DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.8 - - 51.2 - - 55.6 - - 52.7 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 42 - - 355 - - 379 - - 80 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 3475 - - 4452 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 11188 - - 11975 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 12275 - - 13252 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1547 - - 1600 - - 1476 - - 4297 - - 567 Hgt.Variab. W* 125 - - 468 - - 520 - - 156 - - 15 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 19 - - 19 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 005 - - 350 - - 341 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -32 - - -54 - - -55 - - -32 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1462 - - -2548 - - -3051 - - -7029 - - -5074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10824 - - 14824 - - 16303 - - 16392 - - 14437 sfcLCL ODpotential -9455 - - -10796 - - -10137 - - -14227 - - -14926 ODpotential blCL 18817 - - 23071 - - 23389 - - 23590 - - 24288 blCL maxRH 78 - - 41 - - 36 - - 39 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.8 - - 51.2 - - 55.6 - - 52.7 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 19.0 - - 16.8 - - 13.9 - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.6 - - 48.1 - - 52.3 - - 51.2 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 18.1 - - 15.8 - - 13.0 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 42 - - 355 - - 379 - - 80 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 3475 - - 4452 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96620 11 258 22 273 24 279 20 301 26 277 96620 89522 7 038 16 225 17 270 14 279 14 310 89522 84066 7 022 5 122 8 154 5 211 14 299 84066 79499 14 323 7 014 15 068 9 131 7 020 79499 75547 9 012 5 136 6 071 3 004 12 042 75547 72066 6 064 9 048 3 153 3 284 5 032 72066 68898 8 072 9 039 1 292 10 348 10 011 68898 65964 9 140 9 077 0 178 4 236 5 121 65964 63231 11 009 11 337 5 322 24 330 12 324 63231 60606 13 329 18 309 18 328 23 312 26 288 60606 57909 8 305 14 345 11 003 7 257 13 220 57909 55117 32 358 42 358 40 337 37 326 41 343 55117 52460 54 358 50 346 50 329 52 332 54 342 52460 50085 67 352 54 344 45 340 53 338 55 346 50085 47954 67 350 63 345 53 345 60 340 54 336 47954 46020 68 349 60 344 56 344 59 340 53 337 46020 44247 69 345 57 343 61 343 60 341 53 339 44247 42610 69 344 60 345 66 342 61 342 51 348 42610 41088 72 346 64 345 70 341 62 343 49 359 41088 39659 74 349 69 345 72 340 63 343 47 010 39659 38317 73 353 72 345 72 339 65 342 48 015 38317 37035 67 355 73 346 70 339 65 341 48 016 37035 35756 58 356 72 347 69 340 63 340 44 013 35756 34454 51 354 70 348 69 341 60 340 42 004 34454 33136 47 352 68 349 68 342 57 342 45 358 33136 31795 43 352 65 348 65 343 57 344 47 358 31795 30424 40 353 62 346 60 342 59 344 45 358 30424 29029 38 354 59 345 55 340 60 343 43 356 29029 27614 38 354 57 344 53 338 60 343 43 352 27614 26186 38 353 57 345 53 338 59 343 48 347 26186 24750 38 350 60 346 56 340 59 344 53 346 24750 23304 39 346 63 348 61 344 60 346 58 348 23304 21841 40 344 62 348 64 347 62 350 63 353 21841 20386 41 343 57 346 60 348 61 352 65 355 20386 19005 43 345 51 343 54 347 56 350 63 354 19005 17758 45 348 48 342 48 346 51 348 58 351 17758 16645 46 350 47 345 44 346 47 345 54 348 16645 15642 46 353 44 350 40 348 44 345 50 346 15642 14731 45 356 40 356 33 351 40 346 47 344 14731 13898 45 359 35 000 26*351 34 345 45 343 13898 13136 44 002 31 003 22*350 29 344 43 342 13136 12442 43 003 27*005 21 350 27 343 40 343 12442 11807 40 004 22*005 21 350 26 343 38 344 11807 11219 37 004 21 005 20 350 25 343 34 345 11219 10683 32 004 19 004 20 350 24 343 30 346 10683 10222 25 002 18 004 19 350 23 342 25 346 10222 9861 20 000 17 004 18 350 21 342 20 347 9861 9607 16 359 15 004 16 349 19 342 13 346 9607 9452 13*357 14 005 14 350 16*341 8*344 9452 9362 8*356 10 005 10 350 10*341 4*347 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography