DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.4 - - 43.3 - - 45.1 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 33 - - 11 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3375 - - 4286 - - 4059 - - 3327 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 35 - - 26 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 101 - - 051 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2701 - - -4061 - - -4822 - - -4065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6794 - - 8154 - - 8916 - - 8158 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6497 - - -9977 - - -11429 - - -10369 ODpotential blCL - - - 10590 - - 14070 - - 15522 - - 14462 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 83 - - 79 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.4 - - 43.3 - - 45.1 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 22.2 - - 20.6 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 42.7 - - 44.9 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.0 - - 21.0 - - 19.5 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 33 - - 11 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 31 - - 16 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96699 50 057 55 075 53 082 43 079 96699 89593 42 067 42 082 35 082 41 072 89593 84097 29 074 32 082 25 085 33 064 84097 79502 25 072 29 068 31 078 26 065 79502 75509 27 079 21 066 25 067 25 069 75509 71952 28 073 21 067 27 066 33 064 71952 68730 20 041 23 027 30 038 33 057 68730 65780 10 045 16 018 28 018 29 044 65780 63050 17 073 13 041 22 014 22 033 63050 60402 35 044 23 037 26 029 25 033 60402 57624 44 030 37 030 36 031 32 029 57624 54742 46 017 49 021 49 027 46 027 54742 52018 50 011 56 017 59 026 51 027 52018 49584 57 014 62 019 65 025 52 028 49584 47393 69 017 70 019 67 021 55 026 47393 45387 75 014 69 014 67 013 62 023 45387 43540 73 013 69 013 68 007 69 020 43540 41828 73 014 68 012 66 005 71 018 41828 40238 73 016 70 014 63 010 79 014 40238 38762 81 011 78 014 70 015 90 010 38762 37391 97 011 88 013 97 021 92 011 37391 36086 115 011 111 014 123 023 95 013 36086 34777 124 009 117 016 126 022 100 016 34777 33430 120 008 98 017 124 022 105 018 33430 32045 95 002 78 010 118 019 105 017 32045 30608 88 359 72 359 110 016 105 018 30608 29109 78 001 68 359 97 011 104 023 29109 27551 74 006 62 003 85 007 96 024 27551 25936 72 012 55 003 72 007 89 021 25936 24270 66 013 50 360 55 006 79 018 24270 22566 60 011 47 007 46 008 56 014 22566 20819 57 011 43 010 41 009 43 002 20819 19015 53 016 40 009 37 001 33 354 19015 17190 47 021 39 012 33 358 30 355 17190 15441 39 025 36 018 30 006 27 355 15441 13854 31 032 32 026 26 015 22 005 13854 12440 26 039 26 034 20 025 18 017 12440 11181 22 045 20 042 16 035 15 024 11181 10057 18 053 17 053 14 045 13 033 10057 9054 13 067 15 066 11 056 11 044 9054 8160 12 084 11 084 8 068 9 053 8160 7365 12 095 8 100 5 081 6 060 7365 6658 11 097 6 102 4 083 4 069 6658 6019 11 094 6 099 4 079 4 076 6019 5448 9 089 5 099 4 070 4 079 5448 4967 6 082 4 098 4 061 5 075 4967 4596 5 082 4 099 3 056 6 072 4596 4339 5 081 4 101 3 054 5 068 4339 4182 5*080 3*100 3*052 5*064 4182 4092 4*081 3*101 3*051 5*063 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography