DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 87.9 - - 85.7 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 212 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1775 - - 3050 - - 581 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1507 - - 2477 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2435 - - 3710 - - 1241 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 907 - - 1936 - - 3409 - - 649 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 355 - - 40 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 24 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 190 - - 146 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -15 - - -605 - - -2638 - - -944 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2450 - - 4316 - - 3879 - - 1688 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2628 - - -2351 - - -5162 - - -4405 ODpotential blCL - - - 5063 - - 6061 - - 6403 - - 5149 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 83 - - 75 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 2150 - - 2420 - - 2270 - - 2150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 87.9 - - 85.7 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.2 - - 71.1 - - 70.8 - - 73.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.7 - - 86.6 - - 86.1 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 70.5 - - 70.7 - - 73.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 212 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1775 - - 3050 - - 581 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 32 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98191 8 122 11 123 8 066 10 023 98191 90844 12 100 15 110 9 116 12 027 90844 85167 14 092 11 080 12 104 17 075 85167 80440 10 095 10 055 14 072 18 064 80440 76385 10 087 9 064 12 071 11 063 76385 72818 11 071 8 101 8 084 8 093 72818 69588 7 070 4 086 6 029 10 060 69588 66631 3 014 7 042 9 034 10 056 66631 63906 4 350 9 026 10 027 11 052 63906 61287 9 009 11 010 13 351 18 006 61287 58582 16 347 16 354 15 345 21 352 58582 55785 26 320 28 331 25 336 27 337 55785 53134 35 323 39 322 41 333 45 336 53134 50765 52 322 55 321 66 331 61 333 50765 48630 66 318 80 320 85 323 74 327 48630 46672 82 317 87 316 90 321 86 330 46672 44858 85 316 88 316 92 321 97 329 44858 43165 82 317 88 316 89 320 96 327 43165 41575 77 316 84 312 82 317 92 327 41575 40077 71 310 76 311 77 313 79 324 40077 38664 64 306 68 311 72 316 80 318 38664 37297 56 308 62 315 60 321 78 320 37297 35907 49 307 55 314 51 317 54 322 35907 34465 46 305 45 306 45 312 40 315 34465 32971 42 310 36 305 35 307 32 323 32971 31411 39 317 29 303 31 301 32 318 31411 29769 32 324 26 294 30 296 28 312 29769 28044 25 322 25 290 27 294 24 311 28044 26239 26 300 27 296 25 298 23 311 26239 24356 31 294 28 305 23 306 22 317 24356 22399 29 299 26 306 21 312 21 325 22399 20360 24 296 24 308 21 317 20 328 20360 18238 22 280 25 302 24 318 18 333 18238 16080 23 278 27 287 22 315 14 330 16080 14010 17 281 21 278 21 322 13 323 14010 12130 10 269 9 274 16 314 16 322 12130 10455 5 231 7 253 12 315 15 325 10455 8962 4 207 5 253 11 317 11 331 8962 7628 5 235 5 260 7 316 6 321 7628 6440 5 253 5 255 4 313 3 281 6440 5386 4 284 2 188 2 295 4 175 5386 4456 5 294 2*158 2 173 8 189 4456 3635 6 263 2*172 9 166 13 203 3635 2901 7*231 3 181 10 162 16 190 2901 2253 7*222 3 190 10 156 17 174 2253 1712 7 221 3 194 10 150 17 168 1712 1298 8 221 3 198 10*147 12 165 1298 1014 8 222 3 202 9*146 8 157 1014 842 7 222 3 203 8 146 5*152 842 744 7 221 3 201 7 146 3*150 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography