DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 39.0 - - 37.6 - - 29.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 94 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1897 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3922 - - 3540 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 5300 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1492 - - 1329 - - 2988 - - 571 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 62 - - 234 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 156 - - 134 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -669 - - -1136 - - -2499 - - -722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4225 - - 6437 - - 6055 - - 4278 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12168 - - -10185 - - -12030 - - -12274 ODpotential blCL - - - 15724 - - 15485 - - 15586 - - 15830 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 68 - - 66 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 39.0 - - 37.6 - - 29.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.0 - - 23.8 - - 24.1 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 38.0 - - 38.9 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.8 - - 23.1 - - 23.6 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 94 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1897 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96743 21 072 32 058 26 059 29 051 96743 89581 19 019 19 051 18 037 23 032 89581 84025 18 029 16 017 22 023 20 021 84025 79398 14 021 18 347 21 005 15 346 79398 75391 11 019 18 334 19 348 13 331 75391 71817 16 003 19 327 26 339 20 329 71817 68573 15 357 20 336 25 334 19 327 68573 65584 16 353 18 339 27 334 21 336 65584 62806 15 345 22 346 29 336 25 345 62806 60126 22 350 23 336 30 339 24 346 60126 57328 26 353 20 336 24 342 20 349 57328 54415 34 347 20 340 25 348 31 344 54415 51645 38 342 31 344 31 337 34 325 51645 49167 32 343 33 342 31 344 32 343 49167 46982 33 357 45 354 38 351 37 353 46982 45045 62 357 53 355 42 005 50 009 45045 43300 70 341 56 009 66 012 68 007 43300 41699 51 000 67 013 77 006 68 009 41699 40203 64 028 75 011 70 014 60 015 40203 38792 84 020 91 014 75 016 59 023 38792 37460 82 010 99 014 80 013 62 027 37460 36175 85 004 101 015 82 010 65 027 36175 34873 86 005 91 015 79 007 61 021 34873 33529 82 011 77 012 75 012 54 017 33529 32146 72 011 60 012 68 014 48 012 32146 30710 64 004 49 014 61 009 49 009 30710 29209 61 359 46 012 47 003 52 008 29209 27645 56 006 45 010 34 008 50 003 27645 26017 49 012 45 008 31 002 41 351 26017 24328 45 009 45 004 31 353 34 339 24328 22583 42 005 43 006 32 357 30 348 22583 20778 40 006 40 009 33 354 29 355 20778 18908 38 004 39 006 32 351 31 341 18908 17014 38 004 38 007 27 354 29 331 17014 15194 34 012 32 014 20 007 19 325 15194 13539 27 019 26 023 14 023 10 318 13539 12067 20 024 21 032 11 037 5 292 12067 10757 15 032 17 044 7 045 3 239 10757 9590 13 051 13 061 3 068 2 156 9590 8551 13 072 10 084 4 149 4 137 8551 7632 12 088 8 119 6 176 8 155 7632 6823 11 101 9 157 6 191 8 164 6823 6109 11 119 9 165 5 186 7 174 6109 5467 12 132 8*162 4 168 9 178 5467 4897 12 140 7*157 4 157 12 180 4897 4420 12 149 7 155 4 148 11 177 4420 4052 9 161 6 154 3 146 8 171 4052 3798 6 167 5 156 2 143 4 155 3798 3644 5*168 5 155 2 145 2*134 3644 3556 4*167 5 156 1*134 1*104 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography