DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.9 - - 87.1 - - 89.9 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 144 - - -4 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1082 - - 1674 - - 1113 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 454 - - 833 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1188 - - 1781 - - 1221 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 504 - - 1184 - - 3303 - - 243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 268 - - 126 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 155 - - 152 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -9 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2986 - - -4847 - - -5877 - - -4855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4174 - - 6628 - - 7098 - - 4979 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10065 - - -11505 - - -11836 - - -12113 ODpotential blCL - - - 11253 - - 13286 - - 13057 - - 12236 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 41 - - 31 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 180 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.9 - - 87.1 - - 89.9 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.1 - - 58.6 - - 59.4 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 86.1 - - 90.5 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 57.3 - - 58.0 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 144 - - -4 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1082 - - 1674 - - 1113 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99036 24 111 25 109 26 102 31 107 99036 91536 27 122 22 118 24 120 24 116 91536 85751 28 116 19 118 21 117 19 109 85751 80961 21 116 18 118 21 095 20 104 80961 76840 18 116 18 123 13 103 23 082 76840 73206 19 108 18 128 12 140 9 067 73206 69931 12 109 14 128 8 122 7 112 69931 66928 8 110 8 123 5 114 8 079 66928 64144 4 141 5 131 3 223 7 360 64144 61456 5 150 5 159 6 186 5 262 61456 58662 9 247 9 257 6 274 6 254 58662 55764 21 263 19 257 19 259 17 258 55764 53010 30 267 27 260 31 259 30 264 53010 50550 36 265 37 257 38 254 38 259 50550 48354 41 266 40 258 41 255 41 254 48354 46364 43 264 41 260 44 257 46 251 46364 44545 41 265 41 260 43 256 46 249 44545 42866 39 268 39 260 42 254 43 247 42866 41302 40 266 38 259 39 252 42 247 41302 39830 40 261 37 253 39 252 41 248 39830 38437 38 259 37 245 38 254 39 250 38437 37086 36 257 36 242 36 256 37 252 37086 35708 35 259 33 241 36 256 36 254 35708 34273 30 263 29 240 37 256 35 257 34273 32783 27 262 28 240 38 255 35 257 32783 31223 26 259 28 242 37 255 35 256 31223 29582 25 261 25 244 35 257 33 255 29582 27857 25 265 22 251 29 256 30 253 27857 26049 23 267 22 260 23 257 28 254 26049 24159 22 268 22 265 23 261 28 259 24159 22187 20 274 22 267 24 264 26 259 22187 20122 15 273 18 266 23 265 24 259 20122 17960 8 264 12 254 18 264 21 265 17960 15748 4 265 7 230 10 250 12 256 15748 13613 4 245 4 203 7 207 8 225 13613 11670 13 200 7 201 7 173 9 186 11670 9947 16 182 11 184 9 173 10 185 9947 8419 9 183 7 213 2 292 3 153 8419 7064 2 176 5 278 9 328 8 044 7064 5861 2 035 6 304 8 290 4 291 5861 4797 5 028 6 295 8 246 7 260 4797 3860 6 012 6 278 11 220 9 255 3860 3033 7 014 4 255 12 205 11 253 3033 2294 5 004 4*202 13 190 13 252 2294 1642 4*356 5*167 13*169 15 245 1642 1098 2*029 6 156 13*156 16 234 1098 682 2 045 6 152 13 152 16 222 682 396 2 056 6 151 12 150 14 206 396 222 2 061 5 149 11 149 10 193 222 123 2 060 5 149 9 148 7*184 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography