DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.6 - - 39.5 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 200 - - 21 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2878 - - 2601 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3086 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4315 - - 4038 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 854 - - 1206 - - 2041 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 337 - - 156 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 162 - - 159 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3024 - - -3790 - - -4769 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7339 - - 7828 - - 6061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14243 - - -15121 - - -17342 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 18558 - - 19159 - - 18634 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 87 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.6 - - 39.5 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 11.3 - - 10.2 - - 11.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 37.4 - - 39.3 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 10.6 - - 9.6 - - 10.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 200 - - 21 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2878 - - 2601 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 26 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95741 19 288 19 269 36 270 95741 88756 15 282 18 286 25 287 88756 83313 19 250 22 285 17 301 83313 78763 22 252 25 278 18 280 78763 74826 22 250 23 261 24 260 74826 71320 22 251 23 251 24 258 71320 68118 29 255 28 248 29 261 68118 65168 32 253 32 253 31 250 65168 62427 37 253 33 256 34 258 62427 59764 41 250 43 263 41 262 59764 56986 52 247 53 263 56 253 56986 54104 60 240 59 247 56 246 54104 51336 60 243 64 247 56 254 51336 48835 63 248 70 247 70 252 48835 46613 65 245 71 242 69 248 46613 44629 63 247 62 243 61 250 44629 42832 68 256 67 254 68 257 42832 41187 66 250 80 252 70 247 41187 39670 57 248 66 249 60 242 39670 38255 58 253 56 253 61 247 38255 36925 60 256 53 254 70 251 36925 35641 61 256 53 254 73 252 35641 34336 61 257 57 254 72 250 34336 32981 61 259 59 254 70 248 32981 31576 60 259 64 256 65 241 31576 30105 59 258 67 257 62 233 30105 28553 58 257 62 256 59 228 28553 26922 55 255 52 253 53 229 26922 25209 51 257 44 251 51 227 25209 23420 46 252 44 245 48 228 23420 21558 40 251 44 245 48 232 21558 19623 37 255 43 247 47 236 19623 17608 39 254 42 248 44 231 17608 15551 42 249 42 245 44 229 15551 13572 40 245 40 242 41 229 13572 11774 34 247 36 242 35 228 11774 10177 28 257 29 243 28 226 10177 8764 22 269 20 251 22 222 8764 7515 15 273 14 257 17 212 7515 6417 9 265 9 241 14 192 6417 5456 5 227 8 203 13 177 5456 4617 5*174 9*181 12 173 4617 3880 5*168 9*169 14 166 3880 3223 5 164 10 162 16 159 3223 2644 5 162 10 158 16 156 2644 2161 5 160 10 157 16 153 2161 1789 5 159 10 155 14 149 1789 1534 4 160 9 154 12 143 1534 1379 4 160 8 153 8*138 1379 1291 4 161 7 153 4*133 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography