DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 72.1 - - 72.4 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 121 - - 77 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 987 - - 2425 - - 1834 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 2583 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2424 - - 3862 - - 3271 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 949 - - 878 - - 1929 - - 2371 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 194 - - 282 - - 224 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 204 - - 161 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 318 - - 617 - - 303 - - -785 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2106 - - 3245 - - 2968 - - 2079 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5125 - - 57 - - -509 - - -2528 ODpotential blCL - - - 7549 - - 3805 - - 3780 - - 3822 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 97 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 72.1 - - 72.4 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.1 - - 62.2 - - 63.7 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 71.2 - - 71.8 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 61.1 - - 62.8 - - 62.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 121 - - 77 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 987 - - 2425 - - 1834 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 89 - - 83 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98521 16 079 11 074 15 073 8 091 98521 91039 11 117 8 107 11 088 11 051 91039 85262 14 115 12 123 11 100 13 049 85262 80462 13 087 12 094 11 105 11 076 80462 76348 9 058 10 060 9 107 9 069 76348 72750 10 035 5 065 9 069 11 056 72750 69516 8 029 7 067 2 035 9 354 69516 66550 5 035 7 038 1 321 5 318 66550 63791 1 085 3 314 6 280 5 309 63791 61112 5 020 2 126 8 259 7 279 61112 58324 10 288 5 290 9 247 10 275 58324 55442 14 257 14 274 18 261 18 265 55442 52713 26 253 25 257 24 256 22 248 52713 50285 29 248 31 247 30 255 21 258 50285 48144 26 265 34 238 42 242 49 252 48144 46231 22 267 32 245 44 235 44 239 46231 44481 27 275 31 252 41 244 50 253 44481 42850 35 279 33 260 43 255 54 249 42850 41315 37 281 38 262 50 260 51 240 41315 39865 30 263 38 263 49 258 48 240 39865 38488 35 248 36 264 43 244 46 241 38488 37147 38 245 36 268 40 244 45 242 37147 35777 37 242 33 265 33 241 44 241 35777 34350 35 242 35 257 30 239 43 242 34350 32869 36 240 35 251 33 244 41 243 32869 31321 34 234 35 238 39 244 39 242 31321 29694 25 232 41 227 41 244 39 238 29694 27990 27 231 41 226 40 244 37 233 27990 26208 31 242 36 232 36 247 30 233 26208 24350 24 255 31 244 33 246 27 240 24350 22419 17 253 27 252 30 229 26 229 22419 20414 21 229 23 226 30 224 27 220 20414 18332 24 232 27 224 30 221 24 219 18332 16218 21 234 27 227 28 221 23 220 16218 14184 17 227 22 225 24 219 23 220 14184 12338 18 227 20 222 22 215 21 218 12338 10696 20 227 20 223 21 207 20 215 10696 9237 21 231 20 223 22 204 21 212 9237 7940 21 234 18 222 23 203 23 212 7940 6788 20 234 16 224 23 202 24 210 6788 5770 19 234 15 227 20 201 22 211 5770 4874 19 231 14 222 15 200 19 212 4874 4084 19 225 10*212 13 195 18 208 4084 3377 16 219 8*205 11*186 18 198 3377 2753 8*209 6 202 10*172 18 184 2753 2232 4*172 6 203 10 162 16 172 2232 1832 4 167 5 204 10 158 15 165 1832 1556 3 167 5 205 9 158 13 160 1556 1390 3 166 4 206 9 157 11*157 1390 1293 3 170 4 207 7 156 7*154 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography