DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.6 - - 73.7 - - 85.0 - - 87.3 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 125 - - 201 - - 55 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 716 - - 1943 - - 2191 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 1098 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 822 - - 2049 - - 2298 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 87 - - 582 - - 898 - - 1258 - - 1697 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 183 - - 299 - - 206 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 18 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 011 - - 349 - - 012 - - 011 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2159 - - -6833 - - -7221 - - -6745 - - -6460 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2281 - - 7655 - - 9270 - - 9043 - - 6583 sfcLCL ODpotential -15936 - - -17050 - - -14501 - - -13020 - - -15393 ODpotential blCL 16058 - - 17872 - - 16550 - - 15318 - - 15516 blCL maxRH 48 - - 33 - - 30 - - 31 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.6 - - 73.7 - - 85.0 - - 87.3 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.5 - - 41.5 - - 45.3 - - 48.4 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 72.7 - - 83.5 - - 86.7 - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.5 - - 40.7 - - 44.4 - - 47.7 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 125 - - 201 - - 55 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 716 - - 1943 - - 2191 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96635 15 249 22 285 23 278 15 294 9 264 96635 89475 2 115 4 247 9 207 10 273 5 273 89475 83988 10 081 13 170 6 219 6 266 1 165 83988 79455 11 100 15 116 5 193 5 233 2 072 79455 75554 7 131 11 090 7 167 4 219 4 047 75554 72099 9 171 9 068 5 141 6 204 5 314 72099 68966 8 030 8 037 5 066 4 098 3 249 68966 66085 11 343 5 329 5 356 6 033 4 323 66085 63429 3 329 7 275 9 325 5 338 6 316 63429 60872 4 019 5 295 13 310 10 311 10 298 60872 58199 14 293 14 300 18 295 15 298 15 290 58199 55414 19 280 19 297 18 300 15 282 20 265 55414 52745 21 297 22 294 22 280 22 287 22 281 52745 50329 31 292 27 298 26 268 29 266 27 272 50329 48174 42 267 37 294 32 286 34 275 32 274 48174 46241 42 265 41 271 39 278 41 275 30 282 46241 44467 42 277 38 271 36 272 39 269 39 272 44467 42821 50 278 40 287 40 281 38 278 40 262 42821 41288 48 277 45 284 43 284 43 285 36 263 41288 39846 48 280 44 277 43 279 47 281 39 276 39846 38476 49 284 44 275 44 276 53 277 44 274 38476 37140 51 284 45 275 46 273 56 274 52 275 37140 35770 50 285 46 278 47 272 57 274 53 268 35770 34340 45 284 47 282 45 273 56 275 53 265 34340 32849 40 285 46 290 46 275 54 275 53 268 32849 31283 39 281 42 289 44 282 49 277 51 272 31283 29630 36 272 37 276 37 281 41 275 47 272 29630 27892 35 266 40 268 38 270 42 265 44 266 27892 26067 42 266 44 269 44 267 48 261 47 261 26067 24156 44 265 42 270 43 270 48 265 48 262 24156 22167 40 266 39 272 37 268 39 269 42 262 22167 20093 36 273 35 274 34 267 33 267 35 259 20093 17926 30 281 29 275 26 265 28 267 28 255 17926 15711 21 298 19 286 15 254 18 254 22 242 15711 13569 10 329 8 273 13 222 14 219 18 229 13569 11620 2 302 8 213 13 220 13 223 11 230 11620 9894 2 273 8 204 8 238 8 238 7 217 9894 8369 5 312 3 225 3 279 1 231 5 175 8369 7015 7 317 2 301 2 346 2 072 4 140 7015 5815 7 330 3 313 4 356 3 039 3 075 5815 4754 7 001 4 350 5 000 4 025 5 017 4754 3822 8 009 6 006 6 009 4 006 8 357 3822 3002 9 012 8 012 5 020 5*003 7 001 3002 2270 10 017 8 017 4*016 4*007 5 021 2270 1625 10 019 8 007 3*014 4 012 4 035 1625 1087 8 016 8*351 3 012 3 011 4 037 1087 675 7 013 7*348 3 011 3 010 3 032 675 392 6 006 6 349 3 011 3 012 2 028 392 221 3*357 6 350 3 011 3 012 2 006 221 123 1*011 5 351 2 011 2 010 2*349 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography