DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.7 - - 35.4 - - 36.6 - - 31.0 - - 26.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 82 - - 67 - - -9 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 544 - - 2711 - - 5529 - - 3258 - - 977 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 163 - - 154 - - 33 - - 22 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 143 - - 228 - - 286 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - 14 - - 14 - - -10 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -4478 - - -1137 - - -1486 - - -841 - - -2930 ODpotential blCL 13839 - - 10499 - - 10848 - - 10202 - - 12291 blCL maxRH 73 - - 86 - - 93 - - 89 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 320 - - 140 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.7 - - 35.4 - - 36.6 - - 31.0 - - 26.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.1 - - 30.2 - - 29.9 - - 29.0 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.5 - - 33.8 - - 35.2 - - 30.6 - - 27.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.3 - - 29.0 - - 28.7 - - 28.6 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 82 - - 67 - - -9 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 44 - - 73 - - 55 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96468 56 284 64 277 49 286 50 271 65 272 96468 89412 34 286 40 274 40 283 39 292 35 287 89412 83971 23 287 24 284 32 276 31 296 24 303 83971 79445 25 295 16 307 21 273 19 282 25 301 79445 75533 25 298 15 299 19 272 17 283 25 298 75533 72069 20 287 16 296 18 284 20 293 16 308 72069 68910 19 269 15 293 19 279 22 303 16 324 68910 65977 22 270 14 292 16 273 23 303 22 325 65977 63253 14 284 16 305 12 287 21 287 20 303 63253 60609 19 300 15 298 13 301 15 286 19 282 60609 57834 24 291 23 285 24 291 19 291 27 266 57834 54941 25 307 26 284 33 290 30 289 32 277 54941 52171 40 278 45 281 46 288 45 285 42 281 52171 49676 52 274 51 273 50 277 50 280 47 279 49676 47430 51 279 57 277 52 277 52 278 47 284 47430 45377 59 278 65 273 63 279 55 281 56 288 45377 43491 68 274 67 269 69 275 63 282 67 285 43491 41746 74 270 69 267 72 274 72 278 73 280 41746 40120 77 267 75 266 81 274 76 272 71 276 40120 38601 82 267 83 264 88 270 75 268 69 278 38601 37190 90 268 89 265 90 269 76 268 70 280 37190 35861 95 266 95 265 96 268 84 269 68 280 35861 34549 94 267 99 265 103 266 88 269 69 284 34549 33229 96 269 105 266 107 265 85 268 73 283 33229 31911 100 268 109 266 108 264 85 268 72 277 31911 30589 101 263 106 265 104 264 85 267 64 274 30589 29258 95 259 97 264 97 263 74 267 50 278 29258 27920 83 256 86 260 90 261 64 269 44 286 27920 26579 66 257 76 256 82 259 50 272 44 291 26579 25236 55 257 67 254 74 257 37 283 42 292 25236 23892 49 255 60 251 65 254 30 295 37 292 23892 22542 48 251 56 248 58 252 27 295 31 293 22542 21180 48 247 52 247 51 252 25 288 25 295 21180 19825 44 244 48 247 41 255 26 285 22 297 19825 18538 38 239 42 247 35 257 25 284 20 297 18538 17371 33 236 37 244 31 257 24 283 19 297 17371 16325 30 235 32 239 26 256 24 281 18 298 16325 15379 26 235 27 235 22 256 23 278 19 298 15379 14514 23 236 23 230 18 255 23 276 20 300 14514 13720 20 234 19 223 15 254 22 276 21 301 13720 12991 18 231 16 214 13 251 21 278 21 304 12991 12325 15 216 14 204 12 246 20 281 22 309 12325 11715 13 193 13 190 11 242 19 285 22 313 11715 11148 12 165 12 170 10 237 19 286 21 320 11148 10633 13 145 10 156 10 234 18 287 21 327 10633 10190 13 129 9 146 10 233 17 287 21 331 10190 9842 12 116 9 144 10 232 16 288 19 333 9842 9598 11 107 8 144 9 231 14 287 16 333 9598 9448 8*100 8*143 9*230 12*287 12*334 9448 9361 4*054 6*143 7*228 6*286 6*332 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography