DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 55.4 - - 51.9 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -19 - - -1 - - -25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1618 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 1723 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5316 - - 4274 - - 4064 - - 1904 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 125 - - 17 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 21 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 191 - - 178 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1135 - - -81 - - -688 - - -194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1256 - - 1804 - - 809 - - 315 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1695 - - -1285 - - -1385 - - -1064 ODpotential blCL - - - 1816 - - 3008 - - 1506 - - 1185 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 94 - - 86 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 280 - - 190 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 55.4 - - 51.9 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 47.8 - - 48.6 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 55.5 - - 52.7 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 46.6 - - 48.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -19 - - -1 - - -25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1618 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 74 - - 46 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96139 18 354 21 330 21 007 14 324 96139 89093 19 328 19 330 20 342 17 332 89093 83643 9 278 14 306 17 323 20 318 83643 79112 16 291 14 313 16 304 19 306 79112 75189 11 263 12 284 13 298 14 315 75189 71663 20 250 21 256 27 257 20 271 71663 68437 28 244 34 227 34 230 28 240 68437 65455 23 234 28 218 24 219 23 222 65455 62659 20 238 22 224 19 231 22 214 62659 59908 31 230 28 237 29 238 28 240 59908 57030 38 229 41 239 40 239 37 236 57030 54055 47 226 48 239 44 243 38 247 54055 51226 53 229 51 242 46 240 47 254 51226 48695 53 237 63 245 55 247 55 246 48695 46429 63 248 63 240 58 249 55 244 46429 44364 71 245 59 242 57 248 58 251 44364 42466 79 240 76 251 81 253 68 251 42466 40715 81 238 93 245 93 244 79 250 40715 39098 82 236 95 240 85 244 91 249 39098 37604 85 233 87 242 91 247 106 248 37604 36213 85 232 90 247 104 247 119 245 36213 34880 87 232 105 247 114 245 126 242 34880 33532 89 232 115 244 119 243 125 241 33532 32142 92 232 115 243 125 244 120 242 32142 30709 96 233 112 241 129 245 117 242 30709 29215 94 229 104 235 130 244 116 242 29215 27648 86 222 96 227 129 244 113 241 27648 26007 86 221 96 224 123 242 111 239 26007 24291 85 220 93 223 108 237 107 234 24291 22504 82 220 86 222 92 231 95 226 22504 20655 78 219 78 221 74 229 78 215 20655 18732 75 217 72 221 60 228 66 211 18732 16718 71 210 69 222 54 219 63 216 16718 14659 65 203 66 219 49 204 59 216 14659 12672 60 207 62 219 52 202 58 218 12672 10866 56 216 55 213 51 207 59 214 10866 9263 49 221 51 210 49 212 61 207 9263 7842 45 223 46 213 46 220 60 201 7842 6580 43 223 41 214 43 227 57 197 6580 5461 41 222 36 212 40 225 55 196 5461 4471 40 220 34 210 38 219 52 194 4471 3600 38 218 31 207 35 213 49 193 3600 2831 36 216 29 203 33 207 46 191 2831 2143 32 212 27*199 30 202 43 188 2143 1535 28 208 25*195 27 197 37 185 1535 1029 24 204 23 193 23 191 30 181 1029 641 21 200 22 190 21 187 24 178 641 375 19 196 19 188 17 182 19 174 375 213 16 194 17 187 14 180 16 173 213 121 12*192 13 186 10*178 11*172 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography