DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.6 - - 45.9 - - 54.5 - - 56.5 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 47 - - 61 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 286 - - 622 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 390 - - 727 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 331 - - 446 - - 574 - - 1629 - - 388 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 97 - - 140 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 349 - - 022 - - 019 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -52 - - -935 - - -1435 - - -151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 121 - - 442 - - 1662 - - 1556 - - 272 sfcLCL ODpotential -11656 - - -10990 - - -9762 - - -8930 - - -10313 ODpotential blCL 11777 - - 11380 - - 10489 - - 9051 - - 10434 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 82 - - 81 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.6 - - 45.9 - - 54.5 - - 56.5 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.8 - - 44.6 - - 47.9 - - 50.3 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.7 - - 45.4 - - 54.0 - - 56.5 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 44.2 - - 46.9 - - 49.5 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 47 - - 61 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 286 - - 622 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 91 - - 27 - - 26 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95733 28 064 24 065 15 018 22 069 13 074 95733 88829 20 049 21 061 22 042 26 054 24 074 88829 83472 19 053 18 056 21 057 19 038 23 048 83472 78996 20 064 16 059 17 071 13 022 23 031 78996 75122 20 052 18 059 13 068 15 009 21 028 75122 71701 18 029 22 043 14 051 17 010 18 035 71701 68599 20 009 25 028 19 031 20 015 18 045 68599 65729 20 004 20 013 19 008 24 008 22 026 65729 63066 20 004 18 006 20 347 26 355 23 358 63066 60490 20 001 20 001 22 345 24 337 24 343 60490 57795 22 350 23 348 26 343 23 325 24 330 57795 54975 26 340 24 337 27 335 23 325 23 322 54975 52253 27 335 25 324 27 324 24 326 21 329 52253 49774 29 330 25 312 29 307 29 318 22 335 49774 47536 32 322 27 314 28 300 33 309 28 327 47536 45492 31 317 27 310 27 298 30 299 30 319 45492 43601 30 310 26 308 23 302 23 297 26 310 43601 41840 25 291 27 300 20 316 17 306 18 303 41840 40200 27 294 25 285 19 291 17 295 12 300 40200 38674 32 280 27 272 20 271 17 268 9 351 38674 37251 38 250 23 257 22 244 20 232 8 291 37251 35899 42 239 20 246 22 227 18 224 20 226 35899 34554 44 226 25 244 30 228 17 223 17 206 34554 33170 44 230 38 234 30 229 16 234 20 219 33170 31737 42 236 36 232 33 225 28 232 29 216 31737 30233 35 239 33 233 31 224 27 214 32 200 30233 28644 26 239 31 230 23 229 20 213 22 204 28644 26970 21 245 28 228 22 217 19 199 9 216 26970 25211 24 251 24 227 29 209 24 200 12 187 25211 23369 29 239 23 228 31 208 27 202 15 190 23369 21446 29 229 24 225 25 214 29 206 19 192 21446 19436 22 233 22 225 21 219 23 215 19 189 19436 17339 10 230 15 220 15 212 8 236 12 182 17339 15202 9 220 10 189 10 207 6 131 11 162 15202 13138 10 233 10 209 14 197 7 155 11 156 13138 11250 13 229 14 211 13 198 6 195 14 136 11250 9564 12 229 13 210 11 205 12 185 15 134 9564 8068 8 242 8 210 9 197 13 179 15 163 8068 6744 3 217 7 183 9 178 14 178 12 173 6744 5574 7 145 10 157 11 171 12 177 9 177 5574 4545 9 129 12 143 10 165 8 170 5 196 4545 3645 7 108 12 133 9 156 4 143 3 222 3645 2855 6 083 9 126 7 143 4 083 2 039 2855 2153 6 044 5 094 4 085 8 034 7 041 2153 1537 7 029 8 021 10 010 8 017 7 020 1537 1028 5 077 8 003 8*008 5 013 3 002 1028 639 8 128 4*350 5*020 5 015 2 180 639 373 8 125 3*347 4 022 4 019 6 170 373 213 5*134 3 348 4 022 4 020 4*160 213 121 3*148 3 352 4 025 3*019 3*156 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography