DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 35.5 - - 37.2 - - 33.9 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -69 - - -25 - - -6 - - -12 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 49 - - 138 - - 602 - - 320 - - 87 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 37 - - 29 - - 17 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 221 - - 191 - - 173 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -11 - - -6 - - -10 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4015 - - -1620 - - -1127 - - -876 - - -583 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10585 - - 8190 - - 7698 - - 7446 - - 7154 sfcLCL ODpotential -15352 - - -10388 - - -7980 - - -8255 - - -7519 ODpotential blCL 21922 - - 16958 - - 14550 - - 14825 - - 14089 blCL maxRH 40 - - 45 - - 74 - - 87 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 35.5 - - 37.2 - - 33.9 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.8 - - 23.0 - - 26.8 - - 24.5 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 39.0 - - 39.3 - - 38.6 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.0 - - 22.1 - - 25.6 - - 23.4 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -69 - - -25 - - -6 - - -12 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96164 25 270 22 296 25 314 21 309 19 289 96164 89246 8 297 9 334 16 353 14 003 8 343 89246 83815 7 026 10 034 12 013 10 017 11 359 83815 79236 10 056 10 057 9 342 10 350 11 017 79236 75259 6 039 8 056 6 317 17 329 15 022 75259 71740 10 355 4 014 5 298 19 323 11 006 71740 68574 13 333 7 324 6 289 17 315 9 340 68574 65668 15 311 9 312 5 296 14 284 15 297 65668 62966 13 291 11 297 10 299 13 268 19 275 62966 60351 11 315 13 285 14 304 11 274 13 255 60351 57618 15 320 10 281 12 277 14 262 12 256 57618 54767 15 293 8 307 10 243 14 249 20 254 54767 52022 14 255 7 287 10 231 12 228 27 239 52022 49529 10 217 11 257 8 243 15 222 28 240 49529 47285 12 202 21 227 21 234 21 244 25 246 47285 45246 20 212 25 229 25 244 22 250 23 245 45246 43383 19 210 30 220 28 251 25 247 26 245 43383 41665 20 224 24 211 29 234 28 236 30 243 41665 40069 27 222 28 207 30 203 29 218 30 233 40069 38588 25 219 31 204 30 192 30 197 26 215 38588 37223 27 216 31 207 32 193 28 186 19 196 37223 35938 28 213 33 202 30 184 30 183 22 185 35938 34663 26 211 33 196 31 185 29 180 21 160 34663 33367 25 211 29 190 31 186 30 183 22 155 33367 32054 21 213 23 181 31 186 29 185 24 165 32054 30705 19 216 21 179 30 185 23 176 25 177 30705 29315 18 215 21 185 29 185 21 172 24 189 29315 27885 17 201 22 193 28 186 20 173 21 194 27885 26418 19 200 23 198 26 188 21 173 20 190 26418 24916 19 211 21 203 21 189 18 175 19 184 24916 23383 13 226 16 207 15 187 16 185 16 186 23383 21817 8 233 10 213 12 185 15 200 12 195 21817 20214 4 216 6 192 11 199 12 218 7 221 20214 18597 4 192 6 194 10 218 9 235 6 245 18597 17047 5 181 7 207 9 233 9 234 11 242 17047 15640 6 173 8 219 9 234 12 230 14 253 15640 14384 6 173 9 226 10 225 14 237 15 254 14384 13257 6 184 9 219 12 214 15 244 15 254 13257 12240 7 195 10 205 13 208 16 242 15 253 12240 11320 8 198 11 195 14 207 15 234 16 252 11320 10489 8 196 10 191 14 210 14 225 17 249 10489 9742 8 193 10 194 14 216 14 222 18 245 9742 9069 8 192 11 201 15 222 13 223 18 243 9069 8455 9 195 12 203 15 225 14 223 17 242 8455 7901 10 190 11 202 17 221 15 218 18 239 7901 7432 11 183 10 200 16 215 16 209 19 228 7432 7067 11 182 9 202 13 212 14 200 18 218 7067 6813 11 186 9 211 8 210 10 193 14 208 6813 6658 10*197 7*218 6*207 7*185 10*195 6658 6570 8*206 4*221 2*191 4*173 5*182 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography