DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.7 - - 61.9 - - 69.1 - - 69.5 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 0 - - 7 - - -1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 111 - - 888 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 216 - - 994 - - 123 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 110 - - 888 - - 1083 - - 2205 - - 615 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 44 - - 109 - - 6 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 15 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 311 - - 353 - - 349 - - 248 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -610 - - -1819 - - -1981 - - -2898 - - -409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 732 - - 2035 - - 2975 - - 3021 - - 531 sfcLCL ODpotential -8347 - - -7197 - - -6375 - - -6038 - - -4585 ODpotential blCL 8468 - - 7413 - - 7369 - - 6161 - - 4707 blCL maxRH 71 - - 67 - - 74 - - 56 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.7 - - 61.9 - - 69.1 - - 69.5 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 53.4 - - 56.3 - - 56.5 - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 62.1 - - 69.2 - - 71.1 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 52.1 - - 55.1 - - 55.4 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 0 - - 7 - - -1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 111 - - 888 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96569 33 080 26 072 29 075 38 074 27 094 96569 89558 38 078 32 081 31 080 34 085 32 083 89558 84063 24 078 28 091 22 089 21 078 24 084 84063 79473 16 073 20 096 12 088 15 057 14 075 79473 75513 9 062 12 092 6 090 6 047 12 065 75513 72000 7 042 8 114 4 117 3 215 9 031 72000 68817 4 023 6 080 8 096 2 152 3 064 68817 65890 7 195 1 163 2 166 2 222 2 089 65890 63161 5 198 4 146 9 213 6 207 6 226 63161 60502 12 204 4 234 9 212 8 215 7 194 60502 57722 20 201 16 203 14 209 18 208 18 203 57722 54824 21 204 25 189 25 204 26 197 23 196 54824 52033 23 194 28 178 30 190 30 189 30 189 52033 49503 20 180 23 168 28 172 30 174 26 172 49503 47232 18 173 20 162 26 162 26 166 19 158 47232 45172 26 168 32 168 26 162 20 167 17 164 45172 43299 33 160 38 150 29 158 25 166 19 154 43299 41587 34 162 30 138 30 148 29 159 16 148 41587 40008 36 170 31 167 36 158 31 148 18 146 40008 38558 34 182 50 169 35 148 22 128 32 141 38558 37220 45 197 46 154 25 129 10 119 29 131 37220 35928 68 193 28 153 24 152 11 157 25 118 35928 34604 86 190 44 196 31 178 15 145 25 114 34604 33221 89 189 49 189 32 169 21 136 26 114 33221 31780 79 191 46 180 36 157 26 128 28 116 31780 30266 64 190 43 176 38 157 24 127 28 119 30266 28666 57 185 39 177 37 161 17 116 25 120 28666 26982 56 186 37 176 41 161 15 127 23 115 26982 25214 42 194 31 196 35 153 17 127 23 114 25214 23364 24 183 22 189 19 143 16 102 23 114 23364 21434 22 170 22 163 6 105 17 103 18 108 21434 19421 24 170 23 160 10 122 18 118 13 096 19421 17324 29 159 18 114 14 148 14 126 11 078 17324 15186 26 142 20 098 18 148 10 127 9 040 15186 13128 28 131 27 106 20 141 14 152 6 015 13128 11261 27 136 27 111 18 145 17 168 4 280 11261 9601 22 138 23 118 14 160 16 188 5 283 9601 8122 19 134 14 110 9 122 12 197 3 336 8122 6806 13 132 12 064 10 082 4 219 3 089 6806 5640 10 100 14 054 11 064 3 040 2 091 5640 4611 10 070 13 043 12 047 8 034 4 077 4611 3706 10 058 14 024 15 026 11 025 4 076 3706 2911 10 033 17 010 19 009 16 017 4 149 2911 2201 18 014 21 360 25 003 18 010 11 190 2201 1575 23 006 27 002 26 356 15 007 16 197 1575 1054 21 001 26 360 23*353 10 005 17 201 1054 655 17 351 20 356 18*350 6 358 16 196 655 382 11 331 15*354 16 349 3 345 13 181 382 216 7 315 13*353 14 348 2*309 10 173 216 122 5*311 10 353 11 347 1*248 7*166 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography