DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1010z - - 1335z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.1 - - 66.9 - - 71.4 - - 64.9 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 98 - - 228 - - 115 - - -6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1056 - - 2853 - - 3338 - - 69 - - 68 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 2366 - - 2396 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1716 - - 3513 - - 3998 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 798 - - 518 - - 684 - - 3345 - - 63 Hgt.Variab. W* 193 - - 357 - - 304 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 039 - - 026 - - 037 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2648 - - -3026 - - -3391 - - -4786 - - -3820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4364 - - 6539 - - 7390 - - 5515 - - 4548 sfcLCL ODpotential -13814 - - -13561 - - -11897 - - -13665 - - -14774 ODpotential blCL 15530 - - 17074 - - 15895 - - 14394 - - 15502 blCL maxRH 58 - - 52 - - 49 - - 41 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.1 - - 66.9 - - 71.4 - - 64.9 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 41.3 - - 42.0 - - 43.9 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 65.5 - - 70.4 - - 68.1 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 39.8 - - 40.3 - - 40.8 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 98 - - 228 - - 115 - - -6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1056 - - 2853 - - 3338 - - 69 - - 68 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97611 4 163 6 182 14 237 10 246 8 302 97611 90323 4 146 7 133 4 207 6 228 1 028 90323 84709 2 118 5 123 8 126 4 174 2 129 84709 80039 2 044 4 157 8 113 6 125 4 166 80039 76015 3 000 3 141 3 004 6 092 4 166 76015 72454 4 295 3 322 9 322 4 028 3 188 72454 69227 11 283 8 304 9 303 11 331 6 298 69227 66273 18 283 15 305 10 273 14 310 13 296 66273 63553 19 281 19 295 14 284 18 305 21 297 63553 60947 20 280 24 292 23 299 25 304 27 293 60947 58248 27 283 31 283 30 290 31 297 26 286 58248 55443 31 276 36 274 37 282 37 289 30 297 55443 52759 37 275 41 275 44 281 44 288 40 303 52759 50346 44 277 47 275 49 281 51 284 48 299 50346 48187 49 274 52 270 51 275 52 281 51 294 48187 46227 51 270 54 265 51 271 49 281 50 292 46227 44424 52 268 51 264 49 275 46 288 48 296 44424 42748 52 266 47 268 47 280 47 297 47 302 42748 41181 52 268 45 275 44 288 48 307 48 313 41181 39710 51 269 43 278 42 294 47 313 51 324 39710 38323 48 269 41 279 39 300 46 317 55 331 38323 36980 45 266 37 279 36 305 45 319 56 336 36980 35612 43 264 33 280 33 310 43 320 56 339 35612 34188 40 266 30 283 32 314 42 324 55 340 34188 32713 38 269 28 287 31 314 42 330 52 338 32713 31171 35 273 26 295 31 313 42 334 48 333 31171 29551 32 277 26 301 31 313 39 335 41 329 29551 27848 28 281 25 302 29 312 34 333 33 329 27848 26060 24 287 23 307 27 308 30 326 27 327 26060 24187 21 303 23 313 26 308 28 322 25 325 24187 22232 24 314 23 318 24 313 26 321 25 328 22232 20192 27 317 24 321 23 319 24 324 25 331 20192 18067 28 318 25 324 22 324 23 331 24 339 18067 15904 26 319 25 323 22 333 22 342 19 346 15904 13823 25 323 23 326 22 341 22 348 17 003 13823 11927 26 336 22 340 20 348 23 354 21 011 11927 10241 27 349 21 353 15 358 17 359 18 015 10241 8744 25 001 18 003 13 011 9 016 8 008 8744 7419 22 011 15 011 13 019 8 033 4 008 7419 6245 20 022 15 021 15 034 10 054 4 059 6245 5208 22 037 17 041 14 032 11 043 7 069 5208 4301 23 047 17*047 11*022 11 026 9 068 4301 3507 22 048 13*039 11*023 11 026 11 064 3507 2802 21 046 12 038 10 024 11 028 11 059 2802 2180 21*041 11 039 10 025 10 030 11 055 2180 1660 19*036 11 039 9 027 10 032 11 051 1660 1262 14 029 10 040 9 028 9 035 10 044 1262 988 13 028 10 040 9 029 8 037 9 034 988 822 12 028 9 041 8 029 6*037 7 018 822 728 10 028 9 041 7 029 4*037 5*011 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography