DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 79.3 - - 81.7 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 122 - - 50 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1334 - - 3848 - - 6078 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 2511 - - 3601 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1614 - - 4128 - - 6358 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1434 - - 3114 - - 1617 - - 6515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 342 - - 319 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 087 - - 108 - - 105 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1842 - - 281 - - 1496 - - -3031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3456 - - 3847 - - 4862 - - 3311 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3784 - - -1034 - - 152 - - -4235 ODpotential blCL - - - 5398 - - 5162 - - 6206 - - 4515 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 75 - - 75 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 90 - - 80 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 79.3 - - 81.7 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.8 - - 63.5 - - 61.6 - - 64.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.4 - - 78.6 - - 81.5 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 62.2 - - 60.2 - - 62.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 122 - - 50 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1334 - - 3848 - - 6078 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98451 20 104 20 134 13 078 14 095 98451 91041 16 117 12 116 14 118 16 117 91041 85323 17 129 13 091 15 106 15 093 85323 80562 17 113 15 088 15 107 12 071 80562 76474 24 098 18 117 14 105 15 064 76474 72867 22 074 21 109 14 118 15 054 72867 69612 16 092 19 075 16 093 13 074 69612 66632 18 086 12 062 17 068 12 071 66632 63881 21 050 11 088 9 030 10 032 63881 61235 21 008 14 083 0 049 7 000 61235 58488 18 341 13 015 9 018 10 017 58488 55636 20 323 14 344 12 343 9 354 55636 52914 14 291 15 311 12 312 13 294 52914 50471 5 339 14 285 13 301 14 280 50471 48299 19 299 21 274 20 298 21 282 48299 46344 27 291 24 283 20 299 20 264 46344 44566 31 305 9 310 13 279 15 260 44566 42926 27 298 10 350 10 270 11 257 42926 41390 25 286 11 332 8 296 9 255 41390 39940 25 299 14 331 7 333 7 235 39940 38563 16 304 14 337 10 348 0 123 38563 37220 11 314 14 338 10 357 3 054 37220 35843 11 317 14 335 10 351 2 066 35843 34404 15 336 14 337 9 346 1 260 34404 32904 19 358 14 350 7 343 3 275 32904 31329 15 017 12 353 7 339 5 313 31329 29670 6 054 5 280 10 288 6 324 29670 27925 6 068 3 231 8 294 6 353 27925 26096 11 054 4 131 1 217 7 094 26096 24187 11 104 13 132 14 177 10 155 24187 22201 15 128 13 139 13 172 11 193 22201 20129 12 132 10 162 9 166 11 186 20129 17961 12 121 11 150 8 141 11 185 17961 15744 14 120 13 147 10 151 10 179 15744 13606 13 104 14 139 11 151 7 153 13606 11667 10 117 13 132 11 133 10 128 11667 9951 8 103 12 127 14 126 13 122 9951 8437 8 094 12 113 11 124 8 132 8437 7102 4 017 8 081 10*118 7 157 7102 5923 3 013 9 122 10*114 7 143 5923 4879 3 129 10*118 10 109 7 122 4879 3958 7 139 10*111 10 107 9 107 3958 3145 11 132 10 110 10 104 10 098 3145 2418 13 118 10 108 10 102 11 095 2418 1776 13*098 10 108 9 102 12 092 1776 1241 11*089 9 107 9 100 12 090 1241 831 10 087 9 106 9 100 12 089 831 548 10 086 8 106 9 099 11 088 548 377 9 086 8 106 8 099 9*087 377 279 7 085 7 106 7 099 5*085 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography