DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 41.0 - - 37.6 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 204 - - 51 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3728 - - 3510 - - 4110 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3723 - - 2267 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5165 - - 4947 - - 5547 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 799 - - 1035 - - 866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 371 - - 230 - - 162 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 18 - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 283 - - 289 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - 14 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1405 - - -254 - - 445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6571 - - 5201 - - 5102 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7692 - - -4757 - - 292 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12857 - - 9704 - - 5255 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 41.0 - - 37.6 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 16.7 - - 19.4 - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 40.0 - - 37.3 - - 33.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 16.2 - - 19.3 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 204 - - 51 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3728 - - 3510 - - 4110 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 45 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95721 16 301 7 307 15 286 95721 88728 9 326 7 300 8 277 88728 83314 3 296 9 287 7 296 83314 78790 9 189 14 253 5 299 78790 74853 9 215 15 236 15 270 74853 71353 10 226 13 236 12 250 71353 68160 15 254 12 220 16 231 68160 65205 30 252 27 253 24 236 65205 62448 41 233 40 238 36 241 62448 59761 40 232 42 230 46 234 59761 56946 53 237 47 233 45 238 56946 54013 63 235 54 241 49 239 54013 51202 73 234 63 236 56 239 51202 48663 74 230 65 231 66 236 48663 46383 75 232 71 230 68 234 46383 44311 85 232 80 228 66 235 44311 42412 94 227 80 227 66 237 42412 40663 93 224 80 228 69 238 40663 39044 89 224 81 227 71 237 39044 37540 91 226 78 225 72 235 37540 36135 103 228 77 226 71 234 36135 34789 123 225 82 227 72 232 34789 33435 129 221 91 228 72 230 33435 32039 122 218 92 224 70 229 32039 30604 115 218 86 222 68 232 30604 29119 112 218 81 222 66 236 29119 27577 102 220 74 223 64 239 27577 25977 84 221 67 224 61 241 25977 24319 79 218 65 224 56 245 24319 22598 73 222 62 227 55 248 22598 20813 63 227 58 230 55 247 20813 18954 61 230 58 234 53 244 18954 17020 60 233 55 238 47 242 17020 15054 52 238 45 245 41 246 15054 13162 43 243 36 255 37 255 13162 11440 39 246 33 260 36 262 11440 9913 36 250 30 263 35 270 9913 8562 34 259 27 272 34 279 8562 7368 33 271 27 281 32 287 7368 6316 29 280 24 285 28*291 6316 5392 20*282 20*286 25*291 5392 4578 16*282 19*288 24 292 4578 3856 16 282 19 288 23 292 3856 3209 16 283 19 289 22 293 3209 2635 15 283 19 290 20 294 2635 2156 15 283 19 290 19 294 2156 1787 14 284 18 290 17 295 1787 1533 14 284 17 290 16 295 1533 1379 13 284 15 290 13 295 1379 1291 10 285 11 290 10 295 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography