DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.0 - - 58.1 - - 66.6 - - 66.2 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 98 - - 175 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 633 - - 2117 - - 1967 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 1145 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 738 - - 2222 - - 2072 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 207 - - 673 - - 4129 - - 4208 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 161 - - 290 - - 129 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 008 - - 155 - - 153 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -5 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1744 - - -3503 - - -3594 - - -2786 - - -1656 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1865 - - 4242 - - 5816 - - 4858 - - 1778 sfcLCL ODpotential -6105 - - -7276 - - -4784 - - -3776 - - -4734 ODpotential blCL 6226 - - 8014 - - 7006 - - 5848 - - 4856 blCL maxRH 61 - - 95 - - 92 - - 81 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 50.0 - - 58.1 - - 66.6 - - 66.2 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.5 - - 40.2 - - 41.5 - - 45.3 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 57.3 - - 65.4 - - 66.1 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.3 - - 39.7 - - 41.1 - - 45.1 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 98 - - 175 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 633 - - 2117 - - 1967 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 81 - - 67 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96660 35 274 37 280 34 280 34 274 31 278 96660 89529 25 274 19 278 23 281 24 261 23 295 89529 84035 19 263 17 275 20 282 19 274 19 290 84035 79448 18 274 19 248 22 268 16 280 16 274 79448 75459 21 269 17 244 22 260 19 276 21 264 75459 71912 23 258 18 249 22 244 22 261 22 259 71912 68682 23 252 18 260 18 232 20 250 19 251 68682 65686 19 255 19 259 16 236 16 235 19 243 65686 62883 23 259 20 243 19 251 16 244 17 244 62883 60149 24 246 20 234 25 246 24 253 17 264 60149 57285 20 243 22 244 25 240 27 243 22 262 57285 54320 26 258 24 251 22 248 25 248 24 254 54320 51507 34 258 30 252 28 251 32 257 29 254 51507 48991 38 255 36 251 35 246 39 250 34 249 48991 46740 41 248 37 249 37 248 40 246 36 247 46740 44702 39 245 38 248 42 248 43 248 42 247 44702 42843 43 256 44 248 47 245 47 247 46 245 42843 41138 48 255 49 247 53 243 50 246 50 242 41138 39568 51 258 53 246 57 238 57 244 54 242 39568 38115 55 259 56 242 61 237 66 239 59 239 38115 36765 56 261 57 238 65 235 66 234 66 235 36765 35466 55 261 56 238 64 231 63 234 67 232 35466 34140 55 261 56 240 63 231 62 236 66 230 34140 32755 56 260 56 241 61 233 61 234 64 228 32755 31314 55 259 56 242 57 235 61 233 63 229 31314 29806 50 258 56 243 56 238 61 235 61 230 29806 28219 45 256 53 243 54 239 60 236 58 230 28219 26553 40 254 46 242 49 238 56 234 52 231 26553 24809 36 251 42 241 43 237 48 231 45 233 24809 22989 35 242 39 239 40 237 42 231 40 235 22989 21097 35 233 39 236 37 238 38 233 39 233 21097 19127 32 234 36 232 34 238 33 235 34 229 19127 17073 27 233 34 229 30 238 28 235 28 225 17073 14978 23 238 26 236 24 242 24 236 23 221 14978 12958 19 244 19 240 21 238 20 229 22 221 12958 11118 15 247 11 228 18 230 20 222 20 223 11118 9480 13 243 9 218 13 228 17 229 17 222 9480 8027 10 213 11 200 10 235 12 254 11 206 8027 6736 12 192 10 197 9 236 11 268 3 194 6736 5592 12 191 9 185 9 221 9 258 2 248 5592 4578 11 201 6 201 8 210 6 230 3 237 4578 3685 10 209 5 220 6 208 6 184 5 210 3685 2897 8 215 4 231 4*188 8 162 8 194 2897 2193 7 216 2 245 4*161 9*154 10 185 2193 1571 5 218 1 007 4 155 9*152 11 178 1571 1052 3 225 3*017 4 154 9 153 11 171 1052 654 2 270 3*008 4 155 9 152 11 166 654 381 3 310 2 007 4 154 8 153 9 163 381 216 2 319 2 008 4 154 8 153 5*160 216 122 1*358 2 009 4 154 6 154 4*158 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography