DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 60.0 - - 61.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 313 - - 194 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2992 - - 6357 - - 6414 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4414 - - 7108 - - 6906 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5550 - - 8915 - - 8972 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2101 - - 2491 - - 1986 - - 7334 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 378 - - 526 - - 452 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 20 - - 21 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 233 - - 261 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 5 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2509 - - 1210 - - -433 - - -3891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8059 - - 7705 - - 9405 - - 6707 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6060 - - 219 - - -3040 - - -5054 ODpotential blCL - - - 11610 - - 8696 - - 12012 - - 7870 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 87 - - 71 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 60.0 - - 61.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 35.8 - - 29.6 - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 58.0 - - 59.8 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 34.8 - - 28.5 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 313 - - 194 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2992 - - 6357 - - 6414 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 49 - - 0 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97562 16 254 22 257 26 264 23 277 97562 90212 19 242 21 247 23 267 21 274 90212 84556 16 233 20 234 20 247 21 252 84556 79851 13 224 15 225 16 232 19 238 79851 75791 10 184 11 205 14 234 13 249 75791 72199 11 234 9 161 14 216 10 248 72199 68944 13 237 2 300 6 178 8 237 68944 65953 12 234 17 253 11 273 11 241 65953 63176 11 261 22 232 17 249 12 241 63176 60465 27 276 21 244 25 246 24 241 60465 57620 32 266 34 257 35 256 32 253 57620 54675 46 257 46 261 51 264 49 267 54675 51891 49 257 58 259 64 258 67 259 51891 49394 56 262 60 254 66 250 71 253 49394 47153 68 260 61 255 69 251 74 251 47153 45113 80 258 74 255 84 254 75 250 45113 43248 90 255 85 255 87 251 80 251 43248 41546 100 265 95 259 91 258 92 260 41546 39980 118 269 109 266 114 264 110 264 39980 38525 126 266 128 265 130 260 127 260 38525 37166 128 265 139 262 135 257 130 254 37166 35862 131 265 144 260 134 255 130 252 35862 34539 134 265 143 260 135 252 130 253 34539 33170 130 265 140 261 137 250 126 253 33170 31757 120 264 130 260 140 251 125 251 31757 30287 116 260 121 260 143 255 127 255 30287 28752 120 258 120 258 133 260 123 262 28752 27156 119 266 120 265 116 264 104 263 27156 25500 101 266 107 267 100 270 92 263 25500 23790 88 260 95 263 85 267 82 266 23790 22036 83 256 84 262 75 260 68 256 22036 20228 74 257 74 264 67 258 66 250 20228 18351 62 260 62 267 62 261 64 248 18351 16445 53 264 52 266 56 261 59 254 16445 14614 43 267 43 267 48 259 51 259 14614 12949 37 263 37 263 41 257 46 259 12949 11474 32 250 33 253 35 257 35 251 11474 10168 28 249 29 244 24 258 24 247 10168 9004 26 245 26*238 23*260 21 253 9004 7963 22 237 25*235 23*261 20 262 7963 7033 17 227 22 233 23 261 19 271 7033 6206 13*213 21 232 23 261 20 281 6206 5470 12*196 21 232 22 261 20 288 5470 4805 11 179 20 232 22 261 21 292 4805 4214 10 175 19 232 21 261 21 294 4214 3718 10 172 18 232 21 261 20 296 3718 3335 9 170 17 232 20 261 18 296 3335 3069 8 169 16 232 18 260 15 296 3069 2908 8 169 14 232 16 260 12*296 2908 2816 6 168 11 231 11 259 7*296 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography