DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1002z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 77.0 - - 80.5 - - 77.9 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 138 - - 272 - - 181 - - -28 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1078 - - 3764 - - 4575 - - 69 - - 68 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 3119 - - 3550 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1738 - - 4424 - - 5235 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1012 - - 621 - - 996 - - 4917 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* 217 - - 416 - - 390 - - 27 - - 15 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 15 - - 14 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 067 - - 052 - - 070 - - 083 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -8 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2013 - - -1530 - - -163 - - -3980 - - -2342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3751 - - 5955 - - 5399 - - 4710 - - 3070 sfcLCL ODpotential -11148 - - -9167 - - -6394 - - -9348 - - -5328 ODpotential blCL 12886 - - 13591 - - 11629 - - 10077 - - 6056 blCL maxRH 68 - - 60 - - 74 - - 67 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 77.0 - - 80.5 - - 77.9 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.7 - - 53.6 - - 59.3 - - 59.8 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.5 - - 75.4 - - 79.3 - - 78.5 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.1 - - 52.4 - - 58.4 - - 59.2 - - 59.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 138 - - 272 - - 181 - - -28 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1078 - - 3764 - - 4575 - - 69 - - 68 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98310 30 097 27 094 26 095 18 097 20 078 98310 90917 27 106 26 092 25 081 27 089 26 083 90917 85211 26 104 24 095 22 095 27 088 28 086 85211 80485 26 094 24 103 22 105 19 092 23 085 80485 76426 20 079 19 099 18 101 17 103 19 092 76426 72839 16 088 14 098 11 087 17 091 18 095 72839 69604 13 096 14 099 10 116 8 060 16 106 69604 66661 8 073 9 078 10 104 7 128 11 110 66661 63959 4 029 7 092 3 048 10 111 6 140 63959 61357 6 171 1 225 5 239 5 358 4 340 61357 58665 2 245 8 265 11 234 9 275 12 297 58665 55904 14 272 14 259 15 249 17 250 18 276 55904 53292 23 270 20 254 22 260 23 252 24 261 53292 50944 29 266 25 260 25 265 26 263 25 256 50944 48825 33 262 32 264 30 264 31 268 26 265 48825 46877 36 257 36 260 33 259 35 262 30 268 46877 45069 38 254 37 257 34 253 35 254 31 263 45069 43377 37 256 37 255 35 248 35 247 33 255 43377 41790 36 260 38 256 36 246 34 241 33 250 41790 40292 36 261 38 256 36 249 34 244 33 247 40292 38871 38 261 38 256 37 253 35 248 31 249 38871 37489 38 262 38 255 37 252 36 249 30 247 37489 36077 35 263 35 256 35 252 36 249 30 246 36077 34608 28 263 27 257 30 258 34 255 30 252 34608 33091 15 266 15 254 19 254 26 256 24 260 33091 31511 9 242 10 243 11 253 15 247 13 255 31511 29852 3 239 6 240 5 253 5 243 6 214 29852 28112 6 092 4 131 7 123 5 140 6 156 28112 26288 16 115 14 122 16 124 14 120 12 128 26288 24383 17 121 17 120 20 115 22 111 22 117 24383 22400 15 109 15 117 19 112 22 114 25 113 22400 20339 13 095 15 121 15 105 17 123 20 106 20339 18199 15 087 16 117 14 097 15 092 17 089 18199 16022 17 086 15 099 12 076 15 074 16 085 16022 13926 22 082 18 090 16 092 18 084 15 092 13926 12024 24 081 26 090 23 093 21 086 12 079 12024 10336 22 074 27 088 25 092 19 090 11 075 10336 8836 21 060 22 083 19 092 19 092 11 093 8836 7508 20 057 18 079 18 091 19 095 12 105 7508 6334 19 059 17 075 18 082 20 088 15 104 6334 5296 17 064 17*070 17*073 20 081 18 101 5296 4382 16 062 17*060 16*070 19 079 21 097 4382 3575 14 057 16 054 16 070 18 080 22 087 3575 2854 15 063 15 051 14 070 17 081 22 082 2854 2216 16*071 15 050 14 069 16 082 21 081 2216 1684 15*071 14 049 13 070 15 083 20 081 1684 1276 11 067 13 049 12 070 14 084 18 081 1276 996 10 065 12 049 11 070 13 084 14 079 996 826 9 065 12 048 11 070 10*083 10 074 826 728 8 065 10 048 10 070 7*083 5*064 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography