DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 47.6 - - 53.0 - - 54.0 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 221 - - 228 - - 55 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3390 - - 4998 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 8391 - - 9632 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 9619 - - 11227 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3260 - - 1845 - - 2460 - - 6824 - - 3057 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 397 - - 457 - - 121 - - 21 W* B/S 9 - - 24 - - 23 - - 16 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 247 - - 341 - - 022 - - 086 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -6 - - -8 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3572 - - -937 - - -913 - - -5629 - - -3048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10143 - - 10557 - - 12141 - - 12201 - - 9619 sfcLCL ODpotential -7283 - - -5334 - - -4622 - - -8193 - - -7236 ODpotential blCL 13853 - - 14953 - - 15849 - - 14764 - - 13806 blCL maxRH 49 - - 60 - - 49 - - 47 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 47.6 - - 53.0 - - 54.0 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 24.4 - - 22.7 - - 23.5 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 45.6 - - 50.9 - - 53.1 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.7 - - 23.2 - - 21.5 - - 22.3 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 221 - - 228 - - 55 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3390 - - 4998 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97364 7 165 10 187 12 238 6 307 1 229 97364 89902 6 174 5 226 7 217 6 261 9 300 89902 84238 3 331 9 234 5 253 8 230 9 289 84238 79578 7 344 8 203 9 248 11 239 8 283 79578 75553 8 299 3 321 6 212 6 252 4 310 75553 71980 8 281 7 331 4 201 7 279 6 332 71980 68736 5 311 7 312 6 286 11 323 8 343 68736 65741 10 320 7 299 8 303 11 318 10 309 65741 62953 15 314 12 311 14 320 12 313 12 306 62953 60252 18 306 16 295 18 308 17 317 12 324 60252 57435 18 309 15 293 20 301 23 311 17 321 57435 54509 20 322 16 303 17 298 23 301 20 306 54509 51708 24 311 18 310 18 300 22 296 21 303 51708 49183 24 315 19 313 21 301 23 301 20 313 49183 46927 24 313 22 319 20 305 25 307 22 315 46927 44899 20 324 20 325 17 316 19 316 23 311 44899 43065 21 344 20 348 12 341 19 332 19 315 43065 41405 21 344 23 001 15 007 14 353 15 325 41405 39889 17 030 17 036 14 039 16 345 14 332 39889 38489 28 051 23 055 19 052 10 354 10 313 38489 37185 29 061 29 069 21 062 3 052 11 297 37185 35937 32 075 33 074 22 071 5 090 11 302 35937 34683 32 074 31 070 22 069 5 063 12 305 34683 33397 29 064 27 063 22 063 8 044 12 308 33397 32086 28 055 24 055 23 050 16 021 9 333 32086 30739 29 050 24 046 25 037 21 019 12 009 30739 29350 30 050 25 042 26 032 20 021 13 016 29350 27922 30 052 25 042 25 036 18 034 9 022 27922 26456 28 051 25 043 22 044 17 051 7 061 26456 24959 25 046 26 046 21 052 18 060 10 082 24959 23435 23 039 27 047 22 056 19 063 14 077 23435 21878 22 031 27 048 23 053 20 061 16 071 21878 20281 21 026 26 051 22 046 20 056 15 066 20281 18671 22 028 23 052 18 047 18 041 12 057 18671 17129 21 032 20 049 16 057 17 020 11 032 17129 15725 18 037 18 044 14 059 13 018 12 016 15725 14469 15 046 14 038 12 052 10 033 13 013 14469 13338 13 053 11 036 10 046 7 050 13 014 13338 12316 12 053 8 038 6 032 5 057 11 017 12316 11389 11 047 6 040 5*031 4 059 7 032 11389 10550 10 039 4 024 4*028 3 065 3 073 10550 9795 8 032 3*358 4 026 3 069 2 140 9795 9114 6 023 3*347 4 025 3 072 3 165 9114 8491 5 011 3 341 4 021 2 075 4 171 8491 7928 3 342 3 339 3 018 2 080 5 174 7928 7451 3 299 3 339 3 017 2 082 6 171 7451 7079 3 263 3 340 3 016 2 087 6 165 7079 6820 3 252 3 342 3 016 2 090 6 163 6820 6661 2*249 3 342 3 016 2*090 6 167 6661 6570 2*247 3 342 3 015 1*086 5*174 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography