DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 55.8 - - 56.4 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7342 - - 8874 - - 8327 - - 6054 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 26 - - 21 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 212 - - 223 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2884 - - -4316 - - -3032 - - -3248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6978 - - 8410 - - 7126 - - 7342 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3937 - - -5567 - - -4333 - - -4733 ODpotential blCL - - - 8031 - - 9661 - - 8427 - - 8827 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 90 - - 420 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 55.8 - - 56.4 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 33.0 - - 39.1 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 55.7 - - 56.4 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 31.8 - - 37.9 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 74 - - 99 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96996 34 263 53 270 52 282 47 276 96996 89573 42 274 49 270 49 281 44 279 89573 83957 38 277 39 273 42 282 42 272 83957 79368 32 275 32 273 34 274 28 277 79368 75394 27 270 32 267 25 268 20 292 75394 71843 28 266 26 258 33 268 34 260 71843 68628 29 261 21 258 37 259 36 246 68628 65661 29 253 32 252 29 251 24 234 65661 62861 28 250 36 245 20 255 14 233 62861 60088 30 248 29 237 21 266 26 250 60088 57188 29 237 21 228 38 252 42 248 57188 54225 27 222 33 233 41 240 34 235 54225 51417 27 219 40 227 33 223 16 198 51417 48857 35 230 32 220 22 213 7 241 48857 46523 43 235 25 221 21 231 32 250 46523 44409 46 233 34 230 44 245 56 244 44409 42503 43 228 50 235 61 233 72 235 42503 40774 38 230 57 240 59 234 73 228 40774 39190 40 243 62 247 68 242 69 231 39190 37726 48 250 74 251 83 239 73 232 37726 36372 48 254 82 251 92 235 77 227 36372 35088 52 264 84 250 93 233 79 220 35088 33807 64 268 82 248 89 232 78 216 33807 32498 68 268 75 245 83 228 80 215 32498 31161 63 264 70 242 78 224 83 214 31161 29785 60 259 68 239 73 222 83 214 29785 28360 60 258 67 238 70 221 78 213 28360 26886 56 260 65 238 67 222 71 211 26886 25361 48 258 61 237 63 223 64 207 25361 23786 44 254 55 236 57 224 61 204 23786 22162 41 252 47 236 52 223 58 201 22162 20488 37 249 40 233 46 220 55 197 20488 18759 33 247 35 229 42 215 50 192 18759 17008 29 246 32 226 38 207 47 188 17008 15323 24 241 29 223 36 201 45 186 15323 13787 19 233 25 218 34 199 43 187 13787 12415 18 229 23 213 33 200 41 190 12415 11185 19 227 22 212 31 202 39 195 11185 10081 20 225 21 211 28 205 37 201 10081 9089 20 222 20 211 26 208 34 207 9089 8199 19 219 19 212 26 210 31 211 8199 7405 17 215 19 213 25 213 28 215 7405 6694 16 213 18 213 25 216 25 218 6694 6048 15 210 17 214 24 218 22 221 6048 5471 14 208 16 215 23 219 20 224 5471 4984 13 207 15 215 22 221 18 226 4984 4606 12 204 14 215 20 222 16 228 4606 4344 12 202 14 214 18 223 14 229 4344 4185 11*201 13*214 16*223 12*228 4185 4093 11*200 11*212 10*223 10*227 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography