DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.8 - - 42.3 - - 47.0 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 417 - - 263 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2162 - - 2795 - - 3225 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3811 - - 4420 - - 4595 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4720 - - 5353 - - 5783 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 601 - - 851 - - 1058 - - 3327 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 342 - - 434 - - 390 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 14 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 345 - - 356 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -785 - - -3947 - - -6237 - - -8037 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5505 - - 9300 - - 12021 - - 10853 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12945 - - -14440 - - -16526 - - -19190 ODpotential blCL - - - 17665 - - 19793 - - 22309 - - 22005 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 35 - - 23 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.8 - - 42.3 - - 47.0 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.0 - - 11.8 - - 4.5 - - 4.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 39.9 - - 45.0 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.8 - - 10.7 - - 3.5 - - 3.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 417 - - 263 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2162 - - 2795 - - 3225 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96445 46 246 40 235 50 248 48 262 96445 89175 36 247 34 246 41 245 46 261 89175 83603 37 255 32 248 31 245 34 250 83603 78964 37 252 43 253 38 267 30 262 78964 74980 33 246 41 259 41 265 36 270 74980 71484 27 260 26 259 34 259 35 269 71484 68311 36 286 28 278 36 272 38 277 68311 65382 46 276 45 276 46 276 48 280 65382 62671 49 265 52 270 53 276 54 278 62671 60068 51 269 55 274 60 276 62 277 60068 57369 60 270 63 270 69 270 69 274 57369 54560 66 267 70 262 75 268 77 272 54560 51849 71 271 77 265 78 270 80 272 51849 49382 79 277 81 269 83 275 85 278 49382 47161 88 278 89 275 89 278 92 283 47161 45148 94 274 96 275 97 279 95 284 45148 43307 97 269 99 274 102 279 95 285 43307 41615 99 269 101 277 105 282 93 289 41615 40053 97 274 107 278 108 283 95 293 40053 38608 94 276 108 276 106 280 95 296 38608 37263 92 277 103 277 93 287 96 299 37263 35972 92 277 93 282 95 295 97 298 35972 34663 92 276 94 292 99 297 96 298 34663 33307 92 275 98 292 102 296 91 298 33307 31908 92 275 98 288 102 296 87 299 31908 30451 88 274 96 284 99 296 84 299 30451 28927 82 272 93 283 94 297 80 296 28927 27336 79 271 84 284 88 298 79 293 27336 25679 77 272 77 283 81 297 77 292 25679 23959 70 272 74 281 76 293 74 293 23959 22181 65 276 73 280 72 294 70 294 22181 20337 63 280 69 282 62 290 64 293 20337 18426 63 282 62 284 58 285 59 290 18426 16490 60 284 56 288 53 286 53 291 16490 14631 55 288 50 295 45 290 46 296 14631 12945 48 298 44 305 37 299 36 293 12945 11448 45 317 38 317 30 310 27 283 11448 10118 47 334 34 330 24 323 19 277 10118 8935 47 341 32 344 20 334 12 288 8935 7883 43 339 30 354 18 351 8 333 7883 6953 39 333 28 000 13 360 4 016 6953 6133 35 334 22 358 10*358 3 070 6133 5409 29*337 15*349 10*357 4 072 5409 4758 20*338 15*347 10 356 4 062 4758 4179 19 338 15 346 10 356 5 055 4179 3694 18 338 14 345 10 355 5 049 3694 3320 17 337 13 345 9 355 5 048 3320 3062 16 337 12 344 9 355 5 046 3062 2905 13 337 11 344 8 354 4*047 2905 2815 9 336 8 344 6 354 3*048 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography