DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 66.2 - - 67.3 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 159 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2483 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 3868 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 5041 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1598 - - 1380 - - 4241 - - 174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 308 - - 73 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 282 - - 281 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1862 - - -1696 - - -4620 - - -1763 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4678 - - 6737 - - 7437 - - 4580 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6308 - - -6045 - - -8026 - - -7352 ODpotential blCL - - - 9124 - - 11086 - - 10843 - - 10168 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 59 - - 55 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 66.2 - - 67.3 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 46.6 - - 44.7 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 64.5 - - 66.9 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 45.6 - - 43.7 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 159 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2483 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97186 57 243 68 250 67 258 64 263 97186 89897 45 251 49 249 49 261 47 267 89897 84272 30 248 30 244 34 259 33 262 84272 79632 23 246 17 238 27 244 30 257 79632 75659 17 257 10 273 19 238 25 251 75659 72157 16 282 10 304 12 249 19 257 72157 68984 19 285 11 284 13 264 19 276 68984 66074 22 272 17 267 20 262 23 269 66074 63383 22 261 21 263 24 255 24 258 63383 60778 29 270 27 261 29 261 29 275 60778 58070 37 261 34 259 37 262 42 271 58070 55266 35 268 35 265 41 255 49 253 55266 52581 52 284 48 274 40 261 44 258 52581 50152 64 274 69 275 62 284 80 284 50152 47969 64 271 78 268 100 274 93 274 47969 45973 60 271 67 268 78 270 92 267 45973 44132 51 271 56 267 61 274 65 262 44132 42433 45 270 46 257 59 277 63 282 42433 40862 41 264 40 254 57 271 73 290 40862 39403 40 262 44 265 54 266 73 288 39403 38035 41 263 50 268 55 269 66 282 38035 36717 42 268 52 268 57 272 58 279 36717 35381 44 269 53 271 59 274 54 282 35381 33998 44 268 50 273 54 276 52 286 33998 32573 42 266 47 275 42 276 47 290 32573 31092 35 263 44 274 33 276 42 291 31092 29542 34 267 39 270 33 275 39 290 29542 27925 38 268 38 269 35 273 39 285 27925 26241 36 263 36 270 39 270 36 277 26241 24495 27 257 31 260 40 264 33 276 24495 22686 21 250 26 247 36 261 35 276 22686 20813 21 245 22 244 31 260 34 276 20813 18880 23 244 24 248 28 265 27 278 18880 16922 23 250 28 251 25 265 25 279 16922 15034 19 253 27 253 24 269 20 277 15034 13314 15 249 23 253 23 271 18 282 13314 11784 10 259 16 263 19 279 18 302 11784 10421 11 300 13 298 19 302 20 318 10421 9204 13 321 14 319 19 322 22 327 9204 8118 14 330 14 332 16 338 19 335 8118 7150 13 333 12 339 12 344 14 350 7150 6293 10 335 9 330 7 324 9 351 6293 5532 6 337 6*310 6 311 6 317 5532 4850 4 337 6*293 6 303 7 295 4850 4244 4 306 6 286 5 296 7 294 4244 3736 6 260 5 281 5 291 6 293 3736 3344 5 250 5 277 5 287 6 286 3344 3074 4 248 5 275 5 285 5 273 3074 2910 4*246 4 272 4*284 4 263 2910 2816 3*246 4 271 3*281 3*264 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography