DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 48.3 - - 43.9 - - 41.3 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 18 - - 31 - - 27 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 533 - - 931 - - 839 - - 939 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 724 - - 724 - - 724 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top 1058 - - 1193 - - 1591 - - 1499 - - 1599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 928 - - 1059 - - 1168 - - 1556 - - 1671 Hgt.Variab. W* 70 - - 89 - - 129 - - 119 - - 114 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 15 - - 21 - - 20 - - 20 BL Wind Direction 065 - - 058 - - 053 - - 053 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 260 - - 381 - - 635 - - 514 - - 561 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 798 - - 812 - - 956 - - 985 - - 1038 sfcLCL ODpotential 99 - - 218 - - 374 - - 318 - - 303 ODpotential blCL 959 - - 975 - - 1217 - - 1181 - - 1296 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 80 - - 40 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 48.3 - - 43.9 - - 41.3 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.0 - - 47.5 - - 42.6 - - 39.9 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 48.3 - - 43.9 - - 41.1 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.9 - - 47.1 - - 42.0 - - 39.4 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 18 - - 31 - - 27 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 533 - - 931 - - 839 - - 939 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95938 63 249 68 259 69 258 76 258 83 250 95938 88790 52 255 57 249 58 254 62 262 69 253 88790 83331 45 264 45 256 48 252 53 260 50 265 83331 78825 39 265 40 264 39 257 43 260 37 267 78825 74951 28 263 31 262 35 263 35 264 30 267 74951 71531 19 260 21 265 27 259 30 261 26 268 71531 68434 21 283 12 277 13 256 18 253 23 255 68434 65578 30 284 16 299 13 290 16 260 21 258 65578 62929 38 279 24 285 23 282 29 274 26 270 62929 60371 43 277 35 279 35 277 37 267 36 267 60371 57699 49 274 42 277 43 270 42 262 43 266 57699 54910 54 269 48 268 47 266 47 261 51 261 54910 52229 57 268 52 264 51 263 50 263 51 259 52229 49788 59 266 57 261 56 258 59 255 58 259 49788 47570 64 264 66 256 65 256 64 250 65 253 47570 45536 72 263 71 255 67 260 64 253 66 250 45536 43664 80 262 76 257 76 256 67 258 66 255 43664 41939 82 259 80 256 79 255 72 259 71 256 41939 40349 83 259 81 255 84 252 77 249 75 250 40349 38884 84 261 79 254 90 250 81 244 77 244 38884 37522 82 262 77 253 93 249 83 244 72 242 37522 36210 77 263 75 250 91 250 82 246 68 247 36210 34873 72 264 71 251 85 249 80 248 66 255 34873 33478 71 266 68 256 79 251 74 249 65 258 33478 32029 72 265 67 259 71 253 68 251 63 256 32029 30511 72 264 66 260 65 254 67 254 61 252 30511 28911 70 264 65 260 66 258 65 257 57 254 28911 27228 60 263 62 261 64 260 62 260 54 257 27228 25465 51 261 62 262 60 261 58 262 52 257 25465 23622 49 264 59 263 55 259 56 264 48 250 23622 21702 48 264 51 260 48 258 55 265 46 248 21702 19702 44 265 50 261 46 262 53 262 45 261 19702 17614 38 266 44 261 42 266 49 256 41 266 17614 15481 34 267 37 259 37 268 40 247 33 255 15481 13423 31 269 27 254 32 268 33 246 32 240 13423 11554 27 272 21 247 29 259 28 238 32 232 11554 9898 24 269 14 236 25 238 31 230 33 229 9898 8432 22 260 13 216 27 211 34 216 35 220 8432 7131 20 256 15 201 29 199 31 207 34 208 7131 5979 18 253 16 187 28 184 26 191 28 191 5979 4976 17 251 13 156 24 150 23 153 20 145 4976 4112 12 237 14 109 26 113 26 102 24 087 4112 3362 8 169 20 091 27 094 27 076 28 071 3362 2696 14 104 23 086 27 070 27 064 28 065 2696 2108 17 092 23 073 27 058 26 060 27 063 2108 1619 17 082 21 063 26*056 25*057 26*061 1619 1244 15*069 19*061 24*054 23*054 24*059 1244 986 13*066 17*059 22 053 21 053 21 058 986 829 12 065 15 058 20 053 18 052 19 058 829 740 9 064 12 058 16 052 14 052 14 057 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography