DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 54.7 - - 54.6 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 529 - - 281 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4195 - - 7257 - - 7203 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6358 - - 8896 - - 8553 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7598 - - 10660 - - 10606 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1689 - - 1472 - - 2207 - - 6361 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 501 - - 649 - - 524 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 17 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 030 - - 010 - - 003 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4683 - - -3497 - - -3053 - - -7605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12281 - - 14157 - - 13659 - - 11163 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8762 - - -6128 - - -5426 - - -11463 ODpotential blCL - - - 16360 - - 16788 - - 16032 - - 15020 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 55 - - 43 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 54.7 - - 54.6 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.2 - - 4.0 - - 6.2 - - 9.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 51.7 - - 52.6 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.1 - - 3.8 - - 6.2 - - 9.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 529 - - 281 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4195 - - 7257 - - 7203 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97143 13 300 20 282 18 310 15 291 97143 89812 10 270 14 268 13 286 13 320 89812 84202 8 257 12 280 7 280 12 306 84202 79534 9 232 15 279 8 271 11 294 79534 75493 6 248 9 265 9 243 10 283 75493 71904 6 255 8 243 10 234 10 274 71904 68630 5 222 11 244 13 243 13 262 68630 65608 5 248 10 259 8 257 12 254 65608 62794 13 266 12 260 12 285 8 262 62794 60052 13 269 14 246 18 276 10 296 60052 57182 13 292 11 242 17 261 14 292 57182 54195 18 280 10 289 12 265 14 275 54195 51331 21 268 19 290 14 281 13 265 51331 48747 19 274 22 275 22 287 17 296 48747 46441 17 289 21 272 24 278 19 295 46441 44361 16 304 20 285 19 266 18 286 44361 42466 19 309 19 298 13 278 17 286 42466 40729 23 300 20 302 13 306 15 297 40729 39124 24 294 21 296 18 307 13 306 39124 37627 19 292 21 286 19 306 14 316 37627 36230 20 314 18 301 18 307 15 323 36230 34902 27 322 18 309 18 302 20 330 34902 33585 31 324 20 304 18 304 20 320 33585 32250 37 318 23 297 17 306 14 352 32250 30899 44 311 26 294 13 312 22 012 30899 29515 48 306 31 292 11 358 26 007 29515 28078 48 303 35 288 14 011 25 007 28078 26588 46 303 38 286 14 006 24 012 26588 25044 42 301 36 284 12 355 23 017 25044 23446 40 298 33 286 10 344 21 017 23446 21797 37 296 30 291 11 332 18 010 21797 20094 32 298 26 298 13 317 15 359 20094 18333 23 300 21 297 15 298 12 336 18333 16548 15 310 16 289 15 280 12 311 16548 14833 13 330 11 294 14 272 14 304 14833 13275 13 345 8 317 11 267 15 294 13275 11885 13 356 5*357 4 292 13 283 11885 10644 10 009 6*016 5*000 7 298 10644 9533 8 030 6 016 6*002 5 359 9533 8537 5 046 6 015 6 003 7 011 8537 7645 4*042 7 014 9 004 11 017 7645 6850 4*038 7 012 11 004 14 017 6850 6139 5 035 7 009 11 003 15 016 6139 5496 5 032 8 006 12 003 16 015 5496 4922 5 029 8 004 12 002 17 014 4922 4438 5 027 8 004 12 002 17 013 4438 4064 5 025 8 002 12 001 16 011 4064 3805 5 024 8 002 12 001 14 009 3805 3647 5 022 7 001 11 001 11*007 3647 3557 5 023 7 002 10 001 7*004 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography