DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 80.2 - - 79.0 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 250 - - 49 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1314 - - 2906 - - 2217 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3773 - - 5185 - - 3542 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4717 - - 6309 - - 5620 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1568 - - 2159 - - 2432 - - 309 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 235 - - 371 - - 197 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 22 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 330 - - 007 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -9 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9621 - - -9564 - - -10140 - - -7813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14339 - - 15873 - - 15760 - - 11371 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16204 - - -15173 - - -15680 - - -16118 ODpotential blCL - - - 20921 - - 21482 - - 21300 - - 19676 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 52 - - 44 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 80.2 - - 79.0 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.0 - - 22.8 - - 22.2 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 78.3 - - 78.3 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 22.7 - - 22.2 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 250 - - 49 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1314 - - 2906 - - 2217 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97946 12 070 17 086 13 079 22 057 97946 90697 20 074 19 089 17 079 19 076 90697 85058 14 073 12 063 15 072 16 088 85058 80374 8 084 7 071 9 048 10 063 80374 76358 10 011 6 353 13 029 4 037 76358 72824 11 337 11 325 20 000 10 007 72824 69622 9 316 14 313 22 338 17 351 69622 66667 12 321 18 304 23 312 20 320 66667 63926 18 297 23 297 26 301 23 308 63926 61272 19 292 26 285 27 291 27 304 61272 58501 24 299 27 288 28 284 30 296 58501 55627 33 294 29 290 31 285 33 300 55627 52890 38 287 31 290 31 287 34 297 52890 50432 36 284 31 286 30 292 30 297 50432 48231 31 283 26 284 29 293 28 304 48231 46235 25 278 20 284 26 288 27 304 46235 44407 21 270 18 290 22 280 26 303 44407 42712 18 268 18 294 19 280 24 297 42712 41133 19 273 17 289 17 290 18 291 41133 39658 18 284 15 286 15 295 12 293 39658 38279 19 287 15 291 12 300 8 305 38279 36955 16 284 13 287 9 306 5 312 36955 35619 8 278 9 271 7 284 4 243 35619 34241 3 196 7 230 7 244 8 211 34241 32828 2 168 8 206 6 223 11 192 32828 31367 2 242 7 197 7 216 14 191 31367 29845 3 223 7 183 9 209 13 201 29845 28262 4 190 7 167 10 210 11 207 28262 26617 4 193 7 174 7 225 7 193 26617 24914 6 216 7 221 4 243 7 165 24914 23153 8 200 9 212 3 224 7 169 23153 21328 7 188 9 194 6 207 7 209 21328 19438 6 249 7 223 9 227 9 238 19438 17519 11 268 11 253 11 255 10 244 17519 15673 12 268 14 256 13 259 11 252 15673 13990 12 269 14 259 14 263 11 261 13990 12488 12 267 14 261 13 266 11 266 12488 11146 11 264 12 261 12 259 10 259 11146 9944 10 257 10 257 11 240 10 240 9944 8869 9 248 9 248 10 229 9 226 8869 7909 9 236 8 241 8 227 7 214 7909 7054 8 226 6*244 5 227 4 193 7054 6294 8 229 3*265 1*274 1 154 6294 5608 8 233 2 305 5*012 2 035 5608 4997 6*233 3 336 7 008 4 022 4997 4486 3*229 4 343 8 007 8 021 4486 4091 2 228 4 345 8 006 9 015 4091 3819 2 229 4 346 8 006 8 354 3819 3653 1 235 4 346 8 005 5 322 3653 3558 1 239 4 348 7 005 4*302 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography