DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 36.3 - - 33.3 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 140 - - -22 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1659 - - 1967 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6454 - - 6772 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7527 - - 7835 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2874 - - 3099 - - 2524 - - 939 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 277 - - 21 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 006 - - 003 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -30 - - -22 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 233 - - -247 - - -1392 - - -1416 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7294 - - 8083 - - 7434 - - 7459 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1883 - - -2129 - - -4150 - - -5810 ODpotential blCL - - - 9410 - - 9964 - - 10192 - - 11852 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 87 - - 81 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 36.3 - - 33.3 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.0 - - 22.1 - - 22.1 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 35.1 - - 34.1 - - 31.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.0 - - 21.5 - - 21.8 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 140 - - -22 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1659 - - 1967 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 50 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96527 11 062 23 076 14 081 8 055 96527 89405 15 093 21 064 13 087 10 065 89405 83872 13 086 8 082 9 072 15 056 83872 79273 9 059 9 081 5 051 20 029 79273 75314 7 023 8 020 9 027 16 012 75314 71804 6 346 12 338 14 018 13 006 71804 68613 8 324 13 327 22 351 16 357 68613 65664 12 307 15 310 25 327 13 339 65664 62904 9 316 14 304 22 323 13 350 62904 60200 11 321 17 308 22 326 24 347 60200 57361 18 304 20 311 27 319 32 334 57361 54411 22 306 22 311 26 306 34 318 54411 51590 25 307 23 306 23 293 33 307 51590 49052 29 299 25 311 22 299 28 307 49052 46777 34 297 28 312 24 308 25 315 46777 44718 37 291 30 303 26 308 26 322 44718 42834 37 277 29 290 26 302 26 323 42834 41096 35 262 29 280 26 295 25 323 41096 39480 32 255 29 274 24 296 22 325 39480 37973 31 261 25 273 21 297 19 335 37973 36570 33 272 22 284 18 303 18 356 36570 35237 36 274 24 290 18 315 21 011 35237 33915 38 270 27 279 20 318 24 018 33915 32577 38 264 27 261 20 311 28 016 32577 31226 39 254 27 258 18 315 28 010 31226 29853 37 247 28 258 14 313 25 018 29853 28454 34 252 26 252 8 299 21 009 28454 27035 38 249 24 249 6 244 15 351 27035 25597 35 235 25 238 6 174 5 005 25597 24133 32 236 24 228 4 196 4 358 24133 22638 30 241 24 233 4 232 8 014 22638 21106 18 246 17 234 6 251 11 355 21106 19530 12 220 10 208 8 272 13 351 19530 17938 11 196 10 204 6 283 13 347 17938 16414 10 169 6 149 7 351 6 328 16414 15026 8 135 8 079 9 005 3 326 15026 13782 9 092 9 039 6 015 6 019 13782 12663 10 067 11 028 6 034 12 030 12663 11652 10 050 12 024 10 037 17 030 11652 10739 10 044 10 026 13 034 21 027 10739 9915 9 043 9 031 17 031 25 022 9915 9174 10 040 10 027 20 026 29 016 9174 8507 12 034 11 018 23 019 32 011 8507 7899 13*029 13*011 26 012 35 009 7899 7352 14*027 15*007 27 007 36 007 7352 6890 14 027 16 006 26 005 35 006 6890 6531 13 027 15 006 23 004 30 006 6531 6281 12 028 15 006 19 004 24 006 6281 6129 11 028 14 006 16*003 19*006 6129 6042 9 028 11 006 10*003 11*004 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography