DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.5 - - 77.3 - - 84.5 - - 83.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 67 - - 137 - - 304 - - 83 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1224 - - 1800 - - 3470 - - 3819 - - 665 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 1373 - - 2924 - - 2445 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1884 - - 2460 - - 4130 - - 4479 - - 1325 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1845 - - 1805 - - 2204 - - 1272 - - 2560 Hgt.Variab. W* 180 - - 257 - - 415 - - 280 - - 66 W* B/S 6 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 105 - - 135 - - 114 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -11 - - -3 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 465 - - 245 - - -113 - - 559 - - -211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1419 - - 2215 - - 4243 - - 3920 - - 1537 sfcLCL ODpotential 254 - - -164 - - -803 - - 276 - - -1270 ODpotential blCL 1630 - - 2624 - - 4933 - - 4203 - - 2595 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 85 - - 95 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 970 - - 910 - - 1150 - - 1100 - - 1560 CAPE Temp@2m 74.5 - - 77.3 - - 84.5 - - 83.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.4 - - 69.8 - - 68.2 - - 68.0 - - 72.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.8 - - 76.2 - - 82.6 - - 82.2 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.1 - - 69.5 - - 67.8 - - 67.8 - - 71.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 67 - - 137 - - 304 - - 83 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1224 - - 1800 - - 3470 - - 3819 - - 665 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 83 - - 40 - - 80 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 16 - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98797 52 099 41 098 44 091 37 081 46 076 98797 91390 48 086 43 092 43 093 46 087 42 094 91390 85683 46 080 46 087 40 089 46 094 44 094 85683 80945 38 084 40 087 39 079 39 096 41 085 80945 76872 33 089 37 092 32 079 36 087 34 084 76872 73294 28 087 33 094 28 099 25 073 33 085 73294 70067 20 078 28 090 29 101 20 086 26 080 70067 67102 14 075 22 088 24 100 20 085 22 080 67102 64354 15 091 15 091 19 095 18 086 17 076 64354 61698 14 092 11 092 10 075 12 089 11 082 61698 58941 12 087 10 092 10 062 11 089 10 080 58941 56084 9 069 9 087 5 084 8 072 9 052 56084 53359 7 061 6 048 6 109 2 049 5 350 53359 50910 4 044 1 006 4 004 5 231 5 266 50910 48705 7 299 3 280 8 296 5 247 6 221 48705 46689 15 262 8 268 11 244 12 260 11 248 46689 44833 19 245 15 251 20 216 25 242 22 235 44833 43118 24 233 25 237 27 220 33 237 34 233 43118 41523 30 227 37 232 37 224 43 230 44 229 41523 40027 37 223 47 225 43 223 49 220 52 224 40027 38614 44 219 56 217 49 217 51 217 59 218 38614 37246 50 218 66 210 54 208 52 219 61 215 37246 35852 48 216 70 204 59 201 53 222 60 214 35852 34402 38 215 69 205 60 200 53 223 53 215 34402 32899 30 222 68 213 59 201 49 219 46 219 32899 31332 31 224 56 221 55 208 45 212 47 220 31332 29686 29 223 37 223 41 225 38 218 45 220 29686 27960 19 222 33 225 29 238 29 237 27 229 27960 26161 7 218 17 225 19 247 15 263 6 254 26161 24289 1 266 8 204 11 273 10 302 5 359 24289 22340 4 001 2 173 6 289 10 310 5 349 22340 20312 6 006 5 028 5 013 7 348 5 338 20312 18200 4 333 8 026 7 065 5 024 5 342 18200 16046 1 270 3 006 5 075 5 025 5 343 16046 13965 2 002 1 038 3 109 0 003 1 011 13965 12071 5 356 2 003 1 111 4 241 1 075 12071 10387 7 004 3 358 1 342 4 233 1 041 10387 8892 9 020 4 035 5 009 1 114 0 294 8892 7562 10 033 6 058 7 030 4 039 2 097 7562 6381 8 037 7 058 8 056 8 043 7 120 6381 5336 5 029 6 048 7 077 7*079 10 109 5336 4416 4 031 5 055 6*097 7*100 8 123 4416 3606 4 050 5 076 6*120 8 109 7 148 3606 2881 4 059 5*095 6 132 8 114 7 155 2881 2240 5*086 6*103 7 136 9 116 8 152 2240 1705 6*094 6 104 7 138 9 118 10*135 1705 1294 6 096 6 106 7 140 9 119 9*128 1294 1012 6 097 5 106 7 140 9 120 9 127 1012 841 5 098 5 107 7 141 8 121 8 126 841 743 5 098 5 108 6 142 8 120 6 126 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography