DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 81.6 - - 83.7 - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 288 - - 88 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1596 - - 4144 - - 3759 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 894 - - 2859 - - 1928 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1702 - - 4251 - - 3866 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1045 - - 2908 - - 4999 - - 430 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 431 - - 287 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 18 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 140 - - 167 - - 141 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -15 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3738 - - -4398 - - -5829 - - -6090 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5440 - - 8649 - - 9695 - - 6213 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8747 - - -8984 - - -11167 - - -11787 ODpotential blCL - - - 10449 - - 13235 - - 15033 - - 11910 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 43 - - 47 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 81.6 - - 83.7 - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 44.0 - - 41.4 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 79.8 - - 83.0 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 43.0 - - 40.5 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 288 - - 88 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1596 - - 4144 - - 3759 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98900 4 125 6 045 7 028 1 152 98900 91472 9 125 4 140 7 351 10 038 91472 85733 16 087 9 113 6 067 12 048 85733 80974 13 063 10 087 10 103 8 051 80974 76891 8 051 6 074 11 083 11 088 76891 73292 9 068 2 119 11 052 11 079 73292 70029 4 087 7 146 2 002 6 072 70029 67011 1 092 3 135 3 289 5 354 67011 64208 5 230 3 267 3 248 8 287 64208 61500 15 231 9 243 10 197 9 248 61500 58666 14 236 15 251 16 247 19 276 58666 55726 23 255 23 253 27 261 27 264 55726 52943 28 266 24 272 24 269 23 266 52943 50463 35 269 34 287 29 292 25 286 50463 48253 44 268 36 287 33 295 34 288 48253 46248 43 266 37 294 36 288 40 282 46248 44402 42 274 37 291 38 285 42 281 44402 42685 43 279 35 293 41 287 43 281 42685 41079 44 282 37 302 44 288 45 282 41079 39569 42 289 41 309 44 290 46 279 39569 38145 50 307 47 313 45 296 46 277 38145 36770 59 309 51 312 49 303 44 282 36770 35374 60 305 53 308 51 309 42 293 35374 33930 59 302 53 303 52 314 41 305 33930 32437 58 300 52 301 54 320 42 314 32437 30876 56 298 50 296 54 322 41 316 30876 29231 50 288 48 290 49 320 40 317 29231 27500 48 271 47 288 45 309 38 320 27500 25682 50 267 46 285 44 298 36 318 25682 23781 49 269 47 276 46 288 36 307 23781 21800 45 268 47 271 45 283 39 299 21800 19737 40 264 44 269 44 277 40 293 19737 17592 37 262 40 265 41 272 36 285 17592 15410 33 261 35 267 37 273 31 279 15410 13314 27 261 27 269 29 276 23 278 13314 11413 21 260 20 268 20 276 14 273 11413 9727 17 251 16 268 14 270 9 275 9727 8234 14 247 14 266 12 256 4 298 8234 6910 11 242 14 258 11 250 4 287 6910 5736 11 234 13 252 9 239 3 271 5736 4695 12 235 11*245 7*218 2 194 4695 3778 11 240 7*229 6*186 5 157 3778 2969 9 246 5 209 7 158 9 153 2969 2246 4*248 5 159 8 139 12 153 2246 1608 2*176 5 146 9 135 15 153 1608 1076 2 144 5 140 9 131 17 151 1076 669 2 135 5 136 9 130 17 148 669 389 2 126 5 133 9 129 14 143 389 219 2 124 5 133 9 128 10*138 219 123 2 119 5 132 8 127 5*127 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography