DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.8 - - 49.6 - - 48.8 - - 41.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 388 - - 108 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9020 - - 9033 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4505 - - 7244 - - 7432 - - 4602 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 262 - - 172 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 194 - - 236 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 19 - - 10 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5648 - - -7730 - - -8299 - - -7360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15010 - - 17093 - - 17662 - - 16723 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9486 - - -10657 - - -11973 - - -12786 ODpotential blCL - - - 18848 - - 20019 - - 21335 - - 22148 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 36 - - 48 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.8 - - 49.6 - - 48.8 - - 41.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.1 - - 7.5 - - 4.3 - - 1.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 46.5 - - 47.4 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.0 - - 6.4 - - 3.3 - - 0.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 388 - - 108 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96864 33 274 36 274 40 281 44 284 96864 89593 24 267 28 275 29 284 27 285 89593 84046 12 284 19 278 24 271 22 295 84046 79464 7 270 14 295 16 280 18 308 79464 75520 5 270 9 305 15 306 19 311 75520 72036 15 326 9 314 18 317 19 319 72036 68884 23 321 14 320 21 317 20 323 68884 65983 27 308 18 309 24 314 20 322 65983 63282 26 304 22 300 28 310 26 320 63282 60649 30 305 30 299 33 303 34 308 60649 57883 36 298 37 297 38 297 36 296 57883 54993 37 286 41 295 41 294 39 291 54993 52214 36 280 43 292 43 293 40 289 52214 49696 38 282 42 287 47 293 44 292 49696 47433 40 285 42 282 48 292 47 295 47433 45390 40 288 41 279 46 288 50 294 45390 43539 40 292 37 280 42 288 49 296 43539 41856 38 295 33 288 38 286 47 296 41856 40313 35 294 31 292 33 287 44 292 40313 38884 30 292 26 291 29 285 36 286 38884 37561 25 309 24 292 26 282 31 286 37561 36309 26 313 26 297 26 287 29 283 36309 35064 25 303 28 300 25 290 26 288 35064 33798 23 300 27 302 23 283 25 287 33798 32520 21 305 25 308 18 284 25 281 32520 31219 20 314 22 312 14 294 20 272 31219 29891 18 323 19 314 13 295 16 274 29891 28541 16 327 16 318 12 299 14 283 28541 27173 13 321 14 329 10 308 11 293 27173 25793 12 318 14 335 8 316 8 297 25793 24406 11 322 13 334 7 313 7 298 24406 23009 11 325 11 330 7 305 7 298 23009 21597 10 328 10 326 7 299 8 292 21597 20192 8 318 8 319 6 295 9 285 20192 18857 7 299 8 308 6 299 9 279 18857 17647 6 289 7 305 4 299 8 273 17647 16563 6 284 4 307 3 300 7 257 16563 15583 7 280 3 300 3 283 6 237 15583 14688 6 269 2 288 4 271 5 214 14688 13867 6 248 2 265 5 261 4 195 13867 13114 5 219 3 237 5 253 4 189 13114 12426 5 194 3 219 6 247 3 201 12426 11795 6 174 4 212 7 245 3 221 11795 11211 7 163 5 205 7 242 3 230 11211 10678 7 160 5 202 7 240 4 232 10678 10220 7 157 5 200 7 239 4 234 10220 9859 7 155 5 198 7 238 4 235 9859 9607 7 153 5 197 7 237 3 243 9607 9452 7*152 5*196 6*237 2*262 9452 9362 6*152 4*194 5*236 1*288 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography