DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.3 - - 82.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 65 - - 13 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1926 - - 1564 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1931 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3363 - - 3001 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2587 - - 3659 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 232 - - 151 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 211 - - 221 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 530 - - 95 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2833 - - 2906 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -712 - - -1665 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4075 - - 4666 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2040 - - 2340 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.3 - - 82.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.7 - - 73.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.8 - - 82.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 72.4 - - 72.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 65 - - 13 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1926 - - 1564 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 80 - - 99 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99376 37 098 24 081 99376 91846 32 082 25 077 91846 86033 28 074 29 079 86033 81245 27 067 30 086 81245 77139 22 064 22 083 77139 73515 13 070 13 078 73515 70228 7 087 3 078 70228 67205 10 102 3 264 67205 64404 11 070 1 287 64404 61693 8 048 4 334 61693 58891 6 277 6 290 58891 56035 9 278 13 231 56035 53366 16 298 16 287 53366 50998 22 290 26 291 50998 48876 32 274 31 262 48876 46941 28 272 34 260 46941 45147 32 280 35 264 45147 43467 39 275 39 266 43467 41884 41 272 43 265 41884 40388 39 270 45 264 40388 38971 33 269 44 265 38971 37595 31 267 43 264 37595 36193 34 267 40 262 36193 34735 38 270 37 258 34735 33228 37 272 36 259 33228 31656 28 270 32 260 31656 30008 24 269 27 258 30008 28284 25 272 25 258 28284 26486 27 268 25 260 26486 24617 29 268 26 270 24617 22680 28 266 27 275 22680 20667 27 264 27 276 20667 18573 26 269 25 274 18573 16442 26 283 24 284 16442 14393 30 298 27 288 14393 12531 32 298 28 287 12531 10875 30 294 28 285 10875 9401 27 286 27 280 9401 8092 26 281 25 273 8092 6928 24 279 21 265 6928 5894 22 276 18 256 5894 4979 18 269 15 244 4979 4170 14 249 12 231 4170 3443 13*230 11*226 3443 2801 12*216 10*227 2801 2264 12 212 8 221 2264 1851 11 209 8 219 1851 1567 11 208 7 219 1567 1394 10 207 6 218 1394 1295 8 206 5 218 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography