DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.9 - - 89.4 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 27 - - -27 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1477 - - 2351 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 107 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1584 - - 2458 - - 124 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1273 - - 2041 - - 4395 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 221 - - 31 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 20 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 356 - - 005 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -9 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6208 - - -6357 - - -7579 - - -4473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7793 - - 8816 - - 7704 - - 4596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16062 - - -15633 - - -13392 - - -10596 ODpotential blCL - - - 17646 - - 18091 - - 13516 - - 10719 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 34 - - 26 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 87.9 - - 89.4 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 50.0 - - 56.3 - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 88.2 - - 90.5 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 48.7 - - 55.0 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 27 - - -27 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1477 - - 2351 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98879 26 110 18 106 21 101 25 074 98879 91360 18 106 20 103 17 120 19 086 91360 85577 16 098 23 106 21 105 19 094 85577 80809 15 117 21 101 24 095 19 105 80809 76730 19 128 12 106 19 073 21 110 76730 73117 19 104 13 135 9 089 17 084 73117 69839 7 099 9 109 12 111 8 097 69839 66826 6 107 6 155 2 084 11 073 66826 64039 4 000 2 230 1 225 6 005 64039 61357 9 335 6 321 5 320 6 030 61357 58561 13 314 8 322 13 307 11 333 58561 55670 16 297 11 304 19 297 19 294 55670 52934 28 304 25 301 27 315 23 304 52934 50497 40 306 34 309 36 317 29 320 50497 48327 44 305 42 309 45 311 43 320 48327 46362 46 303 48 314 48 310 49 314 46362 44562 51 314 54 320 50 314 49 312 44562 42895 58 322 55 319 49 315 47 311 42895 41339 62 318 56 318 48 313 44 311 41339 39876 65 313 58 314 47 313 44 311 39876 38490 65 310 60 307 48 312 44 310 38490 37146 62 311 58 305 49 310 44 308 37146 35774 59 313 54 307 50 308 44 306 35774 34345 54 313 49 310 48 309 43 306 34345 32860 50 319 44 309 42 305 42 307 32860 31299 44 318 40 309 37 303 40 306 31299 29652 41 316 38 306 34 303 38 304 29652 27921 41 313 37 299 34 303 36 304 27921 26105 40 311 37 297 34 304 36 308 26105 24204 40 313 37 304 33 309 35 316 24204 22219 37 317 35 312 33 320 32 325 22219 20142 33 320 31 318 33 329 28 332 20142 17967 29 323 26 322 29 329 25 336 17967 15748 26 324 21 330 23 329 22 338 15748 13613 24 326 19 340 17 342 16 346 13613 11672 22 335 19 352 17 001 12 008 11672 9950 22 349 19 001 17 011 12 025 9950 8422 22 001 19 009 18 015 14 018 8422 7067 20 010 19 014 18 012 17 003 7067 5865 19 015 20 015 19 005 20 356 5865 4801 21 015 19 009 21 360 24 357 4801 3864 24 014 21 359 23 357 27 359 3864 3037 25 009 23*355 23 358 29 000 3037 2298 27 359 23*355 22 359 29 002 2298 1645 25*356 22 356 21 001 28 004 1645 1101 23*356 21 357 19 003 27 005 1101 684 21 355 20 357 16 004 23 005 684 397 19 355 18 358 14 005 17 001 397 223 16 355 16 358 12*005 13 357 223 123 12 355 12 357 8*005 6*345 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography