DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 73.2 - - - - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 6 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 509 - - 717 - - - - - 580 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 726 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1169 - - 1377 - - - - - 1240 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1506 - - 1648 - - - - - 1354 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 85 - - 77 - - - - - 74 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 014 - - 020 - - - - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 426 - - 549 - - - - - 487 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 743 - - 828 - - - - - 753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 167 - - 16 - - - - - 96 ODpotential blCL - - - 1002 - - 1361 - - - - - 1144 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 470 - - - - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 73.2 - - - - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.2 - - 71.5 - - - - - 71.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 73.4 - - - - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 71.2 - - - - - 70.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 6 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 509 - - 717 - - - - - 580 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97986 2 283 9 197 11 318 97986 90633 4 123 7 172 6 329 90633 84979 3 156 3 156 7 030 84979 80297 3 094 9 360 11 048 80297 76269 2 080 12 002 11 040 76269 72727 3 020 4 036 9 036 72727 69543 7 336 5 031 13 025 69543 66636 7 317 3 049 13 019 66636 63963 4 310 3 349 12 350 63963 61391 9 113 4 206 4 325 61391 58709 7 354 3 006 8 333 58709 55945 19 252 18 265 27 291 55945 53336 13 221 20 224 29 262 53336 50969 12 262 13 218 28 231 50969 48813 26 271 26 264 28 229 48813 46834 37 263 35 257 32 238 46834 45012 42 251 40 246 40 240 45012 43320 48 237 43 239 44 239 43320 41735 49 226 44 234 47 238 41735 40237 50 221 46 230 49 233 40237 38819 52 220 48 229 50 226 38819 37443 53 222 54 229 52 223 37443 36044 54 226 54 225 55 223 36044 34592 55 230 50 225 55 229 34592 33085 50 230 49 228 49 234 33085 31507 42 239 46 234 44 237 31507 29846 36 245 36 240 35 244 29846 28108 30 237 28 247 26 237 28108 26293 23 223 24 241 21 225 26293 24395 20 217 18 217 21 230 24395 22420 21 202 15 204 20 227 22420 20364 20 211 13 213 16 226 20364 18222 15 205 11 212 13 217 18222 16042 8 208 11 202 8 198 16042 13946 9 193 9 179 7 223 13946 12043 12 186 6 169 9 198 12043 10356 11 180 4 171 8 190 10356 8858 7 174 6 143 6 153 8858 7529 3 136 7 115 8 132 7529 6350 2 073 5 085 8 125 6350 5309 2 352 5 043 9 120 5309 4393 5 014 7 030 9 109 4393 3584 11 028 9 036 9 094 3584 2862 13 028 11 038 9 060 2862 2225 13 024 12 033 14 029 2225 1694 13 020 11*029 14 022 1694 1288 12*018 10*022 14*019 1288 1009 11*015 9 019 13*017 1009 840 10 014 8 018 11 016 840 742 8 013 6 017 9 016 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography