DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.9 - - 55.9 - - 60.1 - - 58.0 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 37 - - 55 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 616 - - 1560 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 721 - - 1665 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 176 - - 1873 - - 1524 - - 2425 - - 477 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 122 - - 192 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 18 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 236 - - 348 - - 099 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -6 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -484 - - -869 - - -895 - - -1342 - - -318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 605 - - 1590 - - 2560 - - 1464 - - 439 sfcLCL ODpotential -5115 - - -3851 - - -3555 - - -3519 - - -2663 ODpotential blCL 5236 - - 4572 - - 5220 - - 3641 - - 2784 blCL maxRH 76 - - 76 - - 72 - - 77 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.9 - - 55.9 - - 60.1 - - 58.0 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.8 - - 49.5 - - 49.3 - - 52.0 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 55.6 - - 59.5 - - 58.6 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.9 - - 48.2 - - 48.0 - - 50.7 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 37 - - 55 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 616 - - 1560 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 9 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96819 19 111 13 086 8 088 16 099 11 125 96819 89711 9 084 14 090 10 093 12 116 4 108 89711 84201 7 082 7 089 9 070 10 111 9 100 84201 79603 18 084 10 097 8 074 8 084 15 077 79603 75625 17 079 14 108 8 092 11 093 15 059 75625 72113 13 070 13 096 8 105 10 061 12 060 72113 68933 10 047 9 062 6 077 8 037 11 057 68933 65993 8 018 7 037 1 359 5 003 6 029 65993 63252 14 348 13 018 6 017 8 353 11 345 63252 60595 17 340 16 008 12 013 15 001 14 339 60595 57820 20 005 24 006 21 008 22 000 19 010 57820 54935 28 009 30 006 31 003 33 357 35 001 54935 52187 40 013 40 008 39 009 37 008 39 356 52187 49715 48 013 46 013 48 022 45 015 41 007 49715 47481 52 015 55 017 55 014 51 011 49 007 47481 45444 57 018 59 016 58 011 53 013 54 008 45444 43571 61 017 58 016 62 014 60 012 58 013 43571 41835 64 017 62 017 66 014 66 013 69 019 41835 40214 67 018 68 017 70 012 77 013 87 015 40214 38696 69 017 71 013 72 011 91 008 98 007 38696 37274 66 017 71 011 71 009 89 005 107 359 37274 35904 62 021 67 011 68 006 77 005 91 002 35904 34514 60 023 57 016 63 006 67 004 76 006 34514 33077 49 032 51 020 57 007 61 003 75 009 33077 31601 43 033 42 020 47 008 50 005 74 014 31601 30069 33 048 35 028 32 013 36 004 64 010 30069 28466 33 080 28 054 25 025 27 001 49 006 28466 26791 34 095 22 077 22 030 22 359 34 001 26791 25040 31 098 19 090 16 027 19 003 26 359 25040 23210 31 091 16 089 11 035 19 009 24 004 23210 21302 31 076 18 072 10 043 13 020 22 001 21302 19309 32 068 20 071 7 076 9 026 20 353 19309 17225 31 072 17 084 9 104 8 029 16 354 17225 15093 29 082 11 086 9 111 7 033 13 360 15093 13031 24 091 12 105 8 126 5 073 10 009 13031 11152 20 111 10 112 8 149 5 112 3 021 11152 9486 16 100 8 088 4 155 6 118 0 290 9486 8009 11 039 10 044 6 059 6 107 2 083 8009 6702 10 038 12 034 9 043 7 082 8 081 6702 5548 11 039 11 027 10 027 12 082 11 048 5548 4532 11 025 10 016 11 004 9 066 12 023 4532 3640 13 009 10 002 11 341 11 007 7 000 3640 2858 15 006 11 001 10 329 9 006 4 257 2858 2161 12 001 9 004 7*325 4 011 5 181 2161 1547 6 336 2 347 3*326 3 088 7 159 1547 1036 4 288 2*246 2 345 4 100 8 153 1036 645 7 262 2*243 2 355 4 098 9 145 645 377 10 257 2 237 2 004 4 100 7 130 377 214 9*252 2 231 2 009 4*099 5 118 214 121 5*243 2 228 2 011 3*099 4*116 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography