DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.2 - - 27.6 - - 26.5 - - 22.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 53 - - -2 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3481 - - 3096 - - 2877 - - 539 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 139 - - 138 - - 35 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 290 - - 296 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -17 - - -16 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -493 - - -497 - - -1310 - - -2516 ODpotential blCL - - - 9854 - - 9858 - - 10671 - - 11877 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 85 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.2 - - 27.6 - - 26.5 - - 22.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.6 - - 24.9 - - 22.4 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 26.4 - - 26.2 - - 24.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 24.5 - - 22.0 - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 53 - - -2 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 97 - - 38 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96204 32 276 32 261 33 267 37 276 96204 89028 15 268 17 274 17 274 17 275 89028 83582 11 245 17 289 14 299 11 279 83582 79071 7 245 17 273 17 306 9 307 79071 75170 4 281 13 303 15 316 9 310 75170 71699 8 286 18 286 14 295 10 326 71699 68535 13 333 4 288 12 220 16 267 68535 65618 14 271 13 282 8 234 20 254 65618 62907 26 236 17 247 15 259 16 260 62907 60264 39 256 32 264 21 262 25 267 60264 57475 48 253 52 261 46 262 49 261 57475 54556 46 250 59 254 61 255 65 253 54556 51754 54 257 66 253 65 254 70 253 51754 49228 72 255 72 253 69 257 69 255 49228 46969 81 249 78 253 76 258 76 261 46969 44932 82 248 86 251 86 255 91 260 44932 43082 94 253 95 251 96 253 102 257 43082 41388 117 253 108 253 106 254 108 257 41388 39832 133 249 122 253 117 256 123 257 39832 38399 138 247 134 248 130 256 135 257 38399 37068 140 247 140 246 138 254 137 258 37068 35803 140 248 139 247 138 253 135 258 35803 34544 134 250 130 249 134 255 129 259 34544 33269 126 251 125 252 123 258 119 260 33269 31986 118 252 123 256 113 260 107 262 31986 30686 113 254 115 261 105 261 100 263 30686 29364 110 256 102 262 95 262 94 264 29364 28025 106 256 90 261 83 262 84 264 28025 26675 99 254 82 261 76 263 75 265 26675 25317 91 254 78 263 74 264 70 268 25317 23954 81 257 75 266 73 266 68 270 23954 22584 71 261 71 267 69 268 64 270 22584 21203 63 266 65 267 64 267 60 270 21203 19830 57 268 59 267 59 266 54 270 19830 18528 52 268 52 268 55 267 49 271 18528 17351 48 266 46 269 51 268 45 272 17351 16300 45 264 38 271 46 271 40 274 16300 15351 39 264 30 274 40 273 35 278 15351 14487 32 267 26 277 34 276 31 281 14487 13697 27 270 20 278 30 279 28 283 13697 12972 22 273 22 281 27 283 26 283 12972 12310 21 274 22 283 26 287 25 282 12310 11704 20 274 22 284 24 289 24 281 11704 11142 19 275 22 286 23 292 23 282 11142 10628 18 275 21 288 22 295 20 283 10628 10187 17 275 19 289 19 297 17 287 10187 9840 15 275 18 289 17 298 14 294 9840 9597 14 275 16 290 14 298 11 302 9597 9447 12*274 14*290 12*298 8*308 9447 9361 8*273 9*290 7*296 4*323 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography