DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.0 - - 60.7 - - 68.6 - - 74.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 17 - - 32 - - 2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - - Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 262 - - 932 - - 1060 - - 6025 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 27 - - 33 - - 18 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - - B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction 066 - - 082 - - 066 - - 265 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - 3 - - -5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4453 - - -5615 - - -6669 - - -7320 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8549 - - 9710 - - 10764 - - 11417 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -14289 - - -14814 - - -13806 - - -12683 - - - ODpotential blCL 18384 - - 18908 - - 17901 - - 16779 - - - blCL maxRH 45 - - 54 - - 55 - - 52 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 57.0 - - 60.7 - - 68.6 - - 74.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.5 - - 33.1 - - 36.2 - - 38.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 64.1 - - 70.9 - - 77.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.3 - - 32.0 - - 35.0 - - 37.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 17 - - 32 - - 2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96614 3 022 8 242 27 267 23 301 96614 89468 2 234 2 176 6 216 11 287 89468 84025 1 161 4 167 5 196 6 242 84025 79498 4 172 2 113 1 203 2 228 79498 75568 1 219 3 207 5 336 3 307 75568 72085 6 291 7 226 8 321 4 315 72085 68938 6 009 3 223 9 277 11 294 68938 66057 11 335 6 337 11 247 13 307 66057 63394 12 312 16 328 9 279 14 297 63394 60826 16 286 24 286 20 286 17 269 60826 58149 22 288 25 273 20 285 10 259 58149 55360 25 281 19 277 20 271 24 277 55360 52692 26 275 20 279 25 254 32 257 52692 50299 25 273 24 281 31 266 28 274 50299 48156 30 270 30 275 37 278 35 285 48156 46205 37 278 41 261 45 260 48 267 46205 44420 51 274 44 263 43 255 44 256 44420 42778 52 269 46 270 45 267 46 265 42778 41242 51 278 53 275 54 274 59 267 41242 39795 54 280 60 272 59 270 60 265 39795 38429 59 276 61 269 58 268 57 264 38429 37113 60 273 58 264 56 265 56 259 37113 35783 58 273 55 263 53 260 55 255 35783 34412 55 272 54 262 53 258 56 254 34412 33004 53 266 56 259 54 258 57 255 33004 31547 53 262 57 258 57 259 57 258 31547 30030 53 262 54 256 55 261 52 261 30030 28453 52 263 51 256 51 259 47 260 28453 26817 51 262 50 256 51 255 46 257 26817 25124 50 258 48 257 51 252 46 257 25124 23382 47 255 45 254 51 249 46 257 23382 21584 44 251 43 249 50 247 44 257 21584 19725 42 247 41 248 47 248 40 260 19725 17841 40 246 39 249 42 251 34 261 17841 16032 37 248 37 252 36 253 28 258 16032 14387 34 248 34 252 31 254 26 252 14387 12920 28 243 29 250 28 251 23 248 12920 11610 23 238 23 242 25 247 19 246 11610 10436 18 240 19 237 20 248 15 248 10436 9381 15 250 15 240 15 254 13 253 9381 8437 13 263 12 247 14 256 13 257 8437 7594 13 274 10 255 11 260 13 259 7594 6840 12 281 8 263 9 266 13 261 6840 6157 11 285 7 271 6 276 13 262 6157 5546 10 289 5 280 4 296 12 262 5546 5032 7 290 3 295 2 336 11 263 5032 4634 4 298 1 339 2 011 10 264 4634 4359 2 038 1 054 2 036 9 264 4359 4191 4*068 2*079 2*049 8*264 4191 4095 3*066 2*082 1*066 7*265 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography