DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 56.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 297 - - 121 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3140 - - 2693 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3448 - - 2716 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4577 - - 4130 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1092 - - 1738 - - 1888 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 400 - - 283 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 209 - - 206 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 18 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2233 - - -3241 - - -5248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6811 - - 7371 - - 6541 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9458 - - -9858 - - -12446 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14035 - - 13988 - - 13739 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 86 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 56.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.8 - - 29.0 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.4 - - 55.8 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.7 - - 28.0 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 297 - - 121 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3140 - - 2693 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 43 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96614 48 236 50 247 41 268 96614 89307 41 238 44 243 40 259 89307 83680 34 243 40 249 41 253 83680 79044 34 253 32 243 36 250 79044 75065 32 266 22 255 28 241 75065 71520 36 265 30 270 29 266 71520 68309 39 268 39 274 41 281 68309 65403 44 276 42 279 45 289 65403 62742 47 278 45 282 45 284 62742 60162 53 281 51 282 44 280 60162 57446 61 279 58 279 49 282 57446 54601 67 279 66 278 61 283 54601 51871 72 283 72 279 74 284 51871 49401 79 285 78 280 81 284 49401 47169 83 286 81 282 85 282 47169 45133 85 285 83 284 84 281 45133 43269 85 283 85 285 80 282 43269 41568 84 283 87 284 80 285 41568 40015 83 283 89 283 85 286 40015 38582 81 282 85 284 87 286 38582 37241 78 280 79 285 86 286 37241 35945 75 280 72 285 84 286 35945 34626 71 280 68 286 80 284 34626 33255 69 281 66 286 74 286 33255 31833 66 282 64 287 70 292 31833 30348 62 281 61 288 67 293 30348 28785 57 282 60 289 61 289 28785 27147 54 285 58 287 56 288 27147 25434 52 285 53 284 53 288 25434 23649 51 285 48 284 49 290 23649 21791 49 284 46 286 48 290 21791 19852 46 283 43 284 45 285 19852 17828 41 284 36 280 39 282 17828 15768 38 283 32 282 32 285 15768 13787 37 276 30 286 27 293 13787 11985 33 270 31 284 25 298 11985 10382 26 265 29 276 24 298 10382 8956 21 260 25 264 24 284 8956 7695 22 258 22 255 24 265 7695 6582 24 254 21 248 23 251 6582 5601 24 240 21 238 23 235 5601 4737 24*222 20*225 25 224 4737 3976 24*213 19*212 28 211 3976 3296 24 211 19 208 29 200 3296 2695 23 209 19 206 28 193 2695 2194 23 208 19 205 25 189 2194 1809 22 207 18 204 21 184 1809 1544 20 207 17 203 15 177 1544 1384 18 206 15 203 12*172 1384 1292 14 206 12 202 7*167 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography