DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.6 - - 28.3 - - 28.5 - - 26.9 - - 28.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 25 - - 31 - - -13 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1931 - - 2539 - - 2692 - - 1488 - - 970 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 88 - - 95 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 276 - - 248 - - 201 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - -6 - - -7 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 sfcLCL ODpotential -1240 - - -483 - - -574 - - -1287 - - -2526 ODpotential blCL 7809 - - 7052 - - 7143 - - 7856 - - 9095 blCL maxRH 101 - - 98 - - 99 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.6 - - 28.3 - - 28.5 - - 26.9 - - 28.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 26.1 - - 25.7 - - 25.4 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.4 - - 27.7 - - 27.9 - - 28.0 - - 29.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.3 - - 25.7 - - 25.2 - - 26.0 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 25 - - 31 - - -13 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 93 - - 98 - - 80 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96489 38 086 37 079 45 082 40 079 41 081 96489 89297 29 086 22 081 28 074 27 059 29 072 89297 83728 22 065 21 070 14 067 21 034 25 042 83728 79107 21 029 15 034 12 034 13 027 20 009 79107 75123 13 015 10 359 18 021 18 019 13 005 75123 71588 14 357 13 350 18 355 23 341 19 327 71588 68373 7 023 16 302 17 297 18 275 19 314 68373 65408 17 263 25 311 29 324 23 335 25 348 65408 62658 19 287 35 325 38 316 37 316 33 328 62658 60016 31 304 38 303 39 309 45 307 38 307 60016 57258 31 306 37 291 46 308 44 307 39 297 57258 54368 41 316 45 305 47 303 39 318 44 310 54368 51603 55 317 51 312 46 311 59 313 59 308 51603 49108 63 318 57 321 61 318 67 307 61 307 49108 46854 71 326 68 327 70 319 71 306 73 310 46854 44797 82 329 83 325 77 316 75 311 82 309 44797 42907 87 329 92 321 74 316 78 315 84 311 42907 41164 85 328 91 322 72 323 83 324 92 321 41164 39563 82 329 87 327 80 333 99 332 122 329 39563 38089 83 332 86 332 93 340 127 331 143 326 38089 36729 88 336 91 338 120 340 140 329 140 323 36729 35443 92 340 101 341 154 338 148 330 136 323 35443 34161 93 344 113 341 174 336 154 330 138 324 34161 32852 96 346 129 340 173 335 153 329 140 323 32852 31519 102 347 147 340 156 334 155 329 138 324 31519 30154 109 346 149 341 135 331 141 326 130 324 30154 28755 110 345 131 341 125 330 120 320 113 320 28755 27330 104 344 112 341 117 331 109 316 102 313 27330 25882 93 342 100 343 103 334 97 312 94 310 25882 24410 82 338 90 343 88 336 93 312 80 308 24410 22917 75 336 79 343 76 338 92 318 65 301 22917 21393 73 335 69 341 68 338 84 329 67 299 21393 19832 70 334 63 338 62 335 73 336 69 301 19832 18262 63 332 60 335 56 331 61 331 66 306 18262 16762 54 328 52 333 48 328 52 310 65 311 16762 15400 44 325 42 329 41 324 50 298 63 313 15400 14183 37 326 34 324 35 318 44 297 60 313 14183 13089 32 329 28 319 31 310 38 297 55 309 13089 12101 31 331 22 320 27 303 33 292 52 303 12101 11207 29 333 16 322 23 297 30 279 46 295 11207 10397 28 336 13 322 18 292 31 264 41 283 10397 9669 27 336 10 324 16 282 32 254 39 273 9669 9011 25 334 8 320 16 269 32 244 42 266 9011 8411 22 328 7 309 17 258 30 235 43 258 8411 7871 19 318 7 287 16 247 28 229 40 249 7871 7413 16 308 8 272 15 246 24 224 33 243 7413 7056 13 289 8 272 14 246 19 218 26 238 7056 6808 11 275 7 273 13 246 15 214 20 234 6808 6656 8*270 6*275 11*247 11*210 16*231 6656 6569 5*267 5*276 7*248 5*201 8*226 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography