DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 41.9 - - 34.9 - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 57 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 998 - - 2100 - - 727 - - 638 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 146 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 115 - - 235 - - 316 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 8 - - -12 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -521 - - -741 - - -132 - - -1943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9883 - - 10104 - - 9495 - - 11306 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5864 - - -4685 - - -5470 - - -8263 ODpotential blCL - - - 15226 - - 14047 - - 14832 - - 17625 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 66 - - 61 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 41.9 - - 34.9 - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 30.4 - - 26.2 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 40.4 - - 37.6 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 29.2 - - 25.0 - - 16.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 57 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96102 13 033 25 069 18 097 7 110 96102 89040 8 061 11 047 13 059 9 081 89040 83577 6 092 3 358 12 008 14 042 83577 79037 4 085 2 264 12 342 12 014 79037 75103 8 356 5 010 11 331 11 347 75103 71600 7 355 5 329 6 337 14 325 71600 68420 16 340 15 326 14 335 20 341 68420 65495 17 319 19 317 22 311 26 332 65495 62784 21 317 21 314 25 302 32 320 62784 60169 28 306 24 318 26 305 32 308 60169 57443 36 302 34 312 36 307 35 303 57443 54614 42 297 45 301 43 302 41 297 54614 51912 48 294 53 299 52 293 53 295 51912 49472 51 298 55 293 57 292 62 294 49472 47282 49 299 56 291 62 291 68 287 47282 45304 45 297 56 287 66 286 63 284 45304 43499 44 293 51 283 62 280 61 282 43499 41837 45 284 44 279 50 273 58 278 41837 40301 43 282 42 285 46 279 48 274 40301 38881 44 287 49 283 48 278 47 273 38881 37561 51 284 46 276 50 275 45 265 37561 36306 52 279 44 274 48 277 43 268 36306 35055 51 279 43 277 46 279 42 272 35055 33785 52 276 42 278 41 279 38 274 33785 32502 56 270 43 277 38 279 34 271 32502 31198 57 266 46 274 36 279 31 268 31198 29868 56 264 51 268 38 275 32 268 29868 28518 55 266 52 263 44 270 34 269 28518 27154 49 272 50 263 46 266 34 272 27154 25776 41 276 47 266 45 267 37 274 25776 24389 38 276 44 268 43 271 39 275 24389 22990 38 273 42 270 41 277 36 279 22990 21575 39 274 39 276 36 283 31 281 21575 20166 38 279 33 283 29 285 26 277 20166 18828 34 283 28 287 24 284 24 271 18828 17618 30 286 25 288 21 283 23 269 17618 16535 25 289 23 287 20 283 21 270 16535 15555 21 292 21 286 19 282 20 273 15555 14661 17 294 18 285 18 282 18 274 14661 13842 14 294 16 283 16 283 17 274 13842 13090 11 291 13 282 14 285 15 275 13090 12404 9 289 11 282 13 290 13 276 12404 11776 7 290 9 284 11 296 10 278 11776 11194 4 291 7 288 10 303 8 282 11194 10665 2 299 5 293 9 310 6 292 10665 10210 1 020 3 274 9 316 4 311 10210 9854 2 064 3 262 8 318 3 345 9854 9603 2 103 3 247 6 316 3 013 9603 9451 2*111 2*240 5*314 3*020 9451 9362 2*115 2*235 3*316 3*020 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography