DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/05 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.7 - - 48.5 - - 55.6 - - 53.0 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - -15 - - 6 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2091 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 121 - - 2196 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 243 - - 828 - - 5447 - - 6837 - - 400 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 8 - - 132 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 170 - - 216 - - 162 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -214 - - -287 - - -22 - - -834 - - -369 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 335 - - 408 - - 2218 - - 955 - - 490 sfcLCL ODpotential -2961 - - -1824 - - -1000 - - -1598 - - -2343 ODpotential blCL 3082 - - 1945 - - 3196 - - 1719 - - 2464 blCL maxRH 90 - - 91 - - 98 - - 77 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 180 - - 430 - - 720 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m 43.7 - - 48.5 - - 55.6 - - 53.0 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.8 - - 47.2 - - 46.4 - - 49.3 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.4 - - 49.2 - - 55.7 - - 53.9 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 47.1 - - 45.1 - - 48.4 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - -15 - - 6 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2091 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 65 - - 92 - - 7 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96164 29 307 36 298 36 302 33 298 31 298 96164 89030 20 313 19 317 21 325 10 313 15 304 89030 83491 21 332 12 339 15 336 9 316 13 330 83491 78872 21 328 12 354 11 329 12 315 15 329 78872 74895 13 324 9 332 9 303 16 308 14 328 74895 71379 12 320 15 348 7 314 12 318 8 330 71379 68177 17 285 16 314 13 306 18 309 11 317 68177 65217 7 228 13 274 18 287 19 308 13 309 65217 62461 10 295 13 283 19 288 13 316 9 312 62461 59771 23 282 21 284 22 291 18 314 26 327 59771 56963 24 286 26 281 30 282 32 296 32 307 56963 54051 22 294 25 282 30 275 35 275 31 285 54051 51258 29 288 29 283 30 274 32 271 32 280 51258 48726 41 277 38 279 37 286 38 285 34 285 48726 46445 49 275 44 277 44 286 45 283 39 287 46445 44371 57 275 49 274 50 280 50 279 45 283 44371 42475 64 270 54 269 56 272 52 274 48 277 42475 40726 68 264 58 265 59 265 53 272 49 274 40726 39102 70 261 61 265 58 264 53 273 48 275 39102 37588 71 262 66 267 59 265 53 273 46 274 37588 36170 73 261 70 265 61 265 54 272 43 272 36170 34809 76 259 70 261 64 263 55 270 42 268 34809 33435 74 256 68 261 66 263 57 269 42 266 33435 32021 71 257 71 264 70 264 58 269 43 267 32021 30568 77 259 75 263 76 263 61 268 44 269 30568 29066 84 256 76 260 77 262 65 267 45 271 29066 27507 86 254 73 260 72 261 63 266 44 270 27507 25894 82 256 66 262 63 263 53 264 40 269 25894 24217 70 260 57 265 55 263 42 264 32 270 24217 22464 55 273 55 269 51 263 36 267 30 272 22464 20629 53 281 52 269 49 264 34 269 29 272 20629 18710 47 278 43 267 44 263 32 270 25 271 18710 16702 39 265 34 267 35 260 27 270 21 265 16702 14651 34 253 25 263 25 252 22 266 19 261 14651 12674 28 250 21 251 20 249 21 263 20 259 12674 10876 26 248 21 247 19 251 20 266 18 259 10876 9275 25 246 21 250 19 253 17 271 14 265 9275 7854 24 246 22 256 19 256 16 277 11 275 7854 6590 24 248 22 262 17 255 13 273 8 275 6590 5470 24 252 21 261 16 252 11 265 6 256 5470 4478 24 256 20 254 15 250 10 255 5 221 4478 3605 24 256 20 247 13 245 9 245 6 210 3605 2835 23 253 19 240 12*238 8 232 6 213 2835 2145 22 247 18 233 11*230 7 222 7 217 2145 1537 19 238 16 224 10 220 7 210 8 216 1537 1030 16 221 15 207 9 213 8 192 9 207 1030 641 14 195 15 187 8 210 8 181 9 196 641 374 14 174 14 176 8 208 7 172 8 187 374 213 11*167 11*173 7 206 6 167 6 177 213 121 6*160 8*170 6 205 4*162 3*174 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography