DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.9 - - 67.3 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 221 - - 12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5695 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6415 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8253 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3049 - - 4632 - - 1889 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 451 - - 79 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 181 - - 201 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 426 - - -1150 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7827 - - 3967 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -537 - - -2125 - - -1757 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8790 - - 4942 - - 4574 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 94 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 200 - - 690 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.9 - - 67.3 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.3 - - 59.4 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.0 - - 66.7 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.6 - - 58.3 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 221 - - 12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5695 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 46 - - 75 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96938 39 264 39 269 40 278 96938 89675 26 262 38 275 27 277 89675 84105 21 282 20 271 23 283 84105 79486 16 305 8 306 16 303 79486 75517 14 326 9 352 12 321 75517 72013 15 333 12 336 14 312 72013 68834 17 345 13 346 13 312 68834 65902 16 335 12 340 14 314 65902 63188 6 306 14 315 16 322 63188 60554 6 311 12 287 17 325 60554 57786 8 313 11 281 14 311 57786 54913 13 281 19 276 24 285 54913 52186 21 279 27 275 30 275 52186 49747 26 278 28 279 28 266 49747 47573 26 274 23 263 26 255 47573 45632 19 253 25 262 23 270 45632 43875 17 241 26 259 29 286 43875 42256 17 237 24 241 20 268 42256 40743 15 236 22 243 22 262 40743 39317 12 236 15 240 22 247 39317 37966 11 250 9 241 18 224 37966 36661 11 263 11 248 16 215 36661 35336 11 265 10 242 16 221 35336 33963 11 263 11 230 18 228 33963 32545 10 264 13 223 19 236 32545 31070 8 257 15 216 20 241 31070 29524 6 243 15 214 21 236 29524 27912 6 249 15 219 20 225 27912 26235 7 247 13 233 20 227 26235 24495 9 240 13 253 21 243 24495 22696 12 233 15 259 24 246 22696 20830 16 224 21 238 23 246 20830 18891 20 235 23 236 23 238 18891 16923 23 242 26 231 25 227 16923 15035 23 234 25 229 28 228 15035 13319 20 221 24 227 29 230 13319 11793 19 210 25 231 29 231 11793 10433 18 196 25 234 28 234 10433 9219 17*190 24 228 27 237 9219 8134 16*187 24 220 28 236 8134 7169 16 185 23 214 27 230 7169 6312 16 183 22 209 25 224 6312 5551 15 181 21 205 24 217 5551 4864 15 180 21 204 23 206 4864 4255 14 179 19 203 21 198 4255 3743 14 177 18 202 18 193 3743 3349 13 177 16 202 15 189 3349 3077 12 177 14 201 11 185 3077 2912 11 176 12*201 7*182 2912 2817 9 176 8*201 3*178 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography