DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 47.9 - - - - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 154 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4133 - - 4471 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5912 - - 6126 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7536 - - 7874 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2929 - - 1967 - - - - - 3637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 365 - - 367 - - - - - 29 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 18 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 296 - - - - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 38 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 874 - - 674 - - - - - -2311 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6663 - - 7200 - - - - - 5869 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 376 - - 118 - - - - - -4122 ODpotential blCL - - - 7160 - - 7756 - - - - - 7679 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 47.9 - - - - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.8 - - 28.7 - - - - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 46.7 - - - - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 28.4 - - - - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 154 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4133 - - 4471 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 103 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97149 24 265 27 281 23 297 97149 89818 22 280 23 297 16 291 89818 84223 18 279 21 304 8 273 84223 79586 14 255 17 286 4 303 79586 75578 7 252 15 258 11 324 75578 72010 7 280 14 238 15 312 72010 68761 10 274 13 245 15 284 68761 65763 14 264 13 251 14 267 65763 62976 16 257 14 253 14 273 62976 60264 17 258 16 256 15 278 60264 57421 18 268 15 261 16 283 57421 54457 21 277 15 270 17 286 54457 51619 20 274 17 279 21 292 51619 49060 18 283 20 279 24 296 49060 46761 18 287 20 278 25 293 46761 44674 17 287 20 288 23 289 44674 42771 16 270 22 290 21 294 42771 41031 11 266 20 287 22 298 41031 39429 9 305 15 296 20 304 39429 37949 12 304 15 334 16 332 37949 36587 8 307 20 335 23 357 36587 35316 8 022 9 350 14 352 35316 34054 23 057 32 070 16 008 34054 32753 40 062 32 068 18 002 32753 31413 47 064 29 056 23 004 31413 30023 43 062 32 040 27 002 30023 28570 28 056 31 041 27 009 28570 27057 23 050 29 038 28 014 27057 25483 27 049 27 033 32 015 25483 23849 27 044 26 030 32 019 23849 22161 18 037 25 025 29 022 22161 20416 9 022 25 020 27 021 20416 18609 13 019 24 016 29 019 18609 16774 20 345 24 004 29 015 16774 15009 23 310 20 348 27 012 15009 13400 21 303 18 340 29 006 13400 11967 22 311 17 336 30 358 11967 10694 27 306 17 322 18 343 10694 9562 29 299 19 309 12 331 9562 8552 28 296 19*302 16 329 8552 7649 26*295 19*298 20 317 7649 6848 24*296 19 296 21 308 6848 6134 22 297 19 295 20 304 6134 5490 21 299 18 295 19 303 5490 4917 20 301 18 296 16 306 4917 4435 19 302 17 296 14 309 4435 4062 18 303 16 296 12 312 4062 3804 17 303 16 296 10 316 3804 3647 16 304 15 296 9*317 3647 3557 13 304 13 296 7*318 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography