DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.6 - - 35.7 - - 36.1 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 23 - - 38 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 467 - - 487 - - 543 - - 8 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1904 - - 1924 - - 1980 - - 1445 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 999 - - 862 - - 821 - - 929 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 75 - - 94 - - 113 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 15 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 145 - - 144 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -10 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 369 - - 344 - - 448 - - 154 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1535 - - 1580 - - 1532 - - 1291 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -120 - - -56 - - 78 - - 46 ODpotential blCL - - - 2024 - - 1980 - - 1902 - - 1399 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.6 - - 35.7 - - 36.1 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.8 - - 33.7 - - 34.1 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 35.6 - - 36.0 - - 34.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 33.2 - - 33.7 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 23 - - 38 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 467 - - 487 - - 543 - - 8 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96434 54 254 61 250 66 255 62 259 96434 89444 31 263 43 246 49 263 49 268 89444 84011 25 271 31 265 30 265 35 263 84011 79450 28 254 27 268 28 277 25 265 79450 75482 22 274 19 265 27 265 28 277 75482 71979 19 284 21 286 23 270 27 276 71979 68812 29 293 29 301 17 243 24 266 68812 65862 38 285 38 302 28 295 26 286 65862 63107 44 282 47 290 45 299 42 303 63107 60460 52 286 52 285 58 294 56 298 60460 57728 60 290 67 290 69 288 63 292 57728 54896 77 290 81 288 78 282 68 277 54896 52177 90 284 85 280 79 273 74 272 52177 49718 94 283 89 275 84 279 81 279 49718 47515 98 285 97 278 99 283 94 285 47515 45513 105 285 109 280 111 283 105 285 45513 43670 110 285 115 282 117 281 115 281 43670 41969 116 286 118 282 122 279 121 278 41969 40394 121 286 120 281 126 280 122 279 40394 38927 118 284 122 280 133 281 126 280 38927 37553 107 281 124 281 137 282 129 280 37553 36226 98 279 125 283 135 282 130 280 36226 34874 99 282 121 283 131 282 126 280 34874 33469 101 284 115 280 125 279 121 280 33469 32015 98 283 111 276 119 274 113 278 32015 30496 91 277 105 275 113 271 108 273 30496 28901 91 271 94 274 106 270 104 269 28901 27232 89 270 86 269 94 270 97 267 27232 25492 82 271 84 268 81 266 87 266 25492 23686 77 271 82 266 73 263 79 265 23686 21815 76 270 80 265 70 263 74 264 21815 19870 73 270 77 264 70 267 67 265 19870 17846 63 272 68 265 68 270 62 269 17846 15781 53 266 57 263 65 267 65 270 15781 13787 56 264 54 255 60 261 68 265 13787 11968 57 265 50 251 55 255 68 259 11968 10348 56 261 43 258 50 252 67 257 10348 8913 55 257 39 264 50 250 64 254 8913 7644 52 247 36 262 51 249 62 249 7644 6521 44 230 34 249 49 247 57 243 6521 5528 35 210 31 222 40 239 49 234 5528 4659 26 192 28 197 29 222 42 221 4659 3901 24 171 24 183 24 202 34 215 3901 3232 21 155 20 180 24 174 26 203 3232 2645 16 142 15 173 23 155 22 180 2645 2160 12*134 12*154 20*147 19 165 2160 1789 10*130 10*146 18*145 16 158 1789 1534 9 131 9 145 16 144 14*155 1534 1379 8 132 9 144 14 144 12*154 1379 1291 5 134 7 145 10 144 8 154 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography