DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 68.9 - - 67.1 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 542 - - 563 - - 243 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5320 - - 8299 - - 563 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12783 - - 15233 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14120 - - 17099 - - 9363 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2164 - - 3514 - - 10267 - - 9798 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 619 - - 728 - - 224 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 228 - - 240 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 38 - - 31 - - 13 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6296 - - -4535 - - -11882 - - -10120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20417 - - 21635 - - 21246 - - 19485 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11238 - - -8687 - - -15802 - - -15845 ODpotential blCL - - - 25358 - - 25786 - - 25165 - - 25209 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 30 - - 38 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 68.9 - - 67.1 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.3 - - 5.7 - - 6.0 - - 6.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 64.9 - - 64.5 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.6 - - 5.0 - - 5.4 - - 6.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 542 - - 563 - - 243 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5320 - - 8299 - - 563 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99273 35 099 33 106 31 101 33 098 99273 91759 33 101 26 106 26 098 27 091 91759 85998 25 115 28 102 24 110 21 095 85998 81219 25 110 25 109 22 113 19 101 81219 77079 23 099 22 115 14 102 22 102 77079 73428 13 099 16 110 17 083 19 091 73428 70137 14 112 14 128 9 087 15 073 70137 67110 13 129 15 118 13 119 6 093 67110 64308 11 166 3 120 4 073 5 066 64308 61611 5 162 3 171 8 149 7 167 61611 58804 12 234 10 245 5 206 7 194 58804 55887 13 209 7 221 6 229 13 224 55887 53093 23 237 25 255 20 257 18 259 53093 50570 34 232 35 243 31 259 29 264 50570 48312 34 227 39 240 39 256 39 264 48312 46276 35 230 40 238 43 254 45 261 46276 44429 38 230 38 241 44 252 43 255 44429 42742 39 235 38 248 45 255 39 254 42742 41185 40 243 41 252 47 261 40 264 41185 39735 42 247 44 252 49 262 43 270 39735 38384 43 246 44 253 47 261 44 271 38384 37099 43 245 44 255 45 262 43 269 37099 35819 44 244 45 258 45 264 42 268 35819 34519 45 243 46 259 44 263 40 267 34519 33205 46 243 45 259 44 259 39 264 33205 31867 46 246 44 256 43 256 39 259 31867 30500 46 247 43 252 43 256 39 257 30500 29109 43 249 43 248 42 259 39 260 29109 27698 40 249 42 244 41 261 39 263 27698 26274 37 249 41 243 39 260 38 264 26274 24843 36 249 38 244 36 258 37 261 24843 23402 36 249 35 246 33 256 35 253 23402 21951 34 246 32 247 32 252 34 242 21951 20509 31 239 29 246 32 246 31 230 20509 19142 29 235 26 242 28 242 27 224 19142 17903 27 233 22*238 21 237 22 227 17903 16792 24 231 16*232 17 235 18 234 16792 15785 20 228 15 229 15 235 16 241 15785 14864 15*218 15 228 15 236 15 245 14864 14018 12*207 14 228 15 237 15 249 14018 13241 11 195 14 227 15 238 14 252 13241 12531 11 191 14 227 14 239 13 255 12531 11880 11 188 14 227 14 240 12 258 11880 11275 11 186 14 226 14 241 11 260 11275 10724 11 184 14 226 14 242 10 262 10724 10250 11 183 14 225 14 242 9 264 10250 9878 11 182 14 225 13 242 7 266 9878 9617 11 181 13 224 12 242 6 269 9617 9456 10 181 12 224 11*242 4*273 9456 9364 9 180 10 222 9*240 3*280 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography