DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.7 - - 59.2 - - 67.8 - - 67.5 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 26 - - 30 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 955 - - 3039 - - 5801 - - 4844 - - 2459 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 31 - - 34 - - 19 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 095 - - 178 - - 290 - - 285 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 0 - - -3 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2653 - - -4673 - - -4378 - - -3491 - - -3363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6747 - - 8767 - - 8473 - - 7587 - - 7458 sfcLCL ODpotential -9717 - - -13077 - - -7675 - - -6619 - - -8906 ODpotential blCL 13811 - - 17171 - - 11770 - - 10714 - - 13001 blCL maxRH 76 - - 68 - - 68 - - 75 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.7 - - 59.2 - - 67.8 - - 67.5 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 35.2 - - 44.8 - - 48.4 - - 44.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 60.5 - - 68.3 - - 68.4 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.4 - - 34.1 - - 43.7 - - 47.2 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 26 - - 30 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96421 21 285 20 286 32 288 28 298 13 297 96421 89335 15 313 12 286 30 271 29 287 22 315 89335 83917 16 318 9 296 20 275 19 307 17 308 83917 79394 16 298 11 299 19 279 18 313 16 310 79394 75474 15 301 11 287 17 274 17 289 18 305 75474 72008 20 302 12 315 13 300 12 289 16 296 72008 68877 27 297 20 310 15 304 12 288 15 304 68877 66005 29 288 23 289 18 280 21 280 21 291 66005 63348 34 299 25 292 22 280 29 273 29 280 63348 60775 43 300 31 299 28 292 35 278 34 282 60775 58080 49 297 40 303 35 295 39 287 34 289 58080 55270 56 293 52 302 46 304 46 302 41 299 55270 52583 60 296 61 306 57 305 55 301 49 300 52583 50159 73 305 74 308 62 306 59 303 54 300 50159 47971 77 298 81 301 70 304 65 307 56 304 47971 45987 72 286 73 292 72 298 70 303 66 303 45987 44188 60 297 63 292 65 291 61 291 66 294 44188 42536 75 327 55 310 53 296 46 289 57 285 42536 40997 86 325 67 327 50 311 49 302 48 294 40997 39555 82 319 67 324 52 312 48 304 46 295 39555 38200 85 313 59 312 55 303 36 297 54 287 38200 36891 85 311 58 307 58 298 43 292 55 289 36891 35566 79 310 63 307 63 295 51 291 52 293 35566 34196 73 312 64 304 68 294 57 292 60 291 34196 32789 70 313 59 295 65 293 60 292 58 291 32789 31330 61 308 57 295 60 288 59 292 57 289 31330 29810 57 300 56 301 59 282 57 291 56 288 29810 28232 57 293 54 299 57 280 53 289 54 289 28232 26597 59 291 56 288 55 282 51 286 51 290 26597 24911 56 295 61 284 54 285 52 285 48 290 24911 23175 46 292 59 286 53 289 51 285 46 288 23175 21386 39 278 55 289 51 292 47 286 45 284 21386 19537 36 275 51 289 51 292 42 288 43 281 19537 17665 38 278 48 289 51 291 40 289 39 279 17665 15869 42 280 45 289 46 289 40 290 36 278 15869 14237 42 281 41 288 40 286 40 291 34 280 14237 12782 40 280 37 286 36 284 39 293 33 284 12782 11482 37 279 32 281 32 281 37 295 31 289 11482 10318 33 278 27 277 25 275 33 294 29 292 10318 9276 28 279 24 274 18 270 27 290 26 294 9276 8346 23 279 21 269 17 272 23 285 23 294 8346 7518 20 277 18 264 16 274 22 282 23 292 7518 6778 19 274 14 259 15 276 22 281 23 285 6778 6110 17 273 9 256 15 278 22 281 23 276 6110 5513 13 275 6 257 14 280 21 281 23 271 5513 5010 9 279 4 256 12 283 20 281 22 270 5010 4621 5 275 2 252 11 285 19 281 18 270 4621 4352 1 253 1 233 10 288 17 282 14 271 4352 4188 4*098 1*214 9*289 15*283 10*274 4188 4094 6*095 0*178 7*290 9*285 4*290 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography