DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.2 - - 23.5 - - 24.8 - - 21.6 - - 23.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 26 - - 21 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1481 - - 1703 - - 2039 - - 1451 - - 1068 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 90 - - 84 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 235 - - 229 - - 230 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -6 - - -7 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -605 - - -741 - - -963 - - -1363 - - -3368 ODpotential blCL 7174 - - 7310 - - 7532 - - 7932 - - 9937 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 96 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.2 - - 23.5 - - 24.8 - - 21.6 - - 23.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.8 - - 20.0 - - 20.8 - - 19.9 - - 21.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.3 - - 22.9 - - 24.2 - - 23.3 - - 24.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 19.5 - - 20.2 - - 21.7 - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 26 - - 21 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 82 - - 85 - - 92 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96561 31 075 25 075 30 084 29 083 29 091 96561 89429 30 069 20 070 24 071 25 067 26 075 89429 83905 29 069 18 079 17 062 25 048 26 046 83905 79325 25 057 19 068 17 067 16 013 21 035 79325 75375 22 031 26 039 28 048 12 018 22 021 75375 71885 19 013 27 012 25 039 13 005 18 011 71885 68720 15 023 18 008 21 030 16 018 18 004 68720 65801 29 014 24 014 21 009 20 001 17 001 65801 63079 33 008 30 013 20 345 19 350 11 014 63079 60422 26 016 28 015 16 347 18 345 17 316 60422 57654 38 009 29 014 18 351 25 325 22 317 57654 54781 46 003 35 359 27 338 33 337 26 325 54781 52009 49 000 40 347 35 338 44 344 47 345 52009 49491 44 356 42 344 44 350 54 341 54 341 49491 47223 46 354 49 347 60 344 59 341 60 337 47223 45152 52 355 62 350 72 344 66 343 67 339 45152 43245 54 357 71 348 80 344 73 341 72 338 43245 41480 58 354 71 345 77 342 72 337 69 335 41480 39837 62 348 68 345 72 346 65 337 61 333 39837 38301 63 347 65 348 74 355 62 345 57 336 38301 36866 68 356 68 354 79 359 68 354 60 340 36866 35506 81 003 79 356 84 354 76 352 70 337 35506 34171 94 001 94 355 87 347 81 341 74 332 34171 32844 99 359 104 354 86 343 80 333 69 325 32844 31523 102 360 107 353 86 346 76 332 67 318 31523 30181 103 359 103 354 87 347 74 331 66 315 30181 28799 100 359 98 355 87 344 74 332 63 315 28799 27381 79 359 92 356 84 342 76 335 60 318 27381 25929 48 354 86 356 79 344 74 337 59 322 25929 24446 48 344 77 354 72 346 69 337 58 326 24446 22937 49 336 63 350 62 346 63 335 55 325 22937 21399 44 335 52 340 53 341 56 333 52 320 21399 19827 38 336 49 332 48 331 48 331 47 318 19827 18249 35 336 47 329 46 324 42 328 42 317 18249 16741 36 334 43 323 44 320 39 327 39 319 16741 15373 36 329 40 316 41 316 38 325 37 321 15373 14152 34 324 36 313 37 311 37 323 35 322 14152 13057 31 321 31 311 33 305 35 318 33 321 13057 12069 28 320 26 309 30 299 33 312 30 319 12069 11176 25 319 22 306 26 290 31 304 27 314 11176 10369 21 315 17 302 25 279 29 292 24 307 10369 9643 16 307 14 293 25 269 28 279 24 293 9643 8988 13 294 15 276 24 255 29 268 26 279 8988 8391 13 271 16 252 22 240 29 254 30 269 8391 7855 13 250 16 238 19 231 27 245 31 255 7855 7402 12 241 14 233 18 230 24 242 27 245 7402 7050 10 236 12 233 15 229 19 239 22 240 7050 6805 8 230 11 233 13 230 14 237 17 236 6805 6655 6*226 9*233 11*230 10*235 13*232 6655 6569 3*221 6*235 7*229 4*230 6*227 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography