DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 49.5 - - 52.8 - - 48.4 - - 39.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 238 - - 297 - - 37 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 8981 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 215 - - 3484 - - 5633 - - 4108 - - 1075 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 224 - - 241 - - 120 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 324 - - 304 - - 316 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -37 - - -21 - - -18 - - -20 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6042 - - -7943 - - -8116 - - -6707 - - -3808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15405 - - 17306 - - 17480 - - 16070 - - 13170 sfcLCL ODpotential -14382 - - -13095 - - -12452 - - -11407 - - -10174 ODpotential blCL 23744 - - 22457 - - 21815 - - 20769 - - 19536 blCL maxRH 63 - - 72 - - 87 - - 82 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 49.5 - - 52.8 - - 48.4 - - 39.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.8 - - 6.7 - - 8.9 - - 11.0 - - 14.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 47.0 - - 50.0 - - 47.6 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.7 - - 5.6 - - 8.2 - - 10.4 - - 14.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 238 - - 297 - - 37 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 47 - - 28 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96475 11 136 4 057 1 177 6 089 2 328 96475 89301 13 092 10 131 5 213 2 061 9 026 89301 83735 9 031 3 111 4 208 4 283 10 356 83735 79081 7 277 5 241 5 280 9 277 12 318 79081 75084 14 301 15 320 9 006 16 308 23 324 75084 71619 19 320 13 312 17 319 21 318 28 321 71619 68514 43 322 42 331 35 340 32 336 33 328 68514 65653 48 323 49 317 42 317 41 314 40 316 65653 62988 54 326 51 318 48 317 47 313 44 315 62988 60400 59 318 55 318 56 314 59 317 57 310 60400 57689 71 311 68 307 62 304 71 306 61 301 57689 54865 75 298 65 298 69 300 73 295 67 296 54865 52165 68 300 64 298 77 293 69 297 64 296 52165 49722 73 307 71 296 74 289 73 301 65 303 49722 47518 84 306 75 298 68 294 76 297 78 303 47518 45525 90 305 79 302 72 299 76 294 80 297 45525 43714 93 302 86 298 80 296 78 292 72 291 43714 42051 96 300 89 296 81 292 78 289 66 287 42051 40504 92 298 88 295 87 290 75 288 65 290 40504 39064 88 296 85 292 88 289 72 289 68 296 39064 37734 86 296 82 291 86 290 71 289 68 296 37734 36476 80 298 77 291 82 290 71 289 65 295 36476 35223 74 302 72 293 74 289 70 288 60 294 35223 33950 69 304 66 298 62 289 67 286 57 295 33950 32663 64 304 60 302 52 287 65 286 57 298 32663 31352 60 305 57 303 47 285 60 289 56 301 31352 30012 55 304 55 302 44 285 56 289 56 303 30012 28648 52 301 54 300 45 285 52 289 55 307 28648 27264 50 300 52 297 49 287 46 289 50 306 27264 25868 48 301 48 294 50 287 44 292 47 296 25868 24466 46 303 44 293 48 287 45 297 48 289 24466 23058 44 303 40 296 44 290 50 299 49 288 23058 21636 41 302 35 297 37 293 53 297 48 290 21636 20222 38 302 28 294 31 291 52 294 44 290 20222 18881 34 305 23 290 27 287 49 294 40 289 18881 17666 31 309 21 291 24 286 44 292 35 288 17666 16578 29 313 21 293 20 289 37 287 32 287 16578 15593 28 314 21 296 17 294 30 283 30 287 15593 14693 26 314 21 299 13 303 24 284 27 287 14693 13869 25 312 20 305 12 307 18 292 24 286 13869 13114 23 310 19 313 12 309 13 304 20 282 13114 12424 21 308 17 318 13 309 12 311 16 278 12424 11793 20 310 17 320 13 309 11 314 12 277 11793 11208 18 318 16 323 13 309 11 315 10 284 11208 10675 16 330 14 324 13 308 11 316 7 297 10675 10217 15 342 13 325 13 307 11 317 5 318 10217 9858 14 353 11 326 12 307 10 317 5 335 9858 9606 13 357 10 325 12 306 10 316 6 335 9606 9451 10*357 9*324 11*305 9*316 6*333 9451 9362 6*352 7*324 8*304 6*316 5*335 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography