DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 8.4 - - 14.9 - - 17.3 - - 13.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 72 - - 19 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 478 - - 1371 - - 1834 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 1273 - - 1273 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1915 - - 2808 - - 3271 - - 1290 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 866 - - 755 - - 859 - - 2659 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 84 - - 189 - - 136 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 013 - - 016 - - 015 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1423 - - -331 - - 478 - - -870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3338 - - 3139 - - 2793 - - 2161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12071 - - -8722 - - -367 - - -1759 ODpotential blCL - - - 13986 - - 11530 - - 3638 - - 3049 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 83 - - 93 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 8.4 - - 14.9 - - 17.3 - - 13.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -1.3 - - 6.0 - - 9.9 - - 9.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 8.4 - - 14.6 - - 17.3 - - 15.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -2.3 - - 4.9 - - 9.2 - - 8.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 72 - - 19 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 478 - - 1371 - - 1834 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 31 - - 71 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96188 76 214 72 216 63 225 64 226 96188 88828 68 232 70 211 68 223 62 221 88828 83169 62 235 69 222 71 230 61 221 83169 78451 51 241 63 232 69 232 64 236 78451 74388 52 239 54 237 64 230 69 237 74388 70792 48 231 50 239 57 225 58 239 70792 67526 52 257 52 243 53 239 61 251 67526 64545 64 258 58 247 60 248 63 249 64545 61786 64 246 62 244 64 242 61 244 61786 59095 60 246 62 239 63 239 59 241 59095 56262 66 252 63 244 65 243 58 241 56262 53300 73 251 69 246 70 244 60 243 53300 50463 78 247 75 244 74 239 63 241 50463 47908 81 242 78 240 74 233 66 236 47908 45616 82 239 79 237 71 230 67 231 45616 43534 83 236 78 235 67 228 64 227 43534 41628 82 236 78 234 62 229 61 224 41628 39874 79 236 80 232 63 230 58 223 39874 38254 77 235 81 230 64 229 56 222 38254 36752 78 231 81 227 65 227 53 220 36752 35352 79 228 80 222 64 223 52 214 35352 34017 79 224 77 216 64 218 52 207 34017 32680 79 222 76 212 62 215 53 204 32680 31312 81 223 74 212 60 212 55 201 31312 29916 85 224 73 214 60 212 53 198 29916 28477 87 223 75 215 62 211 53 197 28477 26984 88 222 77 216 64 210 54 198 26984 25433 87 221 78 215 64 209 52 196 25433 23818 82 220 74 214 63 209 49 195 23818 22137 73 220 67 213 60 209 45 195 22137 20393 62 220 58 214 51 210 35 197 20393 18584 50 220 47 214 39 209 27 186 18584 16704 39 221 37 213 31 204 25 177 16704 14787 33 223 32 211 28 199 19 178 14787 12935 29 226 25 214 23 197 9 201 12935 11246 23 234 19 222 13 214 3 246 11246 9743 17 239 9 234 4 252 6 354 9743 8407 9 248 5 260 5 347 10 002 8407 7224 6 309 6 317 9 350 14 009 7224 6180 7 345 10 353 15 002 16 010 6180 5264 10 001 14 009 19 008 20 009 5264 4464 12 017 18 017 20 011 25 003 4464 3764 13 038 19 025 19*012 27 000 3764 3139 16 036 17*024 18*013 26 001 3139 2586 19 024 13*020 17 014 25 002 2586 2123 16*020 13 018 16 015 23 003 2123 1768 12*015 12 015 15 016 20 003 1768 1523 10 013 11 014 14 015 15 002 1523 1375 9 012 10 012 12 015 12*001 1375 1289 6 009 8 010 9 014 6*360 1289 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography