DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 73 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1143 - - 1835 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2580 - - 3272 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 760 - - 827 - - 2657 - - 933 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 218 - - 14 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 18 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 017 - - 025 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1385 - - -1893 - - -3617 - - -2384 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3965 - - 5165 - - 4911 - - 3678 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9406 - - -7710 - - -7836 - - -9083 ODpotential blCL - - - 11986 - - 10982 - - 9130 - - 10376 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 86 - - 78 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.2 - - 40.9 - - 42.7 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 57.9 - - 59.9 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.0 - - 39.7 - - 41.5 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 73 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1143 - - 1835 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 45 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96763 92 244 94 245 98 250 84 249 96763 89615 56 245 61 251 67 250 67 253 89615 84081 39 255 47 249 45 254 48 255 84081 79488 33 265 33 249 36 265 38 261 79488 75530 26 262 20 251 31 261 31 276 75530 72038 20 265 14 285 17 248 25 275 72038 68870 15 276 18 289 15 274 21 271 68870 65944 23 270 22 282 17 283 26 285 65944 63220 25 271 27 281 23 278 28 283 63220 60571 36 280 32 284 25 282 30 279 60571 57817 41 270 40 281 36 276 39 279 57817 54982 47 273 46 276 46 277 47 280 54982 52290 56 266 54 268 53 270 50 273 52290 49873 55 264 57 265 53 269 49 271 49873 47710 56 271 56 264 53 268 53 268 47710 45768 56 276 57 263 63 264 63 263 45768 44014 57 282 58 264 65 260 64 256 44014 42402 60 282 60 271 63 264 59 258 42402 40886 63 278 62 271 58 263 57 259 40886 39451 63 273 63 269 57 262 50 264 39451 38091 62 270 63 269 55 266 47 266 38091 36768 58 268 62 269 53 270 44 269 36768 35417 56 271 60 267 52 270 41 272 35417 34007 55 273 58 269 52 267 41 269 34007 32542 55 271 50 270 47 263 43 265 32542 31008 54 271 46 266 47 266 47 266 31008 29394 54 270 49 264 48 265 47 269 29394 27698 51 269 50 260 48 266 44 267 27698 25923 45 268 48 255 49 268 38 269 25923 24071 35 266 40 255 43 269 32 281 24071 22152 26 273 32 259 34 266 20 285 22152 20167 26 275 20 264 29 259 13 294 20167 18107 26 281 18 292 19 270 10 284 18107 16007 24 295 19 307 16 294 13 273 16007 13979 22 300 21 311 20 302 12 287 13979 12139 18 301 21 315 21 315 15 300 12139 10513 19 319 23 325 23 330 18 318 10513 9075 24 330 26 334 27 336 21 333 9075 7800 24 338 25 342 25 343 21 341 7800 6670 22 345 22 351 21 352 17 350 6670 5672 18 350 17 360 16 356 13 356 5672 4793 13 352 11 004 12 353 10 353 4793 4018 8 006 5 012 8 343 9 350 4018 3326 8 046 3*033 4 347 7 357 3326 2716 7*051 2*032 3 014 5 028 2716 2207 5*043 2 024 3 029 5 059 2207 1817 5 038 2 014 3 027 4 071 1817 1548 4 032 2 006 3 026 3 068 1548 1385 4 029 2 002 3*027 3*070 1385 1292 3 028 2 001 2*025 2*083 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography