DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.0 - - 89.7 - - 91.4 - - 87.3 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 137 - - 307 - - 210 - - -13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1145 - - 4413 - - 7641 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 3651 - - 5966 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1805 - - 5073 - - 8301 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1397 - - 5050 - - 2619 - - 8921 - - 606 Hgt.Variab. W* 220 - - 452 - - 481 - - 24 - - 15 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 191 - - 180 - - 173 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -7 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2375 - - -3390 - - -376 - - -6811 - - -3275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4180 - - 8464 - - 8677 - - 7556 - - 4018 sfcLCL ODpotential -4473 - - -5062 - - -1536 - - -8118 - - -5766 ODpotential blCL 6278 - - 10135 - - 9837 - - 8862 - - 6509 blCL maxRH 65 - - 79 - - 85 - - 68 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 260 - - 10 - - 30 - - 20 - - 820 CAPE Temp@2m 81.0 - - 89.7 - - 91.4 - - 87.3 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.1 - - 55.1 - - 55.8 - - 56.9 - - 65.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.9 - - 87.8 - - 90.0 - - 88.2 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.9 - - 54.4 - - 55.1 - - 56.3 - - 65.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 137 - - 307 - - 210 - - -13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1145 - - 4413 - - 7641 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 17 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98101 21 079 19 074 19 105 14 107 8 084 98101 90801 15 098 14 091 13 077 12 065 21 073 90801 85150 17 108 13 109 11 075 9 085 20 060 85150 80442 24 099 13 103 12 092 10 119 12 077 80442 76372 18 082 13 099 14 095 12 119 13 103 76372 72774 13 078 15 100 13 079 17 091 17 100 72774 69533 10 099 13 109 10 100 15 068 19 093 69533 66570 16 095 11 108 11 122 6 072 13 082 66570 63833 14 092 12 105 13 123 11 122 9 097 63833 61190 10 101 13 122 10 124 10 113 4 099 61190 58447 11 093 11 135 10 143 9 151 4 177 58447 55635 8 290 4 229 3 221 3 117 4 146 55635 52971 17 290 19 297 18 289 15 325 15 359 52971 50583 19 289 22 282 23 281 31 284 34 291 50583 48454 15 301 22 279 24 271 30 269 36 270 48454 46519 19 305 19 276 24 272 27 271 33 275 46519 44728 24 302 19 281 26 277 24 273 34 273 44728 43057 29 297 26 282 26 279 23 275 31 266 43057 41488 32 294 27 279 24 281 19 272 28 259 41488 40008 33 293 21 266 22 282 16 269 27 259 40008 38609 33 289 17 236 20 281 17 268 32 259 38609 37254 36 282 17 240 19 278 16 263 35 252 37254 35874 27 270 19 253 21 272 17 256 29 252 35874 34435 19 257 19 260 22 271 19 259 22 252 34435 32937 18 259 15 267 20 275 23 267 20 256 32937 31369 18 265 14 265 10 255 21 266 16 255 31369 29725 18 267 9 260 8 267 11 269 10 278 29725 28004 17 272 11 281 8 307 8 290 11 294 28004 26202 17 274 16 287 10 313 8 301 10 303 26202 24321 16 278 12 298 11 303 10 301 7 312 24321 22362 12 276 5 304 5 308 11 302 8 300 22362 20320 11 233 8 239 8 289 8 297 6 301 20320 18196 11 201 11 226 11 281 9 313 6 348 18196 16031 6 157 6 214 8 272 10 321 12 357 16031 13944 5 097 2 121 1 282 7 294 8 343 13944 12057 6 110 4 148 1 190 3 266 5 357 12057 10390 5 142 10 161 6 169 8 182 3 267 10390 8910 6 197 10 174 7*180 9 177 8 217 8910 7591 14 193 12 190 8*181 9 180 10 205 7591 6416 18 185 13 188 9 180 9 182 11 195 6416 5372 19 182 13*189 9 179 9 178 11 181 5372 4450 17 177 13*191 10 179 9 176 11 169 4450 3633 16 176 12 192 10 179 10 173 11 161 3633 2902 15 187 11 192 10 180 10 171 12 153 2902 2254 13*219 11 191 10 181 10 171 14 144 2254 1714 11*225 11 190 10 182 10 172 16 137 1714 1300 10 225 10 189 10 183 10 173 16 131 1300 1014 9 225 10 189 10 183 9 174 13 127 1014 842 8 225 10 189 10 184 8*175 10 125 842 743 8 224 9 189 9 184 6*173 4*121 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography