DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 100.8 - - 102.1 - - 86.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 175 - - 20 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 635 - - 1973 - - 5542 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1072 - - 1201 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 742 - - 2080 - - 5650 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 452 - - 5925 - - 5728 - - 197 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 289 - - 227 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 094 - - 169 - - 274 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7409 - - -9181 - - -6918 - - -10043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8151 - - 11262 - - 12569 - - 10167 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12908 - - -11895 - - -10178 - - -16047 ODpotential blCL - - - 13650 - - 13975 - - 15828 - - 16171 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 88 - - 67 - - 16 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 160 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 100.8 - - 102.1 - - 86.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 51.8 - - 47.2 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 99.5 - - 102.5 - - 90.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 50.8 - - 46.1 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 175 - - 20 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 635 - - 1973 - - 5542 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 52 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98866 6 188 1 263 1 145 3 194 98866 91424 3 184 3 226 0 076 2 112 91424 85662 3 238 4 255 5 271 4 315 85662 80878 4 198 3 272 7 287 7 347 80878 76773 1 107 2 349 5 327 9 015 76773 73155 4 046 3 032 3 004 9 010 73155 69898 3 043 6 345 8 031 6 007 69898 66919 4 075 5 295 8 325 8 348 66919 64163 6 356 6 307 8 307 9 334 64163 61500 7 272 8 258 13 287 16 303 61500 58741 10 299 12 264 16 275 25 279 58741 55909 23 279 22 271 26 271 29 274 55909 53220 33 276 36 272 39 270 35 271 53220 50810 45 268 46 262 47 261 45 266 50810 48647 48 269 47 262 52 261 51 264 48647 46668 50 267 52 264 58 265 55 266 46668 44841 53 261 56 259 64 265 58 267 44841 43144 54 259 60 255 67 263 60 267 43144 41557 55 260 58 254 67 260 63 265 41557 40064 55 265 59 257 66 261 65 261 40064 38651 54 266 61 262 69 264 66 259 38651 37278 51 263 57 265 66 267 67 262 37278 35877 47 260 54 264 57 266 63 265 35877 34420 45 258 51 261 53 262 57 266 34420 32909 43 262 49 258 52 262 53 269 32909 31327 37 262 45 259 47 263 51 270 31327 29664 37 261 38 264 44 269 49 269 29664 27920 31 264 35 270 38 273 48 270 27920 26096 27 267 32 269 37 272 46 278 26096 24189 28 263 32 269 37 272 44 281 24189 22201 28 254 28 268 33 267 40 277 22201 20129 27 248 25 253 30 261 34 268 20129 17973 26 242 28 242 29 254 29 260 17973 15780 24 237 27 244 28 253 27 253 15780 13665 21 240 22 251 24 254 23 251 13665 11736 17 247 18 258 17 255 19 253 11736 10018 13 252 15 262 10 252 14 256 10018 8489 11 253 14 258 8 250 10 255 8489 7125 10 264 15 258 8 255 8 254 7125 5913 11 272 16 258 9*262 8 262 5913 4838 11 270 15 256 11*269 10 269 4838 3891 11 265 14 253 13 272 13 275 3891 3055 9 266 11 245 14 274 15 279 3055 2308 7 268 8*225 14 275 18 282 2308 1650 5 268 6*188 15 275 21 284 1650 1103 1*257 5 173 15 276 23 283 1103 684 1*111 5 164 14 276 22 279 684 397 1 096 5 159 14 276 18 274 397 223 1 086 5 159 13 276 14*270 223 124 1 083 4 157 10 276 6*262 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography