DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 72.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - -7 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1864 - - 1445 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3301 - - 2882 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1375 - - 1987 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 204 - - 90 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 105 - - 094 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 616 - - 237 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2685 - - 2645 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -46 - - -975 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3347 - - 3857 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 120 - - 200 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 72.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.8 - - 65.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.9 - - 73.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.9 - - 64.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - -7 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1864 - - 1445 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98283 14 207 21 236 98283 90863 8 140 13 209 90863 85169 9 124 7 175 85169 80450 6 193 2 329 80450 76375 9 230 6 277 76375 72777 8 228 8 257 72777 69534 7 235 8 262 69534 66564 5 267 9 242 66564 63811 8 257 11 251 63811 61145 9 246 12 252 61145 58389 10 275 10 264 58389 55562 13 278 9 276 55562 52878 16 267 14 274 52878 50464 20 255 23 266 50464 48300 22 244 29 251 48300 46334 20 235 28 231 46334 44535 21 229 27 232 44535 42875 19 226 24 237 42875 41322 14 227 21 249 41322 39856 14 236 23 257 39856 38467 13 234 20 255 38467 37117 11 243 18 253 37117 35741 11 246 17 250 35741 34310 11 221 17 247 34310 32829 13 197 17 229 32829 31282 13 219 17 225 31282 29658 12 257 14 237 29658 27961 12 278 14 243 27961 26184 16 266 16 246 26184 24330 19 257 20 259 24330 22409 21 264 21 270 22409 20416 21 274 24 276 20416 18347 23 276 28 277 18347 16244 24 274 28 282 16244 14216 22 275 25 286 14216 12370 20 276 21 289 12370 10727 19 277 17 287 10727 9266 19 277 15 278 9266 7966 18 274 15 271 7966 6813 17 271 14 262 6813 5792 13 260 10 240 5792 4894 8 240 6 209 4894 4101 3 211 5 146 4101 3392 4*115 8*105 3392 2765 4*109 8*100 2765 2240 4 107 8 095 2240 1837 4 103 8 093 1837 1559 4 102 7 092 1559 1391 4 101 7 091 1391 1294 3 101 5 088 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography