DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 48.4 - - 49.2 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 70 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 330 - - 979 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 434 - - 1083 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1228 - - 614 - - 1269 - - 924 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 168 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 22 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 043 - - 063 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 60 - - 267 - - -670 - - -149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 374 - - 816 - - 791 - - 270 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 150 - - 314 - - -738 - - -10960 ODpotential blCL - - - 284 - - 769 - - 859 - - 11081 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 48.4 - - 49.2 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.3 - - 45.5 - - 46.4 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 47.8 - - 49.2 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 44.9 - - 46.0 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 70 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 330 - - 979 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96846 29 091 32 091 41 104 45 103 96846 89652 27 090 26 089 43 094 42 108 89652 84046 28 094 19 097 35 084 37 096 84046 79374 27 106 17 108 25 072 28 085 79374 75344 21 090 17 096 16 065 26 082 75344 71770 13 064 17 066 8 051 23 070 71770 68524 12 035 14 042 12 028 19 043 68524 65542 15 019 7 014 12 354 14 020 65542 62779 17 001 7 338 12 343 12 358 62779 60101 19 340 13 317 14 322 15 354 60101 57303 23 323 19 312 20 321 18 345 57303 54396 26 306 25 307 28 313 21 338 54396 51632 28 300 28 302 31 305 26 325 51632 49160 28 295 29 298 29 301 24 331 49160 46964 27 295 29 303 27 320 24 337 46964 44990 29 303 29 307 23 325 25 001 44990 43203 27 303 22 321 31 004 33 023 43203 41568 17 301 25 003 50 026 59 034 41568 40051 10 337 36 009 70 034 75 020 40051 38627 16 001 37 007 71 032 67 020 38627 37283 18 355 32 005 71 033 69 027 37283 35983 17 347 27 007 64 032 78 031 35983 34655 14 340 24 008 50 033 85 032 34655 33266 12 335 20 008 40 029 82 032 33266 31821 11 333 16 009 29 018 55 029 31821 30305 10 340 13 011 23 015 31 015 30305 28708 11 343 12 004 23 017 24 349 28708 27027 13 335 13 353 25 017 26 343 27027 25260 14 325 16 345 25 015 24 342 25260 23406 16 316 16 330 17 355 24 346 23406 21472 18 313 14 320 19 328 24 336 21472 19453 18 312 16 319 21 314 25 319 19453 17344 15 300 16 315 20 309 26 313 17344 15190 14 283 15 302 19 303 26 310 15190 13111 12 289 12 300 17 305 23 310 13111 11217 9 295 10 301 13 310 19 312 11217 9534 7 299 8 301 9 311 16 314 9534 8041 5 302 6 305 6 308 13 314 8041 6718 1 207 3 289 5 300 10 314 6718 5550 4 199 3 281 4 315 6 319 5550 4522 1 259 3 352 4 358 5 330 4522 3622 4 023 4 037 2 021 5 342 3622 2835 7 026 5 040 2 017 6 352 2835 2136 7 023 4 031 5 002 5 352 2136 1524 5 007 2*007 3 003 3 336 1524 1019 3 002 1*032 2 020 0 281 1019 635 3*002 1 043 1 050 2 134 635 372 3*002 1 045 2 060 2 138 372 212 3 002 1 047 2 061 1*150 212 121 3 004 1 049 2*063 1*160 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography