DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.7 - - 72.9 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - -18 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2987 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2534 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4424 - - 1295 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1831 - - 6271 - - 5086 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 250 - - 22 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 065 - - 086 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 551 - - -2902 - - -1907 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3873 - - 4197 - - 3202 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -827 - - -3892 - - -3849 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5251 - - 5187 - - 5144 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 90 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.7 - - 72.9 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.0 - - 58.9 - - 59.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.2 - - 74.1 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 57.6 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - -18 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2987 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 101 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98955 7 105 13 116 9 058 98955 91534 13 110 17 118 10 120 91534 85777 15 099 8 116 8 095 85777 80992 13 111 4 111 4 084 80992 76866 10 079 3 114 6 122 76866 73207 3 360 5 028 6 113 73207 69891 4 342 9 003 4 030 69891 66855 6 326 6 349 5 359 66855 64068 5 031 5 352 6 356 64068 61390 12 349 2 004 7 005 61390 58601 8 317 7 340 13 329 58601 55708 14 331 18 314 23 317 55708 52957 25 323 30 307 33 319 52957 50495 32 308 37 301 44 313 50495 48293 32 303 38 290 43 293 48293 46288 33 309 33 289 39 288 46288 44445 41 314 34 299 39 291 44445 42745 46 304 42 302 37 292 42745 41171 46 294 47 299 39 293 41171 39700 45 293 47 293 44 291 39700 38315 45 295 43 293 46 290 38315 36973 38 296 41 296 44 292 36973 35606 34 310 37 298 40 293 35606 34185 34 307 30 296 38 290 34185 32711 32 296 28 290 36 285 32711 31170 31 293 29 287 33 285 31170 29554 32 291 30 288 30 295 29554 27861 33 286 32 284 29 302 27861 26087 31 281 32 278 28 306 26087 24235 28 283 28 282 25 313 24235 22313 23 291 23 294 21 322 22313 20320 20 301 19 305 19 322 20320 18250 19 309 18 310 19 320 18250 16144 17 308 18 309 18 317 16144 14118 18 307 16 306 17 317 14118 12281 19 305 14 304 15 311 12281 10649 18 297 13 313 13 305 10649 9203 15 293 13 321 10 320 9203 7922 11 306 6 347 7 356 7922 6786 5 350 5 046 6 040 6786 5778 5 053 5 066 8 052 5778 4887 6*057 5 076 8 057 4887 4098 6*058 5 083 8 064 4098 3391 5 060 6 087 8 072 3391 2763 4 064 6 087 9 078 2763 2239 4 072 5 087 9 083 2239 1836 3 077 5 087 8 086 1836 1559 2 079 5 087 7 088 1559 1390 2 078 5*086 6*088 1390 1294 2 078 4*086 4*088 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography