DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 79.2 - - 79.8 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 511 - - 302 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3410 - - 6164 - - 6587 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5733 - - 7995 - - 8104 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6813 - - 9567 - - 9990 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1110 - - 1676 - - 2910 - - 5353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 461 - - 607 - - 521 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 323 - - 327 - - 350 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -11 - - 9 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1787 - - -1743 - - -1063 - - -4864 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8601 - - 11310 - - 11054 - - 8423 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5726 - - -4356 - - -2136 - - -7713 ODpotential blCL - - - 12539 - - 13923 - - 12126 - - 11272 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 61 - - 76 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 79.2 - - 79.8 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 41.6 - - 43.3 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 76.1 - - 77.6 - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 41.6 - - 43.3 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 511 - - 302 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3410 - - 6164 - - 6587 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99519 15 114 17 085 14 086 14 079 99519 92013 13 108 9 080 12 086 14 072 92013 86198 13 088 11 104 7 066 11 060 86198 81366 12 078 11 090 9 072 10 074 81366 77205 12 091 6 080 11 053 13 084 77205 73521 12 091 5 101 11 045 13 074 73521 70185 12 085 7 093 7 057 12 061 70185 67125 10 083 6 091 6 112 5 012 67125 64300 5 075 4 079 3 064 2 056 64300 61567 2 039 2 317 6 318 6 012 61567 58710 4 267 7 280 8 272 8 297 58710 55750 12 273 12 287 9 279 11 273 55750 52928 18 261 19 268 19 269 19 267 52928 50380 24 265 25 265 24 263 27 270 50380 48095 30 260 32 263 33 266 37 265 48095 46029 33 255 37 255 41 256 42 259 46029 44145 37 258 40 255 42 254 46 259 44145 42426 42 262 42 258 43 256 46 257 42426 40844 39 262 39 254 39 256 42 259 40844 39373 35 268 36 260 37 265 43 271 39373 37996 34 273 36 269 38 271 46 274 37996 36675 33 275 36 272 39 269 47 273 36675 35341 32 274 35 270 39 267 47 269 35341 33966 31 272 35 269 38 268 46 266 33966 32552 31 270 34 270 38 266 45 262 32552 31089 30 270 34 270 38 262 45 258 31089 29564 28 270 34 268 39 260 45 256 29564 27980 27 273 33 265 40 259 45 259 27980 26339 26 273 32 266 38 261 43 262 26339 24643 26 271 30 265 35 262 39 260 24643 22896 25 268 29 261 32 257 36 257 22896 21094 24 264 27 257 32 253 34 257 21094 19230 24 261 24 258 31 253 30 259 19230 17340 23 260 22 259 29 252 27 256 17340 15522 21 261 21 257 28 249 27 248 15522 13868 19 261 21 254 24 244 26 236 13868 12391 17 262 20 252 16 247 21 229 12391 11069 15 266 15 251 9*275 11 230 11069 9885 13 273 9*269 8*317 4 247 9885 8826 12 280 7*291 8 326 5 348 8826 7879 9 286 7 303 12 347 10 357 7879 7037 6*304 7 318 14 353 13 359 7037 6284 5*313 7 331 14 355 15 000 6284 5605 5 318 7 336 15 355 18 003 5605 4998 5 323 8 340 15 356 19 004 4998 4488 5 326 8 343 15 356 19 004 4488 4093 5 329 8 346 15 357 19 005 4093 3820 5 331 8 347 15 357 18 004 3820 3654 5 331 8 347 15 356 15*004 3654 3559 4 333 7 348 13 357 11*004 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography