DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 53.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 10 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4167 - - 3281 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3874 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5604 - - 4718 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2230 - - 3669 - - 5844 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 346 - - 157 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 320 - - 310 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 14 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 779 - - 47 - - -2480 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4826 - - 4672 - - 3773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -167 - - -1067 - - -3305 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5771 - - 5785 - - 4598 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 53.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.0 - - 37.8 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.8 - - 53.7 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.8 - - 36.7 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 10 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4167 - - 3281 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98232 8 153 4 183 7 235 98232 90802 5 176 4 286 4 322 90802 85053 2 158 10 245 8 303 85053 80283 13 260 7 233 4 310 80283 76164 13 248 7 241 7 272 76164 72531 7 184 12 201 7 244 72531 69247 12 256 6 215 5 322 69247 66212 10 218 14 248 15 269 66212 63401 2 288 15 256 15 283 63401 60682 11 270 18 250 19 270 60682 57828 9 263 14 242 22 262 57828 54859 18 290 18 273 22 268 54859 52019 28 283 26 278 22 270 52019 49454 34 273 28 279 22 291 49454 47149 36 268 32 280 34 298 47149 45065 34 263 35 275 42 288 45065 43163 32 269 35 275 39 277 43163 41406 34 270 36 280 35 291 41406 39776 36 277 43 284 39 302 39776 38256 43 281 46 285 41 303 38256 36833 44 277 44 285 40 303 36833 35469 41 277 41 292 39 306 35469 34098 40 281 43 301 41 311 34098 32695 39 281 46 304 45 315 32695 31261 38 281 48 306 49 316 31261 29780 40 280 49 309 50 314 29780 28234 40 277 47 311 48 313 28234 26621 39 276 43 315 46 313 26621 24940 35 274 41 315 43 312 24940 23192 30 270 39 312 40 308 23192 21377 25 266 38 308 36 304 21377 19487 25 264 34 301 33 305 19487 17514 24 269 30 297 31 308 17514 15499 23 279 28 297 29 311 15499 13554 22 280 27 292 28 314 13554 11785 20 290 25 289 26 319 11785 10219 19 302 21 300 24 323 10219 8836 18 308 19 306 28 326 8836 7614 16 312 20 306 35 320 7614 6530 16*314 20 307 33 315 6530 5568 16*316 20*308 31 313 5568 4719 16 318 19*309 27 310 4719 3966 15 319 19 309 23 307 3966 3292 15 321 19 310 21 306 3292 2694 15 322 18 310 19 306 2694 2194 14 322 18 311 18 306 2194 1810 14 323 17 311 16 306 1810 1545 13 324 16 311 14 306 1545 1384 12 324 13 311 11*305 1384 1292 9 324 10 311 7*305 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography