DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 53.3 - - 52.5 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 20 - - -9 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 546 - - 772 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 650 - - 877 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1988 - - 1973 - - 2535 - - 1947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 113 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 21 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 167 - - 167 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -189 - - 166 - - -326 - - -85 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 839 - - 711 - - 447 - - 206 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -952 - - -244 - - -688 - - -699 ODpotential blCL - - - 1602 - - 1121 - - 809 - - 820 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 96 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 100 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 53.3 - - 52.5 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 50.6 - - 51.0 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 53.2 - - 53.0 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 50.0 - - 50.7 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 20 - - -9 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 546 - - 772 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 101 - - 84 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96310 24 280 36 301 28 312 22 291 96310 89195 14 342 14 302 15 319 24 317 89195 83725 16 306 9 307 17 330 17 326 83725 79176 15 284 14 305 18 318 11 335 79176 75223 11 244 14 284 17 295 16 304 75223 71697 7 294 8 263 14 239 21 254 71697 68484 23 266 14 286 11 269 16 238 68484 65509 27 251 21 258 17 264 15 259 65509 62739 25 265 22 253 17 259 12 266 62739 60040 22 260 21 252 15 263 15 278 60040 57203 19 266 19 257 17 263 18 272 57203 54248 20 270 19 267 17 266 16 273 54248 51426 21 273 21 275 17 274 16 285 51426 48887 19 279 22 276 17 281 16 287 48887 46611 24 286 22 283 17 290 14 293 46611 44553 26 277 25 290 17 292 12 300 44553 42678 26 273 25 288 16 293 11 302 42678 40955 28 272 27 281 17 300 8 311 40955 39359 32 272 31 260 19 294 8 331 39359 37874 35 263 31 248 22 278 12 338 37874 36485 37 250 30 253 22 272 13 334 36485 35152 36 250 32 256 21 278 11 348 35152 33803 40 255 35 255 27 268 12 014 33803 32404 55 259 53 251 26 256 15 025 32404 30958 71 262 64 251 29 260 16 023 30958 29453 74 259 75 252 57 257 14 008 29453 27877 54 257 71 252 63 249 22 276 27877 26236 38 255 56 254 46 245 47 245 26236 24532 41 252 47 252 41 241 34 228 24532 22754 40 251 40 248 37 235 30 216 22754 20895 34 246 33 238 35 228 35 214 20895 18947 32 244 32 237 32 221 32 217 18947 16907 30 243 29 229 28 213 27 215 16907 14820 29 234 32 216 26 209 27 206 14820 12808 30 231 30 219 28 208 28 192 12808 10977 29 231 29 219 30 206 27 184 10977 9353 27 232 30 218 33 204 27 182 9353 7911 25 229 31 216 36 203 28 181 7911 6632 26 223 33 210 37 203 27 183 6632 5500 30 214 35 204 38 201 27 187 5500 4499 34 204 36 200 36 198 28 193 4499 3618 37 193 36 196 34 195 28 193 3618 2843 38 184 35 190 31 192 27 190 2843 2150 37 180 33 182 28 186 22 186 2150 1540 35 177 30 174 26 181 17 177 1540 1032 31*172 29*172 23 177 13 162 1032 643 27*170 25*169 20 172 12 149 643 376 24 168 23 167 16 170 11 135 376 214 21 168 20 167 14 168 9 131 214 121 15 167 15 166 10*167 6*127 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography