DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 82.0 - - 85.3 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 368 - - 166 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1868 - - 3691 - - 4652 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1181 - - 2604 - - 2984 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1974 - - 3798 - - 4759 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 939 - - 1198 - - 2254 - - 4456 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 339 - - 450 - - 376 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 20 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 179 - - 187 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -17 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1783 - - -2230 - - -2645 - - -4709 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3757 - - 6028 - - 7404 - - 4832 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7229 - - -6062 - - -6793 - - -9107 ODpotential blCL - - - 9203 - - 9860 - - 11552 - - 9230 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 60 - - 57 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 82.0 - - 85.3 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.7 - - 56.1 - - 53.3 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 79.8 - - 84.1 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 55.3 - - 52.5 - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 368 - - 166 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1868 - - 3691 - - 4652 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97921 16 247 24 273 14 305 11 295 97921 90455 12 255 15 270 17 269 14 282 90455 84705 10 259 12 258 18 269 16 303 84705 79961 11 266 13 270 13 293 13 331 79961 75903 10 265 11 279 15 301 14 331 75903 72325 7 281 9 282 15 299 19 313 72325 69087 9 313 8 296 13 306 16 314 69087 66109 15 328 11 319 15 313 15 330 66109 63342 17 320 16 319 17 317 17 325 63342 60661 18 314 17 321 19 317 19 315 60661 57870 15 313 16 307 22 305 20 313 57870 54981 14 315 18 297 20 301 21 317 54981 52234 16 312 21 297 19 305 22 315 52234 49777 21 314 21 307 22 307 21 310 49777 47593 21 315 18 312 20 302 22 314 47593 45633 20 314 16 315 18 301 24 315 45633 43855 21 316 15 314 14 288 20 318 43855 42223 20 320 13 314 11 272 17 293 42223 40704 17 332 10 314 11 263 14 273 40704 39275 9 330 7 303 10 272 12 275 39275 37921 3 356 4 239 9 277 11 277 37921 36604 2 359 5 203 8 280 11 276 36604 35257 4 311 3 234 8 291 11 272 35257 33850 8 297 6 298 10 295 11 266 33850 32386 10 297 10 290 11 295 10 260 32386 30851 11 274 14 273 11 299 9 254 30851 29230 9 260 14 266 10 302 8 256 29230 27525 7 258 11 260 10 295 9 262 27525 25733 5 250 10 247 10 281 9 263 25733 23857 5 262 9 252 11 275 10 267 23857 21900 6 292 7 273 11 281 12 274 21900 19857 10 290 11 282 11 284 14 276 19857 17720 13 276 14 273 14 279 15 277 17720 15536 14 266 15 266 15 271 15 274 15536 13428 15 259 17 263 15 268 15 273 13428 11512 15 256 17 261 13 268 13 274 11512 9812 15 256 15 260 10 267 10 282 9812 8303 14 258 13 258 10 269 8 293 8303 6965 10 250 12 254 10 269 7 297 6965 5779 7 223 9 250 9*261 4 288 5779 4730 6 216 6*240 6*238 2 232 4730 3807 3 213 4*202 5 218 5 185 3807 2992 2 166 4 192 5 195 7 182 2992 2265 2*158 4 180 5 175 8 188 2265 1621 1*153 4 175 5 169 10 192 1621 1086 2 146 4 171 6 165 11 192 1086 674 2 142 4 168 6 163 11 188 674 392 2 143 4 166 6 162 11 183 392 221 2 139 4 166 5 160 9 176 221 123 2 140 4 166 5 160 6*170 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography