DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 66.4 - - 65.2 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 150 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 361 - - 2356 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4576 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3764 - - 5759 - - 3558 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 552 - - 1247 - - 3583 - - 265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 99 - - 293 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 182 - - 185 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8530 - - -9173 - - -11077 - - -7409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12295 - - 14933 - - 14636 - - 10967 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17811 - - -15920 - - -17513 - - -17634 ODpotential blCL - - - 21575 - - 21679 - - 21071 - - 21191 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 76 - - 67 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 66.4 - - 65.2 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.1 - - 13.7 - - 14.0 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 64.9 - - 65.3 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.9 - - 13.3 - - 13.5 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 150 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 361 - - 2356 - - 155 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96015 31 304 26 328 31 344 19 351 96015 89178 24 005 22 350 19 356 14 020 89178 83817 20 014 21 347 20 019 9 054 83817 79316 12 037 15 360 16 016 11 052 79316 75405 14 034 13 360 11 013 13 027 75405 71924 13 012 9 008 5 002 12 001 71924 68768 9 004 13 012 9 073 3 052 68768 65869 6 009 13 338 14 025 11 095 65869 63192 7 047 5 300 11 336 7 062 63192 60620 18 035 9 076 5 279 4 288 60620 57935 22 004 10 040 2 311 7 233 57935 55132 21 327 12 332 6 301 7 232 55132 52436 6 318 11 275 20 284 18 270 52436 49988 7 033 12 304 18 274 18 264 49988 47779 19 358 17 335 10 292 6 251 47779 45764 27 349 15 343 7 317 3 176 45764 43911 23 323 9 308 8 262 2 202 43911 42223 14 231 15 232 17 221 9 190 42223 40692 21 216 17 222 20 208 23 196 40692 39272 20 202 14 218 24 207 27 198 39272 37932 20 206 14 205 21 211 25 198 37932 36634 20 221 16 205 17 206 25 202 36634 35317 23 232 17 221 17 201 25 205 35317 33956 24 239 17 229 18 201 26 203 33956 32556 24 246 17 229 19 209 27 204 32556 31104 24 248 20 224 20 221 27 211 31104 29589 26 261 24 225 21 226 27 219 29589 28015 30 267 26 229 24 228 26 222 28015 26379 31 260 27 230 27 228 28 226 26379 24682 29 250 26 232 28 229 26 230 24682 22928 27 240 25 232 26 234 20 236 22928 21115 24 245 22 232 21 242 16 246 21115 19241 24 270 16 244 15 251 13 261 19241 17339 24 284 12 277 10 269 10 280 17339 15507 20 287 11 282 9 276 5 290 15507 13837 13 276 9 264 8 259 2 255 13837 12346 11 235 10 229 7 220 3 199 12346 11013 14 209 13 200 10 191 8 170 11013 9821 16 189 13 195 11 190 9 179 9821 8755 15 183 13 198 12 197 10 197 8755 7807 15 183 15 199 14 195 15 202 7807 6968 16 183 15 197 16 186 19 194 6968 6224 16 185 13*191 16 180 20 184 6224 5554 16 187 11*185 15 179 19 173 5554 4959 16 186 11 182 14 180 17 165 4959 4460 16 180 10 181 13 182 16 157 4460 4075 15 174 10 180 12 183 13 154 4075 3810 12*165 9 180 11 183 8 154 3810 3649 10*163 8 180 10*185 6 154 3649 3557 7 161 7 180 7*185 5*157 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography