DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.2 - - 64.1 - - 62.0 - - 56.7 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 91 - - 157 - - 100 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 996 - - 2140 - - 2097 - - 1626 - - 261 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 1660 - - 1322 - - 711 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 1656 - - 2800 - - 2757 - - 2286 - - 921 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 358 - - 491 - - 867 - - 1226 - - 1942 Hgt.Variab. W* 181 - - 280 - - 240 - - 122 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 005 - - 359 - - 010 - - 020 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -7 - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -353 - - -245 - - -522 - - -456 - - -1195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2009 - - 3045 - - 3279 - - 2742 - - 2116 sfcLCL ODpotential -3237 - - -2811 - - -4137 - - -6987 - - -9952 ODpotential blCL 4893 - - 5611 - - 6894 - - 9273 - - 10873 blCL maxRH 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 110 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.2 - - 64.1 - - 62.0 - - 56.7 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.1 - - 53.5 - - 50.4 - - 47.5 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.6 - - 63.0 - - 61.2 - - 56.6 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 53.4 - - 50.3 - - 47.5 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 91 - - 157 - - 100 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 996 - - 2140 - - 2097 - - 1626 - - 261 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97007 40 260 42 254 48 263 54 267 51 265 97007 89807 30 258 34 257 41 256 46 259 45 268 89807 84244 25 249 30 258 35 252 34 250 32 260 84244 79576 25 234 30 254 31 256 25 259 24 245 79576 75529 19 238 24 247 24 258 21 266 22 242 75529 71958 16 254 16 265 16 258 19 263 16 241 71958 68740 18 267 20 284 20 277 18 284 15 267 68740 65810 19 272 22 277 25 271 26 286 20 289 65810 63119 23 296 21 273 24 267 28 278 28 282 63119 60523 29 294 28 288 33 285 36 280 35 272 60523 57814 41 280 41 276 45 273 45 276 44 273 57814 54999 51 278 51 279 54 276 55 280 55 277 54999 52317 62 282 65 281 65 281 65 282 64 281 52317 49908 73 282 74 281 76 283 77 284 75 285 49908 47757 81 286 80 285 84 286 88 289 87 290 47757 45819 89 292 85 288 95 289 103 292 100 294 45819 44048 97 294 94 293 104 291 110 291 105 292 44048 42404 101 295 102 295 106 292 106 289 103 290 42404 40862 100 296 103 296 105 294 102 290 100 290 40862 39406 98 298 101 296 102 294 99 292 98 291 39406 38025 95 298 97 295 100 293 98 293 96 292 38025 36684 93 297 94 293 98 292 98 294 95 294 36684 35316 89 295 91 293 96 292 97 296 94 296 35316 33893 85 294 88 292 91 292 95 297 93 297 33893 32419 81 292 84 292 83 291 87 297 91 298 32419 30876 76 291 78 291 76 290 75 293 85 298 30876 29254 71 291 72 291 69 291 67 294 71 297 29254 27556 64 292 66 290 65 291 60 295 61 298 27556 25777 58 291 62 288 61 289 54 292 57 300 25777 23916 54 291 57 289 57 287 50 288 52 300 23916 21972 51 290 47 292 49 289 47 289 49 297 21972 19944 43 285 39 296 37 293 36 290 40 295 19944 17833 35 281 34 293 29 300 26 295 26 291 17833 15688 26 273 29 288 24 305 21 307 17 295 15688 13626 14 289 19 284 22 310 19 315 18 295 13626 11750 8 295 10 284 17 309 18 327 16 303 11750 10082 8 349 4 310 11 311 13 334 10 313 10082 8604 10 347 6 316 8 317 10 327 6 307 8604 7293 10 316 8 310 11 312 11 321 6 340 7293 6130 10 293 14 307 11 336 11 000 7 356 6130 5106 10 269 15 296 14 359 16 014 10 024 5106 4208 12 269 13 300 14 011 16 015 12 043 4208 3424 12 267 13*326 17 016 19 026 17 048 3424 2734 11 272 16*357 18*015 19*026 21 043 2734 2131 8*302 17 359 17*013 18*023 21 035 2131 1629 11*005 17 359 17 011 17 021 19 029 1629 1244 12 005 16 359 16 010 16 020 17 027 1244 979 11 005 15 359 14 009 14 019 14*025 979 819 10 005 14 358 13 009 13 018 13*025 819 727 9 005 12 358 11 008 10 018 9 024 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography