DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/29 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1853z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.3 - - 72.5 - - 80.0 - - 81.6 - - 70.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 193 - - 238 - - 39 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1624 - - 3633 - - 6836 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 844 - - 2388 - - 3007 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 1730 - - 3740 - - 6943 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 122 - - 1016 - - 2949 - - 2072 - - 1636 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 275 - - 386 - - 265 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 31 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 357 - - 214 - - 230 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -13 - - 31 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2661 - - -4262 - - -4032 - - -1214 - - -4767 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2784 - - 5992 - - 7772 - - 8158 - - 4889 sfcLCL ODpotential -11480 - - -8927 - - -7406 - - -3106 - - -7879 ODpotential blCL 11602 - - 10657 - - 11146 - - 10049 - - 8001 blCL maxRH 52 - - 68 - - 85 - - 94 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 57.3 - - 72.5 - - 80.0 - - 81.6 - - 70.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.8 - - 46.7 - - 46.1 - - 45.9 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.7 - - 71.1 - - 78.3 - - 81.2 - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.6 - - 46.4 - - 45.6 - - 45.6 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 193 - - 238 - - 39 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1624 - - 3633 - - 6836 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 42 - - 78 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97934 11 318 8 314 7 271 17 249 15 314 97934 90638 5 022 4 359 4 322 3 332 5 318 90638 85005 7 052 5 017 4 022 5 035 8 018 85005 80310 9 046 4 017 3 042 5 009 10 019 80310 76264 9 022 5 061 4 103 3 214 7 010 76264 72688 3 004 2 358 2 343 1 187 4 316 72688 69434 7 281 3 265 6 215 7 253 4 198 69434 66417 11 268 11 284 13 277 12 278 5 241 66417 63605 16 285 16 269 16 264 14 281 8 260 63605 60868 13 278 13 261 17 263 19 279 8 267 60868 58001 17 283 19 267 24 273 24 278 17 270 58001 55032 25 280 24 267 27 264 24 273 23 275 55032 52207 29 282 26 274 29 264 28 281 26 273 52207 49665 36 282 32 273 33 267 33 274 26 274 49665 47382 43 275 39 273 38 267 37 267 31 274 47382 45311 50 270 51 267 43 262 39 263 32 270 45311 43410 58 266 60 260 50 257 40 262 32 266 43410 41653 64 257 66 253 54 255 40 259 31 259 41653 40022 69 250 71 246 61 253 44 257 32 255 40022 38500 71 246 75 240 70 247 53 253 34 253 38500 37075 70 244 75 237 78 241 60 245 35 251 37075 35707 68 245 71 237 81 236 65 235 36 247 35707 34329 65 247 66 240 75 234 69 229 39 240 34329 32917 62 250 62 243 69 233 68 228 44 230 32917 31472 58 255 58 243 68 235 63 227 49 223 31472 29973 52 257 54 245 63 239 59 226 47 224 29973 28402 49 259 51 251 57 237 56 230 39 234 28402 26756 47 258 47 254 56 233 52 239 32 241 26756 25027 43 259 43 251 54 236 46 249 27 240 25027 23216 37 263 44 247 50 242 37 253 27 241 23216 21329 33 266 42 250 43 249 30 245 28 248 21329 19354 30 267 37 255 34 256 26 242 25 255 19354 17287 27 270 29 263 27 258 24 257 21 259 17287 15174 25 274 24 273 22 262 21 266 18 256 15174 13133 23 270 21 282 19 275 16 265 14 257 13133 11273 21 259 16 282 19 285 14 273 9 267 11273 9616 17 247 13 258 15 282 12 277 9 271 9616 8143 12 247 11 235 11 265 10*247 9 248 8143 6835 8 249 9 231 11 254 9*236 10 213 6835 5673 5 245 7 241 12 255 9 233 10 183 5673 4644 2 289 3 260 11 256 8 231 9 178 4644 3736 7 015 3 359 9*254 8 231 6 186 3736 2935 11 024 5 353 5*245 8 229 3 253 2935 2220 13 033 6*354 3 230 8 229 9 298 2220 1588 14 036 5*351 2 210 8 227 17 290 1588 1064 6 029 5 354 2 192 8 226 21 278 1064 662 4 313 4 358 2 179 7 225 19 270 662 386 4 287 4 002 2 174 7 224 16 264 386 218 2*266 3 003 2 173 7 222 13 261 218 122 1*219 3 003 2 169 6 220 9*256 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography