DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 69.0 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 284 - - 162 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3417 - - 3480 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4779 - - 4584 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5975 - - 6038 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2214 - - 2141 - - 3004 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 412 - - 344 - - 25 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 22 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 240 - - 235 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -503 - - -244 - - -2179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6478 - - 6282 - - 4997 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1864 - - -1417 - - -7511 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7839 - - 7455 - - 10328 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 85 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 69.0 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.3 - - 51.1 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.1 - - 67.6 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.7 - - 50.6 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 284 - - 162 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3417 - - 3480 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 64 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96561 39 244 43 251 39 273 96561 89273 30 255 30 247 30 266 89273 83751 18 260 29 250 30 268 83751 79194 11 276 28 248 27 252 79194 75245 18 313 17 265 20 263 75245 71761 19 281 16 273 15 284 71761 68635 19 289 20 275 17 284 68635 65768 20 300 23 290 20 274 65768 63093 32 305 35 292 33 276 63093 60501 41 295 45 280 46 274 60501 57823 42 290 44 277 48 278 57823 55047 37 302 42 289 47 290 55047 52376 42 313 46 294 56 301 52376 49949 54 315 53 302 58 301 49949 47750 64 313 58 305 55 302 47750 45740 64 308 57 307 54 304 45740 43894 61 305 54 307 51 299 43894 42203 58 304 51 301 46 287 42203 40653 54 302 49 294 40 275 40653 39216 51 301 49 296 35 276 39216 37863 51 303 50 297 36 296 37863 36557 52 308 52 298 40 302 36557 35234 52 309 52 299 42 300 35234 33866 53 309 50 302 43 299 33866 32454 53 308 47 302 44 299 32454 30986 47 302 46 302 45 300 30986 29450 41 296 42 304 44 301 29450 27848 38 292 37 311 43 299 27848 26182 34 291 34 311 44 298 26182 24455 32 289 33 313 41 298 24455 22670 30 289 33 315 36 299 22670 20819 24 288 34 318 29 312 20819 18899 21 281 37 329 24 318 18899 16945 22 286 32 327 24 319 16945 15059 27 289 26 318 26 320 15059 13337 32 285 21 299 24 322 13337 11801 34 277 27 284 19 316 11801 10433 31 266 33 280 17 292 10433 9212 26 251 32 274 21 277 9212 8124 22 249 28 256 25 260 8124 7159 21 249 25 241 30 243 7159 6304 20*245 24*237 33 236 6304 5546 19*242 24*235 32 234 5546 4862 19 241 23 235 31 234 4862 4254 19 239 23 235 29 233 4254 3743 19 239 22 235 27 232 3743 3349 18 239 21 235 22 230 3349 3077 17 238 19 235 16 229 3077 2911 15 239 17 235 12*228 2911 2817 11 238 12 235 6*227 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography