DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 44.6 - - 40.4 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -10 - - 42 - - -25 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 4298 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 5001 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 7701 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3462 - - 2439 - - 4591 - - 644 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 251 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 31 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 213 - - 188 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -8 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -714 - - 1315 - - -1412 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4271 - - 6386 - - 4968 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2354 - - -823 - - -3055 - - -3167 ODpotential blCL - - - 5911 - - 8524 - - 6611 - - 6723 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 74 - - 87 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 150 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 44.6 - - 40.4 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 28.8 - - 30.9 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 44.2 - - 41.4 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 27.6 - - 30.4 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -10 - - 42 - - -25 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 4298 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 0 - - 46 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96006 25 341 32 351 29 360 30 001 96006 88985 23 355 25 343 25 355 22 344 88985 83547 17 340 17 317 18 334 20 347 83547 78977 14 322 19 298 23 332 16 332 78977 75019 18 297 21 281 24 303 20 297 75019 71514 10 297 13 254 19 289 19 291 71514 68314 19 292 21 291 19 294 21 281 68314 65301 34 271 32 260 18 251 29 270 65301 62451 41 250 46 230 29 241 41 254 62451 59673 38 231 39 233 36 241 44 235 59673 56781 32 229 29 241 35 241 42 238 56781 53793 34 237 29 241 25 243 31 245 53793 50941 37 242 28 248 23 251 30 254 50941 48364 38 243 29 257 28 258 33 252 48364 46052 39 238 46 253 46 248 38 249 46052 43958 47 231 63 237 54 240 47 242 43958 42047 59 226 71 228 60 237 53 237 42047 40294 71 219 74 218 67 234 55 237 40294 38671 73 214 70 205 69 225 57 237 38671 37162 63 214 59 197 65 213 59 237 37162 35759 59 214 50 201 54 205 62 236 35759 34426 54 211 49 211 43 208 61 233 34426 33097 50 210 57 218 42 221 59 234 33097 31748 49 212 69 218 51 229 62 239 31748 30384 51 214 79 214 60 228 71 239 30384 28993 54 215 85 212 72 225 80 235 28993 27572 57 215 85 211 83 223 81 229 27572 26121 59 214 80 210 84 223 77 230 26121 24627 62 213 76 210 71 223 76 234 24627 23081 66 211 74 209 61 223 74 237 23081 21487 71 210 73 211 57 219 63 237 21487 19838 74 208 72 214 53 212 51 231 19838 18128 72 206 68 217 45 211 48 229 18128 16386 64 203 61 221 39 214 47 229 16386 14707 54 202 55 225 36 217 44 228 14707 13173 47 207 51 227 37 221 40 226 13173 11803 45 213 48 226 37 226 35 225 11803 10575 48 216 46 224 37 229 32 225 10575 9472 51 214 43 221 36 230 29 224 9472 8483 51 212 41*218 34 229 28 226 8483 7598 48 210 39*217 32 226 28 228 7598 6809 45 207 37 215 30 222 28 227 6809 6106 40 203 34 214 28 218 29 223 6106 5470 35 198 31 212 26 214 28 219 5470 4902 30 193 29 211 23 209 25 216 4902 4425 25 186 26 210 21 204 20 212 4425 4056 21 179 24 209 18 199 15 206 4056 3801 16 171 22 209 15 194 10 191 3801 3645 14*168 20 208 12 191 7 171 3645 3556 8*164 16 208 8*188 5*141 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography