DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.8 - - 45.1 - - 48.5 - - 46.4 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 239 - - 287 - - 27 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 4687 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 12057 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 13487 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 393 - - 4400 - - 3034 - - 8024 - - 2992 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 224 - - 482 - - 109 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 18 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 298 - - 253 - - 249 - - 231 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 7 - - -19 - - 16 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1983 - - -4346 - - -1246 - - -4604 - - -3048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11345 - - 13708 - - 14734 - - 13967 - - 12410 sfcLCL ODpotential -8155 - - -7618 - - -4092 - - -6804 - - -6880 ODpotential blCL 17517 - - 16980 - - 17579 - - 16166 - - 16242 blCL maxRH 66 - - 87 - - 90 - - 82 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.8 - - 45.1 - - 48.5 - - 46.4 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.2 - - 17.8 - - 16.6 - - 18.0 - - 17.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.9 - - 42.5 - - 46.0 - - 45.6 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.4 - - 17.1 - - 16.0 - - 17.6 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 239 - - 287 - - 27 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 4687 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 49 - - 60 - - 27 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96224 6 316 6 230 9 274 6 210 15 281 96224 89080 6 260 7 278 11 286 11 285 13 291 89080 83556 7 284 9 319 12 299 10 345 9 321 83556 79001 15 305 18 303 19 305 17 329 17 008 79001 75127 17 322 11 339 15 337 20 317 22 321 75127 71739 20 314 15 318 19 318 17 313 16 314 71739 68659 32 325 25 328 21 330 18 322 28 312 68659 65818 44 314 30 312 28 316 29 318 39 313 65818 63179 42 303 36 302 37 311 39 315 45 308 63179 60608 39 304 44 301 46 305 54 310 49 301 60608 57905 47 306 49 297 51 293 60 302 49 298 57905 55058 54 300 50 293 47 284 54 289 49 293 55058 52307 54 294 52 286 46 284 48 283 49 282 52307 49813 54 291 52 283 48 286 50 279 53 278 49813 47561 58 290 55 284 58 283 56 277 58 279 47561 45503 63 282 63 280 69 279 64 277 62 277 45503 43611 66 275 71 273 74 274 70 276 62 272 43611 41864 69 272 74 270 78 269 74 274 65 272 41864 40240 71 271 74 269 79 265 77 270 72 272 40240 38735 73 272 77 269 82 263 80 265 78 267 38735 37357 74 270 81 266 88 264 88 263 87 262 37357 36077 72 266 82 263 90 262 96 262 97 260 36077 34820 69 263 80 259 88 260 95 261 101 258 34820 33547 67 258 78 256 87 260 88 259 97 256 33547 32262 65 255 78 256 85 260 83 258 91 254 32262 30958 64 254 78 256 82 259 81 258 85 252 30958 29630 64 255 76 257 78 259 78 258 80 253 29630 28286 65 257 73 258 74 259 74 259 76 256 28286 26928 66 259 68 257 69 261 71 261 73 258 26928 25562 65 261 63 258 66 261 69 261 69 260 25562 24190 62 262 60 260 64 261 67 260 66 259 24190 22811 60 262 57 261 62 260 64 258 62 257 22811 21420 58 260 55 260 58 258 59 256 58 255 21420 20038 55 259 52 259 54 256 54 254 51 253 20038 18729 50 258 50 257 50 254 47 251 45 250 18729 17545 45 258 47 255 46 252 40 246 42 248 17545 16485 40 257 44 255 41 251 34 241 40 246 16485 15524 36 257 41 256 34 249 32 239 39 246 15524 14644 33 257 38 258 28 248 29 237 37 247 14644 13835 31 258 35 261 24*248 26 235 35 249 13835 13091 28 260 30 262 21*248 24 234 32 250 13091 12410 25 262 25 263 20 248 21 232 30 252 12410 11785 23 265 22 262 19 249 20 231 27 254 11785 11204 14 263 18 261 19 249 18 231 24 257 11204 10673 19 268 16 258 18 249 17 230 20 259 10673 10217 19 269 15 256 18 250 16 230 17 260 10217 9858 17 270 14 256 17 250 15 230 14 260 9858 9607 14 272 13 255 16 250 14 230 11 261 9607 9452 10*278 11*255 14 250 12*230 8*260 9452 9362 5*298 9*253 10 249 8*231 5*287 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography