DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/16 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.9 - - 65.5 - - 75.2 - - 75.4 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 238 - - 319 - - 132 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 319 - - 1624 - - 2844 - - 3070 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 927 - - 1915 - - 1704 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 424 - - 1729 - - 2950 - - 3177 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 724 - - 669 - - 1198 - - 1799 - - 1384 Hgt.Variab. W* 92 - - 297 - - 395 - - 304 - - 10 W* B/S 10 - - 35 - - 19 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 358 - - 163 - - 164 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -7 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -803 - - -1768 - - -2940 - - -2060 - - -2345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1227 - - 3498 - - 5890 - - 5238 - - 2467 sfcLCL ODpotential -8740 - - -7415 - - -6450 - - -5114 - - -7734 ODpotential blCL 9164 - - 9144 - - 9400 - - 8291 - - 7856 blCL maxRH 91 - - 73 - - 66 - - 79 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 110 - - 490 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m 53.9 - - 65.5 - - 75.2 - - 75.4 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.1 - - 50.7 - - 49.8 - - 52.8 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 64.0 - - 73.2 - - 74.4 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.9 - - 49.9 - - 48.8 - - 52.2 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 238 - - 319 - - 132 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 319 - - 1624 - - 2844 - - 3070 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97172 5 027 3 130 5 229 8 323 3 033 97172 89863 6 093 3 161 2 140 1 160 6 102 89863 84257 10 093 4 145 1 358 3 201 5 061 84257 79574 7 048 5 070 3 066 4 189 5 351 79574 75529 7 013 4 036 3 090 3 155 4 270 75529 71955 5 326 4 003 2 187 2 265 4 289 71955 68716 5 267 3 313 5 259 8 285 8 317 68716 65736 8 253 8 272 10 280 13 267 11 314 65736 62966 11 257 12 264 14 286 15 269 14 297 62966 60265 13 272 12 257 15 274 16 271 13 292 60265 57432 13 269 12 259 13 265 14 265 15 290 57432 54492 12 271 10 262 9 267 13 286 14 294 54492 51694 12 273 8 271 7 287 13 308 11 291 51694 49184 9 268 7 278 7 320 11 325 7 314 49184 46944 6 315 3 356 7 354 9 336 18 350 46944 44923 9 344 7 048 6 022 8 001 16 340 44923 43086 6 347 12 037 11 037 14 028 21 025 43086 41415 4 024 18 026 17 047 24 044 41 049 41415 39873 8 047 21 033 27 046 37 043 55 045 39873 38422 13 047 26 041 36 043 43 043 54 040 38422 37056 20 059 30 038 39 039 47 043 60 040 37056 35741 25 061 27 036 33 036 50 041 79 038 35741 34412 25 061 19 047 26 043 51 039 83 034 34412 33036 25 060 16 060 22 050 45 036 80 035 33036 31606 22 067 17 055 22 052 32 033 73 040 31606 30106 18 091 16 055 20 047 27 040 56 039 30106 28523 16 101 14 049 16 045 28 041 42 032 28523 26860 10 079 15 035 15 055 26 040 36 034 26860 25117 13 020 15 028 16 066 20 041 27 035 25117 23294 10 014 7 011 16 057 14 053 19 025 23294 21395 3 019 4 275 11 035 10 060 16 022 21395 19412 2 318 9 240 5 285 8 036 15 025 19412 17340 6 295 13 243 10 256 10 020 11 025 17340 15221 9 286 11 255 9 265 11 004 10 020 15221 13171 2 230 5 243 7 275 10 354 10 355 13171 11299 8 140 4 304 4 303 10 348 12 350 11299 9629 7 048 6 339 5 349 11 346 12 353 9629 8141 11 052 5 020 4 023 11 353 11 351 8141 6819 14 036 7 031 7 010 12 354 13 351 6819 5648 16 035 9 019 10 352 10 328 12 357 5648 4615 14 041 8 024 8 335 9 296 4 005 4615 3709 9 029 7 018 5*303 4*244 4 192 3709 2912 8 024 4 012 3*204 5*181 8 194 2912 2201 8 003 2*303 3 179 8 166 9 221 2201 1575 10 357 2*330 4 162 8 163 14 234 1575 1054 6 012 2 351 4 155 9 162 16 225 1054 656 2*092 1 003 4 152 8 162 15 211 656 382 2*097 1 017 4 149 8 162 13 196 382 217 2 100 1 018 4 149 8 161 11 187 217 122 2 095 1 022 4 148 7 161 8*180 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography