DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/07 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 84.1 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 188 - - - - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1174 - - 1828 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 576 - - 1025 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1280 - - 1935 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 544 - - 988 - - - - - 530 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 295 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 57 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 110 - - 156 - - - - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2791 - - -4813 - - - - - -3703 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4071 - - 6748 - - - - - 3826 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12050 - - -12183 - - - - - -11554 ODpotential blCL - - - 13330 - - 14118 - - - - - 11677 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 40 - - - - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 84.1 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 55.1 - - - - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 82.8 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 53.8 - - - - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 188 - - - - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1174 - - 1828 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99551 34 103 33 107 33 104 99551 91974 34 115 31 113 31 094 91974 86145 35 118 27 114 24 101 86145 81334 31 109 28 117 22 102 81334 77198 25 101 26 113 24 104 77198 73558 21 099 20 114 22 087 73558 70280 15 113 14 117 20 096 70280 67275 15 131 7 151 14 089 67275 64497 10 139 8 183 8 112 64497 61806 10 180 20 168 10 177 61806 59011 19 223 15 200 14 196 59011 56123 30 224 32 235 17 237 56123 53378 37 229 44 233 37 242 53378 50921 48 235 51 230 47 236 50921 48718 53 241 55 238 53 242 48718 46707 57 251 60 245 61 243 46707 44846 68 253 68 247 62 249 44846 43112 78 251 74 247 75 255 43112 41487 84 248 78 246 87 251 41487 39952 82 245 75 245 84 246 39952 38500 73 246 67 244 74 245 38500 37103 63 248 57 249 63 245 37103 35700 55 250 52 251 52 245 35700 34253 49 252 49 251 45 245 34253 32758 40 247 45 250 43 244 32758 31196 30 240 37 247 42 246 31196 29552 27 239 26 243 35 247 29552 27830 27 241 24 241 27 242 27830 26029 26 242 23 242 23 239 26029 24141 23 242 23 240 22 236 24141 22165 21 238 23 235 22 235 22165 20096 20 231 21 230 20 235 20096 17933 20 223 21 225 18 232 17933 15723 20 217 21 222 16 228 15723 13587 19 214 19 218 14 220 13587 11641 17 211 15 213 14 210 11641 9915 14 209 12 207 12 195 9915 8387 11 207 11 201 12 183 8387 7033 10 200 10 196 8 178 7033 5834 9 172 10 191 1 066 5834 4773 8 149 9 193 2 259 4773 3838 5 148 7 203 5 223 3838 3014 4 158 6 205 7 200 3014 2277 1 266 6*183 11 187 2277 1628 0*191 7*165 15 179 1628 1088 1*121 7 158 19 168 1088 675 1 111 7 154 20 158 675 392 1 109 6 152 17 152 392 221 1 106 6 151 13 148 221 123 1 099 6 150 7*144 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography