DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.7 - - 54.7 - - 60.1 - - 56.3 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 413 - - 517 - - 186 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 5084 - - 7134 - - 2875 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 7049 - - 8784 - - 5046 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 8487 - - 10537 - - 6278 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1148 - - 1783 - - 1504 - - 3731 - - 3430 Hgt.Variab. W* 80 - - 529 - - 639 - - 336 - - 41 W* B/S 4 - - 24 - - 16 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 297 - - 326 - - 350 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -7 - - 8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3823 - - -1589 - - -492 - - -3465 - - -3375 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7380 - - 10077 - - 11029 - - 9744 - - 6933 sfcLCL ODpotential -7651 - - -4080 - - -1986 - - -5590 - - -6509 ODpotential blCL 11207 - - 12567 - - 12523 - - 11868 - - 10066 blCL maxRH 59 - - 69 - - 82 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.7 - - 54.7 - - 60.1 - - 56.3 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.1 - - 22.8 - - 23.8 - - 26.0 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 52.3 - - 57.1 - - 54.8 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.1 - - 22.7 - - 23.7 - - 26.0 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 413 - - 517 - - 186 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 5084 - - 7134 - - 2875 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 29 - - 75 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97346 9 290 14 273 17 309 18 305 15 307 97346 90047 9 303 11 272 16 289 21 309 18 321 90047 84443 12 300 11 298 16 280 17 308 15 312 84443 79761 12 289 12 282 17 270 17 281 17 300 79761 75708 12 276 14 263 17 254 20 262 17 286 75708 72118 13 264 20 270 17 260 18 260 15 265 72118 68863 14 257 21 266 16 255 19 268 16 278 68863 65865 15 247 19 264 17 261 22 263 16 274 65865 63068 15 246 19 275 18 266 18 265 14 278 63068 60346 13 268 17 270 18 271 20 284 18 292 60346 57507 12 281 13 271 16 277 20 286 18 297 57507 54564 11 297 12 282 13 292 15 294 17 305 54564 51758 12 315 10 303 16 316 18 309 19 311 51758 49249 15 332 14 328 18 322 18 326 19 335 49249 47015 18 340 14 346 22 339 23 335 24 342 47015 44996 17 348 24 359 22 342 26 355 28 349 44996 43149 28 010 27 007 32 357 40 346 44 344 43149 41450 34 008 43 005 42 356 43 345 42 342 41450 39874 42 019 48 005 53 002 49 354 47 355 39874 38409 58 016 58 011 54 359 48 350 58 353 38409 37045 63 017 59 012 47 355 43 348 53 347 37045 35742 69 022 54 009 41 348 41 352 44 342 35742 34434 69 023 51 005 40 347 39 351 39 347 34434 33092 65 021 47 007 40 349 37 347 40 348 33092 31718 62 025 45 007 38 354 35 348 42 347 31718 30295 57 025 40 009 35 355 34 346 42 349 30295 28810 52 024 37 011 34 354 36 345 39 352 28810 27265 47 025 33 012 31 350 37 348 39 352 27265 25662 45 019 31 011 25 344 35 352 39 351 25662 24002 46 012 30 012 22 352 30 352 40 353 24002 22290 45 012 29 014 20 359 25 344 35 349 22290 20523 39 014 28 013 19 358 14 329 27 338 20523 18704 30 011 27 009 18 357 15 327 19 327 18704 16864 20 003 23 005 15 350 21 324 14 310 16864 15096 17 356 15 358 10 330 13 307 15 302 15096 13485 14 339 8 345 7 296 11 273 16 283 13485 12053 13 316 8 318 9 275 13 257 19 257 12053 10774 11 299 12 291 7*278 13 248 19 253 10774 9629 9 291 13 278 7*282 11 249 15 256 9629 8605 7 282 9*274 7 289 8 263 10 263 8605 7691 6 268 7*274 6 303 6 301 7 284 7691 6880 4 255 5 278 7 330 9*336 9 333 6880 6159 4 233 4 290 8 336 11*344 13 352 6159 5510 4 214 4 300 9 341 14 350 15 355 5510 4930 5 205 4 309 9 343 15 351 16 355 4930 4443 5 215 4 318 9 345 15 351 16 355 4443 4067 7 215 4 324 9 347 15 351 15 354 4067 3806 6 204 4 328 9 347 15 351 14 354 3806 3648 4 190 4 329 9 348 14 351 13*354 3648 3557 3*189 3 330 8 348 12 351 9*353 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography