DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 22.9 - - 24.2 - - 20.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 117 - - 25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2311 - - 3130 - - 2133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 130 - - 78 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 114 - - 086 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1120 - - -689 - - -121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3934 - - 3503 - - 2935 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1678 - - -1199 - - -707 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4492 - - 4013 - - 3520 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 22.9 - - 24.2 - - 20.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 15.8 - - 19.1 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 21.6 - - 23.5 - - 20.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 14.7 - - 18.4 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 117 - - 25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 47 - - 97 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96081 71 210 78 234 71 236 96081 88823 56 226 60 236 66 231 88823 83232 57 241 56 241 64 242 83232 78566 60 254 57 249 62 249 78566 74531 68 262 57 254 64 248 74531 70947 69 263 57 255 64 254 70947 67696 68 265 59 262 63 265 67696 64723 69 263 64 267 69 267 64723 61990 71 258 68 264 72 261 61990 59351 73 252 70 259 70 253 59351 56574 72 253 72 257 68 253 56574 53654 72 258 76 260 69 259 53654 50840 79 263 82 261 76 261 50840 48292 88 262 85 259 82 258 48292 46002 91 259 85 257 85 255 46002 43923 92 258 87 258 88 253 43923 42022 94 258 90 259 89 252 42022 40268 96 257 94 258 92 255 40268 38646 94 253 98 254 97 255 38646 37142 85 252 97 250 94 253 37142 35743 84 254 91 249 88 252 35743 34411 84 256 84 249 86 252 34411 33085 83 259 77 252 82 252 33085 31739 84 255 76 255 76 251 31739 30375 81 256 75 256 74 248 30375 28978 79 258 75 257 71 248 28978 27530 75 258 75 258 71 249 27530 26028 72 262 74 257 68 251 26028 24466 64 263 71 258 63 254 24466 22844 58 261 63 258 62 258 22844 21165 54 260 58 254 60 259 21165 19423 51 257 55 252 56 257 19423 17619 48 257 46 253 49 255 17619 15792 44 256 39 255 42 257 15792 14037 44 256 39 255 38 253 14037 12442 45 251 41 256 37 248 12442 11024 46 246 42 253 37 246 11024 9764 43 245 38 249 35 243 9764 8643 37 249 31 244 31 240 8643 7645 28 245 23 240 24 236 7645 6760 22 237 14 237 13 219 6760 5978 16 229 8 225 9 174 5978 5286 11 207 4 185 11 140 5286 4664 8 167 4 137 11 121 4664 4113 7 129 5 102 11 097 4113 3651 7 122 5 095 11 086 3651 3295 7 118 5 091 10 081 3295 3049 6 116 5 088 9 078 3049 2899 6*114 5*088 7 076 2899 2813 5*114 4*086 5*076 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography