DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 79.9 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 79 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1164 - - 2305 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 426 - - 897 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1271 - - 2411 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1262 - - 5638 - - - - - 2244 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 245 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 14 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 093 - - 221 - - - - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3523 - - -4938 - - - - - -1561 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4794 - - 7349 - - - - - 1683 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6875 - - -6814 - - - - - -3903 ODpotential blCL - - - 8146 - - 9225 - - - - - 4025 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.9 - - 79.9 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 48.1 - - - - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.8 - - 79.3 - - - - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 46.9 - - - - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 79 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1164 - - 2305 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 101 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98753 19 122 19 095 20 107 98753 91279 20 108 21 112 12 091 91279 85545 18 104 19 108 13 091 85545 80809 17 109 19 107 15 109 80809 76729 12 119 14 121 15 096 76729 73109 12 139 11 131 10 071 73109 69821 10 137 8 125 9 045 69821 66806 7 138 2 160 5 016 66806 64006 3 235 7 256 2 022 64006 61289 9 255 14 256 11 268 61289 58462 12 273 17 254 11 277 58462 55526 22 291 15 275 21 310 55526 52732 22 289 25 290 28 305 52732 50241 33 301 37 301 37 308 50241 48037 47 307 39 293 50 321 48037 46049 52 297 45 324 62 333 46049 44224 49 311 74 335 74 335 44224 42532 67 326 95 333 85 333 42532 40954 90 331 101 331 93 328 40954 39477 107 328 105 327 95 324 39477 38084 99 323 100 324 93 323 38084 36729 86 321 97 324 92 322 36729 35341 70 319 91 326 92 323 35341 33892 56 310 83 327 91 323 33892 32386 51 296 72 327 87 321 32386 30811 52 286 56 323 82 316 30811 29152 54 282 42 309 79 313 29152 27410 51 287 40 294 75 315 27410 25588 48 287 45 288 63 317 25588 23690 45 293 46 293 50 312 23690 21716 43 309 41 300 41 302 21716 19663 34 298 39 304 36 285 19663 17522 35 294 40 303 35 281 17522 15333 30 282 37 295 36 286 15333 13226 26 267 32 279 32 288 13226 11316 21 270 26 275 26 287 11316 9627 17 273 17 270 20 283 9627 8135 13 267 15 263 16 276 8135 6815 11 253 15 265 14 273 6815 5648 8 251 15 264 14 276 5648 4617 6 258 14 263 16 280 4617 3712 4 272 12 260 18 283 3712 2914 3 343 10*253 19 284 2914 2204 5 024 6*242 20 282 2204 1578 1*028 4 226 20 278 1578 1057 1*088 3 214 18 273 1057 658 2 094 2 202 15 270 658 384 3 094 2 194 11 266 384 217 3 093 2 192 8 262 217 122 2 094 2 189 4*254 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography