DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.3 - - 80.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 178 - - 78 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3778 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4890 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6336 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2822 - - 7181 - - 5590 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 375 - - 120 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 254 - - 268 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 331 - - -3288 - - -1115 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6005 - - 6106 - - 3933 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1350 - - -4282 - - -2959 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7686 - - 7100 - - 5777 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 75 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 850 - - 1120 - - 1630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.3 - - 80.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.5 - - 63.0 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.5 - - 79.2 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.4 - - 62.0 - - 66.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 178 - - 78 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3778 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99104 26 114 17 083 18 072 99104 91664 20 081 19 094 17 080 91664 85907 20 083 21 104 15 058 85907 81138 17 093 15 099 15 048 81138 77034 11 092 11 094 10 052 77034 73406 8 115 6 051 9 062 73406 70126 7 098 7 028 6 066 70126 67119 6 120 9 344 7 015 67119 64351 6 109 5 322 7 333 64351 61681 5 030 5 339 4 327 61681 58898 6 327 7 315 13 332 58898 56030 8 307 4 285 16 313 56030 53306 8 332 3 358 13 313 53306 50849 16 328 13 332 8 308 50849 48665 21 285 20 310 7 316 48665 46710 22 252 23 273 10 295 46710 44922 9 264 13 264 11 296 44922 43257 10 307 13 291 18 332 43257 41699 8 300 13 279 19 326 41699 40233 6 301 11 272 17 324 40233 38849 6 324 8 292 11 343 38849 37510 8 343 8 329 10 015 37510 36150 13 349 11 338 12 049 36150 34739 15 343 13 337 10 038 34739 33284 13 307 14 344 11 346 33284 31770 13 284 15 351 16 333 31770 30185 13 291 14 354 16 338 30185 28532 12 315 12 354 13 344 28532 26812 10 319 11 349 9 339 26812 25025 8 292 7 321 7 328 25025 23175 13 230 13 242 9 329 23175 21260 17 250 19 255 12 336 21260 19273 15 268 18 276 13 344 19273 17258 12 275 15 288 15 345 17258 15319 10 271 13 281 20 350 15319 13557 10 261 10 271 15 337 13557 11994 10 261 11 280 10 305 11994 10607 10 268 10 285 9 284 10607 9370 9 269 9 288 10 282 9370 8265 7 267 9 290 9 289 8265 7280 6 265 9 290 8 295 7280 6404 6*263 9 288 7 294 6404 5624 6*261 9 284 6 290 5624 4921 6 257 8 280 5 281 4921 4295 6 255 8 276 5 270 4295 3770 5 252 8 272 4 257 3770 3365 5 249 7 271 3 241 3365 3086 5 248 7 270 3 219 3086 2915 5 248 6*269 3*200 2915 2818 4 246 5*268 2*187 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography