DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 70.0 - - 70.6 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 40 - - -32 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 828 - - 2028 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2265 - - 3465 - - 1295 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 819 - - 1062 - - 4302 - - 124 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 147 - - 206 - - 22 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 208 - - 214 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1584 - - -1899 - - -3499 - - -1964 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3849 - - 5364 - - 4794 - - 3258 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9302 - - -8179 - - -8499 - - -8558 ODpotential blCL - - - 11567 - - 11644 - - 9794 - - 9852 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 55 - - 51 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 70.0 - - 70.6 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 51.0 - - 54.0 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 69.7 - - 72.3 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 49.7 - - 52.8 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 40 - - -32 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 828 - - 2028 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97884 26 234 23 235 26 261 23 252 97884 90580 24 244 26 250 28 246 24 260 90580 84901 24 255 23 242 26 244 21 245 84901 80149 19 260 21 242 23 244 17 238 80149 76050 14 246 20 250 22 245 20 254 76050 72438 14 256 15 225 20 247 22 255 72438 69180 17 245 15 229 17 252 17 260 69180 66191 13 243 18 249 20 254 21 266 66191 63435 11 284 16 257 22 242 27 254 63435 60775 23 287 18 270 19 241 26 244 60775 58002 34 265 28 263 23 251 30 259 58002 55136 36 250 38 255 37 254 41 257 55136 52417 36 249 46 255 44 252 48 251 52417 49976 40 253 48 251 48 253 50 250 49976 47781 46 252 48 245 53 251 52 252 47781 45779 49 247 46 242 54 246 55 253 45779 43942 46 250 39 246 48 243 57 252 43942 42249 49 256 36 256 45 248 55 249 42249 40677 49 255 40 264 46 252 52 250 40677 39211 45 257 44 259 45 251 50 249 39211 37840 43 257 41 251 38 258 44 246 37840 36519 41 254 36 252 37 267 40 254 36519 35177 37 253 33 261 36 276 42 280 35177 33786 33 255 29 263 37 276 44 284 33786 32348 30 258 27 268 38 272 40 278 32348 30846 29 262 29 276 36 270 37 271 30846 29265 29 264 32 284 34 272 37 269 29265 27606 28 264 30 285 31 277 36 273 27606 25868 24 265 24 279 29 281 36 275 25868 24053 20 263 25 272 28 283 33 277 24053 22162 17 269 27 273 30 286 32 275 22162 20196 22 287 28 273 33 287 34 278 20196 18155 27 295 29 273 34 284 35 279 18155 16077 28 288 27 275 32 277 34 275 16077 14072 30 278 26 277 27 272 31 274 14072 12247 28 269 26 276 23 275 28 274 12247 10626 24 262 25 273 23 281 25 281 10626 9186 22 259 23 275 24 283 24 289 9186 7905 17 258 21 277 25 280 24 285 7905 6768 12 252 20 279 24 274 24 271 6768 5762 10 248 19 279 20 264 22 256 5762 4874 10 244 16 273 17 248 20 250 4874 4087 13 237 13*252 15 231 19 251 4087 3381 15 228 11*219 14 220 18 244 3381 2755 14*215 11 208 13 219 16 230 2755 2233 11*196 10 207 13 217 17 213 2233 1831 8 176 10 206 12 216 16 202 1831 1555 7 174 9 205 10 215 12 192 1555 1388 7 174 8 205 9*215 8*178 1388 1293 6 175 7 205 5*214 5*160 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography