DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 13.8 - - 24.7 - - 25.3 - - 17.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 116 - - 38 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 256 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2796 - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2813 - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 542 - - 1597 - - 1853 - - 890 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 130 - - 91 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 252 - - 250 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1741 - - -2105 - - -1736 - - -399 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4554 - - 4919 - - 4550 - - 3212 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11037 - - -6757 - - -8050 - - -12507 ODpotential blCL - - - 13850 - - 9571 - - 10864 - - 15320 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 87 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 13.8 - - 24.7 - - 25.3 - - 17.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.3 - - 13.4 - - 15.6 - - 13.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 13.0 - - 23.6 - - 24.5 - - 19.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.3 - - 12.3 - - 14.5 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 116 - - 38 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 256 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 49 - - 75 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96294 57 217 43 227 52 239 46 243 96294 89083 55 231 49 237 46 233 45 240 89083 83493 47 246 38 234 40 247 47 247 83493 78816 42 252 40 252 47 258 46 259 78816 74816 35 272 36 265 38 255 40 255 74816 71312 35 281 30 289 28 247 34 250 71312 68130 40 274 31 292 21 276 26 282 68130 65176 38 267 40 291 37 297 35 298 65176 62415 43 280 51 288 48 293 48 293 62415 59738 58 288 55 286 55 289 55 290 59738 56952 61 285 57 286 62 288 58 293 56952 54065 54 287 59 286 63 292 64 291 54065 51297 51 290 59 287 69 294 68 287 51297 48785 51 290 58 290 72 291 72 281 48785 46522 52 291 57 295 70 291 75 284 46522 44471 53 293 57 303 73 294 79 286 44471 42601 53 296 62 309 72 296 75 286 42601 40877 53 300 69 312 72 301 70 292 40877 39279 55 303 75 309 74 306 76 301 39279 37796 53 306 77 305 81 310 88 303 37796 36423 53 312 75 306 89 312 98 305 36423 35124 58 315 74 315 96 313 107 309 35124 33826 59 316 83 321 97 313 112 311 33826 32491 55 316 92 319 93 311 111 312 32491 31118 50 312 93 317 88 311 108 311 31118 29694 45 305 89 320 83 311 101 310 29694 28209 42 298 90 323 79 310 92 311 28209 26661 41 295 90 322 76 310 85 310 26661 25050 41 297 89 319 70 310 80 309 25050 23380 38 297 85 320 65 313 73 307 23380 21651 36 297 68 317 63 314 70 304 21651 19858 35 296 52 307 65 312 68 307 19858 17999 32 297 41 297 60 310 63 308 17999 16111 27 296 34 295 51 305 58 307 16111 14295 20 286 29 289 42 298 54 305 14295 12646 17 264 25 272 38 294 49 304 12646 11186 17 250 23 266 36 291 42 300 11186 9890 17 249 24 272 31 284 37 293 9890 8738 18 255 24 276 27 271 35 286 8738 7712 19 264 22 268 29 262 34 282 7712 6804 21 270 21 261 32 260 32 277 6804 6005 22 275 20 261 32 257 30 273 6005 5302 22 278 19 264 30 253 29 271 5302 4673 20 281 18 261 25 250 28 269 4673 4116 19 281 16 256 22 249 26 265 4116 3652 18 275 12 252 16 250 23 258 3652 3295 14 264 11 252 14 250 19 254 3295 3049 10 260 11 252 13 250 14 255 3049 2899 8*259 10*251 11*250 11 255 2899 2813 6*258 7*252 8*250 6*255 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography