DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 78.6 - - 79.2 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 11 - - 6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1777 - - 831 - - 1306 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 727 - - 727 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2437 - - 1491 - - 1966 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2107 - - 2816 - - 2538 - - 2211 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 158 - - 99 - - 107 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 176 - - 170 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 988 - - 259 - - 530 - - -178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1449 - - 1232 - - 1436 - - 921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 292 - - -495 - - -183 - - -1560 ODpotential blCL - - - 2145 - - 1986 - - 2149 - - 2303 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 99 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 1610 - - 1760 - - 1650 - - 1320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 78.6 - - 79.2 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.7 - - 75.1 - - 74.8 - - 74.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 78.5 - - 79.2 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 74.7 - - 74.2 - - 74.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 11 - - 6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1777 - - 831 - - 1306 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 102 - - 95 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 19 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98825 38 103 39 094 35 085 39 078 98825 91386 32 086 35 104 28 097 32 085 91386 85656 29 093 33 098 31 098 29 092 85656 80884 28 097 34 086 33 085 31 087 80884 76773 28 102 31 086 30 077 34 080 76773 73156 31 106 29 095 29 082 31 079 73156 69911 33 099 29 100 31 087 28 084 69911 66956 29 097 26 099 26 087 27 095 66956 64229 26 094 24 102 18 090 23 086 64229 61600 26 094 23 096 14 105 15 074 61600 58886 23 088 20 093 14 105 14 076 58886 56097 20 069 20 069 17 089 15 079 56097 53451 14 056 15 043 16 035 19 048 53451 51078 15 060 13 049 13 013 16 017 51078 48943 21 049 19 059 12 047 11 007 48943 46988 28 020 26 035 19 029 18 004 46988 45181 36 008 34 014 28 016 22 005 45181 43498 38 357 41 357 36 002 29 009 43498 41915 36 356 39 349 36 352 32 357 41915 40419 35 357 35 346 31 350 32 346 40419 39000 32 358 31 354 25 351 32 344 39000 37621 29 002 25 007 23 347 28 342 37621 36214 25 006 18 007 22 340 27 336 36214 34750 20 357 17 001 19 339 26 330 34750 33237 16 348 19 356 16 347 17 331 33237 31655 15 349 19 000 15 360 14 344 31655 29992 13 352 15 005 14 018 15 360 29992 28246 11 003 11 358 9 029 13 002 28246 26421 8 012 8 348 8 008 10 346 26421 24518 3 135 3 336 7 348 11 344 24518 22537 5 151 3 245 8 340 10 005 22537 20475 4 148 6 281 11 320 10 038 20475 18329 8 138 1 062 8 323 6 044 18329 16142 5 148 1 048 8 042 6 074 16142 14035 6 264 3 275 7 065 7 094 14035 12119 5 261 3 192 2 069 7 078 12119 10418 4 194 6 177 3 161 4 142 10418 8909 9 155 12 171 9 163 14 168 8909 7573 14 162 15 170 12 155 18 170 7573 6388 16 172 16 169 13 159 20 172 6388 5342 16 178 18 173 12 173 23 170 5342 4423 18 182 20 177 14 181 25 166 4423 3611 19 182 21 177 17 177 24 163 3611 2885 18*181 20 177 17 175 22 164 2885 2243 16*178 17 178 16*173 19 167 2243 1707 15 176 14*178 13*170 16 173 1707 1296 14 176 11*177 11 170 13 179 1296 1013 12 176 9 176 10 170 10 181 1013 841 11 176 8 176 9 170 9 181 841 743 9 175 7 176 8 170 4*178 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography