DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 73.1 - - 72.5 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 401 - - 187 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 9246 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8954 - - 15852 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 18046 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 9942 - - 3097 - - 10833 - - 5419 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 672 - - 205 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 14 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 272 - - 264 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 17 - - 1 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5872 - - 1039 - - -7680 - - -5671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15236 - - 17007 - - 17044 - - 15035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7545 - - -584 - - -9357 - - -9886 ODpotential blCL - - - 16909 - - 18630 - - 18721 - - 19250 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 87 - - 65 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 70 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 73.1 - - 72.5 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 30.9 - - 30.2 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 69.6 - - 70.1 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 30.6 - - 30.0 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 401 - - 187 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 9246 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 47 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99208 40 101 36 098 29 110 23 096 99208 91738 31 098 33 094 32 098 30 090 91738 85963 28 099 26 096 26 080 34 088 85963 81172 27 092 22 108 20 078 29 071 81172 77068 19 088 18 106 16 090 21 068 77068 73454 16 081 17 083 16 107 13 085 73454 70170 14 087 8 070 12 073 13 080 70170 67158 12 084 9 075 4 075 14 027 67158 64394 8 046 9 018 9 073 8 039 64394 61733 3 031 2 144 8 338 6 016 61733 58971 7 304 1 020 8 303 10 302 58971 56127 9 278 8 282 12 292 14 275 56127 53429 21 287 18 277 23 291 21 293 53429 51009 31 273 22 277 26 286 26 288 51009 48842 28 307 32 304 22 301 22 287 48842 46885 37 308 36 300 28 312 25 303 46885 45104 27 297 32 281 31 304 31 303 45104 43450 11 310 17 272 23 274 21 303 43450 41892 15 352 7 292 13 252 18 283 41892 40422 25 358 9 322 10 278 15 285 40422 39040 24 000 9 321 11 291 13 299 39040 37723 16 355 7 316 11 296 14 301 37723 36411 8 002 7 314 18 307 16 301 36411 35078 4 015 9 320 21 312 17 306 35078 33729 2 033 15 317 23 312 19 316 33729 32357 4 324 23 315 24 312 23 318 32357 30953 13 332 23 324 22 313 23 313 30953 29524 21 328 20 332 20 320 19 309 29524 28076 22 325 20 336 18 332 14 317 28076 26617 13 323 14 339 10 332 10 325 26617 25156 8 321 9 323 5 283 6 280 25156 23686 5 307 5 306 7 265 8 268 23686 22203 3 318 3 278 5 244 7 260 22203 20729 4 318 3 348 0 240 6 241 20729 19330 6 300 4 338 1 016 4 194 19330 18062 7 311 4*316 1 309 5 162 18062 16925 7 316 5*299 2 299 4 160 16925 15895 6 318 6 289 5 278 4 160 15895 14955 4 311 7 281 7 275 4 208 14955 14092 3 297 8 276 8 273 6 248 14092 13301 3 272 9 272 9 271 8 260 13301 12578 3 245 9 270 10 271 10 268 12578 11915 4 219 10 268 10 270 11 273 11915 11302 6 210 10 265 11 269 12 278 11302 10742 6 206 10 264 11 268 12 282 10742 10262 7 206 10 263 11 268 12 286 10262 9885 7 204 10 262 11 268 11 288 9885 9620 7 204 10 261 10 267 10 292 9620 9458 7*204 9 259 10*267 7*293 9458 9364 6*203 8 257 8*264 5*301 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography