DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.0 - - 44.0 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 167 - - 24 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2709 - - 3829 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2895 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4146 - - 5266 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2514 - - 1882 - - 3890 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 314 - - 188 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 23 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 248 - - 253 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 18 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 17 - - 15 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 476 - - -566 - - -3305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3670 - - 5832 - - 4597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -99 - - -1984 - - -10629 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4245 - - 7250 - - 11921 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 78 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.0 - - 44.0 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.5 - - 23.0 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 43.1 - - 44.0 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.0 - - 22.7 - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 167 - - 24 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2709 - - 3829 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 59 - - 12 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95965 34 354 43 018 27 027 95965 89100 18 329 33 342 26 349 89100 83734 16 292 19 292 25 339 83734 79192 9 231 16 277 27 321 79192 75236 14 251 26 258 29 269 75236 71724 24 245 27 255 29 253 71724 68517 25 247 29 262 30 251 68517 65531 33 249 28 250 30 239 65531 62731 34 237 33 243 33 238 62731 59999 45 241 44 236 42 236 59999 57154 59 240 56 235 53 239 57154 54213 74 236 73 235 69 234 54213 51413 81 234 78 234 74 232 51413 48891 87 236 86 242 90 243 48891 46631 104 239 113 244 119 242 46631 44586 124 239 130 239 134 237 44586 42714 136 235 141 234 139 234 42714 40985 140 234 143 233 140 233 40985 39380 142 233 145 233 145 233 39380 37891 142 233 147 232 145 231 37891 36508 146 233 145 230 140 230 36508 35185 148 231 141 230 142 230 35185 33851 143 228 139 231 144 229 33851 32475 136 229 138 232 142 230 32475 31061 132 231 139 233 138 231 31061 29593 128 232 137 232 133 232 29593 28054 122 234 131 232 126 232 28054 26442 116 236 120 233 118 232 26442 24757 110 237 108 234 109 231 24757 23001 105 235 101 234 100 230 23001 21176 103 233 98 234 93 229 21176 19277 100 232 95 235 89 229 19277 17302 95 233 91 236 84 227 17302 15298 90 235 88 236 79 224 15298 13373 89 234 85 237 75 226 13373 11627 88 231 81 237 69 231 11627 10075 81 228 73 235 62 233 10075 8701 67 226 57 232 52 229 8701 7487 51 229 42 235 41 225 7487 6416 42 239 33 244 29 224 6416 5471 38 248 30*247 25 234 5471 4639 34*252 29*249 23 247 4639 3902 29*252 26 252 20 254 3902 3243 25 251 24 253 17 257 3243 2659 22 248 23 253 14 258 2659 2171 20 247 22 254 11 258 2171 1796 18 246 21 254 8 257 1796 1537 17 245 19 254 5 251 1537 1381 15 245 16 255 3*237 1381 1291 12 244 12 254 2*149 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography