DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 72.8 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 548 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3638 - - 5409 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5844 - - 7414 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7041 - - 8812 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1235 - - 1329 - - - - - 4357 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 441 - - 596 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 17 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 025 - - 032 - - - - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 8 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -98 - - -554 - - - - - -3749 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7139 - - 9367 - - - - - 7308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1509 - - -2338 - - - - - -6748 ODpotential blCL - - - 8550 - - 11150 - - - - - 10306 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 79 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - - - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 72.8 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 43.6 - - - - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 69.7 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 43.5 - - - - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 548 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3638 - - 5409 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 17 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98787 21 124 8 096 15 103 98787 91312 18 102 18 103 16 080 91312 85547 11 085 17 093 14 078 85547 80776 14 108 10 103 17 095 80776 76681 16 118 8 128 15 092 76681 73055 15 134 9 149 5 101 73055 69755 12 143 7 145 6 154 69755 66707 11 144 5 157 7 155 66707 63869 11 129 9 156 3 120 63869 61110 9 115 13 151 1 109 61110 58223 8 094 8 130 7 142 58223 55233 10 090 8 121 9 099 55233 52390 15 088 14 092 4 093 52390 49831 14 084 14 076 17 136 49831 47556 16 098 14 089 22 113 47556 45514 27 057 18 084 18 102 45514 43639 21 063 20 090 20 092 43639 41898 29 087 34 071 29 085 41898 40295 39 074 41 066 40 065 40295 38827 43 063 46 065 32 055 38827 37461 43 066 48 062 28 070 37461 36153 43 069 47 060 40 089 36153 34840 40 072 44 062 45 080 34840 33488 38 072 43 067 48 073 33488 32100 37 070 44 071 51 073 32100 30665 37 067 46 073 52 080 30665 29169 38 066 45 075 51 087 29169 27615 40 067 41 079 49 092 27615 26004 41 068 42 085 46 095 26004 24339 41 070 43 089 41 094 24339 22625 41 075 39 092 39 088 22625 20856 40 080 36 091 38 082 20856 19024 38 087 36 090 37 081 19024 17166 35 096 34 093 35 087 17166 15378 34 105 31 104 33 100 15378 13752 35 108 31 113 30 108 13752 12300 34 105 25 110 27 105 12300 10997 31 097 20 097 23 093 10997 9825 27 076 17*071 20 078 9825 8774 29 051 17*044 21 062 8774 7836 28*040 17 038 22 046 7836 7002 23*031 18 035 23 037 7002 6259 22 029 18 032 23 031 6259 5586 21 026 18 030 22 028 5586 4986 21 023 18 029 22 026 4986 4480 20 022 18 027 21 024 4480 4089 19 021 17 025 20 022 4089 3818 18 020 17 025 19 020 3818 3653 17 019 16 024 16 020 3653 3558 14 019 14 024 12*018 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography