DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.4 - - 44.0 - - 51.1 - - 52.3 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 20 - - 65 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 545 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 121 - - 650 - - 121 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 374 - - 562 - - 204 - - 569 - - 536 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 28 - - 135 - - 7 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 014 - - 039 - - 360 - - 031 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -53 - - -50 - - -213 - - -385 - - -36 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 173 - - 171 - - 863 - - 506 - - 156 sfcLCL ODpotential -15020 - - 0 - - -12535 - - -12033 - - -13555 ODpotential blCL 15140 - - 121 - - 13185 - - 12154 - - 13675 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.4 - - 44.0 - - 51.1 - - 52.3 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 43.9 - - 48.0 - - 50.6 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.5 - - 43.8 - - 50.6 - - 52.9 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 43.8 - - 47.4 - - 50.3 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 20 - - 65 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 545 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 100 - - 70 - - 64 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96485 27 354 30 338 30 345 25 345 24 331 96485 89490 23 003 16 027 9 001 16 346 23 342 89490 84000 17 020 23 053 11 047 8 002 20 007 84000 79404 9 049 17 049 15 036 9 359 24 027 79404 75441 17 060 11 057 14 037 11 360 26 009 75441 71942 23 025 9 035 12 015 12 009 17 007 71942 68771 18 360 16 019 20 008 24 013 16 028 68771 65859 11 337 19 348 24 350 28 002 24 010 65859 63175 11 355 14 352 17 343 26 354 22 348 63175 60594 18 006 17 358 13 338 23 350 20 349 60594 57896 18 347 19 340 15 343 19 344 18 350 57896 55081 16 334 20 326 20 331 19 337 17 341 55081 52386 14 329 17 324 17 318 18 323 16 338 52386 49954 13 334 13 329 11 302 16 309 14 333 49954 47769 11 328 13 332 8 280 14 303 13 332 47769 45787 7 316 12 324 6 285 11 300 12 349 45787 43975 4 336 10 317 5 295 7 274 10 352 43975 42307 5 008 5 258 7 239 6 212 5 275 42307 40763 5 349 6 231 8 200 9 211 16 216 40763 39316 9 285 15 260 7 240 10 236 19 191 39316 37948 18 240 21 242 17 242 14 251 13 169 37948 36619 22 222 19 232 20 230 18 252 8 190 36619 35264 18 219 19 233 21 228 20 250 17 234 35264 33854 17 228 21 235 22 231 20 252 22 233 33854 32390 24 238 24 238 22 241 18 257 15 245 32390 30856 27 242 26 239 25 247 19 261 18 265 30856 29241 25 247 24 238 26 249 22 262 23 268 29241 27542 22 251 22 244 24 253 24 266 22 271 27542 25755 23 265 24 263 23 268 24 272 21 280 25755 23880 22 293 21 277 21 282 22 289 20 301 23880 21922 21 301 16 296 17 294 17 305 14 316 21922 19875 18 299 14 305 15 297 14 312 13 321 19875 17733 14 310 13 311 14 302 13 318 14 323 17733 15543 12 326 13 317 14 312 14 328 15 330 15543 13424 11 329 13 321 14 321 15 339 15 343 13424 11491 11 329 12 323 14 329 15 350 14 355 11491 9771 12 334 12 330 12 337 14 001 13 001 9771 8243 14 338 11 345 11 346 13 009 13 006 8243 6888 14 343 11 003 10 358 12 015 13 012 6888 5689 14 354 12 016 11 009 12 016 13 017 5689 4632 13 008 13 029 11 018 13 017 15 020 4632 3705 13 022 13 033 12 022 14 017 15 019 3705 2892 14 024 12 026 13 017 16 014 17 013 2892 2172 12 021 13 016 16 010 19 009 22 010 2172 1542 11 007 13 004 15 007 17 005 18 008 1542 1025 8 344 11 351 8*351 10 348 9 350 1025 636 5 349 4 350 4*343 4 326 4 325 636 372 4 005 2 022 3 004 2 347 2 079 372 212 3 011 2*033 2 009 1 017 3 097 212 120 2*014 2*039 2 012 1*031 2*099 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography