DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.9 - - 61.0 - - 59.6 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 159 - - 23 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9347 - - 9347 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4452 - - 5742 - - 5521 - - 3860 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 203 - - 110 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 208 - - 215 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 22 - - 13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - -786 - - -629 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9364 - - 10150 - - 9992 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1669 - - -2822 - - -3120 - - -3504 ODpotential blCL - - - 11033 - - 12186 - - 12483 - - 12867 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 79 - - 89 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 900 - - 970 - - 850 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.9 - - 61.0 - - 59.6 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 48.4 - - 47.7 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 58.9 - - 58.6 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 47.2 - - 46.8 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 159 - - 23 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 15 - - 57 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98821 14 118 17 126 17 123 13 090 98821 91454 14 148 17 111 12 132 11 092 91454 85763 17 118 10 136 13 095 13 122 85763 81020 12 152 16 135 8 077 16 117 81020 76898 9 175 9 154 5 140 9 095 76898 73258 8 138 9 180 9 169 3 167 73258 69971 7 166 8 196 7 178 6 140 69971 66935 4 203 9 196 11 233 6 227 66935 64134 7 248 10 207 10 222 6 247 64134 61456 6 232 12 200 14 255 11 246 61456 58689 17 256 18 270 15 267 12 253 58689 55859 34 238 35 254 32 259 28 266 55859 53205 37 233 40 235 35 243 32 249 53205 50829 42 256 42 256 37 258 36 259 50829 48683 54 260 50 261 46 265 42 259 48683 46716 58 253 55 257 51 260 45 255 46716 44896 60 247 57 251 55 252 50 251 44896 43198 59 245 58 245 57 247 55 249 43198 41610 64 242 61 240 62 241 60 246 41610 40123 68 237 63 238 67 236 63 240 40123 38736 68 233 66 236 71 234 64 233 38736 37420 66 233 67 237 70 234 65 227 37420 36109 64 240 64 241 64 239 65 227 36109 34776 60 246 60 245 56 239 64 235 34776 33434 51 248 50 248 50 236 55 242 33434 32074 41 247 40 247 44 237 45 245 32074 30687 34 250 35 248 38 241 40 239 30687 29276 31 255 34 248 34 247 36 236 29276 27847 30 254 29 252 31 253 33 240 27847 26407 26 251 27 253 29 256 29 240 26407 24961 21 246 25 248 27 251 25 241 24961 23507 18 238 23 244 26 245 23 244 23507 22038 19 234 21 244 24 241 21 245 22038 20576 20 237 20 243 22 239 20 242 20576 19188 19 244 18 246 19 240 19 240 19188 17932 18 254 17 249 17 241 19 242 17932 16809 18 260 15 251 15 243 17 242 16809 15795 17 261 13 253 15 245 15 235 15795 14870 15 259 12 253 14 245 14 221 14870 14022 12 259 10 250 13 241 13 207 14022 13243 10 263 8 243 11 236 13 198 13243 12531 6 275 8 236 10 232 13 195 12531 11879 3 292 8 225 9 228 12 194 11879 11275 1 106 8 218 8 226 11 193 11275 10722 3 120 8 215 7 224 10 191 10722 10249 4 127 8 214 7 221 8 182 10249 9877 5 131 8 212 6 219 6 165 9877 9616 5 134 8 211 6 217 4 147 9616 9456 5*135 7*210 6*217 2*137 9456 9363 4*137 6*208 5*215 1*137 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography