DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 53.5 - - 54.9 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - 16 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 769 - - 3515 - - 4029 - - 1866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 15 - - 27 - - 12 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 111 - - 350 - - 299 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - -4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4200 - - -5554 - - -5371 - - -5402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8294 - - 9648 - - 9465 - - 9497 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10645 - - -10834 - - -9519 - - -10764 ODpotential blCL - - - 14739 - - 14928 - - 13613 - - 14858 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 88 - - 84 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 53.5 - - 54.9 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.4 - - 25.9 - - 28.0 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 55.5 - - 56.9 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 24.8 - - 26.9 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - 16 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 50 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95386 57 285 63 291 48 296 51 283 95386 88545 30 286 38 285 36 305 40 306 88545 83211 15 308 24 283 36 299 34 306 83211 78768 14 309 22 286 25 294 26 310 78768 74905 10 320 10 292 14 309 26 306 74905 71451 12 320 14 303 19 287 27 284 71451 68316 20 283 11 309 14 272 20 275 68316 65418 20 261 12 306 7 266 12 258 65418 62708 26 247 32 262 22 273 25 279 62708 60075 37 244 37 251 36 271 33 279 60075 57325 37 253 37 260 39 266 39 274 57325 54457 50 255 46 256 46 265 42 265 54457 51717 53 247 50 254 53 269 52 272 51717 49262 48 244 52 255 61 269 56 272 49262 47061 48 249 54 256 62 267 52 270 47061 45046 56 254 56 256 61 265 54 269 45046 43189 64 253 62 254 61 258 57 265 43189 41475 68 250 65 251 58 250 57 256 41475 39898 71 247 67 247 57 248 53 249 39898 38447 72 239 69 242 64 250 46 249 38447 37105 70 233 70 241 72 248 48 255 37105 35827 68 234 70 240 72 244 57 252 35827 34543 70 232 68 240 69 240 64 244 34543 33221 72 228 69 233 69 241 66 245 33221 31864 71 231 72 228 68 236 65 250 31864 30463 70 236 74 231 68 236 61 248 30463 29010 69 239 71 237 66 241 53 249 29010 27502 64 240 64 241 61 245 52 247 27502 25938 57 240 53 245 52 246 50 246 25938 24322 51 243 43 251 46 249 47 250 24322 22658 47 245 42 257 43 256 45 258 22658 20940 45 245 42 258 41 262 40 264 20940 19157 44 245 40 258 38 264 36 266 19157 17345 43 245 37 258 36 264 32 268 17345 15600 39 245 32 258 32 265 29 271 15600 14010 34 245 28 257 26 266 24 270 14010 12592 28 248 24 255 21 266 19 264 12592 11324 24 254 22 255 17 266 15 257 11324 10188 21 261 20 260 15 268 12 256 10188 9170 19 266 19 267 14 272 11 262 9170 8259 18 269 17 274 13 276 11 271 8259 7447 18 269 16 280 13 280 12 279 7447 6722 18 266 14 283 12 283 12 285 6722 6066 18 263 14 286 12 286 12 293 6066 5481 14 257 12 289 12 287 11 301 5481 4989 9 246 11 292 12 288 10 308 4989 4608 5 216 9 295 11 290 8 314 4608 4345 5 155 7 301 9 293 6 320 4345 4185 7*121 5*311 8*295 4*001 4185 4093 7*111 3*350 5*299 4*045 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography