DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 38.3 - - 37.5 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 24 - - -5 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3244 - - 3782 - - 3820 - - 3561 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 58 - - 67 - - 22 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 236 - - 299 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - 2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1441 - - -512 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4997 - - 4068 - - 3556 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3027 - - -1502 - - -794 - - -950 ODpotential blCL - - - 6583 - - 5058 - - 4350 - - 4506 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 38.3 - - 37.5 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.8 - - 32.7 - - 35.1 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 37.8 - - 37.6 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 31.8 - - 34.6 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 24 - - -5 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 99 - - 97 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96091 38 019 37 023 38 036 33 031 96091 89124 29 020 34 008 29 017 22 020 89124 83687 22 013 30 002 18 013 20 009 83687 79110 20 337 27 336 14 007 16 001 79110 75124 18 317 21 317 17 324 16 348 75124 71561 20 281 16 307 18 286 19 314 71561 68309 22 269 18 281 22 266 17 290 68309 65294 24 274 24 273 27 268 17 281 65294 62468 25 275 27 277 26 267 28 281 62468 59704 27 275 27 278 23 269 30 277 59704 56815 29 273 25 271 23 275 29 278 56815 53827 32 270 28 275 28 289 22 274 53827 50975 38 262 38 276 30 290 21 288 50975 48409 40 253 39 270 31 286 29 292 48409 46118 37 250 36 265 33 279 34 291 46118 44044 36 254 34 259 35 267 35 291 44044 42148 39 253 34 261 32 271 35 285 42148 40407 41 252 38 270 33 284 31 278 40407 38798 42 255 41 268 34 293 24 292 38798 37307 42 257 40 268 34 295 31 305 37307 35932 41 257 37 269 32 301 35 302 35932 34635 37 261 30 274 35 308 35 303 34635 33346 35 267 26 287 34 313 36 309 33346 32035 33 275 22 301 36 329 35 322 32035 30698 36 279 23 318 41 338 39 335 30698 29318 37 269 35 337 46 341 44 339 29318 27881 29 267 45 342 49 339 46 337 27881 26390 32 275 40 334 51 336 46 333 26390 24846 46 269 33 306 51 334 47 330 24846 23252 53 264 32 277 48 332 46 328 23252 21610 46 262 36 272 39 326 44 325 21610 19914 33 266 41 270 32 304 40 318 19914 18158 25 268 40 261 35 286 39 306 18158 16375 25 267 36 254 40 276 41 292 16375 14663 26 265 32 250 41 267 41 281 14663 13110 27 260 29 247 43 257 41 268 13110 11732 29 256 30 250 46 257 42 262 11732 10504 30 253 33 255 45 260 40 265 10504 9406 31 254 35 257 39 264 34 273 9406 8424 31 255 33 255 33 269 26 283 8424 7548 31 256 29 250 28 273 22 291 7548 6769 30 254 25 245 26 276 20 296 6769 6074 27 250 21 242 23 278 18 301 6074 5446 23 244 18 240 20 280 16 307 5446 4886 18 238 13 239 16 284 15 314 4886 4415 15 234 10 238 13 290 15 324 4415 4050 11 230 6 236 11 295 14 330 4050 3798 9 227 6 236 9 298 13 332 3798 3644 8*226 5*237 8*299 11*332 3644 3556 7*225 5*236 6*299 8*334 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography