DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.3 - - 35.6 - - 41.7 - - 39.0 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - -9 - - 28 - - -19 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1206 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7222 - - 8413 - - 7223 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 404 - - 1553 - - 2423 - - 275 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 15 - - 151 - - 17 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 245 - - 255 - - 256 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -14 - - -17 - - -9 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1781 - - -2569 - - -709 - - -940 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9003 - - 9791 - - 9123 - - 8164 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -8959 - - -10238 - - -6131 - - -6152 - - -7641 ODpotential blCL 16181 - - 17460 - - 14544 - - 13375 - - 14863 blCL maxRH 74 - - 83 - - 71 - - 90 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.3 - - 35.6 - - 41.7 - - 39.0 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.9 - - 18.5 - - 27.3 - - 28.7 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 37.1 - - 41.6 - - 40.9 - - 35.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.8 - - 17.7 - - 26.1 - - 27.6 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - -9 - - 28 - - -19 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1206 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 31 - - 0 - - 59 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 15 083 6 061 4 104 6 137 9 140 96480 89409 20 105 8 127 12 082 18 098 17 103 89409 83940 14 112 13 130 12 115 18 082 14 092 83940 79374 11 112 14 118 11 112 11 084 10 073 79374 75420 9 130 9 100 6 078 6 120 7 082 75420 71921 9 154 3 172 4 304 2 163 8 070 71921 68746 2 265 3 204 8 272 3 282 6 357 68746 65831 4 268 2 287 10 260 3 285 9 289 65831 63131 8 256 9 283 13 254 4 267 10 255 63131 60511 16 277 15 285 13 271 7 302 9 245 60511 57769 19 275 20 281 14 278 16 283 12 270 57769 54914 18 274 16 260 12 272 20 273 20 271 54914 52179 22 275 14 286 15 289 20 277 18 276 52179 49704 22 276 20 294 18 311 20 295 24 292 49704 47478 21 298 24 300 27 293 25 284 22 281 47478 45439 27 300 23 300 22 280 21 279 29 316 45439 43570 26 282 20 308 27 313 39 311 62 305 43570 41860 29 325 32 322 45 309 49 301 40 294 41860 40291 40 331 38 323 28 314 33 286 9 350 40291 38851 33 339 33 327 38 348 54 350 54 349 38851 37526 33 355 55 349 59 348 64 350 51 348 37526 36272 51 340 59 353 60 349 51 353 40 342 36272 35019 59 335 44 338 44 350 39 356 39 328 35019 33737 51 347 41 331 32 348 35 355 40 324 33737 32430 42 357 41 327 28 344 31 352 38 322 32430 31088 38 355 36 332 24 340 27 344 35 318 31088 29703 36 355 31 351 21 328 26 335 33 313 29703 28279 31 013 23 009 22 309 25 330 31 308 28279 26819 26 014 17 014 18 305 19 332 24 307 26819 25327 22 003 12 346 14 300 17 332 14 311 25327 23807 22 356 14 326 16 291 17 325 15 296 23807 22257 21 344 18 326 19 294 15 310 22 288 22257 20671 21 324 17 329 16 302 16 297 25 287 20671 19078 23 308 17 326 13 316 20 291 22 290 19078 17556 23 302 18 317 14 319 19 290 17 297 17556 16175 21 297 18 310 16 317 15 294 11 282 16175 14941 18 290 15 304 16 310 11 299 9 270 14941 13831 15 283 12 296 14 302 9 293 8 277 13831 12828 12 274 10 280 11 293 9 280 7 285 12828 11920 10 266 9 263 10 283 11 267 8 285 11920 11100 8 256 9 253 9 272 13 259 10 279 11100 10362 7 247 9 247 9 263 14 255 13 274 10362 9697 6 242 8 241 9 259 15 255 16 269 9697 9090 5 243 8 235 9 257 15 257 18 266 9090 8543 4 250 7 224 8*257 15 258 19 264 8543 8078 4 257 7 213 7*256 14 260 18 263 8078 7717 4 258 7 205 7 254 13 259 17 262 7717 7465 4 244 7 200 6 254 11 259 14 259 7465 7311 3 215 6 203 5 254 8*257 11*258 7311 7222 2*210 3*245 4 253 4*256 5*255 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography