DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.6 - - 55.6 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 273 - - 135 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2166 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3835 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4724 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1014 - - 5745 - - 1283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 350 - - 136 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 272 - - 294 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1569 - - -4625 - - -2987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6293 - - 7441 - - 5803 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4895 - - -5903 - - -6600 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9619 - - 8719 - - 9415 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 85 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.6 - - 55.6 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.0 - - 32.9 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 49.5 - - 54.2 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.1 - - 32.1 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 273 - - 135 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2166 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 29 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96683 14 231 23 245 22 265 96683 89490 2 270 10 241 11 280 89490 83958 3 121 9 277 9 336 83958 79372 8 108 8 229 7 356 79372 75413 5 030 2 124 6 317 75413 71902 9 345 12 015 5 042 71902 68709 14 314 15 324 12 334 68709 65774 4 304 9 018 10 342 65774 63034 24 322 17 353 21 351 63034 60355 32 308 33 316 32 318 60355 57548 36 307 37 308 36 309 57548 54604 38 308 39 302 41 299 54604 51765 37 296 38 298 38 292 51765 49203 34 289 41 295 42 293 49203 46918 37 293 42 294 42 294 46918 44858 42 293 41 295 36 302 44858 42972 40 301 36 297 37 311 42972 41231 43 309 32 310 40 315 41231 39615 43 310 40 316 44 316 39615 38111 48 312 47 312 48 318 38111 36710 52 307 50 308 51 321 36710 35380 52 303 50 308 52 324 35380 34056 51 302 50 312 50 323 34056 32709 51 303 50 315 47 323 32709 31340 45 298 48 318 45 323 31340 29926 36 288 46 320 43 325 29926 28449 36 287 41 307 41 330 28449 26912 36 298 40 288 37 334 26912 25316 36 300 28 281 36 331 25316 23666 30 289 26 300 36 327 23666 21963 24 286 26 314 33 320 21963 20196 20 289 26 315 24 318 20196 18357 17 302 23 302 22 326 18357 16477 17 305 14 296 25 330 16477 14661 22 291 13 307 25 327 14661 13004 26 285 14 332 23 324 13004 11527 25 285 16 331 21 329 11527 10209 22 293 20 316 19 338 10209 9030 19 304 22 320 19 344 9030 7975 15 324 18 326 15 335 7975 7035 16 340 13 321 12 318 7035 6204 16 334 12 314 11 314 6204 5466 14 317 12 310 10 311 5466 4801 11*289 11 306 9 295 4801 4210 11*276 11 303 9 271 4210 3714 11 273 10 300 9 254 3714 3332 10 271 9 298 10 243 3332 3068 10 270 9 297 9 237 3068 2907 9 269 8*296 7 233 2907 2815 7 268 6*294 4*232 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography