DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.3 - - 74.6 - - 85.1 - - 87.0 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 85 - - 340 - - 394 - - 206 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 2265 - - 4105 - - 4729 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 1493 - - 2947 - - 3151 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 681 - - 2371 - - 4212 - - 4836 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 476 - - 795 - - 1520 - - 2694 - - 2958 Hgt.Variab. W* 148 - - 370 - - 476 - - 404 - - 12 W* B/S 8 - - 40 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 157 - - 206 - - 196 - - 213 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -6 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1403 - - -2785 - - -4108 - - -3489 - - -6417 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2084 - - 5156 - - 8320 - - 8325 - - 6541 sfcLCL ODpotential -9079 - - -7420 - - -7011 - - -6116 - - -9732 ODpotential blCL 9760 - - 9791 - - 11223 - - 10952 - - 9855 blCL maxRH 78 - - 62 - - 74 - - 65 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.3 - - 74.6 - - 85.1 - - 87.0 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.6 - - 52.5 - - 49.0 - - 50.9 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 72.6 - - 82.7 - - 85.5 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.5 - - 52.1 - - 48.2 - - 50.3 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 85 - - 340 - - 394 - - 206 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 2265 - - 4105 - - 4729 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98506 19 120 17 114 12 139 4 083 12 111 98506 91018 15 133 7 144 9 100 4 078 12 088 91018 85257 8 119 6 174 5 135 3 168 5 086 85257 80485 4 140 6 183 5 160 7 145 4 173 80485 76386 7 201 5 200 8 215 6 176 5 141 76386 72754 5 221 4 194 8 235 5 230 1 012 72754 69454 4 303 6 213 6 274 4 242 5 237 69454 66416 10 315 9 222 9 282 6 279 5 252 66416 63596 12 300 9 251 14 272 12 275 9 293 63596 60866 11 275 11 286 16 259 17 261 16 294 60866 58026 11 270 15 290 16 249 18 254 18 283 58026 55090 14 283 16 269 14 246 16 259 17 265 55090 52302 18 283 17 254 12 261 16 270 15 262 52302 49801 21 277 16 262 13 270 19 270 17 268 49801 47569 21 265 17 279 13 263 18 272 17 267 47569 45565 19 255 19 284 11 266 16 274 14 270 45565 43747 16 248 18 273 12 293 12 270 15 278 43747 42082 12 242 16 250 16 292 12 283 14 280 42082 40545 10 241 14 230 17 262 15 295 12 285 40545 39110 11 258 12 232 17 246 17 292 13 291 39110 37756 11 268 10 243 14 249 15 281 15 284 37756 36438 11 262 11 246 11 270 12 279 15 275 36438 35089 9 270 10 256 12 284 10 295 11 273 35089 33684 10 277 10 270 11 294 10 317 8 284 33684 32223 10 281 9 281 9 312 8 326 6 301 32223 30691 7 288 5 281 6 317 6 344 5 316 30691 29077 3 322 1 358 2 287 5 328 5 000 29077 27379 3 024 4 063 4 119 2 157 6 360 27379 25594 4 080 5 084 5 120 3 148 1 036 25594 23727 5 085 6 114 5 182 5 194 1 211 23727 21779 3 055 5 116 4 184 5 170 4 199 21779 19745 1 101 4 114 2 179 5 154 6 182 19745 17622 3 181 4 151 5 199 5 182 8 172 17622 15457 7 195 8 177 10 198 9 201 8 187 15457 13373 9 207 7 186 11 196 13 198 10 212 13373 11477 10 208 7 197 12 206 13 197 12 220 11477 9791 9 223 8 206 12 216 11 210 10 223 9791 8291 9 235 7 218 12 222 9 226 9 243 8291 6956 7 242 6 227 11 229 7 240 7 261 6956 5772 3 199 4 216 9 240 6*242 5 273 5772 4723 4 157 3 202 7*228 6*235 3 261 4723 3800 3 196 3 235 7*217 7 224 4 252 3800 2986 4 206 3*240 7 209 8 215 7 256 2986 2258 2 176 2*222 6 198 10 211 11 256 2258 1617 1 333 2 211 6 193 10 209 14 250 1617 1083 1*224 2 204 6 186 10 206 14 241 1083 673 3*165 2 198 6 182 10 205 14 231 673 391 3 156 1 191 5 179 10 204 12 220 391 221 3 155 1 191 5 178 10 203 10 211 221 123 3 152 1 189 5 178 9 203 7*205 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography