DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 64.3 - - 63.2 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 485 - - 474 - - 156 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3832 - - 6619 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11559 - - 13794 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12632 - - 15419 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2026 - - 3365 - - 8182 - - 163 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 536 - - 640 - - 195 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 292 - - 296 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - -16 - - -16 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3272 - - -2843 - - -9316 - - -7221 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15905 - - 18263 - - 18680 - - 16585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6965 - - -6340 - - -12121 - - -12234 ODpotential blCL - - - 19597 - - 21759 - - 21484 - - 21597 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 37 - - 38 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 64.3 - - 63.2 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 16.7 - - 14.0 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 60.7 - - 61.2 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.0 - - 15.5 - - 12.9 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 485 - - 474 - - 156 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3832 - - 6619 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98068 8 224 5 230 14 209 13 271 98068 90608 18 183 9 226 6 226 4 272 90608 84860 11 181 10 197 10 299 2 299 84860 80106 6 216 15 199 6 241 4 327 80106 76040 2 145 11 193 7 217 4 210 76040 72459 2 340 1 039 5 210 7 172 72459 69217 3 311 5 249 7 280 2 326 69217 66250 7 263 5 252 6 286 4 325 66250 63508 12 254 12 309 9 282 14 296 63508 60865 10 240 14 298 11 276 16 267 60865 58114 9 252 16 278 15 280 15 272 58114 55260 14 268 20 265 24 284 22 292 55260 52554 15 276 22 263 28 272 30 278 52554 50139 15 278 20 260 24 265 26 270 50139 47981 19 280 20 269 25 292 25 285 47981 46030 27 289 26 285 32 294 30 296 46030 44250 33 297 30 296 34 300 33 308 44250 42607 37 305 34 308 36 311 38 320 42607 41075 40 311 39 314 40 319 43 324 41075 39637 42 314 43 315 44 322 44 326 39637 38288 44 313 44 314 45 321 43 325 38288 37002 44 312 44 313 44 320 41 323 37002 35725 44 313 43 313 43 319 41 321 35725 34428 44 314 43 313 41 319 41 323 34428 33118 40 312 43 314 39 319 40 326 33118 31787 34 308 40 316 38 318 34 326 31787 30429 29 308 33 314 33 318 28 322 30429 29049 25 308 26 309 28 320 24 320 29049 27652 22 308 21 309 24 319 20 321 27652 26240 19 310 20 311 19 313 18 322 26240 24821 17 313 19 311 16 311 16 319 24821 23392 17 316 19 313 15 312 14 316 23392 21949 17 318 19 315 16 314 13 313 21949 20508 16 315 18 316 16 316 13 312 20508 19139 15 313 16 319 15 317 14 311 19139 17895 13 317 13 326 14 317 13 312 17895 16779 12 327 11 324 13 318 13 316 16779 15768 11 338 10*318 13 316 12 322 15768 14846 11 345 10*313 14 314 13 329 14846 14000 10 344 11 306 14 312 13 334 14000 13223 8*332 12 300 15 309 14 336 13223 12514 6*312 12 294 15 307 15 334 12514 11864 5 282 13 290 15 306 15 331 11864 11263 5 255 13 287 16 303 15 323 11263 10714 5 240 13 284 15 302 16 314 10714 10243 6 229 13 282 15 300 15 308 10243 9873 6 221 13 280 15 299 14 305 9873 9614 7 218 12 278 14 298 13 307 9614 9455 6 216 12 278 13*297 10*310 9455 9363 6 214 9 275 9*296 6*317 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography