DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.2 - - 50.2 - - 57.2 - - 57.0 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 40 - - 73 - - -6 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 543 - - 1457 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 647 - - 1562 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 727 - - 996 - - 2099 - - 233 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 115 - - 199 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 349 - - 002 - - 340 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 119 - - 294 - - -1067 - - -411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 121 - - 528 - - 1268 - - 1188 - - 532 sfcLCL ODpotential -5460 - - 87 - - -2187 - - -3827 - - -5850 ODpotential blCL 5581 - - 560 - - 3749 - - 3948 - - 5971 blCL maxRH 96 - - 99 - - 93 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.2 - - 50.2 - - 57.2 - - 57.0 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.6 - - 48.8 - - 52.5 - - 52.6 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 49.8 - - 56.6 - - 57.4 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.8 - - 48.3 - - 51.4 - - 51.9 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 40 - - 73 - - -6 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 543 - - 1457 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 86 - - 97 - - 73 - - 46 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95698 50 317 56 313 60 298 62 322 55 306 95698 88764 40 318 37 320 35 316 44 320 41 312 88764 83369 38 321 31 317 32 324 32 316 36 315 83369 78856 36 328 25 323 29 321 31 311 34 322 78856 74966 30 334 24 324 27 326 29 322 25 329 74966 71520 28 331 25 310 31 311 30 326 17 325 71520 68379 27 316 28 308 33 306 30 323 18 310 68379 65480 21 299 28 297 30 305 30 318 22 299 65480 62790 14 293 25 298 26 303 28 306 22 296 62790 60177 28 301 30 298 28 303 33 298 31 303 60177 57440 37 288 31 295 36 297 42 282 43 284 57440 54580 38 286 36 293 37 287 38 271 37 274 54580 51824 45 283 37 291 33 295 28 288 32 290 51824 49335 41 290 39 305 40 302 41 302 45 292 49335 47109 48 303 49 306 48 293 50 293 45 289 47109 45085 58 298 53 292 51 284 48 287 46 289 45085 43226 58 290 52 275 50 279 44 287 47 290 43226 41515 55 281 47 269 45 283 45 287 46 293 41515 39930 45 280 42 274 47 287 48 288 44 294 39930 38460 39 295 41 281 50 282 47 288 45 296 38460 37094 49 301 45 286 46 276 43 288 47 296 37094 35790 49 295 47 282 43 274 40 288 41 293 35790 34475 45 295 50 283 45 276 41 288 32 310 34475 33113 45 300 49 285 44 279 41 287 41 315 33113 31696 49 299 45 286 41 278 39 283 36 320 31696 30206 51 301 44 288 40 277 39 278 31 314 30206 28629 51 305 42 288 41 275 40 279 30 315 28629 26966 48 307 41 290 41 276 37 288 27 312 26966 25215 46 295 42 287 40 282 32 292 27 300 25215 23375 46 287 43 277 41 285 29 301 30 297 23375 21449 42 295 36 277 40 281 33 309 32 304 21449 19431 37 303 28 284 35 276 37 312 31 312 19431 17319 32 296 29 285 31 277 40 309 29 322 17319 15163 33 292 32 290 30 285 35 302 26 321 15163 13088 33 292 31 297 30 297 29 296 25 309 13088 11205 30 295 26 301 26 306 21 297 22 309 11205 9536 24 301 19 306 21 309 10 321 15 317 9536 8058 18 307 14 316 15 318 10 337 5 335 8058 6746 12 311 8 327 9 333 7 347 4 023 6746 5584 8 325 3 345 6 356 4 019 3 035 5584 4559 5 351 3 146 4 020 3 040 3 007 4559 3660 2 027 5 154 3 048 4 015 7 347 3660 2870 2 147 4 140 4 049 6 358 12 342 2870 2167 2 169 4 090 6*028 11 351 14 345 2167 1550 3 182 5 039 8*005 12 346 15 350 1550 1037 2 174 10*358 9 002 12 344 15 351 1037 646 2 130 10*351 8 000 11 343 14 348 646 377 1 076 9 348 8 000 10 342 11 340 377 214 1*037 8 347 7 359 8 340 8 323 214 121 1*039 6 347 7 359 6*340 5*316 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography