DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 64.6 - - 63.6 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 289 - - 344 - - 102 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3248 - - 6549 - - 5064 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8365 - - 11010 - - 9190 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9477 - - 12778 - - 11293 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4295 - - 1758 - - 3019 - - 195 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 422 - - 562 - - 346 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 18 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 255 - - 246 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -17 - - -19 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3407 - - -2933 - - -5236 - - -7711 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12884 - - 15712 - - 16530 - - 14283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8509 - - -9104 - - -12888 - - -15408 ODpotential blCL - - - 17986 - - 21882 - - 24181 - - 21979 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 35 - - 37 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 64.6 - - 63.6 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.7 - - 18.3 - - 13.9 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 62.5 - - 62.9 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.7 - - 17.6 - - 13.3 - - 13.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 289 - - 344 - - 102 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3248 - - 6549 - - 5064 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99220 11 138 8 133 1 049 9 089 99220 91769 9 137 5 081 5 131 7 104 91769 86000 7 150 8 162 2 036 8 085 86000 81202 7 145 11 163 5 111 3 041 81202 77058 5 156 3 119 9 144 2 082 77058 73382 8 167 3 171 5 124 10 151 73382 70058 10 185 10 209 6 298 3 133 70058 67005 8 199 11 196 7 240 6 322 67005 64186 8 224 9 234 11 225 14 265 64186 61475 9 194 12 212 16 183 17 218 61475 58634 20 243 20 229 19 250 18 233 58634 55661 27 222 27 229 29 245 26 240 55661 52821 31 240 29 245 31 246 32 252 52821 50281 39 249 38 258 40 254 40 261 50281 48022 48 247 48 253 43 258 41 260 48022 45983 54 244 49 253 46 264 40 263 45983 44123 56 245 55 252 43 259 40 264 44123 42415 60 246 50 253 40 268 41 273 42415 40841 60 249 49 266 40 272 38 273 40841 39382 68 262 52 267 40 272 35 280 39382 38023 75 259 49 264 38 275 36 283 38023 36728 69 262 45 270 37 280 39 284 36728 35430 66 274 42 278 38 285 40 282 35430 34102 68 281 42 283 39 285 41 281 34102 32747 69 279 43 282 39 284 42 282 32747 31355 69 276 44 278 39 285 42 281 31355 29917 69 276 46 275 38 285 42 278 29917 28439 69 276 48 276 37 285 42 275 28439 26921 68 274 50 277 36 280 43 273 26921 25370 66 270 52 278 39 279 43 275 25370 23790 64 266 51 279 42 281 40 278 23790 22181 57 265 51 278 41 282 37 281 22181 20536 47 263 49 273 39 281 35 282 20536 18883 46 261 45 268 37 279 32 281 18883 17303 47 263 41 267 34 281 27 278 17303 15868 45 266 37 271 27 280 21 277 15868 14588 40 264 29 275 21 276 15 280 14588 13439 37 258 22*272 19 268 13 281 13439 12400 37 255 20*268 18 261 12 277 12400 11460 36 257 20 265 18*258 13 268 11460 10608 31 262 19 261 18*253 17 256 10608 9841 26*265 19 254 19 249 21 246 9841 9150 25*264 18 251 19 247 23 239 9150 8518 24 262 18 249 18 246 23 236 8518 7948 22 254 18 247 18 245 23 235 7948 7464 21 252 17 246 18 244 22 234 7464 7086 20 252 16 245 17 244 19 230 7086 6823 19 251 16 245 16 243 15 222 6823 6663 17 251 14 244 14 242 11*211 6663 6571 12 252 11 244 10 241 6*201 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography