DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.5 - - 68.8 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1807 - - 1574 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 261 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2087 - - 1854 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1435 - - 2525 - - 1434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 202 - - 107 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 212 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 902 - - 175 - - -84 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1186 - - 1679 - - 363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 384 - - -1192 - - -1834 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1703 - - 3046 - - 2113 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 83 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 140 - - 340 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.5 - - 68.8 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.9 - - 62.1 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.3 - - 69.3 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.0 - - 61.1 - - 63.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - -6 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1807 - - 1574 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 97 - - 32 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96588 22 089 21 097 15 075 96588 89479 15 102 11 082 13 085 89479 83990 11 078 5 082 8 073 83990 79399 6 130 3 249 4 015 79399 75405 4 184 3 184 4 246 75405 71852 6 272 6 239 5 301 71852 68618 10 212 19 224 20 252 68618 65661 6 149 15 200 25 222 65661 62959 18 283 19 293 13 245 62959 60357 45 249 47 255 38 261 60357 57627 51 247 50 250 48 254 57627 54776 50 253 53 260 67 262 54776 52035 65 259 73 263 80 261 52035 49564 77 257 85 261 91 258 49564 47355 87 260 98 260 101 255 47355 45362 104 263 108 260 107 257 45362 43545 114 257 119 259 117 261 43545 41869 113 256 124 254 127 259 41869 40314 115 259 124 249 131 252 40314 38862 122 261 122 249 132 250 38862 37493 126 261 126 253 136 254 37493 36165 124 259 128 254 137 255 36165 34807 121 257 126 253 137 256 34807 33390 119 255 123 254 135 257 33390 31924 116 252 122 254 127 255 31924 30393 115 253 122 253 121 253 30393 28779 113 254 120 253 120 253 28779 27082 108 253 118 255 117 254 27082 25306 102 253 110 257 111 258 25306 23458 97 253 96 255 98 258 23458 21536 92 251 90 250 84 252 21536 19528 88 248 89 248 85 247 19528 17431 81 249 82 247 78 249 17431 15294 71 249 69 252 60 252 15294 13240 62 247 61 252 50 254 13240 11374 57 247 57 248 45 253 11374 9719 52 252 48 249 37 255 9719 8255 46 258 35 262 28 263 8255 6956 31 246 29 263 26 262 6956 5803 21 241 22 253 29 250 5803 4781 12 255 18 248 25 242 4781 3881 16 263 17 241 23 236 3881 3085 18 254 18 232 22 227 3085 2374 18*244 18*227 21 216 2374 1744 17*235 17*217 19 206 1744 1220 16 225 16 212 18 197 1220 818 15 223 16 211 16 190 818 541 15 222 15 209 13 183 541 374 13 221 13 208 10*180 374 278 11 220 10 207 5*173 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography