DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.8 - - 43.9 - - 47.8 - - 41.8 - - 39.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 266 - - 153 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 478 - - 1527 - - 1126 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 723 - - 1436 - - 724 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1138 - - 2187 - - 1786 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 624 - - 325 - - 459 - - 923 - - 246 Hgt.Variab. W* 130 - - 298 - - 225 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 190 - - 187 - - 185 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4038 - - -5837 - - -4084 - - -2468 - - -3138 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5176 - - 8024 - - 5870 - - 3208 - - 3878 sfcLCL ODpotential -20731 - - -20100 - - -17030 - - -16962 - - -18435 ODpotential blCL 21869 - - 22287 - - 18816 - - 17702 - - 19175 blCL maxRH 48 - - 86 - - 90 - - 92 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.8 - - 43.9 - - 47.8 - - 41.8 - - 39.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.7 - - 12.6 - - 25.5 - - 30.9 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.2 - - 42.4 - - 46.8 - - 43.4 - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.6 - - 12.5 - - 25.5 - - 30.9 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 266 - - 153 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 478 - - 1527 - - 1126 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 45 - - 59 - - 68 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96211 46 268 31 275 34 283 30 296 28 303 96211 89277 19 348 8 359 12 028 24 033 17 037 89277 83843 14 034 18 050 20 067 17 043 24 047 83843 79297 19 050 20 052 21 063 13 047 26 048 79297 75376 21 045 16 047 18 058 17 063 23 048 75376 71916 17 049 13 040 17 045 20 066 14 074 71916 68777 16 052 7 051 18 015 17 043 14 077 68777 65870 17 042 5 086 13 340 16 015 19 036 65870 63162 15 020 7 058 10 335 15 351 16 006 63162 60566 12 354 8 001 10 336 13 328 15 352 60566 57882 15 318 14 339 12 318 16 312 19 340 57882 55090 15 315 19 334 15 313 19 294 25 305 55090 52405 22 305 23 308 22 318 20 301 26 297 52405 49970 26 300 27 297 26 313 23 313 26 302 49970 47772 28 300 28 290 31 300 28 311 26 307 47772 45770 26 308 31 289 37 292 41 294 31 307 45770 43945 32 317 38 294 45 290 51 284 52 299 43945 42275 47 309 54 296 56 290 58 290 86 291 42275 40729 60 302 68 299 69 296 83 292 104 285 40729 39278 64 302 75 297 92 296 97 289 97 283 39278 37905 66 306 78 297 98 294 98 288 90 285 37905 36573 68 310 65 295 98 293 93 291 86 287 36573 35215 62 309 46 299 83 294 76 291 68 287 35215 33805 55 315 39 301 66 293 60 280 49 278 33805 32346 50 319 37 298 49 298 51 281 44 272 32346 30822 45 314 38 297 40 296 35 297 32 274 30822 29223 38 317 34 296 40 297 30 300 18 294 29223 27547 36 321 30 297 32 297 29 301 18 291 27547 25786 28 326 25 300 27 295 24 297 16 287 25786 23941 18 325 18 290 22 298 19 295 15 280 23941 22014 15 311 13 269 12 282 13 276 12 269 22014 20004 7 314 8 223 11 226 14 236 14 245 20004 17903 2 066 8 189 13 193 15 215 16 224 17903 15755 3 170 6 235 8 225 12 223 14 221 15755 13682 10 260 12 279 11 283 9 282 8 259 13682 11797 11 275 12 276 14 276 12 301 6 310 11797 10121 8 284 10 263 13 249 10 282 3 282 10121 8631 9 270 11 245 14 233 12 238 11 223 8631 7309 10 247 13 234 16 236 14 231 15 228 7309 6141 10 221 12 233 17 241 17 227 17 240 6141 5116 8 224 11 245 18 236 21 230 21 241 5116 4222 7 242 13 257 19 241 25 240 22 236 4222 3437 7 250 14 252 16 249 20 240 20 223 3437 2741 7 233 10*224 11 240 14 209 19 210 2741 2133 8 178 7*193 8*192 17 188 19 196 2133 1632 11 162 7 190 8*187 17 182 20 187 1632 1250 11*161 7 190 8 187 15 182 20 186 1250 989 8*158 7 189 8 187 12 184 17 186 989 830 7 157 7 188 8 187 10 185 12 184 830 740 6 157 6 188 7 187 5*185 5*173 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography