DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.6 - - 36.6 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 261 - - 151 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3341 - - 5226 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2378 - - 3496 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3621 - - 5506 - - 276 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 997 - - 1151 - - 7386 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 386 - - 373 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 20 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 318 - - 302 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3575 - - -2240 - - -5902 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7197 - - 7746 - - 6178 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13628 - - -9844 - - -7504 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17249 - - 15350 - - 7780 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 87 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.6 - - 36.6 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 2.9 - - 3.2 - - 6.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 32.6 - - 35.9 - - 35.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 1.9 - - 2.3 - - 5.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 261 - - 151 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3341 - - 5226 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 40 - - 46 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96201 34 021 39 034 44 041 96201 89264 22 040 28 039 31 035 89264 83825 10 058 12 009 16 044 83825 79276 3 120 6 321 1 146 79276 75325 3 180 8 218 9 273 75325 71805 3 262 10 221 13 287 71805 68586 16 245 15 244 17 265 68586 65601 12 262 13 244 16 237 65601 62811 23 277 12 281 11 237 62811 60088 30 257 27 273 23 286 60088 57234 30 250 31 261 29 263 57234 54257 34 253 43 257 36 265 54257 51401 49 254 54 248 53 266 51401 48843 67 248 76 244 71 246 48843 46554 80 242 79 231 69 232 46554 44456 80 237 60 245 58 246 44456 42534 75 246 91 260 81 254 42534 40774 91 251 110 252 98 246 40774 39146 103 247 115 241 103 237 39146 37619 100 242 107 238 98 234 37619 36180 91 243 103 244 95 239 36180 34794 94 249 109 246 97 241 34794 33400 107 251 115 245 102 240 33400 31970 124 247 115 244 108 240 31970 30504 129 244 117 245 111 240 30504 28983 127 245 125 243 114 240 28983 27397 127 248 130 242 118 240 27397 25743 123 247 126 243 120 241 25743 24018 118 246 119 244 112 243 24018 22224 107 246 113 245 102 244 22224 20367 96 238 103 245 94 243 20367 18440 84 235 92 237 89 244 18440 16430 76 242 75 231 82 245 16430 14379 67 252 65 246 73 246 14379 12405 65 259 62 257 55 259 12405 10626 54 270 56 270 43 276 10626 9073 44 275 41 271 35 280 9073 7709 35 271 32 269 33 282 7709 6497 32 270 25*282 30 284 6497 5420 29 278 21*297 26 286 5420 4466 25*307 21 299 24 287 4466 3626 22*317 21 301 21 289 3626 2884 22 318 20 302 18 291 2884 2222 22 318 20 303 16 292 2222 1637 22 318 19 305 14 294 1637 1149 22 318 19 305 12 295 1149 776 21 318 18 306 10 296 776 520 20 319 17 306 8 295 520 364 19 318 16 306 6*293 364 275 15 319 13 306 3*281 275 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography