DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.8 - - 29.8 - - 32.2 - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 8 - - -6 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 554 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2231 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2749 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 265 - - 757 - - 651 - - 329 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 34 - - 13 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 178 - - 189 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 123 - - -522 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2626 - - 2772 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12999 - - -11969 - - -8920 - - -9288 ODpotential blCL - - - 15748 - - 14218 - - 11169 - - 11537 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.8 - - 29.8 - - 32.2 - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.3 - - 25.5 - - 30.2 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 29.9 - - 32.8 - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.7 - - 24.9 - - 30.1 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 8 - - -6 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 554 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96429 6 340 7 337 4 333 7 344 96429 89398 5 289 8 315 8 313 14 340 89398 83971 5 346 8 294 13 288 15 316 83971 79431 13 347 7 317 9 312 12 285 79431 75457 18 325 11 330 13 316 10 298 75457 71898 18 306 17 306 19 308 18 321 71898 68658 19 318 23 303 26 320 20 317 68658 65657 24 327 27 310 25 319 24 316 65657 62844 34 331 32 318 35 313 30 312 62844 60105 40 330 42 315 43 317 47 317 60105 57253 50 321 45 319 52 314 51 313 57253 54304 57 323 57 318 57 310 52 307 54304 51485 68 319 65 318 66 310 61 307 51485 48944 73 317 73 314 66 309 70 304 48944 46667 78 318 71 314 70 313 74 306 46667 44602 81 319 71 319 81 310 81 310 44602 42746 85 322 89 321 90 313 118 304 42746 41077 103 331 132 322 134 314 131 303 41077 39542 160 331 171 318 157 309 150 307 39542 38107 181 326 178 314 150 305 152 306 38107 36755 173 322 170 312 150 304 143 304 36755 35449 165 321 168 312 151 305 136 303 35449 34128 153 320 165 314 149 308 129 303 34128 32765 145 320 145 317 136 311 120 305 32765 31362 143 319 118 314 115 312 110 304 31362 29906 136 320 110 310 105 309 103 300 29906 28383 103 316 107 310 95 306 95 300 28383 26796 84 301 105 310 90 309 96 302 26796 25142 75 305 103 310 81 310 95 303 25142 23424 73 314 94 309 78 304 89 302 23424 21645 74 320 86 310 76 298 80 303 21645 19803 75 321 70 313 69 295 74 305 19803 17891 72 319 59 310 59 294 72 300 17891 15951 59 311 55 313 50 291 69 297 15951 14092 47 301 49 317 43 286 60 297 14092 12409 42 293 41 306 39 280 49 294 12409 10917 40 282 38 285 34 280 47 298 10917 9592 35 272 32 277 29 289 51 300 9592 8412 28 280 32 292 30 301 52 294 8412 7362 25 286 37 294 34 301 47 286 7362 6430 19 267 31 282 35 288 36 274 6430 5603 15 234 24 256 29 277 34 271 5603 4867 18 210 26 245 24 271 29 266 4867 4204 22 205 28 224 21 251 20 246 4204 3617 23 204 29 211 24 223 19 229 3617 3125 21*187 26 202 25 209 21 221 3125 2749 18*172 19 183 21 197 24 207 2749 2492 17 171 17 181 16 191 19 192 2492 2338 15 170 15*179 15*190 17*190 2338 2249 12 169 11*178 11*189 12*189 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography