DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.3 - - 30.9 - - 37.1 - - 29.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 230 - - 89 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 501 - - 1349 - - 1358 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 258 - - 885 - - 259 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 781 - - 1629 - - 1638 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 409 - - 222 - - 215 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 129 - - 273 - - 201 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 113 - - 201 - - 200 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2408 - - -3522 - - -4468 - - -2670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3189 - - 5151 - - 6107 - - 2947 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -21983 - - -20661 - - -19662 - - -19167 ODpotential blCL - - - 22764 - - 22290 - - 21300 - - 19444 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 48 - - 40 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.3 - - 30.9 - - 37.1 - - 29.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.1 - - 10.2 - - 12.5 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.1 - - 29.7 - - 36.6 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.4 - - 9.3 - - 11.6 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 230 - - 89 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 501 - - 1349 - - 1358 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95926 47 280 44 274 40 287 34 290 95926 89077 23 322 27 343 25 339 28 329 89077 83696 20 006 19 011 15 358 28 338 83696 79218 21 026 19 032 12 018 23 345 79218 75325 16 034 16 039 13 023 20 010 75325 71850 13 008 14 048 14 003 17 010 71850 68685 18 354 11 030 15 349 17 350 68685 65772 19 340 10 322 19 319 17 341 65772 63068 16 333 14 311 19 312 19 320 63068 60446 20 328 19 311 22 309 21 309 60446 57711 21 313 26 298 29 302 31 299 57711 54876 22 315 29 298 34 286 35 287 54876 52161 34 316 36 301 37 287 38 301 52161 49698 45 306 42 291 41 291 43 305 49698 47476 50 296 43 292 44 291 47 301 47476 45453 47 298 48 297 47 291 49 296 45453 43606 47 304 53 298 50 289 48 293 43606 41910 47 308 53 297 49 290 43 295 41910 40341 44 307 51 297 46 296 39 300 40341 38880 45 306 49 296 47 305 37 307 38880 37514 44 307 46 293 49 310 36 314 37514 36200 38 304 42 294 49 308 37 316 36200 34862 32 317 31 295 41 299 35 308 34862 33470 29 333 23 312 27 287 31 295 33470 32025 29 341 22 322 17 286 24 278 32025 30512 31 339 20 307 14 288 20 278 30512 28914 30 333 24 294 16 291 17 284 28914 27231 27 326 28 295 24 304 20 286 27231 25462 28 323 32 313 29 312 23 302 25462 23613 29 328 34 319 36 318 28 312 23613 21685 34 339 32 320 39 321 37 316 21685 19664 38 339 31 327 37 321 34 319 19664 17541 37 335 32 335 31 325 27 319 17541 15362 34 333 30 339 27 333 23 318 15362 13254 29 331 26 336 22 329 21 311 13254 11333 22 332 19 318 19 317 18 299 11333 9626 20 328 16 298 21 292 17 302 9626 8113 20 324 17 285 22 280 19 296 8113 6781 14 326 16 276 23 277 21 280 6781 5613 8 297 16 261 21 274 21 269 5613 4589 10 263 16 253 18 262 23 262 4589 3695 13 256 15 253 17 252 22 257 3695 2914 11 244 14 246 15 243 23 255 2914 2229 8 217 12*221 14*212 23 238 2229 1637 6 202 9*202 13*200 22 228 1637 1149 4*170 9 201 12 200 20 223 1149 775 4*128 9 201 12 199 18 214 775 519 3 108 8 202 11 199 15 206 519 364 3 106 8 202 11 199 12*203 364 276 3 105 7 202 9 200 5*196 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography