DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 49.9 - - 50.0 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 172 - - 32 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 3096 - - 3712 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 5177 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 6499 - - 7115 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1788 - - 2668 - - 2250 - - 2145 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 70 - - 337 - - 205 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 17 - - 8 - - 5 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 279 - - 280 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1276 - - -966 - - -638 - - -864 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4832 - - 7466 - - 7753 - - 4420 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3813 - - -2961 - - -2391 - - -4458 ODpotential blCL - - - 7369 - - 9460 - - 9506 - - 8014 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 76 - - 76 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 49.9 - - 50.0 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 29.8 - - 28.6 - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 48.6 - - 49.5 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 29.2 - - 28.4 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 172 - - 32 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 3096 - - 3712 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96932 34 091 35 083 30 083 29 082 96932 89778 33 091 27 071 22 087 24 075 89778 84209 23 085 19 073 18 080 19 085 84209 79565 13 095 10 081 11 073 16 090 79565 75529 7 065 10 082 3 106 8 058 75529 71939 7 028 5 074 1 006 6 056 71939 68677 8 014 3 026 4 279 5 353 68677 65674 11 333 6 309 7 298 6 293 65674 62873 10 305 10 288 10 297 8 297 62873 60148 10 284 17 280 18 296 16 299 60148 57314 15 290 17 270 14 280 15 287 57314 54374 12 296 16 294 15 310 19 306 54374 51571 13 330 17 301 20 308 20 293 51571 49049 15 333 14 312 18 317 16 304 49049 46779 13 342 16 312 23 318 19 299 46779 44710 17 342 16 312 24 298 22 301 44710 42817 17 341 22 318 22 299 30 300 42817 41092 17 345 22 314 26 308 26 298 41092 39518 17 000 15 313 19 306 20 314 39518 38069 23 001 15 341 17 320 27 318 38069 36729 23 347 20 340 20 326 31 308 36729 35458 21 347 24 335 22 331 28 304 35458 34179 20 354 22 330 20 319 22 300 34179 32864 20 005 13 331 20 312 16 287 32864 31515 18 003 11 336 18 309 13 294 31515 30116 17 348 14 337 16 304 15 303 30116 28654 14 343 14 338 13 295 17 306 28654 27132 9 041 12 333 13 292 18 311 27132 25550 13 087 13 332 13 295 19 318 25550 23911 12 019 10 334 15 303 18 322 23911 22218 14 013 9 327 16 297 21 333 22218 20466 15 012 11 329 17 298 23 348 20466 18653 13 025 12 323 18 308 24 356 18653 16814 9 024 12 324 18 327 21 358 16814 15049 6 353 12 336 17 350 15 357 15049 13444 5 331 14 331 14 003 12 003 13444 12013 6 332 12 314 11 355 12 008 12013 10735 8 327 10 296 7 315 10 015 10735 9594 9 319 9 286 7 275 7 332 9594 8575 8 311 8 279 5 258 7 277 8575 7668 6 298 7 279 4*267 6 241 7668 6863 4 281 5*279 4*274 3 220 6863 6146 2 272 4*276 4 278 3 252 6146 5499 1 338 4 278 5 280 4 271 5499 4921 2 303 4 278 5 281 5 276 4921 4437 6 271 4 280 5 282 4 287 4437 4063 9 250 3 282 5 282 3 315 4063 3804 6 245 3 282 5 281 3 343 3804 3647 5 242 3 283 5 281 2 003 3647 3556 4*242 3 284 5 281 1*357 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography