DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 93.0 - - 88.2 - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 262 - - 13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1946 - - 2810 - - 1315 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1589 - - 2378 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2606 - - 3470 - - 1975 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 822 - - 3359 - - 1504 - - 803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 369 - - 112 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 174 - - 168 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 304 - - -1650 - - -1811 - - -1250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2302 - - 5120 - - 3786 - - 1994 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2338 - - -3090 - - -4429 - - -4205 ODpotential blCL - - - 4944 - - 6560 - - 6404 - - 4949 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 67 - - 69 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 4240 - - 3210 - - 3120 - - 3840 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 93.0 - - 88.2 - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 77.8 - - 72.8 - - 73.7 - - 76.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.1 - - 91.3 - - 88.2 - - 84.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 72.4 - - 73.6 - - 76.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 262 - - 13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1946 - - 2810 - - 1315 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 20 - - 17 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98833 13 109 17 115 7 079 12 076 98833 91391 22 112 17 108 9 129 13 079 91391 85646 21 104 17 105 14 140 12 098 85646 80883 19 096 16 110 15 117 15 099 80883 76775 14 102 14 120 17 099 16 098 76775 73145 7 101 10 123 13 068 15 089 73145 69872 5 152 5 095 7 059 9 084 69872 66877 8 139 2 146 2 024 3 131 66877 64118 7 152 6 205 6 260 6 264 64118 61469 6 194 8 212 11 224 12 236 61469 58735 11 236 11 253 8 271 7 247 58735 55936 7 264 12 263 12 303 13 314 55936 53293 7 296 13 278 18 303 18 311 53293 50925 5 293 10 246 14 277 15 290 50925 48797 8 328 6 269 10 281 13 277 48797 46852 16 332 14 330 11 310 12 318 46852 45060 20 327 18 329 16 334 19 343 45060 43391 14 320 16 325 18 336 19 349 43391 41823 10 337 13 331 17 331 18 347 41823 40344 7 356 11 342 13 327 15 333 40344 38946 6 359 13 338 9 344 10 322 38946 37588 7 356 10 332 12 357 10 330 37588 36203 10 353 8 355 16 354 14 335 36203 34758 11 352 11 002 10 002 16 330 34758 33258 10 354 11 351 5 351 12 317 33258 31685 9 001 12 345 5 352 11 305 31685 30030 9 359 11 346 6 355 6 311 30030 28293 12 342 9 348 8 005 8 006 28293 26471 14 335 8 351 8 008 11 026 26471 24567 10 324 8 319 10 349 11 025 24567 22589 4 310 10 306 13 334 11 004 22589 20535 1 316 6 310 13 344 10 006 20535 18400 2 144 4 329 10 001 10 033 18400 16225 3 100 1 086 8 014 14 042 16225 14131 2 118 1 113 5 051 12 045 14131 12228 6 095 2 100 5 081 10 065 12228 10535 9 090 6 089 5 097 9 084 10535 9030 8 095 8 090 6 110 6 156 9030 7689 6 133 6 119 8 120 9 172 7689 6495 6 155 7 154 9 140 15 178 6495 5434 6 180 9 172 11 159 19 171 5434 4499 10 203 11 175 13 173 21 168 4499 3671 12 199 12*173 17 173 21 169 3671 2929 13*188 13*173 18 170 21 172 2929 2273 13*183 13 173 16*168 21 178 2273 1727 13 183 13 174 13*168 19 186 1727 1307 12 183 13 175 12 168 17 191 1307 1018 12 183 13 176 12 168 12 190 1018 844 11 183 12 176 11 168 9*186 844 744 10 183 11 176 9 168 3*167 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography