DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 58.1 - - 67.9 - - 67.7 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 60 - - 132 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 331 - - 1179 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 436 - - 1285 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 87 - - 526 - - 930 - - 1539 - - 177 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 111 - - 218 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 342 - - 169 - - 153 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -913 - - -3663 - - -4710 - - -4846 - - -2783 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1034 - - 4100 - - 5995 - - 4968 - - 2904 sfcLCL ODpotential -16020 - - -15354 - - -13976 - - -13379 - - -13959 ODpotential blCL 16141 - - 15790 - - 15261 - - 13501 - - 14080 blCL maxRH 66 - - 53 - - 46 - - 47 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 58.1 - - 67.9 - - 67.7 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.4 - - 41.2 - - 42.6 - - 46.8 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 57.6 - - 66.8 - - 68.1 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.5 - - 40.5 - - 42.0 - - 46.5 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 60 - - 132 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 331 - - 1179 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96176 43 289 37 286 39 286 43 279 47 289 96176 89175 23 312 22 279 29 274 29 289 26 298 89175 83793 18 306 17 286 21 273 13 293 24 294 83793 79290 12 276 16 274 15 283 13 284 21 274 79290 75367 10 251 18 265 20 274 15 294 15 280 75367 71881 9 258 14 263 22 258 24 277 20 290 71881 68730 8 277 12 261 20 252 26 257 26 285 68730 65830 11 276 12 247 20 250 25 249 31 276 65830 63120 18 274 18 263 24 261 30 249 36 256 63120 60485 28 268 24 266 31 249 35 248 39 249 60485 57750 30 268 30 276 29 252 36 254 42 246 57750 54927 35 271 42 273 40 262 42 261 41 249 54927 52238 36 267 46 264 49 262 50 260 47 256 52238 49816 36 269 47 265 54 259 57 253 56 261 49816 47643 46 280 50 266 56 259 61 259 68 264 47643 45683 57 279 57 271 63 269 69 265 72 264 45683 43903 59 277 61 270 68 269 67 265 68 263 43903 42270 57 277 58 267 62 264 61 270 59 265 42270 40750 55 276 60 270 62 265 58 271 57 266 40750 39314 55 274 62 273 63 266 51 272 56 268 39314 37952 54 274 62 275 56 271 47 274 56 271 37952 36627 49 275 59 274 49 270 47 275 53 272 36627 35275 46 279 52 270 45 274 45 276 51 271 35275 33866 47 284 45 271 45 277 40 276 46 267 33866 32404 45 288 40 276 42 274 35 275 41 265 32404 30873 41 288 37 277 35 263 36 271 41 268 30873 29257 36 285 34 277 32 254 35 259 39 268 29257 27553 30 286 32 280 27 261 34 248 37 262 27553 25758 24 287 29 280 25 271 30 257 36 260 25758 23873 20 285 22 267 26 264 29 261 34 264 23873 21901 16 281 20 263 24 252 28 255 33 270 21901 19836 11 278 17 259 23 244 29 252 32 271 19836 17678 10 264 16 255 22 243 28 250 27 261 17678 15474 10 246 16 260 21 250 28 249 26 249 15474 13349 9 247 14 260 19 251 25 246 25 241 13349 11421 7 242 12 252 16 243 20 235 22 233 11421 9715 4 206 10 238 14 227 18 224 18 229 9715 8206 2 156 7 219 12 214 14 224 15 229 8206 6869 3 087 5 192 10 210 10 232 12 229 6869 5686 6 102 8 174 10 209 6 253 8 221 5686 4643 6 125 8 186 10 203 7 283 3 205 4643 3730 5 146 9 174 12 200 9 282 4 236 3730 2926 8 141 11 170 12 198 9 266 6 240 2926 2210 9 142 9 165 9 197 6 244 7 225 2210 1580 4 145 5 164 6*193 5 192 9 204 1580 1057 0 143 3 337 3*175 7 158 11 190 1057 657 2 184 4*341 3 169 7 153 11 184 657 382 3 165 3*341 3 166 6 152 8 185 382 216 2*154 3 342 3 165 6 151 3 180 216 121 1*117 2 343 3 165 5*153 1*169 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography