DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.3 - - 74.4 - - 75.9 - - 74.4 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 161 - - 507 - - 567 - - 245 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 13313 - - 11711 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 19342 - - 18064 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 22113 - - 20511 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 11828 - - 918 - - 1967 - - 11784 - - 3374 Hgt.Variab. W* 195 - - 822 - - 817 - - 225 - - 17 W* B/S 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 119 - - 263 - - 270 - - 277 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 34 - - -21 - - -6 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7677 - - 2918 - - 561 - - -12048 - - -11008 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 17042 - - 19196 - - 19951 - - 21413 - - 20373 sfcLCL ODpotential -9614 - - 1013 - - -1863 - - -15119 - - -16155 ODpotential blCL 18978 - - 21100 - - 22374 - - 24483 - - 25519 blCL maxRH 71 - - 61 - - 46 - - 26 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 70 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.3 - - 74.4 - - 75.9 - - 74.4 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 22.3 - - 20.4 - - 12.5 - - 9.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.9 - - 70.5 - - 71.8 - - 71.8 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.9 - - 21.9 - - 20.0 - - 11.9 - - 8.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 161 - - 507 - - 567 - - 245 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 13313 - - 11711 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99327 34 103 26 104 32 097 30 103 24 089 99327 91794 25 107 27 104 25 110 28 089 25 103 91794 85992 23 104 23 109 19 114 25 085 27 085 85992 81200 29 091 19 108 17 115 23 106 25 089 81200 77093 21 102 20 118 17 123 20 120 22 098 77093 73470 19 120 19 111 15 110 14 124 13 093 73470 70186 15 104 19 108 18 143 12 109 9 074 70186 67182 10 099 15 111 18 126 11 150 6 094 67182 64409 8 065 8 109 13 131 8 121 7 091 64409 61748 4 159 4 213 7 107 3 130 3 100 61748 59018 11 093 7 187 6 222 5 232 3 179 59018 56211 8 342 7 303 4 276 6 223 13 196 56211 53545 21 276 15 268 12 299 7 279 9 225 53545 51157 28 253 29 257 29 273 24 287 23 288 51157 49009 29 261 27 250 37 267 35 287 36 293 49009 47036 29 275 29 266 37 268 39 284 38 285 47036 45205 32 287 32 280 35 272 39 282 37 278 45205 43494 33 290 35 288 34 278 37 280 37 277 43494 41885 33 287 35 287 34 282 35 282 37 280 41885 40370 36 281 37 282 37 284 34 291 36 286 40370 38952 39 277 41 282 40 285 35 297 33 299 38952 37608 42 275 41 281 39 284 38 298 31 305 37608 36274 42 280 41 284 39 286 39 296 29 302 36274 34920 45 288 42 288 39 287 36 293 28 295 34920 33557 45 288 39 288 34 281 32 285 28 285 33557 32177 37 280 35 286 31 277 29 279 27 284 32177 30774 29 276 33 278 31 278 28 279 23 287 30774 29357 32 288 33 274 31 281 25 287 18 301 29357 27930 37 285 33 280 29 284 19 295 15 322 27930 26497 41 283 33 288 25 287 15 295 13 333 26497 25056 38 288 29 288 22 288 14 289 12 318 25056 23606 30 292 23*282 18 280 14 286 11 301 23606 22142 21 287 17*278 12 275 10 286 5 308 22142 20685 20 272 15 277 9*276 5 306 3 024 20685 19299 16 267 13 274 9*276 5 315 5 037 19299 18040 10 273 12 273 9 276 7 308 7 025 18040 16909 7 293 11 269 10 275 7 306 8 009 16909 15883 7 302 11 264 11 273 9 298 8 356 15883 14946 7 296 11 259 12 272 11 293 9 344 14946 14086 6 277 10 256 13 270 12 291 10 330 14086 13296 5 244 10 253 14 269 12 288 11 318 13296 12574 5 219 10 250 14 269 13 286 13 307 12574 11914 4 200 10 248 14 268 13 285 14 300 11914 11301 3 175 10 245 15 267 13 283 14 295 11301 10742 3 136 10 243 15 266 13 282 15 292 10742 10262 3 119 10 241 15 265 13 280 14 291 10262 9885 3 119 10 240 14 264 13 280 13 290 9885 9620 3 117 10 239 14 264 12 279 11 292 9620 9458 3*118 9 238 13 263 11*278 9*293 9458 9364 3*119 8 235 10 261 9*277 5*303 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography