DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.9 - - 37.9 - - 39.8 - - 36.3 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -108 - - -7 - - 31 - - -9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1233 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7223 - - 8440 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 211 - - 1168 - - 1299 - - 2917 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 22 - - 159 - - 18 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 20 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 242 - - 229 - - 245 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -15 - - -41 - - -13 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1617 - - -1921 - - -62 - - -115 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8839 - - 9144 - - 8502 - - 7337 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -9913 - - -8405 - - -6946 - - -2252 - - -1253 ODpotential blCL 17135 - - 15628 - - 15386 - - 9474 - - 8475 blCL maxRH 81 - - 68 - - 72 - - 79 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.9 - - 37.9 - - 39.8 - - 36.3 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.1 - - 23.5 - - 28.1 - - 29.6 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 38.6 - - 39.9 - - 37.3 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.2 - - 22.4 - - 26.9 - - 28.9 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -108 - - -7 - - 31 - - -9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1233 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96804 21 100 12 095 8 087 16 103 17 091 96804 89736 22 083 18 080 16 110 15 112 16 074 89736 84213 18 096 17 096 13 109 12 103 13 064 84213 79592 15 111 15 108 6 121 10 082 13 075 79592 75599 8 098 8 106 6 120 5 074 10 057 75599 72071 3 066 2 092 1 045 2 122 6 042 72071 68883 4 315 5 310 4 327 1 101 4 305 68883 65949 6 278 9 284 12 296 7 292 5 306 65949 63225 8 264 6 271 9 282 11 290 14 283 63225 60594 14 270 11 273 16 271 17 275 15 273 60594 57840 20 262 16 265 21 251 15 269 13 289 57840 54951 22 276 14 262 18 232 24 270 32 284 54951 52190 32 281 21 263 22 259 38 265 41 270 52190 49713 34 281 30 269 33 272 39 273 43 265 49713 47487 42 288 37 284 41 285 43 278 44 275 47487 45475 47 286 51 295 49 294 51 287 57 285 45475 43668 61 292 68 289 65 291 70 289 71 286 43668 42029 53 282 59 275 67 278 70 273 60 280 42029 40514 44 294 50 280 56 268 58 253 43 278 40514 39096 83 323 56 300 48 274 46 269 52 291 39096 37766 98 324 67 315 53 303 42 291 68 295 37766 36490 77 321 58 313 57 308 48 296 70 293 36490 35209 62 316 43 299 50 303 51 297 62 288 35209 33896 56 312 40 284 43 295 53 295 60 286 33896 32559 48 303 41 275 38 285 53 291 64 291 32559 31189 42 292 42 272 37 273 50 282 67 295 31189 29780 38 282 44 269 40 263 48 272 65 291 29780 28336 40 274 44 264 44 260 49 264 61 281 28336 26857 42 270 42 261 48 261 53 260 58 270 26857 25344 44 270 41 264 50 264 58 260 60 264 25344 23802 44 270 45 266 52 266 62 265 65 267 23802 22228 42 270 48 264 56 268 64 272 69 273 22228 20624 39 270 47 262 59 271 63 276 68 272 20624 19018 37 269 44 260 59 272 61 273 67 269 19018 17489 36 267 43 260 57 270 59 267 65 268 17489 16106 35 265 43 261 54 268 57 263 63 268 16106 14874 34 265 42 261 52 265 54 263 60 266 14874 13770 32 266 40 261 49 263 52 263 57 263 13770 12776 29 267 37 259 47 261 50 261 54 261 12776 11876 27 267 35 258 44 258 47 257 51 259 11876 11065 25 264 33 257 42 255 43 253 48 258 11065 10336 24 261 32 256 39 251 39 250 44 257 10336 9679 24 258 30 256 36 246 35 247 39 257 9679 9077 25 256 29 255 32 238 32 246 35 257 9077 8534 26 255 27 253 28*232 30 246 34 256 8534 8072 26 253 24 249 25*230 28 246 29 253 8072 7713 25 250 21 245 23 229 25 246 23 250 7713 7463 21 248 17 243 20 228 21 245 17 248 7463 7310 17*248 14*242 17 228 17 245 14 247 7310 7222 8*250 8*242 9 227 9*245 7*246 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography