DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1603z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 60.7 - - 65.5 - - 64.5 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 459 - - 469 - - 146 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 4798 - - 6788 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 12309 - - 13922 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 13598 - - 15588 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3061 - - 1697 - - 1561 - - 8066 - - 5670 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 566 - - 640 - - 189 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 14 - - 15 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 292 - - 252 - - 241 - - 232 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -21 - - 16 - - 16 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1895 - - 622 - - 1360 - - -5054 - - -3788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11258 - - 12976 - - 14228 - - 14418 - - 13152 sfcLCL ODpotential -6040 - - -3677 - - -701 - - -6863 - - -7842 ODpotential blCL 15403 - - 17275 - - 16289 - - 16227 - - 17205 blCL maxRH 50 - - 64 - - 67 - - 72 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 60.7 - - 65.5 - - 64.5 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 36.2 - - 35.3 - - 33.7 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 57.2 - - 61.8 - - 62.6 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 35.9 - - 35.2 - - 33.6 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 459 - - 469 - - 146 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 4798 - - 6788 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99022 17 126 16 127 13 134 6 154 5 093 99022 91593 17 115 14 108 18 127 7 121 9 117 91593 85840 16 080 15 108 16 115 7 137 9 092 85840 81044 15 095 10 089 13 100 10 119 8 084 81044 76911 18 099 12 105 11 092 14 098 12 113 76911 73282 11 101 17 105 13 113 14 086 13 095 73282 70011 12 085 13 103 10 112 10 091 14 089 70011 67008 6 032 2 174 15 110 9 088 9 077 67008 64222 9 210 11 198 2 243 3 017 1 223 64222 61540 6 097 12 163 15 215 9 246 8 224 61540 58774 22 259 11 254 8 215 11 239 8 233 58774 55925 42 247 37 247 28 246 25 233 28 247 55925 53221 49 241 47 239 45 240 40 237 40 241 53221 50789 55 246 53 240 55 243 52 244 51 240 50789 48605 64 248 59 242 62 244 64 245 60 239 48605 46622 68 244 61 242 61 244 71 245 66 240 46622 44804 67 241 59 241 58 245 75 245 73 244 44804 43120 61 240 55 239 56 245 75 245 78 246 43120 41542 50 240 46 237 52 244 71 245 75 247 41542 40060 38 239 36 236 44 242 64 244 66 246 40060 38675 27 236 30 238 37 244 53 240 54 242 38675 37363 17 237 24 234 34 247 42 237 45 238 37363 36061 16 241 19 228 34 247 38 239 38 239 36061 34741 17 240 18 224 32 244 34 241 34 241 34741 33408 18 236 20 211 30 235 30 245 32 244 33408 32053 18 234 24 189 29 230 30 249 31 247 32053 30667 16 233 25 179 29 227 29 249 30 248 30667 29258 15 235 23 181 28 225 27 247 30 250 29258 27832 14 225 21 195 26 229 24 245 28 251 27832 26393 15 216 19 210 25 234 23 244 26 251 26393 24949 17 229 18 227 26 237 25 243 26 251 24949 23495 18 245 19 239 28 236 27 242 27 249 23495 22026 21 259 22 247 29 235 29 241 28 246 22026 20564 24 261 27 248 31 235 31 239 28 242 20564 19179 28 254 30 245 33 235 30 234 29 231 19179 17928 29 246 33 241 30 235 25 230 31 221 17928 16809 30 240 33 239 24 235 19 228 30 216 16809 15798 29 237 30 239 22*237 17 230 28 214 15798 14874 27 238 25 241 19*238 15 231 25 214 14874 14025 26 242 20*244 16 240 15 232 22 215 14025 13246 25 248 17*248 16 241 14 233 19 217 13246 12534 24 256 15 250 15 242 14 233 17 219 12534 11882 24 263 14 253 15 242 13 233 15 223 11882 11277 23 270 14 254 14 243 13 234 13 228 11277 10725 21 277 13 254 14 242 12 234 12 232 10725 10251 19 283 13 254 14 243 12 233 11 235 10251 9878 16 288 12 255 13 242 12 233 9 237 9878 9617 14 291 11 254 12 241 11 233 7 238 9617 9456 12*292 11 253 12 241 10*233 5*238 9456 9363 8*292 9 252 9 239 8*232 2*253 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography