DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.6 - - 26.8 - - 19.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 284 - - 100 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4134 - - 4018 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4174 - - 3488 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5571 - - 5455 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1012 - - 1214 - - 3381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 428 - - 299 - - 2 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 264 - - 273 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4733 - - -3906 - - -6181 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10305 - - 9362 - - 7472 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -18232 - - -16436 - - -19997 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 23803 - - 21891 - - 21288 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 35 - - 44 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.6 - - 26.8 - - 19.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -14.5 - - -9.9 - - -7.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 25.2 - - 26.3 - - 22.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -15.3 - - -10.3 - - -8.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 284 - - 100 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4134 - - 4018 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95822 28 256 38 263 36 257 95822 88730 16 244 23 251 32 246 88730 83229 35 260 36 258 41 249 83229 78655 45 257 39 253 40 241 78655 74690 44 249 39 259 37 254 74690 71141 47 246 50 260 47 269 71141 67903 53 246 56 256 59 268 67903 64926 59 245 64 249 71 259 64926 62174 65 242 69 243 74 251 62174 59502 69 241 73 244 77 248 59502 56705 79 245 83 249 84 249 56705 53801 95 247 97 251 93 249 53801 51026 111 248 110 250 103 250 51026 48530 123 247 119 249 115 250 48530 46294 131 245 128 248 124 249 46294 44268 135 245 135 245 130 247 44268 42414 138 244 136 244 132 246 42414 40707 137 244 132 244 129 248 40707 39127 136 245 129 247 130 247 39127 37653 137 247 128 247 123 247 37653 36270 140 248 127 249 125 253 36270 34946 142 248 130 251 129 253 34946 33618 141 248 131 251 124 251 33618 32250 138 246 124 251 119 253 32250 30841 130 244 113 252 118 255 30841 29372 124 246 106 255 117 255 29372 27828 122 248 107 258 115 255 27828 26207 121 249 107 260 112 255 26207 24512 117 250 103 258 106 254 24512 22751 108 253 101 256 99 255 22751 20927 100 257 95 258 93 258 20927 19036 93 261 87 261 84 261 19036 17073 89 264 80 263 75 265 17073 15077 85 265 73 265 67 266 15077 13157 80 266 69 269 61 268 13157 11409 70 267 66 272 57 271 11409 9860 57 269 56 275 54 276 9860 8496 45 274 43 278 46 280 8496 7300 36 279 33 280 37 282 7300 6251 27*277 24*279 30 280 6251 5330 18*267 16*273 23 276 5330 4522 17 265 15 272 17 268 4522 3809 16 264 15 273 13 263 3809 3172 16 264 15 273 12 267 3172 2609 16 264 14 274 12 271 2609 2138 15 264 14 274 12 272 2138 1776 14 264 14 274 11 273 1776 1527 14 263 13 275 9 272 1527 1376 13 263 12 274 6*269 1376 1290 10 263 9 274 3*250 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography