DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 18.2 - - 21.4 - - 23.0 - - 21.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 62 - - 14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1385 - - 1944 - - 1474 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2232 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3580 - - 4139 - - 3669 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 719 - - 745 - - 1579 - - 2636 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 206 - - 117 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 21 - - 26 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 044 - - 101 - - 252 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 792 - - 1201 - - 690 - - -175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2788 - - 2938 - - 2979 - - 2423 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5889 - - 630 - - 39 - - -848 ODpotential blCL - - - 9469 - - 3509 - - 3630 - - 3096 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 18.2 - - 21.4 - - 23.0 - - 21.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.3 - - 16.9 - - 18.2 - - 19.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 17.7 - - 21.0 - - 23.0 - - 21.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.2 - - 15.7 - - 17.2 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 62 - - 14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1385 - - 1944 - - 1474 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 101 - - 101 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96703 17 108 16 137 9 136 12 117 96703 89398 16 128 15 119 13 124 10 110 89398 83797 11 131 7 124 13 124 5 121 83797 79149 4 144 6 120 6 121 3 102 79149 75112 3 169 3 284 3 011 1 201 75112 71512 4 227 9 273 12 321 6 348 71512 68231 7 236 10 265 15 303 10 321 68231 65198 6 272 10 280 15 293 13 307 65198 62374 9 276 16 283 15 280 16 290 62374 59621 12 288 18 290 16 286 17 287 59621 56734 15 286 20 287 21 291 20 292 56734 53732 16 290 17 287 22 295 21 301 53732 50866 17 301 14 296 20 298 22 307 50866 48287 18 303 15 306 19 301 22 309 48287 45975 17 303 17 309 19 306 22 307 45975 43876 15 302 17 310 21 306 22 304 43876 41952 12 302 18 308 23 303 24 303 41952 40180 12 301 18 306 23 300 26 303 40180 38541 12 300 16 303 23 298 27 303 38541 37021 12 293 14 303 22 298 26 307 37021 35607 12 289 13 310 20 301 24 316 35607 34261 13 291 13 309 17 304 23 324 34261 32918 15 282 13 308 15 312 22 321 32918 31550 22 269 12 296 17 321 20 318 31550 30166 33 235 21 269 18 313 17 317 30166 28752 41 211 29 244 24 276 18 311 28752 27295 42 202 33 223 31 249 19 305 27295 25787 38 199 33 213 30 239 17 309 25787 24219 27 198 26 228 25 251 16 312 24219 22591 18 202 11 244 19 272 15 313 22591 20904 2 246 4 302 19 281 16 312 20904 19154 6 009 5 316 14 277 15 310 19154 17334 5 354 8 328 12 285 16 308 17334 15480 8 360 8 353 13 298 17 314 15480 13692 12 026 9 008 16 303 19 325 13692 12063 12 029 10 356 17 311 21 333 12063 10613 9 031 10 348 15 321 20 336 10613 9322 7 023 9 345 14 330 18 336 9322 8172 5 009 9 347 12 330 15 338 8172 7148 1 056 6 329 10 330 12 338 7148 6239 3 110 5 289 9 325 11 343 6239 5441 6 089 2 296 8 302 10 314 5441 4740 7 068 2*094 6 294 8 293 4740 4113 6*049 2*099 3*286 4 272 4113 3556 4*046 2 102 1*267 4 202 3556 3090 4 045 2 101 1 255 5 185 3090 2732 4 043 2 103 1 248 6 183 2732 2485 4 042 2 098 1 239 6 181 2485 2334 3 041 2 100 1 234 5*179 2334 2248 3 042 1 100 0 238 3*178 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography