DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.9 - - 77.6 - - 87.5 - - 89.5 - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 189 - - 144 - - 34 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 326 - - 1266 - - 2518 - - 2257 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 613 - - 1431 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 431 - - 1373 - - 2625 - - 2364 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 529 - - 694 - - 3513 - - 5164 - - 6908 Hgt.Variab. W* 94 - - 258 - - 307 - - 202 - - 13 W* B/S 11 - - 14 - - 12 - - 15 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 011 - - 029 - - 028 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -15 - - -16 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1996 - - -3033 - - -5908 - - -7188 - - -6019 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2427 - - 4407 - - 8533 - - 9553 - - 6143 sfcLCL ODpotential -10977 - - -8700 - - -12411 - - -14156 - - -11626 ODpotential blCL 11408 - - 10073 - - 15036 - - 16520 - - 11750 blCL maxRH 71 - - 59 - - 58 - - 51 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.9 - - 77.6 - - 87.5 - - 89.5 - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.8 - - 58.9 - - 50.6 - - 48.1 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.5 - - 76.3 - - 86.5 - - 89.4 - - 87.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.2 - - 57.7 - - 49.3 - - 46.9 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 189 - - 144 - - 34 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 326 - - 1266 - - 2518 - - 2257 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98525 20 111 22 127 17 096 24 099 23 109 98525 91093 17 115 18 113 11 087 24 088 20 097 91093 85391 18 096 22 102 16 114 20 097 20 085 85391 80667 21 088 25 099 21 117 12 114 23 087 80667 76605 16 077 20 096 23 111 12 114 21 079 76605 73023 12 073 12 080 20 096 15 101 13 078 73023 69797 13 087 10 062 16 075 16 089 11 081 69797 66843 11 085 8 071 11 057 17 075 10 091 66843 64095 7 082 7 103 3 354 12 032 12 066 64095 61428 7 041 7 081 3 311 9 340 7 357 61428 58654 16 328 11 359 6 356 9 328 9 331 58654 55795 19 323 18 336 15 337 18 341 15 352 55795 53080 32 324 26 331 25 337 25 340 22 343 53080 50633 30 324 32 343 32 345 29 333 29 327 50633 48445 38 338 50 344 43 338 37 333 34 325 48445 46458 56 337 54 333 46 328 42 330 39 325 46458 44630 54 333 51 330 49 327 48 328 51 323 44630 42937 59 334 53 322 54 323 56 322 61 321 42937 41358 61 329 49 318 54 318 60 317 67 319 41358 39875 57 327 46 318 50 317 59 315 68 319 39875 38475 54 325 45 318 47 316 58 315 66 320 38475 37120 52 324 45 316 45 314 57 316 62 322 37120 35741 50 323 43 315 44 314 55 317 58 323 35741 34305 49 321 42 316 42 314 50 318 57 322 34305 32814 49 320 43 318 41 314 46 318 53 319 32814 31253 50 321 44 317 42 315 44 317 47 317 31253 29605 50 323 45 315 45 314 44 318 44 319 29605 27870 48 325 44 314 47 315 43 318 43 318 27870 26045 43 324 41 317 44 318 41 318 40 316 26045 24136 38 314 39 320 39 319 39 320 36 316 24136 22146 38 304 37 315 36 321 34 322 32 318 22146 20067 31 292 35 311 35 321 31 322 28 316 20067 17892 27 279 27 303 32 320 30 325 26 315 17892 15673 22 278 24 278 25 312 28 327 24 319 15673 13540 16 277 20 278 20 284 20 314 20 316 13540 11604 15 282 17 279 19 278 19 294 18 305 11604 9889 14 290 14 282 13 282 17 290 16 302 9889 8371 10 292 10 282 11 296 11 294 8 297 8371 7026 5 258 7 276 9 309 9 301 1 321 7026 5833 4 213 6 292 9 316 9 299 3 355 5833 4776 3 313 6 339 9 321 8 300 4 356 4776 3844 7 006 7 009 7 332 6 305 3 355 3844 3022 9 019 10 012 6*001 4*318 4 348 3022 2287 9 015 9 008 5*024 2*000 4 329 2287 1637 10 001 5*359 5 031 2 027 6 313 1637 1096 7 336 4*007 5 031 3 034 7 303 1096 681 0*296 4 011 5 029 3 034 7 297 681 396 1*094 3 014 4 028 3 034 6 293 396 223 1 092 3 013 4 029 3 034 5*291 223 124 2 091 3 013 4 027 3 035 3*295 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography