DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 67.5 - - - - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 337 - - - - - -71 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 563 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8985 - - 9009 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 9363 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6235 - - 7931 - - - - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 242 - - 251 - - - - - 30 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 254 - - - - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 10 - - - - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11847 - - -11364 - - - - - -9813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21212 - - 20728 - - - - - 19177 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15845 - - -14493 - - - - - -16307 ODpotential blCL - - - 25209 - - 23856 - - - - - 25670 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 39 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 67.5 - - - - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.3 - - 8.9 - - - - - 2.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 64.3 - - - - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.2 - - 7.9 - - - - - 1.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 337 - - - - - -71 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 563 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96564 20 277 21 268 14 255 96564 89429 5 323 10 244 16 310 89429 83963 3 286 9 308 9 331 83963 79431 8 160 5 300 7 004 79431 75507 5 090 5 222 9 334 75507 72020 7 352 4 297 14 311 72020 68861 10 314 6 314 14 289 68861 65973 10 356 16 349 13 339 65973 63330 16 003 20 344 21 346 63330 60800 23 358 17 350 24 346 60800 58163 28 334 22 330 26 344 58163 55405 29 325 26 320 27 335 55405 52752 25 329 25 322 26 318 52752 50346 23 340 21 324 24 308 50346 48172 24 335 18 332 22 315 48172 46191 26 328 29 320 26 325 46191 44376 31 313 35 310 32 327 44376 42703 31 310 38 303 38 317 42703 41150 30 312 38 302 38 309 41150 39709 35 313 41 310 37 314 39709 38368 41 313 45 316 39 320 38368 37093 47 315 47 318 40 316 37093 35821 49 318 43 320 38 316 35821 34529 44 315 36 319 36 322 34529 33221 39 312 33 318 35 320 33221 31889 37 319 32 320 33 315 31889 30528 38 323 33 322 31 315 30528 29144 38 322 32 326 27 317 29144 27741 36 324 30 329 23 318 27741 26324 33 327 26 328 18 312 26324 24899 29 329 22 323 16 302 24899 23463 25 328 19 318 17 302 23463 22008 19 327 16 317 18 308 22008 20559 14 332 13 318 18 314 20559 19182 12 338 12 319 15 318 19182 17932 11 345 11 325 12 319 17932 16811 11 350 10 334 9 316 16811 15797 10 354 9 335 6 313 15797 14870 8 357 9 325 4 312 14870 14019 7 355 8 318 2 318 14019 13239 6 352 8 300 2 340 13239 12526 3 339 8 286 3 350 12526 11873 2 297 9 277 5 349 11873 11268 2 244 9 272 9 347 11268 10717 3 220 9 267 12 348 10717 10245 4 212 9 263 15 348 10245 9874 5 206 9 260 17 347 9874 9614 5 204 9 258 16 344 9614 9455 5*202 8*256 14*342 9455 9363 4*200 7*254 8*340 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography