DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.3 - - 40.2 - - 43.0 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 207 - - 24 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 462 - - 1704 - - 1475 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 2263 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1899 - - 3141 - - 2912 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 673 - - 757 - - 1162 - - 238 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 134 - - 287 - - 135 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 20 - - 19 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 176 - - 187 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - 7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5494 - - -5813 - - -5280 - - -4633 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7394 - - 8955 - - 8193 - - 5925 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18271 - - -15733 - - -13420 - - -14685 ODpotential blCL - - - 20170 - - 18874 - - 16332 - - 15977 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 70 - - 81 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.3 - - 40.2 - - 43.0 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.2 - - 5.9 - - 11.9 - - 12.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 39.3 - - 42.9 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.5 - - 5.3 - - 11.4 - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 207 - - 24 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 462 - - 1704 - - 1475 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95817 49 245 50 251 53 262 40 257 95817 88722 32 252 37 252 45 253 42 262 88722 83253 36 266 40 254 43 254 49 259 83253 78714 43 248 49 254 48 263 47 255 78714 74788 48 255 51 252 48 263 41 255 74788 71285 51 265 48 250 43 259 39 269 71285 68078 48 269 45 254 43 258 48 270 68078 65111 51 267 48 256 50 251 55 254 65111 62353 60 256 55 256 59 246 61 248 62353 59667 70 253 66 257 64 247 69 250 59667 56869 79 253 80 251 72 250 79 246 56869 53962 87 250 86 249 89 247 84 246 53962 51176 96 249 98 248 103 245 107 250 51176 48683 107 248 110 248 113 246 122 246 48683 46470 112 246 118 247 118 245 124 243 46470 44477 114 243 120 244 122 244 123 243 44477 42653 117 244 122 240 129 242 124 241 42653 40967 121 246 121 239 134 238 124 241 40967 39403 124 248 120 240 129 237 125 242 39403 37947 125 249 122 244 126 239 128 243 37947 36586 127 250 129 247 129 243 130 244 36586 35275 125 251 133 248 132 245 132 246 35275 33950 119 248 133 247 133 245 133 247 33950 32582 113 246 129 245 131 244 130 246 32582 31171 111 245 124 244 125 243 123 245 31171 29702 108 245 118 242 117 243 115 245 29702 28163 103 247 105 241 105 243 106 242 28163 26558 95 247 92 242 95 245 99 240 26558 24883 85 246 82 245 90 248 96 241 24883 23135 78 246 76 249 87 250 95 244 23135 21316 74 247 74 251 81 250 92 246 21316 19420 71 247 72 249 71 249 82 251 19420 17444 66 245 68 244 64 253 72 256 17444 15433 59 242 64 240 61 257 64 258 15433 13498 51 240 62 240 58 253 59 255 13498 11739 46 240 58 240 54 246 56 244 11739 10177 43 239 55 243 53 241 54 234 10177 8791 38 231 52 245 52 239 52 234 8791 7563 34 221 49 242 49 237 50 237 7563 6473 32 218 44 235 46 233 47 238 6473 5508 32 222 41 225 42 227 43 234 5508 4659 32 225 38 216 38 218 44 228 4659 3910 30 222 32 207 33 209 45 220 3910 3244 25 213 25*193 27*198 44 209 3244 2657 21 205 22*180 23*189 40 201 2657 2168 16*201 21 176 21 188 33 195 2168 1793 10*189 20 175 20 186 25 186 1793 1536 8 183 19 174 18 185 19 172 1536 1380 7 182 17 173 15 184 14*161 1380 1291 6 182 13 173 11 183 8*146 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography