DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.3 - - 34.9 - - 35.4 - - 30.8 - - 22.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 57 - - 74 - - -5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 486 - - 2520 - - 5137 - - 2556 - - 2634 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 117 - - 126 - - 27 - - 46 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 233 - - 259 - - 262 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -7 - - -4 - - -1 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1357 - - -1511 - - -1325 - - 0 - - -737 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7927 - - 8081 - - 7894 - - 6569 - - 7306 sfcLCL ODpotential -6357 - - -4269 - - -3133 - - -1505 - - -3539 ODpotential blCL 12926 - - 10838 - - 9702 - - 8074 - - 10108 blCL maxRH 87 - - 88 - - 93 - - 95 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.3 - - 34.9 - - 35.4 - - 30.8 - - 22.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.8 - - 22.5 - - 23.8 - - 27.0 - - 14.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.9 - - 34.7 - - 35.0 - - 31.4 - - 23.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.1 - - 21.4 - - 22.9 - - 27.0 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 57 - - 74 - - -5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 51 - - 73 - - 80 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96501 31 098 36 085 42 089 37 087 44 071 96501 89434 26 085 29 080 38 085 36 092 41 076 89434 83887 25 076 25 069 30 080 34 084 35 079 83887 79219 20 064 21 074 18 075 29 068 27 072 79219 75176 18 054 13 066 13 047 19 053 24 059 75176 71589 17 037 11 066 11 026 12 038 19 041 71589 68335 16 033 9 027 9 003 15 017 17 008 68335 65340 13 003 12 346 13 003 16 352 13 353 65340 62554 17 345 15 306 17 323 14 321 10 328 62554 59833 23 342 16 307 20 310 12 317 17 336 59833 56976 33 310 31 306 27 307 21 310 14 303 56976 53987 34 293 34 294 35 300 28 307 26 318 53987 51135 32 291 33 295 44 296 40 308 46 306 51135 48604 32 292 38 296 42 295 48 299 42 301 48604 46356 35 297 39 297 37 306 43 310 34 291 46356 44315 42 295 40 304 46 310 50 314 34 291 44315 42441 48 289 44 305 51 301 52 310 36 305 42441 40718 50 288 46 301 47 300 46 301 52 322 40718 39138 51 289 48 299 46 316 41 315 70 329 39138 37681 57 289 49 301 51 319 55 324 91 329 37681 36330 64 284 50 300 52 316 66 322 111 323 36330 35050 66 273 48 293 51 312 73 320 121 317 35050 33776 68 262 48 288 50 307 73 319 112 318 33776 32479 69 261 52 286 46 306 69 322 104 329 32479 31169 70 264 53 284 48 306 68 322 109 337 31169 29833 71 265 49 281 50 301 59 314 114 338 29833 28459 71 264 43 278 41 294 49 303 112 337 28459 27047 68 265 38 276 37 296 44 298 104 336 27047 25601 66 266 38 272 35 302 40 295 92 337 25601 24129 65 268 42 267 34 307 38 294 82 335 24129 22637 64 270 46 266 34 312 38 294 75 330 22637 21122 61 270 45 270 34 311 37 295 67 325 21122 19580 56 269 42 274 33 306 36 297 54 318 19580 18037 48 270 38 277 30 306 33 303 45 310 18037 16563 41 271 35 278 28 308 31 309 38 308 16563 15226 36 275 30 276 26 309 29 310 31 308 15226 14030 30 278 25 271 24 306 28 305 27 313 14030 12956 25 278 22 265 23 297 26 298 26 321 12956 11987 24 273 22 263 24 283 25 288 29 328 11987 11109 26 267 21 264 23 276 25 280 32 334 11109 10316 26 263 21 265 20 278 24 275 34 342 10316 9603 26 261 21 264 16 284 24 272 34 352 9603 8960 26 259 20 260 15 283 24 272 33 001 8960 8374 26 253 20 250 14 268 23 271 30 005 8374 7845 25 245 18 240 14 260 22 270 26 003 7845 7397 22 237 16 235 14 259 20 268 23 001 7397 7047 18 226 15 235 13 258 17 266 22 358 7047 6804 13 214 14 234 13 258 14 264 19 356 6804 6655 9*201 12*234 11*258 11*263 17*356 6655 6569 4*191 8*233 7*259 6*262 11*354 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography