DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.3 - - 39.6 - - 39.8 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 21 - - 15 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2225 - - 1268 - - 1642 - - 1291 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 101 - - 90 - - 80 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 214 - - 198 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 19 - - 18 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -224 - - 0 - - -91 - - 0 ODpotential blCL - - - 9586 - - 9362 - - 9453 - - 9362 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 90 - - 20 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.3 - - 39.6 - - 39.8 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.0 - - 39.6 - - 39.3 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 38.5 - - 38.8 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 39.5 - - 39.1 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 21 - - 15 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 102 - - 102 - - 104 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97334 16 284 22 272 26 298 23 305 97334 90162 10 334 6 297 12 284 17 315 90162 84615 2 289 4 325 3 351 4 355 84615 80018 5 346 4 178 2 266 4 039 80018 76056 4 021 2 151 2 088 2 027 76056 72548 1 158 3 179 3 340 4 346 72548 69372 4 257 3 161 1 308 3 339 69372 66449 4 218 10 270 4 270 2 297 66449 63749 5 127 6 220 9 303 4 303 63749 61134 13 267 10 246 9 293 5 313 61134 58403 21 202 15 239 21 221 12 216 58403 55562 13 188 25 219 21 224 22 229 55562 52813 28 233 37 226 34 235 34 237 52813 50315 51 236 51 231 45 229 43 232 50315 48061 73 236 68 237 57 232 55 231 48061 46012 97 233 91 233 77 233 76 229 46012 44137 115 228 111 228 95 230 89 225 44137 42405 123 223 122 224 104 226 92 224 42405 40786 123 221 126 222 107 224 95 227 40786 39272 123 222 125 222 106 226 103 229 39272 37866 125 224 120 223 107 227 110 226 37866 36547 127 226 116 222 103 224 102 220 36547 35252 126 226 108 220 95 221 88 216 35252 33948 120 225 94 221 85 221 79 221 33948 32634 111 223 86 226 80 227 78 224 32634 31302 99 223 80 227 78 229 78 225 31302 29945 86 225 74 229 74 228 76 226 29945 28570 75 229 71 231 72 227 74 224 28570 27179 71 233 71 230 71 225 72 221 27179 25777 73 234 71 230 70 225 70 219 25777 24371 75 233 70 231 63 226 66 220 24371 22963 75 231 65 229 51 222 59 218 22963 21547 69 228 50 222 45 219 45 212 21547 20142 64 225 47 220 43 218 40 210 20142 18809 58 222 43 221 43 218 40 210 18809 17603 52 220 43 222 44 220 40 211 17603 16525 50 221 43 223 45 221 39 209 16525 15550 49 222 42 222 44 220 38 208 15550 14660 47 223 39 222 40 217 36 208 14660 13845 44 224 36 222 36 216 33 208 13845 13097 39 225 31 220 32 215 28 208 13097 12413 35 226 27 217 26 213 24 208 12413 11784 30 226 24 216 21 209 21 208 11784 11202 27 225 23 216 18 206 20 209 11202 10671 24 224 22 216 16 204 18 209 10671 10215 21 223 20 215 14 203 16 210 10215 9857 18 221 17 215 12 201 14 210 9857 9606 16 221 15 215 11 200 12 210 9606 9451 14*220 13*215 9*199 10*210 9451 9362 10*220 8*214 7*198 7*210 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography