DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 90.7 - - 92.4 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 122 - - 27 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1719 - - 2506 - - 1947 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 697 - - 1366 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1826 - - 2613 - - 2054 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1267 - - 3314 - - 5717 - - 1464 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 295 - - 185 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 16 - - 21 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 360 - - 353 - - 083 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -18 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6002 - - -6955 - - -7800 - - -5396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7828 - - 9568 - - 9854 - - 5520 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13517 - - -12322 - - -12525 - - -9761 ODpotential blCL - - - 15343 - - 14935 - - 14579 - - 9884 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 62 - - 50 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 90.7 - - 92.4 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.3 - - 49.2 - - 49.5 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.1 - - 89.8 - - 92.4 - - 85.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 47.9 - - 48.3 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 122 - - 27 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1719 - - 2506 - - 1947 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98756 14 147 9 124 13 118 12 139 98756 91230 15 139 8 125 9 139 7 136 91230 85440 17 125 9 131 8 115 10 109 85440 80649 19 112 11 140 7 103 15 099 80649 76542 14 105 14 118 10 118 11 088 76542 72924 10 089 10 117 10 111 7 089 72924 69655 5 081 7 120 6 098 4 077 69655 66667 4 125 1 142 1 052 1 312 66667 63893 5 235 8 277 9 303 5 335 63893 61196 5 245 12 247 17 284 17 297 61196 58388 11 295 16 255 22 278 24 290 58388 55482 23 284 24 274 31 278 33 284 55482 52720 31 284 34 278 37 275 41 275 52720 50253 39 285 42 283 43 280 46 275 50253 48054 46 288 50 285 48 284 50 282 48054 46056 51 285 56 285 53 283 55 285 46056 44221 53 286 59 284 55 283 59 282 44221 42527 54 286 60 282 56 282 60 279 42527 40953 55 283 56 282 55 281 61 279 40953 39478 51 280 53 281 53 278 61 280 39478 38087 46 275 50 275 51 275 57 277 38087 36739 43 271 46 269 48 271 54 277 36739 35368 40 263 46 267 47 267 54 277 35368 33941 37 257 44 262 44 271 49 272 33941 32464 36 266 40 258 40 266 43 268 32464 30919 35 272 41 255 37 253 38 264 30919 29295 36 274 40 256 37 249 37 255 29295 27592 39 277 38 262 37 252 36 252 27592 25802 39 281 37 268 36 258 36 254 25802 23922 35 280 35 272 36 267 37 262 23922 21957 30 275 29 272 33 270 36 272 21957 19903 26 270 27 271 28 270 30 268 19903 17760 21 263 22 268 23 268 27 265 17760 15579 15 259 17 260 17 260 22 257 15579 13479 10 267 14 255 14 254 19 255 13479 11569 8 280 11 257 12 260 16 259 11569 9871 7 283 9 270 9 271 12 264 9871 8364 6 284 8 275 9 270 7 261 8364 7024 5 284 8 280 11 261 3 242 7024 5832 4 305 9 291 11 264 1 330 5832 4776 7 334 8 304 10 265 2 349 4776 3844 11 349 7 318 7 262 3 345 3844 3022 14 000 5*336 4 255 5 331 3022 2286 14*001 4*344 1*202 8 318 2286 1636 12*000 4 355 1*094 12 308 1636 1096 9 360 3 357 2 086 15 299 1096 680 8 360 3 355 2 079 15 291 680 395 7 360 3 356 2 078 14 283 395 223 6 359 3 355 2 078 11 279 223 123 6 360 2 354 1 076 6*276 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography