DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.0 - - 51.5 - - 48.9 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 91 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 801 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 4204 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 420 - - 994 - - 916 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 68 - - 174 - - 32 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 168 - - 324 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2916 - - -6325 - - -5351 - - -318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6472 - - 10530 - - 8908 - - 3875 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16803 - - -16556 - - -15325 - - -13346 ODpotential blCL - - - 20359 - - 20760 - - 18882 - - 16902 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 34 - - 35 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.0 - - 51.5 - - 48.9 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.9 - - 18.7 - - 23.0 - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 50.7 - - 48.9 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 18.0 - - 22.8 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 91 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 801 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97496 27 118 27 068 24 083 18 074 97496 90291 33 092 27 079 27 082 25 078 90291 84668 39 072 24 080 30 069 26 066 84668 79988 34 068 18 069 27 057 22 069 79988 75923 21 065 18 043 29 033 28 054 75923 72307 16 071 14 046 23 008 28 038 72307 69037 16 074 14 072 10 336 24 024 69037 66039 20 037 18 061 8 021 17 007 66039 63264 25 009 22 023 19 035 17 014 63264 60582 26 002 25 348 28 006 24 353 60582 57799 28 007 26 345 30 353 28 345 57799 54920 33 355 33 345 37 349 34 347 54920 52180 34 346 36 342 40 346 37 333 52180 49718 34 345 35 342 38 344 37 329 49718 47516 38 341 35 342 38 336 38 332 47516 45519 36 338 33 340 35 334 38 335 45519 43692 38 343 30 345 32 337 36 333 43692 42014 37 343 32 346 32 338 31 331 42014 40464 31 325 32 335 31 336 29 331 40464 39020 28 303 30 313 29 324 26 328 39020 37667 32 285 33 297 27 308 27 322 37667 36369 34 272 37 291 33 284 35 299 36369 35065 32 272 41 281 40 284 38 289 35065 33725 29 273 39 281 40 284 37 291 33725 32349 28 276 34 288 37 288 35 293 32349 30922 24 284 30 287 35 291 36 293 30922 29430 22 287 27 287 35 288 37 290 29430 27874 22 285 27 290 34 287 37 290 27874 26254 21 286 28 296 32 293 35 295 26254 24572 18 294 27 297 31 300 34 303 24572 22831 18 306 26 299 31 300 33 309 22831 21025 17 301 23 304 29 299 30 309 21025 19150 16 303 19 305 24 301 25 311 19150 17243 14 298 15 305 20 310 20 319 17243 15406 10 285 12 297 16 319 16 332 15406 13733 6 246 10 272 12 318 13 340 13733 12242 5 220 9 254 10 304 11 333 12242 10914 6 231 9 252 8 286 9 326 10914 9729 10 214 10 244 7 267 8 319 9729 8671 14 200 11 233 10 243 7 297 8671 7731 14 195 13 222 13 228 10 259 7731 6900 14 194 13 213 14 217 12 243 6900 6165 15 193 13 202 12 205 12 236 6165 5505 15 191 12 190 10 192 11 228 5505 4921 15 187 10 179 8 180 10 211 4921 4433 13 181 8*169 5 179 8 192 4433 4058 9 172 5*166 1 264 4 180 4058 3801 4 164 4 169 2 318 1 312 3801 3645 1*164 3 168 3*322 1*302 3645 3556 1*164 3 171 3*324 1*293 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography