DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 73.9 - - 75.3 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 444 - - 209 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3048 - - 5442 - - 4838 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5396 - - 7362 - - 6559 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6451 - - 8845 - - 8241 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1230 - - 1340 - - 2321 - - 1923 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 417 - - 555 - - 415 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 57 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 313 - - 003 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -8 - - -15 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4354 - - -5790 - - -7960 - - -9131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10806 - - 14636 - - 16202 - - 12689 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11518 - - -12148 - - -14451 - - -16979 ODpotential blCL - - - 17969 - - 20993 - - 22692 - - 20537 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 61 - - 58 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 73.9 - - 75.3 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 21.8 - - 16.2 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 71.1 - - 73.6 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 21.6 - - 16.1 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 444 - - 209 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3048 - - 5442 - - 4838 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99251 7 129 4 187 2 096 6 016 99251 91805 7 056 4 078 6 033 7 082 91805 86022 6 155 2 008 7 042 9 095 86022 81204 13 135 4 183 2 183 7 032 81204 77059 10 140 4 179 3 097 3 116 77059 73391 10 129 8 212 7 313 6 085 73391 70059 3 346 8 152 8 255 5 296 70059 67001 9 279 1 026 6 218 6 251 67001 64160 10 248 8 272 8 252 7 241 64160 61393 9 244 10 244 12 252 13 252 61393 58505 15 271 14 267 15 260 17 257 58505 55524 20 271 21 275 19 265 20 259 55524 52700 19 276 22 279 22 275 20 263 52700 50184 21 291 23 285 26 284 20 283 50184 47952 25 296 27 285 32 281 28 287 47952 45947 25 309 27 287 33 286 32 287 45947 44130 35 321 31 307 35 300 32 298 44130 42467 42 324 39 319 39 317 35 312 42467 40922 44 329 43 326 41 318 35 312 40922 39469 44 330 43 327 39 315 34 306 39469 38099 42 330 41 323 36 314 31 303 38099 36780 43 329 37 318 34 316 30 303 36780 35445 42 326 34 317 33 315 29 300 35445 34068 38 323 35 315 30 309 28 298 34068 32650 36 320 31 303 31 304 27 301 32650 31180 35 315 27 295 30 295 25 300 31180 29645 34 309 27 297 27 290 26 298 29645 28051 30 306 27 299 23 294 26 296 28051 26398 27 308 25 299 21 299 24 293 26398 24691 24 309 23 298 19 295 20 289 24691 22932 21 308 19 297 17 293 18 286 22932 21116 20 306 16 295 15 289 15 283 21116 19238 19 308 15 295 13 284 13 279 19238 17333 16 317 13 296 12 281 11 278 17333 15502 13 320 11 295 10 282 9 276 15502 13838 11 310 10 284 10 284 7 275 13838 12358 9 294 11 273 10 276 6 265 12358 11038 8 287 10 260 11 247 10 240 11038 9858 7 282 7*243 8 237 10 227 9858 8802 6 270 4*239 4*242 7 229 8802 7858 6 243 3 242 3*253 2 229 7858 7017 6*206 2 265 2 287 0 032 7017 6267 5*191 2 320 3 004 3 048 6267 5591 5 185 2 338 5 011 6 043 5591 4988 4 182 3 349 5 014 10 036 4988 4481 4 180 3 354 6 014 12 032 4481 4089 3 177 4 355 6 014 13 028 4089 3818 3 175 4 356 6 015 12 027 3818 3653 3 172 4 356 6 014 9 024 3653 3558 3 173 4 356 5 016 6*022 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography