DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 77.7 - - 80.9 - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 56 - - 26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4670 - - 8180 - - 11005 - - 11181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 42 - - 34 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 064 - - 047 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7667 - - -8067 - - -8396 - - -5311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11763 - - 12163 - - 12493 - - 9407 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10931 - - -10880 - - -10153 - - -7493 ODpotential blCL - - - 15026 - - 14975 - - 14249 - - 11589 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 64 - - 59 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 340 - - 1590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 77.7 - - 80.9 - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.4 - - 38.5 - - 40.2 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 77.2 - - 80.6 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 37.4 - - 39.0 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 56 - - 26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99434 37 113 33 113 31 119 27 105 99434 91903 29 116 24 133 22 110 28 093 91903 86095 25 117 21 131 18 110 25 099 86095 81270 19 114 21 123 22 117 18 113 81270 77127 14 107 17 113 21 114 20 115 77127 73479 14 109 14 106 15 109 18 105 73479 70178 12 122 12 106 11 111 10 097 70178 67141 10 137 6 131 8 088 8 120 67141 64319 9 125 10 138 3 196 2 150 64319 61573 4 157 3 121 1 223 3 215 61573 58706 3 214 8 241 9 293 6 315 58706 55738 9 275 9 258 16 276 12 316 55738 52911 13 272 12 283 17 266 17 293 52911 50369 19 289 19 299 16 293 20 303 50369 48100 25 286 23 300 20 313 22 315 48100 46049 22 284 23 304 25 323 21 338 46049 44171 21 292 26 301 30 318 28 333 44171 42442 25 300 28 295 32 304 31 313 42442 40847 32 296 29 290 30 295 33 300 40847 39367 37 286 33 286 30 291 30 297 39367 37986 35 282 39 284 28 289 25 307 37986 36670 29 285 43 278 25 285 21 321 36670 35351 26 291 35 275 25 282 19 329 35351 33996 22 297 29 273 27 286 18 325 33996 32609 21 298 25 270 29 285 18 320 32609 31173 21 298 22 271 28 280 16 317 31173 29682 19 300 18 274 25 280 16 309 29682 28136 15 304 15 273 19 278 15 300 28136 26535 13 301 14 275 15 277 13 287 26535 24880 12 300 14 280 13 277 11 271 24880 23178 10 309 13 281 12 274 10 263 23178 21420 8 294 10 278 11 266 8 266 21420 19601 7 259 10 257 9 246 7 264 19601 17754 8 239 10 237 9 233 7 236 17754 15978 9 255 9 227 10 235 8 225 15978 14360 13 253 9 230 9 243 6 241 14360 12912 15 239 8 231 9 250 4 292 12912 11613 14 219 8 236 8 257 5 334 11613 10444 12 200 7 240 6 268 7 342 10444 9393 7 192 6 247 5 283 9 345 9393 8448 3 222 5 254 4 305 10 342 8448 7605 2 319 3 264 4 329 11 339 7605 6850 4 342 2 284 4 351 12 336 6850 6166 5 347 2 320 5 008 12 334 6166 5554 5 349 2 009 5 021 12 333 5554 5037 5 348 2 032 5 030 12 331 5037 4638 4 347 2 042 5 036 11 331 4638 4361 4 346 2 048 4 042 11 330 4361 4192 3*343 2*058 4*045 9*329 4192 4095 3*344 1*069 3*047 6*330 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography