DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 65.5 - - 66.7 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 47 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1331 - - 1232 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1294 - - 2768 - - 2669 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1707 - - 934 - - 1010 - - 1559 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 175 - - 164 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 17 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 003 - - 003 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -393 - - 620 - - 403 - - -326 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1687 - - 2148 - - 2266 - - 1620 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -914 - - -1204 - - -1471 - - -2555 ODpotential blCL - - - 2208 - - 3972 - - 4140 - - 3849 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 20 - - 80 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 65.5 - - 66.7 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.7 - - 60.4 - - 61.0 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 65.2 - - 66.4 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 59.6 - - 60.4 - - 60.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 47 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1331 - - 1232 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 83 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98157 9 114 7 125 11 144 8 248 98157 90797 11 116 3 207 0 223 5 318 90797 85124 8 070 3 135 7 304 8 033 85124 80409 8 041 7 119 7 279 7 067 80409 76349 4 047 4 090 3 240 4 052 76349 72777 1 154 1 095 1 301 4 016 72777 69550 4 069 4 148 1 316 5 337 69550 66586 6 048 5 124 3 196 8 310 66586 63846 4 017 2 008 4 171 7 280 63846 61192 5 254 4 325 3 173 6 236 61192 58415 9 209 5 237 7 228 13 229 58415 55531 12 190 12 220 15 220 17 227 55531 52784 7 187 15 225 13 229 19 239 52784 50318 8 257 18 225 16 265 19 239 50318 48108 12 248 22 227 28 263 21 255 48108 46103 12 239 22 226 34 249 29 255 46103 44269 11 240 9 223 24 237 35 245 44269 42577 10 233 13 323 13 264 31 235 42577 41009 3 060 12 284 19 269 22 259 41009 39549 10 072 8 217 24 262 30 258 39549 38174 7 340 6 218 23 258 33 253 38174 36841 12 332 8 287 21 271 29 256 36841 35480 18 318 17 298 20 283 25 268 35480 34065 22 327 24 310 16 298 20 279 34065 32599 17 003 23 325 16 320 17 289 32599 31067 17 011 16 330 16 316 15 291 31067 29459 18 010 18 344 16 313 14 289 29459 27774 20 006 20 345 16 320 15 286 27774 26010 21 001 20 344 18 314 16 286 26010 24170 24 354 19 337 18 310 17 287 24170 22257 23 360 19 342 18 322 15 297 22257 20271 20 016 17 358 19 328 13 335 20271 18206 18 017 22 356 19 348 17 349 18206 16107 20 023 22 003 19 007 19 004 16107 14093 25 032 18 027 18 021 17 013 14093 12263 27 041 20 045 18 028 13 012 12263 10636 28 043 21 045 20 028 13 018 10636 9189 25 042 20 038 21 024 16 025 9189 7903 23 042 19 037 20 026 17 031 7903 6761 21 042 18 040 18 022 16 021 6761 5748 21 041 17 033 18 015 18 007 5748 4855 22 035 17 026 19 014 19 003 4855 4067 23 030 18 017 21 014 19 007 4067 3363 23 022 20*008 22 008 18 014 3363 2741 23 004 19*002 20*005 17 016 2741 2223 20 354 18 002 15*003 15 012 2223 1827 18 354 17 003 14 003 10 003 1827 1554 16 354 16 003 13 003 7 358 1554 1388 13*353 14 003 11 003 5*348 1388 1293 9*353 10 003 9 001 2*331 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography