DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.1 - - 30.9 - - 34.4 - - 31.0 - - 25.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 6 - - 7 - - -5 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 126 - - 732 - - 1391 - - 935 - - 80 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 59 - - 60 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 205 - - 143 - - 153 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -5 - - -5 - - -6 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -338 - - -401 - - -76 - - 0 - - -679 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6907 - - 6970 - - 6646 - - 6569 - - 7249 sfcLCL ODpotential -8600 - - -5599 - - -3487 - - -4553 - - -9182 ODpotential blCL 15169 - - 12168 - - 10056 - - 11122 - - 15751 blCL maxRH 77 - - 77 - - 72 - - 73 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.1 - - 30.9 - - 34.4 - - 31.0 - - 25.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.6 - - 23.8 - - 28.6 - - 27.4 - - 17.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.4 - - 31.9 - - 34.4 - - 34.0 - - 30.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.1 - - 24.0 - - 27.6 - - 27.7 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 6 - - 7 - - -5 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 10 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94499 64 275 97 291 89 296 91 288 76 288 94499 87864 61 299 66 304 62 307 68 300 54 298 87864 82661 66 306 44 321 57 308 59 315 51 310 82661 78300 57 309 39 320 61 304 55 318 47 312 78300 74499 49 316 42 306 58 291 48 302 43 307 74499 71107 47 329 36 298 36 284 42 292 42 302 71107 68013 46 340 27 308 33 301 38 311 32 304 68013 65136 48 335 28 336 51 315 37 334 20 323 65136 62424 52 318 49 316 53 312 43 333 32 328 62424 59781 53 300 61 300 53 317 51 321 48 320 59781 57037 41 298 63 304 59 322 61 316 66 319 57037 54194 37 335 71 307 67 316 73 309 79 308 54194 51478 55 317 66 300 63 310 68 306 72 307 51478 49040 57 296 48 304 53 318 60 312 68 312 49040 46865 46 301 47 320 63 326 62 320 74 318 46865 44894 62 318 68 322 78 320 71 319 75 317 44894 43106 80 315 80 313 79 311 76 315 71 318 43106 41481 85 319 82 316 77 311 82 318 69 324 41481 39987 97 326 91 321 84 316 87 318 78 323 39987 38594 102 325 97 321 90 318 82 314 82 319 38594 37284 95 323 97 321 86 320 82 316 72 319 37284 36026 95 319 94 320 84 320 84 319 70 317 36026 34764 94 317 91 319 86 319 84 320 69 315 34764 33470 95 315 89 319 87 321 78 321 67 315 33470 32151 95 316 87 320 84 325 71 322 62 315 32151 30793 93 318 86 321 77 326 64 322 58 315 30793 29391 86 320 86 320 69 328 59 321 53 315 29391 27947 80 321 84 322 68 327 57 319 50 316 27947 26465 78 322 75 327 70 325 57 318 49 316 26465 24949 74 324 63 332 70 323 59 320 50 316 24949 23407 64 323 52 331 64 324 61 325 53 317 23407 21834 50 317 43 325 55 325 62 327 56 318 21834 20221 40 309 38 318 47 322 59 326 55 321 20221 18596 38 309 35 315 41 316 53 320 50 327 18596 17038 39 311 33 316 37 313 44 314 43 327 17038 15623 39 313 31 319 34 312 37 309 38 321 15623 14361 38 315 30 323 31 311 33 308 32 314 14361 13232 37 315 28 326 28 311 31 307 28 309 13232 12213 35 315 27 328 24 312 28 305 25 309 12213 11293 32 316 26 329 20 314 24 303 23 309 11293 10463 28 315 24 329 16 315 18 300 20 304 10463 9718 23 312 19 323 12 307 13 292 17 298 9718 9047 17 305 15 310 10 294 10 284 14 291 9047 8437 14 293 12 295 9 276 8 269 10 281 8437 7888 15 275 12 279 7 245 6 244 6 259 7888 7423 17 255 11 261 7 203 6 213 6 217 7423 7061 16 236 10 242 6 179 7 192 8 194 7061 6810 13 220 7 228 4 164 6 177 9 174 6810 6657 9*202 5 221 4 151 5 165 9*167 6657 6569 5*187 2*205 3*143 3*153 6*175 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography