DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1339z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2223z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.1 - - 73.3 - - 77.4 - - 73.1 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 186 - - 140 - - -51 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 748 - - 2924 - - 4207 - - 68 - - 68 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 2311 - - 3093 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1408 - - 3584 - - 4867 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1383 - - 1038 - - 869 - - 4234 - - 3480 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 331 - - 341 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 30 - - 30 - - 13 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 176 - - 185 - - 184 - - 158 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 23 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -5 - - -4 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 192 - - 139 - - 88 - - -2543 - - -1712 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1216 - - 3446 - - 4779 - - 3271 - - 2440 sfcLCL ODpotential -77 - - -670 - - -5475 - - -3798 - - -2989 ODpotential blCL 1485 - - 4254 - - 10342 - - 4526 - - 3717 blCL maxRH 100 - - 87 - - 92 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 40 - - 220 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 64.1 - - 73.3 - - 77.4 - - 73.1 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.1 - - 60.5 - - 58.8 - - 61.1 - - 62.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.0 - - 72.2 - - 76.7 - - 73.8 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.1 - - 60.4 - - 58.7 - - 61.1 - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 186 - - 140 - - -51 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 748 - - 2924 - - 4207 - - 68 - - 68 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 49 - - 68 - - 75 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97106 17 251 14 261 20 248 26 263 35 269 97106 89816 13 222 5 244 10 237 12 255 12 248 89816 84180 14 189 7 210 7 221 8 259 8 209 84180 79508 7 175 5 221 6 179 3 195 8 169 79508 75468 6 135 5 150 9 165 6 204 10 168 75468 71896 4 184 5 178 5 197 5 240 8 151 71896 68688 3 215 7 184 7 244 8 251 5 149 68688 65760 11 272 7 236 9 250 6 247 5 222 65760 63084 17 267 13 261 16 250 14 233 13 235 63084 60529 17 265 14 243 16 237 17 236 11 246 60529 57864 23 277 20 276 24 268 22 272 25 259 57864 55116 41 266 41 264 37 260 38 260 43 252 55116 52521 46 263 43 263 38 263 43 256 46 248 52521 50178 50 277 46 278 49 276 48 261 48 246 50178 48055 67 276 62 277 61 275 52 259 52 243 48055 46103 75 270 69 273 66 269 53 252 55 242 46103 44294 78 267 71 264 67 260 59 249 58 241 44294 42605 76 264 73 257 73 253 71 252 66 247 42605 41024 75 262 74 254 78 251 83 254 91 253 41024 39543 74 260 75 253 80 250 91 254 113 252 39543 38145 75 259 75 253 79 250 92 253 117 251 38145 36786 73 257 75 252 77 250 88 252 115 253 36786 35402 66 257 73 251 74 250 83 251 106 254 35402 33971 56 254 70 249 70 250 80 251 92 252 33971 32496 51 249 67 246 65 249 74 250 80 248 32496 30957 48 242 61 241 62 248 68 248 73 242 30957 29338 44 238 57 238 60 247 65 246 70 238 29338 27640 40 239 56 237 59 245 63 245 68 239 27640 25862 42 244 54 239 59 243 62 244 64 241 25862 24009 47 248 49 242 55 242 59 243 60 243 24009 22083 49 251 45 246 49 242 52 243 55 242 22083 20081 44 243 43 248 43 241 46 242 48 238 20081 17996 39 243 40 250 39 243 41 235 38 229 17996 15869 34 245 37 252 36 251 36 231 35 232 15869 13812 24 240 34 250 32 258 32 237 36 237 13812 11935 21 245 27 245 27 254 30 238 35 241 11935 10262 18 251 17 222 24 225 29 233 33 245 10262 8771 17 225 18 204 28 217 30 236 32 242 8771 7444 21 202 27 202 35 217 36 229 35 234 7444 6271 24 201 33 197 40 203 40 210 36 220 6271 5243 28 202 38 195 39*194 38 194 37 200 5243 4341 34 199 40*191 37*190 35 185 40 190 4341 3544 39 192 40*191 35 188 35 179 41 185 3544 2831 36 188 35 187 31 183 35 172 41 178 2831 2200 32 185 31 185 30 182 34 168 38 174 2200 1674 26*181 28 183 28 181 32 165 34 171 1674 1271 21*177 26 183 27 181 28 162 29 169 1271 993 18 176 24 182 25 180 23 160 23 166 993 825 16 176 21 182 22 180 19 159 20 166 825 728 12 175 17 182 18 179 13*158 13*165 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography