DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 89.4 - - 90.8 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 27 - - -15 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 4335 - - 5513 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1278 - - 3357 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2703 - - 5772 - - 6950 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2776 - - 2429 - - 3083 - - 3820 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 271 - - 216 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 14 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 255 - - 267 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -9 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1396 - - -691 - - 185 - - -1929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4099 - - 6463 - - 6766 - - 3225 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5499 - - -4171 - - -1889 - - -4620 ODpotential blCL - - - 8202 - - 9943 - - 8839 - - 5916 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 68 - - 79 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 1400 - - 1030 - - 1320 - - 3120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 89.4 - - 90.8 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.6 - - 65.4 - - 65.5 - - 73.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.2 - - 89.2 - - 91.7 - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.2 - - 64.0 - - 64.1 - - 72.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 27 - - -15 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 4335 - - 5513 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - 12 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99607 48 086 43 092 34 087 28 090 99607 92027 36 081 32 089 30 080 31 083 92027 86179 30 084 28 088 28 084 29 065 86179 81354 24 089 24 085 27 087 25 061 81354 77213 18 086 20 090 23 088 20 065 77213 73554 13 071 16 090 16 097 12 064 73554 70239 10 058 12 080 11 102 7 066 70239 67202 9 040 10 074 10 096 3 102 67202 64398 4 346 5 012 8 036 3 136 64398 61696 7 348 7 336 11 359 4 050 61696 58901 6 327 10 300 14 320 8 356 58901 56029 10 004 11 274 15 297 13 317 56029 53313 19 324 18 294 18 303 17 310 53313 50890 21 279 21 297 23 313 25 314 50890 48736 17 321 21 308 24 303 23 300 48736 46783 31 328 18 309 21 303 21 298 46783 44989 34 318 21 320 24 314 24 310 44989 43322 26 316 30 323 30 317 33 321 43322 41759 25 320 35 320 36 314 43 321 41759 40284 34 328 35 314 37 308 43 313 40284 38889 37 323 34 313 38 303 40 304 38889 37533 35 316 32 310 36 303 41 302 37533 36150 34 313 31 306 33 300 38 298 36150 34711 33 312 28 304 30 296 35 292 34711 33220 30 306 26 301 27 292 33 288 33220 31666 26 306 22 296 26 286 31 285 31666 30036 23 324 19 292 26 283 31 290 30036 28330 23 325 19 295 27 293 32 297 28330 26546 23 307 18 297 28 302 34 305 26546 24684 25 287 20 287 27 302 32 310 24684 22749 22 276 22 289 26 302 29 306 22749 20738 19 264 20 282 25 310 24 304 20738 18644 12 268 16 272 20 299 21 301 18644 16511 11 281 12 264 16 285 18 290 16511 14459 12 278 11 268 13 280 14 289 14459 12597 10 262 11 276 12 277 11 304 12597 10941 10 253 12 290 11 292 11 314 10941 9466 11 266 12 301 9 295 7 286 9466 8150 10 281 11 306 8 286 8 244 8150 6977 7 284 5 285 6*276 7 253 6977 5934 3 252 4*260 6*271 5 285 5934 5012 3 166 4*252 5 268 7 317 5012 4196 2 076 4 251 5 266 10 332 4196 3464 5 015 4 253 4 265 11 338 3464 2815 5*004 3 255 4 267 13 342 2815 2273 4*358 3 258 4 267 14 344 2273 1856 3 353 3 261 4 268 13 346 1856 1569 3 347 3 262 3 268 12 348 1569 1395 3 347 3 262 3 270 9*349 1395 1295 3 344 3 263 3 271 5*349 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography