DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.3 - - 41.1 - - 51.0 - - 45.0 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 110 - - 112 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 697 - - 1236 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 4100 - - 4639 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 209 - - 546 - - 4873 - - 2288 - - 1068 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 176 - - 215 - - 40 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 28 - - 16 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 302 - - 357 - - 341 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1953 - - -3179 - - -315 - - -225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 6053 - - 7818 - - 3872 - - 3782 sfcLCL ODpotential -6021 - - -5552 - - -4397 - - -1852 - - -3207 ODpotential blCL 9577 - - 9652 - - 9036 - - 5409 - - 6763 blCL maxRH 86 - - 83 - - 93 - - 95 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 26.3 - - 41.1 - - 51.0 - - 45.0 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.4 - - 27.1 - - 29.1 - - 40.2 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.1 - - 40.1 - - 49.9 - - 44.7 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 26.9 - - 29.0 - - 39.5 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 110 - - 112 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 697 - - 1236 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 31 - - 73 - - 78 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96530 18 336 9 325 15 323 15 335 19 323 96530 89616 15 041 14 015 6 029 12 018 12 007 89616 84156 8 038 13 056 4 017 9 026 15 038 84156 79565 4 095 8 057 6 033 7 038 13 036 79565 75578 7 060 1 027 6 360 3 017 8 011 75578 72043 9 349 1 300 6 299 2 349 8 315 72043 68830 7 280 2 325 6 273 3 323 4 282 68830 65846 6 276 2 331 2 234 7 269 2 282 65846 63053 10 277 3 355 3 176 11 262 8 310 63053 60336 9 298 4 336 2 231 11 260 11 310 60336 57497 7 314 7 309 4 306 9 282 12 301 57497 54538 8 279 11 300 10 293 14 281 14 286 54538 51700 12 267 15 303 12 290 13 279 14 277 51700 49139 12 258 16 289 14 278 14 299 13 280 49139 46843 10 248 22 278 19 276 18 303 12 295 46843 44763 12 251 24 261 23 278 20 293 14 305 44763 42860 18 253 21 247 25 267 22 279 19 305 42860 41102 23 244 22 232 28 251 25 262 21 295 41102 39468 28 234 24 228 28 242 24 248 19 278 39468 37946 34 230 27 231 29 232 23 239 19 264 37946 36527 43 227 33 226 35 225 24 240 17 252 36527 35177 48 220 39 225 38 221 28 234 15 253 35177 33829 53 223 48 228 45 223 32 225 18 250 33829 32461 66 224 65 224 55 219 38 222 23 233 32461 31082 69 219 69 219 60 217 46 221 33 226 31082 29683 66 218 67 215 60 215 51 215 50 211 29683 28246 61 217 64 214 57 214 49 210 51 205 28246 26759 56 217 58 213 53 213 45 204 48 203 26759 25217 49 216 48 213 49 211 39 202 50 201 25217 23619 38 215 41 213 41 210 32 204 48 198 23619 21967 31 223 40 210 33 209 29 206 43 196 21967 20256 31 225 35 201 28 212 33 208 37 190 20256 18479 30 223 29 197 29 213 39 208 33 182 18479 16672 29 219 28 205 30 209 39 209 33 192 16672 14935 27 214 25 210 28 203 28 212 32 213 14935 13357 25 208 23 210 25 202 20 215 23 227 13357 11952 22 202 23 205 23 203 18 214 11 220 11952 10696 19 198 21 200 21 205 16 209 8 195 10696 9568 17 195 20 197 19 205 14 202 8 174 9568 8558 15 194 20 196 16 201 12 198 9 148 8558 7654 14 193 20 196 13 197 10 198 7 133 7654 6851 12 190 19 197 11 193 8 203 5 114 6851 6135 10 182 17 196 9 191 6 218 3 065 6135 5488 8 168 15 192 7 188 4 247 5 018 5488 4913 5 150 10 188 3*184 4 295 10 014 4913 4430 2 141 5*186 2*000 6 326 11 357 4430 4059 1 191 1*276 2 357 7 337 11 330 4059 3802 2 231 1 305 3 357 7 339 10 313 3802 3646 3*189 1 309 3 356 7*340 8 307 3646 3556 3*179 1 309 3 354 6*341 5*302 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography