DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 90.4 - - 83.9 - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 185 - - 14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3876 - - 6961 - - 157 - - 157 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5920 - - 8113 - - 3543 - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7279 - - 10364 - - 3560 - - 3560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3813 - - 3670 - - 7332 - - 2193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 411 - - 450 - - 77 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 38 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 208 - - 191 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 11 - - -4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4667 - - -2398 - - -3462 - - -1104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11946 - - 12762 - - 7023 - - 4664 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6223 - - -3293 - - -5302 - - -4432 ODpotential blCL - - - 13502 - - 13657 - - 8862 - - 7992 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 270 - - 2740 - - 3510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 90.4 - - 83.9 - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 46.5 - - 64.8 - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.3 - - 88.8 - - 83.8 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 46.5 - - 63.6 - - 68.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 185 - - 14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3876 - - 6961 - - 157 - - 157 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 99 - - 101 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99750 29 096 31 113 28 101 32 101 99750 92224 22 114 23 107 24 105 30 097 92224 86414 24 120 19 107 22 108 22 100 86414 81596 27 113 22 112 19 114 20 107 81596 77441 22 108 24 115 23 122 18 106 77441 73771 20 107 24 116 22 119 19 119 73771 70460 17 109 20 119 16 119 19 122 70460 67422 14 113 16 120 16 115 15 121 67422 64611 11 118 11 137 11 107 13 128 64611 61896 12 136 14 171 9 156 9 162 61896 59078 11 159 15 175 14 188 9 204 59078 56155 18 222 16 195 15 204 14 206 56155 53370 28 204 26 215 25 215 23 208 53370 50892 29 188 33 202 35 217 30 220 50892 48684 29 185 34 198 41 213 38 218 48684 46666 29 194 39 203 47 210 44 218 46666 44805 36 203 46 204 53 211 49 220 44805 43082 46 208 50 208 57 212 51 219 43082 41481 51 209 53 211 57 211 55 218 41481 39986 51 207 52 210 56 210 57 214 39986 38588 50 202 48 208 54 208 57 208 38588 37250 48 200 45 211 51 204 55 204 37250 35900 44 204 42 212 47 205 51 202 35900 34509 41 208 42 212 43 208 48 203 34509 33079 38 211 40 211 35 207 47 204 33079 31599 35 213 37 212 36 207 47 211 31599 30058 30 217 32 211 31 207 45 220 30058 28458 24 221 27 207 27 205 39 222 28458 26798 18 218 24 208 29 206 34 218 26798 25080 13 212 19 207 29 207 31 215 25080 23310 13 203 16 201 26 207 28 217 23310 21479 15 197 16 196 21 200 25 220 21479 19584 15 191 18 193 19 200 21 215 19584 17663 10 181 16 192 18 201 14 197 17663 15817 8 168 11 178 15 196 13 197 15817 14132 5 158 11 147 12 180 13 199 14132 12625 5 163 11 145 10 159 11 176 12625 11275 7 178 11*147 9 147 11 155 11275 10063 9 175 10*151 8 150 12 144 10063 8975 9 165 7 158 7 158 11 139 8975 8001 8*146 5 168 7 165 10 138 8001 7134 6*137 3 198 7 172 8 136 7134 6360 5 132 2 264 7 175 5 125 6360 5660 4 130 4 288 8 179 3 074 5660 5038 3 128 4 295 8 182 5 031 5038 4514 3 127 5 297 8 187 7 027 4514 4109 2 125 5 299 7 189 7 031 4109 3829 2 122 5 300 7 191 7 031 3829 3658 2 124 5 301 7*191 6*030 3658 3560 2 123 5 302 6*191 4*028 3560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography