DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.6 - - 92.1 - - 94.6 - - 94.0 - - 85.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 221 - - 410 - - 316 - - 40 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1906 - - 4383 - - 6250 - - 4159 - - 744 BL Depth Hcrit 1655 - - 3737 - - 5098 - - 1763 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2566 - - 5043 - - 6910 - - 4819 - - 1404 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1123 - - 2314 - - 2436 - - 4308 - - 1612 Hgt.Variab. W* 305 - - 496 - - 513 - - 233 - - 47 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 20 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 181 - - 179 - - 178 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -9 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -939 - - -1005 - - -273 - - -2268 - - -1440 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3505 - - 6048 - - 7183 - - 7087 - - 2844 sfcLCL ODpotential -3455 - - -2659 - - -1332 - - -4037 - - -3682 ODpotential blCL 6021 - - 7702 - - 8242 - - 8856 - - 5086 blCL maxRH 80 - - 77 - - 73 - - 69 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 1790 - - 1460 - - 1110 - - 1140 - - 3340 CAPE Temp@2m 84.6 - - 92.1 - - 94.6 - - 94.0 - - 85.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 71.5 - - 68.0 - - 65.6 - - 65.5 - - 75.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.3 - - 89.7 - - 92.7 - - 93.8 - - 85.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.2 - - 67.5 - - 65.0 - - 65.1 - - 75.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 221 - - 410 - - 316 - - 40 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1906 - - 4383 - - 6250 - - 4159 - - 744 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99153 44 095 38 101 32 101 32 084 35 075 99153 91648 40 095 37 099 35 097 34 084 33 092 91648 85887 36 097 36 089 35 095 33 088 36 093 85887 81120 38 095 32 090 31 093 32 092 35 089 81120 77007 35 087 26 100 24 088 27 088 29 090 77007 73376 26 079 25 100 18 093 18 075 24 080 73376 70096 18 084 18 093 19 106 9 079 15 064 70096 67101 12 076 12 086 17 100 10 117 7 053 67101 64346 7 059 6 092 11 099 9 115 3 126 64346 61699 3 036 5 115 5 116 4 110 6 149 61699 58964 3 208 1 209 1 268 0 166 3 177 58964 56145 7 219 5 240 5 232 6 245 10 305 56145 53454 1 193 2 247 3 207 7 233 10 287 53454 51034 6 050 2 066 1 125 3 224 6 209 51034 48872 8 049 3 054 1 108 2 026 3 085 48872 46907 3 034 1 210 3 213 2 325 7 008 46907 45099 3 194 8 211 11 226 7 247 9 296 45099 43423 11 200 16 214 21 221 17 232 21 259 43423 41858 15 206 21 215 20 219 26 225 28 243 41858 40381 17 213 21 219 21 224 25 223 27 232 40381 38982 17 217 22 220 24 229 21 225 29 227 38982 37619 19 220 24 217 25 226 21 227 28 227 37619 36228 19 222 23 211 22 219 20 225 20 231 36228 34778 19 223 22 206 20 216 18 224 15 235 34778 33274 19 223 22 203 20 218 17 226 13 233 33274 31697 14 224 21 201 22 213 17 233 11 232 31697 30038 11 215 18 200 22 205 17 241 8 231 30038 28300 13 194 19 194 20 198 15 238 4 233 28300 26482 13 193 18 189 18 202 14 235 4 268 26482 24587 8 209 14 216 15 215 13 238 7 277 24587 22615 5 229 13 240 11 244 11 239 8 291 22615 20560 8 239 8 236 7 240 7 231 5 304 20560 18421 7 239 6 249 3 219 4 186 4 187 18421 16242 7 217 2 280 1 172 2 122 8 173 16242 14144 8 195 4 217 3 205 2 102 9 156 14144 12236 9 178 8 198 6 210 3 200 6 138 12236 10539 9 164 9 183 7 190 6 199 2 038 10539 9028 8 169 9 164 9 172 10 182 2 291 9028 7683 5 177 9 162 11*172 13 178 4 197 7683 6487 5 187 8 169 13*173 14 175 8 174 6487 5427 9 188 10*179 13 174 14*174 9 175 5427 4491 11 196 11*180 14 176 14*174 11 184 4491 3664 14 206 12 180 14 178 14 175 15 191 3664 2923 14*205 12 181 15 181 14 177 20 191 2923 2269 13*198 13 181 15 182 14 179 25 191 2269 1724 13 197 13 181 15 184 13 180 25*191 1724 1306 13 196 12 182 15 185 13 181 24*191 1306 1018 12 195 12 182 14 185 13 182 21 191 1018 844 11 195 12 183 14 185 12 182 19 191 844 744 10 195 11 183 12 185 10 182 13 191 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography