DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 83.5 - - 84.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 54 - - -14 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1875 - - 3956 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1934 - - 3390 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 3312 - - 5393 - - 1295 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2283 - - 1673 - - 5690 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 291 - - 32 - - - W* B/S - - - 29 - - 291 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 021 - - 246 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -325 - - -522 - - -5159 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3637 - - 5916 - - 6454 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3464 - - -5070 - - -9992 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6776 - - 10463 - - 11287 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 63 - - 52 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 50 - - 60 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 83.5 - - 84.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.7 - - 62.1 - - 61.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 83.1 - - 85.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 60.7 - - 59.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 54 - - -14 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1875 - - 3956 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99387 48 081 47 085 39 077 99387 91896 41 086 36 087 35 077 91896 86126 37 078 33 086 28 089 86126 81335 30 081 28 076 27 096 81335 77199 27 087 23 079 25 086 77199 73559 25 074 22 108 18 082 73559 70287 21 060 23 080 18 098 70287 67273 16 064 20 059 19 074 67273 64486 15 079 15 073 19 052 64486 61806 21 066 15 062 8 058 61806 59015 21 045 16 035 17 039 59015 56142 17 052 16 021 16 006 56142 53417 27 037 10 022 12 025 53417 50957 39 039 23 043 27 045 50957 48760 46 034 40 044 40 050 48760 46782 39 034 45 049 43 056 46782 44971 24 051 37 055 40 057 44971 43293 27 072 30 074 31 051 43293 41728 31 069 23 093 18 054 41728 40258 33 062 24 099 8 080 40258 38867 36 056 24 087 9 101 38867 37518 39 053 25 076 11 096 37518 36146 36 054 25 074 14 093 36146 34723 31 056 24 072 14 085 34723 33246 29 057 24 065 15 070 33246 31701 27 064 22 053 16 050 31701 30073 26 070 20 042 15 039 30073 28365 26 069 19 049 15 031 28365 26577 24 065 18 062 13 040 26577 24710 27 053 18 058 12 048 24710 22767 31 039 23 048 19 054 22767 20746 32 046 26 053 26 055 20746 18642 31 064 30 072 28 073 18642 16497 27 069 26 074 27 077 16497 14429 23 067 26 067 30 070 14429 12548 20 060 26 063 32 066 12548 10876 15 051 20 058 28 063 10876 9394 11 047 15 048 20 059 9394 8078 9 047 12 036 13 054 8078 6912 7 049 8 032 7 030 6912 5879 6 062 3*046 2 336 5879 4969 5 069 2*062 1 268 4969 4162 3 070 1 069 2 249 4162 3439 1*336 0 056 3 242 3439 2798 1*303 0 278 3 243 2798 2262 1 298 1 261 3 242 2262 1850 2 295 1 262 4 244 1850 1566 2 294 1 266 4 243 1566 1394 2 293 1 264 3*245 1394 1294 2 292 1 269 3*246 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography