DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.5 - - 46.6 - - 51.0 - - 52.4 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -2 - - 6 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 849 - - 1282 - - 2622 - - 2794 - - 1254 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 12 - - 20 - - 8 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 296 - - 266 - - 351 - - 302 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -8 - - -4 - - -5 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4966 - - -6558 - - -7217 - - -7780 - - -7436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9060 - - 10652 - - 11311 - - 11875 - - 11530 sfcLCL ODpotential -14668 - - -16792 - - -16405 - - -16659 - - -17078 ODpotential blCL 18761 - - 20885 - - 20499 - - 20753 - - 21171 blCL maxRH 25 - - 23 - - 19 - - 22 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.5 - - 46.6 - - 51.0 - - 52.4 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.8 - - 15.1 - - 16.4 - - 15.4 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.7 - - 47.0 - - 52.3 - - 54.9 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.7 - - 13.9 - - 15.2 - - 14.3 - - 13.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -2 - - 6 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96919 53 079 36 101 37 082 51 083 46 084 96919 89881 53 087 43 093 44 095 50 095 52 094 89881 84379 43 086 43 093 42 092 45 099 53 095 84379 79741 28 081 37 093 32 099 37 090 46 091 79741 75710 25 083 24 095 23 106 24 079 40 076 75710 72141 19 064 20 078 17 079 22 076 26 078 72141 68890 15 033 18 055 17 059 23 059 27 074 68890 65890 12 020 21 031 18 049 25 043 19 049 65890 63135 16 021 20 016 21 027 22 035 20 020 63135 60498 27 358 23 005 22 007 22 020 24 015 60498 57746 29 345 31 356 29 359 25 359 29 012 57746 54882 41 348 36 352 36 353 34 343 37 354 54882 52152 47 335 46 346 42 347 42 343 43 345 52152 49698 51 330 53 338 49 339 49 341 49 341 49698 47493 57 328 58 336 53 335 55 337 53 339 47493 45492 63 329 60 336 53 335 57 337 53 337 45492 43663 62 330 57 336 49 337 53 336 46 341 43663 41989 55 334 49 341 43 343 44 340 37 337 41989 40447 52 343 42 352 36 002 32 350 28 359 40447 39013 48 354 41 006 34 017 27 003 33 023 39013 37677 44 006 39 015 33 020 30 024 31 039 37677 36400 40 013 34 018 34 027 36 034 30 055 36400 35112 32 014 30 025 39 032 37 043 30 062 35112 33784 26 023 28 034 41 031 35 046 31 059 33784 32419 25 033 25 038 38 025 30 046 33 053 32419 31003 24 038 22 036 39 020 24 044 36 040 31003 29527 25 037 23 032 39 017 22 034 36 034 29527 27990 27 032 30 030 36 014 25 020 31 033 27990 26393 29 030 34 030 34 013 27 019 26 031 26393 24737 28 027 31 028 31 014 28 023 27 030 24737 23028 26 023 26 021 28 013 29 028 27 031 23028 21259 24 019 23 021 26 013 29 031 24 029 21259 19424 21 011 22 030 25 017 28 033 22 029 19424 17558 20 015 19 037 23 023 26 036 21 034 17558 15761 18 027 17 041 20 026 22 038 20 041 15761 14126 16 038 17 050 18 031 18 040 18 045 14126 12669 15 051 17 059 16 042 18 044 17 048 12669 11371 15 064 15 070 15 056 17 054 18 053 11371 10211 15 076 13 089 13 074 15 070 17 066 10211 9176 15 087 13 111 12 096 12 090 14 084 9176 8254 15 097 14 122 12 109 11 110 12 103 8254 7438 15 105 15 125 13 114 11 120 11 117 7438 6711 15 113 14 128 12 112 10 121 10 121 6711 6056 13 117 13 129 10 109 8 119 9 123 6056 5473 11 116 11 131 8 105 7 118 8 128 5473 4983 7 113 9 128 7 100 6 117 6 138 4983 4605 3 108 6 121 5 093 4 114 4 147 4605 4343 1 307 3 112 3 082 3 111 1 174 4343 4184 3*305 0*089 1*061 1*109 1*341 4184 4092 4*296 0*266 1*351 1*302 2*313 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography