DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 47.2 - - 46.7 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 352 - - 104 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9018 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4304 - - 6790 - - 6808 - - 3432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 255 - - 170 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 15 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 276 - - 294 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 4 - - -1 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4083 - - -6374 - - -6717 - - -5167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13446 - - 15737 - - 16080 - - 14530 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7958 - - -9647 - - -10399 - - -10682 ODpotential blCL - - - 17320 - - 19009 - - 19761 - - 20044 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 38 - - 36 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 47.2 - - 46.7 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.8 - - 11.0 - - 9.2 - - 7.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 44.1 - - 45.2 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.7 - - 10.0 - - 8.5 - - 7.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 352 - - 104 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97008 22 273 27 253 38 274 45 280 97008 89775 23 249 24 273 19 283 28 275 89775 84262 19 262 18 307 14 281 16 294 84262 79674 10 312 13 317 12 300 11 336 79674 75683 6 004 9 264 12 313 15 325 75683 72153 10 354 5 285 9 335 16 303 72153 68976 17 303 12 307 14 332 13 322 68976 66051 20 284 14 293 17 316 15 327 66051 63329 21 298 16 312 23 307 22 316 63329 60696 26 300 22 306 26 296 25 308 60696 57956 30 296 27 296 29 292 31 300 57956 55103 33 284 30 285 33 290 34 294 55103 52351 36 284 36 285 39 292 36 289 52351 49844 40 283 42 284 43 289 37 287 49844 47578 41 284 47 280 47 286 40 287 47578 45515 45 284 48 280 50 281 44 286 45515 43627 48 282 49 281 48 277 49 281 43627 41897 49 283 47 282 46 281 45 282 41897 40311 48 289 46 285 44 287 40 283 40311 38856 48 286 45 285 45 290 37 289 38856 37517 43 286 42 282 45 287 39 291 37517 36255 42 292 39 284 42 282 40 289 36255 35004 44 291 40 290 39 278 37 286 35004 33734 45 293 42 292 37 283 33 286 33734 32452 39 296 42 294 36 292 30 292 32452 31148 33 300 36 295 34 297 31 297 31148 29818 30 304 29 292 30 299 31 298 29818 28468 27 307 24 292 26 297 29 298 28468 27105 25 311 20 296 21 295 24 299 27105 25731 24 314 17 301 18 295 19 301 25731 24352 23 317 16 304 17 294 16 303 24352 22962 22 318 16 304 17 294 15 304 22962 21556 22 316 18 303 17 298 15 306 21556 20154 22 317 19 305 17 305 14 309 20154 18822 21 319 18 309 16 312 13 314 18822 17614 20 323 16 319 13 321 12 318 17614 16531 17 327 14 333 8 336 10 324 16531 15553 14 332 9 337 5 333 7 337 15553 14659 11 341 7 334 3 308 4 007 14659 13841 9 350 6 330 3 301 2 045 13841 13092 7 348 6 324 4 294 1 119 13092 12407 5 342 5 314 4 292 1 231 12407 11781 4 330 5 308 4 293 2 269 11781 11200 3 302 4 302 4 293 2 298 11200 10669 3 288 4 294 4 294 2 317 10669 10214 3 272 4 288 4 296 2 336 10214 9856 3 260 4 283 4 296 3 348 9856 9605 3 254 4 280 4 296 3 352 9605 9451 3*251 4*278 3*295 3*342 9451 9362 3*246 3*276 3*294 3*334 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography