DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 60.4 - - 60.7 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 193 - - 13 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 853 - - 2118 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 3675 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3411 - - 4676 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 634 - - 804 - - 3499 - - 184 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 308 - - 66 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 274 - - 267 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3264 - - -3992 - - -5202 - - -2066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6675 - - 8668 - - 8019 - - 4882 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12339 - - -11369 - - -11814 - - -10407 ODpotential blCL - - - 15750 - - 16045 - - 14630 - - 13223 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 43 - - 59 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 60.4 - - 60.7 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 32.5 - - 35.5 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 58.7 - - 60.1 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 31.6 - - 34.8 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 193 - - 13 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 853 - - 2118 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96643 72 250 75 245 79 248 74 247 96643 89338 43 245 54 244 51 253 48 260 89338 83767 23 237 32 244 34 255 33 272 83767 79153 11 286 12 256 24 233 25 267 79153 75181 18 279 16 280 17 236 22 264 75181 71666 20 257 24 271 18 269 20 270 71666 68472 21 283 18 269 20 267 26 270 68472 65545 26 283 20 268 29 264 32 267 65545 62854 33 272 30 267 36 264 37 274 62854 60255 41 267 41 271 44 270 42 273 60255 57546 48 267 48 269 51 269 50 273 57546 54749 53 270 57 268 60 267 65 269 54749 52085 57 272 63 268 66 268 74 262 52085 49679 63 273 67 268 74 269 74 263 49679 47514 75 270 73 270 76 267 76 266 47514 45548 79 268 79 269 77 267 79 265 45548 43745 79 269 80 263 81 263 80 263 43745 42075 74 270 76 262 80 260 77 263 42075 40519 68 267 72 260 75 261 73 263 40519 39062 52 264 70 259 71 262 69 262 39062 37695 44 267 64 259 68 261 65 260 37695 36379 42 264 51 255 66 260 58 259 36379 35047 41 263 42 257 64 260 51 261 35047 33676 40 264 41 257 55 260 40 262 33676 32271 39 266 41 255 48 263 32 268 32271 30812 40 264 41 259 46 267 30 277 30812 29288 40 262 42 256 46 264 32 274 29288 27697 40 265 41 256 45 260 35 267 27697 26040 39 270 39 259 41 262 34 265 26040 24319 37 272 36 264 36 264 32 267 24319 22536 36 272 35 267 33 266 31 268 22536 20685 37 275 35 271 33 270 31 270 20685 18762 36 278 34 270 32 273 30 275 18762 16805 33 279 32 267 32 276 28 278 16805 14921 31 274 31 268 30 275 28 280 14921 13209 31 267 31 272 28 275 27 277 13209 11686 29 263 31 277 26 280 23 273 11686 10330 28 263 30 279 24 287 17 273 10330 9119 26 265 29 277 24 293 15 283 9119 8040 24 269 28 275 25 292 17 298 8040 7084 23 273 26 276 25 288 21 300 7084 6240 21 276 24 282 20 284 20 294 6240 5493 21 282 20 286 17 281 18 290 5493 4821 21 288 14*281 16 277 17 290 4821 4223 20 285 14*277 15 274 16 287 4223 3722 18*277 13 275 14 272 15 278 3722 3336 13*265 12 274 13 270 15 267 3336 3070 12 264 11 272 12 269 12 258 3070 2908 10 263 10 272 10*268 9*256 2908 2816 8 262 8 271 7*267 5*258 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography