DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.3 - - 40.4 - - 32.8 - - 31.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - -22 - - -40 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 228 - - 543 - - 66 - - 60 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 46 - - 27 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 203 - - 184 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -8 - - -13 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4248 - - -2290 - - -1659 - - -3137 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10818 - - 8860 - - 8229 - - 9707 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12677 - - -10176 - - -11512 - - -13621 ODpotential blCL - - - 19247 - - 16746 - - 18082 - - 20191 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 48 - - 41 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.3 - - 40.4 - - 32.8 - - 31.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.7 - - 25.0 - - 20.3 - - 12.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 42.8 - - 37.7 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.7 - - 23.8 - - 19.2 - - 11.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - -22 - - -40 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96644 63 041 72 044 74 042 66 060 96644 89670 49 032 48 039 55 042 54 050 89670 84241 42 038 39 043 39 048 36 040 84241 79697 38 057 29 048 31 047 25 039 79697 75721 32 061 15 057 23 036 20 035 75721 72161 22 041 12 056 11 030 15 004 72161 68935 16 008 11 357 10 007 12 353 68935 65959 17 359 12 335 13 001 17 338 65959 63205 20 328 27 318 26 325 30 305 63205 60580 25 329 32 332 31 326 32 314 60580 57847 31 330 34 334 30 328 30 321 57847 54983 35 318 35 315 33 312 34 317 54983 52239 37 302 37 302 42 304 36 302 52239 49762 36 294 40 295 44 298 39 304 49762 47530 37 294 45 291 48 294 46 304 47530 45498 43 294 47 290 48 292 49 300 45498 43633 47 290 46 289 44 289 46 294 43633 41915 47 286 46 288 38 289 41 294 41915 40334 39 279 47 287 40 288 38 292 40334 38875 33 280 41 282 41 284 36 292 38875 37524 32 290 34 279 35 278 38 283 37524 36245 32 298 30 290 31 275 38 267 36245 34972 30 296 25 302 29 279 32 258 34972 33675 28 292 25 303 25 280 26 261 33675 32355 27 291 25 299 22 280 25 269 32355 30999 27 287 24 303 20 284 30 275 30999 29598 27 284 24 301 22 284 36 277 29598 28154 26 284 25 293 28 284 38 278 28154 26672 26 280 26 287 32 278 37 278 26672 25153 26 271 29 281 32 273 34 275 25153 23604 26 268 29 275 29 271 33 269 23604 22018 27 263 28 269 28 267 29 267 22018 20392 28 261 28 262 29 258 26 263 20392 18752 26 256 29 257 29 256 25 259 18752 17179 24 253 29 255 28 259 23 259 17179 15749 23 250 29 255 27 262 20 262 15749 14471 22 246 27 252 26 263 17 266 14471 13325 22 244 25 249 25 262 16 265 13325 12292 22 243 24 245 23 260 15 262 12292 11360 21 242 22 241 22 257 15 258 11360 10518 20 239 20 236 21 252 15 254 10518 9763 19 234 19 230 19 245 16 247 9763 9084 18 228 19 224 18 238 16 241 9084 8464 17 224 18 222 17 231 16 237 8464 7907 16 222 18 217 17 224 17 234 7907 7435 16 215 17 210 17 214 18 227 7435 7069 14 205 15 205 15 202 17 217 7069 6814 10 197 11 206 12 192 14 210 6814 6658 7*187 9*205 9*183 10*201 6658 6570 3*183 5*203 5*184 6*199 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography