DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 52.8 - - - - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 130 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3201 - - 3217 - - - - - 353 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5794 - - 5935 - - - - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7368 - - 7384 - - - - - 4520 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2104 - - 2348 - - - - - 1810 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 321 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 262 - - - - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -16 - - - - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2293 - - 2270 - - - - - 358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5075 - - 5114 - - - - - 4163 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 599 - - 765 - - - - - -1371 ODpotential blCL - - - 6769 - - 6619 - - - - - 5891 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 95 - - - - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 420 - - 460 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 52.8 - - - - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 44.6 - - - - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 52.7 - - - - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 43.4 - - - - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 130 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3201 - - 3217 - - - - - 353 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 78 - - - - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97376 6 315 1 288 4 269 97376 90139 5 014 3 351 8 328 90139 84570 8 018 5 078 10 008 84570 79961 3 299 8 012 12 026 79961 76008 3 345 11 319 12 004 76008 72512 5 024 6 311 7 346 72512 69331 5 273 5 040 4 041 69331 66387 2 131 5 247 4 326 66387 63645 4 144 10 162 9 198 63645 60978 16 237 9 215 7 183 60978 58181 29 224 32 238 10 222 58181 55279 25 204 36 211 26 248 55279 52500 22 190 30 213 34 262 52500 49984 31 218 36 222 45 258 49984 47716 43 218 39 221 44 256 47716 45647 46 217 37 225 41 256 45647 43742 49 221 37 232 40 258 43742 41976 52 222 38 233 38 262 41976 40328 53 218 41 228 41 271 40328 38786 55 215 43 225 51 276 38786 37348 59 214 42 224 55 275 37348 35978 65 212 37 227 54 278 35978 34612 68 211 39 232 53 283 34612 33218 72 209 38 229 54 287 33218 31802 77 205 36 224 55 295 31802 30359 74 201 33 223 59 301 30359 28879 67 200 29 227 59 304 28879 27357 63 200 31 224 49 305 27357 25789 56 198 33 217 41 307 25789 24175 41 198 30 209 37 303 24175 22517 35 200 21 212 35 307 22517 20807 33 199 19 217 33 314 20807 19039 32 200 20 215 30 316 19039 17244 30 198 18 212 25 308 17244 15519 27 197 18 207 22 294 15519 13949 24 200 16 214 20 288 13949 12550 21 205 16 227 19 287 12550 11301 19 211 14 238 18 289 11301 10181 17 219 14 247 18 288 10181 9175 17 228 15 252 18 285 9175 8275 18 237 15 257 18 282 8275 7473 16*248 15*259 19 282 7473 6758 14*256 15*261 20 286 6758 6111 13 259 14 262 21 290 6111 5533 13 258 13 263 21 293 5533 5048 12 258 13 262 20 296 5048 4672 11 257 12 261 18*297 4672 4412 10 255 11 261 15*296 4412 4253 9 255 11 261 12 293 4253 4163 8 254 8 260 7 290 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography