DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.8 - - 78.2 - - 77.0 - - 73.7 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 98 - - 254 - - 130 - - -9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 734 - - 3188 - - 2791 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2641 - - 2031 - - 726 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1394 - - 3848 - - 3451 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1230 - - 974 - - 1727 - - 3293 - - 3003 Hgt.Variab. W* 169 - - 379 - - 290 - - 15 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 26 - - 25 - - 13 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 187 - - 190 - - 177 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -12 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -774 - - 680 - - 438 - - -1294 - - -1990 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2168 - - 3168 - - 3013 - - 2037 - - 2733 sfcLCL ODpotential -7472 - - 356 - - 164 - - -2462 - - -3452 ODpotential blCL 8866 - - 3492 - - 3287 - - 3205 - - 4195 blCL maxRH 91 - - 94 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 460 - - 390 - - 530 - - 1360 CAPE Temp@2m 71.8 - - 78.2 - - 77.0 - - 73.7 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.6 - - 66.5 - - 66.0 - - 66.9 - - 66.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.2 - - 76.8 - - 76.3 - - 74.1 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.5 - - 66.3 - - 65.8 - - 66.8 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 98 - - 254 - - 130 - - -9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 734 - - 3188 - - 2791 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 75 - - 90 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97273 64 258 73 265 75 260 69 260 67 258 97273 89955 42 253 44 261 50 264 46 275 42 268 89955 84322 25 266 28 273 30 272 35 287 35 292 84322 79682 23 300 14 283 13 278 23 284 23 304 79682 75745 21 317 8 353 7 325 11 306 15 330 75745 72284 15 324 16 022 8 026 8 344 9 349 72284 69130 11 334 14 007 11 032 8 038 4 045 69130 66225 11 351 9 351 10 001 9 047 3 080 66225 63532 9 358 7 320 17 355 13 018 4 028 63532 60914 8 340 9 276 20 316 21 345 9 004 60914 58194 13 347 6 345 16 290 21 307 13 345 58194 55391 17 337 13 346 10 297 17 279 16 315 55391 52729 27 312 19 327 13 318 15 294 18 275 52729 50347 27 284 24 294 27 305 13 295 17 265 50347 48203 27 283 26 275 28 270 17 277 27 260 48203 46242 30 292 26 262 31 250 27 254 31 248 46242 44428 35 275 29 257 35 249 34 245 37 238 44428 42736 39 272 34 254 37 251 39 242 42 232 42736 41151 47 268 39 256 42 252 47 241 47 231 41151 39663 54 263 43 257 47 251 54 239 52 235 39663 38266 56 260 46 254 51 248 58 239 55 239 38266 36922 54 260 48 250 54 248 61 241 52 239 36922 35560 51 261 49 249 57 248 63 243 44 240 35560 34144 46 262 47 250 58 248 61 244 44 249 34144 32674 42 261 45 251 58 246 59 242 47 252 32674 31138 39 259 45 248 54 241 57 241 46 254 31138 29523 39 255 47 244 54 239 56 239 46 258 29523 27827 39 249 47 241 55 237 57 236 46 256 27827 26050 37 245 45 237 55 236 59 232 46 252 26050 24192 35 242 43 235 52 235 58 229 44 250 24192 22255 34 243 40 234 49 233 56 227 44 247 22255 20235 29 247 38 236 46 231 53 228 44 242 20235 18130 27 244 35 237 42 230 51 231 44 238 18130 15987 25 231 32 234 37 229 47 235 47 236 15987 13921 19 240 29 237 32 230 41 236 47 232 13921 12038 16 258 22 233 28 225 36 231 42 227 12038 10359 15 254 19 219 27 211 33 225 40 226 10359 8865 19 218 25 216 25 218 31 225 36 231 8865 7539 23 213 28 217 25 225 28 228 32 237 7539 6363 23 220 28 216 28 222 28 228 33 233 6363 5322 23 218 28 209 27 208 30 216 37 220 5322 4406 26 205 27*197 27 197 32 205 38 210 4406 3598 30 193 28*192 27*192 33 198 37 200 3598 2874 29 187 28 190 27*191 33 194 37 190 2874 2235 28 186 26 186 26 190 31 189 36 185 2235 1702 23*186 26 184 25 190 29 184 33 181 1702 1293 19*184 25 183 24 189 25 181 29 179 1293 1011 16 182 24 183 23 189 21 179 23 177 1011 841 14 181 22 183 21 189 18*178 20*177 841 743 12 181 18 183 17 189 13*177 14*176 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography