DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1335z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 86.8 - - 94.3 - - 97.2 - - 93.7 - - 85.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 169 - - 403 - - 307 - - 13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1011 - - 6584 - - 7739 - - 70 - - 69 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 5466 - - 6250 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 1671 - - 7244 - - 8399 - - 730 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3227 - - 2791 - - 2733 - - 10200 - - 297 Hgt.Variab. W* 225 - - 562 - - 542 - - 41 - - 0 W* B/S 8 - - 15 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 017 - - 092 - - 113 - - 117 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -6 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3689 - - -597 - - -904 - - -7531 - - -5013 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5360 - - 7841 - - 9303 - - 8261 - - 5742 sfcLCL ODpotential -5559 - - -1964 - - -2782 - - -8452 - - -7028 ODpotential blCL 7230 - - 9208 - - 11181 - - 9182 - - 7757 blCL maxRH 72 - - 72 - - 66 - - 72 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 940 - - 580 - - 120 - - 150 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 86.8 - - 94.3 - - 97.2 - - 93.7 - - 85.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.8 - - 62.4 - - 58.8 - - 60.1 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 86.1 - - 92.8 - - 95.4 - - 93.8 - - 87.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.7 - - 62.2 - - 58.3 - - 59.6 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 169 - - 403 - - 307 - - 13 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1011 - - 6584 - - 7739 - - 70 - - 69 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 11 - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97996 36 088 34 105 33 100 35 088 31 085 97996 90766 36 095 37 095 30 095 33 083 34 083 90766 85145 34 099 36 089 30 100 27 081 34 087 85145 80449 31 099 33 087 31 104 23 093 33 091 80449 76399 27 093 27 089 27 101 24 104 28 087 76399 72832 18 087 19 094 22 089 24 108 23 096 72832 69621 14 092 13 110 13 072 22 095 21 106 69621 66680 13 098 11 106 8 115 12 079 18 104 66680 63960 14 095 10 115 8 121 4 106 13 073 63960 61347 12 064 11 105 8 135 5 207 7 025 61347 58650 3 349 5 046 7 070 4 163 2 275 58650 55873 7 257 6 296 6 334 4 338 1 136 55873 53242 13 287 14 308 14 312 10 330 5 350 53242 50890 16 270 13 280 15 280 13 285 9 300 50890 48775 7 304 6 279 13 248 22 253 11 267 48775 46833 23 315 21 313 19 306 13 280 12 292 46833 45033 26 320 23 314 24 314 23 314 16 315 45033 43355 25 324 23 328 24 323 24 316 19 323 43355 41781 23 312 26 324 25 328 23 328 19 329 41781 40298 14 288 25 304 25 328 25 330 20 332 40298 38895 8 266 20 287 19 311 23 323 23 333 38895 37533 6 293 12 262 17 280 21 337 23 328 37533 36146 7 298 10 265 16 268 14 331 20 320 36146 34702 11 305 11 273 16 273 13 295 14 351 34702 33201 12 304 9 291 14 281 12 291 11 351 33201 31630 12 315 7 318 10 294 11 306 11 330 31630 29973 12 322 6 355 6 310 9 319 10 334 29973 28233 10 334 4 354 3 352 2 329 4 347 28233 26407 7 050 4 111 1 277 2 317 3 002 26407 24502 9 070 5 111 4 133 2 147 1 052 24502 22526 6 087 3 117 5 069 7 080 7 087 22526 20473 10 131 8 144 6 101 10 067 12 065 20473 18333 13 123 14 132 11 124 7 093 9 097 18333 16155 12 111 16 123 16 123 10 118 11 114 16155 14064 12 102 17 119 19 123 9 124 11 102 14064 12165 13 098 17 112 17 115 11 118 11 101 12165 10477 13 083 15 102 12 108 15 118 11 116 10477 8979 13 066 14 088 9*108 16 117 14 118 8979 7646 16 068 14*084 8*109 16 117 13 115 7646 6457 17 066 13*084 8 110 14 118 12 117 6457 5402 17 069 8 085 9 111 12 118 12 117 5402 4470 14 089 6 090 9 112 10 118 13 117 4470 3646 11 100 6 093 9 113 9 118 13 116 3646 2907 7 085 6 096 9 114 8 118 13 114 2907 2254 6 057 6 098 9 114 7 118 14 111 2254 1709 6*020 6 100 9 116 7 117 13 106 1709 1291 5*018 6 102 9 116 6 117 13 099 1291 1003 5 017 6 102 9 116 6 118 11 090 1003 829 5 016 5 104 8 116 6*118 8 082 829 729 4 016 5 102 8 116 5*117 4*072 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography