DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 60.2 - - 58.3 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 429 - - 94 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4488 - - 7098 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12024 - - 14142 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13288 - - 15898 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3898 - - 1945 - - 6994 - - 434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 532 - - 633 - - 165 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 300 - - 312 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -66 - - -44 - - -22 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2772 - - -1805 - - -7810 - - -6119 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16061 - - 17704 - - 17174 - - 15482 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6036 - - -8536 - - -12873 - - -13191 ODpotential blCL - - - 19324 - - 24434 - - 22236 - - 22554 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 48 - - 56 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.4 - - 60.2 - - 58.3 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.6 - - 15.0 - - 15.8 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 56.8 - - 56.7 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.8 - - 14.0 - - 15.1 - - 13.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 429 - - 94 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4488 - - 7098 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96331 48 267 41 261 46 260 44 278 96331 89184 28 260 37 259 40 269 39 285 89184 83721 19 250 29 260 33 274 35 282 83721 79193 19 279 21 276 23 283 27 283 79193 75283 23 298 17 283 20 283 20 276 75283 71827 18 293 15 285 14 291 16 281 71827 68715 15 278 14 297 16 291 22 298 68715 65875 16 269 18 278 19 282 18 292 65875 63258 23 288 13 272 11 262 16 271 63258 60728 27 284 15 281 21 277 26 271 60728 58078 29 278 30 274 34 263 33 267 58078 55312 30 259 39 258 40 261 40 262 55312 52645 31 250 36 244 42 262 42 263 52645 50218 33 259 38 258 42 263 44 269 50218 48025 36 264 46 264 46 263 46 272 48025 46023 38 259 47 260 48 261 47 269 46023 44188 37 253 44 262 46 261 49 263 44188 42502 40 260 45 265 46 263 49 262 42502 40949 45 263 49 267 47 261 49 257 40949 39509 48 274 50 271 43 260 45 249 39509 38165 55 280 47 279 42 261 43 252 38165 36883 63 281 44 282 43 262 44 256 36883 35606 69 279 45 281 45 262 46 259 35606 34310 72 276 47 279 46 261 50 261 34310 33002 71 274 48 278 48 261 53 262 33002 31673 68 275 49 278 49 263 51 264 31673 30316 65 274 48 279 43 269 44 266 30316 28935 62 274 46 282 40 277 40 268 28935 27535 59 271 43 288 38 280 38 270 27535 26121 59 256 41 296 39 281 36 275 26121 24699 61 247 38 304 39 284 34 281 24699 23266 58 244 35 311 35 288 30 283 23266 21818 54 241 29 316 30 292 24 283 21818 20379 45 245 25 321 25 300 19 295 20379 19014 33 254 23 324 22 315 17 316 19014 17782 26 266 20 321 19 332 17 330 17782 16682 24 269 18*312 18 339 18 332 16682 15687 23 267 18*309 18 339 18 331 15687 14780 22 269 18 306 19 336 19 330 14780 13946 20*276 18 304 19 334 19 331 13946 13181 19*286 19 302 19 330 20 330 13181 12481 18 294 19 300 18 325 20 328 12481 11839 18 298 19 299 18 322 19 325 11839 11245 18 300 19 297 17 320 18 321 11245 10701 18 300 19 296 17 318 17 316 10701 10235 17 300 19 295 16 316 15 312 10235 9869 16 299 18 294 15 315 13 308 9869 9611 15 298 17 293 14 314 11 310 9611 9454 14 298 15 292 13*313 9*309 9454 9363 10 296 11 291 9*312 5*319 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography