DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.9 - - 71.8 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 224 - - 89 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3643 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4888 - - 2800 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6201 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1300 - - 5392 - - 4639 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 399 - - 124 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 278 - - 285 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1745 - - -3925 - - -2286 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7946 - - 6742 - - 5104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7603 - - -5806 - - -4053 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13804 - - 8623 - - 6870 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 93 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.9 - - 71.8 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.9 - - 51.9 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.1 - - 70.8 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.6 - - 50.8 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 224 - - 89 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3643 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 4 - - 70 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98781 30 086 28 083 20 079 98781 91257 25 080 22 077 18 074 91257 85475 20 093 18 064 25 069 85475 80695 15 091 12 072 26 056 80695 76597 11 096 12 077 19 070 76597 72985 10 114 9 062 13 053 72985 69710 8 122 6 102 6 011 69710 66700 3 121 4 052 2 329 66700 63920 3 040 1 019 4 306 63920 61237 11 315 3 246 7 276 61237 58438 21 297 15 286 15 320 58438 55559 25 267 34 270 35 285 55559 52848 25 278 36 256 47 262 52848 50403 44 276 46 264 46 254 50403 48190 56 264 54 267 46 269 48190 46175 63 266 63 273 54 279 46175 44329 69 264 70 270 69 279 44329 42623 74 259 69 267 75 273 42623 41038 77 254 67 266 78 269 41038 39556 78 253 68 264 83 266 39556 38165 77 255 70 264 85 265 38165 36823 72 256 72 265 84 265 36823 35466 67 257 69 265 80 266 35466 34067 65 259 61 263 72 270 34067 32628 63 258 58 264 66 273 32628 31135 54 256 56 264 61 275 31135 29580 50 256 55 260 55 274 29580 27964 48 257 52 258 49 275 27964 26286 44 258 51 259 46 277 26286 24545 45 262 49 263 45 275 24545 22744 46 270 49 268 45 271 22744 20874 43 275 45 267 47 270 20874 18930 43 276 42 272 46 275 18930 16957 43 283 43 279 42 280 16957 15062 49 289 44 285 43 282 15062 13341 47 294 36 289 42 281 13341 11810 31 301 31 289 34 284 11810 10449 22 304 30 285 27 287 10449 9235 21 299 25 287 24 287 9235 8151 19 303 17 283 22 283 8151 7185 16 301 13 276 16 269 7185 6328 12*282 13 277 14 262 6328 5564 12*280 12 279 13 266 5564 4876 11 279 12 282 12 274 4876 4264 11 278 12 283 11 279 4264 3750 11 278 11 284 10 282 3750 3353 10 277 11 285 9 284 3353 3079 10 277 10 285 8 285 3079 2913 9 276 9*284 7 286 2913 2817 7 276 7*285 4*286 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography