DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 32.9 - - 33.9 - - 29.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 78 - - 25 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1891 - - 1776 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3328 - - 3213 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1694 - - 1699 - - 1334 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 215 - - 144 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 197 - - 204 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 369 - - 204 - - -1031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2959 - - 3009 - - 2323 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 229 - - -61 - - -3824 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3099 - - 3274 - - 5116 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 98 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 32.9 - - 33.9 - - 29.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.7 - - 25.5 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 32.3 - - 33.8 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 24.6 - - 25.3 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 78 - - 25 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1891 - - 1776 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 85 - - 90 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95507 94 247 98 252 96 247 95507 88466 75 247 80 252 74 249 88466 82959 62 247 63 251 57 252 82959 78366 55 258 51 249 53 261 78366 74421 55 260 49 259 60 259 74421 70950 60 255 56 260 57 262 70950 67799 62 256 56 258 56 262 67799 64869 59 256 57 260 63 258 64869 62129 57 257 64 256 69 255 62129 59459 63 265 68 252 66 253 59459 56660 76 268 70 250 64 256 56660 53744 80 260 77 252 66 261 53744 50956 79 253 87 252 81 264 50956 48458 85 254 90 256 93 261 48458 46233 94 256 96 257 94 256 46233 44212 94 256 98 254 89 255 44212 42356 92 257 96 256 92 262 42356 40647 95 262 102 261 100 263 40647 39068 107 264 112 260 106 265 39068 37596 115 262 112 258 112 268 37596 36218 114 260 107 262 126 266 36218 34899 111 263 115 265 134 263 34899 33571 116 266 119 265 130 263 33571 32203 121 266 119 266 127 267 32203 30797 125 265 118 266 133 268 30797 29334 126 265 118 267 138 267 29334 27801 117 265 112 268 129 268 27801 26200 105 264 101 266 112 271 26200 24531 99 262 92 264 96 268 24531 22799 96 262 84 264 86 264 22799 21005 93 264 82 265 77 264 21005 19136 85 268 77 271 69 271 19136 17187 73 271 67 277 64 276 17187 15201 66 272 61 279 58 280 15201 13293 52 268 52 278 50 283 13293 11559 38 266 44 277 43 283 11559 10018 34 268 36 279 36 281 10018 8654 28 267 30 276 29 276 8654 7445 22 266 27 273 25 268 7445 6374 15 258 23 273 21 264 6374 5431 10 244 16 269 15 264 5431 4603 7 227 10 256 10 257 4603 3872 6*210 7*237 9 240 3872 3218 5*204 6*219 9 215 3218 2640 5 198 5 204 9 195 2640 2158 4 194 5 202 9 185 2158 1788 4 193 5 199 9 178 1788 1534 4 194 5 199 8 174 1534 1379 3 194 5 197 6*165 1379 1291 3 193 4 199 4*158 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography