DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.6 - - 79.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 78 - - 5 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3039 - - 602 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2842 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4476 - - 2039 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3334 - - 1622 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 278 - - 79 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 216 - - 323 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - -6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -347 - - -250 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4823 - - 2290 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1707 - - -2263 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6183 - - 4302 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 650 - - 1850 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.6 - - 79.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.8 - - 73.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.1 - - 79.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.4 - - 72.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 78 - - 5 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3039 - - 602 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 96 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 18 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99452 40 092 29 083 99452 91980 38 089 35 090 91980 86202 31 082 33 085 86202 81404 25 071 24 078 81404 77278 16 073 16 091 77278 73627 8 106 13 100 73627 70305 11 126 9 106 70305 67254 8 112 2 105 67254 64442 4 055 5 265 64442 61735 1 314 5 283 61735 58937 7 285 10 287 58937 56063 21 291 15 303 56063 53353 36 284 33 298 53353 50961 37 260 42 279 50961 48848 38 269 40 286 48848 46921 45 285 45 307 46921 45134 51 289 47 311 45134 43462 55 287 42 301 43462 41889 53 288 43 291 41889 40403 52 288 48 287 40403 38992 50 280 49 285 38992 37623 49 275 45 281 37623 36229 46 272 41 275 36229 34779 41 278 37 279 34779 33279 39 286 39 288 33279 31713 37 286 41 295 31713 30068 33 280 42 295 30068 28342 32 286 41 294 28342 26536 39 298 40 292 26536 24657 34 293 38 291 24657 22710 31 281 36 292 22710 20689 31 277 36 294 20689 18588 33 287 37 295 18588 16450 34 290 37 296 16450 14393 37 291 39 295 14393 12523 39 292 37 296 12523 10863 36 290 32 297 10863 9390 30 288 29 292 9390 8081 23 284 24 286 8081 6917 18 277 20 282 6917 5883 12 263 17 281 5883 4968 7*243 14 284 4968 4159 5*228 12 288 4159 3433 4 217 10 290 3433 2792 4 215 9 292 2792 2258 3 212 5*298 2258 1847 3 211 2*318 1847 1565 3 210 2 323 1565 1393 2 210 2 327 1393 1295 2 212 2 328 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography