DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 34.4 - - 29.4 - - 27.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 12 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1818 - - 3716 - - 2978 - - 2020 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 88 - - 18 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 25 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 336 - - 052 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 0 - - -8 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3708 - - -4540 - - -2734 - - -2038 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13070 - - 13903 - - 12097 - - 11400 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10098 - - -9845 - - -8227 - - -7610 ODpotential blCL - - - 19460 - - 19207 - - 17589 - - 16972 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 71 - - 79 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 34.4 - - 29.4 - - 27.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.2 - - 6.8 - - 9.8 - - 10.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 34.4 - - 32.9 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.2 - - 5.7 - - 8.6 - - 9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 12 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96531 21 066 23 066 15 063 34 063 96531 89363 25 067 21 075 21 064 32 068 89363 83774 16 073 13 069 20 058 28 067 83774 79135 8 073 6 076 15 019 19 051 79135 75145 4 102 1 274 3 041 3 350 75145 71603 6 111 8 262 5 331 8 359 71603 68374 13 314 8 299 8 335 11 316 68374 65396 21 290 16 314 14 309 16 309 65396 62636 25 289 25 305 23 291 25 283 62636 59969 33 286 33 297 32 305 28 297 59969 57183 39 290 42 290 42 294 40 291 57183 54293 52 289 56 287 55 280 52 283 54293 51544 62 285 65 286 66 280 63 282 51544 49071 63 283 71 285 75 283 72 279 49071 46861 66 284 79 285 83 280 75 276 46861 44864 72 286 88 278 83 279 76 276 44864 43042 80 285 86 278 87 279 85 274 43042 41372 83 283 87 280 93 275 90 270 41372 39832 78 281 89 278 95 273 92 268 39832 38404 75 280 83 274 92 272 88 268 38404 37081 76 279 77 272 86 271 78 270 37081 35832 74 280 77 271 85 270 73 268 35832 34589 76 281 77 270 80 269 74 267 34589 33328 77 282 73 272 75 269 72 267 33328 32055 73 282 71 273 72 270 69 267 32055 30761 69 283 73 271 70 270 67 267 30761 29442 65 284 70 267 67 271 64 266 29442 28102 60 286 63 267 63 273 60 268 28102 26749 55 286 59 272 59 275 56 271 26749 25385 51 285 56 277 54 275 53 271 25385 24015 49 284 53 279 49 276 49 273 24015 22640 48 284 49 282 44 280 44 277 22640 21256 46 286 45 286 39 285 34 279 21256 19885 44 291 40 293 34 292 26 284 19885 18587 40 298 36 304 31 302 22 293 18587 17411 36 305 33 313 28 309 21 300 17411 16358 31 310 30 318 24 315 17 304 16358 15406 27 309 26 320 19 320 12 306 15406 14537 24 307 22 324 15 327 8 309 14537 13741 21 311 18 330 12 337 4 315 13741 13010 20 322 14 333 9 348 2 325 13010 12342 18 335 10 331 6 004 0 108 12342 11729 17 345 7 330 4 025 2 145 11729 11161 14 352 6 331 4 043 3 160 11161 10642 12 356 5 335 5 055 4 145 10642 10196 9 359 3 333 5 057 5 120 10196 9846 7 000 2 332 5 054 6 097 9846 9600 5 001 2 332 5 053 6 079 9600 9449 4*003 1*327 4*054 5*069 9449 9362 2*005 1*336 3*052 3*049 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography