DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 70.0 - - 73.9 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 44 - - 8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6726 - - 8752 - - 12360 - - 3861 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 40 - - 25 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 039 - - 049 - - 047 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 9 - - 2 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6306 - - -7259 - - -6312 - - -5513 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10402 - - 11355 - - 10407 - - 9609 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9093 - - -9078 - - -7991 - - -8162 ODpotential blCL - - - 13188 - - 13173 - - 12086 - - 12257 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 64 - - 80 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 670 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 70.0 - - 73.9 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.9 - - 34.4 - - 42.3 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 69.5 - - 74.1 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 33.3 - - 41.2 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 44 - - 8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99011 13 123 12 133 11 145 9 162 99011 91608 14 166 3 195 9 133 6 140 91608 85883 9 166 7 187 6 144 9 131 85883 81121 6 207 7 208 5 160 3 089 81121 77021 6 226 13 199 7 246 3 056 77021 73383 7 274 8 195 5 224 6 338 73383 70073 11 233 13 237 13 251 10 255 70073 67027 8 180 14 223 9 262 4 271 67027 64204 1 286 8 234 15 246 17 260 64204 61503 14 255 12 241 15 223 13 222 61503 58685 13 223 7 196 9 131 13 181 58685 55719 23 240 26 241 20 247 24 231 55719 52884 35 236 39 231 40 237 31 229 52884 50343 37 233 41 227 43 227 34 222 50343 48058 40 235 41 230 41 220 35 224 48058 45977 42 235 45 230 38 221 45 228 45977 44067 41 237 44 226 39 222 49 222 44067 42298 47 242 49 230 41 226 50 222 42298 40652 57 241 60 229 53 227 59 222 40652 39118 66 238 68 227 65 224 68 221 39118 37692 74 234 74 227 74 224 71 221 37692 36339 77 231 79 226 83 224 76 223 36339 34988 77 232 84 224 92 222 89 221 34988 33615 79 234 87 223 98 220 97 217 33615 32225 82 233 88 222 99 219 94 216 32225 30799 81 230 85 222 96 220 84 216 30799 29324 71 228 79 222 89 219 73 216 29324 27797 61 226 70 220 79 217 66 216 27797 26216 56 224 62 216 71 216 62 213 26216 24584 52 225 55 216 63 216 58 210 24584 22904 49 226 49 217 57 215 54 205 22904 21170 46 222 46 214 51 210 50 200 21170 19376 43 214 46 211 43 204 48 192 19376 17552 40 207 44 208 31 202 45 186 17552 15794 36 206 36 207 22 205 34 182 15794 14193 31 209 24 210 18 204 16 162 14193 12763 25 212 19 210 15 202 10 135 12763 11480 19 216 17 210 11 193 7 101 11480 10326 14 223 13 210 8 178 5 076 10326 9289 10 224 10 210 7 154 4 028 9289 8359 7 223 7 207 7 136 4 335 8359 7530 4 223 4 200 7 124 8 308 7530 6788 1 226 2 169 6 111 11 299 6788 6118 0 290 2 101 6 100 18 292 6118 5519 1 037 4 072 5 090 22 291 5519 5015 2 039 6 062 5 077 22 292 5015 4624 2 042 7 055 5 065 22 292 4624 4354 2 043 7 051 5 057 19 294 4354 4189 2*038 7*050 5*052 18*295 4189 4094 2*039 7*049 4*047 13*298 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography