DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.7 - - 45.0 - - 49.7 - - 51.4 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 43 - - 94 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 300 - - 967 - - 453 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 404 - - 1071 - - 558 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1050 - - 807 - - 398 - - 690 - - 655 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 94 - - 182 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 30 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 081 - - 113 - - 110 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -44 - - -19 - - -111 - - -711 - - -416 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 165 - - 423 - - 1182 - - 1269 - - 537 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 128 - - 95 - - -8206 - - -11303 ODpotential blCL 121 - - 276 - - 976 - - 8764 - - 11424 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.7 - - 45.0 - - 49.7 - - 51.4 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 44.0 - - 45.3 - - 46.7 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.7 - - 44.5 - - 49.0 - - 51.7 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 43.8 - - 45.0 - - 46.1 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 43 - - 94 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 300 - - 967 - - 453 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 96 - - 49 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96345 28 092 20 090 23 086 13 089 21 091 96345 89248 27 087 26 085 20 082 18 080 24 070 89248 83749 19 085 21 077 8 079 14 061 20 060 83749 79155 18 042 18 075 6 072 10 043 16 037 79155 75188 17 007 16 036 9 028 10 023 12 004 75188 71692 16 350 14 011 17 355 15 007 13 005 71692 68528 16 340 12 005 11 322 17 348 15 343 68528 65613 21 309 14 352 9 325 17 318 18 327 65613 62906 24 308 20 302 18 326 21 314 24 303 62906 60284 30 311 26 295 28 312 25 309 23 299 60284 57545 40 290 32 295 31 301 31 303 30 300 57545 54708 45 280 37 295 34 294 37 296 34 300 54708 52006 47 284 42 294 41 295 45 302 42 306 52006 49570 51 287 49 292 54 293 55 296 52 300 49570 47385 56 289 54 288 59 290 63 293 59 298 47385 45407 62 292 58 288 63 289 70 292 67 297 45407 43600 70 293 63 294 67 291 73 294 70 296 43600 41933 78 293 72 295 75 292 75 293 71 296 41933 40382 79 293 80 292 86 292 78 293 71 296 40382 38931 80 294 82 291 95 291 87 293 73 296 38931 37566 78 293 82 291 94 291 93 292 74 297 37566 36247 73 294 79 291 85 291 87 292 73 296 36247 34904 69 294 75 290 75 289 74 290 69 295 34904 33505 67 295 70 291 71 288 69 289 65 296 33505 32053 66 297 66 292 66 288 63 291 63 296 32053 30533 63 297 64 290 62 288 59 290 62 295 30533 28928 61 297 63 290 62 288 55 288 60 295 28928 27237 58 297 59 291 61 289 54 289 58 296 27237 25457 54 295 54 288 57 289 52 292 56 299 25457 23592 51 292 54 284 54 284 49 297 50 303 23592 21642 48 292 52 283 53 282 44 302 43 310 21642 19603 43 293 48 283 47 284 41 304 41 313 19603 17469 37 293 41 285 39 287 36 304 38 313 17469 15290 32 290 32 288 32 291 32 305 33 316 15290 13189 28 289 25 291 27 296 27 304 27 317 13189 11281 24 291 20 296 22 296 22 305 20 317 11281 9590 19 298 17 302 18 297 18 309 16 320 9590 8092 15 308 14 308 15 300 15 315 13 324 8092 6765 12 317 11 311 12 305 12 324 10 332 6765 5590 11 320 10 311 10 313 9 335 8 344 5590 4554 9 323 9 309 9 322 8 348 6 005 4554 3647 7 330 7 310 7 334 6 358 6 022 3647 2852 6 343 6 319 5 343 5 000 7 021 2852 2146 6 339 7 327 4 341 4 344 8 359 2146 1529 3 331 5 347 1*323 3 321 7 341 1529 1021 1 125 3 036 0*115 1 313 5 352 1021 636 3 107 2*075 1 111 1*107 4 025 636 372 3 096 2*080 1 113 1*108 3 032 372 212 2*087 2 081 1 112 1 110 3*032 212 121 2*082 2 084 1 118 1 112 2*029 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography