DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 65.9 - - 69.2 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 39 - - 4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2393 - - 7504 - - 11173 - - 4959 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 37 - - 23 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 045 - - 307 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - -3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3460 - - -4549 - - -4718 - - -4830 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7555 - - 8645 - - 8814 - - 8925 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7002 - - -6430 - - -6197 - - -7704 ODpotential blCL - - - 11097 - - 10525 - - 10292 - - 11799 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 76 - - 69 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 150 - - 870 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 65.9 - - 69.2 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 42.2 - - 44.7 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 65.5 - - 69.7 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 41.0 - - 43.4 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 39 - - 4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96401 27 290 21 285 12 266 22 253 96401 89177 18 289 26 273 20 276 17 296 89177 83687 20 307 21 282 26 280 19 303 83687 79153 24 302 23 298 22 298 21 303 79153 75242 23 287 27 294 26 297 20 304 75242 71772 16 285 26 286 26 292 20 302 71772 68613 18 305 22 279 23 295 18 296 68613 65685 23 292 23 267 25 284 24 285 65685 62944 24 282 25 271 26 276 26 287 62944 60264 31 288 29 284 29 275 30 285 60264 57447 38 275 37 271 34 272 35 278 57447 54523 39 263 43 269 46 274 45 276 54523 51741 42 264 52 266 50 270 46 274 51741 49243 46 265 51 265 51 271 49 276 49243 47014 46 268 50 266 53 270 51 274 47014 45013 47 270 51 266 53 266 52 271 45013 43209 45 267 50 263 48 260 54 266 43209 41567 46 268 46 259 44 256 54 260 41567 40053 48 272 44 263 46 253 51 256 40053 38642 46 271 46 264 47 253 52 257 38642 37317 42 266 47 263 44 255 54 262 37317 36046 39 266 46 258 41 261 53 267 36046 34762 37 267 42 256 40 268 48 266 34762 33440 36 263 38 255 41 270 44 261 33440 32080 34 258 38 255 42 270 43 259 32080 30671 33 255 38 256 43 268 44 261 30671 29204 32 255 39 257 41 264 43 264 29204 27682 32 256 40 258 39 261 42 265 27682 26104 31 257 38 259 38 263 41 263 26104 24474 30 259 35 260 36 265 39 260 24474 22794 28 259 32 262 34 265 37 258 22794 21062 29 258 31 262 32 265 34 257 21062 19271 32 257 32 262 30 264 32 258 19271 17457 32 257 34 261 28 263 28 259 17457 15713 30 256 32 258 24 260 24 259 15713 14124 27 260 28 257 18 258 21 258 14124 12703 23 270 21 262 15 262 18 258 12703 11430 20 283 17 266 15 266 15 262 11430 10286 18 291 15 268 14 271 14 270 10286 9258 16 292 13 273 14 276 14 280 9258 8336 14 282 11 279 13 283 15 286 8336 7513 11 263 9 288 13 287 17 289 7513 6777 9 248 7 298 13 291 19 290 6777 6110 6 243 6 314 13 294 19 291 6110 5513 3 233 4 335 12 298 20 292 5513 5011 2 216 4 354 12 300 19 293 5011 4622 1 158 3 017 11 303 17 294 4622 4352 2 133 3 032 11 304 14 296 4352 4188 2*135 3*040 10*305 11*299 4188 4094 2*136 2*045 8*307 6*305 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography