DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 69.1 - - 70.2 - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 21 - - 0 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 427 - - 1226 - - 1497 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 707 - - 1506 - - 1777 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1589 - - 1600 - - 1651 - - 2803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 43 - - 131 - - 88 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 159 - - 160 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14 - - 473 - - 438 - - -487 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 721 - - 1033 - - 1339 - - 766 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -338 - - 207 - - -126 - - -1190 ODpotential blCL - - - 1045 - - 1299 - - 1903 - - 1469 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 69.1 - - 70.2 - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.4 - - 65.3 - - 65.1 - - 64.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 69.0 - - 70.4 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 64.9 - - 64.6 - - 64.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 21 - - 0 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 427 - - 1226 - - 1497 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96730 89 255 83 263 76 261 84 262 96730 89572 51 262 55 264 52 271 51 271 89572 84085 32 277 31 268 33 264 34 276 84085 79532 12 289 16 277 22 278 19 280 79532 75608 12 332 10 322 19 282 15 305 75608 72144 19 334 14 345 17 288 15 325 72144 68994 24 332 15 343 13 308 18 322 68994 66084 23 320 13 332 11 318 19 313 66084 63376 20 302 13 308 11 337 19 311 63376 60748 20 300 17 296 17 332 18 311 60748 58019 19 298 19 306 20 315 10 310 58019 55216 23 307 22 314 23 316 12 333 55216 52587 24 300 26 315 29 320 21 338 52587 50246 29 317 30 323 27 331 24 334 50246 48142 39 310 36 327 32 334 22 319 48142 46220 42 291 43 322 31 328 15 315 46220 44445 37 287 40 303 31 313 16 299 44445 42788 37 286 35 284 34 291 21 282 42788 41232 38 289 31 280 33 272 30 273 41232 39768 37 293 28 281 27 260 31 271 39768 38384 33 296 26 279 23 255 29 270 38384 37038 29 295 25 275 22 254 30 265 37038 35661 26 287 22 276 23 253 28 260 35661 34226 21 285 22 277 22 256 26 252 34226 32735 19 286 25 275 23 257 25 246 32735 31173 18 287 27 273 28 260 27 242 31173 29527 24 296 28 279 31 262 32 244 29527 27801 33 293 32 278 32 261 33 246 27801 25990 31 290 31 273 30 259 28 245 25990 24094 25 297 25 267 26 255 23 237 24094 22112 18 303 16 267 22 251 21 232 22112 20044 15 305 13 266 19 244 18 231 20044 17882 14 300 15 269 19 253 18 235 17882 15667 16 297 12 276 15 256 16 238 15667 13530 10 297 5 266 10 215 13 200 13530 11595 6 233 7 237 12 208 15 193 11595 9890 13 228 12 216 14 209 16 202 9890 8383 19 224 19 203 19 198 20 194 8383 7047 22 205 20 203 21 191 26 194 7047 5861 21 202 21 204 21 186 30 189 5861 4812 19 203 22 196 22 194 29 188 4812 3895 22 200 24 183 24 192 28 181 3895 3093 29 189 27 173 25 177 28 176 3093 2378 32 177 27 167 25*167 28 170 2378 1747 31 167 26*163 23*163 27 165 1747 1222 27 162 24*160 21 161 25 161 1222 819 23*159 22 159 19 159 22 158 819 542 20*158 20 158 18 158 17 155 542 374 17 157 18 158 15 158 15*154 374 278 12 156 13 158 12 157 10*152 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography