DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.8 - - 53.5 - - 51.0 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 106 - - 11 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3653 - - 3915 - - 2853 - - 960 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 180 - - 180 - - 90 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 123 - - 241 - - 290 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 13 - - -1 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -292 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9656 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2686 - - -1387 - - -869 - - -1934 ODpotential blCL - - - 12049 - - 10750 - - 10232 - - 11297 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 89 - - 97 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 410 - - 390 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.8 - - 53.5 - - 51.0 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 46.9 - - 47.8 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 51.6 - - 49.9 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 45.6 - - 47.0 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 106 - - 11 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 56 - - 87 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97980 9 250 12 249 19 246 22 299 97980 90691 3 345 11 289 8 273 14 298 90691 85047 7 296 10 306 14 331 5 312 85047 80364 8 269 1 323 10 318 5 007 80364 76347 3 259 2 018 4 011 6 017 76347 72815 1 325 3 025 5 004 7 021 72815 69628 4 291 3 169 10 294 12 342 69628 66709 5 285 4 214 9 264 12 317 66709 64012 12 288 9 288 7 268 12 287 64012 61396 16 270 14 260 14 277 14 276 61396 58661 17 274 17 283 19 286 20 287 58661 55826 26 281 22 280 24 291 22 296 55826 53121 28 284 26 293 28 294 26 302 53121 50682 36 290 31 295 27 294 28 302 50682 48489 39 292 30 301 24 301 25 306 48489 46493 38 300 30 313 25 311 26 315 46493 44661 37 310 25 317 24 314 23 316 44661 42967 33 309 20 341 22 338 20 328 42967 41389 25 305 27 011 28 006 18 003 41389 39915 20 326 32 016 30 014 24 025 39915 38540 28 360 33 023 29 018 26 022 38540 37234 34 010 32 027 28 019 26 013 37234 35936 33 013 31 026 27 020 24 017 35936 34619 31 016 31 024 25 024 25 030 34619 33290 31 020 31 024 24 031 28 035 33290 31938 32 023 30 027 24 037 29 038 31938 30557 33 025 30 029 25 040 28 043 30557 29154 34 027 31 028 27 039 24 048 29154 27733 35 028 33 026 30 035 22 046 27733 26298 35 030 32 025 33 032 24 037 26298 24856 34 031 31 025 33 034 27 034 24856 23405 31 029 29 025 30 035 29 037 23405 21938 28 026 29 023 26 031 27 036 21938 20478 25 021 30 021 25 028 24 031 20478 19094 24 016 30 020 25 030 24 028 19094 17841 22 014 28 020 24 033 24 029 17841 16722 22 018 24 021 21 034 22 031 16722 15712 22 026 21 023 21 031 20 033 15712 14794 22 034 17 023 18 029 15 037 14794 13953 21 040 15 023 17 025 11 045 13953 13184 18 041 12 020 14 019 7 062 13184 12482 14 040 8 011 12 010 5 087 12482 11839 10 041 5 350 10 358 4 099 11839 11244 7 042 4 307 8 343 4 089 11244 10700 4 050 4 271 7 323 3 063 10700 10234 3 081 5 257 6 311 3 050 10234 9868 2 095 5 251 6 301 3 028 9868 9611 3 109 5 248 5 296 4 015 9611 9454 2*117 5*245 5*292 4*008 9454 9363 2*123 4*241 4*290 4*002 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography