DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 90.4 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 135 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 771 - - 1496 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 670 - - - - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 877 - - 1603 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 606 - - 1122 - - - - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 205 - - 252 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 160 - - - - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4201 - - -6213 - - - - - -4773 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5078 - - 7816 - - - - - 4897 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11158 - - -11399 - - - - - -10238 ODpotential blCL - - - 12035 - - 13002 - - - - - 10362 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 33 - - - - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 90.4 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.2 - - 56.8 - - - - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 89.4 - - - - - 88.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 55.5 - - - - - 62.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 135 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 771 - - 1496 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99392 33 108 27 104 26 103 99392 91816 29 121 22 093 24 112 91816 86001 25 119 21 100 23 092 86001 81197 25 106 23 114 22 086 81197 77059 23 103 22 109 16 096 77059 73408 21 111 20 092 17 103 73408 70109 15 111 14 107 15 103 70109 67093 10 104 8 151 13 112 67093 64319 11 123 10 173 6 147 64319 61631 4 085 11 168 6 124 61631 58847 11 259 14 217 16 211 58847 55981 16 253 13 215 12 204 55981 53250 31 263 24 250 34 241 53250 50808 43 251 38 248 42 232 50808 48622 46 258 47 255 43 244 48622 46623 55 267 60 261 51 255 46623 44778 72 267 71 260 67 259 44778 43063 84 263 80 258 74 259 43063 41461 85 264 77 259 64 258 41461 39955 68 268 62 263 52 259 39955 38533 52 275 45 266 43 262 38533 37158 47 279 43 277 41 266 37158 35767 40 282 46 281 44 276 35767 34330 33 283 43 283 42 283 34330 32844 29 282 41 284 34 282 32844 31289 29 284 39 284 33 283 31289 29647 27 286 37 284 35 285 29647 27920 25 285 32 284 34 283 27920 26105 24 283 28 284 35 280 26105 24203 16 284 20 284 36 281 24203 22219 14 289 12 287 30 283 22219 20152 14 295 10 288 20 282 20152 17996 11 303 10 282 15 275 17996 15793 7 308 10 269 12 276 15793 13665 6 312 9 258 9 272 13665 11727 5 338 3 249 6 256 11727 10004 7 357 2 354 4 204 10004 8473 8 350 4 343 4 131 8473 7113 3 332 6 313 4 081 7113 5904 3 312 7 290 3 260 5904 4834 4 331 6 275 8 252 4834 3891 8 351 6 261 10 246 3891 3058 11 002 6 243 11 241 3058 2314 10 007 5 214 12 232 2314 1655 3 358 6*176 12 220 1655 1107 2*194 6*163 13 202 1107 687 2*172 6 160 12 183 687 399 2 167 6 158 11 167 399 223 2 160 6 157 9*157 223 124 2 158 5 156 5*151 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography