DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.9 - - 46.8 - - - - - 41.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 93 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3160 - - 3767 - - - - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4643 - - 5271 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6563 - - 7170 - - - - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2639 - - 2770 - - - - - 5122 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 292 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 299 - - - - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 8 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 707 - - 489 - - - - - -2111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5857 - - 6681 - - - - - 5667 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -67 - - -141 - - - - - -3073 ODpotential blCL - - - 6630 - - 7311 - - - - - 6629 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.9 - - 46.8 - - - - - 41.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 30.0 - - - - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 45.9 - - - - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 29.7 - - - - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 93 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3160 - - 3767 - - - - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - - - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96783 34 260 50 268 38 272 96783 89420 36 267 37 259 38 272 89420 83791 32 258 25 249 33 260 83791 79144 24 246 19 242 24 263 79144 75141 18 254 17 244 22 275 75141 71594 19 266 18 260 17 260 71594 68349 17 255 19 254 17 271 68349 65348 15 240 20 244 24 270 65348 62558 14 242 20 247 18 269 62558 59838 15 248 19 263 20 292 59838 57006 18 266 20 273 16 287 57006 54065 17 271 16 282 20 309 54065 51254 16 289 17 303 27 310 51254 48736 20 309 18 306 29 311 48736 46490 20 326 20 314 26 306 46490 44459 21 334 25 324 21 312 44459 42606 22 332 26 323 30 330 42606 40915 23 333 22 330 31 329 40915 39367 25 340 23 351 34 350 39367 37938 26 352 33 359 43 357 37938 36612 27 359 40 004 48 001 36612 35343 29 354 44 008 49 004 35343 34064 30 346 48 013 47 001 34064 32745 28 344 51 015 47 354 32745 31390 28 346 52 011 47 347 31390 29987 28 346 50 005 44 347 29987 28525 26 343 46 002 39 349 28525 27007 24 336 39 002 35 346 27007 25432 23 326 34 002 32 344 25432 23800 23 318 27 358 32 344 23800 22114 22 314 24 358 32 344 22114 20371 20 309 26 356 29 346 20371 18565 17 299 26 341 26 350 18565 16727 15 298 22 323 27 345 16727 14957 13 297 21 309 29 341 14957 13345 9 276 19 294 28 336 13345 11912 9 268 15 264 23 322 11912 10642 11 281 16 260 19 296 10642 9517 13 281 16 264 12 255 9517 8517 12 282 15 269 12 268 8517 7624 11 286 14*277 13 272 7624 6829 8*297 12*286 14 274 6829 6121 7*311 12 292 13 279 6121 5482 6 329 11 298 13 286 5482 4910 6 335 11 302 13 294 4910 4430 6 340 11 304 12 299 4430 4059 6 343 10 306 12 303 4059 3803 6 345 10 307 11 306 3803 3646 6 347 10 308 9 307 3646 3556 5 348 8 308 7*308 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography