DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 58.8 - - 56.8 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 64 - - -28 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2009 - - 3621 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 2996 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3446 - - 5058 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1682 - - 1094 - - 4442 - - 2267 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 184 - - 267 - - 18 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 305 - - 311 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 16 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1080 - - -1071 - - -3870 - - -2427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4526 - - 6130 - - 5164 - - 3720 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10983 - - -9061 - - -11460 - - -12554 ODpotential blCL - - - 14429 - - 14119 - - 12754 - - 13847 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 59 - - 60 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 58.8 - - 56.8 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.4 - - 36.5 - - 38.8 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 58.5 - - 57.9 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 35.3 - - 37.7 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 64 - - -28 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2009 - - 3621 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96536 69 244 82 246 88 249 74 251 96536 89187 46 259 48 252 56 246 56 256 89187 83635 32 268 28 249 42 257 35 272 83635 79089 23 269 17 245 25 254 24 271 79089 75149 16 277 11 282 10 262 15 260 75149 71643 20 271 21 287 18 279 20 267 71643 68481 21 256 17 255 15 269 15 242 68481 65564 11 269 0 001 8 275 11 288 65564 62844 24 291 25 292 32 281 34 290 62844 60231 37 269 40 264 38 268 39 274 60231 57508 29 251 33 267 33 273 36 266 57508 54676 16 278 34 288 37 277 36 283 54676 51967 30 309 47 288 44 274 53 285 51967 49516 59 295 54 289 50 282 61 274 49516 47305 68 287 67 294 62 290 59 278 47305 45298 73 286 75 291 70 289 66 283 45298 43468 75 286 72 286 66 290 67 285 43468 41788 72 291 69 289 67 296 63 290 41788 40238 76 295 76 289 74 295 64 292 40238 38796 76 293 80 287 79 290 67 291 38796 37442 69 293 76 285 72 289 68 289 37442 36139 62 295 69 285 65 293 68 291 36139 34817 61 296 66 286 63 295 69 293 34817 33444 62 294 65 287 63 297 68 293 33444 32020 61 291 65 287 64 295 66 292 32020 30529 62 289 67 288 66 293 64 291 30529 28960 64 288 68 290 65 290 62 292 28960 27314 66 287 70 293 63 293 59 293 27314 25591 65 289 72 297 62 300 57 294 25591 23793 65 292 74 300 63 307 55 296 23793 21923 65 295 74 302 63 309 53 300 21923 19977 65 297 71 304 62 309 53 305 19977 17951 64 299 66 305 60 310 52 307 17951 15884 61 301 62 305 59 313 50 308 15884 13887 58 302 60 305 58 314 48 310 13887 12065 56 302 58 307 57 315 46 313 12065 10443 54 302 56 308 53 317 42 315 10443 9004 53 304 52 308 47 317 37 316 9004 7729 51 305 46 306 41 315 32 315 7729 6604 47 305 36 304 35 309 28 312 6604 5614 39 303 25*300 26 302 25 308 5614 4749 31 300 19*302 19 299 23 302 4749 3988 23*295 18 303 18 301 21 300 3988 3307 19*292 18 305 17 304 19 302 3307 2704 17 291 17 306 16 306 17 304 2704 2200 14 289 16 307 15 309 15 305 2200 1813 13 288 15 309 14 310 12 306 1813 1546 12 288 14 309 12 311 9 309 1546 1385 11 288 13 310 10*311 6*311 1385 1292 8 288 10 310 7*311 2*324 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography