DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 74.0 - - 72.2 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 529 - - 542 - - 225 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8309 - - 8912 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15217 - - 15722 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17109 - - 17712 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1865 - - 2179 - - 9309 - - 5901 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 714 - - 736 - - 219 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 263 - - 270 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - -15 - - -3 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4183 - - -4931 - - -13304 - - -11713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21293 - - 22644 - - 22669 - - 21078 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9196 - - -9598 - - -17726 - - -18212 ODpotential blCL - - - 26305 - - 27310 - - 27090 - - 27576 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 30 - - 49 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 74.0 - - 72.2 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.6 - - 6.3 - - 4.7 - - 2.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 69.9 - - 69.6 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.7 - - 5.1 - - 3.8 - - 2.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 529 - - 542 - - 225 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8309 - - 8912 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99109 27 111 33 105 36 108 31 101 99109 91584 29 104 33 106 28 113 27 101 91584 85783 25 108 28 114 22 097 20 097 85783 80970 24 116 23 119 15 094 24 090 80970 76830 24 115 19 107 18 122 20 081 76830 73190 21 102 15 113 19 101 16 111 73190 69902 10 108 13 110 10 107 13 098 69902 66880 7 133 3 042 13 068 12 083 66880 64090 9 193 13 221 6 321 8 027 64090 61426 10 102 6 167 4 246 7 273 61426 58685 11 323 6 329 6 297 6 282 58685 55849 23 286 20 293 18 291 14 291 55849 53143 34 276 32 286 32 289 25 289 53143 50715 42 277 43 286 45 289 41 294 50715 48546 52 278 52 282 55 284 53 291 48546 46581 58 281 59 282 60 284 59 288 46581 44777 63 283 66 284 61 284 60 287 44777 43106 65 284 66 285 60 283 59 287 43106 41547 65 283 63 285 59 282 56 286 41547 40085 63 282 62 284 58 283 56 284 40085 38716 62 281 61 281 58 283 57 284 38716 37413 64 281 62 279 60 282 58 285 37413 36117 66 281 63 277 59 279 57 284 36117 34801 65 281 61 277 57 277 55 282 34801 33475 64 282 57 281 55 277 52 282 33475 32128 64 283 56 285 53 280 49 283 32128 30750 61 285 54 286 52 283 49 286 30750 29348 52 284 47 286 51 284 48 286 29348 27925 43 283 41 283 49 284 47 286 27925 26487 41 284 37 279 44 282 43 285 26487 25041 37 285 34 277 37 280 37 285 25041 23585 32 283 31 280 30 279 30 283 23585 22112 30 279 29 280 26 277 25 280 22112 20646 27 276 25 276 23 276 22 281 20646 19255 21 277 20 273 22 274 22 276 19255 17994 15*272 13*267 17 272 22 265 17994 16866 13*267 13*266 14 272 23 258 16866 15846 12 265 13 266 14 273 23 256 15846 14914 12 261 13 266 14 273 22 258 14914 14059 11 259 13 265 14 274 21 262 14059 13273 11 256 13 265 15 274 19 267 13273 12556 11 253 13 263 15 274 18 273 12556 11899 11 250 13 263 15 274 16 280 11899 11289 11 248 14 262 15 273 14 288 11289 10734 11 245 14 261 15 273 13 295 10734 10257 11 243 13 260 14 273 12 300 10257 9881 11 241 13 259 14 272 11 305 9881 9618 11 240 12 258 13 272 9 309 9618 9457 10 239 12 258 12*271 7*313 9457 9364 8 237 9 256 9*270 5*321 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography