DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 45.0 - - 44.2 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 45 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1424 - - 154 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4827 - - 3557 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1910 - - 4663 - - 3909 - - 959 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 83 - - 42 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 231 - - 214 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 555 - - -1018 - - -380 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4272 - - 4575 - - 3936 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -599 - - -1706 - - -1267 - - -1408 ODpotential blCL - - - 5426 - - 5263 - - 4823 - - 4964 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 98 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 45.0 - - 44.2 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 37.3 - - 39.2 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 44.4 - - 43.9 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 36.2 - - 38.2 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 45 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1424 - - 154 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 92 - - 94 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96982 34 084 36 095 33 109 24 094 96982 89785 23 104 23 088 28 112 24 109 89785 84184 19 109 16 097 21 105 23 114 84184 79513 15 111 9 112 13 103 15 112 79513 75465 11 112 7 152 5 092 13 089 75465 71856 3 098 2 190 3 197 5 003 71856 68572 1 212 3 224 6 193 5 298 68572 65544 5 280 7 256 5 217 6 282 65544 62719 3 259 6 301 3 205 6 231 62719 59957 13 271 12 277 14 271 14 269 59957 57062 21 248 25 245 26 265 17 270 57062 54055 23 258 28 242 30 260 24 271 54055 51183 31 265 31 253 35 257 32 256 51183 48606 43 263 40 257 42 257 36 251 48606 46311 52 262 47 260 51 260 47 253 46311 44242 59 259 56 254 58 253 54 247 44242 42364 59 257 57 255 58 251 54 248 42364 40645 59 262 65 258 61 256 61 251 40645 39064 77 262 74 258 73 254 75 249 39064 37609 98 256 88 256 84 251 88 243 37609 36265 114 254 105 252 100 247 97 243 36265 34985 125 253 123 249 115 247 107 242 34985 33700 119 253 124 248 124 246 113 241 33700 32379 109 252 115 246 121 244 115 241 32379 31026 103 250 107 245 108 243 107 241 31026 29630 100 247 99 243 94 241 92 240 29630 28181 93 248 93 242 85 239 79 237 28181 26679 84 250 82 241 76 237 70 235 26679 25122 76 251 68 240 66 235 63 235 25122 23516 62 248 57 239 56 231 57 235 23516 21863 52 243 54 240 53 229 53 232 21863 20158 51 240 55 241 53 229 49 229 20158 18394 47 239 54 239 50 232 47 231 18394 16606 41 241 50 239 45 240 44 234 16606 14886 35 240 45 240 38 247 39 236 14886 13319 31 238 41 241 32 247 34 238 13319 11919 31 236 37 241 29 244 30 238 11919 10668 30 234 33 241 27 239 29 237 10668 9546 29 235 29 240 24 233 29 234 9546 8541 28 235 25 238 24 227 29 229 8541 7642 27 233 23 235 22 222 27 224 7642 6842 26 227 20 232 20 220 25 221 6842 6129 23 219 16 229 17 219 23 218 6129 5486 20 210 13 227 13 217 18 217 5486 4912 18*200 12 228 10 215 12 214 4912 4431 15*192 11 229 9 214 7 201 4431 4059 13 188 10 229 7 215 4 168 4059 3802 12 186 10 230 7 215 3 117 3802 3646 11 186 9*231 6 215 3 080 3646 3556 9 185 8*231 5*214 2*070 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography