DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.8 - - 93.1 - - 89.3 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 347 - - 74 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4948 - - 5553 - - 2950 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4176 - - 4593 - - 1744 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5608 - - 6213 - - 3610 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1437 - - 955 - - 2965 - - 2358 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 514 - - 509 - - 250 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 196 - - 177 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -8 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 290 - - 133 - - -1211 - - -2320 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5318 - - 6080 - - 4821 - - 3064 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3236 - - -3589 - - -2388 - - -4369 ODpotential blCL - - - 8844 - - 9802 - - 5998 - - 5113 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 82 - - 84 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 2080 - - 2070 - - 2290 - - 2210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.8 - - 93.1 - - 89.3 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.8 - - 68.8 - - 70.5 - - 71.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.4 - - 90.9 - - 88.8 - - 83.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 68.3 - - 70.2 - - 71.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 347 - - 74 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4948 - - 5553 - - 2950 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 27 - - 34 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98600 34 100 34 097 29 097 28 080 98600 91190 35 100 30 099 30 083 29 090 91190 85481 34 095 28 092 28 079 30 080 85481 80723 32 098 23 089 27 081 32 070 80723 76616 28 095 21 106 23 086 27 067 76616 72992 24 088 21 105 19 095 20 081 72992 69732 17 070 20 089 16 097 16 094 69732 66756 10 048 18 067 15 080 16 099 66756 64011 3 348 15 045 10 055 12 084 64011 61360 8 175 3 005 2 009 4 018 61360 58611 6 159 4 259 3 278 11 327 58611 55799 4 027 8 303 8 283 13 316 55799 53148 11 338 12 324 11 312 13 316 53148 50772 10 344 8 317 16 311 12 295 50772 48642 16 339 11 317 20 313 21 309 48642 46701 25 329 24 326 28 313 30 307 46701 44909 28 321 31 327 28 318 32 311 44909 43237 30 319 31 327 26 321 33 320 43237 41667 29 317 29 326 24 323 32 323 41667 40184 28 309 30 322 23 325 30 320 40184 38778 25 299 30 316 22 328 27 316 38778 37416 23 295 30 310 19 325 23 317 37416 36030 22 298 28 308 14 300 18 322 36030 34591 23 304 25 311 11 237 17 329 34591 33098 24 316 24 315 10 233 22 338 33098 31540 27 324 23 316 16 306 25 337 31540 29901 29 326 21 318 28 321 26 325 29901 28181 30 324 23 317 30 317 25 318 28181 26380 31 327 25 320 26 317 24 321 26380 24497 26 329 21 318 21 327 25 333 24497 22537 14 316 19 329 26 330 26 343 22537 20499 10 319 24 327 29 324 28 349 20499 18375 13 347 21 322 26 316 28 346 18375 16206 11 338 16 323 23 315 26 321 16206 14113 9 314 14 308 17 303 20 319 14113 12204 2 276 8 278 17 289 16 304 12204 10502 6 248 11 249 13 236 13 271 10502 8987 8 225 12 226 13 227 14 240 8987 7642 6 226 10 224 13 238 12 234 7642 6452 7*242 9*213 13 231 13 223 6452 5398 8*239 9*210 13 225 14 217 5398 4468 8 234 9 206 14 205 17 206 4468 3647 9 228 11 198 16*188 23 197 3647 2912 9 223 11 194 18*180 26 193 2912 2263 9 222 11 192 18 178 25 192 2263 1720 10 219 12 191 18 177 23 191 1720 1303 9 217 12 190 18 176 20 187 1303 1017 9 216 11 189 17 176 14 180 1017 843 9 216 11 189 16 176 12*177 843 744 8 216 10 189 13 176 6*172 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography