DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.9 - - 55.7 - - 57.4 - - 51.9 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 57 - - 216 - - 103 - - -37 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 465 - - 1138 - - 1289 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1093 - - 725 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1125 - - 1798 - - 1949 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 342 - - 525 - - 876 - - 758 - - 1241 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 253 - - 207 - - 8 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 17 - - 20 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 199 - - 180 - - 180 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3841 - - -3398 - - -2584 - - -1922 - - -1645 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4966 - - 5196 - - 4533 - - 2663 - - 2386 sfcLCL ODpotential -16964 - - -12464 - - -10894 - - -11816 - - -10150 ODpotential blCL 18089 - - 14262 - - 12843 - - 12557 - - 10891 blCL maxRH 98 - - 90 - - 88 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.9 - - 55.7 - - 57.4 - - 51.9 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.4 - - 35.9 - - 40.4 - - 43.0 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 54.5 - - 56.8 - - 53.6 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.4 - - 35.9 - - 40.4 - - 43.0 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 57 - - 216 - - 103 - - -37 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 465 - - 1138 - - 1289 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 90 - - 59 - - 50 - - 81 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96242 19 303 17 303 22 269 31 286 29 290 96242 89237 14 009 3 001 7 302 15 305 9 332 89237 83816 5 021 5 052 5 028 4 294 6 047 83816 79328 4 057 12 025 9 035 5 009 13 018 79328 75447 11 057 10 034 8 041 5 021 19 007 75447 71974 13 050 11 054 11 039 6 008 15 002 71974 68793 10 045 7 047 6 033 10 352 10 002 68793 65866 9 026 4 333 6 353 12 337 5 331 65866 63180 11 015 5 328 7 315 13 315 6 299 63180 60605 11 000 8 325 13 317 18 314 15 324 60605 57933 16 343 15 317 20 314 21 314 22 323 57933 55151 18 312 17 320 21 319 20 324 24 318 55151 52464 24 308 22 321 23 322 24 320 29 314 52464 50017 30 301 25 300 27 304 26 310 31 314 50017 47801 30 297 23 290 27 296 28 306 28 311 47801 45774 27 292 25 287 29 292 30 295 27 309 45774 43903 32 283 31 281 32 281 32 282 28 308 43903 42167 46 273 39 269 41 274 36 278 31 293 42167 40554 60 266 53 264 49 268 40 271 36 278 40554 39055 75 264 66 263 56 258 45 267 43 257 39055 37653 83 263 81 257 72 253 54 256 47 252 37653 36303 81 262 87 253 84 250 62 252 45 252 36303 34938 76 260 86 254 85 247 65 251 43 252 34938 33526 66 257 77 253 81 247 63 249 43 251 33526 32070 60 260 64 251 61 247 56 246 43 249 32070 30557 55 263 53 250 44 241 46 245 38 248 30557 28974 45 268 42 250 38 235 38 247 32 255 28974 27312 34 270 35 250 30 238 32 251 27 263 27312 25570 29 259 29 240 30 242 30 252 23 262 25570 23749 26 249 24 230 33 242 29 256 23 257 23749 21850 22 247 27 235 34 239 32 258 24 255 21850 19866 19 244 31 248 32 251 32 253 26 256 19866 17794 17 232 27 263 28 257 27 250 28 253 17794 15679 19 230 24 259 25 244 25 245 28 250 15679 13638 20 232 28 240 25 226 23 245 23 250 13638 11781 20 233 27 232 25 230 22 246 18 264 11781 10127 19 236 23 227 23 236 20 252 17 279 10127 8653 17 239 23 219 23 241 17 254 15 279 8653 7339 17 233 26 213 24 238 15 253 14 275 7339 6172 26 217 30 214 25 228 14 248 14 267 6172 5144 32 214 34 214 26 220 19 235 18 240 5144 4252 33 215 33 213 31 216 31 229 34 224 4252 3473 30 220 32 218 32 211 33 220 37 217 3473 2777 28 222 29 217 29 203 31 210 35 204 2777 2164 27 213 25*209 26*193 30 202 34 198 2164 1654 27 202 19*201 22*182 28 195 30 198 1654 1264 25*200 17 198 21 180 25 190 25 197 1264 996 18*198 17 198 20 179 19 183 18 194 996 834 16 198 16 198 19 179 16*181 16*193 834 741 13 198 13 198 15 179 9*180 11*192 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography