DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 55.2 - - 55.9 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 418 - - 201 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4440 - - 6271 - - 6188 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4465 - - 6015 - - 5584 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5877 - - 7708 - - 7625 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1032 - - 781 - - 1332 - - 3879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 459 - - 562 - - 440 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 12 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 306 - - 323 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 10 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1626 - - -1285 - - -2860 - - -8137 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7503 - - 8993 - - 10486 - - 9430 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9768 - - -8749 - - -10554 - - -17345 ODpotential blCL - - - 15645 - - 16457 - - 18179 - - 18638 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 58 - - 56 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 55.2 - - 55.9 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.2 - - 20.0 - - 14.1 - - 10.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 53.0 - - 54.7 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 18.7 - - 13.0 - - 10.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 418 - - 201 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4440 - - 6271 - - 6188 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96976 37 241 37 227 48 248 49 249 96976 89599 33 239 35 234 44 240 43 256 89599 83933 27 241 33 235 39 235 36 257 83933 79235 20 260 25 232 32 243 30 244 79235 75180 24 253 22 245 26 249 24 246 75180 71605 27 240 25 250 27 257 30 257 71605 68392 29 243 31 259 33 258 33 249 68392 65435 34 248 36 253 33 257 33 257 65435 62679 38 250 39 250 40 255 42 266 62679 60005 42 258 45 248 46 258 47 264 60005 57207 51 258 51 250 49 258 49 259 57207 54287 59 252 55 247 50 256 50 253 54287 51487 58 251 54 244 53 254 53 253 51487 48967 57 254 54 247 56 251 57 257 48967 46721 61 251 58 254 58 252 62 257 46721 44705 69 257 70 256 63 260 63 256 44705 42877 86 248 83 250 77 257 66 257 42877 41203 96 238 96 242 88 245 70 251 41203 39661 117 233 98 231 94 237 75 241 39661 38232 128 227 99 226 101 226 79 232 38232 36895 125 231 98 226 113 222 81 228 36895 35602 104 233 92 227 106 226 79 229 35602 34286 92 237 85 233 86 233 76 232 34286 32917 89 238 83 240 79 242 72 237 32917 31498 87 240 84 242 78 247 70 246 31498 30016 82 246 82 246 79 251 70 253 30016 28459 80 251 80 252 80 254 71 261 28459 26830 80 254 79 257 76 260 70 268 26830 25130 77 256 76 260 73 268 66 274 25130 23359 71 258 70 262 70 269 62 279 23359 21516 67 262 67 264 64 269 58 279 21516 19595 65 270 64 271 57 277 56 278 19595 17588 66 279 62 281 53 286 52 283 17588 15539 63 283 61 286 54 291 48 291 15539 13568 53 281 54 283 50 290 45 294 13568 11783 47 275 46 277 43 286 37 291 11783 10208 46 275 40 280 30 284 26 287 10208 8819 44 280 28*288 14*277 15 262 8819 7592 37 288 13*293 9*289 12 239 7592 6505 26*297 13 296 8 295 10 250 6505 5542 17*308 12 300 8 303 7 293 5542 4693 16 311 12 304 9 324 8 333 4693 3943 16 315 12 309 10 332 14 358 3943 3272 15 318 12 312 10 337 17 008 3272 2679 15 319 12 316 10 340 20 012 2679 2184 14 321 11 318 10 343 20 014 2184 1803 14 322 11 320 10 344 19 016 1803 1542 13 323 11 321 10 345 16 016 1542 1383 12 323 10 321 9 345 13*016 1383 1292 10 324 9 322 8 346 8*016 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography