DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.8 - - 39.8 - - 31.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 148 - - 18 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1871 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3397 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4429 - - 2815 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 705 - - 1945 - - 642 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 273 - - 73 - - 28 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 146 - - 142 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -706 - - -2292 - - -962 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5135 - - 5107 - - 3777 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9348 - - -10421 - - -11301 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13777 - - 13236 - - 14115 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 69 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 38.8 - - 39.8 - - 31.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.4 - - 27.6 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 37.5 - - 39.2 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 25.3 - - 26.7 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 148 - - 18 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1871 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96049 18 338 10 341 13 288 96049 89014 13 339 9 341 12 002 89014 83489 2 345 10 300 17 340 83489 78861 3 356 6 303 9 340 78861 74859 14 268 16 306 14 325 74859 71332 26 255 28 274 29 290 71332 68152 23 247 25 250 31 256 68152 65212 26 262 26 267 28 254 65212 62465 39 262 39 263 37 268 62465 59805 50 262 49 258 50 255 59805 57031 63 261 63 258 56 255 57031 54164 76 259 71 265 69 262 54164 51451 92 259 91 263 90 261 51451 49017 103 254 101 257 98 258 49017 46836 99 253 107 257 102 256 46836 44871 97 261 110 257 112 258 44871 43083 110 265 112 260 126 259 43083 41431 113 265 115 262 129 258 41431 39889 117 267 117 263 129 260 39889 38444 120 266 119 261 127 260 38444 37090 118 262 117 259 122 258 37090 35793 115 259 114 257 118 257 35793 34484 112 260 111 257 116 255 34484 33133 99 263 102 258 110 255 33133 31739 83 262 91 259 101 256 31739 30293 74 257 84 257 90 256 30293 28781 71 252 84 255 83 257 28781 27204 66 252 82 256 80 255 27204 25560 63 251 72 254 77 254 25560 23857 61 251 65 252 66 253 23857 22102 59 253 60 254 53 251 22102 20288 54 256 57 257 45 249 20288 18405 51 255 55 260 43 248 18405 16488 48 254 51 258 44 246 16488 14643 45 254 48 254 44 245 14643 12966 41 258 45 252 42 244 12966 11476 39 259 42 253 38 240 11476 10147 36 257 37 255 34 234 10147 8962 32 252 33 257 30 230 8962 7904 30 245 30 254 28 229 7904 6963 29 236 29 244 28 231 6963 6133 24 222 24 233 26 228 6133 5397 17 199 17 219 21 222 5397 4740 14*161 13 182 15 211 4740 4159 13*150 14 155 17 180 4159 3676 13 147 14 150 23 157 3676 3309 12 145 13 148 21 149 3309 3056 11 143 12 145 15 141 3056 2902 10 141 10*144 12 135 2902 2814 7 140 7*142 6*128 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography