DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 61.9 - - 60.7 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 516 - - 508 - - 180 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6506 - - 6889 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13733 - - 14041 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15306 - - 15689 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1616 - - 2104 - - 8624 - - 999 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 654 - - 664 - - 205 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 283 - - 283 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -35 - - -24 - - -9 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2419 - - -2621 - - -8956 - - -7193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17726 - - 18310 - - 18320 - - 16556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7257 - - -6794 - - -12342 - - -12454 ODpotential blCL - - - 22563 - - 22483 - - 21705 - - 21817 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 39 - - 34 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 61.9 - - 60.7 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.2 - - 14.0 - - 12.9 - - 12.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 58.0 - - 58.4 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.1 - - 12.8 - - 11.8 - - 11.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 516 - - 508 - - 180 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6506 - - 6889 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98098 3 208 4 210 5 314 6 319 98098 90686 2 061 2 214 10 305 5 339 90686 84962 1 059 4 291 6 301 5 356 84962 80208 9 134 4 273 3 024 3 355 80208 76123 12 105 5 234 7 316 6 046 76123 72531 10 039 2 113 5 275 4 347 72531 69300 9 322 3 028 2 351 4 028 69300 66337 4 320 4 323 5 325 8 343 66337 63601 8 293 9 311 5 312 13 304 63601 60956 13 294 13 286 14 291 18 291 60956 58181 12 322 18 281 21 279 22 284 58181 55294 23 292 22 285 23 277 23 280 55294 52543 27 280 22 293 18 291 19 275 52543 50072 28 271 22 295 19 312 11 295 50072 47854 25 272 23 288 18 322 11 315 47854 45842 23 286 20 284 17 311 13 312 45842 44007 25 289 16 293 16 284 12 283 44007 42323 24 285 23 293 16 285 12 268 42323 40761 23 274 26 288 20 293 16 293 40761 39305 20 269 24 289 21 297 17 301 39305 37951 19 276 20 297 20 298 15 301 37951 36670 20 278 20 299 18 298 12 310 36670 35400 20 273 18 292 17 299 11 331 35400 34113 21 262 15 285 16 304 12 344 34113 32816 22 254 16 288 15 314 12 344 32816 31498 20 260 18 291 14 320 11 340 31498 30155 14 276 20 287 12 315 11 337 30155 28791 16 292 21 282 12 304 10 333 28791 27409 25 279 22 278 14 289 9 317 27409 26015 30 266 22 273 17 278 9 297 26015 24611 28 264 24 268 19 272 10 288 24611 23197 29 270 26 267 18 271 10 281 23197 21767 30 274 22 268 16 270 9 273 21767 20345 26 266 18 275 10 266 7 256 20345 18997 22 259 15 281 2 298 3 181 18997 17776 19 263 12 285 4 360 4 103 17776 16682 15 273 11*288 5 342 4 074 16682 15690 15*279 12*288 8 322 4 033 15690 14782 15*282 12 287 8 318 6 003 14782 13949 15 283 13 286 11 306 7 347 13949 13183 16 283 14 284 11 301 8 334 13183 12483 16 284 14 283 12 297 10 317 12483 11842 16 284 14 282 12 293 10 305 11842 11246 16 284 15 281 13 291 15 293 11246 10703 16 283 15 280 13 289 16 289 10703 10236 16 282 14 278 13 287 16 287 10236 9870 15 281 14 277 12 286 14 287 9870 9612 14 280 13 276 12 284 12 290 9612 9454 13 280 12 275 11*284 10*293 9454 9363 10 278 10 273 9*283 5*305 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography