DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 1007z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.3 - - 83.7 - - 89.4 - - 90.2 - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 81 - - 115 - - 14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1826 - - 6467 - - 6279 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1259 - - 1921 - - 5578 - - 3560 - - 1259 Hcrit BL Top 1276 - - 3263 - - 7904 - - 7716 - - 1277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 280 - - 4820 - - 2559 - - 3646 - - 999 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 233 - - 400 - - 244 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 11 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 227 - - 239 - - 241 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -679 - - -1530 - - 1269 - - 454 - - -2487 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1955 - - 4794 - - 6636 - - 7262 - - 3764 sfcLCL ODpotential -4692 - - -3503 - - -182 - - -1431 - - -4768 ODpotential blCL 5968 - - 6766 - - 8086 - - 9147 - - 6045 blCL maxRH 80 - - 68 - - 73 - - 73 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 430 - - 900 - - 670 - - 340 - - 1060 CAPE Temp@2m 71.3 - - 83.7 - - 89.4 - - 90.2 - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.0 - - 67.0 - - 64.7 - - 62.8 - - 68.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.6 - - 82.9 - - 88.3 - - 90.0 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.6 - - 65.5 - - 62.7 - - 60.4 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 81 - - 115 - - 14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1826 - - 6467 - - 6279 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98828 32 078 28 071 32 076 29 093 25 084 98828 91596 27 066 26 070 27 073 26 087 25 091 91596 85984 25 071 25 078 21 076 23 081 22 076 85984 81315 23 081 22 084 18 089 18 084 19 057 81315 77286 20 088 19 091 17 099 16 095 13 055 77286 73702 15 090 15 090 15 105 12 074 9 077 73702 70446 9 083 11 092 11 101 8 042 7 086 70446 67456 6 068 7 101 4 086 5 014 5 050 67456 64699 4 008 5 128 2 241 2 270 8 328 64699 62044 9 316 5 262 5 270 6 232 12 290 62044 59287 17 293 14 270 14 283 10 263 13 271 59287 56444 22 276 20 277 25 274 19 274 16 268 56444 53756 27 273 25 285 30 269 26 277 21 273 53756 51361 31 267 31 279 34 266 32 280 28 282 51361 49221 33 261 32 266 35 261 40 280 40 283 49221 47281 36 262 34 266 29 259 40 269 47 275 47281 45506 37 266 38 269 17 269 36 250 45 264 45506 43863 36 270 32 276 23 321 32 233 40 250 43863 42321 36 269 28 288 33 319 28 245 39 241 42321 40863 36 264 26 288 35 316 29 258 37 237 40863 39476 37 255 25 284 30 314 27 254 36 248 39476 38123 37 245 23 283 23 310 25 249 35 262 38123 36738 36 240 22 278 19 294 27 262 36 269 36738 35294 36 239 25 269 26 276 31 276 35 267 35294 33796 37 243 29 269 31 273 34 281 36 269 33796 32228 36 253 33 272 33 276 35 282 33 270 32228 30574 34 264 33 274 35 281 36 284 29 269 30574 28835 28 265 31 268 39 284 37 285 28 270 28835 27011 26 260 28 256 38 280 35 283 28 272 27011 25105 28 258 27 248 33 268 32 273 28 276 25105 23120 28 262 28 252 30 258 32 263 28 278 23120 21053 27 263 27 260 32 263 35 263 26 277 21053 18901 24 256 25 265 31 273 32 269 23 277 18901 16713 20 247 25 262 29 279 28 276 21 284 16713 14612 16 247 23 258 26 281 23 279 18 297 14612 12704 13 253 19 258 21 274 17 271 16 301 12704 11010 11 264 14 256 16 261 13 251 16 287 11010 9507 10 269 12 248 11 254 10 238 13 262 9507 8170 9 270 11 238 8*249 8*235 11 246 8170 6981 10 268 12 232 7*245 7*237 11 243 6981 5926 11 255 12 232 7 242 7 237 10 241 5926 4996 12 238 13 233 7 241 7 239 10 238 4996 4174 13 228 13 234 7 238 7 241 9 231 4174 3439 12 223 13*233 6 238 7 243 9 222 3439 2790 11 217 11*230 6 237 7 244 9 212 2790 2248 10 209 9 226 6 236 7 245 9 198 2248 1833 9 201 8 226 6 236 7 246 9 185 1833 1548 8 189 8 225 6 236 6 246 8 168 1548 1374 6*172 7 225 5 235 6 247 7*155 1374 1276 4*139 6 225 5 235 5 246 5*146 1276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography