DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 76.2 - - 72.4 - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 41 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4553 - - 10142 - - 7013 - - 2222 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 38 - - 20 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 331 - - 302 - - 289 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -2 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4206 - - -5115 - - -5078 - - -4114 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8301 - - 9211 - - 9174 - - 8210 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7671 - - -6569 - - -7666 - - -8252 ODpotential blCL - - - 11766 - - 10664 - - 11761 - - 12347 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 46 - - 46 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 1210 - - 380 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 76.2 - - 72.4 - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 49.8 - - 46.4 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.2 - - 76.4 - - 73.5 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 48.5 - - 45.1 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 41 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97877 12 238 22 273 12 294 7 292 97877 90466 14 252 16 276 12 280 16 276 90466 84730 11 249 12 281 13 290 12 291 84730 79966 6 256 12 290 13 288 9 340 79966 75884 7 269 10 281 12 287 12 326 75884 72292 8 293 11 271 10 299 13 317 72292 69032 11 301 12 285 13 305 15 319 69032 66031 16 309 11 311 17 308 18 310 66031 63266 20 313 12 333 18 310 16 320 63266 60599 20 312 18 318 16 316 15 335 60599 57807 18 312 23 309 24 311 21 320 57807 54907 16 314 22 306 28 302 26 309 54907 52152 18 321 18 311 26 297 24 307 52152 49697 23 323 18 323 19 300 22 306 49697 47523 28 320 23 324 16 317 21 308 47523 45574 26 319 27 315 18 325 19 317 45574 43808 21 329 21 315 19 313 16 318 43808 42187 15 345 14 318 18 294 15 302 42187 40678 16 002 13 327 14 284 16 288 40678 39255 19 003 15 330 11 287 15 282 39255 37911 20 359 18 329 11 297 12 287 37911 36615 19 352 19 330 13 310 11 301 36615 35306 19 345 19 333 15 319 12 307 35306 33956 20 344 19 335 15 324 12 304 33956 32570 21 345 20 333 15 327 13 304 32570 31134 20 337 20 330 14 329 11 303 31134 29642 19 330 19 332 13 331 9 299 29642 28092 20 335 18 331 13 326 10 298 28092 26485 21 338 17 327 14 317 14 293 26485 24823 20 335 17 325 16 315 17 298 24823 23111 19 326 19 321 19 318 17 306 23111 21346 20 316 20 317 20 319 17 307 21346 19520 21 310 20 311 19 313 17 303 19520 17667 21 305 20 305 18 306 17 300 17667 15886 19 296 20 295 17 302 16 299 15886 14264 18 287 20 282 15 296 13 301 14264 12817 18 281 18 277 14 291 8 324 12817 11522 17 280 17 279 14 289 9 353 11522 10359 16 278 17 280 15 289 10 352 10359 9314 13 276 17 283 16 289 12 338 9314 8379 12 276 16 286 17 289 14 323 8379 7545 11 279 15 289 18 289 17 309 7545 6800 10 283 14 292 19 288 20 298 6800 6127 8 290 13 294 19 289 22 289 6127 5525 6 300 12 298 19 288 23 286 5525 5019 5 311 11 300 18 288 23 284 5019 4626 4 323 10 302 18 288 21 284 4626 4355 3 331 10 303 17 289 18 284 4355 4189 2*335 9*303 15*289 14*285 4189 4094 2*331 7*302 11*289 7*287 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography