DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 90.9 - - - - - 85.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 98 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 643 - - 853 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 107 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 749 - - 960 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 434 - - 584 - - - - - 262 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 190 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 033 - - 139 - - - - - 098 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4839 - - -6613 - - - - - -4265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5588 - - 7573 - - - - - 4389 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13010 - - -12782 - - - - - -11562 ODpotential blCL - - - 13759 - - 13742 - - - - - 11686 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 37 - - - - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 90.9 - - - - - 85.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 58.8 - - - - - 67.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 90.3 - - - - - 89.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 57.5 - - - - - 65.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 98 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 643 - - 853 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99584 31 104 32 110 30 084 99584 92080 27 109 29 108 26 080 92080 86297 26 113 27 106 22 101 86297 81499 26 103 30 110 21 109 81499 77363 25 110 23 098 19 096 77363 73713 19 111 16 124 19 096 73713 70407 12 128 13 102 15 111 70407 67358 14 131 5 091 18 121 67358 64537 7 120 4 110 10 110 64537 61830 7 148 10 185 7 029 61830 59042 6 159 10 189 9 275 59042 56193 8 224 10 240 8 251 56193 53507 17 222 20 233 17 275 53507 51100 15 224 21 213 26 247 51100 48944 18 237 23 223 31 231 48944 46985 24 244 28 245 30 228 46985 45177 36 254 38 255 30 232 45177 43490 43 254 41 247 30 245 43490 41906 45 255 44 248 35 248 41906 40414 42 252 44 254 38 248 40414 38999 36 247 39 253 39 247 38999 37624 31 246 32 255 36 243 37624 36217 26 246 29 255 36 240 36217 34751 23 244 24 248 31 248 34751 33229 20 235 21 237 24 249 33229 31637 17 230 20 234 22 250 31637 29963 13 235 13 233 22 247 29963 28208 8 236 9 208 22 235 28208 26373 7 226 9 191 23 212 26373 24462 12 238 7 217 22 212 24462 22475 20 229 16 233 20 233 22475 20403 28 222 29 224 18 248 20403 18235 29 220 28 222 16 250 18235 16018 22 219 20 232 13 227 16018 13870 16 226 13 229 16 225 13870 11906 14 243 10 236 15 219 11906 10154 13 258 9 253 10 223 10154 8594 13 266 8 264 6 247 8594 7205 10 266 7 268 4 264 7205 5972 6 254 5 255 4 306 5972 4883 4 209 5 242 8 299 4883 3925 5 188 7 250 11 287 3925 3080 2 130 8 251 10 276 3080 2327 4 056 7 242 8 251 2327 1662 4 017 4 218 8 205 1662 1111 3*005 3*158 11 167 1111 688 3*026 4*142 13 147 688 399 2 033 4 139 11 133 399 224 2 037 4 136 7*122 224 124 2 038 3 136 3*098 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography