DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.2 - - 27.0 - - 25.7 - - 19.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 49 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1126 - - 1162 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2563 - - 2599 - - 1292 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1270 - - 1513 - - 3198 - - 2183 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 158 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 029 - - 027 - - 034 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 600 - - 761 - - -317 - - -266 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1963 - - 1838 - - 1609 - - 1557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 156 - - 378 - - -597 - - -1253 ODpotential blCL - - - 2407 - - 2221 - - 1889 - - 2544 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 95 - - 95 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.2 - - 27.0 - - 25.7 - - 19.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.6 - - 23.9 - - 23.6 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 26.6 - - 25.7 - - 21.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.9 - - 23.2 - - 23.3 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 49 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1126 - - 1162 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 82 - - 80 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95960 13 258 26 265 30 266 29 248 95960 88736 21 247 24 250 30 259 27 260 88736 83150 26 268 20 248 31 254 32 258 83150 78524 27 256 23 253 31 251 35 252 78524 74543 31 268 28 249 35 250 31 245 74543 71004 36 259 35 259 32 250 30 263 71004 67787 36 256 36 252 30 254 40 256 67787 64835 34 253 34 249 41 258 41 263 64835 62105 36 261 47 260 50 257 52 259 62105 59467 52 259 53 253 52 253 55 259 59467 56701 57 267 58 254 62 260 69 256 56701 53816 83 256 80 252 74 256 83 255 53816 51058 92 247 88 246 85 254 89 253 51058 48565 89 245 86 248 95 254 91 251 48565 46317 92 249 90 251 98 253 93 250 46317 44269 103 249 99 250 98 252 93 250 44269 42391 112 247 103 246 97 252 93 254 42391 40662 114 243 101 245 97 253 97 258 40662 39059 108 241 101 249 97 252 103 257 39059 37558 102 240 105 248 97 249 108 257 37558 36145 102 241 104 244 96 245 110 254 36145 34782 102 245 101 242 93 244 106 250 34782 33401 102 247 97 242 89 248 98 248 33401 31973 101 248 94 244 88 248 92 251 31973 30504 92 246 96 242 84 243 84 255 30504 28989 87 237 93 238 77 237 71 255 28989 27426 86 235 81 233 68 234 60 259 27426 25821 70 231 70 230 59 233 49 258 25821 24174 55 223 57 229 47 229 38 257 24174 22477 54 233 47 220 38 224 30 260 22477 20720 56 233 46 219 34 228 24 261 20720 18890 48 223 41 219 29 237 23 256 18890 16977 32 222 27 224 21 235 24 253 16977 15019 24 236 21 237 16 243 18 255 15019 13133 23 246 17 234 13 251 8 286 13133 11420 21 242 12 233 14 241 11 285 11420 9897 14 242 10 235 13 226 11 276 9897 8545 10 237 8 228 11 213 11 269 8545 7345 8 227 6 188 6 195 11 270 7345 6281 5 182 7 126 3 011 7 283 6281 5345 3 074 6 044 12 030 5 006 5345 4527 10 043 15 043 16 042 11 037 4527 3811 18 039 18 038 15 043 16 047 3811 3172 19 035 17 036 15 044 16 049 3172 2609 18*033 16*033 14 044 14 047 2609 2138 17*031 15*030 13 043 11 043 2138 1777 15 029 14 028 11 041 9 036 1777 1527 14 028 13 026 9 038 7 026 1527 1377 12 027 11 025 8*037 4*011 1377 1290 9 025 8 022 5*034 2*359 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography