DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 91.9 - - 85.4 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 191 - - 72 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 737 - - 6215 - - 2512 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 4260 - - 868 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 843 - - 6322 - - 2619 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 581 - - 2200 - - 2828 - - 1337 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 437 - - 238 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 13 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 236 - - 263 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 20 - - -11 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4730 - - -5038 - - -6368 - - -6065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5573 - - 11360 - - 8988 - - 6188 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10400 - - -11092 - - -12453 - - -14597 ODpotential blCL - - - 11243 - - 17414 - - 15072 - - 14720 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 68 - - 54 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 91.9 - - 85.4 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 42.2 - - 46.5 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 90.7 - - 85.0 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 41.0 - - 45.7 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 191 - - 72 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 737 - - 6215 - - 2512 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98757 11 256 10 236 15 241 13 263 98757 91345 12 222 10 269 11 234 10 259 91345 85599 10 222 12 266 9 264 11 254 85599 80815 4 204 5 238 4 273 6 244 80815 76701 3 276 3 277 5 295 4 326 76701 73078 4 317 4 277 3 335 5 052 73078 69809 5 274 6 261 4 328 3 038 69809 66818 3 256 7 283 6 349 8 034 66818 64048 5 280 11 275 15 287 11 295 64048 61378 7 289 16 272 18 278 17 260 61378 58612 22 285 25 267 24 271 17 269 58612 55727 29 270 33 251 34 258 35 269 55727 52971 33 276 41 266 47 265 54 272 52971 50508 58 275 61 268 67 262 71 265 50508 48309 72 274 70 272 77 265 81 268 48309 46316 84 271 83 267 91 271 95 274 46316 44489 85 269 87 260 99 266 104 271 44489 42794 84 265 88 258 102 260 106 265 42794 41210 83 262 89 258 103 258 106 263 41210 39720 81 262 88 258 101 259 104 264 39720 38311 78 261 85 258 99 261 101 266 38311 36947 78 261 83 257 96 261 98 267 36947 35555 79 260 82 256 93 260 94 265 35555 34104 77 259 81 255 88 258 92 263 34104 32597 72 258 79 254 84 257 89 260 32597 31019 67 256 75 254 81 257 84 258 31019 29357 65 252 72 252 79 256 81 255 29357 27614 63 250 69 251 78 254 80 254 27614 25788 61 248 67 251 77 251 81 255 25788 23879 57 246 67 252 74 251 80 256 23879 21893 55 248 63 249 68 251 76 261 21893 19824 52 251 54 246 60 252 68 265 19824 17670 45 253 48 254 55 256 57 263 17670 15474 37 252 42 255 48 256 48 255 15474 13360 32 242 37 247 39 248 39 250 13360 11444 30 228 34 231 34 240 29 249 11444 9748 28 222 31 226 30 233 20 253 9748 8245 23 228 25 229 26 232 16 252 8245 6911 19 233 18*234 22 233 14 251 6911 5727 16 241 14*236 18 233 14 254 5727 4680 14 246 14 236 16 238 14 260 4680 3760 12 246 14 237 16 246 14 268 3760 2950 11 245 14 236 17*257 15 276 2950 2227 10 243 13 236 18*261 19 282 2227 1592 7 235 13 236 18 263 25 283 1592 1065 4*183 12 235 18 263 27 278 1065 663 4*135 12 235 18 264 25 274 663 386 4 132 11 235 18 264 21 271 386 218 4 129 10 234 16 264 18*270 218 123 3 128 9 234 13 264 10*268 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography