DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.8 - - 69.8 - - 76.3 - - 73.8 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 146 - - 379 - - 281 - - -20 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1068 - - 1937 - - 2638 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1838 - - 2270 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1728 - - 2597 - - 3298 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 394 - - 473 - - 718 - - 3104 - - 1274 Hgt.Variab. W* 218 - - 366 - - 368 - - 23 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 18 - - 22 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 193 - - 192 - - 184 - - 176 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -779 - - -917 - - -1287 - - -3655 - - -2431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2507 - - 3514 - - 4585 - - 4399 - - 3173 sfcLCL ODpotential -7232 - - -5802 - - -5241 - - -8429 - - -8410 ODpotential blCL 8960 - - 8399 - - 8539 - - 9172 - - 9152 blCL maxRH 87 - - 88 - - 72 - - 63 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 290 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 61.8 - - 69.8 - - 76.3 - - 73.8 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 56.8 - - 58.5 - - 56.9 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.9 - - 67.7 - - 74.8 - - 74.4 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.2 - - 56.5 - - 58.3 - - 56.8 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 146 - - 379 - - 281 - - -20 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1068 - - 1937 - - 2638 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 51 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96757 33 238 41 254 32 246 34 255 41 275 96757 89461 24 242 31 233 29 241 30 258 27 255 89461 83891 24 260 23 236 28 231 30 255 23 254 83891 79245 18 252 17 221 27 223 34 248 19 252 79245 75227 16 250 12 243 16 218 24 232 19 238 75227 71668 17 263 14 272 12 239 13 252 15 232 71668 68458 24 259 21 273 21 278 17 288 13 261 68458 65531 24 250 30 262 33 278 36 277 22 292 65531 62855 27 289 31 273 37 281 40 279 34 275 62855 60296 38 289 42 289 43 290 36 279 34 273 60296 57626 41 294 45 288 44 288 35 281 35 283 57626 54844 45 302 45 291 45 287 41 290 42 284 54844 52169 51 305 45 295 47 290 50 291 46 283 52169 49743 51 304 47 295 48 291 51 286 46 288 49743 47553 49 301 44 291 48 287 45 282 46 292 47553 45555 47 294 40 287 46 281 43 283 46 291 45555 43727 42 288 38 286 39 280 42 284 50 286 43727 42057 32 285 43 285 41 294 39 289 51 283 42057 40518 30 297 42 285 42 293 45 301 48 291 40518 39081 30 294 38 285 36 294 54 310 55 302 39081 37727 31 290 33 285 38 306 56 312 62 302 37727 36413 29 291 30 300 40 308 53 311 57 297 36413 35072 25 291 34 322 41 309 47 306 50 291 35072 33675 27 288 39 325 37 304 43 295 46 286 33675 32224 26 289 35 318 37 293 43 292 44 284 32224 30705 23 287 32 308 36 288 43 291 42 284 30705 29104 22 284 33 309 29 282 43 284 42 287 29104 27424 21 281 25 300 33 291 40 278 42 290 27424 25665 22 280 25 273 30 295 34 278 40 292 25665 23834 26 268 29 265 29 279 29 272 37 290 23834 21934 28 257 28 263 26 275 27 273 35 285 21934 19955 26 254 26 265 25 278 26 285 30 286 19955 17889 22 259 26 276 25 278 27 293 27 288 17889 15778 18 272 21 275 24 278 26 283 25 292 15778 13742 14 284 17 264 24 270 24 263 22 288 13742 11889 12 272 15 251 21 258 22 257 22 267 11889 10240 13 241 17 244 20 251 22 249 24 254 10240 8772 14 228 18 232 22 242 25 241 26 249 8772 7463 13 230 19 220 25 223 26 230 29 245 7463 6297 14 225 16 214 24 211 26 217 29 240 6297 5263 14 230 17 221 25 207 28 209 32 226 5263 4355 18 236 22 224 26 200 32 197 40 208 4355 3556 24 234 25 215 24*188 32 184 41 199 3556 2842 29 221 22*203 23*185 31 180 41 192 2842 2211 30*204 19*193 23 184 30 178 42 181 2211 1686 25*196 18 192 22 184 28 178 38 177 1686 1283 22 192 18 192 22 184 25 177 34 175 1283 1006 20 191 17 191 21 184 21 177 26 172 1006 838 18 191 16 191 19 184 18*176 22 172 838 742 15 190 14 191 16 184 14*176 14*171 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography