DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 74.6 - - - - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 408 - - 515 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3783 - - 5135 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6024 - - 7172 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7186 - - 8538 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1556 - - 1271 - - - - - 5625 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 573 - - - - - 43 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 15 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 326 - - - - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6088 - - -6750 - - - - - -6551 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13275 - - 15289 - - - - - 10109 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14077 - - -13043 - - - - - -11941 ODpotential blCL - - - 21263 - - 21581 - - - - - 15499 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 58 - - - - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 74.6 - - - - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.2 - - 19.6 - - - - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 71.5 - - - - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 19.1 - - - - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 408 - - 515 - - - - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3783 - - 5135 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98965 28 108 22 094 34 104 98965 91495 34 108 15 119 30 087 91495 85754 30 103 18 122 24 076 85754 80982 22 084 21 104 14 084 80982 76876 13 072 17 093 13 085 76876 73237 7 067 12 089 10 091 73237 69937 4 073 5 076 5 099 69937 66900 3 098 1 273 9 092 66900 64071 4 140 5 197 10 027 64071 61326 7 028 0 049 7 306 61326 58479 15 318 10 327 7 280 58479 55539 19 298 20 307 17 320 55539 52743 24 292 28 297 29 318 52743 50230 27 296 30 293 34 304 50230 47984 38 302 36 301 37 297 47984 45954 46 297 45 297 39 294 45954 44107 47 296 47 297 42 292 44107 42415 47 299 47 297 44 294 42415 40850 42 298 47 296 41 299 40850 39390 37 301 45 295 35 307 39390 38021 35 304 43 293 33 316 38021 36704 34 302 41 293 33 317 36704 35373 35 300 39 298 33 315 35373 34002 35 304 38 303 33 314 34002 32593 33 307 37 305 34 313 32593 31135 32 308 36 307 36 311 31135 29617 29 311 35 308 38 310 29617 28038 28 314 36 308 39 310 28038 26401 28 314 34 307 37 311 26401 24706 28 317 31 305 32 310 24706 22957 30 322 29 310 29 311 22957 21149 30 323 29 317 29 314 21149 19271 30 323 28 319 28 317 19271 17362 27 328 24 323 26 317 17362 15525 23 330 20 331 23 317 15525 13854 19 326 17 333 21 320 13854 12366 15 321 15 327 18 320 12366 11041 12 319 13 318 16 311 11041 9857 10 321 10 306 13 298 9857 8800 7 319 7*308 10 316 8800 7857 3*292 7*313 11 344 7857 7019 3*283 7 317 13 354 7019 6271 3 290 7 322 14 355 6271 5594 3 297 7 326 15 356 5594 4991 3 300 7 330 15 356 4991 4483 3 307 8 334 15 356 4483 4090 4 312 8 335 15 355 4090 3819 4 314 7 336 14 355 3819 3654 4 315 7 337 13 355 3654 3558 4 317 7 337 10*354 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography