DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.0 - - 46.8 - - 56.4 - - 58.6 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 63 - - 237 - - 80 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 760 - - 2830 - - 3980 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 5115 - - 5293 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4163 - - 6233 - - 7383 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 208 - - 1651 - - 1231 - - 1482 - - 1344 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 155 - - 363 - - 283 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 20 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 231 - - 274 - - 308 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -2 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3064 - - -4512 - - -8481 - - -6132 - - -5330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6620 - - 8676 - - 14714 - - 13515 - - 8887 sfcLCL ODpotential -14218 - - -13571 - - -17473 - - -12146 - - -13488 ODpotential blCL 17774 - - 17734 - - 23706 - - 19529 - - 17045 blCL maxRH 67 - - 68 - - 63 - - 40 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.0 - - 46.8 - - 56.4 - - 58.6 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.3 - - 21.7 - - 4.5 - - 11.7 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 46.2 - - 54.8 - - 57.7 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.2 - - 20.4 - - 3.5 - - 11.2 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 63 - - 237 - - 80 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 760 - - 2830 - - 3980 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96749 15 121 15 097 14 137 2 095 11 117 96749 89546 6 050 15 091 11 134 6 342 6 047 89546 83930 8 048 4 089 9 358 5 355 11 319 83930 79266 9 337 10 316 15 319 11 318 18 298 79266 75272 15 336 4 002 15 297 23 344 19 317 75272 71746 30 328 33 322 38 312 37 328 34 321 71746 68564 37 320 33 318 37 313 36 314 38 322 68564 65638 38 308 33 312 36 315 36 301 39 315 65638 62909 42 299 39 307 42 306 38 301 41 301 62909 60247 50 300 45 304 45 300 48 301 43 300 60247 57468 59 296 52 300 51 300 56 297 53 302 57468 54585 63 292 63 297 59 298 60 296 64 293 54585 51847 63 296 65 290 67 294 70 289 65 289 51847 49403 69 301 67 289 73 292 80 291 76 298 49403 47202 88 288 75 291 74 294 80 295 81 290 47202 45194 86 282 81 288 84 296 90 285 84 289 45194 43358 83 285 89 289 92 290 87 283 81 288 43358 41671 92 279 99 283 98 282 85 283 82 282 41671 40119 87 270 92 275 98 276 81 279 81 280 40119 38686 74 276 79 275 83 271 75 273 79 277 38686 37352 83 295 74 280 67 281 68 274 74 273 37352 36070 94 298 73 300 67 303 56 278 66 272 36070 34774 99 296 79 304 70 305 51 289 58 276 34774 33436 102 293 77 297 69 297 51 293 54 289 33436 32060 100 293 74 292 70 292 54 294 56 294 32060 30630 98 293 73 287 70 288 57 293 57 293 30630 29137 97 292 74 286 68 287 58 290 56 292 29137 27581 95 294 75 289 66 295 57 290 53 293 27581 25963 85 296 75 297 68 302 56 298 50 294 25963 24289 71 298 68 298 67 299 56 304 44 301 24289 22560 59 299 58 292 59 290 53 299 43 301 22560 20774 53 299 54 290 53 289 50 294 45 299 20774 18928 50 302 51 296 47 301 44 300 42 304 18928 17056 46 302 48 304 44 312 39 310 35 310 17056 15254 41 301 41 308 38 313 34 311 29 312 15254 13615 37 303 34 310 30 307 29 305 24 311 13615 12155 34 309 28 309 24 302 26 301 21 312 12155 10852 30 313 23 308 21 300 22 303 19 314 10852 9689 24 311 18 305 18 300 17 306 15 317 9689 8652 18 302 14 298 15 299 10 300 11 316 8652 7728 14 299 11 294 12 290 6*294 7 295 7728 6909 12 303 10 299 8*276 6*299 6 258 6909 6180 10 307 8 306 4*265 6 304 5 257 6180 5524 6 306 6 310 4 265 7 307 4 299 5524 4939 3 292 2 270 3 271 7 309 5 350 4939 4448 5 279 3*213 3 278 7 311 7 007 4448 4069 9 262 4*228 3 284 7 313 8 011 4069 3807 9 240 4 232 2 290 7 313 7 010 3807 3648 6 213 4 232 2 291 7 314 5*005 3648 3557 5*199 3 233 2 292 6 314 3*357 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography