DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 93.9 - - 87.1 - - 82.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 232 - - 9 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3103 - - 5430 - - 483 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2644 - - 4310 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3763 - - 6090 - - 1143 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2988 - - 3384 - - 3794 - - 784 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 399 - - 443 - - 71 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 198 - - 209 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1728 - - -506 - - -2754 - - -1974 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5491 - - 6596 - - 3897 - - 2718 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3299 - - -1497 - - -4459 - - -4550 ODpotential blCL - - - 7062 - - 7587 - - 5602 - - 5294 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 80 - - 81 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 1580 - - 1860 - - 2850 - - 2700 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 93.9 - - 87.1 - - 82.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.2 - - 67.2 - - 72.2 - - 73.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.1 - - 92.3 - - 87.2 - - 83.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 66.8 - - 72.0 - - 72.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 232 - - 9 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3103 - - 5430 - - 483 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 21 - - 23 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98199 6 204 5 229 5 238 12 320 98199 90793 10 043 3 076 4 103 5 042 90793 85148 16 050 11 081 11 099 16 096 85148 80485 16 055 15 084 10 075 18 088 80485 76455 15 060 14 088 10 045 15 050 76455 72892 12 068 11 068 11 046 14 025 72892 69668 10 064 9 037 11 043 12 037 69668 66703 9 063 8 023 10 014 13 029 66703 63969 14 044 11 026 10 008 8 359 63969 61336 10 013 14 014 13 017 8 021 61336 58610 7 329 11 324 18 335 17 341 58610 55818 8 334 11 306 16 314 17 330 55818 53178 18 326 17 317 23 318 26 322 53178 50803 23 310 25 310 27 297 28 290 50803 48659 19 298 22 295 25 287 27 282 48659 46693 16 295 18 277 24 290 26 288 46693 44868 17 282 23 268 24 290 32 294 44868 43160 25 272 29 259 26 281 36 291 43160 41559 32 261 27 243 33 259 31 271 41559 40063 34 250 30 248 40 247 32 249 40063 38662 29 238 40 245 39 239 40 241 38662 37308 22 231 33 234 34 231 45 244 37308 35927 17 233 26 219 30 220 43 242 35927 34486 19 243 22 222 28 219 37 230 34486 32991 19 256 25 241 29 229 35 223 32991 31427 16 240 26 252 29 240 34 232 31427 29781 19 244 24 259 29 250 37 246 29781 28058 22 265 20 256 24 246 30 251 28058 26256 23 252 21 254 24 253 26 250 26256 24374 22 212 21 237 26 266 24 249 24374 22419 21 211 21 223 16 241 22 260 22419 20388 18 209 19 227 16 228 13 322 20388 18274 17 217 18 230 14 242 10 310 18274 16122 15 225 15 236 10 256 3 282 16122 14052 8 232 7 211 7 296 2 354 14052 12168 3 239 2 215 7 303 3 312 12168 10487 4 287 6 327 5 307 4 231 10487 8987 7 306 7 318 3 247 2 264 8987 7649 6 289 6 293 6 216 2 210 7649 6461 6 216 7*236 8 209 9 185 6461 5407 6 198 9*215 9 202 13 188 5407 4476 7*196 9 209 9 198 15 191 4476 3653 13*198 10 200 10 195 16 194 3653 2916 14 196 11 195 11 194 17 197 2916 2263 14 195 11 193 11 196 17 200 2263 1719 14 195 11 191 11 201 16 209 1719 1302 14 194 11 190 10*206 15 223 1302 1016 14 194 11 189 9*209 12 227 1016 843 13 194 11 188 8 209 11*227 843 744 12 194 10 189 7 209 7*227 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography