DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.0 - - 76.4 - - 73.8 - - 73.1 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 156 - - 16 - - -9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1387 - - 2715 - - 1621 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2121 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 2047 - - 3375 - - 2281 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1760 - - 1656 - - 1756 - - 2310 - - 1307 Hgt.Variab. W* 159 - - 314 - - 146 - - 30 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 26 - - 21 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 190 - - 203 - - 191 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -8 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 432 - - 693 - - 781 - - -493 - - -16 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1615 - - 2682 - - 1500 - - 1236 - - 759 sfcLCL ODpotential 30 - - 185 - - -203 - - -1744 - - -2515 ODpotential blCL 2017 - - 3190 - - 2484 - - 2487 - - 3258 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 96 - - 97 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 780 - - 1480 - - 1900 - - 2060 - - 2130 CAPE Temp@2m 71.0 - - 76.4 - - 73.8 - - 73.1 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.1 - - 66.8 - - 69.3 - - 69.6 - - 69.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.8 - - 75.6 - - 73.8 - - 73.6 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.8 - - 66.2 - - 68.6 - - 69.2 - - 69.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 156 - - 16 - - -9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1387 - - 2715 - - 1621 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 81 - - 83 - - 90 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97295 36 298 29 300 27 305 41 304 38 313 97295 89942 29 307 27 308 24 303 35 309 37 315 89942 84317 7 308 22 302 17 323 20 318 20 303 84317 79709 10 326 7 262 11 268 22 340 13 352 79709 75731 5 216 7 312 7 241 13 240 13 293 75731 72218 13 207 9 272 8 331 7 210 5 176 72218 69059 8 231 17 207 12 235 10 288 7 228 69059 66146 10 248 21 182 24 204 15 223 20 225 66146 63449 14 232 18 222 21 201 28 213 24 233 63449 60849 32 240 31 253 31 236 29 232 24 233 60849 58119 50 232 47 233 44 234 37 236 36 238 58119 55262 51 229 51 225 59 237 59 235 59 232 55262 52528 64 234 69 235 74 239 73 237 68 234 52528 50064 85 234 83 237 87 239 86 239 80 237 50064 47863 87 235 84 240 89 236 94 238 90 237 47863 45873 83 241 81 243 86 238 94 240 94 237 45873 44052 96 246 93 245 98 244 99 242 98 239 44052 42366 111 246 110 243 113 244 113 242 109 241 42366 40798 113 242 121 241 118 242 121 240 117 239 40798 39324 105 237 118 238 111 238 112 240 117 239 39324 37935 92 228 102 231 102 234 102 240 109 240 37935 36596 82 221 94 227 91 230 96 236 99 239 36596 35241 74 220 88 225 75 223 86 232 94 236 35241 33835 75 222 81 222 65 218 71 225 88 234 33835 32376 76 223 76 222 60 217 63 219 81 232 32376 30853 75 223 71 223 57 219 59 217 71 226 30853 29253 74 224 71 224 57 221 57 218 65 222 29253 27579 65 220 63 225 55 222 61 222 63 229 27579 25827 51 211 66 226 64 225 66 226 59 232 25827 23993 55 218 60 227 71 226 67 229 56 234 23993 22080 58 230 44 225 68 227 63 230 53 234 22080 20084 52 238 43 228 62 230 57 234 48 235 20084 18003 37 240 49 231 57 235 53 244 44 243 18003 15884 21 219 48 227 51 238 49 248 40 243 15884 13841 18 214 37 219 44 238 39 243 34 234 13841 11975 21 221 25 220 31 240 31 239 30 240 11975 10310 28 228 20 234 23 222 32 230 25 250 10310 8829 30 234 22 251 17 199 25 223 21 239 8829 7511 27 240 24 259 21 213 23 217 25 226 7511 6342 25 229 16 258 26 220 27 216 32 221 6342 5307 27 217 19 211 29 209 29 212 33 213 5307 4393 26 210 25 201 30 200 29 207 32 206 4393 3586 25 206 28*195 30 198 27 205 30 203 3586 2863 24 202 28*193 29*199 24 203 27 198 2863 2225 21*195 27 191 25*202 21 203 24 191 2225 1695 18*189 26 190 23 203 18 201 22 184 1695 1289 16 185 25 189 21 204 14 198 19 179 1289 1009 15 184 24 188 19 204 12 195 15 175 1009 840 14 183 22 188 17 204 10*193 13*173 840 743 11 183 18 188 13 204 8*191 9*170 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography