DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 83.2 - - 80.3 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 365 - - 177 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2358 - - 6618 - - 5388 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4764 - - 8219 - - 6889 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5761 - - 10021 - - 8791 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1747 - - 2194 - - 3865 - - 2709 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 556 - - 408 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 297 - - 310 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 8 - - 29 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8871 - - -6959 - - -5773 - - -4536 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14633 - - 16981 - - 14564 - - 8095 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15214 - - -12526 - - -10281 - - -8732 ODpotential blCL - - - 20975 - - 22547 - - 19072 - - 12290 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 58 - - 54 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 83.2 - - 80.3 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.8 - - 20.3 - - 28.4 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 80.7 - - 78.9 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 20.0 - - 28.3 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 365 - - 177 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2358 - - 6618 - - 5388 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98793 15 283 22 295 15 300 14 304 98793 91360 9 288 14 300 12 301 13 284 91360 85635 4 315 7 304 8 300 11 324 85635 80883 6 026 4 335 10 322 10 354 80883 76783 9 351 8 354 7 310 16 340 76783 73166 11 342 7 339 11 303 13 322 73166 69891 14 323 9 322 4 312 5 306 69891 66871 11 297 14 305 20 315 12 311 66871 64067 13 276 24 275 27 295 13 315 64067 61332 18 282 22 272 26 278 32 290 61332 58488 28 290 25 283 32 279 39 282 58488 55568 35 284 36 283 41 279 43 278 55568 52800 42 281 45 279 48 277 47 278 52800 50312 52 282 56 276 57 278 56 275 50312 48087 63 281 65 273 67 276 65 273 48087 46080 69 276 70 272 73 273 73 272 46080 44245 70 272 72 272 74 271 77 270 44245 42547 69 274 71 273 70 272 76 272 42547 40967 64 271 67 272 66 273 74 275 40967 39491 56 269 60 270 61 274 70 275 39491 38108 42 271 47 269 56 275 68 274 38108 36777 37 278 43 273 53 273 67 272 36777 35433 35 279 40 277 49 270 65 271 35433 34045 32 280 39 278 47 267 63 271 34045 32619 29 281 39 275 46 267 63 272 32619 31141 27 282 37 275 46 267 62 273 31141 29602 27 280 35 274 45 269 60 275 29602 28007 30 276 33 275 42 272 55 273 28007 26358 31 271 35 269 40 270 52 271 26358 24657 30 269 37 267 43 269 49 273 24657 22907 30 266 37 267 42 270 45 271 22907 21100 30 266 35 268 41 269 42 269 21100 19228 31 269 35 270 39 270 39 270 19228 17330 31 272 34 270 35 268 35 270 17330 15506 31 271 32 270 30 265 31 270 15506 13849 28 268 30 268 25 262 27 271 13849 12372 25 267 26 267 20 260 23 271 12372 11052 23 269 20*269 16 263 20 273 11052 9870 20 272 16*273 15 270 18 275 9870 8811 18 276 14 277 15*280 16 277 8811 7865 15 280 13 285 15*291 15 279 7865 7023 12 284 11 295 15 299 15 280 7023 6273 9*292 10 307 16 308 15 282 6273 5596 5*299 9 315 17 312 14 288 5596 4991 4 307 9 320 17 315 14 298 4991 4483 4 313 9 325 17 317 13 311 4483 4090 3 320 9 329 17 318 13 322 4090 3819 3 325 8 330 17 318 12 329 3819 3653 3 327 8 332 16 319 9*331 3653 3558 3 329 8 332 13 319 6*330 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography