DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 95.1 - - 93.0 - - 85.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 257 - - 4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5581 - - 6724 - - 3783 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4640 - - 5364 - - 728 - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6241 - - 7384 - - 4443 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2064 - - 3015 - - 4919 - - 2944 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 520 - - 491 - - 130 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 109 - - 121 - - 133 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 123 - - 287 - - -2334 - - -2095 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6118 - - 7097 - - 6777 - - 2839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -706 - - -471 - - -3831 - - -5435 ODpotential blCL - - - 6947 - - 7855 - - 8274 - - 6179 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 74 - - 70 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 1190 - - 930 - - 670 - - 2760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 95.1 - - 93.0 - - 85.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.5 - - 66.3 - - 65.8 - - 74.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.8 - - 93.4 - - 93.2 - - 86.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 65.9 - - 65.4 - - 74.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 257 - - 4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5581 - - 6724 - - 3783 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98630 20 119 11 098 17 076 23 082 98630 91249 19 096 19 104 16 069 20 079 91249 85555 19 087 20 089 17 105 15 075 85555 80808 17 083 13 082 15 090 19 075 80808 76706 10 078 5 081 10 064 18 075 76706 73086 10 068 4 136 7 045 13 054 73086 69826 13 060 11 118 3 108 9 044 69826 66857 16 060 16 097 6 139 6 060 66857 64136 15 055 17 062 12 062 12 057 64136 61531 8 057 11 053 14 044 14 032 61531 58842 13 047 9 036 14 032 19 030 58842 56069 15 020 15 360 18 002 23 013 56069 53439 15 021 18 004 17 000 22 006 53439 51085 16 030 20 018 19 024 19 015 51085 48967 25 029 22 030 22 025 20 029 48967 47023 26 028 25 034 23 020 23 024 47023 45217 27 026 27 028 24 020 27 020 45217 43529 26 032 26 023 27 028 29 016 43529 41940 27 038 26 019 23 032 27 024 41940 40440 28 041 24 027 22 014 21 030 40440 39025 26 045 22 032 23 006 21 017 39025 37657 24 037 21 037 22 023 20 019 37657 36262 13 022 16 057 20 034 20 029 36262 34809 8 047 9 033 12 037 17 034 34809 33298 9 087 5 029 11 008 6 038 33298 31715 13 086 8 091 6 011 7 010 31715 30049 15 082 12 098 5 100 5 025 30049 28300 13 098 11 093 9 115 5 065 28300 26465 13 111 6 081 6 096 5 073 26465 24554 13 110 5 071 4 027 8 037 24554 22574 12 102 6 085 7 014 13 023 22574 20516 11 092 10 088 6 040 15 032 20516 18372 11 083 11 077 10 068 11 053 18372 16190 10 079 10 075 13 076 9 078 16190 14094 7 100 12 074 14 081 8 099 14094 12192 12 106 15 086 16 093 15 104 12192 10504 15 104 17 099 18 094 22 097 10504 9004 15 105 16 107 17 096 24 098 9004 7668 17 111 16*111 15 104 23 104 7668 6477 17*111 15*117 13 119 22 108 6477 5422 16*111 15 119 12 129 18 110 5422 4490 13 110 14 121 12*133 12 121 4490 3665 12 109 14 122 12*134 9 148 3665 2926 12 109 14 122 12 133 11 166 2926 2272 11 109 14 122 12 133 12 183 2272 1726 11 109 14 122 12 132 14 197 1726 1307 11 108 13 122 12 132 14 200 1307 1019 10 108 13 122 11 132 12 200 1019 844 10 109 12 122 10 132 10*201 844 744 9 109 11 123 9 133 6*201 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography