DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.7 - - 54.7 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 236 - - 54 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2951 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4352 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5509 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1737 - - 5108 - - 1610 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 366 - - 100 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 285 - - 286 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1796 - - -5267 - - -2224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7305 - - 8084 - - 5040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8932 - - -12531 - - -11925 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14441 - - 15347 - - 14740 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 50 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.7 - - 54.7 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 33.4 - - 29.0 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.0 - - 53.9 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.1 - - 28.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 236 - - 54 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2951 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96664 43 264 49 262 41 261 96664 89298 29 257 30 262 36 256 89298 83703 21 257 23 272 25 273 83703 79124 16 260 22 276 16 275 79124 75177 6 253 14 270 8 281 75177 71678 21 299 23 296 18 309 71678 68528 22 288 21 292 25 283 68528 65652 7 298 7 337 12 279 65652 62958 4 319 12 344 21 301 62958 60299 36 286 38 295 38 294 60299 57509 57 282 56 282 55 286 57509 54610 66 283 67 278 66 285 54610 51833 73 282 74 281 75 281 51833 49329 78 281 80 282 78 280 49329 47091 82 279 84 281 77 281 47091 45076 88 279 88 282 82 281 45076 43251 95 277 97 279 83 282 43251 41578 94 277 97 277 86 286 41578 40030 95 280 93 283 95 286 40030 38592 97 282 97 288 101 282 38592 37252 97 282 104 287 108 283 37252 35963 94 282 104 285 110 284 35963 34658 88 283 99 285 102 285 34658 33306 81 284 95 285 94 285 33306 31912 76 283 88 286 86 285 31912 30463 70 281 82 288 81 283 30463 28948 63 281 75 284 77 284 28948 27367 58 282 57 280 74 285 27367 25720 58 283 49 276 71 285 25720 24008 60 286 49 279 67 282 24008 22235 56 289 48 290 61 277 22235 20401 52 290 44 293 50 271 20401 18499 52 285 43 287 41 265 18499 16564 53 281 47 284 38 266 16564 14697 51 280 47 284 36 273 14697 12998 46 281 44 284 32 278 12998 11491 42 281 40 282 29 280 11491 10158 42 280 38 280 30 283 10158 8978 40 279 36 281 29 286 8978 7932 38 281 32 284 27 288 7932 7002 33 285 28 284 26 289 7002 6178 28*286 24 284 25 288 6178 5445 24*285 22 285 23 284 5445 4786 24 285 22 285 20 281 4786 4200 23 285 21 286 17 283 4200 3707 22 285 20 286 14 288 3707 3328 21 285 19 286 12 291 3328 3066 19 285 17 286 10 291 3066 2907 17 284 14*286 6 286 2907 2815 12 284 10*286 4*283 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography