DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 59.3 - - 59.9 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 217 - - 44 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1268 - - 2687 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2973 - - 4136 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3826 - - 5245 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 755 - - 1125 - - 4485 - - 196 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 242 - - 348 - - 96 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 14 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 079 - - 081 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2673 - - -2589 - - -4900 - - -2216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6500 - - 7834 - - 7716 - - 5032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11751 - - -9993 - - -11395 - - -10770 ODpotential blCL - - - 15577 - - 15238 - - 14211 - - 13586 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 49 - - 56 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 59.3 - - 59.9 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 35.1 - - 36.2 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 57.3 - - 58.9 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 34.1 - - 35.3 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 217 - - 44 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1268 - - 2687 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97562 19 257 24 253 20 286 12 271 97562 90244 8 286 7 251 14 277 1 284 90244 84631 4 014 3 199 8 249 4 307 84631 79975 4 045 10 143 6 229 7 322 79975 75961 7 096 9 132 3 198 6 337 75961 72413 5 065 6 082 6 151 4 312 72413 69210 6 014 9 036 8 114 2 256 69210 66274 5 340 6 043 4 053 4 333 66274 63563 6 026 4 110 2 185 7 309 63563 60943 13 320 11 345 10 007 10 347 60943 58204 8 265 10 311 10 328 15 314 58204 55361 16 332 19 313 20 318 22 312 55361 52649 22 307 26 290 27 297 26 299 52649 50197 24 296 22 276 25 279 22 304 50197 47991 25 342 20 308 26 319 37 326 47991 45989 36 334 37 319 39 318 48 318 45989 44149 39 335 37 320 40 316 46 317 44149 42439 44 345 33 332 38 330 46 339 42439 40844 48 346 40 343 47 340 56 341 40844 39348 50 344 42 345 48 342 55 343 39348 37945 50 347 43 347 42 343 51 344 37945 36602 48 351 45 352 38 349 47 345 36602 35252 46 353 45 356 42 357 46 347 35252 33863 47 355 46 358 45 357 48 349 33863 32437 45 357 45 001 46 354 51 351 32437 30957 40 357 42 002 48 358 51 351 30957 29412 36 355 38 359 44 001 43 351 29412 27803 38 352 36 358 37 000 37 347 27803 26127 39 352 31 002 32 360 33 343 26127 24388 34 357 28 005 27 002 27 346 24388 22587 29 002 24 008 22 004 21 346 22587 20723 24 007 20 012 17 004 17 351 20723 18790 22 016 17 021 13 008 13 352 18790 16823 20 026 14 027 11 014 8 000 16823 14927 18 033 12 034 11 022 8 027 14927 13201 18 040 11 040 10 026 10 037 13201 11667 18 045 11 048 10 032 10 039 11667 10306 17 045 11 052 9 040 9 044 10306 9095 15 041 11 049 10 048 8 059 9095 8021 13 033 11 041 10 045 7 067 8021 7071 12 024 10 027 8 037 5 074 7071 6232 11 020 7 022 7 049 7 096 6232 5487 7 038 4*061 7 058 10 100 5487 4817 7 098 4*070 7 067 11 101 4817 4221 11*099 5 076 7 072 13 101 4221 3721 11*097 5 079 7 075 12 100 3721 3336 10 096 5 081 7 078 12 099 3336 3070 9 096 5 082 7 080 10 097 3070 2908 9 095 4 084 6*080 7*093 2908 2816 7 095 4 084 5*081 4*088 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography