DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 67.0 - - 66.6 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 446 - - 545 - - 279 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4619 - - 7518 - - 7346 - - 2822 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6707 - - 9117 - - 8658 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8022 - - 10921 - - 10749 - - 6225 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1541 - - 1651 - - 1643 - - 2655 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 525 - - 661 - - 525 - - 139 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 14 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 12 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 328 - - 346 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - 9 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2144 - - -1950 - - -116 - - -1627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10166 - - 12871 - - 10865 - - 7853 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5213 - - -4531 - - -1078 - - -3794 ODpotential blCL - - - 13235 - - 15452 - - 11827 - - 10019 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 68 - - 79 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 67.0 - - 66.6 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.7 - - 22.5 - - 31.1 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 63.9 - - 64.5 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.5 - - 22.4 - - 31.1 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 446 - - 545 - - 279 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4619 - - 7518 - - 7346 - - 2822 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98161 16 129 5 247 5 358 10 072 98161 90752 5 102 6 144 1 350 4 065 90752 85039 2 023 9 103 3 151 1 268 85039 80272 4 057 9 091 2 151 4 016 80272 76165 2 158 4 032 6 120 2 049 76165 72546 9 151 8 278 3 359 5 078 72546 69254 0 036 6 233 5 282 2 017 69254 66209 5 257 6 257 11 295 4 004 66209 63372 2 264 7 236 15 284 8 343 63372 60623 12 325 7 303 13 294 16 319 60623 57773 13 323 11 323 12 314 13 318 57773 54816 15 318 15 335 16 338 16 333 54816 51988 20 326 22 336 27 339 24 338 51988 49456 28 325 25 332 34 340 33 350 49456 47205 28 331 28 344 38 342 42 346 47205 45186 34 344 35 346 38 342 45 346 45186 43365 36 349 42 351 42 354 48 354 43365 41707 46 001 56 358 57 002 60 001 41707 40182 59 358 63 355 67 356 64 360 40182 38759 61 354 59 357 66 354 66 359 38759 37419 58 357 60 002 63 358 65 359 37419 36129 60 358 62 001 60 000 64 001 36129 34826 62 358 62 359 58 001 63 004 34826 33482 62 357 62 357 55 360 57 003 33482 32099 62 357 60 357 52 359 52 359 32099 30665 60 356 56 355 50 360 50 357 30665 29166 57 356 53 353 46 359 48 355 29166 27605 55 357 51 354 42 355 42 351 27605 25985 53 357 48 355 42 354 40 345 25985 24317 50 356 44 355 43 351 40 339 24317 22595 45 356 40 352 41 345 38 336 22595 20811 39 356 36 353 37 342 37 336 20811 18960 32 355 29 354 32 341 34 337 18960 17083 27 353 22 348 26 336 29 338 17083 15281 22 349 16 337 21 326 24 335 15281 13642 17 343 14 324 17 308 21 326 13642 12184 13 337 12*310 11 295 19 307 12184 10885 11 331 9*311 9*315 15 276 10885 9726 11 321 9 314 9*319 11 263 9726 8690 9*312 9 318 10 335 8 286 8690 7766 5*301 9 324 12 344 9 336 7766 6943 4 299 9 329 13 348 12*348 6943 6211 4 300 9 334 13 349 14*356 6211 5549 4 303 9 337 14 351 16 359 5549 4959 3 305 9 340 14 352 16 000 4959 4462 3 308 9 342 14 353 16 000 4462 4078 3 312 9 344 14 353 16 001 4078 3812 3 314 9 345 14 353 15 001 3812 3650 3 316 9 345 13 353 14 001 3650 3557 3 317 8 346 12 353 11 002 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography