DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 87.1 - - - - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 506 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3098 - - 6014 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5475 - - 7871 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6501 - - 9417 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1934 - - 3052 - - - - - 4345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 600 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 48 - - 24 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 317 - - - - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -10 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5678 - - -5079 - - - - - -7779 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12180 - - 14496 - - - - - 11339 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9602 - - -7596 - - - - - -11879 ODpotential blCL - - - 16103 - - 17013 - - - - - 15438 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 35 - - - - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 87.1 - - - - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 35.4 - - - - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.8 - - 83.9 - - - - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 35.3 - - - - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 506 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3098 - - 6014 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99871 34 113 25 102 27 098 99871 92333 29 104 25 111 28 098 92333 86514 22 108 22 106 23 097 86514 81681 22 105 18 096 20 096 81681 77524 22 098 12 114 18 092 77524 73853 22 097 18 119 16 096 73853 70528 12 092 17 110 15 100 70528 67473 14 122 10 101 13 115 67473 64653 16 132 8 112 14 088 64653 61933 8 137 12 175 5 004 61933 59096 5 176 6 188 6 212 59096 56154 28 229 22 232 18 222 56154 53351 36 214 38 227 28 235 53351 50831 40 216 44 221 37 238 50831 48577 52 225 52 228 56 249 48577 46534 72 228 75 229 82 239 46534 44662 85 225 85 226 87 231 44662 42932 88 225 84 225 79 232 42932 41327 83 225 82 224 76 235 41327 39832 74 225 76 225 75 236 39832 38431 71 229 71 227 73 238 38431 37085 73 230 70 230 71 241 37085 35727 74 229 70 231 69 242 35727 34330 71 229 68 231 67 241 34330 32896 64 229 66 231 64 241 32896 31412 58 230 61 231 59 242 31412 29868 53 231 56 232 55 243 29868 28267 50 233 48 235 50 244 28267 26612 47 234 41 237 44 244 26612 24907 45 231 38 236 38 243 24907 23151 42 228 37 234 35 242 23151 21335 37 228 34 233 35 239 21335 19452 33 230 32 231 33 238 19452 17539 30 231 29 229 29 238 17539 15697 28 230 26 230 25 238 15697 14019 27 230 25 228 22 234 14019 12519 26 232 21 224 20 221 12519 11175 24 235 17 223 16 228 11175 9971 21 236 12*227 11 251 9971 8892 17 231 8*238 9 274 8892 7930 13 222 6 250 8 326 7930 7075 8*219 5 272 13 355 7075 6314 4*225 5 331 15 005 6314 5627 1 273 6 345 16 009 5627 5013 2 333 7 350 17 010 5013 4498 2 349 8 353 17 011 4498 4099 3 354 8 355 16 011 4099 3823 3 356 8 356 15 011 3823 3655 3 357 8 356 13*011 3655 3559 3 356 8 356 9*010 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography