DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 85.7 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 380 - - 490 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3086 - - 4715 - - - - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5463 - - 6818 - - - - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6489 - - 8118 - - - - - 3559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1156 - - 1529 - - - - - 6118 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 547 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 002 - - - - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8203 - - -8957 - - - - - -10378 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14693 - - 17076 - - - - - 13938 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16312 - - -15944 - - - - - -17009 ODpotential blCL - - - 22801 - - 24062 - - - - - 20568 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 71 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 85.7 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.9 - - 22.7 - - - - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.3 - - 82.5 - - - - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.6 - - 22.2 - - - - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 380 - - 490 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3086 - - 4715 - - - - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99095 31 107 23 105 23 091 99095 91593 26 102 19 109 24 086 91593 85836 22 107 20 097 22 089 85836 81070 20 095 21 101 19 082 81070 76978 18 086 20 087 20 081 76978 73367 20 098 13 076 20 079 73367 70098 17 090 8 065 19 063 70098 67096 18 073 9 072 17 042 67096 64324 18 045 15 066 15 041 64324 61649 15 020 14 029 10 027 61649 58865 14 018 17 021 14 004 58865 55981 20 014 21 013 19 357 55981 53238 22 015 19 021 21 009 53238 50782 25 017 29 028 22 011 50782 48585 30 019 35 022 20 015 48585 46593 35 026 35 019 29 024 46593 44784 42 026 43 017 43 008 44784 43128 48 021 43 017 41 001 43128 41582 51 022 43 021 37 357 41582 40124 47 022 42 023 28 358 40124 38744 40 019 39 024 22 356 38744 37412 36 021 34 025 20 353 37412 36062 35 017 30 021 19 352 36062 34667 32 011 27 015 18 354 34667 33232 21 024 26 014 16 354 33232 31742 17 004 27 014 18 353 31742 30186 21 350 27 013 20 354 30186 28567 23 345 25 013 21 355 28567 26885 21 340 24 008 20 356 26885 25146 18 339 24 358 18 349 25146 23354 17 339 23 360 16 343 23354 21497 17 336 19 353 13 340 21497 19573 18 336 17 340 14 332 19573 17624 16 350 14 338 16 321 17624 15757 15 009 11 001 17 317 15757 14063 14 019 10 027 14 314 14063 12552 13 024 10 033 10 316 12552 11202 12 032 7 034 9 326 11202 9996 11 043 4 044 9 341 9996 8917 10 053 3*013 10 350 8917 7953 8 067 4*008 11 356 7953 7096 5*077 5 005 12 004 7096 6330 4*073 5 003 13 008 6330 5639 3 067 6 001 14 010 5639 5022 3 060 6 360 14 010 5022 4503 3 055 6 360 14 011 4503 4103 3 049 7 359 13 011 4103 3825 3 045 7 358 12 010 3825 3656 3 044 6 359 10*010 3656 3559 2 042 6 358 7*010 3559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography