DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 85.8 - - 89.0 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 153 - - -1 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1106 - - 2128 - - 1143 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 434 - - 1162 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1213 - - 2235 - - 1250 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 543 - - 1199 - - 2774 - - 176 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 292 - - 118 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 163 - - 145 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3104 - - -4390 - - -6317 - - -4507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4317 - - 6625 - - 7567 - - 4630 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10994 - - -10329 - - -11649 - - -11188 ODpotential blCL - - - 12207 - - 12564 - - 12899 - - 11311 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 54 - - 30 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 85.8 - - 89.0 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.0 - - 57.4 - - 56.4 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 84.8 - - 89.3 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 56.0 - - 55.1 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 153 - - -1 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1106 - - 2128 - - 1143 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99351 27 097 22 103 26 098 22 097 99351 91870 18 104 21 104 15 098 17 090 91870 86082 18 111 17 090 14 110 16 086 86082 81272 20 102 14 096 11 100 15 088 81272 77119 15 104 12 106 8 090 14 068 77119 73452 14 103 7 114 8 059 13 067 73452 70141 9 082 7 105 9 060 9 069 70141 67107 10 073 5 079 7 036 7 048 67107 64297 5 049 2 050 1 333 6 334 64297 61581 2 253 4 296 4 309 6 320 61581 58760 4 283 4 252 6 280 7 290 58760 55842 10 263 8 254 9 253 9 242 55842 53060 13 244 14 254 13 257 11 254 53060 50558 15 231 18 239 17 248 16 251 50558 48317 16 238 21 228 22 236 22 244 48317 46285 20 249 21 230 24 229 24 238 46285 44423 24 243 24 239 25 229 26 236 44423 42705 25 234 26 241 28 231 27 231 42705 41111 28 230 29 240 27 232 27 226 41111 39621 25 224 31 234 28 229 26 222 39621 38219 24 226 25 223 25 220 24 217 38219 36869 29 222 22 223 18 213 18 205 36869 35499 31 215 23 230 15 220 16 187 35499 34070 28 222 22 233 14 228 12 205 34070 32583 24 237 16 231 14 216 9 218 32583 31027 14 254 8 224 12 196 8 202 31027 29391 8 235 10 206 10 200 6 224 29391 27674 7 227 12 209 9 214 6 237 27674 25870 7 232 10 214 8 223 5 239 25870 23984 9 229 9 225 6 217 5 236 23984 22021 12 223 11 232 9 240 10 255 22021 19973 14 221 13 233 14 239 16 247 19973 17832 16 235 16 228 16 226 19 236 17832 15643 19 235 18 220 18 216 18 229 15643 13530 21 227 20 217 19 213 17 222 13530 11606 19 224 19 222 16 214 13 213 11606 9898 15 223 14 222 11 211 9 189 9898 8382 11 214 10 217 6 213 5 139 8382 7034 9 201 8 211 3 244 4 102 7034 5836 9 189 8 202 4 278 4 121 5836 4775 9 181 10 202 7 250 4 164 4775 3842 8 173 11 206 10 227 7 189 3842 3018 7 164 9 201 11 210 9 192 3018 2282 4 170 7*191 11 188 11 206 2282 1633 1*182 6*174 11*164 14 219 1633 1093 1*150 6 166 11*150 17 217 1093 678 2 141 6 160 11 145 17 211 678 394 2 132 5 156 10 143 15 198 394 221 2 130 5 154 10 142 11 186 221 123 2 128 5 153 8 140 6*177 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography