DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.4 - - 49.6 - - 54.4 - - 43.8 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 25 - - 40 - - -2 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 132 - - 1242 - - 2741 - - 741 - - 263 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 93 - - 107 - - 9 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 130 - - 248 - - 027 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4443 - - -4057 - - -4964 - - -1391 - - -2791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11014 - - 10627 - - 11536 - - 7963 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -13860 - - -10666 - - -10458 - - -8686 - - -10841 ODpotential blCL 20430 - - 17236 - - 17029 - - 15257 - - 17411 blCL maxRH 63 - - 76 - - 61 - - 72 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.4 - - 49.6 - - 54.4 - - 43.8 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.1 - - 26.3 - - 26.9 - - 31.9 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.1 - - 49.0 - - 53.6 - - 47.8 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.0 - - 25.2 - - 25.8 - - 31.0 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 25 - - 40 - - -2 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95913 21 312 22 304 11 314 7 339 14 302 95913 88973 13 328 14 306 11 312 11 350 9 316 88973 83592 8 325 9 314 10 309 10 002 8 352 83592 79090 7 352 6 309 15 298 10 345 10 355 79090 75167 7 350 2 284 11 267 15 310 15 350 75167 71669 11 314 8 306 10 267 17 286 13 324 71669 68493 9 309 6 289 7 240 14 260 11 305 68493 65560 14 291 13 297 13 278 14 279 14 311 65560 62843 19 261 21 267 19 267 18 270 21 293 62843 60229 17 271 21 267 22 281 22 274 31 283 60229 57519 23 277 25 267 27 263 31 273 41 262 57519 54720 38 280 30 275 25 259 36 263 38 246 54720 52039 52 278 48 281 36 271 39 266 32 254 52039 49615 63 273 61 273 50 273 53 270 44 266 49615 47441 61 275 65 270 66 268 70 265 69 266 47441 45477 61 282 63 272 69 267 68 261 74 258 45477 43696 62 286 61 277 66 272 60 262 69 253 43696 42060 52 285 54 276 58 272 55 265 63 253 42060 40531 40 284 46 273 48 268 52 262 52 252 40531 39090 42 289 45 278 42 271 49 256 45 250 39090 37736 45 291 45 282 39 273 45 256 42 251 37736 36440 40 288 42 281 38 270 37 256 37 248 36440 35140 32 286 37 276 35 263 35 255 34 241 35140 33813 25 289 33 268 29 258 32 251 29 232 33813 32460 21 291 26 268 27 252 27 245 28 228 32460 31071 19 289 20 260 24 238 25 233 28 224 31071 29636 15 282 19 243 27 226 29 228 32 225 29636 28166 13 268 22 231 30 225 34 225 36 228 28166 26664 13 250 24 231 28 223 35 219 37 223 26664 25138 14 248 21 229 26 222 32 214 36 215 25138 23591 15 257 18 234 23 219 31 211 34 210 23591 22013 16 269 16 243 19 219 28 207 33 206 22013 20397 12 281 10 252 14 217 22 198 32 200 20397 18766 11 289 7 248 12 210 19 191 32 193 18766 17204 12 283 8 249 12 208 19 187 30 187 17204 15783 13 274 11 245 13 211 19 185 28 185 15783 14511 11 267 11 236 13 209 19 183 25 187 14511 13368 8 257 11 228 14 205 18 184 22 189 13368 12337 7 238 12 222 15 203 17 187 20 190 12337 11404 8 223 12 219 16 202 16 192 19 191 11404 10560 10 219 13 215 16 201 15 196 18 191 10560 9801 11 216 13 207 15 199 14 197 17 191 9801 9116 10 211 12 200 14 196 12 197 15 190 9116 8490 9 204 10 196 11 195 10 198 14 192 8490 7927 8 201 9 194 8 199 7 194 12 191 7927 7449 7 201 7 188 4 214 3 167 9 186 7449 7077 7 199 5 185 3 230 2 092 7 176 7077 6819 7 194 3 178 2 237 2 056 6 171 6819 6661 6*198 1 152 2*245 2*038 6*177 6661 6570 5*210 1*130 2*248 1*027 4*203 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography