DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.8 - - 43.0 - - 46.3 - - 45.6 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -90 - - 23 - - 61 - - 2 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 611 - - 1637 - - 1012 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7818 - - 8843 - - 8219 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 117 - - 1143 - - 1414 - - 1577 - - 263 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 117 - - 211 - - 86 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 262 - - 279 - - 293 - - 289 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -29 - - -18 - - -22 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2495 - - -1700 - - 303 - - 612 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9717 - - 9518 - - 8540 - - 7607 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -11136 - - -8879 - - -4783 - - -3876 - - -6166 ODpotential blCL 18358 - - 16697 - - 13626 - - 12095 - - 13389 blCL maxRH 66 - - 65 - - 67 - - 73 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.8 - - 43.0 - - 46.3 - - 45.6 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.2 - - 26.7 - - 34.1 - - 37.3 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 43.0 - - 45.8 - - 45.9 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.1 - - 25.5 - - 32.9 - - 36.4 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -90 - - 23 - - 61 - - 2 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 611 - - 1637 - - 1012 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 8 028 9 057 1 051 10 251 3 265 96287 89176 14 051 14 078 4 104 4 307 10 055 89176 83685 11 023 13 078 1 119 8 026 14 048 83685 79125 11 014 10 030 3 035 10 036 12 044 79125 75198 10 019 8 015 14 006 11 023 17 018 75198 71730 17 360 15 010 8 013 9 028 15 358 71730 68592 19 343 18 356 29 326 30 335 25 354 68592 65707 21 322 19 339 30 312 33 328 28 342 65707 63025 22 317 22 325 26 324 35 330 32 340 63025 60415 31 312 29 320 35 322 40 321 40 330 60415 57677 40 304 34 315 37 314 44 313 42 322 57677 54817 47 302 44 309 44 315 47 316 44 323 54817 52075 59 301 55 309 59 311 57 316 54 324 52075 49603 66 298 68 303 67 302 63 311 59 320 49603 47386 69 296 68 296 63 297 63 313 66 330 47386 45410 70 295 60 295 56 307 74 327 96 325 45410 43649 61 296 62 311 71 317 88 323 86 315 43649 42033 56 304 74 321 79 318 74 325 71 329 42033 40515 66 313 77 318 74 326 81 352 76 350 40515 39088 69 315 67 323 67 339 110 006 84 005 39088 37746 62 314 61 341 77 355 110 003 93 009 37746 36460 56 315 68 355 90 356 98 356 98 010 36460 35176 56 317 80 357 91 354 96 349 93 001 35176 33870 58 320 76 351 88 352 93 346 78 344 33870 32544 60 325 67 344 82 350 88 343 78 335 32544 31187 60 325 63 338 76 347 84 340 78 332 31187 29791 59 323 62 333 71 342 79 339 74 330 29791 28360 55 321 60 329 68 336 75 337 71 328 28360 26895 51 310 59 327 66 330 72 335 69 328 26895 25398 51 299 58 326 65 327 71 332 68 329 25398 23873 52 296 57 327 63 326 69 329 66 330 23873 22318 51 298 56 330 59 326 62 326 63 330 22318 20731 49 302 53 331 54 326 57 323 59 332 20731 19136 45 306 47 327 49 324 52 324 55 335 19136 17613 42 308 43 319 46 321 49 325 51 337 17613 16228 41 308 41 312 43 320 45 327 48 338 16228 14990 41 306 40 309 40 320 42 328 45 338 14990 13878 42 304 38 308 38 321 38 330 41 338 13878 12873 42 302 36 308 36 322 35 332 37 339 12873 11963 41 300 34 307 33 322 31 333 33 341 11963 11140 40 298 33 306 30 322 27 334 29 345 11140 10398 38 296 31 305 26 322 23 333 25 348 10398 9728 36 293 29 304 22 319 20 329 21 351 9728 9115 33 290 28 301 18*311 17 317 18 351 9115 8561 31 285 25 296 14*297 14*300 16 348 8561 8091 28 280 21*287 13 294 13*293 15 339 8091 7724 24 272 17*281 12 292 12 290 12 322 7724 7469 19 264 14 279 12 290 11 288 10 306 7469 7312 15*261 12 278 10 290 10 287 8*299 7312 7223 7*262 8 277 7 289 6 285 5*288 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography