DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 76.3 - - 74.4 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 270 - - 46 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2421 - - 4280 - - 2806 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1792 - - 3493 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3081 - - 4940 - - 3466 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2361 - - 2213 - - 2521 - - 2192 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 428 - - 209 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 055 - - 050 - - 050 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -10 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 356 - - -106 - - -846 - - -1314 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2725 - - 5047 - - 4312 - - 2056 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 247 - - -529 - - -1958 - - -3529 ODpotential blCL - - - 2834 - - 5469 - - 5424 - - 4271 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 86 - - 75 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 310 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 76.3 - - 74.4 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.1 - - 56.8 - - 58.1 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 74.6 - - 73.9 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 56.3 - - 57.8 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 270 - - 46 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2421 - - 4280 - - 2806 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98134 6 169 14 189 7 201 6 292 98134 90700 8 166 11 168 4 189 4 176 90700 84955 9 160 11 178 3 146 3 201 84955 80193 8 183 8 167 6 162 7 158 80193 76106 8 194 6 206 7 173 4 263 76106 72521 12 225 7 264 7 259 7 257 72521 69291 8 234 6 239 8 252 7 261 69291 66339 14 259 13 266 12 262 17 249 66339 63612 18 273 20 273 18 280 13 258 63612 60979 24 280 27 271 32 284 29 286 60979 58245 31 270 32 263 36 272 31 282 58245 55414 33 254 29 263 33 264 36 279 55414 52717 29 254 36 269 36 271 40 278 52717 50294 38 261 37 267 39 270 41 280 50294 48114 41 264 35 265 35 273 37 281 48114 46123 44 261 42 281 39 289 38 295 46123 44300 46 258 48 283 49 292 47 297 44300 42624 43 261 46 286 51 290 50 290 42624 41063 36 261 48 287 45 291 47 286 41063 39593 33 265 35 287 40 299 41 292 39593 38205 29 266 23 305 36 307 38 303 38205 36861 22 264 23 343 32 319 35 310 36861 35493 12 298 29 356 32 337 28 324 35493 34072 17 349 34 355 33 352 26 342 34072 32597 18 343 36 352 36 358 28 349 32597 31054 14 314 36 354 34 002 31 358 31054 29431 13 298 33 356 32 007 28 001 29431 27729 9 295 27 353 31 004 26 358 27729 25943 4 352 20 346 29 356 28 355 25943 24080 12 342 17 348 27 351 27 353 24080 22142 14 341 20 357 26 341 23 345 22142 20120 11 342 22 002 22 337 22 345 20120 18012 6 341 22 002 16 344 21 351 18012 15864 4 352 18 003 20 348 19 354 15864 13790 7 315 10 337 22 354 21 001 13790 11904 9 334 9 321 15 359 19 011 11904 10232 7 007 8 336 8 351 15 012 10232 8753 7 005 9 005 9 037 9 019 8753 7442 9 005 11 015 14 029 9 041 7442 6282 12 018 11 037 16 028 12 051 6282 5257 15 044 12*049 14 040 14 059 5257 4354 16 052 13*051 12 049 14 064 4354 3557 15*055 13 051 12*050 13 067 3557 2844 14*056 13 051 11*050 13 068 2844 2214 12 055 13 050 11 050 12 068 2214 1688 12 055 13 049 11 050 12 066 1688 1285 11 055 12 049 11 049 10 062 1285 1007 11 055 12 048 10 049 9 056 1007 839 10 055 11 048 10 048 7*048 839 742 9 054 10 048 8 048 4*040 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography