DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 74.4 - - 66.8 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 455 - - 580 - - 374 - - 59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7115 - - 8351 - - 5085 - - 2161 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8719 - - 9830 - - 7016 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10518 - - 11754 - - 8488 - - 5564 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1583 - - 2393 - - 2999 - - 1630 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 614 - - 702 - - 514 - - 209 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 28 - - 24 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 234 - - 268 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 18 - - 12 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - -12 - - 35 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3878 - - -1792 - - -1350 - - -1516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14396 - - 13546 - - 9838 - - 7080 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8662 - - -4062 - - -2559 - - -5352 ODpotential blCL - - - 19180 - - 15816 - - 11047 - - 10916 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 79 - - 90 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 74.4 - - 66.8 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 26.4 - - 35.5 - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 71.5 - - 64.6 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 26.5 - - 35.6 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 455 - - 580 - - 374 - - 59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7115 - - 8351 - - 5085 - - 2161 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 17 - - 62 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98776 15 130 7 106 14 091 14 110 98776 91276 9 141 4 131 7 092 10 088 91276 85508 7 109 6 127 1 080 11 053 85508 80721 6 123 8 092 3 093 10 045 80721 76580 4 174 2 109 6 097 7 056 76580 72902 6 147 5 233 2 013 3 054 72902 69559 2 180 3 144 4 264 2 010 69559 66483 1 221 4 183 5 260 4 326 66483 63629 4 292 2 202 1 230 1 129 63629 60855 2 271 7 271 8 283 5 006 60855 57957 9 280 2 268 4 273 7 321 57957 54945 11 264 14 281 11 287 7 307 54945 52065 25 257 20 262 16 280 18 285 52065 49491 25 245 19 257 13 286 10 259 49491 47201 20 245 28 253 23 269 7 293 47201 45117 22 243 34 254 34 258 16 285 45117 43198 49 266 51 258 47 256 30 274 43198 41436 49 256 59 239 69 245 47 256 41436 39820 44 253 55 234 71 227 59 237 39820 38330 44 248 57 240 67 225 69 224 38330 36948 47 239 61 239 71 227 74 219 36948 35633 53 244 64 235 74 221 80 216 35633 34314 55 247 63 233 73 218 86 210 34314 32960 53 245 62 233 72 220 89 206 32960 31574 51 242 61 235 70 222 87 205 31574 30145 49 240 60 237 70 224 82 205 30145 28663 47 240 60 236 69 225 77 203 28663 27129 46 239 58 234 69 225 76 201 27129 25540 43 239 57 231 69 225 75 202 25540 23898 42 237 55 228 68 224 72 205 23898 22206 43 233 55 224 66 221 68 209 22206 20460 45 230 56 222 65 214 65 214 20460 18655 46 227 59 220 64 210 62 216 18655 16826 46 223 59 218 61 206 59 213 16826 15069 47 221 53 216 51 199 56 207 15069 13469 48 221 43 213 38 192 52 205 13469 12041 46 222 33*213 31 194 48 207 12041 10764 37*222 30*217 27 202 42 212 10764 9622 30*221 30 220 23 216 35 219 9622 8602 29 221 29 225 22*233 31 230 8602 7691 29 222 29 232 22*245 28 241 7691 6883 28 224 28 239 23 257 25 251 6883 6163 27 225 28 242 24 267 22*262 6163 5514 26 226 28 244 25 271 19*272 5514 4934 25 227 28 246 26 274 18 278 4934 4447 24 229 27 247 26 275 18 281 4447 4069 23 229 27 248 26 276 17 283 4069 3808 22 230 26 249 25 277 16 285 3808 3649 21 230 24 250 24 277 15 286 3649 3557 18 231 20 250 20 278 12 286 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography