DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.6 - - 60.6 - - 68.4 - - 67.9 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 134 - - 200 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1587 - - 4653 - - 3419 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 624 - - 3062 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1692 - - 4759 - - 3524 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 146 - - 2496 - - 2277 - - 2613 - - 154 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 242 - - 394 - - 106 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 001 - - 359 - - 336 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -6 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1159 - - -3317 - - -2919 - - -4201 - - -5935 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1280 - - 5009 - - 7678 - - 7725 - - 6057 sfcLCL ODpotential -6097 - - -5085 - - -5095 - - -13423 - - -16961 ODpotential blCL 6218 - - 6777 - - 9854 - - 16947 - - 17083 blCL maxRH 66 - - 73 - - 55 - - 44 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.6 - - 60.6 - - 68.4 - - 67.9 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 39.2 - - 35.0 - - 34.4 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.3 - - 59.5 - - 67.1 - - 67.8 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 38.8 - - 34.6 - - 34.0 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 134 - - 200 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1587 - - 4653 - - 3419 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96715 26 293 30 293 29 294 24 268 30 293 96715 89729 15 289 17 279 23 294 12 262 26 284 89729 84289 13 278 18 263 22 281 11 269 15 263 84289 79732 18 263 14 255 25 258 16 281 9 230 79732 75766 19 262 10 247 21 247 21 269 9 254 75766 72226 22 274 12 271 19 241 26 256 18 276 72226 69022 22 273 19 271 20 256 23 252 22 261 69022 66089 15 273 17 255 21 255 19 259 19 250 66089 63371 15 291 12 261 15 244 13 246 15 232 63371 60728 18 281 18 280 12 268 10 258 12 238 60728 57970 21 282 23 270 25 268 26 274 29 273 57970 55137 18 308 14 277 25 245 32 256 33 254 55137 52456 40 341 26 343 12 321 18 255 24 237 52456 50023 58 319 48 312 28 320 26 291 20 259 50023 47811 58 309 45 301 38 296 32 290 31 277 47811 45784 54 315 38 314 39 280 37 287 37 282 45784 43912 53 324 42 315 38 276 44 285 44 287 43912 42187 56 326 45 308 42 281 51 287 49 291 42187 40600 57 320 50 301 43 284 56 289 46 301 40600 39122 56 314 52 300 41 286 51 296 54 313 39122 37728 56 314 51 302 45 306 48 314 65 311 37728 36378 54 323 49 306 57 322 58 325 68 308 36378 35002 57 335 52 321 65 331 72 322 67 310 35002 33573 61 341 59 333 70 335 78 321 65 318 33573 32092 66 345 64 341 72 338 77 327 70 324 32092 30539 74 349 72 345 71 339 67 333 62 328 30539 28903 82 351 80 345 72 337 60 331 51 324 28903 27186 86 354 79 345 70 339 60 329 52 323 27186 25390 90 355 78 351 66 341 58 336 51 328 25390 23517 89 356 79 356 67 346 53 346 44 336 23517 21567 70 355 80 359 69 356 54 350 40 342 21567 19529 37 351 70 359 72 359 55 351 39 343 19529 17396 13 352 45 357 69 359 54 351 40 343 17396 15208 11 358 18 355 44 002 54 003 38 353 15208 13096 11 011 11 005 20 010 29 010 32 009 13096 11190 7 025 11 028 13 023 11 024 17 006 11190 9520 5 048 10 034 14 023 9 023 8 024 9520 8053 8 057 8 038 12 024 9 020 7 037 8053 6754 9 052 7 047 10 017 9 017 10 015 6754 5604 9 042 10 038 10*007 9 004 13 359 5604 4586 9 031 12 021 11*002 9 354 11 357 4586 3691 8 020 13 013 11 000 8*349 9 004 3691 2901 9 013 14 008 10 360 7*345 7 006 2901 2195 14 008 16*004 10 358 7 341 6 005 2195 1572 18 009 14*003 10 357 6 336 6 003 1572 1052 19 008 12 001 9 357 6 332 5 357 1052 655 16 359 11 000 9 356 5 330 3 339 655 382 12 346 10 000 8 357 5 327 3 303 382 216 8*333 10 000 8 356 5 326 4*276 216 122 5*326 8 001 7 356 4 325 4*273 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography