DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 84.2 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 179 - - - - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1588 - - 1816 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 864 - - 1007 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1694 - - 1923 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 470 - - 831 - - - - - 1063 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 292 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 161 - - - - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1615 - - -3334 - - - - - -3479 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3310 - - 5257 - - - - - 3602 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10308 - - -10436 - - - - - -11941 ODpotential blCL - - - 12002 - - 12359 - - - - - 12064 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 57 - - - - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 84.2 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.5 - - 61.7 - - - - - 61.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 82.9 - - - - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 60.3 - - - - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 179 - - - - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1588 - - 1816 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98917 31 119 32 104 27 112 98917 91407 27 120 27 123 31 103 91407 85638 26 126 22 127 25 094 85638 80849 25 119 20 127 17 098 80849 76726 21 123 17 118 14 108 76726 73091 15 126 11 121 12 113 73091 69818 14 124 8 113 9 117 69818 66823 10 120 6 136 9 113 66823 64057 7 086 7 127 5 136 64057 61398 3 259 2 190 5 184 61398 58630 9 241 10 245 5 148 58630 55762 15 241 23 223 24 239 55762 53046 13 252 24 225 30 241 53046 50609 27 255 29 242 36 243 50609 48419 37 251 36 244 40 237 48419 46425 45 261 47 250 41 250 46425 44596 58 261 50 251 53 252 44596 42900 57 260 53 257 59 248 42900 41313 51 264 57 261 61 248 41313 39819 52 267 58 261 62 249 39819 38407 51 268 57 264 61 251 38407 37041 42 265 53 269 60 252 37041 35651 33 258 36 263 53 250 35651 34209 27 250 29 251 40 240 34209 32716 22 243 26 246 38 227 32716 31155 19 221 20 236 35 228 31155 29515 18 213 20 223 20 235 29515 27795 15 218 18 222 17 215 27795 25993 12 209 14 222 18 208 25993 24108 18 165 15 201 16 201 24108 22143 19 165 21 188 18 196 22143 20094 16 218 19 203 21 198 20094 17952 28 218 24 216 19 193 17952 15750 19 202 18 210 17 178 15750 13616 6 137 13 160 19 177 13616 11667 6 053 9 122 16 182 11667 9934 12 045 9 082 9 152 9934 8396 8 079 12 059 10 090 8396 7032 6 118 7 058 9 058 7032 5824 6 097 3 085 5 058 5824 4759 6 060 1 053 6 189 4759 3824 6 046 1 272 9 192 3824 3002 2 067 6 230 10 193 3002 2268 1*010 6*204 11 216 2268 1621 1*096 5*179 16 231 1621 1084 1 100 5 163 19 224 1084 674 2 100 5 156 18 212 674 392 2 099 5 153 16 201 392 221 2 098 5 150 13 193 221 123 2 096 4 149 9*185 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography