DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.7 - - 64.6 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 41 - - 56 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2892 - - 3251 - - 1906 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 97 - - 107 - - 62 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 239 - - 238 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -98 - - -252 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2915 - - 3069 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -841 - - -966 - - -364 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3658 - - 3783 - - 3180 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 260 - - 680 - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.7 - - 64.6 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.1 - - 60.3 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.0 - - 63.8 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 59.8 - - 59.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 41 - - 56 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97944 7 229 16 273 17 310 97944 90630 10 287 10 283 13 314 90630 84966 15 265 9 308 11 298 84966 80235 21 247 15 260 14 269 80235 76136 15 246 18 240 15 255 76136 72501 11 220 13 263 15 283 72501 69220 17 256 19 264 20 271 69220 66214 20 257 17 251 21 279 66214 63437 32 263 34 277 42 281 63437 60772 39 262 47 270 38 263 60772 57985 39 278 48 277 39 270 57985 55055 56 279 57 272 54 280 55055 52252 73 260 72 267 81 277 52252 49771 81 265 87 265 107 268 49771 47593 92 270 97 263 118 260 47593 45638 107 271 103 266 120 263 45638 43849 116 271 117 268 132 267 43849 42196 117 269 121 266 139 266 42196 40651 117 267 119 264 136 263 40651 39198 116 265 118 263 134 262 39198 37830 109 266 117 264 132 261 37830 36509 100 265 114 265 128 259 36509 35171 87 260 110 265 125 258 35171 33789 80 252 104 264 119 256 33789 32368 83 250 98 262 105 251 32368 30895 81 249 94 259 92 246 30895 29359 79 248 89 258 87 245 29359 27757 79 250 83 258 84 248 27757 26088 78 255 78 257 87 252 26088 24360 77 257 79 258 80 254 24360 22572 71 251 80 259 76 254 22572 20718 53 243 71 262 75 255 20718 18797 41 242 72 263 90 253 18797 16845 41 251 68 264 69 247 16845 14966 41 259 63 267 52 248 14966 13257 45 267 53 262 45 254 13257 11736 47 272 47 257 39 256 11736 10381 43 268 39 251 34 256 10381 9171 42 262 35 247 29 254 9171 8092 43 257 32 244 25 251 8092 7133 45 250 30 241 22 249 7133 6282 44 244 29 238 19 249 6282 5526 43 242 28 237 17 251 5526 4846 42 241 26 237 16 253 4846 4242 40 240 25 238 17 254 4242 3735 36 240 23 238 15 256 3735 3344 32 239 22 238 13 257 3344 3075 28 239 20 238 11 257 3075 2911 24*239 18*238 10 257 2911 2816 15*239 11*238 6*257 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography