DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.4 - - 80.1 - - - - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 139 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2399 - - 3604 - - - - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2051 - - 2668 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3059 - - 4264 - - - - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1401 - - 961 - - - - - 78 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 342 - - 326 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 084 - - 083 - - - - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5035 - - -5063 - - - - - -5654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8094 - - 9327 - - - - - 6396 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15109 - - -14674 - - - - - -16309 ODpotential blCL - - - 18168 - - 18938 - - - - - 17051 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 66 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.4 - - 80.1 - - - - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 42.2 - - - - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.9 - - 79.1 - - - - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 41.5 - - - - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 139 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2399 - - 3604 - - - - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97527 18 247 24 243 25 251 97527 90180 12 245 18 239 16 270 90180 84555 9 249 8 241 7 297 84555 79933 6 293 4 316 7 222 79933 75966 5 282 8 306 5 153 75966 72472 5 244 5 298 10 071 72472 69297 2 203 5 076 7 028 69297 66382 1 091 6 063 2 202 66382 63711 3 091 2 230 7 117 63711 61132 2 009 4 239 6 010 61132 58460 3 301 3 264 6 286 58460 55707 8 298 7 304 6 265 55707 53072 19 274 19 273 16 276 53072 50687 17 256 24 261 24 282 50687 48531 21 275 25 273 34 281 48531 46560 27 281 28 281 36 276 46560 44744 21 287 24 286 27 279 44744 43065 17 304 26 297 29 307 43065 41499 27 322 24 312 31 312 41499 40030 42 322 31 321 30 323 40030 38644 48 323 39 322 33 329 38644 37300 49 332 42 320 34 328 37300 35927 46 336 42 323 33 325 35927 34495 43 337 39 340 31 326 34495 33006 38 338 35 344 27 328 33006 31444 36 335 30 336 24 339 31444 29797 37 335 28 333 24 335 29797 28066 30 332 26 335 25 335 28066 26251 25 330 26 332 26 337 26251 24352 25 334 23 330 21 342 24352 22376 23 339 21 345 20 350 22376 20316 19 343 20 356 22 357 20316 18170 18 348 21 356 22 006 18170 15985 22 014 21 009 22 014 15985 13884 20 030 17 024 18 016 13884 11985 15 030 14 030 14 019 11985 10309 8 346 11 003 12 021 10309 8820 5 350 8 347 11 003 8820 7495 6 051 5 019 7 024 7495 6317 8 073 5 078 4 066 6317 5277 8 083 5 093 5 118 5277 4365 7 086 5*087 9 124 4365 3565 7*085 5*086 13 123 3565 2850 6*085 5 084 14 124 2850 2217 6 085 5 084 13 127 2217 1690 6 084 5 083 11 131 1690 1286 6 084 5 081 9 136 1286 1007 6 083 5 081 8 142 1007 838 6 084 5 081 7 149 838 742 5 083 5 082 4*155 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography