DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.4 - - 54.5 - - 61.4 - - 55.9 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 132 - - 140 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1119 - - 1723 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6068 - - 6593 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6987 - - 7591 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 689 - - 620 - - 1160 - - 1918 - - 704 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 226 - - 264 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 025 - - 147 - - 194 - - 188 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5436 - - -4573 - - -6111 - - -6402 - - -5320 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11479 - - 11561 - - 13703 - - 12445 - - 11364 sfcLCL ODpotential -16327 - - -12195 - - -12695 - - -13861 - - -13870 ODpotential blCL 22370 - - 19182 - - 20286 - - 19904 - - 19913 blCL maxRH 88 - - 85 - - 90 - - 72 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.4 - - 54.5 - - 61.4 - - 55.9 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.4 - - 25.4 - - 22.8 - - 23.1 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 53.2 - - 60.1 - - 59.4 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.4 - - 24.6 - - 22.2 - - 22.6 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 132 - - 140 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1119 - - 1723 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 39 - - 61 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96852 19 280 37 275 30 282 25 282 31 277 96852 89685 20 291 21 277 25 277 22 280 23 293 89685 84127 20 281 19 283 22 267 22 292 21 297 84127 79530 16 273 17 273 18 276 26 290 22 303 79530 75588 12 308 15 275 14 274 22 289 18 308 75588 72092 15 315 13 278 14 277 19 276 16 312 72092 68912 18 307 14 263 19 267 21 291 16 288 68912 66009 20 298 14 275 19 260 25 290 16 289 66009 63336 17 302 15 289 17 259 23 274 22 292 63336 60742 17 309 16 288 15 260 22 270 27 273 60742 58041 22 291 15 277 15 256 24 260 30 259 58041 55245 22 278 18 259 22 257 24 253 29 253 55245 52575 27 276 25 265 24 268 24 254 22 259 52575 50163 30 252 31 265 28 271 23 269 21 280 50163 47990 33 245 36 261 33 273 30 278 28 282 47990 46016 36 246 37 260 38 268 37 277 34 277 46016 44209 39 253 40 260 44 259 46 270 43 271 44209 42540 47 247 48 252 51 252 51 262 50 263 42540 40989 48 248 57 252 57 255 54 260 55 261 40989 39537 55 251 65 254 66 261 62 261 60 263 39537 38175 61 249 69 257 75 261 70 261 64 264 38175 36869 61 241 68 256 79 260 72 257 64 263 36869 35560 60 236 66 252 77 258 71 253 63 260 35560 34221 60 237 65 247 72 253 70 252 64 258 34221 32856 58 240 64 244 71 249 70 253 65 257 32856 31451 53 244 63 243 72 249 70 254 63 258 31451 29998 50 243 61 242 70 249 67 256 59 260 29998 28501 49 239 59 237 67 249 64 257 55 261 28501 26965 49 238 57 233 65 249 61 259 52 264 26965 25391 48 238 56 236 61 250 58 262 48 267 25391 23783 47 236 51 242 55 251 54 263 43 266 23783 22135 43 232 47 242 49 254 49 263 38 262 22135 20438 40 228 46 239 43 253 44 263 34 260 20438 18722 34 223 43 234 39 249 38 261 30 259 18722 17076 28 223 38 229 39 242 32 259 26 260 17076 15579 23 225 35 226 38 236 28 257 23 261 15579 14244 20 225 32 224 36 233 27 255 21 262 14244 13049 19 223 29 222 33 233 26 254 20 262 13049 11974 17 223 26 220 29 233 26 251 20 260 11974 11005 15 220 23 217 26 234 25 247 20 257 11005 10133 12 210 20 210 22 234 23 245 20 253 10133 9350 12 189 18 199 18 231 21 244 19 250 9350 8645 12 173 16 188 15 223 19 246 17 249 8645 8003 12 163 14 176 11*214 14 250 15 251 8003 7426 11 158 12*167 6*200 9 247 10 250 7426 6938 10 154 5*156 5 194 4 229 4 225 6938 6559 5 142 3 143 5 194 3 204 3 163 6559 6296 2 083 3 144 5 191 2 191 2 099 6296 6136 4*033 3 143 4 191 2 187 2 041 6136 6043 5*025 2 144 4 190 2*188 2*018 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography