DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 90.1 - - 92.2 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 224 - - 32 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 765 - - 2463 - - 1773 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1501 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 871 - - 2570 - - 1881 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 783 - - 1623 - - 3094 - - 94 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 332 - - 161 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 20 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 013 - - 170 - - 146 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9078 - - -8230 - - -9433 - - -7756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9949 - - 10801 - - 11314 - - 7879 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18481 - - -15624 - - -16347 - - -17255 ODpotential blCL - - - 19352 - - 18194 - - 18228 - - 17378 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 27 - - 25 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 90.1 - - 92.2 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.5 - - 43.5 - - 43.2 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 88.6 - - 91.8 - - 83.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 42.9 - - 42.6 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 224 - - 32 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 765 - - 2463 - - 1773 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97859 5 283 9 270 17 275 10 314 97859 90610 10 353 5 302 6 285 8 313 90610 85012 9 359 7 286 7 340 4 299 85012 80373 3 104 4 283 7 015 2 152 80373 76380 5 127 3 333 5 027 5 093 76380 72846 1 247 4 295 4 319 6 044 72846 69635 7 268 9 248 10 273 10 332 69635 66679 6 287 8 256 10 274 13 299 66679 63950 12 302 9 273 11 274 14 281 63950 61327 22 296 14 281 14 276 18 275 61327 58602 26 284 22 280 21 272 23 276 58602 55779 29 279 29 274 30 275 30 275 55779 53093 34 279 33 275 37 278 35 280 53093 50677 38 283 35 279 43 278 40 279 50677 48504 40 284 40 281 45 278 44 277 48504 46522 40 285 42 281 45 278 48 273 46522 44694 38 283 40 279 47 276 52 272 44694 42993 33 279 38 276 47 275 53 273 42993 41400 27 277 36 274 45 275 51 272 41400 39902 21 277 33 271 40 275 50 271 39902 38490 19 280 25 267 36 273 48 271 38490 37128 17 275 20 262 32 269 43 270 37128 35749 14 268 17 249 30 264 37 263 35749 34318 11 279 19 243 27 255 34 256 34318 32830 13 293 19 238 24 252 29 255 32830 31272 13 297 17 240 21 255 22 255 31272 29631 11 298 16 255 19 260 17 243 29631 27908 11 299 15 269 16 270 16 237 27908 26100 13 293 17 274 17 278 16 249 26100 24207 13 276 16 270 16 276 15 250 24207 22227 11 263 13 252 13 259 13 236 22227 20155 10 245 14 229 13 227 14 217 20155 17986 10 232 14 231 14 229 14 224 17986 15770 10 234 14 240 12 242 10 238 15770 13630 9 238 12 240 10 236 9 222 13630 11682 8 232 11 226 9 216 11 202 11682 9952 7 216 10 213 9 202 11 193 9952 8419 7 199 10 209 9 195 9 189 8419 7060 7 200 10 209 5 193 6 169 7060 5855 6 205 10 205 3 231 4 105 5855 4791 4 174 10 198 5 249 2 063 4791 3854 4 157 8 205 6 240 1 226 3854 3028 3 162 5*204 5 220 5 210 3028 2290 1 129 3*185 5*177 9 195 2290 1638 4 360 3 173 6*150 11 185 1638 1096 4*001 3 169 6 146 12 176 1096 680 3*007 3 164 7 145 12 171 680 394 3 014 3 161 6 145 11 171 394 222 2 016 3 160 6 144 7 175 222 123 2 018 3 160 5 144 5*179 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography