DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0704z - - 0959z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.9 - - 73.1 - - 78.8 - - 80.7 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 97 - - 170 - - 79 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3813 - - 5542 - - 6603 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1277 - - 3442 - - 5061 - - 5347 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top 1294 - - 5250 - - 6979 - - 8040 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3756 - - 1726 - - 1690 - - 1474 - - 5702 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 307 - - 417 - - 352 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 16 - - 16 - - 14 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 281 - - 280 - - 276 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1028 - - 871 - - 1166 - - 618 - - -4692 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2322 - - 4379 - - 5814 - - 7422 - - 5987 sfcLCL ODpotential -2330 - - 56 - - 21 - - -2862 - - -8118 ODpotential blCL 3624 - - 5194 - - 6958 - - 10902 - - 9413 blCL maxRH 98 - - 95 - - 84 - - 73 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 320 - - 450 - - 780 - - 100 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 66.9 - - 73.1 - - 78.8 - - 80.7 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.8 - - 58.1 - - 57.5 - - 52.5 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.1 - - 72.5 - - 77.8 - - 80.2 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.4 - - 57.2 - - 56.2 - - 51.2 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 97 - - 170 - - 79 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3813 - - 5542 - - 6603 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 80 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98107 8 083 12 086 11 105 7 131 2 091 98107 90578 6 070 13 096 18 130 6 148 6 114 90578 84777 5 155 13 097 16 128 13 139 5 107 84777 79989 7 131 5 135 5 093 10 116 8 127 79989 75883 1 125 8 181 3 202 3 207 6 168 75883 72262 6 192 8 202 9 235 3 246 2 277 72262 68991 3 272 7 226 12 244 11 258 5 279 68991 65996 11 284 5 233 13 262 11 266 14 291 65996 63235 11 297 2 255 12 213 11 246 19 262 63235 60554 11 305 15 315 7 197 17 217 13 245 60554 57749 26 284 26 287 26 281 26 270 23 280 57749 54862 37 270 33 267 33 262 33 279 31 282 54862 52127 36 257 35 255 35 256 42 263 39 270 52127 49675 29 256 35 252 40 253 43 255 44 265 49675 47492 42 265 41 263 41 259 40 270 48 263 47492 45527 59 263 59 272 47 271 53 278 46 266 45527 43733 68 264 73 270 51 273 53 282 45 290 43733 42085 71 265 79 265 52 280 78 307 71 298 42085 40559 70 263 80 264 58 292 98 309 86 298 40559 39125 67 260 71 268 58 287 83 307 79 298 39125 37772 65 255 64 267 55 276 59 303 70 291 37772 36462 63 253 62 266 50 272 49 296 66 285 36462 35127 62 253 60 268 48 277 44 287 59 283 35127 33739 59 255 59 268 48 279 43 278 53 278 33739 32299 57 259 57 267 48 278 43 275 52 275 32299 30795 56 264 54 267 47 280 43 276 52 278 30795 29216 54 267 49 268 46 281 43 276 48 277 29216 27561 49 269 45 268 43 277 40 277 42 271 27561 25831 42 269 41 267 44 270 39 272 39 270 25831 24026 36 267 40 266 46 266 43 273 39 276 24026 22152 32 268 38 268 44 265 46 276 37 281 22152 20202 30 273 36 272 37 264 43 274 34 280 20202 18168 33 278 34 272 34 261 40 272 34 279 18168 16093 35 278 34 269 35 265 39 275 36 285 16093 14095 35 274 34 269 35 272 36 276 33 284 14095 12281 36 272 33 270 33 273 32 272 31 274 12281 10668 36 274 34 274 32 272 28 268 32 268 10668 9234 37 279 35 282 28 273 21*267 32 263 9234 7954 38 283 34 288 21*275 15*271 28 261 7954 6815 38 287 27 289 18*277 15 272 20 261 6815 5804 35 291 22*285 18 279 15 274 12 263 5804 4909 32 291 21*284 17 279 15 276 10 266 4909 4117 28 288 19 283 17 280 14 277 8 270 4117 3405 25 284 16 281 16 281 14 279 8 274 3405 2774 21 275 15 280 15 281 14 279 7 276 2774 2247 18 266 15 280 15 282 14 280 7 278 2247 1841 15 254 14 280 14 283 13 280 6 280 1841 1561 12 246 13 280 13 283 12 280 5 280 1561 1391 10*244 12 280 12 284 12 281 4*274 1391 1294 6*241 10 280 10 283 9 281 2*256 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography