DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.0 - - 77.7 - - 89.4 - - 91.9 - - 82.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 176 - - 151 - - -5 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 158 - - 1052 - - 1446 - - 1052 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 411 - - 680 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 264 - - 1159 - - 1553 - - 1159 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 383 - - 383 - - 982 - - 1557 - - 186 Hgt.Variab. W* 75 - - 236 - - 257 - - 121 - - 14 W* B/S 7 - - 23 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 012 - - 139 - - 144 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -4 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2437 - - -4192 - - -6581 - - -7372 - - -4837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2701 - - 5352 - - 8134 - - 8531 - - 4961 sfcLCL ODpotential -14879 - - -12864 - - -12738 - - -13128 - - -11560 ODpotential blCL 15143 - - 14023 - - 14291 - - 14287 - - 11684 blCL maxRH 67 - - 48 - - 32 - - 25 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 63.0 - - 77.7 - - 89.4 - - 91.9 - - 82.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.8 - - 55.0 - - 54.5 - - 55.2 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.7 - - 76.4 - - 88.3 - - 92.3 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.3 - - 53.8 - - 53.2 - - 53.9 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 176 - - 151 - - -5 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 158 - - 1052 - - 1446 - - 1052 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99476 32 094 25 115 26 106 27 103 27 101 99476 91947 29 110 20 112 17 101 20 095 23 101 91947 86130 25 103 25 119 20 116 16 099 15 089 86130 81291 23 099 23 114 22 124 20 113 17 094 81291 77125 19 124 18 109 20 112 19 121 18 108 77125 73469 17 120 17 114 14 121 14 112 15 104 73469 70182 13 137 11 124 15 148 8 125 8 103 70182 67162 10 138 11 179 14 162 8 166 4 120 67162 64362 14 182 15 194 12 191 15 176 7 178 64362 61657 16 205 19 203 14 203 21 187 14 199 61657 58851 23 226 25 208 23 208 23 218 21 216 58851 55965 29 226 31 207 39 204 38 214 35 214 55965 53234 40 229 39 221 46 213 47 215 45 216 53234 50785 52 229 55 224 53 220 54 220 52 220 50785 48587 66 232 64 227 60 226 61 221 61 219 48587 46584 78 230 75 228 71 226 69 222 69 218 46584 44740 83 227 80 226 78 223 76 222 75 217 44740 43027 87 224 84 223 83 218 80 218 79 216 43027 41427 89 223 88 222 89 217 87 217 84 216 41427 39931 84 225 83 224 85 220 88 217 86 216 39931 38523 73 229 73 227 72 224 76 219 84 216 38523 37160 66 231 67 227 69 223 68 222 78 217 37160 35772 60 231 64 226 67 221 62 220 66 216 35772 34332 57 231 61 227 59 219 55 213 52 215 34332 32841 57 231 56 226 56 219 53 216 50 215 32841 31278 58 226 55 223 54 215 52 213 52 213 31278 29629 61 223 58 221 54 213 50 207 53 210 29629 27896 59 220 60 217 59 209 54 203 55 204 27896 26081 55 213 58 214 60 205 61 201 66 200 26081 24184 54 212 52 213 53 207 61 200 68 196 24184 22206 49 215 46 214 47 210 51 203 55 191 22206 20150 42 218 38 218 40 210 39 206 33 193 20150 18004 37 219 34 219 34 208 33 205 32 209 18004 15806 33 223 30 220 30 213 29 213 31 216 15806 13678 30 232 28 226 26 218 24 214 25 215 13678 11736 26 235 25 225 22 222 19 213 19 212 11736 10008 22 239 21 223 19 222 15 211 14 210 10008 8471 17 244 17 222 16 218 12 213 12 205 8471 7105 12 244 14 217 14 218 10 228 8 202 7105 5893 8 231 13 213 12 231 12 242 4 242 5893 4823 7 229 11 224 13 245 12 238 7 258 4823 3881 5 249 7 248 13 245 12 225 8 246 3881 3049 4 325 3 290 10 236 12 202 10 230 3049 2306 7 350 5 335 5 203 13 176 12 217 2306 1650 10 355 5*338 5*148 14*155 13 206 1650 1103 11 353 2*353 6*139 14*146 14 193 1103 684 8 341 2 011 6 139 14 144 15 178 684 397 3*341 2 021 5 138 13 143 13 164 397 223 2*352 2 024 5 138 12 142 10*155 223 124 2 360 2 027 5 138 9 142 5*146 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography