DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.2 - - 33.9 - - 42.2 - - 37.1 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -19 - - -12 - - -8 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7222 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 168 - - 205 - - 960 - - 473 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 12 - - 22 - - 11 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 199 - - 109 - - 120 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -20 - - 0 - - -9 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6110 - - -6345 - - -3752 - - -4071 - - -5984 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13333 - - 13568 - - 10976 - - 11295 - - 13207 sfcLCL ODpotential -17175 - - -16245 - - -11686 - - -13341 - - -16746 ODpotential blCL 24397 - - 23467 - - 18909 - - 20564 - - 23969 blCL maxRH 22 - - 17 - - 28 - - 20 - - 19 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.2 - - 33.9 - - 42.2 - - 37.1 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -6.8 - - 1.4 - - 20.0 - - 13.8 - - 0.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.3 - - 39.0 - - 43.4 - - 40.9 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.0 - - 0.3 - - 18.8 - - 12.5 - - -0.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -19 - - -12 - - -8 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96885 53 080 31 102 39 084 53 084 45 090 96885 89827 51 088 41 096 40 098 47 096 55 090 89827 84346 40 083 43 090 36 096 38 103 48 094 84346 79729 24 081 35 087 33 098 38 091 43 098 79729 75694 19 080 24 089 21 082 30 076 37 084 75694 72116 17 070 17 076 13 082 19 053 28 070 72116 68875 16 043 19 054 15 072 14 062 24 063 68875 65906 20 028 21 036 23 050 17 045 22 043 65906 63176 22 014 20 016 22 023 19 035 19 036 63176 60540 20 331 23 005 24 011 19 016 19 027 60540 57782 22 345 30 356 28 002 27 004 25 011 57782 54919 38 349 35 354 32 348 34 354 34 353 54919 52199 42 335 43 344 43 341 44 347 42 346 52199 49758 46 332 51 333 50 336 52 337 52 340 49758 47572 52 333 57 333 54 334 58 333 57 335 47572 45584 56 331 61 333 58 334 62 332 57 334 45584 43755 55 329 58 333 56 335 59 331 53 335 43755 42067 50 329 53 337 48 338 51 332 42 337 42067 40511 46 334 46 345 39 342 35 340 28 341 40511 39073 45 346 40 356 30 352 21 358 19 002 39073 37735 42 354 39 010 26 014 19 014 17 021 37735 36460 40 001 36 017 25 033 18 027 22 046 36460 35190 31 008 27 023 27 050 16 034 28 063 35190 33899 27 027 23 038 31 053 18 041 33 070 33899 32589 26 038 22 051 26 049 22 046 34 068 32589 31245 23 038 22 055 19 041 28 050 31 066 31245 29859 18 038 19 056 17 035 32 047 28 060 29859 28435 17 046 18 050 24 037 35 041 28 054 28435 26976 20 049 20 052 30 038 33 036 28 052 26976 25484 22 049 20 054 31 039 29 033 27 048 25484 23964 23 048 18 052 26 039 25 030 23 042 23964 22412 21 045 17 046 23 034 23 027 21 035 22412 20821 18 042 16 035 20 031 23 029 20 029 20821 19219 15 040 17 024 18 033 22 035 18 029 19219 17686 14 041 16 023 16 032 19 040 15 033 17686 16291 11 045 15 028 15 033 16 044 13 038 16291 15044 10 052 14 039 13 040 15 047 12 045 15044 13921 10 061 13 050 10 051 15 053 13 053 13921 12906 12 073 13 061 9 066 15 063 14 061 12906 11987 15 085 13 071 8 076 16 074 16 070 11987 11155 19 095 14 084 8 087 16 085 17 080 11155 10406 23 102 16 100 10 100 16 096 18 091 10406 9729 26 107 19 111 13 111 17 105 20 101 9729 9112 28 110 23 118 17 115 19 111 22 109 9112 8556 30 112 25 123 20 116 21 116 24 115 8556 8085 29 114 26 128 21 116 22 119 24 120 8085 7720 26 114 23 133 19 114 20 120 22 123 7720 7466 20 116 18 138 14 111 15 121 17 126 7466 7311 12*121 12 150 11*110 10*120 11*138 7311 7223 1*151 5*199 5*109 3*120 3*235 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography