DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 70.0 - - 72.4 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 438 - - 520 - - 308 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3531 - - 5423 - - 5270 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5849 - - 7405 - - 7082 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6934 - - 8826 - - 8673 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1000 - - 1234 - - 1925 - - 4102 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 585 - - 488 - - 61 W* B/S - - - 128 - - 21 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 308 - - 343 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -10 - - 6 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2449 - - -3721 - - -4402 - - -5699 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9384 - - 12548 - - 13076 - - 9258 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10112 - - -11441 - - -10894 - - -11895 ODpotential blCL - - - 17046 - - 20267 - - 19567 - - 15453 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 63 - - 45 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 70.0 - - 72.4 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 27.1 - - 27.2 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 67.1 - - 70.2 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 26.6 - - 26.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 438 - - 520 - - 308 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3531 - - 5423 - - 5270 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98821 26 135 18 084 30 111 20 105 98821 91297 22 129 18 107 21 101 19 109 91297 85547 25 117 17 126 12 105 19 094 85547 80805 19 110 17 118 11 122 14 089 80805 76717 12 125 13 128 8 092 13 100 76717 73095 11 130 12 149 5 143 9 070 73095 69820 5 135 9 132 9 165 2 173 69820 66806 6 176 2 210 4 181 4 140 66806 63997 6 161 8 229 8 263 5 245 63997 61261 5 286 9 273 13 284 9 259 61261 58412 11 258 17 256 20 273 17 261 58412 55470 16 271 19 264 24 271 24 273 55470 52668 28 277 26 264 29 262 35 266 52668 50153 37 277 33 271 33 269 40 272 50153 47911 43 277 40 273 38 278 43 276 47911 45897 44 284 49 282 47 286 46 287 45897 44064 53 290 54 288 53 289 55 289 44064 42383 59 293 54 294 59 301 64 293 42383 40833 58 295 64 302 71 298 67 290 40833 39387 65 299 71 299 71 293 66 290 39387 38023 69 302 70 298 69 295 64 291 38023 36708 67 304 68 300 69 300 64 292 36708 35377 64 304 66 303 69 303 62 293 35377 34003 61 301 62 303 66 303 59 293 34003 32590 58 299 60 299 59 303 54 294 32590 31124 54 300 58 296 53 302 50 291 31124 29592 50 301 54 292 48 300 48 286 29592 27998 49 299 50 289 46 294 46 284 27998 26346 48 298 47 290 46 291 44 283 26346 24636 44 301 46 295 44 290 42 281 24636 22872 38 301 42 300 38 288 38 279 22872 21049 34 294 35 300 33 284 35 276 21049 19166 31 288 30 292 31 282 35 274 19166 17257 28 286 27 281 31 282 36 274 17257 15426 25 287 24 277 28 280 34 279 15426 13762 23 289 19 276 25 273 30 278 13762 12285 19 291 16 273 21 257 26 264 12285 10971 15 291 14 260 16 243 24 245 10971 9798 12 287 10*247 9 256 16 236 9798 8750 8 275 6*261 7*273 8 246 8750 7814 6*246 6 269 6*283 4 299 7814 6981 2*228 5 278 7 325 7 345 6981 6239 2 232 5 314 9 344 10 351 6239 5570 1 249 6 324 9 349 14 348 5570 4973 1 306 6 331 10 351 16 345 4973 4472 1 345 7 337 10 353 16 344 4472 4084 1 355 7 339 10 354 16 344 4084 3815 2 001 7 341 10 355 15 343 3815 3652 2 359 7 341 10 355 14*344 3652 3558 2 001 6 341 9 355 11*343 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography