DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.4 - - 40.0 - - 43.3 - - 41.8 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 132 - - 120 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1333 - - 1503 - - 1511 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1083 - - 1000 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1993 - - 2163 - - 2171 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 731 - - 565 - - 263 - - 1164 - - 254 Hgt.Variab. W* 165 - - 235 - - 229 - - 4 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 011 - - 009 - - 346 - - 073 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 283 - - 262 - - -179 - - -1144 - - -589 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1710 - - 1901 - - 2350 - - 1884 - - 1329 sfcLCL ODpotential 411 - - 401 - - -10558 - - -11825 - - -11645 ODpotential blCL 1582 - - 1762 - - 12729 - - 12565 - - 12385 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 78 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.4 - - 40.0 - - 43.3 - - 41.8 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 34.8 - - 36.0 - - 36.6 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 39.2 - - 42.5 - - 43.7 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.9 - - 34.5 - - 35.9 - - 36.6 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 132 - - 120 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1333 - - 1503 - - 1511 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 93 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96258 17 262 26 261 23 273 21 259 25 271 96258 89018 24 277 19 269 19 262 23 287 16 288 89018 83446 24 273 12 254 20 252 25 293 18 293 83446 78835 28 263 17 243 21 254 27 287 11 309 78835 74858 26 275 19 245 20 267 27 275 18 300 74858 71339 33 280 24 266 22 279 22 268 19 274 71339 68183 44 275 36 277 33 285 20 279 19 277 68183 65307 44 274 49 280 44 289 29 281 29 282 65307 62657 43 272 55 272 50 286 44 282 39 283 62657 60094 43 274 54 268 55 278 53 282 52 285 60094 57410 48 282 55 268 58 270 59 277 62 278 57410 54626 61 283 59 268 62 267 66 273 73 268 54626 51971 72 274 64 271 70 264 73 270 80 265 51971 49577 74 270 71 273 74 263 79 266 84 266 49577 47418 77 275 77 275 81 271 83 266 87 266 47418 45446 85 275 82 275 87 274 88 267 90 267 45446 43629 91 270 87 272 91 274 92 268 92 269 43629 41941 92 268 90 269 92 272 93 269 91 270 41941 40364 91 269 90 267 92 270 93 270 89 272 40364 38886 90 273 88 270 92 270 93 271 89 274 38886 37494 91 274 90 273 94 271 95 273 90 276 37494 36152 90 273 93 271 96 270 98 272 93 276 36152 34789 82 272 87 270 92 268 97 269 97 273 34789 33377 72 275 78 274 87 272 91 271 96 269 33377 31917 66 283 71 281 82 278 86 276 93 270 31917 30397 64 289 67 286 79 284 84 280 85 274 30397 28805 64 293 66 288 75 287 79 284 75 278 28805 27140 61 294 63 288 71 287 70 286 70 279 27140 25397 59 293 58 288 65 287 64 288 63 280 25397 23573 57 295 54 289 60 290 62 289 58 283 23573 21671 51 292 49 290 57 294 60 290 54 288 21671 19685 44 297 44 288 52 295 55 292 48 292 19685 17611 38 306 34 284 43 296 47 296 42 294 17611 15495 29 306 29 286 39 295 41 296 38 303 15495 13453 28 307 30 292 36 297 36 306 32 319 13453 11599 28 313 29 306 30 300 31 313 24 323 11599 9961 24 335 23 328 20 312 25 307 23 315 9961 8516 30 352 22 343 17 331 17 304 22 302 8516 7237 28 352 21 355 17 351 13 317 15 294 7237 6103 20 349 14 349 16 352 11 337 7 278 6103 5100 17 355 9 348 12 339 9 350 4 249 5100 4217 17 002 8 359 8 324 7 337 4 244 4217 3440 17 011 8 357 6 339 6 323 3 219 3440 2747 14 019 6*004 4*337 4 303 3 179 2747 2138 12*016 5*008 3*341 3 281 5 188 2138 1635 11*013 5 008 3 344 0 311 7 172 1635 1252 10 011 5 010 3 348 2 067 9 145 1252 989 10 011 4 010 3 349 3 069 10 126 989 831 9 011 4 009 3 349 4*072 7*125 831 740 8 010 4 010 3 350 3*073 3*129 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography