DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 52.3 - - 56.8 - - 57.6 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - -2 - - 7 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 600 - - 1000 - - 1476 - - 1421 - - 619 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 11 - - 20 - - 7 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 098 - - 105 - - 110 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 3 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2444 - - -1950 - - -2843 - - -3756 - - -4773 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6539 - - 6045 - - 6938 - - 7850 - - 8867 sfcLCL ODpotential -10200 - - -9475 - - -9329 - - -10568 - - -12948 ODpotential blCL 14294 - - 13569 - - 13423 - - 14662 - - 17042 blCL maxRH 70 - - 65 - - 61 - - 51 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 52.3 - - 56.8 - - 57.6 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.5 - - 40.3 - - 40.9 - - 37.9 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 52.5 - - 57.9 - - 60.2 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.6 - - 39.0 - - 39.7 - - 36.7 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - -2 - - 7 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96519 29 055 13 053 35 028 34 027 30 029 96519 89489 24 052 25 056 19 070 19 039 15 032 89489 83961 18 039 24 053 16 090 15 043 15 031 83961 79356 24 018 17 038 10 061 13 028 13 024 79356 75385 19 019 11 030 14 001 18 017 16 025 75385 71871 6 353 8 014 15 328 21 346 21 013 71871 68698 3 008 11 015 13 333 20 350 21 351 68698 65783 12 014 16 001 18 348 19 360 15 336 65783 63072 11 022 16 345 21 348 19 360 19 334 63072 60454 12 001 13 339 21 337 21 343 18 336 60454 57738 23 345 21 333 23 344 22 342 17 352 57738 54925 28 331 27 318 29 327 29 333 24 350 54925 52251 28 334 25 319 23 316 28 318 21 328 52251 49848 29 327 25 331 18 332 23 304 20 313 49848 47691 31 322 30 325 22 333 20 305 20 315 47691 45736 33 321 32 316 26 324 21 315 19 317 45736 43957 33 320 31 319 28 321 20 317 17 313 43957 42328 33 313 27 308 27 308 20 312 17 308 42328 40815 32 305 24 296 25 284 25 278 22 283 40815 39391 26 295 23 287 25 283 26 280 24 270 39391 38045 23 273 23 283 24 284 28 281 21 269 38045 36745 20 271 21 274 22 280 28 279 17 271 36745 35430 18 282 19 268 21 280 26 279 17 276 35430 34072 18 291 16 279 20 283 25 282 19 280 34072 32678 19 293 15 283 21 283 27 288 24 288 32678 31235 16 306 15 277 22 285 32 284 29 289 31235 29732 17 313 15 277 20 282 33 278 33 281 29732 28169 16 308 15 284 17 273 35 274 35 277 28169 26549 15 304 14 291 14 272 31 271 32 278 26549 24877 15 308 13 296 14 276 22 268 23 275 24877 23161 15 314 12 296 14 277 16 259 15 274 23161 21391 16 318 12 297 14 279 15 261 14 267 21391 19556 17 324 12 301 14 278 16 266 15 263 19556 17687 16 332 10 303 14 273 16 267 17 265 17687 15888 13 339 8 302 13 270 15 271 17 272 15888 14250 11 343 8 304 13 271 15 276 17 281 14250 12789 9 342 9 310 13 276 14 281 16 293 12789 11483 8 342 9 316 12 281 13 286 14 305 11483 10315 6 347 7 321 10 284 11 294 11 317 10315 9268 5 355 5 325 8 280 9 301 9 326 9268 8333 3 357 2 312 5 267 7 303 6 331 8333 7501 2 335 1 227 4 242 5 293 5 325 7501 6761 2 295 3 202 5 222 4 266 4 304 6761 6092 1 277 5 195 6 202 4 225 4 274 6092 5497 1 333 6 187 5 187 3 179 3 232 5497 4998 1 004 5 179 4 171 3 154 3 190 4998 4613 2 022 4 169 3 144 3 140 3 160 4613 4347 2 054 4 146 3 126 3 130 3 133 4347 4186 3*067 3*117 3*118 2*120 3*110 4186 4093 3*066 3*098 3*105 2*110 2*093 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography