DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.1 - - 74.9 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 84 - - 4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4501 - - 4255 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3938 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5938 - - 5692 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1227 - - 1622 - - 2943 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 325 - - 189 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 078 - - 080 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 357 - - -14 - - -2002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5581 - - 5706 - - 3298 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5426 - - -5045 - - -4348 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11364 - - 10737 - - 5643 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 74 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.1 - - 74.9 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.3 - - 54.5 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.5 - - 74.9 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.9 - - 53.2 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 84 - - 4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4501 - - 4255 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 19 - - 0 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99022 18 113 19 114 19 095 99022 91615 22 111 15 132 8 095 91615 85874 16 110 12 123 8 101 85874 81082 8 124 8 094 9 112 81082 76940 5 165 8 104 9 129 76940 73279 8 175 6 048 9 131 73279 69975 12 173 5 312 5 046 69975 66967 6 126 4 218 4 332 66967 64194 5 045 2 042 6 346 64194 61508 8 337 10 353 8 351 61508 58708 8 333 12 313 16 348 58708 55814 18 336 13 328 20 323 55814 53061 23 322 20 311 19 291 53061 50582 20 322 18 305 20 302 50582 48357 34 334 21 335 25 309 48357 46344 46 339 47 342 28 340 46344 44519 60 328 63 323 66 337 44519 42857 64 322 59 306 60 315 42857 41316 67 320 51 307 50 302 41316 39867 69 334 46 331 34 323 39867 38495 65 349 50 345 34 330 38495 37162 63 001 53 350 38 333 37162 35802 74 002 56 344 43 336 35802 34384 79 359 58 343 45 333 34384 32913 77 359 60 346 44 322 32913 31372 63 349 58 352 38 324 31372 29752 60 337 55 360 33 331 29752 28048 52 340 53 359 32 330 28048 26259 39 342 52 353 36 326 26259 24387 28 345 34 356 33 342 24387 22447 22 350 24 355 28 002 22447 20443 16 347 17 352 16 007 20443 18363 12 346 13 336 11 008 18363 16243 10 347 12 327 11 341 16243 14204 9 003 10 334 11 333 14204 12353 9 016 9 355 8 347 12353 10710 6 035 6 004 5 345 10710 9253 5 053 3 005 6 325 9253 7959 5 044 2 020 7 310 7959 6814 4*066 3 068 6 274 6814 5799 5*072 3*073 5 261 5799 4901 5 075 4*076 2 254 4901 4108 5 077 4 078 2 111 4108 3396 6 079 4 078 5 100 3396 2766 5 079 4 080 7 099 2766 2241 5 080 4 082 8 096 2241 1837 5 080 4 083 9 095 1837 1559 5 082 4 083 9 095 1559 1390 5 082 3 082 7*097 1390 1294 4 080 3 083 4*099 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography