DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 79.9 - - 84.1 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 241 - - 260 - - 83 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1669 - - 2791 - - 1980 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 960 - - 1813 - - 615 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1774 - - 2898 - - 2087 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 647 - - 1310 - - 2776 - - 390 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 300 - - 369 - - 232 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 45 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 077 - - 166 - - 130 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -11 - - -13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1028 - - -2362 - - -4826 - - -4414 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2802 - - 5260 - - 6913 - - 4537 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8067 - - -7323 - - -9810 - - -10159 ODpotential blCL - - - 9841 - - 10221 - - 11897 - - 10282 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 63 - - 41 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 79.9 - - 84.1 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.8 - - 57.4 - - 54.4 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 78.2 - - 83.4 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 56.3 - - 53.4 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 241 - - 260 - - 83 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1669 - - 2791 - - 1980 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99402 36 115 25 107 29 106 37 106 99402 91960 34 120 22 120 24 108 28 100 91960 86217 20 125 25 120 22 116 22 109 86217 81434 20 112 23 123 20 116 15 104 81434 77305 13 103 16 133 14 122 11 091 77305 73651 11 114 15 138 9 119 10 076 73651 70335 13 100 12 131 7 155 7 074 70335 67287 10 109 11 131 8 164 4 116 67287 64466 8 153 10 149 11 158 15 162 64466 61732 15 181 12 195 7 211 9 162 61732 58877 15 193 19 193 15 209 12 201 58877 55912 21 222 18 205 17 200 19 201 55912 53073 30 228 25 226 21 228 17 208 53073 50516 33 226 35 223 33 233 25 241 50516 48239 33 225 38 221 40 230 39 242 48239 46190 30 231 37 223 41 225 42 239 46190 44335 28 232 34 223 37 227 43 241 44335 42644 26 235 31 223 41 232 44 250 42644 41083 27 240 30 228 42 233 51 250 41083 39626 30 239 32 231 44 234 50 248 39626 38253 31 237 32 232 43 234 47 251 38253 36920 31 238 30 235 41 232 45 251 36920 35555 29 240 28 236 38 232 44 249 35555 34131 27 239 27 232 36 232 40 248 34131 32650 26 238 26 229 36 233 37 238 32650 31096 25 241 25 230 34 232 35 234 31096 29459 23 243 23 231 31 231 34 232 29459 27738 22 244 22 232 29 228 30 227 27738 25928 21 243 21 237 26 226 27 223 25928 24033 21 245 21 240 22 225 24 220 24033 22054 20 240 21 236 21 225 21 220 22054 19990 21 232 22 229 21 222 19 221 19990 17835 20 228 20 225 18 215 18 213 17835 15636 18 223 17 219 15 206 17 200 15636 13513 15 219 14 215 12 199 15 187 13513 11581 14 210 15 204 12 195 13 182 11581 9866 15 203 17 197 13 195 12 182 9866 8347 16 195 18 192 14 197 11 186 8347 7000 16 192 18 194 13 201 7 194 7000 5806 15 194 14 202 9 224 2 268 5806 4750 12 196 9 217 9 235 4 263 4750 3822 8 194 6 208 8 230 6 225 3822 3002 4 173 5*190 6 216 9 201 3002 2271 1*108 5*180 5*178 10 183 2271 1625 1*079 4 171 5*140 12 168 1625 1088 1 080 4 165 5 131 13 156 1088 675 1 075 4 159 5 128 13 148 675 392 1 075 4 157 5 126 11 143 392 221 1 075 4 155 5 126 9 139 221 123 1 074 4 154 5 124 5*136 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography