DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 55.6 - - 58.1 - - 54.9 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 119 - - 113 - - -12 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1198 - - 3915 - - 5747 - - 2689 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* 57 - - 187 - - 184 - - 62 - - 55 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 218 - - 278 - - 305 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 11 - - 2 - - -14 - - -45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -957 - - -1047 - - -1564 - - -511 - - -830 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10320 - - 10411 - - 10927 - - 9874 - - 10193 sfcLCL ODpotential -6184 - - -3672 - - -3695 - - -4210 - - -6335 ODpotential blCL 15547 - - 13035 - - 13058 - - 13573 - - 15698 blCL maxRH 66 - - 69 - - 76 - - 60 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 220 - - 460 - - 470 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 55.6 - - 58.1 - - 54.9 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 42.3 - - 42.6 - - 43.9 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 53.7 - - 56.2 - - 55.5 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.1 - - 41.1 - - 41.4 - - 42.8 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 119 - - 113 - - -12 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97830 15 247 11 255 23 236 19 277 10 300 97830 90522 12 171 11 242 8 231 12 243 7 276 90522 84912 7 054 9 158 4 201 3 241 0 226 84912 80251 14 033 6 102 5 109 4 035 6 041 80251 76240 5 017 8 077 8 099 7 107 3 033 76240 72716 7 041 10 079 3 074 8 066 4 061 72716 69552 11 355 12 015 9 095 3 052 7 015 69552 66662 12 003 10 326 12 005 10 023 7 031 66662 63981 13 335 7 350 11 323 16 326 15 012 63981 61383 13 287 13 328 12 319 18 310 19 331 61383 58684 14 291 18 297 13 306 18 293 21 300 58684 55895 19 320 22 291 17 281 20 275 27 276 55895 53241 25 318 25 292 22 285 24 279 29 282 53241 50853 39 296 30 288 30 288 34 293 38 298 50853 48700 44 287 34 283 37 286 41 297 50 293 48700 46722 49 291 37 280 36 285 42 299 51 294 46722 44888 53 293 40 279 35 285 41 298 49 297 44888 43181 56 292 43 277 35 287 39 296 39 295 43181 41589 56 292 47 279 36 290 35 299 33 291 41589 40102 52 294 45 284 36 291 31 300 26 291 40102 38712 45 296 40 290 34 292 31 298 26 291 38712 37392 40 299 34 292 34 292 31 295 26 293 37392 36079 38 303 32 297 35 293 31 295 24 296 36079 34748 37 306 32 303 36 297 31 299 24 301 34748 33406 32 308 30 304 32 300 30 300 25 305 33406 32044 28 304 29 302 28 300 27 298 27 304 32044 30657 23 304 27 304 25 306 25 298 29 302 30657 29253 15 318 22 311 21 314 21 309 27 304 29253 27832 11 328 17 321 16 318 18 317 21 312 27832 26401 12 333 13 318 13 321 14 318 16 320 26401 24966 11 335 10 319 11 321 12 322 15 325 24966 23519 10 346 8 343 8 324 10 329 14 334 23519 22055 9 359 8 010 5 340 7 336 12 343 22055 20595 10 356 9 016 4 010 5 351 9 348 20595 19208 11 345 10 008 5 026 4 067 5 354 19208 17950 11 339 12 000 7 032 7 107 3 086 17950 16823 10 333 13 352 10 031 9 097 7 117 16823 15803 8 326 13 340 11 026 10 071 8 121 15803 14873 6 304 12 327 10 015 9 054 7 113 14873 14020 5 258 11 316 9 001 9 044 6 098 14020 13238 5 217 9 302 7 344 8 026 6 086 13238 12525 6 186 6 290 7 330 9 003 5 076 12525 11872 8 164 4 281 6 311 11 343 5 051 11872 11267 9 151 3 267 6 302 12 329 6 015 11267 10716 10 140 3 255 6 294 13 320 10 358 10716 10244 10 127 3 241 6 288 12 314 13 352 10244 9874 9 112 3 229 6 284 12 310 14 346 9874 9614 8 099 3 224 6 281 10 308 13 343 9614 9455 6*084 3*219 6*279 8 306 11*341 9455 9363 3*047 3*218 5*278 5*305 7*338 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography