DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 44.9 - - 47.3 - - 43.9 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 322 - - 385 - - 98 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 3614 - - 4719 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 11267 - - 12192 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 12414 - - 13519 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 936 - - 2856 - - 2707 - - 5603 - - 488 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 460 - - 533 - - 166 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 18 - - 21 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 305 - - 298 - - 296 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -54 - - -61 - - -20 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1891 - - -867 - - -278 - - -3443 - - -1264 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11254 - - 13282 - - 13798 - - 12805 - - 10627 sfcLCL ODpotential -6016 - - -3815 - - -3004 - - -5937 - - -5289 ODpotential blCL 15378 - - 16229 - - 16523 - - 15299 - - 14651 blCL maxRH 64 - - 54 - - 69 - - 68 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 44.9 - - 47.3 - - 43.9 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.0 - - 19.3 - - 19.4 - - 20.5 - - 22.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.0 - - 42.1 - - 44.1 - - 42.3 - - 37.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.3 - - 18.6 - - 18.8 - - 20.3 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 322 - - 385 - - 98 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 3614 - - 4719 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96545 17 212 24 268 14 311 7 253 8 268 96545 89305 9 295 15 263 13 267 14 300 11 324 89305 83769 13 312 7 262 18 234 26 281 14 341 83769 79180 22 283 13 289 15 264 25 260 18 316 79180 75213 28 275 20 266 18 266 20 253 21 298 75213 71695 31 276 27 268 30 277 26 266 28 273 71695 68517 31 268 32 267 41 268 32 270 29 260 68517 65603 31 245 33 261 42 258 36 264 35 254 65603 62901 32 242 32 249 42 253 43 265 36 250 62901 60265 36 244 36 247 44 252 48 260 34 262 60265 57499 40 246 43 247 45 253 44 261 41 269 57499 54619 41 256 44 249 42 254 45 258 46 263 54619 51847 39 260 42 252 44 260 44 256 45 261 51847 49335 33 256 39 255 49 257 54 265 44 268 49335 47089 34 252 39 252 49 251 53 264 45 280 47089 45077 37 243 38 250 44 253 47 271 47 281 45077 43266 36 240 34 249 42 258 41 274 42 286 43266 41618 33 236 30 265 25 285 29 307 41 316 41618 40097 25 235 25 292 33 338 45 332 58 324 40097 38678 13 286 29 338 51 339 58 330 67 323 38678 37355 20 340 36 355 54 339 55 326 71 322 37355 36097 23 354 40 350 55 342 46 322 72 323 36097 34845 25 358 42 346 56 340 43 320 72 325 34845 33574 26 358 41 343 55 336 47 321 71 326 33574 32291 22 358 37 341 55 336 53 324 67 327 32291 30988 19 345 34 339 54 337 57 328 62 328 30988 29658 14 287 31 338 49 336 58 332 59 330 29658 28308 15 237 28 339 42 334 55 336 57 331 28308 26942 16 237 19 342 34 331 48 336 55 331 26942 25565 22 257 14 339 26 327 39 331 52 332 25565 24184 21 266 13 344 21 320 35 323 48 334 24184 22798 16 255 13 319 20 316 33 316 44 333 22798 21400 16 245 13 280 21 311 32 312 42 322 21400 20012 17 252 14 260 14 292 32 310 44 311 20012 18696 17 248 14 258 12 270 31 308 45 307 18696 17506 16 240 14 260 15 271 29 309 42 307 17506 16443 15 236 14 264 19 278 27 312 39 307 16443 15484 15 239 14 270 20 287 26 315 36 306 15484 14607 14 249 15 279 21 294 25 317 34 305 14607 13803 15 266 17 291 21*297 24 315 33 304 13803 13063 17 280 18*299 22*299 23 310 32 301 13063 12386 18 291 19*303 22 299 23 308 33 298 12386 11765 20 300 19 306 22 299 22 305 33 295 11765 11189 20 308 19 306 22 299 22 303 33 293 11189 10662 18 317 19 306 21 298 21 301 31 291 10662 10210 16 325 18 306 21 297 21 300 28 291 10210 9853 14 331 17 305 20 296 20 299 24 292 9853 9604 11 338 16 304 18 295 18 298 19 295 9604 9450 8*342 14 303 17 295 16*298 14*299 9450 9362 5*345 10 302 12 294 10*296 7*302 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography