DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 48.9 - - 44.4 - - 36.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -40 - - 41 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 3250 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3984 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 6653 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3394 - - 1965 - - 4660 - - 803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 43 - - 226 - - 0 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 27 - - 0 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 225 - - 270 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -8 - - -1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -600 - - 354 - - -1197 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4158 - - 6300 - - 4755 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2249 - - -2607 - - -3218 - - -3086 ODpotential blCL - - - 5806 - - 9260 - - 6775 - - 6642 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 73 - - 69 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 48.9 - - 44.4 - - 36.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.2 - - 33.3 - - 35.7 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 48.5 - - 46.5 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 32.4 - - 34.8 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -40 - - 41 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 3250 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96052 22 334 20 355 19 005 20 343 96052 89019 20 336 22 337 16 339 13 320 89019 83536 13 333 20 309 23 323 17 318 83536 78956 20 301 22 279 29 294 22 315 78956 74985 18 315 11 263 21 285 12 322 74985 71445 25 282 22 258 19 272 23 278 71445 68229 29 258 26 248 31 257 34 245 68229 65269 28 258 30 236 29 230 28 208 65269 62493 35 253 31 231 14 232 16 216 62493 59756 40 242 33 235 31 263 36 257 59756 56886 43 240 50 237 68 234 59 241 56886 53911 56 228 60 227 66 216 61 228 53911 51069 65 215 65 214 62 206 59 215 51069 48512 64 209 63 204 59 209 60 209 48512 46225 57 210 56 211 58 214 58 209 46225 44156 58 225 56 222 59 222 58 217 44156 42265 72 230 66 226 69 228 71 224 42265 40522 87 227 84 223 88 227 83 223 40522 38908 99 223 101 219 104 222 91 224 38908 37414 113 219 115 219 110 217 101 224 37414 36030 127 215 129 217 111 214 106 221 36030 34715 135 212 141 215 118 211 105 219 34715 33401 140 209 150 211 126 208 105 218 33401 32060 143 208 154 206 129 205 104 217 32060 30697 137 208 142 202 130 203 99 216 30697 29308 128 206 135 201 130 201 88 216 29308 27883 123 204 135 202 127 202 74 217 27883 26416 123 203 141 208 118 206 63 219 26416 24897 123 206 132 214 99 211 55 222 24897 23326 115 211 100 217 71 217 51 227 23326 21703 97 210 68 215 51 215 47 232 21703 20023 74 202 58 210 45 212 42 231 20023 18281 65 197 58 208 43 210 38 222 18281 16508 66 199 57 212 44 212 39 212 16508 14799 65 206 54 220 42 218 40 209 14799 13240 61 214 54 228 37 223 40 211 13240 11851 58 220 53 232 33 227 36 215 11851 10612 58 223 51 234 30 227 31 218 10612 9504 59 223 48 232 28 224 26 221 9504 8510 60 221 43 229 27 220 22 221 8510 7620 60 216 39 226 26 218 16 219 7620 6827 58 210 35*224 25 218 10 213 6827 6118 55 205 33*225 23 220 6 187 6118 5476 51 201 31 225 20 223 4 101 5476 4905 45 198 29 226 18 226 9 043 4905 4426 41 195 27 226 14 228 14 028 4426 4056 35 194 24 226 10 229 15 027 4056 3801 30 193 22 226 7 229 13 026 3801 3645 26*192 20 226 4*232 10 025 3645 3556 17*192 15 226 0*270 5*023 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography