DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.7 - - 50.1 - - 50.2 - - 45.8 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - 49 - - 54 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 6570 - - 6571 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 182 - - 4345 - - 5406 - - 5142 - - 498 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 110 - - 115 - - 0 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 205 - - 215 - - 091 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -12 - - -8 - - -1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2692 - - -3087 - - -1811 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9263 - - 9657 - - 8383 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -7989 - - -5733 - - -3155 - - -2446 - - -2537 ODpotential blCL 14559 - - 12303 - - 9726 - - 9016 - - 9107 blCL maxRH 96 - - 93 - - 100 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 90 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 42.7 - - 50.1 - - 50.2 - - 45.8 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 30.5 - - 35.9 - - 39.3 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.7 - - 49.6 - - 49.4 - - 47.4 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.8 - - 30.0 - - 35.4 - - 38.6 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - 49 - - 54 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 341 - - 342 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 74 - - 101 - - 89 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96514 29 046 24 024 23 033 18 035 15 346 96514 89536 26 057 15 055 14 027 13 034 17 350 89536 84070 25 061 17 059 11 045 11 040 15 021 84070 79462 21 057 15 054 10 048 9 028 13 041 79462 75456 14 047 13 055 8 057 8 006 14 046 75456 71904 7 029 9 057 8 069 5 008 11 028 71904 68690 11 330 6 031 2 054 6 005 6 026 68690 65729 13 290 12 292 7 320 4 309 7 009 65729 62968 16 296 16 280 11 315 12 281 9 301 62968 60295 21 285 19 276 15 283 18 278 14 280 60295 57504 22 276 21 260 17 270 20 258 19 263 57504 54592 24 273 19 252 20 263 17 257 21 255 54592 51793 26 253 26 240 24 244 18 272 16 259 51793 49257 19 257 19 228 24 226 20 245 17 236 49257 46988 23 258 14 244 24 226 20 241 14 219 46988 44953 37 230 21 236 29 232 30 233 19 227 44953 43096 41 232 31 238 32 227 29 215 28 228 43096 41387 42 230 40 233 35 223 28 201 36 198 41387 39812 40 228 45 229 40 223 26 194 33 168 39812 38360 37 227 43 228 42 223 24 203 21 178 38360 37010 35 231 43 227 46 225 28 216 16 214 37010 35721 33 228 42 225 48 224 34 218 24 223 35721 34431 28 225 39 224 46 223 39 218 40 211 34431 33124 24 213 35 223 42 222 39 217 54 198 33124 31810 23 204 29 219 38 224 36 218 48 194 31810 30471 25 223 23 206 35 227 33 219 33 199 30471 29089 31 235 21 202 34 230 33 221 23 202 29089 27665 37 234 21 216 33 230 35 221 17 199 27665 26204 39 234 25 221 25 222 34 221 17 196 26204 24713 34 238 28 221 24 215 32 222 22 190 24713 23195 21 228 28 224 27 216 30 222 20 192 23195 21648 19 232 28 225 30 221 29 224 9 203 21648 20065 27 231 27 227 29 225 26 227 6 191 20065 18471 29 227 23 223 27 225 23 228 7 191 18471 16949 24 218 23 209 25 221 20 227 9 179 16949 15569 16 214 24 202 25 215 18 217 13 171 15569 14336 14 219 25 201 26 209 18 210 15 173 14336 13226 14 223 26 202 26 208 21 207 14 190 13226 12223 15 219 25 203 23 209 22 205 13 206 12223 11315 19 208 23 205 19 209 21 205 11 216 11315 10493 22 205 23 209 17 209 20 209 9 229 10493 9752 24 207 24 218 16 210 19 212 8 241 9752 9082 25 208 24 219 15 211 18 214 7 250 9082 8467 26 205 24 217 14 212 17 215 7 245 8467 7912 26 196 21 211 13 213 14 214 6 230 7912 7440 23 185 19 207 13 213 11 212 7 204 7440 7073 20 172 17 205 12 214 8 207 7 175 7073 6817 17 171 16 205 11 214 4 195 7 153 6817 6660 13*175 13 205 10*214 3*174 6*152 6660 6570 6*187 8*205 7*215 2*091 3*195 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography