DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/01 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 84.6 - - 86.3 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 105 - - 74 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2483 - - 3803 - - 4774 - - 3479 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1447 - - 2358 - - 2841 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2763 - - 4083 - - 5054 - - 3759 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1602 - - 2067 - - 1957 - - 3278 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 319 - - 313 - - 121 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 357 - - 021 - - 014 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -172 - - 960 - - 1334 - - 363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2935 - - 3123 - - 3720 - - 3396 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2015 - - 217 - - 371 - - -788 ODpotential blCL - - - 4778 - - 3866 - - 4683 - - 4547 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 90 - - 93 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 1280 - - 1330 - - 1680 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 84.6 - - 86.3 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.5 - - 71.5 - - 70.7 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 83.9 - - 85.9 - - 86.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 70.3 - - 69.5 - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 105 - - 74 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2483 - - 3803 - - 4774 - - 3479 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 58 - - 72 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98826 47 086 37 106 30 087 34 082 98826 91353 36 087 32 093 29 090 30 074 91353 85599 30 082 29 081 28 096 26 073 85599 80835 22 084 25 079 25 089 24 082 80835 76734 20 092 23 084 18 071 23 090 76734 73115 21 085 22 080 15 078 17 079 73115 69856 19 068 20 068 13 095 13 070 69856 66878 13 066 17 072 16 107 10 073 66878 64132 7 065 13 084 17 103 7 098 64132 61487 5 352 7 090 9 086 2 351 61487 58741 6 304 5 344 7 072 5 197 58741 55894 9 276 14 297 9 324 7 343 55894 53180 11 246 18 286 18 306 15 312 53180 50748 11 243 24 254 30 288 20 299 50748 48585 15 273 29 232 36 263 22 278 48585 46635 20 272 28 235 31 233 33 270 46635 44844 22 248 25 243 29 230 39 260 44844 43181 23 230 22 219 29 238 43 262 43181 41622 22 228 20 222 30 246 39 261 41622 40152 19 235 21 237 30 241 29 253 40152 38758 19 252 20 253 30 238 28 269 38758 37399 19 267 21 264 29 240 35 284 37399 36010 17 275 21 260 26 255 36 278 36010 34557 16 277 21 256 27 273 34 270 34557 33043 19 283 20 254 30 282 32 270 33043 31454 28 297 20 265 24 272 38 287 31454 29778 26 299 26 283 26 275 33 289 29778 28021 22 298 22 273 27 276 29 279 28021 26182 11 267 21 262 31 286 27 299 26182 24263 13 251 20 259 30 298 26 321 24263 22268 8 282 16 293 25 298 21 325 22268 20195 11 319 15 307 22 296 19 311 20195 18036 14 299 17 312 19 300 20 302 18036 15824 17 289 17 315 19 314 16 320 15824 13692 21 295 14 317 20 321 15 321 13692 11764 24 292 17 328 16 327 11 329 11764 10062 21 294 14 329 10 332 8 341 10062 8549 17 292 12 317 7 332 7 342 8549 7202 15 295 10 325 6 355 8 008 7202 6007 13 312 8 346 7*008 8 012 6007 4949 14 329 7*010 7*010 8 012 4949 4016 12 342 7*016 6 013 6*015 4016 3191 10*355 7 019 6 015 5*019 3191 2453 8*357 7 020 6 016 4 022 2453 1801 8 357 7 022 5 016 3 025 1801 1257 8 357 6 023 5 017 3 027 1257 840 7 358 6 024 5 015 3 031 840 553 7 357 6 024 4 016 2 030 553 379 6 357 5 025 4 016 2 032 379 280 5 357 5 024 4 016 2 029 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography