DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 53.9 - - 52.4 - - 41.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 188 - - -7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2333 - - 5315 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3434 - - 5642 - - 2234 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4528 - - 7510 - - 2250 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2566 - - 3189 - - 8886 - - 106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 410 - - 16 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 22 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 313 - - 308 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1800 - - 119 - - -4732 - - -2282 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6328 - - 7391 - - 6983 - - 4532 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3137 - - -642 - - -5464 - - -5334 ODpotential blCL - - - 7665 - - 8152 - - 7714 - - 7584 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 75 - - 77 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 80 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 53.9 - - 52.4 - - 41.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 29.2 - - 29.6 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 52.9 - - 52.7 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 28.9 - - 29.4 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 188 - - -7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2333 - - 5315 - - 55 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97742 4 334 7 227 11 321 3 014 97742 90552 3 323 1 104 7 296 6 350 90552 84961 3 283 7 270 6 321 10 312 84961 80295 7 234 10 267 11 284 10 263 80295 76233 11 243 12 289 12 280 8 321 76233 72601 16 222 21 265 19 266 15 273 72601 69292 12 227 19 233 10 268 12 264 69292 66222 15 262 15 241 19 262 18 273 66222 63345 24 257 30 249 30 246 27 256 63345 60546 20 257 27 253 28 248 29 265 60546 57627 31 271 32 267 35 269 29 273 57627 54593 34 268 32 266 34 272 34 277 54593 51694 37 275 36 275 37 283 43 279 51694 49090 47 277 44 279 47 282 46 283 49090 46764 53 276 51 278 51 280 49 287 46764 44660 54 277 54 279 53 286 53 290 44660 42734 57 283 57 282 60 290 59 292 42734 40961 61 286 60 284 65 288 63 294 40961 39320 64 287 60 286 65 287 66 294 39320 37796 65 288 62 290 63 289 69 293 37796 36377 67 289 64 291 63 291 68 292 36377 35026 69 289 65 292 63 294 68 294 35026 33677 70 289 66 293 63 295 68 296 33677 32302 69 289 65 294 60 297 68 299 32302 30900 68 290 63 294 57 299 69 301 30900 29454 67 291 61 294 56 300 69 302 29454 27949 64 292 61 295 58 301 68 302 27949 26385 58 294 58 296 57 301 69 303 26385 24763 51 296 50 298 55 301 64 301 24763 23095 39 301 41 300 45 300 51 298 23095 21387 35 310 33 306 34 301 40 299 21387 19619 34 313 31 314 28 308 38 302 19619 17776 34 314 32 314 29 313 36 305 17776 15893 33 316 32 311 32 313 31 307 15893 14075 34 318 31 310 34 311 30 307 14075 12419 33 317 30 313 32 311 31 308 12419 10945 31 314 29 316 28 313 31 311 10945 9629 29 312 29 318 27 311 30 312 9629 8451 28 313 27*317 27 309 29 313 8451 7400 30 316 24*315 26 309 26 314 7400 6463 32 318 24 314 25 309 24 315 6463 5632 32 316 23 313 24 309 22 315 5632 4893 30*314 23 313 24 309 21 316 4893 4229 25*308 23 312 23 310 19 318 4229 3638 24 307 22 312 22 310 18 318 3638 3144 23 306 22 313 21 310 17 317 3144 2762 22 306 21 312 19 309 16 314 2762 2499 21 306 20 312 17 309 13 302 2499 2340 19 305 18 312 15 309 10*296 2340 2250 15 305 15 312 11*308 5*279 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography