DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.1 - - 38.5 - - 38.8 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 93 - - 36 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1429 - - 2522 - - 2432 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 1228 - - 259 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1709 - - 2802 - - 2712 - - 483 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 874 - - 425 - - 699 - - 2591 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 169 - - 252 - - 185 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 359 - - 352 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 425 - - 883 - - 746 - - -822 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1284 - - 1919 - - 1966 - - 1306 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 268 - - 801 - - 620 - - -1110 ODpotential blCL - - - 1441 - - 2001 - - 2092 - - 1593 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.1 - - 38.5 - - 38.8 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.0 - - 31.5 - - 31.6 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 37.9 - - 38.7 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 30.3 - - 30.7 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 93 - - 36 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1429 - - 2522 - - 2432 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96088 20 262 25 271 28 272 25 258 96088 88859 15 277 18 260 26 264 28 291 88859 83298 23 277 22 246 25 269 26 275 83298 78675 23 276 23 242 24 263 26 267 78675 74707 23 274 21 256 23 272 31 281 74707 71215 25 275 25 267 29 271 30 272 71215 68038 35 279 32 274 33 276 28 281 68038 65110 41 266 43 279 44 279 40 297 65110 62414 34 273 46 274 54 282 48 286 62414 59819 47 282 54 269 61 273 54 274 59819 57110 61 276 57 267 63 269 66 270 57110 54282 69 266 70 273 68 266 76 266 54282 51566 72 270 83 273 76 267 80 267 51566 49114 80 269 90 270 83 268 85 269 49114 46904 86 267 93 268 88 268 88 269 46904 44889 89 267 95 268 92 269 91 269 44889 43039 93 269 97 267 95 270 94 270 43039 41334 97 270 93 266 93 269 95 269 41334 39756 96 270 84 266 87 270 92 268 39756 38283 93 272 80 269 85 273 86 269 38283 36900 92 273 78 271 83 273 77 272 36900 35564 92 275 76 273 77 273 69 275 35564 34205 90 275 76 277 72 277 67 279 34205 32795 89 275 82 280 71 280 66 281 32795 31336 85 280 86 284 71 283 66 279 31336 29815 83 286 90 286 79 285 66 280 29815 28221 83 293 94 288 87 285 63 283 28221 26556 77 296 88 289 88 284 61 285 26556 24815 65 292 75 289 80 286 61 285 24815 22997 57 293 63 287 69 287 61 286 22997 21101 60 303 57 289 64 286 55 290 21101 19119 61 304 52 292 59 281 51 294 19119 17042 57 302 47 293 49 285 47 294 17042 14918 53 307 43 297 40 287 39 288 14918 12872 48 312 40 312 34 290 33 286 12872 11016 41 312 35 326 24 307 28 291 11016 9372 32 310 27 329 21 319 22 297 9372 7922 28 314 23 321 19 320 19 316 7922 6643 26 320 23 318 19 323 17 326 6643 5513 18 329 19 326 16 329 14 333 5513 4517 12 354 12 327 13 324 15 332 4517 3647 13 005 9 342 9 339 13 323 3647 2894 14 004 10*357 9*349 9 333 2894 2229 15*018 10*358 8*350 7 349 2229 1642 15*020 10 359 8 351 6 000 1642 1154 14 019 10 358 7 353 6 010 1154 779 13 019 10 359 7 353 5 018 779 521 13 019 9 359 7 353 5*025 521 365 11 019 9 359 6 354 4*030 365 276 9 018 8 358 6 353 2 033 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography