DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.6 - - 50.5 - - 63.2 - - 63.9 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -4 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 567 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 106 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 121 - - 673 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 116 - - 258 - - 644 - - 1281 - - 268 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 15 - - 82 - - 8 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 343 - - 015 - - 005 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2596 - - -3166 - - -3262 - - -3463 - - -2027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2717 - - 3288 - - 3935 - - 3585 - - 2149 sfcLCL ODpotential -17414 - - -15820 - - -13404 - - -12080 - - -13908 ODpotential blCL 17535 - - 15941 - - 14077 - - 12202 - - 14029 blCL maxRH 45 - - 47 - - 49 - - 49 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.6 - - 50.5 - - 63.2 - - 63.9 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.9 - - 37.2 - - 46.9 - - 49.0 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.3 - - 51.1 - - 63.6 - - 65.6 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.7 - - 36.2 - - 45.6 - - 47.9 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -4 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 567 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96862 50 089 34 096 35 089 51 090 46 097 96862 89780 52 091 37 109 35 095 49 089 53 100 89780 84292 45 082 43 092 32 107 38 100 50 093 84292 79695 21 078 37 081 32 099 30 112 36 095 79695 75690 14 102 24 075 21 079 35 082 30 091 75690 72127 16 074 10 081 12 067 25 051 31 077 72127 68901 19 051 15 051 17 070 18 053 23 064 68901 65938 25 033 23 048 24 052 18 063 23 051 65938 63198 23 353 27 038 27 036 16 029 23 045 63198 60557 14 324 24 006 24 019 17 021 22 025 60557 57820 17 359 21 358 22 009 23 011 23 004 57820 54989 29 345 30 354 27 000 28 000 26 349 54989 52292 33 337 35 336 36 339 40 346 37 341 52292 49868 36 333 40 333 40 327 46 335 44 338 49868 47689 41 334 44 334 44 328 48 333 47 337 47689 45706 43 332 46 334 47 332 49 332 50 336 45706 43882 40 331 43 335 47 332 49 328 49 335 43882 42186 36 328 39 335 42 330 45 326 45 335 42186 40607 31 328 35 340 36 335 38 329 37 337 40607 39132 27 332 33 351 29 345 29 342 26 341 39132 37755 27 357 31 003 28 005 22 347 13 354 37755 36433 28 015 33 012 25 027 12 011 8 075 36433 35092 27 025 32 020 21 050 12 069 23 086 35092 33702 27 026 23 028 19 062 15 084 29 087 33702 32261 26 025 17 051 20 079 15 087 26 093 32261 30748 25 029 19 065 22 087 16 088 20 097 30748 29150 20 033 19 060 22 088 18 085 15 093 29150 27465 15 057 15 068 21 085 21 082 15 089 27465 25690 18 084 16 093 20 085 22 082 17 084 25690 23825 22 088 19 097 20 084 21 082 18 083 23825 21873 21 089 18 096 20 077 21 078 17 086 21873 19827 19 095 16 094 19 067 19 067 16 083 19827 17684 18 105 16 093 16 057 17 065 16 077 17684 15492 13 088 15 091 13 057 14 074 15 079 15492 13376 10 071 14 095 9 076 11 087 13 085 13376 11449 13 098 15 107 11 108 11 102 12 091 11449 9738 19 093 20 101 15 114 12 104 12 093 9738 8221 16 092 23 100 14 121 12 105 14 094 8221 6876 13 082 17 104 11 115 14 102 16 078 6876 5688 15 081 13 098 11 110 14 083 16 068 5688 4641 15 085 12 099 9 091 15 069 13 068 4641 3723 12 080 10 096 10 051 14 058 12 060 3723 2918 11 065 10 074 14 034 15 040 13 053 2918 2202 15 044 14 040 19 023 19 022 17 038 2202 1572 24 022 24 015 22 014 21 011 23 021 1572 1049 32 010 32 006 19*013 17 007 27 010 1049 651 29 004 26 002 14*014 12 007 19 004 651 379 16 355 14 353 12 015 8 007 10 356 379 215 10*348 9 350 10 015 5*005 5 353 215 121 5*336 3*343 8 016 2*005 1*347 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography