DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 90.0 - - 91.7 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 178 - - 58 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1188 - - 4011 - - 5374 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 2768 - - 3065 - - 264 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1468 - - 4291 - - 5654 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1309 - - 2942 - - 2145 - - 5889 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 378 - - 303 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 210 - - 196 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -428 - - -280 - - 380 - - -3029 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1897 - - 4572 - - 5274 - - 3310 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2534 - - -1513 - - -1127 - - -4423 ODpotential blCL - - - 4002 - - 5804 - - 6781 - - 4703 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 91 - - 82 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 2370 - - 1800 - - 1700 - - 2790 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.7 - - 90.0 - - 91.7 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.9 - - 70.8 - - 69.5 - - 73.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 88.9 - - 91.5 - - 89.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 69.6 - - 68.3 - - 73.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 178 - - 58 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1188 - - 4011 - - 5374 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 63 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 15 - - 14 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99255 41 088 41 102 27 091 32 077 99255 91754 32 077 32 089 32 091 31 098 91754 85976 29 091 28 087 32 083 26 091 85976 81189 33 100 23 093 27 091 24 068 81189 77060 30 091 19 092 24 096 22 076 77060 73404 22 083 16 094 19 099 22 086 73404 70099 15 069 15 098 14 107 16 083 70099 67084 10 071 14 101 11 105 12 074 67084 64320 7 084 10 130 4 107 6 050 64320 61656 7 092 6 129 3 181 2 235 61656 58886 3 067 4 342 3 237 8 222 58886 56033 6 302 7 310 5 285 8 244 56033 53335 9 266 8 242 9 267 11 295 53335 50916 9 288 9 225 11 247 15 284 50916 48745 13 299 9 261 11 256 14 264 48745 46771 17 288 11 272 13 276 13 256 46771 44954 17 252 16 252 18 275 16 259 44954 43266 20 246 22 250 22 259 23 252 43266 41689 22 251 27 237 28 242 26 251 41689 40207 25 261 26 235 29 230 29 243 40207 38806 26 262 24 241 29 230 29 242 38806 37444 25 255 24 244 30 235 30 244 37444 36050 24 244 24 243 31 241 31 240 36050 34595 25 237 24 241 30 244 30 239 34595 33084 23 236 25 241 28 246 28 243 33084 31501 20 237 25 239 27 245 25 242 31501 29833 17 235 23 236 26 243 24 237 29833 28083 15 235 21 246 25 242 23 240 28083 26249 12 235 18 256 17 246 18 242 26249 24338 7 223 16 253 13 259 10 237 24338 22352 7 210 15 239 13 269 6 297 22352 20287 2 165 8 226 7 310 10 347 20287 18134 13 048 5 047 12 356 12 002 18134 15934 16 047 10 033 14 354 14 023 15934 13807 7 050 9 036 10 006 19 024 13807 11867 2 254 6 031 7 024 15 022 11867 10143 8 221 2 302 2 004 5 059 10143 8616 8 214 8 276 3 237 7 217 8616 7258 6 215 10 257 8 216 11 219 7258 6052 7 238 8 251 10*197 14 215 6052 4985 9 248 5*251 10*196 15 210 4985 4045 8 244 5*231 10 196 15 203 4045 3214 7 237 6 211 10 196 15 197 3214 2471 6 237 6 209 10 195 15 193 2471 1813 5*226 6 207 9 195 14 191 1813 1265 4*192 6 206 9 195 14 189 1265 845 4 188 5 205 9 195 13 187 845 556 4 186 5 204 8 196 11 186 556 380 4 185 5 205 8 196 9*186 380 280 3 186 4 204 7 196 6*185 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography