DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.8 - - 32.1 - - 30.2 - - 25.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 38 - - 0 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1546 - - 2832 - - 2171 - - 365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 124 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 093 - - 214 - - 278 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 10 - - -5 - - -43 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -154 - - -633 - - -396 - - -4272 ODpotential blCL - - - 9515 - - 9994 - - 9757 - - 13633 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.8 - - 32.1 - - 30.2 - - 25.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.2 - - 29.3 - - 29.4 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 30.8 - - 29.8 - - 28.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 28.3 - - 29.5 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 38 - - 0 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 95 - - 100 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96432 6 335 11 310 10 297 13 307 96432 89352 11 070 10 164 5 360 9 034 89352 83872 7 070 16 123 5 057 9 070 83872 79306 6 116 4 097 0 312 8 063 79306 75369 1 187 1 233 9 218 6 326 75369 71881 6 217 5 265 10 248 10 291 71881 68720 6 228 7 258 12 231 18 265 68720 65819 11 281 13 285 11 240 19 252 65819 63108 19 267 20 269 17 270 19 257 63108 60448 30 256 31 256 26 263 25 266 60448 57659 32 247 31 246 26 257 27 256 57659 54754 32 252 29 252 29 265 23 257 54754 51969 34 252 30 253 33 267 23 270 51969 49457 33 246 29 252 28 263 26 281 49457 47201 31 242 28 252 26 265 25 282 47201 45152 29 233 23 265 29 263 24 307 45152 43274 21 235 29 267 24 268 23 315 43274 41537 19 242 28 249 24 286 28 325 41537 39927 22 234 16 240 23 283 27 312 39927 38434 23 222 11 260 18 287 23 313 38434 37053 25 213 12 272 14 319 17 341 37053 35760 25 203 9 270 15 349 21 357 35760 34501 21 186 3 335 30 002 21 007 34501 33249 32 135 11 056 30 023 15 043 33249 31994 35 112 17 085 27 046 16 037 31994 30719 34 121 23 085 25 037 19 024 30719 29417 32 124 24 082 25 025 20 021 29417 28091 30 124 23 077 21 018 19 014 28091 26749 27 121 20 080 18 014 20 011 26749 25394 23 117 16 086 18 012 21 018 25394 24033 18 112 12 065 20 010 20 016 24033 22663 12 111 12 015 20 008 21 013 22663 21279 6 128 8 355 19 007 22 017 21279 19903 12 176 8 003 18 011 21 019 19903 18600 25 173 11 023 18 012 17 015 18600 17423 25 181 12 015 17 359 15 007 17423 16372 19 200 12 002 14 343 14 007 16372 15420 14 216 12 350 13 326 15 010 15420 14550 11 215 10 339 13 312 17 010 14550 13752 7 200 7 329 14 303 21 008 13752 13018 4 191 5 310 13 299 24 007 13018 12347 3 191 4 285 13 291 27 006 12347 11731 2 190 4 264 13 285 29 005 11731 11161 1 187 4 252 13 282 29 003 11161 10641 2 116 4 244 13 282 29 001 10641 10194 3 100 5 232 12 281 27 358 10194 9844 3 097 5 224 11 282 24 354 9844 9599 3 097 4 220 10 280 19 352 9599 9448 2*095 4 218 8*280 15*350 9448 9361 2*093 4*214 5*278 8*348 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography