DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.2 - - 40.3 - - 41.6 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 173 - - 19 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 1158 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 2943 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 3716 - - 2815 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 819 - - 436 - - 1502 - - 335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 106 - - 243 - - 71 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 17 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 250 - - 244 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4497 - - -5064 - - -6896 - - -4782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7311 - - 8781 - - 9711 - - 7596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18590 - - -17250 - - -18803 - - -18906 ODpotential blCL - - - 21404 - - 20966 - - 21618 - - 21720 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 63 - - 53 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.2 - - 40.3 - - 41.6 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.0 - - 12.5 - - 9.9 - - 10.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 38.9 - - 41.0 - - 35.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.2 - - 11.6 - - 9.2 - - 9.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 173 - - 19 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 1158 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95625 61 273 67 270 64 280 56 275 95625 88868 51 291 44 288 46 284 45 283 88868 83532 31 298 37 298 33 279 40 282 83532 79019 20 288 30 293 30 277 33 286 79019 75101 20 294 20 289 28 294 25 295 75101 71638 29 300 15 277 25 306 19 286 71638 68498 41 298 20 283 26 295 18 288 68498 65596 42 295 32 295 30 294 24 306 65596 62906 37 289 40 296 33 291 33 307 62906 60300 35 288 41 293 34 288 37 290 60300 57564 39 296 40 290 35 289 35 281 57564 54708 39 287 37 287 36 285 36 281 54708 51974 28 299 35 289 32 285 33 274 51974 49497 39 299 39 289 33 292 33 272 49497 47258 47 298 45 284 39 288 37 278 47258 45223 54 304 44 287 45 283 38 282 45223 43375 60 303 45 293 41 277 35 290 43375 41695 42 289 49 289 41 283 36 290 41695 40151 44 315 51 282 43 288 40 283 40151 38719 57 322 41 284 47 277 38 278 38719 37381 42 329 39 302 34 276 38 277 37381 36091 45 348 40 300 27 291 25 272 36091 34788 54 347 36 294 31 282 24 264 34788 33447 58 343 29 299 33 267 26 253 33447 32064 55 343 32 316 27 264 22 245 32064 30624 52 340 35 322 22 286 18 239 30624 29116 53 335 37 318 24 299 18 234 29116 27541 46 334 36 314 25 293 22 238 27541 25899 38 332 31 313 21 292 24 244 25899 24191 33 327 25 315 19 294 24 247 24191 22421 28 321 22 303 20 291 25 247 22421 20579 27 311 31 297 27 286 32 244 20579 18660 36 307 40 298 33 285 34 254 18660 16703 39 307 33 299 32 285 31 266 16703 14819 34 307 25 294 30 283 28 268 14819 13104 31 297 24 290 29 279 29 268 13104 11579 31 288 26 287 29 273 31 270 11579 10223 33 288 26 285 28 268 31 272 10223 9015 32 288 24 278 28 263 31 270 9015 7939 28 286 25 268 30 259 32 265 7939 6984 29 281 27 266 33 260 33 262 6984 6145 34 274 31 267 35 261 35 259 6145 5407 37 266 33 265 33 258 35 254 5407 4749 35 260 32 257 29 251 36 250 4749 4168 31 259 29*252 25 248 33 248 4168 3684 29 257 21*250 19 245 28 243 3684 3313 24 256 18 250 16 244 23 239 3313 3058 20 256 16 250 14 244 16 240 3058 2903 16*257 14 250 12*244 11 243 2903 2814 11*258 10 251 8*244 5*248 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography