DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 60.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 619 - - 424 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1276 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2056 - - 1861 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 911 - - 935 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 81 - - 50 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 101 - - 113 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -89 - - -124 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2145 - - 1985 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8505 - - -9483 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10561 - - 11344 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.5 - - 60.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.5 - - 56.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.5 - - 60.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.7 - - 55.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 619 - - 424 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97534 36 254 43 255 97534 90298 27 234 32 266 90298 84711 19 218 22 256 84711 80067 11 237 14 253 80067 76073 11 286 8 277 76073 72560 11 291 8 250 72560 69395 11 309 5 198 69395 66501 11 316 5 317 66501 63831 11 263 11 300 63831 61253 16 260 22 288 61253 58585 18 248 29 261 58585 55836 21 276 28 254 55836 53220 37 286 37 265 53220 50871 48 279 51 272 50871 48758 52 270 53 273 48758 46820 56 269 53 274 46820 45023 58 270 55 273 45023 43342 54 269 56 273 43342 41760 50 269 55 272 41760 40267 48 273 51 268 40267 38856 46 277 48 268 38856 37489 44 279 48 269 37489 36096 45 278 45 270 36096 34649 43 277 41 269 34649 33150 40 274 39 270 33150 31582 38 269 39 276 31582 29935 38 266 39 280 29935 28210 40 265 36 275 28210 26408 39 267 35 267 26408 24531 32 265 34 261 24531 22582 32 265 34 257 22582 20556 35 268 33 260 20556 18450 37 269 31 266 18450 16307 35 265 31 271 16307 14243 31 263 30 274 14243 12368 27 261 28 275 12368 10703 26 263 26 270 10703 9228 22 260 23 264 9228 7919 19 246 19 260 7919 6758 16 236 21 251 6758 5733 13 219 22 237 5733 4834 10 196 17 222 4834 4045 7 153 10 198 4045 3343 7 111 9 155 3343 2726 9 097 10 125 2726 2213 9*099 10*115 2213 1821 9*100 9*114 1821 1551 8 102 8 113 1551 1387 7 102 7 113 1387 1293 5 103 5 114 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography