DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 86.8 - - 89.4 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 142 - - -2 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1094 - - 1673 - - 1135 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 482 - - 827 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1200 - - 1780 - - 1242 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 448 - - 1191 - - 4048 - - 555 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 267 - - 126 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 108 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 6 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 108 - - 153 - - 144 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2978 - - -5312 - - -6088 - - -4944 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4178 - - 7092 - - 7331 - - 5067 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12027 - - -12773 - - -12636 - - -11292 ODpotential blCL - - - 13227 - - 14553 - - 13878 - - 11415 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 37 - - 30 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 86.8 - - 89.4 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.7 - - 56.4 - - 57.9 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.0 - - 85.8 - - 89.9 - - 85.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 55.1 - - 56.5 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 142 - - -2 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1094 - - 1673 - - 1135 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99294 26 104 28 107 33 111 28 112 99294 91740 20 127 21 110 27 114 26 098 91740 85926 26 123 21 126 17 112 22 101 85926 81109 20 108 20 120 14 116 18 110 81109 76973 20 116 16 116 13 116 16 099 76973 73329 18 113 15 144 9 122 13 096 73329 70032 14 097 13 121 9 127 11 095 70032 67011 11 132 4 132 9 104 8 077 67011 64222 11 112 5 188 3 270 6 046 64222 61529 4 048 5 153 4 241 3 290 61529 58733 12 287 4 258 5 265 8 260 58733 55837 20 267 21 251 20 271 20 271 55837 53078 29 265 31 253 31 260 32 259 53078 50608 42 268 38 261 37 263 37 258 50608 48408 51 264 47 264 44 265 44 264 48408 46421 53 261 50 258 51 262 51 264 46421 44607 50 258 48 258 52 260 52 262 44607 42929 45 261 47 261 50 259 51 261 42929 41365 44 267 46 263 48 259 52 260 41365 39895 45 268 46 264 47 261 52 258 39895 38504 42 266 44 264 45 261 50 258 38504 37150 38 263 41 260 43 259 48 256 37150 35768 36 260 38 252 40 256 44 254 35768 34327 35 258 34 251 38 256 40 252 34327 32833 34 258 32 251 34 254 35 252 32833 31271 35 255 32 251 33 250 33 251 31271 29630 37 254 36 252 34 252 33 249 29630 27909 39 249 39 250 37 249 34 246 27909 26104 42 244 42 245 40 243 36 240 26104 24213 39 240 42 241 40 242 34 237 24213 22233 33 239 34 241 33 243 31 233 22233 20158 30 240 29 239 27 238 28 233 20158 17982 26 234 25 235 24 235 26 234 17982 15757 20 234 20 226 20 228 20 238 15757 13613 13 223 15 215 15 219 14 231 13613 11667 9 199 13 206 12 213 10 215 11667 9944 8 190 10 210 9 217 6 200 9944 8417 8 186 9 223 5 230 3 165 8417 7062 8 172 8 210 5 230 3 139 7062 5859 7 172 7 199 7 219 3 154 5859 4794 9 182 8 199 9 212 3 183 4794 3857 7 189 9 205 10 204 4 207 3857 3030 6 202 9 208 11 191 6 208 3030 2292 3 230 8*196 12 176 8 217 2292 1640 1*245 7*166 13*158 10 230 1640 1098 0*173 6 154 13*147 12 228 1098 682 0 117 6 150 12 144 12 220 682 396 0 098 6 147 12 143 10 207 396 222 1 088 6 146 10 141 7 191 222 123 1 089 5 144 8 140 5*182 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography