DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.0 - - 76.7 - - 76.8 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 147 - - -5 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2300 - - 2313 - - 1183 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1852 - - 1826 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2960 - - 2973 - - 1843 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 640 - - 1840 - - 4314 - - 1654 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 296 - - 84 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 040 - - 025 - - 012 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 587 - - 367 - - -660 - - -957 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2373 - - 2606 - - 2503 - - 1701 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 330 - - -277 - - -1870 - - -2927 ODpotential blCL - - - 2630 - - 3250 - - 3713 - - 3670 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 96 - - 100 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 310 - - 940 - - 1520 - - 630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.0 - - 76.7 - - 76.8 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.9 - - 67.5 - - 68.1 - - 66.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 75.7 - - 77.2 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 66.4 - - 67.3 - - 65.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 147 - - -5 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2300 - - 2313 - - 1183 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 85 - - 100 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98033 4 123 13 173 5 301 5 065 98033 90658 6 134 5 084 4 046 12 039 90658 84991 8 101 7 070 8 060 15 058 84991 80279 5 089 7 073 10 063 10 073 80279 76222 3 162 5 077 7 072 4 126 76222 72645 9 153 6 167 5 123 2 195 72645 69401 8 137 9 169 7 169 8 234 69401 66410 3 134 5 188 6 176 6 202 66410 63651 3 182 6 218 9 221 11 213 63651 61010 8 181 11 203 8 204 12 181 61010 58247 20 241 16 243 16 269 11 235 58247 55358 38 220 36 230 38 231 36 228 55358 52616 37 196 41 204 42 218 39 223 52616 50157 26 215 30 203 32 216 31 230 50157 47953 38 242 39 243 38 237 41 234 47953 45972 56 237 60 235 53 227 49 230 45972 44179 66 231 73 226 67 221 58 221 44179 42532 67 228 79 223 70 220 62 220 42532 40999 62 229 71 222 62 223 59 227 40999 39557 56 230 61 222 57 227 55 231 39557 38193 52 227 55 225 54 228 50 231 38193 36867 52 222 51 229 50 227 47 231 36867 35511 51 218 48 232 46 226 47 231 35511 34098 47 219 45 233 45 226 49 231 34098 32630 47 225 45 231 47 225 51 230 32630 31091 45 234 46 229 46 227 46 228 31091 29469 40 244 42 234 42 238 43 237 29469 27767 38 250 38 243 38 255 37 253 27767 25989 32 253 31 252 27 264 21 254 25989 24136 21 249 20 240 14 231 12 211 24136 22202 16 264 15 239 13 210 17 206 22202 20186 7 282 11 258 8 236 8 230 20186 18087 8 059 2 087 7 304 4 326 18087 15946 11 101 9 156 2 070 3 098 15946 13879 11 118 9 135 5 103 8 113 13879 11995 7 090 8 128 7 119 9 119 11995 10318 7 136 9 129 13 146 13 143 10318 8828 10 183 8 133 17 152 15 145 8828 7503 13 186 14 143 16 153 14 145 7503 6329 15 177 16 153 14 145 10 158 6329 5293 13 169 15 149 12 139 8 169 5293 4382 12 167 11 137 10 133 6 155 4382 3579 7*139 7*113 7 117 6 131 3579 2860 6*057 5*075 4 071 8 111 2860 2224 6 044 6 027 6*021 10 101 2224 1695 7 039 7 019 7*014 13 097 1695 1288 7 035 7 017 7 012 14 096 1288 1009 7 033 7 015 7 011 13 094 1009 840 6 031 7 015 7 010 11*092 840 743 6 030 6 013 6 010 6*088 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography