DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 60.3 - - 59.1 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 30 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 369 - - 1007 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 474 - - 1112 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 654 - - 1311 - - 1972 - - 798 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 136 - - 13 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 156 - - 144 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -902 - - -939 - - -868 - - -425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1376 - - 2051 - - 990 - - 547 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5620 - - -5029 - - -2476 - - -2964 ODpotential blCL - - - 6094 - - 6141 - - 2598 - - 3086 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 74 - - 80 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 60.3 - - 59.1 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 52.0 - - 55.4 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 60.0 - - 59.7 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 50.8 - - 54.6 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 30 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 369 - - 1007 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96631 17 096 17 076 19 099 21 078 96631 89508 17 099 12 088 11 088 18 075 89508 83984 12 097 7 095 7 075 9 069 83984 79380 9 089 3 087 8 035 13 062 79380 75396 5 345 9 307 12 339 11 357 75396 71880 5 300 11 275 10 333 9 356 71880 68689 8 263 17 257 22 301 21 316 68689 65745 13 269 20 252 24 278 26 281 65745 63028 24 288 20 275 23 279 28 276 63028 60397 32 283 26 280 32 276 33 274 60397 57647 44 276 41 272 41 274 33 275 57647 54794 53 266 53 279 54 281 47 289 54794 52076 55 271 80 275 68 276 68 281 52076 49640 83 272 83 263 77 266 77 276 49640 47468 82 260 71 262 76 273 82 271 47468 45507 67 270 74 278 85 279 83 274 45507 43718 85 284 89 279 99 277 92 275 43718 42083 108 282 105 278 109 271 100 269 42083 40569 121 277 108 275 103 265 99 265 40569 39141 107 275 95 269 105 267 97 263 39141 37783 105 275 87 264 105 271 96 266 37783 36458 101 279 88 265 94 271 92 266 36458 35101 90 279 90 267 85 267 88 267 35101 33681 71 268 95 272 81 262 85 267 33681 32202 66 251 93 276 76 256 82 267 32202 30650 69 246 80 273 73 255 71 260 30650 29013 67 244 71 269 74 263 68 257 29013 27288 63 246 67 259 71 272 66 258 27288 25475 63 249 67 257 61 266 62 257 25475 23576 61 251 56 262 63 254 54 260 23576 21598 56 249 49 265 54 248 51 254 21598 19540 51 249 48 260 45 251 51 260 19540 17397 45 244 49 257 41 249 51 263 17397 15218 41 238 46 250 42 247 46 257 15218 13124 39 232 41 238 43 244 43 253 13124 11227 37 230 36 230 37 237 40 255 11227 9547 31 229 33 225 31 236 36 252 9547 8062 23 226 29 220 30 233 30 240 8062 6750 18 217 23 213 27 225 25 224 6750 5589 15 205 19 204 24 215 23 213 5589 4567 12 194 17 197 21 207 21 205 4567 3670 10 183 15 193 17 201 20 197 3670 2882 9 179 12 193 14 197 19 191 2882 2178 5 166 9 191 11 194 17 188 2178 1559 2 091 5*173 10 186 15 185 1559 1044 1 042 4*159 10 173 15 181 1044 650 2*351 4 157 10 161 15 174 650 379 2*358 4 155 8 154 12 168 379 215 2 359 3 153 6*149 9*166 215 122 2 000 3 153 4*144 4*163 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography