DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.4 - - 93.4 - - 90.6 - - 83.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 245 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6191 - - 6771 - - 4180 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5042 - - 5372 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6851 - - 7431 - - 4840 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2338 - - 1338 - - 3994 - - 682 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 508 - - 484 - - 85 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 14 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 157 - - 177 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 522 - - -3 - - -1566 - - -3639 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6329 - - 7434 - - 6406 - - 4383 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -107 - - -1155 - - -2481 - - -5685 ODpotential blCL - - - 6958 - - 8586 - - 7321 - - 6429 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 82 - - 79 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 780 - - 410 - - 710 - - 770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.4 - - 93.4 - - 90.6 - - 83.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.1 - - 63.3 - - 65.1 - - 67.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.3 - - 91.6 - - 90.9 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 62.8 - - 64.8 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 245 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6191 - - 6771 - - 4180 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 29 - - 17 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98511 16 099 9 086 9 067 14 056 98511 91142 20 079 21 081 13 078 16 052 91142 85480 21 070 22 084 17 074 21 053 85480 80770 21 093 15 086 20 064 22 060 80770 76709 21 085 12 087 18 057 22 065 76709 73138 19 076 11 095 12 042 19 069 73138 69918 19 087 14 095 11 045 15 072 69918 66954 16 058 15 098 12 102 7 068 66954 64201 8 030 9 068 11 095 7 112 64201 61550 13 106 6 126 5 005 5 069 61550 58801 11 084 15 110 1 138 3 300 58801 55972 3 013 9 076 8 096 4 127 55972 53304 7 186 5 227 2 224 3 089 53304 50919 15 164 17 180 16 217 7 248 50919 48784 18 164 16 174 18 196 16 213 48784 46846 13 182 9 187 10 210 11 198 46846 45057 15 197 8 220 12 237 10 214 45057 43386 18 181 11 197 16 239 13 236 43386 41816 18 202 12 195 17 234 16 242 41816 40335 18 208 12 207 14 226 13 222 40335 38935 15 207 11 196 12 211 13 186 38935 37577 12 201 13 147 12 201 13 179 37577 36190 11 181 13 155 12 203 10 203 36190 34746 11 183 11 178 11 213 9 217 34746 33249 9 163 17 173 13 195 12 192 33249 31685 11 178 21 166 18 176 15 181 31685 30041 18 182 18 174 17 171 11 192 30041 28315 18 196 17 189 14 179 10 199 28315 26507 16 204 13 212 11 189 8 202 26507 24618 13 202 9 259 3 222 4 209 24618 22650 7 199 9 275 5 343 4 000 22650 20594 3 120 4 237 1 138 3 290 20594 18444 4 092 3 195 1 162 3 232 18444 16245 6 119 2 232 3 311 4 323 16245 14123 9 134 1 116 2 335 5 350 14123 12196 8 140 3 116 1 103 1 046 12196 10490 6 153 9 133 8 174 6 162 10490 8984 5 151 9 130 11 164 12 161 8984 7649 6*136 7*144 10 155 14 156 7649 6462 6*137 6*147 9 152 14 161 6462 5409 6 140 6 150 7*152 14 165 5409 4478 6 143 6 153 6*154 13 169 4478 3655 6 150 6 156 6 161 12 172 3655 2918 6 153 6 159 5 173 11 175 2918 2266 7 157 6 162 5 185 10 180 2266 1722 6 160 6 164 5 191 9 188 1722 1304 6 162 6 165 5 193 9 196 1304 1017 6 162 6 166 5 194 7 202 1017 843 6 164 6 166 5 196 6*206 843 744 6 163 5 166 4 196 3*204 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography