 56 032 95836 89028 32 038 40 025 37 017 36 013 40 013 89028 83718 28 046 31 039 27 034 25 031 33 021 83718 79231 40 022 32 031 30 020 30 030 35 029 79231 75320 37 014 29 021 26 012 37 012 33 020 75320 71860 19 032 15 060 14 033 21 010 22 018 71860 68704 21 017 21 031 18 033 19 028 15 046 68704 65762 28 002 34 356 30 356 29 359 25 007 65762 63032 35 353 35 001 32 354 29 352 28 352 63032 60403 25 337 33 354 30 346 27 335 29 336 60403 57677 27 332 33 335 31 338 24 333 26 326 57677 54848 42 338 38 331 33 334 29 332 29 328 54848 52132 52 326 45 331 43 331 38 330 32 328 52132 49678 52 320 47 327 48 324 46 324 38 326 49678 47474 50 322 44 327 45 320 47 315 39 317 47474 45468 51 322 41 322 39 315 43 312 37 318 45468 43624 49 317 38 313 33 309 38 311 36 320 43624 41920 43 313 34 305 28 301 33 307 35 315 41920 40341 38 313 27 309 23 299 32 297 31 297 40341 38874 36 316 31 316 22 297 38 282 32 284 38874 37515 34 318 34 297 26 284 37 267 36 274 37515 36229 33 313 33 289 29 271 33 251 37 261 36229 34947 32 305 29 294 27 264 33 242 37 249 34947 33644 30 303 26 297 25 259 33 243 37 245 33644 32330 29 304 24 297 25 255 35 245 41 241 32330 30993 29 305 25 294 27 260 36 247 42 237 30993 29621 30 309 28 294 30 269 35 252 37 245 29621 28211 31 314 30 300 30 278 32 260 35 259 28211 26767 33 318 32 306 31 290 29 270 34 267 26767 25292 36 322 33 312 33 298 29 281 33 276 25292 23788 37 323 32 316 32 301 31 289 31 285 23788 22251 37 323 32 318 29 305 30 290 28 289 22251 20675 37 321 32 320 28 309 27 294 27 292 20675 19088 37 320 31 320 28 312 25 302 27 294 19088 17568 37 320 29 319 26 314 25 308 26 295 17568 16185 36 321 27 317 25 314 23 311 25 295 16185 14948 36 323 25 316 23 313 21 310 23 295 14948 13835 35 325 24 315 21 311 19 307 20 293 13835 12827 34 326 23 315 19 309 17 304 18 291 12827 11913 33 327 22 316 18 307 16 300 16 287 11913 11086 33 328 21 316 16 306 14 297 14 282 11086 10340 32 328 20 318 15 305 12 293 12 276 10340 9667 32 328 19 319 14 304 10 290 10 269 9667 9052 31 328 18 319 13 304 8 284 9 263 9052 8498 28 328 16 319 11 304 6 274 7 259 8498 8027 24 328 13 319 9 304 4 247 6 260 8027 7661 18 329 8 322 6 304 4 219 3 269 7661 7407 12 332 4 325 4 301 4 198 1 332 7407 7251 6*334 2*327 3*300 3*179 3*020 7251 7162 0*193 0*208 2*293 2*184 2*028 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography