DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.2 - - 46.6 - - 50.9 - - 48.2 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 57 - - 358 - - 317 - - 97 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9020 - - 8996 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1177 - - 5520 - - 10773 - - 8368 - - 843 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 256 - - 246 - - 166 - - 23 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 095 - - 130 - - 221 - - 278 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 15 - - 21 - - -4 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2988 - - -3645 - - -5422 - - -3989 - - -1525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12351 - - 13007 - - 14786 - - 13351 - - 10887 sfcLCL ODpotential -7045 - - -5739 - - -6768 - - -5832 - - -5152 ODpotential blCL 16407 - - 15101 - - 16131 - - 15194 - - 14514 blCL maxRH 75 - - 87 - - 98 - - 79 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 70 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.2 - - 46.6 - - 50.9 - - 48.2 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.3 - - 22.4 - - 18.8 - - 22.4 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.9 - - 43.4 - - 47.9 - - 46.4 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 21.6 - - 18.0 - - 21.9 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 57 - - 358 - - 317 - - 97 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 48 - - 90 - - 17 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96520 28 276 37 269 39 267 39 268 42 286 96520 89307 33 293 22 276 27 272 30 275 32 294 89307 83796 29 288 21 299 25 289 29 287 25 306 83796 79223 19 281 25 303 21 305 24 306 27 325 79223 75299 16 316 21 300 20 308 21 319 28 325 75299 71854 25 318 17 317 20 298 25 316 27 320 71854 68738 28 316 22 326 23 308 29 314 28 309 68738 65865 29 311 26 322 26 315 29 312 28 300 65865 63183 31 313 26 320 26 317 31 309 30 293 63183 60555 36 314 30 308 33 304 38 301 31 296 60555 57776 44 306 41 297 45 295 47 290 39 292 57776 54861 56 291 54 295 54 287 51 282 49 282 54861 52054 58 282 61 296 59 287 53 284 53 280 52054 49517 56 278 65 291 59 291 54 288 51 284 49517 47251 49 284 60 285 60 290 53 292 50 288 47251 45209 51 299 55 283 61 282 56 290 50 288 45209 43356 67 301 53 284 62 276 58 283 52 287 43356 41667 94 297 49 286 58 275 57 276 54 282 41667 40119 112 294 54 289 54 280 53 275 48 278 40119 38693 104 293 67 288 58 283 48 278 41 275 38693 37369 89 293 69 284 63 282 45 279 40 269 37369 36117 64 290 59 283 63 281 46 274 45 265 36117 34871 56 288 53 280 57 281 48 271 50 263 34871 33604 51 288 47 277 47 275 44 272 47 267 33604 32324 39 289 35 284 38 271 37 281 37 280 32324 31025 35 297 27 290 28 273 31 276 26 286 31025 29701 30 288 25 289 21 277 29 275 22 285 29701 28357 22 270 25 270 23 274 27 271 20 275 28357 26999 15 266 23 260 23 273 28 268 21 270 26999 25630 16 274 20 258 21 267 27 266 20 260 25630 24256 16 273 19 262 19 271 22 263 16 262 24256 22875 16 262 17 269 19 275 14 255 11 281 22875 21480 17 248 15 272 19 275 9 256 8 302 21480 20094 19 243 15 280 14 286 9 293 6 298 20094 18776 20 244 19 285 12 296 12 311 4 281 18776 17582 19 245 23 285 10 304 13 316 2 258 17582 16512 18 246 21 282 10 303 12 314 1 191 16512 15543 17 244 17 274 7 286 10 308 2 129 15543 14658 16 234 13 267 7 268 9 301 2 113 14658 13844 16 220 10 263 8 243 8 293 3 105 13844 13097 16 208 8 258 8 235 8 289 3 094 13097 12413 15 202 4 233 9 231 8 286 2 064 12413 11786 13 189 4 181 9 228 8 284 2 350 11786 11204 11 179 6 141 9 227 8 283 5 331 11204 10673 11 144 7 135 9 226 7 282 8 329 10673 10216 13 121 7 134 9 225 7 281 11 332 10216 9857 12 110 7 132 9 224 7 280 13 335 9857 9606 10 105 7 131 9 223 6 280 13 338 9606 9451 9*102 7*129 9*223 6*278 11*340 9451 9362 6*095 6*130 7*221 5*278 6*341 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography