DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 62.0 - - 65.0 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 521 - - 303 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3493 - - 5619 - - 6482 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5819 - - 7565 - - 8023 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6896 - - 9022 - - 9885 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1222 - - 2040 - - 3477 - - 9905 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 476 - - 593 - - 519 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 33 - - 26 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 319 - - 328 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -11 - - -13 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2557 - - -3364 - - -3436 - - -8640 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9453 - - 12387 - - 13322 - - 12198 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6061 - - -5997 - - -5840 - - -10296 ODpotential blCL - - - 12957 - - 15019 - - 15725 - - 13854 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 78 - - 90 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 62.0 - - 65.0 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.2 - - 19.5 - - 18.3 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 59.0 - - 62.8 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.0 - - 19.2 - - 17.9 - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 521 - - 303 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3493 - - 5619 - - 6482 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 13 - - 62 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98853 20 099 13 084 14 082 16 094 98853 91331 18 093 13 102 14 111 16 078 91331 85559 13 102 14 093 18 100 14 100 85559 80806 11 107 7 097 14 075 21 093 80806 76712 6 140 8 146 8 085 16 075 76712 73071 8 143 10 162 7 145 10 104 73071 69756 8 108 9 182 5 211 8 163 69756 66703 7 246 6 202 5 185 11 188 66703 63859 14 231 14 231 14 262 4 269 63859 61088 10 237 16 237 14 239 11 251 61088 58184 17 263 19 254 17 257 16 247 58184 55163 21 255 21 256 20 262 18 265 55163 52282 20 261 24 265 24 270 23 269 52282 49700 26 269 28 269 27 276 21 276 49700 47396 30 270 29 271 30 286 27 299 47396 45314 31 276 35 273 37 287 37 303 45314 43419 35 277 35 266 38 292 45 298 43419 41679 33 287 33 280 41 296 47 295 41679 40070 51 298 43 285 38 295 50 297 40070 38574 60 289 42 284 39 294 57 304 38574 37182 63 291 39 289 41 294 67 308 37182 35856 62 290 48 282 41 293 75 308 35856 34525 65 292 50 278 40 286 81 310 34525 33157 70 296 46 276 41 278 78 312 33157 31752 69 294 44 277 43 277 75 312 31752 30299 62 292 42 279 39 279 71 310 30299 28796 59 292 39 276 36 275 58 306 28796 27250 57 291 39 277 35 274 43 297 27250 25659 54 290 41 281 37 279 35 285 25659 24013 52 292 41 285 37 282 36 281 24013 22314 52 298 35 288 33 280 34 285 22314 20557 47 306 30 293 27 284 27 294 20557 18742 34 311 24 303 18 272 20 294 18742 16903 22 312 19 306 13 258 18 268 16903 15142 15 316 15 294 17 250 22 219 15142 13548 15 323 13 279 18 237 20 211 13548 12127 15 324 11 270 15 236 15 213 12127 10852 14 319 9 264 12*240 9 217 10852 9709 12 306 6*266 10*246 4 228 9709 8682 11 288 4*272 6 257 2 338 8682 7763 8*264 4 281 4 282 4 002 7763 6944 4*226 3 300 4 340 7 014 6944 6213 3 215 3 322 5 359 8 017 6213 5551 3 210 3 333 6 006 9 017 5551 4961 2 206 4 342 6 010 9 017 4961 4464 2 202 4 349 7 011 10 017 4464 4079 2 199 4 352 7 013 10 016 4079 3813 1 202 4 354 7 014 10 016 3813 3651 1 201 4 354 7 014 9*016 3651 3558 1 198 4 354 6 015 8*016 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography