DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 72.1 - - 69.3 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 462 - - 99 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5263 - - 6231 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12672 - - 13465 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14063 - - 15031 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2588 - - 2649 - - 6683 - - 99 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 578 - - 619 - - 167 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 318 - - 320 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -26 - - -46 - - -28 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6997 - - -6834 - - -13663 - - -10016 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21061 - - 21866 - - 23028 - - 19380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13503 - - -13548 - - -20064 - - -18295 ODpotential blCL - - - 27566 - - 28579 - - 29428 - - 27658 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 52 - - 66 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 72.1 - - 69.3 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.0 - - 8.2 - - 0.6 - - 6.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 68.5 - - 67.6 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.5 - - 7.5 - - 0.1 - - 6.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 462 - - 99 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5263 - - 6231 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98925 10 116 2 020 8 049 13 094 98925 91466 7 110 9 097 5 096 10 061 91466 85714 7 111 7 131 6 059 8 071 85714 80917 4 088 7 141 3 056 8 055 80917 76771 8 080 5 153 5 211 5 352 76771 73123 3 053 10 142 7 217 6 328 73123 69843 5 296 4 076 7 197 6 330 69843 66850 6 242 7 312 3 237 6 308 66850 64098 1 006 6 295 7 353 3 321 64098 61454 5 024 4 327 7 319 2 275 61454 58731 4 278 6 270 12 289 13 303 58731 55944 20 307 17 304 19 290 24 296 55944 53301 37 299 33 296 27 298 28 290 53301 50921 39 302 36 301 34 307 28 303 50921 48778 43 317 45 312 44 314 38 310 48778 46819 50 311 51 309 48 311 42 304 46819 45008 53 302 49 300 48 306 40 302 45008 43325 54 307 45 297 45 303 35 303 43325 41750 53 312 42 300 42 302 34 305 41750 40269 50 311 40 302 39 303 36 306 40269 38880 48 306 41 303 35 306 36 306 38880 37558 48 304 42 302 33 306 33 303 37558 36241 47 305 41 297 31 301 28 298 36241 34904 46 305 41 290 31 302 27 298 34904 33555 46 303 42 291 30 308 28 303 33555 32186 46 304 40 301 29 311 29 304 32186 30788 43 310 37 308 29 311 28 302 30788 29369 40 314 33 310 29 308 26 302 29369 27930 37 314 31 309 29 304 26 300 27930 26479 34 313 29 312 27 300 27 297 26479 25025 29 314 26 315 23 300 25 296 25025 23563 26 315 22 315 18 301 20 294 23563 22091 24 318 19 314 15 298 15 280 22091 20628 19 316 15 314 12 293 12 265 20628 19239 16 314 11 316 9 295 8 256 19239 17980 13 318 9 324 9 313 6 260 17980 16852 12 328 10 330 11 330 9 296 16852 15831 12 332 12*331 13 333 13 313 15831 14898 12*331 14*327 15 332 15 319 14898 14043 12*329 15 325 17 330 15 322 14043 13259 12 326 17 322 18 328 15 326 13259 12543 13 323 17 319 19 327 15 332 12543 11887 13 319 18 318 19 326 17 336 11887 11280 13 316 18 316 19 324 19 337 11280 10727 13 313 18 314 19 323 20 336 10727 10252 13 309 18 313 18 323 20 334 10252 9878 12 307 17 311 18 322 18 333 9878 9617 11 305 16 310 17 322 16 332 9617 9456 10 303 15 310 15*321 12 331 9456 9363 8 302 11 308 10*320 7*331 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography