DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.2 - - 27.2 - - 23.7 - - 19.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 87 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6568 - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1739 - - 2926 - - 2277 - - 314 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 133 - - 0 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 28 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 012 - - 244 - - 066 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3608 - - -4839 - - -2651 - - -2874 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10176 - - 11408 - - 9221 - - 9443 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9898 - - -10851 - - -9330 - - -10957 ODpotential blCL - - - 16466 - - 17420 - - 15899 - - 17526 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 84 - - 77 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.2 - - 27.2 - - 23.7 - - 19.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.3 - - 0.8 - - 6.9 - - 1.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.5 - - 26.2 - - 26.1 - - 23.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.3 - - -0.2 - - 5.9 - - 0.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 87 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 339 - - 340 - - 340 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 35 - - 8 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96966 72 085 62 087 64 077 73 083 96966 89804 70 092 63 086 67 076 76 084 89804 84213 53 090 61 093 63 080 73 085 84213 79502 38 094 49 082 59 080 63 083 79502 75401 29 088 28 078 38 065 47 072 75401 71770 22 066 22 071 24 069 32 057 71770 68470 10 041 16 038 15 060 18 037 68470 65422 14 008 16 021 13 051 13 024 65422 62577 14 323 20 320 19 355 16 017 62577 59807 7 349 14 304 20 323 22 346 59807 56920 24 334 21 332 22 325 27 332 56920 53933 34 315 30 318 26 319 32 318 53933 51089 36 309 34 313 30 314 32 315 51089 48541 37 306 39 312 36 315 34 315 48541 46276 42 310 45 307 39 315 40 314 46276 44238 50 306 50 306 43 312 41 310 44238 42381 50 304 51 303 47 307 38 310 42381 40671 51 311 51 306 47 307 41 316 40671 39085 67 308 60 305 54 308 50 312 39085 37615 78 298 64 300 57 304 51 301 37615 36261 84 289 66 292 58 298 44 299 36261 34985 88 288 67 291 59 295 53 298 34985 33733 91 292 69 296 59 296 67 285 33733 32477 92 297 76 298 61 299 65 283 32477 31206 87 305 76 301 62 302 56 287 31206 29906 79 309 68 305 61 305 51 290 29906 28565 70 309 64 305 58 306 52 290 28565 27185 62 310 64 305 59 306 52 288 27185 25766 57 316 60 307 55 309 49 287 25766 24314 56 323 52 310 47 313 44 289 24314 22834 56 328 46 315 39 312 40 292 22834 21321 56 330 43 321 33 308 37 296 21321 19769 53 329 40 326 30 310 35 300 19769 18203 46 328 38 325 28 313 32 305 18203 16704 40 327 36 322 28 316 25 304 16704 15342 36 326 33 319 27 319 20 300 15342 14125 32 324 30 318 26 322 17 301 14125 13032 30 323 27 320 24 324 14 311 13032 12047 26 324 24 320 20 324 10 326 12047 11157 22 329 20 317 15 322 7 343 11157 10354 17 337 15 313 10 310 3 000 10354 9634 14 347 11 307 7 285 1 079 9634 8985 12 357 6 295 7 239 2 187 8985 8391 9 013 3 234 7 215 3 197 8391 7857 7 036 2 220 5 206 4 200 7857 7404 6 053 2 221 3 195 4 197 7404 7051 3 058 2 229 2 177 5 188 7051 6805 1 041 1 235 1 146 5 174 6805 6655 1 016 1*234 1*106 4*165 6655 6569 1*012 1*244 1*066 2*171 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography