DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 54.1 - - 56.1 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 447 - - 246 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1895 - - 4080 - - 5095 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3646 - - 5440 - - 5996 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4453 - - 6638 - - 7653 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 644 - - 1292 - - 1490 - - 4697 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 505 - - 447 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 298 - - 287 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -9 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2302 - - -1772 - - -1580 - - -5271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6756 - - 8411 - - 9233 - - 8087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10654 - - -7647 - - -7268 - - -10877 ODpotential blCL - - - 15107 - - 14285 - - 14921 - - 13693 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 63 - - 76 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 54.1 - - 56.1 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.9 - - 27.0 - - 25.4 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 51.5 - - 54.4 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.8 - - 26.0 - - 24.4 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 447 - - 246 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1895 - - 4080 - - 5095 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96716 25 248 28 244 33 254 38 266 96716 89361 29 255 23 254 33 259 33 269 89361 83755 28 251 18 270 23 252 26 251 83755 79111 14 245 18 245 23 264 22 257 79111 75108 3 235 14 209 22 250 21 268 75108 71583 11 236 10 225 19 227 19 252 71583 68394 14 227 19 240 22 240 22 246 68394 65458 18 245 23 242 23 246 24 249 65458 62733 28 258 24 258 22 259 26 256 62733 60089 32 259 31 264 32 270 37 263 60089 57327 40 261 43 264 42 263 45 257 57327 54442 47 262 48 259 48 257 48 257 54442 51662 54 262 52 258 54 254 55 256 51662 49141 62 261 59 257 60 255 61 256 49141 46887 70 261 66 255 67 257 66 258 46887 44862 76 256 72 254 74 254 75 258 44862 43041 78 255 79 252 78 252 82 249 43041 41394 90 260 90 253 88 254 88 246 41394 39883 118 257 111 252 107 250 100 246 39883 38472 137 252 125 245 113 242 107 242 38472 37137 135 250 127 239 112 240 105 238 37137 35842 131 250 127 238 111 240 105 239 35842 34525 126 249 124 241 111 241 105 241 34525 33158 123 251 123 247 112 243 103 246 33158 31748 107 255 112 253 104 250 92 253 31748 30288 86 256 89 257 92 254 78 257 30288 28769 77 258 74 262 81 264 72 264 28769 27188 71 260 68 265 72 271 67 273 27188 25549 66 258 64 265 65 272 61 277 25549 23853 60 256 59 265 61 272 54 273 23853 22103 57 255 56 267 58 267 50 268 22103 20291 55 258 55 268 55 262 48 271 20291 18410 53 261 53 268 52 268 47 275 18410 16495 49 265 50 266 49 271 45 273 16495 14653 45 268 47 265 46 269 42 269 14653 12979 42 272 44 270 41 270 38 273 12979 11492 40 281 39 278 39 281 37 285 11492 10170 38 289 36 289 39 292 37 295 10170 8993 35 294 35 298 29 291 35 294 8993 7946 33 300 33 304 22*287 30 288 7946 7015 32 307 26*304 22*287 27 287 7015 6190 31 311 21*301 22 287 26 288 6190 5456 29 312 20 300 21 287 25 288 5456 4795 22*311 18 298 21 287 25 289 4795 4206 16*307 17 297 21 287 23 289 4206 3711 15 306 16 297 20 287 22 289 3711 3331 14 305 15 296 19 287 18 288 3331 3067 13 304 14 296 18 287 15 286 3067 2907 11 304 13 296 15 287 11*285 2907 2816 9 303 10 295 11 287 6*284 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography