DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 62.8 - - 70.6 - - 71.5 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 39 - - 40 - - 21 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 7729 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 8291 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4095 - - 12029 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1732 - - 7420 - - 5170 - - 12523 - - 12003 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 36 - - 302 - - 30 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 37 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 2 - - 15 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 311 - - 356 - - 028 - - 302 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -2 - - -6 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1856 - - -3929 - - 1370 - - -7025 - - -5213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5950 - - 8024 - - 10659 - - 11121 - - 9308 sfcLCL ODpotential -5988 - - -5870 - - -1763 - - -8447 - - -7668 ODpotential blCL 10082 - - 9965 - - 13792 - - 12542 - - 11763 blCL maxRH 82 - - 62 - - 91 - - 89 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 250 - - 350 - - 290 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 62.8 - - 70.6 - - 71.5 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 41.7 - - 37.8 - - 36.8 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 - - 63.6 - - 70.4 - - 71.6 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.5 - - 40.4 - - 36.7 - - 35.6 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 39 - - 40 - - 21 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 7729 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 29 - - 0 - - 66 - - 58 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97888 19 264 13 228 24 258 24 284 20 271 97888 90356 18 281 16 255 16 262 22 285 15 271 90356 84589 12 287 12 263 13 255 18 278 15 298 84589 79858 7 275 11 270 10 249 12 271 14 311 79858 75801 10 290 12 281 8 277 7 281 10 317 75801 72204 13 302 11 277 13 291 14 292 16 319 72204 68946 18 306 10 274 14 283 18 282 14 298 68946 65945 18 295 12 293 13 277 18 293 13 298 65945 63154 18 294 15 299 17 272 23 294 17 309 63154 60446 20 294 17 310 14 282 19 295 20 305 60446 57613 18 299 19 303 13 293 16 302 17 295 57613 54672 16 306 16 317 13 315 17 317 14 318 54672 51879 13 303 16 317 12 323 14 335 13 334 51879 49379 7 294 11 314 9 312 16 343 18 357 49379 47160 8 026 5 339 7 347 22 001 36 024 47160 45177 13 039 8 010 11 001 33 021 42 018 45177 43370 28 045 20 065 29 041 39 035 42 029 43370 41702 45 056 43 063 57 053 55 048 53 043 41702 40154 51 059 63 055 68 054 62 047 59 044 40154 38712 61 059 67 056 69 055 59 048 57 043 38712 37365 76 061 72 061 69 058 55 054 53 044 37365 36074 85 062 78 061 71 059 56 057 51 046 36074 34774 87 061 79 058 71 058 58 052 52 046 34774 33436 82 061 78 056 69 056 57 047 53 044 33436 32061 73 058 76 058 66 055 54 042 52 044 32061 30641 66 057 71 059 63 056 52 040 51 043 30641 29164 56 057 65 060 59 059 50 041 50 041 29164 27635 44 058 58 062 56 062 48 043 49 039 27635 26054 42 056 49 063 52 065 45 045 47 039 26054 24425 42 053 41 059 44 065 41 048 43 039 24425 22752 39 053 35 055 40 056 38 047 39 036 22752 21030 34 055 32 052 36 052 36 045 33 036 21030 19258 31 053 32 048 29 045 30 044 26 027 19258 17463 33 045 32 042 25 035 25 027 24 014 17463 15734 35 038 32 039 22 028 23 017 23 015 15734 14155 32 036 30 038 21 026 22 017 21 014 14155 12739 28 038 27 037 20*026 20 018 19 015 12739 11467 25 040 22 037 19*027 18 020 17 016 11467 10323 24 043 21 036 18 027 16 023 16 018 10323 9292 24 045 20 035 17 028 14 025 14 019 9292 8366 23 046 18 035 16 028 13 027 13 019 8366 7539 21 043 17 033 15 029 11 028 11 018 7539 6798 18 036 15 030 14 029 10 028 10 016 6798 6127 13 017 13 028 13 030 8 028 8 010 6127 5526 13 340 11 024 12 030 6 027 6 359 5526 5019 14 320 9 018 11 030 5 025 5 342 5019 4627 15 311 7 014 10 031 3 023 4 320 4627 4355 14 310 6 011 9 032 1 028 4 299 4355 4189 14*309 4*008 8 032 1*040 4*285 4189 4094 12*311 2*356 7 029 0*302 3*260 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography