DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 58.0 - - 59.5 - - 57.6 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 96 - - 98 - - 0 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2378 - - 7452 - - 10050 - - 8578 - - 859 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 176 - - 175 - - 31 - - 40 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 122 - - 136 - - 115 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - 9 - - 15 - - 1 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3220 - - -2367 - - -2314 - - -2717 - - -3230 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12584 - - 11730 - - 11678 - - 12080 - - 12593 sfcLCL ODpotential -7552 - - -4843 - - -4499 - - -5738 - - -7472 ODpotential blCL 16915 - - 14206 - - 13862 - - 15101 - - 16835 blCL maxRH 93 - - 80 - - 89 - - 67 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 880 - - 1190 - - 850 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 58.0 - - 59.5 - - 57.6 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 39.0 - - 40.6 - - 37.1 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 56.2 - - 57.9 - - 58.2 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.4 - - 37.8 - - 39.4 - - 36.0 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 96 - - 98 - - 0 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 18 - - 57 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97671 21 285 20 280 17 273 25 274 23 292 97671 90431 18 306 15 278 12 277 14 286 13 310 90431 84814 10 307 8 294 6 278 8 298 8 324 84814 80136 5 325 6 293 7 320 12 329 13 346 80136 76124 10 027 4 256 7 317 10 340 12 354 76124 72592 16 005 5 019 7 004 7 340 11 341 72592 69414 18 348 9 359 12 358 13 343 17 340 69414 66513 18 338 15 355 16 350 18 345 19 341 66513 63828 20 331 22 351 20 352 20 350 23 345 63828 61225 23 328 26 343 24 343 23 341 25 343 61225 58508 27 322 26 330 23 329 23 334 25 336 58508 55684 28 321 28 327 26 323 26 335 25 334 55684 52984 39 318 34 325 30 327 30 336 24 340 52984 50549 49 312 38 322 30 331 29 332 26 344 50549 48357 54 311 38 321 28 340 29 331 27 338 48357 46355 53 313 39 323 31 346 31 331 28 328 46355 44507 51 314 38 323 33 344 32 335 30 325 44507 42787 43 318 33 324 30 337 33 338 31 327 42787 41179 37 323 25 331 22 339 29 340 32 334 41179 39676 31 326 20 349 16 351 24 331 32 335 39676 38278 27 325 21 348 15 357 21 337 32 329 38278 36953 30 320 27 340 20 003 19 341 27 325 36953 35641 26 311 21 330 24 348 22 350 22 341 35641 34322 10 321 7 347 12 040 14 013 17 005 34322 33006 12 078 11 070 15 078 14 073 9 037 33006 31680 14 073 13 094 16 092 17 085 9 094 31680 30330 8 076 13 106 14 092 17 079 13 083 30330 28956 6 099 12 121 11 091 15 073 14 068 28956 27563 6 146 10 143 8 096 11 074 13 066 27563 26158 14 174 10 158 5 127 7 069 12 077 26158 24745 12 170 7 155 6 136 5 078 8 069 24745 23323 9 145 6 147 7 119 7 092 6 077 23323 21887 9 134 8 132 6 098 10 082 11 101 21887 20458 8 139 8 130 5 073 10 079 14 113 20458 19100 7 147 7 137 5 069 8 089 12 130 19100 17867 5 155 7 138 6 081 7 115 12 143 17867 16760 4 179 7 138 7 091 8 135 11 148 16760 15756 3 208 5 143 7 100 8 144 10 149 15756 14838 3 217 4 144 7 105 7 147 8 148 14838 13996 3 200 4 141 7 108 7 147 6 150 13996 13221 3 166 4 131 7 111 6 143 4 152 13221 12514 3 142 5 123 7 114 6 135 3 147 12514 11865 4 129 5 114 6 117 5 127 2 122 11865 11264 3 120 6 107 7 122 5 121 2 071 11264 10715 3 102 6 106 7 126 4 116 4 045 10715 10244 4 080 6 109 7 129 4 114 7 035 10244 9874 4 055 6 114 7 132 4 114 9 024 9874 9614 4 032 6 117 7 133 3 112 9 017 9614 9455 3*010 5*119 6*135 3*115 8*009 9455 9363 3*351 5*122 5*136 2*115 6*359 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography