DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 79.4 - - 76.5 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 569 - - 354 - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3439 - - 4701 - - 3896 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5772 - - 6855 - - 6063 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6842 - - 8104 - - 7299 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1214 - - 2017 - - 2343 - - 3390 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 471 - - 574 - - 460 - - 63 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 345 - - 340 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 8 - - 22 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3335 - - -3137 - - -3654 - - -4525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10178 - - 11242 - - 10954 - - 8083 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10732 - - -9087 - - -9898 - - -12736 ODpotential blCL - - - 17574 - - 17191 - - 17197 - - 16294 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 79.4 - - 76.5 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 42.3 - - 40.8 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 76.2 - - 74.1 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 42.3 - - 40.8 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 569 - - 354 - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3439 - - 4701 - - 3896 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99734 34 111 24 108 24 090 26 087 99734 92266 28 107 20 094 24 095 25 082 92266 86482 22 112 18 100 21 087 21 103 86482 81649 18 108 16 109 18 087 18 098 81649 77486 14 110 14 114 13 092 16 094 77486 73802 17 116 13 106 9 118 9 074 73802 70459 13 124 7 126 9 115 8 078 70459 67397 11 126 6 175 4 254 3 343 67397 64569 5 155 9 224 8 196 8 208 64569 61836 13 249 12 241 16 260 16 243 61836 59008 24 236 28 243 28 255 26 271 59008 56098 25 250 36 238 38 250 38 266 56098 53334 33 250 38 249 43 252 47 259 53334 50859 48 260 52 259 54 260 55 260 50859 48650 62 259 63 260 66 262 67 264 48650 46651 71 259 71 265 75 263 79 266 46651 44818 76 258 80 266 81 262 85 265 44818 43115 74 256 83 263 85 260 89 262 43115 41522 72 258 84 261 86 259 89 258 41522 40024 71 257 83 259 83 258 87 255 40024 38614 81 253 81 256 82 257 84 255 38614 37258 81 245 82 254 82 257 81 257 37258 35892 76 246 84 255 82 257 79 259 35892 34489 71 249 79 253 79 256 77 260 34489 33049 68 250 74 252 75 254 72 260 33049 31559 65 248 72 253 68 255 64 258 31559 30007 64 246 69 253 61 258 57 259 30007 28393 65 245 67 253 56 261 55 261 28393 26716 64 244 65 254 53 262 54 260 26716 24978 62 245 63 255 52 261 54 259 24978 23183 59 247 61 255 52 260 53 261 23183 21328 55 249 58 254 53 260 51 265 21328 19409 51 249 54 253 51 260 47 266 19409 17464 46 249 49 251 46 260 43 264 17464 15596 42 247 44 249 42 257 38 260 15596 13901 39 243 41 245 39 252 35 257 13901 12393 35 241 39 242 35 245 32 256 12393 11051 31 239 31 241 29 242 29 254 11051 9856 27 239 20 244 20 248 24 252 9856 8790 21 243 12*256 15 265 18 256 8790 7843 14 249 8*279 12*292 14 274 7843 7002 6*271 7 306 13*315 12 303 7002 6255 5*296 10 340 14 327 15 329 6255 5581 6 342 13 354 16 340 18 341 5581 4981 7 349 14 356 17 344 19 345 4981 4476 8 353 15 357 17 346 19 346 4476 4086 8 356 15 359 17 347 18 347 4086 3817 8 358 15 359 17 348 18 348 3817 3653 8 358 14 359 16 349 16*349 3653 3558 7 359 13 359 14 350 12*350 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography