DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/16 Williams 96ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1331z - - 1558z - - 1857z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 68.9 - - 82.6 - - 85.7 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 143 - - 208 - - 6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 627 - - 1430 - - 1000 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 95 - - 96 - - 716 - - 97 - - 96 Hcrit BL Top 111 - - 723 - - 1526 - - 1097 - - 112 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 34 - - 413 - - 1131 - - 1628 - - 46 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 180 - - 268 - - 76 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 16 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 001 - - 347 - - 107 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -5 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3676 - - -9167 - - -11727 - - -14167 - - -9657 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3787 - - 9891 - - 13253 - - 15265 - - 9769 sfcLCL ODpotential -19614 - - -20003 - - -19868 - - -22020 - - -21969 ODpotential blCL 19725 - - 20726 - - 21394 - - 23117 - - 22081 blCL maxRH 32 - - 22 - - 20 - - 9 - - 12 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 68.9 - - 82.6 - - 85.7 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.6 - - 27.3 - - 25.4 - - 19.2 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.8 - - 68.9 - - 82.5 - - 85.5 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 27.3 - - 25.4 - - 19.2 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 143 - - 208 - - 6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 627 - - 1430 - - 1000 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97498 24 287 21 275 28 263 28 281 21 271 97498 90217 21 282 21 283 20 275 23 287 18 276 90217 84590 19 285 22 292 16 292 19 289 18 292 84590 79908 18 291 20 295 17 300 16 290 20 299 79908 75877 18 293 20 293 19 304 18 295 19 302 75877 72316 18 290 20 288 21 302 19 301 18 300 72316 69093 18 290 19 286 21 296 20 297 18 294 69093 66136 19 292 18 287 21 288 21 289 19 287 66136 63403 23 290 20 287 22 286 22 284 20 281 63403 60759 27 285 25 277 26 280 27 278 24 277 60759 58008 28 280 29 267 31 270 33 268 28 275 58008 55167 32 277 33 263 36 265 37 263 33 271 55167 52464 36 273 36 263 39 262 41 261 38 265 52464 50034 38 269 37 265 41 260 44 261 41 261 50034 47856 38 264 40 267 45 261 47 261 44 261 47856 45878 35 258 41 264 47 261 49 261 45 260 45878 44068 32 254 38 260 48 258 49 258 46 257 44068 42399 31 252 36 260 46 256 49 256 45 253 42399 40847 32 255 37 264 44 256 47 256 44 251 40847 39390 36 258 40 264 44 257 45 258 44 252 39390 38013 40 259 41 262 44 258 44 259 44 253 38013 36675 42 259 40 261 45 257 45 255 43 251 36675 35312 42 259 37 261 44 257 44 250 40 248 35312 33892 40 260 35 262 41 258 40 250 36 246 33892 32417 39 261 33 262 37 259 34 254 33 247 32417 30871 37 263 33 262 34 259 28 259 28 244 30871 29242 36 264 33 262 32 259 24 260 21 236 29242 27531 33 264 31 262 30 257 22 256 17 231 27531 25734 30 263 29 261 28 254 21 251 16 231 25734 23854 27 263 25 261 25 253 19 246 17 230 23854 21894 22 262 20 261 21 251 17 242 15 227 21894 19848 16 260 14 258 15 245 13 232 12 222 19848 17709 8 257 8 247 9 224 10 206 10 211 17709 15523 4 266 4 222 8 187 10 184 8 205 15523 13415 3 265 3 190 7 159 9 177 8 187 13415 11495 3 216 4 178 6 146 8 151 11 163 11495 9791 3 181 3 160 6 134 8 137 12 150 9791 8281 3 122 4 113 5 122 8 137 12 152 8281 6939 2 090 4 078 4 094 5 124 10 148 6939 5751 1 000 4 041 5 083 3 075 6 138 5751 4702 2 324 5 018 4 075 3 006 2 078 4702 3780 2 329 5 010 3 057 4 330 2 334 3780 2966 2 340 5 007 2 013 5 317 5 280 2966 2238 3 359 5 007 4 342 3 309 6 260 2238 1597 7 007 6 006 4*341 1*292 6 232 1597 1064 9 008 7*004 3*344 1*115 6 184 1064 656 9 011 5*001 3 347 1 109 7 157 656 377 6 358 4 360 3 348 1 102 7 161 377 208 5 308 3 001 3 351 1 107 5 179 208 112 2*297 3 001 3 350 1 106 4*189 112 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography