DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/26 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 63.4 - - 66.6 - - 69.1 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 183 - - 170 - - 131 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 140 - - 2593 - - 4789 - - 6917 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 1543 - - 3094 - - 4511 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 245 - - 2699 - - 4894 - - 7022 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 769 - - 5299 - - 3504 - - 4209 - - 6719 Hgt.Variab. W* 60 - - 324 - - 382 - - 396 - - 11 W* B/S 5 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 007 - - 328 - - 333 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -10 - - -13 - - 25 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1214 - - -582 - - 7 - - 923 - - -3394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1459 - - 3281 - - 4887 - - 6099 - - 3516 sfcLCL ODpotential -3307 - - -1232 - - -976 - - 389 - - -4850 ODpotential blCL 3552 - - 3931 - - 5870 - - 6633 - - 4972 blCL maxRH 79 - - 88 - - 99 - - 89 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 530 - - 360 - - 240 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 63.4 - - 66.6 - - 69.1 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.2 - - 49.5 - - 45.6 - - 42.7 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.9 - - 62.2 - - 65.4 - - 68.1 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.6 - - 48.2 - - 44.5 - - 41.8 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 183 - - 170 - - 131 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 140 - - 2593 - - 4789 - - 6917 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 53 - - 97 - - 57 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97798 8 299 18 285 22 294 24 304 12 311 97798 90415 13 327 7 316 11 284 15 303 17 330 90415 84765 13 320 5 010 2 287 9 298 17 350 84765 80092 4 282 5 014 5 024 4 043 8 024 80092 76051 5 099 1 119 4 322 8 040 7 045 76051 72457 5 082 2 008 2 309 8 342 4 028 72457 69177 7 286 6 250 8 263 9 333 8 012 69177 66132 7 328 5 299 6 258 9 280 9 300 66132 63303 11 318 12 307 9 293 10 288 12 280 63303 60560 19 289 18 283 16 291 18 310 16 311 60560 57696 16 290 16 291 17 306 21 313 23 314 57696 54721 20 320 22 314 27 310 25 317 21 320 54721 51874 26 313 30 308 32 308 29 322 24 339 51874 49307 30 314 30 305 33 313 35 320 37 331 49307 47011 39 308 33 310 35 320 38 323 40 325 47011 44931 39 308 35 314 38 321 44 327 46 332 44931 43031 44 320 40 319 42 325 51 329 53 337 43031 41287 52 320 49 320 48 328 55 332 60 340 41287 39674 54 318 54 320 55 328 61 335 69 344 39674 38173 53 320 55 322 60 327 69 338 79 346 38173 36765 54 323 58 326 64 328 76 340 89 347 36765 35408 58 324 62 331 66 330 79 340 91 347 35408 34035 61 324 67 333 67 333 78 341 93 349 34035 32623 61 325 70 333 67 336 77 342 98 351 32623 31171 60 327 70 332 68 337 75 342 102 353 31171 29660 57 326 67 332 69 335 70 344 100 352 29660 28077 52 324 63 330 67 334 62 345 93 351 28077 26422 47 323 58 327 59 333 55 347 82 349 26422 24692 45 324 52 325 52 332 49 350 64 349 24692 22889 45 323 49 325 47 333 43 353 51 352 22889 21015 45 322 50 327 41 334 35 356 44 356 21015 19060 45 323 46 328 33 336 28 358 39 359 19060 17017 41 324 37 327 28 336 22 003 33 001 17017 14927 35 324 28 325 25 333 20 004 28 003 14927 12911 27 319 22 323 18 329 18 357 24 006 12911 11077 22 312 19 322 13 331 15 359 18 020 11077 9449 18 320 17 327 12 342 12 001 13 023 9449 8006 17 336 15 336 13 336 12*359 12 013 8006 6723 19 342 16 338 13 330 11*354 15 005 6723 5583 20 343 15 338 13*329 9 345 15 003 5583 4573 20 342 14 337 12*328 8 337 15 002 4573 3682 18 343 12 338 10 327 7 332 14 001 3682 2896 15 344 10*342 7 327 7 327 13 360 2896 2192 12 341 7*350 6 328 7 324 13 357 2192 1570 11 328 5 006 5 329 7 322 12 351 1570 1052 10 309 5 010 5 328 7 320 11 343 1052 655 7 282 5 014 5 330 7 318 10 333 655 382 4*244 4 016 4 330 6 317 9 324 382 216 3*226 4 018 4 328 6 317 7*315 216 122 2 210 4 017 4 330 6 317 5*310 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography