DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 87.3 - - - - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 191 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1180 - - 2335 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 505 - - 1379 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1286 - - 2442 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 837 - - 2295 - - - - - 400 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 318 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 21 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 026 - - 141 - - - - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -14 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3601 - - -5357 - - - - - -5096 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4887 - - 7800 - - - - - 5221 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9983 - - -10205 - - - - - -10272 ODpotential blCL - - - 11269 - - 12647 - - - - - 10396 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 47 - - - - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 87.3 - - - - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 53.8 - - - - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 86.0 - - - - - 85.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 52.7 - - - - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 191 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1180 - - 2335 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99423 38 102 32 102 33 096 99423 91947 30 110 21 095 27 103 91947 86190 20 113 21 112 21 099 86190 81400 20 104 20 112 12 086 81400 77262 23 106 15 117 13 074 77262 73603 17 081 12 117 14 073 73603 70296 4 114 9 125 12 075 70296 67263 9 112 5 147 10 058 67263 64455 6 121 5 173 4 065 64455 61733 9 176 11 197 4 256 61733 58891 8 189 14 197 14 209 58891 55937 21 238 15 225 17 218 55937 53116 33 232 28 234 27 235 53116 50585 33 229 37 221 36 240 50585 48335 32 233 40 228 63 239 48335 46319 32 239 41 232 68 232 46319 44495 39 244 50 236 68 235 44495 42833 44 246 51 232 69 238 42833 41294 45 247 49 236 74 244 41294 39844 45 244 49 239 73 242 39844 38466 45 243 50 237 64 237 38466 37123 42 241 48 235 61 233 37123 35749 39 239 44 237 59 227 35749 34313 37 237 41 239 56 228 34313 32818 35 238 38 236 55 231 32818 31250 34 238 35 230 54 232 31250 29596 33 239 33 230 54 230 29596 27859 32 239 33 229 50 225 27859 26038 29 240 32 224 43 222 26038 24134 26 240 29 222 36 225 24134 22147 22 237 25 223 32 227 22147 20076 17 225 23 220 26 212 20076 17917 17 211 21 215 22 204 17917 15712 13 201 18 204 17 194 15712 13586 9 181 16 186 18 182 13586 11653 9 181 12 187 17 181 11653 9937 13 195 13 192 12 181 9937 8414 15 192 15 193 7 181 8414 7062 13 192 13 196 1 203 7062 5860 11 193 10 206 3 291 5860 4797 8 179 7 215 6 256 4797 3860 5 171 5 215 8 238 3860 3034 1 118 3*207 9 225 3034 2294 4 049 2*170 9 211 2294 1642 3*024 3 145 9 196 1642 1098 2*022 3 140 9 178 1098 682 2 023 3 134 9 162 682 396 2 028 3 132 8 151 396 222 2 032 3 131 6*148 222 124 2 031 3 131 4*148 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography