DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.2 - - 79.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 68 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2594 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3971 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5152 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3136 - - 5698 - - 4678 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 318 - - 118 - - 46 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 228 - - 241 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 581 - - -1594 - - -907 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4571 - - 4412 - - 3725 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -664 - - -2617 - - -2293 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5816 - - 5435 - - 5111 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 85 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2170 - - 2220 - - 2180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.2 - - 79.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.2 - - 68.8 - - 69.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.6 - - 78.0 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.1 - - 67.6 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 68 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2594 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 38 - - 42 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99352 41 090 34 100 23 081 99352 91843 32 085 30 093 28 083 91843 86032 28 079 26 080 26 083 86032 81205 21 081 25 074 27 084 81205 77058 20 093 22 063 26 078 77058 73416 17 099 12 089 18 077 73416 70128 15 091 16 097 14 087 70128 67107 12 085 12 059 14 054 67107 64326 11 084 8 052 11 031 64326 61648 17 037 11 063 12 026 61648 58876 21 345 18 353 22 345 58876 56030 18 331 21 322 23 329 56030 53343 24 335 30 325 34 327 53343 50944 35 324 40 319 40 321 50944 48785 43 323 44 319 44 322 48785 46806 48 321 39 324 37 318 46806 44972 52 331 45 346 32 318 44972 43262 64 344 67 346 50 337 43262 41671 69 342 73 339 62 333 41671 40184 64 337 69 336 59 329 40184 38784 59 335 62 337 45 328 38784 37432 54 337 55 341 42 324 37432 36060 49 339 51 343 40 314 36060 34641 44 330 45 348 35 310 34641 33183 38 319 40 339 26 321 33183 31667 27 311 41 328 24 326 31667 30082 20 293 31 323 29 321 30082 28428 21 297 24 310 28 320 28428 26712 20 303 20 289 23 310 26712 24936 15 307 20 284 18 292 24936 23098 16 298 18 288 16 292 23098 21194 17 297 14 298 15 286 21194 19221 16 302 11 301 14 280 19221 17219 13 299 9 288 15 274 17219 15293 12 282 14 269 22 272 15293 13543 13 268 15 263 22 260 13543 11987 13 255 14 262 19 254 11987 10603 14 248 15 256 17 240 10603 9366 13 244 17 248 16 234 9366 8261 12 236 16 245 14 233 8261 7277 11 231 15 246 12 236 7277 6402 11 230 13 246 13 239 6402 5624 10*229 13 246 13 240 5624 4921 9*230 12 246 14 241 4921 4296 9 229 11 246 14 243 4296 3771 9 228 10 245 14 243 3771 3366 8 227 9 244 13 244 3366 3086 7 226 8 243 12 245 3086 2916 7 226 7*243 10*245 2916 2818 6 224 6*241 6*244 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography