DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 58.8 - - 58.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 246 - - 56 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5164 - - 7644 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9662 - - 11739 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11393 - - 13873 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3035 - - 2008 - - 9825 - - 5677 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 538 - - 120 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 245 - - 266 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -13 - - 948 - - -7540 - - -5648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11406 - - 12926 - - 14112 - - 12220 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3178 - - -1890 - - -9458 - - -9312 ODpotential blCL - - - 14571 - - 15763 - - 16029 - - 15883 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 65 - - 75 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 58.8 - - 58.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 24.9 - - 19.4 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 56.7 - - 57.5 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 23.7 - - 18.1 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 246 - - 56 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5164 - - 7644 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97435 22 193 19 237 16 243 11 216 97435 90024 7 171 14 221 10 237 8 244 90024 84344 6 233 8 229 8 241 12 225 84344 79627 8 247 1 257 10 235 8 253 79627 75557 9 252 5 337 7 257 9 304 75557 71964 7 268 9 285 11 323 9 313 71964 68711 6 328 10 271 17 310 8 336 68711 65719 9 350 7 302 18 306 11 332 65719 62938 13 342 10 317 17 308 14 318 62938 60236 16 335 13 313 15 300 16 306 60236 57409 18 315 17 319 14 310 18 302 57409 54467 17 300 23 302 21 312 19 310 54467 51656 18 301 23 298 24 302 20 312 51656 49138 21 302 21 302 24 302 23 304 49138 46904 23 298 21 305 25 308 24 299 46904 44891 23 294 25 288 26 304 25 305 44891 43065 24 298 24 294 25 304 31 296 43065 41406 30 301 34 294 35 286 31 289 41406 39893 32 294 36 278 36 282 42 287 39893 38500 31 294 36 282 35 288 50 280 38500 37197 31 292 39 285 42 290 45 276 37197 35949 26 287 38 286 45 291 38 279 35949 34695 24 294 36 290 46 287 35 289 34695 33411 25 305 36 290 37 285 35 285 33411 32101 25 307 29 285 32 288 33 279 32101 30754 24 306 24 290 32 282 29 283 30754 29362 23 303 22 293 28 275 28 290 29362 27932 21 294 23 289 23 278 30 287 27932 26465 19 288 22 283 23 290 30 280 26465 24966 19 282 20 278 23 295 27 280 24966 23441 16 265 21 268 20 284 24 286 23441 21884 14 252 20 258 19 278 21 292 21884 20289 13 245 18 258 17 279 18 299 20289 18685 11 245 16 258 15 283 13 316 18685 17149 10 246 14 257 13 281 11 336 17149 15750 10 247 12 251 11 263 10 341 15750 14496 11 252 9*242 10 249 8 337 14496 13366 13 255 8*242 9 247 8 307 13366 12343 13*255 8 241 8 248 9 278 12343 11415 11*253 8 242 8 250 10 262 11415 10575 10 251 7 243 8 254 10 254 10575 9817 9 250 7 245 7 257 9 251 9817 9132 8 249 7 246 7 260 8 251 9132 8505 8 250 7 248 7 262 7 253 8505 7939 7 251 6 250 7 263 6 253 7939 7458 7 253 6 251 7 265 5 253 7458 7084 6 254 6 252 6 265 4 251 7084 6822 6 255 5 252 6 266 3 237 6822 6663 6 256 5 251 6*266 2*205 6663 6571 5 257 4 253 5*266 2*175 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography