DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.0 - - 28.7 - - 19.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1054 - - 922 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1273 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2491 - - 2359 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1050 - - 1617 - - 707 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 153 - - 80 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 352 - - 010 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -709 - - -1220 - - -1152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3200 - - 3579 - - 2443 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9329 - - -8061 - - -9439 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11820 - - 10420 - - 10730 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 66 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.0 - - 28.7 - - 19.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 16.8 - - 17.6 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 25.6 - - 28.7 - - 24.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 15.7 - - 16.5 - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1054 - - 922 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96109 49 225 50 241 44 240 96109 88924 35 234 40 251 33 239 88924 83389 20 255 30 241 31 264 83389 78770 18 269 23 241 27 267 78770 74783 24 279 22 268 31 269 74783 71264 30 278 23 267 33 272 71264 68077 32 271 23 262 31 261 68077 65126 36 272 25 271 26 253 65126 62357 41 270 32 277 24 266 62357 59655 45 262 38 268 35 283 59655 56836 44 252 44 260 43 278 56836 53902 43 248 45 253 42 265 53902 51081 45 255 40 254 40 256 51081 48519 50 260 43 259 44 255 48519 46216 55 257 47 258 49 251 46216 44129 58 252 47 257 48 248 44129 42221 57 246 47 254 47 253 42221 40466 50 244 46 251 50 251 40466 38846 47 245 47 251 47 245 38846 37337 47 244 48 250 37 251 37337 35926 48 244 43 246 36 254 35926 34576 50 242 35 252 37 248 34576 33223 39 243 33 258 33 248 33223 31847 21 257 30 263 34 253 31847 30455 18 293 27 279 35 261 30455 29021 20 310 28 288 29 251 29021 27517 21 308 27 285 31 255 27517 25943 17 309 23 278 33 259 25943 24293 16 310 23 276 30 258 24293 22571 14 280 24 270 27 255 22571 20779 21 256 22 261 28 252 20779 18917 21 253 24 257 27 254 18917 16982 20 263 22 255 26 261 16982 15016 19 264 20 256 23 263 15016 13126 17 268 19 260 20 264 13126 11411 15 275 17 272 16 271 11411 9895 11 282 14 283 13 284 9895 8550 8 293 12 292 10 290 8550 7356 8 303 11 299 10 295 7356 6298 7 305 9 306 12 297 6298 5366 8 306 9 312 13 293 5366 4550 7 314 9 314 11 297 4550 3832 6 330 6 321 7 317 3832 3187 6 347 3 001 3 346 3187 2618 5*357 3*035 3 064 2618 2144 5*356 3*024 5 080 2144 1780 5 352 3 013 6 077 1780 1529 5 351 3 006 5 073 1529 1377 5 350 2 000 4*068 1377 1290 4 349 2 358 3*065 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography