DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.0 - - 73.5 - - 76.9 - - 70.0 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 99 - - 264 - - 155 - - -15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 819 - - 1861 - - 2286 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1680 - - 1773 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1479 - - 2521 - - 2946 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 634 - - 517 - - 644 - - 1770 - - 160 Hgt.Variab. W* 176 - - 320 - - 288 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 14 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 212 - - 185 - - 158 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1294 - - -2209 - - -2429 - - -2811 - - -1368 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2773 - - 4730 - - 5375 - - 3554 - - 2110 sfcLCL ODpotential -11192 - - -9471 - - -8893 - - -10050 - - -9619 ODpotential blCL 12671 - - 11992 - - 11839 - - 10793 - - 10361 blCL maxRH 79 - - 71 - - 62 - - 58 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.0 - - 73.5 - - 76.9 - - 70.0 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.5 - - 55.6 - - 56.1 - - 57.2 - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.5 - - 71.9 - - 75.8 - - 72.0 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.4 - - 55.3 - - 55.8 - - 57.1 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 99 - - 264 - - 155 - - -15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 819 - - 1861 - - 2286 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96722 34 287 33 277 29 276 27 270 38 258 96722 89591 23 265 25 269 33 269 35 280 36 289 89591 84083 15 278 20 249 28 263 34 278 27 294 84083 79479 23 293 14 264 18 264 23 266 18 273 79479 75507 25 279 18 280 22 282 19 267 11 279 75507 72008 21 257 22 269 24 286 20 274 11 294 72008 68852 22 258 21 267 22 289 19 287 14 289 68852 65970 23 266 18 271 20 280 22 290 22 299 65970 63328 19 291 15 285 17 278 24 285 24 302 63328 60792 22 310 19 310 20 291 24 287 23 305 60792 58153 28 309 26 317 21 301 24 291 28 293 58153 55410 29 312 28 315 26 302 28 292 32 285 55410 52771 30 306 32 305 29 300 30 296 32 292 52771 50371 26 295 33 297 32 297 33 299 34 298 50371 48198 22 290 31 284 33 290 34 296 33 292 48198 46209 19 284 31 273 33 282 33 288 34 285 46209 44383 17 288 32 272 34 277 33 281 36 284 44383 42700 23 299 33 271 36 276 35 281 36 288 42700 41137 28 298 33 271 37 276 38 285 34 289 41137 39676 28 292 32 272 38 275 40 288 33 286 39676 38300 25 285 31 273 38 275 40 284 34 285 38300 36971 25 285 31 273 37 271 40 279 35 290 36971 35616 25 282 30 270 34 268 39 276 35 291 35616 34207 23 274 29 270 32 271 37 278 34 287 34207 32742 23 271 28 270 32 279 35 280 34 285 32742 31207 23 272 27 273 33 284 32 281 32 283 31207 29589 23 271 25 278 31 284 29 276 30 278 29589 27893 24 271 23 284 28 280 29 277 30 272 27893 26118 25 271 20 283 25 279 28 279 29 272 26118 24259 27 267 18 282 24 278 25 276 27 276 24259 22317 29 265 20 282 23 275 24 279 25 276 22317 20288 29 262 24 272 22 273 23 280 23 275 20288 18168 27 266 22 267 23 274 24 282 23 282 18168 16004 23 277 20 268 23 275 25 288 24 289 16004 13917 20 273 19 265 23 276 22 290 20 286 13917 12021 13 264 16 266 21 276 17 296 14 282 12021 10335 8 280 13 270 16 273 13 304 10 291 10335 8838 7 300 9 267 12 271 10 281 9 282 8838 7508 5 297 7 262 10 268 9 270 9 264 7508 6329 4 269 7 252 8 254 7 251 7 245 6329 5288 6 269 7 242 7 232 5 223 6 225 5288 4375 13 273 9 250 9 231 6 209 8 209 4375 3572 21 257 16 246 10*216 11 203 12 194 3572 2854 30 239 16*231 12*190 13 191 15 187 2854 2220 31 225 14*214 12 186 14 176 18 184 2220 1691 29*222 14 213 12 184 15 169 18 182 1691 1286 22*216 14 212 12 183 15 167 16 178 1286 1007 20 215 13 211 11 183 13 165 14 173 1007 838 18 214 13 210 11 183 10*162 9 166 838 742 15 214 11 210 10 182 5*158 4*143 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography