DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 61.5 - - - - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 160 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3434 - - 3173 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5516 - - 5194 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6837 - - 6576 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1180 - - 1899 - - - - - 2473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 373 - - 331 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 28 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 245 - - - - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 17 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -7 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2438 - - -1587 - - - - - -550 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9276 - - 8163 - - - - - 4107 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7516 - - -4045 - - - - - -3786 ODpotential blCL - - - 14353 - - 10621 - - - - - 7343 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 61.5 - - - - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 38.0 - - - - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 60.4 - - - - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 37.9 - - - - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 160 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3434 - - 3173 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 101 - - - - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96203 20 293 22 287 18 267 96203 89102 18 302 22 296 23 300 89102 83668 23 279 27 275 23 296 83668 79165 7 299 16 280 15 326 79165 75236 21 303 29 274 32 313 75236 71755 38 279 43 267 36 281 71755 68647 35 272 37 254 20 270 68647 65783 28 285 27 252 12 266 65783 63072 33 292 31 264 31 265 63072 60424 46 288 44 269 53 262 60424 57680 60 280 56 269 65 268 57680 54838 73 273 69 267 72 266 54838 52113 83 267 80 265 79 262 52113 49655 87 265 87 264 89 260 49655 47449 90 265 92 263 98 257 47449 45443 95 267 95 260 101 256 45443 43605 94 264 98 256 101 258 43605 41915 86 256 94 250 103 258 41915 40351 80 251 82 247 102 253 40351 38896 79 254 75 247 100 247 38896 37535 79 257 75 247 99 248 37535 36226 81 259 73 247 98 250 36226 34902 81 260 72 248 97 252 34902 33536 83 261 78 251 96 251 33536 32133 84 261 85 252 96 251 32133 30680 84 260 90 252 98 253 30680 29165 85 259 92 251 100 254 29165 27591 86 258 91 252 99 254 27591 25961 85 258 87 253 98 255 25961 24276 84 258 85 254 97 256 24276 22540 81 257 86 257 95 257 22540 20750 80 256 89 261 89 257 20750 18901 79 257 85 263 79 259 18901 17029 76 260 73 263 68 264 17029 15233 67 263 57 262 61 270 15233 13601 57 264 47 260 58 271 13601 12150 48 261 44 255 57 267 12150 10856 44 258 45 253 57 262 10856 9698 43 255 44 252 55 257 9698 8663 43 252 44 251 53 254 8663 7738 40 249 41 248 50 253 7738 6918 34*246 37*245 46 252 6918 6188 32*245 34*244 42 251 6188 5531 30 245 32 244 37 250 5531 4945 28 245 30 245 30 250 4945 4453 27 244 27 245 23 251 4453 4073 25 244 25 246 15 255 4073 3810 23 244 23 246 9 263 3810 3649 21 245 21 247 5 277 3649 3557 17 244 17 247 2*015 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography