DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/06 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.8 - - 31.1 - - 37.8 - - 36.5 - - 27.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 262 - - 319 - - 48 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 904 - - 1419 - - 576 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7204 - - 7586 - - 8001 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7221 - - 8109 - - 8625 - - 7782 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 771 - - 467 - - 622 - - 740 - - 359 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 264 - - 328 - - 129 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 29 - - 24 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 092 - - 093 - - 089 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 21 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 33 - - 30 - - 24 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -971 - - -4374 - - -6340 - - -7360 - - -5844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8192 - - 12484 - - 14965 - - 15143 - - 13067 sfcLCL ODpotential -17048 - - -17954 - - -18430 - - -19206 - - -19427 ODpotential blCL 24269 - - 26063 - - 27055 - - 26988 - - 26649 blCL maxRH 61 - - 58 - - 57 - - 66 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.8 - - 31.1 - - 37.8 - - 36.5 - - 27.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.8 - - 2.7 - - -1.3 - - -3.0 - - -2.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.8 - - 30.0 - - 36.3 - - 36.1 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.9 - - 2.6 - - -1.5 - - -3.1 - - -3.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 262 - - 319 - - 48 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 904 - - 1419 - - 576 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96814 17 276 21 268 31 276 28 278 28 278 96814 89695 7 301 10 249 7 322 14 276 13 262 89695 84156 7 027 5 114 1 153 7 297 3 334 84156 79562 7 285 5 110 0 016 3 291 9 246 79562 75593 6 299 2 256 4 271 2 353 9 199 75593 72069 2 218 2 311 2 154 2 341 7 184 72069 68891 2 118 3 233 6 085 3 287 5 101 68891 65970 10 057 7 047 3 225 2 335 1 091 65970 63243 10 074 5 351 10 023 14 048 13 068 63243 60624 18 042 7 025 10 357 16 028 20 046 60624 57939 42 026 25 050 5 345 16 350 21 026 57939 55156 53 031 51 044 35 051 22 035 23 026 55156 52480 62 043 53 049 44 051 37 057 29 046 52480 50062 73 036 66 049 58 055 60 055 46 054 50062 47896 79 016 78 025 69 029 64 032 55 034 47896 45932 69 015 68 028 64 033 59 035 54 032 45932 44124 68 025 67 039 65 044 60 049 51 048 44124 42445 75 037 67 041 65 046 61 054 52 057 42445 40874 75 038 61 035 62 040 58 052 53 056 40874 39401 73 036 61 031 59 026 56 043 51 040 39401 38025 73 035 60 025 57 018 56 031 51 029 38025 36719 72 035 60 023 56 016 54 025 51 026 36719 35423 71 034 60 024 56 016 51 020 51 017 35423 34105 69 033 60 024 54 017 47 012 51 013 34105 32768 68 032 59 025 52 019 44 009 48 016 32768 31399 67 031 57 027 49 020 44 010 42 016 31399 29991 65 029 55 026 47 020 44 011 39 010 29991 28546 63 025 53 021 46 017 45 013 39 009 28546 27064 62 022 52 016 47 015 45 014 39 010 27064 25551 62 019 53 012 50 016 46 015 40 011 25551 24012 63 019 53 011 53 017 46 015 40 010 24012 22443 65 021 54 013 55 019 47 017 38 013 22443 20837 66 023 55 018 56 022 48 021 37 018 20837 19221 67 025 58 022 57 026 48 025 36 025 19221 17674 68 026 61 025 57 029 48 029 36 033 17674 16265 69 028 64 028 57 032 48 033 37 038 16265 15004 70 031 66 034 56 037 47 037 39 042 15004 13868 70 036 66 041 54 044 47 042 40 047 13868 12844 68 042 64 049 50 054 46 048 40 053 12844 11920 65 048 62 056 47 065 43 056 39 061 11920 11088 60 054 58 063 44 075 40 065 37 070 11088 10343 54 062 53 070 41 083 38 074 35 080 10343 9676 50 072 49 079 36 090 35 082 33 088 9676 9069 48 084 45 088 31*094 32 089 33 095 9069 8525 46 095 40*093 28*095 28 092 32 099 8525 8065 42 099 35*094 26 094 25*092 31 101 8065 7708 35 098 32 093 25 093 23*090 26 100 7708 7460 27 095 29 092 23 092 20 089 19 095 7460 7309 22*093 25 091 20 091 17 087 14*089 7309 7222 10*089 15 089 13 090 10 086 5*079 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography