DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 46.8 - - 49.7 - - 48.9 - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 8 - - 21 - - -25 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1022 - - 2355 - - 148 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1126 - - 2459 - - 252 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1879 - - 3743 - - 3531 - - 7234 - - 1987 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 108 - - 185 - - 52 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 18 - - 24 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 221 - - 241 - - 238 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 13 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -16 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -413 - - -295 - - -203 - - -2114 - - -710 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 534 - - 1421 - - 2662 - - 2367 - - 830 sfcLCL ODpotential -1612 - - -1121 - - -1879 - - -2764 - - -2185 ODpotential blCL 1733 - - 2247 - - 4338 - - 3016 - - 2305 blCL maxRH 86 - - 87 - - 79 - - 77 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 90 - - 200 - - 410 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 46.8 - - 49.7 - - 48.9 - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 40.9 - - 38.3 - - 38.8 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 46.8 - - 49.6 - - 49.6 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.6 - - 39.7 - - 37.1 - - 37.5 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 8 - - 21 - - -25 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1022 - - 2355 - - 148 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 47 - - 17 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96929 28 105 27 101 27 113 27 113 21 121 96929 89712 28 106 27 113 25 120 22 112 24 115 89712 84101 19 111 26 105 19 129 12 115 19 086 84101 79431 7 081 16 109 15 137 13 126 11 067 79431 75396 5 147 9 139 9 152 3 136 5 105 75396 71818 3 245 10 149 6 240 3 025 8 110 71818 68563 13 228 13 238 10 228 10 225 4 332 68563 65545 4 154 10 222 3 260 7 162 9 200 65545 62727 21 263 22 237 23 259 11 285 5 186 62727 59961 37 246 27 241 35 244 26 254 7 316 59961 57046 32 237 26 256 32 250 33 260 34 273 57046 54028 25 254 29 266 26 277 28 265 38 272 54028 51154 33 265 38 266 28 284 20 289 31 276 51154 48563 42 264 49 259 32 284 33 291 22 282 48563 46223 43 262 49 255 43 284 42 282 26 299 46223 44081 48 273 44 259 53 276 44 281 35 299 44081 42109 54 273 46 266 54 274 51 282 46 295 42109 40289 53 271 54 274 60 278 56 283 52 287 40289 38605 57 276 60 274 67 271 63 280 53 283 38605 37041 62 279 61 273 63 265 65 274 54 284 37041 35585 63 279 61 275 60 264 63 270 56 283 35585 34195 67 275 63 272 63 263 62 267 57 278 34195 32800 68 269 65 269 64 259 62 265 55 273 32800 31367 67 268 66 267 62 258 62 262 53 268 31367 29900 73 267 71 262 64 259 62 257 51 264 29900 28388 82 265 78 256 74 259 62 252 50 260 28388 26823 88 265 79 254 83 257 67 250 53 257 26823 25205 89 267 75 250 89 250 74 247 57 251 25205 23533 86 267 74 242 88 242 74 245 54 248 23533 21808 82 261 74 235 86 241 69 244 50 251 21808 20031 74 252 73 235 83 240 64 248 52 255 20031 18183 61 243 71 235 81 241 58 256 54 253 18183 16253 51 241 67 237 79 249 51 263 49 251 16253 14276 52 248 65 244 64 263 44 267 39 246 14276 12362 50 252 64 254 46 268 33 270 33 242 12362 10615 49 255 55 256 33 259 30 267 30 239 10615 9060 46 259 51 254 29 253 30 260 30 242 9060 7676 43 267 49 256 30 255 30 254 30 250 7676 6445 40 273 45 260 32 259 30 249 30 258 6445 5351 35 276 41 264 32 260 29 244 30 263 5351 4381 32 277 37 263 31 258 30 242 30 266 4381 3527 30 276 34 260 30 254 29 241 30 267 3527 2773 27 271 31 255 29*251 29 240 30 265 2773 2100 24 260 27 248 27*245 28 239 30 262 2100 1505 21 242 23*237 25 242 27 239 28 258 1505 1010 21 225 20*227 24 240 25 239 26 256 1010 630 20 213 19 222 23 239 23 239 21 255 630 369 17 205 17 219 21 238 20*238 16 255 369 211 14*201 15 216 19 237 17*238 13 255 211 120 10*199 12 214 14 237 13 238 7*253 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography