DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 60.0 - - 60.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 75 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 329 - - 1026 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 433 - - 1131 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 548 - - 856 - - 1947 - - 326 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 178 - - 11 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 009 - - 017 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1364 - - -3003 - - -2841 - - -1007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1797 - - 4134 - - 2963 - - 1128 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11861 - - -11722 - - -10643 - - -11427 ODpotential blCL - - - 12294 - - 12853 - - 10765 - - 11548 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 54 - - 56 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 60.0 - - 60.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.1 - - 42.7 - - 47.8 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 59.5 - - 60.8 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 41.7 - - 46.8 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 75 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 329 - - 1026 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96152 31 044 22 062 16 078 16 079 96152 89095 19 067 19 064 20 061 25 053 89095 83668 28 067 16 067 27 051 30 048 83668 79172 28 063 16 071 23 051 22 055 79172 75284 25 051 20 056 21 057 20 064 75284 71836 19 038 22 039 24 048 20 060 71836 68707 14 028 20 028 28 037 24 053 68707 65821 14 023 20 022 27 023 21 039 65821 63144 18 018 20 003 21 005 22 018 63144 60554 23 012 22 348 25 355 24 359 60554 57847 30 004 25 346 29 341 27 350 57847 55020 29 353 26 351 27 331 29 332 55020 52295 27 340 25 339 25 329 25 324 52295 49823 28 329 28 324 30 324 31 325 49823 47599 35 318 36 316 38 316 39 319 47599 45575 40 313 41 310 39 308 38 308 45575 43708 42 312 41 307 37 305 34 305 43708 41969 42 309 40 301 36 298 34 302 41969 40345 39 306 38 300 36 290 33 294 40345 38846 34 304 38 296 40 278 40 276 38846 37477 36 294 40 285 38 272 40 270 37477 36174 42 278 40 283 41 271 40 277 36174 34842 39 276 45 282 40 273 46 269 34842 33452 37 281 45 281 43 272 46 260 33452 32002 37 284 41 282 45 271 43 260 32002 30480 36 285 41 279 42 269 39 263 30480 28876 32 284 35 273 33 274 35 268 28876 27190 29 279 28 278 30 285 29 278 27190 25420 26 278 26 282 24 284 21 261 25420 23565 23 282 24 281 23 291 15 267 23565 21629 19 284 23 285 25 291 20 271 21629 19609 16 281 22 289 24 290 23 273 19609 17494 16 279 22 290 19 295 16 281 17494 15328 15 276 19 288 14 291 10 291 15328 13233 11 277 13 282 13 277 8 271 13233 11324 8 284 9 279 12 276 11 267 11324 9628 4 275 6 268 8 275 8 274 9628 8124 2 143 4 212 5 244 4 241 8124 6792 5 161 6 186 4 201 4 209 6792 5615 8 164 6 179 6 170 6 185 5615 4580 9 160 7 167 8 153 8 163 4580 3674 9 151 7 153 8 143 8 158 3674 2878 7 127 6 130 7 120 5 140 2878 2171 5 053 7 033 7 043 6 044 2171 1552 14 007 9*012 9 013 11 018 1552 1039 14 002 7*008 7 010 11 012 1039 647 10*354 6 010 6 013 7 003 647 377 6*344 5 009 5 016 5 355 377 214 5 343 5 010 5*018 3 332 214 121 4 345 4 012 3*017 2*325 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography