DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 85.7 - - 88.7 - - 86.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 43 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3263 - - 4695 - - 8260 - - 6834 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 40 - - 31 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 039 - - 042 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8602 - - -7828 - - -6888 - - -9481 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12699 - - 11925 - - 10984 - - 13578 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15339 - - -12654 - - -9990 - - -14922 ODpotential blCL - - - 19435 - - 16750 - - 14086 - - 19018 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 48 - - 42 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 1070 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 85.7 - - 88.7 - - 86.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 47.6 - - 54.5 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 85.3 - - 89.2 - - 90.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 46.4 - - 53.2 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 43 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99459 34 103 30 104 30 111 33 108 99459 91982 33 106 31 112 24 104 26 099 91982 86214 35 113 27 105 25 113 24 085 86214 81427 25 102 25 103 24 095 23 109 81427 77284 16 108 17 105 17 086 25 103 77284 73621 16 112 13 122 14 085 18 072 73621 70331 16 096 13 135 10 091 10 069 70331 67311 13 062 14 109 8 088 8 093 67311 64510 7 088 9 083 11 073 11 087 64510 61812 8 064 11 080 9 073 16 060 61812 59031 2 083 2 005 4 003 9 019 59031 56180 5 320 4 279 6 269 9 291 56180 53476 17 295 14 295 15 286 13 294 53476 51044 23 291 21 293 21 292 16 292 51044 48866 30 296 26 289 29 292 22 284 48866 46886 37 291 34 290 34 291 26 283 46886 45057 41 281 38 284 37 283 30 280 45057 43352 42 278 39 280 38 278 31 276 43352 41757 44 278 38 277 39 275 33 278 41757 40261 45 278 38 276 39 272 35 276 40261 38855 42 278 36 277 36 270 34 273 38855 37506 35 276 31 278 31 270 32 270 37506 36148 21 287 20 280 24 266 31 269 36148 34753 17 304 15 283 19 245 23 267 34753 33326 18 303 14 281 16 242 22 261 33326 31852 22 291 15 284 18 248 23 257 31852 30316 24 287 19 284 18 258 21 258 30316 28721 24 292 19 283 18 269 20 263 28721 27072 23 298 20 280 19 270 21 263 27072 25373 24 300 21 282 21 271 22 261 25373 23623 24 297 21 286 21 278 22 262 23623 21814 21 294 19 285 18 284 17 268 21814 19941 17 289 17 280 14 279 13 270 19941 18043 12 275 15 274 11 272 11 265 18043 16221 10 249 13 266 10 266 11 251 16221 14565 7 241 11 254 11 259 12 259 14565 13088 7 247 9 249 12 262 12 272 13088 11762 8 242 8 247 11 266 10 287 11762 10569 7 225 8 248 9 273 8 303 10569 9496 5 208 8 249 7 285 8 319 9496 8533 3 177 6 251 5 305 7 333 8533 7673 3 137 5 255 5 334 6 346 7673 6903 3 122 3 266 5 360 6 358 6903 6205 3 116 1 295 6 014 5 007 6205 5581 2 104 2 025 7 023 5 016 5581 5055 1 081 3 043 7 030 4 024 5055 4648 1 002 4 042 7 034 3 028 4648 4366 1 327 4 041 6 037 2 031 4366 4194 1*312 4*039 5*039 1*046 4194 4095 1*304 3*039 4*042 1*181 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography