DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.6 - - 35.4 - - 35.9 - - 28.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 145 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1877 - - 3360 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 5275 - - 3539 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5280 - - 6763 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4648 - - 2540 - - 4952 - - 1585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 326 - - 13 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 325 - - 306 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -12 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -617 - - 150 - - -2414 - - -403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5897 - - 6614 - - 5971 - - 3959 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1523 - - -415 - - -3403 - - -3495 ODpotential blCL - - - 6803 - - 7178 - - 6959 - - 7051 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.6 - - 35.4 - - 35.9 - - 28.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.6 - - 19.2 - - 22.6 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 34.3 - - 36.0 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 19.0 - - 22.4 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 145 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1877 - - 3360 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 97 - - 76 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95752 47 275 46 279 55 279 50 283 95752 88835 28 294 35 288 35 300 26 293 88835 83475 17 303 20 287 25 304 15 282 83475 78923 29 291 20 295 22 308 10 327 78923 74924 28 268 21 291 21 306 13 328 74924 71359 11 288 10 287 9 260 16 333 71359 68119 20 315 19 297 12 308 26 303 68119 65136 30 304 33 289 32 296 22 309 65136 62352 30 299 29 281 27 299 34 316 62352 59637 22 300 15 269 28 309 32 302 59637 56789 18 312 13 304 31 317 32 321 56789 53831 31 312 33 314 31 319 42 326 53831 51028 42 310 43 318 38 336 41 318 51028 48517 40 307 48 318 43 331 34 317 48517 46264 34 316 45 312 34 327 30 324 46264 44217 35 326 31 322 32 336 33 337 44217 42345 40 337 29 346 49 342 46 344 42345 40637 49 342 45 350 65 336 62 342 40637 39082 61 341 63 342 73 338 74 341 39082 37663 68 338 74 337 83 344 82 346 37663 36353 67 343 81 340 91 349 90 351 36353 35102 72 354 89 346 95 353 95 352 35102 33838 85 357 96 348 97 354 92 345 33838 32529 94 352 98 349 96 351 89 342 32529 31179 98 348 96 348 92 348 88 349 31179 29777 99 348 90 347 86 347 82 350 29777 28314 97 349 82 345 80 347 75 345 28314 26794 97 350 78 344 76 345 68 344 26794 25217 97 351 77 347 74 344 64 350 25217 23590 94 352 77 352 72 343 61 350 23590 21917 88 354 77 356 68 344 59 343 21917 20195 81 357 77 360 64 347 55 335 20195 18416 76 358 72 002 59 350 47 331 18416 16610 71 357 65 000 56 354 41 334 16610 14870 65 356 54 357 52 358 37 341 14870 13281 58 358 41 352 44 360 32 351 13281 11865 52 357 35 346 37 355 28 357 11865 10604 44 351 34 338 33 345 26 353 10604 9480 36 342 32 330 28 335 27 346 9480 8478 32 336 27 325 25 323 27 338 8478 7585 29 330 24 323 23 312 24 328 7585 6793 27 323 21*323 19 305 19 315 6793 6089 25 317 19*324 16 302 14 303 6089 5455 24*313 16 325 13 301 12 288 5455 4890 20*310 16 325 10 303 12 268 4890 4416 18 308 15 325 9 304 12 253 4416 4050 15 307 15 325 9 305 10 243 4050 3798 14 307 14 325 8 306 8 237 3798 3644 13 306 13 326 7*307 5*222 3644 3556 11 306 11 326 6*306 4*209 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography