DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 85.0 - - 84.9 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 525 - - 329 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3743 - - 6751 - - 5772 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6002 - - 8480 - - 7502 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7146 - - 10154 - - 9175 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1548 - - 1782 - - 2954 - - 5197 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 481 - - 631 - - 513 - - 55 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 16 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 297 - - 346 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3937 - - -4995 - - -5659 - - -7671 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11084 - - 15149 - - 14835 - - 11231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9094 - - -9637 - - -9776 - - -12451 ODpotential blCL - - - 16240 - - 19791 - - 18951 - - 16010 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 56 - - 52 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 85.0 - - 84.9 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 30.4 - - 31.8 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 81.7 - - 82.7 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 30.4 - - 31.8 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 525 - - 329 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3743 - - 6751 - - 5772 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99647 33 104 25 111 29 093 31 089 99647 92087 27 106 23 109 22 103 23 086 92087 86271 17 104 21 108 22 101 19 091 86271 81457 15 110 15 088 20 096 19 104 81457 77313 15 107 12 098 12 093 20 095 77313 73642 10 119 5 112 9 083 15 077 73642 70321 7 122 3 122 3 064 8 071 70321 67276 4 137 5 185 2 229 1 313 67276 64458 7 269 5 231 6 238 2 276 64458 61726 13 269 10 264 9 246 11 267 61726 58876 18 262 19 269 18 265 16 271 58876 55924 24 250 29 260 26 267 22 268 55924 53108 28 245 32 251 32 260 30 260 53108 50579 27 244 33 246 38 254 42 261 50579 48317 30 246 33 242 43 250 52 259 48317 46267 32 245 33 238 41 247 51 255 46267 44395 31 248 34 241 36 248 41 250 44395 42682 35 247 35 247 35 248 36 252 42682 41109 36 250 37 250 37 246 36 247 41109 39651 36 258 39 247 39 248 36 235 39651 38286 36 264 38 250 39 249 34 230 38286 36972 38 268 39 256 39 254 33 233 36972 35642 41 274 40 267 39 255 35 236 35642 34268 43 275 42 273 38 256 36 239 34268 32855 41 273 43 270 38 256 36 245 32855 31390 39 273 42 267 39 255 35 251 31390 29861 38 273 41 264 40 254 35 256 29861 28271 38 271 40 264 40 259 33 261 28271 26621 37 270 39 266 38 267 32 263 26621 24914 37 270 37 268 34 269 30 261 24914 23152 36 272 35 271 30 269 30 258 23152 21327 33 273 32 271 28 265 31 253 21327 19435 28 270 28 265 28 258 33 253 19435 17511 24 268 25 261 28 254 32 256 17511 15661 21 268 23 256 26 250 28 256 15661 13977 19 267 21 250 25 242 25 251 13977 12478 18 263 19 244 20 237 24 240 12478 11141 19 257 14*245 13 243 18 234 11141 9945 19 254 12*251 10*253 10 242 9945 8873 18 252 11 256 7*285 5 280 8873 7916 13*249 9 269 7 314 9 358 7916 7066 8*249 7 295 9 342 12 002 7066 6308 6 252 7 317 12 353 15 001 6308 5622 4 266 7 327 13 355 16 359 5622 5011 4 275 8 334 13 355 17 357 5011 4496 3 285 8 339 14 356 17 357 4496 4098 3 294 9 342 14 356 17 356 4098 3823 3 297 9 344 14 356 16 355 3823 3655 3 301 8 343 13 356 15*355 3655 3559 3 302 8 344 12 356 11*354 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography