DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.8 - - 25.1 - - 28.8 - - 27.4 - - 28.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -53 - - 13 - - 21 - - -9 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 1418 - - 2682 - - 1536 - - 1122 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 72 - - 84 - - 15 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 174 - - 200 - - 229 - - 198 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -10 - - -7 - - -7 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -347 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6916 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -6687 - - -2627 - - -1048 - - -1481 - - -2821 ODpotential blCL 13256 - - 9196 - - 7617 - - 8050 - - 9390 blCL maxRH 80 - - 91 - - 93 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.8 - - 25.1 - - 28.8 - - 27.4 - - 28.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.3 - - 19.9 - - 24.4 - - 25.6 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.5 - - 25.6 - - 28.2 - - 28.4 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.3 - - 19.4 - - 23.8 - - 25.5 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -53 - - 13 - - 21 - - -9 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 64 - - 72 - - 94 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96318 11 092 7 067 11 069 14 054 9 025 96318 89144 14 045 7 062 4 023 15 017 15 029 89144 83586 20 022 15 062 4 063 17 356 26 027 83586 78957 17 005 10 047 3 354 14 348 24 029 78957 74922 8 034 15 044 12 046 11 002 18 020 74922 71321 9 345 16 286 17 312 19 336 26 353 71321 68077 10 290 15 274 19 309 21 325 24 321 68077 65113 20 270 28 312 13 333 23 354 23 322 65113 62374 35 300 37 318 37 317 42 321 27 318 62374 59728 44 309 36 312 43 304 45 298 36 303 59728 56954 36 293 40 294 43 302 49 299 44 306 56954 54062 32 297 45 310 50 306 55 303 52 304 54062 51302 53 313 53 311 57 308 60 306 52 301 51302 48827 57 311 61 307 61 307 64 308 52 302 48827 46612 64 310 64 302 67 306 67 308 59 307 46612 44602 73 306 67 303 75 305 69 305 65 307 44602 42765 75 302 80 308 81 304 71 303 67 307 42765 41074 75 306 96 307 85 303 73 304 66 309 41074 39508 83 313 103 302 90 303 79 307 62 312 39508 38050 102 314 107 299 96 303 88 306 61 313 38050 36694 117 312 111 302 97 301 94 302 66 309 36694 35411 122 312 112 303 93 301 93 300 73 305 35411 34141 121 313 104 305 88 304 91 302 79 300 34141 32856 113 315 95 308 91 309 93 304 80 297 32856 31558 104 317 94 311 97 310 93 305 82 297 31558 30232 92 315 90 311 98 310 87 305 81 297 30232 28865 83 310 85 312 93 311 79 304 76 297 28865 27460 87 310 76 309 81 312 75 303 70 298 27460 26018 84 313 73 306 69 313 73 305 66 301 26018 24544 82 313 74 306 61 310 71 307 62 305 24544 23042 75 308 70 308 61 306 67 308 58 308 23042 21510 61 302 63 310 63 305 63 307 56 307 21510 19941 46 304 56 310 61 309 57 306 53 305 19941 18359 39 311 49 306 56 315 52 307 47 304 18359 16844 37 314 42 300 50 316 46 306 41 305 16844 15465 36 312 36 297 42 312 39 302 38 304 15465 14234 34 310 30 295 36 307 32 297 37 303 14234 13127 31 308 26 293 30 301 30 294 37 299 13127 12128 27 306 22 289 23 290 27 289 35 292 12128 11225 23 304 18 280 20 274 25 279 32 281 11225 10410 19 299 16 271 21 260 26 269 31 274 10410 9677 15 295 15 262 23 251 28 260 33 269 9677 9017 12 295 15 252 24 248 28 252 35 263 9017 8415 8 290 15 241 22 243 27 244 35 255 8415 7873 6 274 17 231 18 236 25 234 33 247 7873 7414 6 246 17 221 16 232 21 225 28 239 7414 7057 9 220 15 212 13 230 17 218 21 231 7057 6809 10 195 12 207 11 230 14 213 16 224 6809 6656 9*179 10*204 10*229 11*210 12 219 6656 6569 7*174 6*200 6*229 5*198 6*209 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography