DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.9 - - 37.6 - - 46.2 - - 44.7 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 33 - - 87 - - -9 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 101 - - 1563 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1274 - - 1274 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top 1292 - - 1538 - - 3000 - - 1292 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 173 - - 573 - - 1039 - - 2370 - - 275 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 62 - - 211 - - 11 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 154 - - 164 - - 160 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 5 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2482 - - -2322 - - -2705 - - -3606 - - -2098 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3774 - - 3860 - - 5705 - - 4899 - - 3390 sfcLCL ODpotential -15994 - - -13011 - - -12197 - - -12881 - - -14128 ODpotential blCL 17286 - - 14549 - - 15197 - - 14173 - - 15420 blCL maxRH 47 - - 61 - - 71 - - 62 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.9 - - 37.6 - - 46.2 - - 44.7 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.6 - - 25.6 - - 26.0 - - 28.1 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.0 - - 37.4 - - 45.7 - - 45.1 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.6 - - 25.1 - - 25.2 - - 27.6 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 33 - - 87 - - -9 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 101 - - 1563 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95813 82 254 78 250 71 251 70 247 77 251 95813 88659 60 253 58 257 52 250 52 249 51 253 88659 83114 37 257 45 251 40 249 42 251 34 256 83114 78496 36 257 35 259 34 255 34 246 33 257 78496 74515 34 248 31 260 33 259 34 256 34 255 74515 71011 39 274 32 274 32 269 33 259 33 255 71011 67855 47 271 37 279 32 275 30 256 33 255 67855 64956 45 276 40 277 35 278 29 271 31 267 64956 62264 48 277 43 278 43 274 38 275 37 280 62264 59654 45 272 49 276 50 271 50 277 46 278 59654 56926 42 281 51 274 54 271 57 269 48 272 56926 54095 58 285 60 282 59 272 57 273 59 274 54095 51406 73 286 75 283 67 278 73 281 72 278 51406 48992 77 285 85 284 84 281 86 280 83 284 48992 46826 84 286 94 283 93 282 94 281 94 285 46826 44861 94 287 94 279 95 283 96 282 98 284 44861 43066 101 288 88 280 98 283 96 280 99 281 43066 41418 109 291 97 287 107 281 96 278 96 278 41418 39896 123 291 115 288 119 279 106 276 98 274 39896 38479 122 288 129 285 127 277 116 278 105 270 38479 37144 124 288 134 284 122 276 117 277 105 272 37144 35850 121 288 124 283 119 277 109 276 94 273 35850 34533 114 289 105 281 105 279 96 277 79 272 34533 33164 98 290 90 275 87 278 83 280 73 272 33164 31746 85 289 83 277 85 277 72 280 68 274 31746 30265 80 286 76 280 80 282 69 280 66 279 30265 28706 77 287 69 282 63 286 66 283 63 281 28706 27071 72 287 63 282 51 288 57 285 56 280 27071 25357 67 288 54 283 45 286 54 288 50 278 25357 23568 62 290 48 276 43 277 48 287 44 278 23568 21703 57 292 45 264 44 266 42 283 37 276 21703 19758 53 299 39 265 41 263 38 274 35 275 19758 17734 42 297 35 284 34 255 37 269 33 270 17734 15677 33 277 31 285 30 243 31 265 30 262 15677 13697 31 264 31 282 26 246 27 260 23 251 13697 11896 23 263 28 280 26 248 26 253 23 246 11896 10297 16 256 21 267 22 247 22 243 23 247 10297 8880 14 254 15 242 18 233 20 229 22 243 8880 7623 12 252 14 232 19 214 21 214 22 226 7623 6511 12 240 14 224 20 203 24 205 23 209 6511 5533 13 222 14 211 20 202 25 205 25 204 5533 4676 13 209 15 201 19 201 22 206 24 206 4676 3923 12 201 15 196 17 193 18 202 21 202 3923 3253 11 201 16 191 14*183 15 192 19 190 3253 2663 10 206 15 188 13*169 13 174 18 171 2663 2172 8 211 13 188 12 165 12 167 18 162 2172 1796 5 217 9*185 12 162 12 164 17 161 1796 1537 2 213 5*163 11 161 11 161 14 155 1537 1380 1*151 4 149 10 160 9*160 10*146 1380 1291 3*091 3 148 8 160 7*160 5*139 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography