DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 41.3 - - 39.3 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 13 - - -20 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3289 - - 3394 - - 2282 - - 1355 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 53 - - 57 - - 26 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 265 - - 248 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1102 - - -2400 - - -2144 - - -592 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4658 - - 5956 - - 5700 - - 4148 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2282 - - -7000 - - -6590 - - -5172 ODpotential blCL - - - 5838 - - 10556 - - 10146 - - 8728 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 93 - - 80 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 41.3 - - 39.3 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 27.7 - - 26.8 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 41.1 - - 39.8 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 26.8 - - 26.5 - - 29.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 13 - - -20 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 74 - - 19 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96191 24 281 29 298 33 306 36 282 96191 89169 15 270 23 299 19 310 24 295 89169 83693 15 295 18 287 22 310 19 298 83693 79117 16 298 19 286 23 296 16 276 79117 75143 19 289 21 290 14 284 15 277 75143 71592 24 272 20 281 23 289 23 294 71592 68366 20 252 31 279 29 284 26 288 68366 65392 18 273 30 277 19 270 19 286 65392 62600 25 289 20 276 14 275 25 297 62600 59880 21 283 14 289 33 298 35 294 59880 57064 16 290 32 305 37 298 32 283 57064 54161 30 299 37 296 24 290 18 258 54161 51371 32 298 20 286 18 293 12 288 51371 48827 29 318 16 328 31 302 37 294 48827 46546 35 319 34 309 49 298 58 288 46546 44501 40 310 51 301 59 293 62 283 44501 42657 40 312 60 301 65 295 60 282 42657 40974 53 320 71 303 71 294 65 287 40974 39427 69 321 74 302 73 293 75 291 39427 37998 78 325 72 307 72 295 80 293 37998 36670 82 329 70 311 70 294 80 294 36670 35400 78 327 68 311 64 288 76 291 35400 34116 64 324 63 307 62 290 76 286 34116 32789 57 315 60 301 62 293 76 285 32789 31421 55 308 58 297 59 292 75 286 31421 30002 54 306 57 294 57 289 73 286 30002 28521 53 306 57 295 60 290 73 286 28521 26981 51 306 60 298 68 296 76 287 26981 25384 50 305 65 302 79 300 81 289 25384 23735 45 302 69 305 81 300 81 291 23735 22038 40 293 66 305 76 296 77 290 22038 20290 41 285 58 303 69 292 70 287 20290 18484 42 283 48 300 62 290 63 286 18484 16658 40 283 41 295 53 289 58 286 16658 14908 36 282 38 289 46 290 52 287 14908 13320 32 280 38 288 41 290 49 288 13320 11908 29 278 39 288 39 288 48 288 11908 10649 30 276 40 288 39 285 47 285 10649 9522 34 273 41 283 40 283 47 282 9522 8513 38 269 42 275 41 281 48 277 8513 7614 40 265 43 267 43 276 49 273 7614 6816 40 262 42 263 43 268 48 266 6816 6107 38 259 39 262 44 257 45 257 6107 5469 34 257 35 261 44 250 42 247 5469 4901 29 254 31 262 41 247 39 238 4901 4424 23 251 26 262 38 246 34 234 4424 4055 17 246 22 263 33 246 28 231 4055 3800 12 239 19 264 28 247 21 228 3800 3645 9 233 16 264 24*247 17*226 3645 3556 7*230 13*265 16*248 9*223 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography