DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.8 - - 32.6 - - 32.3 - - 27.9 - - 22.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -2 - - 8 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6570 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2863 - - 5975 - - 5927 - - 2617 - - 2481 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 40 - - 68 - - 43 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 272 - - 313 - - 308 - - 042 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -30 - - -757 - - 0 - - -475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6600 - - 7326 - - 6569 - - 7045 sfcLCL ODpotential -683 - - -1561 - - -2211 - - -1008 - - -3293 ODpotential blCL 7252 - - 8131 - - 8780 - - 7577 - - 9862 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 94 - - 93 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 180 - - 170 - - 70 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 31.8 - - 32.6 - - 32.3 - - 27.9 - - 22.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 26.9 - - 23.5 - - 25.4 - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.5 - - 32.5 - - 32.0 - - 28.1 - - 27.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 26.0 - - 22.4 - - 25.5 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -2 - - 8 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 341 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 97 - - 78 - - 72 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96990 28 075 25 079 23 066 27 074 22 060 96990 89938 31 083 23 088 21 097 29 077 22 074 89938 84387 25 078 22 107 22 093 21 089 22 072 84387 79713 13 074 19 101 13 106 23 103 17 089 79713 75659 7 070 14 094 9 154 14 079 11 091 75659 72059 4 138 5 076 7 151 7 145 5 070 72059 68786 2 292 4 277 1 324 8 183 5 303 68786 65776 11 322 6 256 6 261 9 199 14 248 65776 62997 18 284 15 257 14 262 6 249 14 249 62997 60306 19 280 20 240 24 248 23 240 22 244 60306 57479 33 266 23 270 24 252 23 238 25 255 57479 54543 37 258 41 273 38 266 37 262 39 270 54543 51742 32 246 41 253 43 249 38 250 41 262 51742 49204 22 256 34 239 33 244 39 260 44 270 49204 46911 29 296 34 252 36 264 50 263 52 264 46911 44819 49 284 52 262 53 263 53 259 50 257 44819 42893 61 270 60 258 57 258 54 261 47 258 42893 41118 61 270 59 258 53 258 54 265 52 266 41118 39479 70 276 62 266 50 261 55 274 55 272 39479 37955 88 273 73 275 62 278 72 288 58 284 37955 36541 101 265 96 277 92 282 99 281 90 276 36541 35226 114 260 115 269 116 274 123 265 113 260 35226 33948 123 259 132 257 124 264 129 252 119 253 33948 32660 121 258 134 255 123 260 116 256 114 253 32660 31352 119 255 121 258 108 259 111 267 108 256 31352 30010 118 255 114 258 92 258 102 270 101 265 30010 28629 112 256 120 259 86 262 90 276 103 283 28629 27216 99 256 129 262 92 266 95 282 108 291 27216 25773 90 254 123 265 98 270 107 279 107 289 25773 24295 91 252 100 268 95 272 115 275 99 283 24295 22780 92 252 79 263 77 271 110 279 100 284 22780 21234 87 253 78 256 56 268 85 286 90 294 21234 19672 78 253 76 260 43 271 54 291 54 300 19672 18123 64 255 57 273 32 271 30 284 26 305 18123 16652 54 260 41 280 29 270 23 269 16 293 16652 15314 55 274 35 279 28 269 23 267 17 279 15314 14116 50 281 31 280 26 269 23 270 19 274 14116 13037 39 284 26 289 24 270 23 273 19 275 13037 12061 31 287 23 297 23 272 22 277 18 279 12061 11175 27 290 22 300 21 275 21 283 16 286 11175 10374 26 292 22 302 19 280 19 291 14 296 10374 9651 25 291 21 304 16 286 16 301 13 307 9651 8999 26 288 20 306 14 292 14 312 11 319 8999 8403 26 284 20 308 12 299 13 323 10 330 8403 7865 26 280 19 309 11 303 11 334 8 337 7865 7409 25 276 19 310 10 305 9 345 7 341 7409 7054 22 273 17 311 9 306 6 359 5 341 7054 6807 17 272 15 311 7 307 4 016 2 331 6807 6656 14*272 13*311 6*307 3*033 1*307 6656 6569 8*272 9*313 5*308 2*042 2*213 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography