DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 77.8 - - 81.2 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 223 - - 71 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2351 - - 3224 - - 1937 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1437 - - 2094 - - 454 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2457 - - 3331 - - 2044 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1797 - - 1829 - - 3153 - - 2679 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 374 - - 226 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 17 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 005 - - 029 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -18 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -445 - - -1230 - - -3973 - - -4166 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2903 - - 4562 - - 6017 - - 4289 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1625 - - -5780 - - -11672 - - -10406 ODpotential blCL - - - 4082 - - 9111 - - 13716 - - 10529 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 63 - - 51 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 77.8 - - 81.2 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.6 - - 58.2 - - 55.3 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 76.2 - - 80.6 - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 56.8 - - 54.0 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 223 - - 71 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2351 - - 3224 - - 1937 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98931 27 126 16 110 18 120 15 093 98931 91403 21 118 18 122 16 116 17 099 91403 85607 22 125 16 106 19 106 19 105 85607 80827 12 136 12 092 16 093 21 104 80827 76734 12 138 7 112 13 098 19 104 76734 73125 10 117 10 128 8 123 12 089 73125 69851 8 101 9 126 8 129 7 121 69851 66840 7 132 9 166 4 036 6 071 66840 64055 3 061 5 208 4 313 6 333 64055 61383 5 322 7 273 7 271 10 255 61383 58614 12 326 9 306 10 287 12 262 58614 55752 22 316 17 315 20 296 22 282 55752 53034 29 302 24 305 24 287 24 282 53034 50576 35 306 28 309 27 295 30 303 50576 48357 43 302 36 306 38 305 44 308 48357 46344 49 304 49 303 50 306 49 305 46344 44516 62 310 62 309 57 308 52 306 44516 42839 78 314 76 317 64 315 57 313 42839 41282 84 315 80 318 68 321 59 317 41282 39820 85 319 76 319 69 324 58 319 39820 38435 84 322 77 323 65 323 59 318 38435 37087 80 322 75 326 61 318 59 318 37087 35709 77 323 70 325 59 318 55 319 35709 34273 75 325 66 327 59 320 49 318 34273 32781 74 326 65 328 58 320 45 316 32781 31216 73 328 65 328 57 320 44 316 31216 29566 72 331 65 326 58 320 46 313 29566 27827 70 331 63 325 58 320 48 310 27827 25999 67 328 60 323 59 321 49 309 25999 24082 66 324 56 320 58 323 50 309 24082 22080 66 326 56 321 56 324 50 313 22080 19990 60 328 58 328 53 326 46 320 19990 17814 48 323 53 337 49 331 41 324 17814 15599 42 317 40 335 41 335 38 326 15599 13466 36 318 34 327 33 335 34 329 13466 11530 27 322 28 329 28 334 28 333 11530 9815 19 324 19 334 21 336 22 340 9815 8300 13 329 13 338 13 340 15 350 8300 6962 8 335 10 339 9 330 9 349 6962 5777 2 315 9 333 10 300 7 330 5777 4728 2 074 6 335 9 300 7 318 4728 3804 5 032 5*348 7 309 6 311 3804 2989 5*019 4*355 5 336 5 313 2989 2260 5*019 4 001 4*017 4 350 2260 1618 5 018 4 006 4*028 4 021 1618 1083 5 018 4 008 4 030 3 031 1083 673 5 016 4 009 4 030 3 025 673 392 4 016 4 007 4 029 3 014 392 221 4 017 4 009 4 026 2 002 221 123 4 016 3 009 3 027 2*347 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography