DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.7 - - 66.1 - - 70.2 - - 63.4 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -53 - - 168 - - 253 - - 44 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1107 - - 2196 - - 541 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 4495 - - 5440 - - 4147 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 5274 - - 6363 - - 4708 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 242 - - 1482 - - 1664 - - 452 - - 396 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 237 - - 342 - - 121 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 20 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 311 - - 315 - - 307 - - 313 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -27 - - -14 - - -20 - - -75 - - -45 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2960 - - -4671 - - -4006 - - -3517 - - -2942 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7125 - - 9946 - - 10370 - - 8225 - - 7106 sfcLCL ODpotential -11307 - - -10371 - - -8730 - - -9578 - - -11343 ODpotential blCL 15471 - - 15645 - - 15093 - - 14286 - - 15507 blCL maxRH 42 - - 44 - - 46 - - 47 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.7 - - 66.1 - - 70.2 - - 63.4 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.4 - - 37.2 - - 39.3 - - 42.0 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.0 - - 65.7 - - 69.3 - - 63.9 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.3 - - 37.0 - - 39.2 - - 41.9 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -53 - - 168 - - 253 - - 44 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1107 - - 2196 - - 541 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96673 14 274 15 300 5 331 11 288 10 279 96673 89476 8 343 10 290 15 321 12 313 13 346 89476 83929 11 332 9 336 14 306 13 315 14 333 83929 79330 10 300 11 323 13 308 14 321 17 338 79330 75367 10 322 13 302 16 293 18 328 20 334 75367 71870 16 322 15 321 14 291 20 318 19 321 71870 68719 20 299 18 311 18 316 21 317 20 330 68719 65832 18 286 21 300 24 315 25 321 22 334 65832 63160 18 303 20 301 21 307 22 323 19 325 63160 60578 25 314 21 313 17 302 18 319 21 315 60578 57892 30 299 27 299 25 291 25 303 29 308 57892 55109 34 294 34 290 36 282 40 288 41 294 55109 52455 46 294 43 292 42 284 46 283 44 289 52455 50065 56 290 49 291 44 287 43 287 43 292 50065 47922 58 286 50 287 47 287 50 290 48 291 47922 45974 54 284 48 285 49 284 52 285 53 285 45974 44180 48 287 43 287 47 283 48 287 48 287 44180 42512 45 291 39 290 40 290 39 297 42 299 42512 40961 43 295 37 295 37 294 36 306 34 306 40961 39512 37 304 34 301 35 302 33 306 32 317 39512 38151 29 311 27 312 30 304 30 305 31 316 38151 36841 27 317 24 327 23 309 26 303 31 311 36841 35520 29 314 22 332 19 312 21 304 28 303 35520 34160 27 307 21 330 17 312 18 307 22 300 34160 32765 25 302 20 324 15 312 16 308 19 300 32765 31321 23 299 19 314 16 310 14 306 17 299 31321 29818 22 296 19 298 16 307 14 306 14 296 29818 28258 23 290 19 296 17 304 14 306 13 287 28258 26640 23 291 20 302 19 304 14 303 15 282 26640 24968 23 295 21 307 21 304 16 302 18 296 24968 23244 22 297 22 307 21 308 20 304 21 314 23244 21467 22 307 23 312 21 315 21 308 24 321 21467 19630 23 321 20 318 19 318 19 310 27 323 19630 17767 23 330 17 320 16 311 18 312 29 324 17767 15975 22 338 16 328 16 307 18 314 28 322 15975 14345 21 346 16 337 16 313 17 318 24 319 14345 12889 19 350 16 345 15 323 16 324 20 317 12889 11588 16 353 13 349 15 332 15 331 16 318 11588 10420 11 357 11 350 14 338 15 336 12 320 10420 9373 7 011 7 353 13 340 15 340 10 325 9373 8435 5 043 4 356 10 339 16 341 9 330 8435 7599 5 065 1 014 7 330 18 341 11 331 7599 6853 5 072 1 081 6*323 21 341 14 330 6853 6178 5 069 1 058 6*318 24 338 18 330 6178 5578 5 060 1*358 8 309 26 335 24 329 5578 5073 4 030 4*320 9 306 26*324 29 327 5073 4685 8 344 6 314 9 305 24*315 30 319 4685 4418 12 318 6 315 9 305 22 313 27 313 4418 4256 12*311 6 314 8 305 19 312 23*309 4256 4163 8*311 5 315 7 304 12 311 13*309 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography