DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.7 - - 84.5 - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 242 - - 102 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8165 - - 7240 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 7281 - - 5997 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 9602 - - 8677 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1452 - - 1457 - - 7409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 526 - - 388 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 244 - - 233 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 934 - - -345 - - -5573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8669 - - 9022 - - 6868 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -224 - - -3954 - - -7865 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9826 - - 12631 - - 9160 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 72 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.7 - - 84.5 - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.8 - - 49.1 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.2 - - 83.7 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.6 - - 47.8 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 242 - - 102 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8165 - - 7240 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 37 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98945 24 092 26 083 20 080 98945 91387 24 079 25 086 16 090 91387 85590 19 100 20 080 16 084 85590 80796 17 103 14 080 20 070 80796 76669 11 097 10 090 16 073 76669 73038 6 129 10 099 12 077 73038 69760 8 151 6 092 7 034 69760 66749 6 149 3 254 7 330 66749 63965 4 333 2 339 6 334 63965 61270 14 265 12 270 15 285 61270 58456 16 266 19 278 22 280 58456 55548 28 263 29 270 32 272 55548 52782 33 263 41 266 41 269 52782 50287 45 260 49 261 45 266 50287 48040 50 261 55 257 37 274 48040 46020 67 261 57 262 66 269 46020 44199 74 262 70 263 54 257 44199 42526 85 261 72 255 52 249 42526 40970 87 257 65 256 70 301 40970 39514 84 255 56 263 81 304 39514 38147 80 253 50 275 72 300 38147 36822 79 253 45 280 63 295 36822 35471 75 256 44 270 52 286 35471 34066 69 260 43 265 46 273 34066 32608 66 261 40 266 48 267 32608 31082 61 263 40 265 49 266 31082 29474 57 263 42 262 44 268 29474 27789 54 262 44 261 39 264 27789 26025 51 260 43 262 38 257 26025 24188 48 259 40 265 41 255 24188 22284 47 261 36 266 48 257 22284 20305 46 262 34 267 48 258 20305 18245 47 261 37 265 41 259 18245 16152 43 258 38 263 35 262 16152 14141 36 257 34 266 32 259 14141 12314 29 259 30 270 29 257 12314 10692 20*256 23 264 26 247 10692 9254 15*252 15*238 24 224 9254 7975 14 251 15*235 20 220 7975 6835 14 248 15 235 18 222 6835 5822 13 246 14 234 17 224 5822 4924 13 243 14 234 15 227 4924 4129 12 242 14 233 15 228 4129 3414 12 240 14 233 14 229 3414 2781 12 238 14 232 13 229 2781 2251 11 237 13 232 12 229 2251 1843 11 236 13 232 11 228 1843 1562 10 236 12 231 9 226 1562 1392 10 236 12 231 7*224 1392 1294 8 236 9 231 4*219 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography