DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 61.8 - - 63.3 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 21 - - 26 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 684 - - 1052 - - 1120 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1344 - - 1712 - - 1780 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 778 - - 1018 - - 980 - - 2468 - - 680 Hgt.Variab. W* 116 - - 117 - - 130 - - 13 - - 6 W* B/S 5 - - 13 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 168 - - 107 - - 007 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 14 - - 367 - - -61 - - -1302 - - -97 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1330 - - 1345 - - 1841 - - 2044 - - 839 sfcLCL ODpotential -3455 - - 164 - - -1978 - - -2900 - - -2233 ODpotential blCL 4799 - - 1548 - - 3758 - - 3642 - - 2975 blCL maxRH 95 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 61.8 - - 63.3 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.4 - - 56.0 - - 56.4 - - 57.0 - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 58.9 - - 61.7 - - 63.8 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.9 - - 55.6 - - 56.0 - - 56.6 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 21 - - 26 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 684 - - 1052 - - 1120 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 101 - - 101 - - 87 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96913 69 258 71 258 74 256 68 265 68 270 96913 89534 46 258 49 268 53 261 52 270 52 276 89534 83923 34 271 33 270 36 258 40 263 38 276 83923 79343 27 286 24 261 25 253 34 268 28 273 79343 75422 23 274 19 250 20 265 25 279 21 271 75422 71961 21 271 17 245 23 274 16 287 11 246 71961 68813 19 278 13 264 20 261 20 271 10 286 68813 65908 18 287 13 287 14 261 26 262 19 293 65908 63230 22 283 17 298 8 287 21 257 20 268 63230 60652 23 277 19 307 11 318 13 260 15 251 60652 57981 26 289 25 308 22 296 17 296 15 288 57981 55226 28 293 29 293 31 293 29 295 21 293 55226 52591 25 286 30 282 36 287 35 285 26 282 52591 50196 24 291 28 286 38 279 38 282 30 276 50196 48029 30 299 29 292 37 274 43 279 34 272 48029 46047 37 283 30 292 35 279 47 273 37 272 46047 44219 46 271 32 283 36 282 49 269 44 269 44219 42523 49 258 36 270 37 275 47 270 42 264 42523 40934 49 261 41 265 42 266 44 268 45 261 40934 39439 55 266 48 262 51 263 51 262 57 262 39439 38032 68 265 54 265 69 252 74 252 65 256 38032 36678 81 262 75 257 75 249 75 247 67 249 36678 35309 81 260 75 250 76 248 71 248 66 244 35309 33889 71 264 64 242 73 247 58 250 65 243 33889 32419 65 259 61 241 67 247 41 249 60 243 32419 30888 63 252 53 246 54 249 45 243 50 245 30888 29280 55 256 41 248 45 251 45 236 37 248 29280 27593 42 262 31 245 43 251 44 232 31 248 27593 25820 39 259 26 237 42 250 41 233 30 246 25820 23967 37 251 26 230 43 248 36 240 26 242 23967 22037 36 239 24 228 45 246 28 258 24 253 22037 20020 27 240 20 241 36 246 18 286 17 266 20020 17914 20 282 22 285 19 261 14 308 9 284 17914 15768 21 293 26 305 21 324 9 288 9 253 15768 13700 25 287 19 316 19 337 6 252 8 295 13700 11818 20 317 9 310 9 335 6 203 10 304 11818 10149 6 317 10 240 7 250 7 209 12 289 10149 8672 7 243 14 236 12 237 8 262 12 275 8672 7365 8 266 9 222 10 275 10 283 9 269 7365 6211 5 298 6 192 7 305 7 290 2 315 6211 5193 3 004 5 163 3 293 4 311 5 068 5193 4299 4 057 4 144 2 061 5 358 9 058 4299 3513 4 064 2 122 5 055 7 015 9 048 3513 2809 5 072 2 072 5 051 7 018 7 053 2809 2188 6 079 1*052 4*056 5 015 5 073 2188 1671 7*078 1*143 3*097 3 012 4 091 1671 1274 5*074 2 170 3 105 2 008 2 152 1274 1001 5 071 2 171 3 111 1 005 4 224 1001 836 4 072 2 170 3 113 1*007 5*239 836 742 4 070 2 170 2 116 1*007 3*245 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography