DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 69.8 - - 68.6 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 350 - - 101 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1961 - - 5977 - - 4702 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1176 - - 4363 - - 2675 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2066 - - 6083 - - 4808 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2610 - - 1376 - - 2953 - - 5140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 319 - - 518 - - 319 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 196 - - 176 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1698 - - 92 - - -169 - - -3400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3764 - - 5991 - - 4977 - - 3523 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2977 - - -102 - - -618 - - -4179 ODpotential blCL - - - 5043 - - 6185 - - 5426 - - 4301 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 82 - - 95 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 69.8 - - 68.6 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 44.0 - - 47.4 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 67.7 - - 68.0 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 43.1 - - 46.8 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 350 - - 101 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1961 - - 5977 - - 4702 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 27 - - 78 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97114 52 267 68 271 72 285 59 289 97114 89734 56 274 58 274 61 281 57 284 89734 84045 52 276 47 274 43 276 46 274 84045 79331 42 278 35 271 36 268 41 267 79331 75279 34 274 29 272 33 267 37 266 75279 71692 30 263 29 270 29 276 29 268 71692 68441 26 258 31 267 32 286 24 291 68441 65467 16 268 26 264 33 289 27 299 65467 62717 14 284 20 271 30 284 24 298 62717 60040 11 298 16 266 24 281 22 294 60040 57236 19 312 20 305 21 295 24 297 57236 54326 33 312 28 313 24 311 27 307 54326 51555 36 307 32 313 30 311 34 310 51555 49067 29 306 29 305 32 309 34 308 49067 46849 25 310 31 307 34 309 31 315 46849 44853 28 316 36 307 37 311 30 318 44853 43046 30 332 20 324 33 313 37 331 43046 41403 35 344 36 349 33 336 38 332 41403 39894 34 346 43 336 35 345 33 340 39894 38482 33 349 39 328 38 353 30 342 38482 37147 36 350 29 335 40 354 32 337 37147 35849 39 348 28 351 39 352 31 336 35849 34518 41 345 32 354 39 343 29 333 34518 33129 41 339 34 353 36 336 31 330 33129 31688 38 335 35 353 34 337 34 326 31688 30180 36 338 37 353 34 335 35 326 30180 28589 37 344 39 352 33 334 36 325 28589 26914 40 346 40 353 33 333 35 321 26914 25154 39 345 37 355 31 332 31 319 25154 23310 35 343 32 352 23 337 28 317 23310 21387 32 342 33 338 25 337 26 316 21387 19380 27 336 34 334 28 342 25 314 19380 17284 23 331 27 335 24 341 22 310 17284 15143 19 330 19 326 18 325 19 306 15143 13078 17 326 15 325 15 315 19 308 13078 11198 15 324 11 328 13 317 17 312 11198 9530 11 315 8 309 11 320 13 316 9530 8051 8 286 7 267 7 286 8 322 8051 6742 8 242 8*234 6 270 4 342 6742 5589 9 213 8*220 6*251 0 011 5589 4574 10 195 8 213 7*203 4 187 4574 3681 9 199 8 204 8 193 6 192 3681 2893 7 204 8 196 10 177 8 194 2893 2190 5*194 8 191 10 173 9 194 2190 1569 4*177 8 184 11 170 10 194 1569 1051 4 169 8 180 11 167 11 191 1051 654 4 165 8 177 11 166 11 186 654 382 4 162 7 175 11 165 10 180 382 216 4 159 7 176 10 164 9*175 216 122 4 158 7 175 9 163 6*173 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography