DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.6 - - 45.1 - - 42.2 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 62 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 800 - - 3260 - - 2823 - - 842 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 70 - - 87 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 199 - - 027 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2897 - - -5333 - - -5230 - - -4063 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6453 - - 8889 - - 8787 - - 7619 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10259 - - -11614 - - -13801 - - -14484 ODpotential blCL - - - 13815 - - 15170 - - 17357 - - 18040 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 97 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.6 - - 45.1 - - 42.2 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.3 - - 18.9 - - 16.7 - - 15.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 44.4 - - 44.9 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 18.8 - - 16.4 - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 62 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 90 - - 65 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97347 64 067 65 067 64 072 46 057 97347 90175 65 077 62 079 64 067 61 051 90175 84579 54 071 49 088 47 067 54 055 84579 79911 44 067 43 075 35 069 39 067 79911 75863 36 058 35 055 33 052 39 058 75863 72280 27 061 25 047 27 037 37 044 72280 69043 25 066 17 039 23 037 31 037 69043 66059 32 050 21 040 25 049 27 044 66059 63279 37 034 28 036 34 042 32 044 63279 60586 42 022 39 028 42 032 38 033 60586 57790 44 014 45 020 49 022 45 025 57790 54904 46 018 50 021 52 018 50 022 54904 52162 55 020 60 022 55 020 55 020 52162 49692 62 016 68 018 62 017 60 014 49692 47470 65 013 70 012 66 013 64 011 47470 45446 68 012 72 006 71 009 64 006 45446 43589 70 011 71 004 74 009 64 009 43589 41871 74 009 72 003 79 007 69 015 41871 40274 82 005 74 003 83 003 78 013 40274 38795 89 002 81 005 88 002 92 359 38795 37428 106 000 109 011 91 001 91 358 37428 36128 139 360 133 013 96 003 97 000 36128 34814 145 000 128 012 104 007 102 358 34814 33456 134 004 124 009 106 007 101 355 33456 32059 131 009 116 005 103 004 93 354 32059 30608 89 002 111 002 102 006 85 351 30608 29094 69 351 108 000 98 006 84 353 29094 27517 59 348 100 359 100 004 82 358 27517 25878 58 356 80 357 98 007 83 007 25878 24180 56 360 64 355 85 007 84 014 24180 22432 52 358 48 359 71 002 75 015 22432 20638 49 356 42 003 57 002 57 011 20638 18791 40 356 40 002 46 003 45 003 18791 16922 27 002 35 357 38 000 40 358 16922 15122 24 002 25 348 31 001 37 359 15122 13485 24 358 14 344 25 358 34 002 13485 12028 20 357 12 345 22 346 30 003 12028 10734 14 358 12 338 20 332 24 001 10734 9583 9 358 11 330 17 327 18 356 9583 8561 6 355 8 324 14 326 14 349 8561 7652 4 341 5 310 12 322 12 340 7652 6848 2 293 4 274 9 312 10 335 6848 6132 3 232 5 244 6 293 7 336 6132 5488 4 208 5 229 4 282 5 341 5488 4913 4 191 3 210 2 300 3 349 4913 4431 5 198 2 206 2 008 2 020 4431 4059 6 201 2 200 3 021 2 046 4059 3802 6 185 1 197 4 024 2 065 3802 3645 4*170 1 200 4 026 2 101 3645 3556 4*169 1*199 3*027 2*145 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography