DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.0 - - 86.3 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 261 - - 221 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3240 - - 3881 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2709 - - 3122 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3900 - - 4541 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1856 - - 2160 - - - - - 2832 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 391 - - 393 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 145 - - - - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 439 - - 346 - - - - - -630 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3461 - - 4195 - - - - - 1373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -99 - - -122 - - - - - -1615 ODpotential blCL - - - 3999 - - 4663 - - - - - 2358 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 91 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1420 - - 1470 - - - - - 1960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.0 - - 86.3 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.9 - - 69.9 - - - - - 73.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.3 - - 84.8 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 69.3 - - - - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 261 - - 221 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3240 - - 3881 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 62 - - - - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98388 18 118 30 099 25 087 98388 90913 22 101 22 100 23 081 90913 85197 19 076 16 105 22 082 85197 80472 15 085 12 082 23 074 80472 76406 12 095 11 066 19 078 76406 72824 10 088 6 088 17 065 72824 69594 8 107 8 112 7 045 69594 66631 14 045 10 037 4 090 66631 63899 13 350 8 003 12 025 63899 61288 8 323 6 348 15 353 61288 58574 16 318 13 282 17 326 58574 55762 21 285 27 298 35 312 55762 53120 50 294 51 293 53 293 53120 50765 64 285 60 280 60 285 50765 48634 63 280 59 271 62 275 48634 46676 64 270 57 268 59 272 46676 44860 70 258 59 264 59 272 44860 43163 71 255 62 259 61 270 43163 41571 72 259 64 262 63 267 41571 40071 74 262 66 266 59 270 40071 38654 76 264 63 270 52 275 38654 37287 73 267 60 272 42 276 37287 35901 64 272 56 268 36 275 35901 34462 48 275 50 268 35 275 34462 32969 45 277 45 266 34 279 32969 31407 43 275 41 266 34 286 31407 29763 39 273 38 270 27 289 29763 28040 36 269 36 272 17 303 28040 26237 35 267 32 280 16 325 26237 24356 34 271 25 296 16 334 24356 22396 27 276 21 312 15 333 22396 20353 19 278 22 322 16 338 20353 18228 14 304 21 325 16 342 18228 16067 11 304 13 315 17 357 16067 13990 7 302 9 312 19 002 13990 12098 8 351 9 343 17 011 12098 10413 8 005 11 000 12 025 10413 8911 7 348 5 003 11 045 8911 7576 7 334 2 348 7 069 7576 6394 6 332 1 359 4 161 6394 5351 3 334 2*145 7 160 5351 4431 1*236 3*146 8 168 4431 3618 1*196 5 145 10 185 3618 2891 2 189 5 144 14 184 2891 2248 2 188 5 145 14 177 2248 1711 3 188 6 145 14 171 1711 1298 3 187 6 145 13 166 1298 1014 3 186 6 144 10 160 1014 842 3 186 6 144 8 158 842 743 3 187 5 144 5*156 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography