DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.9 - - 77.2 - - 80.5 - - 77.0 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 166 - - 360 - - 275 - - -7 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 916 - - 3576 - - 4365 - - 2327 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 3066 - - 3574 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1576 - - 4236 - - 5025 - - 2987 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1726 - - 1165 - - 1068 - - 2634 - - 854 Hgt.Variab. W* 217 - - 444 - - 436 - - 95 - - 19 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 18 - - 18 - - 23 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 187 - - 190 - - 186 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -10 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1777 - - -1429 - - -495 - - -1609 - - -2388 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3353 - - 5665 - - 5521 - - 4596 - - 3131 sfcLCL ODpotential -6973 - - -7183 - - -5877 - - -8251 - - -10473 ODpotential blCL 8549 - - 11419 - - 10902 - - 11238 - - 11215 blCL maxRH 84 - - 71 - - 71 - - 69 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 330 - - 320 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m 68.9 - - 77.2 - - 80.5 - - 77.0 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.8 - - 55.0 - - 58.8 - - 59.3 - - 59.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.8 - - 75.2 - - 78.9 - - 77.4 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.6 - - 54.3 - - 58.1 - - 59.0 - - 59.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 166 - - 360 - - 275 - - -7 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 916 - - 3576 - - 4365 - - 2327 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97242 12 246 5 192 12 220 16 265 8 246 97242 89867 8 143 7 245 3 300 3 004 6 018 89867 84232 19 101 7 176 6 270 8 026 13 030 84232 79562 19 084 12 102 8 172 2 193 9 007 79562 75543 13 056 9 094 6 133 6 166 3 284 75543 71996 11 353 6 017 1 041 1 209 5 203 71996 68795 10 292 9 327 3 329 1 210 9 218 68795 65869 16 277 16 284 11 290 9 303 1 160 65869 63180 22 263 21 265 22 290 28 291 21 301 63180 60612 23 260 36 269 36 264 35 273 32 271 60612 57946 31 273 38 268 35 265 33 275 36 264 57946 55156 32 279 35 278 41 272 41 277 42 273 55156 52478 46 294 48 283 60 272 60 275 65 280 52478 50068 65 281 63 273 66 265 75 267 75 275 50068 47902 71 273 64 268 65 268 77 269 78 273 47902 45928 71 276 61 272 66 273 81 278 79 271 45928 44116 82 284 68 279 74 281 85 282 79 269 44116 42442 99 284 84 280 85 282 84 280 78 270 42442 40884 111 281 97 278 97 278 84 278 76 273 40884 39423 111 282 100 278 102 276 83 277 72 275 39423 38044 95 283 90 279 97 276 75 278 67 275 38044 36707 82 278 76 278 84 279 63 281 60 273 36707 35348 78 276 70 275 73 277 58 283 52 273 35348 33938 72 280 66 276 66 276 56 284 48 275 33938 32482 65 288 61 281 58 276 53 285 47 277 32482 30958 60 293 55 286 53 277 48 283 46 281 30958 29354 54 294 51 286 46 279 43 277 42 282 29354 27670 49 294 48 283 41 279 40 272 39 283 27670 25907 46 295 47 279 42 281 42 272 40 283 25907 24073 46 293 47 281 50 286 46 275 40 280 24073 22167 49 288 52 288 53 286 46 281 38 282 22167 20180 53 286 52 290 49 290 42 282 34 285 20180 18101 51 283 42 281 40 287 35 280 28 272 18101 15972 43 272 39 273 36 274 33 273 31 246 15972 13909 33 254 35 291 30 268 33 264 34 255 13909 12022 19 263 28 285 22 290 29 257 37 259 12022 10336 16 260 22 253 19 265 26 256 33 254 10336 8832 12 255 20 245 21 245 19 251 27 251 8832 7496 10 240 15 232 19 236 20 236 26 244 7496 6317 11 222 13 217 19 204 24 209 31 231 6317 5283 10 208 18 194 19*195 25 199 30 208 5283 4376 13 191 19*187 19*192 25 195 31 193 4376 3575 19 188 19*186 19 190 25*191 32 188 3575 2857 20 191 19 187 19 189 25*188 32 182 2857 2222 17 197 19 187 19 189 25 186 32 176 2222 1693 16*197 18 187 19 189 24 185 30 170 1693 1287 13*195 18 187 18 189 22 185 27 166 1287 1008 12 194 17 188 17 189 20 184 19 160 1008 839 11 193 16 188 16 189 18 184 16 159 839 742 10 194 14 188 14 189 14 183 9*157 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography