DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 80.1 - - 76.0 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 220 - - -28 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1819 - - 2463 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1702 - - 2065 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2479 - - 3123 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 592 - - 1328 - - 3033 - - 164 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 335 - - 27 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 16 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 206 - - 190 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3232 - - -3656 - - -4619 - - -2051 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5712 - - 6779 - - 5362 - - 2793 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7733 - - -7457 - - -9555 - - -9209 ODpotential blCL - - - 10212 - - 10580 - - 10298 - - 9951 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 49 - - 44 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 80.1 - - 76.0 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.2 - - 53.2 - - 55.3 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.6 - - 78.8 - - 77.2 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 52.4 - - 54.9 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 220 - - -28 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1819 - - 2463 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96851 40 271 33 274 39 273 31 290 96851 89626 21 259 14 270 21 271 17 300 89626 84097 5 096 5 238 11 248 9 319 84097 79527 14 090 6 134 3 309 6 013 79527 75585 10 072 10 064 11 032 10 055 75585 72092 9 049 8 049 16 017 18 037 72092 68938 12 043 7 083 12 009 12 023 68938 66046 10 028 8 063 11 013 11 040 66046 63359 10 348 12 009 11 347 10 360 63359 60753 10 312 13 347 11 357 11 015 60753 58044 25 347 24 003 24 358 24 004 58044 55254 33 346 31 345 34 344 32 356 55254 52597 34 329 34 326 32 331 32 340 52597 50200 27 318 30 315 29 327 30 339 50200 48043 22 339 28 320 31 332 32 342 48043 46081 33 352 34 332 34 335 37 336 46081 44283 37 349 37 328 35 332 39 331 44283 42621 38 354 36 337 35 331 37 332 42621 41071 48 001 40 349 35 341 36 340 41071 39615 50 000 44 354 38 354 38 345 39615 38241 49 354 46 356 43 357 41 348 38241 36907 47 351 47 357 43 354 43 349 36907 35547 48 353 46 356 40 350 43 349 35547 34131 45 357 46 354 39 349 42 347 34131 32661 41 359 43 355 36 349 39 344 32661 31125 39 001 37 358 30 349 33 337 31125 29506 39 004 32 360 25 349 30 331 29506 27804 40 006 34 357 24 352 28 333 27804 26016 36 000 38 353 29 355 30 339 26016 24147 33 359 36 356 29 360 30 343 24147 22202 30 006 28 358 23 358 25 344 22202 20176 30 010 22 000 22 355 30 343 20176 18072 39 001 35 001 34 357 33 352 18072 15940 36 360 43 354 42 355 39 353 15940 13888 24 006 31 351 28 352 35 349 13888 12015 18 350 21 349 25 340 25 344 12015 10344 19 344 19 337 21 333 22 345 10344 8853 15 333 19 341 19 336 22 338 8853 7526 11 325 14 326 14 327 18 325 7526 6347 7 323 8 302 12 301 12 297 6347 5303 3 258 9 233 12 272 14 276 5303 4386 4 257 14 215 17 236 22 250 4386 3579 9 255 17*212 21 223 25 230 3579 2859 14*239 17*209 21 216 23 223 2859 2223 14*224 17 207 21 208 24 210 2223 1692 14 221 17 206 19 201 26 200 1692 1286 14 220 16 205 18 196 25 195 1286 1007 13 219 16 204 15 193 19 188 1007 838 12 219 15 204 13*191 15 185 838 742 11 218 13 204 9*190 7*177 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography