DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 74.3 - - - - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 124 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 762 - - 1875 - - - - - 57 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2235 - - 2923 - - - - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2957 - - 4070 - - - - - 2252 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 432 - - 1586 - - - - - 58 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 255 - - - - - 1 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 233 - - - - - 074 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3553 - - -5020 - - - - - -3943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6510 - - 9090 - - - - - 6195 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9363 - - -8803 - - - - - -9242 ODpotential blCL - - - 12320 - - 12873 - - - - - 11494 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 65 - - - - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 74.3 - - - - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 42.3 - - - - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 73.3 - - - - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 41.7 - - - - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 124 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 762 - - 1875 - - - - - 57 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98002 15 305 13 317 15 278 98002 90784 7 328 13 287 5 267 90784 85152 4 305 11 293 2 280 85152 80443 6 242 13 282 9 267 80443 76369 7 243 10 258 11 243 76369 72758 12 250 15 262 14 229 72758 69484 14 245 18 260 15 246 69484 66465 10 260 14 251 15 259 66465 63645 18 275 12 242 13 265 63645 60900 25 271 13 262 22 260 60900 58057 26 257 18 256 20 242 58057 55116 28 245 29 246 24 250 55116 52303 35 253 37 244 38 246 52303 49787 42 253 42 243 46 242 49787 47549 44 249 44 241 51 235 47549 45528 46 249 47 242 54 229 45528 43692 48 247 54 243 60 230 43692 42010 47 245 56 239 67 229 42010 40455 44 247 53 235 64 228 40455 39007 42 248 47 234 63 228 39007 37645 39 248 46 234 61 228 37645 36330 37 249 45 234 59 229 36330 34997 36 252 45 234 58 230 34997 33616 37 254 44 235 55 232 33616 32195 39 255 44 236 52 235 32195 30719 38 253 43 239 49 237 30719 29176 38 248 42 242 47 237 29176 27566 38 242 42 243 46 235 27566 25887 37 241 42 242 44 235 25887 24142 32 241 40 240 40 235 24142 22337 26 240 36 237 37 236 22337 20465 23 239 31 236 34 239 20465 18524 22 242 25 235 31 241 18524 16552 22 246 20 241 27 242 16552 14654 21 252 24 262 23 239 14654 12924 21 252 27 264 20 236 12924 11380 20 247 24 263 20 236 11380 10001 20 240 20 259 20 237 10001 8767 19 237 18 248 19 238 8767 7663 18 237 20 243 18 238 7663 6678 16 238 19 245 16 237 6678 5805 16 238 17 251 13 235 5805 5029 15 234 13 260 11 235 5029 4331 15 227 11*254 8 234 4331 3711 14 219 9*237 5 239 3711 3192 11*208 9 234 2 255 3192 2791 9*202 9 233 1 024 2791 2515 8 202 8 231 3 053 2515 2347 8 201 7 231 4*070 2347 2252 7 201 7 230 4*074 2252 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography