DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 68.7 - - 73.6 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 30 - - 5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1016 - - 503 - - 1732 - - 759 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 33 - - 20 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 114 - - 056 - - 008 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7988 - - -8104 - - -8538 - - -7426 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12084 - - 12199 - - 12635 - - 11522 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16623 - - -14581 - - -14050 - - -13870 ODpotential blCL - - - 20718 - - 18676 - - 18146 - - 17965 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 40 - - 38 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 68.7 - - 73.6 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.8 - - 30.3 - - 33.1 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 71.6 - - 77.2 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 29.2 - - 31.9 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 30 - - 5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96593 5 284 19 288 17 334 9 027 96593 89492 3 338 9 261 12 300 9 020 89492 84036 2 247 8 275 7 284 3 320 84036 79519 4 319 12 302 5 301 3 303 79519 75617 4 337 7 295 5 277 8 295 75617 72167 8 326 10 321 6 306 9 292 72167 69037 5 291 13 300 10 295 12 311 69037 66153 9 304 16 294 15 279 22 303 66153 63499 13 295 10 297 9 271 17 278 63499 60938 19 294 14 307 14 303 9 288 60938 58252 25 283 27 288 27 291 21 298 58252 55459 25 272 30 272 32 278 29 288 55459 52788 28 281 31 274 33 274 35 278 52788 50374 33 278 34 276 37 275 37 271 50374 48197 36 268 38 274 37 276 39 269 48197 46208 38 264 40 262 42 267 42 263 46208 44383 42 269 41 260 43 265 39 257 44383 42705 50 267 44 263 52 263 48 259 42705 41151 57 264 50 264 59 257 57 255 41151 39698 67 263 57 263 62 254 61 251 39698 38334 71 260 63 264 62 253 59 251 38334 37025 72 259 67 264 62 254 58 253 37025 35705 72 258 68 262 62 257 58 254 35705 34345 70 258 66 261 62 257 57 257 34345 32945 61 261 55 260 56 257 54 256 32945 31493 51 263 48 260 48 257 51 254 31493 29981 48 261 46 258 45 258 48 252 29981 28414 47 255 46 254 47 257 47 253 28414 26793 44 252 45 252 48 256 44 257 26793 25116 40 254 41 254 44 258 41 260 25116 23386 37 259 37 261 38 264 36 262 23386 21598 34 264 32 268 30 271 29 263 21598 19745 31 266 28 272 22 274 22 260 19745 17864 28 268 25 271 18 270 19 255 17864 16053 24 270 24 270 16 265 17 255 16053 14404 20 270 22 267 16 260 16 254 14404 12934 17 266 19 263 17 254 15 250 12934 11619 16 259 17 256 15 254 13 247 11619 10439 15 250 15 248 12 262 10 248 10439 9381 15 243 13 242 11 270 6 263 9381 8434 14 239 12 242 10 281 4 294 8434 7589 12 235 11 243 9 296 5 323 7589 6834 10 231 9 245 8 310 7 334 6834 6151 7 225 6 248 7 326 10 328 6151 5542 4 223 3 252 7 343 12 324 5542 5028 1 209 1 342 7 353 14 322 5028 4632 1 140 2 050 6 000 14 321 4632 4357 1 108 3 056 6 005 12 321 4357 4190 2*112 3*057 5*007 9*320 4190 4094 2*114 3*056 4*008 5*318 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography