DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.2 - - 89.4 - - 79.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 233 - - 123 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2237 - - 5195 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1530 - - 3350 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2517 - - 5475 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2762 - - 1270 - - 287 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 327 - - 351 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 038 - - 049 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3982 - - -2462 - - -5552 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6500 - - 7938 - - 5832 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7781 - - -5384 - - -10686 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10298 - - 10859 - - 10966 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 60 - - 59 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 340 - - 460 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.2 - - 89.4 - - 79.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.8 - - 88.6 - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.3 - - 55.3 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 233 - - 123 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2237 - - 5195 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97905 32 219 35 240 37 242 97905 90549 25 219 28 239 27 248 90549 84860 22 234 25 235 25 254 84860 80124 12 254 15 239 19 253 80124 76047 12 255 10 265 10 261 76047 72464 10 241 10 240 12 266 72464 69238 10 285 8 252 12 251 69238 66286 12 291 11 269 12 254 66286 63565 13 284 14 256 16 265 63565 60948 12 290 14 248 18 261 60948 58232 14 292 12 261 18 251 58232 55424 19 286 15 277 18 262 55424 52734 22 273 16 274 19 269 52734 50296 21 264 17 259 18 258 50296 48103 29 253 22 248 18 252 48103 46107 39 248 32 242 25 242 46107 44276 49 243 43 234 40 231 44276 42583 54 237 52 229 56 221 42583 41009 54 234 58 225 62 218 41009 39534 50 235 58 224 62 216 39534 38142 39 236 50 225 60 216 38142 36796 24 232 42 229 51 219 36796 35425 11 206 29 232 39 227 35425 34000 10 213 22 234 24 236 34000 32527 12 204 17 240 14 242 32527 30991 11 198 14 241 7 267 30991 29374 10 193 9 235 4 295 29374 27678 8 191 7 224 3 323 27678 25897 3 200 3 258 6 344 25897 24030 1 246 4 301 7 346 24030 22080 3 001 4 350 6 001 22080 20045 3 023 2 358 3 353 20045 17920 1 044 2 241 4 274 17920 15748 1 010 3 286 5 328 15748 13649 9 022 7 024 8 035 13649 11737 11 019 12 027 9 045 11737 10032 8 014 10 023 6 047 10032 8514 7 003 9 013 7 034 8514 7166 7 022 9 027 8 044 7166 5973 10 049 8*053 8 057 5973 4920 9 049 8*054 9 061 4920 3992 7 055 8 053 10 067 3992 3172 6*053 8 051 11 072 3172 2438 6*046 8 050 12 077 2438 1790 5 041 8 047 12 080 1790 1250 5 037 7 046 13 083 1250 835 5 034 7 045 13 084 835 550 5 031 7 045 11 083 550 378 5 031 7 045 9*080 378 279 4 030 6 044 5*076 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography