DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.2 - - 79.5 - - 81.0 - - 78.5 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 303 - - 424 - - 236 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4121 - - 7156 - - 4244 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7208 - - 10032 - - 12576 - - 10029 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top 7225 - - 11330 - - 14365 - - 11452 - - 7225 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 842 - - 6250 - - 3999 - - 4569 - - 1605 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 464 - - 624 - - 432 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 12 - - 16 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 256 - - 252 - - 259 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -29 - - -43 - - -53 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8008 - - -6204 - - -1967 - - -4508 - - -5556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15233 - - 17535 - - 16333 - - 15961 - - 12782 sfcLCL ODpotential -12224 - - -9492 - - -4817 - - -8080 - - -10619 ODpotential blCL 19449 - - 20822 - - 19182 - - 19532 - - 17844 blCL maxRH 94 - - 85 - - 68 - - 52 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.2 - - 79.5 - - 81.0 - - 78.5 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.0 - - 27.5 - - 34.2 - - 33.4 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.0 - - 77.7 - - 78.8 - - 77.0 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 26.3 - - 33.0 - - 32.5 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 303 - - 424 - - 236 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4121 - - 7156 - - 4244 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99405 27 102 32 107 29 111 22 120 20 095 99405 91912 26 108 25 112 25 094 25 124 14 108 91912 86106 28 104 19 109 21 117 22 096 21 101 86106 81274 23 089 22 113 17 110 19 087 23 087 81274 77120 20 088 15 095 16 112 16 097 19 078 77120 73469 15 095 12 115 12 094 17 085 15 083 73469 70170 12 081 9 099 6 087 12 042 14 080 70170 67142 3 023 6 073 6 089 3 060 9 033 67142 64351 3 013 6 019 3 045 4 124 5 350 64351 61660 4 349 3 011 5 330 6 040 4 113 61660 58867 10 347 1 310 8 307 9 330 4 008 58867 55998 14 295 3 261 7 277 9 300 6 311 55998 53287 18 267 12 272 13 255 17 260 14 287 53287 50858 22 265 21 269 22 260 25 250 23 262 50858 48691 27 265 26 260 28 263 28 256 26 257 48691 46726 33 258 32 256 34 258 30 258 27 257 46726 44921 33 257 32 257 35 255 32 256 30 255 44921 43244 30 259 32 259 35 255 35 253 34 250 43244 41673 28 261 29 262 33 259 34 252 35 249 41673 40195 27 265 26 267 26 265 31 253 33 249 40195 38807 27 270 24 267 23 270 27 254 30 249 38807 37480 26 270 22 264 21 271 25 254 27 248 37480 36151 24 265 20 261 19 267 24 255 24 245 36151 34793 22 258 20 257 19 257 23 251 24 243 34793 33415 21 259 20 258 20 253 22 246 23 244 33415 32008 21 263 21 264 20 258 21 246 23 250 32008 30562 20 265 20 268 19 262 21 250 21 251 30562 29079 19 268 18 266 18 259 20 253 20 245 29079 27563 17 265 16 260 16 249 19 251 19 245 27563 26020 18 265 16 258 16 239 19 247 18 249 26020 24456 16 269 17 250 18 235 18 243 16 245 24456 22864 16 278 14 258 14 235 15 236 15 236 22864 21237 17 255 15 258 10 242 11 225 11 228 21237 19602 22 228 19 238 13 245 10 223 9 210 19602 18037 24 216 20 225 17 239 12 230 9 204 18037 16612 20 212 19 222 20 234 16 236 10 217 16612 15336 15 219 18 232 20*236 19 240 13 233 15336 14185 13 238 17 246 19*242 21 246 17 242 14185 13142 13 254 16 258 17 249 21 251 20 249 13142 12195 15 262 15 264 16 251 20*254 21 254 12195 11335 15 266 14*264 16 252 18*257 21 256 11335 10558 14 270 13*261 16 253 18 258 20 254 10558 9855 12 271 13 258 16 253 18 258 19 251 9855 9211 10 265 13 256 16 254 18 259 17 249 9211 8631 8 254 13 256 16 254 17 259 17 251 8631 8137 8 240 13 255 16 254 17 259 17 253 8137 7752 8 230 12 254 15 255 16 259 16 254 7752 7484 8 224 11 254 14 254 15 259 13 254 7484 7320 6*226 10 254 13 254 14 259 11*254 7320 7225 3*240 8 254 9 254 10 260 5*253 7225 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography