DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.1 - - 46.8 - - 51.8 - - 46.7 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 259 - - 214 - - -36 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1644 - - 2915 - - 4280 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2442 - - 3371 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 2304 - - 3575 - - 4940 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 966 - - 993 - - 821 - - 3836 - - 186 Hgt.Variab. W* 159 - - 369 - - 392 - - 15 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 28 - - 25 - - 25 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 350 - - 347 - - 336 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 17 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -6 - - -9 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 52 - - -831 - - -2800 - - -7339 - - -5768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2252 - - 4406 - - 7740 - - 8079 - - 6509 sfcLCL ODpotential -11637 - - -12259 - - -13780 - - -20143 - - -19490 ODpotential blCL 13941 - - 15834 - - 18720 - - 20883 - - 20230 blCL maxRH 89 - - 71 - - 50 - - 27 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.1 - - 46.8 - - 51.8 - - 46.7 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 30.5 - - 20.7 - - 14.5 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 45.8 - - 50.7 - - 48.5 - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 29.6 - - 20.2 - - 14.2 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 259 - - 214 - - -36 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1644 - - 2915 - - 4280 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96649 46 257 38 246 41 265 49 268 52 274 96649 89364 32 239 37 255 34 271 32 274 27 252 89364 83856 18 262 26 270 20 255 28 284 18 275 83856 79273 20 288 12 259 15 249 23 262 20 272 79273 75310 12 249 8 248 13 239 19 226 20 221 75310 71808 19 254 14 241 13 261 10 248 10 244 71808 68609 26 249 22 237 24 246 24 265 16 267 68609 65674 25 214 27 214 31 224 24 260 21 255 65674 62970 21 226 23 239 31 242 32 248 30 257 62970 60337 25 238 34 238 39 238 38 236 39 241 60337 57576 40 247 48 235 47 250 45 245 45 244 57576 54700 58 243 63 239 61 249 53 249 52 247 54700 51952 73 239 70 239 70 241 61 249 59 249 51952 49479 83 234 74 242 74 239 69 244 67 246 49479 47271 87 232 81 242 80 240 76 239 73 246 47271 45285 94 235 91 240 91 240 86 240 83 247 45285 43486 110 236 105 236 100 241 98 243 97 245 43486 41837 124 234 118 233 111 240 112 241 107 242 41837 40303 132 232 127 232 126 238 122 239 112 240 40303 38860 134 232 132 231 134 235 128 236 116 240 38860 37493 135 233 135 231 135 235 129 237 120 241 37493 36164 133 234 133 232 133 236 128 239 124 241 36164 34806 121 236 122 234 125 240 119 243 116 243 34806 33396 112 235 115 236 116 242 112 246 108 247 33396 31938 108 235 110 238 110 243 105 248 102 253 31938 30417 102 235 101 239 101 244 94 249 95 257 30417 28819 97 235 93 240 93 246 88 249 87 257 28819 27144 92 235 90 240 89 248 85 251 82 257 27144 25387 87 237 87 240 85 247 82 255 76 258 25387 23546 85 240 83 242 83 250 79 258 73 263 23546 21624 82 241 81 245 80 253 79 260 71 266 21624 19619 79 243 77 246 77 257 74 263 61 270 19619 17537 74 243 72 250 72 257 60 268 46 280 17537 15417 72 245 67 257 63 259 40 287 33 293 15417 13376 69 254 39 268 30 265 29 315 31 307 13376 11521 44 267 27 292 28 288 26 330 30 325 11521 9881 30 275 26 306 32 302 26 337 31 343 9881 8432 25 287 26 316 25 307 24 348 30 351 8432 7153 23 305 24 329 22 329 26 003 27 000 7153 6025 22 308 28 345 26 346 29 003 28 011 6025 5033 24 317 33 358 26*347 29 356 29 018 5033 4166 31 346 32*357 26*347 28 351 29 013 4166 3405 39 351 27*351 26 347 27 348 26 000 3405 2728 38*348 26 350 26 347 27 347 24 354 2728 2130 34*344 26 350 25 347 26 345 23 352 2130 1632 31 343 25 350 24 347 24 343 22 349 1632 1250 28 341 24 350 24 347 22 340 20 344 1250 989 24 341 23 350 23 347 18 338 15 335 989 830 22 340 21 350 21 347 14 338 13 332 830 740 17 339 17 349 17 347 9*336 6*326 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography