DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.9 - - 32.1 - - 38.0 - - 39.5 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 114 - - 215 - - 110 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 2006 - - 5051 - - 4054 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 4157 - - 6736 - - 5598 - - 3539 Hcrit BL Top 3555 - - 5409 - - 8454 - - 7457 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 434 - - 3930 - - 2824 - - 3527 - - 4394 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 252 - - 425 - - 316 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 239 - - 326 - - 298 - - 268 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1306 - - 271 - - 164 - - -222 - - -2178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4861 - - 5138 - - 8290 - - 7679 - - 5735 sfcLCL ODpotential -4107 - - -367 - - -238 - - -759 - - -3675 ODpotential blCL 7662 - - 5776 - - 8692 - - 8216 - - 7231 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.9 - - 32.1 - - 38.0 - - 39.5 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.6 - - 22.3 - - 14.2 - - 18.5 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.6 - - 31.1 - - 36.5 - - 38.6 - - 35.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.6 - - 22.2 - - 14.1 - - 18.6 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 114 - - 215 - - 110 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 152 - - 2006 - - 5051 - - 4054 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 7 110 4 106 3 295 3 351 8 036 96395 89284 5 049 5 090 1 104 3 040 7 042 89284 83786 5 044 2 108 2 305 1 035 2 001 83786 79189 7 028 6 055 5 179 3 047 4 289 79189 75190 9 317 7 313 11 263 11 345 4 055 75190 71622 5 334 4 165 11 258 10 296 14 307 71622 68390 10 355 11 303 12 283 13 312 6 330 68390 65391 30 281 24 296 18 279 25 287 16 316 65391 62588 31 297 24 304 23 282 30 284 28 290 62588 59888 33 300 25 298 31 290 30 291 24 299 59888 57066 30 286 30 295 35 290 32 300 32 304 57066 54129 32 283 40 287 43 289 38 301 44 302 54129 51342 48 289 47 291 46 287 52 300 48 304 51342 48850 62 294 54 296 54 299 62 299 55 305 48850 46617 72 295 64 297 69 303 67 298 64 305 46617 44596 74 295 73 301 77 304 75 304 81 304 44596 42778 84 305 92 308 94 306 100 305 96 298 42778 41140 116 309 124 305 119 299 116 297 104 300 41140 39629 138 303 133 297 119 298 113 295 110 301 39629 38208 129 301 128 297 114 304 109 303 114 300 38208 36867 124 312 122 302 122 312 114 308 115 301 36867 35569 142 318 120 310 127 312 117 306 116 302 35569 34255 144 316 125 316 126 310 117 305 116 303 34255 32897 141 311 130 315 128 309 116 305 116 303 32897 31502 137 308 130 311 129 309 114 305 116 303 31502 30058 133 304 130 306 129 307 114 306 115 303 30058 28554 131 302 131 303 129 307 115 305 111 304 28554 26994 130 302 134 303 131 306 116 304 107 306 26994 25377 127 304 133 304 132 308 115 305 104 307 25377 23708 124 310 128 304 126 309 111 309 103 309 23708 21989 122 313 123 308 116 310 107 311 103 310 21989 20216 114 313 114 314 107 312 102 309 101 312 20216 18389 97 309 91 315 94 315 95 310 92 313 18389 16549 82 300 68 307 73 314 83 313 77 313 16549 14797 70 295 56 297 54 306 65 314 63 313 14797 13217 60 294 46 294 40 295 48 312 51 315 13217 11818 51 295 36 293 30 290 37 307 41 317 11818 10574 42 296 29 289 23 289 28 299 34 314 10574 9462 33 296 26 288 21*290 23 291 31 307 9462 8469 25 295 25 289 19*292 21 284 28 298 8469 7583 20 292 24 296 18 295 19*275 26 287 7583 6796 17 290 23 303 17 297 18*272 24 278 6796 6093 15 288 21 310 16 299 18 270 22 271 6093 5460 14 287 19*316 16 300 17 268 21 266 5460 4895 12 284 17*322 15 302 17 267 19 259 4895 4420 11 280 15 326 15 303 16 267 17 254 4420 4053 10 275 14 327 14 303 16 267 15 251 4053 3799 8 268 13 328 14 303 15 266 12 249 3799 3645 6 252 12 328 13 304 14 266 9*247 3645 3556 4*239 10 328 11 304 12 266 6*244 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography