DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 60.2 - - 66.4 - - 65.0 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 104 - - 113 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 704 - - 1652 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 513 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 810 - - 1757 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 793 - - 1643 - - 3183 - - 288 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 169 - - 231 - - 10 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 056 - - 174 - - 158 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -6 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2400 - - -5286 - - -5161 - - -6254 - - -3390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2521 - - 6097 - - 6919 - - 6377 - - 3512 sfcLCL ODpotential -16033 - - -15750 - - -14113 - - -15300 - - -12873 ODpotential blCL 16154 - - 16560 - - 15870 - - 15422 - - 12995 blCL maxRH 48 - - 41 - - 71 - - 38 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 60.2 - - 66.4 - - 65.0 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 34.5 - - 36.8 - - 37.9 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 59.4 - - 65.4 - - 65.3 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 34.0 - - 36.4 - - 37.5 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 104 - - 113 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 704 - - 1652 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96565 20 302 37 279 35 295 26 293 27 294 96565 89637 13 310 30 288 26 293 16 303 19 281 89637 84261 15 277 26 279 24 274 17 298 18 297 84261 79725 17 274 16 263 24 259 28 275 21 289 79725 75775 23 268 8 280 15 253 24 255 26 280 75775 72279 19 244 16 284 10 297 12 230 22 271 72279 69094 17 245 24 261 20 285 12 261 12 240 69094 66133 23 244 30 236 29 254 21 274 17 266 66133 63379 23 230 28 226 31 248 32 259 25 268 63379 60714 21 247 25 228 31 237 34 249 30 266 60714 57942 28 254 19 229 31 234 37 247 30 254 57942 55079 33 262 23 242 28 237 37 253 30 258 55079 52339 34 268 42 263 43 259 52 258 46 262 52339 49871 53 276 55 260 54 261 62 259 59 252 49871 47680 70 265 60 265 63 267 78 267 69 253 47680 45714 65 273 67 275 98 270 114 270 86 262 45714 43919 76 288 90 281 116 269 123 266 107 266 43919 42261 96 291 110 281 119 269 112 265 118 263 42261 40710 101 289 113 279 116 268 112 266 120 259 40710 39250 97 285 106 278 107 270 112 264 124 257 39250 37871 92 282 98 276 91 269 105 264 119 255 37871 36533 88 280 91 272 67 264 99 265 111 253 36533 35170 82 284 85 273 61 265 91 265 104 252 35170 33749 76 289 76 275 68 268 73 267 96 251 33749 32270 66 294 70 280 77 266 60 258 92 249 32270 30715 56 294 64 281 76 261 57 252 88 246 30715 29071 50 291 57 274 65 257 63 255 84 245 29071 27338 51 285 46 266 46 255 68 258 79 242 27338 25516 43 287 34 272 30 258 67 258 72 239 25516 23621 30 302 30 278 29 257 63 256 60 234 23621 21664 29 298 26 273 36 241 57 252 52 230 21664 19624 22 284 22 263 31 230 40 245 46 223 19624 17488 13 271 22 255 25 229 31 232 39 217 17488 15309 11 259 20 255 20 234 27 225 29 210 15309 13209 11 270 18 255 19 239 22 221 17 196 13209 11297 8 288 12 257 16 235 18 223 15 164 11297 9599 3 336 7 215 14 216 16 212 16 157 9599 8099 3 143 9 186 14 215 16 206 12 178 8099 6776 4 162 7 183 10 212 12 197 11 193 6776 5608 5 174 6 191 8 215 9 179 9 198 5608 4579 5 185 5 203 8 230 7 174 7 207 4579 3677 2 212 3 216 8 238 7 191 5 223 3677 2886 2 340 1 358 7 233 8 195 4 255 2886 2181 6 002 5 021 6*210 9 183 3 282 2181 1561 12 004 9 024 5*186 10 166 3 283 1561 1045 14 009 8*028 5 175 10 160 3 279 1045 651 12 011 4*052 6 171 10 158 3 271 651 379 8 358 4 057 5 169 9 158 3 268 379 215 4*336 4 058 5 167 8*158 4*272 215 122 2*335 4 061 5 168 6*158 4*269 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography