DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 63.5 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 55 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3189 - - 3460 - - 1968 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 129 - - 106 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 327 - - 318 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3133 - - -3408 - - -1069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5949 - - 6224 - - 3885 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9146 - - -9526 - - -5198 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11962 - - 12342 - - 8014 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 91 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 63.5 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.7 - - 45.9 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.8 - - 62.6 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.6 - - 44.9 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 55 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 96 - - 65 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97941 2 228 17 298 10 309 97941 90719 6 195 11 256 15 285 90719 85102 2 114 8 199 10 287 85102 80398 1 059 7 152 8 280 80398 76352 4 254 3 102 3 224 76352 72782 7 229 4 223 3 160 72782 69547 8 198 10 235 1 258 69547 66573 10 186 12 233 8 305 66573 63819 10 178 12 215 13 287 63819 61158 5 151 9 206 10 259 61158 58385 5 154 9 212 9 245 58385 55508 8 289 5 255 6 251 55508 52766 10 264 9 291 8 304 52766 50301 9 260 9 277 8 312 50301 48082 11 288 9 285 5 286 48082 46051 13 287 12 280 7 290 46051 44186 15 272 13 270 14 285 44186 42471 19 267 16 283 17 281 42471 40884 23 268 22 282 15 284 40884 39406 27 265 23 287 14 307 39406 38025 27 262 22 283 13 311 38025 36704 24 262 19 288 11 358 36704 35371 21 273 18 309 14 358 35371 33992 16 291 18 311 11 341 33992 32567 12 314 13 297 12 317 32567 31082 9 318 11 290 16 302 31082 29528 10 293 13 300 18 304 29528 27907 13 303 17 310 20 309 27907 26223 16 316 18 319 19 309 26223 24477 15 322 18 322 18 307 24477 22675 14 332 16 330 19 314 22675 20808 13 344 16 334 18 322 20808 18871 16 353 19 341 17 328 18871 16904 20 356 21 343 18 332 16904 15009 23 355 23 342 19 338 15009 13285 25 356 23 344 17 346 13285 11751 23 352 21 346 16 347 11751 10386 19 343 18 344 16 343 10386 9170 14 340 16 341 14 344 9170 8086 13 351 14 341 11 352 8086 7123 13 357 14 340 10 360 7123 6271 14 351 14 325 10 354 6271 5515 12 338 13 321 10 335 5515 4837 11 332 13 320 10 326 4837 4235 11 330 13 320 11 328 4235 3731 11 330 12 319 11 331 3731 3342 10 329 11 319 10 331 3342 3073 9 329 11 319 8 329 3073 2910 8 329 9 319 6 322 2910 2816 6*327 7*318 3*312 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography