DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 80.2 - - 81.3 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 105 - - 37 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 549 - - 1962 - - 2944 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 1057 - - 263 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 829 - - 2242 - - 3224 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 327 - - 3548 - - 2702 - - 4024 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 144 - - 257 - - 224 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 008 - - 006 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1017 - - -1240 - - -613 - - -1448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1847 - - 3482 - - 3837 - - 1728 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4482 - - -3411 - - -5977 - - -3591 ODpotential blCL - - - 5311 - - 5653 - - 9201 - - 3871 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 71 - - 72 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 80.2 - - 81.3 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.8 - - 65.7 - - 65.3 - - 69.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.5 - - 79.6 - - 81.1 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 64.4 - - 63.9 - - 68.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 105 - - 37 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 549 - - 1962 - - 2944 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98537 9 100 8 107 6 072 11 028 98537 91202 15 088 13 086 11 080 8 040 91202 85502 18 094 14 076 10 078 12 073 85502 80757 22 080 15 079 16 079 19 082 80757 76686 19 073 16 093 16 069 15 084 76686 73101 18 073 20 096 9 086 7 085 73101 69853 11 063 18 077 13 100 8 096 69853 66869 7 063 16 065 14 090 9 095 66869 64114 6 089 6 062 10 073 9 062 64114 61459 5 089 1 290 4 349 10 342 61459 58712 2 009 7 281 10 287 11 318 58712 55899 12 283 13 284 21 301 25 306 55899 53251 28 304 26 306 26 305 30 296 53251 50871 38 308 30 316 32 315 42 314 50871 48717 49 315 55 312 56 305 55 308 48717 46746 63 309 64 304 59 302 57 307 46746 44923 66 307 62 306 55 302 55 312 44923 43226 67 308 60 309 55 307 58 316 43226 41634 57 309 45 304 56 312 58 318 41634 40132 38 306 34 285 47 313 51 319 40132 38710 24 331 29 282 38 304 32 318 38710 37335 24 353 16 272 34 294 23 303 37335 35935 22 323 17 274 29 300 21 295 35935 34475 28 299 24 271 25 300 23 306 34475 32958 28 303 31 282 25 298 21 304 32958 31367 22 316 30 306 25 309 18 301 31367 29691 18 315 16 314 22 302 19 301 29691 27931 14 301 9 296 19 289 23 309 27931 26088 11 276 10 281 20 287 25 315 26088 24167 11 262 8 288 18 293 18 328 24167 22171 9 276 6 270 14 291 18 332 22171 20093 10 307 5 284 13 286 23 325 20093 17930 11 314 7 305 10 283 23 311 17930 15728 7 301 8 293 6 310 17 297 15728 13609 5 274 7 283 5 339 12 287 13609 11685 4 242 4 261 4 330 7 299 11685 9977 4 048 2 123 1 185 3 306 9977 8463 5 056 4 095 2 136 1 120 8463 7120 4 034 4 061 1 082 4 097 7120 5931 3 008 4 356 4 333 5 080 5931 4883 3 029 4 337 5 327 5 063 4883 3962 3 025 4 350 4*334 5 053 3962 3149 3 008 4 355 4*346 4 047 3149 2423 3 006 4*360 4 001 4 043 2423 1780 4 022 5*005 4 005 5 048 1780 1244 5*045 5 007 4 011 5 054 1244 833 5*055 5 009 4 013 5 057 833 549 4 054 4 010 4 015 5 059 549 377 4 054 4 009 4 015 5*061 377 279 3 053 4 009 3 015 3*060 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography