DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 58.4 - - - - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 216 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 5155 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 6841 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 8558 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3394 - - 2595 - - - - - 3007 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 56 - - 435 - - - - - 48 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 216 - - - - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -418 - - 844 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3975 - - 7714 - - - - - 3557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1710 - - 87 - - - - - -845 ODpotential blCL - - - 5267 - - 8471 - - - - - 4402 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 80 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 58.4 - - - - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 36.6 - - - - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 56.6 - - - - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 35.6 - - - - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 216 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 5155 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 76 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96984 17 284 20 289 26 293 96984 89752 14 284 32 281 16 293 89752 84197 16 249 22 281 14 321 84197 79550 19 265 12 277 18 290 79550 75533 9 275 3 218 27 264 75533 71987 13 286 6 262 19 259 71987 68761 19 260 13 293 16 266 68761 65769 14 233 22 259 18 230 65769 62989 16 251 25 257 13 228 62989 60279 25 228 28 247 15 265 60279 57425 19 211 26 224 23 249 57425 54453 10 207 19 215 21 227 54453 51610 8 263 12 237 16 230 51610 49044 18 236 17 241 20 221 49044 46749 27 223 18 226 17 205 46749 44664 36 209 30 210 16 221 44664 42747 43 190 40 191 25 217 42747 40979 45 189 44 189 36 206 40979 39348 59 188 57 188 37 195 39348 37842 67 186 69 183 36 190 37842 36446 78 192 79 179 39 181 36446 35122 87 191 82 179 43 177 35122 33809 92 188 87 181 55 178 33809 32486 94 186 93 182 73 163 32486 31147 93 185 96 182 76 146 31147 29766 92 185 95 183 73 148 29766 28323 90 186 88 185 73 153 28323 26820 85 187 78 185 71 156 26820 25256 79 187 68 183 66 157 25256 23636 71 191 60 182 58 157 23636 21963 60 193 56 173 47 152 21963 20236 53 188 56 167 35 150 20236 18453 51 185 50 162 26 174 18453 16650 48 180 36 156 27 205 16650 14918 45 177 27 166 19 221 14918 13341 43 176 20 179 12 209 13341 11933 39 169 17 192 10 210 11933 10674 34 158 14 205 9 245 10674 9548 29 151 13 214 10 287 9548 8540 24 150 13*216 12 318 8540 7640 17 153 13*217 15 330 7640 6841 11 165 13 218 19 332 6841 6130 6 190 13 217 21 330 6130 5488 5 241 13 216 21 330 5488 4916 7 279 12 216 21 330 4916 4434 8 287 12 215 19 331 4434 4062 8 292 12 215 18 332 4062 3804 8 295 12 215 16 332 3804 3647 8*296 11 214 13*333 3647 3557 7*297 10 215 10*333 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography