DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 55.6 - - 52.5 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 138 - - 40 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2225 - - 2992 - - 2239 - - 1953 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 190 - - 126 - - 84 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 164 - - 119 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 20 - - 7 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -366 - - -791 - - -272 - - -226 ODpotential blCL - - - 9729 - - 10154 - - 9635 - - 9589 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 490 - - 720 - - 470 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 55.6 - - 52.5 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 50.9 - - 50.9 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 53.5 - - 51.1 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 50.2 - - 50.5 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 138 - - 40 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 98 - - 98 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98932 20 105 20 110 15 099 18 103 98932 91556 18 124 20 115 12 098 21 068 91556 85860 16 110 16 118 12 113 17 082 85860 81131 12 092 13 105 13 117 11 111 81131 77054 10 134 8 103 11 085 12 112 77054 73437 10 151 3 178 6 082 9 078 73437 70155 10 153 10 211 3 284 6 043 70155 67123 3 097 13 191 10 246 4 313 67123 64319 8 277 8 210 11 234 10 255 64319 61637 7 253 3 194 10 205 11 221 61637 58864 17 233 18 243 13 240 13 227 58864 56029 21 211 26 222 21 239 20 235 56029 53363 17 206 28 213 25 221 23 227 53363 50969 25 240 29 227 28 231 25 229 50969 48810 39 239 38 233 35 236 29 240 48810 46839 43 233 39 231 38 225 32 240 46839 45018 47 227 43 232 36 220 36 240 45018 43329 48 226 49 231 36 248 43 243 43329 41755 55 234 52 238 57 247 47 243 41755 40278 63 237 59 243 61 238 48 238 40278 38896 65 236 60 241 53 219 44 230 38896 37583 61 236 55 234 51 209 39 226 37583 36274 55 234 52 228 47 209 36 224 36274 34942 50 228 51 228 40 207 35 225 34942 33595 46 227 52 227 35 205 31 222 33595 32223 36 230 38 219 37 205 25 204 32223 30821 31 231 31 218 42 206 24 198 30821 29394 30 232 31 220 41 205 24 200 29394 27949 28 236 29 222 33 202 24 199 27949 26492 28 239 25 231 19 200 24 197 26492 25026 25 236 21 238 12 182 24 198 25026 23550 21 226 19 237 11 187 22 199 23550 22062 19 222 18 232 9 197 23 203 22062 20582 17 221 15 223 8 200 24 205 20582 19179 15 223 15 216 8 191 23 203 19179 17909 15 225 11 214 8 181 20 199 17909 16775 15 225 9 218 8 172 18 188 16775 15752 16 224 9 225 7 166 17 177 15752 14822 16 225 10 223 8 159 15 165 14822 13973 16 226 10 220 8 156 13 150 13973 13198 14 224 9 214 8 153 12 135 13198 12491 12 213 8 206 8 143 12 121 12491 11845 10 195 7 193 8 132 12 110 11845 11247 9 169 7 177 8 123 13 101 11247 10702 8 150 7 173 8 120 14 094 10702 10236 8 139 7 169 8 118 13 089 10236 9869 8 135 7 166 8 117 12 084 9869 9612 7 133 7 166 7 117 11 081 9612 9454 7*133 7*165 7*117 9*079 9454 9363 6*133 6*164 5*119 6*077 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography