DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 80.2 - - 78.5 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 483 - - 520 - - 192 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12413 - - 12711 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 18565 - - 18853 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 21213 - - 21511 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2151 - - 1950 - - 13686 - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 790 - - 816 - - 208 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 327 - - 336 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - -34 - - -26 - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -762 - - -526 - - -12939 - - -10985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21976 - - 22038 - - 22304 - - 20350 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2904 - - -2852 - - -15437 - - -15566 ODpotential blCL - - - 24117 - - 24363 - - 24801 - - 24930 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 65 - - 57 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 80.2 - - 78.5 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.5 - - 15.1 - - 12.5 - - 11.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 76.3 - - 76.3 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.0 - - 14.5 - - 12.0 - - 11.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 483 - - 520 - - 192 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12413 - - 12711 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99429 42 100 36 109 33 101 35 089 99429 91913 36 091 41 094 32 104 29 094 91913 86108 27 092 36 092 33 100 30 096 86108 81292 26 106 24 106 26 087 39 090 81292 77152 27 100 19 115 20 086 35 082 77152 73524 25 098 21 117 18 107 25 086 73524 70267 23 091 19 107 19 113 17 095 70267 67273 16 092 17 103 14 093 15 109 67273 64487 10 119 20 088 12 095 13 118 64487 61794 9 106 8 073 15 089 12 121 61794 59021 9 055 4 304 12 025 14 083 59021 56186 6 145 6 256 12 320 15 011 56186 53507 10 076 1 261 8 286 18 318 53507 51105 12 015 2 055 6 243 15 283 51105 48944 15 335 6 002 2 268 8 286 48944 46973 18 326 12 345 7 344 8 318 46973 45154 19 332 16 342 11 343 8 345 45154 43457 19 336 20 342 14 350 11 007 43457 41863 19 331 22 341 16 351 14 013 41863 40364 19 330 22 337 17 352 17 005 40364 38958 21 324 22 333 17 350 19 353 38958 37622 27 303 22 331 18 345 22 346 37622 36296 29 295 19 330 18 343 22 339 36296 34956 27 296 16 325 14 339 19 334 34956 33608 24 303 20 299 15 319 15 332 33608 32246 21 312 15 281 18 278 15 318 32246 30868 14 316 11 262 17 264 20 298 30868 29472 8 304 13 271 17 275 20 291 29472 28055 9 274 17 274 17 290 16 303 28055 26621 10 259 18 271 15 294 12 334 26621 25177 9 270 13 277 10 295 10 359 25177 23720 13 296 9 312 6 325 8 013 23720 22244 16*299 10*336 6 356 5 016 22244 20773 14*308 10*337 8 356 5 001 20773 19373 13 320 11 336 9 353 8 341 19373 18103 13 322 12 333 11 349 11 336 18103 16963 14 323 13 331 12 347 13 339 16963 15931 14 324 14 329 13 345 14 344 15931 14987 14 323 14 327 14 344 16 348 14987 14120 15 321 15 326 14 342 17 350 14120 13325 14 320 15 325 15 341 18 352 13325 12598 14 318 15 324 15 340 19 353 12598 11932 14 316 15 323 15 339 19 354 11932 11315 14 314 15 322 15 339 19 355 11315 10752 13 312 15 321 15 338 19 354 10752 10268 13 310 15 320 14 337 18 353 10268 9888 12 308 14 319 14 337 16 350 9888 9622 11 308 13 319 13 337 14 347 9622 9458 11 306 12 318 12*336 11*344 9458 9364 8 305 10 317 9*336 6*340 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography