DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 61.9 - - 70.2 - - 69.7 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 193 - - 249 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 406 - - 1148 - - 2401 - - 2024 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1087 - - 2052 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1066 - - 1808 - - 3061 - - 2684 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 409 - - 521 - - 828 - - 1737 - - 1529 Hgt.Variab. W* 106 - - 251 - - 342 - - 59 - - 9 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 23 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 334 - - 255 - - 188 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1145 - - -1975 - - -2464 - - -815 - - -2069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2211 - - 3783 - - 5525 - - 3499 - - 2811 sfcLCL ODpotential -10696 - - -9695 - - -7991 - - -6130 - - -8453 ODpotential blCL 11762 - - 11503 - - 11052 - - 8814 - - 9195 blCL maxRH 100 - - 68 - - 78 - - 88 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 1030 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 61.9 - - 70.2 - - 69.7 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.0 - - 48.1 - - 48.7 - - 56.9 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 60.6 - - 68.6 - - 69.9 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.1 - - 46.9 - - 48.3 - - 56.7 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 193 - - 249 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 406 - - 1148 - - 2401 - - 2024 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 0 - - 11 - - 52 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96405 38 278 36 270 44 271 39 266 47 270 96405 89166 26 281 27 277 30 266 39 270 33 271 89166 83697 25 288 26 280 22 265 33 266 24 272 83697 79183 25 271 23 278 19 278 22 272 15 288 79183 75299 23 263 21 286 17 281 15 271 9 276 75299 71862 12 258 18 262 17 276 12 303 4 212 71862 68733 11 272 15 257 17 262 16 290 10 271 68733 65869 8 261 13 239 17 263 16 257 19 265 65869 63242 23 290 18 266 19 258 10 257 19 247 63242 60703 38 272 25 270 22 263 19 266 17 263 60703 58046 34 245 31 251 27 266 31 250 28 263 58046 55260 37 251 38 250 35 252 32 243 34 242 55260 52560 54 257 47 253 44 254 37 255 38 249 52560 50099 69 254 60 252 61 254 57 254 54 253 50099 47878 76 252 74 248 73 249 66 251 58 253 47878 45847 79 253 76 249 75 254 71 254 62 259 45847 43971 82 256 77 254 81 254 78 253 77 257 43971 42233 81 257 76 257 77 257 77 255 80 255 42233 40632 77 257 73 257 69 259 73 258 77 258 40632 39166 70 256 71 257 71 263 73 260 89 260 39166 37801 66 255 70 260 85 266 88 263 104 259 37801 36480 64 257 70 264 99 263 97 263 101 260 36480 35135 65 262 73 268 100 262 94 261 90 258 35135 33737 66 267 76 269 93 265 89 260 84 250 33737 32284 69 269 75 269 84 269 85 260 84 247 32284 30763 70 268 70 268 74 269 78 261 78 247 30763 29161 71 267 65 266 70 267 72 261 72 246 29161 27483 71 268 60 263 66 265 66 260 69 251 27483 25729 63 267 55 259 60 260 60 255 62 248 25729 23901 51 264 52 256 61 256 61 252 56 244 23901 22003 52 261 52 257 60 259 58 259 47 247 22003 20025 52 259 50 261 49 263 49 264 42 258 20025 17957 49 269 45 267 44 269 41 271 42 264 17957 15841 40 273 40 268 39 272 36 278 37 271 15841 13794 33 276 32 274 31 274 29 277 27 276 13794 11925 20 281 27 274 25 265 25 274 22 268 11925 10259 11 255 18 259 25 244 22 271 17 255 10259 8775 2 307 8 229 21 245 20 262 15 226 8775 7453 5 339 3 107 9 223 15 247 17 223 7453 6282 1 261 5 139 6 163 17 230 22 228 6282 5250 4 272 6 183 7 203 14 222 21 212 5250 4342 12 273 4 239 9 228 11 210 22 192 4342 3544 15 261 11 272 8*232 10 189 20 170 3544 2833 14 275 12 270 4*237 10*187 19 168 2833 2206 9 309 6*313 3 248 10*187 19 171 2206 1683 7 012 6*332 3 255 9 188 18 172 1683 1281 6*031 6 334 2 266 9 188 16 169 1281 1005 4*022 6 334 2 271 9 189 13 165 1005 837 4 023 5 335 2 272 8 189 11*161 837 742 3 022 5 335 2 276 6 189 5*154 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography