DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.5 - - 21.8 - - 24.1 - - 19.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 205 - - 111 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 2700 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 4123 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2813 - - 5258 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4251 - - 3666 - - 7150 - - 3948 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 342 - - 128 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 24 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 262 - - 276 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -12 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1074 - - 1700 - - -1140 - - -207 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3887 - - 3558 - - 3954 - - 3021 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1357 - - 928 - - -1512 - - -914 ODpotential blCL - - - 4170 - - 4330 - - 4326 - - 3728 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 101 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.5 - - 21.8 - - 24.1 - - 19.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.7 - - 16.5 - - 16.9 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 18.5 - - 20.6 - - 23.1 - - 19.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.6 - - 15.4 - - 15.7 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 205 - - 111 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 2700 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 102 - - 71 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96718 21 263 17 261 35 256 36 283 96718 89447 13 259 15 263 12 240 24 266 89447 83863 8 249 15 259 8 268 10 251 83863 79236 5 280 7 236 9 244 7 284 79236 75232 8 249 4 240 6 277 6 266 75232 71676 9 237 3 229 7 267 8 282 71676 68449 10 280 2 020 5 312 8 284 68449 65468 9 282 6 306 9 312 14 286 65468 62692 7 297 7 300 15 285 19 273 62692 59979 15 264 15 262 26 247 20 256 59979 57124 26 252 26 236 35 247 27 259 57124 54156 32 252 40 251 42 252 36 254 54156 51321 45 233 51 238 46 246 39 253 51321 48768 49 225 46 235 43 239 47 257 48768 46486 48 240 46 243 44 252 52 258 46486 44424 66 248 53 248 57 258 54 259 44424 42542 79 239 62 246 65 253 51 262 42542 40807 78 235 68 241 64 246 59 272 40807 39202 84 237 74 241 59 240 73 264 39202 37724 92 235 79 241 53 248 76 251 37724 36352 92 235 79 242 60 261 63 249 36352 35040 99 235 79 244 71 262 49 259 35040 33720 107 232 83 245 80 256 43 274 33720 32365 113 227 93 243 83 251 46 296 32365 30975 114 224 106 237 76 249 57 301 30975 29539 117 227 119 233 69 250 67 289 29539 28049 118 228 124 231 67 250 70 284 28049 26502 117 228 124 230 70 248 69 284 26502 24892 116 227 121 228 74 245 67 286 24892 23217 115 230 119 228 76 246 67 289 23217 21480 113 234 115 227 78 251 66 294 21480 19678 107 238 103 230 81 257 62 295 19678 17807 99 243 94 238 81 262 61 285 17807 15910 81 247 79 251 74 268 67 276 15910 14091 59 249 60 256 62 278 73 280 14091 12444 46 252 50 252 50 285 71 289 12444 10993 41 255 46 254 36 283 61 299 10993 9719 39 261 32 258 31 276 45 308 9719 8600 35 264 28 264 32 273 28 303 8600 7615 29 265 27 266 33 273 22 284 7615 6744 25 267 27 266 32 274 22 286 6744 5970 24 269 27 265 32 275 23 292 5970 5282 24 269 27*264 31 276 23 297 5282 4663 23 269 27*263 30 277 22 300 4663 4113 22 269 26 263 28 277 21 301 4113 3651 21 269 25 262 26 277 19 301 3651 3295 20 269 23 262 24 277 17 299 3295 3049 18 269 21 262 22 276 13 298 3049 2899 16 269 18 262 18*276 11*297 2899 2814 11*269 13 261 12*276 6*295 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography