DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 71.1 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 91 - - 31 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5168 - - 4806 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4384 - - 3062 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6605 - - 6243 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4467 - - 5037 - - 5172 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 335 - - 244 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 209 - - 239 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 16 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -100 - - -220 - - -4126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6706 - - 6463 - - 5421 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1324 - - -1795 - - -6436 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7929 - - 8038 - - 7730 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 130 - - 150 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 71.1 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.6 - - 47.1 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.1 - - 71.0 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.3 - - 45.7 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 91 - - 31 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5168 - - 4806 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97718 12 174 9 255 5 307 97718 90356 3 204 4 238 3 330 90356 84684 4 290 1 034 3 275 84684 79971 6 271 2 283 8 228 79971 75893 6 273 6 238 9 228 75893 72275 6 242 8 215 12 249 72275 69010 11 239 9 259 20 247 69010 66003 24 247 28 263 25 252 66003 63190 31 247 33 255 28 261 63190 60464 30 250 35 250 38 267 60464 57639 34 256 43 262 47 263 57639 54713 48 260 54 257 47 257 54713 51917 59 256 57 255 51 255 51917 49399 65 252 53 260 53 262 49399 47154 61 262 73 270 68 270 47154 45148 81 267 81 264 86 268 45148 43342 86 262 83 268 97 261 43342 41691 87 264 97 268 100 256 41691 40159 98 264 103 265 100 257 40159 38721 102 260 103 266 101 258 38721 37362 103 256 101 268 98 260 37362 36046 102 255 99 271 94 263 36046 34707 97 256 95 274 91 265 34707 33316 93 258 93 274 91 268 33316 31877 90 259 93 273 89 269 31877 30374 86 261 93 272 84 267 30374 28797 82 262 93 270 80 267 28797 27145 77 263 90 271 75 270 27145 25419 74 266 81 274 70 275 25419 23624 68 272 69 273 63 277 23624 21768 56 267 60 269 55 280 21768 19845 51 260 54 264 45 279 19845 17846 50 257 48 257 42 269 17846 15805 50 258 48 259 43 263 15805 13837 47 260 40 262 37 265 13837 12052 33 251 27 256 29 272 12052 10469 28 243 23 248 23 271 10469 9064 26 241 22 248 16 261 9064 7813 22 233 20 246 12 255 7813 6698 18*222 19*245 12 258 6698 5707 17*215 18*244 12 265 5707 4832 16 212 16 242 13 274 4832 4056 16 210 15 240 14 280 4056 3359 15 208 13 238 15 285 3359 2741 15 207 11 235 15 288 2741 2225 14 207 10 235 15 291 2225 1828 14 206 9 233 14 293 1828 1554 13 206 9 233 12 294 1554 1388 12 206 8 232 9*296 1388 1293 10 205 6 231 4*298 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography