DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.4 - - 36.7 - - 41.8 - - 40.6 - - 32.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 186 - - 390 - - 180 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 3565 - - 4485 - - 4191 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 5547 - - 6556 - - 5999 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3555 - - 6968 - - 7888 - - 7594 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1532 - - 1416 - - 1085 - - 1439 - - 4160 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 360 - - 498 - - 377 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 310 - - 303 - - 313 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -244 - - 767 - - -102 - - -30 - - -2068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3799 - - 6201 - - 7990 - - 7624 - - 5624 sfcLCL ODpotential -2867 - - 503 - - -5014 - - -798 - - -3501 ODpotential blCL 6422 - - 6465 - - 12902 - - 8392 - - 7057 blCL maxRH 87 - - 100 - - 80 - - 87 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.4 - - 36.7 - - 41.8 - - 40.6 - - 32.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 22.1 - - 19.1 - - 19.6 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.6 - - 35.3 - - 39.4 - - 39.3 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 22.1 - - 19.1 - - 19.6 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 186 - - 390 - - 180 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 3565 - - 4485 - - 4191 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 100 - - 21 - - 47 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96299 11 068 15 084 11 114 8 098 11 100 96299 89173 16 060 14 096 7 141 4 089 13 067 89173 83655 9 067 13 116 6 170 2 316 11 023 83655 79052 13 025 8 151 8 191 4 289 4 004 79052 75050 12 330 6 068 5 207 12 315 13 327 75050 71489 11 295 11 288 13 275 12 303 13 305 71489 68264 26 319 20 315 5 252 3 352 18 340 68264 65285 27 300 29 296 26 303 29 305 33 288 65285 62519 24 278 27 285 32 282 35 291 32 286 62519 59823 21 266 21 282 31 284 34 293 33 294 59823 56988 30 292 24 288 35 279 39 287 35 289 56988 54032 47 292 34 290 37 278 42 282 38 289 54032 51202 57 287 48 287 42 285 46 282 47 287 51202 48649 61 278 58 281 54 286 56 284 54 287 48649 46364 53 273 61 275 63 279 64 286 62 291 46364 44304 47 282 60 276 66 277 69 286 72 289 44304 42435 55 292 63 282 69 281 75 288 75 286 42435 40724 70 293 73 289 75 287 88 292 83 295 40724 39149 87 292 85 292 95 289 103 290 103 297 39149 37693 94 289 97 290 103 283 104 288 113 291 37693 36337 90 296 96 288 99 285 107 291 110 291 36337 35048 100 303 94 290 99 291 115 296 113 298 35048 33762 102 300 95 291 101 290 118 295 123 302 33762 32448 100 298 96 290 101 288 116 292 129 300 32448 31099 98 297 97 290 105 288 114 289 128 299 31099 29701 96 295 98 291 106 288 112 288 126 297 29701 28240 93 294 96 290 102 288 109 288 122 295 28240 26721 89 293 93 286 96 287 104 289 118 293 26721 25144 86 292 92 284 92 284 99 289 113 291 25144 23513 85 291 90 285 90 283 95 289 109 290 23513 21833 83 291 86 288 86 285 91 289 104 291 21833 20099 82 292 82 291 82 289 85 288 96 291 20099 18307 79 293 75 292 77 291 79 285 84 288 18307 16493 72 292 68 290 70 290 72 282 75 282 16493 14751 65 289 61 289 63 287 64 279 68 277 14751 13170 59 288 55 291 56 287 54 275 59 275 13170 11768 53 291 48 295 47 288 44 273 47 274 11768 10525 45 294 41 297 37 291 33 269 35 275 10525 9418 36 295 32 296 26 288 22 268 26 276 9418 8433 27 296 22 298 15*286 15*280 21 278 8433 7554 18 298 15*301 14*289 15*295 18 281 7554 6774 12 298 14*302 13 293 15 300 17 285 6774 6077 9 294 12 307 13 300 16 313 17 292 6077 5448 9 306 11 309 13 304 17 317 16 300 5448 4887 11 330 11 311 13 308 17 320 16 309 4887 4415 15 341 11 313 13 311 17 321 16 318 4415 4050 14 346 10 313 12 313 17 322 15 324 4050 3798 11 352 10 314 12 314 16 322 13 326 3798 3644 7 357 9 315 11 315 15 323 11*327 3644 3556 4*358 8 315 10 316 13 324 7*327 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography