DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1336z - - 1604z - - 1904z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 85.8 - - 95.5 - - 98.6 - - 96.4 - - 87.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 292 - - 508 - - 428 - - 111 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2209 - - 5471 - - 7488 - - 7188 - - 70 BL Depth Hcrit 1963 - - 4668 - - 6218 - - 5119 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 2869 - - 6131 - - 8148 - - 7848 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1074 - - 1759 - - 1181 - - 1128 - - 2982 Hgt.Variab. W* 350 - - 569 - - 598 - - 378 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 18 - - 17 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 205 - - 197 - - 188 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1153 - - -584 - - 291 - - 195 - - -3745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4022 - - 6715 - - 7858 - - 7653 - - 4476 sfcLCL ODpotential -4029 - - -3317 - - -2669 - - -2807 - - -5621 ODpotential blCL 6898 - - 9448 - - 10817 - - 10655 - - 6351 blCL maxRH 78 - - 72 - - 73 - - 77 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 1370 - - 1800 - - 1780 - - 1290 - - 2190 CAPE Temp@2m 85.8 - - 95.5 - - 98.6 - - 96.4 - - 87.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.4 - - 68.3 - - 66.4 - - 65.2 - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 84.0 - - 92.9 - - 96.2 - - 95.6 - - 88.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.3 - - 68.1 - - 66.2 - - 65.0 - - 70.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 292 - - 508 - - 428 - - 111 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2209 - - 5471 - - 7488 - - 7188 - - 70 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98664 36 087 42 092 40 084 45 100 34 093 98664 91257 38 088 38 093 40 097 33 088 40 084 91257 85531 41 091 35 094 34 104 29 090 42 080 85531 80791 40 089 36 093 27 093 32 095 37 086 80791 76723 37 085 37 098 24 080 32 095 34 091 76723 73137 34 086 36 100 23 083 27 087 31 093 73137 69907 27 087 31 098 27 097 21 074 25 088 69907 66952 22 091 25 090 29 103 17 081 22 073 66952 64218 20 101 19 087 24 101 17 101 18 072 64218 61574 19 101 17 098 17 098 18 109 15 079 61574 58822 16 093 18 101 15 105 16 109 13 106 58822 55995 15 080 18 100 18 103 17 113 16 120 55995 53330 17 082 18 098 15 099 15 096 16 111 53330 50945 19 089 17 098 15 109 11 102 11 101 50945 48806 21 086 20 098 19 116 16 127 9 127 48806 46865 20 084 16 094 15 103 16 139 9 163 46865 45076 18 093 13 107 8 128 15 140 15 168 45076 43408 22 100 15 120 12 154 15 152 18 164 43408 41840 23 094 16 117 15 161 16 160 18 175 41840 40359 21 090 15 116 14 162 16 166 19 186 40359 38956 21 095 13 127 13 168 17 178 20 189 38956 37593 19 098 11 138 14 178 17 184 19 190 37593 36200 16 101 8 150 13 184 14 185 18 190 36200 34749 13 105 8 171 11 185 12 190 15 186 34749 33243 13 107 7 157 9 198 8 193 11 181 33243 31667 13 100 6 140 6 187 4 201 10 174 31667 30012 12 083 6 100 4 164 1 257 6 161 30012 28280 14 074 8 078 4 129 1 261 2 101 28280 26468 11 070 6 083 3 150 4 253 2 331 26468 24573 3 021 3 031 1 070 5 242 5 312 24573 22601 6 300 6 305 6 318 3 271 5 323 22601 20550 6 275 9 286 7 282 5 296 4 289 20550 18412 3 193 6 206 9 207 9 215 7 229 18412 16230 9 142 11 172 12 205 12 226 9 236 16230 14129 10 150 12 186 14 213 12 243 8 255 14129 12218 9 172 14 199 16 213 14 230 9 246 12218 10519 11 186 16 198 16 206 15 218 8 240 10519 9012 12 191 16 202 17*207 17*215 16 225 9012 7673 12 202 17 208 17*208 17*213 24 211 7673 6481 15 206 19*212 17 206 18 200 26 202 6481 5423 18 214 20*211 18 201 19 190 23 196 5423 4487 23 219 20 210 17 197 19 186 22 188 4487 3659 25 215 19 206 17 195 19 184 21 179 3659 2918 25*213 18 204 17 193 19 182 21 173 2918 2262 19*202 18 203 17 191 19 181 21 168 2262 1714 18 201 17 202 17 190 19 180 20 163 1714 1294 17 201 16 201 16 190 19 179 19 157 1294 1005 16 200 15 201 16 189 18 179 15 153 1005 829 14 200 14 201 15 189 16 179 12*151 829 730 12 200 13 201 13 189 14 178 7*146 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography