DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.3 - - 43.9 - - 49.1 - - 50.0 - - 43.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 23 - - 38 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 352 - - 905 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7207 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7558 - - 8112 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 278 - - 854 - - 1038 - - 2264 - - 380 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 98 - - 155 - - 16 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 024 - - 079 - - 091 - - 111 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4673 - - -2705 - - -1754 - - -1329 - - -1892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11895 - - 10263 - - 9867 - - 8552 - - 9116 sfcLCL ODpotential -17456 - - -11198 - - -8941 - - -6030 - - -11327 ODpotential blCL 24678 - - 18756 - - 17053 - - 13253 - - 18550 blCL maxRH 82 - - 79 - - 85 - - 76 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.3 - - 43.9 - - 49.1 - - 50.0 - - 43.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 3.9 - - 24.6 - - 31.2 - - 37.7 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.8 - - 43.7 - - 48.8 - - 51.3 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.1 - - 23.5 - - 30.1 - - 36.4 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 23 - - 38 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 352 - - 905 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 17 - - 41 - - 4 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96444 3 268 2 348 8 269 5 256 6 269 96444 89355 9 083 10 094 3 126 2 130 7 076 89355 83888 11 065 12 081 7 098 9 060 14 081 83888 79337 9 078 12 051 11 068 7 052 16 042 79337 75413 12 064 14 030 15 039 9 080 16 037 75413 71943 18 025 15 016 19 023 19 051 23 043 71943 68796 18 025 13 026 13 005 20 020 23 025 68796 65909 33 004 19 010 18 013 21 016 17 007 65909 63234 36 343 30 356 23 359 24 005 18 356 63234 60632 33 341 32 350 25 348 29 358 23 354 60632 57913 42 345 39 350 38 348 38 358 30 004 57913 55094 48 338 51 346 45 349 47 353 41 003 55094 52414 51 338 54 345 54 348 56 349 50 355 52414 50021 56 345 61 348 55 347 55 351 52 355 50021 47896 71 344 69 351 63 353 59 354 59 352 47896 46001 73 332 70 343 63 347 62 344 62 335 46001 44273 61 326 59 329 51 342 54 337 60 332 44273 42653 56 344 55 333 49 353 52 341 59 336 42653 41127 62 359 49 341 55 356 54 344 60 339 41127 39685 70 003 53 349 57 351 56 343 62 340 39685 38326 71 359 59 351 58 346 56 341 62 341 38326 37026 73 354 63 350 59 345 55 340 62 341 37026 35722 74 351 66 345 60 344 58 341 64 340 35722 34389 73 351 67 342 61 344 64 342 65 339 34389 33031 76 349 67 342 63 346 66 342 67 338 33031 31637 81 344 66 343 63 346 63 341 67 339 31637 30201 81 341 64 341 61 346 61 343 66 343 30201 28729 77 341 63 341 59 345 59 343 61 348 28729 27227 71 341 60 343 57 344 55 342 56 349 27227 25699 64 340 55 344 54 343 50 340 50 344 25699 24146 58 339 54 346 49 343 47 340 45 340 24146 22562 54 338 55 347 48 342 46 340 41 336 22562 20940 53 339 55 345 50 342 47 339 41 332 20940 19309 52 339 52 341 50 342 46 337 43 332 19309 17752 49 339 48 339 46 343 43 338 42 334 17752 16342 45 340 42 339 41 344 38 341 39 337 16342 15084 40 341 37 341 36 345 32 346 34 340 15084 13957 37 345 32 342 31 346 27 348 30 341 13957 12940 33 350 28 347 28 351 23 349 26 342 12940 12020 30 357 24 354 25 358 20 349 22 342 12020 11187 26 005 22 004 22 008 16 351 18 344 11187 10437 23 014 20 017 19 019 12 359 14 346 10437 9758 20 027 19 031 15 035 8 016 11 346 9758 9138 17 043 17 044 12 061 5 048 8 343 9138 8578 16 058 15 061 11*085 4 095 5 341 8578 8102 16 072 13 075 11*091 5 115 2 324 8102 7731 16 084 11*080 10 091 4 115 2 269 7731 7473 12 088 10*079 9 091 4 112 2 241 7473 7314 9*085 8 079 8 090 3 111 3*246 7314 7223 2*024 5 079 6 090 2*111 3*264 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography