DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 65.8 - - 69.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 74 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 253 - - 1205 - - 1626 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 261 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 533 - - 1485 - - 1906 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 418 - - 689 - - 1192 - - 216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 72 - - 193 - - 104 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 244 - - 243 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1868 - - -1461 - - -1192 - - -853 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2401 - - 2946 - - 3098 - - 1132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13920 - - -10563 - - -7657 - - -8097 ODpotential blCL - - - 14453 - - 12048 - - 9563 - - 8376 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 69 - - 68 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 65.8 - - 69.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 54.1 - - 57.0 - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 65.5 - - 69.9 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 52.8 - - 55.7 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 74 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 253 - - 1205 - - 1626 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96496 18 306 22 283 24 279 28 271 96496 89353 18 268 17 285 20 288 25 284 89353 83877 20 263 21 261 22 284 20 290 83877 79308 19 273 22 245 23 271 26 297 79308 75353 22 282 19 266 23 270 27 274 75353 71864 26 263 26 282 19 278 21 269 71864 68714 25 266 27 276 25 285 23 284 68714 65828 27 281 28 273 30 270 29 284 65828 63168 28 286 29 275 27 274 30 281 63168 60602 30 290 31 289 32 288 38 288 60602 57933 31 290 36 296 40 285 44 289 57933 55158 31 286 36 298 39 282 46 286 55158 52495 31 278 41 295 42 286 45 280 52495 50088 37 281 48 285 47 285 46 275 50088 47927 41 283 47 275 51 278 48 275 47927 45965 43 280 46 271 54 273 52 276 45965 44165 45 275 49 272 57 273 55 276 44165 42499 44 271 52 271 59 273 56 274 42499 40946 44 268 53 269 58 272 54 274 40946 39486 50 267 53 266 55 270 50 275 39486 38108 53 263 54 260 53 267 48 275 38108 36773 52 259 57 257 53 263 49 274 36773 35411 52 259 58 258 54 262 50 273 35411 33993 50 261 57 258 53 265 49 274 33993 32518 48 267 53 260 50 268 43 277 32518 30974 45 271 50 264 48 271 36 278 30974 29347 42 273 45 265 48 272 30 279 29347 27638 42 272 41 267 48 273 30 282 27638 25845 43 268 39 271 45 274 37 282 25845 23966 46 266 38 272 41 276 43 277 23966 22001 46 263 36 270 39 275 38 276 22001 19946 42 262 31 272 36 273 30 286 19946 17801 37 263 28 275 32 270 26 287 17801 15610 32 263 30 274 32 272 28 286 15610 13499 31 266 33 274 32 284 30 295 13499 11585 28 264 33 278 27 299 25 302 11585 9889 25 253 30 280 25 314 13 321 9889 8382 22 253 25 272 26 313 12 345 8382 7044 14 264 15 256 23 295 13 328 7044 5856 10 305 9 274 16 263 15 293 5856 4810 14 310 17 295 13 264 12 294 4810 3894 17 285 21 287 13 293 8 325 3894 3091 24 265 26 271 14 281 7 311 3091 2376 29 255 24 264 14*258 8 273 2376 1746 29 246 21*258 12*246 9 260 1746 1221 27 241 15*246 11 244 9 255 1221 818 22*236 14 244 11 242 9 251 818 541 14*228 13 243 10 241 8 245 541 374 12 227 12 243 9 240 6*232 374 278 10 226 10 242 7 239 4*218 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography