DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 87.3 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 258 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1195 - - 2390 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 597 - - 1511 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1301 - - 2497 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 719 - - 3034 - - - - - 201 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 348 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 104 - - 147 - - - - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -14 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4527 - - -7283 - - - - - -5660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5829 - - 9781 - - - - - 5783 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11097 - - -12191 - - - - - -11337 ODpotential blCL - - - 12398 - - 14688 - - - - - 11460 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 26 - - - - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 87.3 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 44.8 - - - - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.8 - - 85.7 - - - - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 43.7 - - - - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 258 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1195 - - 2390 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99186 23 110 16 123 10 088 99186 91757 18 133 14 124 15 087 91757 86003 18 123 12 132 13 080 86003 81192 12 103 12 118 11 124 81192 77043 9 102 7 098 13 138 77043 73389 8 118 6 127 10 104 73389 70092 6 118 8 123 5 084 70092 67068 5 007 6 135 7 059 67068 64266 5 253 4 009 2 278 64266 61556 13 184 8 230 5 273 61556 58726 13 255 13 223 13 264 58726 55778 25 253 21 247 23 265 55778 52966 30 256 30 250 32 263 52966 50442 38 262 33 257 33 262 50442 48184 45 262 38 257 35 261 48184 46139 48 261 42 254 37 260 46139 44266 50 261 45 253 38 259 44266 42534 53 258 46 254 37 262 42534 40926 53 256 45 253 40 261 40926 39426 50 256 44 250 43 256 39426 38020 48 256 43 251 43 253 38020 36666 48 255 44 253 41 254 36666 35293 47 250 44 251 40 257 35293 33869 46 245 43 250 41 258 33869 32394 45 244 42 250 45 256 32394 30849 45 244 42 251 46 256 30849 29220 46 245 42 252 45 256 29220 27508 46 248 40 253 42 256 27508 25712 40 252 40 250 35 258 25712 23836 35 253 37 250 27 262 23836 21886 31 254 32 252 21 267 21886 19854 28 255 27 255 19 268 19854 17730 25 255 22 255 17 265 17730 15557 24 253 20 253 14 257 15557 13459 23 247 19 248 13 247 13459 11547 20 241 19 242 12 243 11547 9847 18 241 17 243 10 245 9847 8336 16 246 13 247 6 248 8336 6995 13 246 10 247 3 205 6995 5806 11 248 10 240 4 185 5806 4754 8 251 11 235 5 189 4754 3826 6 247 10 226 6 195 3826 3007 5 240 8*206 7 203 3007 2275 4 240 7*183 8 212 2275 1628 1*231 7 151 9 215 1628 1089 1*118 7 142 11 206 1089 676 1 109 7 137 12 191 676 392 2 100 7 134 11 175 392 221 2 097 7 133 9*164 221 123 2 093 6 132 4*157 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography