DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.9 - - 82.5 - - 83.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 147 - - 104 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 3843 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 4852 - - 2802 - - 2802 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2818 - - 6401 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4145 - - 2395 - - 5772 - - 4693 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 356 - - 131 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 14 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 298 - - 265 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2048 - - 765 - - -2985 - - -1670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4867 - - 5636 - - 5803 - - 4488 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2855 - - -628 - - -4096 - - -3391 ODpotential blCL - - - 5673 - - 7029 - - 6914 - - 6209 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 82 - - 76 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 1790 - - 2340 - - 2670 - - 3310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.9 - - 82.5 - - 83.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.8 - - 67.1 - - 67.7 - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 81.0 - - 82.6 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 66.1 - - 66.8 - - 69.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 147 - - 104 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 3843 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 29 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99172 44 100 28 104 30 099 34 057 99172 91607 34 090 31 098 25 095 21 071 91607 85792 29 070 36 089 23 091 20 088 85792 80996 18 062 30 086 23 080 19 083 80996 76889 18 075 22 093 19 071 19 095 76889 73274 20 080 22 083 18 079 18 103 73274 70010 14 074 22 059 19 080 21 089 70010 67018 10 078 16 040 19 066 23 073 67018 64249 13 079 6 051 12 043 17 042 64249 61582 15 062 6 107 5 020 11 011 61582 58821 13 033 8 058 6 073 4 024 58821 55980 15 351 12 025 9 075 7 063 55980 53295 19 323 19 343 10 062 6 029 53295 50894 24 328 20 332 12 036 10 104 50894 48756 24 334 20 349 17 037 25 094 48756 46821 17 348 23 353 16 049 26 071 46821 45037 13 012 14 001 17 064 21 074 45037 43371 12 033 10 050 18 049 16 086 43371 41806 15 058 10 080 15 037 22 105 41806 40329 21 072 22 097 8 045 24 104 40329 38929 24 063 25 090 7 088 20 064 38929 37572 19 039 24 076 7 081 20 058 37572 36195 24 351 18 046 10 060 18 060 36195 34771 26 340 17 002 11 028 11 096 34771 33308 23 341 15 345 9 355 3 093 33308 31793 21 344 14 348 8 357 7 360 31793 30211 21 354 18 355 10 002 10 003 30211 28566 23 356 20 001 12 001 13 014 28566 26856 23 357 19 001 16 352 17 005 26856 25085 19 005 17 008 17 004 18 010 25085 23251 14 008 13 013 14 003 19 018 23251 21350 14 005 16 006 13 007 16 022 21350 19379 18 010 19 003 19 021 16 026 19379 17374 21 008 19 001 20 020 16 014 17374 15440 19 004 18 351 18 008 20 360 15440 13674 16 008 15 344 18 347 22 357 13674 12099 13 358 11 350 17 336 21 357 12099 10696 11 348 9 354 16 340 19 354 10696 9444 9 340 7 342 14 349 18 354 9444 8325 10 329 6 343 8 343 11 343 8325 7328 9 330 5 341 6 322 8 304 7328 6444 7 351 5*330 6 303 8 286 6444 5656 4 356 5*317 6 291 8 283 5656 4945 2 334 5 306 6 281 8 280 4945 4313 2 278 5 299 6 276 8 276 4313 3782 2 269 5 294 6 271 7 272 3782 3372 2 262 5 289 6 269 7 269 3372 3089 2 258 4 287 5 267 6 267 3089 2917 2*258 4 285 5 267 5 263 2917 2818 1*257 4 284 4*265 3*263 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography