DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 70.7 - - 66.7 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 349 - - 89 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5568 - - 10130 - - 4677 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10104 - - 13907 - - 8792 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11797 - - 16359 - - 10906 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3243 - - 2430 - - 5794 - - 3903 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 484 - - 653 - - 320 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 27 - - 18 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 223 - - 252 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 18 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -36 - - -20 - - -12 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1946 - - 952 - - -4110 - - -6618 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13744 - - 15408 - - 15017 - - 13189 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5609 - - -1106 - - -6651 - - -10216 ODpotential blCL - - - 17406 - - 17465 - - 17557 - - 16787 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 73 - - 80 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.2 - - 70.7 - - 66.7 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 25.4 - - 23.5 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 68.5 - - 66.0 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 24.8 - - 23.1 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 349 - - 89 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5568 - - 10130 - - 4677 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 0 - - 20 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98950 7 046 6 082 2 057 2 262 98950 91553 2 209 6 011 13 031 8 049 91553 85846 5 153 2 003 10 034 13 060 85846 81107 8 093 6 124 2 087 11 037 81107 77019 7 076 6 079 3 121 5 042 77019 73394 3 000 2 057 2 269 5 042 73394 70092 4 242 6 232 1 307 2 161 70092 67045 10 203 5 227 7 334 1 113 67045 64217 10 156 13 212 17 259 10 292 64217 61475 11 291 9 240 14 237 7 277 61475 58609 22 267 20 262 16 245 21 186 58609 55626 40 244 28 228 39 235 30 220 55626 52760 50 222 50 236 48 238 29 232 52760 50174 50 223 56 233 43 239 42 239 50174 47865 45 236 46 239 42 234 43 237 47865 45788 51 241 49 239 46 243 43 242 45788 43898 61 237 56 238 54 242 52 247 43898 42161 67 233 61 236 57 239 55 243 42161 40557 68 229 62 236 54 243 54 239 40557 39075 72 233 63 242 58 248 56 239 39075 37704 74 232 66 246 62 246 60 239 37704 36406 65 225 67 245 61 245 61 239 36406 35112 61 226 66 241 61 242 58 238 35112 33792 61 228 66 239 62 240 55 234 33792 32450 60 226 62 238 58 242 55 233 32450 31072 60 223 56 240 54 242 51 234 31072 29651 58 222 53 241 52 240 46 232 29651 28191 56 223 54 241 48 237 46 235 28191 26694 54 223 55 241 46 232 48 238 26694 25168 51 225 55 240 45 229 51 236 25168 23615 46 225 54 237 45 228 49 229 23615 22036 41 225 52 234 44 229 42 224 22036 20426 38 227 49 232 43 235 40 228 20426 18806 40 230 45 230 40 236 40 228 18806 17256 42 231 38*225 34 225 34 218 17256 15844 42 228 32*220 29 210 31 212 15844 14579 39 223 30 219 28 210 29 213 14579 13438 36 218 30 219 26 212 27 215 13438 12404 33*215 29 219 23 220 25 218 12404 11466 33*213 28 220 21*229 22 224 11466 10617 32 212 27 223 20*239 19 233 10617 9850 32 212 26 225 19 248 17 244 9850 9159 31 211 25 227 19 251 16 253 9159 8525 30 211 25 228 19 253 15 261 8525 7954 29 210 24 230 18 255 14 267 7954 7468 28 210 23 230 18 256 13 271 7468 7089 26 209 22 231 18 257 12 272 7089 6825 24 209 21 231 17 257 8 265 6825 6664 21 209 19 231 15 258 6*260 6664 6571 15 207 14 231 11 258 3*241 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography