DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.4 - - 71.5 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - 5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1543 - - 2469 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1823 - - 2749 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 963 - - 1337 - - 2167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 169 - - 115 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 230 - - 213 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 534 - - 545 - - -350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1289 - - 2205 - - 629 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 299 - - 143 - - -1646 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1524 - - 2606 - - 1925 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.4 - - 71.5 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.7 - - 62.7 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.1 - - 71.9 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.3 - - 62.4 - - 64.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 42 - - 5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1543 - - 2469 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95889 53 259 55 264 56 274 95889 88800 38 273 40 262 41 269 88800 83320 33 269 34 280 30 276 83320 78773 26 279 29 286 26 287 78773 74873 23 287 20 303 20 284 74873 71463 20 282 20 311 20 293 71463 68409 19 281 25 298 20 300 68409 65626 21 278 30 281 24 295 65626 63061 24 283 34 279 29 292 63061 60579 31 300 38 292 33 289 60579 57972 48 304 50 298 41 292 57972 55238 59 295 57 291 51 291 55238 52606 63 290 61 286 62 288 52606 50221 63 289 63 285 67 283 50221 48069 62 292 65 285 68 281 48069 46101 62 297 61 287 67 284 46101 44288 59 304 57 296 61 287 44288 42609 53 307 45 298 52 291 42609 41047 47 308 38 302 39 285 41047 39590 41 303 39 301 37 288 39590 38218 39 294 40 299 39 293 38218 36886 43 293 41 299 38 293 36886 35526 44 295 43 300 37 292 35526 34106 40 289 42 300 37 289 34106 32629 28 280 39 293 36 288 32629 31079 24 280 30 270 35 288 31079 29441 22 283 26 268 34 286 29441 27716 20 288 24 264 32 278 27716 25904 18 292 20 254 30 283 25904 24006 14 288 18 261 23 275 24006 22027 13 271 17 277 19 258 22027 19964 18 278 17 294 18 256 19964 17817 18 290 14 291 20 273 17817 15633 18 282 17 282 24 285 15633 13528 17 273 18 275 26 287 13528 11609 17 266 19 271 23 274 11609 9903 17 250 20 252 19 263 9903 8389 18 248 20 248 16 261 8389 7046 16 248 20 250 19 255 7046 5856 13 252 20 246 22 244 5856 4812 14 257 20 241 26 243 4812 3900 17 253 18 232 28 237 3900 3097 18 248 17*223 27 234 3097 2382 16*241 16*219 26 231 2382 1749 15*237 15 215 22 218 1749 1223 13 230 15 212 20 210 1223 819 12 229 14 210 18 204 819 542 12 228 13 208 14 198 542 374 11 227 11 207 12*195 374 278 9 227 9 206 6*192 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography