DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.0 - - 32.0 - - 31.9 - - 30.2 - - 21.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 0 - - 0 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 839 - - 1295 - - 1472 - - 2197 - - 1491 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 301 - - 309 - - 346 - - 342 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2248 sfcLCL ODpotential -1558 - - -324 - - -166 - - -401 - - -1098 ODpotential blCL 3807 - - 2573 - - 2415 - - 2650 - - 3346 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.0 - - 32.0 - - 31.9 - - 30.2 - - 21.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 31.8 - - 31.5 - - 29.0 - - 19.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.7 - - 32.1 - - 31.9 - - 30.4 - - 21.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.1 - - 31.8 - - 31.4 - - 28.9 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 0 - - 0 - - -4 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97585 45 076 47 073 69 087 68 087 69 084 97585 90185 42 063 36 055 42 061 51 079 52 078 90185 84405 38 042 32 042 29 039 38 041 46 040 84405 79663 40 026 30 028 28 023 34 020 34 013 79663 75587 39 014 35 016 27 002 30 000 38 002 75587 71960 42 007 39 012 28 355 34 349 43 343 71960 68662 43 352 42 002 29 346 35 339 41 330 68662 65610 47 343 46 350 38 346 41 339 46 328 65610 62749 50 332 50 331 54 341 54 340 60 327 62749 59946 50 329 48 323 65 333 65 327 64 318 59946 57007 53 328 57 328 67 325 64 313 67 312 57007 53954 61 331 66 327 70 321 68 311 74 311 53954 51045 67 328 74 325 74 319 75 314 79 314 51045 48433 73 323 84 322 82 320 82 316 84 315 48433 46097 76 321 88 320 88 322 88 319 85 316 46097 43984 78 323 86 320 90 322 92 319 84 319 43984 42054 82 324 85 322 90 322 94 318 84 321 42054 40274 86 324 85 322 90 323 92 318 86 323 40274 38624 88 325 86 323 88 323 88 319 84 322 38624 37089 88 326 85 325 85 323 83 319 77 321 37089 35662 88 325 83 325 80 323 79 319 71 320 35662 34302 87 323 82 324 77 323 75 320 68 322 34302 32943 83 322 80 322 75 323 71 320 68 325 32943 31557 75 322 74 320 72 322 68 320 67 326 31557 30152 67 321 66 320 66 322 65 320 66 326 30152 28719 64 317 59 321 58 321 59 320 60 325 28719 27246 58 311 49 321 51 320 51 320 51 323 27246 25729 49 304 44 316 38 323 42 321 46 324 25729 24160 39 290 33 314 28 330 32 323 38 319 24160 22543 38 297 29 312 24 324 32 321 34 316 22543 20871 41 307 31 307 25 319 32 318 34 319 20871 19132 43 314 34 312 24 317 30 325 33 322 19132 17319 42 317 38 317 24 319 33 333 35 324 17319 15467 41 319 40 315 28 322 35 334 40 329 15467 13679 38 319 34 314 33 326 36 332 42 331 13679 12050 37 320 31 319 36 325 35 333 41 331 12050 10600 37 327 33 320 37 322 34 333 39 333 10600 9313 37 331 32 318 33 319 34 334 38 336 9313 8168 34 329 30 316 31 321 34 335 36 335 8168 7149 30 326 28 317 29 323 35 337 33 337 7149 6246 28 329 25 315 29 322 34 342 30 345 6246 5451 25 332 23 313 29 319 31 342 29 350 5451 4747 22 331 21 316 27 317 30 340 29 346 4747 4116 18 321 20 316 24 318 28 337 25 349 4116 3558 17 320 16 314 19 318 24 336 21 001 3558 3092 19 320 12 314 13 320 19 339 21 000 3092 2732 18 318 9 317 9 329 17 341 19 358 2732 2485 13 310 6 314 6 337 15 342 15 356 2485 2334 10*308 5*314 5*340 13*342 12 355 2334 2248 5*301 2*309 4*346 10*342 7*353 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography