DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/19 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.5 - - 83.3 - - 87.5 - - 86.6 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 348 - - 414 - - 204 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 995 - - 4634 - - 5620 - - 5408 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 3312 - - 4158 - - 3668 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 1101 - - 4741 - - 5727 - - 5515 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 937 - - 1408 - - 1819 - - 3923 - - 4211 Hgt.Variab. W* 148 - - 476 - - 538 - - 423 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 21 - - 18 - - 26 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 358 - - 356 - - 006 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 4 - - -8 - - -13 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7592 - - -6559 - - -8384 - - -8753 - - -9421 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8693 - - 11301 - - 14112 - - 14269 - - 9544 sfcLCL ODpotential -16465 - - -13813 - - -16706 - - -18129 - - -18665 ODpotential blCL 17566 - - 18554 - - 22433 - - 23644 - - 18788 blCL maxRH 35 - - 50 - - 69 - - 59 - - 23 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.5 - - 83.3 - - 87.5 - - 86.6 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.3 - - 34.1 - - 25.4 - - 23.6 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.3 - - 81.5 - - 85.4 - - 85.4 - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 33.2 - - 24.5 - - 22.8 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 348 - - 414 - - 204 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 995 - - 4634 - - 5620 - - 5408 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97876 10 064 10 136 5 057 7 068 3 105 97876 90408 8 064 9 104 3 089 8 076 11 090 90408 84705 11 079 9 099 6 085 10 052 16 072 84705 79972 14 065 10 052 13 055 9 035 15 048 79972 75896 7 075 14 035 5 077 5 020 12 038 75896 72307 8 003 11 344 5 360 7 353 5 012 72307 69052 1 184 5 343 5 345 3 028 11 355 69052 66050 19 303 22 302 19 309 19 325 16 320 66050 63269 18 298 14 298 16 285 22 312 21 328 63269 60571 10 329 12 327 14 305 20 297 29 323 60571 57770 32 327 27 322 27 326 29 316 33 318 57770 54889 45 314 36 317 37 314 39 310 37 312 54889 52154 48 308 40 309 40 308 40 307 38 303 52154 49707 46 304 46 300 51 308 50 318 47 319 49707 47554 44 302 50 296 60 305 61 312 66 322 47554 45650 44 303 52 302 65 313 62 308 76 317 45650 43921 46 305 57 312 65 315 57 311 69 303 43921 42313 46 308 59 312 60 314 53 314 63 299 42313 40801 46 314 57 309 55 312 52 318 61 303 40801 39369 46 317 54 308 53 310 53 322 62 314 39369 38005 46 317 52 307 52 310 53 322 64 319 38005 36674 46 316 51 306 52 310 53 321 60 315 36674 35309 45 315 51 305 53 310 51 317 56 307 35309 33880 45 311 51 305 53 311 52 312 54 304 33880 32395 46 306 52 305 52 311 55 312 55 310 32395 30837 47 301 51 305 51 308 57 317 55 310 30837 29193 48 298 51 305 50 304 56 319 55 309 29193 27461 49 296 52 306 49 303 52 312 55 307 27461 25642 50 299 53 306 51 304 54 309 55 310 25642 23740 52 303 54 307 54 305 58 311 55 316 23740 21761 52 303 54 307 56 307 61 313 52 319 21761 19697 51 303 52 309 56 310 61 312 51 321 19697 17545 49 307 50 311 55 313 60 312 49 323 17545 15351 45 310 45 314 51 315 58 315 46 326 15351 13245 39 314 40 316 48 317 52 317 40 330 13245 11340 32 317 36 322 43 321 41 320 35 336 11340 9654 25 321 31 327 35 327 27 318 30 340 9654 8163 20 328 24 331 26 330 21 318 22 336 8163 6846 19 340 18 334 20 330 20 330 19 330 6846 5680 22 349 18*338 17*341 21*347 22 338 5680 4649 27 355 19*349 17*347 23*356 25 350 4649 3741 29 000 21 356 18 353 25 001 29 359 3741 2940 30 004 21 358 18 356 27 007 34 003 2940 2225 31 004 21 360 18 357 27 008 37 005 2225 1594 33*003 22 000 18 358 27 008 37 005 1594 1067 31*001 21 001 18 358 27 008 35 006 1067 665 26 359 21 001 18 358 26 009 33 006 665 387 24 358 20 001 17 359 25 008 28 006 387 219 21 357 19 001 16 359 23 009 24*006 219 123 15 356 15 001 14 359 19 008 17*006 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography