DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 84.3 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 495 - - - - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2714 - - 5391 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5180 - - 7361 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6117 - - 8794 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1524 - - 3399 - - - - - 3269 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 418 - - 574 - - - - - 50 W* B/S - - - 67 - - 29 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 071 - - 333 - - - - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -14 - - - - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3223 - - -3327 - - - - - -5176 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9341 - - 12121 - - - - - 8736 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7307 - - -6049 - - - - - -9139 ODpotential blCL - - - 13424 - - 14843 - - - - - 12698 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 60 - - - - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 84.3 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.3 - - 43.1 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 81.2 - - - - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 43.1 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 495 - - - - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2714 - - 5391 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99741 36 110 28 122 34 111 99741 92202 28 119 24 110 26 104 92202 86381 25 127 17 117 21 109 86381 81548 26 110 21 129 18 099 81548 77380 20 097 26 128 10 086 77380 73699 11 115 24 112 8 126 73699 70380 10 149 12 125 8 106 70380 67337 4 107 11 132 5 158 67337 64513 6 254 9 230 8 141 64513 61772 12 228 16 232 9 259 61772 58918 11 232 19 233 20 253 58918 55969 20 250 28 236 26 246 55969 53148 28 245 32 236 27 245 53148 50598 33 243 33 243 29 253 50598 48308 37 244 36 247 37 259 48308 46234 37 245 41 246 41 255 46234 44351 36 249 42 246 37 260 44351 42639 36 252 41 247 36 265 42639 41068 35 253 36 252 31 264 41068 39609 35 256 31 268 25 264 39609 38241 37 246 34 283 23 265 38241 36924 38 240 36 286 24 263 36924 35594 37 236 37 285 25 263 35594 34221 36 235 36 283 28 261 34221 32809 35 236 34 280 30 254 32809 31344 35 237 33 277 34 251 31344 29815 35 239 33 278 37 250 29815 28223 34 240 34 275 38 250 28223 26569 32 240 35 267 37 258 26569 24859 29 237 35 259 32 264 24859 23096 28 235 34 245 29 260 23096 21274 28 234 34 239 29 251 21274 19388 27 235 34 235 32 243 19388 17476 26 235 33 233 34 234 17476 15639 26 233 33 232 33 225 15639 13968 26 232 31 227 31 218 13968 12474 25 231 25 217 24 209 12474 11138 23 230 19 211 16 214 11138 9941 21 230 16 214 9 233 9941 8869 18 227 10*219 4 270 8869 7911 14 218 7*227 8 350 7911 7059 10 205 4 242 12 353 7059 6300 5*191 3 323 15 348 6300 5615 2*155 5 351 18 343 5615 5005 1 104 6 355 20 342 5005 4493 1 067 7 358 20 343 4493 4096 2 046 7 358 20 343 4096 3822 2 039 7 359 19 343 3822 3655 2 035 7 359 17*343 3655 3559 2 037 7 000 12*344 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography