DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 87.9 - - 86.6 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 279 - - 230 - - 63 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2930 - - 3782 - - 2618 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2492 - - 3059 - - 1306 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3590 - - 4442 - - 3278 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2271 - - 1637 - - 2021 - - 2934 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 393 - - 231 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - 26 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 200 - - 193 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -3 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 339 - - 827 - - -121 - - -880 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3251 - - 3615 - - 3399 - - 1624 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -37 - - 134 - - -1837 - - -2563 ODpotential blCL - - - 3627 - - 4308 - - 5115 - - 3307 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 91 - - 80 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 2140 - - 2800 - - 2600 - - 2950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 87.9 - - 86.6 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.1 - - 73.9 - - 73.5 - - 75.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.8 - - 86.5 - - 86.2 - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 73.5 - - 73.3 - - 75.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 279 - - 230 - - 63 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2930 - - 3782 - - 2618 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 63 - - 20 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 17 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98679 30 094 33 111 24 102 27 091 98679 91158 21 098 22 102 20 097 28 088 91158 85382 22 104 21 090 16 086 26 093 85382 80631 22 104 24 099 20 089 21 101 80631 76552 22 109 22 089 22 096 20 096 76552 72960 16 087 17 082 22 099 19 093 72960 69715 8 081 10 090 11 079 19 085 69715 66738 9 095 7 100 10 070 11 073 66738 63996 5 088 6 093 10 045 8 085 63996 61365 5 128 4 191 9 337 7 016 61365 58654 2 040 9 158 11 264 10 278 58654 55872 4 293 9 279 13 262 16 264 55872 53239 5 222 8 235 15 245 23 252 53239 50874 9 321 6 249 16 252 23 256 50874 48740 31 309 22 295 26 283 28 276 48740 46783 41 299 34 295 36 285 37 287 46783 44973 40 292 38 292 39 284 38 290 44973 43289 35 289 38 285 41 285 39 292 43289 41712 31 284 36 282 42 287 41 291 41712 40228 24 287 36 287 41 287 42 291 40228 38825 24 303 34 293 38 293 41 299 38825 37463 30 315 36 308 39 303 44 307 37463 36077 37 321 41 316 41 306 46 308 36077 34635 38 321 40 313 39 301 44 305 34635 33139 32 323 39 307 39 295 42 302 33139 31571 28 324 38 311 39 300 42 303 31571 29923 24 327 25 316 37 312 38 306 29923 28199 19 327 17 307 24 309 25 306 28199 26397 18 322 15 301 16 293 18 294 26397 24513 19 313 15 304 14 293 19 297 24513 22550 19 305 17 304 14 303 21 309 22550 20503 11 281 16 291 20 307 20 308 20503 18373 8 260 14 279 20 294 18 312 18373 16208 2 320 8 307 9 270 16 331 16208 14119 5 022 7 002 3 313 11 318 14119 12210 2 275 3 024 7 345 7 294 12210 10505 10 207 6 267 13 342 5 349 10505 8987 15 211 12 230 7 301 5 340 8987 7638 19 207 16 222 10 212 12 227 7638 6445 21 206 22 218 20 208 24 214 6445 5391 22 207 25 216 26 209 28 215 5391 4464 23 206 25*214 29 206 29 210 4464 3644 23*204 25*212 30*203 31 201 3644 2911 22*199 23 203 29*198 33 192 2911 2261 21 195 21 197 28 194 32 188 2261 1719 20 194 21 196 27 193 30 186 1719 1303 19 193 20 195 26 192 25 184 1303 1017 18 193 20 194 24 191 19 181 1017 843 17 193 18 194 21 191 17*180 843 744 15 192 16 194 17 191 10*179 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography