DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.7 - - 38.2 - - 40.0 - - 36.5 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 98 - - 98 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1726 - - 3643 - - 4376 - - 3782 - - 1241 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 171 - - 172 - - 49 - - 26 W* B/S 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 106 - - 161 - - 183 - - 239 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 25 - - 25 - - 7 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -527 - - -597 - - -1337 - - -1068 - - -2713 ODpotential blCL 9889 - - 9959 - - 10699 - - 10430 - - 12075 blCL maxRH 95 - - 97 - - 87 - - 98 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 270 - - 270 - - 340 - - 170 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.7 - - 38.2 - - 40.0 - - 36.5 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.8 - - 35.0 - - 33.7 - - 32.8 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.7 - - 36.5 - - 38.3 - - 35.7 - - 33.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 33.8 - - 32.5 - - 32.0 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 98 - - 98 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 88 - - 46 - - 91 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97377 16 262 23 241 26 267 20 267 24 283 97377 90071 7 245 10 259 10 271 6 258 10 282 90071 84480 1 133 4 182 1 272 4 292 6 049 84480 79835 4 083 1 158 3 335 4 013 7 020 79835 75830 6 019 3 064 1 179 6 256 7 319 75830 72309 4 305 7 357 7 098 5 201 7 310 72309 69131 5 243 7 293 5 077 2 186 4 253 69131 66211 8 252 10 252 3 321 4 290 0 034 66211 63495 8 207 15 194 10 245 3 282 3 265 63495 60863 7 154 14 173 13 223 8 220 15 225 60863 58109 20 248 10 119 12 159 13 155 12 200 58109 55228 36 222 23 221 21 228 19 225 20 229 55228 52469 33 206 33 211 32 214 30 213 25 228 52469 49974 24 198 28 203 33 207 28 204 30 221 49974 47721 23 202 27 198 31 204 26 204 31 206 47721 45663 25 217 24 202 28 213 26 213 29 211 45663 43776 33 230 28 216 31 224 25 226 24 229 43776 42039 43 224 39 215 34 222 28 233 30 237 42039 40429 47 209 43 205 36 216 35 232 30 236 40429 38928 46 204 43 207 40 213 38 226 34 242 38928 37530 53 208 52 206 47 207 38 219 33 239 37530 36210 61 207 59 203 50 204 39 213 29 238 36210 34904 68 205 65 203 56 204 43 211 29 239 34904 33589 73 204 68 202 62 200 46 210 30 238 33589 32274 73 202 70 200 63 199 45 210 28 231 32274 30954 74 198 72 197 60 200 43 209 22 222 30954 29623 78 195 75 195 53 201 39 203 18 225 29623 28282 78 195 71 198 47 203 31 201 20 205 28282 26931 65 197 59 203 41 205 26 203 25 160 26931 25568 44 196 47 202 34 205 22 202 25 159 25568 24197 35 195 34 196 31 205 19 198 20 176 24197 22816 32 198 31 194 29 204 18 201 17 205 22816 21421 31 200 30 196 27 201 19 204 16 238 21421 20033 29 200 28 192 27 196 20 200 14 253 20033 18714 26 195 25 183 25 191 19 199 12 248 18714 17520 24 188 24 178 23 187 18 199 11 233 17520 16451 22 184 23 177 22 185 17 200 14 223 16451 15485 21 183 23 178 21 184 16 203 16 220 15485 14602 20 185 23 176 19 183 17 203 17 220 14602 13793 20 187 22 174 18 184 17 203 16 223 13793 13051 19 187 21 172 16 184 17 205 14 228 13051 12373 17 185 19 170 15 184 15 207 13 234 12373 11752 16 184 18 169 14 184 12 213 12 240 11752 11177 13 180 16 168 13 184 11 221 11 243 11177 10653 11 166 15 166 12 184 10 229 9 244 10653 10203 9 143 14 165 11 184 9 234 5 243 10203 9849 9 120 13 163 11 184 8 237 1 261 9849 9602 8 111 12 163 10 183 8 239 2 032 9602 9450 7*106 11*162 10*183 7*239 4*031 9450 9362 4*106 8*161 7*183 5*239 3*023 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography