DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.7 - - 45.5 - - 48.4 - - 44.1 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 73 - - 59 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6571 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 326 - - 3510 - - 5257 - - 3521 - - 719 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 127 - - 120 - - 25 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 200 - - 215 - - 173 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -9 - - -7 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -609 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6570 - - 7180 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -2253 - - -1081 - - -2015 - - -1749 - - -2726 ODpotential blCL 8823 - - 7651 - - 8586 - - 8319 - - 9296 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 95 - - 91 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 160 - - 260 - - 210 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 36.7 - - 45.5 - - 48.4 - - 44.1 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.3 - - 40.1 - - 39.6 - - 40.0 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 44.4 - - 47.5 - - 44.8 - - 42.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.3 - - 39.3 - - 38.6 - - 39.4 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 73 - - 59 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 83 - - 79 - - 63 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96237 20 320 34 293 36 297 33 306 27 298 96237 89395 16 332 11 330 19 289 25 307 21 332 89395 84011 11 322 10 342 12 304 12 300 14 314 84011 79470 13 323 12 290 13 301 7 312 10 289 79470 75518 20 317 16 272 12 294 16 274 16 281 75518 72000 20 292 19 284 9 265 17 273 16 273 72000 68797 28 264 26 279 15 269 21 282 18 268 68797 65838 30 249 27 267 23 256 22 262 16 270 65838 63069 25 241 23 259 23 254 20 250 17 265 63069 60359 22 241 21 247 22 249 23 240 19 247 60359 57517 20 242 22 232 25 237 24 244 21 256 57517 54565 22 254 26 233 25 234 28 246 29 251 54565 51762 30 251 30 239 29 237 32 238 34 242 51762 49267 35 239 34 240 33 240 39 239 36 238 49267 47044 39 230 40 238 37 244 44 242 39 238 47044 45030 41 226 42 236 48 244 52 244 44 241 45030 43200 41 226 47 236 57 240 58 241 55 249 43200 41527 41 228 53 233 59 236 62 244 83 257 41527 39979 42 228 53 231 56 234 67 249 108 257 39979 38534 43 224 50 229 54 237 75 253 116 256 38534 37185 42 215 47 229 54 239 77 254 110 252 37185 35905 38 214 45 225 53 237 74 251 109 244 35905 34626 36 216 46 218 51 234 69 248 111 241 34626 33316 37 216 48 218 49 234 62 246 106 238 33316 31982 37 218 48 221 47 232 52 241 108 241 31982 30616 36 221 44 223 47 230 45 233 84 250 30616 29218 34 223 36 219 49 227 46 229 54 247 29218 27788 32 225 36 218 48 231 52 238 46 234 27788 26325 32 225 34 220 41 242 45 246 48 231 26325 24828 30 222 32 222 32 233 33 243 46 233 24828 23305 27 221 29 227 31 223 26 229 36 233 23305 21751 24 221 26 228 29 223 26 222 30 227 21751 20159 21 223 25 224 25 221 26 222 31 223 20159 18556 20 227 20 226 22 211 25 217 33 220 18556 17022 19 235 17 230 23 213 25 215 34 219 17022 15628 19 238 17 225 22 212 25 215 33 218 15628 14382 18 237 19 217 21 211 26 214 32 217 14382 13263 17 237 20 212 21 209 26 214 29 217 13263 12251 15 236 19 206 21 208 27 215 26 219 12251 11336 13 236 17 203 20 207 27 213 23 218 11336 10508 12 232 16 201 20 207 25 211 21 213 10508 9761 12 224 14 201 18 207 23 208 21 207 9761 9087 11 217 14 200 16 207 21 204 20 202 9087 8469 10 207 14 200 15 208 19 202 19 198 8469 7913 10 199 13 200 14 210 18 200 16 195 7913 7440 10 198 12 200 12 213 15 197 13 188 7440 7073 11 193 11 201 11 213 13 193 10 174 7073 6816 10 190 10 200 10 214 9 188 8 154 6816 6660 8*190 9 201 9*215 7 183 6*146 6660 6570 5*191 7*200 7*215 4*173 3*160 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography