DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.1 - - 44.0 - - 48.4 - - 49.6 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 39 - - 69 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 338 - - 961 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 443 - - 1065 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 942 - - 515 - - 352 - - 1027 - - 811 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 97 - - 168 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 337 - - 138 - - 046 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -59 - - -200 - - 61 - - -605 - - -103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 179 - - 643 - - 1004 - - 726 - - 224 sfcLCL ODpotential -6 - - -13009 - - -11139 - - -9641 - - -251 ODpotential blCL 126 - - 13452 - - 12204 - - 9762 - - 372 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 97 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.1 - - 44.0 - - 48.4 - - 49.6 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.2 - - 42.0 - - 44.8 - - 47.2 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 43.6 - - 47.8 - - 49.9 - - 45.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.3 - - 41.4 - - 43.8 - - 46.5 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 39 - - 69 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 338 - - 961 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 75 - - 87 - - 61 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96523 49 038 40 045 36 039 36 038 36 042 96523 89460 43 042 35 047 29 042 29 054 28 041 89460 83986 38 050 37 049 29 042 31 044 27 044 83986 79422 33 058 35 052 29 042 31 033 30 037 79422 75466 25 064 28 057 24 045 25 040 25 033 75466 71940 25 049 20 060 19 047 16 050 17 042 71940 68730 22 025 15 040 11 031 10 053 10 032 68730 65779 18 357 15 017 9 009 7 023 9 030 65779 63048 13 355 13 015 9 008 6 006 8 031 63048 60406 9 008 11 017 10 011 4 011 2 047 60406 57649 5 051 8 037 9 020 3 028 5 130 57649 54786 6 087 7 084 5 076 3 155 6 124 54786 52048 6 074 9 141 7 150 10 191 3 174 52048 49587 3 100 13 156 10 165 11 206 12 208 49587 47406 2 150 13 166 14 183 17 210 18 207 47406 45454 7 193 15 177 18 207 20 206 21 226 45454 43685 12 196 19 206 35 211 24 229 50 231 43685 42059 14 202 26 215 43 219 45 230 88 234 42059 40539 13 194 31 215 33 214 74 229 103 232 40539 39102 14 181 36 211 26 202 66 228 107 231 39102 37738 18 168 33 211 23 205 54 226 102 232 37738 36408 20 149 33 217 24 203 44 213 88 233 36408 35047 21 131 33 221 27 197 39 200 67 230 35047 33633 21 122 32 226 28 194 41 193 43 214 33633 32170 20 125 28 223 25 195 44 194 32 190 32170 30639 23 129 20 194 20 199 40 199 34 189 30639 29017 26 129 20 152 21 185 34 204 34 185 29017 27306 27 123 26 135 25 173 26 201 30 182 27306 25505 27 120 35 130 25 174 24 193 24 175 25505 23617 27 117 35 126 23 172 22 190 18 168 23617 21647 25 114 31 121 22 159 15 182 13 157 21647 19593 20 114 27 120 21 148 10 168 11 123 19593 17452 16 114 21 118 20 143 13 150 15 116 17452 15270 13 113 16 118 17 143 15 143 18 139 15270 13171 10 104 14 121 12 150 13 149 16 152 13171 11266 9 087 13 139 13 173 15 175 17 166 11266 9577 5 135 12 174 16 193 20 189 19 188 9577 8081 5 185 11 185 17 197 21 206 23 202 8081 6756 4 144 12 175 16 193 22 210 25 204 6756 5582 5 111 14 170 15 193 19 220 21 209 5582 4547 6 100 12 167 12 188 16 231 15 211 4547 3640 7 083 9 141 9 173 10 219 10 210 3640 2845 7 067 7 090 4 133 7 179 6 195 2845 2141 6 055 10 035 4 070 5 158 4 142 2141 1525 6 037 13 013 3*105 3 039 5 052 1525 1018 3 019 11 345 4*140 4 345 8 001 1018 634 1 318 7*333 5 139 3 358 6 008 634 371 1 289 5*335 5 137 3 026 5 029 371 212 1*281 4 337 5 137 3*037 4*030 212 121 1*288 4 339 4 135 2*046 3*030 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography