DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 61.6 - - 61.3 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 300 - - 99 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5021 - - 8876 - - 8214 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9629 - - 12817 - - 11536 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11250 - - 15105 - - 14443 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5014 - - 4284 - - 4747 - - 9401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 451 - - 598 - - 407 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 298 - - 308 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -22 - - -9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -267 - - 1621 - - 243 - - -4916 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11518 - - 13485 - - 14201 - - 11488 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2702 - - -549 - - -1752 - - -7542 ODpotential blCL - - - 13952 - - 15654 - - 16195 - - 14113 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 85 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 200 - - 50 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 61.6 - - 61.3 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 24.9 - - 21.5 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 59.5 - - 60.2 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 23.7 - - 20.4 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 300 - - 99 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5021 - - 8876 - - 8214 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 38 - - 38 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97696 19 223 16 273 10 294 10 240 97696 90191 6 163 11 218 12 252 6 257 90191 84443 2 227 8 203 8 223 9 297 84443 79717 5 277 6 224 7 284 5 249 79717 75644 6 286 4 277 14 290 6 007 75644 72034 9 329 2 220 13 278 12 335 72034 68760 15 322 2 276 8 293 12 305 68760 65749 18 302 12 308 13 323 14 311 65749 62954 20 298 18 314 17 328 11 309 62954 60229 20 296 25 308 26 325 16 331 60229 57375 19 299 25 293 28 313 21 314 57375 54412 27 308 28 291 31 302 23 315 54412 51595 30 305 31 298 35 299 31 308 51595 49076 32 304 35 298 38 297 33 304 49076 46822 33 302 36 295 41 295 39 304 46822 44789 33 301 38 303 43 292 44 301 44789 42952 35 308 35 305 40 285 43 293 42952 41268 33 307 31 307 37 281 36 293 41268 39708 30 302 29 303 32 284 34 300 39708 38262 25 298 27 305 29 294 34 299 38262 36928 24 317 24 323 27 307 27 290 36928 35662 29 323 25 345 24 327 16 305 35662 34400 33 323 28 349 26 348 25 335 34400 33116 34 322 33 344 31 355 33 330 33116 31812 33 322 38 342 34 356 33 321 31812 30476 31 322 40 343 31 354 29 312 30476 29099 29 320 35 341 30 346 27 308 29099 27684 28 317 29 329 32 345 27 311 27684 26233 26 316 27 319 28 342 27 319 26233 24752 25 317 28 317 22 319 27 330 24752 23246 22 316 27 313 23 311 26 342 23246 21712 20 314 24 306 24 318 24 331 21712 20143 19 312 21 299 23 322 23 312 20143 18563 21 312 17 299 19 325 20 308 18563 17050 22 310 14 304 18 326 15 310 17050 15673 21 307 14*306 15 325 14 314 15673 14439 19 304 13*304 14*323 13 317 14439 13326 16 300 13 303 12*318 12 321 13326 12316 11 295 11 297 11 315 12 324 12316 11398 8*283 11 295 10 308 12 330 11398 10564 6*272 11 295 10 306 12 336 10564 9811 5 271 11 295 10 305 12 342 9811 9130 5 271 11 295 10 304 13 348 9130 8505 5 274 11 296 10 304 13 351 8505 7940 5 276 11 298 9 305 13 354 7940 7459 5 281 10 298 9 305 13 354 7459 7084 4 285 10 299 9 304 11 350 7084 6823 4 286 10 299 9 304 9 342 6823 6663 4 287 9 300 8 305 6*334 6663 6571 4 289 8 301 7 306 4*330 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography