DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1339z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 83.2 - - 90.5 - - 93.2 - - 90.6 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 205 - - 330 - - 260 - - 31 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1694 - - 4926 - - 6340 - - 5018 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 1489 - - 4088 - - 5092 - - 2212 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2354 - - 5586 - - 7000 - - 5678 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1991 - - 3118 - - 2340 - - 2208 - - 3697 Hgt.Variab. W* 289 - - 484 - - 490 - - 239 - - 19 W* B/S 6 - - 13 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 130 - - 108 - - 112 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 7 - - 7 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1845 - - -192 - - -15 - - -938 - - -3488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4199 - - 5778 - - 7016 - - 6616 - - 4232 sfcLCL ODpotential -4002 - - -977 - - -1524 - - -4319 - - -8481 ODpotential blCL 6356 - - 6563 - - 8524 - - 9997 - - 9225 blCL maxRH 89 - - 81 - - 63 - - 65 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 760 - - 1450 - - 1140 - - 780 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m 83.2 - - 90.5 - - 93.2 - - 90.6 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.2 - - 67.4 - - 64.8 - - 64.0 - - 65.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.8 - - 88.4 - - 91.4 - - 90.3 - - 83.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.7 - - 66.7 - - 63.9 - - 63.5 - - 65.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 205 - - 330 - - 260 - - 31 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1694 - - 4926 - - 6340 - - 5018 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98677 34 103 29 119 27 109 32 076 31 093 98677 91270 28 098 32 106 31 107 27 083 24 099 91270 85542 21 096 27 097 25 104 22 096 27 098 85542 80725 21 093 23 103 20 100 21 093 25 078 80725 76564 21 099 19 101 18 088 26 082 23 072 76564 72922 19 117 16 098 14 089 25 077 22 072 72922 69662 16 121 16 106 14 119 14 054 17 074 69662 66683 19 096 16 101 18 124 6 019 8 072 66683 63952 16 068 15 074 16 094 8 117 2 126 63952 61344 12 044 9 059 9 053 10 095 1 311 61344 58639 8 016 4 015 5 344 4 011 5 313 58639 55832 7 320 8 289 9 294 15 293 13 331 55832 53154 14 309 7 268 6 302 13 259 20 316 53154 50744 19 306 7 323 4 353 6 244 14 277 50744 48581 17 279 11 303 5 332 3 325 4 240 48581 46608 22 253 18 255 10 293 6 338 5 038 46608 44794 5 283 4 227 17 262 11 278 10 003 44794 43115 3 334 3 349 4 154 12 209 9 324 43115 41546 6 133 3 216 2 345 5 137 6 298 41546 40067 14 130 7 140 2 232 3 211 7 307 40067 38666 16 089 10 096 3 113 7 211 11 311 38666 37305 19 055 14 071 8 078 3 207 16 311 37305 35916 19 056 16 059 13 060 4 090 12 314 35916 34473 20 064 16 050 17 051 11 079 6 357 34473 32977 20 062 17 047 18 047 16 060 12 054 32977 31414 21 065 16 037 19 033 22 044 22 060 31414 29771 21 068 16 033 22 025 25 036 27 059 29771 28046 21 067 16 053 24 029 27 033 30 058 28046 26240 20 064 18 072 20 032 28 033 32 053 26240 24355 19 061 19 071 16 041 25 033 34 047 24355 22394 18 057 20 063 16 047 21 037 26 046 22394 20351 15 056 21 066 17 068 15 051 19 047 20351 18226 12 057 15 077 15 088 12 086 12 063 18226 16069 10 040 14 075 14 104 12 104 9 091 16069 13993 9 059 11 091 12 119 10 107 7 098 13993 12104 10 096 10 107 11 123 7 106 6 091 12104 10424 12 077 11 102 9 113 6 099 7 104 10424 8927 11 054 9 079 5 087 6 069 9 123 8927 7597 11 056 10 068 5*089 6 069 4 119 7597 6418 9 066 10*071 6*095 7*088 0 080 6418 5372 6 095 8*093 8 102 8*100 3 118 5372 4449 5 133 7 124 9 106 9 108 7 119 4449 3632 6 151 7 130 10 108 10 112 11 128 3632 2901 9*167 7 134 11 110 10 114 14 135 2901 2254 9*172 7 137 11 110 11 115 17 139 2254 1714 9 173 7 139 11 111 11 116 19 141 1714 1300 8 173 7 141 11 111 10 117 19 141 1300 1016 8 173 7 141 11 112 10 117 15 139 1016 842 7 173 7 142 11 112 10 117 13*139 842 744 7 173 6 141 10 112 8 118 7*137 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography