DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.2 - - 74.7 - - 84.1 - - 85.2 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 247 - - 318 - - 129 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 130 - - 1606 - - 3867 - - 4434 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 926 - - 2687 - - 2677 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 235 - - 1712 - - 3973 - - 4541 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 309 - - 919 - - 2531 - - 3491 - - 3566 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 299 - - 436 - - 342 - - 10 W* B/S 7 - - 23 - - 98 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 023 - - 172 - - 176 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -4 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1732 - - -3570 - - -4108 - - -4178 - - -4791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1967 - - 5282 - - 8081 - - 8720 - - 4914 sfcLCL ODpotential -8300 - - -7332 - - -5998 - - -6211 - - -7730 ODpotential blCL 8535 - - 9044 - - 9971 - - 10752 - - 7853 blCL maxRH 75 - - 54 - - 75 - - 82 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m 60.2 - - 74.7 - - 84.1 - - 85.2 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.2 - - 52.2 - - 49.0 - - 47.2 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 73.1 - - 82.1 - - 84.1 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.9 - - 51.5 - - 48.0 - - 46.3 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 247 - - 318 - - 129 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 130 - - 1606 - - 3867 - - 4434 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97318 6 288 4 277 7 264 19 261 17 295 97318 89942 14 345 9 317 10 320 9 306 10 330 89942 84314 14 296 14 332 10 318 10 352 7 339 84314 79657 10 307 15 327 13 310 15 341 8 348 79657 75644 14 331 15 313 13 317 17 338 10 337 75644 72094 18 321 13 308 14 307 16 324 15 336 72094 68872 17 316 10 309 18 302 16 319 16 323 68872 65904 21 312 12 316 19 296 16 319 14 322 65904 63141 22 293 14 319 16 299 18 301 16 319 63141 60449 20 280 16 316 14 301 16 294 17 314 60449 57630 20 287 20 290 20 289 22 298 22 307 57630 54707 22 290 21 277 22 278 29 286 28 294 54707 51920 27 294 23 282 24 274 34 277 32 281 51920 49420 32 293 25 286 29 272 35 271 36 271 49420 47186 34 294 29 292 30 275 34 271 34 266 47186 45161 36 297 35 295 36 283 36 273 33 269 45161 43318 45 297 45 290 42 280 40 272 40 271 43318 41646 50 293 54 288 48 280 47 271 44 263 41646 40118 52 292 61 283 55 275 50 271 46 262 40118 38703 51 293 58 282 54 276 49 270 49 264 38703 37370 47 294 52 284 49 278 44 274 47 264 37370 36073 43 296 45 286 43 277 41 275 43 264 36073 34748 41 297 40 288 38 274 38 271 42 262 34748 33364 37 298 36 290 32 274 33 265 40 261 33364 31925 34 298 34 290 31 281 29 258 36 259 31925 30416 27 299 31 289 30 280 26 264 33 259 30416 28823 23 306 27 284 28 277 25 269 31 261 28823 27147 24 311 23 278 22 272 25 264 29 266 27147 25387 20 310 18 269 18 254 23 254 26 270 25387 23542 14 315 15 252 19 241 17 237 23 267 23542 21617 11 316 10 240 15 235 15 232 18 265 21617 19609 7 318 7 235 12 232 14 235 12 246 19609 17514 5 336 6 234 10 234 13 237 12 235 17514 15373 5 005 5 237 9 232 12 233 14 229 15373 13306 4 029 5 212 8 209 9 222 12 205 13306 11423 1 180 6 180 10 179 10 188 14 177 11423 9748 5 174 9 167 12 168 14 172 18 178 9748 8259 6 144 10 149 12 166 13 169 17 176 8259 6934 7 130 7 150 10 165 11 172 10 179 6934 5756 6 110 4 140 4 168 6 187 3 243 5756 4713 5 077 4 112 1*184 5*190 4 242 4713 3794 4 026 6 094 1*193 5*187 5 206 3794 2982 6 035 6 077 1 198 4 183 7 197 2982 2257 6 043 4*058 1 175 5 179 9 200 2257 1616 6 019 3*020 1 174 5 175 10 202 1616 1082 8 011 2 020 1 161 5 171 12 200 1082 673 6 011 2 025 1 163 5 170 12 193 673 391 3*028 2 026 1 161 5 169 11 184 391 220 2*047 2 030 1 163 5 168 9*175 220 123 2 060 2 030 1 162 4 168 6*171 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography