DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 40.7 - - 39.2 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 9 - - 2 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 154 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 3557 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1506 - - 2571 - - 1015 - - 311 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 49 - - 29 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 155 - - 016 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -14 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3556 - - 3572 - - 3556 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1473 - - -839 - - -367 - - -3887 ODpotential blCL - - - 5029 - - 4396 - - 3923 - - 7443 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.5 - - 40.7 - - 39.2 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 37.2 - - 38.1 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 40.4 - - 39.0 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 36.4 - - 37.9 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 9 - - 2 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 154 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95985 25 330 29 341 24 344 11 350 95985 88928 21 325 24 331 17 339 20 344 88928 83425 15 312 23 308 23 310 24 311 83425 78863 13 323 15 277 17 283 14 283 78863 74894 29 293 15 309 21 318 10 308 74894 71333 38 273 28 284 38 288 28 293 71333 68104 34 265 35 261 43 273 37 271 68104 65145 31 257 38 248 43 258 37 252 65145 62392 33 251 38 243 41 254 34 252 62392 59701 40 254 40 244 43 246 37 250 59701 56876 47 255 46 246 47 246 46 251 56876 53932 57 247 56 245 58 246 57 245 53932 51117 65 246 64 244 64 242 64 240 51117 48586 72 246 71 246 65 241 65 236 48586 46325 75 240 76 242 68 241 65 230 46325 44279 76 236 77 236 74 234 66 226 44279 42411 80 235 80 231 76 228 70 228 42411 40701 88 234 84 228 77 232 74 232 40701 39129 96 229 89 230 82 235 85 231 39129 37682 97 222 91 230 87 233 88 227 37682 36349 93 221 83 225 85 227 85 226 36349 35081 86 225 77 226 81 223 83 225 35081 33807 78 227 75 228 74 222 75 221 33807 32497 79 229 71 226 67 224 60 213 32497 31152 80 230 69 226 65 226 67 213 31152 29757 77 230 70 228 65 226 68 214 29757 28304 73 233 70 228 63 226 65 216 28304 26795 73 234 70 228 61 226 61 220 26795 25232 74 235 69 229 61 229 58 223 25232 23616 72 236 68 231 62 232 56 223 23616 21952 69 238 68 232 61 234 55 223 21952 20231 65 238 68 232 61 235 55 224 20231 18450 60 233 65 231 65 234 58 225 18450 16645 59 226 65 230 70 229 60 225 16645 14911 54 218 66 230 71 226 61 225 14911 13335 43 209 65 230 69 226 59 225 13335 11931 33 207 57 228 62 226 56 224 11931 10677 28 221 43 223 52 224 52 222 10677 9556 29 238 29 215 46 221 51 219 9556 8552 28 246 20 210 41 218 49 216 8552 7655 25 245 15 211 35 215 45 214 7655 6854 21 239 12 215 27 213 39 212 6854 6139 18 229 10 215 18 211 33 208 6139 5491 14 214 8 209 10 208 26 203 5491 4914 11 188 6 184 3 191 19 197 4914 4429 12 168 5 161 3 052 10 187 4429 4056 12 157 5 157 4 025 2 169 4056 3800 10 154 5 156 4 019 1 036 3800 3645 7*150 4*155 4*017 2*013 3645 3556 5*149 4*155 3*016 2*008 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography