DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 68.9 - - 67.2 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 21 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3260 - - 5516 - - 4711 - - 2719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 31 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 271 - - 284 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7767 - - -5436 - - -3831 - - -3065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11863 - - 9531 - - 7926 - - 7159 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13867 - - -9485 - - -7256 - - -7573 ODpotential blCL - - - 17962 - - 13580 - - 11351 - - 11667 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 79 - - 87 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 68.9 - - 67.2 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.7 - - 41.3 - - 46.6 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 69.9 - - 68.0 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.6 - - 40.2 - - 45.4 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 21 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 14 - - 46 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96086 37 285 36 288 26 286 25 280 96086 88976 20 286 20 290 22 299 26 290 88976 83552 21 280 21 301 25 285 23 289 83552 79084 14 276 20 289 10 284 11 304 79084 75199 8 296 19 275 23 284 18 319 75199 71742 18 298 24 264 30 274 26 299 71742 68635 11 303 18 248 20 269 21 287 68635 65785 8 341 10 221 15 256 17 274 65785 63125 30 277 12 250 23 260 22 261 63125 60547 49 270 42 263 35 262 32 250 60547 57870 48 259 48 261 40 257 40 249 57870 55082 45 251 51 254 47 251 47 250 55082 52399 46 251 53 247 53 249 55 254 52399 49964 50 251 56 248 57 251 58 256 49964 47759 54 252 59 250 60 253 60 260 47759 45737 57 254 62 249 64 254 64 260 45737 43878 60 256 63 248 66 251 66 256 43878 42168 62 255 63 251 66 251 65 255 42168 40600 62 257 63 255 65 255 66 257 40600 39155 62 259 64 259 62 256 65 259 39155 37804 64 257 64 258 61 254 63 260 37804 36503 64 255 64 256 62 255 62 257 36503 35188 65 252 66 253 61 257 60 257 35188 33834 65 249 67 250 61 255 58 259 33834 32445 66 248 66 248 61 251 57 257 32445 31009 66 248 65 248 62 247 56 254 31009 29514 66 247 64 249 62 246 56 251 29514 27961 66 248 63 250 61 249 55 251 27961 26353 64 249 61 252 59 252 53 253 26353 24691 60 249 58 252 57 253 51 253 24691 22980 55 246 55 250 54 251 50 253 22980 21218 50 243 51 247 51 248 50 254 21218 19398 47 242 47 246 47 248 48 257 19398 17554 44 243 44 249 44 251 44 259 17554 15782 43 245 41 252 41 254 39 262 15782 14169 40 247 38 254 37 257 34 266 14169 12730 35 248 34 254 33 260 30 270 12730 11444 31 250 30 256 30 264 27 274 11444 10290 27 255 25 259 28 269 25 277 10290 9256 25 261 22 263 25 273 24 279 9256 8330 24 265 21 264 24 275 24 281 8330 7506 22 267 21 266 24 276 24 282 7506 6770 20 268 20 267 24 277 25 281 6770 6104 18 269 20 268 24 277 25 280 6104 5509 16 270 20 268 23 278 25 279 5509 5008 14 272 19 269 23 278 24 279 5008 4620 12 274 17 269 21 278 21 279 4620 4351 9 278 15 270 20 279 17 282 4351 4188 8*281 14*270 17*281 13*287 4188 4093 5*286 10*271 10*284 5*305 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography