DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 68.3 - - 67.1 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 352 - - 129 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7635 - - 10936 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14571 - - 17180 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16435 - - 19736 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5857 - - 3762 - - 13061 - - 1887 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 645 - - 687 - - 184 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 293 - - 293 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - -14 - - -14 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 689 - - 2104 - - -8645 - - -6776 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15747 - - 17633 - - 18010 - - 16140 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1485 - - -55 - - -10428 - - -10380 ODpotential blCL - - - 17920 - - 19791 - - 19792 - - 19743 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 100 - - 89 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 130 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 68.3 - - 67.1 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.1 - - 23.3 - - 20.6 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 22.1 - - 19.5 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 352 - - 129 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7635 - - 10936 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 98 - - 58 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98543 18 101 15 142 17 103 14 132 98543 91078 16 134 17 112 13 117 16 125 91078 85359 17 144 16 112 11 099 17 099 85359 80630 17 129 17 129 7 115 19 096 80630 76553 19 121 14 123 12 127 16 092 76553 72957 14 119 13 104 12 104 11 092 72957 69710 18 104 11 117 12 106 11 082 69710 66731 18 090 14 114 8 107 6 069 66731 63981 11 061 10 086 7 131 2 283 63981 61330 8 333 4 042 5 107 3 180 61330 58558 6 294 6 332 7 009 3 041 58558 55675 6 206 6 280 10 307 8 325 55675 52922 8 356 3 348 7 335 8 354 52922 50448 16 330 16 339 21 334 20 345 50448 48237 16 341 20 345 23 345 21 345 48237 46224 19 356 21 341 21 334 23 336 46224 44369 17 351 18 324 16 322 22 329 44369 42655 18 314 19 310 14 303 15 312 42655 41069 22 284 20 286 13 283 11 300 41069 39598 23 264 22 265 15 274 12 311 39598 38231 24 258 26 256 17 279 15 321 38231 36938 24 262 29 253 18 287 16 320 36938 35656 22 260 28 253 20 293 15 317 35656 34360 19 253 25 258 19 295 15 314 34360 33053 18 260 20 264 18 294 17 313 33053 31727 16 279 17 272 16 290 18 314 31727 30372 14 295 14 284 14 292 18 317 30372 28996 11 303 13 289 12 300 14 314 28996 27604 11 304 13 290 13 313 10 306 27604 26198 12 308 12 301 14 321 10 309 26198 24785 14 321 9 327 13 327 11 311 24785 23362 16 329 8 348 9 346 9 331 23362 21927 15 330 8 344 8 004 11 349 21927 20498 13 326 7*337 8 002 12 357 20498 19139 12 313 8*318 9 347 13 351 19139 17903 11 304 10 302 9 341 14 345 17903 16794 10*302 10 298 10 333 15 341 16794 15788 9*300 11 297 11 322 15 338 15788 14868 9 296 11 295 11 318 15 337 14868 14022 8 285 12 292 12 314 14 335 14022 13245 7 277 12 290 12 308 14 332 13245 12534 7 270 12 289 13 305 13 326 12534 11883 7 257 12 287 13 302 13 317 11883 11278 7 251 13 286 13 300 14 309 11278 10726 7 244 12 285 13 298 14 302 10726 10252 7 238 12 283 13 296 14 299 10252 9879 7 234 12 283 12 296 13 297 9879 9617 7 232 11 282 12 295 11 300 9617 9456 7 229 11 281 11*295 9*301 9456 9363 6 227 8 280 8*293 5*311 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography