DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 84.2 - - 84.9 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 135 - - 32 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1962 - - 4404 - - 3749 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 952 - - 2775 - - 1241 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2069 - - 4511 - - 3855 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2377 - - 3617 - - 5145 - - 7619 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 364 - - 238 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 357 - - 349 - - 357 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -16 - - -24 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4261 - - -4134 - - -5555 - - -6909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6330 - - 8646 - - 9411 - - 7033 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8515 - - -8833 - - -10957 - - -10101 ODpotential blCL - - - 10584 - - 13344 - - 14812 - - 10224 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 30 - - 30 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 84.2 - - 84.9 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 46.6 - - 44.0 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.9 - - 83.3 - - 85.0 - - 83.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 45.4 - - 42.8 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 135 - - 32 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1962 - - 4404 - - 3749 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98487 15 116 15 100 13 102 16 112 98487 91046 23 114 11 136 9 093 15 095 91046 85346 20 116 11 158 9 069 16 085 85346 80604 19 129 12 148 8 085 16 079 80604 76520 15 126 16 125 9 112 10 072 76520 72930 13 134 18 115 11 119 8 105 72930 69685 12 136 10 123 8 102 10 082 69685 66686 10 189 6 186 4 146 3 091 66686 63885 12 188 12 218 7 232 5 212 63885 61148 10 234 14 208 12 229 12 235 61148 58277 17 252 18 235 17 236 21 236 58277 55298 23 262 22 255 20 255 19 246 55298 52459 32 265 27 260 26 263 22 262 52459 49906 39 265 33 264 34 267 31 268 49906 47624 41 267 38 267 39 271 37 272 47624 45562 44 271 42 271 44 272 42 273 45562 43688 46 274 44 276 45 273 46 275 43688 41978 47 279 44 281 44 278 47 277 41978 40408 50 279 44 287 42 281 44 279 40408 38955 49 285 44 291 38 289 36 286 38955 37595 49 291 41 296 37 296 33 296 37595 36284 48 295 40 298 36 300 32 302 36284 34949 47 294 39 306 35 310 31 310 34949 33560 45 294 40 314 37 315 30 315 33560 32119 40 308 39 313 37 313 30 314 32119 30607 43 323 37 315 35 313 28 309 30607 29013 45 323 37 319 33 319 27 308 29013 27333 40 323 37 318 34 322 27 311 27333 25564 33 321 36 315 34 320 28 314 25564 23708 28 318 33 313 31 317 27 314 23708 21766 22 299 28 310 27 309 24 309 21766 19734 25 288 21 298 24 298 23 301 19734 17610 22 292 20 291 22 291 22 300 17610 15438 17 292 17 296 18 295 18 309 15438 13345 13 288 13 295 10 302 10 323 13345 11447 8 286 9 283 5 308 3 347 11447 9766 5 306 5 269 5 322 3 030 9766 8275 5 355 4 303 7 328 6 002 8275 6949 6 014 4 347 8 330 8 349 6949 5770 6 011 6 344 9 333 10 350 5770 4725 8 004 8*343 9*338 11 355 4725 3804 10 359 10*344 9*344 11 002 3804 2990 14 356 10 346 8 350 11 007 2990 2263 18*356 10 348 8 357 10 012 2263 1620 18*356 10 350 7 002 8 019 1620 1085 18 357 10 351 7 004 6 028 1085 675 17 357 9 352 6 006 4 036 675 392 16 357 9 352 6 007 3 037 392 221 14 357 8 352 6 007 3 037 221 123 12 357 7 352 5 007 2*036 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography