DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 76.6 - - 69.3 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 157 - - -35 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2068 - - 2450 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1707 - - 1890 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2728 - - 3110 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 543 - - 732 - - 2310 - - 814 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 295 - - 10 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 198 - - 177 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 400 - - -11 - - -774 - - -426 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2328 - - 3121 - - 1517 - - 1169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 507 - - -3654 - - -6178 - - -6916 ODpotential blCL - - - 2221 - - 6764 - - 6921 - - 7659 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 93 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 850 - - 760 - - 180 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 76.6 - - 69.3 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.4 - - 65.1 - - 64.8 - - 63.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 75.6 - - 70.6 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 64.9 - - 64.8 - - 63.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 157 - - -35 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2068 - - 2450 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 71 - - 55 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96328 57 247 76 242 74 263 64 265 96328 89188 43 254 42 253 45 262 45 268 89188 83701 32 254 29 266 29 268 27 268 83701 79148 21 265 17 276 15 269 13 279 79148 75217 18 277 14 305 6 280 7 281 75217 71745 16 279 21 301 9 296 3 306 71745 68612 13 282 17 299 16 297 12 318 68612 65749 12 277 15 272 20 266 18 291 65749 63107 16 261 17 240 22 246 19 274 63107 60565 27 262 25 256 29 249 28 255 60565 57921 39 255 35 258 36 254 36 252 57921 55174 51 254 51 258 51 263 53 263 55174 52551 59 249 62 255 61 256 58 256 52551 50164 59 247 64 251 62 250 58 252 50164 47994 54 247 61 247 57 246 61 255 47994 46009 51 251 56 247 53 247 62 253 46009 44192 48 257 52 252 52 255 61 253 44192 42524 45 264 49 258 55 263 56 255 42524 40977 43 270 46 263 56 267 54 262 40977 39527 36 262 41 265 51 266 58 267 39527 38154 28 256 36 264 47 262 60 265 38154 36822 20 265 33 262 46 254 57 261 36822 35460 14 269 32 262 42 250 44 253 35460 34043 15 255 24 251 40 247 42 246 34043 32570 24 250 23 241 41 251 43 246 32570 31029 27 245 28 242 40 251 41 244 31029 29407 29 242 29 239 36 248 39 243 29407 27708 29 237 28 237 32 240 38 248 27708 25930 28 243 24 240 28 236 35 251 25930 24076 26 239 22 236 21 235 29 243 24076 22145 24 227 23 220 18 224 22 228 22145 20134 21 220 21 215 20 216 20 220 20134 18038 22 213 24 217 21 225 21 230 18038 15900 21 208 26 224 24 236 24 244 15900 13843 20 206 27 226 28 234 29 245 13843 11970 20 201 27 222 35 225 34 237 11970 10302 18 204 28 218 34 220 34 232 10302 8817 18 213 28 213 30 219 32 227 8817 7496 20 219 25 215 25 221 28 223 7496 6322 21 220 23 221 23 222 25 219 6322 5282 21 220 21 225 23 220 24 216 5282 4368 21 225 20 220 23 216 27 210 4368 3563 22 224 20*208 25 207 30 204 3563 2847 20*216 19*202 27 199 35 201 2847 2215 19*211 19 199 28 192 38 197 2215 1688 18 210 19 198 27 187 36 193 1688 1284 17 209 19 197 25 183 32 191 1284 1006 16 208 18 196 20 180 23 188 1006 839 15 208 17 196 17*179 20*187 839 743 13 207 14 196 11*177 12*186 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography