DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 63.8 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 320 - - 126 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3837 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5152 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6395 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2278 - - 7568 - - 5895 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 449 - - 135 - - 29 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 247 - - 261 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 288 - - -3314 - - -1850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6107 - - 6130 - - 4666 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1055 - - -3870 - - -3215 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7450 - - 6686 - - 6031 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 86 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 100 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 63.8 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.4 - - 46.5 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.6 - - 62.5 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.2 - - 45.6 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 320 - - 126 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3837 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 27 - - 43 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97723 10 181 10 246 7 296 97723 90339 4 226 6 239 7 267 90339 84655 2 275 4 185 4 214 84655 79929 9 236 3 218 7 254 79929 75853 13 219 11 242 14 248 75853 72247 7 271 6 242 12 233 72247 68994 20 250 18 257 23 274 68994 66015 28 238 29 238 29 252 66015 63236 27 244 26 246 27 252 63236 60526 30 261 31 260 38 267 60526 57710 46 262 51 264 51 262 57710 54803 56 256 64 255 54 258 54803 52030 59 252 61 257 56 262 52030 49538 58 261 64 267 63 267 49538 47324 70 269 75 270 77 267 47324 45351 89 270 87 270 92 263 45351 43572 105 266 99 265 104 259 43572 41936 98 264 108 261 112 258 41936 40405 98 268 104 259 119 258 40405 38961 100 266 94 260 116 258 38961 37599 102 263 91 262 97 257 37599 36287 99 263 87 264 77 255 36287 34960 92 264 83 268 71 259 34960 33589 87 265 81 270 70 261 33589 32174 85 266 78 270 68 263 32174 30703 83 269 78 271 67 265 30703 29165 78 270 78 273 65 266 29165 27563 72 267 77 274 63 268 27563 25897 69 265 73 276 61 268 25897 24170 67 265 65 277 55 268 24170 22387 64 265 57 276 49 271 22387 20543 52 266 52 272 42 272 20543 18633 42 266 47 267 39 271 18633 16691 42 265 45 259 38 271 16691 14824 45 263 43 259 38 272 14824 13128 47 261 40 266 35 272 13128 11622 47 261 30 270 29 280 11622 10286 39 265 26 269 25 274 10286 9100 32 273 26 268 22 258 9100 8043 26 273 25 268 21 254 8043 7098 21*264 22 265 20 254 7098 6258 19*251 20 263 17 257 6258 5510 18 248 19 263 15 264 5510 4836 18 246 18 262 13 270 4836 4236 18 246 18 262 12 277 4236 3731 17 246 17 262 12 282 3731 3342 16 245 16 262 11 285 3342 3074 15 245 15 262 9 288 3074 2910 14 245 13 262 6 290 2910 2816 10 245 9*261 4*291 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography