DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.4 - - 72.1 - - 80.5 - - 80.4 - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 184 - - 279 - - 65 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1433 - - 3706 - - 5580 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 700 - - 2515 - - 3009 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1539 - - 3812 - - 5687 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 127 - - 1350 - - 4594 - - 4648 - - 2731 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 262 - - 412 - - 304 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 18 - - 16 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 282 - - 134 - - 202 - - 227 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -14 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1068 - - -3032 - - -3651 - - -222 - - -3100 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1189 - - 4571 - - 7463 - - 5909 - - 3224 sfcLCL ODpotential -7144 - - -5408 - - -4860 - - -1265 - - -5141 ODpotential blCL 7265 - - 6947 - - 8672 - - 6952 - - 5264 blCL maxRH 70 - - 74 - - 68 - - 85 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 90 - - 1040 - - 1030 CAPE Temp@2m 55.4 - - 72.1 - - 80.5 - - 80.4 - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.8 - - 52.7 - - 48.1 - - 54.9 - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 70.9 - - 78.7 - - 80.0 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.5 - - 51.8 - - 47.2 - - 54.0 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 184 - - 279 - - 65 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1433 - - 3706 - - 5580 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96533 28 289 22 290 30 273 32 284 34 286 96533 89319 23 298 18 301 29 272 29 290 25 288 89319 83849 25 311 15 322 23 272 24 275 22 288 83849 79337 27 312 21 310 22 276 23 283 23 297 79337 75439 24 298 20 299 22 285 23 295 21 311 75439 71952 24 302 19 298 23 290 24 291 27 297 71952 68768 29 312 20 296 22 294 24 293 27 279 68768 65837 28 303 19 295 21 294 25 288 21 281 65837 63097 22 302 21 285 21 284 24 283 19 292 63097 60411 24 303 21 290 23 277 22 286 21 287 60411 57596 27 287 23 293 21 276 21 288 24 277 57596 54682 27 281 26 280 26 275 26 281 23 273 54682 51902 28 280 28 273 29 268 25 271 20 274 51902 49385 34 273 29 272 25 270 21 271 20 273 49385 47115 35 268 32 271 25 275 24 270 24 269 47115 45056 34 262 36 263 30 268 29 269 28 261 45056 43188 36 262 37 259 34 259 34 263 31 258 43188 41485 37 260 35 255 34 253 37 262 36 265 41485 39923 37 256 32 253 32 249 46 261 44 262 39923 38481 35 255 36 256 33 248 47 254 43 258 38481 37134 34 259 39 252 36 246 45 250 43 257 37134 35834 35 257 41 250 37 246 44 249 44 256 35834 34510 37 252 42 250 39 246 44 250 46 255 34510 33130 38 250 42 250 39 247 44 250 47 253 33130 31695 38 251 42 246 40 248 44 251 45 251 31695 30188 38 253 42 243 42 250 45 253 43 249 30188 28599 36 255 39 245 40 251 45 254 42 249 28599 26928 34 255 36 248 37 247 39 253 39 247 26928 25175 33 251 32 249 36 244 31 248 34 242 25175 23344 32 248 29 246 32 243 28 244 28 235 23344 21437 28 245 26 241 28 240 28 238 28 231 21437 19450 25 239 25 239 26 240 27 235 29 228 19450 17373 21 237 23 238 23 239 22 236 25 229 17373 15250 16 240 18 236 19 235 17 234 19 232 15250 13201 12 242 12 234 13 235 14 235 14 224 13201 11336 11 247 10 242 10 251 12 237 12 211 11336 9677 12 272 11 266 12 269 10 236 12 210 9677 8200 13 293 12 281 12 272 10 237 10 210 8200 6884 13 308 11 291 10 269 10 235 8 207 6884 5714 10 323 8 298 8 262 9*233 6 205 5714 4678 7 343 5 302 7*254 9*232 6 220 4678 3765 8 005 3 307 7*243 9 229 7 245 3765 2959 10 018 2 359 5 222 9 228 10 263 2959 2239 9 023 2 033 5 205 9 226 13 272 2239 1603 6 023 2*131 5 190 9 225 16 276 1603 1074 2 354 2*138 5 183 9 224 16 276 1074 668 4 297 3 134 5 179 8 223 16 274 668 389 5 297 3 133 5 176 8 222 13 271 389 219 4 287 3 132 5 175 8 222 10*267 219 123 1*282 3 133 4 175 7 222 6*264 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography