DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 73.2 - - 73.4 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 242 - - 129 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 3117 - - 2910 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 4498 - - 4060 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 5675 - - 5468 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2782 - - 1671 - - 2817 - - 3134 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 109 - - 380 - - 302 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 24 - - 26 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 226 - - 234 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2049 - - -739 - - -893 - - -1570 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4866 - - 6414 - - 6361 - - 4388 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4686 - - -3834 - - -2669 - - -4015 ODpotential blCL - - - 7503 - - 9509 - - 8137 - - 6832 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 87 - - 83 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 400 - - 470 - - 510 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 73.2 - - 73.4 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.7 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 71.6 - - 72.2 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 54.0 - - 54.6 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 242 - - 129 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 3117 - - 2910 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 48 - - 32 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96379 16 244 22 286 31 283 23 299 96379 89301 8 310 12 281 20 271 17 290 89301 83840 8 303 8 243 6 280 11 299 83840 79285 7 264 12 247 7 265 11 290 79285 75354 9 290 9 253 12 230 11 256 75354 71902 14 281 7 279 7 228 11 266 71902 68776 20 257 17 270 9 256 14 273 68776 65882 19 274 19 264 15 257 22 269 65882 63187 22 274 19 259 24 247 27 237 63187 60572 32 248 27 257 30 253 27 242 60572 57852 46 253 43 251 42 257 38 248 57852 55039 54 249 51 254 47 252 53 247 55039 52346 59 263 68 260 61 256 69 255 52346 49912 91 260 77 262 71 255 79 255 49912 47715 101 259 85 260 85 257 87 252 47715 45706 89 254 79 254 89 254 88 250 45706 43860 66 247 63 247 81 249 83 249 43860 42172 53 240 51 251 77 252 82 253 42172 40625 51 255 56 256 80 257 90 254 40625 39185 57 263 60 259 83 256 92 254 39185 37830 65 260 66 254 82 253 84 250 37830 36523 65 251 68 252 77 255 71 243 36523 35199 57 250 63 251 68 258 68 241 35199 33825 53 250 54 245 68 255 66 237 33825 32408 49 248 52 242 67 255 64 241 32408 30933 40 249 53 245 62 254 59 245 30933 29390 37 253 52 247 55 253 55 245 29390 27779 39 256 51 253 53 252 54 245 27779 26103 41 257 50 258 53 252 59 249 26103 24366 41 254 50 257 56 252 67 252 24366 22576 43 253 53 254 64 250 75 246 22576 20730 42 254 60 250 66 247 74 240 20730 18815 42 254 57 247 60 245 68 238 18815 16865 51 250 51 244 56 241 64 236 16865 14986 53 248 48 242 54 238 60 235 14986 13278 48 247 47 242 52 237 55 235 13278 11757 41 248 45 241 49 235 52 236 11757 10402 33 246 43 239 47 233 50 239 10402 9192 30 234 41 237 46 230 49 239 9192 8112 32 219 41 234 43 225 46 235 8112 7149 34 213 39 230 39 224 43 232 7149 6296 34 215 32*226 32 227 42 234 6296 5539 33 221 27*225 30*230 41 238 5539 4857 32 224 26 225 29*232 38 241 4857 4250 29 224 25 226 28 233 34 241 4250 3741 24 224 24 226 27 234 30 241 3741 3348 21 224 23 227 26 235 26 241 3348 3077 19 225 21 227 24 235 21 241 3077 2912 15*225 18 227 20 236 17*241 2912 2817 10*225 13 227 14 235 10*241 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography