DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 8.2 - - 7.4 - - 11.6 - - 17.3 - - 16.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 41 - - 35 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 936 - - 898 - - 444 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 - - 2231 Hcrit BL Top 2247 - - 3131 - - 3093 - - 2639 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1119 - - 519 - - 464 - - 672 - - 633 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 139 - - 131 - - 60 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 077 - - 121 - - 140 - - 157 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -530 - - 203 - - 274 - - 150 - - -119 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2777 - - 2928 - - 2819 - - 2489 - - 2367 sfcLCL ODpotential -13269 - - -12474 - - -11253 - - -8383 - - -7670 ODpotential blCL 15516 - - 15605 - - 14346 - - 11022 - - 9918 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 8.2 - - 7.4 - - 11.6 - - 17.3 - - 16.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.4 - - 2.9 - - 7.5 - - 14.6 - - 14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 8.1 - - 7.0 - - 11.3 - - 17.3 - - 17.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.1 - - 2.4 - - 6.9 - - 14.5 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 41 - - 35 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 936 - - 898 - - 444 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95704 19 251 26 257 19 283 21 272 28 262 95704 88491 24 273 28 275 27 290 23 299 28 301 88491 82936 29 289 34 289 35 290 33 284 34 293 82936 78276 31 306 29 279 45 290 46 297 45 303 78276 74243 33 304 53 305 68 305 67 306 66 307 74243 70700 53 302 66 300 77 296 76 301 66 293 70700 67470 67 290 65 292 73 289 73 294 65 285 67470 64450 63 289 63 290 71 290 70 290 69 291 64450 61618 66 293 65 290 69 291 68 289 75 296 61618 58869 71 296 68 293 70 292 71 294 78 297 58869 56007 76 297 73 298 71 293 78 297 79 295 56007 53039 78 297 78 300 74 294 81 295 80 294 53039 50217 81 298 78 300 76 295 80 293 80 295 50217 47690 83 296 80 296 77 296 79 295 80 295 47690 45434 83 293 81 291 79 295 80 296 80 293 45434 43392 84 292 78 288 79 293 80 295 80 295 43392 41533 85 290 75 287 79 290 79 292 80 296 41533 39834 84 289 74 288 80 290 78 293 80 298 39834 38271 87 291 77 292 84 288 81 295 83 301 38271 36825 95 290 83 293 87 284 88 294 89 302 36825 35485 101 287 89 295 84 283 91 290 92 306 35485 34216 104 286 97 298 85 293 88 291 97 310 34216 32948 101 286 102 295 100 302 93 300 106 312 32948 31648 95 288 102 291 110 298 105 300 120 314 31648 30310 96 295 102 293 107 293 106 290 125 313 30310 28920 96 296 102 295 104 292 112 294 119 309 28920 27470 90 290 101 297 102 292 112 298 109 304 27470 25958 85 287 99 297 101 294 107 298 101 299 25958 24383 82 290 95 296 96 294 101 297 95 297 24383 22745 76 293 89 294 89 292 95 297 92 298 22745 21045 72 293 80 293 84 290 87 297 88 299 21045 19281 71 296 73 292 81 290 80 297 81 301 19281 17449 70 300 68 293 76 294 73 296 71 301 17449 15584 66 302 61 295 72 295 64 297 62 299 15584 13790 59 300 54 295 60 289 56 301 57 298 13790 12162 52 299 46 296 52 288 54 301 52 297 12162 10715 47 299 38 296 47 292 53 296 48 298 10715 9422 40 296 31 287 43 297 50 293 44 300 9422 8266 35 289 29 287 39 300 45 294 42 304 8266 7233 31 275 29 274 32 298 39 296 40 304 7233 6313 24 258 29 249 29 295 33 300 37 302 6313 5497 8 267 27 227 26 288 30 298 31 301 5497 4772 10 157 24 197 23 257 25 288 21 294 4772 4124 15 118 18 166 20 213 18 256 18 267 4124 3555 13 114 16*138 16*171 15 216 19 248 3555 3084 10 089 12*123 12*143 11 175 16 217 3084 2727 10 082 12 121 12 140 10*162 13 187 2727 2482 9 080 11 120 11 138 9*158 10 179 2482 2333 8 077 10 119 10 137 8 157 8*177 2333 2248 6*077 8 118 9 136 6 154 5*175 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography