DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 77.2 - - 78.4 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 288 - - 116 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2412 - - 6375 - - 6411 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1233 - - 4588 - - 4051 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2517 - - 6481 - - 6517 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2366 - - 1138 - - 1468 - - 3469 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 498 - - 373 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 217 - - 222 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -3 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -41 - - -417 - - -1127 - - -5074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2558 - - 6899 - - 7645 - - 5197 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -127 - - -3672 - - -4741 - - -9500 ODpotential blCL - - - 2644 - - 10153 - - 11258 - - 9622 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 95 - - 87 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 77.2 - - 78.4 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 47.3 - - 45.3 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 75.6 - - 77.7 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 46.5 - - 44.5 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 137 - - 288 - - 116 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2412 - - 6375 - - 6411 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 82 - - 48 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99058 9 088 16 082 13 086 10 093 99058 91656 14 114 16 093 10 094 13 076 91656 85908 17 099 15 102 9 088 15 069 85908 81130 12 071 8 102 10 075 14 079 81130 77013 9 073 8 111 10 074 13 065 77013 73368 4 218 3 325 7 037 9 032 73368 70062 5 165 8 218 3 345 2 024 70062 67012 10 243 4 265 4 301 5 345 67012 64182 15 200 15 261 15 262 11 275 64182 61438 16 239 23 241 15 253 16 272 61438 58571 19 252 20 251 23 266 24 283 58571 55618 26 274 26 269 31 267 34 284 55618 52826 35 287 38 273 38 277 36 276 52826 50336 43 282 40 282 44 298 43 311 50336 48118 41 283 52 293 65 295 57 298 48118 46112 56 298 61 289 66 283 60 285 46112 44276 60 286 64 286 58 286 61 284 44276 42586 60 293 66 292 60 292 66 288 42586 41018 63 299 68 295 70 294 69 288 41018 39546 74 304 73 300 75 296 68 294 39546 38154 78 302 78 304 79 299 69 298 38154 36802 77 301 84 308 81 301 71 296 36802 35420 75 303 85 307 81 300 73 293 35420 33979 72 306 84 306 81 297 74 289 33979 32482 69 309 83 306 80 295 76 285 32482 30911 64 309 80 308 77 295 76 284 30911 29251 58 306 71 305 74 295 74 286 29251 27503 55 303 63 293 69 295 68 288 27503 25669 50 297 64 284 63 290 63 288 25669 23751 45 288 61 284 60 284 62 288 23751 21757 42 280 52 279 60 284 58 290 21757 19680 36 276 46 274 54 283 52 288 19680 17518 32 271 40 271 45 280 46 285 17518 15322 29 267 34 269 37 276 38 279 15322 13221 27 270 29 264 31 269 31 272 13221 11322 23 265 23 264 28 268 27 269 11322 9640 20 258 21 266 23 269 24 266 9640 8150 18 236 17 259 15 256 19 257 8150 6831 20 205 13*234 13*228 13 234 6831 5664 21 199 13*226 13*226 11 219 5664 4634 20 208 14 223 13 224 10 222 4634 3729 18 217 14 220 14 223 11 234 3729 2930 17*221 14 217 14 222 14 245 2930 2218 14*217 14 215 14 221 17 248 2218 1588 12 206 14 213 14 220 18 247 1588 1064 11 198 13 211 14 220 18 244 1064 662 10 193 13 210 14 219 17 240 662 386 9 191 12 210 13 219 15 236 386 218 9 189 12 209 12 218 12 232 218 122 7 188 10 209 10 218 7*229 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography