DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 64.9 - - 69.1 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 36 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2389 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6689 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3230 - - 7598 - - 8098 - - 6631 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 36 - - 27 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 115 - - 054 - - 306 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -397 - - -4710 - - -6729 - - -4747 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7087 - - 8805 - - 10825 - - 8843 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2359 - - -6259 - - -8845 - - -6947 ODpotential blCL - - - 9048 - - 10353 - - 12940 - - 11042 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 90 - - 64 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 30 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 64.9 - - 69.1 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 40.5 - - 35.7 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 64.3 - - 68.8 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 39.3 - - 34.6 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 36 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2389 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 61 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98218 6 060 4 134 7 185 6 243 98218 90862 3 102 2 127 2 118 3 358 90862 85180 10 165 3 242 6 019 3 114 85180 80466 5 186 5 125 2 038 5 030 80466 76421 9 118 1 182 2 089 4 010 76421 72865 4 047 2 119 6 043 3 136 72865 69643 3 235 6 276 10 325 3 021 69643 66676 5 225 11 266 11 265 11 279 66676 63926 10 244 14 259 12 237 13 252 63926 61251 16 257 22 264 17 275 13 273 61251 58454 19 258 22 246 23 270 17 281 58454 55550 17 253 18 242 25 260 22 281 55550 52776 24 284 19 260 25 269 21 286 52776 50271 32 284 25 272 25 276 18 289 50271 48005 32 276 26 275 25 282 19 296 48005 45932 31 263 28 277 23 286 21 305 45932 44024 30 260 25 287 21 297 24 312 44024 42266 27 269 23 310 20 312 28 333 42266 40647 18 276 21 315 21 333 30 009 40647 39148 12 298 19 324 27 004 47 039 39148 37761 15 336 20 355 44 016 70 029 37761 36447 21 352 32 019 49 021 81 025 36447 35130 26 009 46 026 58 033 80 028 35130 33775 37 020 64 029 68 037 77 037 33775 32386 45 023 72 030 75 033 80 041 32386 30950 49 024 69 029 77 027 80 042 30950 29454 51 026 65 027 72 029 77 042 29454 27901 53 028 62 027 67 030 71 039 27901 26293 51 029 57 027 61 025 67 033 26293 24635 42 023 52 033 59 022 57 034 24635 22930 18 045 37 030 56 025 51 034 22930 21171 16 073 23 019 51 030 47 037 21171 19353 14 072 14 034 36 036 41 039 19353 17514 11 064 15 027 25 031 32 033 17514 15752 8 066 16 032 23 025 25 029 15752 14153 6 075 16 048 21 032 22 034 14153 12726 4 022 15 055 17 042 20 036 12726 11449 7 334 12 046 12 037 20 029 11449 10302 8 334 9 029 10 031 20 022 10302 9272 6 002 7 013 10 028 19 019 9272 8347 3 035 7 011 9 026 17 017 8347 7521 3 100 6 014 8 022 14 014 7521 6783 4*111 6 017 7 016 11 009 6783 6114 5*112 5 020 6 007 10 001 6114 5517 5 114 4 025 5 353 9 352 5517 5013 5 115 3 034 4 340 8 344 5013 4624 5 116 2 045 3 323 7 335 4624 4353 5 118 2 048 3 314 6 329 4353 4189 5 118 2*051 3*309 5*326 4189 4094 5 119 2*054 3*306 5*323 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography