DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.7 - - 90.9 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 333 - - 141 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4890 - - 5711 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3663 - - 3823 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5170 - - 5991 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2302 - - 4096 - - 6228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 476 - - 378 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 192 - - 204 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1368 - - -382 - - -4660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6538 - - 6373 - - 4940 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4257 - - -1113 - - -6597 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9427 - - 7104 - - 6877 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 76 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 150 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.7 - - 90.9 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.9 - - 63.8 - - 64.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.9 - - 90.1 - - 87.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.5 - - 63.6 - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 333 - - 141 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4890 - - 5711 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98036 17 230 16 236 18 281 98036 90700 6 159 6 202 7 179 90700 85042 1 016 2 181 2 334 85042 80346 7 032 4 207 9 340 80346 76315 3 076 5 179 2 155 76315 72768 6 169 2 126 7 142 72768 69585 9 205 6 302 4 330 69585 66684 7 200 8 290 7 339 66684 64002 4 089 5 272 7 331 64002 61407 1 325 7 194 8 246 61407 58726 7 187 15 191 21 217 58726 55965 7 214 20 190 30 216 55965 53338 18 249 21 227 25 220 53338 50977 31 256 24 256 22 241 50977 48847 31 249 25 251 30 238 48847 46895 29 246 26 241 36 236 46895 45091 28 244 30 239 38 241 45091 43412 27 244 33 240 39 237 43412 41832 29 244 34 237 37 231 41832 40338 32 244 34 236 32 232 40338 38921 33 242 34 235 32 234 38921 37540 31 235 32 233 33 237 37540 36128 30 222 32 231 32 231 36128 34653 32 217 33 231 34 220 34653 33123 29 217 34 232 37 220 33123 31521 30 217 33 228 35 224 31521 29835 30 219 31 230 36 226 29835 28065 29 219 30 229 35 220 28065 26215 27 217 33 213 34 214 26215 24287 29 215 34 208 37 210 24287 22281 32 204 33 210 35 212 22281 20193 31 201 29 215 30 218 20193 18018 25 203 24 212 25 227 18018 15803 20 210 21 209 21 237 15803 13673 21 208 21 208 20 235 13673 11751 22 201 20 202 18 215 11751 10055 22 201 21 199 19 201 10055 8549 19 204 22 200 20 202 8549 7207 21 207 21 200 19 202 7207 6013 23*202 20*202 18 199 6013 4954 20*195 19*202 16 197 4954 4020 19 193 19 203 15 196 4020 3195 19 192 18 204 15 196 3195 2456 19 191 18 205 14 197 2456 1803 18 191 17 205 14 197 1803 1259 18 191 17 205 13 196 1259 841 17 190 16 206 12 196 841 553 16 190 15 206 10 194 553 379 15 190 14 206 8*191 379 280 13 190 12 205 4*183 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography