DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 54.9 - - 52.3 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -20 - - -2 - - -32 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 554 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 658 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 700 - - 1120 - - 1081 - - 288 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 83 - - 16 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 17 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 354 - - 351 - - 357 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2050 - - -1527 - - -1046 - - -979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2172 - - 2185 - - 1167 - - 1100 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9857 - - -7717 - - -5444 - - -8164 ODpotential blCL - - - 9978 - - 8375 - - 5565 - - 8285 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 65 - - 71 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 54.9 - - 52.3 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.5 - - 46.1 - - 48.0 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 55.1 - - 53.8 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 44.9 - - 46.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -20 - - -2 - - -32 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 554 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96524 30 100 23 042 29 053 29 053 96524 89447 18 095 15 063 17 050 11 043 89447 83967 19 048 15 063 10 065 4 062 83967 79356 13 031 10 015 13 026 12 045 79356 75351 13 051 5 353 12 360 17 038 75351 71805 14 021 9 027 7 034 14 033 71805 68595 13 348 8 006 7 025 11 024 68595 65634 17 338 7 017 10 043 9 033 65634 62881 13 314 14 355 22 002 20 011 62881 60223 8 004 15 337 25 344 19 010 60223 57445 17 014 9 344 17 350 18 002 57445 54556 22 358 18 360 20 360 18 347 54556 51806 20 350 20 342 15 347 9 330 51806 49325 20 016 11 344 21 016 17 027 49325 47112 29 011 28 002 30 357 24 352 47112 45135 47 013 31 007 22 327 18 327 45135 43326 43 011 34 028 6 010 12 014 43326 41665 44 026 44 032 62 021 67 040 41665 40145 56 037 68 024 89 019 89 036 40145 38723 73 031 97 017 95 025 88 033 38723 37373 87 026 115 017 107 034 87 039 37373 36060 90 027 113 017 116 036 93 046 36060 34723 90 028 94 014 118 036 96 044 34723 33329 90 029 85 023 107 034 100 044 33329 31877 89 029 81 031 88 034 93 044 31877 30354 87 029 77 036 77 042 78 042 30354 28751 84 031 65 041 72 045 70 045 28751 27069 79 032 65 036 62 044 66 048 27069 25306 73 032 71 030 58 045 62 049 25306 23455 59 032 70 034 60 045 60 055 23455 21517 31 020 66 042 63 046 59 067 21517 19487 29 359 56 051 61 049 56 071 19487 17360 33 357 39 050 54 057 54 072 17360 15182 32 358 31 038 39 060 46 076 15182 13086 27 357 27 034 31 062 29 076 13086 11188 22 001 23 035 24 060 22 077 11188 9514 16 011 18 042 17 063 22 074 9514 8036 17 023 17 049 14 068 19 075 8036 6729 14 041 18 056 14 063 16 060 6729 5572 17 053 19 055 14 062 16 052 5572 4550 19 048 18 045 13 064 15 058 4550 3653 17 046 17 038 15 059 16 055 3653 2864 16 043 16 032 19 041 21 052 2864 2162 18 028 17 016 24 016 25 043 2162 1544 25 008 22 359 31 006 29 027 1544 1031 30 003 22*353 28 004 34 014 1031 640 25 360 21*352 23 003 31 008 640 373 17 355 18 351 16 001 21 360 373 212 14*354 15 351 13 359 17*357 212 121 9*354 11 350 7*357 9*354 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography