DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 10.0 - - 19.3 - - 22.3 - - 19.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 170 - - 63 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 1603 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2796 - - 3263 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2813 - - 4161 - - 2813 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1288 - - 622 - - 2092 - - 2520 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 270 - - 106 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 27 - - 13 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 252 - - 257 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -5 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1502 - - 81 - - -892 - - -195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4315 - - 4080 - - 3705 - - 3008 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16875 - - -13965 - - -1461 - - -965 ODpotential blCL - - - 19688 - - 18126 - - 4274 - - 3778 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 77 - - 88 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 10.0 - - 19.3 - - 22.3 - - 19.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.5 - - 11.6 - - 16.3 - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 9.1 - - 18.1 - - 21.6 - - 19.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.5 - - 10.5 - - 15.6 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 170 - - 63 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 1603 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 8 - - 51 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96569 101 210 82 216 82 217 83 230 96569 89209 106 223 99 227 88 228 94 230 89209 83580 103 238 98 234 92 233 91 225 83580 78897 88 242 87 238 89 237 85 228 78897 74829 71 243 72 236 79 232 77 231 74829 71242 58 241 58 231 68 223 67 235 71242 67999 51 242 51 245 60 232 63 241 67999 65011 56 250 57 255 61 245 67 246 65011 62244 69 252 65 252 68 255 73 252 62244 59580 79 248 74 250 79 258 81 254 59580 56810 82 248 84 249 87 257 85 255 56810 53919 85 251 88 249 91 255 87 258 53919 51138 89 253 89 250 93 253 91 257 51138 48622 95 255 92 252 97 250 97 253 48622 46364 103 256 97 254 99 249 101 251 46364 44319 110 256 104 255 100 251 104 251 44319 42451 113 254 109 252 108 255 107 253 42451 40728 111 255 105 252 115 255 110 256 40728 39131 110 255 103 255 111 254 114 257 39131 37644 104 254 101 256 105 257 115 256 37644 36257 97 254 93 256 102 260 112 256 36257 34938 87 252 87 257 102 261 109 259 34938 33626 72 254 85 259 94 260 110 262 33626 32292 71 261 82 263 83 258 109 263 32292 30927 72 263 75 265 78 261 105 263 30927 29511 73 261 72 267 80 265 101 265 29511 28031 74 261 73 267 82 268 98 267 28031 26491 75 261 72 269 83 268 96 268 26491 24889 75 261 68 270 82 268 93 269 24889 23227 74 261 66 270 80 269 90 270 23227 21507 74 263 65 270 78 271 88 272 21507 19721 74 263 67 268 77 273 85 274 19721 17866 73 261 67 266 73 276 84 274 17866 15984 71 262 65 268 70 278 85 275 15984 14178 70 265 63 273 69 278 85 279 14178 12539 68 267 62 275 68 276 82 282 12539 11085 66 269 60 276 67 276 78 283 11085 9797 63 270 60 276 67 279 75 282 9797 8656 59 270 60 277 65 281 73 281 8656 7647 56 270 60 277 62 283 67 282 7647 6755 52 268 60 274 58 281 61 282 6755 5971 46 266 55 269 53 277 54 278 5971 5281 42 264 49 264 46 272 48 272 5281 4661 39 261 41*258 38 264 45 269 4661 4111 33 253 32*253 32 259 41 267 4111 3650 26 246 30 252 30 258 37 266 3650 3294 23 244 28 252 28 258 33 265 3294 3048 21 244 25 252 25 257 29 265 3048 2899 17*243 21 251 21 257 24 265 2899 2813 11*243 14 251 13*257 15*265 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography