DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 69.8 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 35 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2690 - - 2676 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4127 - - 4113 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2506 - - 2832 - - 3637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 202 - - 110 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 26 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 347 - - 315 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -11 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 497 - - 213 - - -1201 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3630 - - 3901 - - 2495 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -529 - - -1135 - - -2932 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4656 - - 5248 - - 4226 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 69.8 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.1 - - 57.2 - - 59.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.2 - - 70.3 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.0 - - 55.9 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 35 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2690 - - 2676 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 98 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97969 17 230 15 245 20 258 97969 90679 6 223 11 244 8 288 90679 85064 6 304 11 292 8 328 85064 80393 9 293 17 304 11 327 80393 76361 5 273 15 290 11 316 76361 72803 2 208 11 275 8 321 72803 69588 1 253 6 262 7 302 69588 66642 3 280 5 222 10 272 66642 63911 5 281 4 285 9 279 63911 61261 5 278 7 302 11 294 61261 58498 6 282 8 297 12 294 58498 55629 10 292 8 287 15 290 55629 52889 14 295 10 290 16 292 52889 50425 16 294 16 304 17 313 50425 48211 12 296 20 305 22 310 48211 46193 11 334 19 299 22 302 46193 44337 17 340 17 300 18 309 44337 42617 21 326 15 298 21 328 42617 41018 16 315 18 299 26 327 41018 39526 14 310 20 295 26 305 39526 38127 14 304 17 277 16 294 38127 36779 14 291 15 271 14 325 36779 35417 16 295 15 291 19 325 35417 34008 20 297 17 305 21 307 34008 32554 23 291 17 300 18 292 32554 31037 23 285 18 290 15 308 31037 29443 23 285 17 293 16 327 29443 27773 22 289 16 303 15 333 27773 26025 17 290 16 302 14 333 26025 24199 15 309 15 300 14 324 24199 22298 14 322 16 304 15 316 22298 20317 12 315 17 312 15 318 20317 18250 11 298 16 315 14 319 18250 16144 11 289 15 312 14 311 16144 14117 10 274 13 307 15 306 14117 12275 6 262 11 299 13 309 12275 10638 3 278 8 297 10 314 10638 9184 3 338 6 316 7 314 9184 7895 4 321 6 313 8 274 7895 6756 5 299 5 287 15 244 6756 5750 4 303 4 290 12 248 5750 4863 4*307 4*302 8 272 4863 4078 2*322 3*311 6 294 4078 3375 1 355 4 314 5 318 3375 2752 1 358 4 315 5 342 2752 2232 1 353 4 315 5 356 2232 1832 1 351 4 317 5 005 1832 1556 1 344 4 315 5 010 1556 1389 1 348 3 315 4*017 1389 1293 1 342 3 316 3*024 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography