DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 80.6 - - 82.8 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 527 - - 320 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2967 - - 4680 - - 5486 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5407 - - 6816 - - 7265 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6370 - - 8083 - - 8889 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1189 - - 1237 - - 1261 - - 4329 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 448 - - 560 - - 500 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 339 - - 348 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - 8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9316 - - -8723 - - -7615 - - -10567 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15686 - - 16807 - - 16505 - - 14126 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19102 - - -15995 - - -14090 - - -18276 ODpotential blCL - - - 25472 - - 24078 - - 22979 - - 21835 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 45 - - 57 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 80.6 - - 82.8 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.5 - - 19.0 - - 22.4 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 77.4 - - 80.5 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.1 - - 18.5 - - 22.1 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 527 - - 320 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2967 - - 4680 - - 5486 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99062 22 103 23 107 28 104 26 108 99062 91526 25 102 20 109 19 092 25 096 91526 85731 19 107 19 113 19 096 21 088 85731 80938 17 118 17 109 18 107 19 079 80938 76834 18 098 16 101 14 116 16 084 76834 73223 13 102 14 100 11 123 13 097 73223 69952 14 108 10 114 7 114 9 090 69952 66937 13 074 5 124 7 089 5 106 66937 64140 6 046 1 153 6 036 4 091 64140 61440 9 015 4 031 7 334 5 026 61440 58649 12 345 11 356 10 318 10 338 58649 55776 12 324 13 319 13 320 15 318 55776 53040 11 295 13 289 13 299 17 293 53040 50573 10 304 15 288 15 288 16 278 50573 48359 15 286 19 290 21 278 17 275 48359 46348 21 274 21 287 23 274 21 272 46348 44515 23 272 24 277 26 275 24 272 44515 42838 25 286 26 294 28 276 25 277 42838 41282 25 287 30 297 30 294 24 287 41282 39822 25 291 32 292 33 297 27 293 39822 38445 27 300 33 294 35 292 30 290 38445 37116 30 304 35 299 35 291 32 288 37116 35771 33 305 38 305 36 296 31 292 35771 34383 35 307 40 311 38 300 32 301 34383 32956 38 309 40 315 38 308 32 304 32956 31476 39 312 39 317 37 312 32 304 31476 29933 39 314 37 319 34 313 32 303 29933 28330 39 315 36 316 33 311 33 302 28330 26667 39 317 34 314 34 312 33 304 26667 24948 38 318 32 315 34 316 32 309 24948 23173 36 314 30 316 32 319 30 309 23173 21337 35 311 30 316 29 319 29 310 21337 19433 35 315 31 319 28 320 27 314 19433 17498 33 323 31 323 27 321 25 316 17498 15639 31 331 30 332 26 325 23 317 15639 13949 29 334 28 341 23 332 21 318 13949 12444 26 334 23 343 18 335 17 319 12444 11104 22 333 18 336 13 320 14 319 11104 9906 19 332 16 317 11*318 12 308 9906 8835 15 332 11*315 11*334 10 305 8835 7882 12 331 9*324 12 338 9 317 7882 7037 8*325 9 329 13 345 9 336 7037 6283 6*324 9 336 13 349 10 354 6283 5603 6 325 9 340 13 351 14 011 5603 4997 5 327 9 343 14 354 15 014 4997 4487 5 330 9 346 14 355 15 015 4487 4093 5 331 9 348 14 357 15 015 4093 3820 5 333 9 350 13 357 14 015 3820 3654 5 333 9 350 13 357 13*015 3654 3559 5 333 8 350 11 358 10*015 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography