DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 74.3 - - 82.2 - - 82.5 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 189 - - 202 - - 91 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1248 - - 5046 - - 5669 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 575 - - 3386 - - 3324 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 1354 - - 5152 - - 5776 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 1454 - - 2978 - - 2530 - - 410 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 252 - - 412 - - 333 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 311 - - 344 - - 210 - - 210 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -6 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4611 - - -6500 - - -4689 - - -4308 - - -4791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4733 - - 7854 - - 9842 - - 10085 - - 4914 sfcLCL ODpotential -13410 - - -11652 - - -8682 - - -8093 - - -9360 ODpotential blCL 13532 - - 13006 - - 13834 - - 13869 - - 9483 blCL maxRH 35 - - 61 - - 97 - - 66 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 74.3 - - 82.2 - - 82.5 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 40.6 - - 39.2 - - 38.5 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.2 - - 73.1 - - 80.8 - - 81.8 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 39.6 - - 38.2 - - 37.5 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 189 - - 202 - - 91 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1248 - - 5046 - - 5669 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 89 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96650 21 300 26 287 33 294 37 295 44 311 96650 89461 26 317 17 309 30 290 33 303 38 312 89461 83999 28 317 18 329 22 300 31 316 27 314 83999 79488 22 313 17 324 20 312 29 323 19 314 79488 75583 19 307 11 329 16 310 23 323 21 319 75583 72115 18 302 13 335 11 310 20 316 24 322 72115 68944 15 298 17 312 13 293 19 298 26 307 68944 66003 16 295 18 294 16 284 21 277 26 289 66003 63261 22 287 21 274 20 276 20 273 23 282 63261 60578 29 277 24 268 22 274 18 275 24 283 60578 57748 33 265 30 268 27 276 27 278 29 283 57748 54791 35 266 33 269 34 274 35 280 33 280 54791 51974 34 264 35 268 39 273 40 279 35 285 51974 49460 35 268 39 267 41 270 42 284 37 287 49460 47225 35 269 38 263 41 271 45 282 38 288 47225 45206 32 271 34 265 41 269 43 278 42 285 45206 43366 32 280 35 272 38 269 41 280 41 283 43366 41689 34 284 35 279 33 277 41 286 44 293 41689 40153 34 282 35 285 34 287 44 294 53 302 40153 38729 34 278 33 285 35 289 48 298 60 305 38729 37388 32 274 33 284 35 289 51 298 62 306 37388 36087 30 269 32 283 37 291 52 298 56 307 36087 34759 27 270 29 280 40 294 49 300 49 306 34759 33375 25 278 27 276 40 297 44 303 42 305 33375 31937 25 280 25 278 38 295 39 303 38 303 31937 30425 25 283 24 279 35 291 35 303 34 303 30425 28829 22 282 23 279 29 285 33 299 31 304 28829 27148 21 279 23 279 26 279 31 297 29 301 27148 25380 22 279 24 278 24 276 26 294 27 298 25380 23529 21 274 21 272 22 274 23 287 25 294 23529 21598 19 261 19 260 17 265 21 283 22 290 21598 19582 14 235 16 250 15 248 17 268 20 289 19582 17478 8 225 13 246 12 236 15 244 17 279 17478 15330 5 253 8 270 7 242 12 237 13 254 15330 13258 8 242 6 270 6 241 11 256 11 234 13258 11370 10 229 8 237 8 241 9 264 8 251 11370 9691 8 221 7 222 8 218 7 248 8 267 9691 8201 6 232 5 200 9 195 8 225 7 249 8201 6880 4 212 6 192 9 208 8*233 7 202 6880 5710 4 179 7 195 8*223 8*233 7 182 5710 4674 5 190 6 219 7*222 8 227 6 178 4674 3762 5 213 5 247 7 220 9 217 4 201 3762 2956 3 241 4 281 6 215 9 209 6 249 2956 2236 1 310 4 311 6 208 9 204 11 264 2236 1601 3 328 4*335 5 203 9 199 14 265 1601 1072 6 332 4*340 5 198 9 196 15 260 1072 666 8 348 4 343 5 194 9 194 15 251 666 387 7 338 3 346 5 192 9 194 12 235 387 219 5*313 3 347 4 191 8 193 9*221 219 123 3*311 3 348 4 190 7 191 6*214 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography