DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 84.1 - - 87.0 - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 271 - - 67 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1566 - - 4330 - - 7177 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 846 - - 2967 - - 4050 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1672 - - 4437 - - 7283 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 884 - - 3058 - - 2198 - - 607 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 426 - - 321 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 33 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 2 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 354 - - 253 - - 235 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -26 - - 17 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4531 - - -4850 - - -4452 - - -6329 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6203 - - 9288 - - 11735 - - 6453 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9269 - - -10497 - - -11520 - - -14593 ODpotential blCL - - - 10941 - - 14934 - - 18803 - - 14716 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 73 - - 35 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 84.1 - - 87.0 - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 43.7 - - 35.6 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.4 - - 82.3 - - 86.4 - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 43.1 - - 34.7 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 271 - - 67 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1566 - - 4330 - - 7177 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98465 13 131 8 149 10 158 7 306 98465 91071 2 098 6 144 6 198 4 207 91071 85381 6 284 2 172 1 318 6 155 85381 80679 7 128 3 145 3 329 4 093 80679 76636 7 049 4 124 4 084 3 077 76636 73055 7 066 4 032 8 060 4 053 73055 69807 4 025 4 306 6 332 4 326 69807 66808 9 197 11 238 11 272 5 301 66808 63999 9 259 8 237 10 267 11 294 63999 61263 12 263 18 276 13 278 16 285 61263 58416 12 264 20 258 15 264 16 269 58416 55477 21 280 18 268 19 284 19 283 55477 52701 33 281 25 282 26 288 26 291 52701 50230 30 285 27 295 25 298 24 290 50230 48027 32 290 27 302 24 309 21 288 48027 46026 31 291 27 310 26 307 21 285 46026 44185 34 296 30 308 29 299 25 282 44185 42482 40 293 36 298 33 294 30 284 42482 40899 45 283 40 288 37 292 35 283 40899 39418 46 275 43 280 39 288 39 281 39418 38023 46 266 45 272 39 287 39 278 38023 36673 47 264 48 267 39 287 38 274 36673 35298 49 267 49 267 39 283 35 273 35298 33868 48 270 49 271 39 280 34 275 33868 32386 48 271 49 274 41 280 36 281 32386 30838 46 269 47 272 40 283 38 286 30838 29210 45 266 44 272 40 286 38 282 29210 27500 44 264 42 273 36 284 36 279 27500 25704 44 263 41 275 31 284 35 275 25704 23820 44 263 39 278 29 288 32 275 23820 21851 44 265 35 278 29 290 27 278 21851 19792 41 266 34 275 28 286 23 274 19792 17641 39 260 32 271 30 274 25 269 17641 15447 41 253 31 260 30 267 26 266 15447 13335 39 248 32 254 28 261 23 262 13335 11422 35 245 29 255 24 256 18 248 11422 9731 30 249 25 257 17 244 14 227 9731 8237 24 257 20 261 11*220 12 217 8237 6910 17 262 14 261 9*215 10 205 6910 5733 10 264 11 254 9 218 9 179 5733 4692 5 253 8*249 8 224 8 169 4692 3774 4 291 6*246 8 235 7 179 3774 2965 8 332 4 245 9 242 6 202 2965 2241 10*354 2 252 9 245 6 236 2241 1603 9*353 1 261 9 246 10 276 1603 1072 9 353 1 272 9 248 17 285 1072 666 9 354 1 281 9 248 20 277 666 387 9 355 1 286 9 249 17 268 387 219 8 354 1 288 9 248 13*263 219 123 7 354 1 297 7 248 7*256 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography