DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.0 - - 59.9 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - 27 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3448 - - 2258 - - 1466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 107 - - 85 - - 21 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 194 - - 251 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -490 - - -98 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3307 - - 2914 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1285 - - -825 - - -342 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4102 - - 3641 - - 3158 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 140 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.0 - - 59.9 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.6 - - 56.3 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.0 - - 59.1 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.7 - - 55.9 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - 27 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 61 - - 93 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97670 28 273 35 267 29 279 97670 90420 18 268 26 262 25 284 90420 84809 21 266 19 273 23 283 84809 80157 19 274 17 284 23 292 80157 76154 10 293 15 290 20 291 76154 72618 7 300 10 300 10 294 72618 69430 5 322 13 301 11 315 69430 66531 15 312 15 306 13 328 66531 63864 19 286 19 296 13 331 63864 61279 15 268 19 289 17 322 61279 58582 19 271 24 275 24 292 58582 55792 24 253 25 262 26 272 55792 53126 27 245 26 244 29 256 53126 50710 30 235 25 241 28 251 50710 48528 36 228 28 253 28 251 48528 46532 39 224 38 240 33 246 46532 44686 45 221 45 229 36 238 44686 42964 51 216 52 224 38 236 42964 41349 60 210 58 222 38 234 41349 39830 66 205 63 218 37 233 39830 38398 72 203 66 215 38 236 38398 37017 78 202 68 214 42 238 37017 35622 82 201 71 212 45 235 35622 34180 84 201 74 209 48 227 34180 32698 85 200 73 207 47 221 32698 31165 83 198 73 207 42 223 31165 29577 79 195 68 207 38 224 29577 27933 77 198 49 210 39 226 27933 26231 69 199 48 220 43 227 26231 24476 52 206 52 216 42 226 24476 22671 47 211 55 212 29 241 22671 20807 46 206 54 215 24 258 20807 18873 44 203 39 218 21 272 18873 16906 42 202 30 221 18 292 16906 15013 40 198 24 233 18 306 15013 13293 37 189 19 233 20 313 13293 11762 33 181 16 233 22 314 11762 10398 29 176 12 244 23 315 10398 9179 24 168 8 258 24 306 9179 8094 21 167 10 267 26 293 8094 7130 20 175 15 269 27 289 7130 6278 19 184 18 269 29 290 6278 5521 17 191 22 264 30 286 5521 4840 15 195 23 258 30 280 4840 4237 12 196 22 254 28 277 4237 3732 11 196 20 252 25 275 3732 3342 9 195 18 251 21 273 3342 3074 8 194 16 251 17 272 3074 2910 7*193 13 251 14 272 2910 2816 5*194 9*251 9*271 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography