DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 66.5 - - 66.6 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 360 - - 116 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4595 - - 6777 - - 5703 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9410 - - 11212 - - 9767 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10824 - - 13006 - - 11932 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2054 - - 1989 - - 2943 - - 3942 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 477 - - 577 - - 378 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 250 - - 252 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 8 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1602 - - -2013 - - -4255 - - -7597 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12427 - - 15020 - - 16188 - - 14169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6151 - - -6177 - - -8341 - - -12985 ODpotential blCL - - - 16975 - - 19183 - - 20273 - - 19556 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 58 - - 59 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 66.5 - - 66.6 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 23.3 - - 18.3 - - 18.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 63.9 - - 65.2 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.5 - - 22.2 - - 17.1 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 295 - - 360 - - 116 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4595 - - 6777 - - 5703 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97745 17 182 4 198 3 060 15 130 97745 90372 16 147 14 165 8 181 8 131 90372 84712 14 132 14 162 3 163 9 132 84712 79998 12 124 12 153 8 180 5 093 79998 75941 10 115 12 150 7 162 3 116 75941 72356 2 161 4 131 8 156 3 106 72356 69100 3 099 5 180 2 196 5 018 69100 66106 4 344 1 145 4 194 5 266 66106 63336 6 291 9 299 8 327 2 281 63336 60657 6 309 11 292 16 306 7 292 60657 57872 13 312 18 300 21 295 10 299 57872 54986 21 312 23 297 25 296 22 303 54986 52236 27 317 26 304 32 298 35 296 52236 49774 34 320 34 316 37 302 40 291 49774 47584 44 323 43 315 40 300 43 288 47584 45612 48 319 44 311 40 304 43 291 45612 43825 45 319 44 312 43 307 45 298 43825 42186 47 322 48 314 48 304 50 300 42186 40663 51 323 50 313 48 301 48 296 40663 39233 52 321 50 312 46 300 44 294 39233 37888 54 320 50 312 45 302 42 293 37888 36599 56 319 51 313 45 304 42 294 36599 35309 56 318 52 313 45 304 43 296 35309 33989 54 318 52 312 46 303 45 296 33989 32646 50 318 49 311 46 303 47 296 32646 31269 45 321 45 310 45 302 45 296 31269 29849 38 322 39 310 41 302 42 297 29849 28388 34 318 34 309 37 300 38 301 28388 26891 32 313 31 307 33 298 34 304 26891 25359 30 315 29 309 30 299 31 306 25359 23797 28 323 26 313 27 302 27 303 23797 22201 25 328 24 315 24 306 26 295 22201 20566 24 329 23 314 22 304 26 287 20566 18921 22 329 22 311 20 296 24 284 18921 17345 20 328 19 310 18 291 21 282 17345 15912 18 326 15 307 15 285 18 281 15912 14630 16 321 11 297 13 272 18 276 14630 13478 14 311 9*262 12 249 19 266 13478 12436 12 296 10*249 12*246 20 257 12436 11491 10*269 10 248 12*247 19 249 11491 10637 9*254 10 247 12 247 19 243 10637 9867 9 243 10 248 12 249 18 240 9867 9170 9 239 10 249 11 252 16 238 9170 8533 9 235 10 250 11 254 14 237 8533 7959 9 234 10 252 11 256 12 237 7959 7471 9 234 9 253 11 258 10 236 7471 7091 8 234 9 253 10 260 8 235 7091 6826 8 233 9 254 10 260 7 229 6826 6665 7 233 8 254 9 261 5 212 6665 6571 6 233 7 255 7 262 4*201 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography