DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.0 - - 32.7 - - 32.6 - - 23.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 185 - - 16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3412 - - 3589 - - 3320 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2906 - - 3583 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4849 - - 5026 - - 4757 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 803 - - 895 - - 1083 - - 3320 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 357 - - 159 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 296 - - 283 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 570 - - 233 - - -185 - - -1857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4279 - - 4793 - - 4942 - - 3148 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5154 - - -4477 - - -4392 - - -7881 ODpotential blCL - - - 10003 - - 9503 - - 9149 - - 9172 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 83 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.0 - - 32.7 - - 32.6 - - 23.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.8 - - 16.2 - - 15.4 - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.7 - - 31.9 - - 32.5 - - 27.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.7 - - 15.2 - - 15.0 - - 14.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 185 - - 16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3412 - - 3589 - - 3320 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 31 - - 43 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95251 99 231 111 244 97 241 89 239 95251 88219 79 246 71 237 73 242 76 255 88219 82840 63 254 59 246 67 256 53 249 82840 78354 40 247 49 247 47 252 35 232 78354 74381 38 254 39 221 34 227 38 266 74381 70819 54 265 36 248 40 257 71 273 70819 67646 64 263 63 268 68 268 79 267 67646 64780 62 260 67 264 70 263 60 265 64780 62103 57 262 60 261 55 264 55 260 62103 59460 57 260 59 257 52 263 53 253 59460 56658 55 253 58 253 55 257 51 256 56658 53716 54 255 58 254 58 254 60 266 53716 50896 58 260 60 259 58 255 68 264 50896 48350 65 262 63 259 57 259 67 264 48350 46067 72 262 62 256 60 265 70 270 46067 44001 73 260 60 256 65 268 77 272 44001 42110 71 260 60 260 70 269 80 272 42110 40363 70 264 65 265 74 271 82 276 40363 38745 71 266 70 267 79 274 90 281 38745 37246 75 265 75 269 83 274 97 282 37246 35847 78 262 80 269 85 274 99 282 35847 34507 81 260 84 269 87 275 101 281 34507 33159 85 257 85 266 87 274 104 283 33159 31779 88 255 82 263 83 273 108 285 31779 30372 87 253 77 262 80 274 115 289 30372 28918 81 253 72 265 77 277 123 292 28918 27400 74 255 71 271 79 283 127 293 27400 25814 70 261 74 275 80 287 126 291 25814 24156 69 265 77 278 79 286 123 292 24156 22430 65 263 80 280 76 284 104 290 22430 20646 51 262 75 280 74 283 89 283 20646 18802 36 266 59 276 71 285 80 280 18802 16892 33 268 45 271 61 285 68 284 16892 14945 32 269 39 272 48 283 56 282 14945 13070 32 274 37 276 42 282 46 279 13070 11370 31 281 36 281 39 282 40 280 11370 9863 31 290 33 286 36 283 35 282 9863 8525 32 298 31 293 33 285 30 285 8525 7337 34 304 30 298 31 287 27 288 7337 6286 33 306 26 299 28 287 25 290 6286 5361 28*305 19*296 23*284 24 289 5361 4549 22*304 19*296 20*283 24 286 4549 3833 21 304 19 296 20 283 22 282 3833 3192 20 304 19 296 19 283 21 280 3192 2623 19 304 18 296 19 283 19 278 2623 2148 18 304 18 296 18 283 16 274 2148 1782 17 304 17 297 17 283 14 270 1782 1531 16 303 16 297 15 283 11 263 1531 1378 14 304 15 297 13 283 8*252 1378 1290 11 303 12 297 10 283 4*223 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography