DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 65.4 - - 66.8 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 93 - - 9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 284 - - 1076 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 389 - - 1181 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 296 - - 1080 - - 2304 - - 125 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 99 - - 193 - - 23 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 002 - - 004 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2723 - - -4032 - - -4875 - - -2403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3113 - - 5213 - - 4997 - - 2525 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11217 - - -9431 - - -9659 - - -9771 ODpotential blCL - - - 11606 - - 10612 - - 9781 - - 9893 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 46 - - 40 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 65.4 - - 66.8 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.6 - - 43.5 - - 45.7 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 64.7 - - 67.3 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 42.6 - - 44.7 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 93 - - 9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 284 - - 1076 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96186 19 340 12 014 15 010 4 351 96186 89190 21 072 11 031 15 049 12 044 89190 83727 16 087 6 026 11 022 18 058 83727 79184 7 053 10 072 3 077 10 069 79184 75279 7 017 10 065 6 080 6 093 75279 71816 4 050 4 061 1 148 1 004 71816 68662 5 185 4 067 7 094 3 169 68662 65762 8 162 6 268 10 078 9 116 65762 63082 12 117 13 232 3 323 8 087 63082 60483 8 112 15 138 9 206 7 102 60483 57758 11 132 17 107 13 160 12 173 57758 54907 16 122 16 110 20 134 23 169 54907 52156 22 138 19 124 27 139 25 151 52156 49654 32 138 25 134 27 145 24 147 49654 47392 36 130 29 131 29 157 22 155 47392 45331 32 128 33 139 30 154 23 174 45331 43447 35 149 35 149 30 152 29 163 43447 41724 43 159 40 156 31 161 31 151 41724 40144 50 160 48 159 45 167 38 158 40144 38685 59 158 59 160 59 162 56 164 38685 37324 66 158 70 156 70 156 72 161 37324 36012 68 157 73 156 74 155 75 156 36012 34677 63 156 68 160 69 156 69 152 34677 33286 58 152 63 159 62 155 61 154 33286 31840 56 149 62 155 62 155 61 157 31840 30324 54 154 61 155 60 155 64 156 30324 28725 49 158 57 157 55 154 61 155 28725 27041 49 159 52 158 53 155 57 155 27041 25273 51 160 49 160 52 159 50 156 25273 23425 48 162 46 163 45 161 42 153 23425 21500 40 166 39 163 37 157 41 148 21500 19491 33 160 35 157 37 151 38 150 19491 17396 32 156 33 160 34 161 32 167 17396 15258 33 167 31 169 28 176 32 185 15258 13194 35 167 27 171 21 187 20 188 13194 11315 31 173 27 176 20 199 12 189 11315 9641 21 178 25 173 18 202 12 190 9641 8153 16 186 24 172 15 199 13 164 8153 6830 21 199 25 175 14 188 16 144 6830 5656 19 201 23 180 13 173 17 143 5656 4619 16 199 17 178 11 168 15 145 4619 3709 11 186 16 173 11 171 12 161 3709 2908 9 164 12 166 10 168 8 157 2908 2196 5 114 3 131 2 129 3 037 2196 1571 9 034 7*009 6 012 9 007 1571 1052 10 016 7*003 6 009 9 358 1052 654 9*360 7 002 6 007 8 351 654 381 7*348 6 001 5 005 7 340 381 216 6 346 6 001 4 004 5*317 216 122 5 347 5 001 4*004 5*311 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography