DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.5 - - 29.9 - - 32.2 - - 30.6 - - 28.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 51 - - 89 - - -5 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 867 - - 1067 - - 250 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8073 - - 8272 - - 7456 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1832 - - 634 - - 653 - - 790 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 154 - - 198 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 235 - - 233 - - 230 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -31 - - -31 - - -17 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 852 - - 1050 - - 234 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -819 - - 357 - - -6318 - - -7983 - - -9806 ODpotential blCL 8041 - - 7716 - - 14590 - - 15439 - - 17028 blCL maxRH 96 - - 98 - - 92 - - 96 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.5 - - 29.9 - - 32.2 - - 30.6 - - 28.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.3 - - 28.1 - - 28.2 - - 29.2 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.8 - - 29.6 - - 31.6 - - 31.0 - - 31.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 27.7 - - 27.4 - - 29.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 51 - - 89 - - -5 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 867 - - 1067 - - 250 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 94 - - 69 - - 83 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 20 291 28 294 21 284 32 267 33 289 96301 89199 15 310 10 281 19 271 21 284 21 299 89199 83749 13 300 11 285 15 284 8 278 14 289 83749 79216 8 297 12 276 12 297 1 279 11 283 79216 75293 8 314 5 256 12 274 7 317 7 281 75293 71808 13 328 0 062 14 269 10 297 6 311 71808 68635 18 300 6 325 11 268 20 277 14 294 68635 65723 19 311 9 301 6 278 17 259 17 282 65723 63042 29 304 19 317 9 340 10 249 13 264 63042 60449 29 307 25 306 22 304 14 293 14 261 60449 57732 35 326 30 327 26 298 25 300 20 278 57732 54915 51 323 42 321 33 298 35 283 30 276 54915 52232 65 305 43 302 32 300 35 285 38 273 52232 49802 47 309 34 312 38 307 40 287 42 270 49802 47608 44 341 46 319 48 306 46 291 41 274 47608 45608 72 328 68 304 53 298 53 293 46 282 45608 43770 83 306 68 301 55 291 58 290 55 282 43770 42072 71 303 65 309 59 292 59 286 63 278 42072 40492 73 318 72 312 63 292 59 283 66 275 40492 39019 90 318 77 311 66 293 60 281 66 275 39019 37646 94 311 78 309 67 295 62 281 65 273 37646 36342 90 308 74 306 66 296 64 281 65 271 36342 35041 88 309 71 306 63 297 63 282 65 272 35041 33716 86 310 69 307 61 300 59 283 63 275 33716 32373 84 311 67 308 59 303 55 284 60 279 32373 30999 82 310 65 309 60 304 53 285 56 280 30999 29588 79 313 62 309 62 302 52 286 53 281 29588 28145 75 316 58 307 58 298 51 288 52 282 28145 26674 74 318 55 307 53 294 49 290 51 283 26674 25179 71 321 51 306 48 291 46 291 51 283 25179 23665 66 322 47 304 44 289 44 292 50 283 23665 22126 61 319 44 302 42 290 43 293 47 282 22126 20558 59 314 42 301 40 292 43 294 43 281 20558 18985 55 313 36 300 37 297 40 294 39 280 18985 17481 48 314 29 297 33 300 35 293 35 277 17481 16114 38 315 24 292 29 298 31 290 30 275 16114 14893 31 314 21 287 24 292 27 289 27 273 14893 13795 26 313 19 287 20 285 24 288 24 270 13795 12800 23 313 17 289 17 283 20 286 22 267 12800 11899 19 317 14 289 16 276 18 279 21 260 11899 11082 16 319 12 287 15 263 17 264 21 250 11082 10346 14 313 12 279 16 248 18 246 23 238 10346 9681 13 293 12 267 18 237 19 233 26 230 9681 9075 12 264 15 246 18 233 20 227 30 224 9075 8530 13 247 16*238 18*233 21 227 32 221 8530 8068 13 243 15*237 16*233 19 228 30 219 8068 7710 12 240 14 236 15 233 17 229 25 220 7710 7461 11 237 12 235 13 233 14*229 19 221 7461 7310 8*235 10 234 11 233 11*230 14*222 7310 7222 5*235 7 234 7 234 7 231 7*222 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography