DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.3 - - 39.2 - - 40.7 - - 28.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 114 - - 2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 152 - - 1073 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3555 - - 4476 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 558 - - 1269 - - 2234 - - 392 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 68 - - 206 - - 29 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 181 - - 084 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1141 - - -3561 - - -4968 - - -1359 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4696 - - 8038 - - 8524 - - 4915 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9389 - - -8860 - - -9746 - - -9123 ODpotential blCL - - - 12944 - - 13336 - - 13302 - - 12679 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 44 - - 43 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.3 - - 39.2 - - 40.7 - - 28.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.8 - - 16.9 - - 16.3 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 38.3 - - 41.1 - - 32.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.4 - - 16.1 - - 15.8 - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 114 - - 2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 152 - - 1073 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94272 66 313 56 314 56 305 62 322 94272 87777 53 315 51 322 46 315 51 314 87777 82669 40 314 45 316 42 327 39 306 82669 78350 28 316 37 303 41 326 34 310 78350 74561 22 318 32 298 38 323 29 320 74561 71152 23 328 29 306 33 324 26 320 71152 68014 24 323 31 314 36 328 29 317 68014 65100 25 320 30 311 37 322 34 314 65100 62388 29 320 28 309 35 317 34 320 62388 59749 30 321 30 312 35 312 34 324 59749 56976 33 327 33 315 37 307 37 322 56976 54073 39 326 35 320 40 311 42 317 54073 51284 44 323 40 323 45 317 43 316 51284 48772 45 324 43 324 49 321 42 323 48772 46522 45 329 45 326 50 322 43 328 46522 44479 49 335 46 328 51 325 46 324 44479 42606 55 333 49 335 51 331 45 330 42606 40884 61 334 59 340 59 339 63 335 40884 39313 67 333 69 334 71 335 74 328 39313 37875 64 333 63 333 66 337 74 327 37875 36543 69 353 67 353 68 356 73 346 36543 35267 99 356 91 360 86 001 87 356 35267 33978 107 349 102 351 100 357 95 348 33978 32648 97 348 100 344 104 348 100 343 32648 31282 80 351 93 346 99 344 99 344 31282 29872 71 353 89 353 95 346 92 350 29872 28406 68 355 91 355 87 352 86 356 28406 26885 68 358 91 357 78 358 80 358 26885 25314 61 000 77 000 70 004 72 002 25314 23693 46 001 59 002 55 002 62 001 23693 22024 37 000 41 002 39 352 51 350 22024 20305 33 001 30 359 31 346 41 343 20305 18529 32 007 28 358 29 350 32 348 18529 16726 32 017 27 003 29 357 27 354 16726 14986 30 026 24 010 27 003 25 357 14986 13395 26 035 21 018 24 007 24 002 13395 11973 23 046 17 027 20 010 24 011 11973 10701 21 057 13 042 17 010 21 019 10701 9563 19 066 12 062 14 009 17 018 9563 8545 16 077 11 077 10 015 14 006 8545 7636 13 094 9 093 5 032 11 350 7636 6831 10 114 6 126 2 085 7 329 6831 6114 9 130 6 166 4 189 6 288 6114 5470 8 144 7 182 4 181 7 259 5470 4898 8 160 5*183 3 171 6 245 4898 4420 9 175 4*183 2 152 4 250 4420 4052 7 181 3 180 1 129 3 287 4052 3798 4 162 3 178 1 106 3 311 3798 3644 3 142 2 180 1 094 2*292 3644 3556 3*138 2 185 1*084 1*263 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography