DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 72.3 - - 62.6 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 29 - - 2 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6133 - - 13849 - - 2279 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 34 - - 17 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 347 - - 018 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 1 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6137 - - -5899 - - -2750 - - -3011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10232 - - 9994 - - 6846 - - 7106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8954 - - -7260 - - -5331 - - -5491 ODpotential blCL - - - 13049 - - 11355 - - 9426 - - 9586 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 99 - - 89 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 1190 - - 650 - - 630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 72.3 - - 62.6 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.5 - - 42.5 - - 46.6 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 72.1 - - 63.7 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.4 - - 41.4 - - 45.5 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 29 - - 2 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 95 - - 58 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97422 16 204 19 243 24 263 23 261 97422 90003 9 231 15 259 14 248 15 267 90003 84344 10 286 11 281 10 278 9 264 84344 79668 10 301 11 279 11 302 10 276 79668 75643 7 302 8 273 14 312 11 301 75643 72087 6 327 9 286 15 299 14 318 72087 68865 7 312 10 298 15 302 14 311 68865 65891 9 304 11 294 18 308 13 309 65891 63123 14 308 13 288 19 298 16 303 63123 60427 14 312 14 299 17 287 17 297 60427 57596 17 298 16 303 15 286 17 289 57596 54652 21 292 23 295 19 294 18 285 54652 51852 27 280 28 284 24 294 17 295 51852 49335 24 267 27 275 26 283 21 287 49335 47080 20 265 26 261 29 269 25 270 47080 45042 20 264 23 255 30 262 25 269 45042 43183 24 268 26 257 32 254 31 259 43183 41485 36 258 35 244 36 246 35 251 41485 39936 43 243 39 237 40 241 39 246 39936 38518 43 238 46 245 41 235 37 238 38518 37204 43 237 54 245 41 231 36 234 37204 35944 41 235 50 242 38 231 36 230 35944 34668 40 238 48 243 38 232 35 231 34668 33352 41 240 47 242 38 228 33 233 33352 32002 43 240 42 242 37 227 31 232 32002 30604 43 240 38 242 35 227 28 230 30604 29149 42 240 37 240 31 225 24 225 29149 27639 39 240 38 235 29 221 21 214 27639 26072 37 237 38 228 28 220 22 203 26072 24451 33 233 37 221 27 223 24 197 24451 22780 28 230 33 213 26 222 26 193 22780 21054 22 225 28 207 23 210 27 190 21054 19269 19 219 24 207 21 198 24 192 19269 17456 19 215 19 207 20 201 20 201 17456 15711 20 213 17 208 19 207 15 214 15711 14121 22 211 14 208 18 215 13 229 14121 12702 22 210 12 211 16 220 13 245 12702 11431 20 207 11 217 13 222 11 256 11431 10290 18 205 9 224 10 224 8 266 10290 9264 17 203 8 229 7 222 5 282 9264 8343 15 202 6 236 4 219 3 322 8343 7520 14 200 5 243 2 208 3 013 7520 6783 12 197 4 251 1 057 6 039 6783 6114 10 193 3 267 3 036 8 047 6114 5517 8 188 3 291 5 030 10 051 5517 5013 7 180 3 319 6 029 11 052 5013 4623 6 170 3 337 8 027 12 051 4623 4353 5 161 4 345 8 024 12 051 4353 4188 3*151 4*349 9*021 11*051 4188 4094 2*119 4*347 8*018 8*050 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography