DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 48.5 - - 49.8 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 12 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1885 - - 2652 - - 2530 - - 1303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 27 - - 15 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 147 - - 129 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6979 - - -6528 - - -6016 - - -5996 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11073 - - 10622 - - 10110 - - 10089 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17555 - - -15306 - - -14549 - - -16343 ODpotential blCL - - - 21648 - - 19400 - - 18643 - - 20436 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 51 - - 42 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 48.5 - - 49.8 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.8 - - 17.0 - - 20.5 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 48.2 - - 49.9 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.7 - - 15.9 - - 19.2 - - 15.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 12 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96767 37 065 36 044 44 051 56 063 96767 89632 32 039 38 038 38 052 42 072 89632 84052 19 031 31 026 43 042 45 061 84052 79389 18 012 21 013 38 029 43 049 79389 75386 23 358 19 004 24 003 29 019 75386 71841 16 341 19 352 20 351 17 353 71841 68621 10 342 24 342 25 354 16 347 68621 65669 16 332 19 330 20 343 21 345 65669 62949 12 322 10 329 12 312 16 326 62949 60311 14 351 17 352 9 343 12 355 60311 57546 21 343 25 353 22 354 18 000 57546 54681 12 335 21 341 22 346 15 007 54681 51951 11 013 12 349 15 358 16 007 51951 49503 25 005 17 011 15 013 16 005 49503 47330 27 014 22 028 13 026 11 006 47330 45374 26 029 29 032 19 044 12 042 45374 43598 26 037 35 026 29 030 23 030 43598 41979 28 041 34 026 34 023 32 026 41979 40479 30 041 35 034 33 026 35 027 40479 39068 32 040 34 038 32 035 32 032 39068 37736 34 039 34 039 31 041 29 046 37736 36450 34 037 33 042 27 051 27 048 36450 35150 37 037 32 046 24 060 19 060 35150 33808 38 043 31 048 23 064 14 082 33808 32430 35 047 31 048 23 059 13 079 32430 31003 33 048 30 047 22 055 15 065 31003 29518 32 052 27 053 18 060 17 057 29518 27976 33 052 24 060 16 069 16 053 27976 26375 28 050 23 060 16 070 12 056 26375 24715 20 055 21 066 15 079 10 068 24715 23000 18 060 19 062 15 075 13 073 23000 21225 19 057 14 044 15 051 15 067 21225 19384 19 054 10 043 12 037 14 058 19384 17519 18 049 9 053 8 041 9 049 17519 15730 17 052 9 065 8 051 5 060 15730 14100 16 064 7 055 8 055 5 082 14100 12646 14 077 6 063 7 074 6 119 12646 11346 13 096 6 099 9 116 10 149 11346 10185 15 118 9 127 14 141 14 161 10185 9149 16 132 13 144 17 153 16 164 9149 8227 17 140 15 154 17 158 16 163 8227 7411 16 144 16 158 15 158 15 161 7411 6687 15 146 14 156 12 155 13 157 6687 6036 14 147 12 150 11 147 12 152 6036 5458 11 145 11 147 11 137 12 146 5458 4973 8 137 10 145 10 131 12 137 4973 4599 5 122 9 145 10 131 10 125 4599 4340 4 115 8 145 8 130 8 115 4340 4183 3*113 8*146 7*130 5*102 4183 4092 3*112 7*147 5*129 4*096 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography