DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 54.0 - - 48.1 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 441 - - 285 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3433 - - 3292 - - 3538 - - 3322 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3586 - - 3688 - - 3726 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4870 - - 4729 - - 4975 - - 4759 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2519 - - 708 - - 828 - - 727 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 384 - - 462 - - 408 - - 182 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 23 - - 26 - - 26 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 314 - - 316 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 16 - - 16 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 145 - - -364 - - -548 - - 176 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4725 - - 5093 - - 5524 - - 4583 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -469 - - -7728 - - -9670 - - -10448 ODpotential blCL - - - 5339 - - 12457 - - 14645 - - 15207 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 86 - - 80 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 54.0 - - 48.1 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 36.1 - - 28.5 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 52.0 - - 46.9 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 35.4 - - 28.1 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 441 - - 285 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3433 - - 3292 - - 3538 - - 3322 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 42 - - 20 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96431 13 264 18 246 24 247 23 262 96431 89272 8 251 11 224 14 232 13 249 89272 83764 12 220 13 231 13 254 12 242 83764 79176 13 211 13 211 13 225 16 235 79176 75202 16 242 11 246 14 241 18 243 75202 71672 20 231 12 223 19 224 18 249 71672 68475 20 229 24 256 26 256 28 253 68475 65532 26 227 32 240 35 249 30 247 65532 62797 33 246 32 222 34 239 41 262 62797 60167 44 259 39 254 42 250 48 259 60167 57437 45 252 49 255 50 242 49 251 57437 54583 43 233 52 238 49 233 54 235 54583 51818 41 245 51 226 46 239 50 249 51818 49303 50 259 48 238 63 261 69 264 49303 47042 58 262 59 261 81 261 79 262 47042 44986 67 261 77 259 82 257 74 258 44986 43106 76 259 82 253 79 264 74 264 43106 41384 82 260 80 263 92 267 82 271 41384 39807 89 263 99 269 98 264 94 271 39807 38357 95 259 102 262 98 259 98 265 38357 37006 96 255 103 256 97 257 95 258 37006 35703 98 252 92 254 95 260 90 258 35703 34380 101 251 84 257 97 264 88 268 34380 33009 100 251 81 260 100 267 93 274 33009 31595 97 255 79 262 100 268 96 272 31595 30113 90 259 80 264 96 269 96 269 30113 28550 80 265 82 265 92 271 94 269 28550 26908 75 268 81 265 90 273 86 269 26908 25189 74 268 77 264 86 274 79 267 25189 23396 71 268 74 264 81 274 73 269 23396 21535 66 267 72 263 77 273 67 273 21535 19598 62 267 71 264 72 274 64 276 19598 17581 58 268 67 268 66 278 60 277 17581 15525 54 270 60 272 60 281 55 279 15525 13546 51 271 52 273 54 283 49 281 13546 11749 46 273 45 271 46 285 44 285 11749 10155 36 274 41 271 38 286 40 289 10155 8748 27 271 37 271 35 289 38 293 8748 7507 23 269 36 276 34 295 38 299 7507 6417 20 274 35 284 33 303 37 307 6417 5464 17*286 29*295 27*311 33*317 5464 4632 16*302 23*309 26*314 30*321 4632 3898 17 307 23 311 26 315 29 321 3898 3240 18 311 24 313 27 316 28 321 3240 2657 19 313 24 315 27 317 27 322 2657 2170 19 315 23 316 26 318 25 322 2170 1795 18 315 23 317 26 318 24 322 1795 1538 18 316 22 317 24 318 21 322 1538 1381 16 316 20 318 22 319 18 322 1381 1291 13 316 16 318 17 319 14 322 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography