DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 51.1 - - 50.4 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 259 - - 47 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2022 - - 2847 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3578 - - 4307 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4580 - - 5405 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 871 - - 1015 - - 3403 - - 340 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 372 - - 96 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 21 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 297 - - 299 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -6 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3696 - - -4148 - - -6917 - - -4802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8277 - - 9553 - - 9733 - - 7617 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12735 - - -11490 - - -14169 - - -14931 ODpotential blCL - - - 17315 - - 16895 - - 16985 - - 17746 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 76 - - 76 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 51.1 - - 50.4 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.1 - - 19.3 - - 17.9 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 49.4 - - 49.6 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 18.7 - - 17.3 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 259 - - 47 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2022 - - 2847 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96128 79 250 82 247 76 258 82 245 96128 89080 61 259 63 251 67 258 68 256 89080 83633 45 260 44 263 49 254 47 265 83633 79079 42 264 33 260 34 252 37 260 79079 75103 41 280 25 261 33 252 31 279 75103 71594 43 287 37 288 39 277 38 293 71594 68459 33 285 40 296 36 298 32 300 68459 65582 17 282 29 289 26 293 24 295 65582 62877 7 278 17 274 19 275 26 293 62877 60223 26 307 21 288 29 295 34 291 60223 57452 44 296 40 290 43 290 46 291 57452 54585 54 289 49 290 51 285 52 287 54585 51856 62 287 59 289 56 286 58 292 51856 49414 71 282 73 285 69 292 65 290 49414 47230 75 279 81 281 81 287 67 286 47230 45241 71 282 85 280 83 282 71 290 45241 43408 83 287 88 282 88 283 76 293 43408 41709 96 283 95 284 96 285 84 292 41709 40137 95 286 102 285 105 286 95 291 40137 38676 103 292 105 285 109 286 101 290 38676 37309 108 296 106 287 109 284 103 290 37309 35993 99 296 104 286 108 284 101 289 35993 34665 93 294 99 282 103 284 97 289 34665 33296 93 291 97 279 96 285 90 289 33296 31893 93 289 94 278 89 284 80 289 31893 30441 93 290 89 280 81 284 70 289 30441 28924 81 292 81 283 71 287 64 290 28924 27341 69 289 76 285 67 289 62 292 27341 25690 63 287 70 286 65 291 61 294 25690 23978 59 288 60 288 59 291 58 297 23978 22211 56 290 56 290 52 290 51 297 22211 20383 57 288 55 290 47 291 46 293 20383 18484 58 289 54 288 46 292 43 294 18484 16551 54 287 50 286 46 289 43 297 16551 14690 48 286 46 284 43 286 42 297 14690 12999 44 290 42 284 40 285 41 295 12999 11498 43 299 37 291 36 290 38 293 11498 10164 45 308 35 304 33 299 34 295 10164 8977 45 311 36 312 33 310 31 301 8977 7920 44 310 36 312 33 316 30 308 7920 6982 45 307 35 312 32 319 30 312 6982 6155 45 304 28 307 27 315 27 311 6155 5423 42 301 23*299 21 305 23 304 5423 4768 32*297 23*298 20 303 21 298 4768 4186 28*294 22 297 19 303 20 298 4186 3698 27 293 22 297 18 302 18 299 3698 3322 25 293 21 296 17 302 16 296 3322 3063 23 293 19 296 16 301 12 289 3063 2905 19 292 16 295 13*301 8*278 2905 2815 13 291 11 295 9*299 4*269 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography