DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.7 - - 78.2 - - 84.1 - - 83.7 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 309 - - 378 - - 88 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3494 - - 6913 - - 7150 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4148 - - 6475 - - 9238 - - 8435 - - 4148 Hcrit BL Top 4165 - - 7661 - - 11080 - - 11317 - - 4165 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1297 - - 2460 - - 1426 - - 1693 - - 6785 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 426 - - 572 - - 356 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 15 - - 16 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 040 - - 121 - - 120 - - 115 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 30 - - 34 - - 29 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5401 - - -3237 - - -1328 - - -1470 - - -6846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9566 - - 10898 - - 12409 - - 12788 - - 11011 sfcLCL ODpotential -14353 - - -8805 - - -5928 - - -5781 - - -13304 ODpotential blCL 18518 - - 16466 - - 17008 - - 17098 - - 17469 blCL maxRH 47 - - 49 - - 54 - - 54 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.7 - - 78.2 - - 84.1 - - 83.7 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.8 - - 44.8 - - 43.9 - - 41.9 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.7 - - 77.1 - - 82.7 - - 83.8 - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.8 - - 44.8 - - 43.9 - - 41.9 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 309 - - 378 - - 88 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3494 - - 6913 - - 7150 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97770 14 238 18 260 17 272 10 267 9 337 97770 90523 3 260 5 195 8 231 11 271 8 345 90523 84934 6 071 4 119 4 178 5 303 7 016 84934 80285 10 039 7 068 8 098 9 065 5 041 80285 76307 12 038 13 060 9 088 14 063 10 074 76307 72813 12 033 13 040 13 072 16 074 10 089 72813 69658 10 048 12 058 11 055 16 069 12 078 69658 66761 6 067 11 065 6 087 8 057 14 047 66761 64073 6 068 9 103 3 082 3 018 9 031 64073 61472 2 009 5 059 2 027 2 326 3 341 61472 58769 7 244 6 253 8 262 11 283 9 285 58769 55978 19 276 16 271 16 267 19 270 19 279 55978 53332 33 275 31 278 27 284 27 279 26 277 53332 50945 47 269 43 269 40 277 37 275 34 283 50945 48789 49 264 49 265 48 270 47 272 43 279 48789 46819 50 266 52 265 51 268 49 272 45 274 46819 44997 55 268 54 271 52 274 47 274 47 280 44997 43297 60 267 59 272 55 276 50 277 51 285 43297 41702 61 264 60 269 57 272 52 278 52 285 41702 40196 55 264 57 265 54 268 51 281 51 288 40196 38773 44 262 48 263 48 268 50 281 51 295 38773 37403 39 256 41 257 42 267 49 278 50 292 37403 36025 38 253 38 253 38 262 46 277 48 284 36025 34616 34 247 34 250 35 257 41 271 43 282 34616 33178 25 236 29 237 30 249 36 265 39 280 33178 31696 20 230 24 215 28 224 32 252 32 270 31696 30161 18 217 21 202 23 207 28 219 28 253 30161 28576 16 202 16 194 20 201 26 205 25 218 28576 26940 14 198 13 185 17 195 24 195 22 197 26940 25250 11 186 15 178 18 189 24 185 21 188 25250 23508 12 175 19 167 22 181 22 179 21 181 23508 21710 14 169 23 168 25 179 21 179 21 173 21710 19850 14 161 26 169 27 175 20 176 19 169 19850 17962 18 150 25 166 28 171 19 169 17 165 17962 16146 24 133 24 158 26 164 17 159 17 148 16146 14495 28 124 25 144 25 154 15 154 14 132 14495 13026 30 122 26 134 23 147 13 146 11 131 13026 11714 30 124 25 129 19*137 13*138 11 143 11714 10536 29 125 22 129 17*128 13*132 11 142 10536 9477 28 125 20 132 17 124 13 126 11 130 9477 8527 27 125 18*132 17 123 14 119 13 119 8527 7679 24 127 18*130 16 121 14 115 15 113 7679 6921 21 130 17 125 16 119 14 111 17 112 6921 6235 18 129 16 122 16 118 14 110 18 112 6235 5622 15 120 15 118 16 117 14 108 20 113 5622 5106 12 106 15 117 16 116 14 107 19 112 5106 4706 11 089 14 116 15 116 14 106 17 111 4706 4430 9 070 13 116 14 115 13 106 12 107 4430 4261 8*057 12 116 14 115 12 106 8*103 4261 4164 5*040 10 116 12 115 10 105 4*095 4164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography