DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 61.0 - - 58.5 - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 108 - - -9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 584 - - 4367 - - 2298 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 3877 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2021 - - 5804 - - 3735 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1952 - - 1353 - - 1943 - - 1950 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 327 - - 94 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 12 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 282 - - 280 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 12 - - 15 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2017 - - -1430 - - -2399 - - -2730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4038 - - 7235 - - 6135 - - 4023 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5655 - - -9050 - - -8837 - - -15850 ODpotential blCL - - - 7676 - - 14854 - - 12572 - - 17143 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 72 - - 58 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 61.0 - - 58.5 - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 33.9 - - 36.3 - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 60.3 - - 58.8 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 32.7 - - 35.5 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 108 - - -9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 584 - - 4367 - - 2298 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96502 21 277 28 265 33 276 25 282 96502 89427 23 274 23 259 28 275 29 279 89427 83985 25 251 22 254 29 262 26 262 83985 79439 19 249 24 248 29 249 26 267 79439 75505 20 265 22 239 25 252 28 274 75505 72030 28 260 23 253 24 249 24 267 72030 68869 29 248 30 256 25 257 30 268 68869 65959 27 247 32 255 33 261 37 254 65959 63261 25 252 29 247 33 238 40 234 63261 60628 26 249 25 243 27 239 32 238 60628 57879 28 257 36 257 37 257 37 265 57879 55069 32 261 37 253 44 253 48 263 55069 52416 29 268 32 252 46 256 55 250 52416 50015 28 278 45 275 43 255 56 248 50015 47834 31 288 48 270 47 260 58 257 47834 45836 32 284 44 275 62 265 66 266 45836 43995 29 290 58 277 73 266 77 269 43995 42295 46 297 65 269 74 262 85 267 42295 40718 51 296 65 263 74 253 87 260 40718 39239 44 297 56 262 72 251 87 254 39239 37837 34 286 44 260 70 252 83 252 37837 36473 32 306 38 262 70 251 72 258 36473 35089 45 323 50 304 62 278 70 280 35089 33670 73 325 78 314 84 303 77 294 33670 32215 92 323 99 316 100 308 80 295 32215 30700 89 323 104 317 103 309 82 294 30700 29106 77 325 104 317 102 308 84 296 29106 27435 60 331 100 316 98 308 85 299 27435 25686 34 327 89 317 93 311 82 300 25686 23861 28 305 83 318 89 312 79 298 23861 21962 32 310 60 317 81 309 74 295 21962 19980 38 317 35 301 72 305 69 291 19980 17915 32 321 40 298 64 298 66 289 17915 15812 16 291 43 304 59 292 67 292 15812 13791 16 238 32 308 51 286 64 296 13791 11965 21 238 23 292 40 284 54 297 11965 10354 17 240 22 268 35 286 45 293 10354 8931 11 235 20 263 34 282 43 292 8931 7671 7 257 19 270 33 280 44 298 7671 6559 8 277 18*278 31 281 44 307 6559 5579 9 290 14*281 28 282 44 313 5579 4717 9 294 14 281 24 280 43 311 4717 3959 10 296 13 281 21*279 42 304 3959 3283 10 296 12 283 20*279 37 297 3283 2686 9 293 11 282 20 279 29 292 2686 2188 6*289 10 283 20 280 23 288 2188 1806 4*282 10 284 19 280 19 285 1806 1543 3 281 9 284 17 280 15 283 1543 1383 3 281 9 284 15 280 11*281 1383 1292 2 282 7 283 11 280 5*279 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography