DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 53.4 - - 55.3 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 343 - - 250 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4734 - - 5484 - - 5749 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6717 - - 7295 - - 7354 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8137 - - 8887 - - 9152 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1809 - - 1998 - - 1967 - - 5923 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 492 - - 512 - - 468 - - 48 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 358 - - 012 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 818 - - 309 - - 485 - - -3877 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7319 - - 8579 - - 8668 - - 7434 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 266 - - 40 - - 227 - - -4684 ODpotential blCL - - - 7871 - - 8847 - - 8925 - - 8241 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 53.4 - - 55.3 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 27.9 - - 29.4 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 51.2 - - 53.5 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 27.9 - - 29.4 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 343 - - 250 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4734 - - 5484 - - 5749 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 100 - - 97 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98793 13 117 9 118 15 088 19 085 98793 91305 11 095 16 140 12 080 14 088 91305 85552 10 113 10 134 12 113 10 070 85552 80767 13 127 8 076 10 115 11 080 80767 76620 14 126 2 035 13 102 12 103 76620 72957 8 145 4 109 10 075 17 112 72957 69640 7 133 8 131 7 071 13 099 69640 66577 5 117 9 116 2 124 5 102 66577 63729 4 145 6 095 2 142 5 098 63729 60964 3 123 2 072 2 116 8 065 60964 58071 6 062 2 158 4 078 7 048 58071 55064 7 037 2 151 6 040 8 047 55064 52197 9 015 5 098 7 026 10 041 52197 49616 8 336 7 058 9 043 12 061 49616 47307 4 277 7 021 11 041 14 059 47307 45220 4 136 5 010 9 067 10 056 45220 43310 8 088 2 106 11 097 11 100 43310 41548 10 055 12 118 16 099 18 092 41548 39915 8 013 13 095 16 086 16 071 39915 38396 4 219 8 090 14 097 20 121 38396 36988 18 180 7 147 19 123 27 122 36988 35648 25 163 19 153 25 143 31 134 35648 34302 32 151 35 151 30 149 41 141 34302 32925 38 149 47 149 39 152 54 142 32925 31528 37 151 51 147 51 150 66 141 31528 30103 36 158 50 147 61 149 75 139 30103 28632 41 167 47 152 65 148 76 137 28632 27104 46 169 51 155 64 148 74 137 27104 25514 52 169 65 157 56 149 69 136 25514 23865 57 171 65 160 45 148 65 139 23865 22167 49 173 45 164 37 146 57 145 22167 20415 31 170 23 149 35 133 44 149 20415 18604 28 160 26 144 30 113 36 146 18604 16771 24 153 30 141 28 098 22 127 16771 15013 10 158 24 118 23 086 14 153 15013 13414 6 114 20 086 18 068 9 077 13414 11990 6 084 15 061 13 049 18 069 11990 10723 3 077 11 016 13 021 20 061 10723 9594 6 003 14*000 15*013 22 043 9594 8584 9*354 15*359 16*012 22 027 8584 7684 11*354 15 358 16 012 21 023 7684 6881 11 356 15 358 16 012 21 022 6881 6164 12 358 15 358 16 011 21 021 6164 5514 12 359 15 358 16 012 20 020 5514 4935 12 360 15 358 15 011 20 019 4935 4447 12 000 15 358 15 011 19 018 4447 4069 12 001 14 358 15 011 18 018 4069 3808 11 001 14 358 14 012 17 017 3808 3648 11 001 13 358 14 012 15*017 3648 3557 10 001 12 358 12 011 11*017 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography