DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 60.9 - - 62.7 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 83 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1109 - - 3363 - - 4220 - - 458 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 96 - - 115 - - 32 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 208 - - 215 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7321 - - -7604 - - -7345 - - -4709 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10137 - - 10421 - - 10161 - - 7525 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16951 - - -14569 - - -13208 - - -13121 ODpotential blCL - - - 19766 - - 17385 - - 16024 - - 15937 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 82 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 60.9 - - 62.7 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.9 - - 25.2 - - 28.1 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 59.8 - - 62.3 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.5 - - 24.8 - - 27.6 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 83 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 98 - - 29 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96279 58 253 64 250 68 258 65 257 96279 89220 46 258 44 261 55 265 48 270 89220 83781 38 267 37 274 39 267 38 275 83781 79228 35 275 35 274 32 276 31 272 79228 75276 30 274 30 268 31 282 26 280 75276 71786 24 269 24 265 29 281 28 285 71786 68623 24 272 22 277 26 278 28 291 68623 65698 27 274 24 282 25 270 28 291 65698 62974 28 276 26 280 28 263 28 280 62974 60339 33 269 30 280 31 267 30 270 60339 57592 33 278 40 274 42 270 35 264 57592 54723 53 275 49 269 45 263 45 271 54723 51972 61 266 54 267 51 273 60 274 51972 49514 58 262 58 270 61 275 65 275 49514 47331 54 267 70 270 65 275 64 278 47331 45352 53 277 75 271 67 276 74 276 45352 43540 67 277 79 274 71 274 79 273 43540 41875 71 271 80 274 74 273 85 276 41875 40330 72 272 77 272 84 274 90 275 40330 38889 76 276 76 273 86 273 90 273 38889 37540 74 277 82 279 89 276 92 273 37540 36245 71 277 87 281 92 276 93 272 36245 34934 67 278 82 279 90 273 89 269 34934 33575 62 280 78 276 88 272 83 266 33575 32173 57 280 72 270 85 272 80 265 32173 30713 54 281 63 264 81 271 80 265 30713 29187 54 283 58 268 76 269 74 267 29187 27598 53 286 57 271 69 267 65 268 27598 25943 48 289 56 267 62 266 58 265 25943 24224 45 289 52 267 58 263 56 264 24224 22443 43 288 44 269 52 262 51 265 22443 20594 43 282 39 279 45 264 47 263 20594 18675 43 273 36 283 39 266 48 258 18675 16731 40 272 38 280 40 268 46 255 16731 14869 46 282 42 279 44 268 46 255 14869 13174 42 279 43 275 45 266 43 255 13174 11661 36 264 39 268 43 262 41 256 11661 10311 35 250 39 262 39 255 41 256 10311 9108 29 252 40 254 41 248 44 254 9108 8035 25 254 38 251 40 243 46 249 8035 7081 25 250 34 246 32 237 43 244 7081 6237 24 247 29 238 25 232 36 238 6237 5487 23 244 22 227 23 231 31 235 5487 4813 21 241 17 219 19 228 30 231 4813 4215 18 237 15 214 16 225 30 218 4215 3715 13 225 13 212 14 223 28 202 3715 3331 8 219 12 211 12 220 22 195 3331 3068 5 219 11 210 11 218 14 189 3068 2907 4 219 9 210 9 217 10*187 2907 2816 3*221 7*208 6*215 3*183 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography