DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 87.5 - - 90.0 - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 143 - - 5 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1057 - - 1855 - - 1261 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 386 - - 955 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1163 - - 1962 - - 1368 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 667 - - 1911 - - 2987 - - 257 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 276 - - 136 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 015 - - 165 - - 152 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -11 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4044 - - -6285 - - -7041 - - -4520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5207 - - 8247 - - 8409 - - 4644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10450 - - -12228 - - -12262 - - -10251 ODpotential blCL - - - 11613 - - 14190 - - 13630 - - 10375 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 49 - - 33 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 87.5 - - 90.0 - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 52.0 - - 53.8 - - 61.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 86.5 - - 90.3 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 50.6 - - 52.5 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 143 - - 5 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1057 - - 1855 - - 1261 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99378 31 110 29 103 33 109 33 105 99378 91883 29 118 22 105 32 110 25 109 91883 86095 28 112 23 117 21 102 29 098 86095 81274 23 108 22 116 16 126 20 074 81274 77147 17 105 21 110 22 126 10 107 77147 73527 12 112 16 102 21 119 17 138 73527 70242 15 126 9 141 13 106 15 108 70242 67213 10 126 10 157 5 088 11 093 67213 64408 8 127 9 160 3 209 5 085 64408 61698 3 191 6 180 5 186 3 254 61698 58885 3 263 5 240 7 284 5 280 58885 55983 11 270 12 281 12 274 11 273 55983 53226 9 290 13 263 15 280 13 269 53226 50749 14 313 12 295 17 270 13 282 50749 48531 20 311 18 300 18 280 17 279 48531 46508 22 303 19 301 17 293 16 272 46508 44644 25 313 22 307 19 307 15 302 44644 42924 25 318 21 307 17 299 17 295 42924 41328 22 329 20 325 13 330 9 295 41328 39833 26 336 24 333 21 355 10 354 39833 38428 26 334 25 335 23 359 15 016 38428 37074 24 339 24 332 23 002 18 024 37074 35697 22 337 21 335 24 007 19 028 35697 34265 23 325 20 341 24 012 20 034 34265 32777 23 314 21 341 18 358 19 029 32777 31217 20 299 22 342 17 345 17 011 31217 29574 20 306 17 327 19 352 18 001 29574 27846 18 311 19 311 14 345 15 011 27846 26032 13 302 18 314 14 320 9 346 26032 24134 14 302 13 310 15 317 12 323 24134 22152 13 294 9 305 10 318 11 331 22152 20083 9 283 8 281 6 298 5 330 20083 17924 6 285 5 255 4 281 1 248 17924 15721 4 252 3 225 3 176 6 165 15721 13595 9 210 4 199 6 152 11 153 13595 11660 12 186 11 177 11 159 14 158 11660 9942 6 192 9 176 10 171 12 167 9942 8417 3 197 5 189 3 251 6 165 8417 7062 2 236 2 333 9 327 8 023 7062 5860 3 143 5 331 8 311 6 315 5860 4796 5 085 4 298 6 278 7 275 4796 3859 5 053 3 250 6 233 8 248 3859 3032 5 025 3 218 8 209 10 233 3032 2293 7 020 4*190 9 189 12 223 2293 1641 5*014 5*174 11*165 14 215 1641 1098 3*009 5 166 11*155 15 204 1098 681 3 013 5 163 11 152 15 190 681 395 2 018 5 161 10 151 13 175 395 222 2 020 5 161 9 150 10*164 222 124 2 023 5 159 8 149 6*157 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography