DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.6 - - 35.2 - - 35.4 - - 34.1 - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - -28 - - -20 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1022 - - 1182 - - 1578 - - 2443 - - 1613 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 32 - - 19 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 12 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 237 - - 247 - - 260 - - 316 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -11 - - -4 - - -1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -3691 - - -3154 - - -1672 - - -1308 - - -3807 ODpotential blCL 10261 - - 9724 - - 8242 - - 7878 - - 10377 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 34.6 - - 35.2 - - 35.4 - - 34.1 - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.8 - - 32.2 - - 33.7 - - 32.8 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.0 - - 36.7 - - 37.0 - - 36.8 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 32.1 - - 33.7 - - 34.1 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - -28 - - -20 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96255 30 032 21 008 26 350 31 340 36 329 96255 89238 25 029 22 004 28 350 35 350 45 353 89238 83770 25 009 15 354 13 355 30 346 36 355 83770 79187 31 349 25 356 21 001 21 328 34 359 79187 75188 31 337 32 340 32 348 21 352 30 350 75188 71640 30 338 26 339 28 350 36 357 30 335 71640 68460 22 356 18 006 23 350 35 350 20 333 68460 65541 18 036 19 033 14 319 25 340 18 027 65541 62777 25 347 27 345 17 007 19 312 30 010 62777 60081 35 312 31 310 24 334 23 329 34 308 60081 57311 25 308 21 328 28 313 27 307 33 301 57311 54442 28 325 40 334 38 305 42 297 41 311 54442 51671 43 313 43 315 36 292 40 297 38 296 51671 49154 52 310 52 310 51 315 50 317 44 317 49154 46914 62 314 74 317 82 320 76 323 72 324 46914 44930 82 315 96 315 101 315 95 318 95 318 44930 43156 91 308 105 309 112 310 113 312 104 312 43156 41534 85 302 111 304 115 303 124 307 114 312 41534 40025 74 300 111 303 116 301 124 301 124 311 40025 38608 73 302 101 302 117 301 122 301 125 308 38608 37274 79 309 98 302 117 302 117 301 125 305 37274 35994 82 315 106 305 116 303 113 303 124 305 35994 34712 90 317 107 307 114 305 112 304 121 308 34712 33399 95 315 106 309 112 307 111 305 120 314 33399 32062 93 312 103 309 109 308 110 307 122 316 32062 30690 88 310 100 308 104 307 110 310 117 316 30690 29275 85 308 96 306 99 305 110 313 114 315 29275 27819 84 306 93 304 94 304 108 312 110 313 27819 26330 84 305 91 304 91 304 106 312 103 312 26330 24812 84 305 91 304 90 306 104 313 90 310 24812 23270 82 305 89 304 87 307 98 314 79 311 23270 21699 80 304 86 302 84 308 88 314 73 315 21699 20092 75 302 81 301 79 307 78 312 70 316 20092 18479 71 301 76 300 71 307 71 311 65 316 18479 16938 69 300 69 302 61 307 61 311 55 317 16938 15544 67 300 62 306 50 309 49 307 44 315 15544 14303 65 301 53 309 39 311 39 301 33 308 14303 13189 62 301 46 312 31 313 32 295 27 299 13189 12183 58 301 39 311 26 311 26 290 24 293 12183 11273 53 299 34 308 25 307 23 290 22 292 11273 10451 45 295 31 301 24 301 20 294 19 294 10451 9711 38 286 30 292 26 294 17 311 15 307 9711 9043 35 275 30 284 28 283 17 329 15 330 9043 8435 41 263 36 267 31 271 17 340 17 346 8435 7888 45 252 41 255 31 264 16 346 15 360 7888 7424 42 247 39 251 28 260 15 348 11 011 7424 7063 36 244 34 249 24 258 12 345 7 025 7063 6812 28 241 28 248 19 257 8 337 5 042 6812 6658 23*240 23*247 15*257 5*324 3*084 6658 6570 12*237 12*247 7*260 3*316 3*166 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography