DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.8 - - 33.2 - - 32.3 - - 28.3 - - 25.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - -14 - - -6 - - -11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1535 - - 2278 - - 2174 - - 2238 - - 1484 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 331 - - 344 - - 349 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -174 - - -379 - - -35 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 2249 - - 2423 - - 2628 - - 2283 sfcLCL ODpotential -2078 - - -835 - - -816 - - -1149 - - -1841 ODpotential blCL 4327 - - 3084 - - 3065 - - 3398 - - 4089 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.8 - - 33.2 - - 32.3 - - 28.3 - - 25.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 31.3 - - 29.8 - - 25.0 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 34.1 - - 32.8 - - 29.0 - - 26.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 31.2 - - 29.5 - - 24.7 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - -14 - - -6 - - -11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 88 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 92784 93 317 80 308 92 319 68 328 73 301 92784 86485 85 327 68 315 73 314 65 317 73 303 86485 81527 74 333 61 322 66 322 64 314 73 313 81527 77325 65 330 59 322 63 325 61 314 68 315 77325 73629 60 319 62 319 58 320 59 309 64 312 73629 70302 60 319 65 316 56 315 58 307 61 309 70302 67247 64 320 63 312 54 318 57 310 57 311 67247 64405 61 320 55 309 53 324 56 314 55 314 64405 61733 59 318 48 312 55 328 54 315 54 315 61733 59113 57 314 43 315 54 328 53 316 50 317 59113 56362 49 315 40 319 50 320 53 314 47 317 56362 53493 47 319 42 323 50 305 51 308 42 315 53493 50738 44 321 46 319 48 294 46 307 41 311 50738 48247 51 307 46 312 40 296 46 309 44 312 48247 46016 51 296 47 313 38 321 52 310 50 315 46016 44002 46 299 59 313 53 324 58 313 58 312 44002 42170 48 308 66 308 69 319 68 314 62 315 42170 40503 52 309 68 307 86 308 81 313 80 311 40503 38988 53 310 74 308 96 303 98 309 108 315 38988 37584 57 313 81 305 94 304 108 305 141 312 37584 36260 61 313 83 307 97 312 101 303 140 310 36260 34984 64 313 89 313 110 317 94 307 123 313 34984 33694 70 315 102 317 119 316 95 314 107 314 33694 32360 79 318 112 317 119 311 101 316 98 314 32360 30984 84 319 114 316 118 312 103 315 89 318 30984 29551 84 320 109 315 116 317 98 315 87 319 29551 28052 85 320 100 314 110 320 95 316 85 318 28052 26491 86 318 91 312 100 317 95 318 81 318 26491 24864 84 317 87 311 90 314 93 319 76 317 24864 23170 73 314 83 310 85 312 90 313 73 316 23170 21414 59 309 79 309 82 311 87 310 71 314 21414 19595 52 308 75 309 77 312 80 310 70 312 19595 17713 51 310 71 312 69 312 75 313 69 312 17713 15799 52 311 63 315 61 314 70 319 66 316 15799 13957 51 314 52 318 49 316 57 318 57 319 13957 12281 49 318 45 323 39 320 46 312 46 318 12281 10791 49 319 45 326 38 324 42 309 42 317 10791 9467 52 317 48 326 40 326 42 313 42 322 9467 8290 58 316 49 324 40 326 43 316 44 326 8290 7242 60 319 48 320 40 325 43 317 45 325 7242 6312 59 323 46 319 40 323 41 320 43 324 6312 5495 56 325 42 319 38 321 37 324 36 328 5495 4780 52 326 39 320 33 321 33 329 31 335 4780 4141 47 327 37 325 30 327 29 334 28 339 4141 3575 43 326 34 330 26 336 25 340 24 341 3575 3102 39 324 30 332 21 341 21 345 20 339 3102 2739 34 321 25 333 18 343 19 348 16 333 2739 2489 27 319 21 333 16 344 16 349 13 328 2489 2336 24 319 18 332 14 344 14*349 11 323 2336 2248 16*317 12*331 10*344 10*349 6*313 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography