DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 57.7 - - - - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 101 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2530 - - 3234 - - - - - 145 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 184 - - 179 - - - - - 37 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 280 - - - - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -216 - - -124 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9580 - - 9488 - - - - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3995 - - -2554 - - - - - -6093 ODpotential blCL - - - 13358 - - 11917 - - - - - 15456 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 79 - - - - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 880 - - - - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 57.7 - - - - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 48.0 - - - - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 55.9 - - - - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 46.7 - - - - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 101 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 14 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97851 14 291 7 246 14 292 97851 90553 10 269 10 268 13 286 90553 84921 10 319 10 313 10 285 84921 80262 6 305 7 316 6 337 80262 76262 7 303 9 334 9 356 76262 72735 5 263 6 305 13 346 72735 69565 6 271 9 264 16 350 69565 66674 10 288 13 276 17 326 66674 64006 7 273 14 282 14 285 64006 61413 8 291 14 273 19 288 61413 58709 17 300 15 278 27 280 58709 55917 23 305 19 297 24 276 55917 53251 25 306 24 303 25 283 53251 50839 25 306 30 307 25 296 50839 48655 26 308 32 309 31 302 48655 46658 26 307 34 310 37 302 46658 44816 25 300 37 308 38 302 44816 43103 25 293 36 304 40 301 43103 41498 25 273 32 302 45 297 41498 39995 22 243 29 286 39 298 39995 38598 22 236 27 250 29 290 38598 37282 21 239 23 254 25 273 37282 35983 18 228 24 250 29 275 35983 34671 14 217 21 225 29 275 34671 33347 12 230 18 235 27 272 33347 31999 9 256 16 266 25 278 31999 30624 7 295 14 275 23 289 30624 29226 11 332 10 292 22 297 29226 27809 13 346 14 327 18 304 27809 26380 13 357 12 342 16 318 26380 24941 11 009 10 356 13 328 24941 23492 12 021 10 010 11 336 23492 22029 12 033 10 020 11 349 22029 20574 13 043 11 032 11 007 20574 19192 14 051 11 044 12 022 19192 17938 13 058 11 051 13 029 17938 16814 12 063 11 057 12 034 16814 15797 11 066 11 060 11 038 15797 14868 9 065 11 058 10 042 14868 14016 8 061 11 050 9 044 14016 13235 7 052 10 034 9 042 13235 12522 6 034 9 015 9 040 12522 11869 7 013 9 002 8 040 11869 11266 7 352 7 338 7 041 11266 10715 6 329 6 319 7 039 10715 10243 4 306 6 303 8 032 10243 9873 4 298 5 294 8 026 9873 9614 3 287 5 287 8 018 9614 9455 3*281 4*284 7*014 9455 9363 3*275 4*280 5*010 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography