DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 83.5 - - 86.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 49 - - 10 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3381 - - 6622 - - 10183 - - 4592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 40 - - 29 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 051 - - 293 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - -5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5623 - - -7780 - - -6725 - - -5989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9719 - - 11876 - - 10822 - - 10086 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10397 - - -11589 - - -8963 - - -9985 ODpotential blCL - - - 14493 - - 15685 - - 13059 - - 14081 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 29 - - 25 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 420 - - 1440 - - 730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 83.5 - - 86.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 45.7 - - 52.6 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 83.3 - - 86.8 - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 44.5 - - 51.3 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 49 - - 10 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99565 31 118 24 108 22 095 23 109 99565 91992 26 109 23 103 25 100 30 097 91992 86173 23 111 20 104 25 108 24 099 86173 81364 22 104 18 123 19 106 19 098 81364 77222 20 104 18 116 14 112 20 084 77222 73556 18 117 15 109 16 103 18 088 73556 70258 17 107 13 110 13 114 16 096 70258 67255 12 109 15 126 11 129 9 099 67255 64483 9 153 10 143 11 128 9 126 64483 61797 9 197 10 213 7 235 3 254 61797 59008 15 191 15 214 14 237 13 235 59008 56138 19 228 25 244 26 260 26 263 56138 53408 30 247 32 241 38 251 37 254 53408 50950 48 262 49 257 47 259 46 251 50950 48738 63 253 61 253 54 256 49 256 48738 46718 67 257 66 256 70 267 62 269 46718 44859 78 260 79 259 87 265 80 268 44859 43131 84 254 88 255 93 256 89 261 43131 41507 88 252 89 251 90 255 90 258 41507 39973 85 252 85 253 87 256 83 258 39973 38531 73 257 74 257 77 257 74 259 38531 37158 60 259 64 259 65 260 65 261 37158 35792 50 260 54 258 56 263 53 264 35792 34401 44 258 48 262 48 267 44 265 34401 32985 39 255 45 262 39 273 36 269 32985 31526 36 251 40 259 31 275 29 272 31526 30012 34 252 33 258 26 274 25 275 30012 28444 31 257 28 262 23 273 22 276 28444 26820 24 260 21 259 19 272 19 270 26820 25145 19 246 15 243 15 268 16 260 25145 23422 23 233 14 236 12 261 13 250 23422 21647 22 231 16 235 14 249 15 245 21647 19807 19 244 15 243 16 247 16 247 19807 17934 17 255 17 252 17 251 16 247 17934 16125 18 249 18 252 16 238 15 233 16125 14476 21 237 20 240 14 218 16 212 14476 13002 23 228 20 240 10 228 12 208 13002 11683 22 221 19 245 8 245 6 220 11683 10498 19 216 18 249 8 267 4 277 10498 9435 15 218 15 254 10 280 7 307 9435 8481 11 232 12 258 11 283 10 306 8481 7630 7 261 9 264 12 286 14 300 7630 6869 5 289 6 276 12 287 17 295 6869 6179 5 303 3 303 13 288 18 294 6179 5563 5 317 3 356 13 290 18 293 5563 5044 4 329 4 022 13 290 18 292 5044 4641 4 340 5 035 12 291 17 292 4641 4363 4 346 5 043 12 292 16 292 4363 4193 3*347 4*047 11*293 14*292 4193 4095 2*348 4*051 9*293 8*293 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography