DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.0 - - 68.3 - - 70.2 - - 65.3 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 275 - - 201 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1420 - - 2856 - - 3596 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2429 - - 2843 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 2080 - - 3516 - - 4256 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 870 - - 490 - - 774 - - 3713 - - 2850 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 - - 377 - - 365 - - 15 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 20 - - 21 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 300 - - 315 - - 343 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -586 - - -865 - - -359 - - -2416 - - -1693 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2666 - - 4381 - - 4615 - - 3159 - - 2435 sfcLCL ODpotential -7970 - - -6443 - - -5532 - - -3046 - - -4808 ODpotential blCL 10050 - - 9959 - - 9788 - - 3788 - - 5550 blCL maxRH 87 - - 78 - - 89 - - 94 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.0 - - 68.3 - - 70.2 - - 65.3 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.8 - - 51.6 - - 52.5 - - 53.9 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.1 - - 66.8 - - 69.1 - - 65.7 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.4 - - 51.1 - - 52.3 - - 53.8 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 275 - - 201 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1420 - - 2856 - - 3596 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 13 - - 55 - - 75 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97103 63 257 70 262 60 265 55 260 64 260 97103 89836 46 260 45 263 47 265 39 272 38 262 89836 84241 29 268 29 251 36 259 34 276 28 294 84241 79625 10 288 13 248 25 259 25 280 24 305 79625 75662 3 299 5 306 10 260 11 292 13 310 75662 72172 2 345 3 353 1 334 6 296 7 328 72172 69016 10 038 5 056 3 123 2 359 5 262 69016 66100 11 013 7 060 5 122 3 011 3 215 66100 63384 7 334 6 011 2 031 4 267 3 234 63384 60765 9 274 9 320 5 008 4 260 5 219 60765 58055 8 275 13 296 12 315 14 287 12 281 58055 55267 8 301 18 292 15 302 18 293 14 288 55267 52603 16 299 28 262 28 277 21 281 29 282 52603 50188 25 278 31 263 28 277 39 278 43 281 50188 48016 26 279 31 278 35 290 44 282 48 286 48016 46044 32 282 37 292 52 279 56 292 56 295 46044 44236 36 272 48 285 55 277 61 299 67 305 44236 42565 36 272 58 284 62 295 72 311 95 313 42565 41009 39 273 67 285 63 305 90 315 111 308 41009 39545 41 270 65 287 76 315 103 315 109 304 39545 38155 43 263 60 290 95 317 106 315 108 303 38155 36805 46 262 61 293 108 312 102 313 104 303 36805 35427 50 268 66 296 92 306 93 311 97 304 35427 33995 56 270 76 298 86 301 78 304 87 302 33995 32514 60 265 84 296 83 293 64 288 76 293 32514 30971 59 260 90 293 81 287 55 281 69 286 30971 29352 57 256 90 291 81 290 47 277 60 286 29352 27653 57 248 85 288 80 296 47 274 55 287 27653 25869 59 242 79 281 76 304 47 277 50 287 25869 23998 59 243 77 278 68 293 46 284 45 286 23998 22046 56 244 69 280 74 285 45 288 42 282 22046 20007 52 240 51 275 61 292 46 298 39 279 20007 17877 51 237 42 234 43 287 36 295 34 276 17877 15714 52 242 35 241 37 261 37 278 31 280 15714 13645 49 246 32 263 29 267 32 263 26 286 13645 11775 51 241 36 271 23 277 21 275 21 296 11775 10117 47 236 36 270 25 289 21 292 21 306 10117 8646 34 240 34 267 30 291 18 303 19 305 8646 7344 29 245 33 267 25 294 18 323 21 321 7344 6194 27 251 31 269 21 315 23 328 25 328 6194 5179 24 261 28 274 22 314 25 324 27 330 5179 4288 24 270 27*294 21*314 24 327 27 331 4288 3504 23 284 21*299 21*314 24 334 25 336 3504 2804 27 306 21 299 21 315 24 338 24 343 2804 2186 27*308 20 300 21 315 23 339 23 349 2186 1670 25*308 20 300 21 316 22 341 21 352 1670 1274 21 307 19 300 20 316 20 341 18 353 1274 1001 19 307 18 301 19 316 18 342 13 349 1001 836 17 306 17 300 18 317 15*342 10*347 836 742 13 306 15 300 15 317 11*343 5*343 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography