DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.5 - - 73.4 - - 78.8 - - 80.6 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 24 - - 32 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1371 - - 2886 - - 5129 - - 8121 - - 5859 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 33 - - 36 - - 23 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 130 - - 008 - - 023 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5990 - - -7664 - - -7856 - - -5836 - - -7350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10086 - - 11760 - - 11952 - - 9933 - - 11447 sfcLCL ODpotential -12128 - - -13262 - - -11664 - - -8389 - - -11417 ODpotential blCL 16223 - - 17357 - - 15760 - - 12485 - - 15513 blCL maxRH 30 - - 41 - - 36 - - 36 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 780 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.5 - - 73.4 - - 78.8 - - 80.6 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 36.4 - - 40.8 - - 51.2 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.9 - - 73.1 - - 78.3 - - 81.4 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.7 - - 35.3 - - 39.6 - - 49.9 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 24 - - 32 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98112 10 092 10 066 12 130 1 063 2 270 98112 90783 8 075 16 081 14 127 5 114 6 041 90783 85143 13 057 12 095 9 093 13 113 5 065 85143 80466 13 051 8 106 5 084 11 095 10 082 80466 76428 8 061 5 084 3 085 9 060 11 073 76428 72861 5 087 5 068 5 073 8 054 6 055 72861 69646 7 071 9 099 8 105 4 059 5 077 69646 66692 7 091 8 108 8 113 2 100 10 089 66692 63953 7 088 3 035 5 076 4 101 8 090 63953 61309 3 139 3 012 2 144 2 029 3 065 61309 58565 3 334 5 304 3 319 3 322 2 344 58565 55725 10 257 10 258 11 276 14 278 12 298 55725 53015 5 250 7 247 13 253 17 264 18 274 53015 50581 14 292 11 285 13 264 16 267 22 270 50581 48395 21 289 17 280 19 271 20 268 21 269 48395 46404 23 280 21 272 23 267 24 263 22 261 46404 44573 21 276 26 269 26 265 27 263 24 263 44573 42875 20 276 26 266 30 262 31 258 29 263 42875 41292 21 273 23 262 31 258 32 252 32 258 41292 39813 22 267 23 264 28 262 29 252 36 254 39813 38429 21 260 20 264 25 263 29 254 39 249 38429 37100 18 254 19 263 21 259 28 254 38 247 37100 35760 16 245 17 258 19 252 26 255 32 248 35760 34379 15 238 15 253 17 248 21 257 27 252 34379 32963 12 244 15 239 14 241 19 258 23 253 32963 31499 5 270 10 236 12 223 18 254 18 253 31499 29978 6 287 10 245 12 221 15 249 13 259 29978 28402 7 267 11 238 12 224 14 245 11 267 28402 26771 8 238 12 222 13 221 12 245 10 260 26771 25088 7 227 11 215 13 219 10 243 5 250 25088 23357 4 234 8 221 9 222 7 251 3 235 23357 21574 3 276 6 244 4 244 2 288 2 105 21574 19731 4 333 4 303 2 278 2 279 3 116 19731 17861 5 318 4 306 4 258 5 248 4 185 17861 16061 7 298 6 275 7 254 6 246 6 203 16061 14420 10 279 9 264 9 258 7 251 5 221 14420 12955 12 261 9 255 9 254 7 242 5 237 12955 11644 9 246 8 241 7 241 4 220 4 226 11644 10466 5 227 7 225 5 214 3 181 3 144 10466 9408 3 203 6 209 4 179 3 145 6 111 9408 8459 2 181 5 188 4 163 4 122 7 107 8459 7612 2 159 5 166 4 152 4 115 8 108 7612 6855 1 133 4 145 4 143 4 108 8 108 6855 6168 1 037 4 133 3 131 4 103 8 107 6168 5555 3 352 3 126 3 119 3 095 8 103 5555 5037 4 339 2 122 2 100 3 083 7 099 5037 4637 4 332 1 115 1 065 2 063 6 093 4637 4360 4 334 1 123 2 029 2 041 5 081 4360 4192 4*340 1*122 2*017 2*028 2*051 4192 4095 3*339 1*130 2*008 2*023 2*011 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography