DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.1 - - 63.9 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - -43 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2163 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3600 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 901 - - 3591 - - 378 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 225 - - 26 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 002 - - 355 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3061 - - -4250 - - -2316 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6661 - - 5545 - - 3610 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14407 - - -11777 - - -12422 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 18007 - - 13071 - - 13716 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 40 - - 41 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.1 - - 63.9 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.7 - - 44.4 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 63.9 - - 65.4 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.5 - - 43.1 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - -43 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2163 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98510 12 108 7 031 7 002 98510 91160 8 092 7 012 8 038 91160 85482 11 088 8 011 7 027 85482 80747 3 068 9 325 4 351 80747 76644 1 249 5 306 2 021 76644 73025 8 122 4 175 1 352 73025 69777 4 117 5 144 2 322 69777 66803 1 095 2 161 6 307 66803 64044 6 051 1 001 8 293 64044 61374 6 337 2 359 7 282 61374 58597 7 267 2 211 4 256 58597 55726 5 249 6 274 3 289 55726 52999 5 272 13 275 8 306 52999 50550 3 353 12 274 15 293 50550 48349 8 340 7 297 14 279 48349 46345 14 330 9 325 12 307 46345 44504 22 327 13 346 17 331 44504 42794 27 330 31 336 25 335 42794 41198 24 339 34 322 29 324 41198 39710 22 346 25 325 26 319 39710 38316 5 331 20 337 28 346 38316 36967 4 214 23 346 37 351 36967 35593 11 217 29 352 43 345 35593 34162 18 213 38 355 49 341 34162 32678 18 211 46 352 49 342 32678 31125 11 234 48 345 45 343 31125 29496 15 340 40 339 38 337 29496 27791 32 349 40 347 34 332 27791 26008 34 346 41 353 34 340 26008 24146 24 344 38 357 33 356 24146 22216 14 344 33 006 30 007 22216 20213 18 350 25 008 26 015 20213 18134 23 015 17 009 23 010 18134 16022 22 026 20 011 23 009 16022 13995 28 033 29 023 29 021 13995 12160 29 036 31 031 30 028 12160 10537 27 039 27 029 28 028 10537 9098 27 045 24 024 27 030 9098 7821 30 046 23 025 27 032 7821 6688 31 043 25 027 27 030 6688 5685 31 039 26 023 27 025 5685 4805 29 030 26 011 29 016 4805 4030 26*017 24 001 31 007 4030 3338 21*003 23 359 31 360 3338 2725 21 002 22 359 29 358 2725 2214 20 002 21 359 23 357 2214 1820 19 001 19 358 20 355 1820 1550 17 001 17 357 14 351 1550 1386 15 360 14*356 10*346 1386 1293 12 359 9*355 4*344 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography