DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.8 - - 47.1 - - 45.7 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 7 - - -6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 328 - - 1944 - - 1219 - - 636 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 49 - - 15 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 170 - - 139 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3556 - - 3557 - - 3557 - - 3557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4123 - - -1468 - - -1832 - - -2739 ODpotential blCL - - - 7679 - - 5025 - - 5389 - - 6296 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.8 - - 47.1 - - 45.7 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.9 - - 43.9 - - 44.2 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 47.1 - - 46.6 - - 44.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 43.1 - - 44.0 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 7 - - -6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 154 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95978 33 000 32 012 33 022 16 346 95978 89094 23 011 20 019 27 010 15 023 89094 83684 14 013 17 018 17 001 16 020 83684 79147 10 017 17 006 9 023 11 017 79147 75205 6 044 11 354 8 036 8 013 75205 71697 6 036 7 338 6 356 10 351 71697 68504 9 006 4 331 3 322 10 324 68504 65547 9 335 7 299 7 306 12 308 65547 62788 7 317 9 288 10 287 12 281 62788 60104 6 292 7 269 10 293 8 259 60104 57294 12 278 10 273 15 294 9 265 57294 54373 14 255 14 264 18 285 13 283 54373 51586 13 248 16 261 23 270 20 276 51586 49078 11 256 17 264 23 265 22 274 49078 46827 11 268 19 267 24 260 26 267 46827 44791 20 255 20 267 22 262 29 260 44791 42939 23 226 22 236 27 257 29 252 42939 41237 20 238 24 220 27 252 28 250 41237 39656 31 220 30 224 22 238 28 250 39656 38184 35 219 31 215 29 230 29 245 38184 36821 46 212 36 206 37 213 32 226 36821 35531 40 188 38 185 48 200 41 213 35531 34240 40 182 38 188 47 196 46 199 34240 32911 39 187 38 192 40 200 44 188 32911 31544 41 188 39 204 43 206 43 192 31544 30128 42 192 37 212 36 207 43 199 30128 28655 39 205 28 222 21 208 34 214 28655 27129 27 215 21 231 18 219 25 233 27129 25547 17 220 22 243 17 217 25 236 25547 23908 14 237 21 251 16 224 20 223 23908 22216 15 241 20 255 18 243 19 216 22216 20468 19 240 20 260 22 254 19 219 20468 18659 22 241 20 261 22 257 17 228 18659 16825 23 243 20 263 21 260 18 242 16825 15061 24 245 23 264 21 258 20 253 15061 13457 24 246 25 268 22 258 21 258 13457 12028 24 247 27 269 22 262 22 262 12028 10753 24 249 26 268 21 266 25 263 10753 9614 24 250 24 264 21 266 28 262 9614 8594 25 251 23 258 21 263 31 260 8594 7685 25 251 23 251 22 257 34 257 7685 6877 25 248 23 244 24 250 35 255 6877 6157 25 242 22 236 25 242 34 251 6157 5507 23 237 20 230 24 234 29 247 5507 4928 17 230 15 222 20 227 23 242 4928 4442 10 210 11 210 14 218 15 236 4442 4066 10 176 8 189 10 200 8 217 4066 3806 9 156 7 177 8 173 6 165 3806 3647 6*148 7*173 6*154 7*132 3647 3557 3*146 5*170 4*139 5*125 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography