DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 48.5 - - - - - 41.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 141 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2005 - - 2232 - - - - - 966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 193 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 145 - - - - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1668 - - -1757 - - - - - -3460 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11030 - - 11121 - - - - - 12823 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7108 - - -6440 - - - - - -10981 ODpotential blCL - - - 16470 - - 15803 - - - - - 20344 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 54 - - - - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 48.5 - - - - - 41.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.3 - - 32.6 - - - - - 18.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 46.6 - - - - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 31.4 - - - - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 141 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97654 19 272 19 277 24 291 97654 90378 18 275 20 275 24 281 90378 84776 14 263 20 261 17 290 84776 80119 7 236 19 239 18 301 80119 76099 3 253 10 239 15 287 76099 72561 5 296 9 297 12 273 72561 69385 6 299 8 285 17 270 69385 66478 10 295 7 248 18 254 66478 63777 18 276 15 278 11 277 63777 61161 20 258 24 277 18 289 61161 58448 14 266 26 268 25 264 58448 55642 17 291 23 263 28 267 55642 52961 21 278 21 274 31 282 52961 50539 26 270 29 282 36 284 50539 48350 28 266 33 272 42 283 48350 46340 28 262 28 274 47 278 46340 44477 24 243 29 269 49 273 44477 42748 18 207 31 257 47 265 42748 41143 14 171 24 244 41 254 41143 39658 9 158 14 222 33 251 39658 38291 4 185 11 202 23 241 38291 37006 6 228 10 228 18 249 37006 35731 9 232 14 259 22 245 35731 34435 9 215 23 276 17 256 34435 33122 9 205 28 280 12 282 33122 31787 7 195 22 267 11 247 31787 30423 3 184 14 248 20 230 30423 29032 3 186 10 232 23 230 29032 27621 7 160 10 215 20 239 27621 26196 8 148 9 179 18 244 26196 24763 7 147 8 165 15 244 24763 23323 7 140 8 180 9 226 23323 21870 8 133 9 191 7 200 21870 20425 8 137 10 193 8 198 20425 19052 8 146 9 185 9 210 19052 17806 8 152 8 170 10 213 17806 16690 7 154 7 158 10 204 16690 15683 7 152 7 152 10 192 15683 14765 6 148 6 151 10 182 14765 13925 5 143 6 146 10 176 13925 13156 4 146 6 137 9 173 13156 12456 3 155 5 126 9 170 12456 11816 2 161 5 115 9 166 11816 11225 1 142 4 108 8 160 11225 10686 1 152 4 113 7 147 10686 10224 2 167 4 126 6 135 10224 9862 3 172 5 136 6 121 9862 9608 4 174 5 141 4 108 9608 9452 4*175 5*144 3*100 9452 9363 4*174 5*145 2*049 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography