DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 80.7 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 494 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10833 - - 13703 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 17246 - - 19650 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 19633 - - 22503 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3141 - - 3467 - - - - - 167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 751 - - 822 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 42 - - 18 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 302 - - - - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 19 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 64 - - 14 - - - - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1196 - - 977 - - - - - -11234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20830 - - 21527 - - - - - 20599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4187 - - -607 - - - - - -15383 ODpotential blCL - - - 23820 - - 23110 - - - - - 24747 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 73 - - - - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 80.7 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.7 - - 18.0 - - - - - 11.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 76.9 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 17.6 - - - - - 10.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 478 - - 494 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10833 - - 13703 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99290 38 107 27 106 31 090 99290 91819 40 101 32 103 35 090 91819 86064 34 103 35 110 31 093 86064 81294 29 101 35 096 27 083 81294 77200 22 101 25 094 23 096 77200 73583 20 102 19 114 22 101 73583 70312 18 095 14 114 12 081 70312 67318 15 088 13 096 9 104 67318 64536 12 096 12 104 12 111 64536 61834 7 113 11 096 8 084 61834 59056 8 173 5 188 5 348 59056 56229 9 311 6 312 5 313 56229 53547 9 290 14 312 10 328 53547 51134 5 326 11 322 20 335 51134 48976 12 345 10 341 19 333 48976 47010 19 355 17 354 18 339 47010 45191 24 355 20 348 22 340 45191 43495 26 353 24 347 25 343 43495 41907 26 355 26 347 27 348 41907 40418 26 355 26 347 27 353 40418 39024 25 353 24 347 29 352 39024 37700 25 349 22 350 31 349 37700 36384 25 348 22 356 28 351 36384 35051 25 352 24 000 24 355 35051 33706 25 357 28 003 21 357 33706 32339 25 002 26 002 18 353 32339 30946 22 005 20 356 13 341 30946 29534 18 011 15 357 11 328 29534 28106 12 023 7 019 7 306 28106 26668 6 031 5 042 6 267 26668 25225 2 016 7 048 8 249 25225 23769 4 001 12*037 9 233 23769 22293 6 011 12*031 1 280 22293 20820 8*013 10 021 8 028 20820 19417 9*014 8 356 12 022 19417 18142 8 013 7 332 14 016 18142 16997 8 011 8 309 15 010 16997 15959 7 006 9 296 15 005 15959 15010 6 358 11 287 16 360 15010 14139 4 339 11 282 16 355 14139 13340 3 304 12 279 16 351 13340 12609 4 274 13 276 17 346 12609 11941 4 258 13 274 17 343 11941 11321 5 243 14 273 17 339 11321 10756 6 234 14 272 17 335 10756 10271 6 229 14 270 17 332 10271 9890 6 224 13 269 15 328 9890 9623 6 221 13 268 13 325 9623 9459 6 219 12 267 10*321 9459 9364 6 217 10 266 6*323 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography