DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 78.2 - - 78.0 - - 70.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 288 - - -25 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3829 - - 3949 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3248 - - 3271 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4489 - - 4609 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 628 - - 1217 - - 5869 - - 457 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 449 - - 427 - - 30 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 25 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 192 - - 181 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -10 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 434 - - -420 - - -4730 - - -3130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4055 - - 5029 - - 5474 - - 3873 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 335 - - -3615 - - -7213 - - -6856 ODpotential blCL - - - 4154 - - 8224 - - 7956 - - 7599 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 75 - - 63 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 450 - - 450 - - 210 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 78.2 - - 78.0 - - 70.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.3 - - 58.7 - - 56.7 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 76.9 - - 78.8 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 58.2 - - 56.3 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 288 - - -25 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3829 - - 3949 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97076 53 260 58 248 63 264 49 278 97076 89727 40 252 42 253 46 262 40 274 89727 84091 29 251 32 252 37 259 34 264 84091 79436 28 246 30 268 31 259 26 268 79436 75452 21 247 26 267 27 263 22 271 75452 71943 15 281 17 257 20 269 20 272 71943 68766 19 292 14 285 15 276 20 273 68766 65841 23 276 20 283 17 275 19 280 65841 63137 24 273 24 275 21 283 19 282 63137 60542 25 276 26 272 25 277 22 276 60542 57846 28 268 27 270 27 266 29 261 57846 55036 35 265 30 264 32 258 37 258 55036 52334 44 257 38 255 39 257 41 258 52334 49884 44 247 42 254 44 259 42 255 49884 47679 44 243 47 252 47 257 40 257 47679 45679 43 247 43 251 52 255 42 265 45679 43858 35 245 39 255 34 255 46 270 43858 42204 26 247 32 242 28 275 23 255 42204 40686 19 240 20 248 26 246 25 274 40686 39259 9 259 10 224 19 229 24 263 39259 37903 10 285 6 264 14 245 19 252 37903 36583 9 266 7 256 11 270 17 260 36583 35237 9 242 12 242 7 292 12 267 35237 33836 17 235 18 246 6 318 6 260 33836 32385 19 233 21 244 8 305 4 293 32385 30867 17 243 19 245 12 275 8 285 30867 29271 18 245 17 260 11 270 9 258 29271 27599 21 228 19 258 10 277 6 263 27599 25849 20 225 19 246 16 258 6 280 25849 24018 19 234 16 251 17 242 11 263 24018 22106 17 231 15 251 16 239 14 242 22106 20106 13 209 12 229 16 231 15 235 20106 18014 9 184 10 202 10 209 9 224 18014 15879 7 183 7 186 2 184 0 139 15879 13818 7 193 7 181 1 256 6 020 13818 11938 7 198 9 183 8 205 5 358 11938 10270 10 193 15 188 16 189 10 223 10270 8793 17 195 18 193 21 204 18 219 8793 7484 21 200 23 198 26 202 25 219 7484 6322 21 204 27 194 28 193 30 206 6322 5293 23*197 26*192 28 189 31 199 5293 4383 24*194 26*191 28 187 30 192 4383 3579 24 193 26 191 27 186 31 183 3579 2860 24 192 25 191 26 185 33 177 2860 2225 24 190 25 191 25 184 36 174 2225 1694 23 189 25 192 23 183 35 172 1694 1287 22 189 24 192 21 183 32 171 1287 1008 21 188 23 192 19 182 23 167 1008 839 20 188 21 192 16*182 20*167 839 743 17 188 18 192 12*181 11*165 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography