DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.2 - - 60.6 - - 59.0 - - 51.7 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 115 - - 279 - - 267 - - 109 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1174 - - 3591 - - 6682 - - 2481 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2234 - - 4530 - - 6896 - - 3256 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 3369 - - 5786 - - 8877 - - 4676 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1472 - - 2801 - - 4169 - - 4416 - - 8977 Hgt.Variab. W* 212 - - 412 - - 499 - - 266 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 30 - - 39 - - 32 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 348 - - 319 - - 334 - - 346 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 6 - - -8 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4159 - - -2118 - - 1115 - - -1481 - - -4814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7528 - - 7904 - - 7762 - - 6157 - - 7064 sfcLCL ODpotential -7375 - - -3648 - - -130 - - -2575 - - -6157 ODpotential blCL 10744 - - 9434 - - 9007 - - 7251 - - 8407 blCL maxRH 88 - - 95 - - 100 - - 97 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 10 - - 150 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 58.2 - - 60.6 - - 59.0 - - 51.7 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 33.6 - - 32.6 - - 32.6 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 59.3 - - 57.9 - - 51.3 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 33.5 - - 32.6 - - 32.3 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 115 - - 279 - - 267 - - 109 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1174 - - 3591 - - 6682 - - 2481 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 82 - - 101 - - 88 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97599 10 120 18 125 11 182 10 115 14 126 97599 90151 19 105 17 119 12 143 12 120 11 118 90151 84450 14 106 15 125 13 132 12 120 11 113 84450 79717 11 105 11 112 10 113 9 104 10 115 79717 75627 9 102 4 057 9 093 4 088 8 080 75627 72005 8 067 4 025 8 058 6 067 6 068 72005 68711 9 041 2 009 10 018 11 051 8 076 68711 65664 9 020 5 006 11 353 10 357 12 033 65664 62829 11 004 8 005 8 347 12 355 16 017 62829 60071 14 355 11 005 9 012 16 011 19 011 60071 57188 16 346 19 355 20 004 16 350 20 353 57188 54200 15 340 19 336 16 322 13 341 15 358 54200 51352 19 349 15 344 25 334 24 350 25 357 51352 48798 29 338 30 335 28 338 27 345 27 342 48798 46514 36 323 33 339 32 344 34 356 37 354 46514 44449 37 332 41 341 44 342 44 345 45 343 44449 42567 53 334 48 326 56 335 45 332 45 335 42567 40833 56 318 54 311 63 322 46 330 47 335 40833 39224 47 308 53 312 61 307 56 330 50 338 39224 37730 50 331 60 332 59 313 65 330 62 344 37730 36344 71 336 82 336 68 333 77 329 81 340 36344 35033 72 328 91 326 91 341 81 326 88 335 35033 33725 61 319 92 322 110 337 95 339 98 342 33725 32380 54 319 91 324 110 327 117 339 112 347 32380 30995 61 327 88 325 104 323 122 336 113 345 30995 29550 63 329 85 327 100 323 116 333 109 341 29550 28037 62 328 86 330 99 325 109 330 105 337 28037 26460 62 330 84 330 97 326 103 326 101 332 26460 24826 62 333 76 323 92 322 96 321 98 330 24826 23136 57 329 71 314 90 319 91 317 95 329 23136 21388 51 314 68 312 88 319 90 318 90 329 21388 19578 54 310 69 311 86 317 89 318 81 330 19578 17703 57 310 71 314 84 315 84 318 68 330 17703 15806 58 312 69 320 81 317 67 317 57 333 15806 13990 57 315 60 324 61 323 47 313 54 337 13990 12347 49 317 53 320 49 326 46 322 48 340 12347 10888 39 314 52 315 47 327 47 330 41 344 10888 9585 33 304 52 316 43*330 50 335 40 347 9585 8419 27 302 53 321 42*332 50 340 40 350 8419 7375 21 318 50 327 41 333 50 344 39 351 7375 6445 23 343 43*329 41 333 48 346 39 351 6445 5618 26 354 36*325 40 334 45 347 38 350 5618 4884 26 359 32 320 40 335 43*347 38 350 4884 4223 26 359 31 318 39 335 39*346 37 350 4223 3635 26*358 30 317 38 335 35 346 35 349 3635 3142 22*351 29 317 38 335 32 346 32 348 3142 2763 20 348 28 317 36 336 31 345 28 347 2763 2500 19 348 27 317 35 336 28 345 24 346 2500 2341 17 347 25 316 31 336 26 345 20*346 2341 2250 14 346 20 316 25 335 20 345 14*344 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography