DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.8 - - 55.1 - - 50.2 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 395 - - 146 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3206 - - 4565 - - 3265 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5545 - - 6625 - - 5212 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6609 - - 7968 - - 6668 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1092 - - 1753 - - 1814 - - 3430 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 437 - - 504 - - 324 - - 46 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 19 - - 24 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 270 - - 263 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 12 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1983 - - -1476 - - -1730 - - -1820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8592 - - 9445 - - 8398 - - 5377 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5930 - - -4439 - - -5258 - - -3279 ODpotential blCL - - - 12539 - - 12407 - - 11926 - - 6836 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.8 - - 55.1 - - 50.2 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 25.9 - - 25.7 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 52.7 - - 49.0 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.4 - - 25.8 - - 25.7 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 395 - - 146 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3206 - - 4565 - - 3265 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 102 - - 99 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96693 37 258 38 269 44 274 36 271 96693 89355 33 262 37 262 43 279 37 272 89355 83719 28 262 33 258 32 267 31 267 83719 79050 30 259 27 263 28 252 28 256 79050 75026 24 258 23 263 24 269 17 251 75026 71457 20 262 23 263 24 272 7 275 71457 68204 25 263 25 258 22 269 18 294 68204 65217 26 259 21 254 28 283 21 285 65217 62460 19 265 21 271 26 281 13 293 62460 59764 18 285 24 284 15 278 21 307 59764 56931 23 300 20 290 23 296 33 294 56931 54005 27 297 21 298 33 297 26 288 54005 51228 26 291 36 298 31 298 17 298 51228 48725 26 291 41 291 31 300 32 313 48725 46483 30 295 38 287 37 300 49 306 46483 44467 35 302 40 295 44 297 57 302 44467 42652 43 314 41 298 48 297 60 295 42652 41010 45 313 44 302 54 305 62 297 41010 39500 41 310 47 309 67 310 70 303 39500 38086 41 316 55 317 73 308 74 303 38086 36755 45 319 63 318 71 304 73 299 36755 35474 46 319 62 317 68 302 70 296 35474 34184 46 316 51 315 64 301 67 295 34184 32857 45 313 44 308 61 300 63 293 32857 31494 42 313 45 302 58 297 58 291 31494 30082 39 314 48 301 54 293 55 288 30082 28612 41 314 49 302 51 291 54 286 28612 27084 44 313 47 303 49 290 53 284 27084 25497 42 315 46 303 48 290 52 283 25497 23854 38 313 44 302 48 289 53 280 23854 22159 37 312 42 297 46 287 54 277 22159 20409 38 314 38 286 41 283 53 277 20409 18596 35 311 37 278 37 276 50 279 18596 16757 31 307 37 275 36 269 46 284 16757 14989 28 298 36 274 38 266 41 289 14989 13382 27 287 34 272 39 265 36 293 13382 11952 25 282 31 270 39 266 33 291 11952 10679 22 279 26 268 38 267 34 284 10679 9545 20 277 22 266 37 267 36 275 9545 8533 19 275 19*266 34 266 37 268 8533 7633 18 272 18*267 30 263 37 263 7633 6834 15*269 19 268 27*261 36 259 6834 6124 15*269 19 269 26*262 34 256 6124 5483 14 270 19 270 26 262 29 252 5483 4912 13 271 19 271 25 262 26 250 4912 4432 13 272 19 272 24 263 22 249 4432 4060 12 273 19 272 23 264 19 248 4060 3803 12 274 18 272 21 265 17 247 3803 3647 11 274 17 272 19 265 15*246 3647 3557 10 275 15 273 15 265 11*246 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography