DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 74.1 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 367 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2393 - - 5420 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4761 - - 7268 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5796 - - 8823 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1993 - - 2526 - - - - - 735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 333 - - 520 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 256 - - - - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -8 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5877 - - -3332 - - - - - -1594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11674 - - 12156 - - - - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9145 - - -5907 - - - - - -6035 ODpotential blCL - - - 14941 - - 14730 - - - - - 9593 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 86 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 74.1 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.9 - - 32.9 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 71.8 - - - - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 32.9 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 367 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2393 - - 5420 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 42 - - - - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96351 18 253 9 295 19 295 96351 89321 8 263 6 272 9 279 89321 83885 8 320 5 319 9 274 83885 79352 7 315 13 304 6 313 79352 75425 9 331 10 309 16 324 75425 71960 16 303 18 291 16 317 71960 68837 3 334 8 247 13 341 68837 65959 17 303 19 294 21 301 65959 63284 25 284 26 266 21 278 63284 60698 17 274 22 266 17 270 60698 57981 25 283 35 276 34 277 57981 55132 43 277 44 272 45 275 55132 52390 54 274 56 272 52 273 52390 49903 62 269 66 268 58 270 49903 47657 68 264 74 265 65 270 47657 45605 73 260 79 261 73 268 45605 43721 75 258 82 258 83 265 43721 41994 79 258 84 257 90 259 41994 40414 86 255 91 257 91 257 40414 38955 88 251 95 252 97 253 38955 37597 86 251 92 248 96 248 37597 36299 84 251 87 248 93 246 36299 34988 80 253 85 250 90 246 34988 33632 79 256 83 254 87 249 33632 32238 79 255 83 257 85 253 32238 30791 80 255 83 258 83 256 30791 29282 79 255 81 257 83 259 29282 27712 76 256 76 256 82 259 27712 26086 71 255 72 255 79 256 26086 24408 66 254 67 254 75 252 24408 22677 62 253 64 252 71 251 22677 20890 59 253 60 250 67 250 20890 19043 55 255 55 249 62 249 19043 17171 49 257 49 250 55 249 17171 15370 43 256 44 250 48 250 15370 13730 39 253 40 247 43 251 13730 12267 37 249 37 245 38 251 12267 10959 35 248 33 243 34 251 10959 9789 34 248 26*245 29 252 9789 8742 32 250 20*248 24 254 8742 7807 29 253 17 252 20 256 7807 6976 26 254 17 254 16 257 6976 6235 22*253 17 256 13 260 6235 5565 18*250 17 257 10 266 5565 4969 15 247 16 259 8 285 4969 4468 14 247 16 260 8 324 4468 4081 13 248 15 261 11 346 4081 3813 12 248 15 262 11 352 3813 3651 12 248 14 262 9*354 3651 3558 10 248 13 262 5*356 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography