DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.6 - - 70.0 - - 72.5 - - 68.8 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 93 - - 335 - - 226 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 592 - - 3879 - - 4499 - - 3072 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 3272 - - 3585 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1252 - - 4539 - - 5159 - - 3732 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 788 - - 1202 - - 1093 - - 2383 - - 667 Hgt.Variab. W* 158 - - 445 - - 412 - - 95 - - 17 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 123 - - 133 - - 134 - - 128 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 6 - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3335 - - -4858 - - -5412 - - -4838 - - -5369 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4587 - - 9397 - - 10572 - - 8570 - - 6111 sfcLCL ODpotential -9507 - - -10666 - - -10566 - - -10089 - - -9687 ODpotential blCL 10759 - - 15205 - - 15725 - - 13821 - - 10429 blCL maxRH 53 - - 87 - - 87 - - 88 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.6 - - 70.0 - - 72.5 - - 68.8 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.5 - - 31.5 - - 28.7 - - 33.9 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.9 - - 68.1 - - 71.0 - - 69.3 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.4 - - 30.4 - - 27.5 - - 32.9 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 93 - - 335 - - 226 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 592 - - 3879 - - 4499 - - 3072 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 47 - - 50 - - 51 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97129 50 251 48 252 48 252 56 261 52 265 97129 89752 40 259 45 250 46 253 50 260 41 260 89752 84116 26 262 33 254 37 253 44 253 35 260 84116 79436 20 257 24 256 28 262 32 259 31 260 79436 75410 19 286 16 270 20 257 25 270 27 273 75410 71897 21 296 19 287 17 273 20 282 23 277 71897 68758 26 312 19 299 18 281 19 291 17 288 68758 65875 24 311 23 302 23 295 21 289 19 282 65875 63178 24 304 29 294 32 299 27 288 23 276 63178 60545 32 286 39 282 40 295 37 289 34 287 60545 57789 42 283 47 280 51 287 48 285 44 282 57789 54906 48 285 57 277 60 275 56 280 52 278 54906 52126 59 284 62 276 61 272 56 276 56 277 52126 49616 64 282 62 278 61 273 55 273 58 275 49616 47369 65 282 62 280 60 277 55 275 58 277 47369 45330 67 284 64 282 59 282 55 280 60 279 45330 43464 65 281 61 279 60 281 55 280 60 278 43464 41748 63 280 56 277 58 275 54 278 59 276 41748 40162 61 280 52 275 50 271 50 279 53 277 40162 38688 57 273 58 269 46 270 44 279 45 277 38688 37307 56 274 56 270 39 274 39 281 40 277 37307 35983 50 276 48 270 32 280 27 282 31 276 35983 34646 43 274 42 268 31 275 24 268 31 273 34646 33264 39 270 38 269 30 273 18 272 30 269 33264 31836 39 269 36 266 30 270 8 290 28 269 31836 30344 36 267 33 254 32 266 8 303 34 251 30344 28774 30 261 28 245 30 257 13 283 35 249 28774 27120 28 268 26 245 32 246 21 275 34 251 27120 25383 22 263 28 245 29 248 22 277 35 257 25383 23564 15 247 27 241 22 263 23 279 29 272 23564 21670 12 249 24 229 17 263 23 279 20 284 21670 19697 12 248 20 214 21 220 21 271 16 280 19697 17633 11 233 18 196 20 209 15 246 18 277 17633 15527 11 212 18 194 16 192 8 208 7 254 15527 13508 12 164 19 165 19 172 10 201 7 150 13508 11678 13 130 20 149 21 153 15 189 15 176 11678 10054 13 121 21 152 20 155 19 174 20 167 10054 8610 15 130 20 154 19 157 19 166 18 164 8610 7327 17 134 19 151 19 153 19 157 16 161 7327 6190 17 137 17 151 15 148 16 145 17 149 6190 5184 15 137 12*143 11*141 14 139 17 140 5184 4298 13 133 11*136 11*139 14*136 17 138 4298 3514 13 134 11 135 11 137 14*133 17 138 3514 2812 14 142 11 133 11 135 14 130 18 140 2812 2191 14 144 11 133 11 133 14 128 19 141 2191 1673 12 139 11 132 11 132 13 127 19 142 1673 1275 10*132 10 131 10 131 13 126 18 142 1275 1002 6*124 10 131 10 131 12 126 15 140 1002 836 6 123 10 131 10 130 11 125 12*139 836 742 5 123 9 131 9 130 8 124 6*132 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography