DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 10.6 - - 12.3 - - 9.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 77 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 255 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2796 - - 2796 - - 2796 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2813 - - 2813 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1919 - - 1911 - - 1365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 133 - - 112 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 292 - - 292 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -145 - - -360 - - -208 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2958 - - 3173 - - 3022 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -330 - - -651 - - -801 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3143 - - 3464 - - 3614 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 10.6 - - 12.3 - - 9.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 8.0 - - 8.8 - - 6.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 9.4 - - 11.5 - - 9.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 7.8 - - 8.3 - - 6.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 77 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 255 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 103 - - 100 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96401 49 221 53 225 52 234 96401 89012 56 223 62 237 59 244 89012 83379 56 231 56 223 49 233 83379 78695 54 225 48 234 53 243 78695 74623 43 225 56 244 57 252 74623 71053 41 244 48 247 50 249 71053 67839 47 247 35 248 34 251 67839 64860 45 247 38 260 35 257 64860 62066 46 255 45 261 41 265 62066 59336 47 264 51 264 46 270 59336 56486 50 265 54 266 50 271 56486 53529 51 261 56 264 52 271 53529 50700 51 260 56 258 50 271 50700 48145 49 259 49 256 48 273 48145 45849 47 264 44 266 49 277 45849 43760 47 274 47 275 50 281 43760 41851 49 280 46 277 50 283 41851 40097 49 279 44 285 46 281 40097 38477 42 282 46 286 42 284 38477 36978 40 287 44 287 40 287 36978 35587 41 289 42 292 42 292 35587 34266 38 297 45 301 44 299 34266 32949 37 309 47 307 45 304 32949 31609 37 316 47 314 46 310 31609 30249 37 323 50 322 49 315 30249 28854 41 327 54 326 49 317 28854 27407 45 330 56 327 49 319 27407 25907 48 335 54 329 48 321 25907 24352 50 337 49 331 45 324 24352 22744 48 338 45 333 42 327 22744 21085 45 338 42 334 39 328 21085 19368 42 339 39 335 35 328 19368 17583 39 343 35 333 33 328 17583 15767 35 345 31 324 30 329 15767 14018 31 346 27 321 27 329 14018 12427 27 346 25 323 26 328 12427 11012 26 345 25 327 25 329 11012 9751 27 343 26 332 25 332 9751 8625 29 341 29 335 26 336 8625 7622 31 340 31 336 27 338 7622 6730 34 339 32 336 28 338 6730 5942 35 333 34 333 29 337 5942 5245 34 325 32 324 30 328 5245 4625 28 310 26 306 28 307 4625 4082 24 300 24 298 26 293 4082 3630 23 298 23 297 24 289 3630 3283 21 296 21 296 22 287 3283 3043 19 295 19 295 19 286 3043 2897 16*294 16*294 15*285 2897 2813 11*292 11*292 10*283 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography