DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 60.9 - - 67.2 - - 65.5 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 325 - - 453 - - 228 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 3198 - - 6326 - - 4978 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5499 - - 8078 - - 6712 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 6601 - - 9729 - - 8381 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 215 - - 1520 - - 1558 - - 2886 - - 1986 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 419 - - 588 - - 432 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 296 - - 305 - - 317 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3598 - - -4923 - - -2958 - - -3332 - - -3635 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7156 - - 11524 - - 12687 - - 11714 - - 7193 sfcLCL ODpotential -10247 - - -9598 - - -6379 - - -6609 - - -7538 ODpotential blCL 13804 - - 16199 - - 16108 - - 14990 - - 11096 blCL maxRH 65 - - 65 - - 72 - - 64 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 60.9 - - 67.2 - - 65.5 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 22.8 - - 23.6 - - 26.3 - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 58.7 - - 64.4 - - 63.8 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.1 - - 22.7 - - 23.5 - - 26.3 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 325 - - 453 - - 228 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 3198 - - 6326 - - 4978 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96239 18 321 18 293 23 292 25 296 22 315 96239 89123 16 330 19 313 25 304 24 320 22 321 89123 83675 24 336 17 321 24 314 29 320 28 320 83675 79181 24 332 20 322 22 315 25 308 25 319 79181 75305 24 332 16 332 18 309 21 297 25 322 75305 71835 30 330 22 334 22 324 23 301 29 319 71835 68651 35 314 32 315 28 321 29 299 33 312 68651 65699 29 307 30 303 30 311 28 306 34 304 65699 62958 23 313 26 297 31 303 27 310 29 304 62958 60294 27 316 28 309 29 301 28 308 25 309 60294 57492 31 311 29 313 27 299 29 305 25 307 57492 54563 33 307 31 306 29 298 32 304 29 300 54563 51764 35 304 32 300 32 297 36 303 34 302 51764 49255 38 301 35 297 37 295 39 298 41 303 49255 47021 41 300 42 295 43 292 40 297 43 301 47021 45009 48 299 46 298 49 292 46 294 48 298 45009 43187 53 298 54 300 57 296 55 292 53 292 43187 41526 60 298 70 296 68 293 58 289 54 289 41526 39997 75 296 80 292 72 292 61 289 54 288 39997 38577 86 294 81 290 73 290 62 290 56 286 38577 37244 84 294 79 291 72 290 63 289 56 286 37244 35961 74 295 79 292 69 290 63 290 56 288 35961 34663 59 293 73 292 67 290 60 290 55 289 34663 33322 49 289 60 289 64 291 58 289 54 288 33322 31945 43 290 51 286 59 292 56 287 54 288 31945 30518 41 288 45 286 48 288 55 287 56 288 30518 29032 39 290 41 290 40 284 52 290 56 288 29032 27488 36 295 39 292 34 288 44 289 53 290 27488 25885 33 300 34 294 32 290 37 285 48 292 25885 24227 32 302 29 301 33 287 34 285 41 291 24227 22515 30 298 27 304 30 287 34 287 37 286 22515 20746 28 293 27 301 27 285 33 286 35 288 20746 18915 26 290 26 295 24 284 33 284 33 289 18915 17054 25 286 25 287 22 283 31 287 34 293 17054 15263 25 282 25 283 23 285 28 291 31 298 15263 13632 24 281 24 286 24 288 25 294 27 299 13632 12181 23 283 24 289 23 288 22 293 22 299 12181 10887 21 286 22 293 19 286 18 290 19 300 10887 9729 20 291 21 296 13*286 16 290 17 300 9729 8692 19 296 20 298 12*289 15*295 16 299 8692 7765 19 300 17 298 12 293 14*300 15 298 7765 6941 17 304 11*296 11 299 14 307 14 298 6941 6208 14 309 8*295 11 304 14 314 13 303 6208 5545 10 311 7 295 11 309 15 319 12 313 5545 4955 9 297 7 295 11 313 15 322 13 330 4955 4459 12 274 7 296 11 316 15 324 14 344 4459 4076 14 251 6 298 10 318 15 325 15 352 4076 3811 13 244 6 299 10 320 15 326 14 354 3811 3650 9*239 6 299 10 319 14 326 11*355 3650 3558 4*225 5 300 9 320 12 326 6*355 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography