DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.1 - - 99.7 - - 93.7 - - 90.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 239 - - 29 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5316 - - 6073 - - 2606 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4410 - - 4824 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5976 - - 6733 - - 3266 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1387 - - 2428 - - 3435 - - 2848 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 503 - - 465 - - 177 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 330 - - 344 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1843 - - -1397 - - -2275 - - -4236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7820 - - 8131 - - 5541 - - 4980 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4012 - - -3244 - - -4562 - - -6715 ODpotential blCL - - - 9988 - - 9977 - - 7828 - - 7459 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 99 - - 91 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 2020 - - 2000 - - 3130 - - 2460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.1 - - 99.7 - - 93.7 - - 90.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.2 - - 66.4 - - 71.7 - - 70.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.9 - - 98.0 - - 93.4 - - 91.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 65.9 - - 71.5 - - 70.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 239 - - 29 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5316 - - 6073 - - 2606 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 97 - - 65 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 17 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98954 36 100 31 093 25 095 29 073 98954 91497 36 084 35 096 26 088 33 084 91497 85729 34 083 35 099 24 087 31 082 85729 80970 26 085 26 094 25 085 28 082 80970 76892 18 089 17 088 23 076 27 087 76892 73289 19 087 17 090 16 080 20 076 73289 70028 15 081 18 086 14 088 11 076 70028 67030 12 086 14 088 12 067 10 067 67030 64260 11 077 12 089 6 059 8 062 64260 61600 7 079 9 084 6 104 8 048 61600 58840 3 116 5 021 5 043 11 023 58840 56008 5 143 6 299 10 316 16 328 56008 53345 3 336 7 263 10 302 11 314 53345 50956 17 319 13 301 17 306 19 318 50956 48807 18 294 17 299 21 297 22 304 48807 46845 16 293 19 309 21 295 22 292 46845 45035 19 303 21 295 22 298 21 291 45035 43355 22 293 24 284 26 296 21 297 43355 41781 17 263 26 272 28 284 23 303 41781 40298 13 271 23 260 27 267 24 304 40298 38894 15 280 22 276 23 268 19 303 38894 37529 15 289 20 296 19 280 16 304 37529 36135 12 303 20 293 18 290 14 303 36135 34683 11 318 16 282 21 296 14 301 34683 33178 10 351 9 289 17 284 12 291 33178 31607 7 003 5 266 15 277 13 291 31607 29960 6 308 6 278 12 278 14 300 29960 28232 12 290 12 323 10 293 11 309 28232 26421 14 282 14 331 11 314 11 339 26421 24528 13 291 12 305 10 324 13 331 24528 22564 7 296 11 291 11 326 15 337 22564 20521 6 271 11 286 18 325 15 347 20521 18393 9 295 10 298 21 315 13 344 18393 16229 14 295 10 312 24 315 16 330 16229 14149 15 290 10 346 23 327 13 328 14149 12252 14 276 11 355 19 335 10 340 12252 10558 12 256 10 333 14 324 10 344 10558 9049 7 269 10 336 11 321 11 351 9049 7704 9 322 12*334 14 329 12 356 7704 6508 13*310 12*331 16 335 13 001 6508 5446 12*302 12 331 17 339 13 005 5446 4508 12 300 12 330 16 341 13 005 4508 3679 11 299 12 330 13*343 13 004 3679 2936 11 298 12 330 9*343 14 003 2936 2279 10 296 12 330 5 344 15 004 2279 1731 10 294 11 329 5 344 15 008 1731 1310 9 294 11 330 4 344 14 010 1310 1020 9 293 11 329 4 346 12 011 1020 844 9 293 10 329 4 346 10*010 844 744 8 293 9 329 4 346 6*009 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography