DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.6 - - 91.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 224 - - 99 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7268 - - 7090 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6525 - - 5842 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8705 - - 8527 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2368 - - 3181 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 492 - - 379 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 194 - - 207 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -57 - - -508 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8762 - - 9036 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2284 - - -2547 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10989 - - 11074 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 65 - - 63 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 770 - - 810 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.6 - - 91.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.7 - - 55.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.1 - - 90.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.3 - - 54.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 224 - - 99 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7268 - - 7090 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97980 9 138 6 178 97980 90596 3 252 4 123 90596 84924 3 069 2 107 84924 80239 7 083 4 165 80239 76212 8 112 5 151 76212 72642 8 132 3 144 72642 69407 6 159 2 231 69407 66449 5 073 5 105 66449 63715 14 337 11 013 63715 61074 15 313 14 331 61074 58324 10 318 17 325 58324 55478 18 321 18 318 55478 52780 21 306 16 314 52780 50368 15 299 18 307 50368 48203 11 296 16 294 48203 46231 11 283 14 287 46231 44420 11 274 16 276 44420 42753 12 250 16 241 42753 41208 12 207 16 240 41208 39755 16 172 16 236 39755 38376 10 160 18 191 38376 37038 7 188 17 167 37038 35674 18 222 13 160 35674 34256 26 217 7 202 34256 32787 29 222 13 259 32787 31257 31 225 19 270 31257 29654 31 228 27 248 29654 27976 22 223 24 236 27976 26221 18 198 16 225 26221 24390 14 206 10 215 24390 22483 13 232 7 201 22483 20500 17 234 9 218 20500 18447 23 226 18 233 18447 16364 23 212 24 218 16364 14353 24 209 27 212 14353 12514 23 224 25 222 12514 10873 19 227 21 232 10873 9410 12*211 14*224 9410 8104 8*199 12*214 8104 6940 8 198 13 211 6940 5905 8 196 13 210 5905 4989 7 194 13 208 4989 4178 7 193 13 206 4178 3451 7 191 13 205 3451 2806 6 190 13 204 2806 2267 6 189 13 203 2267 1853 5 188 13 203 1853 1567 5 189 13 202 1567 1394 5 188 12 202 1394 1295 4 189 10 202 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography