DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 54.5 - - 56.0 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 524 - - 301 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3604 - - 8346 - - 8891 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5801 - - 9777 - - 9931 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7007 - - 11749 - - 12294 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3750 - - 1809 - - 1742 - - 8225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 433 - - 676 - - 574 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 018 - - 044 - - 042 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -15 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 297 - - 1180 - - 1271 - - -5328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6710 - - 10569 - - 11023 - - 8886 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -320 - - 683 - - 440 - - -6437 ODpotential blCL - - - 7327 - - 11066 - - 11854 - - 9994 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 82 - - 83 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 54.5 - - 56.0 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.6 - - 20.3 - - 19.8 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 51.6 - - 54.1 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 20.0 - - 19.7 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 524 - - 301 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3604 - - 8346 - - 8891 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 26 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98151 8 137 4 341 10 042 13 069 98151 90736 8 085 4 100 8 358 13 081 90736 85009 10 078 4 091 7 026 6 064 85009 80247 7 012 2 092 7 066 2 349 80247 76157 8 332 3 026 5 075 4 044 76157 72526 1 351 2 318 5 342 6 059 72526 69214 3 061 3 298 4 301 4 016 69214 66157 1 072 5 299 7 302 5 351 66157 63320 1 248 4 260 9 287 7 320 63320 60568 2 331 10 344 8 319 8 321 60568 57690 10 324 15 339 13 319 14 333 57690 54706 17 355 20 341 22 335 23 336 54706 51873 29 347 26 334 30 334 29 339 51873 49347 39 348 32 345 37 339 40 336 49347 47105 48 348 42 348 46 338 46 335 47105 45095 54 343 53 346 50 339 60 344 45095 43273 54 343 59 348 67 349 64 344 43273 41595 55 351 65 356 82 355 80 355 41595 40031 65 358 94 358 105 356 98 347 40031 38567 82 004 125 001 117 353 102 341 38567 37191 116 008 139 359 120 351 102 340 37191 35867 135 003 140 358 118 351 100 340 35867 34530 148 358 133 001 115 350 99 342 34530 33151 155 356 127 359 112 350 98 343 33151 31736 143 356 127 355 108 352 92 347 31736 30273 128 357 126 354 103 352 85 351 30273 28751 128 004 126 359 98 353 80 351 28751 27174 110 009 117 008 96 359 76 353 27174 25539 76 012 91 013 91 007 73 359 25539 23849 47 025 60 016 76 011 72 006 23849 22121 39 048 41 028 54 015 60 010 22121 20367 41 052 36 041 35 031 41 014 20367 18579 42 045 37 042 31 046 28 026 18579 16766 36 041 36 035 32 044 25 040 16766 15018 27 036 33 034 29 045 28 055 15018 13425 24 035 24 044 19*050 29 061 13425 12010 24 041 19*053 18*049 25 060 12010 10750 21 048 18*053 18 048 21 056 10750 9621 20 052 17 051 17 046 19 053 9621 8607 19 052 17 049 17 044 18 046 8607 7700 16*047 16 046 17 043 17 038 7700 6892 14*039 16 043 17 041 16 035 6892 6170 12 026 16 041 17 039 16 033 6170 5518 11 015 16 039 17 038 16 031 5518 4937 10 012 15 037 17 037 16 029 4937 4447 10 010 15 036 17 036 16 029 4447 4069 10 009 15 035 16 036 15 028 4069 3808 9 008 14 035 16 035 14 027 3808 3648 9 008 14 034 15 035 12*026 3648 3557 8 007 12 034 13 035 8*026 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography