DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.5 - - 34.0 - - 29.7 - - 29.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 0 - - -2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 203 - - 533 - - 239 - - 208 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 25 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 137 - - 150 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -3 - - -6 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1990 - - -2260 - - -1517 - - -3550 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8560 - - 8829 - - 8087 - - 10120 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12746 - - -11578 - - -11871 - - -14685 ODpotential blCL - - - 19315 - - 18147 - - 18441 - - 21255 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 73 - - 85 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.5 - - 34.0 - - 29.7 - - 29.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.7 - - 18.8 - - 17.8 - - 9.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 35.9 - - 35.0 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.6 - - 17.7 - - 17.4 - - 9.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 0 - - -2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95360 82 013 64 006 74 002 64 003 95360 88625 74 022 65 011 56 005 54 004 88625 83334 71 020 68 020 55 014 49 003 83334 78884 59 011 65 020 51 019 43 001 78884 75008 48 007 54 009 43 019 36 006 75008 71542 38 000 39 002 33 007 32 005 71542 68372 33 351 36 355 32 357 28 005 68372 65435 29 355 25 354 32 352 26 359 65435 62699 27 340 27 331 34 341 33 348 62699 60056 24 321 29 326 33 339 36 337 60056 57313 34 336 35 325 37 324 34 324 57313 54482 39 317 36 311 32 310 30 311 54482 51786 39 307 37 304 36 295 33 301 51786 49361 41 300 38 297 35 294 37 294 49361 47210 46 295 43 289 44 291 58 281 47210 45305 49 287 53 284 74 280 64 277 45305 43575 54 293 71 289 90 282 77 289 43575 41957 63 296 96 290 103 283 98 276 41957 40432 73 292 104 286 103 280 103 272 40432 38996 75 288 99 284 88 285 96 274 38996 37647 73 289 88 284 83 286 80 280 37647 36356 66 289 78 291 78 286 71 288 36356 35062 48 287 76 295 72 286 67 287 35062 33740 44 290 73 294 67 288 63 288 33740 32394 44 292 58 291 63 295 58 290 32394 31013 43 295 47 281 62 297 54 293 31013 29590 43 295 42 276 61 303 53 296 29590 28125 38 289 41 281 49 303 47 300 28125 26623 34 283 39 289 36 286 40 298 26623 25085 30 282 33 287 30 278 36 291 25085 23523 25 281 31 277 27 271 33 279 23523 21934 22 283 27 273 28 262 30 272 21934 20310 21 286 23 271 27 260 29 269 20310 18677 19 287 21 272 24 262 28 267 18677 17115 17 287 20 277 22 262 26 264 17115 15696 17 286 20 283 19 261 23 263 15696 14428 17 285 20 286 18 261 19 263 14428 13290 16 284 20 287 17 263 17 262 13290 12262 16 280 19 284 15 266 15 260 12262 11333 15 276 17 279 14 267 14 258 11333 10495 14 270 15 271 13 264 13 254 10495 9743 12 260 13 259 12 257 12 247 9743 9067 10 244 11 243 10 246 11 238 9067 8451 9 233 9 226 9 229 10 227 8451 7897 8 229 8 215 7 218 10 215 7897 7429 7 223 6 207 5 210 9 209 7429 7065 6 204 5 195 4 184 9 200 7065 6812 5 180 4 177 3 158 8 188 6812 6658 5*161 2 147 3*147 7*182 6658 6570 3*169 1*137 1*150 5*185 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography