DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.6 - - 34.9 - - 34.4 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -25 - - -15 - - -15 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1826 - - 1666 - - 1429 - - 2134 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 236 - - 241 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -14 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -936 - - -529 - - -453 - - -645 ODpotential blCL - - - 7506 - - 7099 - - 7023 - - 7215 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.6 - - 34.9 - - 34.4 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 34.1 - - 34.2 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 35.1 - - 34.6 - - 34.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 34.0 - - 34.4 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -25 - - -15 - - -15 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96166 7 277 18 335 13 004 12 310 96166 89210 3 019 4 016 12 339 11 358 89210 83729 6 342 5 007 8 010 13 337 83729 79101 7 048 8 256 10 321 12 327 79101 75081 5 044 8 229 17 287 13 334 75081 71518 7 336 3 314 12 307 13 353 71518 68273 12 334 3 319 10 292 12 343 68273 65279 29 275 22 283 17 271 19 278 65279 62542 48 266 34 280 18 246 24 234 62542 59902 49 268 47 283 50 273 18 260 59902 57086 44 262 53 279 56 271 46 296 57086 54122 56 277 58 283 52 283 67 286 54122 51297 65 279 61 282 66 289 73 278 51297 48762 67 283 64 284 77 284 76 278 48762 46494 75 291 79 291 84 283 87 283 46494 44445 90 291 98 289 94 285 100 284 44445 42577 106 282 110 279 104 284 106 283 42577 40859 113 272 119 270 112 282 108 281 40859 39266 108 269 110 267 116 279 110 280 39266 37784 115 278 110 275 115 278 111 279 37784 36411 132 281 125 277 112 278 113 281 36411 35114 136 280 132 275 111 277 118 283 35114 33833 132 277 126 272 112 274 125 283 33833 32537 125 272 117 267 113 271 128 282 32537 31227 121 269 115 265 114 269 126 279 31227 29891 125 271 113 264 114 269 125 277 29891 28518 122 274 105 263 113 269 124 276 28518 27112 115 276 100 266 111 270 123 276 27112 25678 108 277 103 269 110 271 120 277 25678 24218 104 277 103 270 108 273 114 277 24218 22737 102 276 99 269 104 273 105 277 22737 21231 98 276 96 269 98 273 96 276 21231 19696 92 277 91 270 91 275 89 273 19696 18155 84 276 83 272 82 276 84 269 18155 16685 76 276 79 274 77 276 80 269 16685 15347 69 273 77 277 75 274 75 274 15347 14150 63 269 73 278 74 274 70 277 14150 13072 59 268 67 276 70 274 62 281 13072 12096 56 270 62 272 66 273 52 285 12096 11210 54 271 60 269 63 270 47 287 11210 10407 55 269 59 265 61 266 42 288 10407 9682 56 264 57 260 59 262 41 288 9682 9026 56 257 55 253 56 257 40 287 9026 8425 53 248 52 248 54 253 38 280 8425 7882 49 243 49 244 50 250 37 273 7882 7421 44 240 44 242 44 247 35 270 7421 7062 38 238 37 240 38 244 31 268 7062 6811 32 236 31 238 31 243 26 267 6811 6658 27*236 26*238 26*243 22*266 6658 6570 15*234 15*236 15*241 12*267 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography