DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 55.9 - - 63.5 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 182 - - 109 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 103 - - 865 - - 1070 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 383 - - 1145 - - 1350 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 138 - - 323 - - 671 - - 868 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 220 - - 200 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 18 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 292 - - 202 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -991 - - -527 - - -1253 - - -354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1374 - - 1672 - - 2603 - - 633 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9765 - - -6202 - - -5145 - - -6353 ODpotential blCL - - - 10148 - - 7347 - - 6495 - - 6632 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 88 - - 80 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 55.9 - - 63.5 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 49.8 - - 53.3 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 55.0 - - 62.7 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 49.1 - - 52.6 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 182 - - 109 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 103 - - 865 - - 1070 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 54 - - 19 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96599 7 276 5 345 9 307 14 327 96599 89449 13 023 10 049 7 348 16 358 89449 83937 18 034 6 052 15 010 15 019 83937 79370 15 023 10 060 13 026 10 015 79370 75423 13 023 13 032 11 032 11 024 75423 71923 15 345 13 359 10 355 16 009 71923 68753 14 305 12 316 12 326 15 350 68753 65833 18 286 16 302 18 293 15 313 65833 63122 20 297 19 303 22 294 19 304 63122 60507 28 303 27 297 31 294 31 300 60507 57790 40 291 37 294 39 289 43 289 57790 54967 52 291 49 284 48 285 50 281 54967 52257 53 288 50 285 54 286 53 285 52257 49803 55 289 54 287 60 288 60 291 49803 47594 64 286 63 283 67 288 71 287 47594 45586 69 284 72 282 78 282 79 281 45586 43746 72 285 82 283 80 280 83 279 43746 42050 79 290 89 284 82 285 82 281 42050 40482 92 292 87 286 87 288 81 285 40482 39026 109 289 85 288 86 287 84 290 39026 37663 108 284 80 287 82 285 83 289 37663 36345 82 289 67 284 78 280 76 284 36345 35001 65 310 50 296 55 286 64 279 35001 33599 62 322 53 315 44 307 50 280 33599 32143 57 329 55 326 48 319 39 299 32143 30621 55 330 53 331 47 317 38 310 30621 29021 54 324 50 333 47 310 38 306 29021 27338 54 319 45 330 45 310 38 298 27338 25572 52 322 41 322 43 308 38 303 25572 23719 50 328 45 319 45 307 39 310 23719 21781 49 331 48 320 48 320 37 311 21781 19752 48 334 42 322 46 326 33 310 19752 17629 39 340 37 327 42 323 32 310 17629 15460 27 350 31 328 33 326 30 315 15460 13365 18 339 20 327 22 336 17 307 13365 11458 16 305 11 306 16 305 14 280 11458 9772 18 293 11 285 16 275 20 272 9772 8285 19 289 11 292 12 270 22 266 8285 6968 17 287 11 289 10 267 22 267 6968 5801 15 296 11 286 10 269 18 266 5801 4768 14 305 8 290 10 270 15 255 4768 3860 13 304 5 285 8 260 14 246 3860 3061 11 314 3 272 6 239 11 239 3061 2348 8 334 1 257 5 207 11 227 2348 1722 7 346 0 205 5*195 12 209 1722 1204 7 355 1*300 6*198 11 192 1204 808 5 334 2*293 6 201 9 183 808 536 2*334 2 293 6 203 8 179 536 371 1*321 2 292 6 205 7*174 371 278 1 317 2 290 6 206 5*169 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography