DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 84.1 - - 84.7 - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 35 - - -34 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 642 - - 1531 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2079 - - 2968 - - 1296 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2150 - - 4588 - - 7550 - - 3760 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 116 - - 188 - - 27 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 22 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 271 - - 294 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -1 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2371 - - -1328 - - -3327 - - -926 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4450 - - 4296 - - 4623 - - 2222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5037 - - -3168 - - -4570 - - -3399 ODpotential blCL - - - 7116 - - 6136 - - 5866 - - 4695 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 1080 - - 1270 - - 2300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 84.1 - - 84.7 - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.4 - - 69.6 - - 68.8 - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 83.9 - - 86.4 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 68.1 - - 67.5 - - 72.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 35 - - -34 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 642 - - 1531 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 99 - - 58 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98800 10 049 16 086 11 071 18 025 98800 91427 16 076 15 072 12 034 19 030 91427 85739 14 066 11 058 13 029 16 044 85739 81022 16 057 11 075 13 015 14 036 81022 76966 10 048 12 066 7 052 9 015 76966 73370 6 053 10 065 6 043 9 030 73370 70102 8 087 8 055 8 131 7 342 70102 67098 5 018 6 350 2 147 7 283 67098 64315 4 275 5 274 5 255 9 288 64315 61633 5 288 10 288 8 286 10 263 61633 58869 9 283 15 295 18 312 5 293 58869 56037 7 237 12 276 18 302 18 316 56037 53367 8 317 7 269 10 296 20 312 53367 50985 13 326 8 329 8 323 12 292 50985 48860 14 336 12 348 13 340 2 264 48860 46928 6 324 8 359 12 337 3 346 46928 45148 4 170 6 356 10 335 5 318 45148 43487 4 162 5 345 9 324 2 184 43487 41926 2 171 4 355 7 322 4 189 41926 40448 0 149 3 333 4 316 4 214 40448 39043 3 147 3 303 3 275 4 243 39043 37679 5 158 6 264 6 257 5 227 37679 36287 6 200 11 236 11 255 7 232 36287 34840 12 166 12 211 11 242 11 257 34840 33339 13 167 14 200 10 218 12 249 33339 31767 11 179 15 204 10 229 11 261 31767 30118 7 186 11 207 8 275 10 300 30118 28393 3 188 7 235 8 337 8 316 28393 26589 2 276 6 305 10 343 8 319 26589 24714 7 333 6 314 11 325 11 312 24714 22769 10 341 13 334 14 334 9 305 22769 20743 16 318 20 347 16 340 9 322 20743 18633 16 322 15 343 17 329 16 329 18633 16487 11 327 12 317 14 323 17 335 16487 14426 14 324 17 303 22 302 20 320 14426 12556 17 312 19 292 24 299 22 309 12556 10895 17 307 18 287 24 305 24 310 10895 9420 16 306 18 295 22 305 24 306 9420 8106 14 306 19 301 18 301 22 301 8106 6938 11 312 19 301 14 295 20 294 6938 5901 10 321 17 302 11 294 19 287 5901 4986 10 327 13 304 10 295 17 284 4986 4175 11 325 10 306 9 295 15 283 4175 3448 11 320 7*302 8 295 13 285 3448 2803 9 316 3*292 8 295 11 286 2803 2265 5*308 1 263 7 295 8 284 2265 1851 3*292 1 259 7 295 5 275 1851 1567 3 293 1 262 7 295 3 260 1567 1394 3 292 1 263 6*294 1*209 1394 1295 2 291 1 262 5*294 2*131 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography