DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 77.3 - - 73.0 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 128 - - -17 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1816 - - 3596 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1919 - - 3413 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3253 - - 5033 - - 1295 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1204 - - 2120 - - 4329 - - 423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 321 - - 17 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 248 - - 240 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -369 - - 47 - - -1651 - - -1031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3622 - - 4986 - - 2946 - - 2325 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3102 - - -761 - - -3152 - - -4139 ODpotential blCL - - - 6355 - - 5794 - - 4447 - - 5433 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 91 - - 87 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 350 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 77.3 - - 73.0 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.3 - - 59.9 - - 64.4 - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 76.5 - - 74.1 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 59.4 - - 63.5 - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 128 - - -17 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1816 - - 3596 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 65 - - 49 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96933 29 266 32 260 31 264 40 268 96933 89724 20 273 25 250 30 282 21 283 89724 84173 16 279 14 274 22 276 22 298 84173 79590 14 282 17 303 13 282 18 288 79590 75657 9 279 15 293 11 309 12 294 75657 72185 7 307 12 318 9 318 13 301 72185 69052 10 263 13 285 9 310 4 309 69052 66176 5 214 7 216 9 285 12 309 66176 63506 13 250 19 238 25 253 22 273 63506 60934 21 217 28 219 26 233 34 243 60934 58271 17 245 27 216 27 216 43 225 58271 55515 42 260 35 246 38 242 48 248 55515 52885 56 249 55 243 55 242 63 240 52885 50511 61 245 62 240 64 235 65 240 50511 48368 67 243 69 243 71 240 75 251 48368 46411 75 239 75 242 80 246 86 251 46411 44600 78 233 82 239 85 246 91 247 44600 42910 77 229 84 234 89 243 92 244 42910 41328 74 228 81 229 92 240 93 238 41328 39846 70 228 78 230 86 236 95 235 39846 38453 68 229 77 232 83 235 90 235 38453 37104 64 231 74 232 85 235 85 234 37104 35731 61 231 69 232 78 238 83 232 35731 34303 61 230 66 233 69 241 77 231 34303 32824 64 229 65 235 65 242 73 234 32824 31278 66 229 64 236 61 236 68 236 31278 29655 64 231 64 234 62 232 66 238 29655 27957 60 232 62 232 61 234 64 239 27957 26185 57 231 55 233 57 238 62 239 26185 24338 54 231 50 235 52 240 57 243 24338 22419 49 230 49 237 47 240 49 250 22419 20426 46 228 46 239 44 244 43 254 20426 18358 43 228 42 240 43 248 38 255 18358 16258 40 229 36 242 41 247 32 251 16258 14232 35 234 28 244 33 241 25 246 14232 12384 26 242 24 249 24 247 22 258 12384 10739 21 250 24 256 23 262 21 270 10739 9278 20 258 26 262 27 265 23 273 9278 7981 21 269 27 268 27 266 27 270 7981 6832 23 279 26 274 24 266 27 264 6832 5814 24 276 23*272 20 264 25 260 5814 4913 25 261 18*263 18 260 23 257 4913 4117 25 245 16 255 16 257 22 250 4117 3402 22*236 14 246 14 253 21 240 3402 2769 18*231 13 243 13 249 22 230 2769 2242 16 230 13 242 12 246 21 219 2242 1837 15 230 12 241 11 244 18 211 1837 1558 14 229 12 241 10 242 12 201 1558 1390 13 229 11 240 8*241 8*189 1390 1293 10 229 9 239 5*240 4*164 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography