DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 10.0 - - 28.7 - - 31.6 - - 25.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 28 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 584 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 1274 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1290 - - 2021 - - 1292 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 203 - - 1042 - - 2811 - - 417 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 107 - - 12 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 153 - - 186 - - 194 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1527 - - -1650 - - -2003 - - -812 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2818 - - 3672 - - 3295 - - 2104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12438 - - -6487 - - -4511 - - -3943 ODpotential blCL - - - 13728 - - 8508 - - 5803 - - 5235 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 61 - - 64 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 10.0 - - 28.7 - - 31.6 - - 25.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 2.8 - - 17.4 - - 22.0 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 13.8 - - 28.5 - - 32.5 - - 29.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.2 - - 16.4 - - 20.9 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 28 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 584 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96335 61 218 43 227 45 233 33 231 96335 89018 50 218 48 217 46 223 55 245 89018 83428 46 246 48 240 55 245 53 230 83428 78770 40 237 42 230 50 253 45 248 78770 74740 31 245 26 251 37 239 43 266 74740 71201 39 273 26 283 25 262 39 258 71201 67991 44 265 37 276 28 277 33 270 67991 65025 37 261 42 272 37 285 38 281 65025 62269 40 274 46 278 48 286 44 288 62269 59590 49 278 53 281 56 286 48 293 59590 56779 53 277 56 280 60 285 54 294 56779 53850 51 280 54 280 58 285 61 291 53850 51054 51 287 49 285 56 286 67 292 51054 48531 51 290 49 290 57 289 72 290 48531 46261 50 289 51 291 55 293 72 287 46261 44193 49 287 52 292 55 299 72 289 44193 42295 47 288 52 295 59 302 73 290 42295 40543 48 294 53 298 64 305 73 292 40543 38928 51 295 56 299 71 305 73 293 38928 37440 48 297 56 302 76 303 74 297 37440 36066 50 303 57 304 77 303 76 302 36066 34760 49 307 54 303 76 306 77 303 34760 33447 49 315 47 305 79 313 77 304 33447 32094 51 321 40 301 87 318 80 306 32094 30701 53 323 33 294 90 317 83 307 30701 29250 52 325 32 294 84 315 83 307 29250 27726 50 324 34 294 71 313 81 307 27726 26131 49 321 34 295 57 309 76 306 26131 24462 49 318 30 297 42 302 68 303 24462 22718 48 319 27 296 31 286 64 306 22718 20906 43 322 27 297 25 274 62 304 20906 19023 37 321 27 300 23 281 56 303 19023 17072 33 316 26 302 23 286 46 302 17072 15092 31 310 25 299 25 285 37 295 15092 13192 27 309 24 293 27 279 34 286 13192 11471 23 306 25 289 29 273 31 280 11471 9949 18 301 24 287 28 271 25 274 9949 8603 14 290 23 284 26 272 21 270 8603 7410 13 271 22 277 24 275 21 273 7410 6350 12 252 17 270 21 279 21 277 6350 5414 7 238 10 267 19 282 19 280 5414 4591 3 304 7 279 15 280 17 281 4591 3864 9 338 7 288 13 271 15 277 3864 3213 15 328 6 267 11 250 17 270 3213 2636 13 316 6 226 10 223 19 259 2636 2155 4 268 7*198 9 212 20 246 2155 1786 9 224 6*189 8 205 18 236 1786 1532 8 215 5 185 7 201 13 227 1532 1378 4*193 5 185 6*198 8*214 1378 1291 2*153 4 184 4*194 4*189 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography