DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.7 - - 65.4 - - 69.5 - - 69.6 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 181 - - 310 - - 265 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 498 - - 3631 - - 6551 - - 7185 - - 2423 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 5595 - - 8089 - - 8508 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3901 - - 7034 - - 9954 - - 10588 - - 5826 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 790 - - 2773 - - 2294 - - 2605 - - 3458 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 362 - - 525 - - 514 - - 192 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 16 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - 11 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 061 - - 335 - - 296 - - 312 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 10 - - 12 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 25 - - 10 - - 53 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3353 - - -1928 - - -1473 - - -120 - - -1252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7255 - - 8963 - - 11427 - - 10709 - - 7079 sfcLCL ODpotential -7331 - - -4014 - - -3177 - - -826 - - -2559 ODpotential blCL 11232 - - 11048 - - 13131 - - 11414 - - 8385 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 90 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.7 - - 65.4 - - 69.5 - - 69.6 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.5 - - 38.4 - - 31.5 - - 34.8 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.3 - - 63.9 - - 67.2 - - 67.6 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 38.0 - - 31.0 - - 34.4 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 181 - - 310 - - 265 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 498 - - 3631 - - 6551 - - 7185 - - 2423 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 82 - - 61 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98705 34 104 19 122 15 093 18 097 24 115 98705 91232 21 107 17 128 14 076 18 105 20 102 91232 85536 22 092 20 120 11 114 21 087 21 089 85536 80835 21 088 19 116 14 124 12 089 19 083 80835 76782 17 087 21 108 13 121 11 105 15 078 76782 73183 11 081 19 085 17 118 12 115 15 089 73183 69924 7 084 13 050 12 094 11 101 10 081 69924 66929 5 078 5 011 8 045 8 056 6 077 66929 64135 4 062 2 329 4 034 5 023 5 061 64135 61416 4 277 4 269 7 305 9 302 10 300 61416 58581 6 268 7 280 9 280 8 291 7 269 58581 55645 17 301 15 300 16 303 19 301 25 302 55645 52861 21 309 24 298 25 299 32 296 35 305 52861 50380 29 310 30 299 31 304 41 316 33 316 50380 48155 38 296 40 298 44 312 53 323 41 323 48155 46122 38 292 46 304 54 315 57 313 51 312 46122 44247 50 303 58 314 62 310 53 300 56 303 44247 42512 70 305 78 313 57 310 46 293 55 299 42512 40900 86 305 86 309 58 306 45 294 53 295 40900 39400 97 303 85 306 59 297 48 295 53 294 39400 38001 98 300 87 307 58 294 50 295 56 294 38001 36661 93 299 90 307 62 293 51 293 56 294 36661 35312 90 299 92 307 64 292 53 292 55 295 35312 33926 89 300 90 307 64 295 54 291 53 295 33926 32506 86 299 85 307 65 298 56 292 51 294 32506 31041 75 296 83 307 66 300 56 295 49 294 31041 29517 59 288 83 308 67 301 57 298 50 296 29517 27933 48 278 77 308 66 300 57 299 52 298 27933 26286 39 268 67 296 68 307 57 300 53 300 26286 24580 34 251 63 284 62 307 58 302 53 301 24580 22816 35 239 54 278 59 296 54 303 52 301 22816 20990 39 241 41 261 56 291 51 299 49 301 20990 19095 40 255 43 247 44 283 49 296 46 300 19095 17175 40 259 44 242 36 262 41 289 41 300 17175 15339 42 244 40 250 33 247 30 268 32 294 15339 13682 41 230 41 246 29 245 22 248 24 275 13682 12216 33 227 37 232 24 245 15 246 20 245 12216 10915 26 225 25 236 17*245 12*255 15 232 10915 9753 19 225 14 253 9*249 11*266 10 247 9753 8714 13 236 8 271 6 264 10 285 10 274 8714 7786 10 254 7*297 6 276 10 300 11 290 7786 6961 7 275 8*325 6 296 11 312 13 302 6961 6224 4 318 9 334 6 309 13 321 14*311 6224 5559 5 007 10 336 7 315 13 324 15*319 5559 4965 5 032 10 337 7 319 14 326 16 322 4965 4466 6 049 11 337 7 321 14 328 16 324 4466 4081 9*060 11 337 7 324 14 330 16 326 4081 3814 9*061 10 337 7 324 14 330 16 326 3814 3651 8 061 10 337 7 325 13 331 15 327 3651 3558 7 061 9 336 7 325 11 331 12 327 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography