DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 91.0 - - 93.1 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 235 - - 17 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 798 - - 2711 - - 5513 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1702 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 904 - - 2818 - - 5621 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 682 - - 3022 - - 2370 - - 258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 349 - - 199 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 167 - - 208 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -15 - - 14 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7596 - - -7606 - - -5877 - - -8900 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8500 - - 10424 - - 11498 - - 9024 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13892 - - -11317 - - -9626 - - -15298 ODpotential blCL - - - 14796 - - 14135 - - 15247 - - 15421 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 70 - - 86 - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 91.0 - - 93.1 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 45.7 - - 42.9 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 89.3 - - 92.9 - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 45.1 - - 42.1 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 235 - - 17 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 798 - - 2711 - - 5513 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98366 7 254 6 194 12 197 9 231 98366 90961 4 240 3 038 8 184 4 272 90961 85277 2 242 6 028 2 125 3 090 85277 80587 6 091 2 029 6 044 10 089 80587 76558 6 107 0 151 9 063 10 078 76558 72989 12 135 8 170 4 073 9 107 72989 69737 8 137 8 193 4 276 1 113 69737 66740 3 200 8 208 9 235 14 251 66740 63953 11 256 9 260 7 238 15 210 63953 61224 20 238 19 258 17 276 10 268 61224 58361 24 231 28 248 28 258 26 268 58361 55405 22 232 27 231 33 240 31 255 55405 52595 21 251 28 240 35 244 36 255 52595 50078 30 259 33 245 38 245 39 248 50078 47840 32 254 33 250 35 242 38 243 47840 45831 28 258 32 258 37 254 37 249 45831 44018 32 267 35 271 44 260 47 259 44018 42371 33 263 36 273 46 261 54 257 42371 40846 28 258 32 268 43 259 50 256 40846 39407 26 249 29 258 41 256 46 252 39407 38041 27 249 29 253 38 252 45 253 38041 36710 27 251 30 245 36 250 43 251 36710 35349 26 249 31 246 34 248 41 247 35349 33930 25 241 31 245 33 246 39 247 33930 32455 26 238 28 240 32 246 35 244 32455 30909 26 245 26 239 31 248 33 240 30909 29279 25 246 26 234 31 245 34 242 29279 27565 27 236 28 228 32 238 36 243 27565 25764 28 231 31 229 33 232 37 241 25764 23883 25 229 29 230 31 236 35 238 23883 21928 23 230 27 225 28 235 32 235 21928 19889 22 224 26 217 28 227 32 233 19889 17757 22 217 27 212 28 219 32 227 17757 15582 21 214 26 212 29 218 30 225 15582 13484 20 220 24 218 28 222 27 226 13484 11573 19 219 22 218 25 222 25 217 11573 9870 20 209 22 221 22 225 24 214 9870 8356 20 207 23 228 17 232 20 217 8356 7009 19 208 21 236 11 235 17 216 7009 5813 17 206 17 236 11*231 14 208 5813 4755 14 206 15 232 11*225 11 199 4755 3824 11 208 14 225 11 217 9 208 3824 3003 7 206 11*208 11 211 10 228 3003 2270 4 203 9*189 11 205 12 246 2270 1623 1 005 8 168 11 202 14 264 1623 1085 3*359 8 164 11 200 18 273 1085 674 3*003 8 161 11 198 19 270 674 392 3 005 8 159 10 196 15 259 392 220 2 008 7 158 10 195 11*248 220 123 2 012 7 157 8 193 6*234 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography