DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.4 - - 34.2 - - 43.4 - - 39.1 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - -7 - - 7 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 327 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7223 - - 7533 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 76 - - 354 - - 1006 - - 758 - - 156 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 10 - - 74 - - 10 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 230 - - 118 - - 109 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -15 - - 8 - - -3 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5864 - - -4501 - - -2136 - - -1726 - - -3680 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13086 - - 11724 - - 9669 - - 8949 - - 10903 sfcLCL ODpotential -14626 - - -12383 - - -7528 - - -7864 - - -11929 ODpotential blCL 21848 - - 19606 - - 15061 - - 15087 - - 19152 blCL maxRH 36 - - 50 - - 51 - - 42 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.4 - - 34.2 - - 43.4 - - 39.1 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.9 - - 9.2 - - 26.6 - - 25.6 - - 12.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 38.1 - - 43.4 - - 41.3 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.1 - - 8.2 - - 25.4 - - 24.3 - - 10.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - -7 - - 7 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 327 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95791 42 295 27 303 32 294 39 314 22 306 95791 88849 26 311 22 312 25 309 29 312 21 322 88849 83516 16 320 19 311 21 331 19 314 19 315 83516 79061 13 336 15 317 17 312 13 299 19 310 79061 75170 17 334 14 316 16 316 13 308 19 310 75170 71689 17 303 13 296 20 311 17 305 23 320 71689 68535 20 286 11 296 18 293 18 307 26 310 68535 65653 24 277 13 316 17 307 19 302 21 296 65653 62966 32 291 24 307 25 307 21 293 18 296 62966 60326 42 273 28 292 28 293 28 291 24 304 60326 57551 33 267 28 284 28 282 35 292 36 305 57551 54664 45 292 34 293 37 286 41 283 43 291 54664 51899 56 282 46 282 48 277 40 279 42 291 51899 49401 58 265 56 265 50 269 40 290 39 294 49401 47165 51 258 48 259 44 271 41 292 32 300 47165 45151 40 276 36 279 40 276 35 296 27 315 45151 43317 50 294 39 293 37 285 30 311 37 332 43317 41637 48 292 40 288 33 292 28 321 31 329 41637 40099 38 278 36 278 28 298 28 317 22 331 40099 38682 28 262 23 303 22 333 19 353 14 033 38682 37365 23 330 27 332 23 344 22 348 25 020 37365 36117 40 343 28 329 21 329 22 321 21 359 36117 34876 39 341 22 331 15 329 17 306 13 329 34876 33610 22 336 20 347 20 341 12 319 9 323 33610 32320 13 049 27 360 22 352 12 356 8 003 32320 30995 18 039 30 356 24 359 13 005 6 014 30995 29628 22 019 30 354 27 356 17 358 7 320 29628 28223 25 013 30 353 29 351 23 348 17 332 28223 26785 30 009 29 352 27 350 25 343 25 348 26785 25315 26 005 27 353 24 350 24 341 28 355 25315 23817 20 355 25 356 22 349 23 340 27 359 23817 22286 20 346 20 357 20 345 20 339 23 003 22286 20718 22 353 19 358 18 341 18 339 16 003 20718 19139 21 001 21 006 14 350 16 341 12 348 19139 17626 17 005 19 019 8 009 11 341 10 324 17626 16247 12 002 14 038 3 026 6 334 8 289 16247 15012 8 342 9 048 2 323 4 307 9 277 15012 13899 9 322 5 022 5 310 5 305 8 285 13899 12890 11 321 6 345 7 319 6 322 5 314 12890 11976 11 325 7 341 7 338 6 351 5 003 11976 11149 9 328 7 355 7 003 7 026 8 038 11149 10403 7 333 7 021 7 035 8 053 9 057 10403 9729 5 342 7 053 7 064 9 075 10 072 9729 9113 4 359 8 080 9 090 11 095 12 088 9113 8557 3 031 10 103 11 112 13 109 13 101 8557 8087 4 069 12 117 12 119 15 117 15 110 8087 7722 4 096 13 127 11*121 15 121 15 115 7722 7467 3 121 11 138 9*120 11 122 12 119 7467 7311 3 156 8*153 7 118 8*123 7*128 7311 7223 2*244 3*230 4 117 2*109 3*276 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography