DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 68.0 - - 72.0 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 157 - - 75 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 130 - - 1545 - - 2804 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 892 - - 1228 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 410 - - 1825 - - 3084 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 272 - - 1090 - - 1435 - - 562 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 257 - - 244 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 230 - - 251 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1104 - - -1912 - - -2398 - - -2172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1514 - - 3737 - - 5483 - - 2452 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6667 - - -6222 - - -5735 - - -6228 ODpotential blCL - - - 7077 - - 8047 - - 8819 - - 6507 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 66 - - 59 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 68.0 - - 72.0 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.7 - - 52.6 - - 49.0 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 67.0 - - 71.4 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 51.7 - - 48.4 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 157 - - 75 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 130 - - 1545 - - 2804 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96531 71 258 91 258 84 267 74 262 96531 89326 42 265 51 266 52 265 53 266 89326 83823 34 287 29 277 27 266 30 278 83823 79290 28 287 18 279 20 268 26 297 79290 75370 15 290 13 276 20 260 25 279 75370 71903 10 289 11 261 18 277 26 279 71903 68764 10 288 12 267 18 285 26 279 68764 65863 14 306 10 276 17 281 20 258 65863 63163 22 290 16 292 18 286 18 281 63163 60544 29 276 23 277 24 273 23 285 60544 57806 31 264 26 250 26 255 20 266 57806 54963 32 257 34 257 38 267 37 282 54963 52261 43 257 50 260 54 259 54 265 52261 49833 55 257 56 258 60 253 61 260 49833 47647 56 260 62 256 68 256 72 257 47647 45662 66 266 74 260 80 262 81 257 45662 43842 85 264 91 261 93 263 91 260 43842 42158 96 262 101 258 101 260 100 258 42158 40589 99 259 104 256 106 258 108 255 40589 39119 98 257 103 254 109 255 111 253 39119 37733 94 257 100 254 107 253 111 251 37733 36391 90 258 97 255 100 253 105 250 36391 35027 86 257 92 254 95 254 99 251 35027 33611 81 256 85 252 90 254 91 250 33611 32145 77 254 80 250 83 251 84 247 32145 30613 73 252 74 247 78 248 80 244 30613 29001 68 249 70 246 75 247 78 242 29001 27304 62 247 68 244 71 245 77 242 27304 25519 58 248 66 242 68 242 76 243 25519 23647 56 249 61 243 64 242 71 244 23647 21695 54 249 56 245 58 241 66 243 21695 19658 50 247 54 245 55 242 60 241 19658 17531 48 245 52 244 53 244 56 241 17531 15363 46 245 49 243 50 245 48 244 15363 13282 42 245 44 243 42 250 34 258 13282 11401 34 241 34 245 32 254 29 267 11401 9739 27 241 26 253 24 271 21 279 9739 8267 19 266 19 268 19 281 19 280 8267 6958 18 292 17 287 17 297 17 276 6958 5798 17 304 15 297 14 306 14 284 5798 4771 14 314 13 304 11 306 12 295 4771 3869 12 321 10 310 7*292 11 301 3869 3075 10 316 6 295 6*253 10 292 3075 2365 7 313 5*254 6 251 8 270 2365 1738 6 308 6*231 5 251 8 258 1738 1216 3 291 6 229 5 251 8 250 1216 815 3 263 6 230 5 251 7 239 815 540 2*249 5 229 5 250 7 225 540 373 2*244 5 229 5 251 6*214 373 278 1 246 5 230 5 252 4*209 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography