DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 82.6 - - 86.8 - - 80.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 92 - - 0 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 633 - - 1127 - - 726 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 107 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 740 - - 1234 - - 833 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 858 - - 801 - - 2066 - - 753 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 200 - - 80 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 11 - - 29 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 225 - - 107 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3362 - - -4515 - - -6420 - - -3445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4102 - - 5749 - - 7253 - - 3569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10896 - - -10745 - - -12034 - - -9925 ODpotential blCL - - - 11636 - - 11979 - - 12867 - - 10049 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 86 - - 63 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 82.6 - - 86.8 - - 80.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 58.1 - - 55.7 - - 65.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 81.9 - - 86.9 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 56.9 - - 54.4 - - 63.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 92 - - 0 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 633 - - 1127 - - 726 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99318 33 112 26 103 32 106 28 108 99318 91815 27 099 25 112 21 110 27 087 91815 86037 25 101 22 109 25 101 28 097 86037 81250 24 099 21 097 29 099 30 107 81250 77143 25 100 21 106 24 095 29 104 77143 73528 23 107 22 112 14 093 23 088 73528 70262 24 103 22 112 14 115 17 083 70262 67261 23 102 22 110 15 128 14 085 67261 64482 14 106 18 099 17 120 11 114 64482 61807 7 130 12 099 18 113 16 129 61807 59042 12 167 10 164 11 125 14 133 59042 56191 23 191 22 198 16 201 13 183 56191 53486 31 195 32 195 28 203 22 206 53486 51067 36 198 34 203 32 200 27 208 51067 48896 37 206 38 206 35 203 30 199 48896 46920 42 209 41 205 37 204 31 197 46920 45101 48 200 44 205 37 208 30 206 45101 43407 47 189 45 199 39 202 32 211 43407 41817 41 193 45 187 39 190 34 196 41817 40318 39 194 43 186 39 188 35 189 40318 38899 39 188 41 187 39 189 34 192 38899 37517 38 189 41 185 39 187 34 193 37517 36105 38 195 42 184 40 185 35 190 36105 34635 41 198 41 186 37 186 35 191 34635 33111 43 195 40 189 36 195 34 194 33111 31517 45 194 41 194 35 199 33 192 31517 29837 45 195 39 196 30 203 27 190 29837 28073 43 202 37 202 29 200 28 191 28073 26221 42 207 37 203 29 195 30 198 26221 24286 41 209 37 207 27 202 31 203 24286 22272 40 209 36 210 26 212 33 207 22272 20174 38 203 38 203 27 214 33 213 20174 17991 38 198 39 199 31 208 30 225 17991 15768 35 197 35 206 32 209 26 228 15768 13623 31 208 31 216 33 211 23 222 13623 11671 28 218 28 219 34 209 22 212 11671 9934 23 221 21 221 33 211 21 207 9934 8394 15 202 13 221 21 212 17 204 8394 7033 14 189 12 201 10 187 11 197 7033 5829 11 202 13 198 9 187 9 215 5829 4768 6 229 10 200 7 209 6 249 4768 3834 5 246 4 183 6 220 5 274 3834 3012 3 221 4 169 6 224 5 284 3012 2277 2 191 6 196 5 230 5 276 2277 1630 3 198 6*220 3 232 4 239 1630 1091 5*172 4*224 1*210 5 184 1091 678 4*158 4 225 0*134 7 154 678 394 4 155 3 225 0 100 7 135 394 222 4 154 3 226 1 106 6*128 222 124 3 150 2 227 1 092 4*127 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography