DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.9 - - 36.9 - - 38.5 - - 35.5 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -56 - - -20 - - -25 - - -76 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 247 - - 612 - - 894 - - 175 - - 174 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 48 - - 44 - - 40 - - 40 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 229 - - 223 - - 222 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -9 - - -8 - - -13 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -439 - - -311 - - -267 - - -487 - - -471 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7010 - - 6882 - - 6837 - - 7057 - - 7041 sfcLCL ODpotential -7802 - - -6063 - - -5084 - - -6613 - - -7395 ODpotential blCL 14372 - - 12633 - - 11654 - - 13183 - - 13965 blCL maxRH 75 - - 72 - - 89 - - 88 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.9 - - 36.9 - - 38.5 - - 35.5 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 29.9 - - 31.6 - - 27.8 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.5 - - 38.6 - - 40.4 - - 39.1 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 29.0 - - 30.4 - - 27.0 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -56 - - -20 - - -25 - - -76 - - -67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 57 - - 54 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96053 22 351 31 331 31 353 31 355 36 348 96053 89127 29 010 33 341 32 350 29 358 32 359 89127 83662 35 359 25 348 31 355 33 357 32 359 83662 79073 30 003 20 353 24 352 32 342 33 001 79073 75112 23 009 16 360 11 014 20 348 33 001 75112 71602 24 349 18 335 12 344 13 004 29 006 71602 68400 31 346 12 310 21 320 19 354 22 337 68400 65436 23 341 10 236 24 274 19 291 17 264 65436 62671 25 334 11 199 23 268 20 298 29 345 62671 60046 30 317 28 323 19 317 30 333 42 330 60046 57355 27 286 29 297 25 268 32 318 47 319 57355 54541 20 260 29 299 17 290 16 308 51 314 54541 51840 14 189 47 312 32 325 33 334 51 310 51840 49407 14 265 52 311 55 314 60 322 53 310 49407 47224 64 317 54 303 58 304 70 317 60 316 47224 45238 76 311 58 300 62 303 79 311 71 321 45238 43418 80 307 66 304 70 305 89 304 81 317 43418 41749 83 306 76 305 79 304 93 299 89 308 41749 40214 85 305 82 305 84 302 90 298 94 304 40214 38792 83 307 85 305 82 303 83 301 93 303 38792 37461 81 309 84 306 80 306 78 303 88 305 37461 36188 81 310 78 305 80 307 76 305 83 306 36188 34911 81 308 74 304 80 308 74 306 79 307 34911 33603 79 306 74 305 80 307 73 307 76 307 33603 32269 76 304 75 306 80 307 72 308 74 309 32269 30901 74 304 75 306 79 307 71 309 73 311 30901 29489 73 305 75 305 80 307 71 309 73 314 29489 28039 74 306 75 304 80 307 71 310 73 317 28039 26554 74 308 74 305 80 307 71 310 72 319 26554 25038 72 308 72 305 78 307 70 312 71 319 25038 23495 69 308 70 306 75 308 69 314 69 319 23495 21918 65 306 66 306 72 309 69 317 66 319 21918 20302 62 303 63 305 68 309 68 320 62 319 20302 18674 58 301 60 303 63 310 68 322 58 318 18674 17115 54 300 57 301 57 310 65 322 55 317 17115 15698 51 300 53 300 52 310 62 321 51 315 15698 14432 48 302 48 299 48 310 56 320 47 314 14432 13297 45 303 44 299 44 309 49 319 43 313 13297 12274 41 304 40 299 40 309 43 316 39 314 12274 11350 37 303 36 300 36 307 38 312 34 314 11350 10515 31 300 32 300 32 305 34 307 30 310 10515 9764 25 292 28 296 29 298 30 299 27 302 9764 9086 21 283 25 288 28 286 28 287 26 293 9086 8467 23 276 25 278 28 274 29 276 26 285 8467 7908 29 265 27 266 27 260 31 264 29 276 7908 7436 32 253 27 253 24 248 31 252 29 263 7436 7069 28 241 22 242 20 241 28 243 26 247 7069 6814 21 232 18 236 16 236 23 237 21 235 6814 6659 14*221 14*232 13*233 17*232 15*225 6659 6570 7*213 7*229 6*223 8*222 7*213 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography