DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.9 - - 28.7 - - 29.3 - - 22.7 - - 21.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -35 - - 44 - - 37 - - -54 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 603 - - 1017 - - 2894 - - 1883 - - 1059 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 131 - - 125 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 15 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 319 - - 320 - - 326 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -28 - - -43 - - -47 - - -34 - - -44 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -3929 - - -2791 - - -1245 - - -3330 - - -7246 ODpotential blCL 13290 - - 12152 - - 10606 - - 12691 - - 16607 blCL maxRH 92 - - 91 - - 89 - - 77 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.9 - - 28.7 - - 29.3 - - 22.7 - - 21.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.7 - - 24.6 - - 24.4 - - 18.2 - - 16.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.0 - - 27.7 - - 28.2 - - 25.3 - - 23.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.3 - - 23.9 - - 23.8 - - 19.2 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -35 - - 44 - - 37 - - -54 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 65 - - 56 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96299 6 059 5 319 3 190 4 311 7 305 96299 89087 6 331 2 094 2 167 4 318 8 309 89087 83512 3 300 4 342 4 249 8 317 7 007 83512 78873 5 010 3 312 4 265 9 294 9 326 78873 74885 8 001 6 271 9 275 12 282 14 286 74885 71389 15 313 5 245 10 276 13 305 8 301 71389 68226 17 304 16 291 18 284 22 296 16 323 68226 65305 15 317 13 266 14 264 13 269 8 300 65305 62578 22 311 19 292 13 277 8 250 17 286 62578 59962 39 287 39 290 39 289 45 281 50 284 59962 57284 44 282 37 281 30 296 47 285 55 296 57284 54519 46 294 40 289 49 299 56 301 59 299 54519 51864 59 301 59 301 61 295 65 297 60 299 51864 49451 68 300 65 299 67 292 70 294 65 299 49451 47270 68 292 63 295 69 291 75 295 72 297 47270 45281 64 285 64 293 72 291 80 295 75 293 45281 43455 59 281 66 291 75 290 81 293 75 290 43455 41761 55 287 69 291 77 290 78 288 72 289 41761 40177 58 300 73 293 79 292 74 285 71 292 40177 38693 68 313 78 299 81 294 72 286 74 302 38693 37311 80 320 84 306 80 296 75 295 81 310 37311 36006 88 323 92 312 79 301 82 305 84 313 36006 34718 91 321 96 314 82 312 88 314 80 316 34718 33420 92 318 98 314 91 321 91 318 81 321 33420 32120 92 317 98 312 98 324 94 321 90 326 32120 30808 92 317 98 310 96 321 97 322 99 325 30808 29478 91 319 99 308 87 315 98 323 97 321 29478 28129 91 319 97 307 77 309 94 324 85 319 28129 26765 87 318 93 305 68 309 87 323 73 320 26765 25393 80 316 86 304 63 313 79 320 65 320 25393 24018 73 314 80 304 61 314 72 317 61 319 24018 22637 69 312 76 303 60 314 68 315 57 318 22637 21245 68 311 73 303 60 312 65 317 54 317 21245 19862 67 311 70 304 60 310 65 319 52 317 19862 18553 65 311 67 305 61 310 64 322 51 318 18553 17370 62 311 63 306 61 310 62 325 50 319 17370 16313 59 311 57 306 61 312 59 327 49 321 16313 15358 56 311 50 305 60 314 56 329 49 323 15358 14489 52 311 45 303 58 317 52 331 48 325 14489 13693 49 312 43 302 56 320 48 332 48 327 13693 12966 46 313 42 305 54 323 45 333 47 328 12966 12302 42 313 41 310 52 324 42 334 46 330 12302 11695 40 311 40 315 50 324 41 334 44 332 11695 11133 37 308 39 317 47 324 39 333 42 334 11133 10622 35 304 36 318 43 324 37 332 41 336 10622 10182 31 303 32 320 39 323 34 331 38 336 10182 9837 26 306 27 321 34 323 29 330 34 335 9837 9596 21 310 22 321 29 322 24 328 27 335 9596 9447 15*313 19*321 25*321 18*327 21*335 9447 9361 8*318 12*319 15*320 10*326 12*336 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography