DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 58.0 - - 66.6 - - 66.1 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 72 - - 122 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 601 - - 1767 - - 154 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 694 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 706 - - 1873 - - 259 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 130 - - 570 - - 2018 - - 3981 - - 213 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 144 - - 243 - - 30 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 340 - - 156 - - 168 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2273 - - -5054 - - -5846 - - -5992 - - -3935 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2394 - - 5760 - - 7719 - - 6251 - - 4058 sfcLCL ODpotential -12769 - - -13071 - - -11600 - - -10422 - - -9944 ODpotential blCL 12890 - - 13777 - - 13473 - - 10681 - - 10066 blCL maxRH 48 - - 40 - - 84 - - 42 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 58.0 - - 66.6 - - 66.1 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 33.6 - - 33.2 - - 39.2 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 57.4 - - 65.7 - - 66.2 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 32.8 - - 32.6 - - 38.8 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 72 - - 122 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 601 - - 1767 - - 154 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 33 257 40 275 42 276 42 278 42 282 96592 89438 24 272 28 281 26 272 27 270 30 271 89438 83942 18 280 24 275 18 288 16 264 17 267 83942 79350 14 262 22 262 22 283 14 272 11 272 79350 75370 12 277 21 243 24 258 17 273 17 267 75370 71840 17 283 14 232 26 234 22 263 22 259 71840 68608 23 263 16 244 26 233 22 261 23 254 68608 65598 25 260 21 246 23 237 20 266 23 250 65598 62791 26 265 22 244 24 244 23 264 20 252 62791 60073 26 259 18 246 25 236 23 253 22 256 60073 57240 25 256 21 260 20 243 24 251 24 250 57240 54303 27 258 26 261 24 259 26 260 25 251 54303 51504 28 262 29 260 28 257 30 264 29 256 51504 48994 26 264 29 256 33 247 33 262 32 262 48994 46755 28 266 31 254 33 244 34 252 36 265 46755 44731 30 260 34 252 34 248 36 249 39 262 44731 42885 30 259 36 246 38 246 37 253 39 257 42885 41192 31 254 38 244 41 243 37 254 36 252 41192 39633 32 248 38 243 42 243 38 250 34 251 39633 38188 36 242 39 244 44 244 40 239 36 250 38188 36837 38 228 42 243 46 242 42 237 39 243 36837 35533 39 228 43 238 47 239 44 234 41 237 35533 34207 42 234 41 233 46 238 45 232 42 230 34207 32830 41 234 40 229 44 238 46 231 42 231 32830 31402 38 234 42 229 41 235 43 231 44 233 31402 29906 37 233 40 230 39 233 40 233 46 232 29906 28329 36 235 36 233 40 230 38 234 44 231 28329 26667 36 235 32 234 40 230 35 231 41 229 26667 24920 35 226 31 240 38 235 34 228 37 229 24920 23093 34 227 30 233 38 241 34 232 33 230 23093 21185 28 223 25 211 35 232 34 238 33 234 21185 19199 20 206 17 215 22 196 30 231 23 219 19199 17135 11 203 12 218 14 192 15 209 11 196 17135 15027 7 209 8 206 12 199 12 212 11 229 15027 12988 4 218 6 194 10 189 11 209 9 248 12988 11131 2 226 5 166 8 186 7 215 7 236 11131 9481 1 234 8 151 6 188 5 215 7 200 9481 8020 2 132 8 151 4 209 3 219 7 184 8020 6725 4 148 8 168 5 201 3 243 3 177 6725 5580 5 154 9 181 6 187 4 260 2 310 5580 4567 6 168 8 184 7 185 5 248 3 252 4567 3675 6 166 6 183 6 193 5 217 5 215 3675 2888 4 168 4 190 4 188 7 193 7 193 2888 2184 3 173 1 260 4*168 8 180 10 189 2184 1564 1 004 6 344 4*157 9 173 12 185 1564 1047 4 359 8*349 4 155 9 170 13 181 1047 652 6 343 7*344 4 155 9 169 13 179 652 380 6 338 5 339 4 155 8*168 11 181 380 215 3*307 4 338 4 157 8*168 7*184 215 122 2*290 4 338 4 157 6 168 4*184 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography