DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 91.8 - - - - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 378 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2984 - - 3395 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2683 - - 2942 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3644 - - 4055 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 673 - - 956 - - - - - 3432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 452 - - 443 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 26 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 195 - - - - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1646 - - -1575 - - - - - -2249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5290 - - 5630 - - - - - 2992 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7426 - - -6409 - - - - - -8121 ODpotential blCL - - - 11070 - - 10464 - - - - - 8864 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 65 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 1430 - - 1670 - - - - - 1910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 91.8 - - - - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.3 - - 69.4 - - - - - 72.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.1 - - 89.8 - - - - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 69.0 - - - - - 72.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 378 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2984 - - 3395 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98992 29 100 23 089 23 069 98992 91446 27 106 28 109 24 061 91446 85631 26 097 28 104 25 079 85631 80833 23 094 24 101 26 100 80833 76736 26 094 20 097 25 092 76736 73145 25 090 20 088 21 083 73145 69913 16 078 18 088 17 086 69913 66943 9 106 14 098 16 089 66943 64180 12 148 9 128 11 107 64180 61513 14 165 10 176 5 133 61513 58764 17 168 12 194 9 154 58764 55954 12 136 14 171 7 168 55954 53319 6 359 7 078 3 134 53319 50971 16 277 8 325 5 016 50971 48858 17 269 12 288 8 286 48858 46924 17 291 12 297 8 262 46924 45134 15 294 10 299 6 306 45134 43462 13 290 9 271 8 328 43462 41889 12 290 9 235 7 301 41889 40402 11 295 5 233 7 266 40402 38992 9 303 5 293 5 239 38992 37623 10 326 5 307 4 272 37623 36225 10 349 4 030 4 308 36225 34770 10 009 8 051 2 016 34770 33262 9 015 8 045 4 101 33262 31684 8 009 5 027 2 141 31684 30024 5 350 5 275 3 265 30024 28286 7 222 11 254 5 324 28286 26467 11 232 11 274 5 328 26467 24571 11 276 12 286 7 311 24571 22601 11 301 9 281 3 280 22601 20553 13 295 7 221 1 262 20553 18420 14 249 6 255 3 277 18420 16242 14 230 9 261 1 298 16242 14137 13 230 10 241 3 211 14137 12219 13 229 16 216 11 191 12219 10515 15 217 21 210 15 190 10515 9002 20 213 23 216 18 201 9002 7654 26 220 27 221 23 211 7654 6457 32 221 30 220 27 214 6457 5400 36 218 30 217 32 205 5400 4471 36*215 28*207 36 198 4471 3651 32*205 27*198 38 193 3651 2916 30 202 27 196 38 193 2916 2265 30 200 26 194 37 191 2265 1721 29 199 26 194 34 189 1721 1304 28 199 25 193 29 187 1304 1017 27 198 24 193 22 184 1017 843 25 198 22 192 20 184 843 743 21 197 19 192 13*183 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography