DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.9 - - 74.2 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - -2 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2649 - - 2312 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2708 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4086 - - 3749 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 893 - - 1440 - - 569 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 285 - - 140 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 166 - - 144 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1240 - - -1836 - - -2280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5326 - - 5585 - - 3574 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9638 - - -9810 - - -11000 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13724 - - 13559 - - 12294 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 71 - - 67 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.9 - - 74.2 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.3 - - 54.5 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.1 - - 74.3 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.0 - - 53.3 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - -2 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2649 - - 2312 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98985 24 119 10 120 13 061 98985 91622 23 098 14 097 14 086 91622 85901 18 093 15 094 14 094 85901 81149 16 110 14 089 15 104 81149 77064 14 109 11 104 16 087 77064 73457 12 102 13 112 13 089 73457 70178 14 109 12 129 10 096 70178 67151 9 101 12 129 5 105 67151 64350 6 108 10 112 8 120 64350 61670 9 114 11 127 12 127 61670 58911 6 051 8 075 11 107 58911 56086 8 005 13 336 13 004 56086 53436 12 079 6 336 9 326 53436 51067 21 010 18 355 19 001 51067 48938 22 336 21 336 24 337 48938 47000 12 333 11 312 10 335 47000 45216 6 061 3 191 5 201 45216 43551 8 020 6 121 5 181 43551 41983 14 003 5 104 2 237 41983 40500 16 332 4 006 0 250 40500 39092 18 308 10 353 3 228 39092 37724 21 309 15 329 4 233 37724 36326 23 310 17 318 2 280 36326 34874 23 306 17 309 10 291 34874 33371 21 308 16 301 16 290 33371 31802 20 310 17 298 16 289 31802 30149 19 307 19 296 14 298 30149 28412 16 295 21 291 17 312 28412 26600 19 293 24 287 23 312 26600 24718 23 303 27 294 29 310 24718 22763 30 312 34 308 31 310 22763 20726 30 315 35 313 29 317 20726 18602 24 320 27 316 26 319 18602 16440 18 315 21 315 25 314 16440 14362 15 339 16 320 16 315 14362 12476 18 003 13 354 9 359 12476 10799 16 358 14 009 12 022 10799 9310 13 341 13 359 15 021 9310 7991 12 333 11 348 15 013 7991 6823 14 319 10 337 12 358 6823 5793 13 299 7 305 8 316 5793 4890 7*264 5 219 9 241 4890 4096 4*175 5*172 9 220 4096 3386 4 167 6*154 9 196 3386 2758 4 166 6 147 10 166 2758 2234 4 163 6 142 11 145 2234 1833 4 163 6 139 12 132 1833 1557 3 162 6 138 11 125 1557 1389 3 162 5 138 9*121 1389 1293 3 162 4 137 5*117 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography