DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 91.5 - - 93.5 - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 239 - - 55 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1092 - - 3070 - - 3779 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 429 - - 1974 - - 1386 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1198 - - 3177 - - 3887 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 659 - - 3949 - - 4742 - - 191 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 366 - - 244 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 20 - - 28 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 339 - - 002 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -11 - - -14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6986 - - -8698 - - -9125 - - -8033 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8184 - - 11875 - - 13013 - - 8157 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14366 - - -15059 - - -14855 - - -15998 ODpotential blCL - - - 15564 - - 18236 - - 18742 - - 16121 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 45 - - 50 - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 91.5 - - 93.5 - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 39.7 - - 36.5 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 89.7 - - 92.9 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 38.9 - - 35.7 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 239 - - 55 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1092 - - 3070 - - 3779 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98692 19 094 14 092 10 091 9 042 98692 91315 16 090 8 083 9 073 12 064 91315 85599 12 060 10 081 5 048 14 048 85599 80871 8 063 8 055 7 063 16 044 80871 76814 4 085 4 003 9 044 9 045 76814 73232 3 067 6 055 5 040 5 021 73232 69984 2 031 3 025 3 045 2 073 69984 66980 5 294 6 294 4 324 2 304 66980 64186 8 269 12 275 10 307 7 291 64186 61482 10 251 17 258 15 291 14 290 61482 58670 10 265 20 242 21 271 19 277 58670 55768 19 283 21 248 25 264 23 269 55768 53004 25 277 25 262 29 265 27 271 53004 50512 30 281 30 274 36 265 34 271 50512 48274 40 278 36 277 40 269 37 272 48274 46239 46 275 41 276 42 271 39 272 46239 44373 45 275 42 276 42 275 38 271 44373 42657 45 278 43 279 45 281 38 274 42657 41072 38 280 42 283 46 282 42 278 41072 39599 29 277 35 285 44 284 44 280 39599 38218 22 281 30 290 39 286 47 278 38218 36884 20 278 26 292 34 288 43 280 36884 35521 18 269 22 296 32 290 34 282 35521 34100 15 257 20 302 28 293 30 272 34100 32622 13 267 19 294 25 295 22 278 32622 31071 14 282 18 289 21 300 15 283 31071 29436 16 291 16 289 18 294 11 289 29436 27718 16 293 15 277 15 284 10 279 27718 25915 13 289 15 264 12 276 10 259 25915 24025 9 284 14 248 10 254 10 244 24025 22054 6 284 9 232 12 228 12 228 22054 19994 7 299 10 244 12 221 13 220 19994 17841 7 299 7 265 8 231 8 222 17841 15642 4 320 3 292 3 213 4 195 15642 13521 3 023 3 035 4 102 6 140 13521 11594 4 033 6 046 7 072 10 110 11594 9884 5 046 7 034 7 053 11 110 9884 8369 7 032 7 015 7 025 10 083 8369 7023 7 020 7 002 8 353 10 040 7023 5827 5 037 7 003 7 338 9 009 5827 4769 6 055 5 009 6*336 5 333 4769 3836 7 045 5*002 4*337 4 294 3836 3013 8 024 4*345 3 347 3 240 3013 2278 12 008 4 338 2 007 5 188 2278 1630 13*003 4 338 1 027 9 175 1630 1090 9*359 3 338 1 041 13 170 1090 677 7 357 3 338 1 055 16 168 677 393 6 359 3 338 1 062 15 167 393 221 5 359 2 338 1 067 10 167 221 123 5 359 2 337 1 068 5*168 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography