DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.5 - - 27.1 - - 38.7 - - 37.1 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 52 - - 138 - - 30 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 323 - - 682 - - 669 - - 152 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3555 - - 3726 - - 4085 - - 4072 - - 3555 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 96 - - 316 - - 271 - - 436 - - 575 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 189 - - 112 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 19 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 289 - - 351 - - 338 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - -2 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1043 - - 171 - - -1550 - - -565 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4599 - - 3556 - - 5635 - - 4638 - - 3555 sfcLCL ODpotential -14883 - - -12811 - - -11751 - - -10635 - - -11774 ODpotential blCL 18438 - - 16537 - - 15836 - - 14707 - - 15329 blCL maxRH 55 - - 95 - - 68 - - 81 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.5 - - 27.1 - - 38.7 - - 37.1 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.5 - - 24.6 - - 27.0 - - 29.6 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.9 - - 26.5 - - 37.6 - - 36.6 - - 28.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.0 - - 24.9 - - 26.5 - - 29.5 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 52 - - 138 - - 30 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 323 - - 682 - - 669 - - 152 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 80 - - 0 - - 26 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97146 46 079 29 055 62 056 50 069 42 064 97146 89988 44 066 35 061 36 054 46 060 42 061 89988 84420 35 064 31 063 26 066 32 054 38 067 84420 79763 27 051 28 060 23 070 23 051 28 050 79763 75745 20 035 20 049 21 058 22 058 24 043 75745 72183 24 036 16 031 22 029 22 054 22 047 72183 68931 30 026 20 026 25 008 27 034 25 035 68931 65944 30 013 25 028 22 002 31 014 34 028 65944 63194 30 009 27 023 20 005 30 006 37 015 63194 60533 32 004 30 012 25 356 31 002 35 005 60533 57746 32 354 36 358 30 356 31 350 37 352 57746 54849 33 344 41 345 38 350 36 346 43 344 54849 52084 35 342 41 341 41 340 43 341 45 340 52084 49598 40 332 42 336 46 332 49 337 49 338 49598 47384 44 326 45 331 52 327 54 333 54 336 47384 45388 50 326 48 329 56 322 61 328 62 335 45388 43562 54 328 52 330 56 322 64 324 64 331 43562 41870 50 327 54 328 55 325 60 323 62 330 41870 40292 45 326 49 325 53 327 55 325 58 330 40292 38817 40 323 44 322 49 325 48 325 53 333 38817 37441 36 320 39 320 43 323 43 325 49 333 37441 36129 33 317 36 319 39 321 39 328 39 337 36129 34816 34 312 35 317 36 321 34 327 32 345 34816 33472 38 310 35 316 35 322 29 327 27 357 33472 32097 39 310 36 315 35 322 25 336 26 013 32097 30676 39 310 37 313 35 321 23 343 27 022 30676 29195 38 305 38 312 34 320 24 344 26 026 29195 27653 38 305 38 312 32 323 24 350 25 027 27653 26050 37 307 37 311 29 332 24 357 26 028 26050 24386 35 313 36 313 26 343 23 004 26 028 24386 22664 33 321 35 320 22 353 21 013 24 028 22664 20878 26 329 25 327 20 355 21 026 22 027 20878 19023 19 336 17 337 19 349 20 035 22 024 19023 17134 14 341 15 346 18 353 18 034 22 021 17134 15315 12 350 13 354 17 003 16 026 23 022 15315 13658 11 360 10 010 14 011 14 023 22 026 13658 12181 11 006 9 027 11 020 13 028 19 031 12181 10863 11 009 8 038 9 032 12 034 16 036 10863 9685 11 007 8 041 8 042 9 035 13 037 9685 8632 11 002 6 046 5 050 7 029 11 040 8632 7692 10 358 5 060 3 069 5 022 9 045 7692 6861 7 356 4 086 2 123 4 008 7 055 6861 6127 3 322 4 113 3 165 2 012 4 062 6127 5471 4 265 4 120 4 175 1 079 1 099 5471 4893 3 221 2 116 4 181 2 051 1 019 4893 4412 2 239 1 357 2*180 5*354 4 335 4412 4047 1 221 2 296 1*359 7*340 6 311 4047 3795 1 161 3*286 2 351 7 338 6 294 3795 3643 2 123 3*289 2 349 6 336 5 289 3643 3555 2*115 3 289 2 349 6 337 3*287 3555 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography