DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 79.1 - - 77.2 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 411 - - 103 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6060 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13326 - - 9043 - - 9348 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14860 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8182 - - 14176 - - 13484 - - 12072 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 613 - - 267 - - 169 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 52 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 217 - - 020 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 23 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2728 - - -10077 - - -9946 - - -9696 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17588 - - 19442 - - 19310 - - 19061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5173 - - -11055 - - -11348 - - -12884 ODpotential blCL - - - 20033 - - 20419 - - 20712 - - 22248 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 92 - - 97 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 110 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 79.1 - - 77.2 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 26.0 - - 24.9 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 75.5 - - 75.3 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 25.7 - - 24.7 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 411 - - 103 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6060 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 68 - - 87 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99297 35 105 28 095 29 083 28 096 99297 91819 42 107 29 101 25 086 28 085 91819 86052 37 093 28 103 24 097 24 077 86052 81266 30 097 27 096 26 096 24 083 81266 77150 24 104 23 090 25 095 23 087 77150 73515 21 099 20 110 18 088 24 084 73515 70228 18 110 18 110 11 097 15 070 70228 67213 17 091 13 109 12 110 7 105 67213 64421 10 051 15 099 10 138 7 148 64421 61728 3 095 5 130 3 100 3 135 61728 58957 7 306 8 061 4 079 6 180 58957 56122 9 253 15 329 20 332 8 014 56122 53442 6 273 12 278 25 296 20 322 53442 51047 10 327 6 249 17 276 24 303 51047 48902 19 331 15 351 8 325 19 293 48902 46950 27 333 24 349 13 349 19 312 46950 45147 33 337 27 337 20 331 25 321 45147 43468 34 338 28 331 25 323 28 326 43468 41891 34 340 29 332 27 325 29 324 41891 40408 35 341 28 336 28 330 28 320 40408 39018 36 345 27 341 28 334 26 325 39018 37693 34 344 27 342 26 338 25 333 37693 36375 29 329 26 341 24 343 24 340 36375 35035 27 320 25 341 23 340 23 346 35035 33679 24 329 23 333 19 332 18 352 33679 32306 23 335 21 319 17 322 18 340 32306 30915 21 333 16 317 17 320 17 326 30915 29506 17 337 12 327 11 328 11 306 29506 28080 14 348 13 332 6 336 6 291 28080 26642 12 012 10 350 4 013 3 292 26642 25194 13 023 12 011 4 346 3 324 25194 23735 12 024 11 016 4 340 4 328 23735 22260 7 014 7 019 4 325 7 342 22260 20790 3 345 4 359 4 305 10 351 20790 19392 2 306 3 325 4 299 12 349 19392 18122 1 001 3 302 4 301 11 341 18122 16981 2 056 4 285 4 306 9 332 16981 15947 3 048 4 274 4 314 8 323 15947 15001 3*033 5 261 4 322 7 314 15001 14132 2*024 6 246 4 332 6 305 14132 13335 2 032 7 240 4 342 5 295 13335 12607 1 050 8 235 4 350 5 289 12607 11939 1 084 8 231 5 357 5 283 11939 11321 3 115 8 228 5 005 5 281 11321 10756 3 127 9 225 5 009 6 282 10756 10271 4 133 9 224 5 013 6 283 10271 9890 5 139 9 221 5 014 6 283 9890 9623 5 139 9 220 5 016 5 284 9623 9459 5 141 8*219 5*018 3*287 9459 9364 5 142 7*217 4*020 2*296 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography