DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.5 - - 59.9 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 298 - - 131 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3198 - - 2606 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3490 - - 2706 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4635 - - 4043 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1064 - - 1244 - - 1758 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 402 - - 288 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 186 - - 187 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4574 - - -4314 - - -5351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9210 - - 8357 - - 6644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9876 - - -10072 - - -12404 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14511 - - 14115 - - 13697 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.5 - - 59.9 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.8 - - 28.0 - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.8 - - 59.0 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 23.6 - - 27.0 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 298 - - 131 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3198 - - 2606 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 52 - - 66 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96425 39 242 31 248 26 257 96425 89242 18 246 27 257 21 255 89242 83698 12 257 25 239 24 258 83698 79081 26 276 24 268 21 259 79081 75083 26 266 30 266 28 275 75083 71560 31 282 31 282 35 290 71560 68392 32 281 35 276 36 298 68392 65472 37 287 35 291 41 297 65472 62746 42 293 45 307 47 304 62746 60101 50 299 62 306 56 308 60101 57346 60 304 62 299 60 301 57346 54490 63 303 57 300 57 292 54490 51755 56 302 56 308 51 300 51755 49278 52 311 58 315 56 315 49278 47046 63 323 65 321 64 318 47046 45024 77 324 78 318 75 319 45024 43195 83 318 83 317 89 322 43195 41533 90 321 87 318 97 319 41533 40004 97 324 93 320 94 317 40004 38578 92 323 95 320 90 319 38578 37233 76 322 91 319 90 320 37233 35927 64 323 83 317 91 318 35927 34595 60 326 78 315 85 316 34595 33213 52 325 77 312 76 314 33213 31783 46 316 73 307 71 309 31783 30294 45 306 62 300 69 303 30294 28732 50 306 55 298 64 300 28732 27098 54 308 49 296 55 295 27098 25389 53 307 43 297 47 291 25389 23606 46 302 39 296 44 289 23606 21751 41 292 39 293 41 288 21751 19819 40 282 36 292 36 287 19819 17808 41 272 32 285 33 281 17808 15762 41 272 31 278 31 276 15762 13792 37 260 29 277 27 272 13792 11998 31 249 27 273 24 270 11998 10402 31 237 26 265 27 266 10402 8983 27 228 27 259 29 254 8983 7723 22 231 25 247 30 247 7723 6607 19 232 23 236 28 245 6607 5619 16 222 20 226 23 239 5619 4751 13*203 18*208 21 227 4751 3987 12*194 17*193 21 210 3987 3304 12 189 17 189 23 198 3304 2701 12 186 17 187 24 192 2701 2198 12 184 16 185 21 189 2198 1811 11 182 16 185 17 186 1811 1546 11 180 15 184 13 179 1546 1384 10 180 14 184 10*175 1384 1292 9 181 11 183 5*165 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography