DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.7 - - 46.0 - - 46.3 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 301 - - 73 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1551 - - 2245 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3291 - - 3911 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4109 - - 4803 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 461 - - 811 - - 3045 - - 888 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 361 - - 109 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 299 - - 289 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4067 - - -5325 - - -6964 - - -4882 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8176 - - 10129 - - 9779 - - 7697 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16595 - - -16473 - - -18336 - - -18099 ODpotential blCL - - - 20704 - - 21276 - - 21151 - - 20914 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 46 - - 48 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.7 - - 46.0 - - 46.3 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.2 - - 11.8 - - 13.7 - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 44.0 - - 45.4 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.2 - - 11.6 - - 13.4 - - 14.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 301 - - 73 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1551 - - 2245 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96229 64 248 61 246 65 249 63 251 96229 89119 52 255 55 258 54 260 50 257 89119 83636 35 251 41 258 42 268 34 270 83636 79106 27 255 28 255 32 266 25 278 79106 75182 30 273 24 262 29 265 26 279 75182 71690 36 286 26 285 29 273 32 279 71690 68528 26 283 26 297 25 280 32 279 68528 65631 21 278 22 294 18 276 27 272 65631 62934 27 280 28 295 21 282 28 273 62934 60300 43 288 43 286 39 284 36 280 60300 57551 57 284 55 284 51 281 51 281 57551 54715 64 289 62 284 60 283 67 281 54715 52014 68 290 68 284 71 285 76 283 52014 49566 66 285 72 284 79 283 81 279 49566 47358 60 287 70 283 77 279 82 277 47358 45357 66 291 67 285 70 276 80 273 45357 43534 75 284 71 287 65 282 78 270 43534 41859 77 282 71 285 70 289 72 270 41859 40306 78 282 72 282 74 286 71 272 40306 38857 79 282 76 277 71 280 73 273 38857 37496 79 282 75 274 71 275 72 272 37496 36184 80 283 73 276 71 271 69 273 36184 34856 80 286 75 279 66 271 68 273 34856 33485 81 290 76 279 66 274 65 271 33485 32073 82 293 76 281 67 273 60 272 32073 30605 83 296 74 283 65 276 55 272 30605 29072 84 296 73 285 63 281 50 272 29072 27476 81 295 71 286 62 284 49 271 27476 25814 73 292 71 289 63 285 51 274 25814 24093 66 291 73 289 65 286 53 280 24093 22314 62 290 71 290 67 290 54 284 22314 20465 58 289 62 288 63 290 52 286 20465 18544 56 290 55 285 55 288 50 287 18544 16593 57 292 53 284 49 286 47 288 16593 14721 57 295 51 285 45 288 43 291 14721 13019 54 297 48 289 42 293 40 298 13019 11505 49 297 45 294 42 298 38 303 11505 10159 45 295 42 297 41 300 38 305 10159 8960 42 298 38 300 38 299 37 304 8960 7897 41 305 37 301 34 297 33 300 7897 6957 41 311 36 304 31 297 28 297 6957 6133 41 314 34 307 29 298 24 296 6133 5405 38 313 30*307 21 291 21 291 5405 4753 32 312 21*300 19 289 19 283 4753 4174 23*307 20 299 18 289 17 282 4174 3690 19*303 19 299 18 290 16 287 3690 3318 17 302 18 299 17 290 14 293 3318 3061 16 301 17 298 15 290 11 293 3061 2904 14 300 15 298 13*289 8*290 2904 2815 10 298 10 297 9*289 4*289 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography