DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.8 - - 82.0 - - 85.4 - - - - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 350 - - 331 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1208 - - 5909 - - 10746 - - - - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6556 - - 10505 - - 14380 - - - - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 7437 - - 12138 - - 16975 - - - - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3044 - - 5791 - - 3268 - - - - - 9938 Hgt.Variab. W* 201 - - 545 - - 655 - - - - - 7 W* B/S 6 - - 21 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 249 - - 276 - - - - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 20 - - 17 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4491 - - -1117 - - 2177 - - - - - -7655 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11928 - - 13256 - - 14798 - - - - - 14228 sfcLCL ODpotential -7701 - - -3401 - - -54 - - - - - -10948 ODpotential blCL 15138 - - 15539 - - 17029 - - - - - 17520 blCL maxRH 53 - - 57 - - 57 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE 330 - - 430 - - 380 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 76.8 - - 82.0 - - 85.4 - - - - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.1 - - 46.3 - - 42.9 - - - - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.7 - - 79.2 - - 82.9 - - - - - 80.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.4 - - 45.5 - - 42.0 - - - - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 350 - - 331 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1208 - - 5909 - - 10746 - - - - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99720 33 095 31 117 22 082 27 088 99720 92153 28 098 28 104 26 110 25 104 92153 86336 27 100 26 103 23 104 25 090 86336 81523 24 097 22 103 21 085 23 080 81523 77375 22 099 23 096 17 098 20 082 77375 73709 19 087 25 088 23 117 18 079 73709 70393 14 108 17 086 20 108 11 082 70393 67363 16 127 7 089 15 065 9 114 67363 64568 17 107 8 132 3 043 12 113 64568 61875 3 112 2 183 2 222 3 023 61875 59092 13 236 16 226 13 274 5 248 59092 56239 24 237 22 240 27 251 20 281 56239 53545 29 244 32 244 35 243 36 271 53545 51135 33 253 37 247 42 242 44 260 51135 48978 42 254 46 256 43 244 50 251 48978 47008 47 251 55 257 54 262 51 261 47008 45192 52 257 61 259 61 264 52 266 45192 43504 53 254 62 252 59 263 52 265 43504 41917 52 250 60 248 59 268 54 268 41917 40418 58 263 59 263 62 273 57 272 40418 39006 64 271 65 274 62 271 59 274 39006 37654 63 268 63 269 60 267 60 274 37654 36301 59 256 59 258 59 259 59 273 36301 34919 58 247 57 252 58 255 55 270 34919 33512 61 251 57 246 59 257 53 265 33512 32068 61 256 60 251 59 259 54 267 32068 30579 56 260 56 259 56 259 54 269 30579 29056 47 261 46 261 48 260 50 267 29056 27503 43 259 42 260 40 262 46 264 27503 25925 39 260 41 263 35 261 41 265 25925 24321 33 263 40 267 34 264 39 265 24321 22683 27 267 37 265 33 265 37 263 22683 21006 23 276 31 266 29 262 33 269 21006 19320 22 283 26 268 23 264 27 278 19320 17706 21 283 23 273 18*268 22 281 17706 16235 19 282 21 271 13*267 18 280 16235 14916 16 278 19 264 12 266 15 277 14916 13726 16 272 17 263 12 266 12 272 13726 12649 13 270 11*259 10 267 10 267 12649 11672 11 265 7*248 9 272 8 262 11672 10787 11 258 6 244 8 276 6 254 10787 9988 11 251 5 243 8 282 4 243 9988 9267 11 243 5 245 8 286 3 226 9267 8607 11 235 4 249 8 289 3 206 8607 8012 11 222 4 253 8 293 3 192 8012 7506 10*211 3 260 8 295 3 184 7506 7112 8*209 3 266 8 297 2 175 7112 6837 6 208 3 270 8 299 2 166 6837 6670 5 210 3 271 8 299 2 156 6670 6572 4 211 2 274 7 300 3*144 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography