DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.7 - - 72.2 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 99 - - -4 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3920 - - 3730 - - 236 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 129 - - 60 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 244 - - 253 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2120 - - -1997 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4937 - - 4814 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4116 - - -6791 - - -7051 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6933 - - 9608 - - 9868 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 71 - - 69 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 60 - - 210 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.7 - - 72.2 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 60.5 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.4 - - 72.0 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.3 - - 59.6 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 99 - - -4 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97394 39 251 43 250 36 243 97394 90202 23 244 23 260 22 257 90202 84641 19 246 20 252 15 274 84641 80011 7 262 13 245 11 290 80011 76024 1 234 13 195 11 282 76024 72524 11 003 2 336 1 273 72524 69384 7 344 10 304 8 344 69384 66535 2 088 6 284 11 316 66535 63917 9 033 7 346 4 309 63917 61383 10 352 10 328 8 336 61383 58744 8 314 13 294 16 303 58744 56005 10 293 14 257 19 253 56005 53379 25 300 25 293 22 284 53379 51007 31 302 34 307 27 298 51007 48868 38 313 39 314 29 320 48868 46911 45 315 43 315 39 329 46911 45100 46 321 46 326 45 327 45100 43407 53 335 51 336 47 330 43407 41813 63 339 60 337 47 332 41813 40307 67 337 64 334 49 330 40307 38882 67 335 63 334 52 327 38882 37504 66 334 61 336 55 326 37504 36107 67 336 62 337 57 326 36107 34663 66 335 63 338 57 326 34663 33178 53 328 62 337 56 330 33178 31635 38 320 54 337 52 335 31635 30024 34 321 44 334 43 334 30024 28347 33 317 37 322 42 325 28347 26612 28 317 30 311 37 318 26612 24832 21 310 29 312 30 317 24832 23008 21 284 29 315 26 318 23008 21126 24 294 27 315 24 321 21126 19167 23 310 26 315 27 325 19167 17172 21 309 22 313 24 324 17172 15254 17 314 19 313 18 321 15254 13511 17 324 19 319 16 323 13511 11956 17 331 18 330 15 332 11956 10565 15 327 14 338 15 341 10565 9321 14 305 12 324 15 341 9321 8211 15 287 17 295 16 327 8211 7225 14 279 20 281 20 305 7225 6353 13 275 20 275 24 291 6353 5581 14 267 19 272 24 283 5581 4887 13 262 16 262 23 278 4887 4270 11 250 15 257 21 269 4270 3753 11 247 14 255 19 257 3753 3355 10 246 13 254 18 251 3355 3079 10 246 11 253 14 249 3079 2913 9*245 9*253 9*248 2913 2817 7*244 6*253 4*251 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography