DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 55.3 - - 55.3 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 472 - - 218 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3161 - - 4862 - - 5136 - - 1883 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11193 - - 12568 - - 12479 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12171 - - 13872 - - 14146 - - 10893 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1394 - - 1496 - - 1449 - - 2544 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 474 - - 567 - - 448 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - 20 - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 281 - - 283 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 23 - - 25 - - 27 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 8 - - 16 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -935 - - -408 - - -591 - - -1658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13107 - - 14280 - - 14738 - - 12551 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7760 - - -6046 - - -6857 - - -8986 ODpotential blCL - - - 19931 - - 19918 - - 21003 - - 19879 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 70 - - 42 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 55.3 - - 55.3 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.0 - - 17.5 - - 15.5 - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 56.5 - - 57.6 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.9 - - 16.3 - - 14.5 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 472 - - 218 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3161 - - 4862 - - 5136 - - 1883 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98153 5 155 5 147 0 106 9 353 98153 90697 5 122 1 230 4 025 3 029 90697 84970 8 156 2 202 4 004 8 049 84970 80242 9 131 4 150 1 321 4 359 80242 76168 5 096 4 133 4 291 4 002 76168 72563 2 053 3 115 5 216 2 244 72563 69293 5 190 5 254 4 310 3 170 69293 66279 2 168 7 174 5 288 3 279 66279 63476 6 279 10 230 9 274 4 348 63476 60762 4 315 7 217 21 267 20 266 60762 57944 11 275 16 268 18 265 23 258 57944 55037 16 289 16 291 23 291 22 267 55037 52268 24 298 25 286 30 276 33 263 52268 49780 34 291 31 284 36 269 39 261 49780 47548 37 286 38 281 42 270 42 263 47548 45511 37 287 42 279 48 271 49 269 45511 43637 40 294 44 280 52 272 57 271 43637 41915 47 299 48 284 57 275 62 274 41915 40335 56 301 57 289 64 277 70 275 40335 38879 67 304 63 292 65 279 74 271 38879 37527 78 302 65 294 66 280 76 268 37527 36238 76 299 66 291 68 278 76 266 36238 34949 74 301 68 288 71 277 73 267 34949 33631 75 301 71 287 73 276 72 271 33631 32294 75 298 71 285 72 277 75 275 32294 30928 71 296 70 285 70 278 77 277 30928 29524 66 296 67 283 68 279 77 277 29524 28089 64 296 64 281 66 279 73 277 28089 26623 63 294 63 282 63 278 70 277 26623 25130 62 292 61 283 60 276 67 277 25130 23615 61 291 59 285 58 275 63 275 23615 22076 58 293 55 285 55 273 60 272 22076 20507 53 293 51 283 53 271 58 270 20507 18935 48 292 47 280 50 271 55 269 18935 17436 44 290 44 279 47 273 52 271 17436 16076 40 289 41 280 44 276 50 273 16076 14862 37 291 38*283 40*279 48 275 14862 13769 33 293 32*285 35*281 45 277 13769 12779 30*294 25 285 28 282 42 280 12779 11881 26*294 19 281 21 282 38 283 11881 11067 21 293 17 279 18 283 33*286 11067 10331 17 291 17 280 18 284 31*291 10331 9664 15 290 17 280 18 285 28 296 9664 9054 14 287 16 280 17 285 24 301 9054 8503 13 286 16 280 17 285 20 306 8503 8032 13 285 15 279 17 286 18 309 8032 7665 12 283 15 279 16 286 15 311 7665 7409 11 282 14 279 15 285 12 313 7409 7253 10 281 12 279 13 285 9 315 7253 7162 8 280 10 278 10 285 4 319 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography