DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 51.9 - - 44.5 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 240 - - -35 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1637 - - 2798 - - 80 - - 79 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1560 - - 2320 - - 724 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2297 - - 3458 - - 740 - - 739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 473 - - 815 - - 2388 - - 1073 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 353 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 046 - - 021 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2980 - - -2942 - - -5124 - - -6472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5278 - - 6400 - - 5864 - - 7212 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12715 - - -11832 - - -16010 - - -20123 ODpotential blCL - - - 15012 - - 15290 - - 16750 - - 20862 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 61 - - 53 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 51.9 - - 44.5 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 26.8 - - 22.0 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 50.5 - - 45.8 - - 39.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 26.9 - - 22.0 - - 10.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 240 - - -35 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1637 - - 2798 - - 80 - - 79 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96106 4 298 6 307 4 280 3 231 96106 89008 12 080 5 020 7 014 14 049 89008 83511 7 109 6 248 12 327 9 016 83511 78963 9 238 14 267 11 290 11 282 78963 75050 15 247 18 271 15 284 16 249 75050 71561 19 252 23 254 23 279 28 273 71561 68372 21 263 25 246 30 269 35 274 68372 65433 27 276 25 257 29 262 38 279 65433 62727 37 290 29 278 36 268 47 277 62727 60121 47 279 44 280 43 262 48 263 60121 57388 58 272 56 278 50 267 49 264 57388 54541 67 266 70 270 65 276 60 274 54541 51834 72 266 79 264 81 272 76 274 51834 49415 77 270 84 264 87 270 86 269 49415 47255 83 273 86 267 89 271 90 267 47255 45282 86 274 87 269 91 270 92 267 45282 43452 86 273 89 270 92 269 94 267 43452 41752 88 270 91 269 95 270 100 268 41752 40184 89 269 97 268 110 269 117 266 40184 38738 91 271 102 267 120 265 125 263 38738 37379 91 275 100 269 118 265 120 263 37379 36059 94 276 102 274 117 269 113 265 36059 34711 93 273 105 275 119 272 116 269 34711 33305 90 271 100 271 120 273 116 271 33305 31847 86 272 95 270 113 273 109 271 31847 30321 82 273 90 272 104 273 103 269 30321 28717 79 272 86 275 96 273 98 272 28717 27035 76 269 81 274 86 275 91 275 27035 25274 73 269 77 271 81 276 83 275 25274 23437 67 273 74 270 77 274 77 277 23437 21526 62 277 66 272 73 274 74 278 21526 19532 58 280 60 277 65 277 66 276 19532 17454 52 282 55 281 54 279 54 278 17454 15340 47 282 47 281 47 281 45 282 15340 13310 42 272 43 278 38 280 33 280 13310 11468 36 258 37 262 34 268 30 277 11468 9836 31 242 32 248 32 255 32 267 9836 8396 29 228 30 233 27 245 28 255 8396 7128 20 212 26 218 20 228 17 238 7128 6006 18 201 18 209 15 199 16 224 6006 5014 15 199 10 188 12 125 14 196 5014 4145 10 166 12*081 16 084 11 125 4145 3383 12 094 16*053 17 069 18 090 3383 2705 19*059 17 049 21 046 21 069 2705 2111 18*050 17 046 23 034 25 046 2111 1619 18 048 17 044 23 029 26 032 1619 1243 17 047 17 043 21 026 23 026 1243 985 17 047 16 042 18 024 18 022 985 829 16 047 16 042 15 023 15 021 829 739 14 046 13 042 11*021 10*021 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography