DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.4 - - 60.0 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 52 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1722 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3300 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4280 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 730 - - 3833 - - 2473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 267 - - 103 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 101 - - 049 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 737 - - -1644 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3543 - - 4460 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3941 - - -2189 - - -1314 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8221 - - 5005 - - 4130 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 94 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.4 - - 60.0 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.7 - - 50.3 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.0 - - 59.2 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.6 - - 49.3 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 52 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1722 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 80 - - 74 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98608 15 119 6 140 2 136 98608 91210 9 127 9 120 4 079 91210 85480 11 146 5 153 7 073 85480 80716 12 128 8 153 6 108 80716 76624 6 079 7 091 4 092 76624 73028 1 107 5 048 4 048 73028 69782 1 112 5 066 5 007 69782 66807 4 079 2 007 7 322 66807 64054 8 015 5 010 7 005 64054 61386 4 336 11 318 14 336 61386 58622 7 058 7 313 11 306 58622 55770 11 335 9 358 8 320 55770 53039 17 303 15 341 14 342 53039 50573 22 300 25 316 20 337 50573 48353 21 298 28 310 26 330 48353 46322 19 310 31 313 27 329 46322 44447 18 325 31 313 30 330 44447 42708 19 336 28 319 34 328 42708 41089 25 340 28 334 35 333 41089 39577 33 341 29 349 40 341 39577 38159 39 344 35 358 44 344 38159 36795 43 342 45 356 46 346 36795 35420 35 342 52 350 50 348 35420 34007 31 348 40 350 48 346 34007 32569 17 343 31 353 34 344 32569 31093 5 042 22 359 26 348 31093 29555 8 076 14 006 21 353 29555 27948 9 068 15 003 19 355 27948 26270 10 072 17 005 20 347 26270 24524 9 074 16 006 20 343 24524 22714 9 037 15 012 18 351 22714 20837 10 013 15 025 17 015 20837 18887 10 015 18 036 19 030 18887 16905 10 029 17 042 18 041 16905 15002 6 063 14 051 14 050 15002 13272 9 092 11 059 11 060 13272 11733 14 088 11 071 10 061 11733 10364 9 071 9 067 10 059 10364 9143 6 049 8 061 8 058 9143 8057 7 039 9 068 7 055 8057 7093 10 052 8 055 8 061 7093 6244 9 077 9 039 11 057 6244 5494 9 109 9 038 14 052 5494 4822 11*108 9 041 14 053 4822 4225 10*103 8 043 12 053 4225 3725 9 101 8 045 10 055 3725 3338 9 100 8 047 9 056 3338 3071 8 100 7 047 7 057 3071 2909 7 100 6 049 5*057 2909 2816 6 100 5*049 3*054 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography