DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 70.2 - - 69.2 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 18 - - 20 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 584 - - 1086 - - 1922 - - 2224 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 864 - - 1366 - - 2202 - - 2504 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1554 - - 997 - - 2528 - - 909 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 60 - - 130 - - 165 - - 117 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 26 - - 24 - - 32 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 213 - - 263 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 15 - - 13 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 16 - - 11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 302 - - 678 - - 1218 - - 1269 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 562 - - 688 - - 984 - - 1235 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -299 - - 239 - - 409 - - 444 ODpotential blCL - - - 1163 - - 1127 - - 1793 - - 2060 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 960 - - 1060 - - 590 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 70.2 - - 69.2 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.4 - - 67.6 - - 65.5 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 70.3 - - 69.2 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 67.1 - - 64.7 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 18 - - 20 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 584 - - 1086 - - 1922 - - 2224 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 101 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 12 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 21 244 36 281 26 281 25 272 96480 89298 12 218 17 236 21 236 20 274 89298 83807 12 242 11 233 24 252 24 284 83807 79260 6 267 7 239 17 256 22 259 79260 75327 14 263 6 191 13 249 18 234 75327 71848 13 262 10 203 12 233 13 234 71848 68703 11 301 10 253 13 234 9 247 68703 65801 23 256 22 248 24 240 18 254 65801 63118 25 226 24 243 27 237 29 251 63118 60535 19 253 26 258 25 252 34 234 60535 57833 41 261 36 254 49 266 51 260 57833 55003 57 258 53 252 66 254 66 233 55003 52269 76 257 73 249 79 242 73 237 52269 49789 93 248 88 242 93 244 85 240 49789 47567 105 244 96 242 98 243 89 240 47567 45552 104 241 91 242 96 241 87 240 45552 43709 96 243 86 243 89 242 82 245 43709 42015 94 241 93 238 89 243 90 240 42015 40454 98 237 96 235 98 239 101 235 40454 39010 92 235 93 232 101 230 108 229 39010 37656 75 225 92 233 85 218 92 227 37656 36343 70 221 91 231 77 212 68 219 36343 35001 68 222 86 226 76 213 72 221 35001 33598 64 224 83 223 77 215 69 220 33598 32135 58 224 77 222 80 220 69 222 32135 30597 54 224 71 219 77 222 68 223 30597 28972 53 225 71 219 70 223 68 224 28972 27261 57 228 70 221 65 225 66 226 27261 25464 64 233 70 229 60 228 64 228 25464 23583 70 238 70 238 51 234 60 230 23583 21622 71 240 63 239 46 253 54 232 21622 19583 65 239 59 239 55 263 57 254 19583 17460 59 236 58 241 53 259 65 258 17460 15292 57 237 58 241 47 256 55 259 15292 13208 54 237 49 245 42 243 38 257 13208 11321 52 240 44 246 38 248 30 257 11321 9647 54 243 33 256 38 258 25 259 9647 8163 46 247 38 265 34 254 20 257 8163 6846 40 250 37 277 29 251 16 252 6846 5680 39 249 38 272 30 260 15 275 5680 4657 39 246 40 259 31 266 22 323 4657 3767 36 238 34 246 31 266 31 353 3767 2992 34 225 31 227 30 265 37*352 2992 2303 33 212 34 217 29*264 37*352 2303 1695 31 208 33*215 28*263 36 352 1695 1189 28*203 31*214 26 263 34 352 1189 800 24*198 28 212 24 262 31 351 800 532 21 197 25 212 22 262 27 351 532 370 18 196 22 212 19 262 24 351 370 277 13 195 17 213 15 262 17 351 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography