DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.0 - - 43.8 - - 48.4 - - 45.4 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -40 - - -10 - - 34 - - -48 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 3165 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3557 - - 6568 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 186 - - 3245 - - 2104 - - 4005 - - 2037 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 41 - - 215 - - 31 - - 22 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 35 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 163 - - 190 - - 207 - - 195 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -6 - - 12 - - -9 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1077 - - -25 - - -2546 - - -626 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3556 - - 4634 - - 6593 - - 6103 - - 4183 sfcLCL ODpotential -3943 - - -2797 - - -3140 - - -4779 - - -3215 ODpotential blCL 7499 - - 6354 - - 9708 - - 8336 - - 6772 blCL maxRH 71 - - 72 - - 73 - - 72 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.0 - - 43.8 - - 48.4 - - 45.4 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.8 - - 35.7 - - 31.6 - - 30.7 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.0 - - 44.1 - - 48.3 - - 46.5 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.5 - - 34.5 - - 30.5 - - 30.2 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -40 - - -10 - - 34 - - -48 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 154 - - 3165 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95858 14 326 18 303 26 312 17 310 19 299 95858 88933 16 332 19 318 19 311 14 312 18 305 88933 83504 16 320 14 312 12 335 11 327 17 301 83504 78944 12 303 14 309 14 303 15 318 22 295 78944 74998 8 276 13 307 9 287 11 310 19 309 74998 71468 7 266 13 306 10 296 17 283 21 292 71468 68247 17 254 17 282 11 278 17 278 21 283 68247 65282 12 246 16 288 14 269 14 300 11 304 65282 62501 7 280 20 275 15 274 11 260 16 297 62501 59776 11 268 20 263 22 281 24 249 32 260 59776 56930 21 251 30 255 26 246 25 237 36 252 56930 53959 17 237 15 207 23 220 24 235 29 254 53959 51099 4 083 14 164 18 229 19 246 26 259 51099 48518 16 242 27 250 32 243 30 257 27 263 48518 46205 52 237 59 241 54 240 49 251 32 264 46205 44109 59 231 64 229 64 236 61 241 43 258 44109 42196 58 221 65 220 66 232 62 234 52 249 42196 40441 57 216 64 216 67 226 59 231 55 244 40441 38822 56 221 62 217 66 220 56 230 56 247 38822 37325 61 228 61 219 64 216 55 230 59 248 37325 35936 71 230 64 222 63 217 55 231 61 247 35936 34619 81 229 70 225 65 221 58 232 61 247 34619 33307 86 226 77 226 69 222 63 232 59 245 33307 31973 89 225 85 225 75 220 66 231 53 244 31973 30621 92 225 92 223 79 217 66 229 46 242 30621 29240 95 225 97 222 82 216 61 229 39 236 29240 27817 98 224 99 221 85 217 57 228 35 233 27817 26347 99 223 97 221 86 219 55 227 36 232 26347 24825 98 222 92 221 85 221 53 226 38 232 24825 23252 95 221 86 222 79 222 51 226 41 233 23252 21633 92 222 78 223 67 223 51 229 43 236 21633 19960 86 223 69 225 54 224 53 233 45 238 19960 18227 77 223 61 227 47 224 53 234 47 237 18227 16466 66 224 54 229 43 222 50 233 49 235 16466 14770 58 225 50 231 42 221 48 233 51 234 14770 13225 56 224 48 231 44 222 48 234 53 235 13225 11845 56 222 46 229 47 224 52 234 55 236 11845 10609 53 222 47 229 51 225 55 231 56 236 10609 9502 49 225 49 228 54 223 55 227 57 234 9502 8509 46 229 50 223 53 220 54 222 56 231 8509 7620 44 231 50 219 50 216 53 216 55 227 7620 6827 43 229 48 216 45*212 50 211 52 222 6827 6121 41 226 44 213 43*211 48 208 49 216 6121 5482 38 222 39 209 40 209 44 205 44 212 5482 4911 33 219 33 206 37 208 40 203 38 207 4911 4431 26 213 28 202 34 206 36 201 32 202 4431 4060 20 204 23 198 31 205 31 198 25 195 4060 3803 16 186 19 195 28 204 27 197 19 187 3803 3646 12 173 16*193 25 203 23*196 15*183 3646 3557 7*163 10*190 18 203 16*195 8*174 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography