DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 64.8 - - - - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 196 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3975 - - 6982 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6097 - - 8174 - - - - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7378 - - 10385 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3105 - - 3086 - - - - - 4445 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 452 - - 461 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 14 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 200 - - - - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 13 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1206 - - 297 - - - - - -3 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8584 - - 10089 - - - - - 3560 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2145 - - -273 - - - - - -1769 ODpotential blCL - - - 9523 - - 10658 - - - - - 5326 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 100 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 130 - - - - - 650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 64.8 - - - - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 32.6 - - - - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 63.3 - - - - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 32.6 - - - - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 196 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3975 - - 6982 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 102 - - - - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96560 35 261 42 274 43 294 96560 89249 48 268 47 278 37 292 89249 83728 49 270 44 289 34 286 83728 79188 38 272 37 288 33 283 79188 75248 30 268 33 284 33 282 75248 71726 28 275 29 286 31 277 71726 68507 29 283 28 281 27 276 68507 65532 28 278 25 275 24 280 65532 62764 24 278 25 273 24 287 62764 60070 21 278 22 274 21 278 60070 57253 16 278 19 268 19 272 57253 54323 13 272 17 261 19 273 54323 51514 10 267 17 260 20 266 51514 48973 13 263 19 260 18 257 48973 46689 16 242 20 249 18 259 46689 44613 14 229 18 246 23 247 44613 42711 11 203 15 233 22 230 42711 40964 18 206 14 236 13 212 40964 39358 27 185 27 211 11 194 39358 37876 29 183 33 189 17 207 37876 36504 37 185 36 179 26 198 36504 35204 44 181 40 176 32 196 35204 33913 45 176 42 172 52 192 33913 32607 44 175 42 171 66 182 32607 31279 42 177 42 172 52 178 31279 29903 42 181 42 173 40 175 29903 28466 43 183 41 174 32 177 28466 26970 42 185 38 176 31 182 26970 25416 37 190 35 178 30 184 25416 23805 31 194 33 180 25 182 23805 22139 28 193 31 180 25 180 22139 20416 27 189 30 179 28 184 20416 18630 25 183 29 182 27 190 18630 16817 20 176 27 193 23 199 16817 15070 15 182 26 198 20 207 15070 13478 18 188 24 200 18 211 13478 12057 20 187 19 200 15 212 12057 10787 19 190 13*198 13 215 10787 9650 17 195 10*197 12 219 9650 8631 14 202 9 197 11 221 8631 7721 11*207 7 197 11 220 7721 6911 9*213 6 199 10 219 6911 6187 7 216 5 202 10 217 6187 5532 6 219 5 203 10 213 5532 4947 4 222 4 206 10 210 4947 4454 4 226 4 208 9 205 4454 4074 3 229 3 211 8 201 4074 3810 3 230 3 212 6 197 3810 3650 2 233 3 213 4 193 3650 3557 2 233 3 214 3*194 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography