DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.8 - - 26.1 - - 27.4 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - -3 - - -24 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2231 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2248 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 804 - - 495 - - 436 - - 1094 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 11 - - 0 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 239 - - 271 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -177 - - -90 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2426 - - 2339 - - 2249 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7178 - - -3947 - - -3319 - - -2712 ODpotential blCL - - - 9426 - - 6196 - - 5568 - - 4961 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.8 - - 26.1 - - 27.4 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 23.9 - - 26.1 - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 26.4 - - 28.7 - - 32.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 23.8 - - 26.5 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - -3 - - -24 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 68 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97206 61 017 47 042 42 038 40 035 97206 90016 60 016 45 030 46 028 45 030 90016 84396 51 021 38 027 38 020 47 028 84396 79689 38 027 34 025 35 018 45 020 79689 75624 29 023 32 011 36 019 38 021 75624 72015 28 013 37 359 41 015 38 022 72015 68724 33 009 38 360 41 013 41 012 68724 65684 37 007 36 003 42 006 44 004 65684 62850 39 003 35 004 42 359 47 354 62850 60091 40 000 36 005 45 352 47 346 60091 57201 45 002 41 002 45 349 52 347 57201 54201 52 359 49 001 53 349 61 349 54201 51351 59 355 63 355 61 351 67 351 51351 48790 65 354 71 355 72 350 73 350 48790 46490 72 356 74 355 69 349 73 345 46490 44398 80 358 74 354 74 347 71 342 44398 42478 84 356 72 354 72 342 72 342 42478 40699 83 353 75 350 70 339 77 338 40699 39048 78 350 73 346 70 335 76 331 39048 37522 72 348 70 343 67 333 69 327 37522 36110 69 347 67 342 64 334 61 330 36110 34770 70 345 65 341 63 336 58 333 34770 33427 68 342 64 341 62 335 58 333 33427 32055 66 341 63 336 62 333 60 331 32055 30658 65 341 62 331 61 330 60 330 30658 29222 63 340 60 327 58 328 59 329 29222 27731 60 338 57 327 55 328 58 329 27731 26182 58 338 57 328 52 329 57 332 26182 24573 59 340 58 329 50 327 56 336 24573 22905 57 342 58 331 46 317 54 340 22905 21182 52 344 51 333 40 312 53 341 21182 19398 48 344 44 334 40 313 51 338 19398 17550 42 340 41 331 38 315 47 331 17550 15671 36 335 34 328 36 319 42 324 15671 13864 33 330 31 325 37 321 38 321 13864 12220 30 324 30 319 39 318 36 324 12220 10757 24 314 29 315 39 313 37 325 10757 9455 19 305 30 310 35 314 39 328 9455 8295 22 301 32 306 34 319 40 332 8295 7262 22 297 33 307 34 320 41 333 7262 6343 19 282 34 304 33 317 40 331 6343 5529 18 269 30 304 32 316 38 328 5529 4809 19 268 27 305 30 315 38 325 4809 4164 19 266 25 301 30 312 39 320 4164 3592 19 254 22 289 30 305 38 314 3592 3113 19 233 21 277 29 294 34 308 3113 2745 15 214 16 269 26 289 29 304 2745 2491 13 211 9 244 19 279 22 299 2491 2337 12*209 8*242 16*276 19*298 2337 2249 9*208 6*239 8*271 11*296 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography