DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 9.7 - - 16.1 - - 23.2 - - 19.1 - - 13.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 5 - - 32 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 339 - - 340 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit 6551 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 6568 - - 6569 - - 6568 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 130 - - 401 - - 1144 - - 505 - - 203 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 52 - - 97 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 53 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 243 - - 056 - - 333 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -6 - - -1 - - -1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1659 - - -1151 - - -1220 - - 0 - - -1280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8227 - - 7719 - - 7789 - - 6568 - - 7849 sfcLCL ODpotential -10953 - - -9141 - - -6733 - - -5527 - - -9080 ODpotential blCL 17521 - - 15709 - - 13302 - - 12095 - - 15648 blCL maxRH 81 - - 78 - - 85 - - 81 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 9.7 - - 16.1 - - 23.2 - - 19.1 - - 13.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.3 - - 6.0 - - 12.6 - - 15.1 - - 2.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 15.4 - - 17.0 - - 22.7 - - 21.1 - - 18.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.1 - - 6.0 - - 11.5 - - 15.4 - - 8.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 5 - - 32 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 339 - - 340 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 12 - - 39 - - 26 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94883 21 338 23 318 32 316 36 309 31 326 94883 88248 20 346 22 336 23 314 29 321 30 339 88248 83021 15 357 25 343 24 339 23 338 22 340 83021 78599 23 360 29 335 36 345 29 347 26 346 78599 74738 29 347 26 327 33 332 29 340 28 338 74738 71301 24 338 21 331 25 325 28 331 28 330 71301 68161 27 337 26 340 26 334 27 333 32 332 68161 65252 35 333 35 340 31 342 29 340 32 337 65252 62530 45 329 42 338 40 338 37 343 33 344 62530 59872 51 324 48 333 47 332 45 340 43 345 59872 57084 54 323 53 328 52 329 54 334 53 339 57084 54181 56 325 56 326 57 326 62 330 59 334 54181 51397 58 327 58 329 59 325 63 327 61 327 51397 48877 59 327 60 329 61 326 63 324 60 322 48877 46609 61 325 63 327 64 326 64 321 61 322 46609 44544 62 324 66 325 67 324 66 320 64 323 44544 42648 61 322 67 320 69 320 69 320 67 323 42648 40895 59 320 63 316 68 315 70 318 67 319 40895 39272 59 319 62 313 65 313 68 314 66 313 39272 37766 63 316 65 311 65 315 66 314 63 308 37766 36380 69 313 65 307 67 312 63 316 57 309 36380 35081 72 308 64 305 68 307 63 314 56 312 35081 33808 78 306 65 303 66 306 64 306 61 310 33808 32528 84 303 66 303 65 307 62 301 66 305 32528 31236 84 303 71 303 65 307 60 301 67 303 31236 29916 83 305 77 303 64 305 57 303 63 307 29916 28556 82 306 79 303 65 305 56 303 62 311 28556 27161 78 308 77 305 65 306 56 302 61 311 27161 25732 75 311 72 308 65 306 57 302 59 305 25732 24273 72 314 68 311 62 306 56 303 56 301 24273 22788 67 317 64 312 58 306 54 303 52 301 22788 21271 63 319 60 312 56 304 53 302 49 302 21271 19718 57 319 56 311 55 303 51 301 46 304 19718 18154 50 318 50 310 51 303 47 301 43 305 18154 16658 43 317 43 310 46 304 43 299 39 306 16658 15301 39 317 37 311 40 306 38 301 33 306 15301 14090 36 317 33 312 35 309 32 304 28 306 14090 13005 33 318 31 314 31 313 28 309 23 308 13005 12025 29 317 28 316 28 315 24 311 19 313 12025 11140 25 317 26 318 24 315 21 311 16 317 11140 10340 20 317 22 320 20 313 17 304 12 314 10340 9620 16 316 17 321 15 309 13 291 10 304 9620 8971 11 312 12 315 11 298 12 274 8 285 8971 8380 6 295 9 300 8 280 9 254 7 264 8380 7847 4 250 6 271 5 234 8 219 7 245 7847 7396 4 226 3 235 5 179 7 189 6 229 7396 7046 4 227 2 217 3 172 5 175 4 223 7046 6802 4 223 2 214 1 145 2 165 3 218 6802 6653 4*231 2 220 0*109 0 219 3 231 6653 6568 4*236 2*243 0*056 1*333 3*242 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography