DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 73.7 - - 72.7 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 247 - - 30 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1626 - - 3936 - - 3672 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 839 - - 2623 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1731 - - 4042 - - 3777 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 854 - - 1073 - - 1594 - - 1102 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 399 - - 198 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 190 - - 195 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2971 - - -4290 - - -4558 - - -4468 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4702 - - 8332 - - 8335 - - 4590 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10380 - - -9704 - - -9995 - - -10922 ODpotential blCL - - - 12111 - - 13746 - - 13772 - - 11044 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 84 - - 78 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 73.7 - - 72.7 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 37.6 - - 36.6 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 72.1 - - 72.5 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 37.2 - - 36.3 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 247 - - 30 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1626 - - 3936 - - 3672 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 35 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97710 16 284 16 311 21 283 26 304 97710 90449 19 277 18 292 13 312 11 307 90449 84827 7 285 14 272 16 293 11 310 84827 80153 8 329 7 284 16 266 15 278 80153 76141 8 316 6 288 5 263 5 270 76141 72589 8 276 8 278 10 301 2 317 72589 69359 13 265 12 278 12 285 6 271 69359 66380 12 259 10 265 5 242 8 247 66380 63601 14 237 14 250 13 254 13 245 63601 60897 21 230 26 243 21 248 18 247 60897 58062 27 232 31 232 30 240 29 246 58062 55119 32 234 36 236 37 233 39 231 55119 52318 43 239 46 241 40 237 39 227 52318 49802 51 235 56 234 54 235 50 228 49802 47542 58 236 62 230 62 229 60 223 47542 45480 68 238 67 231 66 228 65 221 45480 43582 71 236 75 232 73 229 72 224 43582 41828 71 234 79 231 79 229 78 225 41828 40201 71 233 81 230 84 228 80 224 40201 38688 71 232 83 228 84 228 80 224 38688 37278 68 232 80 226 84 227 83 223 37278 35937 63 229 72 222 80 223 85 221 35937 34591 58 227 65 219 73 220 84 218 34591 33195 52 226 58 220 68 220 83 214 33195 31743 49 225 57 222 70 221 81 216 31743 30221 49 222 58 222 70 221 78 217 30221 28617 47 222 57 222 65 223 73 215 28617 26931 44 223 54 222 57 222 67 216 26931 25164 43 223 50 224 53 220 60 219 25164 23321 41 223 47 226 51 219 54 216 23321 21400 38 221 44 222 46 218 48 212 21400 19393 34 220 38 218 39 215 41 209 19393 17299 30 222 31 216 33 214 36 207 17299 15161 27 222 28 213 29 209 32 200 15161 13100 27 220 28 210 29 203 32 196 13100 11225 27 219 29 208 29 199 32 194 11225 9557 26 215 29 208 28 197 32 194 9557 8077 23 211 28 207 26 198 31 194 8077 6765 22 206 26 205 23 198 29 193 6765 5605 21 204 21 205 16 203 26 192 5605 4583 18 207 13*210 11*211 20 184 4583 3686 16 212 11*204 11*207 13 162 3686 2896 13 216 10 200 12 200 10 166 2896 2191 9*214 10 192 12 196 8 204 2191 1568 7*188 10 187 13 193 11 236 1568 1050 7 170 10 182 13 191 13 235 1050 653 7 166 9 178 13 189 14 219 653 381 6 163 9 176 12 188 12 199 381 216 6 161 8 175 11 187 10*189 216 122 5 160 8 174 9 186 7*183 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography