DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.2 - - 37.5 - - 37.8 - - - - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 297 - - 409 - - 355 - - - - - 190 BL Depth Hcrit 4145 - - 4145 - - 4145 - - - - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4464 - - 4576 - - 4522 - - - - - 4357 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1318 - - 1640 - - 1516 - - - - - 2033 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 45 - - 57 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 073 - - 065 - - - - - 066 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 24 - - 14 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 303 - - 415 - - 361 - - - - - 195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4162 - - 4162 - - 4162 - - - - - 4162 sfcLCL ODpotential 41 - - 252 - - 262 - - - - - -414 ODpotential blCL 4423 - - 4324 - - 4260 - - - - - 4771 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.2 - - 37.5 - - 37.8 - - - - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 37.4 - - 37.7 - - - - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.5 - - 38.6 - - 38.7 - - - - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 37.6 - - 37.7 - - - - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 297 - - 409 - - 355 - - - - - 190 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 102 - - 103 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96532 4 035 16 020 10 179 4 342 96532 89437 17 079 11 142 13 050 6 357 89437 83947 20 080 16 125 4 105 7 088 83947 79368 9 101 18 092 12 138 10 121 79368 75419 6 187 14 092 10 143 2 045 75419 71929 10 182 7 147 7 212 5 047 71929 68754 7 178 11 193 6 219 4 112 68754 65815 5 186 12 200 9 187 8 216 65815 63071 7 211 8 211 9 163 13 202 63071 60402 8 212 6 226 4 172 12 191 60402 57611 7 200 8 201 9 237 9 206 57611 54700 3 149 8 185 11 252 1 076 54700 51909 0 308 1 230 7 263 10 041 51909 49392 2 289 2 032 3 181 16 044 49392 47133 5 297 3 012 8 099 13 040 47133 45084 8 262 7 326 13 059 12 036 45084 43204 6 218 10 297 8 019 12 040 43204 41464 3 123 9 271 5 019 13 057 41464 39846 7 061 3 189 3 054 16 048 39846 38335 5 028 7 090 8 085 16 034 38335 36918 3 346 8 056 11 058 10 045 36918 35568 1 297 4 022 7 046 11 072 35568 34223 3 281 8 147 4 117 16 074 34223 32857 5 272 15 117 11 105 21 076 32857 31471 5 230 19 078 14 087 19 087 31471 30058 22 155 21 049 11 122 21 084 30058 28610 42 133 10 079 12 173 22 073 28610 27124 47 120 11 129 18 205 18 067 27124 25590 43 115 16 137 26 212 15 062 25590 24007 41 112 23 128 26 207 14 067 24007 22373 40 112 30 119 21 196 16 084 22373 20682 38 116 32 119 18 179 20 099 20682 18927 35 121 33 123 25 159 24 107 18927 17142 31 124 32 125 31 142 25 111 17142 15424 25 126 29 129 30 127 25 113 15424 13858 20 126 26 130 28 112 27 117 13858 12464 18 121 24 129 27 108 30 112 12464 11220 21 116 23 126 27 110 33 101 11220 10108 25 115 23 119 28 113 35 092 10108 9113 28 116 24 111 31 114 35 087 9113 8224 31 112 24 108 32 111 35 086 8224 7432 32 104 27 110 32 104 34 085 7432 6725 33 094 29 106 30 094 33 083 6725 6086 33 085 28 094 29 084 32 081 6086 5516 33 074 28 083 28 075 30 078 5516 5036 31 064 26 078 26 070 27 074 5036 4665 28*058 24*074 22*066 22 069 4665 4408 23*055 21*073 19*065 17*065 4408 4252 19 053 18 073 16 065 14*064 4252 4162 11 053 11 073 10 066 8 067 4162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography