DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.5 - - 42.0 - - 42.4 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 57 - - 9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 565 - - 933 - - 1191 - - 993 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 845 - - 1213 - - 1471 - - 1273 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 351 - - 307 - - 443 - - 965 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 134 - - 154 - - 93 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 047 - - 036 - - 007 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -135 - - -915 - - -447 - - -26 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 981 - - 2128 - - 1918 - - 1299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14827 - - -13025 - - -12714 - - -12449 ODpotential blCL - - - 15672 - - 14238 - - 14185 - - 13722 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.5 - - 42.0 - - 42.4 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.6 - - 34.0 - - 35.3 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 41.7 - - 42.6 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 33.4 - - 34.8 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 57 - - 9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 565 - - 933 - - 1191 - - 993 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95942 74 250 81 258 75 246 91 253 95942 88805 56 258 59 257 53 259 58 258 88805 83328 48 261 49 260 45 272 45 267 83328 78758 40 277 40 253 46 269 38 278 78758 74818 37 283 35 258 41 275 35 277 74818 71335 37 282 32 272 37 270 34 272 71335 68172 37 279 34 282 37 274 33 274 68172 65250 40 280 36 276 40 271 36 294 65250 62533 43 278 40 270 39 277 43 297 62533 59912 42 275 43 279 42 281 44 284 59912 57185 45 287 53 282 46 284 48 285 57185 54353 62 286 59 281 54 283 60 292 54353 51655 66 279 65 279 63 281 71 283 51655 49242 64 279 66 277 66 280 68 276 49242 47086 63 283 62 279 65 281 64 278 47086 45131 63 287 60 286 66 282 68 284 45131 43344 61 289 65 287 67 281 76 288 43344 41699 58 290 68 283 70 279 76 281 41699 40176 57 290 67 280 71 276 72 274 40176 38754 61 289 65 279 69 274 67 272 38754 37409 65 287 63 277 66 273 63 270 37409 36101 65 286 60 275 65 274 63 270 36101 34763 60 286 56 275 63 275 63 273 34763 33366 53 277 53 283 59 276 62 277 33366 31911 50 275 53 283 55 279 60 280 31911 30384 43 281 52 275 52 280 58 279 30384 28773 39 289 48 274 52 278 56 279 28773 27078 38 292 43 273 53 274 54 281 27078 25297 38 289 41 270 53 272 53 274 25297 23435 40 282 44 271 53 275 58 269 23435 21494 42 281 47 272 57 275 59 269 21494 19462 43 280 47 275 57 272 59 274 19462 17338 44 277 46 274 53 273 55 276 17338 15173 43 272 41 272 48 272 51 272 15173 13090 37 266 36 272 41 267 48 265 13090 11199 32 260 33 265 35 267 40 264 11199 9523 27 252 31 258 35 265 37 273 9523 8041 22 236 27 245 33 257 36 278 8041 6735 20 228 27 236 32 249 31 278 6735 5585 20 222 28 240 32 248 25 281 5585 4577 18 231 30 248 31 256 23 288 4577 3694 16 228 25 251 25 265 21 294 3694 2923 9 205 20 246 17 261 15 323 2923 2244 6 126 10 202 7 258 16 013 2244 1651 7 090 4*086 8*013 20*015 1651 1159 11*059 7*040 8*009 20*014 1159 782 10*048 7 036 8 008 18 013 782 523 10 047 7 034 8 006 17 012 523 366 9 046 6 033 7 005 15 011 366 276 7 046 5 032 6 004 10 010 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography