DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.9 - - 79.3 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 172 - - 125 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3423 - - 2035 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4624 - - 3459 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5981 - - 4593 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1243 - - 1489 - - 1838 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 362 - - 271 - - 32 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 265 - - 248 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -186 - - 322 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6167 - - 4271 - - 2818 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4018 - - -3197 - - -1506 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9999 - - 7790 - - 4324 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 82 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1900 - - 3260 - - 2310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.9 - - 79.3 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.2 - - 69.6 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.3 - - 77.9 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.1 - - 68.9 - - 69.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 172 - - 125 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3423 - - 2035 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 44 - - 27 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99248 26 072 27 086 25 060 99248 91819 28 095 22 077 22 076 91819 86078 24 098 18 090 14 070 86078 81283 19 075 18 078 15 064 81283 77139 13 065 13 072 16 056 77139 73472 9 077 8 070 13 047 73472 70151 6 115 5 090 8 038 70151 67106 2 030 3 012 3 017 67106 64292 3 273 3 269 5 321 64292 61574 9 310 8 308 6 277 61574 58756 16 289 19 306 19 305 58756 55867 19 265 24 276 26 274 55867 53143 21 274 23 281 21 294 53143 50709 35 283 33 286 31 294 50709 48534 39 275 32 279 35 287 48534 46560 33 273 26 281 35 286 46560 44755 32 281 27 290 38 290 44755 43095 33 280 31 297 36 291 43095 41545 34 282 36 300 32 289 41545 40087 37 280 36 297 29 291 40087 38708 34 278 33 295 27 293 38708 37371 25 278 31 299 27 294 37371 36013 22 285 29 292 27 295 36013 34607 21 278 28 279 26 294 34607 33155 16 253 25 273 25 293 33155 31641 15 242 23 275 24 292 31641 30057 16 263 22 281 24 293 30057 28405 19 286 22 279 24 295 28405 26687 21 296 25 279 24 295 26687 24906 20 301 26 286 24 290 24906 23067 21 296 24 298 25 283 23067 21163 23 291 24 306 26 279 21163 19190 27 281 27 306 28 281 19190 17187 23 290 32 303 30 280 17187 15264 21 297 26 301 30 274 15264 13519 21 301 21 296 28 266 13519 11969 20 301 21 288 23 262 11969 10585 19 304 21 282 20 270 10585 9348 17 302 17 274 19 284 9348 8242 15 291 12 256 18 292 8242 7257 16 277 12 234 16 299 7257 6384 16*272 15 236 14 303 6384 5607 16*270 17 245 13 303 5607 4907 15 267 17*248 12 302 4907 4284 15 265 17*248 11 301 4284 3763 15 264 16 248 10 301 3763 3361 14 262 15 247 8 301 3361 3083 13 261 14 247 7 300 3083 2915 11 261 12 247 5*299 2915 2818 8 259 9 247 3*298 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography