DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.8 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 76 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 323 - - 891 - - 547 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 427 - - 995 - - 652 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 653 - - 213 - - 500 - - 584 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 168 - - 49 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 23 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 038 - - 019 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 104 - - -26 - - -213 - - -71 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 323 - - 1021 - - 865 - - 192 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 225 - - -10030 - - -9666 - - -10797 ODpotential blCL - - - 202 - - 11025 - - 10318 - - 10918 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 94 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.8 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 46.8 - - 47.7 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 50.0 - - 50.8 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 46.1 - - 47.3 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 76 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 323 - - 891 - - 547 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 76 - - 76 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96449 33 073 31 070 33 103 23 105 96449 89345 21 078 23 079 25 095 25 074 89345 83824 13 071 11 077 13 075 20 065 83824 79245 8 069 7 077 5 038 18 026 79245 75303 6 043 7 023 6 009 12 015 75303 71807 5 345 12 333 12 355 14 001 71807 68631 5 339 10 312 12 328 15 334 68631 65705 8 324 10 302 11 314 15 313 65705 62975 13 319 19 302 20 302 19 299 62975 60314 20 297 23 288 28 290 22 287 60314 57523 22 281 26 283 33 283 27 294 57523 54621 33 282 35 286 38 289 39 294 54621 51860 37 282 43 276 47 290 44 283 51860 49382 39 282 42 264 44 286 43 285 49382 47171 39 279 41 268 38 287 41 287 47171 45174 36 278 38 271 39 288 39 289 45174 43353 40 277 40 275 42 279 37 291 43353 41677 43 275 35 278 40 272 39 285 41677 40125 43 272 35 285 39 282 40 286 40125 38687 46 270 34 285 44 287 42 292 38687 37348 51 266 32 295 44 288 45 293 37348 36054 51 262 32 300 41 290 46 286 36054 34731 48 263 30 298 39 290 40 282 34731 33348 45 265 27 292 36 287 36 283 33348 31907 43 268 23 288 32 282 35 281 31907 30394 41 271 23 290 29 276 37 282 30394 28796 38 274 25 295 27 274 37 279 28796 27116 36 277 27 302 27 281 36 279 27116 25351 35 278 28 298 25 282 37 283 25351 23503 34 275 29 280 26 276 37 283 23503 21574 34 276 30 276 30 274 35 276 21574 19559 33 273 31 272 31 274 36 270 19559 17451 32 272 34 273 34 276 38 272 17451 15293 32 270 34 275 33 278 35 274 15293 13206 30 273 31 273 29 276 30 274 13206 11305 26 275 26 269 26 275 25 276 11305 9614 22 273 23 269 21 274 19 276 9614 8112 18 266 20 269 18 276 14 280 8112 6781 15 260 17 270 15 284 10 293 6781 5603 12 258 14 273 12 293 7 308 5603 4566 8 259 9 280 9 304 5 311 4566 3657 4 269 5 292 5 320 3 301 3657 2860 3 341 3 333 4 346 3 301 2860 2152 5 004 2 014 3 354 4 321 2152 1533 6 001 1 008 4 352 5 331 1533 1022 5 349 1*001 3*335 4 333 1022 635 4*360 1*031 2*005 1 349 635 372 4*003 1 040 2 020 2 104 372 212 3 006 1 040 2 026 2*110 212 121 3 006 1 039 2 029 2*114 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography