DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.2 - - 43.2 - - 34.3 - - 28.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 180 - - -35 - - -122 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 1726 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9674 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 10526 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2113 - - 1567 - - 878 - - 144 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 168 - - 297 - - 37 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 20 - - 10 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 333 - - 356 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -24 - - -80 - - -47 - - -65 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5819 - - -4771 - - -4392 - - -6015 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15182 - - 15297 - - 13754 - - 15377 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12136 - - -11163 - - -11614 - - -13836 ODpotential blCL - - - 21498 - - 21689 - - 20975 - - 23197 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 24 - - 28 - - 17 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.2 - - 43.2 - - 34.3 - - 28.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.9 - - 9.3 - - 7.6 - - -4.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 41.1 - - 34.7 - - 31.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.9 - - 8.7 - - 7.2 - - -5.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 180 - - -35 - - -122 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 1726 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96179 20 043 25 056 37 060 20 070 96179 89337 25 069 21 081 29 057 30 067 89337 83965 25 079 23 077 18 052 28 047 83965 79440 16 077 21 063 15 057 22 038 79440 75486 13 073 16 045 9 075 11 039 75486 71954 15 055 8 048 6 027 10 024 71954 68731 10 037 2 097 3 277 13 041 68731 65745 7 004 3 352 9 312 24 337 65745 62994 15 319 19 346 11 326 25 312 62994 60347 30 302 27 328 17 338 20 306 60347 57579 31 321 37 315 32 316 28 310 57579 54711 37 325 36 314 44 317 44 313 54711 52001 34 313 42 322 52 322 51 315 52001 49577 33 306 46 314 58 314 57 316 49577 47399 32 302 47 290 58 303 63 310 47399 45412 29 308 45 279 58 290 62 301 45412 43581 34 322 51 301 56 296 60 298 43581 41883 47 323 65 310 55 299 61 298 41883 40301 56 310 69 307 59 298 63 299 40301 38827 61 293 68 299 64 299 67 301 38827 37457 64 289 71 297 68 301 72 303 37457 36164 63 293 71 299 71 304 76 303 36164 34886 63 306 73 306 73 306 77 304 34886 33597 63 313 71 310 75 307 79 305 33597 32304 64 318 68 312 75 307 80 305 32304 30997 63 322 66 315 73 307 79 304 30997 29667 60 324 65 314 70 307 76 305 29667 28319 55 323 61 310 68 307 72 307 28319 26957 53 320 59 307 66 309 68 311 26957 25587 50 318 57 306 63 311 63 314 25587 24213 45 314 55 306 61 313 57 316 24213 22834 43 309 53 306 59 315 53 317 22834 21441 41 306 51 307 58 317 51 319 21441 20056 39 305 48 309 55 320 48 324 20056 18741 36 307 44 313 51 323 47 330 18741 17548 33 311 42 317 48 326 45 334 17548 16479 31 314 40 320 46 329 44 337 16479 15511 29 318 38 323 44 333 42 340 15511 14625 28 320 37 326 42 337 40 342 14625 13812 27 322 35 329 41 341 38 344 13812 13065 26 323 34 331 39 344 37 347 13065 12383 26 323 32 332 38 347 36 350 12383 11758 25 322 31 333 36 350 36 353 11758 11180 24 322 29 334 35 354 36 356 11180 10653 22 323 27*335 35 358 36 359 10653 10201 18 324 24*334 33 359 35 001 10201 9847 15 324 22 334 29 358 32 003 9847 9600 13 323 19 333 23 357 27 002 9600 9449 11*322 17 333 19*357 21*001 9449 9361 7*320 11 332 10*356 12*359 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography