DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.8 - - 77.2 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 60 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2871 - - 3570 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2967 - - 2764 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4308 - - 5007 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1810 - - 3201 - - 1541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 311 - - 251 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 24 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 203 - - 200 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 21 - - 15 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -726 - - -350 - - -1189 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5034 - - 5357 - - 2483 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2673 - - -1332 - - -4504 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6981 - - 6339 - - 5798 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 86 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 830 - - 1060 - - 820 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.8 - - 77.2 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.2 - - 58.1 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.9 - - 76.9 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.3 - - 57.7 - - 60.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 60 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2871 - - 3570 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 9 - - 45 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95853 40 245 44 260 44 268 95853 88746 37 250 44 255 40 259 88746 83330 36 250 37 245 40 249 83330 78853 25 236 31 252 38 248 78853 75010 24 262 31 253 33 243 75010 71627 30 277 29 258 29 245 71627 68578 32 269 29 266 29 255 68578 65776 34 251 35 254 37 261 65776 63158 34 248 38 249 42 255 63158 60602 39 243 41 242 47 242 60602 57914 42 244 50 248 54 242 57914 55112 46 245 55 246 58 246 55112 52425 46 257 50 248 52 247 52425 49977 49 258 48 249 50 250 49977 47748 49 255 47 250 51 248 47748 45712 48 256 48 252 49 248 45712 43849 45 258 48 251 47 256 43849 42128 45 262 46 251 54 259 42128 40527 48 260 47 258 55 254 40527 39050 42 253 47 255 43 250 39050 37685 33 249 37 240 42 250 37685 36380 32 253 35 239 41 253 36380 35053 32 258 36 250 39 255 35053 33673 32 264 39 257 37 254 33673 32243 34 269 40 258 35 253 32243 30748 34 267 40 258 35 251 30748 29177 32 259 37 254 36 247 29177 27530 32 250 34 249 35 246 27530 25805 30 247 36 250 35 246 25805 24004 28 243 36 251 36 247 24004 22132 29 246 33 247 36 246 22132 20183 31 250 31 238 36 241 20183 18153 32 241 31 235 37 237 18153 16083 32 231 32 236 38 235 16083 14088 33 234 34 235 39 236 14088 12271 33 237 35 236 40 239 12271 10654 33 237 37 240 42 244 10654 9216 32 233 37 241 42 246 9216 7936 32 231 35 236 39 245 7936 6796 31 230 32 227 37 244 6796 5782 29 229 29*214 36 238 5782 4886 24*224 27*204 37 228 4886 4094 19*215 26 202 39 219 4094 3385 17 207 26 201 39 210 3385 2759 16 201 25 199 37 203 2759 2236 15 200 24 198 32 197 2236 1834 14 198 23 198 26 192 1834 1557 13 197 21 197 20 185 1557 1389 12 197 18 197 16*182 1389 1293 10 196 14 196 8*177 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography