DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 55.0 - - 56.7 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 434 - - 234 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2217 - - 3492 - - 3745 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3918 - - 4968 - - 4940 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4775 - - 6050 - - 6303 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 696 - - 1077 - - 1429 - - 2932 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 473 - - 395 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 11 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 132 - - 129 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5263 - - -4271 - - -3922 - - -6227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10039 - - 10322 - - 10226 - - 9043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13457 - - -10544 - - -10061 - - -13333 ODpotential blCL - - - 18232 - - 16594 - - 16364 - - 16148 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 64 - - 82 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 55.0 - - 56.7 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.4 - - 19.8 - - 21.9 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 52.3 - - 54.8 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.7 - - 18.7 - - 20.8 - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 434 - - 234 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2217 - - 3492 - - 3745 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 27 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97393 63 243 59 245 56 250 53 260 97393 89920 46 246 46 245 51 246 51 251 89920 84207 31 244 44 245 44 249 42 244 84207 79511 27 242 38 253 36 252 32 255 79511 75483 27 245 29 252 28 255 26 262 75483 71922 27 254 27 244 27 244 26 262 71922 68700 28 261 24 244 29 244 34 255 68700 65746 32 269 27 263 34 250 38 253 65746 63004 45 268 40 263 36 259 37 256 63004 60331 54 263 47 260 41 264 39 264 60331 57519 56 260 49 258 48 260 48 265 57519 54584 54 258 51 256 53 255 53 257 54584 51786 53 254 54 253 54 253 50 255 51786 49279 50 252 52 252 50 251 47 260 49279 47037 45 256 46 248 46 252 48 258 47037 45009 45 262 39 253 44 251 48 250 45009 43165 49 259 41 264 39 249 44 243 43165 41481 49 247 44 258 38 251 37 243 41481 39939 45 243 40 247 37 239 33 245 39939 38520 45 245 38 237 40 225 30 241 38520 37197 46 247 35 238 40 217 28 239 37197 35921 45 247 40 235 29 232 25 242 35921 34623 43 249 43 230 30 244 28 249 34623 33278 44 252 40 231 29 243 30 248 33278 31893 44 256 36 239 25 241 26 242 31893 30455 39 258 35 247 25 247 24 244 30455 28954 34 261 33 250 25 249 24 244 28954 27389 33 270 27 257 26 248 23 248 27389 25760 29 277 22 273 23 255 19 256 25760 24065 20 286 18 280 21 257 16 254 24065 22309 18 305 15 285 14 256 12 247 22309 20485 19 310 13 281 12 256 8 250 20485 18589 17 308 14 268 13 260 9 264 18589 16656 12 300 13 258 15 266 12 278 16656 14793 11 299 11 261 15 273 13 287 14793 13094 13 308 8 282 16 286 13 293 13094 11580 15 316 9 320 12 298 10 299 11580 10232 15 316 12 327 11 314 7 299 10232 9030 17 305 16 316 12 319 6 297 9030 7963 18 299 14 310 7 313 5 289 7963 7018 13 295 4 296 4*147 3 247 7018 6184 5 251 6*145 5*140 5 151 6184 5447 11*151 10*136 8 132 12 138 5447 4786 16*137 11 134 9 130 16 138 4786 4199 17 134 11 132 9 128 17 136 4199 3707 17 133 12 131 10 127 17 134 3707 3328 16 132 11 130 10 127 16 132 3328 3066 15 131 11 130 9 126 14 129 3066 2907 13 130 10 129 9 126 11 127 2907 2815 10 129 8 129 7 126 6*126 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography