DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 68.6 - - - - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 420 - - 289 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9048 - - 8978 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 9364 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7791 - - 7009 - - - - - 1552 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 240 - - - - - 38 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 336 - - - - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - -12 - - - - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4247 - - -2840 - - - - - -2218 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13612 - - 12205 - - - - - 11582 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5741 - - -4689 - - - - - -5948 ODpotential blCL - - - 15105 - - 14053 - - - - - 15312 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 600 - - - - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 68.6 - - - - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 47.1 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 65.6 - - - - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 46.4 - - - - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 420 - - 289 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 99 - - - - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99409 39 091 38 105 33 084 99409 91880 32 100 33 097 29 095 91880 86105 29 107 31 092 27 097 86105 81305 32 103 27 097 26 091 81305 77175 35 091 25 098 25 080 77175 73547 27 090 20 094 24 079 73547 70285 18 096 14 091 23 082 70285 67303 19 093 13 088 21 083 67303 64551 21 080 13 095 17 079 64551 61906 19 080 15 107 10 083 61906 59173 19 101 16 116 9 102 59173 56360 19 096 16 109 10 102 56360 53696 12 073 15 080 16 089 53696 51303 14 064 13 065 23 062 51303 49149 17 059 15 052 20 047 49149 47171 16 039 16 033 17 047 47171 45336 14 027 16 033 16 064 45336 43623 15 025 16 042 17 072 43623 42015 17 047 17 049 17 063 42015 40506 20 052 21 057 13 062 40506 39098 24 049 24 055 11 086 39098 37765 23 049 27 048 15 097 37765 36442 20 049 25 042 21 081 36442 35099 23 071 20 051 22 065 35099 33741 31 076 22 078 21 068 33741 32360 26 068 29 085 23 073 32360 30950 20 058 25 079 21 075 30950 29519 16 061 16 071 18 074 29519 28069 16 072 10 079 15 062 28069 26609 16 058 7 095 17 042 26609 25146 12 031 8 084 15 038 25146 23674 10 025 5 103 7 047 23674 22187 9 034 6 078 7 078 22187 20712 10 037 10 069 14 089 20712 19314 11 043 13 069 17 097 19314 18051 12 048 12 070 16 105 18051 16918 11 053 10 070 14 108 16918 15892 10 054 9 069 12 107 15892 14953 7 056 7 065 10 099 14953 14092 4 064 5 053 8 084 14092 13302 3 086 5 038 9 065 13302 12579 2 165 4 015 10 050 12579 11917 3 183 5 354 11 037 11917 11303 4 188 5 347 13 027 11303 10743 5 190 6 344 14 020 10743 10262 5 191 6 342 15 014 10262 9885 6 191 6 339 16 011 9885 9621 6 191 5 337 14 008 9621 9458 6*191 5*337 11*006 9458 9364 5*189 4*336 6*003 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography