DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.2 - - 30.4 - - 32.2 - - 27.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 49 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 407 - - 1821 - - 1022 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1844 - - 3258 - - 2459 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1103 - - 574 - - 1097 - - 800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 186 - - 50 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 212 - - 208 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -688 - - 620 - - -116 - - -473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2532 - - 2639 - - 2575 - - 1764 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9124 - - 184 - - -6569 - - -7969 ODpotential blCL - - - 10968 - - 3074 - - 9028 - - 9260 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.2 - - 30.4 - - 32.2 - - 27.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.1 - - 23.6 - - 25.7 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 30.1 - - 32.6 - - 28.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.1 - - 22.8 - - 25.1 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 49 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 407 - - 1821 - - 1022 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 88 - - 44 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95818 39 230 54 246 57 248 55 249 95818 88586 35 255 40 242 45 257 42 252 88586 82996 34 250 33 241 39 253 41 250 82996 78340 42 265 34 250 40 254 47 265 78340 74340 49 267 40 249 47 251 49 264 74340 70819 52 264 46 255 52 246 50 258 70819 67621 54 263 52 263 51 261 48 258 67621 64668 52 263 59 267 57 269 54 269 64668 61946 56 263 64 261 63 267 57 270 61946 59300 63 262 67 257 64 260 58 262 59300 56511 69 264 69 262 64 263 69 266 56511 53621 81 266 81 267 80 265 72 261 53621 50860 91 258 92 261 87 259 66 266 50860 48358 93 251 96 253 85 254 81 273 48358 46120 92 251 96 255 83 256 91 269 46120 44115 91 259 100 259 87 261 92 259 44115 42302 90 262 99 256 91 259 65 250 42302 40626 89 264 93 253 84 255 56 252 40626 39049 90 262 88 256 78 257 65 280 39049 37575 88 260 91 260 79 257 76 280 37575 36211 91 265 101 262 81 257 75 273 36211 34923 98 272 103 261 78 257 67 264 34923 33630 102 273 99 257 74 253 54 264 33630 32293 101 271 101 256 74 250 53 281 32293 30910 99 268 102 257 72 254 59 286 30910 29465 94 266 100 258 67 259 61 285 29465 27945 82 271 96 258 63 259 59 283 27945 26351 77 273 90 258 56 260 52 279 26351 24683 76 271 82 260 48 266 42 266 24683 22940 73 270 68 260 50 267 44 261 22940 21123 62 273 59 262 51 264 47 268 21123 19231 55 274 52 269 43 268 43 264 19231 17266 48 266 48 272 39 271 35 250 17266 15268 37 257 43 273 36 267 33 245 15268 13349 27 258 39 269 32 273 33 247 13349 11611 27 259 33 265 30 276 31 255 11611 10073 24 258 29 264 31 272 30 265 10073 8707 24 259 28 266 33 270 32 271 8707 7491 22 259 26 264 33 270 34 269 7491 6409 19 257 23 260 32 269 35 264 6409 5450 18 253 22 253 31 264 36 261 5450 4607 17 247 21 242 28 255 36 254 4607 3866 17 243 19*229 23 243 32 244 3866 3208 15 237 15*217 18 229 27 232 3208 2630 12 219 13 212 14*215 24 219 2630 2150 9*197 12 211 13*211 21 208 2150 1783 7*164 11 211 11 209 16 196 1783 1531 6 154 10 211 10 207 10 174 1531 1378 5 152 9 210 8 206 8*160 1378 1290 4 151 7 210 6 205 5*148 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography