DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.6 - - 55.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 570 - - 107 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2007 - - 1544 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1046 - - 1385 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 75 - - 36 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 004 - - 007 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 353 - - -65 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1654 - - 1609 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -108 - - -536 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2115 - - 2080 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 40 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.6 - - 55.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 53.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.5 - - 55.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.6 - - 52.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 570 - - 107 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98039 10 206 17 225 98039 90698 15 211 16 229 90698 85043 18 196 15 226 85043 80345 10 187 12 207 80345 76292 4 213 8 226 76292 72716 5 297 8 245 72716 69491 8 266 9 238 69491 66544 9 253 9 242 66544 63818 11 260 11 229 63818 61180 20 262 18 262 61180 58453 24 266 28 268 58453 55653 35 258 38 263 55653 52993 35 255 40 252 52993 50592 39 260 42 255 50592 48429 46 267 51 262 48429 46456 59 267 59 270 46456 44637 66 267 69 274 44637 42949 72 265 82 272 42949 41372 74 260 81 266 41372 39887 68 256 73 261 39887 38483 57 256 66 261 38483 37125 60 253 64 258 37125 35746 64 253 63 258 35746 34313 59 251 62 258 34313 32830 54 240 60 251 32830 31283 51 238 62 243 31283 29659 51 249 62 239 29659 27957 47 257 62 243 27957 26175 40 255 55 256 26175 24316 40 256 48 265 24316 22385 41 261 41 270 22385 20380 38 260 29 275 20380 18300 33 259 18 250 18300 16174 23 257 19 238 16174 14120 18 247 20 247 14120 12256 16 247 17 246 12256 10605 16 245 13 257 10605 9141 15 236 11 267 9141 7844 13 228 12 258 7844 6695 9 208 10 244 6695 5681 7 153 6 224 5681 4792 6 101 4 119 4792 4011 7 054 7 069 4011 3318 11 037 11 053 3318 2709 11 028 11 041 2709 2202 9*017 9 027 2202 1815 7*009 7 016 1815 1547 6 004 6*011 1547 1385 6 002 5*008 1385 1292 4 359 4 007 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography