DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.2 - - 28.4 - - 24.9 - - 19.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 52 - - -3 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1123 - - 2502 - - 1525 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10133 - - 11512 - - 10535 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1958 - - 1640 - - 1727 - - 2109 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 145 - - 219 - - 16 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 277 - - 308 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 6 - - 6 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1682 - - 2428 - - 2702 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8451 - - 9085 - - 7834 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2169 - - -982 - - -1508 - - -5997 ODpotential blCL - - - 12302 - - 12494 - - 12043 - - 13158 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 77 - - 67 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.2 - - 28.4 - - 24.9 - - 19.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.8 - - 14.0 - - 16.1 - - 13.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 31.7 - - 31.3 - - 27.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.8 - - 13.1 - - 15.4 - - 13.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 52 - - -3 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1123 - - 2502 - - 1525 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96772 53 060 68 071 50 062 35 055 96772 89667 47 074 51 068 47 063 40 068 89667 84122 44 077 35 074 36 063 41 055 84122 79495 38 061 31 067 30 054 35 040 79495 75510 27 054 27 054 28 058 28 042 75510 71968 20 044 21 042 28 049 22 044 71968 68723 22 034 21 034 30 039 28 040 68723 65720 22 033 26 021 31 025 32 030 65720 62939 22 032 20 015 26 020 31 025 62939 60250 18 039 23 029 27 023 27 029 60250 57430 30 019 32 016 30 020 28 030 57430 54489 35 002 33 008 36 008 41 018 54489 51698 35 008 38 005 44 008 57 017 51698 49211 43 008 44 011 54 014 64 016 49211 46989 50 012 56 017 61 017 65 012 46989 44965 66 013 67 019 62 019 63 012 44965 43101 75 013 72 018 63 019 64 012 43101 41371 80 013 71 016 65 015 66 009 41371 39759 79 012 70 011 67 009 66 005 39759 38257 76 012 69 009 67 006 60 003 38257 36864 76 012 67 010 64 005 55 006 36864 35550 77 013 65 011 63 008 55 011 35550 34252 78 014 64 013 61 008 57 011 34252 32943 76 014 64 013 57 006 58 008 32943 31628 72 016 61 012 52 007 58 002 31628 30293 69 018 56 011 49 011 54 354 30293 28929 68 017 53 010 51 009 50 350 28929 27534 66 017 53 010 53 006 50 349 27534 26107 65 017 54 011 52 003 47 355 26107 24653 66 020 53 013 47 003 42 359 24653 23173 62 024 51 017 43 005 39 355 23173 21667 49 023 47 021 40 006 38 352 21667 20129 36 017 41 019 37 007 35 350 20129 18587 30 013 34 011 34 007 31 350 18587 17117 27 014 29 003 32 005 28 349 17117 15785 23 018 25 359 28 001 26 347 15785 14598 18 022 20 356 24 356 23 346 14598 13533 14 021 16 354 21 349 20 344 13533 12572 11 013 12 348 18 344 18 344 12572 11701 8 355 10*338 16 340 17 344 11701 10912 7 332 9*318 13*335 16 343 10912 10201 7*307 8 294 11*329 16 342 10201 9559 6*279 7 276 9 321 16 341 9559 8972 5 251 7 270 8 313 17 339 8972 8441 3 227 6 264 7 304 16 337 8441 7991 2 248 6 260 7 295 14 337 7991 7640 2 292 6 256 6 286 11 337 7640 7396 2 297 5 252 5 272 8 337 7396 7246 2 299 5 251 3 255 5*337 7246 7160 2 295 4 249 2 249 3*341 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography