DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 76.7 - - 76.7 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 243 - - 36 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2181 - - 4972 - - 6857 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1205 - - 3411 - - 2796 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2286 - - 5078 - - 6963 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1138 - - 4583 - - 4595 - - 169 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 432 - - 256 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 12 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 352 - - 005 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7881 - - -6526 - - -4414 - - -7491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10167 - - 11604 - - 11377 - - 7613 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15144 - - -11081 - - -6731 - - -10976 ODpotential blCL - - - 17430 - - 16159 - - 13694 - - 11098 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 67 - - 49 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 76.7 - - 76.7 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.9 - - 25.2 - - 26.3 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 75.3 - - 76.2 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.3 - - 24.5 - - 25.7 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 243 - - 36 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2181 - - 4972 - - 6857 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97892 10 244 13 279 16 299 15 298 97892 90617 9 274 4 325 5 259 9 290 90617 84998 8 184 5 273 3 295 4 156 84998 80329 4 073 12 214 11 314 6 058 80329 76298 5 330 9 177 8 271 5 030 76298 72734 1 246 0 317 10 235 9 287 72734 69524 4 353 6 297 7 233 9 257 69524 66582 8 320 7 229 10 212 10 238 66582 63857 2 211 7 196 12 192 12 237 63857 61217 7 336 3 266 6 209 20 219 61217 58437 15 291 11 232 8 256 12 195 58437 55533 17 282 10 241 13 243 10 262 55533 52769 20 276 18 272 14 256 19 247 52769 50287 19 294 15 278 11 273 16 227 50287 48042 33 276 32 283 26 292 12 278 48042 45978 37 264 42 264 37 274 21 291 45978 44068 37 274 42 260 42 265 29 278 44068 42296 43 283 36 265 41 258 31 267 42296 40642 48 285 34 275 33 258 24 271 40642 39086 49 284 36 276 31 270 25 285 39086 37616 46 279 37 272 34 269 31 282 37616 36193 42 273 34 274 34 259 29 276 36193 34749 36 277 29 281 25 266 23 294 34749 33253 35 289 28 295 21 301 23 325 33253 31709 37 282 31 303 26 313 33 347 31709 30106 39 263 31 300 26 313 40 356 30106 28440 30 255 31 294 25 326 43 002 28440 26711 23 277 29 293 29 338 43 006 26711 24920 27 287 27 295 26 335 45 009 24920 23062 27 283 25 294 21 323 46 010 23062 21136 27 275 22 295 17 321 43 009 21136 19137 24 270 19 300 15 324 32 002 19137 17062 22 260 16 296 10 313 21 352 17062 14957 19 250 14 278 7 308 12 347 14957 12939 10 261 10 270 6 331 13 359 12939 11112 7 283 6 273 8 342 17 346 11112 9491 4 322 5 265 11 333 15 351 9491 8048 4 036 6 281 8*339 10 010 8048 6763 9 022 8 292 6*355 7 006 6763 5618 12 015 8*313 5 360 7 003 5618 4603 13 007 10*340 4 004 5 356 4603 3707 17 003 12 349 4 007 4 349 3707 2915 24*360 13 353 3 009 2 319 2915 2207 25*358 13 354 3 010 3 271 2207 1581 25 358 13 354 3 012 4 242 1581 1059 25 358 13 354 2 012 6 233 1059 658 24 358 13 354 2 012 8 227 658 383 22 359 12 354 2 012 8 223 383 217 20 358 12 354 2 014 6*221 217 122 15 358 10 354 2 012 5*221 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography