DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.6 - - 41.1 - - 42.5 - - 41.8 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 191 - - 173 - - 58 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2253 - - 1953 - - 1629 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 7491 - - 7245 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 8482 - - 8182 - - 7858 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3503 - - 2133 - - 2065 - - 1873 - - 2315 Hgt.Variab. W* 103 - - 328 - - 304 - - 201 - - 32 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 21 - - 24 - - 23 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 220 - - 231 - - 236 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 16 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -28 - - -29 - - -37 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -740 - - 1912 - - 1612 - - 1288 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7310 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -2753 - - 310 - - 577 - - 70 - - -1083 ODpotential blCL 9323 - - 8172 - - 7605 - - 7788 - - 7653 blCL maxRH 97 - - 96 - - 99 - - 95 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 140 - - 80 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 38.6 - - 41.1 - - 42.5 - - 41.8 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 35.2 - - 38.6 - - 37.5 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 39.5 - - 41.1 - - 41.2 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.2 - - 34.0 - - 37.5 - - 36.8 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 191 - - 173 - - 58 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2253 - - 1953 - - 1629 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 86 - - 97 - - 80 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96853 14 296 22 294 29 294 38 294 27 279 96853 89452 10 293 15 272 27 270 42 269 34 270 89452 83794 28 266 25 252 32 266 31 253 33 261 83794 79136 26 244 31 242 24 258 20 247 27 251 79136 75111 26 238 27 241 28 249 26 253 26 243 75111 71545 28 246 26 233 30 239 24 240 22 240 71545 68311 26 236 28 245 23 235 21 230 20 247 68311 65323 26 237 31 252 22 258 25 254 22 254 65323 62530 26 240 26 240 31 245 27 255 18 257 62530 59805 29 250 28 249 32 245 26 267 16 273 59805 56952 31 254 35 250 30 262 33 262 24 280 56952 54003 34 252 31 241 35 259 30 251 30 259 54003 51211 30 256 31 252 40 250 32 265 27 257 51211 48706 39 275 41 266 38 252 40 266 34 261 48706 46463 47 268 43 270 37 264 40 264 36 260 46463 44439 43 257 40 267 46 263 43 260 42 258 44439 42601 35 271 38 261 50 255 50 257 47 256 42601 40917 45 295 42 267 52 256 60 255 54 254 40917 39365 56 298 50 273 61 263 72 253 63 254 39365 37930 59 298 57 275 69 266 77 252 74 253 37930 36599 57 296 58 274 70 266 76 252 79 251 36599 35336 55 291 57 273 69 265 74 253 79 250 35336 34077 52 285 56 272 67 262 71 254 78 252 34077 32794 50 279 56 271 64 261 69 255 76 253 32794 31492 49 277 56 271 62 261 66 256 75 254 31492 30158 48 276 55 270 59 261 64 257 73 255 30158 28787 47 276 54 269 57 260 62 257 71 257 28787 27381 45 276 52 269 56 259 61 256 69 258 27381 25942 43 277 51 271 54 258 60 255 67 259 25942 24473 42 279 50 272 53 257 60 255 65 259 24473 22979 43 280 49 273 51 254 58 255 62 257 22979 21455 42 280 47 272 50 253 55 255 59 255 21455 19898 41 279 45 267 49 253 53 254 57 253 19898 18336 38 276 44 260 49 255 51 254 55 248 18336 16843 35 274 41 254 48 255 48 253 55 248 16843 15482 34 274 38 251 47 255 47 252 54 251 15482 14263 35 274 37 252 45 252 45 250 53 253 14263 13164 38 272 37 253 43 245 43 249 51 252 13164 12170 37 269 37 251 40 234 43 248 48 248 12170 11269 33 262 34 245 38 230 42 247 45 241 11269 10452 30 252 31 238 36 230 41 246 42 234 10452 9717 27 241 28 230 35 230 39 244 39 230 9717 9052 25 236 26*227 33 230 37 242 36 228 9052 8445 25 235 24*222 31*231 34 240 33 227 8445 7897 24 231 23 221 29*231 32*238 30 225 7897 7431 21 221 22 220 27 231 29*237 27 222 7431 7068 18 216 20 220 25 231 26 236 22 219 7068 6814 16 214 19 219 22 231 23 236 17 215 6814 6659 14*212 17 219 20 231 20 235 14*212 6659 6570 9*210 12 218 13 230 12 235 7*207 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography