DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.3 - - 53.9 - - 56.8 - - 55.3 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 88 - - 465 - - 464 - - 144 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 6880 - - 9089 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 13995 - - 15801 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 15680 - - 17889 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2587 - - 4070 - - 3879 - - 10904 - - 1103 Hgt.Variab. W* 161 - - 642 - - 705 - - 189 - - 18 W* B/S 6 - - 31 - - 22 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 179 - - 236 - - 285 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 30 - - 45 - - -8 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6397 - - -556 - - 1390 - - -6572 - - -4808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15760 - - 16237 - - 16500 - - 15936 - - 14172 sfcLCL ODpotential -9652 - - -2179 - - 173 - - -8133 - - -8620 ODpotential blCL 19014 - - 17859 - - 17716 - - 17496 - - 17983 blCL maxRH 77 - - 75 - - 96 - - 91 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 90 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.3 - - 53.9 - - 56.8 - - 55.3 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.3 - - 15.3 - - 17.0 - - 18.1 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.5 - - 50.2 - - 53.2 - - 53.3 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.7 - - 14.5 - - 16.2 - - 17.6 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 88 - - 465 - - 464 - - 144 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 6880 - - 9089 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 1 - - 85 - - 62 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97311 46 273 42 268 41 274 48 278 45 277 97311 90009 40 267 46 274 48 272 46 286 35 285 90009 84367 30 269 41 272 44 273 47 283 34 293 84367 79676 26 295 26 268 29 263 39 270 39 287 79676 75640 32 291 21 291 17 261 25 256 33 277 75640 72091 29 272 26 295 17 280 13 272 17 267 72091 68892 19 249 24 273 20 285 17 300 9 292 68892 65953 14 247 24 250 24 267 25 289 13 302 65953 63229 17 263 21 252 22 259 23 271 15 274 63229 60599 24 279 20 274 19 258 20 253 20 245 60599 57862 36 275 24 261 23 248 26 250 24 255 57862 55017 36 269 28 250 32 253 34 255 33 255 55017 52289 40 268 36 256 39 253 34 258 34 266 52289 49812 49 262 43 258 45 260 40 259 38 267 49812 47576 57 254 48 256 49 257 42 263 40 269 47576 45546 59 253 50 251 44 258 38 273 38 282 45546 43708 58 259 44 253 38 261 35 276 39 291 43708 42034 47 264 27 266 20 275 21 274 28 293 42034 40492 30 272 27 299 22 342 16 004 20 028 40492 39062 27 272 24 303 32 352 34 019 35 031 39062 37727 20 229 19 307 30 347 36 017 34 023 37727 36455 18 198 18 291 22 326 28 011 28 021 36455 35190 13 202 16 272 17 308 23 359 25 019 35190 33908 14 218 14 250 15 288 16 328 20 019 33908 32617 14 221 13 246 14 277 14 303 13 006 32617 31306 11 224 10 259 12 280 14 295 10 326 31306 29970 7 219 10 276 11 288 15 297 10 306 29970 28612 4 214 9 264 11 290 17 301 11 318 28612 27238 2 197 8 247 9 288 17 310 14 330 27238 25853 1 256 6 218 5 280 14 315 13 333 25853 24461 5 296 6 177 2 257 8 297 9 331 24461 23061 7 284 3 202 4 023 2 215 7 309 23061 21650 6 233 5 311 4 004 3 099 4 241 21650 20246 6 226 7 323 2 311 2 089 4 177 20246 18911 5 240 7 326 4*250 1 115 4 181 18911 17701 3 251 6 332 4*249 3 272 3 190 17701 16616 2 264 4*336 5 248 3 276 3 199 16616 15634 2 268 3*329 5 243 6 284 2 225 15634 14735 2 233 2 310 6 242 8 286 3 264 14735 13909 4 201 2 225 6 239 9 287 4 290 13909 13151 6 175 3 191 6 236 10 287 6 304 13151 12457 8 156 5 178 6 234 10 288 8 312 12457 11821 8 138 6 174 7 231 11 287 9 316 11821 11231 8 125 7 172 7 230 11 287 11 317 11231 10692 10 113 7 170 7 228 11 287 12 318 10692 10229 10 100 8 169 7 227 11 287 13 319 10229 9865 9 089 8 169 7 226 11 287 12 321 9865 9610 8 084 8 168 7 224 11 287 11 325 9610 9453 7*083 8 168 6 223 10*285 9*327 9453 9363 5*083 7 168 6 222 8*285 5*332 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography