DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 65.5 - - 63.1 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 31 - - -27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 472 - - 2689 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1909 - - 4126 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 908 - - 1091 - - 4426 - - 189 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 107 - - 201 - - 16 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 268 - - 279 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3453 - - -4003 - - -4214 - - -2290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5362 - - 8130 - - 5508 - - 3584 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11596 - - -11640 - - -9413 - - -9404 ODpotential blCL - - - 13505 - - 15766 - - 10707 - - 10698 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 49 - - 49 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 65.5 - - 63.1 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 34.6 - - 43.7 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 65.7 - - 65.2 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 33.4 - - 42.4 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 31 - - -27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 472 - - 2689 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96557 70 248 76 243 81 250 79 250 96557 89268 50 248 52 248 52 255 48 261 89268 83716 26 242 36 247 35 254 37 271 83716 79120 14 264 21 257 24 244 30 257 79120 75151 18 280 19 269 18 243 20 245 75151 71625 19 276 17 270 18 264 12 277 71625 68424 21 284 20 267 27 258 26 278 68424 65489 28 277 23 263 30 250 31 269 65489 62781 36 274 32 275 34 267 37 274 62781 60165 45 269 45 267 43 273 44 271 60165 57434 49 271 51 267 51 276 52 270 57434 54598 56 272 59 269 61 270 63 268 54598 51901 60 272 63 267 67 267 69 266 51901 49481 61 271 64 268 70 266 72 267 49481 47309 65 270 72 271 76 268 77 268 47309 45333 71 270 82 270 86 268 83 268 45333 43522 76 271 86 268 91 266 88 268 43522 41854 74 267 82 266 88 266 87 264 41854 40308 69 265 76 264 84 267 78 264 40308 38866 67 264 68 261 77 264 68 264 38866 37510 65 266 67 261 65 262 64 265 37510 36198 64 268 67 260 62 264 63 270 36198 34865 64 270 67 260 63 265 64 271 34865 33481 63 270 65 262 63 265 64 271 33481 32050 62 272 64 264 63 266 63 272 32050 30556 62 275 64 266 63 267 61 274 30556 28984 59 273 63 266 62 267 59 274 28984 27336 55 271 62 267 61 269 57 273 27336 25612 54 274 60 269 59 269 57 273 25612 23815 55 278 58 270 56 269 56 275 23815 21946 56 280 56 271 54 272 54 277 21946 19999 54 277 54 274 52 275 51 278 19999 17968 50 277 49 276 48 277 47 277 17968 15901 45 276 42 275 42 278 42 277 15901 13913 43 274 37 274 37 278 37 276 13913 12107 40 273 35 276 34 277 33 277 12107 10499 37 272 34 279 31 279 30 279 10499 9069 34 271 34 282 29 285 28 282 9069 7799 31 269 36 283 30 292 27 289 7799 6675 28 268 36 285 30 294 26 298 6675 5681 26 267 33 286 27 292 27 302 5681 4806 24 268 25*284 21 285 26 298 4806 4034 23 269 18*275 16 278 23 290 4034 3342 22 268 16 270 16 278 20 282 3342 2728 19 261 15 268 15 278 17 275 2728 2216 15*248 14 267 14 279 15 272 2216 1822 11*238 13 265 13 278 13 269 1822 1551 9 235 12 264 11 279 11 264 1551 1386 8 233 11 264 9*278 8*253 1386 1293 6 232 8 264 6*279 4*230 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography