DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 53.5 - - 51.7 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 52 - - 11 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 1438 - - 1166 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 665 - - 1543 - - 1270 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2450 - - 3033 - - 2503 - - 1311 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 179 - - 110 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 080 - - 073 - - 004 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 305 - - 830 - - 476 - - -202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 360 - - 714 - - 794 - - 323 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 32 - - 195 - - -56 - - -1654 ODpotential blCL - - - 633 - - 1348 - - 1326 - - 1775 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 260 - - 140 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 53.5 - - 51.7 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 50.4 - - 48.2 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 53.0 - - 51.5 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 49.3 - - 47.4 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 52 - - 11 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 1438 - - 1166 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 97 - - 95 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96673 30 086 27 102 32 101 38 115 96673 89525 28 108 21 118 24 109 30 106 89525 83971 20 106 16 107 13 106 16 082 83971 79344 10 119 4 074 10 112 8 083 79344 75339 6 176 4 167 6 158 6 270 75339 71773 7 185 7 178 4 186 11 201 71773 68504 11 227 12 211 12 249 9 216 68504 65463 18 223 15 230 17 246 14 245 65463 62624 19 221 21 255 22 244 22 241 62624 59861 19 227 24 246 19 242 26 248 59861 56966 24 241 27 250 26 258 30 254 56966 53944 29 252 35 241 35 252 33 258 53944 51044 35 244 38 236 39 249 37 260 51044 48429 35 229 37 241 42 249 38 260 48429 46088 35 230 40 247 44 247 38 261 46088 43974 37 238 43 245 42 248 38 264 43974 42045 41 239 43 241 42 252 42 266 42045 40269 47 237 48 239 48 254 43 263 40269 38622 54 233 52 232 50 251 42 265 38622 37089 60 231 53 224 46 243 44 262 37089 35659 63 232 50 220 45 238 44 260 35659 34293 72 231 52 221 44 231 50 259 34293 32922 86 223 61 216 44 224 51 249 32922 31526 93 216 72 207 53 205 43 243 31526 30116 88 207 79 198 60 186 36 236 30116 28675 71 206 75 196 47 188 31 215 28675 27174 63 208 65 195 35 191 26 193 27174 25598 58 206 57 191 30 191 28 209 25598 23941 53 203 47 186 24 188 28 223 23941 22205 48 199 38 194 20 178 28 233 22205 20392 44 198 34 211 15 163 25 243 20392 18496 40 209 27 201 11 161 23 253 18496 16513 31 212 19 180 7 170 24 265 16513 14487 28 196 13 164 2 204 26 279 14487 12535 25 182 11 108 8 357 26 294 12535 10759 13 144 7 084 20 346 21 305 10759 9182 8 103 3 081 19 358 19 318 9182 7781 5 096 4 069 20 000 19 326 7781 6536 5 076 5 088 25 351 19 333 6536 5430 5 075 6 110 27 350 21 334 5430 4449 5 076 8 114 28 351 22 332 4449 3583 5 076 8 111 26 356 21 327 3583 2819 6 089 8 104 23 002 20 319 2819 2134 8 098 8*094 20 005 18 307 2134 1530 9 096 9*082 17*005 15 290 1530 1026 10*091 9 074 15*004 12 265 1026 639 9*084 9 071 14 004 10 234 639 374 8 081 8 070 13 004 9 211 374 213 8 077 8 069 11 003 7 205 213 121 6 075 7 069 9 002 4*202 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography