DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.0 - - 45.2 - - 43.6 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 57 - - 1 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1633 - - 2521 - - 1062 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4145 - - 4702 - - 4145 - - 4145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5800 - - 6688 - - 5229 - - 4163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2592 - - 2059 - - 2574 - - 592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 228 - - 69 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 306 - - 308 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -6 - - -28 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 445 - - 1760 - - 787 - - -485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5356 - - 4929 - - 4442 - - 4649 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2057 - - 408 - - -1378 - - -4881 ODpotential blCL - - - 7857 - - 6280 - - 6607 - - 9044 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 96 - - 95 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.0 - - 45.2 - - 43.6 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 38.1 - - 38.6 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 45.6 - - 44.7 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 36.9 - - 37.7 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 57 - - 1 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1633 - - 2521 - - 1062 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 82 - - 80 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96800 12 284 8 289 2 082 8 314 96800 89634 9 156 3 229 8 081 10 089 89634 84084 21 121 6 156 6 104 12 091 84084 79472 17 112 6 152 4 123 5 066 79472 75504 7 094 6 122 3 167 4 021 75504 71992 1 275 4 066 1 163 2 021 71992 68804 3 234 3 302 3 040 3 312 68804 65868 2 193 4 273 2 226 7 237 65868 63142 3 016 4 259 4 250 7 256 63142 60503 9 300 8 272 12 289 9 282 60503 57776 10 305 15 288 19 291 18 292 57776 54960 20 002 14 331 15 291 24 263 54960 52259 32 005 22 005 8 343 5 257 52259 49795 39 355 30 008 24 011 22 330 49795 47566 39 355 53 356 49 329 54 320 47566 45553 44 001 66 338 53 322 53 306 45553 43708 48 008 53 349 38 348 36 318 43708 41994 50 018 49 012 43 011 29 353 41994 40382 55 025 60 020 49 010 27 002 40382 38852 61 022 70 017 53 012 28 354 38852 37415 66 019 78 012 57 004 51 330 37415 36065 73 015 84 007 68 352 78 331 36065 34735 78 014 86 006 78 349 84 334 34735 33378 77 019 86 007 80 355 76 338 33378 31990 82 023 89 014 77 360 68 343 31990 30555 86 024 94 020 70 005 61 353 30555 29062 87 023 99 020 81 015 61 000 29062 27508 84 021 107 020 90 012 60 358 27508 25894 76 018 100 020 93 009 64 358 25894 24230 63 015 82 016 90 011 66 010 24230 22521 55 016 72 008 86 011 67 014 22521 20761 50 018 63 004 79 009 65 008 20761 18954 43 021 49 006 63 006 59 006 18954 17141 33 025 40 012 44 005 45 003 17141 15417 25 028 32 014 29 008 33 355 15417 13858 20 026 25 013 21 006 26 346 13858 12471 15 025 18 011 16 357 18 339 12471 11232 10 019 14 015 13 351 13 336 11232 10123 8 003 12 017 11 350 10 338 10123 9128 7 347 11 015 9 350 7 346 9128 8237 7 343 10 009 7 346 6 352 8237 7443 6 001 9 356 5 342 7 351 7443 6733 8 020 8*338 5 338 9 343 6733 6091 9*024 6*318 6 329 12 335 6091 5518 10*018 5 307 8*320 16 331 5518 5036 10 007 3 302 10*311 20 325 5036 4665 9 350 3 299 10 308 21 318 4665 4407 7 344 2 295 9 307 19 312 4407 4251 6 343 2 293 8 306 16*308 4251 4162 5 344 1 295 6 305 9*306 4162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography