DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.8 - - 84.9 - - 89.5 - - 82.0 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 174 - - 365 - - 229 - - 51 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2000 - - 2792 - - 3284 - - 1615 - - 1054 BL Depth Hcrit 1634 - - 2475 - - 2687 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 2660 - - 3452 - - 3944 - - 2275 - - 1714 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 483 - - 822 - - 2695 - - 1249 - - 1415 Hgt.Variab. W* 288 - - 412 - - 375 - - 181 - - 99 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 26 - - 22 - - 17 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 221 - - 213 - - 186 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - -4 - - 9 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 179 - - -847 - - -1330 - - -407 - - 642 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2481 - - 4299 - - 5274 - - 2683 - - 1072 sfcLCL ODpotential -5043 - - -4119 - - -3914 - - -3422 - - 44 ODpotential blCL 7703 - - 7571 - - 7858 - - 5697 - - 1670 blCL maxRH 95 - - 97 - - 81 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 760 - - 2010 - - 2830 - - 3160 - - 2000 CAPE Temp@2m 75.8 - - 84.9 - - 89.5 - - 82.0 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.8 - - 68.1 - - 68.4 - - 72.0 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.0 - - 83.0 - - 88.1 - - 81.7 - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.6 - - 67.6 - - 67.9 - - 71.8 - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 174 - - 365 - - 229 - - 51 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2000 - - 2792 - - 3284 - - 1615 - - 1054 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 89 - - 23 - - 35 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 15 - - 14 - - 17 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97919 11 292 11 318 5 288 2 258 13 272 97919 90536 15 231 15 244 14 263 10 264 7 285 90536 84828 12 153 16 220 15 234 9 243 6 247 84828 80058 11 321 15 220 19 202 12 217 5 256 80058 75944 16 262 14 274 13 204 14 202 12 252 75944 72354 12 221 14 266 5 216 17 181 14 226 72354 69131 15 267 21 252 23 288 14 266 10 260 69131 66167 19 296 19 278 26 270 23 279 17 290 66167 63448 30 298 17 287 24 284 20 281 19 278 63448 60853 33 282 27 271 19 286 24 253 26 278 60853 58142 41 287 39 286 28 272 25 251 43 275 58142 55306 62 289 45 284 50 278 47 278 56 267 55306 52584 71 282 67 274 70 273 71 266 62 260 52584 50134 81 280 80 271 75 269 83 262 78 264 50134 47968 92 278 91 270 83 269 91 264 91 266 47968 46028 98 275 98 271 92 267 99 265 101 264 46028 44257 100 274 102 270 101 266 105 264 107 261 44257 42613 102 274 106 270 110 264 107 264 109 262 42613 41068 105 274 107 270 111 263 107 264 109 262 41068 39606 104 275 105 271 108 264 105 265 107 263 39606 38217 102 276 102 272 105 266 103 267 105 263 38217 36866 102 276 102 273 102 267 102 266 107 261 36866 35486 102 277 102 271 99 267 104 262 109 260 35486 34052 100 278 100 269 97 267 108 260 110 259 34052 32568 97 280 95 270 95 267 106 261 106 258 32568 31022 94 280 88 271 94 268 95 262 97 258 31022 29403 89 279 83 272 93 268 86 263 87 256 29403 27709 83 278 82 271 92 267 85 265 83 255 27709 25938 77 278 82 270 89 264 82 266 80 256 25938 24090 74 277 76 268 82 260 80 267 73 258 24090 22167 72 274 66 268 71 257 78 263 66 259 22167 20162 64 274 58 271 58 253 69 255 62 259 20162 18073 54 270 54 273 51 251 60 246 56 256 18073 15941 46 267 51 268 51 252 54 240 46 250 15941 13883 43 273 48 261 50 251 47 243 39 250 13883 12006 39 274 44 260 40 246 39 238 30 255 12006 10333 32 266 35 260 33 248 31 234 24 252 10333 8845 26 264 31 259 29 256 24 255 19 241 8845 7521 25 271 28 258 25 257 19 277 16 238 7521 6347 27 272 26 263 22 259 17 282 13 242 6347 5307 29 270 27 264 20 255 15 271 10 240 5307 4389 33 259 27 258 18*241 15 247 10 235 4389 3580 35 241 24*240 18*223 17 226 8 244 3580 2860 33*228 24*225 18 217 18*211 7 268 2860 2225 29*220 23 222 18 212 19*190 8*295 2225 1696 28 219 23 221 18 210 19 186 9*308 1696 1289 27 218 22 219 17 209 19 185 10 315 1289 1010 25 217 21 219 17 208 18 184 10 317 1010 840 22 217 20 219 16 207 16 183 9 317 840 743 18 216 17 218 14 206 13 182 8 316 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography