DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/24 Williams 110ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1003z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1855z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.9 - - 79.9 - - 89.2 - - 91.3 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 161 - - 225 - - 53 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1155 - - 2618 - - 2315 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 108 - - 416 - - 1624 - - 110 - - 110 Hcrit BL Top 125 - - 1265 - - 2728 - - 2425 - - 126 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 1143 - - 2381 - - 3163 - - 77 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 233 - - 341 - - 204 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 000 - - 360 - - 017 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -10 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7258 - - -10122 - - -10639 - - -11959 - - -9994 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7383 - - 11387 - - 13368 - - 14385 - - 10120 sfcLCL ODpotential -20835 - - -19352 - - -17987 - - -19399 - - -20204 ODpotential blCL 20960 - - 20617 - - 20715 - - 21824 - - 20330 blCL maxRH 21 - - 16 - - 18 - - 17 - - 11 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.9 - - 79.9 - - 89.2 - - 91.3 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 30.9 - - 30.8 - - 28.3 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 79.0 - - 88.0 - - 91.0 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.3 - - 29.3 - - 29.1 - - 25.5 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 161 - - 225 - - 53 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1155 - - 2618 - - 2315 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98257 9 290 10 315 3 300 9 237 8 306 98257 90856 3 333 4 322 3 282 4 238 7 318 90856 85147 3 036 0 153 7 281 5 302 6 313 85147 80420 6 340 1 244 9 266 10 305 7 296 80420 76355 12 317 5 309 12 277 13 313 9 299 76355 72770 14 309 9 307 15 273 16 313 11 305 72770 69532 16 307 13 311 15 272 17 302 13 310 69532 66561 19 306 17 312 14 281 18 289 16 312 66561 63812 20 306 20 306 16 284 20 284 19 310 63812 61158 23 305 22 299 18 288 23 282 22 305 61158 58395 26 301 25 294 21 290 24 279 24 302 58395 55528 30 293 26 288 23 288 25 281 24 297 55528 52794 32 286 27 284 24 288 24 284 22 297 52794 50334 30 281 24 283 22 291 20 294 17 297 50334 48133 27 280 20 289 18 294 19 294 11 317 48133 46140 21 283 15 310 13 331 13 328 14 342 46140 44319 12 278 12 306 13 341 13 322 16 343 44319 42640 4 013 5 311 7 343 11 347 14 341 42640 41075 14 020 12 014 16 016 16 006 13 351 41075 39605 14 356 17 003 21 009 18 006 16 356 39605 38218 10 325 16 342 19 358 17 354 18 355 38218 36873 7 311 12 322 17 337 17 342 20 002 36873 35503 8 333 10 313 15 316 20 341 24 011 35503 34077 11 352 9 319 15 308 22 345 25 016 34077 32598 16 355 11 322 15 308 20 348 24 023 32598 31049 16 349 12 320 16 311 18 351 19 024 31049 29419 12 339 13 319 15 317 17 359 16 036 29419 27705 9 328 14 326 14 333 16 008 22 048 27705 25906 11 337 14 342 14 354 15 013 28 047 25906 24018 12 348 15 000 16 003 15 017 25 043 24018 22046 11 354 15 013 15 006 15 021 20 038 22046 19986 11 357 14 020 13 008 14 023 16 046 19986 17834 12 002 11 025 8 006 10 019 10 053 17834 15635 11 007 10 034 7 015 8 016 8 054 15635 13513 9 011 10 024 8 031 8 038 9 082 13513 11585 7 021 9 018 8 039 7 065 10 117 11585 9874 6 039 8 025 8 036 6 066 11 118 9874 8355 8 038 8 035 7 032 7 051 9 109 8355 7007 8 034 11 033 7 034 6 032 7 093 7007 5811 10 040 11 034 8 025 5 014 6 068 5811 4754 10 038 11 037 8 021 6 009 6 051 4754 3824 11 032 11 029 7 017 6 009 6 037 3824 3005 12 023 13 017 6*013 6*009 6 024 3005 2274 13 010 14 005 7*004 5*013 6 016 2274 1629 18 005 16*001 7 001 5 015 5 017 1629 1091 26 006 16*000 6 359 5 018 5 023 1091 679 25 003 15 000 6 358 5 019 4 028 679 396 16 347 13 001 5 358 4 021 3 029 396 224 10*329 11 001 5 357 4 020 2*015 224 126 6*322 9 360 5 357 4 019 2*001 126 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography