DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 93.3 - - - - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 255 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3067 - - 5210 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2627 - - 4182 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3727 - - 5870 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1466 - - 2440 - - - - - 862 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 401 - - 449 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 202 - - - - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -234 - - -121 - - - - - -447 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3961 - - 5991 - - - - - 1191 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2547 - - -1379 - - - - - -3911 ODpotential blCL - - - 6274 - - 7249 - - - - - 4655 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 91 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 2690 - - 2120 - - - - - 3850 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.3 - - 93.3 - - - - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 69.2 - - - - - 77.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.5 - - 91.6 - - - - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 68.8 - - - - - 77.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 255 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3067 - - 5210 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 63 - - - - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98721 18 093 15 108 14 049 98721 91303 22 104 22 111 14 080 91303 85548 23 110 23 110 19 095 85548 80770 21 107 15 115 20 090 80770 76674 18 105 11 097 17 092 76674 73065 16 105 9 093 14 109 73065 69807 13 125 9 103 9 115 69807 66817 11 128 11 164 3 092 66817 64065 4 109 12 166 7 304 64065 61427 3 360 6 144 10 243 61427 58695 9 248 5 295 6 269 58695 55888 4 322 6 308 4 331 55888 53233 17 319 18 312 16 335 53233 50857 25 348 21 342 17 349 50857 48721 32 344 25 342 21 007 48721 46763 31 336 27 340 26 352 46763 44956 33 335 32 338 26 335 44956 43277 37 332 34 330 26 334 43277 41706 39 329 35 328 27 334 41706 40226 39 324 35 330 25 332 40226 38824 39 317 34 330 22 330 38824 37462 39 312 34 328 19 327 37462 36073 39 314 34 324 18 328 36073 34627 39 318 35 326 16 331 34627 33127 37 325 30 329 15 338 33127 31559 35 337 30 338 18 341 31559 29907 20 334 20 343 20 333 29907 28172 18 284 15 306 21 323 28172 26356 18 278 18 302 18 315 26356 24462 15 269 18 295 14 332 24462 22495 14 280 21 294 10 003 22495 20448 12 265 17 302 9 334 20448 18321 10 270 14 305 10 326 18321 16160 6 294 9 291 13 346 16160 14082 4 309 5 293 15 342 14082 12190 5 315 3 311 9 339 12190 10504 6 285 5 286 4 307 10504 9001 6 256 8 268 5 259 9001 7661 9 249 9 249 6 231 7661 6468 8 247 10*229 8 230 6468 5412 8 245 11*213 13 221 5412 4480 10*238 11 209 18 202 4480 3657 10*224 11 205 19 196 3657 2919 10 211 12 201 20 193 2919 2266 10 206 12 199 19 192 2266 1721 9 205 12 198 17 192 1721 1304 9 203 12 197 15 190 1304 1017 9 202 11 196 11 187 1017 843 8 201 11 195 8*186 843 744 8 200 10 195 4*180 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography