DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 64.5 - - 63.8 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 45 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3853 - - 7152 - - 2909 - - 1289 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 33 - - 39 - - 18 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 226 - - 270 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - -5 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2493 - - -4319 - - -2585 - - -688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6588 - - 8414 - - 6680 - - 4782 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4848 - - -5918 - - -5138 - - -3410 ODpotential blCL - - - 8942 - - 10013 - - 9233 - - 7504 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 85 - - 93 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 700 - - 610 - - 1350 - - 710 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 64.5 - - 63.8 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.3 - - 41.6 - - 48.3 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 64.2 - - 64.1 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 40.4 - - 47.2 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 45 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 40 - - 72 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97723 19 248 23 257 29 260 25 284 97723 90253 18 247 21 273 23 276 19 270 90253 84530 15 283 17 271 16 278 18 258 84530 79775 14 287 14 274 14 272 15 277 79775 75691 13 293 14 281 16 281 16 296 75691 72105 14 303 13 282 18 288 16 302 72105 68868 12 297 18 278 19 292 15 304 68868 65883 12 300 19 264 19 301 15 297 65883 63104 14 290 18 271 20 295 16 301 63104 60397 16 298 19 271 19 292 18 296 60397 57566 20 284 18 278 19 281 14 294 57566 54631 20 282 20 274 17 269 16 295 54631 51832 22 279 17 265 17 267 16 279 51832 49316 18 266 15 263 15 256 13 264 49316 47065 16 250 14 264 13 255 12 244 47065 45022 14 252 15 248 12 257 7 232 45022 43156 16 264 14 239 7 248 2 238 43156 41438 15 248 13 234 5 247 3 091 41438 39846 12 220 7 216 3 239 12 065 39846 38369 9 192 2 164 3 146 19 067 38369 36994 8 147 7 105 13 105 25 071 36994 35685 18 097 15 088 26 090 36 078 35685 34379 33 087 30 079 42 077 49 075 34379 33050 46 083 43 083 53 071 56 078 33050 31695 53 081 50 086 55 073 61 078 31695 30298 53 080 50 085 55 078 58 079 30298 28849 50 080 50 085 54 083 49 083 28849 27351 43 077 48 083 50 086 41 094 27351 25803 34 079 43 082 43 090 39 100 25803 24203 29 089 34 085 37 092 38 096 24203 22555 27 095 29 086 33 086 35 092 22555 20854 25 093 25 077 30 079 30 086 20854 19093 24 085 26 078 27 070 28 073 19093 17303 22 075 27 079 24 066 29 055 17303 15579 21 069 25 072 23 065 30 041 15579 14007 18 075 25 071 21 060 31 035 14007 12602 13 088 23 069 19 050 29 035 12602 11342 10 100 20 063 17 044 23 035 11342 10210 9 104 16 060 14 035 16 028 10210 9192 8 102 13 054 12 026 11 004 9192 8280 6 092 10 049 9 006 9 333 8280 7467 3 061 7 041 8 336 9 307 7467 6739 3 340 3 029 10 306 8 285 6739 6081 4 325 2 338 13 290 9 277 6081 5492 6 319 3 258 17 282 13 273 5492 4996 6 321 4 241 19 279 19 267 4996 4613 6 324 5 233 19 277 21 263 4613 4348 5 326 6 228 18 275 20 262 4348 4186 5*326 6*226 17*274 18*261 4186 4093 4*325 5*226 12*270 9*254 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography