DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.2 - - 47.8 - - 50.9 - - 43.7 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 139 - - 165 - - -17 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 729 - - 2317 - - 3752 - - 1017 - - 836 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 189 - - 198 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 244 - - 265 - - 305 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 10 - - 5 - - -15 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5689 - - -5335 - - -6843 - - -5121 - - -6211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15052 - - 14699 - - 16206 - - 14484 - - 15574 sfcLCL ODpotential -14756 - - -11589 - - -12843 - - -12586 - - -16005 ODpotential blCL 24118 - - 20952 - - 22205 - - 21948 - - 25367 blCL maxRH 80 - - 80 - - 85 - - 90 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.2 - - 47.8 - - 50.9 - - 43.7 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.2 - - 16.5 - - 12.9 - - 13.6 - - 5.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 45.7 - - 48.7 - - 44.8 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.2 - - 15.5 - - 12.0 - - 13.1 - - 4.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 139 - - 165 - - -17 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 20 - - 38 - - 59 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96262 42 274 42 269 38 270 45 282 52 274 96262 89233 31 287 30 276 30 284 30 287 30 273 89233 83785 18 299 21 286 23 288 27 296 19 306 83785 79256 16 327 6 284 19 267 25 296 22 329 79256 75356 16 337 6 342 11 280 19 308 21 329 75356 71898 15 341 11 313 10 321 10 325 15 317 71898 68766 13 338 12 332 12 337 7 339 14 315 68766 65898 18 340 15 317 16 317 13 322 11 328 65898 63234 20 326 15 329 13 309 16 304 10 298 63234 60647 28 316 24 320 20 310 22 293 19 301 60647 57964 34 311 34 298 25 295 29 290 26 291 57964 55185 41 309 33 294 32 300 32 287 30 289 55185 52525 47 308 41 304 39 293 43 283 40 285 52525 50131 51 297 49 292 45 279 44 275 46 275 50131 47982 48 291 45 282 43 273 43 269 48 273 47982 46024 41 300 43 290 48 283 48 276 50 277 46024 44228 42 316 52 299 52 288 56 281 51 280 44228 42570 51 315 53 300 50 288 58 278 50 279 42570 41027 55 309 47 297 46 287 50 274 52 278 41027 39584 56 307 47 298 48 287 47 281 55 276 39584 38233 56 304 49 300 49 287 50 285 57 274 38233 36946 56 303 51 301 47 286 50 283 56 272 36946 35663 56 300 54 300 46 284 46 280 54 270 35663 34357 56 297 54 299 47 284 43 276 52 269 34357 33038 56 296 53 301 47 285 42 274 52 268 33038 31694 54 295 50 299 47 285 47 273 52 268 31694 30319 40 294 48 295 48 287 52 279 51 268 30319 28923 33 292 42 294 49 289 52 282 49 264 28923 27511 30 284 40 289 45 291 49 276 46 254 27511 26085 30 282 37 283 39 295 41 266 43 255 26085 24651 31 274 35 273 34 290 33 264 46 270 24651 23211 27 271 29 265 29 281 29 268 49 275 23211 21763 23 265 23 265 24 280 26 274 47 275 21763 20326 20 260 20 265 20 282 24 277 39 275 20326 18963 17 261 18 262 16 282 22 281 30 272 18963 17729 16 267 16 261 14 280 18 285 22 270 17729 16626 15 275 14 264 13 276 15 289 17 272 16626 15630 16 281 13 269 12 275 13 293 14 277 15630 14723 15 285 12 274 11 278 12 297 13 281 14723 13892 15 288 11 279 11 285 11 300 11 285 13892 13131 13 291 10 285 10 292 10 304 11 287 13131 12436 12 293 9 291 9 294 10 308 10 287 12436 11801 11 295 9 296 10 290 10 311 10 287 11801 11214 10 296 8 301 10 287 10 313 10 287 11214 10678 9 299 7 298 10 280 11 314 10 288 10678 10219 8 301 5 288 10 275 11 314 10 291 10219 9859 7 303 4 267 9 271 11 313 9 296 9859 9607 6 307 4 259 9 269 10 311 8 305 9607 9452 5*310 4*250 8*267 8*307 6*314 9452 9362 4*321 3*244 7*265 4*305 4*325 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography