DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/19 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 75.2 - - 72.6 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 398 - - 240 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3589 - - 4713 - - 3020 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9600 - - 10598 - - 9113 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10798 - - 11922 - - 10228 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5471 - - 5044 - - 3456 - - 1550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 434 - - 534 - - 389 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 248 - - 255 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -35 - - -43 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6112 - - -4825 - - -5087 - - -5944 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16911 - - 16748 - - 15316 - - 13169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10526 - - -9324 - - -10027 - - -11620 ODpotential blCL - - - 21324 - - 21246 - - 20255 - - 18844 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 40 - - 38 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 75.2 - - 72.6 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.8 - - 26.6 - - 30.5 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 72.9 - - 71.1 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 25.5 - - 29.3 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 398 - - 240 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3589 - - 4713 - - 3020 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99321 36 107 41 104 31 116 28 098 99321 91842 29 109 31 104 30 107 25 102 91842 86074 25 108 24 111 28 106 23 103 86074 81274 22 119 19 111 21 105 22 101 81274 77123 23 116 17 109 18 093 18 098 77123 73459 17 105 18 121 17 095 15 103 73459 70150 13 102 15 117 15 096 12 090 70150 67127 9 084 14 117 10 100 11 084 67127 64337 4 092 11 090 8 096 10 064 64337 61647 5 146 4 035 3 107 7 020 61647 58857 2 134 5 299 5 327 9 007 58857 55984 2 228 8 241 12 286 11 316 55984 53261 5 292 6 255 11 270 12 290 53261 50820 8 264 10 273 13 283 15 286 50820 48634 11 282 12 277 15 281 18 279 48634 46642 15 294 16 283 19 284 22 285 46642 44807 21 294 21 289 23 289 25 298 44807 43103 25 294 23 296 24 310 27 316 43103 41517 28 298 21 310 24 314 26 323 41517 40035 28 303 18 323 17 315 25 318 40035 38649 23 314 11 359 7 010 11 311 38649 37327 14 331 8 020 9 035 3 001 37327 36007 6 358 7 036 8 030 3 000 36007 34659 7 060 5 023 8 009 3 338 34659 33289 8 043 4 022 9 359 5 342 33289 31885 10 036 4 043 8 353 6 342 31885 30440 10 025 5 056 5 335 4 316 30440 28957 10 354 5 042 4 310 4 302 28957 27440 11 330 6 343 7 316 7 320 27440 25896 15 316 10 307 11 308 13 299 25896 24332 18 304 14 303 14 298 17 287 24332 22743 18 292 14 287 14 288 18 281 22743 21121 13 281 12 271 13 279 17 275 21121 19492 11 271 10 256 11 269 13 254 19492 17937 15 263 11 245 9 253 11 226 17937 16523 18 255 12 239 9 233 11 216 16523 15257 19 244 14 233 10 224 11 216 15257 14116 18 232 15 223 12 222 11 223 14116 13081 16 221 15 219 14 224 11 231 13081 12142 14 211 15*220 16 227 12 240 12142 11289 12*207 13*229 16 232 13 246 11289 10520 10*210 13 240 15*241 15 248 10520 9823 10 216 14 248 15*250 16 248 9823 9186 9 226 14 251 16 254 16 254 9186 8612 9 231 14 253 16 256 16 264 8612 8125 9 234 14 253 16 256 16 268 8125 7745 9 236 14 254 15 257 15 268 7745 7480 8 237 13 254 14 257 12 267 7480 7318 7 237 12 254 13 257 10 267 7318 7224 6 236 9 254 9 257 5*267 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography