DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1007z - - 1329z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.6 - - 72.6 - - 77.3 - - 78.4 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 143 - - 194 - - 87 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4568 - - 7237 - - 7437 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1258 - - 4234 - - 6447 - - 6065 - - 1258 Hcrit BL Top 1275 - - 6005 - - 8674 - - 8874 - - 1276 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 523 - - 1787 - - 1415 - - 2171 - - 8476 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 370 - - 477 - - 380 - - 16 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 244 - - 258 - - 264 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 14 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2563 - - -1035 - - 205 - - 131 - - -4948 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3838 - - 7040 - - 8469 - - 8744 - - 6224 sfcLCL ODpotential -5340 - - -6084 - - -3509 - - -2766 - - -6429 ODpotential blCL 6615 - - 12089 - - 12183 - - 11640 - - 7705 blCL maxRH 61 - - 70 - - 67 - - 64 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 61.6 - - 72.6 - - 77.3 - - 78.4 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.4 - - 46.2 - - 44.6 - - 44.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.4 - - 71.5 - - 76.0 - - 77.8 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.8 - - 44.0 - - 41.6 - - 41.7 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 143 - - 194 - - 87 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4568 - - 7237 - - 7437 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98867 30 085 26 090 26 083 24 078 29 077 98867 91549 23 082 20 089 20 081 21 088 20 085 91549 85888 19 088 19 094 18 091 23 094 16 097 85888 81178 16 090 14 097 18 096 14 089 16 110 81178 77094 9 083 10 109 12 100 11 099 14 112 77094 73461 9 102 9 128 7 122 7 108 9 111 73461 70163 5 135 10 152 8 170 3 149 6 092 70163 67130 9 168 10 175 10 183 6 216 1 352 67130 64325 6 197 11 191 13 193 11 222 7 272 64325 61615 11 240 12 226 13 204 17 213 16 235 61615 58808 23 242 22 245 23 236 21 225 22 235 58808 55903 34 237 35 249 34 246 30 246 28 243 55903 53132 46 242 49 245 47 248 47 252 43 249 53132 50642 56 234 55 238 58 245 59 250 53 252 50642 48411 57 235 61 241 71 243 78 248 70 254 48411 46394 70 245 77 243 87 238 96 240 91 245 46394 44564 90 244 90 240 95 231 100 231 101 235 44564 42881 101 240 93 238 92 229 93 229 101 228 42881 41311 104 237 93 239 88 236 87 235 92 228 41311 39832 103 236 93 241 92 242 90 241 88 236 39832 38435 101 236 93 242 95 244 93 242 93 244 38435 37086 100 238 92 241 94 241 93 240 98 246 37086 35717 100 240 93 238 93 235 91 236 96 244 35717 34298 100 241 95 236 95 229 90 230 93 241 34298 32828 98 243 96 236 97 228 92 226 91 238 32828 31292 93 244 92 237 95 231 93 228 90 235 31292 29673 87 244 85 237 88 234 91 234 90 235 29673 27973 81 243 78 237 81 236 87 239 88 239 27973 26194 77 242 73 238 76 238 81 244 83 247 26194 24345 73 244 68 238 71 241 76 248 73 254 24345 22432 68 250 64 239 65 244 70 252 60 259 22432 20444 61 256 59 241 61 246 64 256 53 265 20444 18371 52 259 55 244 59 250 54 259 46 266 18371 16253 47 256 49 248 53 253 42 262 34 264 16253 14213 41 253 40 254 41 256 32 261 25 268 14213 12363 35 254 30 258 28 259 25 262 21 266 12363 10723 32 258 24 260 19 262 17 266 18 256 10723 9268 31 262 22 259 13*266 13*264 15 255 9268 7974 29 266 20 258 11*264 13*264 15 261 7974 6820 24 269 17*259 11 262 13 264 15 264 6820 5796 18 269 14*260 10 260 13 264 15 267 5796 4893 12 263 10 252 10 259 13 264 15 269 4893 4095 8 255 8 243 9 256 13 264 15 272 4095 3380 5 239 7 239 9 254 13 264 15 274 3380 2749 2 202 6 235 8 253 12 265 15 276 2749 2222 1 144 6 233 8 251 12 264 15 277 2222 1818 1 169 6 233 8 250 12 264 14 278 1818 1540 3 213 5 231 7 250 11 265 12 278 1540 1371 2*188 5 231 7 250 11 264 9*278 1371 1275 2*179 5 230 7 249 9 265 5*277 1275 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography