DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 11.9 - - 18.0 - - 15.2 - - 7.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 157 - - 72 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 2133 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2796 - - 3601 - - 2796 - - 2796 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2813 - - 4691 - - 2813 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1632 - - 1277 - - 2702 - - 1762 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 117 - - 289 - - 110 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 13 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 056 - - 016 - - 348 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -467 - - 1322 - - -708 - - -463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3281 - - 3369 - - 3521 - - 3276 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -735 - - 526 - - -1061 - - -1042 ODpotential blCL - - - 3548 - - 4165 - - 3874 - - 3855 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 94 - - 90 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 11.9 - - 18.0 - - 15.2 - - 7.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.9 - - 13.4 - - 10.0 - - 3.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 10.8 - - 16.6 - - 14.2 - - 7.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.2 - - 12.3 - - 9.2 - - 3.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 157 - - 72 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 2133 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 77 - - 62 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96182 86 214 69 215 67 233 62 231 96182 88818 66 227 70 221 63 226 64 234 88818 83212 61 244 63 221 59 231 59 234 83212 78564 49 248 54 229 61 234 50 232 78564 74509 47 245 56 238 55 232 56 242 74509 70890 48 250 50 247 55 234 60 249 70890 67624 51 258 52 251 61 254 59 251 67624 64639 53 258 57 253 64 253 58 253 64639 61873 58 255 58 246 55 242 55 251 61873 59176 57 256 56 242 50 244 51 251 59176 56337 64 263 57 251 52 251 53 256 56337 53374 73 259 65 253 59 255 60 256 53374 50534 74 250 68 248 68 250 62 252 50534 47970 74 245 67 244 72 242 63 248 47970 45671 75 242 66 242 69 238 63 241 45671 43583 76 240 68 241 64 238 57 234 43583 41668 76 238 68 241 61 237 46 236 41668 39903 74 237 71 238 57 234 41 240 39903 38270 72 236 73 234 56 230 38 236 38270 36754 72 232 72 229 52 228 35 230 36754 35342 72 229 66 225 49 226 31 227 35342 33996 69 228 62 222 45 226 26 227 33996 32648 67 226 59 220 41 223 26 222 32648 31274 70 225 57 219 39 218 25 215 31274 29881 76 225 56 220 40 215 27 209 29881 28458 83 224 59 220 45 212 31 205 28458 26999 89 221 64 217 53 208 37 199 26999 25501 89 218 67 213 58 204 41 192 25501 23958 83 214 68 211 59 200 40 186 23958 22370 73 213 67 207 55 197 32 182 22370 20743 64 214 59 203 43 188 20 163 20743 19067 53 212 44 197 36 164 21 136 19067 17322 42 205 36 180 38 162 21 140 17322 15543 34 200 35 173 29 170 12 148 15543 13830 30 197 30 174 17 167 8 090 13830 12270 26 195 18 170 9 144 10 050 12270 10880 20 190 9 178 5 056 15 035 10880 9640 12 185 4 115 10 045 18 035 9640 8533 4 135 11 054 16 040 20 028 8533 7548 5 032 14 044 19 029 22 022 7548 6672 8 027 16 038 20 028 23 020 6672 5899 11 047 16 032 17 021 22 017 5899 5218 17 052 14*021 16 010 25 003 5218 4610 17 052 15*018 18 356 28 345 4610 4074 14 053 14 016 18 353 28 339 4074 3626 12 054 14 016 18 351 26 337 3626 3280 11 055 13 015 17 350 23 336 3280 3041 10 055 12 015 16 349 19 334 3041 2896 9*056 11 015 13*349 15*333 2896 2813 6*056 8 015 9*348 9*332 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography