DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 50.4 - - 50.1 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 114 - - 12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3061 - - 3547 - - 3017 - - 863 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 179 - - 89 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 204 - - 269 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 18 - - 1 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -650 - - -1098 - - -1968 - - -2367 ODpotential blCL - - - 10012 - - 10461 - - 11331 - - 11730 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 330 - - 380 - - 390 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 50.4 - - 50.1 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 45.1 - - 44.4 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 48.6 - - 49.3 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 43.9 - - 43.5 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 114 - - 12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 105 - - 95 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98393 8 154 12 193 4 173 9 168 98393 90988 13 109 11 124 9 119 9 127 90988 85306 14 119 13 118 9 121 15 084 85306 80583 15 138 15 138 9 175 8 023 80583 76508 7 146 9 126 7 158 4 353 76508 72924 6 103 6 068 5 102 2 063 72924 69700 9 100 2 039 6 057 4 097 69700 66752 6 117 1 117 3 007 3 344 66752 64030 3 156 2 261 1 304 4 310 64030 61389 9 224 13 236 8 268 10 296 61389 58627 15 230 21 225 20 251 19 260 58627 55755 22 231 27 225 26 233 27 239 55755 53002 33 237 31 235 34 235 33 238 53002 50511 39 230 36 237 38 243 36 246 50511 48275 40 229 40 240 41 246 42 246 48275 46245 39 231 43 239 39 247 39 245 46245 44391 39 234 40 239 38 248 35 252 44391 42689 42 235 35 248 32 255 32 254 42689 41115 37 230 33 257 28 270 27 267 41115 39651 27 235 32 267 29 274 29 283 39651 38287 23 243 29 263 30 268 30 287 38287 36991 23 246 23 267 27 260 29 288 36991 35702 21 252 23 276 25 257 29 281 35702 34397 17 260 24 279 26 256 29 259 34397 33080 18 274 25 279 28 254 29 245 33080 31740 19 279 24 280 29 252 29 245 31740 30372 17 280 23 282 31 257 32 245 30372 28980 15 266 21 287 28 263 31 249 28980 27569 13 244 20 291 24 260 24 253 27569 26146 13 241 19 293 19 258 21 253 26146 24717 14 241 17 291 16 260 20 252 24717 23277 15 241 16 274 15 256 17 250 23277 21823 16 242 13 256 13 259 13 251 21823 20380 13 245 16 247 13 261 12 244 20380 19013 13 250 15 250 15 253 12 247 19013 17778 12 261 14 252 16 255 12 266 17778 16673 12 259 13 255 16 263 12 287 16673 15675 13 250 13 261 14 273 11 303 15675 14766 13 244 13 266 12 283 11 310 14766 13931 13 240 12 267 11 290 11 308 13931 13167 12 238 10 264 10 289 10 304 13167 12468 10 235 8 262 9 286 9 300 12468 11829 9 231 7 256 8 284 7 295 11829 11235 8 224 6 244 7 288 6 289 11235 10694 7 219 6 234 6 294 5 292 10694 10230 6 207 6 219 5 290 3 308 10230 9866 6 198 6 212 4 283 2 350 9866 9610 6 194 6 209 4 275 2 034 9610 9453 6 191 5*208 3*273 2*051 9453 9363 5*189 5*204 3*269 2*054 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography