DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 9.2 - - 18.6 - - 22.8 - - 16.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 101 - - 56 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1508 - - 3287 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 258 - - 258 - - 1152 - - 258 Hcrit BL Top - - - 275 - - 1788 - - 3567 - - 275 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 742 - - 917 - - 541 - - 2389 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 217 - - 233 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 14 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 336 - - 321 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1249 - - -287 - - 970 - - -1043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1524 - - 2075 - - 2597 - - 1318 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4530 - - -2078 - - 555 - - -2501 ODpotential blCL - - - 4805 - - 3866 - - 3012 - - 2776 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 85 - - 95 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 9.2 - - 18.6 - - 22.8 - - 16.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.2 - - 11.1 - - 12.9 - - 12.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 10.1 - - 18.1 - - 22.7 - - 19.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.0 - - 10.0 - - 12.0 - - 12.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 101 - - 56 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1508 - - 3287 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 42 - - 79 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95922 70 224 61 231 74 237 75 252 95922 88708 68 240 54 241 62 236 64 253 88708 83182 60 254 52 249 53 252 56 254 83182 78577 52 269 52 260 52 269 49 260 78577 74572 51 277 46 270 47 276 39 269 74572 71030 49 270 45 272 49 281 40 291 71030 67825 45 272 45 273 50 280 46 293 67825 64871 47 283 49 282 50 281 54 293 64871 62127 50 279 53 280 52 283 58 295 62127 59459 48 270 52 280 55 289 58 297 59459 56661 47 279 56 289 59 295 57 302 56661 53743 50 288 57 291 59 297 59 302 53743 50943 52 292 55 293 57 296 61 301 50943 48414 49 294 53 300 53 303 62 304 48414 46150 50 304 55 308 59 310 63 310 46150 44098 62 308 63 314 68 313 70 314 44098 42221 69 306 72 311 73 313 78 308 42221 40496 65 306 67 312 70 315 80 303 40496 38905 60 312 67 318 72 324 76 305 38905 37437 62 321 70 322 87 325 77 315 37437 36077 68 324 73 326 100 326 84 324 36077 34774 71 321 77 331 111 329 92 325 34774 33452 67 324 83 333 118 334 100 322 33452 32083 72 332 83 334 125 337 103 321 32083 30661 80 336 81 338 126 340 102 324 30661 29168 83 337 83 341 122 339 100 327 29168 27589 82 336 84 343 117 342 100 329 27589 25930 73 335 80 344 106 345 97 333 25930 24194 66 339 76 346 89 343 91 334 24194 22384 65 344 72 347 75 343 85 333 22384 20502 65 348 67 348 69 348 76 336 20502 18545 64 350 63 350 66 351 66 343 18545 16507 63 353 59 354 60 353 59 350 16507 14435 61 358 55 354 53 354 52 352 14435 12449 55 359 50 356 49 354 46 355 12449 10653 49 358 45 000 46 355 43 358 10653 9063 45 001 41 006 43 358 40 000 9063 7658 41 005 40 007 40 000 37 003 7658 6415 33 013 36 002 35 000 34 006 6415 5320 29 021 27 358 32 359 29 007 5320 4363 28 021 21 357 25*351 25 359 4363 3535 27 020 20 351 18*328 20 338 3535 2811 26 022 20 349 17 323 19 319 2811 2166 30 019 19*345 16 321 18 316 2166 1596 32 011 15*337 16 320 17 311 1596 1123 28 358 15 336 16 319 16 306 1123 761 24 352 14 335 15 318 15 301 761 511 18 345 14 335 14 318 14 295 511 360 16*345 13 335 14 317 11*290 360 274 10*343 11 335 12 318 7*283 274 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography