DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.0 - - 40.4 - - 39.0 - - 34.4 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 77 - - 41 - - -4 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 981 - - 3305 - - 2542 - - 1031 - - 1818 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 158 - - 128 - - 0 - - 98 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 180 - - 131 - - 203 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 14 - - 17 - - 25 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -803 - - -884 - - -456 - - -265 - - -144 ODpotential blCL 10165 - - 10246 - - 9818 - - 9627 - - 9505 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 98 - - 101 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 10 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.0 - - 40.4 - - 39.0 - - 34.4 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 36.1 - - 36.8 - - 34.5 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.3 - - 38.9 - - 37.8 - - 33.9 - - 30.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.6 - - 35.0 - - 36.3 - - 34.8 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 77 - - 41 - - -4 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 80 - - 92 - - 104 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96265 15 018 13 297 14 350 13 331 11 286 96265 89274 15 022 3 053 12 028 12 049 14 037 89274 83821 9 014 7 027 10 041 11 043 14 031 83821 79272 11 014 9 029 1 075 9 028 8 013 79272 75331 14 340 14 023 3 037 11 347 11 004 75331 71817 9 310 7 341 4 276 13 308 13 331 71817 68633 8 307 9 348 7 350 7 300 11 310 68633 65711 13 298 11 313 9 304 10 290 8 289 65711 63008 17 276 14 282 19 273 16 288 10 246 63008 60411 17 271 13 234 18 270 20 264 10 242 60411 57688 18 294 17 304 7 269 17 210 23 251 57688 54823 28 254 27 276 16 255 21 240 27 223 54823 52062 48 237 44 245 35 249 27 243 29 221 52062 49555 52 244 50 241 46 244 32 245 34 230 49555 47298 50 243 54 239 53 234 45 244 46 239 47298 45245 46 242 52 232 56 223 59 231 52 239 45245 43358 47 236 49 227 56 214 65 218 60 235 43358 41610 52 228 50 221 60 212 70 212 64 229 41610 39988 52 223 53 214 71 215 77 211 63 224 39988 38483 48 221 55 208 79 214 84 209 62 221 38483 37097 44 221 56 207 79 210 90 207 58 220 37097 35798 43 221 58 208 78 207 91 204 54 226 35798 34520 46 222 61 210 78 206 87 201 60 234 34520 33235 49 223 64 211 79 207 79 197 66 235 33235 31951 52 224 65 213 79 208 66 198 68 231 31951 30659 54 226 65 214 80 209 57 196 68 225 30659 29351 55 229 66 215 79 209 51 187 71 221 29351 28024 54 230 66 214 77 210 49 181 70 217 28024 26680 51 228 64 214 72 211 50 185 66 217 26680 25325 49 224 59 214 61 212 52 193 62 218 25325 23966 47 221 53 214 59 215 52 200 59 219 23966 22602 45 218 48 212 59 218 55 209 55 221 22602 21227 41 217 44 211 57 218 47 214 49 221 21227 19860 37 219 41 209 53 213 45 215 43 220 19860 18565 34 220 37 208 46 206 45 215 38 219 18565 17393 29 219 33 207 41 202 45 215 36 220 17393 16344 24 216 30 206 39 199 44 217 34 225 16344 15395 22 211 27 206 38 197 42 219 32 231 15395 14529 22 209 25 205 36 194 40 220 30 237 14529 13734 23 209 23 206 34 190 37 220 28 244 13734 13005 22 213 21 208 32 185 35 217 27 251 13005 12338 21 220 19 209 29 177 32 214 26 256 12338 11727 19 228 17 208 26 168 31 212 25 260 11727 11159 18 236 14 205 23 160 29 209 23 264 11159 10641 15 239 11 201 20 151 27 207 21 267 10641 10195 11 240 9 191 18 143 24 205 19 268 10195 9845 6 242 8 186 16 137 21 203 17 269 9845 9600 3 256 7 183 14 135 18 203 15 270 9600 9449 2*287 6*182 12*133 15*203 13*270 9449 9361 2*351 5*180 9*131 9*203 7*271 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography