DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 59.7 - - 56.7 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 86 - - -6 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9347 - - 9347 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5228 - - 6855 - - 5596 - - 283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 171 - - 50 - - 55 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 256 - - 322 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 4 - - -8 - - -39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2091 - - -1564 - - -570 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11455 - - 10928 - - 9934 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4785 - - -4091 - - -3742 - - -4957 ODpotential blCL - - - 14149 - - 13455 - - 13106 - - 14320 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 66 - - 73 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 800 - - 1340 - - 1410 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 59.7 - - 56.7 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.8 - - 43.9 - - 45.2 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 58.1 - - 57.1 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 42.6 - - 43.9 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 86 - - -6 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97920 18 245 17 250 23 255 26 279 97920 90600 5 256 21 237 20 263 16 289 90600 84934 3 260 18 243 19 283 11 310 84934 80227 3 326 2 212 9 296 7 310 80227 76201 9 351 4 039 2 342 3 309 76201 72668 10 339 8 358 9 015 7 055 72668 69481 6 353 13 341 14 006 15 008 69481 66571 7 343 11 349 11 354 17 339 66571 63887 14 008 13 359 10 349 14 341 63887 61275 24 337 19 344 17 339 19 339 61275 58547 26 321 25 330 24 325 27 328 58547 55728 29 315 30 308 30 313 33 317 55728 53040 32 310 31 315 36 318 37 319 53040 50615 36 310 43 323 50 320 47 320 50615 48428 42 315 50 319 57 317 54 317 48428 46426 50 315 53 315 56 316 56 312 46426 44575 54 311 55 311 52 315 52 309 44575 42853 53 308 55 309 52 310 46 306 42853 41242 53 308 56 308 52 303 41 306 41242 39735 53 306 57 307 52 305 39 307 39735 38330 45 303 57 305 54 306 39 299 38330 37001 36 303 50 301 50 304 43 294 37001 35685 33 300 36 297 39 304 42 295 35685 34367 32 296 24 287 24 301 19 293 34367 33056 26 295 27 280 14 293 2 155 33056 31733 24 293 25 277 13 285 7 071 31733 30383 21 284 17 275 11 285 8 074 30383 29006 12 283 15 271 8 286 8 088 29006 27609 4 275 10 251 8 277 6 103 27609 26199 3 296 7 216 9 250 2 219 26199 24782 3 328 4 203 10 243 6 244 24782 23356 1 326 2 198 8 255 6 237 23356 21914 2 265 2 070 2 160 5 208 21914 20479 3 243 5 049 10 099 9 175 20479 19114 3 187 6 046 12 102 11 175 19114 17876 4 155 7 046 10 106 9 174 17876 16765 5 137 6 047 7 105 6 165 16765 15759 5 121 6 046 5 098 3 136 15759 14839 5 099 5 046 4 081 2 095 14839 13994 5 084 4 047 3 050 3 034 13994 13219 4 074 3 041 3 008 5 016 13219 12510 4 064 2 355 5 349 6 013 12510 11861 3 060 2 304 5 340 7 014 11861 11259 3 060 3 279 6 331 7 026 11259 10710 1 058 4 273 6 324 11 040 10710 10240 1 159 4 267 6 320 17 046 10240 9871 2 172 4 264 5 318 19 040 9871 9613 2 173 4 260 5 317 16 029 9613 9454 2*177 4*258 4*318 13*019 9454 9363 2*177 3*256 3*322 7*014 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography