DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.4 - - 64.0 - - 67.1 - - 66.8 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 184 - - 469 - - 359 - - 175 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 5930 - - 12938 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 13231 - - 18837 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 14730 - - 21738 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2780 - - 6586 - - 1080 - - 13519 - - 8270 Hgt.Variab. W* 204 - - 614 - - 731 - - 203 - - 21 W* B/S 5 - - 24 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 238 - - 286 - - 285 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 18 - - 24 - - -8 - - -12 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2179 - - 161 - - 4037 - - -9624 - - -6504 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11543 - - 14569 - - 17702 - - 18989 - - 15869 sfcLCL ODpotential -5673 - - -2042 - - 1691 - - -11205 - - -9995 ODpotential blCL 15036 - - 16772 - - 20047 - - 20569 - - 19359 blCL maxRH 97 - - 58 - - 88 - - 49 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 400 - - 510 - - 130 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 55.4 - - 64.0 - - 67.1 - - 66.8 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 32.5 - - 21.9 - - 15.9 - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 60.2 - - 64.0 - - 64.5 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.0 - - 31.7 - - 20.7 - - 14.8 - - 21.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 184 - - 469 - - 359 - - 175 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 5930 - - 12938 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98496 18 113 16 114 17 100 7 112 18 127 98496 91007 16 111 17 110 14 114 9 099 12 113 91007 85255 17 095 15 119 13 121 14 101 13 100 85255 80515 23 096 17 115 15 111 14 090 24 095 80515 76448 20 081 21 096 18 122 14 089 23 085 76448 72872 15 084 19 083 17 102 13 108 16 089 72872 69658 10 074 11 081 16 076 12 083 15 097 69658 66717 6 080 11 080 7 095 15 048 15 077 66717 63985 4 147 6 062 2 066 7 026 11 032 63985 61324 6 086 0 114 3 281 2 103 6 351 61324 58535 10 313 4 201 4 262 2 238 4 258 58535 55629 12 266 6 255 6 285 4 266 8 233 55629 52847 13 250 13 259 12 262 9 279 7 256 52847 50337 12 237 13 252 11 252 13 275 9 286 50337 48086 11 253 10 248 7 271 15 276 14 290 48086 46059 15 259 12 267 9 298 12 288 17 300 46059 44223 19 249 17 274 15 302 10 307 14 309 44223 42544 26 220 20 257 16 290 10 312 11 327 42544 40988 37 204 22 231 15 263 8 305 11 318 40988 39535 33 204 22 220 15 241 9 295 12 299 39535 38184 28 203 18 227 13 257 12 319 14 293 38184 36904 25 207 15 242 12 304 16 329 13 301 36904 35632 20 215 14 252 16 318 19 334 14 311 35632 34340 14 216 13 270 18 312 17 331 16 305 34340 33034 9 211 11 280 17 306 14 327 15 299 33034 31706 4 240 9 300 13 295 14 320 12 286 31706 30350 3 301 7 325 9 283 13 294 12 282 30350 28974 4 343 7 346 6 283 12 277 15 280 28974 27581 6 332 6 005 6 293 8 263 16 273 27581 26176 9 291 2 353 9 289 6 264 16 263 26176 24765 18 269 2 185 9 275 6 282 16 269 24765 23347 22 262 4 253 8 286 5 291 19 276 23347 21914 17 252 11 265 7*314 5 319 19 280 21914 20487 13 248 15 274 6*312 5 326 15 284 20487 19128 11 256 18 278 7 301 7 316 10 286 19128 17893 11 268 17 279 8 297 8 312 7 292 17893 16785 10 279 12 287 9 292 9 308 8 300 16785 15780 10 283 9 302 9 289 11 303 10 304 15780 14861 9 282 7*304 10 286 12 300 11 310 14861 14016 6 273 6*299 11 283 13 298 12 315 14016 13240 4 237 5 281 11 281 13 296 14 321 13240 12530 4 183 4 255 12 280 14 294 15 325 12530 11879 6 154 5 237 12 278 14 293 16 328 11879 11275 9 137 5 227 12 277 14 291 16 330 11275 10724 9 132 6 220 12 276 14 290 16 332 10724 10251 9 132 6 213 12 274 14 289 15 333 10251 9878 9 131 6 210 12 273 13 288 13 333 9878 9617 9 132 6 208 11 273 13 287 11 330 9617 9456 8*132 6 207 10 272 12*287 8*325 9456 9364 7*134 6 204 8 270 9*285 5*326 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography