DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 81.4 - - 83.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 542 - - 336 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3494 - - 4989 - - 6624 - - 2297 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5827 - - 7070 - - 8183 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6897 - - 8392 - - 10027 - - 5700 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 913 - - 1391 - - 1817 - - 2799 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 480 - - 576 - - 540 - - 162 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 347 - - 350 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -6 - - 6 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5383 - - -6402 - - -4836 - - -4457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12280 - - 14795 - - 14864 - - 10157 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10550 - - -10461 - - -8827 - - -9116 ODpotential blCL - - - 17447 - - 18853 - - 18854 - - 14816 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 74 - - 40 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 81.4 - - 83.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 28.6 - - 30.1 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 78.2 - - 80.9 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 28.6 - - 30.2 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 542 - - 336 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3494 - - 4989 - - 6624 - - 2297 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99825 33 126 19 109 23 099 28 094 99825 92199 28 103 26 110 25 100 25 094 92199 86333 21 093 25 101 25 107 20 096 86333 81504 19 112 14 113 15 091 20 103 81504 77350 14 106 18 119 9 122 15 093 77350 73674 9 117 11 105 9 111 10 102 73674 70354 13 111 11 121 8 131 7 114 70354 67313 5 096 8 112 7 165 2 151 67313 64496 4 223 6 293 1 091 4 215 64496 61771 13 219 18 251 15 265 13 265 61771 58930 11 244 16 235 17 259 15 250 58930 55975 25 259 26 250 29 268 23 272 55975 53154 34 252 36 252 39 263 35 271 53154 50615 41 254 43 257 45 261 43 267 50615 48339 47 257 47 262 47 263 49 268 48339 46275 52 258 51 264 48 265 49 266 46275 44393 50 258 50 263 44 268 41 261 44393 42672 48 259 48 261 41 273 26 271 42672 41088 42 260 36 262 34 276 20 302 41088 39616 32 261 29 269 26 275 22 309 39616 38239 26 268 27 275 20 282 17 314 38239 36920 24 272 25 278 17 295 12 326 36920 35590 24 271 20 278 18 297 10 338 35590 34221 24 269 18 279 18 292 10 347 34221 32814 23 271 18 278 18 286 11 345 32814 31354 22 277 18 279 17 285 11 330 31354 29830 21 278 19 278 15 287 10 314 29830 28244 20 268 19 274 14 289 9 300 28244 26596 20 257 20 272 14 291 8 285 26596 24888 20 252 19 273 14 287 9 278 24888 23124 20 250 18 270 14 284 10 266 23124 21300 20 247 18 259 14 273 11 259 21300 19411 19 244 18 251 16 261 12 261 19411 17491 18 242 17 246 16 254 15 263 17491 15645 16 242 15 245 16 250 17 261 15645 13964 15 244 14 245 17 251 19 259 13964 12466 15 244 14 247 16 254 18 258 12466 11128 14 246 14 248 10*271 12 263 11128 9931 13 252 12 255 8*316 6 281 9931 8860 11 260 7*298 8 325 6 335 8860 7904 6 282 8*334 9 336 10 355 7904 7054 5*345 8 341 10 351 13 358 7054 6297 6*352 9 346 11 356 15*000 6297 5614 6 354 9 349 11 359 17*002 5614 5004 7 355 10 350 12 002 17 004 5004 4492 7 356 10 352 12 003 17 004 4492 4096 7 357 10 353 12 004 16 005 4096 3822 7 357 10 354 11 005 16 005 3822 3655 7 357 10 354 11 006 15 005 3655 3559 7 357 9 354 10 006 11 005 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography