DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 66.8 - - 59.9 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 6 - - -5 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1228 - - 559 - - 1118 - - 207 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 725 - - 726 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1888 - - 1219 - - 1778 - - 867 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1357 - - 2959 - - 839 - - 2022 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 184 - - 69 - - 84 - - 46 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 8 - - 28 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 214 - - 002 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 3 - - 15 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -1 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -104 - - -241 - - 556 - - -1051 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1993 - - 1460 - - 1222 - - 1918 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -744 - - -736 - - -52 - - -10533 ODpotential blCL - - - 2632 - - 1955 - - 1830 - - 11400 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 890 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 66.8 - - 59.9 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 62.7 - - 57.0 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 67.0 - - 60.1 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 62.4 - - 56.4 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 6 - - -5 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1228 - - 559 - - 1118 - - 207 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 86 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96283 18 340 14 260 24 277 29 302 96283 89125 4 341 10 297 9 340 12 328 89125 83601 5 289 4 311 10 318 13 343 83601 79007 13 247 13 292 16 308 11 310 79007 75043 12 230 20 261 15 280 9 310 75043 71526 15 253 19 281 19 295 18 304 71526 68343 26 270 28 272 26 282 22 283 68343 65425 27 264 26 263 28 276 27 283 65425 62726 24 279 24 280 34 282 40 286 62726 60132 38 284 43 285 47 276 54 281 60132 57446 54 272 59 280 54 280 63 274 57446 54657 66 268 72 277 64 279 65 272 54657 51979 72 270 82 275 73 280 71 283 51979 49559 77 273 86 275 85 283 87 285 49559 47390 81 278 88 276 99 282 99 283 47390 45424 88 283 92 278 104 279 108 280 45424 43623 92 284 96 280 106 278 111 278 43623 41960 92 284 100 281 104 280 109 278 41960 40411 91 284 96 281 105 283 104 281 40411 38959 87 283 90 279 105 283 97 284 38959 37589 78 283 82 281 100 279 95 285 37589 36261 67 286 72 283 91 277 95 284 36261 34904 63 289 60 286 78 277 94 281 34904 33494 57 289 55 287 58 274 90 279 33494 32036 52 284 51 288 47 273 75 279 32036 30514 48 280 43 284 44 270 54 273 30514 28917 47 283 44 280 41 265 41 267 28917 27242 46 286 44 281 37 266 38 264 27242 25486 42 288 35 280 33 267 36 262 25486 23649 39 286 33 280 32 267 34 261 23649 21738 40 281 32 275 31 268 34 260 21738 19749 43 275 31 272 30 264 34 258 19749 17679 43 271 33 272 29 266 32 259 17679 15568 41 270 35 277 28 269 28 264 15568 13531 33 271 28 278 22 263 25 268 13531 11675 24 279 22 280 17 254 18 260 11675 10025 22 281 20 274 14 246 14 241 10025 8560 22 267 19 267 13 249 12 246 8560 7260 25 254 20 265 11 259 11 266 7260 6108 29 245 22 262 9 272 10 277 6108 5089 36 233 22 257 10 298 7 317 5089 4195 38 227 21 251 13 327 12 021 4195 3415 37 222 19 245 19 350 31 024 3415 2731 33 214 16 238 30 006 38 018 2731 2133 28*208 15 234 33*005 37 016 2133 1636 23*201 12 224 33*004 34 015 1636 1254 21 200 11*219 31 003 31 014 1254 991 19 199 10*216 27 002 27*013 991 832 17 198 9 214 24 001 23*012 832 741 14 198 7 212 18 000 17 012 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography