DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 79.5 - - - - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 393 - - - - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3589 - - 5413 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2499 - - 3975 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3695 - - 5520 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1942 - - 2022 - - - - - 3696 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 435 - - 523 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 21 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 356 - - - - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -7 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4886 - - -4776 - - - - - -7485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8582 - - 10296 - - - - - 7608 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10413 - - -10390 - - - - - -11982 ODpotential blCL - - - 14108 - - 15910 - - - - - 12104 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 73 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 79.5 - - - - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 34.5 - - - - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 77.6 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 33.5 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 393 - - - - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3589 - - 5413 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98167 5 239 14 295 5 230 98167 90716 7 288 9 297 6 303 90716 84994 1 132 3 202 12 329 84994 80269 0 103 7 287 7 014 80269 76185 4 319 11 280 13 345 76185 72572 6 255 10 258 16 320 72572 69300 20 310 13 280 15 299 69300 66273 27 295 18 284 19 297 66273 63450 26 286 24 285 20 294 63450 60700 30 289 26 283 22 297 60700 57817 32 289 30 290 30 309 57817 54841 34 291 33 294 36 311 54841 52028 36 290 36 296 38 308 52028 49518 36 289 36 296 39 308 49518 47281 35 305 43 307 41 305 47281 45264 45 307 47 308 47 316 45264 43434 41 307 46 305 57 319 43434 41764 43 334 43 319 55 322 41764 40223 90 339 64 337 62 342 40223 38781 98 328 87 339 84 341 38781 37420 80 317 78 334 92 336 37420 36104 67 315 72 334 83 325 36104 34763 59 327 75 335 76 322 34763 33366 59 338 74 333 72 325 33366 31914 63 339 74 333 71 327 31914 30388 65 337 73 331 72 328 30388 28776 66 335 68 331 71 326 28776 27080 65 336 63 328 70 335 27080 25301 60 342 53 320 68 348 25301 23441 51 345 42 319 58 340 23441 21499 47 342 34 326 54 329 21499 19471 44 345 29 331 47 325 19471 17363 35 349 26 336 34 310 17363 15219 29 349 24 341 28 298 15219 13154 26 352 21 344 22 309 13154 11277 23 353 19 345 19 328 11277 9611 19 358 19 349 18 337 9611 8135 17 008 18 352 16 329 8135 6827 16 006 18 351 16 325 6827 5665 15 004 19*352 18 338 5665 4636 18 003 20*353 21 353 4636 3730 22*356 21 355 26 003 3730 2932 26*350 22 356 29 007 2932 2218 27 349 22 357 31 007 2218 1588 27 349 22 357 31 007 1588 1065 27 349 22 357 30 007 1065 662 26 348 21 357 27 007 662 386 25 348 20 357 22 007 386 218 23 348 19 357 19 006 218 122 18 347 16 357 12*005 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography