DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.0 - - 79.9 - - 79.0 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 97 - - -4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2212 - - 3399 - - 3017 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 2421 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2872 - - 4059 - - 3677 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1717 - - 2463 - - 2142 - - 1782 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 165 - - 303 - - 130 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 22 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 204 - - 136 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 894 - - 938 - - 844 - - -164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1978 - - 3121 - - 2833 - - 907 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 217 - - -161 - - -366 - - -1996 ODpotential blCL - - - 2655 - - 4220 - - 4043 - - 2739 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 1590 - - 2560 - - 2690 - - 2910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.0 - - 79.9 - - 79.0 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.5 - - 68.3 - - 68.6 - - 70.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.0 - - 79.3 - - 79.3 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 66.9 - - 67.5 - - 70.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 97 - - -4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2212 - - 3399 - - 3017 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 72 - - 64 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 8 130 14 119 15 139 7 165 98173 90740 13 134 6 156 2 166 8 083 90740 85022 11 113 13 152 1 203 7 048 85022 80300 8 069 13 113 8 126 4 099 80300 76241 2 131 5 015 11 065 8 116 76241 72651 10 118 3 244 6 042 10 080 72651 69394 8 124 6 167 5 293 5 020 69394 66394 2 215 6 163 3 213 4 188 66394 63613 10 223 7 230 6 278 2 231 63613 60930 18 226 20 236 21 249 13 262 60930 58128 18 198 17 216 18 227 12 225 58128 55206 22 245 24 240 28 236 24 239 55206 52428 35 238 29 237 34 236 32 243 52428 49949 35 238 33 241 32 242 34 248 49949 47741 33 243 36 244 32 249 37 246 47741 45752 31 244 35 242 35 251 40 245 45752 43943 29 243 30 240 40 247 43 244 43943 42279 27 235 30 234 42 240 44 243 42279 40732 30 217 30 228 39 232 43 239 40732 39285 26 214 29 226 36 228 41 232 39285 37923 23 226 28 227 35 230 38 226 37923 36604 24 232 27 229 35 233 36 222 36604 35260 27 229 28 231 36 237 36 218 35260 33860 32 223 28 232 34 234 37 218 33860 32407 33 217 28 232 31 221 36 218 32407 30884 32 214 28 230 30 228 34 219 30884 29282 32 216 26 233 29 234 32 223 29282 27601 32 227 30 236 24 231 30 229 27601 25840 29 229 28 240 23 238 29 241 25840 24001 22 227 29 238 24 245 28 252 24001 22087 20 236 20 246 25 257 25 259 22087 20092 18 249 19 253 24 262 23 267 20092 18011 16 261 18 265 21 264 17 276 18011 15892 18 264 16 275 17 279 14 278 15892 13851 14 262 17 255 12 285 9 270 13851 11992 15 267 16 262 11 279 9 267 11992 10329 19 269 18 264 12 278 11 261 10329 8845 19 272 18 264 13 280 11 252 8845 7521 17 263 15 265 9 275 8 235 7521 6346 16 257 9 255 6 249 5 191 6346 5309 12 247 8 251 5 198 6 158 5309 4397 10 233 5*238 5*169 7 153 4397 3592 9*223 3*216 5*156 8 151 3592 2871 8*221 3 210 5 142 9 146 2871 2233 8 222 3 204 5 136 9 144 2233 1701 7 221 2 200 5 131 9 148 1701 1292 7 221 2 196 5 128 9 155 1292 1011 7 222 2 196 5 128 9 161 1011 841 6 222 2 192 5 127 7 161 841 743 6 221 2 194 4 127 4*159 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography