DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/30 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 35.3 - - 34.0 - - 31.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 11 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 454 - - 398 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2649 - - 2593 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1295 - - 1987 - - 3342 - - 645 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 76 - - 68 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 354 - - 327 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 300 - - 93 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2349 - - 2500 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -306 - - -325 - - -943 - - -1557 ODpotential blCL - - - 2955 - - 2918 - - 3192 - - 3806 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 35.3 - - 34.0 - - 31.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 32.6 - - 32.8 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 35.0 - - 35.3 - - 32.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 32.4 - - 32.6 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 11 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 454 - - 398 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 93 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96695 8 040 20 052 14 071 12 009 96695 89656 7 076 11 029 13 047 10 075 89656 84147 8 084 7 287 9 012 8 036 84147 79527 4 054 4 205 11 301 6 355 79527 75524 2 014 2 212 13 276 7 309 75524 71950 4 308 4 271 12 259 8 275 71950 68673 9 297 9 243 10 252 9 278 68673 65633 12 292 19 253 19 275 17 285 65633 62803 20 254 23 255 23 261 21 283 62803 60052 20 252 16 277 15 247 20 286 60052 57174 18 271 23 304 14 291 25 299 57174 54192 25 284 30 301 24 304 31 314 54192 51354 25 290 27 302 29 319 32 319 51354 48810 24 305 26 307 34 321 32 315 48810 46539 27 312 24 309 35 313 30 317 46539 44491 30 317 24 324 32 309 31 324 44491 42629 35 319 31 332 28 315 34 332 42629 40920 44 316 39 320 29 328 38 334 40920 39334 47 312 42 313 34 330 41 328 39334 37859 48 316 43 316 37 324 40 326 37859 36490 53 321 46 319 38 322 37 330 36490 35196 58 323 50 319 36 325 38 337 35196 33901 63 321 53 319 35 329 30 333 33901 32569 63 322 56 319 34 331 30 336 32569 31200 62 322 56 321 35 328 33 330 31200 29775 59 324 53 326 34 329 32 334 29775 28280 55 326 50 326 31 341 29 340 28280 26714 52 332 41 325 29 348 25 344 26714 25077 50 333 39 331 29 346 21 343 25077 23371 46 336 37 337 26 349 17 350 23371 21603 44 343 33 349 25 359 16 348 21603 19766 45 345 35 355 27 004 20 353 19766 17853 43 346 35 356 28 360 25 347 17853 15904 38 337 33 352 27 354 26 347 15904 14031 30 338 29 351 27 349 25 357 14031 12337 23 344 20 345 25 343 26 006 12337 10841 22 346 17 342 24 335 28 004 10841 9516 21 348 18 344 24 332 26 354 9516 8340 19 337 19 346 24 336 23 342 8340 7293 20 316 17 338 25 347 21 339 7293 6362 20 323 15 315 23 350 18 344 6362 5542 18 331 15 318 19 335 16 333 5542 4819 15 339 14 321 17 331 14 331 4819 4173 12 346 12 323 17 332 11 345 4173 3598 8 335 9 325 14 334 8 004 3598 3117 5 319 5 333 11 334 5 033 3117 2747 2*289 3*348 8 334 2 083 2747 2492 1*279 3*352 6 333 3 140 2492 2337 1 275 2 354 5 331 4*171 2337 2249 1 281 2 355 3*327 3*174 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography