DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.7 - - 72.4 - - 88.9 - - 94.1 - - 83.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 48 - - 144 - - -8 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 364 - - 1458 - - 718 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 106 - - 661 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 470 - - 1565 - - 826 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 339 - - 505 - - 1334 - - 3835 - - 236 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 109 - - 253 - - 97 - - 14 W* B/S 2 - - 21 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 215 - - 165 - - 163 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2243 - - -3175 - - -6024 - - -9304 - - -4722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2365 - - 3645 - - 7589 - - 10131 - - 4846 sfcLCL ODpotential -11671 - - -10823 - - -10439 - - -12923 - - -9926 ODpotential blCL 11793 - - 11293 - - 12004 - - 13749 - - 10050 blCL maxRH 63 - - 59 - - 65 - - 58 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 40 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 64.7 - - 72.4 - - 88.9 - - 94.1 - - 83.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.9 - - 57.1 - - 56.5 - - 50.4 - - 62.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.8 - - 71.8 - - 88.0 - - 94.9 - - 86.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.6 - - 56.4 - - 55.1 - - 49.2 - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 48 - - 144 - - -8 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 364 - - 1458 - - 718 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99545 30 105 31 103 29 108 29 099 30 108 99545 92026 29 097 28 110 23 110 21 113 18 085 92026 86238 24 110 22 112 18 115 21 101 21 088 86238 81434 27 109 20 125 20 096 18 104 18 078 81434 77295 21 112 20 126 17 106 18 109 12 098 77295 73639 17 123 10 101 13 112 19 113 11 111 73639 70335 13 143 11 125 10 140 10 105 16 121 70335 67305 14 144 4 170 10 124 8 131 11 107 67305 64501 7 168 16 174 10 178 10 168 3 167 64501 61786 15 215 19 161 15 171 15 176 9 173 61786 58972 21 196 21 195 18 196 16 201 16 189 58972 56072 26 187 34 201 37 208 31 212 28 199 56072 53314 30 197 43 189 49 203 40 203 34 206 53314 50849 39 223 38 195 54 201 47 207 42 216 50849 48660 58 227 46 216 56 200 52 214 53 215 48660 46679 70 223 61 223 58 210 60 210 64 210 46679 44856 77 216 71 216 64 210 63 206 66 205 44856 43156 81 210 73 209 61 208 62 207 65 205 43156 41559 83 207 82 205 66 207 63 203 62 205 41559 40055 81 207 84 203 75 208 67 202 62 203 40055 38634 79 207 78 204 77 204 71 205 65 202 38634 37257 79 207 74 206 72 203 69 205 66 201 37257 35857 76 208 70 207 63 203 61 200 65 199 35857 34404 66 207 62 206 62 196 54 198 63 201 34404 32898 60 205 56 203 61 188 52 194 58 205 32898 31326 54 204 54 201 57 195 52 186 52 203 31326 29671 51 203 53 203 52 202 52 182 47 203 29671 27929 50 205 50 208 45 196 47 187 47 202 27929 26097 49 209 48 210 41 197 39 199 45 196 26097 24179 38 210 44 210 43 215 38 211 44 197 24179 22185 31 205 39 213 35 216 36 226 36 212 22185 20117 34 206 31 219 29 220 24 247 21 227 20117 17967 32 210 27 225 26 228 18 246 17 226 17967 15771 29 213 27 229 21 221 13 222 16 210 15771 13648 26 204 23 211 21 203 17 195 15 194 13648 11712 24 195 26 188 27 194 24 194 17 192 11712 9989 24 199 31 192 30 197 26 194 19 197 9989 8457 21 200 28 193 26 204 25 198 17 201 8457 7095 13 191 22 192 20 213 23 202 13 210 7095 5886 11 186 16 190 15 215 20 208 8 223 5886 4817 9 187 11 193 12 221 17 213 5 244 4817 3876 6 170 6 193 10 227 14 218 6 240 3876 3045 5 154 3 200 9 220 11 218 7 219 3045 2303 4 155 2 323 8 203 10 213 8 199 2303 1647 0 140 4 003 7*184 9 204 10 177 1647 1102 6 353 2 032 6*171 7*185 13 158 1102 684 6 001 1*124 6 166 6*168 15 145 684 397 2 068 1*214 6 163 6 163 14 139 397 223 2 080 1 217 5 161 5 160 10*135 223 124 1*083 1 212 5 160 5 159 5*133 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography