DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.0 - - 40.7 - - 41.5 - - 41.7 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 32 - - 7 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1269 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7137 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2042 - - 2348 - - 3586 - - 3992 - - 3450 Hgt.Variab. W* 45 - - 152 - - 49 - - 19 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 222 - - 209 - - 120 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1095 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential -996 - - -6 - - -984 - - -1123 - - -1573 ODpotential blCL 7038 - - 7143 - - 7026 - - 7165 - - 7615 blCL maxRH 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.0 - - 40.7 - - 41.5 - - 41.7 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 36.8 - - 37.7 - - 38.9 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.9 - - 40.2 - - 41.3 - - 42.0 - - 42.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.7 - - 35.9 - - 37.0 - - 38.3 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 32 - - 7 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1269 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 7 121 7 331 6 352 12 012 5 308 96422 89369 12 079 10 102 9 086 6 024 9 045 89369 83888 16 072 12 090 16 096 5 077 11 051 83888 79303 14 062 10 121 11 104 8 074 7 056 79303 75341 9 081 7 087 7 113 3 145 7 051 75341 71826 7 010 2 073 3 166 5 087 4 053 71826 68638 8 317 3 041 2 148 2 335 2 342 68638 65706 9 254 1 008 11 233 7 317 2 349 65706 62979 5 291 5 254 10 210 7 246 6 260 62979 60320 12 251 17 236 11 230 12 204 11 216 60320 57524 12 202 16 226 8 228 9 211 9 214 57524 54614 17 240 23 239 15 250 22 242 21 252 54614 51846 30 235 25 241 28 243 31 232 32 236 51846 49363 26 249 32 245 39 244 34 241 36 237 49363 47139 24 262 41 248 41 244 39 245 41 242 47139 45127 36 269 45 253 38 249 43 247 45 243 45127 43297 47 267 48 264 45 255 45 252 44 244 43297 41613 55 263 53 270 52 256 49 256 45 249 41613 40049 59 262 56 267 55 257 56 256 53 252 40049 38589 58 268 57 268 58 261 58 254 58 250 38589 37231 65 277 57 276 64 261 60 255 57 251 37231 35943 76 278 63 278 72 260 61 255 56 255 35943 34659 80 277 75 272 75 258 61 254 57 257 34659 33348 81 277 81 268 72 258 59 252 57 258 33348 32016 82 277 80 269 68 259 56 250 58 256 32016 30648 84 276 75 271 63 260 50 247 55 252 30648 29235 86 276 69 277 55 260 44 247 45 250 29235 27776 84 278 66 280 49 260 42 248 37 249 27776 26274 81 279 65 281 47 260 41 246 36 246 26274 24740 79 279 60 283 44 263 38 245 34 243 24740 23178 75 283 55 285 40 268 32 246 28 240 23178 21579 68 290 49 287 36 277 26 251 22 223 21579 19937 59 294 44 288 35 279 23 255 19 213 19937 18279 48 293 41 288 36 279 22 260 17 219 18279 16689 37 289 37 289 34 282 22 266 17 229 16689 15244 31 287 32 288 30 285 20 273 18 240 15244 13955 28 285 27 285 26 284 17 276 16 254 13955 12799 26 282 22 282 21 280 15 272 14 266 12799 11762 25 278 19 282 15 274 15 256 11 266 11762 10830 25 274 17 282 11 261 14 244 8 252 10830 9993 24 271 16 274 10 255 14 236 8 225 9993 9241 23 269 15 268 10 249 13 232 9 215 9241 8562 22 267 13 259 9 242 11 229 9 211 8562 7942 20 265 11 248 8 230 8 219 8 195 7942 7385 16 259 9*237 7 221 6 198 7 167 7385 6912 13 248 8*225 6 214 5 161 7 144 6912 6544 10 233 7 222 6 211 6 135 6 125 6544 6289 8 221 7 221 5 210 6 125 6 110 6289 6133 7*215 7 221 5 210 5 121 5 090 6133 6042 6*214 6 221 4*209 4*120 3*080 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography