DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 82.8 - - 83.8 - - 79.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 519 - - 315 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4745 - - 7467 - - 7333 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6787 - - 9057 - - 8717 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8148 - - 10870 - - 10736 - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1631 - - 1889 - - 2682 - - 7580 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 520 - - 650 - - 548 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 78 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 107 - - 027 - - 003 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -10 - - -19 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5536 - - -5568 - - -6140 - - -10578 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13685 - - 16439 - - 16877 - - 14138 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11929 - - -10515 - - -10541 - - -14267 ODpotential blCL - - - 20077 - - 21385 - - 21277 - - 17826 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 45 - - 66 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 82.8 - - 83.8 - - 79.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.2 - - 22.1 - - 21.2 - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 79.5 - - 81.4 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 21.8 - - 21.0 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 519 - - 315 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4745 - - 7467 - - 7333 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99317 31 117 24 102 30 114 33 111 99317 91754 25 122 19 109 21 111 25 107 91754 85954 24 122 18 120 16 102 20 100 85954 81149 18 119 14 121 12 094 17 102 81149 77003 15 129 14 115 9 118 15 089 77003 73338 12 130 14 126 8 129 8 103 73338 70021 11 115 11 147 5 140 9 088 70021 66974 7 113 10 138 5 199 2 016 66974 64155 2 081 2 168 3 205 2 237 64155 61423 6 276 10 256 10 277 7 285 61423 58568 9 290 9 239 13 280 14 277 58568 55612 21 294 13 285 17 275 20 266 55612 52805 29 281 24 284 20 272 23 268 52805 50288 35 279 35 282 32 278 31 275 50288 48041 41 278 46 279 41 273 38 268 48041 46020 45 280 52 278 50 272 45 266 46020 44192 51 283 58 277 56 273 51 265 44192 42517 56 280 61 275 58 271 54 265 42517 40964 56 278 59 273 58 270 55 264 40964 39512 55 276 55 271 53 272 53 266 39512 38146 53 275 53 270 50 271 49 265 38146 36827 51 276 50 269 46 267 47 265 36827 35492 49 278 48 268 44 266 43 266 35492 34114 46 278 46 268 42 265 39 268 34114 32698 44 278 44 270 38 265 36 270 32698 31231 43 278 42 271 36 264 32 274 31231 29702 40 278 39 271 35 263 29 273 29702 28114 35 277 36 268 33 264 29 269 28114 26469 31 275 32 264 31 264 29 265 26469 24769 29 272 29 263 29 265 27 266 24769 23015 26 276 25 263 23 264 24 265 23015 21206 23 279 19 265 18 258 22 263 21206 19337 21 282 16 272 15 256 21 262 19337 17439 19 284 15 276 14 261 22 259 17439 15612 16 288 13 277 14 256 21 252 15612 13948 13 293 9 270 13 237 17 235 13948 12464 10 294 6 243 9 214 12 217 12464 11136 6 283 3*188 4*210 8 217 11136 9946 4 244 2*172 2*220 2 196 9946 8878 3*171 2 158 1 239 3 054 8878 7922 4*131 1 112 3 357 6 039 7922 7071 4 124 1 045 6 005 10 032 7071 6312 4 116 2 025 8 006 14 027 6312 5626 3 107 3 017 9 006 15 026 5626 5013 3 097 3 011 9 007 15 024 5013 4497 3 087 4 008 10 006 15 023 4497 4099 3 077 4 008 10 006 15 021 4099 3823 2 070 4 007 10 007 14 021 3823 3655 3 069 4 006 9 006 13*020 3655 3559 2 066 4 006 9 006 10*019 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography