DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 62.3 - - 54.8 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 44 - - -2 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 997 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3541 - - 3541 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 4400 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 227 - - 1900 - - 2038 - - 66 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 146 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 279 - - 044 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8375 - - -10008 - - -8769 - - -6046 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11932 - - 14409 - - 12327 - - 9603 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18320 - - -17119 - - -17320 - - -16986 ODpotential blCL - - - 21877 - - 21519 - - 20877 - - 20543 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 79 - - 78 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 62.3 - - 54.8 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.5 - - 11.9 - - 14.0 - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 61.7 - - 59.4 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.4 - - 11.8 - - 13.8 - - 15.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 44 - - -2 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 997 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96339 36 024 24 027 40 018 42 035 96339 89379 32 029 23 032 33 025 28 033 89379 83916 29 022 25 025 29 020 25 021 83916 79370 26 023 27 023 26 010 25 010 79370 75439 21 031 26 024 23 025 22 010 75439 71935 22 023 21 014 28 015 21 014 71935 68751 22 358 23 344 27 011 23 017 68751 65818 18 360 24 344 28 010 26 016 65818 63090 26 351 22 336 32 344 28 350 63090 60450 32 343 25 342 28 337 28 343 60450 57702 39 342 31 332 35 331 31 334 57702 54857 45 331 41 326 41 327 36 327 54857 52143 45 323 46 324 45 326 38 328 52143 49693 46 318 51 316 50 317 44 327 49693 47490 45 316 48 310 49 306 47 314 47490 45491 47 314 45 311 46 307 44 305 45491 43668 46 310 43 314 46 308 41 303 43668 41998 40 309 39 307 40 299 37 306 41998 40456 37 308 32 306 32 290 34 294 40456 39020 34 305 28 305 26 289 28 288 39020 37675 30 299 25 304 22 300 22 287 37675 36381 27 297 23 310 19 321 14 300 36381 35073 26 302 23 317 20 336 10 312 35073 33721 25 307 24 326 21 341 10 320 33721 32326 27 306 26 334 21 339 10 319 32326 30878 32 304 29 332 20 333 12 305 30878 29371 37 306 32 322 23 320 19 295 29371 27811 38 309 35 312 31 307 27 294 27811 26196 38 316 34 311 33 299 32 291 26196 24522 38 318 36 311 35 297 34 288 24522 22790 38 316 39 310 37 299 35 292 22790 20997 38 313 39 310 36 300 36 297 20997 19138 37 313 37 311 35 300 37 302 19138 17249 36 315 36 311 34 303 36 308 17249 15429 34 316 35 310 34 307 35 314 15429 13770 32 315 33 309 33 309 34 319 13770 12291 28 311 29 306 31 309 32 321 12291 10970 24 305 26 301 27 308 28 320 10970 9790 21 298 23 297 24 307 25 316 9790 8735 19 294 21 297 22 306 21 309 8735 7794 17 291 19 298 20 307 18 301 7794 6960 14 289 16 300 18 309 15 293 6960 6218 10 281 13 300 15 307 11 283 6218 5551 7 258 10 297 10 305 8 251 5551 4957 7 252 7 285 6 314 9 225 4957 4458 11 254 5*275 3 001 10 225 4458 4074 11 237 5*278 3 030 12 223 4074 3809 8 206 4 280 4 034 12 213 3809 3648 7*178 4 279 3 038 11*201 3648 3557 4*166 3 281 2*044 8*196 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography