DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.6 - - 46.5 - - 48.5 - - 46.6 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 136 - - 129 - - 12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2349 - - 3417 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth Hcrit 3539 - - 4519 - - 5247 - - 3540 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 5752 - - 6820 - - 3557 - - 3556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 208 - - 2536 - - 3825 - - 5727 - - 2093 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 283 - - 315 - - 51 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 241 - - 266 - - 273 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -66 - - -1195 - - -355 - - -3863 - - -1018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3622 - - 6947 - - 7175 - - 7421 - - 4574 sfcLCL ODpotential -6858 - - -2355 - - -1149 - - -5253 - - -3721 ODpotential blCL 10414 - - 8107 - - 7969 - - 8810 - - 7277 blCL maxRH 91 - - 81 - - 100 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 28.6 - - 46.5 - - 48.5 - - 46.6 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 28.4 - - 29.4 - - 26.5 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.7 - - 45.4 - - 47.5 - - 46.3 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 28.5 - - 29.4 - - 26.5 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 136 - - 129 - - 12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 2349 - - 3417 - - 154 - - 153 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 22 - - 100 - - 65 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96303 13 290 21 304 27 307 17 325 15 315 96303 89389 14 032 6 325 14 338 15 025 10 023 89389 83938 13 022 4 047 6 345 10 000 12 048 83938 79345 8 333 6 035 1 158 4 335 8 359 79345 75351 9 281 6 331 5 210 7 228 11 306 75351 71800 8 259 10 293 5 230 8 223 5 271 71800 68571 4 285 8 270 7 242 7 225 7 258 68571 65581 6 300 5 265 8 243 9 235 9 258 65581 62782 8 279 6 265 7 258 10 239 8 291 62782 60043 11 255 12 248 11 249 11 258 13 253 60043 57176 12 240 14 250 12 257 7 256 10 230 57176 54202 12 239 14 235 16 236 15 257 5 280 54202 51351 17 248 15 238 21 230 22 242 10 264 51351 48789 25 246 23 233 24 229 21 236 18 241 48789 46509 29 233 23 225 25 237 18 240 20 229 46509 44451 34 232 27 234 34 241 29 244 27 238 44451 42571 41 227 38 232 42 232 39 234 38 236 42571 40843 41 221 45 229 47 229 46 228 44 230 40843 39248 43 231 55 232 57 229 56 230 48 226 39248 37773 54 233 62 228 66 228 66 227 56 225 37773 36406 60 228 63 229 73 229 74 224 65 222 36406 35109 60 225 65 231 78 230 81 224 69 222 35109 33813 59 223 67 229 81 229 86 225 75 223 33813 32486 59 222 68 227 81 227 86 225 83 223 32486 31127 61 222 69 227 79 225 85 224 85 223 31127 29722 62 224 70 227 77 225 83 224 82 223 29722 28260 62 226 69 227 73 224 79 225 78 224 28260 26743 61 225 67 226 68 224 72 225 73 225 26743 25174 59 221 64 225 64 223 65 226 67 225 25174 23558 57 217 60 223 60 222 60 227 61 225 23558 21895 55 215 56 221 57 221 54 227 56 226 21895 20182 51 214 54 219 52 221 48 229 49 228 20182 18410 48 212 51 217 49 222 43 230 42 232 18410 16612 46 212 48 215 45 222 38 231 35 233 16612 14883 43 214 44 215 43 222 36 228 30 230 14883 13311 40 217 40 215 40 221 35 223 31 223 13311 11911 36 218 37 217 35 219 33 215 33 213 11911 10660 32 218 34 219 26 215 27 207 32 207 10660 9539 26 218 31 224 22 216 22 203 27 207 9539 8533 20 219 28 233 19 222 19 205 19 206 8533 7635 15 220 25 241 17 231 16 212 12 211 7635 6837 12 223 21 243 15*243 12 228 8 233 6837 6126 10 227 17*242 14*252 11 244 6 263 6126 5484 8 233 14*240 13 264 10 260 4 310 5484 4912 7 236 13 240 13 267 10 266 6 008 4912 4431 4 236 11 241 13 269 10 268 8 024 4431 4059 3 228 10 242 13 271 10 270 9 028 4059 3803 4 211 9 242 13 272 10 271 8 031 3803 3646 4*190 8 242 12 272 9*272 6 033 3646 3556 4*186 7 243 10 273 7*273 4*034 3556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography