DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.3 - - 93.3 - - - - - 87.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 392 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5431 - - 4980 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4588 - - 4182 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6091 - - 5640 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1877 - - 2915 - - - - - 3872 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 544 - - 507 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 209 - - - - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -190 - - -465 - - - - - -4340 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6282 - - 6105 - - - - - 5085 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1067 - - -1319 - - - - - -6433 ODpotential blCL - - - 7158 - - 6959 - - - - - 7177 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 78 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 2200 - - 2460 - - - - - 1930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.3 - - 93.3 - - - - - 87.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.1 - - 68.8 - - - - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.7 - - 90.9 - - - - - 88.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 68.6 - - - - - 67.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 392 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5431 - - 4980 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 14 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99040 32 104 38 093 36 087 99040 91509 39 096 33 107 31 088 91509 85722 32 098 27 109 29 081 85722 80958 27 104 25 092 29 079 80958 76884 26 098 25 089 32 087 76884 73291 23 096 22 093 29 079 73291 70038 21 106 21 092 21 064 70038 67051 18 099 16 096 15 065 67051 64290 17 081 12 092 16 071 64290 61628 20 071 14 064 15 067 61628 58864 23 074 14 071 12 056 58864 56013 21 029 20 048 17 025 56013 53320 16 039 17 033 20 014 53320 50904 27 032 28 036 25 030 50904 48717 35 007 31 023 29 023 48717 46715 32 353 29 013 29 024 46715 44870 20 350 24 354 29 020 44870 43160 10 017 17 336 25 014 43160 41568 8 057 9 317 16 328 41568 40078 11 058 4 328 20 291 40078 38670 12 034 8 352 18 263 38670 37306 15 011 14 339 13 274 37306 35918 21 341 17 331 12 308 35918 34477 25 323 18 323 16 314 34477 32982 21 326 14 319 14 316 32982 31419 15 344 12 311 11 318 31419 29775 11 349 11 306 12 334 29775 28055 8 002 9 316 16 345 28055 26259 10 018 6 324 16 002 26259 24389 7 018 3 279 14 019 24389 22444 6 024 4 295 14 028 22444 20419 8 350 6 351 13 030 20419 18307 10 277 5 015 12 023 18307 16153 7 305 1 079 11 002 16153 14075 5 341 4 247 6 283 14075 12185 1 322 5 251 2 184 12185 10504 3 167 5 263 3 214 10504 9006 6 183 5 249 2 184 9006 7670 9 220 7 227 4 174 7670 6479 9*240 8*216 6 181 6479 5421 9*242 9*213 7 194 5421 4488 9 240 10 211 8 206 4488 3663 9 237 10 210 10 211 3663 2924 9 234 10 209 12 208 2924 2270 9 229 11 208 14 202 2270 1724 9 226 11 207 16 195 1724 1306 9 223 11 206 16 190 1306 1018 9 221 10 206 13 185 1018 844 8 221 10 206 11*184 844 744 8 221 9 205 6*182 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography