DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.6 - - 44.3 - - 48.1 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -20 - - 52 - - 37 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 514 - - 943 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 277 - - 794 - - 1223 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 711 - - 509 - - 785 - - 967 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 124 - - 135 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 215 - - 283 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1020 - - 24 - - 372 - - -156 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1297 - - 770 - - 851 - - 434 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8759 - - -5249 - - 266 - - -2194 ODpotential blCL - - - 9036 - - 6043 - - 957 - - 2472 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.6 - - 44.3 - - 48.1 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 42.2 - - 45.6 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 44.1 - - 48.0 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 41.6 - - 45.1 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -20 - - 52 - - 37 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 514 - - 943 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 101 - - 100 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95835 31 252 37 250 30 250 41 258 95835 88756 29 253 31 261 35 246 34 260 88756 83315 31 269 30 241 41 253 34 270 83315 78792 27 260 27 231 38 256 39 267 78792 74882 27 270 31 238 38 246 37 258 74882 71392 34 273 30 261 32 257 31 264 71392 68215 31 263 34 266 34 271 32 269 68215 65289 29 270 37 253 37 258 34 263 65289 62567 37 269 37 253 38 259 40 260 62567 59928 51 262 47 269 48 266 46 254 59928 57153 60 256 57 262 59 264 55 260 57153 54258 69 258 73 258 73 257 73 265 54258 51501 80 255 82 256 81 259 84 266 51501 49020 86 255 88 258 87 261 92 265 49020 46793 90 256 96 258 93 260 95 263 46793 44772 92 256 101 256 96 258 97 261 44772 42924 94 254 100 253 98 254 98 259 42924 41228 95 254 98 254 99 250 98 256 41228 39663 101 257 100 256 98 249 99 254 39663 38205 111 257 106 255 99 250 100 252 38205 36836 124 255 111 252 103 249 100 250 36836 35514 130 252 116 250 110 248 100 249 35514 34172 124 250 116 248 112 247 100 248 34172 32779 118 251 110 248 107 246 99 248 32779 31341 113 253 100 248 101 248 96 250 31341 29845 99 254 90 252 93 254 84 253 29845 28279 90 256 83 257 81 257 73 257 28279 26636 81 255 79 258 72 257 64 260 26636 24914 69 255 74 256 69 257 57 266 24914 23109 63 260 68 252 68 256 54 270 23109 21222 60 262 62 251 66 257 53 271 21222 19248 56 256 53 255 63 261 51 271 19248 17180 53 254 50 258 59 261 49 268 17180 15065 54 260 52 247 54 256 43 271 15065 13026 51 262 48 237 54 254 38 275 13026 11175 45 263 40 242 55 254 35 271 11175 9532 39 261 36 257 52 262 33 267 9532 8072 34 255 35 266 46 267 30 270 8072 6777 35 246 32 271 43 271 25 279 6777 5632 37 242 28 272 36 275 24 298 5632 4626 39 237 25 274 21 268 24 317 4626 3746 39 227 25 273 12 259 18 326 3746 2974 41 216 26 266 14 296 14 316 2974 2288 42 209 27 254 15 306 13 310 2288 1683 38 204 27 240 14*302 12 313 1683 1178 30 202 24*231 10*287 8 315 1178 793 22 199 18*219 8 282 4 293 793 528 15 194 15 214 7 282 3 251 528 368 13*192 13 214 7 281 3*221 368 277 7*191 10 213 6 280 3*211 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography