DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.5 - - 33.9 - - 35.6 - - 32.0 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - -5 - - -2 - - -19 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 146 - - 709 - - 1130 - - 421 - - 164 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 38 - - 35 - - 0 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 184 - - 161 - - 172 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -7 - - -6 - - -8 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -310 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6879 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -6243 - - -4048 - - -3215 - - -3784 - - -4661 ODpotential blCL 12812 - - 10618 - - 9785 - - 10354 - - 11231 blCL maxRH 95 - - 85 - - 74 - - 74 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.5 - - 33.9 - - 35.6 - - 32.0 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.8 - - 29.0 - - 31.0 - - 29.1 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.4 - - 34.6 - - 36.0 - - 34.8 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.4 - - 27.9 - - 29.9 - - 29.5 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - -5 - - -2 - - -19 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96404 14 290 12 311 18 331 17 345 15 316 96404 89408 8 021 17 020 11 014 16 036 11 024 89408 83921 11 038 9 041 10 027 16 020 13 062 83921 79335 13 034 7 082 6 002 6 345 12 046 79335 75375 7 009 7 056 3 333 6 325 8 031 75375 71869 7 318 3 014 6 326 5 307 3 324 71869 68683 11 312 8 260 13 302 9 282 6 299 68683 65750 20 278 14 269 16 299 14 277 14 294 65750 63038 22 271 20 281 18 298 15 286 15 277 63038 60403 24 272 23 282 18 290 16 290 19 280 60403 57639 26 270 28 279 18 286 20 292 22 284 57639 54748 20 269 26 277 21 283 28 302 23 296 54748 51965 19 292 25 281 27 283 35 292 33 297 51965 49446 24 288 25 280 26 279 37 277 36 289 49446 47183 31 281 25 285 28 281 37 272 35 286 47183 45121 36 275 26 293 31 285 35 273 35 286 45121 43229 36 266 28 289 31 298 29 286 30 285 43229 41505 26 256 30 290 33 310 28 301 22 303 41505 39958 14 266 32 289 35 315 34 332 72 324 39958 38546 13 312 26 290 37 325 47 342 99 326 38546 37225 20 322 21 306 45 335 52 341 120 324 37225 35961 25 328 26 335 49 347 82 334 115 324 35961 34693 25 339 36 342 57 359 93 333 107 327 34693 33398 31 349 38 340 65 355 88 333 92 330 33398 32081 34 347 37 339 74 349 78 335 80 330 32081 30729 33 345 33 335 68 352 66 337 71 329 30729 29332 30 344 25 337 58 002 47 343 61 326 29332 27894 25 342 24 336 51 008 38 346 49 327 27894 26419 22 336 25 331 38 007 35 350 27 328 26419 24915 20 332 26 332 28 357 28 008 21 316 24915 23381 18 330 23 341 25 347 23 007 21 309 23381 21811 16 321 20 348 23 338 22 334 25 307 21811 20203 16 311 20 342 20 329 27 323 29 304 20203 18584 16 306 23 328 20 322 26 319 30 299 18584 17037 17 299 25 316 22 318 24 311 30 294 17037 15633 18 296 25 309 23 315 24 304 28 291 15633 14380 19 297 23 302 22 311 23 300 26 290 14380 13255 18 297 21 296 20 304 21 295 24 291 13255 12240 17 297 18 297 17 298 19 291 22 290 12240 11322 14 295 13 303 13 297 15 287 23 286 11322 10493 12 290 9 308 10 299 12 281 23 282 10493 9747 13 281 6 297 6 290 12 274 24 277 9747 9073 15 270 4 276 4 287 13 266 26 271 9073 8457 19 257 6 276 4 276 14 256 28 264 8457 7902 21 248 10 259 7 243 15 248 27 256 7902 7432 19 240 12 232 8 217 14 237 24 246 7432 7067 16 227 12 211 8 202 13 220 18 233 7067 6813 12 213 9 196 6 192 10 205 13 212 6813 6658 9*197 7*189 4*176 8*191 9*192 6658 6570 5*186 4*184 3*161 5*172 5*184 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography