DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/19 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0952z - - 1329z - - 1554z - - 1857z - - 2154z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 51.9 - - 53.0 - - 54.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - -5 - - -4 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 665 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 121 - - 121 - - 770 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2959 - - 2706 - - 2841 - - 2326 - - 1901 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 14 - - 14 - - 51 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 171 - - 185 - - 172 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -419 - - -342 - - -463 - - 65 - - -312 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 540 - - 463 - - 584 - - 705 - - 433 sfcLCL ODpotential -1027 - - -596 - - -712 - - -393 - - -1350 ODpotential blCL 1148 - - 717 - - 833 - - 1163 - - 1471 blCL maxRH 92 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 30 - - 50 - - 30 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 51.9 - - 53.0 - - 54.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.8 - - 50.2 - - 50.7 - - 51.3 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.2 - - 52.0 - - 53.2 - - 54.3 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.4 - - 49.9 - - 50.3 - - 50.8 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - -5 - - -4 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 665 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 101 - - 98 - - 100 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96553 14 319 7 327 7 253 14 296 18 323 96553 89285 5 015 6 066 7 276 12 350 9 011 89285 83684 8 047 9 079 1 198 5 007 11 350 83684 79056 8 348 7 012 8 066 4 024 3 015 79056 75066 4 324 7 328 10 006 7 004 5 324 75066 71530 7 298 9 293 7 323 10 312 10 337 71530 68322 4 302 8 286 12 295 18 307 17 327 68322 65357 16 298 18 286 22 287 25 295 26 292 65357 62604 21 300 18 287 33 287 34 291 30 285 62604 59932 27 309 23 290 38 281 37 290 31 291 59932 57121 41 297 34 287 39 285 44 297 38 302 57121 54177 49 289 38 293 43 292 51 293 50 294 54177 51367 51 296 48 301 48 293 52 294 51 290 51367 48845 57 300 56 299 54 293 59 296 48 294 48845 46578 60 293 60 296 62 295 64 292 50 293 46578 44516 60 292 67 297 74 296 68 296 59 291 44516 42636 70 294 80 295 85 293 91 297 89 291 42636 40913 75 291 88 290 90 288 99 288 107 283 40913 39327 73 287 89 287 85 289 89 285 101 276 39327 37857 72 287 83 286 87 293 95 289 92 280 37857 36483 72 289 79 290 92 295 106 291 102 287 36483 35162 73 292 80 294 103 297 115 293 115 289 35162 33818 76 293 83 297 111 298 121 294 124 290 33818 32422 77 292 83 296 113 298 126 295 126 290 32422 30978 69 290 79 292 108 299 127 296 121 289 30978 29473 56 283 70 283 94 299 122 297 117 289 29473 27898 52 275 60 274 74 293 100 298 109 290 27898 26252 53 277 55 271 65 283 69 290 97 287 26252 24527 47 286 51 280 58 284 62 281 91 287 24527 22722 32 278 40 292 41 292 57 286 82 292 22722 20843 26 253 23 282 27 276 36 286 53 283 20843 18889 28 247 22 257 29 263 29 271 47 274 18889 16858 28 244 22 240 27 262 30 270 40 269 16858 14789 29 237 21 239 22 269 26 266 34 262 14789 12791 30 224 23 238 17 265 24 254 32 263 12791 10967 32 212 23 235 15 255 21 251 27 260 10967 9348 37 200 19 243 17 247 15 249 20 252 9348 7913 42 187 19 244 19 238 12 246 14 246 7913 6638 45 179 23 223 21 236 17 246 11 249 6638 5507 46 176 29 199 24 234 20 238 11 257 5507 4506 46 175 31 185 26 229 19 228 13 258 4506 3625 44 176 35 178 26 221 17 221 15 253 3625 2848 40 178 35 177 23 212 15 208 15 242 2848 2154 33 179 34 175 21 204 14 190 16 229 2154 1543 26 176 31 175 19 199 14 184 16 218 1543 1034 19 171 27 174 17 196 13*180 15 212 1034 645 13 162 22 173 15 192 12*175 13 206 645 376 9 155 19 172 13 189 11 172 11 197 376 214 7 151 16*172 11 187 9 171 8 190 214 121 5*151 12*171 8*185 7 169 5*183 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography