DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 74.2 - - - - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 285 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2029 - - 3442 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1183 - - 2324 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2134 - - 3548 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 954 - - 1313 - - - - - 265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 405 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 20 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 011 - - - - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6091 - - -6517 - - - - - -6147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8226 - - 10066 - - - - - 6269 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13664 - - -12903 - - - - - -13010 ODpotential blCL - - - 15798 - - 16451 - - - - - 13132 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 47 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 74.2 - - - - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 30.7 - - - - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 72.7 - - - - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 29.5 - - - - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 285 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2029 - - 3442 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96773 33 272 40 268 42 264 96773 89540 21 245 28 266 32 272 89540 84015 17 227 21 264 27 285 84015 79456 9 216 19 264 23 274 79456 75522 9 262 16 270 17 272 75522 72033 14 267 14 277 13 282 72033 68867 13 287 16 274 18 293 68867 65950 14 287 18 285 20 292 65950 63233 14 275 20 290 21 288 63233 60588 16 273 21 287 22 286 60588 57817 20 277 23 286 24 286 57817 54931 25 292 28 286 25 286 54931 52161 33 291 33 285 30 284 52161 49650 35 284 36 282 34 279 49650 47386 32 284 35 285 34 277 47386 45329 31 291 33 290 32 276 45329 43455 34 294 34 291 34 275 43455 41747 36 293 35 284 34 276 41747 40195 35 286 34 281 34 279 40195 38767 32 286 31 281 33 279 38767 37427 31 294 27 284 29 283 37427 36125 32 303 25 294 25 289 36125 34797 33 307 27 300 23 296 34797 33411 33 310 27 301 22 302 33411 31971 34 313 27 305 24 306 31971 30460 33 316 27 311 25 311 30460 28866 32 322 25 312 25 319 28866 27186 31 329 21 314 23 325 27186 25421 30 333 20 321 21 326 25421 23572 28 332 20 324 19 328 23572 21638 25 334 20 327 18 342 21638 19615 19 338 17 336 15 352 19615 17502 13 340 12 351 8 355 17502 15345 11 351 12 009 5 025 15345 13263 12 015 12 028 9 070 13263 11368 13 026 10 030 11 079 11368 9683 13 036 7 055 11 093 9683 8189 16 052 13 082 12 131 8189 6863 20 054 17 078 12 134 6863 5689 22 048 16 073 11 110 5689 4651 21 047 15 057 10 083 4651 3739 21 045 17*035 11 057 3739 2936 22 035 19*018 15 030 2936 2220 23*015 20 011 21 012 2220 1588 24*002 20 011 24 004 1588 1063 24 001 20 010 21 001 1063 661 23 001 20 009 18 356 661 385 22 000 19 009 13 347 385 217 20 000 17 008 10 337 217 122 16 360 15 009 5*323 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography