DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.9 - - 77.8 - - 79.3 - - 74.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 298 - - 176 - - -7 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 405 - - 3860 - - 4657 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 3207 - - 3558 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1065 - - 4520 - - 5317 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2096 - - 1921 - - 1981 - - 5204 - - 564 Hgt.Variab. W* 94 - - 425 - - 380 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 215 - - 182 - - 186 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3384 - - -730 - - -191 - - -4030 - - -3123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4450 - - 5250 - - 5508 - - 4773 - - 3865 sfcLCL ODpotential -5579 - - -1157 - - -613 - - -6382 - - -9039 ODpotential blCL 6644 - - 5677 - - 5930 - - 7125 - - 9781 blCL maxRH 99 - - 88 - - 92 - - 77 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 90 - - 10 - - 80 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.9 - - 77.8 - - 79.3 - - 74.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.3 - - 57.4 - - 57.8 - - 56.0 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.6 - - 75.9 - - 78.0 - - 75.5 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.2 - - 57.1 - - 57.6 - - 56.0 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 298 - - 176 - - -7 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 405 - - 3860 - - 4657 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 51 - - 70 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97382 40 263 44 250 52 263 52 276 48 274 97382 90047 29 266 27 256 35 262 35 271 36 272 90047 84419 21 264 21 265 21 264 20 274 25 262 84419 79752 20 261 20 274 17 275 14 285 15 271 79752 75743 21 258 17 290 14 283 13 270 10 298 75743 72217 17 260 16 273 13 282 15 275 13 283 72217 69042 14 242 14 240 12 255 16 265 12 257 69042 66129 11 263 19 247 16 242 20 271 13 230 66129 63433 22 239 25 240 26 249 32 261 18 237 63433 60828 21 213 28 229 28 235 25 240 23 238 60828 58105 22 237 25 239 25 243 21 248 28 245 58105 55266 45 248 41 250 43 250 45 249 39 245 55266 52550 53 230 54 238 51 240 51 240 46 240 52550 50103 54 227 59 236 59 242 57 248 50 247 50103 47921 60 232 67 234 70 243 70 249 59 253 47921 45958 63 233 69 233 76 240 76 245 69 253 45958 44168 66 238 71 236 78 239 80 243 75 253 44168 42511 70 240 76 238 81 238 82 241 78 252 42511 40959 72 237 77 239 82 238 82 242 76 252 40959 39498 68 234 73 240 79 239 79 243 72 252 39498 38117 65 232 68 238 73 238 73 240 67 249 38117 36779 64 228 67 233 68 235 66 238 65 246 36779 35422 64 228 66 232 67 235 61 241 61 245 35422 34012 63 230 60 237 63 239 57 241 55 245 34012 32552 61 235 56 241 54 244 54 243 51 246 32552 31025 56 240 52 244 48 247 47 246 46 246 31025 29420 50 245 46 243 42 247 40 247 39 248 29420 27734 41 249 40 249 37 247 37 248 34 249 27734 25963 33 234 31 251 29 248 34 244 33 243 25963 24109 39 206 28 237 24 244 27 241 30 239 24109 22177 32 222 29 232 26 240 22 244 25 244 22177 20167 26 234 30 233 27 245 24 255 19 252 20167 18074 25 246 27 243 24 246 21 256 18 256 18074 15932 20 247 20 255 20 244 18 240 16 247 15932 13863 12 244 16 234 16 252 15 227 12 250 13863 11980 8 231 12 246 10 248 9 234 8 230 11980 10304 5 272 7 250 6 228 4 208 7 181 10304 8811 5 261 7 221 11 224 4 207 6 187 8811 7486 5 301 5 193 7 203 7 166 5 222 7486 6315 8 322 2 233 4*184 7 164 6 224 6315 5283 7 324 3*238 4*175 7 158 8 193 5283 4373 4 240 6*217 4 175 8 155 10 176 4373 3570 9 228 8 215 4 177 8 157 13 167 3570 2852 14 231 8 215 5 180 8 160 18 164 2852 2218 17 221 9 215 5 185 8 165 22 163 2218 1690 17 216 9 214 5 187 8 171 25 159 1690 1285 16*217 9 214 6 190 7 178 24 157 1285 1007 12*219 9 214 5 190 7 183 19 153 1007 838 11 219 8 214 5 191 6*186 16 152 838 742 9 219 8 214 5 191 4*186 8*149 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography