DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 76.3 - - - - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 280 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1587 - - 3541 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4128 - - 5708 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4990 - - 6944 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1393 - - 1802 - - - - - 482 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 413 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 23 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 322 - - - - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -9 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4948 - - -5220 - - - - - -5311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9939 - - 12165 - - - - - 8870 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11239 - - -10216 - - - - - -13243 ODpotential blCL - - - 16229 - - 17160 - - - - - 16801 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 33 - - - - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 76.3 - - - - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 35.3 - - - - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 74.3 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 35.2 - - - - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 280 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1587 - - 3541 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97763 11 283 17 305 17 341 97763 90602 14 319 14 331 14 342 90602 85037 11 333 12 329 18 337 85037 80403 8 327 10 341 19 331 80403 76413 13 320 13 345 19 332 76413 72873 15 299 14 309 18 323 72873 69653 15 297 19 294 18 326 69653 66680 18 295 22 293 23 319 66680 63914 19 292 23 285 28 298 63914 61231 25 298 27 283 32 294 61231 58440 36 289 36 282 35 294 58440 55559 44 278 44 279 36 294 55559 52817 50 279 48 278 41 296 52817 50351 57 283 53 279 49 291 50351 48144 68 282 59 283 53 286 48144 46143 71 280 63 283 53 283 46143 44312 68 279 64 280 52 287 44312 42624 67 279 62 280 54 290 42624 41057 66 278 59 282 53 282 41057 39595 65 277 60 283 51 278 39595 38224 64 278 60 283 48 281 38224 36906 60 280 54 282 43 285 36906 35573 49 283 43 284 36 290 35573 34198 40 285 33 285 32 293 34198 32785 34 287 28 289 29 289 32785 31321 31 289 26 295 23 286 31321 29798 30 289 25 299 18 282 29798 28213 30 290 23 296 16 282 28213 26568 32 288 23 291 16 284 26568 24863 35 285 25 285 18 291 24863 23101 33 279 29 283 19 297 23101 21279 32 273 31 278 18 301 21279 19389 31 271 30 275 16 302 19389 17466 29 272 27 277 13 302 17466 15616 26 271 25 277 14 300 15616 13932 24 270 23 276 17 294 13932 12434 21 271 21 275 19 289 12434 11099 18 274 19 276 18 284 11099 9906 15 276 16 275 15 273 9906 8838 13 280 13 270 12 263 8838 7885 11 285 10 269 8 276 7885 7038 9 294 6*280 6 331 7038 6284 7 308 4*293 9 357 6284 5603 6*325 3 314 10 005 5603 4996 4*334 3 323 11 010 4996 4486 3 335 3 328 11 013 4486 4091 3 339 3 334 11 013 4091 3819 3 342 3 338 10 009 3819 3653 3 344 3 339 6 000 3653 3558 3 344 3 340 4*351 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography