DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 78.7 - - 81.3 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 306 - - 111 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2188 - - 4401 - - 3620 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1325 - - 3078 - - 1982 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2294 - - 4507 - - 3726 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1836 - - 2047 - - 4348 - - 205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 326 - - 448 - - 303 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 32 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 065 - - 201 - - 151 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -11 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2831 - - -3669 - - -5835 - - -6849 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5125 - - 8177 - - 9561 - - 6972 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6799 - - -7531 - - -9660 - - -12781 ODpotential blCL - - - 9093 - - 12038 - - 13386 - - 12903 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 55 - - 49 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 78.7 - - 81.3 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 43.2 - - 39.5 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 76.9 - - 80.3 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 42.3 - - 38.6 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 306 - - 111 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2188 - - 4401 - - 3620 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98921 7 118 7 067 6 095 7 117 98921 91514 15 108 9 127 7 142 9 053 91514 85778 12 116 15 121 14 114 9 074 85778 81013 14 116 16 147 8 104 13 072 81013 76909 16 101 15 147 5 118 7 094 76909 73290 14 119 11 111 8 127 7 132 73290 70013 7 103 10 112 10 157 8 149 70013 66996 11 182 6 168 8 162 8 175 66996 64197 8 181 7 168 7 174 13 172 64197 61465 16 227 16 246 13 251 9 249 61465 58601 19 221 28 229 25 240 26 239 58601 55634 18 249 25 231 26 231 31 234 55634 52806 29 257 30 244 31 244 36 240 52806 50259 36 251 39 250 44 254 40 251 50259 47974 42 246 49 256 52 255 50 258 47974 45898 47 244 55 253 58 252 61 257 45898 43995 52 245 60 247 67 249 69 255 43995 42239 58 250 68 248 73 248 74 252 42239 40610 71 246 69 245 73 248 75 249 40610 39093 74 239 68 243 77 249 75 250 39093 37674 71 236 70 243 79 250 78 251 37674 36316 71 235 75 241 78 250 81 250 36316 34949 72 236 78 240 77 248 81 249 34949 33541 72 239 81 239 77 247 79 248 33541 32083 71 239 81 239 76 246 76 248 32083 30556 68 236 79 239 73 246 71 249 30556 28946 66 234 76 239 68 248 65 250 28946 27252 64 236 73 238 64 250 57 252 27252 25473 60 236 68 236 59 251 50 253 25473 23609 54 234 63 235 52 251 43 253 23609 21664 47 231 55 233 41 252 35 255 21664 19631 41 231 44 233 27 260 29 255 19631 17504 34 232 33 234 21 259 23 253 17504 15335 23 234 23 230 19 248 17 244 15335 13251 14 234 14 216 14 229 14 223 13251 11361 10 206 11 194 9 218 13 209 11361 9687 12 197 11 196 7 239 10 203 9687 8202 11 202 11 205 9 259 5 198 8202 6885 9 205 8 219 11 251 4 224 6885 5716 6 201 5 234 10 244 5 225 5716 4680 4 189 3*221 8 230 7 217 4680 3767 3 122 3*214 6*215 9 219 3767 2962 4*091 3 209 5*188 10 218 2962 2241 3*078 3 201 5 156 10 215 2241 1604 2 066 3 198 6 147 10 206 1604 1074 2 060 2 194 6 144 10 193 1074 668 2 060 2 190 6 141 10 178 668 388 2 058 2 189 6 140 10 165 388 219 1 057 2 190 6 139 8 159 219 122 1 060 2 188 5 137 5*161 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography