DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 61.2 - - 66.9 - - 65.6 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 172 - - 233 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1399 - - 2349 - - 1680 - - 130 BL Depth Hcrit 4146 - - 4726 - - 5522 - - 4147 - - 4147 Hcrit BL Top 4164 - - 5566 - - 6516 - - 5847 - - 4297 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1440 - - 1081 - - 1163 - - 1883 - - 2211 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 258 - - 340 - - 40 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 052 - - 086 - - 088 - - 084 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 12 - - 14 - - 7 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6714 - - -7421 - - -7631 - - -8044 - - -8069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10878 - - 12988 - - 14148 - - 13892 - - 12367 sfcLCL ODpotential -17248 - - -15629 - - -14829 - - -15726 - - -17248 ODpotential blCL 21412 - - 21195 - - 21345 - - 21573 - - 21545 blCL maxRH 43 - - 42 - - 46 - - 44 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 61.2 - - 66.9 - - 65.6 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.0 - - 19.6 - - 19.7 - - 19.7 - - 18.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 60.9 - - 66.1 - - 66.7 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.9 - - 19.4 - - 19.6 - - 19.4 - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 172 - - 233 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1399 - - 2349 - - 1680 - - 130 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96609 57 284 48 280 56 272 58 275 56 278 96609 89458 37 281 35 286 38 275 39 289 34 292 89458 83985 26 277 34 283 31 295 23 273 31 294 83985 79414 14 286 20 270 29 282 23 282 28 283 79414 75459 16 290 13 284 25 258 26 279 25 287 75459 71968 20 282 18 292 16 269 22 278 28 286 71968 68813 16 269 20 276 16 286 14 279 24 291 68813 65923 8 310 13 263 18 279 9 263 18 298 65923 63260 11 347 6 301 15 275 12 265 19 293 63260 60692 12 323 10 319 12 296 13 280 20 275 60692 58011 17 303 14 307 12 298 16 308 18 264 58011 55232 22 307 20 305 18 295 21 296 19 268 55232 52588 23 319 20 310 21 292 23 283 22 270 52588 50204 25 329 21 321 20 295 24 284 26 270 50204 48049 28 316 23 326 21 307 23 292 30 274 48049 46078 30 309 27 321 26 315 28 295 35 283 46078 44262 32 318 29 316 28 311 31 296 36 287 44262 42581 33 330 30 318 31 310 32 306 37 292 42581 41020 34 344 30 325 34 312 35 314 35 302 41020 39565 38 354 31 336 32 317 35 311 36 315 39565 38200 38 359 31 345 27 328 28 307 35 315 38200 36887 35 002 30 349 26 335 24 312 32 312 36887 35560 34 004 29 349 27 332 25 321 28 312 35560 34189 36 004 30 347 26 337 24 330 28 315 34189 32782 35 008 28 354 21 353 18 346 27 320 32782 31329 29 011 21 009 15 019 12 016 14 332 31329 29818 22 026 17 009 12 018 8 023 13 315 29818 28253 21 032 14 014 11 020 10 011 15 321 28253 26631 23 030 14 034 10 047 10 013 11 331 26631 24956 21 029 17 044 13 070 5 041 7 306 24956 23231 15 029 16 040 12 070 4 061 3 296 23231 21452 11 032 11 034 7 049 3 022 1 234 21452 19610 9 033 7 025 5 002 6 353 4 288 19610 17741 6 027 5 012 5 347 8 354 5 314 17741 15942 6 027 3 011 4 353 8 354 6 352 15942 14302 10 036 5 023 3 031 5 354 8 016 14302 12840 15 044 7 029 6 042 5 009 8 030 12840 11536 18 053 10 041 8 043 6 021 8 045 11536 10371 21 065 13 054 10 049 9 028 9 053 10371 9328 23 076 17 067 13 058 10 035 10 052 9328 8398 25 084 20 077 15 067 10 041 10 052 8398 7570 25 087 22 083 15 073 10 048 9 052 7570 6833 23 089 22 087 14*077 9 057 8 061 6833 6167 20 089 20*088 11*082 7*067 7 075 6167 5573 16 088 16*088 9 085 5*077 6 083 5573 5073 13 086 12 085 9 089 5 083 5 083 5073 4687 11 083 10 085 9 090 5 087 4 071 4687 4420 9 077 10 086 8 092 4 087 3*038 4420 4257 5*070 9 087 8 093 4 090 4*360 4257 4163 1*052 8 087 7 094 3 092 4 343 4163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography