DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 51.1 - - 55.7 - - 56.1 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 149 - - 181 - - 58 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2942 - - 5415 - - 3766 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 8916 - - 10867 - - 9024 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 10149 - - 12622 - - 10974 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 805 - - 2162 - - 1902 - - 4199 - - 1072 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 343 - - 449 - - 286 - - 5 W* B/S 6 - - 7 - - 16 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 127 - - 156 - - 215 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 9 - - 2 - - -13 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4939 - - -1261 - - 34 - - -1204 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12162 - - 11411 - - 12589 - - 12179 - - 7224 sfcLCL ODpotential -11611 - - -7073 - - -5085 - - -5024 - - -2720 ODpotential blCL 18834 - - 17222 - - 17707 - - 15998 - - 9944 blCL maxRH 63 - - 61 - - 76 - - 69 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 820 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 51.1 - - 55.7 - - 56.1 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.8 - - 26.3 - - 25.7 - - 27.9 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.2 - - 50.0 - - 54.6 - - 55.6 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.2 - - 25.2 - - 24.5 - - 26.7 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 149 - - 181 - - 58 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2942 - - 5415 - - 3766 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97321 3 351 7 267 12 266 15 263 14 293 97321 89942 11 321 6 292 7 296 10 302 9 318 89942 84303 13 307 10 317 9 313 10 317 8 327 84303 79631 15 285 11 325 9 319 9 344 7 308 79631 75624 10 314 14 316 13 301 13 325 9 328 75624 72085 14 332 11 320 14 300 12 322 7 343 72085 68862 18 310 12 307 17 297 15 318 10 351 68862 65884 17 309 13 298 18 287 18 304 17 323 65884 63120 18 322 12 314 13 296 17 299 18 311 63120 60435 25 297 18 310 16 305 19 296 18 310 60435 57627 25 284 22 295 19 294 23 294 18 307 57627 54706 23 293 22 280 22 279 26 291 23 304 54706 51910 28 303 22 281 23 278 30 286 32 289 51910 49402 33 303 27 288 29 279 37 279 41 276 49402 47172 37 303 30 291 31 281 37 277 41 271 47172 45158 41 303 33 299 32 289 35 281 38 273 45158 43329 47 307 40 304 38 289 37 282 37 272 43329 41667 53 307 52 300 47 292 42 283 39 271 41667 40149 55 308 62 296 56 289 47 281 42 275 40149 38739 52 310 61 295 55 289 46 282 42 276 38739 37421 48 311 54 298 48 292 41 284 36 278 37421 36159 47 311 48 302 41 293 38 283 32 280 36159 34896 45 314 43 306 38 295 34 278 31 279 34896 33607 44 317 40 308 34 297 28 274 28 273 33607 32298 44 318 38 311 34 298 25 282 24 265 32298 30955 41 324 35 312 33 297 25 288 20 270 30955 29572 37 329 29 313 28 297 24 291 21 275 29572 28151 35 331 27 317 23 299 19 281 24 274 28151 26699 34 335 26 319 20 302 19 269 19 254 26699 25223 34 340 24 327 18 301 19 261 18 241 25223 23725 33 346 22 336 14 304 16 253 16 231 23725 22197 32 354 20 349 10 320 9 240 15 219 22197 20633 30 001 17 359 8 348 3 178 14 219 20633 19062 21 008 11 012 3 347 5 176 12 223 19062 17561 15 021 8 050 3 117 7 185 11 229 17561 16200 12 033 8 074 6 119 7 185 11 216 16200 14986 10 042 7 078 7 126 6 155 10 192 14986 13891 11 055 5 081 6 132 7 131 9 150 13891 12899 13 066 4 092 6*135 8 125 10 131 12899 11996 14 073 5 109 6*141 7 125 10 124 11996 11175 15 078 7 120 6 145 6*133 9 121 11175 10432 15 084 8*123 5 149 4*152 8 122 10432 9757 15 092 9*126 5 155 3 189 6 128 9757 9139 15 101 10 127 5 159 4 218 4 164 9139 8579 15 108 10 127 5 164 4 226 4 215 8579 8104 15 110 10 128 5 168 4 230 7 250 8104 7732 14 110 9 128 5 171 4 232 8 261 7732 7473 10 110 8 128 4 170 4 233 8 262 7473 7315 7*112 8 127 4 172 4 235 6*261 7315 7224 1*028 6 126 3 169 3 232 4*261 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography