DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.1 - - 69.4 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 74 - - 23 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3980 - - 4097 - - 2130 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 116 - - 82 - - 38 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 149 - - 142 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -775 - - -633 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3593 - - 3450 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1438 - - -1384 - - -531 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4255 - - 4201 - - 3348 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 760 - - 790 - - 730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.1 - - 69.4 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.6 - - 63.6 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.9 - - 68.7 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.7 - - 62.9 - - 64.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 74 - - 23 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 93 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98473 10 164 16 242 5 265 98473 91037 4 172 9 201 5 229 91037 85313 8 181 3 252 2 103 85313 80559 6 151 0 242 4 026 80559 76473 3 286 4 165 1 270 76473 72881 9 247 7 224 4 253 72881 69644 8 222 6 226 5 286 69644 66678 4 229 3 215 8 314 66678 63936 3 253 6 296 9 348 63936 61283 2 273 5 300 10 324 61283 58530 3 172 5 268 10 300 58530 55691 3 229 8 235 11 288 55691 52979 14 269 17 260 15 267 52979 50526 30 255 30 249 24 245 50526 48323 36 243 35 239 34 246 48323 46330 38 231 39 241 43 244 46330 44510 42 227 44 238 49 237 44510 42832 45 224 46 232 51 232 42832 41273 47 219 47 225 54 233 41273 39812 48 218 43 223 59 232 39812 38432 48 220 41 228 58 229 38432 37098 46 220 42 230 53 226 37098 35744 41 220 42 226 49 224 35744 34344 33 215 41 223 46 229 34344 32900 29 217 40 220 44 227 32900 31399 31 222 37 213 40 224 31399 29831 31 220 32 218 36 225 29831 28197 28 217 27 228 33 232 28197 26496 26 216 26 232 33 240 26496 24734 26 216 29 232 29 241 24734 22911 24 216 27 229 25 244 22911 21023 19 225 26 227 19 251 21023 19064 15 239 21 239 13 250 19064 17074 17 248 17 246 8 248 17074 15162 17 266 15 276 8 248 15162 13423 15 270 15 294 8 276 13423 11877 11 262 15 302 7 313 11877 10501 9 261 13 302 7 325 10501 9273 8 266 10 304 7 319 9273 8176 7 259 8 295 6 323 8176 7201 7 242 5 272 2 310 7201 6337 6 233 3 245 2 163 6337 5568 5 217 3 222 4 146 5568 4877 4 187 3 169 5 139 4877 4263 5 163 3 159 5 130 4263 3749 5 154 3 149 6 120 3749 3353 5 151 3 145 6 113 3353 3079 5 149 3 144 6 108 3079 2912 4*149 3*142 5*106 2912 2817 4*149 3*142 3*102 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography