DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.4 - - 61.7 - - 59.1 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 113 - - 17 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2030 - - 3591 - - 2742 - - 2148 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 86 - - 127 - - 68 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 056 - - 034 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -634 - - -1331 - - -643 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3450 - - 4148 - - 3459 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1848 - - -1808 - - -1324 - - -684 ODpotential blCL - - - 4664 - - 4624 - - 4140 - - 3500 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 60 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.4 - - 61.7 - - 59.1 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 60.4 - - 58.5 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 52.8 - - 53.3 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 113 - - 17 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97757 2 030 6 302 12 350 3 016 97757 90392 7 248 6 204 13 270 9 306 90392 84700 7 244 5 213 12 253 12 278 84700 79985 4 206 10 259 6 214 5 280 79985 75952 1 341 9 260 5 226 7 332 75952 72421 8 344 3 142 8 244 9 301 72421 69238 8 315 5 073 4 251 6 294 69238 66321 4 326 6 050 2 013 4 346 66321 63629 7 016 6 049 5 009 6 000 63629 61032 12 027 8 056 7 008 10 347 61032 58328 12 014 10 032 8 010 8 343 58328 55516 12 344 13 357 9 005 7 353 55516 52815 11 325 10 342 8 349 7 343 52815 50372 8 297 7 327 8 330 15 336 50372 48182 9 238 11 300 11 329 18 335 48182 46187 9 211 14 269 12 340 16 342 46187 44346 8 242 11 238 10 337 17 350 44346 42634 13 247 11 277 10 326 24 347 42634 41040 5 177 11 276 12 328 25 341 41040 39553 8 055 2 313 13 345 21 334 39553 38155 15 340 11 347 20 359 19 345 38155 36809 18 327 14 347 25 356 24 358 36809 35449 19 334 12 347 25 349 31 358 35449 34044 18 343 17 327 24 343 34 353 34044 32597 16 359 22 329 24 343 33 353 32597 31095 15 022 15 017 21 359 32 357 31095 29527 15 044 10 049 16 349 29 355 29527 27895 18 047 8 084 9 340 22 352 27895 26202 17 047 12 040 9 351 18 346 26202 24451 21 030 19 008 14 005 16 334 24451 22647 25 017 20 014 14 021 14 340 22647 20778 27 031 22 029 15 031 9 005 20778 18835 25 040 21 025 17 020 15 003 18835 16853 20 029 19 022 15 005 20 002 16853 14942 20 012 15 029 7 343 17 004 14942 13212 16 000 12 019 4 347 9 011 13212 11682 11 345 11 352 6 018 2 356 11682 10327 10 330 11 357 12 053 3 063 10327 9123 7 001 11 040 16 064 8 054 9123 8050 12 063 15 059 15 065 10 052 8050 7093 17 066 17 063 16 062 13 066 7093 6245 22 069 18 062 16 050 19 067 6245 5495 25 069 17 061 16 043 21 062 5495 4821 26 065 14 054 14 034 19 052 4821 4224 24 060 12 052 13 032 17 044 4224 3723 18 053 11 053 12 032 16 042 3723 3338 14 049 10 054 11 033 13 040 3338 3072 12 049 10 055 10 033 11 040 3072 2909 10*048 9 056 8 033 9 040 2909 2816 7*048 7*056 6*034 6*041 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography