DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.1 - - 37.7 - - 38.8 - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -93 - - -70 - - -50 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 49 - - 111 - - 222 - - 66 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 15 - - 15 - - 17 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 239 - - 234 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -22 - - -14 - - -12 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2020 - - -1387 - - -1710 - - -4243 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9244 - - 8610 - - 8933 - - 11467 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9898 - - -8301 - - -8403 - - -13919 ODpotential blCL - - - 17121 - - 15524 - - 15626 - - 21142 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 38 - - 43 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.1 - - 37.7 - - 38.8 - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.6 - - 25.6 - - 25.3 - - 11.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.0 - - 41.8 - - 42.4 - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.5 - - 24.5 - - 24.0 - - 10.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -93 - - -70 - - -50 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96628 31 043 40 052 52 087 48 089 96628 89725 44 072 41 076 46 080 37 087 89725 84263 40 077 39 090 39 093 42 088 84263 79659 29 076 28 086 31 099 39 097 79659 75688 20 088 15 089 16 093 27 088 75688 72195 16 093 11 104 10 080 19 073 72195 69038 14 057 11 089 9 088 9 063 69038 66143 13 019 11 027 13 078 3 052 66143 63463 9 332 11 334 5 048 9 353 63463 60859 8 307 16 319 9 359 10 337 60859 58133 11 321 18 319 12 332 14 311 58133 55296 12 319 19 305 21 314 20 318 55296 52570 16 319 24 299 28 309 25 314 52570 50093 18 309 28 294 31 299 27 312 50093 47850 18 295 24 283 31 287 31 299 47850 45807 19 284 22 275 26 275 35 292 45807 43936 21 281 19 281 24 278 28 294 43936 42211 21 281 20 292 22 292 31 309 42211 40615 21 282 23 302 23 315 27 319 40615 39146 22 281 25 300 32 326 36 348 39146 37791 17 282 21 298 37 329 56 353 37791 36502 12 294 15 311 39 331 74 345 36502 35215 13 335 18 332 40 329 76 345 35215 33903 23 354 24 335 36 327 67 352 33903 32567 29 354 29 348 31 333 53 358 32567 31199 32 351 33 353 33 332 39 350 31199 29797 29 353 33 351 32 329 29 331 29797 28364 26 356 29 360 28 341 24 308 28364 26898 23 354 24 000 20 350 22 300 26898 25399 20 354 19 350 26 326 24 303 25399 23873 17 356 15 340 27 330 25 309 23873 22319 12 351 15 327 20 335 20 316 22319 20734 7 336 16 311 16 326 16 314 20734 19144 7 295 16 298 14 312 16 303 19144 17625 7 260 13 284 14 301 17 300 17625 16245 8 257 9 274 12 292 14 299 16245 15010 8 265 7 270 10 284 10 297 15010 13899 8 268 7 272 9 280 7 283 13899 12895 8 268 8 270 8 281 5 259 12895 11984 9 266 9 265 8 281 4 246 11984 11159 11 258 10 257 9 277 4 245 11159 10414 14 249 13 249 11 268 4 248 10414 9740 17 242 16 242 13 259 5 248 9740 9123 20 238 19 238 16 249 8 245 9123 8566 21 235 21 235 19 242 11 240 8566 8093 22 233 21 233 20 236 13 235 8093 7725 20 232 19 233 19 231 14 230 7725 7468 17 231 15 235 15 229 13 226 7468 7312 14*232 11*236 10*230 10*225 7312 7223 7*238 6*239 5*234 6*235 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography