DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 34.7 - - 36.3 - - 35.6 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -71 - - -3 - - -8 - - -12 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7222 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 57 - - 428 - - 616 - - 1207 - - 524 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 281 - - 225 - - 231 - - 275 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -11 - - -11 - - -13 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -833 - - -1643 - - -1408 - - -1290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 8057 - - 8866 - - 8630 - - 8513 sfcLCL ODpotential -8261 - - -8585 - - -9257 - - -9396 - - -9095 ODpotential blCL 15483 - - 15808 - - 16480 - - 16618 - - 16318 blCL maxRH 63 - - 71 - - 73 - - 68 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 34.7 - - 36.3 - - 35.6 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.4 - - 25.0 - - 23.1 - - 23.4 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.4 - - 38.2 - - 39.8 - - 40.8 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 23.8 - - 22.0 - - 22.3 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -71 - - -3 - - -8 - - -12 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96342 23 093 29 078 23 087 23 077 26 079 96342 89187 19 063 24 071 17 070 20 074 22 072 89187 83640 10 073 17 076 9 060 16 047 16 053 83640 79014 17 040 11 059 9 030 17 029 16 042 79014 75038 21 034 12 022 10 360 19 360 25 010 75038 71545 15 021 8 003 8 048 16 032 18 005 71545 68372 10 343 21 324 31 338 26 349 21 012 68372 65461 13 327 28 312 34 305 38 319 34 336 65461 62795 22 306 22 316 26 306 33 301 34 314 62795 60224 37 303 29 320 25 319 29 303 36 305 60224 57535 50 305 46 305 41 315 41 313 40 308 57535 54725 61 309 60 308 52 303 59 301 54 303 54725 52032 69 304 70 312 59 304 61 300 58 294 52032 49607 71 301 78 308 71 307 66 307 57 299 49607 47434 70 302 79 301 79 301 75 307 63 309 47434 45453 71 308 75 299 79 300 81 303 75 306 45453 43633 76 313 76 305 79 303 81 303 81 303 43633 41962 78 317 79 310 80 311 81 307 82 303 41962 40419 82 319 79 315 80 314 82 312 83 307 40419 38983 82 320 81 320 82 315 83 314 83 311 38983 37640 78 320 82 322 82 315 81 316 81 313 37640 36360 75 322 81 322 79 316 74 316 80 314 36360 35079 73 323 79 321 76 317 69 317 81 315 35079 33773 73 324 76 320 73 317 68 318 82 315 33773 32445 72 327 73 319 69 317 67 318 81 316 32445 31087 72 330 69 319 67 317 67 318 77 318 31087 29691 70 331 66 319 66 318 68 319 72 321 29691 28260 70 328 63 320 66 319 67 320 70 323 28260 26797 68 324 62 321 65 320 67 319 71 324 26797 25304 67 321 61 321 64 320 66 319 71 324 25304 23787 65 320 59 321 63 320 64 319 71 324 23787 22239 62 319 57 321 62 321 62 320 69 326 22239 20657 57 317 54 321 61 324 60 322 63 325 20657 19067 52 318 51 320 57 325 57 322 54 323 19067 17550 49 321 49 320 51 324 51 320 46 323 17550 16173 46 323 47 322 46 324 45 318 41 326 16173 14944 45 324 44 324 43 325 39 318 39 327 14944 13839 43 323 40 326 40 327 35 321 35 325 13839 12841 42 323 37 329 38 328 32 324 32 323 12841 11937 40 323 34 331 34 329 30 328 29 322 11937 11118 39 324 31 334 30 331 27 334 27 324 11118 10380 37 326 27 337 26 332 23 340 25 329 10380 9714 34 328 24 340 21 335 20 346 22 335 9714 9104 31 329 20 345 16 339 17 348 19 341 9104 8554 27 328 15 354 11 342 15 344 16 345 8554 8086 24 324 9 012 6 339 12 335 13 344 8086 7721 20 312 5 051 3 326 10 322 10 339 7721 7467 16 299 4 097 2 259 8 310 8 327 7467 7312 12*290 3*141 4*225 6 293 7*315 7312 7223 6*281 2*225 4*231 4*275 4*295 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography