DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 83.3 - - 86.7 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 178 - - 2 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1107 - - 1722 - - 1144 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 527 - - 932 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1213 - - 1828 - - 1251 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 496 - - 881 - - 2511 - - 438 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 285 - - 128 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 159 - - 153 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2297 - - -4102 - - -5598 - - -4027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3510 - - 5930 - - 6849 - - 4151 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10236 - - -10320 - - -11004 - - -8978 ODpotential blCL - - - 11449 - - 12148 - - 12255 - - 9102 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 45 - - 36 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 83.3 - - 86.7 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 57.8 - - 57.1 - - 61.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 82.1 - - 87.2 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 56.5 - - 55.9 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 178 - - 2 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1107 - - 1722 - - 1144 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99134 35 107 29 124 25 118 23 093 99134 91614 24 102 25 101 25 111 26 102 91614 85807 22 114 22 087 24 100 27 109 85807 80998 18 114 15 093 21 095 23 101 80998 76867 15 096 12 113 12 098 21 091 76867 73216 11 080 13 108 8 095 16 081 73216 69918 10 066 11 101 9 085 11 078 69918 66896 8 096 5 106 7 017 10 058 66896 64101 7 085 4 137 4 326 8 004 64101 61407 5 324 6 351 2 016 4 314 61407 58598 8 280 10 288 11 287 10 310 58598 55683 17 293 16 272 19 276 17 292 55683 52906 25 291 19 283 21 271 19 281 52906 50421 31 289 24 292 21 286 22 289 50421 48212 30 282 27 294 23 292 22 288 48212 46230 25 284 25 297 19 314 22 315 46230 44426 20 325 22 318 24 331 28 331 44426 42759 32 330 21 330 29 335 30 333 42759 41205 28 308 21 341 32 335 26 330 41205 39742 17 299 22 345 29 332 25 328 39742 38356 11 310 21 340 23 325 25 326 38356 37005 13 322 19 327 22 319 25 319 37005 35623 16 321 20 321 22 314 25 313 35623 34181 18 309 22 322 23 315 26 308 34181 32684 19 307 22 317 23 316 25 302 32684 31116 23 302 21 307 22 311 24 296 31116 29466 24 298 19 303 22 301 23 291 29466 27732 22 298 21 294 21 292 24 281 27732 25911 20 292 21 285 23 284 26 277 25911 24008 20 286 19 278 24 281 26 275 24008 22026 20 290 19 268 22 277 26 269 22026 19960 17 287 17 269 22 269 26 269 19960 17802 16 272 16 263 22 267 25 273 17802 15603 17 269 17 264 19 268 22 270 15603 13489 14 274 14 264 14 259 18 253 13489 11569 9 260 10 252 11 240 15 245 11569 9867 8 246 9 254 7 227 11 244 9867 8357 4 240 8 242 4 224 8 226 8357 7015 2 213 6 244 8 258 6 210 7015 5824 1 067 6 270 11 252 5 226 5824 4768 1 086 7 280 11 240 7 233 4768 3838 2 126 7 269 11 222 8 244 3838 3017 2 140 6 249 12 205 10 250 3017 2282 1 001 6*205 14 187 12 247 2282 1634 2*008 6*171 15*168 12 237 1634 1093 1*040 6 161 15*158 12 219 1093 679 1 054 6 156 14 154 12 198 679 394 1 059 5 154 14 152 11 182 394 222 1 060 5 151 12 151 9*171 222 124 1 061 5 152 10 148 5*163 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography