DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 70.1 - - 70.8 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 56 - - 21 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2059 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3445 - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4617 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1993 - - 3511 - - 3790 - - 1451 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 105 - - 79 - - 64 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 247 - - 250 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 791 - - -271 - - -990 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3827 - - 3088 - - 3807 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -70 - - -943 - - -1962 - - -250 ODpotential blCL - - - 4687 - - 3760 - - 4779 - - 3067 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 450 - - 130 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 70.1 - - 70.8 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.1 - - 65.7 - - 63.4 - - 66.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 69.3 - - 70.3 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 65.3 - - 63.0 - - 66.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 56 - - 21 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2059 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99339 37 083 29 084 35 063 30 079 99339 91839 32 089 26 079 25 085 28 065 91839 86055 27 090 25 085 17 098 22 055 86055 81250 21 084 23 091 15 093 15 058 81250 77115 15 064 20 092 18 082 13 090 77115 73475 13 067 15 092 18 076 14 095 73475 70186 13 085 11 093 13 076 12 072 70186 67164 11 080 9 073 9 086 10 059 67164 64380 10 050 10 063 8 064 8 091 64380 61707 13 001 11 073 6 055 6 076 61707 58947 10 354 9 056 6 047 5 009 58947 56102 8 341 8 349 6 352 7 324 56102 53407 8 290 21 302 19 315 17 310 53407 51010 9 240 20 277 20 307 23 285 51010 48859 6 221 14 230 14 270 28 258 48859 46885 5 317 12 271 14 268 31 296 46885 45066 27 325 21 298 38 308 40 322 45066 43375 37 314 30 302 40 299 44 314 43375 41785 37 297 40 316 34 309 33 303 41785 40289 34 279 37 310 32 309 26 298 40289 38881 31 271 30 271 22 284 27 302 38881 37523 29 271 27 254 25 278 18 272 37523 36147 29 272 29 244 28 272 16 234 36147 34722 29 272 29 239 30 264 8 247 34722 33252 26 264 30 244 32 261 6 297 33252 31721 22 255 30 250 34 266 9 269 31721 30121 19 260 30 253 34 270 25 257 30121 28457 15 260 30 256 36 270 28 254 28457 26729 16 224 29 256 35 267 26 262 26729 24938 22 237 29 254 28 273 26 265 24938 23088 26 249 26 257 25 277 26 267 23088 21173 26 250 19 258 22 277 25 271 21173 19189 25 250 19 251 20 271 25 274 19189 17176 23 240 21 264 18 276 24 280 17176 15247 26 245 23 272 20 276 24 283 15247 13500 28 253 23 275 22 271 22 279 13500 11947 29 257 24 273 22 281 25 273 11947 10561 31 259 26 274 25 275 29 262 10561 9320 33 260 28 275 26 260 30 254 9320 8212 31 263 27 273 29 254 30 250 8212 7226 26 268 24 269 30 251 28 248 7226 6354 23 270 22 263 29 250 26 247 6354 5581 22 270 22 260 27 250 25 247 5581 4886 21*270 21 257 24 249 24 247 4886 4269 19*270 20 255 22 249 23 248 4269 3752 17 269 18 251 20 249 20 246 3752 3354 16 268 16 250 18 249 17 244 3354 3080 14 267 15 249 16 249 13 243 3080 2913 12 268 13*248 13 249 10*242 2913 2817 9 267 9*247 9*250 7*241 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography