DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 61.7 - - 61.9 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 6 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 328 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 434 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 311 - - 713 - - 865 - - 161 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 75 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 008 - - 336 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1734 - - -2805 - - -1869 - - -1756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1855 - - 3239 - - 1991 - - 1877 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15409 - - -13156 - - -11398 - - -13987 ODpotential blCL - - - 15530 - - 13590 - - 11520 - - 14108 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 56 - - 60 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 61.7 - - 61.9 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 48.3 - - 53.8 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 61.7 - - 63.7 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 47.1 - - 52.5 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 6 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 328 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96562 38 089 33 086 35 086 41 097 96562 89537 41 090 25 097 37 085 36 088 89537 84076 32 095 26 096 23 086 29 082 84076 79539 22 115 22 090 14 089 22 081 79539 75597 19 107 21 092 13 103 12 069 75597 72080 21 083 18 097 11 097 12 057 72080 68885 13 067 12 084 11 078 8 064 68885 65948 6 057 9 052 17 058 17 072 65948 63241 7 074 6 051 17 043 18 061 63241 60630 12 059 4 033 13 016 12 021 60630 57913 17 021 11 001 10 357 13 328 57913 55104 18 350 19 346 16 337 20 321 55104 52425 14 322 19 325 23 328 22 328 52425 50009 8 310 15 305 25 322 26 331 50009 47830 7 335 9 305 19 304 28 329 47830 45836 11 010 7 351 14 293 25 317 45836 43993 11 023 9 359 12 292 23 308 43993 42277 12 011 12 008 12 342 20 317 42277 40690 14 329 17 354 20 009 16 357 40690 39228 25 229 20 259 22 329 20 349 39228 37865 13 242 14 254 17 286 15 310 37865 36547 16 258 15 275 14 302 15 324 36547 35202 18 250 17 265 16 289 15 309 35202 33799 12 253 13 265 16 282 14 313 33799 32342 7 251 9 252 12 285 10 324 32342 30813 8 247 8 257 10 282 12 346 30813 29200 10 255 10 280 12 298 17 355 29200 27501 11 256 11 289 15 318 23 360 27501 25716 8 270 10 313 18 335 21 014 25716 23848 8 321 11 358 18 003 17 034 23848 21895 12 008 13 038 14 035 18 039 21895 19850 12 029 12 049 15 052 16 038 19850 17710 11 044 13 059 16 052 16 063 17710 15520 12 051 15 071 17 074 19 090 15520 13403 14 057 17 081 16 088 22 099 13403 11474 15 079 15 094 16 099 19 100 11474 9761 16 103 15 112 14 106 17 103 9761 8244 15 118 13 117 13 111 15 107 8244 6899 12 126 12 113 14 111 14 107 6899 5709 13 124 14 112 15 108 13 099 5709 4659 12 117 13 112 13 100 12 087 4659 3737 9 089 9 104 10 078 11 071 3737 2927 12 045 7 060 12 046 12 054 2927 2207 18 020 16 013 18 020 15 035 2207 1575 22 011 22 007 25 008 24 016 1575 1051 21 008 19 007 22 004 30 005 1051 652 16 000 11*006 13 001 24 357 652 379 9 343 8*007 7 357 14 344 379 215 6*328 7 009 5 353 9 335 215 121 4*328 6 009 2*336 5*326 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography