DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.2 - - 42.8 - - 49.2 - - 49.1 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 31 - - 59 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 228 - - 560 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 332 - - 665 - - 121 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 711 - - 405 - - 247 - - 658 - - 350 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 78 - - 132 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 43 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 338 - - 003 - - 046 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -102 - - 3 - - -156 - - -647 - - -26 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 222 - - 329 - - 821 - - 768 - - 146 sfcLCL ODpotential -338 - - 92 - - -11384 - - -11324 - - -13613 ODpotential blCL 458 - - 240 - - 12049 - - 11445 - - 13733 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 89 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.2 - - 42.8 - - 49.2 - - 49.1 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.1 - - 42.2 - - 46.4 - - 46.6 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 42.5 - - 48.7 - - 49.4 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.3 - - 42.0 - - 45.8 - - 46.0 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 31 - - 59 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 228 - - 560 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 85 - - 55 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 40 060 28 057 27 065 29 063 11 058 96596 89637 32 090 29 083 27 094 24 075 14 079 89637 84186 31 115 31 099 30 105 20 106 18 086 84186 79609 27 121 28 104 26 108 20 113 15 103 79609 75650 19 120 21 105 21 117 13 109 11 118 75650 72155 12 111 12 106 12 137 5 107 5 130 72155 68994 9 103 4 135 4 206 5 336 4 325 68994 66087 6 077 6 183 9 258 11 317 10 304 66087 63405 1 359 7 237 13 266 13 282 17 287 63405 60830 8 293 12 265 15 277 18 283 24 275 60830 58153 14 279 18 266 23 280 26 280 30 266 58153 55361 29 286 27 279 31 278 34 282 39 283 55361 52678 32 281 34 280 36 276 45 283 44 282 52678 50239 26 284 35 286 41 290 48 291 49 296 50239 48031 36 304 48 306 57 298 56 295 63 299 48031 46011 57 310 58 303 60 293 62 300 74 299 46011 44144 60 302 56 295 59 296 75 300 79 299 44144 42412 48 297 53 298 67 301 82 295 82 296 42412 40801 51 309 58 305 67 301 74 294 80 296 40801 39304 60 311 65 304 63 298 65 291 73 299 39304 37911 47 303 66 298 69 288 64 291 73 304 37911 36577 42 294 50 288 69 281 66 294 78 308 36577 35223 39 293 49 286 63 285 68 294 81 305 35223 33817 34 292 48 284 58 287 69 294 83 303 33817 32359 32 292 38 278 54 280 66 291 81 301 32359 30827 31 293 38 289 56 286 60 288 74 300 30827 29208 30 292 44 293 53 292 56 285 64 298 29208 27499 32 292 35 289 49 291 54 283 60 293 27499 25698 35 293 35 290 49 289 54 284 59 290 25698 23807 38 296 34 289 45 294 51 289 57 293 23807 21836 40 300 32 288 32 288 37 292 48 297 21836 19780 39 301 27 288 28 284 28 284 38 295 19780 17634 32 295 23 285 29 284 30 284 35 287 17634 15440 25 286 22 282 28 287 28 284 35 289 15440 13324 24 286 20 277 23 290 22 288 29 289 13324 11397 20 282 20 278 19 293 16 299 19 287 11397 9687 17 286 19 290 16 297 16 306 14 295 9687 8172 14 291 17 302 13 310 15 313 13 305 8172 6830 11 297 15 309 12 322 12 324 13 310 6830 5643 8 311 13 312 12 327 10 337 10 316 5643 4598 6 330 10 312 11 331 10 346 8 324 4598 3680 6 344 8 315 9 337 9 351 7 333 3680 2875 7 351 7 327 7 341 8 349 7 334 2875 2159 8 352 7 344 5 342 7 341 7 329 2159 1534 9 344 6 359 3 327 6 335 6 316 1534 1021 9 339 6 353 2*308 5 326 4 302 1021 633 6 345 5 348 1*312 3 332 1 233 633 370 5 341 3*341 1 001 2 021 2 137 370 211 5*330 2*333 1 040 2*039 1 141 211 120 3*328 2 341 1 038 2*046 1*161 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography