DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 72.3 - - 63.9 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 264 - - 7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3766 - - 5515 - - 889 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2526 - - 3874 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3871 - - 5621 - - 994 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2034 - - 1859 - - 3673 - - 3475 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 403 - - 461 - - 90 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 26 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 204 - - 097 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 128 - - -213 - - -445 - - -669 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3743 - - 5834 - - 1439 - - 791 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -333 - - -338 - - -1121 - - -1200 ODpotential blCL - - - 4204 - - 5959 - - 2115 - - 1322 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 100 - - 101 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 350 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 72.3 - - 63.9 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.3 - - 47.0 - - 57.9 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 70.5 - - 63.8 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 46.2 - - 57.1 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 264 - - 7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3766 - - 5515 - - 889 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 101 - - 102 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97726 17 242 26 254 30 258 28 291 97726 90264 18 252 20 261 26 282 19 269 90264 84531 19 257 18 273 21 278 16 280 84531 79791 12 267 14 275 15 271 15 283 79791 75736 12 299 14 281 14 290 12 299 75736 72166 14 303 14 282 15 294 15 301 72166 68928 11 303 15 274 16 294 18 301 68928 65940 12 301 15 274 19 302 19 301 65940 63159 11 293 16 281 20 296 17 298 63159 60450 15 300 17 281 19 291 16 297 60450 57612 17 286 15 276 18 286 15 299 57612 54662 16 282 15 275 15 285 16 303 54662 51847 17 286 11 268 14 272 13 286 51847 49319 14 265 10 282 10 244 10 275 49319 47056 11 259 12 260 8 252 6 279 47056 45004 11 264 11 235 6 256 1 224 45004 43128 11 269 8 213 2 216 7 100 43128 41403 12 256 4 204 5 071 17 076 41403 39809 10 212 4 203 7 069 22 073 39809 38326 10 128 7 121 14 076 34 077 38326 36939 12 088 18 079 22 085 45 067 36939 35610 22 085 24 080 47 079 51 069 35610 34269 45 082 44 080 56 074 63 074 34269 32886 56 079 60 078 62 073 70 075 32886 31455 61 078 66 081 63 076 67 073 31455 29957 62 078 64 081 54 074 57 075 29957 28382 58 075 57 079 50 072 47 079 28382 26729 47 071 50 077 50 070 42 075 26729 24994 39 076 41 078 48 067 41 067 24994 23176 38 077 35 078 46 069 41 065 23176 21278 34 079 33 071 44 071 42 070 21278 19293 30 082 33 069 43 072 39 071 19293 17217 29 088 31 076 39 074 35 074 17217 15094 26 091 28 082 25 080 30 073 15094 13042 20 093 23 081 16 072 28 065 13042 11172 17 083 17 067 9 045 26 058 11172 9510 15 063 14 040 7 028 23 054 9510 8038 9 021 13 004 7 006 19 051 8038 6733 6 315 6*333 3 336 10 040 6733 5579 6 253 4*292 4 213 4 312 5579 4562 7*239 3 236 6 214 9 274 4562 3670 6*228 3 216 6 215 11 283 3670 2884 5 205 3 201 5 210 12 288 2884 2183 5 183 4 192 4 202 12 286 2183 1564 5 173 4 186 3 187 12 279 1564 1049 5 166 4 180 2*139 10 272 1049 653 6 162 4 176 2*103 8 264 653 381 5 159 4 176 2 097 6 254 381 216 5 158 4 175 2 095 5*245 216 122 5 157 4 173 2 092 3*236 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography