DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.4 - - 49.9 - - 52.6 - - 48.1 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 139 - - 71 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1049 - - 1673 - - 1853 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1316 - - 724 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1709 - - 2333 - - 2513 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 640 - - 632 - - 709 - - 1929 - - 276 Hgt.Variab. W* 135 - - 256 - - 215 - - 15 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 027 - - 036 - - 029 - - 043 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1420 - - -1986 - - -2062 - - -1930 - - -2855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3129 - - 4319 - - 4575 - - 2671 - - 3597 sfcLCL ODpotential -13593 - - -13773 - - -12901 - - -10400 - - -14126 ODpotential blCL 15302 - - 16106 - - 15414 - - 11141 - - 14867 blCL maxRH 75 - - 59 - - 58 - - 55 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.4 - - 49.9 - - 52.6 - - 48.1 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.8 - - 34.1 - - 35.7 - - 39.4 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 49.0 - - 52.1 - - 49.9 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 33.0 - - 34.6 - - 38.4 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 139 - - 71 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1049 - - 1673 - - 1853 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96168 27 260 28 263 41 270 38 282 41 277 96168 89112 26 278 25 278 29 280 28 276 27 287 89112 83651 18 265 20 274 20 287 20 282 16 279 83651 79080 10 275 16 262 15 281 22 294 13 290 79080 75127 16 291 18 265 16 276 22 280 20 287 75127 71638 19 277 20 271 15 279 17 275 21 277 71638 68479 20 267 20 260 23 270 21 277 24 271 68479 65564 26 276 31 258 35 259 30 273 28 265 65564 62849 36 269 40 260 39 255 38 271 35 270 62849 60210 44 261 46 259 44 256 45 267 43 271 60210 57462 47 254 47 260 47 259 50 262 50 263 57462 54615 50 257 52 263 53 262 52 264 52 261 54615 51899 58 263 57 260 59 261 58 265 57 270 51899 49456 66 263 62 261 61 260 64 264 63 273 49456 47264 70 260 66 259 63 261 70 261 71 270 47264 45276 68 257 67 258 62 261 66 258 70 265 45276 43468 65 262 63 263 57 271 65 268 71 271 43468 41827 65 263 64 267 62 271 68 273 75 275 41827 40318 58 255 66 261 68 263 72 277 70 271 40318 38895 42 245 60 255 56 268 75 278 64 272 38895 37544 42 282 48 276 52 284 77 278 61 286 37544 36232 46 295 48 284 55 287 79 277 64 294 36232 34896 40 288 42 280 54 280 80 278 65 294 34896 33506 35 289 38 280 52 271 77 276 60 293 33506 32064 34 308 36 279 53 268 72 264 55 307 32064 30555 36 316 34 273 52 265 74 261 67 318 30555 28967 35 310 35 269 51 265 71 262 76 320 28967 27297 33 307 36 271 51 269 66 265 74 320 27297 25539 30 298 36 274 51 272 61 272 66 320 25539 23696 28 281 36 276 49 273 57 278 58 316 23696 21773 34 286 40 281 48 275 54 281 55 305 21773 19767 37 293 40 292 47 282 53 283 55 295 19767 17675 35 288 35 295 42 285 50 285 46 293 17675 15537 34 282 33 284 37 280 43 284 46 291 15537 13479 26 278 32 283 35 278 38 279 45 292 13479 11619 20 279 25 284 31 279 36 279 41 291 11619 9975 16 308 19 285 24 278 29 284 35 290 9975 8522 18 322 11 317 12 296 16 291 19 283 8522 7235 16 304 10 324 10 315 8 314 8 258 7235 6097 10 297 5 319 8 309 6 290 7 246 6097 5091 5 042 7 091 3 101 4 144 9 195 5091 4209 14 063 14 084 10 081 9 113 10 155 4209 3436 20 053 17 067 11 059 10 087 8 123 3436 2751 24 045 16*055 9*036 10 065 9 101 2751 2147 22*039 11*039 9*032 9 058 10 093 2147 1644 17*030 10 036 9 030 9 055 11 086 1644 1258 15 027 10 036 8 029 8 052 11 078 1258 993 13 026 10 035 8 028 8 050 10 068 993 832 12 026 9 034 7 027 6*047 7*058 832 741 10 025 8 034 7 027 4*043 4*051 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography