DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.2 - - 38.7 - - 42.5 - - 38.2 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -110 - - -8 - - 50 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 631 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7223 - - 7837 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 84 - - 880 - - 795 - - 750 - - 360 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 23 - - 145 - - 10 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 249 - - 252 - - 259 - - 245 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -15 - - -25 - - -8 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2063 - - -3146 - - -1145 - - 1 - - -994 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9285 - - 10370 - - 8983 - - 7223 - - 8218 sfcLCL ODpotential -10331 - - -9835 - - -6804 - - -5249 - - -8987 ODpotential blCL 17553 - - 17058 - - 14641 - - 12472 - - 16210 blCL maxRH 84 - - 55 - - 64 - - 65 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.2 - - 38.7 - - 42.5 - - 38.2 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.4 - - 19.0 - - 28.4 - - 32.8 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.7 - - 39.0 - - 42.1 - - 39.9 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.4 - - 17.9 - - 27.2 - - 31.6 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -110 - - -8 - - 50 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 631 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96383 17 095 17 069 15 084 19 113 20 075 96383 89301 21 074 22 089 13 097 15 095 24 062 89301 83781 22 062 19 077 11 102 14 069 21 068 83781 79181 15 042 16 059 13 067 14 070 16 084 79181 75202 10 056 11 033 10 042 14 053 12 076 75202 71680 11 359 11 001 7 017 15 023 13 036 71680 68489 7 352 11 316 11 342 13 350 15 000 68489 65543 14 336 12 316 13 326 12 345 13 329 65543 62800 21 311 19 317 23 306 19 318 18 304 62800 60134 27 303 24 314 24 307 22 320 19 316 60134 57342 30 295 28 303 34 304 36 308 34 313 57342 54447 32 298 32 296 38 291 39 301 39 304 54447 51691 40 301 34 295 39 298 42 304 40 305 51691 49223 43 299 42 312 40 305 46 302 42 300 49223 47028 48 309 47 311 39 303 48 291 45 293 47028 45051 54 307 45 301 42 298 42 286 41 286 45051 43257 41 292 38 298 45 298 40 285 36 286 43257 41619 31 316 41 321 44 303 42 282 41 284 41619 40112 54 330 51 332 42 313 44 281 46 275 40112 38708 67 333 52 332 41 321 35 287 46 270 38708 37390 60 335 50 331 40 320 35 296 38 273 37390 36129 43 335 49 335 39 323 36 298 35 275 36129 34867 42 346 46 334 38 328 34 299 32 276 34867 33577 44 351 42 329 37 325 28 304 30 274 33577 32266 45 353 34 327 35 322 24 313 28 272 32266 30921 43 353 32 328 31 323 24 314 25 276 30921 29537 42 354 31 330 30 326 26 311 23 285 29537 28119 38 354 30 329 30 326 26 307 21 291 28119 26668 30 349 30 329 30 324 25 310 21 294 26668 25187 26 342 28 326 29 325 23 317 21 292 25187 23680 25 338 29 325 27 329 22 326 21 291 23680 22144 20 330 30 330 25 332 21 332 19 294 22144 20574 19 315 29 332 23 334 21 335 16 304 20574 18999 25 301 24 330 23 331 21 335 15 317 18999 17495 29 299 20 327 22 326 22 334 15 324 17495 16129 31 298 18 321 21 323 23 333 15 327 16129 14908 33 299 19 313 20 322 23 331 16 328 14908 13811 34 300 19 309 20 322 22 331 16 328 13811 12818 35 300 20 308 20 323 22 330 16 329 12818 11918 36 298 19 307 19 323 21 330 15 329 11918 11102 36 294 19 305 19 322 20 330 13 332 11102 10367 35 288 20 301 18 320 19 329 10 338 10367 9703 35 282 21 293 18 316 17 330 7 355 9703 9096 34 276 22 284 17 306 15 328 6 022 9096 8548 31 270 23 277 16 289 14 317 6 039 8548 8082 28 264 22 265 14*268 12 291 5 027 8082 7720 25 256 20 253 12*260 11 264 3 335 7720 7466 21 247 16 251 11 258 9 256 4 262 7466 7311 16*245 13*251 10 258 8*254 4*234 7311 7223 8*249 7*252 7 258 3*245 3*231 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography