DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.6 - - 42.5 - - 45.5 - - 36.4 - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -66 - - 10 - - 29 - - -48 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 73 - - 810 - - 2510 - - 82 - - 112 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 97 - - 124 - - 40 - - 43 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 349 - - 044 - - 012 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -37 - - -17 - - -8 - - -31 - - -41 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2057 - - -2034 - - -1454 - - -1628 - - -2500 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11420 - - 11397 - - 10817 - - 10991 - - 11862 sfcLCL ODpotential -11022 - - -7975 - - -6102 - - -8837 - - -9431 ODpotential blCL 20384 - - 17337 - - 15464 - - 18199 - - 18793 blCL maxRH 61 - - 85 - - 69 - - 70 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.6 - - 42.5 - - 45.5 - - 36.4 - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.1 - - 25.6 - - 30.8 - - 21.5 - - 18.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.7 - - 41.8 - - 44.5 - - 40.4 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.0 - - 24.5 - - 29.6 - - 20.3 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -66 - - 10 - - 29 - - -48 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96431 55 276 47 277 55 271 55 280 45 285 96431 89329 30 293 30 286 31 280 33 279 30 290 89329 83836 20 292 21 284 16 283 20 284 20 301 83836 79265 17 308 15 267 13 281 16 307 16 316 79265 75337 16 309 16 287 17 276 18 305 15 314 75337 71876 18 301 22 296 20 285 19 326 16 338 71876 68740 21 303 26 296 28 289 27 315 22 337 68740 65850 27 301 27 290 23 288 26 297 23 320 65850 63168 30 294 24 291 24 323 23 301 23 315 63168 60568 33 294 29 298 33 319 29 310 32 317 60568 57858 34 293 32 295 34 310 29 304 32 307 57858 55046 35 286 32 292 34 299 29 300 27 307 55046 52352 35 285 29 291 34 295 31 308 31 316 52352 49909 36 289 32 296 37 291 37 307 39 313 49909 47703 39 287 42 296 42 292 40 309 41 310 47703 45697 43 276 45 280 44 292 45 306 37 303 45697 43868 43 270 47 274 45 286 47 298 35 302 43868 42192 36 274 47 273 46 275 46 289 37 305 42192 40642 37 283 43 271 49 272 49 281 38 298 40642 39203 30 280 37 268 48 272 52 277 45 282 39203 37867 28 278 35 270 46 272 51 272 51 273 37867 36602 28 276 35 274 44 270 47 269 55 268 36602 35342 25 270 34 269 44 271 44 268 51 268 35342 34061 23 269 34 269 43 274 42 271 46 270 34061 32768 23 272 32 272 40 276 39 274 41 275 32768 31454 24 272 28 274 36 275 35 277 35 275 31454 30113 25 274 25 276 34 274 32 279 30 274 30113 28749 24 278 24 278 32 275 29 282 27 278 28749 27367 23 282 23 279 30 277 28 284 23 285 27367 25974 22 282 23 281 30 280 30 280 21 291 25974 24573 22 281 22 282 29 281 31 275 21 292 24573 23161 20 280 21 282 27 277 30 274 20 295 23161 21731 19 284 19 279 23 273 27 281 18 303 21731 20306 17 293 16 276 20 276 21 290 16 313 20306 18953 16 301 13 278 18 287 15 306 16 321 18953 17726 14 307 11 293 16 301 13 331 15 326 17726 16627 13 307 11 308 15 316 16 351 13 332 16627 15633 12 305 11 320 15 329 19 001 11 338 15633 14727 11 306 11 328 15 343 20 008 9 347 14727 13896 11 310 11 334 13 358 21 015 9 006 13896 13135 11 314 12 339 13 012 21 020 12 021 13135 12439 11 317 12 343 12 022 20 024 14 030 12439 11804 12 319 12 348 11 028 19 027 15 037 11804 11215 13 322 13 351 9 033 17 030 15 040 11215 10680 14 324 12 353 8 036 14 032 14 041 10680 10220 14 327 11 353 7 038 12 030 13 038 10220 9859 14 329 10 353 6 039 11 027 12 036 9859 9607 13 330 9 353 6 040 9 020 11 028 9607 9451 10*331 7*353 5 042 8*016 10*024 9451 9362 7*335 4*349 4*044 5*012 6*015 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography