DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.7 - - 33.7 - - 37.4 - - 35.5 - - 32.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - -3 - - -16 - - -22 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 225 - - 268 - - 382 - - 118 - - 44 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 1 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 295 - - 282 - - 295 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -11 - - -13 - - -15 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -545 - - -938 - - -201 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7223 - - 7768 - - 8162 - - 7425 sfcLCL ODpotential -8214 - - -8089 - - -7696 - - -9768 - - -9022 ODpotential blCL 15436 - - 15312 - - 14919 - - 16991 - - 16245 blCL maxRH 75 - - 81 - - 85 - - 76 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.7 - - 33.7 - - 37.4 - - 35.5 - - 32.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.7 - - 29.3 - - 28.8 - - 25.3 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.9 - - 38.0 - - 41.7 - - 40.7 - - 38.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.0 - - 29.2 - - 27.7 - - 24.3 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - -3 - - -16 - - -22 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 24 - - 39 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96550 37 103 24 104 22 091 26 079 18 109 96550 89397 26 083 18 093 16 084 17 060 18 090 89397 83859 19 080 19 076 15 063 8 036 21 048 83859 79274 13 071 16 054 16 053 12 063 15 036 79274 75333 11 062 9 070 17 009 16 039 12 024 75333 71846 11 055 9 085 11 006 14 016 11 000 71846 68684 12 014 10 027 12 350 16 345 9 348 68684 65795 18 345 16 313 16 343 20 339 17 327 65795 63134 16 326 21 333 20 311 20 323 20 319 63134 60554 17 336 31 341 24 333 31 327 33 325 60554 57856 23 342 35 334 33 327 33 318 46 312 57856 55057 30 349 34 322 37 318 44 313 52 305 55057 52378 30 338 35 324 42 318 48 314 50 305 52378 49951 32 338 42 329 47 323 50 320 48 315 49951 47761 40 343 49 330 50 327 55 324 56 324 47761 45762 49 343 53 330 51 327 60 326 62 327 45762 43922 52 343 55 330 54 329 67 330 67 330 43922 42224 52 348 57 334 53 332 72 335 75 334 42224 40655 60 355 64 342 67 342 77 337 77 330 40655 39203 76 357 76 348 83 347 75 338 70 325 39203 37848 88 356 82 356 93 352 73 345 67 328 37848 36554 96 357 96 003 98 352 74 350 67 334 36554 35259 101 359 107 003 95 353 73 351 68 339 35259 33939 106 002 108 360 93 354 76 349 72 342 33939 32599 105 003 103 356 90 353 80 347 77 342 32599 31228 97 002 96 353 85 351 80 347 80 341 31228 29821 91 360 89 350 83 351 76 347 79 339 29821 28378 87 359 80 347 79 351 72 347 74 337 28378 26902 79 359 67 346 70 354 69 346 68 333 26902 25397 72 357 59 346 60 354 67 344 64 330 25397 23867 69 355 55 345 53 350 62 342 62 329 23867 22310 66 353 51 348 52 346 56 340 59 329 22310 20720 64 351 48 350 55 345 51 337 53 329 20720 19126 61 353 46 349 55 343 47 336 48 331 19126 17605 58 358 43 349 51 340 45 338 45 332 17605 16224 55 001 40 351 44 335 44 340 43 333 16224 14990 51 002 37 353 35 330 43 342 42 334 14990 13881 46 002 33 354 27 331 41 344 40 334 13881 12877 41 003 28 352 24 336 39 344 38 335 12877 11968 36 005 24 351 23 338 37 343 35 337 11968 11145 31 009 21 351 23 337 36 341 32 337 11145 10403 28 013 18 354 21 335 34 340 29 338 10403 9731 26 018 16 000 19 331 31 339 27 336 9731 9117 23 021 14 009 18 329 27 337 25 334 9117 8563 20 025 12 019 16 327 22 336 24 331 8563 8092 17 028 11 026 13 330 18 335 21 326 8092 7724 14 031 9 028 11 332 15 333 19 319 7724 7468 11 029 6 028 8 325 12 328 16 312 7468 7312 8*024 4*014 7*311 9*318 12*305 7312 7223 4*355 3*295 5*282 5*295 6*291 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography