DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.9 - - 37.8 - - 41.3 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 145 - - 22 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 587 - - 1402 - - 910 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1871 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2024 - - 2839 - - 2347 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 588 - - 690 - - 1384 - - 954 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 146 - - 239 - - 111 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 157 - - 111 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2703 - - -3115 - - -4505 - - -4018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4728 - - 5954 - - 6852 - - 5310 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14315 - - -12756 - - -12742 - - -12279 ODpotential blCL - - - 16339 - - 15595 - - 15089 - - 13571 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 92 - - 92 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.9 - - 37.8 - - 41.3 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.1 - - 16.4 - - 16.0 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 36.8 - - 41.0 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.7 - - 16.0 - - 15.5 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 145 - - 22 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 587 - - 1402 - - 910 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 67 - - 67 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95948 59 244 60 244 65 258 59 255 95948 88707 35 260 34 265 36 257 38 255 88707 83182 24 294 21 281 22 251 31 267 83182 78640 21 321 19 281 19 266 26 274 78640 74746 20 314 18 279 20 272 23 275 74746 71289 25 297 21 278 23 275 20 283 71289 68142 31 282 28 276 26 286 24 295 68142 65230 36 278 30 278 31 287 30 287 65230 62505 40 283 33 280 34 282 35 285 62505 59846 42 284 37 282 39 281 41 283 59846 57064 43 280 44 282 47 281 47 278 57064 54165 45 277 51 275 55 280 51 274 54165 51388 48 277 55 270 58 277 54 271 51388 48886 51 275 57 269 60 274 56 271 48886 46639 52 274 57 268 60 272 58 273 46639 44595 57 273 59 265 58 274 60 273 44595 42718 61 267 59 266 61 275 61 270 42718 40985 61 267 61 267 62 264 61 265 40985 39375 61 263 64 263 56 258 60 259 39375 37874 59 259 61 257 58 263 57 260 37874 36478 65 256 63 257 63 270 57 267 36478 35151 60 253 57 256 62 263 60 274 35151 33821 60 250 50 258 54 259 67 265 33821 32453 52 242 48 260 48 259 64 258 32453 31045 47 241 43 258 48 258 62 257 31045 29581 46 242 42 259 46 263 58 255 29581 28046 45 246 41 256 45 267 54 254 28046 26439 45 250 43 253 47 265 51 256 26439 24759 45 250 45 256 47 262 48 258 24759 23008 44 251 47 256 47 260 45 262 23008 21190 42 255 47 253 47 261 45 266 21190 19299 37 261 41 251 46 260 43 268 19299 17329 33 260 36 251 42 256 39 270 17329 15326 30 256 32 256 34 257 34 274 15326 13403 28 261 31 265 31 265 29 275 13403 11660 27 274 29 269 33 274 28 281 11660 10112 26 282 23 273 32 276 32 283 10112 8737 24 279 20 276 24 275 34 283 8737 7514 22 275 21 272 19 277 31 284 7514 6431 18 285 19 271 20 284 24 288 6431 5477 15 294 14 276 18 290 18 290 5477 4639 11 283 10 272 15 286 13 275 4639 3898 10 242 8 245 11 274 9 262 3898 3235 11 228 7*217 7 266 6 253 3235 2650 8 198 6*165 2*224 4 183 2650 2163 9*153 6 159 3*115 10 141 2163 1791 9*149 6 156 3 112 12 127 1791 1535 8 149 6 154 3 110 11 122 1535 1380 7 149 5 153 3 107 8*117 1380 1291 6 149 5 153 3 108 4*113 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography