DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.2 - - 68.8 - - 73.2 - - 71.1 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 49 - - 84 - - 104 - - 94 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1049 - - 2552 - - 2971 - - 1858 - - 57 BL Depth Hcrit 2235 - - 3196 - - 3661 - - 2781 - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top 3244 - - 4747 - - 5166 - - 4053 - - 2252 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 657 - - 818 - - 743 - - 1676 - - 2523 Hgt.Variab. W* 160 - - 256 - - 291 - - 240 - - 23 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 11 - - 6 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 124 - - 212 - - 312 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 360 - - 1163 - - 710 - - 431 - - -953 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2884 - - 3585 - - 4456 - - 3622 - - 3205 sfcLCL ODpotential -5377 - - 509 - - -2726 - - -1815 - - -3791 ODpotential blCL 8621 - - 4238 - - 7892 - - 5868 - - 6043 blCL maxRH 91 - - 100 - - 95 - - 88 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 780 - - 1190 - - 1640 - - 1640 - - 790 CAPE Temp@2m 64.2 - - 68.8 - - 73.2 - - 71.1 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.9 - - 60.3 - - 60.8 - - 62.3 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.8 - - 68.2 - - 72.2 - - 70.4 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.3 - - 59.5 - - 59.7 - - 61.6 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 49 - - 84 - - 104 - - 94 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1049 - - 2552 - - 2971 - - 1858 - - 57 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 100 - - 81 - - 51 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 100137 28 112 22 123 15 117 17 109 25 113 100137 92498 17 108 19 102 18 118 18 122 16 115 92498 86622 14 105 17 110 18 113 15 117 13 117 86622 81753 19 122 16 133 13 130 10 108 11 108 81753 77554 17 103 15 124 12 137 8 143 7 109 77554 73832 8 116 12 119 13 130 11 149 8 166 73832 70473 12 142 10 154 5 145 11 128 15 150 70473 67391 7 149 14 178 10 188 8 136 11 142 67391 64516 14 181 18 179 13 208 7 179 8 176 64516 61709 9 195 12 200 17 201 9 204 9 191 61709 58785 11 218 16 231 16 225 11 225 15 208 58785 55779 27 258 20 231 19 227 14 226 13 215 55779 52928 34 254 31 239 33 246 27 245 17 201 52928 50342 36 245 36 235 38 244 31 251 15 215 50342 48000 39 239 38 239 42 251 38 251 43 251 48000 45888 45 243 49 247 43 245 46 248 58 248 45888 43970 58 244 58 244 48 250 57 250 64 247 43970 42218 68 242 63 241 64 253 68 253 69 248 42218 40608 72 242 69 240 77 247 73 252 72 249 40608 39119 75 243 73 237 77 245 71 250 70 249 39119 37734 75 241 71 237 74 252 65 251 64 250 37734 36409 73 239 67 240 78 258 63 253 58 253 36409 35075 73 238 69 243 80 259 64 252 58 256 35075 33697 72 238 70 243 79 257 63 248 59 253 33697 32277 67 238 67 241 77 255 63 245 59 249 32277 30799 63 235 62 239 76 253 63 245 57 244 30799 29253 62 234 60 237 75 251 63 248 54 243 29253 27637 60 237 61 236 74 248 62 250 51 244 27637 25951 56 242 62 236 70 243 62 252 53 247 25951 24196 53 243 57 238 66 238 60 252 55 250 24196 22378 50 244 50 236 63 237 58 249 56 252 22378 20490 43 242 45 232 58 237 56 247 55 252 20490 18529 34 236 41 230 52 237 47 247 50 250 18529 16539 28 232 35 227 45 237 42 247 46 244 16539 14628 26 226 31 225 38 235 41 248 46 242 14628 12892 25 220 28 230 35 234 37 244 40 240 12892 11344 24 220 24 231 31 237 33 241 34 243 11344 9962 22 220 19 226 29 240 29 245 29 254 9962 8726 17 220 16 215 26 238 26 252 24 265 8726 7623 14 209 10 194 24 232 25 259 20 278 7623 6642 13 185 9 192 23 226 23 272 17 294 6642 5775 19 178 10 154 16*218 19 293 16 306 5775 5004 26 163 12*125 8*207 16 304 16 313 5004 4312 26 148 12*125 7 208 15*308 14 323 4312 3699 23*141 12 124 7 210 15*311 14 332 3699 3184 19*135 12 124 6 214 14 312 13 336 3184 2788 16 133 11 124 6 216 14 312 13 337 2788 2514 15 132 11 124 5 217 13 313 11 337 2514 2347 13 132 10 123 5 218 12 313 9*337 2347 2252 10 132 8 124 5 219 10 313 6*337 2252 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography