DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 63.9 - - 63.9 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 27 - - -8 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1283 - - 2094 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2720 - - 3531 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1302 - - 2324 - - 6118 - - 2517 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 138 - - 181 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 225 - - 286 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1792 - - -1512 - - -3485 - - -1802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4512 - - 5043 - - 4780 - - 3096 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10551 - - -6930 - - -4508 - - -4333 ODpotential blCL - - - 13271 - - 10461 - - 5802 - - 5627 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 93 - - 66 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 63.9 - - 63.9 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 46.3 - - 47.4 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 63.7 - - 65.2 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 44.9 - - 46.2 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 27 - - -8 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1283 - - 2094 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 73 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96362 78 248 92 250 84 254 88 250 96362 89171 45 253 54 248 60 262 48 254 89171 83683 29 250 31 256 37 258 33 265 83683 79147 19 270 20 261 23 255 29 269 79147 75247 13 285 11 270 12 252 23 263 75247 71794 7 275 13 260 9 254 13 257 71794 68642 8 273 16 264 11 269 15 271 68642 65735 11 275 17 255 19 268 17 259 65735 63026 15 261 18 247 19 255 16 268 63026 60379 19 270 18 255 24 247 33 266 60379 57632 24 271 22 254 31 238 39 249 57632 54801 35 257 26 254 34 249 36 246 54801 52090 43 252 44 259 47 260 45 254 52090 49635 55 250 60 252 60 252 56 251 49635 47423 66 242 67 245 66 248 63 250 47423 45410 65 235 69 238 72 247 72 252 45410 43563 64 240 71 237 76 242 78 247 43563 41856 73 247 77 241 78 239 79 245 41856 40267 82 248 83 243 79 240 80 246 40267 38780 83 247 86 243 80 242 82 246 38780 37383 84 245 87 242 82 242 82 243 37383 36040 86 241 86 240 85 240 82 240 36040 34681 82 239 85 238 88 239 83 238 34681 33276 73 237 80 235 89 237 80 237 33276 31828 69 234 74 229 89 234 75 237 31828 30324 68 230 71 224 88 231 69 234 30324 28752 68 227 72 223 84 228 63 229 28752 27111 64 223 71 221 80 224 56 226 27111 25402 63 220 71 219 76 219 54 227 25402 23621 64 221 71 218 74 216 51 229 23621 21770 63 223 71 215 72 216 45 232 21770 19841 60 221 69 212 68 216 42 235 19841 17829 58 215 69 210 63 219 41 237 17829 15775 57 213 69 212 55 223 36 240 15775 13797 52 215 67 223 47 227 32 242 13797 12001 43 218 57 236 40 235 29 243 12001 10406 35 221 39 243 33 248 27 246 10406 8992 29 225 24 246 31 262 23 250 8992 7741 25 235 22 253 25 273 10 234 7741 6635 22 246 19 268 13 285 3 140 6635 5653 19 256 15 277 10 288 1 319 5653 4786 16 274 11 282 10 288 6 322 4786 4019 16 297 8*275 9 287 11 316 4019 3331 16*303 5*259 7 287 15 316 3331 2721 14*303 4 234 6 286 16 316 2721 2212 9 300 3 215 5 286 15 318 2212 1820 7 299 3 206 4 286 13 318 1820 1550 7 299 3 202 4 287 10 317 1550 1386 6 299 3 202 3*286 7*315 1386 1293 5 299 2 201 2*286 4*315 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography