DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.9 - - 28.7 - - 31.7 - - 31.7 - - 30.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -2 - - -1 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 609 - - 1694 - - 2030 - - 1341 - - 615 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 40 - - 37 - - 22 - - 24 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 208 - - 249 - - 186 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -7 - - -2 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -290 - - -988 - - -872 - - -398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6569 - - 6860 - - 7558 - - 7441 - - 6967 sfcLCL ODpotential -4695 - - -4112 - - -4562 - - -5178 - - -4857 ODpotential blCL 11264 - - 10681 - - 11131 - - 11747 - - 11426 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.9 - - 28.7 - - 31.7 - - 31.7 - - 30.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 22.1 - - 22.0 - - 22.6 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.0 - - 28.6 - - 32.0 - - 33.0 - - 32.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 21.1 - - 20.9 - - 21.5 - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -2 - - -1 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96415 27 082 21 088 22 068 26 085 20 067 96415 89345 24 079 20 079 17 080 17 085 20 068 89345 83823 17 102 14 073 16 066 8 094 22 053 83823 79206 8 095 8 037 10 042 4 106 12 044 79206 75213 3 142 6 356 11 031 8 046 14 028 75213 71667 3 052 4 256 11 315 12 357 13 036 71667 68437 5 317 2 340 9 307 14 344 13 024 68437 65444 12 323 14 312 18 316 19 320 8 008 65444 62653 16 338 11 330 15 281 19 319 18 002 62653 59953 22 338 13 024 23 324 31 322 31 329 59953 57154 30 319 34 321 35 311 30 320 32 310 57154 54261 39 308 35 301 32 302 30 312 30 317 54261 51501 39 308 35 315 34 315 41 324 39 323 51501 49027 47 315 49 320 51 319 54 320 48 316 49027 46827 58 314 56 314 59 316 58 320 51 316 46827 44855 67 318 59 317 71 322 76 323 68 324 44855 43103 91 318 78 324 93 319 99 311 82 316 43103 41523 101 313 104 319 94 319 88 311 73 313 41523 40042 96 325 105 322 98 332 79 320 68 315 40042 38639 123 336 121 337 108 334 85 326 74 313 38639 37317 130 333 128 339 106 328 89 325 77 316 37317 36053 128 329 114 332 101 321 91 322 80 316 36053 34785 128 327 111 328 104 318 92 318 82 315 34785 33486 127 327 112 325 105 318 92 315 83 315 33486 32159 128 328 111 320 103 317 92 311 83 314 32159 30793 122 326 111 315 101 315 88 308 82 313 30793 29381 117 320 112 314 101 314 85 309 82 314 29381 27927 115 316 110 314 102 315 84 317 82 316 27927 26436 114 314 107 315 104 319 87 325 81 317 26436 24913 104 316 101 317 104 321 86 325 78 318 24913 23360 80 317 93 316 99 321 82 318 74 319 23360 21773 65 313 80 312 88 319 80 314 72 320 21773 20148 63 309 69 307 76 316 76 313 70 320 20148 18517 62 309 60 306 67 313 68 315 64 318 18517 16964 56 312 52 309 59 311 60 317 56 316 16964 15558 49 315 47 310 51 310 50 315 48 314 15558 14307 42 313 40 308 44 311 41 311 41 312 14307 13190 38 308 35 310 36 312 35 306 33 309 13190 12184 37 302 32 315 30 311 29 302 28 304 12184 11274 34 295 29 317 24 308 25 296 25 301 11274 10451 31 285 25 313 20 300 22 289 24 297 10451 9709 30 277 23 296 18 290 20 283 23 290 9709 9040 30 272 23 275 18 273 18 277 22 284 9040 8430 29 264 22 261 18 257 16 266 19 279 8430 7883 27 255 19 252 15 249 14 250 18 269 7883 7420 22 244 15 242 12 248 12 239 16 254 7420 7060 17 230 12 231 10 248 9 231 13 239 7060 6810 11 215 9 222 8 248 6 220 9 219 6810 6657 8*202 7*216 7*248 4 204 6*201 6657 6569 4*183 4*208 4*249 2*186 3*183 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography