DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 75.5 - - 64.7 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 164 - - -30 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1142 - - 1461 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1133 - - 1209 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1802 - - 2121 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 511 - - 1325 - - 273 - - 326 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 252 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 187 - - 179 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -5 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6399 - - -3807 - - -1031 - - -121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8201 - - 5929 - - 1773 - - 863 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11981 - - -7896 - - -7463 - - -6971 ODpotential blCL - - - 13783 - - 10017 - - 8205 - - 7713 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 63 - - 69 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 75.5 - - 64.7 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 52.1 - - 59.3 - - 61.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.1 - - 74.3 - - 67.6 - - 65.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 52.0 - - 59.3 - - 62.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 164 - - -30 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1142 - - 1461 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96604 45 227 57 246 52 271 29 286 96604 89308 21 247 25 250 24 266 19 266 89308 83718 17 253 9 250 11 232 18 244 83718 79119 13 243 8 267 7 218 15 236 79119 75191 14 264 11 296 2 218 9 214 75191 71729 13 276 10 283 3 228 8 241 71729 68610 10 307 8 282 5 229 11 220 68610 65758 19 253 18 258 12 250 22 243 65758 63119 24 248 25 249 27 242 29 233 63119 60554 32 253 31 258 34 247 33 240 60554 57860 44 242 42 245 41 247 42 248 57860 55045 46 247 45 243 51 246 53 243 55045 52328 57 249 53 247 57 248 57 249 52328 49853 60 253 58 255 64 255 63 258 49853 47634 72 256 73 257 84 260 81 254 47634 45653 80 255 86 258 77 256 89 254 45653 43878 82 254 91 255 82 275 113 271 43878 42250 76 256 71 257 118 280 113 272 42250 40723 64 262 57 263 117 278 92 266 40723 39289 63 268 74 273 91 274 83 255 39289 37931 66 269 81 265 73 268 82 256 37931 36609 68 267 84 262 70 256 80 254 36609 35257 69 266 80 262 73 252 80 253 35257 33846 68 268 69 260 71 253 78 252 33846 32380 66 269 61 262 68 251 75 252 32380 30846 63 267 65 263 64 253 69 252 30846 29232 61 262 68 259 60 256 63 255 29232 27538 58 259 64 256 58 260 61 255 27538 25764 52 259 57 256 56 262 60 254 25764 23913 47 264 50 257 52 263 57 252 23913 21994 43 264 39 254 46 261 53 253 21994 19999 35 254 36 253 41 255 46 251 19999 17919 32 246 35 251 38 258 41 247 17919 15800 31 248 33 246 36 261 36 253 15800 13763 32 259 31 247 32 253 32 247 13763 11906 29 266 27 257 28 243 28 232 11906 10249 25 269 21 260 25 238 25 227 10249 8772 23 266 18 254 21 232 25 225 8772 7457 21 255 18 239 18 226 21 219 7457 6290 18 248 16 231 18 207 22 207 6290 5259 15 244 13 213 20 190 25 203 5259 4352 15 226 17 207 23 185 29 200 4352 3554 18 205 19 204 26 181 33 196 3554 2840 17 191 19 198 28 178 33 193 2840 2211 16*179 17*190 27 180 32 191 2211 1685 13*172 16*187 25 184 31 189 1685 1282 11 170 15 187 23 185 30 187 1282 1005 10 170 14 187 18 183 21 180 1005 837 10 170 14 187 14 182 18 179 837 742 9 170 12 187 6*179 9*175 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography