DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 67.8 - - 66.2 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 61 - - -25 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1656 - - 3419 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 2951 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3093 - - 4856 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1204 - - 1047 - - 4989 - - 1757 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 271 - - 25 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 321 - - 333 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1141 - - -822 - - -3716 - - -1457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4235 - - 5679 - - 5010 - - 2751 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9219 - - -9502 - - -10933 - - -10362 ODpotential blCL - - - 12312 - - 14358 - - 12227 - - 11656 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 63 - - 59 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 67.8 - - 66.2 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 47.5 - - 48.9 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 67.4 - - 67.3 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 46.2 - - 47.7 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 61 - - -25 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1656 - - 3419 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98203 9 243 14 216 20 231 24 248 98203 90832 15 237 13 230 17 229 19 254 90832 85113 15 235 14 235 15 234 15 257 85113 80343 16 231 19 223 15 251 12 252 80343 76226 11 235 16 237 13 256 10 282 76226 72610 11 234 12 236 14 248 16 278 72610 69366 8 248 16 249 16 271 16 273 69366 66395 17 267 17 235 22 256 17 272 66395 63642 14 274 13 285 21 270 22 285 63642 60992 37 282 29 288 25 267 29 279 60992 58242 44 272 42 279 34 274 36 274 58242 55402 50 263 53 267 48 276 47 271 55402 52701 54 268 59 258 61 265 57 268 52701 50276 62 269 61 260 69 262 67 265 50276 48106 70 270 66 265 73 262 70 262 48106 46134 79 268 73 269 74 262 72 261 46134 44324 83 265 76 267 75 265 74 261 44324 42643 85 261 73 266 77 263 72 260 42643 41067 87 257 71 268 70 261 70 260 41067 39583 87 252 70 266 66 268 65 261 39583 38183 89 245 70 264 62 269 59 259 38183 36830 90 243 66 266 56 267 55 258 36830 35453 89 243 61 270 50 267 51 264 35453 34024 85 247 55 273 45 270 48 271 34024 32547 77 254 53 272 42 277 45 274 32547 31011 66 260 50 271 41 283 42 275 31011 29401 53 263 43 275 41 285 40 276 29401 27718 44 270 40 281 40 286 39 279 27718 25959 39 274 42 285 40 285 39 284 25959 24125 35 271 42 286 42 289 39 288 24125 22220 32 268 42 287 44 288 39 290 22220 20239 31 272 39 282 44 281 38 288 20239 18174 29 274 34 268 41 280 35 285 18174 16066 30 273 33 267 37 284 32 289 16066 14034 34 281 31 282 34 289 30 295 14034 12187 31 285 28 291 30 298 26 296 12187 10549 25 282 25 294 27 307 23 299 10549 9097 19 279 26 300 26 311 21 308 9097 7812 16 287 28 307 24 315 16 313 7812 6678 18 304 28 311 19 314 11 309 6678 5681 24 313 21*311 14 311 10 314 5681 4806 25 316 12*313 12 317 13 332 4806 4032 21 316 11 316 12 322 16 339 4032 3340 14*317 10 320 12 327 18 341 3340 2727 10*317 10 322 12 329 19 342 2727 2216 7 316 10 324 11 331 19 342 2216 1822 6 317 9 327 11 332 18 344 1822 1551 5 317 9 327 10 333 15 346 1551 1387 5 317 8 327 9*333 11*348 1387 1293 4 315 7 328 7*333 5*350 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography