DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 55.2 - - 55.1 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - -8 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1171 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1276 - - 121 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1857 - - 4071 - - 4224 - - 1570 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 106 - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 166 - - 136 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -391 - - -799 - - -420 - - -20 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1667 - - 920 - - 542 - - 141 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2707 - - -1473 - - -1214 - - -859 ODpotential blCL - - - 3983 - - 1594 - - 1336 - - 980 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 77 - - 84 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 310 - - 460 - - 330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.6 - - 55.2 - - 55.1 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 51.3 - - 52.9 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 55.8 - - 55.8 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 50.2 - - 52.3 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - -8 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1171 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 10 - - 37 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 21 301 27 319 12 328 9 296 96175 89088 12 300 12 316 14 301 16 304 89088 83597 17 306 21 282 17 297 15 312 83597 79051 11 280 18 269 15 283 16 246 79051 75130 17 271 12 264 18 264 8 262 75130 71615 27 260 20 258 26 250 24 255 71615 68392 31 240 29 246 31 229 30 225 68392 65420 35 217 35 234 29 232 30 225 65420 62656 41 208 43 217 36 230 36 215 62656 59950 44 205 40 207 36 218 33 213 59950 57091 39 192 37 204 39 218 41 230 57091 54089 38 230 47 220 57 228 56 230 54089 51195 60 234 60 223 73 224 69 226 51195 48600 74 228 71 227 75 224 72 227 48600 46305 88 228 83 228 81 229 74 233 46305 44247 108 222 99 227 100 225 91 231 44247 42375 118 214 114 221 112 219 106 221 42375 40658 121 209 120 215 109 213 105 211 40658 39072 120 208 123 213 101 214 93 207 39072 37596 125 209 129 211 105 219 87 211 37596 36216 133 207 131 209 112 217 87 214 36216 34891 136 206 136 208 105 215 86 214 34891 33555 139 206 145 205 96 217 86 215 33555 32177 144 204 146 202 95 219 88 215 32177 30754 147 200 143 199 94 217 91 212 30754 29267 143 197 142 197 92 214 92 209 29267 27703 136 195 141 196 81 211 91 207 27703 26063 135 196 134 197 66 212 86 207 26063 24352 135 200 117 201 59 214 72 205 24352 22579 123 203 104 203 50 217 56 196 22579 20739 109 206 90 210 47 214 54 196 20739 18814 90 213 68 219 50 215 56 199 18814 16797 57 221 51 224 49 216 54 200 16797 14733 50 209 46 225 45 215 49 194 14733 12740 51 210 44 223 37 211 45 189 12740 10926 48 214 40 223 35 208 43 190 10926 9313 39 215 34 224 35 208 41 191 9313 7883 31 215 27 224 36 200 38 191 7883 6617 25 214 21 212 34 188 36 189 6617 5495 20 218 20 201 27 179 34 181 5495 4500 18 227 19 198 22 181 31 172 4500 3621 17 238 15 204 17 184 27 167 3621 2845 18 245 13 209 14 185 23 164 2845 2151 17 247 12 204 13 182 21 162 2151 1541 16*243 12 199 12 178 20 161 1541 1033 14*234 11 191 11 171 17 154 1033 643 12 227 10 184 10 163 15 150 643 376 10 219 9 176 8 152 11 145 376 214 9 216 7 171 6*146 8 141 214 121 7 213 5*166 4*136 4*135 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography