DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.6 - - 88.7 - - 92.9 - - 90.7 - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 102 - - 453 - - 560 - - 316 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 514 - - 5708 - - 7893 - - 6198 - - 1074 BL Depth Hcrit 4148 - - 8352 - - 10206 - - 8590 - - 4148 Hcrit BL Top 4681 - - 9875 - - 12060 - - 10365 - - 5241 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 761 - - 2322 - - 1875 - - 2516 - - 2883 Hgt.Variab. W* 156 - - 571 - - 682 - - 521 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 17 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 286 - - 250 - - 276 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 9 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -64 - - -27 - - -24 - - -39 - - -61 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7500 - - -5325 - - -4341 - - -5482 - - -7831 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12182 - - 15201 - - 16402 - - 15848 - - 13073 sfcLCL ODpotential -13884 - - -10409 - - -7869 - - -9337 - - -13042 ODpotential blCL 18565 - - 20284 - - 19929 - - 19702 - - 18283 blCL maxRH 52 - - 43 - - 59 - - 42 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 78.6 - - 88.7 - - 92.9 - - 90.7 - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 36.2 - - 34.7 - - 35.2 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.7 - - 86.8 - - 90.6 - - 89.5 - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 36.1 - - 34.7 - - 35.2 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 102 - - 453 - - 560 - - 316 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 514 - - 5708 - - 7893 - - 6198 - - 1074 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99308 54 098 43 110 40 122 34 111 35 109 99308 91760 42 100 42 107 43 115 40 113 36 106 91760 85972 36 103 34 105 42 105 34 113 36 103 85972 81189 34 106 30 109 36 106 28 101 32 102 81189 77071 31 104 27 110 30 112 27 108 25 099 77071 73436 24 091 29 111 30 115 29 110 22 114 73436 70162 19 105 26 109 23 115 25 106 24 112 70162 67170 21 116 20 120 20 123 20 110 23 104 67170 64405 15 112 22 123 18 138 13 110 18 122 64405 61738 17 124 19 128 23 139 17 151 11 129 61738 58975 16 164 21 169 12 178 16 138 15 158 58975 56126 18 184 24 183 23 199 15 199 15 168 56126 53422 23 193 28 198 31 199 29 208 23 210 53422 51005 25 184 26 196 31 192 31 199 33 201 51005 48840 26 222 23 215 25 211 27 220 30 208 48840 46862 37 229 28 224 28 231 32 236 35 228 46862 45033 41 223 31 223 31 229 33 235 33 234 45033 43327 43 216 31 212 32 222 34 230 29 240 43327 41728 42 214 34 207 36 219 35 219 29 232 41728 40223 40 215 37 205 38 216 37 214 31 222 40223 38810 36 216 37 205 37 213 35 216 34 219 38810 37460 32 217 35 206 36 210 32 213 32 223 37460 36103 30 220 31 201 35 208 31 209 26 218 36103 34706 29 221 28 199 34 207 33 205 28 210 34706 33272 29 211 30 201 34 204 34 206 33 206 33272 31789 32 197 30 205 29 199 32 206 32 204 31789 30250 30 201 26 204 25 196 29 206 29 201 30250 28653 24 214 21 206 19 196 24 211 25 207 28653 26999 18 224 16 211 14 186 17 206 19 205 26999 25292 12 228 10 206 11 164 12 174 18 194 25292 23539 8 199 8 167 15 147 13 161 17 197 23539 21735 9 165 12 161 16 156 13 166 15 199 21735 19876 12 171 13 185 13 167 10 170 12 200 19876 17992 13 186 14 207 11 185 8 195 9 205 17992 16180 16 200 16 214 13 207 11 214 10 200 16180 14529 21 202 21 211 16 212 13 205 15 187 14529 13055 26 201 23 209 14*210 13 202 19 183 13055 11736 24 207 19 213 12*209 12 203 21 186 11736 10553 17 217 11*220 11 212 12*209 19 192 10553 9490 11 233 6*227 10 218 10*219 15 203 9490 8538 8 247 5 239 8 237 9 240 12 218 8538 7689 7 273 4 258 8 255 10 264 11 233 7689 6929 8 304 5 287 9 271 12 280 10 257 6929 6240 11 323 7 303 10 282 14 290 12 285 6240 5626 17 328 9 305 10 286 15 292 18*298 5626 5108 21 325 10 304 11 288 15 293 20*300 5108 4708 21*318 10 304 11 290 15 294 19 301 4708 4431 19*314 10 304 11 291 14 294 17 300 4431 4262 17 312 9 304 10 291 14 294 15 300 4262 4165 12 311 8 303 9 291 11 293 9 300 4165 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography