DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.9 - - 45.7 - - 50.7 - - 44.9 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 63 - - 90 - - -28 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 3215 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6554 - - 7787 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6571 - - 9444 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 193 - - 2236 - - 3114 - - 3339 - - 502 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 121 - - 287 - - 23 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 22 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 238 - - 259 - - 225 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -7 - - -13 - - -7 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -894 - - -888 - - 1073 - - -579 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7464 - - 7459 - - 8371 - - 7149 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -8254 - - -3877 - - -834 - - -3396 - - -4251 ODpotential blCL 14824 - - 10448 - - 10278 - - 9966 - - 10821 blCL maxRH 94 - - 91 - - 85 - - 71 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.9 - - 45.7 - - 50.7 - - 44.9 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.4 - - 36.0 - - 36.9 - - 36.5 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.0 - - 46.2 - - 49.9 - - 47.1 - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.1 - - 35.8 - - 36.2 - - 36.4 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 63 - - 90 - - -28 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 342 - - 3215 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 64 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96777 4 256 6 316 4 271 8 025 7 320 96777 89627 4 032 5 350 7 236 8 017 11 310 89627 84104 4 046 3 163 5 253 3 015 6 331 84104 79509 1 160 4 200 8 243 9 287 6 321 79509 75522 5 307 7 168 6 200 11 284 11 299 75522 71986 14 246 14 244 10 244 13 261 16 290 71986 68792 12 258 17 243 16 251 16 245 9 303 68792 65847 20 273 18 273 14 276 12 275 12 313 65847 63120 21 281 23 286 21 293 26 299 27 303 63120 60511 19 324 15 310 19 276 31 291 32 289 60511 57815 23 311 14 317 13 248 27 270 39 274 57815 55017 29 293 29 304 23 278 30 266 42 265 55017 52331 41 286 37 288 37 278 41 273 44 274 52331 49912 44 276 48 275 53 277 55 281 55 280 49912 47755 44 272 56 268 60 275 64 279 62 279 47755 45798 45 273 59 264 63 273 66 274 63 278 45798 43988 50 276 62 266 64 271 69 271 65 278 43988 42299 57 278 67 272 68 269 72 271 67 275 42299 40723 65 277 75 275 75 268 74 271 69 270 40723 39262 74 276 83 273 81 266 75 270 71 265 39262 37905 80 273 85 272 80 269 74 270 70 262 37905 36613 82 271 84 276 78 277 71 276 66 270 36613 35321 82 274 85 279 79 281 67 281 64 276 35321 34001 84 277 85 280 79 282 64 282 63 278 34001 32656 88 279 86 281 79 283 66 278 63 281 32656 31274 90 277 87 284 79 283 69 276 64 283 31274 29846 91 276 88 288 79 283 72 276 64 284 29846 28374 90 276 89 290 78 282 73 277 64 285 28374 26861 84 278 88 290 78 282 74 280 64 285 26861 25312 78 280 87 290 78 282 73 284 64 285 25312 23731 74 282 85 289 76 284 71 286 64 285 23731 22116 69 282 80 287 73 285 71 286 64 284 22116 20462 65 279 74 283 70 285 70 285 63 283 20462 18796 63 277 67 279 68 284 67 285 62 284 18796 17203 61 276 63 276 65 284 63 288 59 287 17203 15757 57 274 60 274 61 287 56 292 54 292 15757 14472 52 273 58 274 53 291 45 299 45 299 14472 13323 46 273 53 274 41 293 32 303 33 302 13323 12292 41 276 46 277 31 287 23 299 20 294 12292 11363 35 279 37 278 27 278 21 290 12 280 11363 10525 29 281 30 274 26 274 21 280 11 272 10525 9772 27 278 29 265 25*268 23 269 14 272 9772 9093 27 272 31 255 24*263 24 261 18 270 9093 8472 30 265 30 248 24 261 24 254 23 264 8472 7914 32 252 26 244 23 259 24 250 27 255 7914 7441 30 241 23 242 22 258 23 247 27 245 7441 7073 24 231 21 242 22 258 19 243 23 239 7073 6816 18 221 18 241 20 257 15 239 17 230 6816 6660 13*211 15*240 18 257 12 235 12*223 6660 6570 6*201 9*238 11 256 6*225 6*214 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography