DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 57.6 - - 57.0 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - -1 - - -11 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 609 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 714 - - 122 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1446 - - 1972 - - 2180 - - 1693 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 165 - - 177 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 167 - - -259 - - -518 - - -245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 547 - - 381 - - 639 - - 366 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -401 - - -848 - - -1853 - - -993 ODpotential blCL - - - 1115 - - 970 - - 1974 - - 1114 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 95 - - 83 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 140 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 57.6 - - 57.0 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.4 - - 56.3 - - 54.7 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 57.7 - - 58.0 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 56.1 - - 54.1 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - -1 - - -11 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 609 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 82 - - 32 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95992 11 337 9 343 13 344 12 298 95992 88969 11 334 12 308 20 347 7 358 88969 83528 9 341 11 297 12 331 11 337 83528 78989 16 314 17 306 12 310 17 325 78989 75058 10 316 10 289 12 290 9 299 75058 71559 14 306 11 305 11 291 10 305 71559 68378 26 272 22 268 20 264 23 271 68378 65453 27 257 25 254 26 250 26 255 65453 62731 29 246 29 247 31 242 31 251 62731 60073 35 242 34 242 34 242 35 249 60073 57289 46 244 43 248 44 251 45 244 57289 54400 59 243 60 247 58 252 57 241 54400 51628 66 245 67 244 66 247 64 238 51628 49123 75 248 70 247 73 247 68 239 49123 46880 89 247 82 247 81 248 77 242 46880 44851 102 242 99 240 94 245 89 242 44851 42999 95 242 96 239 101 242 95 239 42999 41303 98 244 94 244 102 239 95 239 41303 39740 109 242 103 242 101 238 101 240 39740 38284 118 240 116 240 103 240 121 234 38284 36919 115 242 120 240 111 241 125 234 36919 35607 107 242 112 240 111 240 113 235 35607 34278 97 240 101 241 106 240 103 234 34278 32897 89 239 90 241 97 240 100 234 32897 31461 82 240 84 242 85 239 95 235 31461 29957 75 242 80 240 79 240 82 237 29957 28372 72 240 75 238 77 243 72 239 28372 26708 69 236 73 239 74 244 63 244 26708 24962 65 233 71 239 72 246 54 243 24962 23133 63 229 69 234 70 248 49 243 23133 21223 64 229 65 229 66 247 48 239 21223 19225 58 240 58 232 57 237 48 231 19225 17140 50 252 53 246 46 229 45 225 17140 15011 41 243 43 246 41 234 39 220 15011 12962 37 238 34 237 36 235 34 216 12962 11101 35 237 31 230 33 238 29 210 11101 9450 35 235 26 220 29 243 26 209 9450 7986 33 241 22 214 26 239 23 225 7986 6691 28 250 19 221 22 242 23 239 6691 5543 20 251 17 234 16 242 23 239 5543 4528 14 238 14 232 12 240 22 235 4528 3636 12 224 12 230 10 242 15 233 3636 2853 12 219 12 233 8 243 10 236 2853 2156 12 214 11 234 7 240 8 244 2156 1543 13 205 11 222 7 231 7 252 1543 1034 15*192 11 200 9 219 8 261 1034 644 14*185 12 182 10 203 10 258 644 377 12 180 11 171 9 191 8 247 377 214 11 179 10*168 7 182 6 233 214 121 9 178 7*165 5*177 3*224 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography