DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.1 - - 28.0 - - 29.1 - - 26.5 - - 25.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 76 - - 75 - - -13 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1375 - - 2364 - - 2189 - - 818 - - 435 Hgt.Variab. W* 82 - - 156 - - 155 - - 29 - - 32 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 292 - - 303 - - 307 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - -16 - - -21 - - -18 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -216 - - -275 - - -327 - - -5865 - - -6812 ODpotential blCL 9577 - - 9636 - - 9688 - - 15226 - - 16173 blCL maxRH 100 - - 97 - - 98 - - 79 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.1 - - 28.0 - - 29.1 - - 26.5 - - 25.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 26.1 - - 26.9 - - 23.3 - - 20.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.3 - - 26.6 - - 27.6 - - 26.9 - - 27.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.8 - - 25.4 - - 26.3 - - 23.1 - - 20.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 76 - - 75 - - -13 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 87 - - 91 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 7 122 10 314 8 339 11 354 6 303 96422 89382 11 083 9 090 9 083 5 021 11 035 89382 83895 15 068 11 092 12 095 6 070 9 048 83895 79304 10 058 9 102 11 093 5 081 7 066 79304 75342 5 035 5 093 4 140 6 097 7 043 75342 71827 2 013 2 268 3 140 4 131 2 021 71827 68637 5 007 1 350 4 209 2 010 3 148 68637 65717 10 313 3 271 9 228 5 293 1 238 65717 63008 9 243 8 223 12 213 11 238 6 248 63008 60354 9 230 15 235 15 231 16 219 12 218 60354 57562 20 233 15 236 16 228 15 226 18 224 57562 54657 26 233 26 244 22 252 24 241 25 238 54657 51890 32 235 34 241 27 251 34 240 34 240 51890 49411 31 243 32 245 38 245 36 241 36 244 49411 47190 30 260 37 248 43 245 37 246 40 247 47190 45179 40 264 45 253 42 251 42 251 45 250 45179 43352 46 262 50 259 52 258 46 256 46 253 43352 41675 54 256 55 266 59 259 51 261 50 257 41675 40116 58 252 62 267 61 262 58 262 60 257 40116 38663 60 255 67 268 64 267 63 261 63 255 38663 37313 63 266 71 272 71 268 68 259 62 255 37313 36038 73 275 77 276 78 266 71 258 60 256 36038 34778 81 275 87 273 80 264 71 258 57 257 34778 33507 83 274 92 270 78 264 69 259 57 258 33507 32230 83 273 92 270 74 266 66 257 56 257 32230 30935 84 272 86 272 71 268 61 255 54 256 30935 29611 87 272 82 277 66 269 53 256 50 253 29611 28263 87 273 81 281 60 270 49 257 49 250 28263 26898 85 274 80 281 56 271 46 256 48 247 26898 25524 83 273 75 281 55 271 44 256 44 245 25524 24147 80 272 69 282 53 273 41 256 39 247 24147 22763 78 273 62 285 50 277 37 259 32 247 22763 21368 72 276 54 288 48 281 32 264 25 241 21368 19981 63 277 50 289 46 284 29 271 21 240 19981 18665 55 278 46 287 45 286 28 278 19 247 18665 17472 47 281 41 287 43 288 28 284 19 257 17472 16404 42 280 35 289 39 289 26 290 19 265 16404 15439 35 275 31 292 36 290 25 295 18 269 15439 14559 31 270 29 295 32 291 22 299 17 271 14559 13752 30 268 27 298 26 294 19 300 14 272 13752 13013 31 267 25 297 21 295 16 300 11 273 13013 12340 32 265 23 297 18 296 13 298 9 275 12340 11724 31 262 22 296 16 298 12 297 9 276 11724 11155 28 258 21 295 15 300 11 295 9 280 11155 10637 24 255 20 296 14 303 11 297 9 288 10637 10192 21 252 18 295 13 305 11 301 9 299 10192 9843 17 250 16 295 12 306 11 305 9 308 9843 9598 14 248 15 294 11 306 10 307 9 318 9598 9448 12*247 13*294 10*306 8*308 8*324 9448 9361 8*246 8*292 7*303 5*307 6*327 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography