DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 75.7 - - 77.2 - - 71.1 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 84 - - 247 - - 158 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 461 - - 3815 - - 4753 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 3093 - - 3565 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1121 - - 4475 - - 5413 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1823 - - 1081 - - 1104 - - 4692 - - 563 Hgt.Variab. W* 137 - - 397 - - 369 - - 9 - - 8 W* B/S 11 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 140 - - 151 - - 118 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3567 - - -3980 - - -3504 - - -5883 - - -4712 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4688 - - 8455 - - 8917 - - 6626 - - 5454 sfcLCL ODpotential -10440 - - -12475 - - -11500 - - -10920 - - -10902 ODpotential blCL 11561 - - 16950 - - 16913 - - 11662 - - 11644 blCL maxRH 56 - - 84 - - 79 - - 52 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 75.7 - - 77.2 - - 71.1 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.6 - - 41.5 - - 40.9 - - 45.1 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.5 - - 74.0 - - 75.9 - - 73.0 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 41.3 - - 40.9 - - 45.1 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 84 - - 247 - - 158 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 461 - - 3815 - - 4753 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 35 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97337 35 258 42 257 37 266 38 272 36 277 97337 90039 21 259 29 262 25 258 25 265 27 271 90039 84402 15 284 14 261 17 263 14 261 25 262 84402 79727 18 264 6 261 16 256 8 286 10 263 79727 75736 11 260 7 244 11 257 11 286 5 310 75736 72235 5 271 3 245 3 214 11 250 5 259 72235 69076 10 251 3 158 6 182 11 221 4 259 69076 66176 10 240 10 229 11 240 10 201 6 235 66176 63491 12 222 17 224 16 255 9 276 12 212 63491 60894 13 206 21 221 28 245 25 252 13 199 60894 58194 26 212 26 216 26 222 29 229 20 213 58194 55384 7 209 30 244 31 241 33 233 23 228 55384 52702 42 230 50 226 53 231 57 223 57 228 52702 50296 48 234 44 222 45 215 43 223 58 228 50296 48133 54 248 48 249 53 248 58 246 64 244 48133 46169 56 245 66 248 73 241 76 241 73 241 46169 44368 51 246 63 244 67 238 72 236 63 237 44368 42704 48 249 53 244 48 237 50 239 54 237 42704 41153 49 255 43 250 41 236 44 239 54 235 41153 39690 49 256 48 246 41 227 43 238 49 230 39690 38305 45 253 44 243 41 220 29 204 49 228 38305 36960 45 251 33 242 36 221 29 206 47 224 36960 35589 43 243 28 240 32 216 35 210 44 219 35589 34159 33 245 31 247 34 227 41 206 44 217 34159 32675 23 251 32 246 37 235 44 204 46 215 32675 31127 15 233 35 232 38 226 43 200 52 217 31127 29505 13 195 31 218 43 223 39 200 49 222 29505 27800 23 197 26 201 38 219 37 210 41 224 27800 26007 27 212 27 203 33 209 32 220 35 219 26007 24131 24 216 21 203 28 208 34 218 34 209 24131 22187 17 208 17 184 21 201 31 207 38 198 22187 20165 16 197 19 177 22 193 29 203 33 198 20165 18052 12 188 16 178 21 198 29 211 23 204 18052 15892 9 176 12 203 16 201 25 222 18 233 15892 13809 8 193 10 220 8 190 17 222 20 247 13809 11920 8 250 5 229 9 187 13 227 17 228 11920 10244 4 201 5 193 9 197 10 225 12 219 10244 8756 8 159 9 190 9 211 7 232 9 224 8756 7438 8 155 10 174 8 197 5 235 9 246 7438 6275 6 148 10 158 9*166 6 185 12 230 6275 5250 8 153 11*147 8*154 5 158 12 198 5250 4348 10 152 9*143 8 152 5 146 8 167 4348 3552 10 154 9 142 8 151 6 140 9 149 3552 2840 8 163 9 141 8 150 7 132 12 146 2840 2211 6 156 9 140 7 149 7 124 14 145 2211 1685 5 181 9 138 7 150 8 120 15 145 1685 1282 4*205 8 138 7 149 8 119 14 142 1282 1006 2*183 8 137 7 148 8 117 11 137 1006 838 2 178 8 138 7 148 6 117 8 134 838 742 2 176 7 137 6 148 4*118 4*131 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography