DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.1 - - 72.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 243 - - 81 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3429 - - 5987 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3597 - - 4800 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4866 - - 7424 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1120 - - 2686 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 388 - - 329 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 56 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 191 - - 218 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 13 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 35 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -182 - - -1089 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5049 - - 8513 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2961 - - -3546 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7827 - - 10970 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 70 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.1 - - 72.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.3 - - 39.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 64.5 - - 72.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.3 - - 38.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 243 - - 81 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3429 - - 5987 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96570 27 250 22 246 96570 89436 11 263 12 237 89436 83917 4 279 9 219 83917 79334 6 045 10 192 79334 75381 6 333 4 005 75381 71887 9 290 7 336 71887 68722 6 224 7 291 68722 65799 6 349 10 257 65799 63076 14 308 16 284 63076 60417 29 281 21 278 60417 57612 28 280 29 296 57612 54678 35 298 35 300 54678 51875 34 296 40 307 51875 49356 34 312 47 312 49356 47098 43 312 53 308 47098 45048 49 315 57 305 45048 43175 54 315 61 303 43175 41459 61 316 64 304 41459 39879 72 317 67 306 39879 38419 87 312 71 309 38419 37064 87 309 71 310 37064 35769 77 308 65 308 35769 34459 68 308 56 307 34459 33099 57 310 52 307 33099 31691 56 312 50 307 31691 30217 59 311 50 307 30217 28667 58 305 52 305 28667 27042 57 301 54 304 27042 25344 58 304 55 302 25344 23575 58 308 51 298 23575 21736 56 307 47 294 21736 19822 52 304 43 294 19822 17826 48 307 39 297 17826 15791 42 304 37 297 15791 13828 36 298 35 288 13828 12047 28 297 31 277 12047 10466 17 288 25 273 10466 9066 13 272 19 261 9066 7819 11 262 18*258 7819 6706 9 253 15*249 6706 5715 5*233 12 237 5715 4839 2*197 10 226 4839 4061 2 188 9 213 4061 3364 2 188 8 201 3364 2745 1 181 7 195 2745 2228 1 191 7 188 2228 1830 0 210 7 186 1830 1555 0 244 6 184 1555 1389 0 279 6 182 1389 1293 0 285 5 183 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography