DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 56.2 - - 56.3 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 11 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1012 - - 6478 - - 5978 - - 3539 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 15 - - 24 - - 10 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 181 - - 159 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2704 - - -4711 - - -4590 - - -4540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6798 - - 8805 - - 8684 - - 8634 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6194 - - -7222 - - -7564 - - -8163 ODpotential blCL - - - 10288 - - 11316 - - 11658 - - 12257 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 62 - - 95 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 56.2 - - 56.3 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 31.7 - - 32.4 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 57.9 - - 58.8 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 30.6 - - 31.2 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 11 - - -4 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 0 - - 79 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96038 27 309 29 313 30 320 22 296 96038 88954 8 326 16 302 16 313 20 321 88954 83442 17 320 13 310 18 302 16 320 83442 78876 21 284 19 290 23 304 16 332 78876 74948 10 270 15 242 20 275 13 279 74948 71461 17 293 12 288 15 297 11 283 71461 68285 31 272 25 270 24 276 27 271 68285 65370 29 237 26 246 29 252 27 246 65370 62661 21 243 16 259 18 231 27 238 62661 60005 31 257 26 282 10 255 30 245 60005 57209 52 239 49 251 43 243 45 239 57209 54298 59 230 64 236 71 239 71 241 54298 51514 62 231 72 233 86 232 94 228 51514 48998 68 234 82 233 82 223 89 223 48998 46737 80 234 90 232 78 224 82 228 46737 44692 93 232 94 230 86 229 94 233 44692 42826 107 228 97 228 102 229 108 229 42826 41115 115 223 102 228 114 224 115 222 41115 39533 116 225 112 228 118 221 115 218 39533 38068 121 225 123 226 119 219 105 217 38068 36711 126 222 126 223 117 219 91 215 36711 35427 131 221 118 222 113 220 87 213 35427 34145 119 220 105 223 106 219 88 213 34145 32831 95 219 94 225 97 219 84 214 32831 31488 84 220 86 226 89 222 72 216 31488 30099 79 220 82 227 73 226 53 214 30099 28654 74 219 76 228 55 224 58 211 28654 27155 66 220 68 224 64 217 65 211 27155 25605 59 222 65 220 60 215 66 215 25605 24006 55 225 61 219 57 215 65 217 24006 22364 51 226 57 218 53 215 61 218 22364 20672 48 224 53 217 49 215 58 216 20672 18923 45 220 52 217 46 215 54 212 18923 17150 43 217 52 218 46 215 50 208 17150 15444 43 218 54 220 47 214 48 205 15444 13890 46 222 56 221 50 214 48 203 13890 12500 50 224 54 219 52 213 48 203 12500 11256 51 224 46 217 51 211 49 203 11256 10138 47 223 37 212 47 210 49 202 10138 9134 38 222 29 207 42 208 48 202 9134 8233 31 220 25 204 38 204 47 203 8233 7430 28 214 20 202 33 201 44 204 7430 6712 27 209 19 198 30 200 41 204 6712 6061 24 205 16 197 27 199 38 203 6061 5479 19 196 14 195 24 198 35 201 5479 4989 15 178 12 194 21 198 30 199 4989 4609 13 154 10 193 17 197 24 195 4609 4346 12 138 9 191 13 194 16 184 4346 4185 9*126 7*188 9*190 11*163 4185 4093 5*088 4*181 4*159 8*128 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography