DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.7 - - 95.9 - - 95.2 - - 84.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 208 - - 11 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6156 - - 6420 - - 6605 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5082 - - 5008 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6816 - - 7080 - - 7265 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2586 - - 4687 - - 5002 - - 793 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 532 - - 451 - - 187 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 139 - - 126 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 258 - - -525 - - -893 - - -2031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6559 - - 7605 - - 8159 - - 2775 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -396 - - -1293 - - -1974 - - -4828 ODpotential blCL - - - 7212 - - 8373 - - 9239 - - 5572 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 87 - - 93 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 1080 - - 750 - - 200 - - 2650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.7 - - 95.9 - - 95.2 - - 84.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.3 - - 64.9 - - 62.0 - - 74.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.4 - - 94.4 - - 95.3 - - 85.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 64.4 - - 61.5 - - 74.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 208 - - 11 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6156 - - 6420 - - 6605 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 48 - - 73 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 12 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98814 26 078 23 103 15 074 22 073 98814 91444 22 103 23 096 23 093 19 088 91444 85745 21 100 22 090 25 095 16 080 85745 80975 22 096 23 085 18 080 20 089 80975 76868 21 095 18 097 14 051 26 083 76868 73279 17 087 14 115 10 038 23 060 73279 70063 18 099 11 113 9 088 14 042 70063 67102 19 105 7 090 12 109 4 031 67102 64348 14 089 10 083 14 101 5 126 64348 61700 12 088 11 090 11 082 11 100 61700 58972 14 095 11 092 7 060 12 057 58972 56162 13 087 9 089 6 076 8 035 56162 53493 12 039 13 060 13 075 11 064 53493 51100 15 017 16 039 19 049 19 050 51100 48951 8 357 14 032 16 032 21 030 48951 46991 10 225 9 315 14 351 18 340 46991 45193 14 216 12 233 13 242 19 271 45193 43524 14 243 11 233 12 219 17 240 43524 41953 17 250 13 261 9 237 13 234 41953 40466 17 188 10 205 12 233 13 236 40466 39053 16 178 16 184 15 225 13 238 39053 37678 16 171 19 183 19 216 13 244 37678 36275 14 169 18 174 16 209 12 249 36275 34815 14 171 16 168 14 195 10 243 34815 33301 15 176 13 165 12 187 5 224 33301 31718 9 184 8 177 8 207 1 280 31718 30051 2 205 1 107 2 114 6 019 30051 28302 8 125 6 128 4 125 5 048 28302 26472 14 134 8 147 6 104 6 078 26472 24566 17 139 12 139 9 105 9 082 24566 22586 19 127 11 126 9 085 9 069 22586 20527 17 110 12 122 7 083 7 066 20527 18385 15 108 12 127 7 104 7 102 18385 16201 11 125 10 138 9 121 10 119 16201 14101 8 147 10 133 10 121 11 098 14101 12197 7 124 8 130 7 103 8 093 12197 10510 8 134 9 125 7 104 10 102 10510 9011 9 125 9 124 8 110 10 091 9011 7674 9*124 8*126 8*115 11 086 7674 6483 9*126 7*129 7*120 11 090 6483 5425 8 132 7 131 7 121 11 099 5425 4491 8 134 7 134 7 124 11 107 4491 3665 8 138 7 139 6 126 11 115 3665 2925 8 140 7 142 6 128 11 124 2925 2270 8 142 6 145 6 129 11 135 2270 1724 7 144 6 147 6 129 11 147 1724 1306 7 145 6 148 5 132 10 157 1306 1018 7 146 6 149 5 132 8 158 1018 843 7 147 6 149 5 131 6*153 843 744 6 147 5 150 5 133 3*149 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography