DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.9 - - 33.3 - - 35.4 - - 32.8 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 88 - - 77 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 918 - - 2599 - - 3842 - - 2833 - - 1728 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 164 - - 158 - - 25 - - 28 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 120 - - 141 - - 120 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 8 - - 18 - - 3 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -5333 - - -1289 - - -1243 - - -1256 - - -1513 ODpotential blCL 14695 - - 10650 - - 10605 - - 10618 - - 10875 blCL maxRH 85 - - 95 - - 93 - - 86 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 26.9 - - 33.3 - - 35.4 - - 32.8 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.2 - - 27.9 - - 29.4 - - 30.0 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.4 - - 31.6 - - 33.9 - - 33.2 - - 33.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.5 - - 26.7 - - 28.3 - - 29.5 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 88 - - 77 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 79 - - 72 - - 44 - - 104 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96597 3 074 17 304 7 007 7 261 18 287 96597 89522 9 082 4 300 0 261 15 348 4 062 89522 84061 9 086 4 119 4 198 12 337 8 036 84061 79506 9 088 6 140 3 065 1 104 6 343 79506 75548 10 084 9 135 3 010 6 099 5 044 75548 72023 7 092 6 107 2 155 3 131 3 033 72023 68822 6 078 5 208 4 241 7 347 4 014 68822 65876 3 310 5 223 7 232 9 303 12 339 65876 63137 11 258 4 262 9 209 15 254 18 295 63137 60467 17 254 10 245 8 225 16 237 21 272 60467 57680 23 227 21 246 13 258 14 254 19 253 57680 54786 23 215 24 233 22 238 24 245 24 241 54786 52016 26 236 27 237 25 230 35 239 36 238 52016 49528 43 244 41 240 46 232 43 233 42 232 49528 47303 54 241 55 236 52 230 49 232 47 232 47303 45285 58 234 60 227 53 236 61 232 58 231 45285 43439 61 231 60 227 61 237 69 230 67 228 43439 41737 67 233 64 232 68 234 73 228 71 226 41737 40155 75 235 74 234 74 233 77 228 74 226 40155 38682 80 233 85 233 83 234 83 229 77 227 38682 37313 81 233 91 231 93 233 88 230 80 229 37313 36021 80 233 93 229 100 231 91 231 81 229 36021 34743 77 233 91 227 102 230 93 231 81 229 34743 33454 74 233 84 226 100 229 91 232 80 229 33454 32161 67 232 78 227 93 228 86 230 80 229 32161 30856 57 230 73 227 82 227 78 227 79 228 30856 29534 50 227 69 226 73 227 66 225 78 225 29534 28199 47 225 65 226 66 227 57 226 71 224 28199 26852 46 224 60 226 58 228 52 225 57 222 26852 25494 47 223 55 225 50 229 47 223 48 222 25494 24127 47 226 50 223 46 228 44 222 44 222 24127 22751 44 231 48 222 45 227 43 221 41 222 22751 21361 40 236 44 222 43 225 41 221 38 221 21361 19978 34 236 40 222 40 225 39 221 35 222 19978 18666 28 232 37 221 37 225 38 223 35 225 18666 17481 22 225 34 218 34 223 36 222 32 223 17481 16421 18 221 31 215 31 221 33 221 29 216 16421 15462 14 220 27 211 27 219 28 220 26 210 15462 14584 12 220 22 206 24 216 23 218 23 204 14584 13779 11 217 18 199 19 207 19 214 20 196 13779 13040 11 214 15 193 15 195 15 205 18 184 13040 12365 10 210 13 187 13 181 13 192 17 171 12365 11747 8 207 11 178 12 167 11 176 16 162 11747 11174 7 199 10 161 11 154 11 159 15 154 11174 10651 6 186 9 140 10 146 11 145 13 143 10651 10202 5 165 8 123 10 143 10 136 11 129 10202 9849 4 138 8 119 10 142 9 131 10 114 9849 9602 3 119 8 119 9 142 8 128 8 099 9602 9449 3*106 7*119 8*141 6*125 6*084 9449 9362 3*038 6*120 7*141 4*120 3*052 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography