DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 87.3 - - 87.1 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 447 - - 209 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5413 - - 9176 - - 8991 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7227 - - 10379 - - 9779 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8816 - - 12579 - - 12394 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2289 - - 1710 - - 2330 - - 2090 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 505 - - 662 - - 511 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 230 - - 254 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 6 - - 18 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2484 - - -3295 - - -3380 - - -6074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11300 - - 15875 - - 15775 - - 9633 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6282 - - -6218 - - -6125 - - -10652 ODpotential blCL - - - 15098 - - 18797 - - 18519 - - 14211 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 75 - - 78 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 87.3 - - 87.1 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 29.2 - - 29.6 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.7 - - 84.4 - - 85.3 - - 73.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 29.1 - - 29.6 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 447 - - 209 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5413 - - 9176 - - 8991 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 2 - - 12 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99320 9 131 9 113 10 096 14 105 99320 91867 10 115 8 126 7 087 13 071 91867 86108 7 119 8 098 4 140 13 044 86108 81321 7 112 6 100 4 121 8 053 81321 77198 8 078 5 112 4 140 4 080 77198 73548 5 062 7 098 5 095 7 103 73548 70239 5 077 6 136 2 021 5 086 70239 67194 3 142 3 096 3 071 6 093 67194 64374 13 149 9 193 5 215 5 216 64374 61641 8 228 6 194 5 180 5 186 61641 58781 17 198 20 212 21 230 16 252 58781 55813 21 240 26 235 27 237 26 242 55813 52987 35 241 36 239 34 241 33 241 52987 50459 41 237 41 241 38 244 39 242 50459 48207 41 237 44 240 43 246 44 242 48207 46169 41 237 45 237 48 244 48 243 46169 44302 41 238 45 236 53 241 53 244 44302 42578 43 240 48 236 57 239 59 244 42578 40977 48 241 51 236 60 238 63 241 40977 39490 52 235 54 234 64 238 69 240 39490 38107 53 234 58 233 68 239 74 241 38107 36790 51 235 60 233 70 239 78 241 36790 35467 50 235 61 233 68 239 78 239 35467 34103 49 235 59 234 65 238 73 237 34103 32701 47 235 56 234 63 238 68 236 32701 31247 45 236 55 233 64 239 64 233 31247 29730 43 235 54 233 65 240 61 231 29730 28151 40 231 51 234 63 240 60 233 28151 26512 38 228 48 234 61 240 57 237 26512 24816 39 225 45 234 59 241 54 239 24816 23067 39 225 44 235 57 240 53 238 23067 21259 39 226 43 236 52 240 50 233 21259 19387 37 226 41 237 45 240 45 227 19387 17483 34 225 39 234 39 239 39 224 17483 15647 31 225 35 229 31 228 35 224 15647 13975 28 224 28*223 21 211 31 219 13975 12482 25 223 18*217 13*205 24 204 12482 11147 22 222 15 218 12*208 18 187 11147 9950 18 222 14 219 10 218 14 188 9950 8876 15*222 13 224 9 238 9 206 8876 7917 13*223 12 230 9 252 6 238 7917 7064 12 226 12 235 9 264 4 283 7064 6303 10 229 12 239 9 272 6 326 6303 5616 9 234 11 243 9 277 10 339 5616 5004 8 237 11 246 10 281 15 345 5004 4492 8 241 11 249 10 284 17 350 4492 4095 7 243 11 250 10 285 17 353 4095 3821 7 246 10 251 10 286 15 356 3821 3655 7 247 10 252 9 286 13*357 3655 3559 6 247 9 252 9 287 9*359 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography