DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0704z - - 1004z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.9 - - 33.7 - - 32.7 - - 30.8 - - 29.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 41 - - 102 - - 29 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1448 - - 1758 - - 2829 - - 2098 - - 1059 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 127 - - 172 - - 114 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 239 - - 263 - - 286 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 27 - - 14 - - -1 - - -21 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -368 - - -1021 ODpotential blCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9729 - - 10382 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 99 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 200 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 33.9 - - 33.7 - - 32.7 - - 30.8 - - 29.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 33.6 - - 31.9 - - 29.2 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.0 - - 32.5 - - 31.1 - - 29.8 - - 30.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 33.2 - - 31.1 - - 28.9 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 41 - - 102 - - 29 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 97 - - 91 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96643 29 261 35 261 26 271 26 261 29 262 96643 89358 31 272 32 269 27 271 27 274 35 284 89358 83833 29 278 28 272 18 265 27 278 31 291 83833 79276 24 284 20 269 13 284 16 282 18 292 79276 75338 22 282 14 269 16 280 16 296 12 311 75338 71845 19 297 10 284 21 262 20 278 12 313 71845 68675 20 297 7 286 16 251 13 263 9 284 68675 65753 25 281 21 289 17 282 8 273 14 271 65753 63023 34 282 28 277 18 280 10 278 11 261 63023 60353 38 269 31 276 32 287 15 292 21 262 60353 57547 32 271 31 274 36 279 28 291 30 238 57547 54617 33 280 44 278 38 268 27 269 20 252 54617 51814 50 278 52 267 36 271 39 273 35 268 51814 49296 59 268 52 262 44 266 46 266 37 275 49296 47043 60 262 54 262 52 257 44 269 44 289 47043 44996 63 261 62 261 49 263 57 282 53 286 44996 43122 70 259 72 257 66 270 67 280 58 284 43122 41406 84 256 82 255 80 263 65 277 60 290 41406 39830 100 252 93 251 78 253 58 279 64 301 39830 38375 105 251 102 246 70 250 52 284 68 309 38375 37028 101 248 100 242 66 257 48 288 72 314 37028 35754 95 241 88 239 69 263 47 292 75 316 35754 34495 91 235 80 239 68 263 46 295 79 317 34495 33225 85 236 78 235 67 260 50 296 81 318 33225 31947 78 236 84 232 69 258 54 294 80 318 31947 30655 75 235 90 235 69 257 53 297 76 316 30655 29342 73 236 84 241 65 255 57 304 71 312 29342 28012 70 238 67 244 56 252 59 307 65 308 28012 26669 64 238 56 236 42 247 56 305 60 304 26669 25318 57 236 58 229 30 246 52 302 53 302 25318 23964 51 237 56 231 24 244 49 300 47 301 23964 22603 51 241 50 233 31 251 47 298 43 299 22603 21230 53 245 47 235 31 248 45 297 41 297 21230 19865 56 247 44 239 33 253 44 298 40 296 19865 18570 58 245 42 245 34 258 40 296 38 293 18570 17398 55 242 41 250 35 261 38 293 35 290 17398 16350 48 238 41 252 36 262 36 290 34 289 16350 15402 44 233 38 250 36 262 35 288 34 289 15402 14535 41 229 34 245 36 264 34 288 34 290 14535 13740 38 224 31 240 36 266 34 288 34 291 13740 13010 36 220 28 237 35 267 33 288 35 292 13010 12342 34 216 27 237 34 268 32 288 35 293 12342 11730 31 212 25 239 33 268 31 288 34 292 11730 11162 28 208 24 241 32 268 29 287 33 292 11162 10643 24 204 23 242 30 268 28 287 32 292 10643 10197 21 200 22 242 28 268 26 287 29 294 10197 9846 19 199 20 242 25 267 22 288 24 296 9846 9600 17 198 18 241 22 266 20 287 20 297 9600 9449 14*198 16*240 19*266 17*287 16*297 9449 9361 9*198 10*239 12*263 10*286 8*296 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography