DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.3 - - 77.1 - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 39 - - 23 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2822 - - 1004 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2036 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4259 - - 2441 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1919 - - 3044 - - 5653 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 228 - - 133 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 022 - - 017 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 644 - - 18 - - -1304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3615 - - 2423 - - 2600 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1024 - - -1436 - - -2949 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5283 - - 3877 - - 4244 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 99 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 260 - - 860 - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.3 - - 77.1 - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.5 - - 70.4 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.0 - - 76.9 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.1 - - 69.4 - - 67.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 39 - - 23 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2822 - - 1004 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 94 - - 97 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99450 34 082 27 094 14 080 99450 91941 24 093 22 090 22 086 91941 86115 19 096 18 102 23 081 86115 81284 19 096 18 102 16 079 81284 77141 16 108 14 093 11 083 77141 73490 16 120 11 094 12 086 73490 70183 17 117 7 119 7 074 70183 67133 10 126 6 145 8 143 67133 64312 8 154 4 184 10 152 64312 61595 9 163 5 248 7 185 61595 58796 9 223 15 228 18 246 58796 55933 19 238 17 230 24 250 55933 53222 31 254 33 261 36 254 53222 50812 43 252 49 253 46 254 50812 48676 53 248 58 249 56 249 48676 46735 59 254 62 247 60 244 46735 44938 64 259 63 247 61 245 44938 43258 67 259 61 249 60 249 43258 41681 68 259 57 252 58 251 41681 40194 69 258 53 252 55 253 40194 38787 56 251 49 250 51 254 38787 37424 40 247 43 246 49 250 37424 36037 38 256 38 250 33 247 36037 34598 28 268 28 250 25 263 34598 33106 28 284 18 264 28 267 33106 31546 32 275 26 275 29 262 31546 29909 31 265 29 270 28 265 29909 28193 28 261 28 260 28 266 28193 26399 24 268 25 259 27 257 26399 24529 22 271 22 266 23 249 24529 22585 22 274 19 264 21 243 22585 20566 22 273 17 272 17 251 20566 18470 16 264 16 286 15 267 18470 16342 14 266 15 286 13 273 16342 14293 14 270 13 275 14 271 14293 12432 14 279 10 275 14 268 12432 10779 13 282 11 266 14 259 10779 9314 9 271 15 251 17 247 9314 8015 10 272 12 251 14 257 8015 6861 7 279 8 273 9 293 6861 5840 4 315 7 305 8 333 5840 4938 4*352 6 332 8 352 4938 4138 4*012 6 352 8 356 4138 3421 4 019 5 007 8 360 3421 2785 4 022 4*010 7 003 2785 2254 3 025 4*016 6 003 2254 1845 3 026 3 017 5 005 1845 1563 3 027 3 018 4 004 1563 1392 3 027 3 017 3*002 1392 1294 2 026 3 015 1*353 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography