DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1025z - - 1358z - - 1626z - - 1945z - - 2217z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 61.9 - - 66.1 - - 63.8 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 317 - - 295 - - -13 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 361 - - 2310 - - 4016 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2062 - - 3319 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1021 - - 2970 - - 4676 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 347 - - 1667 - - 1041 - - 4549 - - 137 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 365 - - 428 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 199 - - 186 - - 179 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2067 - - -2757 - - -2755 - - -6917 - - -3673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3088 - - 5728 - - 7431 - - 7659 - - 4414 sfcLCL ODpotential -13034 - - -11013 - - -10262 - - -14706 - - -13117 ODpotential blCL 14055 - - 13983 - - 14938 - - 15448 - - 13858 blCL maxRH 66 - - 50 - - 47 - - 45 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 61.9 - - 66.1 - - 63.8 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 39.6 - - 36.1 - - 33.1 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 60.1 - - 64.3 - - 64.5 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.3 - - 39.0 - - 35.8 - - 33.0 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 317 - - 295 - - -13 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 361 - - 2310 - - 4016 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97170 42 267 41 262 41 272 44 257 45 266 97170 89664 31 268 27 276 29 261 29 266 31 265 89664 83927 25 262 19 282 20 265 16 280 15 261 83927 79223 17 263 17 264 20 260 21 273 11 296 79223 75209 6 293 12 245 18 256 25 266 14 287 75209 71695 8 320 6 247 13 278 14 266 11 252 71695 68535 21 283 17 280 16 298 9 288 11 267 68535 65648 25 276 22 280 21 284 19 277 19 272 65648 62990 28 272 29 270 24 278 23 273 27 283 62990 60432 33 271 32 270 34 281 34 273 40 283 60432 57775 41 266 41 265 45 263 45 262 48 267 57775 55012 48 263 46 266 49 261 48 256 52 258 55012 52350 57 272 60 268 55 264 52 260 58 262 52350 49931 70 269 70 265 65 268 66 269 70 266 49931 47751 75 265 80 265 81 268 85 269 83 264 47751 45761 81 266 89 265 91 266 96 265 91 263 45761 43924 88 268 92 266 94 266 97 263 94 264 43924 42217 95 271 94 271 96 272 96 267 95 269 42217 40626 100 274 96 276 104 276 102 272 101 274 40626 39143 101 277 93 279 109 275 108 272 109 276 39143 37753 99 278 81 281 103 275 109 271 109 277 37753 36412 95 278 70 282 91 277 104 271 101 278 36412 35051 91 276 67 281 85 280 96 274 93 278 35051 33640 85 275 69 279 84 282 84 274 87 278 33640 32181 78 275 70 277 79 282 75 274 77 280 32181 30656 71 276 66 277 71 278 74 276 64 280 30656 29052 66 277 60 280 65 275 72 279 57 279 29052 27366 62 277 57 282 59 276 68 279 59 281 27366 25597 62 276 55 282 55 279 61 278 57 285 25597 23751 59 276 54 282 50 282 51 280 49 288 23751 21835 51 278 50 282 44 284 41 282 41 285 21835 19848 43 280 42 280 40 286 34 281 35 284 19848 17779 38 282 34 282 36 285 30 287 31 287 17779 15666 36 280 31 285 31 284 28 289 28 291 15666 13623 32 280 30 287 27 288 24 290 24 294 13623 11763 24 277 28 287 27 289 22 294 21 298 11763 10108 14 247 22 281 27 286 24 297 19 300 10108 8638 7 226 16 262 24 281 26 295 17 307 8638 7331 5 251 14 230 21 270 23 285 20 306 7331 6177 4 278 9 246 15 244 14 262 18 289 6177 5162 4 296 6 257 8*219 10 232 14 261 5162 4273 5 290 6 241 8*198 9 205 11 238 4273 3490 5 261 8*223 9 190 10 189 10 205 3490 2791 8 220 10*204 9 184 11 179 13 182 2791 2175 13 220 10 200 9 183 11 176 15 171 2175 1662 16 216 10 199 10 183 11 177 16 166 1662 1269 14*213 10 197 10 182 11 178 16 163 1269 998 11*211 9 197 9 182 11 178 15 162 998 835 8 208 9 197 9 182 10*178 12 161 835 741 7 208 8 196 8 182 7*179 5*150 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography