DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.5 - - 78.1 - - 88.7 - - 91.0 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 173 - - 236 - - 51 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1148 - - 2585 - - 2413 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 438 - - 1609 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 1254 - - 2692 - - 2521 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 773 - - 2020 - - 3244 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 236 - - 343 - - 204 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 38 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 350 - - 006 - - 150 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -7 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1123 - - -6137 - - -7595 - - -8919 - - -7961 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1245 - - 7391 - - 10288 - - 11441 - - 8084 sfcLCL ODpotential -11877 - - -13196 - - -13113 - - -14144 - - -15332 ODpotential blCL 11999 - - 14450 - - 15805 - - 16665 - - 15455 blCL maxRH 63 - - 38 - - 41 - - 39 - - 20 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.5 - - 78.1 - - 88.7 - - 91.0 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.7 - - 46.7 - - 44.1 - - 41.2 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 76.9 - - 87.0 - - 90.4 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.6 - - 46.3 - - 43.5 - - 40.6 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 173 - - 236 - - 51 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1148 - - 2585 - - 2413 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98393 16 234 13 253 7 213 16 218 13 247 98393 90996 2 065 6 259 6 216 8 234 10 252 90996 85301 13 041 5 127 4 244 5 337 4 248 85301 80590 10 045 7 071 4 348 10 011 5 081 80590 76540 12 094 8 075 2 040 5 052 8 049 76540 72952 11 092 9 087 6 144 3 186 5 026 72952 69695 2 215 1 037 7 121 6 189 1 312 69695 66693 11 219 6 251 3 277 5 170 6 192 66693 63894 12 233 13 219 15 249 10 275 6 276 63894 61173 16 234 15 216 20 237 22 275 16 276 61173 58330 20 254 17 238 21 245 27 263 21 263 58330 55375 23 250 21 243 22 255 28 258 25 261 55375 52563 24 259 22 247 28 263 29 252 28 262 52563 50059 29 273 24 248 30 254 30 260 30 266 50059 47839 30 267 24 249 29 252 32 264 27 266 47839 45856 25 250 25 262 27 260 31 266 22 273 45856 44074 22 270 24 275 24 264 28 267 24 282 44074 42447 28 307 28 300 25 282 24 268 25 278 42447 40931 32 316 32 302 28 280 22 273 21 264 40931 39501 29 314 32 298 27 268 25 274 22 268 39501 38141 25 315 31 294 22 263 27 267 25 269 38141 36818 22 316 29 292 21 265 25 258 27 256 36818 35463 18 316 25 291 21 262 22 250 26 248 35463 34048 14 314 23 290 22 254 21 244 26 244 34048 32576 12 311 23 285 22 248 23 238 27 240 32576 31030 14 301 22 278 23 248 26 240 29 237 31030 29400 21 299 21 273 22 251 26 245 28 236 29400 27685 23 296 20 269 20 252 23 247 25 234 27685 25884 20 289 18 265 19 252 21 246 24 229 25884 23999 15 287 16 259 19 253 20 244 23 222 23999 22035 12 289 15 266 19 255 17 242 21 218 22035 19985 12 295 14 278 16 264 15 246 17 227 19985 17843 13 301 13 291 12 283 11 251 12 227 17843 15651 11 303 8 283 9 272 9 261 9 225 15651 13534 8 276 8 247 10 241 9 268 6 248 13534 11606 8 255 9 244 9 237 7 264 2 218 11606 9893 7 255 7 241 7 229 6 235 4 166 9893 8375 4 257 5 223 6 217 5 216 4 156 8375 7027 2 195 6 209 5 217 3 238 1 085 7027 5832 4 159 6 211 4 242 4 296 4 356 5832 4773 4 101 3 207 4 273 4 290 4 311 4773 3840 5 056 1 031 3 295 3 279 4 278 3840 3017 7 036 6 013 2*343 2*209 4 242 3017 2281 8 020 9 006 2*357 3*157 5 220 2281 1632 7 013 9*003 2 005 3 148 5 199 1632 1092 5 359 6*350 2 006 4 150 6 184 1092 678 4 343 5 350 2 008 4 151 6 178 678 393 3 337 5 349 1 011 4 150 6 177 393 221 1*328 5 351 1 012 4 149 5 184 221 123 1*068 4 350 1 010 3 150 5*191 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography