DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 49.9 - - 49.8 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 74 - - -4 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3885 - - 4540 - - 4062 - - 1347 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 158 - - 50 - - 78 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 180 - - 184 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 26 - - 14 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1628 - - -1847 - - -2586 - - -426 ODpotential blCL - - - 10991 - - 11210 - - 11949 - - 9789 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 270 - - 200 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 49.9 - - 49.8 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.2 - - 42.3 - - 42.1 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 48.5 - - 49.7 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 41.2 - - 41.2 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 74 - - -4 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 100 - - 101 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97878 13 256 23 237 30 277 22 295 97878 90587 8 275 7 263 10 243 13 285 90587 84939 8 245 9 257 4 355 5 251 84939 80246 9 234 9 281 7 000 4 150 80246 76202 9 210 9 279 5 284 4 316 76202 72637 3 269 3 297 6 267 9 302 72637 69433 8 290 5 297 8 280 13 274 69433 66505 11 287 6 327 5 267 6 268 66505 63787 17 274 17 287 11 304 10 304 63787 61157 16 273 18 265 17 277 10 280 61157 58435 14 297 16 256 17 272 17 272 58435 55616 25 301 19 275 25 264 21 264 55616 52928 38 282 32 277 31 275 32 271 52928 50513 42 273 39 279 41 274 38 270 50513 48340 41 283 42 276 44 269 37 264 48340 46349 43 288 44 274 40 270 38 253 46349 44507 49 277 46 274 45 265 42 251 44507 42790 52 272 55 268 55 262 52 258 42790 41187 59 269 68 263 69 268 73 265 41187 39689 65 269 70 265 83 271 86 263 39689 38290 62 268 78 272 86 269 86 259 38290 36960 54 264 83 274 82 267 84 259 36960 35638 46 259 78 271 76 266 82 261 35638 34302 42 249 70 269 64 261 75 264 34302 32959 43 243 65 265 56 248 64 264 32959 31599 44 246 59 258 54 245 54 258 31599 30219 42 245 51 254 47 245 45 250 30219 28823 40 245 41 256 41 252 40 245 28823 27413 37 247 37 258 39 252 37 243 27413 25994 35 250 36 254 38 245 35 241 25994 24570 35 252 36 249 36 241 34 237 24570 23139 36 253 34 247 37 243 36 233 23139 21699 34 252 28 245 31 237 32 229 21699 20271 32 249 28 246 27 225 28 218 20271 18918 32 248 28 245 28 226 28 210 18918 17695 31 242 27 242 28 226 28 206 17695 16603 29 238 27 240 27 221 26 202 16603 15617 26 237 27 236 25 215 24 198 15617 14719 23 237 25 230 24 210 24 197 14719 13895 21 233 22 221 23 205 25 200 13895 13139 19 230 19 209 22 201 25 203 13139 12446 18 227 17 200 21 196 24 207 12446 11811 15 221 16 192 20 192 21 212 11811 11223 11 209 15 188 19 189 17 219 11223 10685 8 198 14 187 17 188 14 232 10685 10224 6 180 13 185 16 187 12 250 10224 9862 6 172 12 183 14 187 10 266 9862 9609 6 169 11 183 12 186 9 273 9609 9453 5*168 10*182 10*186 7*278 9453 9363 5*165 8*180 5*184 5*282 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography