DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 34.1 - - 31.5 - - 30.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 10 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1030 - - 1250 - - 1507 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 58 - - 40 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 076 - - 063 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -122 - - 0 - - -226 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2936 - - 2814 - - 3040 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 34.1 - - 31.5 - - 30.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 33.6 - - 31.4 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.4 - - 31.0 - - 29.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.4 - - 31.5 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 10 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96224 38 235 34 231 33 239 96224 88974 39 237 33 243 34 254 88974 83416 27 264 25 252 29 257 83416 78814 19 267 21 255 25 241 78814 74820 19 266 23 264 27 254 74820 71287 21 264 18 263 31 260 71287 68108 22 266 18 278 26 260 68108 65192 26 260 23 276 26 263 65192 62473 29 249 27 261 31 257 62473 59807 34 257 33 252 33 256 59807 56997 48 257 44 257 45 260 56997 54061 59 253 60 253 55 258 54061 51243 65 250 67 251 66 254 51243 48703 65 252 72 247 73 249 48703 46431 72 256 75 249 83 246 46431 44374 85 252 82 248 84 242 44374 42491 88 247 85 247 79 240 42491 40759 80 246 85 247 73 243 40759 39155 79 251 85 248 73 249 39155 37664 93 252 85 249 79 250 37664 36273 101 248 95 248 85 247 36273 34948 95 244 97 242 90 243 34948 33624 98 243 95 240 91 238 33624 32278 109 242 101 240 94 236 32278 30909 111 239 107 238 96 235 30909 29497 107 232 107 237 100 234 29497 28026 107 224 103 234 103 235 28026 26492 110 224 97 230 97 239 26492 24901 103 233 87 230 67 241 24901 23260 70 244 72 235 48 237 23260 21570 62 241 60 238 43 239 21570 19819 58 238 56 235 44 243 19819 17995 50 239 58 237 41 244 17995 16135 40 239 46 241 36 245 16135 14342 33 239 37 238 32 250 14342 12708 31 240 36 238 27 253 12708 11254 28 242 32 243 23 253 11254 9962 24 246 26 244 22 249 9962 8815 22 242 22 239 20 247 8815 7790 24 235 20 235 18 251 7790 6877 22 235 16 239 14 255 6877 6068 17 237 12 237 9 256 6068 5352 14 236 8 223 3 232 5352 4711 10 229 6 195 5 041 4711 4144 6 207 4 118 10 033 4144 3671 3 139 6 072 10 028 3671 3307 4 084 5 069 10 027 3307 3055 4 081 5 067 8 026 3055 2902 3 079 4 064 6*026 2902 2814 3*076 2*063 4*024 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography