DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.1 - - 85.2 - - 87.6 - - 86.1 - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 125 - - 115 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 785 - - 3227 - - 3509 - - 1700 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 2362 - - 2472 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1445 - - 3887 - - 4169 - - 2360 - - 1000 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2045 - - 2151 - - 2235 - - 4235 - - 1843 Hgt.Variab. W* 135 - - 308 - - 302 - - 124 - - 39 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 224 - - 194 - - 122 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -8 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -224 - - 680 - - -150 - - -1316 - - -219 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1669 - - 3207 - - 4320 - - 3676 - - 1219 sfcLCL ODpotential -1405 - - -184 - - -1506 - - -2948 - - -1703 ODpotential blCL 2850 - - 4071 - - 5675 - - 5308 - - 2703 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 1490 - - 1980 - - 1610 - - 1680 - - 2650 CAPE Temp@2m 79.1 - - 85.2 - - 87.6 - - 86.1 - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.9 - - 73.3 - - 71.0 - - 72.2 - - 76.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.7 - - 84.3 - - 86.7 - - 86.2 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 73.6 - - 72.8 - - 70.7 - - 71.3 - - 76.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 125 - - 115 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 785 - - 3227 - - 3509 - - 1700 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 86 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 17 - - 16 - - 16 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99067 39 102 37 103 36 095 28 092 29 081 99067 91533 39 093 30 080 33 091 36 088 39 092 91533 85778 36 084 30 084 31 086 37 080 42 084 85778 81041 30 087 30 090 27 082 32 080 38 080 81041 76972 25 078 31 090 26 094 21 083 23 083 76972 73362 25 079 29 089 24 095 14 083 18 076 73362 70087 27 088 26 089 22 090 18 076 24 078 70087 67107 24 087 25 085 20 098 21 073 30 076 67107 64380 25 086 26 085 21 089 24 076 27 083 64380 61761 25 073 24 082 21 086 24 071 29 083 61761 59054 21 067 20 067 23 068 23 061 29 075 59054 56271 21 068 20 058 25 068 24 060 26 060 56271 53625 24 059 18 059 17 051 19 033 21 039 53625 51242 25 057 18 063 12 054 14 023 20 026 51242 49092 30 048 28 056 24 046 15 032 17 030 49092 47121 29 039 36 044 32 037 21 035 21 043 47121 45294 25 028 34 040 32 029 25 027 25 038 45294 43587 23 017 27 029 30 025 26 022 24 022 43587 41983 21 010 21 011 20 017 27 016 25 014 41983 40472 19 350 20 360 13 356 22 010 19 015 40472 39047 18 337 15 342 14 335 10 319 9 335 39047 37663 15 316 11 325 18 330 15 316 18 317 37663 36256 14 305 9 305 15 321 18 325 22 313 36256 34793 12 316 9 278 12 317 16 317 21 317 34793 33276 11 330 8 257 11 298 15 308 20 311 33276 31690 9 353 4 246 10 270 14 288 16 299 31690 30023 9 347 4 278 8 257 12 264 17 288 30023 28274 9 356 6 243 8 250 13 266 16 293 28274 26443 3 068 8 225 9 264 13 279 14 320 26443 24533 1 343 7 239 9 273 10 286 13 344 24533 22548 5 311 7 258 10 275 8 294 8 355 22548 20488 7 274 8 274 10 261 10 297 1 232 20488 18352 6 262 10 294 8 272 8 308 3 212 18352 16181 8 236 8 296 7 302 9 324 4 305 16181 14088 6 208 5 253 5 304 8 277 10 330 14088 12181 7 217 6 225 7 272 7 273 14 325 12181 10484 6 224 9 221 11 249 8 297 14 325 10484 8974 4 231 10 213 13 242 8 262 7 327 8974 7632 6 228 11 207 13 241 9 235 4 257 7632 6441 8 206 10 212 12 237 8 204 11 228 6441 5387 10 199 9 219 10 225 9 183 15 219 5387 4458 10 204 8*223 8*212 8 173 14 203 4458 3637 10 220 7*224 7*202 8 165 13 184 3637 2903 12 227 7 224 7 197 8*154 13 171 2903 2254 12 226 6 225 7 193 8*139 11 165 2254 1714 11*225 6 225 6 191 8 123 9 161 1714 1301 7*216 5 224 6 191 8 118 7 157 1301 1015 6 216 5 223 6 189 8 116 6*155 1015 843 6 216 5 223 6 188 8 116 5*155 843 744 5 215 4 224 5 189 7 114 4 153 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography