DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.1 - - 26.5 - - 33.7 - - 29.8 - - 24.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - -5 - - -18 - - -14 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2248 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 116 - - 81 - - 321 - - 97 - - 61 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 165 - - 235 - - 264 - - 241 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -281 - - -233 - - -333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2248 - - 2249 - - 2530 - - 2483 - - 2582 sfcLCL ODpotential -8202 - - -6722 - - -4194 - - -5273 - - -6265 ODpotential blCL 10450 - - 8971 - - 6443 - - 7522 - - 8514 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 79 - - 81 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.1 - - 26.5 - - 33.7 - - 29.8 - - 24.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.5 - - 25.2 - - 30.7 - - 27.1 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 21.1 - - 28.1 - - 36.2 - - 33.4 - - 28.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.5 - - 25.6 - - 30.4 - - 28.3 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - -5 - - -18 - - -14 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 91 - - 15 - - 23 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94113 93 313 92 316 96 323 100 324 93 320 94113 87633 88 320 82 317 86 322 87 318 82 317 87633 82478 76 322 70 315 76 316 74 314 73 319 82478 78073 65 312 62 312 64 304 64 315 66 314 78073 74217 62 308 57 310 55 301 60 313 63 309 74217 70781 56 307 50 300 49 302 59 308 58 305 70781 67638 50 308 46 292 51 300 57 303 51 308 67638 64708 48 301 47 294 52 292 53 306 49 317 64708 61953 46 301 48 296 50 292 47 311 50 317 61953 59258 46 303 46 299 44 296 46 313 53 310 59258 56435 46 302 44 297 39 302 53 303 53 303 56435 53503 45 297 43 296 40 301 52 294 50 301 53503 50701 45 291 44 294 39 304 46 297 48 302 50701 48178 43 291 42 294 43 309 43 305 48 305 48178 45918 41 292 39 298 47 300 44 302 51 307 45918 43872 40 287 41 303 45 290 47 298 54 307 43872 42007 39 282 47 298 33 291 49 302 54 307 42007 40299 36 281 45 291 30 310 53 306 53 311 40299 38726 32 285 37 290 45 309 55 305 56 315 38726 37266 29 287 37 302 51 301 53 305 59 314 37266 35905 28 291 41 300 49 292 55 300 58 311 35905 34605 29 301 41 302 42 289 48 285 50 309 34605 33301 31 305 44 306 45 307 34 284 40 307 33301 31973 32 298 53 314 60 306 44 300 34 318 31973 30622 37 281 71 323 63 299 49 289 39 304 30622 29229 41 259 67 322 58 299 44 286 37 282 29229 27778 32 234 56 313 53 301 43 288 35 276 27778 26264 26 224 49 301 51 303 41 291 33 271 26264 24683 22 233 42 298 49 304 39 296 29 267 24683 23038 29 258 38 299 44 310 36 299 24 271 23038 21328 27 280 36 300 30 299 35 295 22 276 21328 19549 22 284 36 303 29 301 40 295 23 282 19549 17695 29 295 34 308 36 301 44 294 26 291 17695 15807 37 307 31 310 38 297 42 295 27 299 15807 13987 40 314 31 307 38 292 38 301 28 301 13987 12331 43 316 32 299 38 285 37 301 29 300 12331 10856 45 317 33 293 37 286 37 299 30 298 10856 9543 45 318 32 291 35 288 37 295 31 295 9543 8374 43 317 28 303 31 287 36 292 27 290 8374 7332 44 317 24 325 28 289 31 291 21 292 7332 6404 44 316 26 328 24 292 24 296 20 301 6404 5582 41 316 23 314 20 292 20 303 20 306 5582 4852 32 319 21 292 19 291 18 307 20 307 4852 4196 24 318 19 294 20 292 18 305 19 307 4196 3613 21 311 15 299 23 296 16 302 19 306 3613 3125 18 310 13 287 25 295 17 302 19 303 3125 2750 11 307 14 278 23 283 17 293 19 296 2750 2492 3 300 15 266 17 273 14 268 17 275 2492 2337 2*165 12*257 13 269 11 257 12*260 2337 2249 3*165 5*235 8*264 6*241 7*252 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography