DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1557z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 49.7 - - 52.7 - - 52.2 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 221 - - 207 - - 14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1678 - - 3275 - - 4055 - - 4187 - - 2580 Hgt.Variab. W* 88 - - 223 - - 219 - - 100 - - 26 W* B/S 79 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 192 - - 215 - - 231 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 18 - - 15 - - 6 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3260 - - -2682 - - -3137 - - -3047 - - -3802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12622 - - 12045 - - 12500 - - 12410 - - 13166 sfcLCL ODpotential -11855 - - -8985 - - -8051 - - -9093 - - -11776 ODpotential blCL 21217 - - 18348 - - 17414 - - 18456 - - 21139 blCL maxRH 38 - - 48 - - 47 - - 43 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 49.7 - - 52.7 - - 52.2 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.2 - - 29.5 - - 30.4 - - 30.3 - - 22.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.7 - - 47.2 - - 50.5 - - 51.4 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.7 - - 28.3 - - 29.3 - - 29.3 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 221 - - 207 - - 14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98465 7 107 3 205 5 096 1 231 8 039 98465 91197 8 108 8 146 6 107 10 064 8 072 91197 85570 8 104 14 100 11 121 8 071 12 064 85570 80872 11 102 14 123 9 118 13 097 10 084 80872 76812 13 106 13 128 12 112 12 088 8 082 76812 73208 9 105 13 121 13 114 11 104 11 091 73208 69935 11 115 12 118 16 112 11 101 11 088 69935 66921 7 123 2 062 10 078 11 099 6 098 66921 64119 7 162 2 124 4 107 7 004 9 058 64119 61423 7 246 4 250 13 166 6 164 1 244 61423 58636 23 239 22 243 15 264 11 273 8 258 58636 55767 28 239 33 236 36 245 38 251 36 251 55767 53073 41 253 47 243 53 243 57 248 51 253 53073 50674 56 258 57 250 65 248 69 250 64 258 50674 48514 72 260 71 255 73 253 76 253 76 257 48514 46532 83 259 81 256 80 256 83 255 80 254 46532 44694 91 259 89 257 86 257 87 256 82 254 44694 42980 97 260 94 258 91 258 89 257 86 254 42980 41376 99 261 95 259 93 258 92 256 90 255 41376 39871 99 261 94 259 92 256 94 255 93 256 39871 38467 98 261 93 259 91 255 93 254 93 256 38467 37136 96 261 92 257 90 256 89 253 91 256 37136 35818 90 261 90 256 91 255 88 254 87 254 35818 34486 82 261 85 255 88 254 88 254 84 253 34486 33145 72 260 78 254 84 252 85 255 83 253 33145 31785 62 260 71 254 77 251 77 255 80 254 31785 30400 55 261 63 254 71 249 69 253 71 256 30400 28996 51 259 57 254 67 248 64 250 63 256 28996 27579 48 256 54 254 63 246 61 248 56 255 27579 26151 46 256 53 254 60 245 59 246 51 252 26151 24718 45 257 51 253 57 246 55 244 49 249 24718 23276 43 257 48 253 53 246 52 243 48 246 23276 21821 40 255 44 251 48 245 48 243 46 244 21821 20376 39 253 40 248 42 242 44 245 42 245 20376 19008 36 252 36 247 37 240 41 246 39 246 19008 17771 33 251 32 248 34 242 38 244 35 245 17771 16666 30 249 29 248 32 245 34 243 32 239 16666 15670 26 249 26 248 29 250 30 242 30 231 15670 14763 23 248 22 248 26 255 25 244 28 228 14763 13931 20 246 19 247 19 258 20 247 25 229 13931 13168 18 244 15 246 13 262 16 250 21 233 13168 12470 15 241 11 243 7 259 12 252 17 239 12470 11831 13 238 8 236 6 255 9 253 13 242 11831 11239 10 235 6 223 6 246 8 254 9 243 11239 10697 7 234 6 210 6 236 6 247 6 241 10697 10232 4 228 6 202 6 228 6 241 3 229 10232 9867 2 224 6 198 6 223 5 237 1 103 9867 9611 1 230 6 195 6 219 5 235 3 055 9611 9454 0*261 6*194 6*217 5*232 4*039 9454 9363 0*219 5*192 5*215 4*231 3*020 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography