DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 56.7 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 146 - - 14 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3578 - - 3063 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3457 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5015 - - 4500 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1516 - - 1649 - - 2205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 331 - - 149 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 287 - - 293 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -908 - - -878 - - -1502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5924 - - 5378 - - 2796 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3300 - - -3656 - - -6185 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8315 - - 8156 - - 7478 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 73 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 56.7 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.0 - - 37.6 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 56.8 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.4 - - 37.3 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 146 - - 14 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3578 - - 3063 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96535 46 259 51 263 55 259 96535 89238 30 266 36 265 30 261 89238 83663 17 251 20 271 20 279 83663 79064 15 262 18 281 18 277 79064 75127 10 249 12 294 16 283 75127 71657 14 058 7 322 7 330 71657 68485 28 282 32 311 28 320 68485 65555 42 258 44 274 43 281 65555 62837 29 249 37 260 37 269 62837 60184 28 270 28 285 33 286 60184 57391 33 284 39 288 48 288 57391 54468 47 283 51 282 54 283 54468 51666 57 280 54 281 59 282 51666 49142 62 281 60 282 65 283 49142 46881 69 281 68 282 69 282 46881 44840 77 279 76 281 74 282 44840 42988 83 277 80 280 79 281 42988 41293 85 278 79 281 76 282 41293 39737 78 278 80 281 76 287 39737 38302 73 282 78 280 80 286 38302 36963 79 287 76 286 78 281 36963 35671 89 285 78 289 71 279 35671 34357 90 280 73 289 64 282 34357 32995 83 279 69 295 62 278 32995 31586 78 282 69 293 57 276 31586 30114 79 284 72 291 54 283 30114 28565 82 283 75 289 51 285 28565 26938 82 283 75 288 54 281 26938 25235 80 284 73 289 57 282 25235 23458 73 286 68 290 58 286 23458 21607 62 286 62 289 55 287 21607 19677 57 284 54 286 53 284 19677 17665 56 285 48 283 48 282 17665 15614 52 286 42 282 41 278 15614 13642 44 290 36 282 36 273 13642 11858 37 294 31 285 28 273 11858 10285 32 298 29 290 22 278 10285 8894 31 298 29 293 21 285 8894 7657 31 295 28 293 20 288 7657 6557 29 292 24 292 20 288 6557 5581 21*288 18 290 19 286 5581 4723 18*286 14*290 17 284 4723 3966 18 286 14*291 16 285 3966 3290 18 287 14 292 16 285 3290 2692 18 287 14 293 16 286 2692 2192 17 287 14 293 16 287 2192 1808 17 288 14 294 14 287 1808 1544 16 287 13 294 11 289 1544 1384 15 288 12 295 7*293 1384 1292 12 288 9 295 3*301 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography