DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 74.1 - - 76.8 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 264 - - 50 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1585 - - 2786 - - 2564 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 834 - - 1797 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1691 - - 2892 - - 2670 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 623 - - 2437 - - 3578 - - 386 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 365 - - 205 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 35 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 197 - - 152 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -11 - - -13 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1417 - - -2900 - - -5296 - - -4222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3108 - - 5793 - - 7967 - - 4345 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7102 - - -6577 - - -10074 - - -10296 ODpotential blCL - - - 8793 - - 9469 - - 12744 - - 10418 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 54 - - 50 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 74.1 - - 76.8 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.7 - - 48.9 - - 42.0 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 72.5 - - 76.3 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 48.6 - - 41.7 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 264 - - 50 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1585 - - 2786 - - 2564 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97908 5 242 7 254 5 250 10 276 97908 90615 6 182 1 203 5 191 4 250 90615 84953 8 205 2 343 2 037 3 157 84953 80251 2 216 2 177 4 332 8 025 80251 76226 4 040 5 004 5 332 6 355 76226 72683 5 006 5 313 7 322 2 272 72683 69472 8 353 7 289 14 319 12 360 69472 66523 9 351 4 336 5 264 7 314 66523 63787 10 010 8 032 4 010 3 285 63787 61140 12 338 10 339 11 299 13 295 61140 58388 8 293 12 255 11 279 13 305 58388 55524 17 318 16 304 20 301 22 314 55524 52780 33 308 27 302 28 300 28 295 52780 50308 44 304 31 305 32 305 30 289 50308 48082 54 304 43 312 43 308 39 301 48082 46048 59 298 52 302 53 299 52 299 46048 44168 57 294 53 292 56 292 56 294 44168 42417 53 297 52 289 57 288 55 288 42417 40772 56 302 53 291 54 286 53 284 40772 39218 61 301 55 294 53 290 51 285 39218 37747 65 299 57 294 53 294 49 290 37747 36320 64 297 57 292 53 295 49 294 36320 34871 58 295 53 291 50 291 48 294 34871 33376 49 289 47 288 43 288 44 291 33376 31844 42 280 43 279 37 284 38 287 31844 30259 41 270 41 267 34 275 35 281 30259 28608 44 262 43 259 33 271 30 271 28608 26897 45 255 43 256 31 268 22 284 26897 25120 45 250 43 253 31 259 20 300 25120 23269 45 248 38 252 30 259 17 308 23269 21346 43 249 32 250 27 259 15 294 21346 19349 36 254 27 257 21 263 16 269 19349 17271 29 258 23 259 21 262 20 256 17271 15147 26 256 22 252 23 257 21 248 15147 13093 25 246 21 247 20 252 21 242 13093 11226 26 240 19 243 15 245 17 229 11226 9572 26 238 16 245 10 245 12 215 9572 8105 23 237 14 245 7 249 9 199 8105 6801 18 227 13 244 8 256 6 185 6801 5646 13 208 11 247 10 251 4 196 5646 4624 6 203 8 258 9 243 5 186 4624 3722 4 334 4 250 7 217 7 182 3722 2926 7 337 3*221 7*183 9 183 2926 2214 8*335 2*211 8*159 10 190 2214 1585 6*343 2 201 8 152 12 197 1585 1060 4 353 2 194 8 150 15 192 1060 659 4 356 2 191 8 150 17 179 659 384 4 357 2 187 8 150 15 169 384 217 4 357 2 187 8 149 12 164 217 122 3 356 1 185 7 149 6*158 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography