DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.9 - - 63.1 - - 67.6 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 34 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1638 - - 1655 - - 2824 - - 1079 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 34 - - 24 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 3 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 124 - - 192 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5139 - - -5792 - - -5502 - - -5163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9233 - - 9887 - - 9597 - - 9258 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14331 - - -12694 - - -10702 - - -12256 ODpotential blCL - - - 18425 - - 16788 - - 14797 - - 16351 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 56 - - 56 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.9 - - 63.1 - - 67.6 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.3 - - 34.5 - - 40.0 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 64.1 - - 68.7 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 33.3 - - 38.8 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 34 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96609 11 221 12 249 9 195 12 268 96609 89488 11 171 9 164 7 207 1 036 89488 84015 10 149 7 103 8 089 6 195 84015 79463 17 099 10 118 5 057 8 113 79463 75535 18 074 12 103 2 127 9 072 75535 72079 14 062 9 079 12 132 7 079 72079 68949 13 090 4 038 10 047 12 071 68949 66062 17 060 6 083 6 353 8 009 66062 63390 23 020 17 016 10 018 8 003 63390 60810 22 011 18 349 22 355 18 350 60810 58127 27 358 22 342 27 341 25 347 58127 55343 28 353 26 330 23 336 27 339 55343 52679 32 001 27 341 26 344 25 336 52679 50278 51 351 37 350 32 332 27 328 50278 48133 50 327 43 341 38 331 30 322 48133 46192 39 337 41 327 48 323 37 320 46192 44409 34 346 42 328 51 314 44 315 44409 42756 41 354 49 333 47 312 45 314 42756 41215 50 348 50 336 45 318 42 316 41215 39765 57 339 49 339 43 319 39 311 39765 38396 58 340 48 339 41 314 36 307 38396 37075 54 342 47 330 40 314 39 305 37075 35739 50 336 48 326 41 316 42 306 35739 34363 51 328 53 324 42 313 43 305 34363 32949 52 326 53 325 43 312 43 305 32949 31487 52 327 53 330 43 316 41 307 31487 29965 54 331 53 334 42 322 39 310 29965 28386 57 335 51 333 40 327 38 313 28386 26748 59 335 49 330 40 329 37 317 26748 25056 58 332 49 326 41 328 36 321 25056 23312 55 329 50 324 45 326 38 324 23312 21510 48 328 46 322 48 325 42 325 21510 19645 42 328 38 320 45 325 45 325 19645 17757 36 332 28 327 34 321 38 327 17757 15947 31 336 23 332 25 319 28 326 15947 14305 27 337 21 332 20 326 23 320 14305 12843 24 336 19 333 18 333 19 321 12843 11537 21 334 16 331 14 341 13 330 11537 10367 15 329 11 325 9 344 8 335 10367 9319 8 316 7 310 5 335 5 310 9319 8381 3 284 4 285 3 312 4 283 8381 7546 2 218 2 301 2 313 2 266 7546 6801 2 189 2 322 2 333 1 250 6801 6126 2 187 2 336 2 341 0 107 6126 5524 2 196 2 001 2 358 1 078 5524 5017 1 194 2 027 1 000 1 062 5017 4625 1 165 2 039 0 013 1 048 4625 4354 1 141 1 059 0 174 0 345 4354 4188 1*135 1*070 1*187 0*235 4188 4094 2*142 1*124 1*192 1*239 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography