DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 47.7 - - 41.1 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 102 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1792 - - 3507 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 7699 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7660 - - 9375 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1307 - - 1655 - - 4053 - - 2013 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 221 - - 305 - - 9 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 15 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 022 - - 335 - - 173 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - 12 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1680 - - -2162 - - -3402 - - -2255 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9341 - - 11537 - - 9445 - - 8298 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7938 - - -7382 - - -8515 - - -8256 ODpotential blCL - - - 15598 - - 16757 - - 14557 - - 14298 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 88 - - 82 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 47.7 - - 41.1 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.6 - - 18.4 - - 21.2 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 46.7 - - 44.6 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.4 - - 17.4 - - 20.4 - - 21.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 102 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1792 - - 3507 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 52 - - 27 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96583 21 074 22 072 17 079 38 075 96583 89411 25 079 25 088 25 075 36 074 89411 83817 17 075 16 076 20 060 31 070 83817 79171 9 094 5 080 15 058 18 058 79171 75170 9 085 2 308 12 030 11 048 75170 71621 8 021 2 315 8 341 7 356 71621 68398 12 318 11 327 7 356 9 349 68398 65422 18 298 16 309 14 312 14 316 65422 62658 20 303 17 310 19 301 19 281 62658 59994 31 294 32 296 34 302 29 304 59994 57205 42 294 44 289 41 292 38 296 57205 54301 53 287 53 289 51 284 48 282 54301 51538 59 283 61 288 63 281 59 280 51538 49059 61 282 69 285 71 282 66 279 49059 46843 64 284 78 280 77 282 71 276 46843 44840 69 285 82 275 78 280 72 275 44840 43014 76 282 82 276 85 277 77 273 43014 41339 78 281 84 278 91 273 83 268 41339 39795 74 281 85 277 91 270 85 265 39795 38366 71 279 83 273 89 269 79 267 38366 37039 69 278 75 270 82 269 70 268 37039 35777 68 276 71 269 81 268 68 267 35777 34509 72 276 68 269 78 267 68 266 34509 33209 72 277 64 272 70 268 65 267 33209 31883 69 277 63 271 67 269 62 268 31883 30520 67 276 64 267 65 269 59 271 30520 29110 63 275 64 266 63 271 57 273 29110 27659 59 278 61 267 60 272 57 273 27659 26169 53 282 56 272 55 272 56 270 26169 24642 49 283 50 275 48 274 52 270 24642 23086 47 284 47 279 43 279 43 275 23086 21497 44 287 44 284 36 284 33 279 21497 19869 41 294 37 292 30 289 22 280 19869 18228 37 301 32 303 25 298 15 295 18228 16656 32 306 28 315 22 307 13 304 16656 15225 26 311 25 321 19 316 10 294 15225 13946 21 315 21 325 15 330 6 270 13946 12800 18 316 18 330 14 345 3 224 12800 11765 15 321 15 335 12 353 3 170 11765 10832 15 332 12 336 10 351 3 166 10832 9989 15 345 9*335 6 338 2 178 9989 9234 16 356 7*335 3 312 2 216 9234 8554 16 004 5 334 2 274 3 235 8554 7935 15*011 4 335 2 231 4 231 7935 7379 13*018 4 336 2 199 4 225 7379 6908 12 020 3 335 2 183 5 224 6908 6542 12 023 2 335 3 177 4 223 6542 6288 11 025 2 334 3 173 2 231 6288 6132 9 027 2 334 3 172 1*325 6132 6042 7 030 1 336 3*173 2*341 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography