DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 64.2 - - 76.3 - - 75.0 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 17 - - 176 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 197 - - 1629 - - 1036 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 808 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 303 - - 1735 - - 1142 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 101 - - 551 - - 2545 - - 3807 - - 764 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 63 - - 267 - - 82 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 330 - - 047 - - 257 - - 192 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4536 - - -4357 - - -5112 - - -4378 - - -430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4658 - - 4660 - - 6847 - - 5521 - - 552 sfcLCL ODpotential -12229 - - -9408 - - -8100 - - -6254 - - -4638 ODpotential blCL 12351 - - 9711 - - 9835 - - 7396 - - 4760 blCL maxRH 36 - - 52 - - 89 - - 97 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 150 - - 150 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 64.2 - - 76.3 - - 75.0 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 44.6 - - 46.7 - - 51.2 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.4 - - 63.9 - - 75.0 - - 74.9 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 43.9 - - 46.3 - - 51.0 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 17 - - 176 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 197 - - 1629 - - 1036 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 57 - - 88 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97573 7 326 9 308 13 268 11 318 15 298 97573 90314 2 353 11 299 9 323 10 337 8 324 90314 84718 4 302 6 353 7 319 6 341 12 348 84718 80070 9 275 3 315 2 258 5 292 9 348 80070 76060 9 267 2 240 6 216 12 251 8 344 76060 72506 12 203 6 254 13 229 13 261 7 290 72506 69281 7 182 12 228 18 232 17 245 9 237 69281 66310 6 256 12 223 16 232 20 218 12 223 66310 63538 11 252 17 218 17 229 19 204 17 222 63538 60837 19 226 17 205 18 212 15 215 20 227 60837 58005 26 206 16 211 20 215 19 232 23 233 58005 55049 26 192 21 212 23 212 21 223 24 230 55049 52212 25 196 25 201 23 201 20 222 24 215 52212 49658 23 199 27 200 24 202 19 221 23 210 49658 47376 25 206 31 198 30 202 23 220 27 213 47376 45307 37 205 29 196 34 196 32 209 33 215 45307 43410 48 204 31 194 35 188 38 198 40 200 43410 41664 52 194 35 185 37 183 41 186 39 188 41664 40054 48 189 35 180 36 177 37 173 35 187 40054 38553 43 190 33 187 33 174 34 175 34 191 38553 37146 48 198 44 197 35 182 38 186 36 192 37146 35792 62 199 59 195 46 187 49 177 36 186 35792 34431 66 195 64 190 57 181 54 156 34 175 34431 33035 56 185 60 180 60 174 58 146 30 174 33035 31602 51 176 58 177 59 171 63 148 32 175 31602 30107 50 173 57 176 57 172 61 152 32 160 30107 28535 45 167 54 173 55 173 50 150 31 148 28535 26877 42 163 44 168 56 174 43 139 31 144 26877 25130 42 161 36 163 50 165 41 140 30 149 25130 23297 44 158 41 164 33 152 35 155 30 146 23297 21381 42 156 41 160 34 160 40 161 28 145 21381 19377 37 153 34 154 37 149 40 156 26 140 19377 17283 33 153 31 154 32 138 38 151 19 151 17283 15145 36 159 32 154 28 136 35 142 12 143 15145 13091 38 165 33 137 26 146 22 118 16 140 13091 11231 21 172 31 115 24 145 15 094 18 166 11231 9576 13 137 26 112 22 128 13 090 15 168 9576 8103 17 138 20 130 18 105 11 084 13 117 8103 6792 18 133 18 144 11 134 7 088 13 100 6792 5628 18 131 18 158 10 167 3 120 12 109 5628 4598 16 128 15 160 5 194 2 128 10 107 4598 3695 13 123 10 163 2 249 3 160 10 076 3695 2899 7 107 4 161 3 320 4 181 9 068 2899 2191 6 059 7 359 3*328 6 190 6 097 2191 1567 7 058 14 358 3*310 9*194 5 120 1567 1049 5 071 14 001 4 257 10*194 2 137 1049 652 2 088 11 009 4 251 10 193 2 261 652 381 0 093 6*035 5 247 10 192 4 278 381 216 1*008 5*044 5 245 9 191 5*286 216 122 1*330 5 049 4 244 8 190 3*295 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography