DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.6 - - 27.5 - - 29.8 - - 27.3 - - 24.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 67 - - 58 - - -18 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 2094 - - 2847 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6642 - - 7161 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 8323 - - 9076 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2053 - - 2366 - - 1600 - - 2787 - - 743 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 227 - - 242 - - 34 - - 30 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 16 - - 22 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 256 - - 246 - - 219 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -17 - - -22 - - -7 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1083 - - 1592 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 7240 - - 7485 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -2015 - - -1118 - - -1103 - - -1858 - - -3618 ODpotential blCL 8584 - - 9441 - - 10179 - - 8427 - - 10187 blCL maxRH 79 - - 75 - - 76 - - 79 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.6 - - 27.5 - - 29.8 - - 27.3 - - 24.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.0 - - 19.0 - - 20.2 - - 22.0 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.7 - - 26.6 - - 29.1 - - 27.8 - - 25.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.5 - - 17.9 - - 19.1 - - 21.4 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 67 - - 58 - - -18 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 2094 - - 2847 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 0 - - 6 - - 14 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95904 19 281 28 292 27 309 22 321 26 299 95904 88901 14 302 22 279 25 298 22 314 29 320 88901 83436 9 325 8 246 15 263 23 286 27 317 83436 78880 13 298 13 308 10 282 17 308 28 304 78880 74934 18 299 14 267 20 292 22 299 16 306 74934 71421 22 287 14 176 18 229 21 288 13 330 71421 68214 30 279 36 275 21 275 26 297 33 294 68214 65260 34 275 49 252 32 283 27 288 35 273 65260 62517 28 242 33 252 32 260 26 288 15 282 62517 59844 20 285 33 280 37 279 44 299 36 309 59844 57035 48 304 42 290 47 293 53 292 61 302 57035 54115 66 289 57 292 60 292 61 287 66 289 54115 51323 74 280 70 289 71 288 70 287 72 283 51323 48798 76 279 81 287 82 286 80 289 78 282 48798 46533 80 284 90 287 91 287 88 290 80 284 46533 44487 89 289 96 286 96 288 92 290 81 290 44487 42623 97 290 99 285 99 289 95 290 87 297 42623 40910 101 289 100 285 101 288 99 291 100 297 40910 39329 103 288 101 286 103 287 107 290 113 295 39329 37871 105 289 104 287 107 287 113 289 122 294 37871 36527 110 290 110 288 110 286 116 289 131 297 36527 35254 117 290 115 288 112 287 121 291 139 299 35254 33988 121 290 119 287 115 288 129 293 139 298 33988 32698 122 290 119 286 117 288 137 292 132 292 32698 31386 120 289 117 287 118 287 138 291 131 288 31386 30041 116 287 111 288 116 288 135 293 130 288 30041 28655 113 286 104 289 114 289 128 294 123 291 28655 27233 109 286 100 290 110 291 116 294 119 294 27233 25779 106 287 96 291 101 292 101 293 116 297 25779 24303 101 287 94 291 91 293 86 292 96 299 24303 22811 94 286 92 293 84 292 76 288 72 297 22811 21296 86 282 91 295 78 290 71 284 62 284 21296 19746 81 278 86 296 72 288 67 282 62 275 19746 18185 77 277 78 294 67 287 63 281 62 273 18185 16692 71 279 69 291 62 286 59 282 58 275 16692 15337 65 281 61 288 58 285 53 284 51 275 15337 14127 58 284 53 286 53 285 48 285 46 274 14127 13042 50 286 44 287 47 287 41 285 42 272 13042 12061 39 288 36 288 39 286 34 280 37 270 12061 11173 30 288 29 288 31 281 30 272 33 267 11173 10370 24 284 24 286 26 268 28 262 29 263 10370 9647 22 280 20 278 24*255 29 249 26 259 9647 8995 24 277 19 269 24*249 29 239 25 252 8995 8399 25 274 18*261 24 246 28 233 24 241 8399 7862 25 268 18*257 23 245 26 230 23 227 7862 7407 23 262 18 256 22 245 23 228 22 215 7407 7053 20 259 17 256 21 244 19 225 19 206 7053 6806 17 258 16 256 19 244 15 223 16 201 6806 6656 15*257 14 256 16 244 12*222 12*199 6656 6569 9*257 9 256 11 244 7*219 7*193 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography