DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.5 - - 34.3 - - 35.9 - - 35.2 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - -39 - - -15 - - -30 - - -102 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7222 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 696 - - 87 - - 344 - - 350 - - 258 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 302 - - 333 - - 287 - - 229 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -10 - - -16 - - -16 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7222 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -3432 - - -3697 - - -4377 - - -4333 - - -3782 ODpotential blCL 10655 - - 10920 - - 11600 - - 11555 - - 11005 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 37.5 - - 34.3 - - 35.9 - - 35.2 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 32.6 - - 32.7 - - 33.3 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 39.9 - - 40.7 - - 40.0 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 36.7 - - 35.0 - - 36.6 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - -39 - - -15 - - -30 - - -102 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 100 - - 101 - - 96 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96412 17 033 11 031 14 013 20 017 22 022 96412 89488 11 015 10 017 15 352 16 013 10 339 89488 84119 7 033 6 044 9 005 14 349 13 325 84119 79586 5 033 10 073 5 101 5 303 10 317 79586 75616 2 313 6 023 2 039 4 230 9 320 75616 72074 4 226 9 324 10 323 8 315 9 321 72074 68872 7 314 9 273 16 284 17 314 14 309 68872 65939 11 340 10 293 16 290 25 302 22 308 65939 63236 30 305 23 291 20 280 25 286 27 284 63236 60631 38 288 31 301 29 287 30 277 36 277 60631 57927 44 281 46 291 40 286 38 281 46 269 57927 55131 49 278 55 286 51 285 52 286 50 282 55131 52459 56 283 64 283 68 282 65 290 66 288 52459 50046 61 282 70 282 73 279 76 285 71 282 50046 47864 60 295 69 287 65 286 71 282 67 285 47864 45862 71 304 70 299 77 303 83 299 78 297 45862 44017 87 302 88 303 102 301 108 300 99 299 44017 42310 96 296 102 296 103 289 112 288 111 290 42310 40723 96 297 98 292 90 289 97 285 106 285 40723 39247 83 308 82 296 76 307 108 306 95 298 39247 37879 82 310 80 302 91 315 107 309 91 305 37879 36586 84 306 82 301 86 311 87 300 86 298 36586 35294 85 303 83 296 83 302 85 293 86 289 35294 33974 82 300 82 291 81 297 88 293 90 288 33974 32628 78 299 77 288 80 296 91 294 95 290 32628 31246 73 296 72 289 80 297 90 295 97 294 31246 29825 70 293 69 292 78 297 89 295 90 296 29825 28369 69 292 68 296 73 297 81 295 77 297 28369 26882 69 292 73 299 64 298 67 292 67 295 26882 25370 71 292 74 301 55 302 55 289 63 290 25370 23837 74 292 71 296 54 299 48 287 61 287 23837 22282 68 290 64 288 54 292 47 289 60 287 22282 20696 60 285 52 282 51 284 49 292 62 289 20696 19105 54 280 39 283 45 275 52 293 63 290 19105 17586 48 276 30 285 36 263 51 293 63 291 17586 16206 39 271 27 279 28 255 48 293 60 291 16206 14973 31 265 25 270 23 256 46 295 57 291 14973 13866 26 258 23 263 20 262 44 295 54 291 13866 12868 22 254 19 261 20 265 40 293 52 289 12868 11962 17 254 12 259 19 257 34 286 50 285 11962 11141 12 259 5 268 17 243 29 277 49 280 11141 10399 9 278 4 329 14 224 25 263 48 276 10399 9728 9 307 8 354 10 218 23 245 47 272 9728 9114 11 322 14 356 6 230 24 228 45 266 9114 8559 13 326 18 354 4 277 25 218 42 259 8559 8088 13 326 20 352 8 307 23 211 38 250 8088 7721 12 325 18 348 10 311 18 204 32 242 7721 7467 9 321 14 345 8 305 13 203 25 240 7467 7312 8*316 11*344 6*300 10 211 19*240 7312 7223 5*302 5*333 4*287 6*229 10*242 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography