DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.6 - - 80.7 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 113 - - 26 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6583 - - 1527 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5619 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8020 - - 2964 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2953 - - 5207 - - 7670 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 394 - - 166 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 279 - - 152 - - 098 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 35 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 776 - - -1574 - - -2510 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7244 - - 4538 - - 3805 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -141 - - -3328 - - -4537 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8161 - - 6292 - - 5832 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 90 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 750 - - 1940 - - 2340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.6 - - 80.7 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.4 - - 65.1 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.9 - - 80.4 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.2 - - 63.8 - - 65.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 113 - - 26 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6583 - - 1527 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 62 - - 61 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97933 6 157 1 060 7 353 97933 90550 12 027 6 028 2 103 90550 84902 2 078 5 032 4 016 84902 80211 7 148 5 138 7 356 80211 76163 7 099 6 137 4 332 76163 72578 5 042 5 092 3 249 72578 69333 4 320 2 039 3 233 69333 66346 4 226 6 304 4 358 66346 63585 9 262 13 289 13 320 63585 60934 10 270 16 282 14 317 60934 58169 17 305 18 289 17 301 58169 55299 27 303 20 295 22 289 55299 52573 25 292 28 290 23 293 52573 50125 26 293 27 291 34 312 50125 47945 37 292 33 303 38 311 47945 46007 40 284 39 303 35 320 46007 44251 24 249 29 283 31 318 44251 42618 12 216 19 243 25 277 42618 41080 15 044 12 267 22 255 41080 39630 16 042 6 161 13 192 39630 38260 8 046 10 154 12 209 38260 36931 2 066 12 183 16 223 36931 35572 1 191 13 188 16 217 35572 34155 4 222 8 202 9 248 34155 32686 6 256 4 278 5 284 32686 31157 9 255 9 269 3 180 31157 29557 17 250 17 251 10 233 29557 27883 22 245 18 250 16 248 27883 26129 22 256 18 246 15 262 26129 24299 25 276 14 246 14 254 24299 22397 32 275 18 266 17 259 22397 20423 34 270 24 271 21 278 20423 18375 38 275 26 278 27 287 18375 16290 43 275 32 283 28 286 16290 14279 40 275 33 279 25 281 14279 12444 32 277 28 274 21 271 12444 10810 24 276 21 275 18 262 10810 9355 18 271 15 278 14 239 9355 8057 14*271 10 275 13 215 8057 6901 12*272 7 267 13 209 6901 5873 11 274 4 253 12 206 5873 4964 10 277 2 217 11 205 4964 4158 9 279 3 144 10 201 4158 3435 8 281 3*135 8 197 3435 2794 8 283 3*145 7 189 2794 2260 7 285 3 149 5 180 2260 1848 7 286 3 154 4 166 1848 1565 6 287 3 156 3 147 1565 1393 6 287 3 158 2*127 1393 1294 5 287 3 159 2*098 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography