DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 73.5 - - 76.1 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 430 - - 185 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3253 - - 5878 - - 10005 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2276 - - 4379 - - 7164 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3358 - - 5984 - - 10111 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1283 - - 2237 - - 1323 - - 10702 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 554 - - 503 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 40 - - 37 - - 28 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 005 - - 035 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 5 - - 15 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5472 - - -4889 - - -2698 - - -10595 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8831 - - 10873 - - 12809 - - 10717 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14773 - - -14547 - - -14117 - - -21631 ODpotential blCL - - - 18131 - - 20531 - - 24228 - - 21753 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 60 - - 46 - - 14 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 73.5 - - 76.1 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.3 - - 25.6 - - 19.1 - - 22.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 71.9 - - 75.3 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 24.6 - - 18.2 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 430 - - 185 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3253 - - 5878 - - 10005 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98176 5 238 4 004 11 345 8 346 98176 90723 2 271 9 306 11 338 6 030 90723 84956 7 024 1 039 4 321 8 000 84956 80191 5 029 6 328 8 313 10 359 80191 76112 6 083 6 295 3 314 8 357 76112 72513 8 346 9 314 5 308 6 300 72513 69236 6 304 8 301 6 339 2 153 69236 66196 14 305 15 288 14 299 10 345 66196 63369 15 293 12 289 14 306 15 333 63369 60639 10 296 17 327 12 316 12 319 60639 57794 23 308 25 320 23 326 22 337 57794 54863 30 318 24 320 30 322 32 326 54863 52099 35 326 33 329 35 325 31 323 52099 49644 40 325 40 324 38 333 35 333 49644 47488 47 338 57 351 69 346 52 338 47488 45550 78 346 89 342 80 335 51 343 45550 43763 101 339 89 339 78 341 58 344 43763 42106 98 334 84 347 77 350 66 341 42106 40560 89 349 92 358 81 351 70 337 40560 39104 101 358 97 360 83 351 70 334 39104 37723 102 355 93 358 83 351 70 331 37723 36377 95 350 87 354 80 347 70 331 36377 34998 93 347 78 342 79 343 71 334 34998 33562 91 345 81 341 78 340 72 337 33562 32071 90 343 84 342 75 339 73 337 32071 30509 88 340 84 341 73 337 75 338 30509 28861 88 335 82 339 72 335 74 340 28861 27127 92 333 84 337 73 333 70 341 27127 25307 93 332 81 337 71 332 65 341 25307 23402 87 332 73 338 65 333 59 339 23402 21423 78 333 67 337 56 334 50 335 21423 19365 66 334 63 335 52 335 47 338 19365 17215 54 332 61 336 55 345 54 353 17215 15032 48 329 59 341 58 358 52 008 15032 12971 44 332 51 349 43 022 39 026 12971 11135 37 337 37 005 32*043 32 035 11135 9511 29 343 25 021 31*041 31 038 9511 8065 25 348 22 029 31 039 30 041 8065 6775 28 359 26*027 30 037 28 044 6775 5627 31 006 31*017 29 036 27 046 5627 4609 34 007 34 012 28 034 26 048 4609 3712 37*000 37 008 28 033 25 050 3712 2919 41*354 40 003 27 032 25 052 2919 2209 42 353 41 001 27 031 24 054 2209 1582 42 352 41 000 26 030 23 056 1582 1060 42 352 40 360 25 030 21 056 1060 660 40 352 39 359 25 029 19 056 660 384 37 351 37 358 24 029 16 054 384 217 33 351 33 358 22 029 12 052 217 122 25 351 26 357 17 028 7*051 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography