DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 67.5 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 159 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1100 - - 2818 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 1641 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1206 - - 2924 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1135 - - 2160 - - - - - 299 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 187 - - 318 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 21 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 007 - - - - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4625 - - -4522 - - - - - -3036 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5831 - - 7447 - - - - - 3158 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11809 - - -12445 - - - - - -7934 ODpotential blCL - - - 13015 - - 15369 - - - - - 8056 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 50 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 67.5 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 35.5 - - - - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 66.7 - - - - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 34.5 - - - - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 159 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1100 - - 2818 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 19 322 17 305 13 339 96264 89216 11 349 10 352 11 349 89216 83749 8 323 8 336 7 331 83749 79198 4 016 7 303 12 347 79198 75269 9 003 8 252 14 332 75269 71786 17 333 7 299 10 331 71786 68618 13 319 7 304 7 328 68618 65683 13 323 9 329 8 332 65683 62942 19 328 10 322 13 351 62942 60272 20 328 9 329 13 314 60272 57479 18 340 11 316 15 352 57479 54580 16 355 16 343 23 016 54580 51811 23 004 25 349 28 028 51811 49325 32 009 32 016 56 033 49325 47139 40 010 54 016 68 019 47139 45207 49 011 63 017 67 023 45207 43461 56 017 76 024 79 038 43461 41852 73 023 87 022 94 043 41852 40344 80 023 83 021 102 042 40344 38919 78 030 83 030 105 040 38919 37568 89 040 89 036 102 039 37568 36253 99 040 94 037 96 038 36253 34907 96 037 94 034 88 038 34907 33502 93 033 92 030 80 036 33502 32044 94 033 89 026 76 032 32044 30515 89 031 87 028 73 028 30515 28903 80 026 83 031 71 028 28903 27204 77 022 78 029 70 030 27204 25416 73 023 70 023 66 029 25416 23541 63 020 65 020 58 024 23541 21582 52 014 62 021 53 023 21582 19537 42 016 59 026 52 027 19537 17406 34 004 56 025 51 030 17406 15239 32 350 53 019 46 033 15239 13155 29 001 47 019 40 038 13155 11263 31 023 40 029 36 042 11263 9585 33 040 35 041 30 044 9585 8103 27 046 28 049 25 046 8103 6791 19 048 23 052 23 046 6791 5630 19 050 22 052 21 045 5630 4605 21 052 20 047 20 036 4605 3703 20 039 19*035 21 021 3703 2908 20 019 20*017 25 016 2908 2198 25 006 22 008 30 016 2198 1572 26*001 22 006 32 010 1572 1052 25*359 22 005 28 004 1052 654 23 358 21 004 22 358 654 381 22 358 20 003 16 349 381 216 19 358 18 003 12*343 216 122 15 357 15 002 6*335 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography