DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 9.7 - - 17.5 - - 18.3 - - 11.3 - - 6.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 184 - - 248 - - -46 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 560 - - 2068 - - 2940 - - 560 - - 560 BL Depth Hcrit 9343 - - 9926 - - 10667 - - 9343 - - 9343 Hcrit BL Top 9360 - - 10868 - - 11740 - - 9360 - - 9360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 452 - - 1499 - - 1570 - - 4568 - - 287 Hgt.Variab. W* 35 - - 318 - - 394 - - 46 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 20 - - 31 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 321 - - 317 - - 320 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -37 - - -65 - - -132 - - -33 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2372 - - -1100 - - 124 - - -242 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11733 - - 11969 - - 11617 - - 9602 - - 9360 sfcLCL ODpotential -8993 - - -6028 - - -3673 - - -2686 - - -2941 ODpotential blCL 18353 - - 16896 - - 15413 - - 12046 - - 12301 blCL maxRH 36 - - 48 - - 61 - - 76 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 9.7 - - 17.5 - - 18.3 - - 11.3 - - 6.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -7.9 - - -1.6 - - 0.7 - - 2.8 - - 0.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 11.3 - - 15.5 - - 16.2 - - 12.1 - - 8.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -8.4 - - -2.7 - - 0.0 - - 1.8 - - 1.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 184 - - 248 - - -46 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 560 - - 2068 - - 2940 - - 560 - - 560 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95054 117 258 105 266 97 264 103 266 108 261 95054 88167 72 267 75 264 79 269 79 273 75 270 88167 82900 49 286 52 259 58 269 62 277 64 275 82900 78486 45 291 39 262 46 267 51 276 55 276 78486 74633 37 287 32 271 40 264 43 273 48 278 74633 71206 31 284 25 269 33 266 41 271 40 281 71206 68078 31 276 24 268 30 270 37 271 35 284 68078 65167 37 274 37 280 34 274 32 267 36 281 65167 62434 42 270 46 275 40 272 34 263 43 273 62434 59756 40 270 45 268 43 264 39 269 49 270 59756 56947 41 273 45 267 42 261 46 276 57 278 56947 54039 49 275 49 268 46 266 51 277 59 280 54039 51265 53 273 51 263 54 269 54 275 57 285 51265 48760 52 272 49 267 53 268 55 282 58 288 48760 46504 52 272 49 267 44 273 59 288 54 284 46504 44441 49 273 45 275 45 285 57 283 50 285 44441 42536 48 282 46 284 50 287 50 279 50 291 42536 40770 53 292 50 293 50 288 48 285 53 299 40770 39131 61 290 56 296 49 293 53 296 59 307 39131 37617 58 279 58 295 52 301 62 304 69 313 37617 36225 45 277 58 296 61 306 71 307 78 315 36225 34925 43 304 57 301 69 307 76 309 86 315 34925 33653 55 315 58 305 72 307 78 312 90 315 33653 32383 50 313 58 306 69 308 80 316 91 315 32383 31117 41 313 56 304 67 308 82 317 91 315 31117 29843 35 320 53 304 65 309 83 316 90 316 29843 28551 36 325 52 305 64 309 83 314 87 318 28551 27248 37 323 51 305 63 309 82 315 83 321 27248 25935 36 318 51 304 61 308 82 317 80 325 25935 24618 34 312 50 302 58 308 82 319 78 327 24618 23302 33 307 48 300 56 308 82 320 76 327 23302 21987 33 304 46 300 55 309 81 319 72 326 21987 20669 33 303 44 302 55 310 77 319 66 327 20669 19364 35 305 42 304 54 311 71 320 61 330 19364 18130 37 307 41 306 54 312 64 322 57 333 18130 17014 38 311 40 309 53 312 58 323 54 336 17014 16014 38 315 40 310 52 313 53 322 52 338 16014 15110 38 319 39 312 51 315 48 322 49 336 15110 14286 38 323 38 314 49 317 45 322 45 333 14286 13530 38 327 37 315 46 318 43 322 41 332 13530 12836 38 331 35 316 42 319 41 322 38 331 12836 12201 37 333 33 318 39*319 40 322 37 332 12201 11619 37 336 30 321 37*318 38 322 35 334 11619 11077 35 340 27*322 35 318 37 322 34 334 11077 10582 34 344 25*322 33 317 35 322 31 334 10582 10157 31 347 22 321 31 316 32 321 27 332 10157 9822 27 349 20 321 30 316 28 321 23 328 9822 9588 21 350 18 320 27 315 24 321 18 325 9588 9443 15*350 16 319 23 315 19*321 13*324 9443 9360 8*351 10 316 14 313 11*320 7*322 9360 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography