DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.5 - - 65.9 - - 72.3 - - 73.9 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 126 - - 227 - - 77 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1524 - - 2833 - - 2975 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1276 - - 1927 - - 3128 - - 2568 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top 1294 - - 2961 - - 4270 - - 4412 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1010 - - 1023 - - 1295 - - 2007 - - 2272 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 241 - - 356 - - 253 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 078 - - 010 - - 010 - - 033 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3 - - 170 - - -338 - - -634 - - -1326 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1297 - - 2791 - - 4608 - - 5046 - - 2620 sfcLCL ODpotential -4978 - - -2463 - - -2776 - - -2337 - - -3422 ODpotential blCL 6272 - - 5424 - - 7046 - - 6749 - - 4716 blCL maxRH 98 - - 90 - - 82 - - 87 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 80 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 56.5 - - 65.9 - - 72.3 - - 73.9 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.3 - - 58.1 - - 56.6 - - 56.2 - - 58.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 64.9 - - 70.9 - - 73.3 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.2 - - 57.3 - - 55.9 - - 55.8 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 126 - - 227 - - 77 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1524 - - 2833 - - 2975 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 60 - - 30 - - 47 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98096 21 248 18 232 24 224 29 244 23 258 98096 90712 19 264 17 225 21 230 28 234 26 258 90712 85039 20 259 14 237 17 246 19 236 21 248 85039 80350 12 251 13 266 13 244 13 263 11 275 80350 76329 4 271 4 297 8 247 12 273 11 301 76329 72786 4 345 11 045 4 120 4 237 4 309 72786 69573 9 324 7 013 1 069 4 267 7 333 69573 66619 9 269 6 321 2 228 8 243 9 311 66619 63887 11 278 8 288 4 246 9 232 14 295 63887 61247 13 254 12 268 14 270 15 254 16 277 61247 58487 14 246 14 258 17 261 18 257 16 276 58487 55616 24 260 22 261 23 265 23 266 23 269 55616 52884 33 257 28 254 25 258 25 260 27 259 52884 50422 32 252 27 256 22 263 24 261 25 254 50422 48194 32 260 28 259 32 268 27 268 25 266 48194 46153 43 254 39 260 38 260 33 277 32 279 46153 44278 45 241 45 248 42 258 42 275 42 282 44278 42553 40 236 40 239 44 254 45 272 49 283 42553 40961 37 244 37 247 46 257 46 275 53 285 40961 39478 38 250 42 249 49 257 47 276 54 282 39478 38080 39 253 44 250 45 257 47 279 49 290 38080 36727 41 253 43 253 43 262 44 285 50 303 36727 35356 41 253 41 258 41 265 44 291 54 307 35356 33939 39 256 40 260 38 270 45 297 54 309 33939 32478 36 253 37 261 36 281 47 300 53 311 32478 30957 29 249 34 264 37 294 48 303 52 311 30957 29361 22 267 32 263 35 297 47 306 51 313 29361 27688 24 281 28 259 31 292 44 305 50 311 27688 25939 24 273 26 265 26 291 37 299 45 305 25939 24118 23 261 22 269 23 293 33 289 38 301 24118 22228 20 256 18 265 22 282 30 278 34 301 22228 20259 18 249 19 261 23 270 26 279 31 304 20259 18204 16 244 22 265 23 267 25 282 27 306 18204 16107 18 243 23 260 20 273 21 278 23 310 16107 14089 19 241 21 248 17 262 16 280 17 309 14089 12258 18 239 19 244 15 252 15 291 14 307 12258 10633 11 247 13 246 9 255 14 299 13 305 10633 9191 6 277 7 251 4 269 8 299 10 307 9191 7910 6 308 3 256 3 299 5 302 7 305 7910 6771 7 327 3 352 5 337 6 326 7 304 6771 5760 7 335 8 000 9 358 6 349 8 305 5760 4869 5 337 10 354 9*002 6*014 6 316 4869 4081 4 345 9 358 9*006 6*025 4 357 4081 3376 4 340 7*014 9 009 7 032 5 042 3376 2752 5 327 6*013 9 010 7 033 9 055 2752 2231 6 334 6 012 8 011 7 034 11 056 2231 1831 7 347 6 010 8 012 7 035 11 054 1831 1556 6 353 5 008 8 013 6 035 10 052 1556 1389 3*359 5 005 7 012 6 035 7*050 1389 1293 2*078 4 005 6 013 5 034 4*044 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography