DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 81.4 - - 83.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 288 - - 85 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1525 - - 2560 - - 2848 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 838 - - 1668 - - 1277 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1631 - - 2666 - - 2955 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 713 - - 1439 - - 2429 - - 1015 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 368 - - 261 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 158 - - 176 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -7 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2988 - - -4801 - - -5193 - - -4263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4619 - - 7467 - - 8148 - - 4386 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10464 - - -10517 - - -10450 - - -11175 ODpotential blCL - - - 12095 - - 13183 - - 13405 - - 11298 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 41 - - 53 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 81.4 - - 83.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 49.3 - - 48.7 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.1 - - 79.7 - - 83.4 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 48.4 - - 47.8 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 288 - - 85 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1525 - - 2560 - - 2848 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99107 14 130 16 147 3 118 9 063 99107 91642 11 093 12 113 16 122 8 095 91642 85886 5 104 5 099 13 095 17 109 85886 81114 13 133 5 186 6 088 13 094 81114 76994 16 122 9 169 4 166 6 080 76994 73346 7 094 9 126 8 176 3 162 73346 70049 4 194 1 235 2 221 1 134 70049 67017 9 201 10 231 10 242 8 256 67017 64207 7 228 11 228 10 236 9 241 64207 61480 11 245 15 235 15 239 11 250 61480 58624 13 256 16 238 21 246 21 263 58624 55669 17 261 21 247 29 248 29 251 55669 52861 23 268 28 254 34 251 35 257 52861 50339 28 272 33 260 38 258 42 258 50339 48078 30 276 36 263 43 264 47 258 48078 46024 31 279 36 263 46 264 50 259 46024 44147 32 278 34 257 46 261 52 259 44147 42423 30 272 33 252 47 257 53 258 42423 40830 27 256 34 251 47 251 53 255 40830 39345 27 235 35 250 43 248 54 251 39345 37952 28 228 34 249 41 247 53 245 37952 36614 29 227 35 247 40 240 48 238 36614 35254 27 224 35 247 40 234 45 232 35254 33837 25 219 33 242 41 236 46 229 33837 32363 23 217 31 233 42 241 46 229 32363 30818 21 222 30 229 40 244 44 228 30818 29190 20 228 28 226 35 238 43 225 29190 27476 19 229 28 224 33 227 44 222 27476 25677 17 226 28 224 33 229 42 220 25677 23796 17 225 28 224 31 230 36 219 23796 21837 18 224 26 224 28 228 31 214 21837 19794 18 221 24 223 25 227 28 212 19794 17660 18 222 22 223 23 228 24 211 17660 15480 18 220 21 223 21 225 21 209 15480 13376 16 216 19 220 19 215 19 204 13376 11460 16 207 17 214 17 205 18 199 11460 9759 17 199 16 207 16 198 18 194 9759 8251 19 189 16 199 17 198 17 196 8251 6916 21 185 16 198 15 206 15 199 6916 5733 21 187 16 203 12 220 11 195 5733 4689 19 190 14 208 12 217 8 191 4689 3772 14 190 13 201 13 209 8 204 3772 2963 10 179 12*188 14*199 11 224 2963 2241 9*172 12*176 15*187 14 230 2241 1604 8*163 13 161 15 179 16 222 1604 1073 8 156 13 157 15 175 18 209 1073 667 7 153 12 153 15 172 17 194 667 388 7 150 12 151 14 170 16 181 388 219 7 149 11 150 13 168 13*173 219 123 6 148 10 149 11 167 9*169 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography