DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 61.1 - - 61.8 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 59 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 346 - - 1081 - - 942 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 451 - - 1186 - - 1048 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 908 - - 1244 - - 2043 - - 259 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 87 - - 176 - - 78 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 337 - - 150 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2048 - - -1978 - - -1580 - - -577 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2499 - - 3164 - - 2628 - - 698 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6480 - - -5336 - - -4038 - - -3636 ODpotential blCL - - - 6931 - - 6522 - - 5086 - - 3757 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 60 - - 64 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 61.1 - - 61.8 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 47.9 - - 50.9 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 60.6 - - 62.0 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 46.6 - - 49.6 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 59 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 346 - - 1081 - - 942 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 33 091 37 094 40 100 39 091 96596 89524 32 098 25 101 29 098 28 096 89524 84008 22 099 18 104 18 092 17 108 84008 79386 15 089 11 101 15 099 12 118 79386 75386 8 080 8 081 11 120 11 114 75386 71824 3 121 5 128 6 136 7 105 71824 68585 1 247 4 224 2 225 1 305 68585 65606 8 313 9 249 10 258 9 266 65606 62837 10 306 15 245 18 259 16 271 62837 60154 17 308 16 268 22 259 24 269 60154 57362 23 268 19 276 24 268 26 260 57362 54459 23 288 36 285 40 281 37 272 54459 51680 41 281 38 272 46 275 44 266 51680 49169 29 280 35 268 44 280 42 268 49169 46904 24 304 46 294 58 292 57 283 46904 44846 53 302 68 293 75 284 80 282 44846 42975 54 293 62 286 71 274 81 272 42975 41274 34 298 51 301 53 297 66 285 41274 39726 72 320 82 306 74 300 86 288 39726 38304 82 317 69 296 75 293 77 277 38304 36973 71 316 57 293 64 289 66 275 36973 35679 70 321 61 307 55 292 61 276 35679 34353 65 322 63 313 54 295 58 278 34353 32971 56 328 59 315 54 294 58 283 32971 31537 49 331 53 318 51 295 60 288 31537 30036 42 334 48 321 52 299 60 288 30036 28451 33 337 46 323 57 302 57 286 28451 26785 27 338 43 323 48 296 53 284 26785 25036 26 334 28 319 42 283 50 282 25036 23207 31 336 22 297 38 276 47 277 23207 21295 34 335 32 299 39 278 46 277 21295 19293 34 338 38 310 42 287 39 278 19293 17202 20 356 24 320 31 295 28 279 17202 15070 15 355 13 305 15 283 21 278 15070 13019 14 350 13 309 14 287 17 292 13019 11156 14 358 13 324 12 303 10 305 11156 9503 12 008 9 341 8 310 7 308 9503 8036 8 012 6 346 5 313 5 302 8036 6735 5 012 4 319 5 312 2 286 6735 5583 4 018 3 288 4 303 1 192 5583 4565 4 028 3 288 4 283 2 176 4565 3671 4 019 4 304 6 266 4 225 3671 2884 5 015 4 314 8 255 6 227 2884 2182 6 008 5 323 7 243 7 231 2182 1562 7 357 5*324 4*208 8 222 1562 1045 8 356 4*332 4*159 9 203 1045 650 8*349 4 335 4 150 10 185 650 379 5*331 3 340 4 147 9 171 379 215 4 326 3 342 4 147 6 162 215 121 3 325 3 342 3 145 3*155 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography