DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.9 - - 66.0 - - 67.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 365 - - 147 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2415 - - 4294 - - 3946 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4777 - - 6383 - - 5706 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 5818 - - 7697 - - 7349 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1320 - - 1267 - - 1743 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 334 - - 480 - - 345 - - - W* B/S - - - 67 - - 41 - - 12 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 335 - - 359 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - -11 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1582 - - -3575 - - -4520 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7400 - - 11273 - - 11869 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8440 - - -9257 - - -10203 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 14258 - - 16954 - - 17552 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 42 - - 84 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.9 - - 66.0 - - 67.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 28.9 - - 27.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 63.5 - - 65.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 28.7 - - 27.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 365 - - 147 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2415 - - 4294 - - 3946 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 34 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98546 18 246 23 260 22 271 98546 91149 16 266 18 266 17 278 91149 85430 15 257 19 270 13 279 85430 80676 12 231 20 250 17 279 80676 76586 7 248 12 236 16 277 76586 72978 7 283 7 258 10 277 72978 69710 6 288 8 288 10 284 69710 66699 9 291 10 279 14 299 66699 63900 12 289 14 285 18 306 63900 61187 12 277 16 285 19 303 61187 58360 11 282 15 274 19 286 58360 55427 15 303 15 268 20 274 55427 52627 22 295 19 286 21 272 52627 50103 28 286 26 295 26 284 50103 47843 27 280 28 288 31 287 47843 45799 24 281 24 284 30 285 45799 43929 24 296 22 298 28 288 43929 42205 24 305 25 302 28 295 42205 40608 25 306 26 303 27 300 40608 39126 23 309 26 305 26 308 39126 37748 22 315 25 311 25 313 37748 36436 21 321 25 319 25 320 36436 35120 21 327 24 330 28 325 35120 33765 20 338 23 338 29 325 33765 32369 20 351 23 340 28 321 32369 30920 20 357 22 340 28 317 30920 29409 20 358 20 336 27 312 29409 27837 19 356 19 331 25 310 27837 26204 19 350 19 333 24 312 26204 24514 18 348 18 335 22 317 24514 22772 17 350 17 333 19 317 22772 20972 17 351 17 332 19 318 20972 19108 17 352 17 338 18 324 19108 17215 18 357 16 347 15 329 17215 15396 17 001 14 351 12 331 15396 13741 15 357 10 349 10 325 13741 12267 14 346 9 345 8 318 12267 10955 12 330 8 334 6 305 10955 9783 9 311 7 300 6 271 9783 8737 7 288 6 264 5 265 8737 7805 7 275 3*265 3*302 7805 6977 6 273 3*274 3*317 6977 6238 4*267 2 301 4 351 6238 5569 2*234 2 325 6 360 5569 4974 1 193 2 345 6 003 4974 4472 1 171 3 355 6 005 4472 4084 1 145 3 002 7 006 4084 3815 1 129 3 003 7 007 3815 3652 1 128 3 005 6 007 3652 3558 1 127 3 006 6 007 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography