DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.8 - - 28.3 - - 36.8 - - 37.8 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 363 - - 498 - - 268 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3175 - - 5061 - - 5393 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1273 - - 3532 - - 5111 - - 5112 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top 1291 - - 4612 - - 6498 - - 6830 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3057 - - 725 - - 815 - - 994 - - 4668 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 425 - - 551 - - 458 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 306 - - 301 - - 311 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3435 - - -3480 - - -2620 - - -1471 - - -5713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4726 - - 8093 - - 9118 - - 8302 - - 7006 sfcLCL ODpotential -16744 - - -15335 - - -11171 - - -7378 - - -12818 ODpotential blCL 18035 - - 19947 - - 17669 - - 14208 - - 14110 blCL maxRH 63 - - 48 - - 58 - - 66 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.8 - - 28.3 - - 36.8 - - 37.8 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.8 - - -2.7 - - 0.8 - - 5.6 - - 6.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 21.2 - - 26.6 - - 34.4 - - 36.4 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.8 - - -2.8 - - 0.6 - - 5.3 - - 6.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 363 - - 498 - - 268 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3175 - - 5061 - - 5393 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96667 18 270 16 314 16 279 16 272 16 298 96667 89428 6 352 2 129 10 209 12 261 8 300 89428 83892 3 335 4 133 6 132 10 227 8 269 83892 79286 6 171 3 180 6 181 8 195 6 202 79286 75288 8 183 6 241 10 184 10 206 6 211 75288 71737 11 228 14 238 11 218 12 212 13 226 71737 68517 13 257 18 220 21 222 20 229 20 223 68517 65567 25 257 21 258 26 220 27 226 26 230 65567 62852 32 240 35 253 33 234 27 244 29 219 62852 60223 46 229 47 233 51 237 46 250 32 244 60223 57482 58 237 55 233 63 231 63 238 54 243 57482 54616 76 242 66 238 64 233 69 230 62 229 54616 51837 80 242 79 242 73 242 75 242 68 230 51837 49309 86 250 86 243 89 246 92 245 80 242 49309 47029 100 250 95 244 105 242 102 241 101 242 47029 44947 112 245 104 243 113 237 110 238 113 238 44947 43021 116 240 110 242 112 236 117 238 116 238 43021 41227 121 242 116 243 115 239 119 241 117 240 41227 39559 124 244 119 242 120 241 123 245 126 243 39559 38005 124 245 119 240 125 240 130 243 135 243 38005 36558 125 245 115 239 124 240 132 241 138 242 36558 35180 128 244 116 241 116 240 120 241 137 240 35180 33800 122 240 121 243 113 241 121 244 132 240 33800 32383 117 238 123 241 122 245 132 246 129 241 32383 30931 115 238 124 239 131 244 135 243 135 241 30931 29435 114 239 127 240 133 241 137 241 142 240 29435 27875 114 239 128 240 130 240 141 241 142 241 27875 26244 115 238 127 240 127 240 142 242 136 242 26244 24539 121 238 126 240 125 240 138 241 131 243 24539 22761 120 238 115 240 118 241 122 241 126 243 22761 20917 110 238 98 239 102 241 104 240 103 241 20917 19013 97 237 85 240 83 242 83 243 74 242 19013 17056 83 237 74 241 66 246 54 252 43 254 17056 15078 70 238 58 242 50 249 38 263 29 269 15078 13178 55 240 41 243 38 252 33 268 22 288 13178 11458 41 241 30 244 30 254 29 271 16 313 11458 9936 32 241 26 248 26 259 21 280 15 329 9936 8585 26 247 23 257 22 273 14 291 14 342 8585 7388 24 264 21 272 16*289 12*300 13 338 7388 6332 26 283 22 293 14*295 12*304 12 324 6332 5402 29 297 21*304 14 296 13 307 13 321 5402 4583 28 304 16*305 14 299 13 310 14 322 4583 3859 23 307 15 305 14 301 14 311 15 322 3859 3211 19 309 15 305 14 302 14 313 15 323 3211 2636 16 312 15 306 14 304 14 314 16 323 2636 2156 15 314 14 306 13 305 14 315 15 324 2156 1787 13 318 13 306 13 306 14 316 14 324 1787 1533 11 323 12 307 12 307 13 316 12 324 1533 1379 9*326 12 307 12 307 12 316 10*324 1379 1291 4*327 10 307 10 308 10 317 6*324 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography