DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.9 - - 61.6 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 16 - - 24 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 548 - - 836 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1985 - - 2273 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1188 - - 1035 - - 1800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 88 - - 117 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 029 - - 024 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 561 - - 659 - - -204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1424 - - 1614 - - 1499 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 108 - - 198 - - -596 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1877 - - 2075 - - 1890 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 30 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.9 - - 61.6 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.9 - - 58.9 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.8 - - 61.5 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.6 - - 58.4 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 16 - - 24 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 548 - - 836 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98509 12 158 15 231 9 249 98509 91080 5 188 7 198 9 223 91080 85336 8 184 2 143 5 081 85336 80579 7 167 2 078 6 044 80579 76503 1 205 2 295 3 038 76503 72911 2 257 5 222 1 208 72911 69656 4 244 7 192 5 234 69656 66676 5 199 7 200 7 285 66676 63934 4 192 4 244 9 321 63934 61285 3 217 7 289 9 328 61285 58524 5 280 11 273 14 295 58524 55673 6 273 12 263 14 257 55673 52956 18 258 20 255 14 260 52956 50506 25 255 23 241 28 249 50506 48311 38 240 37 243 36 240 48311 46320 42 235 44 242 43 239 46320 44500 47 228 48 239 50 240 44500 42823 55 227 52 233 56 233 42823 41264 54 216 56 225 57 231 41264 39801 51 214 57 219 56 235 39801 38418 46 214 54 219 58 236 38418 37076 41 217 53 221 53 234 37076 35708 39 220 49 221 50 229 35708 34285 38 219 44 220 49 225 34285 32810 36 217 38 221 42 227 32810 31268 35 218 35 222 35 223 31268 29645 35 227 32 225 33 217 29645 27941 33 228 31 223 29 215 27941 26158 29 230 29 223 24 217 26158 24299 26 229 26 225 18 226 24299 22370 24 226 24 228 16 247 22370 20364 22 224 22 230 17 255 20364 18277 22 224 21 234 16 250 18277 16155 21 225 20 234 15 241 16155 14116 19 228 17 230 14 225 14116 12268 18 233 13 234 10 223 12268 10629 12 229 7 258 5 253 10629 9172 7 222 4 271 2 311 9172 7876 5 214 5 260 1 026 7876 6725 4 230 3 267 4 080 6725 5709 3 202 2 325 9 091 5709 4817 4 128 4 048 19 084 4817 4033 6 060 11 055 23 068 4033 3336 10 047 15 045 22 057 3336 2722 11 042 14*036 20 044 2722 2211 10*035 13*028 17 035 2211 1820 9*031 11 024 14 028 1820 1551 8 030 10 022 12 025 1551 1387 7 028 9 020 10*024 1387 1293 5 025 7 019 7*021 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography