DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1330z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.6 - - 76.5 - - 78.1 - - 77.0 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 159 - - 224 - - 114 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 161 - - 2465 - - 2804 - - 2135 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1258 - - 2746 - - 3127 - - 2336 - - 1259 Hcrit BL Top 1598 - - 3902 - - 4241 - - 3572 - - 1276 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1212 - - 2086 - - 2350 - - 2331 - - 2746 Hgt.Variab. W* 57 - - 310 - - 361 - - 264 - - 13 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 089 - - 107 - - 131 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -11 - - -13 - - -11 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1216 - - 26 - - 411 - - 268 - - -664 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2814 - - 3876 - - 3830 - - 3304 - - 1940 sfcLCL ODpotential -3939 - - -1191 - - -1211 - - -694 - - -1448 ODpotential blCL 5537 - - 5093 - - 5452 - - 4266 - - 2724 blCL maxRH 88 - - 88 - - 84 - - 87 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 330 - - 920 - - 1290 - - 1040 CAPE Temp@2m 68.6 - - 76.5 - - 78.1 - - 77.0 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.7 - - 63.8 - - 65.5 - - 66.7 - - 67.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.5 - - 75.3 - - 76.7 - - 76.1 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.0 - - 62.6 - - 64.3 - - 65.9 - - 67.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 159 - - 224 - - 114 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 161 - - 2465 - - 2804 - - 2135 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 52 - - 35 - - 49 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98212 4 146 10 199 3 201 5 255 4 240 98212 90890 9 275 10 231 9 254 11 242 11 256 90890 85212 11 256 10 249 13 246 13 255 15 256 85212 80490 7 239 9 261 12 230 13 259 13 267 80490 76436 3 228 5 251 7 219 10 266 9 291 76436 72873 2 301 3 248 3 254 7 294 9 316 72873 69674 5 005 1 273 3 284 9 308 11 318 69674 66759 10 359 6 330 3 285 10 296 13 306 66759 64071 13 331 15 315 7 306 9 271 13 289 64071 61473 16 301 20 298 14 302 11 271 14 276 61473 58767 18 286 24 280 21 294 17 278 16 272 58767 55954 24 274 30 277 29 278 26 276 21 272 55954 53259 28 265 35 269 36 266 33 273 26 268 53259 50826 30 263 36 257 39 258 38 269 31 267 50826 48644 35 261 37 252 40 252 43 261 38 265 48644 46678 35 257 35 255 38 253 42 252 42 258 46678 44894 30 258 30 254 35 253 34 247 40 247 44894 43257 25 262 25 250 32 235 33 246 32 240 43257 41732 24 262 23 247 31 220 37 233 35 244 41732 40295 25 261 25 242 29 215 40 225 41 242 40295 38932 26 262 26 240 29 219 41 223 43 238 38932 37606 27 262 27 241 29 227 41 224 42 234 37606 36251 26 259 26 242 29 234 39 227 40 235 36251 34835 26 256 25 244 29 237 36 232 39 243 34835 33361 27 254 24 245 28 238 33 237 37 250 33361 31814 26 254 22 247 24 240 29 242 32 255 31814 30183 26 254 19 252 20 244 24 244 24 257 30183 28469 25 255 19 258 17 253 19 245 18 255 28469 26671 24 258 20 258 16 259 16 250 16 258 26671 24793 21 258 20 252 16 254 14 257 15 264 24793 22838 20 253 19 244 16 247 13 261 12 261 22838 20802 17 249 17 239 16 246 13 255 11 246 20802 18678 14 267 12 242 15 247 12 246 11 233 18678 16513 14 289 12 259 15 254 12 248 9 231 16513 14430 15 288 15 276 15 274 12 270 5 247 14430 12537 15 277 19 289 14 291 13 295 3 333 12537 10856 17 270 19 287 13 306 17 316 4 004 10856 9365 17 282 18 290 15 321 18 331 3 041 9365 8042 17 295 16 301 16 331 16 334 2 171 8042 6869 14 306 12 317 13 338 9 327 6 189 6869 5830 10 315 6 339 7 346 3 312 9 178 5830 4915 6 331 2 043 2*070 3 134 12 167 4915 4109 4 037 7*085 7*106 7*128 15 159 4109 3389 9 071 9*088 10 107 9*130 16 155 3389 2754 13 074 10 089 11 107 11 131 16 153 2754 2226 14 072 10 089 11 107 11 131 14 151 2226 1820 13*070 10 089 11 108 11 131 12 149 1820 1541 8*068 9 090 10 108 10 131 10 149 1541 1372 7 068 9 089 9 108 9 132 8*148 1372 1275 4 067 8 089 8 108 8 133 6*149 1275 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography