DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.6 - - 87.2 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 254 - - 46 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2528 - - 3082 - - 2403 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2248 - - 2584 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3188 - - 3742 - - 3063 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 955 - - 1315 - - 1082 - - 2092 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 386 - - 382 - - 206 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 195 - - 197 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -2 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -813 - - -1478 - - -1470 - - -1427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4001 - - 5221 - - 4533 - - 2171 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3951 - - -5567 - - -5418 - - -5931 ODpotential blCL - - - 7139 - - 9309 - - 8481 - - 6675 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 69 - - 65 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 1170 - - 1010 - - 980 - - 1970 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.6 - - 87.2 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.2 - - 69.1 - - 69.7 - - 73.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.4 - - 88.0 - - 86.8 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 68.3 - - 69.1 - - 73.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 254 - - 46 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2528 - - 3082 - - 2403 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 14 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98624 44 089 35 102 34 082 47 088 98624 91218 37 090 38 094 39 093 39 084 91218 85510 35 099 37 088 37 091 33 087 85510 80791 33 099 33 096 35 079 38 091 80791 76722 26 097 27 096 26 085 35 080 76722 73119 25 093 18 099 17 088 25 076 73119 69876 20 085 18 088 16 105 15 090 69876 66920 16 090 16 102 17 106 13 088 66920 64180 15 103 19 123 12 104 12 067 64180 61510 16 114 15 142 8 111 9 070 61510 58749 11 097 12 105 8 105 8 099 58749 55946 5 059 10 059 9 079 10 094 55946 53307 7 172 8 039 5 063 10 077 53307 50949 18 162 14 161 4 223 3 063 50949 48849 10 162 20 162 7 178 5 154 48849 46938 5 197 10 145 6 139 7 140 46938 45165 7 220 7 145 5 121 5 104 45165 43501 7 232 7 156 2 118 7 076 43501 41933 6 211 11 153 4 134 4 062 41933 40449 8 185 9 142 6 122 5 027 40449 39038 6 175 6 124 5 103 6 008 39038 37664 1 198 6 155 6 093 6 019 37664 36259 1 243 5 163 8 118 3 099 36259 34794 2 205 5 132 9 136 5 142 34794 33275 1 153 6 102 7 116 6 119 33275 31688 2 085 8 126 6 102 8 094 31688 30021 8 117 10 153 6 095 10 084 30021 28273 10 113 9 159 5 080 10 088 28273 26444 11 115 9 158 3 057 9 086 26444 24536 13 124 7 170 1 039 7 054 24536 22556 12 136 3 176 2 320 6 011 22556 20499 8 142 5 084 4 358 5 357 20499 18358 5 242 5 004 7 358 5 025 18358 16180 7 243 3 288 4 013 4 034 16180 14083 4 205 4 199 3 085 4 103 14083 12176 5 222 6 183 3 146 3 124 12176 10481 7 229 7 179 7 177 3 180 10481 8976 11 216 9 194 9 188 6 197 8976 7638 13 203 12 203 10 205 8 215 7638 6448 12 193 13 203 10 211 8 220 6448 5394 11 193 12 203 10 210 11 219 5394 4466 11 202 11*199 12 204 13 216 4466 3646 11*201 11*196 13*199 15 212 3646 2913 11*200 11 195 12*198 14 208 2913 2263 11 200 11 195 12 198 14 201 2263 1721 11 200 11 195 12 197 13 195 1721 1304 10 200 11 195 11 197 12 188 1304 1017 10 199 11 195 11 197 10 180 1017 843 10 199 10 194 10 196 8*173 843 744 9 199 9 194 9 196 4*161 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography