DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 50.1 - - 49.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 494 - - 188 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5666 - - 7010 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13021 - - 14126 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14466 - - 15810 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2922 - - 4135 - - 9455 - - 5623 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 607 - - 660 - - 206 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 53 - - 23 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 179 - - 211 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 40 - - 21 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1341 - - 556 - - -6367 - - -4894 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13126 - - 15255 - - 15731 - - 14257 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -349 - - -1102 - - -8170 - - -9566 ODpotential blCL - - - 14815 - - 16912 - - 17533 - - 18928 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 75 - - 70 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.0 - - 50.1 - - 49.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.3 - - 15.9 - - 13.2 - - 12.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 46.4 - - 47.0 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 15.2 - - 12.4 - - 12.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 494 - - 188 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5666 - - 7010 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97705 27 236 31 239 23 259 18 237 97705 90223 21 223 29 244 25 258 19 253 90223 84509 11 234 18 239 19 265 14 272 84509 79798 15 248 16 248 12 259 11 265 79798 75742 12 239 15 246 15 288 17 286 75742 72162 11 289 12 261 18 276 20 289 72162 68918 17 282 13 280 18 273 23 287 68918 65934 18 275 20 298 23 276 26 277 65934 63164 23 272 23 279 21 281 25 277 63164 60470 18 272 21 282 24 299 26 285 60470 57654 27 291 30 278 30 291 27 287 57654 54732 35 286 32 286 33 294 28 295 54732 51939 42 286 44 287 42 293 37 295 51939 49428 46 282 48 282 48 288 44 295 49428 47187 44 282 47 282 51 287 49 296 47187 45167 38 282 43 282 52 289 51 294 45167 43343 29 287 37 287 49 292 50 293 43343 41690 27 316 35 305 41 300 46 294 41690 40174 28 332 35 318 39 314 41 299 40174 38767 33 346 34 328 39 318 37 304 38767 37454 24 347 31 328 36 322 34 311 37454 36204 10 034 24 328 31 325 34 314 36204 34959 15 054 20 335 29 322 28 318 34959 33695 17 042 20 346 30 312 25 318 33695 32421 17 036 22 351 24 308 26 314 32421 31126 18 039 23 355 19 318 29 310 31126 29804 20 048 22 359 17 324 29 306 29804 28460 22 055 20 005 15 335 23 308 28460 27098 24 062 18 019 12 348 19 313 27098 25722 21 072 17 038 11 352 13 322 25722 24341 17 079 14 060 9 015 8 325 24341 22949 17 078 11 074 6 074 9 310 22949 21541 19 078 12 083 8 107 9 290 21541 20139 18 085 10 070 11 064 2 301 20139 18808 15 093 9 052 12 052 6 097 18808 17605 11 095 8 051 10 050 9 105 17605 16529 8 087 5*055 3 049 7 107 16529 15555 6 064 4*065 1 058 4 107 15555 14666 5*053 2 142 0 178 2 101 14666 13851 4*050 3 165 4 219 1 311 13851 13102 3 052 5 180 5 217 5 278 13102 12417 2 074 6 184 7 217 6 270 12417 11790 2 123 7 186 7 215 7 266 11790 11207 2 141 7 187 8 214 8 263 11207 10675 3 153 8 187 8 214 9 263 10675 10218 4 158 8 188 8 213 9 262 10218 9859 4 161 8 187 8 213 8 263 9859 9607 4 162 8 187 8 213 6 269 9607 9452 4 162 8 186 8*212 5*272 9452 9362 4 162 7 186 7*211 4*278 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography