DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 60.9 - - 70.4 - - 69.6 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 80 - - 152 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 544 - - 1544 - - 966 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 666 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 650 - - 1650 - - 1072 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 110 - - 428 - - 1354 - - 1310 - - 209 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 143 - - 249 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 14 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 335 - - 149 - - 199 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -3 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -831 - - -3519 - - -3911 - - -3744 - - -2713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 952 - - 4169 - - 5561 - - 4817 - - 2835 sfcLCL ODpotential -13599 - - -13046 - - -10453 - - -9828 - - -11265 ODpotential blCL 13720 - - 13696 - - 12103 - - 10900 - - 11387 blCL maxRH 69 - - 60 - - 57 - - 52 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 60.9 - - 70.4 - - 69.6 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.4 - - 43.7 - - 46.8 - - 49.3 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 60.3 - - 69.3 - - 69.8 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 43.3 - - 46.5 - - 48.9 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 80 - - 152 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 544 - - 1544 - - 966 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96585 36 296 41 286 48 290 39 293 47 286 96585 89546 28 286 27 294 27 295 29 292 34 299 89546 84091 20 298 21 298 25 303 22 287 27 302 84091 79538 19 303 15 301 24 295 19 293 22 294 79538 75593 14 290 13 288 19 272 21 300 20 311 75593 72068 11 279 18 276 19 265 25 282 33 294 72068 68858 18 272 20 272 21 269 23 272 32 278 68858 65922 21 250 21 247 21 260 21 263 25 271 65922 63208 15 271 22 250 28 269 19 241 25 257 63208 60583 39 280 30 250 33 267 26 255 26 260 60583 57864 43 258 34 245 42 251 46 252 43 260 57864 55054 34 256 35 234 50 240 54 242 53 242 55054 52372 42 270 39 233 47 241 55 245 52 237 52372 49955 54 268 46 253 53 251 60 252 50 241 49955 47778 62 263 59 258 61 253 70 254 61 254 47778 45799 61 260 65 259 66 252 80 253 83 256 45799 43990 58 256 68 257 67 250 72 244 91 250 43990 42324 56 253 67 256 67 250 63 241 78 243 42324 40772 52 256 60 250 64 248 63 241 69 240 40772 39312 51 269 54 248 60 245 63 240 66 239 39312 37929 55 279 55 259 56 245 60 239 64 236 37929 36585 59 284 58 268 55 251 57 239 63 230 36585 35213 54 283 56 265 53 250 54 237 62 225 35213 33784 46 280 50 259 54 245 55 236 59 222 33784 32300 38 274 45 251 51 236 53 236 54 222 32300 30747 29 262 40 241 49 231 53 229 51 222 30747 29112 24 254 35 235 44 228 51 227 48 225 29112 27397 21 250 31 226 37 221 43 221 41 221 27397 25601 18 249 25 216 32 211 39 209 39 217 25601 23720 15 236 22 206 29 204 35 203 37 217 23720 21758 16 237 19 213 25 202 31 207 37 216 21758 19713 15 243 15 209 22 198 27 204 36 213 19713 17580 15 225 18 200 24 199 28 203 36 207 17580 15404 16 201 21 200 27 201 30 200 36 202 15404 13306 19 198 22 206 28 202 29 203 33 206 13306 11398 18 198 22 198 25 204 27 211 29 208 11398 9703 17 185 22 192 24 202 25 212 26 204 9703 8199 18 175 21 195 24 200 24 210 23 199 8199 6865 18 174 18 198 21 198 22 206 21 192 6865 5685 16 175 14 198 17 196 19 201 20 185 5685 4645 12 176 11 192 12 193 16 195 17 180 4645 3732 8 165 9 178 9 188 13 189 14 183 3732 2928 6 142 7 165 8 174 10 182 10 192 2928 2212 4 139 5 165 6*169 6 179 7 199 2212 1583 2 063 2 149 4*153 4*189 4 190 1583 1059 7 359 4*329 3 149 3*198 3 175 1059 659 10 002 5*331 3 148 3 199 2 166 659 383 9 003 4 335 3 146 3 199 2 174 383 217 6*341 4 337 3 149 3 200 2*206 217 122 4*337 3 336 3 146 3 201 2*212 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography