DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.8 - - 79.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - -30 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4806 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4608 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6243 - - 1295 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1709 - - 6976 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 425 - - 20 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 224 - - 228 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2311 - - -5511 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8554 - - 6806 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5479 - - -7254 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11722 - - 8549 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 100 - - 160 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.8 - - 79.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.8 - - 54.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.4 - - 80.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.5 - - 53.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - -30 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4806 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 69 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98111 3 346 11 315 98111 90686 13 286 8 321 90686 84992 9 329 5 308 84992 80283 3 008 8 303 80283 76219 3 129 7 271 76219 72607 3 088 7 230 72607 69330 3 279 5 187 69330 66326 7 266 4 202 66326 63548 9 268 4 273 63548 60861 11 268 12 294 60861 58065 10 249 18 283 58065 55174 7 245 17 256 55174 52429 4 239 11 219 52429 49974 5 222 10 189 49974 47771 6 255 10 205 47771 45765 11 259 19 239 45765 43934 20 257 24 249 43934 42253 23 249 26 261 42253 40695 26 249 32 264 40695 39256 29 259 30 260 39256 37914 31 260 26 261 37914 36613 29 256 22 267 36613 35284 27 259 24 264 35284 33899 28 259 24 259 33899 32461 27 260 24 259 32461 30956 28 267 28 262 30956 29372 29 272 28 269 29372 27712 28 270 28 275 27712 25972 29 267 26 269 25972 24154 32 263 27 264 24154 22263 29 254 28 264 22263 20300 24 248 29 274 20300 18256 22 249 36 281 18256 16170 21 251 39 279 16170 14163 21 255 36 270 14163 12339 19 260 29 259 12339 10715 21 266 30 263 10715 9269 25 273 26 269 9269 7981 23 273 20 272 7981 6836 16*259 19 264 6836 5818 13*236 18 253 5818 4919 12 229 18 242 4919 4124 12 225 18 237 4124 3410 12 222 19 235 3410 2777 12 220 18 233 2777 2248 11 218 18 231 2248 1842 11 218 17 230 1842 1562 10 217 15 230 1562 1392 10 217 13*229 1392 1294 8 216 9*228 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography