DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 60.7 - - 58.5 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - -2 - - -27 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1020 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7249 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2057 - - 5848 - - 5024 - - 67 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 93 - - 61 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 249 - - 232 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -4 - - -5 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2167 - - -4500 - - -2787 - - -3277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9416 - - 11071 - - 9358 - - 9849 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7572 - - -7713 - - -6170 - - -9982 ODpotential blCL - - - 14821 - - 14284 - - 12741 - - 16553 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 34 - - 41 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 60.7 - - 58.5 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 35.2 - - 40.3 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 60.8 - - 60.4 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 33.9 - - 39.1 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - -2 - - -27 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1020 - - 342 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96438 13 287 16 296 17 340 10 239 96438 89424 4 251 14 261 18 321 7 006 89424 83978 3 197 10 246 12 270 17 331 83978 79447 4 218 9 275 9 252 13 312 79447 75526 7 238 8 303 13 262 6 295 75526 72024 9 258 9 314 10 272 10 294 72024 68845 12 299 12 315 12 328 17 307 68845 65954 18 291 18 296 17 322 20 313 65954 63293 21 271 22 286 22 315 20 308 63293 60725 28 297 18 296 25 295 24 301 60725 58039 39 306 31 306 27 303 32 306 58039 55237 42 297 43 298 40 300 42 304 55237 52553 44 285 43 288 44 292 46 304 52553 50131 45 283 46 283 49 289 50 301 50131 47952 48 286 49 283 54 288 56 296 47952 45971 53 289 55 286 59 288 60 292 45971 44157 60 291 59 290 64 290 60 292 44157 42487 64 292 61 293 63 289 57 290 42487 40942 65 294 59 295 57 286 50 282 40942 39498 65 296 54 298 50 294 47 279 39498 38140 65 297 52 301 52 301 47 284 38140 36839 67 295 51 302 51 300 45 285 36839 35532 71 292 50 300 49 293 45 284 35532 34193 77 287 50 295 49 291 47 290 34193 32828 77 286 58 293 49 295 46 299 32828 31428 75 286 66 292 48 298 45 304 31428 29986 72 287 70 291 48 297 45 304 29986 28506 68 288 71 289 53 293 47 298 28506 26989 64 291 71 290 60 290 52 294 26989 25442 60 293 67 291 63 290 58 292 25442 23869 56 291 60 289 60 289 60 292 23869 22264 52 288 56 286 57 287 59 292 22264 20618 50 286 54 286 54 287 57 292 20618 18958 48 286 50 286 51 288 53 293 18958 17369 44 284 44 287 46 290 47 296 17369 15924 39 282 39 285 40 292 41 298 15924 14635 36 281 35 282 34 291 34 298 14635 13476 34 282 32 281 29 285 28 295 13476 12431 31 283 28 281 26 278 25 287 12431 11485 27 281 23 275 24 272 25 277 11485 10630 25 275 21 267 23 267 26 270 10630 9859 23 266 20 259 22 262 26 267 9859 9163 21 257 19 256 20 256 26 266 9163 8527 19 249 18 255 19 253 26 266 8527 7953 16 241 17 253 18 251 25 264 7953 7467 14*230 16 252 17 249 24 261 7467 7087 12*226 15 251 15 247 20 255 7087 6824 11 225 14 251 12 243 16 246 6824 6663 10 224 12*250 9 239 11*233 6663 6571 7 222 9*249 5*232 6*216 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography