DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 58.0 - - 67.0 - - 68.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 72 - - 158 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 1733 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 830 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 474 - - 1839 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 130 - - 552 - - 1399 - - 5116 - - 1673 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 121 - - 263 - - 10 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 21 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 280 - - 140 - - 174 - - 187 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -6 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1084 - - -2894 - - -1923 - - -2927 - - -1107 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1205 - - 3368 - - 3762 - - 3049 - - 1229 sfcLCL ODpotential -12246 - - -10136 - - -5637 - - -3388 - - -3508 ODpotential blCL 12367 - - 10610 - - 7476 - - 3510 - - 3630 blCL maxRH 66 - - 76 - - 81 - - 73 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 58.0 - - 67.0 - - 68.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 44.0 - - 50.9 - - 55.0 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 57.3 - - 65.9 - - 68.6 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 43.5 - - 50.7 - - 54.8 - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 72 - - 158 - - -12 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 1733 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 3 - - 25 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96322 48 298 38 301 35 301 33 293 34 291 96322 89235 29 301 22 299 22 294 29 293 27 312 89235 83763 16 292 19 281 20 283 24 286 24 305 83763 79214 11 281 17 287 20 281 17 279 22 287 79214 75273 18 281 22 281 19 282 15 280 18 274 75273 71780 20 270 20 271 20 277 22 281 17 293 71780 68616 19 266 20 266 21 260 22 271 21 288 68616 65694 18 254 17 262 20 254 25 259 21 276 65694 62962 15 245 16 250 21 266 20 237 26 259 62962 60291 27 254 22 238 26 259 15 243 25 247 60291 57489 34 238 33 233 34 239 28 256 26 245 57489 54582 37 239 36 230 37 227 41 245 36 240 54582 51818 49 239 43 239 45 219 46 222 41 232 51818 49338 66 233 58 238 53 221 48 215 42 233 49338 47127 78 227 69 230 61 223 58 224 42 234 47127 45119 78 222 76 222 69 220 59 220 42 236 45119 43268 77 224 78 214 73 214 53 213 41 227 43268 41554 89 226 81 212 69 211 50 216 33 226 41554 39970 89 221 87 211 72 210 57 219 25 239 39970 38496 82 221 86 212 79 210 64 213 26 259 38496 37112 79 223 84 216 83 214 63 215 31 260 37112 35775 75 219 84 216 88 214 68 216 38 236 35775 34420 72 214 80 210 84 210 76 213 39 219 34420 33022 72 209 74 204 78 204 76 210 38 220 33022 31580 64 203 71 201 77 201 68 208 49 223 31580 30074 59 202 66 201 74 200 65 207 58 214 30074 28484 57 203 61 205 63 199 60 208 57 210 28484 26810 50 202 56 203 54 200 55 207 57 212 26810 25052 44 202 51 200 53 200 49 210 53 214 25052 23217 40 201 46 199 50 199 44 217 47 214 23217 21306 37 203 43 201 47 201 41 216 44 215 21306 19310 36 208 43 203 46 203 42 211 43 212 19310 17225 38 211 42 203 46 199 46 203 45 205 17225 15097 37 204 41 199 45 196 46 199 47 199 15097 13046 37 195 41 195 44 194 46 195 47 195 13046 11182 38 190 42 193 44 191 48 190 50 191 11182 9529 39 189 41 192 45 188 47 186 51 187 9529 8064 38 187 39 189 44 186 41 185 40 183 8064 6763 35 183 37 185 41 185 34 188 34 176 6763 5608 32 180 34 182 36 184 29 192 30 176 5608 4587 27 181 29 182 30 187 25 193 31 185 4587 3690 22 183 24 184 25 194 22 193 33 196 3690 2898 18 190 19 194 19 200 20 193 32 205 2898 2191 12 200 12 208 14*198 18 193 31 214 2191 1569 3 190 5 228 10*184 17 193 27 220 1569 1051 1 026 2 231 9 174 16 193 22 221 1051 655 5 008 1*171 8 171 15 192 17 218 655 382 4 349 1*148 8 169 13 190 11 205 382 216 3*288 1 140 7 169 11 188 8*189 216 122 2*280 1 133 7 168 9*187 5*169 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography