DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.7 - - 45.4 - - 47.1 - - 36.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 392 - - 106 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1746 - - 2104 - - 1799 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8237 - - 8553 - - 7834 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8951 - - 9310 - - 9006 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 823 - - 1035 - - 1385 - - 825 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 351 - - 400 - - 246 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 14 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 069 - - 054 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - -19 - - 12 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2125 - - -3289 - - -4112 - - -3591 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11076 - - 12600 - - 13119 - - 10814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11866 - - -11170 - - -11633 - - -13597 ODpotential blCL - - - 20817 - - 20480 - - 20639 - - 20819 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 42 - - 50 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.7 - - 45.4 - - 47.1 - - 36.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.8 - - 15.7 - - 15.2 - - 15.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 43.4 - - 46.3 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.6 - - 15.5 - - 15.2 - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 392 - - 106 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1746 - - 2104 - - 1799 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97413 16 328 11 311 14 327 17 349 97413 90220 5 352 12 328 14 354 11 007 90220 84651 1 254 8 305 10 332 5 032 84651 80018 2 336 5 304 6 285 5 351 80018 76025 3 287 5 255 6 240 10 284 76025 72516 2 291 7 228 7 283 4 300 72516 69338 6 273 10 254 13 268 6 289 69338 66408 7 263 9 259 8 263 6 261 66408 63681 8 258 6 281 6 257 8 297 63681 61035 9 285 8 306 10 297 15 300 61035 58275 11 292 9 304 11 282 15 303 58275 55403 13 309 13 317 16 323 18 322 55403 52656 17 318 25 323 27 327 21 339 52656 50178 21 322 31 328 35 339 34 344 50178 47956 23 325 37 334 43 343 37 344 47956 45935 31 335 42 339 48 343 45 352 45935 44080 38 346 46 344 54 349 59 351 44080 42365 44 355 52 348 65 352 67 351 42365 40769 59 354 59 351 72 352 71 352 40769 39278 65 351 64 354 75 352 76 351 39278 37895 67 352 67 354 75 353 79 349 37895 36593 69 355 69 356 73 355 75 348 36593 35303 74 356 72 359 73 358 70 354 35303 33992 77 356 75 000 72 359 73 357 33992 32657 80 356 76 360 69 360 73 357 32657 31288 78 357 74 359 67 360 70 001 31288 29877 75 359 73 001 66 000 62 000 29877 28429 72 360 67 005 64 004 57 358 28429 26948 69 001 62 006 60 005 56 359 26948 25438 68 003 60 007 56 004 54 000 25438 23901 68 006 59 008 53 006 51 002 23901 22336 68 010 57 011 50 009 46 005 22336 20738 68 015 55 016 47 011 42 009 20738 19134 64 020 53 022 44 014 39 013 19134 17602 55 025 46 025 41 017 36 016 17602 16211 48 031 39 026 38 019 34 018 16211 14969 43 038 33 026 35 019 32 020 14969 13855 40 044 30 030 32 019 29 020 13855 12850 37 050 28 036 29 022 27 020 12850 11941 34 057 27 043 26 027 24 021 11941 11120 32 064 25 051 23 035 21 024 11120 10380 30 071 21 057 19 041 19 029 10380 9713 28 076 17*064 16 046 17 036 9713 9102 23*081 15*068 13*051 15 044 9102 8552 19*083 15 069 12*053 13 051 8552 8084 17 082 14 069 12 054 11 060 8084 7720 16 082 14 069 11 054 10 069 7720 7467 15 082 13 069 11 055 8 071 7467 7312 13 081 12 069 9 055 6 060 7312 7222 9 081 9 070 7 056 3*034 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography