DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 86.1 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 529 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4283 - - 9350 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6382 - - 10605 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7686 - - 12753 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2450 - - 1760 - - - - - 4598 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 483 - - 705 - - - - - 44 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 13 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 243 - - - - - 360 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 3 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2654 - - -3873 - - - - - -5997 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10340 - - 16627 - - - - - 9556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7011 - - -8065 - - - - - -9110 ODpotential blCL - - - 14697 - - 20818 - - - - - 12668 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 35 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 86.1 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 24.4 - - - - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 82.9 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 24.3 - - - - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 529 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4283 - - 9350 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99697 37 107 35 108 21 096 99697 92175 28 119 20 101 27 098 92175 86363 25 115 18 104 23 086 86363 81523 23 095 21 119 13 077 81523 77355 13 099 17 132 14 091 77355 73683 15 125 13 135 12 102 73683 70367 14 146 7 158 10 100 70367 67330 12 148 7 202 3 185 67330 64518 6 196 6 169 5 210 64518 61786 14 226 10 209 15 232 61786 58959 18 230 22 231 18 230 58959 56041 33 240 35 237 26 250 56041 53253 47 224 49 229 53 248 53253 50749 58 220 63 222 67 231 50749 48492 63 229 68 225 65 231 48492 46433 82 237 82 238 76 241 46433 44551 97 235 102 239 101 241 44551 42816 107 233 112 234 115 237 42816 41196 112 231 114 230 119 232 41196 39674 113 228 112 228 117 230 39674 38246 113 228 109 228 112 230 38246 36883 108 231 106 231 108 230 36883 35517 93 234 98 233 106 231 35517 34121 80 233 85 233 98 234 34121 32695 76 230 81 231 86 235 32695 31225 76 228 80 228 81 235 31225 29698 75 228 77 227 78 233 29698 28113 67 231 76 229 76 230 28113 26466 59 229 72 232 74 229 26466 24760 59 227 66 231 70 231 24760 22998 60 227 62 230 63 235 22998 21178 56 228 58 231 53 237 21178 19298 50 228 51 230 47 233 19298 17396 45 228 45 228 43 230 17396 15572 41 229 39 225 38 227 15572 13912 37 230 29*223 30 213 13912 12429 33 231 18*223 22 205 12429 11101 30 230 16 227 15 219 11101 9912 24 227 15 231 9 241 9912 8846 18 222 13 239 6 267 8846 7893 15*220 13 246 6 312 7893 7046 12*224 12 252 9 340 7046 6290 9 229 12 255 13 348 6290 5609 7 235 12 260 16 354 5609 5001 4 257 11 263 17 356 5001 4490 4 268 11 265 18 356 4490 4094 3 278 11 267 17 357 4094 3821 3 286 11 268 17 358 3821 3654 3 289 10 269 15 359 3654 3558 3 291 10 269 11*360 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography