DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 46.7 - - 49.9 - - 44.7 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 0 - - -12 - - 14 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1502 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 5802 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1944 - - 2744 - - 5647 - - 2007 - - 3541 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 11 - - 17 - - 128 - - 25 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 2 - - 12 - - 22 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 128 - - 185 - - 250 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -2 - - -14 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1556 - - -1030 - - -1391 - - 792 - - -1661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5650 - - 5124 - - 5485 - - 5010 - - 5755 sfcLCL ODpotential -4579 - - -2869 - - -2818 - - -1462 - - -3581 ODpotential blCL 8672 - - 6963 - - 6912 - - 7264 - - 7674 blCL maxRH 89 - - 95 - - 76 - - 93 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 46.7 - - 49.9 - - 44.7 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 38.4 - - 39.9 - - 36.9 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 46.6 - - 50.1 - - 44.4 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.0 - - 37.9 - - 38.8 - - 35.7 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 0 - - -12 - - 14 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 1502 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 82 - - 6 - - 70 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96003 17 310 13 298 24 291 20 297 25 294 96003 88995 8 307 12 326 15 322 8 301 19 306 88995 83559 4 275 8 308 14 323 9 307 18 298 83559 79022 1 345 5 296 12 324 8 282 14 278 79022 75082 4 345 5 272 11 315 4 297 8 286 75082 71570 6 336 10 266 17 295 11 297 15 282 71570 68374 11 285 4 242 13 267 9 289 11 323 68374 65408 2 244 19 262 14 274 17 274 15 277 65408 62662 27 245 18 267 18 261 17 249 26 252 62662 59998 21 244 11 245 7 251 14 224 25 242 59998 57158 23 259 26 253 27 268 26 241 33 251 57158 54172 46 239 50 241 48 247 44 243 46 251 54172 51323 54 232 61 235 57 238 50 245 47 258 51323 48779 53 238 62 231 62 233 58 249 56 258 48779 46519 57 245 58 235 63 232 64 247 61 249 46519 44482 64 241 59 239 64 234 66 241 60 243 44482 42622 66 233 64 237 65 233 61 234 60 245 42622 40906 66 232 65 235 67 230 54 235 61 248 40906 39314 75 238 67 237 68 229 57 244 63 250 39314 37835 89 239 74 238 73 229 65 248 66 249 37835 36459 98 236 89 237 82 229 74 246 68 249 36459 35156 99 235 105 234 90 229 78 243 69 252 35156 33861 97 234 109 231 94 227 76 241 72 256 33861 32547 92 234 103 226 95 225 75 241 79 257 32547 31212 88 233 96 223 96 222 77 240 86 257 31212 29836 86 230 93 221 97 219 78 237 88 257 29836 28406 84 226 92 221 96 218 73 236 85 258 28406 26924 82 224 91 221 93 218 68 238 79 258 26924 25392 81 224 90 222 89 219 67 239 71 257 25392 23811 80 224 87 222 85 220 65 241 65 257 23811 22181 76 223 84 221 82 220 62 241 63 256 22181 20498 73 218 79 218 79 220 62 238 63 254 20498 18754 70 214 74 215 79 219 66 232 62 252 18754 16983 68 213 70 213 80 218 66 225 60 249 16983 15282 65 214 70 214 81 218 61 221 55 243 15282 13737 60 218 68 218 78 218 54 222 53 235 13737 12359 53 222 63 222 70 217 49 226 53 228 12359 11127 48 223 55 225 61 217 46 230 52 224 11127 10023 47 221 45 227 54 217 45 233 51 224 10023 9033 46 219 36 229 47 215 42 235 50 228 9033 8147 40 219 29 229 38 214 40 237 49 232 8147 7359 32 219 23 226 37 208 37 239 45 236 7359 6655 25 219 18 219 34 205 34 242 39 238 6655 6018 20 213 15 211 31 203 31*245 33 239 6018 5449 16 201 12 205 28 202 27*248 25 238 5449 4969 13 186 8 199 26 200 24 250 18 236 4969 4597 11 168 5 188 23 198 22 251 13 234 4597 4340 10 148 3 154 21 196 20 251 10 232 4340 4183 9*138 3*134 18*193 18 251 9*231 4183 4092 7*128 2*128 12*185 14 250 9*229 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography