DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 70.2 - - 76.5 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 180 - - 117 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 436 - - 2614 - - 4605 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 1716 - - 2900 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 716 - - 2894 - - 4885 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 531 - - 840 - - 628 - - 4146 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 94 - - 321 - - 334 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 197 - - 207 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -626 - - -588 - - -223 - - -1868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1343 - - 3482 - - 5108 - - 2147 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8280 - - -6257 - - -4860 - - -3278 ODpotential blCL - - - 8996 - - 9151 - - 9745 - - 3557 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 76 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 70.2 - - 76.5 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 56.0 - - 55.3 - - 59.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 69.3 - - 75.9 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 55.2 - - 54.8 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 180 - - 117 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 436 - - 2614 - - 4605 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 3 - - 46 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96362 20 268 29 258 27 250 34 255 96362 89200 19 256 21 254 26 260 25 275 89200 83691 14 237 18 222 21 251 21 256 83691 79106 16 257 12 249 13 238 15 256 79106 75176 18 246 12 260 13 255 15 275 75176 71744 11 301 11 239 15 264 14 307 71744 68647 26 306 15 288 21 298 18 307 68647 65773 28 302 23 296 24 298 23 309 65773 63089 31 309 31 300 34 291 32 293 63089 60497 32 297 38 293 40 290 38 289 60497 57804 31 286 43 290 47 289 43 293 57804 54998 37 290 45 284 48 286 49 289 54998 52294 46 291 48 280 53 285 56 285 52294 49850 52 288 52 283 59 285 61 284 49850 47651 58 278 65 277 64 280 65 280 47651 45651 60 275 69 272 66 275 71 276 45651 43818 64 277 71 270 70 274 73 274 43818 42125 68 281 69 272 70 273 71 272 42125 40557 67 284 66 277 67 276 64 273 40557 39105 57 283 60 278 61 280 57 277 39105 37753 45 275 51 275 55 283 52 276 37753 36449 45 271 48 272 54 280 49 268 36449 35117 51 277 49 274 54 272 48 263 35117 33725 54 281 50 277 53 271 49 261 33725 32276 53 281 50 280 50 273 49 263 32276 30754 50 280 50 284 47 278 49 269 30754 29149 48 279 49 286 47 282 47 272 29149 27461 45 274 44 286 43 279 43 270 27461 25687 44 269 40 283 39 273 41 267 25687 23829 39 269 40 278 40 273 43 269 23829 21891 36 267 41 276 41 278 44 275 21891 19866 32 262 37 270 39 281 42 280 19866 17749 27 257 29 257 32 274 37 285 17749 15585 25 259 26 252 29 260 31 276 15585 13492 27 239 32 234 33 247 29 263 13492 11586 28 246 32 240 32 242 30 248 11586 9890 32 249 34 245 32 243 30 237 9890 8378 33 237 35 237 33 238 30 238 8378 7033 33 229 35 230 35 230 32 233 7033 5848 36 218 34 226 31*221 32 220 5848 4811 35 213 32 223 22*208 29 205 4811 3904 33 212 29 216 22 208 27 204 3904 3103 31 215 25*209 21 207 27 205 3103 2387 30 216 21*199 21 207 26 206 2387 1753 28 214 20 197 20 207 25 205 1753 1226 26 202 19 196 20 206 23 205 1226 821 22*197 18 196 19 206 20 203 821 543 17*192 17 195 18 206 16 201 543 375 15 192 16 196 17 206 13*200 375 278 12 191 13 195 14 205 7*197 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography