DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 55.5 - - 54.2 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 93 - - -18 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 215 - - 2335 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 2295 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1652 - - 3772 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 792 - - 1291 - - 3775 - - 161 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 250 - - 13 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 093 - - 153 - - 125 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2301 - - -3767 - - -5536 - - -3431 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3954 - - 7540 - - 6829 - - 4724 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12774 - - -13499 - - -14944 - - -14642 ODpotential blCL - - - 14426 - - 17271 - - 16237 - - 15935 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 63 - - 41 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 55.5 - - 54.2 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.3 - - 27.2 - - 29.2 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 54.8 - - 55.3 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 26.1 - - 28.0 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 93 - - -18 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 215 - - 2335 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95988 32 268 37 266 36 270 36 265 95988 89029 20 252 26 280 23 292 22 282 89029 83611 16 276 20 271 21 303 17 296 83611 79088 12 298 14 284 18 311 12 304 79088 75171 11 344 9 278 16 292 13 320 75171 71686 14 330 10 283 20 275 17 305 71686 68525 8 321 13 293 21 275 19 285 68525 65612 23 298 20 294 20 283 21 270 65612 62905 28 291 32 289 29 288 27 280 62905 60280 41 294 40 287 36 290 36 290 60280 57537 49 287 50 281 46 285 49 285 57537 54691 49 279 54 273 51 279 59 276 54691 51973 49 284 53 276 56 272 55 272 51973 49516 57 282 54 281 54 274 64 274 49516 47313 57 276 60 282 65 275 71 266 47313 45336 51 276 70 275 68 269 69 262 45336 43545 61 285 64 264 62 258 63 260 43545 41898 67 282 52 272 52 273 61 265 41898 40364 68 289 59 287 69 291 65 271 40364 38925 80 296 82 288 77 279 64 269 38925 37571 94 294 87 282 83 272 71 266 37571 36259 95 291 84 280 75 276 76 261 36259 34923 93 289 84 280 70 277 66 260 34923 33536 96 294 81 280 67 276 60 259 33536 32099 90 297 76 276 63 278 58 259 32099 30593 81 292 74 269 60 278 56 259 30593 29006 69 287 66 275 56 285 55 258 29006 27339 63 283 67 292 49 273 55 256 27339 25594 67 283 60 286 39 255 52 266 25594 23775 71 282 58 273 41 255 52 275 23775 21884 63 287 59 273 53 263 59 266 21884 19924 55 297 54 279 49 263 56 248 19924 17889 47 295 46 286 42 269 44 248 17889 15815 37 286 39 290 33 274 35 253 15815 13812 29 279 30 288 26 276 26 257 13812 11992 24 271 25 275 24 270 21 261 11992 10380 20 275 23 269 24 269 19 267 10380 8955 15 284 16 263 22 265 18 263 8955 7694 8 287 11 250 18 256 17 251 7694 6578 3 289 8 230 15 246 14 233 6578 5596 0 266 7 210 11 232 13 213 5596 4734 2 086 7 190 8 204 14 197 4734 3974 4 068 6*168 8 177 18 177 3974 3294 5 059 6*159 9 156 19 165 3294 2693 7 054 6 155 9 146 19 155 2693 2192 6 059 6 153 10 141 18 144 2192 1807 4*074 5 149 9 136 17 137 1807 1543 2*092 5 150 9 132 13 132 1543 1383 1 093 4 149 7*128 9*126 1383 1292 1 093 4 150 5*125 5*122 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography