DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 52.7 - - 52.9 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 90 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 982 - - 1045 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1087 - - 1150 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 594 - - 680 - - 1649 - - 529 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 188 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 033 - - 018 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -40 - - -983 - - -1937 - - -570 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1127 - - 2133 - - 2058 - - 691 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13475 - - -13188 - - -13448 - - -13339 ODpotential blCL - - - 14562 - - 14338 - - 13569 - - 13460 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 80 - - 71 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 52.7 - - 52.9 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 44.0 - - 44.6 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 51.9 - - 53.5 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 42.9 - - 43.3 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 90 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 982 - - 1045 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 21 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97123 55 095 67 093 58 085 65 091 97123 89963 63 091 65 098 59 088 62 088 89963 84406 63 094 59 097 54 097 53 086 84406 79751 60 094 48 097 44 096 41 086 79751 75698 49 090 43 094 37 095 37 080 75698 72074 40 093 35 089 31 093 32 072 72074 68762 34 093 27 084 24 085 28 063 68762 65718 25 088 16 076 18 066 19 051 65718 62926 20 072 12 059 16 056 9 045 62926 60238 15 048 12 041 19 043 8 063 60238 57446 14 025 13 025 18 023 16 016 57446 54573 13 021 15 015 16 360 17 342 54573 51863 20 360 23 360 18 348 19 329 51863 49450 22 349 25 342 30 334 22 330 49450 47309 19 360 22 328 34 318 30 316 47309 45394 21 014 23 339 38 317 39 308 45394 43655 30 009 29 340 42 320 40 313 43655 42043 31 359 33 337 48 327 56 322 42043 40531 34 357 35 334 50 327 54 316 40531 39103 35 359 38 331 44 324 47 309 39103 37747 35 001 41 330 43 328 43 306 37747 36426 37 359 43 330 44 332 46 317 36426 35074 40 358 41 334 41 331 49 322 35074 33663 39 360 38 338 38 333 44 320 33663 32194 37 360 35 342 37 338 36 319 32194 30652 35 358 34 346 36 347 31 325 30652 29024 33 360 34 349 34 351 26 334 29024 27310 30 003 32 344 27 343 19 327 27310 25513 24 000 27 341 26 338 22 305 25513 23635 21 354 23 341 25 334 26 312 23635 21676 21 001 21 339 23 336 24 317 21676 19629 22 012 17 342 21 338 21 326 19629 17486 24 020 16 000 18 335 20 335 17486 15291 22 024 15 018 15 337 20 344 15291 13172 19 021 14 025 11 002 17 348 13172 11245 16 028 14 030 10 021 13 010 11245 9540 10 043 9 037 10 033 11 037 9540 8038 5 074 5 046 5 058 5 069 8038 6716 5 113 4 102 6 131 5 152 6716 5550 9 109 7 136 8 155 7 142 5550 4526 11 083 8 132 8 154 8 126 4526 3630 13 065 7 108 8 141 8 129 3630 2844 14 037 7 057 5 119 6 135 2844 2146 13 018 11 019 8 035 9 045 2146 1534 8*359 8*014 7 015 12 020 1534 1027 4*335 4*028 3 007 11 359 1027 640 2 332 4 031 2 010 6 349 640 374 2 336 4 036 2 016 4 321 374 213 2 341 3 037 2 016 4 293 213 121 1 344 3 036 1*018 3*289 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography