DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.7 - - 59.3 - - 68.2 - - 65.0 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 108 - - 182 - - -1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 687 - - 4664 - - 243 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 3021 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 791 - - 4769 - - 348 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 189 - - 1097 - - 2055 - - 6795 - - 253 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 170 - - 383 - - 27 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 156 - - 177 - - 203 - - 203 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -7 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -630 - - -3571 - - -3548 - - -6282 - - -2847 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 751 - - 4362 - - 8318 - - 6630 - - 2968 sfcLCL ODpotential -6215 - - -7064 - - -6299 - - -8122 - - -6068 ODpotential blCL 6336 - - 7855 - - 11068 - - 8470 - - 6189 blCL maxRH 75 - - 54 - - 84 - - 58 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.7 - - 59.3 - - 68.2 - - 65.0 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 40.8 - - 31.9 - - 36.2 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.5 - - 58.4 - - 66.8 - - 65.1 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.2 - - 40.4 - - 31.3 - - 35.9 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 108 - - 182 - - -1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 687 - - 4664 - - 243 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96742 33 286 32 289 32 277 31 282 32 296 96742 89697 17 292 21 293 21 273 20 277 26 285 89697 84250 17 277 17 289 19 283 16 263 22 273 84250 79684 16 266 19 267 25 280 22 264 16 278 79684 75701 21 264 19 258 23 272 27 270 13 278 75701 72149 21 265 17 264 20 270 24 269 17 279 72149 68912 17 262 17 265 21 263 20 269 22 279 68912 65917 16 266 17 260 23 259 19 279 23 279 65917 63134 18 270 14 270 18 248 20 278 17 274 63134 60441 21 270 12 295 13 236 20 284 14 288 60441 57626 22 268 15 293 11 256 23 280 16 296 57626 54692 21 267 21 282 17 272 25 272 22 292 54692 51885 22 267 22 278 24 271 23 267 24 288 51885 49356 25 256 24 274 26 277 24 283 28 294 49356 47087 27 251 31 261 31 278 27 283 30 292 47087 45028 33 247 34 252 35 267 29 279 31 291 45028 43137 35 252 33 247 37 259 32 280 30 287 43137 41387 39 256 37 245 40 254 34 277 28 284 41387 39755 50 251 44 245 45 249 38 271 28 286 39755 38228 56 246 53 245 53 245 43 262 29 286 38228 36794 61 244 64 241 60 241 48 252 31 282 36794 35412 64 241 71 237 69 238 54 244 34 273 35412 34013 67 242 76 235 78 235 58 239 38 260 34013 32569 69 243 75 233 82 232 61 236 42 249 32569 31084 66 241 70 233 78 229 62 233 47 242 31084 29547 59 237 65 234 69 229 63 229 52 235 29547 27947 53 234 61 232 62 230 64 225 53 229 27947 26289 52 234 60 230 58 228 62 221 48 224 26289 24570 50 233 57 230 54 227 57 218 47 218 24570 22782 46 232 50 233 48 226 49 219 45 215 22782 20920 43 230 42 232 43 224 44 219 40 216 20920 18975 37 223 37 230 39 222 40 218 32 220 18975 16941 30 219 32 226 36 217 36 219 29 224 16941 14863 25 221 27 217 31 211 33 219 29 221 14863 12857 23 214 25 212 27 209 30 218 31 213 12857 11028 22 210 23 211 23 207 27 218 30 213 11028 9400 19 207 21 206 20 207 21 217 24 216 9400 7956 14 206 19 201 18 210 15 216 15 212 7956 6677 9 208 14 200 15 221 11 218 10 217 6677 5541 8 201 11 204 13*231 9 216 7 225 5541 4536 10 195 13 203 12*225 10 216 5 229 4536 3650 12 188 16 197 12 219 11 214 4 246 3650 2869 12 185 14 196 11 210 11 212 6 270 2869 2171 10 185 9 204 11 198 11 211 9 279 2171 1554 7 189 5 211 10 192 11 209 12 277 1554 1041 5 197 3*215 10 188 11 208 14 268 1041 648 6 189 2*190 10 184 10 206 13 252 648 378 8 177 2 175 9 182 10*205 11 230 378 214 6 166 2 171 9 181 9*204 8 213 214 121 3*156 2 166 8 181 7 202 5*208 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography