DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 81.1 - - 79.9 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -7 - - -25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 2378 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1637 - - 3815 - - 1295 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1603 - - 1378 - - 5252 - - 422 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 62 - - 163 - - 22 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 241 - - 282 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2663 - - -1218 - - -2053 - - -809 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4301 - - 5034 - - 3348 - - 2104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8232 - - -6164 - - -3475 - - -3610 ODpotential blCL - - - 9869 - - 9979 - - 4770 - - 4905 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 75 - - 80 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 220 - - 950 - - 550 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 81.1 - - 79.9 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 63.4 - - 69.3 - - 68.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 81.6 - - 81.6 - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 62.0 - - 67.9 - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -7 - - -25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 2378 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 2 - - 19 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97629 45 245 37 248 45 246 29 245 97629 90391 24 250 30 244 32 247 28 255 90391 84806 17 238 21 253 22 249 22 256 84806 80156 14 230 14 251 17 245 15 287 80156 76140 13 232 11 233 13 252 15 289 76140 72604 7 226 8 233 10 246 12 267 72604 69424 2 204 8 213 5 255 7 265 69424 66529 3 290 14 188 11 270 8 290 66529 63865 12 270 6 225 8 239 11 239 63865 61280 21 247 18 275 22 276 27 285 61280 58608 25 235 36 258 36 270 41 284 58608 55882 29 264 36 261 42 264 47 277 55882 53292 35 279 37 269 44 257 51 265 53292 50953 34 280 37 270 41 265 48 266 50953 48844 38 275 41 279 43 279 45 269 48844 46908 42 270 45 282 50 281 45 268 46908 45108 43 270 49 281 53 279 41 270 45108 43419 43 274 52 278 56 278 42 279 43419 41828 46 283 55 277 59 278 51 285 41828 40323 52 288 59 278 61 277 60 286 40323 38897 56 287 60 278 63 278 64 282 38897 37514 58 283 57 278 60 279 60 277 37514 36108 65 284 50 279 54 276 53 274 36108 34650 58 291 48 283 48 278 49 281 34650 33143 59 295 48 288 44 284 51 289 33143 31577 58 286 43 285 46 291 52 289 31577 29935 56 282 46 281 52 297 52 285 29935 28214 47 280 47 277 48 291 51 284 28214 26414 49 313 42 275 42 279 49 284 26414 24540 52 313 41 269 39 275 47 284 24540 22598 38 292 42 276 36 276 43 285 22598 20586 37 279 42 283 38 280 43 277 20586 18499 31 278 36 282 42 280 43 271 18499 16379 28 274 31 275 35 272 35 270 16379 14339 27 281 27 276 27 266 30 270 14339 12485 26 282 25 279 27 269 27 274 12485 10836 25 267 27 273 29 270 26 283 10836 9367 25 248 27 264 30 273 22 289 9367 8059 27 244 28 263 29 279 17 296 8059 6895 26 248 29 269 24 284 16 301 6895 5863 25 257 26 274 18 284 17 298 5863 4954 24 272 20 273 13 282 18 290 4954 4150 25 288 14*264 13 283 18 283 4150 3428 24 292 10*249 12 283 17 278 3428 2790 19 288 9 244 11 283 17 276 2790 2256 13 277 8 240 10 283 15 273 2256 1846 9*269 7 238 9 283 14 269 1846 1563 6*260 7 235 8 284 11 263 1563 1392 6 259 6 235 7*282 7*256 1392 1294 5 257 5 235 5*282 3*231 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography