DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.1 - - 85.1 - - 87.2 - - 86.0 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 196 - - 259 - - 228 - - 4 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3738 - - 4999 - - 4501 - - 3516 - - 69 BL Depth Hcrit 2953 - - 4042 - - 3610 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 4398 - - 5659 - - 5161 - - 4176 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1415 - - 1905 - - 2530 - - 3142 - - 2172 Hgt.Variab. W* 371 - - 450 - - 419 - - 154 - - 19 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 24 - - 23 - - 23 - - 24 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 175 - - 173 - - 165 - - 163 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 7 - - -11 - - -10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1060 - - 1126 - - 19 - - -1015 - - -2178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3338 - - 4533 - - 5142 - - 5191 - - 2908 sfcLCL ODpotential 495 - - 565 - - -827 - - -2933 - - -4563 ODpotential blCL 3903 - - 5094 - - 5988 - - 7109 - - 5292 blCL maxRH 90 - - 93 - - 80 - - 67 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 1160 - - 1220 - - 1320 - - 1050 - - 1140 CAPE Temp@2m 81.1 - - 85.1 - - 87.2 - - 86.0 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.7 - - 67.6 - - 66.9 - - 65.7 - - 68.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.0 - - 83.7 - - 85.7 - - 86.0 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.2 - - 66.8 - - 66.2 - - 65.1 - - 68.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 196 - - 259 - - 228 - - 4 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3738 - - 4999 - - 4501 - - 3516 - - 69 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 70 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97978 9 107 9 113 6 159 4 023 18 107 97978 90579 12 091 13 118 8 120 5 089 10 109 90579 84878 16 094 16 107 14 117 12 093 10 099 84878 80134 19 098 17 098 19 102 18 094 14 096 80134 76062 20 102 18 106 19 092 21 089 20 092 76062 72492 19 102 17 116 17 093 20 083 23 091 72492 69288 17 101 15 117 10 102 16 084 22 082 69288 66360 16 115 14 119 7 137 7 140 11 076 66360 63668 13 123 17 124 13 148 11 167 7 175 63668 61087 8 221 8 190 7 177 7 213 13 211 61087 58411 18 268 18 259 15 249 19 249 22 246 58411 55642 30 259 27 268 21 262 22 258 26 241 55642 52996 34 242 35 255 36 259 30 260 34 245 52996 50611 36 237 42 246 45 251 42 254 42 247 50611 48470 39 238 44 241 49 245 47 247 44 249 48470 46514 41 237 43 238 50 240 47 242 47 249 46514 44706 41 234 45 238 50 237 46 241 48 245 44706 43020 39 228 47 236 49 235 46 239 47 240 43020 41442 37 222 46 233 48 232 45 236 42 238 41442 39959 36 218 43 226 44 226 42 233 36 239 39959 38562 36 217 39 220 41 223 39 228 33 241 38562 37210 37 219 38 217 40 221 39 218 32 235 37210 35833 37 219 35 216 39 216 39 217 34 222 35833 34400 36 215 33 215 37 207 38 221 36 212 34400 32915 37 210 34 216 39 207 38 222 37 211 32915 31360 39 209 37 218 41 214 39 219 37 216 31360 29727 37 208 37 214 39 216 41 224 35 224 29727 28015 35 204 35 210 39 215 40 223 35 231 28015 26221 35 192 35 207 37 214 35 218 35 223 26221 24349 33 188 32 208 32 216 31 220 29 214 24349 22401 30 188 29 202 30 213 30 221 24 220 22401 20372 25 190 26 189 29 199 30 215 18 237 20372 18253 16 186 23 185 24 197 28 206 19 245 18253 16083 11 192 21 187 20 208 21 206 15 239 16083 13985 10 182 19 188 22 200 17 221 13 239 13985 12075 8 204 16 186 21 188 19 210 16 220 12075 10386 15 223 14 216 15 196 17 206 21 193 10386 8893 30 222 24 231 19 223 19 208 19 191 8893 7567 34 207 30 216 23 217 22 200 20 194 7567 6389 34 200 28*201 24 202 24 194 21 196 6389 5344 31 198 26*190 25*195 25 186 26 187 5344 4423 30*193 25 181 24*184 27*176 29 178 4423 3609 29*185 24 173 24 172 27*168 29 173 3609 2880 27 180 24 169 24 163 26 164 30 167 2880 2235 25 174 23 167 24 161 25 162 30 161 2235 1697 24 172 23 166 23 159 25 161 28 159 1697 1284 22 170 22 165 22 158 23 160 25 157 1284 1000 21 169 21 164 21 158 21 159 18 154 1000 827 19 169 19 164 20 157 19 159 15*153 827 729 16 168 16 164 16 157 15 158 8*150 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography