DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 75.5 - - 71.2 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 469 - - 338 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2387 - - 4477 - - 3164 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4915 - - 6615 - - 5486 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5790 - - 7880 - - 6567 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1183 - - 3050 - - 2614 - - 3036 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 392 - - 530 - - 423 - - 56 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 21 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 322 - - 341 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5164 - - -3945 - - -2812 - - -3446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10955 - - 11826 - - 9380 - - 7003 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10401 - - -7046 - - -5252 - - -9668 ODpotential blCL - - - 16191 - - 14926 - - 11819 - - 13225 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 82 - - 70 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 75.5 - - 71.2 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 35.7 - - 42.3 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 72.5 - - 69.0 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 35.7 - - 42.2 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 469 - - 338 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2387 - - 4477 - - 3164 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97730 11 181 5 233 2 360 4 121 97730 90319 14 152 9 168 5 131 8 152 90319 84657 12 129 8 147 5 099 9 137 84657 79972 9 141 4 138 1 120 10 081 79972 75926 9 149 3 190 1 229 6 051 75926 72346 2 116 3 186 2 300 3 007 72346 69101 4 328 3 287 7 317 7 337 69101 66115 7 267 10 282 14 308 7 308 66115 63344 3 258 9 231 12 291 7 302 63344 60648 12 294 9 240 19 264 15 266 60648 57832 20 263 19 263 28 263 25 262 57832 54927 26 251 31 256 34 264 33 261 54927 52162 31 258 38 252 41 258 41 257 52162 49670 40 265 44 252 48 254 49 255 49670 47441 52 266 51 258 51 256 52 255 47441 45434 63 265 60 265 58 262 57 259 45434 43622 71 263 72 265 71 263 68 262 43622 41973 73 259 78 260 78 261 78 262 41973 40446 72 258 76 258 80 261 79 262 40446 39016 72 260 74 259 77 262 74 261 39016 37670 72 258 74 258 73 261 69 262 37670 36374 71 256 74 255 71 259 68 262 36374 35061 69 255 73 253 71 257 69 263 35061 33706 66 254 70 254 71 256 70 262 33706 32311 64 255 67 254 71 255 68 262 32311 30866 62 255 64 254 69 254 66 261 30866 29360 59 254 63 254 65 253 63 259 29360 27796 54 253 61 252 61 254 58 257 27796 26174 50 252 58 250 57 254 52 257 26174 24496 48 249 56 246 55 253 48 256 24496 22764 47 245 54 243 52 251 47 255 22764 20971 46 241 53 240 50 249 46 254 20971 19111 43 237 50 238 47 247 44 253 19111 17218 40 235 47 237 44 245 41 252 17218 15394 37 235 43 237 40 242 37 250 15394 13734 35 235 40 237 35 235 33 247 13734 12255 32 236 35 234 28 227 29 247 12255 10935 29 235 26 229 20 227 25 249 10935 9757 25 235 20 232 14 242 20 253 9757 8706 21 235 14*241 11 267 16 268 8706 7771 16 235 10*256 11 309 15 291 7771 6942 10 239 8 271 14*327 16 318 6942 6207 3*276 7 314 16*334 18 338 6207 5545 4*338 8 339 21 340 19 345 5545 4956 5 342 9 343 22 341 19 348 4956 4460 5 344 9 347 23 342 19 348 4460 4077 5 345 9 349 23 343 18 348 4077 3812 5 346 9 350 22 343 17 348 3812 3651 5 346 9 350 21 344 15 348 3651 3557 5 346 8 350 17 344 11*349 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography