DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 67.5 - - 67.2 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 396 - - 156 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3209 - - 5485 - - 6348 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9316 - - 11196 - - 11406 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10417 - - 12693 - - 13556 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1175 - - 1018 - - 957 - - 4031 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 421 - - 554 - - 427 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 74 - - 34 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 106 - - 153 - - 016 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 15 - - 60 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3601 - - -3386 - - -1901 - - -5764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14019 - - 16080 - - 15458 - - 12988 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10243 - - -8871 - - -7024 - - -13287 ODpotential blCL - - - 20660 - - 21564 - - 20580 - - 20511 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 63 - - 54 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 67.5 - - 67.2 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.0 - - 22.0 - - 24.4 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 65.0 - - 65.9 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.6 - - 21.4 - - 24.1 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 396 - - 156 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3209 - - 5485 - - 6348 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98678 15 095 12 081 7 079 9 026 98678 91311 16 078 10 080 10 070 8 057 91311 85606 12 075 5 073 6 042 15 056 85606 80877 8 041 7 054 8 052 13 048 80877 76811 4 066 5 042 7 032 11 042 76811 73213 5 117 4 022 3 070 7 345 73213 69967 4 055 2 298 2 332 5 301 69967 66987 6 318 2 333 1 360 6 198 66987 64202 12 287 10 291 10 314 1 085 64202 61487 13 262 18 262 19 290 13 300 61487 58670 12 259 19 248 23 274 21 288 58670 55769 16 288 21 251 26 263 27 277 55769 53007 26 280 26 262 30 265 30 271 53007 50516 31 281 29 272 33 271 35 275 50516 48279 40 284 37 278 37 274 38 278 48279 46243 48 280 43 277 40 276 40 278 46243 44375 48 279 43 278 43 277 41 279 44375 42655 45 282 41 280 47 281 41 283 42655 41066 38 282 37 283 46 285 42 287 41066 39591 29 282 33 285 41 288 41 289 39591 38220 22 290 29 287 33 290 37 291 38220 36919 19 290 25 288 30 293 34 294 36919 35624 15 296 22 287 29 294 29 298 35624 34302 14 307 19 280 26 294 28 299 34302 32958 15 305 18 278 24 289 24 302 32958 31582 18 293 18 280 21 286 20 303 31582 30167 19 292 19 290 19 287 18 294 30167 28716 19 309 19 298 18 288 15 286 28716 27232 19 325 17 307 19 286 13 280 27232 25718 19 330 15 317 16 280 14 273 25718 24179 20 330 16 325 12 280 13 267 24179 22607 20 330 17 333 9 296 10 270 22607 20996 20 327 17 335 8 318 7 279 20996 19374 18 324 16 332 8 330 5 293 19374 17820 15 324 13 330 8 338 3 317 17820 16409 13 333 11 328 7 334 2 344 16409 15148 11 342 8 326 5 321 3 350 15148 14015 10 347 5 317 0*300 4 297 14015 12992 7 354 2*245 1*053 3 227 12992 12067 5 014 2*223 1 052 3 150 12067 11231 4 065 1 210 2 030 4 110 11231 10476 7*103 1 188 2 026 7 102 10476 9792 8*106 1 162 3 015 10 098 9792 9166 8 107 1 146 3 007 13 095 9166 8599 8 107 2 128 3 005 14 092 8599 8116 8 107 2 119 3 002 13 090 8116 7739 8 106 2 114 3 002 12 085 7739 7477 8 105 2 111 3 000 9 077 7477 7317 7 105 2 108 3 001 6*065 7317 7224 6 105 2 106 2 003 3*049 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography