DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.1 - - 49.3 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 107 - - 24 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1942 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3304 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4500 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 924 - - 2823 - - 1680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 254 - - 80 - - 22 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 278 - - 291 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -630 - - -835 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5130 - - 3650 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9113 - - -1382 - - -632 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13613 - - 4197 - - 3447 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.1 - - 49.3 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.6 - - 43.2 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 50.0 - - 48.6 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.4 - - 42.7 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 107 - - 24 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1942 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 90 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96080 42 259 36 263 36 258 96080 89048 21 279 24 269 22 280 89048 83612 10 257 18 268 23 296 83612 79095 8 339 8 300 12 286 79095 75176 19 296 22 309 12 302 75176 71692 11 239 22 293 23 307 71692 68545 10 325 18 284 24 288 68545 65644 25 292 21 280 21 283 65644 62929 36 283 30 278 31 285 62929 60284 39 280 40 279 41 283 60284 57529 49 278 46 280 51 284 57529 54674 53 279 51 283 60 283 54674 51944 56 280 57 283 65 281 51944 49486 54 281 59 282 65 286 49486 47289 57 284 60 286 64 289 47289 45304 57 284 62 285 68 288 45304 43491 57 286 60 289 70 286 43491 41823 63 291 66 294 69 297 41823 40283 70 292 68 294 76 301 40283 38848 69 295 71 295 76 297 38848 37498 72 301 70 298 73 295 37498 36196 77 300 67 302 68 294 36196 34882 70 300 69 300 61 292 34882 33528 69 303 67 295 56 289 33528 32134 69 303 67 291 56 288 32134 30685 72 304 63 289 59 285 30685 29167 72 305 61 288 57 280 29167 27581 67 302 61 286 54 283 27581 25925 63 299 63 288 52 285 25925 24202 61 299 61 290 48 286 24202 22416 62 299 56 295 44 285 22416 20563 55 296 50 295 45 284 20563 18635 50 287 45 291 48 288 18635 16675 49 278 45 286 44 291 16675 14790 48 276 44 285 40 290 14790 13080 44 282 42 288 37 290 13080 11561 38 293 38 294 33 294 11561 10210 36 301 34 298 30 299 10210 9009 37 300 32 298 29 299 9009 7942 39 295 32 296 29 299 7942 6998 39 292 33 296 28 301 6998 6165 35 289 30 297 26 302 6165 5428 29 286 28 296 24 301 5428 4767 22*282 23 294 20 298 4767 4185 19*279 21 293 17 298 4185 3698 18 278 19 293 16 299 3698 3323 17 278 18 293 14 297 3323 3063 15 278 16 293 11 294 3063 2906 13 277 13 292 9 290 2906 2815 9 277 9*291 5*287 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography