DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 93.9 - - 95.1 - - 82.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 220 - - 75 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1148 - - 3196 - - 1632 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 401 - - 2048 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1255 - - 3304 - - 1740 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1153 - - 1988 - - 4178 - - 139 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 232 - - 365 - - 209 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 41 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 010 - - 158 - - 137 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -9 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8671 - - -8436 - - -9943 - - -6874 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9927 - - 11741 - - 11683 - - 6998 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15325 - - -14500 - - -15137 - - -13000 ODpotential blCL - - - 16580 - - 17804 - - 16877 - - 13124 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 80 - - 40 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 93.9 - - 95.1 - - 82.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 42.9 - - 44.3 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 92.4 - - 94.4 - - 86.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 41.6 - - 43.2 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 220 - - 75 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1148 - - 3196 - - 1632 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99287 23 111 17 122 22 139 9 110 99287 91819 16 114 17 128 14 097 18 088 91819 86044 17 132 14 113 18 081 17 084 86044 81258 19 106 11 110 13 092 13 088 81258 77136 13 086 17 105 13 103 8 099 77136 73492 12 121 8 079 8 068 10 122 73492 70199 9 127 8 105 7 124 5 132 70199 67167 7 146 5 187 4 151 7 143 67167 64354 6 148 9 176 9 218 6 175 64354 61639 1 176 13 154 13 199 5 177 61639 58803 15 242 12 210 16 227 11 231 58803 55854 23 218 26 213 26 222 23 225 55854 53044 24 210 29 210 33 219 31 221 53044 50523 27 219 35 217 35 220 33 221 50523 48269 30 221 38 217 37 218 36 219 48269 46226 34 228 41 214 42 214 40 217 46226 44367 40 226 43 215 43 213 44 215 44367 42676 42 223 46 225 42 214 47 215 42676 41126 45 224 46 228 47 219 48 216 41126 39679 45 226 46 230 51 221 47 217 39679 38311 44 229 46 229 48 223 44 219 38311 36978 47 229 47 226 48 226 43 218 36978 35615 50 228 48 226 47 226 41 218 35615 34193 47 229 48 230 44 226 37 217 34193 32715 43 228 43 227 40 226 34 218 32715 31165 41 229 39 222 36 223 35 219 31165 29532 39 227 37 221 35 223 37 218 29532 27815 35 226 35 219 35 222 34 220 27815 26012 32 229 32 221 33 221 29 226 26012 24123 29 229 31 222 30 222 26 226 24123 22155 27 230 29 224 28 221 25 221 22155 20100 26 230 27 225 26 219 26 217 20100 17950 28 228 27 224 25 214 26 212 17950 15753 30 223 29 221 24 211 25 206 15753 13628 31 220 29 218 23 209 23 202 13628 11691 28 219 27 214 23 209 21 202 11691 9967 23 218 24 210 23 211 20 205 9967 8435 15 219 20 209 21 217 18 210 8435 7075 8 211 15 210 14 230 13 212 7075 5871 5 197 11 221 12 238 7 210 5871 4806 4 190 7 237 11 237 5 210 4806 3868 1 098 4*234 9 227 8 203 3868 3040 5 028 2*207 7 207 10 197 3040 2300 10 004 1 179 6*177 11 190 2300 1646 11*004 2 163 7*146 13 180 1646 1101 9*006 2 147 8 138 13 170 1101 683 7 010 2 137 8 135 14 159 683 396 7 013 2 133 8 133 13 150 396 222 6 013 2 132 8 133 9*147 222 124 5 014 2 132 7 132 4*145 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography