DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 53.1 - - 50.8 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 23 - - -22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 589 - - 1752 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 693 - - 1856 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1793 - - 2034 - - 2655 - - 340 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 101 - - 165 - - 16 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 002 - - 344 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1019 - - -590 - - -1075 - - -683 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1712 - - 2446 - - 1196 - - 804 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3455 - - -3044 - - -2414 - - -5084 ODpotential blCL - - - 4148 - - 4900 - - 2535 - - 5205 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 69 - - 73 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 53.1 - - 50.8 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 43.1 - - 46.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 52.9 - - 51.9 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 41.8 - - 45.2 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 23 - - -22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 589 - - 1752 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96372 19 037 23 019 25 047 23 038 96372 89307 21 031 14 040 17 042 15 039 89307 83813 10 031 6 094 8 033 7 078 83813 79219 6 339 2 027 5 353 6 022 79219 75232 4 285 8 276 7 316 7 323 75232 71683 3 301 12 276 5 287 8 306 71683 68446 13 289 19 290 10 308 17 322 68446 65459 18 272 22 287 13 310 17 309 65459 62683 19 255 17 278 19 321 20 310 62683 59995 20 288 18 293 29 302 22 296 59995 57187 23 286 24 287 28 297 19 311 57187 54269 21 282 23 288 24 303 23 331 54269 51492 23 296 18 307 24 308 23 317 51492 48992 25 306 16 327 16 292 21 317 48992 46752 23 309 23 339 15 343 23 328 46752 44736 20 320 31 338 25 355 20 346 44736 42918 25 339 28 340 29 009 33 027 42918 41262 29 348 23 002 49 017 64 026 41262 39738 28 355 31 034 64 016 94 017 39738 38318 24 011 64 024 67 018 93 016 38318 36979 30 025 68 015 77 023 87 024 36979 35682 37 025 55 021 78 026 77 026 35682 34357 46 026 64 042 74 031 74 037 34357 32976 51 026 80 046 77 036 78 039 32976 31536 51 028 78 044 81 037 75 040 31536 30023 50 028 72 042 82 038 69 045 30023 28424 47 022 64 037 77 041 65 047 28424 26745 42 014 56 034 63 041 60 045 26745 24982 40 013 51 027 50 038 54 049 24982 23140 37 011 42 014 50 041 44 058 23140 21219 34 009 31 010 44 040 35 061 21219 19216 31 007 27 008 33 020 25 044 19216 17132 27 005 25 004 25 006 21 002 17132 15006 23 005 23 003 20 000 22 340 15006 12952 20 008 19 003 16 359 19 339 12952 11081 14 013 15 007 13 005 16 348 11081 9420 10 008 12 008 10 021 13 005 9420 7952 8 009 10 012 10 032 12 024 7952 6655 8 028 10 031 12 041 13 032 6655 5510 9 026 9 037 11 044 15 030 5510 4501 10 013 11 026 9 037 16 021 4501 3617 11 006 13 019 10 020 17 013 3617 2840 16 009 17 010 15 006 20 015 2840 2147 19 010 17*004 20 360 23 020 2147 1537 19 008 16*002 20 356 24 020 1537 1029 14*005 15 002 18 353 22 017 1029 640 10*001 14 002 16 350 17 010 640 374 8 001 13 002 13 348 11 354 374 213 7 001 11 002 10 346 7*335 213 121 6 001 9 001 7*344 4*308 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography