DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 69.2 - - 68.6 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 587 - - 374 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3437 - - 5483 - - 5484 - - 3110 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5807 - - 7495 - - 7328 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6840 - - 8886 - - 8887 - - 6513 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 925 - - 1394 - - 1543 - - 1803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 491 - - 611 - - 526 - - 178 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 13 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 13 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 337 - - 343 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3566 - - -4077 - - -2224 - - -2032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10407 - - 12963 - - 11111 - - 8545 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9763 - - -9820 - - -7210 - - -7434 ODpotential blCL - - - 16603 - - 18706 - - 16097 - - 13947 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 50 - - 62 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 69.2 - - 68.6 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 24.4 - - 32.0 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 66.0 - - 66.3 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 24.4 - - 32.0 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 587 - - 374 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3437 - - 5483 - - 5484 - - 3110 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99505 27 106 33 116 24 107 29 108 99505 91918 25 106 26 114 26 109 23 098 91918 86100 26 101 16 116 24 102 21 097 86100 81291 19 103 18 110 14 114 22 090 81291 77147 15 112 17 103 15 119 13 082 77147 73483 14 113 12 092 13 095 13 122 73483 70151 9 127 6 123 8 117 12 099 70151 67069 8 164 7 189 3 111 7 115 67069 64203 4 158 5 199 3 256 5 088 64203 61426 0 160 5 203 10 207 3 256 61426 58522 4 252 8 217 5 249 4 202 58522 55505 8 238 10 235 12 259 10 269 55505 52630 7 253 9 252 13 251 11 268 52630 50044 10 277 13 259 14 262 16 274 50044 47728 12 275 13 264 14 266 15 269 47728 45637 13 290 13 291 11 278 15 286 45637 43739 15 293 14 287 17 289 19 295 43739 42012 14 309 13 302 20 292 23 292 42012 40431 17 318 16 321 17 302 23 291 40431 38971 17 320 19 331 20 323 25 298 38971 37613 16 321 18 333 24 322 25 299 37613 36313 17 316 16 341 23 317 25 301 36313 35001 20 309 15 348 18 316 24 304 35001 33647 21 306 15 340 15 311 23 311 33647 32255 21 305 13 330 16 304 22 316 32255 30812 19 307 12 327 16 305 23 312 30812 29308 17 312 11 326 16 309 21 308 29308 27745 15 318 12 332 17 310 20 305 27745 26123 14 314 12 345 16 312 19 298 26123 24443 14 312 10 358 14 322 17 294 24443 22708 13 312 9 005 14 331 15 289 22708 20912 11 312 7 010 13 327 15 288 20912 19050 9 316 5 356 13 319 15 299 19050 17158 9 308 4 306 12 319 14 315 17158 15340 9 302 5 290 10 316 11 321 15340 13689 8 301 6 284 9 303 9 309 13689 12221 7 301 7 278 9 286 10 293 12221 10913 6 297 8 273 11 271 13 277 10913 9745 5 293 7*293 9*292 13 270 9745 8703 6 301 7*315 9*323 9 286 8703 7775 7 303 7 323 11 339 10 343 7775 6952 6*314 8 330 12 342 13*354 6952 6218 6*319 8 338 14 345 16*354 6218 5555 5 323 9 340 15 346 16 354 5555 4963 6 326 9 344 15 347 16 353 4963 4465 6 330 9 346 15 347 16 353 4465 4080 6 332 9 347 15 347 16 352 4080 3814 5 333 9 348 15 347 16 352 3814 3651 5 334 9 349 14 347 14 351 3651 3558 5 334 8 349 13 347 11 351 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography