DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.7 - - 29.5 - - 33.7 - - 27.9 - - 21.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 33 - - 125 - - -18 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 306 - - 1169 - - 2597 - - 1617 - - 578 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 117 - - 182 - - 43 - - 30 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 278 - - 281 - - 290 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -2 - - -8 - - -18 - - -44 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6366 - - -5815 - - -5231 - - -4492 - - -4263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15728 - - 15177 - - 14593 - - 13854 - - 13625 sfcLCL ODpotential -16175 - - -13480 - - -11432 - - -12231 - - -13099 ODpotential blCL 25536 - - 22841 - - 20793 - - 21592 - - 22460 blCL maxRH 85 - - 82 - - 74 - - 56 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.7 - - 29.5 - - 33.7 - - 27.9 - - 21.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -11.7 - - -3.2 - - 3.2 - - 0.8 - - -4.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.6 - - 28.3 - - 31.9 - - 28.0 - - 23.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -12.7 - - -4.0 - - 2.2 - - -0.2 - - -4.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 33 - - 125 - - -18 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95650 83 283 60 285 65 274 56 289 77 282 95650 88574 63 296 57 300 48 302 50 285 52 285 88574 83091 59 307 55 307 53 304 52 301 52 308 83091 78525 54 307 49 312 50 302 57 312 56 322 78525 74607 48 316 46 310 45 295 55 306 53 321 74607 71182 49 316 40 309 40 302 46 305 43 318 71182 68089 49 306 41 313 35 307 43 315 35 314 68089 65222 46 302 45 306 37 314 40 311 37 302 65222 62555 44 302 48 305 41 322 38 312 42 292 62555 59979 50 295 53 292 44 311 43 310 47 287 59979 57291 57 284 55 284 46 294 48 304 50 287 57291 54482 60 280 60 278 50 285 51 295 51 290 54482 51772 64 278 66 270 60 271 55 284 52 288 51772 49314 65 277 63 270 63 269 61 279 58 287 49314 47101 65 278 62 275 63 275 67 280 68 281 47101 45091 68 275 69 277 65 279 74 278 69 277 45091 43246 66 275 72 273 68 279 73 276 66 277 43246 41537 62 276 69 269 73 274 73 275 67 277 41537 39941 55 275 69 270 80 269 80 274 74 276 39941 38454 46 274 71 270 83 265 91 272 86 275 38454 37079 40 269 67 269 85 260 98 270 98 275 37079 35790 34 265 60 268 86 256 102 269 103 273 35790 34526 35 264 56 267 81 256 109 270 100 273 34526 33261 40 266 54 266 77 256 108 268 89 274 33261 31996 43 267 52 264 76 259 98 266 77 273 31996 30716 42 267 52 266 72 264 86 269 72 278 30716 29410 41 269 54 270 69 266 72 274 71 285 29410 28080 44 270 52 271 66 264 66 279 72 291 28080 26733 44 270 48 264 64 261 65 285 73 293 26733 25372 36 271 48 256 63 259 66 290 73 293 25372 24004 31 271 49 255 61 258 69 293 73 293 24004 22626 31 269 48 252 59 257 71 295 72 292 22626 21233 32 268 48 249 55 258 72 296 73 292 21233 19848 32 269 45 250 50 261 61 293 73 293 19848 18537 32 271 42 252 47 264 52 283 71 295 18537 17356 30 273 39 256 43 267 51 274 64 298 17356 16304 28 276 35 259 39 271 52 272 57 299 16304 15355 25 279 32 263 36 274 49 275 51 298 15355 14490 22 283 29 267 33 277 46 278 47 298 14490 13697 21 286 26 270 31 278 42 282 43 301 13697 12970 19 288 24 273 29 280 39 284 39 307 12970 12306 18 291 22 274 25 281 35 285 37 315 12306 11699 16 293 19 274 21 282 31 286 37 321 11699 11136 15 296 16 275 17 283 23 285 37 324 11136 10623 13 300 12 277 16 285 23 285 35 326 10623 10183 11 306 9 281 14 285 21 287 33 327 10183 9837 10 314 7 288 14 285 19 290 29 326 9837 9595 8 326 5 289 12 284 16 290 23 326 9595 9447 6*332 4*283 11*283 14*291 18*326 9447 9361 5*339 3*278 8*281 8*290 10*326 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography