DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.6 - - 56.9 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 265 - - 52 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2398 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3984 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4956 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 736 - - 3728 - - 494 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 354 - - 99 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 346 - - 318 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -8003 - - -10777 - - -6946 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 12959 - - 13594 - - 9761 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -19014 - - -21245 - - -19095 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 23970 - - 24061 - - 21910 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 52 - - 37 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.6 - - 56.9 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 9.1 - - 7.5 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.4 - - 55.8 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 8.2 - - 6.6 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 265 - - 52 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2398 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96535 18 268 21 287 16 271 96535 89353 13 267 18 264 19 276 89353 83810 13 260 18 259 20 272 83810 79208 16 260 22 263 22 280 79208 75235 18 273 19 262 20 283 75235 71710 17 271 25 264 25 286 71710 68526 15 282 20 276 24 290 68526 65611 25 284 26 280 29 288 65611 62913 34 275 34 276 35 276 62913 60309 45 287 42 282 44 273 60309 57589 56 287 50 279 49 271 57589 54754 61 282 57 274 57 268 54754 52046 62 281 61 273 64 267 52046 49611 65 280 63 272 69 264 49611 47429 64 276 61 270 66 262 47429 45450 65 275 62 269 63 264 45450 43642 71 269 64 268 62 265 43642 41981 73 264 64 265 57 266 41981 40444 69 267 59 263 56 264 40444 39008 62 270 54 264 53 259 39008 37657 59 268 52 263 46 259 37657 36354 58 267 50 263 41 264 36354 35036 56 268 48 263 40 266 35036 33672 54 268 47 262 39 266 33672 32267 51 269 47 262 39 263 32267 30803 48 272 46 264 40 261 30803 29270 47 274 44 264 39 260 29270 27670 48 275 41 268 40 258 27670 26003 48 277 40 273 39 255 26003 24273 45 278 41 277 38 259 24273 22479 41 274 41 279 36 270 22479 20616 34 268 38 279 38 273 20616 18681 29 260 34 274 38 271 18681 16714 28 257 31 266 37 276 16714 14823 28 260 29 259 37 280 14823 13108 26 267 26 255 36 279 13108 11590 22 280 21 261 28 272 11590 10245 19 297 17 263 21 263 10245 9048 20 306 14 277 18 257 9048 7983 21 306 13 296 13 264 7983 7036 21 308 9 303 9 260 7036 6199 17 318 4 284 11 216 6199 5459 11*329 3 299 7 191 5459 4795 6*341 3 308 5 161 4795 4205 5 344 4 312 5 131 4205 3710 5 346 4 314 6 119 3710 3329 5 348 4 317 6 111 3329 3067 4 347 3 317 5 104 3067 2907 4 350 3*317 4 098 2907 2815 3 350 3*318 3*091 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography