DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 52.3 - - 59.5 - - 61.0 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 22 - - 40 - - -8 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 897 - - 2041 - - 4807 - - 6257 - - 1696 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 30 - - 36 - - 17 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 105 - - 327 - - 297 - - 310 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 4 - - -4 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1926 - - -3027 - - -4531 - - -4080 - - -2644 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6020 - - 7122 - - 8625 - - 8175 - - 6738 sfcLCL ODpotential -8197 - - -8086 - - -7758 - - -6531 - - -6871 ODpotential blCL 12291 - - 12180 - - 11852 - - 10626 - - 10965 blCL maxRH 52 - - 56 - - 60 - - 57 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 52.3 - - 59.5 - - 61.0 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 35.4 - - 36.0 - - 39.3 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 53.6 - - 60.5 - - 62.1 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 34.4 - - 34.8 - - 38.0 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 22 - - 40 - - -8 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 4 272 4 347 1 227 7 240 10 247 96304 89178 5 021 9 138 6 213 9 297 5 350 89178 83664 3 347 8 118 12 209 9 256 10 326 83664 79072 3 343 1 142 11 221 3 299 6 283 79072 75101 13 318 6 278 12 266 11 291 11 309 75101 71580 13 284 8 281 12 275 19 276 19 302 71580 68392 13 269 14 280 17 281 13 313 19 294 68392 65454 20 284 21 281 25 280 25 308 19 296 65454 62718 21 275 21 278 26 269 27 282 25 291 62718 60050 13 280 23 279 24 265 24 274 24 290 60050 57254 18 291 28 278 27 274 30 279 30 292 57254 54353 31 281 31 282 32 276 37 279 36 280 54353 51580 39 273 37 277 39 279 40 281 39 274 51580 49079 40 272 40 268 43 274 43 280 40 278 49079 46840 42 276 45 268 44 278 46 283 44 287 46840 44827 50 285 48 277 48 284 50 287 50 296 44827 43004 52 287 51 275 52 280 53 292 52 299 43004 41341 48 300 49 279 53 282 54 296 68 309 41341 39823 59 311 58 296 55 291 57 296 68 303 39823 38417 62 304 64 298 61 296 57 295 61 299 38417 37100 59 298 62 297 63 295 55 298 57 309 37100 35836 57 298 59 298 58 293 51 303 57 306 35836 34557 56 300 57 297 56 295 48 308 55 303 34557 33237 55 304 55 295 55 296 47 309 55 300 33237 31877 55 309 53 295 53 295 46 307 54 300 31877 30468 55 310 52 296 50 295 45 305 56 301 30468 29000 53 307 50 297 48 293 47 299 56 306 29000 27477 49 305 45 297 45 291 46 293 55 311 27477 25902 43 307 40 295 41 291 43 288 49 312 25902 24275 38 309 36 293 38 288 40 285 40 305 24275 22602 35 308 33 288 37 282 37 283 35 296 22602 20878 33 304 31 284 36 279 35 283 32 290 20878 19101 32 303 29 283 33 280 33 284 30 286 19101 17301 28 301 26 285 29 280 30 283 27 284 17301 15572 23 295 22 286 24 281 25 281 25 285 15572 13998 19 291 20 287 21 284 22 281 23 288 13998 12591 18 293 19 291 20 289 19 281 21 291 12591 11332 17 297 18 297 19 292 16 281 19 293 11332 10201 17 301 17 303 17 290 15 283 17 295 10201 9186 17 304 17 307 14 287 15 286 16 297 9186 8276 17 306 16 310 13 287 16 290 17 299 8276 7465 17 308 14 312 12 290 16 293 18 300 7465 6739 16 311 13 310 10 294 16 296 19 298 6739 6081 15 312 11 306 9 300 16 299 21 294 6081 5494 13 310 8 305 7 306 16 301 22 290 5494 4998 11 304 7 310 6 312 16 304 21 288 4998 4614 7 292 6 314 4 318 15 305 19 287 4614 4348 2 259 4 322 3 320 15 307 16 288 4348 4186 1*163 3*327 2*314 13*307 12*289 4186 4093 3*105 2*327 1*297 10*310 6*295 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography