DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 49.5 - - 46.8 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 306 - - 93 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2496 - - 3075 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3913 - - 4542 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5054 - - 5633 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1205 - - 1007 - - 3483 - - 3039 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 317 - - 406 - - 119 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 33 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 300 - - 299 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -32 - - -30 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 399 - - -732 - - -4655 - - -3315 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4655 - - 6365 - - 7470 - - 6130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -270 - - -11591 - - -15920 - - -15994 ODpotential blCL - - - 5324 - - 17224 - - 18735 - - 18809 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 69 - - 50 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 49.5 - - 46.8 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 31.2 - - 23.8 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 47.9 - - 45.8 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 30.9 - - 23.5 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 306 - - 93 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2496 - - 3075 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95842 82 247 79 251 76 249 78 240 95842 88825 58 255 67 259 66 263 59 258 88825 83430 37 244 43 247 53 265 40 260 83430 78917 32 265 28 243 42 243 38 261 78917 74987 37 280 34 290 34 254 42 271 74987 71530 28 273 32 285 32 281 38 285 71530 68414 13 246 22 260 25 271 26 272 68414 65511 23 289 21 246 19 240 20 266 65511 62775 44 292 35 278 30 281 31 289 62775 60119 55 290 52 287 51 289 50 293 60119 57381 57 281 55 287 57 284 58 288 57381 54565 47 278 55 278 58 277 61 280 54565 51881 48 288 52 278 57 283 58 282 51881 49452 55 297 58 287 64 289 64 287 49452 47260 64 292 69 286 72 288 69 280 47260 45266 74 281 78 285 78 286 70 278 45266 43437 75 283 85 285 88 286 72 282 43437 41746 84 291 92 285 93 280 80 281 41746 40178 99 292 98 284 91 277 86 280 40178 38716 111 289 103 284 90 280 87 277 38716 37346 114 285 105 282 94 283 87 275 37346 36030 113 282 103 280 96 283 87 275 36030 34702 113 279 102 280 95 281 87 274 34702 33330 113 278 99 282 96 280 87 276 33330 31914 113 279 98 283 94 281 86 278 31914 30442 110 279 98 282 90 282 88 280 30442 28901 103 281 95 283 88 284 86 282 28901 27297 99 282 92 285 86 285 82 282 27297 25631 99 282 91 282 88 285 80 282 25631 23908 99 282 93 284 90 288 80 282 23908 22124 97 284 95 290 91 294 79 286 22124 20274 92 284 93 291 90 295 78 289 20274 18358 90 286 90 290 86 296 79 290 18358 16418 83 287 85 291 81 298 77 294 16418 14556 75 286 77 293 74 299 72 299 14556 12869 66 283 67 292 67 299 67 302 12869 11375 62 280 61 289 60 299 62 303 11375 10053 62 284 58 290 56 300 57 304 10053 8881 58 290 57 297 56 302 54 307 8881 7839 52 294 55 304 54 305 51 309 7839 6919 48 295 48 306 51 306 47 309 6919 6109 41 296 38*303 42 304 44 305 6109 5393 37*296 37*301 35 301 41 301 5393 4747 35*297 36 300 34 300 39 300 4747 4173 34 297 35 300 33 300 37 299 4173 3691 32 297 34 300 32 301 33 298 3691 3318 30 296 32 300 30 300 28 297 3318 3061 27 296 29 299 27 300 22 295 3061 2905 23 296 25 299 23*300 19*294 2905 2815 15 295 17 299 14*299 11*293 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography