DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 52.5 - - 51.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 86 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 1899 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3743 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3557 - - 5302 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1808 - - 2169 - - 4948 - - 899 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 69 - - 226 - - 40 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 13 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 236 - - 234 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4172 - - -4104 - - -5108 - - -130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7729 - - 9406 - - 8666 - - 3687 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7908 - - -7673 - - -9409 - - -4006 ODpotential blCL - - - 11465 - - 12975 - - 12966 - - 7563 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 52.5 - - 51.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.5 - - 24.0 - - 26.5 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 51.6 - - 51.7 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.1 - - 23.8 - - 26.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 86 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 154 - - 1899 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 71 - - 99 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95124 75 307 73 313 79 310 71 298 95124 88434 53 316 50 324 61 318 49 309 88434 83122 50 312 53 315 58 316 45 328 83122 78610 43 310 51 303 51 311 49 331 78610 74720 34 314 39 308 42 316 44 323 74720 71301 32 319 32 322 38 323 33 320 71301 68181 37 312 40 320 39 317 31 320 68181 65279 39 305 49 310 41 309 35 308 65279 62582 43 303 51 300 44 301 41 296 62582 59967 47 303 44 299 42 299 41 290 59967 57232 45 301 40 304 41 301 39 294 57232 54389 41 303 42 306 42 306 39 301 54389 51677 41 305 48 305 47 315 38 312 51677 49238 47 298 54 304 64 319 55 315 49238 47049 44 297 59 307 73 305 63 302 47049 45061 48 320 67 305 65 300 53 303 45061 43247 64 323 62 308 48 312 51 318 43247 41602 80 331 62 321 63 328 79 315 41602 40101 112 332 85 329 92 319 85 311 40101 38694 119 324 89 327 94 315 76 308 38694 37364 111 320 85 327 78 318 61 309 37364 36078 110 322 79 327 62 326 58 313 36078 34775 107 325 72 327 58 327 53 313 34775 33427 98 328 64 322 58 322 50 304 33427 32039 87 328 59 315 57 314 49 296 32039 30597 78 322 61 313 52 310 45 292 30597 29092 74 314 67 316 46 306 42 288 29092 27526 73 309 70 313 44 301 42 284 27526 25902 68 305 68 304 43 304 41 281 25902 24225 58 303 67 297 41 308 35 276 24225 22500 46 306 57 295 41 303 24 282 22500 20719 39 300 46 297 43 288 22 302 20719 18875 36 293 42 300 44 277 30 298 18875 17004 35 292 41 298 42 273 40 294 17004 15208 31 290 36 292 36 271 44 293 15208 13574 27 288 27 286 28 266 45 294 13574 12119 26 286 19 280 23 253 43 294 12119 10822 25 282 15 273 22 241 39 289 10822 9664 24 277 14 263 22 232 37 279 9664 8631 24 270 16 255 21 226 36 268 8631 7711 25 264 19 251 20 224 34 260 7711 6894 26 260 21 248 18 224 30 251 6894 6166 27 256 21 245 17 226 24 241 6166 5510 26 249 19*241 17 228 18 235 5510 4928 22 239 17*237 16 230 10 229 4928 4440 17 232 14 236 14 232 6 205 4440 4065 12 225 13 236 13 233 7 161 4065 3805 8 216 11 237 11 233 7 137 3805 3647 7*210 10 237 10*233 5*121 3647 3557 5*206 9 237 8*234 3*113 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography