DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.8 - - 84.7 - - 89.1 - - 83.5 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 108 - - 225 - - 217 - - 14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1846 - - 3582 - - 4749 - - 1185 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1967 - - 3631 - - 4498 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3231 - - 4967 - - 6134 - - 2570 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1033 - - 2397 - - 2960 - - 3584 - - 2463 Hgt.Variab. W* 240 - - 385 - - 419 - - 112 - - 18 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 164 - - 161 - - 124 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 696 - - 69 - - 71 - - -719 - - -385 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2535 - - 4898 - - 6063 - - 3289 - - 1965 sfcLCL ODpotential 298 - - -559 - - -708 - - -2163 - - -1946 ODpotential blCL 2933 - - 5526 - - 6842 - - 4733 - - 3526 blCL maxRH 98 - - 94 - - 77 - - 94 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 360 - - 470 - - 820 - - 2410 - - 2300 CAPE Temp@2m 76.8 - - 84.7 - - 89.1 - - 83.5 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.4 - - 68.2 - - 67.5 - - 73.7 - - 74.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.6 - - 82.8 - - 87.3 - - 83.1 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.2 - - 67.8 - - 67.1 - - 73.6 - - 74.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 108 - - 225 - - 217 - - 14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1846 - - 3582 - - 4749 - - 1185 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 76 - - 9 - - 76 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 15 - - 15 - - 19 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98362 27 093 29 094 25 092 28 083 27 095 98362 90987 29 103 29 104 29 087 25 063 34 069 90987 85290 32 098 32 098 32 094 23 079 31 061 85290 80569 31 081 32 090 30 100 26 094 26 079 80569 76513 27 080 29 089 28 100 26 098 27 094 76513 72936 23 089 24 085 26 090 23 089 27 090 72936 69711 19 092 22 086 23 085 22 093 25 090 69711 66772 14 092 16 096 18 093 17 097 18 079 66772 64074 13 097 11 106 10 094 9 113 9 067 64074 61483 10 095 7 127 6 108 4 137 5 032 61483 58814 6 063 3 354 4 015 1 017 2 282 58814 56088 10 337 10 321 7 348 5 342 7 258 56088 53509 17 295 13 296 11 310 13 333 16 307 53509 51182 23 274 23 284 21 294 22 315 28 309 51182 49075 27 279 25 281 26 288 26 303 30 302 49075 47134 26 290 22 286 24 278 25 299 29 300 47134 45331 27 297 25 291 23 279 25 296 29 298 45331 43643 31 297 29 294 24 284 26 296 29 295 43643 42054 32 297 31 294 27 287 28 296 30 297 42054 40551 32 299 32 296 31 292 29 297 31 302 40551 39128 34 303 33 300 34 297 31 299 32 306 39128 37749 38 306 33 304 35 301 35 302 35 307 37749 36347 41 309 35 308 35 305 40 304 35 309 36347 34894 40 312 37 311 36 308 41 311 35 317 34894 33396 39 312 38 316 34 312 38 321 35 328 33396 31834 37 310 36 314 33 316 36 325 31 335 31834 30194 33 306 34 308 30 312 33 318 26 328 30194 28476 29 293 30 296 29 300 31 306 25 315 28476 26683 27 285 29 285 30 290 31 297 27 308 26683 24816 22 286 24 285 27 293 27 294 27 305 24816 22879 16 293 18 294 20 293 20 293 25 306 22879 20863 11 298 12 292 15 293 15 290 21 312 20863 18767 10 300 8 296 11 279 10 298 14 310 18767 16637 7 280 5 310 6 313 5 318 10 328 16637 14596 3 160 4 188 4 289 8 338 12 349 14596 12750 7 144 7 168 2 182 9 311 13 341 12750 11114 7 117 8 132 7 138 7 308 10 348 11114 9656 5 127 4 146 12 154 5 203 2 129 9656 8355 7 168 9 176 13 156 11 189 6 179 8355 7197 11 174 11 172 12 157 12 189 8 191 7197 6167 15 171 11 171 10*159 12 181 9 177 6167 5257 15 175 11*169 10*160 13 167 14 162 5257 4449 13 186 10*166 9 160 14 152 21 158 4449 3725 11*191 10 165 9 161 17 139 25 154 3725 3084 10*193 9 165 8 162 18*131 25 147 3084 2548 9 194 9 164 8 162 19*127 23 140 2548 2135 9 194 9 163 7 163 18 124 19 134 2135 1851 8 194 8 163 7 163 17 123 15 132 1851 1679 8 194 8 161 7 163 14 122 11*131 1679 1580 7 194 7 162 6 163 11 122 8*131 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography