DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1330z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 64.1 - - 67.8 - - 58.8 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 172 - - 79 - - -35 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 1152 - - 2611 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1009 - - 1543 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 741 - - 1812 - - 3271 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 187 - - 1140 - - 2240 - - 133 - - 106 Hgt.Variab. W* 47 - - 238 - - 244 - - 12 - - 12 W* B/S 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 11 - - 19 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 236 - - 228 - - 212 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5038 - - -6471 - - -5273 - - -5071 - - -4231 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5779 - - 8283 - - 8544 - - 5812 - - 4972 sfcLCL ODpotential -13817 - - -13252 - - -11525 - - -12006 - - -10346 ODpotential blCL 14558 - - 15064 - - 14796 - - 12747 - - 11087 blCL maxRH 31 - - 30 - - 28 - - 32 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 64.1 - - 67.8 - - 58.8 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.9 - - 30.6 - - 33.0 - - 36.4 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 63.0 - - 67.5 - - 61.6 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 29.7 - - 32.2 - - 36.3 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 172 - - 79 - - -35 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 1152 - - 2611 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96842 46 276 34 265 44 270 33 279 40 270 96842 89716 24 273 21 266 27 274 22 276 20 297 89716 84210 18 280 16 306 14 269 17 282 17 319 84210 79572 15 282 21 300 11 275 20 288 14 320 79572 75542 15 320 12 293 4 276 18 260 15 302 75542 71984 22 262 21 277 17 295 23 266 20 278 71984 68768 30 257 32 257 26 275 27 255 25 248 68768 65811 37 266 31 252 28 263 28 247 29 234 65811 63055 41 260 33 260 35 269 30 270 24 245 63055 60378 48 250 50 262 55 265 50 276 40 271 60378 57592 57 244 61 251 69 251 61 265 60 263 57592 54702 60 242 64 242 74 241 65 252 72 255 54702 51938 68 253 69 247 76 246 67 253 78 256 51938 49446 85 256 86 253 91 255 79 259 85 259 49446 47215 105 252 104 251 109 254 97 254 99 255 47215 45204 121 248 120 247 122 249 118 248 113 249 45204 43377 133 245 132 244 131 246 132 242 120 245 43377 41698 145 242 139 241 134 244 136 239 126 243 41698 40135 155 240 140 240 135 243 134 238 122 243 40135 38666 159 239 133 239 135 243 127 240 112 246 38666 37282 160 240 126 242 131 243 118 243 104 250 37282 35949 157 241 126 244 127 245 115 246 100 252 35949 34599 148 244 126 245 122 247 108 247 90 258 34599 33206 139 244 122 244 118 248 92 251 80 263 33206 31769 128 241 115 244 106 247 84 253 68 268 31769 30269 116 241 106 244 91 249 73 249 61 290 30269 28691 107 245 90 244 82 253 59 253 66 303 28691 27039 99 248 67 249 69 254 59 274 70 304 27039 25312 88 251 53 264 56 264 63 279 71 301 25312 23511 71 257 46 286 51 272 66 277 69 300 23511 21634 62 258 46 296 45 273 67 277 60 299 21634 19676 59 256 45 297 45 274 63 278 59 294 19676 17627 58 260 51 287 51 274 59 275 63 286 17627 15532 57 268 56 279 50 274 55 272 59 281 15532 13520 54 271 54 278 43 279 47 272 47 266 13520 11695 49 268 50 282 38 280 43 271 42 273 11695 10076 43 267 46 279 38 272 42 273 37 291 10076 8639 38 281 41 264 39 271 43 280 40 299 8639 7359 34 285 34 264 36 269 40 286 38 298 7359 6219 29 285 33 263 33 263 35 282 36 293 6219 5207 24 285 32 258 33 255 31 269 36 284 5207 4315 19 282 26 258 30 246 30 261 35 276 4315 3525 16 272 19 253 26*238 29 254 35 271 3525 2819 15 257 17 245 23*232 28 247 35 268 2819 2194 14 251 16*242 22 230 27 241 34 265 2194 1672 11 264 13*239 20 227 25 235 32 260 1672 1273 7 280 11 236 18 226 23 228 27 247 1273 999 5 271 10 234 17 225 19 221 22 232 999 835 4*249 10 234 16 224 16 218 18 229 835 741 2*231 9 234 13 223 7*212 9*225 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography