DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.5 - - 47.0 - - 50.9 - - 46.4 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -31 - - -3 - - 12 - - -12 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 912 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7207 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7223 - - 8119 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 54 - - 1057 - - 1397 - - 1174 - - 75 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 21 - - 123 - - 19 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 232 - - 287 - - 267 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -8 - - -14 - - -9 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2892 - - -3057 - - -2089 - - -169 - - -1155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10116 - - 10280 - - 10208 - - 7393 - - 8379 sfcLCL ODpotential -12293 - - -8823 - - -7781 - - -5072 - - -9820 ODpotential blCL 19516 - - 16046 - - 15900 - - 12295 - - 17043 blCL maxRH 53 - - 55 - - 46 - - 66 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.5 - - 47.0 - - 50.9 - - 46.4 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.4 - - 27.5 - - 31.4 - - 38.9 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 47.8 - - 50.9 - - 47.9 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.9 - - 26.4 - - 30.2 - - 37.9 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -31 - - -3 - - 12 - - -12 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 912 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96147 10 023 3 013 3 353 6 032 9 346 96147 89044 5 011 6 029 4 005 3 072 5 054 89044 83547 7 325 8 352 3 278 7 305 12 005 83547 78997 8 313 5 314 6 289 13 280 13 322 78997 75068 10 332 6 312 13 309 13 304 8 331 75068 71579 14 315 7 303 17 289 19 315 11 325 71579 68421 11 292 12 307 17 275 20 306 14 317 68421 65526 12 307 18 301 20 289 20 298 16 292 65526 62842 14 309 12 303 16 295 16 310 14 304 62842 60236 10 283 15 326 12 312 17 329 17 321 60236 57523 8 000 12 350 7 340 12 323 17 310 57523 54705 21 008 17 010 13 007 10 332 13 300 54705 51992 15 027 11 004 14 354 10 329 14 306 51992 49535 17 047 10 008 16 328 17 322 22 310 49535 47337 16 045 11 349 18 315 23 309 27 307 47337 45347 20 036 8 352 13 295 21 297 30 309 45347 43532 31 018 15 357 13 319 17 298 29 307 43532 41869 32 003 24 347 19 335 23 325 33 319 41869 40335 29 357 27 344 27 333 31 327 38 323 40335 38911 27 357 27 341 25 325 34 323 38 320 38911 37582 27 003 27 343 26 325 32 321 33 311 37582 36313 30 007 27 347 28 330 30 321 30 309 36313 35045 31 008 27 350 26 332 30 323 29 313 35045 33749 31 008 26 353 23 331 30 327 28 313 33749 32432 32 004 26 354 22 335 29 328 28 310 32432 31082 35 359 27 353 24 343 26 329 27 308 31082 29692 36 001 29 355 25 348 25 333 26 312 29692 28267 32 007 28 001 26 350 26 336 27 316 28267 26813 28 013 24 003 22 350 26 337 31 320 26813 25331 23 021 17 001 16 345 23 336 33 320 25331 23824 16 043 8 007 13 331 21 334 31 317 23824 22285 10 055 4 018 12 311 21 334 28 315 22285 20707 9 024 7 352 13 315 20 334 28 315 20707 19119 13 011 12 351 15 330 19 331 27 317 19119 17603 14 013 14 357 16 342 20 329 25 318 17603 16226 11 015 13 359 15 350 19 327 23 316 16226 14996 9 018 11 355 12 353 16 326 21 314 14996 13889 8 022 9 345 10 349 13 323 19 311 13889 12888 7 025 8 336 9 341 11 322 17 310 12888 11980 5 032 7 328 8 334 11 324 16 310 11980 11156 4 035 6 324 8 330 11 325 15 313 11156 10412 2 047 4 321 8 325 11 326 15 319 10412 9740 1 094 4 316 9 317 11 326 14 325 9740 9124 4 132 5 308 9 307 11 318 14 328 9124 8567 7 140 6 295 9*298 11 298 14 323 8567 8094 9 144 7 290 9*292 12 276 14 306 8094 7726 10 152 6 265 8 288 11 271 14 287 7726 7470 10 169 6 241 7 286 10 270 13 273 7470 7313 9*182 5*234 6 284 8*268 12*267 7313 7223 5*230 3*232 4 282 5*267 7*269 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography