DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 54.7 - - 55.7 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 108 - - 5 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2799 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 848 - - 3100 - - 3835 - - 682 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 109 - - 127 - - 50 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 160 - - 167 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3104 - - -3785 - - -3704 - - -3484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5920 - - 6601 - - 6521 - - 6299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14063 - - -12128 - - -10740 - - -13739 ODpotential blCL - - - 16878 - - 14944 - - 13556 - - 16554 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 77 - - 84 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 54.7 - - 55.7 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.0 - - 35.8 - - 37.1 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 53.4 - - 55.4 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 35.0 - - 36.5 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 108 - - 5 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 7 - - 37 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96082 35 263 45 261 42 270 42 266 96082 89081 26 263 29 269 27 295 19 274 89081 83650 15 278 17 283 18 295 15 285 83650 79115 9 287 13 304 13 292 12 301 79115 75201 12 331 9 282 14 296 12 309 75201 71732 14 341 9 232 16 272 17 302 71732 68586 18 320 12 278 17 265 18 280 68586 65693 24 307 19 290 17 273 19 277 65693 63010 35 293 33 287 29 283 26 282 63010 60420 38 281 41 284 40 287 40 288 60420 57714 45 281 52 284 52 284 42 276 57714 54871 56 281 57 280 51 283 42 269 54871 52132 59 275 55 279 61 277 63 266 52132 49675 56 274 60 278 68 266 70 265 49675 47482 55 280 73 268 67 266 69 261 47482 45501 62 275 65 258 62 268 61 257 45501 43695 56 272 42 254 57 271 54 260 43695 42028 47 282 50 292 59 270 55 267 42028 40480 64 299 66 284 69 271 63 263 40480 39036 75 291 79 268 78 270 68 257 39036 37680 76 278 73 261 77 264 63 251 37680 36376 72 273 64 259 73 255 58 248 36376 35057 69 270 57 263 60 255 53 240 35057 33691 67 273 56 267 56 258 49 237 33691 32281 61 282 57 273 56 264 50 239 32281 30813 48 290 59 276 55 267 52 243 30813 29279 39 288 59 278 51 267 54 250 29279 27679 43 275 55 280 47 263 56 257 27679 26015 53 267 60 276 45 271 59 259 26015 24286 55 271 64 262 39 273 56 261 24286 22495 51 274 52 249 41 264 46 259 22495 20637 46 276 48 255 48 254 40 264 20637 18707 38 278 41 256 38 244 43 254 18707 16742 33 281 33 256 35 240 44 249 16742 14856 29 282 24 261 31 237 39 251 14856 13145 27 280 22 265 26 240 30 244 13145 11626 25 278 22 267 22 246 21 235 11626 10276 20 278 20 267 19 252 16 228 10276 9072 14 275 16 260 19 257 13 234 9072 8001 12 260 16 253 20 259 15 245 8001 7050 12 239 17 245 19 249 17 245 7050 6210 12 222 17 231 14 235 15 237 6210 5465 12 208 14 211 11 217 13 229 5465 4796 12 193 12 181 10 197 13 210 4796 4203 12 170 11 170 9 188 16 185 4203 3708 12 142 10 165 9 181 22 170 3708 3327 9 125 10 164 8 175 20 165 3327 3065 7 119 9 162 8 172 15 158 3065 2906 6*118 8*161 7*170 10 152 2906 2815 5*117 6*160 5*167 4*142 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography