DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.7 - - 76.7 - - 78.6 - - 74.4 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 118 - - 472 - - 571 - - 306 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 551 - - 2061 - - 2638 - - 2115 - - 929 BL Depth Hcrit 4147 - - 5508 - - 5993 - - 5441 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4718 - - 6228 - - 6805 - - 6282 - - 5096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 395 - - 2326 - - 1646 - - 1033 - - 1056 Hgt.Variab. W* 168 - - 413 - - 477 - - 361 - - 29 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 20 - - 26 - - 33 - - 36 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 314 - - 307 - - 307 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 4 - - 10 - - 16 - - 27 Wind Shear Max.Converg -94 - - -70 - - -92 - - -124 - - -143 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5269 - - -7772 - - -7001 - - -6915 - - -5246 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9987 - - 14000 - - 13806 - - 13198 - - 10343 sfcLCL ODpotential -11453 - - -12863 - - -11290 - - -12248 - - -11967 ODpotential blCL 16171 - - 19091 - - 18095 - - 18530 - - 17063 blCL maxRH 36 - - 40 - - 36 - - 29 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.7 - - 76.7 - - 78.6 - - 74.4 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 29.7 - - 32.3 - - 31.0 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.9 - - 74.8 - - 76.4 - - 73.5 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 29.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.0 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 118 - - 472 - - 571 - - 306 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 551 - - 2061 - - 2638 - - 2115 - - 929 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98236 3 188 10 253 6 292 8 221 13 254 98236 90783 4 183 10 209 11 239 7 267 3 304 90783 85027 2 161 6 181 11 208 10 234 7 300 85027 80244 2 082 5 187 4 217 5 196 3 276 80244 76136 2 103 5 198 4 243 1 014 3 093 76136 72525 4 121 5 181 7 230 7 316 5 357 72525 69291 5 027 1 203 6 243 6 315 6 316 69291 66336 12 308 6 279 10 273 9 286 12 291 66336 63586 19 273 15 274 18 280 14 285 14 282 63586 60897 20 257 21 259 26 266 25 273 23 280 60897 58085 19 258 22 261 26 265 30 270 32 276 58085 55194 25 276 23 274 24 260 31 272 36 272 55194 52462 30 281 28 281 27 265 32 268 35 269 52462 50010 31 270 34 274 36 268 39 268 39 268 50010 47810 31 274 38 271 44 269 48 271 41 268 47810 45813 33 281 39 275 46 270 49 272 45 272 45813 43992 28 282 37 277 42 275 48 274 50 276 43992 42325 23 298 33 291 39 284 45 274 52 276 42325 40780 23 314 30 301 36 290 44 277 53 279 40780 39332 22 322 28 303 35 292 44 278 55 284 39332 37971 20 325 27 302 37 293 45 281 55 285 37971 36664 19 325 27 300 37 291 45 284 52 283 36664 35347 19 322 27 294 36 286 45 284 48 282 35347 33993 20 317 26 286 36 283 44 287 46 285 33993 32603 19 308 26 280 37 283 43 290 46 289 32603 31166 19 302 26 279 37 280 42 291 46 291 31166 29671 19 306 27 282 37 279 41 292 45 290 29671 28118 22 316 29 290 37 283 41 293 45 289 28118 26510 26 320 29 295 37 288 43 292 44 292 26510 24852 24 317 28 296 35 289 41 295 40 296 24852 23149 19 310 27 291 34 291 38 298 35 296 23149 21393 19 303 27 290 31 293 33 305 30 297 21393 19576 21 308 24 296 29 296 29 308 25 294 19576 17730 19 311 21 304 24 299 25 302 21 290 17730 15951 13 314 17 311 19 302 22 298 18 286 15951 14329 6 318 13 317 14 300 18 297 16 285 14329 12878 1 159 11 319 11 295 15 293 15 287 12878 11578 3 127 8 311 9 289 13 288 15 294 11578 10410 5 137 6 304 8 286 13 289 17 303 10410 9363 4 153 4 309 8 293 14 296 21 311 9363 8425 2 142 4 326 10 308 18 304 28 315 8425 7591 1 006 6 336 15 314 23 308 35 316 7591 6848 6 339 9*331 20*313 29*309 41 316 6848 6178 13 330 15*324 26*309 34*308 46 315 6178 5581 24 327 21 317 28 308 36 308 46*314 5581 5079 30*322 22 313 28 307 35 307 44*313 5079 4691 29*318 22 311 27 306 34 307 40 312 4691 4422 27 315 21 311 25 306 31 307 35 310 4422 4258 24 314 20 310 23 306 28 306 30 310 4258 4164 16 312 14 309 16 305 18 306 17 308 4164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography