DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.4 - - 39.5 - - 41.2 - - 38.2 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -69 - - -6 - - 7 - - -17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 232 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7223 - - 7439 - - 7223 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 69 - - 2202 - - 4331 - - 2614 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 19 - - 66 - - 17 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 235 - - 249 - - 247 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -12 - - -20 - - -10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1540 - - -962 - - -1000 - - -760 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8762 - - 8185 - - 8439 - - 7983 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -7184 - - -4171 - - -3449 - - -4151 - - -3860 ODpotential blCL 14406 - - 11394 - - 10888 - - 11374 - - 11082 blCL maxRH 86 - - 80 - - 92 - - 91 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.4 - - 39.5 - - 41.2 - - 38.2 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 29.1 - - 29.6 - - 28.7 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.7 - - 40.3 - - 41.6 - - 40.0 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.0 - - 27.9 - - 28.5 - - 27.5 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -69 - - -6 - - 7 - - -17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 232 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 22 - - 67 - - 64 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96123 19 119 10 298 1 225 3 322 13 120 96123 89148 20 071 14 092 10 128 8 102 14 097 89148 83751 9 089 21 090 14 095 14 109 7 090 83751 79227 9 120 15 108 11 090 11 101 6 054 79227 75289 8 089 13 121 8 114 7 110 8 038 75289 71797 6 083 7 133 5 108 2 103 4 025 71797 68641 7 097 9 216 2 180 4 247 2 349 68641 65732 5 142 12 229 10 232 7 222 6 252 65732 63029 6 194 14 246 15 242 9 260 7 249 63029 60412 8 185 14 238 17 241 16 267 8 246 60412 57669 9 193 14 234 14 244 18 256 14 262 57669 54803 11 218 13 252 14 262 14 253 23 260 54803 52058 20 234 13 266 21 280 14 274 22 253 52058 49580 22 224 18 279 28 280 19 276 18 250 49580 47343 16 208 21 255 30 270 24 275 17 249 47343 45298 14 210 24 222 25 260 29 276 18 264 45298 43417 14 216 20 210 19 257 29 275 20 286 43417 41679 15 205 13 222 16 262 20 262 24 291 41679 40063 17 182 9 232 13 251 17 258 20 280 40063 38556 21 181 5 229 9 240 10 236 13 286 38556 37163 27 167 12 195 8 205 4 077 13 325 37163 35853 31 160 24 178 11 167 10 040 26 359 35853 34564 42 159 29 166 18 152 9 015 34 357 34564 33262 50 144 29 171 17 147 7 008 33 355 33262 31948 47 135 29 164 14 147 8 002 33 356 31948 30613 43 135 28 152 12 139 5 314 28 000 30613 29250 50 152 22 153 9 110 2 036 6 022 29250 27857 38 154 16 154 6 089 11 013 4 073 27857 26433 25 146 12 157 5 026 13 333 14 022 26433 24979 16 155 6 174 8 347 16 314 16 002 24979 23500 12 177 8 260 7 328 13 316 15 344 23500 21989 10 181 10 259 5 322 9 309 15 334 21989 20442 6 207 6 247 2 283 7 279 13 330 20442 18886 7 211 3 247 2 259 6 251 10 333 18886 17401 9 182 4 259 3 281 6 233 7 333 17401 16055 11 159 6 248 4 264 5 224 7 315 16055 14851 11 150 6 219 4 235 3 217 10 311 14851 13766 9 142 7 186 6 238 1 309 13 315 13766 12784 6 129 8 168 11 249 3 321 14 319 12784 11893 3 137 7 166 16 252 7 296 13 319 11893 11085 5 245 6 192 20 253 12 282 12 310 11085 10356 11 259 8 229 22 253 16 271 11 291 10356 9696 16 261 13 242 22 252 18 263 11 274 9696 9091 19 261 18 244 21 251 19 257 10 259 9091 8545 19 259 20 242 20 250 17 252 8 247 8545 8080 19 252 20 239 19 250 16 251 6 238 8080 7718 19 243 18 236 17 250 14 250 3 222 7718 7466 17 239 14 236 15*250 11 249 1 122 7466 7311 13*240 11*236 12*249 9*247 3 094 7311 7222 6*244 6*235 7 249 5*247 2*089 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography