DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 78.7 - - 80.2 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 114 - - 20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2159 - - 3778 - - 3814 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 3581 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3596 - - 5215 - - 5251 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1513 - - 2277 - - 4213 - - 6317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 218 - - 333 - - 223 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 079 - - 103 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 9 - - -15 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -671 - - -343 - - -538 - - -2155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4267 - - 5559 - - 5789 - - 3450 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3568 - - -2268 - - -2212 - - -3725 ODpotential blCL - - - 7164 - - 7483 - - 7463 - - 5020 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 76 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 100 - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 78.7 - - 80.2 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 58.9 - - 59.3 - - 63.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.4 - - 78.0 - - 80.1 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 57.5 - - 58.0 - - 62.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 114 - - 20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2159 - - 3778 - - 3814 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 5 - - 42 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99194 39 085 38 083 44 085 29 085 99194 91722 30 080 34 079 33 083 28 075 91722 85950 25 072 28 080 24 075 26 072 85950 81184 22 073 23 081 19 066 22 072 81184 77097 18 076 19 081 18 063 21 079 77097 73493 18 074 12 085 14 058 19 069 73493 70225 12 070 12 089 7 053 15 049 70225 67210 9 070 9 071 4 061 7 029 67210 64416 7 054 2 077 3 011 1 291 64416 61716 4 025 5 232 6 276 6 260 61716 58898 6 280 10 273 9 267 9 252 58898 55973 16 259 18 269 17 286 11 268 55973 53199 24 267 23 257 26 269 26 286 53199 50714 30 266 25 259 32 251 36 269 50714 48481 38 268 36 266 41 256 39 248 48481 46462 54 267 52 261 56 255 48 246 46462 44623 66 254 67 252 64 249 54 250 44623 42924 69 252 68 252 66 250 62 259 42924 41340 72 254 70 252 72 252 70 259 41340 39853 75 250 71 250 74 252 73 254 39853 38449 71 248 72 249 73 248 69 253 38449 37092 68 253 69 246 69 240 63 254 37092 35716 65 253 64 243 65 242 58 253 35716 34286 64 252 60 246 65 243 59 254 34286 32802 63 254 60 247 61 241 65 253 32802 31249 59 257 56 251 56 245 67 250 31249 29617 49 254 53 253 54 252 62 246 29617 27912 39 242 44 249 43 250 47 245 27912 26139 27 245 33 253 30 251 33 256 26139 24300 21 260 23 257 25 255 33 270 24300 22396 23 253 21 261 27 254 26 270 22396 20412 20 253 22 260 25 266 20 271 20412 18345 15 256 17 259 16 272 16 281 18345 16240 10 263 11 275 11 273 12 295 16240 14211 8 277 8 290 8 289 11 297 14211 12365 8 275 7 290 8 298 13 286 12365 10724 7 277 6 277 10 281 13 290 10724 9272 5 294 5 268 9 276 11 308 9272 7984 3 290 4 255 7 281 5 335 7984 6838 2 262 1 233 3 286 2 041 6838 5821 1 078 5*078 2*100 5 113 5821 4922 6 055 6*075 6*100 6 116 4922 4125 11*054 7 076 7 102 7 115 4125 3410 10*055 7 079 7 102 8 114 3410 2777 10 054 7 080 7 103 8 113 2777 2249 10 055 7 080 7 103 8 113 2249 1842 9 054 6 082 7 104 8 113 1842 1562 8 053 6 082 7 104 8 112 1562 1391 7 052 6 082 7 105 6*111 1391 1294 6 050 5 082 5 104 4*110 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography