DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 63.1 - - 64.3 - - 62.4 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 219 - - 267 - - 30 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3377 - - 5404 - - 2821 - - 388 BL Depth Hcrit 4147 - - 6255 - - 7887 - - 4147 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 7544 - - 9571 - - 6988 - - 4555 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2127 - - 3420 - - 1777 - - 3389 - - 1299 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 376 - - 470 - - 182 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 12 - - 9 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 156 - - 189 - - 175 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 17 - - 12 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 17 - - -57 - - 17 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2548 - - -588 - - 783 - - -1113 - - 392 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6712 - - 8132 - - 8788 - - 8101 - - 4163 sfcLCL ODpotential -7875 - - -1598 - - -783 - - -3158 - - -1165 ODpotential blCL 12039 - - 9142 - - 10354 - - 10146 - - 5720 blCL maxRH 65 - - 91 - - 94 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 70 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 63.1 - - 64.3 - - 62.4 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 41.7 - - 40.1 - - 41.2 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.0 - - 62.4 - - 63.4 - - 63.0 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 41.7 - - 40.0 - - 41.1 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 219 - - 267 - - 30 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3377 - - 5404 - - 2821 - - 388 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 63 - - 78 - - 98 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97630 13 295 15 287 16 314 11 317 22 284 97630 90340 14 320 13 308 13 293 12 319 12 309 90340 84707 13 308 9 351 5 273 15 305 15 327 84707 80051 12 275 9 316 8 314 12 327 14 325 80051 76083 5 302 10 281 17 287 17 330 15 012 76083 72584 9 327 8 285 11 253 17 314 13 353 72584 69392 7 301 4 222 10 227 15 263 11 301 69392 66443 3 334 2 187 7 189 10 231 9 249 66443 63707 15 223 10 241 9 212 19 206 11 208 63707 61029 28 218 27 228 26 225 23 212 12 208 61029 58221 32 211 32 221 36 222 28 233 25 248 58221 55308 30 208 34 221 40 216 39 228 40 235 55308 52523 39 220 53 215 47 212 58 204 49 214 52523 50015 62 211 56 201 50 222 54 221 53 227 50015 47782 60 215 72 225 83 227 75 228 67 231 47782 45767 93 230 97 218 92 218 81 223 72 228 45767 43911 106 219 96 210 90 219 86 219 76 224 43911 42186 104 208 90 212 93 219 89 215 81 220 42186 40575 95 208 91 217 93 217 92 213 87 216 40575 39063 94 217 97 220 92 217 93 212 90 211 39063 37639 98 218 100 218 93 216 93 212 90 209 37639 36275 98 216 101 215 94 215 91 213 90 209 36275 34911 97 213 102 212 93 216 88 213 92 209 34911 33523 96 214 104 210 93 215 86 212 94 209 33523 32117 92 212 104 209 92 215 85 212 94 210 32117 30677 88 208 97 208 92 213 85 212 93 209 30677 29191 83 208 83 206 90 211 85 212 91 207 29191 27655 76 208 75 204 85 206 85 213 87 206 27655 26068 69 207 70 202 74 200 84 213 82 206 26068 24432 61 200 67 199 58 197 77 211 72 203 24432 22749 55 193 66 195 51 198 65 207 65 198 22749 21015 51 188 61 189 48 199 59 202 62 194 21015 19227 46 186 54 184 46 201 58 200 54 187 19227 17417 42 183 49 181 46 199 55 197 49 182 17417 15677 39 179 44 179 44 194 50 194 46 182 15677 14093 36 173 41 177 41 189 45 191 43 181 14093 12680 34 168 37 172 36 183 40 188 40 177 12680 11414 33 163 33 168 31 174 34 180 36 171 11414 10278 30 159 30 164 25*166 27 165 34 167 10278 9258 27 157 27 161 19*160 24 154 32 166 9258 8345 23 156 24*160 13 161 23 151 30 168 8345 7530 18 153 21*161 9 172 21*153 29 171 7530 6803 14 149 16 161 8 192 19*159 28 175 6803 6144 11 143 12 158 9 212 16 170 27 180 6144 5557 10 148 9 152 9 218 15 178 26 186 5557 5062 9 158 9 151 9 221 14 180 23 192 5062 4680 7 175 8 150 10 222 14 181 18*199 4680 4417 5 187 8 149 9 222 13 181 13*204 4417 4255 4*193 7 149 9 222 12 181 10 207 4255 4163 1*215 7 148 8 221 8 181 5 210 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography