DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.9 - - 28.1 - - 31.7 - - 29.7 - - 30.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 16 - - 5 - - -22 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 178 - - 1063 - - 1493 - - 1075 - - 1091 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 77 - - 57 - - 7 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 227 - - 230 - - 213 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -8 - - -7 - - -10 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -5081 - - -3055 - - -3052 - - -3540 - - -3473 ODpotential blCL 11650 - - 9624 - - 9621 - - 10109 - - 10043 blCL maxRH 92 - - 87 - - 86 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.9 - - 28.1 - - 31.7 - - 29.7 - - 30.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.0 - - 24.9 - - 27.1 - - 27.8 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.2 - - 29.1 - - 31.8 - - 31.5 - - 32.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 25.6 - - 26.4 - - 27.8 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 16 - - 5 - - -22 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 49 - - 43 - - 92 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96335 25 052 18 058 23 053 24 056 22 066 96335 89242 20 053 21 047 23 053 24 047 19 038 89242 83726 24 026 18 024 22 012 26 021 26 029 83726 79097 22 022 17 025 20 003 24 000 32 009 79097 75088 24 013 21 006 19 359 15 004 23 343 75088 71508 16 336 25 007 19 005 19 042 15 341 71508 68247 9 360 32 329 28 336 24 343 23 332 68247 65273 7 328 9 001 21 303 23 336 22 350 65273 62513 10 357 14 053 21 240 30 358 30 002 62513 59837 50 344 17 334 30 301 49 329 40 336 59837 57074 57 330 46 314 49 309 46 304 35 324 57074 54203 51 324 45 317 42 311 35 305 30 320 54203 51445 43 317 42 330 37 314 49 321 43 319 51445 48979 45 310 45 322 51 313 60 313 57 319 48979 46804 56 307 52 311 62 311 62 308 67 319 46804 44869 64 306 54 308 61 317 56 320 73 323 44869 43122 70 312 58 318 66 335 75 339 80 330 43122 41518 75 319 72 331 90 344 99 340 90 334 41518 40024 74 329 88 337 107 340 111 337 99 334 40024 38619 82 346 97 338 102 332 108 334 102 330 38619 37297 84 350 95 337 88 324 101 331 93 325 37297 36028 79 348 87 336 70 321 97 329 79 322 36028 34752 71 345 76 335 71 321 93 328 83 322 34752 33444 63 340 69 331 76 323 87 325 87 321 33444 32111 59 335 70 327 76 325 84 323 83 320 32111 30742 59 330 71 324 75 324 81 323 77 316 30742 29331 62 326 68 322 72 324 76 323 72 312 29331 27879 66 324 65 320 69 324 71 324 67 310 27879 26391 65 323 64 319 66 321 65 326 63 311 26391 24871 61 321 63 317 65 319 63 326 60 312 24871 23323 57 320 60 315 65 318 62 323 58 314 23323 21743 52 320 56 312 65 316 59 319 58 315 21743 20129 47 320 52 309 63 313 57 316 58 316 20129 18508 40 321 50 305 57 310 55 315 55 317 18508 16961 36 318 47 301 51 306 53 314 52 316 16961 15559 35 310 45 299 46 303 51 313 49 315 15559 14308 35 302 40 299 43 301 48 309 46 314 14308 13186 34 296 36 299 40 299 45 304 43 311 13186 12175 32 293 32 299 37 298 40 296 41 306 12175 11262 29 292 28 299 33 296 36 287 37 297 11262 10438 27 291 24 300 29 293 33 277 34 284 10438 9698 24 290 20 298 25 285 32 270 36 275 9698 9033 22 286 18 291 23 274 34 266 41 268 9033 8426 21 278 19 278 24 263 35 260 42 261 8426 7881 22 272 20 266 23 251 34 250 40 254 7881 7419 24 262 20 251 19 239 30 240 34 247 7419 7060 21 251 16 240 17 236 24 233 27 241 7060 6810 16 242 14 238 14 235 18 228 21 237 6810 6657 11*236 11 234 11*233 14 225 16*234 6657 6570 4*210 6*227 6*230 6*213 7*225 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography