DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 77.4 - - 72.5 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 152 - - -10 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1765 - - 3075 - - 83 - - 1332 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1498 - - 2325 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2425 - - 3735 - - 743 - - 1992 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 698 - - 2468 - - 2487 - - 1306 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 316 - - 15 - - 70 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 15 - - 8 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 227 - - 171 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1591 - - -2462 - - -3315 - - -5109 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4016 - - 6197 - - 4058 - - 7101 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5002 - - -4890 - - -5691 - - -11576 ODpotential blCL - - - 7427 - - 8625 - - 6434 - - 13568 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 90 - - 66 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 150 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 77.4 - - 72.5 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.3 - - 52.9 - - 57.3 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 76.4 - - 73.1 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 52.8 - - 57.2 - - 37.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 152 - - -10 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1765 - - 3075 - - 83 - - 1332 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 59 - - 0 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 6 342 12 006 10 019 15 039 96395 89253 20 062 15 109 16 040 24 047 89253 83777 19 069 16 107 14 071 22 062 83777 79229 14 095 16 092 14 080 20 084 79229 75286 9 089 15 068 13 089 15 077 75286 71796 8 085 6 028 7 055 9 061 71796 68649 5 047 5 328 7 354 6 008 68649 65792 5 279 11 278 10 288 13 307 65792 63167 10 292 16 267 15 285 14 303 63167 60631 22 280 33 267 36 275 35 273 60631 57968 39 260 40 257 39 268 40 268 57968 55175 45 247 51 265 51 267 47 268 55175 52493 56 260 61 258 55 266 59 271 52493 50067 71 255 62 254 66 270 73 262 50067 47880 77 249 71 253 73 262 69 260 47880 45878 72 250 76 254 73 258 69 268 45878 44029 75 252 82 254 77 254 79 268 44029 42308 90 247 93 249 81 249 78 262 42308 40701 101 243 93 242 84 246 78 253 40701 39197 99 239 89 242 81 243 79 246 39197 37786 99 239 90 244 79 242 80 240 37786 36427 97 241 94 245 82 244 81 236 36427 35054 88 242 93 243 91 243 79 238 35054 33633 79 240 87 238 95 239 73 239 33633 32163 74 238 77 234 89 232 67 241 32163 30631 68 238 68 229 81 226 63 244 30631 29027 61 240 60 228 74 224 57 251 29027 27351 56 244 56 230 66 222 49 258 27351 25597 52 246 53 236 61 220 43 255 25597 23768 49 248 41 248 62 224 34 249 23768 21865 48 247 40 256 60 237 33 251 21865 19877 46 239 47 257 33 269 28 251 19877 17797 42 229 56 247 25 263 25 247 17797 15673 38 225 55 214 28 254 27 245 15673 13626 39 216 48 208 38 227 30 246 13626 11767 34 213 33 212 43 209 30 246 11767 10121 24 213 19 225 37 204 28 229 10121 8662 17 233 13 258 24 219 23 225 8662 7360 16 262 18 290 17 237 15 229 7360 6202 16 276 18 297 12 269 8 231 6202 5179 17 283 17 286 12 281 8 212 5179 4283 21 277 15*260 11 263 4 219 4283 3496 24 256 16*234 11 242 10 351 3496 2796 24*232 16 231 12 218 18 349 2796 2179 22*215 16 227 15 196 20*344 2179 1666 22 212 16 225 17 184 20*341 1666 1271 21 211 15 223 16 178 19 339 1271 1000 20 210 15 222 14 174 17 338 1000 836 19 210 14 221 12*173 16 338 836 741 16 209 12 220 8*171 11 338 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography