DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.9 - - 82.2 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 40 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2731 - - 3295 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2820 - - 2551 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4168 - - 4732 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2048 - - 2615 - - 5303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 297 - - 244 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 071 - - 085 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 906 - - 698 - - -1146 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3262 - - 4034 - - 2441 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -426 - - -595 - - -2384 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4594 - - 5327 - - 3679 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 91 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1170 - - 1310 - - 1890 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.9 - - 82.2 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 68.7 - - 71.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.2 - - 81.8 - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.3 - - 67.3 - - 70.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 40 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2731 - - 3295 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 62 - - 63 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99025 32 093 26 081 28 069 99025 91505 27 079 29 088 23 084 91505 85734 25 082 25 070 23 085 85734 80956 21 072 19 071 17 071 80956 76859 19 065 20 075 17 080 76859 73247 18 060 19 060 19 067 73247 69981 6 065 15 030 12 050 69981 66992 9 157 4 333 15 026 66992 64224 6 115 6 330 10 341 64224 61557 5 059 6 306 12 345 61557 58780 10 319 10 312 15 303 58780 55917 13 280 16 305 21 304 55917 53222 26 299 32 302 27 296 53222 50814 34 286 33 278 33 297 50814 48654 34 285 37 285 38 296 48654 46690 33 287 42 288 40 296 46690 44884 34 280 35 285 37 290 44884 43208 39 268 36 273 31 281 43208 41643 43 262 38 266 26 278 41643 40171 45 258 32 266 26 284 40171 38785 43 253 23 277 23 285 38785 37443 30 262 19 299 19 275 37443 36072 19 320 18 310 20 283 36072 34645 23 328 24 329 23 302 34645 33167 26 330 29 334 23 315 33167 31620 27 336 29 334 25 326 31620 29990 29 342 30 338 27 332 29990 28278 31 346 33 346 24 335 28278 26486 35 350 37 351 25 343 26486 24617 34 350 38 353 30 348 24617 22675 34 350 34 356 34 354 22675 20656 36 352 34 356 35 357 20656 18558 26 351 36 356 36 004 18558 16423 20 349 32 354 35 006 16423 14368 18 351 22 357 29 005 14368 12500 16 346 17 353 22 004 12500 10839 14 330 16 335 17 348 10839 9366 15 319 15 325 16 333 9366 8058 13 328 12 334 12 336 8058 6897 10 342 10 347 8 347 6897 5867 7 003 7 009 3 011 5867 4958 6*020 5*057 3 100 4958 4153 5*061 6*080 5 114 4153 3432 5 069 6 083 6 113 3432 2793 5 071 6 086 7 113 2793 2259 5 072 6 088 7 114 2259 1848 5 075 6 088 7 114 1848 1565 5 075 6 089 6 115 1565 1393 4 076 5 088 6*114 1393 1294 4 076 5 088 4*114 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography