DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 91.3 - - 89.0 - - 84.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 225 - - -5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2966 - - 5843 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2520 - - 4602 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3626 - - 6503 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2285 - - 1932 - - 7167 - - 2404 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 385 - - 447 - - 22 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 091 - - 067 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2303 - - -478 - - -5300 - - -4027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5929 - - 6982 - - 6044 - - 4771 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4558 - - -2496 - - -7074 - - -5940 ODpotential blCL - - - 8184 - - 8999 - - 7818 - - 6683 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 92 - - 70 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 200 - - 460 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 91.3 - - 89.0 - - 84.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.9 - - 63.3 - - 65.1 - - 66.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.4 - - 89.8 - - 89.3 - - 85.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 62.9 - - 64.8 - - 65.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 225 - - -5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2966 - - 5843 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 69 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98385 9 132 12 194 1 213 6 054 98385 90990 15 113 12 146 13 138 6 101 90990 85272 15 107 14 119 12 115 16 108 85272 80536 12 105 15 101 15 087 21 093 80536 76487 10 111 15 095 14 081 20 090 76487 72925 6 101 11 095 12 078 16 094 72925 69711 1 034 4 126 9 058 11 096 69711 66769 4 100 3 193 5 077 5 070 66769 64051 8 095 2 157 3 108 4 356 64051 61436 6 081 2 135 1 293 8 333 61436 58732 2 131 2 269 6 274 7 312 58732 55956 4 211 5 231 10 243 11 255 55956 53330 9 261 8 254 16 246 21 258 53330 50986 16 267 15 266 24 256 31 255 50986 48875 24 266 23 280 26 266 26 272 48875 46919 30 271 30 276 29 267 37 289 46919 45098 35 269 39 269 39 269 50 278 45098 43406 37 262 44 261 46 260 50 261 43406 41833 36 250 39 255 47 255 49 255 41833 40353 33 238 29 248 39 251 40 249 40353 38952 35 237 30 248 30 235 32 250 38952 37592 35 242 33 246 28 230 27 269 37592 36202 31 239 34 243 32 246 27 276 36202 34750 26 229 34 239 37 254 27 268 34750 33242 25 225 32 236 39 255 26 259 33242 31665 27 233 32 241 35 253 27 257 31665 30009 26 237 27 244 31 251 29 257 30009 28273 23 239 22 244 29 247 24 252 28273 26454 19 238 20 240 23 239 21 244 26454 24552 14 246 16 243 19 238 18 247 24552 22572 10 254 12 262 15 236 15 250 22572 20504 4 234 10 246 11 233 14 245 20504 18345 5 194 9 242 8 246 10 243 18345 16151 1 348 3 266 3 336 2 028 16151 14051 2 020 2 021 4 040 6 052 14051 12149 1 039 2 346 4 034 5 022 12149 10464 4 104 3 118 4 094 0 335 10464 8969 6 097 6 117 7 117 3 230 8969 7637 6 082 6*103 8 110 5 160 7637 6452 5 082 6*099 8 104 9 126 6452 5399 3 102 6 098 8 099 10 112 5399 4470 3*160 6 094 8 093 11 102 4470 3648 5*143 6 092 8 089 12 095 3648 2912 5 135 6 090 8 082 14 091 2912 2262 6 132 6 088 7 076 15 086 2262 1719 6 130 6 086 7 072 15 081 1719 1303 5 128 6 085 7 070 14 075 1303 1017 5 125 6 084 7 068 12 068 1017 843 5 125 6 084 6 067 10 065 843 743 5 125 6 084 5*067 5*062 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography