DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.4 - - 79.5 - - 79.8 - - 79.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 278 - - 108 - - 102 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 8780 - - 10161 - - 8786 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 12706 - - 13166 - - 12014 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 15009 - - 16390 - - 15015 - - 6572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3025 - - 3984 - - 2787 - - 3701 - - 419 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 584 - - 460 - - 423 - - 29 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 17 - - 15 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 218 - - 244 - - 216 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -22 - - -14 - - -22 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5855 - - 1273 - - 887 - - -751 - - -5485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12428 - - 13736 - - 15504 - - 15767 - - 12057 sfcLCL ODpotential -8878 - - -1189 - - -1550 - - -3008 - - -9278 ODpotential blCL 15450 - - 16198 - - 17940 - - 18023 - - 15850 blCL maxRH 79 - - 86 - - 97 - - 81 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 280 - - 740 - - 170 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 73.4 - - 79.5 - - 79.8 - - 79.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.7 - - 41.7 - - 34.4 - - 33.0 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.0 - - 77.4 - - 78.6 - - 78.3 - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 40.4 - - 33.0 - - 31.8 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 278 - - 108 - - 102 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 8780 - - 10161 - - 8786 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 46 - - 88 - - 24 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99335 30 100 29 099 33 114 24 094 24 089 99335 91766 24 103 23 107 19 097 27 094 23 085 91766 85957 24 099 19 123 14 101 17 090 23 098 85957 81159 20 094 21 104 15 121 10 104 19 096 81159 77035 17 099 17 082 24 109 7 115 15 096 77035 73402 11 088 11 117 16 090 14 114 14 106 73402 70124 11 089 10 113 6 118 13 087 8 112 70124 67118 11 097 8 159 9 130 14 121 5 113 67118 64335 6 128 9 159 8 194 10 141 6 129 64335 61633 8 183 8 160 13 192 12 217 4 167 61633 58825 11 166 5 207 10 163 14 227 10 208 58825 55942 8 201 15 233 13 214 20 220 21 222 55942 53212 16 245 22 216 23 208 22 212 28 217 53212 50749 20 266 13 214 22 216 27 220 29 232 50749 48524 36 251 24 241 24 230 35 224 33 231 48524 46485 46 235 37 231 40 228 41 226 40 226 46485 44604 49 228 44 226 49 227 46 231 50 221 44604 42864 49 224 48 225 56 226 48 231 54 219 42864 41254 46 219 51 224 58 223 50 226 51 222 41254 39767 42 218 47 224 52 221 49 222 47 223 39767 38389 37 222 42 224 41 220 43 221 44 224 38389 37081 32 227 38 225 36 222 41 223 41 223 37081 35772 30 237 34 228 37 226 39 225 38 218 35772 34432 32 243 31 228 37 225 40 228 37 216 34432 33066 32 237 28 227 35 224 40 228 38 218 33066 31665 31 230 28 223 33 222 38 228 37 218 31665 30220 27 234 29 222 33 222 36 227 37 218 30220 28735 21 231 26 224 33 218 35 224 35 217 28735 27213 19 238 21 224 30 216 33 218 30 218 27213 25658 19 249 17 219 25 213 34 213 24 221 25658 24074 21 235 15 222 22 209 36 218 19 228 24074 22457 23 221 17 232 22 205 32 233 18 212 22457 20802 19 210 18 229 21 199 21 248 19 223 20802 19137 15 213 18 217 19 198 15 249 19 250 19137 17545 12 236 14 223 17*208 14 238 16 263 17545 16095 12 249 15*232 16*221 13*229 14 268 16095 14796 14 245 16*229 15 232 13*226 14 261 14796 13625 15 246 17 225 15 237 12 224 14 246 13625 12565 17 250 18 222 15 241 12 221 15 233 12565 11602 18 250 18 221 15 245 12 218 16 222 11602 10730 18 250 18 219 15 248 11 215 16 213 10730 9943 17 249 18 217 15 251 11 213 16 206 9943 9231 16 245 18 215 15 252 11 211 16 201 9231 8580 15 233 17 214 14 254 10 211 15 195 8580 7992 15 214 16 212 14 255 10 210 14 191 7992 7493 14 196 16 211 13 256 10 208 13 186 7493 7104 13 182 15 210 13 257 9 207 11 178 7104 6833 11 180 14 210 12 257 9 207 9 169 6833 6667 10*181 13 209 11 258 8 207 7*165 6667 6572 7*179 10 209 9 258 7 206 5*157 6572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography