DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.3 - - 34.6 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - -16 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4094 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2405 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5531 - - 1292 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 953 - - 4032 - - 2407 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 230 - - 20 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 37 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 262 - - 266 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 28 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2120 - - -2214 - - -1307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3411 - - 3506 - - 2599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 750 - - -2734 - - -14956 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4781 - - 4026 - - 16248 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 83 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.3 - - 34.6 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 29.7 - - 23.8 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 40.2 - - 35.1 - - 33.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 28.4 - - 22.7 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - -16 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4094 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96406 32 239 31 273 21 266 96406 89344 14 232 24 239 18 249 89344 83894 9 228 23 215 19 234 83894 79339 12 265 14 213 18 219 79339 75379 16 261 7 207 15 239 75379 71853 15 236 12 244 24 227 71853 68630 20 240 27 234 28 234 68630 65648 25 251 31 242 34 240 65648 62887 27 257 27 240 33 227 62887 60205 32 242 27 249 29 244 60205 57398 47 239 38 255 40 255 57398 54476 64 237 54 247 50 243 54476 51660 70 232 59 230 43 239 51660 49091 76 227 52 224 48 277 49091 46790 73 220 59 252 94 271 46790 44745 62 227 91 258 107 253 44745 42897 79 249 101 251 92 242 42897 41191 103 247 90 245 72 251 41191 39606 110 238 79 246 71 276 39606 38130 94 231 79 256 87 286 38130 36751 75 228 87 263 97 283 36751 35428 70 239 96 265 98 278 35428 34095 79 247 99 263 91 275 34095 32719 89 246 97 259 80 280 32719 31303 94 241 90 256 77 286 31303 29829 96 236 81 256 79 288 29829 28289 96 234 74 261 86 290 28289 26680 94 235 75 274 98 291 26680 24994 90 236 83 280 105 290 24994 23230 83 237 90 279 101 292 23230 21395 79 241 93 277 89 295 21395 19484 83 245 91 275 85 293 19484 17488 90 246 88 275 87 290 17488 15445 92 249 88 279 86 293 15445 13477 86 253 90 285 77 294 13477 11694 75 258 88 288 66 291 11694 10116 66 264 80 285 59 289 10116 8720 61 269 74 282 57 289 8720 7484 55 270 70 282 58 290 7484 6392 48*266 66 281 60 292 6392 5432 43*264 59 278 61 292 5432 4595 42 264 50 275 58 291 4595 3863 41 263 42 273 51 288 3863 3213 39 262 38 272 42 286 3213 2638 37 262 34 271 33 283 2638 2158 34 261 29 269 27 279 2158 1788 31 261 25 268 20 273 1788 1533 28 261 21 267 14 262 1533 1379 24 260 18*266 10*250 1379 1291 17 260 13*266 4*220 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography