DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 33.4 - - 34.1 - - 30.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 83 - - -2 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1236 - - 1886 - - 1759 - - 658 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 118 - - 41 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 229 - - 239 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -179 - - -1195 - - -702 - - -5 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2993 - - 4009 - - 3516 - - 2819 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -688 - - -5919 - - -4367 - - -5028 ODpotential blCL - - - 3502 - - 8733 - - 7181 - - 7842 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 89 - - 83 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.1 - - 33.4 - - 34.1 - - 30.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.1 - - 25.9 - - 28.8 - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.2 - - 32.4 - - 33.7 - - 31.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 24.8 - - 27.9 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 83 - - -2 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 58 - - 32 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95866 37 242 50 244 57 250 57 249 95866 88634 31 246 42 250 40 257 41 260 88634 83081 27 263 33 239 40 256 38 258 83081 78452 42 268 31 253 40 254 41 271 78452 74449 47 268 40 258 46 258 51 272 74449 70925 45 271 42 256 47 257 55 266 70925 67746 51 270 46 263 45 261 50 259 67746 64811 52 259 52 269 47 267 52 272 64811 62091 52 261 55 265 53 274 58 268 62091 59465 59 268 59 264 62 269 56 267 59465 56716 68 268 68 263 63 260 57 266 56716 53834 75 264 72 264 68 265 53 263 53834 51046 79 260 79 264 84 269 67 276 51046 48535 86 257 89 262 87 261 88 276 48535 46320 88 256 90 257 82 257 93 266 46320 44339 88 263 89 259 86 265 85 254 44339 42522 93 264 91 261 89 263 51 256 42522 40824 94 262 95 258 78 261 58 280 40824 39242 91 261 94 253 69 263 82 291 39242 37792 92 263 86 254 70 261 86 285 37792 36456 93 266 86 258 72 261 68 287 36456 35183 92 271 90 261 70 265 55 291 35183 33900 95 273 87 258 61 263 50 291 33900 32580 92 269 83 254 60 256 58 289 32580 31220 88 265 86 253 63 254 67 288 31220 29805 81 265 89 253 60 258 70 289 29805 28322 72 265 90 252 58 266 66 287 28322 26776 69 268 83 252 57 268 59 281 26776 25167 76 266 77 252 55 268 54 278 25167 23497 76 259 72 254 51 264 43 276 23497 21766 73 257 67 257 49 262 45 279 21766 19963 67 261 58 257 48 264 46 278 19963 18090 49 265 52 260 43 267 38 271 18090 16193 40 267 45 267 38 270 29 260 16193 14377 37 267 37 278 34 271 28 258 14377 12736 32 273 33 281 29 268 30 259 12736 11284 28 278 30 279 27 268 32 264 11284 9996 27 279 26 278 29 273 35 269 9996 8846 25 278 23 279 30 277 38 268 8846 7820 23 276 23 279 30 277 38 265 7820 6905 20 273 22 273 28 273 37 263 6905 6094 18 276 21 262 26 267 37 262 6094 5374 16 280 20 245 27 254 36 255 5374 4727 16 272 20 230 25 243 36 243 4727 4155 14 248 15 225 21 238 33 234 4155 3677 13 242 14 225 18 237 28 231 3677 3310 11 241 13 227 15 238 22 230 3310 3056 9 241 12 227 13 239 15 230 3056 2903 8*241 10 228 11 239 11 230 2903 2814 6*241 7*229 7*239 5*231 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography