DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 79.7 - - 76.4 - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 138 - - 3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2113 - - 3145 - - 739 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1708 - - 2319 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2773 - - 3805 - - 1399 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3062 - - 2288 - - 2187 - - 1363 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 308 - - 55 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 189 - - 174 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 88 - - 27 - - -1164 - - -620 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2685 - - 3778 - - 2564 - - 1363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -257 - - -483 - - -2811 - - -2774 ODpotential blCL - - - 3030 - - 4288 - - 4210 - - 3517 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 92 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 1890 - - 1190 - - 1350 - - 1270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 79.7 - - 76.4 - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.7 - - 65.5 - - 67.5 - - 68.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 78.7 - - 76.5 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 65.3 - - 67.4 - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 138 - - 3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2113 - - 3145 - - 739 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 69 - - 101 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96496 51 264 61 268 51 289 36 277 96496 89427 35 273 39 266 41 277 33 303 89427 83970 21 273 20 272 27 278 22 296 83970 79419 13 288 11 269 16 280 12 291 79419 75480 13 268 7 298 8 290 8 285 75480 71982 11 253 3 352 5 331 3 283 71982 68806 9 252 7 297 10 288 7 312 68806 65900 10 253 10 254 12 248 11 250 65900 63234 15 250 13 262 10 258 14 246 63234 60673 18 254 22 255 24 252 24 258 60673 58000 39 252 38 258 35 254 35 260 58000 55217 53 246 53 256 49 254 47 253 55217 52555 58 249 59 250 53 248 49 250 52555 50157 58 250 58 249 55 251 59 255 50157 48014 60 250 62 251 65 253 69 257 48014 46075 66 248 73 249 77 250 84 252 46075 44300 74 249 80 245 85 246 91 245 44300 42654 87 250 84 247 91 244 91 243 42654 41109 91 248 91 249 90 243 87 246 41109 39652 88 245 94 249 84 247 81 248 39652 38274 84 244 89 249 78 249 75 246 38274 36936 82 246 82 251 76 250 72 247 36936 35570 78 249 80 254 74 251 70 250 35570 34147 73 250 78 253 71 252 68 250 34147 32669 69 250 74 252 68 252 65 247 32669 31121 62 249 68 252 65 252 61 240 31121 29493 54 243 59 246 58 248 56 231 29493 27788 51 241 55 235 55 239 50 227 27788 26004 50 242 52 234 54 238 48 227 26004 24142 46 244 46 235 52 238 47 232 24142 22205 40 242 41 237 45 241 48 242 22205 20189 35 237 37 237 39 247 45 253 20189 18092 31 234 33 236 35 250 30 255 18092 15957 24 229 30 234 33 253 27 254 15957 13894 20 229 28 223 34 247 31 240 13894 12010 16 206 25 213 33 234 29 233 12010 10332 13 192 22 216 24 241 21 220 10332 8843 15 189 18 233 14 234 15 208 8843 7523 11 198 16 253 14 227 13 214 7523 6351 7 177 12 253 12 221 14 219 6351 5313 6 178 10 244 11 208 14 225 5313 4397 7 197 9*223 10 191 14 216 4397 3589 10 209 10*199 11 177 15 199 3589 2866 10*209 12 188 13 173 17 188 2866 2228 11*209 13 187 14 175 20 185 2228 1696 11 209 13 187 14*176 20 183 1696 1289 11 208 13 187 11*175 17 178 1289 1009 10 209 13 187 10 174 12 173 1009 840 10 208 12 187 9 173 10*172 840 743 9 208 11 188 7 172 6*172 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography