DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 65.1 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 96 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4346 - - 4468 - - 1870 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2976 - - 2783 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4626 - - 4748 - - 2150 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1408 - - 1753 - - 3624 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 378 - - 328 - - 68 W* B/S - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 10 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 034 - - 315 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 792 - - 651 - - -1034 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3834 - - 4097 - - 3184 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 90 - - -610 - - -3084 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4536 - - 5358 - - 5234 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 79 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 65.1 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.4 - - 48.2 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.2 - - 64.5 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.1 - - 47.0 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 96 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4346 - - 4468 - - 1870 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 17 - - 14 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97784 15 273 15 284 18 319 97784 90441 12 244 18 261 20 290 90441 84773 10 232 16 256 19 281 84773 80044 11 220 14 243 12 263 80044 75948 12 229 11 248 14 268 75948 72338 12 236 14 267 13 261 72338 69099 14 256 17 275 13 287 69099 66142 16 246 22 264 21 282 66142 63397 18 254 24 247 25 276 63397 60737 33 282 37 279 46 274 60737 57966 57 266 56 265 52 266 57966 55074 67 261 67 263 61 264 55074 52307 80 256 78 262 73 264 52307 49825 88 258 89 265 88 267 49825 47613 99 260 109 262 110 266 47613 45614 111 259 122 256 125 261 45614 43787 119 259 125 254 131 259 43787 42102 127 261 127 257 132 260 42102 40541 133 262 129 260 131 261 40541 39081 134 262 131 261 131 259 39081 37702 133 261 130 260 130 257 37702 36362 134 260 130 260 128 258 36362 34994 134 259 131 259 126 259 34994 33570 133 258 132 259 124 260 33570 32089 131 258 130 260 120 261 32089 30538 126 259 123 261 116 262 30538 28904 119 261 113 263 107 265 28904 27192 111 265 104 266 95 269 27192 25404 92 265 89 266 77 270 25404 23542 73 266 73 268 66 271 23542 21604 62 271 66 271 60 270 21604 19581 55 274 58 274 54 269 19581 17467 52 276 52 278 50 272 17467 15307 56 273 47 277 45 275 15307 13222 63 268 43 282 41 280 13222 11329 55 272 38 288 36 286 11329 9654 36 278 34 290 30 297 9654 8176 30 289 27 299 24 304 8176 6874 21 298 18 305 17 305 6874 5729 7 320 11*308 14 304 5729 4718 5*345 7*309 11 302 4718 3829 4*020 4 313 7 300 3829 3044 4 027 4 314 3 294 3044 2342 4 034 3 317 1*216 2342 1723 4 037 3 317 1*163 1723 1207 4 039 3 318 1 157 1207 810 4 041 3 319 1 156 810 538 4 041 3 321 1 158 538 372 4 042 2 320 1 153 372 278 4 042 2 320 1 154 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography