DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.2 - - 69.4 - - 80.9 - - 83.8 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 146 - - 207 - - -6 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 672 - - 1698 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 921 - - 107 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 777 - - 1804 - - 123 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 103 - - 548 - - 1591 - - 6055 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 186 - - 285 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 18 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 2 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 170 - - 162 - - 180 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -8 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4554 - - -7225 - - -8297 - - -10722 - - -6273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4677 - - 8002 - - 10102 - - 10846 - - 6395 sfcLCL ODpotential -17575 - - -16058 - - -14834 - - -16290 - - -15172 ODpotential blCL 17697 - - 16835 - - 16638 - - 16413 - - 15294 blCL maxRH 33 - - 32 - - 28 - - 20 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.2 - - 69.4 - - 80.9 - - 83.8 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.2 - - 35.6 - - 37.2 - - 36.7 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.6 - - 68.3 - - 79.4 - - 84.1 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 35.3 - - 36.7 - - 36.2 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 146 - - 207 - - -6 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 672 - - 1698 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97706 10 337 8 258 20 280 18 294 16 298 97706 90419 12 297 10 305 13 260 20 300 16 296 90419 84798 12 274 12 294 10 283 12 309 13 293 84798 80138 7 304 10 254 13 279 10 312 8 310 80138 76124 12 310 10 242 11 264 15 282 11 305 76124 72571 11 296 8 264 9 249 16 262 13 300 72571 69348 13 299 8 298 7 248 17 245 16 290 69348 66386 17 298 12 291 10 271 13 243 18 261 66386 63644 19 284 16 278 15 274 15 258 20 246 63644 60990 17 276 21 272 23 268 24 265 23 249 60990 58231 25 277 26 267 29 268 29 261 27 255 58231 55377 32 264 31 263 34 268 31 264 31 258 55377 52661 33 269 34 265 37 269 36 268 34 258 52661 50219 33 276 37 268 40 265 41 261 43 256 50219 48025 37 278 37 272 39 265 42 260 45 252 48025 46022 42 280 39 275 41 269 44 267 43 257 46022 44172 44 277 40 274 41 270 43 266 43 259 44172 42450 45 274 43 271 40 270 39 265 42 257 42450 40839 48 275 44 271 43 269 38 267 40 259 40839 39326 47 278 44 272 43 268 39 269 38 259 39326 37904 45 277 43 271 44 264 38 263 38 254 37904 36541 44 280 42 273 44 264 38 260 39 254 36541 35173 40 284 38 276 39 262 37 260 37 253 35173 33762 37 289 33 279 32 263 34 259 35 252 33762 32299 31 291 27 278 28 264 31 258 34 249 32299 30766 25 292 24 278 27 264 29 259 29 249 30766 29146 19 295 19 275 25 261 27 262 26 252 29146 27441 17 292 17 271 23 259 25 267 24 256 27441 25649 18 285 16 273 20 264 22 268 22 257 25649 23774 18 284 16 278 16 269 16 264 20 255 23774 21819 16 289 14 284 12 269 14 256 19 250 21819 19779 14 297 13 284 12 268 16 256 19 250 19779 17646 11 304 12 280 13 262 16 251 20 245 17646 15464 9 291 10 263 13 245 15 240 19 244 15464 13362 13 263 16 252 17 245 15 242 18 241 13362 11453 18 252 22 249 20 245 17 241 18 235 11453 9758 18 249 21 245 20 239 18 238 18 228 9758 8254 14 246 17 237 17 233 18 233 18 221 8254 6919 12 237 16 226 16 230 16 231 17 214 6919 5735 12 229 16 220 16 232 13 228 15 205 5735 4689 11 222 15 218 15 234 12 221 14 196 4689 3770 10 219 13 214 15 230 12 215 12 191 3770 2960 8 215 11 208 14 222 13 207 11 194 2960 2237 5 215 8 204 12*206 13 200 10 215 2237 1599 2 239 5 202 10*172 13 194 12 242 1599 1069 2 347 3*203 10 162 13 191 17 252 1069 664 3 005 2*179 10 160 12 188 18 247 664 386 3 354 2 171 9 158 12 184 15 235 386 218 2*329 2 165 9 157 10*182 11 224 218 122 0*308 2 160 8 156 8*180 6*211 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography