DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 54.8 - - - - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 262 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2685 - - 2813 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4934 - - 5137 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6088 - - 6216 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 905 - - 1044 - - - - - 2393 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 335 - - 374 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 25 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 268 - - - - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -675 - - -1243 - - - - - -1479 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6763 - - 7459 - - - - - 5036 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6460 - - -5885 - - - - - -7331 ODpotential blCL - - - 12548 - - 12101 - - - - - 10888 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 92 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 54.8 - - - - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 34.4 - - - - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 53.1 - - - - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 34.4 - - - - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 262 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2685 - - 2813 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 66 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96334 6 119 12 072 12 028 96334 89247 7 097 8 082 11 070 89247 83712 9 035 1 003 13 038 83712 79095 10 045 3 098 8 023 79095 75119 16 344 14 323 16 345 75119 71615 14 354 7 273 9 320 71615 68437 25 312 19 308 8 351 68437 65478 35 301 42 296 37 306 65478 62733 20 280 27 295 35 305 62733 60104 29 319 26 320 32 323 60104 57343 46 312 36 308 42 319 57343 54436 70 304 61 302 54 305 54436 51660 79 304 73 298 63 296 51660 49178 90 302 87 297 70 300 49178 46963 93 291 99 292 83 299 46963 44956 84 284 97 287 92 291 44956 43123 78 289 87 286 90 284 43123 41441 79 291 81 287 84 281 41441 39890 78 288 79 288 82 283 39890 38452 75 284 80 287 86 285 38452 37112 72 283 78 284 88 286 37112 35825 70 284 75 282 88 284 35825 34523 67 285 71 282 85 283 34523 33179 65 286 68 284 82 284 33179 31795 65 286 67 285 79 285 31795 30362 67 287 67 284 73 286 30362 28872 68 288 68 284 67 288 28872 27327 66 289 69 285 62 293 27327 25727 61 290 69 286 59 297 25727 24072 57 290 68 287 54 297 24072 22366 57 290 65 287 48 294 22366 20605 58 290 62 287 45 290 20605 18783 58 290 59 287 44 287 18783 16933 58 290 58 287 44 285 16933 15154 56 290 55 289 45 284 15154 13533 53 291 51 291 44 285 13533 12088 49 291 47 293 44 285 12088 10797 45 290 43 294 43 284 10797 9644 42 289 40 294 41 283 9644 8613 39 287 37 291 39 280 8613 7694 36 283 34 284 38 275 7694 6880 32 278 30*276 37 268 6880 6157 27*274 27*269 37 262 6157 5507 25*272 27 269 35 257 5507 4929 23 271 26 268 32 253 4929 4443 22 271 26 268 27 250 4443 4067 21 271 25 268 22 248 4067 3806 20 270 23 268 16 245 3806 3648 18 271 21 268 12*242 3648 3557 15 270 17 269 7*235 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography