DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 14.5 - - 19.6 - - 24.2 - - 26.9 - - 23.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 189 - - 174 - - 10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 3173 - - 4218 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6551 - - 8151 - - 8897 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 9402 - - 10447 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4206 - - 2201 - - 1710 - - 4629 - - 1110 Hgt.Variab. W* 57 - - 364 - - 391 - - 76 - - 22 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 285 - - 322 - - 315 - - 283 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 5 - - 6 - - -1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1104 - - 503 - - 815 - - -3054 - - -1403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7672 - - 8899 - - 9632 - - 9624 - - 7972 sfcLCL ODpotential -2644 - - -2193 - - -11553 - - -5863 - - -5938 ODpotential blCL 9212 - - 11595 - - 22000 - - 12432 - - 12507 blCL maxRH 68 - - 71 - - 66 - - 75 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 14.5 - - 19.6 - - 24.2 - - 26.9 - - 23.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.7 - - 4.2 - - 5.5 - - 8.3 - - 12.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 14.1 - - 18.1 - - 22.6 - - 26.5 - - 26.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.6 - - 3.1 - - 4.4 - - 7.1 - - 11.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 189 - - 174 - - 10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 3173 - - 4218 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96491 15 169 7 175 5 134 5 125 3 304 96491 89398 11 071 12 119 2 070 7 056 12 028 89398 83903 13 066 15 075 1 092 12 038 16 020 83903 79318 11 063 13 049 7 078 11 045 12 017 79318 75356 15 022 10 046 12 069 10 057 16 024 75356 71853 12 044 6 042 9 074 9 024 12 014 71853 68668 12 089 9 046 8 074 3 023 13 027 68668 65715 8 003 2 052 9 359 13 019 13 005 65715 62964 14 346 12 014 6 125 2 022 20 004 62964 60286 37 333 27 330 17 014 21 347 36 344 60286 57473 40 323 35 332 38 344 41 338 41 330 57473 54542 43 323 43 329 48 331 48 333 42 336 54542 51746 46 323 43 328 50 334 54 336 52 343 51746 49234 48 329 56 340 62 339 64 341 65 339 49234 46996 57 337 78 336 75 340 76 342 78 335 46996 45000 73 336 90 330 92 341 91 345 91 338 45000 43205 83 332 87 328 121 340 117 336 101 343 43205 41551 84 332 85 335 130 332 121 329 108 343 41551 40007 93 341 98 345 107 333 115 334 121 343 40007 38563 121 348 128 355 109 354 103 344 134 342 38563 37211 149 351 156 358 138 002 111 354 138 341 37211 35915 163 352 157 355 137 358 122 355 135 340 35915 34617 161 349 154 352 129 352 130 351 122 343 34617 33295 154 346 150 349 129 347 132 348 114 346 33295 31952 149 344 144 347 131 345 132 347 109 346 31952 30574 147 342 136 344 132 346 126 346 103 342 30574 29154 144 343 131 341 128 345 122 346 100 339 29154 27695 138 343 130 340 121 343 118 346 100 339 27695 26197 129 340 130 341 113 341 113 345 102 339 26197 24668 122 336 128 342 105 341 108 344 101 337 24668 23112 119 335 119 343 99 342 105 343 98 335 23112 21527 112 336 106 342 96 342 98 342 93 333 21527 19908 100 334 93 339 91 342 86 341 86 334 19908 18287 84 331 82 337 82 342 71 338 75 335 18287 16747 66 330 68 336 70 340 62 336 61 334 16747 15361 49 330 52 334 58 337 55 335 48 330 15361 14135 36 332 40 331 46 332 48 330 41 324 14135 13041 27 334 32 329 34 326 38 321 37 320 13041 12057 21 338 25 329 25 323 30 310 33 314 12057 11169 16 347 19 330 18*319 23 300 28 305 11169 10366 13 355 14 330 15*316 18 292 25 298 10366 9644 10 001 10*329 13 315 15 286 22 293 9644 8992 7 359 8*325 13 315 13 283 18 291 8992 8397 5 347 8 322 12 314 12 282 14 286 8397 7861 5 325 8 321 11 315 11 282 12 273 7861 7406 6 311 7 321 11 314 10 283 10 254 7406 7052 6 303 7 321 10 314 10 283 9 234 7052 6806 6 298 7 321 10 314 9 283 7 215 6806 6655 4*293 6 321 9 314 8*283 5*199 6655 6569 3*285 6 322 8 315 6*283 4*197 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography