DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 76.6 - - 70.9 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 362 - - 188 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3177 - - 7782 - - 2688 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5495 - - 9146 - - 4924 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6580 - - 11185 - - 6091 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1764 - - 4369 - - 4380 - - 2502 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 423 - - 585 - - 332 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 60 - - 20 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 240 - - 334 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 16 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 24 - - 9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2562 - - 195 - - -2467 - - -2047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9143 - - 10990 - - 8558 - - 5605 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5535 - - -333 - - -3958 - - -4812 ODpotential blCL - - - 12115 - - 11518 - - 10049 - - 8370 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 86 - - 93 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 220 - - 380 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 76.6 - - 70.9 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.1 - - 40.3 - - 45.4 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 74.1 - - 69.4 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 40.2 - - 45.3 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 362 - - 188 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3177 - - 7782 - - 2688 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 44 - - 74 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99119 3 067 6 030 7 063 6 002 99119 91714 3 349 7 080 1 350 6 356 91714 85952 1 189 6 351 3 045 5 063 85952 81155 4 110 5 271 2 045 7 104 81155 77025 4 323 4 215 5 251 6 308 77025 73371 5 265 5 187 8 258 7 252 73371 70051 13 250 10 261 10 261 6 213 70051 66981 14 209 14 225 12 228 3 294 66981 64111 13 222 15 231 14 218 15 240 64111 61325 21 230 18 231 16 239 17 232 61325 58417 24 233 26 233 25 247 23 247 58417 55382 27 231 31 226 33 230 30 241 55382 52478 30 224 31 223 30 229 28 235 52478 49871 30 219 32 231 29 239 25 233 49871 47545 30 222 36 228 32 242 27 232 47545 45446 32 223 38 225 36 233 32 230 45446 43536 36 221 41 223 37 226 35 225 43536 41779 38 219 43 221 41 224 33 223 41779 40150 37 220 46 218 47 217 36 225 40150 38639 38 222 44 215 46 210 44 217 38639 37244 42 218 40 219 43 217 50 211 37244 35931 37 210 38 222 51 219 56 207 35931 34624 33 214 37 219 51 212 57 204 34624 33284 32 222 39 213 47 206 57 197 33284 31910 32 223 40 208 47 204 57 193 31910 30487 33 218 40 207 48 204 56 195 30487 29004 35 211 39 210 48 202 52 198 29004 27460 35 207 37 212 46 202 51 200 27460 25856 35 204 34 208 44 203 50 202 25856 24197 35 200 35 198 43 204 48 202 24197 22489 35 197 38 199 44 202 47 199 22489 20728 37 197 43 204 46 200 48 198 20728 18910 38 199 46 204 43 196 46 200 18910 17064 37 199 43 202 33 188 41 196 17064 15291 33 198 31 201 25 182 32 180 15291 13677 28 199 23 201 22 183 27 175 13677 12233 24 201 20*203 17 189 23 177 12233 10938 20 206 14*210 12 199 15 176 10938 9775 17 215 10 217 7 219 8 184 9775 8732 15 223 9 220 5 266 6 219 8732 7800 11 225 6 236 7 312 8 244 7800 6971 5*228 4 256 10 327 9 256 6971 6232 2*245 4 277 14*332 9 273 6232 5564 2 263 4 293 18*334 8 302 5564 4968 1 282 4 306 19 334 10 330 4968 4468 1 307 4 317 19 334 12 346 4468 4082 1 319 4 321 19 335 12 355 4082 3814 1 326 4 323 19 335 11 000 3814 3651 1 329 4 324 18 335 10*003 3651 3558 1 330 4 325 15 335 7*005 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography