DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.3 - - 71.2 - - 74.0 - - 72.0 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 305 - - 392 - - 219 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 213 - - 3642 - - 6607 - - 5811 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 9670 - - 12108 - - 11218 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top 7421 - - 10850 - - 13815 - - 13019 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1009 - - 3154 - - 3749 - - 5061 - - 3702 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 449 - - 596 - - 473 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 19 - - 19 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 246 - - 230 - - 229 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -49 - - -41 - - -42 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7556 - - -5753 - - -3417 - - -3315 - - -6094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14978 - - 16604 - - 17233 - - 16334 - - 13318 sfcLCL ODpotential -13316 - - -10294 - - -7533 - - -6554 - - -10099 ODpotential blCL 20737 - - 21144 - - 21348 - - 19573 - - 17323 blCL maxRH 19 - - 19 - - 25 - - 33 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.3 - - 71.2 - - 74.0 - - 72.0 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.4 - - 23.5 - - 23.3 - - 25.2 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.4 - - 69.3 - - 72.0 - - 70.7 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.2 - - 22.3 - - 22.2 - - 24.0 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 305 - - 392 - - 219 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 213 - - 3642 - - 6607 - - 5811 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99210 36 107 26 117 27 093 34 092 33 100 99210 91811 28 098 28 113 23 102 27 096 26 101 91811 86081 31 099 25 101 23 113 25 104 23 095 86081 81298 25 100 21 091 24 110 22 104 23 102 81298 77175 19 098 14 091 20 100 16 112 17 080 77175 73547 11 113 15 117 7 106 11 080 11 089 73547 70262 11 096 13 117 10 117 4 055 11 094 70262 67238 10 098 7 114 7 120 1 085 6 038 67238 64453 5 123 8 098 8 119 7 131 3 280 64453 61772 3 301 4 336 3 319 5 344 4 358 61772 58984 5 343 2 061 9 178 7 285 11 282 58984 56116 13 265 17 266 18 256 19 283 14 291 56116 53384 14 230 19 228 18 223 19 256 16 286 53384 50907 18 278 17 263 20 260 26 250 25 259 50907 48675 32 285 29 272 35 266 37 257 40 256 48675 46648 42 280 38 269 44 259 47 252 52 250 46648 44777 47 276 43 267 47 257 50 252 54 249 44777 43029 51 269 46 266 50 258 53 257 59 254 43029 41387 52 264 48 263 53 253 57 253 61 253 41387 39853 54 261 54 255 56 248 57 252 54 250 39853 38430 59 257 61 252 56 250 53 252 49 249 38430 37084 65 254 64 252 55 253 50 250 45 251 37084 35747 64 253 60 253 54 252 48 248 44 249 35747 34390 58 252 54 253 52 247 46 243 44 246 34390 33017 52 251 51 251 50 243 45 237 41 242 33017 31613 47 250 49 247 49 241 44 233 38 238 31613 30171 43 248 48 246 49 240 45 232 36 232 30171 28695 42 245 46 244 48 240 47 231 35 228 28695 27189 42 245 45 241 45 239 48 230 35 226 27189 25658 37 246 42 239 41 237 44 229 34 225 25658 24108 29 247 33 236 37 230 38 226 33 222 24108 22537 22 243 25 232 32 220 34 219 30 217 22537 20938 18 235 19 228 28 211 34 210 28 210 20938 19336 16 231 17 225 25 205 34 204 27 203 19336 17805 15 234 17 228 24 203 32 200 29 201 17805 16415 16 241 19 232 24 205 29 199 31 203 16415 15170 17 248 21 235 24 208 28 201 32 204 15170 14047 20 253 22 236 22*213 26 204 32 204 14047 13029 22 256 24 236 20*218 23*207 30 204 13029 12103 24 258 24 236 20 222 20*214 28 203 12103 11262 26 260 23*238 20 224 20 217 23 204 11262 10501 26 261 21*243 19 230 18 227 19 207 10501 9812 26 261 21 245 19 233 17 232 16 217 9812 9181 25 259 20 246 19 235 17 235 15 233 9181 8610 24 254 20 247 19 236 17 236 15 243 8610 8124 23 244 19 248 18 237 17 237 15 246 8124 7744 21 238 18 248 17 238 16 238 15 248 7744 7480 18*236 16 248 16 238 15 238 12 248 7480 7318 15*236 14 248 14 238 14 239 10 248 7318 7224 8 236 10 248 10 239 10 239 5*249 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography