DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 12.9 - - 29.4 - - 32.2 - - 30.2 - - 23.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 41 - - 20 - - -6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 78 - - 573 - - 609 - - 79 - - 79 BL Depth Hcrit 722 - - 723 - - 723 - - 723 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top 738 - - 1233 - - 1269 - - 739 - - 739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 280 - - 520 - - 873 - - 199 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 117 - - 95 - - 6 - - 28 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 211 - - 201 - - 176 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -557 - - -295 - - -263 - - -212 - - -503 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1295 - - 1528 - - 1532 - - 951 - - 1242 sfcLCL ODpotential -18938 - - -13799 - - -11526 - - -10863 - - -12722 ODpotential blCL 19676 - - 15032 - - 12795 - - 11602 - - 13461 blCL maxRH 100 - - 87 - - 90 - - 91 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 12.9 - - 29.4 - - 32.2 - - 30.2 - - 23.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.6 - - 25.9 - - 28.7 - - 29.2 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 13.1 - - 29.2 - - 32.1 - - 31.9 - - 29.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.0 - - 25.1 - - 28.1 - - 29.6 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 41 - - 20 - - -6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 78 - - 573 - - 609 - - 79 - - 79 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 47 - - 60 - - 63 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96236 91 230 94 223 97 238 103 246 86 237 96236 88995 90 245 88 239 87 245 95 253 80 248 88995 83445 86 246 80 250 77 248 81 248 70 259 83445 78829 68 249 63 252 64 238 66 246 66 260 78829 74844 50 258 49 266 51 244 55 248 61 266 74844 71341 42 264 44 274 48 259 52 262 56 269 71341 68196 43 271 44 268 46 262 53 266 51 271 68196 65307 51 275 46 262 47 267 55 265 55 268 65307 62626 62 267 52 262 53 269 58 268 59 268 62626 60026 68 259 59 262 57 267 62 264 59 268 60026 57301 70 258 63 262 61 266 62 269 61 278 57301 54458 73 261 67 265 68 268 69 270 67 278 54458 51732 77 263 74 266 76 267 72 272 64 275 51732 49263 85 261 85 263 83 264 80 274 69 279 49263 47042 93 261 93 256 88 261 83 272 76 277 47042 45022 100 258 95 255 89 262 83 269 75 275 45022 43163 98 255 100 256 95 262 82 268 74 279 43163 41439 103 264 109 256 103 261 83 268 81 284 41439 39838 132 269 120 258 112 259 89 268 88 283 39838 38348 142 268 126 259 122 256 95 265 91 279 38348 36956 132 269 120 259 124 256 95 261 90 272 36956 35618 125 271 116 260 122 255 86 262 84 268 35618 34264 117 269 116 259 120 254 82 267 78 270 34264 32864 112 265 111 257 116 254 83 269 74 273 32864 31420 103 263 102 258 111 256 84 269 73 272 31420 29919 95 264 86 259 95 257 83 267 68 270 29919 28348 86 269 76 257 76 257 75 265 61 276 28348 26709 81 275 73 256 71 256 68 264 57 280 26709 24999 75 279 65 261 70 258 60 264 50 279 24999 23213 65 283 57 264 67 259 56 267 50 278 23213 21351 59 284 52 264 65 258 53 272 48 276 21351 19405 52 287 49 267 60 257 52 274 47 275 19405 17367 44 287 43 271 46 263 50 276 43 277 17367 15284 38 287 35 276 36 283 43 278 34 276 15284 13277 31 283 28 276 29 286 29 278 24 264 13277 11450 25 279 23 271 24 272 24 280 17 273 11450 9827 16 283 18 264 19 251 22 261 18 287 9827 8387 12 286 14 257 16 243 16 244 17 282 8387 7111 10 278 13 245 14 239 16 231 15 267 7111 5984 8 261 13 231 15 235 15 230 12 268 5984 4993 8 246 13 230 16 242 13 258 8 272 4993 4127 12 241 15 239 17 250 15 283 7 268 4127 3369 18 232 16 238 16 253 16 284 8 272 3369 2694 21 227 15 232 15 250 16 268 10 272 2694 2102 20 228 16 229 14 236 14 243 8 251 2102 1611 19 238 15*221 12*220 14 212 9 225 1611 1237 19 243 13*216 9*203 14 194 12 206 1237 982 16 239 9 209 8 201 11 186 11 195 982 827 12 236 8 209 8 200 9 182 6 185 827 739 4*219 7 209 7 199 6*176 2*160 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography