DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.9 - - 31.2 - - 32.2 - - 28.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 7 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 727 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1291 - - 2164 - - 1292 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 923 - - 2258 - - 2395 - - 3059 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 78 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 12 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 227 - - 223 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1442 - - -97 - - -217 - - -277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2733 - - 2261 - - 1509 - - 1570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8941 - - -896 - - -1010 - - -1770 ODpotential blCL - - - 10232 - - 3060 - - 2302 - - 3062 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 95 - - 100 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.9 - - 31.2 - - 32.2 - - 28.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.5 - - 25.8 - - 29.9 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.6 - - 31.2 - - 32.7 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.7 - - 25.2 - - 29.7 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 7 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 727 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 81 - - 100 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96255 39 221 32 233 32 246 28 257 96255 89028 26 239 25 243 25 250 21 254 89028 83504 13 263 16 223 26 257 20 252 83504 78909 20 277 18 269 18 271 18 274 78909 74914 22 288 15 281 18 270 26 279 74914 71374 16 302 18 286 23 261 34 266 71374 68168 22 302 25 290 17 266 30 255 68168 65211 31 291 27 292 20 298 23 273 65211 62441 28 287 30 293 41 300 32 291 62441 59736 29 285 48 288 55 280 48 291 59736 56905 39 284 56 280 50 279 50 282 56905 53948 52 284 46 278 54 284 55 280 53948 51106 54 284 50 289 56 283 65 281 51106 48537 54 286 64 285 67 281 72 279 48537 46223 58 286 61 280 73 281 70 278 46223 44113 61 283 54 281 72 283 68 285 44113 42178 59 280 57 289 69 286 71 291 42178 40393 53 281 61 292 67 291 73 293 40393 38736 51 289 59 292 68 293 73 294 38736 37189 53 293 57 291 67 291 74 296 37189 35743 55 292 58 291 65 289 74 297 35743 34359 57 289 63 291 64 289 71 297 34359 32972 62 286 68 290 63 289 68 299 32972 31556 65 286 72 287 61 287 68 299 31556 30117 67 287 73 283 57 288 65 297 30117 28644 70 288 76 281 57 290 63 301 28644 27127 72 288 77 277 55 290 58 305 27127 25562 65 284 70 272 51 289 55 304 25562 23946 53 281 66 270 46 287 51 301 23946 22272 46 285 63 272 46 283 48 300 22272 20532 47 290 57 270 45 285 46 301 20532 18720 51 293 51 273 42 290 46 303 18720 16831 54 291 41 274 39 288 46 303 16831 14904 50 287 36 272 39 281 45 301 14904 13047 42 281 33 266 41 279 44 302 13047 11362 36 272 30 268 44 285 43 304 11362 9869 34 261 29 270 42 289 40 307 9869 8544 33 249 29 276 41 291 37 309 8544 7366 30 239 30 280 38 289 35 312 7366 6319 26 234 30 280 34 285 33 314 6319 5393 22 232 27 276 28 280 31 315 5393 4577 20 234 22 270 24 277 30 313 4577 3856 20 240 19 260 21 274 28 309 3856 3210 21 245 18 248 18 264 25 308 3210 2637 20 242 17*237 15 251 23 307 2637 2157 19 233 15*231 13 236 20 306 2157 1788 15 223 13 228 11 231 17 305 1788 1534 10 215 12 226 9 227 13 303 1534 1379 6*209 10 224 8*225 9*302 1379 1291 3*206 7 222 5*222 5*302 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography