DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 47.4 - - 50.9 - - 46.0 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 113 - - 114 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 2208 - - 3322 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 3078 - - 3870 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 2249 - - 4403 - - 5517 - - 2250 - - 2249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 294 - - 1466 - - 1860 - - 4367 - - 54 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 258 - - 296 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 18 - - 16 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 269 - - 290 - - 279 - - 258 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1666 - - -2305 - - -1910 - - -4830 - - -2891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3915 - - 6708 - - 7427 - - 7080 - - 5140 sfcLCL ODpotential -6587 - - -5079 - - -3832 - - -7878 - - -8251 ODpotential blCL 8836 - - 9482 - - 9349 - - 10128 - - 10500 blCL maxRH 62 - - 64 - - 77 - - 61 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 47.4 - - 50.9 - - 46.0 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 26.0 - - 26.2 - - 23.2 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.8 - - 46.6 - - 50.1 - - 48.2 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 25.9 - - 26.0 - - 23.0 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 113 - - 114 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 2208 - - 3322 - - 55 - - 54 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97294 19 224 13 248 23 262 25 254 28 277 97294 90070 12 240 9 216 17 240 18 263 24 289 90070 84468 4 348 8 215 9 248 17 264 21 286 84468 79783 13 261 11 272 10 267 11 249 17 265 79783 75691 25 226 16 310 11 274 14 240 11 234 75691 72057 18 240 19 255 28 252 25 260 24 272 72057 68786 17 256 16 217 21 237 20 257 18 277 68786 65783 18 271 7 332 5 213 10 252 23 275 65783 62974 33 281 32 290 27 297 21 294 18 279 62974 60253 42 270 44 274 34 292 31 297 18 305 60253 57390 37 269 39 276 47 288 44 291 32 295 57390 54389 42 282 49 277 51 281 46 279 43 276 54389 51533 50 281 52 276 53 278 50 275 51 276 51533 48980 53 279 52 275 54 277 53 278 51 279 48980 46703 55 282 51 277 52 280 54 280 52 281 46703 44643 58 284 51 282 56 286 58 283 55 280 44643 42762 60 285 55 288 65 288 64 284 57 283 42762 41029 64 288 64 290 72 282 67 282 63 279 41029 39435 71 289 71 289 69 273 64 280 64 276 39435 37970 76 287 73 288 60 276 60 282 63 280 37970 36618 76 286 71 294 58 292 68 290 69 281 36618 35332 76 287 77 302 78 299 79 289 65 277 35332 34043 76 288 82 302 90 292 79 285 61 277 34043 32712 76 288 79 301 83 292 67 286 62 275 32712 31336 75 288 76 302 80 302 67 292 62 274 31336 29901 74 288 76 303 77 304 66 293 61 272 29901 28394 71 290 72 302 74 298 63 290 60 269 28394 26817 67 292 66 299 72 296 61 287 59 267 26817 25168 66 295 64 296 66 296 58 282 57 268 25168 23453 66 299 62 296 56 294 54 280 54 271 23453 21677 57 301 58 297 52 294 51 284 50 274 21677 19838 43 294 47 299 50 293 48 288 44 279 19838 17930 35 292 36 295 45 292 45 291 37 285 17930 15994 34 298 30 287 39 294 41 292 36 284 15994 14137 33 300 27 284 38 292 38 294 36 283 14137 12457 31 302 27 286 36 285 34 295 31 286 12457 10966 31 304 29 289 31 285 30 292 27 287 10966 9640 31 304 31 291 27 284 27 289 24 285 9640 8455 32 303 31 290 25 283 24 284 20 284 8455 7398 32 305 29 289 25 292 22 278 16 278 7398 6458 30 309 24 290 24 293 20 270 15 268 6458 5627 28 315 22 299 19*282 19 268 16 258 5627 4888 28 321 22*299 18*280 18 268 15 257 4888 4224 31 319 21*295 18 279 17 268 13 262 4224 3635 32 311 19 291 17 279 16 269 11 269 3635 3141 30 300 19 290 17 279 15 269 9 276 3141 2761 26 293 18 289 16 279 14 268 8 278 2761 2499 18 281 17 288 15 278 12 266 7 271 2499 2340 15 278 15 288 14 278 9*263 5 248 2340 2249 7*269 12 288 12 278 5*258 4*235 2249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography