DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 47.9 - - 53.4 - - 55.6 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 6 - - 18 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 577 - - 1353 - - 4102 - - 5360 - - 3362 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 20 - - 28 - - 15 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 181 - - 310 - - 278 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2567 - - -2861 - - -3869 - - -4648 - - -3673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6660 - - 6954 - - 7963 - - 8742 - - 7767 sfcLCL ODpotential -6770 - - -8217 - - -7130 - - -7668 - - -8270 ODpotential blCL 10863 - - 12310 - - 11224 - - 11762 - - 12364 blCL maxRH 70 - - 70 - - 76 - - 72 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 47.9 - - 53.4 - - 55.6 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 32.2 - - 33.2 - - 32.0 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.7 - - 48.8 - - 54.4 - - 56.8 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.9 - - 30.9 - - 32.1 - - 30.8 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 6 - - 18 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96474 12 058 8 051 5 127 5 177 8 135 96474 89422 17 102 8 138 15 080 15 086 13 087 89422 83937 17 101 12 134 11 099 16 072 9 067 83937 79368 13 116 10 109 5 109 9 089 12 073 79368 75416 13 128 8 099 2 029 5 132 11 071 75416 71915 8 130 0 131 6 308 4 066 6 090 71915 68744 2 297 4 240 10 275 8 348 4 357 68744 65825 11 291 5 278 10 251 7 322 13 297 65825 63119 12 263 10 288 9 254 9 278 15 271 63119 60498 15 278 16 283 11 286 12 289 10 264 60498 57758 19 279 18 279 15 290 18 283 14 278 57758 54900 18 273 17 267 15 267 21 273 20 280 54900 52156 22 270 17 284 15 282 18 276 19 277 52156 49676 26 276 25 289 18 291 19 296 26 293 49676 47444 25 288 25 297 28 306 27 279 26 285 47444 45402 25 299 23 300 26 293 24 288 28 308 45402 43526 19 296 21 294 25 304 33 312 63 303 43526 41818 24 322 20 331 41 312 40 298 36 296 41818 40249 40 327 36 327 31 319 33 284 16 340 40249 38808 34 342 36 330 38 342 62 343 60 345 38808 37481 33 002 51 341 56 348 66 346 51 346 37481 36214 51 349 53 341 52 349 47 345 43 334 36214 34933 59 341 48 338 39 350 38 340 45 327 34933 33610 56 347 46 337 31 344 31 330 43 324 33610 32247 49 353 44 337 28 340 28 319 40 323 32247 30832 40 353 41 338 27 330 26 317 37 319 30832 29355 35 007 32 350 28 318 22 320 36 311 29355 27818 34 015 29 007 20 326 16 328 34 309 27818 26220 28 011 21 008 11 343 13 327 19 320 26220 24564 24 351 16 345 14 309 14 305 11 305 24564 22857 24 346 17 336 22 301 17 287 10 286 22857 21097 24 335 15 334 22 308 19 288 12 280 21097 19278 24 322 15 317 17 316 16 296 15 295 19278 17433 19 313 18 309 15 318 11 301 14 293 17433 15661 13 302 18 309 13 318 9 299 16 276 15661 14052 11 290 15 293 11 303 10 283 17 269 14052 12620 10 277 11 271 10 273 12 260 16 258 12620 11344 10 266 9 251 11 254 14 252 15 255 11344 10203 9 261 7 235 11 245 13 252 14 261 10203 9180 8 265 6 220 10 240 11 256 13 271 9180 8267 7 272 6 204 9 237 11 262 12 279 8267 7453 7 279 7 191 8 235 11 264 12 284 7453 6727 7 284 7 183 7 236 11 266 12 287 6727 6070 7 285 7 178 6 237 11 266 12 287 6070 5484 5 282 7 175 5 239 10 267 11 286 5484 4991 4 261 7 173 4 241 8 268 10 286 4991 4610 3 200 6 171 2 245 7 269 9 286 4610 4346 4 148 5 173 1 252 5 272 7 287 4346 4185 4*127 4*177 1*280 4*274 2*307 4185 4093 3*114 2*181 1*310 4*278 3*078 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography