DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 45.0 - - 40.4 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -43 - - -3 - - -32 - - -77 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6553 - - 6554 - - 6553 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1367 - - 2846 - - 1392 - - 348 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 61 - - 56 - - 32 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 183 - - 170 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -14 - - -13 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -718 - - -12 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7288 - - 6583 - - 6570 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5365 - - -2167 - - -1812 - - -3585 ODpotential blCL - - - 11935 - - 8737 - - 8382 - - 10155 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 96 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 45.0 - - 40.4 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 38.7 - - 38.1 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 45.0 - - 41.4 - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 37.6 - - 37.8 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -43 - - -3 - - -32 - - -77 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 82 - - 82 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95790 40 322 33 340 37 330 32 343 95790 88823 33 329 22 319 29 327 26 323 88823 83408 28 318 26 308 30 311 27 319 83408 78892 29 283 33 292 33 299 30 317 78892 74992 26 292 26 303 20 312 28 305 74992 71535 34 278 40 284 25 284 31 285 71535 68398 29 265 29 281 24 264 30 263 68398 65498 26 267 29 286 12 304 25 260 65498 62776 32 268 45 262 37 259 31 247 62776 60132 57 235 56 237 45 245 32 243 60132 57360 57 240 51 240 54 254 39 265 57360 54477 71 252 66 244 89 248 94 253 54477 51744 86 249 80 239 97 238 103 241 51744 49295 82 247 83 243 77 238 88 237 49295 47101 87 256 76 254 73 249 82 238 47101 45112 109 259 91 256 94 251 94 239 45112 43296 126 253 113 249 114 246 110 238 43296 41629 125 248 120 242 125 241 122 235 41629 40083 118 245 124 239 126 238 126 230 40083 38639 112 245 128 239 124 237 126 226 38639 37286 106 245 127 240 122 238 124 226 37286 35991 103 246 120 241 115 237 124 230 35991 34698 101 246 110 241 101 235 120 233 34698 33384 98 245 97 240 86 234 105 232 33384 32055 93 245 88 236 78 232 90 227 32055 30694 85 244 69 230 68 231 79 223 30694 29290 75 244 73 225 64 227 65 223 29290 27849 65 245 65 224 66 225 56 222 27849 26377 56 247 56 225 62 226 60 225 26377 24874 48 248 52 229 53 225 63 228 24874 23345 44 247 51 227 53 225 62 230 23345 21784 45 242 46 226 56 227 60 231 21784 20187 51 235 40 228 56 230 58 232 20187 18580 58 230 41 229 53 232 55 233 18580 17045 55 227 46 230 50 235 51 233 17045 15649 49 229 49 228 50 236 48 234 15649 14403 47 235 52 226 52 236 48 235 14403 13282 47 238 53 224 55 233 49 233 13282 12269 44 237 51 222 59 226 52 229 12269 11351 41 232 46 220 61 216 54 223 11351 10520 43 225 42 218 57 206 56 217 10520 9771 48 218 42 215 52 198 56 212 9771 9095 53 211 40 211 48 193 54 207 9095 8477 53 206 36 204 44 189 52 203 8477 7919 47 198 31 198 39 185 50 200 7919 7444 40 191 26 192 33 179 43 195 7444 7075 33 186 22 188 27 175 35 189 7075 6818 27 183 18 186 21 172 27 185 6818 6661 22*182 15 185 17*172 20*183 6661 6570 11*180 9*183 9*170 10*181 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography