DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 37.6 - - 32.3 - - 30.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5014 - - 3372 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3901 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6451 - - 4809 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3681 - - 3201 - - 4434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 290 - - 131 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 31 - - 31 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 276 - - 294 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 23 - - 21 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2050 - - 796 - - -2222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4401 - - 4014 - - 3514 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 40 - - -944 - - -2696 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6411 - - 5753 - - 3988 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 77 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 37.6 - - 32.3 - - 30.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 22.9 - - 19.4 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 37.4 - - 32.7 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.6 - - 18.3 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5014 - - 3372 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 6 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95436 83 250 92 257 92 255 95436 88497 58 256 61 260 54 260 88497 83191 43 259 38 256 39 268 83191 78731 38 254 35 252 35 272 78731 74841 37 252 36 251 36 256 74841 71356 33 265 32 242 43 250 71356 68177 32 254 37 252 52 262 68177 65265 35 229 50 252 58 259 65265 62569 47 236 50 236 54 244 62569 59928 56 244 40 219 46 239 59928 57123 61 249 43 251 53 247 57123 54180 74 249 68 255 62 253 54180 51362 86 243 81 253 74 259 51362 48824 91 240 88 253 80 261 48824 46546 93 241 99 257 88 264 46546 44490 99 243 117 255 105 261 44490 42627 107 243 122 248 115 252 42627 40919 116 241 119 242 104 247 40919 39334 121 236 109 249 89 256 39334 37858 114 232 106 252 84 269 37858 36476 98 235 104 255 91 278 36476 35145 106 243 104 260 102 279 35145 33797 123 242 105 263 110 277 33797 32406 136 238 108 266 112 276 32406 30974 145 233 112 268 108 277 30974 29485 151 228 112 268 100 278 29485 27927 147 224 103 270 92 282 27927 26303 134 224 93 273 88 288 26303 24610 118 226 85 280 85 294 24610 22847 102 228 83 288 82 297 22847 21020 88 229 78 290 79 297 21020 19121 81 228 67 291 73 298 19121 17141 72 227 56 298 68 301 17141 15130 59 234 53 308 64 302 15130 13206 48 248 53 312 59 304 13206 11468 42 260 52 309 55 306 11468 9929 35 267 47 306 52 310 9929 8565 33 270 40 302 51 315 8565 7361 33*273 38 297 51 317 7361 6304 33*274 38 297 50 313 6304 5377 33 276 37*296 45 309 5377 4564 33 276 36*295 41 307 4564 3845 33 277 35 294 40 306 3845 3200 32 277 34 294 36 305 3200 2629 32 277 32 293 33 304 2629 2151 31 277 30 293 29 302 2151 1784 30 277 28 293 26 302 1784 1532 27 277 24 293 22 301 1532 1378 23 277 21 293 19*301 1378 1291 17 277 15 293 13*301 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography