DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 87.1 - - 94.7 - - 97.8 - - 95.9 - - 86.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 224 - - 428 - - 350 - - 76 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3042 - - 5024 - - 6403 - - 4544 - - 70 BL Depth Hcrit 2483 - - 4258 - - 5267 - - 2923 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 3702 - - 5684 - - 7063 - - 5204 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 535 - - 796 - - 1141 - - 1595 - - 619 Hgt.Variab. W* 358 - - 527 - - 535 - - 293 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 16 - - 13 - - 20 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 204 - - 183 - - 181 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 10 - - 12 - - -10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 335 - - -766 - - -144 - - -1840 - - -2351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3367 - - 6450 - - 7207 - - 7044 - - 3081 sfcLCL ODpotential -3033 - - -4853 - - -3249 - - -6544 - - -5371 ODpotential blCL 6735 - - 10537 - - 10312 - - 11748 - - 6101 blCL maxRH 90 - - 69 - - 71 - - 58 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 2680 - - 1310 - - 1720 - - 1390 - - 3060 CAPE Temp@2m 87.1 - - 94.7 - - 97.8 - - 95.9 - - 86.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 74.2 - - 68.6 - - 68.4 - - 67.3 - - 74.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 85.8 - - 92.4 - - 95.8 - - 95.4 - - 86.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 74.0 - - 68.2 - - 68.0 - - 67.0 - - 74.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 224 - - 428 - - 350 - - 76 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3042 - - 5024 - - 6403 - - 4544 - - 70 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98733 43 086 49 097 34 094 44 095 42 085 98733 91251 38 088 42 094 37 095 36 097 36 098 91251 85518 35 095 36 092 37 098 35 100 35 100 85518 80760 33 104 30 088 35 095 35 099 34 100 80760 76650 33 104 27 094 27 088 33 092 34 099 76650 73024 32 104 26 099 20 095 28 080 33 091 73024 69773 29 098 23 105 18 110 21 077 30 081 69773 66819 23 091 23 106 17 117 13 098 22 071 66819 64104 19 080 20 098 18 112 14 133 12 076 64104 61494 13 072 17 093 16 101 14 138 9 106 61494 58799 8 089 10 091 11 091 9 120 8 119 58799 56035 7 101 4 078 6 082 7 078 8 115 56035 53413 9 105 3 090 0 029 7 039 6 081 53413 51059 8 061 4 051 5 157 3 059 5 013 51059 48946 9 025 10 001 4 005 6 024 4 010 48946 47010 10 004 14 338 13 340 11 005 8 016 47010 45215 10 356 12 325 16 341 13 006 13 006 45215 43538 18 350 13 330 19 347 19 355 18 002 43538 41963 26 344 18 334 23 341 22 353 15 006 41963 40476 31 342 24 334 25 341 17 015 6 358 40476 39063 34 344 29 338 27 353 14 036 8 005 39063 37689 35 342 35 346 34 359 20 030 15 018 37689 36283 34 337 39 351 39 000 31 019 21 019 36283 34820 31 330 39 351 40 001 32 013 24 014 34820 33302 28 327 29 353 34 360 34 015 28 015 33302 31717 26 325 22 351 22 001 33 014 31 017 31717 30052 22 326 19 352 16 006 22 006 34 017 30052 28307 16 331 19 354 17 006 16 359 33 009 28307 26483 14 344 22 349 20 357 16 359 22 350 26483 24587 16 348 20 341 21 337 16 346 18 347 24587 22618 16 360 12 327 17 321 17 333 19 350 22618 20570 12 029 7 344 10 304 17 336 15 348 20570 18440 9 036 6 028 7 357 15 020 14 009 18440 16270 10 034 8 078 6 014 20 043 19 027 16270 14173 9 047 6 101 1 357 19 043 18 024 14173 12257 5 071 5 138 2 151 14 039 13 051 12257 10547 4 146 7 196 4 195 4 047 8 061 10547 9028 6 198 9 209 7 204 3 175 0 274 9028 7681 9 196 10 203 11*204 11 209 10 222 7681 6486 10 177 12*206 12*200 17 210 18 211 6486 5427 8 196 17*210 13 194 18*209 25 201 5427 4492 12*214 17 208 14 187 20*195 25 194 4492 3664 21*214 17 206 14 182 21 187 23 188 3664 2922 21 213 16 203 14 179 21 182 22 183 2922 2265 20 211 16 202 14 177 20 178 20 177 2265 1716 18 207 15 201 14 175 20 176 17 165 1716 1295 17 207 15 200 14 174 19 175 15 146 1295 1005 16 207 14 199 13 173 18 174 12 132 1005 830 15 206 13 199 13 172 17 174 10*128 830 730 12 206 12 199 11 172 14 173 5*122 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography