DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 76.7 - - 79.2 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 414 - - 503 - - 281 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3592 - - 5162 - - 5015 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5880 - - 7182 - - 6835 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6995 - - 8565 - - 8418 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 823 - - 855 - - 1517 - - 3424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 472 - - 568 - - 463 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 25 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 111 - - 058 - - 013 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3396 - - -5658 - - -6010 - - -7350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10391 - - 14224 - - 14428 - - 10909 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12076 - - -12331 - - -12137 - - -14739 ODpotential blCL - - - 19071 - - 20896 - - 20555 - - 18297 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 35 - - 35 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 76.7 - - 79.2 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 26.6 - - 28.2 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 73.7 - - 77.0 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 26.6 - - 28.1 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 414 - - 503 - - 281 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3592 - - 5162 - - 5015 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99722 33 123 23 112 30 095 29 095 99722 92191 25 100 28 109 22 101 27 093 92191 86367 21 084 23 099 20 101 17 104 86367 81545 17 098 19 094 18 102 15 098 81545 77398 15 119 15 088 18 094 16 097 77398 73721 16 111 13 096 11 068 19 075 73721 70387 12 089 13 103 4 093 13 056 70387 67330 7 107 4 072 9 043 10 059 67330 64503 6 063 9 197 6 318 8 022 64503 61776 8 327 4 332 7 322 8 331 61776 58935 19 296 14 305 13 319 13 311 58935 56001 28 290 31 284 33 296 30 310 56001 53226 44 292 42 289 44 296 42 299 53226 50743 52 289 51 291 53 294 51 294 50743 48528 61 294 63 297 63 296 59 294 48528 46519 72 295 74 298 73 299 69 298 46519 44670 81 294 80 294 78 296 74 297 44670 42954 85 293 80 291 81 293 77 296 42954 41354 83 294 81 291 81 291 79 294 41354 39855 79 295 77 292 76 291 76 293 39855 38448 75 295 72 294 70 291 69 295 38448 37098 70 294 68 295 64 292 63 297 37098 35739 67 293 66 294 61 292 60 297 35739 34340 64 293 64 293 59 293 59 297 34340 32906 59 293 59 296 55 297 56 300 32906 31424 54 294 53 299 50 300 49 302 31424 29882 49 295 49 301 46 303 44 300 29882 28282 46 296 45 300 42 303 40 298 28282 26623 43 302 42 299 39 301 37 299 26623 24907 40 305 39 300 38 301 35 300 24907 23136 36 306 33 299 37 304 34 302 23136 21304 32 308 27 297 32 307 30 306 21304 19406 28 315 23 302 25 306 25 313 19406 17479 23 325 18 309 19 311 19 312 17479 15628 19 338 14 327 14 319 13 309 15628 13942 14 344 10 338 9 330 9 308 13942 12439 11 346 8 325 6 329 7 303 12439 11098 7 356 6 296 4 270 8 277 11098 9900 4 039 3 209 3 170 8 252 9900 8831 7 107 4*119 3*074 5 203 8831 7878 10*122 5*108 4*055 2 120 7878 7033 8*122 4 098 5 036 5 039 7033 6280 7 119 4 071 7 016 9 036 6280 5600 7 115 4 056 8 012 12 037 5600 4994 6 110 5 043 8 007 15 037 4994 4485 6 103 5 033 9 005 15 034 4485 4091 5 098 5 028 9 003 15 029 4091 3819 5 094 5 026 9 002 13 024 3819 3653 4 092 5 023 9 002 10 020 3653 3558 4 090 5 023 8 001 7*016 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography