DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.7 - - 53.3 - - 53.5 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 124 - - -12 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 245 - - 1991 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 2241 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1682 - - 3428 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 746 - - 978 - - 3333 - - 413 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 80 - - 259 - - 15 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 18 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 221 - - 211 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 20 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4822 - - -5166 - - -6298 - - -4167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6505 - - 8594 - - 7591 - - 5460 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13842 - - -13444 - - -11505 - - -13492 ODpotential blCL - - - 15524 - - 16872 - - 12798 - - 14785 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 83 - - 70 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.7 - - 53.3 - - 53.5 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.2 - - 20.2 - - 24.9 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 52.7 - - 54.0 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.0 - - 19.1 - - 24.2 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 124 - - -12 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 245 - - 1991 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94934 68 254 70 273 54 280 63 289 94934 88145 54 276 58 287 52 295 55 291 88145 82850 43 283 42 286 50 297 48 300 82850 78435 36 277 31 275 44 291 43 299 78435 74588 33 279 25 285 36 286 41 285 74588 71147 38 274 32 298 29 280 37 277 71147 68004 38 268 41 284 30 280 36 276 68004 65090 36 269 44 272 41 279 39 272 65090 62369 38 271 45 263 46 270 40 271 62369 59718 41 262 47 257 50 263 42 264 59718 56939 41 259 48 251 53 256 45 262 56939 54030 52 267 49 250 56 248 53 260 54030 51233 62 262 51 254 55 247 63 257 51233 48715 66 259 56 257 59 248 66 251 48715 46468 67 261 61 263 61 253 67 251 46468 44443 74 263 72 259 64 258 66 253 44443 42601 74 258 76 252 60 256 68 257 42601 40917 63 254 63 258 64 259 72 252 40917 39378 54 258 71 260 74 260 71 261 39378 37973 57 266 75 252 75 263 82 267 37973 36670 53 265 61 266 84 268 85 267 36670 35406 46 275 64 278 88 266 86 267 35406 34115 47 281 59 277 81 264 84 265 34115 32770 49 279 49 268 71 269 83 260 32770 31374 43 276 44 260 70 270 81 257 31374 29914 41 278 48 262 67 264 77 257 29914 28379 42 282 55 265 66 258 74 254 28379 26767 38 284 58 267 66 254 74 252 26767 25075 30 282 59 267 66 253 75 254 25075 23307 26 268 57 264 60 255 74 254 23307 21469 30 259 52 264 49 260 66 251 21469 19561 37 256 47 268 42 266 55 247 19561 17575 40 256 42 265 35 267 48 248 17575 15551 41 254 39 257 36 257 47 253 15551 13600 38 249 40 255 41 251 48 255 13600 11831 35 247 38 255 43 252 49 256 11831 10265 29 243 35 254 41 254 49 257 10265 8876 25 237 33 251 40 254 47 260 8876 7641 23 235 31 247 39 253 48 263 7641 6544 23 236 32 245 39 252 50 260 6544 5572 24 237 32 242 38 247 49 252 5572 4716 25 238 31 238 33 237 44 242 4716 3961 25 241 28*233 29 227 38 233 3961 3284 24 246 22*225 26 220 35 225 3284 2686 21 247 19 220 24 215 36 216 2686 2186 17 240 19 220 22 214 32 204 2186 1804 11*221 18 219 20 213 25 194 1804 1542 9*208 16 219 18 212 18 181 1542 1383 7 204 15 219 15*211 14*175 1383 1292 6 200 12 219 11*211 8*165 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography