DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.6 - - 80.1 - - 73.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -5 - - 88 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4197 - - 4036 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 3513 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5634 - - 5473 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2757 - - 2639 - - 3509 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 151 - - 301 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 248 - - 243 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -849 - - -1261 - - -4188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6484 - - 6734 - - 5483 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2799 - - -3069 - - -6843 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8433 - - 8542 - - 8138 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 88 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 140 - - 230 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.6 - - 80.1 - - 73.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 55.0 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.1 - - 79.5 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.8 - - 54.2 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -5 - - 88 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4197 - - 4036 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 90 - - 53 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96776 30 246 38 251 36 273 96776 89528 26 263 31 259 29 259 89528 84021 26 263 29 265 27 251 84021 79500 22 271 25 276 21 275 79500 75613 16 278 15 291 15 305 75613 72139 15 271 12 264 15 286 72139 68966 15 273 20 258 22 262 68966 66047 10 253 13 257 16 262 66047 63319 7 249 8 285 18 288 63319 60661 29 274 30 273 34 278 60661 57907 40 268 42 262 38 270 57907 55061 33 262 37 263 40 264 55061 52351 29 272 34 276 37 266 52351 49920 36 277 40 279 42 267 49920 47750 45 271 49 269 49 264 47750 45794 53 267 50 264 62 271 45794 44017 55 267 54 273 72 272 44017 42383 55 266 64 274 73 270 42383 40857 53 265 63 269 66 265 40857 39419 52 268 57 264 59 260 39419 38057 53 272 54 261 58 260 38057 36734 53 273 53 260 60 261 36734 35386 53 270 54 262 61 262 35386 33982 59 270 55 265 60 265 33982 32525 63 270 55 269 58 267 32525 31002 64 271 54 272 53 271 31002 29403 63 273 54 270 49 276 29403 27730 57 267 52 270 46 279 27730 25980 53 262 51 271 43 277 25980 24157 43 265 48 274 43 276 24157 22264 40 263 47 279 40 277 22264 20296 36 265 43 279 35 276 20296 18251 30 267 34 276 31 275 18251 16171 25 260 29 269 27 274 16171 14168 28 252 28 264 25 273 14168 12345 31 244 26 265 23 272 12345 10721 29 244 23 268 21 272 10721 9273 25 251 23 269 18 269 9273 7985 22 262 22 267 19 264 7985 6839 19 262 21 263 20 261 6839 5821 18*258 20*258 21 260 5821 4922 18*255 19*253 22 258 4922 4125 17 251 19 247 23 256 4125 3410 17 249 18 243 23 254 3410 2777 16 247 18 240 23 251 2777 2248 16 246 17 238 22 246 2248 1841 15 244 16 237 19 241 1841 1561 14 244 16 236 15 234 1561 1391 13 244 14 235 11*227 1391 1294 10 243 11 234 5*217 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography