DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 62.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 44 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2323 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3766 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4881 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 906 - - 3178 - - 1890 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 304 - - 102 - - 26 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 334 - - 327 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2560 - - -3645 - - -972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7441 - - 6461 - - 3788 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10091 - - -10013 - - -9118 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14972 - - 12829 - - 11934 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 48 - - 55 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 62.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 40.4 - - 43.7 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.8 - - 61.3 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.2 - - 42.5 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 44 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2323 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98547 8 058 6 316 3 304 98547 91139 13 072 2 201 5 311 91139 85384 10 086 3 116 5 004 85384 80624 3 059 5 067 4 356 80624 76561 2 273 4 018 6 021 76561 72969 3 241 4 281 6 006 72969 69703 1 049 3 204 5 330 69703 66709 4 097 3 231 6 318 66709 63954 5 073 3 223 6 347 63954 61298 6 001 2 104 5 006 61298 58524 5 320 5 311 7 323 58524 55648 10 337 10 298 13 300 55648 52913 17 325 13 315 10 297 52913 50446 23 309 21 305 17 305 50446 48224 26 299 26 293 24 298 48224 46199 26 302 27 295 31 300 46199 44336 29 309 33 302 38 302 44336 42617 40 312 50 306 48 309 42617 41023 58 307 63 300 58 304 41023 39537 73 299 69 294 64 295 39537 38141 78 295 72 293 66 294 38141 36795 76 297 74 292 69 297 36795 35431 76 299 74 293 72 298 35431 34019 78 300 73 295 75 299 34019 32560 76 302 75 298 73 300 32560 31044 72 304 74 302 66 302 31044 29467 68 303 69 304 58 306 29467 27835 64 304 61 306 50 312 27835 26146 53 309 53 310 37 317 26146 24404 37 313 44 314 27 334 24404 22609 30 316 32 319 24 347 22609 20751 23 321 22 336 24 347 20751 18822 22 333 24 345 25 339 18822 16858 26 341 27 348 26 337 16858 14968 28 346 29 352 27 343 14968 13246 30 356 30 355 28 351 13246 11713 31 002 29 357 29 355 11713 10348 30 003 27 358 27 357 10348 9131 27 002 25 359 25 000 9131 8048 24 002 22 002 23 006 8048 7087 22 002 21 004 22 012 7087 6239 20 359 20 357 23 016 6239 5488 18*353 17 338 23 006 5488 4817 15*337 17 334 23 352 4817 4221 15 335 16 332 23 346 4221 3722 14 334 16 331 21 345 3722 3337 14 332 15 330 18 343 3337 3071 13 331 14 329 14 340 3071 2909 11 330 12 328 10*337 2909 2816 8 330 8*327 5*333 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography