DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 73.0 - - 72.9 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 386 - - 138 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3505 - - 8251 - - 9166 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5656 - - 9555 - - 9593 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6908 - - 11654 - - 12569 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2875 - - 1844 - - 2401 - - 1859 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 403 - - 609 - - 448 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 16 - - 24 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 196 - - 268 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 11 - - 21 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7253 - - -3966 - - -2510 - - -6247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14161 - - 15621 - - 15080 - - 9805 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11301 - - -6756 - - -4779 - - -9602 ODpotential blCL - - - 18209 - - 18410 - - 17348 - - 13160 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 82 - - 79 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 73.0 - - 72.9 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.4 - - 16.0 - - 18.4 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 70.4 - - 71.5 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 15.9 - - 18.4 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 386 - - 138 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3505 - - 8251 - - 9166 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 30 - - 14 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96529 23 268 26 279 32 292 22 311 96529 89372 16 280 20 281 23 291 24 312 89372 83907 9 284 18 287 21 305 20 310 83907 79373 10 311 17 286 26 314 16 311 79373 75445 16 324 21 284 25 310 17 311 75445 71953 15 320 25 283 26 295 24 302 71953 68777 20 309 28 289 25 292 26 297 68777 65842 30 297 30 290 30 290 29 295 65842 63098 35 289 31 287 35 283 33 289 63098 60412 36 283 33 287 36 279 36 283 60412 57582 38 276 37 285 36 277 37 278 57582 54621 36 271 37 275 37 278 37 277 54621 51786 35 268 39 269 37 283 36 275 51786 49243 36 266 40 265 36 282 32 278 49243 46981 33 267 38 261 38 274 34 286 46981 44950 29 268 36 261 37 269 36 287 44950 43110 33 267 33 260 34 261 35 278 43110 41435 34 262 32 259 31 260 33 274 41435 39903 33 260 35 258 29 260 33 273 39903 38485 33 257 37 250 29 258 34 271 38485 37157 34 245 36 242 31 257 33 270 37157 35879 34 239 37 235 33 253 30 272 35879 34589 32 239 38 229 33 246 29 273 34589 33260 30 242 37 230 31 240 29 267 33260 31895 30 244 35 235 28 241 30 257 31895 30482 30 245 34 241 28 244 29 248 30482 29010 31 249 33 245 28 249 26 245 29010 27481 34 251 28 245 30 252 22 247 27481 25892 36 242 29 243 31 245 22 252 25892 24244 32 236 34 235 32 237 25 257 24244 22542 29 232 33 229 32 225 26 258 22542 20783 27 229 26 233 26 229 24 250 20783 18964 23 227 19 239 19 240 18 247 18964 17115 18 222 14 243 15 239 14 257 17115 15331 15 213 14 227 13 232 14 248 15331 13706 12 193 13 202 8*213 13 212 13706 12256 12 173 10*197 5*205 12 182 12256 10959 13 180 9*197 4 208 9 181 10959 9795 16 187 8 197 3 221 5 196 9795 8750 16 191 8 197 3 250 3 267 8750 7815 15 195 7 198 3 275 5 320 7815 6983 13*196 7 196 4 287 8 333 6983 6241 11*195 6 196 5 295 10 344 6241 5570 10 193 6 194 5 298 14 001 5570 4973 9 192 6 194 6 300 17 006 4973 4471 8 192 6 193 6 302 18 006 4471 4083 7 191 5 193 6 302 18 004 4083 3814 7 191 5 193 6 303 15 358 3814 3651 6 190 5 193 6 303 11*353 3651 3558 6 191 5 193 6 302 6*347 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography