DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.3 - - 96.1 - - - - - 87.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 304 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4850 - - 6461 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4097 - - 5248 - - - - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5510 - - 7121 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2703 - - 2808 - - - - - 2324 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 510 - - 513 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 174 - - - - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -16 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -185 - - -213 - - - - - -4125 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5696 - - 7334 - - - - - 4869 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1806 - - -1219 - - - - - -6751 ODpotential blCL - - - 7316 - - 8340 - - - - - 7495 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 72 - - - - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 2530 - - 1700 - - - - - 1620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.3 - - 96.1 - - - - - 87.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.6 - - 66.4 - - - - - 68.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.9 - - 94.3 - - - - - 88.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 65.8 - - - - - 68.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 304 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4850 - - 6461 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99182 48 098 46 107 39 081 99182 91644 38 096 39 103 42 085 91644 85854 32 099 34 096 43 086 85854 81089 36 095 31 094 36 088 81089 76992 35 087 33 095 30 094 76992 73379 31 085 29 096 25 090 73379 70118 24 093 23 095 20 083 70118 67134 24 097 19 096 16 068 67134 64378 17 079 19 091 13 083 64378 61722 10 094 12 074 14 086 61722 58967 8 115 8 035 13 075 58967 56129 10 116 3 169 13 020 56129 53447 12 043 4 078 12 029 53447 51040 16 023 15 043 15 052 51040 48871 23 029 26 051 17 047 48871 46887 29 029 30 041 18 046 46887 45055 32 027 30 030 22 044 45055 43355 30 022 28 016 24 038 43355 41766 27 011 23 014 30 032 41766 40270 21 039 20 037 29 024 40270 38855 30 046 24 050 23 013 38855 37481 24 049 18 060 16 006 37481 36082 13 042 7 033 10 003 36082 34632 13 021 10 000 6 343 34632 33133 10 324 15 356 7 347 33133 31569 17 260 16 354 6 006 31569 29930 13 250 8 332 6 028 29930 28213 7 276 6 313 5 023 28213 26416 6 336 7 330 6 022 26416 24541 8 357 7 346 8 027 24541 22587 10 012 9 017 9 013 22587 20550 9 044 7 038 10 010 20550 18421 7 054 8 035 15 029 18421 16245 7 063 7 026 21 040 16245 14145 9 081 8 037 18 040 14145 12233 10 100 5 066 11 035 12233 10534 10 115 6 119 7 008 10534 9026 6 116 6 133 1 230 9026 7684 2 113 7*145 8 178 7684 6490 2*156 7*155 12 176 6490 5431 6*195 9 168 14 182 5431 4495 9 195 11 173 16 186 4495 3669 10 195 12 175 18 188 3669 2929 10 193 12 176 19 190 2929 2274 11 192 13 178 20 193 2274 1727 11 192 13 178 21 196 1727 1307 11 191 13 179 21 196 1307 1019 11 191 12 180 17 196 1019 844 11 191 12 180 15*196 844 744 10 190 11 180 7*194 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography