DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.6 - - 46.8 - - 47.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 164 - - 46 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 2657 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3988 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 5215 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 676 - - 1867 - - 5269 - - 536 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 63 - - 314 - - 95 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 21 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 214 - - 204 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5062 - - -2472 - - -5490 - - -3637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7877 - - 7688 - - 8305 - - 6452 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14865 - - -5190 - - -9539 - - -11874 ODpotential blCL - - - 17679 - - 10405 - - 12354 - - 14689 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 80 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.6 - - 46.8 - - 47.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.7 - - 23.1 - - 21.1 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 45.4 - - 46.9 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.6 - - 22.3 - - 20.7 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 164 - - 46 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 2657 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 20 - - 28 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95813 44 235 45 249 47 258 41 258 95813 88750 32 254 33 253 46 255 45 263 88750 83336 34 265 32 251 41 251 42 258 83336 78816 38 258 45 256 42 260 41 259 78816 74876 39 259 49 255 48 262 44 261 74876 71362 43 267 46 252 53 258 49 260 71362 68172 47 266 47 251 50 252 48 258 68172 65236 50 261 46 250 51 249 49 253 65236 62495 56 252 52 255 52 244 53 254 62495 59819 60 254 56 257 53 245 57 250 59819 57026 68 254 66 256 64 251 73 249 57026 54133 80 253 82 251 83 249 89 251 54133 51375 97 250 97 248 98 248 102 249 51375 48899 106 246 108 248 107 247 110 246 48899 46687 107 244 113 247 113 245 109 245 46687 44678 109 244 117 245 118 243 112 244 44678 42834 116 245 123 241 125 241 117 243 42834 41134 120 245 123 238 128 238 122 242 41134 39557 122 248 118 240 124 237 124 242 39557 38089 127 251 121 245 123 239 127 243 38089 36723 135 253 129 249 125 243 136 245 36723 35419 133 252 134 249 132 246 145 246 35419 34106 129 251 131 247 134 246 142 246 34106 32754 122 251 126 245 131 244 134 245 32754 31367 111 249 124 243 126 244 127 243 31367 29930 104 247 122 242 119 243 120 242 29930 28433 98 245 115 242 107 244 109 243 28433 26880 91 244 98 242 93 248 99 243 26880 25271 82 247 83 245 88 252 92 246 25271 23606 75 249 73 249 87 253 90 248 23606 21880 71 247 69 253 83 252 88 249 21880 20088 67 245 67 255 77 254 80 251 20088 18228 61 241 64 255 68 257 71 255 18228 16335 56 235 60 252 67 264 64 254 16335 14510 51 229 57 251 65 265 60 249 14510 12850 46 227 57 251 56 259 58 252 12850 11375 42 231 54 247 51 249 55 250 11375 10063 38 242 47 244 50 242 53 244 10063 8897 37 250 41 245 46 237 53 243 8897 7860 36 251 38 243 41 234 54 243 7860 6940 35 248 37 237 34 230 47 239 6940 6127 36 241 32 228 29 226 39 235 6127 5403 36 233 27*220 26 221 36 234 5403 4751 34 228 25*216 24 216 33 231 4751 4172 32 224 23 214 23 212 30 221 4172 3688 26 217 22 214 21 210 27 207 3688 3316 19 210 20 213 20 208 22 199 3316 3060 12 207 19 213 18 206 16 193 3060 2904 9 206 16 213 15*205 12*191 2904 2815 5*207 11 212 10*204 5*190 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography