DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/22 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 56.6 - - - - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 132 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2399 - - 2281 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 1187 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2504 - - 2385 - - - - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2810 - - 2362 - - - - - 3816 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 189 - - 283 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 069 - - - - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 853 - - 573 - - - - - -1698 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1651 - - 1812 - - - - - 1819 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 439 - - -137 - - - - - -2827 ODpotential blCL - - - 2065 - - 2522 - - - - - 2948 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 86 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 200 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 56.6 - - - - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 49.4 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 55.7 - - - - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 48.1 - - - - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 132 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2399 - - 2281 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 46 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97380 33 279 39 286 32 283 97380 90047 36 279 34 291 30 298 90047 84426 24 284 29 284 26 307 84426 79750 14 287 24 274 20 305 79750 75716 14 278 17 266 15 309 75716 72142 22 276 14 267 13 301 72142 68898 18 261 17 262 15 283 68898 65914 13 257 15 248 20 287 65914 63141 15 269 15 238 23 281 63141 60449 22 274 17 262 25 288 60449 57637 26 276 24 286 28 287 57637 54706 31 271 38 281 28 286 54706 51888 36 270 44 275 31 284 51888 49341 40 274 41 278 38 280 49341 47056 42 278 40 284 42 279 47056 44990 45 281 42 285 44 281 44990 43105 50 283 47 286 45 283 43105 41374 55 283 52 287 49 290 41374 39773 60 286 57 290 57 295 39773 38284 66 287 64 292 63 296 38284 36892 73 288 70 290 68 294 36892 35554 78 289 73 287 72 293 35554 34200 82 288 73 287 72 293 34200 32802 84 288 73 289 72 294 32802 31359 85 289 75 291 72 297 31359 29853 88 290 76 292 72 300 29853 28267 89 290 77 294 68 300 28267 26602 85 295 76 296 62 305 26602 24856 81 298 71 298 53 312 24856 23029 82 298 69 298 37 319 23029 21120 80 303 71 300 26 331 21120 19124 61 303 62 308 22 345 19124 17048 35 299 40 317 19 013 17048 14937 21 296 24 330 18 026 14937 12902 17 283 11 359 16 015 12902 11055 14 261 5 018 14 009 11055 9418 11 270 4 350 15 007 9418 7967 6 289 7 341 15 017 7967 6678 4 288 8 354 11 039 6678 5534 2 178 9 013 9 047 5534 4524 3 163 9 028 6 042 4524 3638 6 160 9 038 5 018 3638 2859 8*157 9*051 5 354 2859 2164 9*154 9*064 5 352 2164 1550 9 153 8 067 4 353 1550 1039 9 152 8 070 4 351 1039 647 9 150 7 072 3 348 647 378 8 151 6 073 2 345 378 215 8 149 6 072 2 342 215 121 6 149 5 074 1*337 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography