DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 78.6 - - - - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 98 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2411 - - 2440 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1556 - - 1755 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3071 - - 3100 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1493 - - 2390 - - - - - 2213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 273 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 262 - - - - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1050 - - 727 - - - - - -230 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2022 - - 2373 - - - - - 973 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 412 - - -93 - - - - - -1335 ODpotential blCL - - - 2659 - - 3193 - - - - - 2078 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 760 - - 1830 - - - - - 880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 78.6 - - - - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.2 - - 70.2 - - - - - 69.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 77.9 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 68.9 - - - - - 69.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 98 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2411 - - 2440 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 63 - - - - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98479 3 218 10 066 5 019 98479 91002 7 106 10 080 19 061 91002 85254 16 108 10 112 23 078 85254 80516 17 099 12 145 17 091 80516 76453 17 078 11 127 9 107 76453 72869 18 067 12 106 6 085 72869 69634 17 073 12 102 9 043 69634 66662 11 083 11 105 10 020 66662 63906 4 141 9 094 5 007 63906 61245 4 182 3 055 9 075 61245 58476 8 228 3 305 5 029 58476 55599 11 222 9 244 9 274 55599 52842 10 224 9 231 12 236 52842 50354 26 225 23 218 17 223 50354 48157 33 200 26 212 25 163 48157 46214 32 198 32 199 22 168 46214 44444 46 188 33 184 27 194 44444 42787 51 195 46 200 32 184 42787 41228 64 192 63 199 38 182 41228 39761 69 181 73 188 57 177 39761 38370 67 181 72 184 60 174 38370 37018 64 182 68 183 60 179 37018 35637 60 185 64 185 55 180 35637 34198 62 190 58 186 53 182 34198 32700 56 190 56 189 58 192 32700 31131 41 179 54 195 56 197 31131 29475 37 183 48 199 44 182 29475 27740 32 186 36 203 42 170 27740 25933 28 198 29 206 35 168 25933 24058 21 206 16 209 26 177 24058 22121 18 201 11 212 17 203 22121 20110 18 210 12 222 15 189 20110 18011 17 245 12 250 7 250 18011 15872 12 235 7 256 14 303 15872 13817 7 259 7 278 18 307 13817 11948 9 247 12 262 17 305 11948 10286 14 250 15 251 18 308 10286 8809 15 250 11 267 17 313 8809 7495 12 260 11 307 15 319 7495 6327 12 279 12 319 12 312 6327 5294 13 286 10 318 11 288 5294 4384 10 278 9 316 10 273 4384 3579 8*279 8*309 8 265 3579 2860 7*278 7*285 4 257 2860 2225 6 281 6 264 1 332 2225 1695 5 283 6 259 3 018 1695 1290 5 285 6 256 5 025 1290 1009 4 285 6 254 4 030 1009 840 4 287 6 252 4*036 840 743 4 286 5 251 2*051 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography