DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.7 - - 52.2 - - 58.0 - - 61.0 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 13 - - 32 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 504 - - 1929 - - 3227 - - 3686 - - 2776 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 25 - - 33 - - 21 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 323 - - 219 - - 200 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1923 - - -1463 - - -2339 - - -2794 - - -2728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6018 - - 5557 - - 6434 - - 6890 - - 6824 sfcLCL ODpotential -8776 - - -5015 - - -5013 - - -5515 - - -6338 ODpotential blCL 12870 - - 9109 - - 9108 - - 9610 - - 10433 blCL maxRH 78 - - 92 - - 87 - - 78 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.7 - - 52.2 - - 58.0 - - 61.0 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 42.3 - - 44.1 - - 45.1 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.6 - - 54.0 - - 58.8 - - 62.1 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 41.1 - - 43.0 - - 43.9 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 13 - - 32 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 10 - - 68 - - 48 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96752 13 101 10 071 10 082 3 109 7 053 96752 89559 9 097 8 083 8 098 5 003 3 012 89559 83973 6 024 8 067 4 319 9 026 6 015 83973 79340 9 012 12 048 3 256 14 340 18 342 79340 75384 17 337 13 318 21 335 18 330 18 337 75384 71897 22 340 23 326 29 325 26 330 20 331 71897 68739 40 326 27 323 37 316 39 326 35 326 68739 65849 41 308 40 320 39 307 44 312 44 311 65849 63176 39 303 45 304 42 312 45 308 43 309 63176 60567 44 292 45 295 53 298 53 297 51 293 60567 57824 45 300 52 298 48 292 52 287 51 285 57824 54977 58 300 52 301 58 297 48 296 56 304 54977 52251 78 291 76 294 76 299 73 298 73 304 52251 49791 85 280 82 282 85 286 85 290 81 291 49791 47592 86 281 78 279 78 282 83 283 83 279 47592 45596 86 282 79 284 78 282 78 279 75 272 45596 43767 83 279 84 282 80 280 76 277 69 275 43767 42086 82 280 89 282 82 281 82 278 79 281 42086 40544 85 284 95 282 87 282 91 278 94 279 40544 39120 92 285 95 283 88 283 92 276 92 276 39120 37782 95 284 92 283 84 282 86 276 85 275 37782 36491 93 284 91 282 81 283 81 276 80 275 36491 35185 90 284 89 282 79 282 76 276 76 274 35185 33838 86 284 84 282 79 280 73 276 70 272 33838 32453 82 284 77 284 78 279 73 276 65 274 32453 31019 76 287 69 284 72 282 69 278 58 276 31019 29527 66 286 59 281 66 286 59 285 50 275 29527 27977 55 282 55 281 60 288 53 289 48 287 27977 26373 49 282 53 282 55 289 50 290 40 295 26373 24715 48 285 50 284 52 291 48 291 35 295 24715 23004 46 284 48 286 50 295 47 291 35 292 23004 21237 43 286 41 289 41 297 45 294 36 291 21237 19408 38 293 34 290 34 295 41 301 32 296 19408 17551 30 301 27 288 26 288 28 297 27 297 17551 15768 24 309 23 284 21 280 19 290 22 294 15768 14151 22 310 22 279 20 279 15 294 15 299 14151 12712 20 303 18 277 19 281 12 297 11 318 12712 11428 17 294 13 282 14 284 8 294 7 335 11428 10278 13 286 10 289 8 288 5 273 3 329 10278 9246 9 279 9 290 5 292 4 251 2 299 9246 8323 8 275 8 295 4 297 4 255 2 311 8323 7500 7 276 7 306 4 306 4 272 4 335 7500 6765 6 282 6 322 4 312 3 293 5 344 6765 6099 6 292 6 334 4 315 3 306 6 350 6099 5505 5 301 5 338 3 317 2 318 7 002 5505 5005 3 313 5 335 3 315 2 326 7 011 5005 4618 2 006 4 334 2 309 1 329 7 017 4618 4350 3 046 3 333 1 278 0 276 6 018 4350 4187 4*059 2*330 1*242 1*209 3*022 4187 4094 3*060 2*323 2*219 1*200 1*028 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography