DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.8 - - 40.9 - - 43.3 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 112 - - -8 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2252 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10008 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11052 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1595 - - 5134 - - 6469 - - 163 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 182 - - 84 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 238 - - 248 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - 15 - - 8 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1691 - - -183 - - -1704 - - -619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9545 - - 11066 - - 9982 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -296 - - -1970 - - -3949 - - -4497 ODpotential blCL - - - 11348 - - 11332 - - 13311 - - 13859 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 85 - - 75 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.8 - - 40.9 - - 43.3 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 31.4 - - 27.3 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 39.2 - - 42.9 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 30.2 - - 26.1 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 112 - - -8 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2252 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 39 - - 0 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96651 43 266 31 253 32 267 29 266 96651 89393 24 259 33 264 27 274 32 276 89393 83874 17 244 22 269 21 278 22 289 83874 79332 11 246 13 278 15 287 16 307 79332 75401 9 262 12 282 14 281 13 311 75401 71900 8 232 12 255 7 289 10 323 71900 68718 10 278 14 261 10 291 12 326 68718 65778 18 261 19 254 18 251 17 300 65778 63036 11 267 14 236 19 230 19 262 63036 60378 16 293 9 228 14 242 17 254 60378 57605 22 279 12 278 14 290 22 261 57605 54733 38 280 30 286 26 270 25 266 54733 51979 47 270 43 279 32 262 25 275 51979 49473 44 263 47 276 36 274 34 285 49473 47213 44 269 53 278 46 281 48 284 47213 45165 51 270 59 275 62 279 60 280 45165 43303 52 267 62 269 71 274 66 275 43303 41604 52 266 63 266 73 269 66 271 41604 40049 52 266 63 265 74 265 65 268 40049 38613 54 266 65 264 79 261 68 265 38613 37281 55 266 65 263 81 258 71 261 37281 36019 58 267 64 262 78 257 71 258 36019 34763 60 266 63 262 76 258 72 256 34763 33488 62 266 63 263 76 263 71 257 33488 32201 63 266 64 263 73 263 70 259 32201 30895 65 267 64 263 70 261 67 261 30895 29566 66 267 65 263 68 259 66 264 29566 28217 67 266 67 262 68 261 65 265 28217 26853 68 266 69 263 68 264 65 266 26853 25479 69 266 71 264 66 265 63 266 25479 24102 69 266 71 265 64 266 60 265 24102 22723 66 266 68 265 60 266 56 264 22723 21336 61 265 62 265 55 266 51 262 21336 19963 54 263 55 263 49 264 46 261 19963 18663 49 263 49 262 44 260 41 259 18663 17489 45 263 46 261 39 255 38 255 17489 16438 43 263 42 259 33 248 36 250 16438 15485 41 261 36 256 30 244 36 249 15485 14614 38 258 32 252 29 244 35 249 14614 13813 34 255 28 248 28 244 34 249 13813 13074 29 255 26 245 27 245 34 250 13074 12398 25 256 24 243 26 247 33 251 12398 11776 23 258 22 241 25 247 32 251 11776 11199 21*260 21 241 24 248 31 252 11199 10669 19*263 20 241 23 249 29 252 10669 10215 18 264 19 241 21 249 26 251 10215 9857 17 264 18 240 20 250 22 251 9857 9605 16 264 17 240 18 249 17 249 9605 9451 14 265 15*239 15*249 12*250 9451 9362 10 263 10*238 9*248 6*264 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography