DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 52.6 - - 48.6 - - 45.7 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 63 - - 132 - - 132 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2510 - - 1633 - - 1271 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 8182 - - 7894 - - 7629 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 9717 - - 8840 - - 8477 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2601 - - 5664 - - 1704 - - 1410 - - 1924 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 255 - - 264 - - 243 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 12 - - 16 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 067 - - 108 - - 247 - - 232 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 14 - - -28 - - -28 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1395 - - -356 - - 1617 - - 1090 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8619 - - 10073 - - 7223 - - 7387 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -4606 - - -3445 - - -521 - - -1877 - - -1876 ODpotential blCL 11829 - - 13162 - - 9361 - - 10354 - - 9099 blCL maxRH 75 - - 99 - - 98 - - 83 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 470 - - 1030 - - 240 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 52.6 - - 48.6 - - 45.7 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 33.4 - - 42.2 - - 38.1 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 52.2 - - 47.7 - - 44.8 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 32.2 - - 41.5 - - 36.9 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 63 - - 132 - - 132 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2510 - - 1633 - - 1271 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 97 - - 90 - - 33 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97762 13 250 25 236 26 260 27 242 21 263 97762 90283 8 235 21 243 25 243 20 267 15 255 90283 84565 13 268 12 259 20 251 16 270 22 272 84565 79854 15 277 12 291 17 262 14 267 18 253 79854 75803 13 305 16 291 16 272 15 286 12 249 75803 72212 14 308 16 281 16 285 18 299 11 298 72212 68960 14 300 12 283 18 293 17 295 17 313 68960 65971 15 306 11 278 20 295 18 293 19 310 65971 63194 19 303 13 272 22 282 20 291 19 306 63194 60491 20 287 15 301 18 271 22 285 20 290 60491 57657 17 276 19 293 17 275 22 272 21 274 57657 54712 15 274 22 276 22 279 22 264 20 278 54712 51902 16 278 21 268 25 271 25 266 21 275 51902 49380 17 276 19 265 26 259 30 262 24 272 49380 47124 17 263 20 257 27 249 31 256 29 266 47124 45076 18 253 20 256 25 243 27 250 31 252 45076 43202 22 242 20 247 21 239 22 247 29 243 43202 41477 21 235 19 234 18 235 20 245 28 241 41477 39877 22 225 20 218 17 225 20 243 25 239 39877 38388 23 204 22 198 20 202 21 234 21 230 38388 37007 25 172 25 170 21 159 20 208 15 212 37007 35704 31 155 31 145 25 135 18 148 13 192 35704 34422 32 155 37 139 31 129 22 132 21 128 34422 33136 29 163 33 139 33 124 36 117 38 101 33136 31844 26 170 28 139 27 126 43 108 33 099 31844 30531 25 169 25 137 23 128 36 113 28 110 30531 29182 24 162 25 134 21 129 26 119 29 102 29182 27795 24 155 26 130 22 133 23 115 30 101 27795 26373 24 152 27 136 23 136 23 110 30 101 26373 24922 24 151 27 143 24 139 25 108 30 105 24922 23447 25 154 27 148 26 141 26 107 30 110 23447 21944 25 155 27 150 29 143 26 109 30 115 21944 20408 24 156 26 148 27 134 25 113 31 121 20408 18866 24 161 26 144 25 120 24 111 33 128 18866 17393 24 167 24 140 24 109 24 108 33 133 17393 16052 23 167 22 136 23 103 23 107 31 134 16052 14851 22 158 20 134 21 100 23 106 26 133 14851 13769 22 138 19 132 19 098 22 106 21 131 13769 12790 25 121 17 130 16 098 21 109 17 132 12790 11900 29 108 17 127 12 097 18 113 13 139 11900 11093 33 100 17 122 6 101 13 123 10 149 11093 10364 34 092 16 117 2 226 9 151 8 163 10364 9703 33 088 15*113 8 250 9 197 7 175 9703 9098 30 085 14*111 11*248 14 219 5 183 9098 8551 26 085 13 109 15*248 15*225 5 199 8551 8085 20 085 12 108 17 248 14*228 5 210 8085 7721 16 083 11 107 18 247 13 232 4 223 7721 7467 12 078 10 106 17 246 12 234 3 263 7467 7312 9*074 9 106 16 246 10 235 3*287 7312 7223 4*067 6 105 10 246 7 236 2*301 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography