DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 57.0 - - 56.4 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 33 - - -15 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 695 - - 3050 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 800 - - 3155 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1328 - - 1583 - - 4778 - - 3325 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 209 - - 20 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 14 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 186 - - 176 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -207 - - 1230 - - -1492 - - -557 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1007 - - 1925 - - 1613 - - 678 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1670 - - 490 - - -1955 - - -1382 ODpotential blCL - - - 2470 - - 2665 - - 2076 - - 1503 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 100 - - 78 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 50 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 57.0 - - 56.4 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 49.0 - - 49.8 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 56.7 - - 56.9 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 47.8 - - 48.7 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 33 - - -15 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 695 - - 3050 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 100 - - 10 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96631 31 085 38 100 41 098 37 114 96631 89525 26 096 25 106 24 104 23 099 89525 84013 18 103 14 109 19 115 16 090 84013 79404 14 119 8 104 13 117 10 091 79404 75400 9 151 2 112 5 111 7 103 75400 71833 10 151 2 196 4 180 1 246 71833 68591 9 181 5 233 6 223 4 256 68591 65597 11 224 15 243 15 250 5 276 65597 62797 20 236 19 246 22 239 11 286 62797 60067 22 243 24 242 25 237 26 257 60067 57237 32 259 28 239 30 235 34 244 57237 54315 44 260 38 246 41 241 42 239 54315 51501 53 255 50 248 52 241 47 236 51501 48953 63 257 64 255 63 250 60 242 48953 46678 82 261 79 256 76 253 70 245 46678 44620 96 258 92 256 87 253 81 248 44620 42743 96 254 99 254 96 250 91 247 42743 41026 94 255 100 253 100 247 95 244 41026 39449 104 253 109 251 112 248 102 244 39449 37988 103 248 113 245 119 240 115 240 37988 36627 98 250 107 245 114 237 119 234 36627 35322 98 254 107 247 112 238 117 231 35322 33992 93 253 101 246 106 238 114 231 33992 32606 88 251 97 245 102 239 109 231 32606 31165 87 249 95 245 100 240 106 232 31165 29657 85 247 93 244 97 242 102 234 29657 28074 80 245 89 243 92 241 94 236 28074 26413 78 243 83 242 84 240 86 236 26413 24672 76 240 78 239 78 237 83 233 24672 22852 70 237 72 235 73 236 79 230 22852 20957 62 235 65 232 67 236 73 228 20957 18984 53 233 56 229 58 231 64 226 18984 16924 43 226 48 227 49 222 53 221 16924 14822 37 211 44 220 44 215 46 207 14822 12800 34 205 40 211 40 209 41 196 12800 10966 29 210 35 211 35 204 40 193 10966 9341 26 210 31 207 30 202 39 185 9341 7904 25 205 29 200 28 196 39 177 7904 6628 23 199 29 193 29 191 37 172 6628 5494 23 193 27 189 29 188 34 174 5494 4492 23 191 21 192 24 192 32 182 4492 3613 21 192 16*195 20 194 31 192 3613 2840 18 194 16*194 19 193 28 202 2840 2150 16 197 15 190 18 190 25 208 2150 1541 14 199 15 185 18 187 21 211 1541 1033 13*195 14 183 17 184 17 211 1033 644 10*186 13 181 16 182 13 206 644 376 9 182 13 180 14 179 10 193 376 214 8 180 12 179 12 177 7 182 214 121 7 179 10 178 8*176 4*174 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography