DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 83.8 - - 83.6 - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 536 - - 318 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5524 - - 9598 - - 10576 - - 3590 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7413 - - 10817 - - 11327 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8927 - - 13001 - - 13979 - - 6993 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2887 - - 1776 - - 1861 - - 5368 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 551 - - 715 - - 621 - - 173 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 20 - - 12 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - 008 - - 318 - - 335 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - 14 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - -16 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4539 - - -2066 - - -1368 - - -3152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13466 - - 15067 - - 15348 - - 10146 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7763 - - -4976 - - -3278 - - -4710 ODpotential blCL - - - 16690 - - 17977 - - 17257 - - 11703 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 65 - - 77 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 83.8 - - 83.6 - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 29.2 - - 27.8 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 80.5 - - 81.4 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 29.0 - - 27.8 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 427 - - 536 - - 318 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5524 - - 9598 - - 10576 - - 3590 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99531 25 095 30 096 24 106 21 076 99531 91965 23 114 16 099 20 094 22 092 91965 86094 19 103 15 118 16 094 20 088 86094 81225 17 102 13 107 13 103 16 097 81225 77059 16 107 6 117 10 088 15 095 77059 73396 10 108 7 126 7 062 16 092 73396 70082 6 128 4 094 4 080 10 080 70082 67033 8 110 2 121 1 026 4 046 67033 64209 2 031 2 291 6 312 5 347 64209 61474 3 270 5 265 9 281 11 286 61474 58610 8 276 10 272 12 272 13 287 58610 55625 15 274 18 271 20 279 22 291 55625 52777 25 271 26 266 27 276 24 282 52777 50219 29 267 28 275 28 281 25 289 50219 47931 35 269 34 273 35 276 31 281 47931 45863 40 261 39 267 38 271 34 280 45863 43980 40 262 39 267 42 273 38 277 43980 42257 44 269 47 271 44 269 37 273 42257 40669 47 267 50 267 45 267 39 270 40669 39199 46 265 47 262 47 266 42 269 39199 37834 44 262 52 273 49 269 48 268 37834 36531 42 262 57 276 52 270 50 267 36531 35217 41 264 50 276 50 271 50 266 35217 33861 40 267 44 269 47 268 48 265 33861 32467 38 267 44 265 46 265 44 266 32467 31021 35 263 37 269 44 266 42 269 31021 29513 36 257 34 269 40 266 41 268 29513 27944 35 258 35 271 35 262 39 263 27944 26318 32 256 36 270 34 258 36 261 26318 24635 31 253 34 269 29 261 34 265 24635 22900 31 254 29 266 28 263 33 265 22900 21104 29 257 26 267 27 260 29 263 21104 19244 27 258 23 266 26 258 26 262 19244 17355 25 257 21 258 24 250 26 252 17355 15541 23 256 22 252 18*245 23 237 15541 13891 17 255 16*250 9*274 11 226 13891 12418 10 247 8*262 8 282 2 204 12418 11100 7 254 6 280 8 300 5 038 11100 9918 4*269 6 297 9 323 9 026 9918 8856 3*008 6 309 10 339 13 016 8856 7905 4 014 7 324 11 347 16 006 7905 7059 4 012 7 330 12 351 19*358 7059 6302 5 010 8 333 13 354 21*352 6302 5618 5 008 8 337 13 356 21 351 5618 5008 5 005 8 339 13 358 22 350 5008 4494 6 004 9 340 13 359 21 349 4494 4097 6 003 9 341 13 360 21 349 4097 3822 6 002 8 341 13 360 20 348 3822 3655 5 002 8 341 13 360 18 348 3655 3559 5 002 8 341 11 000 14 347 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography