DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.7 - - 39.9 - - 46.9 - - 48.6 - - 39.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 22 - - 78 - - 16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 3523 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3540 - - 5013 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3556 - - 6926 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1072 - - 1259 - - 3578 - - 8388 - - 4182 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 64 - - 276 - - 58 - - 5 W* B/S 3 - - 12 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 199 - - 247 - - 263 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -1 - - 10 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -327 - - 1052 - - -3587 - - -1445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 3883 - - 5874 - - 7144 - - 5001 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -2135 - - -122 - - -4341 - - -3951 ODpotential blCL 3556 - - 5691 - - 7048 - - 7898 - - 7507 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 96 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 100 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.7 - - 39.9 - - 46.9 - - 48.6 - - 39.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.7 - - 35.3 - - 33.4 - - 29.6 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.7 - - 39.4 - - 46.0 - - 48.3 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 34.8 - - 32.4 - - 29.3 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 22 - - 78 - - 16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 153 - - 3523 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 99 - - 59 - - 86 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97072 25 089 23 092 27 092 26 109 14 100 97072 89875 24 098 17 106 20 099 20 106 16 106 89875 84233 17 103 13 106 16 101 16 118 16 070 84233 79504 14 114 9 095 13 087 12 123 10 068 79504 75416 10 090 9 110 6 091 3 047 9 085 75416 71797 6 066 8 084 5 143 2 276 6 048 71797 68505 2 028 1 222 1 304 3 270 3 237 68505 65471 5 310 2 231 6 229 7 249 3 223 65471 62637 8 247 7 260 11 238 13 250 12 273 62637 59864 7 299 7 221 8 245 7 221 12 220 59864 56953 21 258 15 254 24 262 21 253 17 240 56953 53927 28 234 26 231 29 229 26 243 17 250 53927 51043 21 254 24 243 26 244 25 249 21 264 51043 48451 40 250 38 247 33 249 34 252 29 256 48451 46141 44 241 42 240 40 239 41 237 34 243 46141 44068 35 243 38 240 37 238 36 233 33 238 44068 42186 41 249 35 251 37 247 31 248 34 242 42186 40461 52 246 41 253 39 250 39 255 35 250 40461 38864 57 242 48 243 46 243 49 251 40 251 38864 37381 58 236 49 237 50 238 56 239 47 237 37381 36010 59 240 49 238 53 238 56 229 47 226 36010 34721 68 243 52 241 57 236 49 226 39 226 34721 33444 78 240 57 243 56 236 40 237 32 248 33444 32142 86 234 58 241 51 240 42 260 38 268 32142 30810 85 232 56 239 48 246 53 264 52 263 30810 29435 82 232 51 242 44 250 59 260 59 255 29435 28012 78 233 46 250 38 257 56 260 55 251 28012 26542 72 236 45 258 33 261 46 259 41 247 26542 25019 64 241 42 255 30 263 34 263 34 241 25019 23443 51 235 40 248 28 263 25 265 27 239 23443 21815 46 224 37 246 25 258 19 261 20 242 21815 20128 40 224 31 250 27 253 15 270 19 248 20128 18377 27 224 26 258 26 254 14 265 15 233 18377 16593 19 222 22 249 24 258 17 261 13 246 16593 14872 17 224 19 232 23 261 19 270 15 241 14872 13299 18 236 17 218 18 254 17 274 17 246 13299 11897 20 238 17 215 16 229 12 237 17 249 11897 10647 19 238 13 212 17 216 11 215 13 239 10647 9531 17 241 9 213 16 217 10 213 11 216 9531 8533 16 244 8 221 14 220 9 215 8 210 8533 7641 14 244 9 225 13*225 7 227 6 224 7641 6845 11 241 11 224 11*232 7 238 5 242 6845 6135 9 239 11 218 9 239 6 245 5 258 6135 5492 7 236 11 213 8 245 6 252 4 274 5492 4918 4 226 9 210 7 252 6 256 4 297 4918 4436 1 290 7 210 6 257 6 260 4 322 4436 4062 3 338 5 205 6 261 6 262 4 342 4062 3804 3 340 3 197 5 262 6 263 4 354 3804 3647 3*340 1 200 5 264 6*263 3 358 3647 3556 2*339 1*199 5 265 5*263 2*357 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography