DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 48.2 - - 58.4 - - 60.1 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 34 - - 62 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 289 - - 790 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 394 - - 896 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 348 - - 353 - - 548 - - 1568 - - 231 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 89 - - 152 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 343 - - 336 - - 356 - - 359 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -221 - - -2304 - - -2643 - - -2990 - - -1490 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 342 - - 2698 - - 3539 - - 3112 - - 1611 sfcLCL ODpotential -13583 - - -13859 - - -11688 - - -10901 - - -11546 ODpotential blCL 13704 - - 14253 - - 12584 - - 11023 - - 11667 blCL maxRH 93 - - 68 - - 60 - - 55 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 48.2 - - 58.4 - - 60.1 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 37.4 - - 43.8 - - 47.2 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.6 - - 48.0 - - 57.9 - - 60.8 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 36.6 - - 42.9 - - 46.3 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 34 - - 62 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 289 - - 790 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96765 36 079 20 038 38 051 42 066 33 071 96765 89698 35 079 29 063 29 065 33 066 38 073 89698 84190 37 074 31 075 28 071 29 067 36 071 84190 79560 32 065 28 071 26 064 28 066 30 065 79560 75566 28 064 25 066 19 063 23 058 28 057 75566 72044 26 058 20 062 15 055 25 048 29 056 72044 68850 22 053 16 051 16 024 28 036 29 050 68850 65916 21 038 20 049 16 028 24 020 26 030 65916 63207 22 007 24 041 19 037 19 012 25 018 63207 60592 21 349 27 023 22 025 21 011 23 008 60592 57862 21 347 31 001 26 017 25 006 25 000 57862 55020 25 348 30 349 28 356 29 351 28 350 55020 52314 29 340 32 347 31 340 32 340 28 340 52314 49884 30 339 30 335 31 324 33 333 30 338 49884 47697 28 328 26 324 29 308 31 315 29 325 47697 45702 25 320 24 320 26 304 28 306 25 318 45702 43860 25 319 23 321 24 305 27 296 23 307 43860 42146 22 317 23 316 22 301 24 297 21 298 42146 40548 24 299 22 312 20 303 20 298 21 297 40548 39062 22 288 21 311 21 308 21 304 25 308 39062 37687 26 298 26 311 28 311 29 309 30 333 37687 36371 33 300 33 306 34 317 38 320 37 341 36371 35030 35 301 38 305 40 309 44 319 42 326 35030 33632 35 305 37 307 39 308 44 313 43 323 33632 32176 34 306 33 307 35 308 42 309 43 322 32176 30647 33 305 30 304 33 306 40 306 42 322 30647 29031 30 300 29 300 34 304 39 307 40 319 29031 27329 25 287 30 301 35 301 38 307 39 319 27329 25541 20 261 32 305 35 299 38 306 39 319 25541 23668 18 232 31 305 31 302 36 307 38 319 23668 21714 17 239 26 297 29 304 33 309 34 317 21714 19678 19 257 22 285 30 302 32 306 30 315 19678 17556 18 269 20 278 26 297 32 305 28 312 17556 15387 15 284 16 285 16 288 24 305 23 312 15387 13291 15 289 11 308 10 302 13 297 13 311 13291 11383 12 288 12 307 12 315 9 299 10 307 11383 9684 9 300 11 291 11 308 11 313 11 326 9684 8176 9 315 10 284 9 294 11 318 12 340 8176 6840 9 326 8 290 8 297 10 328 12 350 6840 5658 7 339 4 310 5 315 7 344 10 359 5658 4615 4 005 2 007 3 356 6 004 8 004 4615 3701 2 061 2 046 4 017 6 017 7 008 3701 2898 3 071 3 055 5 028 5 026 6 015 2898 2185 4 059 4 047 5 025 6 016 7 013 2185 1560 5 019 7 014 8 012 8 003 8 011 1560 1043 6 353 9 356 7*359 7 357 7 349 1043 649 2 005 9*344 6*355 6 357 3 333 649 378 2 020 7*339 6 356 5 358 1 277 378 214 2*008 5 335 5 356 4*360 1*240 214 121 1*343 4 335 4 357 3*359 1*241 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography