DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 73.5 - - - - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 384 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4648 - - 9977 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6571 - - 10955 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8051 - - 13380 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3044 - - 2119 - - - - - 12090 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 458 - - 649 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 170 - - - - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 14 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4646 - - -2658 - - - - - -10691 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12697 - - 16039 - - - - - 14250 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6776 - - -4960 - - - - - -13308 ODpotential blCL - - - 14827 - - 18340 - - - - - 16866 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 77 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 73.5 - - - - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.3 - - 14.2 - - - - - 14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 71.2 - - - - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.0 - - 13.7 - - - - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 384 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4648 - - 9977 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 9 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96785 19 269 30 286 27 302 96785 89516 17 298 21 284 23 297 89516 83957 13 303 14 286 20 282 83957 79358 7 276 11 307 12 277 79358 75386 12 251 17 292 7 298 75386 71855 11 250 16 277 9 317 71855 68642 6 273 15 257 15 296 68642 65682 9 298 11 254 18 283 65682 62928 11 311 11 274 19 272 62928 60244 15 277 15 261 17 253 60244 57431 16 257 16 251 14 249 57431 54496 14 250 18 240 16 248 54496 51693 17 247 21 239 21 231 51693 49176 23 243 21 239 20 228 49176 46923 25 236 19 238 25 231 46923 44890 25 226 21 233 28 227 44890 43044 24 212 27 224 29 225 43044 41356 23 203 35 217 32 224 41356 39806 33 204 40 213 35 227 39806 38377 49 201 45 208 41 226 38377 37050 52 200 46 205 37 225 37050 35777 49 202 46 205 33 220 35777 34490 45 203 44 205 32 215 34490 33161 43 203 42 206 32 212 33161 31793 42 200 41 206 32 211 31793 30376 42 197 39 202 33 213 30376 28897 43 197 36 196 33 216 28897 27359 40 200 35 191 32 217 27359 25763 35 196 34 188 30 214 25763 24112 33 189 34 187 29 209 24112 22414 34 188 34 191 29 210 22414 20664 33 191 34 195 31 208 20664 18863 32 193 33 197 31 201 18863 17041 30 195 31 197 29 188 17041 15288 29 196 30 196 25 178 15288 13686 31 193 26*188 20 182 13686 12252 32 189 22*177 17 185 12252 10964 31 184 21 176 16 188 10964 9807 28 182 21 174 15 191 9807 8767 24*180 20 172 14 191 8767 7834 20*178 20 169 13 190 7834 7003 18 175 19 168 12 189 7003 6259 16 172 19 167 11 188 6259 5586 15 171 18 165 10 185 5586 4985 14 169 18 164 9 180 4985 4479 14 168 17 163 8 176 4479 4088 12 166 16 163 7 170 4088 3817 12 166 16 163 6 164 3817 3653 11 165 15 162 4 161 3653 3558 10 165 13 162 4*163 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography