DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 61.9 - - 65.4 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 267 - - 132 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2293 - - 2545 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3856 - - 4119 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4851 - - 5103 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 703 - - 867 - - 3995 - - 3051 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 371 - - 139 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 277 - - 260 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2264 - - -2755 - - -5767 - - -3307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7116 - - 7858 - - 8584 - - 6123 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11710 - - -10723 - - -11816 - - -8680 ODpotential blCL - - - 16561 - - 15826 - - 14632 - - 11496 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 62 - - 68 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 61.9 - - 65.4 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.0 - - 37.4 - - 37.7 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 59.8 - - 64.0 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 36.2 - - 36.5 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 267 - - 132 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2293 - - 2545 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98255 2 184 4 232 9 319 5 291 98255 90861 2 100 6 247 8 292 15 317 90861 85168 3 119 3 182 8 250 17 294 85168 80415 6 243 9 243 8 249 11 276 80415 76296 7 237 12 199 9 225 9 270 76296 72656 11 247 3 116 6 203 7 262 72656 69363 10 213 2 061 3 208 6 301 69363 66338 4 341 4 276 9 278 13 302 66338 63542 5 324 3 305 10 272 12 287 63542 60845 15 304 15 306 13 307 14 305 60845 58040 20 292 23 294 19 306 19 303 58040 55138 23 288 26 290 24 291 22 300 55138 52376 22 292 25 299 23 287 24 302 52376 49897 29 302 27 302 25 303 24 305 49897 47682 38 291 30 290 30 304 22 310 47682 45685 38 297 30 287 28 297 18 300 45685 43877 46 308 29 289 24 297 12 288 43877 42228 51 305 32 290 26 297 16 308 42228 40701 55 302 37 286 35 282 25 292 40701 39272 55 301 38 293 36 270 32 274 39272 37925 44 317 40 300 34 271 29 265 37925 36623 47 329 38 292 29 277 28 262 36623 35299 45 330 36 286 29 275 28 268 35299 33926 41 326 30 296 30 269 30 272 33926 32509 38 322 29 297 31 273 33 273 32509 31033 37 314 29 300 30 279 32 275 31033 29488 39 309 31 299 30 277 32 278 29488 27876 39 312 34 297 31 282 33 280 27876 26199 40 310 35 296 33 286 37 283 26199 24456 40 308 37 296 36 284 39 286 24456 22651 42 307 37 295 38 284 39 286 22651 20779 47 310 37 297 38 279 34 284 20779 18839 49 314 42 300 40 281 36 296 18839 16876 47 315 46 301 39 289 44 304 16876 14989 44 314 41 301 40 292 44 305 14989 13269 39 315 36 302 37 288 38 304 13269 11737 33 317 30 303 30 288 34 302 11737 10372 30 318 23 306 22 284 31 295 10372 9154 28 316 20 308 16 273 25 281 9154 8071 25 316 17 307 13 262 20 266 8071 7112 19 319 14 305 12 250 17 248 7112 6265 15 326 10 293 10 249 14 241 6265 5514 13*331 8*279 9 254 12 249 5514 4838 11*328 8*278 9 255 11 259 4838 4237 10 326 8 278 9 258 10 264 4237 3732 10 325 8 278 9 258 10 268 3732 3343 9 323 7 277 9 259 9 271 3343 3074 8 322 7 276 8 259 7 272 3074 2910 8 321 6 276 7 259 5 272 2910 2816 6 321 5 276 6*260 3*273 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography