DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 53.1 - - 52.3 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 3 - - -7 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1958 - - 4073 - - 6506 - - 4603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 25 - - 23 - - 22 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 328 - - 352 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - -1 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5191 - - -4279 - - -4828 - - -3087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9285 - - 8373 - - 8922 - - 7180 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10784 - - -7342 - - -6815 - - -4853 ODpotential blCL - - - 14877 - - 11436 - - 10909 - - 8946 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 85 - - 36 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 53.1 - - 52.3 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.2 - - 30.7 - - 27.5 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 52.9 - - 52.3 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.1 - - 29.6 - - 26.2 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 3 - - -7 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96891 57 084 63 080 52 082 59 086 96891 89661 48 071 49 080 42 073 48 081 89661 84094 39 069 34 067 31 072 36 069 84094 79452 32 061 23 064 27 060 28 062 79452 75428 29 052 18 045 22 047 27 047 75428 71851 22 045 14 038 22 037 23 033 71851 68603 22 037 14 018 22 035 21 031 68603 65616 23 020 11 034 21 036 22 029 65616 62840 19 353 16 018 17 024 21 026 62840 60131 13 337 12 015 12 042 21 027 60131 57293 21 337 20 006 31 008 28 014 57293 54360 27 330 32 348 34 355 33 007 54360 51573 30 329 34 333 36 351 37 004 51573 49076 37 326 30 328 39 345 46 357 49076 46851 45 332 36 335 45 347 52 350 46851 44839 60 326 48 339 52 347 56 350 44839 42999 65 313 56 338 60 348 65 355 42999 41310 54 306 64 343 72 353 77 357 41310 39754 46 324 79 350 91 359 92 002 39754 38306 62 349 98 354 115 001 107 005 38306 36951 85 354 110 355 126 357 128 001 36951 35657 97 355 118 356 126 354 137 359 35657 34355 99 355 126 358 127 356 132 359 34355 33014 96 355 131 358 128 359 127 359 33014 31636 89 355 122 357 130 002 124 359 31636 30207 80 350 102 350 127 005 122 001 30207 28716 73 339 89 335 107 000 122 006 28716 27167 70 331 85 327 92 340 121 009 27167 25568 68 324 83 326 102 336 101 359 25568 23927 66 321 82 326 103 335 97 348 23927 22249 64 322 78 327 101 334 100 343 22249 20531 60 323 72 329 96 337 95 345 20531 18771 55 325 64 329 82 339 74 349 18771 16999 49 328 57 328 63 335 52 350 16999 15298 44 330 50 325 53 329 42 346 15298 13748 39 332 45 323 45 329 37 345 13748 12366 35 332 40 322 38 330 32 345 12366 11133 30 332 37 322 32 329 25 339 11133 10029 27 332 34 323 29 325 21 330 10029 9039 25 333 32 325 26 322 18 334 9039 8153 23 334 29 327 25 324 15 344 8153 7363 21 334 27 328 23 329 14 001 7363 6657 19 333 23 327 22 335 15 021 6657 6019 18 329 20 325 22 340 18 034 6019 5448 16 322 18 323 22 344 21 038 5448 4968 15 312 16 322 21 346 21 040 4968 4597 12 304 16 322 20 348 19 041 4597 4339 9 303 15 324 18 350 17 042 4339 4182 8*304 14*325 16*350 16*041 4182 4092 7*305 11*328 13*352 14*040 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography