DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.8 - - 85.9 - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 280 - - 136 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8111 - - 8002 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 7312 - - 6762 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 9548 - - 9439 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1677 - - 1801 - - 8664 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 547 - - 433 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 271 - - 263 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 23 - - 18 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 464 - - -126 - - -6491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9085 - - 9566 - - 7786 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -686 - - -3197 - - -8172 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10234 - - 12636 - - 9467 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 68 - - 77 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.8 - - 85.9 - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.2 - - 48.2 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.2 - - 84.9 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.0 - - 47.1 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 280 - - 136 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8111 - - 8002 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99002 28 090 36 091 28 091 99002 91499 28 097 26 105 24 086 91499 85718 23 091 19 100 21 094 85718 80906 23 089 16 102 16 085 80906 76767 19 094 14 082 15 082 76767 73129 14 123 8 060 13 070 73129 69837 11 111 6 116 8 059 69837 66814 12 108 6 149 2 342 66814 64025 6 054 7 150 6 245 64025 61326 9 313 6 281 8 274 61326 58518 16 290 13 291 15 284 58518 55632 27 288 27 289 24 287 55632 52904 31 291 27 297 29 308 52904 50468 60 295 62 299 63 298 50468 48302 78 276 78 273 70 278 48302 46333 62 260 57 260 65 268 46333 44507 43 264 38 260 45 243 44507 42818 67 311 55 306 50 304 42818 41260 88 311 75 303 63 289 41260 39802 79 305 72 293 66 281 39802 38418 66 298 61 285 60 271 38418 37070 61 291 60 282 62 265 37070 35693 58 287 61 277 61 262 35693 34260 56 284 65 275 56 260 34260 32775 57 283 63 272 58 257 32775 31221 57 275 57 265 60 252 31221 29588 61 271 54 261 58 249 29588 27879 65 272 52 263 52 257 27879 26096 64 275 51 268 48 262 26096 24243 58 278 45 270 46 266 24243 22328 55 275 45 270 44 269 22328 20347 51 275 46 274 39 280 20347 18289 40 286 41 280 38 289 18289 16194 30 277 32 281 33 291 16194 14176 31 275 30 279 26 287 14176 12345 28 278 22 278 20 267 12345 10723 20*271 12*244 18 235 10723 9283 16*263 11*245 15 229 9283 7999 15 265 10 247 11 238 7999 6853 14 267 10 256 9 249 6853 5835 13 270 10 261 8 263 5835 4934 13 272 10 267 8 272 4934 4135 12 274 10 270 8 283 4135 3419 12 277 10 272 8 292 3419 2783 11 279 10 275 7 299 2783 2252 11 281 10 276 7 306 2252 1844 10 282 10 278 7 311 1844 1563 10 282 9 278 7 315 1563 1392 9 282 9 278 6*317 1392 1294 8 283 7 278 4*319 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography