DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.0 - - 67.8 - - 73.9 - - 72.0 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 362 - - 443 - - 176 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3679 - - 6485 - - 5498 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 6672 - - 8966 - - 7737 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4508 - - 7846 - - 10652 - - 9665 - - 4425 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 830 - - 1217 - - 1710 - - 1903 - - 1456 Hgt.Variab. W* 86 - - 457 - - 591 - - 411 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 21 - - 33 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 337 - - 252 - - 258 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -49 - - -10 - - 31 - - 21 - - -40 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3629 - - -3126 - - -1764 - - -1219 - - -3690 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8137 - - 10972 - - 12416 - - 10884 - - 8115 sfcLCL ODpotential -10183 - - -7187 - - -4442 - - -3661 - - -7850 ODpotential blCL 14691 - - 15033 - - 15094 - - 13326 - - 12275 blCL maxRH 67 - - 64 - - 63 - - 63 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.0 - - 67.8 - - 73.9 - - 72.0 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 34.0 - - 33.5 - - 38.4 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.7 - - 66.6 - - 72.2 - - 71.5 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.9 - - 34.0 - - 33.5 - - 38.5 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 362 - - 443 - - 176 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3679 - - 6485 - - 5498 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98513 15 111 13 112 11 155 5 099 11 062 98513 91151 12 091 11 104 14 084 19 104 13 087 91151 85465 14 102 15 112 14 096 15 095 13 108 85465 80755 18 107 17 100 14 131 11 102 13 104 80755 76702 17 109 16 104 16 101 15 112 14 099 76702 73109 19 114 11 128 10 087 14 094 17 100 73109 69845 13 090 15 134 7 097 9 105 13 085 69845 66837 7 076 13 130 6 114 6 145 6 104 66837 64051 5 312 4 158 5 185 5 167 6 178 64051 61348 17 263 11 265 11 246 7 274 5 201 61348 58533 23 259 23 256 21 253 18 249 18 247 58533 55641 32 261 28 260 31 252 28 262 30 260 55641 52893 49 271 48 259 52 242 52 248 50 260 52893 50428 65 263 59 256 62 249 68 247 67 248 50428 48226 74 264 69 265 70 258 72 251 75 246 48226 46219 83 266 83 264 84 259 82 254 81 248 46219 44363 93 262 90 257 91 253 89 253 86 249 44363 42635 99 258 95 254 96 251 95 250 89 248 42635 41017 98 257 95 251 96 249 96 247 93 246 41017 39497 96 258 90 251 89 249 94 245 95 243 39497 38070 95 257 90 253 86 250 92 245 95 240 38070 36705 96 256 89 255 85 249 90 245 91 240 36705 35339 95 253 87 253 86 245 88 243 88 241 35339 33942 93 247 82 252 83 242 86 241 89 242 33942 32518 92 246 79 256 81 245 83 240 89 242 32518 31049 86 247 77 251 81 249 80 243 88 241 31049 29524 79 249 82 247 82 249 81 248 88 241 29524 27945 69 253 78 252 79 250 81 248 86 240 27945 26315 58 255 63 250 75 249 76 247 81 241 26315 24638 51 255 57 247 70 254 69 249 74 243 24638 22924 46 257 52 249 55 256 57 252 64 244 22924 21167 37 261 40 251 43 253 43 251 50 245 21167 19359 25 262 29 247 34 251 34 247 35 242 19359 17531 18 267 20 241 22 243 26 246 26 239 17531 15777 14 274 13 241 16 236 18 241 17 237 15777 14184 11 279 9 253 11 239 13 232 11 226 14184 12762 9 285 8 269 8 263 8 233 9 204 12762 11489 7 298 7 278 7*281 4 259 9 197 11489 10345 4 313 6 282 5*274 3*241 7 192 10345 9316 3 345 4 281 4 265 4*228 6 186 9316 8394 3 358 2*314 3 259 5 231 5 198 8394 7571 4 356 3*008 3 250 5 240 6 218 7571 6836 4 002 3 004 3 245 6 255 5 231 6836 6170 5 003 4 354 3 241 8 266 5 275 6170 5575 9 347 5 329 3 238 8 270 12 298 5575 5074 14 337 5 324 3 240 9 271 17 301 5074 4688 17*321 5 321 3 239 9 272 18*302 4688 4420 16*312 5 318 3 236 9 272 15*300 4420 4257 14 309 5 318 3 234 8 272 12 299 4257 4163 9 307 4 318 2 231 7 270 7 297 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography