DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.9 - - 67.6 - - 75.7 - - 74.7 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -44 - - 77 - - 172 - - 9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 968 - - 2401 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 1346 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1073 - - 2507 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 173 - - 1057 - - 1283 - - 4296 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 175 - - 302 - - 22 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 16 - - 9 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 357 - - 354 - - 128 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3436 - - -5982 - - -7594 - - -9079 - - -5219 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3557 - - 7056 - - 10101 - - 9202 - - 5341 sfcLCL ODpotential -16138 - - -14945 - - -14825 - - -16377 - - -15224 ODpotential blCL 16259 - - 16018 - - 17332 - - 16499 - - 15346 blCL maxRH 43 - - 33 - - 40 - - 28 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.9 - - 67.6 - - 75.7 - - 74.7 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 37.6 - - 32.0 - - 35.0 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.7 - - 67.0 - - 74.4 - - 74.5 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.7 - - 36.7 - - 31.3 - - 34.5 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -44 - - 77 - - 172 - - 9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 968 - - 2401 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97367 5 342 7 333 6 297 8 265 13 299 97367 90102 11 046 8 053 4 345 2 062 2 334 90102 84516 11 037 11 039 7 342 5 017 8 049 84516 79893 7 348 13 010 4 035 5 018 10 055 79893 75909 3 333 9 316 3 312 6 346 6 018 75909 72393 4 358 6 283 3 255 3 232 5 241 72393 69191 8 267 14 281 10 270 6 255 6 214 69191 66212 7 201 14 256 14 237 14 271 8 254 66212 63430 6 302 7 282 12 234 17 271 17 266 63430 60745 12 270 8 271 12 256 17 252 19 260 60745 57958 10 278 10 245 12 269 15 248 18 242 57958 55056 20 296 15 268 17 264 17 268 15 247 55056 52270 22 301 19 287 19 268 24 278 21 283 52270 49753 31 303 26 295 21 279 28 277 30 280 49753 47499 35 308 26 300 24 284 29 274 31 272 47499 45471 33 315 23 310 24 284 26 270 28 270 45471 43639 30 325 21 318 20 285 18 274 24 272 43639 41964 30 337 24 329 15 309 14 302 20 281 41964 40414 35 346 29 336 27 331 21 326 23 300 40414 38971 40 351 32 339 37 330 28 326 26 308 38971 37620 41 353 33 342 36 334 30 328 27 313 37620 36311 39 355 31 343 31 337 26 330 27 313 36311 34975 36 359 28 346 27 337 23 327 25 312 34975 33581 34 003 26 351 24 337 22 325 25 314 33581 32131 34 002 26 354 22 341 21 330 24 319 32131 30609 34 360 27 355 20 348 21 337 23 324 30609 29003 32 358 28 355 20 352 21 342 21 331 29003 27312 31 357 26 352 20 352 18 349 19 334 27312 25536 29 001 24 353 20 348 16 349 16 332 25536 23675 27 008 24 359 19 346 15 349 16 330 23675 21732 25 010 23 004 19 351 15 350 16 333 21732 19699 21 017 20 011 19 357 17 352 16 339 19699 17570 17 021 17 012 16 357 18 355 16 338 17570 15389 16 023 14 011 14 358 18 358 15 339 15389 13280 13 033 10 024 11 008 16 002 11 352 13280 11361 12 038 7 038 6 026 12 007 7 013 11361 9660 12 036 7 048 4 072 7 015 5 039 9660 8159 12 048 8 083 3 126 4 034 5 092 8159 6833 14 068 12 095 7 147 2 149 3 088 6833 5663 16 065 11 092 7 157 3 279 6 004 5663 4631 15 060 10 082 3 166 6 319 6 354 4631 3724 15 056 9 064 2 039 5 339 2 005 3724 2925 17 049 11 047 7*009 3 007 3 108 2925 2212 20 034 15 024 9*357 2 036 5 140 2212 1583 24 012 19*002 9 355 1 071 7 164 1583 1060 31 003 19*358 9 354 1 101 9 175 1060 659 29 358 17 357 9 353 1 114 11 180 659 383 19 350 16 356 8 352 1 122 11 184 383 217 14 345 14 355 8 351 1 126 7*191 217 122 7*338 11 355 7 352 1*128 5*192 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography