DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.3 - - 61.1 - - 66.4 - - 69.8 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 44 - - 47 - - 11 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1906 - - 16 - - 6463 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 6206 - - 4095 - - 10763 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3806 - - 2425 - - 7833 - - 3618 - - 9529 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 194 - - 40 - - 210 - - 26 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 109 - - 073 - - 082 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -5 - - 4 - - 17 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2307 - - -1562 - - -5618 - - 349 - - -4932 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6401 - - 7769 - - 9713 - - 10415 - - 9028 sfcLCL ODpotential -4587 - - -4559 - - -7250 - - -1505 - - -6387 ODpotential blCL 8681 - - 10765 - - 11345 - - 12268 - - 10482 blCL maxRH 94 - - 85 - - 84 - - 85 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 30 - - 60 - - 130 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m 57.3 - - 61.1 - - 66.4 - - 69.8 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.3 - - 41.1 - - 37.9 - - 38.2 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.9 - - 60.4 - - 65.7 - - 69.7 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.2 - - 39.9 - - 36.7 - - 37.1 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 44 - - 47 - - 11 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1906 - - 16 - - 6463 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 42 - - 37 - - 40 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98530 4 202 7 237 4 208 12 214 8 286 98530 91221 4 130 5 225 4 057 2 350 5 105 91221 85558 4 095 3 054 2 210 2 005 10 095 85558 80842 9 103 5 072 7 170 6 120 2 062 80842 76777 10 090 9 122 9 119 8 083 1 318 76777 73180 7 077 9 124 11 086 3 079 3 093 73180 69914 5 085 10 139 5 054 3 089 6 093 69914 66890 5 145 5 131 3 144 4 130 5 090 66890 64063 6 165 2 119 4 205 2 118 4 137 64063 61316 5 213 2 253 5 219 2 251 4 173 61316 58447 6 252 6 268 7 239 5 275 2 214 58447 55470 10 242 7 271 11 232 11 267 6 290 55470 52634 12 259 9 267 10 242 13 241 10 281 52634 50083 16 265 14 258 12 256 11 235 14 257 50083 47794 20 261 18 254 16 249 14 262 14 248 47794 45712 22 262 22 249 23 243 20 259 14 251 45712 43804 25 263 24 246 26 238 26 244 16 250 43804 42041 28 259 25 248 24 240 25 234 19 252 42041 40403 31 254 27 251 25 243 26 227 22 248 40403 38879 34 253 31 249 30 240 27 225 25 238 38879 37461 36 254 32 240 31 235 27 232 25 230 37461 36114 39 254 33 241 27 230 28 238 20 225 36114 34774 44 250 38 246 25 227 28 237 13 216 34774 33419 41 244 38 245 30 219 23 232 8 161 33419 32049 33 245 31 241 31 205 15 207 17 107 32049 30640 28 243 28 229 28 201 16 196 17 107 30640 29174 26 239 27 220 22 200 19 206 11 107 29174 27652 25 236 24 215 18 196 16 204 7 130 27652 26075 23 234 20 209 17 191 13 200 10 165 26075 24445 19 233 17 196 18 186 11 202 10 172 24445 22765 16 230 16 195 20 182 13 204 11 178 22765 21031 17 219 16 207 18 182 14 189 9 184 21031 19236 17 213 16 212 14 189 16 171 8 169 19236 17419 15 221 14 209 10 197 13 170 12 152 17419 15681 11 229 10 210 7 192 6 174 10 133 15681 14100 10 225 7 211 5 162 5 117 8 119 14100 12687 6 214 6 189 6 141 11 086 8 113 12687 11420 4 197 6 158 7 130 12*086 10 106 11420 10281 4 173 6 148 7 118 11*085 12 098 10281 9256 5 133 6 137 8 113 11 084 14 091 9256 8336 6 120 6 126 8 110 11 084 15 086 8336 7514 7 111 6 119 7 106 10 083 16 083 7514 6778 8 100 6*115 7 102 9 082 17 079 6778 6111 9 090 6*112 6 096 9 081 17 076 6111 5515 8 079 6 109 5 089 8 079 17 072 5515 5012 7 063 6 108 4 081 7 079 16 068 5012 4623 5 051 5 108 4 077 7 078 14 063 4623 4353 4 042 5 107 4 075 7 077 12 059 4353 4188 4*035 5 107 3*073 6 077 11*057 4188 4094 4*032 5 108 3*073 6 077 10*056 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography