DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 65.8 - - 62.1 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 313 - - 164 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 2910 - - 1689 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8988 - - 10722 - - 9622 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 11710 - - 10489 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7997 - - 4007 - - 1509 - - 1969 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 426 - - 288 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 15 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 308 - - 311 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - -61 - - -82 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2792 - - 718 - - 899 - - -1229 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12156 - - 10993 - - 9591 - - 10594 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4663 - - -1967 - - -2752 - - -5163 ODpotential blCL - - - 14027 - - 13677 - - 13241 - - 14527 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 92 - - 76 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 930 - - 1220 - - 1280 - - 550 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 65.8 - - 62.1 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 49.3 - - 51.6 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 62.9 - - 60.1 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 48.7 - - 51.0 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 313 - - 164 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 2910 - - 1689 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 66 - - 5 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99206 21 099 24 086 29 074 32 098 99206 91713 25 109 23 094 17 073 28 069 91713 85961 27 099 22 112 13 096 22 065 85961 81194 22 101 19 112 13 105 15 074 81194 77069 14 091 15 101 14 099 14 075 77069 73416 11 068 10 099 14 084 12 099 73416 70117 6 058 8 108 8 072 12 090 70117 67095 2 270 4 090 6 074 8 105 67095 64304 4 214 3 248 3 343 7 090 64304 61601 6 174 5 217 7 240 4 018 61601 58799 4 186 6 236 8 239 5 282 58799 55932 9 240 15 243 10 260 11 257 55932 53230 15 229 18 238 13 254 15 247 53230 50820 18 218 20 251 15 262 10 264 50820 48668 14 217 20 241 18 255 17 278 48668 46712 10 216 19 213 22 236 20 260 46712 44910 5 158 18 189 24 217 25 244 44910 43233 5 192 13 173 21 197 26 236 43233 41657 12 231 6 193 14 192 24 231 41657 40177 20 210 8 254 8 219 17 238 40177 38790 21 192 11 250 9 247 15 257 38790 37468 18 184 12 234 14 271 21 261 37468 36153 19 180 8 214 17 272 23 258 36153 34819 19 180 6 220 13 270 24 252 34819 33471 17 185 4 238 11 258 23 254 33471 32102 16 190 4 245 13 257 21 257 32102 30707 15 199 4 251 10 248 19 247 30707 29292 13 199 5 227 7 225 16 236 29292 27859 11 197 8 212 6 183 14 231 27859 26415 12 207 10 203 8 176 14 228 26415 24966 8 207 11 203 12 196 13 219 24966 23510 8 203 11 195 15 201 10 200 23510 22044 7 201 11 192 14 199 10 181 22044 20589 5 196 13 200 12 198 13 163 20589 19210 4 193 13 196 12 183 16 155 19210 17961 3 188 11 186 12 165 16 156 17961 16843 4 175 9 177 13 157 14 160 16843 15829 4 153 9 176 12 157 13 168 15829 14902 3 134 8 181 9 162 11 177 14902 14050 1 120 6 196 7 175 9 191 14050 13268 1 310 4 240 4 222 6 214 13268 12553 2 291 7 286 8 285 6 259 12553 11897 3 278 12*303 15 299 9 292 11897 11289 3 268 14*308 20 303 12 306 11289 10734 3 261 15 309 21*306 15 311 10734 10257 4 254 15 308 20*309 16 313 10257 9882 4 250 15 308 20 311 16 316 9882 9619 4 247 14 306 18 311 14 319 9619 9457 4*243 13 306 17 311 11*321 9457 9364 3*240 10 304 11 310 6*322 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography