DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 84.1 - - - - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 164 - - 240 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1244 - - 5044 - - - - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3817 - - 6787 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4647 - - 8447 - - - - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1163 - - 2175 - - - - - 308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 441 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 205 - - - - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 3 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7440 - - -7346 - - - - - -4865 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12087 - - 15794 - - - - - 8423 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13998 - - -11508 - - - - - -12580 ODpotential blCL - - - 18645 - - 19955 - - - - - 16138 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 35 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 84.1 - - - - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 26.8 - - - - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 82.2 - - - - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 26.6 - - - - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 164 - - 240 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1244 - - 5044 - - - - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97854 4 104 5 302 8 359 97854 90677 8 001 9 344 2 048 90677 85097 13 346 9 343 9 003 85097 80442 16 348 13 002 12 342 80442 76435 14 339 18 347 15 339 76435 72906 12 338 17 323 16 340 72906 69706 17 340 14 314 12 323 69706 66754 17 329 12 298 15 308 66754 64011 12 305 14 284 18 311 64011 61351 15 300 18 287 21 304 61351 58578 20 295 21 289 20 293 58578 55707 22 293 22 291 21 278 55707 52978 22 290 21 285 23 271 52978 50528 20 283 23 273 24 267 50528 48327 22 287 24 263 22 261 48327 46321 23 289 20 259 23 259 46321 44479 18 296 13 261 23 255 44479 42779 13 300 7 259 22 253 42779 41197 9 321 4 235 22 245 41197 39718 9 332 4 236 17 249 39718 38331 9 314 7 255 18 260 38331 36996 10 326 7 236 18 258 36996 35647 10 331 4 211 16 239 35647 34258 7 304 3 203 15 211 34258 32835 8 283 4 225 15 178 32835 31365 9 269 5 248 14 159 31365 29837 7 241 7 235 9 182 29837 28251 8 232 11 231 10 218 28251 26605 12 245 14 240 13 223 26605 24902 14 251 16 245 15 232 24902 23145 14 251 16 252 16 241 23145 21328 15 255 18 261 17 250 21328 19444 18 261 20 266 19 258 19444 17527 19 266 20 266 19 263 17527 15681 19 266 19 263 17 266 15681 13997 18 263 18 257 16 266 13997 12495 17 256 17 251 15 261 12495 11152 15 246 17 243 14 244 11152 9952 15 228 15 233 12 226 9952 8878 15 212 12*218 9 214 8878 7918 15 206 10*211 6 194 7918 7062 17 200 9 207 5 166 7062 6300 18 193 8 204 3 137 6300 5612 16 187 7 204 2 035 5612 5000 13*181 6 202 7 010 5000 4487 10*175 5 201 12 012 4487 4092 8 173 5 201 12 001 4092 3819 7 173 4 199 10 335 3819 3653 6 172 4 200 8 309 3653 3558 5 171 4 200 6*296 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography