DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.4 - - 62.7 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 102 - - -21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1126 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2563 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2862 - - 4111 - - 891 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 206 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 195 - - 236 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -503 - - -1347 - - -265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3066 - - 2641 - - 1559 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1738 - - -2305 - - -3408 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4301 - - 3599 - - 4702 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 90 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.4 - - 62.7 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.5 - - 55.7 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.6 - - 63.8 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.3 - - 55.3 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 102 - - -21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1126 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 83 - - 100 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96359 23 240 24 256 28 268 96359 89186 24 235 26 236 26 265 89186 83654 29 238 28 240 28 257 83654 79057 25 236 26 254 27 264 79057 75107 26 252 30 262 30 266 75107 71612 20 222 26 250 34 273 71612 68453 22 274 28 269 42 274 68453 65560 42 279 36 282 39 279 65560 62871 45 277 49 292 46 285 62871 60264 52 279 54 280 51 282 60264 57541 54 266 55 270 59 277 57541 54709 51 257 58 266 64 271 54709 51996 54 269 58 270 64 272 51996 49535 66 279 67 272 63 275 49535 47311 70 277 72 267 69 274 47311 45290 69 277 69 268 74 267 45290 43455 72 276 70 272 71 262 43455 41793 75 273 72 274 67 264 41793 40282 77 270 74 272 70 265 40282 38879 77 268 76 271 67 265 38879 37549 74 269 75 269 64 266 37549 36257 70 272 71 270 60 265 36257 34939 70 272 69 272 60 266 34939 33568 71 270 69 276 59 270 33568 32146 70 268 71 277 58 274 32146 30658 70 268 70 275 57 275 30658 29091 72 272 69 273 56 270 29091 27445 66 275 66 273 57 265 27445 25722 61 272 65 278 54 264 25722 23923 57 269 63 280 49 267 23923 22052 53 266 54 275 49 275 22052 20104 53 269 53 269 50 276 20104 18074 52 274 52 272 54 274 18074 16005 47 274 44 278 54 274 16005 14008 40 265 32 276 49 275 14008 12187 37 262 32 268 40 274 12187 10569 32 262 34 265 36 271 10569 9131 29 264 32 266 34 274 9131 7853 22 266 27 266 30 276 7853 6720 17 274 22 268 27 275 6720 5717 16 284 15 268 26 272 5717 4832 14 287 12 265 23 265 4832 4050 11 284 10 256 18 254 4050 3351 8 273 10 246 15 239 3351 2733 5*235 12 242 12 228 2733 2219 5*202 12 241 10 222 2219 1823 5 194 12 239 7 219 1823 1552 5 193 11 239 4 218 1552 1387 5 192 9*238 1*190 1387 1293 5 191 6*236 3*093 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography