DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 1.1 - - 3.8 - - -1.1 - - -6.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 26 - - 6 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 187 - - 535 - - 338 - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2230 - - 2231 - - 2230 - - 2230 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2382 - - 2730 - - 2533 - - 2246 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 389 - - 379 - - 300 - - 262 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 98 - - 53 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 189 - - 204 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -442 - - -16 - - -318 - - -675 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2824 - - 2746 - - 2851 - - 2921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11091 - - 111 - - -14162 - - -16076 ODpotential blCL - - - 13473 - - 2619 - - 16695 - - 18322 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 1.1 - - 3.8 - - -1.1 - - -6.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.6 - - 0.5 - - -4.9 - - -10.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 1.0 - - 3.6 - - -1.2 - - -5.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.3 - - 2.2 - - -2.7 - - -8.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 26 - - 6 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 187 - - 535 - - 338 - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 99 - - 100 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98366 82 085 72 066 93 078 67 072 98366 91097 75 084 65 071 70 072 66 061 91097 85385 67 083 59 074 58 070 63 062 85385 80549 63 082 57 078 49 070 55 068 80549 76296 58 078 54 081 44 073 46 067 76296 72469 51 074 49 079 39 070 38 066 72469 68966 37 071 34 069 33 058 37 062 68966 65730 28 058 23 056 29 047 33 053 65730 62734 25 040 22 035 30 026 32 034 62734 59848 28 022 24 023 30 010 34 019 59848 56856 30 011 28 008 31 003 35 003 56856 53770 32 003 32 001 31 357 37 349 53770 50839 35 354 36 358 33 356 41 351 50839 48214 36 349 38 349 38 353 45 352 48214 45884 38 347 39 349 40 349 46 354 45884 43790 41 347 41 353 41 349 46 353 43790 41887 43 344 42 354 43 352 45 351 41887 40143 44 342 42 353 43 354 43 351 40143 38537 44 341 41 352 39 355 43 351 38537 37054 43 343 38 350 36 355 41 349 37054 35685 42 347 35 353 33 357 34 348 35685 34393 39 349 34 353 32 357 27 350 34393 33105 36 350 32 352 31 357 23 350 33105 31783 37 349 32 353 32 001 21 356 31783 30427 40 348 34 355 31 001 19 002 30427 29022 44 347 34 356 26 001 16 005 29022 27560 45 347 31 358 21 011 9 017 27560 26036 45 347 30 000 19 027 7 059 26036 24448 43 348 30 002 19 034 7 074 24448 22796 41 350 30 002 17 036 8 080 22796 21082 40 351 30 004 16 043 7 086 21082 19298 39 352 27 007 16 043 6 089 19298 17439 36 348 28 002 15 048 4 093 17439 15542 32 348 29 357 14 040 3 085 15542 13715 26 350 27 352 15 014 4 013 13715 12059 21 349 22 350 17 357 8 343 12059 10592 15 340 18 349 15 351 9 343 10592 9289 11 327 15 345 13 351 7 352 9289 8130 7 325 12 345 10 356 4 010 8130 7101 2 318 6 343 5 357 1 085 7101 6193 2 183 1 228 1 279 3 169 6193 5395 4 195 5 193 5 211 5 200 5395 4694 5 215 5 184 6 184 8 190 4694 4067 6 227 4 182 7 167 11 185 4067 3513 7 206 7 188 9 168 12 180 3513 3054 7 193 8*195 8 198 11 189 3054 2706 8 214 7*189 8*207 11 200 2706 2470 7*213 6 188 6*204 12 192 2470 2328 5*209 5 189 5 204 10 189 2328 2246 4 206 5 189 4 204 5*181 2246 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography