DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 61.9 - - 61.3 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 147 - - 35 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 1723 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 3278 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 4281 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1454 - - 883 - - 2285 - - 1406 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 263 - - 87 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 23 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 169 - - 165 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 26 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1865 - - 384 - - -464 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4681 - - 3898 - - 3281 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7914 - - -4913 - - -1274 - - -1421 ODpotential blCL - - - 10730 - - 9194 - - 4091 - - 4237 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 61.9 - - 61.3 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 54.3 - - 56.4 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 60.6 - - 60.6 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 54.1 - - 56.2 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 147 - - 35 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 1723 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 83 254 96 252 101 253 94 259 96596 89342 54 255 63 260 58 263 60 261 89342 83795 33 247 34 264 37 259 30 280 83795 79242 15 291 17 249 29 260 27 283 79242 75317 18 305 9 274 15 261 20 270 75317 71848 12 281 13 296 9 323 10 260 71848 68709 7 250 11 285 11 309 8 294 68709 65820 4 313 10 261 12 270 14 294 65820 63132 9 311 8 259 10 242 13 259 63132 60520 12 296 2 275 9 211 9 215 60520 57804 16 250 3 209 9 213 11 223 57804 55000 15 224 17 228 14 236 13 235 55000 52328 20 214 25 234 25 245 22 246 52328 49919 30 200 34 224 37 223 32 238 49919 47759 30 193 42 214 42 215 36 221 47759 45803 35 191 46 203 43 209 44 211 45803 44018 41 193 45 197 48 200 44 204 44018 42373 44 201 46 204 52 201 50 207 42373 40847 45 205 49 206 52 202 56 204 40847 39418 45 206 45 203 45 199 52 204 39418 38064 43 207 36 202 42 197 49 200 38064 36751 41 203 32 205 36 196 46 196 36751 35419 39 199 30 214 32 196 45 193 35419 34040 37 201 29 218 31 202 41 194 34040 32617 36 207 29 213 36 209 39 197 32617 31136 38 211 32 207 39 213 37 200 31136 29586 39 211 34 205 38 215 34 203 29586 27967 37 208 34 207 39 215 31 205 27967 26281 36 204 35 211 45 210 32 208 26281 24535 36 202 38 215 47 209 37 216 24535 22729 34 203 38 217 45 214 39 222 22729 20859 31 204 37 217 36 216 42 224 20859 18918 25 210 35 217 34 220 43 224 18918 16946 20 220 30 215 32 213 43 225 16946 15050 18 215 24 190 30 202 44 226 15050 13327 18 200 20 183 28 201 45 222 13327 11793 16 188 18 195 29 205 43 214 11793 10428 13 177 21 207 30 209 39 210 10428 9209 12 181 25 208 31 212 37 209 9209 8121 15 183 29 202 32 210 36 208 8121 7151 21 177 33 193 34 203 36 200 7151 6292 29 173 38 185 35 193 37 188 6292 5530 38 170 38 179 34 187 39 177 5530 4846 42 167 34*175 31 182 39 170 4846 4241 40 165 31*172 26 176 36 165 4241 3734 33 160 27 170 21 172 31 160 3734 3344 29 158 23 168 18 169 25 155 3344 3074 25 156 20 167 15 167 19 151 3074 2910 21 154 17 166 13*167 15 149 2910 2816 12*152 11 165 8*165 8*146 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography