DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.8 - - 69.6 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 8 - - 27 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1574 - - 1754 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3011 - - 3191 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1888 - - 2233 - - 3457 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 132 - - 172 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 21 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 227 - - 222 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 723 - - 874 - - -433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2288 - - 2317 - - 1727 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -259 - - -51 - - -1767 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3270 - - 3242 - - 3061 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 440 - - 820 - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.8 - - 69.6 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.8 - - 63.4 - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.0 - - 69.4 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.1 - - 62.6 - - 61.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 8 - - 27 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1574 - - 1754 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 93 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97929 13 230 13 282 13 322 97929 90587 9 284 16 290 16 312 90587 84947 13 283 11 270 12 306 84947 80226 15 263 13 262 16 286 80226 76127 20 247 16 267 12 263 76127 72490 16 241 13 250 20 241 72490 69199 9 267 13 260 16 250 69199 66178 22 270 23 262 22 267 66178 63372 35 271 32 267 36 282 63372 60654 44 262 48 270 51 277 60654 57847 47 257 49 260 54 267 57847 54955 50 265 54 270 54 271 54955 52186 54 274 69 270 76 274 52186 49711 76 270 86 265 90 259 49711 47520 84 267 95 262 84 251 47520 45529 101 271 101 263 86 260 45529 43707 116 270 109 266 113 269 43707 42041 118 268 115 266 132 270 42041 40494 116 267 114 265 136 268 40494 39042 116 267 111 264 135 266 39042 37673 113 265 109 265 132 264 37673 36350 106 263 105 264 127 261 36350 35005 97 259 99 262 121 257 35005 33607 91 252 91 258 118 255 33607 32160 94 247 84 253 113 257 32160 30652 94 250 78 251 98 253 30652 29070 89 254 74 251 92 249 29070 27414 83 249 72 251 92 248 27414 25680 75 238 72 249 90 247 25680 23872 70 237 70 248 89 244 23872 21992 62 244 69 251 83 244 21992 20040 56 256 72 256 71 252 20040 18016 58 263 69 258 58 260 18016 15961 56 266 65 261 51 261 15961 13984 48 269 59 265 52 264 13984 12181 41 268 46 265 48 259 12181 10575 40 264 40 263 41 247 10575 9145 38 254 35 259 40 241 9145 7873 40 248 31 248 41 245 7873 6741 40 244 31 245 41 250 6741 5738 38 241 30 242 38 254 5738 4854 35 238 30 238 33 258 4854 4072 31 233 29 234 27 261 4072 3372 29*231 27*229 21 260 3372 2751 28*230 25*226 19 258 2751 2231 26 228 23 223 17 255 2231 1832 24 227 21 221 14 251 1832 1556 22 225 19 220 11 245 1556 1389 19 225 17 219 7*237 1389 1293 13 222 12 218 3*205 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography