DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 66.5 - - 65.9 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 44 - - 10 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 2800 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1776 - - 2303 - - 2155 - - 3284 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 99 - - 63 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 087 - - 088 - - 079 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -299 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 3116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -253 - - -591 - - -606 - - -1308 ODpotential blCL - - - 3070 - - 3408 - - 3423 - - 4125 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 100 - - 70 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 66.5 - - 65.9 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.0 - - 63.6 - - 63.4 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.5 - - 65.7 - - 65.2 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 63.1 - - 63.1 - - 63.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 44 - - 10 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99491 49 086 47 085 47 096 30 091 99491 91906 40 079 39 083 38 091 33 090 91906 86060 31 084 34 094 29 083 33 080 86060 81237 26 077 30 090 26 086 28 071 81237 77107 23 077 28 085 23 077 25 074 77107 73474 21 076 22 075 19 085 21 066 73474 70201 22 079 18 086 18 081 17 063 70201 67206 21 077 16 080 17 048 19 056 67206 64432 21 063 16 063 17 033 18 048 64432 61748 21 053 16 049 17 029 19 042 61748 58947 20 017 18 024 20 031 19 042 58947 56045 17 356 18 005 20 029 21 038 56045 53286 14 349 17 359 19 021 23 024 53286 50810 13 334 11 338 18 359 18 010 50810 48600 6 260 10 293 13 326 16 355 48600 46609 4 194 7 253 13 306 11 305 46609 44794 3 356 6 158 13 236 9 245 44794 43119 8 325 7 077 9 201 10 263 43119 41558 17 240 13 213 18 232 14 278 41558 40091 22 203 24 182 25 217 19 277 40091 38708 15 199 23 177 27 200 18 263 38708 37373 16 194 24 186 24 186 16 231 37373 36019 15 190 23 183 19 177 14 214 36019 34613 14 190 21 176 16 173 13 195 34613 33159 12 193 20 179 16 181 13 183 33159 31645 11 193 17 192 15 190 8 172 31645 30060 10 189 15 212 12 201 2 336 30060 28407 9 180 15 222 10 215 6 006 28407 26686 6 165 13 221 7 221 4 060 26686 24903 4 117 3 210 1 045 6 062 24903 23062 8 070 9 054 10 051 12 058 23062 21157 12 078 16 054 15 057 16 048 21157 19183 14 071 16 057 14 063 17 050 19183 17177 14 062 15 059 12 066 14 053 17177 15247 15 067 14 067 12 065 11 060 15247 13493 14 072 13 076 13 073 10 061 13493 11933 12 074 11 079 12 076 10 072 11933 10542 10 079 8 081 11 071 10 085 10542 9301 9 087 6 088 11 067 11 096 9301 8194 7 096 9 102 10 073 14 095 8194 7211 7 113 13 110 12 089 16 092 7211 6343 10 113 19 112 16 093 17 091 6343 5574 14 103 19 109 17 090 17 089 5574 4883 14 101 19 104 16 089 16 087 4883 4269 14 098 16 095 16 087 16 086 4269 3753 13 095 15 092 13 083 15 086 3753 3355 11 091 14 091 11 081 14 085 3355 3080 9 089 13 090 10 080 12 085 3080 2913 8*088 11*089 8*080 10 084 2913 2817 6*087 8*088 6*079 6*083 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography