DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 85.8 - - 89.4 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 169 - - 22 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1173 - - 1796 - - 1237 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 562 - - 973 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1279 - - 1903 - - 1345 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 545 - - 856 - - 1586 - - 420 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 255 - - 286 - - 157 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 14 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 152 - - 139 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2172 - - -3460 - - -4787 - - -3477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3452 - - 5363 - - 6132 - - 3601 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11056 - - -10047 - - -10565 - - -10343 ODpotential blCL - - - 12335 - - 11950 - - 11910 - - 10467 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 50 - - 40 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 440 - - 750 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 85.8 - - 89.4 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.7 - - 62.8 - - 63.0 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 84.7 - - 89.4 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 61.4 - - 61.7 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 169 - - 22 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1173 - - 1796 - - 1237 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98826 25 121 28 100 29 114 25 107 98826 91310 22 116 24 109 21 110 24 100 91310 85532 26 115 18 124 19 102 24 092 85532 80765 24 107 17 125 17 100 24 094 80765 76674 19 100 18 123 15 103 20 095 76674 73075 18 101 17 122 13 117 13 096 73075 69833 15 098 16 112 15 128 9 119 69833 66863 11 093 9 097 12 114 8 116 66863 64123 6 113 4 140 7 082 8 079 64123 61476 6 138 4 194 1 276 6 016 61476 58720 2 090 2 148 5 246 6 284 58720 55873 4 269 2 261 9 263 12 265 55873 53162 10 272 11 270 15 268 17 262 53162 50717 16 272 18 266 19 263 22 260 50717 48515 19 276 20 265 21 263 23 260 48515 46508 20 275 18 261 22 269 24 265 46508 44665 16 261 16 260 25 271 23 269 44665 42953 14 200 14 225 23 269 24 264 42953 41352 28 151 23 167 15 230 21 259 41352 39852 31 138 27 133 22 170 13 235 39852 38449 30 134 28 124 30 141 18 169 38449 37101 28 134 27 123 29 138 27 149 37101 35729 26 125 26 127 28 139 28 150 35729 34298 26 121 26 128 27 142 25 157 34298 32811 24 130 24 130 24 143 24 162 32811 31253 20 132 19 130 18 135 24 159 31253 29612 18 127 15 123 15 126 21 151 29612 27891 17 118 14 119 14 133 18 147 27891 26084 14 108 15 121 14 140 16 148 26084 24191 12 106 14 121 14 135 14 145 24191 22213 12 123 15 126 14 131 14 135 22213 20150 13 126 15 136 13 135 14 141 20150 17997 7 178 11 159 10 157 10 160 17997 15797 15 222 11 210 9 203 8 182 15797 13673 14 240 12 225 9 219 9 202 13673 11734 11 272 11 258 11 264 10 254 11734 10007 11 293 12 281 11 293 10 293 10007 8472 7 282 9 294 9 315 9 320 8472 7106 4 199 6 246 4 313 5 357 7106 5894 5 119 6 207 3 288 4 021 5894 4820 7 114 7 180 4 279 4 353 4820 3875 6 149 5 206 8 244 5 292 3875 3042 3 150 5 225 9 224 7 252 3042 2300 2 356 4*197 8 194 8 222 2300 1645 2*019 4*167 9*158 10 214 1645 1100 2*051 4 156 10*142 13 205 1100 683 2 057 4 150 10 140 14 189 683 396 2 058 4 144 9 138 13 175 396 223 2 061 4 145 9 138 10*165 223 124 2 062 3 142 7 136 6*157 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography