DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 38.4 - - 41.1 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 117 - - -3 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 1187 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 3745 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 997 - - 650 - - 1465 - - 682 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 218 - - 42 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 244 - - 248 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -170 - - 450 - - -748 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2984 - - 3295 - - 3563 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9161 - - -7408 - - -7326 - - -6754 ODpotential blCL - - - 11975 - - 11153 - - 10141 - - 9569 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 92 - - 80 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 38.4 - - 41.1 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 34.0 - - 35.4 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 37.2 - - 40.8 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 33.0 - - 34.8 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 117 - - -3 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 1187 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 68 - - 18 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95832 81 241 89 241 99 246 100 248 95832 88705 71 247 69 246 74 248 74 248 88705 83234 66 255 69 250 64 258 62 256 83234 78666 61 260 61 256 55 256 57 258 78666 74714 55 256 56 264 48 255 51 257 74714 71194 45 254 51 260 48 265 46 262 71194 67990 46 263 50 257 51 262 48 267 67990 65042 53 262 53 255 52 263 47 265 65042 62297 59 262 56 257 58 266 51 262 62297 59635 63 264 61 263 61 260 57 262 59635 56862 65 265 65 264 60 259 62 259 56862 53994 66 268 64 261 62 262 65 256 53994 51273 71 271 67 259 69 262 69 261 51273 48836 80 270 75 264 79 258 84 265 48836 46667 85 263 85 263 83 256 91 256 46667 44724 83 254 83 260 82 257 85 249 44724 42966 73 256 79 263 83 261 74 254 42966 41343 76 270 82 267 87 262 78 270 41343 39830 89 277 88 267 91 261 88 265 39830 38415 100 274 94 262 93 261 89 256 38415 37084 98 266 98 260 94 260 87 252 37084 35800 96 260 96 255 94 259 86 251 35800 34497 91 262 93 254 93 256 86 250 34497 33147 88 267 90 257 90 253 85 250 33147 31754 87 269 85 256 86 253 85 252 31754 30304 86 269 84 256 84 257 84 253 30304 28789 85 267 83 259 83 257 83 252 28789 27208 85 265 82 260 81 254 82 250 27208 25563 82 265 79 261 81 253 81 249 25563 23858 78 263 77 261 80 257 80 251 23858 22095 76 263 74 264 77 262 80 253 22095 20267 75 267 72 266 73 261 80 254 20267 18371 73 270 70 265 70 261 77 252 18371 16451 71 270 66 262 68 260 71 251 16451 14611 68 270 62 262 65 259 66 252 14611 12939 63 270 58 264 61 258 61 251 12939 11454 61 266 53 266 57 257 57 248 11454 10131 60 264 50 267 53 256 54 246 10131 8951 53 266 49 266 49 253 52 247 8951 7898 44 269 48 266 45 248 50 249 7898 6962 40 270 43 264 43 243 48 250 6962 6135 41 268 37 259 42 242 45 248 6135 5405 39 266 32 253 38 242 42 246 5405 4750 33 261 28 248 32 241 37 246 4750 4171 27 256 21*243 27 242 30 248 4171 3688 22 255 16*244 21 245 25 245 3688 3316 17 256 15 244 17 247 21 243 3316 3060 13 258 14 245 15 248 15 244 3060 2904 11*258 12 245 12*248 11*245 2904 2815 7*257 9 246 8*248 6*247 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography