DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/26 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 82.3 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 179 - - - - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1216 - - 2501 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 592 - - 1493 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1322 - - 2608 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 695 - - 4418 - - - - - 2161 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 324 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 094 - - 147 - - - - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2605 - - -3051 - - - - - -3252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3927 - - 5660 - - - - - 3376 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6354 - - -4486 - - - - - -6818 ODpotential blCL - - - 7676 - - 7094 - - - - - 6941 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 81 - - - - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 120 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 82.3 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 57.8 - - - - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 81.1 - - - - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 56.5 - - - - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 179 - - - - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1216 - - 2501 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 24 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99065 29 114 28 109 31 103 99065 91575 30 115 25 123 27 090 91575 85813 24 122 22 119 21 087 85813 81038 18 118 15 112 15 109 81038 76908 11 125 11 122 17 114 76908 73225 9 129 12 118 14 095 73225 69895 6 102 11 110 7 078 69895 66850 1 271 7 080 2 074 66850 64040 2 187 4 048 3 072 64040 61325 10 281 8 302 7 311 61325 58497 15 271 17 267 15 285 58497 55576 11 289 17 279 19 287 55576 52786 24 301 22 289 34 308 52786 50300 41 289 24 287 53 300 50300 48094 41 299 52 302 54 304 48094 46092 50 308 46 305 60 311 46092 44261 53 306 48 320 59 315 44261 42580 53 317 63 324 63 328 42580 41013 59 327 60 322 80 336 41013 39537 68 326 63 335 96 329 39537 38143 67 322 89 343 102 322 38143 36795 67 319 100 336 97 320 36795 35418 72 322 97 325 92 321 35418 33979 78 327 89 321 88 320 33979 32481 82 332 80 323 83 318 32481 30909 74 333 78 327 81 318 30909 29250 62 325 73 326 79 320 29250 27506 57 310 64 320 71 322 27506 25677 54 300 58 313 65 314 25677 23768 48 298 54 309 64 309 23768 21782 37 297 49 309 60 306 21782 19718 34 288 39 308 50 302 19718 17577 35 281 31 302 44 298 17577 15404 33 281 26 299 36 294 15404 13315 28 275 24 296 30 284 13315 11418 26 267 21 286 24 281 11418 9736 23 275 19 271 15 270 9736 8244 19 288 18 266 9 242 8244 6917 15 300 17 262 8 224 6917 5739 11 305 16 256 6 231 5739 4694 9 308 14 249 7 255 4694 3775 7 318 10 230 11 270 3775 2965 6 322 8*197 17 274 2965 2242 4 311 8*161 22 272 2242 1605 0*303 9 149 25 268 1605 1075 2*095 9 146 25 265 1075 669 2 096 9 143 23 263 669 389 2 091 9 142 20 260 389 220 2 095 8 142 17*257 220 123 2 093 8 142 10*254 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography