DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.5 - - 60.0 - - 64.9 - - 63.9 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 298 - - 329 - - 60 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4432 - - 6225 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9273 - - 10721 - - 6555 - - 6555 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 10661 - - 12454 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 931 - - 1940 - - 1699 - - 6907 - - 873 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 467 - - 540 - - 117 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 51 - - 26 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 339 - - 023 - - 330 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -7 - - -10 - - 5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3238 - - -1124 - - -603 - - -7013 - - -3740 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9809 - - 11786 - - 13058 - - 13584 - - 10312 sfcLCL ODpotential -7717 - - -4327 - - -4252 - - -11475 - - -9854 ODpotential blCL 14287 - - 14988 - - 16706 - - 18046 - - 16425 blCL maxRH 53 - - 65 - - 66 - - 49 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.5 - - 60.0 - - 64.9 - - 63.9 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.7 - - 31.2 - - 30.4 - - 27.3 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 57.6 - - 62.2 - - 62.9 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 30.8 - - 30.0 - - 27.0 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 298 - - 329 - - 60 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4432 - - 6225 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98156 5 074 6 037 6 090 7 238 5 346 98156 90837 15 062 4 127 6 111 6 265 10 007 90837 85201 17 041 7 127 5 132 4 035 2 338 85201 80497 13 026 9 090 4 104 7 038 9 087 80497 76442 9 034 9 078 6 088 2 045 12 079 76442 72873 7 074 8 119 6 080 4 044 12 068 72873 69659 6 048 11 105 5 127 4 004 7 060 69659 66709 7 010 9 074 4 109 6 023 5 073 66709 63966 8 020 9 058 2 086 7 017 4 059 63966 61298 7 350 8 014 5 012 8 343 6 009 61298 58508 5 328 10 334 6 349 7 342 11 339 58508 55612 7 339 12 309 10 321 13 329 17 331 55612 52849 10 349 14 324 14 327 15 338 24 336 52849 50363 16 349 16 342 27 338 32 330 32 330 50363 48136 18 331 21 341 35 312 38 319 42 326 48136 46115 17 327 20 332 16 330 38 302 41 323 46115 44259 24 355 24 006 38 012 27 352 37 336 44259 42539 39 003 46 004 56 000 47 358 41 349 42539 40942 49 353 51 357 54 348 53 354 47 359 40942 39457 43 347 46 347 41 347 51 351 49 359 39457 38078 34 351 37 340 35 360 41 356 44 358 38078 36766 29 010 29 029 38 010 39 012 40 005 36766 35459 31 031 36 050 36 019 41 018 38 012 35459 34129 33 039 40 052 36 030 41 019 39 015 34129 32777 24 028 41 049 38 035 40 017 39 014 32777 31392 19 030 33 051 40 039 39 015 37 013 31392 29963 20 046 29 057 35 041 37 016 36 012 29963 28495 22 053 28 054 26 034 36 022 34 012 28495 26990 21 057 29 050 23 021 31 027 30 015 26990 25451 19 062 25 048 24 014 25 016 26 013 25451 23879 19 061 21 036 24 010 28 005 24 007 23879 22272 17 050 21 021 24 011 31 012 27 011 22272 20623 15 036 22 018 24 024 28 024 29 021 20623 18963 15 032 22 023 24 040 23 032 26 033 18963 17373 15 035 21 029 23 046 21 042 20 041 17373 15928 13 040 19 033 18 051 16 056 14 043 15928 14638 12 043 17 036 14 058 12 065 9 050 14638 13481 9 044 14 041 8*059 9 063 7 059 13481 12436 6 048 12 049 5*055 8 058 7 052 12436 11491 4 061 6*057 4 051 6 052 7 041 11491 10635 3 072 3*053 4 041 5 035 7 027 10635 9864 2 075 1 000 4 024 4 019 7 016 9864 9167 2 085 1 331 4 013 4 352 7 008 9167 8530 1 137 2 324 4 007 4 341 7 001 8530 7956 2 161 2 323 4 002 4 336 6 354 7956 7469 4 152 2 325 4 359 5 334 4 341 7469 7089 6 148 2 329 4 357 5 333 3 305 7089 6825 5 162 3 328 4 355 5 331 3 272 6825 6664 4 193 2 332 4 355 4*331 3*240 6664 6571 3*215 2 332 4 353 4*330 3*220 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography