DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.2 - - 74.9 - - 81.3 - - 72.9 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 254 - - 179 - - -15 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 221 - - 1234 - - 2653 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1220 - - 2105 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 881 - - 1894 - - 3313 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 276 - - 645 - - 4594 - - 1459 - - 172 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 275 - - 318 - - 11 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 264 - - 238 - - 205 - - 160 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3142 - - -5638 - - -6001 - - -6108 - - -2681 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4023 - - 7533 - - 9314 - - 6852 - - 3423 sfcLCL ODpotential -11275 - - -10849 - - -10663 - - -12547 - - -8975 ODpotential blCL 12156 - - 12743 - - 13976 - - 13290 - - 9717 blCL maxRH 60 - - 41 - - 73 - - 34 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.2 - - 74.9 - - 81.3 - - 72.9 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.8 - - 44.9 - - 43.2 - - 46.0 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 73.3 - - 80.0 - - 75.7 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.8 - - 44.8 - - 43.2 - - 46.0 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 254 - - 179 - - -15 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 221 - - 1234 - - 2653 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96505 1 249 4 121 8 269 20 301 12 331 96505 89290 6 050 11 101 5 064 15 033 16 065 89290 83773 18 068 15 075 12 082 15 051 16 085 83773 79192 14 063 10 070 9 060 16 055 13 095 79192 75253 11 057 8 052 4 046 11 047 14 083 75253 71789 7 348 12 028 5 064 2 048 8 042 71789 68661 6 225 5 280 10 340 2 321 4 080 68661 65795 6 294 6 240 14 291 11 318 11 319 65795 63166 22 301 18 275 20 267 22 292 23 300 63166 60634 28 288 30 286 24 289 31 267 26 273 60634 57965 30 272 38 274 37 288 31 276 25 270 57965 55165 36 275 38 271 46 281 39 279 39 269 55165 52483 39 282 45 274 55 263 48 264 47 270 52483 50067 48 270 52 266 56 263 51 272 58 272 50067 47892 69 267 58 272 65 269 63 280 72 262 47892 45921 97 265 78 271 76 269 81 267 88 258 45921 44115 105 255 97 259 86 263 97 260 103 255 44115 42446 91 256 95 256 98 257 102 255 105 254 42446 40893 82 260 90 259 90 258 92 254 93 254 40893 39436 90 277 100 273 96 272 86 269 82 255 39436 38062 110 279 105 272 98 272 91 270 71 266 38062 36731 108 278 102 271 94 271 93 269 77 270 36731 35376 103 277 98 270 95 270 94 271 77 268 35376 33962 98 274 94 268 91 269 91 273 77 268 33962 32492 98 270 88 267 87 268 84 272 75 268 32492 30953 92 273 83 269 81 268 80 268 74 266 30953 29332 69 273 69 269 74 271 75 269 74 267 29332 27634 58 280 55 277 62 270 63 273 67 269 27634 25861 53 291 44 280 45 273 49 276 59 266 25861 24012 29 290 34 280 33 278 31 255 53 264 24012 22090 22 283 27 277 30 276 18 251 45 264 22090 20086 19 283 22 280 31 277 22 259 40 259 20086 17992 14 288 17 282 24 279 26 264 35 263 17992 15854 11 284 12 271 18 274 24 285 27 261 15854 13792 12 286 10 268 16 274 23 287 20 253 13792 11915 11 288 4 256 13 271 22 272 19 274 11915 10250 8 283 4 257 13 253 21 268 23 270 10250 8775 6 265 7 230 14 238 22 256 27 263 8775 7469 5 264 9 218 14 228 22 236 27 251 7469 6310 5 259 10 212 12 223 22 228 22 237 6310 5283 6 252 10 204 11 222 19 223 19 229 5283 4376 7 243 10 201 9 218 16 218 18 224 4376 3573 8 241 10 209 7*213 14 208 20 217 3573 2855 9 242 10 222 7*208 13 195 25 208 2855 2220 8 253 6*234 7 207 14 183 30 201 2220 1691 7 302 4*237 7 205 14 176 30 198 1691 1285 10 304 3 237 7 204 13 170 29 197 1285 1006 9*286 3 239 7 203 11 167 21 198 1006 838 6*267 3 241 7 203 9*164 17*198 838 742 5 262 3 239 6 203 5*160 7*196 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography