DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.5 - - 26.3 - - 29.4 - - 24.1 - - 19.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 27 - - 84 - - -13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 607 - - 3136 - - 4055 - - 2601 - - 1109 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 91 - - 131 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 285 - - 347 - - 331 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2098 - - -2151 - - -2146 - - -829 - - -2171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8668 - - 8721 - - 8716 - - 7399 - - 8740 sfcLCL ODpotential -7519 - - -4694 - - -4186 - - -3823 - - -7048 ODpotential blCL 14088 - - 11263 - - 10755 - - 10392 - - 13617 blCL maxRH 89 - - 76 - - 71 - - 61 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.5 - - 26.3 - - 29.4 - - 24.1 - - 19.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.1 - - 11.4 - - 14.4 - - 15.1 - - 5.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.7 - - 25.8 - - 28.5 - - 26.6 - - 24.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.6 - - 10.4 - - 13.4 - - 14.8 - - 5.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 27 - - 84 - - -13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97250 72 078 61 071 74 081 66 084 52 076 97250 90091 74 075 60 076 73 075 69 080 61 076 90091 84535 74 076 60 081 63 077 62 077 64 075 84535 79866 71 075 61 082 54 081 54 073 58 072 79866 75776 58 073 58 078 51 080 50 074 49 069 75776 72104 43 071 47 077 47 074 47 075 42 072 72104 68726 33 061 33 078 34 062 38 065 37 070 68726 65601 23 039 26 066 22 035 30 036 35 049 65601 62716 22 016 23 042 19 021 21 013 33 027 62716 59944 26 351 25 013 20 011 17 360 29 001 59944 57063 27 342 28 357 24 002 22 343 24 353 57063 54072 27 335 32 346 32 351 29 350 23 350 54072 51225 29 335 33 339 34 346 34 351 28 352 51225 48677 32 336 30 339 33 342 39 346 37 350 48677 46408 34 333 29 343 32 342 40 345 39 347 46408 44362 35 328 29 344 32 346 39 347 39 004 44362 42499 36 325 29 344 31 350 39 355 47 011 42499 40786 35 321 29 345 31 359 42 003 55 014 40786 39201 32 319 31 346 32 007 46 011 63 015 39201 37725 27 316 31 346 35 013 51 016 68 015 37725 36354 25 312 30 348 40 016 57 019 69 016 36354 35059 21 305 30 355 44 016 64 020 70 020 35059 33779 17 297 29 000 47 015 70 020 75 021 33779 32484 12 329 29 002 49 015 73 024 74 018 32484 31176 15 356 19 360 45 014 79 028 71 020 31176 29839 12 293 21 026 39 011 86 027 69 021 29839 28464 10 283 24 024 31 006 87 026 69 023 28464 27057 8 274 20 023 27 007 80 025 68 026 27057 25618 9 250 16 031 26 009 58 022 65 024 25618 24151 8 240 13 041 25 017 38 020 59 018 24151 22663 7 226 12 050 27 024 30 012 47 011 22663 21156 4 132 12 058 27 030 27 007 36 003 21156 19622 8 089 12 062 24 037 25 006 31 357 19622 18081 10 081 12 063 23 042 23 007 29 353 18081 16608 9 079 11 062 20 041 22 008 27 350 16608 15268 6 083 10 065 17 038 23 009 25 349 15268 14071 3 103 11 075 15 037 22 012 23 353 14071 12994 3 137 12 079 14 039 21 016 21 356 12994 12021 4 132 11 074 13 044 19 019 18 357 12021 11141 4 088 9 063 12 049 17 020 15 358 11141 10344 4 059 6 048 10 051 16 019 13 358 10344 9627 3 058 4 045 8 045 15 017 11 358 9627 8980 3 086 4 077 7 029 15 015 10 359 8980 8389 5 117 5 104 7 011 14 011 9 359 8389 7855 8 132 5 118 7 001 14 007 9 354 7855 7403 10 137 4 129 8 353 14 002 10 344 7403 7050 8 137 1 172 8 350 12 354 11 330 7050 6805 5 135 1 262 7 347 10 347 9 318 6805 6655 1*156 1*283 7*347 8*340 7*309 6655 6569 1*288 1*285 6*347 4*331 5*296 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography