DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.4 - - 73.8 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 22 - - 42 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1754 - - 4206 - - 2721 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 76 - - 102 - - 39 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 262 - - 246 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - -546 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2817 - - 3364 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -275 - - -1381 - - -698 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3092 - - 4199 - - 3515 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 390 - - 1170 - - 580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.4 - - 73.8 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.1 - - 68.0 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.7 - - 73.0 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.9 - - 67.2 - - 67.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 22 - - 42 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 74 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99409 40 094 33 084 34 076 99409 91901 37 085 33 086 29 077 91901 86121 29 077 29 081 29 069 86121 81324 21 081 24 074 27 075 81324 77195 19 088 20 079 24 073 77195 73541 17 081 19 082 21 081 73541 70241 14 075 17 087 17 082 70241 67220 10 090 13 096 10 092 67220 64425 8 137 6 076 8 075 64425 61721 11 068 8 354 9 342 61721 58928 15 321 17 297 16 301 58928 56062 9 260 15 281 18 263 56062 53342 29 311 28 304 25 307 53342 50919 54 302 50 300 53 305 50919 48768 58 296 58 299 56 297 48768 46806 55 295 57 293 54 295 46806 44986 52 282 54 280 49 290 44986 43292 47 272 53 270 45 283 43292 41713 48 273 50 269 44 285 41713 40237 48 277 49 276 50 289 40237 38846 47 279 50 280 47 283 38846 37498 49 280 50 280 44 276 37498 36129 50 280 49 279 47 274 36129 34710 51 285 48 281 49 274 34710 33245 52 290 49 282 50 276 33245 31721 51 290 51 285 50 277 31721 30126 48 288 50 285 50 279 30126 28462 44 283 49 283 49 280 28462 26735 42 282 46 283 46 279 26735 24946 37 279 42 281 43 276 24946 23098 35 265 36 286 42 272 23098 21185 33 246 34 266 37 271 21185 19198 33 248 40 256 36 262 19198 17179 35 247 41 256 39 262 17179 15244 33 242 40 250 33 257 15244 13490 28 237 33 249 27 249 13490 11930 25 236 30 254 25 256 11930 10542 23 240 29 257 25 256 10542 9305 22 248 29 258 25 255 9305 8203 21 258 26 262 24 257 8203 7223 20 266 22 266 20 258 7223 6356 19 269 19 267 17 258 6356 5584 17 270 18 266 15 259 5584 4890 15 269 16 260 13 259 4890 4273 14 267 15 257 12 259 4273 3756 12 267 13 251 11 259 3756 3357 10 266 12 249 9 260 3357 3081 8 265 11 248 8 260 3081 2913 6 263 10*247 7 260 2913 2817 5*262 7*246 5*261 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography