DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 53.5 - - 60.4 - - 51.0 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 187 - - 111 - - -3 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 368 - - 1155 - - 1798 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1057 - - 1204 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1028 - - 1815 - - 2458 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 376 - - 480 - - 772 - - 799 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* 106 - - 245 - - 238 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 13 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 116 - - 164 - - 217 - - 112 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -274 - - -926 - - -1528 - - -767 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1302 - - 2741 - - 3986 - - 1508 - - 741 sfcLCL ODpotential -11120 - - -9126 - - -8000 - - -9405 - - -9984 ODpotential blCL 12148 - - 10941 - - 10458 - - 10146 - - 10725 blCL maxRH 93 - - 85 - - 70 - - 72 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 53.5 - - 60.4 - - 51.0 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.8 - - 44.1 - - 45.5 - - 46.9 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 52.3 - - 59.6 - - 54.7 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.5 - - 43.5 - - 45.2 - - 46.9 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 187 - - 111 - - -3 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 368 - - 1155 - - 1798 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96358 9 351 2 092 4 230 4 248 12 282 96358 89127 12 305 2 138 12 209 15 286 11 269 89127 83560 13 279 5 250 13 222 15 260 9 272 83560 78965 14 270 13 273 13 265 14 251 13 263 78965 75018 14 259 16 261 13 259 17 244 18 274 75018 71551 16 267 19 270 17 288 19 256 20 269 71551 68446 20 273 23 257 21 282 23 263 21 245 68446 65591 21 282 22 266 24 277 24 263 20 239 65591 62915 31 284 31 273 29 277 32 277 25 268 62915 60312 35 269 34 267 39 272 44 275 46 276 60312 57611 35 262 37 263 44 261 48 268 54 268 57611 54830 39 268 40 265 44 263 48 267 55 268 54830 52178 43 270 44 272 47 270 51 268 57 272 52178 49778 46 271 50 271 53 268 56 269 59 274 49778 47606 54 266 55 266 57 265 60 268 59 272 47606 45616 59 263 58 265 63 263 65 265 60 267 45616 43778 62 264 65 262 69 260 69 262 68 261 43778 42075 71 266 73 258 76 257 74 259 77 252 42075 40490 79 268 82 257 86 256 84 257 84 250 40490 39006 88 267 91 256 92 255 88 254 86 248 39006 37608 95 265 94 256 90 255 89 251 86 248 37608 36258 104 262 89 257 87 256 82 251 79 249 36258 34890 108 260 79 258 83 258 62 253 61 251 34890 33472 105 260 68 261 77 261 57 261 50 259 33472 32005 96 260 60 260 64 264 56 258 51 261 32005 30474 102 256 46 254 56 263 49 261 50 253 30474 28866 97 255 42 257 50 269 45 280 49 243 28866 27181 89 259 41 268 47 270 45 282 46 248 27181 25418 80 262 43 280 50 272 50 277 48 263 25418 23583 58 269 41 288 49 271 53 274 50 273 23583 21684 39 288 33 287 42 273 50 274 44 276 21684 19711 36 296 35 287 39 278 45 272 37 266 19711 17653 34 297 39 294 40 280 41 268 40 260 17653 15551 32 289 33 288 35 286 37 269 39 260 15551 13524 33 283 32 269 32 269 35 269 38 266 13524 11680 27 276 36 262 41 260 42 268 35 274 11680 10045 28 271 35 263 37 256 38 271 32 287 10045 8597 28 267 35 267 34 260 34 279 30 288 8597 7312 26 264 33 262 35 262 37 283 32 276 7312 6172 24 254 27 249 36 263 33 272 35 263 6172 5162 24 242 24 237 34 260 32 254 37 241 5162 4272 18 236 22 235 28 252 31 245 35 233 4272 3487 10 224 17 221 23 233 28 237 29 221 3487 2786 6 219 15 199 20*229 25 218 26 204 2786 2168 5 223 12*176 14*218 20 205 28 192 2168 1655 5 197 10*165 13 217 12 188 24 180 1655 1263 5*159 10 164 13 216 7 171 19 159 1263 994 4*118 9 164 12 216 5 155 16 137 994 833 4 115 9 163 11 215 4*134 11*126 833 741 4 115 8 163 10 215 3*112 5*124 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography