DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 70.5 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 246 - - 116 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3886 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5078 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6444 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1896 - - 7070 - - 3383 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 410 - - 130 - - 25 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 231 - - 240 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -189 - - -3948 - - -2280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6633 - - 6765 - - 5097 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1798 - - -4741 - - -4460 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8242 - - 7558 - - 7277 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 77 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 380 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 70.5 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.6 - - 50.6 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.1 - - 69.3 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.9 - - 50.2 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 246 - - 116 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3886 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 23 - - 10 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96241 18 256 35 242 30 265 96241 89096 18 248 24 248 25 275 89096 83657 28 267 20 255 21 247 83657 79121 25 275 18 293 9 255 79121 75193 27 279 30 295 27 306 75193 71782 20 260 28 272 29 297 71782 68702 22 290 27 290 26 293 68702 65837 34 288 42 293 39 292 65837 63164 46 290 37 283 44 285 63164 60574 55 280 42 289 44 286 60574 57867 55 280 51 291 50 290 57867 55035 61 285 62 288 62 288 55035 52306 71 280 70 277 70 282 52306 49840 72 271 71 274 69 277 49840 47624 70 267 73 274 67 274 47624 45610 68 265 75 270 67 269 45610 43766 65 264 69 268 61 266 43766 42078 59 267 62 267 55 269 42078 40526 56 272 55 267 57 268 40526 39090 56 268 50 261 51 250 39090 37749 50 250 51 243 48 246 37749 36455 44 244 56 231 47 243 36455 35139 45 251 48 225 46 243 35139 33775 34 250 42 233 46 249 33775 32365 33 241 42 245 47 255 32365 30896 36 239 41 254 45 258 30896 29361 41 245 37 254 42 259 29361 27761 45 244 38 253 41 259 27761 26095 46 243 45 251 42 257 26095 24366 52 244 47 247 42 258 24366 22578 53 241 50 246 41 265 22578 20727 52 236 54 245 49 259 20727 18807 48 237 51 245 55 251 18807 16858 44 238 42 244 49 253 16858 14984 40 234 35 241 37 248 14984 13278 35 228 31 238 32 248 13278 11757 33 224 29 233 30 251 11757 10401 32 220 29 231 29 249 10401 9191 30 216 28 227 29 242 9191 8111 25 216 26 226 28 237 8111 7149 19*223 22 229 28 236 7149 6296 18*226 20 234 27 239 6296 5537 18 228 19 236 26 243 5537 4856 18 230 19 237 24 248 4856 4249 17 232 18 238 23 250 4249 3740 17 233 18 239 22 251 3740 3347 16 234 17 239 19 251 3347 3076 15 234 16 240 14 251 3076 2911 13 235 13*240 11*251 2911 2817 10 234 10*240 6*251 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography