DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 33.7 - - - - - 27.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 340 - - - - - 4419 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6552 - - - - - 8467 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6569 - - - - - 10648 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3191 - - 6600 - - - - - 2305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 89 - - - - - 297 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 18 - - - - - 31 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 291 - - - - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 6 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -1235 - - - - - 2722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 7804 - - - - - 7927 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -810 - - -2713 - - - - - 29 ODpotential blCL - - - 7380 - - 9282 - - - - - 10619 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 82 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 290 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 33.7 - - - - - 27.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 22.4 - - - - - 15.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 33.5 - - - - - 26.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 21.0 - - - - - 14.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 67 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 340 - - - - - 4419 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 29 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96243 27 058 16 063 11 354 96243 89224 16 034 14 056 4 003 89224 83706 11 350 6 015 22 019 83706 79085 8 357 7 026 17 326 79085 75108 16 342 16 008 7 259 75108 71587 13 309 17 324 4 086 71587 68380 12 324 23 277 7 041 68380 65389 22 313 35 246 13 341 65389 62597 21 295 46 259 31 276 62597 59935 16 294 45 263 27 270 59935 57165 32 294 33 267 17 306 57165 54224 62 287 45 295 29 314 54224 51360 63 286 69 298 52 294 51360 48772 65 286 80 294 63 292 48772 46466 75 287 83 290 71 300 46466 44402 88 285 85 290 88 304 44402 42539 96 283 90 290 104 304 42539 40836 97 283 97 290 106 306 40836 39265 98 283 101 290 111 316 39265 37812 101 284 103 291 147 327 37812 36470 104 282 103 293 176 327 36470 35192 102 278 104 295 181 326 35192 33910 98 276 104 295 174 326 33910 32599 96 276 103 295 172 323 32599 31270 99 277 103 295 165 318 31270 29909 104 275 102 297 162 314 29909 28505 105 273 100 298 164 314 28505 27062 102 273 94 298 162 316 27062 25586 95 272 86 296 151 317 25586 24089 88 266 79 292 133 315 24089 22579 87 260 76 287 123 311 22579 21052 83 263 76 285 115 311 21052 19505 85 265 75 285 98 313 19505 17962 84 266 72 288 78 315 17962 16496 81 267 67 290 68 316 16496 15169 79 269 62 289 61 314 15169 13986 78 274 56 285 54 311 13986 12926 75 279 51 280 46 307 12926 11969 71 281 50 278 41 306 11969 11103 69 280 49 279 37*306 11103 10319 68 278 49 281 36*305 10319 9611 68 274 48 284 34 303 9611 8970 66 270 48 286 33 301 8970 8384 64 266 47 287 32 299 8384 7853 59 263 45 288 31 297 7853 7403 54 260 43 289 29 296 7403 7051 48 259 40 290 27 294 7051 6806 42 258 35 290 25 294 6806 6656 36*257 30*291 22 293 6656 6569 20*257 18*291 14 294 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography