DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 56.4 - - 55.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 35 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 602 - - 1828 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 706 - - 1933 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1375 - - 2583 - - 4607 - - 1932 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 173 - - 13 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 340 - - 164 - - 183 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -368 - - 493 - - -1075 - - -628 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1074 - - 1440 - - 1196 - - 749 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1812 - - 30 - - -1547 - - -1818 ODpotential blCL - - - 2518 - - 1903 - - 1668 - - 1939 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 99 - - 84 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 56.4 - - 55.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 50.6 - - 51.1 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 56.1 - - 56.3 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 49.6 - - 50.1 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 35 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 602 - - 1828 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 97 - - 38 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96839 4 114 10 067 10 106 12 097 96839 89722 13 100 2 133 11 112 15 088 89722 84206 16 116 6 182 10 098 8 077 84206 79604 14 101 10 138 6 095 2 060 79604 75609 13 104 8 104 7 130 2 206 75609 72060 8 115 5 116 4 130 6 139 72060 68829 9 114 4 212 3 260 3 120 68829 65857 2 032 7 225 6 258 3 175 65857 63096 8 289 7 231 9 256 5 267 63096 60426 9 306 7 256 12 263 13 248 60426 57653 12 325 9 258 19 241 19 263 57653 54784 14 338 10 274 15 255 23 245 54784 52059 32 321 29 302 25 280 31 257 52059 49615 24 302 29 299 26 280 34 252 49615 47417 17 310 23 321 27 283 29 254 47417 45401 36 346 27 324 31 280 34 259 45401 43536 42 335 28 317 30 275 35 259 43536 41804 40 333 26 312 31 275 41 263 41804 40198 36 337 31 311 31 281 50 268 40198 38713 33 342 40 313 36 296 48 263 38713 37321 35 345 45 317 43 308 42 268 37321 35970 43 345 43 321 49 311 47 277 35970 34606 52 346 43 323 44 310 40 272 34606 33200 53 345 41 323 40 306 24 260 33200 31741 50 356 35 327 38 301 26 258 31741 30213 52 008 29 330 31 301 20 245 30213 28603 51 010 24 335 21 300 21 251 28603 26908 46 005 22 342 16 294 22 254 26908 25126 42 006 22 343 18 293 24 261 25126 23261 36 007 23 342 20 300 29 277 23261 21316 30 014 24 345 20 307 31 285 21316 19287 31 024 22 356 18 316 29 282 19287 17173 29 013 22 357 19 323 26 275 17173 15025 25 002 24 347 24 326 23 275 15025 12962 18 350 21 333 24 330 26 285 12962 11083 10 337 13 319 16 319 26 299 11083 9416 5 018 4 249 9 278 21 302 9416 7944 4 087 6 219 10 241 12 277 7944 6646 2 095 6 218 9 225 11 236 6646 5504 3 181 8 206 10 214 13 210 5504 4501 8 173 10 200 11 201 14 199 4501 3622 11 172 10 193 12 186 14 189 3622 2847 10 184 10 189 12 184 14 185 2847 2155 7 197 10*184 11 182 14 180 2155 1543 3 215 9*169 11 181 15 174 1543 1034 3*336 9 164 10 182 16 166 1034 644 3*336 9 164 9 182 16 160 644 376 3 342 8 163 7 182 14 154 376 214 3 342 8 162 6 182 11 149 214 121 2 343 7 162 4*183 7*145 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography