DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.2 - - 79.0 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 220 - - 97 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3731 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4947 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6289 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1653 - - 5945 - - 3760 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 400 - - 129 - - 38 W* B/S - - - - - - 18 - - 5 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 308 - - 304 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1568 - - -6186 - - -3268 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7857 - - 9004 - - 6086 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6945 - - -10102 - - -7370 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13234 - - 12920 - - 10187 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 46 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.2 - - 79.0 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.5 - - 49.3 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.3 - - 77.7 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.1 - - 48.1 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 220 - - 97 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3731 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98794 26 098 17 092 21 047 98794 91287 29 091 19 080 19 074 91287 85527 23 082 20 092 18 100 85527 80759 16 084 17 094 14 088 80759 76661 15 086 11 077 12 052 76661 73052 13 078 14 076 12 048 73052 69786 12 090 11 099 9 050 69786 66783 9 091 8 100 5 019 66783 64016 10 113 3 101 3 357 64016 61349 7 338 8 040 7 051 61349 58570 12 259 11 280 8 320 58570 55705 15 239 19 256 20 278 55705 52994 27 258 31 271 28 275 52994 50584 34 257 39 277 38 277 50584 48447 33 255 52 267 53 265 48447 46508 31 243 46 246 55 261 46508 44722 20 278 35 255 53 252 44722 43058 42 313 31 282 47 249 43058 41495 63 312 42 299 42 270 41495 40023 68 301 48 295 49 280 40023 38631 59 281 50 289 54 278 38631 37282 53 281 50 279 55 275 37282 35913 54 288 52 276 54 277 35913 34496 52 288 55 274 48 270 34496 33035 44 282 52 268 45 260 33035 31517 46 276 47 263 42 255 31517 29935 49 274 44 265 44 257 29935 28289 47 271 42 270 42 262 28289 26579 40 263 41 276 39 273 26579 24806 35 260 38 276 35 276 24806 22975 33 267 31 275 28 276 22975 21083 27 274 26 281 24 276 21083 19121 17 266 22 280 21 285 19121 17128 15 267 22 267 17 283 17128 15215 14 290 18 274 16 275 15215 13475 15 302 15 296 15 285 13475 11927 16 303 14 305 14 302 11927 10545 16 305 13 321 12 306 10545 9313 14 301 9 322 9 316 9313 8214 11 298 6 297 6 301 8214 7236 6 300 6 297 5 268 7236 6368 4*308 6 302 5 261 6368 5597 4*311 6 305 4 277 5597 4901 4 310 7 306 4 311 4901 4281 4 308 7 306 4 327 4281 3761 4 309 7 306 5 334 3761 3360 4 306 6 305 5 335 3360 3083 4 305 6 305 4 335 3083 2914 4 303 6*305 4 337 2914 2817 3 304 5*304 2*337 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography