DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.8 - - 61.9 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 102 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 839 - - 1031 - - 134 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2276 - - 2468 - - 1571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 948 - - 936 - - 1191 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 190 - - 195 - - 32 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 114 - - 121 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - -7 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 666 - - 458 - - 75 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1611 - - 2010 - - 1496 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 402 - - 263 - - -1682 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1874 - - 2205 - - 3253 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 90 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.8 - - 61.9 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.9 - - 57.2 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.1 - - 61.2 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.3 - - 56.8 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 102 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 839 - - 1031 - - 134 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98438 12 087 13 064 9 045 98438 90994 12 079 13 069 14 055 90994 85226 11 072 9 102 15 060 85226 80424 8 107 7 115 11 071 80424 76287 8 113 8 120 2 054 76287 72637 8 078 9 130 1 099 72637 69349 6 075 9 099 2 148 69349 66342 4 350 11 036 4 136 66342 63564 5 294 11 322 8 015 63564 60880 5 292 12 289 11 308 60880 58084 8 300 9 289 24 281 58084 55192 18 287 27 283 30 277 55192 52432 30 271 35 261 35 262 52432 49945 40 267 33 258 40 253 49945 47707 44 254 47 265 43 262 47707 45666 40 258 58 260 59 266 45666 43794 51 261 63 256 71 263 43794 42068 62 259 69 254 81 260 42068 40462 70 258 74 254 86 257 40462 38957 75 258 81 256 88 257 38957 37540 76 257 91 258 95 259 37540 36178 71 253 91 256 95 256 36178 34804 66 250 86 253 89 254 34804 33389 69 256 85 252 90 254 33389 31933 75 260 85 252 94 253 31933 30419 74 259 83 251 91 250 30419 28838 67 258 78 248 76 248 28838 27192 57 261 70 248 69 251 27192 25475 51 266 62 246 68 252 25475 23687 49 266 57 249 68 253 23687 21827 48 265 59 258 70 255 21827 19889 43 264 64 259 69 257 19889 17873 36 259 63 254 63 257 17873 15822 36 251 53 249 49 254 15822 13854 32 251 38 245 37 248 13854 12066 26 252 31 245 32 243 12066 10477 21 259 32 250 30 246 10477 9062 21 267 32 249 31 250 9062 7804 20 267 30 248 31 257 7804 6686 19 259 28 247 28 262 6686 5693 15 249 24 244 25 263 5693 4816 11 237 18 238 22 262 4816 4039 9 203 12 223 18 259 4039 3342 10 147 8 179 14 250 3342 2727 14*119 10*130 9 222 2727 2214 14*116 10*124 8 170 2214 1821 13 114 10 121 9*145 1821 1551 12 114 10 120 8*140 1551 1387 11 113 9 119 7 139 1387 1293 8 114 7 120 6 138 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography