DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.8 - - 74.0 - - 76.1 - - 76.5 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 171 - - 516 - - 362 - - 196 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 10682 - - 12315 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 17162 - - 18315 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 19482 - - 21115 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1782 - - 2473 - - 3574 - - 13801 - - 7124 Hgt.Variab. W* 200 - - 768 - - 716 - - 209 - - 18 W* B/S 6 - - 19 - - 16 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 077 - - 332 - - 329 - - 259 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 19 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 76 - - 54 - - 8 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5476 - - 1473 - - 1728 - - -10415 - - -6897 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14841 - - 18010 - - 19388 - - 19780 - - 16262 sfcLCL ODpotential -8811 - - -254 - - 554 - - -11813 - - -10232 ODpotential blCL 18175 - - 19736 - - 20561 - - 21177 - - 19596 blCL maxRH 53 - - 76 - - 100 - - 91 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 140 - - 150 - - 80 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 64.8 - - 74.0 - - 76.1 - - 76.5 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 27.3 - - 23.2 - - 22.0 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.5 - - 70.0 - - 72.9 - - 74.2 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 26.9 - - 22.9 - - 21.6 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 171 - - 516 - - 362 - - 196 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 10682 - - 12315 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 5 - - 99 - - 63 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99043 43 101 41 113 31 103 36 088 43 088 99043 91592 39 095 36 106 38 107 32 098 33 090 91592 85851 33 097 35 099 33 113 35 103 23 090 85851 81086 28 101 27 092 26 106 28 101 22 100 81086 76968 21 090 25 086 24 105 25 098 23 097 76968 73327 17 083 18 091 26 099 19 100 22 091 73327 70048 19 105 15 115 14 092 16 091 19 085 70048 67050 21 110 17 097 8 121 10 074 17 061 67050 64281 16 075 14 080 10 093 11 103 9 096 64281 61596 13 049 11 082 4 081 7 070 14 087 61596 58807 8 007 10 072 3 091 5 023 11 027 58807 55939 8 321 8 023 7 030 4 017 7 347 55939 53199 7 316 9 359 15 028 11 071 5 058 53199 50737 12 000 15 352 19 016 25 029 20 043 50737 48554 19 011 13 000 18 347 23 008 21 024 48554 46590 18 026 13 052 7 011 18 007 20 020 46590 44790 21 050 24 040 15 042 17 033 24 026 44790 43122 26 047 26 025 23 031 18 041 24 030 43122 41564 22 036 25 025 26 029 19 045 25 038 41564 40103 18 026 24 027 24 029 19 049 25 045 40103 38737 14 028 21 029 19 030 19 048 20 053 38737 37439 13 028 17 031 15 024 17 041 16 053 37439 36150 14 030 15 028 14 032 14 044 13 047 36150 34840 16 029 15 031 15 050 10 061 10 075 34840 33517 18 025 15 038 13 049 10 066 10 089 33517 32170 18 022 14 043 9 044 12 063 9 088 32170 30793 18 023 13 037 7 056 12 067 8 086 30793 29393 16 027 13 027 7 065 10 070 7 088 29393 27972 15 037 11 027 7 066 10 069 6 086 27972 26540 16 041 11 036 9 058 10 051 6 045 26540 25102 18 040 12 043 12 040 11 031 9 036 25102 23651 18 037 15 044 12 029 13 022 13 035 23651 22181 16 027 17 037 12*025 13 018 16 033 22181 20716 14 011 16*023 12*020 13 015 16 031 20716 19322 14 357 15*013 12 013 12 012 15 028 19322 18058 14 343 14 010 11 004 10 003 13 019 18058 16923 14 337 12 001 10 352 9 352 12 008 16923 15895 13 335 10 350 9 337 8 333 13 357 15895 14957 12 335 9 336 9 323 7 314 13 347 14957 14095 11 338 8 321 9 313 8 298 14 339 14095 13305 10 342 7 306 9 304 9 287 14 333 13305 12582 9 352 7 294 10 298 9 278 14 327 12582 11920 8 009 7 282 10 293 10 273 13 321 11920 11306 7 036 7 274 10 290 10 269 12 316 11306 10745 9 058 8 268 10 287 10 266 11 311 10745 10264 9 065 8 262 10 284 11 264 10 306 10264 9886 9 071 7 257 10 283 11 263 7 297 9886 9621 9 072 7 254 9 282 10 261 6 287 9621 9458 8*074 7 252 9 281 10*261 5*285 9458 9364 6*077 6 249 7 280 8*259 3*294 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography