DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 63.9 - - 63.3 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 159 - - 19 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1906 - - 4024 - - 4363 - - 242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 146 - - 78 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 078 - - 004 - - 354 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4097 - - -6539 - - -6151 - - -1919 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6913 - - 9355 - - 8967 - - 4735 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11561 - - -12654 - - -12363 - - -8768 ODpotential blCL - - - 14377 - - 15470 - - 15179 - - 11584 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 39 - - 38 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 63.9 - - 63.3 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 32.9 - - 34.1 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 62.2 - - 62.9 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 31.7 - - 33.0 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 159 - - 19 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97443 14 241 21 273 11 278 12 245 97443 90172 9 243 14 263 16 277 7 294 90172 84585 7 265 5 220 16 265 11 295 84585 79944 7 298 6 229 13 275 11 301 79944 75953 12 308 4 225 9 269 12 295 75953 72435 9 315 2 141 8 246 15 295 72435 69260 5 350 1 063 7 252 15 298 69260 66351 7 003 6 338 3 322 9 294 66351 63662 13 329 13 326 10 339 8 327 63662 61069 13 306 15 321 13 323 10 326 61069 58367 12 308 14 317 15 312 14 325 58367 55559 14 317 14 309 20 302 19 310 55559 52873 16 330 16 311 21 303 22 310 52873 50442 19 329 18 320 21 308 22 319 50442 48246 22 325 20 323 21 319 24 324 48246 46236 24 319 21 325 21 326 23 325 46236 44382 25 313 21 327 21 335 22 330 44382 42657 23 306 22 328 23 343 23 337 42657 41042 20 295 22 326 25 347 25 343 41042 39522 14 288 22 322 26 347 27 347 39522 38090 11 301 20 317 26 345 30 351 38090 36709 11 309 18 313 24 338 32 352 36709 35311 14 327 18 311 23 332 31 350 35311 33872 17 338 17 309 21 328 27 345 33872 32401 12 323 16 307 20 320 24 342 32401 30895 6 258 13 302 17 311 19 329 30895 29341 5 250 10 282 15 308 12 310 29341 27734 4 321 8 270 12 300 11 295 27734 26066 6 348 8 285 10 284 10 283 26066 24335 9 356 10 301 9 280 9 263 24335 22546 9 012 8 312 9 294 7 268 22546 20693 10 019 8 317 11 309 7 284 20693 18769 10 013 10 323 15 326 11 306 18769 16808 9 009 10 328 14 326 13 315 16808 14917 8 024 7 336 10 324 11 318 14917 13199 8 031 4 347 7 324 8 325 13199 11676 9 029 5 017 6 339 7 335 11676 10323 11 026 8 029 7 356 8 348 10323 9118 12 024 10 033 8 007 9 350 9118 8043 11 021 11 033 8 011 9 349 8043 7088 11 018 11 026 8 360 8 344 7088 6243 10 017 9 006 8 354 6 341 6243 5494 9 014 7 358 8 353 5 358 5494 4821 8 011 7 357 8 354 7 002 4821 4224 5 025 6 358 8 354 11 356 4224 3723 3 069 6 360 8 354 13 350 3723 3337 3 074 5 001 7 355 13 345 3337 3070 3 076 5 002 7 354 11 341 3070 2909 3*076 4 002 6 355 8*335 2909 2816 2*078 4*004 4*354 4*330 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography