DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.2 - - 78.0 - - 87.2 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 135 - - 105 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 128 - - 859 - - 1286 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 106 - - 107 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 234 - - 966 - - 1393 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 337 - - 561 - - 1162 - - - - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 204 - - 222 - - - - - 14 W* B/S 17 - - 14 - - 17 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 025 - - 226 - - - - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1729 - - -4170 - - -6398 - - - - - -3857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1963 - - 5136 - - 7791 - - - - - 3981 sfcLCL ODpotential -13131 - - -12680 - - -12711 - - - - - -10844 ODpotential blCL 13365 - - 13646 - - 14104 - - - - - 10967 blCL maxRH 75 - - 48 - - 86 - - - - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.2 - - 78.0 - - 87.2 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.1 - - 56.3 - - 53.9 - - - - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.8 - - 77.0 - - 86.4 - - - - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.7 - - 55.1 - - 52.5 - - - - - 61.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 135 - - 105 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 128 - - 859 - - 1286 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 43 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99515 37 097 36 112 23 108 24 094 99515 91981 35 100 31 102 27 113 26 098 91981 86163 34 102 30 099 34 102 30 102 86163 81339 30 094 26 104 26 096 29 105 81339 77208 25 089 19 097 18 098 23 104 77208 73580 23 091 25 115 15 108 20 089 73580 70301 21 084 23 100 18 111 19 081 70301 67288 14 086 16 108 16 103 14 102 67288 64504 7 087 17 100 14 099 17 108 64504 61826 13 187 5 142 11 067 14 110 61826 59052 17 194 18 170 12 185 8 107 59052 56182 22 186 22 202 23 203 13 216 56182 53448 26 220 33 205 35 212 29 218 53448 51007 50 232 48 211 48 211 43 211 51007 48842 64 225 58 217 59 212 49 214 48842 46881 69 218 61 218 65 214 54 221 46881 45069 68 224 67 215 64 217 59 220 45069 43378 73 226 71 216 63 221 65 218 43378 41793 75 225 74 222 64 224 64 217 41793 40298 77 232 77 235 66 220 60 217 40298 38878 80 237 74 236 68 218 59 215 38878 37496 85 239 68 227 67 221 57 216 37496 36080 77 237 67 221 65 224 56 216 36080 34604 69 234 70 215 69 222 58 215 34604 33073 66 234 68 215 67 219 62 217 33073 31472 60 230 60 217 60 218 58 224 31472 29789 52 226 53 217 53 218 46 220 29789 28024 48 222 49 219 46 213 42 211 28024 26175 46 220 45 221 38 207 36 204 26175 24246 40 218 39 215 38 210 33 198 24246 22247 36 208 39 213 36 213 32 190 22247 20170 35 201 36 209 33 202 28 182 20170 18000 32 195 31 202 30 187 25 178 18000 15780 27 194 26 196 26 183 23 176 15780 13635 21 199 21 195 18 186 22 174 13635 11683 14 206 14 196 12 192 19 179 11683 9953 10 210 9 189 8 192 15 191 9953 8421 8 200 8 182 8 191 11 197 8421 7063 9 187 9 188 8 205 8 195 7063 5858 9 180 10 188 9 215 5 193 5858 4792 8 171 9 171 9 210 3 201 4792 3854 4 162 6 171 9 212 6 216 3854 3028 2 066 4 080 7 229 10 210 3028 2289 5 046 8 044 5 235 13 204 2289 1638 6 011 7 018 4*237 15 200 1638 1096 10 002 4*014 3*231 16 193 1096 680 6 351 3*020 3 227 16 181 680 395 2*309 3 026 2 224 14 169 395 222 1*307 2 028 2 222 10 161 222 123 0 324 2 029 2 223 5*157 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography