DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 72.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 301 - - 121 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6406 - - 4712 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5983 - - 4181 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7843 - - 6149 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1559 - - 3218 - - 3582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 512 - - 344 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 301 - - 341 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -171 - - -3043 - - -4851 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8014 - - 9192 - - 6145 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3491 - - -6871 - - -7494 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11334 - - 13020 - - 8788 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 62 - - 54 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 72.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.9 - - 36.6 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.7 - - 71.6 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.5 - - 35.4 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 301 - - 121 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6406 - - 4712 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97067 53 254 59 258 55 273 97067 89760 38 257 46 258 40 269 89760 84121 26 257 35 258 32 273 84121 79454 27 267 34 271 31 269 79454 75459 31 260 33 270 32 272 75459 71943 30 268 36 277 36 279 71943 68776 33 272 37 274 38 272 68776 65852 31 254 35 268 36 266 65852 63109 31 266 38 274 42 282 63109 60437 44 276 44 275 51 281 60437 57641 47 270 44 273 50 277 57641 54734 44 270 45 274 53 282 54734 51967 42 275 47 274 57 276 51967 49483 45 277 47 274 52 273 49483 47253 51 278 45 282 43 285 47253 45235 53 276 51 288 50 295 45235 43407 52 276 56 284 61 289 43407 41738 49 280 47 282 47 279 41738 40196 46 284 41 288 43 307 40196 38770 45 288 41 300 58 322 38770 37438 47 289 46 303 71 323 37438 36151 48 288 50 299 75 323 36151 34837 49 287 50 297 72 322 34837 33469 49 287 49 299 65 322 33469 32050 49 287 50 303 57 320 32050 30567 48 286 50 304 48 316 30567 29005 47 287 49 305 43 312 29005 27366 44 290 46 304 40 308 27366 25649 40 295 42 303 40 305 25649 23854 35 299 38 301 41 302 23854 21987 33 291 32 300 39 300 21987 20041 35 282 28 290 34 297 20041 18012 32 281 33 278 30 289 18012 15940 28 279 31 279 30 281 15940 13944 24 278 24 283 29 280 13944 12131 19 283 20 278 27 277 12131 10524 18 291 18 269 22 263 10524 9101 16*287 12 244 17 228 9101 7836 10*278 10 234 13 234 7836 6710 9 281 9*236 7 234 6710 5711 9 285 6*252 0 045 5711 4830 8 299 4 288 5 049 4830 4052 8 308 5 335 9 047 4052 3354 8 314 7 352 11 048 3354 2737 9 318 7 357 13 049 2737 2221 9 322 8 359 13 050 2221 1826 9 324 8 000 13 050 1826 1553 9 325 8 000 11 050 1553 1388 8 326 8 001 9*049 1388 1293 7 326 7 001 5*048 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography