DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 62.9 - - 60.3 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 67 - - -13 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 454 - - 1632 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1891 - - 3069 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 868 - - 1407 - - 2100 - - 821 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 205 - - 17 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 142 - - 133 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -448 - - -395 - - -1538 - - -90 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2339 - - 3464 - - 2833 - - 1384 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8160 - - -6198 - - -6729 - - -6843 ODpotential blCL - - - 10051 - - 9267 - - 8023 - - 8136 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 83 - - 76 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 62.9 - - 60.3 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 52.4 - - 52.6 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 62.3 - - 60.8 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 51.2 - - 51.8 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 67 - - -13 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 454 - - 1632 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 32 - - 6 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96893 41 240 51 248 62 259 57 262 96893 89678 29 247 37 246 37 254 44 259 89678 84114 24 246 26 242 21 257 31 254 84114 79505 15 235 10 234 18 241 26 254 79505 75543 12 263 6 250 16 241 18 233 75543 72056 15 269 7 271 10 260 9 225 72056 68909 15 246 12 249 15 247 13 262 68909 66018 18 242 15 245 17 229 16 263 66018 63331 22 266 20 253 18 248 22 272 63331 60723 31 258 26 247 22 251 29 254 60723 58000 27 244 33 246 33 250 34 246 58000 55165 38 242 41 243 41 245 42 250 55165 52448 47 238 51 245 41 248 50 250 52448 49996 50 240 52 241 48 248 53 249 49996 47806 61 237 57 237 57 246 58 249 47806 45832 65 230 64 230 63 244 63 250 45832 44032 59 225 66 228 64 240 65 251 44032 42373 60 238 68 231 61 238 63 249 42373 40830 64 245 69 233 59 238 57 245 40830 39382 61 247 64 234 58 236 53 244 39382 38016 56 249 57 235 59 234 51 240 38016 36692 47 233 56 228 57 231 51 237 36692 35344 42 231 53 225 55 231 53 238 35344 33943 41 233 49 228 54 232 55 241 33943 32492 42 233 48 231 50 235 55 240 32492 30977 44 235 46 240 50 243 56 240 30977 29382 47 243 45 249 46 246 52 242 29382 27711 51 250 41 251 43 250 41 242 27711 25963 53 249 40 248 44 253 35 250 25963 24135 51 241 44 249 39 255 32 256 24135 22235 42 234 47 253 37 255 31 255 22235 20264 32 233 41 252 35 254 27 262 20264 18209 22 224 22 235 31 257 21 261 18209 16106 15 235 19 242 22 250 18 251 16106 14072 15 238 17 233 17 253 17 239 14072 12223 15 236 16 226 16 245 16 243 12223 10582 11 231 13 220 14 228 13 243 10582 9128 7 227 8 212 11 215 9 241 9128 7840 6 222 6 212 8 210 6 238 7840 6700 6 188 7 206 6 212 4 229 6700 5693 6 153 8 195 7 212 5 229 5693 4809 7 149 8 189 7 211 6 233 4809 4030 8 141 7 182 7 210 6 233 4030 3335 10 139 7*166 7 182 6 185 3335 2721 10 142 7*148 10 143 12 149 2721 2210 8*136 8 143 12 136 15 141 2210 1818 6*123 8 140 12 134 15 139 1818 1549 5 116 7 139 11 133 13 137 1549 1386 4 116 7 139 10*133 9*133 1386 1292 3 116 6 140 7*133 5*130 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography