DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.7 - - 78.6 - - 87.4 - - 86.3 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 81 - - 396 - - 517 - - 331 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 735 - - 3027 - - 7233 - - 6790 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit 3541 - - 5432 - - 8866 - - 8311 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 4138 - - 6430 - - 10636 - - 10193 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 997 - - 1554 - - 4003 - - 4515 - - 5433 Hgt.Variab. W* 162 - - 440 - - 643 - - 543 - - 62 W* B/S 68 - - 110 - - 20 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 191 - - 279 - - 318 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 20 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -6 - - 10 - - 45 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8540 - - -9112 - - -5313 - - -3936 - - -8639 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12678 - - 15543 - - 15950 - - 14129 - - 12198 sfcLCL ODpotential -17275 - - -14811 - - -8617 - - -5259 - - -11883 ODpotential blCL 21413 - - 21241 - - 19253 - - 15452 - - 15442 blCL maxRH 56 - - 44 - - 62 - - 74 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.7 - - 78.6 - - 87.4 - - 86.3 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 22.5 - - 28.9 - - 36.1 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.8 - - 76.1 - - 84.3 - - 83.9 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.9 - - 22.3 - - 28.8 - - 36.1 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 81 - - 396 - - 517 - - 331 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 735 - - 3027 - - 7233 - - 6790 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99634 28 115 19 115 18 107 24 089 25 102 99634 92066 28 096 20 117 16 119 19 093 22 097 92066 86218 23 086 20 109 21 113 14 108 20 102 86218 81359 17 109 18 108 19 101 14 107 15 103 81359 77199 19 109 12 109 14 099 16 098 14 122 77199 73540 14 091 14 115 11 140 9 075 17 107 73540 70220 8 093 10 123 12 152 3 182 11 079 70220 67158 5 138 8 142 10 165 11 185 1 147 67158 64321 5 181 7 171 7 188 15 191 6 179 64321 61565 11 217 11 208 10 241 9 169 10 211 61565 58697 15 232 18 219 22 236 19 238 23 237 58697 55763 19 235 20 223 24 231 33 239 31 243 55763 52976 23 239 29 235 34 236 36 234 36 234 52976 50460 30 249 33 244 36 239 40 241 36 230 50460 48195 39 254 38 248 43 247 48 250 47 244 48195 46145 47 251 45 250 53 251 66 252 65 249 46145 44281 48 249 48 254 59 254 71 248 76 250 44281 42573 44 248 49 258 63 258 69 248 80 249 42573 40990 37 247 50 262 63 261 66 249 78 246 40990 39511 30 242 47 263 60 262 64 251 76 245 39511 38123 27 228 41 262 58 263 63 252 74 245 38123 36792 25 213 36 263 55 264 62 253 72 247 36792 35451 23 208 34 264 50 263 60 253 69 249 35451 34072 23 210 32 263 47 262 57 252 66 248 34072 32656 22 213 31 259 46 261 52 252 64 246 32656 31192 21 220 29 252 44 263 51 249 66 245 31192 29669 20 227 27 245 43 265 51 248 70 247 29669 28089 20 237 26 245 40 259 52 250 72 250 28089 26447 20 243 27 249 38 251 51 250 68 254 26447 24747 21 240 26 249 37 246 48 248 58 253 24747 22992 22 236 26 243 35 240 44 244 50 247 22992 21179 24 236 28 233 34 234 39 238 46 240 21179 19304 26 236 29 226 35 229 36 233 42 234 19304 17406 28 235 28 224 36 224 35 221 38 227 17406 15587 28 235 26 224 33 218 29 204 35 220 15587 13929 28 238 26 223 26 213 23 203 31 212 13929 12446 27 241 27 222 22 213 18 216 26 208 12446 11118 24 243 27 221 19*217 13*235 20 213 11118 9927 19 242 25 221 15*225 10*257 16 226 9927 8860 15 236 21 217 11 234 10 281 13 242 8860 7907 13 226 15 210 8 248 10 301 12 260 7907 7059 10 217 9*201 6 271 11 318 11 278 7059 6302 7 208 5*195 6 310 13 329 12 296 6302 5619 3 189 2 187 7 328 13 333 12 308 5619 5008 2 123 1 182 8 334 14 335 12 316 5008 4495 2*096 0 012 8 339 14 337 12 320 4495 4098 1*148 1 006 8 342 14 338 12 322 4098 3823 1 239 1 010 8 343 14 339 12 324 3823 3655 1 260 1 005 8 343 14 339 11*325 3655 3559 1 265 1 006 8 344 12 339 9*326 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography