DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 82.4 - - 81.6 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 337 - - 124 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8518 - - 9645 - - 8858 - - 5501 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15276 - - 16287 - - 15009 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17528 - - 18655 - - 17868 - - 14511 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1919 - - 2872 - - 2812 - - 2909 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 578 - - 640 - - 451 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 278 - - 280 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 12 - - 5 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 22 - - 12 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1461 - - -358 - - -1254 - - -2445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18990 - - 19014 - - 19123 - - 16957 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5418 - - -4529 - - -5187 - - -8765 ODpotential blCL - - - 22946 - - 23184 - - 23055 - - 23276 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 33 - - 32 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.8 - - 82.4 - - 81.6 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 23.2 - - 22.1 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 84.0 - - 84.3 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 22.0 - - 21.0 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 337 - - 124 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8518 - - 9645 - - 8858 - - 5501 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99736 31 112 27 103 21 101 24 099 99736 92191 31 113 23 108 25 096 24 098 92191 86371 25 105 20 110 17 102 24 091 86371 81564 17 096 21 101 17 110 17 099 81564 77430 17 102 13 098 17 093 16 123 77430 73759 13 094 17 132 11 088 15 088 73759 70433 14 103 19 117 10 109 14 065 70433 67390 16 092 14 113 9 102 15 070 67390 64582 11 086 14 112 7 142 10 051 64582 61871 6 083 8 061 7 112 3 133 61871 59059 1 339 6 341 6 031 2 358 59059 56169 7 310 11 282 8 319 7 321 56169 53435 13 312 15 282 19 287 19 291 53435 50991 22 306 20 279 25 278 27 278 50991 48809 25 300 22 281 26 274 27 283 48809 46824 29 289 26 278 26 277 29 289 46824 44996 33 280 28 276 27 285 30 289 44996 43298 34 276 28 283 30 287 31 290 43298 41706 33 283 32 290 34 288 36 292 41706 40208 34 289 39 289 39 290 39 293 40208 38803 36 290 43 287 43 292 42 292 38803 37463 36 291 44 287 43 291 43 288 37463 36126 37 293 44 291 45 292 42 287 36126 34771 39 295 47 294 48 292 41 289 34771 33400 38 297 47 294 49 292 40 290 33400 32000 37 302 43 295 42 292 36 289 32000 30559 34 306 40 295 34 291 32 284 30559 29084 31 305 36 297 29 293 30 281 29084 27578 30 302 34 299 27 296 27 282 27578 26042 28 300 31 300 25 295 25 282 26042 24479 28 297 27 302 23 291 24 280 24479 22883 28 295 25 304 20 286 24 278 22883 21249 27 291 23 305 17 283 23 277 21249 19604 24 287 21*303 16 282 22 278 19604 18030 24*289 19*295 15*281 21 280 18030 16598 25*289 15 283 12*277 19 280 16598 15317 23 285 14 279 11 277 16*276 15317 14163 20 278 14 278 11 278 12*269 14163 13117 16 272 14 277 11 278 9 266 13117 12168 14 266 14 275 12 279 8 271 12168 11305 13 263 14 274 12 281 9 279 11305 10525 13 259 14 274 12 282 10 285 10525 9819 12 256 13 272 12 283 10 290 9819 9171 12 253 13 272 12 283 11 295 9171 8585 11 250 13 271 12 284 11 298 8585 8086 11 247 12 270 12 284 10 301 8086 7697 10 245 12 270 11 284 9 302 7697 7426 10 244 11 269 11 284 7 302 7426 7259 9 243 10 269 10 284 5 302 7259 7164 7 241 8 268 8 284 4 303 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography