DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.9 - - 86.9 - - 72.3 - - 60.1 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 130 - - 311 - - 358 - - 34 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1349 - - 5410 - - 4549 - - 3245 - - 2357 BL Depth Hcrit 946 - - 4436 - - 3816 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 2009 - - 6070 - - 5209 - - 3905 - - 3017 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 854 - - 1962 - - 727 - - 1670 - - 2202 Hgt.Variab. W* 228 - - 488 - - 480 - - 200 - - 46 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 32 - - 28 - - 38 - - 37 - - 38 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 277 - - 347 - - 352 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear 15 - - 10 - - 8 - - 18 - - 27 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 30 - - -6 - - -16 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -378 - - -3392 - - -4070 - - -3598 - - -4053 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2387 - - 9463 - - 9279 - - 7503 - - 7070 sfcLCL ODpotential -6589 - - -6709 - - -9685 - - -12400 - - -13823 ODpotential blCL 8598 - - 12779 - - 14894 - - 16305 - - 16840 blCL maxRH 86 - - 37 - - 66 - - 69 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 1110 - - 550 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.9 - - 86.9 - - 72.3 - - 60.1 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.4 - - 47.5 - - 34.1 - - 29.8 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.6 - - 85.3 - - 70.9 - - 60.0 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.3 - - 46.9 - - 34.1 - - 29.7 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 130 - - 311 - - 358 - - 34 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1349 - - 5410 - - 4549 - - 3245 - - 2357 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96920 41 244 41 269 28 265 31 257 44 270 96920 89566 21 267 35 248 32 242 32 256 34 259 89566 83939 30 244 30 245 32 237 31 258 26 254 83939 79263 30 227 24 249 27 233 28 250 20 262 79263 75216 17 223 16 226 17 245 18 244 17 257 75216 71627 9 355 9 177 12 214 7 258 6 274 71627 68401 18 353 7 209 11 260 11 300 6 331 68401 65458 16 312 7 224 15 241 8 313 1 241 65458 62736 30 247 30 301 18 279 24 295 20 300 62736 60109 39 247 38 298 16 273 21 266 23 254 60109 57353 40 250 37 276 18 266 21 274 26 256 57353 54455 42 251 41 258 36 276 34 270 47 282 54455 51677 47 264 55 263 55 268 53 269 59 269 51677 49181 60 272 69 260 66 265 57 273 51 268 49181 46951 67 273 74 256 72 262 65 277 53 277 46951 44932 74 272 76 255 74 266 79 275 68 276 44932 43084 79 269 80 258 87 269 81 269 71 271 43084 41380 82 267 88 261 88 263 76 265 68 268 41380 39795 85 265 92 263 81 257 72 272 68 276 39795 38320 89 264 89 262 74 275 86 279 80 279 38320 36951 95 263 81 260 89 282 96 273 88 272 36951 35643 99 262 73 265 93 277 97 267 88 263 35643 34321 98 263 74 267 86 272 92 265 85 262 34321 32955 91 264 78 265 73 269 84 267 87 265 32955 31539 82 263 75 268 61 273 77 270 90 268 31539 30052 76 261 67 279 60 276 74 273 92 272 30052 28484 71 260 68 281 64 274 73 275 91 276 28484 26832 63 262 67 276 65 274 71 276 89 279 26832 25101 55 268 62 274 58 273 68 275 84 282 25101 23292 51 270 57 273 53 273 65 273 81 285 23292 21409 47 271 52 274 54 275 62 272 78 284 21409 19448 41 269 47 271 52 276 58 270 76 281 19448 17405 35 266 48 265 46 277 54 268 78 275 17405 15315 31 269 48 263 42 278 51 270 75 269 15315 13288 26 271 44 262 38 280 45 275 65 260 13288 11435 26 274 35 254 35 277 38 279 58 253 11435 9788 30 272 29 253 34 276 39 283 48 263 9788 8343 30 260 29 277 32 278 36 284 31 315 8343 7083 32 244 30 296 25 297 34 331 46 343 7083 5975 35 244 29*293 26*342 40 350 51 351 5975 5003 42 249 29*283 33*347 39 353 51 358 5003 4152 49 245 29 278 38 347 39*353 50 359 4152 3400 50 238 29 277 39 347 39*353 49*359 3400 2727 46 226 28 277 39 347 39 352 47*359 2727 2132 40*216 28 276 39 347 39 352 44 358 2132 1635 36*212 27 276 39 347 37 352 40 358 1635 1253 34 210 26 276 38 347 35 352 36 358 1253 991 31 209 25 276 36 347 32 352 31 357 991 832 28 208 23 275 32 347 28 351 27 357 832 740 22 208 19 275 26 347 22 351 21 357 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography