DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 66.3 - - 59.7 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 179 - - -30 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2482 - - 2832 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2139 - - 2229 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3142 - - 3492 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1474 - - 1887 - - 398 - - 60 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 324 - - 11 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 263 - - 200 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3106 - - -5493 - - -4947 - - -3947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6248 - - 8986 - - 5688 - - 4688 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10762 - - -13103 - - -13103 - - -14798 ODpotential blCL - - - 13904 - - 16595 - - 13844 - - 15539 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 62 - - 36 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 66.3 - - 59.7 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 29.8 - - 37.9 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 65.3 - - 62.3 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 29.1 - - 37.9 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 179 - - -30 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2482 - - 2832 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 38 246 24 243 30 255 28 261 96292 89055 21 242 22 251 24 263 22 269 89055 83533 6 240 15 267 15 299 6 303 83533 78960 8 330 13 285 11 282 7 327 78960 75032 10 314 12 297 8 297 8 336 75032 71591 11 331 10 312 8 309 8 334 71591 68479 12 338 11 280 14 344 6 357 68479 65592 15 324 15 302 25 335 21 006 65592 62922 17 303 15 289 23 312 29 350 62922 60359 23 326 12 291 21 282 24 334 60359 57682 30 321 23 327 21 317 21 315 57682 54875 35 307 34 316 33 324 24 317 54875 52175 39 301 37 299 38 307 34 318 52175 49734 43 300 31 291 34 296 39 300 49734 47531 39 296 30 319 31 317 36 297 47531 45528 46 321 42 335 39 320 35 304 45528 43706 57 321 51 342 37 320 31 334 43706 42044 48 320 55 341 44 344 49 342 42044 40521 37 319 55 333 54 342 46 342 40521 39095 34 330 51 325 53 337 39 351 39095 37747 33 342 47 320 53 326 34 347 37747 36438 34 350 42 318 54 318 32 349 36438 35100 38 354 40 317 52 315 34 351 35100 33705 41 350 39 319 45 314 38 348 33705 32252 44 345 37 326 41 318 44 340 32252 30729 47 341 36 326 39 324 43 328 30729 29127 42 341 37 313 39 324 34 329 29127 27445 38 341 41 312 41 325 33 337 27445 25681 39 330 47 315 40 330 33 339 25681 23834 44 327 47 321 39 337 27 345 23834 21905 46 334 40 332 37 338 25 339 21905 19891 43 347 37 346 33 340 30 335 19891 17792 38 354 30 351 29 338 31 332 17792 15654 34 349 25 351 29 330 31 324 15654 13600 30 344 23 338 32 327 33 325 13600 11741 25 349 25 321 33 328 32 327 11741 10096 22 343 28 312 33 327 30 327 10096 8640 22 331 27 312 33 326 29 334 8640 7348 27 330 26 312 33 324 30 339 7348 6204 28 327 28 304 31 310 30 341 6204 5191 22 320 28 297 26 288 29 339 5191 4299 18 309 24*291 23 277 25 330 4299 3512 17*295 18*276 21 272 23 314 3512 2808 15*283 15 265 19 265 23 299 2808 2186 14 281 14 262 17 258 20 288 2186 1668 13 279 14 260 15 246 16 283 1668 1272 12 278 13 259 13 230 12 274 1272 999 11 278 12 258 12 214 12 250 999 834 11 277 11 257 10 204 10*235 834 741 10 277 10 257 6*200 5*228 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography