DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.1 - - 81.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 64 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3260 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4443 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5818 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1731 - - 5188 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 341 - - 117 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 337 - - 309 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -91 - - -3514 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5910 - - 6332 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4816 - - -7040 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10634 - - 9858 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 67 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 660 - - 700 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.1 - - 81.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.6 - - 62.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.6 - - 80.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.3 - - 61.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 64 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3260 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99196 47 094 46 084 99196 91757 41 085 37 080 91757 86048 33 078 29 077 86048 81289 26 077 25 073 81289 77181 21 082 25 069 77181 73548 14 098 20 057 73548 70254 12 109 11 049 70254 67217 10 093 7 040 67217 64407 10 075 5 011 64407 61714 9 058 2 336 61714 58935 12 030 6 005 58935 56081 9 005 12 005 56081 53381 8 068 10 015 53381 50955 14 046 6 040 50955 48778 21 026 10 039 48778 46806 23 016 17 015 46806 45001 14 035 19 355 45001 43325 8 051 13 338 43325 41753 4 064 6 330 41753 40274 4 099 1 078 40274 38879 7 052 3 126 38879 37532 10 038 4 071 37532 36167 9 046 7 048 36167 34756 12 076 11 062 34756 33303 18 094 12 080 33303 31794 16 089 13 083 31794 30217 14 064 11 058 30217 28573 10 057 8 043 28573 26860 6 077 7 042 26860 25080 5 077 6 063 25080 23238 5 107 4 102 23238 21326 8 138 5 091 21326 19340 12 126 11 141 19340 17317 17 123 11 145 17317 15372 16 118 8 138 15372 13605 13 113 4 130 13605 12034 10 107 4 121 12034 10636 8 099 4 107 10636 9390 6 099 2 094 9390 8279 3 069 2 038 8279 7290 5 006 3 009 7290 6412 7*350 4 352 6412 5631 7*345 5 336 5631 4927 7 341 5 326 4927 4300 7 339 5 319 4300 3773 7 335 6 316 3773 3367 7 333 5 313 3367 3087 6 331 5 311 3087 2916 6 331 5*310 2916 2818 5 329 4*309 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography