DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 68.2 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 432 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4090 - - 7542 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6170 - - 9038 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7493 - - 10945 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2247 - - 1578 - - - - - 2872 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 450 - - 614 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 228 - - - - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 10 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7944 - - -4689 - - - - - -7666 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15437 - - 15634 - - - - - 11224 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13373 - - -8725 - - - - - -12595 ODpotential blCL - - - 20866 - - 19670 - - - - - 16152 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 68 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.9 - - 68.2 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.0 - - 11.0 - - - - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 65.5 - - - - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.6 - - 10.5 - - - - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 432 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4090 - - 7542 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96752 17 287 28 274 34 305 96752 89476 24 290 21 286 24 296 89476 83904 18 287 16 296 14 284 83904 79307 13 294 12 297 11 294 79307 75352 15 287 10 307 9 309 75352 71834 12 284 13 293 10 305 71834 68629 11 306 13 291 8 288 68629 65670 14 313 11 291 9 297 65670 62923 15 298 13 292 12 290 62923 60259 14 299 14 303 14 284 60259 57469 14 313 18 298 18 272 57469 54558 19 312 20 293 20 266 54558 51769 22 313 21 291 18 260 51769 49250 26 309 26 294 17 258 49250 46984 32 297 30 286 19 262 46984 44931 30 289 30 286 25 266 44931 43073 28 298 30 291 27 266 43073 41389 33 307 32 291 29 264 41389 39848 37 308 29 290 30 255 39848 38424 35 308 30 287 27 249 38424 37097 32 308 29 287 26 251 37097 35822 31 310 28 292 27 253 35822 34534 31 312 27 297 26 251 34534 33202 32 314 28 300 24 248 33202 31833 33 314 28 301 22 247 31833 30415 34 311 28 301 22 246 30415 28935 33 305 27 295 22 246 28935 27397 32 301 22 293 21 247 27397 25798 30 303 17 302 18 248 25798 24146 26 306 14 305 15 248 24146 22442 23 301 13 301 13 238 22442 20683 24 296 15 299 11 230 20683 18862 22 291 15 296 12 234 18862 17013 20 283 13 284 17 237 17013 15234 17 276 11 273 21 224 15234 13618 13 271 12 261 20 197 13618 12181 13 253 13*239 18 184 12181 10895 14 228 10*219 14 183 10895 9741 13 216 10 218 9 180 9741 8705 12 214 9 218 5 174 8705 7778 10*210 8 222 1 057 7778 6953 9*208 7 228 6 002 6953 6218 8 208 6 234 10 358 6218 5554 7 208 5 240 14 359 5554 4962 6 209 5 247 17 001 4962 4464 5 211 5 254 18 360 4464 4079 5 213 5 258 17 358 4079 3813 4 216 5 261 15 356 3813 3651 4 216 4 262 12 353 3651 3557 4 217 4 263 7*351 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography