DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 54.9 - - 53.7 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 140 - - 2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 261 - - 2706 - - 3763 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 2807 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1698 - - 4143 - - 5200 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1464 - - 1268 - - 2770 - - 5408 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 70 - - 297 - - 103 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 18 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 216 - - 226 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 16 - - 8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4110 - - -2614 - - -734 - - -3724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5808 - - 6758 - - 5934 - - 5017 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10432 - - -5503 - - -1650 - - -5088 ODpotential blCL - - - 12130 - - 9646 - - 6850 - - 6381 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 91 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 54.9 - - 53.7 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.1 - - 29.5 - - 31.8 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 54.2 - - 53.8 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 28.9 - - 31.5 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 140 - - 2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 261 - - 2706 - - 3763 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 65 - - 101 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95441 38 247 50 284 47 273 54 277 95441 88592 28 299 33 289 31 289 35 297 88592 83262 36 318 21 291 25 302 32 306 83262 78775 31 310 23 306 28 310 33 309 78775 74852 29 303 27 313 28 313 31 310 74852 71348 32 290 32 305 27 307 30 312 71348 68149 32 275 34 293 26 296 35 300 68149 65186 31 269 30 277 27 279 34 279 65186 62427 35 277 31 275 28 271 30 266 62427 59733 41 262 36 273 32 278 31 264 59733 56898 42 247 40 256 39 268 35 251 56898 53934 42 248 46 243 45 252 40 242 53934 51093 50 252 52 241 53 247 49 238 51093 48535 59 250 59 239 61 240 53 237 48535 46246 63 246 64 237 64 237 57 243 46246 44173 63 237 70 236 70 240 70 241 44173 42291 60 230 71 230 83 233 76 232 42291 40571 58 234 65 226 86 223 86 222 40571 38982 64 247 66 233 75 222 89 213 38982 37502 74 243 77 234 76 226 88 217 37502 36120 84 239 87 224 80 231 88 218 36120 34801 90 238 85 219 84 231 99 222 34801 33480 93 234 91 219 79 225 115 225 33480 32124 93 230 99 219 80 219 116 223 32124 30727 90 226 96 222 91 209 111 219 30727 29273 89 224 93 221 94 208 105 216 29273 27746 87 224 87 220 86 209 98 213 27746 26148 81 227 79 222 77 210 92 210 26148 24477 73 230 76 223 71 212 88 206 24477 22740 64 227 72 224 68 215 84 206 22740 20944 61 222 63 221 70 220 78 209 20944 19083 60 218 59 219 64 221 66 216 19083 17151 53 219 53 218 54 215 56 220 17151 15184 45 228 47 220 48 216 52 225 15184 13294 43 238 44 226 46 227 49 230 13294 11581 45 236 47 228 44 236 42 236 11581 10065 47 231 49 226 39 237 35 244 10065 8721 47 225 48 225 37 237 32 245 8721 7525 45 222 44 228 33 234 31 236 7525 6460 41 220 40 232 27 225 28 224 6460 5514 33 218 35 232 22*221 26 224 5514 4678 25 220 29*227 21*222 24 231 4678 3937 20 238 22*218 21 224 23 239 3937 3272 20 250 19 216 20 226 21 246 3272 2681 18 245 19 215 19 227 20 250 2681 2186 14 232 18 215 18 229 17 253 2186 1805 11*222 17 215 17 230 14 252 1805 1542 9*214 16 215 15 230 11 250 1542 1383 8 211 15 216 13 232 8*249 1383 1292 6 208 12 216 10 232 4*248 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography