DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 76.5 - - 77.3 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 42 - - -19 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 1032 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 727 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1638 - - 1692 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1586 - - 1601 - - 2948 - - 2355 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 153 - - 33 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 24 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 172 - - 182 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 760 - - 823 - - -492 - - -155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 878 - - 869 - - 1235 - - 898 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 414 - - 371 - - -1531 - - -1136 ODpotential blCL - - - 1224 - - 1321 - - 2274 - - 1879 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 2870 - - 3000 - - 2950 - - 2450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 76.5 - - 77.3 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.2 - - 74.2 - - 73.6 - - 72.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 76.3 - - 78.2 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.6 - - 73.8 - - 73.2 - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 42 - - -19 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 1032 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 83 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 18 - - 18 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98036 6 242 10 321 12 299 11 332 98036 90594 3 050 5 068 6 314 11 328 90594 84920 3 045 4 214 7 330 7 354 84920 80226 4 172 5 175 6 315 7 349 80226 76166 2 124 4 103 3 040 4 310 76166 72582 5 358 4 054 4 075 4 119 72582 69346 4 227 4 176 5 267 1 357 69346 66389 8 171 12 231 9 249 4 254 66389 63661 9 203 13 237 12 209 9 216 63661 61038 7 189 9 224 13 225 12 210 61038 58321 13 250 16 228 11 209 15 223 58321 55497 29 239 29 256 35 246 25 238 55497 52795 42 243 44 248 42 243 41 249 52795 50369 49 249 48 247 52 249 58 247 50369 48200 55 253 49 250 62 248 67 242 48200 46227 58 253 54 250 66 246 69 240 46227 44412 62 252 62 249 68 241 70 239 44412 42738 68 250 69 247 68 238 68 235 42738 41182 69 247 68 241 64 232 62 228 41182 39721 64 246 56 228 61 219 59 214 39721 38341 62 243 35 206 58 205 58 199 38341 37002 64 235 36 220 56 213 53 201 37002 35633 63 227 35 217 54 212 49 202 35633 34206 56 221 37 214 53 212 44 200 34206 32724 48 219 39 217 48 213 40 198 32724 31173 44 225 45 220 43 216 36 204 31173 29542 42 233 46 220 38 222 40 222 29542 27836 42 239 39 219 36 230 44 233 27836 26051 39 237 32 223 29 236 39 238 26051 24190 39 239 28 231 26 241 33 256 24190 22257 38 251 25 239 27 250 26 272 22257 20243 40 260 25 262 28 251 30 273 20243 18144 39 255 30 278 37 264 37 270 18144 16003 26 247 25 268 37 265 32 266 16003 13938 23 229 19 235 27 250 26 256 13938 12055 22 223 27 210 13 235 14 213 12055 10378 20 223 30 207 10 199 12 158 10378 8886 18 222 32 201 17 175 20 152 8886 7559 21 205 31 193 26 169 25 177 7559 6378 24 196 29 185 39 169 35 193 6378 5333 27 187 29 181 44 173 43 184 5333 4413 26 184 31 178 44 173 46 176 4413 3603 24 182 32 177 38 174 43 172 3603 2879 23 182 31 176 33 176 39 172 2879 2239 22 183 30 175 29 178 33 172 2239 1705 21*181 29*173 26 180 28 172 1705 1295 20*181 27*172 21 181 24 173 1295 1012 19 180 26 172 18 182 18 173 1012 841 18 180 23 171 16*182 16*173 841 743 14 180 17 171 11*182 10*172 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography