DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.9 - - 79.6 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 204 - - 226 - - 81 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3238 - - 5338 - - 3930 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2057 - - 3697 - - 2081 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3344 - - 5444 - - 4037 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2266 - - 2137 - - 4301 - - 7140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 444 - - 295 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 195 - - 129 - - 37 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 356 - - 003 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -19 - - -26 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1200 - - -620 - - -3675 - - -5288 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4544 - - 6064 - - 7712 - - 5411 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3848 - - -3044 - - -6725 - - -7085 ODpotential blCL - - - 7192 - - 8488 - - 10762 - - 7208 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 62 - - 43 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.9 - - 79.6 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 51.8 - - 46.3 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 76.4 - - 79.0 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 50.6 - - 45.1 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 204 - - 226 - - 81 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3238 - - 5338 - - 3930 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98369 11 144 13 084 17 106 19 126 98369 90914 16 125 11 101 12 093 18 097 90914 85207 17 119 12 124 8 109 14 070 85207 80499 14 120 13 130 9 133 15 071 80499 76449 9 114 12 113 9 111 16 090 76449 72866 5 143 9 114 12 106 12 109 72866 69604 10 156 9 178 5 105 11 110 69604 66581 10 153 17 186 11 213 6 223 66581 63766 11 202 11 198 10 200 15 204 63766 61032 17 233 14 230 10 230 11 222 61032 58170 22 239 20 243 17 250 13 241 58170 55197 26 246 26 248 26 253 23 255 55197 52358 28 251 30 253 33 256 32 259 52358 49807 29 262 32 260 36 261 36 259 49807 47529 38 269 38 267 39 268 39 269 47529 45477 43 278 43 272 43 275 44 274 45477 43610 49 281 48 278 49 278 48 277 43610 41902 55 284 54 282 53 281 54 281 41902 40330 60 286 58 284 55 285 57 283 40330 38874 61 285 59 285 56 288 58 286 38874 37511 59 286 58 285 55 290 57 286 37511 36195 59 288 56 285 52 290 56 286 36195 34850 60 292 54 288 50 288 54 288 34850 33449 62 294 54 292 48 286 52 290 33449 31993 65 296 54 294 45 286 50 291 31993 30471 63 299 54 295 43 288 45 291 30471 28869 55 302 48 297 41 290 40 291 28869 27188 47 302 39 299 36 292 38 292 27188 25421 42 300 33 301 33 294 37 293 25421 23570 37 298 32 298 32 294 35 296 23570 21635 32 301 31 295 31 296 32 298 21635 19616 27 310 28 297 28 303 28 299 19616 17506 22 310 22 304 23 308 24 304 17506 15351 18 304 16 309 17 312 17 306 15351 13271 14 304 13 306 12 316 13 310 13271 11381 10 303 10 305 9 319 7 337 11381 9705 9 300 7 311 7 336 7 029 9705 8219 7 288 5 319 7 342 7 030 8219 6899 6 265 3 303 6 332 5 350 6899 5727 3 224 1*291 4 329 5 322 5727 4688 2 186 1*289 2*329 6 319 4688 3773 1*205 0 316 2*334 5 326 3773 2965 0*271 0 359 1 353 4 344 2965 2244 0 350 1 014 1 013 4 009 2244 1607 0 027 1 014 2 013 4 025 1607 1076 0 046 1 011 1 010 4 030 1076 669 1 053 1 004 2 008 4 030 669 390 1 046 1 005 2 008 5 028 390 220 1 048 1 003 2 007 4*027 220 123 1 053 1 000 1 008 3*028 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography