DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.8 - - 63.7 - - 69.4 - - 70.2 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 70 - - 103 - - 3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 804 - - 1789 - - 2126 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 106 - - 623 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 910 - - 1895 - - 2231 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 350 - - 1028 - - 1744 - - 1821 - - 349 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 159 - - 236 - - 92 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 017 - - 356 - - 355 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -343 - - -426 - - -714 - - -897 - - -353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 465 - - 1336 - - 2609 - - 3128 - - 475 sfcLCL ODpotential -4945 - - -2982 - - -2269 - - -2741 - - -6149 ODpotential blCL 5067 - - 3892 - - 4164 - - 4972 - - 6271 blCL maxRH 86 - - 88 - - 82 - - 76 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.8 - - 63.7 - - 69.4 - - 70.2 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.3 - - 58.4 - - 58.5 - - 57.1 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.9 - - 63.1 - - 68.7 - - 70.3 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.7 - - 57.7 - - 57.7 - - 56.7 - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 70 - - 103 - - 3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 804 - - 1789 - - 2126 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 53 - - 28 - - 5 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96800 3 053 6 012 10 029 9 042 15 068 96800 89576 10 352 4 017 11 333 19 354 14 023 89576 84014 8 349 9 020 12 314 23 324 14 018 84014 79391 11 346 16 345 17 340 23 327 21 327 79391 75428 11 355 10 354 13 352 18 326 12 324 75428 71922 14 333 14 322 20 341 21 357 14 023 71922 68737 16 315 15 322 23 330 28 345 26 343 68737 65829 3 309 8 311 19 314 30 320 24 320 65829 63148 12 332 11 326 12 310 23 304 18 312 63148 60541 33 312 27 320 20 316 24 310 20 309 60541 57803 43 302 36 304 30 303 32 305 24 302 57803 54954 45 295 42 292 36 294 37 298 33 305 54954 52242 46 288 47 287 44 288 46 296 41 299 52242 49812 50 288 51 286 50 283 48 292 44 297 49812 47640 55 289 58 286 55 282 51 294 48 299 47640 45679 61 290 60 288 58 284 57 293 49 304 45679 43900 64 289 56 291 58 288 54 292 52 312 43900 42269 61 289 53 296 55 289 53 300 59 314 42269 40749 60 296 52 299 51 294 56 299 58 310 40749 39319 61 302 50 299 47 294 54 298 50 308 39319 37962 61 303 49 299 44 291 50 297 47 308 37962 36640 60 304 47 298 42 289 48 299 45 308 36640 35285 60 306 46 300 41 288 46 300 43 311 35285 33867 58 309 45 302 39 289 42 301 43 313 33867 32389 55 309 44 303 37 290 40 300 45 314 32389 30838 51 309 41 302 36 290 40 296 43 313 30838 29202 47 308 38 302 36 292 37 290 35 312 29202 27482 46 308 37 300 36 298 34 293 32 309 27482 25677 46 307 39 299 37 304 34 307 31 306 25677 23788 48 305 42 301 35 307 34 313 29 312 23788 21816 51 303 41 305 31 310 32 313 28 321 21816 19757 53 301 39 308 28 315 27 309 27 328 19757 17605 53 299 37 307 26 316 22 314 23 331 17605 15408 49 297 36 307 26 314 23 329 20 337 15408 13293 41 297 34 304 26 314 21 338 17 351 13293 11372 34 294 32 298 24 314 17 341 16 359 11372 9673 29 294 29 297 23 311 13 348 14 002 9673 8170 26 307 24 302 19 314 11 357 11 012 8170 6840 25 316 16 313 12 326 8 007 9 028 6840 5662 24 318 9 322 6 344 6 018 8 036 5662 4625 21 319 5 313 4 352 4 004 9 026 4625 3715 17 319 4 295 5 344 6 348 11 013 3715 2916 13 320 4 289 6 342 7*354 13 004 2916 2205 9 324 4 293 6*347 7*356 14 002 2205 1578 8 326 2 305 5*353 7 356 15 002 1578 1056 8 316 2*348 5 356 7 355 14 004 1056 657 7 287 2*015 5 356 6 354 13 002 657 382 5 242 2 016 5 356 6 353 11 356 382 217 3*227 2 018 5 356 6 353 7*342 217 122 2*234 2 019 4 356 5 351 4*328 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography