DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 42.2 - - 43.0 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 74 - - -7 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2200 - - 2437 - - 3295 - - 770 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 96 - - 128 - - 37 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 338 - - 348 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -486 - - -485 - - -1001 - - -1167 ODpotential blCL - - - 7056 - - 7055 - - 7571 - - 7737 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 42.2 - - 43.0 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.9 - - 39.4 - - 40.1 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 41.1 - - 43.0 - - 38.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 38.5 - - 39.6 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 74 - - -7 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 99 - - 103 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97185 4 019 16 335 14 003 17 359 97185 90096 11 046 7 359 12 014 14 041 90096 84572 7 012 4 077 9 338 3 068 84572 79997 9 322 6 312 8 313 1 138 79997 76050 4 162 3 285 9 292 7 033 76050 72535 7 139 4 150 8 253 6 323 72535 69337 4 290 7 266 9 257 7 308 69337 66385 12 260 13 254 12 254 13 297 66385 63648 13 231 17 245 15 239 17 263 63648 60993 18 251 17 236 16 226 19 234 60993 58201 27 243 22 237 19 240 19 233 58201 55283 30 234 26 231 22 251 13 245 55283 52492 29 224 25 231 23 247 15 270 52492 49976 23 222 21 236 17 237 20 270 49976 47712 17 235 17 235 15 261 20 259 47712 45648 19 230 11 228 16 262 12 265 45648 43747 17 225 8 231 10 268 10 287 43747 41979 16 218 10 237 7 281 5 289 41979 40337 18 188 9 253 7 242 1 233 40337 38814 14 164 12 223 9 227 2 071 38814 37398 12 171 10 189 1 312 2 122 37398 36055 11 166 5 151 9 036 12 059 36055 34722 10 129 8 091 12 042 24 039 34722 33375 11 100 16 076 21 056 28 038 33375 32018 11 093 21 062 36 057 36 049 32018 30639 14 101 24 059 37 057 46 050 30639 29228 18 099 28 059 38 059 46 046 29228 27787 25 100 29 058 40 056 44 048 27787 26319 32 102 24 061 41 052 42 052 26319 24823 34 095 19 064 41 052 37 053 24823 23304 34 087 16 069 38 056 32 046 23304 21751 33 079 14 073 34 060 29 040 21751 20156 30 071 13 073 28 065 26 046 20156 18551 23 062 14 069 21 070 22 049 18551 17014 16 054 16 064 14 072 19 054 17014 15617 12 054 16 058 12 069 17 061 15617 14369 10 059 16 054 11 068 15 067 14369 13247 9 061 15 057 11 065 14 073 13247 12234 7 058 14 063 12 058 14 078 12234 11317 4 058 13 063 14 049 15 079 11317 10489 1 057 12 058 15 038 15 076 10489 9743 1 241 11 051 15 029 14 068 9743 9071 3 244 10 040 16 021 14 055 9071 8457 4 247 9 025 16 015 14 037 8457 7903 5 248 8 010 16 009 15 017 7903 7434 5 246 6 351 16 003 15 357 7434 7069 4 246 5 344 15 358 14 339 7069 6814 4 246 5 341 12 353 11 323 6814 6659 4*245 4*338 10*351 8*316 6659 6570 3*247 4*338 7*348 5*309 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography