DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 50.4 - - 47.2 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 194 - - 5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1077 - - 2820 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 5026 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4480 - - 6223 - - 3557 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1322 - - 2043 - - 4644 - - 3071 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 339 - - 39 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 247 - - 245 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1645 - - -1386 - - -3318 - - -1856 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6125 - - 7610 - - 6875 - - 5413 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5007 - - -3793 - - -5252 - - -4796 ODpotential blCL - - - 9487 - - 10016 - - 8809 - - 8353 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 86 - - 96 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 50.4 - - 47.2 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 29.5 - - 29.5 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 48.9 - - 47.1 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 29.3 - - 29.4 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 194 - - 5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1077 - - 2820 - - 154 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 45 - - 84 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97061 31 103 33 094 27 098 28 087 97061 89874 31 099 25 094 24 106 22 094 89874 84256 23 083 20 098 19 107 20 097 84256 79545 14 084 10 093 12 096 14 085 79545 75467 8 082 6 099 6 079 8 073 75467 71855 4 061 5 116 2 170 1 306 71855 68579 6 331 2 288 1 074 2 204 68579 65557 8 319 9 268 9 288 6 260 65557 62749 11 304 14 267 9 274 5 264 62749 60011 17 284 17 278 17 281 10 304 60011 57142 22 274 24 265 30 266 26 268 57142 54166 23 270 28 276 28 267 28 261 54166 51311 32 272 38 280 34 271 32 271 51311 48734 40 269 45 265 45 263 51 266 48734 46440 37 267 37 261 46 255 50 257 46440 44373 44 293 37 286 42 262 46 264 44373 42485 60 284 57 286 49 276 54 270 42485 40757 51 266 62 261 65 277 63 270 40757 39184 54 279 70 269 77 272 72 270 39184 37749 66 281 90 276 86 275 88 273 37749 36423 66 277 92 277 100 279 103 274 36423 35153 67 280 92 282 107 279 104 274 35153 33872 70 284 96 283 107 280 98 276 33872 32551 77 291 90 281 106 282 94 276 32551 31195 80 294 78 279 99 281 92 273 31195 29793 66 294 61 271 87 277 92 271 29793 28336 49 287 56 256 75 273 88 271 28336 26829 35 271 63 254 64 264 79 267 26829 25269 37 258 65 258 61 258 73 263 25269 23656 46 267 60 268 63 260 70 261 23656 21990 52 279 50 274 60 267 66 262 21990 20267 45 286 42 273 50 270 61 266 20267 18485 26 268 40 262 41 267 52 270 18485 16677 23 249 38 250 40 266 43 271 16677 14938 24 257 34 248 39 268 36 267 14938 13355 23 263 29 249 35 269 32 263 13355 11943 20 258 25 248 30 266 27 261 11943 10682 17 247 23 247 27 260 24 260 10682 9555 15 240 22 247 27 256 23 259 9555 8546 15 242 21 248 26 257 24 257 8546 7646 16 245 19 248 24 258 24 256 7646 6847 18 247 17*248 21 257 23 254 6847 6135 20 247 16*247 19 254 20 252 6135 5492 19 246 15 246 17 249 18 251 5492 4918 16*245 15 247 15 246 16 246 4918 4435 10*239 14 247 14 245 14 240 4435 4062 7 231 14 248 12 245 11 230 4062 3804 5 227 13 248 11 245 9 217 3804 3647 5 226 12 248 10*245 7*208 3647 3557 4 226 11 248 8*245 5*201 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography