DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 73.9 - - 74.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 182 - - 93 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2808 - - 3987 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 5062 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 5366 - - 6545 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1581 - - 1023 - - 5488 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 386 - - 126 - - - W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 275 - - 262 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 752 - - 1161 - - -2510 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4615 - - 5384 - - 5327 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -395 - - 89 - - -3190 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 5761 - - 6456 - - 6007 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 91 - - 91 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 50 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 73.9 - - 74.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 59.7 - - 60.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 72.2 - - 73.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 58.5 - - 59.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 182 - - 93 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2808 - - 3987 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 63 - - 64 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99263 46 085 38 092 33 081 99263 91764 36 078 38 088 33 088 91764 85988 35 083 36 083 31 092 85988 81197 34 089 31 080 29 087 81197 77079 29 084 25 080 27 081 77079 73453 21 075 23 075 25 080 73453 70180 21 062 20 071 22 077 70180 67178 20 065 16 076 14 074 67178 64406 20 054 16 081 11 071 64406 61725 14 036 15 047 13 054 61725 58934 12 004 12 004 16 018 58934 56058 12 327 16 311 17 329 56058 53340 15 302 19 293 24 310 53340 50907 24 302 26 294 30 293 50907 48730 34 297 28 287 39 294 48730 46752 37 287 35 282 41 297 46752 44925 38 286 41 277 44 297 44925 43225 42 286 41 277 42 288 43225 41635 42 286 35 281 37 279 41635 40144 40 285 29 286 34 274 40144 38740 38 274 28 290 27 274 38740 37386 34 270 27 279 20 276 37386 36013 32 272 26 275 21 284 36013 34593 29 270 24 275 26 284 34593 33130 23 268 24 267 25 280 33130 31612 18 265 21 260 24 278 31612 30027 14 263 17 245 24 278 30027 28379 11 273 16 252 23 271 28379 26664 11 297 18 286 21 273 26664 24883 14 304 19 294 21 283 24883 23041 14 305 19 301 23 290 23041 21136 12 303 19 298 22 297 21136 19160 11 297 20 288 20 303 19160 17155 7 289 24 281 19 301 17155 15228 10 309 22 287 21 306 15228 13476 15 307 18 280 23 311 13476 11919 18 300 17 280 23 310 11919 10532 17 297 18 293 19 309 10532 9296 14 298 18 298 18 304 9296 8198 13 302 13 298 11 297 8198 7224 13 301 8*294 10 295 7224 6359 12 301 7*292 9 290 6359 5590 11*301 7 285 9 284 5590 4896 10*299 7 277 9 275 4896 4278 9 298 7 271 8 271 4278 3759 9 296 7 267 8 267 3759 3359 8 294 6 263 8 266 3359 3083 8 294 6 261 8 264 3083 2914 7 293 6 260 7 263 2914 2817 6 292 5 259 5*262 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography