DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1024z - - 1338z - - 1604z - - 1904z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 50.2 - - 55.7 - - 52.4 - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 172 - - 189 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 444 - - 2029 - - 2438 - - 67 - - 66 BL Depth Hcrit 710 - - 1666 - - 1976 - - 711 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 1104 - - 2689 - - 3098 - - 727 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 823 - - 564 - - 870 - - 2520 - - 83 Hgt.Variab. W* 88 - - 292 - - 315 - - 0 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 13 - - 10 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 329 - - 325 - - 353 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1122 - - -739 - - -2341 - - -4406 - - -3596 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2226 - - 3428 - - 5439 - - 5134 - - 4322 sfcLCL ODpotential -7692 - - -6875 - - -8893 - - -11977 - - -13599 ODpotential blCL 8796 - - 9564 - - 11991 - - 12704 - - 14325 blCL maxRH 71 - - 66 - - 56 - - 45 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 50.2 - - 55.7 - - 52.4 - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.3 - - 38.0 - - 34.7 - - 32.9 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.1 - - 49.3 - - 54.8 - - 54.8 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 36.3 - - 33.9 - - 32.3 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 172 - - 189 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 444 - - 2029 - - 2438 - - 67 - - 66 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96736 10 318 4 347 5 041 3 260 14 309 96736 89560 9 067 17 079 8 081 8 071 10 072 89560 84030 14 084 18 078 8 106 9 059 14 098 84030 79424 17 084 14 088 10 090 8 081 16 097 79424 75443 16 073 10 094 9 072 8 058 15 084 75443 71924 12 059 11 109 5 072 9 038 13 075 71924 68742 8 031 7 080 2 083 5 033 8 080 68742 65820 9 319 6 015 3 344 3 322 3 033 65820 63114 13 281 9 304 8 310 8 311 6 304 63114 60488 21 285 16 290 15 288 15 303 12 291 60488 57735 27 283 27 292 24 294 19 285 21 277 57735 54878 32 279 36 284 34 289 31 282 30 278 54878 52152 37 295 45 278 44 276 38 281 41 278 52152 49695 51 299 45 277 38 279 52 283 52 271 49695 47491 59 299 51 292 49 290 61 276 57 268 47491 45480 64 296 61 294 62 290 62 279 59 268 45480 43617 63 290 68 292 72 289 65 286 63 271 43617 41877 62 288 70 291 74 289 72 292 69 281 41877 40253 61 289 69 290 74 290 74 296 75 288 40253 38741 63 291 67 290 73 294 72 296 72 292 38741 37332 67 292 67 290 73 298 69 299 70 292 37332 35986 67 290 64 293 74 306 69 303 69 292 35986 34639 61 294 64 306 79 317 71 306 65 294 34639 33256 60 303 67 317 85 321 73 307 66 295 33256 31822 62 314 68 324 85 326 71 313 69 294 31822 30319 65 320 66 324 76 327 66 312 63 294 30319 28735 68 318 66 323 66 318 61 307 57 296 28735 27071 66 306 64 316 60 312 59 303 55 297 27071 25325 66 295 59 300 56 305 58 305 52 297 25325 23498 69 296 57 294 57 294 52 307 51 297 23498 21591 71 295 57 296 57 288 48 301 50 296 21591 19601 72 291 58 296 52 293 49 294 47 299 19601 17525 71 294 58 293 49 297 48 292 44 300 17525 15414 67 305 57 298 48 294 41 297 40 296 15414 13386 58 308 53 301 46 294 40 301 34 298 13386 11549 55 299 49 297 44 299 39 295 31 296 11549 9924 52 295 45 305 36 298 35 305 26 295 9924 8487 52 318 43 311 31 302 29 302 26 293 8487 7214 44 322 41 325 29 299 26 300 26 287 7214 6085 36 308 35 326 24 309 26 300 22 283 6085 5089 33 309 28 301 23 303 21 300 17 274 5089 4213 30 321 25 312 21 301 18 301 11 267 4213 3440 28 327 21 327 19*301 17 301 7 245 3440 2750 26 328 20*328 13*314 13 308 8 198 2750 2141 27 343 17*329 11 324 9 320 7 159 2141 1634 25 345 13 329 10 327 8 332 8 126 1634 1246 21*344 12 329 10 328 7 341 9 114 1246 980 16*340 11 329 9 330 7 346 10 113 980 818 14 339 11 329 9 330 5 349 9 115 818 726 10 337 9 329 8 330 4*353 5*115 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography