DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 77.0 - - 77.2 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 102 - - -7 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1505 - - 2896 - - 1124 - - 57 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2514 - - 3571 - - 2236 - - 2235 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3700 - - 5091 - - 3319 - - 2252 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 557 - - 2683 - - 4997 - - 1533 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 283 - - 85 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 165 - - 108 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2537 - - -2714 - - -3915 - - -1983 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6238 - - 7805 - - 7234 - - 4236 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6859 - - -5601 - - -6757 - - -5860 ODpotential blCL - - - 10559 - - 10692 - - 10076 - - 8112 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 93 - - 90 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 280 - - 870 - - 1270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 77.0 - - 77.2 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 50.2 - - 52.9 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 76.2 - - 77.4 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 49.3 - - 52.1 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 102 - - -7 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1505 - - 2896 - - 1124 - - 57 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 73 - - 60 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99041 6 219 8 170 6 147 4 243 99041 91664 7 175 5 091 3 074 3 026 91664 85940 9 133 2 130 5 029 3 105 85940 81191 7 167 7 226 8 330 5 038 81191 77079 10 154 10 220 9 272 6 323 77079 73415 7 150 9 197 11 230 10 260 73415 70078 6 229 8 212 10 208 11 218 70078 66990 18 232 9 242 10 211 12 216 66990 64115 18 210 18 233 16 220 18 228 64115 61321 17 224 21 215 23 216 22 221 61321 58392 21 227 25 225 22 212 19 212 58392 55339 28 212 27 213 24 233 18 228 55339 52428 27 201 29 211 29 224 19 226 52428 49821 31 207 36 207 34 212 25 222 49821 47502 33 199 35 198 31 199 28 197 47502 45421 27 187 30 198 26 194 24 189 45421 43528 28 196 32 200 27 194 28 196 43528 41793 35 199 34 192 33 194 31 184 41793 40212 43 187 34 186 40 185 36 175 40212 38768 37 178 40 178 41 175 39 175 38768 37425 36 181 40 174 38 172 43 168 37425 36131 39 182 38 169 37 176 40 168 36131 34814 37 184 37 166 37 180 39 170 34814 33450 35 177 33 162 38 183 39 170 33450 32040 35 178 34 165 37 184 39 170 32040 30574 33 182 32 175 35 183 34 172 30574 29042 29 185 31 187 34 182 28 176 29042 27445 23 182 29 192 30 178 25 179 27445 25781 22 184 28 189 26 180 24 176 25781 24051 20 197 28 184 24 182 20 180 24051 22259 21 198 26 187 25 172 17 191 22259 20401 23 192 28 190 18 177 17 170 20401 18475 23 177 32 183 17 189 16 148 18475 16518 19 168 28 166 18 182 18 144 16518 14632 17 181 20 147 19 173 18 139 14632 12910 19 189 15 143 18 172 14 142 12910 11368 22 188 15 157 13 160 12 156 11368 9991 24 185 16 168 10 165 15 176 9991 8758 25 177 16 189 9 171 18 183 8758 7656 27 168 13 209 12 148 16 175 7656 6673 29 164 11 211 16 133 15 161 6673 5800 28 163 11*187 17 129 18 147 5800 5024 23 164 11*166 18 122 24 136 5024 4327 17*167 11 164 18 118 29 130 4327 3709 10*163 11 165 18*114 30 126 3709 3190 8 160 11 166 18*111 29 120 3190 2790 8 161 11 166 17 109 25 111 2790 2515 7 160 10 167 16 107 19 103 2515 2348 7 160 9 167 14 106 16*101 2348 2252 6 160 8 166 11 104 9*097 2252 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography