DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.0 - - 33.1 - - 34.0 - - 28.1 - - 26.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 12 - - 0 - - -34 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 992 - - 1214 - - 2153 - - 274 - - 203 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 90 - - 62 - - 33 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 330 - - 270 - - 274 - - 294 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -4 - - -6 - - -17 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1703 - - -678 - - -192 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11065 - - 10039 - - 9554 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -8318 - - -5310 - - -4048 - - -5550 - - -4408 ODpotential blCL 17680 - - 14671 - - 13409 - - 14911 - - 13769 blCL maxRH 76 - - 83 - - 60 - - 54 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.0 - - 33.1 - - 34.0 - - 28.1 - - 26.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.8 - - 22.1 - - 25.0 - - 21.1 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.2 - - 32.4 - - 33.9 - - 30.3 - - 29.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.1 - - 20.9 - - 23.8 - - 20.0 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 12 - - 0 - - -34 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 12 089 25 085 35 098 25 126 14 098 96287 89159 22 097 13 089 19 094 22 086 21 081 89159 83624 16 070 8 121 9 058 17 071 18 061 83624 79023 7 022 7 111 6 014 9 048 12 045 79023 75038 9 002 1 340 7 308 14 021 9 011 75038 71516 10 350 4 212 11 289 15 349 11 347 71516 68322 14 329 10 327 13 306 17 333 13 341 68322 65374 16 309 13 304 16 304 21 296 23 305 65374 62658 17 295 18 297 20 324 16 318 16 319 62658 60010 26 300 26 294 23 314 16 325 13 307 60010 57222 37 292 35 291 26 298 26 290 32 288 57222 54337 51 282 44 291 43 291 40 287 52 293 54337 51580 60 275 55 285 60 284 56 284 60 288 51580 49087 61 282 60 282 64 278 59 280 59 286 49087 46849 66 284 60 283 65 282 62 281 62 284 46849 44829 67 282 61 287 67 285 68 283 66 287 44829 43012 66 280 65 286 68 285 76 287 77 288 43012 41374 66 277 62 280 69 282 80 284 81 284 41374 39865 58 273 50 283 62 282 67 284 68 279 39865 38448 49 273 46 296 56 298 57 295 53 285 38448 37118 45 269 50 293 62 306 61 306 52 305 37118 35852 41 265 49 287 64 299 67 314 61 316 35852 34597 41 272 49 289 65 289 69 315 74 319 34597 33329 41 277 50 290 67 288 67 310 80 320 33329 32052 40 276 50 291 64 289 63 302 81 319 32052 30755 40 275 49 294 58 290 64 294 80 316 30755 29432 41 275 40 290 52 290 64 293 79 312 29432 28091 41 275 39 283 49 288 61 292 76 305 28091 26736 41 273 44 278 49 284 58 290 73 296 26736 25371 41 273 43 274 49 281 56 289 72 290 25371 24004 41 272 40 273 46 281 55 289 72 290 24004 22632 40 273 37 274 43 282 53 289 69 292 22632 21253 37 273 33 277 41 283 51 288 65 292 21253 19884 33 274 30 282 39 285 49 286 61 289 19884 18587 28 276 28 285 38 287 48 285 58 286 18587 17413 24 279 26 287 36 288 47 285 54 286 17413 16363 22 281 25 288 33 290 46 285 50 287 16363 15414 20 283 24 287 32 291 44 286 47 290 15414 14547 19 283 24 286 30 292 41 286 45 293 14547 13750 18 281 23 286 29 293 39 286 44 295 13750 13018 16 278 22 286 26 292 37 286 44 294 13018 12348 14 275 19 286 22 291 34 285 43 293 12348 11733 12 272 17 286 18 288 30 283 43 291 11733 11164 9 267 14 285 16 286 26 281 41 289 11164 10643 7 262 10 284 14 283 22 280 37 288 10643 10197 5 260 7 280 13 282 19 279 32 289 10197 9846 3 257 5 277 12 279 16 280 27 292 9846 9600 2 281 5 277 10 277 13 283 21 298 9600 9449 2*284 4*274 9*276 10*286 16*304 9449 9361 2*330 3*270 6*274 5*294 8*309 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography