DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.0 - - 71.6 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 207 - - 66 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3430 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4702 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5988 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1870 - - 6990 - - 5540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 383 - - 115 - - 33 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 8 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 192 - - 236 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -214 - - -3257 - - -956 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6202 - - 6074 - - 3774 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5203 - - -4020 - - -2564 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11191 - - 6837 - - 5381 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 92 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 80 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.0 - - 71.6 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.5 - - 54.5 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.1 - - 70.5 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.2 - - 53.2 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 207 - - 66 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3430 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 58 - - 68 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98580 3 085 10 059 3 357 98580 91040 12 148 3 345 14 001 91040 85243 9 113 3 112 11 001 85243 80451 13 098 6 101 8 019 80451 76336 10 051 9 105 5 059 76336 72702 8 004 11 054 8 050 72702 69410 4 023 12 014 14 015 69410 66398 9 029 12 346 17 357 66398 63626 19 354 14 338 17 339 63626 60960 20 337 21 337 21 332 60960 58192 27 326 28 325 23 324 58192 55325 35 313 35 312 30 318 55325 52598 42 303 41 300 38 303 52598 50158 48 299 43 297 42 300 50158 47984 49 291 49 292 46 289 47984 46021 56 286 56 290 43 286 46021 44227 50 284 55 280 48 282 44227 42570 47 285 48 279 48 283 42570 41026 48 284 45 275 48 277 41026 39577 46 288 43 274 42 270 39577 38210 39 290 40 281 36 269 38210 36887 37 287 38 285 34 275 36887 35543 37 286 36 288 35 277 35543 34148 39 285 41 281 40 275 34148 32708 38 286 46 278 45 275 32708 31210 35 287 44 282 47 279 31210 29643 35 289 37 282 50 281 29643 28013 34 291 35 283 37 290 28013 26321 27 293 32 285 28 285 26321 24565 21 288 25 288 25 287 24565 22754 19 287 18 284 21 278 22754 20884 18 283 17 273 20 269 20884 18945 18 285 18 272 24 272 18945 16973 19 291 20 277 25 278 16973 15076 18 293 19 285 24 281 15076 13350 15 286 17 285 24 283 13350 11817 11 270 15 280 22 286 11817 10455 9 258 16 272 22 283 10455 9242 9 268 15 271 17 277 9242 8161 12 286 14 270 14 276 8161 7194 9 281 10 265 13 274 7194 6335 5*245 7 257 12 272 6335 5570 5*207 6 253 11 270 5570 4880 6 198 5 249 9 266 4880 4266 6 192 5 246 7 258 4266 3751 5 188 4 242 6 246 3751 3354 5 186 4 240 4 233 3354 3080 5 183 4 239 3 217 3080 2913 5 183 3 237 2 202 2913 2817 4 182 3*236 2*184 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography