DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 66.7 - - 62.9 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 138 - - 42 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2094 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 3531 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 4652 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1272 - - 1046 - - 2329 - - 1137 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 107 - - 279 - - 94 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 13 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 164 - - 151 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1626 - - -1107 - - -2086 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4442 - - 5759 - - 4902 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6215 - - -5142 - - -6112 - - -5015 ODpotential blCL - - - 9031 - - 9794 - - 8928 - - 7831 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 69 - - 78 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 66.7 - - 62.9 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 51.2 - - 51.2 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 65.3 - - 62.1 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 50.3 - - 50.8 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 138 - - 42 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2094 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96736 81 246 94 250 96 255 93 253 96736 89504 61 253 58 245 62 254 61 265 89504 83983 27 259 32 265 32 251 33 258 83983 79421 13 285 16 255 28 265 12 288 79421 75496 14 300 7 301 9 259 10 288 75496 72023 12 317 12 325 3 017 3 310 72023 68874 10 327 12 319 7 008 1 247 68874 65978 10 302 10 306 10 338 6 296 65978 63286 8 284 8 293 11 322 10 304 63286 60665 5 311 8 313 10 320 10 311 60665 57934 5 332 8 325 10 319 8 309 57934 55136 11 340 10 330 11 328 5 349 55136 52512 14 333 14 324 12 330 8 010 52512 50171 21 010 12 337 13 328 10 360 50171 48065 31 012 12 022 8 311 6 345 48065 46137 26 007 14 023 3 011 0 238 46137 44356 12 351 10 355 3 012 5 140 44356 42698 8 296 9 270 7 269 4 148 42698 41147 13 250 16 242 11 258 3 238 41147 39690 11 222 18 227 21 235 9 257 39690 38319 11 198 18 218 24 216 14 244 38319 36995 13 198 18 206 22 214 16 240 36995 35651 11 203 18 205 21 216 19 233 35651 34260 12 215 17 212 21 218 23 231 34260 32824 15 215 20 227 23 224 25 232 32824 31332 15 211 20 232 24 229 25 229 31332 29773 15 214 19 235 20 230 23 223 29773 28151 12 231 19 244 16 245 19 207 28151 26462 14 252 15 261 12 247 14 194 26462 24706 13 265 4 259 6 216 12 178 24706 22882 10 297 1 160 6 175 14 175 22882 20986 5 337 4 144 11 179 16 188 20986 19014 1 337 6 178 11 203 13 209 19014 17011 3 157 8 189 9 213 11 216 17011 15088 6 196 7 220 8 202 8 207 15088 13345 9 196 9 217 8 198 11 201 13345 11801 11 198 11 209 12 207 16 196 11801 10431 10 211 13 206 16 199 18 199 10431 9210 14 207 16 200 16 197 18 201 9210 8119 15 204 15 200 14 203 17 202 8119 7149 13 210 15 203 14 204 17 202 7149 6288 13 211 16 194 15 194 18 200 6288 5523 15 198 17 182 17 177 20 194 5523 4838 19 185 15*173 16 163 22 183 4838 4233 20 178 14*167 16 159 24 173 4233 3728 18 175 14 165 15 157 23 168 3728 3340 12 168 13 164 14 155 18 161 3340 3073 10 166 12 163 13 154 14 154 3073 2910 9 165 10 162 11 152 10*147 2910 2816 6*164 8 161 7*151 4*134 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography