DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 79.0 - - 81.2 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 279 - - 60 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1255 - - 2872 - - 2767 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 612 - - 1879 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1360 - - 2978 - - 2874 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 821 - - 1452 - - 2668 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 259 - - 375 - - 225 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 18 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 023 - - 183 - - 169 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4004 - - -5331 - - -7152 - - -7150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5365 - - 8309 - - 10027 - - 7273 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12025 - - -12336 - - -13143 - - -14946 ODpotential blCL - - - 13385 - - 15314 - - 16017 - - 15069 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 88 - - 85 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 79.0 - - 81.2 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 43.1 - - 37.7 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 77.2 - - 80.6 - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 42.6 - - 37.1 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 279 - - 60 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1255 - - 2872 - - 2767 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 52 - - 41 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98490 3 057 8 119 7 109 6 144 98490 91113 8 103 10 147 4 118 9 126 91113 85419 7 122 6 111 4 159 3 108 85419 80686 2 142 3 126 0 324 4 353 80686 76624 2 345 5 102 4 058 3 029 76624 73044 2 269 3 214 5 355 7 014 73044 69802 3 266 1 100 1 198 4 314 69802 66807 11 253 10 291 6 286 4 320 66807 64007 11 235 15 262 14 266 10 287 64007 61285 13 242 16 246 14 253 16 264 61285 58453 18 253 20 249 18 260 21 267 58453 55536 20 273 23 254 24 262 27 266 55536 52766 26 279 26 259 28 262 33 262 52766 50271 30 270 30 262 32 262 36 259 50271 48027 31 262 36 264 39 262 40 258 48027 45982 37 261 44 259 45 258 45 258 45982 44103 42 259 48 253 49 252 52 256 44103 42363 47 257 53 248 54 248 59 252 42363 40744 54 255 58 244 58 247 63 248 40744 39235 58 251 58 244 61 245 63 245 39235 37824 58 248 58 245 62 245 66 244 37824 36471 60 246 60 243 62 244 66 243 36471 35106 61 245 61 241 62 244 65 240 35106 33692 58 246 56 243 59 244 63 240 33692 32224 51 245 51 243 55 245 57 240 32224 30686 47 243 49 242 51 247 50 242 30686 29064 45 245 47 245 47 247 45 245 29064 27357 43 250 43 246 43 248 41 242 27357 25566 40 255 37 250 41 250 39 244 25566 23690 36 255 31 251 41 242 41 243 23690 21736 31 254 29 245 36 232 41 238 21736 19699 25 254 26 238 28 232 34 234 19699 17575 22 248 23 242 22 240 24 235 17575 15404 22 242 20 242 21 239 20 233 15404 13307 20 240 20 232 20 232 18 228 13307 11400 17 233 18 223 16 225 17 213 11400 9709 14 220 17 214 14 213 17 205 9709 8215 12 201 16 206 11 212 14 200 8215 6891 12 190 15 204 7 241 6 182 6891 5717 10 191 11 210 7 279 2 093 5717 4678 8 195 8 226 7 256 0 024 4678 3764 4 192 5*227 7 236 4 211 3764 2957 2 088 4*197 6*214 9 201 2957 2237 4 028 4 190 6*183 12 191 2237 1601 4*016 4 183 6 173 14 185 1601 1072 4*018 4 179 6 167 15 179 1072 666 3 022 4 177 5 165 15 174 666 387 3 026 4 175 5 163 13 170 387 219 3 027 3 174 5 161 9*166 219 123 3 029 3 173 5 161 4*161 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography