DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.1 - - 16.7 - - 24.0 - - 21.8 - - 16.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 9 - - 33 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 251 - - 456 - - 1531 - - 797 - - 183 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 62 - - 97 - - 48 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 22 - - 24 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 181 - - 201 - - 057 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -6 - - -1 - - -2 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -15 - - -97 - - -131 - - 0 - - -1305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6583 - - 6667 - - 6700 - - 6569 - - 7875 sfcLCL ODpotential -10781 - - -9367 - - -6148 - - -6925 - - -10892 ODpotential blCL 17349 - - 15936 - - 12717 - - 13494 - - 17461 blCL maxRH 88 - - 77 - - 78 - - 80 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.1 - - 16.7 - - 24.0 - - 21.8 - - 16.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.3 - - 11.5 - - 18.5 - - 17.2 - - 5.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.6 - - 17.6 - - 23.7 - - 24.5 - - 21.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.2 - - 12.3 - - 17.3 - - 17.8 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 9 - - 33 - - 4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 10 - - 13 - - 18 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95587 35 313 37 313 38 329 29 326 39 320 95587 88819 27 328 20 320 23 326 24 340 22 326 88819 83456 21 315 20 307 28 316 31 342 19 341 83456 78949 21 320 18 310 26 313 30 332 24 351 78949 75057 21 311 14 317 18 303 24 313 25 326 75057 71592 15 301 16 335 13 306 18 308 17 323 71592 68409 13 311 20 327 18 336 14 338 14 337 68409 65447 15 316 16 312 20 335 24 347 20 334 65447 62694 18 339 10 324 15 318 26 333 22 317 62694 60031 26 348 11 355 9 332 23 321 24 324 60031 57268 37 353 35 359 26 001 18 329 30 321 57268 54407 46 346 48 347 41 356 28 338 27 308 54407 51661 48 341 50 339 45 345 35 331 42 314 51661 49187 43 339 46 340 46 343 41 320 47 305 49187 46970 41 345 46 345 45 344 39 324 31 300 46970 44974 45 358 48 351 46 342 39 327 25 320 44974 43174 51 003 47 353 42 336 42 327 42 316 43174 41554 56 006 44 358 33 330 41 317 51 301 41554 40072 63 013 44 009 27 336 37 314 54 306 40072 38679 63 016 44 014 26 346 35 315 54 308 38679 37367 62 014 44 011 29 351 35 317 39 304 37367 36105 60 008 45 007 33 351 35 316 30 298 36105 34837 53 359 45 005 39 345 33 317 35 294 34837 33535 51 350 43 004 42 339 30 319 35 294 33535 32207 49 349 40 004 41 334 31 317 36 294 32207 30841 46 350 39 358 37 324 38 312 37 298 30841 29429 43 348 39 345 33 313 39 308 37 301 29429 27974 41 346 38 341 26 313 33 306 31 303 27974 26481 40 345 36 350 20 337 22 296 27 306 26481 24955 38 346 36 357 23 356 13 305 27 310 24955 23400 34 348 36 357 32 351 14 336 29 312 23400 21814 33 351 37 354 38 342 25 334 30 311 21814 20191 35 352 40 350 39 341 31 328 31 311 20191 18559 38 347 43 346 40 344 32 331 31 318 18559 16998 40 343 45 346 40 347 32 337 30 329 16998 15581 39 343 42 346 38 349 30 343 28 338 15581 14316 37 346 36 347 33 349 26 348 25 344 14316 13183 35 351 31 350 28 348 23 352 22 346 13183 12163 32 353 29 354 25 347 20 350 19 345 12163 11242 30 352 28 354 22 344 18 343 16 339 11242 10413 25 348 26 352 17 329 15 325 13 328 10413 9671 18 341 20 344 14 303 14 304 12 310 9671 9004 10 322 13 326 13 283 13 288 12 292 9004 8400 6 294 7 294 11 266 11 275 11 279 8400 7860 8 278 6 265 9 243 7 249 8 264 7860 7404 8 259 7 247 6 221 5 202 5 238 7404 7050 8 239 8 225 3 222 5 166 4 203 7050 6804 7 219 6 208 2 221 4 149 5 182 6804 6654 5 203 5*193 1*214 2*125 4*184 6654 6569 4*196 3*181 1*201 0*057 4*214 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography