DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.9 - - 74.1 - - 73.6 - - 74.0 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1257 - - 1998 - - 1132 - - 236 - - 68 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1917 - - 2658 - - 1792 - - 896 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1210 - - 1889 - - 1800 - - 2860 - - 1189 Hgt.Variab. W* 130 - - 177 - - 61 - - 33 - - 17 W* B/S 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 260 - - 260 - - 240 - - 121 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - 15 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 809 - - 1088 - - 564 - - -68 - - -227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1108 - - 1570 - - 1228 - - 964 - - 955 sfcLCL ODpotential 418 - - 480 - - -84 - - -1199 - - -2186 ODpotential blCL 1499 - - 2178 - - 1876 - - 2095 - - 2914 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 120 - - 280 - - 540 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m 70.9 - - 74.1 - - 73.6 - - 74.0 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.1 - - 69.2 - - 70.1 - - 71.5 - - 70.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.6 - - 73.8 - - 73.7 - - 74.1 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.5 - - 68.4 - - 69.6 - - 71.2 - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1257 - - 1998 - - 1132 - - 236 - - 68 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 63 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98250 27 089 23 098 22 102 16 100 15 079 98250 90869 22 098 17 096 17 108 15 083 22 090 90869 85160 13 106 10 096 12 107 12 081 19 100 85160 80416 10 095 11 113 9 123 9 123 10 112 80416 76335 6 071 9 108 9 140 10 134 5 129 76335 72740 3 045 5 111 4 081 8 125 3 115 72740 69505 1 018 2 157 3 017 4 031 5 097 69505 66554 1 178 2 186 0 292 4 328 6 097 66554 63843 2 151 3 180 2 215 4 284 4 098 63843 61242 4 134 4 188 3 192 4 245 1 140 61242 58550 4 088 5 176 6 207 7 229 3 224 58550 55778 6 337 2 202 7 211 10 223 11 250 55778 53148 18 306 11 296 10 274 11 245 19 262 53148 50787 25 293 20 284 20 273 19 265 22 263 50787 48662 25 293 22 275 24 267 22 259 25 269 48662 46717 27 298 23 273 26 258 22 255 30 270 46717 44921 31 295 26 272 26 260 22 262 28 263 44921 43246 31 291 27 275 26 269 21 269 23 262 43246 41672 29 283 27 278 26 274 23 279 25 278 41672 40186 28 279 27 279 26 277 28 286 27 287 40186 38778 29 282 26 278 28 277 31 287 30 290 38778 37412 29 286 26 277 28 277 31 283 30 288 37412 36020 30 290 26 277 29 277 34 280 32 283 36020 34576 32 291 28 280 31 276 34 276 32 277 34576 33083 33 290 29 281 30 275 31 269 30 269 33083 31521 32 291 28 281 28 274 29 264 30 264 31521 29875 29 294 25 284 26 275 27 264 29 266 29875 28145 25 293 19 290 21 275 23 267 24 269 28145 26330 21 291 17 292 16 271 18 263 20 270 26330 24429 15 288 15 286 15 281 11 257 16 260 24429 22447 10 288 12 271 13 275 8 266 12 250 22447 20384 6 300 7 253 9 250 8 242 12 251 20384 18235 3 002 4 206 6 250 4 235 8 247 18235 16040 2 258 6 216 5 259 3 275 3 281 16040 13929 6 214 10 194 8 216 4 254 3 331 13929 12021 11 216 13 198 11 199 5 244 3 320 12021 10332 9 223 9 219 9 202 6 247 5 295 10332 8836 6 225 8 245 4 239 7 275 9 279 8836 7511 7 249 9 262 7 277 4 279 13 267 7511 6338 7 258 6 269 7 248 4 255 16 262 6338 5302 6 242 6 254 7 238 8 258 12 250 5302 4388 5 217 7 248 8 246 9 255 8 217 4388 3582 6 213 8 251 8 242 8 247 8 192 3582 2860 6 238 9*253 8 243 6 229 8 187 2860 2221 7*261 8*256 8*242 5 200 11 183 2221 1688 7*261 8 260 7*241 5 175 14 175 1688 1279 7 260 7 262 7 240 5 155 15 168 1279 997 6 260 6 263 6 240 5*133 14 164 997 826 6 259 6 263 6 239 5*122 11 162 826 728 5 261 5 264 5 238 4 119 5*159 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography