DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 50.9 - - 51.5 - - 52.4 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 33 - - 25 - - 8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 477 - - 451 - - 510 - - 424 - - 288 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 4146 - - 4146 - - 4146 - - 4146 Hcrit BL Top 4644 - - 4618 - - 4677 - - 4591 - - 4455 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1539 - - 1231 - - 1306 - - 1616 - - 1482 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 105 - - 100 - - 65 - - 24 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 155 - - 180 - - 137 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 482 - - 456 - - 515 - - 429 - - 292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4163 - - 4163 - - 4163 - - 4163 - - 4163 sfcLCL ODpotential -1435 - - 365 - - 369 - - 314 - - -2294 ODpotential blCL 6079 - - 4253 - - 4308 - - 4277 - - 6749 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 50.9 - - 51.5 - - 52.4 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.7 - - 50.5 - - 51.2 - - 52.2 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 51.3 - - 52.2 - - 53.2 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 50.3 - - 50.9 - - 52.1 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 33 - - 25 - - 8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 477 - - 451 - - 510 - - 424 - - 288 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96425 24 274 31 272 40 286 32 287 33 287 96425 89342 8 320 13 300 15 261 18 298 12 291 89342 83929 8 359 9 321 11 315 9 283 20 310 83929 79415 10 352 4 000 9 330 5 351 9 334 79415 75495 9 328 5 020 1 056 3 067 7 014 75495 72013 3 002 4 031 2 121 3 237 5 035 72013 68867 6 313 4 095 1 282 3 206 9 040 68867 65980 11 267 2 131 3 192 7 193 9 293 65980 63311 8 252 10 340 6 032 6 151 4 179 63311 60726 10 255 16 243 7 274 2 308 11 165 60726 58011 17 203 24 208 23 224 19 225 18 204 58011 55174 11 224 22 209 32 211 28 220 27 223 55174 52445 21 233 33 220 35 223 30 213 36 210 52445 49963 37 227 50 230 41 228 28 222 32 211 49963 47721 63 229 62 229 54 230 50 230 45 224 47721 45688 80 223 65 223 67 226 68 225 63 220 45688 43835 85 221 72 219 75 218 75 215 76 207 43835 42131 93 222 80 216 75 214 72 208 72 205 42131 40550 96 224 86 220 79 219 66 212 75 214 40550 39082 99 226 98 225 93 225 79 223 86 218 39082 37714 104 226 108 224 106 224 96 225 98 217 37714 36407 105 225 108 221 109 220 97 220 101 216 36407 35088 104 222 107 219 109 220 95 215 97 213 35088 33727 102 220 106 218 108 220 94 212 90 210 33727 32328 101 222 105 220 106 219 94 211 83 204 32328 30879 93 223 96 222 103 220 90 210 78 201 30879 29373 78 219 74 219 92 223 89 215 78 203 29373 27813 70 212 62 214 74 221 82 221 78 209 27813 26201 63 208 60 213 58 213 66 216 73 218 26201 24544 56 208 56 211 54 208 60 211 55 217 24544 22839 54 220 52 207 54 207 55 207 53 207 22839 21080 54 231 48 204 58 218 48 198 58 202 21080 19262 51 237 47 205 53 225 51 203 57 190 19262 17420 47 237 49 213 39 221 53 225 47 180 17420 15656 40 236 45 216 34 213 37 235 45 204 15656 14057 31 237 36 205 33 206 19 217 45 229 14057 12639 25 227 31 193 32 201 20 199 32 246 12639 11376 22 213 29 194 30 197 25 199 21 251 11376 10245 23 206 26 200 29 198 28 194 11 224 10245 9231 27 207 23 206 28 201 27 188 15 160 9231 8323 30 208 22 209 27 206 24 184 24 147 8323 7513 33 208 21 207 25 208 20 181 25 146 7513 6789 34 207 20 204 23 208 17 178 21 144 6789 6134 31 205 17 201 18 205 13 172 15 140 6134 5550 25 200 13 194 14 201 11 165 11 146 5550 5058 20 197 9 183 10 194 8 155 9 169 5058 4677 16*199 6*165 7*185 7*144 9*200 4677 4415 12*197 5*157 6*182 6*140 8*220 4415 4254 10 195 5 155 6 179 5 136 6 229 4254 4163 5 189 4 153 5 180 4 135 3 246 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography