DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 82.1 - - 75.9 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 397 - - 483 - - 138 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6468 - - 10485 - - 4164 - - 1799 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8136 - - 11496 - - 5833 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9871 - - 13888 - - 7567 - - 5202 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2269 - - 1211 - - 4970 - - 2754 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 567 - - 712 - - 345 - - 178 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 253 - - 317 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 27 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4747 - - -1189 - - -5240 - - -4662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14619 - - 15078 - - 12808 - - 9865 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8908 - - -5512 - - -7789 - - -7713 ODpotential blCL - - - 18779 - - 19400 - - 15356 - - 12915 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 94 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 82.1 - - 75.9 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.1 - - 27.3 - - 31.7 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.8 - - 79.0 - - 74.6 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 27.2 - - 31.7 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 397 - - 483 - - 138 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6468 - - 10485 - - 4164 - - 1799 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 75 - - 102 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99354 26 109 26 092 24 106 22 102 99354 91819 26 098 24 112 18 114 22 096 91819 85990 18 118 15 104 14 103 21 090 85990 81150 17 115 10 124 12 082 16 096 81150 76995 12 121 9 120 11 103 13 091 76995 73327 11 127 7 116 9 107 9 076 73327 70004 7 128 4 130 5 129 7 091 70004 66943 7 079 3 221 3 299 6 033 66943 64102 6 358 2 230 6 305 8 360 64102 61356 9 295 5 248 9 283 11 310 61356 58492 12 301 6 313 8 278 10 278 58492 55509 19 296 18 290 14 296 13 269 55509 52666 23 296 23 283 27 289 24 281 52666 50131 28 295 27 287 29 287 27 284 50131 47876 31 298 32 296 33 294 34 298 47876 45844 40 305 44 294 39 296 45 290 45844 44001 39 299 43 292 47 294 45 282 44001 42314 36 305 46 286 54 290 48 279 42314 40753 36 304 48 283 53 286 55 280 40753 39295 35 306 47 284 51 282 62 278 39295 37925 40 306 45 284 51 278 59 279 37925 36604 42 301 42 280 52 277 58 280 36604 35267 41 296 39 278 49 277 54 280 35267 33885 41 294 38 276 46 278 49 279 33885 32466 39 293 39 278 47 277 43 275 32466 30995 38 288 40 281 49 276 42 265 30995 29462 38 285 38 277 51 278 46 262 29462 27870 37 281 37 272 49 280 47 265 27870 26223 36 280 36 277 42 282 43 266 26223 24522 34 281 33 276 34 280 40 261 24522 22770 32 275 31 273 32 268 42 258 22770 20960 30 261 33 271 34 264 44 260 20960 19083 30 252 35 261 34 262 44 259 19083 17180 29 254 33 253 33 255 41 253 17180 15359 27 255 28*249 32 241 39 239 15359 13716 23 250 20*245 26 228 37 226 13716 12260 19 243 14 242 19 220 32 221 12260 10960 15*240 13 245 14 225 26 224 10960 9794 12*241 12 249 12 236 20 230 9794 8749 10 242 12 253 10 259 15 240 8749 7815 9 245 12 257 10*280 12 252 7815 6984 7 249 11 260 11*298 11 267 6984 6243 6 255 11 262 12 310 11 287 6243 5573 5 259 11 265 14 317 12*307 5573 4976 5 264 11 266 14 320 13*321 4976 4474 4 269 11 268 14 322 13 326 4474 4085 4 275 10 269 14 323 13 328 4085 3816 3 276 10 269 14 323 13 329 3816 3652 3 279 10 270 13 324 12 330 3652 3558 3 279 9 270 12 324 10 331 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography