DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.5 - - 71.2 - - 77.7 - - 70.5 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 226 - - 155 - - -6 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 1158 - - 2704 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1132 - - 2072 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 741 - - 1818 - - 3364 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 220 - - 677 - - 2651 - - 4106 - - 52 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 260 - - 305 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 319 - - 298 - - 329 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -11 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5946 - - -6417 - - -6575 - - -7167 - - -6096 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6687 - - 8236 - - 9939 - - 7909 - - 6838 sfcLCL ODpotential -17427 - - -11486 - - -12773 - - -12444 - - -14323 ODpotential blCL 18168 - - 13304 - - 16137 - - 13186 - - 15065 blCL maxRH 34 - - 33 - - 33 - - 25 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.5 - - 71.2 - - 77.7 - - 70.5 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.8 - - 38.2 - - 36.8 - - 39.1 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 69.7 - - 76.6 - - 75.1 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.8 - - 38.1 - - 36.8 - - 39.0 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 226 - - 155 - - -6 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 1158 - - 2704 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96427 22 206 22 240 25 240 22 260 14 254 96427 89189 11 256 11 237 11 244 14 311 3 326 89189 83650 7 304 4 218 8 228 9 302 10 352 83650 79079 8 354 2 188 8 264 4 260 8 317 79079 75147 11 354 4 000 7 296 4 360 6 306 75147 71674 13 342 8 348 5 322 6 349 9 341 71674 68545 16 329 13 338 9 352 4 324 12 325 68545 65700 12 315 12 323 10 325 4 296 10 304 65700 63087 7 270 10 306 12 319 9 323 10 300 63087 60555 2 325 12 293 15 324 13 322 12 287 60555 57891 12 340 13 319 15 315 15 300 15 276 57891 55107 20 309 18 306 18 282 17 286 24 268 55107 52451 19 296 20 288 19 266 29 279 31 286 52451 50052 21 310 20 285 26 276 37 281 44 286 50052 47885 33 307 33 291 43 293 44 293 48 285 47885 45905 41 298 43 296 57 295 53 296 47 290 45905 44077 32 294 47 298 61 293 57 291 50 284 44077 42375 29 307 35 294 51 298 56 288 51 281 42375 40788 33 302 23 297 38 290 50 286 50 284 40788 39306 33 291 22 302 26 275 39 279 43 287 39306 37922 28 291 26 283 24 280 30 275 37 287 37922 36595 27 292 29 275 26 283 31 283 33 292 36595 35252 25 294 25 278 27 275 30 282 33 298 35252 33853 24 297 26 283 28 272 28 284 32 299 33853 32400 23 310 22 288 25 272 25 284 31 298 32400 30877 23 323 18 306 20 273 25 282 30 296 30877 29272 23 328 17 316 16 272 27 275 30 296 29272 27585 23 333 16 328 16 270 28 268 29 293 27585 25816 22 334 14 301 18 277 25 267 28 284 25816 23965 23 319 21 292 20 296 21 280 25 286 23965 22035 28 318 24 310 21 312 21 292 20 281 22035 20022 32 316 25 328 19 317 21 298 18 281 20022 17921 34 324 22 327 22 324 20 302 20 288 17921 15782 27 332 15 320 20 319 19 307 19 308 15782 13730 19 351 11 333 13 316 16 318 14 333 13730 11869 17 351 10 349 9 323 13 332 12 340 11869 10216 15 007 9 353 11 317 12 330 13 332 10216 8745 13 012 6 329 12 315 13 339 14 335 8745 7440 14 355 11 310 15 332 13 353 15 349 7440 6280 15 358 12 318 17 336 15 357 13 347 6280 5255 14 350 12 329 16 329 16 351 11 334 5255 4352 14 337 14 329 15 323 15 341 9 340 4352 3554 15 337 15 328 12*315 13 335 9 358 3554 2840 17 334 17 330 11*304 13 334 12 017 2840 2210 18 316 17*328 10 299 12 336 16 027 2210 1685 21 310 13*322 10 297 11 338 19 027 1685 1282 22 314 11 318 9 296 10 340 18 023 1282 1005 20 313 11 317 9 295 8 339 13 012 1005 837 15 311 10 317 8 295 6 335 9*353 837 742 7*310 9 317 8 295 4*329 6*348 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography