DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Truckee 7205ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.7 - - 33.0 - - 33.2 - - 32.6 - - 27.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 46 - - 64 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 959 - - 903 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7205 - - 7206 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8165 - - 8109 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1418 - - 2400 - - 1838 - - 2674 - - 1496 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 157 - - 169 - - 12 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 15 - - 11 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 193 - - 188 - - 157 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -11 - - -10 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 943 - - 887 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -690 - - 104 - - 183 - - -994 - - -703 ODpotential blCL 7912 - - 8061 - - 7926 - - 8216 - - 7925 blCL maxRH 99 - - 99 - - 96 - - 94 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 30.7 - - 33.0 - - 33.2 - - 32.6 - - 27.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.0 - - 30.5 - - 31.1 - - 30.7 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.5 - - 32.6 - - 32.6 - - 33.2 - - 28.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.1 - - 29.7 - - 30.3 - - 30.4 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 46 - - 64 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 959 - - 903 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 96 - - 85 - - 78 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96565 8 070 6 019 12 022 16 060 12 081 96565 89482 11 058 11 073 3 022 5 052 10 020 89482 83999 15 082 14 087 6 097 7 042 7 050 83999 79418 17 072 18 094 17 087 8 056 10 065 79418 75451 11 056 16 094 11 075 11 072 12 058 75451 71922 5 012 12 076 8 079 12 025 12 061 71922 68716 6 036 11 040 4 013 8 051 11 030 68716 65760 6 331 5 005 5 027 7 040 10 354 65760 62999 5 012 3 334 5 327 9 009 9 345 62999 60301 8 290 8 323 8 323 4 344 11 320 60301 57466 6 271 13 265 11 321 5 333 5 306 57466 54520 11 272 8 292 10 270 11 301 8 009 54520 51711 17 259 11 312 2 256 7 282 16 358 51711 49174 18 258 16 253 6 319 8 352 15 349 49174 46898 13 267 14 222 8 246 15 346 14 017 46898 44841 14 275 6 223 8 200 8 264 19 356 44841 42954 20 266 7 259 3 160 6 154 15 327 42954 41206 30 244 17 260 6 306 7 069 5 131 41206 39585 34 239 28 239 12 263 9 000 13 074 39585 38072 43 223 37 226 25 226 11 229 14 028 38072 36658 44 216 49 207 35 205 15 186 8 351 36658 35319 48 216 54 202 40 205 25 190 10 187 35319 34002 51 207 58 201 55 203 40 187 23 180 34002 32687 51 198 61 197 63 194 48 186 42 183 32687 31376 50 197 61 196 62 187 50 184 55 179 31376 30049 48 200 61 197 60 190 50 187 56 167 30049 28692 50 208 62 200 61 195 52 189 54 162 28692 27307 54 216 62 202 64 193 54 187 54 163 27307 25898 55 216 61 203 63 189 55 180 52 169 25898 24468 54 211 54 204 58 187 54 178 48 172 24468 23024 54 209 49 203 59 185 55 177 44 166 23024 21559 50 214 48 202 56 180 55 175 42 161 21559 20063 45 219 48 199 52 178 51 171 41 157 20063 18559 41 214 48 193 49 179 42 164 41 155 18559 17123 39 203 49 187 45 180 33 155 37 154 17123 15819 41 201 48 183 42 179 28 155 33 153 15819 14652 40 204 47 181 40 177 26 162 34 151 14652 13599 40 207 45 182 38 176 27 171 32 147 13599 12644 42 211 44 186 35 174 28 180 25 146 12644 11776 44 214 43 188 32 173 30 186 17 150 11776 10990 45 216 41 189 29 173 30 190 12 154 10990 10279 45 213 37 189 26 173 28 191 8 155 10279 9636 43 207 32 190 24 175 23 188 6 149 9636 9047 40 199 28 190 20 179 19 180 4 109 9047 8514 35 195 24*191 17*183 16 173 5 067 8514 8061 29 194 20*192 14*186 14 167 7 055 8061 7707 23 194 16 193 11 188 11 163 7 049 7707 7460 18 195 14 193 10 188 9 161 6 044 7460 7309 14*196 12 193 8 188 7*160 5*034 7309 7222 7*196 8 193 6 188 4*157 3*028 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography