DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.0 - - - - - 82.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 426 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 9164 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 10344 - - - - - 3543 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 12567 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2017 - - - - - 4044 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 651 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 32 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 224 - - - - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -19 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4398 - - - - - -10281 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 16966 - - - - - 13840 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7504 - - - - - -14338 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 20071 - - - - - 17897 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.0 - - - - - 82.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 29.0 - - - - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.2 - - - - - 85.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 29.0 - - - - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 426 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 9164 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 52 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99504 13 112 14 118 99504 92031 10 133 12 100 92031 86237 11 143 8 117 86237 81411 11 171 7 093 81411 77255 9 154 6 078 77255 73591 9 092 6 096 73591 70285 6 069 6 070 70285 67254 5 114 3 092 67254 64453 2 140 3 081 64453 61738 6 207 1 136 61738 58906 14 194 6 213 58906 55977 18 189 10 224 55977 53184 14 220 19 227 53184 50684 32 236 31 230 50684 48470 44 232 35 238 48470 46481 50 239 44 242 46481 44665 55 238 58 235 44665 42988 58 239 64 231 42988 41423 64 238 62 234 41423 39952 67 239 61 237 39952 38565 65 239 61 236 38565 37228 62 239 59 233 37228 35875 60 239 57 232 35875 34480 57 238 57 231 34480 33049 54 236 56 230 33049 31568 50 237 56 226 31568 30027 45 237 56 225 30027 28427 42 236 53 227 28427 26768 40 235 45 227 26768 25054 39 234 42 227 25054 23287 39 233 41 229 23287 21462 39 231 40 229 21462 19570 41 229 38 224 19570 17648 40 231 34 216 17648 15800 34 235 23 197 15800 14117 24 232 18 184 14117 12611 15*223 15 184 12611 11262 13*221 10 174 11262 10051 11 221 4 144 10051 8965 7 221 4 044 8965 7993 5 219 8 018 7993 7129 2 221 12 014 7129 6357 0 272 14 012 6357 5659 1 009 16 010 5659 5036 1 019 17 008 5036 4513 2 022 17 006 4513 4108 2 023 16 003 4108 3828 2 023 15 358 3828 3657 2 024 11 354 3657 3559 2 021 7*350 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography