DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.8 - - 69.7 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 285 - - 77 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5250 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6206 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7808 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2408 - - 8048 - - 1027 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 482 - - 117 - - 34 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 271 - - 283 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 124 - - -4950 - - -436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7685 - - 7768 - - 3253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1722 - - -5482 - - -2710 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9530 - - 8299 - - 5527 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 80 - - 120 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.8 - - 69.7 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.8 - - 45.4 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.7 - - 68.7 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.6 - - 44.4 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 285 - - 77 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5250 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 78 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98047 7 152 9 212 16 287 98047 90626 9 185 10 198 10 253 90626 84916 9 210 7 217 6 236 84916 80181 13 228 11 249 5 255 80181 76084 11 217 13 229 12 260 76084 72453 10 194 10 205 15 236 72453 69182 10 220 10 220 13 231 69182 66187 19 245 17 255 17 263 66187 63408 21 237 25 249 28 256 63408 60722 23 251 30 249 32 255 60722 57923 31 253 33 251 37 255 57923 55013 41 254 41 251 44 254 55013 52242 46 258 46 258 45 251 52242 49756 49 261 53 259 46 262 49756 47529 56 258 61 256 59 264 47529 45532 65 247 72 250 76 252 45532 43731 65 242 67 246 70 246 43731 42069 66 247 65 250 71 255 42069 40520 74 259 73 258 73 257 40520 39071 76 253 75 255 74 257 39071 37712 76 247 74 250 74 254 37712 36404 73 246 75 248 73 250 36404 35083 72 250 77 248 75 249 35083 33715 71 251 77 254 76 248 33715 32303 70 250 77 260 73 249 32303 30834 69 249 64 258 70 251 30834 29300 64 249 59 252 63 252 29300 27700 59 252 60 251 58 256 27700 26033 57 253 53 253 54 257 26033 24303 55 253 46 258 43 254 24303 22513 49 255 44 261 40 251 22513 20660 45 259 44 263 43 255 20660 18741 43 265 42 258 42 265 18741 16798 39 262 35 262 33 268 16798 14929 27 259 30 267 26 265 14929 13228 23 264 27 270 27 267 13228 11714 20 266 23 268 27 274 11714 10368 18 272 21 267 24 279 10368 9167 15 278 17 269 23 278 9167 8095 14*277 17 271 23 274 8095 7138 14*276 16 273 21 269 7138 6288 14 275 16 276 19 264 6288 5532 13 273 16 279 18 263 5532 4850 13 271 15 281 17 265 4850 4244 13 270 15 283 16 266 4244 3736 12 268 15 283 14 266 3736 3344 11 267 14 283 11 261 3344 3075 11 266 13 284 7 252 3075 2911 10 266 12*283 5*250 2911 2817 8 265 9*283 3*248 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography