DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.3 - - 88.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 91 - - 5 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6200 - - 5548 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5271 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7637 - - 6985 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1694 - - 3973 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 376 - - 199 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 216 - - 218 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 11 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 18 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 113 - - 83 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7525 - - 6902 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2744 - - -1873 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10381 - - 8858 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 95 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 230 - - 690 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.3 - - 88.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.6 - - 62.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.8 - - 88.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.3 - - 60.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 91 - - 5 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6200 - - 5548 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 65 - - 80 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98778 24 080 29 083 98778 91332 23 077 24 073 91332 85600 22 078 16 071 85600 80829 18 100 14 091 80829 76713 18 103 13 111 76713 73070 9 090 9 111 73070 69783 6 075 5 090 69783 66767 3 071 1 136 66767 63979 3 358 3 221 63979 61291 3 229 5 231 61291 58506 7 299 15 273 58506 55631 23 254 24 249 55631 52901 37 271 34 286 52901 50477 48 267 49 258 50477 48335 49 248 57 242 48335 46392 46 233 51 227 46392 44589 46 225 42 252 44589 42910 47 231 53 269 42910 41348 47 263 68 269 41348 39879 49 263 72 267 39879 38486 51 257 70 264 38486 37133 53 251 65 264 37133 35753 56 250 56 254 35753 34314 56 251 56 248 34314 32822 53 255 59 252 32822 31263 52 255 62 257 31263 29627 56 256 55 255 29627 27921 46 263 45 254 27921 26146 45 254 43 254 26146 24298 49 243 45 254 24298 22382 44 239 40 252 22382 20396 41 246 33 251 20396 18338 37 254 33 257 18338 16249 33 255 33 250 16249 14245 32 249 33 242 14245 12423 25 235 32 232 12423 10800 21 227 29 219 10800 9354 19 224 25 214 9354 8061 16*218 19*213 8061 6909 16*216 18*214 6909 5882 16 215 16 215 5882 4974 15 216 15 217 4974 4168 15 216 14 218 4168 3444 14 217 13 219 3444 2802 14 217 12 220 2802 2265 13 217 11 222 2265 1852 12 218 10 222 1852 1567 12 218 9 223 1567 1394 11 218 8 223 1394 1295 9 218 6 223 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography