DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/16 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 63.1 - - 70.6 - - 72.0 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 250 - - 321 - - 113 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2773 - - 3839 - - 3006 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 1763 - - 2663 - - 1541 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 2878 - - 3945 - - 3112 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2147 - - 1116 - - 1327 - - 1864 - - 1158 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 357 - - 434 - - 284 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 12 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 135 - - 141 - - 180 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -4 - - -7 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1418 - - -275 - - -1351 - - -2807 - - -4232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1539 - - 3153 - - 5296 - - 5920 - - 4354 sfcLCL ODpotential -4595 - - -614 - - -3586 - - -5486 - - -7674 ODpotential blCL 4716 - - 3492 - - 7531 - - 8598 - - 7796 blCL maxRH 93 - - 91 - - 68 - - 70 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 63.1 - - 70.6 - - 72.0 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.5 - - 49.6 - - 47.7 - - 46.5 - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 61.4 - - 68.6 - - 71.0 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.5 - - 49.3 - - 47.2 - - 46.0 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 250 - - 321 - - 113 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2773 - - 3839 - - 3006 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 64 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98568 12 069 6 097 1 058 3 201 1 122 98568 91259 7 085 9 095 8 103 4 118 10 078 91259 85596 9 074 11 072 10 118 5 124 8 048 85596 80870 9 130 5 080 10 098 9 116 1 017 80870 76792 12 095 9 144 5 097 9 074 6 111 76792 73170 6 134 14 110 8 146 4 140 5 104 73170 69872 5 170 6 123 4 116 5 150 5 139 69872 66828 8 199 3 168 5 161 6 210 3 146 66828 64004 10 181 7 203 9 204 10 228 6 230 64004 61265 7 212 12 214 12 222 12 222 10 224 61265 58394 9 233 13 221 14 235 11 245 11 233 58394 55409 10 260 9 247 15 234 14 268 10 276 55409 52561 9 281 11 255 14 243 14 278 15 300 52561 50003 12 302 10 286 8 278 12 297 16 297 50003 47707 16 298 11 292 11 304 18 321 14 314 47707 45620 18 309 13 323 14 301 23 317 15 346 45620 43706 22 313 20 324 14 309 17 323 21 335 43706 41938 25 311 21 322 16 337 19 338 22 349 41938 40296 26 310 20 326 21 348 21 335 34 353 40296 38766 21 322 17 328 20 335 22 342 39 356 38766 37337 23 333 15 322 19 327 23 003 44 007 37337 35969 21 359 11 349 20 013 37 014 54 007 35969 34594 27 356 23 012 28 013 36 015 58 001 34594 33181 28 337 24 011 27 019 37 029 55 005 33181 31729 17 004 24 013 25 031 47 037 54 013 31729 30215 23 013 27 054 46 059 54 040 59 015 30215 28617 22 024 36 049 55 065 53 040 59 014 28617 26932 26 025 33 050 55 070 41 042 52 021 26932 25163 27 025 35 062 51 075 37 041 49 026 25163 23312 23 039 32 074 40 089 38 032 38 025 23312 21382 16 061 25 076 28 063 31 030 31 013 21382 19370 12 092 20 063 26 049 27 019 31 021 19370 17275 12 096 17 060 27 045 30 020 30 025 17275 15144 17 082 12 056 26 045 24 021 21 022 15144 13097 17 093 11 061 19 036 18 027 17 006 13097 11237 13 109 12 067 15 036 15 029 18 006 11237 9583 6 085 15 062 14 049 15 006 18 008 9583 8113 5 031 17 056 15 051 14 358 16 004 8113 6806 11 048 19 053 14 055 9 010 11 348 6806 5646 15 065 18 062 10 088 3 082 11 327 5646 4619 16 072 16 084 7*121 4 166 11 315 4619 3715 11 076 10*109 6*134 5*182 10 307 3715 2918 5 098 6*127 6 137 6*183 7 289 2918 2208 7 121 6 132 6 140 6 182 4 226 2208 1581 10 122 5 135 6 142 6 180 6 182 1581 1059 10 126 5 137 5 144 6 178 8 166 1059 659 9 127 5 138 5 146 6 177 8 159 659 384 4 129 5 141 5 146 5 177 8 157 384 217 0 211 4 140 5 148 5 177 7 156 217 122 1*290 4 140 4 148 5 177 4*156 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography