DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 84.5 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 113 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1032 - - 2088 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 727 - - 1566 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1692 - - 2748 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1306 - - 1305 - - - - - 2649 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 268 - - - - - 25 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 15 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 102 - - 090 - - - - - 084 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 765 - - 475 - - - - - -278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 927 - - 2273 - - - - - 1021 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 410 - - -2039 - - - - - -820 ODpotential blCL - - - 1282 - - 4787 - - - - - 1563 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 2890 - - 3570 - - - - - 2330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 84.5 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 76.1 - - 76.3 - - - - - 75.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 83.6 - - - - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 75.4 - - - - - 75.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 113 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1032 - - 2088 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 78 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 19 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98615 23 101 24 086 24 074 98615 91142 26 097 20 097 18 083 91142 85425 22 099 19 096 18 074 85425 80691 18 103 20 099 21 072 80691 76601 14 100 21 089 20 067 76601 72994 14 101 20 079 16 050 72994 69748 9 078 16 071 14 062 69748 66785 6 045 10 066 10 085 66785 64055 9 076 7 116 8 064 64055 61438 8 054 7 111 2 041 61438 58728 19 337 5 003 8 332 58728 55941 29 288 21 280 27 298 55941 53319 25 258 16 283 26 267 53319 50948 21 299 27 315 18 280 50948 48791 37 316 38 315 28 322 48791 46816 44 308 45 314 38 321 46816 44992 48 304 46 315 37 322 44992 43292 50 275 45 291 32 311 43292 41707 25 265 41 267 33 291 41707 40222 17 247 26 250 36 272 40222 38820 20 253 26 249 37 257 38820 37457 20 254 22 247 31 245 37457 36066 21 255 21 248 26 240 36066 34616 20 255 21 243 24 236 34616 33110 19 254 24 237 23 236 33110 31535 18 253 24 232 22 245 31535 29875 18 250 22 226 23 264 29875 28133 18 247 19 218 21 274 28133 26310 17 242 18 216 17 287 26310 24408 16 232 20 226 14 269 24408 22432 15 205 25 234 13 256 22432 20380 19 192 35 226 16 253 20380 18247 29 192 46 205 19 235 18247 16078 34 185 46 192 23 225 16078 13996 28 186 33 189 18 228 13996 12107 8 165 18 207 13 240 12107 10428 7 069 8 253 11 263 10428 8930 9 056 1 066 6 236 8930 7595 10 061 5 079 7 201 7595 6408 10 075 8 059 9 162 6408 5358 11 088 11 063 11 144 5358 4433 11 101 12 076 13 132 4433 3617 10 111 13 089 14 124 3617 2889 9 112 14*092 13 121 2889 2246 9 105 15*091 11 114 2246 1709 9*103 15 090 9 098 1709 1297 9*102 15 089 8 089 1297 1014 8 102 15 089 7 086 1014 842 8 102 14 089 7*084 842 743 7 102 12 089 5*084 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography