DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 10.1 - - 25.8 - - 29.2 - - 23.6 - - 18.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -62 - - 178 - - 248 - - 11 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 560 - - 561 - - 2884 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9343 - - 9344 - - 10622 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9360 - - 9361 - - 11684 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 67 - - 2652 - - 1852 - - 2478 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 202 - - 390 - - 82 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 17 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 316 - - 324 - - 319 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -37 - - -12 - - -53 - - -21 - - -36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9443 - - -10022 - - -7646 - - -7851 - - -6924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 18804 - - 19384 - - 19331 - - 17213 - - 16286 sfcLCL ODpotential -20321 - - -16964 - - -14781 - - -15063 - - -15332 ODpotential blCL 29681 - - 26325 - - 26465 - - 24424 - - 24693 blCL maxRH 26 - - 32 - - 33 - - 42 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 10.1 - - 25.8 - - 29.2 - - 23.6 - - 18.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -37.3 - - -25.7 - - -22.3 - - -18.0 - - -18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 13.7 - - 23.6 - - 26.6 - - 22.7 - - 20.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -38.5 - - -26.3 - - -23.3 - - -18.7 - - -19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -62 - - 178 - - 248 - - 11 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 560 - - 561 - - 2884 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95028 109 260 104 264 94 265 104 264 113 268 95028 88162 80 268 75 266 70 273 75 279 77 274 88162 82866 65 277 62 274 54 278 65 287 59 288 82866 78423 53 282 56 276 50 281 55 285 53 295 78423 74574 40 283 51 275 49 276 50 279 52 293 74574 71150 36 280 46 276 48 272 47 278 51 295 71150 68033 37 280 40 271 45 274 44 278 52 295 68033 65155 42 280 35 270 43 275 39 281 50 292 65155 62474 42 279 35 275 39 278 37 286 45 291 62474 59854 44 282 39 278 41 284 39 287 46 293 59854 57095 52 282 42 280 48 282 44 285 52 291 57095 54207 54 282 45 280 52 276 48 283 55 285 54207 51435 52 287 46 280 53 275 50 282 55 282 51435 48931 54 287 46 283 53 278 50 284 52 283 48931 46688 54 283 49 284 54 284 52 289 51 288 46688 44664 56 286 51 289 57 288 54 293 50 294 44664 42825 57 292 53 293 56 291 55 292 50 297 42825 41139 62 297 57 293 55 295 55 289 51 294 41139 39588 68 298 60 291 55 297 50 294 54 285 39588 38158 71 297 61 289 56 300 53 297 51 280 38158 36841 70 300 58 292 54 300 56 296 46 283 36841 35606 70 304 56 295 50 301 54 299 45 286 35606 34386 71 304 57 296 48 304 50 305 46 286 34386 33150 72 303 59 295 48 307 48 308 45 286 33150 31899 73 303 60 296 49 310 47 308 41 286 31899 30625 73 303 60 298 51 311 46 308 38 290 30625 29325 74 304 61 300 52 312 44 308 36 296 29325 28004 73 306 61 302 52 313 41 310 34 300 28004 26667 72 310 62 303 52 316 41 313 31 302 26667 25318 66 316 61 306 51 319 40 316 29 304 25318 23962 56 320 57 308 49 318 40 316 30 307 23962 22596 43 319 52 308 47 317 41 316 31 308 22596 21216 34 314 47 307 46 317 41 318 32 311 21216 19844 31 313 43 306 44 317 40 320 32 315 19844 18542 30 316 39 307 41 316 39 320 33 319 18542 17364 30 320 35 310 38 316 36 320 33 322 17364 16309 30 323 32 315 35 317 34 320 32 324 16309 15356 30 325 30 320 32 320 31 323 31 326 15356 14488 30 327 29 324 29 325 28 327 30 327 14488 13693 30 330 28 328 27 330 26 333 28 327 13693 12964 29 332 26 330 24 333 24 338 27 328 12964 12300 28 335 25 332 22 332 21 340 26 329 12300 11692 27 338 23 334 20*330 19 337 25 328 11692 11130 25 342 20 335 19*328 18 332 23 328 11130 10618 23 346 17 333 18 325 17 327 22 329 10618 10179 21 351 13 329 18 324 16 325 20 331 10179 9835 18 354 11 326 16 323 15 323 17 334 9835 9594 15 354 10 323 15 322 13 322 14 336 9594 9446 11*354 8*320 13 321 11*321 11*335 9446 9361 7*353 6*316 9 319 7*319 7*333 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography