DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.2 - - 34.1 - - 34.3 - - 32.4 - - 30.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 51 - - 72 - - 14 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 536 - - 800 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7741 - - 8006 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1417 - - 1104 - - 1336 - - 1735 - - 1323 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 133 - - 170 - - 27 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 21 - - 25 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 231 - - 240 - - 239 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -48 - - -57 - - -20 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 519 - - 784 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -404 - - -185 - - 195 - - -240 - - -225 ODpotential blCL 7626 - - 7926 - - 7811 - - 7462 - - 7447 blCL maxRH 98 - - 97 - - 98 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.2 - - 34.1 - - 34.3 - - 32.4 - - 30.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.7 - - 32.4 - - 32.4 - - 31.8 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.7 - - 33.8 - - 33.9 - - 32.3 - - 30.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.6 - - 31.9 - - 31.9 - - 31.9 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 51 - - 72 - - 14 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 536 - - 800 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 88 - - 92 - - 100 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96622 26 082 30 056 19 066 19 054 17 056 96622 89564 28 087 26 078 21 083 18 060 24 054 89564 84047 26 087 29 090 24 085 19 074 23 055 84047 79426 18 077 18 086 22 082 16 092 15 054 79426 75435 9 084 9 081 14 055 13 085 9 066 75435 71913 5 038 5 094 6 353 10 031 11 054 71913 68715 4 348 6 130 8 277 10 338 12 028 68715 65754 3 135 1 115 9 252 8 297 9 355 65754 62990 5 229 6 262 12 259 6 267 9 299 62990 60300 19 238 15 242 19 250 7 240 10 256 60300 57480 23 218 18 224 19 236 10 227 10 250 57480 54532 24 205 17 218 19 218 21 244 18 251 54532 51709 19 205 18 229 17 221 23 245 24 250 51709 49181 18 222 17 241 16 238 22 247 22 257 49181 46932 19 218 15 243 16 261 16 250 22 273 46932 44896 17 214 13 241 17 275 16 272 23 278 44896 43027 16 204 12 236 21 274 24 287 27 276 43027 41296 13 182 7 222 22 275 35 279 38 268 41296 39692 8 144 4 222 20 273 36 267 43 259 39692 38212 11 133 4 205 18 277 31 261 44 252 38212 36852 15 111 1 173 19 298 30 258 45 245 36852 35576 13 081 10 324 21 304 32 259 44 243 35576 34315 14 030 17 346 22 303 37 261 43 245 34315 33037 25 018 24 343 24 301 39 263 42 243 33037 31741 29 012 24 344 23 300 39 264 41 241 31741 30415 30 007 24 348 22 301 34 263 42 243 30415 29051 32 359 25 344 22 301 28 267 42 247 29051 27654 31 355 30 332 25 301 30 269 42 250 27654 26227 27 355 32 332 28 300 32 269 41 251 26227 24776 24 355 28 339 26 303 34 273 38 253 24776 23304 22 358 22 333 22 309 34 278 37 255 23304 21808 20 000 21 328 22 311 32 283 35 257 21808 20282 19 002 18 330 21 310 28 289 30 256 20282 18749 18 001 16 331 22 310 24 297 26 254 18749 17282 18 357 15 335 21 312 22 303 23 252 17282 15948 19 354 15 338 21 314 22 301 20 251 15948 14754 18 352 16 336 23 308 23 298 19 251 14754 13680 16 343 17 327 27 301 24 293 20 254 13680 12708 15 314 18 306 31 293 26 287 23 257 12708 11826 19 272 22 275 32 281 28 280 26 259 11826 11027 27 246 29 253 34 263 30 267 28 259 11027 10305 34 234 35 243 39 244 34 250 30 258 10305 9651 37 231 38 238 42 236 38 238 30 251 9651 9055 36 232 38 234 42 235 40 235 30 237 9055 8519 34 233 36 231 40 236 39 235 31 228 8519 8063 31 234 32*231 37*238 36 235 30 226 8063 7709 26 235 27*230 32*239 31 236 27 226 7709 7461 21 235 23 231 28 240 26 237 23 226 7461 7309 18 235 19 231 23 240 22*237 19*227 7309 7222 10*234 11 232 13 240 12*239 11*227 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography