DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 64.5 - - 63.4 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 25 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5599 - - 8897 - - 10384 - - 8358 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 25 - - 33 - - 19 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 268 - - 276 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4831 - - -4619 - - -4153 - - -4055 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8927 - - 8714 - - 8249 - - 8149 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7342 - - -6297 - - -5819 - - -6181 ODpotential blCL - - - 11437 - - 10392 - - 9914 - - 10275 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 96 - - 89 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 380 - - 390 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 64.5 - - 63.4 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 40.5 - - 41.4 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 64.9 - - 63.9 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 39.3 - - 40.2 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 25 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 83 - - 54 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96413 25 280 24 275 26 270 26 295 96413 89212 13 290 18 277 18 278 27 287 89212 83740 13 312 22 284 18 291 16 277 83740 79205 11 311 15 292 22 301 14 303 79205 75270 16 306 21 295 23 291 18 305 75270 71781 21 292 19 292 17 295 18 304 71781 68605 22 296 22 288 22 303 17 307 68605 65654 26 280 31 281 35 289 24 294 65654 62895 25 276 35 275 35 279 31 285 62895 60206 23 280 34 275 30 292 32 294 60206 57389 29 281 38 269 40 286 44 284 57389 54468 36 268 35 257 45 271 47 273 54468 51684 34 278 33 273 45 269 47 269 51684 49174 48 291 44 281 49 275 45 273 49174 46925 63 280 59 283 51 280 52 278 46925 44896 64 276 71 281 60 284 59 275 44896 43058 71 280 80 278 73 277 63 274 43058 41384 85 280 84 275 76 275 67 275 41384 39848 91 278 83 274 75 273 69 272 39848 38430 85 272 82 272 76 266 66 264 38430 37105 79 269 79 270 81 263 67 258 37105 35830 76 270 77 269 78 266 66 259 35830 34541 67 262 76 270 75 268 62 259 34541 33213 62 254 73 274 72 261 55 257 33213 31848 59 253 66 276 66 248 51 253 31848 30435 53 252 57 269 58 237 50 245 30435 28965 46 257 55 259 51 244 45 237 28965 27440 43 255 60 261 43 264 37 235 27440 25865 45 249 57 266 36 267 29 243 25865 24241 48 252 52 269 37 260 25 247 24241 22569 47 255 50 265 38 258 24 245 22569 20845 43 252 47 255 31 259 22 239 20845 19067 37 246 42 245 28 265 20 232 19067 17268 31 242 38 243 31 268 18 227 17268 15544 26 242 35 246 35 265 17 229 15544 13977 25 247 31 251 30 261 18 239 13977 12579 25 254 26 255 24 261 22 253 12579 11327 25 260 22 257 23 263 25 260 11327 10202 25 264 21 259 23 264 26 263 10202 9189 25 266 20 261 23 265 26 265 9189 8280 23 267 20 262 23 267 25 266 8280 7469 22 267 20 263 23 268 24 267 7469 6743 21 267 19 264 23 269 23 269 6743 6085 20 267 19 264 22 270 23 269 6085 5496 18 267 18 265 22 271 22 270 5496 5000 16 267 17 266 21 272 20 271 5000 4615 15 267 16 266 20 272 17 272 4615 4349 13 267 14 266 19 273 14 273 4349 4187 11*268 13*267 17*274 10*274 4187 4093 8*267 9*268 11*276 5*277 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography