DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.1 - - 52.0 - - 52.7 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 209 - - 46 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1576 - - 2306 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3216 - - 3850 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4134 - - 4864 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 633 - - 783 - - 2834 - - 273 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 328 - - 98 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 15 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 086 - - 087 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4141 - - -4381 - - -6028 - - -3165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8276 - - 9246 - - 8844 - - 5980 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17353 - - -16259 - - -17007 - - -16035 ODpotential blCL - - - 21487 - - 21123 - - 19822 - - 18850 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 34 - - 35 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.1 - - 52.0 - - 52.7 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 22.0 - - 24.4 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 50.3 - - 51.8 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.5 - - 20.9 - - 23.3 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 209 - - 46 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1576 - - 2306 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97747 7 250 11 253 17 266 16 260 97747 90467 17 259 17 256 23 264 16 272 90467 84849 15 227 17 250 22 263 16 271 84849 80158 9 220 9 247 14 247 11 269 80158 76111 8 264 6 244 14 236 12 284 76111 72553 4 287 6 212 14 235 15 265 72553 69343 12 313 4 238 8 270 8 246 69343 66389 18 295 9 262 10 293 11 279 66389 63661 15 269 10 241 9 265 13 265 63661 61032 12 290 8 293 6 277 8 297 61032 58299 25 293 22 287 16 287 20 299 58299 55477 21 269 27 277 22 297 18 306 55477 52783 11 293 30 283 23 301 24 307 52783 50348 29 319 30 307 27 308 25 305 50348 48162 41 315 37 310 31 309 28 307 48162 46176 43 313 39 309 34 312 29 301 46176 44341 43 312 37 316 32 323 19 312 44341 42636 40 318 37 322 31 339 21 354 42636 41051 37 329 35 332 33 346 29 005 41051 39575 29 346 33 345 32 355 30 001 39575 38198 26 354 30 353 30 006 24 007 38198 36879 24 352 25 003 30 016 23 023 36879 35546 23 350 23 009 27 016 23 035 35546 34163 22 353 23 006 23 010 22 037 34163 32735 22 352 21 002 23 014 21 028 32735 31249 24 343 19 357 22 018 21 033 31249 29696 24 336 20 346 17 005 14 041 29696 28077 22 335 21 334 17 339 11 005 28077 26391 21 342 20 337 18 329 15 342 26391 24641 23 348 18 344 18 331 17 340 24641 22827 22 352 14 346 15 322 16 333 22827 20943 24 001 15 355 14 328 14 343 20943 18980 25 008 19 002 17 347 17 000 18980 16976 23 014 17 011 15 357 15 003 16976 15044 20 015 12 015 12 002 11 001 15044 13285 18 018 9 034 8 007 8 005 13285 11723 18 025 12 055 8 026 7 028 11723 10337 20 043 17 061 12 057 8 061 10337 9107 24 060 20 066 18 065 11 076 9107 8016 27 072 22 072 21 070 13 083 8016 7050 29 080 26 080 24 076 15 091 7050 6202 32 084 28 084 22 080 18 096 6202 5455 33 086 21*086 16 083 19 095 5455 4788 32 087 16*086 13 086 17 093 4788 4199 23*088 16 086 12 086 16 094 4199 3706 19*088 15 086 12 086 16 094 3706 3327 18 088 14 086 11 087 15 093 3327 3065 17 088 13 086 10 087 12 092 3065 2906 14 089 12 087 9 087 8*089 2906 2815 10 088 9 086 7*087 4*081 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography