DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 89.1 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 306 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4304 - - 4755 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3653 - - 3912 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4964 - - 5415 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1028 - - 781 - - - - - 479 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 483 - - 462 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 164 - - - - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2003 - - -2872 - - - - - -3228 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6967 - - 8288 - - - - - 3971 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6513 - - -6870 - - - - - -9408 ODpotential blCL - - - 11477 - - 12285 - - - - - 10151 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 58 - - - - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 230 - - - - - 730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 89.1 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.3 - - 55.5 - - - - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.9 - - 87.2 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 54.8 - - - - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 306 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4304 - - 4755 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98140 7 299 1 259 3 280 98140 90718 5 235 6 282 3 337 90718 84999 8 183 8 247 9 342 84999 80250 3 078 7 191 8 347 80250 76150 4 061 2 148 6 342 76150 72535 3 009 2 212 4 335 72535 69284 7 323 7 273 10 311 69284 66308 11 312 12 291 14 306 66308 63572 22 300 18 298 14 313 63572 60947 24 299 22 294 21 306 60947 58231 27 297 25 297 28 297 58231 55426 35 292 33 296 33 292 55426 52745 43 285 44 289 44 286 52745 50321 48 283 50 283 52 285 50321 48139 51 285 52 281 52 286 48139 46160 48 286 49 281 48 291 46160 44353 41 283 44 281 46 297 44353 42688 35 286 38 273 43 300 42688 41140 30 290 31 269 40 299 41140 39689 22 301 26 276 40 298 39689 38319 23 306 23 284 41 298 38319 36989 26 298 26 283 40 302 36989 35629 30 291 29 284 38 301 35629 34215 32 295 29 294 29 295 34215 32750 29 314 29 301 24 301 32750 31218 29 322 23 308 25 312 31218 29605 27 320 22 317 26 310 29605 27910 25 326 23 318 25 307 27910 26134 23 329 20 318 22 313 26134 24281 17 327 16 314 21 314 24281 22352 17 331 17 324 22 320 22352 20343 23 353 17 351 20 341 20343 18247 28 003 21 001 18 343 18247 16103 21 356 21 347 18 334 16103 14028 12 339 15 327 19 339 14028 12132 13 334 15 322 19 333 12132 10440 13 355 14 339 14 321 10440 8934 10 015 10 351 8 313 8934 7594 8 057 6 359 6 281 7594 6406 10 095 3*180 6 262 6406 5356 5*093 4*163 4 238 5356 4433 2*127 5 159 5 178 4433 3618 2 140 5 158 9 156 3618 2889 3 149 5 162 11 153 2889 2245 3 154 5 165 12 158 2245 1707 3 161 6 169 13 167 1707 1295 3 164 6 171 14 178 1295 1012 3 167 5 171 14 185 1012 841 3 167 5 172 10 188 841 743 3 166 5 173 4*183 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography