DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.8 - - 82.7 - - 86.8 - - - - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 328 - - 363 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 6070 - - 14032 - - - - - 344 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 10602 - - 17126 - - - - - 6556 Hcrit BL Top 6572 - - 12299 - - 20261 - - - - - 6573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2298 - - 7692 - - 2675 - - - - - 3095 Hgt.Variab. W* 101 - - 537 - - 735 - - - - - 9 W* B/S 6 - - 24 - - 15 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 170 - - 230 - - 271 - - - - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 20 - - 37 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7442 - - -4234 - - 2678 - - - - - -8509 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14014 - - 16534 - - 17584 - - - - - 15083 sfcLCL ODpotential -10703 - - -5827 - - 818 - - - - - -12213 ODpotential blCL 17275 - - 18126 - - 19443 - - - - - 18786 blCL maxRH 49 - - 57 - - 55 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 250 - - 370 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 73.8 - - 82.7 - - 86.8 - - - - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 32.8 - - 32.0 - - - - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.3 - - 80.1 - - 84.1 - - - - - 80.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 32.0 - - 31.1 - - - - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 328 - - 363 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 343 - - 6070 - - 14032 - - - - - 344 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99941 35 097 30 101 32 110 26 078 99941 92395 28 098 20 103 27 109 25 082 92395 86566 24 110 19 115 16 097 20 106 86566 81741 24 100 17 107 12 105 16 114 81741 77585 17 101 16 123 12 099 15 121 77585 73907 11 097 15 103 10 137 13 089 73907 70583 9 104 17 095 11 123 14 071 70583 67543 7 097 7 097 8 091 8 072 67543 64744 4 087 4 128 6 133 3 065 64744 62051 1 012 4 256 4 073 3 323 62051 59256 12 358 6 291 3 299 6 285 59256 56363 22 282 19 264 23 277 13 303 56363 53621 25 294 17 268 30 256 30 302 53621 51164 34 292 25 296 28 289 37 291 51164 48962 52 298 56 296 47 296 43 300 48962 46962 64 291 63 290 60 292 55 310 46962 45123 66 292 63 293 63 295 64 309 45123 43414 67 292 65 299 65 302 66 311 43414 41815 67 287 61 303 65 305 65 316 41815 40317 64 281 50 301 59 306 66 320 40317 38914 60 282 47 296 45 302 66 321 38914 37573 61 284 51 293 39 305 63 321 37573 36229 49 282 48 294 42 307 58 321 36229 34857 27 281 25 307 40 306 54 321 34857 33461 31 273 16 316 15 312 45 317 33461 32032 31 260 9 340 6 012 38 311 32032 30563 27 272 9 322 6 039 33 308 30563 29054 21 291 15 286 5 359 34 312 29054 27507 17 300 16 274 7 298 30 315 27507 25930 17 293 14 278 9 272 18 313 25930 24329 18 290 12 291 14 264 15 281 24329 22703 18 291 12 290 14 271 14 265 22703 21041 20 298 14 291 16*278 18 267 21041 19360 21 303 15 300 17*272 20 261 19360 17743 21 307 15 281 15 268 20 256 17743 16267 18 311 16 268 13 265 18 255 16267 14941 13 308 15 267 10 262 17 256 14941 13746 9 286 14 261 9 260 15 257 13746 12665 8 262 11*255 7 263 12 257 12665 11684 8 258 9*245 6 267 9 255 11684 10795 7 251 7 233 5 274 6 248 10795 9995 5 238 6 230 5 281 3 234 9995 9272 3 194 4 225 5 291 2 200 9272 8610 3 151 3 222 5 298 2 129 8610 8013 3 128 2 220 5 306 3 096 8013 7507 5 141 2 213 5 310 3 082 7507 7112 6 152 1 214 4 314 4 080 7112 6837 6 156 1 204 4 316 4 080 6837 6669 4*162 1 185 4 317 4*084 6669 6573 3*170 0 178 4 320 3*094 6573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography