DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.4 - - 75.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -17 - - -42 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2984 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4421 - - 1295 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2571 - - 6533 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 180 - - 23 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 239 - - 249 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 22 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 877 - - -1760 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3544 - - 3055 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1146 - - -3393 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5567 - - 4688 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 85 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 810 - - 860 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.4 - - 75.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.7 - - 66.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.0 - - 77.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.3 - - 64.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -17 - - -42 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2984 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 20 - - 39 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97598 32 258 31 256 97598 90359 28 243 28 254 90359 84766 21 238 29 251 84766 80105 14 260 21 243 80105 76092 11 244 12 245 76092 72544 6 239 11 269 72544 69326 10 257 14 241 69326 66377 10 266 12 221 66377 63659 12 254 18 230 63659 61061 20 257 18 245 61061 58369 25 253 23 273 58369 55555 36 237 36 255 55555 52873 44 234 50 227 52873 50485 49 230 63 220 50485 48347 55 224 68 215 48347 46386 57 220 75 212 46386 44567 60 219 78 208 44567 42869 63 214 77 208 42869 41271 63 210 76 209 41271 39762 64 210 76 212 39762 38338 68 213 78 213 38338 36963 69 214 82 211 36963 35569 69 213 81 212 35569 34125 72 210 72 218 34125 32635 74 208 66 227 32635 31084 67 214 64 230 31084 29457 58 227 64 230 29457 27753 57 235 65 231 27753 25973 59 233 67 231 25973 24124 63 230 68 232 24124 22216 64 227 65 234 22216 20247 60 227 61 235 20247 18206 53 229 55 234 18206 16129 48 232 48 233 16129 14128 45 234 47 235 14128 12307 42 234 46 236 12307 10689 40 233 41 238 10689 9252 40 233 37 242 9252 7972 39 239 34 247 7972 6832 34 248 31 251 6832 5820 31 249 30 252 5820 4923 30*248 28 253 4923 4128 27*244 26 253 4128 3414 24 240 25 253 3414 2780 23 238 23 252 2780 2251 22 237 21 251 2251 1843 20 236 18 250 1843 1563 18 235 14 249 1563 1392 15 234 11*249 1392 1294 11 233 7*249 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography