DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.4 - - 50.3 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 475 - - 287 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5357 - - 5433 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6474 - - 6325 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7915 - - 7991 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1200 - - 2206 - - 6857 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 565 - - 479 - - 49 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 313 - - 300 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -111 - - 94 - - -4182 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8026 - - 7898 - - 6997 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5038 - - -594 - - -5227 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12953 - - 8585 - - 8042 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 90 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.4 - - 50.3 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 25.9 - - 25.4 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.7 - - 48.5 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 25.0 - - 24.7 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 475 - - 287 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5357 - - 5433 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 23 - - 59 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97806 14 258 25 277 20 280 97806 90417 19 249 19 254 22 273 90417 84714 20 235 17 255 16 262 84714 79972 18 228 19 253 12 263 79972 75879 13 218 20 221 14 272 75879 72261 11 200 16 217 18 247 72261 68998 12 191 15 217 17 228 68998 65998 17 239 16 229 13 229 65998 63198 23 242 18 244 24 272 63198 60479 30 235 30 239 39 248 60479 57651 37 234 41 235 43 231 57651 54701 44 243 48 236 43 237 54701 51871 55 248 53 243 54 247 51871 49321 62 248 62 246 65 247 49321 47026 71 242 70 247 73 244 47026 44941 76 241 77 243 75 243 44941 43036 85 240 77 238 80 242 43036 41286 88 236 78 237 84 239 41286 39663 95 235 88 237 88 237 39663 38149 105 232 103 234 90 236 38149 36733 110 230 114 233 93 235 36733 35381 113 229 120 232 98 232 35381 34028 115 229 122 231 100 229 34028 32642 115 229 122 231 98 229 32642 31226 112 230 119 230 100 230 31226 29762 109 229 117 228 102 230 29762 28239 106 228 114 226 98 229 28239 26659 99 228 105 227 96 230 26659 25025 87 232 92 229 93 233 25025 23348 79 235 86 229 75 236 23348 21632 71 237 79 232 58 239 21632 19862 62 236 67 236 49 245 19862 18025 57 241 54 237 42 245 18025 16156 47 245 47 242 40 246 16156 14360 38 240 43 246 33 253 14360 12731 35 239 38 249 29 258 12731 11288 32 246 30 252 26 265 11288 10011 23 254 19 266 26 274 10011 8870 14*276 18*280 26 280 8870 7849 13*307 18*283 24 287 7849 6937 14 311 19 295 22 300 6937 6128 14 313 19 300 21 308 6128 5408 15 314 20 302 21 311 5408 4760 15 315 20 304 20 312 4760 4181 15 315 19 304 20 313 4181 3696 15 315 19 305 19 314 3696 3322 14 316 19 305 18 314 3322 3063 13 315 17 306 16 314 3063 2905 12 315 15 306 13*314 2905 2815 9 315 11 306 9*313 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography