DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.7 - - 80.7 - - 90.4 - - 91.3 - - 79.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 137 - - 187 - - 43 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1149 - - 3072 - - 2614 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 1888 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 1256 - - 3179 - - 2721 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 103 - - 913 - - 2465 - - 2907 - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 222 - - 342 - - 204 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 25 - - 33 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 005 - - 026 - - 163 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -8 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3681 - - -7526 - - -8157 - - -8759 - - -7824 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3803 - - 8783 - - 11336 - - 11481 - - 7948 sfcLCL ODpotential -15243 - - -16226 - - -15666 - - -15869 - - -16812 ODpotential blCL 15365 - - 17482 - - 18845 - - 18590 - - 16935 blCL maxRH 40 - - 27 - - 37 - - 34 - - 20 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.7 - - 80.7 - - 90.4 - - 91.3 - - 79.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.0 - - 43.1 - - 41.1 - - 41.5 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.0 - - 79.7 - - 89.1 - - 91.2 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 42.2 - - 40.1 - - 40.6 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 137 - - 187 - - 43 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1149 - - 3072 - - 2614 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98194 10 094 16 080 22 127 15 144 5 284 98194 90865 14 090 18 098 13 108 16 124 5 110 90865 85211 14 094 16 101 9 107 15 103 12 100 85211 80516 15 093 11 116 8 116 9 081 13 093 80516 76469 10 075 12 098 10 113 8 088 9 087 76469 72886 6 045 6 078 11 106 8 072 10 093 72886 69642 9 059 6 094 7 099 9 057 10 077 69642 66671 9 052 8 106 3 152 5 002 7 058 66671 63937 7 106 4 103 4 129 4 226 3 300 63937 61308 8 039 6 160 2 221 2 200 3 284 61308 58581 14 334 1 273 6 238 6 270 7 317 58581 55750 23 321 11 320 8 278 11 280 12 311 55750 53050 29 311 23 313 20 313 18 301 19 303 53050 50633 34 303 32 317 25 321 20 307 21 300 50633 48470 38 305 37 317 33 318 29 312 27 307 48470 46501 39 309 40 315 37 311 35 309 33 309 46501 44687 41 321 43 317 39 312 36 311 34 308 44687 42997 43 328 41 319 38 318 34 311 31 307 42997 41415 44 330 40 325 35 319 31 312 28 306 41415 39929 43 331 39 329 33 324 29 314 26 304 39929 38528 42 332 39 332 34 328 28 320 23 307 38528 37175 42 336 39 334 33 329 29 326 22 316 37175 35797 44 340 38 335 33 332 27 330 23 322 35797 34361 44 340 37 337 32 334 25 332 24 326 34361 32866 43 338 34 337 30 337 24 335 22 328 32866 31300 40 336 31 336 28 337 23 338 21 331 31300 29648 36 338 28 336 23 331 21 333 21 333 29648 27911 32 330 26 332 21 321 21 321 22 330 27911 26087 31 315 28 327 23 318 22 319 23 331 26087 24178 29 310 29 322 24 320 22 324 22 338 24178 22186 26 315 24 322 21 323 17 330 15 342 22186 20108 20 320 16 318 14 314 11 319 12 316 20108 17938 13 309 11 303 11 303 8 304 12 302 17938 15719 11 294 9 295 9 310 4 323 8 302 15719 13579 9 286 8 294 5 312 1 165 2 214 13579 11636 6 283 5 286 2 263 3 173 7 156 11636 9915 1 326 1 238 2 188 3 164 9 145 9915 8388 5 035 4 097 2 163 2 212 6 133 8388 7035 6 025 2 086 1 334 3 314 2 067 7035 5837 5 034 2 034 4 346 5 336 3 337 5837 4777 6 035 4 037 4 350 4 331 4 317 4777 3843 10 027 8 019 4*000 2 317 3 289 3843 3020 13 019 11 008 3*010 1*299 3 238 3020 2284 15 007 14 005 3 018 1*201 4 202 2284 1635 21 007 13*003 3 026 1 169 5 179 1635 1094 22 006 9*003 2 035 1 160 6 166 1094 680 15 359 7 005 2 039 1 161 6 161 680 395 8 336 6 006 2 042 1 156 6 160 395 222 5 318 6 006 2 043 1 156 6 164 222 123 3*312 5 006 2 046 1 153 5*167 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography