DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.2 - - - - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 176 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3341 - - 3503 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2752 - - 2755 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4001 - - 4163 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2435 - - 2562 - - - - - 4017 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 384 - - 357 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 23 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 190 - - - - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -11 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 640 - - 389 - - - - - -1235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3361 - - 3774 - - - - - 1979 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -354 - - -1073 - - - - - -2693 ODpotential blCL - - - 4355 - - 5236 - - - - - 3437 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 83 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 2120 - - 2940 - - - - - 3520 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.2 - - - - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.7 - - 74.5 - - - - - 76.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 88.1 - - - - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 73.9 - - - - - 76.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 176 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3341 - - 3503 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 32 - - - - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98405 19 132 18 108 16 064 98405 91017 25 104 20 115 9 065 91017 85324 20 078 17 115 15 094 85324 80573 11 092 15 105 25 087 80573 76480 10 125 16 095 24 083 76480 72887 15 120 13 092 17 099 72887 69657 20 115 14 108 18 097 69657 66697 22 106 16 112 12 084 66697 63975 18 093 13 104 10 063 63975 61381 8 090 8 075 9 043 61381 58712 10 218 8 176 3 288 58712 55951 11 222 9 196 15 245 55951 53331 26 261 24 261 24 262 53331 50986 33 249 28 260 31 265 50986 48871 25 247 24 259 35 262 48871 46927 22 267 23 259 29 258 46927 45118 26 282 25 262 33 279 45118 43426 32 298 25 272 46 289 43426 41838 43 299 35 286 50 288 41838 40340 50 287 45 281 49 288 40340 38921 51 280 43 275 45 278 38921 37548 44 282 35 270 39 271 37548 36150 37 287 31 259 36 268 36150 34696 32 292 29 246 31 273 34696 33190 24 291 15 261 25 290 33190 31617 26 292 18 280 25 287 31617 29962 22 277 21 285 24 265 29962 28225 25 256 22 259 16 273 28225 26406 25 243 23 255 16 286 26406 24509 18 251 21 260 17 280 24509 22540 13 222 16 246 15 276 22540 20493 8 192 10 249 13 283 20493 18366 4 247 6 301 7 284 18366 16201 6 241 9 285 6 000 16201 14113 10 218 11 255 10 011 14113 12206 9 203 10 229 10 026 12206 10506 9 209 10 218 4 334 10506 8996 11 217 10 220 11 216 8996 7657 17 219 17 207 17 209 7657 6467 22 212 24 200 16 204 6467 5413 25 213 25 198 19 190 5413 4483 27*208 25*196 22 183 4483 3660 28*206 24*193 23 181 3660 2923 27 203 24 191 25 179 2923 2270 26 201 24 189 27 178 2270 1725 25 200 23 189 26 178 1725 1306 24 200 23 188 23 178 1306 1019 23 200 22 188 17 177 1019 844 22 200 20 187 14*176 844 744 18 199 17 187 8*174 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography