DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.4 - - 48.7 - - 60.2 - - 57.9 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 32 - - 166 - - 2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 249 - - 2352 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 4622 - - 3541 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 3652 - - 5755 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 75 - - 595 - - 2531 - - 3908 - - 444 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 84 - - 303 - - 31 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 177 - - 192 - - 269 - - 276 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 6 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4237 - - -5617 - - -6465 - - -6936 - - -4349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7793 - - 9270 - - 12221 - - 10493 - - 7907 sfcLCL ODpotential -14636 - - -12519 - - -10272 - - -10078 - - -9859 ODpotential blCL 18192 - - 16171 - - 16027 - - 13635 - - 13416 blCL maxRH 73 - - 78 - - 78 - - 81 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.4 - - 48.7 - - 60.2 - - 57.9 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.8 - - 21.1 - - 18.9 - - 24.5 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 48.3 - - 58.7 - - 57.6 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.5 - - 20.8 - - 18.5 - - 24.3 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 32 - - 166 - - 2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 249 - - 2352 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 12 - - 12 - - 24 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96183 16 062 10 310 13 036 11 322 4 020 96183 89268 11 041 18 085 9 050 13 024 15 077 89268 83832 5 052 20 061 14 096 13 066 11 082 83832 79256 8 081 18 059 12 090 10 080 8 065 79256 75296 10 068 12 084 8 077 9 073 7 069 75296 71784 10 055 3 165 5 085 7 045 7 061 71784 68596 7 093 6 247 5 073 2 007 4 040 68596 65662 8 097 5 204 1 097 8 279 2 336 65662 62944 5 283 5 146 2 218 9 283 5 282 62944 60308 18 220 5 214 4 215 3 269 9 269 60308 57544 20 179 15 199 15 226 6 227 13 259 57544 54662 17 177 20 189 22 234 11 243 15 248 54662 51898 17 199 20 197 24 230 17 246 18 254 51898 49403 23 201 20 206 22 207 21 253 19 276 49403 47161 27 197 19 215 18 196 25 263 23 280 47161 45117 24 193 21 213 18 219 28 270 29 278 45117 43236 20 203 20 198 23 243 29 254 30 273 43236 41501 27 203 22 202 25 242 20 231 30 270 41501 39900 28 192 22 202 21 217 18 227 28 258 39900 38425 35 196 23 205 21 203 17 240 21 250 38425 37068 54 186 44 183 29 198 16 261 14 321 37068 35781 52 180 45 175 35 190 17 254 41 352 35781 34488 48 179 44 179 42 188 21 232 61 352 34488 33154 49 178 46 182 43 185 24 220 50 343 33154 31781 47 179 43 185 35 184 26 211 39 328 31781 30360 44 180 40 188 30 193 23 207 27 311 30360 28882 40 183 35 189 29 198 16 213 19 280 28882 27347 35 183 33 189 29 197 17 228 17 252 27347 25753 33 178 33 188 31 195 20 225 19 247 25753 24102 33 183 34 192 31 195 24 214 19 243 24102 22399 31 191 32 199 28 199 29 209 22 238 22399 20642 26 197 25 206 21 200 29 211 25 238 20642 18825 21 200 17 212 16 194 26 214 25 240 18825 16982 16 206 13 204 17 208 24 222 25 241 16982 15209 11 217 10 207 18 234 23 235 25 238 15209 13593 10 222 12 222 19 247 21 248 24 238 13593 12152 9 220 14 225 18 251 20 259 22 240 12152 10864 8 226 14 224 17 254 18 266 19 247 10864 9710 8 243 12 226 16 260 16 269 16 252 9710 8676 9 260 11 234 16 265 15 271 13 256 8676 7752 9 271 11 244 15 267 12 271 12 257 7752 6929 9 278 10 252 15 268 10 271 11 257 6929 6197 8 279 9 255 14*267 7 270 11 256 6197 5535 7 272 10 254 12*267 7 272 12 253 5535 4946 8 262 11 253 12 268 7 273 13 245 4946 4451 9 255 11 251 12 269 6 275 15 238 4451 4070 9 243 8 241 11 271 6 275 14 235 4070 3808 8 214 5*213 11 271 6 277 9 235 3808 3648 8 180 3*193 10 272 6 277 5*226 3648 3557 7*177 3 191 9 273 5*276 3*205 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography