DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.9 - - 73.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 285 - - 150 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2966 - - 3864 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4445 - - 4832 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5524 - - 6422 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1573 - - 2372 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 395 - - 349 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 19 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 248 - - 246 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -114 - - -464 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5639 - - 6887 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2503 - - -2495 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8027 - - 8917 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 70 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 910 - - 640 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.9 - - 73.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.5 - - 52.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.0 - - 71.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.8 - - 52.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 285 - - 150 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2966 - - 3864 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96813 36 258 25 262 96813 89563 20 251 17 254 89563 84032 10 206 13 231 84032 79455 4 137 9 221 79455 75487 4 256 9 216 75487 71964 10 248 9 246 71964 68790 16 194 12 243 68790 65876 9 190 15 232 65876 63179 9 217 21 250 63179 60586 13 228 21 228 60586 57871 21 266 21 251 57871 55031 19 279 30 265 55031 52317 22 313 29 266 52317 49862 31 302 36 268 49862 47642 37 289 42 272 47642 45612 40 289 44 273 45612 43742 48 292 45 279 43742 42016 56 295 51 284 42016 40424 60 296 57 287 40424 38955 55 290 62 289 38955 37595 51 284 58 290 37595 36296 49 286 58 294 36296 34981 51 288 58 293 34981 33617 51 289 57 292 33617 32208 51 288 57 290 32208 30743 49 288 57 289 30743 29213 46 292 53 287 29213 27621 44 295 50 286 27621 25969 41 294 45 283 25969 24258 35 292 39 282 24258 22490 33 292 37 279 22490 20658 29 296 35 277 20658 18758 22 301 27 276 18758 16828 18 300 18 278 16828 14973 19 300 15 281 14973 13284 21 296 14 289 13284 11776 21 294 17 296 11776 10429 19 292 19 295 10429 9223 17 283 18 282 9223 8144 18 273 18 266 8144 7182 21 266 19*249 7182 6327 21 259 19*248 6327 5565 20*253 20 247 5565 4878 19*250 19 246 4878 4266 19 249 19 246 4266 3752 18 247 19 246 3752 3355 17 247 18 246 3355 3080 16 247 17 245 3080 2913 14 247 15 245 2913 2817 10 246 11 245 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography