DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 68.7 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 243 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2436 - - 3474 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1237 - - 2307 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2541 - - 3580 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1888 - - 2748 - - - - - 3949 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 392 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 30 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 264 - - - - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -13 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 665 - - -337 - - - - - -2525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1876 - - 3917 - - - - - 2647 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 319 - - -1504 - - - - - -4242 ODpotential blCL - - - 2222 - - 5084 - - - - - 4364 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 78 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 410 - - - - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 68.7 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.2 - - 51.8 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.3 - - 67.1 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 50.6 - - - - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 243 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2436 - - 3474 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 11 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98615 7 118 13 088 4 124 98615 91139 13 143 3 080 15 105 91139 85403 16 107 13 139 18 087 85403 80647 11 117 18 117 16 085 80647 76549 12 125 18 100 11 070 76549 72943 11 135 12 125 7 105 72943 69676 15 145 13 156 10 138 69676 66646 13 167 10 172 10 136 66646 63812 16 170 12 178 12 182 63812 61054 12 170 12 190 11 200 61054 58175 8 179 14 217 13 209 58175 55184 6 206 14 214 9 187 55184 52328 9 244 1 142 7 292 52328 49765 5 197 6 359 8 282 49765 47467 9 058 8 347 9 339 47467 45380 13 011 9 351 16 353 45380 43473 11 354 12 347 17 348 43473 41713 13 019 8 348 13 008 41713 40077 25 019 13 038 29 008 40077 38556 32 001 23 028 33 358 38556 37128 25 355 27 011 33 358 37128 35755 18 013 23 001 35 008 35755 34378 17 027 20 007 45 019 34378 32975 21 032 20 021 75 030 32975 31534 26 036 22 025 84 028 31534 30026 25 040 15 043 78 030 30026 28439 18 048 20 071 67 029 28439 26773 15 065 25 076 61 033 26773 25023 17 078 26 075 56 036 25023 23194 20 076 27 079 51 028 23194 21286 20 067 30 083 50 041 21286 19291 19 067 28 078 42 054 19291 17208 17 072 22 064 27 036 17208 15088 17 073 18 055 25 010 15088 13048 16 079 17 059 23 018 13048 11195 16 094 15 077 18 027 11195 9548 17 102 13 085 15 016 9548 8085 15 109 11 077 13 016 8085 6785 13 122 9 066 11 011 6785 5631 12 129 6 058 9 340 5631 4610 10 117 2 028 7 304 4610 3711 8 094 2*292 6 269 3711 2917 7*082 2*274 6 241 2917 2208 6*063 2 269 7 218 2208 1582 5 057 2 265 7 197 1582 1060 5 053 2 261 8 188 1060 660 5 050 3 262 8 181 660 385 5 047 2 258 8 176 385 218 4 046 2 258 6 171 218 122 4 046 2 257 5*166 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography