DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.8 - - 31.8 - - 33.1 - - 27.6 - - 24.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -59 - - 20 - - 4 - - -30 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 95 - - 1834 - - 3102 - - 1162 - - 202 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 106 - - 82 - - 42 - - 35 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 328 - - 315 - - 321 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - -4 - - -14 - - -20 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1262 - - -1057 - - -1653 - - -132 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10624 - - 10420 - - 11014 - - 9494 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -9888 - - -4858 - - -6101 - - -5607 - - -8539 ODpotential blCL 19249 - - 14220 - - 15462 - - 14968 - - 17900 blCL maxRH 55 - - 65 - - 70 - - 53 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.8 - - 31.8 - - 33.1 - - 27.6 - - 24.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.8 - - 19.2 - - 18.0 - - 19.2 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.4 - - 30.7 - - 32.8 - - 29.4 - - 26.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.7 - - 18.1 - - 16.8 - - 18.1 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -59 - - 20 - - 4 - - -30 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96221 10 280 15 282 13 298 7 290 17 254 96221 89186 1 314 13 239 7 349 9 267 4 299 89186 83726 4 117 3 155 5 259 6 266 7 024 83726 79154 2 176 1 098 9 249 8 274 8 326 79154 75195 4 330 9 223 7 248 13 253 11 306 75195 71674 10 299 12 238 9 270 10 272 5 300 71674 68465 17 274 17 269 19 285 16 293 13 294 68465 65510 19 258 20 265 30 279 26 291 20 303 65510 62769 19 256 20 267 34 275 33 284 28 300 62769 60115 28 279 23 278 34 271 35 277 33 290 60115 57341 35 280 28 278 32 268 33 274 32 286 57341 54452 41 279 35 281 33 281 38 286 36 293 54452 51702 49 274 45 290 42 296 41 293 42 293 51702 49240 50 280 54 290 51 301 46 294 46 290 49240 47045 53 287 57 292 54 297 50 294 47 288 47045 45071 53 297 56 292 49 299 47 303 39 314 45071 43301 55 293 48 298 54 322 68 330 63 327 43301 41698 45 295 50 316 64 320 75 323 65 322 41698 40204 40 316 51 323 51 324 65 312 58 334 40204 38797 48 339 61 352 58 360 51 319 56 335 38797 37481 57 351 79 003 79 007 52 346 61 337 37481 36228 56 345 66 356 80 004 62 355 66 338 36228 34981 48 329 49 346 71 359 64 357 69 338 34981 33716 46 324 40 332 65 350 60 353 69 337 33716 32437 44 321 39 317 63 342 54 339 66 334 32437 31137 43 318 43 314 62 337 55 327 64 331 31137 29807 46 317 47 317 60 334 59 325 63 329 29807 28453 48 318 50 320 55 330 60 329 61 329 28453 27079 48 318 53 325 50 327 59 332 60 330 27079 25693 47 318 51 327 49 324 56 336 56 332 25693 24300 45 317 45 323 50 323 54 342 51 334 24300 22897 43 316 42 317 49 325 49 340 44 332 22897 21479 43 314 43 313 46 324 39 331 36 322 21479 20070 44 314 43 312 41 318 32 329 30 312 20070 18732 45 315 42 313 39 314 31 329 27 307 18732 17521 44 317 39 313 37 313 30 326 25 307 17521 16439 43 318 36 314 35 314 29 322 24 310 16439 15464 41 318 33 315 32 315 27 321 23 315 15464 14576 39 318 30 315 29 317 25 322 22 320 14576 13764 37 317 27 316 25 319 23 324 21 325 13764 13022 35 317 25 320 22 322 21 327 19 329 13022 12347 34 319 23 326 19 323 19 328 18 332 12347 11729 32 323 20 332 17 324 17 328 16 335 11729 11158 31 329 17 335 16 325 16 327 14 339 11158 10638 29 337 14 336 14 323 15 324 12 344 10638 10193 26 345 10 334 13 322 15 322 11 348 10193 9843 23 351 7 334 12 322 13 321 10 350 9843 9598 18 353 5 333 10 320 11 320 9 351 9598 9448 14*354 4*330 8*319 9*321 8*350 9448 9361 6*356 3*328 5*315 5*321 5*347 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography