DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 55.8 - - 59.4 - - 53.2 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 199 - - 229 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2705 - - 4113 - - 1835 - - 672 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 5724 - - 6828 - - 4146 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 6872 - - 8280 - - 6002 - - 4839 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1870 - - 1593 - - 1955 - - 2791 - - 2978 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 339 - - 408 - - 141 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 230 - - 227 - - 234 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -4 - - -13 - - -15 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -530 - - 267 - - 1138 - - 1738 - - -68 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4694 - - 6606 - - 7142 - - 4264 - - 4907 sfcLCL ODpotential -5166 - - -2206 - - 375 - - -129 - - -2495 ODpotential blCL 9330 - - 9078 - - 7905 - - 6131 - - 7334 blCL maxRH 75 - - 87 - - 90 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 55.8 - - 59.4 - - 53.2 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.1 - - 41.2 - - 42.4 - - 48.5 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 55.3 - - 58.6 - - 53.9 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 41.1 - - 42.3 - - 47.9 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 199 - - 229 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2705 - - 4113 - - 1835 - - 672 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 48 - - 60 - - 97 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97021 56 284 57 283 52 291 52 276 52 284 97021 89873 41 278 36 282 37 282 39 276 38 277 89873 84390 21 276 26 272 29 265 27 280 26 274 84390 79829 19 265 21 272 20 252 18 280 16 285 79829 75856 18 267 15 270 17 245 14 257 13 285 75856 72292 14 272 11 266 18 244 14 237 13 271 72292 69037 18 269 12 268 18 250 19 230 17 269 69037 66055 27 259 20 256 21 257 20 230 20 251 66055 63290 26 244 25 242 22 253 18 260 19 238 63290 60589 25 263 22 249 24 244 27 261 22 265 60589 57780 37 254 30 261 28 242 30 251 29 263 57780 54892 41 255 44 258 38 264 34 259 30 252 54892 52143 61 260 58 249 56 258 45 260 34 249 52143 49668 74 253 66 244 65 239 61 253 43 256 49668 47464 83 246 65 251 63 239 68 245 60 249 47464 45486 86 245 85 260 73 252 73 246 72 240 45486 43679 96 254 110 260 105 258 82 253 66 242 43679 42003 117 259 135 257 133 253 108 252 79 253 42003 40444 130 260 146 251 135 248 129 248 109 250 40444 38990 133 260 141 245 127 244 127 244 123 245 38990 37628 132 260 141 247 128 240 123 243 124 241 37628 36317 128 261 138 250 131 239 131 242 122 240 36317 34991 118 263 133 253 130 240 132 242 119 239 34991 33624 111 262 123 254 130 244 124 238 115 238 33624 32217 95 258 106 253 127 247 110 232 107 234 32217 30762 71 256 86 245 107 245 97 227 98 228 30762 29252 63 252 79 239 98 241 91 232 84 226 29252 27689 64 246 72 231 79 235 87 245 81 236 27689 26071 64 247 57 229 68 235 77 245 80 239 26071 24403 58 263 53 236 55 236 62 241 64 233 24403 22696 40 272 52 256 49 229 50 223 50 234 22696 20944 25 242 38 258 41 236 41 216 40 236 20944 19139 34 219 26 228 29 240 29 227 33 217 19139 17318 36 226 33 215 28 224 24 233 17 223 17318 15574 31 240 28 218 32 219 25 216 16 238 15574 13989 23 245 22 217 29 219 28 217 17 234 13989 12579 18 228 23 213 26 215 28 223 19 224 12579 11321 19 213 24 211 23 213 27 225 20 216 11321 10196 20 206 24 209 19 215 25 226 21 209 10196 9190 19 202 22 208 15 223 21 228 21 205 9190 8290 17 200 20 208 11*233 18 230 21 204 8290 7488 13 201 16*214 11*234 15 231 20 206 7488 6771 10 204 12*225 11 233 14 234 20 211 6771 6122 8 213 9 234 11 230 13*236 19 216 6122 5542 8 230 9 234 11 227 12*236 18 220 5542 5054 8 251 8 231 11 223 12 235 16*222 5054 4676 8 268 8 228 10 221 11 234 13*225 4676 4414 8 280 7 226 10 219 10 232 9 227 4414 4255 6*284 7 224 9 219 9 232 7 229 4255 4163 4*287 6 224 8 218 6 230 4 235 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography