DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.2 - - 85.3 - - 80.9 - - 78.0 - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 84 - - 244 - - 380 - - 122 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1408 - - 6068 - - 5112 - - 3704 - - 1311 BL Depth Hcrit 4148 - - 8358 - - 7813 - - 6197 - - 4148 Hcrit BL Top 5575 - - 10235 - - 9279 - - 7871 - - 5478 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3076 - - 2732 - - 2277 - - 3285 - - 3600 Hgt.Variab. W* 204 - - 474 - - 520 - - 320 - - 23 W* B/S 55 - - 11 - - 11 - - 25 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 197 - - 177 - - 067 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 16 - - -28 - - -12 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5623 - - -1524 - - -167 - - -233 - - -2539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11198 - - 11760 - - 9447 - - 8104 - - 8017 sfcLCL ODpotential -9187 - - -3097 - - -1650 - - -2237 - - -5652 ODpotential blCL 14762 - - 13332 - - 10929 - - 10108 - - 11130 blCL maxRH 79 - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 60 - - 60 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 80.2 - - 85.3 - - 80.9 - - 78.0 - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 48.0 - - 53.7 - - 56.6 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 80.2 - - 84.2 - - 79.3 - - 77.8 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.7 - - 48.0 - - 53.4 - - 56.5 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 84 - - 244 - - 380 - - 122 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1408 - - 6068 - - 5112 - - 3704 - - 1311 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 103 - - 100 - - 94 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99165 45 103 34 103 32 104 36 099 46 093 99165 91702 42 102 41 109 37 109 34 106 31 105 91702 85962 29 098 38 103 33 107 33 105 27 096 85962 81176 15 094 27 100 29 104 31 108 29 098 81176 77057 17 110 21 104 25 101 29 102 31 098 77057 73430 24 103 19 098 23 096 25 098 26 092 73430 70153 21 114 13 114 17 097 19 100 19 091 70153 67155 16 125 21 127 17 111 17 101 20 100 67155 64394 16 128 22 136 16 118 12 119 20 105 64394 61732 12 138 24 148 24 151 16 174 16 154 61732 58953 17 139 27 139 31 156 23 173 21 173 58953 56079 21 143 24 169 26 162 21 162 22 168 56079 53368 33 155 39 180 26 202 28 199 27 188 53368 50950 35 153 43 161 46 163 44 180 35 185 50950 48788 33 159 40 162 47 146 42 165 39 183 48788 46827 21 167 39 170 35 158 42 179 39 177 46827 45023 17 205 38 179 38 168 41 178 35 174 45023 43345 33 212 35 183 33 172 40 181 36 179 43345 41771 42 202 34 185 29 176 43 178 41 176 41771 40287 43 195 36 195 36 177 46 171 43 174 40287 38887 44 191 44 185 43 174 47 167 46 174 38887 37540 46 194 43 172 46 169 47 166 47 173 37540 36179 47 199 39 168 47 170 46 165 47 171 36179 34775 46 204 35 173 39 174 44 163 49 168 34775 33333 43 201 34 197 34 171 42 163 49 168 33333 31841 33 179 32 187 32 171 40 160 45 169 31841 30294 33 172 37 169 32 171 39 164 36 170 30294 28693 32 177 40 158 29 169 34 176 31 172 28693 27033 29 184 37 156 25 155 27 188 30 170 27033 25319 25 180 30 166 28 148 25 179 30 171 25319 23553 23 166 29 159 33 150 23 163 26 175 23553 21734 25 154 29 149 33 149 23 160 24 178 21734 19859 24 147 25 143 29 145 20 163 22 185 19859 17962 21 148 18 136 26 131 12 164 18 207 17962 16143 18 156 14 143 22 113 5 178 13 230 16143 14490 16 169 12 161 12 096 1 205 8 222 14490 13019 17 180 12 175 4 106 3 352 5 198 13019 11702 17 181 12 179 3 182 6 007 2 159 11702 10523 16 173 11*184 4 198 6 022 1 058 10523 9464 14 166 9*196 5*195 5 019 2 024 9464 8516 12 165 8 202 6*189 3*013 3 006 8516 7670 10 168 8 203 6 185 2*012 4 001 7670 6913 8 177 8 201 8 179 2 024 5 352 6913 6229 6 188 8 198 9 176 2 065 5 345 6229 5618 5*183 8 195 9 175 2 078 5*338 5618 5104 1*173 9 192 10 174 3 082 4*332 5104 4705 1 312 8 190 10 173 3 082 3 327 4705 4429 1 313 8 188 10 172 4 083 2 323 4429 4261 1 319 8 188 9 172 4 083 1 315 4261 4165 1 317 7 186 8 171 4 083 1 299 4165 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography