DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.4 - - 92.4 - - 87.7 - - 84.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 151 - - 33 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5812 - - 3165 - - 1182 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4723 - - 2482 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6472 - - 3825 - - 1842 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2249 - - 5246 - - 2586 - - 1771 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 490 - - 339 - - 141 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 147 - - 149 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 36 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 231 - - -1856 - - -1924 - - -2442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6241 - - 5682 - - 3766 - - 3186 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -243 - - -2921 - - -4079 - - -5291 ODpotential blCL - - - 6715 - - 6746 - - 5921 - - 6035 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 90 - - 93 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 1200 - - 1440 - - 2240 - - 1910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.4 - - 92.4 - - 87.7 - - 84.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.3 - - 69.8 - - 73.2 - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.4 - - 91.3 - - 87.3 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 68.6 - - 73.0 - - 72.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 151 - - 33 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5812 - - 3165 - - 1182 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 60 - - 70 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - 18 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98750 23 100 24 094 19 087 23 080 98750 91333 31 095 29 103 22 103 20 089 91333 85609 29 101 25 088 27 094 22 090 85609 80857 24 106 14 086 26 067 28 083 80857 76762 14 100 6 107 13 062 25 074 76762 73157 14 079 7 091 8 083 15 062 73157 69916 18 067 14 104 8 105 5 076 69916 66950 21 054 22 110 9 100 7 067 66950 64214 21 031 22 095 11 091 13 067 64214 61592 9 024 20 062 15 083 16 072 61592 58888 8 115 14 045 16 066 15 067 58888 56112 13 096 9 060 12 052 14 045 56112 53484 16 082 11 065 9 066 11 027 53484 51118 21 085 14 063 10 060 9 030 51118 48981 24 068 18 057 16 041 13 029 48981 47027 22 061 19 061 21 036 13 035 47027 45222 17 064 20 067 21 028 16 035 45222 43538 14 035 20 056 18 033 20 029 43538 41954 13 020 16 033 18 039 20 031 41954 40457 12 035 13 053 16 036 16 059 40457 39040 12 055 11 057 15 024 14 069 39040 37664 13 023 14 017 14 014 11 057 37664 36262 18 357 14 025 11 039 10 054 36262 34803 16 024 12 057 12 066 12 046 34803 33289 14 050 11 071 13 084 13 029 33289 31702 12 058 9 072 12 077 10 034 31702 30032 10 079 7 091 9 070 8 047 30032 28281 8 096 5 093 6 083 7 053 28281 26450 9 125 3 075 8 095 9 054 26450 24544 13 120 5 054 10 091 12 071 24544 22564 9 099 8 072 11 075 14 070 22564 20505 13 095 10 101 11 064 13 050 20505 18364 13 103 8 111 11 051 14 060 18364 16185 12 099 6 099 11 054 14 063 16185 14089 11 090 6 069 11 060 13 052 14089 12184 9 083 6 055 9 066 14 064 12184 10495 8 065 3 074 8 081 16 076 10495 8994 7 067 3 099 8 084 15 082 8994 7657 6*109 4 123 7 082 12 084 7657 6467 5*128 5 135 6 085 8 086 6467 5411 6 144 6 140 6 096 5 104 5411 4480 6 147 7*143 6 121 5 152 4480 3655 6 152 8*145 8 141 8 174 3655 2918 6 154 9 147 11 149 12 178 2918 2266 6 157 10 147 14*150 16 172 2266 1722 6 159 11 147 14*149 19 166 1722 1304 6 160 11 147 13 149 18 163 1304 1017 6 161 11 147 13 149 14 160 1017 843 5 161 11 148 12 148 11*160 843 744 5 162 10 147 10 148 7*160 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography