DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.5 - - 80.5 - - 87.3 - - 87.4 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 120 - - 134 - - -14 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1585 - - 2142 - - 1645 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 650 - - 1141 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 1691 - - 2250 - - 1753 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 205 - - 1096 - - 4036 - - 6622 - - 226 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 245 - - 286 - - 144 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 12 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 016 - - 139 - - 150 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -10 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5113 - - -6222 - - -6669 - - -6512 - - -5018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5235 - - 7914 - - 8919 - - 8266 - - 5141 sfcLCL ODpotential -12737 - - -12829 - - -10945 - - -10948 - - -8986 ODpotential blCL 12859 - - 14520 - - 13195 - - 12701 - - 9109 blCL maxRH 31 - - 34 - - 50 - - 48 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 68.5 - - 80.5 - - 87.3 - - 87.4 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.5 - - 46.4 - - 48.6 - - 51.6 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.8 - - 79.6 - - 86.3 - - 88.2 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.6 - - 45.2 - - 47.3 - - 50.3 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 120 - - 134 - - -14 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1585 - - 2142 - - 1645 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99083 35 107 28 110 29 113 29 106 28 104 99083 91592 38 100 30 124 23 108 25 104 25 101 91592 85831 33 095 33 117 20 108 15 105 19 099 85831 81049 23 091 25 096 25 106 15 115 20 101 81049 76933 20 102 20 094 21 095 18 097 18 105 76933 73307 21 101 15 105 15 098 15 106 14 092 73307 70016 14 095 11 117 6 107 13 102 10 108 70016 66971 6 103 8 093 9 121 4 151 7 088 66971 64140 5 154 3 142 3 035 6 143 3 132 64140 61397 2 057 4 134 5 250 1 274 3 338 61397 58538 6 324 2 333 4 259 1 271 3 255 58538 55572 9 316 8 298 10 282 13 309 11 306 55572 52749 15 315 18 310 15 304 17 302 20 298 52749 50211 22 314 23 308 21 313 25 318 23 302 50211 47935 29 318 24 312 29 309 31 305 31 302 47935 45871 31 318 26 321 33 304 38 293 37 294 45871 43981 29 321 33 322 34 303 39 286 38 297 43981 42239 29 324 38 321 41 303 42 292 39 298 42239 40630 32 320 38 322 45 302 48 290 39 299 40630 39137 31 308 36 330 45 300 50 288 40 302 39137 37743 26 305 37 333 43 299 48 289 43 304 37743 36403 21 316 37 331 41 298 46 291 43 303 36403 35046 23 324 34 327 39 300 45 292 42 302 35046 33639 24 320 31 322 38 305 44 289 40 302 33639 32182 24 318 30 319 40 310 43 290 37 301 32182 30656 23 324 29 322 41 313 42 294 34 298 30656 29050 25 329 31 323 41 313 40 297 31 297 29050 27363 29 335 31 323 38 311 37 296 30 299 27363 25594 32 343 31 328 37 313 34 297 31 299 25594 23740 31 345 33 336 35 314 32 300 31 298 23740 21804 28 345 32 341 33 320 31 304 31 298 21804 19780 27 346 28 339 30 330 29 309 28 298 19780 17663 28 349 25 340 26 333 25 315 24 298 17663 15499 27 352 21 347 22 330 20 320 19 302 15499 13412 24 354 17 344 17 323 15 328 12 310 13412 11515 18 347 14 334 13 319 11 336 6 340 11515 9828 11 335 10 318 11 314 12 298 7 017 9828 8328 8 315 8 290 13 289 13 277 6 013 8328 6993 6 300 8 273 16 269 11 257 4 341 6993 5806 5 284 9 270 14 259 11 227 4 270 5806 4754 5 280 9 263 12 247 11 205 7 242 4754 3827 5 313 6 273 9 232 12 188 10 232 3827 3008 6 348 4 317 6 202 14 173 13 226 3008 2276 10 004 5*008 5*158 15*161 15 220 2276 1630 14 014 4*013 6*142 15*154 16 213 1630 1091 10 011 4 016 6 140 15 151 17 205 1091 677 5 334 3 017 6 138 15 149 17 195 677 393 5 334 3 018 6 138 14 147 15 183 393 221 3 317 3 017 5 136 12 146 12 175 221 123 1*307 3 018 5 137 10 144 7*170 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography