DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 67.0 - - 67.6 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 320 - - 102 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1806 - - 3962 - - 4252 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4346 - - 6079 - - 5684 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5209 - - 7365 - - 7655 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1298 - - 1974 - - 1966 - - 1267 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 305 - - 448 - - 313 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 16 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 321 - - 351 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - 7 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4688 - - -4849 - - -4939 - - -4458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9897 - - 12214 - - 12594 - - 8015 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11544 - - -11067 - - -11209 - - -13306 ODpotential blCL - - - 16753 - - 18432 - - 18864 - - 16863 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 49 - - 61 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 67.0 - - 67.6 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.2 - - 25.6 - - 24.7 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 64.7 - - 66.6 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 25.4 - - 24.6 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 320 - - 102 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1806 - - 3962 - - 4252 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98242 7 265 9 282 12 310 11 290 98242 90901 3 241 4 250 12 310 7 309 90901 85225 3 013 3 346 7 011 8 021 85225 80521 7 039 4 345 4 010 9 002 80521 76473 4 043 7 333 1 287 8 345 76473 72893 2 343 9 286 9 282 12 302 72893 69649 7 311 10 253 12 278 14 282 69649 66653 13 292 13 268 13 292 14 274 66653 63868 13 266 16 255 14 281 11 267 63868 61162 17 266 21 266 18 278 14 277 61162 58332 22 269 23 263 18 285 18 282 58332 55395 22 269 19 276 25 290 24 290 55395 52588 25 279 26 281 29 291 26 295 52588 50062 28 283 26 287 32 294 31 300 50062 47806 30 288 33 297 27 292 26 303 47806 45782 32 299 34 307 25 325 30 332 45782 43953 28 311 28 320 38 342 33 341 43953 42286 33 326 41 346 45 351 48 003 42286 40748 38 342 52 352 36 010 53 000 40748 39310 51 360 52 016 48 020 48 355 39310 37954 76 016 77 021 66 020 43 003 37954 36648 102 020 82 018 68 019 45 017 36648 35330 102 020 77 011 58 011 51 014 35330 33966 80 015 75 005 57 004 54 008 33966 32561 62 005 74 004 59 001 50 004 32561 31100 55 360 72 005 57 004 42 010 31100 29573 50 358 68 007 51 014 37 010 29573 27986 43 002 60 009 45 022 35 009 27986 26340 36 005 52 013 36 020 29 005 26340 24633 34 357 43 011 29 006 32 355 24633 22869 30 349 32 001 27 350 36 353 22869 21046 27 349 27 357 29 346 33 356 21046 19161 27 354 25 358 32 347 31 359 19161 17251 22 002 20 358 27 346 28 358 17251 15417 16 002 14 354 19 340 21 357 15417 13751 12 350 10 342 16 331 17 349 13751 12268 9 338 9 331 14 326 16 336 12268 10948 7 328 9 318 11 318 16 322 10948 9771 7 310 9 302 11 307 14 307 9771 8723 7 296 9 291 11 321 12 290 8723 7789 6 292 7*295 12*333 9 296 7789 6961 5 297 6*302 13*339 8 339 6961 6223 4 312 5 308 13 347 10 001 6223 5557 3*316 5 320 13 350 12 359 5557 4963 3*316 5 324 13 352 13 353 4963 4465 3 319 5 331 13 354 14 348 4465 4079 3 323 5 334 13 355 14 347 4079 3812 3 324 5 336 13 356 13 347 3812 3650 3 328 5 338 12 356 9 345 3650 3557 3 326 4 338 10 356 5*342 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography