DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 85.2 - - - - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 489 - - 382 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3728 - - 4172 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3277 - - 3546 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4388 - - 4832 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 452 - - 1013 - - - - - 3895 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 496 - - 476 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 24 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 182 - - - - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -330 - - -620 - - - - - -2761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4718 - - 5453 - - - - - 3504 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5935 - - -5336 - - - - - -9646 ODpotential blCL - - - 10323 - - 10168 - - - - - 10389 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 71 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 890 - - 1210 - - - - - 810 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 85.2 - - - - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.2 - - 63.5 - - - - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 83.2 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.8 - - 63.2 - - - - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 489 - - 382 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3728 - - 4172 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 0 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98103 4 047 3 112 12 309 98103 90741 4 291 3 261 13 352 90741 85045 5 257 7 282 10 002 85045 80296 4 264 5 247 5 317 80296 76220 9 217 7 263 3 348 76220 72615 7 233 7 248 5 319 72615 69363 5 296 6 228 10 307 69363 66399 7 279 7 252 8 265 66399 63675 9 283 10 276 11 311 63675 61062 13 244 14 260 13 317 61062 58341 20 278 21 278 26 281 58341 55513 33 281 32 271 35 265 55513 52801 41 282 39 273 39 268 52801 50354 47 278 48 275 45 273 50354 48166 53 271 57 275 54 274 48166 46186 59 269 67 272 59 272 46186 44372 62 267 71 267 60 271 44372 42693 64 268 69 264 61 271 42693 41124 67 269 66 263 62 270 41124 39650 69 268 66 264 62 270 39650 38259 65 266 67 265 63 270 38259 36912 53 265 66 265 65 270 36912 35541 53 269 62 265 67 270 35541 34114 55 272 56 267 68 270 34114 32635 52 273 51 268 66 271 32635 31088 39 273 45 269 58 270 31088 29467 28 279 38 268 44 270 29467 27770 29 282 28 266 33 273 27770 25995 29 275 24 272 28 277 25995 24146 24 268 27 277 23 278 24146 22227 25 257 29 270 21 278 22227 20232 30 250 27 258 21 268 20232 18154 21 240 23 250 19 248 18154 16030 17 274 18 264 16 243 16030 13969 13 279 18 273 19 256 13969 12080 11 227 15 267 20 254 12080 10390 12 209 11 256 17 217 10390 8884 14 210 9 201 17 184 8884 7544 20 205 17 194 21 184 7544 6360 24 198 26 185 25 186 6360 5321 25*188 25*179 28 181 5321 4409 24*184 25*179 30 177 4409 3602 25 183 25 180 31 175 3602 2879 24 183 25 181 32 174 2879 2239 24 183 24 182 32 173 2239 1704 23 183 24 183 30 172 1704 1294 22 183 23 184 27 171 1294 1012 21 183 22 185 20 168 1012 841 20 183 21 185 17*168 841 743 17 183 18 185 11*167 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography