DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.2 - - 35.5 - - 34.8 - - 26.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 367 - - 83 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9006 - - 9023 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4122 - - 6600 - - 5795 - - 462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 257 - - 157 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 13 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 123 - - 231 - - 280 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 13 - - -4 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3686 - - -5407 - - -4950 - - -3161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13048 - - 14770 - - 14313 - - 12522 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6719 - - -8259 - - -9075 - - -11054 ODpotential blCL - - - 16080 - - 17621 - - 18437 - - 20415 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 52 - - 48 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.2 - - 35.5 - - 34.8 - - 26.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.3 - - 3.8 - - 5.3 - - 4.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.1 - - 32.4 - - 33.2 - - 28.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.5 - - 3.2 - - 4.7 - - 4.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 367 - - 83 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96112 26 289 21 282 33 278 35 292 96112 89082 19 307 19 292 19 282 22 304 89082 83649 16 302 23 303 16 298 18 320 83649 79082 17 288 25 299 24 316 21 317 79082 75143 12 260 22 275 24 303 23 308 75143 71681 6 271 15 258 19 289 21 294 71681 68548 16 294 13 273 18 285 18 281 68548 65661 25 277 18 274 20 278 20 280 65661 62971 26 259 23 266 23 262 23 270 62971 60344 26 260 26 260 24 260 24 264 60344 57588 31 251 29 254 27 266 24 262 57588 54715 31 238 31 249 28 261 24 258 54715 51959 23 242 27 251 25 256 18 258 51959 49473 21 253 23 258 20 264 13 273 49473 47244 19 260 18 269 16 274 13 291 47244 45231 13 271 14 268 11 275 9 313 45231 43399 3 314 5 276 5 310 6 026 43399 41712 6 022 9 034 12 056 22 054 41712 40149 18 027 26 045 33 043 32 039 40149 38700 29 039 41 043 39 043 42 068 38700 37355 39 045 59 051 63 057 65 066 37355 36078 44 049 80 049 85 054 82 052 36078 34814 51 050 85 048 88 049 85 045 34814 33535 55 050 83 050 86 050 79 048 33535 32243 54 052 76 053 83 054 73 055 32243 30932 53 055 64 055 77 059 65 066 30932 29600 54 059 61 055 70 067 53 070 29600 28250 52 063 65 056 60 068 42 065 28250 26886 44 066 63 059 55 063 36 061 26886 25512 17 062 52 064 52 069 32 057 25512 24134 16 250 37 070 46 074 27 067 24134 22746 33 243 13 067 29 078 23 069 22746 21343 37 243 10 261 9 049 20 056 21343 19951 33 247 21 254 9 331 20 050 19951 18632 25 251 21 253 10 327 19 053 18632 17440 18 254 14 257 9 328 15 056 17440 16375 12 255 4 283 6 333 11 057 16375 15414 7 251 3 331 5 352 8 056 15414 14539 3 247 4 334 6 344 6 059 14539 13737 2 114 3 328 6 335 4 068 13737 13004 3 094 3 313 6 325 3 066 13004 12335 4 092 3 291 7 306 2 048 12335 11722 5 097 3 276 7 299 4 036 11722 11154 6 102 4 263 7 294 5 027 11154 10637 6 107 4 252 8 289 7 033 10637 10192 6 113 4 244 7 286 8 032 10192 9843 7 118 4 240 7 284 9 026 9843 9598 6 121 4 237 7 283 9 016 9598 9448 6*123 4*235 7*281 7*007 9448 9361 6*123 4*231 5*280 5*359 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography