DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 67.5 - - 65.4 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 103 - - 52 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2433 - - 5379 - - 1730 - - 3106 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4942 - - 6656 - - 3542 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5836 - - 8782 - - 5133 - - 6509 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1211 - - 2067 - - 5546 - - 5011 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 391 - - 363 - - 211 - - 134 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 255 - - 120 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - -95 - - 15 - - 29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2195 - - 1911 - - -967 - - -2815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8031 - - 6871 - - 6101 - - 9325 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4606 - - -1024 - - -3121 - - -4363 ODpotential blCL - - - 10442 - - 9806 - - 8254 - - 10872 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 86 - - 98 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 810 - - 840 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 67.5 - - 65.4 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.1 - - 49.5 - - 50.7 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 66.5 - - 64.6 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 48.1 - - 49.5 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 103 - - 52 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2433 - - 5379 - - 1730 - - 3106 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 42 - - 91 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99563 26 104 26 110 29 113 25 089 99563 91962 24 116 21 112 20 095 22 102 91962 86117 25 114 20 124 14 093 16 094 86117 81287 21 114 17 128 17 114 17 099 81287 77116 17 114 18 127 14 102 16 102 77116 73435 10 130 18 116 15 116 10 129 73435 70127 10 147 10 114 14 125 13 138 70127 67094 9 167 6 140 10 138 9 131 67094 64274 10 178 6 191 4 162 5 179 64274 61540 11 182 10 205 9 228 11 226 61540 58688 11 176 12 193 8 224 16 213 58688 55717 13 208 16 221 15 246 16 230 55717 52870 22 209 25 224 20 240 16 241 52870 50293 23 214 28 226 23 238 18 249 50293 47974 23 216 26 228 23 236 20 250 47974 45871 23 221 23 233 20 250 20 262 45871 43948 22 229 23 236 24 260 26 264 43948 42175 23 237 25 233 31 256 28 261 42175 40529 25 240 26 236 33 249 30 263 40529 38997 27 237 23 248 35 249 29 262 38997 37572 26 229 24 261 35 243 27 271 37572 36213 21 224 21 253 28 242 31 277 36213 34851 19 223 14 241 26 244 31 270 34851 33456 19 221 9 219 23 228 27 260 33456 32037 19 211 13 207 16 213 24 254 32037 30591 21 186 19 208 13 209 20 239 30591 29106 29 153 19 213 12 221 19 217 29106 27572 37 128 18 207 12 223 19 207 27572 25978 24 141 17 197 12 223 17 216 25978 24327 20 160 16 189 10 235 17 232 24327 22621 24 180 14 186 11 225 18 247 22621 20856 28 187 13 188 12 220 17 255 20856 19026 28 196 13 188 11 234 15 260 19026 17166 26 207 15 189 11 243 16 269 17166 15377 26 217 16 194 12 241 21 265 15377 13745 24 229 15 203 12 251 24 258 13745 12287 20 246 13 218 11 263 17 262 12287 10984 17 264 11 239 9 281 6 278 10984 9817 15 280 10*257 8 293 4 313 9817 8771 12 291 10*268 8 297 6 332 8771 7834 9 290 9 272 6 302 8 341 7834 7000 4 307 8 270 4 306 10*343 7000 6256 5*001 7 263 2 315 12*345 6256 5583 7*357 6 250 0*061 13 346 5583 4982 8 350 5 228 2*112 13 347 4982 4478 8 348 4 217 4 119 13 348 4478 4087 8 344 4 212 4 120 13 349 4087 3817 8 342 4 210 4 123 12 349 3817 3653 8 342 4 210 4 123 11 350 3653 3558 7 340 3 211 4 125 9 350 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography