DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.3 - - 36.2 - - 41.0 - - 36.1 - - 30.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - -5 - - 13 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 891 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7223 - - 8098 - - 7223 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 404 - - 1010 - - 1152 - - 1328 - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 18 - - 113 - - 8 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 12 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 116 - - 135 - - 129 - - 119 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -1 - - 12 - - -1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -493 - - -720 - - -390 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7715 - - 7943 - - 8488 - - 7223 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -10394 - - -7439 - - -6707 - - -5411 - - -7884 ODpotential blCL 17616 - - 14662 - - 14805 - - 12634 - - 15106 blCL maxRH 64 - - 69 - - 66 - - 79 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.3 - - 36.2 - - 41.0 - - 36.1 - - 30.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.3 - - 26.8 - - 29.2 - - 30.0 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.1 - - 36.9 - - 40.9 - - 39.1 - - 35.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.0 - - 25.8 - - 28.0 - - 28.7 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - -5 - - 13 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 891 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96547 11 113 8 143 3 228 10 336 10 077 96547 89438 14 099 12 114 6 109 9 071 15 100 89438 83937 12 078 16 093 10 117 9 091 14 082 83937 79353 7 073 13 081 11 120 7 120 7 062 79353 75395 6 121 6 093 4 106 2 137 3 095 75395 71877 9 112 5 174 2 189 1 237 2 170 71877 68672 1 021 10 175 4 254 3 224 4 226 68672 65720 10 260 8 185 6 240 7 227 7 225 65720 62977 9 239 9 211 10 205 12 235 11 263 62977 60319 7 264 8 215 9 211 12 225 14 267 60319 57555 7 252 7 273 5 260 5 234 9 250 57555 54693 8 283 10 302 4 279 11 301 6 232 54693 51964 7 324 12 337 7 013 9 311 6 286 51964 49516 10 042 9 014 10 003 10 339 17 360 49516 47333 16 060 11 077 12 005 13 001 22 350 47333 45345 27 058 23 082 16 044 10 042 15 350 45345 43513 40 027 32 046 25 044 17 045 11 010 43513 41816 38 009 34 026 28 026 23 028 17 017 41816 40245 26 024 27 017 27 028 27 021 26 018 40245 38792 23 047 20 022 23 030 26 023 30 019 38792 37445 22 059 20 031 19 039 23 026 25 016 37445 36164 24 045 21 031 20 045 21 039 22 045 36164 34886 25 029 19 028 19 038 20 046 24 050 34886 33583 25 028 17 023 16 033 19 045 25 040 33583 32265 22 031 14 028 10 042 17 054 19 032 32265 30919 20 039 12 041 9 056 15 050 18 042 30919 29534 19 046 11 047 10 057 14 043 17 036 29534 28111 19 044 12 043 12 061 14 047 17 037 28111 26656 21 036 15 045 14 066 13 046 16 032 26656 25171 25 027 17 049 15 061 15 039 17 030 25171 23662 26 028 18 053 15 050 18 036 19 038 23662 22125 25 036 20 056 17 048 21 038 21 046 22125 20556 27 042 20 059 17 050 22 039 23 047 20556 18982 28 043 20 058 18 049 23 042 23 046 18982 17478 27 050 20 056 18 046 23 047 22 046 17478 16111 26 059 19 057 18 047 20 052 19 047 16111 14891 23 066 17 063 15 051 16 057 16 049 14891 13794 19 071 15 073 11 059 10 064 12 051 13794 12803 16 076 14 084 8 070 7 070 9 058 12803 11905 15 085 13 095 7 093 4 091 7 068 11905 11092 15 096 13 107 9 114 5 127 6 086 11092 10359 18 106 15 117 13 125 7 143 5 106 10359 9697 20 114 17 124 16 128 10 145 5 125 9697 9090 23 119 20 128 18 129 12 140 9 135 9090 8543 24 122 21 131 18*129 13 135 11 140 8543 8078 24 122 20 133 16*129 13 132 13 141 8078 7717 21 121 16 136 14 129 11 132 13 141 7717 7464 15 121 13 137 12 130 8 133 10 145 7464 7311 10*119 10*137 10 129 6*133 7*157 7311 7222 3*116 5*135 6 127 2*119 2*223 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography