DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 45.1 - - 49.8 - - 51.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 33 - - 91 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 203 - - 960 - - 942 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 307 - - 1064 - - 1047 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1086 - - 1275 - - 383 - - 427 - - 958 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 77 - - 182 - - 50 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 334 - - 031 - - 002 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -13 - - 0 - - 134 - - 225 - - -289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 133 - - 307 - - 930 - - 822 - - 410 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 75 - - 198 - - 69 - - -11195 ODpotential blCL 120 - - 232 - - 866 - - 978 - - 11316 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 45.1 - - 49.8 - - 51.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 44.5 - - 46.4 - - 48.8 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 44.7 - - 49.0 - - 51.9 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.0 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 - - 48.3 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 33 - - 91 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 203 - - 960 - - 942 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 98 - - 94 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96360 19 081 18 068 11 102 15 126 22 078 96360 89277 22 080 21 089 10 114 15 093 22 071 89277 83772 20 066 16 074 13 095 14 073 20 066 83772 79194 13 050 14 053 16 063 12 075 13 083 79194 75230 8 033 13 028 12 049 15 039 14 076 75230 71710 12 007 8 012 6 044 13 016 12 038 71710 68514 9 329 11 329 14 332 15 006 10 003 68514 65566 12 321 10 291 18 300 17 321 15 334 65566 62830 17 324 10 330 15 310 15 311 17 319 62830 60171 32 310 24 314 26 312 24 319 25 325 60171 57386 30 295 30 302 34 297 32 303 30 311 57386 54494 33 302 28 297 34 293 36 299 36 303 54494 51740 36 301 32 307 36 300 41 297 37 298 51740 49277 40 308 42 307 41 300 43 298 35 296 49277 47080 50 309 42 304 37 295 39 285 36 291 47080 45098 51 305 41 305 35 295 34 281 33 285 45098 43296 46 297 41 303 39 290 33 281 33 287 43296 41643 33 311 41 308 39 285 37 270 41 282 41643 40122 46 332 39 319 34 287 36 262 43 260 40122 38710 51 340 38 326 29 295 37 254 46 250 38710 37375 44 337 37 326 33 293 29 256 42 252 37375 36076 43 342 36 323 31 296 26 264 32 248 36076 34748 42 348 35 320 27 303 24 272 29 244 34748 33360 39 353 31 323 25 309 22 277 26 249 33360 31915 36 357 26 329 24 313 18 278 26 257 31915 30397 32 001 22 322 22 315 15 285 25 258 30397 28794 28 010 19 327 18 314 16 296 24 257 28794 27108 22 007 18 333 17 319 16 306 24 255 27108 25331 21 351 17 332 17 331 16 307 24 253 25331 23468 23 341 20 337 16 334 14 300 21 267 23468 21524 21 331 20 347 15 329 14 293 18 299 21524 19496 19 310 18 340 16 324 13 299 18 312 19496 17377 21 296 16 327 15 317 13 304 17 306 17377 15215 21 296 15 325 17 313 16 314 13 306 15215 13130 22 298 16 321 18 317 16 324 12 317 13130 11233 21 300 15 319 17 326 14 331 12 327 11233 9548 19 299 14 323 14 334 13 333 11 335 9548 8054 17 294 12 328 10 345 10 336 9 340 8054 6730 15 293 10 335 7 352 7 343 6 347 6730 5559 13 297 7 341 5 002 5 357 4 010 5559 4529 9 308 4 356 4 006 4 010 5 036 4529 3627 7 335 4 024 4 001 6 013 6 044 3627 2837 7 349 6 027 5 001 8 008 8 025 2837 2137 7 340 6 016 7 351 9 006 9 016 2137 1526 5 335 5 350 5*354 8*001 9 002 1526 1021 3 343 5 339 4*018 5*356 7 351 1021 637 3 340 4 334 4 031 4 002 5 342 637 373 3 337 4*333 4 035 4 005 3 325 373 212 3 337 3*333 4 036 3 008 3*293 212 121 2*341 3 334 3 035 3 007 3*286 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography