DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/15 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.1 - - 34.3 - - 38.2 - - 37.3 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 78 - - 115 - - 10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 818 - - 1309 - - 567 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7542 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8024 - - 8515 - - 7773 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 469 - - 790 - - 811 - - 979 - - 741 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 174 - - 232 - - 82 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 272 - - 327 - - 338 - - 319 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -8 - - -6 - - -9 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 802 - - 1293 - - 551 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7223 - - 7222 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -3903 - - 323 - - 453 - - -2216 - - -4584 ODpotential blCL 11125 - - 7701 - - 8062 - - 9989 - - 11807 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 98 - - 88 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.1 - - 34.3 - - 38.2 - - 37.3 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.7 - - 32.1 - - 34.5 - - 33.5 - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.1 - - 33.5 - - 37.3 - - 37.1 - - 36.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.7 - - 31.4 - - 33.4 - - 32.8 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 78 - - 115 - - 10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 818 - - 1309 - - 567 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 97 - - 90 - - 53 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97071 28 284 40 291 28 280 35 288 38 286 97071 89968 22 281 19 291 25 265 23 297 22 302 89968 84454 13 260 14 291 17 271 18 269 19 295 84454 79861 8 274 5 258 13 288 12 268 11 279 79861 75892 3 214 8 252 6 306 5 268 4 228 75892 72374 2 027 6 214 6 287 2 327 2 245 72374 69173 2 254 6 159 6 275 5 307 5 284 69173 66217 3 173 7 177 5 265 4 250 5 269 66217 63473 6 226 10 190 10 229 7 265 8 309 63473 60814 7 228 8 203 13 234 11 279 11 316 60814 58028 11 275 4 257 12 231 16 287 17 319 58028 55131 15 269 15 318 6 321 14 285 22 304 55131 52367 12 294 21 315 22 331 21 320 25 312 52367 49889 16 325 23 334 28 331 32 334 31 328 49889 47677 19 345 29 329 35 334 42 333 38 324 47677 45675 28 355 28 332 39 338 42 336 37 324 45675 43841 33 358 31 347 51 351 44 340 40 337 43841 42144 35 003 43 002 60 353 49 346 50 339 42144 40560 39 007 63 004 63 356 58 347 56 337 40560 39072 47 009 71 004 69 001 64 346 60 337 39072 37680 53 011 76 007 75 002 67 347 64 336 37680 36354 56 011 82 010 81 001 69 348 65 336 36354 35036 57 013 88 012 83 001 71 350 63 339 35036 33699 60 016 90 014 84 005 74 353 61 342 33699 32349 63 017 91 016 88 007 74 354 63 346 32349 30971 55 016 93 019 90 008 75 358 65 350 30971 29557 45 016 88 022 87 011 76 003 65 355 29557 28112 40 011 70 021 87 015 74 008 64 003 28112 26639 37 011 51 010 84 018 72 011 65 010 26639 25142 38 011 38 002 71 017 73 014 66 012 25142 23623 40 016 32 006 51 015 69 015 66 012 23623 22077 38 022 30 009 37 010 52 010 66 015 22077 20498 33 021 31 007 30 009 34 007 59 015 20498 18918 29 023 31 007 29 013 25 006 46 004 18918 17419 30 030 30 011 28 014 25 003 34 349 17419 16064 31 032 28 016 26 011 25 002 26 342 16064 14855 30 033 25 021 24 006 22 003 22 343 14855 13768 28 032 22 025 21 000 19 003 19 346 13768 12783 26 031 21 027 19 358 17 000 17 351 12783 11891 25 032 20 028 17 358 16 357 15 359 11891 11082 24 032 19 029 15 002 15 354 15 008 11082 10352 22 029 17 028 14 005 14 354 15 016 10352 9692 20 024 15 024 12 005 13 354 16 021 9692 9088 17 015 13 015 11 359 12 354 15 021 9088 8543 16 359 12 000 10*354 11 353 13 019 8543 8079 15 337 10*344 8*341 8*337 11 015 8079 7717 13 307 8*330 8 339 6*322 10 010 7717 7465 10 282 7 328 7 337 6 318 8 360 7465 7311 8*276 7 326 6 336 5 317 5*338 7311 7223 4*272 5 324 5 335 4 315 3*307 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography