DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.1 - - 35.7 - - 38.8 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 330 - - 139 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2577 - - 4062 - - 4085 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2941 - - 4188 - - 3789 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4014 - - 5499 - - 5522 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 963 - - 1176 - - 1623 - - 2913 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 345 - - 451 - - 339 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 176 - - 184 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -6 - - 5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -802 - - -154 - - -129 - - -2473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4816 - - 5653 - - 5651 - - 3765 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13062 - - -10532 - - -776 - - -4616 ODpotential blCL - - - 17076 - - 16031 - - 6298 - - 5908 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 78 - - 91 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.1 - - 35.7 - - 38.8 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.8 - - 15.6 - - 18.7 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.7 - - 34.0 - - 37.8 - - 35.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.8 - - 14.6 - - 17.8 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 330 - - 139 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2577 - - 4062 - - 4085 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 14 - - 66 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96644 11 251 22 249 22 262 11 274 96644 89496 5 225 3 195 14 238 12 292 89496 84008 3 196 1 194 10 206 13 251 84008 79417 1 195 3 214 5 271 6 231 79417 75408 4 249 8 183 9 247 8 285 75408 71848 9 294 4 127 6 206 9 277 71848 68620 17 285 9 314 4 269 3 253 68620 65627 18 269 20 283 17 279 11 304 65627 62845 17 270 20 269 18 274 18 304 62845 60146 18 286 15 276 20 291 19 302 60146 57312 27 288 21 272 23 284 23 291 57312 54353 28 281 24 265 25 284 27 285 54353 51524 31 271 32 266 33 281 34 279 51524 48980 34 256 38 255 38 267 36 268 48980 46703 34 254 38 249 36 260 33 267 46703 44639 39 255 40 250 37 258 33 268 44639 42750 49 253 46 251 40 251 34 262 42750 41009 55 246 52 248 43 244 35 252 41009 39395 55 247 52 246 44 243 35 246 39395 37888 59 248 53 246 45 245 37 246 37888 36476 63 246 57 244 49 246 40 249 36476 35128 63 242 62 243 52 246 44 251 35128 33778 60 239 63 243 53 244 47 251 33778 32401 57 240 60 246 48 247 45 248 32401 31000 53 243 54 243 44 252 37 251 31000 29556 45 246 44 242 39 252 33 254 29556 28044 41 247 38 246 34 257 30 258 28044 26456 42 250 38 248 34 260 30 259 26456 24789 44 254 39 249 34 260 30 259 24789 23046 46 258 38 252 33 259 29 258 23046 21230 46 260 36 255 32 261 28 260 21230 19335 45 260 34 258 31 266 26 266 19335 17355 41 260 31 259 31 271 27 274 17355 15333 33 265 28 256 29 272 28 278 15333 13382 30 272 27 257 29 272 29 278 13382 11610 31 266 28 264 30 276 31 283 11610 10043 31 260 30 269 33 278 33 289 10043 8664 27 255 30 272 30 276 35 286 8664 7448 21 253 23 268 19 269 30 276 7448 6379 14 258 11*239 11*238 19 263 6379 5438 7 262 9*203 10*232 13 248 5438 4609 3*147 8 193 9 208 11 230 4609 3877 6*121 8 178 9 186 12 194 3877 3223 6 121 8 172 9 176 15 175 3223 2644 6 120 8 167 9 171 16 166 2644 2161 6 119 8 163 10 167 16 161 2161 1790 5 120 8 159 9 165 15 156 1790 1535 5 119 8 159 9 164 13 150 1535 1380 4 121 8 158 9 163 10*147 1380 1291 4 122 7 159 7 163 7*146 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography