DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.9 - - 29.0 - - 33.3 - - 28.1 - - 23.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - -3 - - 5 - - -1 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 226 - - 370 - - 729 - - 465 - - 80 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 34 - - 57 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 156 - - 179 - - 315 - - 201 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -8 - - -1 - - -6 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1926 - - -1131 - - -595 - - 0 - - -1495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8495 - - 7700 - - 7165 - - 6569 - - 8064 sfcLCL ODpotential -13839 - - -10670 - - -7814 - - -8403 - - -13195 ODpotential blCL 20408 - - 17239 - - 14383 - - 14972 - - 19764 blCL maxRH 69 - - 83 - - 84 - - 79 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.9 - - 29.0 - - 33.3 - - 28.1 - - 23.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.7 - - 19.0 - - 25.4 - - 23.8 - - 12.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.6 - - 30.4 - - 33.3 - - 31.0 - - 29.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.1 - - 18.8 - - 24.4 - - 23.9 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - -3 - - 5 - - -1 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 32 - - 36 - - 16 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96278 45 052 40 048 34 046 32 035 37 042 96278 89455 44 035 33 046 30 059 23 041 30 047 89455 84104 35 032 22 035 29 041 24 048 23 052 84104 79572 27 028 15 044 21 024 27 028 22 050 79572 75619 21 007 16 024 16 045 19 021 18 038 75619 72114 18 030 18 022 20 046 12 020 14 032 72114 68927 22 024 17 033 18 026 16 017 17 039 68927 65977 18 008 9 014 10 012 17 010 21 043 65977 63230 18 358 12 023 7 025 12 006 20 046 63230 60563 20 004 13 002 13 010 8 009 13 040 60563 57798 15 009 14 031 7 355 13 336 22 346 57798 54950 31 000 21 003 9 034 10 324 25 327 54950 52223 41 342 29 321 20 005 21 358 26 002 52223 49756 47 349 25 340 39 001 52 005 52 008 49756 47554 54 359 44 348 53 356 64 002 61 003 47554 45567 68 001 65 353 62 002 68 003 65 003 45567 43762 72 355 79 000 83 000 75 002 68 008 43762 42113 66 349 79 357 83 355 77 002 71 014 42113 40585 60 356 68 349 74 352 78 002 80 009 40585 39156 60 006 60 344 67 349 77 359 80 359 39156 37820 60 009 55 350 63 348 73 355 78 354 37820 36540 57 010 54 357 62 348 70 351 76 353 36540 35255 51 001 56 001 62 349 68 348 74 355 35255 33940 47 349 59 001 63 351 67 347 72 358 33940 32599 48 341 62 000 65 352 67 348 72 000 32599 31221 52 339 64 358 69 354 68 351 72 003 31221 29797 57 340 67 354 73 353 68 354 72 004 29797 28328 60 340 72 348 76 351 70 357 72 004 28328 26818 61 337 76 342 77 349 70 360 72 004 26818 25271 62 336 78 340 76 346 69 002 70 003 25271 23693 62 337 73 338 72 343 69 002 67 000 23693 22080 61 340 64 334 67 341 67 359 62 359 22080 20429 61 343 58 330 62 339 63 353 58 359 20429 18767 58 345 55 331 57 338 58 347 55 355 18767 17176 52 345 54 334 52 337 53 343 54 349 17176 15733 46 340 51 338 49 338 49 344 52 347 15733 14446 44 335 48 341 45 340 46 346 49 349 14446 13295 43 332 44 344 42 341 42 349 44 352 13295 12259 43 330 41 346 39 343 39 351 39 355 12259 11325 41 329 38 348 35 344 35 351 34 357 11325 10484 38 328 35 348 31 344 30 349 30 358 10484 9731 32 326 29 346 27 342 25 344 26 355 9731 9052 26 318 22 337 21 337 20 336 20 347 9052 8437 20 305 14 317 15 322 14 319 15 331 8437 7885 15 290 10 289 11 295 9 294 9 313 7885 7420 11 274 10 266 9 273 5 265 6 292 7420 7059 7 253 9 237 6 264 3 217 4 257 7059 6809 5 220 7 208 4 276 3 201 4 205 6809 6657 4*150 5*184 2*295 2*191 4*180 6657 6569 3*156 3*179 1*315 1*201 4*192 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography