DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 52.6 - - 55.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 82 - - 33 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 158 - - 1079 - - 1132 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 438 - - 1359 - - 1412 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 316 - - 561 - - 643 - - 513 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 188 - - 146 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 197 - - 200 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -880 - - -1415 - - -1089 - - -392 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1318 - - 2775 - - 2501 - - 670 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11737 - - -8494 - - -7456 - - -7715 ODpotential blCL - - - 12175 - - 9853 - - 8868 - - 7993 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 93 - - 89 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 52.6 - - 55.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 41.7 - - 46.0 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 52.1 - - 55.6 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 40.6 - - 44.8 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 82 - - 33 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 158 - - 1079 - - 1132 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 71 - - 55 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96641 14 242 19 236 27 243 19 276 96641 89417 7 217 9 221 13 258 15 282 89417 83867 7 333 6 180 6 327 8 306 83867 79267 9 334 2 303 8 349 7 320 79267 75297 4 006 8 355 11 358 6 341 75297 71788 10 349 13 359 11 350 10 335 71788 68620 17 318 15 325 12 317 15 317 68620 65727 21 315 18 318 16 303 20 306 65727 63056 29 296 27 299 27 300 24 302 63056 60459 28 288 34 297 32 291 34 297 60459 57749 45 272 44 290 39 296 46 287 57749 54926 48 276 51 275 54 277 56 281 54926 52205 55 291 59 275 65 264 62 281 52205 49727 74 280 67 277 67 269 69 280 49727 47483 85 276 71 274 78 276 74 276 47483 45438 91 268 82 269 89 271 82 275 45438 43560 91 264 94 266 98 266 93 272 43560 41829 90 265 97 266 90 268 97 267 41829 40229 90 268 94 266 97 274 89 268 40229 38744 90 270 85 267 110 272 98 274 38744 37351 88 278 90 275 104 268 115 270 37351 36007 98 285 105 280 99 271 119 262 36007 34653 97 286 109 278 105 274 107 263 34653 33257 88 284 102 274 107 271 101 266 33257 31811 78 281 90 271 104 265 104 267 31811 30294 76 280 83 267 101 262 108 266 30294 28693 78 278 81 266 101 263 108 267 28693 27010 81 275 77 268 99 266 97 270 27010 25247 83 274 73 271 84 272 78 271 25247 23410 85 276 71 275 66 274 66 268 23410 21495 83 277 69 275 58 272 64 272 21495 19493 71 273 68 269 63 278 60 277 19493 17402 51 272 55 263 68 278 47 287 17402 15270 39 286 37 268 63 260 39 291 15270 13219 38 289 31 277 45 246 41 282 13219 11361 34 284 31 273 34 243 36 277 11361 9708 30 287 23 279 24 246 33 273 9708 8235 27 307 21 295 12 264 28 270 8235 6922 26 314 27 294 13 327 16 263 6922 5756 26 305 31 282 18 333 8 257 5756 4725 26 285 32 270 14 298 4 326 4725 3818 26 262 31 259 21 267 9 354 3818 3021 26 246 29 244 24 250 0 341 3021 2314 24 227 23 228 22 234 16 226 2314 1698 24 215 18*214 16*217 20 210 1698 1189 22 205 12*199 12*202 18 192 1189 799 19 200 12 197 12 200 17 187 799 532 11*184 11 197 11 200 14 183 532 369 10*183 10 197 10 200 11*180 369 277 8 182 9 197 8 199 6*177 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography