DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 66.5 - - 75.8 - - 77.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 126 - - 239 - - 81 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1240 - - 4110 - - 3674 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 2755 - - 1785 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1346 - - 4216 - - 3780 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 99 - - 843 - - 1762 - - 2240 - - 372 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 221 - - 405 - - 276 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 14 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 329 - - 006 - - 008 - - 349 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 4 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1043 - - -3109 - - -2191 - - -2690 - - -3935 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1164 - - 4455 - - 6407 - - 6470 - - 4057 sfcLCL ODpotential -9756 - - -8602 - - -5485 - - -6446 - - -9911 ODpotential blCL 9877 - - 9948 - - 9701 - - 10226 - - 10033 blCL maxRH 63 - - 58 - - 66 - - 70 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 66.5 - - 75.8 - - 77.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 47.7 - - 48.3 - - 49.5 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 65.6 - - 74.3 - - 76.5 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.2 - - 46.8 - - 47.5 - - 48.9 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 126 - - 239 - - 81 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1240 - - 4110 - - 3674 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96302 12 043 10 067 2 109 10 235 6 260 96302 89191 14 043 12 087 3 159 2 311 9 064 89191 83695 14 042 12 069 4 102 9 028 14 040 83695 79150 9 342 10 038 7 015 9 024 12 048 79150 75228 11 343 15 025 15 360 14 034 17 015 75228 71767 17 356 18 010 18 338 23 358 22 005 71767 68636 28 325 14 346 22 328 28 331 23 347 68636 65748 24 324 12 330 17 317 22 329 29 343 65748 63068 25 321 27 336 25 331 33 329 37 339 63068 60469 33 313 36 319 32 326 39 323 39 330 60469 57745 41 306 40 319 33 316 38 320 40 324 57745 54900 50 306 45 311 42 314 47 317 43 323 54900 52175 57 300 53 306 58 308 56 312 51 325 52175 49719 60 300 61 302 66 302 60 311 54 324 49719 47528 62 298 60 296 62 300 59 315 65 334 47528 45577 59 292 55 300 62 316 80 332 85 328 45577 43822 52 295 62 320 73 322 83 322 67 318 43822 42202 56 320 73 323 66 326 64 320 52 339 42202 40679 68 325 67 321 70 349 54 343 57 354 40679 39238 70 324 57 336 82 360 79 006 63 004 39238 37871 63 323 67 358 90 001 86 006 70 008 37871 36544 54 327 77 004 91 359 86 359 71 004 36544 35191 58 346 85 002 87 357 85 348 79 357 35191 33780 78 003 85 359 85 354 81 342 79 349 33780 32311 87 004 75 355 81 354 74 339 76 339 32311 30773 79 001 65 347 75 353 68 338 70 336 30773 29155 66 356 61 337 65 346 65 335 62 333 29155 27454 59 346 60 332 59 336 65 332 60 329 27454 25659 61 340 58 328 59 328 64 331 62 331 25659 23775 59 333 58 328 57 326 59 329 59 331 23775 21808 48 316 55 331 53 325 55 324 53 326 21808 19754 47 309 46 332 48 323 53 322 49 324 19754 17608 43 308 38 323 43 321 48 325 45 328 17608 15419 38 309 34 311 39 321 41 331 40 336 15419 13311 35 307 33 311 35 322 33 333 34 346 13311 11399 32 304 32 313 31 326 28 337 28 351 11399 9707 28 304 30 314 26 332 24 343 22 354 9707 8208 25 309 24 321 21 339 21 349 19 358 8208 6881 21 316 17 339 18 350 18 348 17 001 6881 5706 16 324 15 358 17 001 14 336 17 353 5706 4669 11 335 13 005 16*007 11*333 14 340 4669 3755 7 358 10 008 15*009 10*341 14 341 3755 2950 9 025 15 011 15 009 10 347 16 353 2950 2232 12 025 17 012 15 008 9 350 17 001 2232 1598 12 021 15*012 14 007 9 351 17 004 1598 1070 10 008 8*007 14 008 9 352 16 005 1070 665 9 347 8 006 13 007 9 353 14 003 665 387 10 340 7 006 12 006 9 353 11 358 387 218 8 330 7 006 12 006 8 353 8 349 218 122 5*329 6 006 10 006 7 353 5*339 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography