DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.6 - - 32.4 - - 32.9 - - 30.8 - - 26.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 11 - - 11 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 340 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 310 - - 1307 - - 1316 - - 1054 - - 321 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 69 - - 69 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 249 - - 283 - - 000 - - 152 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 0 - - -1 - - -7 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -843 - - -290 - - 0 - - 1 - - -1033 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7412 - - 6860 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 7602 sfcLCL ODpotential -5732 - - -2746 - - -2542 - - -3803 - - -8316 ODpotential blCL 12301 - - 9316 - - 9111 - - 10373 - - 14885 blCL maxRH 95 - - 89 - - 85 - - 72 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.6 - - 32.4 - - 32.9 - - 30.8 - - 26.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.0 - - 25.8 - - 27.5 - - 26.9 - - 16.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.6 - - 32.1 - - 32.5 - - 33.3 - - 31.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.6 - - 24.8 - - 26.7 - - 27.0 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 11 - - 11 - - -7 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 340 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 55 - - 38 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95799 44 295 44 293 55 301 50 310 27 298 95799 88941 22 335 22 299 27 290 39 321 29 326 88941 83578 21 316 13 290 26 310 26 316 20 339 83578 79070 19 305 16 308 25 311 24 331 22 352 79070 75145 27 327 16 298 23 313 30 340 28 348 75145 71667 34 322 20 326 25 317 29 329 29 341 71667 68507 30 318 19 320 19 308 27 307 26 331 68507 65576 27 316 21 322 21 322 26 309 26 334 65576 62840 23 302 31 332 31 330 34 334 32 339 62840 60189 29 319 37 342 38 334 37 340 37 344 60189 57423 38 323 41 340 38 336 37 335 42 340 57423 54539 37 321 43 332 41 338 38 337 40 341 54539 51783 37 329 43 329 45 340 45 350 43 350 51783 49310 41 337 44 333 47 346 54 348 46 354 49310 47107 45 338 45 342 50 352 60 351 55 360 47107 45142 48 341 56 351 62 360 68 352 67 358 45142 43382 56 349 70 350 75 358 67 359 73 001 43382 41780 73 354 75 359 75 001 69 011 78 008 41780 40287 85 358 98 012 90 015 85 014 84 012 40287 38876 94 004 112 012 97 014 95 012 91 011 38876 37545 104 005 101 006 98 009 97 010 95 007 37545 36267 103 359 96 000 96 007 96 005 94 008 36267 34984 97 356 86 356 92 003 94 358 85 007 34984 33673 96 357 77 351 91 359 93 358 77 006 33673 32335 94 354 73 349 88 355 91 002 73 005 32335 30959 92 350 73 349 83 352 85 004 66 004 30959 29539 89 347 73 349 77 352 77 002 61 003 29539 28079 86 348 71 349 71 353 71 356 59 358 28079 26582 83 351 68 348 64 354 67 352 57 354 26582 25051 79 356 64 348 58 353 63 353 54 351 25051 23493 74 358 62 350 54 350 57 355 51 351 23493 21903 69 354 61 353 52 348 53 353 48 352 21903 20277 62 343 61 354 50 348 52 351 45 354 20277 18639 58 333 60 352 48 349 50 348 44 354 18639 17071 56 332 58 348 46 350 46 347 43 355 17071 15648 51 335 54 345 44 351 41 347 39 355 15648 14379 44 336 48 344 41 351 37 349 34 353 14379 13242 39 336 38 344 37 348 34 350 30 351 13242 12219 36 336 29 348 31 343 31 350 27 350 12219 11296 34 337 23 353 25 339 27 349 25 351 11296 10464 32 336 20 356 20 339 23 348 24 352 10464 9718 30 334 18 356 16 344 18 346 21 351 9718 9047 26 327 15 354 13 349 14 347 18 350 9047 8435 21 320 12 345 11 349 10 350 13 349 8435 7887 18 311 10 331 9 344 6 356 8 351 7887 7422 16 302 10 313 8 337 3 020 3 360 7422 7061 14 293 9 298 4 327 2 085 1 087 7061 6810 10 283 7 286 1 337 3 136 3 144 6810 6657 7*276 6*285 1 349 4*147 4 165 6657 6569 3*249 3*283 1*000 3*152 5*183 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography