DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1859z - - 2219z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.7 - - 92.5 - - 95.4 - - 92.6 - - 83.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 155 - - 297 - - 214 - - 1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1853 - - 5638 - - 6923 - - 6123 - - 70 BL Depth Hcrit 1486 - - 4604 - - 5445 - - 714 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top 2513 - - 6298 - - 7583 - - 6783 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2173 - - 1821 - - 1396 - - 1936 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* 272 - - 491 - - 475 - - 156 - - 13 W* B/S 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 178 - - 172 - - 171 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1209 - - 599 - - 803 - - 538 - - -3229 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3722 - - 5699 - - 6780 - - 6245 - - 3959 sfcLCL ODpotential -3133 - - -795 - - 219 - - -1102 - - -5538 ODpotential blCL 5646 - - 7093 - - 7364 - - 7885 - - 6268 blCL maxRH 76 - - 85 - - 95 - - 91 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 1130 - - 1690 - - 1340 - - 1080 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m 84.7 - - 92.5 - - 95.4 - - 92.6 - - 83.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.6 - - 69.9 - - 68.0 - - 67.7 - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.7 - - 90.9 - - 93.9 - - 92.5 - - 85.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.3 - - 69.1 - - 67.1 - - 66.9 - - 68.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 155 - - 297 - - 214 - - 1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1853 - - 5638 - - 6923 - - 6123 - - 70 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 39 - - 80 - - 65 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98451 46 090 41 092 36 105 29 083 38 078 98451 91172 37 084 39 079 45 099 30 087 37 084 91172 85542 33 086 36 079 40 086 33 097 36 090 85542 80864 31 094 30 090 30 069 35 090 37 085 80864 76833 31 100 27 099 21 066 32 084 31 079 76833 73281 29 096 28 105 15 086 26 078 23 078 73281 70079 25 090 31 105 16 107 17 075 16 077 70079 67148 19 085 28 096 17 111 11 089 13 081 67148 64443 14 082 20 085 14 106 10 100 12 096 64443 61835 8 093 11 048 13 091 7 078 12 102 61835 59127 10 121 5 324 7 076 6 051 8 087 59127 56331 8 110 4 251 2 184 2 053 4 052 56331 53676 4 124 4 220 4 238 3 110 1 088 53676 51299 3 095 4 160 4 250 2 068 2 146 51299 49173 3 353 4 101 3 190 1 330 2 149 49173 47234 3 295 4 050 5 085 2 158 3 175 47234 45440 4 237 0 122 6 055 4 114 4 180 45440 43767 5 221 4 219 4 341 2 055 2 188 43767 42196 6 218 7 220 7 286 4 318 1 223 42196 40715 7 214 9 214 8 260 7 294 1 316 40715 39313 6 215 9 211 7 230 7 277 3 332 39313 37949 5 216 8 216 7 213 5 245 4 332 37949 36555 3 219 8 220 7 206 5 219 2 326 36555 35099 2 217 7 216 7 201 6 203 0 212 35099 33583 1 205 7 211 7 198 6 193 2 185 33583 31995 1 108 6 200 7 190 7 188 3 192 31995 30320 2 126 7 195 7 200 7 197 3 219 30320 28561 2 134 6 195 7 223 7 229 4 283 28561 26720 2 340 2 202 4 247 6 254 6 297 26720 24797 6 330 2 337 2 285 3 240 6 289 24797 22798 6 329 1 342 1 263 2 180 5 285 22798 20711 1 062 5 157 5 194 3 204 6 288 20711 18534 3 106 6 174 7 230 5 288 8 310 18534 16323 2 118 3 180 3 256 5 319 7 359 16323 14199 4 137 4 155 3 146 3 204 4 350 14199 12268 6 166 6 161 8 155 8 213 5 252 12268 10554 8 178 8 175 9 176 9 209 9 218 10554 9036 13 173 11 182 9 184 9 190 10 203 9036 7688 14 172 12 183 10*180 10*182 15 178 7688 6491 13 171 11*182 11*178 10*177 17 168 6491 5427 12 174 11*180 11 176 11 175 17 166 5427 4488 12 185 10 179 11 174 11 173 17 166 4488 3658 13 198 10 179 12 172 11 171 16 165 3658 2916 12*211 10 178 12 171 11 169 16 164 2916 2260 10*214 10 177 12 170 11 168 15 162 2260 1713 8 213 9 176 12 169 12 167 15 159 1713 1293 8 212 9 177 11 169 11 166 14 157 1293 1005 7 211 9 176 11 169 11 166 12 155 1005 830 7 211 9 176 11 168 10 164 10 153 830 730 6 211 8 176 10 168 8 165 5*144 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography