DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.9 - - 39.4 - - 40.5 - - 36.4 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - -35 - - -24 - - -18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 55 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2249 - - 2250 - - 2250 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 183 - - 181 - - 70 - - 47 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 274 - - 270 - - 229 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -82 - - -242 - - -38 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2331 - - 2491 - - 2288 - - 2250 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential -6719 - - -4706 - - -3976 - - -5346 - - -5923 ODpotential blCL 8968 - - 6955 - - 6226 - - 7596 - - 8172 blCL maxRH 97 - - 84 - - 83 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 34.9 - - 39.4 - - 40.5 - - 36.4 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.2 - - 36.0 - - 37.9 - - 34.5 - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.6 - - 42.9 - - 44.0 - - 39.7 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.6 - - 35.7 - - 37.9 - - 35.9 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - -35 - - -24 - - -18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 55 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 38 - - 31 - - 61 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96328 4 233 7 311 2 124 7 230 17 271 96328 89360 6 319 5 232 3 298 12 294 11 325 89360 83931 10 281 4 282 7 258 14 288 11 343 83931 79363 6 287 8 275 13 256 11 315 9 016 79363 75369 7 295 15 260 17 294 19 311 7 314 75369 71811 5 314 11 234 19 260 18 307 15 305 71811 68590 26 300 10 289 14 277 21 311 25 278 68590 65626 31 286 16 294 16 288 17 290 18 254 65626 62855 25 298 22 311 21 324 13 322 5 341 62855 60127 37 310 42 311 39 304 31 309 25 234 60127 57260 44 312 47 298 56 289 46 282 39 285 57260 54273 58 307 45 297 56 291 56 285 44 292 54273 51408 74 298 60 305 63 298 69 292 65 296 51408 48829 80 292 77 300 73 298 78 290 81 295 48829 46530 80 292 82 296 77 296 82 290 93 292 46530 44460 86 292 85 293 79 295 84 291 95 291 44460 42569 93 290 85 291 82 296 87 294 96 293 42569 40832 97 289 88 291 90 298 95 298 103 295 40832 39235 99 292 96 293 99 298 107 299 117 297 39235 37763 108 296 105 294 107 297 118 299 139 299 37763 36393 129 299 114 294 114 297 123 299 152 300 36393 35080 152 299 120 294 121 298 126 300 151 300 35080 33759 159 298 124 295 125 298 127 299 140 300 33759 32403 149 297 128 295 128 298 126 299 128 298 32403 31013 141 294 133 296 131 299 127 300 122 295 31013 29571 138 293 133 296 130 300 126 301 123 294 29571 28060 126 294 116 295 121 299 120 300 123 296 28060 26483 101 297 96 293 101 298 111 298 119 297 26483 24845 80 300 84 292 83 293 105 296 110 295 24845 23153 66 302 75 293 71 290 95 295 103 293 23153 21411 65 300 67 295 61 290 76 293 96 294 21411 19612 67 299 65 297 61 294 62 291 85 298 19612 17753 68 297 66 297 65 295 58 292 66 296 17753 15869 68 294 68 296 70 295 61 294 57 293 15869 14056 67 294 65 296 71 296 64 297 57 299 14056 12406 65 294 59 296 66 297 62 299 58 301 12406 10938 59 294 54 296 60 298 58 301 54 299 10938 9627 54 295 50 299 56 299 56 299 49 295 9627 8453 54 298 50 303 55 301 50 296 43 291 8453 7402 55 300 50 307 53 303 43 292 36 290 7402 6465 54 303 50 309 51 304 37 291 29 286 6465 5633 55 305 48 310 47 306 30 292 24 278 5633 4893 55 306 46 308 42 307 25 293 20 274 4893 4227 54 307 44 306 36 308 20 297 15 285 4227 3637 50 306 42 303 32 307 17 300 13 298 3637 3142 41 301 37 298 28 303 14 294 11 297 3142 2761 33 295 32 293 23 297 12 280 9 278 2761 2498 23 287 24 286 18 288 12 250 9 257 2498 2339 19 283 20 283 15*282 11*237 9 246 2339 2249 9*276 10*274 8*270 7*229 5*234 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography