DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1334z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.9 - - 38.5 - - 40.8 - - 35.8 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 311 - - 266 - - -6 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2157 - - 3228 - - 3742 - - 2080 - - 65 BL Depth Hcrit 1232 - - 2746 - - 3066 - - 709 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top 2817 - - 3888 - - 4402 - - 2740 - - 725 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1118 - - 482 - - 729 - - 1743 - - 2643 Hgt.Variab. W* 233 - - 407 - - 403 - - 49 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 38 - - 38 - - 36 - - 26 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 337 - - 341 - - 348 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 25 - - 26 - - 25 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -5 - - -9 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 952 - - 288 - - -187 - - -880 - - -2246 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1865 - - 3600 - - 4590 - - 3620 - - 2971 sfcLCL ODpotential 584 - - -9945 - - -391 - - -11566 - - -14990 ODpotential blCL 2233 - - 13833 - - 4793 - - 14306 - - 15715 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 96 - - 87 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.9 - - 38.5 - - 40.8 - - 35.8 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.6 - - 25.4 - - 23.4 - - 22.9 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.6 - - 37.3 - - 39.7 - - 36.0 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.9 - - 24.6 - - 23.1 - - 22.8 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 311 - - 266 - - -6 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2157 - - 3228 - - 3742 - - 2080 - - 65 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 74 - - 83 - - 48 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95485 53 272 55 265 52 256 62 263 60 270 95485 88179 39 272 40 256 44 255 47 273 44 271 88179 82738 30 277 28 261 37 258 37 272 27 267 82738 78301 23 267 23 268 34 265 33 279 16 267 78301 74497 17 264 20 267 28 267 28 282 15 288 74497 71150 16 281 19 268 20 266 22 276 16 289 71150 68124 13 276 12 267 11 275 17 282 15 284 68124 65318 14 286 16 291 14 293 17 280 14 288 65318 62683 23 276 23 275 11 267 14 261 24 300 62683 60108 21 248 19 278 21 308 31 286 34 291 60108 57398 34 288 34 287 41 276 30 272 32 286 57398 54547 43 263 39 264 34 275 42 285 31 300 54547 51786 35 241 30 252 50 291 53 288 53 308 51786 49287 25 260 44 289 58 288 49 292 66 298 49287 47047 54 286 57 283 57 288 59 299 65 292 47047 45008 69 276 55 278 51 286 62 297 58 290 45008 43131 68 268 52 275 44 289 53 301 48 297 43131 41392 60 265 50 277 42 298 54 309 46 317 41392 39774 57 267 51 279 46 302 61 316 54 329 39774 38269 60 267 53 278 47 298 62 318 70 329 38269 36874 63 265 51 281 45 297 55 321 80 327 36874 35553 62 264 48 288 43 306 55 335 74 322 35553 34224 58 265 45 296 44 314 61 342 64 337 34224 32854 53 277 40 303 41 322 64 348 80 355 32854 31440 55 287 37 310 44 339 77 359 96 357 31440 29960 52 286 44 308 46 345 79 000 95 359 29960 28399 31 318 42 296 40 338 70 358 81 358 28399 26756 33 338 32 317 34 311 61 354 71 349 26756 25030 34 327 32 336 34 288 54 350 73 342 25030 23218 35 319 36 338 33 289 51 346 74 342 23218 21323 34 312 39 341 29 298 53 343 72 344 21323 19341 34 306 42 343 26 319 53 341 72 344 19341 17275 34 305 42 340 28 322 53 340 63 346 17275 15173 37 319 44 337 38 315 52 339 51 341 15173 13154 44 328 48 334 46 316 51 338 48 339 13154 11323 46 331 52 335 47 324 50 342 49 341 11323 9698 41 332 51 339 43 333 50 345 50 343 9698 8259 39 334 48 343 41 336 49 347 49 346 8259 6988 40 337 45 346 42 340 47 346 46 348 6988 5870 41 339 41 347 44 346 43 349 43 348 5870 4892 46 345 45 347 45*345 39 347 39 350 4892 4044 51 343 48*344 44*344 37 347 39 354 4044 3305 52*341 47*342 42 343 34*347 38 356 3305 2650 46*336 42 337 37 341 32*347 34 356 2650 2072 44 335 40 336 35 340 30 348 29 355 2072 1590 40 334 37 335 33 340 28 348 26 355 1590 1222 36 333 34 334 31 339 25 348 22 355 1222 967 32 332 31 334 28 339 22 348 19 355 967 814 28 332 27 334 25 339 19 348 16 355 814 725 22 331 22 333 20 339 15 347 11*355 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography