DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 79.6 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - 5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2007 - - 492 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3444 - - 1929 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3730 - - 2997 - - 3034 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 214 - - 91 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 251 - - 287 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 32 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 56 - - -934 - - -808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3389 - - 2863 - - 2104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1551 - - -2968 - - -3466 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4995 - - 4897 - - 4762 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 100 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1480 - - 1600 - - 1730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 79.6 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.0 - - 70.9 - - 71.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.9 - - 79.6 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.6 - - 69.7 - - 70.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - 5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2007 - - 492 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 71 - - 99 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98699 28 074 21 086 19 071 98699 91227 13 088 20 069 19 081 91227 85515 15 098 7 061 16 042 85515 80796 18 078 9 083 12 044 80796 76722 13 088 12 072 12 055 76722 73114 13 101 10 075 12 056 73114 69844 15 072 14 064 16 056 69844 66841 16 068 15 059 17 048 66841 64076 17 059 18 061 15 055 64076 61427 18 041 22 052 15 062 61427 58696 19 026 23 039 16 050 58696 55887 22 008 21 020 18 028 55887 53212 22 003 19 356 14 005 53212 50798 25 351 24 320 22 311 50798 48635 21 349 21 302 27 293 48635 46673 20 351 16 314 18 281 46673 44863 24 344 20 330 11 285 44863 43171 31 339 35 313 22 297 43171 41580 35 324 44 303 36 290 41580 40081 34 314 42 294 38 292 40081 38664 26 302 32 284 31 295 38664 37294 22 280 26 272 35 278 37294 35901 20 273 24 260 37 268 35901 34458 9 274 22 250 31 268 34458 32968 9 251 23 247 26 261 32968 31416 12 254 23 251 27 247 31416 29788 15 262 21 254 30 244 29788 28083 17 260 21 270 29 258 28083 26306 19 263 25 285 30 277 26306 24458 21 270 26 285 31 289 24458 22538 24 279 23 293 28 294 22538 20536 24 276 20 310 17 318 20536 18455 27 265 20 308 18 324 18455 16343 29 261 22 305 24 315 16343 14313 27 265 25 304 26 313 14313 12466 27 276 23 302 25 311 12466 10823 26 282 23 287 25 310 10823 9362 25 282 24 282 26 311 9362 8060 25 277 24 277 25 313 8060 6902 24 273 22 275 24 309 6902 5873 23 268 21 275 23 299 5873 4963 21 260 20 275 23 285 4963 4158 20*254 18 275 21 277 4158 3436 19*253 16 276 19 273 3436 2796 18 252 15 277 17 269 2796 2260 17 251 12*280 15 264 2260 1849 16 250 9*283 13 261 1849 1565 15 249 7 287 10 255 1565 1393 13 248 6 290 8*247 1393 1295 10 248 4 292 4*237 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography