DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.8 - - 98.3 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 527 - - 459 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5740 - - 7713 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4896 - - 6430 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6400 - - 8373 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2776 - - 3326 - - - - - 4032 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 585 - - 617 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 199 - - - - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -12 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -641 - - 194 - - - - - -4971 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7041 - - 8180 - - - - - 5715 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2523 - - -1179 - - - - - -6951 ODpotential blCL - - - 8923 - - 9552 - - - - - 7695 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 63 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 1800 - - 1480 - - - - - 960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.8 - - 98.3 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.3 - - 64.8 - - - - - 66.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.9 - - 95.7 - - - - - 89.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 64.6 - - - - - 66.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 527 - - 459 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5740 - - 7713 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98951 29 079 38 099 38 099 98951 91511 36 112 32 101 29 085 91511 85784 41 107 27 101 25 080 85784 81006 28 098 26 099 28 090 81006 76892 19 099 27 103 28 085 76892 73282 18 083 24 103 20 080 73282 70040 17 079 19 080 15 093 70040 67065 17 096 14 099 16 087 67065 64308 13 080 17 090 19 074 64308 61651 9 080 15 073 19 065 61651 58915 17 086 17 068 23 062 58915 56113 24 074 18 080 23 057 56113 53459 28 057 28 054 26 047 53459 51068 36 054 31 051 22 044 51068 48912 38 038 32 036 29 048 48912 46943 34 035 26 042 30 049 46943 45122 29 038 28 045 27 060 45122 43423 27 041 34 040 24 063 43423 41823 27 037 28 034 22 060 41823 40308 21 030 22 050 21 055 40308 38875 12 047 15 053 17 057 38875 37494 13 063 7 078 11 069 37494 36096 11 070 4 034 6 064 36096 34648 14 079 3 173 6 016 34648 33150 14 085 6 152 5 008 33150 31584 12 103 4 117 2 088 31584 29937 11 119 3 101 6 113 29937 28207 8 113 3 121 5 108 28207 26395 5 088 5 040 5 096 26395 24503 5 006 9 023 5 067 24503 22537 9 005 7 026 5 064 22537 20492 7 339 6 332 4 074 20492 18363 7 286 7 282 8 058 18363 16192 3 222 7 236 15 044 16192 14099 4 184 8 224 11 006 14099 12198 6 206 8 227 5 295 12198 10512 7 208 8 226 7 240 10512 9010 7 182 9*221 12 233 9010 7671 12 162 11*214 17 231 7671 6478 13*173 12 208 20 225 6478 5420 12*188 13 204 22 216 5420 4487 13 200 14 202 26 205 4487 3662 13 202 15 196 29 199 3662 2924 13 203 16 194 30 198 2924 2271 13 202 16 193 30 198 2271 1725 13 202 16 192 29 197 1725 1306 13 202 16 192 26 196 1306 1018 13 202 16 191 20 193 1018 844 12 202 16 191 17*192 844 744 11 202 14 191 11*191 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography