DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.0 - - 40.3 - - 34.7 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 185 - - -14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1669 - - 2326 - - 80 - - 79 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1233 - - 1865 - - 723 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2329 - - 2986 - - 740 - - 739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 538 - - 537 - - 2161 - - 571 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 303 - - 0 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 023 - - 018 - - 028 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1583 - - -2071 - - -3483 - - -2934 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3912 - - 5058 - - 4224 - - 3673 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17459 - - -16443 - - -19529 - - -20193 ODpotential blCL - - - 19788 - - 19429 - - 20269 - - 20932 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 68 - - 53 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.0 - - 40.3 - - 34.7 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.1 - - 21.4 - - 19.5 - - 18.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 39.2 - - 36.2 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 21.3 - - 19.4 - - 18.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 185 - - -14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1669 - - 2326 - - 80 - - 79 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96083 66 254 64 252 72 256 78 266 96083 89011 48 267 42 264 46 267 43 275 89011 83598 36 268 35 275 30 292 21 303 83598 79118 23 267 30 282 25 314 16 344 79118 75234 14 294 22 301 21 326 18 003 75234 71782 16 314 20 326 19 325 20 005 71782 68650 16 310 22 333 15 326 22 004 68650 65763 15 301 22 330 14 329 19 359 65763 63079 18 310 24 317 18 326 19 344 63079 60482 24 317 28 308 22 320 22 330 60482 57788 31 316 30 306 27 319 26 323 57788 55001 36 311 33 308 32 313 31 317 55001 52337 38 308 35 310 33 311 32 306 52337 49926 43 308 39 310 34 316 29 304 49926 47755 48 306 43 306 40 315 30 311 47755 45776 50 303 46 301 45 305 35 317 45776 43950 50 298 47 299 46 298 40 309 43950 42257 49 294 47 300 44 297 39 303 42257 40683 46 293 49 302 46 301 40 307 40683 39215 45 292 50 299 48 301 46 307 39215 37839 44 291 47 294 45 298 47 304 37839 36512 41 290 46 293 44 300 45 302 36512 35163 34 287 47 292 44 301 43 302 35163 33760 28 287 45 292 41 302 41 302 33760 32306 26 287 38 293 31 300 35 302 32306 30785 24 287 30 293 22 300 27 297 30785 29184 22 288 23 296 19 309 23 303 29184 27500 19 288 20 303 22 317 22 321 27500 25729 18 297 24 309 21 322 18 333 25729 23875 23 297 24 307 19 324 14 352 23875 21937 23 300 22 305 15 334 13 008 21937 19910 23 315 20 315 14 338 13 000 19910 17790 25 322 22 324 16 330 13 346 17790 15626 22 321 25 320 20 333 16 336 15626 13546 18 327 20 323 25 317 23 327 13546 11659 14 341 15 326 19 319 20 318 11659 9983 12 338 13 334 13 314 12 296 9983 8497 7 357 11 338 9 344 7 287 8497 7181 15 048 9 036 3 003 5 271 7181 6019 21 050 17 059 11 060 3 064 6019 5001 21 050 18 062 13 066 8 093 5001 4117 14 061 12 056 11 061 8 101 4117 3355 16 063 10*024 13 041 11 097 3355 2686 15*031 10*019 14 031 12 088 2686 2100 15*025 10 019 13 030 11 063 2100 1613 15 023 10 018 13 031 11 043 1613 1240 15 023 10 017 12 030 11 034 1240 983 14 022 10 017 10 029 9 025 983 828 13 022 9 017 9*028 7 015 828 739 11 022 8 017 5*028 4*005 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography