DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 81.4 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 369 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2926 - - 4989 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1952 - - 3614 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3032 - - 5096 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1159 - - 1538 - - - - - 6682 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 389 - - 498 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 23 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 025 - - 025 - - - - - 112 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2721 - - -3109 - - - - - -7499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5753 - - 8205 - - - - - 7622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8614 - - -8109 - - - - - -13027 ODpotential blCL - - - 11646 - - 13205 - - - - - 13150 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 58 - - - - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 81.4 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 45.8 - - - - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 79.1 - - - - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 44.8 - - - - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 369 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2926 - - 4989 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98193 3 215 3 211 7 346 98193 90766 8 199 4 284 3 239 90766 85050 5 183 5 254 1 007 85050 80317 2 118 1 182 6 001 80317 76263 3 114 1 173 10 038 76263 72684 6 063 4 101 13 000 72684 69450 7 009 7 349 5 310 69450 66473 8 014 9 314 8 050 66473 63699 5 328 6 299 14 334 63699 61016 14 307 9 321 10 315 61016 58225 16 286 15 307 11 336 58225 55341 12 298 13 296 9 311 55341 52589 15 316 11 297 10 012 52589 50111 18 320 23 332 29 351 50111 47900 28 326 29 323 29 339 47900 45897 24 290 17 317 21 320 45897 44056 17 319 13 355 19 318 44056 42356 29 338 22 342 26 325 42356 40787 42 327 29 320 31 317 40787 39326 47 315 32 310 30 311 39326 37949 46 312 33 306 30 311 37949 36616 42 309 31 302 30 310 36616 35258 37 304 31 298 29 306 35258 33844 33 302 31 296 28 304 33844 32376 29 306 32 294 26 309 32376 30836 29 315 32 291 26 313 30836 29212 27 321 31 291 26 314 29212 27503 26 319 30 295 25 313 27503 25707 28 317 29 300 23 311 25707 23826 32 318 27 304 24 308 23826 21863 30 318 24 302 24 309 21863 19811 24 305 21 297 23 313 19811 17665 28 293 22 304 23 319 17665 15477 27 300 23 314 22 331 15477 13371 22 307 20 317 16 341 13371 11459 19 304 16 314 11 349 11459 9760 17 310 12 320 9 002 9760 8255 16 325 10 341 11 011 8255 6924 13 333 8 355 7 008 6924 5747 11 342 6*006 4 026 5747 4706 10 349 5*015 3 043 4706 3788 8*019 5 019 3 062 3788 2978 8*024 4 023 3 077 2978 2254 8 025 4 025 3 089 2254 1614 8 025 4 030 3 097 1614 1081 8 026 4 031 4 102 1081 672 7 026 3 033 4 106 672 391 6 027 3 036 4 108 391 221 6 026 3 034 4*110 221 123 5 026 3 033 3*112 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography