DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.9 - - 49.4 - - 51.8 - - 44.7 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 126 - - 163 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 971 - - 2824 - - 3951 - - 1975 - - 1639 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 183 - - 198 - - 9 - - 25 W* B/S 1 - - 17 - - 8 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 011 - - 217 - - 209 - - 231 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - 10 - - 18 - - 5 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2961 - - -3084 - - -4085 - - -2959 - - -2527 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12323 - - 12447 - - 13449 - - 12322 - - 11890 sfcLCL ODpotential -12360 - - -7992 - - -7918 - - -9026 - - -10156 ODpotential blCL 21722 - - 17355 - - 17281 - - 18388 - - 19519 blCL maxRH 56 - - 47 - - 47 - - 71 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.9 - - 49.4 - - 51.8 - - 44.7 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.2 - - 27.6 - - 25.6 - - 23.6 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.5 - - 47.4 - - 49.6 - - 46.7 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.2 - - 26.5 - - 24.9 - - 23.1 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 126 - - 163 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96217 30 283 24 284 29 288 28 277 33 294 96217 89221 16 335 15 284 22 298 17 324 15 326 89221 83810 12 333 11 352 8 278 20 311 14 359 83810 79309 2 283 14 334 6 073 11 290 16 354 79309 75402 5 049 2 193 13 336 6 326 9 354 75402 71934 4 336 5 018 12 341 9 323 8 360 71934 68786 5 355 13 304 9 335 10 311 9 360 68786 65886 8 307 13 287 13 301 13 289 14 317 65886 63217 3 299 11 271 17 282 15 281 15 280 63217 60653 8 304 12 241 21 256 22 265 20 268 60653 57974 16 281 13 251 19 239 20 251 25 255 57974 55179 28 271 17 264 21 246 29 251 36 246 55179 52498 34 259 26 256 31 236 40 237 42 238 52498 50068 42 259 34 252 29 232 37 230 39 229 50068 47868 41 257 39 254 28 247 31 233 34 233 47868 45869 42 252 45 248 40 251 35 241 48 237 45869 44060 44 245 45 242 48 238 49 238 48 235 44060 42402 43 240 43 237 47 230 53 226 45 240 42402 40849 41 232 41 233 44 228 45 214 46 240 40849 39388 38 229 37 233 43 224 41 213 42 214 39388 38023 36 230 34 232 41 222 39 224 38 206 38023 36731 34 231 35 230 40 223 39 230 40 212 36731 35449 33 232 35 227 38 224 40 227 41 220 35449 34151 32 233 33 225 36 224 39 225 40 223 34151 32840 33 230 34 225 34 223 38 225 38 220 32840 31509 36 227 35 224 33 223 36 226 35 219 31509 30152 35 226 34 222 32 226 34 226 33 221 30152 28775 31 226 29 221 27 229 34 228 33 226 28775 27380 27 225 25 215 24 226 35 228 34 230 27380 25973 25 223 22 209 25 221 36 227 37 232 25973 24558 21 221 21 205 26 216 36 229 38 236 24558 23134 17 222 19 202 25 213 36 233 37 242 23134 21695 14 230 17 198 23 212 33 234 35 247 21695 20265 14 238 14 198 20 209 28 229 33 246 20265 18909 13 240 12 199 17 200 21 221 26 241 18909 17685 11 241 10 196 14 191 15 204 18 227 17685 16592 10 248 9 190 12 188 12 185 14 206 16592 15606 9 260 8 190 11 186 10 176 14 190 15606 14707 8 268 6 199 9 182 8 167 13 181 14707 13883 8 275 4 217 6 170 8 150 12 179 13883 13127 8 283 3 253 3 157 7 134 11 182 13127 12437 7 291 3 297 1 255 5 135 10 188 12437 11804 7 298 5 320 3 256 3 154 9 195 11804 11217 6 309 4 326 4 246 0 258 8 201 11217 10682 5 325 3 319 5 230 2 300 7 207 10682 10222 4 345 2 295 5 223 3 274 5 213 10222 9861 4 001 2 259 5 218 3 259 3 225 9861 9608 4 008 2 235 5 214 4 248 1 247 9608 9452 5*013 2*222 5*212 3*240 1*335 9452 9363 4*011 2*217 5*209 2*231 2*006 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography