DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.1 - - 29.8 - - 38.7 - - 35.1 - - 30.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - -21 - - 6 - - 4 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 301 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7222 - - 7508 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 59 - - 316 - - 1082 - - 891 - - 115 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 16 - - 66 - - 18 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 210 - - 205 - - 233 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -12 - - -7 - - -8 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4186 - - -3578 - - -3338 - - -2384 - - -4630 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11409 - - 10800 - - 10847 - - 9606 - - 11853 sfcLCL ODpotential -15082 - - -12945 - - -10649 - - -9734 - - -14523 ODpotential blCL 22304 - - 20167 - - 18157 - - 16956 - - 21745 blCL maxRH 79 - - 81 - - 80 - - 85 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.1 - - 29.8 - - 38.7 - - 35.1 - - 30.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -1.9 - - 9.0 - - 17.2 - - 19.0 - - 4.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.2 - - 32.6 - - 38.7 - - 38.1 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 0.6 - - 7.8 - - 16.0 - - 17.7 - - 3.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - -21 - - 6 - - 4 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 301 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 26 - - 21 - - 41 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96121 36 288 23 322 25 307 23 309 23 320 96121 89218 18 356 11 000 16 328 19 345 16 356 89218 83812 15 016 11 006 13 359 16 349 13 017 83812 79277 11 025 14 007 15 010 13 349 13 008 79277 75329 12 035 8 354 15 015 13 015 15 014 75329 71815 14 048 5 010 11 001 15 005 15 013 71815 68627 12 052 5 071 3 286 13 338 14 359 68627 65701 18 004 13 004 10 331 15 325 16 351 65701 62995 14 356 15 007 18 336 16 315 15 312 62995 60370 28 346 22 348 20 317 17 301 17 289 60370 57618 31 331 24 344 22 317 22 306 25 308 57618 54758 36 316 29 316 28 301 31 290 31 290 54758 52021 29 317 25 306 28 289 30 281 28 289 52021 49543 31 330 24 316 27 296 34 296 30 299 49543 47307 42 328 36 313 40 300 41 295 42 301 47307 45293 49 321 46 306 44 294 41 289 46 291 45293 43497 43 324 43 303 40 294 39 292 42 288 43497 41883 31 340 33 311 36 300 46 300 42 296 41883 40393 38 344 31 325 40 302 53 301 47 298 40393 38991 41 339 39 320 36 298 51 296 50 298 38991 37669 37 343 36 322 33 300 49 292 50 293 37669 36404 33 353 34 325 30 303 47 294 46 292 36404 35136 30 351 30 328 29 304 35 298 43 291 35136 33841 28 348 25 328 31 299 28 297 36 288 33841 32523 25 345 23 323 25 295 28 283 29 286 32523 31170 25 334 25 317 20 296 24 273 25 276 31170 29772 27 329 27 315 18 298 20 268 22 272 29772 28336 25 329 19 305 18 297 20 275 23 274 28336 26870 16 337 17 295 18 281 22 274 24 278 26870 25375 9 310 19 286 19 270 21 269 25 282 25375 23854 11 281 18 279 19 265 19 263 24 276 23854 22303 15 264 20 267 18 264 17 263 23 271 22303 20718 18 258 20 260 17 267 12 271 21 273 20718 19124 16 258 16 262 14 269 9 276 17 275 19124 17599 14 256 12 261 11 266 8 261 13 277 17599 16211 12 245 9 249 10 260 10 244 10 278 16211 14969 12 234 8 233 10 253 10 235 8 278 14969 13854 12 226 9 222 10 248 10 232 7 270 13854 12848 11 222 8 216 9 246 9 233 7 256 12848 11938 9 222 7 216 8 249 8 236 6 247 11938 11116 7 227 6 223 7 251 7 237 6 245 11116 10376 5 234 7 231 7 253 7 234 5 248 10376 9708 5 233 9 229 7 249 6 234 4 248 9708 9098 7 219 10 223 7 241 5 230 3 244 9098 8548 10 196 12 203 7 228 6 220 3 223 8548 8081 11 177 12 185 7 207 6 207 2 198 8081 7718 13 163 13 172 7*204 6 198 4 169 7718 7465 13 167 12 180 5*205 5 198 6 177 7465 7311 11*177 10*192 5 205 4*207 7 189 7311 7222 6*219 4*210 3 204 2*233 4*220 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography