DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.7 - - 87.3 - - 95.8 - - - - - 91.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 107 - - 97 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 120 - - 1019 - - 1455 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 467 - - - - - 108 Hcrit BL Top 226 - - 1126 - - 1563 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 328 - - 714 - - 3027 - - - - - 4050 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 204 - - 231 - - - - - 8 W* B/S 6 - - 21 - - 17 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 330 - - 023 - - 127 - - - - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -8 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2893 - - -5050 - - -7337 - - - - - -5410 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3120 - - 6176 - - 8901 - - - - - 5534 sfcLCL ODpotential -9409 - - -8822 - - -9796 - - - - - -8267 ODpotential blCL 9635 - - 9948 - - 11359 - - - - - 8391 blCL maxRH 58 - - 55 - - 53 - - - - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 250 - - 430 - - - - - 2380 CAPE Temp@2m 74.7 - - 87.3 - - 95.8 - - - - - 91.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.6 - - 61.0 - - 57.4 - - - - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.6 - - 86.5 - - 95.0 - - - - - 95.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.0 - - 59.7 - - 56.1 - - - - - 66.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 107 - - 97 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 120 - - 1019 - - 1455 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99542 47 105 33 104 43 107 36 105 99542 91999 47 103 33 117 36 110 34 108 91999 86196 43 108 36 123 31 118 34 100 86196 81379 33 103 29 114 27 120 36 101 81379 77240 24 093 27 111 26 116 30 107 77240 73593 17 099 31 102 28 121 23 110 73593 70297 18 108 24 100 23 120 18 111 70297 67273 12 094 17 115 22 124 14 121 67273 64475 11 120 17 121 14 131 11 139 64475 61767 11 147 9 126 10 146 15 160 61767 58953 22 166 17 188 9 204 17 171 58953 56044 26 166 27 184 23 214 13 214 56044 53271 31 177 38 181 38 199 33 215 53271 50782 30 189 36 189 48 192 42 202 50782 48538 42 205 45 189 45 193 42 212 48538 46495 55 205 55 203 64 209 69 222 46495 44639 67 201 73 204 83 204 88 212 44639 42938 74 196 80 196 79 196 80 201 42938 41354 71 197 67 194 69 201 70 208 41354 39868 68 202 64 201 72 204 72 214 39868 38467 66 205 66 201 74 201 74 213 38467 37107 62 203 66 198 73 199 72 212 37107 35721 56 201 62 198 71 199 70 216 35721 34280 52 203 58 202 68 200 70 219 34280 32786 51 205 58 205 65 203 70 219 32786 31220 51 207 59 208 66 205 67 220 31220 29573 49 208 57 206 65 206 64 223 29573 27844 43 208 54 205 58 208 61 227 27844 26030 36 204 43 208 47 211 57 227 26030 24136 31 210 32 204 29 212 46 231 24136 22175 23 227 24 211 28 205 32 214 22175 20133 18 216 18 215 22 205 29 199 20133 17996 17 212 16 217 18 218 25 215 17996 15811 11 225 15 223 14 230 16 211 15811 13700 8 259 9 233 9 232 14 191 13700 11769 4 271 6 252 5 229 11 162 11769 10046 5 310 5 260 4 227 6 151 10046 8513 8 316 5 270 4 226 3 209 8513 7149 8 318 7 283 5 244 4 258 7149 5936 5 316 6 285 6 256 5 282 5936 4861 1 309 4 272 6 262 6 286 4861 3912 1 182 1 263 4 264 7 284 3912 3075 2 165 2 100 3 256 8 283 3075 2327 2 083 3 107 1 188 9 281 2327 1665 3 065 2*059 2*135 9 278 1665 1115 1 022 2*019 2*127 8 273 1115 692 4 330 2 022 3 129 7 264 692 402 4*328 2 023 3 126 5 251 402 225 2*326 2 029 2 124 4 241 225 124 1 335 2 031 2 122 3*238 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography