DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.3 - - 38.3 - - 40.4 - - 39.4 - - 29.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -74 - - 39 - - 85 - - 15 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 614 - - 1762 - - 1163 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7739 - - 7206 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7820 - - 8968 - - 8369 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 138 - - 999 - - 917 - - 1260 - - 330 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 133 - - 238 - - 125 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 16 - - 20 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 260 - - 260 - - 269 - - 272 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -40 - - -48 - - -39 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -743 - - -214 - - 1673 - - 1134 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7966 - - 8034 - - 7296 - - 7235 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -7970 - - -5783 - - -3279 - - -2871 - - -6722 ODpotential blCL 15192 - - 13603 - - 12247 - - 11240 - - 13944 blCL maxRH 71 - - 73 - - 84 - - 78 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.3 - - 38.3 - - 40.4 - - 39.4 - - 29.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.1 - - 28.4 - - 33.6 - - 32.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.2 - - 38.0 - - 40.0 - - 39.6 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.0 - - 27.3 - - 32.4 - - 32.0 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -74 - - 39 - - 85 - - 15 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 614 - - 1762 - - 1163 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96413 5 277 14 309 18 289 13 306 12 278 96413 89283 2 181 7 204 14 275 9 320 8 041 89283 83796 5 303 3 218 11 237 13 259 5 315 83796 79219 10 281 9 305 11 260 13 252 12 299 79219 75249 16 291 12 290 18 280 15 260 17 291 75249 71730 19 288 16 290 15 301 13 272 17 305 71730 68542 20 296 20 284 23 293 17 298 20 315 68542 65608 23 304 22 288 30 277 28 291 26 305 65608 62878 27 298 20 298 26 274 27 286 23 286 62878 60212 34 288 26 299 26 285 27 292 22 292 60212 57404 39 284 34 288 34 283 38 297 32 299 57404 54486 44 286 37 286 40 286 46 295 42 303 54486 51717 44 292 44 297 46 294 51 301 47 305 51717 49251 52 293 51 297 52 294 56 302 48 305 49251 47067 51 284 53 293 53 301 60 308 56 306 47067 45120 49 303 54 309 63 315 66 311 64 304 45120 43376 76 322 74 323 75 319 68 310 62 303 43376 41780 90 318 83 319 73 316 63 306 61 302 41780 40283 77 319 73 315 69 316 59 304 64 301 40283 38870 73 334 59 323 67 315 58 305 66 298 38870 37540 75 329 69 321 65 314 61 304 67 296 37540 36266 73 324 72 318 65 313 64 304 66 296 36266 34990 75 322 72 317 65 312 65 304 64 296 34990 33686 75 319 73 317 65 311 63 305 60 298 33686 32359 73 318 73 319 65 311 62 305 59 302 32359 30998 73 320 73 319 66 312 60 307 60 306 30998 29596 70 319 72 317 66 312 58 308 63 309 29596 28157 66 317 70 315 65 312 57 309 67 311 28157 26687 63 316 68 313 64 313 57 311 70 314 26687 25189 61 317 64 312 64 315 58 312 71 316 25189 23670 58 316 60 311 68 319 62 314 70 316 23670 22126 55 314 57 314 70 324 66 317 68 316 22126 20552 52 311 54 318 70 327 70 320 66 316 20552 18971 47 308 50 319 65 329 69 322 64 318 18971 17462 41 305 45 317 56 330 63 322 61 320 17462 16092 38 302 40 314 47 328 57 321 57 322 16092 14870 36 300 37 312 40 323 50 320 52 324 14870 13773 34 299 35 307 37 314 45 318 47 325 13773 12783 34 299 35 301 36 305 41 317 42 326 12783 11887 33 299 36 295 36 299 38 313 37 325 11887 11077 32 300 35 291 35 296 35 310 33 324 11077 10347 30 299 33 287 32 292 33 306 30 323 10347 9687 29 297 31 282 29 286 29 299 27 322 9687 9083 27 291 29 276 25*275 24 287 24 320 9083 8538 26 283 27 270 23*271 21*277 22 314 8538 8075 24 275 24*265 22 270 20*273 19 301 8075 7714 21 265 20*261 21 269 19 272 16 282 7714 7464 18 259 17 260 19 268 16 271 13 269 7464 7310 14*257 15 260 16 268 14 270 11*266 7310 7222 7*260 9 260 10 268 8 270 5*265 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography