DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.2 - - 84.5 - - 87.9 - - 84.8 - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 133 - - 299 - - 200 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 738 - - 3100 - - 4873 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2637 - - 3801 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1398 - - 3760 - - 5533 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 485 - - 2134 - - 1664 - - 5254 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* 188 - - 397 - - 405 - - 13 - - 10 W* B/S 8 - - 31 - - 54 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 300 - - 310 - - 126 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3786 - - -2895 - - -1965 - - -5423 - - -3246 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5185 - - 6655 - - 7498 - - 6168 - - 3989 sfcLCL ODpotential -10880 - - -7255 - - -5684 - - -8799 - - -8184 ODpotential blCL 12278 - - 11015 - - 11217 - - 9543 - - 8927 blCL maxRH 66 - - 61 - - 62 - - 61 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 290 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m 73.2 - - 84.5 - - 87.9 - - 84.8 - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.4 - - 57.9 - - 57.5 - - 60.4 - - 62.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.3 - - 82.8 - - 86.5 - - 86.0 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.2 - - 57.5 - - 57.0 - - 59.7 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 133 - - 299 - - 200 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 738 - - 3100 - - 4873 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98331 5 090 12 159 9 081 10 157 8 141 98331 90849 13 136 11 146 13 131 6 089 8 070 90849 85101 11 117 12 138 14 141 4 176 10 056 85101 80346 12 084 11 116 13 141 6 195 5 116 80346 76247 12 068 13 097 11 123 7 145 7 137 76247 72637 9 047 11 096 9 118 8 117 7 114 72637 69389 5 103 7 083 9 100 8 118 9 140 69389 66425 7 123 2 139 5 064 8 071 11 113 66425 63705 2 083 6 178 3 230 5 314 4 006 63705 61105 4 207 6 214 7 259 7 284 6 290 61105 58422 6 204 10 222 13 243 13 266 11 286 58422 55658 10 258 15 236 18 234 21 238 19 244 55658 53034 21 274 19 262 18 247 25 225 24 239 53034 50670 28 266 25 256 20 240 27 231 30 237 50670 48533 30 259 27 252 22 237 30 232 34 235 48533 46574 33 259 30 254 26 243 32 238 38 238 46574 44760 36 257 35 252 31 246 36 240 44 239 44760 43065 36 252 37 246 33 243 38 239 46 236 43065 41469 36 249 37 240 34 241 37 240 41 238 41469 39961 35 245 36 237 34 238 36 237 38 247 39961 38537 34 242 34 236 33 237 35 237 35 248 38537 37158 31 245 30 240 28 239 31 240 33 246 37158 35758 23 248 23 239 22 240 22 237 28 250 35758 34307 16 240 21 222 19 231 17 230 21 252 34307 32805 10 207 18 206 16 230 14 227 19 246 32805 31242 12 178 15 190 13 220 11 207 12 239 31242 29608 13 151 14 177 12 198 9 195 8 205 29608 27904 15 136 16 168 13 181 11 181 11 189 27904 26129 12 139 17 166 14 173 8 177 11 185 26129 24274 8 152 13 175 11 186 4 168 7 172 24274 22340 2 126 9 196 6 233 4 258 2 220 22340 20315 3 048 3 186 2 282 5 335 4 018 20315 18198 8 104 5 141 2 206 5 289 8 335 18198 16041 11 065 8 074 4 108 1 114 5 011 16041 13968 13 040 13 042 8 059 9 062 10 056 13968 12082 13 035 12 036 8 043 9 041 13 055 12082 10403 10 030 10 030 8 037 8 050 10 058 10403 8909 8 034 8 033 7 035 6 049 5 065 8909 7579 7 044 6 046 5 043 5 054 3 093 7579 6399 4 051 3 047 2*003 2 038 5 122 6399 5354 4 011 4 010 2*325 1 005 6 126 5354 4434 3 345 3*319 2 319 0 051 6 129 4434 3621 2 273 3*300 2 311 1 126 5 143 3621 2892 3 187 2 298 1 308 2 130 6 158 2892 2248 5 149 2 299 1 305 2 129 8 157 2248 1710 6*109 2 299 1 300 3 126 9 148 1710 1297 4*070 2 303 1 304 3 125 9 137 1297 1014 4 068 2 304 1 296 3 123 9 131 1014 841 4 067 2 304 1 295 3*124 7*132 841 743 4 066 2 305 1 296 2*126 4*134 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography