DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.4 - - 74.4 - - 77.6 - - 66.2 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 250 - - 141 - - -18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 2399 - - 3040 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2054 - - 2258 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 741 - - 3059 - - 3700 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 537 - - 754 - - 1166 - - 283 - - 77 Hgt.Variab. W* 54 - - 343 - - 307 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 17 - - 14 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 264 - - 290 - - 288 - - 348 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3415 - - -4556 - - -5704 - - -5218 - - -2649 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4157 - - 7615 - - 9405 - - 5960 - - 3391 sfcLCL ODpotential -11268 - - -10633 - - -11848 - - -13051 - - -9649 ODpotential blCL 12009 - - 13692 - - 15548 - - 13793 - - 10391 blCL maxRH 57 - - 44 - - 35 - - 43 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.4 - - 74.4 - - 77.6 - - 66.2 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.9 - - 43.6 - - 38.9 - - 42.9 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.4 - - 72.9 - - 76.5 - - 70.7 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.9 - - 43.6 - - 38.9 - - 42.9 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 250 - - 141 - - -18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 2399 - - 3040 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95906 23 260 32 243 41 253 37 273 27 265 95906 88729 13 304 15 274 20 287 19 300 11 289 88729 83280 14 315 12 312 12 308 15 321 17 336 83280 78818 20 338 17 333 10 323 13 295 14 321 78818 74989 24 344 18 336 9 304 11 296 17 308 74989 71578 25 341 23 330 16 316 21 306 22 332 71578 68455 18 339 23 312 19 312 20 296 24 319 68455 65573 19 323 17 310 20 293 20 290 21 299 65573 62888 19 308 27 301 25 298 25 291 26 282 62888 60292 33 292 34 295 35 294 31 297 26 280 60292 57608 40 279 39 275 42 278 35 297 26 305 57608 54802 36 270 39 267 48 265 45 278 42 292 54802 52104 40 276 44 273 51 269 55 271 57 271 52104 49680 52 277 59 280 57 274 58 270 60 273 49680 47498 59 280 66 274 62 274 60 272 64 279 47498 45503 69 276 65 267 67 272 64 275 68 279 45503 43669 78 267 66 267 73 272 69 278 72 273 43669 41979 78 264 74 268 80 275 74 278 72 271 41979 40414 79 270 78 270 85 276 79 276 71 273 40414 38951 77 275 80 275 86 277 84 274 71 277 38951 37572 80 280 83 279 83 279 88 274 75 280 37572 36238 80 281 84 278 80 279 88 276 80 278 36238 34887 70 279 73 272 75 277 85 275 84 275 34887 33491 67 275 62 273 68 275 76 273 83 271 33491 32048 64 276 59 284 63 279 67 276 75 268 32048 30539 59 278 57 291 63 286 67 283 72 271 30539 28951 55 277 57 296 63 289 71 284 73 273 28951 27285 53 274 57 299 62 290 72 281 73 273 27285 25540 51 270 55 299 60 290 70 279 73 272 25540 23718 50 268 52 299 59 291 66 278 71 272 23718 21821 47 272 45 295 55 290 61 278 66 273 21821 19843 45 277 39 289 51 287 57 281 59 276 19843 17778 44 280 38 285 49 286 52 281 51 276 17778 15673 42 282 38 282 44 288 46 279 42 271 15673 13645 36 283 36 284 38 291 40 282 36 273 13645 11803 33 281 32 289 29 292 33 288 30 288 11803 10169 36 281 29 289 27 295 27 284 29 296 10169 8716 31 284 27 287 20 290 23 276 32 298 8716 7421 25 283 23 280 17 291 21 277 32 294 7421 6266 26 286 20 284 15 293 21 278 29 284 6266 5242 27 282 22 290 16 288 22 273 28 275 5242 4338 23 278 22 288 16*284 17 272 24 272 4338 3539 22 289 21*288 15*286 13 281 18 276 3539 2826 30 297 18*289 15 287 12 295 11 296 2826 2198 34 294 17 290 15 288 12 308 7 338 2198 1677 30 289 17 290 14 289 12 319 7 018 1677 1277 23 279 17 291 14 290 11 331 9 033 1277 1003 16 268 16 291 13 290 10 340 9 044 1003 836 15 266 15 291 12 290 8*346 5*067 836 742 10*264 13 291 11 291 6*348 3*076 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography