DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 77.1 - - 78.1 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 74 - - 6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2307 - - 3001 - - 3429 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2263 - - 2862 - - 1277 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3744 - - 4438 - - 4866 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1459 - - 1702 - - 2080 - - 5009 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 283 - - 197 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 096 - - 105 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 11 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -382 - - -404 - - -292 - - -1744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4126 - - 4842 - - 5159 - - 3039 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3566 - - -3946 - - -3313 - - -3178 ODpotential blCL - - - 7310 - - 8384 - - 8179 - - 4473 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 83 - - 91 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 77.1 - - 78.1 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.6 - - 60.4 - - 60.1 - - 66.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.6 - - 76.4 - - 78.3 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 59.0 - - 58.7 - - 64.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 74 - - 6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2307 - - 3001 - - 3429 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 32 - - 65 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99518 48 090 44 086 46 092 35 085 99518 91969 42 084 39 092 37 086 32 083 91969 86158 32 078 33 089 27 085 29 076 86158 81337 27 072 27 083 23 080 24 075 81337 77187 26 072 24 081 21 091 21 072 77187 73539 20 076 24 089 21 082 18 076 73539 70247 21 081 20 072 16 057 18 063 70247 67221 19 068 14 044 15 058 19 045 67221 64426 15 062 13 052 14 039 19 036 64426 61734 14 039 13 062 16 025 18 034 61734 58936 16 011 15 034 18 021 18 040 58936 56037 17 358 19 008 17 014 20 034 56037 53270 15 349 18 348 18 007 22 019 53270 50785 13 328 14 321 17 352 21 011 50785 48571 12 293 14 285 16 324 16 360 48571 46584 12 280 15 259 14 294 14 341 46584 44775 11 275 9 242 12 268 15 313 44775 43103 8 288 5 288 18 231 15 264 43103 41548 17 297 13 297 9 236 9 251 41548 40089 28 281 21 257 10 267 10 276 40089 38708 30 269 25 241 17 253 18 268 38708 37364 29 264 26 236 22 244 21 269 37364 35992 28 260 26 234 22 245 16 260 35992 34561 26 262 25 236 19 252 14 271 34561 33073 20 261 23 244 19 261 11 308 33073 31517 16 247 15 262 19 281 10 296 31517 29880 14 247 10 263 13 266 13 277 29880 28164 9 267 10 283 9 248 12 276 28164 26371 4 268 9 280 8 261 14 314 26371 24504 1 300 7 273 6 279 13 333 24504 22567 2 038 6 289 5 297 10 352 22567 20555 6 028 7 334 8 341 12 003 20555 18462 8 025 9 023 11 006 13 017 18462 16328 5 359 8 042 8 035 10 038 16328 14274 6 331 5 026 4 043 7 052 14274 12415 4 014 3 113 2 089 5 035 12415 10767 4 058 5 107 3 081 8 011 10767 9306 4 090 7 119 5 085 8 016 9306 8007 7 105 9 119 6 090 6 052 8007 6853 12 109 12 118 8 099 6 085 6853 5831 15 111 13 115 7 098 5 092 5831 4929 14 110 10*107 7*100 6 095 4929 4131 11*105 8*099 7*102 7 095 4131 3415 10*101 8 097 7 103 7 095 3415 2781 10 100 8 096 7 105 7 094 2781 2250 9 099 7 095 6 106 6 094 2250 1843 8 099 7 094 6 107 6 093 1843 1562 8 098 6 093 6 108 5 093 1562 1392 7 097 6 093 5 109 4*093 1392 1294 6 097 5 092 4 109 3*092 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography