DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 86.8 - - 87.6 - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 480 - - 254 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3173 - - 6595 - - 8051 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5510 - - 8316 - - 9162 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6576 - - 9998 - - 11454 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1890 - - 3392 - - 2720 - - 3810 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 431 - - 607 - - 525 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 18 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 322 - - 343 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -14 - - -8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6550 - - -5966 - - -4442 - - -8103 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13126 - - 15965 - - 15897 - - 11662 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10156 - - -10400 - - -8372 - - -13122 ODpotential blCL - - - 16732 - - 20398 - - 19826 - - 16681 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 32 - - 42 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 86.8 - - 87.6 - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 28.5 - - 29.7 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.9 - - 83.7 - - 85.6 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 28.4 - - 29.7 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 480 - - 254 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3173 - - 6595 - - 8051 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99527 21 096 20 102 17 086 17 090 99527 92017 17 109 18 086 21 097 13 097 92017 86198 12 096 12 084 13 079 17 089 86198 81361 14 081 5 099 9 073 11 064 81361 77219 12 076 7 088 5 089 10 070 77219 73577 9 080 6 069 5 058 8 050 73577 70287 9 029 3 026 4 002 6 044 70287 67267 3 318 5 320 9 355 7 025 67267 64468 4 344 7 233 13 305 10 351 64468 61762 8 292 4 272 11 274 12 304 61762 58933 15 270 13 276 12 286 14 278 58933 55999 18 292 16 264 17 260 18 252 55999 53211 24 280 17 273 18 269 20 274 53211 50703 25 257 19 269 29 260 32 271 50703 48461 29 250 29 246 36 243 41 247 48461 46459 33 248 33 251 38 245 45 253 46459 44644 35 264 43 259 54 252 52 257 44644 42965 48 269 51 263 57 252 57 259 42965 41395 62 262 63 261 64 261 61 259 41395 39921 70 262 71 261 77 263 67 262 39921 38535 77 261 75 260 80 262 72 262 38535 37200 78 261 75 261 77 262 74 261 37200 35852 73 262 68 262 72 262 69 261 35852 34460 58 264 53 265 62 267 66 260 34460 33027 42 266 37 266 46 269 58 264 33027 31545 37 268 28 262 30 259 41 274 31545 30002 35 268 25 261 25 242 27 275 30002 28396 34 263 24 263 26 240 22 255 28396 26730 30 263 25 257 26 245 24 245 26730 25006 25 261 28 258 28 251 25 250 25006 23228 25 260 26 259 27 267 21 263 23228 21392 23 267 22 260 22 276 15 276 21392 19490 17 275 15 267 17 275 13 267 19490 17562 15 268 12 267 12 273 11 255 17562 15712 13 262 13 262 11 262 11 255 15712 14029 8 269 13 258 11 250 12 252 14029 12527 5 286 11 258 8*265 10 254 12527 11185 5 294 9*264 7*287 8 266 11185 9982 6 283 7*278 7 306 6 294 9982 8904 9 269 6 288 8 326 6 350 8904 7941 10 264 6 304 10 346 11 007 7941 7085 7*269 6 315 11 350 14 006 7085 6321 4*284 6 334 12 353 16 001 6321 5632 3 306 7 341 12 354 18 354 5632 5016 3 322 7 346 13 355 19 349 5016 4500 3 334 7 349 13 355 20 347 4500 4100 3 340 7 351 13 356 19 345 4100 3824 3 344 7 352 13 357 17 344 3824 3655 3 347 7 352 12 356 14*343 3655 3559 3 349 7 353 11 356 9*343 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography