DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.8 - - 26.7 - - 33.0 - - 29.0 - - 24.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -10 - - 5 - - -4 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 230 - - 181 - - 604 - - 267 - - 56 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 24 - - 55 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 234 - - 176 - - 187 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -8 - - -4 - - -7 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1573 - - -1348 - - -630 - - -617 - - -2708 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8142 - - 7917 - - 7200 - - 7188 - - 9278 sfcLCL ODpotential -13522 - - -12870 - - -10326 - - -12341 - - -15045 ODpotential blCL 20091 - - 19439 - - 16895 - - 18911 - - 21614 blCL maxRH 58 - - 48 - - 65 - - 50 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.8 - - 26.7 - - 33.0 - - 29.0 - - 24.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.2 - - 15.9 - - 25.0 - - 21.2 - - 8.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.4 - - 29.9 - - 33.2 - - 33.4 - - 30.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.2 - - 16.0 - - 24.0 - - 21.1 - - 10.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -10 - - 5 - - -4 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96349 26 069 16 049 30 035 26 048 34 057 96349 89520 20 080 11 069 19 047 25 051 24 055 89520 84149 22 083 12 076 13 082 19 060 20 072 84149 79600 16 075 16 087 10 103 12 052 18 053 79600 75629 14 053 20 066 11 102 5 066 18 037 75629 72091 16 025 16 077 10 074 9 048 18 038 72091 68890 18 010 15 053 11 083 5 020 14 044 68890 65961 14 018 9 039 10 051 3 339 12 027 65961 63235 12 037 7 029 11 024 7 347 8 356 63235 60583 14 044 9 033 10 358 14 355 6 289 60583 57842 19 030 19 037 8 019 8 302 23 324 57842 55031 18 006 24 006 12 003 21 325 24 328 55031 52349 21 356 33 349 26 001 21 338 36 339 52349 49929 42 002 36 347 38 343 33 349 42 329 49929 47763 53 001 36 352 38 344 41 342 39 323 47763 45787 59 005 43 359 40 351 40 335 35 323 45787 43961 61 007 55 001 42 348 40 323 34 319 43961 42269 57 009 56 359 43 342 43 318 38 310 42269 40696 51 008 53 358 43 338 49 322 39 305 40696 39227 46 003 48 356 41 333 55 325 51 313 39227 37858 48 352 47 350 47 327 60 322 62 317 37858 36559 52 345 51 340 57 328 66 321 71 318 36559 35263 56 344 56 337 65 331 69 320 76 318 35263 33939 56 341 61 340 66 333 72 320 78 318 33939 32591 57 337 64 343 65 334 72 321 75 318 32591 31210 60 340 64 343 63 334 66 321 71 316 31210 29792 63 345 63 339 63 334 62 321 68 315 29792 28334 63 350 63 339 61 338 59 326 66 315 28334 26838 61 351 60 347 58 343 55 334 64 318 26838 25304 59 351 53 354 53 350 50 339 58 323 25304 23738 57 351 45 355 44 352 44 342 51 324 23738 22134 55 352 41 351 36 349 40 344 46 321 22134 20487 52 354 40 349 35 343 37 343 43 320 20487 18825 47 358 38 349 36 339 37 337 40 322 18825 17231 43 002 36 350 35 340 38 332 37 326 17231 15783 40 002 34 351 34 343 37 330 34 330 15783 14491 38 360 32 350 31 345 34 332 32 331 14491 13333 36 357 30 350 29 344 31 335 31 330 13333 12291 33 355 27 349 26 342 26 338 30 330 12291 11351 30 354 24 349 24 339 21 337 28 330 11351 10506 26 352 21 348 21 335 18 331 25 329 10506 9748 22 349 18 346 18 330 16 321 19 322 9748 9067 19 347 14 343 14 322 14 307 16 306 9067 8448 14 344 10 336 10 308 12 290 15 291 8448 7894 8 339 6 319 7 285 9 274 14 280 7894 7426 4 332 4 290 4 250 7 257 12 268 7426 7063 1 093 3 259 4 211 5 228 9 248 7063 6811 2 156 3 233 3 194 4 203 7 211 6811 6657 4 175 4 232 2 174 3*175 6*183 6657 6569 4*203 3*234 1*176 2*187 6*179 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography