DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.2 - - 32.8 - - 29.2 - - 21.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - -8 - - -18 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 - - 2232 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2248 - - 2249 - - 2249 - - 2248 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 52 - - 316 - - 129 - - 46 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 19 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 231 - - 210 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -470 - - -1332 - - -555 - - -741 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2718 - - 3582 - - 2804 - - 2990 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11109 - - -7335 - - -8241 - - -10011 ODpotential blCL - - - 13357 - - 9584 - - 10490 - - 12259 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 75 - - 68 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.2 - - 32.8 - - 29.2 - - 21.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.6 - - 25.3 - - 25.0 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.5 - - 34.6 - - 32.4 - - 26.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.1 - - 24.1 - - 24.7 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - -8 - - -18 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 53 - - 54 - - 54 - - 53 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97257 32 073 31 081 27 052 37 067 97257 90074 30 061 25 072 19 060 26 065 90074 84434 23 063 19 063 17 062 21 061 84434 79695 22 056 12 054 12 061 16 041 79695 75588 16 053 10 034 10 068 13 035 75588 71932 8 054 13 019 7 045 9 035 71932 68603 2 075 9 353 9 025 5 029 68603 65521 5 057 8 324 9 344 9 011 65521 62645 5 021 6 297 6 318 7 315 62645 59863 8 327 8 331 9 331 6 315 59863 56966 13 288 10 306 12 285 12 285 56966 53967 17 299 12 313 9 303 11 302 53967 51113 25 299 23 307 19 310 19 307 51113 48549 25 289 27 279 23 293 23 295 48549 46251 23 291 22 288 24 290 25 284 46251 44166 28 311 25 297 26 289 27 274 44166 42269 36 301 29 286 31 293 21 277 42269 40526 37 295 38 290 39 292 25 294 40526 38917 50 293 46 288 43 286 39 293 38917 37437 45 285 47 293 45 273 50 288 37437 36076 36 296 48 301 42 286 57 282 36076 34799 56 306 54 300 50 291 60 277 34799 33528 61 298 51 296 53 289 59 274 33528 32222 57 291 49 296 50 288 58 271 32222 30875 56 289 47 298 48 288 58 269 30875 29471 56 291 47 298 47 287 57 268 29471 28000 55 294 45 298 45 285 55 268 28000 26463 51 296 42 298 43 283 52 268 26463 24860 47 296 39 294 42 281 50 268 24860 23192 44 294 38 288 41 279 47 268 23192 21463 39 290 36 289 41 280 43 268 21463 19666 37 286 31 288 38 282 38 269 19666 17798 35 291 28 293 33 284 34 268 17798 15897 29 291 25 307 25 284 30 264 15897 14066 26 293 25 316 23 296 29 264 14066 12401 26 306 30 314 24 301 29 271 12401 10919 28 313 35 302 25 302 28 282 10919 9598 27 314 34 291 26 304 28 292 9598 8420 27 311 31 283 25 308 29 298 8420 7368 27 306 24 277 23 306 29 302 7368 6431 26 302 21 278 21 289 25 304 6431 5602 24 300 21 281 19 278 20 296 5602 4866 20 299 22 271 18 272 18 274 4866 4205 16 303 22 257 18 256 21 265 4205 3618 13 308 22 248 16 240 23 254 3618 3127 13 308 24 240 19 228 21 238 3127 2751 13 296 24 237 20 226 21 234 2751 2492 14 272 18 235 19 223 20 235 2492 2336 12*252 14*233 14*218 16 230 2336 2248 5*229 9*231 7*210 7*216 2248 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography