DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 19.2 - - 21.2 - - 16.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 303 - - 77 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2336 - - 1870 - - 1278 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2842 - - 1273 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3773 - - 3307 - - 2715 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 461 - - 774 - - 932 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 360 - - 212 - - 139 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 7 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 066 - - 095 - - 086 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5328 - - -6292 - - -4039 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9102 - - 9599 - - 6754 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -24153 - - -24284 - - -22883 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 27926 - - 27591 - - 25598 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 19.2 - - 21.2 - - 16.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -15.6 - - -15.6 - - -8.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 17.6 - - 20.6 - - 16.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -16.1 - - -16.1 - - -8.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 303 - - 77 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2336 - - 1870 - - 1278 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 43 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95503 108 240 116 244 110 250 95503 88412 80 244 94 244 92 253 88412 82989 61 247 71 250 79 251 82989 78501 50 249 53 252 63 251 78501 74634 46 252 47 250 58 250 74634 71217 43 256 44 247 55 249 71217 68120 46 261 44 249 52 255 68120 65258 49 258 46 255 55 255 65258 62590 52 259 52 255 56 253 62590 59992 59 256 54 255 58 252 59992 57270 62 246 68 261 71 260 57270 54435 73 260 82 259 83 260 54435 51714 88 264 88 260 91 257 51714 49244 96 262 98 262 96 259 49244 47012 105 260 109 262 105 261 47012 44973 112 258 115 259 111 255 44973 43094 115 253 115 252 108 251 43094 41355 111 251 106 249 101 258 41355 39760 105 257 103 257 115 268 39760 38311 113 260 122 259 121 262 38311 36974 117 256 128 253 115 263 36974 35687 113 255 121 254 117 265 35687 34375 111 256 121 257 115 265 34375 33004 104 254 121 258 115 265 33004 31581 102 253 121 259 115 264 31581 30089 102 254 118 261 112 261 30089 28517 103 257 107 261 102 256 28517 26865 106 258 99 260 96 252 26865 25133 105 259 96 257 96 258 25133 23322 100 260 94 254 91 258 23322 21437 88 261 89 255 86 260 21437 19470 79 259 84 258 82 259 19470 17417 79 258 77 256 81 257 17417 15328 75 259 72 254 75 254 15328 13330 61 265 61 252 63 249 13330 11530 48 265 44 253 49 242 11530 9944 41 255 39 249 37 238 9944 8551 38 255 36 248 29 240 8551 7325 33 262 30 255 23 237 7325 6246 25 264 22 261 17 231 6246 5301 13 261 13 259 10 223 5301 4481 1*349 2 251 2 160 4481 3770 5*067 3*081 4 074 3770 3139 5 069 5*091 7*082 3139 2584 5 068 6 094 8*085 2584 2122 4 066 6 095 8 086 2122 1767 4 062 6 096 8 087 1767 1523 4 059 6 097 8 087 1523 1375 4 058 5 097 7 087 1375 1289 3 055 5 097 5 087 1289 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography