DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.7 - - 40.3 - - 45.6 - - 43.0 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 323 - - 378 - - 85 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 3551 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 8999 - - 11266 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 12351 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 605 - - 3041 - - 1482 - - 3222 - - 262 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 247 - - 481 - - 159 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 251 - - 288 - - 293 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 12 - - -7 - - -14 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6948 - - -5029 - - -3225 - - -5566 - - -4031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16310 - - 14392 - - 15576 - - 14929 - - 13393 sfcLCL ODpotential -16977 - - -10687 - - -7816 - - -10666 - - -11326 ODpotential blCL 26338 - - 20049 - - 20167 - - 20028 - - 20688 blCL maxRH 51 - - 41 - - 46 - - 50 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.7 - - 40.3 - - 45.6 - - 43.0 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -10.5 - - 10.3 - - 10.2 - - 10.6 - - 8.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.9 - - 37.4 - - 42.4 - - 41.4 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -11.5 - - 9.7 - - 9.6 - - 10.1 - - 7.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 323 - - 378 - - 85 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 3551 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96233 10 289 22 285 22 250 22 280 31 265 96233 89074 11 279 21 264 14 280 16 268 21 279 89074 83582 17 279 23 261 19 293 17 257 19 287 83582 79032 20 301 19 258 21 273 21 278 20 296 79032 75101 21 304 16 265 20 251 21 284 18 288 75101 71621 20 280 15 266 21 251 24 275 20 279 71621 68481 23 271 20 268 26 263 27 267 23 271 68481 65602 27 270 24 264 30 265 30 264 28 267 65602 62927 29 264 26 259 33 254 34 264 35 260 62927 60328 29 261 29 259 37 247 38 259 40 256 60328 57599 27 261 30 254 34 246 38 250 40 252 57599 54748 26 257 29 246 32 245 40 246 40 255 54748 52008 25 247 27 249 31 245 36 250 34 251 52008 49528 22 241 24 248 24 247 28 253 28 241 49528 47303 12 238 11 229 17 242 21 242 18 244 47303 45290 5 167 6 173 11 221 10 251 12 267 45290 43467 18 054 16 073 9 147 7 225 9 253 43467 41802 19 034 20 038 17 041 7 096 2 223 41802 40260 10 049 12 029 12 040 15 043 3 003 40260 38831 11 126 9 090 7 106 10 032 2 092 38831 37503 18 107 20 101 15 118 11 116 5 057 37503 36237 30 087 24 086 16 095 12 098 8 017 36237 34978 33 073 21 076 14 074 13 078 10 007 34978 33701 34 066 20 073 13 073 12 079 10 015 33701 32413 32 065 19 074 13 072 10 085 7 030 32413 31105 30 066 17 087 10 076 9 083 6 038 31105 29770 27 070 14 089 7 077 8 076 7 029 29770 28413 23 079 12 101 6 086 9 047 9 020 28413 27041 19 064 10 063 10 033 12 039 12 021 27041 25663 23 052 15 042 15 033 12 051 12 034 25663 24282 28 047 21 039 16 049 10 069 9 065 24282 22895 27 051 24 048 16 065 7 091 6 096 22895 21492 21 071 22 060 13 080 4 083 5 090 21492 20094 11 089 16 076 8 083 5 042 5 059 20094 18767 5 079 9 076 4 052 7 019 5 038 18767 17564 3 020 6 056 3 017 8 356 5 019 17564 16487 4 343 5 040 2 347 7 337 4 346 16487 15515 5 328 5 024 2 320 5 323 5 304 15515 14628 6 318 5 004 3 301 3 313 7 290 14628 13815 7 312 5 336 3 312 3 305 7 286 13815 13070 7 306 6 314 4 313 5 311 6 281 13070 12389 7 302 7 310 7*306 8 314 5 276 12389 11765 8 302 7 307 8*301 11 312 5 274 11765 11187 8 304 7 302 9 295 12 307 6 283 11187 10659 8 304 7 289 9 290 13 303 8 294 10659 10207 7 304 6 275 9 285 13 300 10 301 10207 9851 6 301 6 267 9 282 13 299 12 307 9851 9603 4 309 6 259 9 279 12 297 11 313 9603 9450 3*306 6*256 8 278 11*296 10*315 9450 9362 3*328 5*251 7 276 8*293 6*318 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography