DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.3 - - 65.3 - - 72.9 - - 72.3 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 166 - - 171 - - -4 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 196 - - 1153 - - 2880 - - 2873 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit 2234 - - 2536 - - 3800 - - 2235 - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top 2391 - - 3348 - - 5075 - - 5068 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 289 - - 646 - - 1152 - - 1467 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* 60 - - 237 - - 326 - - 81 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 14 - - 17 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 168 - - 164 - - 169 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1335 - - -4007 - - -4045 - - -3965 - - -4300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3726 - - 7355 - - 9121 - - 9034 - - 6551 sfcLCL ODpotential -11706 - - -12082 - - -10770 - - -10998 - - -13282 ODpotential blCL 14097 - - 15430 - - 15845 - - 16066 - - 15533 blCL maxRH 76 - - 66 - - 72 - - 73 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.3 - - 65.3 - - 72.9 - - 72.3 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.1 - - 41.3 - - 41.0 - - 40.8 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 64.1 - - 71.7 - - 72.3 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.1 - - 40.9 - - 40.5 - - 40.4 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 166 - - 171 - - -4 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 196 - - 1153 - - 2880 - - 2873 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97989 9 319 8 330 8 336 10 314 9 332 97989 90805 11 027 7 056 2 094 5 342 10 002 90805 85230 10 062 6 069 6 093 8 347 10 056 85230 80575 8 060 7 026 10 079 6 335 11 044 80575 76557 10 052 10 014 14 054 1 082 12 022 76557 72994 8 041 7 043 11 036 7 089 8 026 72994 69754 3 070 6 095 3 027 8 072 6 080 69754 66762 4 073 9 127 4 200 4 068 9 112 66762 63973 3 322 8 129 9 201 2 241 5 130 63973 61265 3 255 3 195 10 188 10 205 8 229 61265 58446 7 301 6 218 8 231 9 211 10 235 58446 55532 5 309 5 226 10 250 7 270 6 252 55532 52770 13 333 4 359 4 295 5 318 2 246 52770 50300 12 344 10 021 6 012 6 353 3 045 50300 48091 19 009 17 029 12 036 6 029 3 115 48091 46093 22 014 17 031 13 035 8 037 5 101 46093 44267 18 024 12 039 9 043 6 036 2 071 44267 42584 15 026 11 038 7 041 4 026 1 334 42584 41021 14 019 12 028 8 027 3 016 1 051 41021 39557 16 021 13 027 9 025 3 017 2 076 39557 38180 18 036 14 033 11 033 4 034 3 056 38180 36855 18 041 15 030 13 027 6 032 5 027 36855 35513 16 035 15 026 14 022 9 037 7 032 35513 34121 16 027 16 028 14 036 13 038 10 039 34121 32685 17 020 18 028 14 034 14 035 12 039 32685 31191 17 015 19 027 16 026 14 039 13 039 31191 29625 19 010 18 026 15 024 12 040 12 043 29625 27990 21 008 18 023 14 030 10 045 10 052 27990 26284 20 010 19 019 16 031 8 062 7 062 26284 24508 16 020 17 015 15 027 7 079 4 096 24508 22668 12 029 14 014 11 023 6 085 4 119 22668 20755 10 033 10 020 8 020 5 063 4 093 20755 18763 9 031 7 022 6 015 6 025 5 066 18763 16735 5 030 5 036 2 007 4 358 5 044 16735 14778 3 347 4 023 2 358 2 347 2 027 14778 12996 3 306 4 024 1 040 1 240 1 251 12996 11411 2 240 1 339 1 168 3 231 2 202 11411 10002 3 163 3 246 2 193 4 191 7 193 10002 8748 4 137 5 214 5 195 7 188 10 193 8748 7633 3 152 7 194 9 187 11 193 11 202 7633 6644 6 183 10 174 13 180 16 191 15 205 6644 5771 10 175 13 180 17*177 19*177 20 193 5771 5000 11 186 17 179 18*167 19*173 24 182 5000 4309 13 187 19 179 18 166 19 171 26 177 4309 3694 16 188 19*175 18 164 19 170 28 173 3694 3179 21 186 15*168 18 163 18 168 28 170 3179 2783 22 181 15 168 17 163 17 167 26 166 2783 2511 15*171 14 167 16 162 16 166 21 160 2511 2346 14*170 13 167 15 162 14 165 18*158 2346 2251 9 168 11 166 13 161 10 164 8*154 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography