DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.7 - - 85.7 - - 86.4 - - 84.7 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 180 - - 428 - - 337 - - 36 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1154 - - 1879 - - 2412 - - 2174 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 1031 - - 1827 - - 2163 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1814 - - 2539 - - 3072 - - 2834 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 387 - - 556 - - 707 - - 1626 - - 2105 Hgt.Variab. W* 241 - - 379 - - 381 - - 179 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 24 - - 26 - - 25 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 192 - - 191 - - 185 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 7 - - 9 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -8 - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1560 - - -3251 - - -2724 - - -1837 - - -2647 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3374 - - 5790 - - 5797 - - 4671 - - 3390 sfcLCL ODpotential -8077 - - -7226 - - -6741 - - -6359 - - -7475 ODpotential blCL 9891 - - 9765 - - 9813 - - 9193 - - 8218 blCL maxRH 95 - - 90 - - 92 - - 87 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 450 - - 1050 - - 1390 - - 2170 - - 2000 CAPE Temp@2m 75.7 - - 85.7 - - 86.4 - - 84.7 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.3 - - 62.8 - - 63.4 - - 66.5 - - 66.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.8 - - 83.6 - - 84.7 - - 84.6 - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.2 - - 62.4 - - 63.1 - - 66.3 - - 66.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 180 - - 428 - - 337 - - 36 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1154 - - 1879 - - 2412 - - 2174 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 59 - - 69 - - 49 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98294 6 241 9 185 10 205 10 295 6 348 98294 90886 2 061 7 171 8 197 5 286 8 022 90886 85153 3 110 8 180 4 202 3 303 2 359 85153 80381 5 144 7 175 7 190 7 271 5 280 80381 76272 1 121 3 242 9 188 9 247 6 258 76272 72644 6 235 2 289 2 346 8 164 9 196 72644 69371 8 211 4 247 6 322 2 008 7 185 69371 66390 5 071 9 230 9 304 9 272 6 308 66390 63652 14 319 4 263 12 250 13 277 12 304 63652 61037 28 299 22 310 19 300 24 308 20 315 61037 58320 28 279 26 291 31 292 27 300 22 298 58320 55462 30 294 26 275 37 263 40 268 34 280 55462 52729 39 289 37 276 41 273 40 276 45 276 52729 50279 56 282 50 281 46 286 48 284 45 278 50279 48073 71 279 65 276 65 275 60 276 55 274 48073 46069 78 275 74 272 74 271 69 270 69 266 46069 44244 82 277 78 272 76 270 78 267 79 264 44244 42569 91 280 81 274 82 269 88 266 87 265 42569 41010 97 280 86 274 89 268 94 265 91 265 41010 39547 96 278 88 272 93 266 95 263 89 264 39547 38166 97 279 87 271 91 265 89 261 83 261 38166 36828 91 281 84 272 84 264 82 260 77 258 36828 35469 70 283 71 272 74 264 75 260 72 255 35469 34057 55 280 56 269 65 262 68 260 68 254 34057 32596 49 274 51 271 59 260 62 257 64 255 32596 31073 43 267 48 271 56 262 58 256 55 252 31073 29473 39 264 42 268 50 263 55 259 40 246 29473 27792 34 259 39 264 45 261 49 258 32 249 27792 26024 27 251 37 267 41 264 39 256 29 258 26024 24177 22 264 31 265 31 265 33 261 28 264 24177 22252 21 260 23 267 28 268 29 265 29 264 22252 20245 18 259 20 265 26 276 24 267 32 262 20245 18155 22 238 19 252 24 277 15 262 36 262 18155 16022 22 209 21 243 19 268 14 249 39 254 16022 13962 13 216 24 214 17 248 19 243 34 245 13962 12086 11 234 26 220 18 236 22 231 26 239 12086 10415 19 246 28 224 24 223 26 225 21 236 10415 8925 27 236 28 224 28 219 27 234 18 224 8925 7595 33 224 29 222 33 215 32 224 18 209 7595 6411 33 214 30 218 35 209 36 212 19 204 6411 5361 33 209 31 212 37 208 36 208 20 210 5361 4435 34 209 32 207 36 209 34 201 24 208 4435 3620 34 209 32 205 33*204 33 191 30 193 3620 2892 37 208 30*202 28*194 31*188 34 184 2892 2248 35*204 26*195 28 192 29*186 34 180 2248 1710 29*199 25 193 27 191 27 185 32 178 1710 1298 27 198 24 192 26 190 25 184 29 175 1298 1014 25 197 23 191 25 190 23 185 24 170 1014 841 22 198 21 191 23 190 20 184 21 169 841 743 18 197 18 191 19 190 16 185 13*167 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography