DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 86.0 - - 84.5 - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 81 - - 36 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1741 - - 4117 - - 2799 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1278 - - 3693 - - 1938 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3178 - - 5554 - - 4236 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3476 - - 2910 - - 3693 - - 3675 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 320 - - 226 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 24 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 313 - - 161 - - 156 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 11 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -267 - - 613 - - 462 - - -808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3445 - - 4942 - - 3774 - - 2103 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2251 - - -642 - - -1098 - - -1951 ODpotential blCL - - - 5429 - - 6196 - - 5334 - - 3246 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 88 - - 85 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1620 - - 1520 - - 2470 - - 2390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 86.0 - - 84.5 - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.7 - - 68.6 - - 71.9 - - 73.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 85.4 - - 84.3 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 67.2 - - 70.7 - - 72.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 81 - - 36 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1741 - - 4117 - - 2799 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 53 - - 42 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99176 41 090 38 085 42 084 39 087 99176 91694 34 085 37 087 40 087 32 078 91694 85924 34 087 36 090 33 088 28 070 85924 81133 29 085 26 082 23 085 25 076 81133 77021 25 089 20 080 19 078 23 087 77021 73396 23 096 18 092 15 075 21 083 73396 70119 19 092 14 100 14 069 19 072 70119 67109 19 080 14 111 15 072 15 073 67109 64323 20 067 15 101 15 089 14 094 64323 61636 14 071 13 087 14 096 13 101 61636 58862 10 122 10 088 13 103 10 120 58862 56016 14 131 11 123 8 113 8 149 56016 53312 5 129 11 131 6 156 6 153 53312 50884 4 234 6 129 4 169 6 175 50884 48717 4 212 2 174 3 207 6 196 48717 46756 5 202 5 237 7 258 11 247 46756 44957 5 218 2 242 4 239 10 238 44957 43289 9 247 4 286 5 287 7 259 43289 41727 10 232 8 259 8 294 9 275 41727 40251 12 230 10 245 7 280 12 267 40251 38853 13 229 10 239 6 251 12 259 38853 37495 12 225 9 239 6 232 11 261 37495 36110 11 211 11 229 7 228 11 267 36110 34670 10 210 13 217 11 233 11 265 34670 33177 10 217 14 210 13 236 11 262 33177 31617 12 223 12 213 13 246 13 266 31617 29977 14 228 12 226 15 258 13 273 29977 28258 15 228 14 231 16 270 11 273 28258 26464 15 226 15 234 14 277 9 266 26464 24593 14 234 15 248 12 275 9 265 24593 22653 14 245 13 257 10 274 8 270 22653 20638 11 253 8 260 9 274 8 273 20638 18546 8 258 6 248 9 267 6 260 18546 16415 5 244 6 247 8 247 7 248 16415 14362 4 217 8 253 10 251 8 241 14362 12498 4 239 10 247 10 257 7 241 12498 10844 6 239 10 243 10 256 8 244 10844 9377 7 231 10 246 11 253 9 246 9377 8071 5 235 10 248 10 255 10 244 8071 6907 4 276 8 247 8 250 9 232 6907 5873 5 304 4*234 6 243 9 215 5873 4960 5 313 3*209 5*208 9 205 4960 4154 4 319 2 178 6*167 9 204 4154 3431 3*319 3 160 7 160 8 207 3431 2792 2*317 3 153 7 155 8 210 2792 2258 2 312 3 148 7 154 7 207 2258 1847 2 314 3 144 7 152 6 206 1847 1565 2 311 3 142 7 150 5 205 1565 1393 2 312 3 143 7 151 4*202 1393 1294 2 311 2 142 6 151 3*202 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography