DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.9 - - 34.8 - - 37.2 - - 31.7 - - 30.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 37 - - 44 - - -30 - - -63 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 84 - - 1480 - - 1826 - - 471 - - 172 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 130 - - 137 - - 49 - - 43 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 347 - - 312 - - 321 - - 351 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -29 - - -15 - - -24 - - -26 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1474 - - -1984 - - -1756 - - -680 - - -756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10835 - - 11347 - - 11118 - - 10042 - - 10119 sfcLCL ODpotential -11681 - - -8794 - - -8241 - - -8831 - - -9768 ODpotential blCL 21042 - - 18156 - - 17603 - - 18193 - - 19130 blCL maxRH 53 - - 51 - - 47 - - 61 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.9 - - 34.8 - - 37.2 - - 31.7 - - 30.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.1 - - 18.3 - - 21.5 - - 20.9 - - 19.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.9 - - 33.6 - - 36.0 - - 33.2 - - 32.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.0 - - 17.2 - - 20.4 - - 19.8 - - 18.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 37 - - 44 - - -30 - - -63 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96179 9 272 15 296 5 317 9 193 15 295 96179 89169 4 302 8 267 7 343 6 249 8 284 89169 83706 5 050 5 301 8 319 8 328 6 035 83706 79129 7 063 4 240 5 267 12 332 13 007 79129 75180 4 025 3 226 12 272 12 340 12 012 75180 71679 1 297 2 266 17 276 12 322 13 352 71679 68484 12 337 9 329 17 289 20 299 19 335 68484 65531 13 317 14 302 16 301 24 287 23 322 65531 62794 18 308 23 287 20 308 22 284 23 313 62794 60141 27 301 30 289 28 314 22 308 28 304 60141 57364 32 298 38 297 39 308 35 319 36 310 57364 54489 40 298 41 295 45 298 46 310 46 312 54489 51762 42 294 40 294 44 294 50 300 51 304 51762 49331 46 303 45 299 46 308 50 302 50 308 49331 47189 53 303 55 309 57 307 54 305 56 309 47189 45271 51 301 61 308 61 312 53 312 55 306 45271 43527 48 314 72 320 67 316 68 323 58 321 43527 41933 69 321 82 315 72 315 69 315 61 317 41933 40456 92 318 82 308 73 320 63 313 50 308 40456 39066 89 321 77 307 69 329 53 326 45 322 39066 37759 81 330 74 323 66 342 55 342 45 335 37759 36511 80 339 78 334 68 347 62 347 45 330 36511 35264 85 341 80 336 68 341 65 343 45 319 35264 33996 86 337 82 333 69 335 62 333 46 316 33996 32713 84 333 85 332 68 334 57 325 48 322 32713 31408 82 329 82 327 69 335 54 322 51 326 31408 30074 81 328 77 321 70 337 53 328 53 323 30074 28714 80 330 77 321 67 333 54 334 52 313 28714 27332 75 331 80 326 66 326 53 332 53 307 27332 25936 70 329 80 329 66 319 52 324 56 310 25936 24531 69 325 74 331 66 313 52 315 56 316 24531 23114 70 320 66 331 64 312 56 312 53 321 23114 21679 68 318 60 330 61 313 59 313 48 324 21679 20251 62 320 55 328 57 315 57 316 44 327 20251 18895 54 321 51 326 52 317 53 317 41 328 18895 17668 49 320 48 323 47 318 48 318 40 328 17668 16571 46 317 44 320 42 319 44 319 40 327 16571 15579 43 313 40 319 39 320 41 320 40 327 15579 14676 39 310 36 320 35 322 39 323 39 329 14676 13850 34 308 33 320 32 324 37 326 39 331 13850 13093 30 308 30 321 29 326 36 330 38 334 13093 12403 26 309 28 321 27 328 35 333 37 337 12403 11772 23 312 26 321 25 329 34 336 36 341 11772 11190 21 315 23 321 23 330 32 340 35 346 11190 10660 19 319 20 320 20 328 30 343 33 352 10660 10206 17 323 17 318 17 326 27 347 30 357 10206 9850 14 329 14 317 16 325 23 350 26 000 9850 9602 11 337 11 317 14 324 17 351 20 002 9602 9449 9*342 9*315 12*323 12*351 15*002 9449 9362 5*347 6*312 8*321 6*351 7*003 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography