DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.0 - - 36.7 - - 36.6 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 105 - - 23 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4475 - - 4265 - - 5279 - - 3302 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 115 - - 125 - - 77 - - 63 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 324 - - 328 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -654 - - -439 - - -1276 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3470 - - 3253 - - 4091 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1113 - - -796 - - -1829 - - -547 ODpotential blCL - - - 3928 - - 3610 - - 4644 - - 3362 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.0 - - 36.7 - - 36.6 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 32.3 - - 28.5 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 35.6 - - 35.9 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 31.7 - - 28.0 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 105 - - 23 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96425 58 244 69 244 65 249 64 255 96425 89091 42 244 51 243 46 250 47 254 89091 83527 35 248 29 251 30 254 35 256 83527 78935 27 248 22 241 26 259 22 263 78935 74969 19 269 17 251 20 235 19 259 74969 71447 18 292 15 272 18 230 21 253 71447 68261 14 284 6 258 19 254 24 259 68261 65332 23 284 9 281 14 253 22 253 65332 62593 35 284 27 280 18 269 19 256 62593 59904 39 275 37 276 33 272 29 275 59904 57073 38 261 46 267 43 266 38 267 57073 54111 38 251 50 257 47 262 40 264 54111 51263 39 252 47 254 48 262 44 265 51263 48692 43 260 46 254 50 263 50 268 48692 46389 52 259 48 251 53 261 52 268 46389 44301 56 255 50 247 53 260 51 267 44301 42385 58 255 48 246 50 260 50 266 42385 40618 60 256 47 248 50 260 49 265 40618 38979 64 255 48 251 50 260 46 265 38979 37451 67 254 50 253 47 261 44 267 37451 36022 70 253 51 255 43 263 44 267 36022 34656 70 252 53 258 40 263 44 265 34656 33288 67 250 56 257 39 263 42 264 33288 31891 67 249 58 251 41 263 37 270 31891 30477 69 246 56 248 44 256 37 277 30477 29031 66 244 56 248 47 250 33 279 29031 27541 63 246 56 247 50 244 28 279 27541 26013 60 248 54 245 52 238 24 277 26013 24439 55 251 53 240 50 237 17 287 24439 22820 50 256 52 237 45 238 16 319 22820 21158 46 259 50 239 36 242 19 318 21158 19449 45 260 44 242 26 262 18 300 19449 17680 42 264 34 251 17 270 18 304 17680 15880 35 266 26 265 17 319 19 314 15880 14145 28 270 18 282 16 327 12 309 14145 12560 18 281 7 328 13 339 12 311 12560 11144 10 304 6 010 17 352 14 332 11144 9882 9 328 11 004 20 351 17 347 9882 8758 14 332 14 347 18 345 16 345 8758 7753 20 330 15 324 18 340 18 341 7753 6858 22 324 16 322 17 338 21 340 6858 6063 22 319 17 324 17 337 22 340 6063 5356 21 316 17 328 17 335 23 340 5356 4719 20 313 17 328 16 334 22 339 4719 4153 19 311 16 328 14 332 21 338 4153 3677 17 309 15 327 14 331 18 336 3677 3310 16 308 14 326 13 330 15 334 3310 3057 14 308 13 326 11 329 12 332 3057 2903 12*307 11 325 9*328 9*331 2903 2815 9*306 8*324 7*328 6*330 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography