DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 21.4 - - 23.6 - - 18.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 363 - - 140 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2776 - - 2548 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4363 - - 3821 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5334 - - 5106 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 894 - - 1085 - - 1519 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 412 - - 292 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 18 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 272 - - 276 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4561 - - -4935 - - -5540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9895 - - 10041 - - 8354 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -17660 - - -18020 - - -20355 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 22994 - - 23126 - - 23168 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 37 - - 36 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 21.4 - - 23.6 - - 18.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -11.8 - - -10.1 - - -7.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 19.4 - - 22.5 - - 19.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -12.1 - - -10.8 - - -8.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 363 - - 140 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2776 - - 2548 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95852 24 259 30 259 33 260 95852 88772 20 249 24 260 30 252 88772 83323 23 261 25 256 28 235 83323 78741 34 264 31 266 30 252 78741 74758 45 256 44 268 38 262 74758 71225 51 250 53 262 45 260 71225 68014 50 244 57 253 55 262 68014 65051 53 245 62 247 62 258 65051 62300 61 248 65 245 69 252 62300 59637 70 252 70 251 75 252 59637 56860 81 256 78 255 82 253 56860 53976 95 256 93 254 91 254 53976 51224 110 250 109 251 104 255 51224 48751 120 246 121 248 116 252 48751 46535 127 245 127 246 125 250 46535 44522 131 245 128 246 129 249 44522 42678 134 245 129 246 127 250 42678 40980 136 245 127 247 125 249 40980 39406 134 246 124 249 122 251 39406 37942 134 249 121 251 122 252 37942 36576 137 251 121 252 118 251 36576 35267 142 252 120 252 115 255 35267 33951 145 251 121 252 116 256 33951 32598 142 249 122 254 111 255 32598 31208 138 248 116 255 106 257 31208 29769 132 249 106 255 103 259 29769 28268 123 250 97 257 103 260 28268 26703 112 252 93 259 103 260 26703 25070 105 254 91 259 100 261 25070 23378 102 256 91 258 95 259 23378 21633 99 260 90 259 90 258 21633 19833 93 262 88 261 85 261 19833 17971 85 263 82 263 78 266 17971 16083 77 266 74 265 69 269 16083 14272 71 270 67 267 60 271 14272 12632 69 272 61 270 54 272 12632 11176 66 274 58 273 49 271 11176 9881 61 276 56 278 46 273 9881 8724 53 277 50 283 43 279 8724 7697 45 277 42 284 40 285 7697 6791 37 276 34 279 35 288 6791 5995 25*273 23 273 30 284 5995 5294 21*271 20*274 24 271 5294 4669 21 272 20*275 21 257 4669 4115 20 272 19 276 18 255 4115 3652 20 272 19 277 15 260 3652 3295 19 272 18 277 13 265 3295 3049 17 272 17 277 10 267 3049 2899 15 272 14 278 7 266 2899 2813 11 272 10 277 3*265 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography