DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.4 - - 69.2 - - 72.5 - - 70.7 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 224 - - 304 - - 187 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 6518 - - 10702 - - 5535 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 11797 - - 15306 - - 10935 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 13726 - - 17910 - - 12743 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1366 - - 4052 - - 2319 - - 5269 - - 3472 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 500 - - 648 - - 445 - - 16 W* B/S 6 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 247 - - 186 - - 219 - - 271 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -14 - - -12 - - -36 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2787 - - 789 - - 4435 - - -845 - - -3743 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10011 - - 12938 - - 13476 - - 13588 - - 10968 sfcLCL ODpotential -6353 - - -3044 - - 1098 - - -3833 - - -7678 ODpotential blCL 13577 - - 16770 - - 16812 - - 16576 - - 14902 blCL maxRH 51 - - 42 - - 65 - - 45 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 390 - - 410 - - 580 - - 200 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 60.4 - - 69.2 - - 72.5 - - 70.7 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.5 - - 37.3 - - 38.2 - - 36.0 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 67.7 - - 70.7 - - 69.5 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 36.1 - - 36.9 - - 34.7 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 224 - - 304 - - 187 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 6518 - - 10702 - - 5535 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99128 39 097 34 111 35 108 23 106 29 086 99128 91595 29 098 29 098 30 106 27 111 22 095 91595 85817 23 106 17 100 21 101 26 111 20 104 85817 81033 18 101 16 125 13 110 18 089 20 092 81033 76908 17 094 17 123 16 128 12 097 19 083 76908 73261 14 089 20 123 18 122 14 113 12 107 73261 69975 10 108 14 119 15 111 14 112 14 116 69975 66969 8 156 12 112 13 126 9 124 9 107 66969 64190 9 153 10 135 13 142 12 162 8 165 64190 61508 3 214 7 163 10 183 7 168 7 149 61508 58717 15 195 15 219 10 206 7 197 7 174 58717 55819 19 192 27 210 23 219 21 228 15 251 55819 53056 21 204 29 195 33 210 29 219 24 241 53056 50571 25 210 26 201 29 204 25 214 25 232 50571 48333 25 214 25 203 26 206 25 216 24 234 48333 46289 26 210 26 210 25 211 27 220 26 237 46289 44412 28 207 29 215 23 217 25 220 23 231 44412 42678 24 211 29 210 20 221 19 227 18 242 42678 41070 20 212 21 206 17 219 12 255 18 266 41070 39577 20 209 17 205 17 220 14 298 21 290 39577 38191 21 204 15 206 15 206 17 305 19 299 38191 36881 21 200 10 217 6 190 14 294 17 310 36881 35580 20 196 7 226 6 340 11 321 19 324 35580 34256 17 187 4 204 15 342 11 344 24 332 34256 32911 17 180 0 246 19 343 12 347 27 332 32911 31532 18 172 4 257 17 345 15 352 28 333 31532 30113 19 165 10 224 12 351 17 354 27 333 30113 28659 17 165 14 200 7 346 18 355 24 334 28659 27174 14 172 16 181 4 280 18 358 21 334 27174 25661 10 175 15 166 8 220 17 354 17 340 25661 24126 7 199 15 153 13 201 13 351 16 349 24126 22564 12 214 14 157 14 185 7 333 12 358 22564 20970 25 197 13 179 11 191 3 243 3 026 20970 19369 35 187 16 198 12*195 9 171 5 165 19369 17837 31 184 20 201 12*194 12 162 7 172 17837 16441 20 186 23 197 11 194 11 160 7 162 16441 15190 14 194 22 191 11 197 8 171 6 169 15190 14063 15 184 18*184 9 206 5 191 9 202 14063 13040 16 166 13*180 7 220 6*240 14 222 13040 12111 16 151 9 183 7 226 9*264 18 233 12111 11268 13 142 8 187 8 235 11 267 19 241 11268 10507 9 139 7 188 8 240 15 272 17 251 10507 9818 6 141 7 189 8 243 16 273 16 263 9818 9185 5 137 7 189 9 245 16 273 16 271 9185 8614 4 121 7 189 9 246 16 273 16 273 8614 8127 4 108 6 188 9 247 16 272 16 273 8127 7746 4 106 6 188 8 248 16 272 14 273 7746 7481 3 118 6 187 8 248 15 272 12 271 7481 7318 1*176 5 187 7 247 13 272 10*270 7318 7224 1*247 4 185 6 248 10 272 5*269 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography