DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.8 - - 60.4 - - 60.5 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 43 - - -32 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 792 - - 2073 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2229 - - 3510 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 570 - - 941 - - 3460 - - 245 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 200 - - 17 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 223 - - 243 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1457 - - -2931 - - -4445 - - -3017 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3686 - - 6442 - - 5739 - - 4310 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8285 - - -8925 - - -8901 - - -12035 ODpotential blCL - - - 10514 - - 12435 - - 10195 - - 13328 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 63 - - 34 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.8 - - 60.4 - - 60.5 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 36.8 - - 40.0 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 60.1 - - 62.7 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 35.6 - - 38.8 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 43 - - -32 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 792 - - 2073 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96458 84 245 88 252 89 251 84 251 96458 89163 53 259 55 255 60 255 56 259 89163 83638 34 265 29 253 39 256 38 271 83638 79093 20 259 17 241 25 255 31 275 79093 75175 18 252 18 256 15 266 21 268 75175 71695 16 252 19 261 15 270 18 268 71695 68521 12 263 20 258 20 259 22 265 68521 65584 14 255 18 256 18 256 24 255 65584 62850 17 259 17 259 22 262 25 261 62850 60200 22 269 23 255 29 262 30 276 60200 57429 28 265 30 255 35 264 35 274 57429 54555 33 255 35 258 42 266 41 281 54555 51816 34 252 40 263 46 265 44 283 51816 49340 40 257 42 267 52 265 53 278 49340 47102 47 260 47 271 48 264 56 274 47102 45057 54 264 50 267 51 274 60 273 45057 43183 54 266 52 267 61 275 66 267 43183 41466 55 265 58 267 67 269 61 264 41466 39886 54 266 60 262 60 273 49 277 39886 38425 50 266 52 263 66 279 66 287 38425 37068 45 274 52 278 68 271 80 279 37068 35771 50 275 54 281 55 256 78 268 35771 34464 45 274 51 277 50 273 67 267 34464 33112 32 288 43 279 56 283 62 276 33112 31711 32 310 43 282 60 282 67 284 31711 30246 39 321 50 282 62 280 70 287 30246 28704 43 324 52 283 59 275 70 285 28704 27088 40 317 47 285 55 274 67 281 27088 25396 38 307 44 287 53 277 65 278 25396 23627 41 303 44 287 52 284 62 280 23627 21786 42 303 45 288 48 289 58 282 21786 19866 42 303 45 290 44 290 52 284 19866 17863 40 302 41 289 40 288 47 283 17863 15813 37 299 35 282 39 283 46 280 15813 13833 35 295 32 281 39 277 44 277 13833 12031 33 298 31 284 38 277 42 275 12031 10433 29 305 30 286 37 276 41 275 10433 9017 24 308 28 286 35 275 40 275 9017 7760 18 299 26 284 33 275 39 276 7760 6641 15 285 25 282 32 276 38 277 6641 5650 13 279 25 282 29 276 37 278 5650 4776 11 285 21 278 23 274 37 277 4776 4005 12 293 13*255 18 267 36 273 4005 3317 10 294 10*229 15 257 33 267 3317 2710 6*281 9 224 15 255 28 261 2710 2204 4*228 8 222 14 252 22 254 2204 1815 3 214 7 220 13 249 19 250 1815 1547 3 216 7 218 11 247 15 243 1547 1385 3 213 6 218 9*245 10*235 1385 1292 2 212 5 218 5*243 5*210 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography