DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.5 - - 32.6 - - 27.0 - - 20.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 3 - - -2 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 204 - - 1331 - - 672 - - 61 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 52 - - 11 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 266 - - 238 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -2 - - -4 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1994 - - -1588 - - -434 - - -1675 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8564 - - 8157 - - 7004 - - 8244 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11397 - - -7789 - - -7748 - - -12743 ODpotential blCL - - - 17966 - - 14358 - - 14317 - - 19312 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 70 - - 80 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.5 - - 32.6 - - 27.0 - - 20.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.0 - - 20.5 - - 20.0 - - 8.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 33.1 - - 30.6 - - 26.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.0 - - 19.3 - - 19.8 - - 10.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 3 - - -2 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95803 43 341 47 003 48 027 52 026 95803 88973 30 349 39 349 40 012 43 010 88973 83664 26 353 27 358 42 003 38 007 83664 79182 23 348 28 008 31 360 34 010 79182 75251 19 002 22 356 25 353 30 004 75251 71747 23 017 20 347 22 356 25 343 71747 68561 21 348 15 346 20 344 19 347 68561 65613 19 340 20 356 17 333 24 003 65613 62863 23 341 20 008 12 042 14 346 62863 60194 29 309 26 339 25 065 16 006 60194 57386 28 307 33 310 21 357 9 049 57386 54433 23 313 31 311 39 318 34 341 54433 51623 21 317 31 319 41 316 44 326 51623 49131 37 322 38 319 44 319 42 319 49131 46925 46 313 41 314 45 317 40 325 46925 44941 46 302 39 312 38 314 39 318 44941 43142 42 301 39 321 32 323 29 310 43142 41497 44 316 43 325 30 341 35 344 41497 39993 46 315 45 328 42 357 47 004 39993 38613 42 309 47 330 56 354 41 019 38613 37319 38 301 48 326 54 350 38 018 37319 36076 36 303 46 316 42 352 34 018 36076 34826 34 309 43 307 35 001 30 018 34826 33542 32 312 42 301 33 002 28 017 33542 32231 31 311 43 300 33 356 27 013 32231 30881 31 311 43 298 34 349 27 003 30881 29486 30 313 43 298 33 340 26 347 29486 28053 30 313 42 296 34 333 26 335 28053 26581 30 312 41 296 34 330 30 332 26581 25071 30 309 40 297 34 332 32 327 25071 23525 28 309 39 301 33 335 32 325 23525 21939 27 306 37 306 33 334 31 326 21939 20311 30 302 35 308 34 326 32 328 20311 18671 32 299 35 306 34 316 33 328 18671 17101 30 294 33 305 33 314 32 327 17101 15673 27 291 30 303 34 315 30 327 15673 14398 24 288 26 297 32 315 27 326 14398 13254 24 281 24 290 30 312 24 321 13254 12224 24 274 23 284 26 309 21 316 12224 11296 24 269 23 282 24 304 18 311 11296 10460 22 265 21 279 22 297 16 309 10460 9711 19 261 19 273 19 286 13 299 9711 9038 16 257 17 266 18 273 11 283 9038 8427 13 249 14 257 17 258 10 260 8427 7880 11 236 10 243 15 244 11 245 7880 7417 9 220 8 230 13 229 11 230 7417 7058 9 202 5 227 10 220 12 214 7058 6808 8 184 3 231 6 214 11 194 6808 6656 7*174 2 240 3*213 9*182 6656 6569 3*184 1*266 1*238 6*184 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography