DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 51.1 - - - - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 346 - - - - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6262 - - 4499 - - - - - 4082 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8005 - - 6525 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9665 - - 7902 - - - - - 7485 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1241 - - 3025 - - - - - 3592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 576 - - 480 - - - - - 203 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - - - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 311 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1511 - - 270 - - - - - 248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8154 - - 7633 - - - - - 7237 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 900 - - -229 - - - - - -584 ODpotential blCL - - - 8765 - - 8131 - - - - - 8069 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 99 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 30 - - - - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 51.1 - - - - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 29.9 - - - - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 48.9 - - - - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.8 - - 29.7 - - - - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 346 - - - - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6262 - - 4499 - - - - - 4082 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 98 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98767 20 122 18 110 20 115 98767 91264 17 149 7 133 16 089 91264 85487 13 129 3 150 9 055 85487 80703 8 123 4 145 9 133 80703 76587 13 130 7 162 11 127 76587 72945 8 130 8 168 4 055 72945 69644 3 195 5 156 2 109 69644 66599 10 198 13 207 5 258 66599 63762 8 256 4 202 7 227 63762 61004 23 242 25 244 19 256 61004 58113 22 259 21 232 23 248 58113 55094 35 271 22 269 26 263 55094 52213 43 262 34 266 32 265 52213 49631 40 257 40 263 35 263 49631 47321 41 259 44 260 32 270 47321 45226 45 257 44 256 34 276 45226 43305 49 256 47 258 38 279 43305 41526 55 259 53 260 43 281 41526 39869 63 259 58 262 49 281 39869 38322 67 259 61 259 59 281 38322 36881 74 260 59 260 66 277 36881 35508 81 259 66 264 65 276 35508 34136 89 255 76 259 65 280 34136 32737 95 252 82 252 69 284 32737 31313 93 249 84 248 74 283 31313 29853 87 247 84 248 72 278 29853 28346 85 248 84 251 71 272 28346 26797 84 249 80 253 72 267 26797 25207 80 251 76 254 74 263 25207 23577 75 253 72 254 73 262 23577 21905 70 255 69 252 67 263 21905 20188 66 257 66 252 56 264 20188 18418 61 259 62 256 41 266 18418 16624 54 260 55 259 32 274 16624 14897 46 261 46 259 27 285 14897 13327 39 267 36 258 22 282 13327 11931 29 273 22 254 19 279 11931 10683 17*277 17 254 18 284 10683 9564 14*281 17 259 19 291 9564 8561 14 283 16*278 19 295 8561 7664 14 288 17*295 18*299 7664 6864 14 291 18 303 18*303 6864 6150 14 295 19 309 18 306 6150 5503 14 297 19 313 18 308 5503 4927 14 300 20 315 18 310 4927 4441 14 302 19 317 18 311 4441 4066 14 303 19 318 17 311 4066 3806 13 303 19 319 17 312 3806 3648 13 304 18 319 15 313 3648 3557 11 304 15 320 12 313 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography