DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 44.6 - - 53.2 - - 52.5 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 19 - - 42 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 111 - - 755 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 215 - - 860 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 104 - - 494 - - 876 - - 1436 - - 525 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 55 - - 137 - - 17 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 018 - - 324 - - 355 - - 018 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -888 - - -1715 - - -1747 - - -1500 - - -913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1008 - - 1930 - - 2607 - - 1621 - - 1035 sfcLCL ODpotential -13237 - - -12132 - - -9397 - - -8240 - - -9648 ODpotential blCL 13357 - - 12347 - - 10257 - - 8361 - - 9769 blCL maxRH 67 - - 68 - - 67 - - 68 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 44.6 - - 53.2 - - 52.5 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 37.3 - - 42.9 - - 46.5 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.1 - - 44.6 - - 52.9 - - 53.3 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.6 - - 36.2 - - 41.6 - - 45.2 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 19 - - 42 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 111 - - 755 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96149 34 295 21 328 24 295 19 319 21 313 96149 89249 14 015 10 005 10 332 15 346 13 017 89249 83847 13 032 9 026 13 035 10 346 14 022 83847 79305 13 034 10 036 16 031 12 004 14 030 79305 75355 15 047 5 050 13 022 15 012 18 019 75355 71837 12 071 9 077 5 017 11 006 16 009 71837 68651 12 023 10 019 7 003 9 001 13 007 68651 65730 11 011 12 007 13 343 13 326 14 342 65730 63026 21 359 13 350 15 325 13 300 15 291 63026 60400 22 339 17 335 18 317 13 304 13 299 60400 57651 33 319 28 312 27 298 29 302 24 294 57651 54786 33 298 30 301 28 285 33 282 27 301 54786 52033 26 288 26 290 26 284 32 293 36 300 52033 49551 33 312 30 300 41 294 42 294 39 298 49551 47326 41 307 43 296 45 287 45 283 44 293 47326 45321 42 301 47 290 40 280 41 277 40 282 45321 43518 32 304 40 286 35 287 41 285 37 285 43518 41890 26 317 30 284 44 294 51 289 50 291 41890 40394 37 322 39 296 49 292 55 283 54 288 40394 38987 41 318 37 293 46 288 51 278 54 283 38987 37650 35 318 35 290 45 288 50 280 54 280 37650 36349 31 321 36 292 41 291 49 281 53 281 36349 35014 29 314 35 290 36 293 45 284 49 281 35014 33619 22 307 30 289 32 280 37 286 44 277 33619 32162 11 317 25 288 32 269 31 287 36 270 32162 30629 13 303 21 289 30 268 28 269 31 269 30629 29005 22 289 19 283 27 271 28 267 26 259 29005 27293 21 276 20 274 27 271 27 269 25 255 27293 25495 19 258 18 267 25 261 26 270 26 262 25495 23618 17 246 18 260 18 249 24 267 27 266 23618 21662 18 242 18 253 16 249 19 251 24 268 21662 19619 18 237 18 255 15 259 16 252 24 275 19619 17482 17 252 15 266 13 271 10 255 18 278 17482 15296 13 258 11 267 10 278 6 249 12 266 15296 13186 10 245 9 248 9 266 8 257 6 261 13186 11271 8 240 9 242 9 253 8 256 3 287 11271 9576 6 235 7 228 7 235 7 233 2 287 9576 8078 5 204 5 202 6 205 6 205 2 242 8078 6750 6 185 6 205 5 204 5 188 1 158 6750 5578 6 188 4 202 5 194 7 172 3 104 5578 4547 4 165 4 170 6 180 8 162 3 137 4547 3645 4 090 4 095 6 159 7 158 2 124 3645 2856 6 050 7 056 5 130 6 153 4 050 2856 2157 7 029 8 035 5 031 4 035 10 021 2157 1542 7 016 8 016 10 000 9 010 12 017 1542 1032 7 007 9 351 9*355 7 005 9 359 1032 642 5 358 10 340 6*354 5 008 5 332 642 375 4 350 8*329 5 355 4 013 3 303 375 213 2*349 5*323 5 356 3*015 4 280 213 121 1*018 3 325 5 356 2*018 4*279 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography