DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 85.7 - - - - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 468 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2857 - - 4603 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5278 - - 6715 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6260 - - 8006 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1267 - - 1805 - - - - - 4253 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 420 - - 535 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 85 - - 25 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 039 - - 004 - - - - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11562 - - -11640 - - - - - -11889 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17823 - - 19647 - - - - - 15448 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18431 - - -17719 - - - - - -16745 ODpotential blCL - - - 24691 - - 25725 - - - - - 20304 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 85 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 85.7 - - - - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.0 - - 10.7 - - - - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 82.7 - - - - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.4 - - 9.8 - - - - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 468 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2857 - - 4603 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 42 - - - - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99191 26 109 26 107 27 097 99191 91637 26 123 19 127 22 098 91637 85811 26 123 22 121 22 110 85811 80996 20 120 19 114 20 110 80996 76861 17 116 15 128 19 103 76861 73212 14 103 14 138 15 089 73212 69914 10 111 12 119 9 099 69914 66891 7 102 5 104 5 116 66891 64098 1 110 3 126 4 042 64098 61397 2 346 7 030 2 265 61397 58591 8 304 10 318 4 306 58591 55688 9 264 17 274 14 284 55688 52925 14 272 21 268 21 273 52925 50441 21 285 26 275 30 280 50441 48206 29 280 33 264 38 272 48206 46173 36 272 35 263 39 266 46173 44310 33 273 32 266 38 261 44310 42600 29 275 28 271 36 258 42600 41022 29 263 26 272 35 255 41022 39557 27 249 23 256 26 252 39557 38189 18 257 18 241 19 242 38189 36879 14 263 17 245 16 225 36879 35556 16 257 20 253 14 234 35556 34188 19 262 24 259 12 241 34188 32781 24 257 25 264 11 237 32781 31320 23 268 21 274 11 238 31320 29795 19 281 17 281 14 239 29795 28208 18 289 17 271 16 248 28208 26561 19 285 18 266 19 274 26561 24858 21 282 19 269 23 270 24858 23101 22 282 20 271 29 265 23101 21286 22 289 20 275 27 256 21286 19408 21 294 18 272 21 242 19408 17500 20 289 17 270 13 251 17500 15663 19 283 16 269 10 277 15663 13991 18 285 14 269 10 276 13991 12495 15 293 11 271 11 267 12495 11157 11 305 7 254 12 253 11157 9957 7 312 6 228 11 249 9957 8882 4 298 3*223 7 261 8882 7922 3 232 1*340 3 306 7922 7070 4 207 2 002 5 021 7070 6310 2*184 3 006 9 020 6310 5624 1*166 4 005 11 014 5624 5012 1 086 5 005 12 011 5012 4497 1 040 5 004 12 008 4497 4099 2 026 6 004 12 006 4099 3824 2 018 6 004 11 004 3824 3656 2 016 6 004 10*003 3656 3559 2 016 6 003 7*001 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography