DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/21 Williams 97ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0957z - - 1329z - - 1557z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.2 - - 74.0 - - 84.6 - - 88.2 - - 82.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 78 - - 369 - - 434 - - 223 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 396 - - 2319 - - 5188 - - 5418 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 96 - - 1546 - - 3817 - - 3695 - - 97 Hcrit BL Top 492 - - 2415 - - 5285 - - 5515 - - 114 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 507 - - 1026 - - 3524 - - 4177 - - 5628 Hgt.Variab. W* 126 - - 383 - - 529 - - 431 - - 8 W* B/S 7 - - 12 - - 29 - - 77 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 007 - - 358 - - 020 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -4 - - -11 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2587 - - -3545 - - -4120 - - -5499 - - -7782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3079 - - 5960 - - 9406 - - 11014 - - 7897 sfcLCL ODpotential -8185 - - -6386 - - -6313 - - -7339 - - -10060 ODpotential blCL 8677 - - 8801 - - 11598 - - 12854 - - 10174 blCL maxRH 67 - - 63 - - 65 - - 84 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 60.2 - - 74.0 - - 84.6 - - 88.2 - - 82.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 48.3 - - 43.4 - - 39.8 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.9 - - 73.1 - - 84.1 - - 87.8 - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.2 - - 48.2 - - 43.4 - - 39.8 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 78 - - 369 - - 434 - - 223 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 396 - - 2319 - - 5188 - - 5418 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98111 8 313 8 308 9 291 12 283 10 294 98111 90671 10 286 10 292 11 284 12 296 7 285 90671 84946 6 246 7 264 10 272 10 315 2 300 84946 80203 3 197 6 250 7 264 9 331 1 014 80203 76137 3 146 5 240 5 248 8 357 3 064 76137 72553 4 123 3 211 3 218 8 358 4 093 72553 69307 3 094 3 169 2 193 5 355 5 098 69307 66313 3 045 3 117 1 127 3 324 4 084 66313 63525 3 031 2 054 2 084 1 315 3 056 63525 60817 3 034 1 344 3 040 1 113 3 030 60817 57985 6 012 2 053 3 349 2 023 7 005 57985 55051 10 354 6 041 6 342 6 349 9 353 55051 52263 14 348 10 017 9 353 10 347 8 347 52263 49762 16 350 17 002 15 007 14 004 11 010 49762 47525 20 356 25 358 23 011 24 006 21 019 47525 45508 27 001 34 001 31 013 36 008 36 016 45508 43674 34 003 40 007 37 015 43 009 46 014 43674 41988 40 004 43 014 45 021 48 014 54 014 41988 40425 42 007 47 021 54 023 56 019 60 015 40425 38962 43 009 52 023 64 023 65 021 67 018 38962 37583 45 011 55 024 71 023 73 021 72 020 37583 36247 44 011 57 024 74 022 77 019 75 020 36247 34887 42 011 56 024 71 022 76 018 74 021 34887 33472 38 011 53 023 62 022 72 017 70 021 33472 32004 34 010 46 020 48 023 64 016 60 021 32004 30473 22 014 29 012 35 026 54 015 46 021 30473 28866 7 027 2 037 25 022 42 015 31 023 28866 27185 5 161 7 146 16 019 27 014 18 028 27185 25426 7 168 9 101 11 038 15 003 10 021 25426 23586 5 146 14 079 14 060 13 012 10 020 23586 21662 6 087 15 075 17 063 15 026 11 028 21662 19649 9 074 15 075 18 055 17 038 12 042 19649 17546 9 069 15 080 17 051 18 050 15 053 17546 15400 10 071 15 079 16 061 18 057 17 057 15400 13330 12 076 15 074 15 071 19 061 20 060 13330 11444 10 086 11 066 12 058 18 061 21 055 11444 9766 9 116 8 066 10 031 16 056 19 042 9766 8274 9 118 7 065 9 019 12 049 14 027 8274 6947 9 098 7 058 9 013 9 041 8 008 6947 5768 11 077 6 061 7*359 5*032 6 347 5768 4723 12 052 6 046 6*351 2*018 3 315 4723 3802 15 027 8 021 4 352 2 019 2 200 3802 2988 17 015 10*005 4 355 1 020 4 177 2988 2259 17 006 9*003 3 359 1 020 5 172 2259 1616 14 001 6 005 3 002 1 018 7 170 1616 1079 11 357 6 008 2 005 0 024 8 168 1079 667 7*341 5 010 2 008 0 026 9 164 667 384 3*320 5 011 2 010 0 016 9 160 384 212 3 321 5 011 2 010 0 026 7*155 212 114 3 322 4 011 2 012 0 039 5*150 114 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography