DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 87.3 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 428 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2077 - - 6907 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4655 - - 8521 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5480 - - 10310 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1126 - - 3231 - - - - - 2448 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 594 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 38 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 177 - - - - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -10 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6074 - - -6093 - - - - - -8385 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11555 - - 16404 - - - - - 11944 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10659 - - -9646 - - - - - -12646 ODpotential blCL - - - 16139 - - 19956 - - - - - 16205 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 85 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 87.3 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 26.9 - - - - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 84.6 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 26.8 - - - - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 321 - - 428 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2077 - - 6907 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 40 - - - - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99460 16 113 17 105 12 098 99460 91985 14 117 14 095 14 109 91985 86183 13 127 7 116 13 097 86183 81360 12 130 5 131 10 090 81360 77223 8 105 8 127 12 091 77223 73567 2 057 8 130 10 079 73567 70244 3 121 7 146 5 125 70244 67186 3 202 6 129 5 164 67186 64363 9 233 1 164 7 185 64363 61636 13 215 12 237 3 224 61636 58773 10 185 15 219 9 255 58773 55787 11 226 18 229 25 237 55787 52947 15 232 21 224 28 233 52947 50399 21 228 24 221 27 235 50399 48125 26 228 29 232 30 239 48125 46070 32 231 37 236 33 241 46070 44202 35 232 38 234 38 245 44202 42493 30 230 36 229 40 247 42493 40919 28 234 33 226 36 247 40919 39464 31 238 32 228 32 239 39464 38108 33 235 33 230 30 226 38108 36806 33 231 34 228 29 220 36806 35488 31 231 34 227 30 230 35488 34125 28 234 34 226 30 235 34125 32721 28 236 31 227 29 236 32721 31264 28 236 28 229 31 235 31264 29743 27 235 25 229 32 235 29743 28164 26 234 24 230 31 233 28164 26529 25 233 26 233 29 229 26529 24841 25 234 28 236 27 226 24841 23100 23 234 26 236 26 224 23100 21299 21 233 24 231 25 225 21299 19427 20 232 23 225 26 227 19427 17521 20 230 22 224 28 224 17521 15687 19 226 21 224 25 213 15687 14019 17 222 19 221 20 207 14019 12527 14 216 15 212 19 207 12527 11190 12 202 12*198 16 204 11190 9989 12 189 11*191 12 199 9989 8911 12 185 9 186 6 190 8911 7947 14 182 6 178 1 099 7947 7089 14 172 5 170 5 020 7089 6324 12 156 2 151 10 016 6324 5633 8*146 1 043 14 016 5633 5018 3*124 2 015 16 015 5018 4501 3 110 3 009 17 011 4501 4100 2 094 4 006 17 006 4100 3824 2 081 4 005 15 360 3824 3656 2 077 4 004 12*353 3656 3559 2 074 4 003 7*346 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography