DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 80.9 - - 82.5 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 166 - - 47 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2081 - - 3833 - - 1918 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1109 - - 2442 - - 107 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2187 - - 3940 - - 2024 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1674 - - 2792 - - 6305 - - 7872 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 367 - - 205 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 15 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 351 - - 050 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -23 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4816 - - -4384 - - -6901 - - -6209 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7003 - - 8324 - - 8925 - - 6333 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11915 - - -10632 - - -12133 - - -8523 ODpotential blCL - - - 14102 - - 14572 - - 14157 - - 8646 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 77 - - 79 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 80.9 - - 82.5 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 44.6 - - 43.7 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.0 - - 79.8 - - 82.1 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 43.4 - - 42.4 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 166 - - 47 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2081 - - 3833 - - 1918 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 10 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98674 16 107 10 073 20 091 20 089 98674 91210 12 091 13 095 11 092 14 088 91210 85493 12 098 7 129 13 091 12 084 85493 80751 12 127 11 159 6 072 16 076 80751 76641 16 137 10 145 8 099 13 075 76641 72996 9 106 8 137 12 117 14 110 72996 69693 4 218 3 171 9 130 9 108 69693 66662 4 176 11 238 5 195 1 141 66662 63857 2 238 14 247 11 260 5 262 63857 61141 10 250 16 225 17 249 13 271 61141 58306 19 270 14 241 17 254 18 266 58306 55353 29 275 24 269 25 275 21 272 55353 52536 30 270 30 268 29 279 24 282 52536 50002 27 271 30 268 32 287 29 286 50002 47740 30 279 32 277 35 295 30 288 47740 45717 34 279 36 287 48 316 36 332 45717 43898 31 274 42 297 53 307 69 333 43898 42238 51 329 40 302 39 316 62 326 42238 40706 51 334 47 340 50 338 53 331 40706 39267 42 337 84 349 57 339 53 329 39267 37901 52 344 78 347 61 338 45 317 37901 36567 46 334 61 335 63 338 44 308 36567 35203 44 327 57 322 61 337 42 308 35203 33777 45 323 48 313 55 332 36 309 33777 32293 40 325 44 309 48 325 35 307 32293 30736 33 322 47 303 45 321 36 301 30736 29093 35 314 46 295 44 315 33 297 29093 27363 39 309 44 292 45 306 27 297 27363 25546 39 304 35 293 41 297 27 293 25546 23646 34 298 32 284 39 285 31 298 23646 21671 28 291 33 278 39 276 28 303 21671 19621 23 290 31 278 36 274 26 291 19621 17494 18 303 26 282 29 273 25 270 17494 15335 14 312 19 279 23 278 19 263 15335 13262 13 311 14 276 19 284 14 276 13262 11378 12 313 11 288 12 296 10 299 11378 9707 11 313 8 296 8 302 5 328 9707 8225 9 304 7 302 10 274 3 313 8225 6909 6 292 9 306 11 270 4 262 6909 5738 3 271 8 311 10 272 4 248 5738 4701 2 004 7*318 7 279 4 232 4701 3785 6 007 6*326 4 301 4 221 3785 2976 12 001 5 341 3 004 4 214 2976 2253 14*000 5 352 4*044 3 207 2253 1614 14*001 4 358 5*050 3 203 1614 1081 14 001 4 000 5 051 2 201 1081 672 13 001 4 002 5 050 1 199 672 391 12 002 4 004 4 049 1 187 391 221 11 001 4 002 4 050 0*155 221 123 10 001 3 003 4 047 0*116 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography