DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 47.3 - - 49.6 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 139 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 265 - - 1290 - - 2706 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 585 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 545 - - 1570 - - 2986 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 505 - - 1016 - - 1922 - - 4455 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 72 - - 230 - - 66 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 251 - - 290 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2297 - - -2555 - - -1348 - - -1567 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2842 - - 4125 - - 4334 - - 1844 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11482 - - -10113 - - -4003 - - -2774 ODpotential blCL - - - 12027 - - 11683 - - 6989 - - 3051 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 86 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 47.3 - - 49.6 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.2 - - 30.3 - - 31.6 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 46.5 - - 50.3 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 29.1 - - 30.8 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 139 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 265 - - 1290 - - 2706 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 46 - - 101 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96111 10 241 20 330 16 334 11 329 96111 89171 16 042 8 021 11 353 11 349 89171 83745 18 033 5 075 9 027 3 331 83745 79200 10 027 4 134 4 006 5 036 79200 75251 2 252 4 179 7 232 11 249 75251 71747 12 239 11 222 14 243 21 235 71747 68545 15 236 19 222 18 247 22 244 68545 65569 20 249 14 212 24 222 22 248 65569 62776 23 268 19 281 24 240 21 258 62776 60054 29 251 31 270 32 257 30 256 60054 57231 33 253 37 252 41 260 41 257 57231 54302 41 263 48 254 53 259 51 254 54302 51482 57 267 64 261 64 248 59 256 51482 48928 71 263 69 262 75 252 70 255 48928 46639 74 256 76 261 84 255 82 251 46639 44573 77 258 81 255 90 254 92 248 44573 42681 88 259 86 253 96 255 93 247 42681 40931 96 256 95 253 104 254 93 250 40931 39301 99 253 104 250 108 251 92 254 39301 37777 102 257 106 250 110 252 99 257 37777 36350 107 263 106 256 112 253 112 254 36350 34988 113 265 110 261 114 253 121 251 34988 33625 116 267 120 263 118 256 130 249 33625 32223 117 269 128 263 124 259 132 249 32223 30779 112 271 128 262 130 259 125 252 30779 29274 107 275 123 265 133 258 126 254 29274 27700 100 271 113 264 127 258 129 255 27700 26056 85 266 95 263 112 258 127 253 26056 24339 76 263 85 262 103 258 123 251 24339 22547 70 263 79 259 96 258 114 254 22547 20686 63 272 74 259 88 255 102 252 20686 18746 62 274 71 258 81 249 96 243 18746 16718 62 271 69 252 76 249 90 243 16718 14653 56 264 69 247 75 244 76 244 14653 12672 49 252 69 242 74 239 58 248 12672 10879 49 246 66 237 64 241 43 253 10879 9291 47 242 58 232 42 251 40 259 9291 7887 41 236 43 227 30 271 31 255 7887 6644 33 229 25 237 29 271 26 262 6644 5541 21 243 13 290 24 269 25 265 5541 4566 16 288 15 342 16 270 22 273 4566 3707 22 308 13 346 10*271 21 282 3707 2949 25 292 9 328 11*281 22 287 2949 2271 30 262 8 292 10 286 22 289 2271 1672 31 243 11*261 10 290 22 288 1672 1173 28 228 11*252 10 293 21 283 1173 790 23*219 10 251 9 294 18 282 790 527 17*213 10 250 9 294 13 282 527 367 15 213 9 251 8 295 10*283 367 276 12 212 8 251 7 296 4*282 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography