DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 64.3 - - 71.0 - - 68.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 158 - - 376 - - 267 - - -14 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1020 - - 2240 - - 2845 - - 82 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2060 - - 2405 - - 726 - - - Hcrit BL Top 1680 - - 2900 - - 3505 - - 742 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 505 - - 483 - - 659 - - 3013 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 220 - - 383 - - 371 - - 24 - - - W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - - B/S BL Wind 21 - - 16 - - 15 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction 208 - - 218 - - 206 - - 183 - - - Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2593 - - -2714 - - -3160 - - -4773 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4273 - - 5614 - - 6665 - - 5515 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -12361 - - -9332 - - -8900 - - -10180 - - - ODpotential blCL 14041 - - 12232 - - 12405 - - 10922 - - - blCL maxRH 78 - - 63 - - 71 - - 48 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 64.3 - - 71.0 - - 68.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 42.7 - - 44.6 - - 47.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 62.3 - - 69.4 - - 69.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 42.1 - - 44.1 - - 47.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 158 - - 376 - - 267 - - -14 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1020 - - 2240 - - 2845 - - 82 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96845 30 261 34 276 33 274 41 278 96845 89612 25 270 21 265 23 281 19 279 89612 84075 12 295 8 283 13 277 14 265 84075 79477 10 322 5 337 6 346 7 266 79477 75515 7 341 4 352 10 008 9 006 75515 72015 13 022 1 118 7 338 11 006 72015 68851 21 030 13 050 5 067 10 011 68851 65956 23 009 20 035 11 083 6 014 65956 63271 20 358 28 020 16 045 10 032 63271 60666 22 006 34 003 27 019 20 012 60666 57959 26 355 32 355 28 006 19 002 57959 55154 28 348 28 345 25 348 24 346 55154 52471 30 336 28 338 31 333 31 346 52471 50045 33 335 31 336 34 339 37 350 50045 47858 41 347 38 356 42 351 49 360 47858 45888 60 360 58 359 61 356 68 357 45888 44111 79 352 73 353 69 349 67 351 44111 42476 81 345 77 353 66 351 63 351 42476 40948 83 348 81 360 76 002 65 355 40948 39504 83 348 89 005 83 005 69 357 39504 38135 74 346 93 006 86 003 69 358 38135 36803 69 354 93 005 86 005 69 358 36803 35439 72 360 91 006 81 008 69 358 35439 34014 72 357 86 005 74 007 68 360 34014 32532 75 354 77 003 67 359 62 004 32532 30981 74 355 66 360 61 356 53 005 30981 29349 68 001 56 357 56 354 47 358 29349 27637 58 359 53 351 51 346 46 346 27637 25848 50 342 55 348 50 342 48 339 25848 23985 45 329 54 350 50 346 48 340 23985 22047 45 331 48 349 49 350 48 344 22047 20026 41 333 41 339 44 345 43 354 20026 17920 33 330 35 337 36 336 38 346 17920 15779 21 340 23 342 25 341 34 352 15779 13726 14 357 12 012 16 348 19 358 13726 11862 10 029 7 020 7 357 10 336 11862 10200 10 051 4 031 2 306 9 338 10200 8723 4 112 2 113 4 230 7 296 8723 7411 9 175 7 210 11 233 14 264 7411 6249 8 190 11 217 16 229 18 240 6249 5221 9 236 12 222 18 231 19 239 5221 4319 17 244 16 239 18 227 18 236 4319 3527 28 235 19*234 16*215 17 228 3527 2821 34 222 17*222 16*211 16 213 2821 2197 32*215 17 219 15 207 16 197 2197 1678 28*212 17 218 15 205 15 189 1678 1279 22 208 16 217 15 204 15 186 1279 1004 20 207 15 216 14 203 14 185 1004 837 18 207 14 215 13 203 12 184 837 742 15 207 13 215 12 202 9*183 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography