DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.7 - - 51.1 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 57 - - 20 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 821 - - 483 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2258 - - 1920 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1162 - - 1132 - - 7228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 150 - - 90 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 035 - - 163 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 418 - - 47 - - -1585 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1840 - - 1874 - - 2879 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6 - - -1564 - - -2998 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2264 - - 3484 - - 4292 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 20 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.7 - - 51.1 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.1 - - 47.3 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 49.2 - - 51.0 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.5 - - 46.9 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 57 - - 20 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 821 - - 483 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97662 9 304 14 306 19 335 97662 90376 5 288 10 286 12 325 90376 84730 9 289 13 265 14 275 84730 80012 14 273 15 277 15 264 80012 75919 15 244 20 276 15 264 75919 72304 14 250 20 268 20 260 72304 69062 14 255 16 257 18 250 69062 66081 26 249 26 242 26 256 66081 63293 37 259 35 248 37 261 63293 60600 46 253 47 256 46 253 60600 57796 53 240 52 244 46 242 57796 54846 50 246 49 248 46 252 54846 52003 72 258 70 259 64 262 52003 49456 94 254 92 258 86 261 49456 47197 106 249 106 255 100 258 47197 45159 116 246 110 251 106 255 45159 43295 122 244 110 250 107 253 43295 41574 126 246 111 250 107 254 41574 39976 134 249 114 250 109 257 39976 38488 142 249 118 251 118 258 38488 37095 143 248 124 251 123 258 37095 35755 144 247 130 250 123 259 35755 34399 144 246 131 249 119 259 34399 33000 142 246 126 248 114 259 33000 31559 137 245 122 249 110 257 31559 30062 130 243 119 250 106 255 30062 28492 123 241 116 249 103 254 28492 26848 119 239 109 248 101 254 26848 25129 113 239 100 249 95 254 25129 23340 106 239 92 251 85 254 23340 21490 101 241 79 253 75 255 21490 19573 87 242 67 254 68 255 19573 17583 70 238 61 248 58 254 17583 15561 61 239 58 243 51 252 15561 13622 49 246 52 238 47 254 13622 11862 46 247 45 237 42 261 11862 10301 46 244 42 246 33 271 10301 8921 39 239 37 255 22 286 8921 7694 26 239 29 261 15 301 7694 6602 19 254 22 270 16 300 6602 5630 15 277 20 284 17 300 5630 4770 10 300 17 289 17 299 4770 4007 7 329 14 284 17 297 4007 3322 5 019 9 274 15 295 3322 2716 4*042 4 235 12 292 2716 2208 4*040 5*172 9 288 2208 1818 3 035 5*164 7 284 1818 1550 3 034 5 164 4 277 1550 1386 3 031 5 162 2*265 1386 1293 2 031 4 161 1*252 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography