DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 58.1 - - 62.3 - - 62.7 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 111 - - 346 - - 223 - - 28 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2349 - - 2593 - - 2838 - - 2359 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 1599 - - 2298 - - 2327 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 3009 - - 3253 - - 3498 - - 3019 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 756 - - 479 - - 525 - - 816 - - 1388 Hgt.Variab. W* 258 - - 390 - - 348 - - 167 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 22 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 10 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 077 - - 088 - - 077 - - 099 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1186 - - -2323 - - -3161 - - -3254 - - -3255 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4195 - - 5576 - - 6659 - - 6274 - - 3996 sfcLCL ODpotential -13643 - - -14320 - - -14227 - - -14416 - - -15497 ODpotential blCL 16652 - - 17573 - - 17725 - - 17435 - - 16238 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 58.1 - - 62.3 - - 62.7 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.1 - - 36.8 - - 36.3 - - 38.3 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.8 - - 56.2 - - 60.9 - - 62.4 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.8 - - 36.2 - - 35.7 - - 37.9 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 111 - - 346 - - 223 - - 28 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2349 - - 2593 - - 2838 - - 2359 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 91 - - 98 - - 101 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96860 39 264 46 267 46 265 53 269 55 278 96860 89536 33 259 38 279 34 272 35 275 38 264 89536 83968 23 272 31 279 29 263 29 283 23 261 83968 79343 17 272 24 265 26 264 29 280 18 297 79343 75370 17 286 20 261 22 263 29 275 21 301 75370 71899 18 291 17 279 17 265 24 279 16 288 71899 68769 18 296 18 286 14 286 17 293 14 286 68769 65884 21 287 21 294 18 308 16 300 13 283 65884 63214 24 277 26 293 25 302 18 292 15 287 63214 60652 25 276 29 285 31 298 24 290 19 283 60652 58000 26 280 30 275 34 291 30 291 23 277 58000 55241 28 278 29 272 31 279 31 279 23 280 55241 52582 32 282 26 276 28 272 30 268 25 283 52582 50167 34 286 27 284 24 278 27 266 26 279 50167 47984 36 287 30 291 25 291 24 271 27 275 47984 45988 38 283 35 289 32 294 26 285 25 278 45988 44149 35 279 38 279 40 282 31 287 28 285 44149 42454 35 274 38 278 37 275 34 272 33 279 42454 40893 41 266 41 279 37 279 33 273 31 272 40893 39446 36 263 43 259 42 265 39 269 34 274 39446 38086 31 270 36 256 41 257 39 266 32 273 38086 36766 32 272 33 262 38 259 37 267 31 274 36766 35418 32 276 32 263 34 265 34 272 30 276 35418 34013 33 288 29 274 31 269 31 273 29 273 34013 32556 34 296 29 282 30 277 29 276 27 269 32556 31029 31 301 29 290 30 285 28 282 24 272 31029 29420 29 300 25 296 27 287 26 286 24 277 29420 27726 26 296 20 291 24 288 25 283 24 281 27726 25945 22 295 14 280 19 282 24 291 21 286 25945 24080 19 299 14 272 16 268 22 284 18 286 24080 22136 18 294 17 278 19 268 23 274 21 283 22136 20107 21 292 19 285 19 280 24 278 22 286 20107 17984 24 295 19 295 18 284 20 281 17 295 17984 15815 23 294 18 296 16 282 18 280 16 290 15815 13728 18 281 13 291 12 272 14 265 17 273 13728 11840 12 289 10 274 11 250 19 250 25 258 11840 10170 14 273 10 267 21 268 22 241 24 241 10170 8688 10 270 16 271 23 256 18 236 20 235 8688 7368 6 309 15 269 14 261 15 237 18 241 7368 6198 6 312 5 277 5 252 12 241 13 233 6198 5168 15 136 3 236 7 227 8 247 10 195 5168 4267 23 108 11 127 4*156 4 199 15 192 4267 3478 22*090 10*097 3*092 4*118 17 183 3478 2779 19*079 10*090 3 081 5*103 16 154 2779 2165 18 077 10 089 3 077 6 100 14 141 2165 1656 18 077 10 088 3 073 6 097 10 140 1656 1265 17 076 10 087 3 071 6 097 7 148 1265 997 16 076 9 087 3 068 6 097 6 158 997 834 15 076 9 087 3 068 6 096 5*160 834 741 12 076 8 087 3 068 5 096 3*160 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography