DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 53.6 - - 58.1 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 135 - - 112 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3686 - - 3638 - - 5531 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5238 - - 5492 - - 6698 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7089 - - 7041 - - 8934 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2963 - - 3223 - - 3918 - - 2312 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 338 - - 355 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 213 - - 210 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -10 - - 26 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1311 - - 889 - - 511 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5778 - - 6152 - - 8424 - - 3557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 57 - - -574 - - -270 - - -2016 ODpotential blCL - - - 7032 - - 7615 - - 9204 - - 5573 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 96 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 260 - - 170 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 53.6 - - 58.1 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 38.6 - - 33.2 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 52.5 - - 57.0 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 37.4 - - 33.0 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 135 - - 112 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3686 - - 3638 - - 5531 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 98 - - 86 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96633 21 251 40 256 48 275 34 287 96633 89294 26 272 34 272 29 269 32 281 89294 83726 28 277 30 275 20 284 29 264 83726 79131 31 272 28 267 24 289 24 259 79131 75160 29 272 25 268 29 279 22 257 75160 71626 26 270 23 274 29 273 22 264 71626 68400 23 264 25 265 28 267 23 268 68400 65411 19 267 24 259 25 263 23 261 65411 62626 19 272 21 261 22 268 21 252 62626 59917 22 255 17 253 22 271 16 261 59917 57067 20 240 23 240 22 256 22 266 57067 54087 17 234 23 222 25 237 23 244 54087 51237 20 226 21 213 21 223 18 234 51237 48668 26 224 18 218 17 219 15 230 48668 46364 30 220 24 221 20 222 19 219 46364 44285 31 214 29 215 22 213 24 210 44285 42395 31 213 31 214 23 219 23 205 42395 40656 31 216 35 213 26 216 28 208 40656 39048 31 214 35 213 27 211 31 214 39048 37562 28 216 37 219 37 215 35 203 37562 36192 28 224 45 217 42 213 36 193 36192 34902 26 229 43 213 45 214 37 198 34902 33619 27 235 39 219 50 213 40 203 33619 32311 30 239 42 227 52 213 47 206 32311 30979 34 247 46 229 51 215 51 206 30979 29610 37 253 45 231 48 215 51 205 29610 28187 36 257 39 231 43 214 44 202 28187 26707 31 261 34 224 39 212 36 196 26707 25169 27 242 32 220 37 211 32 190 25169 23577 24 210 29 218 34 211 29 188 23577 21933 21 202 24 220 31 213 27 189 21933 20232 19 214 18 219 28 215 25 190 20232 18469 24 215 16 203 26 215 23 188 18469 16676 24 214 15 180 23 211 22 185 16676 14948 21 215 19 195 20 200 22 187 14948 13375 19 213 21 202 19 191 23 191 13375 11970 17 210 20 212 19 190 23 196 11970 10715 17 212 18 219 17 190 22 203 10715 9590 15 217 17 219 15*193 22 209 9590 8582 14 219 16 218 13*197 22 213 8582 7681 13*220 15*216 12 202 20 215 7681 6877 12*221 14*215 11 205 17 213 6877 6160 10 222 13 214 10 211 15 209 6160 5510 9 223 12 213 10 214 13 200 5510 4931 9 225 11 213 10 218 11 187 4931 4444 8 225 10 213 9 220 11 170 4444 4067 8 226 10 212 9 221 11 155 4067 3807 7 227 9 212 9 223 9 147 3807 3648 7 227 9 212 8 223 8*142 3648 3557 6 228 8 211 7 224 5*139 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography