DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.8 - - 85.3 - - 97.1 - - 98.3 - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 126 - - 174 - - 15 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 697 - - 1897 - - 1207 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 994 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 804 - - 2004 - - 1315 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 586 - - 2236 - - 9874 - - 84 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 180 - - 280 - - 110 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 23 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 350 - - 004 - - 153 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -4 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5603 - - -10165 - - -11598 - - -12063 - - -10059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5725 - - 10970 - - 13603 - - 13379 - - 10182 sfcLCL ODpotential -13993 - - -14726 - - -14671 - - -14959 - - -16568 ODpotential blCL 14115 - - 15530 - - 16675 - - 16274 - - 16691 blCL maxRH 29 - - 49 - - 64 - - 40 - - 14 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.8 - - 85.3 - - 97.1 - - 98.3 - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 38.4 - - 37.6 - - 39.8 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.3 - - 84.3 - - 95.8 - - 98.1 - - 89.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.3 - - 37.9 - - 36.8 - - 39.1 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 126 - - 174 - - 15 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 697 - - 1897 - - 1207 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97895 12 264 9 281 8 280 12 272 9 271 97895 90597 2 110 5 237 5 293 2 286 2 051 90597 84963 10 060 2 054 3 212 3 356 7 040 84963 80301 10 073 5 066 4 065 6 051 10 056 80301 76312 11 072 8 103 8 045 9 050 13 062 76312 72809 15 038 13 080 8 070 7 025 11 050 72809 69654 14 035 13 069 5 083 7 017 11 027 69654 66750 11 035 11 064 4 096 4 016 10 001 66750 64054 5 353 4 062 0 182 3 334 5 289 64054 61444 6 290 5 009 2 166 3 335 7 234 61444 58714 15 284 15 312 9 301 13 294 10 284 58714 55884 19 284 21 292 19 293 25 290 25 288 55884 53193 34 285 36 286 38 293 39 298 34 300 53193 50767 48 286 50 287 52 291 55 290 55 292 50767 48587 61 278 58 282 64 282 66 282 64 286 48587 46598 60 280 60 281 66 283 66 287 67 288 46598 44759 64 286 68 285 71 289 71 288 69 290 44759 43047 74 287 79 288 76 289 75 288 72 290 43047 41443 81 287 84 288 80 288 77 291 72 290 41443 39934 85 289 84 288 81 288 78 291 70 292 39934 38509 85 290 80 289 79 288 78 290 70 294 38509 37130 82 292 75 291 76 289 74 291 71 293 37130 35727 71 292 67 293 72 293 68 293 68 295 35727 34272 54 287 55 292 68 296 68 294 64 294 34272 32773 43 294 40 291 61 298 64 294 63 293 32773 31212 46 298 35 295 45 295 62 298 57 296 31212 29566 50 297 38 302 32 296 52 299 48 300 29566 27834 46 306 39 304 32 299 38 298 43 303 27834 26016 32 311 34 307 31 302 31 302 34 306 26016 24118 19 312 26 311 27 313 26 311 23 313 24118 22143 13 319 18 316 18 323 19 327 15 324 22143 20085 10 306 13 306 12 332 14 335 10 335 20085 17935 7 283 11 293 11 328 9 348 8 338 17935 15743 3 279 4 231 9 312 7 008 3 354 15743 13632 2 286 7 142 4 175 5 339 4 093 13632 11713 0 052 2 183 5 158 7 324 9 048 11713 10003 1 228 3 275 2 199 8 323 9 033 10003 8478 0 275 4 287 4 305 8 320 5 015 8478 7119 1 302 4 300 7 310 7 317 3 330 7119 5909 2 351 3 354 6 316 6 311 4 301 5909 4837 2 017 5 021 4 330 6 302 5 289 4837 3892 4 020 7 015 4 358 5 296 6 282 3892 3058 6 018 9 020 5 020 3 280 7 278 3058 2312 9 018 10 019 4*021 2 243 8 275 2312 1654 10 020 10 010 3*008 2*190 8 267 1654 1105 8 019 9*359 3 004 2*160 7 252 1105 685 5 009 6*350 2 004 3 153 6 237 685 397 4 351 6 350 2 359 3 150 6 230 397 223 4 330 5 350 2 358 3 149 6 239 223 123 2*303 5 350 2 002 2 149 5*239 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography