DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.7 - - 46.5 - - 46.2 - - 47.0 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 98 - - 23 - - 25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2726 - - 2806 - - 2678 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 4618 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6129 - - 6209 - - 6081 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 544 - - 2989 - - 2465 - - 2594 - - 2398 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 272 - - 183 - - 169 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 17 - - 19 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 174 - - 263 - - 277 - - 256 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 4 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 832 - - 1322 - - 12 - - -1787 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 5298 - - 4888 - - 6069 - - 5345 sfcLCL ODpotential -2201 - - -158 - - 41 - - -1013 - - -4264 ODpotential blCL 5757 - - 6287 - - 6168 - - 7094 - - 7821 blCL maxRH 95 - - 96 - - 96 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 130 - - 90 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 35.7 - - 46.5 - - 46.2 - - 47.0 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.5 - - 35.7 - - 37.2 - - 32.8 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.3 - - 45.5 - - 45.9 - - 46.6 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.5 - - 34.8 - - 36.1 - - 32.7 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 98 - - 23 - - 25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2726 - - 2806 - - 2678 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 84 - - 82 - - 61 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96881 16 012 2 332 9 288 11 335 11 338 96881 89757 3 347 2 242 3 028 1 284 11 009 89757 84237 8 156 5 178 2 353 1 009 9 023 84237 79635 7 146 6 156 3 225 1 287 6 027 79635 75648 4 111 5 154 5 198 4 236 3 323 75648 72099 2 285 2 166 5 198 6 238 7 222 72099 68867 10 225 6 207 8 236 9 251 8 245 68867 65884 9 226 7 218 12 224 10 264 7 276 65884 63098 11 238 6 242 9 233 10 269 7 277 63098 60381 14 245 8 230 10 255 10 249 14 265 60381 57530 13 256 13 253 15 222 16 244 19 267 57530 54555 26 255 21 254 17 217 16 246 21 263 54555 51708 27 257 22 260 18 259 19 275 23 267 51708 49155 27 263 23 263 25 269 30 277 24 284 49155 46897 27 272 24 278 23 274 33 283 31 296 46897 44874 22 265 27 274 27 287 36 289 34 299 44874 43026 21 281 27 283 37 296 34 298 38 306 43026 41321 24 299 33 298 40 307 42 314 49 303 41321 39745 35 298 35 302 42 312 60 316 60 302 39745 38287 40 291 38 307 51 323 72 310 70 306 38287 36929 38 286 43 310 67 324 74 310 82 310 36929 35628 35 286 46 311 77 323 79 318 93 310 35628 34316 33 289 45 308 79 322 92 320 96 308 34316 32965 33 291 44 306 80 325 98 319 95 306 32965 31578 34 294 42 304 86 329 100 317 93 304 31578 30142 35 293 38 306 93 332 99 318 91 305 30142 28647 34 289 38 312 96 333 96 320 88 308 28647 27098 29 281 40 313 88 332 87 321 85 308 27098 25494 24 267 35 308 70 327 82 321 82 307 25494 23837 20 258 26 296 45 320 82 319 75 306 23837 22131 19 267 24 295 28 303 76 320 67 306 22131 20370 20 277 25 302 26 292 59 317 60 306 20370 18552 20 282 24 307 26 288 36 305 52 307 18552 16719 21 294 21 310 27 289 19 292 41 306 16719 14967 22 302 19 309 27 290 17 297 28 300 14967 13382 21 304 17 302 27 289 18 301 22 298 13382 11971 17 303 15 292 27 285 18 300 22 296 11971 10710 14 301 14 287 26 283 17 296 20 293 10710 9581 14 300 14 284 26 280 17 286 18 292 9581 8569 15 296 15 283 24 278 19 272 17 290 8569 7664 18 286 17 279 22 276 21 265 18 283 7664 6859 21 276 17 274 20*275 21 261 21 272 6859 6141 22 270 16*269 19*275 21*259 24 262 6141 5495 22 264 14*265 18 276 20*258 26 256 5495 4919 21 258 14 263 17 277 20 257 24 253 4919 4436 18 251 13 262 16 277 19 256 20 250 4436 4063 13 241 13 261 16 278 18 255 14 248 4063 3804 8 214 12 261 15 278 17 255 9 246 3804 3647 6 187 11 261 14 278 16 255 6*244 3647 3557 4*174 9 261 11 279 12 255 2*235 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography