DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Truckee 7139ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1331z - - 1558z - - 1857z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.4 - - 61.1 - - 67.2 - - 65.3 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - 81 - - 171 - - -3 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1036 - - 3989 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7138 - - 7139 - - 9621 - - 7139 - - 7138 Hcrit BL Top 7154 - - 8175 - - 11128 - - 7156 - - 7155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 24 - - 1845 - - 1587 - - 5204 - - 40 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 191 - - 380 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 21 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 252 - - 172 - - 246 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -9 - - 4 - - -3 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5480 - - -10240 - - -8222 - - -11041 - - -4791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12634 - - 18416 - - 19351 - - 18198 - - 11946 sfcLCL ODpotential -18480 - - -18277 - - -14831 - - -16674 - - -14448 ODpotential blCL 25634 - - 26452 - - 25959 - - 23830 - - 21603 blCL maxRH 67 - - 72 - - 87 - - 81 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.4 - - 61.1 - - 67.2 - - 65.3 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.1 - - 5.9 - - 7.4 - - 10.8 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.5 - - 60.5 - - 66.0 - - 65.3 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.1 - - 3.6 - - 5.0 - - 9.7 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - 81 - - 171 - - -3 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1036 - - 3989 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 49 - - 26 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98296 23 283 21 282 29 269 27 285 22 272 98296 92242 23 282 21 282 24 275 23 287 21 274 92242 87321 22 285 20 289 18 287 21 294 19 283 87321 83104 20 288 20 296 15 300 20 296 18 293 83104 79386 18 289 21 295 17 307 18 299 18 301 79386 76049 17 293 21 293 21 308 19 304 18 304 76049 73000 17 298 20 292 23 306 20 309 18 304 73000 70176 18 296 20 289 23 300 22 305 18 299 70176 67545 19 294 20 286 21 292 22 294 18 294 67545 64989 22 297 21 289 20 290 23 291 20 294 64989 62321 24 297 22 289 21 292 25 287 23 290 62321 59556 27 288 26 280 26 284 30 276 27 281 59556 56927 32 283 31 273 34 275 36 269 32 275 56927 54573 37 280 35 272 39 271 40 266 37 273 54573 52470 40 278 38 272 42 267 42 264 40 270 52470 50565 40 274 40 273 42 266 44 264 42 268 50565 48817 39 269 40 272 42 266 44 265 44 267 48817 47199 35 263 39 269 43 266 45 266 44 266 47199 45693 32 258 37 266 44 264 46 266 44 265 45693 44286 31 255 36 263 45 261 47 265 44 262 44286 42963 30 256 35 262 44 260 47 264 42 260 42963 41688 32 258 35 264 43 261 46 264 41 260 41688 40392 34 260 37 268 44 263 46 265 41 261 40392 39048 35 264 40 270 45 264 46 264 42 262 39048 37657 38 269 41 271 46 264 46 260 43 258 37657 36206 42 273 41 270 45 264 45 257 43 254 36206 34679 44 274 40 270 43 264 42 259 40 254 34679 33074 44 273 39 270 40 263 37 264 36 256 33074 31390 42 273 38 271 37 264 31 268 29 256 31390 29628 38 273 36 273 34 266 27 272 23 256 29628 27789 35 273 33 274 31 268 25 272 20 259 27789 25866 31 273 30 275 28 269 23 270 20 260 25866 23855 28 277 25 277 24 271 20 268 17 259 23855 21798 22 282 20 278 19 272 15 264 13 249 21798 19810 17 288 14 279 14 271 10 254 9 225 19810 17998 13 293 10 280 8 267 6 235 9 199 17998 16383 9 297 6 281 4 238 6 205 9 187 16383 14949 7 295 4 269 4 194 7 194 9 183 14949 13674 6 285 4 255 5 184 8 182 9 186 13674 12543 5 268 4 243 6 182 7 172 9 189 12543 11542 5 254 4 235 5*179 4 159 9 187 11542 10662 5 247 5 233 4*177 3 156 8 179 10662 9885 6 247 5 234 4 175 2 181 7 168 9885 9191 7 248 5 241 3 175 2 221 7 156 9191 8578 8 249 5*248 3 171 3 240 6 147 8578 8069 9 250 5*252 3 167 4 245 6 142 8069 7678 10 249 4 253 3 168 4 247 5 144 7678 7410 10 246 4 252 3 165 4 247 3 159 7410 7247 9 246 3 252 3 166 4*246 2*206 7247 7155 6*265 3 251 3 162 3*246 3*291 7155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography