DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.8 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 464 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8002 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 9441 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 11405 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1877 - - - - - 3062 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 640 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 251 - - - - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 18 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1488 - - - - - -6091 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 12893 - - - - - 9649 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3645 - - - - - -11083 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15050 - - - - - 14641 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 58 - - - - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.8 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.1 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.9 - - - - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.1 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 464 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8002 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99269 12 083 7 097 99269 91786 10 076 6 104 91786 86004 7 102 11 071 86004 81209 9 076 13 059 81209 77085 8 113 10 061 77085 73436 7 112 10 051 73436 70134 3 140 7 015 70134 67095 6 113 6 058 67095 64275 3 250 4 210 64275 61549 6 228 7 176 61549 58700 18 259 16 248 58700 55725 36 245 28 249 55725 52895 42 239 39 254 52895 50365 40 239 45 250 50365 48106 43 244 48 247 48106 46058 50 246 52 247 46058 44184 54 247 54 247 44184 42460 56 246 57 247 42460 40863 58 242 59 247 40863 39378 58 239 60 246 39378 37991 53 240 59 245 37991 36666 50 243 56 244 36666 35334 48 244 52 245 35334 33965 47 244 49 246 33965 32561 47 243 47 246 32561 31106 48 242 47 247 31106 29589 49 240 48 247 29589 28012 52 239 48 248 28012 26376 54 240 46 249 26376 24683 55 241 42 252 24683 22940 53 242 40 251 22940 21140 49 243 40 249 21140 19275 46 243 39 246 19275 17379 42 243 37 242 17379 15553 39 242 36 238 15553 13889 35 239 35 234 13889 12403 27*233 32 227 12403 11074 17*231 26 220 11074 9882 15 235 20 221 9882 8816 14 239 13 236 8816 7865 12 250 8 263 7865 7020 12 256 8 316 7020 6268 11 261 12 345 6268 5591 11 266 16 353 5591 4988 10 270 19 356 4988 4481 10 275 19 357 4481 4089 10 277 19 357 4089 3818 9 278 17 358 3818 3653 9 279 15 358 3653 3558 9 279 10*359 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography