DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.3 - - 53.5 - - 58.4 - - 54.4 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 62 - - 110 - - -17 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 1192 - - 3935 - - 56 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2234 - - 4299 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 3387 - - 6130 - - 2251 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 139 - - 2282 - - 2729 - - 5276 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 177 - - 312 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 16 - - 17 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 272 - - 294 - - 292 - - 291 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1045 - - -3025 - - -2287 - - -5628 - - -3664 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3294 - - 6412 - - 8417 - - 7879 - - 5914 sfcLCL ODpotential -6944 - - -5705 - - -4687 - - -8428 - - -8226 ODpotential blCL 9193 - - 9092 - - 10817 - - 10679 - - 10476 blCL maxRH 81 - - 64 - - 78 - - 89 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.3 - - 53.5 - - 58.4 - - 54.4 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.2 - - 33.5 - - 29.4 - - 27.9 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.0 - - 53.1 - - 57.8 - - 55.9 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.6 - - 32.5 - - 28.9 - - 27.5 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 62 - - 110 - - -17 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 1192 - - 3935 - - 56 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 0 - - 13 - - 56 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97772 33 015 38 012 38 011 34 015 28 014 97772 90643 30 012 25 019 24 015 23 008 21 358 90643 85055 22 009 17 018 13 019 15 347 18 351 85055 80347 19 028 11 007 10 018 13 346 13 344 80347 76246 11 010 6 321 8 305 12 318 13 304 76246 72595 11 354 1 107 12 290 11 321 12 312 72595 69270 11 320 14 293 21 290 22 315 27 330 69270 66216 19 325 17 309 18 287 25 307 32 313 66216 63385 37 297 24 313 16 300 23 312 25 313 63385 60627 37 293 28 309 26 313 35 316 34 312 60627 57738 39 306 46 297 54 304 48 309 44 304 57738 54754 48 303 55 295 60 303 58 307 54 306 54754 51920 57 308 63 307 66 303 64 302 63 300 51920 49374 72 310 73 309 70 306 69 301 68 297 49374 47097 76 306 76 308 73 304 73 299 72 299 47097 45037 75 304 78 305 77 302 77 300 77 301 45037 43162 79 309 84 304 81 301 86 298 89 300 43162 41455 93 308 91 306 84 301 84 294 89 294 41455 39887 101 304 98 304 82 301 76 297 80 297 39887 38434 93 305 99 298 82 302 83 306 99 312 38434 37079 97 309 97 298 88 303 83 306 119 310 37079 35780 101 309 97 304 92 298 81 300 107 302 35780 34472 102 311 97 301 90 295 82 294 96 295 34472 33122 105 314 96 298 88 297 83 295 87 291 33122 31728 107 314 97 301 87 298 81 295 87 293 31728 30272 107 313 99 304 83 299 80 296 85 292 30272 28745 110 315 101 307 79 301 77 298 82 293 28745 27144 107 318 101 308 76 303 71 303 81 296 27144 25474 94 311 99 308 78 308 65 308 81 300 25474 23735 94 305 96 306 78 307 65 304 80 302 23735 21930 95 306 90 306 74 302 64 301 77 302 21930 20057 89 304 77 307 71 302 66 305 70 301 20057 18115 76 303 62 303 61 304 62 301 64 294 18115 16154 64 306 54 301 52 301 53 295 51 288 16154 14275 49 307 48 303 46 302 45 298 45 290 14275 12571 40 308 40 306 38 307 35 301 34 301 12571 11060 37 310 31 308 30 311 27 307 26 308 11060 9718 33 313 27 314 25 309 22 306 19 299 9718 8521 28 314 27 316 22 309 19 302 16 286 8521 7453 24 307 28 313 22 310 19 300 15 284 7453 6504 22 299 29 306 21*306 19 296 14 289 6504 5664 21 298 29 296 19*295 18 293 13 297 5664 4918 20 303 28 292 18 292 17 294 13 304 4918 4247 19 312 26 294 18 291 17 295 12 313 4247 3651 20 318 23*296 17 291 16 296 12 323 3651 3152 23 313 20*295 17 291 15 296 12 330 3152 2768 24 299 17 294 16 291 13 296 11 333 2768 2503 18 284 16 293 15 291 11 295 9 333 2503 2342 15 280 14 293 14 291 9*292 5*324 2342 2250 6*272 11 293 12 291 5*291 3*313 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography