DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 61.3 - - 66.0 - - 60.7 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 2 - - 91 - - -7 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 249 - - 1114 - - 329 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 4146 - - 4147 - - 4147 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 4416 - - 5281 - - 4496 - - 4164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 731 - - 827 - - 1027 - - 963 - - 156 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 48 - - 196 - - 21 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 23 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 346 - - 172 - - 298 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -6 - - 5 - - -18 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9427 - - -8060 - - -7893 - - -5844 - - -6282 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13591 - - 12477 - - 13174 - - 10340 - - 10447 sfcLCL ODpotential -20126 - - -17677 - - -15858 - - -13691 - - -16660 ODpotential blCL 24290 - - 22093 - - 21139 - - 18187 - - 20824 blCL maxRH 75 - - 76 - - 79 - - 72 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 61.3 - - 66.0 - - 60.7 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.9 - - 22.0 - - 23.4 - - 30.5 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.7 - - 62.3 - - 66.2 - - 63.6 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.7 - - 21.2 - - 22.3 - - 29.7 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 2 - - 91 - - -7 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 249 - - 1114 - - 329 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 3 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96426 8 095 9 010 11 011 17 027 10 029 96426 89517 23 099 18 095 16 077 12 044 13 035 89517 84101 28 106 29 112 19 108 11 089 14 049 84101 79530 23 114 26 109 20 115 17 112 9 085 79530 75572 13 103 18 108 17 112 15 111 9 113 75572 72071 6 074 10 086 10 094 7 111 6 067 72071 68915 5 027 3 026 4 001 5 335 8 004 68915 66043 3 074 4 329 9 317 10 321 12 298 66043 63406 9 330 11 309 13 306 14 331 12 292 63406 60869 13 294 18 307 18 306 22 316 23 300 60869 58227 19 296 24 301 23 300 26 294 32 294 58227 55465 26 306 26 304 26 293 31 285 38 291 55465 52805 35 307 34 297 33 288 40 288 46 292 52805 50394 32 296 37 292 39 291 46 286 53 289 50394 48219 24 316 29 303 35 295 44 287 50 288 48219 46228 51 338 50 330 41 312 42 303 40 298 46228 44391 79 327 68 325 60 319 53 321 59 324 44391 42693 80 322 69 316 73 312 79 319 75 318 42693 41114 58 320 53 312 69 305 80 311 72 310 41114 39639 34 326 41 314 63 305 64 314 54 315 39639 38261 40 354 47 324 61 316 62 335 47 332 38261 36946 50 003 58 334 61 318 63 339 53 323 36946 35625 56 344 63 331 61 315 62 326 57 316 35625 34261 64 330 66 325 63 316 63 319 52 314 34261 32856 67 324 66 317 60 316 64 318 51 313 32856 31399 65 324 60 316 58 311 60 319 50 313 31399 29881 52 329 50 308 56 304 55 318 50 315 29881 28306 39 327 44 301 56 299 48 314 47 316 28306 26676 39 316 38 297 52 294 46 309 42 313 26676 24994 42 312 31 301 47 293 46 307 39 306 24994 23261 39 311 30 303 44 296 46 304 41 302 23261 21473 34 312 34 306 39 300 44 300 44 306 21473 19627 32 315 34 312 36 308 41 303 45 310 19627 17759 29 321 28 317 32 318 36 309 40 314 17759 15967 25 328 21 321 27 324 30 315 32 315 15967 14336 21 335 17 321 22 321 24 318 25 311 14336 12880 17 337 14 322 17 314 19 317 20 306 12880 11577 13 333 11 320 14 312 16 314 18 305 11577 10410 10 331 9 317 12 314 14 314 16 308 10410 9363 7 330 8 310 11 313 13 317 15 314 9363 8426 5 337 6 299 10 307 13 320 14 320 8426 7592 3 005 4 280 8 300 12 320 14 324 7592 6848 3 054 2 230 4 292 11 318 14 327 6848 6176 4 067 2 156 1 255 11 315 15 326 6176 5577 5 067 2 127 1*189 10 312 17 323 5577 5073 5 058 2 102 1*196 10 310 19 320 5073 4685 4 047 2 074 1 182 9*305 20 316 4685 4418 3 016 2*035 2 166 8*301 19 313 4418 4255 4*346 2*354 2 161 6 298 16*308 4255 4163 4*332 2 341 2 159 4 293 8*303 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography