DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.1 - - 31.2 - - 34.2 - - 29.4 - - 21.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -55 - - 171 - - 234 - - 4 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 4730 - - 6975 - - 3763 - - 202 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 200 - - 221 - - 62 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 315 - - 322 - - 335 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -36 - - -9 - - -17 - - -18 - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4915 - - -7324 - - -8017 - - -6286 - - -4812 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14276 - - 16686 - - 17378 - - 15647 - - 14174 sfcLCL ODpotential -11883 - - -11311 - - -15269 - - -14999 - - -15628 ODpotential blCL 21244 - - 20672 - - 24630 - - 24360 - - 24989 blCL maxRH 93 - - 76 - - 44 - - 57 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.1 - - 31.2 - - 34.2 - - 29.4 - - 21.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -11.2 - - -8.6 - - -8.9 - - -5.6 - - -6.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.8 - - 29.0 - - 31.8 - - 28.8 - - 24.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -11.9 - - -9.5 - - -9.6 - - -6.0 - - -7.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -55 - - 171 - - 234 - - 4 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95635 86 268 86 279 78 274 71 278 92 279 95635 88516 64 277 69 283 65 285 72 289 72 295 88516 82998 56 283 60 280 63 291 77 295 67 304 82998 78444 49 289 55 280 66 293 77 299 63 307 78444 74534 41 289 54 290 61 296 67 299 58 304 74534 71094 40 298 51 295 50 291 54 294 54 302 71094 67994 48 303 44 293 44 287 44 294 48 301 67994 65145 54 298 37 290 42 288 39 298 45 302 65145 62492 50 292 37 293 42 293 41 304 49 304 62492 59912 48 291 42 300 44 299 49 310 57 302 59912 57225 48 292 51 305 48 306 63 306 62 300 57225 54440 50 295 60 307 56 314 70 304 63 302 54440 51769 53 301 65 309 70 318 70 310 64 303 51769 49337 52 307 64 310 79 319 71 317 67 304 49337 47134 53 311 61 310 79 318 76 316 66 306 47134 45137 54 307 61 314 77 319 78 317 62 312 45137 43329 50 311 66 319 75 322 74 322 59 318 43329 41675 52 323 71 328 77 329 73 333 57 327 41675 40144 61 331 77 331 81 336 79 340 62 333 40144 38723 66 335 76 332 87 343 87 341 69 334 38723 37403 68 338 72 334 94 346 88 337 73 332 37403 36149 69 340 70 338 96 347 84 331 75 330 36149 34900 69 342 73 344 91 347 81 329 70 326 34900 33633 71 341 78 347 85 349 76 334 66 321 33633 32354 73 339 82 350 78 348 72 339 65 320 32354 31052 72 337 85 353 72 343 69 339 63 321 31052 29721 69 337 84 351 69 339 65 336 61 318 29721 28366 63 334 77 342 69 340 62 333 59 314 28366 26992 49 320 75 335 69 340 60 331 56 314 26992 25606 44 306 71 335 71 337 60 329 53 317 25606 24212 45 303 62 336 73 335 60 327 50 320 24212 22810 46 301 54 332 71 334 60 327 48 323 22810 21393 46 298 48 325 66 333 60 328 46 326 21393 19986 43 296 44 316 59 332 57 331 46 329 19986 18652 40 295 40 309 48 331 52 334 45 334 18652 17447 35 295 36 308 36 331 47 336 43 339 17447 16372 31 297 33 311 28 331 42 336 40 342 16372 15403 26 300 30 317 22 334 37 336 36 343 15403 14523 23 305 27 321 18 337 31 337 31 343 14523 13720 21 312 24 324 15 338 26 339 28 342 13720 12986 20 318 21 326 13 337 21 341 25 341 12986 12317 19 324 18 326 13 336 18 341 22 342 12317 11707 18 328 16 327 13 334 16 341 21 342 11707 11141 17 332 15 327 12 332 15 340 19 343 11141 10627 17 337 13 328 12 330 15 339 17 344 10627 10185 16 341 11 327 11 329 14 339 15 345 10185 9839 15 344 9 324 11 327 13 338 13 345 9839 9596 13 344 8 320 10 326 11 337 11 344 9596 9447 11*346 7*318 9*325 9*336 9*344 9447 9361 7*345 5*315 7*322 6*335 6*343 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography