DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 74.1 - - 75.1 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 257 - - 107 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 5608 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 6428 - - 2800 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 8166 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5838 - - 1860 - - 8034 - - 5898 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 473 - - 128 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 18 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 034 - - 050 - - 070 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4797 - - -1153 - - -6983 - - -3463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7614 - - 9319 - - 9800 - - 6280 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6731 - - -4726 - - -9719 - - -5702 ODpotential blCL - - - 9548 - - 12892 - - 12536 - - 8519 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 58 - - 66 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 74.1 - - 75.1 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 43.0 - - 42.0 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 71.9 - - 73.8 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 42.0 - - 41.0 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 257 - - 107 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 5608 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98372 12 077 9 089 6 141 8 181 98372 91004 19 089 11 109 4 102 7 100 91004 85304 18 083 13 095 7 094 9 051 85304 80572 13 074 11 072 12 087 9 038 80572 76502 9 066 11 069 12 079 10 054 76502 72896 11 064 13 074 10 094 10 042 72896 69628 9 085 11 075 9 066 8 048 69628 66639 8 058 9 079 5 071 5 042 66639 63880 4 021 3 061 3 091 2 021 63880 61210 1 100 3 264 4 304 6 295 61210 58426 5 270 6 263 9 293 6 276 58426 55542 12 252 13 250 15 279 7 274 55542 52791 13 235 15 236 19 263 12 279 52791 50319 14 232 15 223 17 249 16 277 50319 48107 12 230 10 230 13 236 14 261 48107 46104 10 269 11 252 9 232 13 235 46104 44271 15 278 9 259 9 253 10 245 44271 42574 15 258 8 282 8 277 9 271 42574 40992 6 259 8 298 8 293 11 292 40992 39509 8 350 11 341 7 351 7 315 39509 38117 17 001 21 359 16 005 20 012 38117 36783 26 002 26 003 24 002 39 017 36783 35441 27 003 31 012 31 009 46 018 35441 34058 29 012 37 016 37 013 47 020 34058 32635 32 019 41 018 37 010 44 020 32635 31155 36 024 42 022 34 011 39 017 31155 29608 38 026 39 027 33 017 34 013 29608 27997 36 026 36 032 35 017 31 014 27997 26323 27 029 33 033 35 018 30 016 26323 24583 22 031 29 032 32 020 29 017 24583 22780 19 030 26 028 28 022 28 015 22780 20911 17 029 23 026 26 024 25 014 20911 18968 18 024 21 027 23 025 22 016 18968 16991 18 022 18 025 20 027 19 019 16991 15090 16 014 15 028 17 028 17 023 15090 13361 14 009 13 028 16 033 17 026 13361 11826 12 020 11 027 14 034 15 024 11826 10464 13 028 10 030 10 018 11 007 10464 9252 14 027 7*031 9 018 9 009 9252 8168 13 028 6*035 9 022 8 025 8168 7199 11 030 5 038 8 031 8 042 7199 6338 8 031 5 043 7 043 8 056 6338 5572 7 031 5 049 7 050 7 069 5572 4881 7 027 5 053 7 056 8 078 4881 4267 7 027 5 060 7 061 8 086 4267 3752 6 029 4 064 7 065 8 091 3752 3354 5 030 4 066 7 067 8 095 3354 3080 5 033 4 069 6 069 7 099 3080 2913 4*034 4 071 6*069 6*101 2913 2817 3*034 3 072 5*070 4*100 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography