DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 75.2 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 253 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2465 - - 3821 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1363 - - 2584 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2570 - - 3927 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2844 - - 2925 - - - - - 4264 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 299 - - 410 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 23 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 073 - - - - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -11 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -274 - - -692 - - - - - -3291 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2844 - - 4619 - - - - - 3414 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -865 - - -1873 - - - - - -5093 ODpotential blCL - - - 3435 - - 5800 - - - - - 5216 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 75 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 20 - - - - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 75.2 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 55.3 - - - - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 73.7 - - - - - 74.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 54.0 - - - - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 253 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2465 - - 3821 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 2 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99187 28 107 26 104 22 102 99187 91669 29 121 16 123 22 099 91669 85891 26 106 19 114 27 087 85891 81093 18 111 17 123 18 081 81093 76953 17 115 18 136 11 088 76953 73283 15 113 13 111 8 110 73283 69963 6 101 5 110 7 109 69963 66919 2 033 3 351 9 076 66919 64094 7 008 2 234 6 014 64094 61370 9 274 8 294 6 347 61370 58544 13 305 17 301 12 306 58544 55620 23 310 24 297 32 306 55620 52841 40 311 33 301 42 310 52841 50350 53 310 49 309 56 300 50350 48126 66 314 66 313 61 299 48126 46111 83 314 82 310 68 301 46111 44273 85 310 85 306 76 300 44273 42581 83 310 84 306 74 303 42581 41006 84 314 86 308 80 313 41006 39529 85 315 90 308 88 312 39529 38133 86 315 92 308 87 307 38133 36776 85 313 91 308 81 304 36776 35390 84 313 87 307 77 307 35390 33946 84 314 84 307 74 310 33946 32449 85 315 83 310 72 312 32449 30881 84 315 82 311 70 312 30881 29227 80 314 79 310 72 313 29227 27485 76 310 76 308 75 313 27485 25657 76 304 73 304 75 309 25657 23744 78 301 75 302 75 303 23744 21748 76 307 75 306 76 300 21748 19665 63 311 69 310 76 311 19665 17501 54 308 59 309 68 316 17501 15316 52 308 53 310 54 311 15316 13227 44 313 43 316 44 311 13227 11339 29 315 26 323 28 321 11339 9672 20 309 15 319 13 331 9672 8196 15 310 14 304 7 312 8196 6882 10 295 14 282 7 294 6882 5714 8 291 11 282 7 273 5714 4678 8 335 5*294 7 249 4678 3765 7 338 2*043 7 212 3765 2960 6*343 3 073 9 186 2960 2240 5*351 3 074 11 170 2240 1604 5 003 4 076 13 161 1604 1075 5 004 4 075 13 155 1075 668 4 008 4 075 13 151 668 389 4 011 3 073 11 146 389 220 4 011 3 075 9*142 220 123 3 011 3 074 6*138 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography