DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 84.4 - - 85.9 - - 82.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 94 - - 61 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1395 - - 3446 - - 4100 - - 104 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 2072 - - 2285 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1675 - - 3726 - - 4380 - - 384 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3781 - - 2084 - - 1965 - - 5464 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 224 - - 304 - - 289 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 022 - - 031 - - 030 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1245 - - 838 - - 1193 - - -1819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2921 - - 2888 - - 3187 - - 2204 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2251 - - -279 - - 453 - - -2759 ODpotential blCL - - - 3926 - - 4005 - - 3927 - - 3143 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 87 - - 91 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 1250 - - 1960 - - 2180 - - 2360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 84.4 - - 85.9 - - 82.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.6 - - 72.4 - - 72.6 - - 73.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 83.8 - - 85.6 - - 83.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 71.1 - - 71.3 - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 94 - - 61 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1395 - - 3446 - - 4100 - - 104 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 46 - - 63 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99286 51 084 60 092 37 108 31 080 99286 91765 42 094 46 096 39 093 31 094 91765 85945 37 090 34 081 36 093 36 087 85945 81137 33 090 29 086 33 085 36 085 81137 77031 28 086 23 086 31 080 33 081 77031 73428 23 093 19 083 27 071 30 074 73428 70177 27 097 19 086 22 067 25 060 70177 67202 31 079 21 101 17 070 21 050 67202 64461 33 052 27 088 22 087 18 069 64461 61812 27 041 27 058 31 077 23 082 61812 59047 20 042 25 049 31 056 25 066 59047 56173 25 029 24 038 27 032 27 050 56173 53425 29 016 32 025 31 031 33 036 53425 50954 42 017 41 019 37 031 39 028 50954 48738 53 013 41 014 41 027 41 025 48738 46722 53 013 41 011 40 018 39 023 46722 44869 47 012 38 012 33 016 31 019 44869 43158 36 012 34 011 28 017 25 025 43158 41567 29 018 24 011 20 011 17 016 41567 40079 23 017 15 008 12 349 12 360 40079 38676 23 011 18 010 8 008 11 323 38676 37316 21 003 20 007 8 040 5 357 37316 35929 14 354 13 001 14 039 9 026 35929 34485 13 006 8 030 14 028 14 033 34485 32986 16 037 9 068 8 015 14 036 32986 31418 17 061 11 086 5 032 10 014 31418 29769 17 089 12 076 6 050 8 338 29769 28035 17 086 12 069 8 048 7 353 28035 26213 16 067 13 055 10 040 8 002 26213 24304 16 060 18 042 14 034 10 007 24304 22313 20 050 19 034 15 030 10 011 22313 20234 20 042 18 028 18 027 11 016 20234 18063 19 044 20 038 20 042 13 044 18063 15849 19 042 21 052 20 058 13 063 15849 13715 18 027 19 051 18 057 15 051 13715 11780 14 018 15 044 18 049 17 042 11780 10070 13 017 14 046 14 042 12 027 10070 8552 15 030 14 048 12 051 9 019 8552 7199 16 030 15 042 11 055 11 030 7199 5999 15 022 15 038 13 041 14 037 5999 4940 14 015 15 035 14*033 14 039 4940 4008 14 014 14*033 14*032 15 038 4008 3185 16 022 14*032 14 031 15 037 3185 2448 15 029 14 031 14 030 15 036 2448 1798 13*028 13 031 14 029 15 035 1798 1255 10*023 13 031 13 029 15 034 1255 839 9 022 12 030 13 029 14 033 839 552 9 022 12 030 12 028 12*032 552 379 8 022 11 030 11 028 10*031 379 280 7 021 9 030 9 028 7 031 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography