DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 83.5 - - 86.5 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 240 - - 37 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1199 - - 3249 - - 3851 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 529 - - 2106 - - 107 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1304 - - 3356 - - 3958 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 979 - - 3646 - - 4212 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 373 - - 217 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 001 - - 355 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -12 - - -21 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6630 - - -7238 - - -8295 - - -9043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7934 - - 10595 - - 12254 - - 9167 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11257 - - -13283 - - -14759 - - -18344 ODpotential blCL - - - 12561 - - 16639 - - 18717 - - 18467 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 74 - - 41 - - 17 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 83.5 - - 86.5 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.0 - - 37.2 - - 32.8 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 81.9 - - 86.0 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 36.5 - - 31.9 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 240 - - 37 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1199 - - 3249 - - 3851 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98265 10 084 7 148 6 204 3 213 98265 90892 6 105 4 064 5 145 1 252 90892 85196 5 127 6 320 5 071 1 182 85196 80484 6 098 1 277 6 027 4 028 80484 76450 5 081 3 079 5 047 4 014 76450 72899 2 104 3 350 5 002 4 052 72899 69675 3 156 7 238 6 287 5 317 69675 66703 6 274 7 242 8 266 7 270 66703 63943 13 246 11 249 18 278 9 290 63943 61267 13 241 13 250 19 274 12 292 61267 58475 16 270 16 256 19 272 18 286 58475 55578 20 281 20 275 21 285 20 292 55578 52807 26 281 26 291 24 304 30 310 52807 50307 27 285 32 300 31 302 33 316 50307 48059 29 293 32 302 31 301 36 315 48059 46012 29 292 30 309 30 313 32 321 46012 44138 26 296 28 321 34 333 36 342 44138 42411 26 320 29 339 38 339 33 348 42411 40821 29 330 39 354 42 004 56 013 40821 39358 29 353 48 352 61 009 76 013 39358 37989 50 357 52 004 70 014 72 022 37989 36662 53 359 59 020 76 015 72 030 36662 35304 62 016 70 030 67 020 71 031 35304 33886 81 019 76 028 63 021 70 027 33886 32412 89 018 75 023 69 018 72 023 32412 30865 83 018 71 017 72 017 72 021 30865 29230 80 016 72 012 63 017 65 026 29230 27511 76 019 69 010 57 019 57 033 27511 25706 67 020 59 012 53 020 52 026 25706 23819 60 018 51 012 48 018 46 018 23819 21856 56 016 49 011 46 016 40 014 21856 19806 55 021 48 015 44 018 40 014 19806 17662 46 022 44 025 41 024 39 024 17662 15471 29 022 36 030 33 025 34 032 15471 13364 17 025 25 030 22 026 28 029 13364 11461 13 024 17 032 13 036 19 032 11461 9779 14 026 13 037 11 036 11 056 9779 8284 14 023 13 042 10 028 9 059 8284 6953 12 017 12 043 10 014 8 040 6953 5770 11 014 12 041 11 003 9 015 5770 4723 13 012 11 028 12*357 11 002 4723 3800 16 007 11*008 12*355 14 000 3800 2986 20 004 11*002 11 355 15 001 2986 2260 20 002 10 000 11 355 15 360 2260 1617 16*359 10 000 10 355 14 356 1617 1082 8*350 9 001 10 355 12 352 1082 672 7 350 8 002 9 355 11 346 672 390 7 351 8 003 9 355 10 334 390 220 6 352 7 003 8 354 8*316 220 123 6 351 6 003 7 354 6*311 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography