DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/08 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.5 - - 45.5 - - 51.0 - - 50.7 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 7 - - 55 - - -12 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1685 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 121 - - 1789 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 240 - - 1693 - - 2431 - - 3944 - - 225 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 27 - - 201 - - 21 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 14 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 345 - - 001 - - 349 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1345 - - -3049 - - -1210 - - -2128 - - -588 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1465 - - 3170 - - 2999 - - 2250 - - 709 sfcLCL ODpotential -7057 - - -6001 - - -3775 - - -3284 - - -3666 ODpotential blCL 7177 - - 6122 - - 5564 - - 3405 - - 3787 blCL maxRH 58 - - 53 - - 60 - - 62 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.5 - - 45.5 - - 51.0 - - 50.7 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 32.6 - - 38.7 - - 41.7 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 45.5 - - 50.7 - - 51.2 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.2 - - 31.4 - - 37.4 - - 40.5 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 7 - - 55 - - -12 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1685 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97271 11 082 25 036 28 046 37 052 31 074 97271 90240 23 068 31 074 33 065 39 065 36 082 90240 84663 18 059 33 080 28 077 33 074 33 085 84663 79963 10 054 24 069 27 072 28 076 27 084 79963 75885 13 057 18 062 20 060 23 074 23 082 75885 72280 11 016 16 061 9 064 18 053 17 056 72280 69031 8 336 7 023 7 023 12 028 12 010 69031 66041 16 254 11 313 11 322 12 000 11 351 66041 63259 18 257 19 283 17 289 19 300 16 304 63259 60563 25 279 20 275 22 264 26 283 21 286 60563 57740 33 281 27 281 28 269 31 278 26 282 57740 54804 44 273 39 276 38 272 38 279 36 281 54804 52000 54 267 50 273 50 271 47 278 45 281 52000 49473 61 267 59 270 60 267 55 273 54 280 49473 47202 68 268 65 268 66 265 58 270 59 278 47202 45138 79 267 67 267 68 263 59 266 64 272 45138 43247 84 265 68 268 68 263 57 267 64 266 43247 41503 83 266 70 271 66 266 56 273 61 264 41503 39886 83 268 73 272 64 270 55 275 58 267 39886 38385 86 268 76 270 63 273 52 278 54 267 38385 36984 84 269 74 270 61 274 50 280 48 274 36984 35647 82 271 69 272 56 274 45 280 43 280 35647 34304 81 272 61 272 49 277 39 290 32 290 34304 32916 77 277 56 280 45 285 41 298 30 302 32916 31476 75 280 57 285 47 287 41 300 29 315 31476 29967 71 280 59 286 48 286 39 302 31 322 29967 28375 70 282 59 286 46 287 38 302 32 324 28375 26701 72 283 57 288 39 290 37 297 32 323 26701 24942 74 285 56 292 37 299 34 297 32 320 24942 23099 71 285 56 297 37 309 33 307 30 316 23099 21177 70 285 55 304 38 315 33 316 28 314 21177 19170 68 287 52 306 37 321 32 322 28 309 19170 17071 60 291 50 305 36 322 31 329 29 307 17071 14922 48 293 44 305 36 318 28 333 29 312 14922 12852 36 294 35 305 33 319 25 333 24 325 12852 10981 28 296 25 312 25 325 23 338 18 348 10981 9337 23 304 19 332 13 335 18 352 15 016 9337 7889 18 317 18 352 12 010 16 009 14 036 7889 6609 15 338 18 358 15 019 18 015 11 042 6609 5476 15 357 16 001 16 016 18 012 10 024 5476 4476 14 005 15 007 17 009 18 005 13 004 4476 3599 14 006 16 010 18 005 19 000 19 003 3599 2826 17 006 18 010 19 003 20 360 24 002 2826 2138 23 006 21 005 18*002 18 359 26 358 2138 1530 30 004 21 359 16*001 16 355 25 355 1530 1025 29 001 20 357 14 001 14 353 22 352 1025 638 20 354 14 350 13 001 13 352 17 346 638 373 13 342 11 346 13 001 11 351 12 332 373 212 9*332 10*346 12 001 10 350 9*324 212 121 4*315 8*345 10 001 7*349 5*314 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography