DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 40.4 - - 35.5 - - 31.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 10 - - -1 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1988 - - 2825 - - 1213 - - 170 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 55 - - 72 - - 16 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 202 - - 238 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - -2 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -218 - - -761 - - 1 - - -560 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6788 - - 7332 - - 6570 - - 7130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3529 - - -3466 - - -4383 - - -6289 ODpotential blCL - - - 10099 - - 10036 - - 10953 - - 12859 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 87 - - 86 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 40.4 - - 35.5 - - 31.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 31.4 - - 29.9 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 41.1 - - 38.8 - - 35.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 30.3 - - 30.0 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 10 - - -1 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 49 - - 46 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96431 15 087 13 073 20 063 23 068 96431 89371 14 063 23 072 14 083 20 060 89371 83856 17 070 19 079 15 067 15 049 83856 79242 15 073 15 060 12 048 11 038 79242 75240 8 061 11 031 11 035 9 036 75240 71680 3 036 10 349 12 354 17 007 71680 68445 9 018 6 351 17 324 19 354 68445 65462 16 339 8 344 17 318 18 338 65462 62682 17 324 9 324 20 318 15 328 62682 59986 20 322 16 306 28 308 21 315 59986 57184 21 310 22 304 31 299 26 304 57184 54270 37 313 29 315 30 296 33 294 54270 51479 46 304 43 302 36 303 40 291 51479 48969 47 293 50 292 53 292 44 288 48969 46734 47 290 47 285 54 283 46 286 46734 44724 44 288 47 284 46 281 49 286 44724 42897 37 288 48 280 39 285 51 283 42897 41222 38 280 45 278 49 287 54 279 41222 39675 43 268 46 284 66 277 55 278 39675 38235 43 257 48 286 76 271 61 286 38235 36896 41 254 51 284 76 270 75 287 36896 35629 41 258 51 281 74 272 80 283 35629 34371 41 262 50 279 69 271 81 281 34371 33089 42 267 52 279 64 271 79 279 33089 31785 43 271 55 278 61 272 71 278 31785 30449 44 274 57 277 58 272 63 278 30449 29071 45 277 54 278 56 271 60 282 29071 27655 44 280 52 281 55 272 61 288 27655 26201 43 281 50 282 53 273 63 290 26201 24715 43 282 48 281 51 275 60 291 24715 23202 43 286 47 278 50 275 53 291 23202 21658 44 290 46 276 49 274 48 288 21658 20074 44 291 45 277 47 274 46 285 20074 18481 41 292 43 280 43 273 45 284 18481 16956 37 293 40 283 38 274 44 283 16956 15570 33 293 36 283 35 277 42 282 15570 14329 30 292 32 279 34 278 39 283 14329 13214 27 286 29 275 33 276 36 284 13214 12206 26 277 28 272 32 272 33 283 12206 11294 26 269 27 267 30 266 29 279 11294 10468 25 266 26 259 29 259 25 274 10468 9726 22 264 25 250 27 250 24 263 9726 9056 19 258 22 238 23 239 25 251 9056 8445 18 250 19 227 21 234 25 242 8445 7895 16 244 15 219 18 234 25 234 7895 7428 12 235 13 215 14 236 24 223 7428 7065 10 230 11 213 10 239 21 211 7065 6812 8 227 9 210 6 238 17 201 6812 6658 6*221 7*206 3*234 13*194 6658 6570 4*215 5*202 1*238 7*190 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography