DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 60.1 - - - - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 23 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1129 - - 628 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1234 - - 734 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2182 - - 1438 - - - - - 784 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 164 - - 102 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 152 - - - - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14 - - 233 - - - - - -100 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1248 - - 501 - - - - - 222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -797 - - 27 - - - - - -1644 ODpotential blCL - - - 2031 - - 707 - - - - - 1766 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 150 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 60.1 - - - - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.7 - - 58.1 - - - - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 59.9 - - - - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 57.8 - - - - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 23 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1129 - - 628 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 101 - - - - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97510 9 334 11 005 9 022 97510 90304 0 345 7 360 11 355 90304 84742 4 351 5 034 9 351 84742 80098 4 318 7 353 6 358 80098 76084 3 244 9 284 9 344 76084 72536 4 194 13 233 11 307 72536 69328 7 278 12 238 11 262 69328 66362 17 262 16 256 11 235 66362 63580 21 246 21 256 12 253 63580 60863 20 234 23 249 17 259 60863 58024 18 233 22 240 21 264 58024 55081 16 240 19 241 22 257 55081 52264 16 246 19 253 18 250 52264 49717 16 239 22 261 18 263 49717 47429 18 242 21 264 21 269 47429 45354 18 238 18 276 18 278 45354 43451 13 250 15 284 19 294 43451 41692 16 266 15 295 22 303 41692 40058 11 257 16 311 23 304 40058 38539 4 254 19 317 21 325 38539 37120 9 346 23 325 26 351 37120 35762 16 348 28 342 38 351 35762 34397 17 357 34 345 43 356 34397 32995 24 008 37 343 43 350 32995 31552 26 360 41 348 33 002 31552 30052 30 000 45 347 32 006 30052 28473 28 005 43 347 32 005 28473 26811 25 006 42 353 32 007 26811 25060 22 007 39 358 31 011 25060 23224 19 010 32 003 30 014 23224 21308 14 007 23 013 29 016 21308 19308 12 021 13 017 29 011 19308 17219 9 044 5 000 23 355 17219 15088 4 089 5 357 17 338 15088 13034 3 099 6 354 14 337 13034 11168 4 108 6 347 14 346 11168 9512 6 165 6 320 11 349 9512 8045 10 173 3 263 7 357 8045 6745 11 167 4 179 5 027 6745 5592 7 181 5 167 2 076 5592 4573 7 202 5 162 2 123 4573 3679 8 199 6 163 2 191 3679 2891 10 193 7 170 4 207 2891 2186 12 186 8 173 5 201 2186 1565 12*182 10 167 7 186 1565 1048 12*176 11*158 10 168 1048 652 11 167 11*154 12 152 652 380 10 162 10 152 10 138 380 215 9 161 9 151 7*133 215 122 8 159 7 151 3*126 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography