DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1336z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.4 - - 85.0 - - 88.2 - - 85.8 - - 79.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 171 - - 371 - - 258 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2249 - - 3903 - - 5712 - - 4413 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 1794 - - 3327 - - 4576 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2909 - - 4563 - - 6372 - - 5073 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1560 - - 1441 - - 1498 - - 2692 - - 3866 Hgt.Variab. W* 296 - - 461 - - 465 - - 92 - - 12 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 072 - - 072 - - 072 - - 090 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -584 - - -558 - - 284 - - -485 - - -2707 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3494 - - 5121 - - 6089 - - 5558 - - 3450 sfcLCL ODpotential -2807 - - -2412 - - -258 - - -1450 - - -4481 ODpotential blCL 5716 - - 6975 - - 6630 - - 6523 - - 5224 blCL maxRH 84 - - 79 - - 85 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 410 - - 480 - - 590 - - 590 - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m 79.4 - - 85.0 - - 88.2 - - 85.8 - - 79.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.3 - - 64.8 - - 63.8 - - 63.9 - - 66.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.0 - - 82.8 - - 86.4 - - 86.2 - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.0 - - 64.4 - - 63.3 - - 63.5 - - 66.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 171 - - 371 - - 258 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2249 - - 3903 - - 5712 - - 4413 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 16 - - 41 - - 42 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98519 21 105 23 115 17 127 15 078 14 050 98519 91164 18 097 18 123 18 118 13 092 24 072 91164 85464 12 094 12 123 12 099 15 102 21 088 85464 80739 12 107 12 132 9 120 12 076 14 092 80739 76670 13 115 17 130 13 151 6 063 10 088 76670 73063 10 115 13 126 13 139 8 163 8 109 73063 69789 11 114 11 125 9 136 13 148 8 123 69789 66788 11 119 10 129 9 158 10 149 6 111 66788 64027 7 142 8 131 7 146 4 135 8 125 64027 61370 6 163 4 168 4 138 4 046 7 119 61370 58624 2 105 7 199 6 217 3 284 2 054 58624 55817 4 327 3 206 8 235 6 264 5 347 55817 53173 9 279 8 282 9 274 9 286 10 316 53173 50797 8 286 10 275 11 282 12 286 10 298 50797 48651 14 301 13 276 14 285 14 290 12 294 48651 46685 20 281 18 278 17 281 15 283 13 309 46685 44865 24 269 21 274 24 269 18 269 16 319 44865 43166 27 267 24 269 29 263 18 265 18 317 43166 41571 28 267 23 265 31 261 22 270 20 309 41571 40066 30 266 23 268 32 258 30 262 22 295 40066 38643 32 261 26 269 31 257 32 255 21 288 38643 37262 35 258 30 267 31 260 32 255 25 278 37262 35857 34 256 31 261 34 260 35 256 30 267 35857 34401 27 257 31 253 36 258 38 257 33 263 34401 32894 25 260 29 243 33 254 38 254 34 261 32894 31322 27 257 26 234 28 248 33 249 34 257 31322 29675 27 255 25 228 26 235 27 241 31 250 29675 27952 22 244 25 229 25 221 25 239 29 243 27952 26151 18 232 26 230 25 226 25 238 28 238 26151 24272 16 211 22 220 27 233 23 233 29 238 24272 22319 15 214 20 219 25 238 22 238 25 239 22319 20294 15 227 16 228 20 243 18 244 10 249 20294 18187 7 252 10 240 12 252 10 267 6 265 18187 16037 3 157 5 168 6 217 6 224 7 246 16037 13966 3 102 4 100 5 137 6 189 7 253 13966 12081 6 074 7 082 3 116 4 238 5 285 12081 10401 9 074 10 083 4 106 5 296 6 351 10401 8906 11 065 14 079 10 085 5 068 8 014 8906 7576 13 064 16 075 12 073 12 077 9 061 7576 6398 13 065 14 077 12*072 12 081 10 083 6398 5356 13 070 12*079 12*072 12*084 10 098 5356 4437 14 076 11*075 12 072 11*086 11 109 4437 3624 15*078 11 073 12 071 11 088 12 114 3624 2895 14*077 11 072 12 071 10 090 13 118 2895 2251 12 074 10 071 12 072 10 091 13 124 2251 1712 11 071 10 070 12 071 10 092 13 128 1712 1299 10 070 10 070 12 071 9 093 12 129 1299 1014 10 069 10 070 11 071 9 093 11 128 1014 842 9 069 9 070 11 072 8 094 8 126 842 743 8 069 9 070 10 072 6 093 4*120 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography