DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 92.5 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 156 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 742 - - 2363 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1273 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 849 - - 2470 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 685 - - 1512 - - - - - 116 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 172 - - 291 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 004 - - - - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -12679 - - -14003 - - - - - -7856 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13528 - - 16474 - - - - - 7979 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -22031 - - -21527 - - - - - -18449 ODpotential blCL - - - 22880 - - 23997 - - - - - 18572 blCL maxRH - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 92.5 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.3 - - 20.3 - - - - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.3 - - 91.3 - - - - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 19.5 - - - - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 156 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 742 - - 2363 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97650 12 287 14 290 17 298 97650 90358 2 138 10 271 6 302 90358 84734 6 083 9 170 6 327 84734 80087 3 077 3 357 1 275 80087 76088 3 302 7 310 5 194 76088 72555 4 315 6 223 6 322 72555 69370 6 298 6 193 13 305 69370 66453 9 230 10 287 13 241 66453 63735 10 214 19 271 5 238 63735 61092 8 241 18 236 14 292 61092 58366 12 286 17 230 29 277 58366 55584 17 291 13 264 33 250 55584 52937 21 289 19 291 26 242 52937 50538 22 287 25 294 28 267 50538 48378 22 294 28 299 31 280 48378 46405 22 308 27 306 30 289 46405 44587 22 320 23 313 26 297 44587 42904 19 330 18 319 20 305 42904 41338 12 347 11 321 15 305 41338 39870 7 031 5 326 12 299 39870 38486 8 056 3 027 10 294 38486 37142 11 062 5 066 7 297 37142 35769 13 058 5 079 2 209 35769 34338 14 061 8 103 8 152 34338 32850 16 050 10 091 10 136 32850 31291 16 047 12 084 11 119 31291 29647 16 062 14 078 11 100 29647 27916 16 086 15 082 11 087 27916 26094 14 089 13 075 15 109 26094 24186 15 083 17 086 17 132 24186 22197 20 093 22 102 21 139 22197 20120 21 100 21 108 17 130 20120 17947 19 111 19 116 12 110 17947 15725 16 129 15 138 7 152 15725 13585 17 152 17 157 9 169 13585 11642 19 164 17 171 12 165 11642 9913 19 165 13 181 14 161 9913 8378 16 151 12 186 13 181 8378 7019 14 136 12 179 3 341 7019 5817 15 134 11 166 4 024 5817 4754 12 144 9 172 2 331 4754 3819 8 142 4 168 2 278 3819 2996 6 068 1*033 2 221 2996 2263 12 024 7*004 4 211 2263 1617 16 009 7 004 7 202 1617 1081 16*001 7 004 10 189 1081 671 13*358 7 004 12 180 671 390 12 358 7 004 11 181 390 219 11 357 6 004 7*185 219 123 9 357 6 004 5*187 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography