DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 91.2 - - 92.8 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 362 - - 171 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1687 - - 4604 - - 5803 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1037 - - 3306 - - 3866 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1794 - - 4711 - - 5910 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1426 - - 2882 - - 3528 - - 2537 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 482 - - 409 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 22 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 060 - - 166 - - 186 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -7 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6276 - - -6020 - - -5675 - - -6828 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8071 - - 10731 - - 11586 - - 6952 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10334 - - -8164 - - -8355 - - -10102 ODpotential blCL - - - 12128 - - 12875 - - 14265 - - 10225 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 50 - - 48 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 91.2 - - 92.8 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 44.2 - - 41.9 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 89.0 - - 91.5 - - 84.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 43.3 - - 40.9 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 297 - - 362 - - 171 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1687 - - 4604 - - 5803 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98237 7 135 14 122 5 089 11 082 98237 90807 11 104 6 134 5 107 4 094 90807 85077 10 132 4 159 8 147 3 152 85077 80322 12 182 4 182 5 148 2 225 80322 76227 11 179 4 203 2 082 1 043 76227 72601 5 156 2 134 4 177 1 081 72601 69309 1 333 3 310 2 100 1 354 69309 66279 2 284 8 294 7 005 4 058 66279 63467 4 002 6 291 11 321 7 019 63467 60745 9 004 3 315 10 297 10 319 60745 57924 11 343 6 335 8 300 11 310 57924 55022 13 337 11 316 9 312 11 322 55022 52271 18 336 15 325 14 314 13 321 52271 49812 23 334 20 332 18 326 17 326 49812 47631 23 333 24 328 25 325 23 331 47631 45672 25 348 28 334 29 327 27 336 45672 43884 34 352 31 343 27 328 27 330 43884 42235 38 352 29 344 25 325 24 327 42235 40699 34 352 28 346 22 327 21 327 40699 39253 31 354 28 349 19 336 17 328 39253 37883 29 354 27 348 18 341 14 334 37883 36551 29 355 26 353 18 341 13 337 36551 35190 29 355 25 360 16 345 12 336 35190 33773 29 354 25 003 12 353 9 335 33773 32300 28 355 24 003 11 358 8 333 32300 30754 26 356 23 005 11 352 6 331 30754 29125 27 360 20 002 12 349 6 338 29125 27412 26 003 18 003 10 359 5 346 27412 25616 22 358 16 006 10 344 7 342 25616 23741 19 355 15 352 12 337 9 340 23741 21792 17 001 14 354 11 338 10 338 21792 19760 13 001 10 005 6 336 8 327 19760 17642 7 356 7 001 3 004 5 314 17642 15485 4 056 4 007 4 041 2 090 15485 13406 10 057 6 071 6 083 7 118 13406 11513 7 052 7 086 7 098 10 130 11513 9826 5 095 5 096 5 075 8 110 9826 8325 5 112 4 110 2 031 6 070 8325 6990 6 111 3 115 1*258 3 030 6990 5804 5 083 2 128 3*211 1 219 5804 4753 7 042 2*161 4 201 4 207 4753 3826 8 032 3*165 5 191 6 215 3826 3008 5 029 3 167 6 185 8 224 3008 2276 3*023 4 166 6 183 10 235 2276 1629 2*035 4 166 7 179 13 239 1629 1091 2 049 4 166 7 177 15 233 1091 677 2 067 5 167 7 176 15 224 677 394 2 078 5 166 7 176 14 214 394 222 2 081 4 167 7 175 11 206 222 123 2 084 4 167 6 175 8*201 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography