DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.4 - - 48.5 - - 51.5 - - 44.6 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 142 - - 168 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 651 - - 2543 - - 3421 - - 1714 - - 978 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 191 - - 200 - - 13 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 234 - - 234 - - 219 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5043 - - -5145 - - -6751 - - -5398 - - -5010 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14406 - - 14508 - - 16114 - - 14761 - - 14373 sfcLCL ODpotential -13235 - - -10154 - - -10870 - - -10949 - - -13757 ODpotential blCL 22597 - - 19517 - - 20232 - - 20311 - - 23119 blCL maxRH 39 - - 45 - - 56 - - 63 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.4 - - 48.5 - - 51.5 - - 44.6 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.2 - - 18.1 - - 14.0 - - 13.4 - - 9.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 46.5 - - 49.2 - - 46.6 - - 43.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.2 - - 17.0 - - 13.0 - - 12.4 - - 8.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 142 - - 168 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96612 13 331 15 293 9 300 12 264 14 290 96612 89473 13 316 8 291 11 271 17 281 17 309 89473 83962 14 289 13 298 9 290 12 290 13 309 83962 79385 9 313 15 295 13 306 12 310 11 302 79385 75429 7 314 11 285 17 279 16 298 15 318 75429 71927 11 303 6 265 17 289 15 299 17 296 71927 68775 20 296 10 286 18 284 17 289 15 287 68775 65889 30 285 25 279 20 281 19 280 18 293 65889 63208 26 274 29 272 28 272 32 273 28 281 63208 60617 28 274 34 262 38 261 34 267 35 265 60617 57921 39 276 40 261 38 259 37 263 39 257 57921 55110 46 267 44 262 43 263 48 261 48 260 55110 52419 48 264 50 264 51 263 58 258 56 261 52419 49992 51 267 54 264 57 264 62 258 59 263 49992 47815 51 268 54 264 56 265 58 261 61 260 47815 45841 49 266 53 265 54 268 60 265 55 253 45841 44028 49 265 51 264 53 268 59 267 47 268 44028 42357 49 263 47 265 49 269 57 267 62 279 42357 40822 48 262 44 271 48 273 55 267 59 273 40822 39397 47 265 43 272 43 273 52 268 45 273 39397 38068 43 267 42 270 39 276 46 268 47 281 38068 36801 37 267 41 266 39 280 42 271 49 282 36801 35536 32 271 37 266 42 279 39 275 48 280 35536 34250 32 272 37 269 41 273 36 278 46 278 34250 32949 32 270 38 270 39 268 37 282 46 276 32949 31624 30 267 37 271 39 266 38 286 48 278 31624 30269 26 264 33 271 37 274 40 288 48 281 30269 28889 24 262 30 265 32 276 41 289 48 284 28889 27490 22 261 27 259 28 268 39 288 49 288 27490 26078 19 263 25 255 27 264 37 282 46 292 26078 24657 15 259 24 252 25 262 33 275 41 293 24657 23225 12 247 22 250 26 262 29 272 36 290 23225 21776 11 235 21 251 26 264 28 273 29 288 21776 20338 10 236 19 255 25 263 27 275 25 283 20338 18977 11 249 19 262 24 264 25 273 24 269 18977 17744 14 264 20 270 23 267 24 267 23 254 17744 16639 16 271 20 275 23 269 24 259 24 245 16639 15639 17 275 20 276 21 269 24 253 25 241 15639 14727 16 277 18 275 19 267 23 251 24 241 14727 13893 15 278 15 274 17 264 21 250 23 241 13893 13130 13 280 13 273 14 263 19 251 21 239 13130 12435 11 282 11 273 10 264 14 250 18 235 12435 11801 11 286 9 275 8 262 10 247 16 228 11801 11213 10 290 7 279 8 260 7 245 14 219 11213 10678 9 295 6 275 8 252 6 242 12 207 10678 10219 9 299 5 261 8 247 6 238 11 197 10219 9859 8 306 5 249 7 243 6 232 9 192 9859 9607 7 314 5 242 7 240 6 226 7 195 9607 9452 6*320 5*238 7*237 5*222 5*199 9452 9362 4*332 4*234 6*234 4*219 1*252 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography