DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 47.9 - - 46.7 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 128 - - -9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1633 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3539 - - 3964 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3556 - - 5036 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 874 - - 2238 - - 2508 - - 342 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 73 - - 245 - - 14 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 224 - - 203 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3799 - - -4581 - - -5223 - - -2730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7355 - - 9618 - - 8780 - - 6286 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9533 - - -8970 - - -9839 - - -10114 ODpotential blCL - - - 13089 - - 14006 - - 13396 - - 13670 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 74 - - 60 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 47.9 - - 46.7 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.3 - - 18.6 - - 21.2 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 46.7 - - 47.1 - - 39.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.9 - - 18.2 - - 21.0 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 128 - - -9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 153 - - 1633 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95773 45 292 34 294 33 301 30 341 95773 89028 16 308 19 328 26 338 31 352 89028 83698 12 005 14 349 22 350 20 356 83698 79206 11 036 13 350 15 008 9 353 79206 75253 11 072 15 349 18 358 9 351 75253 71699 13 044 13 000 20 347 16 345 71699 68469 20 014 11 022 16 346 18 346 68469 65488 26 345 15 006 13 353 21 356 65488 62716 28 347 26 339 27 337 30 329 62716 60058 22 002 29 344 27 348 22 333 60058 57279 40 354 37 350 35 359 32 004 57279 54365 49 333 46 338 48 351 43 353 54365 51589 51 329 50 333 55 348 60 338 51589 49118 48 339 50 340 69 339 64 334 49118 46917 49 351 55 346 63 329 59 338 46917 44926 58 356 59 344 55 337 55 341 44926 43127 65 351 54 347 55 345 46 341 43127 41503 68 348 57 001 51 349 39 343 41503 40007 65 350 65 004 45 358 38 351 40007 38601 63 352 69 001 50 354 48 345 38601 37273 60 351 73 358 57 345 50 339 37273 35991 54 353 74 358 58 343 45 335 35991 34696 51 353 63 356 57 345 40 335 34696 33358 49 352 51 353 52 357 39 336 33358 31979 43 350 41 353 46 010 36 340 31979 30544 38 348 35 356 38 011 29 349 30544 29043 37 346 32 347 28 352 20 000 29043 27482 34 343 28 342 24 332 16 324 27482 25866 32 341 24 341 21 323 24 310 25866 24191 30 337 21 334 19 314 25 309 24191 22463 26 334 21 334 21 302 21 298 22463 20679 25 341 21 341 19 310 16 289 20679 18837 26 349 24 345 23 332 11 304 18837 16972 28 347 25 343 24 340 10 330 16972 15182 28 342 24 337 21 339 12 324 15182 13555 26 336 22 332 18 334 12 320 13555 12105 22 332 19 330 16 328 10 318 12105 10813 17 332 14 329 12 321 8 314 10813 9657 11 338 9 323 4 304 4 291 9657 8624 4 357 2 298 5 173 4 200 8624 7702 3 136 6 187 11 178 9 177 7702 6884 7 167 11 194 14 181 10 176 6884 6157 10 178 10 196 14 188 11 194 6157 5501 10 178 9*207 14 197 13 212 5501 4919 9 197 10*219 14 203 17 222 4919 4433 11 226 9 223 13 206 16 225 4433 4059 10 221 9 225 12 205 12 213 4059 3802 6 208 8 227 10 204 9 175 3802 3646 5*205 8 228 9*203 7 145 3646 3556 5*204 7 228 6*203 5*127 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography