DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 55.6 - - 67.4 - - 66.6 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 13 - - 61 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 111 - - 1047 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 216 - - 1153 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 69 - - 502 - - 881 - - 1902 - - 176 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 52 - - 171 - - 16 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 14 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 347 - - 353 - - 343 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2021 - - -4139 - - -4506 - - -4185 - - -2054 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2142 - - 4355 - - 5659 - - 4308 - - 2176 sfcLCL ODpotential -13624 - - -13547 - - -11446 - - -9492 - - -10594 ODpotential blCL 13745 - - 13763 - - 12599 - - 9614 - - 10716 blCL maxRH 47 - - 46 - - 38 - - 44 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 55.6 - - 67.4 - - 66.6 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.1 - - 37.7 - - 43.5 - - 48.6 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.5 - - 55.9 - - 67.5 - - 67.9 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.6 - - 36.8 - - 42.6 - - 47.7 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 13 - - 61 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 111 - - 1047 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95830 43 296 26 316 32 294 36 314 22 304 95830 88873 25 320 20 310 23 318 25 326 19 317 88873 83527 13 331 20 319 21 336 19 308 19 319 83527 79068 17 343 13 324 17 326 15 307 14 318 79068 75163 17 326 10 300 18 313 13 306 17 314 75163 71687 13 312 8 296 19 305 16 312 25 311 71687 68565 16 287 10 305 18 300 16 302 23 297 68565 65693 22 301 15 300 14 294 12 292 15 279 65693 62995 36 282 22 297 21 309 20 300 20 307 62995 60351 42 265 30 296 28 294 29 293 25 316 60351 57581 35 283 32 295 31 286 37 291 37 301 57581 54697 46 288 38 286 38 277 40 279 38 294 54697 51931 54 271 42 273 40 273 37 284 40 298 51931 49433 53 252 44 264 41 276 38 297 38 299 49433 47204 43 262 41 271 42 284 37 305 33 306 47204 45194 49 289 37 282 42 286 37 312 28 324 45194 43365 56 291 40 290 36 289 35 317 39 340 43365 41685 43 283 38 290 32 293 33 327 36 337 41685 40138 31 266 32 293 24 305 29 317 26 339 40138 38717 20 311 24 310 23 317 23 317 29 350 38717 37390 29 340 18 330 25 326 21 333 29 349 37390 36102 29 337 14 349 18 312 24 331 25 347 36102 34786 26 333 16 343 10 316 23 320 21 349 34786 33415 25 337 22 335 14 332 16 313 18 347 33415 31991 19 338 24 325 21 331 17 331 15 332 31991 30497 13 349 24 322 26 328 21 329 9 310 30497 28918 10 004 24 328 25 327 24 325 11 335 28918 27251 16 013 21 333 21 334 22 326 16 346 27251 25496 21 024 15 337 18 333 18 335 18 343 25496 23651 14 012 8 355 10 318 13 338 16 338 23651 21721 15 351 8 011 5 309 8 313 10 346 21721 19701 18 359 14 017 6 001 2 326 3 284 19701 17584 10 014 14 047 5 090 6 173 10 204 17584 15412 1 296 6 124 9 181 11 206 9 243 15412 13314 3 267 6 244 8 268 8 271 6 327 13314 11403 6 285 10 297 11 325 9 348 8 006 11403 9704 7 306 9 326 10 356 9 035 7 042 9704 8198 7 336 8 003 8 027 7 073 5 072 8198 6862 8 003 7 036 5 043 5 089 4 081 6862 5679 9 015 7 047 5 038 4 067 3 057 5679 4636 13 014 8 036 7 024 5 045 8 039 4636 3722 16 010 13 021 10 021 7 031 11 029 3722 2919 19 010 17 013 13 014 12 007 15 008 2919 2205 23 008 20 008 18 005 17 359 17 013 2205 1577 26 006 25 005 19*359 18 355 17 014 1577 1055 26 005 25 004 16*354 15 351 9 360 1055 656 20 001 19 360 15 353 14 349 5 336 656 382 12 348 12*352 13 352 12 346 4 318 382 216 8*332 8*348 12 351 10 344 5*294 216 122 6*327 7 347 9 351 7*343 5*291 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography