DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 87.3 - - 84.6 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 164 - - 43 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3161 - - 3993 - - 2468 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2550 - - 3079 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3821 - - 4653 - - 3128 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1021 - - 1526 - - 1853 - - 3053 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 364 - - 203 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 213 - - 194 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 606 - - 964 - - 296 - - -162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3216 - - 3689 - - 2832 - - 905 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1890 - - 536 - - -539 - - -1308 ODpotential blCL - - - 5711 - - 4117 - - 3667 - - 2051 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 95 - - 88 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 2020 - - 2590 - - 2780 - - 3410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 87.3 - - 84.6 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 73.2 - - 74.2 - - 77.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.7 - - 86.2 - - 84.3 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.9 - - 72.4 - - 73.7 - - 76.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 164 - - 43 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3161 - - 3993 - - 2468 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 79 - - 54 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98872 34 106 33 094 36 088 38 080 98872 91448 33 094 31 095 35 093 33 089 91448 85698 33 095 28 093 31 085 30 090 85698 80900 31 099 27 097 25 076 32 076 80900 76784 28 083 26 099 20 077 29 065 76784 73186 23 075 23 092 15 087 23 075 73186 69951 20 078 20 086 14 100 21 084 69951 66973 19 084 16 079 14 097 17 083 66973 64209 17 099 13 076 13 083 14 086 64209 61544 17 109 11 084 14 078 13 075 61544 58794 17 092 12 092 17 072 15 072 58794 55972 16 068 15 076 21 057 22 067 55972 53307 17 052 17 069 20 057 23 058 53307 50924 14 033 16 056 15 056 14 064 50924 48780 9 024 11 034 13 027 12 050 48780 46819 3 062 5 350 11 350 14 015 46819 45007 2 311 8 314 14 347 16 351 45007 43321 11 329 12 343 15 352 13 350 43321 41741 12 011 18 019 15 006 16 005 41741 40250 18 360 20 007 17 001 21 001 40250 38835 16 355 15 353 17 356 24 359 38835 37459 10 006 11 340 17 353 24 000 37459 36055 4 359 6 331 15 357 23 002 36055 34596 2 306 5 294 11 008 19 001 34596 33086 3 133 5 266 9 318 15 355 33086 31509 3 084 3 280 12 286 10 322 31509 29855 3 019 4 319 8 306 11 306 29855 28124 5 318 5 316 9 347 9 352 28124 26314 7 277 6 270 11 356 12 013 26314 24428 7 267 7 245 7 340 15 010 24428 22468 5 268 6 261 5 318 14 021 22468 20427 4 254 7 286 6 340 17 037 20427 18302 2 299 7 304 7 355 11 037 18302 16135 5 036 5 347 6 354 5 038 16135 14046 5 020 5 355 4 019 3 050 14046 12146 6 338 4 349 4 022 5 031 12146 10459 6 327 3 330 4 357 7 023 10459 8960 2 267 3 263 1 338 4 038 8960 7626 5 207 7 238 3 245 1 045 7626 6438 8 221 8 236 5 249 1 277 6438 5383 7 249 9*226 6 234 5 247 5383 4454 9*247 10*220 8 220 11 231 4454 3636 11*235 10 216 9*216 15 222 3636 2903 11 230 10 213 10*201 17 216 2903 2256 11 228 11 211 11 195 17 207 2256 1716 11 226 11 210 11 193 19 199 1716 1301 11 224 10 209 11 192 17 195 1301 1016 10 223 10 208 10 190 14 190 1016 842 10 223 10 208 10 190 12 189 842 743 9 223 9 207 8 190 7*186 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography