DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/26 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 63.3 - - - - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 189 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1842 - - 3961 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3935 - - 5898 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5245 - - 7364 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2966 - - 3329 - - - - - 5243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 388 - - - - - 38 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 14 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 286 - - - - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 29 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 336 - - 1272 - - - - - -1670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4910 - - 6092 - - - - - 5228 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1141 - - -19 - - - - - -2945 ODpotential blCL - - - 6386 - - 7383 - - - - - 6503 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 99 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 400 - - - - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 63.3 - - - - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 48.5 - - - - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 61.9 - - - - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 47.4 - - - - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 189 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1842 - - 3961 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 95 - - - - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99350 28 105 26 111 32 096 99350 91814 21 111 22 117 21 092 91814 86017 19 125 16 124 13 096 86017 81194 13 135 13 120 12 118 81194 77018 14 152 10 125 14 121 77018 73325 16 129 5 152 9 098 73325 69981 10 106 7 156 7 088 69981 66902 0 111 6 098 4 097 66902 64046 3 274 2 257 2 328 64046 61273 9 249 8 262 3 173 61273 58374 11 229 8 239 16 281 58374 55368 18 268 14 283 17 273 55368 52496 21 278 24 278 20 290 52496 49898 25 272 23 280 26 289 49898 47565 26 271 27 284 31 295 47565 45451 29 272 33 281 38 297 45451 43524 29 267 33 280 42 295 43524 41756 28 262 34 285 42 293 41756 40119 27 261 33 281 39 293 40119 38596 25 267 30 282 34 292 38596 37181 26 274 27 289 30 294 37181 35837 28 274 28 290 29 292 35837 34495 25 271 29 283 29 284 34495 33127 23 275 29 275 29 274 33127 31737 22 288 27 266 31 268 31737 30306 21 295 29 258 31 265 30306 28824 22 294 30 261 28 260 28824 27289 23 285 28 266 26 261 27289 25699 23 278 27 268 27 269 25699 24053 22 274 27 269 29 269 24053 22355 22 266 25 267 29 260 22355 20601 22 257 24 268 27 258 20601 18783 21 250 23 267 23 258 18783 16938 20 249 20 255 23 250 16938 15166 20 251 20 255 25 238 15166 13556 19 251 19 253 25 232 13556 12123 18 248 19 248 23 241 12123 10843 17 247 19 246 23 256 10843 9697 16 254 18 250 24 262 9697 8671 14 261 17 260 22 263 8671 7752 13 267 16*269 19 266 7752 6935 10 273 15*277 17 271 6935 6206 8 287 15 282 15 279 6206 5546 6*310 14 287 14 289 5546 4957 6*323 14 288 13 299 4957 4461 6 334 14 290 12 304 4461 4078 6 338 13 291 12 308 4078 3813 6 340 13 292 11 311 3813 3651 6 341 12 293 10*313 3651 3558 5 343 10 293 8*313 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography