DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 59.9 - - 60.5 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 356 - - 162 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3272 - - 6728 - - 7577 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3501 - - 6316 - - 6520 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4709 - - 8165 - - 9014 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 968 - - 1249 - - 976 - - 7801 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 389 - - 549 - - 441 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 19 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 287 - - 280 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 16 - - 14 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4705 - - -1257 - - 554 - - -5404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9414 - - 9422 - - 8460 - - 6697 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12998 - - -6972 - - -3832 - - -6709 ODpotential blCL - - - 17707 - - 15137 - - 12846 - - 8002 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 58 - - 84 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 59.9 - - 60.5 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.0 - - 22.8 - - 27.7 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 58.1 - - 59.5 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.9 - - 21.7 - - 26.6 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 356 - - 162 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3272 - - 6728 - - 7577 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96662 28 249 26 239 32 250 34 265 96662 89314 23 241 19 246 26 255 29 267 89314 83711 19 256 14 244 16 250 26 256 83711 79083 17 244 13 242 18 245 18 253 79083 75103 14 213 10 248 17 240 17 251 75103 71586 10 218 11 224 16 233 19 230 71586 68380 13 201 15 212 18 237 19 232 68380 65406 17 252 24 229 28 244 29 241 65406 62660 30 236 28 235 29 239 30 233 62660 60004 29 256 29 255 25 252 28 256 60004 57225 43 264 41 263 42 258 48 256 57225 54332 48 255 49 253 51 254 52 250 54332 51547 52 252 53 253 57 253 54 252 51547 49017 60 258 58 257 63 251 62 257 49017 46746 70 257 67 256 68 251 72 258 46746 44704 75 251 73 250 74 253 81 255 44704 42859 76 250 77 250 83 253 91 250 42859 41182 86 256 92 250 99 250 99 246 41182 39646 109 259 113 250 115 247 112 246 39646 38224 131 257 130 248 136 247 130 246 38224 36886 142 253 147 247 142 245 130 243 36886 35584 143 251 153 248 139 244 130 243 35584 34254 129 251 143 249 138 244 128 245 34254 32871 113 252 126 248 130 246 110 247 32871 31443 103 255 109 250 115 248 99 249 31443 29955 95 256 96 254 99 254 93 257 29955 28398 89 254 92 256 91 261 87 260 28398 26770 83 253 89 258 87 264 81 261 26770 25069 79 254 84 261 83 263 75 264 25069 23302 76 253 82 264 79 265 72 268 23302 21468 72 254 78 266 76 267 69 270 21468 19561 69 256 71 266 71 268 66 270 19561 17572 65 258 64 265 65 267 61 270 17572 15545 59 263 59 266 59 264 57 271 15545 13595 53 270 56 269 52 266 53 275 13595 11826 49 277 52 275 47 273 50 277 11826 10264 44 282 44 283 36*276 42 275 10264 8887 38 287 30*287 22*276 29 269 8887 7665 36 293 19*285 20 278 24 269 7665 6575 34 298 18 285 20 279 23 270 6575 5606 28*300 18 286 19 279 21 271 5606 4749 17*298 17 286 19 281 20 272 4749 3990 13 295 16 287 19 282 19 273 3990 3309 12 296 16 288 18 283 18 273 3309 2705 12 296 15 288 18 284 16 274 2705 2201 11 297 15 289 17 284 15 274 2201 1814 10 297 14 289 17 285 12 274 1814 1547 9 297 13 289 16 285 9 273 1547 1385 9 298 12 289 15 285 7*270 1385 1292 7 297 11 289 12 285 3*266 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography