DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.3 - - 63.5 - - 71.4 - - 71.4 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 210 - - 307 - - 176 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 1999 - - 4809 - - 4185 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 1137 - - 3392 - - 2655 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 307 - - 2104 - - 4915 - - 4291 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 617 - - 1101 - - 1735 - - 3260 - - 2615 Hgt.Variab. W* 69 - - 302 - - 461 - - 367 - - 10 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 14 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 167 - - 246 - - 286 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1929 - - -2580 - - -1870 - - -1185 - - -3103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2236 - - 4684 - - 6786 - - 5476 - - 3226 sfcLCL ODpotential -8249 - - -6316 - - -4094 - - -1729 - - -5122 ODpotential blCL 8556 - - 8420 - - 9009 - - 6020 - - 5244 blCL maxRH 71 - - 97 - - 97 - - 87 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.3 - - 63.5 - - 71.4 - - 71.4 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.2 - - 43.6 - - 42.0 - - 47.8 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 62.1 - - 69.6 - - 70.3 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.0 - - 43.1 - - 41.4 - - 47.4 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 210 - - 307 - - 176 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 1999 - - 4809 - - 4185 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 86 - - 90 - - 46 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97101 61 275 59 265 68 278 56 288 43 271 97101 89660 54 276 59 272 60 272 59 274 54 281 89660 83935 48 272 50 270 50 265 57 268 54 276 83935 79205 39 269 42 272 40 262 46 269 44 277 79205 75169 34 267 35 269 34 266 41 270 35 284 75169 71632 33 274 25 281 27 271 27 273 23 286 71632 68418 33 284 23 293 23 286 20 287 22 295 68418 65448 30 292 21 295 20 300 19 292 26 286 65448 62692 25 297 20 292 23 302 20 289 24 281 62692 60014 20 302 23 288 27 296 24 301 21 299 60014 57209 21 309 25 291 27 291 30 303 27 303 57209 54294 28 309 26 299 30 295 33 302 30 304 54294 51514 34 302 30 299 34 293 35 303 36 305 51514 49020 36 296 33 296 34 291 37 299 39 302 49020 46793 36 295 36 288 35 289 40 296 39 301 46793 44777 33 288 36 284 37 285 44 293 41 297 44777 42950 26 283 34 283 39 285 45 288 44 292 42950 41288 23 285 34 283 42 288 47 289 45 286 41288 39764 21 278 37 285 45 287 51 288 46 282 39764 38344 22 275 38 290 45 284 51 284 47 281 38344 37007 26 276 38 293 44 282 50 282 49 283 37007 35709 29 276 38 293 43 283 49 282 50 285 35709 34384 31 279 37 291 41 284 48 284 50 287 34384 33003 34 280 37 290 39 287 45 287 48 289 33003 31567 35 278 36 289 39 289 43 289 47 292 31567 30061 33 274 35 289 37 291 41 292 47 295 30061 28472 34 274 34 289 36 293 40 295 46 296 28472 26801 38 273 34 291 34 294 39 297 45 297 26801 25047 40 272 37 289 33 297 37 294 45 296 25047 23213 42 275 38 283 33 298 34 290 44 295 23213 21301 40 280 38 281 33 295 31 291 43 295 21301 19304 39 283 37 285 34 290 30 296 41 298 19304 17215 37 281 34 286 34 288 33 295 39 297 17215 15080 32 283 34 285 35 287 36 290 36 292 15080 13022 25 283 32 282 34 282 36 285 34 292 13022 11155 19 277 28 276 29 277 31 281 30 292 11155 9500 16 272 23 271 23 280 25 286 23 291 9500 8037 14 270 19 274 18 287 18 298 16 291 8037 6739 13 271 15 285 13 291 13 307 10 301 6739 5588 10 271 10 297 9*274 11 310 9 319 5588 4571 6 271 4 311 7*251 11*307 12 326 4571 3675 3 263 1 292 7 248 12*302 15 323 3675 2886 2 219 3 203 6 247 14 291 19 317 2886 2183 2 195 5*184 6 246 16 286 23 310 2183 1563 1 263 5*173 6 246 16 283 25 302 1563 1047 3 279 5 169 5 244 16 282 25 296 1047 652 3 236 5 166 5 244 16 280 22 293 652 381 3*194 5 164 5 243 15 280 19 292 381 216 3*173 4 164 4 243 15 279 16*291 216 122 2 164 4 162 4 242 12 278 11*290 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography