DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 50.2 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 44 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1624 - - 1530 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3541 - - 3540 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5027 - - 4933 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2326 - - 2490 - - - - - 2948 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 187 - - 178 - - - - - 34 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 10 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 325 - - - - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1470 - - 1294 - - - - - -94 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3557 - - 3639 - - - - - 3651 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 174 - - 193 - - - - - -1142 ODpotential blCL - - - 4853 - - 4740 - - - - - 4699 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 0 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 50.2 - - - - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.8 - - 46.3 - - - - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 49.6 - - - - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 45.2 - - - - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 44 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1624 - - 1530 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - - - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98458 12 098 12 083 20 089 98458 91047 9 108 9 083 21 109 91047 85358 12 125 11 079 18 110 85358 80644 16 123 6 109 16 092 80644 76573 14 122 12 165 15 090 76573 72951 13 129 16 154 10 104 72951 69649 14 158 15 164 8 146 69649 66592 18 176 18 176 11 171 66592 63733 22 169 20 178 16 182 63733 60946 16 177 20 180 18 207 60946 58038 15 190 17 183 21 207 58038 55034 20 206 16 213 22 202 55034 52179 24 208 22 222 16 194 52179 49606 21 215 23 218 16 217 49606 47299 21 212 22 218 24 222 47299 45219 19 189 24 210 23 220 45219 43321 12 210 17 217 19 216 43321 41577 16 245 17 236 18 220 41577 39969 19 248 11 243 18 228 39969 38485 18 287 3 282 15 250 38485 37112 24 303 17 306 15 278 37112 35808 26 311 22 312 18 299 35808 34502 27 327 26 321 20 307 34502 33165 31 334 29 328 22 306 33165 31795 34 336 32 332 22 305 31795 30377 37 336 37 332 22 307 30377 28898 39 335 39 332 23 309 28898 27360 40 333 39 337 24 311 27360 25763 39 333 35 339 21 322 25763 24109 37 333 28 338 17 324 24109 22400 32 331 25 336 16 317 22400 20632 24 333 27 332 17 319 20632 18802 18 334 27 335 17 319 18802 16943 14 339 22 343 17 319 16943 15153 10 341 14 347 16 319 15153 13525 6 327 8 330 15 317 13525 12076 3 284 9 319 14 315 12076 10784 2 254 11 323 13 311 10784 9632 2 328 15 324 13 304 9632 8606 7 338 17 317 13 288 8606 7694 11 334 16 306 13 284 7694 6883 15 331 15 302 14 291 6883 6161 18 326 15 303 14 306 6161 5510 18*324 14 307 14 323 5510 4931 18*324 12*316 15 333 4931 4444 18 324 11*323 15 337 4444 4067 17 325 10 325 15 339 4067 3806 16 325 10 326 13 340 3806 3648 14 325 9 327 12*341 3648 3557 11 325 8 327 8*342 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography