DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.8 - - 38.6 - - 41.7 - - 35.6 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - 19 - - 12 - - -32 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 264 - - 1232 - - 3045 - - 363 - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 86 - - 77 - - 17 - - 25 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 210 - - 229 - - 198 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -12 - - -8 - - -10 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - -299 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6570 - - 6570 - - 6869 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -5363 - - -3155 - - -2082 - - -2717 - - -3860 ODpotential blCL 11933 - - 9725 - - 8652 - - 9287 - - 10430 blCL maxRH 83 - - 88 - - 87 - - 79 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.8 - - 38.6 - - 41.7 - - 35.6 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.6 - - 33.4 - - 34.5 - - 33.4 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.2 - - 38.2 - - 41.4 - - 37.7 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.1 - - 32.6 - - 33.5 - - 33.3 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - 19 - - 12 - - -32 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 54 - - 48 - - 15 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 27 026 26 001 24 007 29 017 25 045 96264 89339 22 350 17 003 20 360 21 008 23 026 89339 83896 20 329 18 006 15 357 16 006 17 002 83896 79321 22 317 21 349 14 338 17 337 12 349 79321 75329 23 323 19 327 16 325 18 308 16 321 75329 71784 22 319 18 288 20 308 20 305 26 319 71784 68574 19 294 11 316 20 296 20 299 23 321 68574 65597 28 292 33 278 21 326 22 335 20 323 65597 62831 34 293 42 268 31 293 31 290 34 293 62831 60201 39 299 44 282 38 291 36 290 41 293 60201 57464 54 302 50 292 46 296 45 296 50 296 57464 54602 69 288 57 298 60 299 58 292 59 294 54602 51872 72 281 72 295 71 297 66 291 70 292 51872 49405 69 283 81 291 78 297 73 293 75 289 49405 47162 78 291 85 296 86 301 82 296 74 293 47162 45105 87 294 94 303 100 302 91 297 89 298 45105 43216 85 298 108 304 109 298 97 297 97 297 43216 41481 85 305 111 301 103 296 96 299 90 296 41481 39879 104 309 105 302 95 301 99 306 82 301 39879 38399 139 310 108 306 103 307 108 308 100 309 38399 37040 154 310 116 308 116 308 111 306 118 306 37040 35769 151 310 124 307 120 306 105 304 117 298 35769 34505 143 310 129 306 113 304 103 302 104 299 34505 33211 114 309 124 306 106 304 105 301 100 305 33211 31891 101 308 110 305 101 304 101 299 106 305 31891 30538 91 300 95 302 96 306 93 296 97 304 30538 29143 90 295 87 297 90 307 83 297 89 301 29143 27711 83 296 82 294 84 308 75 299 80 302 27711 26244 70 296 72 292 79 308 70 298 74 299 26244 24745 60 292 62 290 72 306 66 297 74 293 24745 23217 55 287 61 290 65 303 61 296 67 285 23217 21659 54 285 60 290 61 299 55 297 52 277 21659 20070 54 286 58 289 56 294 48 294 42 273 20070 18476 54 289 56 287 52 290 42 283 40 267 18476 16950 53 291 54 288 48 285 42 272 40 266 16950 15562 50 292 52 290 44 283 43 273 39 269 15562 14321 48 290 51 293 40 283 41 277 37 272 14321 13206 45 289 48 294 36 282 37 278 36 274 13206 12201 42 287 42 295 32 278 32 275 35 275 12201 11290 38 285 34 292 28 270 30 271 35 273 11290 10467 33 282 27 285 27 262 31 266 36 270 10467 9725 30 275 22 274 28 253 32 255 36 265 9725 9057 30 267 20 260 27 244 34 243 36 257 9057 8446 32 258 22 244 25 238 33 235 35 246 8446 7895 34 249 24 233 23 235 31 232 34 237 7895 7428 31 239 23 225 21 234 27 229 31 227 7428 7065 25 228 20 216 19 232 22 224 26 216 7065 6813 18 216 18 215 16 231 17 215 20 206 6813 6658 13*208 15*213 13*230 12*208 15*200 6658 6570 6*198 9*210 9*229 6*198 8*193 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography