DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 63.9 - - 64.4 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 343 - - 109 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3387 - - 4219 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11128 - - 11754 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12187 - - 13019 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3447 - - 4201 - - 8232 - - 6702 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 468 - - 492 - - 172 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 218 - - 213 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 23 - - 14 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 919 - - 943 - - -3702 - - -2430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11269 - - 12077 - - 13067 - - 11794 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -919 - - -813 - - -5632 - - -6006 ODpotential blCL - - - 13106 - - 13832 - - 14996 - - 15370 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 75 - - 71 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 430 - - 140 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 63.9 - - 64.4 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 43.1 - - 39.4 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 60.7 - - 62.4 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 43.0 - - 39.3 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 343 - - 109 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3387 - - 4219 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98991 11 111 9 139 6 091 9 114 98991 91553 8 119 13 123 4 037 13 054 91553 85799 17 127 11 103 6 093 13 055 85799 81023 13 095 17 105 12 099 10 102 81023 76922 12 084 18 092 13 117 11 098 76922 73302 10 084 10 077 13 103 11 092 73302 70029 13 097 8 086 11 091 11 091 70029 67021 5 095 9 099 2 121 2 047 67021 64244 10 167 8 162 11 125 12 158 64244 61587 10 179 14 206 4 252 4 148 61587 58827 11 222 21 216 22 233 19 233 58827 55984 31 226 35 231 32 240 27 255 55984 53286 32 228 34 234 34 240 35 258 53286 50872 23 235 27 232 33 241 44 248 50872 48717 26 247 30 235 41 244 48 244 48717 46755 36 243 40 239 48 244 49 246 46755 44939 45 238 48 240 51 243 51 247 44939 43245 49 234 52 237 52 241 53 246 43245 41658 50 233 55 235 53 238 55 243 41658 40168 50 234 54 234 53 236 55 241 40168 38776 51 235 53 234 53 236 53 240 38776 37455 51 237 51 235 52 235 50 237 37455 36145 51 239 50 237 51 235 48 235 36145 34816 49 242 48 238 49 235 47 234 34816 33474 44 243 44 240 44 236 45 235 33474 32112 36 244 38 240 38 238 39 234 32112 30724 30 242 32 241 32 241 34 233 30724 29316 25 236 28 240 28 241 29 236 29316 27890 19 229 25 235 23 238 24 239 27890 26449 16 221 21 223 21 237 19 238 26449 24998 16 213 19 213 20 238 16 238 24998 23536 17 208 20 217 21 236 16 241 23536 22060 17 209 20 220 21 242 16 249 22060 20592 20 222 23 236 23 247 16 253 20592 19202 23 230 18 242 18 245 15 245 19202 17948 22 236 13 242 13 239 15 231 17948 16828 21 240 12 240 12 237 16 223 16828 15814 20 240 12 236 11 234 15 221 15814 14888 19 237 12 233 10 231 14 218 14888 14039 17 235 12 229 8 226 12 215 14039 13258 14 234 11*224 8 224 10 210 13258 12544 11*235 11*221 8 222 8 207 12544 11890 8*239 10 219 7 221 7 205 11890 11284 7 243 10 218 7 219 6 206 11284 10730 7 244 10 218 7 218 5 206 10730 10254 7 244 10 218 7 217 5 208 10254 9880 7 243 10 217 7 216 4 209 9880 9618 7 243 9 217 6 214 2 214 9618 9457 7 242 9 216 6*214 1*235 9457 9364 6 240 7 216 5*213 1*311 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography