DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 38.2 - - 36.5 - - 30.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 160 - - 83 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2739 - - 2778 - - 2783 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4930 - - 4506 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6142 - - 6181 - - 6186 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3346 - - 2212 - - 3473 - - 5414 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 321 - - 257 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 22 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 258 - - 257 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - -3 - - 15 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1097 - - 749 - - -757 - - -1312 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5045 - - 5432 - - 6944 - - 4868 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -791 - - -738 - - -2287 - - -2278 ODpotential blCL - - - 6933 - - 6919 - - 8473 - - 5834 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 90 - - 74 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 38.2 - - 36.5 - - 30.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.2 - - 26.4 - - 18.1 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 37.1 - - 35.8 - - 30.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 25.6 - - 17.7 - - 20.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 160 - - 83 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2739 - - 2778 - - 2783 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 60 - - 0 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96963 23 118 23 092 18 112 13 096 96963 89773 19 116 15 103 11 105 15 096 89773 84142 16 098 9 109 9 105 17 081 84142 79431 10 107 9 129 4 120 11 078 79431 75364 7 106 7 135 4 166 9 087 75364 71742 1 164 7 194 6 193 3 139 71742 68442 8 253 5 225 3 237 4 194 68442 65387 10 250 13 230 15 228 8 257 65387 62517 15 237 18 230 17 228 19 236 62517 59724 19 224 18 241 12 261 20 244 59724 56803 12 216 19 241 18 256 18 254 56803 53748 16 240 24 235 25 243 19 258 53748 50806 25 239 27 236 25 243 23 256 50806 48154 23 238 24 248 20 255 24 252 48154 45794 22 247 24 254 21 267 20 248 45794 43677 29 252 29 250 26 259 17 254 43677 41752 37 250 33 242 30 250 20 256 41752 39980 44 240 37 238 33 247 25 251 39980 38336 48 229 41 241 35 246 30 248 38336 36807 49 229 48 243 38 244 35 245 36807 35382 52 235 54 237 41 245 37 241 35382 34025 56 237 56 232 49 247 39 241 34025 32678 60 231 58 232 59 243 48 239 32678 31321 60 224 61 233 77 232 60 230 31321 29964 61 223 70 233 99 225 76 224 29964 28596 71 224 87 230 111 218 100 214 28596 27192 85 221 103 228 108 215 95 207 27192 25737 91 221 112 225 105 219 95 205 25737 24228 88 220 114 225 100 223 90 211 24228 22672 83 218 107 230 95 225 81 217 22672 21074 82 219 88 239 86 230 68 217 21074 19434 77 224 62 236 68 231 58 215 19434 17744 61 225 49 232 51 228 50 217 17744 16030 49 220 50 232 43 227 45 224 16030 14381 47 214 48 229 40 231 42 231 14381 12880 47 216 46 231 38 236 40 235 12880 11544 48 226 44 233 36 241 36 241 11544 10356 47 237 41 235 32 245 28 251 10356 9293 45 246 36 238 28 251 22 263 9293 8339 42 249 31 243 26 257 21 270 8339 7484 40 248 28 250 25 259 21 275 7484 6722 38*248 26*255 23*260 19 278 6722 6041 36*246 24*258 21*259 16 280 6041 5424 33 245 24 258 20 258 13 285 5424 4872 30 243 23 258 19 257 11 292 4872 4406 28 243 23 258 18 257 9 305 4406 4045 25 242 22 258 17 256 9 316 4045 3796 23 242 20 258 16 256 8 321 3796 3643 20 241 19 258 15 256 7*320 3643 3556 16 242 15 258 12 256 5*318 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography