DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 59.4 - - 56.5 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 417 - - 216 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4186 - - 5662 - - 4151 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6266 - - 7513 - - 6058 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7589 - - 9065 - - 7554 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1729 - - 1939 - - 2454 - - 2581 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 462 - - 551 - - 399 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 20 - - 21 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 261 - - 270 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -8 - - -4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1268 - - -1031 - - -1320 - - -2323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8858 - - 10096 - - 8875 - - 5880 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3561 - - -2845 - - -2775 - - -6430 ODpotential blCL - - - 11150 - - 11910 - - 10329 - - 9987 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 79 - - 90 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 59.4 - - 56.5 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.9 - - 27.3 - - 29.9 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 57.0 - - 55.0 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 27.3 - - 29.9 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 417 - - 216 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4186 - - 5662 - - 4151 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 16 - - 58 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96269 16 309 15 256 16 269 19 269 96269 89093 9 288 12 296 10 275 10 284 89093 83614 15 295 16 305 10 305 9 302 83614 79073 13 314 16 296 18 320 9 326 79073 75131 17 304 22 284 22 299 17 288 75131 71641 16 298 22 281 10 297 9 292 71641 68448 15 295 14 288 22 287 16 304 68448 65472 28 279 30 284 37 279 36 286 65472 62708 30 275 34 276 39 273 39 280 62708 60020 32 276 35 273 34 268 37 275 60020 57195 36 272 38 270 34 273 36 275 57195 54242 39 266 43 268 38 276 36 275 54242 51408 40 265 47 268 43 277 38 274 51408 48855 44 269 51 268 53 272 46 277 48855 46577 55 272 54 271 60 270 58 277 46577 44536 68 267 66 269 69 271 67 269 44536 42699 73 261 71 262 77 266 69 265 42699 41032 73 264 73 261 80 260 78 263 41032 39509 75 267 80 260 82 255 81 258 39509 38101 78 266 85 256 85 254 78 258 38101 36784 77 264 85 254 88 256 79 261 36784 35519 76 264 85 256 89 259 83 260 35519 34241 76 264 84 257 87 262 86 258 34241 32922 76 262 80 258 85 267 86 257 32922 31565 74 259 77 261 85 268 85 256 31565 30156 72 256 75 264 85 267 81 254 30156 28687 71 256 72 265 82 267 75 254 28687 27159 69 256 70 265 75 267 70 258 27159 25575 66 256 68 265 70 266 66 265 25575 23936 63 255 66 267 69 266 61 265 23936 22245 62 256 63 267 66 268 61 263 22245 20495 62 260 60 266 61 268 62 263 20495 18680 62 264 59 266 58 267 62 265 18680 16838 59 264 56 267 55 268 58 267 16838 15068 54 264 51 268 52 269 54 267 15068 13459 49 265 48 268 47 269 51 266 13459 12026 47 267 44 265 44 267 48 266 12026 10748 46 266 38 261 40 265 44 266 10748 9607 43 264 29*257 35 262 39 265 9607 8588 37 261 23*256 29 261 34 263 8588 7679 27*260 22 257 24*263 29 261 7679 6873 22*259 21 259 23*265 24 261 6873 6154 21 260 20 261 22 267 19 263 6154 5506 20 260 20 263 22 270 15 268 5506 4927 19 261 19 264 22 271 12 279 4927 4441 19 261 19 266 21 273 11 297 4441 4065 18 261 18 268 20 274 11 316 4065 3805 17 261 18 268 20 274 11 323 3805 3647 16 261 17 268 19 275 9*325 3647 3557 14 262 15 269 15 275 5*325 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography