DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1325z - - 1554z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 85.1 - - 92.5 - - 95.9 - - 95.2 - - 87.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 218 - - 382 - - 281 - - 37 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2594 - - 5838 - - 6439 - - 7076 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 2143 - - 4854 - - 5187 - - 3772 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 3254 - - 6498 - - 7099 - - 7736 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2501 - - 1300 - - 2387 - - 2007 - - 4274 Hgt.Variab. W* 336 - - 532 - - 498 - - 270 - - 23 W* B/S 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 156 - - 133 - - 154 - - 167 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 14 - - 21 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1017 - - 203 - - 216 - - 503 - - -3826 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4271 - - 6295 - - 6884 - - 7234 - - 4570 sfcLCL ODpotential -2092 - - -821 - - -187 - - -284 - - -5697 ODpotential blCL 5346 - - 7319 - - 7286 - - 8020 - - 6441 blCL maxRH 77 - - 79 - - 83 - - 88 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 860 - - 1110 - - 1940 - - 1340 - - 1810 CAPE Temp@2m 85.1 - - 92.5 - - 95.9 - - 95.2 - - 87.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.7 - - 67.2 - - 68.0 - - 65.9 - - 70.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.6 - - 90.1 - - 94.1 - - 95.0 - - 88.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.5 - - 66.8 - - 67.6 - - 65.6 - - 69.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 218 - - 382 - - 281 - - 37 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2594 - - 5838 - - 6439 - - 7076 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 10 - - 15 - - 33 - - 53 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98794 36 092 41 089 30 090 40 084 30 084 98794 91344 34 089 36 090 37 085 36 086 29 094 91344 85582 29 081 31 092 34 087 29 090 32 087 85582 80826 28 083 30 094 26 088 22 089 31 084 80826 76761 29 094 27 096 22 089 21 083 24 084 76761 73172 28 093 24 101 22 100 22 076 20 086 73172 69913 24 090 20 107 23 109 19 079 18 081 69913 66920 18 100 15 103 20 100 15 082 17 069 66920 64156 18 100 13 118 13 107 9 090 13 065 64156 61493 21 078 18 106 15 126 6 141 8 083 61493 58741 17 045 21 074 15 097 12 108 12 098 58741 55922 9 011 18 038 18 062 12 078 16 087 55922 53263 7 034 7 038 17 044 15 066 15 079 53263 50893 7 054 8 077 9 034 12 041 12 062 50893 48773 4 090 7 063 6 342 7 355 7 027 48773 46843 7 142 2 077 7 267 9 296 7 303 46843 45064 9 128 4 153 12 223 24 271 26 281 45064 43401 10 094 6 152 17 231 36 267 37 276 43401 41833 13 082 6 131 18 235 29 272 32 277 41833 40349 16 078 8 111 11 207 18 278 27 281 40349 38940 17 072 9 094 6 196 5 234 15 295 38940 37571 14 072 9 079 4 158 2 137 2 359 37571 36175 9 079 6 068 6 102 5 090 8 068 36175 34722 6 073 4 037 8 059 12 080 13 095 34722 33217 7 064 5 028 12 038 17 102 17 121 33217 31642 12 064 9 060 15 059 17 111 19 138 31642 29986 17 072 15 079 17 073 13 086 12 123 29986 28253 16 071 15 068 18 064 15 067 14 063 28253 26445 14 080 17 065 22 056 20 062 23 063 26445 24557 17 072 22 063 25 053 23 051 26 055 24557 22590 21 054 24 051 25 048 24 050 24 057 22590 20540 20 047 22 046 20 056 21 057 20 071 20540 18405 14 066 17 068 18 061 18 073 16 084 18405 16230 14 091 14 101 12 089 13 072 13 086 16230 14137 17 103 16 105 11 115 11 082 12 070 14137 12227 17 103 16 102 16 105 14 101 13 083 12227 10528 16 100 15 105 17 118 11 124 10 131 10528 9021 14 095 14 114 15 142 11*149 10 151 9021 7680 13 092 14*129 13*150 12*153 9 143 7680 6487 12 079 11*132 13*152 12 156 10 141 6487 5428 10 082 10 133 12 153 13 160 12 156 5428 4493 9 107 10 133 12 154 13 166 15 170 4493 3667 9*132 10 133 11 154 13 170 17 180 3667 2927 8*150 10 132 11 155 13 174 19 187 2927 2273 7 155 10 132 10 155 13 176 20 192 2273 1726 7 157 9 131 10 155 13 178 21 195 1726 1307 7 158 9 131 10 154 13 179 20 196 1307 1019 7 160 9 131 9 155 12 179 16 197 1019 844 6 160 9 131 9 155 12 180 14*196 844 744 6 160 8 131 8 155 10 180 9*196 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography