DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.1 - - 77.9 - - 78.8 - - 71.3 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 98 - - 283 - - 151 - - -21 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 623 - - 4215 - - 5788 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 3456 - - 4311 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1283 - - 4875 - - 6448 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 839 - - 1722 - - 1046 - - 4831 - - 209 Hgt.Variab. W* 159 - - 430 - - 389 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 148 - - 141 - - 101 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2340 - - -2157 - - -839 - - -4631 - - -3007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3623 - - 7032 - - 7287 - - 5374 - - 3749 sfcLCL ODpotential -6061 - - -8975 - - -7717 - - -10003 - - -13402 ODpotential blCL 7344 - - 13850 - - 14165 - - 10746 - - 14144 blCL maxRH 68 - - 91 - - 92 - - 61 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.1 - - 77.9 - - 78.8 - - 71.3 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.2 - - 49.9 - - 49.7 - - 50.7 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.4 - - 76.1 - - 77.7 - - 73.0 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 49.9 - - 49.6 - - 50.7 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 98 - - 283 - - 151 - - -21 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 623 - - 4215 - - 5788 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 63 - - 68 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97515 35 253 40 267 34 275 28 283 24 270 97515 90167 17 261 25 256 23 267 22 270 19 276 90167 84518 10 290 16 255 14 259 19 266 20 263 84518 79850 6 299 7 266 8 263 10 249 12 256 79850 75868 4 240 3 253 5 244 5 219 5 271 75868 72362 4 277 2 107 5 196 6 233 0 006 72362 69191 5 240 2 308 2 193 4 263 4 030 69191 66280 11 228 4 242 2 252 3 220 4 193 66280 63603 11 208 10 215 6 261 5 280 4 218 63603 61027 7 189 19 201 16 233 16 251 11 259 61027 58355 6 205 18 201 19 206 18 224 21 244 58355 55588 9 253 14 224 16 213 20 229 29 234 55588 52940 22 245 24 235 23 235 32 234 31 234 52940 50548 30 229 33 229 34 231 42 233 39 245 50548 48395 36 216 41 219 43 225 48 239 58 239 48395 46427 43 236 45 212 48 229 54 237 57 238 46427 44608 77 244 48 219 58 237 60 237 59 245 44608 42919 94 238 60 234 72 234 72 237 71 238 42919 41341 88 237 83 234 77 231 74 233 75 231 41341 39863 86 240 71 234 61 227 65 229 59 233 39863 38476 68 246 55 227 42 216 54 222 49 228 38476 37135 43 244 42 208 43 215 47 207 46 218 37135 35763 28 232 38 202 42 217 39 196 46 218 35763 34330 24 224 42 209 41 219 28 207 42 209 34330 32844 22 220 42 213 37 223 22 227 32 204 32844 31291 28 216 37 212 35 220 31 236 25 215 31291 29659 32 211 30 202 33 210 39 225 28 223 29659 27947 30 211 24 198 25 195 36 197 37 220 27947 26153 25 192 24 200 26 205 31 197 38 199 26153 24279 25 189 24 202 24 214 24 209 33 210 24279 22327 23 189 23 203 22 214 18 217 28 209 22327 20283 22 187 23 198 22 206 19 224 22 207 20283 18142 23 181 23 190 23 198 19 231 11 231 18142 15950 21 180 21 188 21 194 18 226 13 275 15950 13834 11 177 14 186 14 184 13 193 7 289 13834 11920 7 119 9 164 10 163 13 180 6 188 11920 10237 9 082 10 131 13 158 8 172 6 156 10237 8753 9 086 10 110 12 143 9 145 8 148 8753 7442 11 109 12 121 13*143 9 139 10 141 7442 6283 13 119 16 129 11*142 10 144 15 130 6283 5260 12 134 16*130 11 142 10 147 16 123 5260 4357 12 155 14*136 11 142 11 142 16 121 4357 3559 14 170 11 147 11 141 12 132 15 121 3559 2845 16 185 11 148 11 140 13 124 13 125 2845 2214 14 195 11 150 11 140 14 118 11 134 2214 1687 12*199 11 151 10 139 15 114 10 147 1687 1284 10*197 10 152 10 138 15 111 9 156 1284 1006 6 187 10 152 10 139 13 108 8 159 1006 838 6 186 10 152 10 138 11*105 6 160 838 742 5 187 9 152 9 139 6*101 3*170 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography