DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.3 - - 49.5 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 79 - - -4 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1597 - - 883 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1275 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3034 - - 2320 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 764 - - 1474 - - 387 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 206 - - 44 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 207 - - 199 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -148 - - -1878 - - -135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3182 - - 4198 - - 1428 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7830 - - -9102 - - -9681 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10864 - - 11422 - - 10973 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 76 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.3 - - 49.5 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.0 - - 35.8 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 44.7 - - 49.8 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.7 - - 35.5 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 79 - - -4 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1597 - - 883 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 80 - - 4 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 59 245 54 247 56 250 96301 89082 31 250 35 258 29 248 89082 83571 22 265 25 264 23 271 83571 78971 22 265 23 277 30 280 78971 75014 21 262 22 281 26 272 75014 71514 19 272 20 279 24 287 71514 68316 22 290 19 288 32 287 68316 65362 32 292 28 280 36 279 65362 62624 34 284 34 278 35 279 62624 59968 36 286 34 277 37 285 59968 57178 34 287 39 290 43 298 57178 54263 47 291 51 288 57 292 54263 51484 50 285 56 283 60 288 51484 49000 51 286 57 289 63 290 49000 46792 66 291 66 291 68 289 46792 44809 67 293 71 288 75 291 44809 43017 71 294 74 292 85 291 43017 41384 80 296 85 295 84 287 41384 39881 91 294 92 297 82 290 39881 38474 85 297 94 300 86 293 38474 37140 87 304 95 301 87 290 37140 35843 85 300 91 296 86 286 35843 34524 82 299 91 288 87 288 34524 33153 80 301 90 288 88 289 33153 31731 78 298 88 290 85 287 31731 30246 78 297 78 290 80 289 30246 28686 77 298 69 287 74 291 28686 27053 75 297 66 284 69 292 27053 25345 73 295 63 284 63 290 25345 23563 68 290 59 284 57 285 23563 21708 59 285 59 282 54 282 21708 19775 50 282 58 282 54 284 19775 17759 45 277 53 281 55 288 17759 15707 44 275 45 279 51 287 15707 13733 44 275 41 278 46 282 13733 11939 44 271 39 277 44 279 11939 10346 40 267 40 277 43 280 10346 8933 36 264 42 275 42 281 8933 7678 34 258 41 269 43 280 7678 6566 34 252 40 262 42 274 6566 5584 33 245 36 256 38 264 5584 4722 31 234 30 249 33 253 4722 3961 28 222 24 239 28 245 3961 3281 23*214 21 226 24 233 3281 2680 18*209 17*213 24 220 2680 2182 17 208 15*203 23 211 2182 1801 16 207 14 199 16 203 1801 1540 15 207 13 197 10 184 1540 1382 13 207 11 196 7*166 1382 1291 10 207 8 193 4*134 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography