DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 90.9 - - 91.8 - - 84.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 347 - - 161 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2306 - - 7196 - - 8100 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1421 - - 5333 - - 5577 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2412 - - 7303 - - 8207 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1526 - - 3667 - - 3405 - - 9396 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 335 - - 552 - - 448 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 34 - - 52 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 311 - - 320 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - -19 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7494 - - -5096 - - -5032 - - -10131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9906 - - 12399 - - 13240 - - 10254 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10715 - - -9069 - - -8846 - - -14739 ODpotential blCL - - - 13127 - - 16372 - - 17053 - - 14862 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 54 - - 44 - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 90.9 - - 91.8 - - 84.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.4 - - 36.3 - - 33.3 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 88.7 - - 90.6 - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 35.2 - - 32.3 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 347 - - 161 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2306 - - 7196 - - 8100 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98165 2 255 8 063 6 104 2 070 98165 90728 10 138 4 157 4 289 8 051 90728 84991 8 115 6 150 4 251 6 021 84991 80239 6 095 7 135 5 180 5 344 80239 76161 2 073 5 091 2 141 2 072 76161 72555 1 145 3 019 5 057 6 072 72555 69281 6 127 4 243 6 343 5 040 69281 66259 3 061 3 228 7 311 5 021 66259 63452 5 004 5 330 8 323 9 343 63452 60739 10 346 11 331 13 329 14 332 60739 57914 11 349 11 327 14 329 16 343 57914 54994 16 351 15 338 20 345 23 347 54994 52225 20 347 20 341 21 346 18 322 52225 49738 23 354 22 357 20 355 24 014 49738 47526 30 003 31 003 37 005 35 002 47526 45541 33 009 40 360 41 351 29 349 45541 43730 40 014 36 357 26 013 33 040 43730 42064 41 016 34 040 29 043 68 047 42064 40527 38 022 57 043 61 046 83 047 40527 39090 36 023 54 040 72 038 83 046 39090 37733 37 019 41 036 66 034 73 041 37733 36417 33 018 34 029 57 037 63 039 36417 35075 26 013 33 026 52 043 56 043 35075 33677 24 010 30 030 54 045 53 047 33677 32222 24 014 30 037 57 046 51 049 32222 30696 23 015 33 040 56 049 49 049 30696 29086 20 010 34 041 47 047 46 050 29086 27392 20 008 34 039 41 046 42 053 27392 25613 21 015 30 036 41 048 38 057 25613 23748 21 012 25 034 37 051 34 060 23748 21799 19 007 21 029 27 050 31 055 21799 19762 16 005 17 018 20 044 21 044 19762 17636 11 003 13 013 15 037 14 033 17636 15466 8 006 8 006 10 032 9 039 15466 13378 6 002 5 359 6 025 8 069 13378 11483 5 018 3 353 5 356 10 069 11483 9804 4 326 3 333 6 333 7 040 9804 8312 3 301 4*323 5*324 4 003 8312 6982 2 243 4*316 4*323 2 341 6982 5799 2 288 4 314 3 323 1 257 5799 4750 3 333 3 314 3 324 2 234 4750 3825 5 351 3 313 2 327 4 236 3825 3007 7*358 3 311 1 321 5 237 3007 2276 8*358 3 310 0 314 6 239 2276 1630 7 359 2 304 0 259 7 238 1630 1091 7 360 2 303 0 183 7 236 1091 678 7 360 2 299 1 184 7 230 678 394 6 000 2 298 1 175 7 221 394 221 6 001 2 297 1 181 6 209 221 123 5 001 2 294 1 172 5*203 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography