DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 55.6 - - 58.9 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 27 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1333 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5633 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2070 - - 4871 - - 5766 - - 2677 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 138 - - 33 - - 14 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 115 - - 328 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 2 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -761 - - -3580 - - -4132 - - -2996 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6394 - - 7675 - - 8226 - - 7090 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3650 - - -6563 - - -6144 - - -6257 ODpotential blCL - - - 9283 - - 10657 - - 10238 - - 10351 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 71 - - 84 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 55.6 - - 58.9 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 36.3 - - 37.2 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 55.2 - - 58.7 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 35.4 - - 36.1 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 27 - - -1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1333 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96713 14 078 6 076 6 052 12 034 96713 89527 10 040 7 044 6 035 10 002 89527 84016 12 352 7 001 8 331 9 342 84016 79425 10 339 10 358 11 323 12 311 79425 75446 12 336 20 329 16 348 13 318 75446 71934 4 318 12 305 14 311 14 309 71934 68766 13 309 14 326 11 001 12 310 68766 65844 28 286 27 296 20 306 16 314 65844 63115 24 288 26 291 25 291 21 308 63115 60477 20 291 26 300 27 296 35 292 60477 57758 29 292 32 290 37 289 36 289 57758 54941 39 294 41 292 43 292 40 304 54941 52235 57 287 57 291 51 295 52 301 52235 49787 61 286 64 292 64 297 66 301 49787 47589 68 292 74 294 77 296 77 295 47589 45595 78 292 86 291 84 291 79 293 45595 43770 90 289 88 286 80 287 78 293 43770 42091 93 286 76 288 71 293 76 295 42091 40540 86 288 84 303 77 301 78 296 40540 39104 84 295 90 303 85 298 80 297 39104 37760 91 298 87 302 83 297 81 296 37760 36466 96 298 87 307 79 299 81 296 36466 35157 100 297 90 310 79 300 80 297 35157 33806 95 296 89 311 84 301 79 297 33806 32417 86 300 87 308 86 300 80 296 32417 30977 87 304 85 305 85 299 80 295 30977 29475 89 304 86 303 85 300 79 296 29475 27916 88 302 87 304 81 302 76 297 27916 26302 81 299 81 306 71 302 72 299 26302 24636 72 295 67 303 64 294 67 299 24636 22920 66 294 57 296 64 288 62 296 22920 21147 60 293 55 291 56 293 57 292 21147 19315 53 289 54 288 50 300 54 292 19315 17461 46 287 48 288 46 301 50 295 17461 15685 40 288 41 290 41 296 44 296 15685 14074 33 288 34 288 37 289 37 295 14074 12640 26 286 28 285 32 282 30 294 12640 11361 20 280 24 279 25 271 25 289 11361 10216 16 272 19 266 20 259 21 283 10216 9191 14 267 16 252 15 255 19 279 9191 8274 13 263 12 245 12 260 17 276 8274 7458 12 258 10 243 11 266 17 274 7458 6730 10 253 8 242 10 272 17 272 6730 6072 7*248 6 241 8 276 17 270 6072 5486 3*227 3 234 6 282 16 270 5486 4992 2 206 1 211 5 291 15 271 4992 4611 2 189 1 146 4 300 13 273 4611 4347 2 183 1 126 3 314 12 274 4347 4185 2 184 1*118 2*321 8*277 4185 4093 2 180 1*115 2*328 6*279 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography