DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 86.4 - - 89.7 - - 81.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 323 - - 140 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1304 - - 2731 - - 3662 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1834 - - 2169 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1411 - - 2838 - - 3769 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 559 - - 2020 - - 2404 - - 2289 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 391 - - 330 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 22 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 159 - - 169 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2372 - - -3694 - - -4646 - - -6104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3784 - - 6532 - - 8416 - - 6227 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9352 - - -8509 - - -9436 - - -12115 ODpotential blCL - - - 10763 - - 11347 - - 13205 - - 12238 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 51 - - 69 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 190 - - 20 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 86.4 - - 89.7 - - 81.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.0 - - 58.3 - - 53.3 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.6 - - 84.4 - - 88.7 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 57.4 - - 52.4 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 323 - - 140 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1304 - - 2731 - - 3662 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97737 13 246 11 281 13 311 7 253 97737 90247 3 208 6 274 9 266 8 279 90247 84552 3 171 3 257 2 261 0 163 84552 79869 6 151 5 216 10 316 8 061 79869 75848 6 100 6 187 8 309 8 023 75848 72312 7 003 3 023 5 326 8 003 72312 69114 8 347 3 349 6 319 5 343 69114 66167 8 315 5 303 10 314 5 347 66167 63422 7 284 7 281 10 303 8 309 63422 60755 4 274 8 231 11 276 12 281 60755 57980 9 271 10 245 13 259 15 271 57980 55115 16 253 18 261 19 260 20 260 55115 52397 20 245 24 252 24 254 27 246 52397 49956 23 255 28 246 29 249 34 240 49956 47769 33 262 33 248 36 253 38 246 47769 45797 42 256 42 252 44 256 46 255 45797 44011 46 258 47 254 48 257 50 255 44011 42372 45 260 46 255 49 255 49 255 42372 40845 44 259 45 255 45 254 47 253 40845 39405 47 259 47 258 43 255 45 253 39405 38039 51 259 47 259 41 256 43 255 38039 36712 50 256 48 258 38 257 41 257 36712 35357 44 254 45 257 36 258 38 258 35357 33947 33 251 36 252 35 255 36 257 33947 32484 26 254 29 249 32 252 34 254 32484 30952 24 258 28 255 30 256 31 254 30952 29335 23 258 27 256 28 259 29 256 29335 27631 23 257 25 256 25 262 27 260 27631 25840 25 253 22 254 23 261 25 259 25840 23965 25 248 20 252 21 259 23 254 23965 22009 22 246 19 252 18 259 21 251 22009 19966 18 243 20 246 16 257 20 250 19966 17829 15 236 19 240 16 245 19 242 17829 15643 14 238 18 237 18 239 20 242 15643 13530 12 239 15 234 16 237 18 238 13530 11602 10 230 12 222 13 235 14 230 11602 9887 11 216 11 216 10 231 10 226 9887 8366 11 205 11 214 7 221 6 217 8366 7018 9 216 9 221 5 224 3 179 7018 5824 8 243 7 242 5 247 2 326 5824 4767 2 278 4 254 4 230 3 285 4767 3836 3 057 2 208 4*200 3 234 3836 3015 3 090 2*181 4*183 4 174 3015 2281 1 359 3*169 5 171 7 161 2281 1633 1*024 3 161 5 169 8 164 1633 1093 1*073 3 158 5 167 10 165 1093 679 2 085 3 155 5 166 11 165 679 394 2 093 4 157 5 166 11 164 394 222 2 096 3 154 5 166 9 162 222 123 2 096 3 154 4 165 5*159 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography