DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.4 - - 42.9 - - 50.6 - - 54.2 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 48 - - 110 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 134 - - 597 - - 113 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 238 - - 701 - - 218 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 902 - - 811 - - 401 - - 1011 - - 239 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 75 - - 163 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 21 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 040 - - 158 - - 100 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -40 - - -84 - - -766 - - -1388 - - -419 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 160 - - 322 - - 1467 - - 1606 - - 540 sfcLCL ODpotential -33 - - 35 - - -10085 - - -8610 - - -11807 ODpotential blCL 153 - - 203 - - 10786 - - 8828 - - 11928 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.4 - - 42.9 - - 50.6 - - 54.2 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 42.3 - - 44.9 - - 47.9 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.5 - - 42.4 - - 49.9 - - 54.6 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 42.1 - - 44.6 - - 47.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 48 - - 110 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 134 - - 597 - - 113 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 56 - - 22 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96345 25 094 31 080 24 087 24 086 27 082 96345 89206 18 074 28 075 17 074 20 067 24 068 89206 83663 16 064 23 073 14 070 20 046 19 071 83663 79055 19 058 15 058 12 042 21 025 21 039 79055 75088 23 032 10 024 10 011 19 024 22 012 75088 71587 13 020 13 016 18 349 20 358 20 017 71587 68421 14 344 13 333 22 320 25 332 27 358 68421 65524 16 341 18 317 23 332 28 326 28 341 65524 62851 30 320 30 324 31 316 30 308 33 317 62851 60273 36 307 44 308 33 312 30 307 37 302 60273 57577 44 315 46 307 42 306 45 310 45 304 57577 54768 58 306 57 316 50 301 55 298 54 291 54768 52089 62 297 67 309 57 306 57 303 50 296 52089 49669 63 297 72 300 65 301 66 304 51 306 49669 47487 64 302 71 297 70 299 74 300 68 300 47487 45511 67 308 67 299 72 299 79 298 77 298 45511 43707 70 312 69 307 73 302 77 301 80 298 43707 42050 75 314 75 312 75 308 78 307 77 301 42050 40512 80 315 80 313 81 311 80 311 77 305 40512 39070 80 317 85 313 86 310 83 313 76 308 39070 37708 76 318 88 314 88 310 83 313 76 309 37708 36387 69 319 88 316 86 312 81 313 77 310 36387 35039 65 322 87 318 83 314 80 315 77 310 35039 33633 64 323 86 318 83 315 80 315 77 309 33633 32170 64 324 80 317 79 316 78 316 75 309 32170 30638 63 327 67 317 66 318 70 318 72 311 30638 29022 63 328 59 317 59 318 62 318 72 316 29022 27321 62 324 60 319 57 318 62 319 70 320 27321 25533 62 321 61 321 58 319 62 320 67 323 25533 23657 59 319 59 322 58 318 61 320 63 325 23657 21694 54 318 55 321 55 317 57 322 58 322 21694 19643 51 318 49 319 51 318 52 322 51 321 19643 17500 47 317 44 318 47 320 47 320 45 323 17500 15314 42 316 40 320 39 323 41 317 39 326 15314 13209 38 317 34 323 31 329 32 316 34 329 13209 11300 33 322 29 329 28 334 25 316 28 333 11300 9608 30 332 28 337 26 337 20 324 22 334 9608 8110 27 340 26 346 21 344 16 339 17 333 8110 6783 23 347 22 354 17 358 15 358 13 336 6783 5608 18 352 17 001 13 010 15 006 10 348 5608 4572 13 357 12 005 8 007 13 005 9 353 4572 3663 10 004 12 003 6 351 11 358 10 358 3663 2865 8 019 12 357 7 346 10 352 11 000 2865 2157 7 011 7 341 8 344 9 346 9 357 2157 1537 7 345 8 336 6 322 6 342 6 344 1537 1026 6 343 7 352 3*294 3 001 2 335 1026 638 5 342 5 027 1*180 1 068 1 135 638 373 4 338 4*037 1 156 1*089 3 170 373 212 3 330 4*039 2 153 1*095 3*176 212 121 2*328 4 040 1 149 1 103 3*177 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography