DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 77.5 - - 75.8 - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 452 - - 174 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9595 - - 8780 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16174 - - 15530 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18395 - - 17580 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2757 - - 3906 - - 11330 - - 941 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 697 - - 688 - - 201 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 313 - - 304 - - 290 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -23 - - -12 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1395 - - 253 - - -7989 - - -5951 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17001 - - 17328 - - 17354 - - 15316 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -295 - - -1454 - - -9906 - - -10063 ODpotential blCL - - - 18690 - - 19034 - - 19270 - - 19427 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 79 - - 69 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 260 - - 170 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 77.5 - - 75.8 - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 33.7 - - 32.1 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 73.9 - - 73.6 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 33.5 - - 31.9 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 452 - - 174 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9595 - - 8780 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99291 31 118 18 102 22 109 16 094 99291 91777 22 099 21 112 22 108 25 103 91777 85972 25 114 20 103 19 101 28 093 85972 81170 25 110 18 120 18 092 24 086 81170 77056 20 102 21 124 13 098 17 088 77056 73423 18 087 17 108 10 107 13 092 73423 70138 17 081 15 122 11 112 12 075 70138 67136 15 045 15 091 12 088 7 116 67136 64373 6 011 11 048 11 042 8 073 64373 61724 6 087 11 021 11 041 7 054 61724 58971 5 075 8 007 10 030 9 056 58971 56125 13 011 8 328 11 319 12 325 56125 53420 21 344 10 314 13 303 16 308 53420 50988 27 317 26 328 25 327 24 329 50988 48818 34 315 31 324 27 327 27 327 48818 46855 37 318 30 322 25 325 24 318 46855 45053 34 311 27 315 24 319 23 314 45053 43380 30 296 26 307 24 316 23 319 43380 41814 25 291 25 303 23 312 23 324 41814 40344 22 292 25 308 21 309 23 324 40344 38966 20 302 24 318 20 309 21 323 38966 37654 21 315 24 322 19 310 20 324 37654 36347 20 322 22 319 19 313 18 322 36347 35019 18 321 21 316 18 320 16 318 35019 33675 18 322 19 318 16 326 12 315 33675 32310 15 327 17 323 13 325 9 324 32310 30916 12 322 16 323 12 320 11 333 30916 29502 13 303 17 314 14 317 15 332 29502 28071 15 294 19 308 16 317 17 337 28071 26629 16 294 19 305 17 319 16 342 26629 25179 15 295 17 307 15 324 14 338 25179 23719 14 300 14 307 13 326 11 327 23719 22242 12 312 9 325 9 328 9 323 22242 20770 10 324 9 003 9 008 5 337 20770 19371 9*330 9 000 10 005 5 002 19371 18100 9*329 9*348 11 359 8 358 18100 16961 9 328 9*339 11 349 12 349 16961 15928 9 325 10 330 12 338 16 345 15928 14984 10 321 12 317 13 334 17 343 14984 14118 10 317 13 309 13 322 18 340 14118 13323 10 313 14 304 14 312 18 335 13323 12596 11 309 15 300 14 306 17 328 12596 11930 11 306 15 297 14 302 18 320 11930 11314 11 303 16 295 15 299 18 313 11314 10751 11 300 16 292 15 297 18 308 10751 10268 11 298 15 291 14 295 17 306 10268 9888 10 296 15 289 14 293 15 306 9888 9622 10 295 15 288 13 292 13 309 9622 9458 9 294 14 287 12*292 10*311 9458 9364 8 292 10 286 9*290 6*317 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography