DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.2 - - 25.5 - - 19.5 - - 13.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 85 - - -21 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 560 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9343 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4118 - - 4408 - - 1915 - - 660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 167 - - 163 - - 27 - - 36 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 304 - - 322 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -23 - - -29 - - -44 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9638 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1672 - - -1531 - - -1722 - - -4953 ODpotential blCL - - - 11033 - - 10892 - - 11083 - - 14313 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 79 - - 80 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.2 - - 25.5 - - 19.5 - - 13.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 18.0 - - 15.5 - - 4.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.7 - - 24.0 - - 19.5 - - 14.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.1 - - 16.8 - - 15.5 - - 4.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 85 - - -21 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 560 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 15 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94904 87 263 86 271 85 268 94 264 94904 88145 54 273 63 273 60 274 63 263 88145 82875 34 269 48 270 49 280 52 289 82875 78443 27 272 34 266 44 281 49 302 78443 74622 23 281 24 264 36 273 32 292 74622 71222 23 291 23 276 29 270 19 278 71222 68092 27 289 26 284 29 290 24 294 68092 65184 29 272 33 280 39 290 37 291 65184 62485 29 262 34 265 40 281 45 282 62485 59878 32 269 32 264 40 278 48 272 59878 57145 38 279 38 271 43 274 49 264 57145 54270 44 273 44 270 45 267 49 270 54270 51493 48 267 48 271 48 268 54 273 51493 48974 51 268 55 271 56 270 55 269 48974 46699 57 266 59 268 58 267 53 265 46699 44618 55 263 57 267 56 270 51 266 44618 42697 52 267 56 271 55 270 51 267 42697 40919 51 270 53 270 55 266 52 270 40919 39268 52 271 54 272 54 264 56 271 39268 37737 61 269 61 271 54 266 59 268 37737 36319 69 261 68 263 54 264 59 261 36319 34988 68 256 69 256 55 262 56 258 34988 33685 69 256 69 252 60 260 52 256 33685 32390 80 247 78 250 69 256 51 257 32390 31110 103 236 88 244 76 248 54 257 31110 29832 114 234 93 233 77 240 56 256 29832 28544 117 237 99 233 72 237 55 257 28544 27252 108 238 90 241 63 242 52 264 27252 25958 81 241 78 248 55 251 53 267 25958 24662 70 248 62 254 49 261 57 263 24662 23363 59 252 49 258 45 270 58 261 23363 22058 48 255 41 262 45 275 57 263 22058 20741 38 260 35 266 43 277 54 267 20741 19433 32 266 29 271 37 277 45 271 19433 18194 29 270 25 272 31 276 35 277 18194 17075 26 271 24 269 29 277 29 286 17075 16074 25 270 24 265 27 281 25 294 16074 15168 24 267 25 267 25 287 22 301 15168 14340 24 267 24 273 22 297 20 309 14340 13577 23 270 23 282 21 308 19 320 13577 12876 21 276 21 292 20 319 19 333 12876 12233 18 285 21 301 21 325 20 347 12233 11642 16 296 20 306 21 328 23 356 11642 11095 14 306 20 308 22 328 25 003 11095 10594 14 309 19 308 22 327 28 008 10594 10164 13 310 19 309 22 326 29 010 10164 9826 12 310 18 308 20 325 27 011 9826 9590 11 308 16 307 17 324 23 010 9590 9445 10*307 14*306 14*323 18*010 9445 9360 7*304 9*304 8*322 10*009 9360 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography