DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 72.2 - - 67.3 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 277 - - 222 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1647 - - 3022 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1538 - - 2460 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2307 - - 3682 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 751 - - 1117 - - 1802 - - 103 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 355 - - 11 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 230 - - 167 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2848 - - -3916 - - -4575 - - -3008 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5155 - - 7598 - - 5317 - - 3750 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10935 - - -10045 - - -10912 - - -11584 ODpotential blCL - - - 13242 - - 13727 - - 11654 - - 12326 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 65 - - 61 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 72.2 - - 67.3 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 41.8 - - 47.0 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 70.7 - - 68.8 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 41.7 - - 46.9 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 277 - - 222 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1647 - - 3022 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96207 5 314 11 027 2 059 10 080 96207 89192 16 077 17 071 11 064 20 060 89192 83753 16 064 16 096 10 083 20 062 83753 79205 16 068 15 094 9 095 14 065 79205 75269 13 053 11 067 10 072 14 067 75269 71786 6 032 4 039 4 317 10 024 71786 68644 8 331 8 312 12 319 15 319 68644 65780 17 303 14 290 17 303 15 303 65780 63135 36 306 30 300 30 301 27 306 63135 60596 38 289 41 290 36 286 35 291 60596 57954 41 287 50 290 49 292 53 294 57954 55198 56 285 72 285 72 291 67 283 55198 52547 65 279 81 285 78 286 71 277 52547 50128 76 288 80 279 77 279 76 274 50128 47928 86 285 88 271 83 274 83 273 47928 45918 91 274 97 268 92 267 93 269 45918 44071 99 269 104 264 101 263 106 265 44071 42370 108 268 108 265 108 263 113 264 42370 40798 116 269 107 268 102 266 105 267 40798 39335 102 270 93 269 87 271 98 271 39335 37962 85 269 82 273 80 274 89 273 37962 36635 72 274 78 278 76 277 83 275 36635 35281 70 275 75 281 73 277 80 277 35281 33868 72 279 75 280 74 277 80 277 33868 32400 71 281 75 280 76 277 80 276 32400 30860 66 280 70 280 78 276 80 276 30860 29244 64 279 67 279 72 280 77 276 29244 27552 67 280 67 280 69 279 74 277 27552 25784 73 280 71 282 65 275 74 279 25784 23939 69 281 70 283 59 280 67 281 23939 22020 53 279 59 280 51 282 56 278 22020 20021 47 276 47 270 51 276 49 273 20021 17932 42 276 47 269 49 274 47 281 17932 15796 34 282 41 283 41 288 40 294 15796 13735 26 290 28 288 27 302 28 307 13735 11862 19 279 22 278 22 300 17 300 11862 10200 9 262 16 265 17 287 14 285 10200 8728 6 271 10 262 12 275 10 288 8728 7421 8 274 8 273 9 269 8 283 7421 6262 14 285 12 284 11 268 10 268 6262 5237 21 288 17 280 15 253 14 248 5237 4335 20 281 14*270 16 240 16 232 4335 3540 15 264 9*245 15 230 16 220 3540 2829 10*257 9 236 13 222 15 203 2829 2201 4*226 8 229 12 209 17 188 2201 1678 3 210 8 225 11 189 18 178 1678 1278 3 207 8 222 11 176 18 174 1278 1003 3 202 8 220 9 171 17 172 1003 837 3 202 8 219 8 169 11*167 837 742 2 199 7 219 5*167 5*161 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography