DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/12 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.0 - - 63.4 - - 69.2 - - 65.7 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 304 - - 356 - - 95 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2780 - - 5124 - - 2976 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5930 - - 7796 - - 5510 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 6947 - - 9291 - - 7143 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 506 - - 1297 - - 1039 - - 2397 - - 396 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 393 - - 509 - - 274 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 40 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 083 - - 129 - - 280 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - 14 - - 15 - - -13 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4817 - - -6487 - - -5334 - - -4945 - - -4206 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8981 - - 13435 - - 14626 - - 12089 - - 8370 sfcLCL ODpotential -13605 - - -13518 - - -10929 - - -10525 - - -10782 ODpotential blCL 17769 - - 20465 - - 20220 - - 17668 - - 14946 blCL maxRH 32 - - 26 - - 28 - - 38 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.0 - - 63.4 - - 69.2 - - 65.7 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 19.0 - - 19.2 - - 27.1 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.0 - - 62.4 - - 67.9 - - 65.7 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 18.9 - - 19.1 - - 27.2 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 304 - - 356 - - 95 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2780 - - 5124 - - 2976 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97557 9 223 14 235 19 264 20 265 17 286 97557 90238 12 244 10 260 14 269 14 254 15 267 90238 84609 6 289 6 271 7 261 8 243 10 244 84609 79916 3 030 4 199 4 191 5 264 3 212 79916 75857 4 009 8 136 7 198 4 249 2 290 75857 72270 9 314 5 066 6 147 7 210 7 231 72270 69041 7 257 7 293 4 152 5 249 7 221 69041 66088 6 320 10 311 7 224 10 233 6 249 66088 63346 20 267 18 275 23 264 19 276 15 292 63346 60688 23 250 25 250 30 264 28 264 26 265 60688 57908 31 263 31 256 35 258 33 255 35 255 57908 55013 51 261 43 258 44 261 43 258 45 256 55013 52250 59 257 57 262 56 261 54 261 55 262 52250 49771 74 262 75 260 69 260 65 261 68 262 49771 47554 90 261 86 259 82 256 75 260 76 258 47554 45542 102 256 96 254 93 251 87 259 82 257 45542 43697 108 250 102 249 94 247 94 253 89 256 43697 41996 105 246 101 247 87 246 90 249 94 252 41996 40419 96 249 93 248 77 253 81 253 89 248 40419 38957 91 255 87 257 83 266 84 263 85 252 38957 37592 90 260 90 264 96 265 95 264 90 259 37592 36284 89 263 88 259 99 255 98 258 98 254 36284 34965 84 262 81 253 95 253 95 257 99 251 34965 33608 77 264 76 255 88 262 91 257 94 251 33608 32215 73 269 73 261 87 265 88 257 92 253 32215 30773 68 273 67 266 87 263 86 257 91 255 30773 29272 64 274 63 265 83 264 85 257 88 253 29272 27715 60 275 60 263 68 265 81 260 87 254 27715 26107 56 276 57 263 58 261 70 260 78 256 26107 24455 54 279 53 265 54 257 58 255 63 254 24455 22764 50 281 47 267 48 257 49 249 51 250 22764 21028 42 280 38 267 41 258 42 250 42 250 21028 19238 32 279 31 266 33 258 34 254 30 252 19238 17426 23 280 25 264 26 258 27 257 21 257 17426 15685 17 280 18 260 19 261 20 256 17 259 15685 14100 13 277 13 255 14 262 14 251 13 251 14100 12687 10 278 9 250 11 258 9 246 11 240 12687 11422 9 281 6 249 7 252 6 237 9 232 11422 10287 7 264 3 236 4*231 4 222 9 225 10287 9268 4 194 4 168 1*152 4 206 9 219 9268 8355 6 119 6 136 2 128 4 193 9 210 8355 7540 11 089 7*097 2 124 4*194 8 201 7540 6811 13 077 8*079 2 127 3*205 7 194 6811 6151 14 069 8 078 2 127 3 243 6 198 6151 5561 16 060 8 080 3 129 5 285 5 234 5561 5064 14 052 8 084 3 129 6 291 7 296 5064 4680 11 044 8 087 3 130 7 293 15 311 4680 4416 8 018 8 090 4 130 7 294 17 311 4416 4255 7*334 7 091 4 129 6 294 16*310 4255 4163 5*327 7 092 3 130 5 296 9*310 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography