DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/01 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.5 - - 82.3 - - 92.5 - - 97.6 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 158 - - 112 - - -19 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 141 - - 842 - - 1208 - - 269 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 323 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top 247 - - 949 - - 1315 - - 377 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 326 - - 442 - - 1210 - - 10318 - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 214 - - 226 - - 77 - - 18 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 135 - - 149 - - 213 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2458 - - -3977 - - -5913 - - -9388 - - -6631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2705 - - 4926 - - 7228 - - 9766 - - 6755 sfcLCL ODpotential -10354 - - -9519 - - -9031 - - -11423 - - -10756 ODpotential blCL 10601 - - 10468 - - 10346 - - 11800 - - 10880 blCL maxRH 67 - - 51 - - 55 - - 26 - - 22 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 510 - - 1350 - - 1130 - - 1030 CAPE Temp@2m 70.5 - - 82.3 - - 92.5 - - 97.6 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.1 - - 61.3 - - 61.3 - - 55.1 - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.0 - - 81.3 - - 91.7 - - 98.6 - - 91.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.5 - - 60.1 - - 60.0 - - 53.8 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 158 - - 112 - - -19 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 141 - - 842 - - 1208 - - 269 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99044 37 093 34 098 36 110 27 116 28 100 99044 91542 32 105 28 104 28 098 27 118 27 104 91542 85767 28 106 25 109 22 106 20 096 22 102 85767 80981 24 093 19 104 23 106 15 114 15 077 80981 76882 19 098 15 103 23 103 21 117 15 106 76882 73281 19 108 15 098 16 105 19 098 19 099 73281 70018 16 113 16 112 11 109 14 111 11 082 70018 67026 13 106 14 124 9 130 10 119 7 105 67026 64262 10 091 11 122 14 139 11 154 12 140 64262 61582 4 170 11 146 10 134 11 174 6 163 61582 58794 18 203 18 170 16 183 15 181 12 188 58794 55910 19 183 22 187 20 203 21 192 22 187 55910 53147 21 181 25 193 28 200 26 194 24 195 53147 50647 26 186 29 184 34 190 28 201 23 209 50647 48402 32 192 31 183 33 187 29 203 25 220 48402 46356 35 191 33 186 31 187 28 201 30 221 46356 44469 35 187 33 186 31 187 31 201 30 219 44469 42715 37 184 34 184 34 186 32 195 28 212 42715 41073 38 181 36 179 36 179 28 190 27 203 41073 39538 37 181 37 171 33 173 25 191 23 202 39538 38102 38 180 37 163 31 172 23 193 19 205 38102 36723 39 176 35 157 34 168 21 193 16 203 36723 35330 39 174 34 154 32 161 19 194 12 194 35330 33891 38 172 30 153 24 154 18 191 5 179 33891 32412 35 169 26 152 19 150 13 167 5 103 32412 30876 31 165 21 153 17 154 11 142 9 085 30876 29267 25 160 15 155 16 153 12 131 8 097 29267 27579 18 156 11 152 14 145 13 121 8 115 27579 25808 12 151 12 141 15 136 13 113 9 120 25808 23954 9 138 13 135 16 136 12 110 9 114 23954 22019 8 133 11 113 13 135 10 108 10 102 22019 19996 13 151 7 096 9 090 13 089 11 097 19996 17881 14 144 5 102 13 062 14 083 11 106 17881 15718 11 097 7 090 8 073 8 083 8 119 15718 13624 15 051 5 076 4 046 8 053 4 192 13624 11709 11 042 3 192 6 324 16 028 4 044 11709 9998 12 043 3 142 6 288 11 019 15 035 9998 8473 11 030 3 102 10 305 6 329 15 023 8473 7114 4 352 3 286 10 312 8 284 11 003 7114 5905 7 272 8 290 9 301 11 270 8 339 5905 4834 9 268 9 295 11 278 12 265 7 312 4834 3891 9 279 9 297 11 259 12 261 9 301 3891 3058 7 296 7 296 10 238 12 256 12 291 3058 2313 6 306 5 292 9 203 11 247 17 283 2313 1656 5 306 2 268 11*164 10 236 20 277 1656 1108 4 293 5*144 12*151 8 222 20 274 1108 688 4 178 6*136 12 149 8 219 19 270 688 399 5*156 6 135 11 148 7*215 16 264 399 224 5*149 6 135 11 147 6*213 11*257 224 124 4 147 5 134 9 147 5 212 6*245 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography