DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.0 - - 44.0 - - 50.3 - - 46.8 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - -3 - - 11 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 820 - - 3558 - - 2265 - - 385 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 30 - - 58 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 142 - - 131 - - 171 - - 136 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -199 - - -1216 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3557 - - 3756 - - 4773 - - 3557 - - 3557 sfcLCL ODpotential -4954 - - -3297 - - -2379 - - -2112 - - -3256 ODpotential blCL 8511 - - 6854 - - 5936 - - 5669 - - 6813 blCL maxRH 91 - - 85 - - 91 - - 93 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.0 - - 44.0 - - 50.3 - - 46.8 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 39.8 - - 41.6 - - 43.4 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.3 - - 44.1 - - 50.0 - - 48.2 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.7 - - 39.0 - - 40.3 - - 42.6 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - -3 - - 11 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 40 - - 62 - - 70 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95910 28 344 20 343 31 315 42 342 18 334 95910 88980 17 350 17 335 16 335 26 328 22 343 88980 83552 12 355 13 347 15 348 14 331 16 315 83552 79010 12 001 12 357 11 340 17 346 14 317 79010 75063 8 325 8 006 6 347 9 323 11 314 75063 71534 4 282 3 312 9 335 7 301 10 282 71534 68329 5 278 8 261 11 300 6 317 7 272 68329 65370 6 275 6 268 7 274 11 301 11 281 65370 62616 11 282 14 275 14 262 15 275 14 277 62616 59942 11 289 16 261 11 264 9 271 10 264 59942 57141 12 296 12 261 8 262 14 260 16 250 57141 54221 28 268 19 257 23 258 28 259 19 262 54221 51429 35 257 29 248 35 243 37 248 32 255 51429 48924 35 249 33 239 35 235 39 240 37 243 48924 46684 32 245 31 241 35 239 39 241 36 241 46684 44650 34 246 32 246 38 247 43 244 39 242 44650 42783 32 249 31 253 45 249 48 244 46 240 42783 41066 32 261 49 259 50 251 53 241 56 234 41066 39488 50 265 58 254 60 251 66 237 65 231 39488 38036 69 257 57 252 70 245 77 234 70 228 38036 36693 72 252 54 253 72 242 84 234 71 227 36693 35415 70 260 57 256 72 243 86 233 71 226 35415 34130 71 266 62 258 71 245 81 231 70 224 34130 32807 71 268 67 259 69 246 76 230 70 224 32807 31449 72 269 66 259 66 245 73 231 71 224 31449 30042 68 269 63 257 60 244 70 232 73 224 30042 28576 57 270 55 255 54 243 66 235 73 223 28576 27052 47 265 43 248 51 242 60 238 69 223 27052 25474 43 260 43 245 48 242 54 240 62 223 25474 23845 37 258 40 244 46 241 51 240 55 222 23845 22168 31 256 35 242 46 239 48 237 48 220 22168 20438 27 252 31 236 42 236 45 232 44 215 20438 18647 22 245 30 227 35 232 41 225 41 214 18647 16825 19 237 29 222 32 227 38 218 39 216 16825 15070 18 233 26 221 30 221 36 214 38 220 15070 13470 18 234 25 220 28 214 33 212 38 223 13470 12043 19 239 26 219 25 211 31 211 40 223 12043 10768 22 243 26 220 22 217 31 211 41 220 10768 9628 26 246 25 224 21 226 31 211 41 215 9628 8609 31 247 25 231 20 230 30 210 40 209 8609 7699 33 249 24 237 20 226 28 207 38 201 7699 6891 34 249 23 240 18 221 26 201 36 193 6891 6169 33 247 22 237 15 215 23 192 31 186 6169 5516 30 244 21 232 11 205 21 182 29 179 5516 4934 25 239 16 226 9 190 19 173 29 172 4934 4444 18 234 10 209 7 180 17 166 26 165 4444 4066 11 226 7 170 7 175 15 158 21 159 4066 3806 7 197 9 143 6 172 12 149 14 152 3806 3647 6*155 8*136 6*171 9*142 11*149 3647 3557 5*142 6*131 5*171 5*136 6*144 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography