DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1557z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 60.6 - - 68.7 - - 69.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 197 - - 269 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2176 - - 4982 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 7084 - - 9300 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 8044 - - 10850 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 848 - - 2226 - - 1746 - - 8020 - - 5532 Hgt.Variab. W* 53 - - 327 - - 471 - - 77 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 14 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 191 - - 210 - - 203 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 6 - - 12 - - 10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2950 - - -3338 - - -3957 - - -8897 - - -7583 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8994 - - 11382 - - 14807 - - 14941 - - 13628 sfcLCL ODpotential -10472 - - -10897 - - -10793 - - -14774 - - -14782 ODpotential blCL 16515 - - 18941 - - 21643 - - 20818 - - 20826 blCL maxRH 41 - - 36 - - 29 - - 38 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 60.6 - - 68.7 - - 69.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.0 - - 31.8 - - 24.6 - - 24.9 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.1 - - 59.2 - - 66.6 - - 69.0 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 30.7 - - 23.7 - - 24.2 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 197 - - 269 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2176 - - 4982 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98465 7 109 5 227 3 089 2 273 6 353 98465 91192 6 084 9 133 5 093 8 060 11 084 91192 85578 6 114 13 111 10 145 8 076 11 063 85578 80870 7 102 12 121 12 115 12 097 10 064 80870 76800 12 107 14 118 9 116 10 102 8 103 76800 73198 12 083 11 124 15 125 11 107 11 107 73198 69925 9 111 10 119 12 105 8 106 11 108 69925 66912 7 143 3 118 5 138 1 105 8 082 66912 64118 11 160 9 163 10 184 3 139 2 103 64118 61417 12 228 7 232 6 211 5 205 6 159 61417 58623 23 227 21 239 23 233 20 243 18 235 58623 55743 27 235 31 238 31 243 34 254 24 247 55743 53017 43 255 47 241 51 245 59 249 52 252 53017 50595 58 257 63 248 66 247 71 247 66 254 50595 48421 72 259 78 253 77 253 78 253 76 255 48421 46429 84 259 86 254 84 257 85 255 84 254 46429 44587 94 259 92 256 91 259 91 256 87 255 44587 42874 102 260 97 257 95 257 95 257 90 255 42874 41269 106 260 100 257 99 256 97 256 93 255 41269 39764 106 260 99 257 99 255 98 254 95 253 39764 38355 104 260 98 256 97 254 96 252 93 252 38355 37010 97 259 97 254 95 254 93 252 90 252 37010 35666 89 258 94 252 95 253 91 252 87 252 35666 34294 82 257 86 252 93 251 89 253 87 251 34294 32900 71 256 80 251 86 249 86 253 85 251 32900 31470 63 257 76 249 79 247 80 252 79 253 31470 29998 61 258 71 248 74 245 72 249 72 253 29998 28486 59 257 68 248 71 244 67 246 65 252 28486 26937 56 256 66 249 69 243 64 245 60 250 26937 25353 55 255 63 249 64 243 60 245 56 247 25353 23736 52 254 58 247 59 242 56 244 51 244 23736 22084 47 253 51 245 53 240 51 242 47 243 22084 20391 41 253 44 242 45 240 45 243 42 244 20391 18687 36 252 37 241 38 241 39 246 35 245 18687 17060 32 249 30 242 33 244 33 248 28 242 17060 15584 28 246 25 242 29 246 28 244 25 230 15584 14268 24 243 22 239 25 246 22 237 24 216 14268 13087 21 240 19 236 21 243 17 229 23 210 13087 12019 17 236 16 232 14 229 15 225 19 211 12019 11053 15 228 14 225 11*216 14 223 14 215 11053 10179 13 224 13 215 10*212 12 221 11 219 10179 9392 12 227 11 207 9 211 10 217 10 222 9392 8682 10 227 9*201 9 210 8 212 10 223 8682 8034 8 223 7*196 8 209 7 208 9 225 8034 7450 6 221 5 193 8 209 7 208 8 225 7450 6955 3 213 4 191 8 209 6 206 7 220 6955 6570 2 138 4 189 7 207 6 205 4 202 6570 6302 4 099 3 187 7 207 6 204 3 159 6302 6138 4*074 3 187 7 207 5*204 3*096 6138 6044 3*073 3 184 6 206 5*203 3*074 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography