DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 44.6 - - 42.1 - - 42.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 2 - - 59 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 154 - - 894 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3557 - - 3557 - - 4297 - - 3556 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1726 - - 2471 - - 1710 - - 3874 - - 3345 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 39 - - 160 - - 39 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 239 - - 311 - - 270 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -85 - - 740 - - -399 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3557 - - 3642 - - 3557 - - 3955 - - 3556 sfcLCL ODpotential -963 - - -1505 - - 132 - - -1308 - - -914 ODpotential blCL 4520 - - 5062 - - 4165 - - 4864 - - 4470 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 44.6 - - 42.1 - - 42.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 40.9 - - 40.1 - - 37.7 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 44.5 - - 41.4 - - 42.6 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 40.1 - - 39.3 - - 36.7 - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 2 - - 59 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 154 - - 894 - - 153 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 101 - - 100 - - 69 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97008 19 072 21 068 21 072 14 078 14 044 97008 89928 21 081 25 087 19 094 23 082 20 092 89928 84378 20 089 23 103 16 097 19 089 20 087 84378 79723 15 123 17 095 9 117 7 070 19 069 79723 75685 11 120 7 106 7 099 5 139 6 064 75685 72115 6 065 3 089 2 055 3 054 5 070 72115 68884 6 320 3 191 4 270 2 318 4 313 68884 65910 9 284 12 288 15 301 12 347 3 030 65910 63149 13 278 17 284 22 273 17 290 14 297 63149 60475 14 268 16 288 17 256 15 252 13 271 60475 57660 21 278 20 286 17 265 19 270 16 266 57660 54708 30 268 37 272 33 271 35 274 28 282 54708 51880 36 268 42 260 48 265 46 268 41 265 51880 49334 41 262 33 262 51 260 54 262 49 259 49334 47049 45 264 36 274 46 262 53 253 45 251 47049 44964 42 263 49 281 49 274 42 271 37 253 44964 43043 55 272 69 274 67 276 60 281 52 281 43043 41269 63 270 83 255 84 271 76 269 70 281 41269 39628 58 279 73 253 89 266 80 260 82 273 39628 38113 127 293 93 278 97 269 95 260 91 265 38113 36716 163 292 126 283 114 274 109 260 96 262 36716 35389 150 288 124 281 122 273 109 260 99 263 35389 34062 134 283 109 275 114 269 111 263 101 262 34062 32707 130 280 98 267 107 263 121 264 109 259 32707 31327 120 277 96 260 105 256 125 264 122 254 31327 29904 107 272 96 257 111 256 121 263 130 252 29904 28421 100 267 96 257 112 255 118 261 133 255 28421 26879 93 264 94 260 109 257 117 259 131 261 26879 25281 82 262 89 262 100 260 109 255 114 263 25281 23636 74 260 83 263 90 259 98 251 93 257 23636 21946 66 255 83 261 83 253 89 248 89 252 21946 20204 59 246 84 259 83 250 85 247 84 256 20204 18412 54 244 78 255 83 250 81 249 62 265 18412 16604 46 244 70 248 80 254 72 252 39 273 16604 14871 35 246 65 242 71 256 60 257 29 273 14871 13296 29 249 64 243 58 257 52 265 31 272 13296 11892 26 254 60 247 44 261 44 272 34 278 11892 10637 25 255 54 249 32 268 38 274 37 285 10637 9514 25 256 50 248 27 276 37 271 37 292 9514 8510 27 257 48 245 25 278 37 271 35 297 8510 7614 27 256 43 241 25 275 36 272 34 299 7614 6818 27 254 36 238 22 270 33 272 32 298 6818 6110 26 248 29 237 20 268 30 272 28 298 6110 5472 22 243 23 238 16 271 26 271 23 299 5472 4903 15 238 16 239 12 282 23 269 18 303 4903 4425 9 235 12 240 10*302 20 269 14 311 4425 4056 4 216 8 238 10*308 18 269 11 322 4056 3801 3 170 5 237 9 310 16 270 9 332 3801 3646 3*147 5*238 9 312 14 270 7 335 3646 3556 3*141 4*239 8 313 10*270 5*338 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography