DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 91.4 - - - - - 81.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 238 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2970 - - 4460 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2536 - - 3577 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3630 - - 5120 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2051 - - 3444 - - - - - 1984 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 417 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 50 - - 24 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 129 - - - - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -339 - - -93 - - - - - -1105 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3969 - - 5213 - - - - - 1848 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1256 - - -933 - - - - - -3503 ODpotential blCL - - - 4886 - - 6053 - - - - - 4246 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 79 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 2780 - - 2990 - - - - - 3620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 91.4 - - - - - 81.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.9 - - 70.8 - - - - - 75.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.4 - - 89.9 - - - - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.5 - - 70.4 - - - - - 75.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 238 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2970 - - 4460 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 17 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98367 19 210 11 227 13 233 98367 90874 8 162 9 185 2 120 90874 85147 10 082 13 145 6 061 85147 80441 13 086 13 121 11 064 80441 76402 14 092 9 109 10 058 76402 72829 11 074 4 126 9 045 72829 69591 4 068 2 136 7 358 69591 66637 3 024 2 027 4 044 66637 63914 3 044 6 311 6 012 63914 61294 4 064 4 293 5 305 61294 58581 17 325 17 343 7 021 58581 55786 21 275 26 289 30 311 55786 53141 20 271 24 270 31 290 53141 50759 26 293 28 289 28 293 50759 48604 38 299 38 293 38 301 48604 46631 45 297 42 296 46 301 46631 44810 49 300 50 302 52 304 44810 43118 52 302 57 306 56 307 43118 41537 53 305 59 309 59 307 41537 40053 50 307 59 312 59 310 40053 38654 50 310 57 314 58 314 38654 37300 50 309 53 314 52 315 37300 35922 44 306 48 303 43 311 35922 34486 38 309 46 313 38 305 34486 32996 35 308 33 311 29 303 32996 31435 27 306 25 299 25 305 31435 29791 20 307 19 293 24 302 29791 28063 19 308 16 291 20 300 28063 26253 18 299 16 300 16 304 26253 24366 10 309 16 300 14 306 24366 22411 4 280 11 293 11 302 22411 20376 4 267 9 275 11 308 20376 18258 5 264 10 264 12 332 18258 16102 9 268 11 270 10 330 16102 14029 9 287 11 286 8 323 14029 12143 10 302 11 320 9 342 12143 10465 7 296 8 316 12 354 10465 8970 4 306 5 319 9 009 8970 7636 1 202 1 317 6 048 7636 6449 4 248 2 147 7 076 6449 5396 3 231 3*141 6 091 5396 4468 3 183 3*137 6 109 4468 3646 2*157 3 134 5 110 3646 2912 2*142 3 131 5 096 2912 2262 2 129 3 128 5 085 2262 1720 1 119 3 126 5 095 1720 1304 1 104 3 125 4 113 1304 1017 1 089 3 124 4 121 1017 843 1 084 3 123 4 123 843 743 1 083 3 122 2*123 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography