DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Truckee 7177ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1855z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.0 - - 59.8 - - 67.6 - - 66.3 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 271 - - 353 - - 133 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2541 - - 6122 - - 6233 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7175 - - 8752 - - 11628 - - 11189 - - 7177 Hcrit BL Top 7192 - - 9717 - - 13299 - - 13410 - - 7193 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 155 - - 1065 - - 819 - - 1002 - - 1152 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 378 - - 554 - - 404 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 288 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 116 - - 098 - - 060 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 11 - - 48 - - 52 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3244 - - -5684 - - -4280 - - -3565 - - -7959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10437 - - 15402 - - 17580 - - 16976 - - 15152 sfcLCL ODpotential -14089 - - -12480 - - -9706 - - -8688 - - -15688 ODpotential blCL 21281 - - 22197 - - 23005 - - 22098 - - 22881 blCL maxRH 41 - - 32 - - 30 - - 37 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.0 - - 59.8 - - 67.6 - - 66.3 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.1 - - 17.6 - - 15.3 - - 16.9 - - 12.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 58.1 - - 65.4 - - 65.3 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.0 - - 17.1 - - 14.4 - - 16.2 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 271 - - 353 - - 133 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2541 - - 6122 - - 6233 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98245 11 297 8 306 3 285 9 246 10 299 98245 90862 4 322 5 301 2 243 7 239 7 317 90862 85158 2 008 2 328 6 268 4 282 6 307 85158 80419 4 327 3 242 13 274 11 307 9 288 80419 76341 12 317 5 307 13 268 14 306 11 292 76341 72748 16 310 11 313 15 274 17 308 12 301 72748 69509 17 306 16 310 17 280 19 302 14 308 69509 66543 19 307 19 308 17 282 19 292 16 312 66543 63800 21 307 22 301 19 284 22 288 20 309 63800 61148 25 304 24 296 21 286 25 283 23 305 61148 58384 29 300 26 292 23 288 27 279 26 302 58384 55515 32 294 28 289 26 289 28 282 27 299 55515 52778 35 289 30 287 26 290 27 288 26 299 52778 50317 35 286 28 288 25 290 24 291 21 293 50317 48113 33 283 25 293 21 294 19 302 15 311 48113 46114 28 285 22 305 19 318 20 317 17 323 46114 44287 22 280 19 292 18 312 16 310 19 327 44287 42601 15 328 11 313 13 320 14 331 18 327 42601 41034 21 336 17 338 20 343 17 345 18 332 41034 39569 21 318 20 333 23 339 18 340 19 333 39569 38197 20 297 20 317 22 329 20 325 21 333 38197 36889 18 292 20 302 23 311 22 317 22 332 36889 35582 18 301 19 292 23 297 24 318 22 334 35582 34251 20 317 18 296 22 292 24 321 22 344 34251 32901 23 324 19 299 22 292 23 319 18 340 32901 31521 24 323 21 299 23 293 22 317 12 342 31521 30103 22 317 21 296 23 294 21 318 10 003 30103 28652 18 309 20 294 21 295 19 322 12 015 28652 27168 15 305 20 299 18 304 16 329 15 017 27168 25653 14 309 18 314 15 320 15 338 16 016 25653 24113 15 320 17 333 14 335 14 348 16 017 24113 22542 15 331 16 348 14 341 13 359 15 021 22542 20935 14 343 14 353 13 341 11 360 14 026 20935 19320 13 360 12 354 11 337 10 351 12 027 19320 17774 13 003 10 353 10 337 10 346 10 028 17774 16368 13 350 9 349 9 343 8 344 9 028 16368 15111 13 332 10 344 7 348 5 342 7 027 15111 13980 12 321 10 338 3*330 1*287 5 012 13980 12957 10 311 10 332 2*267 0*248 4 000 12957 12029 10 297 8 323 2 247 2 065 1 004 12029 11189 10 284 7 306 1 221 5 063 1 103 11189 10434 10 275 5 275 0 145 7 062 5 087 10434 9750 7 266 3*233 1 091 8 060 9 080 9750 9125 4 244 5*144 1 080 8 059 13 078 9125 8560 4 172 6 120 2 077 8 058 16 075 8560 8080 8 139 6 114 2 071 9 058 17 074 8080 7706 11 130 6 109 2 070 8 057 17 073 7706 7444 11 130 6 105 2 070 8 057 15 073 7444 7285 8*136 6 105 2 072 7 056 11*069 7285 7193 1*236 5 103 2 075 6 057 5*058 7193 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography