DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 31.6 - - 32.4 - - 28.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 182 - - 85 - - 133 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4274 - - 3855 - - 3054 - - 2711 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4101 - - 3314 - - 3043 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5711 - - 5292 - - 4491 - - 4148 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1018 - - 3621 - - 3099 - - 3324 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 288 - - 307 - - 187 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 17 - - 19 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 257 - - 288 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 9 - - 26 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1505 - - 897 - - 1470 - - 491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4206 - - 4396 - - 3021 - - 3657 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 593 - - 99 - - 463 - - -1079 ODpotential blCL - - - 5118 - - 5193 - - 4028 - - 5227 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 92 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 31.6 - - 32.4 - - 28.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.6 - - 17.0 - - 23.9 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 31.1 - - 31.7 - - 28.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.5 - - 16.0 - - 22.5 - - 16.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 182 - - 85 - - 133 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4274 - - 3855 - - 3054 - - 2711 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 98 - - 68 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96665 18 260 19 260 25 245 31 275 96665 89449 6 263 9 235 13 243 13 278 89449 83877 4 236 6 241 11 247 8 234 83877 79246 10 243 4 269 6 273 9 264 79246 75240 11 235 7 255 6 275 5 221 75240 71673 8 260 6 233 7 262 5 288 71673 68430 7 266 7 167 10 271 12 288 68430 65438 9 278 4 071 2 215 7 300 65438 62650 10 250 4 300 11 285 16 271 62650 59940 17 215 16 259 22 261 25 256 59940 57093 21 232 21 252 33 246 33 241 57093 54107 30 242 36 235 39 246 36 248 54107 51257 44 235 48 241 48 241 48 245 51257 48704 58 221 59 235 51 233 48 237 48704 46412 62 222 59 229 50 231 49 245 46412 44334 68 230 61 232 52 239 54 245 44334 42434 82 229 70 231 63 243 58 242 42434 40680 90 222 79 226 73 240 59 240 40680 39049 92 218 85 224 76 237 57 240 39049 37520 96 218 91 223 78 233 55 246 37520 36083 103 220 92 220 79 229 60 253 36083 34702 112 221 88 221 79 227 75 254 34702 33316 126 220 91 224 81 227 87 249 33316 31899 141 217 103 226 86 226 85 247 31899 30452 151 215 119 224 93 224 73 252 30452 28956 149 214 130 220 98 224 65 264 28956 27396 135 212 130 219 106 224 66 273 27396 25770 128 215 127 220 117 222 69 277 25770 24077 130 218 124 219 127 219 68 276 24077 22321 130 218 123 218 124 216 66 275 22321 20508 126 219 121 218 112 218 65 274 20508 18637 119 224 113 220 94 225 62 272 18637 16709 96 227 94 227 71 230 53 268 16709 14766 69 223 68 230 54 232 39 268 14766 12913 51 230 52 228 38 238 32 281 12913 11243 39 237 43 232 12 239 30 280 11243 9770 34 242 31 244 17 237 26 259 9770 8466 32 248 23 257 15 254 23 259 8466 7304 27 256 23 257 17 268 23 268 7304 6270 21*272 23 258 20 279 26 275 6270 5353 20*276 22*258 22 285 28 283 5353 4545 20 277 20*257 22*287 27*290 4545 3829 19 278 19 257 22*288 25*294 3829 3188 19 278 18 257 21 288 22 296 3188 2620 19 279 17 257 20 289 20 298 2620 2146 18 280 16 257 19 288 18 299 2146 1782 17 280 15 257 18 289 16 301 1782 1531 16 280 14 257 16 289 15 301 1531 1378 15 281 13 257 14 289 13 301 1378 1290 12 280 10 256 11 288 10 303 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography