DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 41.7 - - 40.2 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 218 - - 11 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3246 - - 4664 - - 2863 - - 471 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 187 - - 218 - - 83 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 016 - - 006 - - 008 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -18 - - -16 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2402 - - -5501 - - -6298 - - -3396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11765 - - 14864 - - 15661 - - 12759 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5947 - - -9064 - - -11231 - - -10317 ODpotential blCL - - - 15309 - - 18426 - - 20593 - - 19679 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 53 - - 57 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 41.7 - - 40.2 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.7 - - 9.4 - - 4.7 - - 8.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 39.3 - - 39.3 - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.6 - - 8.4 - - 3.9 - - 8.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 218 - - 11 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96568 21 089 29 086 20 101 25 072 96568 89460 26 095 23 092 17 110 20 079 89460 83930 20 096 20 089 20 104 6 092 83930 79330 10 082 12 065 11 091 10 104 79330 75352 7 124 4 111 3 015 12 049 75352 71819 3 085 2 278 6 248 11 341 71819 68623 11 266 10 282 5 244 6 285 68623 65678 20 260 16 256 14 271 13 292 65678 62950 22 255 23 257 21 262 22 264 62950 60315 26 268 28 263 27 257 26 261 60315 57579 33 261 37 256 35 263 37 266 57579 54755 35 266 40 264 43 268 41 260 54755 52056 52 272 51 273 56 275 49 264 52056 49604 61 272 58 276 61 276 55 267 49604 47381 61 279 60 281 63 281 59 275 47381 45349 58 287 67 288 68 285 66 283 45349 43485 61 295 74 291 72 285 72 288 43485 41771 69 294 78 291 74 285 76 289 41771 40191 67 296 71 294 73 289 74 290 40191 38736 64 315 64 307 69 294 69 292 38736 37396 69 329 66 315 63 300 64 293 37396 36134 71 331 65 314 60 303 60 294 36134 34882 67 330 58 314 59 301 57 291 34882 33615 61 333 51 317 58 299 54 287 33615 32337 54 333 46 318 55 302 48 289 32337 31039 49 329 44 316 51 306 45 296 31039 29716 48 326 43 316 48 309 46 302 29716 28372 48 329 44 318 47 312 48 305 28372 27012 49 333 46 321 49 315 51 306 27012 25640 46 335 46 324 52 318 54 307 25640 24262 42 336 43 329 52 320 55 306 24262 22876 37 338 39 331 49 322 51 307 22876 21475 31 342 36 333 44 326 43 310 21475 20082 27 347 32 336 37 331 33 313 20082 18759 26 352 28 336 31 335 25 314 18759 17560 24 357 26 336 27 337 21 315 17560 16485 21 002 24 339 25 340 19 315 16485 15512 19 006 22 347 22 345 18 318 15512 14624 17 009 19 356 18 352 16 325 14624 13810 15 010 16 003 15 360 13 335 13810 13063 14 011 14 007 12 009 10 344 13063 12382 13 011 12 009 11 016 7 355 12382 11759 11 010 12 010 9 021 4 011 11759 11182 9 008 11 009 9 021 2 061 11182 10656 7 008 11 008 8 018 5 090 10656 10205 5 007 10 006 8 014 7 087 10205 9850 4 009 10 006 8 011 8 079 9850 9602 3 011 9 005 7 009 7 062 9602 9450 3*013 8*006 7*008 5*047 9450 9362 2*016 6*006 4*008 4*016 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography