DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.1 - - 80.0 - - 79.5 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 55 - - 28 - - 31 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1277 - - 2294 - - 2071 - - - - - 472 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 727 - - 727 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1937 - - 2954 - - 2731 - - - - - 1132 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1648 - - 2302 - - 2738 - - - - - 2562 Hgt.Variab. W* 176 - - 193 - - 187 - - - - - 36 W* B/S 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 117 - - 151 - - - - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - -3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 794 - - 1004 - - 1075 - - - - - 224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1143 - - 1950 - - 1656 - - - - - 908 sfcLCL ODpotential 473 - - 223 - - 339 - - - - - -372 ODpotential blCL 1464 - - 2731 - - 2392 - - - - - 1504 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE 1330 - - 1980 - - 2180 - - - - - 1920 CAPE Temp@2m 76.1 - - 80.0 - - 79.5 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.2 - - 73.5 - - 74.3 - - - - - 73.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.7 - - 79.8 - - 79.2 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.6 - - 72.4 - - 73.3 - - - - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 55 - - 28 - - 31 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1277 - - 2294 - - 2071 - - - - - 472 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99193 57 089 45 105 43 109 36 085 99193 91658 49 090 41 102 44 102 37 087 91658 85843 41 090 38 109 41 096 40 084 85843 81056 37 088 40 097 38 097 40 083 81056 76955 34 082 36 086 32 104 34 082 76955 73336 29 080 31 083 27 097 31 081 73336 70069 27 080 27 084 29 089 35 083 70069 67092 30 083 24 087 28 069 38 079 67092 64369 30 089 21 097 21 065 33 065 64369 61762 35 083 26 098 18 088 20 052 61762 59035 35 072 32 085 25 082 11 058 59035 56184 40 057 38 068 40 066 23 077 56184 53462 45 030 35 050 39 046 34 052 53462 51019 42 016 35 031 33 031 40 029 51019 48823 36 011 30 015 28 022 44 011 48823 46815 32 012 26 011 28 018 37 006 46815 44962 33 021 27 017 28 006 28 003 44962 43245 38 017 29 009 27 354 18 007 43245 41644 39 003 34 360 27 359 15 358 41644 40144 36 342 35 350 20 359 10 345 40144 38730 34 324 31 334 20 338 9 004 38730 37359 32 316 25 318 20 313 7 346 37359 35962 29 311 19 305 23 290 8 325 35962 34517 23 302 22 289 27 275 8 286 34517 33023 17 298 23 274 19 262 11 255 33023 31455 13 282 16 274 10 260 9 245 31455 29801 11 285 17 281 19 277 8 233 29801 28065 11 267 17 280 19 284 6 253 28065 26250 12 258 19 276 17 294 4 331 26250 24359 9 283 14 284 16 317 7 056 24359 22397 4 353 5 293 10 339 18 108 22397 20357 3 018 2 033 2 008 20 113 20357 18229 3 319 4 033 4 097 17 112 18229 16057 3 002 5 064 8 099 13 118 16057 13964 6 059 6 095 8 109 8 121 13964 12063 7 066 9 107 11 105 7 130 12063 10376 5 063 12 108 15 099 6 136 10376 8880 4 071 15 119 17 109 9 123 8880 7550 8 096 17 119 16 124 11 124 7550 6370 11 108 15 115 14 134 10 147 6370 5327 10 110 12 119 11 139 8 178 5327 4410 9 100 11 120 11 140 7 186 4410 3601 10 084 10*118 11 141 6 175 3601 2877 10 081 10*118 10*144 5 159 2877 2237 7*090 10 117 10*147 6 145 2237 1704 6*092 9 117 10 150 6 133 1704 1294 6 092 9 117 10 152 6*127 1294 1012 5 092 8 116 10 153 6*124 1012 841 5 092 8 116 9 154 5 123 841 743 4 092 7 116 8 154 4 121 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography