DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 64.3 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 147 - - 114 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2723 - - 4123 - - 4138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 142 - - 131 - - 46 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 314 - - 329 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - -1302 - - -1844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2816 - - 4120 - - 4661 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -393 - - -1823 - - -2961 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3209 - - 4640 - - 5778 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 92 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 64.3 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.4 - - 55.8 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.8 - - 63.2 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.6 - - 55.2 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 147 - - 114 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 66 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99235 40 081 33 073 29 070 99235 91707 35 084 28 082 27 066 91707 85900 24 080 27 084 24 070 85900 81081 18 075 21 087 24 070 81081 76938 19 085 17 081 19 076 76938 73290 18 088 14 082 14 079 73290 69994 14 096 10 093 12 078 69994 66964 6 122 4 118 8 084 66964 64155 12 165 8 199 2 295 64155 61455 5 164 10 210 9 223 61455 58649 12 206 11 221 9 255 58649 55740 18 226 24 253 19 261 55740 52970 25 220 33 228 23 250 52970 50489 23 235 30 243 45 256 50489 48289 42 249 51 248 61 245 48289 46305 53 236 63 235 59 232 46305 44475 57 223 61 232 52 230 44475 42769 51 218 56 236 49 246 42769 41176 47 233 53 234 56 253 41176 39686 43 237 53 235 56 255 39686 38290 42 242 55 239 56 261 38290 36950 45 245 55 241 58 273 36950 35600 43 243 51 246 61 288 35600 34209 40 241 49 253 61 291 34209 32776 38 243 49 259 53 295 32776 31288 40 245 47 264 49 305 31288 29733 41 245 43 269 50 300 29733 28110 41 248 38 272 54 293 28110 26416 35 253 38 283 57 304 26416 24657 30 251 38 284 51 313 24657 22835 31 249 34 278 43 304 22835 20944 28 248 33 278 45 297 20944 18983 22 252 27 280 42 296 18983 16993 16 270 21 293 33 294 16993 15079 17 287 20 306 28 299 15079 13338 19 292 21 311 23 308 13338 11789 20 293 21 323 20 315 11789 10411 18 292 22 333 19 325 10411 9184 19 291 24 340 19 338 9184 8095 19 285 23 344 22 344 8095 7133 20 288 18 338 24 343 7133 6285 22 304 19 334 24 342 6285 5531 22 316 20 333 23 341 5531 4851 22 318 20 332 23 340 4851 4246 21 318 20 332 21 338 4246 3738 19 317 19 331 19 337 3738 3346 17 316 19 331 17 336 3346 3076 16 315 17 330 14 334 3076 2911 13 315 14*330 11*333 2911 2817 9*314 10*329 7*332 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography