DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 82.2 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 279 - - 144 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6889 - - 7829 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6341 - - 6674 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8326 - - 9266 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1674 - - 2381 - - 8138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 517 - - 438 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 287 - - 294 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - 17 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2468 - - 65 - - -5666 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10794 - - 9201 - - 6961 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7458 - - -1369 - - -7233 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15784 - - 10635 - - 8528 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 73 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 82.2 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.4 - - 46.1 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.9 - - 81.3 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.2 - - 44.9 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 279 - - 144 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6889 - - 7829 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98856 28 077 27 084 19 082 98856 91325 24 086 20 073 15 065 91325 85540 21 076 16 065 19 066 85540 80754 15 096 16 072 19 064 80754 76644 17 107 17 070 18 061 76644 73017 14 097 8 067 16 062 73017 69731 10 120 6 122 12 031 69731 66702 4 060 4 046 4 345 66702 63904 2 019 4 292 6 258 63904 61209 8 279 5 258 9 240 61209 58400 21 292 18 289 17 298 58400 55500 32 269 40 266 39 275 55500 52748 32 251 36 255 48 260 52748 50266 45 279 41 271 47 259 50266 48032 59 267 62 268 49 263 48032 46001 70 261 64 265 61 272 46001 44140 77 260 71 261 74 270 44140 42421 84 255 73 259 78 266 42421 40819 91 252 74 256 79 265 40819 39323 93 250 74 254 80 263 39323 37922 89 252 74 256 78 262 37922 36578 84 255 75 259 75 262 36578 35218 79 258 73 261 73 264 35218 33810 73 262 70 261 71 266 33810 32353 66 260 66 259 66 268 32353 30838 60 261 62 254 59 269 30838 29251 57 262 59 256 57 271 29251 27589 58 262 58 260 57 269 27589 25848 58 264 59 264 59 266 25848 24030 57 266 59 266 60 265 24030 22142 56 268 56 273 56 269 22142 20179 57 270 55 278 52 276 20179 18136 53 275 53 280 47 279 18136 16056 44 286 44 280 39 276 16056 14061 33 286 33 277 31 272 14061 12254 28 277 27 279 24 271 12254 10649 30 278 21*281 21 277 10649 9219 24*285 16*287 18 281 9219 7945 16*287 16 290 14 280 7945 6809 15 288 16 291 12 280 6809 5799 14 288 16 293 12 283 5799 4905 13 287 16 295 13 285 4905 4113 12 287 15 296 13 287 4113 3402 11 287 15 297 13 289 3402 2772 10 287 15 298 13 290 2772 2245 10 287 15 299 13 291 2245 1840 9 288 14 299 12 293 1840 1561 9 287 14 299 11 293 1561 1391 8 288 13 299 9*292 1391 1294 7 288 10 299 6*292 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography