DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 77.5 - - 78.7 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 471 - - 252 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3922 - - 6655 - - 6686 - - 155 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6122 - - 8357 - - 8087 - - 3542 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7325 - - 10058 - - 10089 - - 3558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1221 - - 1622 - - 2876 - - 2653 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 479 - - 605 - - 493 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 38 - - 65 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 192 - - 339 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -2 - - -9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6300 - - -6743 - - -7788 - - -9550 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13625 - - 16801 - - 17877 - - 13108 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11282 - - -10349 - - -12084 - - -14688 ODpotential blCL - - - 18607 - - 20407 - - 22173 - - 18246 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 78 - - 82 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 77.5 - - 78.7 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.2 - - 15.2 - - 11.4 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 74.6 - - 76.8 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.0 - - 15.0 - - 11.3 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 471 - - 252 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3922 - - 6655 - - 6686 - - 155 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97675 8 161 6 198 4 090 3 067 97675 90254 6 165 6 136 7 134 7 111 90254 84559 8 112 8 142 5 120 6 093 84559 79859 5 109 7 112 6 118 6 096 79859 75820 4 127 3 023 4 037 8 083 75820 72250 2 050 2 339 4 003 5 047 72250 69011 2 311 10 297 12 325 10 038 69011 66025 9 099 5 239 9 286 12 328 66025 63263 14 327 9 344 11 329 9 335 63263 60587 15 311 17 307 17 306 12 308 60587 57802 12 323 12 296 18 297 16 295 57802 54919 19 306 18 297 22 287 22 292 54919 52171 28 294 25 290 29 288 31 288 52171 49702 35 297 34 288 38 282 34 282 49702 47500 38 291 30 287 34 277 34 287 47500 45520 34 301 42 309 43 305 45 299 45520 43731 45 319 62 306 60 307 58 299 43731 42095 68 314 74 305 69 304 63 296 42095 40574 79 313 77 307 69 301 63 293 40574 39144 81 315 75 308 66 302 60 292 39144 37795 80 316 71 309 63 303 56 293 37795 36494 79 316 68 311 60 305 53 294 36494 35177 79 316 66 310 57 305 50 294 35177 33817 76 317 66 309 56 303 48 293 33817 32418 67 320 64 310 56 302 47 293 32418 30967 59 323 59 312 55 303 48 294 30967 29456 51 323 48 310 51 303 46 294 29456 27886 39 318 41 307 45 303 40 292 27886 26259 31 310 37 305 40 295 34 288 26259 24575 27 304 33 300 36 290 32 284 24575 22835 26 302 24 289 32 289 30 283 22835 21037 24 300 21 279 27 279 27 280 21037 19178 21 299 19 271 23 265 25 269 19178 17294 20 297 16 265 20 260 26 257 17294 15483 16 297 13 254 17 255 24 251 15483 13835 10 310 9 234 15 239 21 240 13835 12365 6 328 7 215 12 218 18 216 12365 11051 5 312 7*208 10*213 15 208 11051 9872 5 284 6*200 8*213 11 208 9872 8815 5 255 5 198 6 214 7 205 8815 7868 5*184 4 195 2 223 4 199 7868 7025 6*170 3 193 2 358 0 124 7025 6274 6 165 3 189 3 011 3 032 6274 5596 6 161 2 183 5 013 8 025 5596 4991 5 157 1 166 5 013 12 022 4991 4483 5 154 1 141 6 013 13 018 4483 4091 5 150 0 114 6 012 14 015 4091 3819 4 149 1 087 6 013 12 012 3819 3653 4 147 1 081 6 012 10 010 3653 3558 4 145 1 072 6 012 6*006 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography