DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -23.1 - - -25.4 - - -16.1 - - -19.1 - - -18.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - -2 - - -2 - - -16 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 50 - - 50 - - 51 - - 51 - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit 2229 - - 2229 - - 2229 - - 2229 - - 2229 Hcrit BL Top 2245 - - 2245 - - 2246 - - 2246 - - 2246 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 132 - - 67 - - 312 - - 265 - - 248 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 264 - - 199 - - 158 - - 117 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -931 - - -901 - - -705 - - -854 - - -872 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3176 - - 3146 - - 2951 - - 3100 - - 3118 sfcLCL ODpotential -14572 - - -15653 - - -13761 - - -14686 - - -14910 ODpotential blCL 16817 - - 17898 - - 16007 - - 16932 - - 17156 blCL maxRH 87 - - 95 - - 86 - - 85 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -23.1 - - -25.4 - - -16.1 - - -19.1 - - -18.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -28.5 - - -30.6 - - -20.6 - - -24.2 - - -23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -19.6 - - -23.6 - - -15.6 - - -16.7 - - -15.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -23.2 - - -26.5 - - -19.5 - - -20.4 - - -19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - -2 - - -2 - - -16 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 50 - - 50 - - 51 - - 51 - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 81 - - 44 - - 38 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95142 58 318 50 308 44 307 68 326 80 334 95142 88174 50 302 55 300 59 305 64 312 69 316 88174 82780 42 298 56 298 63 302 60 300 59 301 82780 78215 43 297 52 289 57 291 58 293 59 299 78215 74225 48 298 50 287 55 286 58 291 65 298 74225 70673 53 298 54 292 58 289 61 292 64 287 70673 67426 55 295 57 293 61 288 61 292 61 283 67426 64403 57 292 59 291 61 286 60 294 58 286 64403 61576 59 288 57 290 59 286 65 290 57 287 61576 58823 57 283 53 288 57 286 66 286 56 287 58823 55936 53 282 50 284 57 286 62 286 57 290 55936 52930 50 284 49 283 58 287 63 291 62 291 52930 50063 51 287 50 287 57 291 62 293 67 288 50063 47494 53 290 54 289 57 295 62 293 68 288 47494 45198 53 291 54 288 58 297 62 295 67 290 45198 43115 49 290 53 288 58 296 63 297 66 291 43115 41209 52 293 52 290 58 294 62 296 66 291 41209 39452 55 290 53 291 57 293 64 294 67 291 39452 37827 56 286 54 291 56 291 65 291 69 290 37827 36318 55 287 54 291 57 291 65 289 70 289 36318 34914 56 288 55 291 59 291 64 291 70 286 34914 33579 57 287 56 289 60 293 65 294 70 285 33579 32246 58 286 55 288 60 295 67 292 69 285 32246 30888 56 287 53 291 64 295 67 291 70 285 30888 29513 54 288 56 293 65 292 68 292 69 284 29513 28110 56 292 59 291 63 290 70 292 67 284 28110 26666 61 294 59 290 60 291 70 291 66 285 26666 25180 63 294 59 291 59 292 69 289 66 286 25180 23644 62 295 59 291 59 292 66 287 65 286 23644 22055 61 294 57 286 56 291 64 287 64 286 22055 20414 55 288 50 283 52 294 64 292 64 286 20414 18713 51 288 46 286 49 294 63 294 62 285 18713 16946 48 291 41 293 43 294 56 295 60 285 16946 15145 45 293 41 293 39 294 48 294 54 285 15145 13406 43 290 40 292 39 287 43 290 44 283 13406 11820 42 287 38 291 40 279 41 284 38 282 11820 10406 41 289 36 292 36 278 35 281 35 281 10406 9145 39 292 31 294 31 283 31 281 31 277 9145 8019 35 294 28 293 26 287 28 277 28 278 8019 7015 27 299 21 288 24 288 22 277 23 283 7015 6123 17 295 15 263 20 270 16 288 16 284 6123 5334 11 286 15 253 18 245 14 250 9 270 5334 4636 7 307 11 247 15 226 15 217 8 235 4636 4014 6 329 6 223 12 207 15 186 10 196 4014 3474 5 323 6 200 13 192 16 168 17 181 3474 3030 4 309 10 208 14 178 19 158 25 174 3030 2694 2 316 11 204 15 175 18 145 23 157 2694 2464 4 318 9 205 12 169 16 125 17 148 2464 2325 5 287 7*214 10*164 12*122 14*147 2325 2246 3*264 3*199 6*158 7*117 5*142 2246 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography