DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 84.0 - - - - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 179 - - - - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1382 - - 2106 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 719 - - 1206 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1489 - - 2213 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 576 - - 1323 - - - - - 343 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 305 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 156 - - - - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -9 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2957 - - -4694 - - - - - -4763 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4446 - - 6907 - - - - - 4886 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10967 - - -11115 - - - - - -11645 ODpotential blCL - - - 12456 - - 13328 - - - - - 11768 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 40 - - - - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 84.0 - - - - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 54.4 - - - - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 82.8 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 53.1 - - - - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 179 - - - - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1382 - - 2106 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99440 39 121 37 120 29 106 99440 91868 36 111 27 105 27 112 91868 86046 28 100 29 108 29 117 86046 81235 21 096 27 110 29 100 81235 77113 18 114 20 106 24 090 77113 73489 20 116 15 136 20 097 73489 70208 20 114 14 152 18 085 70208 67189 15 114 14 139 13 091 67189 64405 8 134 10 120 13 119 64405 61729 14 176 6 178 10 118 61729 58933 10 180 16 203 6 171 58933 56026 24 229 20 213 25 245 56026 53266 31 225 31 219 38 249 53266 50799 41 246 36 237 58 255 50799 48589 57 250 50 248 65 250 48589 46564 62 248 57 250 69 248 46564 44693 61 246 59 249 72 251 44693 42951 60 244 58 246 86 253 42951 41317 61 245 55 245 90 252 41317 39778 64 246 54 245 76 250 39778 38332 65 246 53 245 58 247 38332 36950 63 246 52 243 44 243 36950 35562 59 245 51 241 40 240 35562 34129 54 245 47 241 36 242 34129 32647 49 244 45 242 32 240 32647 31097 49 245 46 243 32 241 31097 29462 46 251 40 248 29 244 29462 27739 37 249 32 244 28 234 27739 25932 27 249 21 245 26 233 25932 24043 21 251 16 238 23 234 24043 22074 17 242 16 228 22 233 22074 20018 15 227 18 220 21 232 20018 17868 17 215 20 210 18 224 17868 15672 18 201 21 199 20 209 15672 13553 15 210 19 203 22 205 13553 11619 11 219 15 212 18 207 11619 9897 10 198 13 205 12 186 9897 8372 12 188 14 190 10 184 8372 7022 12 182 15 184 7 184 7022 5825 12 179 14 185 4 186 5825 4766 12 178 12 188 3 213 4766 3834 11 174 11 193 4 221 3834 3012 7 186 10 192 7 205 3012 2278 4 207 9*180 10 198 2278 1631 3*173 8*165 12 200 1631 1091 2*160 8 158 14 195 1091 677 3 155 8 154 14 184 677 393 2 153 8 152 13 172 393 221 2 151 7 150 10 164 221 123 2 151 6 150 6*159 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography