DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 91.7 - - 93.1 - - 81.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 153 - - 15 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 918 - - 2607 - - 2435 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1496 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1024 - - 2714 - - 2543 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 562 - - 3708 - - 5062 - - 212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 311 - - 175 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 42 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 157 - - 154 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -11 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4431 - - -6242 - - -6643 - - -5354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5456 - - 8957 - - 9187 - - 5477 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10798 - - -10583 - - -11513 - - -11189 ODpotential blCL - - - 11822 - - 13297 - - 14056 - - 11312 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 52 - - 55 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 91.7 - - 93.1 - - 81.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 90.7 - - 93.5 - - 84.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 51.9 - - 52.2 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 153 - - 15 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 918 - - 2607 - - 2435 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99371 31 110 32 104 26 104 27 105 99371 91877 33 114 27 110 25 105 24 082 91877 86099 28 088 21 108 24 107 21 085 86099 81306 19 096 19 096 20 101 22 089 81306 77177 19 104 16 088 20 081 19 093 77177 73540 15 101 14 097 14 073 17 081 73540 70260 12 110 10 114 8 084 12 070 70260 67250 8 079 8 133 7 074 10 087 67250 64463 6 075 3 158 7 072 4 092 64463 61767 3 140 9 200 4 345 3 142 61767 58946 9 235 16 221 13 248 7 254 58946 56013 18 224 24 207 24 216 22 222 56013 53212 26 227 26 216 24 216 19 218 53212 50686 39 227 34 242 36 242 31 255 50686 48447 49 231 57 228 59 237 62 243 48447 46451 55 227 51 232 61 232 61 237 46451 44640 61 243 64 244 71 243 74 244 44640 42978 78 239 79 240 86 240 81 241 42978 41429 87 234 87 234 87 237 79 239 41429 39966 86 233 90 230 87 234 77 242 39966 38578 84 230 91 231 85 236 79 244 38578 37227 83 231 84 234 81 237 77 243 37227 35844 80 232 73 237 75 237 80 250 35844 34402 75 233 66 235 70 237 72 249 34402 32901 70 236 64 231 66 236 67 245 32901 31326 69 239 64 232 64 236 65 245 31326 29665 61 245 57 238 58 239 60 249 29665 27918 45 233 48 237 49 239 50 249 27918 26086 48 216 52 225 46 233 44 234 26086 24168 46 221 52 227 48 234 46 236 24168 22173 33 230 39 231 41 233 36 246 22173 20104 27 225 32 236 34 236 23 239 20104 17947 26 225 28 220 25 235 23 223 17947 15742 20 216 24 214 23 215 26 216 15742 13613 19 202 17 197 19 222 21 223 13613 11674 17 207 15 211 14 226 12 221 11674 9954 15 205 12 209 10 229 5 214 9954 8427 14 195 13 202 7 230 2 086 8427 7071 11 187 12 197 8 225 4 032 7071 5867 10 178 11 202 9 222 3 011 5867 4801 9 180 10 206 10 215 2 305 4801 3862 8 203 9 207 10 202 4 221 3862 3035 7 223 8*201 9*186 8 201 3035 2295 5 235 7*187 10*169 10 192 2295 1643 2 255 6 163 10 156 12 186 1643 1099 1*224 7 153 10 151 13 179 1099 682 1*167 6 146 10 149 14 171 682 396 1 152 6 144 9 147 13 163 396 222 1 145 6 142 9 146 10 157 222 123 1 141 6 140 8 145 5*153 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography