DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 41.6 - - 51.9 - - 46.6 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 67 - - 297 - - 212 - - -1 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1066 - - 1697 - - 2202 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 723 - - 1593 - - 1841 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1726 - - 2357 - - 2862 - - 741 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 640 - - 482 - - 598 - - 2379 - - 78 Hgt.Variab. W* 167 - - 321 - - 313 - - 12 - - 24 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 - - 5 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 318 - - 282 - - 340 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -849 - - -2202 - - -4846 - - -5470 - - -2933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2575 - - 4560 - - 7708 - - 6211 - - 3674 sfcLCL ODpotential -13585 - - -13769 - - -14609 - - -17346 - - -15963 ODpotential blCL 15311 - - 16126 - - 17471 - - 18087 - - 16703 blCL maxRH 93 - - 71 - - 40 - - 34 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 41.6 - - 51.9 - - 46.6 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.9 - - 24.6 - - 21.2 - - 22.6 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.9 - - 40.0 - - 50.6 - - 51.3 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.9 - - 24.6 - - 21.1 - - 22.6 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 67 - - 297 - - 212 - - -1 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1066 - - 1697 - - 2202 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96255 20 280 16 293 10 284 28 273 29 276 96255 89140 11 270 13 267 18 267 20 275 14 272 89140 83640 13 264 14 267 20 257 18 280 10 265 83640 79045 9 281 13 253 21 262 20 276 14 282 79045 75052 6 313 9 244 15 254 21 270 14 273 75052 71512 11 323 7 297 10 252 18 270 13 262 71512 68309 11 306 11 296 10 290 15 282 11 278 68309 65374 12 277 13 277 15 308 17 282 17 277 65374 62656 17 275 20 279 23 293 24 282 23 270 62656 60017 25 269 28 277 34 275 35 280 35 280 60017 57265 32 277 33 280 37 273 42 277 45 283 57265 54416 39 286 45 289 47 282 55 280 54 284 54416 51697 54 287 57 286 55 280 62 281 61 283 51697 49242 61 289 65 287 63 284 65 282 64 280 49242 47036 67 293 68 289 70 287 64 283 63 281 47036 45035 66 300 66 293 69 290 60 290 63 287 45035 43216 65 301 63 295 67 291 67 293 65 289 43216 41550 62 306 59 300 57 296 56 293 65 286 41550 40007 61 315 47 310 57 317 54 308 64 292 40007 38570 57 320 48 325 68 321 64 306 61 299 38570 37230 58 328 50 329 71 316 67 299 59 300 37230 35936 61 323 50 325 53 311 61 299 59 298 35936 34613 57 320 48 324 38 320 60 301 59 297 34613 33232 52 325 47 323 39 341 52 308 59 298 33232 31797 52 332 49 323 44 338 49 318 58 298 31797 30296 55 336 52 324 48 332 49 321 54 299 30296 28717 57 338 54 325 48 328 48 321 51 300 28717 27061 57 338 54 325 47 324 44 319 50 303 27061 25324 58 336 50 326 45 325 44 314 49 304 25324 23507 60 335 46 323 43 326 45 314 45 300 23507 21615 58 337 46 320 46 324 41 316 41 298 21615 19639 52 339 47 323 51 320 38 323 39 304 19639 17576 46 340 43 329 48 314 39 330 35 312 17576 15468 45 339 39 329 41 317 41 328 33 326 15468 13439 43 339 38 332 37 321 38 325 35 326 13439 11597 40 338 36 337 33 324 34 330 35 323 11597 9966 38 338 33 337 30 326 35 333 29 324 9966 8520 34 344 31 336 29 326 35 328 27 329 8520 7238 31 343 28 337 29 324 31 325 23 341 7238 6100 29 340 26 336 27 322 30 323 22 350 6100 5096 28 340 25 335 22 317 29 311 24 342 5096 4215 29 340 23 331 20 301 24 300 28 312 4215 3440 27 343 21 327 17*296 16 285 24 294 3440 2750 22 350 12*320 6*283 8 278 17 279 2750 2143 21*346 8*317 6 282 6 283 10 271 2143 1640 17*335 8 318 6 281 5 289 5 249 1640 1255 15 331 8 318 6 281 3 302 5 195 1255 991 14 330 7 318 5 281 2 322 6 174 991 832 12 330 7 318 5 281 2*337 4 166 832 740 10 329 6 319 5 282 1*340 1*151 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography