DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 54.9 - - 65.3 - - 67.2 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 36 - - 118 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 213 - - 1082 - - 681 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 317 - - 1187 - - 787 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 431 - - 927 - - 3217 - - 202 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 82 - - 207 - - 102 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 28 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 311 - - 335 - - 073 - - 204 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -521 - - -2396 - - -3131 - - -3203 - - -946 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 642 - - 2713 - - 4319 - - 3990 - - 1069 sfcLCL ODpotential -8847 - - -7937 - - -6364 - - -5561 - - -5411 ODpotential blCL 8968 - - 8254 - - 7551 - - 6348 - - 5533 blCL maxRH 77 - - 66 - - 65 - - 54 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 54.9 - - 65.3 - - 67.2 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 44.0 - - 47.2 - - 50.6 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 54.6 - - 64.4 - - 67.5 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 43.4 - - 46.3 - - 49.8 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 36 - - 118 - - 21 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 213 - - 1082 - - 681 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96553 16 103 4 007 12 089 11 109 7 155 96553 89481 20 112 9 117 13 079 22 096 13 118 89481 84000 16 111 18 131 7 107 13 102 13 108 84000 79417 17 111 15 110 8 141 7 106 10 099 79417 75453 11 127 8 097 4 133 4 129 5 056 75453 71958 3 147 4 166 3 258 2 089 6 026 71958 68789 4 258 5 212 6 248 4 283 6 337 68789 65867 6 246 6 198 7 249 10 256 8 264 65867 63150 12 254 6 265 11 278 9 244 12 241 63150 60515 13 258 10 277 16 275 8 258 12 237 60515 57766 11 261 8 287 17 262 12 251 15 253 57766 54912 15 289 14 296 14 247 16 259 19 247 54912 52181 21 290 21 292 11 286 21 284 20 275 52181 49716 26 304 28 300 18 295 25 283 24 270 49716 47489 28 300 29 292 20 289 23 288 24 298 47489 45451 21 311 18 272 25 305 29 302 41 309 45451 43590 34 321 29 307 51 307 55 299 66 296 43590 41891 39 312 43 306 49 292 53 284 38 275 41891 40323 34 309 36 317 25 297 33 289 19 318 40323 38880 52 329 38 346 58 336 60 339 62 335 38880 37544 60 327 50 347 66 335 67 338 56 332 37544 36253 53 322 41 340 51 331 52 338 36 329 36253 34931 45 325 31 334 38 325 38 338 32 314 34931 33548 39 328 27 325 32 322 28 335 34 305 33548 32106 32 333 29 317 26 321 21 321 37 302 32106 30589 29 334 29 319 23 315 18 302 38 301 30589 28982 26 332 26 319 23 310 18 293 39 297 28982 27285 17 337 21 303 23 309 23 299 40 284 27285 25498 11 331 19 285 24 307 32 304 37 276 25498 23624 14 316 17 281 24 311 34 308 32 274 23624 21665 20 314 17 288 22 321 18 299 30 266 21665 19619 26 315 17 290 24 324 11 320 31 272 19619 17483 26 312 18 292 22 316 16 342 28 271 17483 15302 20 297 19 291 16 296 17 329 16 273 15302 13204 16 269 17 272 15 285 13 313 9 283 13204 11303 12 250 17 249 13 273 10 287 10 280 11303 9620 13 238 16 245 13 255 8 266 10 284 9620 8131 13 243 16 249 14 251 11 257 10 304 8131 6813 12 256 14 251 15 250 14 257 11 323 6813 5645 10 266 12 254 13 248 15 260 11 329 5645 4614 6 277 9 259 10 248 14 269 10 332 4614 3708 3 299 6 267 6 253 12 271 8 332 3708 2911 1 098 4 272 4 258 11 266 6 325 2911 2201 4 138 2 251 2 264 10 263 5 314 2201 1575 3 154 2 267 1*302 7 257 5 299 1575 1054 3 317 3 314 1*054 4*240 6 274 1054 655 7 333 5 332 1 073 2*216 7 248 655 382 9 334 4*330 1 076 2 202 6 225 382 216 8*316 2*331 1 081 2 198 5*212 216 122 5*311 2 337 1 082 2 196 4*204 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography