DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.7 - - 74.4 - - 76.3 - - 73.0 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 239 - - 109 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 480 - - 2414 - - 3549 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2046 - - 2457 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1140 - - 3074 - - 4209 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1282 - - 2102 - - 2245 - - 5230 - - 2272 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 338 - - 297 - - 3 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 157 - - 192 - - 239 - - 263 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2124 - - -1555 - - -41 - - -2307 - - -404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3265 - - 4629 - - 4250 - - 3050 - - 1147 sfcLCL ODpotential -4626 - - -3146 - - -197 - - -2926 - - -1940 ODpotential blCL 5766 - - 6220 - - 4406 - - 3669 - - 2683 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 30 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 68.7 - - 74.4 - - 76.3 - - 73.0 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.1 - - 56.7 - - 60.2 - - 62.1 - - 65.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.5 - - 72.9 - - 75.3 - - 74.2 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.0 - - 56.5 - - 60.1 - - 62.0 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 239 - - 109 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 480 - - 2414 - - 3549 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 79 - - 98 - - 101 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97188 64 249 71 263 68 264 69 267 69 272 97188 89966 42 255 38 262 36 264 41 264 48 276 89966 84399 23 271 19 274 20 273 21 274 27 271 84399 79796 20 287 14 284 15 295 16 309 16 285 79796 75830 15 296 14 279 13 286 15 303 11 313 75830 72321 13 310 10 274 10 274 12 304 11 339 72321 69148 12 311 6 291 13 274 13 289 12 319 69148 66229 13 305 9 318 10 291 8 269 10 295 66229 63513 17 282 14 298 10 316 9 328 9 297 63513 60885 21 277 25 281 22 288 23 282 18 294 60885 58144 28 265 31 266 31 270 25 275 22 284 58144 55311 32 253 36 271 36 273 38 282 44 280 55311 52639 39 257 44 275 47 281 50 277 45 279 52639 50251 46 270 57 275 58 287 49 286 44 293 50251 48105 57 275 63 278 68 292 58 307 81 304 48105 46159 63 275 63 284 78 292 87 299 100 295 46159 44375 71 278 66 288 75 292 99 291 94 291 44375 42726 79 281 72 288 76 295 88 290 88 308 42726 41192 82 282 75 287 84 297 99 308 112 322 41192 39749 81 279 72 282 94 299 109 311 109 317 39749 38379 76 276 70 276 97 299 104 306 105 313 38379 37044 63 274 69 269 79 293 101 302 106 314 37044 35678 48 271 62 271 65 288 100 303 109 323 35678 34255 45 269 58 274 56 281 104 307 92 322 34255 32780 45 267 53 282 51 275 92 309 76 313 32780 31234 46 267 46 282 46 275 66 304 71 305 31234 29604 49 266 44 270 41 270 54 292 60 302 29604 27893 51 262 47 266 41 268 45 276 52 303 27893 26097 48 259 50 267 45 272 43 277 48 297 26097 24216 38 258 45 269 45 276 41 284 40 285 24216 22257 34 259 41 265 38 278 38 285 34 288 22257 20217 29 268 33 260 33 274 35 282 32 291 20217 18096 24 262 30 253 28 274 29 276 31 290 18096 15939 23 264 28 252 25 266 25 285 23 295 15939 13862 16 264 19 265 22 268 19 287 16 292 13862 11973 10 264 17 264 21 280 20 275 16 280 11973 10294 8 234 11 248 18 287 22 277 18 280 10294 8805 12 200 7 199 13 267 18 281 16 280 8805 7481 14 187 7 176 11 231 16 277 14 273 7481 6306 9 176 7 189 8 249 10 267 12 270 6306 5272 7 179 7 220 6 258 5 265 10 269 5272 4366 8 178 6 241 5*253 3 276 8 242 4366 3566 8 162 5*243 4*249 3 278 6 232 3566 2850 7 157 4*226 4 244 3 276 3 237 2850 2217 8 167 4 195 4 240 3 276 1 312 2217 1690 10 172 4 188 4 235 3 273 3 351 1690 1286 10*170 4 183 4 234 3 272 4 349 1286 1008 7*160 4 180 4 232 3 270 5 345 1008 839 6 156 4 178 4 232 3*266 4*341 839 743 5 156 4 179 4 231 2*263 3*337 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography