DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.7 - - 49.5 - - 42.2 - - 36.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 70 - - -29 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2692 - - 3098 - - 1241 - - 120 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 162 - - 57 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 323 - - 327 - - 327 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -29 - - -27 - - -16 - - -41 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3385 - - -5031 - - -3338 - - -2071 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12747 - - 14395 - - 12700 - - 11433 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10102 - - -11431 - - -12049 - - -12304 ODpotential blCL - - - 19464 - - 20794 - - 21411 - - 21666 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 30 - - 36 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.7 - - 49.5 - - 42.2 - - 36.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.7 - - 19.4 - - 19.8 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 48.3 - - 43.5 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 18.3 - - 18.7 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 70 - - -29 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97521 46 261 46 275 43 290 50 287 97521 90297 33 275 29 267 33 282 32 291 90297 84663 23 294 19 265 29 271 21 285 84663 79921 19 287 13 264 22 270 23 276 79921 75843 19 260 8 276 16 289 22 290 75843 72279 18 236 10 282 16 272 11 319 72279 69052 1 271 11 227 12 250 7 329 69052 66057 17 319 14 274 14 279 14 285 66057 63280 24 282 19 280 21 299 24 292 63280 60642 33 286 28 297 28 303 31 301 60642 57938 42 283 41 294 38 304 35 304 57938 55141 45 282 49 287 47 298 46 303 55141 52479 51 285 56 286 56 295 57 298 52479 50101 60 283 63 286 62 290 64 293 50101 47977 70 280 69 284 65 287 66 289 47977 46048 75 279 71 281 66 284 65 288 46048 44274 77 278 70 278 64 284 61 288 44274 42631 75 276 69 279 57 288 54 288 42631 41096 75 273 68 282 54 295 50 293 41096 39657 73 272 66 283 52 302 43 299 39657 38311 69 275 63 283 50 304 33 304 38311 37029 66 281 62 286 49 307 30 316 37029 35749 69 286 60 289 49 310 34 327 35749 34449 71 286 60 289 47 312 36 329 34449 33135 72 283 65 287 45 314 36 325 33135 31797 72 281 68 285 43 315 37 320 31797 30429 73 283 65 285 42 313 37 315 30429 29036 69 287 58 288 43 308 37 310 29036 27626 62 291 57 294 44 305 37 308 27626 26203 59 294 56 297 46 307 38 311 26203 24772 58 296 55 300 49 311 40 316 24772 23330 57 297 53 302 51 313 41 319 23330 21871 55 298 53 304 51 310 41 320 21871 20417 53 298 51 305 50 308 39 320 20417 19037 51 299 49 305 48 307 38 319 19037 17787 49 299 47 304 45 309 37 319 17787 16671 47 299 45 305 42 311 36 319 16671 15662 45 301 43 306 40 314 34 320 15662 14744 44 303 41 309 38 316 33 321 14744 13904 42 306 38 313 37 319 31 324 13904 13137 40 311 34 319 35 323 30 326 13137 12438 37 319 30 327 32 328 29 329 12438 11800 33 325 26 331 29 333 27 332 11800 11211 29 329 25 332 26 336 25 336 11211 10675 27 330 23 332 24 335 23 341 10675 10217 24 329 22 332 22 335 21 345 10217 9857 22 328 20 331 19 334 20 348 9857 9605 20 327 18 330 16 332 17 348 9605 9451 17*326 15*329 12*330 14*348 9451 9362 10*323 10*327 6*327 8*345 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography