DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.4 - - 68.1 - - 71.4 - - 68.6 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 170 - - 111 - - 25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 691 - - 2749 - - 4084 - - 2910 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2235 - - 3727 - - 4483 - - 2235 - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top 2886 - - 4944 - - 6279 - - 5105 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1143 - - 2661 - - 3073 - - 2801 - - 2504 Hgt.Variab. W* 134 - - 326 - - 328 - - 191 - - 19 W* B/S 6 - - 20 - - 18 - - 10 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 188 - - 305 - - 336 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - 4 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 327 - - 487 - - 979 - - 836 - - -221 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2559 - - 4458 - - 5300 - - 4269 - - 2472 sfcLCL ODpotential -1720 - - -446 - - -127 - - -374 - - -1185 ODpotential blCL 4606 - - 5390 - - 6406 - - 5479 - - 3436 blCL maxRH 92 - - 88 - - 92 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 330 - - 780 - - 980 - - 970 - - 1070 CAPE Temp@2m 60.4 - - 68.1 - - 71.4 - - 68.6 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.7 - - 56.0 - - 55.7 - - 57.3 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 66.9 - - 70.5 - - 68.2 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 55.1 - - 54.5 - - 56.2 - - 59.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 170 - - 111 - - 25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 691 - - 2749 - - 4084 - - 2910 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 50 - - 69 - - 61 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99879 13 099 14 108 12 130 7 101 9 089 99879 92344 16 111 8 131 8 090 10 089 13 092 92344 86508 13 104 12 120 11 101 10 112 12 099 86508 81647 12 094 13 102 11 107 11 125 6 095 81647 77459 11 106 8 103 7 099 11 102 5 104 77459 73749 10 124 7 133 4 084 8 086 5 102 73749 70372 5 115 6 122 3 115 4 040 6 080 70372 67253 1 039 4 112 1 115 5 321 5 028 67253 64356 4 325 5 045 1 158 5 282 5 313 64356 61549 9 317 8 341 4 333 6 298 7 309 61549 58615 10 317 8 317 6 313 10 292 11 305 58615 55574 15 309 12 306 12 305 14 293 13 300 55574 52682 18 301 14 293 16 295 18 298 15 305 52682 50086 21 302 16 293 22 288 22 295 20 298 50086 47772 24 297 21 297 25 289 27 291 24 291 47772 45681 26 289 25 297 28 292 31 289 27 285 45681 43773 24 285 28 294 32 293 36 290 36 283 43773 42024 24 288 31 294 37 292 44 289 47 287 42024 40415 25 293 33 294 40 292 53 291 56 285 40415 38926 25 300 33 293 45 294 61 289 60 283 38926 37544 25 306 31 294 46 294 62 290 62 285 37544 36224 25 307 28 299 43 290 64 292 64 287 36224 34892 25 302 24 301 36 285 66 293 64 287 34892 33517 24 298 24 301 30 285 67 294 62 287 33517 32099 23 295 24 299 25 285 63 295 61 288 32099 30624 23 297 23 300 24 284 49 292 59 288 30624 29081 23 301 23 303 24 283 36 279 54 286 29081 27475 22 305 23 304 23 284 32 275 44 281 27475 25804 22 305 22 303 22 283 32 282 32 276 25804 24066 22 303 21 303 21 283 31 282 39 273 24066 22263 22 300 21 303 21 284 29 283 34 276 22263 20391 23 303 23 302 23 288 26 287 23 287 20391 18447 24 310 24 300 24 293 25 294 23 293 18447 16468 24 309 23 299 26 301 25 296 17 297 16468 14561 22 308 21 299 25 300 27 299 12 307 14561 12824 20 305 19 297 22 292 26 299 14 310 12824 11282 17 298 20 293 21 295 22 310 12 313 11282 9911 14 305 19 295 19 306 19 322 10 316 9911 8685 9 328 14 305 17 308 17 320 9 322 8685 7589 7 336 10 314 14 308 14 313 7 308 7589 6617 3 319 8 312 10*304 11 306 6 282 6617 5756 1 056 4 274 7*301 8*304 5 267 5756 4989 2 125 3*203 4 301 6*309 4 254 4989 4300 1 171 3*195 3 302 4 330 2 244 4300 3689 2 195 3 192 3 307 3 340 1 241 3689 3177 5*184 3 188 2 310 3 345 2 135 3177 2783 5*184 3 183 2 318 3 351 4 123 2783 2511 4 183 3 182 2 320 3 353 4 122 2511 2346 4 182 3 181 2 320 3 355 4 127 2346 2251 3 182 2 178 2 323 3 356 2*139 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography