DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.6 - - 41.1 - - 45.8 - - 42.1 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - 188 - - 275 - - 19 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 8954 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 3477 - - 5020 - - 2782 - - 148 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 206 - - 234 - - 96 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 22 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 2 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 340 - - 273 - - 309 - - 319 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -40 - - 4 - - -16 - - -18 - - -41 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2299 - - -4974 - - -6017 - - -4662 - - -3463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11660 - - 14337 - - 15380 - - 14025 - - 12825 sfcLCL ODpotential -8459 - - -10141 - - -10415 - - -9717 - - -10626 ODpotential blCL 17820 - - 19503 - - 19777 - - 19079 - - 19988 blCL maxRH 48 - - 63 - - 47 - - 40 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.6 - - 41.1 - - 45.8 - - 42.1 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.2 - - 11.5 - - 11.4 - - 13.8 - - 11.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.0 - - 38.8 - - 43.1 - - 41.0 - - 36.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.3 - - 10.8 - - 10.9 - - 13.6 - - 10.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - 188 - - 275 - - 19 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96765 4 079 2 089 3 305 7 292 8 316 96765 89621 14 088 10 074 9 071 6 119 10 030 89621 84085 14 092 9 102 9 099 6 074 13 045 84085 79482 11 079 8 084 8 119 7 042 11 038 79482 75524 9 092 6 143 4 022 7 025 8 055 75524 72022 8 061 12 138 1 252 2 265 5 070 72022 68839 5 358 9 177 9 308 4 311 5 043 68839 65915 11 289 2 221 12 271 10 314 9 322 65915 63219 15 273 12 301 15 272 13 301 12 307 63219 60608 16 273 19 278 20 279 16 286 20 305 60608 57880 24 285 22 271 22 274 22 269 30 289 57880 55038 31 282 27 281 22 280 20 274 29 271 55038 52302 32 276 30 280 28 281 25 289 27 266 52302 49818 32 269 31 267 28 269 31 284 28 279 49818 47579 31 262 30 260 26 272 30 282 30 290 47579 45544 27 276 28 271 32 279 33 278 36 284 45544 43691 20 295 21 276 31 278 31 276 33 261 43691 41995 24 321 18 316 23 284 22 302 16 302 41995 40431 36 327 26 322 24 314 33 316 37 332 40431 38990 30 338 20 333 29 318 38 307 51 317 38990 37659 28 002 22 348 25 345 33 298 49 309 37659 36398 43 013 42 007 58 017 19 318 35 313 36398 35150 66 013 70 010 68 017 33 023 27 326 35150 33890 84 012 73 011 58 012 47 028 22 344 33890 32618 83 014 57 014 43 009 42 023 22 357 32618 31321 66 017 42 018 30 006 30 011 22 358 31321 29996 57 017 34 018 22 355 24 356 21 001 29996 28645 53 017 30 014 21 340 21 345 19 005 28645 27273 47 020 29 006 21 329 18 334 17 003 27273 25884 36 013 29 357 22 328 18 325 18 002 25884 24486 27 357 26 352 22 332 21 327 19 360 24486 23079 23 353 25 347 23 340 25 332 18 348 23079 21657 20 349 28 344 25 347 24 336 16 341 21657 20240 17 333 28 345 25 354 20 336 12 327 20240 18893 16 324 24 348 22 353 17 337 10 298 18893 17669 15 325 19 350 19 346 16 336 10 287 17669 16572 14 329 15 350 15 341 14 335 9 290 16572 15580 14 332 13 350 12 346 11 339 9 295 15580 14677 14 333 12 352 10 354 8 353 9 296 14677 13852 15 332 11 355 11 349 7 016 8 296 13852 13097 16 329 10 355 12 343 8 021 8 294 13097 12408 17 327 8 351 12 337 10 007 7 294 12408 11779 18 325 7 344 13 329 13 355 7 294 11779 11197 18 326 6 338 13 323 14 344 8 298 11197 10666 17 329 4 324 13 321 14 335 8 306 10666 10211 16 333 3 312 12 317 13 329 9 321 10211 9853 15 336 3 302 12 314 13 325 11 334 9853 9603 13 341 2 288 11 313 12 323 12 341 9603 9450 11 343 2*279 10*312 10*322 10*342 9450 9362 7*340 2*273 8*309 7*319 7*339 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography