DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 64.6 - - 62.5 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 396 - - 96 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5507 - - 5694 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12853 - - 12973 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14307 - - 14494 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1814 - - 3791 - - 8866 - - 5953 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 579 - - 570 - - 165 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 251 - - 244 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - -20 - - 9 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1416 - - 894 - - -3295 - - -1373 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12891 - - 13601 - - 12660 - - 10737 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -605 - - -749 - - -5229 - - -4803 ODpotential blCL - - - 14912 - - 15243 - - 14593 - - 14166 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 87 - - 92 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 110 - - 190 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 64.6 - - 62.5 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.1 - - 37.3 - - 39.3 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 61.2 - - 60.7 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 37.1 - - 39.2 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 396 - - 96 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5507 - - 5694 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 49 - - 66 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98905 15 117 14 104 12 121 10 038 98905 91488 17 109 14 085 17 078 17 114 91488 85778 18 107 11 070 12 092 14 082 85778 81033 19 107 12 101 12 083 15 080 81033 76942 20 096 12 116 8 063 14 088 76942 73333 11 074 12 117 5 106 13 060 73333 70066 8 063 11 123 8 117 5 092 70066 67058 3 032 5 083 13 094 10 102 67058 64273 12 226 13 247 13 195 6 239 64273 61578 18 194 21 207 21 200 14 244 61578 58802 5 201 20 221 19 246 27 250 58802 55969 42 251 40 244 41 245 32 252 55969 53280 60 241 57 242 55 244 47 246 53280 50865 65 237 66 237 65 239 63 241 50865 48691 69 243 70 237 71 238 71 239 48691 46703 73 244 76 239 77 240 78 241 46703 44867 74 243 78 239 82 238 85 241 44867 43159 74 246 76 239 82 239 87 240 43159 41559 75 249 74 241 83 242 84 243 41559 40061 73 247 73 240 82 241 81 245 40061 38665 71 242 73 236 80 237 79 244 38665 37344 69 238 73 235 79 236 79 243 37344 36034 68 237 72 235 77 237 79 243 36034 34707 65 238 70 238 74 238 77 243 34707 33368 63 239 68 240 71 238 73 243 33368 32010 60 241 66 242 69 239 68 241 32010 30626 57 242 63 243 66 240 64 239 30626 29220 53 240 59 242 64 241 62 241 29220 27796 50 237 55 240 60 241 58 245 27796 26359 49 236 51 239 55 240 54 249 26359 24914 47 235 47 239 51 240 49 251 24914 23461 44 234 42 240 47 242 44 254 23461 21994 37 236 38 237 41 246 35 252 21994 20538 30 241 34 237 35 249 29 248 20538 19158 28 243 26 241 29 247 29 244 19158 17910 29 242 22 245 26 243 28 236 17910 16795 28 240 20 248 24 240 27 228 16795 15786 25 239 19 248 22 238 26 224 15786 14865 22*237 17*249 19 237 24 226 14865 14019 19*235 16*249 17 238 22 230 14019 13242 18 233 16 250 16 239 21 234 13242 12531 15 229 16 251 15 240 19 236 12531 11879 14 227 15 251 14 241 18 237 11879 11274 13 226 15 251 13 242 16 237 11274 10722 13 224 15 251 12 244 14 239 10722 10248 12 223 15 251 11 245 12 243 10248 9877 12 223 14 250 11 245 9 251 9877 9616 11 222 13 250 10 245 7 261 9616 9456 11 221 12 250 9*245 6*270 9456 9363 9 220 10 247 7*244 4*296 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography