DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.3 - - 38.7 - - 49.7 - - 40.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 8 - - -14 - - -29 - - -87 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2233 - - 2234 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2249 - - 2250 - - 2250 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 398 - - 350 - - 738 - - 76 - - 142 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 34 - - 20 - - 0 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 203 - - 195 - - 149 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -62 - - -903 - - -1546 - - 0 - - -569 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2311 - - 3152 - - 3796 - - 2250 - - 2819 sfcLCL ODpotential -9783 - - -7600 - - -5761 - - -6305 - - -5633 ODpotential blCL 12032 - - 9849 - - 8011 - - 8555 - - 7883 blCL maxRH 92 - - 88 - - 85 - - 97 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.3 - - 38.7 - - 49.7 - - 40.8 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.9 - - 32.5 - - 40.4 - - 38.2 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.0 - - 38.8 - - 50.6 - - 43.4 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.7 - - 32.0 - - 39.6 - - 38.1 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 8 - - -14 - - -29 - - -87 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 55 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 50 - - 40 - - 88 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96075 54 021 60 023 53 038 53 014 74 026 96075 89200 39 012 45 015 46 022 37 023 52 020 89200 83786 30 007 31 007 34 360 33 014 39 020 83786 79216 22 001 17 356 26 339 30 352 32 003 79216 75247 27 352 17 339 23 321 26 333 25 345 75247 71700 25 319 19 329 21 310 25 316 30 330 71700 68454 19 291 21 305 25 305 26 305 30 305 68454 65452 21 305 24 285 28 287 22 294 22 288 65452 62636 26 283 21 278 23 277 21 310 19 299 62636 59874 26 277 22 292 20 300 44 304 40 305 59874 57001 36 294 32 294 42 289 49 278 47 284 57001 54035 49 275 43 275 50 264 45 259 46 262 54035 51194 51 271 42 267 48 269 43 276 36 275 51194 48630 55 273 48 274 49 275 52 283 40 283 48630 46335 55 273 52 274 48 274 58 279 48 276 46335 44262 55 274 56 275 47 273 55 272 51 267 44262 42372 57 272 59 276 50 274 55 268 54 259 42372 40634 61 269 60 275 58 276 60 265 57 254 40634 39027 70 270 69 274 71 273 68 263 70 257 39027 37543 83 271 84 269 79 266 86 264 92 252 37543 36178 87 273 89 260 81 264 109 261 102 245 36178 34886 87 274 83 256 88 266 114 253 106 242 34886 33592 85 269 79 264 97 265 117 249 109 242 33592 32260 73 264 82 276 100 263 113 248 108 242 32260 30891 74 265 84 278 97 264 106 249 103 241 30891 29469 79 269 78 274 94 265 102 254 99 240 29469 27982 72 268 68 267 90 266 103 259 96 240 27982 26432 71 264 64 258 86 266 103 263 92 238 26432 24821 68 264 66 257 83 268 91 265 89 237 24821 23150 64 264 65 258 76 269 74 259 87 237 23150 21422 57 263 61 258 67 264 64 249 82 240 21422 19629 51 260 56 259 59 258 57 242 76 240 19629 17765 45 261 52 261 52 254 55 239 71 237 17765 15872 40 264 46 262 45 251 52 238 62 240 15872 14056 36 265 39 259 39 251 47 243 50 248 14056 12409 32 267 34 257 35 255 41 251 42 257 12409 10945 30 270 30 262 32 261 36 256 41 263 10945 9638 26 268 26 266 27 264 31 254 41 265 9638 8470 22 259 21 260 22 262 25 244 40 263 8470 7424 21 240 17 245 20 255 24 223 39 260 7424 6490 23 234 18 233 21 250 29 213 38 258 6490 5658 25 227 22 230 21 237 34 214 37 257 5658 4916 27 223 25 225 22 230 38 213 38 256 4916 4247 30 231 27 222 25 227 39 210 38 256 4247 3650 35 235 28 222 29 228 39 209 38 253 3650 3149 29 226 29 224 25 224 34 206 38 243 3149 2765 20 185 22 221 19 214 24 197 35 233 2765 2500 15 169 11 207 14 207 17 178 26 228 2500 2341 13*168 9 204 12 203 14*168 22*227 2341 2250 8*166 7*203 6*195 6*149 11*225 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography