DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.4 - - 54.2 - - 54.0 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 33 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1217 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 1322 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2479 - - 2430 - - 3426 - - 1340 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 145 - - 13 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 008 - - 019 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -189 - - 432 - - -943 - - -514 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 310 - - 891 - - 1064 - - 635 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -234 - - 249 - - -1246 - - -2098 ODpotential blCL - - - 355 - - 1073 - - 1367 - - 2219 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 90 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 220 - - 190 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.4 - - 54.2 - - 54.0 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 50.8 - - 49.8 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 53.7 - - 54.3 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 49.9 - - 48.9 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 33 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1217 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 94 - - 61 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96651 11 082 9 077 18 066 25 079 96651 89566 18 094 16 107 21 105 18 090 89566 84045 17 104 8 098 17 101 15 121 84045 79450 10 100 9 112 11 068 16 111 79450 75474 10 114 12 103 6 122 9 105 75474 71954 13 116 9 116 11 157 6 111 71954 68765 7 138 9 124 11 132 7 108 68765 65811 3 179 5 157 5 105 10 096 65811 63038 2 117 7 183 2 190 6 100 63038 60331 6 264 3 188 2 311 4 158 60331 57502 12 239 8 215 7 304 3 129 57502 54566 9 217 10 199 7 273 6 053 54566 51764 9 226 6 193 6 220 6 049 51764 49241 8 247 3 094 8 124 7 091 49241 46971 17 243 6 308 10 075 13 069 46971 44901 15 222 5 254 5 062 18 044 44901 42995 8 230 4 319 11 048 18 034 42995 41230 10 269 7 326 15 033 18 037 41230 39587 9 268 7 320 16 020 20 043 39587 38054 10 262 8 321 17 009 27 049 38054 36618 10 256 9 326 18 005 34 043 36618 35235 10 253 9 339 19 013 32 031 35235 33835 11 251 11 002 20 017 27 031 33835 32391 12 242 13 007 19 012 26 030 32391 30909 12 231 8 354 19 004 26 032 30909 29380 12 217 3 305 15 011 25 053 29380 27797 14 211 8 187 4 081 11 081 27797 26160 15 209 19 169 14 164 23 144 26160 24457 12 223 26 167 18 164 24 141 24457 22679 11 247 20 177 17 168 20 131 22679 20824 10 232 13 188 15 176 18 128 20824 18885 9 217 13 208 10 185 20 126 18885 16856 8 226 11 239 5 196 20 125 16856 14784 6 260 8 280 3 105 19 120 14784 12787 9 271 9 327 14 107 21 100 12787 10966 14 305 11 018 13 087 21 091 10966 9344 10 353 10 078 11 051 20 086 9344 7907 11 045 6 063 15 026 15 057 7907 6633 8 035 7 015 18 027 16 037 6633 5503 5 013 9 360 18 024 16 033 5503 4504 2 333 11 004 16 018 18 025 4504 3625 1 270 11 013 16 013 20 021 3625 2849 1 230 10 014 14 011 17 020 2849 2156 1 224 7 006 11 009 12 022 2156 1544 1 210 6*004 8 010 7 020 1544 1035 1 162 6*006 7 013 3 358 1035 644 1 083 5 008 6 015 2 304 644 377 1 059 5 009 6 017 2 257 377 214 1*057 5 012 5 017 3 251 214 121 1*057 4 011 4*019 2*248 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography