DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.3 - - 43.0 - - 48.1 - - 51.9 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 54 - - 85 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 545 - - 919 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 649 - - 1024 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1099 - - 622 - - 349 - - 1307 - - 255 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 126 - - 175 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 005 - - 004 - - 094 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -40 - - 173 - - -33 - - -989 - - -338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 160 - - 476 - - 1057 - - 1110 - - 459 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 182 - - -9368 - - -5843 - - -13440 ODpotential blCL 120 - - 467 - - 10392 - - 5964 - - 13561 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.3 - - 43.0 - - 48.1 - - 51.9 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 41.6 - - 44.1 - - 47.6 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.2 - - 42.4 - - 47.4 - - 52.5 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 41.2 - - 43.4 - - 46.5 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 54 - - 85 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 545 - - 919 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 74 - - 27 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96969 52 092 50 092 49 097 50 103 46 094 96969 89841 56 100 55 097 58 098 56 103 53 097 89841 84292 54 100 56 098 57 100 61 101 62 097 84292 79631 40 095 49 093 55 100 57 100 58 097 79631 75564 30 095 35 091 44 095 44 100 48 092 75564 71941 26 086 26 086 29 092 34 088 35 083 71941 68661 22 063 19 075 26 091 23 068 28 073 68661 65655 22 035 18 075 16 078 11 044 25 057 65655 62875 20 023 16 048 11 051 18 047 22 048 62875 60193 21 017 16 032 12 025 19 016 20 044 60193 57402 20 356 15 021 13 001 17 011 17 027 57402 54519 20 356 23 018 17 008 22 023 24 021 54519 51795 31 350 30 009 22 019 29 011 28 004 51795 49372 36 341 31 010 24 028 22 010 20 010 49372 47217 36 358 39 019 40 038 37 041 39 037 47217 45281 50 359 50 016 62 029 72 030 59 032 45281 43521 55 350 51 011 74 016 81 022 72 034 43521 41898 41 343 54 012 67 011 79 025 81 032 41898 40388 53 014 59 018 69 026 82 034 83 039 40388 38966 64 016 63 024 84 036 87 039 84 038 38966 37615 66 012 67 029 92 040 89 038 82 035 37615 36299 64 012 69 030 93 040 87 035 80 035 36299 34950 62 012 69 031 85 038 86 034 78 035 34950 33540 59 011 68 033 70 035 83 035 75 034 33540 32073 56 010 66 033 63 032 77 034 72 032 32073 30535 52 008 58 030 57 019 69 028 69 030 30535 28915 48 004 51 015 60 008 57 020 66 026 28915 27212 44 360 53 008 60 005 50 014 60 023 27212 25427 43 355 55 005 56 008 50 014 55 023 25427 23557 45 350 54 004 56 013 49 016 51 023 23557 21602 48 344 49 359 55 010 46 012 47 022 21602 19555 46 340 45 354 49 008 43 009 45 026 19555 17412 42 335 43 351 41 008 41 012 40 024 17412 15220 40 329 40 349 33 006 35 017 36 019 15220 13108 39 324 34 338 28 359 27 014 27 015 13108 11195 36 326 30 327 28 347 23 008 21 012 11195 9508 31 332 27 325 26 340 20 008 17 021 9508 8022 26 342 22 331 21 342 15 013 13 042 8022 6712 24 352 16 347 15 352 11 024 10 060 6712 5556 23 001 12 007 12 003 9 027 9 051 5556 4537 21 005 11 015 10 013 9 025 11 042 4537 3641 15 009 13 016 12 014 12 020 13 030 3641 2853 8 001 16 013 15 011 19 010 18 017 2853 2153 8 344 13 013 16 005 19 004 22 010 2153 1538 5 341 8 009 11*356 15 003 19 005 1538 1028 3 359 6*357 5*349 7 000 9 346 1028 639 2 012 5*002 3 005 2 013 4 341 639 373 2 011 4 005 3 012 1 055 0 298 373 212 2 008 4 007 3 014 1 083 1*167 212 121 2*010 4 010 3 017 1*094 1*150 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography