DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 50.5 - - 58.3 - - 58.5 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 66 - - 77 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 613 - - 978 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 718 - - 1083 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1249 - - 471 - - 518 - - 1424 - - 309 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 141 - - 176 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 348 - - 354 - - 344 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -125 - - -84 - - -922 - - -1489 - - -401 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 246 - - 802 - - 2005 - - 1611 - - 523 sfcLCL ODpotential -95 - - -7505 - - -5805 - - -6679 - - -7939 ODpotential blCL 216 - - 8223 - - 6888 - - 6801 - - 8061 blCL maxRH 100 - - 97 - - 77 - - 71 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 50.5 - - 58.3 - - 58.5 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.7 - - 47.8 - - 50.2 - - 52.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.0 - - 49.9 - - 57.7 - - 59.6 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.6 - - 47.2 - - 49.1 - - 50.9 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 66 - - 77 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 613 - - 978 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 89 - - 8 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96446 11 075 17 070 14 060 15 074 16 071 96446 89370 11 077 17 099 8 097 13 079 14 083 89370 83868 12 096 5 115 8 076 4 105 12 081 83868 79270 2 084 1 111 3 082 2 293 9 070 79270 75284 6 185 4 303 4 295 7 308 9 024 75284 71746 2 313 8 240 11 258 11 301 8 013 71746 68520 12 300 12 274 14 280 14 304 12 333 68520 65553 21 280 15 285 19 278 17 284 16 297 65553 62804 20 280 17 283 23 284 20 289 20 299 62804 60139 27 288 23 282 27 279 24 290 22 291 60139 57354 34 286 28 284 29 283 29 292 25 291 57354 54459 40 275 38 282 37 285 35 291 30 298 54459 51706 45 277 43 278 38 284 39 293 40 301 51706 49241 49 279 44 286 41 288 45 294 34 301 49241 47053 57 282 49 287 48 287 42 300 41 313 47053 45096 62 278 51 285 45 293 47 302 42 300 45096 43312 57 277 49 295 49 294 40 300 30 310 43312 41670 55 290 47 299 40 310 45 324 41 327 41670 40157 55 297 41 303 43 317 53 315 49 316 40157 38749 56 299 49 324 35 322 45 306 43 323 38749 37420 56 296 49 330 34 350 34 324 36 344 37420 36129 54 292 42 323 45 359 37 338 39 354 36129 34807 54 291 36 316 44 355 35 327 40 354 34807 33424 51 295 32 323 33 346 39 316 36 348 33424 31982 45 309 33 325 27 323 40 315 33 336 31982 30464 45 317 35 323 35 315 40 316 26 335 30464 28860 44 321 39 323 43 318 42 318 27 325 28860 27168 43 322 41 323 44 324 44 321 37 318 27168 25391 41 321 39 322 39 324 40 321 37 320 25391 23531 38 318 35 320 33 317 34 311 32 310 23531 21592 38 313 31 316 29 309 32 299 36 297 21592 19569 39 310 30 312 27 306 35 300 41 304 19569 17454 35 311 27 310 25 308 37 310 41 314 17454 15288 28 318 22 313 21 307 31 313 39 317 15288 13195 25 319 21 319 18 305 24 312 33 317 13195 11290 24 312 21 318 19 315 20 316 26 321 11290 9602 21 310 20 316 19 325 16 327 21 326 9602 8107 18 319 16 316 17 333 13 345 14 331 8107 6784 14 333 12 320 15 337 11 000 7 340 6784 5615 12 352 8 342 12 341 9 006 5 001 5615 4584 10 011 9 015 10 351 8 004 5 005 4584 3681 6 017 11 029 10 005 8 000 7 355 3681 2887 5 018 10 026 12 010 8 357 9 347 2887 2180 6 013 9 016 13 009 9 354 11 345 2180 1558 8 000 8 354 12*001 8 350 10 342 1558 1042 7 356 7*336 8*352 6 341 7 344 1042 648 7 349 4*342 6 354 4 341 3 341 648 378 6 343 4 347 6 355 3 343 1 266 378 214 5*339 3 351 5 356 2*346 2*224 214 122 4*338 3 353 5 356 1*344 2*219 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography