DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 39.8 - - 41.8 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 345 - - 164 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3640 - - 3365 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5007 - - 4491 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6198 - - 5923 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1399 - - 1658 - - 2352 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 444 - - 338 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 312 - - 310 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1755 - - -2252 - - -3724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7953 - - 8175 - - 6539 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7933 - - -8728 - - -12577 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14131 - - 14651 - - 15392 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 64 - - 54 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 39.8 - - 41.8 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 14.9 - - 15.9 - - 16.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 37.7 - - 40.4 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 14.7 - - 15.6 - - 16.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 345 - - 164 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3640 - - 3365 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96232 16 249 9 355 14 290 96232 89260 5 008 11 005 13 006 89260 83776 9 025 6 309 18 332 83776 79164 9 026 5 332 16 002 79164 75147 5 287 16 287 22 320 75147 71600 18 174 8 200 14 309 71600 68387 21 338 11 338 14 326 68387 65420 33 311 31 312 25 313 65420 62672 33 289 43 295 37 301 62672 60004 37 281 50 288 47 289 60004 57203 50 287 54 287 57 285 57203 54283 61 290 63 289 64 287 54283 51490 69 289 70 289 72 291 51490 48973 75 288 78 289 79 291 48973 46713 83 288 86 291 86 292 46713 44663 89 288 95 293 93 291 44663 42790 89 289 97 291 98 291 42790 41064 90 293 97 290 102 290 41064 39462 93 296 97 291 101 290 39462 37972 97 296 97 293 104 293 37972 36585 102 296 98 296 113 296 36585 35264 104 297 100 297 120 299 35264 33940 94 297 92 297 118 302 33940 32587 83 296 80 297 105 301 32587 31212 77 294 70 298 83 296 31212 29796 71 299 67 303 72 297 29796 28321 70 303 69 303 71 302 28321 26783 67 305 64 305 68 307 26783 25186 61 306 59 302 62 308 25186 23529 55 307 56 301 63 304 23529 21814 49 313 58 303 63 304 21814 20030 45 318 56 307 57 304 20030 18169 46 318 49 312 53 301 18169 16270 45 320 42 315 48 298 16270 14439 39 319 35 312 41 294 14439 12779 33 316 30 305 33 296 12779 11311 32 312 28 304 28 302 11311 10009 30 313 27 304 26 306 10009 8851 30 318 24 308 26 306 8851 7819 29 322 21 311 23 306 7819 6904 24*321 16 307 20 304 6904 6096 19*316 15*307 17 300 6096 5380 17 312 15*308 16 299 5380 4736 16 311 14 309 15 304 4736 4164 16 311 14 310 15 310 4164 3684 15 311 14 311 14 313 3684 3314 14 311 13 311 13 315 3314 3059 13 311 12 312 11 314 3059 2904 12 311 11 312 7*311 2904 2815 9 310 8 312 4*307 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography