DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Truckee 7205ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.3 - - 29.6 - - 28.1 - - 21.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 104 - - 27 - - -80 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 517 - - 1503 - - 956 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7205 - - 7661 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7722 - - 8709 - - 8161 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 759 - - 918 - - 927 - - 723 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 238 - - 135 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 23 - - 25 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 216 - - 213 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 18 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -38 - - -48 - - -40 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1773 - - 739 - - 325 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9495 - - 7970 - - 7836 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10402 - - -6620 - - -9147 - - -9699 ODpotential blCL - - - 18124 - - 15329 - - 17308 - - 16921 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 86 - - 68 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.3 - - 29.6 - - 28.1 - - 21.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.4 - - 20.2 - - 19.4 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 29.0 - - 28.1 - - 25.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.5 - - 19.1 - - 18.3 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 104 - - 27 - - -80 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 517 - - 1503 - - 956 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96855 28 113 23 117 16 099 20 113 96855 89675 21 114 19 119 15 107 17 113 89675 84088 13 113 15 115 15 114 18 097 84088 79435 9 156 10 141 8 129 13 106 79435 75405 13 145 10 186 3 161 13 090 75405 71835 7 158 8 191 8 224 2 256 71835 68604 6 184 11 231 5 197 1 135 68604 65620 6 237 10 226 17 232 15 253 65620 62857 11 248 15 249 18 230 19 223 62857 60177 22 252 22 269 9 249 8 202 60177 57345 26 260 21 274 20 257 22 252 57345 54396 32 262 33 265 42 256 49 254 54396 51615 41 263 45 255 59 258 64 256 51615 49143 47 266 54 259 66 258 67 260 49143 46953 56 270 65 264 68 263 71 264 46953 44992 63 271 77 268 76 262 79 259 44992 43214 74 277 84 271 78 262 76 253 43214 41573 95 283 90 280 79 270 71 257 41573 40043 104 285 93 276 82 270 73 259 40043 38608 102 280 91 266 84 263 77 255 38608 37259 103 276 94 264 88 258 82 250 37259 35969 103 274 95 265 88 257 84 250 35969 34680 100 274 94 266 86 260 82 252 34680 33370 95 275 91 267 86 262 79 255 33370 32043 89 275 87 267 85 263 78 258 32043 30687 81 274 80 266 81 263 77 258 30687 29295 72 274 72 266 77 261 76 257 29295 27868 63 275 66 266 73 261 75 257 27868 26412 58 273 59 267 70 262 74 257 26412 24931 56 264 51 268 64 263 72 256 24931 23430 53 255 43 267 57 261 66 256 23430 21908 50 246 41 263 49 257 60 254 21908 20359 46 241 42 261 43 250 55 250 20359 18806 41 238 42 260 41 247 51 244 18806 17323 36 233 39 254 41 249 49 240 17323 15976 34 227 37 245 43 252 46 239 15976 14769 32 220 38 237 44 251 44 238 14769 13682 31 215 40 232 44 245 43 235 13682 12699 30 211 41 228 45 237 43 231 12699 11809 29 211 41 223 47 229 45 226 11809 11005 28 212 39 219 48 221 48 220 11005 10284 28 214 38 214 49 215 51 215 10284 9634 29 215 38 212 48 211 54 210 9634 9041 32 214 35*212 46 210 56 206 9041 8507 33 213 29*214 39*211 52 205 8507 8055 31*213 26 216 32*213 44 207 8055 7703 26*214 24 216 28 214 35 211 7703 7458 21 215 21 216 24 214 26 214 7458 7308 18 216 17 216 20 214 20*216 7308 7222 10 216 10 216 12 213 10*215 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography