DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 76.3 - - 76.7 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 528 - - 297 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5477 - - 8671 - - 8335 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7370 - - 10049 - - 9484 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8880 - - 12074 - - 11738 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2122 - - 1535 - - 2286 - - 8001 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 547 - - 688 - - 561 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 125 - - 34 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 342 - - 348 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - -13 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4847 - - -3095 - - -3605 - - -9573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13728 - - 15170 - - 15344 - - 13132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8713 - - -6305 - - -6648 - - -13488 ODpotential blCL - - - 17593 - - 18379 - - 18386 - - 17046 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 60 - - 61 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 76.3 - - 76.7 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.1 - - 21.1 - - 20.9 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 73.1 - - 74.5 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 21.1 - - 20.8 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 528 - - 297 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5477 - - 8671 - - 8335 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98331 13 128 16 112 11 108 13 102 98331 90890 15 121 9 143 10 097 14 110 90890 85141 10 114 6 169 5 094 8 078 85141 80360 3 132 6 144 4 137 5 053 80360 76243 5 162 4 122 7 134 0 307 76243 72606 5 133 4 132 2 126 5 085 72606 69309 5 167 1 070 3 162 3 099 69309 66265 8 135 4 255 2 313 3 093 66265 63438 5 350 4 088 2 295 4 320 63438 60713 6 344 7 041 2 299 7 312 60713 57882 11 341 10 340 5 326 6 296 57882 54945 15 333 12 312 13 324 11 324 54945 52149 17 337 17 322 16 325 16 330 52149 49651 28 339 29 321 27 323 28 326 49651 47433 30 340 32 324 28 329 27 320 47433 45440 39 347 40 336 41 337 35 330 45440 43632 49 335 46 325 47 328 44 323 43632 41978 43 344 48 333 52 333 50 324 41978 40449 53 349 54 339 53 333 50 324 40449 39013 56 347 56 340 50 332 48 326 39013 37658 55 347 55 341 49 332 47 327 37658 36348 53 348 54 343 48 332 46 325 36348 35023 52 346 53 344 47 332 47 322 35023 33656 51 343 51 343 46 332 47 320 33656 32251 49 340 47 340 45 331 45 320 32251 30798 45 336 45 337 41 332 41 322 30798 29286 41 332 43 335 38 329 36 325 29286 27716 41 332 42 336 37 327 34 324 27716 26089 38 340 41 337 34 332 31 326 26089 24409 31 340 34 341 27 336 24 327 24409 22680 26 335 28 337 23 331 21 319 22680 20895 22 333 25 330 21 326 19 317 20895 19051 19 332 20 320 16 317 16 314 19051 17184 16 330 15 310 15 303 16 301 17184 15389 13 321 11 296 14 282 17 280 15389 13756 11 309 9 277 11 255 18 255 13756 12300 10 300 4*267 7*269 13 251 12300 11000 8 296 4*271 6*278 7 270 11000 9833 5*281 3 281 5 289 6 319 9833 8786 2*227 3 303 5 311 7 339 8786 7848 2 195 3 337 7 347 8 352 7848 7013 1 173 4 349 8 359 10 003 7013 6267 1 144 5 356 9 003 12 011 6267 5592 1 112 5 360 10 006 13 014 5592 4989 1 088 6 002 10 007 14 014 4989 4482 2 073 6 004 10 008 14 014 4482 4090 2 066 6 005 11 008 14 014 4090 3819 2 063 6 005 10 009 12 013 3819 3653 2 060 6 005 10 009 10 012 3653 3558 2 061 6 006 9 009 7*011 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography