DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 43.2 - - 39.4 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - -6 - - 4 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 877 - - 1740 - - 1912 - - 1804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 26 - - 45 - - 66 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 251 - - 260 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1934 - - -421 - - -292 - - -420 ODpotential blCL - - - 4749 - - 3236 - - 3107 - - 3234 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 43.2 - - 39.4 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.9 - - 42.2 - - 38.5 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 42.9 - - 39.0 - - 33.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 42.0 - - 38.3 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - -6 - - 4 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95967 19 348 31 022 27 025 22 360 95967 88896 18 337 12 003 9 018 16 335 88896 83376 23 287 12 286 12 295 21 310 83376 78789 21 261 15 261 19 284 20 308 78789 74816 19 254 20 258 24 268 22 284 74816 71306 19 265 18 253 22 263 27 259 71306 68127 25 281 18 254 23 255 29 249 68127 65192 29 275 23 250 25 237 29 233 65192 62452 29 254 25 252 28 250 28 231 62452 59779 32 254 39 255 34 271 44 279 59779 57006 45 251 57 248 71 266 71 255 57006 54143 51 256 64 247 83 251 76 245 54143 51416 65 265 70 251 80 250 77 259 51416 48963 74 258 76 256 80 257 88 262 48963 46762 75 259 82 259 85 260 96 260 46762 44771 84 262 85 258 90 262 98 258 44771 42962 88 261 85 259 94 263 99 258 42962 41309 86 265 85 262 100 264 102 261 41309 39779 88 269 90 263 105 261 105 262 39779 38349 84 266 92 257 110 258 107 259 38349 37005 74 253 91 253 109 257 110 257 37005 35715 74 246 88 252 103 257 110 257 35715 34410 76 243 86 251 99 254 104 256 34410 33064 76 241 84 251 97 247 94 254 33064 31678 76 240 81 249 99 245 87 249 31678 30236 76 238 77 246 101 244 85 243 30236 28723 74 236 72 238 105 243 82 237 28723 27141 75 235 70 235 107 245 81 239 27141 25494 77 237 73 237 96 246 80 237 25494 23790 76 241 72 237 76 243 76 240 23790 22039 72 242 73 235 67 238 66 245 22039 20226 67 241 75 233 66 239 60 250 20226 18340 67 240 77 234 65 241 55 252 18340 16421 69 240 79 245 65 244 52 254 16421 14574 69 241 72 251 62 249 51 255 14574 12892 65 243 62 253 60 255 52 256 12892 11395 60 246 58 246 59 258 52 258 11395 10064 55 243 57 237 57 252 54 258 10064 8880 53 241 56 239 57 247 54 258 8880 7831 53 243 53 240 56 244 52 259 7831 6905 53 239 51 238 49 245 48 256 6905 6091 50 236 46 236 40 251 43 254 6091 5371 43 232 41 237 32 256 38 257 5371 4726 40 230 36 240 27 259 33 267 4726 4156 35 224 31 245 25 260 28 275 4156 3678 28 218 26 247 22 261 24 280 3678 3311 21 212 22 249 19 261 21 281 3311 3057 15 208 18 250 16 260 18 282 3057 2903 11*207 15*251 13*260 15 282 2903 2814 5*207 9*251 9*260 10*282 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography