DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 70.9 - - 70.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 165 - - 9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1133 - - 2229 - - 2232 - - 56 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2545 - - 3314 - - 2235 - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3328 - - 4424 - - 4427 - - 2251 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 520 - - 951 - - 1172 - - 77 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 295 - - 116 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 25 - - 23 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 318 - - 110 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2857 - - -3128 - - -2924 - - -2661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6186 - - 7553 - - 7351 - - 4913 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7340 - - -5728 - - -5613 - - -8343 ODpotential blCL - - - 10668 - - 10152 - - 10040 - - 10594 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 63 - - 66 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 70.9 - - 70.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 45.7 - - 46.6 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 69.6 - - 70.8 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 45.4 - - 46.3 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 165 - - 9 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1133 - - 2229 - - 2232 - - 56 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97936 27 312 15 324 17 277 24 311 97936 90713 15 310 11 294 18 305 19 317 90713 85119 14 286 17 299 13 329 6 275 85119 80450 9 258 19 289 13 316 6 269 80450 76388 5 285 16 273 16 290 8 282 76388 72782 11 282 15 284 16 276 12 257 72782 69509 13 281 16 279 15 271 16 240 69509 66485 15 271 18 261 21 278 16 267 66485 63674 18 280 19 266 24 275 22 281 63674 60959 20 274 23 272 22 265 24 276 60959 58131 22 276 23 277 21 267 22 270 58131 55202 28 287 28 287 28 275 31 282 55202 52428 31 288 30 286 34 273 36 277 52428 49945 28 286 31 294 36 281 34 276 49945 47722 33 295 40 293 41 283 37 283 47722 45712 41 301 40 292 42 283 43 282 45712 43880 47 311 39 301 42 286 42 282 43880 42197 48 316 43 304 44 289 43 285 42197 40638 45 321 42 305 45 289 47 284 40638 39183 44 324 40 306 43 288 47 278 39183 37816 41 323 39 307 40 291 45 276 37816 36499 37 319 38 308 40 295 44 279 36499 35164 39 317 35 307 38 298 43 286 35164 33781 38 317 34 306 35 301 40 290 33781 32354 33 317 32 306 31 301 36 289 32354 30869 28 317 28 304 29 302 30 285 30869 29313 21 318 25 298 29 304 26 283 29313 27688 18 308 22 289 24 298 25 285 27688 25995 17 292 23 284 22 289 23 281 25995 24236 20 299 23 284 22 283 23 275 24236 22413 20 312 21 288 23 286 22 281 22413 20522 15 315 20 290 22 291 20 288 20522 18561 19 296 21 293 21 291 18 291 18561 16569 19 297 16 292 20 288 17 288 16569 14653 17 295 12 290 18 285 16 286 14653 12909 11 288 9 274 11 274 13 281 12909 11356 6 280 10 264 9 263 12 257 11356 9972 3 280 10 270 11 269 11 247 9972 8736 3 300 10 273 9 269 8 244 8736 7632 2 308 7 275 6 277 7 245 7632 6649 4 288 6 289 4 288 7 247 6649 5778 5 278 7 316 1 342 6 242 5778 5006 5 261 5*323 1*088 7 242 5006 4313 5 224 3*317 1*113 7 235 4313 3698 4*204 2 316 1 108 6 224 3698 3183 3*200 2 318 1 109 5 212 3183 2786 3 201 2 319 1 110 5 202 2786 2513 3 200 2 323 1 110 4 193 2513 2346 3 200 2 321 1 105 4 189 2346 2251 3 199 2 323 1 107 4*193 2251 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography