DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 71.0 - - 64.8 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 124 - - -33 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1418 - - 2257 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1187 - - 1618 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2078 - - 2917 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1202 - - 789 - - 1015 - - 318 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 265 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 212 - - 179 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -555 - - -346 - - -204 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2633 - - 3263 - - 946 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7989 - - -6396 - - -2433 - - -8270 ODpotential blCL - - - 10067 - - 9313 - - 3175 - - 9012 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 90 - - 87 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 71.0 - - 64.8 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.7 - - 59.3 - - 63.0 - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 70.1 - - 66.5 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 59.2 - - 63.1 - - 61.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 124 - - -33 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1418 - - 2257 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 61 - - 50 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96255 46 269 47 270 49 269 44 273 96255 89094 34 266 35 267 40 266 39 272 89094 83610 32 269 30 265 35 273 29 276 83610 79093 32 266 33 266 37 276 25 290 79093 75187 27 262 29 266 33 270 28 280 75187 71723 20 259 21 271 26 260 26 271 71723 68624 13 260 14 267 17 258 20 266 68624 65831 13 262 13 279 13 284 11 256 65831 63269 16 256 18 291 18 285 12 285 63269 60788 19 236 21 278 21 270 18 283 60788 58186 15 233 21 254 22 261 20 270 58186 55463 18 274 23 256 25 269 22 274 55463 52842 28 279 27 259 31 269 31 271 52842 50462 33 284 30 264 35 264 36 261 50462 48303 35 289 30 274 32 272 32 262 48303 46319 34 292 29 278 31 279 30 275 46319 44484 33 292 30 279 30 280 30 278 44484 42777 32 289 30 280 29 278 28 280 42777 41185 34 285 32 283 26 277 24 281 41185 39694 34 281 33 291 26 288 20 289 39694 38289 26 273 29 294 26 293 18 294 38289 36930 22 259 24 279 23 276 16 274 36930 35548 23 259 23 267 25 276 17 264 35548 34118 22 265 21 274 26 284 15 285 34118 32648 21 261 21 268 22 290 18 299 32648 31119 21 249 22 253 18 285 15 292 31119 29512 22 236 22 244 17 272 10 288 29512 27823 21 245 18 258 14 278 9 312 27823 26050 21 265 19 276 13 302 10 345 26050 24196 21 268 19 284 14 316 10 352 24196 22266 17 264 16 282 13 310 9 332 22266 20252 14 259 13 277 12 295 9 313 20252 18146 14 264 13 278 12 289 10 303 18146 15992 14 263 14 278 13 281 13 286 15992 13911 15 262 14 271 13 269 13 278 13911 12015 16 260 14 269 12 267 12 287 12015 10328 18 255 17 269 13 273 12 289 10328 8831 18 254 18 254 15 262 12 269 8831 7501 18 247 20 241 17 244 13 253 7501 6321 18 243 21 236 19 234 16 246 6321 5279 18 241 22 230 21 233 20 239 5279 4365 20 232 27 226 26 228 29 230 4365 3563 25 220 26*221 27 223 33 222 3563 2846 25 217 22*216 25 216 31 217 2846 2212 24*217 19 213 23 206 29 207 2212 1685 18*212 17 211 23 196 31 200 1685 1281 16 211 16 210 21 188 28 195 1281 1004 15 210 16 209 18 182 20 188 1004 837 14 210 14 209 15*181 16*186 837 742 12 210 12 208 8*179 8*183 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography