DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 50.9 - - 55.2 - - 53.1 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 133 - - 141 - - -6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 422 - - 1163 - - 2118 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 724 - - 1592 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1082 - - 1823 - - 2778 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 815 - - 944 - - 820 - - 2433 - - 1249 Hgt.Variab. W* 108 - - 216 - - 270 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 098 - - 125 - - 089 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -244 - - -84 - - 145 - - -984 - - -107 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1326 - - 1907 - - 2633 - - 1725 - - 848 sfcLCL ODpotential -9639 - - 187 - - 291 - - -1748 - - -2218 ODpotential blCL 10721 - - 1636 - - 2487 - - 2489 - - 2959 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 50.9 - - 55.2 - - 53.1 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 45.4 - - 46.4 - - 48.3 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.8 - - 49.9 - - 54.2 - - 53.8 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.1 - - 45.3 - - 46.3 - - 48.3 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 133 - - 141 - - -6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 422 - - 1163 - - 2118 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 84 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95778 38 235 49 249 53 248 55 265 50 257 95778 88734 36 262 33 249 39 248 48 260 43 258 88734 83272 34 261 37 255 44 254 49 271 41 267 83272 78744 28 266 44 253 41 260 39 281 33 275 78744 74857 30 278 35 259 36 263 34 271 31 278 74857 71428 31 280 34 271 34 272 34 262 32 278 71428 68315 33 282 31 284 32 284 35 262 32 265 68315 65438 43 273 37 284 35 291 34 276 32 281 65438 62773 46 270 42 271 44 288 44 288 45 290 62773 60211 45 271 46 269 52 276 52 277 54 279 60211 57549 51 277 54 271 57 272 54 270 56 273 57549 54781 62 277 64 276 65 275 59 276 60 273 54781 52120 68 276 73 274 72 274 69 277 66 272 52120 49704 73 274 76 274 76 271 74 269 70 266 49704 47514 72 274 81 274 82 271 74 268 71 267 47514 45502 72 275 87 272 85 270 77 269 77 270 45502 43643 74 275 89 272 85 269 79 268 84 268 43643 41935 72 277 84 275 82 269 80 270 84 270 41935 40375 79 288 84 284 80 279 81 273 88 279 40375 38941 97 294 93 289 86 285 84 280 96 282 38941 37593 94 291 91 286 92 285 85 283 98 279 37593 36282 83 287 86 283 88 282 84 280 94 278 36282 34940 74 281 83 282 85 281 81 277 88 279 34940 33541 68 279 79 281 82 279 77 274 81 277 33541 32089 64 277 73 280 76 278 74 272 77 271 32089 30566 59 273 64 281 70 275 76 273 74 268 30566 28959 58 272 64 276 69 275 75 272 73 268 28959 27272 63 277 65 273 66 272 69 269 70 268 27272 25507 65 278 63 273 62 270 62 268 64 267 25507 23667 60 276 56 274 58 271 58 269 57 266 23667 21754 51 272 48 271 51 270 54 267 52 266 21754 19762 45 269 43 271 43 266 48 266 48 265 19762 17685 39 265 39 269 37 262 41 264 43 265 17685 15563 34 262 36 258 35 254 36 264 39 266 15563 13519 30 264 31 251 33 248 31 261 33 267 13519 11664 25 272 24 250 24 243 26 261 30 274 11664 10019 21 281 18 253 23 233 23 250 29 280 10019 8561 14 291 13 250 19 231 22 252 27 279 8561 7266 12 278 9 234 17 232 22 260 26 270 7266 6119 15 267 10 225 16 246 21 261 27 260 6119 5109 17 260 10 213 15 248 15 246 21 250 5109 4227 11 240 9 213 11 239 12 208 13 214 4227 3454 5 184 5 209 7*219 12 202 11 191 3454 2763 8 118 6 152 4*140 8 167 11 162 2763 2154 13 104 6*132 4 131 8 126 12 131 2154 1647 15 097 4*102 4 125 8 108 14 109 1647 1260 14*094 4 099 4 119 8 099 13 099 1260 994 10*083 4 096 4 117 7 093 11 096 994 833 9 082 4 093 4 117 6*090 9*095 833 741 7 081 4 094 4 116 5*089 6*093 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography