DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 43.5 - - 39.6 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 285 - - 85 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2690 - - 3886 - - 2572 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4948 - - 5973 - - 4336 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6093 - - 7289 - - 5975 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1445 - - 2355 - - 2955 - - 2788 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 427 - - 249 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 333 - - 336 - - 333 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 277 - - 409 - - 274 - - -501 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5817 - - 6880 - - 5701 - - 4058 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -884 - - -22 - - -267 - - -1960 ODpotential blCL - - - 6977 - - 7311 - - 6242 - - 5516 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 97 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 43.5 - - 39.6 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.0 - - 26.0 - - 27.4 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 41.7 - - 38.8 - - 34.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 25.9 - - 27.4 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 285 - - 85 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2690 - - 3886 - - 2572 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 89 - - 101 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96062 26 314 17 314 30 327 32 338 96062 89058 30 316 33 313 31 327 31 340 89058 83660 13 321 18 295 20 316 13 347 83660 79130 23 324 13 287 21 308 16 319 79130 75186 27 303 22 291 26 301 25 318 75186 71697 17 276 15 253 14 299 24 313 71697 68518 19 305 12 284 21 301 23 305 68518 65561 32 305 34 300 30 302 22 306 65561 62795 33 302 41 300 34 308 27 318 62795 60106 25 294 38 297 32 305 26 320 60106 57286 20 280 28 290 24 299 26 313 57286 54331 22 288 19 289 22 308 29 309 54331 51491 31 299 17 301 30 320 31 322 51491 48939 38 308 28 312 39 326 36 333 48939 46664 44 316 39 319 44 329 40 338 46664 44616 43 323 46 329 46 329 47 340 44616 42760 39 333 48 334 44 332 49 341 42760 41064 31 336 46 339 47 344 50 349 41064 39499 31 356 49 349 54 359 60 001 39499 38049 54 002 58 357 69 007 76 007 38049 36701 73 000 65 001 78 007 93 009 36701 35415 78 359 68 002 72 004 99 008 35415 34123 78 358 69 002 65 002 92 005 34123 32794 77 357 67 002 60 002 83 003 32794 31432 75 355 66 360 59 003 77 002 31432 30024 72 353 64 358 58 004 72 359 30024 28558 68 351 62 357 57 003 67 356 28558 27035 64 351 59 357 55 001 63 352 27035 25453 61 353 55 358 53 360 60 352 25453 23814 61 353 53 357 51 359 59 355 23814 22122 60 351 52 353 50 359 57 359 22122 20370 57 350 51 351 50 357 53 002 20370 18556 52 350 49 351 51 354 49 003 18556 16718 44 352 46 349 51 351 47 003 16718 14952 37 350 42 347 50 351 46 002 14952 13346 34 346 37 345 46 352 45 002 13346 11915 32 343 34 344 40 355 41 003 11915 10641 30 343 28 342 31 357 36 005 10641 9505 27 345 20 335 21 355 28 007 9505 8494 26 344 19 334 17 349 19 003 8494 7597 27 336 19*333 17 343 14 356 7597 6803 25 327 19*333 17 336 12 349 6803 6098 22*326 19 333 18*333 12 338 6098 5462 21*328 19 335 18*333 13 332 5462 4896 20 332 19 336 18 333 13 332 4896 4420 19 334 19 337 18 333 12 335 4420 4053 19 335 19 338 18 333 11 338 4053 3799 18 335 18 339 17 333 9 337 3799 3645 16 336 17 339 16 333 7*336 3645 3556 13 336 15 340 12 333 4*331 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography