DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.4 - - 81.2 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 278 - - 85 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4631 - - 4054 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3216 - - 2089 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4737 - - 4160 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1706 - - 3202 - - 2802 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 442 - - 289 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 18 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 337 - - 022 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -18 - - -19 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5152 - - -6246 - - -8484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9889 - - 10407 - - 8607 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13208 - - -14312 - - -17649 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17945 - - 18472 - - 17772 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 34 - - 38 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.4 - - 81.2 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.4 - - 35.9 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.6 - - 80.5 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.4 - - 35.0 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 278 - - 85 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4631 - - 4054 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98843 6 227 7 271 8 271 98843 91384 12 219 9 249 7 270 91384 85603 8 242 10 235 9 260 85603 80816 6 267 8 232 7 235 80816 76700 9 262 5 281 2 035 76700 73079 4 251 0 318 5 343 73079 69816 4 256 1 344 6 028 69816 66814 5 265 5 282 8 354 66814 64039 9 248 9 276 10 282 64039 61374 11 251 12 264 12 262 61374 58601 17 266 20 281 16 282 58601 55713 24 267 26 279 25 276 55713 52955 34 266 36 275 35 270 52955 50475 39 267 40 270 40 269 50475 48251 43 273 45 269 46 271 48251 46227 48 276 50 272 47 273 46227 44366 55 275 54 274 50 276 44366 42645 59 272 56 275 53 277 42645 41047 62 270 59 275 56 278 41047 39556 64 270 61 275 58 279 39556 38156 66 270 62 277 60 277 38156 36805 66 270 65 279 61 276 36805 35431 67 271 69 280 61 276 35431 34000 69 274 70 282 62 277 34000 32511 69 276 69 282 59 279 32511 30948 66 275 65 280 58 280 30948 29299 63 275 62 279 57 281 29299 27563 62 275 60 279 55 284 27563 25739 61 275 59 280 53 286 25739 23831 60 275 56 283 50 288 23831 21847 56 280 49 288 41 292 21847 19783 48 283 40 292 29 302 19783 17635 39 284 33 300 23 318 17635 15439 34 286 29 306 18 330 15439 13323 31 293 23 308 12 347 13323 11405 23 302 15 316 7 005 11405 9711 12 311 8 343 8 035 9711 8216 7 301 5 348 11 031 8216 6892 7 304 9 331 15 014 6892 5719 7*310 9 337 16 007 5719 4681 6*318 8*348 15 006 4681 3767 6 322 7*001 14 007 3767 2961 5 334 7 012 12 008 2961 2240 4 343 7 025 9 007 2240 1604 4 347 6 029 5 004 1604 1074 4 352 6 031 2 358 1074 668 4 356 6 031 1 341 668 389 4 357 6 032 1 328 389 219 3 357 6 032 1*299 219 123 3 358 5 031 1*272 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography