DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.2 - - 77.3 - - 85.5 - - 86.9 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 378 - - 489 - - 275 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 269 - - 3149 - - 5700 - - 6570 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit 3542 - - 5509 - - 7604 - - 8041 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top 3672 - - 6552 - - 9103 - - 9973 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1101 - - 1228 - - 1775 - - 3011 - - 4243 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 438 - - 582 - - 504 - - 14 W* B/S 8 - - 42 - - 20 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 357 - - 320 - - 347 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - -11 - - 7 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6550 - - -6598 - - -6567 - - -6433 - - -7850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10222 - - 13151 - - 15671 - - 16407 - - 11410 sfcLCL ODpotential -14872 - - -13159 - - -12242 - - -11454 - - -14125 ODpotential blCL 18544 - - 19711 - - 21345 - - 21427 - - 17684 blCL maxRH 40 - - 43 - - 43 - - 45 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.2 - - 77.3 - - 85.5 - - 86.9 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.3 - - 32.1 - - 28.7 - - 26.6 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.7 - - 74.8 - - 82.5 - - 84.8 - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 32.0 - - 28.6 - - 26.7 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 378 - - 489 - - 275 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 269 - - 3149 - - 5700 - - 6570 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99565 27 111 21 116 22 099 20 110 19 103 99565 92044 22 101 19 109 19 113 18 103 20 100 92044 86223 19 101 17 113 12 108 18 103 14 089 86223 81393 17 074 15 113 13 118 12 104 14 078 81393 77233 15 059 13 095 13 110 11 101 13 068 77233 73563 8 061 9 081 8 092 12 084 12 072 73563 70243 7 068 9 084 6 088 6 045 11 056 70243 67191 5 061 3 029 7 039 6 035 8 029 67191 64368 1 055 3 337 5 017 6 024 3 047 64368 61641 7 350 5 353 3 305 7 296 8 298 61641 58815 9 312 11 305 11 294 15 287 12 280 58815 55901 17 281 18 285 18 284 20 289 17 294 55901 53125 26 281 25 277 30 282 33 288 31 288 53125 50636 34 279 32 276 36 276 37 279 35 276 50636 48408 38 275 34 278 36 276 39 274 39 277 48408 46393 42 279 36 284 39 282 49 271 51 272 46393 44566 47 282 41 281 45 277 52 270 57 269 44566 42892 51 279 42 281 46 276 54 269 61 268 42892 41336 50 278 41 290 46 277 56 269 62 264 41336 39872 47 277 42 299 46 280 54 269 60 261 39872 38488 44 277 42 299 44 282 53 268 58 260 38488 37151 41 278 42 296 41 282 51 267 55 260 37151 35799 39 280 40 296 41 281 49 267 55 262 35799 34403 37 281 36 295 41 284 46 266 53 262 34403 32968 36 279 33 289 35 286 42 264 51 262 32968 31484 37 274 33 283 32 277 39 260 49 261 31484 29940 36 274 33 277 35 271 39 257 46 261 29940 28335 32 276 31 272 34 270 39 260 45 261 28335 26669 28 277 30 269 31 267 35 262 45 266 26669 24946 27 273 29 268 29 265 31 261 42 270 24946 23170 28 270 28 267 28 266 31 259 37 268 23170 21334 29 268 27 260 28 266 31 262 35 266 21334 19433 29 266 29 254 31 263 32 266 33 267 19433 17505 28 263 28 254 32 260 33 264 30 269 17505 15653 26 261 26 258 29 258 31 256 28 266 15653 13972 24 261 22 262 24 257 26 247 27 253 13972 12476 21 264 19 263 20 254 18 245 25 241 12476 11140 18 267 15 265 16 249 10 264 16 240 11140 9943 14 270 13 267 10*253 9*275 8 251 9943 8871 11 276 11 268 6*276 7*302 4 304 8871 7914 8 289 8 268 5 291 8 328 9 356 7914 7062 5 313 2*279 5 303 10 347 14 357 7062 6304 4 342 1*330 5 325 11 351 17 354 6304 5619 3 359 2 346 6 331 11 354 19 350 5619 5008 2 021 2 355 6 337 12 355 20 348 5008 4495 2 070 2 002 6 341 12 357 20 347 4495 4097 3 119 2 006 6 344 12 358 19 346 4097 3822 3*190 2 007 6 345 12 358 17 345 3822 3655 2*189 2 005 6 345 11 358 15*345 3655 3559 2 187 2 007 6 346 10 358 11*345 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography