DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 63.2 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 506 - - 502 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8947 - - 10296 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15728 - - 16841 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17747 - - 19096 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2329 - - 2289 - - - - - 6011 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 724 - - 758 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 223 - - - - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 40 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 983 - - 1392 - - - - - -6815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16765 - - 17705 - - - - - 16179 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1631 - - -1189 - - - - - -10303 ODpotential blCL - - - 19378 - - 20285 - - - - - 19666 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 51 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 63.2 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.9 - - 17.7 - - - - - 14.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 59.6 - - - - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.8 - - 16.6 - - - - - 13.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 506 - - 502 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8947 - - 10296 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98096 5 301 9 310 13 326 98096 90707 14 254 10 288 9 343 90707 85017 9 270 13 286 6 328 85017 80254 9 214 15 253 12 301 80254 76132 11 185 13 253 9 293 76132 72494 4 277 9 287 6 297 72494 69213 3 307 11 254 12 299 69213 66228 7 013 6 180 16 281 66228 63477 22 307 12 340 9 240 63477 60798 38 280 28 293 11 266 60798 57976 40 262 34 269 29 277 57976 55051 40 253 39 260 40 261 55051 52275 44 257 46 259 45 263 52275 49773 54 259 54 259 53 263 49773 47523 62 257 62 256 65 256 47523 45490 66 254 67 254 73 250 45490 43648 67 253 67 254 72 248 43648 41963 66 253 66 253 68 249 41963 40408 67 253 64 252 69 251 40408 38961 68 253 63 252 73 250 38961 37614 66 253 62 250 73 243 37614 36337 64 256 59 249 68 237 36337 35073 61 258 58 248 65 237 35073 33793 58 258 58 248 61 238 33793 32505 57 255 59 249 56 240 32505 31196 55 251 59 249 52 242 31196 29862 53 250 57 248 51 242 29862 28507 50 250 55 245 51 240 28507 27136 47 251 51 244 49 239 27136 25756 43 252 47 243 47 238 25756 24374 40 251 43 244 43 237 24374 22986 38 248 38 243 37 232 22986 21588 34 244 32 239 29 218 21588 20198 30 240 25*232 26 212 20198 18879 28*233 17*224 25 216 18879 17682 24*228 16 223 24 224 17682 16608 21 224 16 222 25 232 16608 15633 18 222 16 223 25 238 15633 14741 15 220 16 223 25 242 14741 13920 14 220 16 223 25 246 13920 13164 12 219 16 223 25 249 13164 12471 11 218 16 223 25 251 12471 11835 11 217 16 223 24 253 11835 11243 11 217 17 223 24 255 11243 10702 11 216 16 223 23 257 10702 10236 11 215 16 223 21 258 10236 9870 10 214 16 222 19 259 9870 9613 10 213 15 222 15 259 9613 9454 9 213 14 221 10*261 9454 9363 8 211 11 220 5*274 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography