DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Truckee 7205ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.6 - - 26.6 - - 25.0 - - 23.1 - - 17.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 59 - - 100 - - -6 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 925 - - 1608 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7205 - - 7681 - - 7205 - - 7204 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8130 - - 8813 - - 7222 - - 7221 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1515 - - 3137 - - 1672 - - 2931 - - 1589 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 165 - - 237 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 21 - - 26 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 205 - - 242 - - 236 - - 237 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -35 - - -76 - - -11 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 909 - - 1592 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7221 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7221 sfcLCL ODpotential -1660 - - 154 - - -69 - - -753 - - -1529 ODpotential blCL 8882 - - 7976 - - 8882 - - 7975 - - 8750 blCL maxRH 94 - - 97 - - 88 - - 96 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.6 - - 26.6 - - 25.0 - - 23.1 - - 17.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.7 - - 24.2 - - 20.6 - - 20.7 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.0 - - 26.3 - - 24.5 - - 23.5 - - 20.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.9 - - 23.7 - - 19.7 - - 20.7 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 59 - - 100 - - -6 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 925 - - 1608 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 87 - - 52 - - 85 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96135 30 309 36 301 39 302 36 296 33 295 96135 89004 23 312 22 323 19 342 12 315 19 307 89004 83465 23 317 18 328 15 339 11 341 16 344 83465 78843 18 338 10 349 12 312 15 311 17 333 78843 74852 19 325 15 355 11 316 16 309 17 321 74852 71332 16 302 17 309 17 306 17 316 15 317 71332 68134 10 331 8 314 15 304 18 323 15 304 68134 65173 20 284 19 308 19 278 23 302 21 311 65173 62426 22 254 21 260 20 265 19 291 20 296 62426 59765 12 293 8 230 18 270 13 296 12 302 59765 56952 19 315 24 292 25 289 21 303 23 324 56952 54005 42 273 40 284 38 279 38 294 37 300 54005 51198 55 265 50 268 52 267 51 277 44 286 51198 48674 55 263 53 262 57 262 54 269 46 279 48674 46407 55 268 50 262 55 265 56 269 48 273 46407 44345 57 269 52 265 55 271 60 270 51 272 44345 42457 60 265 58 266 59 269 64 267 53 271 42457 40716 63 263 61 263 62 262 64 263 54 270 40716 39099 68 261 59 260 61 258 59 259 52 267 39099 37594 72 258 57 258 58 259 55 259 51 265 37594 36198 75 255 58 260 59 263 53 260 50 264 36198 34881 76 253 63 263 63 263 54 263 51 263 34881 33583 75 251 71 261 66 263 56 264 52 261 33583 32277 73 251 72 259 69 262 58 264 55 259 32277 30964 72 252 76 259 72 261 60 264 56 260 30964 29636 75 254 81 259 76 262 63 265 57 262 29636 28286 79 253 83 258 77 261 65 264 57 264 28286 26921 81 251 81 258 74 261 61 263 53 265 26921 25542 83 249 73 259 68 263 54 263 45 267 25542 24149 83 250 61 264 61 264 47 264 35 270 24149 22739 76 253 54 269 55 264 44 266 29 275 22739 21304 67 254 51 272 51 265 42 267 26 277 21304 19837 55 253 48 273 49 265 42 268 24 278 19837 18361 45 255 43 270 45 264 39 269 22 277 18361 16951 41 259 38 262 40 263 34 267 21 273 16951 15669 39 257 33 247 35 260 29 261 21 269 15669 14520 37 251 31 233 31 256 26 253 22 263 14520 13487 36 245 32 230 30 254 26 247 24 259 13487 12549 35 241 34 235 30 251 27 245 25 256 12549 11698 33 238 35 242 30 247 28 244 26 256 11698 10924 31 234 35 246 31 243 29 243 27 256 10924 10225 29 229 35 246 32 240 29 241 26 256 10225 9593 28 223 35 246 32 237 29 239 25 254 9593 9014 27 215 34 245 32*236 29 238 24 249 9014 8491 27 209 32*245 31*236 28 238 23 245 8491 8046 25 207 28*243 29 236 26 238 22 243 8046 7698 22 205 24 243 26 237 23 238 20 242 7698 7455 17 204 21 242 23 236 20 238 16 242 7455 7307 13*204 17 242 20 237 16*238 13*243 7307 7221 7*205 10 241 12 237 9*237 6*245 7221 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography