DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.6 - - 95.7 - - 95.0 - - 87.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 318 - - 28 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4456 - - 5720 - - 2950 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3784 - - 4684 - - 727 - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5116 - - 6380 - - 3610 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3013 - - 2387 - - 4665 - - 348 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 499 - - 189 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 202 - - 185 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -14 - - -13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -896 - - -529 - - -3630 - - -4350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6012 - - 6909 - - 7240 - - 5094 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2111 - - -2354 - - -5688 - - -7255 ODpotential blCL - - - 7227 - - 8734 - - 9298 - - 7999 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 68 - - 66 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 1830 - - 1670 - - 1210 - - 1220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.6 - - 95.7 - - 95.0 - - 87.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.7 - - 67.9 - - 65.9 - - 68.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.3 - - 93.9 - - 94.8 - - 89.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 67.4 - - 65.5 - - 67.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 318 - - 28 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4456 - - 5720 - - 2950 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99125 39 099 40 086 36 097 42 076 99125 91666 49 102 41 104 36 088 33 081 91666 85916 44 088 38 101 37 090 38 086 85916 81154 36 076 33 089 37 094 36 089 81154 77057 28 090 23 079 29 089 33 091 77057 73446 22 109 22 101 21 071 29 085 73446 70183 20 108 19 117 14 069 24 077 70183 67189 15 089 15 129 9 075 17 052 67189 64420 13 104 12 114 7 109 12 049 64420 61758 18 105 9 087 9 128 6 115 61758 59016 21 099 7 098 11 114 7 144 59016 56194 7 101 12 142 11 104 11 106 56194 53515 4 220 12 148 8 124 11 095 53515 51111 6 184 9 152 9 178 4 141 51111 48958 10 151 13 139 17 165 14 175 48958 47003 11 133 15 122 23 150 22 175 47003 45204 13 141 19 121 22 132 27 172 45204 43527 17 148 18 136 17 129 27 152 43527 41959 21 152 20 157 16 136 21 139 41959 40482 22 159 21 166 14 137 16 130 40482 39083 21 167 18 172 13 137 12 130 39083 37723 20 173 17 175 13 141 10 124 37723 36334 20 176 17 174 12 148 10 116 36334 34888 18 175 16 171 12 155 11 118 34888 33385 15 171 15 167 12 156 11 120 33385 31812 13 156 15 163 11 152 11 114 31812 30155 14 149 15 162 10 152 10 105 30155 28417 14 151 15 159 10 149 9 106 28417 26595 14 155 13 156 9 138 7 115 26595 24694 14 157 8 161 6 132 5 135 24694 22717 10 171 6 194 2 163 3 142 22717 20657 9 181 7 204 4 224 1 180 20657 18506 9 187 6 184 7 203 3 161 18506 16310 13 199 7 198 8 220 3 138 16310 14193 14 208 10 217 10 241 2 274 14193 12271 16 211 16 211 12 219 8 242 12271 10567 14 220 19 209 14 206 10 219 10567 9055 10 216 17 212 12 217 11 206 9055 7709 9 207 16 220 12 226 14 204 7709 6511 12 206 16*216 13 222 16 204 6511 5448 13*206 16*212 14 214 18 204 5448 4509 13*203 17 209 15 202 19 203 4509 3680 13 201 17 204 16*193 19 202 3680 2936 13 199 17 200 17*187 19 203 2936 2279 13 199 18 199 17 185 18 203 2279 1731 13 198 18 197 17 184 17 201 1731 1309 13 197 17 197 16 184 16 198 1309 1020 12 196 17 196 16 184 13 192 1020 844 12 196 16 196 15 184 11*189 844 744 11 196 14 195 12 183 4*183 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography