DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.7 - - 42.7 - - 47.4 - - 44.3 - - 36.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 288 - - 400 - - 82 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 4347 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 8970 - - 11910 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 13147 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 854 - - 3868 - - 1873 - - 4262 - - 747 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 238 - - 525 - - 157 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 17 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 259 - - 279 - - 283 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 5 - - -34 - - -12 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6135 - - -6493 - - -3937 - - -6771 - - -3690 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15498 - - 15856 - - 17085 - - 16134 - - 13053 sfcLCL ODpotential -13960 - - -11772 - - -9177 - - -11322 - - -9166 ODpotential blCL 23322 - - 21134 - - 22324 - - 20684 - - 18528 blCL maxRH 45 - - 30 - - 68 - - 47 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.7 - - 42.7 - - 47.4 - - 44.3 - - 36.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.4 - - 6.2 - - 5.2 - - 6.6 - - 12.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.6 - - 40.0 - - 44.2 - - 42.7 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.3 - - 5.3 - - 4.4 - - 6.2 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 288 - - 400 - - 82 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 4347 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96426 22 256 24 266 15 266 16 238 29 266 96426 89172 11 225 17 252 17 263 12 275 16 303 89172 83653 3 235 13 254 19 257 20 282 16 321 83653 79091 14 287 12 270 21 256 22 273 17 304 79091 75164 19 289 16 274 18 250 24 269 21 288 75164 71691 25 286 20 255 20 262 24 269 22 271 71691 68541 28 254 24 254 27 256 26 272 28 271 68541 65637 32 255 30 259 32 251 33 266 34 268 65637 62928 35 261 34 253 32 250 38 247 37 263 62928 60285 36 260 36 250 35 251 35 239 39 253 60285 57510 39 247 40 248 39 253 36 244 40 246 57510 54620 37 243 44 246 43 244 36 244 40 247 54620 51852 31 247 39 242 40 244 38 248 37 253 51852 49353 31 252 31 247 44 237 43 240 39 246 49353 47127 31 252 34 242 44 230 43 245 36 241 47127 45135 37 249 39 242 37 236 48 245 40 247 45135 43324 43 243 45 249 48 244 54 236 52 234 43324 41663 35 239 51 246 55 237 53 232 57 225 41663 40133 17 227 50 246 50 240 46 235 53 220 40133 38710 7 272 42 249 45 247 42 242 45 223 38710 37383 8 282 36 249 43 250 41 244 42 230 37383 36122 9 230 31 250 41 250 41 244 41 233 36122 34869 13 204 34 253 39 251 41 243 39 235 34869 33597 15 201 36 257 38 252 40 241 37 237 33597 32313 16 200 34 262 38 250 38 242 34 239 32313 31008 16 199 30 256 38 248 36 244 32 239 31008 29677 14 203 26 244 39 247 34 247 32 237 29677 28327 13 208 23 239 39 249 33 250 31 235 28327 26962 14 221 21 237 38 252 34 248 30 235 26962 25589 14 231 21 242 40 249 36 243 28 235 25589 24211 11 243 24 248 41 243 36 242 27 239 24211 22828 12 245 28 252 40 245 33 249 27 244 22828 21434 16 239 29 252 34 255 27 257 26 250 21434 20048 21 249 27 254 28 258 24 254 24 253 20048 18733 23 258 25 257 25 256 25 251 23 259 18733 17541 23 262 24 260 24 257 26 254 24 261 17541 16475 22 263 24 263 23 262 25 260 25 259 16475 15510 22 264 25 267 21 269 24 267 26 254 15510 14629 23 266 25 271 18 274 23 272 27 251 14629 13821 25 269 25 274 18*277 22 275 26 251 13821 13077 27 271 23 276 17*279 20 278 24 252 13077 12398 27 273 19 278 18 279 19 281 22 254 12398 11774 25 275 17 277 18 279 18 283 20 258 11774 11196 19 276 14 275 18 280 17 284 17 263 11196 10667 16 279 12 270 17 279 17 285 15 269 10667 10212 11 281 12 267 17 279 17 285 13 276 10212 9855 9 284 11 265 16 278 16 285 11 285 9855 9605 6 295 10 263 15 278 15 285 9 298 9605 9451 4*297 9*261 14 277 13*285 7*309 9451 9362 3*325 7*259 10 276 9*283 4*327 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography