DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 88.0 - - 88.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 204 - - 45 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1520 - - 3884 - - 3185 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 691 - - 2524 - - 107 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1627 - - 3991 - - 3292 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1584 - - 2049 - - 2960 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 380 - - 221 - - - W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 11 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 354 - - 355 - - 358 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 1 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -9 - - -10 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7304 - - -8327 - - -9454 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8932 - - 12319 - - 12746 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15494 - - -15343 - - -16363 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 17121 - - 19334 - - 19655 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 63 - - 70 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 88.0 - - 88.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.7 - - 34.2 - - 32.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 86.8 - - 88.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 33.1 - - 31.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 204 - - 45 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1520 - - 3884 - - 3185 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98658 7 162 15 203 14 248 98658 91264 13 207 11 210 8 193 91264 85529 11 188 12 224 7 231 85529 80755 6 198 11 211 10 226 80755 76643 4 251 6 199 7 222 76643 73017 7 262 4 283 3 354 73017 69741 6 240 5 251 6 342 69741 66738 6 231 9 262 9 292 66738 63967 7 227 13 280 10 276 63967 61297 10 274 14 285 14 288 61297 58513 15 283 15 269 19 275 58513 55613 22 273 21 266 31 263 55613 52833 26 266 29 267 32 265 52833 50327 35 274 36 269 33 280 50327 48089 37 268 39 264 44 275 48089 46057 31 278 39 260 46 262 46057 44195 43 283 39 274 38 276 44195 42484 56 285 58 283 53 283 42484 40902 65 281 75 274 73 277 40902 39424 68 269 78 265 83 269 39424 38031 59 264 63 265 75 268 38031 36683 55 275 56 267 72 269 36683 35315 63 277 50 263 72 270 35315 33896 62 276 55 258 66 264 33896 32423 59 269 63 262 69 261 32423 30880 57 269 64 270 69 270 30880 29253 49 273 53 277 54 282 29253 27543 43 282 40 280 31 282 27543 25746 35 280 31 276 27 263 25746 23863 30 280 27 269 28 263 23863 21899 26 278 25 269 25 270 21899 19849 22 280 19 273 19 271 19849 17710 18 284 16 278 14 277 17710 15527 16 291 13 279 13 278 15527 13423 13 302 10 292 10 276 13423 11509 10 313 8 309 4 285 11509 9812 8 328 6 328 3 342 9812 8308 6 355 6 350 6 347 8308 6971 9 022 5 004 10 339 6971 5784 9 045 4 003 11 338 5784 4735 12 043 5*009 10 343 4735 3812 15 029 8*001 9*348 3812 2997 15 015 11 355 8*351 2997 2269 18*002 12 354 7 355 2269 1625 20*355 12 354 6 358 1625 1089 19 354 12 355 6 001 1089 677 19 354 11 355 6 001 677 394 18 354 11 355 5 002 394 222 16 354 10 355 5 004 222 123 13 353 9 354 4 003 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography