DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.1 - - 32.1 - - 31.1 - - 27.9 - - 24.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 19 - - 24 - - 10 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 140 - - 365 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7222 - - 7346 - - 7571 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1182 - - 2727 - - 1994 - - 2513 - - 2275 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 29 - - 66 - - 68 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 17 - - 20 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 225 - - 204 - - 233 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -15 - - -19 - - -39 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 124 - - 350 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -1572 - - -207 - - -251 - - -314 - - -1055 ODpotential blCL 8794 - - 7429 - - 7597 - - 7885 - - 8277 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.1 - - 32.1 - - 31.1 - - 27.9 - - 24.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.4 - - 31.3 - - 30.2 - - 25.6 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.3 - - 32.0 - - 31.2 - - 27.9 - - 26.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 31.4 - - 30.0 - - 25.4 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 19 - - 24 - - 10 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 140 - - 365 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 99 - - 97 - - 96 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96048 16 319 12 297 23 297 17 295 21 288 96048 89027 6 306 8 339 11 332 6 306 20 317 89027 83588 6 263 7 324 11 333 7 310 14 290 83588 79051 1 152 4 294 9 329 2 266 14 290 79051 75120 4 353 10 264 16 291 10 300 12 290 75120 71609 7 346 5 197 10 281 10 306 11 305 71609 68405 9 276 16 268 24 276 20 273 22 267 68405 65475 11 253 19 263 20 261 13 263 4 244 65475 62721 4 239 11 000 6 033 6 089 12 026 62721 59946 39 258 28 257 18 267 34 254 24 267 59946 57018 51 241 52 242 51 239 63 238 68 241 57018 54053 48 233 53 242 53 238 55 239 68 240 54053 51290 44 231 51 235 51 238 46 245 57 252 51290 48825 41 234 45 230 50 235 46 247 50 250 48825 46614 44 239 44 234 49 234 48 245 40 249 46614 44597 51 240 50 239 51 234 47 242 36 253 44597 42737 58 235 58 241 54 234 44 246 39 256 42737 41009 62 233 64 238 57 235 44 252 43 258 41009 39398 72 237 70 237 63 233 54 256 48 259 39398 37897 89 239 76 238 67 232 67 253 57 258 37897 36506 103 237 89 237 73 234 73 249 67 256 36506 35199 109 236 108 233 83 235 74 246 74 257 35199 33918 109 235 118 229 91 232 74 246 80 258 33918 32636 105 234 113 224 97 231 78 248 87 258 32636 31349 100 233 109 222 101 229 83 246 91 256 31349 30041 97 230 106 220 104 227 79 242 91 255 30041 28696 94 226 104 219 104 225 73 247 90 253 28696 27319 93 224 104 220 101 225 74 252 85 252 27319 25913 93 225 102 222 99 226 76 253 81 253 25913 24482 92 225 98 223 97 225 74 255 79 255 24482 23028 90 224 92 223 93 226 69 255 77 254 23028 21549 88 222 87 223 86 228 69 250 72 252 21549 20040 85 214 84 221 76 230 72 244 69 251 20040 18525 80 212 81 217 70 227 71 241 66 250 18525 17079 73 215 80 215 70 223 66 235 62 244 17079 15768 67 218 80 214 69 221 64 230 58 236 15768 14599 58 222 80 214 68 219 65 226 56 228 14599 13550 52 223 77 215 67 218 67 225 57 223 13550 12601 52 223 72 216 66 216 67 227 57 221 12601 11740 55 220 63 215 64 215 63 232 56 223 11740 10959 55 219 56 215 62 214 56 237 54 226 10959 10254 52 219 50 216 59 213 51 238 50 229 10254 9617 49 220 47 218 56 212 46 236 46 231 9617 9032 45 221 43 219 52 210 42 235 42 231 9032 8504 39 223 39 221 47 209 39 234 39 232 8504 8055 33 224 35 223 41 208 36 234 36 232 8055 7703 26 225 30 225 34 206 31*233 32 233 7703 7459 20 225 25 225 28*205 26*233 27 233 7459 7308 16*226 21*226 24*205 22 233 22*234 7308 7222 8*226 11*225 13 203 12 232 12*235 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography