DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.1 - - 50.7 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 121 - - 27 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2815 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1792 - - 2513 - - 1218 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 135 - - 87 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 20 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 000 - - 265 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1446 - - -1657 - - -130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4261 - - 4473 - - 2947 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6173 - - -5911 - - -6051 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8988 - - 8727 - - 8867 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 76 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.1 - - 50.7 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.3 - - 40.9 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.6 - - 49.8 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.1 - - 39.7 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 121 - - 27 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 257 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96542 21 085 23 068 29 070 96542 89476 22 086 17 086 19 060 89476 83973 12 107 12 100 5 088 83973 79356 9 145 4 056 1 001 79356 75349 10 183 12 222 11 257 75349 71794 2 259 7 236 14 258 71794 68577 9 281 13 270 18 273 68577 65629 18 286 19 262 16 257 65629 62874 25 295 22 265 21 270 62874 60192 34 294 32 287 35 281 60192 57417 46 279 48 285 47 288 57417 54562 58 267 62 276 57 279 54562 51843 63 264 61 270 58 272 51843 49380 60 270 61 274 62 279 49380 47152 68 281 67 278 70 282 47152 45122 77 281 74 281 76 287 45122 43265 78 284 79 284 82 285 43265 41562 83 290 91 285 82 290 41562 39997 95 288 92 287 88 299 39997 38552 88 285 94 291 98 306 38552 37207 77 297 92 296 105 308 37207 35916 85 308 97 304 103 307 35916 34608 89 309 100 304 100 305 34608 33253 82 301 98 300 95 304 33253 31857 85 294 99 297 86 301 31857 30407 91 293 95 296 80 298 30407 28892 86 296 88 297 73 298 28892 27315 76 298 81 300 72 297 27315 25678 70 296 76 300 66 299 25678 23979 67 295 71 301 57 301 23979 22219 64 298 64 302 54 301 22219 20398 55 301 57 304 60 304 20398 18513 46 306 48 306 58 305 18513 16596 41 304 39 307 45 303 16596 14746 33 305 34 302 35 297 14746 13061 28 311 34 298 32 293 13061 11562 26 317 35 296 34 293 11562 10230 23 322 30 295 35 289 10230 9041 20 322 22 293 31 284 9041 7979 16 324 14 288 26 278 7979 7032 14 330 10 279 22 273 7032 6195 11 338 7 270 18 267 6195 5454 9 348 4 250 13 251 5454 4790 6 003 2 241 10 222 4790 4202 4 006 1 244 7 206 4202 3708 3 003 1 255 5 198 3708 3328 3 003 1 257 4 193 3328 3066 2 002 1 263 3 190 3066 2907 2 001 1*264 2*186 2907 2816 2*000 1*265 2*181 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography