DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 90.8 - - 93.4 - - 84.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 126 - - -12 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 928 - - 1278 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 457 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1034 - - 1385 - - 124 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 379 - - 1123 - - 2609 - - 191 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 234 - - 29 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 050 - - 141 - - 132 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3157 - - -6486 - - -8043 - - -4133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4192 - - 7871 - - 8167 - - 4257 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11983 - - -12788 - - -13301 - - -11334 ODpotential blCL - - - 13017 - - 14173 - - 13425 - - 11458 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 33 - - 27 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 90.8 - - 93.4 - - 84.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.6 - - 57.2 - - 58.5 - - 66.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 89.9 - - 93.8 - - 88.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 55.9 - - 57.2 - - 65.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 126 - - -12 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 928 - - 1278 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99449 37 107 31 109 22 107 28 095 99449 91960 32 121 26 119 28 115 27 096 91960 86187 34 113 27 111 31 108 27 120 86187 81401 32 103 26 103 27 095 29 121 81401 77271 26 108 23 107 23 108 24 099 77271 73636 21 114 22 115 18 108 15 098 73636 70357 15 107 19 122 12 101 11 107 70357 67333 7 107 16 126 8 115 8 105 67333 64529 11 173 12 150 9 148 5 105 64529 61820 18 157 15 180 10 181 5 137 61820 59023 13 147 14 182 13 207 6 233 59023 56176 11 196 11 224 15 226 11 239 56176 53490 14 211 17 228 20 229 15 240 53490 51082 14 232 14 228 20 226 20 228 51082 48923 17 248 19 232 21 230 23 221 48923 46950 25 252 24 237 25 238 25 227 46950 45128 30 256 29 240 30 242 29 234 45128 43433 31 252 31 241 31 246 30 241 43433 41845 31 250 33 244 31 251 31 246 41845 40347 31 252 33 247 33 254 31 247 40347 38930 30 252 35 249 33 252 32 245 38930 37555 29 250 35 251 32 248 32 242 37555 36154 30 250 33 250 31 245 29 241 36154 34695 30 249 31 249 28 244 26 240 34695 33179 27 245 28 248 26 240 25 236 33179 31592 23 241 24 242 23 234 24 234 31592 29920 21 241 21 238 21 229 22 235 29920 28167 15 235 18 227 20 224 18 228 28167 26330 12 205 17 209 19 217 16 218 26330 24410 13 185 17 198 18 210 16 216 24410 22411 14 161 17 197 16 212 18 228 22411 20331 12 160 15 203 15 218 25 230 20331 18163 10 197 13 217 15 219 29 234 18163 15943 12 212 15 220 15 222 25 241 15943 13795 15 202 18 213 15 225 18 242 13795 11836 15 214 17 217 14 229 14 237 11836 10090 17 219 17 223 13 233 12 233 10090 8537 17 219 16 222 12 233 10 228 8537 7158 16 211 15 217 10 228 7 222 7158 5935 15 195 14 210 9 226 4 215 5935 4855 15 181 13 205 9 227 3 217 4855 3905 10 176 11 208 11 221 3 226 3905 3067 6 198 10 217 11 209 6 217 3067 2319 3 207 8 214 11 191 8 206 2319 1659 2 009 5*182 11 167 10 201 1659 1110 1*028 4*149 11 143 12 190 1110 688 2*049 4 143 10 136 13 174 688 399 2 049 4 138 10 134 12 159 399 224 2 050 4 136 9 133 10*151 224 124 1 054 4 135 7*132 5*147 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography