DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 59.1 - - 63.1 - - 61.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 331 - - 438 - - 196 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2258 - - 3590 - - 2674 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 8631 - - 9734 - - 8772 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 9465 - - 10798 - - 9882 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 524 - - 1129 - - 1068 - - 1202 - - 1076 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 389 - - 499 - - 346 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 17 - - 16 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 242 - - 251 - - 255 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -36 - - -31 - - -30 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -564 - - -1630 - - -1970 - - -3027 - - -1942 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7788 - - 11096 - - 12769 - - 12909 - - 9166 sfcLCL ODpotential -6595 - - -6683 - - -6785 - - -8527 - - -8732 ODpotential blCL 13819 - - 16148 - - 17583 - - 18409 - - 15955 blCL maxRH 65 - - 54 - - 46 - - 39 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 59.1 - - 63.1 - - 61.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 35.5 - - 32.1 - - 30.3 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 57.4 - - 60.7 - - 60.4 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 35.0 - - 31.6 - - 29.9 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 331 - - 438 - - 196 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2258 - - 3590 - - 2674 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98237 15 071 4 053 10 110 8 167 3 316 98237 90892 13 072 13 089 6 108 10 077 7 064 90892 85233 12 099 17 089 6 105 10 063 13 055 85233 80537 10 104 11 086 8 110 4 068 13 044 80537 76486 8 093 9 078 9 103 6 107 8 022 76486 72913 5 063 6 070 4 090 7 109 4 059 72913 69675 2 081 3 088 3 057 6 056 6 053 69675 66695 3 028 1 010 4 354 6 019 7 046 66695 63936 4 327 2 119 3 278 5 308 9 350 63936 61269 8 294 5 290 6 299 8 311 6 292 61269 58495 10 297 8 273 11 266 15 287 11 308 58495 55626 15 311 13 290 16 273 21 297 20 305 55626 52898 28 288 22 292 24 283 28 289 28 291 52898 50439 24 281 25 287 21 273 26 291 31 293 50439 48225 31 293 24 297 25 300 36 302 40 302 48225 46209 40 290 45 299 44 291 45 296 48 308 46209 44364 49 287 49 287 49 282 44 294 54 309 44364 42663 50 286 45 284 48 283 49 304 53 304 42663 41080 50 291 45 286 50 293 54 296 48 303 41080 39598 53 291 47 290 54 292 41 284 49 314 39598 38212 55 285 52 294 53 288 32 315 58 321 38212 36897 53 283 52 297 50 295 51 326 64 320 36897 35588 50 287 54 303 54 303 56 316 66 313 35588 34257 49 297 57 305 57 305 58 305 64 309 34257 32906 52 300 57 307 55 307 51 304 59 310 32906 31525 52 299 56 307 50 309 44 310 51 307 31525 30106 49 298 55 305 47 309 42 315 41 305 30106 28654 43 295 51 304 45 309 40 315 33 304 28654 27170 38 296 43 298 41 305 38 314 32 304 27170 25657 36 302 37 291 37 295 33 310 33 306 25657 24119 33 300 34 286 35 288 30 303 33 306 24119 22550 30 289 31 285 33 285 30 298 30 304 22550 20947 27 289 28 283 31 283 30 296 26 303 20947 19335 22 286 25 281 27 281 28 294 23 301 19335 17793 20 280 22 281 25 282 25 290 20 297 17793 16391 19 275 20 281 23 287 23 288 17 294 16391 15138 17 272 19 278 21 291 20 287 15 290 15138 14010 16 269 18 272 19 289 17 288 12 287 14010 12989 14 267 19 267 18 281 15 285 10 286 12989 12062 14 266 20 265 17 268 14 272 10 284 12062 11222 14 263 20 263 16*254 14 257 11 272 11222 10464 14 260 19 256 16*252 13*254 14 259 10464 9780 16 257 18*247 16 251 14*254 16 248 9780 9153 18 254 18*243 17 251 14 255 16 244 9153 8588 19 250 18 242 17 251 14 255 15 249 8588 8109 20 248 18 242 17 251 14 256 14 258 8109 7735 19 245 17 241 16 251 14 256 13 263 7735 7475 16 242 16 241 15 251 13 256 11 263 7475 7315 13*242 14 241 13 251 11 256 9 263 7315 7223 6*241 9 242 9 251 8 256 4*263 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography