DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/26 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.9 - - 82.8 - - 93.6 - - 95.9 - - 81.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 144 - - 86 - - -44 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 806 - - 1198 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 108 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 913 - - 1306 - - 124 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 380 - - 528 - - 1987 - - 9269 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 205 - - 212 - - 31 - - 20 W* B/S 10 - - 15 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 11 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 086 - - 095 - - 144 - - 185 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -5 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3744 - - -5478 - - -8126 - - -11120 - - -6661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3866 - - 6391 - - 9432 - - 11244 - - 6784 sfcLCL ODpotential -12461 - - -11509 - - -11691 - - -13291 - - -11081 ODpotential blCL 12583 - - 12422 - - 12997 - - 13415 - - 11204 blCL maxRH 51 - - 40 - - 33 - - 14 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 69.9 - - 82.8 - - 93.6 - - 95.9 - - 81.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.8 - - 55.7 - - 52.9 - - 47.0 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.7 - - 81.8 - - 93.0 - - 97.5 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.2 - - 54.4 - - 51.6 - - 45.8 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 144 - - 86 - - -44 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 806 - - 1198 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99221 35 111 28 117 28 087 32 097 34 100 99221 91824 34 098 29 107 24 105 28 103 27 100 91824 86088 28 100 25 100 26 113 24 096 24 106 86088 81302 26 093 20 100 25 103 24 108 21 089 81302 77187 17 100 21 100 14 100 20 099 15 100 77187 73551 14 109 13 104 9 095 7 060 15 102 73551 70249 13 098 9 109 11 115 7 099 11 068 70249 67229 9 098 12 108 10 129 5 140 6 045 67229 64452 2 043 5 057 8 120 3 142 0 234 64452 61776 3 147 3 216 2 239 3 052 4 169 61776 58988 7 274 6 266 7 274 12 302 9 301 58988 56103 9 212 14 230 19 238 21 266 20 276 56103 53360 16 273 18 262 20 251 25 257 24 265 53360 50897 29 276 28 264 29 264 28 258 28 260 50897 48687 39 274 36 264 37 258 35 256 36 257 48687 46667 45 270 41 264 42 253 40 249 43 249 46667 44792 48 269 43 264 43 256 41 251 44 247 44792 43039 48 267 45 263 47 259 47 258 46 254 43039 41391 48 261 47 260 48 257 54 254 46 258 41391 39846 46 256 46 252 47 251 50 254 43 255 39846 38397 48 252 49 249 48 250 45 254 40 255 38397 37003 50 248 50 249 47 248 40 256 35 256 37003 35590 48 247 46 249 41 244 39 248 35 256 35590 34126 42 248 42 249 39 242 40 242 35 256 34126 32610 37 246 41 246 39 239 39 238 32 255 32610 31028 36 242 41 240 40 234 37 236 31 255 31028 29365 36 240 41 235 42 231 36 233 30 252 29365 27621 36 238 40 233 41 229 33 227 29 248 27621 25795 37 235 38 232 37 227 31 225 25 240 25795 23888 35 234 35 226 33 223 31 222 24 228 23888 21907 30 234 32 219 32 213 34 212 27 216 21907 19855 25 233 29 211 33 201 35 203 33 200 19855 17734 24 234 29 207 33 193 33 192 39 186 17734 15581 26 234 28 207 31 191 30 185 40 174 15581 13501 25 232 24 204 29 191 30 184 38 167 13501 11598 21 235 22 204 26 194 28 185 35 165 11598 9899 18 240 20 207 22 198 24 182 28 165 9899 8387 16 247 18 214 18 199 21 179 24 174 8387 7042 13 252 16 225 15 209 15 187 19 185 7042 5846 11 248 15 237 13 216 11 204 14 189 5846 4787 11 234 12 242 13 217 12 205 12 191 4787 3852 10 230 12 239 13 213 13 204 10 199 3852 3027 7 246 10 240 13 202 13 202 10 221 3027 2289 4 281 5 241 13 187 13 199 14 239 2289 1638 4 322 1 193 12*166 13 194 18 241 1638 1096 6 323 2*104 12*148 13 192 19 234 1096 681 4 305 3*097 12 144 12 190 19 227 681 395 1 265 3 095 11 143 12 188 17 217 395 222 0 123 2 093 10 141 10 186 13 209 222 123 1*086 2 093 9 140 8*185 7*200 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography