DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.8 - - 49.4 - - 50.4 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1412 - - 2061 - - 2233 - - 1094 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 19 - - 16 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 141 - - 195 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -2 - - -4 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4674 - - -4782 - - -5739 - - -4986 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8767 - - 8876 - - 9833 - - 9080 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13649 - - -12816 - - -13949 - - -14136 ODpotential blCL - - - 17742 - - 16910 - - 18043 - - 18229 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 34 - - 40 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.8 - - 49.4 - - 50.4 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.5 - - 25.5 - - 22.4 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 50.1 - - 52.2 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 24.4 - - 21.2 - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 43 069 43 059 45 051 39 064 96264 89405 43 074 37 068 35 056 34 069 89405 84015 42 084 37 071 35 063 34 073 84015 79479 39 078 30 084 26 071 30 076 79479 75535 25 055 26 067 25 065 27 074 75535 72025 17 066 14 051 21 028 23 053 72025 68840 18 056 15 028 19 016 18 031 68840 65910 13 019 17 019 14 025 15 020 65910 63208 19 016 20 005 25 004 17 358 63208 60604 26 355 21 351 18 000 10 021 60604 57872 23 355 20 353 27 014 21 026 57872 55031 34 357 37 353 42 356 39 006 55031 52334 45 342 48 348 53 346 49 350 52334 49915 46 344 45 349 43 346 45 348 49915 47742 44 355 43 352 45 356 51 354 47742 45754 48 001 52 356 54 356 52 359 45754 43914 55 360 56 358 54 001 56 006 43914 42203 56 001 56 003 53 004 53 009 42203 40610 50 007 53 008 49 011 50 017 40610 39134 39 013 42 015 52 017 49 025 39134 37770 32 024 35 018 51 017 43 032 37770 36474 31 032 30 025 39 018 37 036 36474 35175 28 049 28 026 29 018 31 027 35175 33845 30 067 25 034 20 019 23 018 33845 32481 21 071 22 062 16 021 16 023 32481 31065 17 107 15 084 10 026 14 029 31065 29586 22 119 14 121 4 042 13 025 29586 28046 21 129 17 134 3 067 11 017 28046 26446 19 126 15 142 4 091 8 012 26446 24788 19 115 15 136 6 102 5 025 24788 23076 18 114 15 126 8 116 4 057 23076 21305 13 112 12 115 10 127 4 100 21305 19470 10 092 12 095 11 127 5 134 19470 17604 11 082 13 086 13 122 7 135 17604 15804 12 087 13 086 13 114 8 124 15804 14164 13 092 13 090 13 110 11 114 14164 12701 14 096 13 099 14 113 13 114 12701 11395 14 102 14 110 15 121 14 118 11395 10228 14 110 15 118 15 127 14 124 10228 9186 13 121 15 123 15 129 14 129 9186 8259 13 130 14 127 15 128 14 131 8259 7438 13 138 13 132 13 125 14 132 7438 6709 13 142 12 136 12 121 14 133 6709 6052 12 144 11 136 11 117 14 134 6052 5469 11 146 9 134 9 117 13 136 5469 4980 10 146 7 128 8 118 11 139 4980 4603 6 141 6 126 7 121 8 141 4603 4342 3 136 4 130 4 124 5 143 4342 4183 2*134 3*134 3*130 1*142 4183 4092 2*128 2*141 1*195 2*301 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography