DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.5 - - 36.0 - - 35.9 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 38 - - -11 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1137 - - 1467 - - 1282 - - 480 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 92 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 240 - - 241 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -656 - - -1130 - - -19 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3470 - - 3944 - - 2835 - - 2814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8913 - - -7224 - - -3719 - - -4047 ODpotential blCL - - - 11727 - - 10038 - - 6534 - - 6861 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 86 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.5 - - 36.0 - - 35.9 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 28.8 - - 33.4 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 35.2 - - 36.5 - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.8 - - 27.7 - - 33.2 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 38 - - -11 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 45 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96322 41 211 47 231 41 243 35 267 96322 89101 47 233 43 237 44 248 43 259 89101 83531 38 254 34 234 40 255 38 252 83531 78927 31 258 26 242 30 247 34 245 78927 74970 27 270 21 267 26 245 32 245 74970 71476 35 281 22 271 24 250 28 253 71476 68306 38 276 26 266 24 255 26 266 68306 65366 34 270 30 269 29 263 30 258 65366 62621 36 262 36 264 34 263 35 255 62621 59969 33 260 40 260 41 270 42 259 59969 57201 39 267 49 269 55 266 51 264 57201 54312 59 266 63 266 66 257 66 264 54312 51542 64 267 68 263 70 260 74 262 51542 49040 69 272 76 267 76 262 78 259 49040 46782 76 271 88 264 84 264 83 257 46782 44719 78 270 93 260 93 262 87 257 44719 42820 79 269 94 257 97 260 93 256 42820 41066 84 269 89 258 96 259 98 254 41066 39441 95 264 89 262 95 256 103 252 39441 37931 99 256 93 258 99 254 103 251 37931 36529 94 256 94 253 100 254 102 251 36529 35203 96 258 89 253 99 256 102 252 35203 33887 96 255 87 253 97 256 104 251 33887 32546 91 253 86 253 94 254 103 251 32546 31177 90 254 83 254 87 253 96 249 31177 29762 88 258 81 254 80 251 90 248 29762 28287 87 259 78 254 78 252 86 250 28287 26750 85 261 74 255 78 254 82 254 26750 25152 85 262 73 256 77 256 80 257 25152 23494 84 264 71 258 73 256 80 258 23494 21780 78 265 68 259 67 257 76 262 21780 20004 70 267 65 260 61 258 70 266 20004 18158 60 267 63 260 57 259 61 268 18158 16286 54 266 58 260 55 260 47 258 16286 14489 50 268 53 263 54 260 46 268 14489 12851 48 268 51 267 53 259 45 261 12851 11388 44 268 50 268 52 261 42 254 11388 10081 38 270 47 266 49 263 38 254 10081 8914 34 274 41 263 46 262 35 254 8914 7874 32 277 33 258 43 261 34 254 7874 6947 31 280 25 255 38 261 33 252 6947 6127 30 283 20 252 34 260 34 249 6127 5400 29 283 19 248 32 256 35 247 5400 4748 25 277 21 240 30 246 35 244 4748 4169 22 265 20 236 26 238 33 241 4169 3686 20 250 17 236 20 237 27 234 3686 3314 17 246 13 239 15 239 20 227 3314 3059 13 246 12 239 12 240 13 225 3059 2903 11*245 10 240 9*241 10 226 2903 2814 7*245 7*240 5*241 4*228 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography