DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.2 - - 63.1 - - 72.4 - - 74.7 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 97 - - 191 - - 59 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 877 - - 2420 - - 2339 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 1416 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 983 - - 2526 - - 2445 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 816 - - 1478 - - 1797 - - 1654 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 182 - - 316 - - 214 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 11 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 343 - - 353 - - 346 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4218 - - -5311 - - -6143 - - -6835 - - -7176 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4339 - - 6294 - - 8669 - - 9281 - - 7298 sfcLCL ODpotential -15469 - - -13041 - - -12167 - - -12229 - - -14113 ODpotential blCL 15590 - - 14024 - - 14693 - - 14674 - - 14235 blCL maxRH 33 - - 42 - - 39 - - 34 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.2 - - 63.1 - - 72.4 - - 74.7 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.7 - - 36.7 - - 35.3 - - 35.0 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 62.4 - - 71.1 - - 74.3 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.9 - - 35.8 - - 34.2 - - 33.9 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 97 - - 191 - - 59 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 877 - - 2420 - - 2339 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96532 1 279 16 290 9 291 21 297 9 287 96532 89346 2 079 7 163 7 245 14 318 3 067 89346 83833 6 259 3 129 9 243 7 329 7 007 83833 79268 10 254 1 055 11 262 9 317 14 340 79268 75349 14 299 10 322 14 288 16 300 18 321 75349 71884 19 323 15 314 19 301 20 304 22 317 71884 68725 23 316 17 307 23 301 23 299 25 309 68725 65800 25 302 22 299 27 296 26 300 25 303 65800 63082 29 303 25 302 26 294 27 306 28 297 63082 60453 32 308 29 309 24 301 29 301 34 299 60453 57714 37 307 32 306 26 306 33 301 38 304 57714 54868 40 304 37 299 35 307 39 307 43 313 54868 52143 42 296 43 295 43 299 46 310 45 312 52143 49683 43 301 46 295 47 298 47 310 46 316 49683 47482 52 304 50 298 52 304 51 309 50 317 47482 45500 54 299 56 300 56 303 54 303 50 309 45500 43706 57 297 57 301 56 303 55 303 52 304 43706 42068 59 296 56 299 58 303 57 301 51 301 42068 40554 62 293 57 297 57 303 55 300 48 301 40554 39135 64 291 57 297 55 302 55 305 47 305 39135 37791 67 289 56 296 53 301 55 307 47 310 37791 36484 66 288 55 296 51 299 53 305 49 312 36484 35146 63 288 54 296 51 298 51 301 50 311 35146 33746 60 289 53 297 52 297 52 299 51 311 33746 32287 59 293 53 298 53 298 53 296 52 308 32287 30754 57 295 53 300 55 300 52 296 51 308 30754 29136 57 296 52 302 55 302 54 302 54 308 29136 27435 56 298 50 301 55 305 59 308 57 307 27435 25646 55 300 49 298 52 305 60 311 57 306 25646 23769 54 301 48 297 49 301 54 310 55 305 23769 21805 52 301 48 299 47 297 48 304 50 304 21805 19752 50 303 46 302 43 297 44 299 45 304 19752 17608 46 306 42 306 38 299 38 302 38 304 17608 15425 39 309 34 309 29 302 29 302 28 301 15425 13326 30 311 26 310 21 305 20 299 20 299 13326 11419 23 317 20 310 17 306 16 297 16 298 11419 9724 17 327 15 308 15 306 14 300 14 302 9724 8220 12 331 11 306 12 307 12 306 12 312 8220 6885 8 327 8 299 10 309 10 313 9 323 6885 5702 7 327 5 299 8 313 7 321 6 333 5702 4659 8 336 4 326 6 326 6 327 5 328 4659 3743 11 347 6 007 5 353 5 334 6 309 3743 2937 12 360 7 018 6*358 4*343 6 302 2937 2219 10 008 8 010 6*356 3*350 4 320 2219 1587 14 006 11 003 6 354 3 348 4 355 1587 1063 18 008 10*353 5 353 2 347 4 012 1063 661 16 003 7*344 5 351 2 343 3 013 661 385 10 343 7 343 5 349 2 341 3 008 385 217 6*322 6 343 4 349 2 338 2*353 217 122 4*315 5 343 4 349 2 339 2*338 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography