DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 90.1 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 163 - - 219 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 967 - - 2960 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1867 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1073 - - 3067 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 984 - - 2430 - - - - - 248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 354 - - - - - 1 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 357 - - 010 - - - - - 338 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -9 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7312 - - -8264 - - - - - -7498 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8385 - - 11331 - - - - - 7621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14992 - - -14786 - - - - - -14566 ODpotential blCL - - - 16065 - - 17853 - - - - - 14689 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 47 - - - - - 18 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 90.1 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 41.0 - - - - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 88.6 - - - - - 85.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 39.9 - - - - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 163 - - 219 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 967 - - 2960 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99103 17 140 18 143 4 170 99103 91619 10 137 14 149 7 157 91619 85821 13 132 10 136 10 103 85821 81013 17 122 10 106 15 092 81013 76908 14 113 13 127 13 099 76908 73319 18 105 12 117 11 100 73319 70065 10 095 13 096 13 097 70065 67063 7 119 11 073 10 091 67063 64284 6 138 3 107 5 069 64284 61602 8 187 10 212 7 226 61602 58810 11 213 15 216 10 255 58810 55920 18 231 22 227 23 265 55920 53180 27 242 31 236 37 246 53180 50729 37 248 42 246 47 240 50729 48528 50 253 52 247 53 243 48528 46531 56 250 60 244 63 244 46531 44706 59 248 66 242 71 243 44706 43014 60 250 65 242 70 243 43014 41430 57 252 62 245 67 247 41430 39941 47 249 54 245 68 249 39941 38537 37 249 42 244 66 246 38537 37180 37 250 36 248 63 245 37180 35799 32 252 36 248 64 245 35799 34359 31 254 36 244 58 249 34359 32864 34 254 34 243 44 253 32864 31300 33 252 32 243 32 252 31300 29652 30 249 28 239 25 249 29652 27917 27 247 26 235 22 236 27917 26094 23 245 24 236 21 230 26094 24184 19 244 20 236 17 230 24184 22192 16 240 18 231 12 228 22192 20117 17 239 17 227 11 219 20117 17954 17 241 16 222 11 206 17954 15746 13 235 13 216 9 216 15746 13614 10 207 11 204 11 242 13614 11670 10 195 11 185 13 245 11670 9942 9 193 10 179 11 228 9942 8409 8 194 9 176 9 210 8409 7050 7 189 9 173 5 192 7050 5848 8 183 8 176 3 182 5848 4785 6 188 6 177 2 176 4785 3850 4 136 2*176 2 162 3850 3025 5 075 2*013 1 149 3025 2289 9 022 4 011 0 328 2289 1638 11 007 4 009 2 322 1638 1096 10*000 4 010 2 326 1096 680 8*357 4 011 3 333 680 395 7 357 4 011 3 342 395 222 6 356 4 011 4 344 222 123 6 357 4 010 4*338 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography