DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.6 - - 29.9 - - 30.6 - - 28.8 - - 25.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - -5 - - -12 - - -27 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2232 - - 3430 - - 4344 - - 3488 - - 1145 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 38 - - 38 - - 30 - - 23 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 258 - - 260 - - 266 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -6 - - -5 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -40 - - 0 - - -31 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6569 - - 6609 - - 6569 - - 6601 sfcLCL ODpotential -2212 - - -1953 - - -2109 - - -2418 - - -3081 ODpotential blCL 8781 - - 8522 - - 8678 - - 8987 - - 9650 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 27.6 - - 29.9 - - 30.6 - - 28.8 - - 25.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 24.4 - - 24.6 - - 23.7 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.3 - - 30.0 - - 31.3 - - 30.8 - - 28.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.3 - - 23.9 - - 23.9 - - 23.3 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - -5 - - -12 - - -27 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 103 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96489 42 084 32 070 37 079 30 094 22 081 96489 89247 34 068 24 070 22 077 18 071 17 052 89247 83632 20 063 23 069 11 075 16 035 16 030 83632 78981 15 059 8 058 4 001 18 359 17 031 78981 74958 10 011 9 112 2 164 2 046 12 050 74958 71356 8 321 10 289 12 294 14 294 13 359 71356 68106 17 317 17 278 20 271 17 261 22 295 68106 65147 22 277 8 325 18 258 14 272 22 257 65147 62373 22 288 23 306 26 278 33 280 17 257 62373 59668 24 259 34 262 34 293 31 296 37 294 59668 56900 19 253 25 270 45 264 37 284 49 292 56900 54046 24 255 29 275 22 264 24 269 41 300 54046 51288 31 252 29 296 40 319 25 297 45 310 51288 48789 48 300 56 312 61 320 56 314 51 312 48789 46550 77 307 74 312 68 318 67 312 58 312 46550 44520 90 307 81 312 76 317 75 311 64 313 44520 42660 98 308 87 313 84 315 80 313 68 316 42660 40940 104 308 94 314 88 314 82 315 74 318 40940 39341 105 308 101 316 88 316 83 317 80 319 39341 37854 105 312 105 317 89 319 85 318 86 319 37854 36475 109 315 105 319 93 321 90 318 89 319 36475 35171 114 316 104 320 99 320 94 318 90 320 35171 33878 114 315 104 320 104 319 96 318 88 321 33878 32565 111 315 103 320 104 318 96 318 86 322 32565 31234 108 315 102 320 103 318 97 318 86 324 31234 29876 105 316 100 320 104 319 97 318 87 325 29876 28484 100 315 95 319 106 320 94 316 87 326 28484 27064 96 312 87 316 106 321 89 315 83 326 27064 25619 89 311 75 313 100 321 81 315 76 325 25619 24155 74 311 62 313 88 319 73 316 67 322 24155 22673 56 313 52 318 74 317 66 316 58 319 22673 21168 48 316 47 321 59 312 58 315 51 319 21168 19633 47 322 43 321 47 309 49 311 45 318 19633 18093 45 324 40 320 39 309 40 303 39 317 18093 16623 46 323 38 319 33 313 33 296 33 315 16623 15292 49 321 37 320 31 319 27 298 30 314 15292 14100 50 319 38 323 33 323 26 307 29 314 14100 13026 49 317 39 324 33 323 27 313 29 314 13026 12055 46 313 39 324 32 321 27 315 29 313 12055 11173 42 309 38 324 30 317 27 314 28 311 11173 10375 39 304 33 320 27 311 25 310 26 309 10375 9654 37 299 29 314 24 302 23 302 25 305 9654 9003 36 294 25 304 22 291 22 293 24 300 9003 8407 36 288 25 290 22 281 24 285 23 294 8407 7869 36 283 25 277 24 272 25 279 24 289 7869 7412 33 277 25 270 23 268 25 275 24 284 7412 7056 29 271 22 264 22 266 23 272 22 281 7056 6808 23 266 19 260 18 263 19 269 18 275 6808 6656 19*265 16 259 15*262 15*268 14*271 6656 6569 11*263 10*258 9*260 8*266 6*264 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography