DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/21 Williams 98ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2217z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 82.0 - - 93.4 - - 95.1 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 245 - - 314 - - 147 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 138 - - 1555 - - 3252 - - 3828 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 96 - - 871 - - 2202 - - 2291 - - 98 Hcrit BL Top 234 - - 1652 - - 3350 - - 3926 - - 114 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 397 - - 830 - - 1412 - - 1339 - - 937 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 293 - - 408 - - 337 - - 11 W* B/S 6 - - 51 - - 16 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 125 - - 224 - - 185 - - 211 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -2 - - 12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2508 - - -4246 - - -5211 - - -5418 - - -5695 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2742 - - 5898 - - 8562 - - 9344 - - 5810 sfcLCL ODpotential -12027 - - -10715 - - -9363 - - -9370 - - -11879 ODpotential blCL 12261 - - 12367 - - 12713 - - 13296 - - 11993 blCL maxRH 67 - - 58 - - 53 - - 53 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 0 - - 150 - - 70 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 82.0 - - 93.4 - - 95.1 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.7 - - 56.9 - - 56.4 - - 54.7 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.0 - - 81.9 - - 92.6 - - 94.0 - - 84.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.5 - - 56.8 - - 56.0 - - 53.8 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 245 - - 314 - - 147 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 138 - - 1555 - - 3252 - - 3828 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98864 26 096 27 106 24 113 14 109 17 094 98864 91412 22 102 17 112 18 108 17 120 13 108 91412 85665 20 102 17 112 17 105 17 110 15 114 85665 80894 17 106 17 111 15 111 14 101 14 110 80894 76794 13 110 13 110 12 110 10 095 12 106 76794 73180 11 113 11 114 10 113 9 101 10 108 73180 69916 7 112 8 117 7 122 6 105 6 108 69916 66919 4 104 7 113 6 126 5 112 3 091 66919 64145 2 106 5 127 5 143 4 139 0 141 64145 61463 1 128 4 151 4 167 4 169 2 212 61463 58665 2 152 5 187 5 199 5 212 3 214 58665 55767 3 161 7 188 6 203 7 216 5 195 55767 53004 4 097 6 160 5 174 7 197 5 168 53004 50521 6 070 6 115 5 139 4 170 5 135 50521 48296 12 070 12 084 11 098 7 135 7 121 48296 46279 17 068 17 071 14 076 12 109 12 096 46279 44437 19 068 19 072 16 078 16 092 14 089 44437 42742 21 066 20 079 19 085 18 083 18 088 42742 41165 23 064 23 081 21 086 19 085 20 086 41165 39686 24 063 24 078 23 083 21 088 22 089 39686 38290 24 063 25 074 24 083 25 089 24 091 38290 36939 25 064 26 071 25 084 27 090 24 091 36939 35565 25 065 25 068 25 086 27 092 22 092 35565 34138 25 065 25 068 25 089 27 094 20 104 34138 32659 24 066 25 068 24 091 25 095 19 108 32659 31108 22 066 24 070 22 092 22 095 16 104 31108 29475 21 064 22 072 18 092 18 094 16 103 29475 27759 20 065 21 077 16 099 14 097 15 111 27759 25959 19 071 19 088 14 113 13 110 15 118 25959 24074 18 083 18 104 13 125 14 125 17 121 24074 22110 15 100 17 117 14 132 16 132 19 122 22110 20059 10 112 14 122 15 131 17 130 20 120 20059 17916 9 126 12 121 15 121 18 123 21 116 17916 15727 10 127 11 114 14 105 16 112 17 108 15727 13611 11 119 12 116 13 101 14 096 14 099 13611 11678 11 107 12 116 13 104 11 088 11 098 11678 9955 10 088 10 103 11 104 9 094 9 101 9955 8420 11 068 10 076 9 107 7 098 7 126 8420 7055 11 054 11 053 7 065 4 096 7 165 7055 5847 11 043 10 042 6 036 1 082 7 178 5847 4778 9 041 7 035 2 350 3*256 4 179 4778 3840 3 033 4 001 4*241 6*227 4 207 3840 3014 2 318 6 286 5*212 9 215 5 204 3014 2277 1 292 6*264 5 199 11 213 7 230 2277 1627 4 326 3*237 5 181 12 210 12 249 1627 1085 4 344 1 220 5 175 12 208 14 241 1085 670 1 267 1 206 5 171 12 206 14 231 670 385 1*160 0 191 4 168 12 205 13 220 385 213 1*140 0 098 4 167 11 205 10*211 213 114 2 119 0 075 4 166 10 204 6*199 114 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography