DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.8 - - 93.1 - - - - - 85.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 341 - - 289 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3173 - - 4424 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2747 - - 3648 - - - - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3833 - - 5084 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 815 - - 795 - - - - - 4806 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 422 - - 448 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 143 - - - - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 42 - - 36 - - - - - -1858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3791 - - 5049 - - - - - 2602 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4891 - - -4788 - - - - - -3188 ODpotential blCL - - - 8724 - - 9872 - - - - - 3932 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 82 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 3670 - - 3090 - - - - - 3730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.8 - - 93.1 - - - - - 85.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 75.8 - - 72.9 - - - - - 75.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.6 - - 91.3 - - - - - 86.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 75.3 - - 72.3 - - - - - 75.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 341 - - 289 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3173 - - 4424 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 27 - - - - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 17 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98672 26 114 28 098 30 086 98672 91206 26 102 28 102 25 086 91206 85442 26 106 23 096 21 088 85442 80673 27 098 20 095 17 068 80673 76575 25 096 19 114 14 070 76575 72971 15 084 20 119 13 092 72971 69727 6 114 15 104 13 090 69727 66757 8 113 11 078 10 118 66757 64030 5 102 9 057 9 115 64030 61414 6 167 3 209 5 060 61414 58705 8 313 8 220 9 293 58705 55918 19 276 17 271 18 286 55918 53278 29 266 27 267 26 271 53278 50899 31 260 30 259 27 258 50899 48742 34 256 37 260 30 258 48742 46757 38 255 40 259 37 262 46757 44920 42 258 45 262 45 273 44920 43212 45 260 49 264 51 274 43212 41611 50 261 58 268 55 270 41611 40106 54 261 61 267 55 267 40106 38690 50 262 54 267 54 262 38690 37329 35 268 32 256 43 260 37329 35948 23 262 25 252 37 256 35948 34512 18 259 22 260 39 255 34512 33020 19 259 14 249 34 260 33020 31466 17 263 13 261 14 252 31466 29838 12 288 9 268 9 258 29838 28131 12 286 5 294 6 234 28131 26347 14 262 7 261 4 184 26347 24488 4 297 8 232 6 172 24488 22552 6 325 6 237 7 213 22552 20526 9 314 8 261 8 221 20526 18409 10 322 10 313 5 206 18409 16245 12 313 14 307 4 272 16245 14152 10 271 14 294 12 277 14152 12238 9 233 10 264 17 273 12238 10530 8 224 9 232 13 263 10530 9010 9 208 11 212 15 241 9010 7661 10 188 12 202 14 227 7661 6468 10 173 10 174 11 181 6468 5415 9 177 12*147 14 139 5415 4486 11*161 13*146 15 140 4486 3663 12*149 13 145 15 146 3663 2925 12 149 13 143 15 151 2925 2271 13 148 13 142 14 154 2271 1726 13 148 13 142 13 154 1726 1307 12 148 12 141 11 150 1307 1019 12 148 12 141 9 143 1019 844 11 148 12 141 7*137 844 744 10 148 10 141 4*127 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography