DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.4 - - 43.8 - - 45.3 - - 42.2 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -65 - - 77 - - 126 - - 7 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 785 - - 1388 - - 16 - - 345 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7676 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7991 - - 8595 - - 7223 - - 7552 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 967 - - 1350 - - 2044 - - 2653 - - 1548 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 172 - - 244 - - 23 - - 65 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 31 - - 38 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 208 - - 208 - - 209 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 24 - - 35 - - 0 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -48 - - -74 - - -15 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 768 - - 1372 - - 0 - - 330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -3122 - - -458 - - -7 - - -819 - - -63 ODpotential blCL 10345 - - 8449 - - 8602 - - 8042 - - 7615 blCL maxRH 91 - - 98 - - 97 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 40 - - 0 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 37.4 - - 43.8 - - 45.3 - - 42.2 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 39.9 - - 40.2 - - 39.0 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.8 - - 43.4 - - 44.7 - - 42.2 - - 38.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 39.6 - - 39.8 - - 38.7 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -65 - - 77 - - 126 - - 7 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 785 - - 1388 - - 16 - - 345 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 93 - - 90 - - 93 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96166 19 332 12 346 19 340 14 329 10 354 96166 89230 14 023 15 011 11 032 19 348 17 027 89230 83851 14 040 12 012 20 025 11 054 17 025 83851 79367 9 042 8 055 15 026 13 078 11 031 79367 75472 5 060 8 063 8 357 7 040 13 030 75472 71985 4 359 10 055 1 076 4 024 6 003 71985 68823 2 078 9 345 2 270 8 299 2 105 68823 65916 3 312 9 132 4 189 4 263 8 050 65916 63195 17 246 11 281 12 294 16 263 25 309 63195 60558 6 261 10 246 17 278 15 269 6 214 60558 57798 17 298 12 209 11 187 8 181 23 216 57798 54916 47 246 41 237 28 234 41 246 41 226 54916 52171 63 233 62 236 56 242 62 234 45 221 52171 49695 71 238 68 235 63 236 62 229 43 221 49695 47468 77 238 71 235 65 231 62 230 40 215 47468 45439 78 236 76 233 72 232 64 229 36 221 45439 43565 74 234 77 230 79 231 64 224 40 234 43565 41819 68 235 71 227 79 228 61 218 53 235 41819 40189 62 236 62 225 75 224 62 217 67 226 40189 38671 60 236 58 225 71 221 71 218 77 221 38671 37266 61 235 58 228 68 220 78 218 87 223 37266 35945 65 233 62 231 69 223 81 217 96 226 35945 34637 68 231 66 232 74 226 84 221 103 228 34637 33312 66 229 68 231 76 226 91 225 112 229 33312 31976 61 228 66 229 73 224 96 226 120 228 31976 30619 54 229 60 226 67 222 94 223 118 226 30619 29231 50 231 55 224 63 221 89 221 109 225 29231 27818 46 232 53 223 62 220 85 221 100 227 27818 26380 43 231 52 223 61 219 80 222 94 229 26380 24918 41 228 51 221 61 217 71 221 90 230 24918 23435 38 227 49 219 59 214 60 217 82 228 23435 21927 38 229 48 217 58 213 57 216 78 225 21927 20390 38 232 48 215 58 213 59 219 72 221 20390 18847 40 232 51 214 59 213 61 221 70 217 18847 17374 45 229 54 214 61 212 60 219 69 215 17374 16036 51 225 58 215 62 211 60 216 68 214 16036 14838 58 220 61 217 64 211 61 214 65 215 14838 13757 61 217 63 219 65 213 63 211 64 215 13757 12777 62 216 65 219 65 213 64 210 63 215 12777 11886 61 217 65 218 65 213 65 208 58 215 11886 11077 59 218 64 217 64 212 64 207 51 212 11077 10347 58 217 63 216 63 211 63 206 44 209 10347 9688 58 215 62 215 62 210 61 206 37 209 9688 9085 58 210 59 212 58*209 57 205 31 210 9085 8541 55 208 54 209 51*208 51 206 27 213 8541 8079 47 207 46*208 44 208 44 207 24 214 8079 7718 36 209 40*208 39 208 37 208 21*215 7718 7466 27 211 34 208 33 208 31 208 18*215 7466 7312 20*211 28 208 28 209 26*209 15 216 7312 7223 10*210 16 208 16 208 14*209 8 216 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography