DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 46.7 - - 44.2 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 84 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 950 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 4353 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 840 - - 1298 - - 1456 - - 377 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 44 - - 179 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 173 - - 275 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -3 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3898 - - -4724 - - -4384 - - -1760 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7454 - - 9077 - - 7941 - - 5316 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15764 - - -15021 - - -14805 - - -13992 ODpotential blCL - - - 19320 - - 19374 - - 18361 - - 17548 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 72 - - 77 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 46.7 - - 44.2 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.2 - - 20.0 - - 22.6 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 46.0 - - 45.3 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 19.4 - - 22.1 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 84 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 950 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97113 42 060 62 053 62 058 38 049 97113 89849 33 057 43 058 51 049 50 033 89849 84238 40 033 45 045 48 044 50 040 84238 79535 28 018 28 041 42 052 46 044 79535 75431 30 012 28 016 43 027 41 043 75431 71808 33 348 30 354 29 345 36 011 71808 68557 26 340 21 009 18 357 30 345 68557 65601 20 337 25 354 22 340 23 349 65601 62875 16 331 32 340 24 339 23 349 62875 60233 22 338 32 336 30 346 27 345 60233 57476 20 329 32 339 32 344 29 341 57476 54612 27 354 27 340 28 344 27 340 54612 51882 35 352 25 347 29 345 26 336 51882 49440 32 347 27 346 28 334 23 328 49440 47266 33 355 22 348 22 330 21 324 47266 45317 39 348 27 351 24 345 18 333 45317 43557 36 341 37 335 29 337 22 336 43557 41945 29 344 39 322 35 328 31 335 41945 40450 28 339 37 320 39 325 29 333 40450 39045 29 336 32 324 35 326 28 335 39045 37717 29 344 24 333 31 329 30 337 37717 36435 29 359 21 342 28 324 31 340 36435 35135 27 004 22 339 19 319 26 341 35135 33791 20 346 18 332 16 323 21 335 33791 32406 17 325 15 328 15 321 21 328 32406 30967 17 321 15 318 13 313 20 315 30967 29462 17 318 15 314 12 315 15 303 29462 27894 17 314 16 314 13 310 12 292 27894 26261 17 310 16 311 15 302 14 287 26261 24568 16 307 15 297 17 300 15 293 24568 22819 16 307 16 289 20 302 17 300 22819 21010 17 315 17 290 21 301 19 308 21010 19136 19 328 16 294 18 301 21 313 19136 17231 18 344 13 301 15 306 20 315 17231 15396 16 355 10 311 12 315 18 318 15396 13724 14 359 9 307 10 325 14 319 13724 12231 10 358 10 295 10 332 10 321 12231 10899 6 325 12 294 10 331 7 328 10899 9708 5 279 11 292 8 328 5 350 9708 8648 7 223 8 272 4 319 3 039 8648 7708 12 192 9 229 4 221 4 157 7708 6879 11 201 9 216 7 211 9 190 6879 6148 14 207 9 210 7 205 10 197 6148 5494 18 201 9 196 6 195 11 202 5494 4914 21 192 9 177 6 178 17 191 4914 4429 20 182 9*171 5 172 20 179 4429 4057 18 174 8*170 2 182 15 171 4057 3801 15 166 7 172 1 216 8 165 3801 3645 13 164 6 175 1 252 5*159 3645 3556 8*160 6 176 1*275 1*134 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography