DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.8 - - 52.9 - - 58.5 - - 56.3 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 152 - - 415 - - 309 - - -15 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 770 - - 2320 - - 3423 - - 196 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 723 - - 2144 - - 2888 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1430 - - 2980 - - 4083 - - 856 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1213 - - 1032 - - 763 - - 2929 - - 367 Hgt.Variab. W* 197 - - 399 - - 413 - - 34 - - 16 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 15 - - 21 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 193 - - 202 - - 188 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -6 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5047 - - -5642 - - -4583 - - -6479 - - -5131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6478 - - 8622 - - 8667 - - 7335 - - 5872 sfcLCL ODpotential -18519 - - -18058 - - -16388 - - -18134 - - -17956 ODpotential blCL 19949 - - 21038 - - 20471 - - 18990 - - 18697 blCL maxRH 66 - - 69 - - 69 - - 42 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.8 - - 52.9 - - 58.5 - - 56.3 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.6 - - 18.0 - - 23.4 - - 27.3 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 50.8 - - 57.0 - - 56.9 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.5 - - 17.1 - - 22.4 - - 26.7 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 152 - - 415 - - 309 - - -15 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 770 - - 2320 - - 3423 - - 196 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96988 33 256 38 264 36 267 42 276 38 269 96988 89729 28 263 26 278 26 257 35 274 26 268 89729 84122 21 262 20 268 25 272 21 281 17 283 84122 79489 9 301 10 250 17 262 17 284 11 311 79489 75507 3 291 6 009 3 011 9 305 10 339 75507 71983 10 004 12 008 7 344 14 316 17 337 71983 68792 13 016 12 017 12 009 8 335 16 328 68792 65848 28 341 17 344 16 351 12 345 14 330 65848 63113 23 334 17 339 22 346 22 352 23 359 63113 60476 29 348 28 348 30 342 25 345 29 353 60476 57736 42 341 37 341 33 345 31 348 37 351 57736 54896 45 327 35 326 42 345 38 349 39 346 54896 52189 36 319 34 333 40 340 45 349 44 347 52189 49753 35 341 38 346 36 357 46 351 46 348 49753 47572 48 353 43 000 60 004 55 356 50 354 47572 45599 57 358 70 006 76 002 68 360 58 350 45599 43796 74 005 92 357 84 000 76 356 61 355 43796 42141 87 360 79 004 83 359 78 355 71 357 42141 40617 83 004 77 020 76 360 72 356 65 355 40617 39191 88 009 94 026 67 011 63 354 63 350 39191 37837 85 014 98 023 70 017 60 352 50 342 37837 36520 85 020 97 020 69 013 55 350 47 337 36520 35175 87 025 90 013 67 008 50 350 47 336 35175 33772 83 024 84 007 65 003 48 351 45 337 33772 32313 73 017 77 008 64 000 47 349 45 338 32313 30782 65 007 71 012 59 358 44 348 48 337 30782 29170 63 357 67 013 54 360 45 344 45 329 29170 27478 61 003 53 015 48 356 49 342 41 327 27478 25703 59 012 42 004 40 348 51 344 39 328 25703 23846 59 008 42 350 40 338 49 343 40 326 23846 21908 59 356 42 341 41 337 47 341 41 325 21908 19887 52 338 45 336 43 333 44 339 41 326 19887 17778 49 327 45 339 42 328 40 329 38 329 17778 15632 48 328 39 347 41 327 38 333 33 339 15632 13571 40 338 34 339 33 335 33 337 30 328 13571 11703 38 342 36 327 28 336 26 334 21 339 11703 10048 29 339 25 335 28 327 17 340 17 321 10048 8579 16 321 17 331 19 335 16 323 16 293 8579 7276 11 271 11 266 5 268 16 302 19 291 7276 6122 15 264 19 250 19 237 18 263 19 263 6122 5110 14 259 23 244 25 231 24 237 27 239 5110 4229 12 230 22 229 23*218 27 225 31 224 4229 3456 18 214 19*212 23*210 28 211 32 214 3456 2766 20 221 16*196 22 204 29 201 36 202 2766 2157 19 222 16 194 22 201 28 196 36 197 2157 1650 17*219 15 193 21 200 26 192 34 195 1650 1261 14*216 15 192 21 199 24 190 29 193 1261 994 11 214 14 192 20 199 21*189 20 188 994 833 11 214 13 192 19 199 19*188 17*187 833 741 9 213 12 192 16 199 14 188 9*185 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography