DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.5 - - 49.6 - - 56.1 - - 55.0 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - -3 - - 17 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 429 - - 1099 - - 2981 - - 3692 - - 2120 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 14 - - 28 - - 13 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 124 - - 242 - - 277 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - -3 - - -2 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4258 - - -3742 - - -3858 - - -2770 - - -2217 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8352 - - 7837 - - 7952 - - 6864 - - 6311 sfcLCL ODpotential -10411 - - -9227 - - -7861 - - -6391 - - -6579 ODpotential blCL 14505 - - 13321 - - 11955 - - 10485 - - 10673 blCL maxRH 91 - - 75 - - 88 - - 66 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.5 - - 49.6 - - 56.1 - - 55.0 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 30.1 - - 35.9 - - 39.3 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 50.3 - - 57.4 - - 55.5 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 28.9 - - 34.8 - - 38.1 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - -3 - - 17 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 0 - - 51 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96832 20 094 12 102 10 083 15 097 14 093 96832 89773 20 079 18 079 18 105 14 117 14 062 89773 84249 18 092 15 089 12 111 12 097 15 058 84249 79618 15 104 14 113 6 131 12 082 16 067 79618 75617 11 106 12 103 6 123 6 080 9 074 75617 72085 3 068 4 087 2 055 3 088 6 037 72085 68895 2 327 5 299 6 325 1 172 6 316 68895 65954 7 286 10 279 12 296 6 303 9 311 65954 63221 9 286 8 269 15 282 15 273 13 280 63221 60570 14 277 10 279 15 254 9 272 12 294 60570 57799 20 261 14 267 17 261 24 278 23 272 57799 54930 24 271 17 278 26 252 27 250 22 264 54930 52179 33 276 29 271 25 250 22 248 33 270 52179 49686 33 270 32 262 25 267 30 270 38 267 49686 47437 39 282 31 277 34 284 40 278 41 274 47437 45394 49 284 41 296 46 294 53 286 54 279 45394 43553 55 291 60 292 66 294 77 287 73 280 43553 41902 48 282 66 275 77 280 81 274 72 273 41902 40390 49 310 62 276 69 270 71 261 69 275 40390 38973 99 322 67 307 67 291 61 279 85 285 38973 37636 106 321 76 317 75 302 67 288 83 283 37636 36344 85 316 63 311 68 298 67 289 77 279 36344 35036 74 312 50 297 60 290 66 285 80 282 35036 33688 70 308 43 285 54 280 63 277 83 288 33688 32304 60 302 42 272 51 270 58 268 80 287 32304 30870 49 295 46 261 54 261 53 261 74 279 30870 29377 40 285 50 258 59 259 61 258 69 269 29377 27823 39 272 50 258 60 259 66 260 65 263 27823 26209 43 264 50 261 59 261 70 266 71 264 26209 24538 46 262 51 267 59 264 70 271 74 269 24538 22822 45 264 52 267 58 267 66 272 70 271 22822 21056 40 265 50 262 55 267 57 270 64 270 21056 19236 39 264 48 259 50 266 49 265 59 269 19236 17395 41 266 45 259 45 265 44 263 55 269 17395 15629 39 269 43 260 41 264 41 263 49 268 15629 14023 34 273 38 261 38 264 38 266 44 265 14023 12593 29 272 32 260 35 262 36 267 40 262 12593 11318 26 266 27 260 33 261 34 265 38 260 11318 10177 25 261 24 261 32 259 34 261 37 260 10177 9156 23 258 23 264 31 256 33 258 37 262 9156 8244 21 256 22 268 31 254 31 256 36 265 8244 7434 19 254 22 271 29 252 29 256 36 266 7434 6710 18 252 22 271 27 250 28 256 35 266 6710 6057 17 249 20 270 26 250 28 257 34 264 6057 5474 15 243 16 264 24 249 27 257 32 262 5474 4984 13 238 11 251 22 249 26 258 29 261 4984 4606 10 232 6 226 20 248 24 259 24 263 4606 4344 5 218 5 164 16 247 20 260 18 267 4344 4184 3*136 6*136 13*247 16*263 12*276 4184 4093 5*096 7*124 7*242 7*277 4*348 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography