DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.2 - - 76.8 - - 78.3 - - 78.0 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 34 - - 65 - - 20 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 849 - - 882 - - 1594 - - 1108 - - 725 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 727 - - 727 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1509 - - 1542 - - 2254 - - 1768 - - 1385 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1793 - - 1501 - - 1127 - - 1625 - - 2030 Hgt.Variab. W* 130 - - 135 - - 205 - - 128 - - 49 W* B/S 5 - - 21 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 178 - - 013 - - 089 - - 140 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 475 - - 550 - - 895 - - 694 - - 441 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1034 - - 992 - - 1359 - - 1074 - - 944 sfcLCL ODpotential 156 - - 212 - - 351 - - 220 - - -281 ODpotential blCL 1353 - - 1330 - - 1903 - - 1548 - - 1666 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 1220 - - 1510 - - 1560 - - 1880 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m 76.2 - - 76.8 - - 78.3 - - 78.0 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.7 - - 74.4 - - 74.4 - - 75.2 - - 74.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.8 - - 76.4 - - 77.9 - - 77.8 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 73.3 - - 73.9 - - 73.6 - - 74.7 - - 73.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 34 - - 65 - - 20 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 849 - - 882 - - 1594 - - 1108 - - 725 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 100 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 18 - - 18 - - 19 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98989 48 100 46 102 39 098 38 094 43 080 98989 91529 39 090 43 092 37 102 34 085 46 087 91529 85800 40 080 44 087 40 091 30 079 43 088 85800 81049 39 082 36 091 37 092 28 083 37 083 81049 76973 39 095 26 097 32 085 32 085 32 085 76973 73369 34 093 23 103 27 078 33 078 31 078 73369 70109 27 088 25 091 26 090 27 093 27 078 70109 67132 26 077 29 074 26 084 26 096 26 084 67132 64395 29 073 30 085 26 089 24 083 27 078 64395 61771 25 068 33 087 26 097 15 095 19 085 61771 59042 27 067 32 069 29 076 25 079 29 078 59042 56230 27 051 25 051 28 048 30 051 28 053 56230 53572 21 048 20 049 25 035 30 039 28 044 53572 51180 33 047 27 051 28 040 33 039 36 037 51180 49019 32 038 30 044 32 042 33 032 37 026 49019 47038 29 029 29 037 30 038 29 030 33 015 47038 45202 29 023 28 031 29 033 25 026 28 009 45202 43488 30 009 29 023 28 026 24 017 24 004 43488 41880 31 354 30 014 29 018 26 012 23 002 41880 40365 27 354 31 009 26 012 26 007 21 004 40365 38933 23 013 27 007 22 356 24 355 21 356 38933 37545 17 004 17 355 20 325 25 335 24 343 37545 36131 21 338 17 319 23 316 28 328 27 336 36131 34661 20 335 14 313 21 315 26 329 27 336 34661 33140 12 303 12 269 18 281 20 310 22 335 33140 31557 15 295 17 263 25 264 25 292 20 312 31557 29897 15 277 17 251 26 263 27 301 24 317 29897 28156 17 256 18 241 28 264 26 312 22 329 28156 26333 15 257 20 249 28 267 24 315 19 339 26333 24431 12 266 19 282 25 270 21 314 13 359 24431 22460 11 296 17 304 21 291 17 315 11 031 22460 20417 10 299 16 316 18 315 13 326 10 040 20417 18287 10 305 15 316 16 320 8 329 7 047 18287 16112 9 306 17 308 17 307 7 359 4 087 16112 14015 15 298 14 304 14 291 8 352 7 113 14015 12108 16 295 9 302 10 263 6 314 4 106 12108 10414 14 301 7 313 6 238 6 301 3 315 10414 8910 12 303 9 311 4 303 6 319 3 325 8910 7576 13 314 8 305 9 331 5 311 1 194 7576 6392 15 303 5 324 8 340 4 238 2 149 6392 5343 13 277 7 307 7 350 4 211 3 162 5343 4420 9 263 8 292 6 354 4 189 4 137 4420 3607 6 229 5 300 5 359 4 162 7 125 3607 2880 5 206 3 315 3*031 6 147 8 122 2880 2239 4 201 3 319 3*073 7*141 9 123 2239 1705 5*184 2*340 3 087 8*140 9*125 1705 1295 5*179 1*001 4 091 7 140 9*127 1295 1013 5 179 1 016 4 094 7 140 8 127 1013 841 4 178 1 017 4 096 7 139 8 127 841 743 4 177 1 018 4 095 6 140 5 126 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography