DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.3 - - 70.0 - - 73.8 - - 67.8 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 129 - - 62 - - -35 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 82 - - 1635 - - 2050 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1204 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 742 - - 2295 - - 2710 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1174 - - 479 - - 784 - - 870 - - 989 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 243 - - 206 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 27 - - 23 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 216 - - 216 - - 193 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -385 - - 0 - - 40 - - -208 - - -127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1127 - - 2295 - - 2670 - - 950 - - 869 sfcLCL ODpotential -7944 - - -5228 - - -4233 - - -5625 - - -5559 ODpotential blCL 8686 - - 7523 - - 6943 - - 6367 - - 6301 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 88 - - 86 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 500 - - 530 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m 60.3 - - 70.0 - - 73.8 - - 67.8 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.7 - - 62.1 - - 64.2 - - 65.5 - - 65.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 69.3 - - 73.5 - - 69.2 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.7 - - 61.9 - - 64.1 - - 65.5 - - 65.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 129 - - 62 - - -35 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 82 - - 1635 - - 2050 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 74 - - 52 - - 45 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96430 75 272 73 268 66 270 73 264 79 263 96430 89062 59 272 52 275 46 274 48 272 52 277 89062 83448 42 272 40 278 36 278 33 275 33 285 83448 78813 26 283 32 274 35 273 35 281 22 282 78813 74841 26 286 29 266 32 262 35 275 20 280 74841 71370 30 291 27 276 24 267 28 269 18 267 71370 68236 34 289 31 288 28 294 28 278 24 272 68236 65378 41 279 40 274 41 279 37 280 37 275 65378 62767 45 273 49 265 46 267 41 273 42 278 62767 60244 47 273 53 269 51 269 41 265 44 272 60244 57604 54 277 58 274 54 268 50 264 58 272 57604 54859 62 274 61 268 66 268 60 266 65 269 54859 52242 64 270 63 264 71 262 68 263 67 264 52242 49888 63 268 66 266 72 262 71 261 66 258 49888 47767 67 271 72 271 74 268 73 266 67 257 47767 45831 79 269 79 271 81 269 80 266 71 260 45831 44051 85 266 79 270 77 265 81 262 72 261 44051 42399 81 269 77 273 70 268 74 263 70 264 42399 40853 79 273 81 275 75 275 72 271 72 272 40853 39397 81 274 81 274 77 275 74 275 74 273 39397 38020 84 270 79 269 75 272 74 274 76 269 38020 36682 86 267 82 265 75 267 73 271 77 266 36682 35319 83 266 87 262 81 263 74 266 77 264 35319 33901 80 266 87 262 85 262 77 263 76 264 33901 32433 74 265 83 265 84 262 79 262 74 265 32433 30898 69 264 76 266 75 264 77 262 71 266 30898 29282 67 264 68 262 67 265 72 263 67 265 29282 27588 66 266 65 263 63 266 64 265 65 263 27588 25817 65 265 58 267 58 271 58 266 63 263 25817 23974 61 265 52 270 50 275 51 264 56 264 23974 22058 55 265 50 275 44 274 42 261 48 264 22058 20060 52 265 50 272 41 272 37 260 39 256 20060 17978 48 261 49 266 39 272 33 267 33 256 17978 15856 45 261 49 263 38 272 32 271 29 261 15856 13808 44 261 46 256 41 266 33 269 30 263 13808 11941 38 255 44 257 40 258 35 265 33 263 11941 10278 30 254 40 258 39 262 36 265 34 262 10278 8799 29 260 35 252 35 260 37 266 30 265 8799 7485 31 267 33 256 33 254 36 267 26 269 7485 6319 28 265 34 265 33 257 33 268 25 268 6319 5285 24 256 29 266 31 261 29 260 26 263 5285 4375 24 253 26 255 28 255 29 250 29 251 4375 3570 32 242 28 244 27 241 30 235 29 237 3570 2850 40 231 32*226 26*221 31 219 31 229 2850 2215 39 227 30*219 26*219 31 212 37 218 2215 1687 33 222 29 217 24 216 30 206 36 214 1687 1284 26 215 27 216 23 215 27 201 31 211 1284 1006 20 211 25 215 21 214 20 196 23 207 1006 838 18*210 23 214 19 213 17 194 20 207 838 742 13*209 18 213 15 213 10*193 12*205 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography