DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.5 - - 21.5 - - 18.0 - - 13.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 70 - - 22 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3626 - - 3374 - - 2777 - - 1887 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 129 - - 151 - - 103 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 231 - - 273 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 31 - - -14 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -694 - - -256 - - -711 - - -1189 ODpotential blCL - - - 10055 - - 9617 - - 10072 - - 10550 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.5 - - 21.5 - - 18.0 - - 13.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.3 - - 19.8 - - 15.3 - - 11.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 18.6 - - 20.3 - - 17.1 - - 14.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.0 - - 19.8 - - 15.0 - - 13.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 70 - - 22 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 99 - - 92 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96726 24 099 25 092 29 081 29 071 96726 89570 22 121 22 088 19 082 24 073 89570 84000 17 102 18 128 14 079 12 076 84000 79352 7 068 15 112 6 164 11 039 79352 75326 9 157 5 078 7 144 1 179 75326 71771 5 115 1 166 7 065 1 134 71771 68550 2 320 1 347 4 016 5 334 68550 65581 7 240 2 307 3 328 2 016 65581 62817 12 184 2 229 1 335 2 171 62817 60134 13 226 9 286 4 090 1 149 60134 57323 21 263 21 282 16 269 15 278 57323 54360 31 270 38 282 23 268 20 274 54360 51485 46 257 42 267 28 266 24 266 51485 48879 48 262 33 274 30 276 33 278 48879 46552 58 276 54 269 55 276 49 275 46552 44458 80 262 76 262 75 269 66 270 44458 42549 87 251 81 257 82 261 70 267 42549 40785 83 253 80 258 82 257 70 270 40785 39146 86 259 89 263 82 259 78 276 39146 37626 95 261 107 266 88 265 90 276 37626 36223 101 261 117 263 100 268 98 274 36223 34910 105 261 120 261 110 269 103 272 34910 33622 111 261 121 260 114 268 107 272 33622 32334 118 260 120 260 113 268 109 271 32334 31049 121 257 119 260 107 268 107 271 31049 29758 119 256 115 261 100 267 101 271 29758 28457 117 255 110 260 93 266 93 271 28457 27153 116 257 104 260 88 265 82 271 27153 25844 118 259 99 260 85 264 74 271 25844 24533 114 260 96 260 82 263 72 270 24533 23221 94 259 93 260 79 263 73 269 23221 21909 73 255 87 258 75 260 72 269 21909 20593 63 253 79 256 72 256 70 269 20593 19295 60 252 67 256 71 250 65 269 19295 18072 59 251 58 254 62 242 58 270 18072 16974 58 249 56 253 62 243 46 275 16974 15995 56 245 56 251 63 244 41 277 15995 15107 53 240 56 248 62 247 41 276 15107 14293 51 237 55 245 62 253 42 277 14293 13543 49 236 53 242 59 260 40 279 13543 12852 48 235 52 240 54 265 38 280 12852 12217 46 234 50 238 50 269 41 279 12217 11634 43 233 48 237 47 270 41 279 11634 11090 41 232 46 236 44 271 40 277 11090 10593 38 232 43 235 40 272 37 275 10593 10164 35 231 40 234 37 273 33 272 10164 9827 32 231 37 234 32 273 29 270 9827 9590 28 230 32 233 28 273 24 268 9590 9445 24*230 27*233 24*273 19*267 9445 9361 15*228 16*231 14*273 10*265 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography