DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 37.9 - - 41.2 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 344 - - 134 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2216 - - 3296 - - 2610 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2640 - - 3607 - - 2702 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3653 - - 4733 - - 4047 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 562 - - 973 - - 1194 - - 2335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 423 - - 287 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 262 - - 239 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1361 - - -2892 - - -4063 - - -4670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5014 - - 7625 - - 8111 - - 5962 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9445 - - -9325 - - -10101 - - -11764 ODpotential blCL - - - 13098 - - 14058 - - 14148 - - 13056 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 79 - - 86 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 37.9 - - 41.2 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.8 - - 8.7 - - 10.1 - - 14.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 36.1 - - 40.3 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.2 - - 8.1 - - 9.6 - - 14.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 344 - - 134 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2216 - - 3296 - - 2610 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96490 8 071 10 090 8 125 9 061 96490 89320 8 144 6 109 7 131 3 117 89320 83732 10 165 8 185 3 187 5 216 83732 79055 9 189 9 220 7 254 10 200 79055 74986 8 166 18 198 10 259 9 256 74986 71371 11 237 16 229 22 257 13 266 71371 68097 17 202 17 208 21 242 16 269 68097 65075 10 228 7 241 20 256 28 255 65075 62283 18 242 16 230 20 222 26 230 62283 59560 19 263 18 207 27 194 27 195 59560 56672 29 278 28 282 21 277 33 274 56672 53662 37 270 51 274 48 279 50 272 53662 50811 40 263 51 268 49 270 48 272 50811 48267 36 264 39 264 40 264 48 283 48267 45995 34 272 32 270 37 278 52 282 45995 43942 37 283 37 287 44 279 51 289 43942 42069 39 286 45 290 42 284 63 296 42069 40347 35 289 43 288 45 295 76 289 40347 38768 37 301 37 291 57 300 73 291 38768 37311 47 312 47 300 66 297 83 302 37311 35957 58 307 60 302 68 299 103 305 35957 34664 62 302 66 302 70 303 113 307 34664 33360 59 303 67 301 74 303 111 308 33360 32018 64 306 69 303 77 301 98 309 32018 30642 70 305 75 302 78 298 86 306 30642 29212 63 313 77 296 75 298 84 301 29212 27710 60 318 69 292 66 300 83 300 27710 26134 55 313 59 292 59 295 80 296 26134 24483 51 312 55 292 59 288 75 293 24483 22760 47 319 49 295 50 283 62 294 22760 20972 48 318 46 298 42 282 44 291 20972 19116 50 313 45 301 39 285 40 276 19116 17183 52 309 43 302 37 284 41 273 17183 15211 51 308 45 301 37 280 39 279 15211 13308 45 308 46 299 38 277 34 281 13308 11579 38 308 42 297 35 278 30 268 11579 10047 32 308 35 295 31 278 32 259 10047 8688 27 308 28 292 28 275 33 256 8688 7480 23 311 22 285 25 268 34 255 7480 6406 22 317 19 279 22 260 34 253 6406 5456 23 319 14*270 19 251 34 247 5456 4620 21 313 12*264 15*241 32 240 4620 3884 15*304 11 264 14*240 28 233 3884 3228 10*295 11 263 14 240 22 231 3228 2649 10 295 11 262 14 239 19 233 2649 2164 9 295 10 261 13 239 16 232 2164 1792 8 295 10 261 13 239 13 232 1792 1535 8 295 9 261 12 238 9 228 1535 1380 7 295 8 261 11 239 6*221 1380 1291 6 296 7 260 9 237 3*201 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography