DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.6 - - 54.2 - - 59.5 - - 54.0 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 274 - - 186 - - -33 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 260 - - 1935 - - 2469 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1741 - - 1980 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 920 - - 2595 - - 3129 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 536 - - 933 - - 1079 - - 1902 - - 1288 Hgt.Variab. W* 86 - - 327 - - 312 - - 10 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 22 - - 23 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 194 - - 196 - - 174 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -7 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3170 - - -2192 - - -1092 - - -1593 - - -566 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4091 - - 4787 - - 4221 - - 2334 - - 1307 sfcLCL ODpotential -15778 - - -11764 - - -9071 - - -9754 - - -4126 ODpotential blCL 16698 - - 14359 - - 12200 - - 10495 - - 4867 blCL maxRH 57 - - 71 - - 87 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 40.6 - - 54.2 - - 59.5 - - 54.0 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.8 - - 36.2 - - 43.7 - - 46.6 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.5 - - 52.9 - - 58.5 - - 55.5 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.8 - - 36.0 - - 43.6 - - 46.6 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 274 - - 186 - - -33 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 260 - - 1935 - - 2469 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 67 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96777 18 268 25 273 28 265 29 279 27 281 96777 89582 19 287 17 263 16 275 18 279 21 266 89582 84017 8 252 14 282 14 285 15 288 13 279 84017 79359 2 078 13 269 11 282 14 292 16 305 79359 75343 4 350 5 234 11 259 15 264 14 265 75343 71808 12 281 9 313 11 264 12 302 11 252 71808 68604 17 255 18 272 22 274 23 273 18 269 68604 65658 15 277 24 265 23 287 23 270 29 289 65658 62964 31 268 35 263 38 267 34 268 40 278 62964 60400 46 249 46 262 40 265 32 275 44 279 60400 57710 54 253 44 268 42 273 44 269 59 266 57710 54887 60 259 58 262 59 261 61 260 65 259 54887 52173 69 264 71 257 70 260 69 262 69 262 52173 49708 74 265 73 255 76 262 78 267 73 262 49708 47481 78 267 75 259 83 264 87 264 81 263 47481 45452 83 266 83 264 94 263 96 262 91 264 45452 43590 90 265 94 264 102 262 102 262 97 262 43590 41871 96 264 102 262 106 261 103 262 98 260 41871 40279 98 262 106 261 107 261 105 260 96 262 40279 38798 99 262 109 262 109 262 107 258 94 263 38798 37412 96 262 114 264 115 262 109 258 96 264 37412 36077 92 263 115 264 115 260 109 257 105 259 36077 34727 87 263 108 264 112 258 108 257 111 254 34727 33337 81 263 96 263 104 259 104 258 103 253 33337 31910 76 263 84 261 93 260 93 259 87 253 31910 30424 73 265 77 260 81 260 82 258 73 250 30424 28861 73 266 73 262 72 257 77 256 69 252 28861 27212 70 267 71 262 69 254 72 255 67 255 27212 25478 63 266 68 262 66 254 67 257 62 255 25478 23661 57 263 64 260 61 257 62 260 59 253 23661 21765 53 257 59 261 55 260 56 260 53 253 21765 19787 47 257 52 260 49 260 51 260 45 255 19787 17724 41 260 43 251 44 256 48 259 40 260 17724 15614 36 260 38 247 41 254 43 256 45 263 15614 13569 33 257 41 239 38 257 36 253 41 262 13569 11702 32 250 38 227 34 260 31 255 33 256 11702 10043 32 242 33 226 29 256 26 259 30 255 10043 8573 28 240 24 232 25 242 22 255 26 255 8573 7272 23 250 20 240 22 232 20 244 22 247 7272 6127 22 259 23 238 24 238 22 240 22 234 6127 5120 27 245 32 227 29 232 25 229 30 222 5120 4236 37 227 41 213 29 215 28 216 30 222 4236 3455 46 216 38 208 28*208 30 208 28 223 3455 2760 46 211 33*202 27*202 29 199 24 209 2760 2150 41 205 26*197 25 197 27 186 19 186 2150 1645 34 199 22 194 24 194 25 180 17 168 1645 1259 26 193 21 193 23 194 22 177 15 159 1259 994 20*189 20 193 22 193 18 175 11 154 994 833 17*187 19 192 20 193 15 174 9*153 833 741 14 186 16 192 16 193 9*174 5*150 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography