DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -9.1 - - 2.7 - - -1.8 - - -1.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - -3 - - -10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 51 - - 52 - - 52 - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2230 - - 2231 - - 2230 - - 2230 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2246 - - 2247 - - 2247 - - 2246 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 261 - - 280 - - 245 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 167 - - 124 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -622 - - -602 - - -507 - - -469 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2868 - - 2849 - - 2754 - - 2716 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14322 - - -11870 - - -13482 - - -13893 ODpotential blCL - - - 16568 - - 14117 - - 15729 - - 16139 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 80 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -9.1 - - 2.7 - - -1.8 - - -1.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -13.3 - - -1.7 - - -5.8 - - -5.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -7.8 - - 3.2 - - 1.3 - - 1.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -11.7 - - -1.8 - - -2.8 - - -2.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -9 - - -3 - - -10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 51 - - 52 - - 52 - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 20 - - 29 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 29 354 30 344 26 331 39 329 96175 89163 18 335 24 329 26 334 32 320 89163 83629 30 333 23 325 29 340 29 315 83629 78937 30 318 24 312 37 329 34 319 78937 74855 22 308 24 308 42 317 34 319 74855 71220 33 308 32 308 38 302 31 316 71220 67892 45 306 38 301 35 296 37 314 67892 64796 52 301 44 299 41 301 52 308 64796 61902 52 289 57 299 51 296 59 301 61902 59085 52 291 62 291 58 294 63 296 59085 56143 61 292 60 285 63 290 64 291 56143 53091 62 288 52 285 62 294 60 291 53091 50190 63 292 66 292 70 296 58 291 50190 47600 68 295 70 298 80 291 65 290 47600 45307 68 298 82 296 82 285 69 289 45307 43243 76 298 91 288 79 286 72 288 43243 41363 91 292 95 284 77 290 77 288 41363 39640 95 288 94 283 83 293 85 286 39640 38050 92 287 92 285 92 292 92 285 38050 36577 88 290 94 288 99 291 100 283 36577 35210 87 292 99 290 106 289 107 283 35210 33908 90 294 104 291 113 287 116 282 33908 32603 95 295 107 290 118 286 122 279 32603 31264 103 295 107 289 120 284 124 279 31264 29899 110 295 104 290 117 284 122 280 29899 28497 111 295 99 290 111 283 113 279 28497 27049 106 295 94 290 104 282 99 277 27049 25548 96 295 91 290 95 282 86 274 25548 23987 87 295 85 294 82 282 78 269 23987 22367 82 297 74 296 67 282 66 271 22367 20695 74 302 65 295 54 282 49 277 20695 18966 61 299 59 287 46 283 41 270 18966 17175 47 294 53 279 39 285 31 260 17175 15357 35 294 45 281 34 272 21 251 15357 13607 33 285 37 268 33 254 18 239 13607 12012 31 274 34 249 34 242 19 228 12012 10590 28 260 31 238 34 235 20 229 10590 9323 27 248 25 233 30 232 25 222 9323 8192 24 243 18 238 25 223 24 214 8192 7179 15 257 13 252 22 211 21 203 7179 6276 12 279 11 260 18 201 21 192 6276 5476 12 288 10 253 16 194 19 185 5476 4765 12 264 10 238 17 186 17 186 4765 4124 15 242 17 210 19 186 19 199 4124 3553 23 228 21 211 21 195 24 207 3553 3077 28 224 26 211 24 197 21 201 3077 2716 21 209 23 198 20 178 17 155 2716 2474 14 158 12 171 16 143 20 134 2474 2329 13 161 11 170 12*143 16 132 2329 2246 7*158 8*167 5*124 8*128 2246 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography