DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.7 - - 31.5 - - 28.2 - - 24.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 24 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1470 - - 2476 - - 2586 - - 2265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 110 - - 21 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 116 - - 194 - - 242 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 10 - - 2 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -527 - - -545 - - -268 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9888 - - 9906 - - 9629 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5488 - - -4050 - - -3975 - - -3151 ODpotential blCL - - - 14849 - - 13411 - - 13336 - - 12512 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 91 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.7 - - 31.5 - - 28.2 - - 24.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.3 - - 20.9 - - 18.8 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 30.3 - - 29.7 - - 26.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 19.8 - - 17.6 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 24 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 64 - - 46 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96189 45 249 49 263 42 274 28 290 96189 89039 25 257 22 261 22 276 24 295 89039 83572 21 264 21 284 10 299 19 287 83572 79032 19 260 22 284 9 314 9 291 79032 75075 17 268 18 276 18 290 18 278 75075 71579 18 265 12 244 23 255 23 250 71579 68430 19 283 10 263 16 243 21 255 68430 65500 32 279 19 262 18 240 32 255 65500 62752 44 257 37 256 34 246 43 253 62752 60069 52 249 51 252 45 245 50 246 60069 57250 57 246 57 252 47 250 50 248 57250 54308 56 244 59 249 52 254 50 249 54308 51494 53 247 58 244 53 252 46 250 51494 48968 55 250 60 245 55 252 44 251 48968 46710 60 245 65 244 59 247 45 251 46710 44669 63 235 67 238 58 247 50 253 44669 42805 62 231 64 236 63 242 58 249 42805 41090 62 241 68 245 67 237 64 240 41090 39504 77 248 85 244 73 239 61 235 39504 38039 93 248 96 240 84 236 62 238 38039 36685 122 244 105 237 89 236 69 230 36685 35412 129 243 107 236 91 237 69 226 35412 34168 122 245 103 236 88 237 71 229 34168 32920 106 248 98 238 87 237 71 224 32920 31662 92 247 94 239 87 235 67 217 31662 30385 84 240 88 236 84 235 67 222 30385 29084 86 238 81 231 85 239 67 233 29084 27765 81 243 79 232 79 243 65 242 27765 26434 69 248 72 233 71 243 59 246 26434 25095 59 250 62 238 64 241 49 238 25095 23751 50 248 58 247 58 233 48 229 23751 22398 45 244 49 252 56 238 49 237 22398 21036 43 241 39 248 50 257 47 254 21036 19687 39 240 38 239 38 264 36 260 19687 18412 36 241 37 235 30 245 24 254 18412 17262 35 243 35 236 32 232 22 232 17262 16233 33 245 33 238 33 234 25 226 16233 15302 30 245 30 241 31 242 25 233 15302 14452 25 242 28 243 26 250 22 244 14452 13670 20 237 25 243 21 256 18 255 13670 12953 16 231 20 241 16 260 16 263 12953 12296 13 224 14 236 12 259 15 267 12296 11694 10 218 10 225 10 254 15 270 11694 11136 8 207 7 211 9 248 14 274 11136 10625 6 185 7 203 8 246 13 278 10625 10186 5 156 6 201 8 244 11 282 10186 9839 4 136 5 198 7 244 9 284 9839 9597 4 125 5 197 6 242 7 291 9597 9448 3*120 5 197 5*242 5*295 9448 9361 3*116 4*194 3*242 4*305 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography