DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 48.2 - - 48.6 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 115 - - 68 - - 117 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1552 - - 1505 - - 1554 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1142 - - 1171 - - 782 - - 271 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 47 - - 35 - - 32 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 041 - - 084 - - 067 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 212 - - 213 - - 262 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1340 - - 1292 - - 1292 - - 1292 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -126 - - -133 - - -125 - - -4818 ODpotential blCL - - - 1678 - - 1638 - - 1679 - - 6111 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 50 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 48.2 - - 48.6 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 47.1 - - 47.7 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 48.1 - - 48.7 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 46.8 - - 47.5 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 115 - - 68 - - 117 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96116 60 245 64 258 59 263 64 259 96116 88924 41 249 50 249 52 264 46 268 88924 83458 29 261 35 241 47 258 36 265 83458 78968 18 251 22 243 33 243 34 259 78968 75076 17 270 17 258 20 250 28 248 75076 71618 24 259 19 265 20 264 26 249 71618 68483 25 256 30 261 29 265 30 247 68483 65589 32 246 39 251 38 256 39 248 65589 62890 34 244 42 241 46 242 48 242 62890 60272 41 244 43 237 48 236 56 248 60272 57536 51 238 55 249 64 243 73 248 57536 54683 62 240 68 240 73 237 80 239 54683 51952 69 241 70 240 68 238 71 239 51952 49490 76 251 75 252 78 251 77 245 49490 47289 101 251 100 249 96 250 97 246 47289 45322 111 248 110 243 111 244 114 242 45322 43547 117 248 115 243 119 241 122 240 43547 41910 120 247 119 245 120 241 122 239 41910 40378 121 248 119 245 119 241 118 238 40378 38934 121 250 117 244 119 242 115 236 38934 37567 117 248 116 244 117 244 113 236 37567 36241 111 245 115 245 114 243 111 238 36241 34891 105 245 113 244 109 239 110 237 34891 33490 96 248 110 241 97 233 107 232 33490 32044 78 249 102 238 87 226 99 224 32044 30538 70 248 93 233 87 224 93 219 30538 28955 72 246 90 230 84 224 94 219 28955 27296 75 246 83 236 83 229 103 226 27296 25561 78 244 74 239 95 238 106 231 25561 23754 79 241 64 241 99 241 103 232 23754 21880 80 233 61 241 80 240 97 233 21880 19937 78 223 64 243 70 237 85 236 19937 17924 70 214 66 242 62 235 73 243 17924 15877 56 212 63 240 56 228 64 242 15877 13903 42 205 61 238 53 229 59 240 13903 12105 34 197 62 233 54 232 56 239 12105 10504 28 191 65 224 60 232 52 238 10504 9081 20 190 62 219 60 226 50 238 9081 7813 14 199 55 213 56 218 51 240 7813 6686 11 205 47 208 53 212 52 241 6686 5688 8 193 37 201 48 208 48 239 5688 4808 6 152 26 183 41 203 42 239 4808 4032 8 106 19 154 30 197 38 239 4032 3339 10 074 14 125 17 189 37 238 3339 2725 11 065 9 094 8 174 34 235 2725 2212 9 060 7 084 4 136 27 231 2212 1819 6*045 6 085 4*090 18 230 1819 1549 5*043 4*085 4*074 10 226 1549 1386 5 041 3*085 3 067 5*224 1386 1292 3 039 2 083 3 058 2*051 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography