DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 41.9 - - 32.9 - - 27.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 86 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 2216 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 7023 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 8445 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1886 - - 1375 - - 1325 - - 382 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 111 - - 248 - - 3 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 258 - - 267 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - -2 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2149 - - -1055 - - -179 - - -226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8719 - - 9501 - - 6748 - - 6796 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8092 - - -7039 - - -6582 - - -8374 ODpotential blCL - - - 14662 - - 15484 - - 13151 - - 14943 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 57 - - 75 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 41.9 - - 32.9 - - 27.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.6 - - 23.3 - - 26.4 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 40.8 - - 35.9 - - 32.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.3 - - 22.4 - - 26.1 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 86 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 2216 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96515 21 054 26 083 27 094 28 084 96515 89502 18 079 18 090 18 076 24 079 89502 84014 18 080 11 112 9 115 13 059 84014 79409 9 080 10 122 8 135 9 060 79409 75395 12 113 9 145 1 160 5 078 75395 71819 2 114 3 209 5 329 3 082 71819 68564 8 278 8 249 11 260 8 250 68564 65567 17 283 17 278 14 270 19 263 65567 62801 18 270 25 270 26 276 25 262 62801 60127 23 271 28 268 25 279 22 267 60127 57328 28 265 27 265 28 278 26 270 57328 54419 23 263 22 258 29 263 30 273 54419 51654 22 286 23 282 28 268 34 272 51654 49178 27 277 32 281 31 272 34 281 49178 46965 25 254 33 277 33 284 34 283 46965 44956 20 274 27 272 36 290 37 283 44956 43118 22 296 29 286 37 291 43 286 43118 41435 19 287 24 286 38 287 46 283 41435 39888 9 308 17 302 35 284 47 279 39888 38458 22 344 28 316 34 287 43 280 38458 37132 31 339 28 312 35 293 37 285 37132 35868 21 348 24 309 35 294 37 291 35868 34600 9 357 22 306 33 291 34 290 34600 33303 8 334 24 308 34 288 31 286 33303 31983 11 329 20 300 34 288 31 284 31983 30629 12 323 19 294 33 292 30 286 30629 29233 11 305 23 310 31 299 28 288 29233 27799 12 302 21 312 29 303 26 288 27799 26327 14 302 18 311 27 303 24 288 26327 24823 12 304 17 298 23 300 23 286 24823 23291 8 296 19 281 21 296 24 278 23291 21726 9 271 20 277 20 297 25 280 21726 20123 9 269 18 284 18 303 23 287 20123 18512 9 272 16 292 16 308 21 291 18512 16972 10 268 14 294 15 308 19 294 16972 15571 11 268 13 291 14 307 16 302 15571 14320 11 269 13 287 13 306 14 312 14320 13198 10 269 13 287 13 307 13 324 13198 12186 10 267 12 285 12 305 12 331 12186 11272 9 265 10 277 10 298 10 333 11272 10446 9 263 9 264 9 283 9 324 10446 9705 8 260 9 251 8 269 7 306 9705 9037 7 253 8*242 9 256 6 286 9037 8429 7 241 7*244 9 244 7 267 8429 7883 7 229 6 250 7 231 7 254 7883 7420 6 221 6 259 5 220 6 240 7420 7060 5 217 5 266 3 219 4 222 7060 6810 4 214 5 271 3 231 3 204 6810 6657 3*213 5 274 2 251 3*195 6657 6569 3*211 4 275 2*267 3*212 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography