DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.8 - - 65.7 - - 68.9 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 233 - - 100 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3331 - - 4444 - - 4274 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3440 - - 4363 - - 3765 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4768 - - 5881 - - 5711 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1003 - - 1104 - - 1813 - - 4751 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 360 - - 423 - - 318 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 325 - - 338 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1192 - - -1386 - - -2325 - - -3788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5960 - - 7267 - - 8036 - - 5082 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9704 - - -9457 - - -9659 - - -5766 ODpotential blCL - - - 14472 - - 15338 - - 15370 - - 7060 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 80 - - 85 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.8 - - 65.7 - - 68.9 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 38.4 - - 38.2 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 64.4 - - 68.1 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 37.1 - - 36.9 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 233 - - 100 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3331 - - 4444 - - 4274 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 41 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98259 5 000 4 138 9 323 2 297 98259 90844 2 178 1 265 4 323 11 323 90844 85147 6 175 4 203 6 254 14 296 85147 80398 6 156 5 184 9 254 15 277 80398 76297 0 091 3 197 6 213 13 245 76297 72656 5 294 5 192 6 247 6 266 72656 69358 6 253 3 149 8 216 9 304 69358 66331 12 272 3 217 4 228 6 286 66331 63520 11 244 6 242 10 278 15 296 63520 60811 11 261 9 266 11 229 13 283 60811 57993 10 266 20 300 12 302 16 292 57993 55066 24 284 25 295 21 312 19 288 55066 52277 18 282 32 286 32 299 26 307 52277 49790 17 305 35 274 33 292 31 307 49790 47589 33 309 31 285 30 300 27 315 47589 45600 53 314 29 309 34 306 30 319 45600 43784 62 309 42 327 37 302 30 290 43784 42118 59 309 53 322 34 304 35 297 42118 40585 57 322 62 318 40 306 44 303 40585 39157 74 325 70 312 49 305 52 300 39157 37806 89 321 71 308 53 295 56 297 37806 36494 96 319 68 309 54 292 50 294 36494 35156 90 322 64 316 56 293 47 289 35156 33762 81 323 61 319 57 293 47 285 33762 32317 78 324 61 315 57 293 46 280 32317 30803 78 333 63 310 57 294 42 275 30803 29208 77 344 60 306 56 294 39 276 29208 27535 69 331 51 309 53 295 38 280 27535 25783 71 316 48 308 48 297 38 278 25783 23958 77 313 52 304 45 297 37 277 23958 22065 77 315 55 303 47 297 34 281 22065 20099 69 318 53 308 47 297 31 283 20099 18053 60 322 48 311 45 299 27 285 18053 15969 53 325 44 317 40 307 24 295 15969 13961 48 328 38 321 33 312 23 304 13961 12131 43 329 31 314 27 310 22 305 12131 10508 38 330 28 310 26 303 24 293 10508 9076 33 333 26 315 24 294 22 277 9076 7817 29 338 21 319 15 285 14 263 7817 6700 27 339 15*312 9*285 11 257 6700 5707 25*332 13*315 8*289 7 243 5707 4828 18*318 13 318 6 303 4 234 4828 4051 16 318 12 322 5 334 1 197 4051 3355 16 318 12 326 5 351 2 087 3355 2738 15 319 11 329 5 002 4 073 2738 2223 14 319 11 332 5 009 6 067 2223 1827 13 320 10 333 5 012 7 064 1827 1554 12 321 10 335 5 015 7 062 1554 1388 11 321 9 335 5 016 6*062 1388 1293 9 321 8 336 4 017 4*063 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography