DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.9 - - 61.5 - - 69.9 - - 69.6 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 103 - - 197 - - 24 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 685 - - 5269 - - 5022 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 3519 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 790 - - 5375 - - 5128 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 193 - - 1198 - - 1799 - - 1799 - - 349 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 168 - - 409 - - 201 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 15 - - 23 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 292 - - 336 - - 282 - - 289 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - 3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1020 - - -3114 - - -412 - - -1435 - - -3244 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1141 - - 3904 - - 5787 - - 6563 - - 3366 sfcLCL ODpotential -12860 - - -6550 - - -706 - - -9066 - - -12400 ODpotential blCL 12981 - - 7340 - - 6081 - - 14194 - - 12522 blCL maxRH 65 - - 66 - - 81 - - 72 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.9 - - 61.5 - - 69.9 - - 69.6 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.7 - - 45.1 - - 45.0 - - 41.3 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 60.8 - - 68.4 - - 69.2 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.8 - - 44.5 - - 44.6 - - 41.0 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 103 - - 197 - - 24 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 685 - - 5269 - - 5022 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97066 15 283 15 282 15 283 16 277 18 301 97066 89837 5 224 12 261 14 310 9 321 3 349 89837 84268 4 078 6 233 12 287 11 319 4 054 84268 79656 5 026 2 144 8 303 7 325 6 348 79656 75684 6 342 3 034 7 273 7 274 8 302 75684 72161 10 292 6 009 3 215 7 250 7 277 72161 68951 15 269 13 272 11 264 10 254 6 261 68951 65974 9 248 10 235 13 254 14 258 10 288 65974 63201 7 260 9 261 17 262 19 262 20 279 63201 60515 18 283 16 269 17 257 19 269 22 268 60515 57702 13 275 13 257 14 257 17 256 17 266 57702 54768 13 274 18 293 13 268 19 279 20 288 54768 51976 28 276 26 290 24 290 30 278 26 285 51976 49484 31 273 30 285 33 297 29 290 31 289 49484 47275 26 286 30 289 37 294 32 303 34 294 47275 45301 24 306 33 297 36 295 40 309 39 301 45301 43514 33 318 42 312 45 304 49 308 45 304 43514 41875 47 317 52 318 52 305 55 308 47 310 41875 40356 52 319 57 318 58 308 58 315 48 315 40356 38932 54 325 58 315 63 310 58 319 48 315 38932 37583 58 329 57 312 63 311 54 319 46 313 37583 36270 60 330 55 309 60 312 49 321 44 312 36270 34928 62 327 53 307 56 312 47 323 43 311 34928 33529 62 322 51 307 52 312 45 325 42 311 33529 32074 60 317 51 307 48 315 43 325 40 309 32074 30546 57 313 51 307 46 320 41 325 38 306 30546 28933 55 307 51 309 45 323 40 322 37 303 28933 27235 53 304 50 309 45 322 41 319 37 302 27235 25452 50 300 47 307 46 319 41 318 38 304 25452 23585 49 294 45 305 46 317 39 317 38 307 23585 21635 49 291 43 305 43 318 37 316 37 307 21635 19595 49 290 40 300 39 314 35 315 35 306 19595 17461 46 290 39 294 37 307 33 312 33 304 17461 15279 42 289 39 290 37 302 34 309 31 303 15279 13175 38 279 36 284 36 296 34 308 30 307 13175 11263 36 266 32 275 33 289 31 307 24 311 11263 9573 32 259 26 271 26 281 21 306 13 308 9573 8085 24 254 18 261 14 260 9 296 6 266 8085 6774 17 261 12 252 9 240 4 254 5 236 6774 5618 11 275 8 287 6*280 2*298 4 193 5618 4598 7 302 8 309 6*279 2*309 4 151 4598 3700 9 334 10 320 6 280 2 307 3 130 3700 2908 13 347 11 324 5 282 2 298 3 117 2908 2199 17 352 11 327 5 282 2 289 0 084 2199 1574 18 357 9 322 5 284 2 282 2 297 1574 1054 12 353 7*318 4 283 2 275 6 285 1054 655 9 326 4*325 4 285 2 273 8 275 655 382 8 314 3 338 4 284 2 272 8 262 382 216 7 299 3 342 4 285 2 265 6*248 216 122 4*292 2 342 3 285 1 269 4*238 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography