DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0953z - - 1330z - - 1555z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.1 - - 46.7 - - 52.4 - - 52.1 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 119 - - 425 - - 333 - - 12 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1073 - - 3549 - - 4804 - - 3735 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 723 - - 3087 - - 3975 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1733 - - 4209 - - 5464 - - 4395 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1423 - - 969 - - 1237 - - 1963 - - 243 Hgt.Variab. W* 206 - - 462 - - 473 - - 149 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 31 - - 19 - - 55 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 349 - - 304 - - 107 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3561 - - -3794 - - -2807 - - -4366 - - -4159 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5294 - - 8004 - - 8272 - - 8762 - - 4899 sfcLCL ODpotential -11647 - - -10593 - - -8256 - - -11587 - - -10495 ODpotential blCL 13380 - - 14802 - - 13720 - - 15982 - - 11235 blCL maxRH 52 - - 66 - - 61 - - 46 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.1 - - 46.7 - - 52.4 - - 52.1 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.1 - - 14.3 - - 18.7 - - 16.4 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 44.6 - - 50.7 - - 52.1 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.1 - - 13.6 - - 17.7 - - 15.6 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 119 - - 425 - - 333 - - 12 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1073 - - 3549 - - 4804 - - 3735 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96762 12 244 17 238 22 240 30 268 14 281 96762 89380 10 233 17 249 15 261 11 268 11 273 89380 83754 9 178 15 212 16 249 6 232 6 253 83754 79107 4 133 12 186 16 211 9 239 7 236 79107 75110 3 149 8 188 14 177 11 202 7 227 75110 71574 6 209 6 242 7 168 13 198 14 214 71574 68373 10 218 11 228 9 214 14 211 15 211 68373 65442 15 261 13 276 9 297 11 259 12 238 65442 62737 26 234 27 243 26 262 26 266 20 253 62737 60126 27 229 31 229 33 239 33 252 28 245 60126 57387 44 250 38 249 36 256 33 255 26 244 57387 54504 53 247 52 262 61 257 40 257 32 258 54504 51714 68 246 68 247 64 242 51 256 48 264 51714 49180 67 240 62 240 65 245 68 250 61 259 49180 46897 67 241 68 243 73 246 73 247 61 259 46897 44823 81 245 78 243 72 248 65 249 56 261 44823 42926 89 244 80 247 65 253 58 256 59 262 42926 41195 89 246 77 249 66 255 66 259 64 262 41195 39613 89 249 71 252 73 254 64 266 60 264 39613 38150 91 249 71 258 66 260 61 273 56 270 38150 36789 91 247 75 257 69 271 70 275 58 277 36789 35490 91 243 69 261 79 276 76 272 61 281 35490 34181 82 237 65 267 81 278 74 269 66 283 34181 32821 81 247 65 264 80 284 72 271 68 281 32821 31405 82 241 68 261 81 290 71 274 66 284 31405 29917 85 243 70 262 85 289 72 280 64 282 29917 28352 85 253 62 265 87 294 71 285 61 280 28352 26709 69 256 53 266 77 294 71 294 56 285 26709 24985 62 258 51 273 61 282 69 301 56 290 24985 23176 56 272 47 280 51 276 61 301 57 296 23176 21288 51 274 48 288 50 283 50 301 49 296 21288 19327 53 273 48 290 47 294 46 299 36 292 19327 17288 52 274 49 289 47 299 43 300 29 297 17288 15207 39 279 44 283 41 296 36 307 22 319 15207 13215 32 323 29 319 30 298 33 307 19 328 13215 11413 40 341 35 343 25 329 22 318 13 307 11413 9811 38 336 37 340 30 345 19 345 8 331 9811 8393 35 324 32 325 30 340 21 351 11 319 8393 7138 29 320 27 310 24 323 20 331 16 299 7138 6023 23 320 19 307 13*313 10 312 17 281 6023 5037 17 327 11*308 6*305 6*309 15 269 5037 4171 11 345 3*330 6 304 3*316 8 248 4171 3411 10 011 3 335 5 304 1 332 7 172 3411 2732 9 035 3 345 4 304 1 106 9 151 2732 2134 9*047 3 351 4 305 1 122 9 142 2134 1635 9*047 3 360 4 305 2 124 9 133 1635 1253 9 047 3 005 3 305 2 129 9 126 1253 990 9 047 3 009 3 305 2 127 8 126 990 831 8 047 3 008 3 304 2 127 7 130 831 740 7 047 2 009 3 306 2 127 4*127 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography