DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 54.9 - - 54.3 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - 14 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 584 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 689 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 662 - - 975 - - 1560 - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 104 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 357 - - 013 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2473 - - -2096 - - -1485 - - -928 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2594 - - 2785 - - 1606 - - 1049 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9744 - - -7991 - - -6085 - - -8407 ODpotential blCL - - - 9865 - - 8680 - - 6206 - - 8528 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 60 - - 69 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 54.9 - - 54.3 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 43.7 - - 48.2 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 54.8 - - 55.0 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 42.5 - - 47.0 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - 14 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 584 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96101 38 276 37 281 45 287 44 279 96101 89148 20 261 30 297 24 312 18 305 89148 83739 4 261 22 298 18 309 15 336 83739 79192 13 013 8 312 9 301 8 337 79192 75225 14 351 9 346 8 347 7 013 75225 71689 11 312 12 312 15 345 14 350 71689 68495 7 267 10 303 15 342 8 355 68495 65549 21 337 19 333 23 329 20 003 65549 62805 24 342 22 338 25 335 29 339 62805 60168 28 352 24 350 24 353 32 339 60168 57437 34 352 34 346 31 357 29 349 57437 54592 43 348 44 344 46 355 28 002 54592 51859 50 346 56 347 49 357 51 351 51859 49397 54 350 59 351 67 351 55 349 49397 47183 58 356 59 357 71 352 68 348 47183 45161 60 359 60 357 71 351 64 347 45161 43317 62 358 60 357 69 352 61 349 43317 41651 64 359 63 357 61 356 53 350 41651 40133 67 359 65 359 55 004 47 004 40133 38717 68 358 67 003 60 008 55 001 38717 37377 64 354 70 006 64 003 57 356 37377 36076 58 352 69 005 66 001 53 003 36076 34745 55 354 64 003 62 005 47 008 34745 33354 54 356 55 357 58 014 43 015 33354 31903 53 355 47 352 54 017 43 033 31903 30380 47 353 44 354 42 008 28 026 30380 28777 41 352 40 357 36 351 30 349 28777 27087 38 356 34 357 32 351 31 344 27087 25310 34 001 26 003 27 352 23 353 25310 23451 29 003 20 004 20 346 14 003 23451 21509 23 354 16 351 17 342 11 352 21509 19479 19 350 15 348 16 342 10 350 19479 17356 19 352 15 003 12 348 9 358 17356 15190 20 351 17 007 10 010 6 005 15190 13108 20 355 16 008 11 029 5 026 13108 11217 18 010 14 017 12 037 4 053 11217 9540 16 024 11 021 10 040 5 057 9540 8052 13 039 8 018 8 030 6 052 8052 6734 13 057 6 041 7 029 8 066 6734 5570 15 067 9 068 9 060 8 097 5570 4543 16 062 11 064 12 064 10 095 4543 3643 16 054 12 052 13 064 11 075 3643 2854 16 045 15 039 12 047 10 041 2854 2155 18 032 17 017 15 020 13 021 2155 1541 23 014 22 359 17 013 15 017 1541 1032 29 002 21*357 13 009 9 012 1032 642 26 356 18*357 8 009 0 035 642 375 18 349 16 357 6 012 2 193 375 214 15*347 14 357 4 013 3 201 214 121 10*346 11 357 2*013 4*208 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography