DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 8.8 - - 13.7 - - 14.3 - - 9.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 227 - - 118 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 254 - - 1984 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2796 - - 3642 - - 2796 - - 2796 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2812 - - 4542 - - 2813 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2161 - - 694 - - 2440 - - 1692 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 125 - - 319 - - 129 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 25 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 310 - - 303 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -9 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -706 - - 356 - - -1189 - - -449 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3518 - - 4186 - - 4003 - - 3262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -966 - - -17603 - - -1512 - - -17020 ODpotential blCL - - - 3778 - - 22145 - - 4325 - - 19833 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 78 - - 85 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 8.8 - - 13.7 - - 14.3 - - 9.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.8 - - 5.7 - - 7.1 - - 5.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 7.8 - - 12.3 - - 13.4 - - 10.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.1 - - 4.7 - - 6.1 - - 6.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 227 - - 118 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 254 - - 1984 - - 255 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 12 - - 41 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96550 27 210 17 244 16 255 23 246 96550 89297 19 214 16 235 25 235 16 266 89297 83716 6 320 9 281 11 262 14 288 83716 79085 2 283 14 209 6 207 9 236 79085 75073 21 316 16 295 17 316 14 325 75073 71535 13 306 12 284 20 283 22 290 71535 68341 14 288 7 324 8 275 14 291 68341 65377 38 297 29 308 26 316 29 313 65377 62613 50 288 43 293 44 301 43 302 62613 59936 51 286 50 294 55 300 51 305 59936 57158 54 293 58 295 66 295 68 294 57158 54305 66 296 68 298 75 291 76 292 54305 51581 82 294 83 298 83 295 79 295 51581 49094 93 295 89 296 88 299 81 297 49094 46835 97 295 90 295 90 297 86 295 46835 44776 96 294 90 296 92 296 99 292 44776 42895 93 294 93 296 99 294 109 290 42895 41165 92 296 97 295 103 292 110 289 41165 39564 97 299 103 296 102 292 107 291 39564 38077 106 302 109 297 103 292 105 295 38077 36697 118 302 114 297 106 293 106 298 36697 35383 127 302 117 296 107 294 107 298 35383 34067 135 303 118 297 107 295 107 296 34067 32717 136 303 117 298 108 296 106 295 32717 31327 132 302 116 298 109 297 105 295 31327 29884 125 304 117 298 109 298 103 297 29884 28375 121 308 118 298 111 300 103 299 28375 26801 120 311 119 298 112 301 103 302 26801 25165 118 310 118 299 111 302 102 302 25165 23470 120 311 117 301 110 304 99 303 23470 21718 121 315 116 305 108 307 96 304 21718 19903 119 318 116 311 105 311 93 308 19903 18021 113 317 114 315 102 313 90 309 18021 16109 104 314 107 318 98 316 86 312 16109 14272 95 311 96 319 91 319 82 316 14272 12604 87 311 86 318 82 319 76 318 12604 11126 81 314 79 317 74 318 68 319 11126 9819 76 318 74 318 69 317 63 319 9819 8662 71 319 70 320 65 316 59 320 8662 7637 65 320 65 321 62 318 57 322 7637 6732 59 319 59 322 57 320 53 325 6732 5939 52 319 50 322 46 317 47 323 5939 5244 43 317 37 317 34 309 39 317 5244 4628 33 313 30*312 31 306 34 310 4628 4086 32 312 29*311 31 306 31 308 4086 3634 30 311 28 311 30 306 28 308 3634 3285 28 310 26 310 28 306 25 307 3285 3044 25 309 23 309 25 305 20 304 3044 2897 20 308 20 308 21*304 16*303 2897 2813 13*305 13 307 13*303 9*300 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography