DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.0 - - 77.3 - - 66.4 - - 60.2 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 153 - - 222 - - 77 - - 39 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1665 - - 4005 - - 2462 - - 2100 - - 1160 BL Depth Hcrit 1326 - - 3197 - - 1371 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 2325 - - 4665 - - 3122 - - 2760 - - 1820 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 603 - - 1679 - - 807 - - 788 - - 1229 Hgt.Variab. W* 258 - - 392 - - 236 - - 179 - - 96 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 13 - - 26 - - 27 - - 25 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 353 - - 013 - - 017 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 33 - - -3 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -216 - - 309 - - -913 - - -218 - - 142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2542 - - 4356 - - 4035 - - 2978 - - 1678 sfcLCL ODpotential -5307 - - 391 - - -9459 - - -10515 - - -207 ODpotential blCL 7632 - - 4274 - - 12581 - - 13275 - - 2027 blCL maxRH 91 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 71.0 - - 77.3 - - 66.4 - - 60.2 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.3 - - 60.7 - - 51.6 - - 50.0 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.1 - - 75.8 - - 66.1 - - 60.1 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.1 - - 60.3 - - 51.2 - - 49.8 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 153 - - 222 - - 77 - - 39 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1665 - - 4005 - - 2462 - - 2100 - - 1160 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96857 43 272 41 269 42 267 48 266 45 271 96857 89491 29 255 37 264 34 262 41 269 36 280 89491 83935 18 254 28 252 32 263 32 282 27 291 83935 79351 17 276 18 276 24 262 28 284 24 297 79351 75400 22 281 20 301 17 281 25 283 23 290 75400 71903 17 271 23 288 18 295 21 282 21 289 71903 68748 13 274 21 279 20 293 17 279 19 289 68748 65880 14 280 20 282 21 294 14 293 14 283 65880 63256 15 284 20 288 20 286 15 295 13 281 63256 60730 18 285 19 295 18 276 21 271 20 283 60730 58087 22 273 20 279 18 279 23 271 25 273 58087 55329 24 267 26 273 28 283 29 280 28 271 55329 52677 26 253 32 270 33 277 31 272 29 273 52677 50270 24 261 33 266 35 269 33 269 29 275 50270 48091 29 281 33 270 34 267 35 272 32 275 48091 46101 33 282 32 277 30 275 36 279 35 275 46101 44274 28 266 28 263 30 280 35 281 32 276 44274 42599 21 259 24 244 30 268 31 272 28 269 42599 41049 19 296 20 260 28 258 27 272 23 267 41049 39601 25 312 21 280 26 266 24 288 24 280 39601 38236 27 308 22 285 24 267 23 301 31 288 38236 36911 29 302 22 295 22 286 26 300 33 289 36911 35558 26 303 21 300 23 293 27 293 32 295 35558 34145 21 306 21 306 21 294 27 296 29 300 34145 32676 19 310 18 311 19 295 27 302 26 299 32676 31136 19 311 16 300 19 295 22 301 25 301 31136 29514 20 306 17 294 19 292 18 296 20 288 29514 27806 20 296 21 299 22 293 20 289 21 283 27806 26011 22 293 23 291 25 295 21 295 22 295 26011 24132 27 297 24 290 27 303 27 309 28 309 24132 22174 30 297 22 299 26 306 26 313 26 316 22174 20134 22 283 18 309 19 293 21 299 24 312 20134 18009 13 248 18 294 20 279 20 278 23 292 18009 15839 7 240 17 257 22 278 23 283 24 286 15839 13743 3 180 11 261 14 277 19 282 22 280 13743 11838 4 182 9 215 12 256 14 263 21 256 11838 10153 1 141 13 185 13 223 13 230 16 247 10153 8666 6 015 11 177 13 193 11 165 13 214 8666 7352 11 334 5 156 9 166 12 137 11 200 7352 6186 13 313 4 349 6 124 17 112 7 190 6186 5155 17 295 6*346 9 066 18 084 6 114 5155 4253 22 278 8*348 20 043 24 056 27 072 4253 3467 23 255 12 353 28*025 31 035 33 061 3467 2773 24*236 13 353 28*016 31*024 33 043 2773 2162 19*216 15 354 28 014 30*020 32*033 2162 1654 18 212 15 354 27 012 29 018 29*028 1654 1265 17 211 15 354 26 011 27 016 27 025 1265 997 16 210 15 354 24 010 25 015 24 024 997 834 15 210 15 354 22 010 22 014 21 023 834 741 13 209 13 354 17 009 17 013 16 022 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography