DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.6 - - 42.5 - - 43.4 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 46 - - 57 - - 54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1227 - - 16 - - 1536 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5527 - - 4093 - - 5836 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1968 - - 3655 - - 2451 - - 3181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 154 - - 39 - - 194 - - 41 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 339 - - 030 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -2 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1045 - - -266 - - 1136 - - -190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4482 - - 4359 - - 4700 - - 4283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 99 - - -1024 - - -33 - - -1059 ODpotential blCL - - - 5428 - - 5117 - - 5869 - - 5152 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 99 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.6 - - 42.5 - - 43.4 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 37.6 - - 37.0 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 41.7 - - 42.5 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 36.7 - - 35.9 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 46 - - 57 - - 54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1227 - - 16 - - 1536 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 97 - - 92 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96628 17 064 13 084 21 066 26 068 96628 89576 19 093 16 098 21 092 22 086 89576 84072 17 112 15 090 23 098 17 117 84072 79498 13 109 10 066 19 093 14 110 79498 75553 14 106 6 100 5 081 18 089 75553 72027 16 096 9 146 6 144 9 055 72027 68795 7 111 9 139 5 152 7 106 68795 65811 1 142 9 146 6 186 7 164 65811 63050 4 259 7 195 3 148 9 173 63050 60374 6 257 8 202 4 207 9 153 60374 57566 11 237 9 181 8 208 8 131 57566 54639 16 219 14 189 13 198 1 149 54639 51835 19 198 18 189 18 171 15 186 51835 49303 18 204 15 187 14 144 25 147 49303 47029 23 222 12 199 8 156 26 122 47029 44960 28 216 18 211 12 192 20 118 44960 43059 32 204 25 195 19 186 20 128 43059 41299 31 194 25 183 23 171 22 129 41299 39659 28 193 21 177 20 154 22 119 39659 38125 28 192 20 180 16 154 20 106 38125 36691 29 180 25 179 19 159 19 106 36691 35327 30 177 29 168 22 150 20 121 35327 33972 37 188 29 167 20 150 24 122 33972 32601 48 178 34 168 22 168 25 121 32601 31218 55 161 42 167 35 164 29 131 31218 29815 54 158 48 164 39 160 32 134 29815 28377 50 167 47 161 32 160 32 133 28377 26899 45 175 37 169 30 152 34 120 26899 25372 38 180 29 184 31 154 33 120 25372 23792 34 205 29 182 28 157 32 130 23792 22163 29 210 27 177 26 156 27 137 22163 20480 26 201 23 171 23 160 21 141 20480 18739 21 191 19 164 19 166 21 143 18739 16971 16 174 15 160 13 176 22 138 16971 15271 9 146 9 130 6 188 20 126 15271 13723 3 078 9 089 6 115 18 115 13723 12345 6 006 9 070 9 075 16 103 12345 11113 10 359 9 052 11 056 13 090 11113 10011 13 348 10 027 12 042 14 081 10011 9023 13 330 11 018 13 038 17 073 9023 8138 13 316 12 020 14 039 20 068 8138 7350 13 309 11 018 14 038 21 065 7350 6646 11 306 9 009 14 035 21 062 6646 6010 8*308 8 357 14*033 20 059 6010 5442 6*313 6 342 13*031 17 053 5442 4965 5 314 6 339 13 030 14 048 4965 4595 4 316 6 339 12 030 12 046 4595 4338 4 317 6 339 11 029 10 044 4338 4182 4 318 5*339 11 029 10*042 4182 4092 4 318 5*339 10 029 9*042 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography