DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.4 - - 37.5 - - 41.1 - - 33.1 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - -5 - - 4 - - -21 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 873 - - 1889 - - 229 - - 367 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 53 - - 68 - - 27 - - 36 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 188 - - 223 - - 196 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -7 - - -4 - - -10 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3032 - - -2639 - - -2502 - - -761 - - -1136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9602 - - 9210 - - 9072 - - 7332 - - 7706 sfcLCL ODpotential -14152 - - -10439 - - -8825 - - -8762 - - -9414 ODpotential blCL 20721 - - 17009 - - 15395 - - 15332 - - 15984 blCL maxRH 59 - - 57 - - 68 - - 88 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.4 - - 37.5 - - 41.1 - - 33.1 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.3 - - 20.6 - - 24.6 - - 24.4 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.5 - - 37.6 - - 40.8 - - 35.6 - - 35.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.3 - - 19.5 - - 23.5 - - 23.2 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - -5 - - 4 - - -21 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 51 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96232 34 027 28 022 17 023 26 022 27 011 96232 89363 27 355 26 354 22 024 15 347 22 344 89363 83979 27 347 21 353 21 005 18 340 30 316 83979 79480 22 342 21 336 26 337 19 328 21 294 79480 75553 18 327 14 351 22 330 15 345 9 308 75553 72021 13 318 20 338 21 313 26 326 18 332 72021 68810 12 328 14 295 23 280 31 299 23 308 68810 65868 8 076 3 279 13 275 20 300 22 282 65868 63153 38 343 29 337 28 337 17 318 14 274 63153 60523 40 313 43 316 35 308 37 294 40 298 60523 57782 34 305 33 302 36 302 42 294 54 283 57782 54948 33 312 28 314 42 304 51 292 56 284 54948 52241 34 318 45 315 45 296 53 290 53 291 52241 49793 49 320 50 303 43 295 51 291 50 293 49793 47568 48 312 43 300 42 305 50 295 56 295 47568 45528 38 312 36 313 50 311 52 296 64 291 45528 43654 41 325 42 323 52 306 53 293 62 290 43654 41924 47 324 56 315 47 295 52 291 62 292 41924 40329 42 326 55 302 40 292 53 291 67 290 40329 38856 35 341 35 296 46 299 54 290 67 282 38856 37499 42 357 22 329 54 304 54 287 59 275 37499 36216 47 356 40 329 56 306 53 282 55 272 36216 34938 46 357 50 329 48 308 52 280 54 269 34938 33633 42 005 41 329 36 300 44 277 53 265 33633 32305 37 352 30 314 32 290 37 269 50 265 32305 30941 24 340 22 303 24 288 38 268 49 268 30941 29532 17 326 20 308 24 279 40 270 51 273 29532 28082 20 316 26 309 29 281 40 273 52 278 28082 26593 21 303 30 304 32 286 38 277 49 281 26593 25070 21 286 28 289 33 287 36 280 45 283 25070 23516 24 273 29 286 35 288 34 284 43 284 23516 21929 30 269 30 288 36 289 33 290 42 287 21929 20304 30 270 31 285 35 288 36 293 37 289 20304 18669 29 277 33 282 33 286 37 291 34 292 18669 17105 27 283 33 281 34 285 36 288 34 296 17105 15683 25 285 29 280 35 281 34 284 33 299 15683 14414 22 285 25 276 35 278 31 282 31 302 14414 13275 19 282 24 272 32 277 30 286 31 304 13275 12248 16 277 22 269 30 273 30 292 30 302 12248 11321 14 270 20 263 29 270 30 295 29 300 11321 10484 12 262 18 256 27 268 28 291 26 293 10484 9734 11 252 18 250 25 264 25 282 21 282 9734 9060 11 243 18 246 22 257 23 272 18 272 9060 8446 12 235 18 240 19 249 22 259 16 262 8446 7894 12 233 17 235 15 240 19 245 16 249 7894 7427 12 229 15 228 12 232 15 230 16 238 7427 7064 11 219 12 217 10 228 13 213 14 224 7064 6812 9 204 8 203 8 226 11 195 12 206 6812 6658 7*197 6*194 7*226 8*185 9*192 6658 6570 6*198 4*188 5*223 4*196 6*186 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography