DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 70.7 - - 69.0 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 561 - - 233 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6868 - - 8440 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14030 - - 15347 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15668 - - 17240 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2260 - - 2134 - - 9309 - - 5581 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 667 - - 731 - - 221 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 252 - - 263 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - -16 - - 1 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5623 - - -4976 - - -12009 - - -9953 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21292 - - 22217 - - 21374 - - 19318 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10537 - - -9317 - - -15717 - - -15497 ODpotential blCL - - - 26205 - - 26557 - - 25081 - - 24861 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 77 - - 81 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 70.7 - - 69.0 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.2 - - 5.0 - - 7.5 - - 8.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 66.7 - - 66.5 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.5 - - 4.2 - - 6.9 - - 7.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 525 - - 561 - - 233 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6868 - - 8440 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 8 - - 25 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99174 29 112 27 090 34 087 33 099 99174 91686 25 113 28 109 21 088 26 079 91686 85919 23 110 24 110 19 102 19 069 85919 81138 25 103 16 105 19 106 18 072 81138 77041 25 092 19 118 17 104 16 087 77041 73432 23 075 24 111 16 103 12 100 73432 70160 12 071 22 092 15 099 9 099 70160 67155 9 118 10 070 14 088 11 102 67155 64375 7 078 4 042 12 062 16 060 64375 61681 2 248 9 282 14 346 20 019 61681 58873 2 252 10 225 12 263 15 326 58873 55969 15 297 8 276 13 281 11 301 55969 53205 29 271 21 294 16 307 18 318 53205 50720 36 261 35 285 31 297 31 310 50720 48494 35 262 41 279 38 295 36 301 48494 46468 33 267 41 274 38 293 37 302 46468 44603 35 272 40 272 42 285 42 293 44603 42880 41 277 42 269 45 278 48 286 42880 41294 46 275 45 269 45 275 48 280 41294 39834 49 270 50 268 47 270 49 275 39834 38483 52 269 54 265 50 266 50 272 38483 37204 53 267 56 263 53 265 53 269 37204 35929 51 265 56 264 54 266 54 268 35929 34632 51 263 55 266 53 267 54 270 34632 33319 51 263 55 267 53 267 53 271 33319 31983 52 264 55 267 53 267 51 273 31983 30618 52 265 55 266 51 266 47 273 30618 29228 51 264 53 265 48 264 43 269 29228 27817 49 263 49 262 46 260 43 264 27817 26392 47 260 46 259 45 259 44 262 26392 24957 44 259 43 258 43 260 41 264 24957 23510 40 257 39 258 39 262 35 267 23510 22047 34 252 34 258 34 264 28 270 22047 20591 31 245 30 255 30 264 25 268 20591 19207 29 241 27 251 26 258 22 259 19207 17953 27 240 21*250 20 253 20 249 17953 16830 23 240 16*250 15 253 18 243 16830 15814 18*238 15 251 14 256 17 243 15814 14886 16*237 15 252 14 258 16 246 14886 14035 13 231 15 252 13 260 15 252 14035 13253 13 228 15 253 13 262 14 260 13253 12539 11 221 15 253 13 264 13 269 12539 11886 11 217 15 254 13 264 12 281 11886 11279 11 214 15 253 13 265 12 293 11279 10726 11 212 15 254 12 265 12 303 10726 10252 11 209 15 253 12 265 11 308 10252 9879 11 207 15 253 12 265 11 312 9879 9617 10 207 14 252 11 265 9 316 9617 9456 10 206 13 252 10*264 8*319 9456 9364 8 204 10 250 8*263 5*325 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography