DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.3 - - 28.4 - - 35.8 - - 31.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 294 - - 162 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1579 - - 2105 - - 2313 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 258 - - 1506 - - 1422 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1859 - - 2385 - - 2593 - - 276 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 820 - - 528 - - 591 - - 451 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 344 - - 291 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 228 - - 209 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2037 - - -2994 - - -4156 - - -5288 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3896 - - 5379 - - 6749 - - 5564 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16072 - - -17085 - - -16836 - - -19288 ODpotential blCL - - - 17931 - - 19470 - - 19429 - - 19564 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 69 - - 57 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.3 - - 28.4 - - 35.8 - - 31.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.5 - - 6.1 - - 7.4 - - 8.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.8 - - 27.2 - - 35.1 - - 33.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.5 - - 5.1 - - 6.5 - - 7.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 294 - - 162 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1579 - - 2105 - - 2313 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96296 29 050 20 023 23 033 20 027 96296 89271 29 054 23 064 21 054 14 044 89271 83765 18 047 18 065 15 075 10 069 83765 79163 11 021 6 082 4 070 3 035 79163 75186 10 309 4 282 5 284 4 312 75186 71653 9 252 12 243 16 267 12 294 71653 68448 9 221 12 214 19 262 17 276 68448 65489 13 311 9 231 19 254 21 251 65489 62724 19 308 12 286 19 239 21 242 62724 60030 27 281 26 288 21 240 27 248 60030 57201 33 265 31 270 34 255 38 251 57201 54260 43 264 45 251 49 254 49 265 54260 51460 52 263 49 258 51 255 55 263 51460 48939 53 262 51 266 52 261 59 263 48939 46671 51 257 53 269 63 267 68 266 46671 44613 45 265 62 268 72 269 77 267 44613 42745 55 276 64 268 77 271 81 269 42745 41043 62 274 60 267 76 277 87 271 41043 39487 57 280 54 279 86 281 86 274 39487 38049 65 290 78 289 92 276 85 281 38049 36699 70 290 100 285 85 275 88 291 36699 35390 71 290 96 282 80 288 94 297 35390 34054 76 292 79 294 92 302 95 295 34054 32661 83 294 86 310 104 302 96 291 32661 31214 83 296 99 314 107 299 96 288 31214 29698 78 301 105 314 105 299 96 288 29698 28101 73 302 102 313 101 299 95 288 28101 26427 68 301 98 312 97 300 93 290 26427 24675 67 303 93 310 92 299 88 291 24675 22848 60 302 90 310 86 294 79 289 22848 20945 54 297 84 314 82 291 74 287 20945 18960 52 302 78 316 76 294 73 287 18960 16890 48 307 64 308 69 297 71 291 16890 14784 43 305 51 294 58 301 65 298 14784 12759 37 300 48 304 46 300 56 302 12759 10920 33 294 45 305 50 291 53 302 10920 9290 27 293 40 300 54 289 51 298 9290 7851 25 295 36 297 51 288 47 304 7851 6578 22 303 31 292 38 288 41 308 6578 5457 21 309 26 286 32 284 37 294 5457 4477 20 303 21 281 26 277 41 277 4477 3626 20 288 17 271 22 249 34 256 3626 2882 16 277 12*248 20*215 30 240 2882 2220 10*282 10*230 19*211 28 237 2220 1635 7*289 10 228 19 210 26 235 1635 1148 7 290 9 227 19 209 24 233 1148 775 7 291 9 226 18 209 21 230 775 519 6 291 8 226 17 208 17 227 519 364 6 291 8 226 16 208 13*226 364 275 5 291 7 225 13 207 6*227 275 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography