DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.6 - - 71.6 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3384 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4515 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5942 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3234 - - 3537 - - 1903 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 341 - - 44 - - 41 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 175 - - 160 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 183 - - -987 - - -31 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5760 - - 3805 - - 2848 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1423 - - -2546 - - -2328 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7365 - - 5363 - - 5145 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 220 - - 270 - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.6 - - 71.6 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.6 - - 64.1 - - 66.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.2 - - 71.6 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.7 - - 63.6 - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3384 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 96 - - 103 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99344 41 094 38 090 35 080 99344 91846 39 083 34 085 35 071 91846 86077 37 078 29 076 33 070 86077 81303 29 074 28 081 29 074 81303 77190 23 080 28 082 25 087 77190 73551 24 085 23 093 19 087 73551 70255 20 080 22 087 15 089 70255 67224 13 076 16 074 14 073 67224 64425 10 091 10 074 9 076 64425 61728 10 113 4 084 7 054 61728 58925 7 085 2 085 4 083 58925 56036 4 303 6 304 2 011 56036 53323 6 295 12 273 9 273 53323 50917 8 266 12 263 17 267 50917 48765 12 276 13 269 21 265 48765 46800 9 255 13 258 21 247 46800 44980 10 271 12 246 21 238 44980 43281 25 281 18 254 25 239 43281 41688 35 272 23 243 27 237 41688 40188 37 261 27 231 30 232 40188 38769 31 250 29 224 33 232 38769 37401 29 243 32 229 37 233 37401 36019 28 238 32 231 37 234 36019 34594 26 237 28 231 39 234 34594 33125 25 246 26 235 36 230 33125 31598 24 255 26 248 28 225 31598 30002 22 254 26 253 27 224 30002 28341 21 242 25 248 28 226 28341 26615 25 228 24 238 28 230 26615 24829 25 232 25 236 26 233 24829 22988 22 238 26 240 24 237 22988 21087 19 234 27 239 23 244 21087 19119 21 215 28 239 21 250 19119 17122 20 210 25 234 19 246 17122 15206 20 210 21 226 18 243 15206 13468 18 212 22 230 14 243 13468 11922 16 204 22 225 11 240 11922 10542 14 193 19 207 10 221 10542 9309 15 183 17 189 12 201 9309 8208 17 180 16 183 14 192 8208 7229 17 179 16 183 14 189 7229 6360 17*178 17 180 15 187 6360 5588 16*177 17 175 19 179 5588 4893 16 176 18 171 26 170 4893 4275 16 175 17 169 27 166 4275 3757 15 174 16 167 24 163 3757 3358 14 174 15 165 20 160 3358 3082 13 173 13 164 16 158 3082 2914 11 173 10 162 13 156 2914 2817 9 173 6*160 7*154 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography