DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.2 - - 48.7 - - 53.7 - - 52.5 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -49 - - 143 - - 268 - - 68 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2262 - - 4683 - - 4118 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 4488 - - 6563 - - 5214 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 5665 - - 8086 - - 7521 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 206 - - 1396 - - 1773 - - 2487 - - 2661 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 285 - - 447 - - 270 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 30 - - 31 - - 34 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 124 - - 208 - - 215 - - 224 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 20 - - 23 - - 24 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 25 - - 62 - - 40 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1500 - - -2154 - - -1 - - 41 - - -1747 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5056 - - 7819 - - 8087 - - 7481 - - 5305 sfcLCL ODpotential -9276 - - -5624 - - -896 - - -829 - - -4439 ODpotential blCL 12832 - - 11289 - - 8982 - - 8350 - - 7996 blCL maxRH 70 - - 69 - - 91 - - 93 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.2 - - 48.7 - - 53.7 - - 52.5 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.8 - - 26.9 - - 30.6 - - 32.2 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 47.8 - - 52.2 - - 52.0 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 26.7 - - 30.4 - - 32.1 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -49 - - 143 - - 268 - - 68 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2262 - - 4683 - - 4118 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 64 - - 72 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97057 21 115 20 098 19 109 25 123 12 100 97057 89850 16 113 18 119 14 121 10 120 10 078 89850 84220 10 107 13 130 8 142 4 016 9 083 84220 79519 7 109 6 136 10 172 3 301 1 156 79519 75464 3 137 6 128 11 157 5 349 1 341 75464 71872 1 192 7 189 13 216 10 298 6 287 71872 68614 4 260 6 169 4 230 9 297 4 229 68614 65606 2 224 10 228 11 292 15 309 9 330 65606 62812 10 244 25 235 22 256 20 266 18 245 62812 60106 13 221 23 209 17 207 13 221 18 203 60106 57261 7 195 13 157 11 150 7 068 8 136 57261 54271 27 256 17 234 31 254 44 265 46 256 54271 51412 60 249 63 248 72 252 80 254 73 257 51412 48876 72 245 85 248 85 248 88 253 83 260 48876 46639 75 247 85 250 85 249 89 257 86 261 46639 44635 78 251 89 251 88 254 94 259 89 262 44635 42824 84 255 93 250 96 255 97 259 93 263 42824 41180 91 257 95 251 102 255 96 260 97 267 41180 39667 100 258 99 252 103 256 95 263 106 270 39667 38252 110 257 102 252 107 256 97 263 110 271 38252 36919 112 254 103 251 110 254 98 261 109 270 36919 35634 110 254 104 250 110 252 99 259 107 269 35634 34335 112 254 107 250 108 252 100 257 104 265 34335 32997 112 253 108 250 106 251 100 255 102 260 32997 31624 109 252 108 251 105 252 98 255 101 257 31624 30203 106 251 107 252 105 252 97 255 98 256 30203 28722 104 250 105 253 104 253 97 256 95 255 28722 27183 101 250 101 254 99 254 95 256 92 256 27183 25585 94 250 96 254 91 254 91 256 89 256 25585 23931 84 248 89 254 81 251 84 255 85 256 23931 22226 77 246 83 252 75 248 77 252 80 253 22226 20466 72 243 79 249 73 246 72 248 76 249 20466 18644 67 239 75 245 72 245 68 243 74 246 18644 16799 57 234 69 239 70 243 64 241 68 244 16799 15034 46 228 59 233 67 240 61 241 59 244 15034 13437 41 226 50 231 65 238 58 242 54 244 13437 12015 40 229 48 233 64 239 58 243 51 242 12015 10745 43 234 49 235 61 237 57 240 49 240 10745 9609 47 237 53 235 54 232 55 236 49 239 9609 8592 50 238 55 233 46*227 51 232 49 237 8592 7684 52 237 53 229 40*222 46*229 47 235 7684 6877 52 234 49 224 36 218 42*227 44 231 6877 6158 50 229 43*219 33 215 39 225 40 228 6158 5509 45 225 37*214 31 214 36 224 35 225 5509 4930 37 220 33 210 29 213 34 224 28 221 4930 4442 27 212 30 207 27 213 31 223 21 213 4442 4066 19 197 28 206 25 212 29 223 16 199 4066 3806 14 167 26 205 24 212 26 222 12 176 3806 3647 11*145 23 204 22 211 24 222 10*161 3647 3557 8*124 17 204 18 211 18 222 7*152 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography