DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 55.5 - - 68.0 - - 65.6 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -31 - - 63 - - 109 - - 18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 272 - - 2198 - - 2355 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 977 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 378 - - 2304 - - 2461 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 286 - - 2707 - - 1916 - - 369 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 257 - - 152 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 12 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 175 - - 172 - - 217 - - 251 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 7 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -629 - - -1460 - - -974 - - -66 - - -1139 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 750 - - 1838 - - 3278 - - 2527 - - 1261 sfcLCL ODpotential -11103 - - -7020 - - -1788 - - -1249 - - -4607 ODpotential blCL 11224 - - 7398 - - 4092 - - 3710 - - 4729 blCL maxRH 69 - - 77 - - 90 - - 85 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 55.5 - - 68.0 - - 65.6 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 48.3 - - 54.3 - - 55.2 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.3 - - 55.0 - - 67.2 - - 65.9 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.3 - - 47.8 - - 53.5 - - 54.5 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -31 - - 63 - - 109 - - 18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 272 - - 2198 - - 2355 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 6 - - 62 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96834 15 097 15 083 9 091 15 097 17 085 96834 89734 22 095 17 085 16 098 17 121 15 085 89734 84212 21 101 17 097 11 113 17 111 13 083 84212 79601 17 101 13 113 6 126 8 074 14 081 79601 75610 12 092 11 122 5 124 4 064 9 052 75610 72085 4 028 3 095 3 118 2 088 6 050 72085 68890 3 282 3 272 1 032 3 213 2 039 68890 65956 7 282 6 281 8 288 7 255 6 284 65956 63236 9 266 7 259 10 268 5 288 6 279 63236 60590 14 263 11 271 14 267 18 284 18 289 60590 57825 21 273 15 254 21 250 26 279 29 287 57825 54963 29 283 16 270 23 255 33 268 32 272 54963 52226 32 275 22 273 23 246 30 260 28 261 52226 49738 40 280 26 285 25 269 27 269 32 277 49738 47474 42 281 42 282 40 281 40 279 46 279 47474 45415 45 294 47 291 53 291 61 286 62 281 45415 43562 64 295 68 288 77 289 81 287 82 283 43562 41891 66 286 67 282 82 277 84 274 89 279 41891 40361 51 278 55 274 71 266 69 262 81 282 40361 38942 65 311 57 289 62 277 64 279 85 289 38942 37601 94 318 72 310 66 298 71 293 83 285 37601 36292 92 316 70 311 68 298 78 296 83 284 36292 34949 71 308 58 304 62 292 73 289 83 284 34949 33544 54 299 47 290 55 281 71 284 84 284 33544 32080 46 290 44 275 52 268 68 277 82 283 32080 30542 41 277 46 266 54 260 65 264 80 281 30542 28916 44 269 49 261 58 258 69 262 80 276 28916 27201 49 268 52 257 62 262 70 266 82 273 27201 25395 53 269 53 254 67 270 71 270 82 273 25395 23506 53 270 54 259 65 273 68 272 78 274 23506 21549 50 274 55 263 59 269 63 269 69 270 21549 19517 46 276 51 259 55 265 60 267 62 267 19517 17399 42 269 46 256 51 267 51 265 55 270 17399 15241 38 263 43 260 45 266 40 260 47 270 15241 13162 34 262 39 263 38 264 33 257 42 262 13162 11272 28 258 35 263 32 260 29 258 38 257 11272 9593 22 250 30 261 26 253 27 256 32 259 9593 8106 19 240 27 257 22 248 23 255 26 264 8106 6790 18 237 23 255 20 252 21 260 22 274 6790 5624 16 237 20 255 20 259 21 267 19 287 5624 4596 13 234 18 256 20 263 20 267 15 308 4596 3693 11 232 15 255 20 260 20 263 13 335 3693 2900 10 235 13 254 17*252 19*259 14 355 2900 2192 9 234 11 246 15*238 18*256 15 002 2192 1569 9 223 11 234 13 224 17 253 16 002 1569 1050 9 205 11 220 12 212 17 251 15 359 1050 653 11 193 11*203 11 206 15 250 12 345 653 381 11 187 9*180 11 202 14 248 8 316 381 216 9*179 7 170 10 201 12 247 6*285 216 122 6*175 7 167 8 199 9 244 5*266 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography