DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 73.4 - - 74.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 506 - - 287 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3600 - - 5894 - - 5638 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5895 - - 7774 - - 7333 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7003 - - 9297 - - 9041 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1468 - - 1742 - - 2437 - - 3443 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 477 - - 596 - - 486 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 311 - - 318 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - 10 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2867 - - -4144 - - -4309 - - -5414 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9871 - - 13442 - - 13350 - - 8972 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9197 - - -9437 - - -9339 - - -11615 ODpotential blCL - - - 16200 - - 18734 - - 18380 - - 15173 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 74 - - 54 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 73.4 - - 74.3 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 26.4 - - 27.8 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 70.3 - - 72.3 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 26.3 - - 27.8 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 506 - - 287 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3600 - - 5894 - - 5638 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97802 17 237 14 293 8 266 2 261 97802 90370 13 221 13 248 1 281 4 197 90370 84677 9 184 11 223 5 290 3 095 84677 79955 3 133 4 173 9 263 6 358 79955 75877 3 163 2 155 6 260 7 351 75877 72269 4 077 2 339 3 326 7 342 72269 68999 2 304 3 329 6 352 7 025 68999 65991 3 337 7 280 8 310 10 331 65991 63204 9 342 2 019 5 015 7 300 63204 60509 21 313 18 327 20 349 14 328 60509 57701 14 311 18 304 26 317 18 326 57701 54792 15 333 14 306 24 302 21 320 54792 52029 25 321 21 321 22 304 25 314 52029 49565 31 312 26 319 23 311 29 307 49565 47389 36 306 33 311 27 311 32 307 47389 45448 38 304 39 306 33 308 33 309 45448 43688 39 316 43 314 36 311 35 309 43688 42069 44 322 46 316 37 308 38 307 42069 40559 45 323 45 317 37 303 37 301 40559 39138 42 321 42 316 39 302 37 297 39138 37793 39 317 39 313 40 303 37 295 37793 36494 37 314 37 310 39 302 36 296 36494 35178 35 314 35 307 37 300 35 298 35178 33820 33 316 33 306 36 301 34 299 33820 32423 32 317 32 307 36 305 33 298 32423 30974 33 317 31 309 34 306 34 299 30974 29461 34 315 30 313 31 304 33 300 29461 27889 36 313 29 316 29 304 30 300 27889 26256 36 315 27 318 27 306 26 299 26256 24568 35 318 25 317 26 308 23 297 24568 22824 34 319 24 316 24 309 22 293 22824 21021 34 316 25 315 23 309 23 295 21021 19150 34 312 26 312 23 309 25 300 19150 17249 33 307 29 308 26 308 27 304 17249 15422 33 301 30 303 27 305 26 305 15422 13761 31 298 30 299 26 300 24 302 13761 12285 28 299 28 296 22 291 21 298 12285 10972 24 301 22 288 17 281 17 292 10972 9800 21 302 15*286 15*282 15 286 9800 8752 18 299 13*289 14*288 14 284 8752 7816 14*296 12 292 14 298 13 284 7816 6983 9*300 11 302 14 310 12 291 6983 6241 7 309 10 313 15 321 12 306 6241 5571 7 319 10 320 15 326 12 324 5571 4974 7 325 10 325 16 328 14 337 4974 4472 7 330 10 329 16 330 14 343 4472 4084 7 334 9 332 16 332 14 346 4084 3815 6 337 9 333 16 332 13 348 3815 3652 6 337 9 333 15 333 12*349 3652 3558 6 338 8 334 13 333 8*350 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography