DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 77.7 - - 75.3 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 529 - - 321 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4824 - - 7790 - - 6028 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6862 - - 9329 - - 7694 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8227 - - 11193 - - 9431 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1702 - - 2050 - - 3214 - - 5488 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 529 - - 664 - - 517 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 15 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 15 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 309 - - 332 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2632 - - -2183 - - -3567 - - -6571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10860 - - 13377 - - 12998 - - 10129 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5863 - - -4148 - - -6305 - - -9729 ODpotential blCL - - - 14090 - - 15341 - - 15736 - - 13287 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 72 - - 67 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 77.7 - - 75.3 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 30.7 - - 30.2 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 74.4 - - 73.1 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 30.6 - - 30.1 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 529 - - 321 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4824 - - 7790 - - 6028 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98395 12 110 11 094 15 107 13 127 98395 90954 10 127 7 140 5 151 7 052 90954 85221 7 158 8 198 5 124 3 043 85221 80445 8 158 7 213 5 112 4 129 80445 76322 6 181 8 186 6 180 6 124 76322 72668 10 180 11 180 9 223 1 102 72668 69354 5 195 9 176 9 209 6 245 69354 66298 3 244 6 181 5 211 5 219 66298 63460 2 219 7 215 7 245 6 243 63460 60715 4 293 11 259 7 279 6 252 60715 57858 11 277 13 254 11 268 11 250 57858 54904 14 278 14 273 15 276 13 252 54904 52104 14 282 21 265 20 276 18 281 52104 49602 17 285 24 254 27 266 27 285 49602 47371 29 290 30 268 35 270 36 281 47371 45365 38 281 38 273 43 271 44 279 45365 43549 46 284 50 278 55 272 53 278 43549 41885 54 286 63 279 64 272 57 276 41885 40342 55 284 67 280 65 273 55 275 40342 38902 51 281 65 279 60 274 49 278 38902 37554 49 280 61 276 57 277 42 283 37554 36259 48 278 57 275 55 277 40 285 36259 34950 49 275 53 276 47 276 40 284 34950 33599 47 271 49 277 40 276 38 280 33599 32210 42 274 45 280 38 277 37 276 32210 30771 42 286 43 282 38 278 35 274 30771 29272 44 288 40 283 38 279 32 276 29272 27715 40 287 36 283 37 279 31 279 27715 26098 33 287 32 284 35 279 32 279 26098 24425 29 291 29 283 31 278 32 279 24425 22700 27 296 27 281 29 278 29 279 22700 20919 24 298 25 282 28 277 26 279 20919 19074 21 297 23 281 27 274 26 274 19074 17203 18 294 21 278 26 271 26 268 17203 15404 16 291 19 279 24 266 25 262 15404 13767 15 286 17 277 20 252 23 253 13767 12304 14 283 13*268 16 251 21 245 12304 10998 14 282 10*273 14 257 15 248 10998 9827 14 282 10 276 11*284 11 261 9827 8778 10*284 9 280 12*308 8 294 8778 7839 6*292 8 307 12 316 9 323 7839 7004 6 298 8 319 14 329 12 341 7004 6259 5 308 8 327 16 335 14 347 6259 5586 5 314 8 333 17 337 15 348 5586 4985 5 319 9 337 17 338 16 348 4985 4479 5 324 9 340 17 339 16 348 4479 4089 5 327 9 342 17 339 16 347 4089 3818 4 329 9 343 17 340 15 347 3818 3653 4 330 9 344 16 340 13 347 3653 3558 4 330 8 344 14 340 10*347 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography