DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.2 - - 47.4 - - - - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 218 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1132 - - 2554 - - - - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4877 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4535 - - 5957 - - - - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1375 - - 1350 - - - - - 2853 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 340 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 044 - - 306 - - - - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -479 - - -160 - - - - - -134 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5015 - - 6117 - - - - - 3690 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2384 - - -1495 - - - - - -1445 ODpotential blCL - - - 6919 - - 7452 - - - - - 5001 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 94 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.2 - - 47.4 - - - - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 33.3 - - - - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 45.8 - - - - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 33.0 - - - - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 218 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1132 - - 2554 - - - - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 77 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96136 12 333 19 012 17 040 96136 89073 13 344 24 316 23 006 89073 83643 18 343 19 307 25 341 83643 79106 28 345 13 317 22 314 79106 75179 27 320 15 320 11 319 75179 71680 14 307 14 313 15 354 71680 68501 18 327 17 307 28 336 68501 65598 26 336 15 326 23 337 65598 62888 29 336 20 338 17 359 62888 60225 25 333 25 339 27 355 60225 57433 21 345 27 344 28 350 57433 54534 25 346 26 355 32 008 54534 51770 31 002 39 014 44 003 51770 49309 46 356 52 001 54 355 49309 47143 47 352 49 356 47 358 47143 45209 52 006 55 015 50 034 45209 43441 86 010 88 016 58 041 43441 41805 89 010 101 015 99 020 41805 40287 93 024 103 017 107 014 40287 38863 109 027 111 019 105 015 38863 37516 107 018 117 018 101 016 37516 36216 108 013 117 018 96 018 36216 34900 109 010 111 019 89 018 34900 33543 108 010 101 019 80 017 33543 32148 105 010 96 018 73 016 32148 30702 104 010 94 015 69 016 30702 29195 100 011 92 014 67 015 29195 27627 91 010 86 015 65 013 27627 25997 83 010 79 013 65 014 25997 24309 78 011 75 012 64 014 24309 22566 66 011 66 011 63 015 22566 20763 53 005 59 005 62 016 20763 18895 50 359 58 360 62 015 18895 17002 48 359 53 357 58 013 17002 15185 40 004 38 358 50 007 15185 13539 30 004 25 003 39 358 13539 12080 26 355 19 009 31 352 12080 10784 23 342 19 006 27 346 10784 9630 19 335 19 359 25 341 9630 8601 16 336 18 353 24 335 8601 7685 13 339 15 346 22 327 7685 6874 11 340 12 336 20 320 6874 6153 10 340 7*315 18 314 6153 5503 9 340 6*307 15 313 5503 4924 6*343 6 306 11 319 4924 4438 2*018 6 306 9 336 4438 4064 1 046 5 306 8 350 4064 3805 1 051 5 306 7 354 3805 3647 1 055 5 306 6 356 3647 3556 1 056 5 307 4*356 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography