DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 60.2 - - 52.9 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 400 - - 166 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8445 - - 11579 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15296 - - 17778 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17245 - - 20379 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3160 - - 2394 - - 6919 - - 858 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 700 - - 729 - - 198 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 21 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 309 - - 306 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -60 - - -47 - - -28 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 620 - - 3722 - - -4199 - - -4522 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16625 - - 16658 - - 13563 - - 13886 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1598 - - 1623 - - -6440 - - -8008 ODpotential blCL - - - 18843 - - 18756 - - 15803 - - 17371 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 99 - - 88 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 230 - - 190 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 60.2 - - 52.9 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.9 - - 19.5 - - 26.1 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 57.0 - - 50.9 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.9 - - 18.5 - - 25.6 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 400 - - 166 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8445 - - 11579 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 94 - - 53 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97655 10 305 7 359 6 309 11 247 97655 90273 6 270 6 255 2 283 5 298 90273 84577 5 196 10 246 10 300 6 014 84577 79841 4 201 8 228 9 303 6 034 79841 75769 5 205 3 248 4 282 6 000 75769 72192 4 249 5 297 1 059 3 048 72192 68962 2 266 7 268 10 314 9 340 68962 65996 7 285 4 293 12 315 10 346 65996 63250 15 300 14 314 13 310 12 355 63250 60580 14 285 14 300 16 317 11 010 60580 57791 20 323 21 302 22 293 22 305 57791 54924 21 306 18 298 20 304 20 291 54924 52207 21 309 26 307 26 305 16 310 52207 49752 31 308 28 299 28 298 23 311 49752 47536 32 297 32 295 29 296 27 309 47536 45516 31 292 37 291 33 295 31 304 45516 43663 38 293 43 288 39 295 34 295 43663 41959 48 289 49 283 45 289 31 291 41959 40383 54 281 49 281 46 286 28 296 40383 38920 55 280 49 284 46 285 29 299 38920 37565 58 281 51 286 47 282 32 296 37565 36292 59 281 50 286 48 282 34 292 36292 35037 57 282 48 289 46 282 35 292 35037 33769 55 285 46 289 44 283 37 292 33769 32495 52 290 44 287 43 283 37 289 32495 31205 49 293 41 288 42 283 32 284 31205 29889 47 293 39 290 36 286 27 277 29889 28549 46 295 37 292 26 290 25 270 28549 27189 44 297 35 292 20 289 22 264 27189 25815 42 297 33 291 20 286 20 266 25815 24433 39 296 32 291 21 287 19 284 24433 23042 36 296 30 294 21 290 21 307 23042 21638 33 298 25*302 21 296 22 325 21638 20241 31 302 23*305 20 303 23 330 20241 18913 29 305 22 307 20 309 23 322 18913 17707 28*306 22 308 20 313 23 312 17707 16624 27*307 22 309 21 315 22 313 16624 15643 26 309 22 309 21 317 21 321 15643 14745 25 310 22 310 21 319 21 328 14745 13919 23 311 22 310 21 319 22 330 13919 13161 22 312 21 310 22 320 22 331 13161 12466 21 312 21 310 21 318 22 330 12466 11829 21 312 21 309 21 316 21 329 11829 11237 20 311 20 309 20 314 20 327 11237 10697 20 311 20 308 18 311 18 323 10697 10232 19 310 19 308 16 308 15 315 10232 9867 18 309 18 307 15 308 12 304 9867 9611 17 308 17 307 14 308 10 297 9611 9454 15 308 16 306 12*307 8*299 9454 9363 11 306 12 305 9*306 5*311 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography