DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.4 - - 42.3 - - 48.6 - - 50.5 - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 20 - - 76 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 577 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 120 - - 682 - - 121 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 431 - - 764 - - 362 - - 804 - - 932 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 28 - - 144 - - 6 - - 2 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 020 - - 008 - - 026 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -20 - - -44 - - -4 - - -536 - - -23 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 140 - - 164 - - 686 - - 657 - - 143 sfcLCL ODpotential -14985 - - 0 - - 74 - - -11007 - - -496 ODpotential blCL 15105 - - 120 - - 608 - - 11128 - - 616 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.4 - - 42.3 - - 48.6 - - 50.5 - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.4 - - 42.2 - - 46.3 - - 48.3 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 42.0 - - 47.9 - - 51.4 - - 43.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.8 - - 42.1 - - 45.7 - - 47.9 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 20 - - 76 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 577 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 98 - - 58 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96286 32 059 21 029 23 014 28 044 23 027 96286 89321 20 057 25 036 20 031 28 051 25 063 89321 83851 16 053 20 046 20 040 24 036 25 067 83851 79298 17 042 14 043 11 030 20 020 24 057 79298 75393 22 036 13 050 11 054 13 015 20 037 75393 71951 23 031 14 048 13 060 9 065 12 039 71951 68827 18 041 13 036 11 041 14 074 14 075 68827 65940 17 029 13 022 10 026 12 049 15 070 65940 63262 17 017 14 021 8 004 11 023 12 037 63262 60675 16 003 15 011 8 356 8 008 12 355 60675 57961 18 342 16 341 14 339 7 339 12 335 57961 55128 20 332 17 325 17 332 10 318 11 304 55128 52416 20 334 17 331 16 334 12 310 11 291 52416 49965 17 334 15 336 13 313 13 291 13 288 49965 47750 11 329 14 338 9 287 10 262 13 270 47750 45720 6 312 9 314 11 270 11 260 11 260 45720 43848 4 297 6 278 12 255 11 248 10 255 43848 42112 3 310 5 239 11 235 13 222 12 232 42112 40502 4 256 3 224 10 228 14 222 12 231 40502 39004 9 231 5 245 11 242 15 226 12 242 39004 37600 8 222 8 218 13 225 15 223 15 233 37600 36245 7 217 8 191 14 207 14 214 15 218 36245 34874 8 211 8 196 15 198 15 205 16 215 34874 33458 9 213 9 208 13 195 17 208 18 212 33458 31996 11 205 10 204 11 199 16 201 18 208 31996 30472 12 186 11 182 12 192 15 187 16 201 30472 28874 9 165 11 171 14 174 14 179 16 186 28874 27196 10 152 12 154 16 162 15 176 16 174 27196 25436 10 165 12 138 16 156 17 165 13 170 25436 23590 12 164 12 148 16 154 16 161 13 163 23590 21659 15 142 16 167 19 165 15 168 12 174 21659 19634 18 125 15 170 17 173 14 176 12 193 19634 17512 18 122 15 162 12 173 11 189 11 205 17512 15337 14 118 13 150 11 177 10 199 8 220 15337 13238 10 105 11 143 11 183 10 213 9 234 13238 11328 8 088 11 153 12 200 11 219 10 229 11328 9630 7 102 14 164 13 210 13 216 12 221 9630 8122 8 136 15 173 15 208 15 211 15 210 8122 6783 12 159 15 175 16 201 15 201 15 196 6783 5598 10 157 16 173 15 193 14 189 13 179 5598 4555 10 147 14 167 12 185 11 177 12 161 4555 3643 9 133 12 161 8 171 8 155 11 157 3643 2844 8 126 10 154 5 130 6 126 7 143 2844 2137 5 109 5 129 5 088 5 056 5 057 2137 1520 5 046 5 041 8 016 9 014 4 036 1520 1015 8 360 7 359 7*354 7 350 7 345 1015 633 2 357 4 001 3*360 2 315 4 326 633 371 1 127 3 010 3 008 1 317 2 315 371 211 1 101 2 018 2 014 1 342 1 321 211 120 1*081 2*020 2 013 1*026 1*345 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography