DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.9 - - 81.4 - - 85.7 - - 81.3 - - 78.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 131 - - 164 - - -7 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 883 - - 2096 - - 2945 - - 964 - - 803 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 1594 - - 2288 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1543 - - 2756 - - 3605 - - 1624 - - 1463 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1786 - - 1894 - - 2030 - - 2735 - - 1987 Hgt.Variab. W* 92 - - 272 - - 323 - - 47 - - 85 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 195 - - 182 - - 166 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - -9 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 487 - - 709 - - 240 - - -540 - - 406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1056 - - 2047 - - 3365 - - 2164 - - 1057 sfcLCL ODpotential -61 - - 201 - - -419 - - -1978 - - -10 ODpotential blCL 1604 - - 2555 - - 4024 - - 3602 - - 1473 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 85 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1820 - - 1780 - - 1900 - - 1920 - - 2020 CAPE Temp@2m 77.9 - - 81.4 - - 85.7 - - 81.3 - - 78.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 75.1 - - 74.4 - - 72.9 - - 73.8 - - 75.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.9 - - 80.5 - - 84.5 - - 81.7 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 74.8 - - 73.8 - - 72.6 - - 73.7 - - 75.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 131 - - 164 - - -7 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 883 - - 2096 - - 2945 - - 964 - - 803 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 83 - - 40 - - 45 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 19 - - 18 - - 17 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97742 43 265 32 272 27 256 30 270 35 269 97742 90453 19 259 22 250 28 252 31 275 25 270 90453 84850 14 261 18 248 21 243 19 282 12 295 84850 80175 5 273 6 236 11 231 8 270 9 291 80175 76127 6 227 1 137 4 203 9 211 6 224 76127 72587 2 276 5 138 5 137 8 132 2 164 72587 69417 3 227 9 141 10 120 13 085 9 080 69417 66520 13 174 12 156 6 157 8 133 3 099 66520 63860 22 152 19 150 17 179 18 180 15 192 63860 61317 21 133 22 147 22 170 18 172 17 190 61317 58668 6 110 15 161 16 179 13 172 17 190 58668 55922 12 228 16 212 17 211 18 194 23 191 55922 53319 30 206 33 211 31 207 31 206 32 198 53319 50986 40 190 42 198 41 201 39 209 39 206 50986 48880 39 186 43 192 43 196 43 205 42 207 48880 46942 35 188 40 192 41 195 42 204 41 209 46942 45142 32 189 39 192 40 197 40 206 39 212 45142 43458 29 195 39 193 39 199 40 208 38 213 43458 41873 29 201 38 196 39 200 40 205 39 209 41873 40379 30 207 36 198 37 200 39 201 40 201 40379 38967 32 215 36 203 36 204 39 201 38 199 38967 37599 36 220 37 214 39 212 39 203 37 204 37599 36204 39 223 41 218 43 212 41 206 38 208 36204 34749 35 224 40 217 45 211 43 206 39 207 34749 33238 29 226 34 210 44 210 41 204 39 207 33238 31656 26 229 29 205 39 206 38 201 38 204 31656 29991 26 231 28 208 32 205 38 204 37 205 29991 28245 24 233 27 221 28 214 38 211 37 214 28245 26420 25 237 23 234 25 226 34 217 31 220 26420 24520 22 224 25 234 28 236 30 225 26 216 24520 22547 24 216 26 219 28 227 28 228 23 211 22547 20493 28 199 28 201 27 215 26 220 23 209 20493 18352 26 197 30 193 28 210 25 217 23 215 18352 16170 24 189 29 196 29 208 26 221 24 217 16170 14069 22 191 25 194 26 203 22 214 21 211 14069 12155 17 202 21 201 21 197 17 208 17 203 12155 10453 16 209 18 213 18 203 16 214 17 194 10453 8942 18 216 17 211 16 208 18 199 18 190 8942 7601 20 217 17 211 17 206 18 194 18 188 7601 6411 21 215 17 214 17 204 17 184 20 188 6411 5359 21 219 17 216 17 202 17 179 21 187 5359 4433 20 218 17 215 16 201 18 174 21 184 4433 3617 18 213 16 213 15*198 20 171 21 178 3617 2888 17 208 15*207 14*191 22 168 22 176 2888 2245 17 206 15*200 13 183 22 167 22 175 2245 1708 15*201 14 196 13 181 21*167 21*173 1708 1297 14*199 14 194 12 180 19*166 18*171 1297 1014 13 198 14 192 12 179 17 166 16 170 1014 842 12 198 13 191 11 179 15 166 15 170 842 743 9 197 11 190 10 178 11 166 11 170 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography