DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 52.4 - - - - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 207 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3923 - - 4253 - - - - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5817 - - 6126 - - - - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7326 - - 7656 - - - - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2928 - - 2432 - - - - - 4540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 373 - - 400 - - - - - 38 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 326 - - - - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 13 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 566 - - 1007 - - - - - -729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6761 - - 6649 - - - - - 4287 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12 - - 383 - - - - - -1741 ODpotential blCL - - - 7338 - - 7273 - - - - - 5298 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 100 - - - - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.5 - - 52.4 - - - - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 35.6 - - - - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 51.0 - - - - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 35.0 - - - - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 207 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3923 - - 4253 - - - - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - - - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99455 33 097 28 105 25 094 99455 91909 25 104 17 096 21 099 91909 86099 18 114 11 124 22 099 86099 81269 18 128 13 139 16 094 81269 77103 19 129 10 137 11 086 77103 73416 14 111 12 135 10 090 73416 70066 5 119 11 126 7 133 70066 66982 3 141 5 104 7 127 66982 64121 3 262 3 356 6 072 64121 61348 3 332 7 272 3 349 61348 58442 8 294 3 293 9 314 58442 55416 11 292 8 312 9 303 55416 52524 21 313 17 310 18 316 52524 49915 27 309 26 313 27 313 49915 47571 33 311 32 311 31 311 47571 45442 37 312 34 309 35 314 45442 43494 40 313 38 309 40 317 43494 41696 41 314 42 309 41 314 41696 40024 44 315 43 311 40 319 40024 38464 46 315 44 313 42 321 38464 37006 47 315 44 315 42 314 37006 35612 49 315 46 317 37 311 35612 34217 48 314 44 315 37 321 34217 32796 44 310 42 314 37 321 32796 31356 38 306 42 312 35 326 31356 29883 32 304 36 307 36 323 29883 28368 24 298 24 297 29 323 28368 26826 21 284 19 296 25 323 26826 25263 20 277 18 291 19 320 25263 23667 17 287 16 283 17 345 23667 22020 18 292 14 286 15 342 22020 20313 20 287 15 292 15 334 20313 18539 22 285 17 294 14 327 18539 16734 23 294 19 296 15 316 16734 14994 23 298 17 277 18 312 14994 13407 20 301 17 268 19 311 13407 11992 17 304 18 281 19 310 11992 10728 14 304 18 292 20 310 10728 9596 13 299 18 302 22 312 9596 8583 13 296 18 310 23 315 8583 7678 12*296 17*316 23 317 7678 6873 12*297 17*320 23 319 6873 6156 12 298 16 324 22 321 6156 5507 11 300 16 325 21 324 5507 4929 11 301 15 327 20 326 4929 4443 10 302 15 328 18 328 4443 4067 10 303 14 328 17 330 4067 3807 9 304 14 329 15 331 3807 3648 9 304 13 329 13*332 3648 3557 8 304 11 329 10*332 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography