DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 77.4 - - 79.9 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 288 - - 92 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2149 - - 3462 - - 3678 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1290 - - 2338 - - 1880 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2255 - - 3569 - - 3784 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 554 - - 1575 - - 3393 - - 1165 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 405 - - 286 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 84 - - 21 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 175 - - 156 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -7 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1061 - - -2485 - - -3225 - - -3820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3316 - - 6054 - - 7009 - - 3942 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5460 - - -5233 - - -5417 - - -7063 ODpotential blCL - - - 7715 - - 8802 - - 9201 - - 7185 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 57 - - 55 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 160 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 77.4 - - 79.9 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 51.3 - - 49.5 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 75.7 - - 79.1 - - 72.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 50.7 - - 48.9 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 288 - - 92 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2149 - - 3462 - - 3678 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98992 11 127 13 121 12 144 11 166 98992 91591 16 173 6 196 9 127 10 143 91591 85858 9 150 7 200 10 140 7 143 85858 81098 6 221 9 184 2 170 7 109 81098 76987 10 243 11 181 7 176 2 330 76987 73352 7 211 14 230 8 221 3 169 73352 70044 9 176 15 214 12 250 4 245 70044 67002 7 239 10 179 11 231 8 254 67002 64198 10 232 10 236 10 203 11 226 64198 61485 10 217 16 232 13 245 11 222 61485 58639 12 233 19 232 16 249 10 256 58639 55675 11 225 22 228 22 242 19 243 55675 52834 16 276 17 246 22 239 24 244 52834 50267 26 261 28 244 32 249 33 247 50267 47967 26 247 28 238 31 239 32 242 47967 45879 30 266 20 248 23 236 27 237 45879 43964 41 267 29 265 25 251 25 240 43964 42190 49 256 40 257 31 250 25 250 42190 40539 51 245 46 245 34 244 29 249 40539 38995 51 239 43 235 37 237 31 250 38995 37546 50 239 43 234 38 235 28 250 37546 36150 51 241 49 233 38 235 28 244 36150 34742 58 242 55 230 40 235 32 236 34742 33292 65 241 57 228 46 232 34 230 33292 31805 69 239 57 229 52 228 34 227 31805 30266 70 238 58 230 52 224 35 226 30266 28659 70 240 54 228 48 222 36 224 28659 26982 67 239 47 226 45 222 34 224 26982 25228 59 235 40 225 40 223 32 224 25228 23395 49 234 38 226 31 224 30 220 23395 21484 43 227 38 226 26 221 25 211 21484 19490 39 224 32 235 23 221 22 212 19490 17408 33 237 20 248 15 226 15 218 17408 15281 21 262 9 238 9 218 10 204 15281 13225 12 278 8 218 13 177 15 189 13225 11349 7 239 11 202 13 192 16 196 11349 9681 10 211 13 206 10 200 4 164 9681 8200 9 220 8 223 3 192 5 123 8200 6883 9 220 5 241 3 204 5 122 6883 5712 10 228 6 256 5 213 3 097 5712 4674 9 238 6 236 6*200 2 136 4674 3761 5 248 5*200 6*185 5 178 3761 2955 2*230 4*185 6 167 8 189 2955 2235 1*176 4 179 7 155 10 201 2235 1600 1 158 4 175 7 151 13 204 1600 1071 1 152 3 172 7 147 14 198 1071 666 0 147 3 170 7 145 14 184 666 387 0 135 3 168 6 143 13 169 387 219 0 117 3 167 6 142 11 160 219 122 0 117 2 167 6 143 7*154 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography