DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Truckee 7139ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2217z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.7 - - 72.1 - - 77.2 - - 71.8 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 182 - - 274 - - 156 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3390 - - 9515 - - 2645 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7139 - - 9233 - - 14208 - - 8610 - - 7139 Hcrit BL Top 7156 - - 10530 - - 16655 - - 9785 - - 7156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 234 - - 3316 - - 2776 - - 5955 - - 601 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 375 - - 600 - - 325 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 15 - - 8 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 088 - - 108 - - 276 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 18 - - 12 - - -23 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3322 - - -3506 - - 1019 - - -1913 - - -822 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10478 - - 14037 - - 15637 - - 11699 - - 7979 sfcLCL ODpotential -8713 - - -7143 - - -1503 - - -4282 - - -5753 ODpotential blCL 15869 - - 17673 - - 18158 - - 14067 - - 12909 blCL maxRH 87 - - 62 - - 58 - - 79 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 80 - - 920 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m 58.7 - - 72.1 - - 77.2 - - 71.8 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 35.4 - - 33.2 - - 45.2 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 70.6 - - 75.1 - - 70.5 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 33.2 - - 32.0 - - 44.9 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 182 - - 274 - - 156 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3390 - - 9515 - - 2645 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99704 27 096 26 108 22 116 16 108 18 095 99704 93472 23 098 21 106 20 108 15 114 17 101 93472 88425 20 101 17 111 17 107 15 116 13 107 88425 84115 17 104 17 114 13 105 15 111 12 110 84115 80329 14 104 15 111 9 100 12 103 12 107 80329 76938 12 108 13 111 8 111 10 099 12 105 76938 73841 10 111 11 114 9 122 7 096 9 104 73841 70976 8 114 8 117 9 127 4 098 6 106 70976 68305 6 112 5 126 8 131 3 118 4 111 68305 65707 4 104 4 138 7 138 3 150 2 119 65707 62991 2 101 3 161 4 156 3 175 1 181 62991 60175 1 242 4 193 4 201 4 202 3 210 60175 57492 3 230 6 211 7 218 7 216 6 210 57492 55084 4 226 8 213 9 216 10 216 8 214 55084 52931 5 222 7 205 9 212 12 209 9 212 52931 50979 4 206 6 191 9 204 12 198 9 207 50979 49191 3 181 5 176 9 192 11 189 9 197 49191 47540 3 148 5 167 9 174 10 175 9 179 47540 46007 4 104 5 148 8 158 10 149 10 153 46007 44576 8 087 9 124 8 149 11 126 11 131 44576 43231 10 077 11 109 10 131 13 113 13 119 43231 41935 13 076 15 100 16 115 16 104 16 112 41935 40621 16 075 18 096 20 109 19 103 19 111 40621 39261 18 073 20 093 23 107 20 106 19 112 39261 37859 20 071 21 091 25 107 19 112 17 117 37859 36396 21 071 22 089 25 109 16 123 15 124 36396 34862 22 072 23 087 25 110 15 135 14 127 34862 33251 21 074 23 087 23 110 14 140 13 123 33251 31562 20 075 21 088 21 110 13 139 13 117 31562 29792 18 079 19 094 17 113 12 134 15 116 29792 27944 17 086 18 105 15 122 12 128 18 121 27944 26012 14 094 18 115 14 132 14 125 21 127 26012 23991 12 099 18 119 14 137 16 126 23 130 23991 21926 9 095 14 117 14 129 18 122 23 130 21926 19933 6 089 10 109 12 116 18 105 21 127 19933 18116 5 103 7 103 11*111 19 090 18 115 18116 16498 7 118 7 111 10*109 18 083 17 100 16498 15056 10 117 11 114 9 105 17 079 17 092 15056 13771 13 110 16 112 9 105 15 075 16 089 13771 12627 15 103 19 110 9 106 11 066 13 081 12627 11613 17 098 20 106 8 107 7 047 10 063 11613 10718 19 096 21*101 8 108 5 350 9 041 10718 9928 20 094 19*096 8 109 7*308 7 018 9928 9221 20 092 17 090 7 110 12*282 7 339 9221 8598 20 088 15 087 7 111 13 278 10 290 8598 8080 19 081 14 086 7 112 14 276 16 270 8080 7685 17 073 13 085 7 113 14 275 18 263 7685 7414 15 066 12 085 7 113 13 273 16 263 7414 7250 12*060 12 085 6 113 13 273 13*263 7250 7156 4*043 10 085 6 113 10 272 9*264 7156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography