DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 73.0 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 530 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5489 - - 7753 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7394 - - 9299 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8892 - - 11156 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1490 - - 1328 - - - - - 6359 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 554 - - 663 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 21 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 044 - - - - - 029 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2819 - - -2534 - - - - - -9397 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11711 - - 13691 - - - - - 12955 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7640 - - -5984 - - - - - -13871 ODpotential blCL - - - 16532 - - 17140 - - - - - 17429 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 70 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 73.0 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 24.7 - - - - - 22.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 69.8 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.5 - - 24.6 - - - - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 530 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5489 - - 7753 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98299 17 133 15 133 9 112 98299 90860 10 134 7 132 5 124 90860 85125 9 095 7 098 7 093 85125 80354 13 075 8 079 9 064 80354 76247 7 076 3 105 9 084 76247 72612 5 087 5 130 8 061 72612 69309 8 080 2 066 7 049 69309 66265 7 035 4 046 7 026 66265 63436 8 007 8 002 13 008 63436 60699 11 352 12 350 16 354 60699 57857 17 002 17 356 18 346 57857 54930 27 359 20 350 19 341 54930 52154 32 351 26 351 20 346 52154 49657 28 344 31 332 28 347 49657 47422 30 339 36 317 32 343 47422 45401 38 325 37 309 38 346 45401 43555 46 318 43 308 48 341 43555 41858 52 316 52 307 50 345 41858 40284 54 316 60 305 57 348 40284 38818 54 318 62 303 57 348 38818 37450 55 320 61 301 55 345 37450 36143 54 321 59 300 54 343 36143 34830 51 321 55 300 53 341 34830 33479 51 321 47 304 50 337 33479 32093 48 323 39 310 48 331 32093 30656 39 329 34 313 48 327 30656 29161 32 332 33 318 43 327 29161 27610 28 335 33 323 38 322 27610 26007 27 336 31 327 35 319 26007 24350 25 337 27 331 30 325 24350 22640 23 345 22 331 25 323 22640 20871 22 354 20 340 20 323 20871 19034 21 357 20 350 19 333 19034 17164 20 356 19 351 19 345 17164 15364 17 358 16 354 17 347 15364 13725 15 007 10 001 14 328 13725 12265 13 023 4*059 12 295 12265 10963 10 046 5*066 7 277 10963 9797 7*087 5 063 3 302 9797 8752 6*095 5 059 4 005 8752 7818 6 094 6 052 8 027 7818 6987 5 090 6 044 12 034 6987 6245 5 086 6 039 15 037 6245 5576 5 080 6 034 16 036 5576 4977 5 073 6 028 17 035 4977 4474 4 066 6 025 17 034 4474 4085 4 062 6 023 17 032 4085 3816 4 061 6 022 15 032 3816 3652 4 058 6 021 13 031 3652 3558 4 057 6 022 9*029 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography