DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 80.3 - - 76.0 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 225 - - 108 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2201 - - 3348 - - 2317 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3715 - - 4660 - - 3563 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4759 - - 5906 - - 4875 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2398 - - 3099 - - 2078 - - 4373 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 386 - - 268 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 246 - - 256 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 421 - - 230 - - 587 - - -1614 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4338 - - 5676 - - 4289 - - 4432 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -741 - - -1579 - - -518 - - -2841 ODpotential blCL - - - 5500 - - 7485 - - 5393 - - 5659 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 82 - - 97 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 1170 - - 1180 - - 1200 - - 1390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 80.3 - - 76.0 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.3 - - 64.7 - - 66.4 - - 66.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 78.5 - - 74.8 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 63.8 - - 65.9 - - 66.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 225 - - 108 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2201 - - 3348 - - 2317 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 30 - - 90 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99100 43 089 45 089 47 086 40 086 99100 91601 38 082 42 089 40 088 32 079 91601 85827 35 085 33 084 34 091 27 070 85827 81036 28 092 22 071 25 081 29 082 81036 76915 25 095 16 084 19 075 29 085 76915 73304 24 097 20 101 17 073 25 081 73304 70063 24 089 22 101 15 070 20 072 70063 67086 22 071 21 099 15 087 10 079 67086 64318 15 066 19 091 18 094 10 131 64318 61631 6 080 14 080 19 093 13 121 61631 58839 11 122 10 106 14 098 12 111 58839 55975 11 102 12 132 11 136 8 141 55975 53273 3 147 10 145 7 137 12 150 53273 50859 4 155 6 176 4 224 5 188 50859 48708 2 179 6 186 6 237 10 261 48708 46761 6 260 4 208 8 249 16 267 46761 44969 10 282 4 301 7 255 14 269 44969 43301 10 281 5 336 3 250 13 261 43301 41736 9 265 5 351 1 236 14 263 41736 40260 8 266 3 322 2 262 12 261 40260 38863 8 262 3 269 4 250 12 259 38863 37513 7 251 4 242 7 242 13 261 37513 36144 4 252 4 234 9 232 14 261 36144 34727 3 308 5 234 9 229 15 256 34727 33266 6 316 7 242 9 239 14 257 33266 31746 8 292 10 244 11 251 13 262 31746 30156 8 270 11 244 12 272 14 264 30156 28497 6 266 11 258 12 280 13 267 28497 26772 5 279 13 283 11 285 11 275 26772 24983 8 301 15 300 13 281 8 285 24983 23136 9 296 16 299 14 272 7 289 23136 21227 8 268 16 291 15 280 7 296 21227 19250 8 264 18 289 18 285 8 290 19250 17242 10 264 17 286 17 278 10 287 17242 15309 11 268 14 271 14 270 10 278 15309 13550 11 263 10 253 11 240 12 259 13550 11989 10 250 9 244 10 229 13 238 11989 10602 9 238 11 243 11 234 13 238 10602 9363 8 234 11 236 13 242 15 257 9363 8258 8 237 11 231 14 247 17 276 8258 7271 8 252 10 233 15 251 17 278 7271 6397 8 274 10*238 15 255 14 273 6397 5619 9 280 10*241 14 257 12 270 5619 4917 8*278 10 244 14*257 11 268 4917 4293 8*273 10 246 13*256 10 266 4293 3769 8 270 10 246 12 256 10 266 3769 3365 7 267 10 248 11 255 9 265 3365 3085 7 266 9 248 10 256 8 263 3085 2915 6 265 9 248 9 255 7*263 2915 2818 5 265 7 248 7 255 5*262 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography