DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 70.5 - - 72.3 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 341 - - 159 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3275 - - 5672 - - 6788 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4627 - - 6606 - - 7080 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5833 - - 8230 - - 9346 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1653 - - 1894 - - 1586 - - 5333 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 521 - - 434 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 203 - - 202 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - 19 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1619 - - -1335 - - -821 - - -4921 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7453 - - 9566 - - 10167 - - 7738 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5399 - - -4753 - - -4810 - - -8481 ODpotential blCL - - - 11232 - - 12983 - - 14156 - - 11298 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 69 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 70.5 - - 72.3 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 38.1 - - 37.3 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 68.3 - - 71.0 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 36.9 - - 36.1 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 341 - - 159 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3275 - - 5672 - - 6788 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 44 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98020 5 200 6 254 13 265 6 320 98020 90610 6 245 9 213 17 245 17 252 90610 84917 10 248 7 214 17 237 18 235 84917 80179 18 227 20 239 21 242 14 237 80179 76036 12 209 23 227 22 234 18 256 76036 72352 5 220 15 208 20 215 24 241 72352 69040 15 266 14 250 17 223 18 219 69040 65997 20 259 20 257 20 263 19 257 65997 63181 21 255 27 259 26 264 27 271 63181 60474 33 267 22 260 21 264 28 270 60474 57641 39 266 33 277 36 267 37 288 57641 54711 39 269 44 268 44 280 59 273 54711 51967 48 278 53 277 64 275 48 269 51967 49518 60 277 64 277 61 273 49 282 49518 47330 57 276 67 277 56 285 67 283 47330 45369 49 291 66 286 66 295 77 288 45369 43584 66 299 69 289 71 299 85 290 43584 41933 76 300 58 287 77 302 89 291 41933 40394 81 304 54 295 81 304 94 294 40394 38947 78 304 74 305 80 304 96 294 38947 37581 72 302 96 308 85 301 96 294 37581 36262 68 302 98 307 87 300 92 294 36262 34928 67 304 83 299 79 299 84 292 34928 33554 58 312 70 294 69 292 78 285 33554 32142 51 304 58 290 66 284 73 283 32142 30677 40 283 46 284 63 276 67 289 30677 29147 32 274 33 275 60 278 58 287 29147 27551 26 281 29 263 46 272 56 282 27551 25892 24 290 28 254 44 266 50 276 25892 24174 26 300 23 253 40 263 49 271 24174 22401 26 286 23 257 38 259 45 267 22401 20565 26 257 29 260 36 252 42 268 20565 18659 30 236 29 254 33 246 37 269 18659 16728 30 226 29 253 30 244 38 250 16728 14876 29 220 31 242 29 245 39 245 14876 13190 28 216 32 228 28 243 39 252 13190 11686 28 214 32 218 30 231 38 257 11686 10345 29 210 30 206 22*210 36 248 10345 9149 28 209 23*196 21*206 29 226 9149 8082 26 215 20*194 21 205 26 215 8082 7131 24 226 19 196 21 203 25 211 7131 6286 20*236 18 199 20 202 25 207 6286 5532 19*238 17 203 20 201 24 204 5532 4853 19 239 16 207 20 200 24 201 4853 4247 18 239 15 210 19 199 23 197 4247 3739 18 240 15 212 18 199 21 194 3739 3347 16 240 14 213 18 199 18 191 3347 3076 15 240 13 215 16 198 14 188 3076 2911 13 240 12 215 14 198 11*186 2911 2817 10 240 9 216 11 198 6*184 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography