DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 46.9 - - 50.4 - - 45.9 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 188 - - 146 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 643 - - 1664 - - 1549 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1420 - - 1207 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1303 - - 2324 - - 2209 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 611 - - 501 - - 422 - - 1575 - - 651 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 276 - - 247 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 13 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 197 - - 185 - - 142 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -74 - - -688 - - -550 - - -919 - - -262 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1378 - - 3013 - - 2759 - - 1660 - - 1003 sfcLCL ODpotential -11788 - - -10318 - - -8621 - - -9674 - - -10226 ODpotential blCL 13091 - - 12642 - - 10830 - - 10415 - - 10967 blCL maxRH 92 - - 88 - - 87 - - 82 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 46.9 - - 50.4 - - 45.9 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.9 - - 36.4 - - 41.0 - - 41.3 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.8 - - 45.6 - - 49.6 - - 47.2 - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 35.8 - - 40.8 - - 41.2 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 188 - - 146 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 643 - - 1664 - - 1549 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 52 - - 49 - - 27 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 3 032 2 258 4 282 5 357 9 312 96301 89107 5 312 4 098 7 222 8 306 9 322 89107 83570 6 252 2 231 8 247 12 283 11 319 83570 79000 4 246 8 291 9 266 12 298 10 305 79000 75080 8 300 10 279 12 289 15 296 8 310 75080 71619 18 317 10 252 13 287 15 301 14 317 71619 68495 19 305 9 265 13 303 12 286 16 297 68495 65627 19 283 15 289 19 305 12 283 17 277 65627 62963 22 289 21 279 22 290 21 291 18 277 62963 60377 29 285 24 266 23 277 23 283 18 279 60377 57675 32 275 29 274 25 272 19 274 16 265 57675 54855 36 258 36 278 27 281 18 293 20 276 54855 52147 39 255 43 266 34 294 30 292 30 282 52147 49698 52 266 52 260 47 278 38 280 37 284 49698 47486 70 258 65 252 67 258 45 268 46 277 47486 45477 82 251 73 246 76 248 61 261 72 259 45477 43641 93 244 80 244 87 249 88 251 88 247 43641 41946 89 245 84 246 95 247 90 246 90 242 41946 40367 90 252 92 252 99 249 89 253 92 248 40367 38893 102 258 111 255 110 256 111 259 101 254 38893 37515 116 257 126 252 133 258 131 256 117 253 37515 36191 111 250 124 247 129 252 125 252 121 249 36191 34844 107 246 117 243 120 251 117 248 119 247 34844 33437 107 242 113 242 113 248 112 244 114 245 33437 31972 112 241 109 240 111 246 113 244 113 244 31972 30435 117 244 111 239 114 248 117 247 118 246 30435 28813 116 252 119 243 123 254 125 256 126 252 28813 27115 101 257 123 254 117 258 124 264 126 262 27115 25344 83 254 97 259 102 258 91 263 102 267 25344 23502 73 250 80 251 87 258 79 249 78 258 23502 21592 66 248 74 243 73 251 75 247 67 250 21592 19610 65 250 71 247 69 247 63 256 60 252 19610 17550 60 256 66 256 57 257 51 259 47 259 17550 15449 54 258 58 262 50 260 45 263 42 262 15449 13424 55 258 51 264 47 264 39 268 35 264 13424 11582 54 263 48 260 46 265 34 265 31 266 11582 9948 48 269 45 257 43 261 34 261 31 265 9948 8500 37 268 40 258 39 256 33 256 31 262 8500 7218 31 265 33 255 37 255 32 254 30 262 7218 6082 26 261 27 253 31 254 31 256 28 267 6082 5077 19 267 21 249 27 253 29 259 26 271 5077 4195 15 276 18 237 26 250 24 252 24 264 4195 3421 12 271 15 231 22 237 19 231 21 251 3421 2735 10 259 10*209 18*219 16 200 16 218 2735 2134 7 246 9*199 14*188 15 180 15 186 2134 1634 5*215 9 198 14 185 14 170 13 177 1634 1252 4*203 8 197 13 184 12 165 12 148 1252 990 4 200 8 196 13 184 10 160 10 127 990 831 3 200 8 196 12 184 8*154 8*120 831 741 3 200 7 197 10 183 4*142 4*110 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography