DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.1 - - 57.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -1 - - -9 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 2800 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1197 - - 2418 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 14 - - 31 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 196 - - 233 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -720 - - -700 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3536 - - 3516 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 160 - - 550 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.1 - - 57.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.6 - - 55.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.9 - - 57.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.8 - - 55.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -1 - - -9 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96544 23 104 25 078 96544 89425 21 094 25 082 89425 83899 23 067 12 094 83899 79269 7 056 9 084 79269 75249 6 134 4 235 75249 71701 10 007 8 027 71701 68462 16 307 16 350 68462 65469 21 255 18 272 65469 62724 23 255 22 266 62724 60074 27 268 33 255 60074 57301 40 262 37 261 57301 54417 63 271 48 280 54417 51658 89 260 78 271 51658 49173 85 256 94 259 49173 46952 87 256 97 252 46952 44949 95 257 89 252 44949 43127 102 260 87 265 43127 41455 114 264 108 271 41455 39909 128 261 120 265 39909 38473 125 256 114 260 38473 37131 115 255 109 264 37131 35842 113 259 114 268 35842 34540 115 261 115 268 34540 33192 111 258 113 266 33192 31803 108 255 113 265 31803 30359 107 254 111 264 30359 28852 107 254 107 263 28852 27282 103 254 105 262 27282 25648 98 252 105 261 25648 23955 93 249 104 261 23955 22204 88 249 99 259 22204 20393 81 253 95 259 20393 18516 68 257 76 261 18516 16612 59 255 66 263 16612 14779 53 248 51 259 14779 13112 44 244 45 257 13112 11624 34 243 42 251 11624 10292 30 240 39 245 10292 9102 28 235 36 243 9102 8039 26 229 33 238 8039 7091 26 222 31 232 7091 6250 25 217 28 227 6250 5502 23 214 25 226 5502 4829 21 214 23 228 4829 4230 19 215 21 230 4230 3728 15 210 17 233 3728 3340 12 208 14 234 3340 3073 8 205 11 235 3073 2910 5*203 9 235 2910 2816 3*196 5*233 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography