DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 78.6 - - 78.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 543 - - 336 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3599 - - 5932 - - 6485 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5896 - - 7832 - - 8075 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7002 - - 9335 - - 9888 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1301 - - 1727 - - 1771 - - 6783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 612 - - 537 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 69 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 341 - - 356 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - -13 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6603 - - -7031 - - -6616 - - -10765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13606 - - 16367 - - 16505 - - 14325 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12538 - - -12106 - - -11552 - - -16017 ODpotential blCL - - - 19540 - - 21441 - - 21440 - - 19576 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 39 - - 37 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 78.6 - - 78.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.6 - - 18.4 - - 17.9 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 75.3 - - 76.4 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 18.2 - - 17.8 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 543 - - 336 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3599 - - 5932 - - 6485 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99156 25 115 30 112 24 107 26 086 99156 91613 25 113 19 106 23 099 25 093 91613 85829 19 113 16 112 18 100 21 094 85829 81029 14 105 17 122 14 106 16 095 81029 76893 11 113 10 120 16 117 11 101 76893 73232 12 106 10 106 11 106 14 119 73232 69914 11 142 8 113 8 103 10 111 69914 66863 8 141 4 182 5 065 7 094 66863 64036 5 111 4 193 2 277 4 030 64036 61297 5 315 4 235 6 248 7 280 61297 58441 13 277 10 267 13 272 10 275 58441 55477 14 277 15 280 19 279 15 282 55477 52652 23 277 23 279 26 278 22 288 52652 50119 28 270 28 276 29 281 29 289 50119 47862 31 271 32 278 35 285 35 290 47862 45828 35 271 39 280 41 286 40 293 45828 43984 39 272 41 280 41 282 48 293 43984 42300 39 277 37 282 41 288 45 299 42300 40743 40 281 38 288 42 294 45 309 40743 39289 43 279 42 291 43 301 48 314 39289 37923 45 275 44 292 47 305 51 319 37923 36609 43 273 41 291 48 306 54 322 36609 35282 37 271 35 295 47 305 54 316 35282 33915 35 271 34 301 45 305 51 308 33915 32511 32 274 33 301 42 307 44 307 32511 31058 31 278 31 295 39 303 39 308 31058 29546 30 281 31 293 35 299 37 307 29546 27974 29 284 29 296 32 296 36 306 27974 26343 25 286 25 294 28 290 33 302 26343 24652 20 288 22 293 26 289 33 298 24652 22905 15 291 17 296 24 291 32 298 22905 21100 11 299 11 299 20 292 28 299 21100 19233 9 302 8 296 16 290 23 299 19233 17336 9 303 9 289 13 287 17 300 17336 15512 10 305 10 288 11 285 13 296 15512 13851 11 303 10 287 10 275 13 284 13851 12371 11 300 9 282 9 267 13 271 12371 11051 9 298 8 276 7*281 10 274 11051 9871 7 297 5*293 7*327 6 307 9871 8815 6 291 5*313 7 340 6 359 8815 7871 4*274 5 325 8 343 7 010 7871 7031 1*288 5 334 10 358 10 016 7031 6280 1 322 6 342 11 001 12 018 6280 5601 1 349 6 345 12 003 13 018 5601 4996 1 002 7 348 12 004 14 017 4996 4486 2 004 7 351 12 005 14 016 4486 4093 2 009 7 351 12 005 13 016 4093 3820 2 008 7 353 12 006 13 016 3820 3654 2 009 7 352 12 006 12*015 3654 3559 2 007 7 352 11 006 9*015 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography