DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 68.0 - - 67.8 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 555 - - 311 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3851 - - 5930 - - 5831 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6108 - - 7835 - - 7519 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7254 - - 9333 - - 9234 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1208 - - 1456 - - 1500 - - 5947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 497 - - 615 - - 504 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 348 - - 001 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - -8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2128 - - -2483 - - -1541 - - -5706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9383 - - 11817 - - 10775 - - 9264 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6249 - - -6910 - - -5149 - - -10178 ODpotential blCL - - - 13503 - - 16243 - - 14383 - - 13736 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 68 - - 72 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 68.0 - - 67.8 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.0 - - 28.2 - - 32.8 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 64.8 - - 65.7 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 28.1 - - 32.8 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 555 - - 311 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3851 - - 5930 - - 5831 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98243 17 089 16 098 9 058 14 107 98243 90797 9 074 6 109 7 053 7 057 90797 85083 8 114 5 101 6 090 6 024 85083 80336 6 117 8 089 3 125 7 041 80336 76240 6 084 6 095 3 318 9 060 76240 72617 5 120 3 148 3 280 6 043 72617 69324 1 278 1 148 1 304 4 044 69324 66281 3 227 7 278 6 317 2 065 66281 63447 6 014 3 333 9 340 5 050 63447 60698 7 342 7 333 16 328 18 006 60698 57846 13 012 8 357 15 332 19 344 57846 54901 22 358 18 360 18 355 24 351 54901 52100 30 348 29 352 30 348 30 346 52100 49597 35 347 38 352 40 359 38 356 49597 47378 39 349 45 351 48 000 40 006 47378 45394 45 358 50 357 52 009 59 013 45394 43613 62 010 58 009 83 010 75 015 43613 41983 77 007 86 009 93 013 82 019 41983 40461 81 001 92 007 95 014 80 012 40461 39026 59 019 78 359 86 011 76 011 39026 37672 77 028 66 359 79 006 73 010 37672 36365 80 025 64 013 74 003 71 009 36365 35041 77 023 68 019 71 002 70 005 35041 33675 74 022 67 016 68 001 70 003 33675 32272 71 019 68 012 64 357 68 359 32272 30822 69 016 67 012 60 355 62 354 30822 29314 66 014 59 008 57 355 54 350 29314 27750 59 012 55 007 56 359 50 349 27750 26127 52 006 54 009 50 002 44 352 26127 24447 47 000 51 009 43 002 38 355 24447 22711 40 358 45 005 40 001 33 354 22711 20913 34 354 39 359 38 359 31 353 20913 19049 29 349 33 352 35 357 30 352 19049 17159 25 346 26 350 28 354 27 354 17159 15345 20 339 19 348 22 355 23 357 15345 13698 16 330 13 332 15 356 18 360 13698 12233 13 329 11 318 11 342 12 355 12233 10927 11 326 9 309 9 330 9 346 10927 9763 9 322 7*324 9*349 8 357 9763 8724 7 312 8*333 10*355 9 010 8724 7794 3*320 8 339 10 356 11 015 7794 6968 3*332 8 344 11 000 13 019 6968 6230 3 340 9 348 12 001 16 020 6230 5563 3 347 9 350 12 002 17 019 5563 4969 3 349 10 353 12 002 17 018 4969 4469 4 353 10 354 12 003 17 017 4469 4082 4 356 10 355 12 003 16 016 4082 3814 4 358 10 356 12 003 15 015 3814 3651 4 357 10 356 12 003 13*015 3651 3558 3 357 9 356 11 004 10*014 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography