DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 86.2 - - 87.0 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 247 - - 57 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 868 - - 2400 - - 2182 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1492 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 974 - - 2507 - - 2289 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 524 - - 1604 - - 2209 - - 335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 340 - - 205 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 19 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 129 - - 177 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4654 - - -6392 - - -7176 - - -5829 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5628 - - 8900 - - 9465 - - 5953 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11298 - - -11263 - - -11648 - - -11812 ODpotential blCL - - - 12272 - - 13770 - - 13937 - - 11935 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 79 - - 87 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 86.2 - - 87.0 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 47.8 - - 46.1 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.5 - - 84.5 - - 86.4 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 47.3 - - 45.6 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 247 - - 57 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 868 - - 2400 - - 2182 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 49 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98409 9 087 11 035 3 320 5 012 98409 91089 14 065 12 100 6 033 15 014 91089 85447 13 060 12 095 11 065 15 028 85447 80758 10 034 11 057 17 056 18 060 80758 76706 5 044 8 052 16 048 15 055 76706 73121 2 115 2 008 7 046 9 047 73121 69865 2 237 7 299 4 356 7 035 69865 66861 1 262 5 278 3 298 5 305 66861 64076 3 308 6 277 3 284 7 234 64076 61380 4 271 8 263 7 268 7 253 61380 58566 7 242 11 246 12 268 11 282 58566 55651 12 249 15 252 18 264 19 278 55651 52871 15 259 17 252 21 253 22 266 52871 50371 15 262 16 246 21 248 21 256 50371 48131 16 256 15 248 19 251 19 244 48131 46100 19 256 17 251 18 244 16 230 46100 44234 17 250 23 239 14 248 17 232 44234 42506 29 236 26 240 24 230 20 215 42506 40899 27 213 30 225 23 215 19 216 40899 39399 20 204 25 208 22 206 25 203 39399 37998 20 214 20 184 25 201 25 194 37998 36657 25 217 23 173 30 194 26 179 36657 35301 29 200 23 179 36 185 23 147 35301 33891 29 198 22 192 29 188 17 133 33891 32424 24 198 24 197 21 172 14 141 32424 30882 16 202 24 199 22 166 14 157 30882 29254 16 205 22 202 19 164 15 169 29254 27539 17 214 17 200 15 166 13 176 27539 25736 13 186 12 183 18 180 10 162 25736 23849 11 164 11 160 20 182 8 143 23849 21885 10 163 14 135 13 152 15 170 21885 19843 10 151 14 153 16 140 26 157 19843 17719 9 151 16 152 18 154 28 140 17719 15549 8 140 15 150 19 160 22 142 15549 13452 11 134 16 154 17 159 15 155 13452 11542 13 146 14 159 16 160 15 159 11542 9840 15 143 11 155 12 160 17 156 9840 8329 13 140 9 151 10 162 15 159 8329 6985 9 147 7 149 7 161 10 161 6985 5795 7 144 5 146 4 150 6 160 5795 4742 5 121 3 166 2 130 3 149 4742 3816 4 073 2 179 1 171 2 160 3816 2998 5 034 2*127 3*195 4 212 2998 2267 7 023 3*126 4*187 7 206 2267 1623 6 017 3 130 5 179 9 192 1623 1086 2*028 3 129 5 176 11 181 1086 674 1*072 4 129 5 174 12 174 674 392 2 085 4 130 5 172 11 170 392 220 2 090 3 129 5 172 8 167 220 123 2 092 3 131 4 171 4*161 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography