DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 79.9 - - 79.9 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 478 - - 278 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3558 - - 8282 - - 7932 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5804 - - 9687 - - 9127 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6961 - - 11685 - - 11335 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3223 - - 1937 - - 2510 - - 6545 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 447 - - 656 - - 540 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 261 - - 312 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4475 - - -2685 - - -2641 - - -7636 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11436 - - 14371 - - 13976 - - 11196 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8303 - - -6269 - - -5299 - - -10562 ODpotential blCL - - - 15264 - - 17954 - - 16634 - - 14121 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 51 - - 69 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 79.9 - - 79.9 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 28.6 - - 30.5 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 77.1 - - 77.9 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 28.1 - - 30.1 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 478 - - 278 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3558 - - 8282 - - 7932 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98728 14 107 19 080 26 079 24 103 98728 91272 15 108 16 092 19 095 18 081 91272 85576 18 117 12 101 19 098 23 081 85576 80841 20 113 13 104 17 085 26 079 80841 76757 20 105 15 103 12 090 22 071 76757 73157 19 093 16 108 11 102 14 068 73157 69904 15 085 14 101 9 087 13 071 69904 66905 11 092 8 104 7 066 11 071 66905 64110 8 110 6 135 0 046 8 056 64110 61386 6 138 6 178 5 220 3 082 61386 58530 4 145 6 211 7 217 5 246 58530 55559 2 285 4 242 4 221 10 236 55559 52720 9 287 6 300 6 304 8 267 52720 50171 12 270 12 298 13 307 16 298 50171 47901 9 289 17 300 20 300 19 296 47901 45859 12 332 22 306 24 304 25 304 45859 44006 19 344 26 314 30 310 24 304 44006 42314 27 337 31 323 32 315 31 299 42314 40757 36 335 37 331 38 311 30 289 40757 39310 42 333 43 332 42 311 33 281 39310 37951 45 332 48 331 47 309 34 274 37951 36639 45 331 50 330 41 314 29 277 36639 35311 42 329 47 330 36 317 27 275 35311 33937 31 325 39 329 33 317 27 272 33937 32522 21 334 34 327 31 313 28 274 32522 31053 20 341 26 324 26 311 24 274 31053 29521 18 326 19 320 20 314 16 266 29521 27931 15 318 16 307 16 307 17 243 27931 26288 13 336 11 302 16 296 21 236 26288 24597 12 350 7 299 13 297 20 238 24597 22860 10 340 5 273 11 294 20 248 22860 21069 12 293 10 282 12 283 18 258 21069 19214 17 285 15 299 15 277 16 264 19214 17328 19 294 17 291 17 277 17 263 17328 15513 18 293 16 277 17 269 19 256 15513 13861 15 283 14 260 15 250 19 242 13861 12388 13 270 11*241 11*247 15 232 12388 11070 12 256 10*241 10*251 11 240 11070 9889 11 242 10 243 9 257 7 265 9889 8829 11 226 9 247 7 280 6 323 8829 7881 10 217 8 257 6 307 9 351 7881 7037 8*212 8 264 7 328 12 354 7037 6284 7*211 8 270 8 338 14 353 6284 5604 5 216 8 274 8 344 16 350 5604 4998 4 228 8 280 9 347 17 347 4998 4488 3 240 8 284 9 350 17 345 4488 4093 3 253 8 286 9 351 17 344 4093 3820 3 258 7 287 9 352 16 344 3820 3654 3 262 7 288 9 352 14*344 3654 3559 3 264 7 288 9 353 10*344 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography