DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 72.5 - - 72.1 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 322 - - 95 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3888 - - 8681 - - 9133 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8857 - - 12694 - - 12208 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10117 - - 14910 - - 15362 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3202 - - 3850 - - 4142 - - 183 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 449 - - 606 - - 418 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 23 - - 22 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 262 - - 257 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 16 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -12 - - -17 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5507 - - -861 - - 48 - - -5860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15625 - - 15772 - - 15315 - - 12433 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8390 - - -3274 - - -1979 - - -9644 ODpotential blCL - - - 18507 - - 18184 - - 17341 - - 16216 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 64 - - 88 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 100 - - 90 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 72.5 - - 72.1 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.7 - - 25.8 - - 27.6 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 70.2 - - 71.0 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.5 - - 24.6 - - 26.4 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 322 - - 95 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3888 - - 8681 - - 9133 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 0 - - 51 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98061 14 164 10 226 6 311 7 078 98061 90599 9 146 10 150 3 152 11 158 90599 84909 8 168 5 051 7 154 8 102 84909 80198 10 145 6 133 4 134 8 070 80198 76126 10 145 8 172 3 002 7 117 76126 72531 6 123 8 129 3 222 9 044 72531 69265 8 220 2 003 1 079 4 030 69265 66244 8 214 15 246 4 279 5 309 66244 63445 6 299 15 256 12 263 9 259 63445 60758 8 270 16 266 15 272 10 296 60758 57962 22 299 19 291 19 286 17 282 57962 55060 32 285 27 294 26 284 28 291 55060 52303 34 277 37 281 34 288 36 282 52303 49827 38 277 41 272 42 285 38 283 49827 47607 42 275 43 276 46 286 39 290 47607 45600 46 282 48 285 53 290 47 295 45600 43784 59 288 58 292 60 291 56 294 43784 42134 70 288 68 294 66 295 64 295 42134 40611 73 287 74 293 71 296 71 297 40611 39187 71 286 73 292 69 295 71 297 39187 37851 68 286 69 291 65 292 67 296 37851 36571 65 286 66 290 61 290 64 295 36571 35288 62 287 62 290 60 290 60 294 35288 33976 59 289 58 291 58 293 56 294 33976 32641 57 288 55 292 54 294 52 295 32641 31270 55 287 54 291 53 294 51 295 31270 29858 51 284 53 288 54 292 52 294 29858 28405 48 283 52 286 54 291 52 293 28405 26915 47 283 50 286 53 290 51 292 26915 25392 47 284 48 286 52 289 48 290 25392 23841 46 283 46 285 49 288 45 287 23841 22257 44 281 42 283 43 288 41 284 22257 20634 42 280 40 280 38 287 36 283 20634 18997 39 278 39 278 33 285 29 287 18997 17426 35 274 36 278 27 276 26 293 17426 15992 32 270 32*273 25*270 26 296 15992 14706 33 269 29*267 24*268 27 295 14706 13546 32 272 28 265 24 265 28 292 13546 12496 27 272 26 263 24 262 29 287 12496 11542 23 267 24 262 24 258 29 282 11542 10679 21*256 23 261 23 255 31 277 10679 9900 20*247 23 260 23 254 32 271 9900 9197 20 246 22 260 22 252 33 267 9197 8553 20 245 22 260 22 251 34 263 8553 7973 19 246 21 260 22 251 33 260 7973 7480 19 246 20 260 21 250 31 256 7480 7096 18 246 19 261 20 250 26 252 7096 6829 16 246 18 261 19 249 20 245 6829 6665 15 247 17 261 17 249 15*240 6665 6572 11 247 13 261 12 249 7*233 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography