DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 77.2 - - 76.1 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 365 - - 91 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5415 - - 10518 - - 11459 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6057 - - 10140 - - 9706 - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7610 - - 12713 - - 13654 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3117 - - 2868 - - 2682 - - 885 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 520 - - 643 - - 419 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 257 - - 250 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2720 - - -436 - - -21 - - -8182 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10331 - - 13150 - - 13676 - - 10434 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4537 - - -1906 - - -479 - - -10577 ODpotential blCL - - - 12147 - - 14619 - - 14133 - - 12828 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 71 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 77.2 - - 76.1 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 26.4 - - 23.0 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 75.0 - - 75.3 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 26.1 - - 22.8 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 365 - - 91 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5415 - - 10518 - - 11459 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 83 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97940 16 127 9 164 5 058 17 117 97940 90542 20 121 7 153 4 068 12 108 90542 84850 17 117 10 148 9 165 5 122 84850 80114 8 126 8 109 14 157 6 167 80114 76012 7 143 4 124 9 152 6 135 76012 72372 5 167 2 192 4 187 3 085 72372 69071 6 198 4 255 3 286 3 097 69071 66023 3 205 6 253 10 268 6 352 66023 63187 4 239 8 253 8 263 10 255 63187 60433 6 286 5 265 10 316 4 263 60433 57555 12 283 16 283 19 286 19 283 57555 54584 12 272 14 251 16 259 14 248 54584 51749 15 294 20 283 19 321 10 338 51749 49186 29 290 28 286 33 276 28 282 49186 46880 36 282 38 279 31 260 34 256 46880 44792 41 278 42 277 34 286 36 262 44792 42904 45 275 48 272 48 275 40 266 42904 41186 47 278 50 271 56 270 44 267 41186 39602 59 283 64 275 63 269 51 264 39602 38135 71 281 81 275 76 269 59 261 38135 36776 74 281 87 274 90 266 71 258 36776 35482 72 280 83 273 93 263 80 255 35482 34181 68 281 79 272 90 262 83 253 34181 32839 65 281 75 271 87 261 82 252 32839 31456 61 281 71 270 83 260 79 251 31456 30019 58 280 66 270 77 261 76 250 30019 28515 58 279 60 270 70 262 73 250 28515 26946 55 279 54 269 65 262 66 250 26946 25315 50 278 50 266 59 261 58 250 25315 23623 43 279 46 263 52 258 50 250 23623 21870 37 278 41 263 45 253 43 247 21870 20053 33 275 38 263 39 252 36 241 20053 18172 34 270 38 264 34 249 29 237 18172 16261 37 266 41 261 28 238 26 239 16261 14416 33 265 38 263 24*231 25 245 14416 12732 29 266 24*267 22*234 24 246 12732 11224 20 255 18*259 21 237 22 245 11224 9874 19 245 17 259 19 241 20 244 9874 8664 16*246 16 258 17 246 17 243 8664 7581 11*259 15 257 15 252 13 243 7581 6614 10 263 15 257 13 257 10 243 6614 5755 10 262 14 256 12 262 6 248 5755 4992 9 261 14 256 11 267 3 271 4992 4304 9 260 13 256 10 269 2 358 4304 3692 9 258 13 256 10 273 5 027 3692 3180 9 257 12 256 9 274 7 032 3180 2785 9 256 12 256 9 275 9 035 2785 2512 8 254 12 256 9 276 9 038 2512 2346 8 254 11 255 8 277 8 040 2346 2251 7 254 10 255 8 278 5*045 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography