DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.7 - - 90.9 - - 83.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 267 - - 121 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 9162 - - 8469 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 8115 - - 7025 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 10599 - - 9906 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2800 - - 2966 - - 9395 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 559 - - 425 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 235 - - 238 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 790 - - -289 - - -6515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9809 - - 10195 - - 7812 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -452 - - -1964 - - -8502 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11051 - - 11870 - - 9798 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 89 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 320 - - 110 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.7 - - 90.9 - - 83.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 50.6 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.0 - - 90.1 - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.8 - - 49.5 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 267 - - 121 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 9162 - - 8469 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 56 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98177 12 141 7 246 7 043 98177 90746 4 079 7 109 6 342 90746 85053 5 021 9 078 5 026 85053 80342 5 015 9 012 10 039 80342 76289 5 088 6 357 11 009 76289 72713 14 110 2 086 10 343 72713 69475 10 112 2 122 6 334 69475 66493 5 064 2 241 1 204 66493 63746 5 013 2 205 7 194 63746 61110 5 308 2 172 10 182 61110 58368 11 261 7 238 10 221 58368 55520 16 248 11 261 15 255 55520 52799 16 222 22 256 22 250 52799 50346 16 219 22 228 25 243 50346 48146 19 231 23 228 27 243 48146 46163 18 234 23 231 30 252 46163 44366 12 223 17 218 24 253 44366 42713 8 248 12 234 20 261 42713 41166 16 278 15 288 16 283 41166 39709 21 275 22 310 17 300 39709 38331 16 271 24 319 16 307 38331 36997 10 270 15 302 19 305 36997 35637 5 261 10 292 20 296 35637 34221 5 233 6 269 13 281 34221 32753 6 233 7 226 11 237 32753 31221 7 240 8 225 13 234 31221 29612 7 233 10 244 16 243 29612 27927 11 211 14 253 18 237 27927 26163 14 204 17 237 20 242 26163 24323 16 217 20 240 22 241 24323 22415 20 233 21 253 19 237 22415 20432 21 236 20 248 15 240 20432 18369 20 228 19 242 15 240 18369 16277 21 225 19 237 15 226 16277 14270 23 230 20 228 17 225 14270 12444 21 235 18 226 18 212 12444 10817 18*238 13*229 17 205 10817 9364 15*241 12*234 16 208 9364 8066 13 240 12 235 14 212 8066 6908 13 239 12 237 12 222 6908 5878 13 237 13 238 11 232 5878 4968 12 234 14 238 9 248 4968 4162 12 233 14 239 8 260 4162 3439 12 230 14 239 8 263 3439 2797 12 228 14 239 8 265 2797 2262 11 227 14 239 8 268 2262 1849 11 226 14 239 7 269 1849 1566 11 225 13 239 6 271 1566 1393 10 225 12 239 5*273 1393 1295 9 225 10 238 2*272 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography