DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 73.3 - - 72.7 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 176 - - 80 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1549 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3037 - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4107 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1795 - - 5165 - - 4805 - - 2424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 150 - - 119 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 092 - - 099 - - 097 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 717 - - -2346 - - -1686 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3391 - - 5164 - - 4503 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -74 - - -2954 - - -2411 - - -1236 ODpotential blCL - - - 4181 - - 5771 - - 5228 - - 4053 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 87 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 410 - - 510 - - 1000 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 73.3 - - 72.7 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.0 - - 60.0 - - 62.2 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 71.6 - - 71.4 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 59.3 - - 61.5 - - 63.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 176 - - 80 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1549 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 48 - - 83 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98514 17 093 13 134 4 129 10 053 98514 91151 10 055 12 089 8 095 7 067 91151 85459 9 053 11 056 6 063 6 050 85459 80740 4 079 7 027 9 018 10 026 80740 76679 3 145 4 038 8 008 10 023 76679 73086 7 099 3 061 4 039 9 001 73086 69839 10 055 5 036 6 068 7 355 69839 66868 17 040 8 047 8 060 5 001 66868 64116 12 039 7 039 7 048 3 049 64116 61443 8 049 2 042 3 351 5 081 61443 58654 5 355 1 044 7 288 4 035 58654 55772 7 293 2 359 10 284 6 338 55772 53037 7 286 6 326 10 286 12 309 53037 50583 6 294 9 313 7 290 14 288 50583 48379 10 306 11 322 6 305 11 275 48379 46365 12 304 12 323 8 307 6 280 46365 44505 11 304 11 320 12 302 7 312 44505 42780 11 304 8 325 17 298 12 320 42780 41173 9 305 9 347 14 295 16 330 41173 39672 8 356 13 341 10 323 15 333 39672 38266 10 029 10 322 13 340 17 342 38266 36920 11 030 5 332 12 340 19 343 36920 35568 11 356 10 003 12 012 19 354 35568 34178 10 340 14 359 15 020 19 001 34178 32745 7 350 13 351 17 014 19 357 32745 31253 7 038 10 350 16 008 20 354 31253 29693 9 058 8 008 16 357 20 353 29693 28065 8 060 7 020 13 354 19 356 28065 26371 9 060 8 030 12 011 18 357 26371 24614 12 054 10 051 11 013 18 359 24614 22799 13 054 9 056 7 026 18 002 22799 20923 11 075 5 061 6 040 17 009 20923 18984 11 099 5 119 4 018 11 019 18984 17017 12 098 10 125 2 088 8 038 17017 15122 11 093 10 120 4 088 8 068 15122 13393 10 100 8 118 4 080 10 082 13393 11852 11 111 8 099 8 078 11 074 11852 10479 10 106 10 092 9 076 10 059 10479 9255 11 106 10 098 8 076 10 049 9255 8163 11 113 10 106 7 078 10 045 8163 7190 10 118 7 106 7 085 8 049 7190 6329 11 116 7 103 7 090 7 069 6329 5565 11 111 7 101 8 094 8 083 5565 4875 11 104 7 101 9 096 8 094 4875 4263 9*099 7 100 9 097 8 106 4263 3749 8*094 7 099 9 097 7 116 3749 3353 7 092 6 099 9 097 6 117 3353 3079 7 091 6 099 9 097 6 113 3079 2912 6 090 6 099 8 097 4*107 2912 2817 5 090 5*099 6*097 3*102 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography