DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 84.8 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 177 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1157 - - 1823 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 546 - - 998 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1263 - - 1929 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 530 - - 972 - - - - - 459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 289 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 46 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 152 - - - - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2695 - - -4743 - - - - - -3586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3958 - - 6672 - - - - - 3710 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11178 - - -11898 - - - - - -10691 ODpotential blCL - - - 12441 - - 13827 - - - - - 10814 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 40 - - - - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 84.8 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 56.3 - - - - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 83.6 - - - - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 55.0 - - - - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 177 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1157 - - 1823 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99635 38 107 32 113 31 102 99635 92093 30 112 31 103 32 097 92093 86272 28 107 24 097 27 109 86272 81454 26 104 21 104 23 098 81454 77319 22 100 20 108 19 089 77319 73670 18 090 17 104 16 105 73670 70375 16 096 17 117 18 095 70375 67353 10 114 17 120 17 087 67353 64558 7 086 17 124 9 105 64558 61860 6 183 16 131 6 106 61860 59064 17 211 14 194 12 164 59064 56175 36 194 34 210 17 227 56175 53420 38 194 41 201 37 219 53420 50947 43 213 49 218 50 220 50947 48749 66 216 71 213 74 217 48749 46767 77 210 73 209 79 212 46767 44935 78 214 71 219 72 223 44935 43227 82 220 80 226 78 233 43227 41627 86 221 81 225 86 233 41627 40119 84 221 81 221 92 234 40119 38692 80 221 82 220 95 235 38692 37308 78 219 79 218 89 234 37308 35897 75 218 77 214 78 231 35897 34436 67 220 72 216 69 227 34436 32925 61 222 62 222 63 225 32925 31351 60 222 59 224 58 223 31351 29694 58 222 55 225 56 223 29694 27954 54 222 50 224 53 220 27954 26129 48 217 46 219 47 219 26129 24224 46 211 44 218 39 216 24224 22243 46 210 40 217 33 210 22243 20173 39 206 37 214 31 197 20173 18004 31 201 30 205 29 199 18004 15786 26 202 25 203 24 199 15786 13645 18 205 20 200 19 192 13645 11696 15 203 15 194 16 181 11696 9966 17 198 13 189 13 179 9966 8432 20 186 13 188 10 188 8432 7071 18 175 16 187 7 191 7071 5865 17 183 16 187 4 182 5865 4797 14 191 15 191 1 190 4797 3858 7 200 10 209 3 229 3858 3030 3 195 6 213 6 214 3030 2290 2 194 4*187 9 198 2290 1638 1*186 5*163 11 180 1638 1095 1*154 5 153 13 162 1095 680 1 139 5 150 14 148 680 395 1 126 5 147 12 140 395 222 1 126 4 145 9 136 222 123 1 122 4 144 4*131 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography