DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 73.8 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 24 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 461 - - 1463 - - - - - 487 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 726 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1121 - - 2123 - - - - - 1147 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1606 - - 1278 - - - - - 1750 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 101 - - 146 - - - - - 63 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 065 - - 073 - - - - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 378 - - 924 - - - - - 404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 743 - - 1199 - - - - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 182 - - 499 - - - - - 118 ODpotential blCL - - - 939 - - 1624 - - - - - 1029 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 420 - - - - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 73.8 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.2 - - 70.6 - - - - - 70.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.9 - - 73.7 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 70.0 - - - - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 24 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 461 - - 1463 - - - - - 487 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98021 13 188 24 226 9 275 98021 90649 11 151 10 197 11 259 90649 84985 3 155 5 113 1 130 84985 80311 3 205 5 054 5 118 80311 76293 2 205 5 049 4 115 76293 72741 3 140 4 123 3 080 72741 69533 7 010 6 086 5 030 69533 66615 5 357 0 205 7 025 66615 63945 6 063 2 191 8 007 63945 61373 2 047 1 167 5 048 61373 58692 6 318 4 309 17 334 58692 55934 9 310 5 307 20 302 55934 53316 23 302 16 313 22 291 53316 50943 29 277 22 289 25 283 50943 48794 28 263 24 281 28 263 48794 46832 31 254 32 269 33 248 46832 45024 33 249 38 257 41 239 45024 43340 35 246 40 247 46 229 43340 41758 39 242 37 242 47 226 41758 40264 44 233 35 246 46 229 40264 38849 47 225 37 250 45 237 38849 37472 45 223 40 241 44 241 37472 36067 34 222 42 227 40 235 36067 34602 28 231 38 227 39 230 34602 33083 31 231 32 229 41 227 33083 31499 35 231 33 231 39 226 31499 29834 34 228 37 234 35 229 29834 28092 31 231 33 230 41 245 28092 26271 28 229 24 226 39 257 26271 24373 27 221 20 229 18 250 24373 22398 23 215 22 236 20 237 22398 20344 24 209 22 238 9 258 20344 18211 23 209 21 232 11 266 18211 16037 17 224 19 233 10 261 16037 13946 14 210 14 238 4 254 13946 12044 13 199 8 217 2 194 12044 10352 13 208 9 207 7 174 10352 8852 11 218 7 236 10 158 8852 7522 6 213 4 255 10 135 7522 6342 3 096 3 053 11 121 6342 5299 6 089 4 060 12 090 5299 4383 10 103 5 076 13 071 4383 3576 11 094 8 079 14 059 3576 2857 10 080 9 075 15 054 2857 2222 10 070 9*075 15 052 2222 1693 10 068 8*074 15 051 1693 1287 9*067 8 073 13*049 1287 1009 8*065 7 072 11*047 1009 840 8 065 7 072 10 046 840 743 7 064 6 072 8 045 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography