DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 57.5 - - 60.1 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 217 - - 115 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 3062 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 4417 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 5620 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1349 - - 2050 - - 6735 - - 1020 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 107 - - 365 - - 130 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 272 - - 261 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -10 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2178 - - -2607 - - -5764 - - -2150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4993 - - 8227 - - 8580 - - 4966 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5001 - - -5943 - - -7627 - - -6365 ODpotential blCL - - - 7816 - - 11563 - - 10443 - - 9180 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 52 - - 66 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 57.5 - - 60.1 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 31.3 - - 32.3 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 55.8 - - 58.8 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 30.0 - - 31.5 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 217 - - 115 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 3062 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96617 4 190 5 131 7 206 6 300 96617 89407 8 140 10 166 12 182 8 205 89407 83847 12 165 9 181 18 183 15 213 83847 79211 9 178 12 210 16 188 15 202 79211 75188 11 238 19 208 17 228 10 209 75188 71606 12 213 19 200 19 227 12 222 71606 68353 9 181 12 209 13 217 12 228 68353 65373 6 192 9 203 11 203 15 236 65373 62625 7 239 10 215 13 210 20 230 62625 59957 14 251 12 227 15 224 17 234 59957 57164 25 263 18 240 23 255 23 260 57164 54259 28 256 24 241 27 251 31 261 54259 51487 32 263 27 244 30 255 38 264 51487 49002 42 260 34 252 38 260 41 253 49002 46772 47 248 40 255 40 258 35 256 46772 44746 46 234 45 250 39 267 39 259 44746 42907 42 222 48 238 43 264 41 259 42907 41217 33 229 47 231 40 247 38 270 41217 39644 35 242 44 230 43 241 40 262 39644 38186 41 238 42 233 43 245 43 265 38186 36835 44 234 45 233 41 247 38 267 36835 35550 42 233 45 229 38 244 34 276 35550 34258 39 228 43 230 38 242 32 287 34258 32926 39 218 44 226 39 242 32 291 32926 31554 32 215 47 220 37 244 31 286 31554 30128 35 212 46 217 37 249 32 284 30128 28641 36 211 42 215 39 250 32 286 28641 27090 34 216 38 223 38 247 29 282 27090 25477 33 219 37 234 35 243 30 280 25477 23804 33 224 38 238 35 240 35 279 23804 22076 33 230 39 238 34 242 33 276 22076 20283 28 231 37 236 32 248 31 277 20283 18418 22 230 33 234 30 258 30 283 18418 16520 19 242 28 238 27 272 29 284 16520 14693 21 265 23 268 25 281 26 282 14693 13032 24 272 23 293 23 295 22 286 13032 11550 21 274 22 300 23 308 18 301 11550 10229 14 277 26 298 24 306 17 313 10229 9046 14 297 25 291 19 299 17 308 9046 7989 20 305 21 280 16 292 17 296 7989 7049 19 305 16 279 16 286 16 291 7049 6216 14 303 14*280 15 282 15 291 6216 5475 12 293 14*280 15 276 15 286 5475 4807 16 284 13 276 14 270 15 272 4807 4213 18 278 12 272 14 267 16 256 4213 3716 16 271 12 269 14 266 17 247 3716 3333 13 268 11 267 13 264 16 243 3333 3069 11 267 10 266 12 263 13 241 3069 2908 9 267 9 265 11*263 10 239 2908 2815 7*267 7 265 8*261 5*239 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography