DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 89.8 - - 85.1 - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 330 - - 42 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3928 - - 3678 - - 1974 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3386 - - 3115 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4588 - - 4338 - - 2634 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1133 - - 1203 - - 1602 - - 470 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 480 - - 436 - - 183 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 21 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 190 - - 180 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -10 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2856 - - -3384 - - -3343 - - -2800 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7444 - - 7723 - - 5977 - - 3543 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7364 - - -7221 - - -8027 - - -9035 ODpotential blCL - - - 11952 - - 11559 - - 10661 - - 9778 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 63 - - 77 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 860 - - 1000 - - 1020 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 89.8 - - 85.1 - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.3 - - 58.5 - - 61.5 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.0 - - 87.9 - - 84.8 - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 58.0 - - 61.2 - - 63.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 415 - - 330 - - 42 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3928 - - 3678 - - 1974 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98156 11 204 9 220 7 284 5 262 98156 90743 8 234 8 197 8 306 1 352 90743 85039 5 164 6 182 8 283 4 033 85039 80268 2 142 7 186 12 229 5 288 80268 76150 3 253 2 226 5 204 5 278 76150 72532 8 258 5 308 2 351 5 286 72532 69275 6 255 7 287 6 342 5 320 69275 66293 5 347 11 270 11 295 10 331 66293 63549 14 336 8 300 9 275 12 293 63549 60927 23 299 20 311 14 308 13 284 60927 58208 29 289 27 306 26 315 22 298 58208 55383 38 291 41 291 41 292 38 296 55383 52681 50 289 50 288 45 292 48 291 52681 50247 54 285 54 287 55 287 59 284 50247 48065 60 286 55 288 59 286 61 280 48065 46091 61 286 58 288 63 288 58 285 46091 44287 53 284 57 286 67 287 60 292 44287 42624 45 285 53 284 66 283 65 292 42624 41076 44 285 51 282 62 281 68 290 41076 39623 41 288 48 281 58 283 68 288 39623 38249 40 293 45 285 56 286 66 287 38249 36916 39 289 46 291 57 290 63 289 36916 35556 37 288 45 293 56 293 62 292 35556 34139 30 284 39 290 54 296 58 294 34139 32674 29 280 38 288 52 299 47 299 32674 31146 29 282 38 284 45 296 37 295 31146 29536 26 286 36 275 41 290 32 284 29536 27841 24 284 37 274 41 284 30 280 27841 26065 24 266 34 279 35 279 28 286 26065 24214 22 254 29 270 29 283 26 297 24214 22289 18 255 22 240 27 283 22 293 22289 20283 13 252 17 226 25 247 19 291 20283 18191 1 284 17 203 20 229 21 276 18191 16056 1 187 17 201 22 210 25 233 16056 13993 6 226 16 225 26 209 30 210 13993 12110 13 251 18 241 25 219 32 213 12110 10428 18 259 20 247 26 230 31 218 10428 8930 20 257 18 252 26 236 32 226 8930 7595 12 241 12 237 26 235 33 231 7595 6408 15 207 14 204 22 224 30 228 6408 5356 18*197 16 203 19 204 26 212 5356 4431 16*195 16*199 21 193 30 201 4431 3618 16 194 16*196 23 188 33 191 3618 2891 16 193 17 191 24*184 33 186 2891 2247 16 192 17 189 23*181 33 185 2247 1709 15 192 17 188 22 180 31 185 1709 1296 15 192 17 188 21 179 28 184 1296 1013 14 191 16 188 20 179 20 183 1013 841 14 191 15 188 18 179 17 182 841 743 12 191 14 188 14 179 9*181 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography